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2007-08 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hamilton Academical

13.25 points above expected

76 points · 62.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stirling Albion

23.61 points below expected

24 points · 47.61 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hamilton Academical 36 23 7 6 76 62 27 +35 62.75 +13.25
2 Dundee 36 20 9 7 69 58 30 +28 57.36 +11.64
3 St. Johnstone 36 15 13 8 58 60 45 +15 60.50 -2.50
4 Queen Of The South 36 14 10 12 52 47 43 +4 44.98 +7.02
5 Dunfermline Athletic 36 13 12 11 51 36 41 -5 47.31 +3.69
6 Partick Thistle 36 11 12 13 45 40 39 +1 47.75 -2.75
7 Livingston 36 10 9 17 39 55 66 -11 43.23 -4.23
8 Greenock Morton 36 9 10 17 37 40 58 -18 44.09 -7.09
9 Clyde 36 9 10 17 37 40 59 -19 45.80 -8.80
10 Stirling Albion 36 4 12 20 24 41 71 -30 47.61 -23.61

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hamilton Academical 1694 76 62.75 +13.25 96.6% 35 50 58 63 68 75 89
Dundee 1649 69 57.36 +11.64 94.2% 24 45 52 57 63 70 87
St. Johnstone 1628 58 60.50 -2.50 39.8% 32 48 55 61 66 73 90
Queen Of The South 1556 52 44.98 +7.02 83.5% 20 32 40 45 50 58 74
Dunfermline Athletic 1552 51 47.31 +3.69 70.7% 19 35 42 47 53 60 78
Partick Thistle 1528 45 47.75 -2.75 39.0% 20 35 42 48 53 60 82
Greenock Morton 1498 37 44.09 -7.09 19.5% 17 32 39 44 49 57 73
Livingston 1498 39 43.23 -4.23 31.5% 15 31 38 43 48 56 77
Clyde 1486 37 45.80 -8.80 14.2% 21 33 41 46 51 59 77
Stirling Albion 1457 24 47.61 -23.61 0.1% 19 35 42 48 53 60 81

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CLY DUN DA GM HA LIV PT QOTS SJ SA
Clyde —
1-1-2
4.33
1-1-2
5.31
1-1-2
5.82
0-1-3
4.13
2-1-1
5.44
0-1-3
5.55
0-2-2
5.68
2-1-1
4.10
2-1-1
5.40
Dundee
2-1-1
6.83
 —
2-2-0
6.72
4-0-0
7.13
1-1-2
4.84
3-1-0
6.59
2-1-1
6.49
1-0-3
6.92
2-2-0
5.11
3-1-0
6.61
Dunfermline Athletic
2-1-1
5.82
0-2-2
4.41
 —
2-0-2
5.98
0-1-3
4.48
1-2-1
6.08
2-2-0
5.27
3-1-0
5.53
0-3-1
4.27
3-0-1
5.35
Greenock Morton
2-1-1
5.30
0-0-4
4.03
2-0-2
5.16
 —
0-0-4
4.12
0-2-2
6.05
2-2-0
4.83
1-1-2
5.61
0-2-2
3.82
2-2-0
5.12
Hamilton Academical
3-1-0
7.06
2-1-1
6.28
3-1-0
6.65
4-0-0
7.06
 —
2-1-1
7.77
2-1-1
7.20
2-1-1
7.49
2-0-2
6.02
3-1-0
7.17
Livingston
1-1-2
5.68
0-1-3
4.56
1-2-1
5.05
2-2-0
5.07
1-1-2
3.41
 —
1-0-3
5.22
1-1-2
5.36
0-0-4
3.93
3-1-0
5.01
Partick Thistle
3-1-0
5.57
1-1-2
4.64
0-2-2
5.87
0-2-2
6.30
1-1-2
3.97
3-0-1
5.91
 —
2-1-1
5.79
0-2-2
4.30
1-2-1
5.48
Queen Of The South
2-2-0
5.44
3-0-1
4.22
0-1-3
5.59
2-1-1
5.54
1-1-2
3.68
2-1-1
5.76
1-1-2
5.33
 —
1-1-2
4.01
2-2-0
5.44
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
7.07
0-2-2
6.02
1-3-0
6.90
2-2-0
7.35
2-0-2
5.11
4-0-0
7.22
2-2-0
6.84
2-1-1
7.14
 —
1-2-1
7.04
Stirling Albion
1-1-2
5.73
0-1-3
4.56
1-0-3
5.77
0-2-2
6.01
0-1-3
3.99
0-1-3
6.14
1-2-1
5.68
0-2-2
5.69
1-2-1
4.11
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.50 +11.3
Allowed 0.85 -9.8
Differential 0.97 +7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%7.78%6.11%3.33%1.67%0.28%27.50%
17.78%14.44%7.50%3.33%1.39%0.56%35.00%
26.11%7.50%5.00%1.94%0.83%0.56%21.94%
33.33%3.33%1.94%1.11%0.28%—10.00%
41.67%1.39%0.83%0.28%——4.17%
5+0.28%0.56%0.56%———1.39%
Total27.50%35.00%21.94%10.00%4.17%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.76
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%8.33%—2.78%—22.22%
15.56%19.44%11.11%8.33%5.56%—50.00%
22.78%11.11%—5.56%2.78%—22.22%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%33.33%22.22%13.89%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.64 -0.53
SD 0.82 1.27 1.50
CV 0.74 0.77 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%2.78%———16.67%
111.11%19.44%2.78%———33.33%
213.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%——33.33%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total33.33%52.78%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.83 +0.78
SD 1.25 0.74 1.46
CV 0.77 0.88 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%—8.33%2.78%2.78%33.33%
111.11%25.00%5.56%———41.67%
28.33%11.11%————19.44%
3——2.78%———2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%47.22%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.14 -0.14
SD 0.96 1.20 1.78
CV 0.96 1.05 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%11.11%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
15.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%—2.78%33.33%
2—5.56%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%36.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.61 -0.50
SD 1.12 1.27 1.76
CV 1.00 0.79 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
116.67%8.33%5.56%—2.78%—33.33%
216.67%2.78%2.78%———22.22%
38.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total55.56%22.22%16.67%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.75 +0.97
SD 1.28 1.02 1.75
CV 0.74 1.37 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
15.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%—5.56%19.44%
3———2.78%——2.78%
45.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%27.78%27.78%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.83 -0.31
SD 1.52 1.36 2.14
CV 1.00 0.74 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%8.33%8.33%——41.67%
15.56%19.44%2.78%———27.78%
22.78%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
35.56%—————5.56%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+———————
Total30.56%44.44%13.89%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.08 +0.03
SD 1.26 1.02 1.83
CV 1.13 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%—2.78%—33.33%
111.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%5.56%8.33%———16.67%
32.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%27.78%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.19 +0.11
SD 1.21 1.01 1.55
CV 0.93 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
12.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
211.11%13.89%11.11%2.78%——38.89%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total25.00%36.11%27.78%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.25 +0.42
SD 1.29 0.97 1.36
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%—27.78%
12.78%11.11%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%44.44%
2——8.33%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
32.78%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%27.78%19.44%11.11%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.97 -0.83
SD 0.99 1.42 1.61
CV 0.87 0.72 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamilton Academical 76 62.75 +13.25
2 Dundee 69 57.36 +11.64
3 Queen Of The South 52 44.98 +7.02
4 Dunfermline Athletic 51 47.31 +3.69
5 St. Johnstone 58 60.50 -2.50

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stirling Albion 24 47.61 -23.61
2 Clyde 37 45.80 -8.80
3 Greenock Morton 37 44.09 -7.09
4 Livingston 39 43.23 -4.23
5 Partick Thistle 45 47.75 -2.75

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 5 Jan 5 – Feb 16 1 in 223
2 Hamilton Academical 6 Aug 4 – Sep 15 1 in 214
3 Dunfermline Athletic 4 Dec 22 – Jan 2 1 in 60
4 Dundee 4 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 34
5 Livingston 2 Nov 3 – Nov 10 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 6 Jan 5 – Feb 23 1 in 129
2 Stirling Albion 4 Nov 10 – Dec 15 1 in 53
3 Livingston 4 Dec 15 – Jan 2 1 in 22
4 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Oct 20 – Nov 3 1 in 21
5 Clyde 3 Aug 4 – Aug 18 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Dec 8 – Jan 5 1 in 74
2 Partick Thistle 8 Feb 16 – Apr 1 1 in 66
3 Queen Of The South 7 Jan 5 – Mar 1 1 in 59
4 Dundee 8 Aug 4 – Sep 29 1 in 47
5 Hamilton Academical 11 Feb 23 – Apr 26 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stirling Albion 11 Nov 3 – Jan 26 1 in 170
2 St. Johnstone 6 Oct 27 – Dec 15 1 in 57
3 Dundee 5 Jan 2 – Feb 9 1 in 23
4 Dunfermline Athletic 7 Oct 20 – Dec 15 1 in 21
5 Livingston 8 Feb 9 – Mar 22 1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Hamilton Academical44.04%26.33%14.45%6.78%4.02%2.15%1.21%0.61%0.30%0.11%
Dundee17.66%22.32%21.93%13.81%9.38%6.21%4.14%2.43%1.48%0.64%
St. Johnstone29.22%27.58%19.04%10.41%5.55%3.83%2.22%1.32%0.63%0.20%
Queen Of The South0.91%2.66%5.46%9.26%11.01%12.71%13.91%14.45%14.84%14.79%
Dunfermline Athletic1.92%4.50%8.16%11.84%13.03%13.16%13.47%12.26%11.69%9.97%
Partick Thistle2.06%5.24%8.86%12.98%14.03%13.25%12.91%11.44%10.58%8.65%
Livingston0.48%1.70%4.14%6.38%8.83%10.67%12.82%15.52%17.76%21.70%
Greenock Morton0.62%2.01%4.24%7.39%9.48%11.99%12.69%15.22%17.16%19.20%
Clyde1.29%3.13%5.73%9.59%11.01%13.18%13.51%14.15%13.77%14.64%
Stirling Albion1.80%4.53%7.99%11.56%13.66%12.85%13.12%12.60%11.79%10.10%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.78%
Clear Edge
44.44%28.89%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
223 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
062.43600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
Hamilton Academical, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.15 * Some Luck: 6.15 to 9.23 * Lucky: 9.23 to 12.3 * Wild Swing: 12.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.54 * Close: 1.54 to 2.31 * Off: 2.31 to 3.08 * Way Off: 3.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.36 points
Lucky
07.6919
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.934
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.60%
Hamilton Academical
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.08%
Stirling Albion
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.76
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
80%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.86
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.30
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.045
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Hamilton Academical 44.04% 55.55% 0.30% 0.11%
St. Johnstone 29.22% 69.95% 0.63% 0.20%
Dundee 17.66% 80.22% 1.48% 0.64%
Partick Thistle 2.06% 78.71% 10.58% 8.65%
Dunfermline Athletic 1.92% 76.42% 11.69% 9.97%
Stirling Albion 1.80% 76.31% 11.79% 10.10%
Clyde 1.29% 70.30% 13.77% 14.64%
Queen Of The South 0.91% 69.46% 14.84% 14.79%
Greenock Morton 0.62% 63.02% 17.16% 19.20%
Livingston 0.48% 60.06% 17.76% 21.70%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2007-08-04 Clyde W 3-2 1568 1570 48.9% 21.9% 29.1% +5.0 3
2007-08-04 @ Greenock Morton L 2-3 1570 1568 29.1% 21.9% 48.9% -5.0 0
2007-08-04 Dundee L 0-2 1515 1536 46.2% 22.1% 31.6% -15.4 0
2007-08-04 @ Livingston W 2-0 1536 1515 31.6% 22.1% 46.2% +15.4 3
2007-08-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1559 1574 47.1% 22.1% 30.8% +5.5 3
2007-08-04 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1574 1559 30.8% 22.1% 47.1% -5.5 0
2007-08-04 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1611 1506 61.4% 20.1% 18.5% -1.7 1
2007-08-04 @ Stirling Albion D 1-1 1506 1611 18.5% 20.1% 61.4% +1.7 1
2007-08-04 St. Johnstone D 3-3 1503 1602 35.5% 22.3% 42.2% +0.2 1
2007-08-04 @ Queen Of The South D 3-3 1602 1503 42.2% 22.3% 35.5% -0.2 1
2007-08-11 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1568 1573 48.4% 22.0% 29.6% -8.5 0
2007-08-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1573 1568 29.6% 22.0% 48.4% +8.5 6
2007-08-11 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1565 1565 49.1% 21.9% 29.0% -16.2 0
2007-08-11 @ Clyde W 2-0 1565 1565 29.0% 21.9% 49.1% +16.2 6
2007-08-11 Livingston W 3-0 1508 1500 50.1% 21.8% 28.0% +14.9 4
2007-08-11 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1500 1508 28.0% 21.8% 50.1% -14.9 0
2007-08-11 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1552 1503 55.1% 21.2% 23.6% +4.4 6
2007-08-11 @ Dundee L 1-2 1503 1552 23.6% 21.2% 55.1% -4.4 1
2007-08-11 Stirling Albion D 2-2 1601 1610 48.0% 22.0% 30.0% -0.5 2
2007-08-11 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1610 1601 30.0% 22.0% 48.0% +0.5 2
2007-08-18 Clyde W 4-0 1523 1548 45.7% 22.1% 32.2% +21.8 7
2007-08-18 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1548 1523 32.2% 22.1% 45.7% -21.8 0
2007-08-18 Dundee D 1-1 1601 1556 54.7% 21.3% 24.0% -1.2 3
2007-08-18 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1556 1601 24.0% 21.3% 54.7% +1.2 7
2007-08-18 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1610 1582 52.7% 21.6% 25.8% -1.2 3
2007-08-18 @ Stirling Albion D 0-0 1582 1610 25.8% 21.6% 52.7% +1.2 7
2007-08-18 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1581 1499 58.9% 20.6% 20.5% +4.1 9
2007-08-18 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1499 1581 20.5% 20.6% 58.9% -4.1 1
2007-08-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1485 1560 38.7% 22.3% 38.9% +0.0 1
2007-08-19 @ Livingston D 1-1 1560 1485 38.9% 22.3% 38.7% -0.0 1
2007-08-25 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1583 1585 48.8% 21.9% 29.2% -16.1 7
2007-08-25 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1585 1583 29.2% 21.9% 48.8% +16.1 12
2007-08-25 Livingston W 1-0 1495 1485 50.4% 21.8% 27.8% +5.4 4
2007-08-25 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1485 1495 27.8% 21.8% 50.4% -5.4 1
2007-08-25 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1557 1545 50.7% 21.8% 27.5% +14.6 10
2007-08-25 @ Dundee L 0-3 1545 1557 27.5% 21.8% 50.7% -14.6 7
2007-08-25 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1527 1600 39.0% 22.3% 38.7% +7.1 3
2007-08-25 @ Clyde L 0-1 1600 1527 38.7% 22.3% 39.0% -7.1 3
2007-08-25 Stirling Albion W 2-1 1560 1609 42.4% 22.3% 35.3% +6.2 4
2007-08-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1609 1560 35.3% 22.3% 42.4% -6.2 3
2007-09-01 Dundee L 1-2 1534 1572 43.9% 22.2% 33.9% -7.4 3
2007-09-01 @ Clyde W 2-1 1572 1534 33.9% 22.2% 43.9% +7.4 13
2007-09-01 Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1530 1601 39.3% 22.3% 38.4% -19.6 7
2007-09-01 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1601 1530 38.4% 22.3% 39.3% +19.6 15
2007-09-01 Livingston D 3-3 1603 1479 63.3% 19.7% 17.1% -1.2 4
2007-09-01 @ Stirling Albion D 3-3 1479 1603 17.1% 19.7% 63.3% +1.2 2
2007-09-01 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1567 1500 57.2% 20.9% 21.9% -9.8 7
2007-09-01 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1500 1567 21.9% 20.9% 57.2% +9.8 7
2007-09-02 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1566 1593 45.5% 22.2% 32.3% -0.5 5
2007-09-02 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1593 1566 32.3% 22.2% 45.5% +0.5 4
2007-09-15 Clyde D 1-1 1510 1526 46.9% 22.1% 31.0% -0.6 8
2007-09-15 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1526 1510 31.0% 22.1% 46.9% +0.6 4
2007-09-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1579 1565 50.9% 21.8% 27.4% -0.9 14
2007-09-15 @ Dundee D 1-1 1565 1579 27.4% 21.8% 50.9% +0.9 6
2007-09-15 Greenock Morton W 4-0 1481 1557 38.5% 22.3% 39.2% +25.5 5
2007-09-15 @ Livingston L 0-4 1557 1481 39.2% 22.3% 38.5% -25.5 7
2007-09-15 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1593 1510 59.0% 20.6% 20.4% +3.9 7
2007-09-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1510 1593 20.4% 20.6% 59.0% -3.9 7
2007-09-15 Stirling Albion W 4-0 1621 1602 51.5% 21.7% 26.8% +18.7 18
2007-09-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-4 1602 1621 26.8% 21.7% 51.5% -18.7 4
2007-09-22 Dundee D 2-2 1583 1578 49.6% 21.9% 28.5% -0.6 5
2007-09-22 @ Stirling Albion D 2-2 1578 1583 28.5% 21.9% 49.6% +0.6 15
2007-09-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1527 1566 43.8% 22.2% 34.0% +6.0 7
2007-09-22 @ Clyde L 1-2 1566 1527 34.0% 22.2% 43.8% -6.0 6
2007-09-22 Livingston D 1-1 1639 1506 64.3% 19.4% 16.3% -2.0 19
2007-09-22 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1506 1639 16.3% 19.4% 64.3% +2.0 6
2007-09-22 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1507 1510 48.7% 21.9% 29.4% +10.7 10
2007-09-22 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1510 1507 29.4% 21.9% 48.7% -10.7 8
2007-09-22 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1532 1597 40.1% 22.3% 37.6% -0.1 8
2007-09-22 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1597 1532 37.6% 22.3% 40.1% +0.1 8
2007-09-29 Clyde W 4-2 1508 1533 45.8% 22.1% 32.1% +8.9 9
2007-09-29 @ Livingston L 2-4 1533 1508 32.1% 22.1% 45.8% -8.9 7
2007-09-29 Greenock Morton W 2-1 1579 1532 55.0% 21.2% 23.7% +4.4 18
2007-09-29 @ Dundee L 1-2 1532 1579 23.7% 21.2% 55.0% -4.4 8
2007-09-29 Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1597 1637 43.6% 22.2% 34.1% +14.8 11
2007-09-29 @ St. Johnstone L 1-4 1637 1597 34.1% 22.2% 43.6% -14.8 19
2007-09-29 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1560 1517 54.5% 21.3% 24.2% +4.8 9
2007-09-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1517 1560 24.2% 21.3% 54.5% -4.8 10
2007-09-29 Stirling Albion D 2-2 1499 1582 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% +0.1 9
2007-09-29 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1582 1499 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% -0.1 6
2007-10-06 Clyde L 0-2 1582 1524 56.3% 21.1% 22.7% -18.2 6
2007-10-06 @ Stirling Albion W 2-0 1524 1582 22.7% 21.1% 56.3% +18.2 10
2007-10-06 Dundee W 2-0 1623 1584 54.0% 21.4% 24.6% +9.1 22
2007-10-06 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1584 1623 24.6% 21.4% 54.0% -9.1 18
2007-10-06 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1499 1565 40.0% 22.3% 37.7% -7.2 9
2007-10-06 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1565 1499 37.7% 22.3% 40.0% +7.2 12
2007-10-06 Partick Thistle W 4-2 1527 1512 51.0% 21.8% 27.3% +7.8 11
2007-10-06 @ Greenock Morton L 2-4 1512 1527 27.3% 21.8% 51.0% -7.8 10
2007-10-06 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1517 1612 35.9% 22.3% 41.8% -12.6 9
2007-10-06 @ Livingston W 2-0 1612 1517 41.8% 22.3% 35.9% +12.6 14
2007-10-20 Greenock Morton L 0-1 1542 1535 50.0% 21.8% 28.1% -8.7 10
2007-10-20 @ Clyde W 1-0 1535 1542 28.1% 21.8% 50.0% +8.7 14
2007-10-20 Hamilton Academical L 0-5 1572 1632 40.9% 22.3% 36.7% -32.6 12
2007-10-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-0 1632 1572 36.7% 22.3% 40.9% +32.6 25
2007-10-20 Livingston W 4-1 1574 1504 57.6% 20.8% 21.6% +9.9 21
2007-10-20 @ Dundee L 1-4 1504 1574 21.6% 20.8% 57.6% -9.9 9
2007-10-20 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1624 1492 64.2% 19.4% 16.4% +6.2 17
2007-10-20 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1492 1624 16.4% 19.4% 64.2% -6.2 9
2007-10-20 Stirling Albion D 1-1 1505 1564 41.0% 22.3% 36.7% -0.2 11
2007-10-20 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1564 1505 36.7% 22.3% 41.0% +0.2 7
2007-10-27 Clyde D 1-1 1631 1534 60.6% 20.3% 19.1% -1.7 18
2007-10-27 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1534 1631 19.1% 20.3% 60.6% +1.7 11
2007-10-27 Dundee D 1-1 1505 1584 38.0% 22.3% 39.6% +0.0 12
2007-10-27 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1584 1505 39.6% 22.3% 38.0% -0.1 22
2007-10-27 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1564 1540 52.2% 21.6% 26.2% +14.0 10
2007-10-27 @ Stirling Albion L 0-3 1540 1564 26.2% 21.6% 52.2% -14.0 12
2007-10-27 Greenock Morton W 1-0 1664 1544 63.0% 19.7% 17.2% +3.5 28
2007-10-27 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1544 1664 17.2% 19.7% 63.0% -3.5 14
2007-10-27 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1494 1485 50.2% 21.8% 27.9% -0.6 10
2007-10-27 @ Livingston D 2-2 1485 1494 27.9% 21.8% 50.2% +0.6 10
2007-11-03 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1486 1668 25.2% 21.5% 53.3% +8.7 13
2007-11-03 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1668 1486 53.3% 21.5% 25.2% -8.7 28
2007-11-03 Livingston L 0-4 1526 1494 53.1% 21.5% 25.4% -32.9 12
2007-11-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-0 1494 1526 25.4% 21.5% 53.1% +32.9 13
2007-11-03 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1535 1505 53.0% 21.5% 25.5% -8.6 11
2007-11-03 @ Clyde W 2-1 1505 1535 25.5% 21.5% 53.0% +8.6 15
2007-11-03 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1584 1629 43.0% 22.3% 34.7% +6.1 25
2007-11-03 @ Dundee L 1-2 1629 1584 34.7% 22.3% 43.0% -6.1 18
2007-11-03 Stirling Albion D 1-1 1540 1578 44.0% 22.2% 33.8% -0.4 15
2007-11-03 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1578 1540 33.8% 22.2% 44.0% +0.4 11
2007-11-10 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1623 1493 64.0% 19.5% 16.6% -2.2 19
2007-11-10 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1493 1623 16.6% 19.5% 64.0% +2.2 13
2007-11-10 Greenock Morton L 1-3 1495 1540 43.0% 22.3% 34.7% -12.5 13
2007-11-10 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1540 1495 34.7% 22.3% 43.0% +12.5 18
2007-11-10 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1659 1513 65.5% 19.1% 15.4% +5.9 31
2007-11-10 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1513 1659 15.4% 19.1% 65.5% -5.9 15
2007-11-10 Stirling Albion W 4-3 1527 1579 42.0% 22.3% 35.7% +5.8 16
2007-11-10 @ Livingston L 3-4 1579 1527 35.7% 22.3% 42.0% -5.8 11
2007-11-11 Clyde L 0-1 1590 1527 56.9% 21.0% 22.1% -9.8 25
2007-11-11 @ Dundee W 1-0 1527 1590 22.1% 21.0% 56.9% +9.8 14
2007-11-14 Partick Thistle L 0-4 1532 1507 52.3% 21.6% 26.1% -32.4 16
2007-11-14 @ Livingston W 4-0 1507 1532 26.1% 21.6% 52.3% +32.4 18
2007-11-24 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1581 1665 37.4% 22.3% 40.3% +7.3 28
2007-11-24 @ Dundee L 0-1 1665 1581 40.3% 22.3% 37.4% -7.3 31
2007-12-01 Dundee L 0-1 1495 1588 36.2% 22.3% 41.5% -6.7 13
2007-12-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1588 1495 41.5% 22.3% 36.2% +6.7 31
2007-12-01 Hamilton Academical L 2-4 1573 1658 37.3% 22.3% 40.4% -10.0 11
2007-12-01 @ Stirling Albion W 4-2 1658 1573 40.4% 22.3% 37.3% +10.0 34
2007-12-01 Livingston D 2-2 1552 1500 55.6% 21.2% 23.3% -1.0 19
2007-12-01 @ Greenock Morton D 2-2 1500 1552 23.3% 21.2% 55.6% +1.0 17
2007-12-01 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1536 1482 55.8% 21.1% 23.1% -1.4 15
2007-12-01 @ Clyde D 0-0 1482 1536 23.1% 21.1% 55.8% +1.5 14
2007-12-01 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1540 1621 37.9% 22.3% 39.8% +0.0 19
2007-12-01 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1621 1540 39.8% 22.3% 37.9% -0.1 20
2007-12-08 Clyde D 1-1 1488 1535 42.8% 22.3% 35.0% -0.3 14
2007-12-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1535 1488 35.0% 22.3% 42.8% +0.3 16
2007-12-08 Greenock Morton D 2-2 1621 1551 57.5% 20.9% 21.6% -1.1 21
2007-12-08 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1551 1621 21.6% 20.9% 57.5% +1.1 20
2007-12-08 Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1501 1668 26.9% 21.7% 51.4% +16.8 20
2007-12-08 @ Livingston L 0-2 1668 1501 51.4% 21.7% 26.9% -16.8 34
2007-12-08 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1484 1540 41.4% 22.3% 36.3% -7.0 14
2007-12-08 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1540 1484 36.3% 22.3% 41.4% +7.0 22
2007-12-08 Stirling Albion W 3-1 1595 1563 53.1% 21.5% 25.4% +8.1 34
2007-12-08 @ Dundee L 1-3 1563 1595 25.4% 21.5% 53.1% -8.1 11
2007-12-15 Dundee L 0-2 1552 1603 42.2% 22.3% 35.5% -14.3 20
2007-12-15 @ Greenock Morton W 2-0 1603 1552 35.5% 22.3% 42.2% +14.3 37
2007-12-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1547 1488 56.3% 21.1% 22.6% -1.3 23
2007-12-15 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1488 1547 22.6% 21.1% 56.3% +1.3 15
2007-12-15 Livingston W 2-1 1535 1518 51.3% 21.7% 27.0% +5.0 19
2007-12-15 @ Clyde L 1-2 1518 1535 27.0% 21.7% 51.3% -5.0 20
2007-12-15 Queen Of The South L 1-3 1555 1477 58.5% 20.7% 20.8% -16.3 11
2007-12-15 @ Stirling Albion W 3-1 1477 1555 20.8% 20.7% 58.5% +16.3 17
2007-12-15 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1651 1620 53.1% 21.5% 25.4% +5.0 37
2007-12-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1620 1651 25.4% 21.5% 53.1% -5.0 21
2007-12-22 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1545 1538 50.0% 21.8% 28.1% -0.8 24
2007-12-22 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1538 1545 28.1% 21.8% 50.0% +0.8 21
2007-12-22 Livingston W 5-2 1615 1513 61.1% 20.2% 18.8% +7.5 24
2007-12-22 @ St. Johnstone L 2-5 1513 1615 18.8% 20.2% 61.1% -7.6 20
2007-12-22 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1489 1493 48.6% 22.0% 29.4% +10.7 18
2007-12-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1493 1489 29.4% 22.0% 48.6% -10.7 17
2007-12-26 Clyde D 0-0 1656 1540 62.5% 19.8% 17.6% -2.0 38
2007-12-26 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1540 1656 17.6% 19.8% 62.5% +2.0 20
2007-12-26 Dundee W 2-1 1482 1617 30.7% 22.1% 47.3% +7.8 20
2007-12-26 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1617 1482 47.3% 22.1% 30.7% -7.8 37
2007-12-26 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1539 1500 54.0% 21.4% 24.6% -9.3 21
2007-12-26 @ Greenock Morton W 1-0 1500 1539 24.6% 21.4% 54.0% +9.3 21
2007-12-26 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1538 1622 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% +0.1 12
2007-12-26 @ Stirling Albion D 0-0 1622 1538 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% -0.1 25
2007-12-29 Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1530 1654 32.0% 22.1% 45.9% -9.9 21
2007-12-29 @ Greenock Morton W 3-1 1654 1530 45.9% 22.1% 32.0% +9.9 41
2007-12-29 Livingston W 1-0 1490 1505 47.1% 22.1% 30.9% +5.9 23
2007-12-29 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1505 1490 30.9% 22.1% 47.1% -5.9 20
2007-12-29 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1609 1545 57.0% 20.9% 22.1% +4.4 40
2007-12-29 @ Dundee L 0-1 1545 1609 22.1% 20.9% 57.0% -4.4 24
2007-12-29 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1542 1622 38.0% 22.3% 39.6% -11.4 20
2007-12-29 @ Clyde W 3-1 1622 1542 39.6% 22.3% 38.0% +11.4 28
2007-12-29 Stirling Albion W 2-1 1509 1538 45.2% 22.2% 32.6% +5.8 24
2007-12-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1538 1509 32.6% 22.2% 45.2% -5.8 12
2008-01-02 Clyde D 1-1 1540 1531 50.3% 21.8% 27.9% -0.9 25
2008-01-02 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1531 1540 27.9% 21.8% 50.3% +0.9 21
2008-01-02 Dundee D 1-1 1633 1614 51.6% 21.7% 26.7% -1.0 29
2008-01-02 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1614 1633 26.7% 21.7% 51.6% +1.0 41
2008-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1499 1515 47.0% 22.1% 30.9% -15.6 20
2008-01-02 @ Livingston W 2-0 1515 1499 30.9% 22.1% 47.0% +15.6 27
2008-01-02 Greenock Morton L 1-2 1533 1520 50.7% 21.8% 27.5% -8.3 12
2008-01-02 @ Stirling Albion W 2-1 1520 1533 27.5% 21.8% 50.7% +8.3 24
2008-01-02 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1664 1496 67.5% 18.5% 14.0% +2.8 44
2008-01-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1496 1664 14.0% 18.5% 67.5% -2.8 23
2008-01-05 Clyde W 3-1 1493 1532 43.9% 22.2% 33.9% +10.4 26
2008-01-05 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1532 1493 33.9% 22.2% 43.9% -10.4 21
2008-01-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1615 1531 59.2% 20.6% 20.3% -1.7 42
2008-01-05 @ Dundee D 0-0 1531 1615 20.3% 20.6% 59.2% +1.7 28
2008-01-05 Greenock Morton W 6-1 1484 1528 43.1% 22.3% 34.6% +23.6 23
2008-01-05 @ Livingston L 1-6 1528 1484 34.6% 22.3% 43.1% -23.6 24
2008-01-05 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1632 1539 60.2% 20.4% 19.5% +7.4 32
2008-01-05 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1539 1632 19.5% 20.4% 60.2% -7.4 25
2008-01-05 Stirling Albion D 0-0 1667 1524 65.2% 19.2% 15.7% -2.3 45
2008-01-05 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1524 1667 15.7% 19.2% 65.2% +2.3 13
2008-01-19 Dundee D 1-1 1521 1613 36.4% 22.3% 41.3% +0.2 22
2008-01-19 @ Clyde D 1-1 1613 1521 41.3% 22.3% 36.4% -0.2 43
2008-01-19 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1532 1664 31.0% 22.1% 46.9% +22.6 28
2008-01-19 @ Partick Thistle L 0-3 1664 1532 46.9% 22.1% 31.0% -22.6 45
2008-01-19 Livingston L 1-4 1526 1508 51.5% 21.7% 26.8% -20.7 13
2008-01-19 @ Stirling Albion W 4-1 1508 1526 26.8% 21.7% 51.5% +20.7 26
2008-01-19 Queen Of The South L 0-3 1504 1504 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% -23.5 24
2008-01-19 @ Greenock Morton W 3-0 1504 1504 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% +23.5 29
2008-01-19 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1532 1640 34.2% 22.2% 43.5% -6.4 28
2008-01-19 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1640 1532 43.5% 22.2% 34.2% +6.4 35
2008-01-26 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1526 1481 54.7% 21.3% 24.0% +8.9 31
2008-01-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1481 1526 24.0% 21.3% 54.7% -8.9 24
2008-01-26 Hamilton Academical L 2-3 1521 1642 32.5% 22.2% 45.3% -5.5 22
2008-01-26 @ Clyde W 3-2 1642 1521 45.3% 22.2% 32.5% +5.5 48
2008-01-26 Queen Of The South L 2-3 1613 1527 59.3% 20.5% 20.1% -9.1 43
2008-01-26 @ Dundee W 3-2 1527 1613 20.1% 20.5% 59.3% +9.1 32
2008-01-26 Stirling Albion W 2-1 1646 1506 65.0% 19.2% 15.8% +3.0 38
2008-01-26 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1506 1646 15.8% 19.2% 65.0% -3.0 13
2008-02-02 Stirling Albion L 1-3 1516 1503 50.8% 21.8% 27.5% -14.4 22
2008-02-02 @ Clyde W 3-1 1503 1516 27.5% 21.8% 50.8% +14.4 16
2008-02-09 Clyde L 1-2 1472 1502 45.1% 22.2% 32.7% -7.5 24
2008-02-09 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1502 1472 32.7% 22.2% 45.1% +7.5 25
2008-02-09 Dundee D 1-1 1528 1604 38.7% 22.3% 39.0% +0.0 27
2008-02-09 @ Livingston D 1-1 1604 1528 39.0% 22.3% 38.7% -0.0 44
2008-02-09 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1647 1535 62.2% 19.9% 17.9% +9.9 51
2008-02-09 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1535 1647 17.9% 19.9% 62.2% -9.9 31
2008-02-09 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1517 1555 44.0% 22.2% 33.7% +6.3 19
2008-02-09 @ Stirling Albion L 0-1 1555 1517 33.7% 22.2% 44.0% -6.3 28
2008-02-09 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1536 1649 33.5% 22.2% 44.3% +12.9 35
2008-02-09 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1649 1536 44.3% 22.2% 33.5% -12.9 38
2008-02-16 Greenock Morton W 2-0 1604 1464 64.8% 19.2% 15.9% +6.0 47
2008-02-16 @ Dundee L 0-2 1464 1604 15.9% 19.2% 64.8% -6.1 24
2008-02-16 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1636 1657 46.3% 22.1% 31.6% +5.7 41
2008-02-16 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1657 1636 31.6% 22.1% 46.3% -5.7 51
2008-02-16 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1525 1548 46.0% 22.1% 31.9% -0.5 32
2008-02-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1548 1525 31.9% 22.1% 46.0% +0.5 29
2008-02-16 Stirling Albion W 3-1 1549 1524 52.3% 21.6% 26.1% +8.3 38
2008-02-16 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1524 1549 26.1% 21.6% 52.3% -8.3 19
2008-02-23 Dundee L 1-6 1515 1610 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% -24.4 19
2008-02-23 @ Stirling Albion W 6-1 1610 1515 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% +24.4 50
2008-02-23 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1509 1525 47.0% 22.1% 30.9% -7.8 25
2008-02-23 @ Clyde W 2-1 1525 1509 30.9% 22.1% 47.0% +7.8 35
2008-02-23 Livingston W 3-1 1651 1528 63.3% 19.7% 17.1% +5.6 54
2008-02-23 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1528 1651 17.1% 19.7% 63.3% -5.6 27
2008-02-23 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1549 1557 48.0% 22.0% 30.0% -0.8 30
2008-02-23 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1557 1549 30.0% 22.0% 48.0% +0.8 39
2008-02-23 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1458 1642 25.0% 21.4% 53.5% -4.6 24
2008-02-23 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1642 1458 53.5% 21.4% 25.0% +4.6 44
2008-03-01 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1558 1657 35.4% 22.3% 42.4% +0.2 40
2008-03-01 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1657 1558 42.4% 22.3% 35.4% -0.2 55
2008-03-01 Livingston D 1-1 1532 1523 50.3% 21.8% 27.8% -0.9 36
2008-03-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1523 1532 27.8% 21.8% 50.3% +0.9 28
2008-03-01 Partick Thistle L 1-4 1501 1548 42.7% 22.3% 35.0% -17.7 25
2008-03-01 @ Clyde W 4-1 1548 1501 35.0% 22.3% 42.7% +17.7 33
2008-03-01 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1634 1647 47.4% 22.0% 30.6% +5.2 53
2008-03-01 @ Dundee L 2-3 1647 1634 30.6% 22.0% 47.4% -5.2 44
2008-03-01 Stirling Albion W 2-1 1454 1491 44.1% 22.2% 33.7% +6.0 27
2008-03-01 @ Greenock Morton L 1-2 1491 1454 33.7% 22.2% 44.1% -6.0 19
2008-03-04 Livingston W 2-1 1566 1523 54.4% 21.3% 24.3% +4.5 36
2008-03-04 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1523 1566 24.3% 21.3% 54.4% -4.5 28
2008-03-08 Clyde D 0-0 1519 1484 53.5% 21.4% 25.0% -1.2 29
2008-03-08 @ Livingston D 0-0 1484 1519 25.0% 21.4% 53.5% +1.2 26
2008-03-08 Greenock Morton W 3-0 1657 1460 70.1% 17.6% 12.3% +6.7 58
2008-03-08 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1460 1657 12.3% 17.6% 70.1% -6.7 27
2008-03-11 Greenock Morton D 1-1 1485 1453 53.1% 21.5% 25.4% -1.1 27
2008-03-11 @ Clyde D 1-1 1453 1485 25.4% 21.5% 53.1% +1.1 28
2008-03-11 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1532 1664 31.0% 22.1% 46.9% +0.6 37
2008-03-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1664 1532 46.9% 22.1% 31.0% -0.6 59
2008-03-11 Livingston W 2-0 1639 1518 63.1% 19.7% 17.2% +6.5 56
2008-03-11 @ Dundee L 0-2 1518 1639 17.2% 19.7% 63.1% -6.5 29
2008-03-11 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1641 1558 59.1% 20.6% 20.3% +3.8 47
2008-03-11 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1558 1641 20.3% 20.6% 59.1% -3.8 40
2008-03-15 Clyde D 1-1 1485 1484 49.2% 21.9% 28.9% -0.8 20
2008-03-15 @ Stirling Albion D 1-1 1484 1485 28.9% 21.9% 49.2% +0.8 28
2008-03-15 Dundee W 1-0 1663 1646 51.3% 21.7% 27.0% +5.3 62
2008-03-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1646 1663 27.0% 21.7% 51.3% -5.3 56
2008-03-15 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1554 1532 51.9% 21.6% 26.4% -1.0 41
2008-03-15 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1532 1554 26.4% 21.6% 51.9% +1.0 38
2008-03-15 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1454 1570 33.1% 22.2% 44.8% +0.5 29
2008-03-15 @ Greenock Morton D 0-0 1570 1454 44.8% 22.2% 33.1% -0.5 37
2008-03-15 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1511 1645 30.8% 22.1% 47.2% -11.1 29
2008-03-15 @ Livingston W 2-0 1645 1511 47.2% 22.1% 30.8% +11.1 50
2008-03-22 Dundee L 0-1 1533 1640 34.2% 22.2% 43.5% -6.4 38
2008-03-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1640 1533 43.5% 22.2% 34.2% +6.4 59
2008-03-22 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1484 1668 25.0% 21.4% 53.6% -4.9 20
2008-03-22 @ Stirling Albion W 1-0 1668 1484 53.6% 21.4% 25.0% +4.9 65
2008-03-22 Livingston D 1-1 1455 1500 42.9% 22.3% 34.8% -0.3 30
2008-03-22 @ Greenock Morton D 1-1 1500 1455 34.8% 22.3% 42.9% +0.3 30
2008-03-22 Queen Of The South L 1-4 1485 1553 39.6% 22.3% 38.1% -16.6 28
2008-03-22 @ Clyde W 4-1 1553 1485 38.1% 22.3% 39.6% +16.6 44
2008-03-22 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1570 1656 37.1% 22.3% 40.6% +0.2 38
2008-03-22 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1656 1570 40.6% 22.3% 37.1% -0.1 51
2008-03-25 Clyde L 1-2 1656 1468 69.3% 17.9% 12.8% -10.9 51
2008-03-25 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1468 1656 12.8% 17.9% 69.3% +11.0 31
2008-03-25 Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1479 1527 42.6% 22.3% 35.1% -6.8 20
2008-03-25 @ Stirling Albion W 3-2 1527 1479 35.1% 22.3% 42.6% +6.8 41
2008-03-29 Clyde W 2-0 1647 1479 67.5% 18.5% 14.0% +5.3 62
2008-03-29 @ Dundee L 0-2 1479 1647 14.0% 18.5% 67.5% -5.3 31
2008-03-29 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1645 1534 62.1% 19.9% 17.9% -1.8 52
2008-03-29 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1534 1645 17.9% 19.9% 62.1% +1.8 42
2008-03-29 Greenock Morton D 0-0 1570 1454 62.5% 19.8% 17.6% -2.0 45
2008-03-29 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1454 1570 17.6% 19.8% 62.5% +2.0 31
2008-03-29 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1673 1570 61.2% 20.1% 18.6% -1.9 66
2008-03-29 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1570 1673 18.6% 20.1% 61.2% +1.9 39
2008-03-29 Stirling Albion W 2-1 1500 1472 52.6% 21.6% 25.8% +4.8 33
2008-03-29 @ Livingston L 1-2 1472 1500 25.8% 21.6% 52.6% -4.8 20
2008-04-01 Dundee W 1-0 1572 1652 38.0% 22.3% 39.7% +7.2 42
2008-04-01 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1652 1572 39.7% 22.3% 38.0% -7.2 62
2008-04-01 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1505 1568 40.5% 22.3% 37.2% +6.9 36
2008-04-01 @ Livingston L 0-1 1568 1505 37.2% 22.3% 40.5% -6.8 45
2008-04-05 Dundee L 1-2 1456 1645 24.5% 21.4% 54.1% -4.6 31
2008-04-05 @ Greenock Morton W 2-1 1645 1456 54.1% 21.4% 24.5% +4.6 65
2008-04-05 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1579 1535 54.5% 21.3% 24.1% -9.4 42
2008-04-05 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1535 1579 24.1% 21.3% 54.5% +9.4 45
2008-04-05 Livingston W 3-2 1474 1512 43.9% 22.2% 33.9% +5.7 34
2008-04-05 @ Clyde L 2-3 1512 1474 33.9% 22.2% 43.9% -5.7 36
2008-04-05 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1468 1561 36.1% 22.3% 41.6% +0.2 21
2008-04-05 @ Stirling Albion D 0-0 1561 1468 41.6% 22.3% 36.1% -0.2 46
2008-04-05 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1671 1643 52.6% 21.6% 25.8% +9.5 69
2008-04-05 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1643 1671 25.8% 21.6% 52.6% -9.5 52
2008-04-08 Stirling Albion W 1-0 1570 1468 61.1% 20.2% 18.8% +3.8 45
2008-04-08 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1468 1570 18.8% 20.2% 61.1% -3.8 21
2008-04-12 Clyde W 2-1 1545 1479 57.1% 20.9% 22.0% +4.1 48
2008-04-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1479 1545 22.0% 20.9% 57.1% -4.1 34
2008-04-12 Greenock Morton W 3-2 1634 1452 68.8% 18.1% 13.1% +2.4 55
2008-04-12 @ St. Johnstone L 2-3 1452 1634 13.1% 18.1% 68.8% -2.4 31
2008-04-12 Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1506 1681 26.0% 21.6% 52.4% -8.3 36
2008-04-12 @ Livingston W 3-1 1681 1506 52.4% 21.6% 26.0% +8.3 72
2008-04-12 Stirling Albion W 3-0 1650 1464 69.1% 18.0% 12.9% +7.1 68
2008-04-12 @ Dundee L 0-3 1464 1650 12.9% 18.0% 69.1% -7.1 21
2008-04-16 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1561 1573 47.4% 22.0% 30.5% +11.0 49
2008-04-16 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1573 1561 30.5% 22.0% 47.4% -11.0 45
2008-04-19 Clyde W 2-0 1689 1475 71.5% 17.1% 11.4% +4.3 75
2008-04-19 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1475 1689 11.4% 17.1% 71.5% -4.3 34
2008-04-19 Dundee W 1-0 1572 1657 37.4% 22.3% 40.3% +7.3 52
2008-04-19 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1657 1572 40.3% 22.3% 37.4% -7.3 68
2008-04-19 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1449 1549 35.3% 22.3% 42.4% +20.8 34
2008-04-19 @ Greenock Morton L 0-3 1549 1449 42.4% 22.3% 35.3% -20.8 48
2008-04-19 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1498 1562 40.2% 22.3% 37.4% +6.9 39
2008-04-19 @ Livingston L 0-1 1562 1498 37.4% 22.3% 40.2% -6.9 45
2008-04-23 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1457 1636 25.5% 21.5% 53.0% +15.0 24
2008-04-23 @ Stirling Albion L 1-3 1636 1457 53.0% 21.5% 25.5% -15.0 55
2008-04-26 Greenock Morton L 0-3 1555 1470 59.3% 20.5% 20.2% -27.7 45
2008-04-26 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1470 1555 20.2% 20.5% 59.3% +27.7 37
2008-04-26 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1649 1693 43.1% 22.3% 34.6% -0.3 69
2008-04-26 @ Dundee D 1-1 1693 1649 34.6% 22.3% 43.1% +0.3 76
2008-04-26 Livingston W 5-2 1621 1505 62.6% 19.8% 17.6% +7.1 58
2008-04-26 @ St. Johnstone L 2-5 1505 1621 17.6% 19.8% 62.6% -7.1 39
2008-04-26 Queen Of The South W 4-0 1528 1579 42.1% 22.3% 35.6% +23.7 51
2008-04-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-4 1579 1528 35.6% 22.3% 42.1% -23.7 52
2008-04-26 Stirling Albion W 3-0 1471 1472 48.9% 21.9% 29.1% +15.4 37
2008-04-26 @ Clyde L 0-3 1472 1471 29.1% 21.9% 48.9% -15.4 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2008-03-25 12.78% Clyde 1468 2 @ St. Johnstone 1656 1
2 2008-01-26 20.14% Queen Of The South 1527 3 @ Dundee 1613 2
3 2008-04-26 20.15% Greenock Morton 1470 3 @ Partick Thistle 1555 0
4 2007-12-15 20.81% Queen Of The South 1477 3 @ Stirling Albion 1555 1
5 2007-09-01 21.86% Queen Of The South 1500 1 @ Greenock Morton 1567 0
6 2007-11-11 22.13% Clyde 1527 1 @ Dundee 1590 0
7 2007-10-06 22.68% Clyde 1524 2 @ Stirling Albion 1582 0
8 2008-04-05 24.13% Dunfermline Athletic 1535 1 @ Partick Thistle 1579 0
9 2007-12-26 24.63% Dunfermline Athletic 1500 1 @ Greenock Morton 1539 0
10 2007-11-03 25.23% @ Queen Of The South 1486 2 Hamilton Academical 1668 1
11 2007-11-03 25.38% Livingston 1494 4 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1526 0
12 2008-04-23 25.49% @ Stirling Albion 1457 3 St. Johnstone 1636 1
13 2007-11-03 25.51% Partick Thistle 1505 2 @ Clyde 1535 1
14 2007-11-14 26.11% Partick Thistle 1507 4 @ Livingston 1532 0
15 2008-01-19 26.79% Livingston 1508 4 @ Stirling Albion 1526 1
16 2007-12-08 26.88% @ Livingston 1501 2 Hamilton Academical 1668 0
17 2008-02-02 27.46% Stirling Albion 1503 3 @ Clyde 1516 1
18 2008-01-02 27.49% Greenock Morton 1520 2 @ Stirling Albion 1533 1
19 2007-10-20 28.13% Greenock Morton 1535 1 @ Clyde 1542 0
20 2008-01-19 28.90% Queen Of The South 1504 3 @ Greenock Morton 1504 0
21 2007-08-11 29.02% Hamilton Academical 1565 2 @ Clyde 1565 0
22 2007-08-25 29.24% Hamilton Academical 1585 2 @ Greenock Morton 1583 0
23 2007-08-11 29.62% Greenock Morton 1573 1 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1568 0
24 2007-12-26 30.68% @ Queen Of The South 1482 2 Dundee 1617 1
25 2008-02-23 30.90% Dunfermline Athletic 1525 2 @ Clyde 1509 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2007-11-03 32.86 Livingston 4 1494 25.38% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1526 53.12% 21.51%
2 2007-10-20 32.57 Hamilton Academical 5 1632 36.74% @ Dunfermline Athletic 0 1572 40.95% 22.31%
3 2007-11-14 32.41 Partick Thistle 4 1507 26.11% @ Livingston 0 1532 52.29% 21.60%
4 2008-04-26 27.73 Greenock Morton 3 1470 20.15% @ Partick Thistle 0 1555 59.32% 20.53%
5 2007-09-15 25.51 @ Livingston 4 1481 38.52% Greenock Morton 0 1557 39.16% 22.32%
6 2008-02-23 24.38 Dundee 6 1610 41.71% @ Stirling Albion 1 1515 36.00% 22.29%
7 2008-04-26 23.68 @ Dunfermline Athletic 4 1528 42.12% Queen Of The South 0 1579 35.60% 22.29%
8 2008-01-05 23.64 @ Livingston 6 1484 43.11% Greenock Morton 1 1528 34.64% 22.26%
9 2008-01-19 23.53 Queen Of The South 3 1504 28.90% @ Greenock Morton 0 1504 49.19% 21.91%
10 2008-01-19 22.62 @ Partick Thistle 3 1532 30.98% Hamilton Academical 0 1664 46.95% 22.07%
11 2007-08-18 21.83 @ Partick Thistle 4 1523 45.66% Clyde 0 1548 32.19% 22.15%
12 2008-04-19 20.82 @ Greenock Morton 3 1449 35.29% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1549 42.43% 22.28%
13 2008-01-19 20.65 Livingston 4 1508 26.79% @ Stirling Albion 1 1526 51.52% 21.69%
14 2007-09-01 19.58 Hamilton Academical 3 1601 38.39% @ Partick Thistle 0 1530 39.29% 22.32%
15 2007-09-15 18.70 @ Hamilton Academical 4 1621 51.53% Stirling Albion 0 1602 26.78% 21.69%
16 2007-10-06 18.22 Clyde 2 1524 22.68% @ Stirling Albion 0 1582 56.26% 21.07%
17 2008-03-01 17.65 Partick Thistle 4 1548 34.99% @ Clyde 1 1501 42.74% 22.27%
18 2007-12-08 16.84 @ Livingston 2 1501 26.88% Hamilton Academical 0 1668 51.42% 21.70%
19 2008-03-22 16.61 Queen Of The South 4 1553 38.08% @ Clyde 1 1485 39.60% 22.32%
20 2007-12-15 16.34 Queen Of The South 3 1477 20.81% @ Stirling Albion 1 1555 58.51% 20.68%
21 2007-08-11 16.17 Hamilton Academical 2 1565 29.02% @ Clyde 0 1565 49.06% 21.92%
22 2007-08-25 16.10 Hamilton Academical 2 1585 29.24% @ Greenock Morton 0 1583 48.82% 21.94%
23 2008-01-02 15.59 Dunfermline Athletic 2 1515 30.93% @ Livingston 0 1499 47.00% 22.07%
24 2008-04-26 15.38 @ Clyde 3 1471 48.94% Stirling Albion 0 1472 29.13% 21.93%
25 2007-08-04 15.38 Dundee 2 1536 31.63% @ Livingston 0 1515 46.25% 22.12%