2020-21 Championship Season

135 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Raith Rovers

13.54 points above expected

43 points · 29.46 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ayr United

8.39 points below expected

29 points · 37.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Heart of Midlothian	27	17	6	4	57	63	24	+39	52.2	+4.78
2	Dundee	27	12	9	6	45	49	40	+9	39.2	+5.83
3	Raith Rovers	27	12	7	8	43	45	36	+9	29.5	+13.54
4	Dunfermline Athletic	27	10	9	8	39	38	34	+4	40.3	-1.29
5	Inverness CT	27	8	12	7	36	36	31	+5	42.0	-6.00
6	Queen Of The South	27	9	5	13	32	38	51	-13	29.5	+2.48
7	Arbroath	27	7	9	11	30	28	34	-6	35.9	-5.85
8	Ayr United	27	6	11	10	29	31	37	-6	37.4	-8.39
9	Greenock Morton	27	6	11	10	29	22	33	-11	32.9	-3.91
10	Alloa Athletic	27	5	7	15	22	30	60	-30	26.4	-4.43

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Heart of Midlothian	1710	57	52.22	+4.78	78.7%	29	41	48	52	57	63	75
Dundee	1595	45	39.17	+5.83	83.3%	17	29	35	39	44	50	62
Inverness CT	1581	36	42.00	-6.00	19.9%	19	31	38	42	46	53	69
Dunfermline Athletic	1544	39	40.29	-1.29	45.3%	16	30	36	40	45	51	63
Arbroath	1534	30	35.85	-5.85	20.8%	14	26	31	36	40	46	59
Ayr United	1507	29	37.39	-8.39	10.3%	15	27	33	37	42	48	61
Raith Rovers	1498	43	29.46	+13.54	98.7%	9	20	25	29	34	40	53
Greenock Morton	1479	29	32.91	-3.91	30.2%	12	23	29	33	37	43	56
Queen Of The South	1470	32	29.52	+2.48	68.8%	8	20	25	29	34	40	55
Alloa Athletic	1411	22	26.43	-4.43	26.9%	5	17	22	26	30	37	49

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	ARB	AU	DUN	DA	GM	HOM	IC	QOTS	RR
Alloa Athletic	—	1-1-1 3.00	0-1-2 2.86	0-1-2 2.98	1-0-2 2.79	0-2-1 3.23	0-0-3 1.93	1-2-0 2.54	2-0-1 3.56	0-0-3 3.49
Arbroath	1-1-1 5.11	—	3-0-0 3.78	0-1-2 3.57	1-0-2 3.43	1-2-0 4.39	0-1-2 2.58	0-1-2 3.33	0-2-1 4.72	1-1-1 4.86
Ayr United	2-1-0 5.29	0-0-3 4.23	—	2-0-1 3.84	0-3-0 3.73	1-1-1 4.35	0-0-3 2.65	0-2-1 3.50	1-1-1 4.80	0-3-0 5.00
Dundee	2-1-0 5.14	2-1-0 4.45	1-0-2 4.16	—	1-2-0 4.08	1-2-0 4.74	1-0-2 2.81	1-2-0 3.56	2-0-1 5.13	1-1-1 5.18
Dunfermline Athletic	2-0-1 5.40	2-0-1 4.61	0-3-0 4.28	0-2-1 3.92	—	1-1-1 4.99	1-1-1 2.93	1-1-1 3.92	2-0-1 5.08	1-1-1 5.13
Greenock Morton	1-2-0 4.83	0-2-1 3.64	1-1-1 3.66	0-2-1 3.33	1-1-1 3.10	—	0-2-1 2.28	1-1-1 3.06	2-0-1 4.47	0-0-3 4.54
Heart of Midlothian	3-0-0 6.58	2-1-0 5.67	3-0-0 5.56	2-0-1 5.35	1-1-1 5.21	1-2-0 6.08	—	2-1-0 5.11	1-1-1 6.43	2-0-1 6.20
Inverness CT	0-2-1 5.71	2-1-0 4.72	1-2-0 4.54	0-2-1 4.46	1-1-1 4.08	1-1-1 5.04	0-1-2 3.00	—	1-1-1 5.26	2-1-0 5.17
Queen Of The South	1-0-2 4.47	1-2-0 3.33	1-1-1 3.26	1-0-2 2.98	1-0-2 3.02	1-0-2 3.56	1-1-1 2.04	1-1-1 2.88	—	1-0-2 4.08
Raith Rovers	3-0-0 4.56	1-1-1 3.24	0-3-0 3.10	1-1-1 2.94	1-1-1 2.99	3-0-0 3.50	1-0-2 2.20	0-1-2 2.95	2-0-1 3.95	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.63%	8.15%	4.81%	2.22%	1.11%	0.74%	26.67%
1	8.15%	14.07%	5.56%	4.07%	1.48%	0.74%	34.07%
2	4.81%	5.56%	6.67%	2.96%	0.37%	1.11%	21.48%
3	2.22%	4.07%	2.96%	1.48%	0.37%	0.37%	11.48%
4	1.11%	1.48%	0.37%	0.37%	—	—	3.33%
5+	0.74%	0.74%	1.11%	0.37%	—	—	2.96%
Total	26.67%	34.07%	21.48%	11.48%	3.33%	2.96%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.41
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.061
Sample size (games)	135

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.70%	7.41%	7.41%	—	3.70%	22.22%
1	7.41%	14.81%	11.11%	11.11%	7.41%	—	51.85%
2	—	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	3.70%	18.52%
3	—	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	7.41%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.41%	25.93%	29.63%	22.22%	7.41%	7.41%	100%

Alloa Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.11
Mean allowed	2.22
StdDev scored	0.85
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.085
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	18.52%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	37.04%
1	11.11%	14.81%	—	7.41%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.70%	7.41%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	3.70%	—	3.70%
4	3.70%	—	—	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.63%	40.74%	11.11%	11.11%	7.41%	—	100%

Arbroath — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	1.26
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.200
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.52%	7.41%	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	40.74%
1	—	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	—	18.52%
2	11.11%	3.70%	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	29.63%
3	—	3.70%	—	—	—	3.70%	7.41%
4	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.63%	33.33%	18.52%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	100%

Ayr United — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.52
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.186
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
1	7.41%	14.81%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	33.33%
2	7.41%	7.41%	7.41%	3.70%	—	3.70%	29.63%
3	7.41%	11.11%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	29.63%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.93%	33.33%	18.52%	18.52%	—	3.70%	100%

Dundee — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.48
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.069
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.52%	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	—	37.04%
1	7.41%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	3.70%	22.22%
2	—	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
3	—	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
4	—	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.93%	44.44%	14.81%	11.11%	—	3.70%	100%

Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.26
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.365
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.81%	18.52%	7.41%	—	—	3.70%	44.44%
1	7.41%	18.52%	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	33.33%
2	3.70%	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	—	18.52%
3	—	—	3.70%	—	—	—	3.70%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.93%	44.44%	22.22%	—	3.70%	3.70%	100%

Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.81
Mean allowed	1.22
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.078
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	11.11%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	29.63%
2	7.41%	7.41%	—	7.41%	—	—	22.22%
3	7.41%	7.41%	—	—	—	—	14.81%
4	7.41%	—	—	—	—	—	7.41%
5+	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
Total	48.15%	29.63%	7.41%	14.81%	—	—	100%

Heart of Midlothian — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.33
Mean allowed	0.89
StdDev scored	1.82
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.136
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
1	11.11%	25.93%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	51.85%
2	7.41%	—	14.81%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	7.41%
4	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.93%	40.74%	25.93%	7.41%	—	—	100%

Inverness CT — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.48
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.103
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	3.70%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	18.52%
1	7.41%	11.11%	11.11%	7.41%	—	3.70%	40.74%
2	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	7.41%	—	3.70%	25.93%
3	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	3.70%	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.52%	18.52%	37.04%	18.52%	—	7.41%	100%

Queen Of The South — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.41
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.05
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.082
Games played	27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	7.41%	7.41%	—	7.41%	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	7.41%	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	25.93%
2	—	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	3.70%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.70%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	14.81%
Total	29.63%	29.63%	29.63%	—	11.11%	—	100%

Raith Rovers — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.088
Games played	27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Raith Rovers	43	29.5	+13.54
2	Dundee	45	39.2	+5.83
3	Heart of Midlothian	57	52.2	+4.78
4	Queen Of The South	32	29.5	+2.48
5	Dunfermline Athletic	39	40.3	-1.29

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ayr United	29	37.4	-8.39
2	Inverness CT	36	42.0	-6.00
3	Arbroath	30	35.9	-5.85
4	Alloa Athletic	22	26.4	-4.43
5	Greenock Morton	29	32.9	-3.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Queen Of The South	4	Feb 17 – Mar 6	1 in 353
2	Inverness CT	4	Mar 16 – Apr 6	1 in 35
3	Raith Rovers	2	Oct 17 – Oct 24	1 in 20
4	Alloa Athletic	2	Dec 12 – Dec 19	1 in 20
5	Dundee	3	Dec 26 – Jan 2	1 in 20

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dunfermline Athletic	3	Mar 20 – Mar 30	1 in 35
2	Arbroath	3	Oct 17 – Oct 31	1 in 27
3	Dundee	2	Jan 30 – Feb 20	1 in 19
4	Ayr United	3	Feb 5 – Feb 27	1 in 18
5	Queen Of The South	4	Dec 4 – Dec 26	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Queen Of The South	5	Feb 12 – Mar 6	1 in 39
2	Arbroath	8	Jan 16 – Feb 27	1 in 29
3	Raith Rovers	6	Mar 20 – Apr 17	1 in 15
4	Dundee	8	Mar 19 – Apr 30	1 in 13
5	Greenock Morton	5	Dec 12 – Jan 15	1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Greenock Morton	10	Dec 29 – Mar 6	1 in 44
2	Inverness CT	6	Dec 12 – Feb 17	1 in 36
3	Arbroath	7	Oct 17 – Dec 12	1 in 31
4	Ayr United	7	Mar 20 – Apr 30	1 in 26
5	Heart of Midlothian	3	Feb 12 – Feb 26	1 in 15

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Heart of Midlothian	73.28%	15.96%	6.31%	2.52%	1.17%	0.54%	0.14%	0.07%	0.01%	—
Dundee	5.01%	16.24%	17.67%	17.21%	13.59%	11.61%	8.46%	5.87%	2.96%	1.38%
Raith Rovers	0.16%	1.33%	2.54%	5.06%	7.53%	10.72%	14.28%	17.94%	21.29%	19.15%
Dunfermline Athletic	6.39%	19.02%	19.81%	16.32%	13.43%	10.16%	6.95%	4.64%	2.46%	0.82%
Inverness CT	9.69%	25.78%	20.07%	15.46%	11.81%	7.38%	5.06%	2.86%	1.35%	0.54%
Queen Of The South	0.16%	0.97%	2.37%	4.26%	6.58%	10.09%	14.22%	18.54%	21.99%	20.82%
Arbroath	1.75%	7.15%	10.89%	13.13%	15.07%	15.63%	13.42%	11.29%	7.50%	4.17%
Ayr United	2.75%	9.93%	13.80%	15.65%	15.73%	14.18%	12.10%	8.25%	4.95%	2.66%
Greenock Morton	0.74%	3.29%	5.56%	8.66%	11.66%	14.29%	16.15%	16.66%	14.34%	8.65%
Alloa Athletic	0.07%	0.33%	0.98%	1.73%	3.43%	5.40%	9.22%	13.88%	23.15%	41.81%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Direct relegation
Heart of Midlothian	73.3%	24.8%	1.9%	—
Inverness CT	9.7%	61.3%	28.5%	0.5%
Dunfermline Athletic	6.4%	55.1%	37.6%	0.8%
Dundee	5.0%	51.1%	42.5%	1.4%
Ayr United	2.8%	39.4%	55.2%	2.7%
Arbroath	1.8%	31.2%	62.9%	4.2%
Greenock Morton	0.7%	17.5%	73.1%	8.6%
Raith Rovers	0.2%	8.9%	71.8%	19.1%
Queen Of The South	0.2%	7.6%	71.4%	20.8%
Alloa Athletic	0.1%	3.0%	55.1%	41.8%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2020-10-16	Dundee	W 6-2	1629	1553	46.5%	29.9%	23.6%	+11.5	3
2020-10-16	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 2-6	1553	1629	23.6%	29.9%	46.5%	-11.5	0
2020-10-17	Queen Of The South	W 2-1	1544	1491	43.1%	31.4%	25.5%	+4.6	3
2020-10-17	@ Ayr United	L 1-2	1491	1544	25.5%	31.4%	43.1%	-4.6	0
2020-10-17	Inverness CT	W 3-1	1550	1577	31.4%	33.3%	35.3%	+10.2	3
2020-10-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	1577	1550	35.3%	33.3%	31.4%	-10.2	0
2020-10-17	Alloa Athletic	W 1-0	1530	1490	41.0%	32.2%	26.9%	+5.1	3
2020-10-17	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-1	1490	1530	26.9%	32.2%	41.0%	-5.1	0
2020-10-17	Arbroath	W 3-0	1405	1562	19.8%	24.8%	55.4%	+23.0	3
2020-10-17	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-3	1562	1405	55.4%	24.8%	19.8%	-23.0	0
2020-10-23	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1539	1640	23.5%	29.8%	46.7%	-4.5	0
2020-10-23	@ Arbroath	W 1-0	1640	1539	46.7%	29.8%	23.5%	+4.5	6
2020-10-24	Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	1485	1561	25.7%	31.6%	42.7%	-11.4	0
2020-10-24	@ Alloa Athletic	W 4-1	1561	1485	42.7%	31.6%	25.7%	+11.4	6
2020-10-24	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1542	1535	36.1%	33.2%	30.6%	+5.7	3
2020-10-24	@ Dundee	L 0-1	1535	1542	30.6%	33.2%	36.1%	-5.7	3
2020-10-24	Ayr United	D 1-1	1566	1549	37.7%	33.0%	29.3%	-0.3	1
2020-10-24	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	1549	1566	29.3%	33.0%	37.7%	+0.3	4
2020-10-24	Raith Rovers	L 2-5	1486	1428	43.9%	31.1%	25.0%	-14.5	0
2020-10-24	@ Queen Of The South	W 5-2	1428	1486	25.0%	31.1%	43.9%	+14.5	6
2020-10-31	Raith Rovers	D 1-1	1547	1442	51.1%	27.4%	21.4%	-1.0	4
2020-10-31	@ Dundee	D 1-1	1442	1547	21.4%	27.4%	51.1%	+1.0	7
2020-10-31	Queen Of The South	W 3-2	1572	1471	50.4%	27.9%	21.8%	+3.7	9
2020-10-31	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 2-3	1471	1572	21.8%	27.9%	50.4%	-3.7	0
2020-10-31	Ayr United	W 3-2	1529	1549	32.2%	33.4%	34.4%	+5.5	6
2020-10-31	@ Greenock Morton	L 2-3	1549	1529	34.4%	33.4%	32.2%	-5.5	4
2020-10-31	Arbroath	W 3-1	1566	1534	39.8%	32.5%	27.7%	+8.6	4
2020-10-31	@ Inverness CT	L 1-3	1534	1566	27.7%	32.5%	39.8%	-8.6	0
2020-11-06	Dundee	D 3-3	1473	1546	26.0%	31.7%	42.3%	+0.3	1
2020-11-06	@ Alloa Athletic	D 3-3	1546	1473	42.3%	31.7%	26.0%	-0.3	5
2020-11-07	Queen Of The South	D 1-1	1526	1468	43.8%	31.1%	25.1%	-0.6	1
2020-11-07	@ Arbroath	D 1-1	1468	1526	25.1%	31.1%	43.8%	+0.6	1
2020-11-07	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	1543	1576	30.6%	33.2%	36.2%	+0.2	5
2020-11-07	@ Ayr United	D 0-0	1576	1543	36.2%	33.2%	30.6%	-0.2	10
2020-11-07	Inverness CT	W 2-1	1645	1575	45.6%	30.3%	24.0%	+4.4	9
2020-11-07	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1575	1645	24.0%	30.3%	45.6%	-4.4	4
2020-11-07	Greenock Morton	W 5-0	1443	1534	24.3%	30.6%	45.2%	+32.5	10
2020-11-07	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-5	1534	1443	45.2%	30.6%	24.3%	-32.5	6
2020-11-20	Heart of Midlothian	W 2-1	1575	1649	25.9%	31.7%	42.4%	+6.7	13
2020-11-20	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	1649	1575	42.4%	31.7%	25.9%	-6.7	9
2020-11-21	Greenock Morton	D 0-0	1525	1502	38.5%	32.8%	28.7%	-0.4	2
2020-11-21	@ Arbroath	D 0-0	1502	1525	28.7%	32.8%	38.5%	+0.3	7
2020-11-21	Dundee	W 2-0	1544	1546	34.7%	33.4%	31.9%	+11.0	8
2020-11-21	@ Ayr United	L 0-2	1546	1544	31.9%	33.4%	34.7%	-11.0	5
2020-11-21	Raith Rovers	W 2-0	1570	1476	49.5%	28.4%	22.1%	+8.0	7
2020-11-21	@ Inverness CT	L 0-2	1476	1570	22.1%	28.4%	49.5%	-8.0	10
2020-11-21	Alloa Athletic	W 2-0	1468	1474	34.3%	33.4%	32.3%	+11.1	4
2020-11-21	@ Queen Of The South	L 0-2	1474	1468	32.3%	33.4%	34.3%	-11.1	1
2020-11-24	Alloa Athletic	W 3-0	1642	1463	62.8%	19.8%	17.5%	+8.2	12
2020-11-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	1463	1642	17.5%	19.8%	62.8%	-8.2	1
2020-12-04	Inverness CT	L 0-3	1480	1578	23.7%	30.0%	46.3%	-12.5	4
2020-12-04	@ Queen Of The South	W 3-0	1578	1480	46.3%	30.0%	23.7%	+12.5	10
2020-12-05	Ayr United	L 0-2	1454	1555	23.6%	29.9%	46.5%	-8.5	1
2020-12-05	@ Alloa Athletic	W 2-0	1555	1454	46.5%	29.9%	23.6%	+8.5	11
2020-12-05	Arbroath	W 1-0	1535	1525	36.6%	33.2%	30.2%	+5.6	8
2020-12-05	@ Dundee	L 0-1	1525	1535	30.2%	33.2%	36.6%	-5.6	2
2020-12-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1502	1651	20.3%	25.7%	54.0%	-7.1	7
2020-12-05	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-0	1651	1502	54.0%	25.7%	20.3%	+7.1	15
2020-12-05	Dunfermline Athletic	D 2-2	1468	1582	22.5%	28.8%	48.7%	+0.7	11
2020-12-05	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	1582	1468	48.7%	28.8%	22.5%	-0.7	14
2020-12-11	Raith Rovers	D 0-0	1563	1468	49.5%	28.4%	22.1%	-1.0	12
2020-12-11	@ Ayr United	D 0-0	1468	1563	22.1%	28.4%	49.5%	+1.0	12
2020-12-12	Alloa Athletic	L 0-1	1519	1446	46.1%	30.1%	23.8%	-7.5	2
2020-12-12	@ Arbroath	W 1-0	1446	1519	23.8%	30.1%	46.1%	+7.5	4
2020-12-12	Greenock Morton	L 1-2	1581	1495	48.2%	29.1%	22.8%	-7.2	14
2020-12-12	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-1	1495	1581	22.8%	29.1%	48.2%	+7.2	10
2020-12-12	Queen Of The South	W 6-1	1658	1467	64.4%	18.6%	17.0%	+10.4	18
2020-12-12	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-6	1467	1658	17.0%	18.6%	64.4%	-10.4	4
2020-12-12	Dundee	D 2-2	1591	1541	42.6%	31.6%	25.8%	-0.4	11
2020-12-12	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	1541	1591	25.8%	31.6%	42.6%	+0.4	9
2020-12-19	Inverness CT	W 2-1	1453	1590	21.0%	26.8%	52.2%	+7.6	7
2020-12-19	@ Alloa Athletic	L 1-2	1590	1453	52.2%	26.8%	21.0%	-7.6	11
2020-12-19	Ayr United	W 2-1	1512	1562	28.3%	32.7%	38.9%	+6.3	5
2020-12-19	@ Arbroath	L 1-2	1562	1512	38.9%	32.7%	28.3%	-6.3	12
2020-12-19	Dunfermline Athletic	D 3-3	1541	1574	30.5%	33.2%	36.3%	+0.1	10
2020-12-19	@ Dundee	D 3-3	1574	1541	36.3%	33.2%	30.5%	-0.1	15
2020-12-19	Queen Of The South	W 2-0	1502	1457	41.9%	31.8%	26.2%	+9.5	13
2020-12-19	@ Greenock Morton	L 0-2	1457	1502	26.2%	31.8%	41.9%	-9.5	4
2020-12-26	Raith Rovers	L 2-5	1461	1469	33.9%	33.4%	32.7%	-12.2	7
2020-12-26	@ Alloa Athletic	W 5-2	1469	1461	32.7%	33.4%	33.9%	+12.2	15
2020-12-26	Arbroath	W 1-0	1574	1518	43.5%	31.2%	25.2%	+4.9	18
2020-12-26	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	1518	1574	25.2%	31.2%	43.5%	-4.8	5
2020-12-26	Ayr United	W 5-3	1668	1556	52.2%	26.8%	21.0%	+5.5	21
2020-12-26	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 3-5	1556	1668	21.0%	26.8%	52.2%	-5.5	12
2020-12-26	Dundee	L 1-3	1447	1541	24.1%	30.4%	45.6%	-7.6	4
2020-12-26	@ Queen Of The South	W 3-1	1541	1447	45.6%	30.4%	24.1%	+7.6	13
2020-12-29	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1550	1512	40.8%	32.2%	27.0%	-0.5	13
2020-12-29	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	1512	1550	27.0%	32.2%	40.8%	+0.5	14
2020-12-29	Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	1549	1449	50.3%	27.9%	21.8%	+6.8	16
2020-12-29	@ Dundee	L 1-3	1449	1549	21.8%	27.9%	50.3%	-6.8	7
2020-12-29	Arbroath	W 3-1	1674	1513	59.8%	21.8%	18.4%	+5.3	24
2020-12-29	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1513	1674	18.4%	21.8%	59.8%	-5.3	5
2020-12-29	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	1583	1579	35.6%	33.3%	31.1%	-0.1	12
2020-12-29	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	1579	1583	31.1%	33.3%	35.6%	+0.1	19
2020-12-29	Queen Of The South	L 0-2	1481	1440	41.3%	32.0%	26.6%	-13.1	15
2020-12-29	@ Raith Rovers	W 2-0	1440	1481	26.6%	32.0%	41.3%	+13.1	7
2021-01-02	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1442	1512	26.2%	31.9%	41.9%	+0.5	8
2021-01-02	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	1512	1442	41.9%	31.9%	26.2%	-0.5	15
2021-01-02	Heart of Midlothian	W 3-1	1556	1679	21.9%	28.0%	50.1%	+12.9	19
2021-01-02	@ Dundee	L 1-3	1679	1556	50.1%	28.0%	21.9%	-12.9	24
2021-01-02	Ayr United	W 3-2	1453	1550	23.8%	30.1%	46.1%	+6.7	10
2021-01-02	@ Queen Of The South	L 2-3	1550	1453	46.1%	30.1%	23.8%	-6.7	13
2021-01-15	Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	1512	1579	26.6%	32.0%	41.4%	+0.5	16
2021-01-15	@ Greenock Morton	D 0-0	1579	1512	41.4%	32.0%	26.6%	-0.5	20
2021-01-16	Heart of Midlothian	L 1-3	1443	1666	16.6%	17.7%	65.7%	-4.5	8
2021-01-16	@ Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	1666	1443	65.7%	17.7%	16.6%	+4.5	27
2021-01-16	Arbroath	D 2-2	1459	1508	28.6%	32.8%	38.6%	+0.2	11
2021-01-16	@ Queen Of The South	D 2-2	1508	1459	38.6%	32.8%	28.6%	-0.2	6
2021-01-22	Dundee	D 1-1	1507	1568	27.2%	32.3%	40.5%	+0.4	7
2021-01-22	@ Arbroath	D 1-1	1568	1507	40.5%	32.3%	27.2%	-0.4	20
2021-01-23	Ayr United	D 0-0	1579	1543	40.3%	32.4%	27.3%	-0.5	21
2021-01-23	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	1543	1579	27.3%	32.4%	40.3%	+0.5	14
2021-01-23	Raith Rovers	L 2-3	1671	1468	66.2%	17.3%	16.5%	-8.3	27
2021-01-23	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	1468	1671	16.5%	17.3%	66.2%	+8.4	18
2021-01-23	Greenock Morton	W 2-1	1460	1512	28.1%	32.6%	39.3%	+6.3	14
2021-01-23	@ Queen Of The South	L 1-2	1512	1460	39.3%	32.6%	28.1%	-6.3	16
2021-01-26	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	1477	1662	18.4%	21.8%	59.8%	-11.6	18
2021-01-26	@ Raith Rovers	W 4-0	1662	1477	59.8%	21.8%	18.4%	+11.6	30
2021-01-27	Inverness CT	D 2-2	1506	1583	25.6%	31.5%	42.9%	+0.4	17
2021-01-27	@ Greenock Morton	D 2-2	1583	1506	42.9%	31.5%	25.6%	-0.4	13
2021-01-30	Alloa Athletic	W 4-1	1544	1438	51.2%	27.4%	21.4%	+9.4	17
2021-01-30	@ Ayr United	L 1-4	1438	1544	21.4%	27.4%	51.2%	-9.4	8
2021-01-30	Arbroath	L 0-1	1506	1508	34.9%	33.4%	31.8%	-6.2	17
2021-01-30	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1508	1506	31.8%	33.4%	34.9%	+6.2	10
2021-01-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	1674	1578	49.6%	28.3%	22.1%	+4.2	33
2021-01-30	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1578	1674	22.1%	28.3%	49.6%	-4.2	21
2021-01-30	Dundee	W 3-1	1465	1568	23.4%	29.7%	46.9%	+12.4	21
2021-01-30	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-3	1568	1465	46.9%	29.7%	23.4%	-12.3	20
2021-02-03	Inverness CT	D 1-1	1514	1582	26.5%	32.0%	41.6%	+0.5	11
2021-02-03	@ Arbroath	D 1-1	1582	1514	41.6%	32.0%	26.5%	-0.5	14
2021-02-03	Raith Rovers	W 4-1	1574	1477	49.7%	28.2%	22.0%	+9.7	24
2021-02-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-4	1477	1574	22.0%	28.2%	49.7%	-9.7	21
2021-02-05	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-1	1553	1678	21.8%	27.9%	50.3%	-4.1	17
2021-02-05	@ Ayr United	W 1-0	1678	1553	50.3%	27.9%	21.8%	+4.1	36
2021-02-06	Queen Of The South	W 2-1	1429	1466	29.9%	33.1%	36.9%	+6.1	11
2021-02-06	@ Alloa Athletic	L 1-2	1466	1429	36.9%	33.1%	29.9%	-6.1	14
2021-02-06	Dunfermline Athletic	W 2-0	1515	1584	26.4%	31.9%	41.7%	+13.2	14
2021-02-06	@ Arbroath	L 0-2	1584	1515	41.7%	31.9%	26.4%	-13.2	24
2021-02-06	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	1500	1468	39.9%	32.5%	27.6%	-6.8	17
2021-02-06	@ Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1468	1500	27.6%	32.5%	39.9%	+6.8	24
2021-02-12	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1460	1682	16.7%	17.8%	65.5%	+1.7	15
2021-02-12	@ Queen Of The South	D 1-1	1682	1460	65.5%	17.8%	16.7%	-1.7	37
2021-02-13	Arbroath	D 1-1	1435	1528	24.2%	30.4%	45.4%	+0.7	12
2021-02-13	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	1528	1435	45.4%	30.4%	24.2%	-0.7	15
2021-02-17	Queen Of The South	L 0-1	1582	1462	53.4%	26.0%	20.5%	-8.2	14
2021-02-17	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	1462	1582	20.5%	26.0%	53.4%	+8.2	18
2021-02-20	Raith Rovers	W 1-0	1527	1475	43.0%	31.5%	25.6%	+4.9	18
2021-02-20	@ Arbroath	L 0-1	1475	1527	25.6%	31.5%	43.0%	-4.9	24
2021-02-20	Inverness CT	L 0-2	1549	1573	31.6%	33.3%	35.1%	-11.0	17
2021-02-20	@ Ayr United	W 2-0	1573	1549	35.1%	33.3%	31.6%	+11.0	17
2021-02-20	Queen Of The South	L 2-3	1556	1470	48.1%	29.1%	22.8%	-6.9	20
2021-02-20	@ Dundee	W 3-2	1470	1556	22.8%	29.1%	48.1%	+6.9	21
2021-02-20	Alloa Athletic	W 2-1	1570	1436	55.8%	24.5%	19.7%	+3.4	27
2021-02-20	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-2	1436	1570	19.7%	24.5%	55.8%	-3.4	12
2021-02-20	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1680	1493	63.9%	19.0%	17.2%	-1.6	38
2021-02-20	@ Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1493	1680	17.2%	19.0%	63.9%	+1.6	18
2021-02-23	Alloa Athletic	D 2-2	1584	1432	58.5%	22.7%	18.8%	-1.0	18
2021-02-23	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	1432	1584	18.8%	22.7%	58.5%	+1.0	13
2021-02-26	Heart of Midlothian	D 1-1	1583	1679	23.9%	30.3%	45.8%	+0.7	19
2021-02-26	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	1679	1583	45.8%	30.3%	23.9%	-0.7	39
2021-02-27	Arbroath	L 0-1	1538	1532	36.0%	33.2%	30.8%	-6.3	17
2021-02-27	@ Ayr United	W 1-0	1532	1538	30.8%	33.2%	36.0%	+6.3	21
2021-02-27	Dundee	D 2-2	1495	1549	28.0%	32.6%	39.4%	+0.3	19
2021-02-27	@ Greenock Morton	D 2-2	1549	1495	39.4%	32.6%	28.0%	-0.3	21
2021-02-27	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	1477	1574	23.8%	30.1%	46.0%	+7.5	24
2021-02-27	@ Queen Of The South	L 0-1	1574	1477	46.0%	30.1%	23.8%	-7.5	27
2021-02-27	Alloa Athletic	W 3-1	1470	1433	40.5%	32.3%	27.2%	+8.5	27
2021-02-27	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-3	1433	1470	27.2%	32.3%	40.5%	-8.5	13
2021-03-02	Inverness CT	W 2-1	1549	1584	30.1%	33.1%	36.7%	+6.1	24
2021-03-02	@ Dundee	L 1-2	1584	1549	36.7%	33.1%	30.1%	-6.1	19
2021-03-06	Inverness CT	D 1-1	1425	1578	20.0%	25.1%	54.8%	+1.2	14
2021-03-06	@ Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	1578	1425	54.8%	25.1%	20.0%	-1.2	20
2021-03-06	Queen Of The South	L 2-4	1538	1484	43.2%	31.4%	25.4%	-10.5	21
2021-03-06	@ Arbroath	W 4-2	1484	1538	25.4%	31.4%	43.2%	+10.5	27
2021-03-06	Ayr United	L 0-2	1495	1532	30.1%	33.1%	36.8%	-10.6	19
2021-03-06	@ Greenock Morton	W 2-0	1532	1495	36.8%	33.1%	30.1%	+10.6	20
2021-03-06	Dundee	W 2-1	1678	1555	54.0%	25.7%	20.3%	+3.6	42
2021-03-06	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 1-2	1555	1678	20.3%	25.7%	54.0%	-3.6	24
2021-03-09	Greenock Morton	L 0-1	1577	1485	49.1%	28.6%	22.3%	-7.8	20
2021-03-09	@ Inverness CT	W 1-0	1485	1577	22.3%	28.6%	49.1%	+7.8	22
2021-03-09	Ayr United	D 0-0	1478	1542	26.9%	32.2%	41.0%	+0.5	28
2021-03-09	@ Raith Rovers	D 0-0	1542	1478	41.0%	32.2%	26.9%	-0.5	21
2021-03-12	Raith Rovers	D 0-0	1569	1479	48.8%	28.7%	22.4%	-1.0	21
2021-03-12	@ Inverness CT	D 0-0	1479	1569	22.4%	28.7%	48.8%	+1.0	29
2021-03-13	Arbroath	W 2-0	1551	1528	38.5%	32.8%	28.7%	+10.2	27
2021-03-13	@ Dundee	L 0-2	1528	1551	28.7%	32.8%	38.5%	-10.2	21
2021-03-13	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1566	1493	46.2%	30.1%	23.7%	+4.6	30
2021-03-13	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 0-1	1493	1566	23.7%	30.1%	46.2%	-4.6	22
2021-03-13	Ayr United	W 2-0	1682	1542	56.6%	24.0%	19.4%	+6.7	45
2021-03-13	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-2	1542	1682	19.4%	24.0%	56.6%	-6.7	21
2021-03-13	Alloa Athletic	L 2-3	1495	1426	45.4%	30.4%	24.1%	-6.6	27
2021-03-13	@ Queen Of The South	W 3-2	1426	1495	24.1%	30.4%	45.4%	+6.6	17
2021-03-16	Ayr United	L 1-3	1561	1535	39.0%	32.7%	28.3%	-10.9	27
2021-03-16	@ Dundee	W 3-1	1535	1561	28.3%	32.7%	39.0%	+10.9	24
2021-03-16	Inverness CT	L 0-1	1480	1568	24.6%	30.8%	44.7%	-4.7	29
2021-03-16	@ Raith Rovers	W 1-0	1568	1480	44.7%	30.8%	24.6%	+4.7	24
2021-03-19	Dundee	L 0-3	1432	1550	22.2%	28.5%	49.2%	-11.6	17
2021-03-19	@ Alloa Athletic	W 3-0	1550	1432	49.2%	28.5%	22.2%	+11.6	30
2021-03-20	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1518	1688	19.1%	23.4%	57.5%	+1.5	22
2021-03-20	@ Arbroath	D 0-0	1688	1518	57.5%	23.4%	19.1%	-1.5	46
2021-03-20	Raith Rovers	D 1-1	1546	1475	45.8%	30.3%	23.9%	-0.7	25
2021-03-20	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	1475	1546	23.9%	30.3%	45.8%	+0.7	30
2021-03-20	Inverness CT	L 0-1	1571	1573	34.8%	33.4%	31.9%	-6.2	30
2021-03-20	@ Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	1573	1571	31.9%	33.4%	34.8%	+6.2	27
2021-03-20	Queen Of The South	W 2-1	1488	1488	35.1%	33.3%	31.6%	+5.5	25
2021-03-20	@ Greenock Morton	L 1-2	1488	1488	31.6%	33.3%	35.1%	-5.5	27
2021-03-27	Ayr United	D 2-2	1421	1545	21.8%	27.9%	50.3%	+0.7	18
2021-03-27	@ Alloa Athletic	D 2-2	1545	1421	50.3%	27.9%	21.8%	-0.7	26
2021-03-27	Dunfermline Athletic	W 3-2	1562	1565	34.7%	33.4%	31.9%	+5.2	33
2021-03-27	@ Dundee	L 2-3	1565	1562	31.9%	33.4%	34.7%	-5.2	30
2021-03-27	Queen Of The South	L 2-3	1687	1482	66.5%	17.1%	16.4%	-8.4	46
2021-03-27	@ Heart of Midlothian	W 3-2	1482	1687	16.4%	17.1%	66.5%	+8.4	30
2021-03-27	Arbroath	W 1-0	1579	1519	44.1%	31.0%	24.9%	+4.8	30
2021-03-27	@ Inverness CT	L 0-1	1519	1579	24.9%	31.0%	44.1%	-4.8	22
2021-03-27	Greenock Morton	W 1-0	1476	1493	32.5%	33.4%	34.1%	+6.1	33
2021-03-27	@ Raith Rovers	L 0-1	1493	1476	34.1%	33.4%	32.5%	-6.1	25
2021-03-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 5-1	1482	1559	25.5%	31.4%	43.0%	+21.3	36
2021-03-30	@ Raith Rovers	L 1-5	1559	1482	43.0%	31.4%	25.5%	-21.3	30
2021-04-03	Alloa Athletic	W 2-1	1514	1422	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	+4.0	25
2021-04-03	@ Arbroath	L 1-2	1422	1514	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	-4.0	18
2021-04-03	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1538	1679	20.8%	26.4%	52.8%	+1.2	31
2021-04-03	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	1679	1538	52.8%	26.4%	20.8%	-1.2	47
2021-04-06	Dundee	L 0-3	1545	1567	31.8%	33.4%	34.8%	-16.0	26
2021-04-06	@ Ayr United	W 3-0	1567	1545	34.8%	33.4%	31.8%	+16.0	36
2021-04-06	Inverness CT	L 1-4	1487	1584	23.9%	30.2%	45.9%	-10.6	25
2021-04-06	@ Greenock Morton	W 4-1	1584	1487	45.9%	30.2%	23.9%	+10.6	33
2021-04-09	Alloa Athletic	W 6-0	1677	1418	74.4%	11.6%	14.0%	+10.9	50
2021-04-09	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-6	1418	1677	14.0%	11.6%	74.4%	-10.9	18
2021-04-10	Dunfermline Athletic	D 1-1	1529	1539	33.5%	33.4%	33.1%	-0.0	27
2021-04-10	@ Ayr United	D 1-1	1539	1529	33.1%	33.4%	33.5%	+0.0	32
2021-04-10	Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1583	1477	51.3%	27.3%	21.4%	-1.0	37
2021-04-10	@ Dundee	D 1-1	1477	1583	21.4%	27.3%	51.3%	+1.0	26
2021-04-10	Inverness CT	D 1-1	1491	1594	23.3%	29.7%	47.0%	+0.8	31
2021-04-10	@ Queen Of The South	D 1-1	1594	1491	47.0%	29.7%	23.3%	-0.8	34
2021-04-10	Arbroath	D 2-2	1503	1518	32.9%	33.4%	33.7%	+0.0	37
2021-04-10	@ Raith Rovers	D 2-2	1518	1503	33.7%	33.4%	32.9%	-0.0	26
2021-04-13	Dundee	D 0-0	1539	1582	29.3%	33.0%	37.8%	+0.3	33
2021-04-13	@ Dunfermline Athletic	D 0-0	1582	1539	37.8%	33.0%	29.3%	-0.3	38
2021-04-13	Raith Rovers	L 0-1	1492	1503	33.4%	33.4%	33.2%	-6.0	31
2021-04-13	@ Queen Of The South	W 1-0	1503	1492	33.2%	33.4%	33.4%	+6.0	40
2021-04-17	Raith Rovers	L 1-2	1407	1509	23.4%	29.8%	46.9%	-4.2	18
2021-04-17	@ Alloa Athletic	W 2-1	1509	1407	46.9%	29.8%	23.4%	+4.2	43
2021-04-17	Ayr United	W 4-0	1518	1528	33.6%	33.4%	33.0%	+21.4	29
2021-04-17	@ Arbroath	L 0-4	1528	1518	33.0%	33.4%	33.6%	-21.4	27
2021-04-17	Queen Of The South	W 3-1	1540	1486	43.2%	31.4%	25.4%	+8.0	36
2021-04-17	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 1-3	1486	1540	25.4%	31.4%	43.2%	-8.0	31
2021-04-20	Heart of Midlothian	D 0-0	1478	1688	17.2%	19.1%	63.7%	+1.8	27
2021-04-20	@ Greenock Morton	D 0-0	1688	1478	63.7%	19.1%	17.2%	-1.8	51
2021-04-20	Dundee	D 1-1	1594	1582	36.8%	33.1%	30.1%	-0.2	35
2021-04-20	@ Inverness CT	D 1-1	1582	1594	30.1%	33.1%	36.8%	+0.2	39
2021-04-24	Queen Of The South	D 0-0	1507	1478	39.5%	32.6%	28.0%	-0.4	28
2021-04-24	@ Ayr United	D 0-0	1478	1507	28.0%	32.6%	39.5%	+0.4	32
2021-04-24	Raith Rovers	W 2-1	1582	1513	45.4%	30.4%	24.1%	+4.4	42
2021-04-24	@ Dundee	L 1-2	1513	1582	24.1%	30.4%	45.4%	-4.4	43
2021-04-24	Arbroath	W 4-3	1548	1540	36.2%	33.2%	30.5%	+5.0	39
2021-04-24	@ Dunfermline Athletic	L 3-4	1540	1548	30.5%	33.2%	36.2%	-5.0	29
2021-04-24	Alloa Athletic	D 1-1	1480	1402	46.8%	29.8%	23.4%	-0.8	28
2021-04-24	@ Greenock Morton	D 1-1	1402	1480	23.4%	29.8%	46.8%	+0.8	19
2021-04-24	Inverness CT	W 3-0	1686	1593	49.2%	28.5%	22.3%	+11.6	54
2021-04-24	@ Heart of Midlothian	L 0-3	1593	1686	22.3%	28.5%	49.2%	-11.7	35
2021-04-30	Dunfermline Athletic	W 1-0	1403	1553	20.2%	25.6%	54.2%	+8.3	22
2021-04-30	@ Alloa Athletic	L 0-1	1553	1403	54.2%	25.6%	20.2%	-8.3	39
2021-04-30	Greenock Morton	D 0-0	1535	1479	43.5%	31.3%	25.2%	-0.7	30
2021-04-30	@ Arbroath	D 0-0	1479	1535	25.2%	31.3%	43.5%	+0.7	29
2021-04-30	Ayr United	D 2-2	1582	1507	46.4%	30.0%	23.6%	-0.6	36
2021-04-30	@ Inverness CT	D 2-2	1507	1582	23.6%	30.0%	46.4%	+0.6	29
2021-04-30	Dundee	L 0-2	1478	1586	22.9%	29.3%	47.8%	-8.3	32
2021-04-30	@ Queen Of The South	W 2-0	1586	1478	47.8%	29.3%	22.9%	+8.3	45
2021-04-30	Heart of Midlothian	L 0-4	1509	1698	18.2%	21.4%	60.4%	-11.4	43
2021-04-30	@ Raith Rovers	W 4-0	1698	1509	60.4%	21.4%	18.2%	+11.4	57

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-03-27	16.38%	Queen Of The South	1482	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1687	2
2	2021-01-23	16.48%	Raith Rovers	1468	3	@ Heart of Midlothian	1671	2
3	2020-10-17	19.82%	@ Raith Rovers	1405	3	Arbroath	1562	0
4	2021-04-30	20.25%	@ Alloa Athletic	1403	1	Dunfermline Athletic	1553	0
5	2021-02-17	20.53%	Queen Of The South	1462	1	@ Inverness CT	1582	0
6	2020-12-19	20.99%	@ Alloa Athletic	1453	2	Inverness CT	1590	1
7	2021-01-02	21.87%	@ Dundee	1556	3	Heart of Midlothian	1679	1
8	2021-03-09	22.33%	Greenock Morton	1485	1	@ Inverness CT	1577	0
9	2020-12-12	22.75%	Greenock Morton	1495	2	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1581	1
10	2021-02-20	22.78%	Queen Of The South	1470	3	@ Dundee	1556	2
11	2021-01-30	23.35%	@ Raith Rovers	1465	3	Dundee	1568	1
12	2020-12-12	23.77%	Alloa Athletic	1446	1	@ Arbroath	1519	0
13	2021-01-02	23.80%	@ Queen Of The South	1453	3	Ayr United	1550	2
14	2021-02-27	23.81%	@ Queen Of The South	1477	1	Dunfermline Athletic	1574	0
15	2021-03-13	24.13%	Alloa Athletic	1426	3	@ Queen Of The South	1495	2
16	2020-11-07	24.29%	@ Raith Rovers	1443	5	Greenock Morton	1534	0
17	2020-10-24	25.04%	Raith Rovers	1428	5	@ Queen Of The South	1486	2
18	2021-03-06	25.42%	Queen Of The South	1484	4	@ Arbroath	1538	2
19	2021-03-30	25.53%	@ Raith Rovers	1482	5	Dunfermline Athletic	1559	1
20	2020-11-20	25.91%	@ Dunfermline Athletic	1575	2	Heart of Midlothian	1649	1
21	2021-02-06	26.37%	@ Arbroath	1515	2	Dunfermline Athletic	1584	0
22	2020-12-29	26.62%	Queen Of The South	1440	2	@ Raith Rovers	1481	0
23	2021-02-06	27.62%	Raith Rovers	1468	1	@ Greenock Morton	1500	0
24	2021-01-23	28.10%	@ Queen Of The South	1460	2	Greenock Morton	1512	1
25	2021-03-16	28.33%	Ayr United	1535	3	@ Dundee	1561	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-11-07	32.52	@ Raith Rovers	5	1443	24.29%	Greenock Morton	0	1534	45.16%
2	2020-10-17	23.01	@ Raith Rovers	3	1405	19.82%	Arbroath	0	1562	55.41%
3	2021-04-17	21.43	@ Arbroath	4	1518	33.60%	Ayr United	0	1528	32.99%
4	2021-03-30	21.31	@ Raith Rovers	5	1482	25.53%	Dunfermline Athletic	1	1559	43.04%
5	2021-04-06	16.01	Dundee	3	1567	34.80%	@ Ayr United	0	1545	31.84%
6	2020-10-24	14.47	Raith Rovers	5	1428	25.04%	@ Queen Of The South	2	1486	43.85%
7	2021-02-06	13.20	@ Arbroath	2	1515	26.37%	Dunfermline Athletic	0	1584	41.72%
8	2020-12-29	13.12	Queen Of The South	2	1440	26.62%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1481	41.33%
9	2021-01-02	12.88	@ Dundee	3	1556	21.87%	Heart of Midlothian	1	1679	50.11%
10	2020-12-04	12.48	Inverness CT	3	1578	46.29%	@ Queen Of The South	0	1480	23.68%
11	2021-01-30	12.35	@ Raith Rovers	3	1465	23.35%	Dundee	1	1568	46.93%
12	2020-12-26	12.19	Raith Rovers	5	1469	32.72%	@ Alloa Athletic	2	1461	33.87%
13	2021-04-24	11.65	@ Heart of Midlothian	3	1686	49.21%	Inverness CT	0	1593	22.26%
14	2021-03-19	11.64	Dundee	3	1550	49.25%	@ Alloa Athletic	0	1432	22.25%
15	2021-01-26	11.62	Heart of Midlothian	4	1662	59.84%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1477	18.37%
16	2020-10-16	11.48	@ Heart of Midlothian	6	1629	46.49%	Dundee	2	1553	23.58%
17	2021-04-30	11.44	Heart of Midlothian	4	1698	60.40%	@ Raith Rovers	0	1509	18.20%
18	2020-10-24	11.41	Dunfermline Athletic	4	1561	42.74%	@ Alloa Athletic	1	1485	25.71%
19	2020-11-21	11.14	@ Queen Of The South	2	1468	34.29%	Alloa Athletic	0	1474	32.32%
20	2020-11-21	11.04	@ Ayr United	2	1544	34.71%	Dundee	0	1546	31.92%
21	2021-02-20	10.97	Inverness CT	2	1573	35.06%	@ Ayr United	0	1549	31.60%
22	2021-03-16	10.92	Ayr United	3	1535	28.33%	@ Dundee	1	1561	38.96%
23	2021-04-09	10.90	@ Heart of Midlothian	6	1677	74.42%	Alloa Athletic	0	1418	13.95%
24	2021-04-06	10.61	Inverness CT	4	1584	45.92%	@ Greenock Morton	1	1487	23.87%
25	2021-03-06	10.58	Ayr United	2	1532	36.80%	@ Greenock Morton	0	1495	30.06%