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2014-15 Championship Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Heart of Midlothian

16.88 points above expected

91 points · 74.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rangers

9.59 points below expected

67 points · 76.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 36 29 4 3 91 96 26 +70 74.12 +16.88
2 Hibernian 36 21 7 8 70 70 32 +38 61.48 +8.52
3 Rangers 36 19 10 7 67 69 39 +30 76.59 -9.59
4 Queen Of The South 36 17 9 10 60 58 41 +17 57.17 +2.83
5 Falkirk 36 14 11 11 53 48 48 0 55.25 -2.25
6 Raith Rovers 36 12 7 17 43 42 65 -23 38.16 +4.84
7 Dumbarton 36 9 7 20 34 36 79 -43 38.04 -4.04
8 Livingston 36 8 8 20 32 41 53 -12 33.62 -1.62
9 Alloa Athletic 36 6 9 21 27 34 56 -22 36.20 -9.20
10 Cowdenbeath 36 7 4 25 25 31 86 -55 30.50 -5.50

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Heart of Midlothian 1593 91 74.12 +16.88 99.4% 42 62 69 74 79 86 98
Rangers 1528 67 76.59 -9.59 10.2% 38 65 72 77 81 88 102
Hibernian 1527 70 61.48 +8.52 88.3% 36 49 56 61 67 74 89
Queen Of The South 1428 60 57.17 +2.83 67.0% 33 45 52 57 62 70 84
Falkirk 1374 53 55.25 -2.25 40.8% 25 43 50 55 60 68 85
Livingston 1293 32 33.62 -1.62 20.6% 9 22 29 34 38 46 61
Alloa Athletic 1245 27 36.20 -9.20 11.7% 12 25 31 36 41 49 71
Raith Rovers 1237 43 38.16 +4.84 76.6% 11 26 33 38 43 50 65
Dumbarton 1182 34 38.04 -4.04 32.1% 14 26 33 38 43 50 69
Cowdenbeath 1156 25 30.50 -5.50 24.3% 6 20 26 30 35 42 58

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AA COW DUM FAL HOM HIB LIV QOTS RR RAN
Alloa Athletic —
3-0-1
6.16
1-0-3
5.64
0-0-4
3.60
0-0-4
1.91
1-0-3
3.11
1-2-1
5.33
0-2-2
3.31
0-2-2
5.32
0-3-1
1.83
Cowdenbeath
1-0-3
5.03
 —
2-1-1
4.46
0-1-3
3.06
0-0-4
1.68
0-0-4
2.61
1-1-2
4.82
2-0-2
2.67
1-0-3
4.64
0-1-3
1.46
Dumbarton
3-0-1
5.54
1-1-2
6.74
 —
1-2-1
3.56
0-1-3
2.35
0-1-3
3.11
3-0-1
5.45
0-1-3
3.44
1-1-2
5.83
0-0-4
1.95
Falkirk
4-0-0
7.62
3-1-0
8.20
1-2-1
7.67
 —
1-0-3
3.48
2-1-1
4.72
2-1-1
7.53
0-2-2
5.32
1-2-1
7.54
0-2-2
3.21
Heart of Midlothian
4-0-0
9.46
4-0-0
9.71
3-1-0
8.96
3-0-1
7.75
 —
1-2-1
7.25
4-0-0
9.05
4-0-0
7.79
4-0-0
8.93
2-1-1
5.25
Hibernian
3-0-1
8.15
4-0-0
8.68
3-1-0
8.14
1-1-2
6.47
1-2-1
3.96
 —
4-0-0
7.90
1-1-2
6.03
1-2-1
8.13
3-0-1
3.96
Livingston
1-2-1
5.86
2-1-1
6.37
1-0-3
5.74
1-1-2
3.69
0-0-4
2.26
0-0-4
3.35
 —
1-2-1
3.60
2-0-2
5.65
0-2-2
2.06
Queen Of The South
2-2-0
7.92
2-0-2
8.61
3-1-0
7.80
2-2-0
5.86
0-0-4
3.44
2-1-1
5.16
1-2-1
7.62
 —
3-0-1
7.58
2-1-1
3.27
Raith Rovers
2-2-0
5.86
3-0-1
6.56
2-1-1
5.35
1-2-1
3.68
0-0-4
2.38
1-2-1
3.11
2-0-2
5.54
1-0-3
3.64
 —
0-0-4
2.11
Rangers
1-3-0
9.53
3-1-0
9.96
4-0-0
9.39
2-2-0
8.03
1-1-2
5.96
1-0-3
7.27
2-2-0
9.27
1-1-2
7.97
4-0-0
9.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +10.3
Allowed 0.74 -9.5
Differential 0.91 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%5.00%4.44%2.78%1.39%27.50%
18.33%9.44%8.06%3.61%1.94%1.67%33.06%
25.00%8.06%5.00%1.39%0.28%—19.72%
34.44%3.61%1.39%1.11%0.28%0.28%11.11%
42.78%1.94%0.28%0.28%——5.28%
5+1.39%1.67%—0.28%——3.33%
Total27.50%33.06%19.72%11.11%5.28%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.41 1.41 2.22
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%8.33%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
12.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%—30.56%
22.78%2.78%8.33%5.56%——19.44%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%22.22%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.56 -0.61
SD 0.98 1.21 1.64
CV 1.04 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%8.33%—11.11%44.44%
12.78%2.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%33.33%
2—8.33%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.11%25.00%27.78%16.67%5.56%13.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.39 -1.53
SD 0.96 2.00 2.46
CV 1.12 0.84 —
Max 3 10 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%——16.67%5.56%—33.33%
111.11%2.78%11.11%8.33%2.78%8.33%44.44%
2—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
3—5.56%—2.78%—2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%16.67%13.89%27.78%8.33%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.19 -1.19
SD 0.96 1.70 1.94
CV 0.96 0.78 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%—27.78%
119.44%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—38.89%
22.78%2.78%8.33%———13.89%
32.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%——16.67%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%25.00%22.22%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.31 1.24 1.88
CV 0.98 0.93 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—2.78%———5.56%
111.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
211.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%——33.33%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
45.56%8.33%————13.89%
5+5.56%8.33%————13.89%
Total44.44%41.67%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.67 0.72 +1.94
SD 1.88 0.78 2.14
CV 0.71 1.08 —
Max 10 3 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
12.78%11.11%8.33%———22.22%
213.89%11.11%————25.00%
35.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+2.78%——2.78%——5.56%
Total36.11%44.44%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 0.89 +1.06
SD 1.51 0.85 1.71
CV 0.78 0.96 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%8.33%—2.78%2.78%41.67%
12.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%——30.56%
2—8.33%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
3———————
45.56%—————5.56%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total13.89%47.22%25.00%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.47 -0.33
SD 1.42 1.11 1.99
CV 1.24 0.75 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%5.56%5.56%——19.44%
111.11%13.89%8.33%—2.78%—36.11%
28.33%5.56%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
42.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total38.89%27.78%19.44%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.14 +0.47
SD 1.32 1.20 1.96
CV 0.82 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%—11.11%—25.00%
111.11%8.33%11.11%8.33%—5.56%44.44%
22.78%11.11%5.56%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%——2.78%—11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%19.44%8.33%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.81 -0.64
SD 0.94 1.60 2.02
CV 0.81 0.89 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—8.33%2.78%2.78%—16.67%
18.33%16.67%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
28.33%5.56%8.33%———22.22%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
48.33%5.56%2.78%———16.67%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%36.11%22.22%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.08 +0.83
SD 1.50 1.02 2.10
CV 0.78 0.95 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Heart of Midlothian 91 74.12 +16.88
2 Hibernian 70 61.48 +8.52
3 Raith Rovers 43 38.16 +4.84
4 Queen Of The South 60 57.17 +2.83
5 Livingston 32 33.62 -1.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rangers 67 76.59 -9.59
2 Alloa Athletic 27 36.20 -9.20
3 Cowdenbeath 25 30.50 -5.50
4 Dumbarton 34 38.04 -4.04
5 Falkirk 53 55.25 -2.25

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raith Rovers 3 Dec 27 – Jan 17 1 in 37
2 Queen Of The South 3 Apr 4 – Apr 12 1 in 34
3 Heart of Midlothian 9 Jan 31 – Mar 28 1 in 26
4 Falkirk 4 Nov 22 – Dec 20 1 in 21
5 Cowdenbeath 2 Apr 4 – Apr 8 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raith Rovers 5 Apr 4 – Apr 25 1 in 52
2 Cowdenbeath 5 Aug 16 – Sep 20 1 in 37
3 Dumbarton 5 Apr 4 – Apr 25 1 in 21
4 Alloa Athletic 4 Sep 27 – Oct 18 1 in 19
5 Hibernian 3 Aug 17 – Aug 30 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Heart of Midlothian 20 Aug 10 – Jan 10 1 in 259
2 Raith Rovers 6 Dec 27 – Feb 14 1 in 98
3 Hibernian 13 Dec 13 – Mar 14 1 in 84
4 Falkirk 9 Jan 3 – Mar 14 1 in 64
5 Dumbarton 6 Aug 30 – Oct 11 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rangers 5 Feb 27 – Mar 17 1 in 304
2 Livingston 9 Sep 20 – Nov 22 1 in 37
3 Alloa Athletic 12 Nov 15 – Feb 14 1 in 21
4 Dumbarton 8 Jan 3 – Feb 28 1 in 13
5 Falkirk 4 Aug 30 – Sep 27 1 in 10

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Heart of Midlothian40.78%43.94%11.63%2.92%0.68%0.05%————
Hibernian3.33%11.68%41.19%26.89%14.18%2.21%0.40%0.08%0.04%—
Rangers54.50%36.07%7.40%1.66%0.35%0.02%————
Queen Of The South0.84%5.21%22.50%35.18%28.51%5.67%1.54%0.39%0.15%0.01%
Falkirk0.55%3.06%16.66%29.43%38.19%8.54%2.33%0.86%0.34%0.04%
Raith Rovers—0.01%0.19%1.31%5.56%25.25%23.24%20.12%14.58%9.74%
Dumbarton—0.02%0.20%1.14%5.75%23.23%22.87%19.83%16.23%10.73%
Livingston——0.05%0.39%2.29%12.22%17.50%21.39%23.67%22.49%
Alloa Athletic—0.01%0.18%0.88%3.69%17.66%22.21%21.63%19.73%14.01%
Cowdenbeath———0.20%0.80%5.15%9.91%15.70%25.26%42.98%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.56%
Slight Edge
42.22%21.11%36.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.22 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
Heart of Midlothian, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.58/gm
Comfortable
00.210.8/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.85 * Some Luck: 5.85 to 8.78 * Lucky: 8.78 to 11.7 * Wild Swing: 11.7 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.79 * Close: 0.79 to 1.19 * Off: 1.19 to 1.58 * Way Off: 1.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.12 points
Some Luck
07.3118
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
00.992
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.45%
Heart of Midlothian
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.24%
Rangers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.42
Wide Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Very Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.27
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.20
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.107
Well Within Noise
00.1230.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Rangers 54.50% 45.13% 0.37% —
Heart of Midlothian 40.78% 58.49% 0.73% —
Hibernian 3.33% 79.76% 16.91% —
Queen Of The South 0.84% 62.89% 36.26% 0.01%
Falkirk 0.55% 49.15% 50.26% 0.04%
Raith Rovers — 1.51% 88.75% 9.74%
Dumbarton — 1.36% 87.91% 10.73%
Alloa Athletic — 1.07% 84.92% 14.01%
Livingston — 0.44% 77.07% 22.49%
Cowdenbeath — 0.20% 56.82% 42.98%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2014-08-09 Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1354 1294 52.1% 20.1% 27.9% +11.3 3
2014-08-09 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1294 1354 27.9% 20.1% 52.1% -11.3 0
2014-08-09 Dumbarton W 3-1 1263 1320 36.0% 20.4% 43.6% +14.1 3
2014-08-09 @ Raith Rovers L 1-3 1320 1263 43.6% 20.4% 36.0% -14.1 0
2014-08-09 Falkirk D 2-2 1274 1388 28.8% 20.1% 51.1% +0.7 1
2014-08-09 @ Cowdenbeath D 2-2 1388 1274 51.1% 20.1% 28.8% -0.7 1
2014-08-09 Livingston W 2-1 1369 1296 53.7% 19.9% 26.3% +5.4 3
2014-08-09 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1296 1369 26.3% 19.9% 53.7% -5.4 0
2014-08-10 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1590 1415 64.7% 18.5% 16.8% -11.6 0
2014-08-10 @ Rangers W 2-1 1415 1590 16.8% 18.5% 64.7% +11.6 3
2014-08-15 Rangers L 0-2 1387 1579 20.5% 19.2% 60.3% -8.6 1
2014-08-15 @ Falkirk W 2-0 1579 1387 60.3% 19.2% 20.5% +8.6 3
2014-08-16 Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1291 1275 46.2% 20.4% 33.4% +6.6 3
2014-08-16 @ Livingston L 1-2 1275 1291 33.4% 20.4% 46.2% -6.6 1
2014-08-16 Queen Of The South L 0-4 1306 1365 35.8% 20.4% 43.8% -26.4 0
2014-08-16 @ Dumbarton W 4-0 1365 1306 43.8% 20.4% 35.8% +26.4 6
2014-08-16 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1282 1277 44.8% 20.4% 34.8% -8.9 0
2014-08-16 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1277 1282 34.8% 20.4% 44.8% +8.9 6
2014-08-17 Hibernian W 2-1 1427 1375 51.1% 20.1% 28.8% +5.8 6
2014-08-17 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1375 1427 28.8% 20.1% 51.1% -5.8 3
2014-08-23 Alloa Athletic L 0-3 1268 1273 43.4% 20.4% 36.2% -23.6 1
2014-08-23 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1273 1268 36.2% 20.4% 43.4% +23.6 3
2014-08-23 Dumbarton W 4-1 1587 1280 75.3% 15.6% 9.1% +4.6 6
2014-08-23 @ Rangers L 1-4 1280 1587 9.1% 15.6% 75.3% -4.6 0
2014-08-23 Falkirk L 0-1 1369 1378 42.8% 20.4% 36.8% -8.5 3
2014-08-23 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1378 1369 36.8% 20.4% 42.8% +8.5 4
2014-08-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1286 1433 25.0% 19.8% 55.2% -19.5 6
2014-08-23 @ Raith Rovers W 4-0 1433 1286 55.2% 19.8% 25.0% +19.5 9
2014-08-23 Livingston D 1-1 1392 1297 56.2% 19.7% 24.1% -1.4 7
2014-08-23 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1297 1392 24.1% 19.7% 56.2% +1.4 4
2014-08-30 Falkirk W 4-1 1452 1387 52.7% 20.0% 27.3% +13.6 12
2014-08-30 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1387 1452 27.3% 20.0% 52.7% -13.6 4
2014-08-30 Hibernian W 2-1 1297 1360 35.2% 20.4% 44.4% +8.3 6
2014-08-30 @ Alloa Athletic L 1-2 1360 1297 44.4% 20.4% 35.2% -8.3 3
2014-08-30 Livingston W 1-0 1275 1299 40.8% 20.5% 38.7% +7.9 3
2014-08-30 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1299 1275 38.7% 20.5% 40.8% -7.9 4
2014-08-30 Queen Of The South W 4-2 1592 1390 67.2% 18.0% 14.9% +4.9 9
2014-08-30 @ Rangers L 2-4 1390 1592 14.9% 18.0% 67.2% -4.9 7
2014-08-30 Raith Rovers L 1-3 1245 1267 41.0% 20.5% 38.5% -13.4 1
2014-08-30 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-1 1267 1245 38.5% 20.5% 41.0% +13.5 9
2014-09-12 Rangers L 0-4 1280 1597 11.6% 16.8% 71.6% -9.3 9
2014-09-12 @ Raith Rovers W 4-0 1597 1280 71.6% 16.8% 11.6% +9.3 12
2014-09-13 Alloa Athletic W 4-0 1291 1305 42.0% 20.5% 37.5% +27.4 7
2014-09-13 @ Livingston L 0-4 1305 1291 37.5% 20.5% 42.0% -27.4 6
2014-09-13 Cowdenbeath W 3-2 1352 1231 59.2% 19.4% 21.5% +4.2 6
2014-09-13 @ Hibernian L 2-3 1231 1352 21.5% 19.4% 59.2% -4.2 1
2014-09-13 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1283 1466 21.4% 19.3% 59.3% +1.9 4
2014-09-13 @ Dumbarton D 0-0 1466 1283 59.3% 19.3% 21.4% -1.9 13
2014-09-13 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1373 1385 42.4% 20.4% 37.1% -0.2 5
2014-09-13 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1385 1373 37.1% 20.4% 42.4% +0.2 8
2014-09-20 Cowdenbeath W 5-1 1464 1227 70.1% 17.2% 12.7% +8.5 16
2014-09-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-5 1227 1464 12.7% 17.2% 70.1% -8.5 1
2014-09-20 Dumbarton D 1-1 1373 1285 55.5% 19.8% 24.8% -1.4 6
2014-09-20 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1285 1373 24.8% 19.8% 55.5% +1.4 5
2014-09-20 Hibernian W 1-0 1385 1356 48.1% 20.3% 31.6% +6.7 11
2014-09-20 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1356 1385 31.6% 20.3% 48.1% -6.7 6
2014-09-20 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1318 1271 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% -9.8 7
2014-09-20 @ Livingston W 1-0 1271 1318 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% +9.8 12
2014-09-20 Rangers D 1-1 1278 1606 11.0% 16.6% 72.5% +2.9 7
2014-09-20 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1606 1278 72.5% 16.6% 11.0% -2.9 13
2014-09-27 Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1286 1281 44.9% 20.4% 34.7% +11.8 8
2014-09-27 @ Dumbarton L 1-3 1281 1286 34.7% 20.4% 44.9% -11.8 7
2014-09-27 Falkirk D 0-0 1281 1372 31.5% 20.3% 48.2% +0.8 13
2014-09-27 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1372 1281 48.2% 20.3% 31.5% -0.8 7
2014-09-27 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1219 1392 22.3% 19.5% 58.3% +10.5 4
2014-09-27 @ Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1392 1219 58.3% 19.5% 22.3% -10.5 11
2014-09-28 Livingston W 5-0 1472 1308 63.7% 18.7% 17.7% +17.4 19
2014-09-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-5 1308 1472 17.7% 18.7% 63.7% -17.4 7
2014-09-29 Hibernian L 1-3 1603 1350 71.4% 16.9% 11.7% -22.0 13
2014-09-29 @ Rangers W 3-1 1350 1603 11.7% 16.9% 71.4% +22.0 9
2014-10-04 Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1371 1269 57.1% 19.6% 23.3% +4.8 10
2014-10-04 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1269 1371 23.3% 19.6% 57.1% -4.8 7
2014-10-04 Cowdenbeath D 0-0 1298 1229 53.2% 20.0% 26.9% -1.3 9
2014-10-04 @ Dumbarton D 0-0 1229 1298 26.9% 20.0% 53.2% +1.3 5
2014-10-04 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1382 1490 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% -17.2 11
2014-10-04 @ Queen Of The South W 3-0 1490 1382 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% +17.2 22
2014-10-04 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1372 1281 55.7% 19.8% 24.5% -1.4 10
2014-10-04 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1281 1372 24.5% 19.8% 55.7% +1.4 14
2014-10-04 Rangers L 0-1 1291 1581 13.1% 17.4% 69.5% -2.9 7
2014-10-04 @ Livingston W 1-0 1581 1291 69.5% 17.4% 13.1% +2.9 16
2014-10-10 Queen Of The South L 3-4 1283 1364 32.8% 20.3% 46.9% -6.0 14
2014-10-10 @ Raith Rovers W 4-3 1364 1283 46.9% 20.3% 32.8% +6.0 14
2014-10-11 Dumbarton D 0-0 1370 1297 53.7% 19.9% 26.4% -1.3 11
2014-10-11 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1297 1370 26.4% 19.9% 53.7% +1.3 10
2014-10-11 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1264 1507 16.3% 18.4% 65.3% -3.7 7
2014-10-11 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1507 1264 65.3% 18.4% 16.3% +3.7 25
2014-10-18 Cowdenbeath L 2-3 1261 1231 48.2% 20.3% 31.5% -8.4 7
2014-10-18 @ Alloa Athletic W 3-2 1231 1261 31.5% 20.3% 48.2% +8.4 8
2014-10-18 Dumbarton W 5-1 1511 1298 68.1% 17.8% 14.2% +9.5 28
2014-10-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-5 1298 1511 14.2% 17.8% 68.1% -9.5 10
2014-10-18 Falkirk W 3-0 1370 1376 43.4% 20.4% 36.2% +20.4 17
2014-10-18 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1376 1370 36.2% 20.4% 43.4% -20.4 10
2014-10-18 Hibernian L 0-4 1288 1369 32.8% 20.3% 46.8% -24.6 7
2014-10-18 @ Livingston W 4-0 1369 1288 46.8% 20.3% 32.8% +24.6 14
2014-10-18 Raith Rovers W 6-1 1584 1277 75.3% 15.6% 9.1% +7.3 19
2014-10-18 @ Rangers L 1-6 1277 1584 9.1% 15.6% 75.3% -7.3 14
2014-10-21 Livingston D 0-0 1355 1263 55.9% 19.7% 24.3% -1.6 11
2014-10-21 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1263 1355 24.3% 19.7% 55.9% +1.6 8
2014-10-25 Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1270 1252 46.5% 20.3% 33.2% -0.6 15
2014-10-25 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1252 1270 33.2% 20.3% 46.5% +0.6 8
2014-10-25 Cowdenbeath W 6-0 1354 1239 58.5% 19.4% 22.0% +25.4 14
2014-10-25 @ Falkirk L 0-6 1239 1354 22.0% 19.4% 58.5% -25.4 8
2014-10-25 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1265 1391 27.3% 20.0% 52.7% +0.8 9
2014-10-25 @ Livingston D 2-2 1391 1265 52.7% 20.0% 27.3% -0.8 18
2014-10-25 Rangers L 0-3 1289 1592 12.4% 17.1% 70.5% -7.6 10
2014-10-25 @ Dumbarton W 3-0 1592 1289 70.5% 17.1% 12.4% +7.6 22
2014-10-26 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1394 1520 27.3% 20.0% 52.7% +1.1 15
2014-10-26 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1520 1394 52.7% 20.0% 27.3% -1.1 29
2014-11-04 Rangers L 0-3 1214 1599 8.4% 15.2% 76.4% -5.0 8
2014-11-04 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1599 1214 76.4% 15.2% 8.4% +5.0 25
2014-11-08 Dumbarton W 3-0 1390 1281 57.9% 19.5% 22.6% +13.6 21
2014-11-08 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1281 1390 22.6% 19.5% 57.9% -13.6 10
2014-11-08 Falkirk W 4-0 1604 1379 69.2% 17.5% 13.4% +10.7 28
2014-11-08 @ Rangers L 0-4 1379 1604 13.4% 17.5% 69.2% -10.7 14
2014-11-08 Hibernian L 1-2 1208 1395 21.1% 19.3% 59.7% -4.4 8
2014-11-08 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1395 1208 59.7% 19.3% 21.1% +4.4 18
2014-11-08 Livingston W 1-0 1253 1266 42.3% 20.4% 37.3% +7.6 11
2014-11-08 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-1 1266 1253 37.3% 20.4% 42.3% -7.6 9
2014-11-08 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1519 1269 71.2% 16.9% 11.9% +2.7 32
2014-11-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1269 1519 11.9% 16.9% 71.2% -2.7 15
2014-11-15 Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1615 1260 78.3% 14.5% 7.3% -3.3 29
2014-11-15 @ Rangers D 1-1 1260 1615 7.3% 14.5% 78.3% +3.3 12
2014-11-15 Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1266 1204 52.3% 20.0% 27.6% +5.6 18
2014-11-15 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1204 1266 27.6% 20.0% 52.3% -5.6 8
2014-11-15 Dumbarton L 1-2 1258 1268 42.8% 20.4% 36.8% -8.0 9
2014-11-15 @ Livingston W 2-1 1268 1258 36.8% 20.4% 42.8% +8.0 13
2014-11-15 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1368 1522 24.3% 19.7% 56.0% -5.0 14
2014-11-15 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1522 1368 56.0% 19.7% 24.3% +5.0 35
2014-11-15 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1399 1404 43.5% 20.4% 36.1% -0.3 19
2014-11-15 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1404 1399 36.1% 20.4% 43.5% +0.4 22
2014-11-22 Falkirk L 2-3 1264 1363 30.4% 20.2% 49.3% -5.8 12
2014-11-22 @ Alloa Athletic W 3-2 1363 1264 49.3% 20.2% 30.4% +5.8 17
2014-11-22 Hibernian L 3-6 1276 1399 27.6% 20.0% 52.3% -11.0 13
2014-11-22 @ Dumbarton W 6-3 1399 1276 52.3% 20.0% 27.6% +11.0 22
2014-11-22 Livingston W 1-0 1198 1250 36.8% 20.4% 42.8% +8.5 11
2014-11-22 @ Cowdenbeath L 0-1 1250 1198 42.8% 20.4% 36.8% -8.5 9
2014-11-22 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1404 1272 60.4% 19.2% 20.4% +8.5 25
2014-11-22 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1272 1404 20.4% 19.2% 60.4% -8.5 18
2014-11-22 Rangers W 2-0 1527 1612 32.3% 20.3% 47.4% +17.5 38
2014-11-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1612 1527 47.4% 20.3% 32.3% -17.5 29
2014-12-06 Cowdenbeath W 1-0 1594 1207 80.1% 13.7% 6.2% +1.3 32
2014-12-06 @ Rangers L 0-1 1207 1594 6.2% 13.7% 80.1% -1.3 11
2014-12-06 Dumbarton L 0-1 1258 1265 43.2% 20.4% 36.4% -8.6 12
2014-12-06 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1265 1258 36.4% 20.4% 43.2% +8.6 16
2014-12-06 Hibernian W 1-0 1369 1410 38.4% 20.5% 41.2% +8.3 20
2014-12-06 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1410 1369 41.2% 20.5% 38.4% -8.3 22
2014-12-06 Livingston L 1-5 1263 1242 47.1% 20.3% 32.6% -27.5 18
2014-12-06 @ Raith Rovers W 5-1 1242 1263 32.6% 20.3% 47.1% +27.5 12
2014-12-06 Queen Of The South W 4-1 1544 1412 60.4% 19.2% 20.4% +10.5 41
2014-12-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1412 1544 20.4% 19.2% 60.4% -10.5 25
2014-12-12 Rangers W 2-0 1402 1595 20.4% 19.2% 60.4% +21.8 28
2014-12-12 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1595 1402 60.4% 19.2% 20.4% -21.8 32
2014-12-13 Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1401 1249 62.5% 18.9% 18.6% +7.8 25
2014-12-13 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1249 1401 18.6% 18.9% 62.5% -7.8 12
2014-12-13 Falkirk L 0-1 1269 1377 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% -6.3 12
2014-12-13 @ Livingston W 1-0 1377 1269 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% +6.3 23
2014-12-13 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1273 1236 49.2% 20.2% 30.6% +6.1 19
2014-12-13 @ Dumbarton L 1-2 1236 1273 30.6% 20.2% 49.2% -6.1 18
2014-12-20 Alloa Athletic W 2-0 1555 1241 75.7% 15.5% 8.8% +3.7 44
2014-12-20 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1241 1555 8.8% 15.5% 75.7% -3.7 12
2014-12-20 Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1424 1206 68.6% 17.6% 13.8% -12.2 28
2014-12-20 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1206 1424 13.8% 17.6% 68.6% +12.2 14
2014-12-20 Falkirk L 0-3 1279 1384 29.9% 20.2% 49.9% -17.4 19
2014-12-20 @ Dumbarton W 3-0 1384 1279 49.9% 20.2% 29.9% +17.4 26
2014-12-20 Hibernian L 1-3 1230 1409 21.7% 19.4% 59.0% -7.8 18
2014-12-20 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1409 1230 59.0% 19.4% 21.7% +7.8 28
2014-12-20 Livingston W 2-0 1574 1263 75.5% 15.5% 8.9% +3.7 35
2014-12-20 @ Rangers L 0-2 1263 1574 8.9% 15.5% 75.5% -3.7 12
2014-12-23 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1218 1558 10.4% 16.3% 73.3% -4.4 14
2014-12-23 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-0 1558 1218 73.3% 16.3% 10.4% +4.4 47
2014-12-27 Dumbarton L 1-3 1214 1262 37.2% 20.4% 42.3% -12.5 14
2014-12-27 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-1 1262 1214 42.3% 20.4% 37.2% +12.4 22
2014-12-27 Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1259 1563 12.3% 17.1% 70.6% -2.8 12
2014-12-27 @ Livingston W 1-0 1563 1259 70.6% 17.1% 12.3% +2.8 50
2014-12-27 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1238 1412 22.2% 19.5% 58.3% +1.6 13
2014-12-27 @ Alloa Athletic D 1-1 1412 1238 58.3% 19.5% 22.2% -1.6 29
2014-12-27 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1401 1222 65.1% 18.4% 16.5% -12.4 26
2014-12-27 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1222 1401 16.5% 18.4% 65.1% +12.4 21
2014-12-27 Rangers W 4-0 1417 1577 23.6% 19.6% 56.8% +39.0 31
2014-12-27 @ Hibernian L 0-4 1577 1417 56.8% 19.6% 23.6% -39.0 35
2015-01-03 Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1389 1239 62.2% 18.9% 18.9% +4.2 29
2015-01-03 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1239 1389 18.9% 18.9% 62.2% -4.2 13
2015-01-03 Dumbarton W 3-1 1538 1274 72.2% 16.6% 11.1% +4.1 38
2015-01-03 @ Rangers L 1-3 1274 1538 11.1% 16.6% 72.2% -4.1 22
2015-01-03 Hibernian D 1-1 1565 1456 57.9% 19.5% 22.6% -1.6 51
2015-01-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1456 1565 22.6% 19.5% 57.9% +1.6 32
2015-01-03 Livingston W 3-1 1410 1256 62.6% 18.8% 18.5% +6.8 32
2015-01-03 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1256 1410 18.5% 18.8% 62.6% -6.8 12
2015-01-03 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1201 1234 39.4% 20.5% 40.1% -8.0 14
2015-01-03 @ Cowdenbeath W 1-0 1234 1201 40.1% 20.5% 39.4% +8.0 24
2015-01-10 Cowdenbeath D 1-1 1250 1193 51.6% 20.1% 28.3% -1.0 13
2015-01-10 @ Livingston D 1-1 1193 1250 28.3% 20.1% 51.6% +1.0 15
2015-01-10 Falkirk D 3-3 1458 1393 52.6% 20.0% 27.3% -0.7 33
2015-01-10 @ Hibernian D 3-3 1393 1458 27.3% 20.0% 52.6% +0.7 30
2015-01-10 Heart of Midlothian L 1-5 1270 1564 12.9% 17.3% 69.8% -8.6 22
2015-01-10 @ Dumbarton W 5-1 1564 1270 69.8% 17.3% 12.9% +8.6 54
2015-01-10 Rangers L 0-1 1235 1542 12.1% 17.0% 70.9% -2.7 13
2015-01-10 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1542 1235 70.9% 17.0% 12.1% +2.7 41
2015-01-17 Cowdenbeath W 5-0 1457 1194 72.1% 16.7% 11.2% +11.0 36
2015-01-17 @ Hibernian L 0-5 1194 1457 11.2% 16.7% 72.1% -11.0 15
2015-01-17 Dumbarton W 2-1 1242 1262 41.4% 20.5% 38.2% +7.3 27
2015-01-17 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1262 1242 38.2% 20.5% 41.4% -7.3 22
2015-01-17 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1394 1417 40.8% 20.5% 38.7% -0.1 31
2015-01-17 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1417 1394 38.7% 20.5% 40.8% +0.1 33
2015-01-24 Falkirk L 2-3 1572 1394 65.1% 18.4% 16.5% -11.1 54
2015-01-24 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1394 1572 16.5% 18.4% 65.1% +11.1 34
2015-01-24 Hibernian L 0-2 1417 1468 36.8% 20.4% 42.7% -14.2 33
2015-01-24 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1468 1417 42.7% 20.4% 36.8% +14.2 39
2015-01-24 Livingston L 1-5 1254 1249 44.9% 20.4% 34.7% -26.4 22
2015-01-24 @ Dumbarton W 5-1 1249 1254 34.7% 20.4% 44.9% +26.4 16
2015-01-24 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1232 1250 41.7% 20.5% 37.8% -0.2 14
2015-01-24 @ Alloa Athletic D 0-0 1250 1232 37.8% 20.5% 41.7% +0.2 28
2015-01-31 Dumbarton D 3-3 1405 1228 64.9% 18.4% 16.7% -1.4 35
2015-01-31 @ Falkirk D 3-3 1228 1405 16.7% 18.4% 64.9% +1.4 23
2015-01-31 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1232 1561 10.9% 16.5% 72.5% -5.6 14
2015-01-31 @ Alloa Athletic W 4-1 1561 1232 72.5% 16.5% 10.9% +5.6 57
2015-01-31 Queen Of The South L 0-5 1183 1403 18.1% 18.8% 63.1% -17.9 15
2015-01-31 @ Cowdenbeath W 5-0 1403 1183 63.1% 18.8% 18.1% +17.9 36
2015-01-31 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1482 1250 69.8% 17.3% 12.9% -2.6 40
2015-01-31 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1250 1482 12.9% 17.3% 69.8% +2.7 29
2015-02-03 Alloa Athletic D 0-0 1275 1227 50.6% 20.2% 29.3% -1.0 17
2015-02-03 @ Livingston D 0-0 1227 1275 29.3% 20.2% 50.6% +1.0 15
2015-02-07 Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1274 1567 12.9% 17.3% 69.7% -2.6 17
2015-02-07 @ Livingston W 3-2 1567 1274 69.7% 17.3% 12.9% +2.6 60
2015-02-13 Hibernian L 0-2 1545 1480 52.8% 20.0% 27.2% -19.2 41
2015-02-13 @ Rangers W 2-0 1480 1545 27.2% 20.0% 52.8% +19.2 43
2015-02-14 Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1420 1228 66.3% 18.1% 15.5% +3.5 39
2015-02-14 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1228 1420 15.5% 18.1% 66.3% -3.5 15
2015-02-14 Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1229 1165 52.6% 20.0% 27.4% -9.6 23
2015-02-14 @ Dumbarton W 2-1 1165 1229 27.4% 20.0% 52.6% +9.6 18
2015-02-14 Falkirk D 2-2 1252 1403 24.6% 19.8% 55.7% +1.0 30
2015-02-14 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1403 1252 55.7% 19.8% 24.6% -1.0 36
2015-02-14 Livingston W 1-0 1570 1271 74.7% 15.8% 9.5% +2.1 63
2015-02-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1271 1570 9.5% 15.8% 74.7% -2.1 17
2015-02-20 Rangers L 1-2 1253 1526 14.2% 17.8% 68.0% -3.0 30
2015-02-20 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1526 1253 68.0% 17.8% 14.2% +3.0 44
2015-02-21 Alloa Athletic L 0-2 1175 1224 37.1% 20.4% 42.5% -14.3 18
2015-02-21 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-0 1224 1175 42.5% 20.4% 37.1% +14.3 18
2015-02-21 Dumbarton W 3-0 1499 1220 73.3% 16.3% 10.4% +6.3 46
2015-02-21 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1220 1499 10.4% 16.3% 73.3% -6.3 23
2015-02-21 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1424 1572 24.9% 19.8% 55.3% -5.1 39
2015-02-21 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1572 1424 55.3% 19.8% 24.9% +5.1 66
2015-02-21 Livingston W 2-0 1402 1269 60.5% 19.2% 20.3% +8.5 39
2015-02-21 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1269 1402 20.3% 19.2% 60.5% -8.5 17
2015-02-27 Rangers D 1-1 1411 1529 28.2% 20.1% 51.7% +1.0 40
2015-02-27 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1529 1411 51.7% 20.1% 28.2% -1.0 45
2015-02-28 Cowdenbeath W 10-0 1577 1160 81.7% 12.9% 5.4% +9.7 69
2015-02-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-10 1160 1577 5.4% 12.9% 81.7% -9.7 18
2015-02-28 Hibernian L 0-1 1239 1505 14.6% 17.9% 67.5% -3.3 18
2015-02-28 @ Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1505 1239 67.5% 17.9% 14.6% +3.3 49
2015-02-28 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1213 1419 19.3% 19.0% 61.7% +2.2 24
2015-02-28 @ Dumbarton D 0-0 1419 1213 61.7% 19.0% 19.3% -2.2 40
2015-02-28 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1261 1250 45.5% 20.4% 34.1% -16.9 17
2015-02-28 @ Livingston W 2-0 1250 1261 34.1% 20.4% 45.5% +16.9 33
2015-03-07 Alloa Athletic W 1-0 1215 1235 41.3% 20.5% 38.2% +7.8 27
2015-03-07 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1235 1215 38.2% 20.5% 41.3% -7.8 18
2015-03-07 Rangers D 0-0 1151 1528 8.7% 15.4% 75.9% +3.5 19
2015-03-07 @ Cowdenbeath D 0-0 1528 1151 75.9% 15.4% 8.7% -3.5 46
2015-03-10 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1524 1417 57.8% 19.5% 22.7% -1.6 47
2015-03-10 @ Rangers D 1-1 1417 1524 22.7% 19.5% 57.8% +1.6 41
2015-03-11 Livingston W 2-1 1508 1244 72.3% 16.6% 11.1% +2.3 52
2015-03-11 @ Hibernian L 1-2 1244 1508 11.1% 16.6% 72.3% -2.3 17
2015-03-14 Dumbarton W 4-0 1587 1223 78.8% 14.2% 7.0% +5.4 72
2015-03-14 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-4 1223 1587 7.0% 14.2% 78.8% -5.4 27
2015-03-14 Falkirk L 1-3 1227 1412 21.2% 19.3% 59.5% -7.7 18
2015-03-14 @ Alloa Athletic W 3-1 1412 1227 59.5% 19.3% 21.2% +7.7 43
2015-03-14 Hibernian L 0-2 1154 1511 9.6% 15.9% 74.5% -4.0 19
2015-03-14 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-0 1511 1154 74.5% 15.9% 9.6% +4.0 55
2015-03-14 Livingston D 1-1 1523 1242 73.5% 16.2% 10.3% -3.0 48
2015-03-14 @ Rangers D 1-1 1242 1523 10.3% 16.2% 73.5% +3.0 18
2015-03-14 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1418 1267 62.4% 18.9% 18.8% +4.0 44
2015-03-14 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1267 1418 18.8% 18.9% 62.4% -3.9 33
2015-03-17 Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1520 1220 74.8% 15.8% 9.4% -2.3 49
2015-03-17 @ Rangers D 2-2 1220 1520 9.4% 15.8% 74.8% +2.3 19
2015-03-17 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1263 1592 11.0% 16.6% 72.5% -4.0 33
2015-03-17 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1592 1263 72.5% 16.6% 11.0% +4.0 75
2015-03-21 Alloa Athletic W 2-1 1259 1222 49.1% 20.2% 30.6% +6.1 36
2015-03-21 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1222 1259 30.6% 20.2% 49.1% -6.1 19
2015-03-21 Cowdenbeath W 4-1 1422 1150 72.8% 16.4% 10.7% +5.5 47
2015-03-21 @ Queen Of The South L 1-4 1150 1422 10.7% 16.4% 72.8% -5.5 19
2015-03-21 Dumbarton L 1-2 1244 1218 47.7% 20.3% 32.0% -8.8 18
2015-03-21 @ Livingston W 2-1 1218 1244 32.0% 20.3% 47.7% +8.8 30
2015-03-21 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1419 1596 22.0% 19.4% 58.6% -13.3 43
2015-03-21 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1596 1419 58.6% 19.4% 22.0% +13.3 78
2015-03-22 Rangers L 0-2 1515 1518 43.7% 20.4% 35.9% -16.4 55
2015-03-22 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1518 1515 35.9% 20.4% 43.7% +16.4 52
2015-03-24 Falkirk L 0-1 1145 1406 15.0% 18.0% 67.0% -3.4 19
2015-03-24 @ Cowdenbeath W 1-0 1406 1145 67.0% 18.0% 15.0% +3.4 46
2015-03-24 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1266 1428 23.4% 19.6% 57.0% +30.0 39
2015-03-24 @ Raith Rovers L 0-3 1428 1266 57.0% 19.6% 23.4% -30.0 47
2015-03-28 Cowdenbeath W 4-1 1534 1141 80.4% 13.5% 6.0% +3.0 55
2015-03-28 @ Rangers L 1-4 1141 1534 6.0% 13.5% 80.4% -3.0 19
2015-03-28 Falkirk W 1-0 1227 1410 21.4% 19.3% 59.3% +11.3 33
2015-03-28 @ Dumbarton L 0-1 1410 1227 59.3% 19.3% 21.4% -11.3 46
2015-03-28 Hibernian W 2-1 1295 1498 19.5% 19.0% 61.4% +11.1 42
2015-03-28 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1498 1295 61.4% 19.0% 19.5% -11.0 55
2015-03-28 Livingston D 2-2 1216 1236 41.3% 20.5% 38.2% -0.1 20
2015-03-28 @ Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1236 1216 38.2% 20.5% 41.3% +0.1 19
2015-03-28 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1609 1398 68.0% 17.8% 14.2% +6.0 81
2015-03-28 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1398 1609 14.2% 17.8% 68.0% -6.0 47
2015-03-31 Cowdenbeath W 1-0 1398 1138 71.9% 16.7% 11.4% +2.5 49
2015-03-31 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1138 1398 11.4% 16.7% 71.9% -2.5 19
2015-04-04 Dumbarton W 3-0 1136 1238 30.1% 20.2% 49.6% +26.5 22
2015-04-04 @ Cowdenbeath L 0-3 1238 1136 49.6% 20.2% 30.1% -26.5 33
2015-04-04 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1487 1392 56.4% 19.7% 23.9% -10.8 55
2015-04-04 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1392 1487 23.9% 19.7% 56.4% +10.8 50
2015-04-04 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1401 1307 56.2% 19.7% 24.1% +5.3 52
2015-04-04 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1307 1401 24.1% 19.7% 56.2% -5.3 42
2015-04-05 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1537 1615 33.2% 20.3% 46.5% +8.6 58
2015-04-05 @ Rangers L 1-2 1615 1537 46.5% 20.3% 33.2% -8.6 81
2015-04-08 Alloa Athletic W 3-0 1607 1216 80.3% 13.6% 6.1% +3.6 84
2015-04-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1216 1607 6.1% 13.6% 80.3% -3.6 20
2015-04-08 Cowdenbeath L 1-3 1301 1162 61.1% 19.1% 19.8% -19.1 42
2015-04-08 @ Raith Rovers W 3-1 1162 1301 19.8% 19.1% 61.1% +19.0 25
2015-04-08 Falkirk W 2-1 1236 1406 22.6% 19.5% 57.9% +10.5 22
2015-04-08 @ Livingston L 1-2 1406 1236 57.9% 19.5% 22.6% -10.5 52
2015-04-08 Hibernian L 1-2 1212 1477 14.7% 17.9% 67.4% -3.1 33
2015-04-08 @ Dumbarton W 2-1 1477 1212 67.4% 17.9% 14.7% +3.1 58
2015-04-09 Rangers W 3-0 1403 1546 25.4% 19.8% 54.8% +28.9 53
2015-04-09 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1546 1403 54.8% 19.8% 25.4% -28.9 58
2015-04-11 Dumbarton W 3-0 1212 1208 44.6% 20.4% 34.9% +19.8 23
2015-04-11 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-3 1208 1212 34.9% 20.4% 44.6% -19.8 33
2015-04-11 Livingston L 1-2 1181 1246 35.0% 20.4% 44.6% -6.8 25
2015-04-11 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1246 1181 44.6% 20.4% 35.0% +6.8 25
2015-04-12 Falkirk W 1-0 1431 1396 49.0% 20.2% 30.8% +6.5 56
2015-04-12 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1396 1431 30.8% 20.2% 49.0% -6.5 52
2015-04-12 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1480 1610 26.8% 20.0% 53.2% +19.4 61
2015-04-12 @ Hibernian L 0-2 1610 1480 53.2% 20.0% 26.8% -19.4 84
2015-04-12 Raith Rovers W 4-0 1517 1282 69.9% 17.3% 12.8% +10.3 61
2015-04-12 @ Rangers L 0-4 1282 1517 12.8% 17.3% 69.9% -10.3 42
2015-04-15 Rangers D 1-1 1253 1527 14.1% 17.7% 68.1% +2.5 26
2015-04-15 @ Livingston D 1-1 1527 1253 68.1% 17.7% 14.1% -2.5 62
2015-04-18 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1232 1438 19.3% 19.0% 61.7% +1.4 24
2015-04-18 @ Alloa Athletic D 2-2 1438 1232 61.7% 19.0% 19.3% -1.4 57
2015-04-18 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1591 1272 76.1% 15.3% 8.6% +1.8 87
2015-04-18 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1272 1591 8.6% 15.3% 76.1% -1.8 42
2015-04-18 Rangers L 1-3 1189 1524 10.6% 16.4% 73.0% -3.9 33
2015-04-18 @ Dumbarton W 3-1 1524 1189 73.0% 16.4% 10.6% +3.9 65
2015-04-22 Hibernian L 1-3 1256 1499 16.3% 18.3% 65.4% -5.9 26
2015-04-22 @ Livingston W 3-1 1499 1256 65.4% 18.3% 16.3% +5.9 64
2015-04-25 Alloa Athletic W 4-1 1505 1234 72.8% 16.5% 10.8% +5.6 67
2015-04-25 @ Hibernian L 1-4 1234 1505 10.8% 16.5% 72.8% -5.5 24
2015-04-25 Dumbarton W 2-1 1436 1185 71.3% 16.9% 11.8% +2.5 60
2015-04-25 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1185 1436 11.8% 16.9% 71.3% -2.5 33
2015-04-25 Falkirk D 2-2 1528 1389 61.2% 19.1% 19.8% -1.4 66
2015-04-25 @ Rangers D 2-2 1389 1528 19.8% 19.1% 61.2% +1.4 53
2015-04-25 Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1175 1593 7.2% 14.4% 78.4% -1.5 25
2015-04-25 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1593 1175 78.4% 14.4% 7.2% +1.5 90
2015-04-25 Livingston L 0-4 1270 1250 46.9% 20.3% 32.8% -32.9 42
2015-04-25 @ Raith Rovers W 4-0 1250 1270 32.8% 20.3% 46.9% +32.9 29
2015-05-02 Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1228 1173 51.4% 20.1% 28.5% +16.7 27
2015-05-02 @ Alloa Athletic L 0-3 1173 1228 28.5% 20.1% 51.4% -16.7 25
2015-05-02 Hibernian L 0-3 1390 1511 28.0% 20.1% 51.9% -16.5 53
2015-05-02 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1511 1390 51.9% 20.1% 28.0% +16.4 70
2015-05-02 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1283 1439 24.0% 19.7% 56.3% +10.8 32
2015-05-02 @ Livingston L 0-1 1439 1283 56.3% 19.7% 24.0% -10.8 60
2015-05-02 Raith Rovers D 2-2 1182 1237 36.3% 20.4% 43.2% +0.2 34
2015-05-02 @ Dumbarton D 2-2 1237 1182 43.2% 20.4% 36.3% -0.2 43
2015-05-02 Rangers D 2-2 1594 1527 53.0% 20.0% 27.0% -0.8 91
2015-05-02 @ Heart of Midlothian D 2-2 1527 1594 27.0% 20.0% 53.0% +0.9 67

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-09-29 11.71% Hibernian 1350 3 @ Rangers 1603 1
2 2014-12-20 13.80% Cowdenbeath 1206 2 @ Queen Of The South 1424 1
3 2014-12-27 16.49% Raith Rovers 1222 1 @ Falkirk 1401 0
4 2015-01-24 16.52% Falkirk 1394 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1572 2
5 2014-08-10 16.82% Heart of Midlothian 1415 2 @ Rangers 1590 1
6 2015-03-28 19.53% @ Raith Rovers 1295 2 Hibernian 1498 1
7 2015-04-08 19.79% Cowdenbeath 1162 3 @ Raith Rovers 1301 1
8 2014-12-12 20.38% @ Queen Of The South 1402 2 Rangers 1595 0
9 2015-03-28 21.36% @ Dumbarton 1227 1 Falkirk 1410 0
10 2014-09-27 22.27% @ Cowdenbeath 1219 2 Queen Of The South 1392 1
11 2015-04-08 22.59% @ Livingston 1236 2 Falkirk 1406 1
12 2015-03-24 23.39% @ Raith Rovers 1266 3 Queen Of The South 1428 0
13 2014-12-27 23.59% @ Hibernian 1417 4 Rangers 1577 0
14 2015-04-04 23.93% Queen Of The South 1392 1 @ Hibernian 1487 0
15 2015-05-02 23.99% @ Livingston 1283 1 Queen Of The South 1439 0
16 2015-04-09 25.41% @ Queen Of The South 1403 3 Rangers 1546 0
17 2015-04-12 26.80% @ Hibernian 1480 2 Heart of Midlothian 1610 0
18 2015-02-13 27.24% Hibernian 1480 2 @ Rangers 1545 0
19 2015-02-14 27.41% Cowdenbeath 1165 2 @ Dumbarton 1229 1
20 2014-09-20 29.38% Raith Rovers 1271 1 @ Livingston 1318 0
21 2015-04-04 30.15% @ Cowdenbeath 1136 3 Dumbarton 1238 0
22 2014-10-18 31.52% Cowdenbeath 1231 3 @ Alloa Athletic 1261 2
23 2015-03-21 31.96% Dumbarton 1218 2 @ Livingston 1244 1
24 2014-11-22 32.32% @ Heart of Midlothian 1527 2 Rangers 1612 0
25 2014-12-06 32.59% Livingston 1242 5 @ Raith Rovers 1263 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-12-27 39.01 @ Hibernian 4 1417 23.59% Rangers 0 1577 56.77% 19.64%
2 2015-04-25 32.94 Livingston 4 1250 32.75% @ Raith Rovers 0 1270 46.91% 20.34%
3 2015-03-24 29.96 @ Raith Rovers 3 1266 23.39% Queen Of The South 0 1428 56.99% 19.62%
4 2015-04-09 28.89 @ Queen Of The South 3 1403 25.41% Rangers 0 1546 54.75% 19.84%
5 2014-12-06 27.54 Livingston 5 1242 32.59% @ Raith Rovers 1 1263 47.08% 20.33%
6 2014-09-13 27.43 @ Livingston 4 1291 42.04% Alloa Athletic 0 1305 37.50% 20.46%
7 2015-04-04 26.48 @ Cowdenbeath 3 1136 30.15% Dumbarton 0 1238 49.64% 20.21%
8 2015-01-24 26.44 Livingston 5 1249 34.71% @ Dumbarton 1 1254 44.89% 20.40%
9 2014-08-16 26.42 Queen Of The South 4 1365 43.77% @ Dumbarton 0 1306 35.80% 20.43%
10 2014-10-25 25.43 @ Falkirk 6 1354 58.54% Cowdenbeath 0 1239 22.02% 19.43%
11 2014-10-18 24.61 Hibernian 4 1369 46.82% @ Livingston 0 1288 32.84% 20.34%
12 2014-08-23 23.62 Alloa Athletic 3 1273 36.16% @ Cowdenbeath 0 1268 43.40% 20.44%
13 2014-09-29 21.96 Hibernian 3 1350 11.71% @ Rangers 1 1603 71.43% 16.87%
14 2014-12-12 21.78 @ Queen Of The South 2 1402 20.38% Rangers 0 1595 60.43% 19.18%
15 2014-10-18 20.41 @ Queen Of The South 3 1370 43.35% Falkirk 0 1376 36.21% 20.44%
16 2015-04-11 19.83 @ Alloa Athletic 3 1212 44.64% Dumbarton 0 1208 34.95% 20.41%
17 2014-08-23 19.48 Heart of Midlothian 4 1433 55.18% @ Raith Rovers 0 1286 25.02% 19.80%
18 2015-04-12 19.40 @ Hibernian 2 1480 26.80% Heart of Midlothian 0 1610 53.23% 19.97%
19 2015-02-13 19.24 Hibernian 2 1480 27.24% @ Rangers 0 1545 52.75% 20.01%
20 2015-04-08 19.06 Cowdenbeath 3 1162 19.79% @ Raith Rovers 1 1301 61.13% 19.08%
21 2015-01-31 17.87 Queen Of The South 5 1403 63.10% @ Cowdenbeath 0 1183 18.14% 18.76%
22 2014-11-22 17.50 @ Heart of Midlothian 2 1527 32.32% Rangers 0 1612 47.36% 20.32%
23 2014-09-28 17.44 @ Heart of Midlothian 5 1472 63.66% Livingston 0 1308 17.68% 18.66%
24 2014-12-20 17.39 Falkirk 3 1384 49.94% @ Dumbarton 0 1279 29.87% 20.19%
25 2014-10-04 17.17 Heart of Midlothian 3 1490 50.42% @ Queen Of The South 0 1382 29.41% 20.17%