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2018-19 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee United

11.69 points above expected

65 points · 53.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Queen Of The South

14.20 points below expected

38 points · 52.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Ross County 36 21 8 7 71 63 34 +29 63.05 +7.95
2 Dundee United 36 19 8 9 65 49 40 +9 53.31 +11.69
3 Inverness CT 36 14 14 8 56 48 40 +8 63.36 -7.36
4 Ayr United 36 15 9 12 54 50 38 +12 46.91 +7.09
5 Greenock Morton 36 11 13 12 46 36 45 -9 46.02 -0.02
6 Partick Thistle 36 12 7 17 43 43 52 -9 45.26 -2.26
7 Dunfermline Athletic 36 11 8 17 41 33 40 -7 54.83 -13.83
8 Alloa Athletic 36 10 9 17 39 39 53 -14 30.87 +8.13
9 Queen Of The South 36 9 11 16 38 41 48 -7 52.20 -14.20
10 Falkirk 36 9 11 16 38 37 49 -12 46.27 -8.27

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Ross County 1534 71 63.05 +7.95 86.0% 36 50 58 63 68 76 91
Inverness CT 1495 56 63.36 -7.36 18.8% 28 50 58 63 69 76 91
Dundee United 1468 65 53.31 +11.69 93.5% 25 40 48 53 59 66 82
Dunfermline Athletic 1414 41 54.83 -13.83 4.4% 28 42 50 55 60 68 91
Partick Thistle 1412 43 45.26 -2.26 41.8% 18 33 40 45 50 58 74
Ayr United 1404 54 46.91 +7.09 83.7% 17 34 42 47 52 60 80
Falkirk 1389 38 46.27 -8.27 15.7% 19 34 41 46 51 59 74
Greenock Morton 1381 46 46.02 -0.02 52.8% 19 33 41 46 51 59 78
Queen Of The South 1366 38 52.20 -14.20 3.9% 26 39 47 52 58 65 82
Alloa Athletic 1300 39 30.87 +8.13 88.8% 10 19 26 31 36 43 59

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AA AU DU DA FAL GM IC PT QOTS RC
Alloa Athletic —
0-1-3
4.02
1-1-2
3.20
0-2-2
3.19
1-1-2
3.88
3-0-1
3.87
0-2-2
2.65
1-1-2
3.99
3-1-0
3.35
1-0-3
2.65
Ayr United
3-1-0
7.14
 —
3-0-1
4.95
2-1-1
4.86
2-0-2
5.81
1-3-0
5.80
0-1-3
4.15
3-0-1
5.10
1-2-1
5.15
0-1-3
4.05
Dundee United
2-1-1
8.01
1-0-3
6.19
 —
3-0-1
5.15
3-1-0
6.45
1-2-1
6.42
2-2-0
4.48
2-1-1
6.31
3-0-1
5.72
2-1-1
4.56
Dunfermline Athletic
2-2-0
8.01
1-1-2
6.28
1-0-3
5.98
 —
2-0-2
6.52
1-2-1
6.19
1-1-2
4.56
2-1-1
6.50
1-1-2
5.84
0-0-4
4.81
Falkirk
2-1-1
7.29
2-0-2
5.33
0-1-3
4.69
2-0-2
4.62
 —
0-2-2
5.72
1-2-1
3.96
0-3-1
5.87
1-1-2
4.95
1-1-2
3.68
Greenock Morton
1-0-3
7.30
0-3-1
5.35
1-2-1
4.72
1-2-1
4.95
2-2-0
5.42
 —
0-2-2
3.66
2-0-2
5.81
2-2-0
4.90
2-0-2
3.95
Inverness CT
2-2-0
8.61
3-1-0
7.02
0-2-2
6.66
2-1-1
6.58
1-2-1
7.22
2-2-0
7.51
 —
3-0-1
7.54
1-2-1
6.75
0-2-2
5.58
Partick Thistle
2-1-1
7.17
1-0-3
6.03
1-1-2
4.83
1-1-2
4.63
1-3-0
5.26
2-0-2
5.32
1-0-3
3.64
 —
3-0-1
4.68
0-1-3
3.75
Queen Of The South
0-1-3
7.85
1-2-1
5.99
1-0-3
5.41
2-1-1
5.29
2-1-1
6.19
0-2-2
6.25
1-2-1
4.40
1-0-3
6.47
 —
1-2-1
4.40
Ross County
3-0-1
8.61
3-1-0
7.11
1-1-2
6.59
4-0-0
6.34
2-1-1
7.50
2-0-2
7.23
2-2-0
5.54
3-1-0
7.43
1-2-1
6.76
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +11.8
Allowed 0.64 -14.8
Differential 0.88 +8.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%11.39%6.67%2.22%0.56%0.83%29.44%
111.39%12.22%9.17%1.11%0.28%0.83%35.00%
26.67%9.17%5.56%2.50%0.83%—24.72%
32.22%1.11%2.50%1.67%——7.50%
40.56%0.28%0.83%———1.67%
5+0.83%0.83%————1.67%
Total29.44%35.00%24.72%7.50%1.67%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.57
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%13.89%2.78%——33.33%
18.33%5.56%11.11%2.78%——27.78%
25.56%13.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%36.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.47 -0.39
SD 0.91 1.03 1.27
CV 0.84 0.70 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%2.78%——2.78%30.56%
113.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
28.33%2.78%—5.56%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total38.89%36.11%11.11%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.06 +0.33
SD 1.40 1.19 1.85
CV 1.01 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%2.78%——2.78%11.11%
116.67%22.22%8.33%——2.78%50.00%
213.89%16.67%—2.78%——33.33%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%47.22%13.89%2.78%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.11 +0.25
SD 0.83 1.21 1.59
CV 0.61 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%25.00%5.56%2.78%——44.44%
116.67%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%—8.33%———11.11%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%27.78%27.78%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.11 -0.19
SD 1.08 1.06 1.45
CV 1.18 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%16.67%2.78%——33.33%
18.33%19.44%11.11%———38.89%
25.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
32.78%—5.56%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%38.89%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.36 -0.33
SD 0.94 0.99 1.35
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
113.89%19.44%11.11%——2.78%47.22%
25.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
3———————
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total30.56%36.11%22.22%5.56%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.25 -0.25
SD 0.99 1.27 1.71
CV 0.99 1.02 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%2.78%———22.22%
116.67%8.33%11.11%———36.11%
22.78%8.33%13.89%2.78%——27.78%
32.78%—8.33%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%22.22%36.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.11 +0.22
SD 0.99 0.98 0.99
CV 0.74 0.88 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
15.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
25.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
35.56%—2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%38.89%27.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.44 -0.25
SD 0.95 1.16 1.57
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
15.56%13.89%11.11%———30.56%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%——5.56%——8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total25.00%36.11%22.22%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.33 -0.19
SD 1.27 1.10 1.80
CV 1.11 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%——2.78%—22.22%
18.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
213.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total36.11%44.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.94 +0.81
SD 1.38 0.98 1.67
CV 0.79 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee United 65 53.31 +11.69
2 Alloa Athletic 39 30.87 +8.13
3 Ross County 71 63.05 +7.95
4 Ayr United 54 46.91 +7.09
5 Greenock Morton 46 46.02 -0.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Queen Of The South 38 52.20 -14.20
2 Dunfermline Athletic 41 54.83 -13.83
3 Falkirk 38 46.27 -8.27
4 Inverness CT 56 63.36 -7.36
5 Partick Thistle 43 45.26 -2.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alloa Athletic 4 Mar 30 – Apr 13 1 in 383
2 Ayr United 4 Sep 15 – Oct 6 1 in 81
3 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Feb 16 – Mar 9 1 in 58
4 Greenock Morton 3 Apr 20 – May 4 1 in 46
5 Dundee United 4 Oct 27 – Nov 20 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 7 Jan 26 – Mar 9 1 in 2,145
2 Partick Thistle 7 Sep 28 – Nov 10 1 in 592
3 Falkirk 6 Aug 4 – Sep 22 1 in 248
4 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Apr 9 – May 4 1 in 119
5 Ayr United 3 Feb 23 – Mar 8 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alloa Athletic 6 Dec 8 – Jan 12 1 in 145
2 Ayr United 9 Oct 27 – Dec 29 1 in 114
3 Falkirk 8 Jan 5 – Mar 8 1 in 98
4 Inverness CT 14 Aug 4 – Nov 17 1 in 95
5 Ross County 9 Sep 1 – Nov 3 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 7 Sep 22 – Nov 3 1 in 179
2 Dunfermline Athletic 8 Mar 26 – May 4 1 in 81
3 Queen Of The South 7 Jan 26 – Mar 9 1 in 64
4 Partick Thistle 9 Sep 28 – Dec 1 1 in 54
5 Greenock Morton 7 Mar 1 – Apr 16 1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Ross County39.00%26.75%14.84%8.82%4.87%2.92%1.68%0.72%0.39%0.01%
Dundee United6.78%11.38%16.32%16.16%15.18%11.89%10.00%7.00%4.36%0.93%
Inverness CT38.14%27.90%15.13%8.39%4.94%2.87%1.48%0.79%0.32%0.04%
Ayr United1.37%3.40%6.41%10.75%12.78%14.36%16.02%15.95%14.63%4.33%
Greenock Morton0.98%2.63%5.35%7.73%10.90%14.30%16.50%18.18%18.02%5.41%
Partick Thistle0.62%2.27%4.63%7.71%9.41%13.28%15.95%19.02%20.42%6.69%
Dunfermline Athletic7.72%13.68%18.05%16.88%14.60%11.60%8.16%5.52%3.26%0.53%
Alloa Athletic—0.02%0.06%0.14%0.46%1.02%2.17%5.34%14.97%75.82%
Queen Of The South4.49%9.11%13.59%15.56%15.76%13.89%11.73%8.78%5.95%1.14%
Falkirk0.90%2.86%5.62%7.86%11.10%13.87%16.31%18.70%17.68%5.10%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+2.78%
No Edge
37.78%27.22%35.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 9.65 Elo pts.
502 Elo
0.002 goals per Elo point
01500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.06 goals
Neutral
-2+0.02+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Ross County, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.19 * Some Luck: 6.19 to 9.28 * Lucky: 9.28 to 12.37 * Wild Swing: 12.37 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.9 * Off: 1.9 to 2.53 * Way Off: 2.53 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.08 points
Some Luck
07.7319
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.60
Way Off
01.584
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
93.54%
Dundee United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.88%
Queen Of The South
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.32
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
79%
Clear Edge
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
73%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.68
Coin-Flip
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.39
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.29
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Shaky Favorites
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.10
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.39
Overconfident
0.2113221.001.78868
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.116
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Ross County 39.00% 50.41% 10.58% 0.01%
Inverness CT 38.14% 51.42% 10.40% 0.04%
Dunfermline Athletic 7.72% 48.61% 43.14% 0.53%
Dundee United 6.78% 43.86% 48.43% 0.93%
Queen Of The South 4.49% 38.26% 56.11% 1.14%
Ayr United 1.37% 20.56% 73.74% 4.33%
Falkirk 0.90% 16.34% 77.66% 5.10%
Greenock Morton 0.98% 15.71% 77.90% 5.41%
Partick Thistle 0.62% 14.61% 78.08% 6.69%
Alloa Athletic — 0.22% 23.96% 75.82%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2018-08-04 Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1456 1286 65.0% 18.7% 16.2% +2.9 3
2018-08-04 @ Ross County L 0-1 1286 1456 16.2% 18.7% 65.0% -2.9 0
2018-08-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1433 1486 37.4% 21.9% 40.8% -5.5 0
2018-08-04 @ Dundee United W 3-2 1486 1433 40.8% 21.9% 37.4% +5.5 3
2018-08-04 Inverness CT L 0-1 1439 1493 37.2% 21.9% 40.9% -6.2 0
2018-08-04 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1493 1439 40.9% 21.9% 37.2% +6.2 3
2018-08-04 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1309 1427 28.9% 21.4% 49.7% +14.7 3
2018-08-04 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1427 1309 49.7% 21.4% 28.9% -14.7 0
2018-08-04 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1415 1421 44.1% 21.8% 34.1% -0.3 1
2018-08-04 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1421 1415 34.1% 21.8% 44.1% +0.3 1
2018-08-11 Ayr United D 0-0 1499 1323 65.6% 18.6% 15.8% -2.1 4
2018-08-11 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1323 1499 15.8% 18.6% 65.6% +2.1 4
2018-08-11 Dundee United L 1-2 1421 1428 44.0% 21.8% 34.3% -6.7 1
2018-08-11 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1428 1421 34.3% 21.8% 44.0% +6.7 3
2018-08-11 Falkirk W 2-1 1412 1433 42.1% 21.8% 36.1% +5.7 3
2018-08-11 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1433 1412 36.1% 21.8% 42.1% -5.7 0
2018-08-11 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1283 1415 27.3% 21.2% 51.4% -9.0 0
2018-08-11 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1415 1283 51.4% 21.2% 27.3% +9.0 4
2018-08-11 Ross County L 1-3 1492 1459 49.4% 21.4% 29.2% -12.7 3
2018-08-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1459 1492 29.2% 21.4% 49.4% +12.7 6
2018-08-25 Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1497 1274 70.0% 17.2% 12.8% -1.6 5
2018-08-25 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1274 1497 12.8% 17.2% 70.0% +1.6 1
2018-08-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1325 1479 24.9% 20.9% 54.2% +19.4 7
2018-08-25 @ Ayr United L 1-4 1479 1325 54.2% 20.9% 24.9% -19.4 3
2018-08-25 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1434 1418 47.1% 21.6% 31.3% +8.7 6
2018-08-25 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1418 1434 31.3% 21.6% 47.1% -8.7 3
2018-08-25 Queen Of The South L 0-3 1427 1414 46.7% 21.6% 31.7% -20.3 0
2018-08-25 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1414 1427 31.7% 21.6% 46.7% +20.3 4
2018-08-25 Ross County W 2-1 1424 1471 38.2% 21.9% 40.0% +6.1 7
2018-08-25 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1471 1424 40.0% 21.9% 38.2% -6.2 6
2018-09-01 Ayr United W 5-0 1434 1345 56.4% 20.6% 23.0% +18.1 7
2018-09-01 @ Queen Of The South L 0-5 1345 1434 23.0% 20.6% 56.4% -18.1 7
2018-09-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1275 1443 23.5% 20.7% 55.8% +1.2 2
2018-09-01 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1443 1275 55.8% 20.7% 23.5% -1.2 7
2018-09-01 Falkirk W 2-0 1465 1407 52.6% 21.1% 26.3% +8.7 9
2018-09-01 @ Ross County L 0-2 1407 1465 26.3% 21.1% 52.6% -8.7 0
2018-09-01 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1409 1430 42.0% 21.8% 36.2% +6.0 6
2018-09-01 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1430 1409 36.2% 21.8% 42.0% -6.0 7
2018-09-01 Inverness CT L 0-3 1460 1496 39.9% 21.9% 38.3% -17.8 3
2018-09-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1496 1460 38.3% 21.9% 39.9% +17.8 8
2018-09-15 Alloa Athletic D 0-0 1442 1276 64.6% 18.9% 16.6% -2.0 4
2018-09-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1276 1442 16.6% 18.9% 64.6% +2.0 3
2018-09-15 Falkirk W 3-2 1327 1398 34.9% 21.8% 43.3% +6.2 10
2018-09-15 @ Ayr United L 2-3 1398 1327 43.3% 21.8% 34.9% -6.2 0
2018-09-15 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1442 1424 47.3% 21.6% 31.1% -0.6 8
2018-09-15 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1424 1442 31.1% 21.6% 47.3% +0.6 8
2018-09-15 Partick Thistle W 3-2 1513 1415 57.4% 20.4% 22.2% +3.5 11
2018-09-15 @ Inverness CT L 2-3 1415 1513 22.2% 20.4% 57.4% -3.5 6
2018-09-15 Ross County D 0-0 1452 1474 41.9% 21.8% 36.2% -0.2 8
2018-09-15 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1474 1452 36.2% 21.8% 41.9% +0.2 10
2018-09-22 Ayr United L 0-2 1278 1333 37.2% 21.9% 40.9% -11.6 3
2018-09-22 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1333 1278 40.9% 21.9% 37.2% +11.6 13
2018-09-22 Dundee United L 0-2 1392 1441 37.9% 21.9% 40.2% -11.8 0
2018-09-22 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1441 1392 40.2% 21.9% 37.9% +11.8 11
2018-09-22 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1424 1440 42.7% 21.8% 35.5% -0.2 9
2018-09-22 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1440 1424 35.5% 21.8% 42.7% +0.2 5
2018-09-22 Inverness CT D 0-0 1474 1517 38.9% 21.9% 39.3% +0.0 11
2018-09-22 @ Ross County D 0-0 1517 1474 39.3% 21.9% 38.9% -0.0 12
2018-09-22 Queen Of The South W 3-2 1412 1452 39.2% 21.9% 39.0% +5.7 9
2018-09-22 @ Partick Thistle L 2-3 1452 1412 39.0% 21.9% 39.2% -5.7 8
2018-09-28 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1440 1417 48.0% 21.5% 30.4% +5.2 8
2018-09-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1417 1440 30.4% 21.5% 48.0% -5.2 9
2018-09-29 Ayr United L 1-5 1424 1345 55.2% 20.8% 24.1% -25.5 9
2018-09-29 @ Greenock Morton W 5-1 1345 1424 24.1% 20.8% 55.2% +25.5 16
2018-09-29 Falkirk L 0-2 1267 1380 29.5% 21.5% 49.0% -9.6 3
2018-09-29 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1380 1267 49.0% 21.5% 29.5% +9.6 3
2018-09-29 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1517 1447 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% -1.2 13
2018-09-29 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1447 1517 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% +1.2 9
2018-09-29 Ross County L 1-5 1453 1474 42.0% 21.8% 36.2% -20.2 11
2018-09-29 @ Dundee United W 5-1 1474 1453 36.2% 21.8% 42.0% +20.2 14
2018-10-06 Alloa Athletic D 3-3 1448 1257 67.0% 18.2% 14.8% -1.2 10
2018-10-06 @ Queen Of The South D 3-3 1257 1448 14.8% 18.2% 67.0% +1.2 4
2018-10-06 Dundee United W 2-0 1370 1433 36.1% 21.8% 42.1% +12.8 19
2018-10-06 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1433 1370 42.1% 21.8% 36.1% -12.8 11
2018-10-06 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1389 1445 37.0% 21.8% 41.2% -11.6 3
2018-10-06 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1445 1389 41.2% 21.8% 37.0% +11.6 11
2018-10-06 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1516 1399 59.5% 20.0% 20.5% -1.4 14
2018-10-06 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1399 1516 20.5% 20.0% 59.5% +1.4 10
2018-10-06 Ross County L 0-2 1412 1494 33.4% 21.7% 44.9% -10.7 9
2018-10-06 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1494 1412 44.9% 21.7% 33.4% +10.7 17
2018-10-13 Dundee United L 1-2 1401 1420 42.3% 21.8% 35.9% -6.4 9
2018-10-13 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1420 1401 35.9% 21.8% 42.3% +6.4 14
2018-10-20 Ayr United W 2-1 1505 1383 60.1% 19.9% 20.0% +3.4 20
2018-10-20 @ Ross County L 1-2 1383 1505 20.0% 19.9% 60.1% -3.4 19
2018-10-20 Falkirk W 1-0 1400 1378 47.9% 21.6% 30.6% +5.2 13
2018-10-20 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1378 1400 30.6% 21.6% 47.9% -5.2 3
2018-10-20 Inverness CT D 1-1 1426 1514 32.7% 21.7% 45.6% +0.4 15
2018-10-20 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1514 1426 45.6% 21.7% 32.7% -0.4 15
2018-10-20 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1258 1395 26.8% 21.2% 52.0% +8.1 7
2018-10-20 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1395 1258 52.0% 21.2% 26.8% -8.1 9
2018-10-20 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1457 1446 46.4% 21.6% 32.0% -7.4 11
2018-10-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1446 1457 32.0% 21.6% 46.4% +7.4 13
2018-10-27 Ayr United L 0-1 1387 1380 45.9% 21.7% 32.4% -7.3 9
2018-10-27 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1380 1387 32.4% 21.7% 45.9% +7.3 22
2018-10-27 Dundee United L 0-2 1450 1427 48.0% 21.5% 30.4% -14.3 11
2018-10-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1427 1450 30.4% 21.5% 48.0% +14.3 18
2018-10-27 Falkirk W 2-0 1454 1373 55.4% 20.7% 23.9% +8.0 16
2018-10-27 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1373 1454 23.9% 20.7% 55.4% -8.0 3
2018-10-27 Greenock Morton W 5-0 1508 1405 57.9% 20.3% 21.7% +17.1 23
2018-10-27 @ Ross County L 0-5 1405 1508 21.7% 20.3% 57.9% -17.2 13
2018-10-27 Inverness CT D 0-0 1267 1514 16.6% 18.9% 64.5% +2.0 8
2018-10-27 @ Alloa Athletic D 0-0 1514 1267 64.5% 18.9% 16.6% -2.0 16
2018-10-30 Alloa Athletic W 3-0 1387 1268 59.6% 20.0% 20.4% +10.0 25
2018-10-30 @ Ayr United L 0-3 1268 1387 20.4% 20.0% 59.6% -10.0 8
2018-10-30 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1512 1435 54.8% 20.8% 24.3% -0.8 17
2018-10-30 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1435 1512 24.3% 20.8% 54.8% +0.8 12
2018-10-30 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1462 1388 54.5% 20.9% 24.6% -8.0 16
2018-10-30 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1388 1462 24.6% 20.9% 54.5% +8.0 16
2018-10-30 Ross County D 1-1 1365 1526 24.2% 20.8% 55.0% +1.1 4
2018-10-30 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1526 1365 55.0% 20.8% 24.2% -1.1 24
2018-11-03 Ayr United L 0-1 1366 1397 40.5% 21.9% 37.6% -6.6 4
2018-11-03 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1397 1366 37.6% 21.9% 40.5% +6.6 28
2018-11-03 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1258 1436 22.5% 20.5% 57.0% -4.0 8
2018-11-03 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1436 1258 57.0% 20.5% 22.5% +4.0 15
2018-11-03 Partick Thistle W 5-1 1396 1380 47.2% 21.6% 31.2% +16.0 19
2018-11-03 @ Greenock Morton L 1-5 1380 1396 31.2% 21.6% 47.2% -16.0 9
2018-11-03 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1441 1454 43.1% 21.8% 35.1% +11.1 21
2018-11-03 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1454 1441 35.1% 21.8% 43.1% -11.1 16
2018-11-03 Ross County D 2-2 1511 1524 43.1% 21.8% 35.1% -0.2 18
2018-11-03 @ Inverness CT D 2-2 1524 1511 35.1% 21.8% 43.1% +0.2 25
2018-11-10 Alloa Athletic L 0-2 1412 1254 63.8% 19.1% 17.2% -18.3 19
2018-11-10 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1254 1412 17.2% 19.1% 63.8% +18.3 11
2018-11-10 Dundee United L 0-1 1525 1452 54.3% 20.9% 24.8% -8.4 25
2018-11-10 @ Ross County W 1-0 1452 1525 24.8% 20.9% 54.3% +8.4 24
2018-11-10 Falkirk L 0-1 1440 1359 55.4% 20.7% 23.9% -8.6 15
2018-11-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1359 1440 23.9% 20.7% 55.4% +8.6 7
2018-11-10 Inverness CT L 0-1 1364 1511 25.6% 21.0% 53.4% -4.5 9
2018-11-10 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1511 1364 53.4% 21.0% 25.6% +4.5 21
2018-11-10 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1403 1443 39.4% 21.9% 38.8% -0.0 29
2018-11-10 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1443 1403 38.8% 21.9% 39.4% +0.0 17
2018-11-17 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1403 1394 46.2% 21.7% 32.1% -0.5 30
2018-11-17 @ Ayr United D 0-0 1394 1403 32.1% 21.7% 46.2% +0.5 20
2018-11-17 Inverness CT D 3-3 1443 1516 34.7% 21.8% 43.5% +0.2 18
2018-11-17 @ Queen Of The South D 3-3 1516 1443 43.5% 21.8% 34.7% -0.2 22
2018-11-17 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1368 1359 46.1% 21.7% 32.2% -0.5 8
2018-11-17 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1359 1368 32.2% 21.7% 46.1% +0.5 10
2018-11-20 Alloa Athletic W 4-2 1461 1273 66.7% 18.2% 15.0% +3.9 27
2018-11-20 @ Dundee United L 2-4 1273 1461 15.0% 18.2% 66.7% -4.0 11
2018-11-24 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1516 1432 55.8% 20.7% 23.5% +3.9 28
2018-11-24 @ Ross County L 1-2 1432 1516 23.5% 20.7% 55.8% -3.9 15
2018-11-30 Ayr United L 0-5 1465 1403 53.0% 21.1% 25.9% -36.4 27
2018-11-30 @ Dundee United W 5-0 1403 1465 25.9% 21.1% 53.0% +36.4 33
2018-12-01 Falkirk L 2-3 1515 1367 62.8% 19.3% 17.9% -8.6 22
2018-12-01 @ Inverness CT W 3-2 1367 1515 17.9% 19.3% 62.8% +8.6 11
2018-12-01 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1428 1394 49.4% 21.4% 29.2% +13.8 18
2018-12-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1394 1428 29.2% 21.4% 49.4% -13.8 20
2018-12-01 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1443 1360 55.6% 20.7% 23.6% +4.2 21
2018-12-01 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1360 1443 23.6% 20.7% 55.6% -4.2 10
2018-12-01 Ross County L 0-1 1269 1520 16.3% 18.8% 64.9% -2.9 11
2018-12-01 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1520 1269 64.9% 18.8% 16.3% +2.9 31
2018-12-08 Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1376 1266 58.7% 20.2% 21.1% -1.0 12
2018-12-08 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1266 1376 21.1% 20.2% 58.7% +1.0 12
2018-12-08 Dundee United D 1-1 1380 1428 38.1% 21.9% 40.0% +0.1 21
2018-12-08 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1428 1380 40.0% 21.9% 38.1% -0.1 28
2018-12-08 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1355 1442 32.9% 21.7% 45.4% +13.6 13
2018-12-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1442 1355 45.4% 21.7% 32.9% -13.6 18
2018-12-08 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1523 1447 54.8% 20.8% 24.4% -1.1 32
2018-12-08 @ Ross County D 1-1 1447 1523 24.4% 20.8% 54.8% +1.1 22
2018-12-15 Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1369 1267 57.8% 20.3% 21.8% -1.0 14
2018-12-15 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1267 1369 21.8% 20.3% 57.8% +1.0 13
2018-12-15 Dundee United D 1-1 1507 1428 55.1% 20.8% 24.1% -1.1 23
2018-12-15 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1428 1507 24.1% 20.8% 55.1% +1.1 29
2018-12-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1448 1428 47.7% 21.6% 30.8% -0.7 23
2018-12-15 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1428 1448 30.8% 21.6% 47.7% +0.7 19
2018-12-15 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1375 1380 44.1% 21.8% 34.1% -0.4 13
2018-12-15 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1380 1375 34.1% 21.8% 44.1% +0.4 22
2018-12-15 Ross County D 3-3 1439 1522 33.4% 21.7% 44.9% +0.2 34
2018-12-15 @ Ayr United D 3-3 1522 1439 44.9% 21.7% 33.4% -0.2 33
2018-12-22 Ayr United D 0-0 1429 1440 43.4% 21.8% 34.8% -0.3 20
2018-12-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1440 1429 34.8% 21.8% 43.4% +0.3 35
2018-12-22 Falkirk W 2-1 1429 1374 52.1% 21.2% 26.7% +4.4 32
2018-12-22 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1374 1429 26.7% 21.2% 52.1% -4.4 13
2018-12-22 Inverness CT L 1-2 1381 1506 28.1% 21.3% 50.5% -4.6 22
2018-12-22 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1506 1381 50.5% 21.3% 28.1% +4.6 26
2018-12-22 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1522 1368 63.4% 19.2% 17.4% +5.9 36
2018-12-22 @ Ross County L 0-2 1368 1522 17.4% 19.2% 63.4% -5.9 14
2018-12-22 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1268 1448 22.3% 20.4% 57.2% +16.7 16
2018-12-22 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-2 1448 1268 57.2% 20.4% 22.3% -16.7 23
2018-12-29 Ayr United D 1-1 1431 1440 43.7% 21.8% 34.5% -0.3 24
2018-12-29 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1440 1431 34.5% 21.8% 43.7% +0.3 36
2018-12-29 Dundee United W 2-1 1285 1434 25.4% 21.0% 53.6% +7.9 19
2018-12-29 @ Alloa Athletic L 1-2 1434 1285 53.6% 21.0% 25.4% -7.9 32
2018-12-29 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-4 1370 1428 36.7% 21.8% 41.5% -8.9 13
2018-12-29 @ Falkirk W 4-2 1428 1370 41.5% 21.8% 36.7% +8.9 23
2018-12-29 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1362 1376 42.9% 21.8% 35.3% -6.5 14
2018-12-29 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1376 1362 35.3% 21.8% 42.9% +6.5 25
2018-12-29 Inverness CT W 2-1 1528 1510 47.3% 21.6% 31.1% +5.0 39
2018-12-29 @ Ross County L 1-2 1510 1528 31.1% 21.6% 47.3% -5.0 26
2019-01-04 Ross County W 1-0 1383 1533 25.3% 21.0% 53.7% +8.4 28
2019-01-04 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1533 1383 53.7% 21.0% 25.3% -8.3 39
2019-01-05 Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1437 1292 62.5% 19.4% 18.1% -1.2 24
2019-01-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1292 1437 18.1% 19.4% 62.5% +1.2 20
2019-01-05 Falkirk L 0-1 1440 1361 55.1% 20.8% 24.1% -8.5 36
2019-01-05 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1361 1440 24.1% 20.8% 55.1% +8.5 16
2019-01-05 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1426 1356 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% -1.0 33
2019-01-05 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1356 1426 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% +1.0 15
2019-01-05 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1505 1431 54.6% 20.8% 24.6% -8.0 26
2019-01-05 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1431 1505 24.6% 20.8% 54.6% +8.0 27
2019-01-12 Ayr United W 1-0 1497 1432 53.5% 21.0% 25.5% +4.5 29
2019-01-12 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1432 1497 25.5% 21.0% 53.5% -4.5 36
2019-01-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1425 1436 43.4% 21.8% 34.8% +5.8 36
2019-01-12 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1436 1425 34.8% 21.8% 43.4% -5.9 24
2019-01-12 Falkirk D 1-1 1357 1370 43.1% 21.8% 35.1% -0.3 16
2019-01-12 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1370 1357 35.1% 21.8% 43.1% +0.3 17
2019-01-12 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1294 1391 31.5% 21.6% 46.9% +7.0 23
2019-01-12 @ Alloa Athletic L 1-2 1391 1294 46.9% 21.6% 31.5% -7.0 28
2019-01-12 Ross County W 4-0 1439 1524 33.0% 21.7% 45.3% +25.9 30
2019-01-12 @ Queen Of The South L 0-4 1524 1439 45.3% 21.7% 33.0% -25.9 39
2019-01-25 Dundee United W 1-0 1427 1431 44.4% 21.8% 33.8% +5.7 39
2019-01-25 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1431 1427 33.8% 21.8% 44.4% -5.7 36
2019-01-26 Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1499 1301 67.7% 18.0% 14.4% +4.9 42
2019-01-26 @ Ross County L 0-2 1301 1499 14.4% 18.0% 67.7% -4.9 23
2019-01-26 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1384 1430 38.4% 21.9% 39.7% +0.1 29
2019-01-26 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1430 1384 39.7% 21.9% 38.4% -0.0 25
2019-01-26 Inverness CT D 2-2 1370 1502 27.3% 21.2% 51.4% +0.6 18
2019-01-26 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1502 1370 51.4% 21.2% 27.3% -0.6 30
2019-01-26 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1356 1464 30.1% 21.5% 48.4% +7.2 19
2019-01-26 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1464 1356 48.4% 21.5% 30.1% -7.2 30
2019-01-29 Inverness CT L 2-3 1433 1501 35.3% 21.8% 42.9% -5.3 39
2019-01-29 @ Ayr United W 3-2 1501 1433 42.9% 21.8% 35.3% +5.3 33
2019-02-02 Ayr United L 1-3 1296 1428 27.3% 21.2% 51.4% -7.8 23
2019-02-02 @ Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1428 1296 51.4% 21.2% 27.3% +7.8 42
2019-02-02 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1425 1384 50.3% 21.3% 28.3% +4.6 39
2019-02-02 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1384 1425 28.3% 21.3% 50.3% -4.6 29
2019-02-02 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1506 1363 62.3% 19.4% 18.3% -9.0 33
2019-02-02 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1363 1506 18.3% 19.4% 62.3% +9.0 22
2019-02-02 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1371 1457 32.8% 21.7% 45.5% +19.8 21
2019-02-02 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1457 1371 45.5% 21.7% 32.8% -19.8 30
2019-02-02 Ross County L 1-2 1430 1503 34.6% 21.8% 43.6% -5.5 25
2019-02-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1503 1430 43.6% 21.8% 34.6% +5.5 45
2019-02-09 Falkirk L 1-2 1288 1390 30.8% 21.6% 47.6% -5.0 23
2019-02-09 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1390 1288 47.6% 21.6% 30.8% +5.0 24
2019-02-16 Ayr United D 0-0 1380 1435 37.0% 21.8% 41.1% +0.2 30
2019-02-16 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1435 1380 41.1% 21.8% 37.0% -0.2 43
2019-02-16 Dundee United L 0-1 1437 1430 46.0% 21.7% 32.3% -7.3 30
2019-02-16 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1430 1437 32.3% 21.7% 46.0% +7.3 42
2019-02-16 Inverness CT W 1-0 1425 1497 34.7% 21.8% 43.5% +7.0 28
2019-02-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1497 1425 43.5% 21.8% 34.7% -7.0 33
2019-02-16 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1283 1372 32.5% 21.7% 45.8% -10.4 23
2019-02-16 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1372 1283 45.8% 21.7% 32.5% +10.4 25
2019-02-23 Alloa Athletic L 1-2 1430 1273 63.8% 19.1% 17.2% -9.2 30
2019-02-23 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1273 1430 17.2% 19.1% 63.8% +9.2 26
2019-02-23 Dundee United D 1-1 1395 1437 39.1% 21.9% 39.1% +0.0 25
2019-02-23 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1437 1395 39.1% 21.9% 39.1% -0.0 43
2019-02-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1435 1432 45.4% 21.7% 32.9% -7.2 43
2019-02-23 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1432 1435 32.9% 21.7% 45.4% +7.2 31
2019-02-23 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1490 1380 58.8% 20.2% 21.0% +3.8 36
2019-02-23 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1380 1490 21.0% 20.2% 58.8% -3.8 30
2019-02-23 Ross County L 2-4 1383 1509 28.0% 21.3% 50.7% -7.1 25
2019-02-23 @ Partick Thistle W 4-2 1509 1383 50.7% 21.3% 28.0% +7.1 48
2019-02-26 Ayr United W 3-2 1516 1428 56.2% 20.6% 23.2% +3.7 51
2019-02-26 @ Ross County L 2-3 1428 1516 23.2% 20.6% 56.2% -3.7 43
2019-02-26 Inverness CT W 1-0 1437 1494 36.8% 21.8% 41.4% +6.7 46
2019-02-26 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1494 1437 41.4% 21.8% 36.8% -6.7 36
2019-02-26 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1439 1376 53.2% 21.0% 25.8% +12.4 34
2019-02-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1376 1439 25.8% 21.0% 53.2% -12.4 25
2019-02-26 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1376 1421 38.5% 21.9% 39.6% +6.5 33
2019-02-26 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1421 1376 39.6% 21.9% 38.5% -6.5 30
2019-03-01 Falkirk D 1-1 1382 1395 43.1% 21.8% 35.1% -0.3 34
2019-03-01 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1395 1382 35.1% 21.8% 43.1% +0.3 26
2019-03-02 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1451 1414 49.8% 21.4% 28.8% +5.0 37
2019-03-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1414 1451 28.8% 21.4% 49.8% -5.0 30
2019-03-08 Ayr United W 2-0 1396 1424 40.9% 21.9% 37.3% +11.6 29
2019-03-08 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1424 1396 37.3% 21.9% 40.9% -11.6 43
2019-03-09 Dundee United W 2-1 1363 1444 33.7% 21.7% 44.6% +6.7 28
2019-03-09 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1444 1363 44.6% 21.7% 33.7% -6.7 46
2019-03-09 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1282 1456 22.8% 20.5% 56.6% -4.1 26
2019-03-09 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1456 1282 56.6% 20.5% 22.8% +4.1 40
2019-03-09 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1520 1382 61.7% 19.6% 18.7% +6.4 54
2019-03-09 @ Ross County L 0-2 1382 1520 18.7% 19.6% 61.7% -6.4 34
2019-03-09 Inverness CT L 0-2 1409 1487 34.0% 21.8% 44.3% -10.8 30
2019-03-09 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1487 1409 44.3% 21.8% 34.0% +10.8 39
2019-03-12 Falkirk W 2-1 1526 1407 59.7% 20.0% 20.3% +3.4 57
2019-03-12 @ Ross County L 1-2 1407 1526 20.3% 20.0% 59.7% -3.4 29
2019-03-16 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1404 1370 49.5% 21.4% 29.1% -0.7 30
2019-03-16 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1370 1404 29.1% 21.4% 49.5% +0.7 29
2019-03-19 Ross County W 1-0 1437 1530 32.1% 21.7% 46.3% +7.4 49
2019-03-19 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1530 1437 46.3% 21.7% 32.1% -7.3 57
2019-03-22 Inverness CT L 1-2 1371 1498 27.8% 21.3% 50.9% -4.6 29
2019-03-22 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1498 1371 50.9% 21.3% 27.8% +4.6 42
2019-03-23 Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1444 1278 64.7% 18.8% 16.5% +2.8 52
2019-03-23 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1278 1444 16.5% 18.8% 64.7% -2.8 26
2019-03-26 Alloa Athletic W 3-2 1503 1275 70.3% 17.1% 12.6% +2.0 45
2019-03-26 @ Inverness CT L 2-3 1275 1503 12.6% 17.1% 70.3% -2.0 26
2019-03-26 Dundee United L 0-1 1460 1447 46.7% 21.6% 31.6% -7.4 40
2019-03-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1447 1460 31.6% 21.6% 46.7% +7.4 55
2019-03-29 Ayr United L 0-1 1453 1413 50.3% 21.3% 28.4% -7.9 40
2019-03-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1413 1453 28.4% 21.3% 50.3% +7.9 46
2019-03-30 Falkirk D 0-0 1505 1403 57.8% 20.3% 21.9% -1.5 46
2019-03-30 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1403 1505 21.9% 20.3% 57.8% +1.4 31
2019-03-30 Partick Thistle L 0-3 1376 1366 46.2% 21.7% 32.1% -20.1 34
2019-03-30 @ Greenock Morton W 3-0 1366 1376 32.1% 21.7% 46.2% +20.1 32
2019-03-30 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1454 1399 52.3% 21.1% 26.6% -7.7 55
2019-03-30 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1399 1454 26.6% 21.1% 52.3% +7.7 33
2019-03-30 Ross County W 1-0 1273 1522 16.5% 18.8% 64.7% +9.9 29
2019-03-30 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1522 1273 64.7% 18.8% 16.5% -9.9 57
2019-04-02 Falkirk D 1-1 1406 1405 45.1% 21.7% 33.1% -0.4 34
2019-04-02 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1405 1406 33.1% 21.7% 45.1% +0.4 32
2019-04-02 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1421 1356 53.4% 21.0% 25.6% -1.0 47
2019-04-02 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1356 1421 25.6% 21.0% 53.4% +1.0 35
2019-04-02 Ross County L 1-2 1503 1512 43.7% 21.8% 34.5% -6.6 46
2019-04-02 @ Inverness CT W 2-1 1512 1503 34.5% 21.8% 43.7% +6.6 60
2019-04-05 Dundee United D 1-1 1519 1447 54.3% 20.9% 24.8% -1.0 61
2019-04-05 @ Ross County D 1-1 1447 1519 24.8% 20.9% 54.3% +1.0 56
2019-04-06 Alloa Athletic L 1-2 1405 1283 60.1% 19.9% 20.0% -8.7 32
2019-04-06 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1283 1405 20.0% 19.9% 60.1% +8.7 32
2019-04-06 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1386 1445 36.6% 21.8% 41.5% +0.1 33
2019-04-06 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1445 1386 41.5% 21.8% 36.6% -0.1 41
2019-04-06 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1406 1357 51.4% 21.2% 27.3% -0.9 35
2019-04-06 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1357 1406 27.3% 21.2% 51.4% +0.9 36
2019-04-06 Inverness CT L 0-1 1420 1497 34.1% 21.8% 44.2% -5.8 47
2019-04-06 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1497 1420 44.2% 21.8% 34.1% +5.8 49
2019-04-09 Alloa Athletic L 1-2 1357 1291 53.5% 21.0% 25.5% -7.9 36
2019-04-09 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1291 1357 25.5% 21.0% 53.5% +7.9 35
2019-04-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1518 1445 54.4% 20.9% 24.7% +4.4 64
2019-04-09 @ Ross County L 0-1 1445 1518 24.7% 20.9% 54.4% -4.4 41
2019-04-09 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1414 1405 46.1% 21.7% 32.2% +5.5 50
2019-04-09 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1405 1414 32.2% 21.7% 46.1% -5.5 35
2019-04-12 Ayr United W 2-1 1448 1419 48.8% 21.5% 29.8% +4.8 59
2019-04-12 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1419 1448 29.8% 21.5% 48.8% -4.8 50
2019-04-13 Falkirk L 0-1 1440 1396 50.8% 21.3% 27.9% -8.0 41
2019-04-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1396 1440 27.9% 21.3% 50.8% +8.0 35
2019-04-13 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1522 1386 61.5% 19.6% 18.9% -1.7 65
2019-04-13 @ Ross County D 0-0 1386 1522 18.9% 19.6% 61.5% +1.7 34
2019-04-13 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1299 1400 31.1% 21.6% 47.3% +7.5 38
2019-04-13 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1400 1299 47.3% 21.6% 31.1% -7.5 35
2019-04-16 Inverness CT D 2-2 1350 1503 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% +0.8 37
2019-04-16 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1503 1350 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% -0.8 50
2019-04-19 Ross County L 1-3 1414 1521 30.4% 21.5% 48.1% -8.5 50
2019-04-19 @ Ayr United W 3-1 1521 1414 48.1% 21.5% 30.4% +8.5 68
2019-04-20 Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1388 1307 55.4% 20.7% 23.9% +4.0 37
2019-04-20 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1307 1388 23.9% 20.7% 55.4% -4.0 38
2019-04-20 Dundee United L 0-2 1502 1453 51.4% 21.2% 27.3% -15.2 50
2019-04-20 @ Inverness CT W 2-0 1453 1502 27.3% 21.2% 51.4% +15.2 62
2019-04-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1392 1432 39.2% 21.9% 38.9% +6.0 38
2019-04-20 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1432 1392 38.9% 21.9% 39.2% -6.0 41
2019-04-20 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1404 1350 52.0% 21.2% 26.8% -15.3 35
2019-04-20 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1350 1404 26.8% 21.2% 52.0% +15.3 40
2019-04-23 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1406 1392 46.8% 21.6% 31.6% -7.4 50
2019-04-23 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1392 1406 31.6% 21.6% 46.8% +7.4 40
2019-04-26 Queen Of The South W 4-0 1529 1398 61.0% 19.7% 19.3% +12.4 71
2019-04-26 @ Ross County L 0-4 1398 1529 19.3% 19.7% 61.0% -12.4 38
2019-04-27 Ayr United L 1-2 1400 1398 45.1% 21.7% 33.2% -6.8 40
2019-04-27 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1398 1400 33.2% 21.7% 45.1% +6.8 53
2019-04-27 Falkirk W 2-0 1468 1389 55.1% 20.8% 24.1% +8.1 65
2019-04-27 @ Dundee United L 0-2 1389 1468 24.1% 20.8% 55.1% -8.1 35
2019-04-27 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1426 1366 52.9% 21.1% 26.0% -8.2 41
2019-04-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1366 1426 26.0% 21.1% 52.9% +8.2 43
2019-04-27 Inverness CT L 1-2 1303 1487 21.9% 20.4% 57.7% -3.7 38
2019-04-27 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1487 1303 57.7% 20.4% 21.9% +3.7 53
2019-05-04 Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1405 1299 58.3% 20.3% 21.4% -1.3 54
2019-05-04 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1299 1405 21.4% 20.3% 58.3% +1.3 39
2019-05-04 Dundee United W 1-0 1374 1476 30.9% 21.6% 47.5% +7.5 46
2019-05-04 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1476 1374 47.5% 21.6% 30.9% -7.5 65
2019-05-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1490 1418 54.3% 20.9% 24.8% +4.4 56
2019-05-04 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1418 1490 24.8% 20.9% 54.3% -4.4 41
2019-05-04 Partick Thistle L 0-3 1386 1393 43.9% 21.8% 34.3% -19.3 38
2019-05-04 @ Queen Of The South W 3-0 1393 1386 34.3% 21.8% 43.9% +19.3 43
2019-05-04 Ross County W 3-2 1381 1541 24.2% 20.8% 55.0% +7.6 38
2019-05-04 @ Falkirk L 2-3 1541 1381 55.0% 20.8% 24.2% -7.6 71

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-03-30 16.49% @ Alloa Athletic 1273 1 Ross County 1522 0
2 2019-02-23 17.15% Alloa Athletic 1273 2 @ Queen Of The South 1430 1
3 2018-11-10 17.16% Alloa Athletic 1254 2 @ Greenock Morton 1412 0
4 2018-12-01 17.89% Falkirk 1367 3 @ Inverness CT 1515 2
5 2019-02-02 18.30% Partick Thistle 1363 2 @ Inverness CT 1506 1
6 2019-04-06 20.01% Alloa Athletic 1283 2 @ Falkirk 1405 1
7 2018-12-22 22.32% @ Alloa Athletic 1268 2 Queen Of The South 1448 0
8 2018-11-10 23.90% Falkirk 1359 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1440 0
9 2018-09-29 24.05% Ayr United 1345 5 @ Greenock Morton 1424 1
10 2019-01-05 24.10% Falkirk 1361 1 @ Ayr United 1440 0
11 2019-05-04 24.22% @ Falkirk 1381 3 Ross County 1541 2
12 2019-01-05 24.56% Queen Of The South 1431 2 @ Inverness CT 1505 1
13 2018-10-30 24.65% Greenock Morton 1388 2 @ Queen Of The South 1462 1
14 2018-11-10 24.79% Dundee United 1452 1 @ Ross County 1525 0
15 2018-08-25 24.92% @ Ayr United 1325 4 Dunfermline Athletic 1479 1
16 2019-01-04 25.33% @ Greenock Morton 1383 1 Ross County 1533 0
17 2018-12-29 25.43% @ Alloa Athletic 1285 2 Dundee United 1434 1
18 2019-04-09 25.46% Alloa Athletic 1291 2 @ Greenock Morton 1357 1
19 2018-11-30 25.93% Ayr United 1403 5 @ Dundee United 1465 0
20 2019-04-27 26.04% Greenock Morton 1366 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1426 0
21 2019-03-30 26.59% Queen Of The South 1399 2 @ Dundee United 1454 1
22 2019-04-20 26.79% Greenock Morton 1350 2 @ Falkirk 1404 0
23 2018-10-20 26.80% @ Alloa Athletic 1258 1 Partick Thistle 1395 0
24 2019-04-20 27.33% Dundee United 1453 2 @ Inverness CT 1502 0
25 2019-04-13 27.91% Falkirk 1396 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1440 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-11-30 36.42 Ayr United 5 1403 25.93% @ Dundee United 0 1465 53.01% 21.06%
2 2019-01-12 25.86 @ Queen Of The South 4 1439 32.96% Ross County 0 1524 45.33% 21.71%
3 2018-09-29 25.51 Ayr United 5 1345 24.05% @ Greenock Morton 1 1424 55.18% 20.77%
4 2018-08-25 20.27 Queen Of The South 3 1414 31.72% @ Falkirk 0 1427 46.65% 21.63%
5 2018-09-29 20.23 Ross County 5 1474 36.22% @ Dundee United 1 1453 41.96% 21.83%
6 2019-03-30 20.11 Partick Thistle 3 1366 32.13% @ Greenock Morton 0 1376 46.21% 21.66%
7 2019-02-02 19.84 @ Falkirk 3 1371 32.84% Queen Of The South 0 1457 45.46% 21.70%
8 2018-08-25 19.44 @ Ayr United 4 1325 24.92% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1479 54.17% 20.91%
9 2019-05-04 19.29 Partick Thistle 3 1393 34.30% @ Queen Of The South 0 1386 43.93% 21.77%
10 2018-11-10 18.35 Alloa Athletic 2 1254 17.16% @ Greenock Morton 0 1412 63.78% 19.06%
11 2018-09-01 18.10 @ Queen Of The South 5 1434 56.37% Ayr United 0 1345 23.04% 20.59%
12 2018-09-01 17.83 Inverness CT 3 1496 38.28% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1460 39.86% 21.86%
13 2018-10-27 17.15 @ Ross County 5 1508 57.94% Greenock Morton 0 1405 21.74% 20.32%
14 2018-12-22 16.67 @ Alloa Athletic 2 1268 22.32% Queen Of The South 0 1448 57.24% 20.44%
15 2018-11-03 15.96 @ Greenock Morton 5 1396 47.17% Partick Thistle 1 1380 31.23% 21.60%
16 2019-04-20 15.32 Greenock Morton 2 1350 26.79% @ Falkirk 0 1404 52.03% 21.17%
17 2019-04-20 15.17 Dundee United 2 1453 27.33% @ Inverness CT 0 1502 51.44% 21.24%
18 2018-08-04 14.73 @ Ayr United 2 1309 28.91% Partick Thistle 0 1427 49.68% 21.41%
19 2018-10-27 14.30 Dundee United 2 1427 30.45% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1450 48.00% 21.54%
20 2018-12-01 13.84 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1428 49.40% Greenock Morton 0 1394 29.17% 21.43%
21 2018-12-08 13.64 @ Partick Thistle 2 1355 32.91% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1442 45.39% 21.70%
22 2018-10-06 12.83 @ Ayr United 2 1370 36.06% Dundee United 0 1433 42.11% 21.82%
23 2018-08-11 12.69 Ross County 3 1459 29.19% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1492 49.38% 21.43%
24 2019-02-26 12.44 @ Dunfermline Athletic 3 1439 53.16% Partick Thistle 0 1376 25.80% 21.04%
25 2019-04-26 12.41 @ Ross County 4 1529 61.01% Queen Of The South 0 1398 19.28% 19.72%