2021-22 Championship Season
180 games · 100,000 simulations
Promoted
—
No promotions.
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Arbroath
6.88 points above expected
65 points · 58.12 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Dunfermline Athletic
6.59 points below expected
35 points · 41.59 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 67 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 66.2 | +0.79 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 36 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 65 | 54 | 28 | +26 | 58.1 | +6.88 |
| 3 | Inverness CT | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 59 | 53 | 34 | +19 | 57.6 | +1.36 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 40 | +6 | 49.7 | +2.26 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 48.5 | +1.54 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 46.4 | -4.43 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 40.9 | -0.94 |
| 8 | Ayr United | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 40.9 | -1.90 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 35 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41.6 | -6.59 |
| 10 | Queen Of The South | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 38.2 | -5.16 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 1667 | 67 | 66.21 | +0.79 | 56.9% | 40 | 54 | 61 | 66 | 71 | 78 | 95 |
| Arbroath | 1632 | 65 | 58.12 | +6.88 | 83.5% | 30 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 85 |
| Inverness CT | 1619 | 59 | 57.64 | +1.36 | 59.8% | 28 | 45 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 84 |
| Raith Rovers | 1511 | 50 | 48.46 | +1.54 | 61.0% | 23 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 54 | 61 | 75 |
| Partick Thistle | 1510 | 52 | 49.74 | +2.26 | 64.8% | 22 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 62 | 76 |
| Hamilton Academical | 1509 | 42 | 46.43 | -4.43 | 30.2% | 18 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 72 |
| Ayr United | 1483 | 39 | 40.90 | -1.90 | 43.0% | 17 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 69 |
| Greenock Morton | 1480 | 40 | 40.94 | -0.94 | 48.8% | 16 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 72 |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1470 | 35 | 41.59 | -6.59 | 20.9% | 16 | 30 | 37 | 42 | 46 | 54 | 69 |
| Queen Of The South | 1443 | 33 | 38.16 | -5.16 | 26.6% | 13 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 67 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARB | AU | DA | GM | HA | IC | KIL | PT | QOTS | RR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | — |
1-2-1
6.94
|
4-0-0
6.96
|
2-2-0
7.41
|
2-2-0
6.48
|
1-1-2
5.52
|
2-1-1
4.61
|
2-2-0
6.15
|
2-2-0
7.65
|
1-2-1
6.34
|
| Ayr United |
1-2-1
3.99
|
— |
1-1-2
5.22
|
0-3-1
5.34
|
1-3-0
4.62
|
1-2-1
3.85
|
1-0-3
3.26
|
1-0-3
4.61
|
1-1-2
5.65
|
2-0-2
4.40
|
| Dunfermline Athletic |
0-0-4
3.99
|
2-1-1
5.51
|
— |
0-2-2
5.52
|
1-2-1
4.81
|
1-2-1
3.62
|
0-2-2
3.09
|
1-1-2
4.95
|
1-1-2
5.69
|
1-3-0
4.57
|
| Greenock Morton |
0-2-2
3.57
|
1-3-0
5.43
|
2-2-0
5.19
|
— |
1-1-2
4.84
|
1-0-3
3.78
|
0-2-2
3.08
|
2-1-1
4.45
|
1-1-2
5.96
|
1-1-2
4.70
|
| Hamilton Academical |
0-2-2
4.33
|
0-3-1
6.14
|
1-2-1
5.92
|
2-1-1
5.92
|
— |
2-1-1
4.15
|
0-0-4
3.68
|
1-1-2
4.69
|
4-0-0
6.13
|
0-2-2
5.47
|
| Inverness CT |
2-1-1
5.22
|
1-2-1
7.03
|
1-2-1
7.32
|
3-0-1
7.13
|
1-1-2
6.70
|
— |
3-0-1
4.40
|
1-2-1
5.92
|
2-1-1
7.57
|
2-2-0
6.33
|
| Kilmarnock |
1-1-2
6.17
|
3-0-1
7.78
|
2-2-0
8.02
|
2-2-0
8.02
|
4-0-0
7.28
|
1-0-3
6.39
|
— |
2-1-1
7.22
|
4-0-0
8.13
|
1-1-2
7.14
|
| Partick Thistle |
0-2-2
4.62
|
3-0-1
6.19
|
2-1-1
5.86
|
1-1-2
6.32
|
2-1-1
6.14
|
1-2-1
4.85
|
1-1-2
3.72
|
— |
3-1-0
6.55
|
1-1-2
5.50
|
| Queen Of The South |
0-2-2
3.39
|
2-1-1
5.10
|
2-1-1
5.07
|
2-1-1
4.82
|
0-0-4
4.66
|
1-1-2
3.43
|
0-0-4
3.02
|
0-1-3
4.26
|
— |
1-2-1
4.32
|
| Raith Rovers |
1-2-1
4.46
|
2-0-2
6.43
|
0-3-1
6.22
|
2-1-1
6.08
|
2-2-0
5.29
|
0-2-2
4.45
|
2-1-1
3.78
|
2-1-1
5.25
|
1-2-1
6.50
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 11.67% | 5.00% | 3.33% | 1.94% | 0.28% | 32.22% |
| 1 | 11.67% | 12.78% | 6.94% | 1.94% | 0.28% | 0.83% | 34.44% |
| 2 | 5.00% | 6.94% | 6.67% | 1.39% | 0.28% | — | 20.28% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 1.94% | 1.39% | 2.22% | — | — | 8.89% |
| 4 | 1.94% | 0.28% | 0.28% | — | 0.56% | — | 3.06% |
| 5+ | 0.28% | 0.83% | — | — | — | — | 1.11% |
| Total | 32.22% | 34.44% | 20.28% | 8.89% | 3.06% | 1.11% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.20 |
| Mean allowed | 1.20 |
| StdDev scored | 1.16 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.16 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.40 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.024 |
| Sample size (games) | 180 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 50.00% | 27.78% | 16.67% | 5.56% | — | — | 100% |
Arbroath — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.50 |
| Mean allowed | 0.78 |
| StdDev scored | 1.32 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.93 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.28 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.163 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 13.89% | 8.33% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 36.11% |
| 1 | 2.78% | 19.44% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.89% | 47.22% | 25.00% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Ayr United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.44 |
| StdDev scored | 1.05 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.03 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.379 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | 41.67% |
| 1 | 2.78% | 13.89% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 2.78% | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 33.33% | 19.44% | 16.67% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 100% |
Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.07 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.28 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.47 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.021 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 13.89% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | — | 38.89% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | — | 2.78% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 27.78% | 36.11% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | 2.78% | 100% |
Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.31 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.26 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.31 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.062 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 36.11% |
| 1 | 13.89% | 16.67% | 2.78% | — | — | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 2 | — | 8.33% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | 19.44% |
| 3 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 25.00% | 36.11% | 22.22% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 100% |
Hamilton Academical — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.06 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.09 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.40 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.53 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.036 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 41.67% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 36.11% | 36.11% | 25.00% | 2.78% | — | — | 100% |
Inverness CT — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.47 |
| Mean allowed | 0.94 |
| StdDev scored | 1.28 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.86 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.42 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.155 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 2 | 19.44% | 13.89% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 36.11% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 41.67% | 44.44% | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | — | 100% |
Kilmarnock — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.39 |
| Mean allowed | 0.75 |
| StdDev scored | 1.02 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.77 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.14 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.127 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.67% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | 30.56% |
| 1 | 22.22% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 44.44% |
| 2 | — | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 3 | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 50.00% | 13.89% | 16.67% | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.28 |
| Mean allowed | 1.11 |
| StdDev scored | 1.41 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.39 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.017 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 38.89% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 16.67% | — | — | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 2 | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 30.56% | 30.56% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 100% |
Queen Of The South — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.00 |
| Mean allowed | 1.50 |
| StdDev scored | 1.04 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.50 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.091 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 16.67% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 30.56% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 19.44% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 30.56% | 38.89% | 13.89% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Raith Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.22 |
| Mean allowed | 1.22 |
| StdDev scored | 1.15 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.44 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.280 |
| Games played | 36 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 65 | 58.1 | +6.88 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 52 | 49.7 | +2.26 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 50 | 48.5 | +1.54 |
| 4 | Inverness CT | 59 | 57.6 | +1.36 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 67 | 66.2 | +0.79 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | 41.6 | -6.59 |
| 2 | Queen Of The South | 33 | 38.2 | -5.16 |
| 3 | Hamilton Academical | 42 | 46.4 | -4.43 |
| 4 | Ayr United | 39 | 40.9 | -1.90 |
| 5 | Greenock Morton | 40 | 40.9 | -0.94 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 5 | Jul 31 – Sep 11 | 1 in 118 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 4 | Aug 21 – Sep 18 | 1 in 50 |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | 3 | Nov 6 – Nov 20 | 1 in 28 |
| 4 | Queen Of The South | 2 | Feb 26 – Mar 5 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline Athletic | 2 | Nov 13 – Nov 20 | 1 in 13 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick Thistle | 4 | Mar 12 – Mar 26 | 1 in 87 |
| 2 | Queen Of The South | 6 | Mar 8 – Apr 16 | 1 in 51 |
| 3 | Greenock Morton | 4 | Aug 21 – Sep 18 | 1 in 49 |
| 4 | Kilmarnock | 3 | Nov 20 – Dec 11 | 1 in 48 |
| 5 | Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | Aug 7 – Sep 11 | 1 in 38 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 13 | Sep 18 – Dec 11 | 1 in 240 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 11 | Oct 23 – Jan 2 | 1 in 43 |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | 9 | Oct 2 – Dec 4 | 1 in 41 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 6 | Dec 29 – Feb 12 | 1 in 35 |
| 5 | Hamilton Academical | 5 | Jan 29 – Feb 25 | 1 in 13 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness CT | 11 | Dec 18 – Mar 4 | 1 in 988 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 11 | Dec 18 – Mar 5 | 1 in 323 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 13 | Jul 31 – Nov 6 | 1 in 131 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 10 | Aug 21 – Oct 30 | 1 in 31 |
| 5 | Ayr United | 9 | Oct 23 – Dec 18 | 1 in 16 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 62.05% | 22.50% | 9.42% | 3.54% | 1.39% | 0.78% | 0.23% | 0.06% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Arbroath | 17.16% | 29.96% | 23.42% | 13.00% | 8.44% | 4.06% | 2.20% | 1.02% | 0.58% | 0.16% |
| Inverness CT | 15.12% | 27.55% | 25.02% | 14.54% | 8.03% | 4.95% | 2.70% | 1.23% | 0.65% | 0.21% |
| Partick Thistle | 2.41% | 7.65% | 13.36% | 20.38% | 17.51% | 14.48% | 10.08% | 7.11% | 4.83% | 2.19% |
| Raith Rovers | 1.71% | 5.68% | 11.54% | 16.75% | 18.26% | 15.49% | 12.60% | 8.74% | 6.02% | 3.21% |
| Hamilton Academical | 1.02% | 3.68% | 8.04% | 12.99% | 15.47% | 16.32% | 14.84% | 12.25% | 9.41% | 5.98% |
| Greenock Morton | 0.16% | 0.86% | 2.51% | 5.22% | 8.35% | 11.72% | 15.44% | 17.50% | 19.35% | 18.89% |
| Ayr United | 0.17% | 0.74% | 2.67% | 5.14% | 8.18% | 11.83% | 15.16% | 18.13% | 19.55% | 18.43% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 0.15% | 1.10% | 3.00% | 5.60% | 8.98% | 12.46% | 15.97% | 16.96% | 18.07% | 17.71% |
| Queen Of The South | 0.05% | 0.28% | 1.02% | 2.84% | 5.39% | 7.91% | 10.78% | 17.00% | 21.52% | 33.21% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Qualified for promotion playoff | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock | 62.1% | 35.5% | 2.5% | <0.1% |
| Arbroath | 17.2% | 66.4% | 16.3% | 0.2% |
| Inverness CT | 15.1% | 67.1% | 17.6% | 0.2% |
| Partick Thistle | 2.4% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 2.2% |
| Raith Rovers | 1.7% | 34.0% | 61.1% | 3.2% |
| Hamilton Academical | 1.0% | 24.7% | 68.3% | 6.0% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 0.1% | 9.7% | 72.4% | 17.7% |
| Ayr United | 0.2% | 8.6% | 72.9% | 18.4% |
| Greenock Morton | 0.2% | 8.6% | 72.4% | 18.9% |
| Queen Of The South | 0.1% | 4.1% | 62.6% | 33.2% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-31 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1532 | 1562 | 36.4% | 32.6% | 30.9% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2021-07-31 | @ Arbroath | W 1-0 | 1562 | 1532 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 36.4% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2021-07-31 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1497 | 1538 | 34.8% | 32.7% | 32.5% | -0.0 | 1 |
| 2021-07-31 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1538 | 1497 | 32.5% | 32.7% | 34.8% | +0.0 | 1 |
| 2021-07-31 | Queen Of The South | W 3-2 | 1477 | 1490 | 39.0% | 32.2% | 28.8% | +5.3 | 3 |
| 2021-07-31 | @ Partick Thistle | L 2-3 | 1490 | 1477 | 28.8% | 32.2% | 39.0% | -5.3 | 0 |
| 2021-07-31 | Hamilton Academical | D 4-4 | 1508 | 1573 | 31.5% | 32.7% | 35.9% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2021-07-31 | @ Raith Rovers | D 4-4 | 1573 | 1508 | 35.9% | 32.7% | 31.5% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2021-08-02 | Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1632 | 1514 | 58.5% | 23.2% | 18.4% | +6.9 | 3 |
| 2021-08-02 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1514 | 1632 | 18.4% | 23.2% | 58.5% | -6.9 | 0 |
| 2021-08-07 | Arbroath | D 2-2 | 1508 | 1525 | 38.4% | 32.3% | 29.3% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2021-08-07 | @ Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1525 | 1508 | 29.3% | 32.3% | 38.4% | +0.2 | 1 |
| 2021-08-07 | Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1538 | 1483 | 49.2% | 28.5% | 22.2% | -23.6 | 1 |
| 2021-08-07 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-0 | 1483 | 1538 | 22.2% | 28.5% | 49.2% | +23.6 | 6 |
| 2021-08-07 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1573 | 1497 | 52.4% | 26.9% | 20.8% | -9.0 | 1 |
| 2021-08-07 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1497 | 1573 | 20.8% | 26.9% | 52.4% | +9.0 | 4 |
| 2021-08-07 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1569 | 1508 | 50.0% | 28.2% | 21.9% | +4.6 | 6 |
| 2021-08-07 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1508 | 1569 | 21.9% | 28.2% | 50.0% | -4.6 | 1 |
| 2021-08-07 | Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1485 | 1639 | 22.3% | 28.6% | 49.1% | -4.7 | 0 |
| 2021-08-07 | @ Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1639 | 1485 | 49.1% | 28.6% | 22.3% | +4.7 | 6 |
| 2021-08-21 | Partick Thistle | W 3-1 | 1525 | 1506 | 43.7% | 30.9% | 25.4% | +8.8 | 4 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Arbroath | L 1-3 | 1506 | 1525 | 25.4% | 30.9% | 43.7% | -8.8 | 6 |
| 2021-08-21 | Queen Of The South | L 2-3 | 1506 | 1480 | 44.7% | 30.6% | 24.8% | -7.2 | 4 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Greenock Morton | W 3-2 | 1480 | 1506 | 24.8% | 30.6% | 44.7% | +7.2 | 3 |
| 2021-08-21 | Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1564 | 1644 | 29.6% | 32.4% | 38.0% | -11.5 | 1 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 2-0 | 1644 | 1564 | 38.0% | 32.4% | 29.6% | +11.5 | 9 |
| 2021-08-21 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1574 | 1507 | 50.8% | 27.7% | 21.5% | +4.5 | 9 |
| 2021-08-21 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1507 | 1574 | 21.5% | 27.7% | 50.8% | -4.5 | 1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Arbroath | L 0-3 | 1515 | 1534 | 38.1% | 32.4% | 29.5% | -19.9 | 1 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-0 | 1534 | 1515 | 29.5% | 32.4% | 38.1% | +19.9 | 7 |
| 2021-08-28 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1655 | 1578 | 52.4% | 26.8% | 20.7% | -9.0 | 9 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1578 | 1655 | 20.7% | 26.8% | 52.4% | +9.0 | 12 |
| 2021-08-28 | Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1498 | 1498 | 40.8% | 31.8% | 27.4% | +15.7 | 9 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1498 | 1498 | 27.4% | 31.8% | 40.8% | -15.7 | 4 |
| 2021-08-28 | Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1488 | 1553 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 35.9% | -6.0 | 3 |
| 2021-08-28 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1553 | 1488 | 35.9% | 32.6% | 31.5% | +6.0 | 4 |
| 2021-09-07 | Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1503 | 1504 | 40.8% | 31.8% | 27.4% | -14.3 | 1 |
| 2021-09-07 | @ Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1504 | 1503 | 27.4% | 31.8% | 40.8% | +14.3 | 4 |
| 2021-09-11 | Hamilton Academical | W 4-0 | 1554 | 1559 | 40.1% | 32.0% | 27.9% | +20.8 | 10 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Arbroath | L 0-4 | 1559 | 1554 | 27.9% | 32.0% | 40.1% | -20.8 | 4 |
| 2021-09-11 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-1 | 1488 | 1495 | 40.0% | 32.0% | 28.1% | +9.5 | 4 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Ayr United | L 1-3 | 1495 | 1488 | 28.1% | 32.0% | 40.0% | -9.5 | 1 |
| 2021-09-11 | Partick Thistle | W 3-1 | 1587 | 1513 | 51.9% | 27.1% | 20.9% | +7.2 | 15 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-3 | 1513 | 1587 | 20.9% | 27.1% | 51.9% | -7.2 | 9 |
| 2021-09-11 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1646 | 1483 | 65.2% | 18.6% | 16.1% | +3.0 | 12 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1483 | 1646 | 16.1% | 18.6% | 65.2% | -3.0 | 4 |
| 2021-09-11 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1518 | 1482 | 46.3% | 29.9% | 23.8% | -8.3 | 4 |
| 2021-09-11 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1482 | 1518 | 23.8% | 29.9% | 46.3% | +8.3 | 6 |
| 2021-09-18 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1485 | 1594 | 26.3% | 31.4% | 42.3% | +0.7 | 2 |
| 2021-09-18 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1594 | 1485 | 42.3% | 31.4% | 26.3% | -0.6 | 16 |
| 2021-09-18 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1480 | 1510 | 36.5% | 32.6% | 30.9% | -7.0 | 4 |
| 2021-09-18 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1510 | 1480 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 36.5% | +7.0 | 7 |
| 2021-09-18 | Ayr United | L 0-2 | 1538 | 1498 | 46.9% | 29.6% | 23.5% | -15.8 | 4 |
| 2021-09-18 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 2-0 | 1498 | 1538 | 23.5% | 29.6% | 46.9% | +15.8 | 7 |
| 2021-09-18 | Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1506 | 1649 | 23.2% | 29.4% | 47.4% | -9.3 | 9 |
| 2021-09-18 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1649 | 1506 | 47.4% | 29.4% | 23.2% | +9.3 | 15 |
| 2021-09-18 | Arbroath | L 0-2 | 1490 | 1574 | 29.0% | 32.3% | 38.7% | -11.3 | 6 |
| 2021-09-18 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1574 | 1490 | 38.7% | 32.3% | 29.0% | +11.3 | 13 |
| 2021-09-24 | Kilmarnock | D 0-0 | 1586 | 1659 | 30.5% | 32.5% | 37.0% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2021-09-24 | @ Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1659 | 1586 | 37.0% | 32.5% | 30.5% | -0.3 | 16 |
| 2021-09-25 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1514 | 1473 | 47.0% | 29.6% | 23.4% | -1.0 | 8 |
| 2021-09-25 | @ Ayr United | D 0-0 | 1473 | 1514 | 23.4% | 29.6% | 47.0% | +1.0 | 5 |
| 2021-09-25 | Hamilton Academical | D 0-0 | 1486 | 1522 | 35.6% | 32.7% | 31.8% | -0.1 | 3 |
| 2021-09-25 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1522 | 1486 | 31.8% | 32.7% | 35.6% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2021-09-25 | Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1594 | 1478 | 58.1% | 23.4% | 18.5% | +3.5 | 19 |
| 2021-09-25 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-2 | 1478 | 1594 | 18.5% | 23.4% | 58.1% | -3.5 | 6 |
| 2021-09-26 | Partick Thistle | W 3-2 | 1517 | 1497 | 43.9% | 30.9% | 25.3% | +4.8 | 10 |
| 2021-09-26 | @ Raith Rovers | L 2-3 | 1497 | 1517 | 25.3% | 30.9% | 43.9% | -4.8 | 9 |
| 2021-09-29 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1522 | 1486 | 46.2% | 29.9% | 23.8% | -0.8 | 11 |
| 2021-09-29 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1486 | 1522 | 23.8% | 29.9% | 46.2% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2021-10-02 | Arbroath | D 2-2 | 1474 | 1586 | 26.0% | 31.2% | 42.8% | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2021-10-02 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1586 | 1474 | 42.8% | 31.2% | 26.0% | -0.5 | 15 |
| 2021-10-02 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1522 | 1597 | 30.2% | 32.5% | 37.3% | +6.7 | 8 |
| 2021-10-02 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1597 | 1522 | 37.3% | 32.5% | 30.2% | -6.7 | 19 |
| 2021-10-02 | Raith Rovers | L 1-3 | 1658 | 1521 | 61.4% | 21.2% | 17.3% | -16.2 | 16 |
| 2021-10-02 | @ Kilmarnock | W 3-1 | 1521 | 1658 | 17.3% | 21.2% | 61.4% | +16.3 | 14 |
| 2021-10-02 | Ayr United | W 4-0 | 1492 | 1513 | 37.9% | 32.4% | 29.7% | +21.9 | 12 |
| 2021-10-02 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1513 | 1492 | 29.7% | 32.4% | 37.9% | -21.9 | 8 |
| 2021-10-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1475 | 1487 | 39.2% | 32.2% | 28.6% | +5.9 | 9 |
| 2021-10-02 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1487 | 1475 | 28.6% | 32.2% | 39.2% | -5.9 | 4 |
| 2021-10-15 | Partick Thistle | L 1-6 | 1529 | 1514 | 43.2% | 31.1% | 25.8% | -28.9 | 8 |
| 2021-10-15 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 6-1 | 1514 | 1529 | 25.8% | 31.1% | 43.2% | +28.8 | 15 |
| 2021-10-16 | Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1491 | 1481 | 42.4% | 31.3% | 26.3% | +5.2 | 11 |
| 2021-10-16 | @ Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1481 | 1491 | 26.3% | 31.3% | 42.4% | -5.2 | 9 |
| 2021-10-16 | Kilmarnock | D 2-2 | 1481 | 1642 | 21.8% | 28.1% | 50.1% | +0.8 | 5 |
| 2021-10-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1642 | 1481 | 50.1% | 28.1% | 21.8% | -0.8 | 17 |
| 2021-10-16 | Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1590 | 1474 | 58.3% | 23.3% | 18.4% | +7.0 | 22 |
| 2021-10-16 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1474 | 1590 | 18.4% | 23.3% | 58.3% | -7.0 | 6 |
| 2021-10-16 | Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1537 | 1586 | 33.8% | 32.8% | 33.5% | +6.3 | 17 |
| 2021-10-16 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1586 | 1537 | 33.5% | 32.8% | 33.8% | -6.3 | 15 |
| 2021-10-23 | Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1579 | 1496 | 53.3% | 26.3% | 20.3% | -1.3 | 16 |
| 2021-10-23 | @ Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1496 | 1579 | 20.3% | 26.3% | 53.3% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2021-10-23 | Hamilton Academical | W 2-1 | 1641 | 1500 | 61.9% | 20.9% | 17.2% | +3.2 | 20 |
| 2021-10-23 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1500 | 1641 | 17.2% | 20.9% | 61.9% | -3.1 | 8 |
| 2021-10-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1543 | 1482 | 50.0% | 28.1% | 21.8% | -1.2 | 16 |
| 2021-10-23 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1482 | 1543 | 21.8% | 28.1% | 50.0% | +1.2 | 6 |
| 2021-10-23 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1476 | 1467 | 42.2% | 31.4% | 26.4% | -0.6 | 10 |
| 2021-10-23 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1467 | 1476 | 26.4% | 31.4% | 42.2% | +0.7 | 7 |
| 2021-10-23 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1543 | 1597 | 33.0% | 32.8% | 34.3% | +0.0 | 18 |
| 2021-10-23 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1597 | 1543 | 34.3% | 32.8% | 33.0% | -0.0 | 23 |
| 2021-10-26 | Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1497 | 1644 | 22.9% | 29.1% | 48.0% | -4.8 | 12 |
| 2021-10-26 | @ Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1644 | 1497 | 48.0% | 29.1% | 22.9% | +4.8 | 23 |
| 2021-10-26 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1483 | 1543 | 32.1% | 32.7% | 35.2% | +0.1 | 7 |
| 2021-10-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1543 | 1483 | 35.2% | 32.7% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 19 |
| 2021-10-26 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1468 | 1542 | 30.3% | 32.5% | 37.1% | +0.3 | 8 |
| 2021-10-26 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1542 | 1468 | 37.1% | 32.5% | 30.3% | -0.3 | 17 |
| 2021-10-26 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1497 | 1475 | 44.2% | 30.7% | 25.1% | +5.3 | 11 |
| 2021-10-26 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1475 | 1497 | 25.1% | 30.7% | 44.2% | -5.3 | 10 |
| 2021-10-26 | Arbroath | L 0-1 | 1597 | 1578 | 43.8% | 30.9% | 25.3% | -8.0 | 23 |
| 2021-10-26 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1578 | 1597 | 25.3% | 30.9% | 43.8% | +8.0 | 19 |
| 2021-10-30 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-2 | 1586 | 1483 | 56.3% | 24.5% | 19.1% | +5.7 | 22 |
| 2021-10-30 | @ Arbroath | L 2-4 | 1483 | 1586 | 19.1% | 24.5% | 56.3% | -5.7 | 7 |
| 2021-10-30 | Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1468 | 1502 | 35.8% | 32.7% | 31.5% | -0.2 | 9 |
| 2021-10-30 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1502 | 1468 | 31.5% | 32.7% | 35.8% | +0.2 | 12 |
| 2021-10-30 | Queen Of The South | W 4-0 | 1649 | 1470 | 67.5% | 17.1% | 15.4% | +10.1 | 26 |
| 2021-10-30 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-4 | 1470 | 1649 | 15.4% | 17.1% | 67.5% | -10.1 | 10 |
| 2021-10-30 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1541 | 1589 | 33.9% | 32.8% | 33.4% | -0.0 | 18 |
| 2021-10-30 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1589 | 1541 | 33.4% | 32.8% | 33.9% | +0.0 | 24 |
| 2021-10-30 | Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1543 | 1492 | 48.5% | 28.9% | 22.6% | +4.5 | 22 |
| 2021-10-30 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1492 | 1543 | 22.6% | 28.9% | 48.5% | -4.5 | 12 |
| 2021-11-06 | Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1488 | 1589 | 27.1% | 31.7% | 41.2% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2021-11-06 | @ Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1589 | 1488 | 41.2% | 31.7% | 27.1% | -0.4 | 25 |
| 2021-11-06 | Greenock Morton | L 1-3 | 1477 | 1468 | 42.3% | 31.4% | 26.3% | -12.7 | 7 |
| 2021-11-06 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-1 | 1468 | 1477 | 26.3% | 31.4% | 42.3% | +12.7 | 12 |
| 2021-11-06 | Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1503 | 1592 | 28.5% | 32.1% | 39.4% | +0.4 | 13 |
| 2021-11-06 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1592 | 1503 | 39.4% | 32.1% | 28.5% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2021-11-06 | Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1659 | 1541 | 58.5% | 23.1% | 18.3% | -9.7 | 26 |
| 2021-11-06 | @ Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1541 | 1659 | 18.3% | 23.1% | 58.5% | +9.7 | 21 |
| 2021-11-06 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1460 | 1548 | 28.6% | 32.2% | 39.2% | +0.4 | 11 |
| 2021-11-06 | @ Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1548 | 1460 | 39.2% | 32.2% | 28.6% | -0.4 | 23 |
| 2021-11-13 | Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1591 | 1460 | 60.5% | 21.8% | 17.7% | -1.6 | 24 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1460 | 1591 | 17.7% | 21.8% | 60.5% | +1.7 | 12 |
| 2021-11-13 | Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1488 | 1551 | 31.8% | 32.7% | 35.5% | -23.0 | 13 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ Ayr United | W 4-0 | 1551 | 1488 | 35.5% | 32.7% | 31.8% | +23.0 | 24 |
| 2021-11-13 | Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1480 | 1650 | 21.2% | 27.5% | 51.3% | -8.4 | 12 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1650 | 1480 | 51.3% | 27.5% | 21.2% | +8.4 | 29 |
| 2021-11-13 | Raith Rovers | L 0-3 | 1503 | 1547 | 34.4% | 32.7% | 32.9% | -18.5 | 13 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-0 | 1547 | 1503 | 32.9% | 32.7% | 34.4% | +18.5 | 26 |
| 2021-11-13 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1589 | 1464 | 59.5% | 22.5% | 18.0% | -9.2 | 25 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1464 | 1589 | 18.0% | 22.5% | 59.5% | +9.2 | 10 |
| 2021-11-19 | Inverness CT | L 1-2 | 1462 | 1580 | 25.4% | 30.9% | 43.7% | -5.1 | 12 |
| 2021-11-19 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1580 | 1462 | 43.7% | 30.9% | 25.4% | +5.1 | 28 |
| 2021-11-20 | Ayr United | W 3-0 | 1474 | 1465 | 42.1% | 31.4% | 26.5% | +15.2 | 13 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1465 | 1474 | 26.5% | 31.4% | 42.1% | -15.2 | 13 |
| 2021-11-20 | Arbroath | L 0-1 | 1658 | 1590 | 51.1% | 27.6% | 21.3% | -8.9 | 29 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1590 | 1658 | 21.3% | 27.6% | 51.1% | +8.8 | 27 |
| 2021-11-20 | Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1574 | 1484 | 54.3% | 25.8% | 20.0% | +4.1 | 27 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1484 | 1574 | 20.0% | 25.8% | 54.3% | -4.1 | 13 |
| 2021-11-20 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1566 | 1472 | 54.9% | 25.4% | 19.7% | +3.8 | 29 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1472 | 1566 | 19.7% | 25.4% | 54.9% | -3.8 | 12 |
| 2021-12-03 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1585 | 1649 | 31.6% | 32.7% | 35.7% | +7.0 | 31 |
| 2021-12-03 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1649 | 1585 | 35.7% | 32.7% | 31.6% | -7.0 | 29 |
| 2021-12-04 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1599 | 1570 | 45.2% | 30.3% | 24.5% | -0.9 | 28 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1570 | 1599 | 24.5% | 30.3% | 45.2% | +0.8 | 30 |
| 2021-12-04 | Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1468 | 1450 | 43.6% | 30.9% | 25.5% | -0.5 | 13 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1450 | 1468 | 25.5% | 30.9% | 43.6% | +0.5 | 14 |
| 2021-12-04 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1480 | 1489 | 39.6% | 32.1% | 28.3% | +5.9 | 16 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1489 | 1480 | 28.3% | 32.1% | 39.6% | -5.9 | 13 |
| 2021-12-04 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1457 | 1578 | 25.1% | 30.7% | 44.2% | +0.8 | 13 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1578 | 1457 | 44.2% | 30.7% | 25.1% | -0.8 | 28 |
| 2021-12-10 | Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1451 | 1486 | 35.7% | 32.7% | 31.7% | -0.1 | 15 |
| 2021-12-10 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1486 | 1451 | 31.7% | 32.7% | 35.7% | +0.1 | 17 |
| 2021-12-11 | Queen Of The South | D 3-3 | 1483 | 1457 | 44.7% | 30.5% | 24.8% | -0.5 | 14 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 3-3 | 1457 | 1483 | 24.8% | 30.5% | 44.7% | +0.5 | 14 |
| 2021-12-11 | Inverness CT | L 1-6 | 1468 | 1592 | 24.8% | 30.6% | 44.6% | -19.2 | 13 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ Greenock Morton | W 6-1 | 1592 | 1468 | 44.6% | 30.6% | 24.8% | +19.2 | 34 |
| 2021-12-11 | Arbroath | L 0-2 | 1577 | 1598 | 37.9% | 32.4% | 29.7% | -13.6 | 28 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1598 | 1577 | 29.7% | 32.4% | 37.9% | +13.6 | 31 |
| 2021-12-11 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1571 | 1642 | 30.6% | 32.6% | 36.8% | +7.1 | 33 |
| 2021-12-11 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1642 | 1571 | 36.8% | 32.6% | 30.6% | -7.1 | 29 |
| 2021-12-18 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1611 | 1449 | 65.1% | 18.7% | 16.2% | +2.9 | 34 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ Arbroath | L 1-2 | 1449 | 1611 | 16.2% | 18.7% | 65.1% | -2.9 | 13 |
| 2021-12-18 | Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1611 | 1486 | 59.5% | 22.5% | 18.0% | -9.2 | 34 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1486 | 1611 | 18.0% | 22.5% | 59.5% | +9.2 | 20 |
| 2021-12-18 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1564 | 1578 | 38.8% | 32.2% | 28.9% | +6.0 | 31 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1578 | 1564 | 28.9% | 32.2% | 38.8% | -6.0 | 33 |
| 2021-12-18 | Ayr United | W 3-0 | 1458 | 1450 | 42.0% | 31.5% | 26.5% | +15.3 | 17 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1450 | 1458 | 26.5% | 31.5% | 42.0% | -15.3 | 15 |
| 2021-12-26 | Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1435 | 1572 | 23.7% | 29.8% | 46.4% | +15.6 | 18 |
| 2021-12-26 | @ Ayr United | L 0-2 | 1572 | 1435 | 46.4% | 29.8% | 23.7% | -15.7 | 33 |
| 2021-12-26 | Arbroath | L 0-3 | 1482 | 1614 | 24.2% | 30.1% | 45.7% | -14.0 | 14 |
| 2021-12-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-0 | 1614 | 1482 | 45.7% | 30.1% | 24.2% | +14.0 | 37 |
| 2021-12-26 | Kilmarnock | L 2-3 | 1496 | 1635 | 23.5% | 29.6% | 46.9% | -4.5 | 20 |
| 2021-12-26 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-2 | 1635 | 1496 | 46.9% | 29.6% | 23.5% | +4.5 | 32 |
| 2021-12-29 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1640 | 1446 | 69.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | -2.1 | 33 |
| 2021-12-29 | @ Kilmarnock | D 1-1 | 1446 | 1640 | 14.8% | 15.7% | 69.5% | +2.1 | 14 |
| 2022-01-02 | Inverness CT | D 0-0 | 1628 | 1602 | 44.8% | 30.5% | 24.7% | -0.8 | 38 |
| 2022-01-02 | @ Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1602 | 1628 | 24.7% | 30.5% | 44.8% | +0.8 | 35 |
| 2022-01-02 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-3 | 1473 | 1491 | 38.2% | 32.4% | 29.4% | -19.9 | 17 |
| 2022-01-02 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-0 | 1491 | 1473 | 29.4% | 32.4% | 38.2% | +19.9 | 23 |
| 2022-01-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1556 | 1468 | 54.0% | 25.9% | 20.1% | -1.5 | 34 |
| 2022-01-02 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1468 | 1556 | 20.1% | 25.9% | 54.0% | +1.4 | 15 |
| 2022-01-08 | Arbroath | W 1-0 | 1451 | 1627 | 20.7% | 26.8% | 52.4% | +9.0 | 21 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ Ayr United | L 0-1 | 1627 | 1451 | 52.4% | 26.8% | 20.7% | -9.0 | 38 |
| 2022-01-08 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 5-0 | 1448 | 1470 | 37.6% | 32.5% | 29.9% | +27.1 | 17 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-5 | 1470 | 1448 | 29.9% | 32.5% | 37.6% | -27.1 | 15 |
| 2022-01-08 | Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1511 | 1570 | 32.4% | 32.7% | 34.9% | +0.1 | 24 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1570 | 1511 | 34.9% | 32.7% | 32.4% | -0.1 | 32 |
| 2022-01-08 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1603 | 1555 | 48.1% | 29.1% | 22.8% | -1.0 | 36 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1555 | 1603 | 22.8% | 29.1% | 48.1% | +1.0 | 35 |
| 2022-01-08 | Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1453 | 1638 | 20.2% | 26.2% | 53.6% | -7.9 | 17 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1638 | 1453 | 53.6% | 26.2% | 20.2% | +7.9 | 36 |
| 2022-01-14 | Kilmarnock | D 1-1 | 1570 | 1646 | 30.1% | 32.5% | 37.4% | +0.3 | 33 |
| 2022-01-14 | @ Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1646 | 1570 | 37.4% | 32.5% | 30.1% | -0.3 | 37 |
| 2022-01-15 | Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1460 | 1475 | 38.7% | 32.3% | 29.0% | -13.8 | 21 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ Ayr United | W 2-0 | 1475 | 1460 | 29.0% | 32.3% | 38.7% | +13.8 | 20 |
| 2022-01-15 | Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1443 | 1511 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 36.3% | +7.0 | 18 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1511 | 1443 | 36.3% | 32.6% | 31.1% | -7.0 | 24 |
| 2022-01-15 | Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1602 | 1445 | 64.2% | 19.4% | 16.4% | -1.4 | 37 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1445 | 1602 | 16.4% | 19.4% | 64.2% | +1.4 | 18 |
| 2022-01-15 | Arbroath | L 1-2 | 1556 | 1618 | 31.8% | 32.7% | 35.5% | -6.0 | 35 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1618 | 1556 | 35.5% | 32.7% | 31.8% | +6.1 | 41 |
| 2022-01-22 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1450 | 1600 | 22.6% | 28.9% | 48.5% | +1.0 | 19 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1600 | 1450 | 48.5% | 28.9% | 22.6% | -1.0 | 38 |
| 2022-01-28 | Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1489 | 1549 | 32.1% | 32.7% | 35.2% | +0.1 | 21 |
| 2022-01-28 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1549 | 1489 | 35.2% | 32.7% | 32.1% | -0.1 | 36 |
| 2022-01-29 | Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1504 | 1446 | 49.6% | 28.4% | 22.1% | -1.0 | 25 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1446 | 1504 | 22.1% | 28.4% | 49.6% | +1.0 | 22 |
| 2022-01-29 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1645 | 1599 | 47.7% | 29.2% | 23.0% | +4.9 | 40 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-1 | 1599 | 1645 | 23.0% | 29.2% | 47.7% | -4.9 | 38 |
| 2022-01-29 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1447 | 1451 | 40.3% | 31.9% | 27.8% | -14.2 | 18 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1451 | 1447 | 27.8% | 31.9% | 40.3% | +14.2 | 22 |
| 2022-02-01 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1570 | 1447 | 59.2% | 22.7% | 18.1% | +3.6 | 36 |
| 2022-02-01 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1447 | 1570 | 18.1% | 22.7% | 59.2% | -3.6 | 22 |
| 2022-02-01 | Queen Of The South | D 3-3 | 1549 | 1432 | 58.4% | 23.2% | 18.4% | -1.0 | 37 |
| 2022-02-01 | @ Raith Rovers | D 3-3 | 1432 | 1549 | 18.4% | 23.2% | 58.4% | +1.0 | 19 |
| 2022-02-04 | Kilmarnock | W 1-0 | 1624 | 1650 | 37.1% | 32.5% | 30.4% | +6.2 | 44 |
| 2022-02-04 | @ Arbroath | L 0-1 | 1650 | 1624 | 30.4% | 32.5% | 37.1% | -6.2 | 40 |
| 2022-02-05 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1443 | 1465 | 37.7% | 32.4% | 29.8% | -0.3 | 23 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1465 | 1443 | 29.8% | 32.4% | 37.7% | +0.3 | 23 |
| 2022-02-05 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1595 | 1489 | 56.7% | 24.3% | 19.0% | -9.5 | 38 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1489 | 1595 | 19.0% | 24.3% | 56.7% | +9.5 | 24 |
| 2022-02-05 | Hamilton Academical | D 0-0 | 1548 | 1503 | 47.7% | 29.3% | 23.1% | -1.0 | 38 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1503 | 1548 | 23.1% | 29.3% | 47.7% | +1.0 | 26 |
| 2022-02-09 | Partick Thistle | D 3-3 | 1585 | 1573 | 42.6% | 31.3% | 26.1% | -0.4 | 39 |
| 2022-02-09 | @ Inverness CT | D 3-3 | 1573 | 1585 | 26.1% | 31.3% | 42.6% | +0.4 | 37 |
| 2022-02-09 | Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1631 | 1504 | 59.8% | 22.3% | 17.9% | -1.2 | 45 |
| 2022-02-09 | @ Arbroath | D 2-2 | 1504 | 1631 | 17.9% | 22.3% | 59.8% | +1.2 | 27 |
| 2022-02-09 | Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1644 | 1443 | 70.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | -10.2 | 40 |
| 2022-02-09 | @ Kilmarnock | W 2-1 | 1443 | 1644 | 14.5% | 15.1% | 70.5% | +10.2 | 26 |
| 2022-02-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1634 | 1465 | 65.9% | 18.2% | 15.9% | +2.8 | 43 |
| 2022-02-12 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1465 | 1634 | 15.9% | 18.2% | 65.9% | -2.8 | 23 |
| 2022-02-12 | Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1498 | 1433 | 50.6% | 27.9% | 21.6% | +4.3 | 27 |
| 2022-02-12 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1433 | 1498 | 21.6% | 27.9% | 50.6% | -4.3 | 19 |
| 2022-02-19 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1505 | 1503 | 41.3% | 31.7% | 27.0% | +5.7 | 30 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1503 | 1505 | 27.0% | 31.7% | 41.3% | -5.7 | 27 |
| 2022-02-19 | Ayr United | L 1-2 | 1585 | 1453 | 60.5% | 21.8% | 17.7% | -9.3 | 39 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1453 | 1585 | 17.7% | 21.8% | 60.5% | +9.3 | 29 |
| 2022-02-19 | Raith Rovers | W 3-0 | 1637 | 1547 | 54.2% | 25.8% | 20.0% | +11.3 | 46 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-3 | 1547 | 1637 | 20.0% | 25.8% | 54.2% | -11.3 | 38 |
| 2022-02-19 | Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1429 | 1629 | 19.3% | 24.7% | 56.0% | +1.6 | 20 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1629 | 1429 | 56.0% | 24.7% | 19.3% | -1.6 | 46 |
| 2022-02-22 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1574 | 1497 | 52.4% | 26.9% | 20.8% | -9.0 | 37 |
| 2022-02-22 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1497 | 1574 | 20.8% | 26.9% | 52.4% | +9.0 | 30 |
| 2022-02-25 | Inverness CT | D 1-1 | 1511 | 1575 | 31.6% | 32.7% | 35.8% | +0.1 | 31 |
| 2022-02-25 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1575 | 1511 | 35.8% | 32.7% | 31.6% | -0.1 | 40 |
| 2022-02-26 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1463 | 1431 | 45.7% | 30.2% | 24.2% | -8.2 | 29 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1431 | 1463 | 24.2% | 30.2% | 45.7% | +8.2 | 23 |
| 2022-02-26 | Kilmarnock | D 0-0 | 1463 | 1648 | 20.2% | 26.1% | 53.7% | +1.4 | 24 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1648 | 1463 | 53.7% | 26.1% | 20.2% | -1.4 | 47 |
| 2022-02-26 | Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1506 | 1628 | 25.0% | 30.7% | 44.3% | +0.8 | 31 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1628 | 1506 | 44.3% | 30.7% | 25.0% | -0.8 | 47 |
| 2022-02-26 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1536 | 1565 | 36.7% | 32.6% | 30.8% | -0.2 | 39 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1565 | 1536 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 36.7% | +0.2 | 38 |
| 2022-03-01 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1627 | 1565 | 50.2% | 28.1% | 21.8% | -1.1 | 48 |
| 2022-03-01 | @ Arbroath | D 1-1 | 1565 | 1627 | 21.8% | 28.1% | 50.2% | +1.1 | 39 |
| 2022-03-04 | Inverness CT | W 1-0 | 1566 | 1575 | 39.6% | 32.1% | 28.4% | +5.9 | 42 |
| 2022-03-04 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1575 | 1566 | 28.4% | 32.1% | 39.6% | -5.9 | 40 |
| 2022-03-05 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1626 | 1464 | 65.0% | 18.8% | 16.2% | +3.0 | 51 |
| 2022-03-05 | @ Arbroath | L 0-1 | 1464 | 1626 | 16.2% | 18.8% | 65.0% | -3.0 | 24 |
| 2022-03-05 | Hamilton Academical | W 2-0 | 1646 | 1511 | 61.1% | 21.4% | 17.5% | +6.5 | 50 |
| 2022-03-05 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1511 | 1646 | 17.5% | 21.4% | 61.1% | -6.4 | 31 |
| 2022-03-05 | Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1439 | 1507 | 31.1% | 32.6% | 36.2% | +19.2 | 26 |
| 2022-03-05 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1507 | 1439 | 36.2% | 32.6% | 31.1% | -19.2 | 31 |
| 2022-03-05 | Ayr United | L 0-4 | 1536 | 1454 | 53.1% | 26.5% | 20.5% | -32.5 | 39 |
| 2022-03-05 | @ Raith Rovers | W 4-0 | 1454 | 1536 | 20.5% | 26.5% | 53.1% | +32.5 | 32 |
| 2022-03-08 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1572 | 1458 | 57.9% | 23.5% | 18.6% | +3.7 | 45 |
| 2022-03-08 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1458 | 1572 | 18.6% | 23.5% | 57.9% | -3.7 | 26 |
| 2022-03-11 | Kilmarnock | L 1-3 | 1487 | 1653 | 21.4% | 27.7% | 50.8% | -7.4 | 32 |
| 2022-03-11 | @ Ayr United | W 3-1 | 1653 | 1487 | 50.8% | 27.7% | 21.4% | +7.4 | 53 |
| 2022-03-12 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1487 | 1576 | 28.6% | 32.1% | 39.3% | +7.0 | 34 |
| 2022-03-12 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1576 | 1487 | 39.3% | 32.1% | 28.6% | -7.0 | 45 |
| 2022-03-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1505 | 1461 | 47.4% | 29.4% | 23.2% | -0.7 | 32 |
| 2022-03-12 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1461 | 1505 | 23.2% | 29.4% | 47.4% | +0.7 | 25 |
| 2022-03-12 | Arbroath | W 3-0 | 1569 | 1629 | 32.2% | 32.7% | 35.1% | +18.8 | 43 |
| 2022-03-12 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-3 | 1629 | 1569 | 35.1% | 32.7% | 32.2% | -18.8 | 51 |
| 2022-03-12 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1454 | 1503 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 33.5% | -6.7 | 26 |
| 2022-03-12 | @ Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1503 | 1454 | 33.5% | 32.8% | 33.7% | +6.7 | 42 |
| 2022-03-18 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1462 | 1494 | 36.1% | 32.6% | 31.3% | -0.2 | 26 |
| 2022-03-18 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1494 | 1462 | 31.3% | 32.6% | 36.1% | +0.2 | 35 |
| 2022-03-19 | Ayr United | W 1-0 | 1610 | 1480 | 60.4% | 21.9% | 17.7% | +3.5 | 54 |
| 2022-03-19 | @ Arbroath | L 0-1 | 1480 | 1610 | 17.7% | 21.9% | 60.4% | -3.5 | 32 |
| 2022-03-19 | Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1660 | 1448 | 72.1% | 14.0% | 14.0% | +2.3 | 56 |
| 2022-03-19 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1448 | 1660 | 14.0% | 14.0% | 72.1% | -2.3 | 26 |
| 2022-03-19 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-4 | 1569 | 1504 | 50.6% | 27.9% | 21.6% | -31.5 | 45 |
| 2022-03-19 | @ Partick Thistle | W 4-0 | 1504 | 1569 | 21.6% | 27.9% | 50.6% | +31.5 | 35 |
| 2022-03-19 | Inverness CT | L 2-3 | 1510 | 1588 | 29.8% | 32.4% | 37.8% | -5.5 | 42 |
| 2022-03-19 | @ Raith Rovers | W 3-2 | 1588 | 1510 | 37.8% | 32.4% | 29.8% | +5.5 | 46 |
| 2022-03-22 | Partick Thistle | W 4-1 | 1461 | 1537 | 30.1% | 32.5% | 37.4% | +16.6 | 29 |
| 2022-03-22 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-4 | 1537 | 1461 | 37.4% | 32.5% | 30.1% | -16.6 | 45 |
| 2022-03-26 | Raith Rovers | D 3-3 | 1614 | 1505 | 57.2% | 24.0% | 18.8% | -0.9 | 55 |
| 2022-03-26 | @ Arbroath | D 3-3 | 1505 | 1614 | 18.8% | 24.0% | 57.2% | +0.9 | 43 |
| 2022-03-26 | Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1495 | 1476 | 43.7% | 30.9% | 25.4% | -0.7 | 36 |
| 2022-03-26 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1476 | 1495 | 25.4% | 30.9% | 43.7% | +0.7 | 33 |
| 2022-03-26 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1535 | 1445 | 54.4% | 25.7% | 19.9% | +4.1 | 38 |
| 2022-03-26 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1445 | 1535 | 19.9% | 25.7% | 54.4% | -4.1 | 26 |
| 2022-03-26 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1594 | 1478 | 58.2% | 23.4% | 18.5% | +7.0 | 49 |
| 2022-03-26 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-2 | 1478 | 1594 | 18.5% | 23.4% | 58.2% | -7.0 | 29 |
| 2022-03-26 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1663 | 1521 | 62.1% | 20.8% | 17.1% | +3.1 | 59 |
| 2022-03-26 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1521 | 1663 | 17.1% | 20.8% | 62.1% | -3.1 | 45 |
| 2022-04-01 | Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1477 | 1540 | 31.8% | 32.7% | 35.5% | +0.1 | 34 |
| 2022-04-01 | @ Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1540 | 1477 | 35.5% | 32.7% | 31.8% | -0.1 | 39 |
| 2022-04-01 | Kilmarnock | D 1-1 | 1494 | 1666 | 21.1% | 27.2% | 51.7% | +1.2 | 37 |
| 2022-04-01 | @ Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1666 | 1494 | 51.7% | 27.2% | 21.1% | -1.2 | 60 |
| 2022-04-02 | Arbroath | D 0-0 | 1518 | 1613 | 27.8% | 31.9% | 40.3% | +0.5 | 46 |
| 2022-04-02 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1613 | 1518 | 40.3% | 31.9% | 27.8% | -0.5 | 56 |
| 2022-04-06 | Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1471 | 1505 | 35.8% | 32.7% | 31.5% | +12.0 | 32 |
| 2022-04-06 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1505 | 1471 | 31.5% | 32.7% | 35.8% | -12.0 | 43 |
| 2022-04-08 | Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1441 | 1518 | 30.0% | 32.5% | 37.6% | -6.1 | 26 |
| 2022-04-08 | @ Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1518 | 1441 | 37.6% | 32.5% | 30.0% | +6.1 | 49 |
| 2022-04-09 | Inverness CT | D 2-2 | 1477 | 1601 | 24.9% | 30.6% | 44.5% | +0.5 | 35 |
| 2022-04-09 | @ Ayr United | D 2-2 | 1601 | 1477 | 44.5% | 30.6% | 24.9% | -0.5 | 50 |
| 2022-04-09 | Arbroath | L 0-1 | 1539 | 1612 | 30.5% | 32.5% | 37.0% | -6.2 | 39 |
| 2022-04-09 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1612 | 1539 | 37.0% | 32.5% | 30.5% | +6.2 | 59 |
| 2022-04-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1665 | 1483 | 67.8% | 16.9% | 15.3% | +5.3 | 63 |
| 2022-04-09 | @ Kilmarnock | L 0-2 | 1483 | 1665 | 15.3% | 16.9% | 67.8% | -5.3 | 32 |
| 2022-04-09 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1493 | 1495 | 40.7% | 31.8% | 27.5% | -7.6 | 43 |
| 2022-04-09 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1495 | 1493 | 27.5% | 31.8% | 40.7% | +7.6 | 40 |
| 2022-04-15 | Kilmarnock | W 2-1 | 1600 | 1670 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 36.5% | +6.7 | 53 |
| 2022-04-15 | @ Inverness CT | L 1-2 | 1670 | 1600 | 36.5% | 32.6% | 30.9% | -6.6 | 63 |
| 2022-04-16 | Queen Of The South | W 5-1 | 1619 | 1435 | 68.1% | 16.7% | 15.2% | +8.2 | 62 |
| 2022-04-16 | @ Arbroath | L 1-5 | 1435 | 1619 | 15.2% | 16.7% | 68.1% | -8.2 | 26 |
| 2022-04-16 | Ayr United | W 2-1 | 1478 | 1477 | 41.0% | 31.8% | 27.3% | +5.4 | 35 |
| 2022-04-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1477 | 1478 | 27.3% | 31.8% | 41.0% | -5.4 | 35 |
| 2022-04-16 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1503 | 1533 | 36.4% | 32.6% | 31.0% | -7.0 | 40 |
| 2022-04-16 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1533 | 1503 | 31.0% | 32.6% | 36.4% | +7.0 | 42 |
| 2022-04-16 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1524 | 1486 | 46.6% | 29.8% | 23.6% | -8.3 | 49 |
| 2022-04-16 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1486 | 1524 | 23.6% | 29.8% | 46.6% | +8.3 | 46 |
| 2022-04-19 | Inverness CT | W 2-1 | 1427 | 1607 | 20.5% | 26.6% | 52.9% | +8.5 | 29 |
| 2022-04-19 | @ Queen Of The South | L 1-2 | 1607 | 1427 | 52.9% | 26.6% | 20.5% | -8.5 | 53 |
| 2022-04-22 | Arbroath | W 2-1 | 1663 | 1627 | 46.3% | 29.9% | 23.8% | +4.8 | 66 |
| 2022-04-22 | @ Kilmarnock | L 1-2 | 1627 | 1663 | 23.8% | 29.9% | 46.3% | -4.8 | 62 |
| 2022-04-23 | Inverness CT | L 0-1 | 1496 | 1598 | 27.0% | 31.6% | 41.4% | -5.7 | 40 |
| 2022-04-23 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1598 | 1496 | 41.4% | 31.6% | 27.0% | +5.7 | 56 |
| 2022-04-23 | Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1540 | 1494 | 47.8% | 29.2% | 23.0% | -16.0 | 42 |
| 2022-04-23 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 2-0 | 1494 | 1540 | 23.0% | 29.2% | 47.8% | +16.0 | 49 |
| 2022-04-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1516 | 1483 | 45.8% | 30.1% | 24.1% | +5.1 | 52 |
| 2022-04-23 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1483 | 1516 | 24.1% | 30.1% | 45.8% | -5.1 | 35 |
| 2022-04-23 | Ayr United | D 1-1 | 1435 | 1472 | 35.5% | 32.7% | 31.8% | -0.1 | 30 |
| 2022-04-23 | @ Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1472 | 1435 | 31.8% | 32.7% | 35.5% | +0.1 | 36 |
| 2022-04-29 | Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1622 | 1490 | 60.6% | 21.8% | 17.6% | +9.5 | 65 |
| 2022-04-29 | @ Arbroath | L 0-3 | 1490 | 1622 | 17.6% | 21.8% | 60.6% | -9.5 | 40 |
| 2022-04-29 | Partick Thistle | W 3-1 | 1472 | 1521 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 33.5% | +10.9 | 39 |
| 2022-04-29 | @ Ayr United | L 1-3 | 1521 | 1472 | 33.5% | 32.8% | 33.7% | -10.9 | 52 |
| 2022-04-29 | Queen Of The South | L 1-2 | 1478 | 1435 | 47.3% | 29.5% | 23.3% | -7.9 | 35 |
| 2022-04-29 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1435 | 1478 | 23.3% | 29.5% | 47.3% | +7.9 | 33 |
| 2022-04-29 | Hamilton Academical | W 4-0 | 1604 | 1524 | 52.8% | 26.6% | 20.6% | +15.4 | 59 |
| 2022-04-29 | @ Inverness CT | L 0-4 | 1524 | 1604 | 20.6% | 26.6% | 52.8% | -15.4 | 42 |
| 2022-04-29 | Kilmarnock | D 1-1 | 1510 | 1668 | 22.1% | 28.3% | 49.6% | +1.0 | 50 |
| 2022-04-29 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1668 | 1510 | 49.6% | 28.3% | 22.1% | -1.0 | 67 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2022-02-09 | 14.47% | Ayr United | 1443 | 2 | @ Kilmarnock | 1644 | 1 |
| 2 | 2021-10-02 | 17.35% | Raith Rovers | 1521 | 3 | @ Kilmarnock | 1658 | 1 |
| 3 | 2022-02-19 | 17.66% | Ayr United | 1453 | 2 | @ Inverness CT | 1585 | 1 |
| 4 | 2021-11-13 | 17.99% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1464 | 2 | @ Inverness CT | 1589 | 1 |
| 5 | 2021-12-18 | 17.99% | Hamilton Academical | 1486 | 2 | @ Inverness CT | 1611 | 1 |
| 6 | 2021-11-06 | 18.34% | Partick Thistle | 1541 | 1 | @ Kilmarnock | 1659 | 0 |
| 7 | 2022-02-05 | 19.00% | Greenock Morton | 1489 | 1 | @ Inverness CT | 1595 | 0 |
| 8 | 2022-03-05 | 20.46% | Ayr United | 1454 | 4 | @ Raith Rovers | 1536 | 0 |
| 9 | 2022-04-19 | 20.52% | @ Queen Of The South | 1427 | 2 | Inverness CT | 1607 | 1 |
| 10 | 2021-08-28 | 20.74% | Inverness CT | 1578 | 1 | @ Kilmarnock | 1655 | 0 |
| 11 | 2022-01-08 | 20.74% | @ Ayr United | 1451 | 1 | Arbroath | 1627 | 0 |
| 12 | 2022-02-22 | 20.75% | Greenock Morton | 1497 | 1 | @ Partick Thistle | 1574 | 0 |
| 13 | 2021-08-07 | 20.76% | Greenock Morton | 1497 | 1 | @ Hamilton Academical | 1573 | 0 |
| 14 | 2021-11-20 | 21.32% | Arbroath | 1590 | 1 | @ Kilmarnock | 1658 | 0 |
| 15 | 2022-03-19 | 21.58% | Hamilton Academical | 1504 | 4 | @ Partick Thistle | 1569 | 0 |
| 16 | 2021-08-07 | 22.25% | Partick Thistle | 1483 | 3 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1538 | 0 |
| 17 | 2022-04-23 | 23.00% | Raith Rovers | 1494 | 2 | @ Hamilton Academical | 1540 | 0 |
| 18 | 2022-04-29 | 23.27% | Queen Of The South | 1435 | 2 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1478 | 1 |
| 19 | 2021-09-18 | 23.48% | Ayr United | 1498 | 2 | @ Hamilton Academical | 1538 | 0 |
| 20 | 2022-04-16 | 23.63% | Raith Rovers | 1486 | 1 | @ Partick Thistle | 1524 | 0 |
| 21 | 2021-12-26 | 23.74% | @ Ayr United | 1435 | 2 | Raith Rovers | 1572 | 0 |
| 22 | 2021-09-11 | 23.79% | Queen Of The South | 1482 | 1 | @ Raith Rovers | 1518 | 0 |
| 23 | 2022-02-26 | 24.18% | Queen Of The South | 1431 | 1 | @ Ayr United | 1463 | 0 |
| 24 | 2021-08-21 | 24.79% | Queen Of The South | 1480 | 3 | @ Greenock Morton | 1506 | 2 |
| 25 | 2021-10-26 | 25.34% | Arbroath | 1578 | 1 | @ Inverness CT | 1597 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2022-03-05 | 32.46 | Ayr United | 4 | 1454 | 20.46% | @ Raith Rovers | 0 | 1536 | 53.06% | |
| 2 | 2022-03-19 | 31.45 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 1504 | 21.58% | @ Partick Thistle | 0 | 1569 | 50.58% | |
| 3 | 2021-10-15 | 28.85 | Partick Thistle | 6 | 1514 | 25.75% | @ Hamilton Academical | 1 | 1529 | 43.17% | |
| 4 | 2022-01-08 | 27.08 | @ Greenock Morton | 5 | 1448 | 37.64% | Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1470 | 29.92% | |
| 5 | 2021-08-07 | 23.64 | Partick Thistle | 3 | 1483 | 22.25% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1538 | 49.20% | |
| 6 | 2021-11-13 | 22.98 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 1551 | 35.49% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1488 | 31.82% | |
| 7 | 2021-10-02 | 21.87 | @ Partick Thistle | 4 | 1492 | 37.85% | Ayr United | 0 | 1513 | 29.74% | |
| 8 | 2021-09-11 | 20.82 | @ Arbroath | 4 | 1554 | 40.12% | Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1559 | 27.92% | |
| 9 | 2022-01-02 | 19.93 | Hamilton Academical | 3 | 1491 | 29.40% | @ Queen Of The South | 0 | 1473 | 38.25% | |
| 10 | 2021-08-28 | 19.88 | Arbroath | 3 | 1534 | 29.53% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1515 | 38.10% | |
| 11 | 2021-12-11 | 19.21 | Inverness CT | 6 | 1592 | 44.58% | @ Greenock Morton | 1 | 1468 | 24.84% | |
| 12 | 2022-03-05 | 19.21 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1439 | 31.15% | Greenock Morton | 0 | 1507 | 36.23% | |
| 13 | 2022-03-12 | 18.79 | @ Inverness CT | 3 | 1569 | 32.23% | Arbroath | 0 | 1629 | 35.06% | |
| 14 | 2021-11-13 | 18.55 | Raith Rovers | 3 | 1547 | 32.85% | @ Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1503 | 34.41% | |
| 15 | 2022-03-22 | 16.56 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1461 | 30.09% | Partick Thistle | 1 | 1537 | 37.43% | |
| 16 | 2021-10-02 | 16.26 | Raith Rovers | 3 | 1521 | 17.35% | @ Kilmarnock | 1 | 1658 | 61.44% | |
| 17 | 2022-04-23 | 15.95 | Raith Rovers | 2 | 1494 | 23.00% | @ Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1540 | 47.76% | |
| 18 | 2021-09-18 | 15.75 | Ayr United | 2 | 1498 | 23.48% | @ Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1538 | 46.87% | |
| 19 | 2021-08-28 | 15.71 | @ Partick Thistle | 3 | 1498 | 40.80% | Greenock Morton | 0 | 1498 | 27.41% | |
| 20 | 2021-12-26 | 15.65 | @ Ayr United | 2 | 1435 | 23.74% | Raith Rovers | 0 | 1572 | 46.42% | |
| 21 | 2022-04-29 | 15.37 | @ Inverness CT | 4 | 1604 | 52.80% | Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1524 | 20.58% | |
| 22 | 2021-12-18 | 15.29 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1458 | 42.00% | Ayr United | 0 | 1450 | 26.54% | |
| 23 | 2021-11-20 | 15.25 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | 1474 | 42.12% | Ayr United | 0 | 1465 | 26.46% | |
| 24 | 2021-09-07 | 14.33 | Raith Rovers | 2 | 1504 | 27.43% | @ Ayr United | 0 | 1503 | 40.76% | |
| 25 | 2022-01-29 | 14.21 | Dunfermline Athletic | 2 | 1451 | 27.79% | @ Queen Of The South | 0 | 1447 | 40.29% | |