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2016-17 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dumbarton

4.48 points above expected

39 points · 34.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Raith Rovers

6.87 points below expected

39 points · 45.87 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hibernian 36 19 14 3 71 59 25 +34 69.35 +1.65
2 Falkirk 36 16 12 8 60 58 40 +18 61.76 -1.76
3 Dundee United 36 15 12 9 57 50 42 +8 62.05 -5.05
4 Greenock Morton 36 13 13 10 52 44 41 +3 51.29 +0.71
5 Dunfermline Athletic 36 12 12 12 48 46 43 +3 46.69 +1.31
6 Queen Of The South 36 11 10 15 43 46 52 -6 45.98 -2.98
7 St. Mirren 36 9 12 15 39 52 56 -4 40.02 -1.02
8 Dumbarton 36 9 12 15 39 46 56 -10 34.52 +4.48
9 Raith Rovers 36 10 9 17 39 35 52 -17 45.87 -6.87
10 Ayr United 36 7 12 17 33 33 62 -29 36.72 -3.72

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hibernian 1542 71 69.35 +1.65 60.4% 39 57 64 70 74 81 96
Falkirk 1486 60 61.76 -1.76 43.3% 30 49 57 62 67 74 90
Dundee United 1410 57 62.05 -5.05 26.9% 34 50 57 62 67 75 89
Dunfermline Athletic 1389 48 46.69 +1.31 60.2% 17 35 42 47 52 59 75
St. Mirren 1373 39 40.02 -1.02 48.4% 14 28 35 40 45 52 69
Greenock Morton 1336 52 51.29 +0.71 57.0% 25 39 46 51 56 64 80
Queen Of The South 1312 43 45.98 -2.98 37.6% 18 34 41 46 51 59 73
Dumbarton 1278 39 34.52 +4.48 76.9% 12 23 30 34 39 46 62
Raith Rovers 1252 39 45.87 -6.87 19.6% 20 34 41 46 51 58 76
Ayr United 1206 33 36.72 -3.72 33.6% 13 26 32 36 41 49 67

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU DUM DU DA FAL GM HIB QOTS RR SM
Ayr United —
2-2-0
5.48
0-1-3
3.05
1-2-1
4.49
0-1-3
3.05
1-1-2
4.04
1-1-2
2.35
1-1-2
4.58
1-1-2
4.52
0-2-2
5.13
Dumbarton
0-2-2
5.45
 —
2-1-1
2.88
0-1-3
4.21
1-1-2
2.94
1-1-2
3.70
0-1-3
2.33
2-1-1
4.08
2-1-1
3.98
1-3-0
5.06
Dundee United
3-1-0
7.99
1-1-2
8.18
 —
3-1-0
7.03
1-1-2
5.38
1-3-0
6.74
1-1-2
4.66
1-2-1
7.23
1-2-1
7.24
3-0-1
7.59
Dunfermline Athletic
1-2-1
6.46
3-1-0
6.74
0-1-3
3.94
 —
0-1-3
3.87
3-0-1
4.99
0-2-2
3.28
1-2-1
5.75
2-1-1
5.10
2-2-0
6.44
Falkirk
3-1-0
8.00
2-1-1
8.11
2-1-1
5.55
3-1-0
7.10
 —
0-3-1
6.65
0-1-3
4.58
1-2-1
7.28
3-0-1
6.72
2-2-0
7.84
Greenock Morton
2-1-1
6.93
2-1-1
7.28
0-3-1
4.21
1-0-3
5.95
1-3-0
4.29
 —
0-3-1
3.57
3-0-1
6.15
3-0-1
6.27
1-2-1
6.54
Hibernian
2-1-1
8.80
3-1-0
8.82
2-1-1
6.27
2-2-0
7.74
3-1-0
6.36
1-3-0
7.41
 —
3-1-0
7.76
1-3-0
8.10
2-1-1
8.17
Queen Of The South
2-1-1
6.36
1-1-2
6.88
1-2-1
3.75
1-2-1
5.18
1-2-1
3.72
1-0-3
4.82
0-1-3
3.28
 —
2-1-1
5.82
2-0-2
6.25
Raith Rovers
2-1-1
6.42
1-1-2
6.99
1-2-1
3.74
1-1-2
5.86
1-0-3
4.26
1-0-3
4.68
0-3-1
2.97
1-1-2
5.12
 —
2-0-2
5.80
St. Mirren
2-2-0
5.80
0-3-1
5.88
1-0-3
3.43
0-2-2
4.50
0-2-2
3.18
1-2-1
4.42
1-1-2
2.90
2-0-2
4.69
2-0-2
5.14
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.61 +10.9
Allowed 0.94 -10.7
Differential 0.93 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%8.89%6.11%2.50%1.11%0.56%25.83%
18.89%17.78%6.94%2.78%1.67%0.28%38.33%
26.11%6.94%7.22%1.39%0.56%0.28%22.50%
32.50%2.78%1.39%0.56%0.56%—7.78%
41.11%1.67%0.56%0.56%0.56%—4.44%
5+0.56%0.28%0.28%———1.11%
Total25.83%38.33%22.50%7.78%4.44%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.64
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
18.33%19.44%8.33%—8.33%—44.44%
2—8.33%2.78%——2.78%13.89%
32.78%—————2.78%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%25.00%5.56%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.72 -0.81
SD 0.94 1.47 1.64
CV 1.02 0.85 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
111.11%8.33%11.11%——2.78%33.33%
2—8.33%16.67%2.78%——27.78%
3—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
42.78%———2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%30.56%36.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.56 -0.28
SD 1.11 1.21 1.43
CV 0.87 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%—5.56%——22.22%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
22.78%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%41.67%11.11%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.17 +0.22
SD 1.08 1.11 1.46
CV 0.78 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
111.11%16.67%11.11%5.56%——44.44%
28.33%2.78%8.33%———19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———5.56%——5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%36.11%25.00%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.19 +0.08
SD 1.21 0.98 1.34
CV 0.95 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
111.11%19.44%11.11%———41.67%
211.11%8.33%13.89%—2.78%—36.11%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total25.00%44.44%27.78%—2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.11 +0.50
SD 0.96 0.89 1.34
CV 0.60 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
113.89%27.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%—55.56%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%47.22%13.89%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.14 +0.08
SD 1.07 1.07 1.70
CV 0.88 0.94 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
111.11%25.00%2.78%———38.89%
28.33%11.11%5.56%———25.00%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+———————
Total44.44%41.67%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.69 +0.94
SD 1.15 0.71 1.45
CV 0.70 1.02 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%38.89%
12.78%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—19.44%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%38.89%22.22%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.44 -0.17
SD 1.28 1.25 1.89
CV 1.00 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%44.44%
12.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
211.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%19.44%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.44 -0.47
SD 1.08 1.30 1.75
CV 1.11 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%——22.22%
12.78%25.00%5.56%11.11%——44.44%
28.33%—5.56%2.78%——16.67%
3——5.56%—2.78%—8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total16.67%33.33%30.56%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.56 -0.11
SD 1.40 1.05 1.79
CV 0.97 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dumbarton 39 34.52 +4.48
2 Hibernian 71 69.35 +1.65
3 Dunfermline Athletic 48 46.69 +1.31
4 Greenock Morton 52 51.29 +0.71
5 St. Mirren 39 40.02 -1.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Raith Rovers 39 45.87 -6.87
2 Dundee United 57 62.05 -5.05
3 Ayr United 33 36.72 -3.72
4 Queen Of The South 43 45.98 -2.98
5 Falkirk 60 61.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 92
2 Greenock Morton 4 Oct 1 – Nov 1 1 in 63
3 St. Mirren 3 Mar 15 – Apr 1 1 in 40
4 Hibernian 5 Aug 6 – Sep 10 1 in 31
5 Ayr United 2 Sep 10 – Sep 17 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 7 Oct 15 – Dec 6 1 in 1,818
2 Raith Rovers 6 Jan 2 – Feb 7 1 in 312
3 St. Mirren 6 Oct 15 – Dec 3 1 in 94
4 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Aug 13 – Sep 17 1 in 62
5 Dundee United 3 Mar 10 – Mar 18 1 in 59

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunfermline Athletic 9 Nov 19 – Jan 28 1 in 81
2 St. Mirren 7 Mar 11 – Apr 15 1 in 70
3 Dundee United 12 Sep 24 – Dec 24 1 in 33
4 Queen Of The South 8 Aug 6 – Oct 1 1 in 32
5 Greenock Morton 7 Oct 1 – Nov 19 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raith Rovers 15 Nov 5 – Feb 28 1 in 951
2 Queen Of The South 13 Sep 24 – Dec 31 1 in 414
3 St. Mirren 14 Aug 6 – Dec 3 1 in 171
4 Greenock Morton 9 Mar 25 – May 6 1 in 127
5 Ayr United 15 Oct 29 – Feb 25 1 in 117

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Hibernian62.12%23.48%10.00%3.04%0.98%0.27%0.06%0.03%0.02%—
Falkirk17.70%31.84%29.13%12.32%5.36%2.21%0.88%0.44%0.12%—
Dundee United17.48%32.80%28.40%12.27%5.35%2.22%1.00%0.34%0.13%0.01%
Greenock Morton1.58%6.00%14.02%25.62%19.97%14.18%9.76%5.52%2.55%0.80%
Dunfermline Athletic0.43%2.21%6.08%15.14%19.34%19.35%15.72%11.36%7.04%3.33%
Queen Of The South0.31%1.87%5.42%12.82%17.30%18.91%17.56%13.16%8.62%4.03%
St. Mirren0.02%0.19%1.12%4.33%8.40%12.73%16.40%21.60%19.73%15.48%
Dumbarton0.01%0.03%0.28%0.96%2.35%4.63%8.80%15.80%25.89%41.25%
Raith Rovers0.34%1.52%5.01%11.58%17.25%18.70%18.37%13.88%8.95%4.40%
Ayr United0.01%0.06%0.54%1.92%3.70%6.80%11.45%17.87%26.95%30.70%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.56%
Slight Edge
38.89%32.78%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.81 Elo pts.
250 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
62%
Hibernian, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.87 * Lucky: 8.87 to 11.83 * Wild Swing: 11.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.01 * Close: 1.01 to 1.51 * Off: 1.51 to 2.02 * Way Off: 2.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.27 points
As Expected
07.4018
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.263
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
76.95%
Dumbarton
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
19.62%
Raith Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.32
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.23
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Hibernian 62.12% 36.52% 1.36% —
Falkirk 17.70% 73.29% 9.01% —
Dundee United 17.48% 73.47% 9.04% 0.01%
Greenock Morton 1.58% 45.64% 51.98% 0.80%
Dunfermline Athletic 0.43% 23.43% 72.81% 3.33%
Queen Of The South 0.31% 20.11% 75.55% 4.03%
Raith Rovers 0.34% 18.11% 77.15% 4.40%
St. Mirren 0.02% 5.64% 78.86% 15.48%
Ayr United 0.01% 2.52% 66.77% 30.70%
Dumbarton 0.01% 1.27% 57.47% 41.25%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2016-08-06 Dumbarton W 4-3 1352 1257 52.7% 25.5% 21.8% +5.3 3
2016-08-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 3-4 1257 1352 21.8% 25.5% 52.7% -5.3 0
2016-08-06 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1346 1323 43.6% 26.7% 29.6% -0.7 1
2016-08-06 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1323 1346 29.6% 26.7% 43.6% +0.7 1
2016-08-06 Hibernian L 1-2 1428 1443 38.2% 27.0% 34.8% -9.0 0
2016-08-06 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1443 1428 34.8% 27.0% 38.2% +9.0 3
2016-08-06 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1432 1343 52.0% 25.6% 22.3% -1.5 1
2016-08-06 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1343 1432 22.3% 25.6% 52.0% +1.5 1
2016-08-06 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1301 1358 32.4% 26.9% 40.7% -15.8 0
2016-08-06 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1358 1301 40.7% 26.9% 32.4% +15.8 3
2016-08-13 Ayr United W 4-1 1344 1285 48.3% 26.2% 25.5% +16.0 4
2016-08-13 @ Queen Of The South L 1-4 1285 1344 25.5% 26.2% 48.3% -16.0 0
2016-08-13 Dundee United W 1-0 1252 1431 19.2% 24.8% 56.0% +12.9 3
2016-08-13 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1431 1252 56.0% 24.8% 19.2% -12.9 1
2016-08-13 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1452 1357 52.7% 25.5% 21.8% +5.7 6
2016-08-13 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1357 1452 21.8% 25.5% 52.7% -5.7 3
2016-08-13 Falkirk D 1-1 1323 1419 27.6% 26.5% 45.9% +0.9 2
2016-08-13 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1419 1323 45.9% 26.5% 27.6% -0.9 1
2016-08-13 St. Mirren W 3-1 1374 1346 44.3% 26.7% 29.0% +12.6 6
2016-08-13 @ Raith Rovers L 1-3 1346 1374 29.0% 26.7% 44.3% -12.6 1
2016-08-20 Ayr United W 3-0 1418 1269 58.7% 24.1% 17.2% +13.4 4
2016-08-20 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1269 1418 17.2% 24.1% 58.7% -13.4 0
2016-08-20 Dumbarton D 1-1 1324 1265 48.3% 26.2% 25.4% -1.2 3
2016-08-20 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1265 1324 25.4% 26.2% 48.3% +1.2 4
2016-08-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1387 1352 45.2% 26.6% 28.2% +14.2 9
2016-08-20 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1352 1387 28.2% 26.6% 45.2% -14.2 3
2016-08-20 Falkirk W 2-0 1360 1418 32.3% 26.9% 40.8% +18.8 7
2016-08-20 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1418 1360 40.8% 26.9% 32.3% -18.8 1
2016-08-20 Hibernian L 0-2 1333 1458 24.3% 26.0% 49.7% -12.6 1
2016-08-20 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1458 1333 49.7% 26.0% 24.3% +12.6 9
2016-08-27 Dumbarton W 1-0 1399 1266 57.0% 24.5% 18.5% +5.2 4
2016-08-27 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1266 1399 18.5% 24.5% 57.0% -5.2 4
2016-08-27 Greenock Morton W 4-0 1471 1323 58.6% 24.1% 17.3% +17.6 12
2016-08-27 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1323 1471 17.3% 24.1% 58.6% -17.6 3
2016-08-27 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1337 1379 34.5% 27.0% 38.5% -8.8 3
2016-08-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1379 1337 38.5% 27.0% 34.5% +8.8 10
2016-08-27 Raith Rovers D 2-2 1431 1401 44.5% 26.6% 28.8% -0.6 5
2016-08-27 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1401 1431 28.8% 26.6% 44.5% +0.6 10
2016-08-27 St. Mirren D 1-1 1256 1320 31.4% 26.8% 41.8% +0.5 1
2016-08-27 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1320 1256 41.8% 26.8% 31.4% -0.5 2
2016-09-10 Dundee United L 1-3 1329 1430 26.8% 26.4% 46.7% -11.8 3
2016-09-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1430 1329 46.7% 26.4% 26.8% +11.8 8
2016-09-10 Falkirk L 0-2 1402 1404 40.0% 26.9% 33.1% -18.5 10
2016-09-10 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1404 1402 33.1% 26.9% 40.0% +18.5 7
2016-09-10 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1256 1306 33.4% 26.9% 39.6% +9.2 4
2016-09-10 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1306 1256 39.6% 26.9% 33.4% -9.2 3
2016-09-10 Hibernian L 0-1 1261 1488 15.5% 23.3% 61.2% -4.4 4
2016-09-10 @ Dumbarton W 1-0 1488 1261 61.2% 23.3% 15.5% +4.4 15
2016-09-10 Queen Of The South L 1-3 1320 1388 31.0% 26.8% 42.2% -13.3 2
2016-09-10 @ St. Mirren W 3-1 1388 1320 42.2% 26.8% 31.0% +13.3 13
2016-09-17 Ayr United L 1-2 1493 1265 66.4% 21.3% 12.2% -14.1 15
2016-09-17 @ Hibernian W 2-1 1265 1493 12.2% 21.3% 66.4% +14.1 7
2016-09-17 Dundee United W 3-1 1423 1442 37.7% 27.0% 35.4% +14.7 10
2016-09-17 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1442 1423 35.4% 27.0% 37.7% -14.7 8
2016-09-17 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1296 1317 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% +8.5 6
2016-09-17 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1317 1296 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% -8.5 3
2016-09-17 Raith Rovers W 3-1 1401 1383 42.9% 26.8% 30.3% +13.0 16
2016-09-17 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1383 1401 30.3% 26.8% 42.9% -13.0 10
2016-09-17 St. Mirren D 1-1 1257 1307 33.4% 26.9% 39.7% +0.3 5
2016-09-17 @ Dumbarton D 1-1 1307 1257 39.7% 26.9% 33.4% -0.3 3
2016-09-24 Ayr United W 2-0 1437 1279 59.7% 23.8% 16.5% +8.9 13
2016-09-24 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1279 1437 16.5% 23.8% 59.7% -8.9 7
2016-09-24 Dumbarton W 3-2 1370 1257 54.8% 25.1% 20.1% +5.1 13
2016-09-24 @ Raith Rovers L 2-3 1257 1370 20.1% 25.1% 54.8% -5.1 5
2016-09-24 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1428 1305 55.9% 24.8% 19.3% +5.1 11
2016-09-24 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1305 1428 19.3% 24.8% 55.9% -5.1 6
2016-09-24 Hibernian D 0-0 1414 1479 31.4% 26.8% 41.7% +0.6 17
2016-09-24 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1479 1414 41.7% 26.8% 31.4% -0.6 16
2016-09-24 St. Mirren W 4-3 1308 1306 40.7% 26.9% 32.4% +7.3 6
2016-09-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 3-4 1306 1308 32.4% 26.9% 40.7% -7.3 3
2016-10-01 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1271 1316 34.0% 26.9% 39.0% +0.3 8
2016-10-01 @ Ayr United D 0-0 1316 1271 39.0% 26.9% 34.0% -0.3 7
2016-10-01 Falkirk D 1-1 1299 1446 22.0% 25.6% 52.4% +1.6 4
2016-10-01 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1446 1299 52.4% 25.6% 22.0% -1.6 14
2016-10-01 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1252 1415 20.6% 25.2% 54.2% +2.0 6
2016-10-01 @ Dumbarton D 0-0 1415 1252 54.2% 25.2% 20.6% -2.0 18
2016-10-01 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1300 1375 30.0% 26.7% 43.2% +10.4 9
2016-10-01 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1375 1300 43.2% 26.7% 30.0% -10.4 13
2016-10-02 Dundee United D 1-1 1478 1433 46.5% 26.4% 27.0% -1.0 17
2016-10-02 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1433 1478 27.0% 26.4% 46.5% +1.0 12
2016-10-15 Ayr United L 0-3 1254 1271 38.0% 27.0% 35.0% -25.9 6
2016-10-15 @ Dumbarton W 3-0 1271 1254 35.0% 27.0% 38.0% +25.9 11
2016-10-15 Dundee United L 0-2 1301 1434 23.4% 25.9% 50.7% -12.2 4
2016-10-15 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1434 1301 50.7% 25.9% 23.4% +12.2 15
2016-10-15 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1445 1315 56.6% 24.6% 18.7% +5.0 17
2016-10-15 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1315 1445 18.7% 24.6% 56.6% -5.0 7
2016-10-15 Greenock Morton L 0-5 1413 1310 53.6% 25.3% 21.1% -55.0 18
2016-10-15 @ Queen Of The South W 5-0 1310 1413 21.1% 25.3% 53.6% +55.0 12
2016-10-15 Hibernian D 0-0 1365 1477 25.6% 26.2% 48.1% +1.3 14
2016-10-15 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1477 1365 48.1% 26.2% 25.6% -1.3 18
2016-10-22 Dumbarton W 2-1 1446 1228 65.6% 21.7% 12.8% +3.4 18
2016-10-22 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1228 1446 12.8% 21.7% 65.6% -3.4 6
2016-10-22 Hibernian L 1-3 1310 1476 20.4% 25.1% 54.5% -9.3 7
2016-10-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1476 1310 54.5% 25.1% 20.4% +9.3 21
2016-10-22 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1297 1358 31.9% 26.9% 41.2% +10.1 14
2016-10-22 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1358 1297 41.2% 26.9% 31.9% -10.1 18
2016-10-22 Raith Rovers L 2-4 1450 1366 51.4% 25.8% 22.9% -17.6 17
2016-10-22 @ Falkirk W 4-2 1366 1450 22.9% 25.8% 51.4% +17.6 17
2016-10-29 Ayr United W 2-1 1365 1307 48.2% 26.2% 25.5% +6.6 15
2016-10-29 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1307 1365 25.5% 26.2% 48.2% -6.6 14
2016-10-29 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1224 1301 29.9% 26.7% 43.4% +0.5 7
2016-10-29 @ Dumbarton D 2-2 1301 1224 43.4% 26.7% 29.9% -0.5 8
2016-10-29 Falkirk W 1-0 1449 1432 42.8% 26.8% 30.4% +8.0 21
2016-10-29 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1432 1449 30.4% 26.8% 42.8% -8.0 17
2016-10-29 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1383 1348 45.3% 26.6% 28.1% +7.5 20
2016-10-29 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1348 1383 28.1% 26.6% 45.3% -7.5 18
2016-10-29 St. Mirren W 2-0 1485 1288 63.6% 22.4% 14.0% +7.5 24
2016-10-29 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1288 1485 14.0% 22.4% 63.6% -7.5 4
2016-11-01 St. Mirren W 3-1 1372 1281 52.2% 25.6% 22.2% +10.1 18
2016-11-01 @ Greenock Morton L 1-3 1281 1372 22.2% 25.6% 52.2% -10.1 4
2016-11-05 Dumbarton L 0-1 1271 1225 46.6% 26.4% 27.0% -11.1 4
2016-11-05 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1225 1271 27.0% 26.4% 46.6% +11.1 10
2016-11-05 Dundee United L 1-4 1340 1457 25.1% 26.2% 48.7% -15.9 18
2016-11-05 @ Queen Of The South W 4-1 1457 1340 48.7% 26.2% 25.1% +15.9 24
2016-11-05 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1424 1382 46.2% 26.5% 27.4% -0.9 18
2016-11-05 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1382 1424 27.4% 26.5% 46.2% +0.9 19
2016-11-05 Hibernian L 0-3 1300 1493 18.1% 24.4% 57.5% -14.0 14
2016-11-05 @ Ayr United W 3-0 1493 1300 57.5% 24.4% 18.1% +14.0 27
2016-11-05 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1301 1391 28.2% 26.6% 45.2% +1.0 9
2016-11-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1391 1301 45.2% 26.6% 28.2% -1.0 21
2016-11-08 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1473 1301 61.1% 23.3% 15.6% +4.4 27
2016-11-08 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1301 1473 15.6% 23.3% 61.1% -4.4 9
2016-11-12 Falkirk D 1-1 1507 1423 51.3% 25.8% 22.9% -1.5 28
2016-11-12 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1423 1507 22.9% 25.8% 51.3% +1.5 19
2016-11-12 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1236 1383 22.1% 25.6% 52.3% -11.6 10
2016-11-12 @ Dumbarton W 2-0 1383 1236 52.3% 25.6% 22.1% +11.6 22
2016-11-19 Dundee United D 0-0 1394 1478 29.0% 26.7% 44.3% +0.8 23
2016-11-19 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1478 1394 44.3% 26.7% 29.0% -0.8 28
2016-11-19 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1260 1297 35.1% 27.0% 37.9% -8.9 4
2016-11-19 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1297 1260 37.9% 27.0% 35.1% +8.9 12
2016-11-19 Falkirk L 0-1 1286 1425 22.9% 25.8% 51.3% -6.4 14
2016-11-19 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1425 1286 51.3% 25.8% 22.9% +6.3 22
2016-11-19 Queen Of The South W 4-0 1505 1324 62.0% 23.0% 15.0% +15.2 31
2016-11-19 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1324 1505 15.0% 23.0% 62.0% -15.2 18
2016-11-19 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1224 1390 20.3% 25.1% 54.5% +2.0 11
2016-11-19 @ Dumbarton D 0-0 1390 1224 54.5% 25.1% 20.3% -2.0 22
2016-11-22 Ayr United D 1-1 1388 1280 54.2% 25.2% 20.6% -1.8 23
2016-11-22 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1280 1388 20.6% 25.2% 54.2% +1.8 15
2016-12-02 Hibernian W 1-0 1477 1520 34.2% 27.0% 38.8% +9.6 31
2016-12-02 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1520 1477 38.8% 27.0% 34.2% -9.6 31
2016-12-03 Ayr United D 1-1 1306 1282 43.8% 26.7% 29.5% -0.7 13
2016-12-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1282 1306 29.5% 26.7% 43.8% +0.7 16
2016-12-03 Dumbarton L 1-2 1309 1226 51.2% 25.8% 23.0% -11.3 18
2016-12-03 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1226 1309 23.0% 25.8% 51.2% +11.3 14
2016-12-03 St. Mirren W 3-1 1431 1251 62.0% 23.0% 15.0% +7.0 25
2016-12-03 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1251 1431 15.0% 23.0% 62.0% -7.0 4
2016-12-06 St. Mirren L 2-3 1298 1244 47.7% 26.3% 26.0% -10.1 18
2016-12-06 @ Queen Of The South W 3-2 1244 1298 26.0% 26.3% 47.7% +10.1 7
2016-12-10 Dumbarton W 2-0 1511 1238 70.4% 19.6% 10.1% +5.2 34
2016-12-10 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1238 1511 10.1% 19.6% 70.4% -5.2 14
2016-12-10 Dundee United L 0-1 1282 1486 17.2% 24.0% 58.8% -4.9 16
2016-12-10 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1486 1282 58.8% 24.0% 17.2% +4.9 34
2016-12-10 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1305 1395 28.2% 26.6% 45.2% +10.2 16
2016-12-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1395 1305 45.2% 26.6% 28.2% -10.2 23
2016-12-10 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1438 1288 58.9% 24.0% 17.1% -1.7 26
2016-12-10 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1288 1438 17.1% 24.0% 58.9% +1.7 19
2016-12-10 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1254 1386 23.5% 25.9% 50.6% +11.9 10
2016-12-10 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1386 1254 50.6% 25.9% 23.5% -11.9 23
2016-12-17 Ayr United D 1-1 1266 1277 38.8% 27.0% 34.3% -0.2 11
2016-12-17 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1277 1266 34.3% 27.0% 38.8% +0.2 17
2016-12-17 Dundee United D 0-0 1374 1491 25.1% 26.2% 48.7% +1.3 24
2016-12-17 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1491 1374 48.7% 26.2% 25.1% -1.3 35
2016-12-17 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1289 1315 36.7% 27.0% 36.3% -0.0 20
2016-12-17 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1315 1289 36.3% 27.0% 36.7% +0.0 17
2016-12-17 Falkirk W 2-1 1233 1436 17.2% 24.1% 58.7% +12.7 17
2016-12-17 @ Dumbarton L 1-2 1436 1233 58.7% 24.1% 17.2% -12.7 26
2016-12-17 Hibernian D 1-1 1385 1516 23.7% 25.9% 50.4% +1.4 24
2016-12-17 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1516 1385 50.4% 25.9% 23.7% -1.4 35
2016-12-24 Dumbarton D 4-4 1278 1245 44.8% 26.6% 28.5% -0.4 18
2016-12-24 @ Ayr United D 4-4 1245 1278 28.5% 26.6% 44.8% +0.4 18
2016-12-24 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1386 1289 53.0% 25.5% 21.6% +6.0 27
2016-12-24 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1289 1386 21.6% 25.5% 53.0% -6.0 20
2016-12-24 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1515 1376 57.7% 24.3% 18.0% -2.1 36
2016-12-24 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1376 1515 18.0% 24.3% 57.7% +2.1 25
2016-12-24 St. Mirren W 2-1 1490 1266 66.2% 21.4% 12.4% +3.3 38
2016-12-24 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1266 1490 12.4% 21.4% 66.2% -3.3 11
2016-12-26 Falkirk D 1-1 1315 1424 26.1% 26.3% 47.5% +1.1 18
2016-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1424 1315 47.5% 26.3% 26.1% -1.1 27
2016-12-31 Ayr United D 0-0 1283 1277 41.2% 26.9% 31.9% -0.5 21
2016-12-31 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1277 1283 31.9% 26.9% 41.2% +0.5 19
2016-12-31 Dundee United W 1-0 1246 1493 14.2% 22.6% 63.2% +14.3 21
2016-12-31 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1493 1246 63.2% 22.6% 14.2% -14.3 38
2016-12-31 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1262 1392 23.8% 25.9% 50.3% +1.4 12
2016-12-31 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1392 1262 50.3% 25.9% 23.8% -1.4 28
2016-12-31 Hibernian L 1-2 1422 1512 28.2% 26.6% 45.2% -7.1 27
2016-12-31 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1512 1422 45.2% 26.6% 28.2% +7.1 39
2017-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1378 1317 48.6% 26.2% 25.2% -21.7 25
2017-01-02 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1317 1378 25.2% 26.2% 48.6% +21.7 21
2017-01-06 Dundee United W 3-0 1520 1479 45.9% 26.5% 27.6% +20.3 42
2017-01-06 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1479 1520 27.6% 26.5% 45.9% -20.3 38
2017-01-07 Dumbarton W 2-1 1391 1260 56.8% 24.6% 18.6% +5.0 31
2017-01-07 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1260 1391 18.6% 24.6% 56.8% -5.0 21
2017-01-07 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1278 1338 32.0% 26.9% 41.2% -15.7 19
2017-01-07 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1338 1278 41.2% 26.9% 32.0% +15.7 24
2017-01-07 Falkirk L 1-4 1356 1415 32.1% 26.9% 41.0% -19.3 25
2017-01-07 @ Raith Rovers W 4-1 1415 1356 41.0% 26.9% 32.1% +19.3 30
2017-01-07 Queen Of The South L 0-3 1264 1283 37.7% 27.0% 35.3% -25.8 12
2017-01-07 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1283 1264 35.3% 27.0% 37.7% +25.8 24
2017-01-14 Ayr United D 1-1 1435 1262 61.2% 23.3% 15.5% -2.5 31
2017-01-14 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1262 1435 15.5% 23.3% 61.2% +2.5 20
2017-01-14 Hibernian L 0-1 1255 1540 12.1% 21.2% 66.6% -3.4 21
2017-01-14 @ Dumbarton W 1-0 1540 1255 66.6% 21.2% 12.1% +3.4 45
2017-01-14 Queen Of The South D 3-3 1459 1309 58.9% 24.0% 17.1% -1.4 39
2017-01-14 @ Dundee United D 3-3 1309 1459 17.1% 24.0% 58.9% +1.4 25
2017-01-14 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1396 1337 48.3% 26.2% 25.4% +13.1 34
2017-01-14 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1337 1396 25.4% 26.2% 48.3% -13.1 25
2017-01-14 St. Mirren D 1-1 1354 1238 55.1% 25.0% 19.9% -1.9 25
2017-01-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1238 1354 19.9% 25.0% 55.1% +1.9 13
2017-01-21 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1252 1310 32.3% 26.9% 40.9% -7.9 21
2017-01-21 @ Dumbarton W 2-1 1310 1252 40.9% 26.9% 32.3% +7.9 28
2017-01-28 Dumbarton L 1-3 1324 1244 50.9% 25.8% 23.3% -19.5 25
2017-01-28 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1244 1324 23.3% 25.8% 50.9% +19.5 24
2017-01-28 Dundee United D 1-1 1352 1457 26.5% 26.4% 47.2% +1.0 26
2017-01-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1457 1352 47.2% 26.4% 26.5% -1.0 40
2017-01-28 Falkirk L 1-2 1240 1432 18.1% 24.4% 57.5% -4.8 13
2017-01-28 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1432 1240 57.5% 24.4% 18.1% +4.8 34
2017-01-28 Greenock Morton L 1-4 1265 1409 22.3% 25.6% 52.1% -14.3 20
2017-01-28 @ Ayr United W 4-1 1409 1265 52.1% 25.6% 22.3% +14.3 37
2017-01-28 Hibernian L 0-1 1318 1543 15.7% 23.4% 61.0% -4.5 28
2017-01-28 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1543 1318 61.0% 23.4% 15.7% +4.5 48
2017-02-04 Ayr United D 1-1 1548 1250 72.4% 18.6% 9.0% -3.5 49
2017-02-04 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1250 1548 9.0% 18.6% 72.4% +3.5 21
2017-02-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1437 1353 51.4% 25.8% 22.9% +12.0 37
2017-02-04 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1353 1437 22.9% 25.8% 51.4% -11.9 26
2017-02-04 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1313 1423 25.9% 26.3% 47.8% +31.0 31
2017-02-04 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1423 1313 47.8% 26.3% 25.9% -31.0 37
2017-02-04 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1456 1304 59.1% 23.9% 17.0% +13.2 43
2017-02-04 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1304 1456 17.0% 23.9% 59.1% -13.2 25
2017-02-04 St. Mirren D 2-2 1263 1235 44.3% 26.7% 29.0% -0.6 25
2017-02-04 @ Dumbarton D 2-2 1235 1263 29.0% 26.7% 44.3% +0.6 14
2017-02-07 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1291 1392 26.9% 26.4% 46.7% -7.3 25
2017-02-07 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1392 1291 46.7% 26.4% 26.9% +7.3 40
2017-02-11 Dundee United W 3-0 1449 1469 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% +24.6 40
2017-02-11 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1469 1449 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% -24.7 43
2017-02-18 Ayr United D 2-2 1263 1254 41.7% 26.8% 31.5% -0.4 26
2017-02-18 @ Dumbarton D 2-2 1254 1263 31.5% 26.8% 41.7% +0.4 22
2017-02-18 Falkirk D 2-2 1400 1474 30.2% 26.8% 43.0% +0.5 41
2017-02-18 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1474 1400 43.0% 26.8% 30.2% -0.5 41
2017-02-18 Hibernian D 1-1 1284 1544 13.5% 22.1% 64.4% +2.8 26
2017-02-18 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1544 1284 64.4% 22.1% 13.5% -2.8 50
2017-02-25 Dumbarton D 2-2 1473 1262 64.9% 21.9% 13.2% -2.1 42
2017-02-25 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1262 1473 13.2% 21.9% 64.9% +2.1 27
2017-02-25 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1541 1341 63.9% 22.3% 13.8% -2.0 51
2017-02-25 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1341 1541 13.8% 22.3% 63.9% +2.0 27
2017-02-25 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1445 1400 46.5% 26.5% 27.1% -1.0 44
2017-02-25 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1400 1445 27.1% 26.5% 46.5% +1.0 42
2017-02-25 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1344 1287 48.1% 26.2% 25.6% +6.6 34
2017-02-25 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1287 1344 25.6% 26.2% 48.1% -6.6 26
2017-02-25 St. Mirren L 0-2 1254 1235 43.0% 26.8% 30.3% -19.6 22
2017-02-25 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1235 1254 30.3% 26.8% 43.0% +19.6 17
2017-02-28 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1234 1280 34.0% 26.9% 39.1% +9.7 25
2017-02-28 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1280 1234 39.1% 26.9% 34.0% -9.7 26
2017-03-01 Hibernian W 2-0 1255 1539 12.1% 21.2% 66.6% +28.2 20
2017-03-01 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1539 1255 66.6% 21.2% 12.1% -28.2 51
2017-03-04 Dumbarton W 5-1 1343 1264 50.8% 25.9% 23.4% +19.3 30
2017-03-04 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-5 1264 1343 23.4% 25.9% 50.8% -19.3 27
2017-03-04 Falkirk L 0-2 1351 1471 24.8% 26.1% 49.1% -12.8 34
2017-03-04 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1471 1351 49.1% 26.1% 24.8% +12.8 45
2017-03-07 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1362 1338 43.8% 26.7% 29.5% -0.7 31
2017-03-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1338 1362 29.5% 26.7% 43.8% +0.7 35
2017-03-08 St. Mirren W 2-0 1270 1283 38.6% 27.0% 34.5% +16.6 29
2017-03-08 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1283 1270 34.5% 27.0% 38.6% -16.6 20
2017-03-10 Hibernian L 0-1 1444 1511 31.0% 26.8% 42.1% -8.1 44
2017-03-10 @ Dundee United W 1-0 1511 1444 42.1% 26.8% 31.0% +8.1 54
2017-03-11 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1267 1362 27.6% 26.5% 45.9% +1.0 21
2017-03-11 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1362 1267 45.9% 26.5% 27.6% -1.0 32
2017-03-11 Falkirk L 1-4 1244 1484 14.7% 22.9% 62.4% -9.6 25
2017-03-11 @ Ayr United W 4-1 1484 1244 62.4% 22.9% 14.7% +9.7 48
2017-03-11 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1401 1339 48.7% 26.2% 25.1% +6.9 45
2017-03-11 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1339 1401 25.1% 26.2% 48.7% -6.9 35
2017-03-11 Raith Rovers W 4-0 1245 1287 34.5% 27.0% 38.6% +34.2 30
2017-03-11 @ Dumbarton L 0-4 1287 1245 38.6% 27.0% 34.5% -34.2 29
2017-03-15 Dundee United W 3-2 1268 1436 20.1% 25.1% 54.8% +11.4 24
2017-03-15 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1436 1268 54.8% 25.1% 20.1% -11.4 44
2017-03-18 Ayr United L 0-1 1361 1234 56.3% 24.7% 19.0% -13.0 32
2017-03-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1234 1361 19.0% 24.7% 56.3% +13.0 28
2017-03-18 Dumbarton D 2-2 1519 1279 67.6% 20.8% 11.6% -2.3 55
2017-03-18 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1279 1519 11.6% 20.8% 67.6% +2.3 31
2017-03-18 Dundee United W 2-1 1253 1424 19.8% 25.0% 55.2% +12.1 32
2017-03-18 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1424 1253 55.2% 25.0% 19.8% -12.0 44
2017-03-18 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1494 1408 51.6% 25.7% 22.7% -12.1 48
2017-03-18 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1408 1494 22.7% 25.7% 51.6% +12.1 48
2017-03-18 St. Mirren L 0-2 1332 1279 47.5% 26.3% 26.2% -21.3 35
2017-03-18 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1279 1332 26.2% 26.3% 47.5% +21.3 27
2017-03-25 Dumbarton W 2-1 1247 1282 35.5% 27.0% 37.5% +8.8 31
2017-03-25 @ Ayr United L 1-2 1282 1247 37.5% 27.0% 35.5% -8.8 31
2017-03-25 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1420 1348 50.0% 26.0% 24.0% -11.8 48
2017-03-25 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1348 1420 24.0% 26.0% 50.0% +11.8 35
2017-03-25 Falkirk W 2-1 1517 1481 45.3% 26.6% 28.2% +7.1 58
2017-03-25 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1481 1517 28.2% 26.6% 45.3% -7.1 48
2017-03-25 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1265 1311 33.9% 26.9% 39.1% +0.2 33
2017-03-25 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1311 1265 39.1% 26.9% 33.9% -0.2 36
2017-03-28 Ayr United W 2-1 1412 1256 59.5% 23.8% 16.7% +4.5 47
2017-03-28 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1256 1412 16.7% 23.8% 59.5% -4.5 31
2017-03-29 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1524 1408 55.1% 25.0% 19.9% -2.1 59
2017-03-29 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1408 1524 19.9% 25.0% 55.1% +2.1 49
2017-04-01 Ayr United W 6-2 1300 1252 47.0% 26.4% 26.7% +18.2 30
2017-04-01 @ St. Mirren L 2-6 1252 1300 26.7% 26.4% 47.0% -18.2 31
2017-04-01 Dundee United W 4-2 1310 1417 26.3% 26.4% 47.3% +16.4 39
2017-04-01 @ Queen Of The South L 2-4 1417 1310 47.3% 26.4% 26.3% -16.4 47
2017-04-01 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1273 1410 23.0% 25.8% 51.2% +12.0 34
2017-04-01 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1410 1273 51.2% 25.8% 23.0% -12.0 49
2017-04-01 Hibernian D 1-1 1359 1522 20.6% 25.2% 54.2% +1.8 36
2017-04-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1522 1359 54.2% 25.2% 20.6% -1.8 60
2017-04-01 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1474 1265 64.8% 22.0% 13.2% +3.8 51
2017-04-01 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1265 1474 13.2% 22.0% 64.8% -3.7 33
2017-04-08 Dumbarton D 1-1 1319 1285 45.0% 26.6% 28.4% -0.8 31
2017-04-08 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1285 1319 28.4% 26.6% 45.0% +0.8 35
2017-04-08 Falkirk D 1-1 1400 1478 29.7% 26.7% 43.6% +0.7 48
2017-04-08 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1478 1400 43.6% 26.7% 29.7% -0.7 52
2017-04-08 Hibernian D 1-1 1398 1520 24.6% 26.1% 49.3% +1.3 50
2017-04-08 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1520 1398 49.3% 26.1% 24.6% -1.3 61
2017-04-08 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1234 1327 27.8% 26.5% 45.6% -14.1 31
2017-04-08 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1327 1234 45.6% 26.5% 27.8% +14.1 42
2017-04-08 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1361 1261 53.3% 25.4% 21.3% +6.0 39
2017-04-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1261 1361 21.3% 25.4% 53.3% -6.0 33
2017-04-11 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1401 1367 45.0% 26.6% 28.4% +7.6 51
2017-04-11 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1367 1401 28.4% 26.6% 45.0% -7.6 39
2017-04-11 St. Mirren L 1-4 1400 1318 51.1% 25.8% 23.1% -27.7 50
2017-04-11 @ Greenock Morton W 4-1 1318 1400 23.1% 25.8% 51.1% +27.7 34
2017-04-15 Dundee United D 0-0 1220 1409 18.4% 24.5% 57.1% +2.3 32
2017-04-15 @ Ayr United D 0-0 1409 1220 57.1% 24.5% 18.4% -2.3 52
2017-04-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1286 1360 30.2% 26.8% 43.0% -15.0 35
2017-04-15 @ Dumbarton W 2-0 1360 1286 43.0% 26.8% 30.2% +15.0 42
2017-04-15 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1255 1372 25.2% 26.2% 48.6% +21.7 36
2017-04-15 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1372 1255 48.6% 26.2% 25.2% -21.7 50
2017-04-15 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1519 1341 61.8% 23.1% 15.2% +11.8 64
2017-04-15 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1341 1519 15.2% 23.1% 61.8% -11.8 42
2017-04-15 St. Mirren D 2-2 1477 1345 56.9% 24.6% 18.5% -1.5 53
2017-04-15 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1345 1477 18.5% 24.6% 56.9% +1.5 35
2017-04-22 Ayr United D 1-1 1350 1222 56.5% 24.6% 18.8% -2.0 51
2017-04-22 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1222 1350 18.8% 24.6% 56.5% +2.0 33
2017-04-22 Dumbarton L 1-2 1329 1271 48.2% 26.2% 25.5% -10.8 42
2017-04-22 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1271 1329 25.5% 26.2% 48.2% +10.8 38
2017-04-22 Falkirk L 1-2 1375 1476 26.9% 26.4% 46.7% -6.8 42
2017-04-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1476 1375 46.7% 26.4% 26.9% +6.8 56
2017-04-22 St. Mirren W 3-2 1406 1347 48.3% 26.2% 25.4% +6.2 55
2017-04-22 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1347 1406 25.4% 26.2% 48.3% -6.2 35
2017-04-26 Raith Rovers W 3-2 1531 1277 68.8% 20.3% 10.9% +2.7 67
2017-04-26 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1277 1531 10.9% 20.3% 68.8% -2.7 36
2017-04-29 Dumbarton D 2-2 1412 1281 56.8% 24.6% 18.6% -1.5 56
2017-04-29 @ Dundee United D 2-2 1281 1412 18.6% 24.6% 56.8% +1.5 39
2017-04-29 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1368 1348 43.1% 26.8% 30.1% +13.0 45
2017-04-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1348 1368 30.1% 26.8% 43.1% -13.0 51
2017-04-29 Hibernian L 0-4 1224 1534 10.9% 20.3% 68.9% -10.8 33
2017-04-29 @ Ayr United W 4-0 1534 1224 68.9% 20.3% 10.9% +10.8 70
2017-04-29 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1483 1318 60.4% 23.6% 16.1% -1.8 57
2017-04-29 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1318 1483 16.1% 23.6% 60.4% +1.8 43
2017-04-29 Raith Rovers W 5-0 1341 1274 49.2% 26.1% 24.7% +29.8 38
2017-04-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-5 1274 1341 24.7% 26.1% 49.2% -29.8 36
2017-05-06 Ayr United W 2-1 1244 1213 44.7% 26.6% 28.7% +7.2 39
2017-05-06 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1213 1244 28.7% 26.6% 44.7% -7.2 33
2017-05-06 Dundee United D 1-1 1335 1411 30.0% 26.7% 43.3% +0.7 52
2017-05-06 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1411 1335 43.3% 26.7% 30.0% -0.7 57
2017-05-06 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1320 1381 31.9% 26.9% 41.2% -8.3 43
2017-05-06 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1381 1320 41.2% 26.9% 31.9% +8.3 48
2017-05-06 Falkirk L 0-1 1283 1481 17.6% 24.2% 58.1% -5.0 39
2017-05-06 @ Dumbarton W 1-0 1481 1283 58.1% 24.2% 17.6% +5.0 60
2017-05-06 St. Mirren D 1-1 1544 1371 61.3% 23.2% 15.4% -2.5 71
2017-05-06 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1371 1544 15.4% 23.2% 61.3% +2.5 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-03-01 12.14% @ St. Mirren 1255 2 Hibernian 1539 0
2 2016-09-17 12.25% Ayr United 1265 2 @ Hibernian 1493 1
3 2016-12-31 14.23% @ Dumbarton 1246 1 Dundee United 1493 0
4 2016-12-17 17.22% @ Dumbarton 1233 2 Falkirk 1436 1
5 2017-03-18 18.99% Ayr United 1234 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1361 0
6 2016-08-13 19.23% @ Dumbarton 1252 1 Dundee United 1431 0
7 2017-03-18 19.82% @ Raith Rovers 1253 2 Dundee United 1424 1
8 2017-03-15 20.13% @ St. Mirren 1268 3 Dundee United 1436 2
9 2016-10-15 21.07% Greenock Morton 1310 5 @ Queen Of The South 1413 0
10 2017-03-18 22.69% Greenock Morton 1408 1 @ Falkirk 1494 0
11 2016-10-22 22.86% Raith Rovers 1366 4 @ Falkirk 1450 2
12 2016-12-03 22.99% Dumbarton 1226 2 @ Queen Of The South 1309 1
13 2017-04-01 23.00% @ Dumbarton 1273 1 Greenock Morton 1410 0
14 2017-04-11 23.06% St. Mirren 1318 4 @ Greenock Morton 1400 1
15 2017-01-28 23.26% Dumbarton 1244 3 @ Raith Rovers 1324 1
16 2016-12-10 23.52% @ St. Mirren 1254 1 Raith Rovers 1386 0
17 2017-03-25 24.04% Dunfermline Athletic 1348 1 @ Greenock Morton 1420 0
18 2017-04-15 25.18% @ Raith Rovers 1255 2 Greenock Morton 1372 0
19 2017-01-02 25.23% Dunfermline Athletic 1317 2 @ Raith Rovers 1378 0
20 2017-04-22 25.53% Dumbarton 1271 2 @ Queen Of The South 1329 1
21 2017-02-04 25.90% @ Queen Of The South 1313 3 Greenock Morton 1423 0
22 2016-12-06 26.03% St. Mirren 1244 3 @ Queen Of The South 1298 2
23 2017-03-18 26.15% St. Mirren 1279 2 @ Queen Of The South 1332 0
24 2017-04-01 26.34% @ Queen Of The South 1310 4 Dundee United 1417 2
25 2016-11-05 26.96% Dumbarton 1225 1 @ St. Mirren 1271 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-10-15 55.00 Greenock Morton 5 1310 21.07% @ Queen Of The South 0 1413 53.60% 25.33%
2 2017-03-11 34.21 @ Dumbarton 4 1245 34.50% Raith Rovers 0 1287 38.55% 26.95%
3 2017-02-04 31.03 @ Queen Of The South 3 1313 25.90% Greenock Morton 0 1423 47.80% 26.29%
4 2017-04-29 29.81 @ St. Mirren 5 1341 49.24% Raith Rovers 0 1274 24.66% 26.10%
5 2017-03-01 28.21 @ St. Mirren 2 1255 12.14% Hibernian 0 1539 66.62% 21.25%
6 2017-04-11 27.68 St. Mirren 4 1318 23.06% @ Greenock Morton 1 1400 51.14% 25.80%
7 2016-10-15 25.91 Ayr United 3 1271 35.03% @ Dumbarton 0 1254 38.01% 26.96%
8 2017-01-07 25.76 Queen Of The South 3 1283 35.32% @ St. Mirren 0 1264 37.71% 26.97%
9 2017-02-11 24.65 @ Falkirk 3 1449 37.53% Dundee United 0 1469 35.50% 26.97%
10 2017-04-15 21.67 @ Raith Rovers 2 1255 25.18% Greenock Morton 0 1372 48.63% 26.18%
11 2017-01-02 21.65 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1317 25.23% @ Raith Rovers 0 1378 48.58% 26.19%
12 2017-03-18 21.26 St. Mirren 2 1279 26.15% @ Queen Of The South 0 1332 47.52% 26.33%
13 2017-01-06 20.28 @ Hibernian 3 1520 45.94% Dundee United 0 1479 27.55% 26.51%
14 2017-02-25 19.61 St. Mirren 2 1235 30.26% @ Ayr United 0 1254 42.98% 26.76%
15 2017-01-28 19.49 Dumbarton 3 1244 23.26% @ Raith Rovers 1 1324 50.91% 25.84%
16 2017-01-07 19.28 Falkirk 4 1415 41.01% @ Raith Rovers 1 1356 32.12% 26.87%
17 2017-03-04 19.27 @ Dunfermline Athletic 5 1343 50.76% Dumbarton 1 1264 23.38% 25.86%
18 2016-08-20 18.82 @ Queen Of The South 2 1360 32.34% Falkirk 0 1418 40.78% 26.88%
19 2016-09-10 18.55 Falkirk 2 1404 33.05% @ Raith Rovers 0 1402 40.03% 26.91%
20 2017-04-01 18.24 @ St. Mirren 6 1300 46.96% Ayr United 2 1252 26.65% 26.40%
21 2016-08-27 17.58 @ Hibernian 4 1471 58.60% Greenock Morton 0 1323 17.31% 24.09%
22 2016-10-22 17.58 Raith Rovers 4 1366 22.86% @ Falkirk 2 1450 51.39% 25.75%
23 2017-03-08 16.60 @ Raith Rovers 2 1270 38.59% St. Mirren 0 1283 34.46% 26.95%
24 2017-04-01 16.41 @ Queen Of The South 4 1310 26.34% Dundee United 2 1417 47.31% 26.35%
25 2016-08-13 16.04 @ Queen Of The South 4 1344 48.31% Ayr United 1 1285 25.46% 26.23%