Home / Leagues / Scotland / First Division / 2009-10
‹ ›

2009-10 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inverness CT

9.76 points above expected

73 points · 63.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ayr United

13.64 points below expected

31 points · 44.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inverness CT 36 21 10 5 73 72 32 +40 63.24 +9.76
2 Dundee 36 16 13 7 61 48 34 +14 58.67 +2.33
3 Dunfermline Athletic 36 17 7 12 58 54 44 +10 52.50 +5.50
4 Queen Of The South 36 15 11 10 56 53 40 +13 56.63 -0.63
5 Ross County 36 15 11 10 56 46 44 +2 50.57 +5.43
6 Partick Thistle 36 14 6 16 48 43 40 +3 51.09 -3.09
7 Raith Rovers 36 11 9 16 42 36 47 -11 37.92 +4.08
8 Greenock Morton 36 11 4 21 37 40 65 -25 38.10 -1.10
9 Airdrie United 36 8 9 19 33 41 56 -15 36.26 -3.26
10 Ayr United 36 7 10 19 31 29 60 -31 44.64 -13.64

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Inverness CT 1655 73 63.24 +9.76 91.7% 36 51 58 63 68 75 89
Dundee 1498 61 58.67 +2.33 65.0% 31 46 54 59 64 71 84
Dunfermline Athletic 1493 58 52.50 +5.50 78.5% 25 40 47 52 58 65 78
Queen Of The South 1486 56 56.63 -0.63 49.3% 28 44 52 57 62 69 84
Ross County 1420 56 50.57 +5.43 78.9% 25 38 46 51 56 63 78
Partick Thistle 1415 48 51.09 -3.09 36.6% 22 39 46 51 56 64 77
Airdrie United 1405 33 36.26 -3.26 35.2% 13 25 31 36 41 48 62
Raith Rovers 1347 42 37.92 +4.08 74.4% 16 26 33 38 43 50 68
Greenock Morton 1335 37 38.10 -1.10 47.3% 16 26 33 38 43 50 64
Ayr United 1320 31 44.64 -13.64 3.8% 18 32 40 45 50 57 73

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU AU DUN DA GM IC PT QOTS RR RC
Airdrie United —
2-2-0
4.41
2-1-1
3.02
0-1-3
3.62
1-0-3
5.01
0-1-3
2.98
1-0-3
3.66
0-2-2
3.95
2-1-1
5.38
0-1-3
4.26
Ayr United
0-2-2
6.44
 —
0-2-2
3.95
2-0-2
4.41
1-0-3
6.16
0-2-2
3.64
2-1-1
5.12
1-0-3
4.17
1-2-1
6.24
0-1-3
4.55
Dundee
1-1-2
7.99
2-2-0
6.94
 —
2-1-1
6.10
3-1-0
7.33
0-3-1
4.84
4-0-0
6.11
0-3-1
5.64
2-1-1
7.47
2-1-1
6.23
Dunfermline Athletic
3-1-0
7.31
2-0-2
6.46
1-1-2
4.75
 —
4-0-0
6.64
0-2-2
4.29
2-0-2
5.38
2-0-2
4.99
3-0-1
7.04
0-3-1
5.66
Greenock Morton
3-0-1
5.83
3-0-1
4.70
0-1-3
3.59
0-0-4
4.24
 —
0-0-4
3.03
1-0-3
4.10
2-1-1
3.41
2-1-1
5.03
0-1-3
4.19
Inverness CT
3-1-0
8.03
2-2-0
7.30
1-3-0
6.03
2-2-0
6.59
4-0-0
7.97
 —
2-0-2
6.57
2-1-1
6.10
4-0-0
7.69
1-1-2
7.09
Partick Thistle
3-0-1
7.25
1-1-2
5.73
0-0-4
4.74
2-0-2
5.47
3-0-1
6.78
2-0-2
4.29
 —
1-1-2
4.62
0-2-2
6.83
2-2-0
5.41
Queen Of The South
2-2-0
6.95
3-0-1
6.71
1-3-0
5.19
2-0-2
5.85
1-1-2
7.52
1-1-2
4.75
2-1-1
6.22
 —
1-2-1
7.35
2-1-1
6.10
Raith Rovers
1-1-2
5.46
1-2-1
4.61
1-1-2
3.46
1-0-3
3.88
1-1-2
5.82
0-0-4
3.30
2-2-0
4.05
1-2-1
3.56
 —
3-0-1
3.76
Ross County
3-1-0
6.61
3-1-0
6.30
1-1-2
4.62
1-3-0
5.19
3-1-0
6.68
2-1-1
3.81
0-2-2
5.43
1-1-2
4.75
1-0-3
7.13
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +10.4
Allowed 0.79 -11.1
Differential 0.93 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%11.39%6.67%3.06%0.56%0.83%27.50%
111.39%13.33%7.50%3.33%1.67%0.28%37.50%
26.67%7.50%5.00%1.11%0.28%0.28%20.83%
33.06%3.33%1.11%1.67%0.28%0.28%9.72%
40.56%1.67%0.28%0.28%——2.78%
5+0.83%0.28%0.28%0.28%——1.67%
Total27.50%37.50%20.83%9.72%2.78%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.72
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
15.56%22.22%11.11%———38.89%
22.78%—2.78%—2.78%2.78%11.11%
38.33%2.78%———2.78%13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%41.67%27.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.56 -0.42
SD 1.13 1.30 1.78
CV 0.99 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%—2.78%36.11%
113.89%16.67%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%52.78%
22.78%—2.78%———5.56%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%27.78%22.22%16.67%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.67 -0.86
SD 0.79 1.57 1.84
CV 0.98 0.94 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
116.67%19.44%2.78%———38.89%
211.11%5.56%13.89%———30.56%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%41.67%22.22%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.94 +0.39
SD 0.93 0.83 1.25
CV 0.69 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%11.11%———27.78%
12.78%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—19.44%
28.33%19.44%2.78%2.78%——33.33%
3—11.11%—2.78%——13.89%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total16.67%55.56%19.44%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.22 +0.28
SD 1.21 0.90 1.54
CV 0.80 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.89%11.11%8.33%—2.78%36.11%
18.33%5.56%8.33%8.33%5.56%—36.11%
22.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
3——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total13.89%30.56%27.78%19.44%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.81 -0.69
SD 1.21 1.24 1.92
CV 1.09 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%—————8.33%
119.44%11.11%5.56%5.56%——41.67%
28.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
45.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total50.00%25.00%11.11%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.89 +1.11
SD 1.53 1.09 1.85
CV 0.77 1.23 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%25.00%8.33%———38.89%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%—22.22%
213.89%11.11%5.56%———30.56%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+2.78%—2.78%———5.56%
Total27.78%41.67%25.00%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.11 +0.08
SD 1.31 0.95 1.66
CV 1.09 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
113.89%16.67%5.56%8.33%——44.44%
211.11%2.78%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
38.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%11.11%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.11 +0.36
SD 1.00 1.14 1.55
CV 0.68 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%36.11%
111.11%13.89%13.89%———38.89%
25.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
32.78%———2.78%—5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%38.89%19.44%5.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.31 -0.31
SD 1.01 1.26 1.72
CV 1.01 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
116.67%13.89%8.33%—2.78%—41.67%
2—13.89%5.56%———19.44%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total25.00%41.67%22.22%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.22 +0.06
SD 1.14 1.02 1.26
CV 0.89 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Inverness CT 73 63.24 +9.76
2 Dunfermline Athletic 58 52.50 +5.50
3 Ross County 56 50.57 +5.43
4 Raith Rovers 42 37.92 +4.08
5 Dundee 61 58.67 +2.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ayr United 31 44.64 -13.64
2 Airdrie United 33 36.26 -3.26
3 Partick Thistle 48 51.09 -3.09
4 Greenock Morton 37 38.10 -1.10
5 Queen Of The South 56 56.63 -0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 9 Mar 23 – May 1 1 in 125
2 Ross County 3 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 40
3 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Nov 7 – Dec 1 1 in 38
4 Raith Rovers 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 23
5 Dundee 4 Dec 1 – Dec 19 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Aug 29 – Sep 26 1 in 80
2 Partick Thistle 4 Mar 27 – Apr 17 1 in 65
3 Airdrie United 5 Sep 26 – Oct 24 1 in 55
4 Ayr United 4 Oct 17 – Nov 7 1 in 37
5 Greenock Morton 5 Oct 10 – Nov 7 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 21 Dec 5 – May 1 1 in 174
2 Ayr United 8 Feb 20 – Mar 27 1 in 90
3 Dundee 13 Sep 26 – Dec 26 1 in 63
4 Dunfermline Athletic 8 Oct 10 – Dec 1 1 in 56
5 Raith Rovers 6 Aug 8 – Sep 19 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundee 6 Mar 6 – Mar 30 1 in 40
2 Airdrie United 11 Aug 8 – Oct 24 1 in 28
3 Ayr United 8 Oct 10 – Nov 21 1 in 21
4 Ross County 5 Apr 6 – Apr 24 1 in 12
5 Partick Thistle 5 Mar 27 – Apr 19 1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Inverness CT49.01%23.33%13.13%7.10%4.17%2.19%0.69%0.26%0.11%0.01%
Dundee20.88%24.74%20.30%14.19%9.68%5.94%2.67%1.16%0.35%0.09%
Dunfermline Athletic6.14%11.81%15.80%17.53%16.77%14.79%9.51%4.72%2.14%0.79%
Queen Of The South15.37%20.22%20.44%16.57%11.57%7.96%4.53%2.37%0.80%0.17%
Ross County3.50%8.13%11.49%16.06%18.26%17.43%12.81%7.23%3.56%1.53%
Partick Thistle4.20%8.98%13.01%16.91%17.61%16.89%11.25%6.48%3.19%1.48%
Raith Rovers0.07%0.33%0.72%1.62%3.73%7.30%13.58%21.19%26.33%25.13%
Greenock Morton0.04%0.25%0.67%2.04%3.95%7.09%12.96%20.85%25.18%26.97%
Airdrie United0.03%0.12%0.39%1.11%2.55%5.17%10.73%18.43%25.70%35.77%
Ayr United0.76%2.09%4.05%6.87%11.71%15.24%21.27%17.31%12.64%8.06%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.11%
Clear Edge
45.56%25.00%29.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
184 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
056.47500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Inverness CT, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.88 * Lucky: 8.88 to 11.85 * Wild Swing: 11.85 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.74 * Off: 1.74 to 2.32 * Way Off: 2.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.18 points
Some Luck
07.4019
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.453
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
91.71%
Inverness CT
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
3.80%
Ayr United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.51
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.70
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.45
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.074
Well Within Noise
00.1270.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Inverness CT 49.01% 50.87% 0.11% 0.01%
Dundee 20.88% 78.68% 0.35% 0.09%
Queen Of The South 15.37% 83.66% 0.80% 0.17%
Dunfermline Athletic 6.14% 90.93% 2.14% 0.79%
Partick Thistle 4.20% 91.13% 3.19% 1.48%
Ross County 3.50% 91.41% 3.56% 1.53%
Ayr United 0.76% 78.54% 12.64% 8.06%
Raith Rovers 0.07% 48.47% 26.33% 25.13%
Greenock Morton 0.04% 47.81% 25.18% 26.97%
Airdrie United 0.03% 38.50% 25.70% 35.77%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2009-08-08 Airdrie United W 2-1 1409 1392 42.6% 29.0% 28.5% +7.4 3
2009-08-08 @ Ross County L 1-2 1392 1409 28.5% 29.0% 42.6% -7.4 0
2009-08-08 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1465 1427 45.5% 28.6% 25.9% +7.3 3
2009-08-08 @ Dundee L 0-1 1427 1465 25.9% 28.6% 45.5% -7.3 0
2009-08-08 Inverness CT L 0-1 1456 1505 33.4% 29.3% 37.3% -8.8 0
2009-08-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1505 1456 37.3% 29.3% 33.4% +8.8 3
2009-08-08 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1496 1432 48.8% 28.1% 23.1% -1.3 1
2009-08-08 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1432 1496 23.1% 28.1% 48.8% +1.3 1
2009-08-08 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1443 1350 52.3% 27.3% 20.4% -1.7 1
2009-08-08 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1350 1443 20.4% 27.3% 52.3% +1.7 1
2009-08-15 Ayr United D 0-0 1514 1495 43.0% 28.9% 28.1% -0.8 4
2009-08-15 @ Inverness CT D 0-0 1495 1514 28.1% 28.9% 43.0% +0.8 2
2009-08-15 Dundee D 2-2 1352 1472 24.6% 28.4% 47.0% +0.8 2
2009-08-15 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1472 1352 47.0% 28.4% 24.6% -0.8 4
2009-08-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1420 1447 36.5% 29.3% 34.2% -17.7 0
2009-08-15 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1447 1420 34.2% 29.3% 36.5% +17.7 3
2009-08-15 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1385 1441 32.4% 29.2% 38.4% +0.3 1
2009-08-15 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1441 1385 38.4% 29.2% 32.4% -0.3 2
2009-08-15 Ross County D 0-0 1433 1416 42.6% 29.0% 28.4% -0.8 2
2009-08-15 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1416 1433 28.4% 29.0% 42.6% +0.8 4
2009-08-22 Airdrie United W 2-0 1465 1385 50.7% 27.7% 21.6% +11.8 6
2009-08-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1385 1465 21.6% 27.7% 50.7% -11.8 1
2009-08-22 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1495 1402 52.4% 27.3% 20.4% -23.4 2
2009-08-22 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1402 1495 20.4% 27.3% 52.4% +23.4 3
2009-08-22 Inverness CT D 2-2 1471 1513 34.4% 29.3% 36.2% +0.1 5
2009-08-22 @ Dundee D 2-2 1513 1471 36.2% 29.3% 34.4% -0.1 5
2009-08-22 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1441 1432 41.5% 29.1% 29.4% +8.0 5
2009-08-22 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1432 1441 29.4% 29.1% 41.5% -8.0 2
2009-08-22 Raith Rovers L 0-1 1417 1353 48.8% 28.1% 23.1% -11.7 4
2009-08-22 @ Ross County W 1-0 1353 1417 23.1% 28.1% 48.8% +11.7 5
2009-08-29 Ayr United W 2-0 1449 1472 37.1% 29.3% 33.6% +16.7 8
2009-08-29 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1472 1449 33.6% 29.3% 37.1% -16.7 2
2009-08-29 Dundee D 1-1 1374 1472 27.1% 28.8% 44.1% +0.8 2
2009-08-29 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1472 1374 44.1% 28.8% 27.1% -0.8 6
2009-08-29 Greenock Morton W 5-0 1424 1425 40.2% 29.2% 30.7% +36.5 5
2009-08-29 @ Partick Thistle L 0-5 1425 1424 30.7% 29.2% 40.2% -36.5 3
2009-08-29 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1477 1364 54.6% 26.7% 18.8% -24.2 6
2009-08-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1364 1477 18.8% 26.7% 54.6% +24.2 8
2009-08-29 Ross County L 1-3 1513 1405 54.0% 26.8% 19.2% -20.8 5
2009-08-29 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1405 1513 19.2% 26.8% 54.0% +20.8 7
2009-09-12 Airdrie United D 1-1 1455 1374 50.9% 27.6% 21.5% -1.5 3
2009-09-12 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1374 1455 21.5% 27.6% 50.9% +1.5 3
2009-09-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1471 1452 42.8% 28.9% 28.2% +7.8 9
2009-09-12 @ Dundee L 0-1 1452 1471 28.2% 28.9% 42.8% -7.8 6
2009-09-12 Inverness CT L 0-3 1389 1492 26.5% 28.7% 44.8% -20.2 3
2009-09-12 @ Greenock Morton W 3-0 1492 1389 44.8% 28.7% 26.5% +20.2 8
2009-09-12 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1388 1461 30.3% 29.1% 40.6% +0.5 9
2009-09-12 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1461 1388 40.6% 29.1% 30.3% -0.5 6
2009-09-12 Queen Of The South W 3-2 1426 1466 34.7% 29.3% 36.0% +8.3 10
2009-09-12 @ Ross County L 2-3 1466 1426 36.0% 29.3% 34.7% -8.3 8
2009-09-19 Ayr United W 2-1 1434 1454 37.6% 29.3% 33.1% +8.2 13
2009-09-19 @ Ross County L 1-2 1454 1434 33.1% 29.3% 37.6% -8.2 3
2009-09-19 Dundee W 2-0 1458 1478 37.4% 29.3% 33.3% +16.6 11
2009-09-19 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1478 1458 33.3% 29.3% 37.4% -16.6 9
2009-09-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1460 1445 42.5% 29.0% 28.5% +14.8 9
2009-09-19 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1445 1460 28.5% 29.0% 42.5% -14.8 6
2009-09-19 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1389 1369 43.1% 28.9% 28.0% +21.1 12
2009-09-19 @ Raith Rovers L 0-3 1369 1389 28.0% 28.9% 43.1% -21.1 3
2009-09-19 Inverness CT D 1-1 1376 1512 22.9% 28.0% 49.0% +1.3 4
2009-09-19 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1512 1376 49.0% 28.0% 22.9% -1.3 9
2009-09-26 Airdrie United W 1-0 1348 1377 36.1% 29.3% 34.6% +9.0 6
2009-09-26 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1377 1348 34.6% 29.3% 36.1% -9.0 4
2009-09-26 Partick Thistle L 2-3 1511 1475 45.2% 28.7% 26.2% -9.9 9
2009-09-26 @ Inverness CT W 3-2 1475 1511 26.2% 28.7% 45.2% +9.8 12
2009-09-26 Queen Of The South L 1-4 1430 1474 34.1% 29.3% 36.6% -20.6 6
2009-09-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1474 1430 36.6% 29.3% 34.1% +20.6 14
2009-09-26 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1446 1410 45.1% 28.7% 26.2% +7.3 6
2009-09-26 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1410 1446 26.2% 28.7% 45.1% -7.3 12
2009-09-26 Ross County W 2-0 1462 1443 43.0% 28.9% 28.1% +14.6 12
2009-09-26 @ Dundee L 0-2 1443 1462 28.1% 28.9% 43.0% -14.6 13
2009-10-03 Airdrie United W 2-0 1485 1368 55.1% 26.5% 18.4% +10.2 15
2009-10-03 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1368 1485 18.4% 26.5% 55.1% -10.2 4
2009-10-03 Greenock Morton L 2-3 1495 1357 57.5% 25.7% 16.8% -12.0 14
2009-10-03 @ Queen Of The South W 3-2 1357 1495 16.8% 25.7% 57.5% +12.0 9
2009-10-10 Ayr United W 3-1 1409 1453 34.1% 29.3% 36.6% +15.3 9
2009-10-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1453 1409 36.6% 29.3% 34.1% -15.3 6
2009-10-10 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1476 1495 37.7% 29.3% 33.0% +16.5 15
2009-10-10 @ Dundee L 0-2 1495 1476 33.0% 29.3% 37.7% -16.5 15
2009-10-10 Queen Of The South L 1-3 1501 1483 42.8% 28.9% 28.2% -17.3 9
2009-10-10 @ Inverness CT W 3-1 1483 1501 28.2% 28.9% 42.8% +17.3 17
2009-10-10 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1358 1403 34.0% 29.3% 36.7% -8.4 4
2009-10-10 @ Airdrie United W 2-1 1403 1358 36.7% 29.3% 34.0% +8.4 15
2009-10-10 Ross County L 0-1 1369 1428 32.0% 29.2% 38.8% -8.5 9
2009-10-10 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1428 1369 38.8% 29.2% 32.0% +8.5 16
2009-10-13 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1437 1425 42.0% 29.0% 29.0% -0.7 17
2009-10-13 @ Ross County D 0-0 1425 1437 29.0% 29.0% 42.0% +0.7 10
2009-10-13 Inverness CT L 0-1 1411 1484 30.2% 29.1% 40.6% -8.2 15
2009-10-13 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1484 1411 40.6% 29.1% 30.2% +8.2 12
2009-10-14 Dundee D 2-2 1438 1493 32.5% 29.3% 38.2% +0.2 7
2009-10-14 @ Ayr United D 2-2 1493 1438 38.2% 29.3% 32.5% -0.2 16
2009-10-17 Ayr United W 2-0 1479 1438 45.8% 28.6% 25.6% +13.6 18
2009-10-17 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1438 1479 25.6% 28.6% 45.8% -13.6 7
2009-10-17 Dundee L 0-1 1360 1493 23.3% 28.1% 48.6% -6.7 9
2009-10-17 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1493 1360 48.6% 28.1% 23.3% +6.7 19
2009-10-17 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1492 1425 49.1% 28.0% 22.9% -1.3 13
2009-10-17 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1425 1492 22.9% 28.0% 49.1% +1.3 11
2009-10-17 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1403 1500 27.2% 28.8% 43.9% +10.8 18
2009-10-17 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1500 1403 43.9% 28.8% 27.2% -10.8 17
2009-10-17 Ross County L 0-1 1350 1436 28.5% 29.0% 42.5% -7.8 4
2009-10-17 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1436 1350 42.5% 29.0% 28.5% +7.8 20
2009-10-24 Airdrie United W 3-0 1489 1342 58.5% 25.4% 16.2% +13.0 20
2009-10-24 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1342 1489 16.2% 25.4% 58.5% -13.0 4
2009-10-24 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1427 1353 49.9% 27.8% 22.2% +10.5 14
2009-10-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1353 1427 22.2% 27.8% 49.9% -10.4 9
2009-10-24 Inverness CT L 1-5 1424 1491 31.0% 29.2% 39.8% -24.9 7
2009-10-24 @ Ayr United W 5-1 1491 1424 39.8% 29.2% 31.0% +24.9 16
2009-10-24 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1444 1492 33.5% 29.3% 37.2% +0.1 21
2009-10-24 @ Ross County D 2-2 1492 1444 37.2% 29.3% 33.5% -0.1 19
2009-10-24 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1499 1414 51.4% 27.5% 21.1% +5.8 22
2009-10-24 @ Dundee L 1-2 1414 1499 21.1% 27.5% 51.4% -5.8 18
2009-10-31 Ayr United W 3-1 1329 1399 30.5% 29.1% 40.3% +16.5 7
2009-10-31 @ Airdrie United L 1-3 1399 1329 40.3% 29.1% 30.5% -16.5 7
2009-10-31 Dundee D 1-1 1437 1505 30.8% 29.2% 40.0% +0.4 15
2009-10-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1505 1437 40.0% 29.2% 30.8% -0.4 23
2009-10-31 Greenock Morton W 4-1 1516 1343 61.1% 24.3% 14.5% +9.8 19
2009-10-31 @ Inverness CT L 1-4 1343 1516 14.5% 24.3% 61.1% -9.8 9
2009-10-31 Raith Rovers L 1-2 1492 1408 51.2% 27.5% 21.2% -11.5 19
2009-10-31 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1408 1492 21.2% 27.5% 51.2% +11.5 21
2009-10-31 Ross County W 2-0 1502 1444 48.1% 28.2% 23.7% +12.7 23
2009-10-31 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1444 1502 23.7% 28.2% 48.1% -12.7 21
2009-11-07 Airdrie United W 2-1 1505 1345 59.8% 24.9% 15.4% +4.2 26
2009-11-07 @ Dundee L 1-2 1345 1505 15.4% 24.9% 59.8% -4.3 7
2009-11-07 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1420 1437 37.8% 29.3% 32.9% -9.1 21
2009-11-07 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1437 1420 32.9% 29.3% 37.8% +9.1 18
2009-11-07 Inverness CT W 2-1 1431 1525 27.5% 28.9% 43.6% +10.1 24
2009-11-07 @ Ross County L 1-2 1525 1431 43.6% 28.9% 27.5% -10.1 19
2009-11-07 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1333 1481 21.9% 27.7% 50.4% -11.9 9
2009-11-07 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1481 1333 50.4% 27.7% 21.9% +11.9 22
2009-11-07 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1383 1515 23.4% 28.1% 48.5% -6.7 7
2009-11-07 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1515 1383 48.5% 28.1% 23.4% +6.7 26
2009-11-14 Airdrie United W 2-0 1515 1341 61.3% 24.3% 14.4% +8.0 22
2009-11-14 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1341 1515 14.4% 24.3% 61.3% -8.0 7
2009-11-14 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1447 1492 33.8% 29.3% 36.9% +15.4 21
2009-11-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1492 1447 36.9% 29.3% 33.8% -15.4 22
2009-11-14 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1509 1522 38.6% 29.2% 32.2% -0.3 27
2009-11-14 @ Dundee D 0-0 1522 1509 32.2% 29.2% 38.6% +0.3 27
2009-11-14 Raith Rovers W 5-0 1321 1410 28.1% 28.9% 42.9% +46.7 12
2009-11-14 @ Greenock Morton L 0-5 1410 1321 42.9% 28.9% 28.1% -46.7 21
2009-11-14 Ross County D 1-1 1376 1441 31.2% 29.2% 39.6% +0.4 8
2009-11-14 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1441 1376 39.6% 29.2% 31.2% -0.4 25
2009-11-21 Ayr United D 0-0 1364 1377 38.5% 29.2% 32.2% -0.3 22
2009-11-21 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1377 1364 32.2% 29.2% 38.5% +0.3 9
2009-11-21 Greenock Morton L 2-4 1333 1368 35.4% 29.3% 35.3% -13.4 7
2009-11-21 @ Airdrie United W 4-2 1368 1333 35.3% 29.3% 35.4% +13.4 15
2009-11-28 Inverness CT W 2-1 1477 1523 33.8% 29.3% 36.9% +8.9 25
2009-11-28 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1523 1477 36.9% 29.3% 33.8% -8.9 22
2009-12-01 Dundee L 0-1 1441 1509 30.9% 29.2% 40.0% -8.3 25
2009-12-01 @ Ross County W 1-0 1509 1441 40.0% 29.2% 30.9% +8.3 30
2009-12-01 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1522 1462 48.3% 28.2% 23.6% -11.0 27
2009-12-01 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1462 1522 23.6% 28.2% 48.3% +11.0 24
2009-12-05 Dundee L 0-2 1486 1517 35.9% 29.3% 34.8% -17.5 25
2009-12-05 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1517 1486 34.8% 29.3% 35.9% +17.5 33
2009-12-05 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1377 1473 27.3% 28.8% 43.8% +10.8 12
2009-12-05 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1473 1377 43.8% 28.8% 27.3% -10.8 24
2009-12-05 Inverness CT D 1-1 1511 1514 39.9% 29.2% 31.0% -0.4 28
2009-12-05 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1514 1511 31.0% 29.2% 39.9% +0.4 23
2009-12-08 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1432 1381 47.1% 28.4% 24.5% +11.3 28
2009-12-08 @ Ross County L 1-3 1381 1432 24.5% 28.4% 47.1% -11.3 15
2009-12-12 Ayr United W 3-1 1534 1388 58.4% 25.4% 16.2% +7.8 36
2009-12-12 @ Dundee L 1-3 1388 1534 16.2% 25.4% 58.4% -7.8 12
2009-12-12 Partick Thistle L 2-5 1320 1468 21.8% 27.7% 50.6% -12.5 7
2009-12-12 @ Airdrie United W 5-2 1468 1320 50.6% 27.7% 21.8% +12.5 28
2009-12-12 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1370 1511 22.5% 27.9% 49.6% -6.1 15
2009-12-12 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1511 1370 49.6% 27.9% 22.5% +6.1 31
2009-12-12 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1515 1363 58.9% 25.2% 15.9% +4.7 26
2009-12-12 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1363 1515 15.9% 25.2% 58.9% -4.7 22
2009-12-12 Ross County D 3-3 1462 1444 42.8% 28.9% 28.2% -0.5 25
2009-12-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1444 1462 28.2% 28.9% 42.8% +0.5 29
2009-12-15 Airdrie United D 1-1 1359 1307 47.2% 28.3% 24.4% -1.2 23
2009-12-15 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1307 1359 24.4% 28.3% 47.2% +1.2 8
2009-12-19 Airdrie United W 5-3 1444 1308 57.2% 25.8% 17.0% +6.9 32
2009-12-19 @ Ross County L 3-5 1308 1444 17.0% 25.8% 57.2% -6.9 8
2009-12-19 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1542 1364 61.7% 24.1% 14.2% +6.8 39
2009-12-19 @ Dundee L 1-3 1364 1542 14.2% 24.1% 61.7% -6.8 15
2009-12-19 Inverness CT D 0-0 1462 1519 32.2% 29.2% 38.6% +0.3 26
2009-12-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1519 1462 38.6% 29.2% 32.2% -0.3 27
2009-12-26 Dundee D 1-1 1519 1549 36.1% 29.3% 34.6% -0.1 28
2009-12-26 @ Inverness CT D 1-1 1549 1519 34.6% 29.3% 36.1% +0.1 40
2009-12-26 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1481 1517 35.3% 29.3% 35.4% +0.0 29
2009-12-26 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1517 1481 35.4% 29.3% 35.3% -0.0 32
2010-01-03 Dundee W 1-0 1301 1549 14.3% 24.1% 61.6% +14.2 11
2010-01-03 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1549 1301 61.6% 24.1% 14.3% -14.2 40
2010-01-04 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1481 1357 55.9% 26.2% 17.9% +5.2 32
2010-01-04 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1357 1481 17.9% 26.2% 55.9% -5.2 15
2010-01-16 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1358 1486 23.8% 28.2% 48.0% +11.6 26
2010-01-16 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1486 1358 48.0% 28.2% 23.8% -11.6 32
2010-01-17 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1535 1462 49.9% 27.8% 22.3% +5.7 43
2010-01-17 @ Dundee L 2-3 1462 1535 22.3% 27.8% 49.9% -5.7 26
2010-01-23 Ayr United W 1-0 1451 1380 49.7% 27.9% 22.4% +6.4 35
2010-01-23 @ Ross County L 0-1 1380 1451 22.4% 27.9% 49.7% -6.4 12
2010-01-23 Dundee D 1-1 1517 1541 37.0% 29.3% 33.8% -0.2 33
2010-01-23 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1541 1517 33.8% 29.3% 37.0% +0.2 44
2010-01-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1475 1456 42.8% 28.9% 28.2% -24.4 32
2010-01-23 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1456 1475 28.2% 28.9% 42.8% +24.4 29
2010-01-23 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1369 1352 42.7% 29.0% 28.3% -9.9 26
2010-01-23 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1352 1369 28.3% 29.0% 42.7% +9.9 18
2010-01-23 Inverness CT L 0-1 1316 1519 17.2% 25.9% 56.9% -5.0 11
2010-01-23 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1519 1316 56.9% 25.9% 17.2% +5.0 31
2010-01-30 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1524 1450 50.0% 27.8% 22.2% +6.0 34
2010-01-30 @ Inverness CT L 1-2 1450 1524 22.2% 27.8% 50.0% -6.0 32
2010-01-30 Ross County L 0-1 1541 1458 51.1% 27.6% 21.3% -12.2 44
2010-01-30 @ Dundee W 1-0 1458 1541 21.3% 27.6% 51.1% +12.2 38
2010-02-13 Airdrie United W 2-0 1444 1311 57.0% 25.9% 17.1% +9.5 35
2010-02-13 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1311 1444 17.1% 25.9% 57.0% -9.5 11
2010-02-13 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1470 1481 38.8% 29.2% 32.0% -0.2 39
2010-02-13 @ Ross County D 2-2 1481 1470 32.0% 29.2% 38.8% +0.2 30
2010-02-13 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1517 1362 59.3% 25.1% 15.7% -13.0 33
2010-02-13 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1362 1517 15.7% 25.1% 59.3% +12.9 21
2010-02-13 Inverness CT L 0-4 1359 1530 19.8% 27.0% 53.2% -20.6 26
2010-02-13 @ Raith Rovers W 4-0 1530 1359 53.2% 27.0% 19.8% +20.6 37
2010-02-16 Ayr United W 3-0 1504 1373 56.6% 26.0% 17.4% +14.0 36
2010-02-16 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1373 1504 17.4% 26.0% 56.6% -14.0 12
2010-02-20 Ayr United L 0-1 1481 1359 55.6% 26.3% 18.1% -13.0 30
2010-02-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1359 1481 18.1% 26.3% 55.6% +13.0 15
2010-02-20 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1529 1454 50.1% 27.8% 22.1% +6.4 47
2010-02-20 @ Dundee L 0-1 1454 1529 22.1% 27.8% 50.1% -6.4 35
2010-02-27 Ayr United D 3-3 1551 1372 61.7% 24.1% 14.2% -1.6 38
2010-02-27 @ Inverness CT D 3-3 1372 1551 14.2% 24.1% 61.7% +1.6 16
2010-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1375 1468 27.7% 28.9% 43.4% -7.2 21
2010-02-27 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1468 1375 43.4% 28.9% 27.7% +7.2 33
2010-02-27 Ross County W 2-1 1447 1469 37.2% 29.3% 33.5% +8.3 38
2010-02-27 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1469 1447 33.5% 29.3% 37.2% -8.3 39
2010-03-06 Airdrie United W 2-0 1475 1301 61.3% 24.3% 14.4% +8.0 36
2010-03-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1301 1475 14.4% 24.3% 61.3% -8.0 11
2010-03-06 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1374 1368 41.2% 29.1% 29.7% +15.2 19
2010-03-06 @ Ayr United L 0-2 1368 1374 29.7% 29.1% 41.2% -15.2 21
2010-03-06 Inverness CT D 2-2 1535 1549 38.3% 29.3% 32.4% -0.2 48
2010-03-06 @ Dundee D 2-2 1549 1535 32.4% 29.3% 38.3% +0.2 39
2010-03-06 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1518 1456 48.5% 28.1% 23.4% +6.7 39
2010-03-06 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1456 1518 23.4% 28.1% 48.5% -6.7 38
2010-03-06 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1461 1339 55.7% 26.3% 18.0% +5.3 42
2010-03-06 @ Ross County L 0-1 1339 1461 18.0% 26.3% 55.7% -5.3 26
2010-03-09 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1293 1483 18.2% 26.4% 55.4% +2.0 12
2010-03-09 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1483 1293 55.4% 26.4% 18.2% -2.0 37
2010-03-09 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1549 1524 43.7% 28.8% 27.4% +12.4 42
2010-03-09 @ Inverness CT L 1-3 1524 1549 27.4% 28.8% 43.7% -12.4 39
2010-03-09 Ross County W 2-1 1333 1466 23.3% 28.1% 48.6% +11.0 29
2010-03-09 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1466 1333 48.6% 28.1% 23.3% -11.0 42
2010-03-10 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1389 1449 31.9% 29.2% 38.8% +9.8 22
2010-03-10 @ Ayr United L 0-1 1449 1389 38.8% 29.2% 31.9% -9.8 38
2010-03-13 Ayr United D 1-1 1295 1399 26.4% 28.7% 44.9% +0.9 13
2010-03-13 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1399 1295 44.9% 28.7% 26.4% -0.9 23
2010-03-13 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1562 1352 64.8% 22.7% 12.5% +3.6 45
2010-03-13 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1352 1562 12.5% 22.7% 64.8% -3.6 21
2010-03-13 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1481 1512 36.0% 29.3% 34.7% +14.8 40
2010-03-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1512 1481 34.7% 29.3% 36.0% -14.8 39
2010-03-16 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1496 1344 58.9% 25.2% 15.9% +4.4 43
2010-03-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1344 1496 15.9% 25.2% 58.9% -4.4 29
2010-03-17 Airdrie United W 2-1 1349 1296 47.3% 28.3% 24.3% +6.5 24
2010-03-17 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1296 1349 24.3% 28.3% 47.3% -6.5 13
2010-03-17 Dundee D 1-1 1398 1535 22.9% 28.0% 49.0% +1.3 24
2010-03-17 @ Ayr United D 1-1 1535 1398 49.0% 28.0% 22.9% -1.3 49
2010-03-20 Airdrie United L 0-3 1533 1289 68.1% 21.1% 10.8% -41.8 49
2010-03-20 @ Dundee W 3-0 1289 1533 10.8% 21.1% 68.1% +41.8 16
2010-03-20 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1340 1500 20.7% 27.4% 52.0% -5.7 29
2010-03-20 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1500 1340 52.0% 27.4% 20.7% +5.7 46
2010-03-20 Inverness CT D 0-0 1455 1565 25.8% 28.6% 45.6% +1.1 43
2010-03-20 @ Ross County D 0-0 1565 1455 45.6% 28.6% 25.8% -1.1 46
2010-03-20 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1355 1439 28.8% 29.0% 42.2% +10.5 27
2010-03-20 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1439 1355 42.2% 29.0% 28.8% -10.5 38
2010-03-20 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1400 1497 27.2% 28.8% 44.0% +29.6 27
2010-03-20 @ Ayr United L 0-3 1497 1400 44.0% 28.8% 27.2% -29.6 39
2010-03-23 Airdrie United W 4-0 1564 1331 67.0% 21.6% 11.3% +11.5 49
2010-03-23 @ Inverness CT L 0-4 1331 1564 11.3% 21.6% 67.0% -11.5 16
2010-03-23 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1506 1429 50.4% 27.7% 21.9% -11.3 46
2010-03-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1429 1506 21.9% 27.7% 50.4% +11.3 41
2010-03-23 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1492 1467 43.6% 28.9% 27.5% -0.8 50
2010-03-23 @ Dundee D 1-1 1467 1492 27.5% 28.9% 43.6% +0.8 40
2010-03-23 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1366 1334 44.6% 28.7% 26.7% -0.9 28
2010-03-23 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1334 1366 26.7% 28.7% 44.6% +0.9 30
2010-03-27 Ayr United D 1-1 1335 1429 27.6% 28.9% 43.5% +0.8 31
2010-03-27 @ Raith Rovers D 1-1 1429 1335 43.5% 28.9% 27.6% -0.8 28
2010-03-27 Dundee D 1-1 1457 1491 35.5% 29.3% 35.2% -0.0 44
2010-03-27 @ Ross County D 1-1 1491 1457 35.2% 29.3% 35.5% +0.0 51
2010-03-27 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1468 1495 36.6% 29.3% 34.1% +16.9 43
2010-03-27 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1495 1468 34.1% 29.3% 36.6% -16.9 46
2010-03-27 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1320 1365 34.0% 29.3% 36.8% +25.8 19
2010-03-27 @ Airdrie United L 0-3 1365 1320 36.8% 29.3% 34.0% -25.8 28
2010-03-27 Inverness CT L 0-1 1440 1576 23.0% 28.0% 48.9% -6.6 41
2010-03-27 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1576 1440 48.9% 28.0% 23.0% +6.6 52
2010-03-30 Ayr United W 1-0 1339 1428 28.1% 28.9% 42.9% +10.6 31
2010-03-30 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1428 1339 42.9% 28.9% 28.1% -10.6 28
2010-03-30 Dundee W 2-1 1478 1491 38.5% 29.2% 32.2% +8.1 49
2010-03-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1491 1478 32.2% 29.2% 38.5% -8.1 51
2010-03-30 Ross County W 3-0 1582 1457 56.1% 26.2% 17.7% +14.2 55
2010-03-30 @ Inverness CT L 0-3 1457 1582 17.7% 26.2% 56.1% -14.2 44
2010-04-03 Ayr United W 3-0 1483 1418 48.9% 28.0% 23.1% +18.1 54
2010-04-03 @ Dundee L 0-3 1418 1483 23.1% 28.0% 48.9% -18.1 28
2010-04-03 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1346 1433 28.3% 28.9% 42.7% +19.9 22
2010-04-03 @ Airdrie United L 0-2 1433 1346 42.7% 28.9% 28.3% -19.9 41
2010-04-03 Queen Of The South D 3-3 1350 1485 23.0% 28.0% 48.9% +0.8 32
2010-04-03 @ Greenock Morton D 3-3 1485 1350 48.9% 28.0% 23.0% -0.8 44
2010-04-03 Raith Rovers W 4-3 1597 1336 69.6% 20.3% 10.1% +2.5 58
2010-04-03 @ Inverness CT L 3-4 1336 1597 10.1% 20.3% 69.6% -2.5 31
2010-04-03 Ross County L 1-2 1486 1442 46.2% 28.5% 25.3% -10.6 49
2010-04-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1442 1486 25.3% 28.5% 46.2% +10.6 47
2010-04-06 Inverness CT L 0-2 1350 1599 14.2% 24.1% 61.7% -7.8 32
2010-04-06 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1599 1350 61.7% 24.1% 14.2% +7.8 61
2010-04-06 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1453 1484 35.9% 29.3% 34.8% -0.0 48
2010-04-06 @ Ross County D 1-1 1484 1453 34.8% 29.3% 35.9% +0.0 45
2010-04-07 Raith Rovers L 0-2 1400 1334 49.0% 28.0% 22.9% -22.2 28
2010-04-07 @ Ayr United W 2-0 1334 1400 22.9% 28.0% 49.0% +22.2 34
2010-04-10 Dundee L 0-1 1414 1501 28.4% 29.0% 42.6% -7.8 41
2010-04-10 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1501 1414 42.6% 29.0% 28.4% +7.8 57
2010-04-10 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1377 1475 27.1% 28.8% 44.1% -7.1 28
2010-04-10 @ Ayr United W 2-1 1475 1377 44.1% 28.8% 27.1% +7.1 52
2010-04-10 Inverness CT L 1-3 1484 1607 24.4% 28.3% 47.3% -11.3 45
2010-04-10 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1607 1484 47.3% 28.3% 24.4% +11.3 64
2010-04-12 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1365 1473 26.0% 28.6% 45.4% -7.3 22
2010-04-12 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1473 1365 45.4% 28.6% 26.0% +7.3 48
2010-04-13 Ross County D 1-1 1343 1453 25.7% 28.6% 45.7% +1.0 33
2010-04-13 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1453 1343 45.7% 28.6% 25.7% -1.0 49
2010-04-14 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1358 1356 40.6% 29.1% 30.2% +22.4 25
2010-04-14 @ Airdrie United L 0-3 1356 1358 30.2% 29.1% 40.6% -22.4 34
2010-04-17 Ayr United L 0-1 1406 1370 45.1% 28.7% 26.2% -11.0 41
2010-04-17 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1370 1406 26.2% 28.7% 45.1% +11.0 31
2010-04-17 Dundee D 2-2 1344 1509 20.3% 27.2% 52.5% +1.3 34
2010-04-17 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1509 1344 52.5% 27.2% 20.3% -1.3 58
2010-04-17 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1618 1482 57.2% 25.8% 17.0% +9.4 67
2010-04-17 @ Inverness CT L 0-2 1482 1618 17.0% 25.8% 57.2% -9.4 52
2010-04-17 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1480 1333 58.4% 25.4% 16.2% +13.0 51
2010-04-17 @ Queen Of The South L 0-3 1333 1480 16.2% 25.4% 58.4% -13.0 34
2010-04-17 Ross County D 1-1 1381 1452 30.4% 29.1% 40.4% +0.5 26
2010-04-17 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1452 1381 40.4% 29.1% 30.4% -0.5 50
2010-04-19 Raith Rovers D 0-0 1395 1320 50.1% 27.8% 22.1% -1.6 42
2010-04-19 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1320 1395 22.1% 27.8% 50.1% +1.6 35
2010-04-20 Ross County W 1-0 1493 1451 46.0% 28.5% 25.5% +7.2 54
2010-04-20 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1451 1493 25.5% 28.5% 46.0% -7.2 50
2010-04-21 Airdrie United L 1-4 1381 1381 40.4% 29.1% 30.5% -23.3 31
2010-04-21 @ Ayr United W 4-1 1381 1381 30.5% 29.1% 40.4% +23.3 29
2010-04-21 Dundee W 1-0 1322 1507 18.6% 26.6% 54.9% +12.9 38
2010-04-21 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1507 1322 54.9% 26.6% 18.6% -12.9 58
2010-04-24 Airdrie United D 2-2 1501 1404 52.7% 27.2% 20.1% -1.3 55
2010-04-24 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1404 1501 20.1% 27.2% 52.7% +1.3 30
2010-04-24 Greenock Morton W 4-1 1473 1345 56.4% 26.1% 17.5% +11.9 55
2010-04-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1345 1473 17.5% 26.1% 56.4% -11.9 34
2010-04-24 Inverness CT L 0-7 1358 1628 13.0% 23.2% 63.8% -22.9 31
2010-04-24 @ Ayr United W 7-0 1628 1358 63.8% 23.2% 13.0% +22.9 70
2010-04-24 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1444 1393 47.1% 28.4% 24.5% -10.7 50
2010-04-24 @ Ross County W 2-1 1393 1444 24.5% 28.4% 47.1% +10.8 45
2010-04-24 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1494 1335 59.8% 24.9% 15.4% +8.5 61
2010-04-24 @ Dundee L 0-2 1335 1494 15.4% 24.9% 59.8% -8.5 38
2010-04-26 Airdrie United L 0-1 1326 1406 29.4% 29.1% 41.6% -8.0 38
2010-04-26 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1406 1326 41.6% 29.1% 29.4% +8.0 33
2010-04-26 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1433 1333 53.2% 27.0% 19.8% +5.4 53
2010-04-26 @ Ross County L 1-2 1333 1433 19.8% 27.0% 53.2% -5.4 34
2010-04-28 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1318 1499 18.9% 26.7% 54.4% +2.1 39
2010-04-28 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1499 1318 54.4% 26.7% 18.9% -2.1 56
2010-04-28 Ross County L 0-1 1335 1439 26.5% 28.7% 44.8% -7.4 31
2010-04-28 @ Ayr United W 1-0 1439 1335 44.8% 28.7% 26.5% +7.4 56
2010-05-01 Ayr United W 2-1 1327 1328 40.3% 29.1% 30.6% +7.8 37
2010-05-01 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1328 1327 30.6% 29.1% 40.3% -7.8 31
2010-05-01 Dundee W 1-0 1650 1503 58.5% 25.4% 16.2% +4.7 73
2010-05-01 @ Inverness CT L 0-1 1503 1650 16.2% 25.4% 58.5% -4.7 61
2010-05-01 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1414 1485 30.4% 29.1% 40.4% -8.2 33
2010-05-01 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1485 1414 40.4% 29.1% 30.4% +8.2 58
2010-05-01 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1404 1497 27.7% 28.9% 43.5% +10.7 48
2010-05-01 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1497 1404 43.5% 28.9% 27.7% -10.7 56
2010-05-01 Ross County W 4-1 1320 1446 24.0% 28.3% 47.7% +26.6 42
2010-05-01 @ Raith Rovers L 1-4 1446 1320 47.7% 28.3% 24.0% -26.6 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-03-20 10.83% Airdrie United 1289 3 @ Dundee 1533 0
2 2010-01-03 14.26% @ Airdrie United 1301 1 Dundee 1549 0
3 2010-02-13 15.68% Greenock Morton 1362 2 @ Queen Of The South 1517 1
4 2009-10-03 16.82% Greenock Morton 1357 3 @ Queen Of The South 1495 2
5 2010-02-20 18.05% Ayr United 1359 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1481 0
6 2010-04-21 18.57% @ Raith Rovers 1322 1 Dundee 1507 0
7 2009-08-29 18.79% Raith Rovers 1364 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1477 0
8 2009-08-29 19.16% Ross County 1405 3 @ Inverness CT 1513 1
9 2009-08-22 20.38% Greenock Morton 1402 2 @ Ayr United 1495 0
10 2009-10-31 21.23% Raith Rovers 1408 2 @ Partick Thistle 1492 1
11 2010-01-30 21.30% Ross County 1458 1 @ Dundee 1541 0
12 2010-03-23 21.86% Partick Thistle 1429 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1506 1
13 2010-04-07 22.95% Raith Rovers 1334 2 @ Ayr United 1400 0
14 2009-08-22 23.11% Raith Rovers 1353 1 @ Ross County 1417 0
15 2010-03-09 23.29% @ Raith Rovers 1333 2 Ross County 1466 1
16 2009-12-01 23.56% Dunfermline Athletic 1462 2 @ Queen Of The South 1522 1
17 2010-01-16 23.75% @ Raith Rovers 1358 1 Partick Thistle 1486 0
18 2010-05-01 24.04% @ Raith Rovers 1320 4 Ross County 1446 1
19 2010-04-24 24.51% Partick Thistle 1393 2 @ Ross County 1444 1
20 2010-04-03 25.30% Ross County 1442 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1486 1
21 2009-09-26 26.15% Partick Thistle 1475 3 @ Inverness CT 1511 2
22 2010-04-17 26.22% Ayr United 1370 1 @ Partick Thistle 1406 0
23 2010-03-20 27.17% @ Ayr United 1400 3 Queen Of The South 1497 0
24 2009-10-17 27.24% @ Raith Rovers 1403 1 Queen Of The South 1500 0
25 2009-12-05 27.34% @ Ayr United 1377 1 Dunfermline Athletic 1473 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-11-14 46.67 @ Greenock Morton 5 1321 28.15% Raith Rovers 0 1410 42.91% 28.93%
2 2010-03-20 41.82 Airdrie United 3 1289 10.83% @ Dundee 0 1533 68.06% 21.11%
3 2009-08-29 36.48 @ Partick Thistle 5 1424 40.16% Greenock Morton 0 1425 30.68% 29.16%
4 2010-03-20 29.56 @ Ayr United 3 1400 27.17% Queen Of The South 0 1497 44.02% 28.81%
5 2010-05-01 26.57 @ Raith Rovers 4 1320 24.04% Ross County 1 1446 47.70% 28.27%
6 2010-03-27 25.82 @ Airdrie United 3 1320 33.95% Greenock Morton 0 1365 36.75% 29.30%
7 2009-10-24 24.87 Inverness CT 5 1491 39.79% @ Ayr United 1 1424 31.02% 29.18%
8 2010-01-23 24.41 Dunfermline Athletic 4 1456 28.23% @ Partick Thistle 1 1475 42.82% 28.94%
9 2009-08-29 24.21 Raith Rovers 2 1364 18.79% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1477 54.57% 26.65%
10 2009-08-22 23.41 Greenock Morton 2 1402 20.38% @ Ayr United 0 1495 52.36% 27.26%
11 2010-04-21 23.33 Airdrie United 4 1381 30.49% @ Ayr United 1 1381 40.36% 29.15%
12 2010-04-24 22.90 Inverness CT 7 1628 63.81% @ Ayr United 0 1358 13.02% 23.17%
13 2010-04-14 22.40 @ Airdrie United 3 1358 40.65% Raith Rovers 0 1356 30.22% 29.13%
14 2010-04-07 22.19 Raith Rovers 2 1334 22.95% @ Ayr United 0 1400 49.04% 28.01%
15 2009-09-19 21.13 @ Raith Rovers 3 1389 43.10% Greenock Morton 0 1369 27.99% 28.91%
16 2009-08-29 20.80 Ross County 3 1405 19.16% @ Inverness CT 1 1513 54.03% 26.80%
17 2009-09-26 20.61 Queen Of The South 4 1474 36.65% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1430 34.05% 29.30%
18 2010-02-13 20.61 Inverness CT 4 1530 53.20% @ Raith Rovers 0 1359 19.76% 27.04%
19 2009-09-12 20.25 Inverness CT 3 1492 44.77% @ Greenock Morton 0 1389 26.52% 28.72%
20 2010-04-03 19.89 @ Airdrie United 2 1346 28.32% Partick Thistle 0 1433 42.73% 28.95%
21 2010-04-03 18.07 @ Dundee 3 1483 48.90% Ayr United 0 1418 23.06% 28.04%
22 2009-08-15 17.67 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1447 34.24% @ Greenock Morton 0 1420 36.46% 29.30%
23 2009-12-05 17.50 Dundee 2 1517 34.75% @ Partick Thistle 0 1486 35.94% 29.31%
24 2009-10-10 17.26 Queen Of The South 3 1483 28.22% @ Inverness CT 1 1501 42.84% 28.94%
25 2010-03-27 16.85 @ Queen Of The South 2 1468 36.61% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1495 34.09% 29.30%