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2010-11 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dunfermline Athletic

7.62 points above expected

70 points · 62.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stirling Albion

13.52 points below expected

20 points · 33.52 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dunfermline Athletic 36 20 10 6 70 66 31 +35 62.38 +7.62
2 Dundee 36 19 12 5 69 54 34 +20 62.12 +6.88
3 Raith Rovers 36 17 9 10 60 47 35 +12 53.58 +6.42
4 Falkirk 36 17 7 12 58 57 41 +16 60.16 -2.16
5 Queen Of The South 36 14 7 15 49 54 53 +1 53.43 -4.43
6 Partick Thistle 36 12 11 13 47 44 39 +5 44.50 +2.50
7 Greenock Morton 36 11 10 15 43 39 43 -4 41.69 +1.31
8 Ross County 36 9 14 13 41 30 34 -4 43.34 -2.34
9 Cowdenbeath 36 9 8 19 35 41 72 -31 45.62 -10.62
10 Stirling Albion 36 4 8 24 20 32 82 -50 33.52 -13.52

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dunfermline Athletic 1566 70 62.38 +7.62 85.2% 35 49 57 62 68 75 91
Dundee 1507 69 62.12 +6.88 82.2% 35 49 57 62 68 75 88
Falkirk 1464 58 60.16 -2.16 41.4% 33 48 55 60 65 73 94
Partick Thistle 1440 47 44.50 +2.50 65.5% 15 32 39 44 50 57 75
Queen Of The South 1427 49 53.43 -4.43 30.9% 24 40 48 53 59 66 91
Raith Rovers 1404 60 53.58 +6.42 81.3% 22 41 48 54 59 67 82
Ross County 1382 41 43.34 -2.34 41.2% 19 31 38 43 48 56 74
Greenock Morton 1347 43 41.69 +1.31 60.0% 17 29 36 42 47 54 74
Cowdenbeath 1281 35 45.62 -10.62 8.7% 20 33 40 46 51 58 74
Stirling Albion 1185 20 33.52 -13.52 2.9% 10 22 29 33 38 45 61

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team COW DUN DA FAL GM PT QOTS RR RC SA
Cowdenbeath —
1-1-2
4.01
0-0-4
4.04
0-1-3
3.72
1-1-2
6.40
2-1-1
5.76
0-2-2
5.07
0-1-3
4.27
1-1-2
5.59
4-0-0
6.76
Dundee
2-1-1
7.15
 —
0-3-1
5.51
2-2-0
5.58
3-1-0
7.53
2-1-1
7.32
3-0-1
6.79
2-1-1
6.68
3-1-0
7.20
2-2-0
8.31
Dunfermline Athletic
4-0-0
7.08
1-3-0
5.59
 —
3-1-0
5.86
2-0-2
7.74
1-2-1
7.55
3-0-1
6.37
1-1-2
6.74
2-2-0
7.75
3-1-0
7.82
Falkirk
3-1-0
7.42
0-2-2
5.51
0-1-3
5.23
 —
2-2-0
7.44
2-0-2
6.80
3-0-1
6.15
2-1-1
6.35
1-0-3
7.33
4-0-0
7.95
Greenock Morton
2-1-1
4.71
0-1-3
3.60
2-0-2
3.40
0-2-2
3.69
 —
2-1-1
5.17
2-0-2
4.24
0-2-2
4.31
1-2-1
5.59
2-1-1
6.94
Partick Thistle
1-1-2
5.36
1-1-2
3.80
1-2-1
3.58
2-0-2
4.31
1-1-2
5.92
 —
1-2-1
4.52
2-1-1
5.06
1-3-0
5.73
2-0-2
6.17
Queen Of The South
2-2-0
6.04
1-0-3
4.32
1-0-3
4.72
1-0-3
4.94
2-0-2
6.86
1-2-1
6.58
 —
2-0-2
5.44
2-1-1
6.45
2-2-0
8.17
Raith Rovers
3-1-0
6.85
1-1-2
4.42
2-1-1
4.36
1-1-2
4.75
2-2-0
6.80
1-1-2
6.04
2-0-2
5.66
 —
2-2-0
6.77
3-0-1
8.00
Ross County
2-1-1
5.52
0-1-3
3.92
0-2-2
3.39
3-0-1
3.80
1-2-1
5.50
0-3-1
5.37
1-1-2
4.64
0-2-2
4.34
 —
2-2-0
6.71
Stirling Albion
0-0-4
4.35
0-2-2
2.90
0-1-3
3.34
0-0-4
3.23
1-1-2
4.19
2-0-2
4.94
0-2-2
3.01
1-0-3
3.16
0-2-2
4.39
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +11.4
Allowed 0.67 -7.3
Differential 0.92 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.67%7.78%6.94%3.89%0.83%0.56%31.67%
17.78%7.22%8.89%3.33%0.83%1.67%29.72%
26.94%8.89%6.67%1.11%0.56%—24.17%
33.89%3.33%1.11%1.11%0.28%—9.72%
40.83%0.83%0.56%0.28%——2.50%
5+0.56%1.67%————2.22%
Total31.67%29.72%24.17%9.72%2.50%2.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.81
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%8.33%13.89%2.78%2.78%36.11%
15.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
2—11.11%13.89%———25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total8.33%27.78%33.33%22.22%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.00 -0.86
SD 1.20 1.22 1.91
CV 1.05 0.61 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%—2.78%——16.67%
113.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
28.33%16.67%8.33%———33.33%
35.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%36.11%16.67%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.94 +0.56
SD 0.97 0.95 1.25
CV 0.65 1.01 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—8.33%———19.44%
111.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
28.33%8.33%5.56%———22.22%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total41.67%33.33%22.22%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.86 +0.97
SD 1.56 0.87 1.86
CV 0.85 1.01 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
18.33%2.78%8.33%———19.44%
25.56%16.67%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%5.56%————8.33%
Total27.78%41.67%19.44%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.14 +0.44
SD 1.50 0.96 1.81
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%13.89%—2.78%—41.67%
15.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
211.11%5.56%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%33.33%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.19 -0.11
SD 1.11 1.06 1.60
CV 1.02 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%5.56%8.33%—2.78%—36.11%
18.33%8.33%13.89%———30.56%
211.11%——2.78%2.78%—16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total44.44%19.44%25.00%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.08 +0.14
SD 1.33 1.20 1.74
CV 1.09 1.11 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
15.56%2.78%5.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%33.33%
28.33%5.56%8.33%———22.22%
311.11%2.78%—2.78%——16.67%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%25.00%19.44%13.89%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.47 +0.03
SD 1.18 1.52 2.14
CV 0.79 1.03 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
111.11%2.78%13.89%———27.78%
25.56%19.44%8.33%———33.33%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total36.11%33.33%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.97 +0.33
SD 1.06 0.88 1.43
CV 0.82 0.90 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%13.89%5.56%5.56%——44.44%
18.33%16.67%8.33%———33.33%
28.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%36.11%16.67%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 0.94 -0.11
SD 0.91 0.95 1.35
CV 1.09 1.01 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%11.11%8.33%—2.78%41.67%
1—8.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%8.33%38.89%
22.78%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
3——2.78%—2.78%—5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total13.89%19.44%27.78%16.67%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.28 -1.39
SD 1.01 1.60 1.74
CV 1.13 0.70 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dunfermline Athletic 70 62.38 +7.62
2 Dundee 69 62.12 +6.88
3 Raith Rovers 60 53.58 +6.42
4 Partick Thistle 47 44.50 +2.50
5 Greenock Morton 43 41.69 +1.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stirling Albion 20 33.52 -13.52
2 Cowdenbeath 35 45.62 -10.62
3 Queen Of The South 49 53.43 -4.43
4 Ross County 41 43.34 -2.34
5 Falkirk 58 60.16 -2.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raith Rovers 4 Aug 7 – Aug 28 1 in 57
2 Dundee 6 Nov 6 – Jan 2 1 in 47
3 Dunfermline Athletic 6 Mar 29 – May 7 1 in 37
4 Ross County 3 Apr 26 – May 7 1 in 35
5 Partick Thistle 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stirling Albion 7 Oct 30 – Feb 5 1 in 66
2 Partick Thistle 5 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 41
3 Greenock Morton 4 Apr 16 – May 7 1 in 40
4 Cowdenbeath 4 Nov 13 – Jan 15 1 in 34
5 Raith Rovers 3 Apr 23 – May 7 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 23 Oct 2 – Mar 26 1 in 1,780
2 Partick Thistle 8 Nov 13 – Feb 15 1 in 114
3 Ross County 7 Feb 5 – Mar 8 1 in 91
4 Raith Rovers 7 Aug 7 – Sep 25 1 in 38
5 Dunfermline Athletic 12 Mar 8 – May 7 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stirling Albion 25 Oct 30 – Apr 30 1 in 284
2 Ross County 11 Nov 13 – Mar 1 1 in 109
3 Dundee 5 Mar 19 – Apr 10 1 in 93
4 Queen Of The South 6 Feb 22 – Mar 12 1 in 48
5 Cowdenbeath 10 Nov 13 – Mar 1 1 in 39

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dunfermline Athletic34.35%25.05%17.29%11.66%6.11%3.00%1.64%0.68%0.21%0.01%
Dundee30.76%25.12%19.11%12.05%6.81%3.45%1.63%0.84%0.22%0.01%
Raith Rovers5.67%10.64%15.79%18.90%18.65%13.27%8.65%4.72%2.95%0.76%
Falkirk21.64%23.60%21.45%14.12%9.67%5.04%2.93%1.02%0.47%0.06%
Queen Of The South5.85%9.89%14.22%19.01%18.61%13.67%8.84%5.96%2.99%0.96%
Partick Thistle0.51%1.79%3.33%7.32%10.78%16.26%18.45%18.94%14.55%8.07%
Greenock Morton0.21%0.79%1.93%3.80%7.22%12.26%16.69%19.37%23.68%14.05%
Ross County0.38%1.09%2.79%5.16%9.13%14.10%17.85%20.29%19.09%10.12%
Cowdenbeath0.63%2.01%3.99%7.62%11.94%16.49%18.34%18.15%14.58%6.25%
Stirling Albion—0.02%0.10%0.36%1.08%2.46%4.98%10.03%21.26%59.71%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.78%
Slight Edge
40.56%26.67%32.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.
219 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.20 goals
Neutral
-2+0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Dunfermline Athletic, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.13 * Some Luck: 6.13 to 9.2 * Lucky: 9.2 to 12.26 * Wild Swing: 12.26 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.75 * Off: 1.75 to 2.33 * Way Off: 2.33 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.88 points
Some Luck
07.6719
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.463
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
85.19%
Dunfermline Athletic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.90%
Stirling Albion
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.73
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
64%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.87
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.13
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.084
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Dunfermline Athletic 34.35% 65.43% 0.21% 0.01%
Dundee 30.76% 69.01% 0.22% 0.01%
Falkirk 21.64% 77.83% 0.47% 0.06%
Raith Rovers 5.67% 90.62% 2.95% 0.76%
Queen Of The South 5.85% 90.20% 2.99% 0.96%
Cowdenbeath 0.63% 78.54% 14.58% 6.25%
Partick Thistle 0.51% 76.87% 14.55% 8.07%
Ross County 0.38% 70.41% 19.09% 10.12%
Greenock Morton 0.21% 62.06% 23.68% 14.05%
Stirling Albion — 19.03% 21.26% 59.71%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2010-08-07 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1433 1423 42.1% 22.8% 35.2% -9.8 0
2010-08-07 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1423 1433 35.2% 22.8% 42.1% +9.8 3
2010-08-07 Partick Thistle W 4-0 1332 1374 34.6% 22.8% 42.6% +35.4 3
2010-08-07 @ Raith Rovers L 0-4 1374 1332 42.6% 22.8% 34.6% -35.4 0
2010-08-07 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1426 1419 41.6% 22.8% 35.6% +8.6 3
2010-08-07 @ Dundee L 0-1 1419 1426 35.6% 22.8% 41.6% -8.6 0
2010-08-07 Ross County L 0-2 1496 1377 55.9% 21.7% 22.3% -23.5 0
2010-08-07 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-0 1377 1496 22.3% 21.7% 55.9% +23.5 3
2010-08-07 Stirling Albion D 0-0 1325 1400 30.2% 22.6% 47.2% +0.9 1
2010-08-07 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1400 1325 47.2% 22.6% 30.2% -0.9 1
2010-08-14 Cowdenbeath L 1-3 1400 1473 30.6% 22.6% 46.9% -12.4 1
2010-08-14 @ Stirling Albion W 3-1 1473 1400 46.9% 22.6% 30.6% +12.4 3
2010-08-14 Dundee W 1-0 1339 1434 27.8% 22.4% 49.8% +11.3 3
2010-08-14 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1434 1339 49.8% 22.4% 27.8% -11.3 3
2010-08-14 Falkirk L 0-1 1401 1424 37.3% 22.8% 39.9% -8.9 3
2010-08-14 @ Ross County W 1-0 1424 1401 39.9% 22.8% 37.3% +8.9 3
2010-08-14 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1432 1326 54.5% 21.9% 23.6% +11.5 6
2010-08-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1326 1432 23.6% 21.9% 54.5% -11.5 1
2010-08-14 Raith Rovers L 1-3 1410 1367 46.5% 22.6% 30.9% -17.3 0
2010-08-14 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1367 1410 30.9% 22.6% 46.5% +17.3 6
2010-08-21 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1385 1444 32.3% 22.7% 45.0% +19.5 9
2010-08-21 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1444 1385 45.0% 22.7% 32.3% -19.5 6
2010-08-21 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1314 1350 35.5% 22.8% 41.7% +18.3 4
2010-08-21 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1350 1314 41.7% 22.8% 35.5% -18.3 3
2010-08-21 Ross County D 0-0 1423 1392 44.9% 22.7% 32.4% -0.7 4
2010-08-21 @ Dundee D 0-0 1392 1423 32.4% 22.7% 44.9% +0.7 4
2010-08-21 Stirling Albion W 3-0 1432 1387 46.8% 22.6% 30.6% +20.8 6
2010-08-21 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1387 1432 30.6% 22.6% 46.8% -20.8 1
2010-08-22 Queen Of The South L 1-3 1485 1393 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% -19.3 3
2010-08-22 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-1 1393 1485 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% +19.4 3
2010-08-28 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-5 1366 1424 32.5% 22.7% 44.8% -23.8 1
2010-08-28 @ Stirling Albion W 5-1 1424 1366 44.8% 22.7% 32.5% +23.8 9
2010-08-28 Falkirk W 2-0 1422 1453 36.2% 22.8% 41.0% +18.1 7
2010-08-28 @ Dundee L 0-2 1453 1422 41.0% 22.8% 36.2% -18.1 6
2010-08-28 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1404 1332 50.2% 22.4% 27.4% +6.9 12
2010-08-28 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1332 1404 27.4% 22.4% 50.2% -6.9 4
2010-08-28 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1466 1331 57.6% 21.5% 20.9% +5.2 6
2010-08-28 @ Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1331 1466 20.9% 21.5% 57.6% -5.2 3
2010-08-28 Ross County W 3-0 1412 1392 43.3% 22.7% 34.0% +22.6 6
2010-08-28 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1392 1412 34.0% 22.7% 43.3% -22.6 4
2010-09-11 Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1325 1471 22.4% 21.8% 55.8% -5.5 4
2010-09-11 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1471 1325 55.8% 21.8% 22.4% +5.5 9
2010-09-11 Dundee W 3-1 1448 1441 41.6% 22.8% 35.6% +14.0 12
2010-09-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1441 1448 35.6% 22.8% 41.6% -14.0 7
2010-09-11 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1435 1435 40.6% 22.8% 36.6% +14.3 9
2010-09-11 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1435 1435 36.6% 22.8% 40.6% -14.3 6
2010-09-11 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1370 1411 34.7% 22.8% 42.5% +0.4 5
2010-09-11 @ Ross County D 0-0 1411 1370 42.5% 22.8% 34.7% -0.4 13
2010-09-11 Stirling Albion L 1-2 1326 1342 38.2% 22.8% 39.0% -8.6 3
2010-09-11 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1342 1326 39.0% 22.8% 38.2% +8.6 4
2010-09-18 Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1462 1476 38.6% 22.8% 38.6% +8.6 15
2010-09-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1476 1462 38.6% 22.8% 38.6% -8.6 9
2010-09-18 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1450 1320 57.1% 21.6% 21.3% +5.2 12
2010-09-18 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1320 1450 21.3% 21.6% 57.1% -5.3 4
2010-09-18 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1420 1318 54.0% 22.0% 24.0% +5.8 9
2010-09-18 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1318 1420 24.0% 22.0% 54.0% -5.8 3
2010-09-18 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1426 1411 42.8% 22.7% 34.5% -0.5 8
2010-09-18 @ Dundee D 0-0 1411 1426 34.5% 22.7% 42.8% +0.5 14
2010-09-18 Stirling Albion W 3-1 1370 1351 43.2% 22.7% 34.0% +13.5 8
2010-09-18 @ Ross County L 1-3 1351 1370 34.0% 22.7% 43.2% -13.5 4
2010-09-25 Dundee W 2-1 1468 1426 46.3% 22.6% 31.1% +7.3 12
2010-09-25 @ Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1426 1468 31.1% 22.6% 46.3% -7.2 8
2010-09-25 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1312 1471 21.1% 21.6% 57.3% -10.4 3
2010-09-25 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1471 1312 57.3% 21.6% 21.1% +10.4 18
2010-09-25 Falkirk W 2-1 1411 1455 34.4% 22.7% 42.9% +9.4 17
2010-09-25 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1455 1411 42.9% 22.7% 34.4% -9.4 12
2010-09-25 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1338 1426 28.7% 22.4% 48.9% +1.1 5
2010-09-25 @ Stirling Albion D 0-0 1426 1338 48.9% 22.4% 28.7% -1.1 10
2010-09-25 Ross County D 0-0 1315 1384 31.1% 22.6% 46.3% +0.8 5
2010-09-25 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1384 1315 46.3% 22.6% 31.1% -0.8 9
2010-10-02 Cowdenbeath W 5-1 1445 1475 36.4% 22.8% 40.9% +28.5 15
2010-10-02 @ Falkirk L 1-5 1475 1445 40.9% 22.8% 36.4% -28.5 12
2010-10-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1425 1481 32.7% 22.7% 44.6% +19.3 13
2010-10-02 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1481 1425 44.6% 22.7% 32.7% -19.3 18
2010-10-02 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1419 1315 54.1% 22.0% 23.9% +5.8 11
2010-10-02 @ Dundee L 1-2 1315 1419 23.9% 22.0% 54.1% -5.8 5
2010-10-02 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1383 1301 51.4% 22.2% 26.3% -21.8 9
2010-10-02 @ Ross County W 2-0 1301 1383 26.3% 22.2% 51.4% +21.8 6
2010-10-02 Stirling Albion L 0-2 1420 1339 51.5% 22.2% 26.3% -21.9 17
2010-10-02 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1339 1420 26.3% 22.2% 51.5% +21.9 8
2010-10-16 Dundee D 1-1 1360 1425 31.7% 22.6% 45.6% +0.7 9
2010-10-16 @ Stirling Albion D 1-1 1425 1360 45.6% 22.6% 31.7% -0.7 12
2010-10-16 Falkirk W 1-0 1323 1474 21.9% 21.7% 56.4% +12.6 9
2010-10-16 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1474 1323 56.4% 21.7% 21.9% -12.6 15
2010-10-16 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1310 1444 23.5% 21.9% 54.5% +23.0 8
2010-10-16 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1444 1310 54.5% 21.9% 23.5% -23.0 13
2010-10-16 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1446 1399 47.1% 22.6% 30.3% -10.1 12
2010-10-16 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1399 1446 30.3% 22.6% 47.1% +10.1 20
2010-10-16 Ross County W 3-2 1462 1361 53.8% 22.0% 24.2% +5.6 21
2010-10-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1361 1462 24.2% 22.0% 53.8% -5.6 9
2010-10-23 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1424 1468 34.4% 22.7% 42.8% +0.3 13
2010-10-23 @ Dundee D 2-2 1468 1424 42.8% 22.7% 34.4% -0.3 22
2010-10-23 Falkirk L 1-5 1421 1461 34.9% 22.8% 42.3% -25.2 13
2010-10-23 @ Queen Of The South W 5-1 1461 1421 42.3% 22.8% 34.9% +25.2 18
2010-10-23 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1436 1333 54.1% 22.0% 23.9% -1.1 13
2010-10-23 @ Cowdenbeath D 2-2 1333 1436 23.9% 22.0% 54.1% +1.1 9
2010-10-23 Partick Thistle W 4-2 1361 1336 44.1% 22.7% 33.2% +11.9 12
2010-10-23 @ Stirling Albion L 2-4 1336 1361 33.2% 22.7% 44.1% -11.9 9
2010-10-23 Ross County W 1-0 1409 1355 47.9% 22.5% 29.6% +7.4 23
2010-10-23 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1355 1409 29.6% 22.5% 47.9% -7.4 9
2010-10-30 Cowdenbeath W 1-0 1324 1435 26.1% 22.2% 51.7% +11.6 12
2010-10-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1435 1324 51.7% 22.2% 26.1% -11.6 13
2010-10-30 Dundee D 3-3 1487 1424 49.0% 22.4% 28.5% -0.6 19
2010-10-30 @ Falkirk D 3-3 1424 1487 28.5% 22.4% 49.0% +0.6 14
2010-10-30 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1348 1396 33.8% 22.7% 43.5% +0.5 10
2010-10-30 @ Ross County D 1-1 1396 1348 43.5% 22.7% 33.8% -0.5 14
2010-10-30 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1334 1416 29.4% 22.5% 48.0% -7.4 9
2010-10-30 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1416 1334 48.0% 22.5% 29.4% +7.4 26
2010-10-30 Stirling Albion W 3-0 1467 1373 53.0% 22.1% 24.9% +17.5 25
2010-10-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1373 1467 24.9% 22.1% 53.0% -17.5 12
2010-11-06 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1326 1485 21.2% 21.6% 57.2% +12.0 12
2010-11-06 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1485 1326 57.2% 21.6% 21.2% -12.0 25
2010-11-06 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1425 1336 52.4% 22.2% 25.4% +6.1 17
2010-11-06 @ Dundee L 1-2 1336 1425 25.4% 22.2% 52.4% -6.1 12
2010-11-06 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1423 1396 44.4% 22.7% 32.9% -10.2 26
2010-11-06 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1396 1423 32.9% 22.7% 44.4% +10.2 17
2010-11-06 Ross County L 0-1 1486 1348 58.0% 21.4% 20.6% -12.9 19
2010-11-06 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1348 1486 20.6% 21.4% 58.0% +12.9 13
2010-11-06 Stirling Albion W 5-1 1424 1356 49.8% 22.4% 27.9% +21.0 16
2010-11-06 @ Cowdenbeath L 1-5 1356 1424 27.9% 22.4% 49.8% -21.0 12
2010-11-13 Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1406 1444 35.1% 22.8% 42.1% +26.8 20
2010-11-13 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1444 1406 42.1% 22.8% 35.1% -26.8 16
2010-11-13 Dundee L 0-3 1361 1431 31.0% 22.6% 46.4% -21.0 13
2010-11-13 @ Ross County W 3-0 1431 1361 46.4% 22.6% 31.0% +21.0 20
2010-11-13 Falkirk L 0-5 1335 1473 23.2% 21.9% 55.0% -26.4 12
2010-11-13 @ Stirling Albion W 5-0 1473 1335 55.0% 21.9% 23.2% +26.4 22
2010-11-13 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1330 1338 39.3% 22.8% 37.9% -0.1 13
2010-11-13 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1338 1330 37.9% 22.8% 39.3% +0.1 13
2010-11-13 Raith Rovers D 2-2 1473 1413 48.7% 22.5% 28.9% -0.7 26
2010-11-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1413 1473 28.9% 22.5% 48.7% +0.7 27
2010-12-11 Dundee L 0-1 1339 1452 25.8% 22.2% 52.0% -6.6 13
2010-12-11 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1452 1339 52.0% 22.2% 25.8% +6.6 23
2010-12-11 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1472 1433 46.0% 22.6% 31.4% +7.8 29
2010-12-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1433 1472 31.4% 22.6% 46.0% -7.8 20
2010-12-11 Ross County D 1-1 1329 1340 39.0% 22.8% 38.2% -0.0 14
2010-12-11 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1340 1329 38.2% 22.8% 39.0% +0.0 14
2010-12-14 Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1459 1418 46.2% 22.6% 31.2% +21.1 26
2010-12-14 @ Dundee L 0-3 1418 1459 31.2% 22.6% 46.2% -21.1 16
2010-12-14 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1340 1332 41.8% 22.8% 35.5% -0.2 15
2010-12-14 @ Ross County D 2-2 1332 1340 35.5% 22.8% 41.8% +0.2 14
2010-12-14 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1480 1329 59.3% 21.2% 19.4% -2.3 30
2010-12-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1329 1480 19.4% 21.2% 59.3% +2.3 15
2010-12-18 Stirling Albion W 2-0 1480 1308 61.5% 20.8% 17.7% +8.8 29
2010-12-18 @ Dundee L 0-2 1308 1480 17.7% 20.8% 61.5% -8.8 12
2010-12-26 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1332 1414 29.4% 22.5% 48.0% +1.0 16
2010-12-26 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1414 1332 48.0% 22.5% 29.4% -1.0 28
2010-12-29 Cowdenbeath W 5-0 1477 1397 51.4% 22.2% 26.4% +29.6 33
2010-12-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-5 1397 1477 26.4% 22.2% 51.4% -29.6 16
2010-12-29 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1499 1413 52.1% 22.2% 25.7% -1.5 23
2010-12-29 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1413 1499 25.7% 22.2% 52.1% +1.5 29
2011-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1414 1507 28.2% 22.4% 49.4% +10.5 32
2011-01-02 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1507 1414 49.4% 22.4% 28.2% -10.5 33
2011-01-02 Ross County W 2-0 1489 1340 59.1% 21.2% 19.6% +9.7 32
2011-01-02 @ Dundee L 0-2 1340 1489 19.6% 21.2% 59.1% -9.7 15
2011-01-02 Stirling Albion W 4-2 1498 1299 64.1% 20.2% 15.6% +6.1 26
2011-01-02 @ Falkirk L 2-4 1299 1498 15.6% 20.2% 64.1% -6.1 12
2011-01-15 Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1332 1367 35.6% 22.8% 41.6% +26.5 17
2011-01-15 @ Greenock Morton L 0-3 1367 1332 41.6% 22.8% 35.6% -26.6 16
2011-01-15 Dundee D 0-0 1496 1498 40.3% 22.8% 36.9% -0.2 34
2011-01-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1498 1496 36.9% 22.8% 40.3% +0.2 33
2011-01-15 Queen Of The South L 0-3 1504 1425 51.1% 22.3% 26.6% -31.6 26
2011-01-15 @ Falkirk W 3-0 1425 1504 26.6% 22.3% 51.1% +31.6 23
2011-01-15 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1330 1425 28.0% 22.4% 49.6% -7.0 15
2011-01-15 @ Ross County W 1-0 1425 1330 49.6% 22.4% 28.0% +7.0 35
2011-01-15 Stirling Albion W 6-1 1333 1293 46.0% 22.6% 31.4% +28.3 19
2011-01-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-6 1293 1333 31.4% 22.6% 46.0% -28.3 12
2011-01-22 Falkirk W 1-0 1498 1472 44.2% 22.7% 33.1% +8.1 36
2011-01-22 @ Dundee L 0-1 1472 1498 33.1% 22.7% 44.2% -8.1 26
2011-01-22 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1432 1359 50.4% 22.3% 27.2% -0.9 36
2011-01-22 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1359 1432 27.2% 22.3% 50.4% +0.9 18
2011-01-29 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1361 1496 23.5% 21.9% 54.6% +23.0 22
2011-01-29 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1496 1361 54.6% 21.9% 23.5% -23.0 34
2011-01-29 Falkirk L 1-2 1431 1464 35.8% 22.8% 41.4% -8.1 36
2011-01-29 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1464 1431 41.4% 22.8% 35.8% +8.1 29
2011-01-29 Ross County W 2-1 1360 1323 45.6% 22.6% 31.8% +7.4 21
2011-01-29 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1323 1360 31.8% 22.6% 45.6% -7.4 15
2011-02-05 Cowdenbeath D 1-1 1316 1340 37.1% 22.8% 40.1% +0.1 16
2011-02-05 @ Ross County D 1-1 1340 1316 40.1% 22.8% 37.1% -0.1 17
2011-02-05 Dundee L 1-2 1457 1507 33.6% 22.7% 43.7% -7.7 23
2011-02-05 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1507 1457 43.7% 22.7% 33.6% +7.7 39
2011-02-05 Raith Rovers L 1-3 1265 1423 21.2% 21.6% 57.2% -9.1 12
2011-02-05 @ Stirling Albion W 3-1 1423 1265 57.2% 21.6% 21.2% +9.1 39
2011-02-12 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-4 1340 1473 23.7% 21.9% 54.4% -21.9 17
2011-02-12 @ Cowdenbeath W 4-0 1473 1340 54.4% 21.9% 23.7% +21.9 37
2011-02-12 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1472 1367 54.4% 21.9% 23.7% +6.1 32
2011-02-12 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1367 1472 23.7% 21.9% 54.4% -6.1 21
2011-02-12 Partick Thistle D 3-3 1449 1384 49.3% 22.4% 28.2% -0.6 24
2011-02-12 @ Queen Of The South D 3-3 1384 1449 28.2% 22.4% 49.3% +0.7 23
2011-02-12 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1514 1432 51.5% 22.2% 26.2% +6.3 42
2011-02-12 @ Dundee L 1-2 1432 1514 26.2% 22.2% 51.5% -6.3 39
2011-02-12 Stirling Albion D 0-0 1316 1256 48.8% 22.5% 28.8% -1.1 17
2011-02-12 @ Ross County D 0-0 1256 1316 28.8% 22.5% 48.8% +1.1 13
2011-02-15 Falkirk D 1-1 1495 1479 42.9% 22.7% 34.4% -0.4 38
2011-02-15 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1479 1495 34.4% 22.7% 42.9% +0.4 33
2011-02-15 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1257 1361 26.9% 22.3% 50.8% -6.8 13
2011-02-15 @ Stirling Albion W 1-0 1361 1257 50.8% 22.3% 26.9% +6.8 24
2011-02-15 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1318 1385 31.4% 22.6% 46.0% +0.7 18
2011-02-15 @ Cowdenbeath D 1-1 1385 1318 46.0% 22.6% 31.4% -0.7 24
2011-02-19 Dundee L 0-1 1250 1521 12.8% 19.2% 68.0% -3.4 13
2011-02-19 @ Stirling Albion W 1-0 1521 1250 68.0% 19.2% 12.8% +3.4 45
2011-02-19 Queen Of The South L 0-4 1368 1448 29.6% 22.5% 47.8% -26.5 24
2011-02-19 @ Greenock Morton W 4-0 1448 1368 47.8% 22.5% 29.6% +26.5 27
2011-02-19 Raith Rovers L 0-3 1319 1426 26.6% 22.3% 51.2% -18.5 18
2011-02-19 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1426 1319 51.2% 22.3% 26.6% +18.5 42
2011-02-22 Dundee L 1-2 1444 1524 29.7% 22.5% 47.7% -7.0 42
2011-02-22 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1524 1444 47.7% 22.5% 29.7% +7.0 48
2011-02-22 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1315 1495 19.3% 21.2% 59.6% +2.3 18
2011-02-22 @ Ross County D 0-0 1495 1315 59.6% 21.2% 19.3% -2.3 39
2011-02-22 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1341 1384 34.5% 22.7% 42.7% +9.9 27
2011-02-22 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1384 1341 42.7% 22.7% 34.5% -9.9 24
2011-02-22 Stirling Albion D 2-2 1475 1247 66.8% 19.6% 13.7% -2.1 28
2011-02-22 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1247 1475 13.7% 19.6% 66.8% +2.1 14
2011-02-26 Cowdenbeath W 2-0 1479 1301 62.2% 20.7% 17.1% +8.6 36
2011-02-26 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1301 1479 17.1% 20.7% 62.2% -8.6 18
2011-02-26 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1473 1492 37.7% 22.8% 39.5% -14.7 28
2011-02-26 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1492 1473 39.5% 22.8% 37.7% +14.7 42
2011-02-26 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1531 1351 62.3% 20.6% 17.0% -2.4 49
2011-02-26 @ Dundee D 1-1 1351 1531 17.0% 20.6% 62.3% +2.4 28
2011-02-26 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1317 1374 32.7% 22.7% 44.7% +0.7 19
2011-02-26 @ Ross County D 0-0 1374 1317 44.7% 22.7% 32.7% -0.7 25
2011-02-26 Stirling Albion W 2-1 1437 1249 63.2% 20.5% 16.4% +4.1 45
2011-02-26 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1249 1437 16.4% 20.5% 63.2% -4.1 14
2011-03-01 Falkirk D 0-0 1353 1488 23.6% 21.9% 54.5% +1.8 29
2011-03-01 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1488 1353 54.5% 21.9% 23.6% -1.8 37
2011-03-01 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1292 1458 20.5% 21.4% 58.1% +1.5 19
2011-03-01 @ Cowdenbeath D 2-2 1458 1292 58.1% 21.4% 20.5% -1.5 29
2011-03-01 Ross County D 0-0 1245 1318 30.6% 22.6% 46.9% +0.9 15
2011-03-01 @ Stirling Albion D 0-0 1318 1245 46.9% 22.6% 30.6% -0.9 20
2011-03-05 Cowdenbeath L 3-4 1246 1293 33.9% 22.7% 43.4% -7.2 15
2011-03-05 @ Stirling Albion W 4-3 1293 1246 43.4% 22.7% 33.9% +7.2 22
2011-03-05 Dundee D 0-0 1373 1529 21.5% 21.6% 56.9% +2.0 26
2011-03-05 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1529 1373 56.9% 21.6% 21.5% -2.0 50
2011-03-05 Falkirk W 2-1 1317 1486 20.2% 21.4% 58.4% +12.2 23
2011-03-05 @ Ross County L 1-2 1486 1317 58.4% 21.4% 20.2% -12.2 37
2011-03-05 Greenock Morton L 1-3 1507 1355 59.5% 21.2% 19.3% -21.5 42
2011-03-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1355 1507 19.3% 21.2% 59.5% +21.5 32
2011-03-05 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1456 1441 42.7% 22.8% 34.6% -18.7 29
2011-03-05 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1441 1456 34.6% 22.8% 42.7% +18.7 48
2011-03-08 Dundee L 1-3 1301 1527 15.7% 20.2% 64.1% -6.8 22
2011-03-08 @ Cowdenbeath W 3-1 1527 1301 64.1% 20.2% 15.7% +6.8 53
2011-03-08 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1376 1438 31.9% 22.7% 45.4% +17.0 29
2011-03-08 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1438 1376 45.4% 22.7% 31.9% -17.0 29
2011-03-08 Ross County D 1-1 1486 1329 60.0% 21.1% 18.9% -2.2 43
2011-03-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1329 1486 18.9% 21.1% 60.0% +2.1 24
2011-03-12 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1474 1483 39.2% 22.8% 38.0% -8.7 37
2011-03-12 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1483 1474 38.0% 22.8% 39.2% +8.7 46
2011-03-12 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1460 1393 49.7% 22.4% 27.9% -21.2 48
2011-03-12 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1393 1460 27.9% 22.4% 49.7% +21.2 32
2011-03-12 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1533 1421 55.2% 21.8% 23.0% +5.6 56
2011-03-12 @ Dundee L 1-2 1421 1533 23.0% 21.8% 55.2% -5.6 29
2011-03-15 Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1439 1294 58.8% 21.3% 19.9% +4.9 51
2011-03-15 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1294 1439 19.9% 21.3% 58.8% -4.9 22
2011-03-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1238 1492 13.8% 19.6% 66.6% +2.8 16
2011-03-15 @ Stirling Albion D 1-1 1492 1238 66.6% 19.6% 13.8% -2.8 47
2011-03-16 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1415 1377 45.9% 22.6% 31.5% +14.7 32
2011-03-16 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1377 1415 31.5% 22.6% 45.9% -14.7 32
2011-03-19 Cowdenbeath L 0-1 1414 1289 56.6% 21.6% 21.8% -12.6 32
2011-03-19 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1289 1414 21.8% 21.6% 56.6% +12.6 25
2011-03-19 Dundee D 2-2 1465 1539 30.4% 22.6% 47.0% +0.6 38
2011-03-19 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1539 1465 47.0% 22.6% 30.4% -0.6 57
2011-03-19 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1331 1430 27.5% 22.4% 50.1% -6.6 24
2011-03-19 @ Ross County W 2-1 1430 1331 50.1% 22.4% 27.5% +6.6 35
2011-03-19 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1362 1444 29.5% 22.5% 48.0% +1.0 33
2011-03-19 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1444 1362 48.0% 22.5% 29.5% -1.0 52
2011-03-19 Stirling Albion W 4-1 1489 1241 68.5% 19.1% 12.5% +7.7 50
2011-03-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1241 1489 12.5% 19.1% 68.5% -7.7 16
2011-03-22 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1538 1497 46.3% 22.6% 31.1% -0.8 58
2011-03-22 @ Dundee D 1-1 1497 1538 31.1% 22.6% 46.3% +0.7 51
2011-03-22 Falkirk L 0-1 1436 1466 36.4% 22.8% 40.8% -8.7 35
2011-03-22 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1466 1436 40.8% 22.8% 36.4% +8.7 41
2011-03-22 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1302 1363 32.0% 22.7% 45.3% -14.9 25
2011-03-22 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-0 1363 1302 45.3% 22.7% 32.0% +14.9 36
2011-03-22 Partick Thistle L 0-3 1234 1401 20.4% 21.4% 58.2% -14.6 16
2011-03-22 @ Stirling Albion W 3-0 1401 1234 58.2% 21.4% 20.4% +14.6 35
2011-03-22 Ross County D 1-1 1443 1325 55.8% 21.8% 22.5% -1.7 53
2011-03-22 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1325 1443 22.5% 21.8% 55.8% +1.7 25
2011-03-26 Cowdenbeath D 2-2 1538 1287 68.7% 19.0% 12.3% -2.3 59
2011-03-26 @ Dundee D 2-2 1287 1538 12.3% 19.0% 68.7% +2.3 26
2011-03-26 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1327 1378 33.4% 22.7% 43.9% +19.1 28
2011-03-26 @ Ross County L 0-2 1378 1327 43.9% 22.7% 33.4% -19.1 36
2011-03-26 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1498 1416 51.5% 22.2% 26.2% -1.4 52
2011-03-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1416 1498 26.2% 22.2% 51.5% +1.4 36
2011-03-26 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1474 1441 45.2% 22.7% 32.2% +7.5 44
2011-03-26 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1441 1474 32.2% 22.7% 45.2% -7.5 53
2011-03-26 Stirling Albion W 4-1 1428 1219 65.0% 20.0% 14.9% +9.2 38
2011-03-26 @ Queen Of The South L 1-4 1219 1428 14.9% 20.0% 65.0% -9.2 16
2011-03-29 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1346 1496 21.9% 21.7% 56.4% -5.7 28
2011-03-29 @ Ross County W 1-0 1496 1346 56.4% 21.7% 21.9% +5.7 55
2011-03-29 Falkirk D 0-0 1289 1482 18.2% 20.9% 60.9% +2.5 27
2011-03-29 @ Cowdenbeath D 0-0 1482 1289 60.9% 20.9% 18.2% -2.5 45
2011-03-29 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1210 1437 15.6% 20.2% 64.2% -7.8 16
2011-03-29 @ Stirling Albion W 2-0 1437 1210 64.2% 20.2% 15.6% +7.8 41
2011-04-02 Dundee W 2-1 1434 1535 27.1% 22.3% 50.6% +10.8 56
2011-04-02 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1535 1434 50.6% 22.3% 27.1% -10.8 59
2011-04-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1291 1502 16.8% 20.6% 62.6% -4.5 27
2011-04-02 @ Cowdenbeath W 1-0 1502 1291 62.6% 20.6% 16.8% +4.5 58
2011-04-02 Falkirk D 2-2 1359 1479 25.1% 22.1% 52.8% +1.0 37
2011-04-02 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1479 1359 52.8% 22.1% 25.1% -1.0 46
2011-04-02 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1417 1445 36.6% 22.8% 40.6% +0.2 37
2011-04-02 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1445 1417 40.6% 22.8% 36.6% -0.2 42
2011-04-02 Ross County L 0-2 1202 1340 23.2% 21.9% 54.9% -11.3 16
2011-04-02 @ Stirling Albion W 2-0 1340 1202 54.9% 21.9% 23.2% +11.3 31
2011-04-05 Ross County W 2-1 1287 1351 31.7% 22.6% 45.7% +9.9 30
2011-04-05 @ Cowdenbeath L 1-2 1351 1287 45.7% 22.6% 31.7% -9.9 31
2011-04-05 Stirling Albion W 2-0 1360 1191 61.3% 20.8% 17.9% +8.9 40
2011-04-05 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1191 1360 17.9% 20.8% 61.3% -8.9 16
2011-04-09 Cowdenbeath D 2-2 1444 1297 59.0% 21.3% 19.7% -1.5 57
2011-04-09 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1297 1444 19.7% 21.3% 59.0% +1.5 31
2011-04-09 Partick Thistle L 2-3 1478 1417 48.8% 22.5% 28.7% -9.9 46
2011-04-09 @ Falkirk W 3-2 1417 1478 28.7% 22.5% 48.8% +9.9 40
2011-04-10 Stirling Albion D 1-1 1525 1182 75.5% 16.5% 8.1% -3.6 60
2011-04-10 @ Dundee D 1-1 1182 1525 8.1% 16.5% 75.5% +3.7 17
2011-04-12 Falkirk L 1-2 1427 1468 34.8% 22.8% 42.5% -8.0 40
2011-04-12 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1468 1427 42.5% 22.8% 34.8% +7.9 49
2011-04-13 Greenock Morton L 1-4 1444 1369 50.7% 22.3% 27.0% -26.4 42
2011-04-13 @ Queen Of The South W 4-1 1369 1444 27.0% 22.3% 50.7% +26.4 43
2011-04-16 Dundee L 1-3 1395 1521 24.5% 22.0% 53.5% -10.3 43
2011-04-16 @ Greenock Morton W 3-1 1521 1395 53.5% 22.0% 24.5% +10.3 63
2011-04-16 Falkirk L 1-2 1298 1476 19.4% 21.2% 59.4% -4.8 31
2011-04-16 @ Cowdenbeath W 2-1 1476 1298 59.4% 21.2% 19.4% +4.8 52
2011-04-16 Queen Of The South W 6-1 1506 1418 52.3% 22.2% 25.5% +23.8 61
2011-04-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-6 1418 1506 25.5% 22.2% 52.3% -23.8 42
2011-04-16 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1185 1443 13.6% 19.5% 66.9% -3.4 17
2011-04-16 @ Stirling Albion W 2-1 1443 1185 66.9% 19.5% 13.6% +3.4 60
2011-04-16 Ross County D 1-1 1419 1341 51.0% 22.3% 26.7% -1.2 41
2011-04-16 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1341 1419 26.7% 22.3% 51.0% +1.2 32
2011-04-19 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1481 1418 49.1% 22.4% 28.5% +13.5 55
2011-04-19 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1418 1481 28.5% 22.4% 49.1% -13.5 41
2011-04-23 Cowdenbeath D 2-2 1394 1294 53.8% 22.0% 24.2% -1.1 43
2011-04-23 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1294 1394 24.2% 22.0% 53.8% +1.1 32
2011-04-23 Dundee L 0-1 1343 1531 18.5% 21.0% 60.5% -4.9 32
2011-04-23 @ Ross County W 1-0 1531 1343 60.5% 21.0% 18.5% +4.9 66
2011-04-23 Falkirk L 1-2 1182 1495 10.5% 18.1% 71.4% -2.6 17
2011-04-23 @ Stirling Albion W 2-1 1495 1182 71.4% 18.1% 10.5% +2.6 58
2011-04-23 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1405 1385 43.3% 22.7% 34.0% +15.6 44
2011-04-23 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1385 1405 34.0% 22.7% 43.3% -15.6 43
2011-04-23 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1530 1446 51.8% 22.2% 26.0% +6.3 64
2011-04-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1446 1530 26.0% 22.2% 51.8% -6.3 60
2011-04-26 Ross County L 0-1 1393 1338 48.1% 22.5% 29.4% -10.9 43
2011-04-26 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1338 1393 29.4% 22.5% 48.1% +10.9 35
2011-04-30 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1369 1537 20.4% 21.4% 58.2% -10.1 43
2011-04-30 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1537 1369 58.2% 21.4% 20.4% +10.1 67
2011-04-30 Partick Thistle W 3-2 1536 1420 55.6% 21.8% 22.7% +5.3 69
2011-04-30 @ Dundee L 2-3 1420 1536 22.7% 21.8% 55.6% -5.3 44
2011-04-30 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1440 1382 48.4% 22.5% 29.1% -11.0 60
2011-04-30 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1382 1440 29.1% 22.5% 48.4% +11.0 46
2011-04-30 Ross County L 0-1 1497 1349 59.1% 21.2% 19.6% -13.1 58
2011-04-30 @ Falkirk W 1-0 1349 1497 19.6% 21.2% 59.1% +13.1 38
2011-04-30 Stirling Albion W 1-0 1295 1179 55.5% 21.8% 22.7% +5.9 35
2011-04-30 @ Cowdenbeath L 0-1 1179 1295 22.7% 21.8% 55.5% -5.9 17
2011-05-07 Cowdenbeath W 3-0 1362 1301 48.9% 22.4% 28.6% +19.7 41
2011-05-07 @ Ross County L 0-3 1301 1362 28.6% 22.4% 48.9% -19.7 35
2011-05-07 Dundee W 3-0 1393 1541 22.2% 21.7% 56.1% +34.3 49
2011-05-07 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1541 1393 56.1% 21.7% 22.2% -34.3 69
2011-05-07 Falkirk W 3-0 1547 1484 49.1% 22.4% 28.5% +19.6 70
2011-05-07 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1484 1547 28.5% 22.4% 49.1% -19.6 58
2011-05-07 Greenock Morton W 3-2 1173 1359 18.8% 21.1% 60.2% +11.9 20
2011-05-07 @ Stirling Albion L 2-3 1359 1173 60.2% 21.1% 18.8% -11.9 43
2011-05-07 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1415 1429 38.6% 22.8% 38.6% +25.1 47
2011-05-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1429 1415 38.6% 22.8% 38.6% -25.0 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-05-07 18.76% @ Stirling Albion 1173 3 Greenock Morton 1359 2
2 2011-03-05 19.32% Greenock Morton 1355 3 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1507 1
3 2011-04-30 19.61% Ross County 1349 1 @ Falkirk 1497 0
4 2011-03-05 20.24% @ Ross County 1317 2 Falkirk 1486 1
5 2010-11-06 20.60% Ross County 1348 1 @ Falkirk 1486 0
6 2010-11-06 21.21% @ Greenock Morton 1326 2 Dunfermline Athletic 1485 1
7 2011-03-19 21.78% Cowdenbeath 1289 1 @ Partick Thistle 1414 0
8 2010-10-16 21.94% @ Partick Thistle 1323 1 Falkirk 1474 0
9 2011-05-07 22.17% @ Queen Of The South 1393 3 Dundee 1541 0
10 2010-08-07 22.34% Ross County 1377 2 @ Cowdenbeath 1496 0
11 2011-01-29 23.48% @ Partick Thistle 1361 2 Dunfermline Athletic 1496 0
12 2010-10-16 23.53% @ Greenock Morton 1310 2 Queen Of The South 1444 0
13 2010-08-22 25.10% Queen Of The South 1393 3 @ Cowdenbeath 1485 1
14 2010-10-30 26.05% @ Partick Thistle 1324 1 Cowdenbeath 1435 0
15 2010-10-02 26.27% Stirling Albion 1339 2 @ Raith Rovers 1420 0
16 2010-10-02 26.32% Partick Thistle 1301 2 @ Ross County 1383 0
17 2011-01-15 26.58% Queen Of The South 1425 3 @ Falkirk 1504 0
18 2011-04-13 26.98% Greenock Morton 1369 4 @ Queen Of The South 1444 1
19 2011-04-02 27.11% @ Raith Rovers 1434 2 Dundee 1535 1
20 2010-08-14 27.80% @ Partick Thistle 1339 1 Dundee 1434 0
21 2011-03-12 27.91% Partick Thistle 1393 2 @ Raith Rovers 1460 0
22 2011-01-02 28.19% @ Raith Rovers 1414 2 Dunfermline Athletic 1507 1
23 2011-04-09 28.71% Partick Thistle 1417 3 @ Falkirk 1478 2
24 2011-04-30 29.07% Queen Of The South 1382 1 @ Raith Rovers 1440 0
25 2011-04-26 29.38% Ross County 1338 1 @ Queen Of The South 1393 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-08-07 35.37 @ Raith Rovers 4 1332 34.64% Partick Thistle 0 1374 42.61% 22.75%
2 2011-05-07 34.28 @ Queen Of The South 3 1393 22.17% Dundee 0 1541 56.12% 21.72%
3 2011-01-15 31.57 Queen Of The South 3 1425 26.58% @ Falkirk 0 1504 51.15% 22.27%
4 2010-12-29 29.60 @ Dunfermline Athletic 5 1477 51.38% Cowdenbeath 0 1397 26.37% 22.25%
5 2010-10-02 28.50 @ Falkirk 5 1445 36.36% Cowdenbeath 1 1475 40.86% 22.78%
6 2011-01-15 28.31 @ Partick Thistle 6 1333 46.03% Stirling Albion 1 1293 31.35% 22.62%
7 2010-11-13 26.83 @ Queen Of The South 3 1406 35.11% Cowdenbeath 0 1444 42.13% 22.76%
8 2011-01-15 26.55 @ Greenock Morton 3 1332 35.64% Cowdenbeath 0 1367 41.60% 22.77%
9 2011-02-19 26.50 Queen Of The South 4 1448 47.82% @ Greenock Morton 0 1368 29.65% 22.52%
10 2010-11-13 26.44 Falkirk 5 1473 54.99% @ Stirling Albion 0 1335 23.15% 21.87%
11 2011-04-13 26.43 Greenock Morton 4 1369 26.98% @ Queen Of The South 1 1444 50.71% 22.31%
12 2010-10-23 25.20 Falkirk 5 1461 42.33% @ Queen Of The South 1 1421 34.92% 22.75%
13 2011-05-07 25.06 @ Partick Thistle 3 1415 38.56% Raith Rovers 0 1429 38.64% 22.80%
14 2011-04-16 23.84 @ Dunfermline Athletic 6 1506 52.30% Queen Of The South 1 1418 25.53% 22.17%
15 2010-08-28 23.79 Dunfermline Athletic 5 1424 44.84% @ Stirling Albion 1 1366 32.49% 22.68%
16 2010-08-07 23.53 Ross County 2 1377 22.34% @ Cowdenbeath 0 1496 55.92% 21.74%
17 2011-01-29 23.04 @ Partick Thistle 2 1361 23.48% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1496 54.61% 21.91%
18 2010-10-16 23.01 @ Greenock Morton 2 1310 23.53% Queen Of The South 0 1444 54.55% 21.92%
19 2010-08-28 22.65 @ Queen Of The South 3 1412 43.32% Ross County 0 1392 33.95% 22.73%
20 2011-02-12 21.90 Dunfermline Athletic 4 1473 54.36% @ Cowdenbeath 0 1340 23.70% 21.94%
21 2010-10-02 21.87 Stirling Albion 2 1339 26.27% @ Raith Rovers 0 1420 51.48% 22.24%
22 2010-10-02 21.84 Partick Thistle 2 1301 26.32% @ Ross County 0 1383 51.43% 22.25%
23 2011-03-05 21.55 Greenock Morton 3 1355 19.32% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1507 59.49% 21.19%
24 2011-03-12 21.20 Partick Thistle 2 1393 27.91% @ Raith Rovers 0 1460 49.69% 22.40%
25 2010-12-14 21.13 @ Dundee 3 1459 46.23% Cowdenbeath 0 1418 31.16% 22.61%