1959-60 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

5.89 points above expected

43 points · 37.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Porto

4.79 points below expected

30 points · 34.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	26	20	5	1	45	75	27	+48	39.3	+5.73
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	19	5	2	43	82	20	+62	37.1	+5.89
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	15	6	5	36	58	25	+33	34.6	+1.38
4	Porto	26	13	4	9	30	48	36	+12	34.8	-4.79
5	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	9	9	25	40	41	-1	25.4	-0.37
6	Fabril	26	10	5	11	25	36	39	-3	22.2	+2.77
7	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	8	7	11	23	47	43	+4	27.1	-4.15
8	Leixoes	26	8	7	11	23	48	56	-8	21.4	+1.63
9	Sporting Covilha	26	8	6	12	22	32	49	-17	22.5	-0.54
10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	7	7	12	21	34	46	-12	19.4	+1.61
11	Lusitano de Evora	26	6	9	11	21	32	55	-23	20.4	+0.60
12	Braga	26	6	8	12	20	24	39	-15	21.5	-1.49
13	Vitoria Setubal	26	5	8	13	18	26	52	-26	22.1	-4.07
14	Boavista	26	4	4	18	12	27	81	-54	16.2	-4.20

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1772	45	39.27	+5.73	98.0%	30	34	37	39	42	44	48
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1756	43	37.11	+5.89	97.0%	27	30	35	37	40	42	45
Os Belenenses (1st)	1678	36	34.62	+1.38	72.0%	25	28	32	34	37	42	46
Porto	1594	30	34.79	-4.79	14.0%	26	28	33	35	38	41	46
Fabril	1465	25	22.23	+2.77	81.0%	14	16	19	22	25	28	33
Academica de Coimbra	1404	25	25.37	-0.37	45.0%	15	17	23	26	28	31	34
Leixoes	1397	23	21.37	+1.63	67.0%	14	15	18	21	24	27	33
Braga	1372	20	21.49	-1.49	41.0%	13	14	19	21	24	28	33
Vitoria Guimaraes	1370	23	27.15	-4.15	18.0%	16	20	25	27	29	33	37
Lusitano de Evora	1347	21	20.40	+0.60	64.0%	12	15	18	20	23	27	31
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1344	21	19.39	+1.61	70.0%	6	13	17	19	22	26	29
Sporting Covilha	1333	22	22.54	-0.54	47.0%	12	16	20	23	25	27	32
Vitoria Setubal	1322	18	22.07	-4.07	20.0%	13	15	19	22	25	29	31
Boavista	1208	12	16.20	-4.20	14.0%	7	10	14	16	18	22	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEN	BOA	BRA	FAB	LEI	LDE	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 3.26	0-0-2 1.36	2-0-0 3.80	0-1-1 3.31	0-1-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.09	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-1 1.97	1-0-1 1.55	0-1-1 1.60	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.48	0-2-0 3.21
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0-1-1 2.28	—	0-0-2 0.94	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 2.40	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 1.18	0-1-1 1.15	0-1-1 0.82	1-0-1 2.42	0-1-1 2.05	2-0-0 2.34
Benfica	2-0-0 4.25	2-0-0 4.70	—	2-0-0 4.78	2-0-0 4.17	2-0-0 4.59	1-1-0 4.76	2-0-0 4.70	0-1-1 3.50	1-1-0 3.53	1-1-0 3.02	2-0-0 4.57	1-1-0 4.06	2-0-0 4.48
Boavista	0-0-2 1.74	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 0.87	—	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.10	0-1-1 1.81	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 0.94	0-0-2 0.85	0-0-2 0.78	0-1-1 2.13	1-0-1 1.56	1-1-0 1.93
Braga	1-1-0 2.22	0-1-1 3.13	0-0-2 1.43	1-1-0 3.38	—	0-0-2 2.97	1-0-1 2.77	0-2-0 2.86	0-1-1 1.61	1-1-0 1.25	0-0-2 1.40	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.74
Fabril	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 3.08	0-0-2 1.01	2-0-0 3.42	2-0-0 2.55	—	0-0-2 2.66	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 1.40	1-0-1 1.66	0-0-2 1.49	1-0-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.61
Leixoes	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 0.87	1-1-0 3.71	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.85	—	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 1.35	0-1-1 1.28	0-0-2 1.15	1-1-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.06	1-0-1 2.84
Lusitano de Evora	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 0.91	1-0-1 3.20	0-2-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.63	—	0-1-1 1.18	0-0-2 1.43	0-1-1 0.88	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 1.96	0-2-0 2.62
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 4.40	1-1-0 2.03	2-0-0 4.70	1-1-0 3.98	1-0-1 4.18	1-1-0 4.22	1-1-0 4.40	—	2-0-0 2.66	1-0-1 2.40	1-1-0 3.89	2-0-0 3.62	0-0-2 4.54
Porto	1-0-1 4.00	1-1-0 4.44	0-1-1 2.00	2-0-0 4.78	0-1-1 4.32	1-0-1 3.91	1-1-0 4.28	2-0-0 4.14	0-0-2 2.87	—	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 4.29	2-0-0 3.60	2-0-0 4.16
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 3.94	1-1-0 4.81	0-1-1 2.50	2-0-0 4.90	2-0-0 4.22	2-0-0 4.10	2-0-0 4.43	1-1-0 4.74	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.66	—	2-0-0 4.22	1-1-0 3.91	2-0-0 4.62
Sporting Covilha	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 1.02	1-1-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.92	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-1 1.66	1-0-1 1.27	0-0-2 1.39	—	0-1-1 2.23	1-1-0 2.79
Vitoria Guimaraes	0-1-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.49	0-1-1 1.51	1-0-1 3.99	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 3.16	1-1-0 3.47	1-0-1 3.56	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 1.95	0-1-1 1.63	1-1-0 3.29	—	1-0-1 3.51
Vitoria Setubal	0-2-0 2.33	0-0-2 3.19	0-0-2 1.10	0-1-1 3.61	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.69	0-2-0 2.90	2-0-0 1.05	0-0-2 1.41	0-0-2 0.97	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.03	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	6.59%	3.85%	1.92%	2.75%	3.02%	25.82%
1	6.59%	10.99%	5.49%	3.85%	2.20%	3.30%	32.42%
2	3.85%	5.49%	4.95%	2.20%	1.10%	0.82%	18.41%
3	1.92%	3.85%	2.20%	0.55%	0.27%	0.27%	9.07%
4	2.75%	2.20%	1.10%	0.27%	0.55%	—	6.87%
5+	3.02%	3.30%	0.82%	0.27%	—	—	7.42%
Total	25.82%	32.42%	18.41%	9.07%	6.87%	7.42%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.158
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	2.02
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.115
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	19.23%	19.23%	19.23%	15.38%	—	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.228
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	26.92%	50.00%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.88
Mean allowed	1.04
StdDev scored	1.86
StdDev allowed	0.87
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.052
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	42.31%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	11.54%	26.92%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.04
Mean allowed	3.12
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	2.29
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.169
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	23.08%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	57.69%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.92
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.000
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	53.85%
2	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	23.08%	26.92%	11.54%	—	7.69%	100%

Fabril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.268
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	—	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	11.54%	42.31%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	23.08%	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	2.07
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.362
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
1	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	23.08%	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.93
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.013
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	38.46%	34.62%	23.08%	—	3.85%	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	2.03
StdDev allowed	1.00
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.024
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	34.62%	23.08%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.152
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
2	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	46.15%	38.46%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.15
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	2.09
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.082
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	38.46%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.307
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	19.23%	46.15%	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	2.02
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.208
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	30.77%
1	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	50.00%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	42.31%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	2.04
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.130
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	43	37.1	+5.89
2	Benfica	45	39.3	+5.73
3	Fabril	25	22.2	+2.77
4	Leixoes	23	21.4	+1.63
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	21	19.4	+1.61

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Porto	30	34.8	-4.79
2	Boavista	12	16.2	-4.20
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	23	27.1	-4.15
4	Vitoria Setubal	18	22.1	-4.07
5	Braga	20	21.5	-1.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Braga	2	Oct 25 – Nov 1	1 in 31
2	Vitoria Setubal	2	Nov 15 – Nov 22	1 in 27
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Jan 24 – Mar 13	1 in 18
4	Benfica	9	Jan 10 – Mar 20	1 in 18
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	Jan 24 – Feb 7	1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Guimaraes	5	Jan 10 – Feb 14	1 in 90
2	Braga	5	Nov 15 – Dec 20	1 in 31
3	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	Oct 4 – Oct 11	1 in 30
4	Boavista	6	Nov 1 – Dec 20	1 in 19
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	Sep 20 – Oct 4	1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	25	Sep 20 – Apr 14	1 in 111
2	Braga	5	Mar 20 – Apr 29	1 in 27
3	Leixoes	6	Dec 13 – Jan 24	1 in 27
4	Vitoria Setubal	4	Mar 20 – Apr 14	1 in 24
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	17	Nov 1 – Apr 3	1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Vitoria Setubal	10	Dec 20 – Mar 13	1 in 64
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	Mar 6 – Apr 29	1 in 46
3	Academica de Coimbra	9	Dec 20 – Mar 6	1 in 41
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Mar 20 – Apr 10	1 in 31
5	Porto	3	Oct 4 – Oct 18	1 in 17

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Benfica	50.00%	30.00%	13.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	31.00%	28.00%	28.00%	12.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	12.00%	18.00%	24.00%	37.00%	7.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	7.00%	22.00%	33.00%	28.00%	8.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	25.00%	22.00%	14.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Fabril	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	10.00%	17.00%	4.00%	13.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	1.00%	—	9.00%	34.00%	26.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—	—	1.00%
Leixoes	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	15.00%	10.00%	12.00%	11.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	—	—	1.00%	—	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	17.00%	11.00%	16.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	14.00%	14.00%	15.00%	15.00%	14.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	21.00%	12.00%	9.00%
Braga	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	14.00%	14.00%	15.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	7.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	—	—	8.00%	6.00%	13.00%	14.00%	6.00%	14.00%	14.00%	10.00%	13.00%	2.00%
Boavista	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	20.00%	54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Vitoria Guimaraes	99.0%	1.0%
Academica de Coimbra	95.0%	5.0%
Sporting Covilha	93.0%	7.0%
Fabril	90.0%	10.0%
Vitoria Setubal	85.0%	15.0%
Braga	83.0%	17.0%
Leixoes	79.0%	21.0%
Lusitano de Evora	79.0%	21.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	71.0%	29.0%
Boavista	26.0%	74.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1959-09-20	Porto	W 1-0	1450	1675	28.8%	23.8%	47.3%	+13.5	3
1959-09-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1675	1450	47.3%	23.8%	28.8%	-13.5	0
1959-09-20	Leixoes	W 4-2	1312	1345	53.5%	24.2%	22.3%	+10.8	3
1959-09-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1345	1312	22.3%	24.2%	53.5%	-10.8	0
1959-09-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1645	1407	74.2%	19.8%	6.0%	+4.9	3
1959-09-20	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1407	1645	6.0%	19.8%	74.2%	-4.9	0
1959-09-20	Braga	D 0-0	1329	1444	43.5%	24.4%	32.1%	-0.8	1
1959-09-20	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1444	1329	32.1%	24.4%	43.5%	+0.8	1
1959-09-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1370	1571	31.9%	24.0%	44.1%	-9.8	0
1959-09-20	@ Fabril	W 1-0	1571	1370	44.1%	24.0%	31.9%	+9.8	3
1959-09-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1392	1581	33.4%	24.1%	42.5%	+0.6	1
1959-09-20	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1581	1392	42.5%	24.1%	33.4%	-0.6	1
1959-09-20	Lusitano de Evora	W 7-0	1441	1400	60.8%	23.5%	15.6%	+33.2	3
1959-09-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-7	1400	1441	15.6%	23.5%	60.8%	-33.2	0
1959-09-27	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1580	1323	75.2%	19.3%	5.5%	+4.4	4
1959-09-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1323	1580	5.5%	19.3%	75.2%	-4.4	3
1959-09-27	Benfica	L 0-3	1445	1650	31.3%	24.0%	44.7%	-26.6	1
1959-09-27	@ Braga	W 3-0	1650	1445	44.7%	24.0%	31.3%	+26.5	6
1959-09-27	Fabril	W 3-1	1334	1361	54.2%	24.2%	21.6%	+11.8	3
1959-09-27	@ Leixoes	L 1-3	1361	1334	21.6%	24.2%	54.2%	-11.8	0
1959-09-27	Boavista	W 1-0	1367	1328	60.6%	23.6%	15.8%	+5.5	3
1959-09-27	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1328	1367	15.8%	23.6%	60.6%	-5.5	1
1959-09-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1661	1474	71.4%	21.0%	7.7%	+2.5	3
1959-09-27	@ Porto	L 2-3	1474	1661	7.7%	21.0%	71.4%	-2.5	3
1959-09-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1581	1464	66.8%	22.4%	10.8%	+3.6	6
1959-09-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1464	1581	10.8%	22.4%	66.8%	-3.7	3
1959-09-27	Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1402	1392	57.9%	23.9%	18.2%	-15.3	0
1959-09-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1392	1402	18.2%	23.9%	57.9%	+15.3	4
1959-10-04	Leixoes	W 8-1	1460	1346	66.6%	22.4%	11.0%	+19.6	6
1959-10-04	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-8	1346	1460	11.0%	22.4%	66.6%	-19.6	3
1959-10-04	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1318	1387	49.4%	24.4%	26.2%	+16.0	6
1959-10-04	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1387	1318	26.2%	24.4%	49.4%	-16.0	0
1959-10-04	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-3	1677	1372	77.6%	18.1%	4.4%	+2.0	9
1959-10-04	@ Benfica	L 3-5	1372	1677	4.4%	18.1%	77.6%	-2.0	3
1959-10-04	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1349	1584	27.5%	23.7%	48.8%	+13.8	3
1959-10-04	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1584	1349	48.8%	23.7%	27.5%	-13.8	4
1959-10-04	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1664	1584	64.0%	23.0%	13.0%	-41.4	3
1959-10-04	@ Porto	W 4-1	1584	1664	13.0%	23.0%	64.0%	+41.4	9
1959-10-04	Braga	W 1-0	1408	1419	55.9%	24.1%	20.1%	+6.8	7
1959-10-04	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1419	1408	20.1%	24.1%	55.9%	-6.8	1
1959-10-04	Boavista	W 5-1	1472	1323	69.0%	21.8%	9.2%	+9.9	6
1959-10-04	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-5	1323	1472	9.2%	21.8%	69.0%	-9.9	1
1959-10-11	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1571	1480	64.9%	22.8%	12.3%	-17.1	4
1959-10-11	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1480	1571	12.3%	22.8%	64.9%	+17.1	9
1959-10-11	Benfica	L 0-2	1313	1679	15.4%	21.6%	63.0%	-9.8	1
1959-10-11	@ Boavista	W 2-0	1679	1313	63.0%	21.6%	15.4%	+9.8	12
1959-10-11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1412	1334	63.9%	23.0%	13.1%	-3.8	2
1959-10-11	@ Braga	D 0-0	1334	1412	13.1%	23.0%	63.9%	+3.8	7
1959-10-11	Porto	D 2-2	1326	1622	21.1%	22.9%	56.0%	+1.7	4
1959-10-11	@ Leixoes	D 2-2	1622	1326	56.0%	22.9%	21.1%	-1.7	4
1959-10-11	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1370	1414	52.3%	24.3%	23.4%	-2.0	4
1959-10-11	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1414	1370	23.4%	24.3%	52.3%	+2.0	8
1959-10-11	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1626	1482	68.7%	21.9%	9.5%	-4.1	10
1959-10-11	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1482	1626	9.5%	21.9%	68.7%	+4.1	7
1959-10-11	Fabril	D 0-0	1371	1363	57.8%	23.9%	18.3%	-2.9	1
1959-10-11	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1363	1371	18.3%	23.9%	57.8%	+2.9	4
1959-10-18	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1497	1368	67.6%	22.1%	10.2%	-4.4	10
1959-10-18	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1368	1497	10.2%	22.1%	67.6%	+4.4	2
1959-10-18	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1338	1368	53.8%	24.2%	22.0%	+12.0	10
1959-10-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1368	1338	22.0%	24.2%	53.8%	-12.0	4
1959-10-18	Braga	W 2-0	1365	1408	52.4%	24.3%	23.3%	+14.5	7
1959-10-18	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1408	1365	23.3%	24.3%	52.4%	-14.5	2
1959-10-18	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1621	1554	63.0%	23.2%	13.8%	-15.8	4
1959-10-18	@ Porto	W 3-2	1554	1621	13.8%	23.2%	63.0%	+15.8	7
1959-10-18	Leixoes	W 5-1	1622	1328	77.1%	18.3%	4.6%	+4.7	13
1959-10-18	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1328	1622	4.6%	18.3%	77.1%	-4.7	4
1959-10-18	Boavista	W 4-0	1416	1303	66.6%	22.4%	11.0%	+14.1	11
1959-10-18	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-4	1303	1416	11.0%	22.4%	66.6%	-14.1	1
1959-10-18	Benfica	D 1-1	1486	1688	31.6%	24.0%	44.4%	+0.8	8
1959-10-18	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1688	1486	44.4%	24.0%	31.6%	-0.8	13
1959-10-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1569	1626	50.8%	24.3%	24.9%	+8.1	10
1959-10-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1626	1569	24.9%	24.3%	50.8%	-8.1	13
1959-10-25	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1688	1431	75.2%	19.3%	5.5%	+1.8	16
1959-10-25	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1431	1688	5.5%	19.3%	75.2%	-1.8	11
1959-10-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1289	1350	50.3%	24.4%	25.3%	+7.4	4
1959-10-25	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1350	1289	25.3%	24.4%	50.3%	-7.4	10
1959-10-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1393	1492	45.6%	24.4%	29.9%	+17.8	5
1959-10-25	@ Braga	L 0-2	1492	1393	29.9%	24.4%	45.6%	-17.8	10
1959-10-25	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1323	1487	36.9%	24.3%	38.9%	+0.1	5
1959-10-25	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1487	1323	38.9%	24.3%	36.9%	-0.1	9
1959-10-25	Fabril	W 2-1	1356	1380	54.5%	24.2%	21.3%	+6.8	7
1959-10-25	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1380	1356	21.3%	24.2%	54.5%	-6.8	7
1959-10-25	Porto	L 0-1	1372	1605	27.9%	23.7%	48.4%	-8.8	2
1959-10-25	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1605	1372	48.4%	23.7%	27.9%	+8.8	7
1959-11-01	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1475	1363	66.4%	22.5%	11.1%	-3.8	11
1959-11-01	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1363	1475	11.1%	22.5%	66.4%	+3.8	8
1959-11-01	Benfica	L 0-4	1343	1689	16.8%	22.0%	61.3%	-20.2	10
1959-11-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1689	1343	61.3%	22.0%	16.8%	+20.2	19
1959-11-01	Boavista	W 1-0	1373	1296	63.8%	23.0%	13.1%	+4.7	10
1959-11-01	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1296	1373	13.1%	23.0%	63.8%	-4.7	4
1959-11-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1323	1577	25.4%	23.5%	51.1%	+1.6	6
1959-11-01	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1577	1323	51.1%	23.5%	25.4%	-1.6	11
1959-11-01	Braga	L 1-2	1614	1411	72.3%	20.6%	7.1%	-18.8	7
1959-11-01	@ Porto	W 2-1	1411	1614	7.1%	20.6%	72.3%	+18.8	8
1959-11-01	Vitoria Setubal	W 8-0	1618	1363	75.1%	19.4%	5.5%	+13.3	16
1959-11-01	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-8	1363	1618	5.5%	19.4%	75.1%	-13.3	2
1959-11-01	Sporting Covilha	W 4-1	1486	1429	62.3%	23.3%	14.4%	+11.8	12
1959-11-01	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1429	1486	14.4%	23.3%	62.3%	-11.8	11
1959-11-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1576	1498	63.9%	23.0%	13.1%	+7.6	14
1959-11-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1498	1576	13.1%	23.0%	63.9%	-7.6	12
1959-11-15	Fabril	W 2-1	1710	1378	78.9%	17.3%	3.8%	+1.2	22
1959-11-15	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1378	1710	3.8%	17.3%	78.9%	-1.2	10
1959-11-15	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1292	1471	34.7%	24.2%	41.1%	-17.2	4
1959-11-15	@ Boavista	W 3-1	1471	1292	41.1%	24.2%	34.7%	+17.2	14
1959-11-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1430	1631	31.7%	24.0%	44.2%	-18.5	8
1959-11-15	@ Braga	W 2-0	1631	1430	44.2%	24.0%	31.7%	+18.5	19
1959-11-15	Porto	L 0-3	1367	1595	28.4%	23.8%	47.8%	-24.5	8
1959-11-15	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-0	1595	1367	47.8%	23.8%	28.4%	+24.5	10
1959-11-15	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1417	1322	65.2%	22.8%	12.1%	+7.0	14
1959-11-15	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1322	1417	12.1%	22.8%	65.2%	-7.0	10
1959-11-15	Leixoes	W 2-1	1350	1325	59.4%	23.7%	16.9%	+5.5	5
1959-11-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1325	1350	16.9%	23.7%	59.4%	-5.5	6
1959-11-22	Benfica	L 0-2	1488	1711	29.0%	23.8%	47.1%	-17.2	14
1959-11-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1711	1488	47.1%	23.8%	29.0%	+17.2	25
1959-11-22	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1583	1356	73.7%	20.0%	6.3%	-19.1	14
1959-11-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1356	1583	6.3%	20.0%	73.7%	+19.1	8
1959-11-22	Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1377	1424	51.9%	24.3%	23.8%	-13.9	10
1959-11-22	@ Fabril	W 2-1	1424	1377	23.8%	24.3%	51.9%	+13.8	17
1959-11-22	Braga	W 2-0	1319	1412	46.5%	24.4%	29.1%	+17.4	9
1959-11-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1412	1319	29.1%	24.4%	46.5%	-17.4	8
1959-11-22	Boavista	W 2-1	1619	1274	79.5%	17.0%	3.6%	+1.1	13
1959-11-22	@ Porto	L 1-2	1274	1619	3.6%	17.0%	79.5%	-1.1	4
1959-11-22	Lusitano de Evora	W 6-0	1650	1342	77.7%	18.0%	4.3%	+7.6	22
1959-11-22	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-6	1342	1650	4.3%	18.0%	77.7%	-7.6	8
1959-11-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1491	1315	70.6%	21.2%	8.2%	+8.0	15
1959-11-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1315	1491	8.2%	21.2%	70.6%	-8.0	10
1959-12-06	Fabril	D 2-2	1307	1363	51.0%	24.3%	24.7%	-1.2	11
1959-12-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1363	1307	24.7%	24.3%	51.0%	+1.2	11
1959-12-06	Porto	W 2-1	1728	1621	66.1%	22.5%	11.3%	+3.8	28
1959-12-06	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1621	1728	11.3%	22.5%	66.1%	-3.8	13
1959-12-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-5	1273	1658	14.1%	21.2%	64.7%	-9.5	4
1959-12-06	@ Boavista	W 5-2	1658	1273	64.7%	21.2%	14.1%	+9.6	25
1959-12-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1394	1564	35.9%	24.2%	39.8%	-25.0	8
1959-12-06	@ Braga	W 4-1	1564	1394	39.8%	24.2%	35.9%	+25.0	17
1959-12-06	Leixoes	W 3-2	1335	1337	56.8%	24.0%	19.3%	+5.9	11
1959-12-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1337	1335	19.3%	24.0%	56.8%	-5.9	9
1959-12-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-0	1438	1471	53.5%	24.2%	22.2%	+26.6	20
1959-12-06	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-4	1471	1438	22.2%	24.2%	53.5%	-26.5	14
1959-12-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1375	1499	42.3%	24.4%	33.2%	-11.6	8
1959-12-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1499	1375	33.2%	24.4%	42.3%	+11.6	18
1959-12-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1444	1306	68.3%	22.0%	9.8%	+3.5	17
1959-12-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1306	1444	9.8%	22.0%	68.3%	-3.5	11
1959-12-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1589	1340	74.8%	19.5%	5.7%	+7.1	20
1959-12-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1340	1589	5.7%	19.5%	74.8%	-7.1	11
1959-12-13	Boavista	W 4-2	1331	1264	63.0%	23.2%	13.8%	+7.1	12
1959-12-13	@ Leixoes	L 2-4	1264	1331	13.8%	23.2%	63.0%	-7.1	4
1959-12-13	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1617	1464	69.2%	21.7%	9.1%	+6.2	16
1959-12-13	@ Porto	L 0-2	1464	1617	9.1%	21.7%	69.2%	-6.2	20
1959-12-13	Benfica	D 1-1	1667	1732	49.9%	24.4%	25.7%	-1.5	26
1959-12-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1732	1667	25.7%	24.4%	49.9%	+1.5	29
1959-12-13	Fabril	W 3-1	1510	1364	68.8%	21.8%	9.4%	+5.5	21
1959-12-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1364	1510	9.4%	21.8%	68.8%	-5.5	11
1959-12-13	Braga	W 5-1	1363	1369	56.4%	24.0%	19.6%	+19.9	11
1959-12-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-5	1369	1363	19.6%	24.0%	56.4%	-19.9	8
1959-12-20	Porto	D 0-0	1303	1623	19.0%	22.5%	58.6%	+2.9	12
1959-12-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1623	1303	58.6%	22.5%	19.0%	-2.9	17
1959-12-20	Leixoes	D 1-1	1733	1338	81.7%	15.5%	2.8%	-5.4	30
1959-12-20	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1338	1733	2.8%	15.5%	81.7%	+5.3	13
1959-12-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1257	1596	17.3%	22.1%	60.6%	-5.8	4
1959-12-20	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1596	1257	60.6%	22.1%	17.3%	+5.8	23
1959-12-20	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1359	1448	46.9%	24.4%	28.7%	-1.1	12
1959-12-20	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1448	1359	28.7%	24.4%	46.9%	+1.1	18
1959-12-20	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1333	1383	51.6%	24.3%	24.1%	-1.7	12
1959-12-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1383	1333	24.1%	24.3%	51.6%	+1.7	12
1959-12-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1458	1666	31.0%	24.0%	45.1%	-9.6	20
1959-12-20	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1666	1458	45.1%	24.0%	31.0%	+9.6	29
1959-12-20	Braga	W 1-0	1516	1349	70.1%	21.4%	8.5%	+3.0	24
1959-12-20	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1349	1516	8.5%	21.4%	70.1%	-3.0	8
1960-01-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1449	1519	49.3%	24.4%	26.4%	-1.6	19
1960-01-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1519	1449	26.4%	24.4%	49.3%	+1.6	25
1960-01-02	Benfica	D 0-0	1602	1728	42.1%	24.4%	33.5%	-0.6	24
1960-01-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1728	1602	33.5%	24.4%	42.1%	+0.6	31
1960-01-02	Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1346	1332	58.4%	23.8%	17.8%	-3.0	9
1960-01-02	@ Braga	D 0-0	1332	1346	17.8%	23.8%	58.4%	+3.0	13
1960-01-02	Sporting Covilha	W 6-0	1343	1449	44.8%	24.4%	30.8%	+50.4	16
1960-01-02	@ Leixoes	L 0-6	1449	1343	30.8%	24.4%	44.8%	-50.4	20
1960-01-02	Fabril	W 5-0	1620	1357	75.5%	19.1%	5.3%	+8.2	20
1960-01-02	@ Porto	L 0-5	1357	1620	5.3%	19.1%	75.5%	-8.2	12
1960-01-02	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1675	1306	80.5%	16.3%	3.2%	+2.9	32
1960-01-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1306	1675	3.2%	16.3%	80.5%	-2.8	12
1960-01-02	Boavista	D 2-2	1385	1251	68.0%	22.1%	10.0%	-3.0	13
1960-01-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1251	1385	10.0%	22.1%	68.0%	+3.0	5
1960-01-10	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1602	1398	72.3%	20.6%	7.1%	+2.5	27
1960-01-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1398	1602	7.1%	20.6%	72.3%	-2.5	20
1960-01-10	Boavista	W 3-1	1343	1254	64.8%	22.8%	12.4%	+7.2	12
1960-01-10	@ Braga	L 1-3	1254	1343	12.4%	22.8%	64.8%	-7.2	5
1960-01-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1394	1303	64.9%	22.8%	12.3%	+8.2	19
1960-01-10	@ Leixoes	L 0-2	1303	1394	12.3%	22.8%	64.9%	-8.2	12
1960-01-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1335	1520	33.8%	24.1%	42.1%	+12.2	16
1960-01-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1520	1335	42.1%	24.1%	33.8%	-12.2	25
1960-01-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1628	1447	71.0%	21.1%	7.9%	+4.6	23
1960-01-10	@ Porto	L 1-3	1447	1628	7.9%	21.1%	71.0%	-4.6	19
1960-01-10	Fabril	W 2-0	1678	1349	78.7%	17.4%	3.9%	+2.4	35
1960-01-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1349	1678	3.9%	17.4%	78.7%	-2.5	12
1960-01-10	Benfica	L 2-3	1382	1729	16.8%	22.0%	61.2%	-5.0	13
1960-01-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1729	1382	61.2%	22.0%	16.8%	+5.0	34
1960-01-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1443	1681	27.3%	23.7%	49.1%	+1.0	20
1960-01-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1681	1443	49.1%	23.7%	27.3%	-1.0	36
1960-01-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1294	1604	19.9%	22.6%	57.5%	+2.4	13
1960-01-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1604	1294	57.5%	22.6%	19.9%	-2.4	28
1960-01-17	Braga	W 2-0	1734	1350	81.1%	15.9%	3.0%	+1.8	37
1960-01-17	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1350	1734	3.0%	15.9%	81.1%	-1.8	12
1960-01-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-2	1247	1347	45.5%	24.4%	30.1%	+13.8	8
1960-01-17	@ Boavista	L 2-4	1347	1247	30.1%	24.4%	45.5%	-13.8	16
1960-01-17	Leixoes	L 1-3	1347	1402	51.0%	24.3%	24.6%	-23.6	12
1960-01-17	@ Fabril	W 3-1	1402	1347	24.6%	24.3%	51.0%	+23.6	22
1960-01-17	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1396	1377	58.8%	23.8%	17.4%	-2.7	21
1960-01-17	@ Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1377	1396	17.4%	23.8%	58.8%	+2.7	14
1960-01-17	Porto	L 0-1	1508	1633	42.2%	24.4%	33.4%	-12.3	25
1960-01-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1633	1508	33.4%	24.4%	42.2%	+12.3	26
1960-01-24	Fabril	W 2-1	1602	1323	76.3%	18.7%	4.9%	+1.6	31
1960-01-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1323	1602	4.9%	18.7%	76.3%	-1.6	12
1960-01-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1260	1496	27.6%	23.7%	48.8%	+13.0	11
1960-01-24	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1496	1260	48.8%	23.7%	27.6%	-13.0	25
1960-01-24	Sporting Covilha	W 3-0	1349	1393	52.2%	24.3%	23.5%	+21.2	15
1960-01-24	@ Braga	L 0-3	1393	1349	23.5%	24.3%	52.2%	-21.2	21
1960-01-24	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1426	1444	55.1%	24.1%	20.8%	-2.2	23
1960-01-24	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1444	1426	20.8%	24.1%	55.1%	+2.2	21
1960-01-24	Benfica	L 2-3	1333	1735	13.0%	20.8%	66.2%	-3.9	16
1960-01-24	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 3-2	1735	1333	66.2%	20.8%	13.0%	+3.9	40
1960-01-24	Porto	W 6-1	1680	1645	60.2%	23.6%	16.2%	+20.6	39
1960-01-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1645	1680	16.2%	23.6%	60.2%	-20.6	26
1960-01-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1379	1297	64.3%	22.9%	12.8%	-18.0	14
1960-01-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1297	1379	12.8%	22.9%	64.3%	+18.0	16
1960-02-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-5	1446	1603	37.7%	24.3%	38.0%	-49.5	21
1960-02-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1603	1446	38.0%	24.3%	37.7%	+49.5	34
1960-02-07	Braga	W 1-0	1315	1370	51.0%	24.3%	24.6%	+8.1	19
1960-02-07	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1370	1315	24.6%	24.3%	51.0%	-8.1	15
1960-02-07	Boavista	W 9-0	1739	1273	84.5%	13.6%	2.0%	+4.7	43
1960-02-07	@ Benfica	L 0-9	1273	1739	2.0%	13.6%	84.5%	-4.7	11
1960-02-07	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1322	1362	52.8%	24.3%	23.0%	+12.5	15
1960-02-07	@ Fabril	L 1-3	1362	1322	23.0%	24.3%	52.8%	-12.5	14
1960-02-07	Leixoes	W 4-2	1625	1423	72.2%	20.6%	7.2%	+3.7	29
1960-02-07	@ Porto	L 2-4	1423	1625	7.2%	20.6%	72.2%	-3.7	23
1960-02-07	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-2	1372	1329	61.0%	23.5%	15.5%	+4.9	24
1960-02-07	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1329	1372	15.5%	23.5%	61.0%	-4.9	16
1960-02-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1483	1700	29.7%	23.9%	46.4%	-25.5	25
1960-02-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1700	1483	46.4%	23.9%	29.7%	+25.5	42
1960-02-14	Porto	W 1-0	1653	1628	59.3%	23.7%	17.0%	+5.9	37
1960-02-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1628	1653	17.0%	23.7%	59.3%	-5.9	29
1960-02-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1744	1457	76.7%	18.5%	4.8%	+3.8	46
1960-02-14	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1457	1744	4.8%	18.5%	76.7%	-3.8	25
1960-02-14	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1269	1377	44.5%	24.4%	31.1%	-0.8	12
1960-02-14	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1377	1269	31.1%	24.4%	44.5%	+0.8	25
1960-02-14	Fabril	L 1-5	1362	1334	59.6%	23.7%	16.7%	-49.9	15
1960-02-14	@ Braga	W 5-1	1334	1362	16.7%	23.7%	59.6%	+49.9	18
1960-02-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1420	1726	20.2%	22.7%	57.1%	-6.3	23
1960-02-14	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1726	1420	57.1%	22.7%	20.2%	+6.3	45
1960-02-14	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1324	1323	57.1%	24.0%	18.9%	+15.0	19
1960-02-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-4	1323	1324	18.9%	24.0%	57.1%	-15.0	19
1960-02-14	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1349	1396	51.9%	24.3%	23.8%	-1.8	15
1960-02-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1396	1349	23.8%	24.3%	51.9%	+1.8	22
1960-02-21	Braga	D 0-0	1398	1312	64.5%	22.9%	12.6%	-3.9	23
1960-02-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1312	1398	12.6%	22.9%	64.5%	+3.9	16
1960-02-21	Boavista	W 4-0	1308	1268	60.7%	23.5%	15.7%	+19.7	22
1960-02-21	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1268	1308	15.7%	23.5%	60.7%	-19.7	12
1960-02-21	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1384	1339	61.2%	23.5%	15.4%	-3.0	19
1960-02-21	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1339	1384	15.4%	23.5%	61.2%	+3.0	20
1960-02-21	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1622	1347	76.1%	18.8%	5.0%	+1.7	32
1960-02-21	@ Porto	L 0-1	1347	1622	5.0%	18.8%	76.1%	-1.7	15
1960-02-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1732	1659	63.5%	23.1%	13.4%	+8.9	48
1960-02-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1659	1732	13.4%	23.1%	63.5%	-9.0	37
1960-02-21	Benfica	L 1-4	1377	1748	15.1%	21.5%	63.4%	-11.7	25
1960-02-21	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-1	1748	1377	63.4%	21.5%	15.1%	+11.7	49
1960-02-21	Leixoes	W 7-1	1454	1413	60.8%	23.5%	15.7%	+23.7	28
1960-02-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-7	1413	1454	15.7%	23.5%	60.8%	-23.7	23
1960-03-06	Leixoes	W 4-0	1650	1390	75.4%	19.2%	5.4%	+6.7	40
1960-03-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1390	1650	5.4%	19.2%	75.4%	-6.7	23
1960-03-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1760	1328	83.1%	14.5%	2.4%	+0.7	52
1960-03-06	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1328	1760	2.4%	14.5%	83.1%	-0.7	22
1960-03-06	Fabril	L 0-3	1248	1381	41.1%	24.4%	34.5%	-32.9	12
1960-03-06	@ Boavista	W 3-0	1381	1248	34.5%	24.4%	41.1%	+32.9	22
1960-03-06	Porto	D 0-0	1316	1624	20.0%	22.7%	57.3%	+2.7	17
1960-03-06	@ Braga	D 0-0	1624	1316	57.3%	22.7%	20.0%	-2.7	33
1960-03-06	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1342	1394	51.4%	24.3%	24.3%	+8.0	23
1960-03-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-1	1394	1342	24.3%	24.3%	51.4%	-8.0	23
1960-03-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1366	1477	44.0%	24.4%	31.6%	-0.8	26
1960-03-06	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1477	1366	31.6%	24.4%	44.0%	+0.8	29
1960-03-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1346	1741	13.4%	21.0%	65.6%	-19.6	15
1960-03-06	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 7-1	1741	1346	65.6%	21.0%	13.4%	+19.6	51
1960-03-13	Boavista	W 6-2	1386	1215	70.4%	21.3%	8.3%	+7.5	26
1960-03-13	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-6	1215	1386	8.3%	21.3%	70.4%	-7.5	12
1960-03-13	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1327	1365	53.0%	24.2%	22.8%	+27.1	25
1960-03-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1365	1327	22.8%	24.2%	53.0%	-27.1	26
1960-03-13	Benfica	L 1-5	1414	1760	16.8%	22.0%	61.2%	-16.8	22
1960-03-13	@ Fabril	W 5-1	1760	1414	61.2%	22.0%	16.8%	+16.8	55
1960-03-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-0	1383	1326	62.2%	23.3%	14.5%	+22.5	26
1960-03-13	@ Leixoes	L 0-5	1326	1383	14.5%	23.3%	62.2%	-22.5	15
1960-03-13	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1621	1350	76.0%	18.9%	5.1%	+2.9	36
1960-03-13	@ Porto	L 1-3	1350	1621	5.1%	18.9%	76.0%	-2.9	23
1960-03-13	Braga	W 4-0	1760	1319	83.5%	14.2%	2.2%	+2.5	54
1960-03-13	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1319	1760	2.2%	14.2%	83.5%	-2.5	17
1960-03-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1478	1656	34.8%	24.2%	41.0%	-21.1	29
1960-03-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-2	1656	1478	41.0%	24.2%	34.8%	+21.1	43
1960-03-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 3-3	1354	1457	45.1%	24.4%	30.4%	-0.5	26
1960-03-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1457	1354	30.4%	24.4%	45.1%	+0.5	30
1960-03-20	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-1	1777	1394	81.1%	15.9%	3.0%	+2.9	58
1960-03-20	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1394	1777	3.0%	15.9%	81.1%	-2.9	26
1960-03-20	Porto	L 1-5	1208	1624	12.2%	20.5%	67.4%	-12.3	12
1960-03-20	@ Boavista	W 5-1	1624	1208	67.4%	20.5%	12.2%	+12.3	39
1960-03-20	Leixoes	W 1-0	1316	1405	46.9%	24.4%	28.7%	+9.1	20
1960-03-20	@ Braga	L 0-1	1405	1316	28.7%	24.4%	46.9%	-9.1	26
1960-03-20	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1347	1763	12.2%	20.5%	67.3%	+2.7	24
1960-03-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1763	1347	67.3%	20.5%	12.2%	-2.8	55
1960-03-20	Fabril	L 2-3	1338	1397	50.5%	24.4%	25.1%	-12.8	26
1960-03-20	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1397	1338	25.1%	24.4%	50.5%	+12.8	25
1960-03-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1303	1678	14.8%	21.4%	63.8%	+17.5	18
1960-03-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1678	1303	63.8%	21.4%	14.8%	-17.5	43
1960-04-03	Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1391	1325	62.9%	23.2%	13.9%	+14.6	29
1960-04-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1325	1391	13.9%	23.2%	62.9%	-14.6	26
1960-04-03	Braga	D 4-4	1660	1325	79.0%	17.2%	3.8%	-2.8	44
1960-04-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 4-4	1325	1660	3.8%	17.2%	79.0%	+2.8	21
1960-04-03	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1410	1353	62.1%	23.3%	14.5%	+5.1	28
1960-04-03	@ Fabril	L 0-1	1353	1410	14.5%	23.3%	62.1%	-5.1	26
1960-04-03	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1396	1350	61.3%	23.5%	15.3%	+5.0	29
1960-04-03	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1350	1396	15.3%	23.5%	61.3%	-5.0	24
1960-04-03	Benfica	D 2-2	1637	1780	39.6%	24.4%	36.0%	-0.2	40
1960-04-03	@ Porto	D 2-2	1780	1637	36.0%	24.4%	39.6%	+0.2	59
1960-04-03	Boavista	W 5-0	1760	1195	87.9%	10.8%	1.2%	+1.5	58
1960-04-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1195	1760	1.2%	10.8%	87.9%	-1.5	12
1960-04-03	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1458	1321	68.2%	22.0%	9.8%	-19.0	30
1960-04-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1321	1458	9.8%	22.0%	68.2%	+19.0	21
1960-04-10	Academica de Coimbra	D 2-2	1348	1405	50.8%	24.3%	24.9%	-1.2	27
1960-04-10	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1405	1348	24.9%	24.3%	50.8%	+1.2	30
1960-04-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1780	1762	58.8%	23.8%	17.5%	+5.3	62
1960-04-10	@ Benfica	L 3-4	1762	1780	17.5%	23.8%	58.8%	-5.3	58
1960-04-10	Leixoes	D 1-1	1194	1401	31.0%	24.0%	45.1%	+0.8	13
1960-04-10	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1401	1194	45.1%	24.0%	31.0%	-0.8	30
1960-04-10	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1328	1340	55.8%	24.1%	20.2%	-2.3	22
1960-04-10	@ Braga	D 1-1	1340	1328	20.2%	24.1%	55.8%	+2.3	22
1960-04-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1415	1439	54.5%	24.2%	21.3%	-2.1	29
1960-04-10	@ Fabril	D 1-1	1439	1415	21.3%	24.2%	54.5%	+2.1	31
1960-04-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1345	1657	19.7%	22.6%	57.8%	+1.8	25
1960-04-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 2-2	1657	1345	57.8%	22.6%	19.7%	-1.8	45
1960-04-10	Porto	W 3-1	1310	1636	18.5%	22.4%	59.2%	+26.7	29
1960-04-10	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1636	1310	59.2%	22.4%	18.5%	-26.7	40
1960-04-14	Fabril	L 0-2	1407	1413	56.4%	24.0%	19.6%	-29.9	30
1960-04-14	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1413	1407	19.6%	24.0%	56.4%	+29.9	32
1960-04-14	Boavista	W 8-0	1655	1195	84.2%	13.7%	2.1%	+4.3	48
1960-04-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-8	1195	1655	2.1%	13.7%	84.2%	-4.3	13
1960-04-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-0	1326	1441	43.5%	24.4%	32.0%	+43.8	25
1960-04-14	@ Braga	L 0-5	1441	1326	32.0%	24.4%	43.5%	-43.8	31
1960-04-14	Benfica	L 1-2	1400	1785	14.1%	21.2%	64.7%	-4.5	30
1960-04-14	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1785	1400	64.7%	21.2%	14.1%	+4.5	65
1960-04-14	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-0	1610	1347	75.5%	19.1%	5.3%	+6.6	43
1960-04-14	@ Porto	L 0-4	1347	1610	5.3%	19.1%	75.5%	-6.6	27
1960-04-14	Sporting Covilha	W 4-0	1757	1337	82.6%	14.9%	2.5%	+2.8	61
1960-04-14	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1337	1757	2.5%	14.9%	82.6%	-2.8	29
1960-04-14	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1342	1347	56.5%	24.0%	19.5%	-2.4	23
1960-04-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1347	1342	19.5%	24.0%	56.5%	+2.4	26
1960-04-29	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1340	1759	12.0%	20.4%	67.5%	+3.7	28
1960-04-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1759	1340	67.5%	20.4%	12.0%	-3.7	62
1960-04-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1790	1660	67.7%	22.1%	10.1%	-17.8	65
1960-04-29	@ Benfica	W 2-1	1660	1790	10.1%	22.1%	67.7%	+17.8	51
1960-04-29	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1190	1340	38.8%	24.3%	36.8%	+18.0	16
1960-04-29	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1340	1190	36.8%	24.3%	38.8%	-18.0	23
1960-04-29	Porto	W 2-0	1443	1616	35.4%	24.2%	40.4%	+22.3	35
1960-04-29	@ Fabril	L 0-2	1616	1443	40.4%	24.2%	35.4%	-22.3	43
1960-04-29	Braga	D 0-0	1349	1369	54.9%	24.1%	21.0%	-2.4	27
1960-04-29	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 0-0	1369	1349	21.0%	24.1%	54.9%	+2.4	26
1960-04-29	Leixoes	D 2-2	1334	1396	50.2%	24.4%	25.4%	-1.2	30
1960-04-29	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1396	1334	25.4%	24.4%	50.2%	+1.1	31
1960-04-29	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1397	1377	58.9%	23.8%	17.3%	-27.0	31
1960-04-29	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1377	1397	17.3%	23.8%	58.9%	+27.0	33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1959-11-22	6.31%	Vitoria Setubal	1356	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1583	1
2	1959-11-01	7.13%	Braga	1411	2	@ Porto	1614	1
3	1960-04-03	9.83%	Vitoria Setubal	1321	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1458	0
4	1960-04-29	10.14%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1660	2	@ Benfica	1790	1
5	1959-10-11	12.27%	Academica de Coimbra	1480	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1571	1
6	1960-01-24	12.79%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1297	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1379	0
7	1959-10-04	12.99%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1584	4	@ Porto	1664	1
8	1959-10-18	13.78%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1554	3	@ Porto	1621	2
9	1960-03-20	14.80%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1303	1	Os Belenenses (1st)	1678	0
10	1960-02-14	16.68%	Fabril	1334	5	@ Braga	1362	1
11	1960-04-29	17.31%	Academica de Coimbra	1377	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1397	1
12	1959-09-27	18.19%	Sporting Covilha	1392	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1402	1
13	1960-04-10	18.46%	@ Sporting Covilha	1310	3	Porto	1636	1
14	1960-04-14	19.62%	Fabril	1413	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1407	0
15	1959-11-22	23.79%	Sporting Covilha	1424	2	@ Fabril	1377	1
16	1960-01-17	24.65%	Leixoes	1402	3	@ Fabril	1347	1
17	1960-03-20	25.10%	Fabril	1397	3	@ Sporting Covilha	1338	2
18	1959-10-04	27.52%	@ Fabril	1349	1	Os Belenenses (1st)	1584	0
19	1960-01-24	27.55%	@ Boavista	1260	2	Vitoria Guimaraes	1496	1
20	1959-09-20	28.84%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1450	1	Porto	1675	0
21	1959-12-06	33.23%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1499	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1375	1
22	1960-01-17	33.37%	Porto	1633	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1508	0
23	1960-01-10	33.78%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1335	1	Vitoria Guimaraes	1520	0
24	1960-03-06	34.46%	Fabril	1381	3	@ Boavista	1248	0
25	1960-04-29	35.41%	@ Fabril	1443	2	Porto	1616	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1960-01-02	50.38	@ Leixoes	6	1343	44.81%	Sporting Covilha	0	1449	30.75%
2	1960-02-14	49.86	Fabril	5	1334	16.68%	@ Braga	1	1362	59.63%
3	1960-02-07	49.48	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1603	38.03%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1446	37.66%
4	1960-04-14	43.79	@ Braga	5	1326	43.53%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1441	32.03%
5	1959-10-04	41.37	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1584	12.99%	@ Porto	1	1664	64.02%
6	1959-09-20	33.17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1441	60.84%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1400	15.64%
7	1960-03-06	32.93	Fabril	3	1381	34.46%	@ Boavista	0	1248	41.13%
8	1960-04-14	29.88	Fabril	2	1413	19.62%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1407	56.35%
9	1960-03-13	27.07	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	1327	52.97%	Sporting Covilha	0	1365	22.78%
10	1960-04-29	27.00	Academica de Coimbra	3	1377	17.31%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1397	58.92%
11	1960-04-10	26.73	@ Sporting Covilha	3	1310	18.46%	Porto	1	1636	59.19%
12	1959-12-06	26.56	@ Sporting Covilha	4	1438	53.53%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1471	22.25%
13	1959-09-27	26.55	Benfica	3	1650	44.73%	@ Braga	0	1445	31.27%
14	1960-02-07	25.47	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1700	46.40%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1483	29.72%
15	1959-12-06	24.97	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1564	39.84%	@ Braga	1	1394	35.91%
16	1959-11-15	24.55	Porto	3	1595	47.82%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1367	28.40%
17	1960-02-21	23.74	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1454	60.75%	Leixoes	1	1413	15.71%
18	1960-01-17	23.60	Leixoes	3	1402	24.65%	@ Fabril	1	1347	51.01%
19	1960-03-13	22.51	@ Leixoes	5	1383	62.19%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1326	14.49%
20	1960-04-29	22.30	@ Fabril	2	1443	35.41%	Porto	0	1616	40.36%
21	1960-01-24	21.24	@ Braga	3	1349	52.25%	Sporting Covilha	0	1393	23.46%
22	1960-03-13	21.10	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	1656	41.02%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1478	34.77%
23	1960-01-24	20.57	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	1680	60.23%	Porto	1	1645	16.16%
24	1959-11-01	20.17	Benfica	4	1689	61.25%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1343	16.78%
25	1959-12-13	19.90	@ Vitoria Setubal	5	1363	56.36%	Braga	1	1369	19.62%