1960-61 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

46 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

6.49 points above expected

46 points · 39.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barreirense

12.54 points below expected

8 points · 20.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 26 22 2 2 46 92 21 +71 39.51 +6.49
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 19 4 3 42 61 19 +42 38.76 +3.24
3 Porto 26 14 5 7 33 51 28 +23 33.05 -0.05
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 14 2 10 30 48 44 +4 23.82 +6.18
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 12 4 10 28 45 37 +8 34.23 -6.23
6 Fabril 26 10 6 10 26 38 28 +10 27.42 -1.42
7 Academica de Coimbra 26 10 6 10 26 31 29 +2 24.49 +1.51
8 Leixoes 26 10 3 13 23 38 44 -6 23.08 -0.08
9 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 8 5 13 21 35 54 -19 20.89 +0.11
10 Lusitano de Evora 26 9 3 14 21 29 51 -22 20.36 +0.64
11 Sporting Covilha 26 8 5 13 21 27 55 -28 19.62 +1.38
12 Salgueiros 26 8 4 14 20 34 64 -30 17.65 +2.35
13 Braga 26 8 3 15 19 41 62 -21 20.58 -1.58
14 Barreirense 26 3 2 21 8 26 60 -34 20.54 -12.54

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 2006 46 39.51 +6.49 97.9% 25 33 37 40 42 45 51
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1954 42 38.76 +3.24 84.7% 23 33 36 39 41 45 51
Porto 1811 33 33.05 -0.05 53.8% 15 26 30 33 36 40 47
Os Belenenses (1st) 1789 28 34.23 -6.23 7.2% 19 28 32 34 37 41 49
Fabril 1715 26 27.42 -1.42 41.8% 12 21 25 27 30 34 46
Academica de Coimbra 1667 26 24.49 +1.51 68.3% 11 18 22 24 27 31 41
Vitoria Guimaraes 1658 30 23.82 +6.18 94.5% 9 17 21 24 27 31 39
Leixoes 1645 23 23.08 -0.08 54.2% 7 16 20 23 26 30 39
Lusitano de Evora 1585 21 20.36 +0.64 61.7% 4 14 18 20 23 27 37
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1584 21 20.89 +0.11 56.3% 6 14 18 21 24 28 38
Braga 1581 19 20.58 -1.58 39.5% 5 14 18 21 23 27 35
Sporting Covilha 1542 21 19.62 +1.38 68.0% 4 13 17 20 22 26 34
Salgueiros 1539 20 17.65 +2.35 76.6% 4 11 15 18 20 24 34
Barreirense 1537 8 20.54 -12.54 0.1% 7 14 18 20 23 27 35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BAR BEN BRA FAB LEI LDE OB( POR SAL SCDP SC VG
Academica de Coimbra
0-0-2
3.39
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
1.12
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.50
0-2-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.30
0-1-1
1.73
2-0-0
1.81
2-0-0
3.58
0-0-2
1.30
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.83
Atletico Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
2.30
0-2-0
2.93
0-1-1
0.99
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
1.95
0-0-2
2.63
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
1.01
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.45
Barreirense
0-0-2
2.33
0-2-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.16
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
1.37
0-0-2
3.24
1-0-1
0.83
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.60
Benfica
2-0-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.54
2-0-0
4.85
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
3.81
2-0-0
4.88
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
4.90
1-0-1
4.61
Braga
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.79
0-0-2
0.93
0-1-1
2.10
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
1.37
0-1-1
1.62
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
0.93
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.40
Fabril
1-1-0
3.19
0-0-2
3.74
1-0-1
3.60
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
2.02
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.99
1-0-1
1.55
0-2-0
3.62
2-0-0
3.15
Leixoes
0-2-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
3.28
0-0-2
1.16
1-0-1
3.17
0-0-2
2.38
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
3.51
0-0-2
1.16
1-1-0
3.17
0-0-2
2.83
Lusitano de Evora
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
2.84
0-0-2
0.86
2-0-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.32
0-0-2
1.47
0-2-0
3.18
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
2.37
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-1-0
3.96
1-1-0
4.31
2-0-0
4.39
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
4.33
1-1-0
3.67
1-0-1
4.10
1-0-1
4.38
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
4.62
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
4.33
1-0-1
4.18
Porto
0-0-2
3.89
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
1.88
1-1-0
4.08
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
4.23
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
4.53
0-2-0
2.10
2-0-0
4.37
0-1-1
3.98
Salgueiros
0-0-2
2.11
1-1-0
2.41
2-0-0
2.45
0-0-2
0.85
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
1.71
2-0-0
2.18
0-2-0
2.51
1-0-1
1.09
1-0-1
1.17
0-0-2
0.84
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.06
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.71
1-0-1
4.89
0-1-1
2.67
2-0-0
4.78
1-0-1
4.15
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
3.40
0-2-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
4.86
1-1-0
4.53
Sporting Covilha
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
0.83
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
2.07
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.33
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
0.85
1-0-1
2.21
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
1.10
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
2.53
2-0-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
1.52
1-1-0
1.72
2-0-0
3.63
0-1-1
1.18
1-0-1
3.48

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.78 +4.9
Allowed 0.72 -5.3
Differential 0.90 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.75%8.24%5.22%4.12%2.47%0.82%23.63%
18.24%7.14%7.14%4.67%2.20%2.20%31.59%
25.22%7.14%4.40%2.47%1.92%0.55%21.70%
34.12%4.67%2.47%0.55%0.27%0.27%12.36%
42.47%2.20%1.92%0.27%6.87%
5+0.82%2.20%0.55%0.27%3.85%
Total23.63%31.59%21.70%12.36%6.87%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.35
CV 0.93 0.93
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%11.54%38.46%
13.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%23.08%
211.54%7.69%3.85%23.08%
33.85%7.69%11.54%
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.12 +0.08
SD 1.20 0.99 1.62
CV 1.01 0.89
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%30.77%
17.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%
23.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%26.92%
37.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
4
5+
Total19.23%23.08%19.23%23.08%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.08 -0.73
SD 1.13 1.72 2.31
CV 0.84 0.83
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.08%3.85%7.69%7.69%42.31%
13.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%26.92%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
4
5+
Total7.69%26.92%23.08%15.38%23.08%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.31 -1.31
SD 1.06 1.41 1.54
CV 1.06 0.61
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
17.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
211.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%
37.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
411.54%11.54%3.85%26.92%
5+7.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
Total46.15%34.62%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.54 0.81 +2.73
SD 2.06 0.94 2.25
CV 0.58 1.16
Max 8 3 +8
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%23.08%
111.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%38.46%
27.69%7.69%15.38%
37.69%3.85%11.54%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%
Total7.69%26.92%23.08%23.08%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 2.38 -0.81
SD 1.47 1.68 2.51
CV 0.93 0.70
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%26.92%
13.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%34.62%
215.38%3.85%3.85%23.08%
37.69%7.69%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total34.62%34.62%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.08 +0.38
SD 1.56 1.06 1.96
CV 1.06 0.98
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%26.92%
13.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
33.85%7.69%11.54%23.08%
4
5+3.85%3.85%
Total11.54%34.62%30.77%19.23%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.69 -0.23
SD 1.33 1.05 1.92
CV 0.91 0.62
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%30.77%
119.23%3.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%42.31%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total30.77%15.38%19.23%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.96 -0.85
SD 1.07 1.91 2.34
CV 0.96 0.97
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%3.85%23.08%
115.38%7.69%3.85%26.92%
23.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%34.62%
3
43.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%19.23%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.42 +0.31
SD 1.76 1.21 2.17
CV 1.01 0.85
Max 8 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%15.38%
111.54%11.54%7.69%30.77%
211.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
411.54%7.69%19.23%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total30.77%42.31%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.08 +0.88
SD 1.48 1.02 1.95
CV 0.76 0.94
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%
115.38%7.69%11.54%3.85%15.38%53.85%
27.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
4
5+
Total15.38%19.23%34.62%11.54%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 2.46 -1.15
SD 0.79 2.27 2.46
CV 0.60 0.92
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%11.54%
111.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
23.85%11.54%15.38%
315.38%11.54%26.92%
43.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
5+7.69%7.69%
Total42.31%46.15%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.73 +1.62
SD 1.74 0.78 1.86
CV 0.74 1.06
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%26.92%
111.54%11.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%46.15%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%23.08%
33.85%3.85%
4
5+
Total23.08%23.08%11.54%23.08%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 2.12 -1.08
SD 0.82 1.93 2.37
CV 0.79 0.91
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%
115.38%3.85%19.23%
27.69%15.38%3.85%26.92%
37.69%7.69%15.38%
43.85%7.69%11.54%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total11.54%30.77%42.31%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.69 +0.15
SD 1.46 1.05 1.99
CV 0.79 0.62
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Benfica 46 39.51 +6.49
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 30 23.82 +6.18
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 42 38.76 +3.24
4 Salgueiros 20 17.65 +2.35
5 Academica de Coimbra 26 24.49 +1.51

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Barreirense 8 20.54 -12.54
2 Os Belenenses (1st) 28 34.23 -6.23
3 Braga 19 20.58 -1.58
4 Fabril 26 27.42 -1.42
5 Leixoes 23 23.08 -0.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leixoes 5 Jan 1 – Feb 5 1 in 119
2 Barreirense 2 Mar 5 – Mar 12 1 in 78
3 Academica de Coimbra 4 Feb 5 – Mar 5 1 in 60
4 Benfica 10 Nov 6 – Jan 15 1 in 37
5 Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 Dec 4 – Dec 18 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barreirense 6 Oct 30 – Dec 4 1 in 233
2 Braga 6 Jan 1 – Feb 12 1 in 64
3 Porto 2 May 14 – May 28 1 in 50
4 Fabril 3 Feb 19 – Mar 12 1 in 19
5 Leixoes 4 Oct 23 – Nov 13 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 6 Dec 11 – Jan 22 1 in 76
2 Academica de Coimbra 6 Feb 5 – Apr 9 1 in 24
3 Leixoes 5 Jan 1 – Feb 5 1 in 21
4 Salgueiros 4 Nov 6 – Nov 27 1 in 20
5 Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 Oct 16 – Oct 30 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barreirense 10 Sep 17 – Dec 4 1 in 170
2 Porto 4 Feb 5 – Mar 5 1 in 70
3 Academica de Coimbra 5 Mar 12 – May 14 1 in 28
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 Apr 9 – Apr 30 1 in 26
5 Atletico Clube de Portugal 9 Sep 17 – Nov 27 1 in 26

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica53.19%30.29%11.98%3.70%0.68%0.10%0.06%
Sporting Clube de Portugal36.48%40.94%15.88%5.35%1.08%0.22%0.03%0.02%
Porto3.90%12.18%29.96%33.97%11.79%4.49%1.97%0.86%0.46%0.25%0.13%0.03%0.01%
Vitoria Guimaraes0.01%0.13%0.70%3.89%11.63%15.91%15.60%13.82%10.98%8.84%6.79%5.57%4.11%2.02%
Os Belenenses (1st)6.18%15.11%34.11%29.60%9.56%3.44%1.17%0.48%0.16%0.12%0.04%0.02%0.01%
Fabril0.20%1.08%4.89%13.24%29.48%19.29%12.02%7.78%4.59%3.38%2.05%1.14%0.56%0.30%
Academica de Coimbra0.04%0.14%1.25%4.58%14.32%17.46%15.83%12.95%10.50%8.28%5.94%4.08%2.93%1.70%
Leixoes0.09%0.72%2.36%7.86%12.96%14.37%14.02%12.74%10.30%8.92%6.80%5.35%3.51%
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.01%0.08%0.93%3.32%5.86%8.71%10.20%11.71%13.10%13.28%12.72%11.39%8.69%
Lusitano de Evora0.02%0.10%0.52%2.43%5.32%7.19%8.94%11.37%12.16%13.61%13.74%13.34%11.26%
Sporting Covilha0.01%0.06%0.55%1.78%3.43%5.56%7.54%10.08%10.87%12.94%14.25%15.83%17.10%
Salgueiros0.01%0.05%0.50%1.20%2.58%4.09%5.85%8.03%10.48%14.91%19.98%32.32%
Braga0.12%0.59%2.89%5.51%8.03%10.01%11.06%12.89%13.21%13.08%12.40%10.21%
Barreirense0.14%0.67%2.68%4.81%6.88%9.29%10.50%11.78%12.61%13.66%14.09%12.89%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+26.92%
Strong Edge
56.04%14.84%29.12%
Elo Value
Home Edge
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
095.90400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.70 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.67+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Benfica, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.2 * Some Luck: 3.2 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.41 * Wild Swing: 6.41 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.45 * Close: 1.45 to 2.18 * Off: 2.18 to 2.91 * Way Off: 2.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.64 points
Some Luck
04.0110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
01.824
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.87%
Benfica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
0.14%
Barreirense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.90
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
51%
Very Frequent
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.50
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.38
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.1090.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100%
Os Belenenses (1st) 99.99% 0.01%
Porto 99.99% 0.01%
Fabril 99.14% 0.86%
Academica de Coimbra 95.37% 4.63%
Vitoria Guimaraes 93.87% 6.13%
Leixoes 91.14% 8.86%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 79.92% 20.08%
Braga 77.39% 22.61%
Lusitano de Evora 75.40% 24.60%
Barreirense 73.02% 26.98%
Sporting Covilha 67.07% 32.93%
Salgueiros 47.70% 52.30%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1960-09-17 Fabril D 0-0 1643 1693 55.2% 15.7% 29.1% -1.0 1
1960-09-17 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1693 1643 29.1% 15.7% 55.2% +1.0 1
1960-09-17 Benfica L 0-1 1636 1909 26.0% 15.4% 58.7% -4.3 0
1960-09-17 @ Barreirense W 1-0 1909 1636 58.7% 15.4% 26.0% +4.3 2
1960-09-17 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1848 1624 77.7% 14.5% 7.8% +1.3 2
1960-09-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1624 1848 7.8% 14.5% 77.7% -1.3 0
1960-09-17 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1617 1606 62.2% 15.6% 22.2% +10.3 2
1960-09-17 @ Braga L 0-3 1606 1617 22.2% 15.6% 62.2% -10.3 0
1960-09-17 Leixoes W 1-0 1777 1641 72.7% 15.1% 12.2% +2.2 2
1960-09-17 @ Porto L 0-1 1641 1777 12.2% 15.1% 72.7% -2.2 0
1960-09-17 Lusitano de Evora W 4-2 1900 1592 81.1% 13.8% 5.0% +1.3 2
1960-09-17 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1592 1900 5.0% 13.8% 81.1% -1.3 0
1960-09-17 Salgueiros W 2-0 1581 1546 64.6% 15.5% 19.9% +6.4 2
1960-09-17 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1546 1581 19.9% 15.5% 64.6% -6.4 0
1960-09-25 Porto L 1-2 1596 1779 37.2% 15.7% 47.2% -5.6 0
1960-09-25 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1779 1596 47.2% 15.7% 37.2% +5.6 4
1960-09-25 Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1913 1642 79.8% 14.1% 6.1% +2.5 4
1960-09-25 @ Benfica L 1-4 1642 1913 6.1% 14.1% 79.8% -2.5 1
1960-09-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1694 1902 34.0% 15.6% 50.4% +7.3 3
1960-09-25 @ Fabril L 1-2 1902 1694 50.4% 15.6% 34.0% -7.3 2
1960-09-25 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1639 1588 66.1% 15.5% 18.4% -1.3 1
1960-09-25 @ Leixoes D 2-2 1588 1639 18.4% 15.5% 66.1% +1.3 3
1960-09-25 Braga W 3-2 1591 1628 56.9% 15.7% 27.4% +4.1 2
1960-09-25 @ Lusitano de Evora L 2-3 1628 1591 27.4% 15.7% 56.9% -4.1 2
1960-09-25 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1539 1849 22.1% 15.2% 62.7% +8.5 2
1960-09-25 @ Salgueiros L 2-3 1849 1539 62.7% 15.2% 22.1% -8.5 2
1960-09-25 Barreirense W 3-1 1623 1631 60.1% 15.6% 24.2% +6.7 2
1960-09-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1631 1623 24.2% 15.6% 60.1% -6.7 0
1960-10-16 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1590 1840 28.5% 15.4% 56.0% +1.0 1
1960-10-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1840 1590 56.0% 15.4% 28.5% -1.0 3
1960-10-16 Porto L 1-2 1702 1784 51.1% 15.7% 33.1% -7.4 3
1960-10-16 @ Fabril W 2-1 1784 1702 33.1% 15.7% 51.1% +7.4 6
1960-10-16 Barreirense W 1-0 1638 1625 62.4% 15.6% 22.1% +3.8 3
1960-10-16 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1625 1638 22.1% 15.6% 62.4% -3.8 0
1960-10-16 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1595 1589 61.7% 15.6% 22.7% -9.4 2
1960-10-16 @ Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1589 1595 22.7% 15.6% 61.7% +9.3 5
1960-10-16 Benfica L 0-2 1548 1915 16.9% 14.9% 68.2% -5.5 2
1960-10-16 @ Salgueiros W 2-0 1915 1548 68.2% 14.9% 16.9% +5.5 6
1960-10-16 Braga W 6-1 1894 1624 79.8% 14.1% 6.1% +4.0 4
1960-10-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1624 1894 6.1% 14.1% 79.8% -4.0 2
1960-10-16 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1630 1639 60.0% 15.6% 24.4% +7.7 4
1960-10-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1639 1630 24.4% 15.6% 60.0% -7.7 1
1960-10-23 Braga W 3-1 1632 1620 62.3% 15.6% 22.1% +6.2 3
1960-10-23 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1620 1632 22.1% 15.6% 62.3% -6.1 2
1960-10-23 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1621 1591 64.1% 15.5% 20.4% -1.2 1
1960-10-23 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1591 1621 20.4% 15.5% 64.1% +1.2 2
1960-10-23 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1839 1586 79.0% 14.3% 6.7% +2.2 5
1960-10-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1586 1839 6.7% 14.3% 79.0% -2.2 2
1960-10-23 Leixoes W 4-1 1921 1641 80.1% 14.1% 5.8% +2.4 8
1960-10-23 @ Benfica L 1-4 1641 1921 5.8% 14.1% 80.1% -2.4 3
1960-10-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1792 1898 47.9% 15.7% 36.3% -0.5 7
1960-10-23 @ Porto D 0-0 1898 1792 36.3% 15.7% 47.9% +0.5 5
1960-10-23 Fabril D 0-0 1598 1694 49.3% 15.7% 34.9% -0.6 6
1960-10-23 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1694 1598 34.9% 15.7% 49.3% +0.6 4
1960-10-23 Salgueiros W 2-1 1638 1542 69.8% 15.3% 14.9% +2.5 6
1960-10-23 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1542 1638 14.9% 15.3% 69.8% -2.5 2
1960-10-30 Benfica D 3-3 1592 1923 20.0% 15.1% 64.9% +1.0 3
1960-10-30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1923 1592 64.9% 15.1% 20.0% -1.0 9
1960-10-30 Porto L 0-4 1614 1791 37.9% 15.7% 46.4% -21.6 2
1960-10-30 @ Braga W 4-0 1791 1614 46.4% 15.7% 37.9% +21.6 9
1960-10-30 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1695 1842 42.3% 15.7% 42.0% -0.0 5
1960-10-30 @ Fabril D 2-2 1842 1695 42.0% 15.7% 42.3% +0.0 6
1960-10-30 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1639 1640 60.9% 15.6% 23.5% -17.4 3
1960-10-30 @ Leixoes W 2-0 1640 1639 23.5% 15.6% 60.9% +17.4 8
1960-10-30 Barreirense W 1-0 1584 1620 56.9% 15.7% 27.4% +4.6 4
1960-10-30 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1620 1584 27.4% 15.7% 56.9% -4.5 1
1960-10-30 Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1540 1638 49.1% 15.7% 35.2% -12.3 2
1960-10-30 @ Salgueiros W 3-1 1638 1540 35.2% 15.7% 49.1% +12.3 5
1960-10-30 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1899 1598 80.9% 13.9% 5.2% +0.9 7
1960-10-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1598 1899 5.2% 13.9% 80.9% -0.9 6
1960-11-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1650 1900 28.6% 15.5% 55.9% -4.7 5
1960-11-06 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1900 1650 55.9% 15.5% 28.6% +4.7 9
1960-11-06 Salgueiros L 1-2 1615 1527 69.2% 15.3% 15.5% -9.9 1
1960-11-06 @ Barreirense W 2-1 1527 1615 15.5% 15.3% 69.2% +9.9 4
1960-11-06 Leixoes W 1-0 1842 1622 77.5% 14.5% 8.0% +1.4 8
1960-11-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1622 1842 8.0% 14.5% 77.5% -1.4 3
1960-11-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1922 1657 79.5% 14.2% 6.3% +4.0 11
1960-11-06 @ Benfica L 0-4 1657 1922 6.3% 14.2% 79.5% -4.0 8
1960-11-06 Fabril D 1-1 1592 1695 48.4% 15.7% 35.9% -0.4 3
1960-11-06 @ Braga D 1-1 1695 1592 35.9% 15.7% 48.4% +0.4 6
1960-11-06 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1813 1588 77.7% 14.5% 7.8% +5.0 11
1960-11-06 @ Porto L 0-4 1588 1813 7.8% 14.5% 77.7% -5.0 4
1960-11-06 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1597 1593 61.4% 15.6% 23.0% +3.9 8
1960-11-06 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1593 1597 23.0% 15.6% 61.4% -3.9 3
1960-11-13 Porto W 2-1 1645 1818 38.6% 15.7% 45.7% +6.7 7
1960-11-13 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1818 1645 45.7% 15.7% 38.6% -6.7 11
1960-11-13 Fabril L 0-1 1605 1695 50.2% 15.7% 34.1% -7.7 1
1960-11-13 @ Barreirense W 1-0 1695 1605 34.1% 15.7% 50.2% +7.7 8
1960-11-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1843 1904 53.9% 15.7% 30.4% -15.5 8
1960-11-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1904 1843 30.4% 15.7% 53.9% +15.5 11
1960-11-13 Lusitano de Evora W 5-0 1926 1583 82.3% 13.5% 4.2% +3.2 13
1960-11-13 @ Benfica L 0-5 1583 1926 4.2% 13.5% 82.3% -3.3 4
1960-11-13 Leixoes W 1-0 1537 1620 51.1% 15.7% 33.2% +5.4 6
1960-11-13 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1620 1537 33.2% 15.7% 51.1% -5.4 3
1960-11-13 Braga W 2-0 1601 1591 62.0% 15.6% 22.4% +7.2 10
1960-11-13 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1591 1601 22.4% 15.6% 62.0% -7.2 3
1960-11-13 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1653 1589 67.2% 15.4% 17.4% +4.4 10
1960-11-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1589 1653 17.4% 15.4% 67.2% -4.4 3
1960-11-20 Salgueiros D 2-2 1585 1543 65.2% 15.5% 19.3% -1.3 4
1960-11-20 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1543 1585 19.3% 15.5% 65.2% +1.3 7
1960-11-20 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1584 1828 29.4% 15.5% 55.1% +0.9 4
1960-11-20 @ Braga D 1-1 1828 1584 55.1% 15.5% 29.4% -0.9 9
1960-11-20 Benfica L 1-3 1703 1930 31.5% 15.5% 53.0% -8.4 8
1960-11-20 @ Fabril W 3-1 1930 1703 53.0% 15.5% 31.5% +8.4 15
1960-11-20 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1615 1652 56.8% 15.7% 27.5% -1.0 4
1960-11-20 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1652 1615 27.5% 15.7% 56.8% +1.0 8
1960-11-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1580 1658 51.7% 15.7% 32.5% +14.5 6
1960-11-20 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1658 1580 32.5% 15.7% 51.7% -14.5 10
1960-11-20 Sporting Covilha W 4-0 1811 1608 76.7% 14.6% 8.7% +5.5 13
1960-11-20 @ Porto L 0-4 1608 1811 8.7% 14.6% 76.7% -5.5 10
1960-11-20 Barreirense W 4-0 1920 1598 81.6% 13.7% 4.7% +3.0 13
1960-11-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1598 1920 4.7% 13.7% 81.6% -3.0 1
1960-11-27 Sporting Covilha W 4-2 1653 1602 66.0% 15.5% 18.5% +4.7 10
1960-11-27 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-4 1602 1653 18.5% 15.5% 66.0% -4.7 10
1960-11-27 Braga L 2-4 1595 1585 62.0% 15.6% 22.4% -13.7 1
1960-11-27 @ Barreirense W 4-2 1585 1595 22.4% 15.6% 62.0% +13.7 6
1960-11-27 Porto W 1-0 1827 1817 62.1% 15.6% 22.4% +3.8 11
1960-11-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1817 1827 22.4% 15.6% 62.1% -3.8 13
1960-11-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1938 1923 62.6% 15.6% 21.8% +3.7 17
1960-11-27 @ Benfica L 0-1 1923 1938 21.8% 15.6% 62.6% -3.7 13
1960-11-27 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1614 1584 64.1% 15.5% 20.4% +5.7 6
1960-11-27 @ Leixoes L 1-3 1584 1614 20.4% 15.5% 64.1% -5.7 4
1960-11-27 Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1544 1594 55.2% 15.7% 29.1% -0.9 8
1960-11-27 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1594 1544 29.1% 15.7% 55.2% +0.9 7
1960-11-27 Fabril L 0-3 1643 1695 55.1% 15.7% 29.2% -23.0 10
1960-11-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1695 1643 29.2% 15.7% 55.1% +23.0 10
1960-12-04 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1578 1658 51.5% 15.7% 32.8% +8.7 6
1960-12-04 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1658 1578 32.8% 15.7% 51.5% -8.7 10
1960-12-04 Benfica L 0-4 1599 1942 19.0% 15.0% 66.0% -11.6 6
1960-12-04 @ Braga W 4-0 1942 1599 66.0% 15.0% 19.0% +11.6 19
1960-12-04 Salgueiros W 4-2 1718 1543 75.1% 14.8% 10.1% +2.6 12
1960-12-04 @ Fabril L 2-4 1543 1718 10.1% 14.8% 75.1% -2.6 8
1960-12-04 Leixoes L 1-2 1595 1620 58.3% 15.7% 26.0% -8.3 7
1960-12-04 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1620 1595 26.0% 15.7% 58.3% +8.3 8
1960-12-04 Barreirense W 4-1 1813 1581 78.1% 14.4% 7.5% +3.1 15
1960-12-04 @ Porto L 1-4 1581 1813 7.5% 14.4% 78.1% -3.1 1
1960-12-04 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-1 1919 1620 80.8% 13.9% 5.3% +2.2 15
1960-12-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1620 1919 5.3% 13.9% 80.8% -2.2 10
1960-12-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1598 1831 30.7% 15.5% 53.8% -11.6 10
1960-12-04 @ Sporting Covilha W 4-1 1831 1598 53.8% 15.5% 30.7% +11.6 13
1960-12-11 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1649 1842 35.8% 15.6% 48.5% -5.8 10
1960-12-11 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1842 1649 48.5% 15.6% 35.8% +5.8 15
1960-12-11 Lusitano de Evora W 3-0 1587 1587 61.0% 15.6% 23.4% +10.8 8
1960-12-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1587 1587 23.4% 15.6% 61.0% -10.8 7
1960-12-11 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1578 1586 60.1% 15.6% 24.2% +7.7 3
1960-12-11 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1586 1578 24.2% 15.6% 60.1% -7.7 10
1960-12-11 Porto W 2-0 1953 1816 72.8% 15.1% 12.1% +4.0 21
1960-12-11 @ Benfica L 0-2 1816 1953 12.1% 15.1% 72.8% -4.0 15
1960-12-11 Fabril L 0-2 1628 1720 49.8% 15.7% 34.4% -14.4 8
1960-12-11 @ Leixoes W 2-0 1720 1628 34.4% 15.7% 49.8% +14.4 14
1960-12-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-7 1540 1921 15.9% 14.8% 69.4% -11.8 8
1960-12-11 @ Salgueiros W 7-1 1921 1540 69.4% 14.8% 15.9% +11.8 17
1960-12-11 Braga W 4-1 1618 1587 64.2% 15.5% 20.3% +8.0 12
1960-12-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1587 1618 20.3% 15.5% 64.2% -8.0 6
1960-12-18 Lusitano de Evora D 0-0 1643 1576 67.5% 15.4% 17.1% -2.1 11
1960-12-18 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1576 1643 17.1% 15.4% 67.5% +2.1 8
1960-12-18 Barreirense W 4-0 1848 1586 79.4% 14.2% 6.4% +4.1 17
1960-12-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1586 1848 6.4% 14.2% 79.4% -4.1 3
1960-12-18 Salgueiros W 5-1 1579 1529 66.0% 15.5% 18.5% +9.5 8
1960-12-18 @ Braga L 1-5 1529 1579 18.5% 15.5% 66.0% -9.5 8
1960-12-18 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1735 1597 72.8% 15.1% 12.1% -10.4 14
1960-12-18 @ Fabril W 2-1 1597 1735 12.1% 15.1% 72.8% +10.4 10
1960-12-18 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1812 1626 75.7% 14.8% 9.5% -1.9 16
1960-12-18 @ Porto D 2-2 1626 1812 9.5% 14.8% 75.7% +1.9 13
1960-12-18 Leixoes W 3-1 1933 1613 81.5% 13.7% 4.7% +1.4 19
1960-12-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1613 1933 4.7% 13.7% 81.5% -1.4 8
1960-12-18 Benfica L 1-3 1578 1957 16.0% 14.8% 69.2% -4.5 10
1960-12-18 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1957 1578 69.2% 14.8% 16.0% +4.5 23
1961-01-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1608 1935 20.5% 15.1% 64.4% -9.5 10
1961-01-01 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1935 1608 64.4% 15.1% 20.5% +9.5 21
1961-01-01 Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1582 1641 54.1% 15.7% 30.2% -15.5 3
1961-01-01 @ Barreirense W 2-0 1641 1582 30.2% 15.7% 54.1% +15.5 13
1961-01-01 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1962 1852 70.9% 15.2% 13.9% +3.6 25
1961-01-01 @ Benfica L 2-4 1852 1962 13.9% 15.2% 70.9% -3.6 17
1961-01-01 Braga W 3-2 1612 1589 63.4% 15.6% 21.0% +3.2 10
1961-01-01 @ Leixoes L 2-3 1589 1612 21.0% 15.6% 63.4% -3.2 8
1961-01-01 Fabril W 2-1 1578 1724 42.4% 15.7% 41.9% +6.2 10
1961-01-01 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1724 1578 41.9% 15.7% 42.4% -6.2 14
1961-01-01 Porto L 1-2 1519 1810 24.0% 15.3% 60.7% -3.8 8
1961-01-01 @ Salgueiros W 2-1 1810 1519 60.7% 15.3% 24.0% +3.8 18
1961-01-01 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1628 1574 66.3% 15.4% 18.2% +5.1 15
1961-01-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1574 1628 18.2% 15.4% 66.3% -5.1 10
1961-01-08 Braga W 3-1 1598 1586 62.4% 15.6% 22.1% +6.1 12
1961-01-08 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1586 1598 22.1% 15.6% 62.4% -6.1 8
1961-01-08 Barreirense W 3-0 1965 1566 83.9% 13.0% 3.1% +1.5 27
1961-01-08 @ Benfica L 0-3 1566 1965 3.1% 13.0% 83.9% -1.5 3
1961-01-08 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1718 1657 67.0% 15.4% 17.6% +5.8 16
1961-01-08 @ Fabril L 0-2 1657 1718 17.6% 15.4% 67.0% -5.8 13
1961-01-08 Porto W 3-2 1615 1814 35.1% 15.6% 49.3% +6.8 12
1961-01-08 @ Leixoes L 2-3 1814 1615 49.3% 15.6% 35.1% -6.8 18
1961-01-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1584 1944 17.5% 14.9% 67.5% -8.2 10
1961-01-08 @ Lusitano de Evora W 3-0 1944 1584 67.5% 14.9% 17.5% +8.2 23
1961-01-08 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1515 1569 54.8% 15.7% 29.4% -0.9 9
1961-01-08 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1569 1515 29.4% 15.7% 54.8% +0.9 11
1961-01-08 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1633 1848 32.9% 15.6% 51.5% +7.0 17
1961-01-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1848 1633 51.5% 15.6% 32.9% -7.0 17
1961-01-15 Benfica L 0-2 1651 1967 21.5% 15.2% 63.3% -6.9 13
1961-01-15 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1967 1651 63.3% 15.2% 21.5% +6.9 29
1961-01-15 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1565 1640 52.0% 15.7% 32.2% -7.5 3
1961-01-15 @ Barreirense W 2-1 1640 1565 32.2% 15.7% 52.0% +7.5 19
1961-01-15 Salgueiros W 8-1 1841 1514 81.8% 13.7% 4.5% +4.0 19
1961-01-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-8 1514 1841 4.5% 13.7% 81.8% -4.0 9
1961-01-15 Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1580 1576 61.4% 15.6% 23.0% -9.3 8
1961-01-15 @ Braga W 1-0 1576 1580 23.0% 15.6% 61.4% +9.3 12
1961-01-15 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-0 1807 1605 76.6% 14.7% 8.7% +6.8 20
1961-01-15 @ Porto L 0-5 1605 1807 8.7% 14.7% 76.6% -6.8 12
1961-01-15 Fabril W 1-0 1952 1724 77.9% 14.5% 7.6% +1.4 25
1961-01-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1724 1952 7.6% 14.5% 77.9% -1.4 16
1961-01-15 Leixoes L 1-5 1570 1622 55.0% 15.7% 29.3% -25.0 11
1961-01-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1622 1570 29.3% 15.7% 55.0% +25.0 14
1961-01-22 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1598 1545 66.2% 15.4% 18.3% +8.7 14
1961-01-22 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1545 1598 18.3% 15.4% 66.2% -8.7 11
1961-01-22 Braga W 2-0 1722 1570 73.8% 15.0% 11.2% +3.8 18
1961-01-22 @ Fabril L 0-2 1570 1722 11.2% 15.0% 73.8% -3.8 8
1961-01-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1647 1845 35.1% 15.6% 49.3% +14.2 16
1961-01-22 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1845 1647 49.3% 15.6% 35.1% -14.2 19
1961-01-22 Porto L 0-1 1586 1814 31.2% 15.5% 53.2% -5.1 12
1961-01-22 @ Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1814 1586 53.2% 15.5% 31.2% +5.1 22
1961-01-22 Barreirense W 1-0 1510 1557 55.7% 15.7% 28.6% +4.7 11
1961-01-22 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1557 1510 28.6% 15.7% 55.7% -4.7 3
1961-01-22 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1954 1644 81.2% 13.8% 5.0% +0.9 27
1961-01-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1644 1954 5.0% 13.8% 81.2% -0.9 13
1961-01-22 Benfica W 2-1 1648 1974 20.5% 15.1% 64.4% +9.2 21
1961-01-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1974 1648 64.4% 15.1% 20.5% -9.2 29
1961-02-05 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1643 1657 59.5% 15.7% 24.8% +3.9 15
1961-02-05 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1657 1643 24.8% 15.7% 59.5% -3.9 21
1961-02-05 Leixoes L 2-3 1552 1661 47.6% 15.7% 36.7% -6.6 3
1961-02-05 @ Barreirense W 3-2 1661 1552 36.7% 15.7% 47.6% +6.6 18
1961-02-05 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1831 1606 77.7% 14.5% 7.8% +1.3 21
1961-02-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1606 1831 7.8% 14.5% 77.7% -1.3 14
1961-02-05 Salgueiros W 8-1 1965 1515 85.1% 12.5% 2.4% +2.0 31
1961-02-05 @ Benfica L 1-8 1515 1965 2.4% 12.5% 85.1% -2.0 11
1961-02-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1566 1955 15.3% 14.7% 69.9% -4.3 8
1961-02-05 @ Braga W 3-1 1955 1566 69.9% 14.7% 15.3% +4.3 29
1961-02-05 Fabril D 1-1 1819 1726 69.6% 15.3% 15.1% -2.0 23
1961-02-05 @ Porto D 1-1 1726 1819 15.1% 15.3% 69.6% +2.0 19
1961-02-05 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1536 1580 56.0% 15.7% 28.3% +7.7 13
1961-02-05 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1580 1536 28.3% 15.7% 56.0% -7.7 12
1961-02-12 Barreirense D 2-2 1605 1546 66.8% 15.4% 17.8% -1.4 15
1961-02-12 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1546 1605 17.8% 15.4% 66.8% +1.4 4
1961-02-12 Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1562 1647 50.8% 15.7% 33.4% -14.7 8
1961-02-12 @ Braga W 2-0 1647 1562 33.4% 15.7% 50.8% +14.7 17
1961-02-12 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1728 1544 75.7% 14.8% 9.6% -2.5 20
1961-02-12 @ Fabril D 1-1 1544 1728 9.6% 14.8% 75.7% +2.5 14
1961-02-12 Benfica L 0-3 1668 1967 23.2% 15.2% 61.6% -10.7 18
1961-02-12 @ Leixoes W 3-0 1967 1668 61.6% 15.2% 23.2% +10.7 33
1961-02-12 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1573 1832 27.5% 15.4% 57.1% +8.7 14
1961-02-12 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1832 1573 57.1% 15.4% 27.5% -8.7 21
1961-02-12 Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1513 1653 43.3% 15.7% 41.0% -6.0 11
1961-02-12 @ Salgueiros W 3-2 1653 1513 41.0% 15.7% 43.3% +6.0 23
1961-02-12 Porto D 1-1 1959 1817 73.1% 15.0% 11.9% -2.3 30
1961-02-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1817 1959 11.9% 15.0% 73.1% +2.3 24
1961-02-19 Salgueiros W 2-0 1662 1507 73.9% 15.0% 11.1% +3.7 19
1961-02-19 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1507 1662 11.1% 15.0% 73.9% -3.7 11
1961-02-19 Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1547 1581 57.1% 15.7% 27.2% -8.7 4
1961-02-19 @ Barreirense W 1-0 1581 1547 27.2% 15.7% 57.1% +8.7 16
1961-02-19 Fabril W 1-0 1824 1726 70.0% 15.3% 14.7% +2.6 23
1961-02-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1726 1824 14.7% 15.3% 70.0% -2.6 20
1961-02-19 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 7-2 1977 1604 83.2% 13.3% 3.5% +1.9 35
1961-02-19 @ Benfica L 2-7 1604 1977 3.5% 13.3% 83.2% -1.9 15
1961-02-19 Braga D 1-1 1819 1547 79.8% 14.1% 6.1% -2.9 25
1961-02-19 @ Porto D 1-1 1547 1819 6.1% 14.1% 79.8% +2.8 9
1961-02-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1546 1957 13.8% 14.6% 71.7% -6.5 14
1961-02-19 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1957 1546 71.7% 14.6% 13.8% +6.5 32
1961-02-19 Leixoes W 2-1 1659 1657 61.2% 15.6% 23.2% +3.7 25
1961-02-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1657 1659 23.2% 15.6% 61.2% -3.7 18
1961-03-05 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1602 1663 53.9% 15.7% 30.4% +5.0 17
1961-03-05 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1663 1602 30.4% 15.7% 53.9% -5.0 25
1961-03-05 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1550 1540 62.1% 15.6% 22.3% +10.4 11
1961-03-05 @ Braga L 0-3 1540 1550 22.3% 15.6% 62.1% -10.4 14
1961-03-05 Barreirense L 0-1 1723 1538 75.7% 14.8% 9.5% -11.5 20
1961-03-05 @ Fabril W 1-0 1538 1723 9.5% 14.8% 75.7% +11.5 6
1961-03-05 Salgueiros L 1-3 1653 1503 73.6% 15.0% 11.4% -18.3 18
1961-03-05 @ Leixoes W 3-1 1503 1653 11.4% 15.0% 73.6% +18.3 13
1961-03-05 Benfica L 1-2 1590 1979 15.2% 14.7% 70.0% -2.5 16
1961-03-05 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1979 1590 70.0% 14.7% 15.2% +2.5 37
1961-03-05 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1817 1666 73.7% 15.0% 11.3% -11.2 25
1961-03-05 @ Porto W 1-0 1666 1817 11.3% 15.0% 73.7% +11.2 21
1961-03-05 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1963 1826 72.8% 15.1% 12.2% +2.0 34
1961-03-05 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1826 1963 12.2% 15.1% 72.8% -2.0 23
1961-03-12 Leixoes D 1-1 1677 1635 65.2% 15.5% 19.3% -1.7 22
1961-03-12 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1635 1677 19.3% 15.5% 65.2% +1.7 19
1961-03-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1550 1965 13.4% 14.5% 72.0% +17.8 8
1961-03-12 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1965 1550 72.0% 14.5% 13.4% -17.8 34
1961-03-12 Braga W 2-1 1824 1561 79.5% 14.2% 6.3% +1.1 25
1961-03-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1561 1824 6.3% 14.2% 79.5% -1.1 11
1961-03-12 Fabril W 4-1 1982 1712 79.7% 14.2% 6.1% +2.5 39
1961-03-12 @ Benfica L 1-4 1712 1982 6.1% 14.2% 79.7% -2.5 20
1961-03-12 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1522 1607 50.8% 15.7% 33.5% +5.4 15
1961-03-12 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1607 1522 33.5% 15.7% 50.8% -5.4 17
1961-03-12 Porto L 1-3 1529 1805 25.6% 15.3% 59.0% -7.0 14
1961-03-12 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1805 1529 59.0% 15.3% 25.6% +7.0 27
1961-03-12 Lusitano de Evora W 5-2 1658 1588 67.7% 15.4% 16.9% +5.9 27
1961-03-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-5 1588 1658 16.9% 15.4% 67.7% -5.9 16
1961-04-09 Leixoes L 0-3 1601 1637 57.0% 15.7% 27.3% -23.7 17
1961-04-09 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1637 1601 27.3% 15.7% 57.0% +23.7 21
1961-04-09 Barreirense W 5-3 1560 1568 60.1% 15.6% 24.2% +5.6 13
1961-04-09 @ Braga L 3-5 1568 1560 24.2% 15.6% 60.1% -5.6 8
1961-04-09 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1709 1664 65.5% 15.5% 19.0% +6.2 22
1961-04-09 @ Fabril L 0-2 1664 1709 19.0% 15.5% 65.5% -6.2 27
1961-04-09 Salgueiros D 2-2 1582 1527 66.4% 15.4% 18.2% -1.3 17
1961-04-09 @ Lusitano de Evora D 2-2 1527 1582 18.2% 15.4% 66.4% +1.3 16
1961-04-09 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1812 1825 59.6% 15.7% 24.8% +4.2 29
1961-04-09 @ Porto L 0-1 1825 1812 24.8% 15.7% 59.6% -4.2 25
1961-04-09 Benfica D 1-1 1947 1984 56.9% 15.7% 27.5% -1.0 35
1961-04-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1984 1947 27.5% 15.7% 56.9% +1.1 40
1961-04-09 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1522 1675 41.5% 15.7% 42.8% +0.0 15
1961-04-09 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1675 1522 42.8% 15.7% 41.5% -0.0 23
1961-04-23 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1675 1578 69.9% 15.3% 14.8% -10.6 23
1961-04-23 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1578 1675 14.8% 15.3% 69.9% +10.6 19
1961-04-23 Porto L 1-4 1562 1816 28.1% 15.4% 56.5% -10.7 8
1961-04-23 @ Barreirense W 4-1 1816 1562 56.5% 15.4% 28.1% +10.7 31
1961-04-23 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1821 1522 80.8% 13.9% 5.3% -12.3 25
1961-04-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1522 1821 5.3% 13.9% 80.8% +12.3 17
1961-04-23 Braga W 7-1 1985 1565 84.4% 12.8% 2.8% +2.1 42
1961-04-23 @ Benfica L 1-7 1565 1985 2.8% 12.8% 84.4% -2.1 13
1961-04-23 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1661 1580 68.6% 15.3% 16.1% +4.6 23
1961-04-23 @ Leixoes L 1-3 1580 1661 16.1% 15.3% 68.6% -4.6 17
1961-04-23 Fabril W 1-0 1528 1715 36.7% 15.6% 47.7% +7.3 18
1961-04-23 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1715 1528 47.7% 15.6% 36.7% -7.3 22
1961-04-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1657 1946 24.2% 15.3% 60.5% +1.5 28
1961-04-23 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1946 1657 60.5% 15.3% 24.2% -1.5 36
1961-04-30 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1809 1664 73.3% 15.0% 11.7% -1.8 26
1961-04-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1664 1809 11.7% 15.0% 73.3% +1.8 24
1961-04-30 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1563 1659 49.4% 15.7% 34.9% +5.3 15
1961-04-30 @ Braga L 1-2 1659 1563 34.9% 15.7% 49.4% -5.3 28
1961-04-30 Leixoes W 3-0 1708 1665 65.3% 15.5% 19.2% +9.0 24
1961-04-30 @ Fabril L 0-3 1665 1708 19.2% 15.5% 65.3% -9.1 23
1961-04-30 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1576 1588 59.7% 15.7% 24.7% +14.9 19
1961-04-30 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-4 1588 1576 24.7% 15.7% 59.7% -14.9 19
1961-04-30 Benfica W 3-2 1827 1987 40.4% 15.7% 43.9% +6.1 33
1961-04-30 @ Porto L 2-3 1987 1827 43.9% 15.7% 40.4% -6.1 42
1961-04-30 Salgueiros W 2-1 1945 1536 84.2% 12.9% 2.9% +0.5 38
1961-04-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1536 1945 2.9% 12.9% 84.2% -0.5 18
1961-04-30 Barreirense W 2-1 1535 1551 59.2% 15.7% 25.2% +4.0 19
1961-04-30 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1551 1535 25.2% 15.7% 59.2% -4.0 8
1961-05-14 Fabril W 2-0 1573 1717 42.8% 15.7% 41.5% +12.3 21
1961-05-14 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1717 1573 41.5% 15.7% 42.8% -12.3 24
1961-05-14 Os Belenenses (1st) L 3-4 1547 1807 27.5% 15.4% 57.1% -4.0 8
1961-05-14 @ Barreirense W 4-3 1807 1547 57.1% 15.4% 27.5% +4.0 28
1961-05-14 Sporting Covilha W 8-0 1981 1539 85.0% 12.6% 2.5% +2.9 44
1961-05-14 @ Benfica L 0-8 1539 1981 2.5% 12.6% 85.0% -2.9 19
1961-05-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1656 1945 24.2% 15.3% 60.5% -6.6 23
1961-05-14 @ Leixoes W 3-1 1945 1656 60.5% 15.3% 24.2% +6.6 40
1961-05-14 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1591 1666 52.1% 15.7% 32.2% +5.2 21
1961-05-14 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1666 1591 32.2% 15.7% 52.1% -5.2 24
1961-05-14 Braga L 2-3 1535 1568 57.3% 15.7% 27.0% -7.8 18
1961-05-14 @ Salgueiros W 3-2 1568 1535 27.0% 15.7% 57.3% +7.8 17
1961-05-14 Porto W 4-2 1654 1833 37.7% 15.7% 46.7% +10.5 30
1961-05-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1833 1654 46.7% 15.7% 37.7% -10.5 33
1961-05-28 Barreirense W 3-0 1661 1543 71.4% 15.2% 13.4% +6.5 26
1961-05-28 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1543 1661 13.4% 15.2% 71.4% -6.5 8
1961-05-28 Benfica L 0-4 1811 1984 38.6% 15.7% 45.7% -21.9 28
1961-05-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-0 1984 1811 45.7% 15.7% 38.6% +21.9 46
1961-05-28 Leixoes W 2-1 1576 1649 52.3% 15.7% 31.9% +4.9 19
1961-05-28 @ Braga L 1-2 1649 1576 31.9% 15.7% 52.3% -4.9 23
1961-05-28 Lusitano de Evora W 7-1 1705 1596 70.8% 15.2% 14.0% +10.6 26
1961-05-28 @ Fabril L 1-7 1596 1705 14.0% 15.2% 70.8% -10.6 21
1961-05-28 Salgueiros L 1-2 1823 1527 80.7% 14.0% 5.4% -11.5 33
1961-05-28 @ Porto W 2-1 1527 1823 5.4% 14.0% 80.7% +11.5 20
1961-05-28 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1952 1586 83.0% 13.3% 3.7% +1.8 42
1961-05-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1586 1952 3.7% 13.3% 83.0% -1.8 21
1961-05-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1536 1664 44.9% 15.7% 39.4% +5.9 21
1961-05-28 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1664 1536 39.4% 15.7% 44.9% -5.9 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-04-23 5.27% Sporting Covilha 1522 1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1821 0
2 1961-05-28 5.36% Salgueiros 1527 2 @ Porto 1823 1
3 1961-03-05 9.54% Barreirense 1538 1 @ Fabril 1723 0
4 1961-03-05 11.32% Academica de Coimbra 1666 1 @ Porto 1817 0
5 1961-03-05 11.38% Salgueiros 1503 3 @ Leixoes 1653 1
6 1960-12-18 12.14% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1597 2 @ Fabril 1735 1
7 1961-03-12 13.43% @ Barreirense 1550 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1965 1
8 1961-04-23 14.79% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1578 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1675 0
9 1960-11-06 15.49% Salgueiros 1527 2 @ Barreirense 1615 1
10 1961-01-22 20.53% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1648 2 Benfica 1974 1
11 1960-09-25 22.09% @ Salgueiros 1539 3 Os Belenenses (1st) 1849 2
12 1960-11-27 22.40% Braga 1585 4 @ Barreirense 1595 2
13 1960-10-16 22.73% Sporting Covilha 1589 1 @ Lusitano de Evora 1595 0
14 1961-01-15 23.03% Lusitano de Evora 1576 1 @ Braga 1580 0
15 1960-10-30 23.47% Vitoria Guimaraes 1640 2 @ Leixoes 1639 0
16 1960-12-04 26.00% Leixoes 1620 2 @ Lusitano de Evora 1595 1
17 1961-05-14 27.04% Braga 1568 3 @ Salgueiros 1535 2
18 1961-02-19 27.16% Lusitano de Evora 1581 1 @ Barreirense 1547 0
19 1961-04-09 27.30% Leixoes 1637 3 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1601 0
20 1961-02-12 27.47% @ Lusitano de Evora 1573 1 Os Belenenses (1st) 1832 0
21 1960-11-27 29.19% Fabril 1695 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1643 0
22 1961-01-15 29.31% Leixoes 1622 5 @ Sporting Covilha 1570 1
23 1961-01-01 30.20% Academica de Coimbra 1641 2 @ Barreirense 1582 0
24 1960-11-13 30.41% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1904 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1843 0
25 1961-01-15 32.24% Vitoria Guimaraes 1640 2 @ Barreirense 1565 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-01-15 24.96 Leixoes 5 1622 29.31% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1570 54.98% 15.71%
2 1961-04-09 23.73 Leixoes 3 1637 27.30% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1601 57.01% 15.69%
3 1960-11-27 22.97 Fabril 3 1695 29.19% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1643 55.10% 15.71%
4 1961-05-28 21.91 Benfica 4 1984 45.74% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1811 38.59% 15.67%
5 1960-10-30 21.58 Porto 4 1791 46.44% @ Braga 0 1614 37.91% 15.66%
6 1961-03-05 18.27 Salgueiros 3 1503 11.38% @ Leixoes 1 1653 73.63% 14.99%
7 1961-03-12 17.75 @ Barreirense 3 1550 13.43% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1965 72.02% 14.55%
8 1960-10-30 17.42 Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1640 23.47% @ Leixoes 0 1639 60.91% 15.62%
9 1961-01-01 15.54 Academica de Coimbra 2 1641 30.20% @ Barreirense 0 1582 54.08% 15.72%
10 1960-11-13 15.49 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1904 30.41% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1843 53.87% 15.72%
11 1961-04-30 14.86 @ Lusitano de Evora 4 1576 59.66% Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1588 24.70% 15.65%
12 1961-02-12 14.67 Academica de Coimbra 2 1647 33.44% @ Braga 0 1562 50.82% 15.74%
13 1960-11-20 14.49 @ Lusitano de Evora 3 1580 51.75% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1658 32.52% 15.73%
14 1960-12-11 14.42 Fabril 2 1720 34.42% @ Leixoes 0 1628 49.84% 15.74%
15 1961-01-22 14.25 @ Leixoes 2 1647 35.13% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1845 49.26% 15.61%
16 1960-11-27 13.74 Braga 4 1585 22.40% @ Barreirense 2 1595 62.01% 15.59%
17 1960-10-30 12.32 Academica de Coimbra 3 1638 35.17% @ Salgueiros 1 1540 49.10% 15.74%
18 1961-05-14 12.30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 2 1573 42.75% Fabril 0 1717 41.54% 15.71%
19 1961-04-23 12.27 Sporting Covilha 1 1522 5.27% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1821 80.81% 13.92%
20 1960-12-11 11.82 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 1921 69.36% @ Salgueiros 1 1540 15.86% 14.78%
21 1960-12-04 11.61 Benfica 4 1942 65.98% @ Braga 0 1599 19.00% 15.02%
22 1960-12-04 11.58 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1831 53.79% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1598 30.69% 15.51%
23 1961-05-28 11.55 Salgueiros 2 1527 5.36% @ Porto 1 1823 80.69% 13.95%
24 1961-03-05 11.51 Barreirense 1 1538 9.54% @ Fabril 0 1723 75.68% 14.78%
25 1961-03-05 11.20 Academica de Coimbra 1 1666 11.32% @ Porto 0 1817 73.69% 14.99%