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2006-07 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundee

7.52 points above expected

53 points · 45.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ross County

7.06 points below expected

37 points · 44.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Gretna 36 19 9 8 66 70 40 +30 66.55 -0.55
2 St. Johnstone 36 19 8 9 65 65 42 +23 61.22 +3.78
3 Dundee 36 16 5 15 53 48 42 +6 45.48 +7.52
4 Hamilton Academical 36 14 11 11 53 46 47 -1 54.04 -1.04
5 Clyde 36 11 14 11 47 46 35 +11 53.75 -6.75
6 Livingston 36 11 12 13 45 41 46 -5 44.67 +0.33
7 Partick Thistle 36 12 9 15 45 47 63 -16 43.77 +1.23
8 Queen Of The South 36 10 11 15 41 34 54 -20 37.10 +3.90
9 Airdrie United 36 11 7 18 40 39 50 -11 46.78 -6.78
10 Ross County 36 9 10 17 37 40 57 -17 44.06 -7.06

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Gretna 1609 66 66.55 -0.55 49.0% 36 54 61 67 72 79 95
St. Johnstone 1601 65 61.22 +3.78 70.7% 35 48 56 61 67 74 93
Clyde 1548 47 53.75 -6.75 22.0% 26 41 48 54 59 67 85
Hamilton Academical 1531 53 54.04 -1.04 47.2% 22 41 49 54 59 67 81
Dundee 1493 53 45.48 +7.52 85.0% 20 33 40 45 51 58 76
Airdrie United 1486 40 46.78 -6.78 20.6% 20 34 42 47 52 59 75
Livingston 1458 45 44.67 +0.33 55.3% 21 32 40 44 50 58 74
Ross County 1454 37 44.06 -7.06 19.4% 18 32 39 44 49 57 72
Partick Thistle 1443 45 43.77 +1.23 59.1% 14 31 38 44 49 57 70
Queen Of The South 1438 41 37.10 +3.90 73.2% 10 25 32 37 42 49 65

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU CLY DUN GRE HA LIV PT QOTS RC SJ
Airdrie United —
3-1-0
4.72
0-0-4
5.67
2-2-0
3.43
1-0-3
4.84
2-0-2
5.66
1-1-2
5.98
1-2-1
6.59
0-1-3
5.90
1-0-3
4.02
Clyde
0-1-3
6.32
 —
2-1-1
6.40
1-2-1
4.19
2-1-1
5.44
0-3-1
6.50
2-2-0
6.37
2-1-1
7.25
1-2-1
6.57
1-1-2
4.74
Dundee
4-0-0
5.35
1-1-2
4.63
 —
1-0-3
3.50
1-1-2
4.62
3-0-1
5.41
1-0-3
5.62
2-1-1
6.47
2-1-1
5.69
1-1-2
4.04
Gretna
0-2-2
7.70
1-2-1
6.86
3-0-1
7.64
 —
2-1-1
6.63
2-2-0
7.65
3-1-0
7.75
3-0-1
8.44
4-0-0
7.79
1-1-2
6.14
Hamilton Academical
3-0-1
6.19
1-1-2
5.57
2-1-1
6.41
1-1-2
4.41
 —
3-1-0
6.38
2-0-2
6.52
0-4-0
7.26
2-1-1
6.55
0-2-2
4.71
Livingston
2-0-2
5.35
1-3-0
4.53
1-0-3
5.60
0-2-2
3.48
0-1-3
4.65
 —
1-2-1
5.57
1-1-2
6.27
2-2-0
5.38
3-1-0
3.85
Partick Thistle
2-1-1
5.03
0-2-2
4.66
3-0-1
5.38
0-1-3
3.39
2-0-2
4.51
1-2-1
5.43
 —
1-2-1
6.20
2-1-1
5.38
1-0-3
3.78
Queen Of The South
1-2-1
4.46
1-1-2
3.84
1-1-2
4.57
1-0-3
2.80
0-4-0
3.83
2-1-1
4.76
1-2-1
4.82
 —
2-0-2
4.72
1-0-3
3.38
Ross County
3-1-0
5.12
1-2-1
4.47
1-1-2
5.32
0-0-4
3.36
1-1-2
4.49
0-2-2
5.64
1-1-2
5.63
2-0-2
6.31
 —
0-2-2
3.83
St. Johnstone
3-0-1
7.05
2-1-1
6.28
2-1-1
7.02
2-1-1
4.88
2-2-0
6.31
0-1-3
7.24
3-0-1
7.31
3-0-1
7.77
2-2-0
7.25
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +8.2
Allowed 0.36 -7.0
Differential 0.84 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%9.17%5.83%3.61%1.39%1.11%29.44%
19.17%12.78%7.22%3.06%1.11%0.28%33.61%
25.83%7.22%4.44%1.67%1.11%0.28%20.56%
33.61%3.06%1.67%1.11%0.83%—10.28%
41.39%1.11%1.11%0.83%——4.44%
5+1.11%0.28%0.28%———1.67%
Total29.44%33.61%20.56%10.28%4.44%1.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.82
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%11.11%——36.11%
111.11%8.33%16.67%———36.11%
22.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—13.89%
32.78%5.56%——2.78%—11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%33.33%25.00%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.39 -0.31
SD 1.11 1.15 1.55
CV 1.02 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.89%—2.78%——33.33%
12.78%16.67%8.33%2.78%——30.56%
28.33%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—19.44%
35.56%——2.78%——8.33%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+———————
Total38.89%38.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 0.97 +0.31
SD 1.26 1.06 1.65
CV 0.98 1.09 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%19.44%5.56%———27.78%
111.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
35.56%8.33%5.56%———19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%44.44%22.22%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.17 +0.17
SD 1.17 0.97 1.63
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—8.33%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
111.11%5.56%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
25.56%8.33%2.78%—2.78%—19.44%
32.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%——13.89%
45.56%5.56%————11.11%
5+8.33%—————8.33%
Total44.44%22.22%16.67%11.11%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.11 +0.83
SD 1.74 1.26 2.37
CV 0.89 1.13 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%—2.78%—2.78%22.22%
113.89%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%—41.67%
22.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
35.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%41.67%11.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.31 -0.03
SD 0.97 1.43 1.75
CV 0.76 1.10 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
18.33%22.22%5.56%8.33%2.78%—47.22%
25.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%19.44%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.28 -0.14
SD 0.93 1.11 1.48
CV 0.82 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%13.89%—5.56%2.78%33.33%
15.56%11.11%5.56%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
25.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
3—5.56%2.78%—2.78%—11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total19.44%27.78%33.33%5.56%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.75 -0.44
SD 1.28 1.46 2.01
CV 0.98 0.84 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%5.56%44.44%
18.33%16.67%2.78%———27.78%
211.11%—8.33%———19.44%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%27.78%19.44%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.50 -0.56
SD 1.07 1.46 2.09
CV 1.13 0.98 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%5.56%——30.56%
111.11%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—38.89%
22.78%5.56%5.56%8.33%—2.78%25.00%
3———————
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%22.22%19.44%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.58 -0.47
SD 1.04 1.27 1.50
CV 0.93 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
18.33%8.33%11.11%———27.78%
211.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4——2.78%5.56%——8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total30.56%33.33%25.00%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.17 +0.64
SD 1.37 1.00 1.55
CV 0.76 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundee 53 45.48 +7.52
2 Queen Of The South 41 37.10 +3.90
3 St. Johnstone 65 61.22 +3.78
4 Partick Thistle 45 43.77 +1.23
5 Livingston 45 44.67 +0.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ross County 37 44.06 -7.06
2 Airdrie United 40 46.78 -6.78
3 Clyde 47 53.75 -6.75
4 Hamilton Academical 53 54.04 -1.04
5 Gretna 66 66.55 -0.55

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 4 Feb 17 – Mar 10 1 in 316
2 Partick Thistle 4 Sep 30 – Oct 28 1 in 52
3 Clyde 4 Feb 17 – Mar 10 1 in 52
4 St. Johnstone 4 Apr 7 – Apr 28 1 in 41
5 Dundee 3 Sep 9 – Sep 23 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Clyde 3 Jan 20 – Feb 10 1 in 46
2 Airdrie United 4 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 43
3 Livingston 3 Dec 23 – Jan 2 1 in 31
4 Gretna 2 Feb 24 – Mar 3 1 in 25
5 Partick Thistle 4 Mar 17 – Apr 3 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Queen Of The South 12 Jan 27 – Apr 14 1 in 3,193
2 Livingston 8 Aug 5 – Sep 30 1 in 90
3 Clyde 9 Oct 21 – Dec 16 1 in 52
4 St. Johnstone 10 Aug 5 – Oct 21 1 in 22
5 Airdrie United 5 Apr 4 – Apr 28 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Clyde 8 Mar 17 – Apr 28 1 in 156
2 Hamilton Academical 8 Nov 18 – Jan 2 1 in 83
3 Airdrie United 7 Aug 5 – Sep 23 1 in 39
4 Queen Of The South 10 Aug 5 – Oct 21 1 in 18
5 Partick Thistle 7 Dec 16 – Feb 10 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Gretna59.15%23.78%9.90%3.94%1.70%0.91%0.38%0.14%0.09%0.01%
St. Johnstone25.92%34.35%17.90%10.39%5.56%3.12%1.53%0.74%0.43%0.06%
Dundee0.67%2.83%6.62%10.55%13.70%14.89%14.84%14.32%13.15%8.43%
Hamilton Academical6.15%14.06%21.70%18.55%14.57%9.96%7.09%4.63%2.42%0.87%
Clyde5.88%14.85%20.97%19.21%13.79%9.59%7.32%4.52%2.57%1.30%
Livingston0.43%2.39%5.49%8.99%11.64%14.12%14.97%16.43%14.85%10.69%
Partick Thistle0.39%2.04%4.19%7.46%10.84%13.20%14.93%15.73%17.22%14.00%
Queen Of The South0.04%0.24%0.74%1.73%3.07%5.54%8.96%13.31%21.35%45.02%
Airdrie United0.99%3.32%8.24%11.54%14.71%14.95%14.78%13.27%11.49%6.71%
Ross County0.38%2.14%4.25%7.64%10.42%13.72%15.20%16.91%16.43%12.91%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.33%
Slight Edge
43.33%26.67%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 46.60 Elo pts.
199 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Gretna, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.14 * Some Luck: 6.14 to 9.21 * Lucky: 9.21 to 12.28 * Wild Swing: 12.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.77 points
As Expected
07.6819
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
85.04%
Dundee
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
19.35%
Ross County
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.11
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
73%
Clear Edge
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.26
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.39
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
As Expected
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.64
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Gretna 59.15% 40.75% 0.09% 0.01%
St. Johnstone 25.92% 73.59% 0.43% 0.06%
Hamilton Academical 6.15% 90.56% 2.42% 0.87%
Clyde 5.88% 90.25% 2.57% 1.30%
Airdrie United 0.99% 80.81% 11.49% 6.71%
Dundee 0.67% 77.75% 13.15% 8.43%
Livingston 0.43% 74.03% 14.85% 10.69%
Ross County 0.38% 70.28% 16.43% 12.91%
Partick Thistle 0.39% 68.39% 17.22% 14.00%
Queen Of The South 0.04% 33.59% 21.35% 45.02%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2006-08-05 Clyde D 0-0 1566 1528 48.6% 24.0% 27.3% -0.6 1
2006-08-05 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1528 1566 27.3% 24.0% 48.6% +0.5 1
2006-08-05 Hamilton Academical W 6-0 1597 1538 51.4% 23.4% 25.1% +16.0 3
2006-08-05 @ Gretna L 0-6 1538 1597 25.1% 23.4% 51.4% -16.0 0
2006-08-05 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1449 1469 40.6% 25.0% 34.4% -4.5 0
2006-08-05 @ Dundee W 1-0 1469 1449 34.4% 25.0% 40.6% +4.5 3
2006-08-05 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1455 1438 45.7% 24.5% 29.8% +6.7 3
2006-08-05 @ Livingston L 0-2 1438 1455 29.8% 24.5% 45.7% -6.7 0
2006-08-05 Ross County L 0-2 1523 1498 46.8% 24.4% 28.9% -9.5 0
2006-08-05 @ Airdrie United W 2-0 1498 1523 28.9% 24.4% 46.8% +9.5 3
2006-08-12 Airdrie United W 4-2 1474 1513 37.7% 25.1% 37.1% +6.2 6
2006-08-12 @ Partick Thistle L 2-4 1513 1474 37.1% 25.1% 37.7% -6.2 0
2006-08-12 Dundee W 1-0 1522 1445 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% +2.9 3
2006-08-12 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1445 1522 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% -2.9 0
2006-08-12 Livingston L 0-3 1508 1461 49.8% 23.8% 26.4% -14.5 3
2006-08-12 @ Ross County W 3-0 1461 1508 26.4% 23.8% 49.8% +14.5 6
2006-08-12 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1431 1566 25.9% 23.6% 50.5% -3.1 0
2006-08-12 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1566 1431 50.5% 23.6% 25.9% +3.1 4
2006-08-13 Gretna L 1-2 1529 1613 31.7% 24.8% 43.5% -3.5 1
2006-08-13 @ Clyde W 2-1 1613 1529 43.5% 24.8% 31.7% +3.5 6
2006-08-19 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1569 1525 49.4% 23.9% 26.7% -0.6 5
2006-08-19 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1525 1569 26.7% 23.9% 49.4% +0.6 4
2006-08-19 Partick Thistle D 2-2 1476 1480 42.8% 24.9% 32.4% -0.2 7
2006-08-19 @ Livingston D 2-2 1480 1476 32.4% 24.9% 42.8% +0.2 7
2006-08-19 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1507 1428 54.1% 22.7% 23.2% -0.5 1
2006-08-19 @ Airdrie United D 2-2 1428 1507 23.2% 22.7% 54.1% +0.5 1
2006-08-19 Ross County W 2-1 1617 1493 59.6% 20.9% 19.5% +2.2 9
2006-08-19 @ Gretna L 1-2 1493 1617 19.5% 20.9% 59.6% -2.2 3
2006-08-20 Clyde W 3-0 1442 1525 31.8% 24.8% 43.4% +13.0 3
2006-08-20 @ Dundee L 0-3 1525 1442 43.4% 24.8% 31.8% -13.0 1
2006-08-26 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1506 1526 40.7% 25.0% 34.3% -4.3 1
2006-08-26 @ Airdrie United W 2-1 1526 1506 34.3% 25.0% 40.7% +4.3 7
2006-08-26 Livingston L 0-1 1455 1476 40.5% 25.0% 34.5% -4.5 3
2006-08-26 @ Dundee W 1-0 1476 1455 34.5% 25.0% 40.5% +4.5 10
2006-08-26 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1512 1480 47.8% 24.2% 28.0% -0.5 2
2006-08-26 @ Clyde D 0-0 1480 1512 28.0% 24.2% 47.8% +0.5 8
2006-08-26 Ross County W 3-1 1568 1491 53.8% 22.8% 23.4% +4.7 8
2006-08-26 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1491 1568 23.4% 22.8% 53.8% -4.7 3
2006-08-27 Gretna L 0-3 1429 1619 20.8% 21.6% 57.6% -6.9 1
2006-08-27 @ Queen Of The South W 3-0 1619 1429 57.6% 21.6% 20.8% +6.9 12
2006-09-09 Airdrie United W 3-0 1480 1502 40.2% 25.1% 34.7% +11.0 13
2006-09-09 @ Livingston L 0-3 1502 1480 34.7% 25.1% 40.2% -11.0 1
2006-09-09 Dundee L 0-4 1626 1451 65.7% 18.3% 16.0% -23.6 12
2006-09-09 @ Gretna W 4-0 1451 1626 16.0% 18.3% 65.7% +23.6 6
2006-09-09 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1486 1422 52.2% 23.2% 24.6% +3.0 6
2006-09-09 @ Ross County L 0-1 1422 1486 24.6% 23.2% 52.2% -3.0 1
2006-09-09 St. Johnstone L 1-5 1481 1573 30.6% 24.7% 44.7% -10.8 8
2006-09-09 @ Partick Thistle W 5-1 1573 1481 44.7% 24.7% 30.6% +10.8 11
2006-09-16 Airdrie United W 1-0 1584 1491 55.8% 22.2% 22.0% +2.7 14
2006-09-16 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1491 1584 22.0% 22.2% 55.8% -2.7 1
2006-09-16 Livingston D 1-1 1602 1491 58.1% 21.4% 20.5% -0.9 13
2006-09-16 @ Gretna D 1-1 1491 1602 20.5% 21.4% 58.1% +0.9 14
2006-09-16 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1530 1470 51.6% 23.4% 25.0% -5.1 7
2006-09-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1470 1530 25.0% 23.4% 51.6% +5.1 11
2006-09-16 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1474 1419 51.0% 23.5% 25.5% +2.9 9
2006-09-16 @ Dundee L 1-2 1419 1474 25.5% 23.5% 51.0% -2.9 1
2006-09-16 Ross County W 3-0 1512 1489 46.5% 24.4% 29.1% +9.5 5
2006-09-16 @ Clyde L 0-3 1489 1512 29.1% 24.4% 46.5% -9.5 6
2006-09-23 Clyde L 0-2 1416 1521 29.1% 24.4% 46.5% -6.6 1
2006-09-23 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1521 1416 46.5% 24.4% 29.1% +6.5 8
2006-09-23 Dundee L 0-1 1489 1477 45.0% 24.6% 30.4% -4.9 1
2006-09-23 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1477 1489 30.4% 24.6% 45.0% +4.9 12
2006-09-23 Gretna L 0-6 1475 1601 26.8% 23.9% 49.3% -16.9 11
2006-09-23 @ Partick Thistle W 6-0 1601 1475 49.3% 23.9% 26.8% +16.9 16
2006-09-23 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1480 1525 37.0% 25.1% 37.9% -4.2 6
2006-09-23 @ Ross County W 1-0 1525 1480 37.9% 25.1% 37.0% +4.2 10
2006-09-23 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1492 1587 30.4% 24.6% 45.0% +0.3 15
2006-09-23 @ Livingston D 1-1 1587 1492 45.0% 24.6% 30.4% -0.3 15
2006-09-30 Airdrie United L 0-2 1618 1484 61.0% 20.3% 18.7% -11.8 16
2006-09-30 @ Gretna W 2-0 1484 1618 18.7% 20.3% 61.0% +11.8 4
2006-09-30 Livingston D 1-1 1528 1492 48.3% 24.1% 27.6% -0.5 9
2006-09-30 @ Clyde D 1-1 1492 1528 27.6% 24.1% 48.3% +0.5 16
2006-09-30 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1529 1409 59.2% 21.0% 19.8% -0.9 11
2006-09-30 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1409 1529 19.8% 21.0% 59.2% +1.0 2
2006-09-30 Ross County W 3-2 1458 1476 40.9% 25.0% 34.1% +3.5 14
2006-09-30 @ Partick Thistle L 2-3 1476 1458 34.1% 25.0% 40.9% -3.5 6
2006-09-30 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1482 1586 29.2% 24.4% 46.3% +0.4 13
2006-09-30 @ Dundee D 1-1 1586 1482 46.3% 24.4% 29.2% -0.4 16
2006-10-13 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1493 1528 38.4% 25.1% 36.5% -4.3 16
2006-10-13 @ Livingston W 1-0 1528 1493 36.5% 25.1% 38.4% +4.3 14
2006-10-14 Clyde W 2-1 1495 1527 38.8% 25.1% 36.1% +3.9 7
2006-10-14 @ Airdrie United L 1-2 1527 1495 36.1% 25.1% 38.8% -3.9 9
2006-10-14 Dundee W 1-0 1472 1482 41.9% 24.9% 33.1% +3.9 9
2006-10-14 @ Ross County L 0-1 1482 1472 33.1% 24.9% 41.9% -3.9 13
2006-10-14 Gretna D 3-3 1586 1606 40.4% 25.1% 34.5% -0.1 17
2006-10-14 @ St. Johnstone D 3-3 1606 1586 34.5% 25.1% 40.4% +0.1 17
2006-10-14 Partick Thistle L 0-2 1410 1462 36.0% 25.1% 38.9% -7.8 2
2006-10-14 @ Queen Of The South W 2-0 1462 1410 38.9% 25.1% 36.0% +7.8 17
2006-10-17 Clyde W 3-1 1532 1523 44.6% 24.7% 30.7% +5.9 17
2006-10-17 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1523 1532 30.7% 24.7% 44.6% -5.9 9
2006-10-21 Clyde D 3-3 1607 1518 55.3% 22.3% 22.3% -0.5 18
2006-10-21 @ Gretna D 3-3 1518 1607 22.3% 22.3% 55.3% +0.5 10
2006-10-21 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1479 1538 34.9% 25.1% 40.0% +0.1 14
2006-10-21 @ Dundee D 1-1 1538 1479 40.0% 25.1% 34.9% -0.1 18
2006-10-21 Partick Thistle L 1-2 1499 1469 47.5% 24.2% 28.2% -4.8 7
2006-10-21 @ Airdrie United W 2-1 1469 1499 28.2% 24.2% 47.5% +4.8 20
2006-10-21 Queen Of The South W 5-0 1586 1402 66.6% 17.9% 15.4% +8.1 20
2006-10-21 @ St. Johnstone L 0-5 1402 1586 15.4% 17.9% 66.6% -8.1 2
2006-10-21 Ross County D 0-0 1488 1476 45.1% 24.6% 30.3% -0.4 17
2006-10-21 @ Livingston D 0-0 1476 1488 30.3% 24.6% 45.1% +0.4 10
2006-10-28 Airdrie United W 2-1 1476 1494 40.8% 25.0% 34.2% +3.7 13
2006-10-28 @ Ross County L 1-2 1494 1476 34.2% 25.0% 40.8% -3.7 7
2006-10-28 Dundee W 3-1 1474 1479 42.7% 24.9% 32.4% +6.2 23
2006-10-28 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1479 1474 32.4% 24.9% 42.7% -6.2 14
2006-10-28 Gretna W 3-1 1538 1606 33.8% 25.0% 41.2% +7.5 21
2006-10-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1606 1538 41.2% 25.0% 33.8% -7.5 18
2006-10-28 Livingston W 2-0 1394 1488 30.5% 24.6% 44.9% +9.2 5
2006-10-28 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1488 1394 44.9% 24.6% 30.5% -9.2 17
2006-10-28 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1518 1594 32.8% 24.9% 42.3% +4.7 13
2006-10-28 @ Clyde L 0-1 1594 1518 42.3% 24.9% 32.8% -4.7 20
2006-11-04 Gretna L 1-3 1472 1599 26.8% 23.9% 49.3% -5.3 14
2006-11-04 @ Dundee W 3-1 1599 1472 49.3% 23.9% 26.8% +5.3 21
2006-11-04 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1523 1546 40.1% 25.1% 34.8% +3.8 16
2006-11-04 @ Clyde L 1-2 1546 1523 34.8% 25.1% 40.1% -3.8 21
2006-11-04 Livingston L 0-1 1491 1479 45.0% 24.6% 30.3% -4.9 7
2006-11-04 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1479 1491 30.3% 24.6% 45.0% +4.9 20
2006-11-04 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1589 1480 57.8% 21.5% 20.7% +4.8 23
2006-11-04 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1480 1589 20.7% 21.5% 57.8% -4.8 23
2006-11-04 Ross County W 2-0 1403 1480 32.6% 24.9% 42.5% +8.8 8
2006-11-04 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1480 1403 42.5% 24.9% 32.6% -8.8 13
2006-11-11 Airdrie United W 2-1 1542 1486 51.0% 23.5% 25.5% +2.9 24
2006-11-11 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1486 1542 25.5% 23.5% 51.0% -2.9 7
2006-11-11 Dundee L 2-3 1484 1467 45.7% 24.5% 29.8% -4.4 20
2006-11-11 @ Livingston W 3-2 1467 1484 29.8% 24.5% 45.7% +4.4 17
2006-11-11 Queen Of The South W 5-0 1604 1412 67.5% 17.5% 15.0% +7.8 24
2006-11-11 @ Gretna L 0-5 1412 1604 15.0% 17.5% 67.5% -7.8 8
2006-11-18 Clyde D 1-1 1471 1526 35.5% 25.1% 39.4% +0.1 14
2006-11-18 @ Ross County D 1-1 1526 1471 39.4% 25.1% 35.5% -0.1 17
2006-11-18 Dundee W 2-0 1404 1472 33.9% 25.0% 41.1% +8.6 11
2006-11-18 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1472 1404 41.1% 25.0% 33.9% -8.6 17
2006-11-18 Gretna L 1-2 1479 1612 26.2% 23.7% 50.1% -3.0 20
2006-11-18 @ Livingston W 2-1 1612 1479 50.1% 23.7% 26.2% +3.0 27
2006-11-18 Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1476 1545 33.6% 25.0% 41.4% +7.5 26
2006-11-18 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1545 1476 41.4% 25.0% 33.6% -7.5 24
2006-11-18 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1483 1594 28.5% 24.3% 47.2% +4.8 10
2006-11-18 @ Airdrie United L 1-2 1594 1483 47.2% 24.3% 28.5% -4.8 23
2006-11-22 Clyde D 1-1 1483 1526 37.2% 25.1% 37.7% +0.0 27
2006-11-22 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1526 1483 37.7% 25.1% 37.2% -0.0 18
2006-11-22 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1471 1589 27.7% 24.1% 48.2% +0.4 15
2006-11-22 @ Ross County D 2-2 1589 1471 48.2% 24.1% 27.7% -0.3 24
2006-11-25 Airdrie United W 1-0 1463 1488 39.9% 25.1% 35.1% +4.0 20
2006-11-25 @ Dundee L 0-1 1488 1463 35.1% 25.1% 39.9% -4.0 10
2006-11-25 Livingston L 1-2 1589 1476 58.3% 21.3% 20.4% -5.7 24
2006-11-25 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1476 1589 20.4% 21.3% 58.3% +5.7 23
2006-11-25 Partick Thistle W 4-0 1615 1483 60.6% 20.5% 18.9% +8.2 30
2006-11-25 @ Gretna L 0-4 1483 1615 18.9% 20.5% 60.6% -8.2 27
2006-11-25 Queen Of The South W 4-0 1526 1413 58.4% 21.3% 20.3% +8.8 21
2006-11-25 @ Clyde L 0-4 1413 1526 20.3% 21.3% 58.4% -8.8 11
2006-11-25 Ross County D 0-0 1537 1472 52.3% 23.2% 24.5% -0.7 25
2006-11-25 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1472 1537 24.5% 23.2% 52.3% +0.7 16
2006-12-02 Airdrie United D 0-0 1535 1484 50.4% 23.6% 25.9% -0.6 22
2006-12-02 @ Clyde D 0-0 1484 1535 25.9% 23.6% 50.4% +0.6 11
2006-12-02 Livingston D 1-1 1536 1482 50.8% 23.6% 25.6% -0.6 26
2006-12-02 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1482 1536 25.6% 23.6% 50.8% +0.6 24
2006-12-02 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1475 1404 53.0% 23.0% 24.0% -0.7 28
2006-12-02 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1404 1475 24.0% 23.0% 53.0% +0.7 12
2006-12-02 Ross County W 3-1 1467 1472 42.6% 24.9% 32.5% +6.2 23
2006-12-02 @ Dundee L 1-3 1472 1467 32.5% 24.9% 42.6% -6.2 16
2006-12-02 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1623 1583 48.9% 24.0% 27.2% +6.2 33
2006-12-02 @ Gretna L 0-2 1583 1623 27.2% 24.0% 48.9% -6.2 24
2006-12-09 Clyde D 1-1 1483 1535 36.0% 25.1% 38.9% +0.1 25
2006-12-09 @ Livingston D 1-1 1535 1483 38.9% 25.1% 36.0% -0.1 23
2006-12-09 Dundee W 2-1 1577 1473 57.2% 21.7% 21.1% +2.4 27
2006-12-09 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1473 1577 21.1% 21.7% 57.2% -2.4 23
2006-12-09 Gretna W 4-2 1484 1629 24.9% 23.3% 51.8% +8.0 14
2006-12-09 @ Airdrie United L 2-4 1629 1484 51.8% 23.3% 24.9% -8.0 33
2006-12-09 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1405 1536 26.3% 23.8% 50.0% +0.6 13
2006-12-09 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1536 1405 50.0% 23.8% 26.3% -0.5 27
2006-12-09 Partick Thistle L 2-5 1466 1474 42.2% 24.9% 32.8% -9.3 16
2006-12-09 @ Ross County W 5-2 1474 1466 32.8% 24.9% 42.2% +9.3 31
2006-12-16 Airdrie United D 1-1 1405 1492 31.3% 24.8% 43.9% +0.3 14
2006-12-16 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1492 1405 43.9% 24.8% 31.3% -0.3 15
2006-12-16 Dundee W 2-1 1535 1471 52.1% 23.3% 24.7% +2.8 26
2006-12-16 @ Clyde L 1-2 1471 1535 24.7% 23.3% 52.1% -2.8 23
2006-12-16 Gretna L 0-1 1457 1621 23.0% 22.6% 54.3% -2.8 16
2006-12-16 @ Ross County W 1-0 1621 1457 54.3% 22.6% 23.0% +2.8 36
2006-12-16 Livingston L 2-3 1484 1483 43.5% 24.8% 31.7% -4.3 31
2006-12-16 @ Partick Thistle W 3-2 1483 1484 31.7% 24.8% 43.5% +4.3 28
2006-12-16 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1535 1579 37.1% 25.1% 37.8% +0.0 28
2006-12-16 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1579 1535 37.8% 25.1% 37.1% -0.0 28
2006-12-23 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1624 1535 55.3% 22.4% 22.4% +2.7 39
2006-12-23 @ Gretna L 0-1 1535 1624 22.4% 22.4% 55.3% -2.7 28
2006-12-23 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1487 1406 54.3% 22.6% 23.0% -5.7 28
2006-12-23 @ Livingston W 1-0 1406 1487 23.0% 22.6% 54.3% +5.7 17
2006-12-26 Clyde W 2-1 1579 1537 49.1% 23.9% 26.9% +3.1 31
2006-12-26 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1537 1579 26.9% 23.9% 49.1% -3.1 26
2006-12-26 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1468 1479 41.8% 25.0% 33.3% +6.3 26
2006-12-26 @ Dundee L 1-3 1479 1468 33.3% 25.0% 41.8% -6.3 31
2006-12-26 Ross County L 0-1 1492 1454 48.6% 24.0% 27.4% -5.2 15
2006-12-26 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1454 1492 27.4% 24.0% 48.6% +5.2 19
2006-12-30 Airdrie United L 1-3 1481 1487 42.6% 24.9% 32.5% -7.6 28
2006-12-30 @ Livingston W 3-1 1487 1481 32.5% 24.9% 42.6% +7.7 18
2006-12-30 Clyde D 1-1 1533 1534 43.1% 24.8% 32.0% -0.2 29
2006-12-30 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1534 1533 32.0% 24.8% 43.1% +0.2 27
2006-12-30 Dundee W 1-0 1627 1474 63.1% 19.5% 17.4% +2.1 42
2006-12-30 @ Gretna L 0-1 1474 1627 17.4% 19.5% 63.1% -2.1 26
2006-12-30 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1459 1411 50.0% 23.8% 26.3% +3.2 22
2006-12-30 @ Ross County L 0-1 1411 1459 26.3% 23.8% 50.0% -3.2 17
2007-01-02 Gretna L 0-4 1408 1629 18.5% 20.2% 61.3% -8.0 17
2007-01-02 @ Queen Of The South W 4-0 1629 1408 61.3% 20.2% 18.5% +8.0 45
2007-01-02 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1494 1532 38.0% 25.1% 36.9% +4.2 21
2007-01-02 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1532 1494 36.9% 25.1% 38.0% -4.2 29
2007-01-02 Livingston W 2-0 1472 1474 43.2% 24.8% 32.0% +7.1 29
2007-01-02 @ Dundee L 0-2 1474 1472 32.0% 24.8% 43.2% -7.1 28
2007-01-02 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1535 1473 51.8% 23.3% 24.9% +5.7 30
2007-01-02 @ Clyde L 0-2 1473 1535 24.9% 23.3% 51.8% -5.7 31
2007-01-02 Ross County W 2-1 1582 1462 59.2% 21.0% 19.8% +2.3 34
2007-01-02 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1462 1582 19.8% 21.0% 59.2% -2.3 22
2007-01-13 Gretna D 2-2 1467 1637 22.6% 22.4% 55.0% +0.6 32
2007-01-13 @ Partick Thistle D 2-2 1637 1467 55.0% 22.4% 22.6% -0.6 46
2007-01-13 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1467 1585 27.7% 24.1% 48.2% +4.6 31
2007-01-13 @ Livingston L 2-3 1585 1467 48.2% 24.1% 27.7% -4.6 34
2007-01-20 Airdrie United W 4-3 1580 1499 54.4% 22.6% 23.0% +2.5 37
2007-01-20 @ St. Johnstone L 3-4 1499 1580 23.0% 22.6% 54.4% -2.5 21
2007-01-20 Livingston W 4-1 1636 1471 64.5% 18.9% 16.6% +4.6 49
2007-01-20 @ Gretna L 1-4 1471 1636 16.6% 18.9% 64.5% -4.6 31
2007-01-20 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1528 1468 51.6% 23.4% 25.0% +2.9 32
2007-01-20 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1468 1528 25.0% 23.4% 51.6% -2.9 32
2007-01-20 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1479 1400 54.1% 22.7% 23.2% +2.8 32
2007-01-20 @ Dundee L 0-1 1400 1479 23.2% 22.7% 54.1% -2.8 17
2007-01-20 Ross County L 2-4 1540 1460 54.2% 22.7% 23.1% -8.3 30
2007-01-20 @ Clyde W 4-2 1460 1540 23.1% 22.7% 54.2% +8.3 25
2007-01-27 Clyde W 1-0 1496 1532 38.3% 25.1% 36.6% +4.2 24
2007-01-27 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1532 1496 36.6% 25.1% 38.3% -4.2 30
2007-01-27 Dundee D 0-0 1469 1482 41.4% 25.0% 33.6% -0.2 26
2007-01-27 @ Ross County D 0-0 1482 1469 33.6% 25.0% 41.4% +0.2 33
2007-01-27 Gretna W 2-1 1582 1641 35.1% 25.1% 39.8% +4.2 40
2007-01-27 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1641 1582 39.8% 25.1% 35.1% -4.2 49
2007-01-27 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1467 1531 34.2% 25.0% 40.7% -3.8 31
2007-01-27 @ Livingston W 2-1 1531 1467 40.7% 25.0% 34.2% +3.7 35
2007-01-27 Partick Thistle W 4-3 1397 1465 33.8% 25.0% 41.2% +4.0 20
2007-01-27 @ Queen Of The South L 3-4 1465 1397 41.2% 25.0% 33.8% -4.0 32
2007-02-03 Dundee L 0-3 1500 1482 45.9% 24.5% 29.6% -13.6 24
2007-02-03 @ Airdrie United W 3-0 1482 1500 29.6% 24.5% 45.9% +13.6 36
2007-02-10 Airdrie United D 0-0 1636 1487 62.8% 19.6% 17.6% -1.2 50
2007-02-10 @ Gretna D 0-0 1487 1636 17.6% 19.6% 62.8% +1.2 25
2007-02-10 Livingston L 0-1 1528 1463 52.2% 23.2% 24.6% -5.5 30
2007-02-10 @ Clyde W 1-0 1463 1528 24.6% 23.2% 52.2% +5.5 34
2007-02-10 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1535 1401 60.8% 20.4% 18.8% -0.8 36
2007-02-10 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1401 1535 18.8% 20.4% 60.8% +0.8 21
2007-02-10 Ross County D 1-1 1461 1468 42.3% 24.9% 32.8% -0.2 33
2007-02-10 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1468 1461 32.8% 24.9% 42.3% +0.2 27
2007-02-10 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1496 1587 30.9% 24.7% 44.4% +4.6 39
2007-02-10 @ Dundee L 1-2 1587 1496 44.4% 24.7% 30.9% -4.6 40
2007-02-17 Clyde L 1-4 1501 1522 40.3% 25.1% 34.7% -10.4 39
2007-02-17 @ Dundee W 4-1 1522 1501 34.7% 25.1% 40.3% +10.4 33
2007-02-17 Hamilton Academical W 4-2 1582 1534 50.0% 23.8% 26.3% +4.7 43
2007-02-17 @ St. Johnstone L 2-4 1534 1582 26.3% 23.8% 50.0% -4.6 36
2007-02-17 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1468 1461 44.4% 24.7% 30.9% -4.8 34
2007-02-17 @ Livingston W 1-0 1461 1468 30.9% 24.7% 44.4% +4.8 36
2007-02-17 Queen Of The South L 0-3 1488 1402 54.9% 22.4% 22.6% -15.7 25
2007-02-17 @ Airdrie United W 3-0 1402 1488 22.6% 22.4% 54.9% +15.7 24
2007-02-17 Ross County W 4-1 1635 1469 64.7% 18.8% 16.5% +4.5 53
2007-02-17 @ Gretna L 1-4 1469 1635 16.5% 18.8% 64.7% -4.5 27
2007-02-24 Dundee W 1-0 1529 1490 48.8% 24.0% 27.2% +3.3 39
2007-02-24 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1490 1529 27.2% 24.0% 48.8% -3.3 39
2007-02-24 Gretna W 2-0 1533 1640 28.9% 24.4% 46.7% +9.5 36
2007-02-24 @ Clyde L 0-2 1640 1533 46.7% 24.4% 28.9% -9.5 53
2007-02-24 Livingston L 0-2 1464 1464 43.4% 24.8% 31.8% -9.0 27
2007-02-24 @ Ross County W 2-0 1464 1464 31.8% 24.8% 43.4% +9.0 37
2007-03-03 Airdrie United W 3-0 1533 1472 51.6% 23.4% 25.0% +8.3 42
2007-03-03 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1472 1533 25.0% 23.4% 51.6% -8.3 25
2007-03-03 Clyde L 0-4 1466 1542 32.6% 24.9% 42.4% -13.7 36
2007-03-03 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1542 1466 42.4% 24.9% 32.6% +13.7 39
2007-03-03 Dundee L 1-3 1472 1487 41.3% 25.0% 33.7% -7.5 37
2007-03-03 @ Livingston W 3-1 1487 1472 33.7% 25.0% 41.3% +7.5 42
2007-03-03 Queen Of The South L 0-3 1630 1418 69.8% 16.4% 13.8% -18.9 53
2007-03-03 @ Gretna W 3-0 1418 1630 13.8% 16.4% 69.8% +18.9 27
2007-03-03 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1455 1587 26.2% 23.7% 50.1% +0.6 28
2007-03-03 @ Ross County D 1-1 1587 1455 50.1% 23.7% 26.2% -0.6 44
2007-03-06 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1437 1586 24.4% 23.2% 52.4% +5.5 30
2007-03-06 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1586 1437 52.4% 23.2% 24.4% -5.5 44
2007-03-10 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1556 1541 45.5% 24.6% 30.0% +9.8 42
2007-03-10 @ Clyde L 0-3 1541 1556 30.0% 24.6% 45.5% -9.8 42
2007-03-10 Livingston W 3-1 1464 1465 43.2% 24.8% 31.9% +6.1 28
2007-03-10 @ Airdrie United L 1-3 1465 1464 31.9% 24.8% 43.2% -6.1 37
2007-03-10 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1581 1452 60.3% 20.6% 19.1% +4.4 47
2007-03-10 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1452 1581 19.1% 20.6% 60.3% -4.4 36
2007-03-10 Ross County W 2-0 1442 1456 41.5% 25.0% 33.5% +7.4 33
2007-03-10 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1456 1442 33.5% 25.0% 41.5% -7.4 28
2007-03-11 Gretna L 0-1 1494 1611 27.8% 24.1% 48.1% -3.4 42
2007-03-11 @ Dundee W 1-0 1611 1494 48.1% 24.1% 27.8% +3.3 56
2007-03-13 Hamilton Academical W 4-1 1448 1531 31.8% 24.8% 43.4% +11.0 31
2007-03-13 @ Ross County L 1-4 1531 1448 43.4% 24.8% 31.8% -11.0 42
2007-03-13 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1448 1585 25.6% 23.6% 50.8% +10.2 39
2007-03-13 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1585 1448 50.8% 23.6% 25.6% -10.2 47
2007-03-17 Clyde D 2-2 1459 1566 29.0% 24.4% 46.6% +0.3 32
2007-03-17 @ Ross County D 2-2 1566 1459 46.6% 24.4% 29.0% -0.3 43
2007-03-17 Dundee D 2-2 1450 1491 37.5% 25.1% 37.4% +0.0 34
2007-03-17 @ Queen Of The South D 2-2 1491 1450 37.4% 25.1% 37.5% +0.0 43
2007-03-17 Gretna D 1-1 1459 1615 23.8% 22.9% 53.2% +0.7 38
2007-03-17 @ Livingston D 1-1 1615 1459 53.2% 22.9% 23.8% -0.7 57
2007-03-17 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1458 1520 34.5% 25.0% 40.5% -7.5 39
2007-03-17 @ Partick Thistle W 2-0 1520 1458 40.5% 25.0% 34.5% +7.5 45
2007-03-17 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1470 1575 29.2% 24.4% 46.4% -3.3 28
2007-03-17 @ Airdrie United W 2-1 1575 1470 46.4% 24.4% 29.2% +3.3 50
2007-03-25 Airdrie United L 0-1 1450 1467 41.0% 25.0% 34.0% -4.6 39
2007-03-25 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1467 1450 34.0% 25.0% 41.0% +4.6 31
2007-03-25 Clyde D 0-0 1450 1565 28.0% 24.2% 47.9% +0.5 35
2007-03-25 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1565 1450 47.9% 24.2% 28.0% -0.5 44
2007-03-25 Dundee W 2-0 1578 1491 55.1% 22.4% 22.5% +5.2 53
2007-03-25 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1491 1578 22.5% 22.4% 55.1% -5.2 43
2007-03-31 Livingston L 1-2 1583 1460 59.7% 20.8% 19.5% -5.8 53
2007-03-31 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1460 1583 19.5% 20.8% 59.7% +5.8 41
2007-03-31 Partick Thistle W 2-0 1614 1446 64.9% 18.7% 16.4% +3.7 60
2007-03-31 @ Gretna L 0-2 1446 1614 16.4% 18.7% 64.9% -3.7 39
2007-03-31 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1565 1450 58.6% 21.3% 20.2% -6.0 44
2007-03-31 @ Clyde W 1-0 1450 1565 20.2% 21.3% 58.6% +6.0 38
2007-03-31 Ross County W 1-0 1528 1459 52.7% 23.1% 24.2% +3.0 48
2007-03-31 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1459 1528 24.2% 23.1% 52.7% -3.0 32
2007-04-01 Airdrie United W 2-1 1486 1471 45.4% 24.6% 30.0% +3.4 46
2007-04-01 @ Dundee L 1-2 1471 1486 30.0% 24.6% 45.4% -3.4 31
2007-04-03 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1456 1531 32.9% 24.9% 42.1% +0.2 39
2007-04-03 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1531 1456 42.1% 24.9% 32.9% -0.2 49
2007-04-03 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1457 1442 45.4% 24.6% 30.0% +3.4 35
2007-04-03 @ Ross County L 1-2 1442 1457 30.0% 24.6% 45.4% -3.4 39
2007-04-04 Clyde D 0-0 1465 1559 30.5% 24.6% 44.8% +0.4 42
2007-04-04 @ Livingston D 0-0 1559 1465 44.8% 24.6% 30.5% -0.4 45
2007-04-04 Gretna D 0-0 1468 1618 24.4% 23.2% 52.4% +0.7 32
2007-04-04 @ Airdrie United D 0-0 1618 1468 52.4% 23.2% 24.4% -0.7 61
2007-04-07 Airdrie United L 0-1 1558 1469 55.4% 22.3% 22.3% -5.8 45
2007-04-07 @ Clyde W 1-0 1469 1558 22.3% 22.3% 55.4% +5.8 35
2007-04-07 Livingston W 3-0 1530 1466 52.2% 23.2% 24.6% +8.2 52
2007-04-07 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1466 1530 24.6% 23.2% 52.2% -8.2 42
2007-04-07 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1439 1456 40.8% 25.0% 34.2% -0.2 40
2007-04-07 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1456 1439 34.2% 25.0% 40.8% +0.2 40
2007-04-07 Ross County W 3-2 1489 1460 47.4% 24.2% 28.3% +3.0 49
2007-04-07 @ Dundee L 2-3 1460 1489 28.3% 24.2% 47.4% -3.0 35
2007-04-07 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1617 1578 48.8% 24.0% 27.2% -9.8 61
2007-04-07 @ Gretna W 2-0 1578 1617 27.2% 24.0% 48.8% +9.8 56
2007-04-14 Airdrie United D 1-1 1457 1475 40.8% 25.0% 34.1% -0.1 36
2007-04-14 @ Ross County D 1-1 1475 1457 34.1% 25.0% 40.8% +0.2 36
2007-04-14 Dundee W 2-1 1438 1492 35.7% 25.1% 39.2% +4.1 43
2007-04-14 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1492 1438 39.2% 25.1% 35.7% -4.2 49
2007-04-14 Gretna D 0-0 1539 1607 33.7% 25.0% 41.3% +0.2 53
2007-04-14 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1607 1539 41.3% 25.0% 33.7% -0.2 62
2007-04-14 Livingston D 1-1 1457 1458 43.2% 24.8% 31.9% -0.2 41
2007-04-14 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1458 1457 31.9% 24.8% 43.2% +0.2 43
2007-04-17 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1553 1587 38.4% 25.1% 36.5% -4.3 45
2007-04-17 @ Clyde W 1-0 1587 1553 36.5% 25.1% 38.4% +4.3 59
2007-04-21 Clyde D 0-0 1607 1548 51.4% 23.4% 25.2% -0.7 63
2007-04-21 @ Gretna D 0-0 1548 1607 25.2% 23.4% 51.4% +0.7 46
2007-04-21 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1488 1539 36.1% 25.1% 38.8% +4.4 52
2007-04-21 @ Dundee L 0-1 1539 1488 38.8% 25.1% 36.1% -4.4 53
2007-04-21 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1475 1443 47.8% 24.2% 28.0% -0.5 37
2007-04-21 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1443 1475 28.0% 24.2% 47.8% +0.5 44
2007-04-21 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1592 1456 61.1% 20.3% 18.6% +6.2 62
2007-04-21 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1456 1592 18.6% 20.3% 61.1% -6.2 41
2007-04-21 Ross County D 1-1 1458 1457 43.5% 24.8% 31.7% -0.3 44
2007-04-21 @ Livingston D 1-1 1457 1458 31.7% 24.8% 43.5% +0.3 37
2007-04-28 Airdrie United L 0-3 1450 1474 40.0% 25.1% 35.0% -12.2 41
2007-04-28 @ Queen Of The South W 3-0 1474 1450 35.0% 25.1% 40.0% +12.2 40
2007-04-28 Dundee D 1-1 1549 1492 51.1% 23.5% 25.4% -0.6 47
2007-04-28 @ Clyde D 1-1 1492 1549 25.4% 23.5% 51.1% +0.6 53
2007-04-28 Gretna L 2-3 1457 1606 24.4% 23.2% 52.4% -2.7 37
2007-04-28 @ Ross County W 3-2 1606 1457 52.4% 23.2% 24.4% +2.7 66
2007-04-28 Livingston D 0-0 1443 1458 41.3% 25.0% 33.7% -0.2 45
2007-04-28 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1458 1443 33.7% 25.0% 41.3% +0.2 45
2007-04-28 St. Johnstone L 3-4 1534 1598 34.4% 25.0% 40.6% -3.5 53
2007-04-28 @ Hamilton Academical W 4-3 1598 1534 40.6% 25.0% 34.4% +3.5 65

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2007-03-03 13.80% Queen Of The South 1418 3 @ Gretna 1630 0
2 2006-09-09 15.95% Dundee 1451 4 @ Gretna 1626 0
3 2006-09-30 18.68% Airdrie United 1484 2 @ Gretna 1618 0
4 2007-03-31 19.49% Livingston 1460 2 @ St. Johnstone 1583 1
5 2007-03-31 20.20% Queen Of The South 1450 1 @ Clyde 1565 0
6 2006-11-25 20.37% Livingston 1476 2 @ St. Johnstone 1589 1
7 2007-04-07 22.28% Airdrie United 1469 1 @ Clyde 1558 0
8 2007-02-17 22.61% Queen Of The South 1402 3 @ Airdrie United 1488 0
9 2006-12-23 23.02% Queen Of The South 1406 1 @ Livingston 1487 0
10 2007-01-20 23.13% Ross County 1460 4 @ Clyde 1540 2
11 2007-03-06 24.43% @ Queen Of The South 1437 1 St. Johnstone 1586 0
12 2007-02-10 24.56% Livingston 1463 1 @ Clyde 1528 0
13 2006-12-09 24.89% @ Airdrie United 1484 4 Gretna 1629 2
14 2006-09-16 25.04% Partick Thistle 1470 2 @ Hamilton Academical 1530 1
15 2007-03-13 25.61% @ Partick Thistle 1448 2 St. Johnstone 1585 0
16 2006-08-12 26.42% Livingston 1461 3 @ Ross County 1508 0
17 2007-04-07 27.19% St. Johnstone 1578 2 @ Gretna 1617 0
18 2006-12-26 27.35% Ross County 1454 1 @ Airdrie United 1492 0
19 2007-01-13 27.67% @ Livingston 1467 3 St. Johnstone 1585 2
20 2006-10-21 28.23% Partick Thistle 1469 2 @ Airdrie United 1499 1
21 2006-11-18 28.47% @ Airdrie United 1483 2 St. Johnstone 1594 1
22 2006-08-05 28.87% Ross County 1498 2 @ Airdrie United 1523 0
23 2007-02-24 28.91% @ Clyde 1533 2 Gretna 1640 0
24 2007-02-03 29.61% Dundee 1482 3 @ Airdrie United 1500 0
25 2006-11-11 29.78% Dundee 1467 3 @ Livingston 1484 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-09-09 23.62 Dundee 4 1451 15.95% @ Gretna 0 1626 65.70% 18.34%
2 2007-03-03 18.90 Queen Of The South 3 1418 13.80% @ Gretna 0 1630 69.75% 16.44%
3 2006-09-23 16.93 Gretna 6 1601 49.34% @ Partick Thistle 0 1475 26.77% 23.89%
4 2006-08-05 15.99 @ Gretna 6 1597 51.44% Hamilton Academical 0 1538 25.14% 23.41%
5 2007-02-17 15.73 Queen Of The South 3 1402 22.61% @ Airdrie United 0 1488 54.94% 22.45%
6 2006-08-12 14.52 Livingston 3 1461 26.42% @ Ross County 0 1508 49.78% 23.80%
7 2007-03-03 13.68 Clyde 4 1542 42.45% @ Partick Thistle 0 1466 32.65% 24.91%
8 2007-02-03 13.62 Dundee 3 1482 29.61% @ Airdrie United 0 1500 45.89% 24.50%
9 2006-08-20 13.03 @ Dundee 3 1442 31.79% Clyde 0 1525 43.39% 24.82%
10 2007-04-28 12.23 Airdrie United 3 1474 34.99% @ Queen Of The South 0 1450 39.95% 25.07%
11 2006-09-30 11.76 Airdrie United 2 1484 18.68% @ Gretna 0 1618 60.98% 20.34%
12 2006-09-09 10.99 @ Livingston 3 1480 40.22% Airdrie United 0 1502 34.72% 25.06%
13 2007-03-13 10.98 @ Ross County 4 1448 31.83% Hamilton Academical 1 1531 43.35% 24.82%
14 2006-09-09 10.83 St. Johnstone 5 1573 44.68% @ Partick Thistle 1 1481 30.65% 24.67%
15 2007-02-17 10.37 Clyde 4 1522 34.66% @ Dundee 1 1501 40.28% 25.05%
16 2007-03-13 10.17 @ Partick Thistle 2 1448 25.61% St. Johnstone 0 1585 50.83% 23.56%
17 2007-04-07 9.85 St. Johnstone 2 1578 27.19% @ Gretna 0 1617 48.82% 24.00%
18 2007-03-10 9.76 @ Clyde 3 1556 45.45% Hamilton Academical 0 1541 29.99% 24.57%
19 2006-09-16 9.52 @ Clyde 3 1512 46.49% Ross County 0 1489 29.10% 24.41%
20 2006-08-05 9.52 Ross County 2 1498 28.87% @ Airdrie United 0 1523 46.77% 24.37%
21 2007-02-24 9.51 @ Clyde 2 1533 28.91% Gretna 0 1640 46.72% 24.37%
22 2006-12-09 9.32 Partick Thistle 5 1474 32.84% @ Ross County 2 1466 42.23% 24.92%
23 2006-10-28 9.22 @ Queen Of The South 2 1394 30.47% Livingston 0 1488 44.88% 24.64%
24 2007-02-24 8.98 Livingston 2 1464 31.76% @ Ross County 0 1464 43.43% 24.81%
25 2006-11-25 8.84 @ Clyde 4 1526 58.39% Queen Of The South 0 1413 20.30% 21.31%