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2004-05 First Division Season

180 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Falkirk

11.95 points above expected

75 points · 63.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Raith Rovers

14.13 points below expected

16 points · 30.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Falkirk 36 22 9 5 75 66 30 +36 63.05 +11.95
2 St. Mirren 36 15 15 6 60 41 23 +18 54.66 +5.34
3 Clyde 36 16 12 8 60 35 29 +6 58.13 +1.87
4 Queen Of The South 36 14 9 13 51 36 38 -2 51.79 -0.79
5 Airdrie United 36 14 8 14 50 44 48 -4 48.11 +1.89
6 Ross County 36 13 8 15 47 40 37 +3 54.45 -7.45
7 Hamilton Academical 36 12 11 13 47 35 36 -1 46.10 +0.90
8 St. Johnstone 36 12 10 14 46 38 39 -1 48.23 -2.23
9 Partick Thistle 36 10 9 17 39 38 52 -14 46.25 -7.25
10 Raith Rovers 36 3 7 26 16 26 67 -41 30.13 -14.13

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Falkirk 1678 75 63.05 +11.95 94.9% 32 50 58 63 68 76 91
St. Mirren 1625 60 54.66 +5.34 77.1% 26 42 49 55 60 68 85
Ross County 1580 47 54.45 -7.45 19.1% 25 41 49 54 60 67 85
Clyde 1569 60 58.13 +1.87 61.2% 27 45 53 58 64 71 92
Queen Of The South 1553 51 51.79 -0.79 49.5% 27 39 46 52 57 65 80
Hamilton Academical 1546 47 46.10 +0.90 57.5% 18 33 41 46 51 59 74
Airdrie United 1524 50 48.11 +1.89 62.2% 21 35 43 48 53 61 78
St. Johnstone 1519 46 48.23 -2.23 41.8% 23 36 43 48 53 61 76
Partick Thistle 1466 39 46.25 -7.25 19.4% 18 34 41 46 52 59 74
Raith Rovers 1334 16 30.13 -14.13 2.1% 8 19 25 30 35 42 57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AU CLY FAL HA PT QOTS RR RC SJ SM
Airdrie United —
2-0-2
4.43
0-1-3
4.34
2-1-1
5.73
1-1-2
5.79
1-1-2
5.13
3-1-0
7.75
2-0-2
4.82
2-2-0
5.40
1-1-2
4.74
Clyde
2-0-2
6.70
 —
0-2-2
4.49
3-0-1
6.86
1-2-1
6.82
3-0-1
6.41
3-1-0
8.17
3-1-0
5.62
1-2-1
6.91
0-4-0
6.24
Falkirk
3-1-0
6.79
2-2-0
6.63
 —
1-2-1
6.91
3-0-1
7.21
2-1-1
6.70
3-1-0
8.70
3-1-0
6.74
4-0-0
7.16
1-1-2
6.15
Hamilton Academical
1-1-2
5.38
1-0-3
4.27
1-2-1
4.25
 —
2-1-1
5.78
2-2-0
4.82
3-1-0
7.21
0-1-3
4.52
1-1-2
5.23
1-2-1
4.72
Partick Thistle
2-1-1
5.32
1-2-1
4.31
1-0-3
3.96
1-1-2
5.33
 —
1-0-3
5.03
2-1-1
7.42
2-1-1
4.72
0-1-3
5.22
0-2-2
4.85
Queen Of The South
2-1-1
5.99
1-0-3
4.71
1-1-2
4.46
0-2-2
6.30
3-0-1
6.08
 —
3-1-0
7.83
1-1-2
5.32
2-1-1
6.03
1-2-1
5.15
Raith Rovers
0-1-3
3.41
0-1-3
3.03
0-1-3
2.55
0-1-3
3.92
1-1-2
3.72
0-1-3
3.34
 —
0-1-3
3.34
1-0-3
3.73
1-0-3
3.03
Ross County
2-0-2
6.30
0-1-3
5.49
0-1-3
4.39
3-1-0
6.60
1-1-2
6.39
2-1-1
5.80
3-1-0
7.83
 —
2-1-1
5.87
0-1-3
5.79
St. Johnstone
0-2-2
5.71
1-2-1
4.21
0-0-4
3.98
2-1-1
5.88
3-1-0
5.89
1-1-2
5.09
3-0-1
7.42
1-1-2
5.25
 —
1-2-1
4.85
St. Mirren
2-1-1
6.38
0-4-0
4.87
2-1-1
4.98
1-2-1
6.40
2-2-0
6.27
1-2-1
5.97
3-0-1
8.17
3-1-0
5.33
1-2-1
6.27
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +11.7
Allowed 0.77 -10.5
Differential 0.95 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.44%13.61%5.56%2.78%1.11%0.28%32.78%
113.61%13.89%7.22%2.78%0.83%—38.33%
25.56%7.22%2.78%1.11%1.11%—17.78%
32.78%2.78%1.11%1.11%——7.78%
41.11%0.83%1.11%———3.06%
5+0.28%—————0.28%
Total32.78%38.33%17.78%7.78%3.06%0.28%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.06 1.06 1.53
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%——2.78%30.56%
18.33%13.89%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%50.00%16.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.33 -0.11
SD 1.07 1.15 1.53
CV 0.88 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%8.33%2.78%2.78%——33.33%
127.78%11.11%2.78%5.56%——47.22%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
3——2.78%2.78%——5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total52.78%25.00%11.11%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.81 +0.17
SD 0.97 1.04 1.18
CV 1.00 1.29 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
119.44%11.11%8.33%———38.89%
28.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
38.33%8.33%—2.78%——19.44%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total44.44%30.56%22.22%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.83 +1.00
SD 1.28 0.88 1.45
CV 0.70 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%19.44%—5.56%——27.78%
116.67%22.22%8.33%2.78%——50.00%
211.11%2.78%5.56%———19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%47.22%13.89%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.00 -0.03
SD 0.77 0.89 1.30
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%—5.56%5.56%—30.56%
111.11%13.89%19.44%2.78%2.78%—50.00%
22.78%2.78%——2.78%—8.33%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%30.56%22.22%8.33%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.44 -0.39
SD 1.07 1.30 1.78
CV 1.01 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
116.67%13.89%2.78%5.56%——38.89%
25.56%11.11%2.78%—2.78%—22.22%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%47.22%11.11%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.06 -0.06
SD 0.89 1.01 1.33
CV 0.89 0.96 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%16.67%27.78%5.56%——52.78%
12.78%8.33%11.11%—5.56%—27.78%
22.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%—13.89%
3———5.56%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%27.78%41.67%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.72 1.86 -1.14
SD 0.91 1.05 1.20
CV 1.27 0.56 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%30.56%——2.78%—36.11%
18.33%16.67%5.56%———30.56%
25.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
3—2.78%————2.78%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%66.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.03 +0.08
SD 1.12 0.81 1.46
CV 1.00 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
111.11%16.67%8.33%5.56%——41.67%
22.78%5.56%————8.33%
38.33%—————8.33%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%16.67%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.08 -0.03
SD 1.15 1.13 1.92
CV 1.08 1.04 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%8.33%2.78%———36.11%
113.89%11.11%2.78%———27.78%
25.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
311.11%—2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total55.56%27.78%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.64 +0.50
SD 1.07 0.83 1.23
CV 0.94 1.30 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Falkirk 75 63.05 +11.95
2 St. Mirren 60 54.66 +5.34
3 Airdrie United 50 48.11 +1.89
4 Clyde 60 58.13 +1.87
5 Hamilton Academical 47 46.10 +0.90

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Raith Rovers 16 30.13 -14.13
2 Ross County 47 54.45 -7.45
3 Partick Thistle 39 46.25 -7.25
4 St. Johnstone 46 48.23 -2.23
5 Queen Of The South 51 51.79 -0.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 5 Aug 21 – Sep 18 1 in 165
2 Airdrie United 4 Nov 13 – Dec 4 1 in 127
3 St. Mirren 5 Apr 2 – Apr 30 1 in 72
4 Clyde 4 Aug 7 – Aug 28 1 in 29
5 Hamilton Academical 3 Dec 11 – Dec 26 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 3 Apr 23 – May 7 1 in 117
2 St. Mirren 4 Dec 4 – Dec 26 1 in 74
3 Raith Rovers 7 Aug 28 – Oct 16 1 in 70
4 Partick Thistle 4 Sep 4 – Sep 25 1 in 57
5 Queen Of The South 4 Dec 18 – Jan 15 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Falkirk 19 Aug 14 – Dec 26 1 in 2,419
2 St. Mirren 14 Jan 22 – May 7 1 in 701
3 Partick Thistle 6 Dec 29 – Feb 12 1 in 43
4 Airdrie United 6 Nov 13 – Dec 18 1 in 30
5 Clyde 9 Dec 11 – Mar 8 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 7 Nov 27 – Jan 15 1 in 116
2 Ross County 8 Oct 30 – Dec 18 1 in 92
3 Partick Thistle 8 Nov 13 – Dec 27 1 in 33
4 St. Johnstone 6 Jan 3 – Mar 5 1 in 32
5 Hamilton Academical 7 Aug 14 – Sep 25 1 in 28

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Falkirk46.85%21.76%13.15%7.81%4.81%2.94%1.43%0.86%0.38%0.01%
St. Mirren10.75%15.69%16.83%14.95%12.53%10.43%8.30%6.22%3.83%0.47%
Clyde20.26%21.90%17.10%13.38%10.18%7.58%4.94%2.93%1.55%0.18%
Queen Of The South5.37%9.58%12.05%13.18%14.33%13.84%12.92%10.72%6.94%1.07%
Airdrie United2.00%5.09%7.16%9.44%12.64%14.43%15.10%16.17%14.77%3.20%
Ross County9.72%14.80%16.03%15.51%12.86%10.82%8.85%6.64%4.12%0.65%
Hamilton Academical1.30%3.14%5.46%8.02%10.38%12.34%15.52%17.75%21.14%4.95%
St. Johnstone2.27%5.03%7.17%10.17%12.35%14.15%16.17%15.78%14.13%2.78%
Partick Thistle1.48%3.01%5.04%7.39%9.66%12.72%15.35%19.27%21.11%4.97%
Raith Rovers——0.01%0.15%0.26%0.75%1.42%3.66%12.03%81.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.11%
Slight Edge
39.44%27.22%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.26 Elo pts.
235 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Falkirk, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Comfortable
00.160.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.18 * Some Luck: 6.18 to 9.27 * Lucky: 9.27 to 12.36 * Wild Swing: 12.36 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.37 * Close: 1.37 to 2.05 * Off: 2.05 to 2.73 * Way Off: 2.73 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.95 points
Some Luck
07.7319
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.714
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.93%
Falkirk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.11%
Raith Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.71
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Occasional
0%10%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.12
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Falkirk 46.85% 52.76% 0.39%
Clyde 20.26% 78.01% 1.73%
St. Mirren 10.75% 84.95% 4.30%
Ross County 9.72% 85.51% 4.77%
Queen Of The South 5.37% 86.62% 8.01%
St. Johnstone 2.27% 80.82% 16.91%
Airdrie United 2.00% 80.03% 17.97%
Partick Thistle 1.48% 72.44% 26.08%
Hamilton Academical 1.30% 72.61% 26.09%
Raith Rovers — 6.25% 93.75%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2004-08-07 Falkirk W 2-0 1526 1496 48.3% 22.0% 29.7% +13.2 3
2004-08-07 @ St. Mirren L 0-2 1496 1526 29.7% 22.0% 48.3% -13.2 0
2004-08-07 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1572 1559 46.0% 22.2% 31.9% +7.0 3
2004-08-07 @ Clyde L 1-2 1559 1572 31.9% 22.2% 46.0% -7.0 0
2004-08-07 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1529 1482 50.4% 21.9% 27.7% +12.5 3
2004-08-07 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1482 1529 27.7% 21.9% 50.4% -12.5 0
2004-08-07 Ross County L 0-1 1580 1597 41.8% 22.3% 35.9% -9.2 0
2004-08-07 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1597 1580 35.9% 22.3% 41.8% +9.2 3
2004-08-07 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1547 1510 49.2% 22.0% 28.8% +6.9 3
2004-08-07 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1510 1547 28.8% 22.0% 49.2% -6.9 0
2004-08-14 Airdrie United W 3-2 1552 1554 44.1% 22.2% 33.7% +7.0 3
2004-08-14 @ Partick Thistle L 2-3 1554 1552 33.7% 22.2% 44.1% -7.0 3
2004-08-14 Clyde L 2-3 1470 1579 29.4% 22.0% 48.6% -6.2 0
2004-08-14 @ Raith Rovers W 3-2 1579 1470 48.6% 22.0% 29.4% +6.2 6
2004-08-14 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1482 1541 35.9% 22.3% 41.8% +0.3 1
2004-08-14 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1541 1482 41.8% 22.3% 35.9% -0.3 4
2004-08-14 Queen Of The South L 1-3 1503 1571 34.8% 22.3% 43.0% -13.0 0
2004-08-14 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1571 1503 43.0% 22.3% 34.8% +13.0 3
2004-08-14 St. Mirren D 1-1 1607 1539 53.0% 21.6% 25.3% -1.3 4
2004-08-14 @ Ross County D 1-1 1539 1607 25.3% 21.6% 53.0% +1.3 4
2004-08-21 Falkirk L 1-3 1584 1483 56.9% 21.2% 21.9% -19.7 3
2004-08-21 @ Queen Of The South W 3-1 1483 1584 21.9% 21.2% 56.9% +19.7 4
2004-08-21 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1541 1559 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% -9.2 4
2004-08-21 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1559 1541 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% +9.2 6
2004-08-21 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1547 1463 54.9% 21.4% 23.7% -1.5 4
2004-08-21 @ Airdrie United D 1-1 1463 1547 23.7% 21.4% 54.9% +1.5 1
2004-08-21 Ross County W 1-0 1585 1605 41.4% 22.3% 36.3% +8.3 9
2004-08-21 @ Clyde L 0-1 1605 1585 36.3% 22.3% 41.4% -8.3 4
2004-08-21 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1540 1490 50.9% 21.9% 27.3% +6.2 7
2004-08-21 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1490 1540 27.3% 21.9% 50.9% -6.2 0
2004-08-28 Airdrie United W 5-0 1502 1545 38.2% 22.3% 39.5% +38.9 7
2004-08-28 @ Falkirk L 0-5 1545 1502 39.5% 22.3% 38.2% -38.9 4
2004-08-28 Clyde L 0-1 1564 1593 40.1% 22.3% 37.5% -9.0 3
2004-08-28 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1593 1564 37.5% 22.3% 40.1% +9.0 12
2004-08-28 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1546 1532 46.2% 22.2% 31.6% +7.4 10
2004-08-28 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1532 1546 31.6% 22.2% 46.2% -7.4 4
2004-08-28 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1597 1568 48.1% 22.1% 29.8% -10.4 4
2004-08-28 @ Ross County W 1-0 1568 1597 29.8% 22.1% 48.1% +10.4 9
2004-08-28 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1484 1465 46.8% 22.1% 31.1% +7.3 3
2004-08-28 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1465 1484 31.1% 22.1% 46.8% -7.3 1
2004-09-04 Falkirk L 1-4 1579 1541 49.3% 22.0% 28.8% -24.5 9
2004-09-04 @ Partick Thistle W 4-1 1541 1579 28.8% 22.0% 49.3% +24.5 10
2004-09-04 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1506 1555 37.4% 22.3% 40.3% -8.4 4
2004-09-04 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1555 1506 40.3% 22.3% 37.4% +8.5 6
2004-09-04 Ross County L 1-2 1458 1587 27.0% 21.8% 51.1% -6.1 1
2004-09-04 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1587 1458 51.1% 21.8% 27.0% +6.1 7
2004-09-04 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1524 1491 48.7% 22.0% 29.3% -0.9 5
2004-09-04 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1491 1524 29.3% 22.0% 48.7% +0.9 4
2004-09-04 St. Mirren D 0-0 1602 1554 50.7% 21.9% 27.5% -1.2 13
2004-09-04 @ Clyde D 0-0 1554 1602 27.5% 21.9% 50.7% +1.2 11
2004-09-11 Airdrie United L 1-2 1601 1498 57.2% 21.1% 21.7% -11.4 13
2004-09-11 @ Clyde W 2-1 1498 1601 21.7% 21.1% 57.2% +11.4 7
2004-09-11 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1563 1523 49.6% 22.0% 28.5% -1.0 7
2004-09-11 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1523 1563 28.5% 22.0% 49.6% +1.0 6
2004-09-11 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1555 1554 44.3% 22.2% 33.4% +7.3 14
2004-09-11 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1554 1555 33.4% 22.2% 44.3% -7.3 9
2004-09-11 Raith Rovers W 4-2 1566 1451 58.4% 21.0% 20.6% +7.5 13
2004-09-11 @ Falkirk L 2-4 1451 1566 20.6% 21.0% 58.4% -7.5 1
2004-09-11 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1593 1492 56.9% 21.2% 21.9% -12.0 7
2004-09-11 @ Ross County W 1-0 1492 1593 21.9% 21.2% 56.9% +12.0 7
2004-09-18 Clyde L 0-1 1524 1590 35.1% 22.3% 42.6% -8.0 6
2004-09-18 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1590 1524 42.6% 22.3% 35.1% +8.1 16
2004-09-18 Falkirk L 1-2 1504 1573 34.5% 22.3% 43.2% -7.5 7
2004-09-18 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1573 1504 43.2% 22.3% 34.5% +7.5 16
2004-09-18 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1547 1562 42.1% 22.3% 35.6% -8.8 9
2004-09-18 @ Partick Thistle W 2-1 1562 1547 35.6% 22.3% 42.1% +8.8 10
2004-09-18 Ross County L 1-2 1509 1581 34.2% 22.3% 43.5% -7.4 7
2004-09-18 @ Airdrie United W 2-1 1581 1509 43.5% 22.3% 34.2% +7.4 10
2004-09-18 St. Mirren L 0-3 1444 1562 28.3% 21.9% 49.8% -18.5 1
2004-09-18 @ Raith Rovers W 3-0 1562 1444 49.8% 21.9% 28.3% +18.5 17
2004-09-25 Airdrie United D 1-1 1581 1502 54.4% 21.5% 24.1% -1.5 18
2004-09-25 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1502 1581 24.1% 21.5% 54.4% +1.5 8
2004-09-25 Clyde D 1-1 1581 1598 41.9% 22.3% 35.8% -0.3 17
2004-09-25 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1598 1581 35.8% 22.3% 41.9% +0.3 17
2004-09-25 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1496 1538 38.4% 22.3% 39.3% +8.3 10
2004-09-25 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1538 1496 39.3% 22.3% 38.4% -8.3 9
2004-09-25 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1425 1571 25.2% 21.6% 53.2% -5.8 1
2004-09-25 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1571 1425 53.2% 21.6% 25.2% +5.8 13
2004-09-25 Ross County L 1-2 1516 1588 34.2% 22.3% 43.5% -7.4 6
2004-09-25 @ Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1588 1516 43.5% 22.3% 34.2% +7.4 13
2004-10-02 Falkirk L 0-1 1596 1580 46.3% 22.1% 31.5% -10.1 13
2004-10-02 @ Ross County W 1-0 1580 1596 31.5% 22.1% 46.3% +10.1 20
2004-10-02 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1503 1509 43.4% 22.3% 34.3% -18.0 8
2004-10-02 @ Airdrie United W 2-0 1509 1503 34.3% 22.3% 43.4% +18.0 9
2004-10-02 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1530 1420 58.0% 21.0% 21.0% +9.8 12
2004-10-02 @ Partick Thistle L 0-2 1420 1530 21.0% 21.0% 58.0% -9.8 1
2004-10-02 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1598 1505 56.0% 21.3% 22.7% +5.6 20
2004-10-02 @ Clyde L 0-1 1505 1598 22.7% 21.3% 56.0% -5.6 10
2004-10-02 St. Mirren W 2-1 1577 1579 43.9% 22.2% 33.8% +7.4 16
2004-10-02 @ Queen Of The South L 1-2 1579 1577 33.8% 22.2% 43.9% -7.4 18
2004-10-16 Falkirk L 0-1 1527 1590 35.3% 22.3% 42.4% -8.1 9
2004-10-16 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1590 1527 42.4% 22.3% 35.3% +8.1 23
2004-10-16 Partick Thistle W 4-2 1485 1540 36.5% 22.3% 41.1% +13.3 11
2004-10-16 @ Airdrie United L 2-4 1540 1485 41.1% 22.3% 36.5% -13.3 12
2004-10-16 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1603 1410 66.2% 19.4% 14.4% +6.8 23
2004-10-16 @ Clyde L 0-2 1410 1603 14.4% 19.4% 66.2% -6.8 1
2004-10-16 Ross County W 3-2 1572 1585 42.4% 22.3% 35.4% +7.2 21
2004-10-16 @ St. Mirren L 2-3 1585 1572 35.4% 22.3% 42.4% -7.2 13
2004-10-16 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1584 1499 55.1% 21.4% 23.5% -11.7 16
2004-10-16 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1499 1584 23.5% 21.4% 55.1% +11.7 13
2004-10-23 Airdrie United D 1-1 1511 1498 46.0% 22.2% 31.9% -0.7 14
2004-10-23 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1498 1511 31.9% 22.2% 46.0% +0.6 12
2004-10-23 Clyde D 0-0 1526 1610 32.6% 22.2% 45.2% +0.7 13
2004-10-23 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1610 1526 45.2% 22.2% 32.6% -0.6 24
2004-10-23 Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1403 1519 28.6% 22.0% 49.5% +0.7 2
2004-10-23 @ Raith Rovers D 2-2 1519 1403 49.5% 22.0% 28.6% -0.7 10
2004-10-23 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1578 1573 45.0% 22.2% 32.8% +7.6 16
2004-10-23 @ Ross County L 0-1 1573 1578 32.8% 22.2% 45.0% -7.6 16
2004-10-23 St. Mirren D 0-0 1599 1579 46.9% 22.1% 31.0% -0.8 24
2004-10-23 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1579 1599 31.0% 22.1% 46.9% +0.8 22
2004-10-30 Falkirk L 1-3 1499 1598 30.7% 22.1% 47.2% -11.8 12
2004-10-30 @ Airdrie United W 3-1 1598 1499 47.2% 22.1% 30.7% +11.8 27
2004-10-30 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1610 1565 50.2% 21.9% 27.9% +12.6 27
2004-10-30 @ Clyde L 0-2 1565 1610 27.9% 21.9% 50.2% -12.6 16
2004-10-30 Ross County W 4-0 1527 1586 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% +33.0 16
2004-10-30 @ Partick Thistle L 0-4 1586 1527 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% -33.0 16
2004-10-30 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1404 1510 29.7% 22.1% 48.2% +10.4 5
2004-10-30 @ Raith Rovers L 0-1 1510 1404 48.2% 22.1% 29.7% -10.4 14
2004-10-30 St. Mirren D 2-2 1518 1580 35.5% 22.3% 42.2% +0.2 11
2004-10-30 @ Hamilton Academical D 2-2 1580 1518 42.2% 22.3% 35.5% -0.2 23
2004-11-06 Airdrie United W 1-0 1552 1487 52.7% 21.7% 25.6% +6.2 19
2004-11-06 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1487 1552 25.6% 21.7% 52.7% -6.2 12
2004-11-06 Clyde D 0-0 1580 1622 38.2% 22.3% 39.4% +0.1 24
2004-11-06 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1622 1580 39.4% 22.3% 38.2% -0.1 28
2004-11-06 Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1500 1518 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% +22.5 17
2004-11-06 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1518 1500 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% -22.5 11
2004-11-13 Clyde W 3-1 1481 1622 25.7% 21.7% 52.6% +18.3 15
2004-11-13 @ Airdrie United L 1-3 1622 1481 52.6% 21.7% 25.7% -18.3 28
2004-11-13 Falkirk L 0-2 1414 1610 20.3% 20.9% 58.9% -9.5 5
2004-11-13 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1610 1414 58.9% 20.9% 20.3% +9.5 30
2004-11-13 Queen Of The South W 1-0 1496 1559 35.4% 22.3% 42.3% +9.3 14
2004-11-13 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1559 1496 42.3% 22.3% 35.4% -9.3 19
2004-11-13 Ross County D 1-1 1522 1553 40.0% 22.3% 37.7% -0.1 18
2004-11-13 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1553 1522 37.7% 22.3% 40.0% +0.1 17
2004-11-13 St. Mirren L 0-3 1560 1580 41.5% 22.3% 36.2% -25.2 16
2004-11-13 @ Partick Thistle W 3-0 1580 1560 36.2% 22.3% 41.5% +25.2 27
2004-11-20 Airdrie United L 1-2 1553 1499 51.3% 21.8% 26.9% -10.4 17
2004-11-20 @ Ross County W 2-1 1499 1553 26.9% 21.8% 51.3% +10.3 18
2004-11-20 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1604 1505 56.7% 21.2% 22.1% +5.1 31
2004-11-20 @ Clyde L 1-2 1505 1604 22.1% 21.2% 56.7% -5.1 14
2004-11-20 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1549 1535 46.2% 22.2% 31.6% +7.4 22
2004-11-20 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1535 1549 31.6% 22.2% 46.2% -7.4 16
2004-11-20 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1605 1405 66.8% 19.2% 14.0% +3.5 30
2004-11-20 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1405 1605 14.0% 19.2% 66.8% -3.5 5
2004-11-20 St. Johnstone W 3-1 1619 1522 56.4% 21.2% 22.3% +9.0 33
2004-11-20 @ Falkirk L 1-3 1522 1619 22.3% 21.2% 56.4% -9.0 18
2004-11-23 Partick Thistle W 3-0 1628 1528 56.9% 21.2% 21.9% +14.8 36
2004-11-23 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1528 1628 21.9% 21.2% 56.9% -14.8 16
2004-11-23 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1543 1401 61.2% 20.5% 18.3% -2.1 18
2004-11-23 @ Ross County D 1-1 1401 1543 18.3% 20.5% 61.2% +2.1 6
2004-11-27 Airdrie United L 1-3 1500 1510 42.9% 22.3% 34.8% -15.4 14
2004-11-27 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-1 1510 1500 34.8% 22.3% 42.9% +15.4 21
2004-11-27 Clyde W 3-0 1513 1609 31.1% 22.1% 46.8% +27.8 21
2004-11-27 @ St. Johnstone L 0-3 1609 1513 46.8% 22.1% 31.1% -27.8 31
2004-11-27 Partick Thistle D 0-0 1403 1513 29.4% 22.0% 48.6% +1.0 7
2004-11-27 @ Raith Rovers D 0-0 1513 1403 48.6% 22.0% 29.4% -1.0 17
2004-11-27 Queen Of The South D 2-2 1608 1557 51.1% 21.8% 27.1% -0.9 31
2004-11-27 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1557 1608 27.1% 21.8% 51.1% +0.9 23
2004-11-27 Ross County D 2-2 1643 1540 57.1% 21.2% 21.8% -1.3 37
2004-11-27 @ Falkirk D 2-2 1540 1643 21.8% 21.2% 57.1% +1.3 19
2004-12-04 Falkirk L 0-2 1581 1641 35.8% 22.3% 41.9% -15.4 31
2004-12-04 @ Clyde W 2-0 1641 1581 41.9% 22.3% 35.8% +15.4 40
2004-12-04 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1542 1485 51.7% 21.8% 26.5% -1.2 20
2004-12-04 @ Ross County D 1-1 1485 1542 26.5% 21.8% 51.7% +1.2 15
2004-12-04 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1558 1404 62.4% 20.2% 17.3% +8.2 26
2004-12-04 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1404 1558 17.3% 20.2% 62.4% -8.2 7
2004-12-04 St. Johnstone L 0-4 1512 1541 40.1% 22.3% 37.5% -32.0 17
2004-12-04 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1541 1512 37.5% 22.3% 40.1% +32.0 24
2004-12-04 St. Mirren W 3-2 1525 1608 32.8% 22.2% 45.0% +8.8 24
2004-12-04 @ Airdrie United L 2-3 1608 1525 45.0% 22.2% 32.8% -8.8 31
2004-12-11 Falkirk L 0-1 1599 1657 36.1% 22.3% 41.6% -8.2 31
2004-12-11 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1657 1599 41.6% 22.3% 36.1% +8.2 43
2004-12-11 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1566 1480 55.2% 21.4% 23.4% -1.5 32
2004-12-11 @ Clyde D 1-1 1480 1566 23.4% 21.4% 55.2% +1.5 18
2004-12-11 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1486 1396 55.6% 21.4% 23.0% +5.7 18
2004-12-11 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1396 1486 23.0% 21.4% 55.6% -5.6 7
2004-12-11 Ross County W 1-0 1566 1541 47.6% 22.1% 30.3% +7.1 29
2004-12-11 @ Queen Of The South L 0-1 1541 1566 30.3% 22.1% 47.6% -7.1 20
2004-12-11 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1534 1573 38.7% 22.3% 38.9% +0.0 25
2004-12-11 @ Airdrie United D 0-0 1573 1534 38.9% 22.3% 38.7% -0.0 25
2004-12-18 Airdrie United L 0-2 1390 1534 25.4% 21.7% 52.9% -11.6 7
2004-12-18 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1534 1390 52.9% 21.7% 25.4% +11.6 28
2004-12-18 Clyde L 0-1 1533 1564 39.9% 22.3% 37.8% -8.9 20
2004-12-18 @ Ross County W 1-0 1564 1533 37.8% 22.3% 39.9% +8.9 35
2004-12-18 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1481 1491 42.8% 22.3% 34.9% -9.4 18
2004-12-18 @ Partick Thistle W 1-0 1491 1481 34.9% 22.3% 42.8% +9.4 21
2004-12-18 Queen Of The South W 4-2 1665 1573 55.9% 21.3% 22.8% +8.2 46
2004-12-18 @ Falkirk L 2-4 1573 1665 22.8% 21.3% 55.9% -8.2 29
2004-12-18 St. Mirren W 1-0 1573 1591 41.8% 22.3% 35.9% +8.2 28
2004-12-18 @ St. Johnstone L 0-1 1591 1573 35.9% 22.3% 41.8% -8.2 31
2004-12-26 Airdrie United W 1-0 1673 1546 59.8% 20.7% 19.4% +4.8 49
2004-12-26 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1546 1673 19.4% 20.7% 59.8% -4.8 28
2004-12-26 Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1582 1501 54.7% 21.5% 23.8% -11.6 31
2004-12-26 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1501 1582 23.8% 21.5% 54.7% +11.6 24
2004-12-26 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1581 1379 67.0% 19.1% 13.9% +6.6 31
2004-12-26 @ St. Johnstone L 0-2 1379 1581 13.9% 19.1% 67.0% -6.6 7
2004-12-27 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1524 1472 51.2% 21.8% 27.0% +6.1 23
2004-12-27 @ Ross County L 1-2 1472 1524 27.0% 21.8% 51.2% -6.1 18
2004-12-29 Falkirk W 2-1 1466 1678 18.8% 20.6% 60.6% +12.0 21
2004-12-29 @ Partick Thistle L 1-2 1678 1466 60.6% 20.6% 18.8% -12.0 49
2004-12-29 Queen Of The South W 2-0 1541 1565 40.9% 22.3% 36.8% +15.8 31
2004-12-29 @ Airdrie United L 0-2 1565 1541 36.8% 22.3% 40.9% -15.8 29
2004-12-29 Ross County L 1-4 1372 1531 23.8% 21.5% 54.7% -13.5 7
2004-12-29 @ Raith Rovers W 4-1 1531 1372 54.7% 21.5% 23.8% +13.5 26
2004-12-29 St. Johnstone L 0-3 1512 1588 33.7% 22.2% 44.0% -21.3 24
2004-12-29 @ Hamilton Academical W 3-0 1588 1512 44.0% 22.2% 33.7% +21.4 34
2005-01-01 Airdrie United W 1-0 1573 1557 46.5% 22.1% 31.4% +7.3 38
2005-01-01 @ Clyde L 0-1 1557 1573 31.4% 22.1% 46.5% -7.3 31
2005-01-01 Hamilton Academical L 1-2 1549 1491 51.8% 21.8% 26.4% -10.4 29
2005-01-01 @ Queen Of The South W 2-1 1491 1549 26.4% 21.8% 51.8% +10.4 27
2005-01-01 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1571 1478 56.0% 21.3% 22.7% -1.6 32
2005-01-01 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1478 1571 22.7% 21.3% 56.0% +1.6 22
2005-01-01 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1666 1359 75.0% 16.4% 8.6% +4.0 52
2005-01-01 @ Falkirk L 0-2 1359 1666 8.6% 16.4% 75.0% -4.0 7
2005-01-03 St. Johnstone W 4-0 1544 1609 35.1% 22.3% 42.6% +33.6 29
2005-01-03 @ Ross County L 0-4 1609 1544 42.6% 22.3% 35.1% -33.6 34
2005-01-15 Clyde L 0-1 1502 1580 33.2% 22.2% 44.5% -7.7 27
2005-01-15 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1580 1502 44.5% 22.2% 33.2% +7.7 41
2005-01-15 Falkirk L 0-3 1576 1670 31.2% 22.1% 46.7% -20.1 34
2005-01-15 @ St. Johnstone W 3-0 1670 1576 46.7% 22.1% 31.2% +20.1 55
2005-01-15 Queen Of The South W 3-1 1479 1539 35.9% 22.3% 41.8% +15.1 25
2005-01-15 @ Partick Thistle L 1-3 1539 1479 41.8% 22.3% 35.9% -15.1 29
2005-01-15 Ross County W 2-1 1549 1578 40.3% 22.3% 37.4% +8.0 34
2005-01-15 @ Airdrie United L 1-2 1578 1549 37.4% 22.3% 40.3% -8.0 29
2005-01-15 St. Mirren W 2-0 1355 1569 18.6% 20.5% 60.8% +24.1 10
2005-01-15 @ Raith Rovers L 0-2 1569 1355 60.8% 20.5% 18.6% -24.1 32
2005-01-22 Airdrie United W 1-0 1545 1557 42.6% 22.3% 35.1% +8.1 35
2005-01-22 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1557 1545 35.1% 22.3% 42.6% -8.1 34
2005-01-22 Partick Thistle D 1-1 1556 1494 52.2% 21.7% 26.0% -1.3 35
2005-01-22 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1494 1556 26.0% 21.7% 52.2% +1.3 26
2005-01-22 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1379 1523 25.3% 21.7% 53.0% -6.1 10
2005-01-22 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1523 1379 53.0% 21.7% 25.3% +6.1 32
2005-01-22 Ross County L 0-1 1494 1570 33.7% 22.2% 44.1% -7.8 27
2005-01-22 @ Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1570 1494 44.1% 22.2% 33.7% +7.8 32
2005-01-29 Falkirk L 0-1 1577 1690 29.0% 22.0% 49.0% -6.9 32
2005-01-29 @ Ross County W 1-0 1690 1577 49.0% 22.0% 29.0% +6.9 58
2005-01-29 Raith Rovers W 4-1 1496 1373 59.3% 20.8% 19.9% +11.4 29
2005-01-29 @ Partick Thistle L 1-4 1373 1496 19.9% 20.8% 59.3% -11.4 10
2005-01-29 St. Mirren D 0-0 1530 1553 41.0% 22.3% 36.7% -0.2 33
2005-01-29 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1553 1530 36.7% 22.3% 41.0% +0.2 36
2005-02-12 Airdrie United D 1-1 1507 1549 38.3% 22.3% 39.4% +0.1 30
2005-02-12 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1549 1507 39.4% 22.3% 38.3% -0.0 35
2005-02-12 Clyde D 3-3 1361 1588 17.6% 20.3% 62.1% +1.4 11
2005-02-12 @ Raith Rovers D 3-3 1588 1361 62.1% 20.3% 17.6% -1.4 42
2005-02-12 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1697 1486 67.7% 18.9% 13.3% -2.8 59
2005-02-12 @ Falkirk D 1-1 1486 1697 13.3% 18.9% 67.7% +2.8 28
2005-02-12 Queen Of The South D 0-0 1554 1529 47.6% 22.1% 30.3% -0.9 36
2005-02-12 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1529 1554 30.3% 22.1% 47.6% +0.9 34
2005-02-19 Falkirk D 1-1 1530 1694 23.3% 21.4% 55.3% +1.6 35
2005-02-19 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1694 1530 55.3% 21.4% 23.3% -1.6 60
2005-02-19 Partick Thistle W 1-0 1489 1507 41.7% 22.3% 36.0% +8.2 31
2005-02-19 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1507 1489 36.0% 22.3% 41.7% -8.2 30
2005-02-19 Raith Rovers W 2-1 1549 1363 65.5% 19.5% 14.9% +3.5 38
2005-02-19 @ Airdrie United L 1-2 1363 1549 14.9% 19.5% 65.5% -3.5 11
2005-02-19 Ross County W 1-0 1587 1571 46.5% 22.1% 31.4% +7.4 45
2005-02-19 @ Clyde L 0-1 1571 1587 31.4% 22.1% 46.5% -7.4 32
2005-02-19 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1553 1553 44.2% 22.2% 33.5% -0.5 37
2005-02-19 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1553 1553 33.5% 22.2% 44.2% +0.5 37
2005-03-01 St. Mirren L 0-1 1563 1553 45.7% 22.2% 32.1% -9.9 32
2005-03-01 @ Ross County W 1-0 1553 1563 32.1% 22.2% 45.7% +9.9 40
2005-03-02 Clyde L 0-1 1532 1594 35.5% 22.3% 42.2% -8.1 35
2005-03-02 @ Queen Of The South W 1-0 1594 1532 42.2% 22.3% 35.5% +8.1 48
2005-03-05 Airdrie United D 0-0 1524 1553 40.2% 22.3% 37.5% -0.1 36
2005-03-05 @ Queen Of The South D 0-0 1553 1524 37.5% 22.3% 40.2% +0.1 39
2005-03-05 Clyde D 0-0 1563 1602 38.7% 22.3% 39.0% +0.0 41
2005-03-05 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1602 1563 39.0% 22.3% 38.7% -0.0 49
2005-03-05 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1554 1497 51.7% 21.8% 26.5% -20.8 37
2005-03-05 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1497 1554 26.5% 21.8% 51.7% +20.8 34
2005-03-05 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1693 1499 66.2% 19.4% 14.4% +3.4 63
2005-03-05 @ Falkirk L 1-2 1499 1693 14.4% 19.4% 66.2% -3.4 30
2005-03-05 Raith Rovers W 2-0 1553 1359 66.2% 19.4% 14.4% +6.8 35
2005-03-05 @ Ross County L 0-2 1359 1553 14.4% 19.4% 66.2% -6.8 11
2005-03-08 Hamilton Academical W 1-0 1553 1518 48.9% 22.0% 29.1% +6.9 42
2005-03-08 @ Airdrie United L 0-1 1518 1553 29.1% 22.0% 48.9% -6.9 34
2005-03-08 St. Mirren D 0-0 1602 1563 49.5% 22.0% 28.5% -1.1 50
2005-03-08 @ Clyde D 0-0 1563 1602 28.5% 22.0% 49.5% +1.1 42
2005-03-12 Falkirk D 2-2 1560 1696 26.2% 21.8% 52.0% +0.9 43
2005-03-12 @ Airdrie United D 2-2 1696 1560 52.0% 21.8% 26.2% -0.9 64
2005-03-12 Queen Of The South L 0-1 1601 1524 54.2% 21.5% 24.2% -11.5 50
2005-03-12 @ Clyde W 1-0 1524 1601 24.2% 21.5% 54.2% +11.5 39
2005-03-12 Ross County D 0-0 1496 1560 35.2% 22.3% 42.5% +0.4 31
2005-03-12 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1560 1496 42.5% 22.3% 35.2% -0.4 36
2005-03-12 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1352 1533 21.6% 21.1% 57.2% -5.0 11
2005-03-12 @ Raith Rovers W 2-1 1533 1352 57.2% 21.1% 21.6% +5.0 40
2005-03-12 St. Mirren D 0-0 1511 1564 36.8% 22.3% 40.9% +0.2 35
2005-03-12 @ Hamilton Academical D 0-0 1564 1511 40.9% 22.3% 36.8% -0.2 43
2005-03-15 Clyde D 0-0 1695 1590 57.4% 21.1% 21.5% -2.0 65
2005-03-15 @ Falkirk D 0-0 1590 1695 21.5% 21.1% 57.4% +2.0 51
2005-03-19 Clyde L 2-4 1561 1592 39.9% 22.3% 37.8% -13.0 43
2005-03-19 @ Airdrie United W 4-2 1592 1561 37.8% 22.3% 39.9% +13.0 54
2005-03-19 Falkirk D 3-3 1347 1693 10.2% 17.4% 72.3% +2.0 12
2005-03-19 @ Raith Rovers D 3-3 1693 1347 72.3% 17.4% 10.2% -2.0 66
2005-03-19 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1511 1535 40.9% 22.3% 36.8% -0.2 36
2005-03-19 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1535 1511 36.8% 22.3% 40.9% +0.2 40
2005-03-19 Ross County L 0-2 1538 1560 41.2% 22.3% 36.5% -17.2 40
2005-03-19 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1560 1538 36.5% 22.3% 41.2% +17.2 39
2005-03-19 St. Mirren D 0-0 1496 1564 34.7% 22.3% 43.0% +0.4 32
2005-03-19 @ Partick Thistle D 0-0 1564 1496 43.0% 22.3% 34.7% -0.4 44
2005-03-22 St. Johnstone D 1-1 1605 1521 54.9% 21.4% 23.6% -1.5 55
2005-03-22 @ Clyde D 1-1 1521 1605 23.6% 21.4% 54.9% +1.5 41
2005-04-02 Airdrie United W 3-1 1577 1548 48.2% 22.1% 29.8% +11.5 42
2005-04-02 @ Ross County L 1-3 1548 1577 29.8% 22.1% 48.2% -11.5 43
2005-04-02 Hamilton Academical L 1-3 1603 1511 55.9% 21.3% 22.8% -19.3 55
2005-04-02 @ Clyde W 3-1 1511 1603 22.8% 21.3% 55.9% +19.4 39
2005-04-02 Partick Thistle W 3-1 1535 1496 49.5% 22.0% 28.6% +11.1 43
2005-04-02 @ Queen Of The South L 1-3 1496 1535 28.6% 22.0% 49.5% -11.1 32
2005-04-02 Raith Rovers W 3-0 1563 1349 68.0% 18.9% 13.2% +9.1 47
2005-04-02 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1349 1563 13.2% 18.9% 68.0% -9.1 12
2005-04-02 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1691 1522 63.9% 19.9% 16.2% +11.1 69
2005-04-02 @ Falkirk L 0-3 1522 1691 16.2% 19.9% 63.9% -11.1 41
2005-04-09 Airdrie United D 1-1 1530 1536 43.5% 22.3% 34.3% -0.4 40
2005-04-09 @ Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1536 1530 34.3% 22.3% 43.5% +0.4 44
2005-04-09 Clyde D 0-0 1511 1584 34.1% 22.2% 43.7% +0.5 42
2005-04-09 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1584 1511 43.7% 22.2% 34.1% -0.5 56
2005-04-09 Partick Thistle W 2-1 1340 1485 25.3% 21.6% 53.1% +10.7 15
2005-04-09 @ Raith Rovers L 1-2 1485 1340 53.1% 21.6% 25.3% -10.7 32
2005-04-09 Queen Of The South W 3-0 1572 1546 47.8% 22.1% 30.2% +19.5 50
2005-04-09 @ St. Mirren L 0-3 1546 1572 30.2% 22.1% 47.8% -19.5 43
2005-04-09 Ross County W 1-0 1702 1588 58.3% 21.0% 20.7% +5.1 72
2005-04-09 @ Falkirk L 0-1 1588 1702 20.7% 21.0% 58.3% -5.1 42
2005-04-16 Falkirk L 0-1 1583 1707 27.6% 21.9% 50.5% -6.6 56
2005-04-16 @ Clyde W 1-0 1707 1583 50.5% 21.9% 27.6% +6.6 75
2005-04-16 Hamilton Academical W 2-1 1583 1530 51.3% 21.8% 26.9% +6.1 45
2005-04-16 @ Ross County L 1-2 1530 1583 26.9% 21.8% 51.3% -6.1 40
2005-04-16 Raith Rovers D 1-1 1527 1351 64.6% 19.8% 15.7% -2.5 44
2005-04-16 @ Queen Of The South D 1-1 1351 1527 15.7% 19.8% 64.6% +2.5 16
2005-04-16 St. Johnstone L 0-4 1475 1512 39.0% 22.3% 38.7% -31.3 32
2005-04-16 @ Partick Thistle W 4-0 1512 1475 38.7% 22.3% 39.0% +31.3 45
2005-04-16 St. Mirren L 0-2 1536 1592 36.4% 22.3% 41.2% -15.7 44
2005-04-16 @ Airdrie United W 2-0 1592 1536 41.2% 22.3% 36.4% +15.6 53
2005-04-23 Airdrie United L 1-2 1543 1521 47.2% 22.1% 30.6% -9.6 45
2005-04-23 @ St. Johnstone W 2-1 1521 1543 30.6% 22.1% 47.2% +9.7 47
2005-04-23 Clyde W 1-0 1443 1577 26.5% 21.8% 51.7% +11.0 35
2005-04-23 @ Partick Thistle L 0-1 1577 1443 51.7% 21.8% 26.5% -11.1 56
2005-04-23 Hamilton Academical L 0-2 1353 1524 22.6% 21.3% 56.1% -10.5 16
2005-04-23 @ Raith Rovers W 2-0 1524 1353 56.1% 21.3% 22.6% +10.5 43
2005-04-23 Queen Of The South D 1-1 1589 1524 52.7% 21.7% 25.6% -1.3 46
2005-04-23 @ Ross County D 1-1 1524 1589 25.6% 21.7% 52.7% +1.3 45
2005-04-23 St. Mirren L 1-2 1714 1607 57.6% 21.1% 21.4% -11.5 75
2005-04-23 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1607 1714 21.4% 21.1% 57.6% +11.5 56
2005-04-30 Falkirk W 1-0 1534 1703 22.8% 21.3% 55.8% +11.8 46
2005-04-30 @ Hamilton Academical L 0-1 1703 1534 55.8% 21.3% 22.8% -11.8 75
2005-04-30 Partick Thistle L 0-1 1530 1454 54.1% 21.6% 24.4% -11.5 47
2005-04-30 @ Airdrie United W 1-0 1454 1530 24.4% 21.6% 54.1% +11.5 38
2005-04-30 Raith Rovers W 1-0 1566 1343 68.7% 18.7% 12.7% +3.2 59
2005-04-30 @ Clyde L 0-1 1343 1566 12.7% 18.7% 68.7% -3.2 16
2005-04-30 Ross County W 1-0 1619 1588 48.4% 22.0% 29.6% +7.0 59
2005-04-30 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1588 1619 29.6% 22.0% 48.4% -7.0 46
2005-04-30 St. Johnstone W 2-0 1526 1533 43.2% 22.3% 34.5% +15.0 48
2005-04-30 @ Queen Of The South L 0-2 1533 1526 34.5% 22.3% 43.2% -15.0 45
2005-05-07 Airdrie United L 0-1 1340 1519 21.8% 21.2% 57.1% -5.4 16
2005-05-07 @ Raith Rovers W 1-0 1519 1340 57.1% 21.2% 21.8% +5.4 50
2005-05-07 Clyde D 1-1 1581 1569 45.9% 22.2% 31.9% -0.7 47
2005-05-07 @ Ross County D 1-1 1569 1581 31.9% 22.2% 45.9% +0.7 60
2005-05-07 Hamilton Academical D 1-1 1466 1546 33.0% 22.2% 44.8% +0.5 39
2005-05-07 @ Partick Thistle D 1-1 1546 1466 44.8% 22.2% 33.0% -0.5 47
2005-05-07 Queen Of The South L 1-2 1691 1541 62.1% 20.3% 17.6% -12.3 75
2005-05-07 @ Falkirk W 2-1 1541 1691 17.6% 20.3% 62.1% +12.3 51
2005-05-07 St. Mirren D 0-0 1518 1626 29.6% 22.0% 48.4% +1.0 46
2005-05-07 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1626 1518 48.4% 22.0% 29.6% -1.0 60

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-05-07 17.59% Queen Of The South 1541 2 @ Falkirk 1691 1
2 2005-01-15 18.62% @ Raith Rovers 1355 2 St. Mirren 1569 0
3 2004-12-29 18.77% @ Partick Thistle 1466 2 Falkirk 1678 1
4 2005-04-23 21.36% St. Mirren 1607 2 @ Falkirk 1714 1
5 2004-09-11 21.67% Airdrie United 1498 2 @ Clyde 1601 1
6 2004-08-21 21.90% Falkirk 1483 3 @ Queen Of The South 1584 1
7 2004-09-11 21.91% St. Johnstone 1492 1 @ Ross County 1593 0
8 2005-04-02 22.77% Hamilton Academical 1511 3 @ Clyde 1603 1
9 2005-04-30 22.83% @ Hamilton Academical 1534 1 Falkirk 1703 0
10 2004-10-16 23.47% St. Johnstone 1499 1 @ Queen Of The South 1584 0
11 2004-12-26 23.84% Hamilton Academical 1501 1 @ St. Mirren 1582 0
12 2005-03-12 24.25% Queen Of The South 1524 1 @ Clyde 1601 0
13 2005-04-30 24.40% Partick Thistle 1454 1 @ Airdrie United 1530 0
14 2005-04-09 25.28% @ Raith Rovers 1340 2 Partick Thistle 1485 1
15 2004-11-13 25.69% @ Airdrie United 1481 3 Clyde 1622 1
16 2005-01-01 26.40% Hamilton Academical 1491 2 @ Queen Of The South 1549 1
17 2005-03-05 26.52% Hamilton Academical 1497 2 @ St. Johnstone 1554 0
18 2005-04-23 26.54% @ Partick Thistle 1443 1 Clyde 1577 0
19 2004-11-20 26.89% Airdrie United 1499 2 @ Ross County 1553 1
20 2004-09-04 28.76% Falkirk 1541 4 @ Partick Thistle 1579 1
21 2004-10-30 29.72% @ Raith Rovers 1404 1 St. Johnstone 1510 0
22 2004-08-28 29.85% Partick Thistle 1568 1 @ Ross County 1597 0
23 2005-04-23 30.64% Airdrie United 1521 2 @ St. Johnstone 1543 1
24 2004-11-27 31.06% @ St. Johnstone 1513 3 Clyde 1609 0
25 2004-10-02 31.54% Falkirk 1580 1 @ Ross County 1596 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-08-28 38.93 @ Falkirk 5 1502 38.22% Airdrie United 0 1545 39.46% 22.32%
2 2005-01-03 33.59 @ Ross County 4 1544 35.09% St. Johnstone 0 1609 42.63% 22.28%
3 2004-10-30 33.02 @ Partick Thistle 4 1527 35.96% Ross County 0 1586 41.74% 22.30%
4 2004-12-04 32.01 St. Johnstone 4 1541 37.55% @ Partick Thistle 0 1512 40.13% 22.32%
5 2005-04-16 31.31 St. Johnstone 4 1512 38.66% @ Partick Thistle 0 1475 39.01% 22.32%
6 2004-11-27 27.79 @ St. Johnstone 3 1513 31.06% Clyde 0 1609 46.81% 22.13%
7 2004-11-13 25.17 St. Mirren 3 1580 36.19% @ Partick Thistle 0 1560 41.51% 22.30%
8 2004-09-04 24.47 Falkirk 4 1541 28.76% @ Partick Thistle 1 1579 49.26% 21.98%
9 2005-01-15 24.13 @ Raith Rovers 2 1355 18.62% St. Mirren 0 1569 60.83% 20.55%
10 2004-11-06 22.52 @ St. Johnstone 3 1500 41.67% Hamilton Academical 0 1518 36.02% 22.30%
11 2004-12-29 21.35 St. Johnstone 3 1588 44.05% @ Hamilton Academical 0 1512 33.71% 22.24%
12 2005-03-05 20.84 Hamilton Academical 2 1497 26.52% @ St. Johnstone 0 1554 51.70% 21.78%
13 2005-01-15 20.06 Falkirk 3 1670 46.65% @ St. Johnstone 0 1576 31.22% 22.14%
14 2004-08-21 19.66 Falkirk 3 1483 21.90% @ Queen Of The South 1 1584 56.91% 21.19%
15 2005-04-09 19.51 @ St. Mirren 3 1572 47.75% Queen Of The South 0 1546 30.18% 22.08%
16 2005-04-02 19.35 Hamilton Academical 3 1511 22.77% @ Clyde 1 1603 55.91% 21.32%
17 2004-09-18 18.49 St. Mirren 3 1562 49.77% @ Raith Rovers 0 1444 28.29% 21.94%
18 2004-11-13 18.33 @ Airdrie United 3 1481 25.69% Clyde 1 1622 52.61% 21.70%
19 2004-10-02 17.98 Hamilton Academical 2 1509 34.30% @ Airdrie United 0 1503 43.44% 22.26%
20 2005-03-19 17.24 Ross County 2 1560 36.46% @ St. Johnstone 0 1538 41.23% 22.31%
21 2004-12-29 15.76 @ Airdrie United 2 1541 40.91% Queen Of The South 0 1565 36.78% 22.31%
22 2005-04-16 15.65 St. Mirren 2 1592 41.25% @ Airdrie United 0 1536 36.44% 22.31%
23 2004-11-27 15.41 Airdrie United 3 1510 34.82% @ Hamilton Academical 1 1500 42.90% 22.27%
24 2004-12-04 15.41 Falkirk 2 1641 41.95% @ Clyde 0 1581 35.75% 22.30%
25 2005-01-15 15.09 @ Partick Thistle 3 1479 35.91% Queen Of The South 1 1539 41.79% 22.30%