2010-11 First Division Season
180 games · 100,000 simulations
Promoted
—
No promotions.
Relegated
No relegation
Biggest Overachiever
Dunfermline Athletic
11.18 points above expected
70 points · 58.82 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Stirling Albion
17.06 points below expected
20 points · 37.06 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 70 | 66 | 31 | +35 | 58.8 | +11.18 |
| 2 | Dundee | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 69 | 54 | 34 | +20 | 58.6 | +10.42 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 60 | 47 | 35 | +12 | 50.2 | +9.84 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 57 | 41 | +16 | 59.6 | -1.58 |
| 5 | Queen Of The South | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 51.7 | -2.66 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 44.2 | +2.77 |
| 7 | Greenock Morton | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 41.4 | +1.58 |
| 8 | Ross County | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 41 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 42.8 | -1.84 |
| 9 | Cowdenbeath | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 35 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 48.2 | -13.20 |
| 10 | Stirling Albion | 36 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 32 | 82 | -50 | 37.1 | -17.06 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline Athletic | 1531 | 70 | 58.82 | +11.18 | 93.3% | 29 | 46 | 53 | 59 | 64 | 72 | 89 |
| Dundee | 1487 | 69 | 58.58 | +10.42 | 92.3% | 30 | 46 | 53 | 59 | 64 | 71 | 90 |
| Falkirk | 1465 | 58 | 59.58 | -1.58 | 44.0% | 30 | 47 | 54 | 60 | 65 | 72 | 85 |
| Partick Thistle | 1421 | 47 | 44.23 | +2.77 | 67.1% | 18 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 57 | 73 |
| Queen Of The South | 1420 | 49 | 51.66 | -2.66 | 39.0% | 25 | 39 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 78 |
| Raith Rovers | 1399 | 60 | 50.16 | +9.84 | 91.0% | 22 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 63 | 80 |
| Ross County | 1377 | 41 | 42.84 | -1.84 | 43.8% | 18 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 48 | 55 | 73 |
| Greenock Morton | 1352 | 43 | 41.42 | +1.58 | 61.7% | 12 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 47 | 54 | 70 |
| Cowdenbeath | 1319 | 35 | 48.20 | -13.20 | 4.4% | 23 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 77 |
| Stirling Albion | 1234 | 20 | 37.06 | -17.06 | 1.0% | 13 | 25 | 32 | 37 | 42 | 49 | 66 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | COW | DUN | DA | FAL | GM | PT | QOTS | RR | RC | SA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowdenbeath | — |
1-1-2
4.51
|
0-0-4
4.57
|
0-1-3
4.03
|
1-1-2
6.56
|
2-1-1
5.98
|
0-2-2
5.35
|
0-1-3
4.87
|
1-1-2
5.83
|
4-0-0
6.55
|
| Dundee |
2-1-1
6.50
|
— |
0-3-1
5.39
|
2-2-0
5.18
|
3-1-0
7.13
|
2-1-1
6.86
|
3-0-1
6.43
|
2-1-1
6.47
|
3-1-0
6.83
|
2-2-0
7.70
|
| Dunfermline Athletic |
4-0-0
6.37
|
1-3-0
5.48
|
— |
3-1-0
5.43
|
2-0-2
7.31
|
1-2-1
7.07
|
3-0-1
6.12
|
1-1-2
6.54
|
2-2-0
7.32
|
3-1-0
7.20
|
| Falkirk |
3-1-0
6.98
|
0-2-2
5.70
|
0-1-3
5.44
|
— |
2-2-0
7.31
|
2-0-2
6.75
|
3-0-1
6.22
|
2-1-1
6.52
|
1-0-3
7.20
|
4-0-0
7.55
|
| Greenock Morton |
2-1-1
4.39
|
0-1-3
3.86
|
2-0-2
3.71
|
0-2-2
3.71
|
— |
2-1-1
5.07
|
2-0-2
4.35
|
0-2-2
4.57
|
1-2-1
5.40
|
2-1-1
6.37
|
| Partick Thistle |
1-1-2
4.97
|
1-1-2
4.09
|
1-2-1
3.91
|
2-0-2
4.19
|
1-1-2
5.80
|
— |
1-2-1
4.63
|
2-1-1
5.16
|
1-3-0
5.61
|
2-0-2
5.74
|
| Queen Of The South |
2-2-0
5.58
|
1-0-3
4.49
|
1-0-3
4.77
|
1-0-3
4.67
|
2-0-2
6.57
|
1-2-1
6.27
|
— |
2-0-2
5.53
|
2-1-1
6.21
|
2-2-0
7.48
|
| Raith Rovers |
3-1-0
6.07
|
1-1-2
4.44
|
2-1-1
4.38
|
1-1-2
4.40
|
2-2-0
6.33
|
1-1-2
5.72
|
2-0-2
5.36
|
— |
2-2-0
6.24
|
3-0-1
7.17
|
| Ross County |
2-1-1
5.08
|
0-1-3
4.14
|
0-2-2
3.70
|
3-0-1
3.82
|
1-2-1
5.47
|
0-3-1
5.28
|
1-1-2
4.68
|
0-2-2
4.66
|
— |
2-2-0
6.13
|
| Stirling Albion |
0-0-4
4.37
|
0-2-2
3.44
|
0-1-3
3.85
|
0-0-4
3.54
|
1-1-2
4.59
|
2-0-2
5.16
|
0-2-2
3.59
|
1-0-3
3.84
|
0-2-2
4.76
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.67% | 7.78% | 6.94% | 3.89% | 0.83% | 0.56% | 31.67% |
| 1 | 7.78% | 7.22% | 8.89% | 3.33% | 0.83% | 1.67% | 29.72% |
| 2 | 6.94% | 8.89% | 6.67% | 1.11% | 0.56% | — | 24.17% |
| 3 | 3.89% | 3.33% | 1.11% | 1.11% | 0.28% | — | 9.72% |
| 4 | 0.83% | 0.83% | 0.56% | 0.28% | — | — | 2.50% |
| 5+ | 0.56% | 1.67% | — | — | — | — | 2.22% |
| Total | 31.67% | 29.72% | 24.17% | 9.72% | 2.50% | 2.22% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.29 |
| Mean allowed | 1.29 |
| StdDev scored | 1.22 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.58 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.084 |
| Sample size (games) | 180 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.78% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 36.11% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | 2.78% | 30.56% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 8.33% | 27.78% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 100% |
Cowdenbeath — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.14 |
| Mean allowed | 2.00 |
| StdDev scored | 1.20 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.22 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.14 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.254 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 13.89% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 16.67% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.89% | 36.11% | 16.67% | 8.33% | — | — | 100% |
Dundee — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.50 |
| Mean allowed | 0.94 |
| StdDev scored | 0.97 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.95 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.44 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.154 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | 8.33% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| Total | 41.67% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 2.78% | — | — | 100% |
Dunfermline Athletic — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.83 |
| Mean allowed | 0.86 |
| StdDev scored | 1.56 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.87 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.69 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.102 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.33% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 2.78% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 19.44% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 16.67% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| Total | 27.78% | 41.67% | 19.44% | 11.11% | — | — | 100% |
Falkirk — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.58 |
| Mean allowed | 1.14 |
| StdDev scored | 1.50 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.96 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.72 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.038 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 11.11% | 13.89% | — | 2.78% | — | 41.67% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 8.33% | 2.78% | — | — | 19.44% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | — | 30.56% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 25.00% | 33.33% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | 100% |
Greenock Morton — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.08 |
| Mean allowed | 1.19 |
| StdDev scored | 1.11 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.06 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.28 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.087 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.44% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | — | 36.11% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 8.33% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 30.56% |
| 2 | 11.11% | — | — | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 13.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| Total | 44.44% | 19.44% | 25.00% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | 100% |
Partick Thistle — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.22 |
| Mean allowed | 1.08 |
| StdDev scored | 1.33 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.20 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.31 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.059 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.56% | 11.11% | 5.56% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 5.56% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 33.33% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 5.56% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | 11.11% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 25.00% | 19.44% | 13.89% | 2.78% | 5.56% | 100% |
Queen Of The South — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.50 |
| Mean allowed | 1.47 |
| StdDev scored | 1.18 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.52 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.97 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.246 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.89% | 5.56% | 5.56% | 2.78% | — | — | 27.78% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 2.78% | 13.89% | — | — | — | 27.78% |
| 2 | 5.56% | 19.44% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 5.56% | — | — | — | — | 8.33% |
| 4 | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 36.11% | 33.33% | 27.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 100% |
Raith Rovers — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.31 |
| Mean allowed | 0.97 |
| StdDev scored | 1.06 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.88 |
| Mean total goals/game | 2.28 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.082 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.44% | 13.89% | 5.56% | 5.56% | — | — | 44.44% |
| 1 | 8.33% | 16.67% | 8.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 8.33% | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | — | — | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.89% | 36.11% | 16.67% | 8.33% | — | — | 100% |
Ross County — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.83 |
| Mean allowed | 0.94 |
| StdDev scored | 0.91 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.95 |
| Mean total goals/game | 1.78 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.044 |
| Games played | 36 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | 8.33% | 11.11% | 8.33% | — | 2.78% | 41.67% |
| 1 | — | 8.33% | 8.33% | 8.33% | 5.56% | 8.33% | 38.89% |
| 2 | 2.78% | 2.78% | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.78% | — | 2.78% | — | 5.56% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.78% | — | — | — | 2.78% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.89% | 19.44% | 27.78% | 16.67% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 100% |
Stirling Albion — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.89 |
| Mean allowed | 2.28 |
| StdDev scored | 1.01 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.60 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.17 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.162 |
| Games played | 36 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunfermline Athletic | 70 | 58.8 | +11.18 |
| 2 | Dundee | 69 | 58.6 | +10.42 |
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 60 | 50.2 | +9.84 |
| 4 | Partick Thistle | 47 | 44.2 | +2.77 |
| 5 | Greenock Morton | 43 | 41.4 | +1.58 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling Albion | 20 | 37.1 | -17.06 |
| 2 | Cowdenbeath | 35 | 48.2 | -13.20 |
| 3 | Queen Of The South | 49 | 51.7 | -2.66 |
| 4 | Ross County | 41 | 42.8 | -1.84 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 58 | 59.6 | -1.58 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee | 6 | Nov 6 – Jan 2 | 1 in 94 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 4 | Aug 7 – Aug 28 | 1 in 81 |
| 3 | Dunfermline Athletic | 6 | Mar 29 – May 7 | 1 in 63 |
| 4 | Ross County | 3 | Apr 26 – May 7 | 1 in 43 |
| 5 | Partick Thistle | 2 | Oct 2 – Oct 16 | 1 in 16 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling Albion | 7 | Oct 30 – Feb 5 | 1 in 148 |
| 2 | Cowdenbeath | 4 | Nov 13 – Jan 15 | 1 in 66 |
| 3 | Partick Thistle | 5 | Aug 21 – Sep 25 | 1 in 61 |
| 4 | Greenock Morton | 4 | Apr 16 – May 7 | 1 in 41 |
| 5 | Queen Of The South | 3 | Mar 5 – Mar 12 | 1 in 21 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dundee | 23 | Oct 2 – Mar 26 | 1 in 2,223 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 8 | Nov 13 – Feb 15 | 1 in 68 |
| 3 | Ross County | 7 | Feb 5 – Mar 8 | 1 in 64 |
| 4 | Dunfermline Athletic | 12 | Mar 8 – May 7 | 1 in 36 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 7 | Aug 7 – Sep 25 | 1 in 33 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stirling Albion | 25 | Oct 30 – Apr 30 | 1 in 692 |
| 2 | Ross County | 11 | Nov 13 – Mar 1 | 1 in 77 |
| 3 | Cowdenbeath | 10 | Nov 13 – Mar 1 | 1 in 54 |
| 4 | Dundee | 5 | Mar 19 – Apr 10 | 1 in 52 |
| 5 | Queen Of The South | 6 | Feb 22 – Mar 12 | 1 in 28 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline Athletic | 29.58% | 22.43% | 17.58% | 12.19% | 8.17% | 4.86% | 2.82% | 1.51% | 0.60% | 0.26% |
| Dundee | 26.05% | 23.34% | 19.12% | 12.87% | 8.26% | 4.93% | 2.84% | 1.75% | 0.64% | 0.20% |
| Raith Rovers | 4.37% | 8.59% | 12.30% | 14.59% | 16.25% | 15.33% | 11.52% | 9.02% | 5.48% | 2.55% |
| Falkirk | 29.50% | 25.15% | 17.66% | 11.76% | 7.32% | 4.01% | 2.43% | 1.31% | 0.69% | 0.17% |
| Queen Of The South | 6.38% | 9.87% | 13.94% | 17.06% | 16.06% | 12.83% | 10.38% | 7.17% | 4.56% | 1.75% |
| Partick Thistle | 0.94% | 2.33% | 4.85% | 7.47% | 10.41% | 13.76% | 16.26% | 17.44% | 15.54% | 11.00% |
| Greenock Morton | 0.33% | 1.22% | 2.31% | 4.83% | 6.84% | 10.53% | 14.34% | 18.09% | 21.78% | 19.73% |
| Ross County | 0.49% | 1.66% | 3.35% | 5.89% | 8.65% | 11.99% | 15.57% | 17.70% | 19.47% | 15.23% |
| Cowdenbeath | 2.31% | 5.21% | 8.18% | 11.79% | 15.02% | 16.74% | 15.21% | 12.14% | 8.76% | 4.64% |
| Stirling Albion | 0.05% | 0.20% | 0.71% | 1.55% | 3.02% | 5.02% | 8.63% | 13.87% | 22.48% | 44.47% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
No Trend Data Yet
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Direct promotion | Same level | Qualified for relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 29.5% | 69.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dunfermline Athletic | 29.6% | 69.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dundee | 26.1% | 73.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Queen Of The South | 6.4% | 87.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Raith Rovers | 4.4% | 87.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Cowdenbeath | 2.3% | 84.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Partick Thistle | 0.9% | 72.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% |
| Ross County | 0.5% | 64.8% | 19.5% | 15.2% |
| Greenock Morton | 0.3% | 58.2% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| Stirling Albion | 0.1% | 33.0% | 22.5% | 44.5% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-08-07 | Ross County | L 0-2 | 1489 | 1375 | 54.1% | 24.1% | 21.8% | -15.9 | 0 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 2-0 | 1375 | 1489 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 54.1% | +15.9 | 3 |
| 2010-08-07 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1415 | 1408 | 38.8% | 28.3% | 32.9% | +5.8 | 3 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Dundee | L 0-1 | 1408 | 1415 | 32.9% | 28.3% | 38.8% | -5.8 | 0 |
| 2010-08-07 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1443 | 1409 | 42.7% | 27.8% | 29.5% | -7.1 | 0 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1409 | 1443 | 29.5% | 27.8% | 42.7% | +7.1 | 3 |
| 2010-08-07 | Stirling Albion | D 0-0 | 1338 | 1412 | 28.1% | 27.4% | 44.5% | +0.6 | 1 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1412 | 1338 | 44.5% | 27.4% | 28.1% | -0.6 | 1 |
| 2010-08-07 | Partick Thistle | W 4-0 | 1336 | 1377 | 32.0% | 28.2% | 39.7% | +24.0 | 3 |
| 2010-08-07 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-4 | 1377 | 1336 | 39.7% | 28.2% | 32.0% | -24.0 | 0 |
| 2010-08-14 | Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1416 | 1338 | 49.0% | 26.1% | 24.9% | +8.7 | 6 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1338 | 1416 | 24.9% | 26.1% | 49.0% | -8.7 | 1 |
| 2010-08-14 | Dundee | W 1-0 | 1353 | 1421 | 28.8% | 27.6% | 43.5% | +7.2 | 3 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1421 | 1353 | 43.5% | 27.6% | 28.8% | -7.2 | 3 |
| 2010-08-14 | Raith Rovers | L 1-3 | 1402 | 1360 | 43.9% | 27.5% | 28.5% | -11.8 | 0 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1360 | 1402 | 28.5% | 27.5% | 43.9% | +11.8 | 6 |
| 2010-08-14 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1391 | 1436 | 31.6% | 28.2% | 40.3% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1436 | 1391 | 40.3% | 28.2% | 31.6% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2010-08-14 | Cowdenbeath | L 1-3 | 1412 | 1474 | 29.5% | 27.8% | 42.7% | -8.8 | 1 |
| 2010-08-14 | @ Stirling Albion | W 3-1 | 1474 | 1412 | 42.7% | 27.8% | 29.5% | +8.8 | 3 |
| 2010-08-21 | Ross County | D 0-0 | 1414 | 1385 | 41.9% | 27.9% | 30.1% | -0.4 | 4 |
| 2010-08-21 | @ Dundee | D 0-0 | 1385 | 1414 | 30.1% | 27.9% | 41.9% | +0.4 | 4 |
| 2010-08-21 | Stirling Albion | W 3-0 | 1442 | 1403 | 43.5% | 27.6% | 28.9% | +14.5 | 6 |
| 2010-08-21 | @ Falkirk | L 0-3 | 1403 | 1442 | 28.9% | 27.6% | 43.5% | -14.5 | 1 |
| 2010-08-21 | Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1330 | 1361 | 33.4% | 28.4% | 38.2% | +12.3 | 4 |
| 2010-08-21 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1361 | 1330 | 38.2% | 28.4% | 33.4% | -12.3 | 3 |
| 2010-08-21 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1372 | 1425 | 30.6% | 28.0% | 41.4% | +13.0 | 9 |
| 2010-08-21 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1425 | 1372 | 41.4% | 28.0% | 30.6% | -13.0 | 6 |
| 2010-08-22 | Queen Of The South | L 1-3 | 1482 | 1391 | 50.9% | 25.4% | 23.6% | -13.2 | 3 |
| 2010-08-22 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 3-1 | 1391 | 1482 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 50.9% | +13.2 | 3 |
| 2010-08-28 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1469 | 1348 | 55.0% | 23.7% | 21.3% | +3.7 | 6 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 1-2 | 1348 | 1469 | 21.3% | 23.7% | 55.0% | -3.7 | 3 |
| 2010-08-28 | Falkirk | W 2-0 | 1414 | 1456 | 31.9% | 28.2% | 39.9% | +12.7 | 7 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ Dundee | L 0-2 | 1456 | 1414 | 39.9% | 28.2% | 31.9% | -12.7 | 6 |
| 2010-08-28 | Ross County | W 3-0 | 1404 | 1386 | 40.4% | 28.1% | 31.4% | +15.5 | 6 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1386 | 1404 | 31.4% | 28.1% | 40.4% | -15.5 | 4 |
| 2010-08-28 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1385 | 1342 | 44.0% | 27.5% | 28.5% | +5.2 | 12 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1342 | 1385 | 28.5% | 27.5% | 44.0% | -5.2 | 4 |
| 2010-08-28 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-5 | 1388 | 1412 | 34.4% | 28.4% | 37.2% | -18.0 | 1 |
| 2010-08-28 | @ Stirling Albion | W 5-1 | 1412 | 1388 | 37.2% | 28.4% | 34.4% | +18.0 | 9 |
| 2010-09-11 | Dundee | W 3-1 | 1430 | 1426 | 38.4% | 28.3% | 33.3% | +9.6 | 12 |
| 2010-09-11 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1426 | 1430 | 33.3% | 28.3% | 38.4% | -9.6 | 7 |
| 2010-09-11 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1444 | 1419 | 41.3% | 28.0% | 30.7% | +9.1 | 9 |
| 2010-09-11 | @ Falkirk | L 1-3 | 1419 | 1444 | 30.7% | 28.0% | 41.3% | -9.0 | 6 |
| 2010-09-11 | Cowdenbeath | L 1-2 | 1337 | 1473 | 22.3% | 24.5% | 53.2% | -3.9 | 4 |
| 2010-09-11 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1473 | 1337 | 53.2% | 24.5% | 22.3% | +3.9 | 9 |
| 2010-09-11 | Stirling Albion | L 1-2 | 1345 | 1370 | 34.2% | 28.4% | 37.5% | -5.7 | 3 |
| 2010-09-11 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1370 | 1345 | 37.5% | 28.4% | 34.2% | +5.7 | 4 |
| 2010-09-11 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1370 | 1390 | 35.0% | 28.4% | 36.6% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2010-09-11 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1390 | 1370 | 36.6% | 28.4% | 35.0% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2010-09-18 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1417 | 1390 | 41.6% | 28.0% | 30.4% | -0.4 | 8 |
| 2010-09-18 | @ Dundee | D 0-0 | 1390 | 1417 | 30.4% | 28.0% | 41.6% | +0.4 | 14 |
| 2010-09-18 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1440 | 1477 | 32.6% | 28.3% | 39.1% | +6.3 | 15 |
| 2010-09-18 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1477 | 1440 | 39.1% | 28.3% | 32.6% | -6.3 | 9 |
| 2010-09-18 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1453 | 1333 | 54.9% | 23.8% | 21.4% | +3.7 | 12 |
| 2010-09-18 | @ Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1333 | 1453 | 21.4% | 23.8% | 54.9% | -3.7 | 4 |
| 2010-09-18 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1410 | 1339 | 48.1% | 26.4% | 25.5% | +4.5 | 9 |
| 2010-09-18 | @ Queen Of The South | L 1-2 | 1339 | 1410 | 25.5% | 26.4% | 48.1% | -4.5 | 3 |
| 2010-09-18 | Stirling Albion | W 3-1 | 1370 | 1376 | 37.0% | 28.4% | 34.6% | +9.9 | 8 |
| 2010-09-18 | @ Ross County | L 1-3 | 1376 | 1370 | 34.6% | 28.4% | 37.0% | -9.9 | 4 |
| 2010-09-25 | Dundee | W 2-1 | 1470 | 1416 | 45.6% | 27.1% | 27.2% | +4.7 | 12 |
| 2010-09-25 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 1-2 | 1416 | 1470 | 27.2% | 27.1% | 45.6% | -4.7 | 8 |
| 2010-09-25 | Ross County | D 0-0 | 1329 | 1380 | 30.8% | 28.1% | 41.1% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2010-09-25 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1380 | 1329 | 41.1% | 28.1% | 30.8% | -0.4 | 9 |
| 2010-09-25 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1335 | 1446 | 24.4% | 25.9% | 49.8% | -8.5 | 3 |
| 2010-09-25 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1446 | 1335 | 49.8% | 25.9% | 24.4% | +8.5 | 18 |
| 2010-09-25 | Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1390 | 1456 | 29.0% | 27.7% | 43.3% | +6.7 | 17 |
| 2010-09-25 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1456 | 1390 | 43.3% | 27.7% | 29.0% | -6.7 | 12 |
| 2010-09-25 | Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1366 | 1415 | 31.1% | 28.1% | 40.8% | +0.4 | 5 |
| 2010-09-25 | @ Stirling Albion | D 0-0 | 1415 | 1366 | 40.8% | 28.1% | 31.1% | -0.4 | 10 |
| 2010-10-02 | Greenock Morton | W 2-1 | 1411 | 1330 | 49.5% | 25.9% | 24.5% | +4.3 | 11 |
| 2010-10-02 | @ Dundee | L 1-2 | 1330 | 1411 | 24.5% | 25.9% | 49.5% | -4.3 | 5 |
| 2010-10-02 | Cowdenbeath | W 5-1 | 1450 | 1475 | 34.2% | 28.4% | 37.5% | +19.2 | 15 |
| 2010-10-02 | @ Falkirk | L 1-5 | 1475 | 1450 | 37.5% | 28.4% | 34.2% | -19.2 | 12 |
| 2010-10-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1414 | 1454 | 32.2% | 28.2% | 39.5% | +12.6 | 13 |
| 2010-10-02 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1454 | 1414 | 39.5% | 28.2% | 32.2% | -12.6 | 18 |
| 2010-10-02 | Stirling Albion | L 0-2 | 1397 | 1366 | 42.2% | 27.9% | 29.9% | -13.2 | 17 |
| 2010-10-02 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1366 | 1397 | 29.9% | 27.9% | 42.2% | +13.2 | 8 |
| 2010-10-02 | Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1380 | 1326 | 45.6% | 27.2% | 27.3% | -14.0 | 9 |
| 2010-10-02 | @ Ross County | W 2-0 | 1326 | 1380 | 27.3% | 27.2% | 45.6% | +14.0 | 6 |
| 2010-10-16 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1456 | 1384 | 48.2% | 26.4% | 25.4% | -7.3 | 12 |
| 2010-10-16 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1384 | 1456 | 25.4% | 26.4% | 48.2% | +7.3 | 20 |
| 2010-10-16 | Ross County | W 3-2 | 1442 | 1366 | 48.7% | 26.2% | 25.1% | +4.2 | 21 |
| 2010-10-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 2-3 | 1366 | 1442 | 25.1% | 26.2% | 48.7% | -4.2 | 9 |
| 2010-10-16 | Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1325 | 1427 | 25.3% | 26.3% | 48.4% | +14.6 | 8 |
| 2010-10-16 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1427 | 1325 | 48.4% | 26.3% | 25.3% | -14.6 | 13 |
| 2010-10-16 | Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1340 | 1469 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 52.2% | +8.2 | 9 |
| 2010-10-16 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1469 | 1340 | 52.2% | 24.9% | 22.9% | -8.2 | 15 |
| 2010-10-16 | Dundee | D 1-1 | 1380 | 1416 | 32.7% | 28.3% | 39.0% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2010-10-16 | @ Stirling Albion | D 1-1 | 1416 | 1380 | 39.0% | 28.3% | 32.7% | -0.2 | 12 |
| 2010-10-23 | Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1449 | 1340 | 53.3% | 24.4% | 22.2% | -0.8 | 13 |
| 2010-10-23 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1340 | 1449 | 22.2% | 24.4% | 53.3% | +0.8 | 9 |
| 2010-10-23 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1416 | 1446 | 33.5% | 28.4% | 38.1% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2010-10-23 | @ Dundee | D 2-2 | 1446 | 1416 | 38.1% | 28.4% | 33.5% | -0.1 | 22 |
| 2010-10-23 | Falkirk | L 1-5 | 1412 | 1461 | 31.2% | 28.1% | 40.7% | -16.7 | 13 |
| 2010-10-23 | @ Queen Of The South | W 5-1 | 1461 | 1412 | 40.7% | 28.1% | 31.2% | +16.7 | 18 |
| 2010-10-23 | Ross County | W 1-0 | 1391 | 1362 | 42.0% | 27.9% | 30.0% | +5.4 | 23 |
| 2010-10-23 | @ Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1362 | 1391 | 30.0% | 27.9% | 42.0% | -5.4 | 9 |
| 2010-10-23 | Partick Thistle | W 4-2 | 1380 | 1348 | 42.4% | 27.9% | 29.8% | +7.9 | 12 |
| 2010-10-23 | @ Stirling Albion | L 2-4 | 1348 | 1380 | 29.8% | 27.9% | 42.4% | -7.9 | 9 |
| 2010-10-30 | Stirling Albion | W 3-0 | 1446 | 1388 | 46.2% | 27.0% | 26.8% | +13.6 | 25 |
| 2010-10-30 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1388 | 1446 | 26.8% | 27.0% | 46.2% | -13.5 | 12 |
| 2010-10-30 | Dundee | D 3-3 | 1477 | 1416 | 46.7% | 26.9% | 26.5% | -0.4 | 19 |
| 2010-10-30 | @ Falkirk | D 3-3 | 1416 | 1477 | 26.5% | 26.9% | 46.7% | +0.4 | 14 |
| 2010-10-30 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1341 | 1397 | 30.2% | 27.9% | 41.8% | -5.5 | 9 |
| 2010-10-30 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1397 | 1341 | 41.8% | 27.9% | 30.2% | +5.5 | 26 |
| 2010-10-30 | Cowdenbeath | W 1-0 | 1340 | 1448 | 24.7% | 26.1% | 49.2% | +7.9 | 12 |
| 2010-10-30 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-1 | 1448 | 1340 | 49.2% | 26.1% | 24.7% | -7.9 | 13 |
| 2010-10-30 | Queen Of The South | D 1-1 | 1356 | 1396 | 32.3% | 28.3% | 39.4% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2010-10-30 | @ Ross County | D 1-1 | 1396 | 1356 | 39.4% | 28.3% | 32.3% | -0.2 | 14 |
| 2010-11-06 | Stirling Albion | W 5-1 | 1440 | 1374 | 47.3% | 26.7% | 26.0% | +14.4 | 16 |
| 2010-11-06 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 1-5 | 1374 | 1440 | 26.0% | 26.7% | 47.3% | -14.4 | 12 |
| 2010-11-06 | Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1416 | 1348 | 47.6% | 26.6% | 25.8% | +4.5 | 17 |
| 2010-11-06 | @ Dundee | L 1-2 | 1348 | 1416 | 25.8% | 26.6% | 47.6% | -4.5 | 12 |
| 2010-11-06 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1477 | 1357 | 54.9% | 23.7% | 21.3% | -8.5 | 19 |
| 2010-11-06 | @ Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1357 | 1477 | 21.3% | 23.7% | 54.9% | +8.5 | 13 |
| 2010-11-06 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1335 | 1459 | 23.3% | 25.2% | 51.5% | +7.7 | 12 |
| 2010-11-06 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1459 | 1335 | 51.5% | 25.2% | 23.3% | -7.7 | 25 |
| 2010-11-06 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1402 | 1395 | 38.8% | 28.3% | 32.9% | -6.6 | 26 |
| 2010-11-06 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1395 | 1402 | 32.9% | 28.3% | 38.8% | +6.6 | 17 |
| 2010-11-13 | Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1452 | 1396 | 45.9% | 27.1% | 27.0% | -0.5 | 26 |
| 2010-11-13 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 2-2 | 1396 | 1452 | 27.0% | 27.1% | 45.9% | +0.5 | 27 |
| 2010-11-13 | Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1344 | 1343 | 37.9% | 28.4% | 33.7% | -0.2 | 13 |
| 2010-11-13 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1343 | 1344 | 33.7% | 28.4% | 37.9% | +0.2 | 13 |
| 2010-11-13 | Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1402 | 1454 | 30.6% | 28.0% | 41.3% | +18.9 | 20 |
| 2010-11-13 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1454 | 1402 | 41.3% | 28.0% | 30.6% | -18.9 | 16 |
| 2010-11-13 | Dundee | L 0-3 | 1365 | 1421 | 30.3% | 28.0% | 41.8% | -15.0 | 13 |
| 2010-11-13 | @ Ross County | W 3-0 | 1421 | 1365 | 41.8% | 28.0% | 30.3% | +15.0 | 20 |
| 2010-11-13 | Falkirk | L 0-5 | 1360 | 1468 | 24.6% | 26.0% | 49.4% | -20.1 | 12 |
| 2010-11-13 | @ Stirling Albion | W 5-0 | 1468 | 1360 | 49.4% | 26.0% | 24.6% | +20.2 | 22 |
| 2010-12-11 | Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1451 | 1421 | 42.2% | 27.9% | 29.9% | +5.4 | 29 |
| 2010-12-11 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1421 | 1451 | 29.9% | 27.9% | 42.2% | -5.4 | 20 |
| 2010-12-11 | Dundee | L 0-1 | 1343 | 1436 | 26.2% | 26.7% | 47.1% | -4.8 | 13 |
| 2010-12-11 | @ Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1436 | 1343 | 47.1% | 26.7% | 26.2% | +4.8 | 23 |
| 2010-12-11 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1343 | 1350 | 36.9% | 28.4% | 34.7% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2010-12-11 | @ Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1350 | 1343 | 34.7% | 28.4% | 36.9% | +0.1 | 14 |
| 2010-12-14 | Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1440 | 1436 | 38.5% | 28.3% | 33.1% | +16.1 | 26 |
| 2010-12-14 | @ Dundee | L 0-3 | 1436 | 1440 | 33.1% | 28.3% | 38.5% | -16.1 | 16 |
| 2010-12-14 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1457 | 1343 | 54.0% | 24.2% | 21.9% | -1.3 | 30 |
| 2010-12-14 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1343 | 1457 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 54.0% | +1.3 | 15 |
| 2010-12-14 | Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1350 | 1338 | 39.5% | 28.2% | 32.2% | -0.2 | 15 |
| 2010-12-14 | @ Ross County | D 2-2 | 1338 | 1350 | 32.2% | 28.2% | 39.5% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2010-12-18 | Stirling Albion | W 2-0 | 1457 | 1340 | 54.5% | 24.0% | 21.6% | +7.5 | 29 |
| 2010-12-18 | @ Dundee | L 0-2 | 1340 | 1457 | 21.6% | 24.0% | 54.5% | -7.5 | 12 |
| 2010-12-26 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1345 | 1396 | 30.8% | 28.0% | 41.2% | +0.4 | 16 |
| 2010-12-26 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1396 | 1345 | 41.2% | 28.0% | 30.8% | -0.4 | 28 |
| 2010-12-29 | Cowdenbeath | W 5-0 | 1455 | 1419 | 43.0% | 27.7% | 29.3% | +23.5 | 33 |
| 2010-12-29 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-5 | 1419 | 1455 | 29.3% | 27.7% | 43.0% | -23.5 | 16 |
| 2010-12-29 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1489 | 1396 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 23.5% | -1.1 | 23 |
| 2010-12-29 | @ Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1396 | 1489 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 51.1% | +1.1 | 29 |
| 2011-01-02 | Ross County | W 2-0 | 1464 | 1350 | 54.1% | 24.1% | 21.8% | +7.6 | 32 |
| 2011-01-02 | @ Dundee | L 0-2 | 1350 | 1464 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 54.1% | -7.6 | 15 |
| 2011-01-02 | Stirling Albion | W 4-2 | 1487 | 1332 | 59.8% | 21.3% | 18.9% | +5.0 | 26 |
| 2011-01-02 | @ Falkirk | L 2-4 | 1332 | 1487 | 18.9% | 21.3% | 59.8% | -5.0 | 12 |
| 2011-01-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-1 | 1397 | 1479 | 27.3% | 27.1% | 45.6% | +7.0 | 32 |
| 2011-01-02 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1479 | 1397 | 45.6% | 27.1% | 27.3% | -7.0 | 33 |
| 2011-01-15 | Dundee | D 0-0 | 1472 | 1472 | 37.9% | 28.4% | 33.8% | -0.2 | 34 |
| 2011-01-15 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1472 | 1472 | 33.8% | 28.4% | 37.9% | +0.2 | 33 |
| 2011-01-15 | Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1492 | 1415 | 48.9% | 26.2% | 25.0% | -21.4 | 26 |
| 2011-01-15 | @ Falkirk | W 3-0 | 1415 | 1492 | 25.0% | 26.2% | 48.9% | +21.4 | 23 |
| 2011-01-15 | Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1338 | 1396 | 30.0% | 27.9% | 42.0% | +19.2 | 17 |
| 2011-01-15 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-3 | 1396 | 1338 | 42.0% | 27.9% | 30.0% | -19.2 | 16 |
| 2011-01-15 | Stirling Albion | W 6-1 | 1345 | 1327 | 40.4% | 28.1% | 31.5% | +20.6 | 19 |
| 2011-01-15 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-6 | 1327 | 1345 | 31.5% | 28.1% | 40.4% | -20.6 | 12 |
| 2011-01-15 | Raith Rovers | L 0-1 | 1342 | 1404 | 29.6% | 27.8% | 42.6% | -5.4 | 15 |
| 2011-01-15 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1404 | 1342 | 42.6% | 27.8% | 29.6% | +5.4 | 35 |
| 2011-01-22 | Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1472 | 1471 | 37.9% | 28.4% | 33.7% | +6.0 | 36 |
| 2011-01-22 | @ Dundee | L 0-1 | 1471 | 1472 | 33.7% | 28.4% | 37.9% | -6.0 | 26 |
| 2011-01-22 | Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1409 | 1358 | 45.2% | 27.2% | 27.5% | -0.4 | 36 |
| 2011-01-22 | @ Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1358 | 1409 | 27.5% | 27.2% | 45.2% | +0.4 | 18 |
| 2011-01-29 | Ross County | W 2-1 | 1358 | 1337 | 40.8% | 28.1% | 31.1% | +5.3 | 21 |
| 2011-01-29 | @ Greenock Morton | L 1-2 | 1337 | 1358 | 31.1% | 28.1% | 40.8% | -5.3 | 15 |
| 2011-01-29 | Dunfermline Athletic | W 2-0 | 1366 | 1472 | 24.9% | 26.1% | 49.0% | +14.8 | 22 |
| 2011-01-29 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1472 | 1366 | 49.0% | 26.1% | 24.9% | -14.8 | 34 |
| 2011-01-29 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1409 | 1465 | 30.2% | 27.9% | 41.9% | -5.2 | 36 |
| 2011-01-29 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1465 | 1409 | 41.9% | 27.9% | 30.2% | +5.2 | 29 |
| 2011-02-05 | Raith Rovers | L 1-3 | 1307 | 1404 | 25.8% | 26.6% | 47.7% | -7.8 | 12 |
| 2011-02-05 | @ Stirling Albion | W 3-1 | 1404 | 1307 | 47.7% | 26.6% | 25.8% | +7.8 | 39 |
| 2011-02-05 | Dundee | L 1-2 | 1437 | 1478 | 32.1% | 28.2% | 39.6% | -5.4 | 23 |
| 2011-02-05 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1478 | 1437 | 39.6% | 28.2% | 32.1% | +5.4 | 39 |
| 2011-02-05 | Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1332 | 1377 | 31.6% | 28.2% | 40.2% | +0.3 | 16 |
| 2011-02-05 | @ Ross County | D 1-1 | 1377 | 1332 | 40.2% | 28.2% | 31.6% | -0.3 | 17 |
| 2011-02-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-4 | 1376 | 1457 | 27.4% | 27.2% | 45.4% | -18.0 | 17 |
| 2011-02-12 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 4-0 | 1457 | 1376 | 45.4% | 27.2% | 27.4% | +18.0 | 37 |
| 2011-02-12 | Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1483 | 1411 | 48.1% | 26.4% | 25.4% | +4.4 | 42 |
| 2011-02-12 | @ Dundee | L 1-2 | 1411 | 1483 | 25.4% | 26.4% | 48.1% | -4.4 | 39 |
| 2011-02-12 | Greenock Morton | W 1-0 | 1470 | 1363 | 53.1% | 24.6% | 22.4% | +4.1 | 32 |
| 2011-02-12 | @ Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1363 | 1470 | 22.4% | 24.6% | 53.1% | -4.1 | 21 |
| 2011-02-12 | Partick Thistle | D 3-3 | 1431 | 1380 | 45.1% | 27.3% | 27.6% | -0.4 | 24 |
| 2011-02-12 | @ Queen Of The South | D 3-3 | 1380 | 1431 | 27.6% | 27.3% | 45.1% | +0.4 | 23 |
| 2011-02-12 | Stirling Albion | D 0-0 | 1332 | 1299 | 42.6% | 27.8% | 29.6% | -0.5 | 17 |
| 2011-02-12 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1299 | 1332 | 29.6% | 27.8% | 42.6% | +0.5 | 13 |
| 2011-02-15 | Falkirk | D 1-1 | 1475 | 1474 | 37.9% | 28.4% | 33.7% | -0.1 | 38 |
| 2011-02-15 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1474 | 1475 | 33.7% | 28.4% | 37.9% | +0.1 | 33 |
| 2011-02-15 | Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1299 | 1359 | 29.8% | 27.8% | 42.4% | -5.4 | 13 |
| 2011-02-15 | @ Stirling Albion | W 1-0 | 1359 | 1299 | 42.4% | 27.8% | 29.8% | +5.4 | 24 |
| 2011-02-15 | Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1358 | 1381 | 34.6% | 28.4% | 37.0% | +0.1 | 18 |
| 2011-02-15 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 1-1 | 1381 | 1358 | 37.0% | 28.4% | 34.6% | -0.1 | 24 |
| 2011-02-19 | Raith Rovers | L 0-3 | 1358 | 1407 | 31.2% | 28.1% | 40.7% | -15.4 | 18 |
| 2011-02-19 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1407 | 1358 | 40.7% | 28.1% | 31.2% | +15.4 | 42 |
| 2011-02-19 | Queen Of The South | L 0-4 | 1365 | 1431 | 29.0% | 27.7% | 43.3% | -18.9 | 24 |
| 2011-02-19 | @ Greenock Morton | W 4-0 | 1431 | 1365 | 43.3% | 27.7% | 29.0% | +18.9 | 27 |
| 2011-02-19 | Dundee | L 0-1 | 1294 | 1488 | 18.3% | 20.6% | 61.2% | -3.3 | 13 |
| 2011-02-19 | @ Stirling Albion | W 1-0 | 1488 | 1294 | 61.2% | 20.6% | 18.3% | +3.3 | 45 |
| 2011-02-22 | Dundee | L 1-2 | 1422 | 1491 | 28.7% | 27.6% | 43.7% | -5.0 | 42 |
| 2011-02-22 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1491 | 1422 | 43.7% | 27.6% | 28.7% | +5.0 | 48 |
| 2011-02-22 | Stirling Albion | D 2-2 | 1450 | 1291 | 60.3% | 21.1% | 18.6% | -1.1 | 28 |
| 2011-02-22 | @ Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1291 | 1450 | 18.6% | 21.1% | 60.3% | +1.1 | 14 |
| 2011-02-22 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1332 | 1475 | 21.7% | 24.1% | 54.2% | +1.3 | 18 |
| 2011-02-22 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1475 | 1332 | 54.2% | 24.1% | 21.7% | -1.3 | 39 |
| 2011-02-22 | Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1346 | 1381 | 32.9% | 28.3% | 38.8% | +6.6 | 27 |
| 2011-02-22 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-1 | 1381 | 1346 | 38.8% | 28.3% | 32.9% | -6.6 | 24 |
| 2011-02-26 | Greenock Morton | D 1-1 | 1496 | 1352 | 58.1% | 22.2% | 19.7% | -1.4 | 49 |
| 2011-02-26 | @ Dundee | D 1-1 | 1352 | 1496 | 19.7% | 22.2% | 58.1% | +1.4 | 28 |
| 2011-02-26 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-0 | 1474 | 1343 | 56.5% | 23.0% | 20.5% | +7.1 | 36 |
| 2011-02-26 | @ Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1343 | 1474 | 20.5% | 23.0% | 56.5% | -7.1 | 18 |
| 2011-02-26 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-3 | 1449 | 1474 | 34.3% | 28.4% | 37.3% | -9.8 | 28 |
| 2011-02-26 | @ Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1474 | 1449 | 37.3% | 28.4% | 34.3% | +9.8 | 42 |
| 2011-02-26 | Stirling Albion | W 2-1 | 1417 | 1292 | 55.7% | 23.4% | 20.9% | +3.6 | 45 |
| 2011-02-26 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1292 | 1417 | 20.9% | 23.4% | 55.7% | -3.6 | 14 |
| 2011-02-26 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1333 | 1374 | 32.1% | 28.2% | 39.7% | +0.3 | 19 |
| 2011-02-26 | @ Ross County | D 0-0 | 1374 | 1333 | 39.7% | 28.2% | 32.1% | -0.3 | 25 |
| 2011-03-01 | Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1354 | 1482 | 22.9% | 25.0% | 52.1% | +1.1 | 29 |
| 2011-03-01 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1482 | 1354 | 52.1% | 25.0% | 22.9% | -1.1 | 37 |
| 2011-03-01 | Ross County | D 0-0 | 1288 | 1333 | 31.6% | 28.2% | 40.3% | +0.3 | 15 |
| 2011-03-01 | @ Stirling Albion | D 0-0 | 1333 | 1288 | 40.3% | 28.2% | 31.6% | -0.3 | 20 |
| 2011-03-01 | Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1336 | 1439 | 25.2% | 26.3% | 48.6% | +0.6 | 19 |
| 2011-03-01 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1439 | 1336 | 48.6% | 26.3% | 25.2% | -0.6 | 29 |
| 2011-03-05 | Greenock Morton | L 1-3 | 1483 | 1355 | 56.1% | 23.2% | 20.7% | -14.1 | 42 |
| 2011-03-05 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | W 3-1 | 1355 | 1483 | 20.7% | 23.2% | 56.1% | +14.1 | 32 |
| 2011-03-05 | Dundee | D 0-0 | 1374 | 1494 | 23.6% | 25.4% | 51.0% | +1.1 | 26 |
| 2011-03-05 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1494 | 1374 | 51.0% | 25.4% | 23.6% | -1.1 | 50 |
| 2011-03-05 | Raith Rovers | L 0-2 | 1438 | 1421 | 40.4% | 28.1% | 31.5% | -12.8 | 29 |
| 2011-03-05 | @ Queen Of The South | W 2-0 | 1421 | 1438 | 31.5% | 28.1% | 40.4% | +12.8 | 48 |
| 2011-03-05 | Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1333 | 1480 | 21.4% | 23.8% | 54.8% | +8.0 | 23 |
| 2011-03-05 | @ Ross County | L 1-2 | 1480 | 1333 | 54.8% | 23.8% | 21.4% | -8.0 | 37 |
| 2011-03-05 | Cowdenbeath | L 3-4 | 1288 | 1337 | 31.2% | 28.1% | 40.7% | -4.9 | 15 |
| 2011-03-05 | @ Stirling Albion | W 4-3 | 1337 | 1288 | 40.7% | 28.1% | 31.2% | +4.9 | 22 |
| 2011-03-08 | Queen Of The South | W 3-1 | 1375 | 1426 | 30.9% | 28.1% | 41.1% | +11.2 | 29 |
| 2011-03-08 | @ Partick Thistle | L 1-3 | 1426 | 1375 | 41.1% | 28.1% | 30.9% | -11.2 | 29 |
| 2011-03-08 | Dundee | L 1-3 | 1342 | 1493 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 55.4% | -6.3 | 22 |
| 2011-03-08 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 3-1 | 1493 | 1342 | 55.4% | 23.5% | 21.1% | +6.3 | 53 |
| 2011-03-08 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1469 | 1341 | 56.1% | 23.2% | 20.7% | -1.2 | 43 |
| 2011-03-08 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1341 | 1469 | 20.7% | 23.2% | 56.1% | +1.2 | 24 |
| 2011-03-12 | Queen Of The South | W 2-1 | 1500 | 1414 | 50.0% | 25.8% | 24.2% | +4.2 | 56 |
| 2011-03-12 | @ Dundee | L 1-2 | 1414 | 1500 | 24.2% | 25.8% | 50.0% | -4.2 | 29 |
| 2011-03-12 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1472 | 1468 | 38.4% | 28.3% | 33.2% | -6.2 | 37 |
| 2011-03-12 | @ Falkirk | W 2-1 | 1468 | 1472 | 33.2% | 28.3% | 38.4% | +6.2 | 46 |
| 2011-03-12 | Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1434 | 1386 | 44.7% | 27.4% | 28.0% | -13.8 | 48 |
| 2011-03-12 | @ Raith Rovers | W 2-0 | 1386 | 1434 | 28.0% | 27.4% | 44.7% | +13.8 | 32 |
| 2011-03-15 | Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1420 | 1335 | 50.0% | 25.8% | 24.2% | +4.2 | 51 |
| 2011-03-15 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1335 | 1420 | 24.2% | 25.8% | 50.0% | -4.2 | 22 |
| 2011-03-15 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1283 | 1474 | 18.4% | 20.8% | 60.8% | +1.5 | 16 |
| 2011-03-15 | @ Stirling Albion | D 1-1 | 1474 | 1283 | 60.8% | 20.8% | 18.4% | -1.5 | 47 |
| 2011-03-16 | Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1410 | 1369 | 43.8% | 27.6% | 28.7% | +9.9 | 32 |
| 2011-03-16 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1369 | 1410 | 28.7% | 27.6% | 43.8% | -9.9 | 32 |
| 2011-03-19 | Stirling Albion | W 4-1 | 1473 | 1285 | 64.1% | 18.9% | 17.0% | +6.9 | 50 |
| 2011-03-19 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-4 | 1285 | 1473 | 17.0% | 18.9% | 64.1% | -6.8 | 16 |
| 2011-03-19 | Dundee | D 2-2 | 1466 | 1504 | 32.5% | 28.3% | 39.2% | +0.2 | 38 |
| 2011-03-19 | @ Falkirk | D 2-2 | 1504 | 1466 | 39.2% | 28.3% | 32.5% | -0.2 | 57 |
| 2011-03-19 | Raith Rovers | D 0-0 | 1359 | 1424 | 29.1% | 27.7% | 43.1% | +0.5 | 33 |
| 2011-03-19 | @ Greenock Morton | D 0-0 | 1424 | 1359 | 43.1% | 27.7% | 29.1% | -0.5 | 52 |
| 2011-03-19 | Cowdenbeath | L 0-1 | 1400 | 1331 | 47.7% | 26.5% | 25.7% | -7.7 | 32 |
| 2011-03-19 | @ Partick Thistle | W 1-0 | 1331 | 1400 | 25.7% | 26.5% | 47.7% | +7.7 | 25 |
| 2011-03-19 | Queen Of The South | L 1-2 | 1342 | 1420 | 27.7% | 27.3% | 45.0% | -4.8 | 24 |
| 2011-03-19 | @ Ross County | W 2-1 | 1420 | 1342 | 45.0% | 27.3% | 27.7% | +4.8 | 35 |
| 2011-03-22 | Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1339 | 1360 | 34.8% | 28.4% | 36.8% | -11.5 | 25 |
| 2011-03-22 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 2-0 | 1360 | 1339 | 36.8% | 28.4% | 34.8% | +11.5 | 36 |
| 2011-03-22 | Dunfermline Athletic | D 1-1 | 1504 | 1480 | 41.3% | 28.0% | 30.7% | -0.3 | 58 |
| 2011-03-22 | @ Dundee | D 1-1 | 1480 | 1504 | 30.7% | 28.0% | 41.3% | +0.3 | 51 |
| 2011-03-22 | Falkirk | L 0-1 | 1425 | 1466 | 32.0% | 28.2% | 39.8% | -5.7 | 35 |
| 2011-03-22 | @ Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1466 | 1425 | 39.8% | 28.2% | 32.0% | +5.7 | 41 |
| 2011-03-22 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1424 | 1337 | 50.2% | 25.7% | 24.1% | -0.9 | 53 |
| 2011-03-22 | @ Raith Rovers | D 1-1 | 1337 | 1424 | 24.1% | 25.7% | 50.2% | +0.9 | 25 |
| 2011-03-22 | Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1278 | 1392 | 24.1% | 25.7% | 50.1% | -12.3 | 16 |
| 2011-03-22 | @ Stirling Albion | W 3-0 | 1392 | 1278 | 50.1% | 25.7% | 24.1% | +12.3 | 35 |
| 2011-03-26 | Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1503 | 1327 | 62.6% | 19.8% | 17.6% | -1.2 | 59 |
| 2011-03-26 | @ Dundee | D 2-2 | 1327 | 1503 | 17.6% | 19.8% | 62.6% | +1.2 | 26 |
| 2011-03-26 | Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1480 | 1405 | 48.6% | 26.2% | 25.1% | -0.9 | 52 |
| 2011-03-26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | D 0-0 | 1405 | 1480 | 25.1% | 26.2% | 48.6% | +0.9 | 36 |
| 2011-03-26 | Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1472 | 1423 | 44.9% | 27.3% | 27.8% | +4.8 | 44 |
| 2011-03-26 | @ Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1423 | 1472 | 27.8% | 27.3% | 44.9% | -4.8 | 53 |
| 2011-03-26 | Stirling Albion | W 4-1 | 1419 | 1266 | 59.5% | 21.5% | 19.0% | +7.9 | 38 |
| 2011-03-26 | @ Queen Of The South | L 1-4 | 1266 | 1419 | 19.0% | 21.5% | 59.5% | -7.9 | 16 |
| 2011-03-26 | Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1338 | 1371 | 33.2% | 28.3% | 38.5% | +12.4 | 28 |
| 2011-03-26 | @ Ross County | L 0-2 | 1371 | 1338 | 38.5% | 28.3% | 33.2% | -12.4 | 36 |
| 2011-03-29 | Falkirk | D 0-0 | 1328 | 1477 | 21.3% | 23.7% | 55.0% | +1.3 | 27 |
| 2011-03-29 | @ Cowdenbeath | D 0-0 | 1477 | 1328 | 55.0% | 23.7% | 21.3% | -1.3 | 45 |
| 2011-03-29 | Queen Of The South | L 0-2 | 1258 | 1427 | 19.8% | 22.4% | 57.8% | -6.8 | 16 |
| 2011-03-29 | @ Stirling Albion | W 2-0 | 1427 | 1258 | 57.8% | 22.4% | 19.8% | +6.8 | 41 |
| 2011-03-29 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1351 | 1479 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 52.2% | -4.2 | 28 |
| 2011-03-29 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1479 | 1351 | 52.2% | 24.9% | 22.9% | +4.2 | 55 |
| 2011-04-02 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-1 | 1330 | 1483 | 20.9% | 23.4% | 55.7% | -3.8 | 27 |
| 2011-04-02 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 1-0 | 1483 | 1330 | 55.7% | 23.4% | 20.9% | +3.9 | 58 |
| 2011-04-02 | Falkirk | D 2-2 | 1359 | 1476 | 23.9% | 25.6% | 50.5% | +0.7 | 37 |
| 2011-04-02 | @ Greenock Morton | D 2-2 | 1476 | 1359 | 50.5% | 25.6% | 23.9% | -0.7 | 46 |
| 2011-04-02 | Queen Of The South | D 0-0 | 1405 | 1434 | 33.8% | 28.4% | 37.9% | +0.1 | 37 |
| 2011-04-02 | @ Partick Thistle | D 0-0 | 1434 | 1405 | 37.9% | 28.4% | 33.8% | -0.2 | 42 |
| 2011-04-02 | Dundee | W 2-1 | 1418 | 1502 | 27.0% | 27.1% | 45.9% | +7.0 | 56 |
| 2011-04-02 | @ Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1502 | 1418 | 45.9% | 27.1% | 27.0% | -7.0 | 59 |
| 2011-04-02 | Ross County | L 0-2 | 1251 | 1346 | 25.9% | 26.6% | 47.4% | -9.0 | 16 |
| 2011-04-02 | @ Stirling Albion | W 2-0 | 1346 | 1251 | 47.4% | 26.6% | 25.9% | +9.0 | 31 |
| 2011-04-05 | Ross County | W 2-1 | 1326 | 1355 | 33.6% | 28.4% | 38.0% | +6.1 | 30 |
| 2011-04-05 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 1-2 | 1355 | 1326 | 38.0% | 28.4% | 33.6% | -6.1 | 31 |
| 2011-04-05 | Stirling Albion | W 2-0 | 1359 | 1242 | 54.5% | 23.9% | 21.5% | +7.5 | 40 |
| 2011-04-05 | @ Greenock Morton | L 0-2 | 1242 | 1359 | 21.5% | 23.9% | 54.5% | -7.5 | 16 |
| 2011-04-09 | Partick Thistle | L 2-3 | 1475 | 1406 | 47.8% | 26.5% | 25.7% | -6.9 | 46 |
| 2011-04-09 | @ Falkirk | W 3-2 | 1406 | 1475 | 25.7% | 26.5% | 47.8% | +6.9 | 40 |
| 2011-04-09 | Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1425 | 1332 | 51.1% | 25.4% | 23.5% | -0.7 | 57 |
| 2011-04-09 | @ Raith Rovers | D 2-2 | 1332 | 1425 | 23.5% | 25.4% | 51.1% | +0.7 | 31 |
| 2011-04-10 | Stirling Albion | D 1-1 | 1495 | 1235 | 73.4% | 13.4% | 13.3% | -2.1 | 60 |
| 2011-04-10 | @ Dundee | D 1-1 | 1235 | 1495 | 13.3% | 13.4% | 73.4% | +2.1 | 17 |
| 2011-04-12 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1412 | 1468 | 30.3% | 28.0% | 41.8% | -5.2 | 40 |
| 2011-04-12 | @ Partick Thistle | W 2-1 | 1468 | 1412 | 41.8% | 28.0% | 30.3% | +5.2 | 49 |
| 2011-04-13 | Greenock Morton | L 1-4 | 1434 | 1367 | 47.4% | 26.6% | 25.9% | -17.7 | 42 |
| 2011-04-13 | @ Queen Of The South | W 4-1 | 1367 | 1434 | 25.9% | 26.6% | 47.4% | +17.6 | 43 |
| 2011-04-16 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1333 | 1473 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 53.8% | -3.8 | 31 |
| 2011-04-16 | @ Cowdenbeath | W 2-1 | 1473 | 1333 | 53.8% | 24.2% | 21.9% | +3.8 | 52 |
| 2011-04-16 | Queen Of The South | W 6-1 | 1487 | 1416 | 48.0% | 26.5% | 25.5% | +17.3 | 61 |
| 2011-04-16 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-6 | 1416 | 1487 | 25.5% | 26.5% | 48.0% | -17.3 | 42 |
| 2011-04-16 | Dundee | L 1-3 | 1385 | 1493 | 24.6% | 26.0% | 49.4% | -7.5 | 43 |
| 2011-04-16 | @ Greenock Morton | W 3-1 | 1493 | 1385 | 49.4% | 26.0% | 24.6% | +7.5 | 63 |
| 2011-04-16 | Ross County | D 1-1 | 1407 | 1349 | 46.2% | 27.0% | 26.8% | -0.6 | 41 |
| 2011-04-16 | @ Partick Thistle | D 1-1 | 1349 | 1407 | 26.8% | 27.0% | 46.2% | +0.7 | 32 |
| 2011-04-16 | Raith Rovers | L 1-2 | 1237 | 1424 | 18.6% | 21.1% | 60.3% | -3.2 | 17 |
| 2011-04-16 | @ Stirling Albion | W 2-1 | 1424 | 1237 | 60.3% | 21.1% | 18.6% | +3.2 | 60 |
| 2011-04-19 | Partick Thistle | W 2-0 | 1477 | 1407 | 47.9% | 26.5% | 25.6% | +8.9 | 55 |
| 2011-04-19 | @ Falkirk | L 0-2 | 1407 | 1477 | 25.6% | 26.5% | 47.9% | -8.9 | 41 |
| 2011-04-23 | Raith Rovers | W 2-1 | 1504 | 1427 | 48.9% | 26.2% | 25.0% | +4.4 | 64 |
| 2011-04-23 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 1-2 | 1427 | 1504 | 25.0% | 26.2% | 48.9% | -4.4 | 60 |
| 2011-04-23 | Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1398 | 1377 | 40.8% | 28.1% | 31.1% | +10.6 | 44 |
| 2011-04-23 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-2 | 1377 | 1398 | 31.1% | 28.1% | 40.8% | -10.6 | 43 |
| 2011-04-23 | Cowdenbeath | D 2-2 | 1399 | 1329 | 47.9% | 26.5% | 25.6% | -0.6 | 43 |
| 2011-04-23 | @ Queen Of The South | D 2-2 | 1329 | 1399 | 25.6% | 26.5% | 47.9% | +0.6 | 32 |
| 2011-04-23 | Dundee | L 0-1 | 1350 | 1501 | 21.1% | 23.6% | 55.3% | -3.9 | 32 |
| 2011-04-23 | @ Ross County | W 1-0 | 1501 | 1350 | 55.3% | 23.6% | 21.1% | +3.9 | 66 |
| 2011-04-23 | Falkirk | L 1-2 | 1234 | 1486 | 15.0% | 16.1% | 68.9% | -2.4 | 17 |
| 2011-04-23 | @ Stirling Albion | W 2-1 | 1486 | 1234 | 68.9% | 16.1% | 15.0% | +2.4 | 58 |
| 2011-04-26 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1398 | 1346 | 45.3% | 27.2% | 27.5% | -7.4 | 43 |
| 2011-04-26 | @ Queen Of The South | W 1-0 | 1346 | 1398 | 27.5% | 27.2% | 45.3% | +7.4 | 35 |
| 2011-04-30 | Stirling Albion | W 1-0 | 1329 | 1231 | 51.9% | 25.1% | 23.1% | +4.3 | 35 |
| 2011-04-30 | @ Cowdenbeath | L 0-1 | 1231 | 1329 | 23.1% | 25.1% | 51.9% | -4.3 | 17 |
| 2011-04-30 | Partick Thistle | W 3-2 | 1504 | 1408 | 51.6% | 25.2% | 23.2% | +3.8 | 69 |
| 2011-04-30 | @ Dundee | L 2-3 | 1408 | 1504 | 23.2% | 25.2% | 51.6% | -3.9 | 44 |
| 2011-04-30 | Ross County | L 0-1 | 1488 | 1353 | 57.0% | 22.8% | 20.2% | -8.7 | 58 |
| 2011-04-30 | @ Falkirk | W 1-0 | 1353 | 1488 | 20.2% | 22.8% | 57.0% | +8.7 | 38 |
| 2011-04-30 | Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-2 | 1366 | 1509 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 54.1% | -7.6 | 43 |
| 2011-04-30 | @ Greenock Morton | W 2-0 | 1509 | 1366 | 54.1% | 24.1% | 21.8% | +7.6 | 67 |
| 2011-04-30 | Queen Of The South | L 0-1 | 1423 | 1391 | 42.4% | 27.8% | 29.7% | -7.0 | 60 |
| 2011-04-30 | @ Raith Rovers | W 1-0 | 1391 | 1423 | 29.7% | 27.8% | 42.4% | +7.1 | 46 |
| 2011-05-07 | Falkirk | W 3-0 | 1516 | 1480 | 43.1% | 27.7% | 29.2% | +14.6 | 70 |
| 2011-05-07 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | L 0-3 | 1480 | 1516 | 29.2% | 27.7% | 43.1% | -14.6 | 58 |
| 2011-05-07 | Raith Rovers | W 3-0 | 1404 | 1416 | 36.1% | 28.4% | 35.4% | +16.9 | 47 |
| 2011-05-07 | @ Partick Thistle | L 0-3 | 1416 | 1404 | 35.4% | 28.4% | 36.1% | -16.9 | 60 |
| 2011-05-07 | Dundee | W 3-0 | 1398 | 1508 | 24.5% | 25.9% | 49.6% | +21.6 | 49 |
| 2011-05-07 | @ Queen Of The South | L 0-3 | 1508 | 1398 | 49.6% | 25.9% | 24.5% | -21.6 | 69 |
| 2011-05-07 | Cowdenbeath | W 3-0 | 1362 | 1334 | 41.9% | 27.9% | 30.2% | +15.0 | 41 |
| 2011-05-07 | @ Ross County | L 0-3 | 1334 | 1362 | 30.2% | 27.9% | 41.9% | -15.0 | 35 |
| 2011-05-07 | Greenock Morton | W 3-2 | 1227 | 1359 | 22.6% | 24.7% | 52.7% | +7.4 | 20 |
| 2011-05-07 | @ Stirling Albion | L 2-3 | 1359 | 1227 | 52.7% | 24.7% | 22.6% | -7.4 | 43 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2011-04-30 | 20.25% | Ross County | 1353 | 1 | @ Falkirk | 1488 | 0 |
| 2 | 2011-03-05 | 20.70% | Greenock Morton | 1355 | 3 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 1483 | 1 |
| 3 | 2010-11-06 | 21.32% | Ross County | 1357 | 1 | @ Falkirk | 1477 | 0 |
| 4 | 2011-03-05 | 21.37% | @ Ross County | 1333 | 2 | Falkirk | 1480 | 1 |
| 5 | 2010-08-07 | 21.78% | Ross County | 1375 | 2 | @ Cowdenbeath | 1489 | 0 |
| 6 | 2011-05-07 | 22.60% | @ Stirling Albion | 1227 | 3 | Greenock Morton | 1359 | 2 |
| 7 | 2010-10-16 | 22.86% | @ Partick Thistle | 1340 | 1 | Falkirk | 1469 | 0 |
| 8 | 2010-11-06 | 23.26% | @ Greenock Morton | 1335 | 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1459 | 1 |
| 9 | 2010-08-22 | 23.63% | Queen Of The South | 1391 | 3 | @ Cowdenbeath | 1482 | 1 |
| 10 | 2011-05-07 | 24.47% | @ Queen Of The South | 1398 | 3 | Dundee | 1508 | 0 |
| 11 | 2010-10-30 | 24.72% | @ Partick Thistle | 1340 | 1 | Cowdenbeath | 1448 | 0 |
| 12 | 2011-01-29 | 24.87% | @ Partick Thistle | 1366 | 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1472 | 0 |
| 13 | 2011-01-15 | 24.96% | Queen Of The South | 1415 | 3 | @ Falkirk | 1492 | 0 |
| 14 | 2010-10-16 | 25.30% | @ Greenock Morton | 1325 | 2 | Queen Of The South | 1427 | 0 |
| 15 | 2010-10-16 | 25.43% | Raith Rovers | 1384 | 2 | @ Cowdenbeath | 1456 | 1 |
| 16 | 2011-04-09 | 25.70% | Partick Thistle | 1406 | 3 | @ Falkirk | 1475 | 2 |
| 17 | 2011-03-19 | 25.73% | Cowdenbeath | 1331 | 1 | @ Partick Thistle | 1400 | 0 |
| 18 | 2011-04-13 | 25.94% | Greenock Morton | 1367 | 4 | @ Queen Of The South | 1434 | 1 |
| 19 | 2011-04-02 | 27.03% | @ Raith Rovers | 1418 | 2 | Dundee | 1502 | 1 |
| 20 | 2011-01-02 | 27.25% | @ Raith Rovers | 1397 | 2 | Dunfermline Athletic | 1479 | 1 |
| 21 | 2010-10-02 | 27.26% | Partick Thistle | 1326 | 2 | @ Ross County | 1380 | 0 |
| 22 | 2011-04-26 | 27.45% | Ross County | 1346 | 1 | @ Queen Of The South | 1398 | 0 |
| 23 | 2011-03-12 | 27.97% | Partick Thistle | 1386 | 2 | @ Raith Rovers | 1434 | 0 |
| 24 | 2010-08-14 | 28.53% | Raith Rovers | 1360 | 3 | @ Queen Of The South | 1402 | 1 |
| 25 | 2010-08-14 | 28.85% | @ Partick Thistle | 1353 | 1 | Dundee | 1421 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2010-08-07 | 24.01 | @ Raith Rovers | 4 | 1336 | 32.04% | Partick Thistle | 0 | 1377 | 39.74% | |
| 2 | 2010-12-29 | 23.51 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 1455 | 43.00% | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1419 | 29.27% | |
| 3 | 2011-05-07 | 21.64 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1398 | 24.47% | Dundee | 0 | 1508 | 49.61% | |
| 4 | 2011-01-15 | 21.41 | Queen Of The South | 3 | 1415 | 24.96% | @ Falkirk | 0 | 1492 | 48.86% | |
| 5 | 2011-01-15 | 20.64 | @ Partick Thistle | 6 | 1345 | 40.39% | Stirling Albion | 1 | 1327 | 31.46% | |
| 6 | 2010-11-13 | 20.15 | Falkirk | 5 | 1468 | 49.35% | @ Stirling Albion | 0 | 1360 | 24.64% | |
| 7 | 2010-10-02 | 19.17 | @ Falkirk | 5 | 1450 | 34.15% | Cowdenbeath | 1 | 1475 | 37.45% | |
| 8 | 2011-01-15 | 19.15 | @ Greenock Morton | 3 | 1338 | 30.05% | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1396 | 42.04% | |
| 9 | 2011-02-19 | 18.93 | Queen Of The South | 4 | 1431 | 43.34% | @ Greenock Morton | 0 | 1365 | 28.99% | |
| 10 | 2010-11-13 | 18.92 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1402 | 30.65% | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1454 | 41.33% | |
| 11 | 2011-02-12 | 18.05 | Dunfermline Athletic | 4 | 1457 | 45.36% | @ Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1376 | 27.43% | |
| 12 | 2010-08-28 | 18.04 | Dunfermline Athletic | 5 | 1412 | 37.16% | @ Stirling Albion | 1 | 1388 | 34.43% | |
| 13 | 2011-04-13 | 17.65 | Greenock Morton | 4 | 1367 | 25.94% | @ Queen Of The South | 1 | 1434 | 47.43% | |
| 14 | 2011-04-16 | 17.26 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 6 | 1487 | 48.03% | Queen Of The South | 1 | 1416 | 25.53% | |
| 15 | 2011-05-07 | 16.92 | @ Partick Thistle | 3 | 1404 | 36.14% | Raith Rovers | 0 | 1416 | 35.42% | |
| 16 | 2010-10-23 | 16.73 | Falkirk | 5 | 1461 | 40.72% | @ Queen Of The South | 1 | 1412 | 31.18% | |
| 17 | 2010-12-14 | 16.12 | @ Dundee | 3 | 1440 | 38.51% | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1436 | 33.15% | |
| 18 | 2010-08-07 | 15.88 | Ross County | 2 | 1375 | 21.78% | @ Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1489 | 54.10% | |
| 19 | 2010-08-28 | 15.48 | @ Queen Of The South | 3 | 1404 | 40.40% | Ross County | 0 | 1386 | 31.45% | |
| 20 | 2011-02-19 | 15.36 | Raith Rovers | 3 | 1407 | 40.73% | @ Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1358 | 31.17% | |
| 21 | 2010-11-13 | 15.02 | Dundee | 3 | 1421 | 41.75% | @ Ross County | 0 | 1365 | 30.29% | |
| 22 | 2011-05-07 | 14.97 | @ Ross County | 3 | 1362 | 41.91% | Cowdenbeath | 0 | 1334 | 30.16% | |
| 23 | 2011-01-29 | 14.76 | @ Partick Thistle | 2 | 1366 | 24.87% | Dunfermline Athletic | 0 | 1472 | 49.00% | |
| 24 | 2010-10-16 | 14.63 | @ Greenock Morton | 2 | 1325 | 25.30% | Queen Of The South | 0 | 1427 | 48.37% | |
| 25 | 2011-05-07 | 14.56 | @ Dunfermline Athletic | 3 | 1516 | 43.11% | Falkirk | 0 | 1480 | 29.18% | |