2012-13 First Division Season
180 games · 100,000 simulations
Promoted
—
No promotions.
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Greenock Morton
19.92 points above expected
67 points · 47.08 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Airdrie United
16.60 points below expected
22 points · 38.60 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 78 | 76 | 28 | +48 | 60.7 | +17.27 |
| 2 | Greenock Morton | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 67 | 73 | 47 | +26 | 47.1 | +19.92 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 47.3 | +5.71 |
| 4 | Livingston | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 52 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 48.4 | +3.60 |
| 5 | Hamilton Academical | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 51 | 52 | 45 | +7 | 45.1 | +5.93 |
| 6 | Dunfermline Athletic | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 39.2 | +9.84 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 44.0 | +1.99 |
| 8 | Dumbarton | 36 | 13 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 58 | 83 | -25 | 49.1 | -6.09 |
| 9 | Cowdenbeath | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 41.4 | -5.43 |
| 10 | Airdrie United | 36 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 41 | 89 | -48 | 38.6 | -16.60 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick Thistle | 1484 | 78 | 60.73 | +17.27 | 99.2% | 32 | 48 | 56 | 61 | 66 | 73 | 85 |
| Greenock Morton | 1377 | 67 | 47.08 | +19.92 | 99.7% | 23 | 36 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 73 |
| Hamilton Academical | 1371 | 51 | 45.07 | +5.93 | 81.7% | 21 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 71 |
| Falkirk | 1361 | 53 | 47.29 | +5.71 | 81.2% | 19 | 36 | 43 | 47 | 52 | 59 | 75 |
| Livingston | 1346 | 52 | 48.40 | +3.60 | 72.1% | 22 | 37 | 44 | 48 | 53 | 60 | 76 |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1338 | 49 | 39.16 | +9.84 | 26.7% | 12 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 69 |
| Dumbarton | 1334 | 43 | 49.09 | -6.09 | 21.4% | 25 | 38 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 61 | 83 |
| Raith Rovers | 1314 | 46 | 44.01 | +1.99 | 63.9% | 18 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 73 |
| Cowdenbeath | 1287 | 36 | 41.43 | -5.43 | 24.5% | 18 | 30 | 37 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 72 |
| Airdrie United | 1204 | 22 | 38.60 | -16.60 | 0.8% | 15 | 27 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 67 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | AU | COW | DUM | DA | FAL | GM | HA | LIV | PT | RR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | — |
0-2-2
5.01
|
2-0-2
4.02
|
2-1-1
3.99
|
0-1-3
4.41
|
0-0-4
4.45
|
0-1-3
4.65
|
1-0-3
4.31
|
0-1-3
3.20
|
0-1-3
4.64
|
| Cowdenbeath |
2-2-0
5.53
|
— |
1-1-2
4.36
|
1-0-3
4.24
|
1-1-2
4.73
|
0-1-3
4.90
|
2-1-1
4.69
|
0-3-1
4.44
|
0-0-4
3.53
|
1-3-0
4.88
|
| Dumbarton |
2-0-2
6.66
|
2-1-1
6.30
|
— |
1-0-3
4.64
|
2-0-2
5.09
|
1-0-3
5.60
|
2-1-1
5.62
|
1-0-3
5.32
|
1-1-2
4.33
|
1-1-2
5.52
|
| Dunfermline Athletic |
1-1-2
6.94
|
3-0-1
6.36
|
3-0-1
5.93
|
— |
0-1-3
6.15
|
1-1-2
5.76
|
2-1-1
6.35
|
1-1-2
5.90
|
0-1-3
4.72
|
3-1-0
6.11
|
| Falkirk |
3-1-0
6.12
|
2-1-1
5.77
|
2-0-2
5.47
|
3-1-0
4.36
|
— |
2-0-2
5.20
|
1-2-1
5.55
|
2-0-2
4.97
|
0-1-3
4.27
|
0-2-2
5.56
|
| Greenock Morton |
4-0-0
6.32
|
3-1-0
5.68
|
3-0-1
4.94
|
2-1-1
4.87
|
2-0-2
5.20
|
— |
0-1-3
5.47
|
2-2-0
4.96
|
2-1-1
4.18
|
2-1-1
5.54
|
| Hamilton Academical |
3-1-0
6.02
|
1-1-2
5.87
|
1-1-2
4.90
|
1-1-2
4.24
|
1-2-1
4.86
|
3-1-0
5.01
|
— |
1-2-1
4.91
|
1-0-3
3.92
|
2-0-2
5.36
|
| Livingston |
3-0-1
6.32
|
1-3-0
6.04
|
3-0-1
5.08
|
2-1-1
4.66
|
2-0-2
5.45
|
0-2-2
5.43
|
1-2-1
5.48
|
— |
0-1-3
4.29
|
2-1-1
5.62
|
| Partick Thistle |
3-1-0
7.98
|
4-0-0
7.43
|
2-1-1
6.33
|
3-1-0
5.90
|
3-1-0
6.27
|
1-1-2
6.44
|
3-0-1
6.79
|
3-1-0
6.28
|
— |
1-3-0
7.23
|
| Raith Rovers |
3-1-0
5.82
|
0-3-1
5.59
|
2-1-1
4.87
|
0-1-3
4.41
|
2-2-0
4.87
|
1-1-2
4.90
|
2-0-2
5.07
|
1-1-2
4.84
|
0-3-1
3.68
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.44% | 6.11% | 6.67% | 3.89% | 2.22% | 0.83% | 24.17% |
| 1 | 6.11% | 10.00% | 7.22% | 2.50% | 2.22% | 0.83% | 28.89% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 7.22% | 6.67% | 2.50% | 1.11% | 0.28% | 24.44% |
| 3 | 3.89% | 2.50% | 2.50% | 2.22% | 1.67% | — | 12.78% |
| 4 | 2.22% | 2.22% | 1.11% | 1.67% | 0.56% | — | 7.78% |
| 5+ | 0.83% | 0.83% | 0.28% | — | — | — | 1.94% |
| Total | 24.17% | 28.89% | 24.44% | 12.78% | 7.78% | 1.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.58 |
| Mean allowed | 1.58 |
| StdDev scored | 1.33 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.16 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.111 |
| Sample size (games) | 180 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 36.11% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 8.33% | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 16.67% |
| 3 | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 5.56% | 25.00% | 25.00% | 19.44% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 100% |
Airdrie United — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.14 |
| Mean allowed | 2.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.17 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.54 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.61 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.100 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.33% | 2.78% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | 25.00% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 38.89% |
| 2 | — | — | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 13.89% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 8.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 36.11% | 27.78% | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | 100% |
Cowdenbeath — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.42 |
| Mean allowed | 1.81 |
| StdDev scored | 1.25 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.21 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.22 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.020 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 8.33% | 16.67% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 1 | 2.78% | — | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | 13.89% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 13.89% | 30.56% | 27.78% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 100% |
Dumbarton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.61 |
| Mean allowed | 2.31 |
| StdDev scored | 1.48 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.33 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.92 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.171 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 30.56% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 19.44% |
| 4 | 8.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 27.78% | 27.78% | 16.67% | 11.11% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 100% |
Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.72 |
| Mean allowed | 1.64 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.50 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.36 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.152 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 13.89% | 8.33% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 41.67% |
| 2 | 13.89% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% |
| 4 | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 30.56% | 30.56% | 22.22% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | 100% |
Falkirk — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.44 |
| Mean allowed | 1.33 |
| StdDev scored | 1.18 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.24 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.78 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.045 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 5.56% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| Total | 27.78% | 27.78% | 33.33% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.03 |
| Mean allowed | 1.31 |
| StdDev scored | 1.44 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.33 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.032 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 8.33% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 16.67% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | — | 36.11% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 30.56% | 33.33% | 19.44% | 13.89% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Hamilton Academical — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.44 |
| Mean allowed | 1.25 |
| StdDev scored | 1.21 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.13 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.69 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.335 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | — | 11.11% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 2.78% | 8.33% | 8.33% | — | — | 2.78% | 22.22% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 13.89% | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | — | 38.89% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 22.22% | 27.78% | 33.33% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 100% |
Livingston — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.61 |
| Mean allowed | 1.56 |
| StdDev scored | 1.25 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.17 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.251 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 27.78% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| Total | 47.22% | 33.33% | 13.89% | 5.56% | — | — | 100% |
Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.11 |
| Mean allowed | 0.78 |
| StdDev scored | 1.69 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.90 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.89 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.021 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 11.11% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 2.78% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 27.78% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Raith Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.25 |
| Mean allowed | 1.33 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.17 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.419 |
| Games played | 36 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenock Morton | 67 | 47.1 | +19.92 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 78 | 60.7 | +17.27 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 49 | 39.2 | +9.84 |
| 4 | Hamilton Academical | 51 | 45.1 | +5.93 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 53 | 47.3 | +5.71 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Airdrie United | 22 | 38.6 | -16.60 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 43 | 49.1 | -6.09 |
| 3 | Cowdenbeath | 36 | 41.4 | -5.43 |
| 4 | Raith Rovers | 46 | 44.0 | +1.99 |
| 5 | Livingston | 52 | 48.4 | +3.60 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenock Morton | 5 | Sep 1 – Oct 6 | 1 in 1,344 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 8 | Feb 19 – Mar 30 | 1 in 259 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | Aug 25 – Sep 29 | 1 in 232 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 4 | Nov 24 – Dec 26 | 1 in 100 |
| 5 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | Apr 2 – Apr 13 | 1 in 93 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumbarton | 5 | Aug 11 – Sep 15 | 1 in 1,706 |
| 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | Feb 12 – Mar 2 | 1 in 218 |
| 3 | Airdrie United | 8 | Mar 16 – Apr 27 | 1 in 191 |
| 4 | Raith Rovers | 3 | Jan 12 – Jan 26 | 1 in 26 |
| 5 | Cowdenbeath | 4 | Mar 23 – Apr 6 | 1 in 14 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick Thistle | 18 | Jan 19 – May 4 | 1 in 75 |
| 2 | Greenock Morton | 7 | Sep 1 – Oct 27 | 1 in 45 |
| 3 | Hamilton Academical | 7 | Apr 2 – Apr 27 | 1 in 14 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 6 | Sep 15 – Oct 27 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | Dunfermline Athletic | 8 | Aug 25 – Oct 27 | 1 in 11 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dumbarton | 10 | Aug 11 – Oct 27 | 1 in 273 |
| 2 | Cowdenbeath | 16 | Sep 15 – Jan 26 | 1 in 199 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 10 | Feb 12 – Apr 6 | 1 in 76 |
| 4 | Airdrie United | 15 | Jan 19 – Apr 27 | 1 in 39 |
| 5 | Hamilton Academical | 7 | Aug 11 – Sep 29 | 1 in 10 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick Thistle | 68.08% | 16.42% | 7.39% | 3.73% | 1.96% | 1.27% | 0.66% | 0.32% | 0.12% | 0.05% |
| Greenock Morton | 5.24% | 13.51% | 15.14% | 13.76% | 12.57% | 11.03% | 9.87% | 8.99% | 6.04% | 3.85% |
| Falkirk | 4.83% | 13.48% | 14.45% | 13.92% | 12.92% | 12.09% | 10.14% | 8.30% | 6.57% | 3.30% |
| Livingston | 6.47% | 16.64% | 15.38% | 14.21% | 12.75% | 11.35% | 8.45% | 6.72% | 5.24% | 2.79% |
| Hamilton Academical | 3.24% | 8.68% | 10.84% | 11.98% | 12.75% | 12.86% | 12.13% | 11.35% | 9.60% | 6.57% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 0.73% | 2.43% | 3.97% | 5.43% | 7.52% | 9.38% | 11.56% | 15.27% | 18.56% | 25.15% |
| Raith Rovers | 2.20% | 6.88% | 9.34% | 10.52% | 11.64% | 12.35% | 13.13% | 13.14% | 12.08% | 8.72% |
| Dumbarton | 7.69% | 17.16% | 15.23% | 13.92% | 12.62% | 11.11% | 9.04% | 6.29% | 4.26% | 2.68% |
| Cowdenbeath | 1.07% | 3.24% | 5.44% | 8.01% | 9.18% | 10.70% | 13.59% | 15.38% | 17.22% | 16.17% |
| Airdrie United | 0.45% | 1.56% | 2.82% | 4.52% | 6.09% | 7.86% | 11.43% | 14.24% | 20.31% | 30.72% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partick Thistle | 68.1% | 31.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dumbarton | 7.7% | 85.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Livingston | 6.5% | 85.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Falkirk | 4.8% | 85.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Greenock Morton | 5.2% | 84.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Hamilton Academical | 3.2% | 80.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Raith Rovers | 2.2% | 77.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% |
| Cowdenbeath | 1.1% | 65.5% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 0.7% | 55.6% | 18.6% | 25.1% |
| Airdrie United | 0.4% | 48.5% | 20.3% | 30.7% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-11 | Dumbarton | W 4-1 | 1350 | 1456 | 22.7% | 36.1% | 41.2% | +13.3 | 3 |
| 2012-08-11 | @ Airdrie United | L 1-4 | 1456 | 1350 | 41.2% | 36.1% | 22.7% | -13.3 | 0 |
| 2012-08-11 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1311 | 1353 | 28.3% | 41.3% | 30.3% | -16.9 | 0 |
| 2012-08-11 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 4-0 | 1353 | 1311 | 30.3% | 41.3% | 28.3% | +16.9 | 3 |
| 2012-08-11 | Livingston | D 2-2 | 1279 | 1336 | 26.6% | 40.9% | 32.6% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2012-08-11 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1336 | 1279 | 32.6% | 40.9% | 26.6% | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2012-08-11 | Falkirk | W 3-1 | 1346 | 1343 | 35.5% | 39.7% | 24.8% | +7.0 | 3 |
| 2012-08-11 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-3 | 1343 | 1346 | 24.8% | 39.7% | 35.5% | -7.0 | 0 |
| 2012-08-11 | Hamilton Academical | W 2-0 | 1315 | 1330 | 32.3% | 40.9% | 26.7% | +8.6 | 3 |
| 2012-08-11 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1330 | 1315 | 26.7% | 40.9% | 32.3% | -8.5 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | Cowdenbeath | L 0-3 | 1442 | 1294 | 64.1% | 16.4% | 19.5% | -19.5 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1294 | 1442 | 19.5% | 16.4% | 64.1% | +19.5 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1370 | 1353 | 37.7% | 38.5% | 23.8% | -5.5 | 3 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1353 | 1370 | 23.8% | 38.5% | 37.7% | +5.5 | 6 |
| 2012-08-18 | Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1336 | 1323 | 37.0% | 38.9% | 24.1% | -10.3 | 0 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1323 | 1336 | 24.1% | 38.9% | 37.0% | +10.3 | 6 |
| 2012-08-18 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1321 | 1279 | 42.5% | 35.1% | 22.3% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1279 | 1321 | 22.3% | 35.1% | 42.5% | +0.5 | 2 |
| 2012-08-18 | Airdrie United | L 0-2 | 1336 | 1363 | 30.4% | 41.3% | 28.2% | -9.3 | 1 |
| 2012-08-18 | @ Livingston | W 2-0 | 1363 | 1336 | 28.2% | 41.3% | 30.4% | +9.3 | 6 |
| 2012-08-25 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1372 | 1364 | 36.3% | 39.3% | 24.4% | -5.1 | 6 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1364 | 1372 | 24.4% | 39.3% | 36.3% | +5.1 | 6 |
| 2012-08-25 | Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1313 | 1321 | 33.6% | 40.5% | 25.9% | +4.4 | 6 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 0-1 | 1321 | 1313 | 25.9% | 40.5% | 33.6% | -4.4 | 1 |
| 2012-08-25 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1280 | 1325 | 27.9% | 41.3% | 30.8% | -4.4 | 2 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1325 | 1280 | 30.8% | 41.3% | 27.9% | +4.4 | 3 |
| 2012-08-25 | Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1359 | 1423 | 25.8% | 40.5% | 33.7% | +14.2 | 9 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1423 | 1359 | 33.7% | 40.5% | 25.8% | -14.2 | 0 |
| 2012-08-25 | Livingston | D 0-0 | 1333 | 1326 | 36.1% | 39.4% | 24.5% | -0.3 | 7 |
| 2012-08-25 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1326 | 1333 | 24.5% | 39.4% | 36.1% | +0.3 | 2 |
| 2012-09-01 | Cowdenbeath | L 0-3 | 1367 | 1318 | 44.0% | 34.0% | 22.0% | -16.3 | 6 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Airdrie United | W 3-0 | 1318 | 1367 | 22.0% | 34.0% | 44.0% | +16.3 | 9 |
| 2012-09-01 | Raith Rovers | W 3-1 | 1369 | 1333 | 41.4% | 36.0% | 22.6% | +6.3 | 9 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1333 | 1369 | 22.6% | 36.0% | 41.4% | -6.3 | 7 |
| 2012-09-01 | Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1275 | 1408 | 21.6% | 31.8% | 46.6% | +16.8 | 5 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1408 | 1275 | 46.6% | 31.8% | 21.6% | -16.8 | 0 |
| 2012-09-01 | Hamilton Academical | W 4-0 | 1373 | 1316 | 45.4% | 32.8% | 21.8% | +12.8 | 12 |
| 2012-09-01 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1316 | 1373 | 21.8% | 32.8% | 45.4% | -12.8 | 1 |
| 2012-09-02 | Livingston | L 1-2 | 1330 | 1327 | 35.4% | 39.8% | 24.9% | -5.0 | 3 |
| 2012-09-02 | @ Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1327 | 1330 | 24.9% | 39.8% | 35.4% | +5.0 | 5 |
| 2012-09-15 | Greenock Morton | L 3-4 | 1334 | 1292 | 42.5% | 35.2% | 22.3% | -5.1 | 9 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 4-3 | 1292 | 1334 | 22.3% | 35.2% | 42.5% | +5.1 | 8 |
| 2012-09-15 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1392 | 1375 | 37.7% | 38.5% | 23.8% | -10.4 | 0 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1375 | 1392 | 23.8% | 38.5% | 37.7% | +10.4 | 12 |
| 2012-09-15 | Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1304 | 1325 | 31.4% | 41.1% | 27.4% | -0.1 | 2 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1325 | 1304 | 27.4% | 41.1% | 31.4% | +0.1 | 4 |
| 2012-09-15 | Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1332 | 1386 | 26.8% | 41.0% | 32.2% | -4.3 | 5 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Livingston | W 2-1 | 1386 | 1332 | 32.2% | 41.0% | 26.8% | +4.3 | 15 |
| 2012-09-15 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1327 | 1351 | 31.0% | 41.2% | 27.8% | +8.8 | 10 |
| 2012-09-15 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1351 | 1327 | 27.8% | 41.2% | 31.0% | -8.8 | 6 |
| 2012-09-22 | Hamilton Academical | D 3-3 | 1381 | 1304 | 49.7% | 29.2% | 21.1% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Dumbarton | D 3-3 | 1304 | 1381 | 21.1% | 29.2% | 49.7% | +0.5 | 3 |
| 2012-09-22 | Livingston | W 4-0 | 1386 | 1327 | 45.8% | 32.5% | 21.7% | +12.7 | 15 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1327 | 1386 | 21.7% | 32.5% | 45.8% | -12.7 | 5 |
| 2012-09-22 | Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1325 | 1342 | 32.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | -0.1 | 5 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1342 | 1325 | 27.0% | 41.0% | 32.0% | +0.1 | 7 |
| 2012-09-22 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1297 | 1336 | 28.9% | 41.4% | 29.8% | +4.9 | 11 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1336 | 1297 | 29.8% | 41.4% | 28.9% | -4.8 | 10 |
| 2012-09-22 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1390 | 1329 | 46.3% | 32.1% | 21.6% | +3.3 | 18 |
| 2012-09-22 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1329 | 1390 | 21.6% | 32.1% | 46.3% | -3.3 | 9 |
| 2012-09-29 | Greenock Morton | L 2-3 | 1342 | 1302 | 42.2% | 35.4% | 22.4% | -5.2 | 7 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Airdrie United | W 3-2 | 1302 | 1342 | 22.4% | 35.4% | 42.2% | +5.2 | 14 |
| 2012-09-29 | Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1326 | 1325 | 35.0% | 39.9% | 25.1% | -0.3 | 10 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1325 | 1326 | 25.1% | 39.9% | 35.0% | +0.3 | 6 |
| 2012-09-29 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1304 | 1399 | 23.3% | 37.6% | 39.1% | -10.9 | 3 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-0 | 1399 | 1304 | 39.1% | 37.6% | 23.3% | +10.9 | 18 |
| 2012-09-29 | Dumbarton | W 5-0 | 1315 | 1381 | 25.6% | 40.3% | 34.1% | +23.1 | 8 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Livingston | L 0-5 | 1381 | 1315 | 34.1% | 40.3% | 25.6% | -23.1 | 1 |
| 2012-09-29 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1331 | 1394 | 25.9% | 40.5% | 33.6% | +0.2 | 11 |
| 2012-09-29 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1394 | 1331 | 33.6% | 40.5% | 25.9% | -0.2 | 19 |
| 2012-10-06 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-4 | 1337 | 1293 | 42.9% | 34.9% | 22.2% | -21.0 | 7 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Airdrie United | W 4-0 | 1293 | 1337 | 22.2% | 34.9% | 42.9% | +21.0 | 6 |
| 2012-10-06 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1325 | 1409 | 24.0% | 38.7% | 37.3% | +0.3 | 7 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Falkirk | D 2-2 | 1409 | 1325 | 37.3% | 38.7% | 24.0% | -0.3 | 19 |
| 2012-10-06 | Partick Thistle | W 3-1 | 1307 | 1393 | 23.9% | 38.6% | 37.6% | +9.0 | 17 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-3 | 1393 | 1307 | 37.6% | 38.6% | 23.9% | -9.0 | 19 |
| 2012-10-06 | Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1338 | 1325 | 37.0% | 38.9% | 24.1% | -0.3 | 9 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Livingston | D 1-1 | 1325 | 1338 | 24.1% | 38.9% | 37.0% | +0.3 | 11 |
| 2012-10-06 | Dumbarton | D 2-2 | 1331 | 1358 | 30.6% | 41.3% | 28.1% | -0.0 | 12 |
| 2012-10-06 | @ Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1358 | 1331 | 28.1% | 41.3% | 30.6% | +0.0 | 2 |
| 2012-10-20 | Raith Rovers | D 4-4 | 1326 | 1331 | 34.0% | 40.4% | 25.7% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 4-4 | 1331 | 1326 | 25.7% | 40.4% | 34.0% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2012-10-20 | Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1358 | 1325 | 40.7% | 36.5% | 22.8% | -10.8 | 2 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1325 | 1358 | 22.8% | 36.5% | 40.7% | +10.8 | 10 |
| 2012-10-20 | Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1409 | 1316 | 52.8% | 26.4% | 20.8% | -0.7 | 20 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1316 | 1409 | 20.8% | 26.4% | 52.8% | +0.7 | 18 |
| 2012-10-20 | Livingston | L 1-2 | 1314 | 1337 | 31.1% | 41.2% | 27.7% | -4.7 | 6 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 2-1 | 1337 | 1314 | 27.7% | 41.2% | 31.1% | +4.7 | 12 |
| 2012-10-20 | Airdrie United | W 7-0 | 1384 | 1316 | 47.8% | 30.8% | 21.4% | +20.7 | 22 |
| 2012-10-20 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-7 | 1316 | 1384 | 21.4% | 30.8% | 47.8% | -20.7 | 7 |
| 2012-10-27 | Airdrie United | L 3-4 | 1347 | 1295 | 44.4% | 33.7% | 21.9% | -5.2 | 2 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Dumbarton | W 4-3 | 1295 | 1347 | 21.9% | 33.7% | 44.4% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2012-10-27 | Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1409 | 1326 | 50.8% | 28.2% | 21.0% | +8.9 | 23 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1326 | 1409 | 21.0% | 28.2% | 50.8% | -8.8 | 12 |
| 2012-10-27 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1336 | 1405 | 25.3% | 40.1% | 34.6% | +0.3 | 11 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1405 | 1336 | 34.6% | 40.1% | 25.3% | -0.3 | 23 |
| 2012-10-27 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1309 | 1331 | 31.4% | 41.2% | 27.5% | -5.0 | 6 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1331 | 1309 | 27.5% | 41.2% | 31.4% | +5.0 | 16 |
| 2012-10-27 | Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1342 | 1317 | 39.3% | 37.5% | 23.2% | -0.3 | 13 |
| 2012-10-27 | @ Livingston | D 2-2 | 1317 | 1342 | 23.2% | 37.5% | 39.3% | +0.3 | 19 |
| 2012-11-09 | Livingston | L 1-3 | 1301 | 1342 | 28.5% | 41.3% | 30.2% | -7.7 | 10 |
| 2012-11-09 | @ Airdrie United | W 3-1 | 1342 | 1301 | 30.2% | 41.3% | 28.5% | +7.7 | 16 |
| 2012-11-10 | Dumbarton | L 0-1 | 1317 | 1342 | 30.8% | 41.3% | 27.9% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 1-0 | 1342 | 1317 | 27.9% | 41.3% | 30.8% | +5.0 | 5 |
| 2012-11-10 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1317 | 1304 | 37.1% | 38.9% | 24.1% | -5.5 | 19 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1304 | 1317 | 24.1% | 38.9% | 37.1% | +5.5 | 9 |
| 2012-11-10 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 5-1 | 1405 | 1417 | 32.8% | 40.8% | 26.4% | +13.4 | 26 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-5 | 1417 | 1405 | 26.4% | 40.8% | 32.8% | -13.4 | 23 |
| 2012-11-10 | Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1336 | 1336 | 34.8% | 40.0% | 25.2% | +4.1 | 19 |
| 2012-11-10 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1336 | 1336 | 25.2% | 40.0% | 34.8% | -4.1 | 11 |
| 2012-11-16 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1310 | 1418 | 22.5% | 35.8% | 41.7% | +5.8 | 12 |
| 2012-11-16 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-1 | 1418 | 1310 | 41.7% | 35.8% | 22.5% | -5.8 | 26 |
| 2012-11-17 | Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1312 | 1293 | 38.2% | 38.2% | 23.6% | -0.4 | 13 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1293 | 1312 | 23.6% | 38.2% | 38.2% | +0.4 | 11 |
| 2012-11-17 | Greenock Morton | L 1-5 | 1347 | 1312 | 41.1% | 36.2% | 22.7% | -17.2 | 5 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Dumbarton | W 5-1 | 1312 | 1347 | 22.7% | 36.2% | 41.1% | +17.2 | 22 |
| 2012-11-17 | Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1350 | 1332 | 37.9% | 38.4% | 23.7% | +3.9 | 19 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1332 | 1350 | 23.7% | 38.4% | 37.9% | -3.9 | 11 |
| 2012-11-17 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1340 | 1404 | 25.8% | 40.5% | 33.8% | -7.2 | 19 |
| 2012-11-17 | @ Raith Rovers | W 3-1 | 1404 | 1340 | 33.8% | 40.5% | 25.8% | +7.2 | 26 |
| 2012-11-24 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1293 | 1333 | 28.7% | 41.4% | 30.0% | +0.0 | 12 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Airdrie United | D 0-0 | 1333 | 1293 | 30.0% | 41.4% | 28.7% | -0.0 | 20 |
| 2012-11-24 | Dumbarton | W 4-0 | 1411 | 1329 | 50.5% | 28.4% | 21.1% | +11.6 | 29 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1329 | 1411 | 21.1% | 28.4% | 50.5% | -11.6 | 5 |
| 2012-11-24 | Hamilton Academical | W 2-1 | 1328 | 1316 | 37.0% | 38.9% | 24.1% | +3.9 | 14 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1316 | 1328 | 24.1% | 38.9% | 37.0% | -3.9 | 12 |
| 2012-11-24 | Cowdenbeath | W 1-0 | 1329 | 1311 | 37.9% | 38.3% | 23.7% | +4.1 | 25 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1311 | 1329 | 23.7% | 38.3% | 37.9% | -4.1 | 13 |
| 2012-11-24 | Livingston | W 2-0 | 1412 | 1353 | 45.9% | 32.5% | 21.7% | +6.7 | 29 |
| 2012-11-24 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1353 | 1412 | 21.7% | 32.5% | 45.9% | -6.7 | 19 |
| 2012-12-08 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1347 | 1423 | 24.6% | 39.5% | 35.8% | +5.1 | 22 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1423 | 1347 | 35.8% | 39.5% | 24.6% | -5.1 | 29 |
| 2012-12-08 | Greenock Morton | D 3-3 | 1333 | 1333 | 34.8% | 40.0% | 25.2% | -0.1 | 21 |
| 2012-12-08 | @ Raith Rovers | D 3-3 | 1333 | 1333 | 25.2% | 40.0% | 34.8% | +0.2 | 26 |
| 2012-12-15 | Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1418 | 1312 | 55.5% | 24.0% | 20.5% | -1.0 | 30 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1312 | 1418 | 20.5% | 24.0% | 55.5% | +1.0 | 13 |
| 2012-12-15 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-0 | 1332 | 1307 | 39.3% | 37.5% | 23.2% | +7.5 | 17 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1307 | 1332 | 23.2% | 37.5% | 39.3% | -7.5 | 13 |
| 2012-12-15 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1333 | 1293 | 42.1% | 35.4% | 22.4% | +7.1 | 29 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1293 | 1333 | 22.4% | 35.4% | 42.1% | -7.1 | 12 |
| 2012-12-15 | Raith Rovers | W 3-2 | 1419 | 1333 | 51.4% | 27.6% | 20.9% | +2.9 | 32 |
| 2012-12-15 | @ Partick Thistle | L 2-3 | 1333 | 1419 | 20.9% | 27.6% | 51.4% | -2.9 | 21 |
| 2012-12-22 | Falkirk | L 1-4 | 1286 | 1340 | 26.9% | 41.0% | 32.1% | -10.5 | 12 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Airdrie United | W 4-1 | 1340 | 1286 | 32.1% | 41.0% | 26.9% | +10.5 | 20 |
| 2012-12-22 | Livingston | D 1-1 | 1300 | 1352 | 27.1% | 41.1% | 31.8% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2012-12-22 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1352 | 1300 | 31.8% | 41.1% | 27.1% | -0.1 | 23 |
| 2012-12-26 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1417 | 1350 | 47.4% | 31.1% | 21.4% | -6.2 | 30 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1350 | 1417 | 21.4% | 31.1% | 47.4% | +6.2 | 23 |
| 2012-12-26 | Airdrie United | W 3-0 | 1313 | 1276 | 41.6% | 35.8% | 22.6% | +10.5 | 16 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-3 | 1276 | 1313 | 22.6% | 35.8% | 41.6% | -10.5 | 12 |
| 2012-12-26 | Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1422 | 1340 | 50.5% | 28.5% | 21.1% | -6.0 | 32 |
| 2012-12-26 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1340 | 1422 | 21.1% | 28.5% | 50.5% | +6.0 | 32 |
| 2012-12-29 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1265 | 1416 | 21.1% | 28.7% | 50.2% | +0.8 | 13 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1416 | 1265 | 50.2% | 28.7% | 21.1% | -0.8 | 33 |
| 2012-12-29 | Dumbarton | L 3-4 | 1356 | 1318 | 41.9% | 35.6% | 22.5% | -5.1 | 23 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Falkirk | W 4-3 | 1318 | 1356 | 22.5% | 35.6% | 41.9% | +5.1 | 8 |
| 2012-12-29 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-2 | 1346 | 1411 | 25.8% | 40.4% | 33.8% | +7.6 | 35 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Greenock Morton | L 2-4 | 1411 | 1346 | 33.8% | 40.4% | 25.8% | -7.6 | 30 |
| 2012-12-29 | Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1330 | 1300 | 40.2% | 36.8% | 22.9% | -0.3 | 22 |
| 2012-12-29 | @ Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1300 | 1330 | 22.9% | 36.8% | 40.2% | +0.3 | 15 |
| 2013-01-02 | Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1266 | 1300 | 29.4% | 41.4% | 29.2% | +0.0 | 14 |
| 2013-01-02 | @ Airdrie United | D 1-1 | 1300 | 1266 | 29.2% | 41.4% | 29.4% | +0.0 | 16 |
| 2013-01-02 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1403 | 1330 | 48.8% | 29.9% | 21.3% | +3.4 | 33 |
| 2013-01-02 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1330 | 1403 | 21.3% | 29.9% | 48.8% | -3.3 | 22 |
| 2013-01-02 | Dumbarton | L 0-3 | 1354 | 1323 | 40.4% | 36.7% | 22.9% | -15.6 | 35 |
| 2013-01-02 | @ Greenock Morton | W 3-0 | 1323 | 1354 | 22.9% | 36.7% | 40.4% | +15.6 | 11 |
| 2013-01-05 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1300 | 1338 | 28.9% | 41.4% | 29.7% | +0.0 | 17 |
| 2013-01-05 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1338 | 1300 | 29.7% | 41.4% | 28.9% | -0.0 | 36 |
| 2013-01-05 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1339 | 1406 | 25.4% | 40.2% | 34.4% | -4.3 | 11 |
| 2013-01-05 | @ Dumbarton | W 1-0 | 1406 | 1339 | 34.4% | 40.2% | 25.4% | +4.4 | 36 |
| 2013-01-05 | Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1323 | 1351 | 30.3% | 41.3% | 28.3% | -0.0 | 17 |
| 2013-01-05 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1351 | 1323 | 28.3% | 41.3% | 30.3% | +0.1 | 24 |
| 2013-01-05 | Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1352 | 1415 | 25.8% | 40.5% | 33.7% | +0.1 | 24 |
| 2013-01-05 | @ Livingston | D 2-2 | 1415 | 1352 | 33.7% | 40.5% | 25.8% | -0.1 | 34 |
| 2013-01-05 | Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1326 | 1266 | 46.1% | 32.2% | 21.6% | +6.6 | 25 |
| 2013-01-05 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1266 | 1326 | 21.6% | 32.2% | 46.1% | -6.6 | 14 |
| 2013-01-12 | Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1334 | 1415 | 24.3% | 39.1% | 36.6% | +10.2 | 14 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Dumbarton | L 0-2 | 1415 | 1334 | 36.6% | 39.1% | 24.3% | -10.2 | 34 |
| 2013-01-12 | Airdrie United | L 1-3 | 1411 | 1259 | 64.7% | 15.9% | 19.4% | -11.7 | 36 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-1 | 1259 | 1411 | 19.4% | 15.9% | 64.7% | +11.7 | 17 |
| 2013-01-12 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1351 | 1338 | 37.1% | 38.8% | 24.1% | -5.5 | 24 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1338 | 1351 | 24.1% | 38.8% | 37.1% | +5.5 | 39 |
| 2013-01-12 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1323 | 1300 | 38.9% | 37.7% | 23.4% | +3.8 | 20 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1300 | 1323 | 23.4% | 37.7% | 38.9% | -3.8 | 17 |
| 2013-01-12 | Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1352 | 1333 | 38.2% | 38.2% | 23.6% | +3.8 | 27 |
| 2013-01-12 | @ Livingston | L 1-2 | 1333 | 1352 | 23.6% | 38.2% | 38.2% | -3.8 | 25 |
| 2013-01-19 | Dumbarton | L 1-2 | 1271 | 1344 | 24.9% | 39.8% | 35.4% | -4.0 | 17 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1344 | 1271 | 35.4% | 39.8% | 24.9% | +4.0 | 17 |
| 2013-01-19 | Livingston | W 2-1 | 1344 | 1356 | 32.9% | 40.8% | 26.4% | +4.2 | 42 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1356 | 1344 | 26.4% | 40.8% | 32.9% | -4.2 | 27 |
| 2013-01-19 | Falkirk | W 4-1 | 1405 | 1346 | 45.8% | 32.5% | 21.7% | +8.2 | 37 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-4 | 1346 | 1405 | 21.7% | 32.5% | 45.8% | -8.2 | 24 |
| 2013-01-19 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-2 | 1329 | 1327 | 35.2% | 39.8% | 25.0% | -10.0 | 25 |
| 2013-01-19 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1327 | 1329 | 25.0% | 39.8% | 35.2% | +10.0 | 23 |
| 2013-01-26 | Hamilton Academical | W 3-1 | 1348 | 1337 | 36.8% | 39.0% | 24.2% | +6.8 | 20 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Dumbarton | L 1-3 | 1337 | 1348 | 24.2% | 39.0% | 36.8% | -6.8 | 23 |
| 2013-01-26 | Livingston | L 0-1 | 1399 | 1351 | 43.6% | 34.3% | 22.1% | -5.9 | 36 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1351 | 1399 | 22.1% | 34.3% | 43.6% | +5.9 | 30 |
| 2013-01-26 | Airdrie United | W 4-3 | 1338 | 1267 | 48.3% | 30.4% | 21.3% | +3.0 | 27 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Falkirk | L 3-4 | 1267 | 1338 | 21.3% | 30.4% | 48.3% | -3.0 | 17 |
| 2013-01-26 | Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1348 | 1319 | 40.1% | 37.0% | 23.0% | +3.9 | 45 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1319 | 1348 | 23.0% | 37.0% | 40.1% | -3.9 | 25 |
| 2013-01-26 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1413 | 1296 | 57.6% | 22.0% | 20.3% | +2.7 | 40 |
| 2013-01-26 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1296 | 1413 | 20.3% | 22.0% | 57.6% | -2.7 | 17 |
| 2013-02-02 | Livingston | L 3-4 | 1355 | 1357 | 34.5% | 40.2% | 25.4% | -4.6 | 20 |
| 2013-02-02 | @ Dumbarton | W 4-3 | 1357 | 1355 | 25.4% | 40.2% | 34.5% | +4.6 | 33 |
| 2013-02-09 | Greenock Morton | L 0-4 | 1264 | 1352 | 23.7% | 38.3% | 37.9% | -14.6 | 17 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Airdrie United | W 4-0 | 1352 | 1264 | 37.9% | 38.3% | 23.7% | +14.6 | 48 |
| 2013-02-09 | Falkirk | W 4-1 | 1294 | 1341 | 27.7% | 41.2% | 31.0% | +11.5 | 20 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 1-4 | 1341 | 1294 | 31.0% | 41.2% | 27.7% | -11.5 | 27 |
| 2013-02-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1330 | 1393 | 25.9% | 40.5% | 33.6% | -4.2 | 23 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 2-1 | 1393 | 1330 | 33.6% | 40.5% | 25.9% | +4.2 | 39 |
| 2013-02-09 | Dumbarton | L 2-3 | 1362 | 1351 | 36.8% | 39.0% | 24.2% | -4.9 | 33 |
| 2013-02-09 | @ Livingston | W 3-2 | 1351 | 1362 | 24.2% | 39.0% | 36.8% | +4.9 | 23 |
| 2013-02-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-2 | 1305 | 1397 | 23.5% | 37.9% | 38.7% | +8.2 | 23 |
| 2013-02-12 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 2-4 | 1397 | 1305 | 38.7% | 37.9% | 23.5% | -8.1 | 39 |
| 2013-02-16 | Hamilton Academical | D 2-2 | 1249 | 1326 | 24.6% | 39.5% | 35.9% | +0.2 | 18 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Airdrie United | D 2-2 | 1326 | 1249 | 35.9% | 39.5% | 24.6% | -0.2 | 24 |
| 2013-02-16 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 1-0 | 1329 | 1389 | 26.2% | 40.7% | 33.1% | +5.2 | 30 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1389 | 1329 | 33.1% | 40.7% | 26.2% | -5.2 | 39 |
| 2013-02-16 | Partick Thistle | D 2-2 | 1367 | 1416 | 27.5% | 41.2% | 31.4% | +0.1 | 49 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1416 | 1367 | 31.4% | 41.2% | 27.5% | -0.1 | 41 |
| 2013-02-16 | Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1357 | 1313 | 42.8% | 34.9% | 22.3% | +10.2 | 36 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Livingston | L 0-3 | 1313 | 1357 | 22.3% | 34.9% | 42.8% | -10.2 | 23 |
| 2013-02-16 | Dumbarton | W 3-2 | 1315 | 1356 | 28.6% | 41.3% | 30.1% | +4.4 | 28 |
| 2013-02-16 | @ Raith Rovers | L 2-3 | 1356 | 1315 | 30.1% | 41.3% | 28.6% | -4.4 | 23 |
| 2013-02-19 | Livingston | W 2-0 | 1334 | 1367 | 29.6% | 41.4% | 29.0% | +9.0 | 33 |
| 2013-02-19 | @ Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1367 | 1334 | 29.0% | 41.4% | 29.6% | -9.0 | 36 |
| 2013-02-19 | Hamilton Academical | W 1-0 | 1415 | 1326 | 52.1% | 27.0% | 20.9% | +3.1 | 44 |
| 2013-02-19 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1326 | 1415 | 20.9% | 27.0% | 52.1% | -3.1 | 24 |
| 2013-02-23 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1303 | 1319 | 32.2% | 41.0% | 26.8% | -0.1 | 24 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1319 | 1303 | 26.8% | 41.0% | 32.2% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2013-02-23 | Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1351 | 1343 | 36.2% | 39.3% | 24.5% | -10.2 | 23 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-0 | 1343 | 1351 | 24.5% | 39.3% | 36.2% | +10.2 | 36 |
| 2013-02-23 | Greenock Morton | L 1-4 | 1384 | 1367 | 37.9% | 38.4% | 23.7% | -12.8 | 39 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-1 | 1367 | 1384 | 23.7% | 38.4% | 37.9% | +12.8 | 52 |
| 2013-02-23 | Livingston | D 1-1 | 1323 | 1358 | 29.2% | 41.4% | 29.4% | +0.0 | 25 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1358 | 1323 | 29.4% | 41.4% | 29.2% | +0.0 | 37 |
| 2013-02-23 | Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1419 | 1250 | 68.0% | 13.2% | 18.8% | +2.3 | 47 |
| 2013-02-23 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1250 | 1419 | 18.8% | 13.2% | 68.0% | -2.3 | 18 |
| 2013-03-02 | Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1341 | 1303 | 41.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | -0.4 | 24 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Dumbarton | D 2-2 | 1303 | 1341 | 22.5% | 35.7% | 41.7% | +0.4 | 25 |
| 2013-03-02 | Partick Thistle | L 0-4 | 1371 | 1421 | 27.4% | 41.1% | 31.5% | -16.5 | 39 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-0 | 1421 | 1371 | 31.5% | 41.1% | 27.4% | +16.5 | 50 |
| 2013-03-02 | Airdrie United | W 4-1 | 1358 | 1247 | 56.5% | 23.0% | 20.4% | +6.7 | 40 |
| 2013-03-02 | @ Livingston | L 1-4 | 1247 | 1358 | 20.4% | 23.0% | 56.5% | -6.7 | 18 |
| 2013-03-05 | Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1354 | 1320 | 41.0% | 36.3% | 22.7% | -0.5 | 37 |
| 2013-03-05 | @ Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1320 | 1354 | 22.7% | 36.3% | 41.0% | +0.5 | 30 |
| 2013-03-05 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1323 | 1379 | 26.6% | 40.9% | 32.6% | +4.8 | 28 |
| 2013-03-05 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1379 | 1323 | 32.6% | 40.9% | 26.6% | -4.8 | 52 |
| 2013-03-09 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 3-3 | 1241 | 1355 | 22.3% | 34.9% | 42.8% | +0.3 | 19 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Airdrie United | D 3-3 | 1355 | 1241 | 42.8% | 34.9% | 22.3% | -0.3 | 40 |
| 2013-03-09 | Hamilton Academical | D 1-1 | 1303 | 1328 | 31.0% | 41.2% | 27.8% | -0.1 | 26 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1328 | 1303 | 27.8% | 41.2% | 31.0% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2013-03-09 | Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1375 | 1353 | 38.6% | 37.9% | 23.5% | +7.6 | 55 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1353 | 1375 | 23.5% | 37.9% | 38.6% | -7.6 | 37 |
| 2013-03-09 | Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1437 | 1341 | 53.6% | 25.7% | 20.7% | +8.4 | 53 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1341 | 1437 | 20.7% | 25.7% | 53.6% | -8.4 | 24 |
| 2013-03-09 | Livingston | L 0-2 | 1320 | 1365 | 28.0% | 41.3% | 30.8% | -8.8 | 30 |
| 2013-03-09 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1365 | 1320 | 30.8% | 41.3% | 28.0% | +8.8 | 43 |
| 2013-03-16 | Airdrie United | W 3-2 | 1303 | 1241 | 46.6% | 31.9% | 21.6% | +3.1 | 29 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 2-3 | 1241 | 1303 | 21.6% | 31.9% | 46.6% | -3.1 | 19 |
| 2013-03-16 | Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1332 | 1382 | 27.4% | 41.1% | 31.5% | -12.6 | 24 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1382 | 1332 | 31.5% | 41.1% | 27.4% | +12.6 | 58 |
| 2013-03-16 | Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1328 | 1446 | 22.1% | 34.3% | 43.6% | -6.9 | 29 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 2-0 | 1446 | 1328 | 43.6% | 34.3% | 22.1% | +6.9 | 56 |
| 2013-03-16 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1311 | 1354 | 28.2% | 41.3% | 30.5% | +0.0 | 31 |
| 2013-03-16 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1354 | 1311 | 30.5% | 41.3% | 28.2% | -0.1 | 41 |
| 2013-03-23 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1238 | 1311 | 24.9% | 39.8% | 35.4% | -4.0 | 19 |
| 2013-03-23 | @ Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1311 | 1238 | 35.4% | 39.8% | 24.9% | +4.0 | 34 |
| 2013-03-23 | Dumbarton | L 3-4 | 1354 | 1320 | 41.1% | 36.2% | 22.7% | -5.0 | 41 |
| 2013-03-23 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 4-3 | 1320 | 1354 | 22.7% | 36.2% | 41.1% | +5.0 | 27 |
| 2013-03-23 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-2 | 1345 | 1321 | 39.3% | 37.5% | 23.2% | -10.6 | 37 |
| 2013-03-23 | @ Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1321 | 1345 | 23.2% | 37.5% | 39.3% | +10.6 | 32 |
| 2013-03-23 | Cowdenbeath | W 4-2 | 1395 | 1307 | 51.8% | 27.3% | 20.9% | +4.6 | 61 |
| 2013-03-23 | @ Greenock Morton | L 2-4 | 1307 | 1395 | 20.9% | 27.3% | 51.8% | -4.6 | 29 |
| 2013-03-23 | Livingston | W 6-1 | 1453 | 1374 | 49.9% | 29.0% | 21.1% | +12.0 | 59 |
| 2013-03-23 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-6 | 1374 | 1453 | 21.1% | 29.0% | 49.9% | -12.0 | 43 |
| 2013-03-27 | Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1302 | 1465 | 20.8% | 26.5% | 52.7% | -8.5 | 29 |
| 2013-03-27 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1465 | 1302 | 52.7% | 26.5% | 20.8% | +8.5 | 62 |
| 2013-03-27 | Raith Rovers | W 4-2 | 1325 | 1315 | 36.5% | 39.2% | 24.3% | +6.1 | 30 |
| 2013-03-27 | @ Dumbarton | L 2-4 | 1315 | 1325 | 24.3% | 39.2% | 36.5% | -6.1 | 34 |
| 2013-03-27 | Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1349 | 1335 | 37.4% | 38.7% | 23.9% | -10.3 | 41 |
| 2013-03-27 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1335 | 1349 | 23.9% | 38.7% | 37.4% | +10.4 | 40 |
| 2013-03-30 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1234 | 1345 | 22.4% | 35.3% | 42.3% | -3.8 | 19 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Airdrie United | W 1-0 | 1345 | 1234 | 42.3% | 35.3% | 22.4% | +3.8 | 43 |
| 2013-03-30 | Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1293 | 1473 | 20.5% | 23.3% | 56.2% | -2.8 | 29 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1473 | 1293 | 56.2% | 23.3% | 20.5% | +2.8 | 65 |
| 2013-03-30 | Dumbarton | L 2-3 | 1331 | 1331 | 34.9% | 40.0% | 25.1% | -4.7 | 32 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-2 | 1331 | 1331 | 25.1% | 40.0% | 34.9% | +4.7 | 33 |
| 2013-03-30 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1362 | 1339 | 38.9% | 37.7% | 23.4% | -0.3 | 44 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Livingston | D 2-2 | 1339 | 1362 | 23.4% | 37.7% | 38.9% | +0.3 | 42 |
| 2013-03-30 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1309 | 1399 | 23.6% | 38.1% | 38.3% | +5.2 | 37 |
| 2013-03-30 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1399 | 1309 | 38.3% | 38.1% | 23.6% | -5.2 | 61 |
| 2013-04-02 | Dumbarton | W 2-1 | 1327 | 1336 | 33.3% | 40.6% | 26.1% | +4.2 | 35 |
| 2013-04-02 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 1-2 | 1336 | 1327 | 26.1% | 40.6% | 33.3% | -4.2 | 33 |
| 2013-04-02 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1314 | 1476 | 20.8% | 26.7% | 52.4% | +1.0 | 38 |
| 2013-04-02 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1476 | 1314 | 52.4% | 26.7% | 20.8% | -1.0 | 66 |
| 2013-04-02 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1362 | 1349 | 37.0% | 38.9% | 24.1% | -5.2 | 44 |
| 2013-04-02 | @ Livingston | W 2-1 | 1349 | 1362 | 24.1% | 38.9% | 37.0% | +5.2 | 46 |
| 2013-04-06 | Livingston | L 0-3 | 1331 | 1356 | 30.8% | 41.3% | 27.9% | -13.5 | 33 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Dumbarton | W 3-0 | 1356 | 1331 | 27.9% | 41.3% | 30.8% | +13.6 | 47 |
| 2013-04-06 | Hamilton Academical | L 2-3 | 1339 | 1331 | 36.3% | 39.3% | 24.4% | -4.8 | 42 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-2 | 1331 | 1339 | 24.4% | 39.3% | 36.3% | +4.8 | 38 |
| 2013-04-06 | Cowdenbeath | W 4-0 | 1354 | 1291 | 46.8% | 31.7% | 21.5% | +12.4 | 49 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Falkirk | L 0-4 | 1291 | 1354 | 21.5% | 31.7% | 46.8% | -12.4 | 29 |
| 2013-04-06 | Airdrie United | W 5-2 | 1394 | 1230 | 67.1% | 13.9% | 19.0% | +4.6 | 64 |
| 2013-04-06 | @ Greenock Morton | L 2-5 | 1230 | 1394 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 67.1% | -4.6 | 19 |
| 2013-04-09 | Livingston | D 2-2 | 1278 | 1370 | 23.5% | 37.9% | 38.6% | +0.3 | 30 |
| 2013-04-09 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1370 | 1278 | 38.6% | 37.9% | 23.5% | -0.3 | 48 |
| 2013-04-09 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1318 | 1315 | 35.3% | 39.8% | 24.9% | -5.0 | 33 |
| 2013-04-09 | @ Dumbarton | W 2-1 | 1315 | 1318 | 24.9% | 39.8% | 35.3% | +5.0 | 41 |
| 2013-04-09 | Airdrie United | W 5-0 | 1336 | 1225 | 56.4% | 23.2% | 20.4% | +12.8 | 41 |
| 2013-04-09 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-5 | 1225 | 1336 | 20.4% | 23.2% | 56.4% | -12.8 | 19 |
| 2013-04-10 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1475 | 1399 | 49.4% | 29.4% | 21.2% | +3.3 | 69 |
| 2013-04-10 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1399 | 1475 | 21.2% | 29.4% | 49.4% | -3.3 | 64 |
| 2013-04-13 | Partick Thistle | L 1-2 | 1213 | 1478 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 72.6% | -1.9 | 19 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Airdrie United | W 2-1 | 1478 | 1213 | 72.6% | 9.6% | 17.8% | +1.9 | 72 |
| 2013-04-13 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1395 | 1334 | 46.3% | 32.1% | 21.6% | -6.1 | 64 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1334 | 1395 | 21.6% | 32.1% | 46.3% | +6.1 | 45 |
| 2013-04-13 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-3 | 1370 | 1348 | 38.6% | 37.9% | 23.5% | -15.3 | 48 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Livingston | W 3-0 | 1348 | 1370 | 23.5% | 37.9% | 38.6% | +15.3 | 44 |
| 2013-04-13 | Cowdenbeath | L 0-1 | 1320 | 1278 | 42.5% | 35.2% | 22.3% | -5.9 | 41 |
| 2013-04-13 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1278 | 1320 | 22.3% | 35.2% | 42.5% | +5.9 | 33 |
| 2013-04-16 | Hamilton Academical | D 0-0 | 1354 | 1364 | 33.3% | 40.6% | 26.1% | -0.2 | 49 |
| 2013-04-16 | @ Livingston | D 0-0 | 1364 | 1354 | 26.1% | 40.6% | 33.3% | +0.2 | 45 |
| 2013-04-16 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1480 | 1315 | 67.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | -1.5 | 73 |
| 2013-04-16 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1315 | 1480 | 18.9% | 13.7% | 67.4% | +1.5 | 42 |
| 2013-04-16 | Dumbarton | L 1-3 | 1367 | 1313 | 44.8% | 33.3% | 21.9% | -9.8 | 49 |
| 2013-04-16 | @ Falkirk | W 3-1 | 1313 | 1367 | 21.9% | 33.3% | 44.8% | +9.8 | 36 |
| 2013-04-20 | Airdrie United | W 4-1 | 1323 | 1211 | 56.7% | 22.9% | 20.4% | +6.7 | 39 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Dumbarton | L 1-4 | 1211 | 1323 | 20.4% | 22.9% | 56.7% | -6.7 | 19 |
| 2013-04-20 | Cowdenbeath | W 1-0 | 1341 | 1284 | 45.3% | 32.9% | 21.8% | +3.6 | 48 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1284 | 1341 | 21.8% | 32.9% | 45.3% | -3.6 | 33 |
| 2013-04-20 | Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1357 | 1479 | 21.9% | 33.7% | 44.4% | -6.8 | 49 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1479 | 1357 | 44.4% | 33.7% | 21.9% | +6.8 | 76 |
| 2013-04-20 | Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1364 | 1316 | 43.7% | 34.2% | 22.1% | +6.9 | 48 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Hamilton Academical | L 0-2 | 1316 | 1364 | 22.1% | 34.2% | 43.7% | -6.9 | 42 |
| 2013-04-20 | Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1354 | 1389 | 29.3% | 41.4% | 29.3% | -9.1 | 49 |
| 2013-04-20 | @ Livingston | W 2-0 | 1389 | 1354 | 29.3% | 41.4% | 29.3% | +9.1 | 67 |
| 2013-04-27 | Livingston | L 0-2 | 1204 | 1345 | 21.3% | 30.4% | 48.2% | -6.4 | 19 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Airdrie United | W 2-0 | 1345 | 1204 | 48.2% | 30.4% | 21.3% | +6.4 | 52 |
| 2013-04-27 | Dumbarton | L 2-3 | 1281 | 1329 | 27.5% | 41.2% | 31.3% | -4.1 | 33 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 3-2 | 1329 | 1281 | 31.3% | 41.2% | 27.5% | +4.1 | 42 |
| 2013-04-27 | Hamilton Academical | L 0-2 | 1398 | 1371 | 39.8% | 37.1% | 23.1% | -10.7 | 67 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1371 | 1398 | 23.1% | 37.1% | 39.8% | +10.7 | 51 |
| 2013-04-27 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 3-3 | 1486 | 1344 | 62.7% | 17.6% | 19.7% | -0.7 | 77 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Partick Thistle | D 3-3 | 1344 | 1486 | 19.7% | 17.6% | 62.7% | +0.7 | 49 |
| 2013-04-27 | Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1309 | 1350 | 28.5% | 41.3% | 30.1% | +0.0 | 43 |
| 2013-04-27 | @ Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1350 | 1309 | 30.1% | 41.3% | 28.5% | -0.1 | 50 |
| 2013-05-04 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1333 | 1485 | 21.1% | 28.6% | 50.4% | +0.9 | 43 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Dumbarton | D 0-0 | 1485 | 1333 | 50.4% | 28.6% | 21.1% | -0.9 | 78 |
| 2013-05-04 | Airdrie United | L 1-2 | 1345 | 1198 | 63.8% | 16.6% | 19.5% | -6.7 | 49 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1198 | 1345 | 19.5% | 16.6% | 63.8% | +6.7 | 22 |
| 2013-05-04 | Greenock Morton | W 4-1 | 1350 | 1388 | 28.9% | 41.4% | 29.7% | +11.2 | 53 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Falkirk | L 1-4 | 1388 | 1350 | 29.7% | 41.4% | 28.9% | -11.2 | 67 |
| 2013-05-04 | Cowdenbeath | L 1-3 | 1381 | 1277 | 55.3% | 24.2% | 20.5% | -10.9 | 51 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Hamilton Academical | W 3-1 | 1277 | 1381 | 20.5% | 24.2% | 55.3% | +10.9 | 36 |
| 2013-05-04 | Raith Rovers | L 2-3 | 1351 | 1309 | 42.6% | 35.1% | 22.3% | -5.2 | 52 |
| 2013-05-04 | @ Livingston | W 3-2 | 1309 | 1351 | 22.3% | 35.1% | 42.6% | +5.2 | 46 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2013-01-12 | 19.41% | Airdrie United | 1259 | 3 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1411 | 1 |
| 2 | 2012-08-18 | 19.50% | Cowdenbeath | 1294 | 3 | @ Dumbarton | 1442 | 0 |
| 3 | 2013-05-04 | 19.54% | Airdrie United | 1198 | 2 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1345 | 1 |
| 4 | 2013-05-04 | 20.55% | Cowdenbeath | 1277 | 3 | @ Hamilton Academical | 1381 | 1 |
| 5 | 2012-12-26 | 21.06% | Greenock Morton | 1340 | 2 | @ Partick Thistle | 1422 | 1 |
| 6 | 2012-12-26 | 21.44% | Falkirk | 1350 | 1 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1417 | 0 |
| 7 | 2012-09-01 | 21.56% | @ Greenock Morton | 1275 | 3 | Dumbarton | 1408 | 0 |
| 8 | 2013-04-13 | 21.61% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1334 | 1 | @ Greenock Morton | 1395 | 0 |
| 9 | 2013-04-16 | 21.86% | Dumbarton | 1313 | 3 | @ Falkirk | 1367 | 1 |
| 10 | 2012-10-27 | 21.94% | Airdrie United | 1295 | 4 | @ Dumbarton | 1347 | 3 |
| 11 | 2012-09-01 | 22.02% | Cowdenbeath | 1318 | 3 | @ Airdrie United | 1367 | 0 |
| 12 | 2013-01-26 | 22.10% | Livingston | 1351 | 1 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1399 | 0 |
| 13 | 2012-10-06 | 22.25% | Hamilton Academical | 1293 | 4 | @ Airdrie United | 1337 | 0 |
| 14 | 2013-05-04 | 22.32% | Raith Rovers | 1309 | 3 | @ Livingston | 1351 | 2 |
| 15 | 2012-09-15 | 22.34% | Greenock Morton | 1292 | 4 | @ Cowdenbeath | 1334 | 3 |
| 16 | 2013-04-13 | 22.34% | Cowdenbeath | 1278 | 1 | @ Raith Rovers | 1320 | 0 |
| 17 | 2012-09-29 | 22.42% | Greenock Morton | 1302 | 3 | @ Airdrie United | 1342 | 2 |
| 18 | 2012-12-29 | 22.50% | Dumbarton | 1318 | 4 | @ Falkirk | 1356 | 3 |
| 19 | 2012-11-16 | 22.53% | @ Hamilton Academical | 1310 | 1 | Partick Thistle | 1418 | 0 |
| 20 | 2012-08-11 | 22.65% | @ Airdrie United | 1350 | 4 | Dumbarton | 1456 | 1 |
| 21 | 2012-11-17 | 22.68% | Greenock Morton | 1312 | 5 | @ Dumbarton | 1347 | 1 |
| 22 | 2013-03-23 | 22.69% | Dumbarton | 1320 | 4 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1354 | 3 |
| 23 | 2012-10-20 | 22.80% | Falkirk | 1325 | 2 | @ Dumbarton | 1358 | 0 |
| 24 | 2013-01-02 | 22.88% | Dumbarton | 1323 | 3 | @ Greenock Morton | 1354 | 0 |
| 25 | 2013-04-27 | 23.08% | Hamilton Academical | 1371 | 2 | @ Greenock Morton | 1398 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2012-09-29 | 23.07 | @ Livingston | 5 | 1315 | 25.58% | Dumbarton | 0 | 1381 | 34.10% | |
| 2 | 2012-10-06 | 21.05 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 1293 | 22.25% | @ Airdrie United | 0 | 1337 | 42.89% | |
| 3 | 2012-10-20 | 20.71 | @ Partick Thistle | 7 | 1384 | 47.76% | Airdrie United | 0 | 1316 | 21.40% | |
| 4 | 2012-08-18 | 19.55 | Cowdenbeath | 3 | 1294 | 19.50% | @ Dumbarton | 0 | 1442 | 64.08% | |
| 5 | 2012-11-17 | 17.18 | Greenock Morton | 5 | 1312 | 22.68% | @ Dumbarton | 1 | 1347 | 41.14% | |
| 6 | 2012-08-11 | 16.86 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1353 | 30.33% | @ Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1311 | 28.34% | |
| 7 | 2012-09-01 | 16.78 | @ Greenock Morton | 3 | 1275 | 21.56% | Dumbarton | 0 | 1408 | 46.60% | |
| 8 | 2013-03-02 | 16.49 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 1421 | 31.47% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1371 | 27.38% | |
| 9 | 2012-09-01 | 16.31 | Cowdenbeath | 3 | 1318 | 22.02% | @ Airdrie United | 0 | 1367 | 43.99% | |
| 10 | 2013-01-02 | 15.64 | Dumbarton | 3 | 1323 | 22.88% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1354 | 40.43% | |
| 11 | 2013-04-13 | 15.28 | Hamilton Academical | 3 | 1348 | 23.48% | @ Livingston | 0 | 1370 | 38.60% | |
| 12 | 2013-02-09 | 14.61 | Greenock Morton | 4 | 1352 | 37.93% | @ Airdrie United | 0 | 1264 | 23.73% | |
| 13 | 2012-08-25 | 14.24 | @ Partick Thistle | 3 | 1359 | 25.81% | Dumbarton | 0 | 1423 | 33.72% | |
| 14 | 2013-04-06 | 13.55 | Livingston | 3 | 1356 | 27.92% | @ Dumbarton | 0 | 1331 | 30.81% | |
| 15 | 2012-11-10 | 13.41 | @ Partick Thistle | 5 | 1405 | 32.75% | Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1417 | 26.44% | |
| 16 | 2012-08-11 | 13.33 | @ Airdrie United | 4 | 1350 | 22.65% | Dumbarton | 1 | 1456 | 41.24% | |
| 17 | 2013-04-09 | 12.82 | @ Hamilton Academical | 5 | 1336 | 56.36% | Airdrie United | 0 | 1225 | 20.44% | |
| 18 | 2013-02-23 | 12.77 | Greenock Morton | 4 | 1367 | 23.74% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1384 | 37.89% | |
| 19 | 2012-09-01 | 12.75 | @ Partick Thistle | 4 | 1373 | 45.42% | Hamilton Academical | 0 | 1316 | 21.75% | |
| 20 | 2012-09-22 | 12.67 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1386 | 45.77% | Livingston | 0 | 1327 | 21.70% | |
| 21 | 2013-03-16 | 12.61 | Greenock Morton | 3 | 1382 | 31.51% | @ Dumbarton | 0 | 1332 | 27.35% | |
| 22 | 2013-04-06 | 12.44 | @ Falkirk | 4 | 1354 | 46.79% | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1291 | 21.54% | |
| 23 | 2013-03-23 | 11.99 | @ Partick Thistle | 6 | 1453 | 49.92% | Livingston | 1 | 1374 | 21.12% | |
| 24 | 2013-01-12 | 11.71 | Airdrie United | 3 | 1259 | 19.41% | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1 | 1411 | 64.67% | |
| 25 | 2012-11-24 | 11.62 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1411 | 50.51% | Dumbarton | 0 | 1329 | 21.05% | |