Home / Leagues / Scotland / First Division / 2005-06
‹ ›

2005-06 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St. Mirren

14.00 points above expected

76 points · 62.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brechin City

20.36 points below expected

17 points · 37.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St. Mirren 36 23 7 6 76 52 28 +24 62.00 +14.00
2 St. Johnstone 36 18 12 6 66 59 34 +25 56.14 +9.86
3 Hamilton Academical 36 15 14 7 59 53 39 +14 51.91 +7.09
4 Ross County 36 14 14 8 56 47 40 +7 55.29 +0.71
5 Clyde 36 15 10 11 55 54 42 +12 51.74 +3.26
6 Airdrie United 36 11 12 13 45 57 43 +14 49.09 -4.09
7 Dundee 36 9 16 11 43 43 50 -7 48.07 -5.07
8 Queen Of The South 36 7 12 17 33 31 54 -23 34.80 -1.80
9 Stranraer 36 5 14 17 29 33 53 -20 47.66 -18.66
10 Brechin City 36 2 11 23 17 28 74 -46 37.36 -20.36

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
St. Mirren 1632 76 62.00 +14.00 97.4% 33 49 57 62 67 74 89
St. Johnstone 1618 66 56.14 +9.86 91.2% 24 43 51 56 61 69 84
Hamilton Academical 1574 59 51.91 +7.09 83.9% 24 40 47 52 57 64 81
Clyde 1559 55 51.74 +3.26 68.9% 23 39 47 52 57 64 78
Airdrie United 1551 45 49.09 -4.09 31.4% 20 37 44 49 54 62 77
Ross County 1513 56 55.29 +0.71 56.7% 24 43 50 55 60 68 84
Dundee 1438 43 48.07 -5.07 27.3% 21 36 43 48 53 61 76
Queen Of The South 1420 33 34.80 -1.80 44.2% 12 23 30 35 40 47 60
Stranraer 1392 29 47.66 -18.66 0.7% 20 35 43 48 53 60 81
Brechin City 1313 17 37.36 -20.36 0.1% 14 26 33 37 42 49 66

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU BC CLY DUN HA QOTS RC SJ SM STR
Airdrie United —
1-3-0
6.91
0-1-3
5.52
4-0-0
5.08
0-3-1
5.43
1-1-2
7.18
1-1-2
4.76
2-1-1
4.73
0-1-3
4.22
2-1-1
5.27
Brechin City
0-3-1
4.13
 —
1-1-2
4.15
1-0-3
4.37
0-0-4
4.39
0-4-0
5.42
0-1-3
3.85
0-0-4
3.38
0-0-4
3.32
0-2-2
4.39
Clyde
3-1-0
5.43
2-1-1
6.86
 —
1-3-0
5.97
0-3-1
5.18
3-0-1
7.37
3-0-1
5.23
0-1-3
5.08
0-0-4
4.49
3-1-0
6.09
Dundee
0-0-4
5.87
3-0-1
6.62
0-3-1
4.98
 —
0-3-1
5.32
2-1-1
6.81
0-3-1
4.55
1-2-1
4.50
2-1-1
3.83
1-3-0
5.67
Hamilton Academical
1-3-0
5.52
4-0-0
6.63
1-3-0
5.77
1-3-0
5.63
 —
2-1-1
7.54
1-2-1
5.58
0-1-3
5.21
2-1-1
4.20
3-0-1
5.86
Queen Of The South
2-1-1
3.82
0-4-0
5.54
1-0-3
3.63
1-1-2
4.19
1-1-2
3.48
 —
0-2-2
3.22
1-0-3
3.92
0-1-3
3.00
1-2-1
4.08
Ross County
2-1-1
6.19
3-1-0
7.15
1-0-3
5.71
1-3-0
6.42
1-2-1
5.38
2-2-0
7.81
 —
1-3-0
5.26
1-0-3
4.73
2-2-0
6.57
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
6.23
4-0-0
7.67
3-1-0
5.88
1-2-1
6.45
3-1-0
5.73
3-0-1
7.08
0-3-1
5.69
 —
1-2-1
5.03
2-2-0
6.38
St. Mirren
3-1-0
6.75
4-0-0
7.73
4-0-0
6.46
1-1-2
7.18
1-1-2
6.77
3-1-0
8.06
3-0-1
6.23
1-2-1
5.92
 —
3-1-0
6.93
Stranraer
1-1-2
5.70
2-2-0
6.58
0-1-3
4.90
0-3-1
5.28
1-0-3
5.11
1-2-1
6.91
0-2-2
4.41
0-2-2
4.62
0-1-3
4.08
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +13.3
Allowed 0.92 -13.5
Differential 0.89 +7.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.78%8.89%4.44%1.94%1.39%0.83%30.28%
18.89%15.56%6.39%3.61%0.83%0.56%35.83%
24.44%6.39%3.33%3.33%0.28%0.28%18.06%
31.94%3.61%3.33%2.22%——11.11%
41.39%0.83%0.28%——0.28%2.78%
5+0.83%0.56%0.28%—0.28%—1.94%
Total30.28%35.83%18.06%11.11%2.78%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.68
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%19.44%2.78%———27.78%
15.56%16.67%2.78%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
22.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.19 +0.39
SD 1.68 1.06 2.16
CV 1.06 0.89 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%11.11%11.11%—2.78%47.22%
12.78%13.89%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%36.11%
2———8.33%——8.33%
3—2.78%—5.56%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%27.78%16.67%30.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 2.06 -1.28
SD 0.93 1.45 1.56
CV 1.19 0.71 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%5.56%———16.67%
116.67%16.67%8.33%5.56%——47.22%
22.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%—5.56%——13.89%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total27.78%41.67%16.67%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.17 +0.33
SD 1.25 1.00 1.60
CV 0.84 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%41.67%
12.78%16.67%2.78%———22.22%
2—5.56%—5.56%2.78%—13.89%
32.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%38.89%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.39 -0.19
SD 1.26 1.54 1.91
CV 1.06 1.11 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%2.78%———19.44%
18.33%19.44%8.33%——2.78%38.89%
211.11%11.11%5.56%———27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4——2.78%——2.78%5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total36.11%36.11%22.22%——5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.08 +0.39
SD 1.21 1.23 1.40
CV 0.82 1.13 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%2.78%2.78%5.56%—38.89%
15.56%16.67%8.33%11.11%——41.67%
25.56%2.78%—2.78%—2.78%13.89%
3——5.56%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%16.67%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.50 -0.64
SD 0.87 1.36 1.48
CV 1.01 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—36.11%
18.33%11.11%2.78%———22.22%
22.78%8.33%8.33%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%8.33%2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%36.11%27.78%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.11 +0.19
SD 1.24 0.98 1.41
CV 0.95 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—————11.11%
116.67%16.67%11.11%2.78%——47.22%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%5.56%5.56%———13.89%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%33.33%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.94 +0.69
SD 1.20 0.92 1.39
CV 0.73 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%2.78%—2.78%—27.78%
116.67%2.78%—2.78%——22.22%
211.11%19.44%—2.78%——33.33%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.78 +0.67
SD 1.18 1.02 1.51
CV 0.82 1.31 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%—2.78%36.11%
15.56%25.00%13.89%2.78%——47.22%
22.78%—2.78%5.56%——11.11%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———————
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total19.44%38.89%25.00%11.11%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.47 -0.56
SD 1.02 1.18 1.25
CV 1.12 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 76 62.00 +14.00
2 St. Johnstone 66 56.14 +9.86
3 Hamilton Academical 59 51.91 +7.09
4 Clyde 55 51.74 +3.26
5 Ross County 56 55.29 +0.71

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Brechin City 17 37.36 -20.36
2 Stranraer 29 47.66 -18.66
3 Dundee 43 48.07 -5.07
4 Airdrie United 45 49.09 -4.09
5 Queen Of The South 33 34.80 -1.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 5 Aug 20 – Sep 24 1 in 79
2 Ross County 5 Oct 29 – Nov 26 1 in 65
3 Queen Of The South 2 Jan 28 – Feb 11 1 in 38
4 Hamilton Academical 4 Mar 28 – Apr 15 1 in 35
5 Airdrie United 3 Dec 17 – Dec 31 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brechin City 5 Sep 17 – Oct 22 1 in 132
2 Stranraer 4 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 62
3 Ross County 3 Dec 3 – Dec 17 1 in 22
4 Dundee 3 Mar 4 – Mar 18 1 in 16
5 Queen Of The South 4 Nov 19 – Dec 10 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ross County 13 Dec 26 – Apr 4 1 in 92
2 Queen Of The South 6 Mar 18 – Apr 22 1 in 53
3 Hamilton Academical 8 Aug 20 – Oct 22 1 in 49
4 St. Johnstone 12 Jan 2 – Apr 8 1 in 41
5 Dundee 6 Sep 17 – Oct 26 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brechin City 19 Aug 6 – Dec 17 1 in 4,106
2 Ross County 10 Feb 25 – Apr 29 1 in 489
3 Stranraer 12 Oct 1 – Dec 17 1 in 393
4 Dundee 11 Feb 11 – Apr 22 1 in 196
5 Airdrie United 7 Jan 2 – Mar 4 1 in 39

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
St. Mirren46.49%21.80%12.84%7.97%5.15%2.84%1.64%0.98%0.25%0.04%
St. Johnstone18.01%20.21%16.83%14.18%11.00%8.14%5.84%3.78%1.71%0.30%
Hamilton Academical6.82%11.23%13.81%14.61%14.74%13.43%11.61%8.38%4.08%1.29%
Ross County13.85%17.93%16.67%14.81%12.35%10.00%7.25%4.81%1.82%0.51%
Clyde6.46%11.37%13.71%14.48%13.71%14.01%11.73%8.74%4.39%1.40%
Airdrie United3.51%6.95%10.10%12.32%13.81%15.12%14.81%13.06%7.47%2.85%
Dundee2.59%5.47%7.96%10.12%13.11%14.84%16.85%16.29%9.10%3.67%
Queen Of The South0.01%0.08%0.25%0.62%1.30%2.76%5.26%11.33%28.07%50.32%
Stranraer2.23%4.72%7.18%9.81%12.26%14.67%17.39%17.52%9.93%4.29%
Brechin City0.03%0.24%0.65%1.08%2.57%4.19%7.62%15.11%33.18%35.33%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.56%
Slight Edge
38.33%33.89%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.81 Elo pts.
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
St. Mirren, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.28/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.01 * Some Luck: 6.01 to 9.01 * Lucky: 9.01 to 12.01 * Wild Swing: 12.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.34 * Close: 1.34 to 2.01 * Off: 2.01 to 2.68 * Way Off: 2.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
10.68 points
Lucky
07.5119
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.684
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.43%
St. Mirren
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.12%
Brechin City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.00
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.14
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
-0.41
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.19
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.115
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
St. Mirren 46.49% 53.22% 0.25% 0.04%
St. Johnstone 18.01% 79.98% 1.71% 0.30%
Ross County 13.85% 83.82% 1.82% 0.51%
Hamilton Academical 6.82% 87.81% 4.08% 1.29%
Clyde 6.46% 87.75% 4.39% 1.40%
Airdrie United 3.51% 86.17% 7.47% 2.85%
Dundee 2.59% 84.64% 9.10% 3.67%
Stranraer 2.23% 83.55% 9.93% 4.29%
Brechin City 0.03% 31.46% 33.18% 35.33%
Queen Of The South 0.01% 21.60% 28.07% 50.32%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2005-08-06 Airdrie United W 1-0 1561 1462 54.3% 25.0% 20.6% +6.6 3
2005-08-06 @ Stranraer L 0-1 1462 1561 20.6% 25.0% 54.3% -6.6 0
2005-08-06 Clyde W 3-1 1499 1492 42.9% 26.3% 30.7% +14.9 3
2005-08-06 @ Ross County L 1-3 1492 1499 30.7% 26.3% 42.9% -14.9 0
2005-08-06 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1561 1476 52.7% 25.3% 22.0% -13.2 0
2005-08-06 @ Brechin City W 2-1 1476 1561 22.0% 25.3% 52.7% +13.2 3
2005-08-06 Queen Of The South W 4-0 1459 1481 38.9% 26.5% 34.7% +35.8 3
2005-08-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-4 1481 1459 34.7% 26.5% 38.9% -35.8 0
2005-08-06 St. Mirren W 3-2 1491 1528 36.7% 26.5% 36.8% +9.4 3
2005-08-06 @ Dundee L 2-3 1528 1491 36.8% 26.5% 36.7% -9.3 0
2005-08-13 Brechin City D 0-0 1445 1547 28.1% 26.2% 45.8% +1.1 1
2005-08-13 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1547 1445 45.8% 26.2% 28.1% -1.1 1
2005-08-13 Dundee D 1-1 1477 1501 38.6% 26.5% 34.9% -0.2 1
2005-08-13 @ Clyde D 1-1 1501 1477 34.9% 26.5% 38.6% +0.2 4
2005-08-13 Ross County L 0-1 1455 1514 33.7% 26.5% 39.8% -9.8 0
2005-08-13 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1514 1455 39.8% 26.5% 33.7% +9.8 6
2005-08-13 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1489 1495 41.2% 26.4% 32.4% -11.4 3
2005-08-13 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1495 1489 32.4% 26.4% 41.2% +11.4 6
2005-08-13 Stranraer D 0-0 1519 1567 35.1% 26.5% 38.4% +0.2 1
2005-08-13 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1567 1519 38.4% 26.5% 35.1% -0.2 4
2005-08-20 Airdrie United D 1-1 1546 1446 54.6% 25.0% 20.5% -2.0 2
2005-08-20 @ Brechin City D 1-1 1446 1546 20.5% 25.0% 54.6% +2.0 1
2005-08-20 Clyde L 1-2 1567 1477 53.4% 25.2% 21.4% -13.3 4
2005-08-20 @ Stranraer W 2-1 1477 1567 21.4% 25.2% 53.4% +13.3 4
2005-08-20 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1524 1478 48.0% 25.9% 26.1% -1.4 7
2005-08-20 @ Ross County D 0-0 1478 1524 26.1% 25.9% 48.0% +1.4 4
2005-08-20 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1501 1446 49.1% 25.8% 25.1% +12.7 7
2005-08-20 @ Dundee L 1-3 1446 1501 25.1% 25.8% 49.1% -12.7 1
2005-08-20 St. Mirren L 1-2 1506 1519 40.1% 26.5% 33.4% -10.5 6
2005-08-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1519 1506 33.4% 26.5% 40.1% +10.5 4
2005-08-27 Brechin City W 1-0 1530 1544 39.9% 26.5% 33.6% +9.8 7
2005-08-27 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1544 1530 33.6% 26.5% 39.9% -9.8 2
2005-08-27 Dundee D 1-1 1479 1514 37.1% 26.5% 36.4% -0.0 5
2005-08-27 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1514 1479 36.4% 26.5% 37.1% +0.0 8
2005-08-27 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1490 1434 49.3% 25.8% 24.9% +7.7 7
2005-08-27 @ Clyde L 0-1 1434 1490 24.9% 25.8% 49.3% -7.7 1
2005-08-27 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1448 1495 35.2% 26.5% 38.3% +17.6 4
2005-08-27 @ Airdrie United L 1-3 1495 1448 38.3% 26.5% 35.2% -17.6 6
2005-08-27 Stranraer W 2-1 1522 1554 37.5% 26.5% 36.0% +9.7 10
2005-08-27 @ Ross County L 1-2 1554 1522 36.0% 26.5% 37.5% -9.7 4
2005-09-10 Airdrie United L 0-2 1514 1465 48.3% 25.9% 25.8% -24.4 8
2005-09-10 @ Dundee W 2-0 1465 1514 25.8% 25.9% 48.3% +24.4 7
2005-09-10 Clyde D 1-1 1535 1498 46.9% 26.1% 27.1% -1.1 3
2005-09-10 @ Brechin City D 1-1 1498 1535 27.1% 26.1% 46.9% +1.1 8
2005-09-10 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1544 1479 50.4% 25.7% 24.0% -12.7 4
2005-09-10 @ Stranraer W 2-1 1479 1544 24.0% 25.7% 50.4% +12.6 8
2005-09-10 Ross County D 1-1 1478 1532 34.3% 26.5% 39.2% +0.3 7
2005-09-10 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1532 1478 39.2% 26.5% 34.3% -0.3 11
2005-09-10 St. Mirren L 0-1 1426 1539 26.7% 26.0% 47.2% -8.2 1
2005-09-10 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1539 1426 47.2% 26.0% 26.7% +8.2 10
2005-09-17 Airdrie United D 1-1 1492 1490 42.2% 26.4% 31.4% -0.6 9
2005-09-17 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1490 1492 31.4% 26.4% 42.2% +0.6 8
2005-09-17 Brechin City W 1-0 1532 1533 41.7% 26.4% 31.9% +9.4 14
2005-09-17 @ Ross County L 0-1 1533 1532 31.9% 26.4% 41.7% -9.4 3
2005-09-17 Clyde W 2-0 1548 1499 48.4% 25.9% 25.7% +14.9 13
2005-09-17 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1499 1548 25.7% 25.9% 48.4% -14.9 8
2005-09-17 Dundee D 1-1 1478 1489 40.4% 26.5% 33.1% -0.4 8
2005-09-17 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1489 1478 33.1% 26.5% 40.4% +0.4 9
2005-09-17 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1531 1418 56.0% 24.7% 19.3% -2.5 5
2005-09-17 @ Stranraer D 0-0 1418 1531 19.3% 24.7% 56.0% +2.5 2
2005-09-24 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1420 1491 32.0% 26.4% 41.6% -8.9 2
2005-09-24 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1491 1420 41.6% 26.4% 32.0% +8.9 12
2005-09-24 Ross County D 0-0 1490 1541 34.7% 26.5% 38.8% +0.3 10
2005-09-24 @ Dundee D 0-0 1541 1490 38.8% 26.5% 34.7% -0.2 15
2005-09-24 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1484 1478 42.8% 26.4% 30.9% -11.7 8
2005-09-24 @ Clyde W 1-0 1478 1484 30.9% 26.4% 42.8% +11.7 11
2005-09-24 St. Mirren L 0-1 1490 1563 31.9% 26.4% 41.7% -9.4 8
2005-09-24 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1563 1490 41.7% 26.4% 31.9% +9.4 16
2005-09-24 Stranraer L 2-3 1524 1529 41.3% 26.4% 32.3% -10.2 3
2005-09-24 @ Brechin City W 3-2 1529 1524 32.3% 26.4% 41.3% +10.2 8
2005-10-01 Clyde L 1-3 1481 1472 43.1% 26.3% 30.5% -19.3 8
2005-10-01 @ Airdrie United W 3-1 1472 1481 30.5% 26.3% 43.1% +19.3 11
2005-10-01 Dundee L 1-3 1514 1490 45.2% 26.2% 28.6% -20.0 3
2005-10-01 @ Brechin City W 3-1 1490 1514 28.6% 26.2% 45.2% +20.0 13
2005-10-01 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1541 1411 57.7% 24.3% 18.0% -2.4 16
2005-10-01 @ Ross County D 1-1 1411 1541 18.0% 24.3% 57.7% +2.4 3
2005-10-01 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1539 1489 48.5% 25.9% 25.6% -1.3 9
2005-10-01 @ Stranraer D 1-1 1489 1539 25.6% 25.9% 48.5% +1.3 12
2005-10-01 St. Mirren W 3-1 1500 1572 31.9% 26.4% 41.7% +18.8 15
2005-10-01 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1572 1500 41.7% 26.4% 31.9% -18.8 16
2005-10-07 Airdrie United D 2-2 1538 1462 51.8% 25.4% 22.8% -1.3 17
2005-10-07 @ Ross County D 2-2 1462 1538 22.8% 25.4% 51.8% +1.3 9
2005-10-15 Airdrie United W 1-0 1414 1463 35.0% 26.5% 38.5% +10.8 6
2005-10-15 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1463 1414 38.5% 26.5% 35.0% -10.8 9
2005-10-15 Brechin City W 3-1 1491 1494 41.5% 26.4% 32.1% +15.4 15
2005-10-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-3 1494 1491 32.1% 26.4% 41.5% -15.4 3
2005-10-15 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1491 1519 38.1% 26.5% 35.4% -0.1 12
2005-10-15 @ Clyde D 1-1 1519 1491 35.4% 26.5% 38.1% +0.1 16
2005-10-15 Ross County W 2-0 1553 1537 44.1% 26.3% 29.6% +16.7 19
2005-10-15 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1537 1553 29.6% 26.3% 44.1% -16.7 17
2005-10-15 Stranraer D 1-1 1510 1538 38.0% 26.5% 35.5% -0.1 14
2005-10-15 @ Dundee D 1-1 1538 1510 35.5% 26.5% 38.0% +0.1 10
2005-10-22 Brechin City W 3-0 1519 1478 47.3% 26.0% 26.7% +22.3 19
2005-10-22 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-3 1478 1519 26.7% 26.0% 47.3% -22.3 3
2005-10-22 Dundee D 0-0 1570 1510 49.8% 25.7% 24.5% -1.7 20
2005-10-22 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1510 1570 24.5% 25.7% 49.8% +1.6 15
2005-10-22 Ross County W 1-0 1491 1520 37.8% 26.5% 35.6% +10.2 15
2005-10-22 @ Clyde L 0-1 1520 1491 35.6% 26.5% 37.8% -10.2 17
2005-10-22 St. Johnstone L 1-3 1424 1506 30.6% 26.3% 43.0% -14.9 6
2005-10-22 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1506 1424 43.0% 26.3% 30.6% +14.9 18
2005-10-22 Stranraer W 1-0 1452 1538 30.1% 26.3% 43.6% +11.9 12
2005-10-22 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1538 1452 43.6% 26.3% 30.1% -11.9 10
2005-10-25 Hamilton Academical W 5-1 1521 1541 39.1% 26.5% 34.4% +29.7 21
2005-10-25 @ St. Johnstone L 1-5 1541 1521 34.4% 26.5% 39.1% -29.7 19
2005-10-25 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1456 1410 48.1% 25.9% 26.0% -1.3 4
2005-10-25 @ Brechin City D 1-1 1410 1456 26.0% 25.9% 48.1% +1.3 7
2005-10-25 St. Mirren L 1-2 1526 1568 36.0% 26.5% 37.5% -9.7 10
2005-10-25 @ Stranraer W 2-1 1568 1526 37.5% 26.5% 36.0% +9.7 23
2005-10-26 Clyde D 3-3 1511 1501 43.3% 26.3% 30.4% -0.5 16
2005-10-26 @ Dundee D 3-3 1501 1511 30.4% 26.3% 43.3% +0.5 16
2005-10-29 Brechin City W 2-1 1502 1455 48.2% 25.9% 25.9% +7.5 19
2005-10-29 @ Clyde L 1-2 1455 1502 25.9% 25.9% 48.2% -7.5 4
2005-10-29 Dundee W 4-0 1464 1511 35.3% 26.5% 38.2% +38.5 15
2005-10-29 @ Airdrie United L 0-4 1511 1464 38.2% 26.5% 35.3% -38.4 16
2005-10-29 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1578 1411 61.5% 23.3% 15.2% +9.3 26
2005-10-29 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1411 1578 15.2% 23.3% 61.5% -9.3 7
2005-10-29 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1510 1551 36.2% 26.5% 37.3% +10.0 20
2005-10-29 @ Ross County L 1-2 1551 1510 37.3% 26.5% 36.2% -10.0 21
2005-10-29 Stranraer W 2-0 1512 1516 41.3% 26.4% 32.3% +17.9 22
2005-10-29 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1516 1512 32.3% 26.4% 41.3% -17.9 10
2005-11-05 Airdrie United W 1-0 1541 1502 47.0% 26.0% 26.9% +8.2 24
2005-11-05 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1502 1541 26.9% 26.0% 47.0% -8.2 15
2005-11-05 Clyde L 1-2 1402 1509 27.4% 26.1% 46.5% -7.9 7
2005-11-05 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1509 1402 46.5% 26.1% 27.4% +7.9 22
2005-11-05 Ross County L 2-3 1498 1520 38.9% 26.5% 34.6% -9.8 10
2005-11-05 @ Stranraer W 3-2 1520 1498 34.6% 26.5% 38.9% +9.8 23
2005-11-12 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1494 1530 37.0% 26.5% 36.5% -0.0 16
2005-11-12 @ Airdrie United D 2-2 1530 1494 36.5% 26.5% 37.0% +0.0 23
2005-11-12 Ross County L 1-4 1447 1530 30.5% 26.3% 43.2% -21.0 4
2005-11-12 @ Brechin City W 4-1 1530 1447 43.2% 26.3% 30.5% +21.0 26
2005-11-12 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1472 1549 31.3% 26.4% 42.3% +11.0 19
2005-11-12 @ Dundee L 1-2 1549 1472 42.3% 26.4% 31.3% -11.0 24
2005-11-12 St. Mirren L 1-2 1517 1587 32.2% 26.4% 41.4% -8.9 22
2005-11-12 @ Clyde W 2-1 1587 1517 41.4% 26.4% 32.2% +8.9 29
2005-11-12 Stranraer D 1-1 1394 1489 29.0% 26.2% 44.8% +0.9 8
2005-11-12 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1489 1394 44.8% 26.2% 29.0% -0.9 11
2005-11-15 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1483 1530 35.4% 26.5% 38.1% +0.1 20
2005-11-15 @ Dundee D 1-1 1530 1483 38.1% 26.5% 35.4% -0.1 24
2005-11-15 St. Mirren L 2-3 1426 1596 20.9% 25.1% 54.0% -5.9 4
2005-11-15 @ Brechin City W 3-2 1596 1426 54.0% 25.1% 20.9% +5.9 32
2005-11-19 Brechin City D 1-1 1488 1420 50.7% 25.6% 23.7% -1.6 12
2005-11-19 @ Stranraer D 1-1 1420 1488 23.7% 25.6% 50.7% +1.6 5
2005-11-19 Clyde D 0-0 1538 1508 45.9% 26.1% 28.0% -1.1 25
2005-11-19 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1508 1538 28.0% 26.1% 45.9% +1.1 23
2005-11-19 Dundee W 3-0 1551 1484 50.7% 25.6% 23.7% +20.3 29
2005-11-19 @ Ross County L 0-3 1484 1551 23.7% 25.6% 50.7% -20.3 20
2005-11-19 Queen Of The South W 5-2 1529 1395 58.3% 24.2% 17.6% +11.3 27
2005-11-19 @ Hamilton Academical L 2-5 1395 1529 17.6% 24.2% 58.3% -11.3 8
2005-11-26 Airdrie United W 1-0 1510 1494 44.0% 26.3% 29.7% +8.9 26
2005-11-26 @ Clyde L 0-1 1494 1510 29.7% 26.3% 44.0% -8.9 16
2005-11-26 Brechin City W 1-0 1463 1422 47.4% 26.0% 26.6% +8.1 23
2005-11-26 @ Dundee L 0-1 1422 1463 26.6% 26.0% 47.4% -8.1 5
2005-11-26 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1602 1541 49.9% 25.7% 24.3% +7.1 35
2005-11-26 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1541 1602 24.3% 25.7% 49.9% -7.1 27
2005-11-26 Ross County L 2-3 1383 1571 19.3% 24.7% 56.1% -5.5 8
2005-11-26 @ Queen Of The South W 3-2 1571 1383 56.1% 24.7% 19.3% +5.5 32
2005-11-26 Stranraer D 1-1 1537 1486 48.6% 25.9% 25.5% -1.3 26
2005-11-26 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1486 1537 25.5% 25.9% 48.6% +1.3 13
2005-11-29 Airdrie United D 1-1 1609 1485 57.1% 24.4% 18.4% -2.3 36
2005-11-29 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1485 1609 18.4% 24.4% 57.1% +2.3 17
2005-12-03 Clyde D 1-1 1534 1518 44.0% 26.3% 29.7% -0.8 28
2005-12-03 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1518 1534 29.7% 26.3% 44.0% +0.8 27
2005-12-03 Dundee D 0-0 1488 1471 44.1% 26.3% 29.6% -0.9 14
2005-12-03 @ Stranraer D 0-0 1471 1488 29.6% 26.3% 44.1% +0.9 24
2005-12-03 Queen Of The South W 4-0 1488 1378 55.6% 24.8% 19.6% +22.5 20
2005-12-03 @ Airdrie United L 0-4 1378 1488 19.6% 24.8% 55.6% -22.5 8
2005-12-03 St. Johnstone L 1-4 1414 1535 25.8% 25.9% 48.3% -18.3 5
2005-12-03 @ Brechin City W 4-1 1535 1414 48.3% 25.9% 25.8% +18.3 29
2005-12-03 St. Mirren L 0-4 1577 1607 37.7% 26.5% 35.8% -38.1 32
2005-12-03 @ Ross County W 4-0 1607 1577 35.8% 26.5% 37.7% +38.1 39
2005-12-10 Airdrie United D 1-1 1487 1510 38.7% 26.5% 34.8% -0.2 15
2005-12-10 @ Stranraer D 1-1 1510 1487 34.8% 26.5% 38.7% +0.2 21
2005-12-10 Clyde L 0-1 1539 1519 44.6% 26.2% 29.2% -12.1 32
2005-12-10 @ Ross County W 1-0 1519 1539 29.2% 26.2% 44.6% +12.1 30
2005-12-10 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1395 1533 24.1% 25.7% 50.2% -7.5 5
2005-12-10 @ Brechin City W 1-0 1533 1395 50.2% 25.7% 24.1% +7.5 31
2005-12-10 Queen Of The South W 2-1 1554 1355 64.5% 22.3% 13.2% +4.0 32
2005-12-10 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1355 1554 13.2% 22.3% 64.5% -4.0 8
2005-12-10 St. Mirren W 4-0 1472 1645 20.6% 25.0% 54.4% +51.3 27
2005-12-10 @ Dundee L 0-4 1645 1472 54.4% 25.0% 20.6% -51.3 39
2005-12-17 Brechin City W 6-0 1510 1388 57.0% 24.5% 18.6% +31.3 24
2005-12-17 @ Airdrie United L 0-6 1388 1510 18.6% 24.5% 57.0% -31.3 5
2005-12-17 Ross County W 2-1 1540 1526 43.8% 26.3% 29.9% +8.4 34
2005-12-17 @ Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1526 1540 29.9% 26.3% 43.8% -8.4 32
2005-12-17 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1594 1558 46.7% 26.1% 27.2% -1.2 40
2005-12-17 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1558 1594 27.2% 26.1% 46.7% +1.2 33
2005-12-17 Stranraer W 1-0 1531 1486 47.9% 25.9% 26.2% +8.0 33
2005-12-17 @ Clyde L 0-1 1486 1531 26.2% 25.9% 47.9% -8.0 15
2005-12-26 Airdrie United L 2-3 1524 1542 39.4% 26.5% 34.1% -9.8 27
2005-12-26 @ Dundee W 3-2 1542 1524 34.1% 26.5% 39.4% +9.9 27
2005-12-26 Clyde W 3-1 1357 1539 19.7% 24.8% 55.5% +23.8 8
2005-12-26 @ Brechin City L 1-3 1539 1357 55.5% 24.8% 19.7% -23.8 33
2005-12-26 Hamilton Academical W 5-4 1478 1549 32.1% 26.4% 41.5% +9.9 18
2005-12-26 @ Stranraer L 4-5 1549 1478 41.5% 26.4% 32.1% -9.9 34
2005-12-26 Ross County D 1-1 1559 1518 47.4% 26.0% 26.6% -1.2 34
2005-12-26 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1518 1559 26.6% 26.0% 47.4% +1.2 33
2005-12-26 St. Mirren D 0-0 1351 1592 15.2% 23.3% 61.6% +3.2 9
2005-12-26 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1592 1351 61.6% 23.3% 15.2% -3.2 41
2005-12-31 Brechin City W 3-2 1589 1381 65.4% 22.0% 12.6% +3.7 44
2005-12-31 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1381 1589 12.6% 22.0% 65.4% -3.7 8
2005-12-31 Dundee D 0-0 1539 1514 45.3% 26.2% 28.5% -1.1 35
2005-12-31 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1514 1539 28.5% 26.2% 45.3% +1.1 28
2005-12-31 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1516 1354 60.9% 23.4% 15.6% +13.9 36
2005-12-31 @ Clyde L 0-3 1354 1516 15.6% 23.4% 60.9% -13.9 9
2005-12-31 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1551 1558 41.0% 26.4% 32.5% +9.0 30
2005-12-31 @ Airdrie United L 1-2 1558 1551 32.5% 26.4% 41.0% -9.0 34
2006-01-02 Airdrie United W 1-0 1538 1560 38.8% 26.5% 34.7% +10.0 38
2006-01-02 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1560 1538 34.7% 26.5% 38.8% -10.0 30
2006-01-02 Brechin City W 2-0 1519 1377 59.1% 24.0% 17.0% +10.3 36
2006-01-02 @ Ross County L 0-2 1377 1519 17.0% 24.0% 59.1% -10.4 8
2006-01-02 Clyde W 2-1 1593 1529 50.2% 25.7% 24.1% +7.1 47
2006-01-02 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1529 1593 24.1% 25.7% 50.2% -7.1 36
2006-01-02 Dundee D 0-0 1549 1515 46.5% 26.1% 27.4% -1.2 35
2006-01-02 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1515 1549 27.4% 26.1% 46.5% +1.2 29
2006-01-02 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1488 1341 59.6% 23.8% 16.6% +5.4 21
2006-01-02 @ Stranraer L 0-1 1341 1488 16.6% 23.8% 59.6% -5.4 9
2006-01-14 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1335 1548 17.2% 24.1% 58.7% +2.5 10
2006-01-14 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1548 1335 58.7% 24.1% 17.2% -2.5 39
2006-01-14 Ross County D 0-0 1516 1530 40.1% 26.5% 33.5% -0.4 30
2006-01-14 @ Dundee D 0-0 1530 1516 33.5% 26.5% 40.1% +0.4 37
2006-01-14 St. Johnstone L 2-3 1522 1548 38.4% 26.5% 35.1% -9.6 36
2006-01-14 @ Clyde W 3-2 1548 1522 35.1% 26.5% 38.4% +9.7 38
2006-01-14 St. Mirren L 1-4 1550 1600 34.9% 26.5% 38.6% -23.2 30
2006-01-14 @ Airdrie United W 4-1 1600 1550 38.6% 26.5% 34.9% +23.2 50
2006-01-14 Stranraer D 0-0 1367 1494 25.2% 25.8% 48.9% +1.5 9
2006-01-14 @ Brechin City D 0-0 1494 1367 48.9% 25.8% 25.2% -1.5 22
2006-01-21 Clyde D 1-1 1527 1513 43.9% 26.3% 29.8% -0.8 31
2006-01-21 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1513 1527 29.8% 26.3% 43.9% +0.8 37
2006-01-21 Dundee L 0-3 1368 1516 23.1% 25.5% 51.4% -19.8 9
2006-01-21 @ Brechin City W 3-0 1516 1368 51.4% 25.5% 23.1% +19.8 33
2006-01-21 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1530 1338 63.9% 22.5% 13.6% +7.2 40
2006-01-21 @ Ross County L 1-3 1338 1530 13.6% 22.5% 63.9% -7.2 10
2006-01-21 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1492 1557 32.8% 26.4% 40.8% -18.1 22
2006-01-21 @ Stranraer W 2-0 1557 1492 40.8% 26.4% 32.8% +18.1 41
2006-01-21 St. Mirren D 0-0 1545 1623 31.1% 26.4% 42.5% +0.7 40
2006-01-21 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1623 1545 42.5% 26.4% 31.1% -0.7 51
2006-01-28 Airdrie United W 2-0 1330 1526 18.6% 24.5% 56.9% +28.1 13
2006-01-28 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1526 1330 56.9% 24.5% 18.6% -28.1 31
2006-01-28 Brechin City W 3-0 1575 1348 67.0% 21.4% 11.7% +10.3 44
2006-01-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1348 1575 11.7% 21.4% 67.0% -10.3 9
2006-01-28 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1513 1546 37.4% 26.5% 36.1% -0.0 38
2006-01-28 @ Clyde D 2-2 1546 1513 36.1% 26.5% 37.4% +0.0 41
2006-01-28 Ross County L 0-1 1623 1537 52.8% 25.3% 21.9% -14.0 51
2006-01-28 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1537 1623 21.9% 25.3% 52.8% +14.0 43
2006-01-28 Stranraer W 2-1 1535 1474 50.0% 25.7% 24.3% +7.1 36
2006-01-28 @ Dundee L 1-2 1474 1535 24.3% 25.7% 50.0% -7.1 22
2006-02-11 Airdrie United D 0-0 1338 1498 21.8% 25.3% 52.9% +2.0 10
2006-02-11 @ Brechin City D 0-0 1498 1338 52.9% 25.3% 21.8% -2.0 32
2006-02-11 Clyde L 0-5 1467 1513 35.4% 26.5% 38.1% -44.8 22
2006-02-11 @ Stranraer W 5-0 1513 1467 38.1% 26.5% 35.4% +44.8 41
2006-02-11 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1551 1546 42.6% 26.4% 31.0% +8.7 46
2006-02-11 @ Ross County L 1-2 1546 1551 31.0% 26.4% 42.6% -8.7 41
2006-02-11 Queen Of The South L 2-3 1543 1359 63.1% 22.8% 14.1% -14.6 36
2006-02-11 @ Dundee W 3-2 1359 1543 14.1% 22.8% 63.1% +14.6 16
2006-02-11 St. Mirren D 0-0 1586 1609 38.8% 26.5% 34.8% -0.2 45
2006-02-11 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1609 1586 34.8% 26.5% 38.8% +0.2 52
2006-02-18 Brechin City D 0-0 1373 1340 46.4% 26.1% 27.5% -1.2 17
2006-02-18 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1340 1373 27.5% 26.1% 46.4% +1.2 11
2006-02-18 Dundee D 3-3 1558 1528 46.0% 26.1% 27.9% -0.6 42
2006-02-18 @ Clyde D 3-3 1528 1558 27.9% 26.1% 46.0% +0.6 37
2006-02-18 Ross County L 2-3 1496 1560 33.0% 26.5% 40.6% -8.6 32
2006-02-18 @ Airdrie United W 3-2 1560 1496 40.6% 26.5% 33.0% +8.6 49
2006-02-18 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1537 1585 35.1% 26.5% 38.4% -9.5 41
2006-02-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1585 1537 38.4% 26.5% 35.1% +9.5 48
2006-02-18 Stranraer W 3-1 1609 1422 63.4% 22.7% 13.9% +7.4 55
2006-02-18 @ St. Mirren L 1-3 1422 1609 13.9% 22.7% 63.4% -7.4 22
2006-02-25 Stranraer D 1-1 1568 1415 60.2% 23.6% 16.2% -2.7 50
2006-02-25 @ Ross County D 1-1 1415 1568 16.2% 23.6% 60.2% +2.7 23
2006-02-28 Dundee D 0-0 1372 1529 22.1% 25.3% 52.5% +2.0 18
2006-02-28 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1529 1372 52.5% 25.3% 22.1% -2.0 38
2006-03-04 Airdrie United D 2-2 1595 1488 55.3% 24.8% 19.9% -1.6 49
2006-03-04 @ St. Johnstone D 2-2 1488 1595 19.9% 24.8% 55.3% +1.6 33
2006-03-04 Clyde W 2-1 1374 1558 19.7% 24.8% 55.6% +13.8 21
2006-03-04 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1558 1374 55.6% 24.8% 19.7% -13.8 42
2006-03-04 Hamilton Academical L 2-4 1527 1528 41.8% 26.4% 31.8% -16.8 38
2006-03-04 @ Dundee W 4-2 1528 1527 31.8% 26.4% 41.8% +16.8 44
2006-03-11 Brechin City W 5-1 1544 1341 64.8% 22.2% 13.0% +12.5 45
2006-03-11 @ Clyde L 1-5 1341 1544 13.0% 22.2% 64.8% -12.5 11
2006-03-11 Dundee W 7-0 1489 1510 39.1% 26.5% 34.4% +60.4 36
2006-03-11 @ Airdrie United L 0-7 1510 1489 34.4% 26.5% 39.1% -60.4 38
2006-03-11 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1616 1388 67.1% 21.3% 11.6% +3.7 58
2006-03-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1388 1616 11.6% 21.3% 67.1% -3.7 21
2006-03-11 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1566 1593 38.1% 26.5% 35.4% -0.1 51
2006-03-11 @ Ross County D 2-2 1593 1566 35.4% 26.5% 38.1% +0.1 50
2006-03-18 Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1550 1545 42.6% 26.4% 31.0% -0.7 37
2006-03-18 @ Airdrie United D 0-0 1545 1550 31.0% 26.4% 42.6% +0.7 45
2006-03-18 Ross County D 3-3 1329 1566 15.5% 23.4% 61.1% +1.7 12
2006-03-18 @ Brechin City D 3-3 1566 1329 61.1% 23.4% 15.5% -1.7 52
2006-03-18 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1449 1594 23.4% 25.6% 51.0% -7.3 38
2006-03-18 @ Dundee W 1-0 1594 1449 51.0% 25.6% 23.4% +7.3 53
2006-03-18 St. Mirren L 0-1 1556 1620 33.0% 26.5% 40.5% -9.6 45
2006-03-18 @ Clyde W 1-0 1620 1556 40.5% 26.5% 33.0% +9.6 61
2006-03-18 Stranraer W 1-0 1384 1417 37.3% 26.5% 36.2% +10.3 24
2006-03-18 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1417 1384 36.2% 26.5% 37.3% -10.3 23
2006-03-21 Ross County D 2-2 1407 1564 22.1% 25.3% 52.5% +1.3 24
2006-03-21 @ Stranraer D 2-2 1564 1407 52.5% 25.3% 22.1% -1.3 53
2006-03-21 St. Mirren L 0-3 1330 1630 11.7% 21.4% 66.8% -10.4 12
2006-03-21 @ Brechin City W 3-0 1630 1330 66.8% 21.4% 11.7% +10.4 64
2006-03-25 Airdrie United W 2-1 1640 1549 53.5% 25.2% 21.3% +6.4 67
2006-03-25 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1549 1640 21.3% 25.2% 53.5% -6.4 37
2006-03-25 Brechin City W 2-0 1408 1320 53.1% 25.2% 21.6% +12.9 27
2006-03-25 @ Stranraer L 0-2 1320 1408 21.6% 25.2% 53.1% -12.9 12
2006-03-25 Clyde W 1-0 1601 1547 49.1% 25.8% 25.1% +7.8 56
2006-03-25 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1547 1601 25.1% 25.8% 49.1% -7.8 45
2006-03-25 Queen Of The South L 0-2 1545 1394 59.9% 23.7% 16.4% -29.4 45
2006-03-25 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-0 1394 1545 16.4% 23.7% 59.9% +29.4 27
2006-03-28 Stranraer W 1-0 1516 1421 53.9% 25.1% 21.0% +6.7 48
2006-03-28 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1421 1516 21.0% 25.1% 53.9% -6.7 27
2006-04-01 Airdrie United W 3-1 1539 1542 41.5% 26.4% 32.1% +15.4 48
2006-04-01 @ Clyde L 1-3 1542 1539 32.1% 26.4% 41.5% -15.4 37
2006-04-01 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1646 1523 57.1% 24.4% 18.5% -28.2 67
2006-04-01 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1523 1646 18.5% 24.4% 57.1% +28.2 51
2006-04-01 Ross County D 0-0 1424 1563 24.0% 25.7% 50.4% +1.7 28
2006-04-01 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1563 1424 50.4% 25.7% 24.0% -1.7 54
2006-04-01 Stranraer W 3-2 1609 1415 64.0% 22.5% 13.5% +3.9 59
2006-04-01 @ St. Johnstone L 2-3 1415 1609 13.5% 22.5% 64.0% -3.9 27
2006-04-04 Dundee D 0-0 1561 1442 56.6% 24.6% 18.9% -2.5 55
2006-04-04 @ Ross County D 0-0 1442 1561 18.9% 24.6% 56.6% +2.5 39
2006-04-08 Clyde W 2-0 1551 1554 41.5% 26.4% 32.1% +17.8 54
2006-04-08 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1554 1551 32.1% 26.4% 41.5% -17.8 48
2006-04-08 Dundee D 1-1 1411 1445 37.2% 26.5% 36.3% -0.0 28
2006-04-08 @ Stranraer D 1-1 1445 1411 36.3% 26.5% 37.2% +0.0 40
2006-04-08 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1527 1426 54.6% 24.9% 20.4% -2.0 38
2006-04-08 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1426 1527 20.4% 24.9% 54.6% +2.0 29
2006-04-08 St. Johnstone L 0-2 1307 1613 11.4% 21.2% 67.3% -6.9 12
2006-04-08 @ Brechin City W 2-0 1613 1307 67.3% 21.2% 11.4% +6.9 62
2006-04-08 St. Mirren L 0-2 1558 1618 33.5% 26.5% 40.0% -18.4 55
2006-04-08 @ Ross County W 2-0 1618 1558 40.0% 26.5% 33.5% +18.4 70
2006-04-11 Brechin City L 0-1 1445 1300 59.2% 23.9% 16.8% -15.5 40
2006-04-11 @ Dundee W 1-0 1300 1445 16.8% 23.9% 59.2% +15.5 15
2006-04-15 Brechin City W 2-0 1569 1316 69.1% 20.5% 10.4% +6.2 57
2006-04-15 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1316 1569 10.4% 20.5% 69.1% -6.2 15
2006-04-15 Dundee W 2-1 1636 1429 65.2% 22.0% 12.7% +3.9 73
2006-04-15 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1429 1636 12.7% 22.0% 65.2% -3.9 40
2006-04-15 Ross County W 2-0 1537 1540 41.5% 26.4% 32.1% +17.8 51
2006-04-15 @ Clyde L 0-2 1540 1537 32.1% 26.4% 41.5% -17.8 55
2006-04-15 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1428 1619 18.9% 24.6% 56.5% +13.2 32
2006-04-15 @ Queen Of The South L 2-3 1619 1428 56.5% 24.6% 18.9% -13.3 62
2006-04-15 Stranraer W 3-0 1525 1411 56.1% 24.7% 19.3% +16.9 41
2006-04-15 @ Airdrie United L 0-3 1411 1525 19.3% 24.7% 56.1% -16.9 28
2006-04-22 Airdrie United L 0-1 1522 1542 39.2% 26.5% 34.3% -11.0 55
2006-04-22 @ Ross County W 1-0 1542 1522 34.3% 26.5% 39.2% +11.0 44
2006-04-22 Clyde L 0-1 1425 1554 25.0% 25.8% 49.2% -7.7 40
2006-04-22 @ Dundee W 1-0 1554 1425 49.2% 25.8% 25.0% +7.7 54
2006-04-22 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1606 1575 46.1% 26.1% 27.8% -1.0 63
2006-04-22 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1575 1606 27.8% 26.1% 46.1% +1.0 58
2006-04-22 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1309 1441 24.8% 25.8% 49.5% +1.4 16
2006-04-22 @ Brechin City D 1-1 1441 1309 49.5% 25.8% 24.8% -1.4 33
2006-04-22 St. Mirren L 0-1 1394 1640 14.8% 23.1% 62.1% -4.8 28
2006-04-22 @ Stranraer W 1-0 1640 1394 62.1% 23.1% 14.8% +4.8 76
2006-04-29 Brechin City D 3-3 1553 1311 68.2% 20.9% 10.9% -2.2 45
2006-04-29 @ Airdrie United D 3-3 1311 1553 10.9% 20.9% 68.2% +2.2 17
2006-04-29 Dundee L 1-3 1439 1418 44.9% 26.2% 28.9% -19.9 33
2006-04-29 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1418 1439 28.9% 26.2% 44.9% +19.9 43
2006-04-29 Ross County D 0-0 1576 1511 50.4% 25.7% 24.0% -1.7 59
2006-04-29 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1511 1576 24.0% 25.7% 50.4% +1.7 56
2006-04-29 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1645 1605 47.3% 26.0% 26.7% -12.7 76
2006-04-29 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1605 1645 26.7% 26.0% 47.3% +12.7 66
2006-04-29 Stranraer D 1-1 1562 1389 62.1% 23.1% 14.8% -2.9 55
2006-04-29 @ Clyde D 1-1 1389 1562 14.8% 23.1% 62.1% +2.9 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-02-11 14.12% Queen Of The South 1359 3 @ Dundee 1543 2
2 2006-03-25 16.35% Queen Of The South 1394 2 @ Hamilton Academical 1545 0
3 2006-04-11 16.84% Brechin City 1300 1 @ Dundee 1445 0
4 2006-04-01 18.47% Hamilton Academical 1523 2 @ St. Mirren 1646 0
5 2006-01-28 18.60% @ Queen Of The South 1330 2 Airdrie United 1526 0
6 2006-04-15 18.93% @ Queen Of The South 1428 3 St. Johnstone 1619 2
7 2006-03-04 19.65% @ Queen Of The South 1374 2 Clyde 1558 1
8 2005-12-26 19.73% @ Brechin City 1357 3 Clyde 1539 1
9 2005-12-10 20.62% @ Dundee 1472 4 St. Mirren 1645 0
10 2005-08-20 21.42% Clyde 1477 2 @ Stranraer 1567 1
11 2006-01-28 21.90% Ross County 1537 1 @ St. Mirren 1623 0
12 2005-08-06 21.98% Hamilton Academical 1476 2 @ Brechin City 1561 1
13 2005-09-10 23.98% Hamilton Academical 1479 2 @ Stranraer 1544 1
14 2005-09-10 25.78% Airdrie United 1465 2 @ Dundee 1514 0
15 2006-04-29 26.72% St. Johnstone 1605 1 @ St. Mirren 1645 0
16 2005-10-01 28.62% Dundee 1490 3 @ Brechin City 1514 1
17 2006-04-29 28.89% Dundee 1418 3 @ Queen Of The South 1439 1
18 2005-12-10 29.19% Clyde 1519 1 @ Ross County 1539 0
19 2005-10-22 30.10% @ Airdrie United 1452 1 Stranraer 1538 0
20 2005-10-01 30.52% Clyde 1472 3 @ Airdrie United 1481 1
21 2005-09-24 30.86% St. Johnstone 1478 1 @ Clyde 1484 0
22 2005-11-12 31.30% @ Dundee 1472 2 St. Johnstone 1549 1
23 2006-03-04 31.84% Hamilton Academical 1528 4 @ Dundee 1527 2
24 2005-10-01 31.91% @ Hamilton Academical 1500 3 St. Mirren 1572 1
25 2005-12-26 32.11% @ Stranraer 1478 5 Hamilton Academical 1549 4

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-03-11 60.38 @ Airdrie United 7 1489 39.06% Dundee 0 1510 34.45% 26.49%
2 2005-12-10 51.28 @ Dundee 4 1472 20.62% St. Mirren 0 1645 54.38% 25.00%
3 2006-02-11 44.79 Clyde 5 1513 38.13% @ Stranraer 0 1467 35.37% 26.50%
4 2005-10-29 38.46 @ Airdrie United 4 1464 35.32% Dundee 0 1511 38.18% 26.50%
5 2005-12-03 38.09 St. Mirren 4 1607 35.80% @ Ross County 0 1577 37.70% 26.50%
6 2005-08-06 35.80 @ St. Johnstone 4 1459 38.85% Queen Of The South 0 1481 34.66% 26.49%
7 2005-12-17 31.26 @ Airdrie United 6 1510 56.95% Brechin City 0 1388 18.58% 24.47%
8 2005-10-25 29.67 @ St. Johnstone 5 1521 39.10% Hamilton Academical 1 1541 34.41% 26.48%
9 2006-03-25 29.42 Queen Of The South 2 1394 16.35% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1545 59.92% 23.73%
10 2006-04-01 28.20 Hamilton Academical 2 1523 18.47% @ St. Mirren 0 1646 57.09% 24.44%
11 2006-01-28 28.13 @ Queen Of The South 2 1330 18.60% Airdrie United 0 1526 56.92% 24.48%
12 2005-09-10 24.44 Airdrie United 2 1465 25.78% @ Dundee 0 1514 48.32% 25.90%
13 2005-12-26 23.83 @ Brechin City 3 1357 19.73% Clyde 1 1539 55.49% 24.79%
14 2006-01-14 23.24 St. Mirren 4 1600 38.57% @ Airdrie United 1 1550 34.94% 26.49%
15 2005-12-03 22.47 @ Airdrie United 4 1488 55.60% Queen Of The South 0 1378 19.64% 24.76%
16 2005-10-22 22.33 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1519 47.34% Brechin City 0 1478 26.65% 26.01%
17 2005-11-12 20.97 Ross County 4 1530 43.16% @ Brechin City 1 1447 30.51% 26.33%
18 2005-11-19 20.28 @ Ross County 3 1551 50.68% Dundee 0 1484 23.72% 25.61%
19 2005-10-01 20.02 Dundee 3 1490 28.62% @ Brechin City 1 1514 45.18% 26.20%
20 2006-04-29 19.92 Dundee 3 1418 28.89% @ Queen Of The South 1 1439 44.89% 26.22%
21 2006-01-21 19.79 Dundee 3 1516 51.45% @ Brechin City 0 1368 23.05% 25.50%
22 2005-10-01 19.29 Clyde 3 1472 30.52% @ Airdrie United 1 1481 43.15% 26.33%
23 2005-10-01 18.78 @ Hamilton Academical 3 1500 31.91% St. Mirren 1 1572 41.68% 26.40%
24 2006-04-08 18.40 St. Mirren 2 1618 40.00% @ Ross County 0 1558 33.53% 26.46%
25 2005-12-03 18.35 St. Johnstone 4 1535 48.27% @ Brechin City 1 1414 25.82% 25.91%