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2008-09 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Johnstone

4.88 points above expected

65 points · 60.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundee

7.85 points below expected

50 points · 57.85 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 36 17 14 5 65 55 35 +20 60.12 +4.88
2 Partick Thistle 36 16 7 13 55 39 38 +1 50.18 +4.82
3 Dunfermline Athletic 36 14 9 13 51 52 44 +8 53.47 -2.47
4 Dundee 36 13 11 12 50 33 32 +1 57.85 -7.85
5 Queen Of The South 36 12 11 13 47 57 50 +7 51.53 -4.53
6 Greenock Morton 36 12 11 13 47 40 40 0 45.10 +1.90
7 Livingston 36 13 8 15 47 56 58 -2 47.43 -0.43
8 Ross County 36 13 8 15 47 42 46 -4 42.46 +4.54
9 Airdrie United 36 10 12 14 42 29 43 -14 42.30 -0.30
10 Clyde 36 10 9 17 39 41 58 -17 41.99 -2.99

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
St. Johnstone 1600 65 60.12 +4.88 75.6% 30 47 55 60 65 73 91
Dundee 1540 50 57.85 -7.85 17.6% 30 45 53 58 63 71 88
Dunfermline Athletic 1526 51 53.47 -2.47 39.9% 25 41 48 53 59 66 81
Queen Of The South 1507 47 51.53 -4.53 30.3% 25 39 46 52 57 64 81
Partick Thistle 1490 55 50.18 +4.82 75.6% 23 38 45 50 55 63 82
Greenock Morton 1483 47 45.10 +1.90 62.8% 19 33 40 45 50 58 71
Livingston 1473 47 47.43 -0.43 50.5% 18 35 42 47 53 60 75
Ross County 1456 47 42.46 +4.54 74.4% 17 30 37 42 48 55 70
Airdrie United 1431 42 42.30 -0.30 51.4% 17 30 37 42 47 55 70
Clyde 1429 39 41.99 -2.99 37.4% 18 30 37 42 47 55 71

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU CLY DUN DA GM LIV PT QOTS RC SJ
Airdrie United —
1-0-3
5.54
2-2-0
3.98
0-3-1
4.37
2-1-1
5.10
1-3-0
4.99
1-0-3
4.67
2-1-1
4.45
1-1-2
5.53
0-1-3
3.71
Clyde
3-0-1
5.38
 —
2-0-2
3.90
0-2-2
4.29
0-1-3
5.25
1-1-2
4.78
1-1-2
4.70
1-1-2
4.45
1-2-1
5.35
1-1-2
3.79
Dundee
0-2-2
6.99
2-0-2
7.09
 —
2-2-0
5.85
1-1-2
6.88
3-0-1
6.44
1-3-0
6.04
2-0-2
6.22
2-1-1
7.16
0-2-2
5.25
Dunfermline Athletic
1-3-0
6.59
2-2-0
6.67
0-2-2
5.07
 —
1-1-2
6.42
2-0-2
6.14
2-0-2
5.75
3-0-1
5.71
2-0-2
6.51
1-1-2
4.60
Greenock Morton
1-1-2
5.82
3-1-0
5.66
2-1-1
4.10
2-1-1
4.52
 —
1-1-2
5.26
1-0-3
5.08
1-3-0
4.67
1-1-2
5.88
0-2-2
4.06
Livingston
0-3-1
5.93
2-1-1
6.15
1-0-3
4.52
2-0-2
4.79
2-1-1
5.66
 —
1-0-3
5.16
1-2-1
5.14
3-1-0
5.83
1-0-3
4.26
Partick Thistle
3-0-1
6.27
2-1-1
6.23
0-3-1
4.88
2-0-2
5.16
3-0-1
5.85
3-0-1
5.76
 —
1-1-2
5.33
1-0-3
6.28
1-2-1
4.45
Queen Of The South
1-1-2
6.48
2-1-1
6.51
2-0-2
4.71
1-0-3
5.22
0-3-1
6.28
1-2-1
5.77
2-1-1
5.59
 —
2-0-2
6.38
1-3-0
4.62
Ross County
2-1-1
5.39
1-2-1
5.57
1-1-2
3.84
2-0-2
4.44
2-1-1
5.04
0-1-3
5.09
3-0-1
4.66
2-0-2
4.57
 —
0-2-2
3.89
St. Johnstone
3-1-0
7.30
2-1-1
7.20
2-2-0
5.66
2-1-1
6.35
2-2-0
6.92
3-0-1
6.70
1-2-1
6.49
0-3-1
6.33
2-2-0
7.10
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.15 +2.8
Allowed 0.40 -5.1
Differential 0.79 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.56%8.61%2.22%1.11%0.28%32.78%
110.56%10.00%6.39%2.50%1.11%0.56%31.11%
28.61%6.39%5.56%1.39%1.39%—23.33%
32.22%2.50%1.39%1.11%——7.22%
41.11%1.11%1.39%—1.11%—4.72%
5+0.28%0.56%————0.83%
Total32.78%31.11%23.33%7.22%4.72%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.68
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%—47.22%
116.67%13.89%2.78%5.56%——38.89%
25.56%2.78%————8.33%
3———————
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total41.67%25.00%13.89%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.19 -0.39
SD 1.12 1.33 1.79
CV 1.39 1.11 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
18.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%36.11%
211.11%2.78%5.56%—5.56%—25.00%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4————2.78%—2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%25.00%5.56%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.61 -0.47
SD 1.02 1.55 1.78
CV 0.89 0.96 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%11.11%2.78%——41.67%
116.67%13.89%2.78%2.78%——36.11%
25.56%8.33%—2.78%——16.67%
3———————
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total41.67%36.11%13.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 0.89 +0.03
SD 1.05 0.95 1.48
CV 1.15 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%———25.00%
15.56%13.89%13.89%2.78%——36.11%
22.78%8.33%——2.78%—13.89%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
4—2.78%——2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%47.22%22.22%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.22 +0.22
SD 1.23 1.02 1.42
CV 0.85 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
15.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
216.67%5.56%8.33%———30.56%
3———————
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%36.11%22.22%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.09 1.12 1.62
CV 0.98 1.00 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%5.56%———22.22%
18.33%5.56%11.11%—2.78%2.78%30.56%
25.56%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%5.56%—2.78%—11.11%
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%30.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.61 -0.06
SD 1.25 1.36 1.69
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%11.11%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
119.44%8.33%—2.78%——30.56%
28.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
3———————
42.78%—5.56%———8.33%
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%19.44%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.06 +0.03
SD 1.18 1.09 1.66
CV 1.09 1.04 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%16.67%2.78%——33.33%
12.78%5.56%8.33%—2.78%—19.44%
213.89%—11.11%———25.00%
3—2.78%5.56%5.56%——13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total27.78%19.44%41.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.39 +0.19
SD 1.68 1.08 2.07
CV 1.06 0.78 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%13.89%———27.78%
18.33%5.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
211.11%11.11%8.33%—2.78%—33.33%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%22.22%33.33%5.56%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.28 -0.11
SD 0.91 1.16 1.58
CV 0.78 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%2.78%—2.78%2.78%—25.00%
113.89%8.33%————22.22%
25.56%8.33%11.11%5.56%——30.56%
35.56%11.11%—2.78%——19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total44.44%30.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.97 +0.56
SD 1.16 1.13 1.54
CV 0.76 1.17 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Johnstone 65 60.12 +4.88
2 Partick Thistle 55 50.18 +4.82
3 Ross County 47 42.46 +4.54
4 Greenock Morton 47 45.10 +1.90
5 Airdrie United 42 42.30 -0.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee 50 57.85 -7.85
2 Queen Of The South 47 51.53 -4.53
3 Clyde 39 41.99 -2.99
4 Dunfermline Athletic 51 53.47 -2.47
5 Livingston 47 47.43 -0.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 6 Sep 27 – Nov 8 1 in 143
2 Livingston 4 Aug 9 – Aug 30 1 in 61
3 Greenock Morton 3 Nov 8 – Nov 25 1 in 49
4 Clyde 3 Nov 22 – Dec 16 1 in 36
5 Ross County 3 Sep 27 – Oct 18 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 4 Nov 1 – Nov 22 1 in 143
2 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Feb 21 – Mar 14 1 in 110
3 Greenock Morton 4 Apr 18 – May 9 1 in 54
4 St. Johnstone 3 Aug 16 – Aug 30 1 in 53
5 Airdrie United 4 Nov 22 – Dec 16 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 22 Sep 13 – Mar 10 1 in 1,448
2 Greenock Morton 8 Feb 28 – Apr 11 1 in 37
3 Airdrie United 5 Dec 20 – Jan 24 1 in 24
4 Clyde 5 Nov 15 – Dec 20 1 in 23
5 Queen Of The South 7 Aug 17 – Oct 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 11 Nov 1 – Jan 24 1 in 188
2 Dundee 8 Aug 30 – Nov 1 1 in 150
3 Greenock Morton 9 Aug 2 – Oct 4 1 in 25
4 Airdrie United 8 Nov 1 – Dec 20 1 in 20
5 St. Johnstone 4 Aug 9 – Aug 30 1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
St. Johnstone40.74%23.01%14.05%9.11%5.27%3.57%2.24%1.19%0.56%0.26%
Partick Thistle5.72%9.69%13.09%14.13%14.15%12.58%10.51%9.23%7.12%3.78%
Dunfermline Athletic12.54%16.12%17.18%14.21%12.87%9.59%7.58%4.90%3.09%1.92%
Dundee26.19%22.86%16.99%12.30%8.51%5.79%3.58%2.18%1.28%0.32%
Queen Of The South8.12%12.95%14.00%15.05%13.65%12.01%9.06%7.24%5.11%2.81%
Greenock Morton1.72%3.68%6.14%8.35%10.97%12.71%14.65%14.81%14.26%12.71%
Livingston2.91%6.31%8.93%11.09%12.73%13.24%13.74%12.29%10.49%8.27%
Ross County0.81%1.87%3.39%5.99%7.40%11.24%12.90%15.95%19.03%21.42%
Airdrie United0.70%1.77%3.32%5.20%7.39%9.96%12.95%15.94%18.94%23.83%
Clyde0.55%1.74%2.91%4.57%7.06%9.31%12.79%16.27%20.12%24.68%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.89%
Slight Edge
40.56%27.78%31.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 30.96 Elo pts.
280 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
41%
St. Johnstone, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.28/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.15 * Some Luck: 6.15 to 9.22 * Lucky: 9.22 to 12.29 * Wild Swing: 12.29 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.03 * Way Off: 3.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.10 points
As Expected
07.6819
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.894
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
75.64%
St. Johnstone
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
17.63%
Dundee
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.07
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.80
Coin-Flip Parity
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
73%
Clear Edge
50%73%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Coin-Flip
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.21
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.28
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
As Expected
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Shaky Favorites
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.52
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.41
Overconfident
0.2290051.001.77099
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1200.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
St. Johnstone 40.74% 58.44% 0.56% 0.26%
Dundee 26.19% 72.21% 1.28% 0.32%
Dunfermline Athletic 12.54% 82.45% 3.09% 1.92%
Queen Of The South 8.12% 83.96% 5.11% 2.81%
Partick Thistle 5.72% 83.38% 7.12% 3.78%
Livingston 2.91% 78.33% 10.49% 8.27%
Greenock Morton 1.72% 71.31% 14.26% 12.71%
Ross County 0.81% 58.74% 19.03% 21.42%
Airdrie United 0.70% 56.53% 18.94% 23.83%
Clyde 0.55% 54.65% 20.12% 24.68%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2008-08-02 Airdrie United D 0-0 1508 1462 47.8% 26.2% 26.1% -0.6 1
2008-08-02 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1462 1508 26.1% 26.2% 47.8% +0.7 1
2008-08-02 Dundee L 1-2 1440 1574 24.4% 25.6% 50.0% -3.3 0
2008-08-02 @ Ross County W 2-1 1574 1440 50.0% 25.6% 24.4% +3.3 3
2008-08-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1489 1506 38.9% 27.4% 33.7% +4.6 3
2008-08-02 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1506 1489 33.7% 27.4% 38.9% -4.6 0
2008-08-02 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1459 1468 40.1% 27.3% 32.6% -0.2 1
2008-08-02 @ Clyde D 1-1 1468 1459 32.6% 27.3% 40.1% +0.2 1
2008-08-02 Livingston W 2-0 1560 1468 53.8% 24.4% 21.8% +6.0 3
2008-08-02 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1468 1560 21.8% 24.4% 53.8% -6.0 0
2008-08-09 Clyde W 1-0 1578 1459 57.1% 23.2% 19.6% +2.9 6
2008-08-09 @ Dundee L 0-1 1459 1578 19.6% 23.2% 57.1% -2.9 1
2008-08-09 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1463 1493 36.9% 27.4% 35.6% -5.0 1
2008-08-09 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1493 1463 35.6% 27.4% 36.9% +5.0 6
2008-08-09 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1501 1508 40.4% 27.3% 32.4% +4.2 3
2008-08-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1508 1501 32.4% 27.3% 40.4% -4.2 1
2008-08-09 Ross County W 2-0 1462 1437 44.7% 26.7% 28.5% +7.7 3
2008-08-09 @ Livingston L 0-2 1437 1462 28.5% 26.7% 44.7% -7.7 0
2008-08-09 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1468 1566 28.2% 26.7% 45.2% +0.3 2
2008-08-09 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1566 1468 45.2% 26.7% 28.2% -0.3 4
2008-08-16 Dundee D 0-0 1458 1580 25.5% 26.0% 48.6% +0.7 2
2008-08-16 @ Airdrie United D 0-0 1580 1458 48.6% 26.0% 25.5% -0.7 7
2008-08-16 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1565 1505 49.6% 25.7% 24.7% -17.0 4
2008-08-16 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1505 1565 24.7% 25.7% 49.6% +17.0 6
2008-08-16 Livingston L 1-2 1468 1469 41.2% 27.2% 31.6% -5.1 2
2008-08-16 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1469 1468 31.6% 27.2% 41.2% +5.1 6
2008-08-16 Ross County D 2-2 1456 1429 45.1% 26.7% 28.2% -0.3 2
2008-08-16 @ Clyde D 2-2 1429 1456 28.2% 26.7% 45.1% +0.3 1
2008-08-17 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1503 1498 42.0% 27.1% 30.9% +8.2 4
2008-08-17 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1498 1503 30.9% 27.1% 42.0% -8.2 6
2008-08-23 Airdrie United D 0-0 1522 1458 50.1% 25.6% 24.3% -0.8 7
2008-08-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1458 1522 24.3% 25.6% 50.1% +0.8 3
2008-08-23 Clyde W 2-1 1474 1456 43.9% 26.9% 29.2% +3.9 9
2008-08-23 @ Livingston L 1-2 1456 1474 29.2% 26.9% 43.9% -3.9 2
2008-08-23 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1580 1463 56.9% 23.3% 19.8% +2.9 10
2008-08-23 @ Dundee L 0-1 1463 1580 19.8% 23.3% 56.9% -2.9 2
2008-08-23 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1490 1548 33.1% 27.3% 39.6% +18.7 9
2008-08-23 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1548 1490 39.6% 27.3% 33.1% -18.7 4
2008-08-30 Clyde L 2-3 1530 1452 51.9% 25.1% 23.0% -5.8 4
2008-08-30 @ St. Johnstone W 3-2 1452 1530 23.0% 25.1% 51.9% +5.8 5
2008-08-30 Dundee W 3-1 1512 1583 31.4% 27.2% 41.4% +8.8 7
2008-08-30 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1583 1512 41.4% 27.2% 31.4% -8.8 10
2008-08-30 Greenock Morton W 5-0 1459 1460 41.2% 27.2% 31.6% +19.5 6
2008-08-30 @ Airdrie United L 0-5 1460 1459 31.6% 27.2% 41.2% -19.5 2
2008-08-30 Livingston L 1-2 1521 1478 47.3% 26.2% 26.4% -5.7 7
2008-08-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1478 1521 26.4% 26.2% 47.3% +5.6 12
2008-08-30 Ross County L 0-1 1509 1430 52.1% 25.0% 22.9% -6.5 9
2008-08-30 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1430 1509 22.9% 25.0% 52.1% +6.5 4
2008-09-03 Ross County W 1-0 1520 1436 52.8% 24.8% 22.4% +3.3 10
2008-09-03 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1436 1520 22.4% 24.8% 52.8% -3.3 4
2008-09-13 Airdrie United L 1-2 1484 1479 42.0% 27.1% 30.8% -5.2 12
2008-09-13 @ Livingston W 2-1 1479 1484 30.8% 27.1% 42.0% +5.2 9
2008-09-13 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1574 1516 49.3% 25.8% 24.9% -0.7 11
2008-09-13 @ Dundee D 0-0 1516 1574 24.9% 25.8% 49.3% +0.7 8
2008-09-13 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1458 1502 35.0% 27.4% 37.6% +0.1 6
2008-09-13 @ Clyde D 1-1 1502 1458 37.6% 27.4% 35.0% -0.1 10
2008-09-13 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1441 1524 29.9% 27.0% 43.1% +0.4 3
2008-09-13 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1524 1441 43.1% 27.0% 29.9% -0.4 11
2008-09-13 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1433 1524 29.0% 26.8% 44.2% -3.9 4
2008-09-13 @ Ross County W 2-1 1524 1433 44.2% 26.8% 29.0% +3.9 7
2008-09-20 Clyde L 0-2 1484 1458 44.9% 26.7% 28.3% -10.9 9
2008-09-20 @ Airdrie United W 2-0 1458 1484 28.3% 26.7% 44.9% +10.9 9
2008-09-20 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1502 1441 49.8% 25.7% 24.6% +3.4 13
2008-09-20 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1441 1502 24.6% 25.7% 49.8% -3.4 3
2008-09-20 Livingston L 0-3 1573 1479 54.1% 24.3% 21.6% -18.2 11
2008-09-20 @ Dundee W 3-0 1479 1573 21.6% 24.3% 54.1% +18.2 15
2008-09-20 Ross County W 3-1 1517 1429 53.2% 24.6% 22.1% +5.3 11
2008-09-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1429 1517 22.1% 24.6% 53.2% -5.3 4
2008-09-20 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1523 1528 40.7% 27.3% 32.1% -0.2 12
2008-09-20 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1528 1523 32.1% 27.3% 40.7% +0.2 8
2008-09-27 Airdrie United W 2-0 1424 1473 34.3% 27.4% 38.3% +9.6 7
2008-09-27 @ Ross County L 0-2 1473 1424 38.3% 27.4% 34.3% -9.6 9
2008-09-27 Dundee W 2-0 1528 1555 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% +9.0 11
2008-09-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1555 1528 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% -9.0 11
2008-09-27 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1438 1522 29.8% 27.0% 43.2% +0.4 4
2008-09-27 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1522 1438 43.2% 27.0% 29.8% -0.3 12
2008-09-27 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1497 1506 40.1% 27.3% 32.6% +7.4 18
2008-09-27 @ Livingston L 1-3 1506 1497 32.6% 27.3% 40.1% -7.4 13
2008-09-27 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1469 1523 33.6% 27.4% 39.0% -8.7 9
2008-09-27 @ Clyde W 2-0 1523 1469 39.0% 27.4% 33.6% +8.7 15
2008-10-04 Airdrie United W 3-1 1537 1463 51.4% 25.2% 23.4% +5.6 14
2008-10-04 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1463 1537 23.4% 25.2% 51.4% -5.6 9
2008-10-04 Dundee D 0-0 1498 1546 34.5% 27.4% 38.0% +0.1 14
2008-10-04 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1546 1498 38.0% 27.4% 34.5% -0.1 12
2008-10-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1460 1521 32.7% 27.3% 40.0% -8.5 9
2008-10-04 @ Clyde W 2-0 1521 1460 40.0% 27.3% 32.7% +8.5 15
2008-10-04 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1433 1438 40.6% 27.3% 32.1% +12.3 10
2008-10-04 @ Ross County L 0-3 1438 1433 32.1% 27.3% 40.6% -12.3 4
2008-10-04 Livingston W 6-1 1532 1504 45.2% 26.7% 28.2% +14.7 18
2008-10-04 @ Queen Of The South L 1-6 1504 1532 28.2% 26.7% 45.2% -14.7 18
2008-10-18 Clyde W 1-0 1426 1452 37.6% 27.4% 34.9% +4.8 7
2008-10-18 @ Greenock Morton L 0-1 1452 1426 34.9% 27.4% 37.6% -4.8 9
2008-10-18 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1530 1498 45.7% 26.6% 27.7% +4.0 18
2008-10-18 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1498 1530 27.7% 26.6% 45.7% -4.0 14
2008-10-18 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1458 1547 29.2% 26.9% 43.9% +10.7 12
2008-10-18 @ Airdrie United L 0-2 1547 1458 43.9% 26.9% 29.2% -10.7 18
2008-10-18 Ross County L 1-2 1546 1446 54.8% 24.1% 21.1% -6.3 12
2008-10-18 @ Dundee W 2-1 1446 1546 21.1% 24.1% 54.8% +6.3 13
2008-10-18 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1490 1542 33.8% 27.4% 38.8% -4.6 18
2008-10-18 @ Livingston W 1-0 1542 1490 38.8% 27.4% 33.8% +4.7 17
2008-10-25 Dundee W 2-0 1431 1539 27.0% 26.4% 46.7% +11.2 10
2008-10-25 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1539 1431 46.7% 26.4% 27.0% -11.2 12
2008-10-25 Livingston W 2-1 1447 1485 35.8% 27.4% 36.7% +4.7 12
2008-10-25 @ Clyde L 1-2 1485 1447 36.7% 27.4% 35.8% -4.7 18
2008-10-25 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1547 1494 48.6% 25.9% 25.4% +10.1 20
2008-10-25 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1494 1547 25.4% 25.9% 48.6% -10.1 14
2008-10-25 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1452 1536 29.8% 27.0% 43.2% -8.0 13
2008-10-25 @ Ross County W 2-0 1536 1452 43.2% 27.0% 29.8% +8.0 21
2008-11-01 Airdrie United D 1-1 1528 1468 49.6% 25.7% 24.7% -0.7 13
2008-11-01 @ Dundee D 1-1 1468 1528 24.7% 25.7% 49.6% +0.7 13
2008-11-01 Clyde W 3-0 1444 1451 40.3% 27.3% 32.5% +12.4 16
2008-11-01 @ Ross County L 0-3 1451 1444 32.5% 27.3% 40.3% -12.4 12
2008-11-01 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1480 1442 46.7% 26.4% 26.9% +3.9 21
2008-11-01 @ Livingston L 0-1 1442 1480 26.9% 26.4% 46.7% -3.9 10
2008-11-01 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1484 1544 32.9% 27.3% 39.8% +9.9 17
2008-11-01 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1544 1484 39.8% 27.3% 32.9% -9.9 21
2008-11-01 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1534 1557 38.0% 27.4% 34.6% -4.8 18
2008-11-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1557 1534 34.6% 27.4% 38.0% +4.8 23
2008-11-04 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1469 1529 32.8% 27.3% 39.9% -7.4 13
2008-11-04 @ Airdrie United W 3-1 1529 1469 39.9% 27.3% 32.8% +7.4 21
2008-11-08 Clyde W 2-0 1494 1439 48.9% 25.9% 25.2% +6.9 20
2008-11-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1439 1494 25.2% 25.9% 48.9% -6.9 12
2008-11-08 Dundee L 0-1 1537 1527 42.6% 27.1% 30.3% -5.5 21
2008-11-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1527 1537 30.3% 27.1% 42.6% +5.5 16
2008-11-08 Greenock Morton L 1-4 1534 1438 54.3% 24.3% 21.4% -15.4 21
2008-11-08 @ Queen Of The South W 4-1 1438 1534 21.4% 24.3% 54.3% +15.4 13
2008-11-08 Livingston D 0-0 1462 1484 38.1% 27.4% 34.5% -0.1 14
2008-11-08 @ Airdrie United D 0-0 1484 1462 34.5% 27.4% 38.1% +0.1 22
2008-11-08 Ross County W 2-1 1562 1456 55.5% 23.8% 20.6% +2.8 26
2008-11-08 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1456 1562 20.6% 23.8% 55.5% -2.9 16
2008-11-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1484 1531 34.6% 27.4% 38.0% -4.2 22
2008-11-15 @ Livingston W 3-2 1531 1484 38.0% 27.4% 34.6% +4.2 24
2008-11-15 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1533 1519 43.3% 27.0% 29.7% +7.9 19
2008-11-15 @ Dundee L 0-2 1519 1533 29.7% 27.0% 43.3% -7.9 21
2008-11-15 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1432 1565 24.5% 25.6% 49.9% +0.5 13
2008-11-15 @ Clyde D 2-2 1565 1432 49.9% 25.6% 24.5% -0.5 27
2008-11-22 Clyde L 0-2 1511 1433 52.0% 25.0% 23.0% -12.2 21
2008-11-22 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1433 1511 23.0% 25.0% 52.0% +12.2 16
2008-11-22 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1535 1453 52.5% 24.9% 22.6% -6.5 24
2008-11-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1453 1535 22.6% 24.9% 52.5% +6.5 16
2008-11-22 Livingston W 2-1 1501 1480 44.3% 26.8% 28.9% +3.9 23
2008-11-22 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1480 1501 28.9% 26.8% 44.3% -3.9 22
2008-11-22 Ross County L 0-2 1462 1454 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% -10.4 14
2008-11-22 @ Airdrie United W 2-0 1454 1462 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% +10.4 19
2008-11-25 Airdrie United W 2-0 1460 1451 42.5% 27.1% 30.4% +8.1 19
2008-11-25 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1451 1460 30.4% 27.1% 42.5% -8.1 14
2008-11-25 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1464 1505 35.4% 27.4% 37.1% +5.0 22
2008-11-25 @ Ross County L 0-1 1505 1464 37.1% 27.4% 35.4% -5.0 23
2008-11-29 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1541 1564 38.0% 27.4% 34.6% -0.1 20
2008-11-29 @ Dundee D 1-1 1564 1541 34.6% 27.4% 38.0% +0.1 28
2008-12-06 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1564 1498 50.4% 25.5% 24.1% -0.8 29
2008-12-06 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1498 1564 24.1% 25.5% 50.4% +0.8 22
2008-12-13 Airdrie United W 2-1 1500 1443 49.2% 25.8% 25.0% +3.4 26
2008-12-13 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1443 1500 25.0% 25.8% 49.2% -3.4 14
2008-12-13 Dundee W 1-0 1445 1541 28.4% 26.7% 44.9% +5.8 19
2008-12-13 @ Clyde L 0-1 1541 1445 44.9% 26.7% 28.4% -5.8 20
2008-12-13 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1499 1529 37.1% 27.4% 35.5% -4.7 22
2008-12-13 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1529 1499 35.5% 27.4% 37.1% +4.7 27
2008-12-13 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1564 1468 54.3% 24.3% 21.4% +3.1 32
2008-12-13 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1468 1564 21.4% 24.3% 54.3% -3.1 19
2008-12-13 Livingston L 1-4 1469 1476 40.3% 27.3% 32.4% -12.2 22
2008-12-13 @ Ross County W 4-1 1476 1469 32.4% 27.3% 40.3% +12.2 25
2008-12-16 Airdrie United W 1-0 1451 1440 42.9% 27.0% 30.1% +4.3 22
2008-12-16 @ Clyde L 0-1 1440 1451 30.1% 27.0% 42.9% -4.3 14
2008-12-20 Clyde D 4-4 1534 1455 52.1% 25.0% 22.9% -0.4 28
2008-12-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 4-4 1455 1534 22.9% 25.0% 52.1% +0.4 23
2008-12-20 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1535 1503 45.7% 26.6% 27.7% -0.5 21
2008-12-20 @ Dundee D 0-0 1503 1535 27.7% 26.6% 45.7% +0.5 27
2008-12-20 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1488 1495 40.4% 27.3% 32.3% +8.5 28
2008-12-20 @ Livingston L 0-2 1495 1488 32.3% 27.3% 40.4% -8.5 22
2008-12-20 Ross County W 2-1 1465 1457 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% +4.0 22
2008-12-20 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1457 1465 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% -4.0 22
2008-12-20 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1435 1567 24.6% 25.7% 49.7% +0.7 15
2008-12-20 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1567 1435 49.7% 25.7% 24.6% -0.7 33
2008-12-27 Clyde W 1-0 1566 1455 56.2% 23.6% 20.2% +3.0 36
2008-12-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1455 1566 20.2% 23.6% 56.2% -3.0 23
2008-12-27 Dundee L 0-1 1486 1535 34.4% 27.4% 38.2% -4.7 22
2008-12-27 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1535 1486 38.2% 27.4% 34.4% +4.7 24
2008-12-27 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1436 1469 36.6% 27.4% 35.9% +4.9 18
2008-12-27 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1469 1436 35.9% 27.4% 36.6% -4.9 22
2008-12-27 Ross County L 0-2 1504 1453 48.4% 26.0% 25.6% -11.5 27
2008-12-27 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1453 1504 25.6% 26.0% 48.4% +11.5 25
2008-12-30 Livingston W 1-0 1533 1497 46.4% 26.4% 27.2% +3.9 31
2008-12-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1497 1533 27.2% 26.4% 46.4% -3.9 28
2008-12-30 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1464 1492 37.2% 27.4% 35.3% +9.1 25
2008-12-30 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1492 1464 35.3% 27.4% 37.2% -9.1 27
2009-01-03 Airdrie United D 1-1 1493 1441 48.5% 26.0% 25.5% -0.6 29
2009-01-03 @ Livingston D 1-1 1441 1493 25.5% 26.0% 48.5% +0.6 19
2009-01-03 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1539 1537 41.6% 27.2% 31.2% +4.4 27
2009-01-03 @ Dundee L 0-1 1537 1539 31.2% 27.2% 41.6% -4.4 31
2009-01-03 Partick Thistle L 2-4 1452 1483 36.9% 27.4% 35.7% -7.2 23
2009-01-03 @ Clyde W 4-2 1483 1452 35.7% 27.4% 36.9% +7.2 30
2009-01-03 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1473 1481 40.1% 27.3% 32.6% -0.2 26
2009-01-03 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1481 1473 32.6% 27.3% 40.1% +0.1 23
2009-01-17 Airdrie United D 1-1 1533 1442 53.7% 24.5% 21.8% -0.9 32
2009-01-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1442 1533 21.8% 24.5% 53.7% +0.9 20
2009-01-17 Clyde D 1-1 1492 1445 47.9% 26.1% 26.0% -0.6 30
2009-01-17 @ Livingston D 1-1 1445 1492 26.0% 26.1% 47.9% +0.6 24
2009-01-17 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1544 1473 51.0% 25.3% 23.7% -0.8 28
2009-01-17 @ Dundee D 0-0 1473 1544 23.7% 25.3% 51.0% +0.8 27
2009-01-17 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1464 1482 38.8% 27.4% 33.8% +4.7 28
2009-01-17 @ Ross County L 0-1 1482 1464 33.8% 27.4% 38.8% -4.6 23
2009-01-17 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1491 1569 30.5% 27.1% 42.4% +0.3 31
2009-01-17 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1569 1491 42.4% 27.1% 30.5% -0.3 37
2009-01-24 Dundee W 1-0 1442 1543 27.9% 26.6% 45.5% +5.8 23
2009-01-24 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1543 1442 45.5% 26.6% 27.9% -5.8 28
2009-01-24 Livingston D 2-2 1474 1492 38.7% 27.4% 33.9% -0.1 28
2009-01-24 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1492 1474 33.9% 27.4% 38.7% +0.1 31
2009-01-24 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1477 1491 39.3% 27.4% 33.3% -0.1 24
2009-01-24 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1491 1477 33.3% 27.4% 39.3% +0.1 32
2009-01-24 Ross County W 2-0 1446 1469 38.0% 27.4% 34.6% +8.9 27
2009-01-24 @ Clyde L 0-2 1469 1446 34.6% 27.4% 38.0% -8.9 28
2009-01-31 Clyde W 2-1 1537 1455 52.6% 24.9% 22.6% +3.1 31
2009-01-31 @ Dundee L 1-2 1455 1537 22.6% 24.9% 52.6% -3.1 27
2009-01-31 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1448 1491 35.2% 27.4% 37.4% -4.8 23
2009-01-31 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1491 1448 37.4% 27.4% 35.2% +4.8 35
2009-01-31 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1532 1477 48.9% 25.9% 25.2% -11.6 32
2009-01-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1477 1532 25.2% 25.9% 48.9% +11.6 27
2009-01-31 Ross County W 4-2 1492 1460 45.8% 26.6% 27.7% +5.8 34
2009-01-31 @ Livingston L 2-4 1460 1492 27.7% 26.6% 45.8% -5.8 28
2009-01-31 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1474 1569 28.5% 26.7% 44.8% +0.5 29
2009-01-31 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1569 1474 44.8% 26.7% 28.5% -0.5 38
2009-02-07 Dundee L 1-2 1498 1540 35.2% 27.4% 37.3% -4.5 34
2009-02-07 @ Livingston W 2-1 1540 1498 37.3% 27.4% 35.2% +4.5 34
2009-02-07 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1454 1568 26.4% 26.2% 47.4% +0.4 29
2009-02-07 @ Ross County D 2-2 1568 1454 47.4% 26.2% 26.4% -0.4 39
2009-02-14 Airdrie United W 4-0 1488 1443 47.5% 26.2% 26.2% +13.6 30
2009-02-14 @ Queen Of The South L 0-4 1443 1488 26.2% 26.2% 47.5% -13.6 23
2009-02-14 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1496 1520 37.9% 27.4% 34.7% -4.5 35
2009-02-14 @ Partick Thistle W 3-2 1520 1496 34.7% 27.4% 37.9% +4.5 35
2009-02-14 Livingston W 1-0 1568 1493 51.5% 25.2% 23.3% +3.4 42
2009-02-14 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1493 1568 23.3% 25.2% 51.5% -3.4 34
2009-02-21 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1491 1474 43.7% 26.9% 29.4% +4.2 38
2009-02-21 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1474 1491 29.4% 26.9% 43.7% -4.2 29
2009-02-21 Livingston W 4-1 1545 1490 48.9% 25.9% 25.2% +8.5 37
2009-02-21 @ Dundee L 1-4 1490 1545 25.2% 25.9% 48.9% -8.5 34
2009-02-21 Ross County L 1-2 1525 1454 50.9% 25.3% 23.7% -6.0 35
2009-02-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1454 1525 23.7% 25.3% 50.9% +6.0 32
2009-02-21 St. Johnstone D 3-3 1502 1571 31.6% 27.2% 41.2% +0.2 31
2009-02-21 @ Queen Of The South D 3-3 1571 1502 41.2% 27.2% 31.6% -0.2 43
2009-02-22 Clyde W 1-0 1430 1451 38.2% 27.4% 34.4% +4.7 26
2009-02-22 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1451 1430 34.4% 27.4% 38.2% -4.7 27
2009-02-28 Airdrie United D 0-0 1460 1435 44.9% 26.7% 28.4% -0.5 33
2009-02-28 @ Ross County D 0-0 1435 1460 28.4% 26.7% 44.9% +0.5 27
2009-02-28 Dundee D 0-0 1571 1553 43.8% 26.9% 29.3% -0.4 44
2009-02-28 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1553 1571 29.3% 26.9% 43.8% +0.4 38
2009-02-28 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1470 1519 34.4% 27.4% 38.2% +4.8 32
2009-02-28 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1519 1470 38.2% 27.4% 34.4% -4.8 35
2009-02-28 Partick Thistle L 2-4 1481 1496 39.3% 27.4% 33.4% -7.6 34
2009-02-28 @ Livingston W 4-2 1496 1481 33.4% 27.4% 39.3% +7.6 41
2009-02-28 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1447 1502 33.5% 27.4% 39.2% +0.2 28
2009-02-28 @ Clyde D 1-1 1502 1447 39.2% 27.4% 33.5% -0.1 32
2009-03-03 Greenock Morton L 2-4 1447 1475 37.3% 27.4% 35.2% -7.3 28
2009-03-03 @ Clyde W 4-2 1475 1447 35.2% 27.4% 37.3% +7.3 35
2009-03-07 Clyde L 0-1 1503 1440 50.1% 25.6% 24.3% -6.3 41
2009-03-07 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1440 1503 24.3% 25.6% 50.1% +6.3 31
2009-03-07 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1502 1482 44.1% 26.8% 29.0% -0.4 33
2009-03-07 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1482 1502 29.0% 26.8% 44.1% +0.4 36
2009-03-07 Livingston D 4-4 1435 1474 35.8% 27.4% 36.8% +0.0 28
2009-03-07 @ Airdrie United D 4-4 1474 1435 36.8% 27.4% 35.8% -0.0 35
2009-03-07 Ross County D 0-0 1571 1460 56.2% 23.6% 20.2% -1.1 45
2009-03-07 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1460 1571 20.2% 23.6% 56.2% +1.1 34
2009-03-10 Airdrie United D 0-0 1482 1435 47.9% 26.1% 26.0% -0.7 37
2009-03-10 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1435 1482 26.0% 26.1% 47.9% +0.7 29
2009-03-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-2 1474 1514 35.5% 27.4% 37.0% +7.3 38
2009-03-10 @ Livingston L 2-4 1514 1474 37.0% 27.4% 35.5% -7.3 35
2009-03-10 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1461 1497 36.2% 27.4% 36.4% -9.2 34
2009-03-10 @ Ross County W 2-0 1497 1461 36.4% 27.4% 36.2% +9.2 44
2009-03-10 Queen Of The South L 2-3 1554 1502 48.5% 26.0% 25.5% -5.5 38
2009-03-10 @ Dundee W 3-2 1502 1554 25.5% 26.0% 48.5% +5.5 36
2009-03-10 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1446 1569 25.4% 25.9% 48.7% -6.0 31
2009-03-10 @ Clyde W 3-1 1569 1446 48.7% 25.9% 25.4% +6.0 48
2009-03-14 Clyde W 2-0 1482 1440 47.1% 26.3% 26.6% +7.2 40
2009-03-14 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1440 1482 26.6% 26.3% 47.1% -7.2 31
2009-03-14 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1507 1506 41.4% 27.2% 31.4% -5.4 35
2009-03-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1506 1507 31.4% 27.2% 41.4% +5.4 47
2009-03-14 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1436 1507 31.4% 27.2% 41.4% +10.2 32
2009-03-14 @ Airdrie United L 0-2 1507 1436 41.4% 27.2% 31.4% -10.2 36
2009-03-14 Ross County W 2-0 1548 1452 54.4% 24.3% 21.4% +5.9 41
2009-03-14 @ Dundee L 0-2 1452 1548 21.4% 24.3% 54.4% -5.9 34
2009-03-14 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1481 1576 28.5% 26.7% 44.7% +5.7 41
2009-03-14 @ Livingston L 0-1 1576 1481 44.7% 26.7% 28.5% -5.7 48
2009-03-21 Airdrie United W 3-0 1570 1446 57.8% 22.9% 19.2% +7.7 51
2009-03-21 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1446 1570 19.2% 22.9% 57.8% -7.7 32
2009-03-21 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-4 1433 1501 31.7% 27.2% 41.1% -10.2 31
2009-03-21 @ Clyde W 4-1 1501 1433 41.1% 27.2% 31.7% +10.2 38
2009-03-21 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1446 1489 35.2% 27.4% 37.4% +0.0 35
2009-03-21 @ Ross County D 1-1 1489 1446 37.4% 27.4% 35.2% -0.0 41
2009-03-21 Livingston D 3-3 1497 1487 42.8% 27.0% 30.2% -0.2 37
2009-03-21 @ Queen Of The South D 3-3 1487 1497 30.2% 27.0% 42.8% +0.2 42
2009-03-22 Dundee D 1-1 1512 1554 35.2% 27.4% 37.3% +0.0 48
2009-03-22 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1554 1512 37.3% 27.4% 35.2% -0.0 42
2009-03-24 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1446 1511 32.1% 27.3% 40.6% +5.0 38
2009-03-24 @ Ross County L 1-2 1511 1446 40.6% 27.3% 32.1% -5.0 38
2009-03-28 Dundee D 1-1 1451 1554 27.6% 26.5% 45.9% +0.5 39
2009-03-28 @ Ross County D 1-1 1554 1451 45.9% 26.5% 27.6% -0.5 43
2009-03-31 Dundee D 1-1 1506 1553 34.6% 27.4% 38.0% +0.1 39
2009-03-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1553 1506 38.0% 27.4% 34.6% -0.1 44
2009-04-04 Dundee W 2-0 1489 1553 32.3% 27.3% 40.5% +10.0 44
2009-04-04 @ Greenock Morton L 0-2 1553 1489 40.5% 27.3% 32.3% -10.0 44
2009-04-04 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1438 1507 31.8% 27.2% 41.0% +0.2 33
2009-04-04 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1507 1438 41.0% 27.2% 31.8% -0.2 40
2009-04-04 Livingston L 0-1 1422 1487 32.2% 27.3% 40.5% -4.5 31
2009-04-04 @ Clyde W 1-0 1487 1422 40.5% 27.3% 32.2% +4.5 45
2009-04-04 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1577 1512 50.4% 25.5% 24.1% -0.7 52
2009-04-04 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1512 1577 24.1% 25.5% 50.4% +0.7 49
2009-04-04 Ross County L 1-2 1497 1452 47.6% 26.2% 26.2% -5.7 37
2009-04-04 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1452 1497 26.2% 26.2% 47.6% +5.7 42
2009-04-07 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1577 1506 51.0% 25.3% 23.7% -0.8 53
2009-04-07 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1506 1577 23.7% 25.3% 51.0% +0.8 41
2009-04-11 Airdrie United L 0-1 1543 1439 55.4% 23.9% 20.7% -6.8 44
2009-04-11 @ Dundee W 1-0 1439 1543 20.7% 23.9% 55.4% +6.8 36
2009-04-11 Clyde D 0-0 1457 1418 46.8% 26.4% 26.9% -0.6 43
2009-04-11 @ Ross County D 0-0 1418 1457 26.9% 26.4% 46.8% +0.6 32
2009-04-11 Greenock Morton L 0-2 1491 1499 40.2% 27.3% 32.5% -10.0 45
2009-04-11 @ Livingston W 2-0 1499 1491 32.5% 27.3% 40.2% +10.0 47
2009-04-11 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1512 1491 44.3% 26.8% 28.9% -10.7 49
2009-04-11 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1491 1512 28.9% 26.8% 44.3% +10.7 40
2009-04-11 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1507 1576 31.7% 27.2% 41.1% -7.2 41
2009-04-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1576 1507 41.1% 27.2% 31.7% +7.2 56
2009-04-18 Airdrie United W 3-0 1418 1445 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% +13.1 35
2009-04-18 @ Clyde L 0-3 1445 1418 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% -13.1 36
2009-04-18 Dundee L 0-1 1481 1537 33.5% 27.4% 39.1% -4.6 45
2009-04-18 @ Livingston W 1-0 1537 1481 39.1% 27.4% 33.5% +4.6 47
2009-04-18 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1457 1500 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% -7.8 43
2009-04-18 @ Ross County W 3-1 1500 1457 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% +7.8 44
2009-04-18 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1509 1502 42.4% 27.1% 30.6% -5.5 47
2009-04-18 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1502 1509 30.6% 27.1% 42.4% +5.5 52
2009-04-19 Queen Of The South L 2-3 1583 1502 52.4% 24.9% 22.7% -5.8 56
2009-04-19 @ St. Johnstone W 3-2 1502 1583 22.7% 24.9% 52.4% +5.8 43
2009-04-25 Clyde W 7-1 1507 1432 51.7% 25.1% 23.2% +14.6 46
2009-04-25 @ Queen Of The South L 1-7 1432 1507 23.2% 25.1% 51.7% -14.6 35
2009-04-25 Livingston W 1-0 1507 1477 45.6% 26.6% 27.9% +4.0 55
2009-04-25 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1477 1507 27.9% 26.6% 45.6% -4.0 45
2009-04-25 Ross County W 1-0 1432 1449 39.0% 27.4% 33.7% +4.6 39
2009-04-25 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1449 1432 33.7% 27.4% 39.0% -4.6 43
2009-04-25 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1541 1577 36.1% 27.4% 36.4% -4.9 47
2009-04-25 @ Dundee W 1-0 1577 1541 36.4% 27.4% 36.1% +4.9 59
2009-05-02 Airdrie United L 0-1 1511 1437 51.5% 25.2% 23.3% -6.4 55
2009-05-02 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1437 1511 23.3% 25.2% 51.5% +6.4 42
2009-05-02 Dundee W 2-0 1417 1536 25.8% 26.1% 48.1% +11.5 38
2009-05-02 @ Clyde L 0-2 1536 1417 48.1% 26.1% 25.8% -11.5 47
2009-05-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-3 1522 1508 43.3% 27.0% 29.7% -15.3 46
2009-05-02 @ Queen Of The South W 3-0 1508 1522 29.7% 27.0% 43.3% +15.3 47
2009-05-02 Greenock Morton W 3-1 1582 1503 52.1% 25.0% 22.9% +5.5 62
2009-05-02 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1503 1582 22.9% 25.0% 52.1% -5.5 47
2009-05-02 Livingston D 2-2 1444 1473 37.2% 27.4% 35.4% -0.0 44
2009-05-02 @ Ross County D 2-2 1473 1444 35.4% 27.4% 37.2% +0.0 46
2009-05-05 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1523 1498 44.8% 26.7% 28.4% +3.8 50
2009-05-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1498 1523 28.4% 26.7% 44.8% -3.8 47
2009-05-09 Clyde D 1-1 1527 1428 54.6% 24.1% 21.2% -0.9 51
2009-05-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1428 1527 21.2% 24.1% 54.6% +0.9 39
2009-05-09 Partick Thistle W 4-0 1525 1505 44.1% 26.8% 29.0% +14.8 50
2009-05-09 @ Dundee L 0-4 1505 1525 29.0% 26.8% 44.1% -14.8 55
2009-05-09 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1473 1507 36.4% 27.4% 36.1% +0.0 47
2009-05-09 @ Livingston D 2-2 1507 1473 36.1% 27.4% 36.4% +0.0 47
2009-05-09 Ross County L 0-2 1494 1444 48.2% 26.0% 25.7% -11.5 47
2009-05-09 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1444 1494 25.7% 26.0% 48.2% +11.5 47
2009-05-11 St. Johnstone L 0-4 1443 1588 23.4% 25.2% 51.5% -12.2 42
2009-05-11 @ Airdrie United W 4-0 1588 1443 51.5% 25.2% 23.4% +12.2 65

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-04-11 20.69% Airdrie United 1439 1 @ Dundee 1543 0
2 2008-10-18 21.08% Ross County 1446 2 @ Dundee 1546 1
3 2008-11-08 21.41% Greenock Morton 1438 4 @ Queen Of The South 1534 1
4 2008-09-20 21.56% Livingston 1479 3 @ Dundee 1573 0
5 2008-11-22 22.63% Greenock Morton 1453 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1535 0
6 2009-04-19 22.68% Queen Of The South 1502 3 @ St. Johnstone 1583 2
7 2008-08-30 22.89% Ross County 1430 1 @ Partick Thistle 1509 0
8 2008-11-22 22.99% Clyde 1433 2 @ Queen Of The South 1511 0
9 2008-08-30 23.04% Clyde 1452 3 @ St. Johnstone 1530 2
10 2009-05-02 23.34% Airdrie United 1437 1 @ Partick Thistle 1511 0
11 2009-02-21 23.72% Ross County 1454 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1525 1
12 2009-03-07 24.35% Clyde 1440 1 @ Partick Thistle 1503 0
13 2008-08-16 24.69% Dunfermline Athletic 1505 3 @ St. Johnstone 1565 0
14 2009-01-31 25.21% Queen Of The South 1477 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1532 0
15 2009-03-10 25.51% Queen Of The South 1502 3 @ Dundee 1554 2
16 2008-12-27 25.58% Ross County 1453 2 @ Partick Thistle 1504 0
17 2009-05-09 25.71% Ross County 1444 2 @ Greenock Morton 1494 0
18 2009-05-02 25.82% @ Clyde 1417 2 Dundee 1536 0
19 2009-04-04 26.23% Ross County 1452 2 @ Queen Of The South 1497 1
20 2008-08-30 26.43% Livingston 1478 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1521 1
21 2008-10-25 26.95% @ Greenock Morton 1431 2 Dundee 1539 0
22 2009-01-24 27.88% @ Airdrie United 1442 1 Dundee 1543 0
23 2008-09-20 28.35% Clyde 1458 2 @ Airdrie United 1484 0
24 2008-12-13 28.38% @ Clyde 1445 1 Dundee 1541 0
25 2009-03-14 28.54% @ Livingston 1481 1 St. Johnstone 1576 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-08-30 19.51 @ Airdrie United 5 1459 41.16% Greenock Morton 0 1460 31.63% 27.21%
2 2008-08-23 18.71 @ Partick Thistle 4 1490 33.09% St. Johnstone 0 1548 39.58% 27.33%
3 2008-09-20 18.22 Livingston 3 1479 21.56% @ Dundee 0 1573 54.10% 24.34%
4 2008-08-16 17.03 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1505 24.69% @ St. Johnstone 0 1565 49.61% 25.70%
5 2008-11-08 15.42 Greenock Morton 4 1438 21.41% @ Queen Of The South 1 1534 54.34% 24.26%
6 2009-05-02 15.34 Dunfermline Athletic 3 1508 29.71% @ Queen Of The South 0 1522 43.34% 26.95%
7 2009-05-09 14.78 @ Dundee 4 1525 44.15% Partick Thistle 0 1505 29.02% 26.83%
8 2008-10-04 14.71 @ Queen Of The South 6 1532 45.18% Livingston 1 1504 28.16% 26.66%
9 2009-04-25 14.64 @ Queen Of The South 7 1507 51.71% Clyde 1 1432 23.18% 25.11%
10 2009-02-14 13.58 @ Queen Of The South 4 1488 47.55% Airdrie United 0 1443 26.25% 26.19%
11 2009-04-18 13.12 @ Clyde 3 1418 37.48% Airdrie United 0 1445 35.10% 27.42%
12 2008-11-01 12.36 @ Ross County 3 1444 40.26% Clyde 0 1451 32.45% 27.28%
13 2008-10-04 12.26 @ Ross County 3 1433 40.65% Greenock Morton 0 1438 32.10% 27.25%
14 2008-12-13 12.24 Livingston 4 1476 32.44% @ Ross County 1 1469 40.28% 27.28%
15 2009-05-11 12.21 St. Johnstone 4 1588 51.47% @ Airdrie United 0 1443 23.35% 25.18%
16 2008-11-22 12.16 Clyde 2 1433 22.99% @ Queen Of The South 0 1511 51.98% 25.03%
17 2009-01-31 11.60 Queen Of The South 2 1477 25.21% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1532 48.92% 25.87%
18 2008-12-27 11.51 Ross County 2 1453 25.58% @ Partick Thistle 0 1504 48.43% 25.99%
19 2009-05-09 11.48 Ross County 2 1444 25.71% @ Greenock Morton 0 1494 48.25% 26.03%
20 2009-05-02 11.45 @ Clyde 2 1417 25.82% Dundee 0 1536 48.11% 26.07%
21 2008-10-25 11.18 @ Greenock Morton 2 1431 26.95% Dundee 0 1539 46.67% 26.38%
22 2008-09-20 10.86 Clyde 2 1458 28.35% @ Airdrie United 0 1484 44.94% 26.71%
23 2009-04-11 10.74 Queen Of The South 2 1491 28.88% @ Partick Thistle 0 1512 44.31% 26.81%
24 2008-10-18 10.67 @ Airdrie United 2 1458 29.22% Queen Of The South 0 1547 43.91% 26.87%
25 2008-11-22 10.40 Ross County 2 1454 30.49% @ Airdrie United 0 1462 42.45% 27.07%