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2015-16 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Raith Rovers

18.04 points above expected

62 points · 43.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Livingston

10.79 points below expected

31 points · 41.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 25 6 5 81 88 34 +54 76.13 +4.87
2 Falkirk 36 19 13 4 70 61 34 +27 60.24 +9.76
3 Hibernian 36 21 7 8 70 59 34 +25 69.94 +0.06
4 Raith Rovers 36 18 8 10 62 52 46 +6 43.96 +18.04
5 Greenock Morton 36 11 10 15 43 39 42 -3 41.52 +1.48
6 St. Mirren 36 11 9 16 42 44 53 -9 50.58 -8.58
7 Queen Of The South 36 12 6 18 42 46 56 -10 52.39 -10.39
8 Dumbarton 36 10 7 19 37 35 66 -31 32.88 +4.12
9 Livingston 36 8 7 21 31 37 51 -14 41.79 -10.79
10 Alloa Athletic 36 4 9 23 21 22 67 -45 31.29 -10.29

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rangers 1551 81 76.13 +4.87 76.5% 44 64 71 76 81 87 101
Hibernian 1475 70 69.94 +0.06 52.9% 42 58 65 70 75 82 96
Falkirk 1452 70 60.24 +9.76 91.3% 33 48 55 60 65 73 93
Raith Rovers 1348 62 43.96 +18.04 99.1% 18 32 39 44 49 57 70
St. Mirren 1330 42 50.58 -8.58 14.6% 24 38 45 51 56 63 81
Queen Of The South 1324 42 52.39 -10.39 9.5% 26 40 47 52 57 65 79
Greenock Morton 1294 43 41.52 +1.48 61.3% 15 30 36 41 46 54 69
Livingston 1273 31 41.79 -10.79 8.1% 16 30 37 42 47 54 69
Dumbarton 1196 37 32.88 +4.12 74.3% 8 21 28 33 38 45 59
Alloa Athletic 1162 21 31.29 -10.29 7.5% 9 20 26 31 36 43 57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AA DUM FAL GM HIB LIV QOTS RR RAN SM
Alloa Athletic —
1-1-2
5.22
0-1-3
2.69
0-1-3
4.45
1-0-3
2.04
1-1-2
4.17
0-1-3
3.42
1-1-2
4.12
0-2-2
1.84
0-1-3
3.40
Dumbarton
2-1-1
5.81
 —
0-1-3
3.02
0-2-2
4.42
2-0-2
2.30
2-1-1
4.42
1-0-3
3.43
0-2-2
4.07
0-0-4
1.73
3-0-1
3.59
Falkirk
3-1-0
8.52
3-1-0
8.15
 —
3-1-0
7.51
0-3-1
4.44
2-1-1
7.58
1-3-0
6.64
2-2-0
7.28
2-0-2
3.56
3-1-0
6.56
Greenock Morton
3-1-0
6.62
2-2-0
6.63
0-1-3
3.59
 —
1-1-2
2.73
3-1-0
5.48
2-1-1
4.28
0-0-4
5.37
0-1-3
2.23
0-2-2
4.68
Hibernian
3-0-1
9.29
2-0-2
8.97
1-3-0
6.62
2-1-1
8.47
 —
3-1-0
8.46
3-0-1
7.56
3-0-1
8.10
2-0-2
4.65
2-2-0
7.71
Livingston
2-1-1
6.91
1-1-2
6.63
1-1-2
3.53
0-1-3
5.56
0-1-3
2.73
 —
1-0-3
4.34
1-0-3
5.31
1-1-2
2.24
1-1-2
4.48
Queen Of The South
3-1-0
7.70
3-0-1
7.68
0-3-1
4.42
1-1-2
6.79
1-0-3
3.55
3-0-1
6.72
 —
0-1-3
6.42
0-0-4
3.20
1-0-3
5.91
Raith Rovers
2-1-1
6.96
2-2-0
7.00
0-2-2
3.81
4-0-0
5.66
1-0-3
3.06
3-0-1
5.73
3-1-0
4.62
 —
0-1-3
2.33
3-1-0
4.79
Rangers
2-2-0
9.55
4-0-0
9.66
2-0-2
7.55
3-1-0
9.06
2-0-2
6.40
2-1-1
9.03
4-0-0
7.96
3-1-0
8.93
 —
3-1-0
8.13
St. Mirren
3-1-0
7.72
1-0-3
7.51
0-1-3
4.50
2-2-0
6.37
0-2-2
3.41
2-1-1
6.58
3-0-1
5.13
0-1-3
6.25
0-1-3
3.04
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +10.1
Allowed 0.76 -13.6
Differential 0.92 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%12.50%4.72%2.78%1.11%1.39%28.06%
112.50%10.00%6.94%3.06%1.39%0.56%34.44%
24.72%6.94%6.11%2.50%1.11%—21.39%
32.78%3.06%2.50%1.11%0.56%—10.00%
41.11%1.39%1.11%0.56%——4.17%
5+1.39%0.56%————1.94%
Total28.06%34.44%21.39%10.00%4.17%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.81
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%19.44%8.33%11.11%2.78%2.78%47.22%
18.33%16.67%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%44.44%
22.78%—5.56%———8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%36.11%16.67%22.22%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 1.86 -1.25
SD 0.64 1.38 1.59
CV 1.06 0.74 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%11.11%—5.56%8.33%47.22%
15.56%8.33%8.33%———22.22%
22.78%11.11%—2.78%2.78%—19.44%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%36.11%25.00%5.56%8.33%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.83 -0.86
SD 1.13 1.61 2.07
CV 1.17 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%————11.11%
116.67%16.67%2.78%2.78%——38.89%
25.56%11.11%13.89%———30.56%
32.78%2.78%8.33%———13.89%
4———————
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total36.11%36.11%25.00%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.94 +0.75
SD 1.19 0.86 1.42
CV 0.70 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%22.22%2.78%—2.78%—41.67%
18.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%22.22%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.17 -0.08
SD 1.18 1.06 1.46
CV 1.09 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%—2.78%——16.67%
119.44%8.33%5.56%———33.33%
25.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total41.67%33.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.94 +0.69
SD 1.17 1.04 1.53
CV 0.72 1.10 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%19.44%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
12.78%11.11%13.89%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—11.11%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%41.67%22.22%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.42 -0.39
SD 1.18 1.11 1.69
CV 1.15 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%11.11%2.78%——27.78%
116.67%2.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
25.56%2.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
3—5.56%——2.78%—8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%22.22%30.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.56 -0.28
SD 1.23 1.36 1.88
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%5.56%2.78%—2.78%25.00%
113.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
25.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
35.56%—5.56%5.56%——16.67%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%22.22%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.28 +0.17
SD 1.13 1.16 1.58
CV 0.78 0.91 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—2.78%————2.78%
119.44%8.33%5.56%———33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
32.78%8.33%—2.78%——13.89%
48.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
5+5.56%5.56%————11.11%
Total41.67%33.33%13.89%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 0.94 +1.50
SD 1.52 1.01 1.83
CV 0.62 1.07 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%—2.78%——19.44%
113.89%13.89%11.11%5.56%5.56%—50.00%
25.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
3—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%33.33%19.44%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.47 -0.25
SD 0.90 1.25 1.38
CV 0.73 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Raith Rovers 62 43.96 +18.04
2 Falkirk 70 60.24 +9.76
3 Rangers 81 76.13 +4.87
4 Dumbarton 37 32.88 +4.12
5 Greenock Morton 43 41.52 +1.48

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Livingston 31 41.79 -10.79
2 Queen Of The South 42 52.39 -10.39
3 Alloa Athletic 21 31.29 -10.29
4 St. Mirren 42 50.58 -8.58
5 Hibernian 70 69.94 +0.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 11 Aug 7 – Oct 25 1 in 348
2 Raith Rovers 5 Sep 12 – Oct 17 1 in 142
3 Hibernian 8 Oct 3 – Nov 21 1 in 113
4 Greenock Morton 4 Oct 24 – Nov 14 1 in 51
5 Dumbarton 2 Aug 8 – Aug 15 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 4 Feb 24 – Mar 19 1 in 1,369
2 Alloa Athletic 7 Oct 17 – Dec 5 1 in 71
3 Queen Of The South 3 Aug 30 – Sep 12 1 in 27
4 Livingston 3 Aug 8 – Aug 22 1 in 12
5 Greenock Morton 4 Sep 27 – Oct 17 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raith Rovers 11 Mar 5 – May 1 1 in 469
2 Alloa Athletic 5 Apr 2 – May 1 1 in 192
3 Falkirk 12 Oct 24 – Jan 23 1 in 74
4 Greenock Morton 6 Oct 24 – Dec 12 1 in 44
5 Hibernian 14 Aug 29 – Dec 19 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 5 Feb 24 – Apr 2 1 in 121
2 Rangers 4 Apr 20 – May 1 1 in 108
3 Queen Of The South 6 Aug 30 – Oct 3 1 in 25
4 St. Mirren 6 Oct 25 – Dec 12 1 in 16
5 Alloa Athletic 12 Jan 23 – Apr 2 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers70.33%23.88%4.73%0.78%0.22%0.04%0.02%———
Falkirk3.95%17.10%44.98%19.81%8.96%3.31%1.31%0.45%0.11%0.02%
Hibernian25.04%52.75%16.85%4.02%1.00%0.28%0.06%———
Raith Rovers0.02%0.39%3.31%10.03%15.78%22.24%20.03%16.25%8.72%3.23%
Greenock Morton0.01%0.11%1.61%5.86%11.46%17.37%22.39%21.26%13.97%5.96%
St. Mirren0.25%2.20%11.98%23.63%25.08%17.25%10.53%6.43%2.29%0.36%
Queen Of The South0.39%3.41%14.84%29.85%23.19%14.19%8.48%4.10%1.13%0.42%
Dumbarton——0.06%0.54%1.51%4.44%8.80%16.47%32.83%35.35%
Livingston0.01%0.16%1.61%5.27%11.71%18.01%21.76%22.38%12.86%6.23%
Alloa Athletic——0.03%0.21%1.09%2.87%6.62%12.66%28.09%48.43%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.22%
Clear Edge
47.22%22.78%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
192 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
060.44500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
70%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Tight Race
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.9 * Some Luck: 5.9 to 8.85 * Lucky: 8.85 to 11.8 * Wild Swing: 11.8 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.8 * Close: 0.8 to 1.19 * Off: 1.19 to 1.59 * Way Off: 1.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.31 points
Lucky
07.3718
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Off
01.002
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.13%
Raith Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
7.48%
Alloa Athletic
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.18
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.57
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.12
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.09
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Rangers 70.33% 29.39% 0.28% —
Hibernian 25.04% 73.62% 1.34% —
Falkirk 3.95% 81.89% 14.14% 0.02%
Queen Of The South 0.39% 48.10% 51.09% 0.42%
St. Mirren 0.25% 37.81% 61.58% 0.36%
Raith Rovers 0.02% 13.73% 83.02% 3.23%
Greenock Morton 0.01% 7.58% 86.45% 5.96%
Livingston 0.01% 7.04% 86.72% 6.23%
Dumbarton — 0.60% 64.05% 35.35%
Alloa Athletic — 0.24% 51.33% 48.43%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2015-08-07 St. Mirren W 3-1 1463 1375 51.9% 23.1% 25.0% +7.3 3
2015-08-07 @ Rangers L 1-3 1375 1463 25.0% 23.1% 51.9% -7.3 0
2015-08-08 Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1397 1275 56.1% 22.3% 21.6% +6.4 3
2015-08-08 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1275 1397 21.6% 22.3% 56.1% -6.4 0
2015-08-08 Falkirk D 1-1 1262 1361 27.1% 23.5% 49.4% +0.8 1
2015-08-08 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1361 1262 49.4% 23.5% 27.1% -0.8 1
2015-08-08 Hibernian W 2-1 1233 1463 15.6% 19.9% 64.5% +9.2 3
2015-08-08 @ Dumbarton L 1-2 1463 1233 64.5% 19.9% 15.6% -9.2 0
2015-08-08 Livingston W 3-0 1270 1307 34.8% 24.1% 41.1% +18.3 3
2015-08-08 @ Raith Rovers L 0-3 1307 1270 41.1% 24.1% 34.8% -18.3 0
2015-08-15 Dumbarton L 1-2 1368 1242 56.5% 22.2% 21.3% -8.2 0
2015-08-15 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1242 1368 21.3% 22.2% 56.5% +8.2 6
2015-08-15 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1454 1263 63.7% 20.2% 16.2% +2.9 3
2015-08-15 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1263 1454 16.2% 20.2% 63.7% -2.9 1
2015-08-15 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1289 1403 25.4% 23.2% 51.4% -4.5 0
2015-08-15 @ Livingston W 1-0 1403 1289 51.4% 23.2% 25.4% +4.5 6
2015-08-15 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1360 1288 49.9% 23.4% 26.7% +4.7 4
2015-08-15 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1288 1360 26.7% 23.4% 49.9% -4.7 3
2015-08-16 Rangers L 1-5 1268 1471 17.5% 20.8% 61.7% -9.5 0
2015-08-16 @ Alloa Athletic W 5-1 1471 1268 61.7% 20.8% 17.5% +9.5 6
2015-08-21 St. Mirren D 0-0 1260 1360 27.0% 23.4% 49.5% +0.9 2
2015-08-21 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1360 1260 49.5% 23.4% 27.0% -0.9 1
2015-08-22 Alloa Athletic W 3-0 1283 1259 43.5% 24.0% 32.5% +15.2 6
2015-08-22 @ Raith Rovers L 0-3 1259 1283 32.5% 24.0% 43.5% -15.2 0
2015-08-22 Falkirk L 1-2 1284 1365 29.3% 23.7% 47.0% -4.8 0
2015-08-22 @ Livingston W 2-1 1365 1284 47.0% 23.7% 29.3% +4.8 7
2015-08-22 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1251 1408 21.2% 22.1% 56.6% -7.2 6
2015-08-22 @ Dumbarton W 2-0 1408 1251 56.6% 22.1% 21.2% +7.2 9
2015-08-23 Hibernian W 1-0 1480 1457 43.4% 24.0% 32.6% +5.6 9
2015-08-23 @ Rangers L 0-1 1457 1480 32.6% 24.0% 43.4% -5.6 3
2015-08-28 Dumbarton W 2-1 1370 1243 56.6% 22.2% 21.2% +3.6 10
2015-08-28 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1243 1370 21.2% 22.2% 56.6% -3.6 6
2015-08-29 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1244 1261 37.6% 24.2% 38.2% -6.2 0
2015-08-29 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1261 1244 38.2% 24.2% 37.6% +6.2 5
2015-08-29 Livingston D 1-1 1359 1280 50.8% 23.3% 25.9% -0.9 2
2015-08-29 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1280 1359 25.9% 23.3% 50.8% +0.9 1
2015-08-29 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1451 1298 59.6% 21.4% 19.0% +6.5 6
2015-08-29 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1298 1451 19.0% 21.4% 59.6% -6.5 6
2015-08-30 Rangers L 1-5 1415 1486 30.5% 23.9% 45.7% -15.7 9
2015-08-30 @ Queen Of The South W 5-1 1486 1415 45.7% 23.9% 30.5% +15.7 12
2015-09-05 Alloa Athletic L 0-2 1240 1237 40.4% 24.2% 35.4% -12.4 6
2015-09-05 @ Dumbarton W 2-0 1237 1240 35.4% 24.2% 40.4% +12.4 3
2015-09-05 Greenock Morton L 2-4 1280 1267 42.0% 24.1% 33.9% -9.9 1
2015-09-05 @ Livingston W 4-2 1267 1280 33.9% 24.1% 42.0% +9.9 8
2015-09-05 Raith Rovers W 5-0 1502 1292 65.6% 19.5% 14.9% +11.9 15
2015-09-05 @ Rangers L 0-5 1292 1502 14.9% 19.5% 65.6% -11.9 6
2015-09-05 St. Mirren L 0-2 1399 1358 45.8% 23.8% 30.3% -13.7 9
2015-09-05 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1358 1399 30.3% 23.8% 45.8% +13.7 5
2015-09-12 Alloa Athletic W 3-0 1458 1250 65.4% 19.6% 15.0% +7.4 9
2015-09-12 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1250 1458 15.0% 19.6% 65.4% -7.4 3
2015-09-12 Dumbarton D 0-0 1277 1227 47.0% 23.7% 29.3% -0.7 9
2015-09-12 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1227 1277 29.3% 23.7% 47.0% +0.7 7
2015-09-12 Falkirk L 2-3 1372 1373 39.9% 24.2% 35.9% -5.8 5
2015-09-12 @ St. Mirren W 3-2 1373 1372 35.9% 24.2% 39.9% +5.8 13
2015-09-12 Livingston W 3-0 1513 1271 68.8% 18.2% 13.0% +6.3 18
2015-09-12 @ Rangers L 0-3 1271 1513 13.0% 18.2% 68.8% -6.3 1
2015-09-12 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1280 1386 26.4% 23.3% 50.3% +7.9 9
2015-09-12 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1386 1280 50.3% 23.3% 26.4% -7.9 9
2015-09-18 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1366 1288 50.7% 23.3% 26.0% -7.5 5
2015-09-18 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1288 1366 26.0% 23.3% 50.7% +7.5 12
2015-09-19 Falkirk D 1-1 1242 1379 23.1% 22.7% 54.2% +1.1 4
2015-09-19 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1379 1242 54.2% 22.7% 23.1% -1.1 14
2015-09-19 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1378 1276 53.6% 22.8% 23.6% -0.8 10
2015-09-19 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1276 1378 23.6% 22.8% 53.6% +0.8 10
2015-09-19 Hibernian L 0-1 1264 1465 17.6% 20.8% 61.5% -3.2 1
2015-09-19 @ Livingston W 1-0 1465 1264 61.5% 20.8% 17.6% +3.2 12
2015-09-19 Rangers L 1-2 1228 1520 12.0% 17.5% 70.5% -2.0 7
2015-09-19 @ Dumbarton W 2-1 1520 1228 70.5% 17.5% 12.0% +2.0 21
2015-09-25 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1378 1377 40.2% 24.2% 35.6% -0.2 15
2015-09-25 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1377 1378 35.6% 24.2% 40.2% +0.2 11
2015-09-26 Dumbarton W 1-0 1295 1226 49.5% 23.4% 27.0% +4.8 15
2015-09-26 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1226 1295 27.0% 23.4% 49.5% -4.8 7
2015-09-26 Livingston L 0-3 1243 1261 37.6% 24.2% 38.2% -17.1 4
2015-09-26 @ Alloa Athletic W 3-0 1261 1243 38.2% 24.2% 37.6% +17.1 4
2015-09-26 St. Mirren D 1-1 1468 1359 54.6% 22.6% 22.8% -1.1 13
2015-09-26 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1359 1468 22.8% 22.6% 54.6% +1.1 6
2015-09-27 Rangers L 0-4 1277 1522 14.6% 19.3% 66.0% -9.5 10
2015-09-27 @ Greenock Morton W 4-0 1522 1277 66.0% 19.3% 14.6% +9.5 24
2015-10-03 Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1360 1226 57.4% 22.0% 20.6% -1.3 7
2015-10-03 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1226 1360 20.6% 22.0% 57.4% +1.3 5
2015-10-03 Falkirk W 3-1 1531 1378 59.7% 21.4% 19.0% +5.6 27
2015-10-03 @ Rangers L 1-3 1378 1531 19.0% 21.4% 59.7% -5.6 15
2015-10-03 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1300 1268 44.6% 23.9% 31.4% +5.1 18
2015-10-03 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1268 1300 31.4% 23.9% 44.6% -5.1 10
2015-10-03 Hibernian L 0-3 1377 1467 28.1% 23.6% 48.3% -13.5 11
2015-10-03 @ Queen Of The South W 3-0 1467 1377 48.3% 23.6% 28.1% +13.5 16
2015-10-03 Livingston W 2-1 1221 1278 32.2% 24.0% 43.8% +6.6 10
2015-10-03 @ Dumbarton L 1-2 1278 1221 43.8% 24.0% 32.2% -6.6 4
2015-10-10 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1364 1263 53.6% 22.8% 23.6% +4.2 14
2015-10-10 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1263 1364 23.6% 22.8% 53.6% -4.2 10
2015-10-17 Dumbarton W 4-2 1481 1228 69.7% 17.9% 12.4% +3.2 19
2015-10-17 @ Hibernian L 2-4 1228 1481 12.4% 17.9% 69.7% -3.2 10
2015-10-17 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1372 1258 55.1% 22.5% 22.4% +4.0 18
2015-10-17 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1258 1372 22.4% 22.5% 55.1% -4.0 10
2015-10-17 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1537 1368 61.4% 20.9% 17.8% +3.0 30
2015-10-17 @ Rangers L 1-2 1368 1537 17.8% 20.9% 61.4% -3.0 14
2015-10-17 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1228 1305 29.6% 23.8% 46.6% -5.2 5
2015-10-17 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1305 1228 46.6% 23.8% 29.6% +5.2 21
2015-10-17 St. Mirren L 0-1 1271 1358 28.5% 23.6% 47.9% -5.0 4
2015-10-17 @ Livingston W 1-0 1358 1271 47.9% 23.6% 28.5% +5.0 10
2015-10-20 Hibernian L 0-1 1376 1484 26.1% 23.3% 50.6% -4.6 18
2015-10-20 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1484 1376 50.6% 23.3% 26.1% +4.6 22
2015-10-24 Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1254 1223 44.5% 24.0% 31.5% +5.4 13
2015-10-24 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1223 1254 31.5% 24.0% 44.5% -5.4 5
2015-10-24 Falkirk L 0-5 1225 1372 22.1% 22.4% 55.4% -17.6 10
2015-10-24 @ Dumbarton W 5-0 1372 1225 55.4% 22.4% 22.1% +17.6 21
2015-10-24 Hibernian L 1-2 1310 1489 19.4% 21.6% 59.0% -3.3 21
2015-10-24 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1489 1310 59.0% 21.6% 19.4% +3.3 25
2015-10-24 Livingston L 1-4 1365 1266 53.2% 22.9% 23.9% -19.1 14
2015-10-24 @ Queen Of The South W 4-1 1266 1365 23.9% 22.9% 53.2% +19.1 7
2015-10-25 Rangers L 0-1 1363 1540 19.6% 21.6% 58.9% -3.5 10
2015-10-25 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1540 1363 58.9% 21.6% 19.6% +3.6 33
2015-10-31 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1207 1260 32.7% 24.0% 43.2% -5.3 10
2015-10-31 @ Dumbarton W 2-1 1260 1207 43.2% 24.0% 32.7% +5.3 16
2015-10-31 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1217 1346 23.9% 22.9% 53.2% -4.0 5
2015-10-31 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1346 1217 53.2% 22.9% 23.9% +4.0 17
2015-10-31 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1285 1307 37.0% 24.2% 38.8% +17.5 10
2015-10-31 @ Livingston L 0-3 1307 1285 38.8% 24.2% 37.0% -17.5 21
2015-10-31 St. Mirren W 3-0 1389 1360 44.2% 24.0% 31.8% +15.0 24
2015-10-31 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1360 1389 31.8% 24.0% 44.2% -15.0 10
2015-11-01 Rangers W 2-1 1492 1543 32.9% 24.1% 43.0% +6.5 28
2015-11-01 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1543 1492 43.0% 24.1% 32.9% -6.5 33
2015-11-07 Alloa Athletic W 4-0 1537 1213 75.8% 15.1% 9.2% +5.6 36
2015-11-07 @ Rangers L 0-4 1213 1537 9.2% 15.1% 75.8% -5.6 5
2015-11-07 Dumbarton W 1-0 1350 1202 59.1% 21.5% 19.4% +3.5 20
2015-11-07 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1202 1350 19.4% 21.5% 59.1% -3.5 10
2015-11-07 Falkirk L 1-2 1290 1404 25.4% 23.2% 51.5% -4.3 21
2015-11-07 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1404 1290 51.5% 23.2% 25.4% +4.3 27
2015-11-07 Hibernian L 1-4 1345 1498 21.5% 22.2% 56.2% -9.0 10
2015-11-07 @ St. Mirren W 4-1 1498 1345 56.2% 22.2% 21.5% +9.0 31
2015-11-07 Livingston W 1-0 1265 1303 34.7% 24.1% 41.1% +6.7 19
2015-11-07 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1303 1265 41.1% 24.1% 34.7% -6.7 10
2015-11-14 Alloa Athletic W 5-0 1409 1207 64.7% 19.8% 15.5% +12.4 30
2015-11-14 @ Falkirk L 0-5 1207 1409 15.5% 19.8% 64.7% -12.4 5
2015-11-14 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1272 1353 29.1% 23.7% 47.2% +14.1 22
2015-11-14 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1353 1272 47.2% 23.7% 29.1% -14.1 20
2015-11-17 Livingston W 2-1 1507 1296 65.7% 19.4% 14.8% +2.5 34
2015-11-17 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1296 1507 14.8% 19.4% 65.7% -2.5 10
2015-11-20 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1336 1286 47.0% 23.7% 29.2% -0.6 11
2015-11-20 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1286 1336 29.2% 23.7% 47.0% +0.6 23
2015-11-21 Falkirk D 2-2 1339 1421 29.1% 23.7% 47.1% +0.5 21
2015-11-21 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1421 1339 47.1% 23.7% 29.1% -0.5 31
2015-11-21 Hibernian L 0-1 1195 1510 10.8% 16.6% 72.5% -1.9 5
2015-11-21 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1510 1195 72.5% 16.6% 10.8% +1.9 37
2015-11-21 Raith Rovers D 3-3 1198 1285 28.5% 23.6% 47.9% +0.4 11
2015-11-21 @ Dumbarton D 3-3 1285 1198 47.9% 23.6% 28.5% -0.4 22
2015-11-21 Rangers D 1-1 1294 1542 14.4% 19.2% 66.4% +1.9 11
2015-11-21 @ Livingston D 1-1 1542 1294 66.4% 19.2% 14.4% -1.9 37
2015-11-24 St. Mirren D 1-1 1285 1335 33.1% 24.1% 42.9% +0.3 23
2015-11-24 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1335 1285 42.9% 24.1% 33.1% -0.3 12
2015-12-01 Dumbarton W 4-0 1541 1199 77.2% 14.4% 8.4% +5.1 40
2015-12-01 @ Rangers L 0-4 1199 1541 8.4% 14.4% 77.2% -5.1 11
2015-12-05 Dumbarton L 0-2 1193 1193 40.1% 24.2% 35.8% -12.3 5
2015-12-05 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1193 1193 35.8% 24.2% 40.1% +12.3 14
2015-12-11 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1340 1285 47.6% 23.7% 28.7% -0.6 22
2015-12-11 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1285 1340 28.7% 23.7% 47.6% +0.6 24
2015-12-12 Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1296 1181 55.2% 22.5% 22.3% -8.5 11
2015-12-12 @ Livingston W 1-0 1181 1296 22.3% 22.5% 55.2% +8.5 8
2015-12-12 Falkirk D 1-1 1512 1420 52.4% 23.0% 24.6% -1.0 38
2015-12-12 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1420 1512 24.6% 23.0% 52.4% +1.0 32
2015-12-12 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1546 1286 70.3% 17.6% 12.1% -1.6 41
2015-12-12 @ Rangers D 2-2 1286 1546 12.1% 17.6% 70.3% +1.6 24
2015-12-12 St. Mirren W 1-0 1206 1335 23.9% 22.9% 53.2% +8.3 17
2015-12-12 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1335 1206 53.2% 22.9% 23.9% -8.3 12
2015-12-18 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1288 1286 40.4% 24.2% 35.4% -6.2 24
2015-12-18 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1286 1288 35.4% 24.2% 40.4% +6.2 27
2015-12-19 Dumbarton D 1-1 1287 1214 50.0% 23.4% 26.6% -0.8 12
2015-12-19 @ Livingston D 1-1 1214 1287 26.6% 23.4% 50.0% +0.8 18
2015-12-19 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1511 1339 61.7% 20.8% 17.5% +3.2 41
2015-12-19 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1339 1511 17.5% 20.8% 61.7% -3.2 22
2015-12-19 Rangers W 2-1 1421 1544 24.6% 23.0% 52.5% +7.7 35
2015-12-19 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1544 1421 52.5% 23.0% 24.6% -7.7 41
2015-12-19 St. Mirren L 0-2 1189 1327 23.1% 22.7% 54.2% -7.8 8
2015-12-19 @ Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1327 1189 54.2% 22.7% 23.1% +7.8 15
2015-12-26 Dumbarton W 1-0 1429 1215 66.0% 19.3% 14.6% +2.6 38
2015-12-26 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1215 1429 14.6% 19.3% 66.0% -2.6 18
2015-12-26 Livingston L 1-4 1334 1286 46.8% 23.8% 29.5% -17.1 15
2015-12-26 @ St. Mirren W 4-1 1286 1334 29.5% 23.8% 46.8% +17.1 15
2015-12-28 Hibernian W 4-2 1536 1514 43.2% 24.0% 32.7% +8.2 44
2015-12-28 @ Rangers L 2-4 1514 1536 32.7% 24.0% 43.2% -8.2 41
2015-12-29 Livingston W 2-0 1432 1303 56.8% 22.1% 21.1% +7.2 41
2015-12-29 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1303 1432 21.1% 22.1% 56.8% -7.2 15
2016-01-02 Falkirk L 0-1 1182 1439 13.9% 18.9% 67.3% -2.5 8
2016-01-02 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1439 1182 67.3% 18.9% 13.9% +2.5 44
2016-01-02 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1296 1336 34.5% 24.1% 41.4% -11.0 15
2016-01-02 @ Livingston W 2-0 1336 1296 41.4% 24.1% 34.5% +11.0 25
2016-01-02 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1506 1292 66.0% 19.3% 14.7% +2.6 44
2016-01-02 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1292 1506 14.7% 19.3% 66.0% -2.6 27
2016-01-02 Rangers L 0-6 1212 1545 10.1% 16.0% 74.0% -9.1 18
2016-01-02 @ Dumbarton W 6-0 1545 1212 74.0% 16.0% 10.1% +9.1 47
2016-01-02 St. Mirren L 0-1 1282 1317 35.0% 24.1% 40.8% -5.9 24
2016-01-02 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1317 1282 40.8% 24.1% 35.0% +5.9 18
2016-01-12 Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1289 1179 54.7% 22.6% 22.8% -8.4 27
2016-01-12 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1179 1289 22.8% 22.6% 54.7% +8.5 11
2016-01-16 Livingston W 4-1 1554 1285 71.1% 17.3% 11.6% +4.7 50
2016-01-16 @ Rangers L 1-4 1285 1554 11.6% 17.3% 71.1% -4.7 15
2016-01-17 Hibernian D 1-1 1441 1509 30.9% 23.9% 45.2% +0.5 45
2016-01-17 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1509 1441 45.2% 23.9% 30.9% -0.5 45
2016-01-23 Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1347 1188 60.3% 21.2% 18.5% +3.4 28
2016-01-23 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1188 1347 18.5% 21.2% 60.3% -3.4 11
2016-01-23 Dumbarton D 0-0 1281 1203 50.6% 23.3% 26.1% -0.9 28
2016-01-23 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1203 1281 26.1% 23.3% 50.6% +1.0 19
2016-01-23 Falkirk D 1-1 1281 1442 20.8% 22.0% 57.1% +1.3 16
2016-01-23 @ Livingston D 1-1 1442 1281 57.1% 22.0% 20.8% -1.3 46
2016-01-23 St. Mirren W 3-1 1508 1323 63.1% 20.4% 16.6% +4.9 48
2016-01-23 @ Hibernian L 1-3 1323 1508 16.6% 20.4% 63.1% -4.9 18
2016-01-25 Rangers L 0-2 1276 1558 12.5% 17.9% 69.6% -4.2 24
2016-01-25 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1558 1276 69.6% 17.9% 12.5% +4.2 53
2016-01-30 Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1318 1184 57.5% 21.9% 20.6% +6.1 21
2016-01-30 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1184 1318 20.6% 21.9% 57.5% -6.1 11
2016-01-30 Falkirk W 1-0 1563 1441 56.1% 22.3% 21.6% +3.9 56
2016-01-30 @ Rangers L 0-1 1441 1563 21.6% 22.3% 56.1% -3.9 46
2016-01-30 Livingston W 1-0 1204 1282 29.6% 23.8% 46.6% +7.4 22
2016-01-30 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1282 1204 46.6% 23.8% 29.6% -7.4 16
2016-02-02 Hibernian L 0-1 1272 1513 14.8% 19.4% 65.7% -2.7 24
2016-02-02 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1513 1272 65.7% 19.4% 14.8% +2.7 51
2016-02-02 Rangers L 0-1 1280 1567 12.2% 17.7% 70.0% -2.2 28
2016-02-02 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1567 1280 70.0% 17.7% 12.2% +2.2 59
2016-02-06 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1324 1350 36.4% 24.2% 39.4% +6.5 24
2016-02-06 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1350 1324 39.4% 24.2% 36.4% -6.5 28
2016-02-09 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1178 1269 28.0% 23.6% 48.4% +0.5 12
2016-02-09 @ Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1269 1178 48.4% 23.6% 28.0% -0.5 25
2016-02-13 Dumbarton W 2-0 1268 1211 47.9% 23.6% 28.4% +9.4 28
2016-02-13 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1211 1268 28.4% 23.6% 47.9% -9.4 22
2016-02-13 Hibernian D 0-0 1274 1516 14.8% 19.4% 65.7% +2.1 17
2016-02-13 @ Livingston D 0-0 1516 1274 65.7% 19.4% 14.8% -2.1 52
2016-02-13 Raith Rovers D 2-2 1437 1278 60.3% 21.2% 18.5% -1.1 47
2016-02-13 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1278 1437 18.5% 21.2% 60.3% +1.1 29
2016-02-13 Rangers D 1-1 1179 1569 7.8% 13.7% 78.5% +2.6 13
2016-02-13 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1569 1179 78.5% 13.7% 7.8% -2.6 60
2016-02-13 St. Mirren W 1-0 1344 1331 41.9% 24.1% 34.0% +5.8 31
2016-02-13 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1331 1344 34.0% 24.1% 41.9% -5.8 24
2016-02-20 Dumbarton W 1-0 1325 1202 56.2% 22.2% 21.6% +3.9 27
2016-02-20 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1202 1325 21.6% 22.2% 56.2% -3.9 22
2016-02-20 Falkirk L 0-1 1278 1436 21.2% 22.1% 56.7% -3.8 28
2016-02-20 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1436 1278 56.7% 22.1% 21.2% +3.8 50
2016-02-20 Livingston W 2-0 1279 1276 40.4% 24.2% 35.4% +11.2 32
2016-02-20 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1276 1279 35.4% 24.2% 40.4% -11.2 17
2016-02-21 Alloa Athletic W 3-0 1514 1181 76.4% 14.8% 8.8% +4.1 55
2016-02-21 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1181 1514 8.8% 14.8% 76.4% -4.1 13
2016-02-21 Rangers L 0-1 1350 1566 16.5% 20.3% 63.2% -3.0 31
2016-02-21 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1566 1350 63.2% 20.3% 16.5% +3.0 63
2016-02-24 Greenock Morton L 0-3 1518 1274 68.9% 18.2% 12.9% -28.0 55
2016-02-24 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1274 1518 12.9% 18.2% 68.9% +28.0 31
2016-02-27 Greenock Morton W 3-2 1290 1302 38.4% 24.2% 37.4% +5.6 35
2016-02-27 @ Raith Rovers L 2-3 1302 1290 37.4% 24.2% 38.4% -5.5 31
2016-02-27 Hibernian W 3-2 1198 1490 12.0% 17.5% 70.5% +9.3 25
2016-02-27 @ Dumbarton L 2-3 1490 1198 70.5% 17.5% 12.0% -9.3 55
2016-02-27 Livingston L 1-3 1177 1265 28.3% 23.6% 48.0% -8.1 13
2016-02-27 @ Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1265 1177 48.0% 23.6% 28.3% +8.1 20
2016-02-27 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1439 1347 52.5% 23.0% 24.5% +7.1 53
2016-02-27 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1347 1439 24.5% 23.0% 52.5% -7.1 31
2016-02-27 St. Mirren W 1-0 1569 1329 68.5% 18.4% 13.1% +2.4 66
2016-02-27 @ Rangers L 0-1 1329 1569 13.1% 18.4% 68.5% -2.3 27
2016-03-01 Falkirk D 0-0 1327 1447 24.8% 23.1% 52.1% +1.1 28
2016-03-01 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1447 1327 52.1% 23.1% 24.8% -1.1 54
2016-03-01 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1273 1296 36.8% 24.2% 39.0% +0.1 21
2016-03-01 @ Livingston D 0-0 1296 1273 39.0% 24.2% 36.8% -0.1 32
2016-03-01 Hibernian W 1-0 1339 1480 22.7% 22.6% 54.7% +8.4 34
2016-03-01 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1480 1339 54.7% 22.6% 22.7% -8.5 55
2016-03-01 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1571 1296 71.8% 17.0% 11.3% +3.7 69
2016-03-01 @ Rangers L 0-2 1296 1571 11.3% 17.0% 71.8% -3.7 35
2016-03-05 Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1446 1169 71.8% 17.0% 11.2% +3.7 57
2016-03-05 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1169 1446 11.2% 17.0% 71.8% -3.7 13
2016-03-05 Dumbarton W 2-0 1273 1207 49.1% 23.5% 27.4% +9.1 24
2016-03-05 @ Livingston L 0-2 1207 1273 27.4% 23.5% 49.1% -9.1 25
2016-03-05 St. Mirren W 4-3 1292 1328 35.0% 24.1% 40.8% +5.8 38
2016-03-05 @ Raith Rovers L 3-4 1328 1292 40.8% 24.1% 35.0% -5.8 28
2016-03-08 Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1198 1165 44.7% 23.9% 31.3% +8.8 28
2016-03-08 @ Dumbarton L 1-3 1165 1198 31.3% 23.9% 44.7% -8.8 13
2016-03-08 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1298 1348 33.1% 24.1% 42.9% +13.0 41
2016-03-08 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1348 1298 42.9% 24.1% 33.1% -13.0 34
2016-03-11 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1575 1296 72.0% 16.9% 11.1% +3.2 72
2016-03-11 @ Rangers L 1-3 1296 1575 11.1% 16.9% 72.0% -3.2 32
2016-03-12 Falkirk D 1-1 1207 1449 14.8% 19.4% 65.8% +1.8 29
2016-03-12 @ Dumbarton D 1-1 1449 1207 65.8% 19.4% 14.8% -1.9 58
2016-03-12 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1322 1335 38.2% 24.2% 37.6% +5.9 31
2016-03-12 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1335 1322 37.6% 24.2% 38.2% -5.9 34
2016-03-12 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1156 1311 21.5% 22.2% 56.3% +1.2 14
2016-03-12 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1311 1156 56.3% 22.2% 21.5% -1.2 42
2016-03-15 Queen Of The South W 3-2 1293 1329 35.0% 24.1% 40.8% +5.9 35
2016-03-15 @ Greenock Morton L 2-3 1329 1293 40.8% 24.1% 35.0% -5.9 34
2016-03-18 Rangers W 3-2 1447 1578 23.7% 22.8% 53.5% +7.4 61
2016-03-18 @ Falkirk L 2-3 1578 1447 53.5% 22.8% 23.7% -7.4 72
2016-03-19 Alloa Athletic W 4-1 1299 1158 58.3% 21.7% 19.9% +8.4 38
2016-03-19 @ Greenock Morton L 1-4 1158 1299 19.9% 21.7% 58.3% -8.4 14
2016-03-19 Dumbarton W 6-0 1323 1209 55.1% 22.5% 22.4% +21.2 37
2016-03-19 @ Queen Of The South L 0-6 1209 1323 22.4% 22.5% 55.1% -21.2 29
2016-03-19 Hibernian W 2-1 1310 1472 20.8% 22.0% 57.2% +8.3 45
2016-03-19 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1472 1310 57.2% 22.0% 20.8% -8.3 55
2016-03-19 St. Mirren L 2-3 1283 1328 33.7% 24.1% 42.2% -5.1 24
2016-03-19 @ Livingston W 3-2 1328 1283 42.2% 24.1% 33.7% +5.1 34
2016-03-22 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1333 1318 42.2% 24.1% 33.7% -6.4 34
2016-03-22 @ St. Mirren W 2-1 1318 1333 33.7% 24.1% 42.2% +6.4 48
2016-03-26 Livingston L 1-2 1455 1277 62.3% 20.6% 17.1% -8.9 61
2016-03-26 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1277 1455 17.1% 20.6% 62.3% +8.9 27
2016-03-26 Queen Of The South W 4-3 1571 1344 67.3% 18.9% 13.9% +2.2 75
2016-03-26 @ Rangers L 3-4 1344 1571 13.9% 18.9% 67.3% -2.2 37
2016-03-26 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1308 1324 37.7% 24.2% 38.1% -6.2 38
2016-03-26 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1324 1308 38.1% 24.2% 37.7% +6.2 51
2016-03-26 St. Mirren L 0-1 1149 1327 19.5% 21.6% 58.9% -3.5 14
2016-03-26 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1327 1149 58.9% 21.6% 19.5% +3.5 37
2016-04-02 Alloa Athletic D 0-0 1286 1146 58.2% 21.8% 20.0% -1.5 28
2016-04-02 @ Livingston D 0-0 1146 1286 20.0% 21.8% 58.2% +1.5 15
2016-04-02 Falkirk D 2-2 1342 1446 26.6% 23.4% 50.1% +0.6 38
2016-04-02 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1446 1342 50.1% 23.4% 26.6% -0.6 62
2016-04-02 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1188 1301 25.5% 23.2% 51.3% +1.0 30
2016-04-02 @ Dumbarton D 0-0 1301 1188 51.3% 23.2% 25.5% -1.0 39
2016-04-02 Hibernian D 2-2 1330 1464 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% +0.8 38
2016-04-02 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1464 1330 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% -0.8 56
2016-04-02 Rangers D 3-3 1330 1573 14.8% 19.4% 65.8% +1.2 52
2016-04-02 @ Raith Rovers D 3-3 1573 1330 65.8% 19.4% 14.8% -1.2 76
2016-04-05 Dumbarton W 1-0 1572 1189 80.1% 12.8% 7.0% +1.2 79
2016-04-05 @ Rangers L 0-1 1189 1572 7.0% 12.8% 80.1% -1.1 30
2016-04-05 Livingston W 2-1 1463 1285 62.3% 20.6% 17.1% +2.9 59
2016-04-05 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1285 1463 17.1% 20.6% 62.3% -2.9 28
2016-04-09 Hibernian W 1-0 1147 1466 10.7% 16.5% 72.8% +10.7 18
2016-04-09 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1466 1147 72.8% 16.5% 10.7% -10.7 59
2016-04-09 Livingston W 2-1 1300 1282 42.7% 24.1% 33.2% +5.3 42
2016-04-09 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1282 1300 33.2% 24.1% 42.7% -5.3 28
2016-04-09 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1343 1332 41.6% 24.1% 34.2% -6.4 38
2016-04-09 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1332 1343 34.2% 24.1% 41.6% +6.4 55
2016-04-09 St. Mirren W 3-2 1445 1331 55.2% 22.5% 22.4% +3.6 65
2016-04-09 @ Falkirk L 2-3 1331 1445 22.4% 22.5% 55.2% -3.6 38
2016-04-12 Falkirk D 2-2 1455 1449 41.0% 24.1% 34.9% -0.1 60
2016-04-12 @ Hibernian D 2-2 1449 1455 34.9% 24.1% 41.0% +0.1 66
2016-04-12 Queen Of The South W 4-2 1188 1336 22.0% 22.4% 55.6% +12.5 33
2016-04-12 @ Dumbarton L 2-4 1336 1188 55.6% 22.4% 22.0% -12.5 38
2016-04-16 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1327 1306 43.1% 24.1% 32.8% +9.2 41
2016-04-16 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1306 1327 32.8% 24.1% 43.1% -9.2 42
2016-04-16 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1158 1324 20.5% 21.9% 57.6% +1.0 19
2016-04-16 @ Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1324 1158 57.6% 21.9% 20.5% -1.0 39
2016-04-16 Raith Rovers L 2-3 1200 1338 23.0% 22.7% 54.3% -3.7 33
2016-04-16 @ Dumbarton W 3-2 1338 1200 54.3% 22.7% 23.0% +3.7 58
2016-04-20 Rangers W 3-2 1455 1573 25.0% 23.1% 51.9% +7.2 63
2016-04-20 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1573 1455 51.9% 23.1% 25.0% -7.2 79
2016-04-23 Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1566 1159 81.7% 12.0% 6.3% -2.7 80
2016-04-23 @ Rangers D 1-1 1159 1566 6.3% 12.0% 81.7% +2.7 20
2016-04-23 Falkirk D 2-2 1342 1449 26.2% 23.3% 50.5% +0.6 59
2016-04-23 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1449 1342 50.5% 23.3% 26.2% -0.6 67
2016-04-23 Hibernian D 0-0 1296 1462 20.5% 21.9% 57.6% +1.5 43
2016-04-23 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1462 1296 57.6% 21.9% 20.5% -1.5 64
2016-04-23 Livingston W 3-1 1323 1277 46.5% 23.8% 29.7% +8.5 42
2016-04-23 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1277 1323 29.7% 23.8% 46.5% -8.4 28
2016-04-23 St. Mirren W 2-1 1197 1336 22.8% 22.6% 54.6% +8.0 36
2016-04-23 @ Dumbarton L 1-2 1336 1197 54.6% 22.6% 22.8% -8.0 41
2016-04-26 Dumbarton W 4-0 1461 1204 70.0% 17.7% 12.2% +7.8 67
2016-04-26 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1204 1461 12.2% 17.7% 70.0% -7.8 36
2016-04-26 Rangers W 1-0 1268 1563 11.8% 17.4% 70.8% +10.5 31
2016-04-26 @ Livingston L 0-1 1563 1268 70.8% 17.4% 11.8% -10.5 80
2016-05-01 Dumbarton D 1-1 1162 1197 35.1% 24.1% 40.7% +0.2 21
2016-05-01 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1197 1162 40.7% 24.1% 35.1% -0.2 37
2016-05-01 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1448 1298 59.3% 21.5% 19.2% +3.5 70
2016-05-01 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1298 1448 19.2% 21.5% 59.3% -3.5 43
2016-05-01 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1468 1331 57.8% 21.9% 20.3% +6.9 70
2016-05-01 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1331 1468 20.3% 21.9% 57.8% -7.0 42
2016-05-01 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1279 1342 31.3% 23.9% 44.7% -5.4 31
2016-05-01 @ Livingston W 1-0 1342 1279 44.7% 23.9% 31.3% +5.4 62
2016-05-01 Rangers D 2-2 1328 1553 16.0% 20.1% 64.0% +1.3 42
2016-05-01 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1553 1328 64.0% 20.1% 16.0% -1.3 81

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-04-09 10.68% @ Alloa Athletic 1147 1 Hibernian 1466 0
2 2016-04-26 11.81% @ Livingston 1268 1 Rangers 1563 0
3 2016-02-27 11.99% @ Dumbarton 1198 3 Hibernian 1490 2
4 2016-02-24 12.91% Greenock Morton 1274 3 @ Hibernian 1518 0
5 2015-08-08 15.60% @ Dumbarton 1233 2 Hibernian 1463 1
6 2016-03-26 17.12% Livingston 1277 2 @ Falkirk 1455 1
7 2016-03-19 20.76% @ Raith Rovers 1310 2 Hibernian 1472 1
8 2015-08-15 21.32% Dumbarton 1242 2 @ St. Mirren 1368 1
9 2016-04-12 22.01% @ Dumbarton 1188 4 Queen Of The South 1336 2
10 2015-12-12 22.32% Alloa Athletic 1181 1 @ Livingston 1296 0
11 2016-03-01 22.73% @ Queen Of The South 1339 1 Hibernian 1480 0
12 2016-01-12 22.75% Alloa Athletic 1179 1 @ Raith Rovers 1289 0
13 2016-04-23 22.83% @ Dumbarton 1197 2 St. Mirren 1336 1
14 2016-03-18 23.70% @ Falkirk 1447 3 Rangers 1578 2
15 2015-12-12 23.90% @ Dumbarton 1206 1 St. Mirren 1335 0
16 2015-10-24 23.91% Livingston 1266 4 @ Queen Of The South 1365 1
17 2015-12-19 24.55% @ Falkirk 1421 2 Rangers 1544 1
18 2016-04-20 25.02% @ Hibernian 1455 3 Rangers 1573 2
19 2015-09-18 26.03% Raith Rovers 1288 2 @ St. Mirren 1366 1
20 2015-09-12 26.35% @ Raith Rovers 1280 1 Queen Of The South 1386 0
21 2015-11-14 29.11% @ Greenock Morton 1272 2 Queen Of The South 1353 0
22 2015-12-26 29.48% Livingston 1286 4 @ St. Mirren 1334 1
23 2016-01-30 29.59% @ Dumbarton 1204 1 Livingston 1282 0
24 2015-09-05 30.31% St. Mirren 1358 2 @ Queen Of The South 1399 0
25 2015-10-03 32.20% @ Dumbarton 1221 2 Livingston 1278 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-02-24 28.04 Greenock Morton 3 1274 12.91% @ Hibernian 0 1518 68.87% 18.22%
2 2016-03-19 21.15 @ Queen Of The South 6 1323 55.13% Dumbarton 0 1209 22.39% 22.48%
3 2015-10-24 19.06 Livingston 4 1266 23.91% @ Queen Of The South 1 1365 53.24% 22.86%
4 2015-08-08 18.28 @ Raith Rovers 3 1270 34.77% Livingston 0 1307 41.10% 24.14%
5 2015-10-24 17.63 Falkirk 5 1372 55.43% @ Dumbarton 0 1225 22.15% 22.42%
6 2015-10-31 17.48 @ Livingston 3 1285 37.01% Raith Rovers 0 1307 38.80% 24.19%
7 2015-12-26 17.09 Livingston 4 1286 29.48% @ St. Mirren 1 1334 46.75% 23.77%
8 2015-09-26 17.06 Livingston 3 1261 38.23% @ Alloa Athletic 0 1243 37.58% 24.19%
9 2015-08-30 15.74 Rangers 5 1486 45.67% @ Queen Of The South 1 1415 30.47% 23.87%
10 2015-08-22 15.23 @ Raith Rovers 3 1283 43.50% Alloa Athletic 0 1259 32.48% 24.03%
11 2015-10-31 14.98 @ Falkirk 3 1389 44.22% St. Mirren 0 1360 31.80% 23.98%
12 2015-11-14 14.06 @ Greenock Morton 2 1272 29.11% Queen Of The South 0 1353 47.16% 23.73%
13 2015-09-05 13.74 St. Mirren 2 1358 30.31% @ Queen Of The South 0 1399 45.84% 23.85%
14 2015-10-03 13.54 Hibernian 3 1467 48.26% @ Queen Of The South 0 1377 28.13% 23.60%
15 2016-03-08 13.01 @ Raith Rovers 2 1298 33.08% Queen Of The South 0 1348 42.85% 24.06%
16 2016-04-12 12.51 @ Dumbarton 4 1188 22.01% Queen Of The South 2 1336 55.61% 22.38%
17 2015-09-05 12.42 Alloa Athletic 2 1237 35.43% @ Dumbarton 0 1240 40.41% 24.16%
18 2015-11-14 12.36 @ Falkirk 5 1409 64.72% Alloa Athletic 0 1207 15.48% 19.80%
19 2015-12-05 12.33 Dumbarton 2 1193 35.78% @ Alloa Athletic 0 1193 40.05% 24.17%
20 2015-09-05 11.90 @ Rangers 5 1502 65.59% Raith Rovers 0 1292 14.93% 19.49%
21 2016-02-20 11.23 @ Raith Rovers 2 1279 40.43% Livingston 0 1276 35.41% 24.16%
22 2016-01-02 10.99 Queen Of The South 2 1336 41.39% @ Livingston 0 1296 34.48% 24.13%
23 2016-04-09 10.68 @ Alloa Athletic 1 1147 10.68% Hibernian 0 1466 72.82% 16.50%
24 2016-04-26 10.46 @ Livingston 1 1268 11.81% Rangers 0 1563 70.77% 17.41%
25 2015-09-05 9.91 Greenock Morton 4 1267 33.93% @ Livingston 2 1280 41.96% 24.11%