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2024-25 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Falkirk

13.40 points above expected

73 points · 59.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Queens Park

14.73 points below expected

35 points · 49.73 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Falkirk 36 22 7 7 73 72 33 +39 59.60 +13.40
2 Livingston 36 20 10 6 70 55 27 +28 59.36 +10.64
3 Ayr United 36 18 9 9 63 57 39 +18 56.64 +6.36
4 Partick Thistle 36 15 10 11 55 43 38 +5 56.67 -1.67
5 Raith Rovers 36 15 8 13 53 47 43 +4 52.60 +0.40
6 Greenock Morton 36 12 12 12 48 42 48 -6 47.75 +0.25
7 Hamilton Academical 36 10 6 20 36 38 64 -26 23.46 +12.54
8 Dunfermline Athletic 36 9 8 19 35 28 43 -15 43.94 -8.94
9 Queens Park 36 9 8 19 35 36 55 -19 49.73 -14.73
10 Airdrieonians 36 7 8 21 29 34 62 -28 36.56 -7.56

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Falkirk 1584 73 59.60 +13.40 95.8% 30 46 54 60 65 73 88
Livingston 1576 70 59.36 +10.64 92.5% 23 46 54 59 65 72 87
Ayr United 1516 63 56.64 +6.36 80.7% 26 44 51 57 62 70 85
Raith Rovers 1516 53 52.60 +0.40 54.9% 25 40 47 53 58 65 81
Partick Thistle 1513 55 56.67 -1.67 44.0% 30 44 51 57 62 69 87
Greenock Morton 1454 48 47.75 +0.25 54.1% 20 35 42 48 53 60 80
Dunfermline Athletic 1391 35 43.94 -8.94 13.6% 19 31 39 44 49 57 74
Airdrieonians 1380 29 36.56 -7.56 17.2% 14 25 32 36 41 49 69
Queens Park 1366 35 49.73 -14.73 3.4% 23 37 44 50 55 63 81
Hamilton Academical 1343 36 23.46 +12.54 40.5% -2 12 18 23 28 36 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AIR AU DA FAL GM HA LIV PT QP RR
Airdrieonians —
0-0-4
4.04
1-2-1
4.70
0-0-4
3.36
0-2-2
4.48
1-1-2
5.16
0-1-3
3.14
1-1-2
3.44
2-0-2
4.16
2-1-1
4.12
Ayr United
4-0-0
7.12
 —
3-1-0
6.97
1-2-1
5.17
1-2-1
6.73
3-1-0
7.34
1-0-3
5.37
1-1-2
5.65
2-2-0
6.42
2-0-2
5.94
Dunfermline Athletic
1-2-1
6.43
0-1-3
4.18
 —
0-1-3
4.25
1-1-2
5.02
1-0-3
6.21
2-1-1
3.97
1-1-2
4.12
1-1-2
5.06
2-0-2
4.65
Falkirk
4-0-0
7.86
1-2-1
5.94
3-1-0
6.91
 —
4-0-0
6.60
3-1-0
7.85
0-1-3
5.86
2-1-1
5.78
3-1-0
6.29
2-0-2
6.46
Greenock Morton
2-2-0
6.66
1-2-1
4.40
2-1-1
6.10
0-0-4
4.55
 —
2-1-1
6.81
0-2-2
4.34
1-2-1
4.58
2-0-2
5.39
2-2-0
5.02
Hamilton Academical
2-1-1
5.97
0-1-3
3.84
3-0-1
4.92
0-1-3
3.36
1-1-2
4.32
 —
0-0-4
3.72
2-0-2
3.76
2-1-1
4.54
0-1-3
4.13
Livingston
3-1-0
8.06
3-0-1
5.76
1-1-2
7.17
3-1-0
5.26
2-2-0
6.79
4-0-0
7.45
 —
1-2-1
6.02
1-2-1
6.48
2-1-1
6.23
Partick Thistle
2-1-1
7.74
2-1-1
5.47
2-1-1
7.03
1-1-2
5.34
1-2-1
6.55
2-0-2
7.41
1-2-1
5.11
 —
4-0-0
6.05
0-2-2
6.05
Queens Park
2-0-2
7.00
0-2-2
4.72
2-1-1
6.06
0-1-3
4.83
2-0-2
5.73
1-1-2
6.60
1-2-1
4.66
0-0-4
5.08
 —
1-1-2
5.00
Raith Rovers
1-1-2
7.03
2-0-2
5.17
2-0-2
6.47
2-0-2
4.68
0-2-2
6.11
3-1-0
7.02
1-1-2
4.90
2-2-0
5.07
2-1-1
6.12
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +11.1
Allowed 0.77 -11.4
Differential 0.97 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%9.44%8.33%4.44%0.83%1.39%32.78%
19.44%9.44%8.33%1.39%0.56%0.56%29.72%
28.33%8.33%3.89%2.22%—0.56%23.33%
34.44%1.39%2.22%2.22%——10.28%
40.83%0.56%————1.39%
5+1.39%0.56%0.56%———2.50%
Total32.78%29.72%23.33%10.28%1.39%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.26 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.84
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%47.22%
15.56%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—25.00%
2—8.33%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total13.89%30.56%36.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.72 -0.78
SD 1.17 1.19 1.87
CV 1.24 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%8.33%——2.78%19.44%
113.89%16.67%8.33%———38.89%
211.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
35.56%—8.33%———13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total36.11%27.78%33.33%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.08 +0.50
SD 1.34 1.08 1.84
CV 0.85 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%19.44%19.44%5.56%——58.33%
18.33%5.56%8.33%———22.22%
22.78%2.78%————5.56%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%30.56%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.19 -0.42
SD 1.15 0.95 1.52
CV 1.48 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%————13.89%
18.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
219.44%8.33%5.56%——2.78%36.11%
35.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total47.22%27.78%16.67%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.92 +1.08
SD 1.43 1.16 1.87
CV 0.72 1.26 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—5.56%36.11%
12.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
216.67%11.11%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
3——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%30.56%19.44%11.11%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.33 -0.17
SD 1.00 1.43 1.78
CV 0.86 1.08 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%13.89%13.89%——38.89%
111.11%2.78%5.56%8.33%—2.78%30.56%
2—8.33%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
32.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%16.67%27.78%30.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.78 -0.72
SD 1.09 1.27 1.80
CV 1.04 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
18.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
25.56%19.44%————25.00%
313.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total44.44%41.67%8.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.75 +0.78
SD 1.28 0.84 1.59
CV 0.84 1.12 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
116.67%13.89%13.89%—2.78%—47.22%
28.33%11.11%2.78%——2.78%25.00%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%19.44%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.06 +0.14
SD 1.01 1.19 1.55
CV 0.84 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%30.56%
18.33%11.11%22.22%——2.78%44.44%
28.33%5.56%2.78%5.56%——22.22%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%25.00%27.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.53 -0.53
SD 0.89 1.38 1.81
CV 0.89 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
111.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
211.11%5.56%—2.78%——19.44%
38.33%2.78%—5.56%——16.67%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total36.11%30.56%13.89%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.19 +0.11
SD 1.26 1.19 1.91
CV 0.97 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Falkirk 73 59.60 +13.40
2 Hamilton Academical 36 23.46 +12.54
3 Livingston 70 59.36 +10.64
4 Ayr United 63 56.64 +6.36
5 Raith Rovers 53 52.60 +0.40

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Queens Park 35 49.73 -14.73
2 Dunfermline Athletic 35 43.94 -8.94
3 Airdrieonians 29 36.56 -7.56
4 Partick Thistle 55 56.67 -1.67
5 Greenock Morton 48 47.75 +0.25

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 5 Aug 2 – Sep 14 1 in 153
2 Ayr United 4 Aug 3 – Aug 24 1 in 21
3 Raith Rovers 3 Dec 14 – Dec 28 1 in 16
4 Greenock Morton 3 Mar 8 – Mar 22 1 in 15
5 Livingston 4 Apr 5 – Apr 26 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queens Park 7 Mar 4 – Apr 12 1 in 822
2 Airdrieonians 7 Oct 19 – Dec 7 1 in 83
3 Livingston 3 Dec 21 – Jan 4 1 in 25
4 Raith Rovers 3 Aug 24 – Sep 13 1 in 21
5 Hamilton Academical 4 Jan 10 – Feb 1 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 11 Nov 8 – Feb 18 1 in 430
2 Raith Rovers 10 Mar 5 – May 2 1 in 192
3 Livingston 10 Aug 3 – Oct 26 1 in 82
4 Airdrieonians 5 Jan 25 – Feb 25 1 in 50
5 Ayr United 8 Aug 3 – Sep 28 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Airdrieonians 19 Aug 9 – Jan 14 1 in 551
2 Queens Park 10 Mar 4 – May 2 1 in 88
3 Partick Thistle 6 Jan 25 – Feb 28 1 in 29
4 Raith Rovers 4 Aug 24 – Sep 21 1 in 12
5 Greenock Morton 5 Aug 3 – Sep 14 1 in 11

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Falkirk29.06%20.92%16.89%12.60%9.09%5.56%3.66%1.82%0.40%—
Livingston26.61%21.59%17.26%13.20%9.54%6.32%3.32%1.73%0.41%0.02%
Ayr United16.15%17.99%16.83%15.66%13.25%9.33%6.43%3.29%1.02%0.05%
Partick Thistle15.33%17.18%17.45%15.71%13.25%10.38%6.31%3.55%0.83%0.01%
Raith Rovers6.56%10.44%13.06%14.99%16.52%15.11%12.82%7.66%2.68%0.16%
Greenock Morton1.93%4.12%6.25%9.99%13.21%17.95%20.48%17.28%8.09%0.70%
Hamilton Academical——0.02%0.02%0.04%0.15%0.50%2.15%11.83%85.29%
Dunfermline Athletic0.83%1.64%3.18%5.10%8.48%13.22%19.58%28.80%17.34%1.83%
Queens Park3.48%5.93%8.62%11.82%14.63%17.50%17.97%13.43%6.19%0.43%
Airdrieonians0.05%0.19%0.44%0.91%1.99%4.48%8.93%20.29%51.21%11.51%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.44%
Clear Edge
47.78%23.89%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
172 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
068.43500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Falkirk, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.18 * Some Luck: 6.18 to 9.27 * Lucky: 9.27 to 12.37 * Wild Swing: 12.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.73 * Off: 1.73 to 2.31 * Way Off: 2.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.33 points
Some Luck
07.7319
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.443
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.84%
Falkirk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.43%
Queens Park
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.75
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Clear Edge
50%84%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.15
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.20
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.12
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Falkirk 29.06% 50.41% 20.53% —
Livingston 26.61% 52.05% 21.32% 0.02%
Ayr United 16.15% 50.48% 33.32% 0.05%
Partick Thistle 15.33% 50.34% 34.32% 0.01%
Raith Rovers 6.56% 38.49% 54.79% 0.16%
Queens Park 3.48% 26.37% 69.72% 0.43%
Greenock Morton 1.93% 20.36% 77.01% 0.70%
Dunfermline Athletic 0.83% 9.92% 87.42% 1.83%
Airdrieonians 0.05% 1.54% 86.90% 11.51%
Hamilton Academical — 0.04% 14.67% 85.29%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2024-08-02 Queens Park W 2-1 1440 1471 42.5% 22.3% 35.2% +5.7 3
2024-08-02 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1471 1440 35.2% 22.3% 42.5% -5.7 0
2024-08-03 Ayr United L 0-2 1406 1456 40.0% 22.3% 37.7% -12.6 0
2024-08-03 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1456 1406 37.7% 22.3% 40.0% +12.6 3
2024-08-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1481 1446 51.5% 21.6% 26.9% +9.1 3
2024-08-03 @ Livingston L 0-2 1446 1481 26.9% 21.6% 51.5% -9.1 0
2024-08-03 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1512 1465 52.9% 21.5% 25.6% -1.1 1
2024-08-03 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1465 1512 25.6% 21.5% 52.9% +1.1 1
2024-08-03 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1450 1512 38.2% 22.3% 39.4% +6.6 3
2024-08-03 @ Airdrieonians L 0-1 1512 1450 39.4% 22.3% 38.2% -6.6 0
2024-08-09 Airdrieonians W 5-0 1468 1457 48.3% 21.9% 29.7% +23.2 6
2024-08-09 @ Ayr United L 0-5 1457 1468 29.7% 21.9% 48.3% -23.2 3
2024-08-09 Livingston D 1-1 1465 1491 43.4% 22.2% 34.4% -0.3 1
2024-08-09 @ Queens Park D 1-1 1491 1465 34.4% 22.2% 43.4% +0.3 4
2024-08-10 Falkirk L 0-2 1437 1445 45.6% 22.1% 32.2% -14.0 0
2024-08-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1445 1437 32.2% 22.1% 45.6% +14.0 6
2024-08-10 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1466 1394 56.0% 21.0% 23.0% -1.3 2
2024-08-10 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1394 1466 23.0% 21.0% 56.0% +1.3 1
2024-08-10 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1505 1511 46.0% 22.1% 31.9% +5.6 3
2024-08-10 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1511 1505 31.9% 22.1% 46.0% -5.6 1
2024-08-17 Hamilton Academical W 3-2 1491 1395 58.7% 20.5% 20.8% +3.4 9
2024-08-17 @ Ayr United L 2-3 1395 1491 20.8% 20.5% 58.7% -3.4 1
2024-08-24 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1392 1423 42.5% 22.3% 35.2% +6.0 4
2024-08-24 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1423 1392 35.2% 22.3% 42.5% -6.0 0
2024-08-24 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1491 1465 50.2% 21.8% 28.0% -0.8 5
2024-08-24 @ Livingston D 1-1 1465 1491 28.0% 21.8% 50.2% +0.8 3
2024-08-24 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1459 1506 40.4% 22.3% 37.3% +6.0 9
2024-08-24 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1506 1459 37.3% 22.3% 40.4% -6.0 1
2024-08-24 Queens Park L 0-2 1434 1465 42.5% 22.3% 35.2% -13.2 3
2024-08-24 @ Airdrieonians W 2-0 1465 1434 35.2% 22.3% 42.5% +13.2 4
2024-08-24 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1495 1511 44.7% 22.2% 33.1% +10.9 12
2024-08-24 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1511 1495 33.1% 22.2% 44.7% -10.9 3
2024-08-31 Airdrieonians D 2-2 1398 1420 43.7% 22.2% 34.1% -0.2 5
2024-08-31 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1420 1398 34.1% 22.2% 43.7% +0.2 4
2024-08-31 Ayr United D 1-1 1417 1506 34.4% 22.2% 43.4% +0.3 1
2024-08-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1506 1417 43.4% 22.2% 34.4% -0.3 13
2024-08-31 Falkirk L 2-3 1466 1465 46.9% 22.1% 31.1% -6.8 3
2024-08-31 @ Greenock Morton W 3-2 1465 1466 31.1% 22.1% 46.9% +6.8 12
2024-08-31 Livingston L 0-1 1500 1490 48.1% 22.0% 29.9% -7.8 3
2024-08-31 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1490 1500 29.9% 22.0% 48.1% +7.8 8
2024-08-31 Queens Park W 3-0 1500 1478 49.6% 21.8% 28.5% +13.9 4
2024-08-31 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1478 1500 28.5% 21.8% 49.6% -13.9 4
2024-09-13 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1417 1492 36.3% 22.3% 41.4% +13.0 4
2024-09-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1492 1417 41.4% 22.3% 36.3% -13.0 3
2024-09-14 Falkirk L 0-2 1421 1472 39.6% 22.3% 38.0% -12.5 4
2024-09-14 @ Airdrieonians W 2-0 1472 1421 38.0% 22.3% 39.6% +12.5 15
2024-09-14 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1464 1459 47.6% 22.0% 30.4% +5.4 7
2024-09-14 @ Queens Park L 0-1 1459 1464 30.4% 22.0% 47.6% -5.4 3
2024-09-14 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1498 1397 59.2% 20.4% 20.4% +10.3 11
2024-09-14 @ Livingston L 0-3 1397 1498 20.4% 20.4% 59.2% -10.3 5
2024-09-14 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1505 1514 45.7% 22.1% 32.1% -0.5 14
2024-09-14 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1514 1505 32.1% 22.1% 45.7% +0.5 5
2024-09-21 Airdrieonians W 2-0 1454 1408 52.7% 21.5% 25.8% +8.8 6
2024-09-21 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1408 1454 25.8% 21.5% 52.7% -8.8 4
2024-09-21 Ayr United D 1-1 1470 1505 42.0% 22.3% 35.7% -0.2 8
2024-09-21 @ Queens Park D 1-1 1505 1470 35.7% 22.3% 42.0% +0.2 15
2024-09-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1514 1430 57.3% 20.8% 21.9% +4.0 8
2024-09-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1430 1514 21.9% 20.8% 57.3% -4.0 4
2024-09-21 Hamilton Academical D 3-3 1479 1387 58.2% 20.6% 21.2% -0.8 4
2024-09-21 @ Raith Rovers D 3-3 1387 1479 21.2% 20.6% 58.2% +0.8 6
2024-09-28 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1508 1399 60.1% 20.2% 19.7% +3.4 14
2024-09-28 @ Livingston L 1-2 1399 1508 19.7% 20.2% 60.1% -3.4 4
2024-09-28 Falkirk W 1-0 1478 1485 45.9% 22.1% 31.9% +5.6 7
2024-09-28 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1485 1478 31.9% 22.1% 45.9% -5.6 15
2024-09-28 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1505 1462 52.4% 21.5% 26.1% +4.7 18
2024-09-28 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1462 1505 26.1% 21.5% 52.4% -4.7 6
2024-09-28 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1388 1518 29.2% 21.9% 48.9% +7.9 9
2024-09-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1518 1388 48.9% 21.9% 29.2% -7.9 8
2024-09-28 Queens Park L 1-2 1426 1470 40.8% 22.3% 36.9% -6.4 4
2024-09-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1470 1426 36.9% 22.3% 40.8% +6.4 11
2024-10-05 Ayr United W 2-0 1479 1510 42.6% 22.3% 35.1% +11.4 18
2024-10-05 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1510 1479 35.1% 22.3% 42.6% -11.4 18
2024-10-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1396 1420 43.6% 22.2% 34.2% -0.3 5
2024-10-05 @ Airdrieonians D 1-1 1420 1396 34.2% 22.2% 43.6% +0.3 5
2024-10-05 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1476 1396 56.9% 20.9% 22.2% +4.1 14
2024-10-05 @ Queens Park L 0-1 1396 1476 22.2% 20.9% 56.9% -4.1 9
2024-10-05 Livingston D 0-0 1510 1512 46.6% 22.1% 31.3% -0.6 9
2024-10-05 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1512 1510 31.3% 22.1% 46.6% +0.6 15
2024-10-05 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1458 1484 43.2% 22.2% 34.5% +11.2 9
2024-10-05 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1484 1458 34.5% 22.2% 43.2% -11.2 7
2024-10-08 Livingston D 0-0 1491 1512 43.9% 22.2% 33.9% -0.4 19
2024-10-08 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1512 1491 33.9% 22.2% 43.9% +0.4 16
2024-10-12 Falkirk D 1-1 1510 1490 49.4% 21.9% 28.7% -0.7 10
2024-10-12 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1490 1510 28.7% 21.9% 49.4% +0.7 20
2024-10-18 Falkirk L 1-3 1392 1491 33.1% 22.2% 44.8% -9.4 9
2024-10-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1491 1392 44.8% 22.2% 33.1% +9.4 23
2024-10-19 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1509 1396 60.6% 20.1% 19.3% +3.4 13
2024-10-19 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1396 1509 19.3% 20.1% 60.6% -3.4 5
2024-10-19 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1420 1469 40.0% 22.3% 37.7% -0.1 6
2024-10-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1469 1420 37.7% 22.3% 40.0% +0.1 10
2024-10-19 Livingston L 1-2 1498 1513 44.9% 22.2% 32.9% -6.9 18
2024-10-19 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1513 1498 32.9% 22.2% 44.9% +6.9 19
2024-10-19 Queens Park D 1-1 1473 1480 45.8% 22.1% 32.1% -0.5 8
2024-10-19 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1480 1473 32.1% 22.1% 45.8% +0.5 15
2024-10-26 Ayr United L 0-1 1392 1491 33.1% 22.2% 44.8% -5.7 5
2024-10-26 @ Airdrieonians W 1-0 1491 1392 44.8% 22.2% 33.1% +5.8 21
2024-10-26 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1500 1420 56.9% 20.9% 22.2% +3.8 26
2024-10-26 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1420 1500 22.2% 20.9% 56.9% -3.8 6
2024-10-26 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1382 1469 34.7% 22.2% 43.0% +19.4 12
2024-10-26 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1469 1382 43.0% 22.2% 34.7% -19.4 10
2024-10-26 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1481 1512 42.5% 22.3% 35.3% -7.0 15
2024-10-26 @ Queens Park W 1-0 1512 1481 35.3% 22.3% 42.5% +7.0 16
2024-10-26 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1519 1472 53.0% 21.5% 25.6% +4.4 22
2024-10-26 @ Livingston L 1-2 1472 1519 25.6% 21.5% 53.0% -4.4 8
2024-10-29 Airdrieonians W 1-0 1468 1387 57.0% 20.8% 22.1% +4.1 11
2024-10-29 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1387 1468 22.1% 20.8% 57.0% -4.1 5
2024-10-29 Livingston W 3-0 1416 1524 31.9% 22.1% 46.0% +20.5 9
2024-10-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1524 1416 46.0% 22.1% 31.9% -20.5 22
2024-10-29 Queens Park L 0-1 1450 1474 43.5% 22.2% 34.2% -7.2 10
2024-10-29 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1474 1450 34.2% 22.2% 43.5% +7.2 18
2024-11-01 Ayr United W 2-0 1472 1497 43.3% 22.2% 34.4% +11.2 14
2024-11-01 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1497 1472 34.4% 22.2% 43.3% -11.2 21
2024-11-02 Greenock Morton W 6-0 1504 1442 54.7% 21.2% 24.1% +23.0 29
2024-11-02 @ Falkirk L 0-6 1442 1504 24.1% 21.2% 54.7% -23.0 10
2024-11-02 Hamilton Academical L 0-4 1382 1402 44.2% 22.2% 33.6% -25.9 5
2024-11-02 @ Airdrieonians W 4-0 1402 1382 33.6% 22.2% 44.2% +25.9 15
2024-11-02 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1436 1519 35.2% 22.3% 42.5% -6.1 9
2024-11-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1519 1436 42.5% 22.3% 35.2% +6.0 19
2024-11-02 Queens Park D 1-1 1503 1481 49.8% 21.8% 28.4% -0.8 23
2024-11-02 @ Livingston D 1-1 1481 1503 28.4% 21.8% 49.8% +0.8 19
2024-11-08 Ayr United D 1-1 1419 1486 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% +0.1 11
2024-11-08 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1486 1419 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% -0.1 22
2024-11-09 Airdrieonians W 2-0 1527 1357 66.4% 18.6% 15.0% +5.2 32
2024-11-09 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1357 1527 15.0% 18.6% 66.4% -5.2 5
2024-11-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1481 1430 53.4% 21.4% 25.2% +4.3 22
2024-11-09 @ Queens Park L 1-2 1430 1481 25.2% 21.4% 53.4% -4.3 9
2024-11-09 Livingston L 1-3 1428 1503 36.3% 22.3% 41.4% -10.1 15
2024-11-09 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1503 1428 41.4% 22.3% 36.3% +10.1 26
2024-11-09 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1525 1483 52.3% 21.5% 26.1% -0.9 20
2024-11-09 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1483 1525 26.1% 21.5% 52.3% +0.9 15
2024-11-16 Airdrieonians W 1-0 1426 1351 56.2% 21.0% 22.8% +4.2 12
2024-11-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1351 1426 22.8% 21.0% 56.2% -4.2 5
2024-11-16 Falkirk W 1-0 1513 1532 44.1% 22.2% 33.6% +5.8 29
2024-11-16 @ Livingston L 0-1 1532 1513 33.6% 22.2% 44.1% -5.8 32
2024-11-16 Greenock Morton L 2-3 1484 1420 55.0% 21.2% 23.8% -7.8 15
2024-11-16 @ Raith Rovers W 3-2 1420 1484 23.8% 21.2% 55.0% +7.8 14
2024-11-16 Hamilton Academical W 5-1 1524 1418 59.9% 20.3% 19.8% +10.9 23
2024-11-16 @ Partick Thistle L 1-5 1418 1524 19.8% 20.3% 59.9% -10.9 15
2024-11-16 Queens Park W 3-2 1486 1486 46.9% 22.1% 31.1% +4.9 25
2024-11-16 @ Ayr United L 2-3 1486 1486 31.1% 22.1% 46.9% -4.9 22
2024-11-22 Falkirk L 0-1 1481 1526 40.5% 22.3% 37.2% -6.8 22
2024-11-22 @ Queens Park W 1-0 1526 1481 37.2% 22.3% 40.5% +6.8 35
2024-11-23 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1491 1430 54.6% 21.2% 24.2% +4.4 28
2024-11-23 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1430 1491 24.2% 21.2% 54.6% -4.4 12
2024-12-07 Airdrieonians W 2-0 1474 1347 62.0% 19.8% 18.2% +6.4 25
2024-12-07 @ Queens Park L 0-2 1347 1474 18.2% 19.8% 62.0% -6.3 5
2024-12-07 Ayr United W 1-0 1535 1495 52.0% 21.6% 26.4% +4.8 26
2024-12-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1495 1535 26.4% 21.6% 52.0% -4.8 28
2024-12-07 Hamilton Academical W 3-2 1426 1407 49.4% 21.9% 28.8% +4.6 15
2024-12-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1407 1426 28.8% 21.9% 49.4% -4.6 15
2024-12-07 Livingston D 0-0 1427 1518 34.1% 22.2% 43.7% +0.4 15
2024-12-07 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1518 1427 43.7% 22.2% 34.1% -0.4 30
2024-12-07 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1533 1476 54.1% 21.3% 24.6% +12.2 38
2024-12-07 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1476 1533 24.6% 21.3% 54.1% -12.2 15
2024-12-13 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1518 1540 43.8% 22.2% 33.9% +11.1 33
2024-12-13 @ Livingston L 0-2 1540 1518 33.9% 22.2% 43.8% -11.1 26
2024-12-14 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1464 1430 51.2% 21.7% 27.1% +9.2 18
2024-12-14 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1430 1464 27.1% 21.7% 51.2% -9.2 15
2024-12-14 Falkirk W 5-2 1490 1545 39.2% 22.3% 38.5% +13.0 31
2024-12-14 @ Ayr United L 2-5 1545 1490 38.5% 22.3% 39.2% -13.0 38
2024-12-14 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1341 1428 34.7% 22.2% 43.1% +0.2 6
2024-12-14 @ Airdrieonians D 2-2 1428 1341 43.1% 22.2% 34.7% -0.2 16
2024-12-14 Queens Park W 2-1 1402 1480 35.9% 22.3% 41.9% +6.5 18
2024-12-14 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1480 1402 41.9% 22.3% 35.9% -6.5 25
2024-12-17 Livingston L 0-3 1341 1529 22.9% 21.0% 56.1% -11.5 6
2024-12-17 @ Airdrieonians W 3-0 1529 1341 56.1% 21.0% 22.9% +11.4 36
2024-12-20 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1474 1473 46.9% 22.1% 31.0% -7.2 25
2024-12-20 @ Queens Park W 2-1 1473 1474 31.0% 22.1% 46.9% +7.2 21
2024-12-21 Ayr United L 0-1 1541 1503 51.7% 21.6% 26.7% -8.3 36
2024-12-21 @ Livingston W 1-0 1503 1541 26.7% 21.6% 51.7% +8.3 34
2024-12-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1428 1421 47.7% 22.0% 30.3% +10.1 19
2024-12-21 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1421 1428 30.3% 22.0% 47.7% -10.1 15
2024-12-21 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1532 1409 61.7% 19.9% 18.4% +3.4 41
2024-12-21 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1409 1532 18.4% 19.9% 61.7% -3.4 18
2024-12-21 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1330 1529 21.8% 20.8% 57.4% -7.5 6
2024-12-21 @ Airdrieonians W 2-0 1529 1330 57.4% 20.8% 21.8% +7.5 29
2024-12-27 Falkirk D 3-3 1411 1536 29.8% 22.0% 48.2% +0.4 16
2024-12-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1536 1411 48.2% 22.0% 29.8% -0.4 42
2024-12-28 Airdrieonians W 3-2 1405 1322 57.2% 20.8% 22.0% +3.6 21
2024-12-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 2-3 1322 1405 22.0% 20.8% 57.2% -3.6 6
2024-12-28 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1512 1438 56.2% 21.0% 22.8% -1.4 35
2024-12-28 @ Ayr United D 0-0 1438 1512 22.8% 21.0% 56.2% +1.4 20
2024-12-28 Livingston W 2-1 1480 1532 39.6% 22.3% 38.1% +6.1 24
2024-12-28 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1532 1480 38.1% 22.3% 39.6% -6.1 36
2024-12-28 Queens Park W 2-1 1536 1467 55.7% 21.1% 23.3% +4.0 32
2024-12-28 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1467 1536 23.3% 21.1% 55.7% -4.0 25
2024-12-31 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1439 1540 32.8% 22.2% 45.1% +6.9 23
2024-12-31 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1540 1439 45.1% 22.2% 32.8% -6.9 32
2025-01-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1533 1412 61.5% 19.9% 18.6% -22.2 32
2025-01-04 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1412 1533 18.6% 19.9% 61.5% +22.2 19
2025-01-04 Livingston W 2-0 1463 1526 37.9% 22.3% 39.8% +12.5 28
2025-01-04 @ Queens Park L 0-2 1526 1463 39.8% 22.3% 37.9% -12.5 36
2025-01-04 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1510 1486 50.0% 21.8% 28.2% +13.8 38
2025-01-04 @ Ayr United L 0-3 1486 1510 28.2% 21.8% 50.0% -13.8 24
2025-01-10 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1409 1511 32.6% 22.2% 45.2% -5.4 21
2025-01-10 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1511 1409 45.2% 22.2% 32.6% +5.4 35
2025-01-11 Queens Park D 0-0 1535 1475 54.5% 21.2% 24.2% -1.2 43
2025-01-11 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1475 1535 24.2% 21.2% 54.5% +1.2 29
2025-01-14 Airdrieonians W 2-1 1514 1318 68.7% 17.9% 13.5% +2.3 39
2025-01-14 @ Livingston L 1-2 1318 1514 13.5% 17.9% 68.7% -2.3 6
2025-01-14 Ayr United L 0-2 1434 1524 34.2% 22.2% 43.5% -11.1 19
2025-01-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1524 1434 43.5% 22.2% 34.2% +11.1 41
2025-01-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1316 1423 32.1% 22.1% 45.8% +20.4 9
2025-01-25 @ Airdrieonians L 0-3 1423 1316 45.8% 22.1% 32.1% -20.4 19
2025-01-25 Falkirk L 0-2 1473 1534 38.2% 22.3% 39.5% -12.2 24
2025-01-25 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1534 1473 39.5% 22.3% 38.2% +12.2 46
2025-01-25 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1477 1446 50.8% 21.7% 27.4% -7.7 29
2025-01-25 @ Queens Park W 2-1 1446 1477 27.4% 21.7% 50.8% +7.7 26
2025-01-25 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1516 1403 60.5% 20.2% 19.3% +9.8 42
2025-01-25 @ Livingston L 0-3 1403 1516 19.3% 20.2% 60.5% -9.8 21
2025-01-25 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1535 1517 49.3% 21.9% 28.8% +4.8 44
2025-01-25 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1517 1535 28.8% 21.9% 49.3% -4.8 35
2025-01-28 Raith Rovers L 0-3 1394 1460 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% -17.4 21
2025-01-28 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1460 1394 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% +17.4 27
2025-01-31 Livingston L 1-2 1546 1526 49.5% 21.8% 28.6% -7.5 46
2025-01-31 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1526 1546 28.6% 21.8% 49.5% +7.5 45
2025-02-01 Ayr United L 0-2 1376 1540 25.3% 21.4% 53.2% -8.7 21
2025-02-01 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1540 1376 53.2% 21.4% 25.3% +8.6 47
2025-02-01 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1512 1454 54.3% 21.3% 24.4% -0.8 36
2025-02-01 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1454 1512 24.4% 21.3% 54.3% +0.8 27
2025-02-01 Queens Park W 2-1 1337 1469 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% +7.5 12
2025-02-01 @ Airdrieonians L 1-2 1469 1337 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% -7.5 29
2025-02-01 Raith Rovers W 3-1 1402 1478 36.2% 22.3% 41.5% +11.2 22
2025-02-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1478 1402 41.5% 22.3% 36.2% -11.2 27
2025-02-08 Partick Thistle W 5-2 1539 1511 50.5% 21.8% 27.8% +9.9 49
2025-02-08 @ Falkirk L 2-5 1511 1539 27.8% 21.8% 50.5% -9.9 36
2025-02-15 Airdrieonians D 2-2 1454 1344 60.3% 20.2% 19.5% -1.1 28
2025-02-15 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1344 1454 19.5% 20.2% 60.3% +1.1 13
2025-02-15 Ayr United D 2-2 1549 1549 46.8% 22.1% 31.1% -0.4 50
2025-02-15 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1549 1549 31.1% 22.1% 46.8% +0.4 48
2025-02-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1533 1413 61.3% 20.0% 18.7% -1.8 46
2025-02-15 @ Livingston D 0-0 1413 1533 18.7% 20.0% 61.3% +1.8 23
2025-02-15 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1461 1368 58.4% 20.6% 21.0% -8.7 29
2025-02-15 @ Queens Park W 2-1 1368 1461 21.0% 20.6% 58.4% +8.7 24
2025-02-15 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1467 1501 42.1% 22.3% 35.6% +16.7 30
2025-02-15 @ Raith Rovers L 0-3 1501 1467 35.6% 22.3% 42.1% -16.7 36
2025-02-18 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1453 1376 56.5% 20.9% 22.6% +7.8 31
2025-02-18 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1376 1453 22.6% 20.9% 56.5% -7.8 24
2025-02-21 Falkirk L 0-2 1461 1548 34.6% 22.2% 43.1% -11.2 31
2025-02-21 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1548 1461 43.1% 22.2% 34.6% +11.2 53
2025-02-22 Airdrieonians D 1-1 1484 1345 63.3% 19.5% 17.2% -1.7 37
2025-02-22 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1345 1484 17.2% 19.5% 63.3% +1.7 14
2025-02-22 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1483 1369 60.7% 20.1% 19.2% +6.7 33
2025-02-22 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1369 1483 19.2% 20.1% 60.7% -6.7 24
2025-02-22 Livingston L 1-2 1549 1532 49.2% 21.9% 29.0% -7.5 48
2025-02-22 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1532 1549 29.0% 21.9% 49.2% +7.5 49
2025-02-22 Queens Park D 0-0 1415 1453 41.6% 22.3% 36.1% -0.2 24
2025-02-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1453 1415 36.1% 22.3% 41.6% +0.2 30
2025-02-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1362 1415 39.4% 22.3% 38.3% +6.5 27
2025-02-25 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1415 1362 38.3% 22.3% 39.4% -6.5 24
2025-02-25 Greenock Morton W 3-2 1539 1450 57.9% 20.7% 21.4% +3.5 52
2025-02-25 @ Livingston L 2-3 1450 1539 21.4% 20.7% 57.9% -3.5 31
2025-02-25 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1347 1490 27.7% 21.7% 50.6% +8.1 17
2025-02-25 @ Airdrieonians L 0-1 1490 1347 50.6% 21.7% 27.7% -8.1 33
2025-02-28 Livingston D 1-1 1483 1543 38.4% 22.3% 39.2% +0.0 38
2025-02-28 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1543 1483 39.2% 22.3% 38.4% -0.0 53
2025-03-01 Airdrieonians W 4-1 1542 1355 67.9% 18.1% 14.0% +6.0 51
2025-03-01 @ Ayr United L 1-4 1355 1542 14.0% 18.1% 67.9% -6.0 17
2025-03-01 Falkirk D 2-2 1368 1560 22.6% 20.9% 56.5% +0.9 28
2025-03-01 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1560 1368 56.5% 20.9% 22.6% -0.9 54
2025-03-01 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1409 1446 41.6% 22.3% 36.1% +5.8 27
2025-03-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1446 1409 36.1% 22.3% 41.6% -5.8 31
2025-03-01 Queens Park L 0-4 1482 1453 50.6% 21.7% 27.6% -29.0 33
2025-03-01 @ Raith Rovers W 4-0 1453 1482 27.6% 21.7% 50.6% +29.0 33
2025-03-04 Ayr United L 2-3 1482 1548 37.6% 22.3% 40.1% -5.7 33
2025-03-04 @ Queens Park W 3-2 1548 1482 40.1% 22.3% 37.6% +5.7 54
2025-03-04 Falkirk L 0-3 1349 1559 20.8% 20.5% 58.6% -10.5 17
2025-03-04 @ Airdrieonians W 3-0 1559 1349 58.6% 20.5% 20.8% +10.5 57
2025-03-05 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1543 1453 58.0% 20.7% 21.3% -1.5 54
2025-03-05 @ Livingston D 0-0 1453 1543 21.3% 20.7% 58.0% +1.5 34
2025-03-08 Ayr United W 2-1 1440 1553 31.3% 22.1% 46.6% +7.1 34
2025-03-08 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1553 1440 46.6% 22.1% 31.3% -7.1 54
2025-03-08 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1569 1414 64.9% 19.1% 16.1% +3.0 60
2025-03-08 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1414 1569 16.1% 19.1% 64.9% -3.0 27
2025-03-08 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1338 1369 42.6% 22.3% 35.1% +5.7 20
2025-03-08 @ Airdrieonians L 1-2 1369 1338 35.1% 22.3% 42.6% -5.7 28
2025-03-11 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1476 1483 46.0% 22.1% 31.9% -14.1 33
2025-03-11 @ Queens Park W 2-0 1483 1476 31.9% 22.1% 46.0% +14.1 41
2025-03-14 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1454 1411 52.4% 21.5% 26.1% +8.9 37
2025-03-14 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1411 1454 26.1% 21.5% 52.4% -8.9 27
2025-03-15 Ayr United W 2-0 1497 1546 39.9% 22.3% 37.8% +12.0 44
2025-03-15 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1546 1497 37.8% 22.3% 39.9% -12.0 54
2025-03-15 Falkirk L 0-4 1462 1572 31.6% 22.1% 46.2% -19.8 33
2025-03-15 @ Queens Park W 4-0 1572 1462 46.2% 22.1% 31.6% +19.8 63
2025-03-15 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1364 1448 35.1% 22.3% 42.7% -11.4 28
2025-03-15 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1448 1364 42.7% 22.3% 35.1% +11.4 37
2025-03-15 Livingston D 3-3 1344 1541 22.0% 20.8% 57.2% +0.8 21
2025-03-15 @ Airdrieonians D 3-3 1541 1344 57.2% 20.8% 22.0% -0.8 55
2025-03-21 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1509 1463 52.7% 21.5% 25.8% -1.1 45
2025-03-21 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1463 1509 25.8% 21.5% 52.7% +1.1 38
2025-03-22 Airdrieonians W 2-0 1592 1345 73.1% 16.2% 10.7% +3.7 66
2025-03-22 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1345 1592 10.7% 16.2% 73.1% -3.7 21
2025-03-22 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1534 1352 67.5% 18.3% 14.3% -2.0 55
2025-03-22 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1352 1534 14.3% 18.3% 67.5% +2.0 29
2025-03-22 Queens Park W 2-1 1459 1442 49.0% 21.9% 29.1% +4.9 40
2025-03-22 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1442 1459 29.1% 21.9% 49.0% -4.9 33
2025-03-25 Falkirk W 1-0 1540 1596 39.1% 22.3% 38.6% +6.5 58
2025-03-25 @ Livingston L 0-1 1596 1540 38.6% 22.3% 39.1% -6.5 66
2025-03-25 Raith Rovers D 3-3 1464 1464 46.8% 22.1% 31.2% -0.3 41
2025-03-25 @ Greenock Morton D 3-3 1464 1464 31.2% 22.1% 46.8% +0.3 39
2025-03-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1532 1403 62.3% 19.7% 18.0% +9.1 58
2025-03-29 @ Ayr United L 0-3 1403 1532 18.0% 19.7% 62.3% -9.1 27
2025-03-29 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1464 1508 40.7% 22.3% 37.0% -6.8 41
2025-03-29 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1508 1464 37.0% 22.3% 40.7% +6.8 48
2025-03-29 Raith Rovers L 0-3 1354 1465 31.6% 22.1% 46.3% -15.2 29
2025-03-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1465 1354 46.3% 22.1% 31.6% +15.2 42
2025-04-02 Airdrieonians L 0-5 1437 1341 58.7% 20.5% 20.8% -40.8 33
2025-04-02 @ Queens Park W 5-0 1341 1437 20.8% 20.5% 58.7% +40.8 24
2025-04-02 Livingston W 1-0 1393 1547 26.5% 21.6% 51.9% +8.3 30
2025-04-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1547 1393 51.9% 21.6% 26.5% -8.3 58
2025-04-05 Ayr United W 1-0 1480 1541 38.2% 22.3% 39.5% +6.6 45
2025-04-05 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1541 1480 39.5% 22.3% 38.2% -6.6 58
2025-04-05 Greenock Morton W 5-0 1589 1457 62.6% 19.7% 17.7% +14.5 69
2025-04-05 @ Falkirk L 0-5 1457 1589 17.7% 19.7% 62.6% -14.5 41
2025-04-05 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1402 1339 54.8% 21.2% 24.0% -8.7 30
2025-04-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1339 1402 24.0% 21.2% 54.8% +8.7 32
2025-04-05 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1382 1514 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% +7.5 27
2025-04-05 @ Airdrieonians L 1-2 1514 1382 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% -7.5 48
2025-04-05 Queens Park W 3-0 1538 1397 63.6% 19.4% 17.0% +8.6 61
2025-04-05 @ Livingston L 0-3 1397 1538 17.0% 19.4% 63.6% -8.6 33
2025-04-11 Falkirk D 1-1 1535 1604 37.1% 22.3% 40.5% +0.1 59
2025-04-11 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1604 1535 40.5% 22.3% 37.1% -0.1 70
2025-04-12 Airdrieonians D 1-1 1486 1390 58.8% 20.5% 20.7% -1.4 46
2025-04-12 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1390 1486 20.7% 20.5% 58.8% +1.4 28
2025-04-12 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1388 1393 46.2% 22.1% 31.7% -7.5 33
2025-04-12 @ Queens Park W 1-0 1393 1388 31.7% 22.1% 46.2% +7.5 33
2025-04-12 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1507 1348 65.3% 18.9% 15.8% -9.6 48
2025-04-12 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1348 1507 15.8% 18.9% 65.3% +9.6 35
2025-04-12 Livingston L 1-2 1442 1547 32.3% 22.1% 45.6% -5.3 41
2025-04-12 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1547 1442 45.6% 22.1% 32.3% +5.3 64
2025-04-18 Ayr United W 5-0 1552 1535 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% +22.7 67
2025-04-18 @ Livingston L 0-5 1535 1552 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% -22.7 59
2025-04-19 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1391 1437 40.4% 22.3% 37.2% -6.7 28
2025-04-19 @ Airdrieonians W 1-0 1437 1391 37.2% 22.3% 40.4% +6.8 44
2025-04-19 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1401 1497 33.4% 22.2% 44.5% +0.4 34
2025-04-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1497 1401 44.5% 22.2% 33.4% -0.4 49
2025-04-19 Queens Park D 0-0 1357 1381 43.6% 22.2% 34.1% -0.4 36
2025-04-19 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1381 1357 34.1% 22.2% 43.6% +0.4 34
2025-04-19 Raith Rovers L 1-3 1604 1485 61.2% 20.0% 18.8% -15.6 70
2025-04-19 @ Falkirk W 3-1 1485 1604 18.8% 20.0% 61.2% +15.6 49
2025-04-25 Falkirk W 2-1 1497 1588 34.1% 22.2% 43.6% +6.8 52
2025-04-25 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1588 1497 43.6% 22.2% 34.1% -6.8 70
2025-04-26 Airdrieonians D 0-0 1401 1384 49.0% 21.9% 29.1% -0.8 35
2025-04-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1384 1401 29.1% 21.9% 49.0% +0.8 29
2025-04-26 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1501 1444 54.1% 21.3% 24.6% -1.1 50
2025-04-26 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1444 1501 24.6% 21.3% 54.1% +1.1 45
2025-04-26 Livingston L 0-3 1357 1575 20.1% 20.3% 59.6% -10.2 36
2025-04-26 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1575 1357 59.6% 20.3% 20.1% +10.1 70
2025-04-26 Queens Park D 2-2 1512 1381 62.5% 19.7% 17.8% -1.2 60
2025-04-26 @ Ayr United D 2-2 1381 1512 17.8% 19.7% 62.5% +1.2 35
2025-05-02 Ayr United L 0-1 1385 1511 29.7% 21.9% 48.4% -5.3 29
2025-05-02 @ Airdrieonians W 1-0 1511 1385 48.4% 21.9% 29.7% +5.3 63
2025-05-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1445 1400 52.6% 21.5% 25.9% +8.8 48
2025-05-02 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1400 1445 25.9% 21.5% 52.6% -8.8 35
2025-05-02 Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1581 1347 72.0% 16.7% 11.3% +3.4 73
2025-05-02 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1347 1581 11.3% 16.7% 72.0% -3.3 36
2025-05-02 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1585 1504 57.0% 20.8% 22.1% -9.0 70
2025-05-02 @ Livingston W 1-0 1504 1585 22.1% 20.8% 57.0% +9.0 55
2025-05-02 Raith Rovers L 1-5 1382 1500 30.7% 22.0% 47.2% -16.1 35
2025-05-02 @ Queens Park W 5-1 1500 1382 47.2% 22.0% 30.7% +16.1 53

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-04-12 15.77% Hamilton Academical 1348 2 @ Partick Thistle 1507 1
2 2025-01-04 18.57% Dunfermline Athletic 1412 4 @ Partick Thistle 1533 1
3 2025-04-19 18.84% Raith Rovers 1485 3 @ Falkirk 1604 1
4 2025-04-02 20.78% Airdrieonians 1341 5 @ Queens Park 1437 0
5 2025-02-15 20.99% Hamilton Academical 1368 2 @ Queens Park 1461 1
6 2025-05-02 22.12% Partick Thistle 1504 1 @ Livingston 1585 0
7 2024-11-16 23.81% Greenock Morton 1420 3 @ Raith Rovers 1484 2
8 2025-04-05 23.97% Hamilton Academical 1339 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1402 0
9 2025-04-02 26.49% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1393 1 Livingston 1547 0
10 2024-12-21 26.70% Ayr United 1503 1 @ Livingston 1541 0
11 2025-01-25 27.44% Greenock Morton 1446 2 @ Queens Park 1477 1
12 2025-03-01 27.63% Queens Park 1453 4 @ Raith Rovers 1482 0
13 2025-02-25 27.65% @ Airdrieonians 1347 1 Raith Rovers 1490 0
14 2025-01-31 28.62% Livingston 1526 2 @ Falkirk 1546 1
15 2025-04-05 28.90% @ Airdrieonians 1382 2 Partick Thistle 1514 1
16 2025-02-01 28.91% @ Airdrieonians 1337 2 Queens Park 1469 1
17 2025-02-22 28.96% Livingston 1532 2 @ Ayr United 1549 1
18 2024-09-28 29.18% @ Hamilton Academical 1388 1 Partick Thistle 1518 0
19 2024-08-31 29.91% Livingston 1490 1 @ Raith Rovers 1500 0
20 2024-12-20 31.00% Raith Rovers 1473 2 @ Queens Park 1474 1
21 2024-08-31 31.07% Falkirk 1465 3 @ Greenock Morton 1466 2
22 2025-03-08 31.28% @ Greenock Morton 1440 2 Ayr United 1553 1
23 2025-04-12 31.74% Dunfermline Athletic 1393 1 @ Queens Park 1388 0
24 2024-10-29 31.92% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1416 3 Livingston 1524 0
25 2025-03-11 31.92% Partick Thistle 1483 2 @ Queens Park 1476 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-04-02 40.76 Airdrieonians 5 1341 20.78% @ Queens Park 0 1437 58.69% 20.53%
2 2025-03-01 29.05 Queens Park 4 1453 27.63% @ Raith Rovers 0 1482 50.63% 21.74%
3 2024-11-02 25.91 Hamilton Academical 4 1402 33.61% @ Airdrieonians 0 1382 44.18% 22.21%
4 2024-08-09 23.21 @ Ayr United 5 1468 48.33% Airdrieonians 0 1457 29.72% 21.95%
5 2024-11-02 22.96 @ Falkirk 6 1504 54.70% Greenock Morton 0 1442 24.08% 21.22%
6 2025-04-18 22.70 @ Livingston 5 1552 49.17% Ayr United 0 1535 28.95% 21.88%
7 2025-01-04 22.24 Dunfermline Athletic 4 1412 18.57% @ Partick Thistle 1 1533 61.51% 19.92%
8 2024-10-29 20.49 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1416 31.92% Livingston 0 1524 45.96% 22.12%
9 2025-01-25 20.42 @ Airdrieonians 3 1316 32.10% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1423 45.78% 22.13%
10 2025-03-15 19.84 Falkirk 4 1572 46.25% @ Queens Park 0 1462 31.65% 22.10%
11 2024-10-26 19.41 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1382 34.73% Greenock Morton 0 1469 43.02% 22.25%
12 2025-01-28 17.40 Raith Rovers 3 1460 40.21% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1394 37.48% 22.32%
13 2025-02-15 16.73 @ Raith Rovers 3 1467 42.06% Partick Thistle 0 1501 35.65% 22.28%
14 2025-05-02 16.14 Raith Rovers 5 1500 47.24% @ Queens Park 1 1382 30.72% 22.03%
15 2025-04-19 15.65 Raith Rovers 3 1485 18.84% @ Falkirk 1 1604 61.15% 20.00%
16 2025-03-29 15.18 Raith Rovers 3 1465 46.30% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1354 31.60% 22.10%
17 2025-04-05 14.49 @ Falkirk 5 1589 62.61% Greenock Morton 0 1457 17.74% 19.65%
18 2025-03-11 14.11 Partick Thistle 2 1483 31.92% @ Queens Park 0 1476 45.96% 22.12%
19 2024-08-10 14.03 Falkirk 2 1445 32.21% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1437 45.65% 22.14%
20 2024-08-31 13.93 @ Partick Thistle 3 1500 49.64% Queens Park 0 1478 28.53% 21.84%
21 2025-01-04 13.79 @ Ayr United 3 1510 50.00% Raith Rovers 0 1486 28.20% 21.80%
22 2024-08-24 13.23 Queens Park 2 1465 35.24% @ Airdrieonians 0 1434 42.49% 22.27%
23 2024-12-14 12.99 @ Ayr United 5 1490 39.16% Falkirk 2 1545 38.52% 22.32%
24 2024-09-13 12.96 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1417 36.32% Raith Rovers 0 1492 41.39% 22.30%
25 2024-08-03 12.60 Ayr United 2 1456 37.71% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1406 39.97% 22.32%