Home / Leagues / Portugal / Primeira Divisão / 1953-54
‹ ›

1953-54 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

6.41 points above expected

43 points · 36.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vitoria Setubal

6.94 points below expected

18 points · 24.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 20 3 3 43 80 25 +55 36.59 +6.41
2 Porto 26 16 4 6 36 83 35 +48 31.69 +4.31
3 Benfica 26 13 6 7 32 62 40 +22 31.44 +0.56
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 13 5 8 31 43 39 +4 31.31 -0.31
5 Braga 26 12 4 10 28 54 36 +18 26.55 +1.45
6 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 10 8 8 28 49 43 +6 25.32 +2.68
7 Sporting Covilha 26 10 8 8 28 43 39 +4 23.91 +4.09
8 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 10 5 11 25 44 64 -20 23.39 +1.61
9 Barreirense 26 8 6 12 22 34 47 -13 24.44 -2.44
10 Lusitano de Evora 26 9 3 14 21 47 66 -19 23.69 -2.69
11 Boavista 26 7 5 14 19 29 66 -37 19.36 -0.36
12 Vitoria Setubal 26 7 4 15 18 51 66 -15 24.94 -6.94
13 Academica de Coimbra 26 8 2 16 18 29 50 -21 21.61 -3.61
14 Oriental de Lisboa 26 4 7 15 15 35 67 -32 19.77 -4.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1701 43 36.59 +6.41 98.3% 24 31 34 37 39 42 48
Porto 1518 36 31.69 +4.31 91.6% 18 26 29 32 34 37 46
Benfica 1445 32 31.44 +0.56 62.1% 18 26 29 31 34 37 45
Braga 1371 28 26.55 +1.45 70.7% 14 21 24 27 29 32 40
Sporting Covilha 1371 28 23.91 +4.09 90.2% 11 18 22 24 26 30 39
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1324 28 25.32 +2.68 81.8% 11 20 23 25 28 31 38
Os Belenenses (1st) 1310 31 31.31 -0.31 51.9% 18 25 29 31 34 37 44
Barreirense 1254 22 24.44 -2.44 29.1% 12 19 22 24 27 30 36
Lusitano de Evora 1227 21 23.69 -2.69 26.9% 10 18 21 24 26 30 36
Vitoria Guimaraes 1199 25 23.39 +1.61 72.7% 10 18 21 23 26 29 37
Vitoria Setubal 1179 18 24.94 -6.94 3.7% 11 19 22 25 27 31 39
Boavista 1124 19 19.36 -0.36 51.7% 8 13 17 19 22 25 32
Oriental de Lisboa 1122 15 19.77 -4.77 11.9% 8 14 17 20 22 26 34
Academica de Coimbra 1090 18 21.61 -3.61 19.8% 6 16 19 22 24 28 36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BAR BEN BOA BRA LDE ODL OB( POR SCDP SC VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
1-1-0
2.25
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.91
0-1-1
1.87
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.60
Atletico Clube de Portugal
0-1-1
3.35
 —
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.18
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.75
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
2.98
Barreirense
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.78
 —
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
1.66
0-1-1
1.05
0-1-1
2.94
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
2.79
Benfica
1-0-1
3.99
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.87
 —
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
4.33
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
3.35
0-1-1
3.78
1-0-1
3.55
Boavista
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.75
 —
1-0-1
1.58
0-2-0
2.22
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
0.70
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.98
Braga
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
4.02
 —
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.82
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.88
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.96
Lusitano de Evora
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.22
0-2-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.64
 —
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.16
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
2.68
Oriental de Lisboa
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.39
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
1.28
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
1.78
0-0-2
2.53
 —
1-0-1
1.37
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
0.78
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.41
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-1-0
3.74
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
4.05
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
4.24
 —
2-0-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
3.93
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.50
Porto
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.95
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
4.23
0-0-2
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.90
1-1-0
3.13
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
4.56
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
4.94
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.85
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.07
 —
1-1-0
4.05
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
4.39
Sporting Covilha
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.26
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
1.67
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.57
 —
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.41
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
1.83
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.47
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.85
1-0-1
2.83
 —
1-1-0
2.60
Vitoria Setubal
2-0-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.19
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
3.18
0-1-1
3.00
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +3.9
Allowed 0.74 -4.7
Differential 0.88 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.40%4.12%5.77%2.75%1.10%3.57%21.70%
14.12%6.59%7.42%5.77%1.10%2.47%27.47%
25.77%7.42%6.04%2.75%0.55%1.37%23.90%
32.75%5.77%2.75%2.20%0.27%0.82%14.56%
41.10%1.10%0.55%0.27%—0.55%3.57%
5+3.57%2.47%1.37%0.82%0.55%—8.79%
Total21.70%27.47%23.90%14.56%3.57%8.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.88 +0.00
SD 1.78 1.78 2.75
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
17.69%3.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%38.46%
23.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%34.62%23.08%23.08%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.92 -0.81
SD 0.99 1.49 1.81
CV 0.89 0.78 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
13.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4———————
5+—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
Total15.38%34.62%34.62%11.54%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.65 +0.23
SD 1.66 1.41 2.32
CV 0.88 0.85 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%15.38%7.69%—3.85%38.46%
17.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
4—————3.85%3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%26.92%19.23%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.81 -0.50
SD 1.52 1.50 1.88
CV 1.16 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%——3.85%11.54%
1—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
211.54%15.38%11.54%3.85%——42.31%
33.85%3.85%———7.69%15.38%
4———————
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%3.85%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 1.54 +0.85
SD 1.92 1.53 2.69
CV 0.81 0.99 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—7.69%3.85%7.69%30.77%
13.85%11.54%7.69%11.54%—11.54%46.15%
23.85%3.85%————7.69%
3—11.54%————11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%7.69%23.08%3.85%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.54 -1.42
SD 1.11 2.32 2.77
CV 0.99 0.91 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
1——15.38%7.69%——23.08%
27.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
3—7.69%11.54%———19.23%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+11.54%—————11.54%
Total26.92%19.23%42.31%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.38 +0.69
SD 1.76 1.02 2.28
CV 0.85 0.74 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%—7.69%7.69%23.08%
1—7.69%15.38%7.69%——30.77%
23.85%3.85%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
33.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
Total7.69%23.08%30.77%15.38%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.54 -0.73
SD 1.70 1.96 2.95
CV 0.94 0.77 —
Max 6 9 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%——3.85%—3.85%15.38%
13.85%11.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%46.15%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%26.92%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%15.38%23.08%19.23%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.58 -1.23
SD 0.89 1.90 1.99
CV 0.66 0.74 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
17.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
211.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total30.77%23.08%30.77%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.50 +0.15
SD 1.50 1.58 2.46
CV 0.90 1.05 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.54%———11.54%
111.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
23.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
33.85%——3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+15.38%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.19 1.35 +1.85
SD 2.94 1.38 3.34
CV 0.92 1.03 —
Max 10 5 +10
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
1—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
215.38%15.38%3.85%———34.62%
3—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+15.38%3.85%————19.23%
Total34.62%42.31%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.08 0.96 +2.12
SD 2.13 0.92 2.64
CV 0.69 0.95 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%7.69%——3.85%30.77%
13.85%3.85%—7.69%—3.85%19.23%
23.85%—11.54%—3.85%—19.23%
37.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%19.23%23.08%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.50 +0.15
SD 1.50 1.77 2.57
CV 0.90 1.18 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—3.85%—7.69%15.38%
13.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%23.08%
23.85%15.38%15.38%3.85%——38.46%
37.69%7.69%——3.85%3.85%23.08%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%30.77%19.23%7.69%3.85%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.46 -0.77
SD 1.01 2.37 2.93
CV 0.60 0.96 —
Max 3 10 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%—3.85%—3.85%19.23%
13.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%7.69%—34.62%
27.69%—7.69%7.69%——23.08%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
5+—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
Total11.54%26.92%11.54%34.62%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.54 -0.58
SD 1.97 2.25 3.10
CV 1.00 0.89 —
Max 7 9 +6
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 43 36.59 +6.41
2 Porto 36 31.69 +4.31
3 Sporting Covilha 28 23.91 +4.09
4 Atletico Clube de Portugal 28 25.32 +2.68
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 25 23.39 +1.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vitoria Setubal 18 24.94 -6.94
2 Oriental de Lisboa 15 19.77 -4.77
3 Academica de Coimbra 18 21.61 -3.61
4 Lusitano de Evora 21 23.69 -2.69
5 Barreirense 22 24.44 -2.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Nov 8 – Dec 20 1 in 228
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 Dec 20 – Feb 7 1 in 98
3 Academica de Coimbra 2 Dec 20 – Jan 3 1 in 68
4 Barreirense 2 Jan 31 – Feb 7 1 in 15
5 Braga 2 Nov 15 – Dec 6 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Benfica 3 Jan 3 – Jan 17 1 in 412
2 Vitoria Setubal 4 Dec 6 – Jan 3 1 in 30
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 May 9 – May 16 1 in 30
4 Boavista 5 Oct 25 – Dec 6 1 in 28
5 Lusitano de Evora 3 Jan 10 – Jan 24 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Covilha 8 Feb 28 – May 16 1 in 124
2 Atletico Clube de Portugal 8 Jan 3 – Feb 21 1 in 118
3 Braga 6 Dec 20 – Jan 31 1 in 39
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 17 Dec 20 – May 16 1 in 24
5 Academica de Coimbra 4 Nov 1 – Dec 6 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oriental de Lisboa 13 Oct 4 – Jan 17 1 in 440
2 Vitoria Setubal 9 Dec 6 – Feb 7 1 in 95
3 Barreirense 6 Nov 1 – Dec 20 1 in 38
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 May 2 – May 16 1 in 22
5 Benfica 3 Nov 15 – Dec 13 1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal70.11%18.36%6.99%2.70%1.23%0.38%0.10%0.07%0.06%—————
Porto11.64%28.10%23.98%16.47%8.73%5.13%2.73%1.49%0.87%0.47%0.22%0.12%0.05%—
Benfica8.55%23.91%24.54%20.38%9.89%5.62%3.28%1.76%1.03%0.60%0.26%0.14%0.04%—
Os Belenenses (1st)8.25%21.23%22.86%19.48%11.77%7.20%4.02%2.29%1.37%0.81%0.41%0.22%0.07%0.02%
Braga0.69%3.03%7.46%12.19%17.01%14.11%12.22%9.82%7.72%6.01%4.51%2.93%1.64%0.66%
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.19%1.51%3.72%7.37%11.81%13.56%13.23%12.07%11.02%8.64%7.03%5.36%3.03%1.46%
Sporting Covilha0.04%0.69%2.12%3.88%7.38%10.07%11.15%11.93%12.76%11.20%10.14%8.75%6.25%3.64%
Vitoria Guimaraes0.07%0.29%1.07%2.47%5.07%7.66%9.80%10.68%11.66%12.05%12.67%12.46%8.77%5.28%
Barreirense0.15%0.85%2.37%4.46%7.99%10.57%11.84%11.50%12.41%11.48%9.89%8.11%5.23%3.15%
Lusitano de Evora0.08%0.56%1.45%2.94%5.93%7.87%9.86%11.29%11.94%12.87%12.15%9.68%8.83%4.55%
Boavista——0.01%0.21%0.56%1.29%2.00%3.08%4.34%6.48%9.62%13.69%23.21%35.51%
Vitoria Setubal0.22%1.33%3.01%5.72%9.20%11.10%11.89%12.46%11.18%10.64%8.86%6.87%5.04%2.48%
Academica de Coimbra0.01%0.12%0.34%1.37%2.70%3.71%5.28%7.76%8.79%11.25%13.59%16.18%15.98%12.92%
Oriental de Lisboa—0.02%0.08%0.36%0.73%1.73%2.60%3.80%4.85%7.50%10.65%15.49%21.86%30.33%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+48.90%
Strong Edge
64.84%19.23%15.93%
Elo Value
Home Edge
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0185.79400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.41 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
70%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.68 * Wild Swing: 5.68 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 * Close: 1.62 to 2.43 * Off: 2.43 to 3.24 * Way Off: 3.24 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.64 points
Some Luck
03.559
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.14
Pinpoint
02.035
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.32%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.72%
Vitoria Setubal
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.54
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Frequent
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.65
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.06
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%14%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.0940.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Porto 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Os Belenenses (1st) 99.98% 0.02%
Braga 99.34% 0.66%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 98.54% 1.46%
Vitoria Setubal 97.52% 2.48%
Barreirense 96.85% 3.15%
Sporting Covilha 96.36% 3.64%
Lusitano de Evora 95.45% 4.55%
Vitoria Guimaraes 94.72% 5.28%
Academica de Coimbra 87.08% 12.92%
Oriental de Lisboa 69.67% 30.33%
Boavista 64.49% 35.51%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1953-10-04 Oriental de Lisboa W 5-2 1392 1182 77.3% 19.0% 3.6% +4.4 2
1953-10-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-5 1182 1392 3.6% 19.0% 77.3% -4.4 0
1953-10-04 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1236 1238 68.7% 20.1% 11.2% -6.7 1
1953-10-04 @ Boavista D 1-1 1238 1236 11.2% 20.1% 68.7% +6.7 1
1953-10-04 Barreirense W 2-0 1235 1314 63.0% 20.3% 16.7% +17.7 2
1953-10-04 @ Braga L 0-2 1314 1235 16.7% 20.3% 63.0% -17.7 0
1953-10-04 Benfica L 0-2 1312 1452 57.3% 20.4% 22.3% -50.8 0
1953-10-04 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1452 1312 22.3% 20.4% 57.3% +50.8 2
1953-10-04 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1470 1246 77.7% 18.9% 3.4% +3.3 2
1953-10-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1246 1470 3.4% 18.9% 77.7% -3.4 0
1953-10-04 Porto L 0-2 1234 1372 57.5% 20.4% 22.1% -50.9 0
1953-10-04 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1372 1234 22.1% 20.4% 57.5% +50.9 2
1953-10-04 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1316 1236 72.9% 19.8% 7.3% -5.8 1
1953-10-04 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1236 1316 7.3% 19.8% 72.9% +5.8 1
1953-10-11 Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1243 1261 67.6% 20.1% 12.2% +6.7 2
1953-10-11 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1261 1243 12.2% 20.1% 67.6% -6.7 0
1953-10-11 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1245 1183 72.1% 19.9% 8.1% +7.9 3
1953-10-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1183 1245 8.1% 19.9% 72.1% -7.9 0
1953-10-11 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1297 1310 67.9% 20.1% 11.9% +6.2 2
1953-10-11 @ Barreirense L 2-3 1310 1297 11.9% 20.1% 67.9% -6.2 1
1953-10-11 Braga W 2-1 1503 1253 78.3% 18.8% 2.9% +1.7 4
1953-10-11 @ Benfica L 1-2 1253 1503 2.9% 18.8% 78.3% -1.7 2
1953-10-11 Boavista D 0-0 1178 1230 65.2% 20.2% 14.5% -6.5 1
1953-10-11 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 0-0 1230 1178 14.5% 20.2% 65.2% +6.5 2
1953-10-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1423 1473 65.4% 20.2% 14.4% +8.2 4
1953-10-11 @ Porto L 0-1 1473 1423 14.4% 20.2% 65.4% -8.2 2
1953-10-11 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1242 1397 55.7% 20.4% 23.9% -3.5 2
1953-10-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1397 1242 23.9% 20.4% 55.7% +3.5 3
1953-10-18 Oriental de Lisboa W 6-2 1252 1171 73.0% 19.8% 7.3% +11.1 5
1953-10-18 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-6 1171 1252 7.3% 19.8% 73.0% -11.1 1
1953-10-18 Barreirense W 2-0 1400 1303 73.7% 19.7% 6.7% +7.6 5
1953-10-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1303 1400 6.7% 19.7% 73.7% -7.6 2
1953-10-18 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-3 1236 1238 68.7% 20.1% 11.3% +5.8 4
1953-10-18 @ Boavista L 3-4 1238 1236 11.3% 20.1% 68.7% -5.8 2
1953-10-18 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1251 1250 68.9% 20.1% 11.0% +12.2 4
1953-10-18 @ Braga L 0-2 1250 1251 11.0% 20.1% 68.9% -12.2 2
1953-10-18 Porto W 2-0 1255 1432 53.2% 20.4% 26.4% +26.3 2
1953-10-18 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1432 1255 26.4% 20.4% 53.2% -26.3 4
1953-10-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1175 1465 38.3% 20.3% 41.4% +0.2 1
1953-10-18 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1465 1175 41.4% 20.3% 38.3% -0.2 3
1953-10-18 Benfica W 5-3 1304 1505 50.4% 20.4% 29.2% +21.0 3
1953-10-18 @ Vitoria Setubal L 3-5 1505 1304 29.2% 20.4% 50.4% -21.0 4
1953-10-25 Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1237 1325 62.3% 20.3% 17.4% -55.2 2
1953-10-25 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1325 1237 17.4% 20.3% 62.3% +55.2 5
1953-10-25 Boavista W 1-0 1295 1242 71.7% 19.9% 8.4% +5.0 4
1953-10-25 @ Barreirense L 0-1 1242 1295 8.4% 19.9% 71.7% -5.0 4
1953-10-25 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1484 1408 72.7% 19.8% 7.5% +8.5 6
1953-10-25 @ Benfica L 0-2 1408 1484 7.5% 19.8% 72.7% -8.5 5
1953-10-25 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1160 1176 67.8% 20.1% 12.1% -6.4 2
1953-10-25 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 1-1 1176 1160 12.1% 20.1% 67.8% +6.5 2
1953-10-25 Braga W 1-0 1405 1264 75.3% 19.4% 5.2% +3.2 6
1953-10-25 @ Porto L 0-1 1264 1405 5.2% 19.4% 75.3% -3.2 4
1953-10-25 Lusitano de Evora W 9-0 1465 1281 76.6% 19.2% 4.2% +19.6 5
1953-10-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-9 1281 1465 4.2% 19.2% 76.6% -19.6 2
1953-10-25 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1232 1264 66.8% 20.2% 13.1% +7.1 4
1953-10-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1264 1232 13.1% 20.2% 66.8% -7.1 5
1953-11-01 Barreirense W 3-0 1256 1300 65.8% 20.2% 14.0% +22.0 7
1953-11-01 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1300 1256 14.0% 20.2% 65.8% -22.0 4
1953-11-01 Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1399 1182 77.5% 19.0% 3.5% -5.6 6
1953-11-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 3-3 1182 1399 3.5% 19.0% 77.5% +5.6 3
1953-11-01 Benfica L 1-3 1237 1492 43.2% 20.3% 36.5% -34.0 4
1953-11-01 @ Boavista W 3-1 1492 1237 36.5% 20.3% 43.2% +34.0 8
1953-11-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1260 1484 47.3% 20.4% 32.3% -36.8 4
1953-11-01 @ Braga W 3-1 1484 1260 32.3% 20.4% 47.3% +36.8 7
1953-11-01 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1154 1240 62.5% 20.3% 17.2% -3.8 3
1953-11-01 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 2-2 1240 1154 17.2% 20.3% 62.5% +3.8 5
1953-11-01 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1182 1261 63.0% 20.3% 16.7% +33.6 4
1953-11-01 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-4 1261 1182 16.7% 20.3% 63.0% -33.6 2
1953-11-01 Porto D 1-1 1380 1408 66.9% 20.2% 12.9% -6.2 6
1953-11-01 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1408 1380 12.9% 20.2% 66.9% +6.2 7
1953-11-08 Boavista W 3-1 1188 1203 67.8% 20.1% 12.0% +11.5 5
1953-11-08 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1203 1188 12.0% 20.1% 67.8% -11.5 4
1953-11-08 Oriental de Lisboa D 1-1 1278 1150 74.8% 19.5% 5.6% -8.3 5
1953-11-08 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1150 1278 5.6% 19.5% 74.8% +8.3 4
1953-11-08 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1526 1278 78.3% 18.8% 3.0% +3.4 10
1953-11-08 @ Benfica L 0-2 1278 1526 3.0% 18.8% 78.3% -3.4 7
1953-11-08 Braga W 3-1 1228 1223 69.0% 20.1% 10.9% +10.5 4
1953-11-08 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-3 1223 1228 10.9% 20.1% 69.0% -10.5 4
1953-11-08 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1415 1394 70.0% 20.0% 10.0% -62.5 7
1953-11-08 @ Porto W 2-0 1394 1415 10.0% 20.0% 70.0% +62.5 8
1953-11-08 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1521 1374 75.5% 19.4% 5.1% +2.9 9
1953-11-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1374 1521 5.1% 19.4% 75.5% -2.9 6
1953-11-08 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1243 1216 70.4% 20.0% 9.6% +10.8 7
1953-11-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1216 1243 9.6% 20.0% 70.4% -10.8 4
1953-11-15 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1275 1199 72.8% 19.8% 7.5% -7.8 8
1953-11-15 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1199 1275 7.5% 19.8% 72.8% +7.8 6
1953-11-15 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1456 1524 64.0% 20.3% 15.8% +16.9 10
1953-11-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1524 1456 15.8% 20.3% 64.0% -16.9 9
1953-11-15 Porto L 0-6 1191 1352 55.1% 20.4% 24.6% -135.7 4
1953-11-15 @ Boavista W 6-0 1352 1191 24.6% 20.4% 55.1% +135.7 9
1953-11-15 Benfica D 0-0 1158 1529 27.7% 20.1% 52.3% +2.9 5
1953-11-15 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 0-0 1529 1158 52.3% 20.1% 27.7% -2.9 11
1953-11-15 Braga L 2-4 1205 1213 68.3% 20.1% 11.6% -47.1 4
1953-11-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 4-2 1213 1205 11.6% 20.1% 68.3% +47.1 6
1953-11-15 Barreirense W 3-0 1254 1270 67.8% 20.1% 12.1% +19.3 9
1953-11-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1270 1254 12.1% 20.1% 67.8% -19.3 5
1953-11-15 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1371 1238 75.0% 19.5% 5.5% +6.3 8
1953-11-15 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1238 1371 5.5% 19.5% 75.0% -6.3 4
1953-12-06 Oriental de Lisboa W 2-1 1207 1161 71.3% 19.9% 8.8% +4.9 8
1953-12-06 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1161 1207 8.8% 19.9% 71.3% -4.9 5
1953-12-06 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1251 1158 73.5% 19.7% 6.8% -8.9 6
1953-12-06 @ Barreirense D 0-0 1158 1251 6.8% 19.7% 73.5% +8.9 5
1953-12-06 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1527 1274 78.4% 18.7% 2.9% -6.8 12
1953-12-06 @ Benfica D 2-2 1274 1527 2.9% 18.7% 78.4% +6.8 10
1953-12-06 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1260 1377 59.6% 20.3% 20.0% +9.9 8
1953-12-06 @ Braga L 2-3 1377 1260 20.0% 20.3% 59.6% -9.9 8
1953-12-06 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1232 1473 45.1% 20.4% 34.6% -20.4 4
1953-12-06 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1473 1232 34.6% 20.4% 45.1% +20.4 12
1953-12-06 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1488 1267 77.6% 18.9% 3.4% +5.7 11
1953-12-06 @ Porto L 0-3 1267 1488 3.4% 18.9% 77.6% -5.7 8
1953-12-06 Boavista W 2-1 1507 1056 81.9% 17.1% 1.0% +0.5 11
1953-12-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1056 1507 1.0% 17.1% 81.9% -0.5 4
1953-12-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1262 1508 44.4% 20.4% 35.3% +28.9 10
1953-12-13 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1508 1262 35.3% 20.4% 44.4% -28.9 11
1953-12-13 Benfica D 1-1 1242 1520 40.0% 20.3% 39.7% -0.0 7
1953-12-13 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1520 1242 39.7% 20.3% 40.0% +0.0 13
1953-12-13 Braga W 2-1 1494 1270 77.7% 18.9% 3.4% +1.9 14
1953-12-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1270 1494 3.4% 18.9% 77.7% -1.9 8
1953-12-13 Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1055 1211 55.6% 20.4% 24.1% -3.4 5
1953-12-13 @ Boavista D 1-1 1211 1055 24.1% 20.4% 55.6% +3.4 5
1953-12-13 Porto D 1-1 1156 1494 31.9% 20.2% 48.0% +1.7 6
1953-12-13 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 1-1 1494 1156 48.0% 20.2% 31.9% -1.7 12
1953-12-13 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1167 1367 50.3% 20.4% 29.3% +41.7 7
1953-12-13 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1367 1167 29.3% 20.4% 50.3% -41.7 8
1953-12-13 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1280 1212 72.4% 19.8% 7.8% +4.7 12
1953-12-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1212 1280 7.8% 19.8% 72.4% -4.7 8
1953-12-20 Barreirense W 2-0 1207 1242 66.5% 20.2% 13.3% +14.5 10
1953-12-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1242 1207 13.3% 20.2% 66.5% -14.5 7
1953-12-20 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1520 1208 79.6% 18.3% 2.1% +3.8 15
1953-12-20 @ Benfica L 1-5 1208 1520 2.1% 18.3% 79.6% -3.8 7
1953-12-20 Boavista W 5-0 1268 1052 77.5% 19.0% 3.5% +9.4 10
1953-12-20 @ Braga L 0-5 1052 1268 3.5% 19.0% 77.5% -9.4 5
1953-12-20 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1215 1290 63.3% 20.3% 16.4% +8.7 7
1953-12-20 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1290 1215 16.4% 20.3% 63.3% -8.7 10
1953-12-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 10-0 1492 1285 77.3% 19.0% 3.7% +19.2 14
1953-12-20 @ Porto L 0-10 1285 1492 3.7% 19.0% 77.3% -19.2 12
1953-12-20 Oriental de Lisboa W 2-1 1479 1158 79.8% 18.2% 2.0% +1.1 13
1953-12-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1158 1479 2.0% 18.2% 79.8% -1.1 6
1953-12-20 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1326 1495 54.0% 20.4% 25.6% -25.5 8
1953-12-20 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1495 1326 25.6% 20.4% 54.0% +25.5 16
1954-01-03 Braga D 2-2 1282 1277 69.0% 20.1% 10.9% -5.0 11
1954-01-03 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1277 1282 10.9% 20.1% 69.0% +5.0 11
1954-01-03 Porto W 2-0 1227 1511 39.1% 20.3% 40.6% +37.3 9
1954-01-03 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1511 1227 40.6% 20.3% 39.1% -37.3 14
1954-01-03 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1523 1222 79.4% 18.4% 2.2% -35.5 15
1954-01-03 @ Benfica W 2-1 1222 1523 2.2% 18.4% 79.4% +35.5 12
1954-01-03 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1042 1300 42.8% 20.3% 36.9% +30.0 7
1954-01-03 @ Boavista L 1-3 1300 1042 36.9% 20.3% 42.8% -30.0 8
1954-01-03 Lusitano de Evora L 2-3 1157 1224 64.1% 20.3% 15.7% -27.0 6
1954-01-03 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 3-2 1224 1157 15.7% 20.3% 64.1% +27.0 9
1954-01-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1205 1521 34.6% 20.2% 45.1% +40.8 9
1954-01-03 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1521 1205 45.1% 20.2% 34.6% -40.8 16
1954-01-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1266 1480 48.6% 20.4% 31.0% -68.9 12
1954-01-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1480 1266 31.0% 20.4% 48.6% +68.9 15
1954-01-10 Boavista W 2-1 1480 1072 81.3% 17.5% 1.2% +0.7 18
1954-01-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1072 1480 1.2% 17.5% 81.3% -0.7 7
1954-01-10 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-1 1283 1130 75.7% 19.4% 5.0% +4.9 13
1954-01-10 @ Braga L 1-3 1130 1283 5.0% 19.4% 75.7% -4.9 6
1954-01-10 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1251 1197 71.7% 19.9% 8.4% -32.1 9
1954-01-10 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1197 1251 8.4% 19.9% 71.7% +32.1 14
1954-01-10 Benfica W 5-3 1474 1488 67.9% 20.1% 12.0% +9.6 16
1954-01-10 @ Porto L 3-5 1488 1474 12.0% 20.1% 67.9% -9.7 15
1954-01-10 Barreirense W 2-0 1549 1265 79.1% 18.5% 2.4% +2.8 17
1954-01-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1265 1549 2.4% 18.5% 79.1% -2.8 9
1954-01-10 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1245 1257 68.0% 20.1% 11.8% +6.9 11
1954-01-10 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1257 1245 11.8% 20.1% 68.0% -6.9 12
1954-01-10 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1270 1277 68.4% 20.1% 11.5% -4.9 9
1954-01-10 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1277 1270 11.5% 20.1% 68.4% +4.9 12
1954-01-17 Porto L 1-2 1250 1483 46.2% 20.4% 33.5% -20.8 12
1954-01-17 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1483 1250 33.5% 20.4% 46.2% +20.8 18
1954-01-17 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1282 1481 50.5% 20.4% 29.1% -2.5 13
1954-01-17 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1481 1282 29.1% 20.4% 50.5% +2.5 19
1954-01-17 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1262 1218 71.2% 19.9% 8.9% +8.6 11
1954-01-17 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1218 1262 8.9% 19.9% 71.2% -8.6 9
1954-01-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1478 1552 63.5% 20.3% 16.2% -56.3 15
1954-01-17 @ Benfica W 2-0 1552 1478 16.2% 20.3% 63.5% +56.3 19
1954-01-17 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1072 1252 52.8% 20.4% 26.8% -3.1 8
1954-01-17 @ Boavista D 0-0 1252 1072 26.8% 20.4% 52.8% +3.1 12
1954-01-17 Vitoria Setubal D 3-3 1125 1265 57.3% 20.4% 22.4% -2.4 7
1954-01-17 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 3-3 1265 1125 22.4% 20.4% 57.3% +2.4 10
1954-01-17 Braga D 2-2 1229 1287 64.7% 20.2% 15.0% -4.2 15
1954-01-17 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1287 1229 15.0% 20.2% 64.7% +4.2 14
1954-01-24 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1230 1608 26.8% 20.1% 53.2% -26.5 12
1954-01-24 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1608 1230 53.2% 20.1% 26.8% +26.5 21
1954-01-24 Boavista W 5-1 1279 1069 77.4% 19.0% 3.6% +6.6 15
1954-01-24 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1069 1279 3.6% 19.0% 77.4% -6.6 8
1954-01-24 Braga D 0-0 1271 1292 67.4% 20.2% 12.4% -7.1 12
1954-01-24 @ Barreirense D 0-0 1292 1271 12.4% 20.2% 67.4% +7.1 15
1954-01-24 Lusitano de Evora W 5-2 1422 1210 77.4% 19.0% 3.6% +4.4 17
1954-01-24 @ Benfica L 2-5 1210 1422 3.6% 19.0% 77.4% -4.4 9
1954-01-24 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1123 1483 28.9% 20.1% 51.0% +65.8 9
1954-01-24 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-3 1483 1123 51.0% 20.1% 28.9% -65.8 19
1954-01-24 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1504 1255 78.3% 18.8% 2.9% +1.8 20
1954-01-24 @ Porto L 0-1 1255 1504 2.9% 18.8% 78.3% -1.8 12
1954-01-24 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1225 1268 65.9% 20.2% 13.9% +13.0 17
1954-01-24 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1268 1225 13.9% 20.2% 65.9% -13.0 10
1954-01-31 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1418 1238 76.5% 19.2% 4.3% +7.1 21
1954-01-31 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1238 1418 4.3% 19.2% 76.5% -7.1 17
1954-01-31 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-1 1062 1189 58.7% 20.4% 21.0% +18.8 10
1954-01-31 @ Boavista L 1-3 1189 1062 21.0% 20.4% 58.7% -18.8 9
1954-01-31 Benfica W 5-0 1299 1426 58.6% 20.4% 21.1% +50.8 17
1954-01-31 @ Braga L 0-5 1426 1299 21.1% 20.4% 58.6% -50.8 17
1954-01-31 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1205 1203 68.9% 20.1% 11.0% +17.7 11
1954-01-31 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1203 1205 11.0% 20.1% 68.9% -17.7 12
1954-01-31 Porto W 2-1 1635 1506 74.9% 19.5% 5.6% +3.2 23
1954-01-31 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1506 1635 5.6% 19.5% 74.9% -3.2 20
1954-01-31 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1254 1286 66.7% 20.2% 13.1% -6.9 13
1954-01-31 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1286 1254 13.1% 20.2% 66.7% +6.9 16
1954-01-31 Barreirense L 0-1 1255 1263 68.2% 20.1% 11.7% -32.2 10
1954-01-31 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1263 1255 11.7% 20.1% 68.2% +32.2 14
1954-02-07 Braga W 3-2 1185 1350 54.7% 20.4% 24.9% +11.9 14
1954-02-07 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1350 1185 24.9% 20.4% 54.7% -11.9 17
1954-02-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1296 1425 58.5% 20.4% 21.2% +10.9 16
1954-02-07 @ Barreirense L 1-2 1425 1296 21.2% 20.4% 58.5% -10.9 21
1954-02-07 Vitoria Setubal W 9-0 1375 1222 75.7% 19.4% 4.9% +23.1 19
1954-02-07 @ Benfica L 0-9 1222 1375 4.9% 19.4% 75.7% -23.2 10
1954-02-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1170 1293 59.1% 20.4% 20.6% -26.2 9
1954-02-07 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 2-1 1293 1170 20.6% 20.4% 59.1% +26.2 18
1954-02-07 Lusitano de Evora W 6-0 1503 1223 79.0% 18.5% 2.5% +7.9 22
1954-02-07 @ Porto L 0-6 1223 1503 2.5% 18.5% 79.0% -7.9 11
1954-02-07 Sporting Covilha W 7-0 1638 1247 81.0% 17.6% 1.4% +4.9 25
1954-02-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-7 1247 1638 1.4% 17.6% 81.0% -4.9 13
1954-02-07 Boavista W 3-0 1231 1081 75.6% 19.4% 5.0% +8.4 19
1954-02-07 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1081 1231 5.0% 19.4% 75.6% -8.4 10
1954-02-14 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1319 1239 72.9% 19.8% 7.3% +13.1 20
1954-02-14 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1239 1319 7.3% 19.8% 72.9% -13.1 19
1954-02-14 Benfica D 1-1 1414 1399 69.7% 20.0% 10.3% -6.9 22
1954-02-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1399 1414 10.3% 20.0% 69.7% +6.9 20
1954-02-14 Barreirense W 3-1 1072 1307 46.0% 20.4% 33.6% +27.8 12
1954-02-14 @ Boavista L 1-3 1307 1072 33.6% 20.4% 46.0% -27.8 16
1954-02-14 Porto W 3-1 1338 1511 53.7% 20.4% 25.9% +22.5 19
1954-02-14 @ Braga L 1-3 1511 1338 25.9% 20.4% 53.7% -22.5 22
1954-02-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1215 1643 21.5% 19.9% 58.6% +2.5 12
1954-02-14 @ Lusitano de Evora D 3-3 1643 1215 58.6% 19.9% 21.5% -2.5 26
1954-02-14 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-0 1242 1144 73.7% 19.7% 6.6% +11.0 15
1954-02-14 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1144 1242 6.6% 19.7% 73.7% -11.0 9
1954-02-14 Academica de Coimbra W 7-1 1199 1197 68.9% 20.1% 11.0% +28.0 12
1954-02-14 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-7 1197 1199 11.0% 20.1% 68.9% -28.0 14
1954-02-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1169 1407 45.6% 20.4% 34.1% -21.8 14
1954-02-21 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1407 1169 34.1% 20.4% 45.6% +21.8 24
1954-02-21 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1279 1332 65.1% 20.2% 14.6% -4.3 17
1954-02-21 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1332 1279 14.6% 20.2% 65.1% +4.3 21
1954-02-21 Boavista W 3-0 1406 1100 79.5% 18.3% 2.2% +3.6 22
1954-02-21 @ Benfica L 0-3 1100 1406 2.2% 18.3% 79.5% -3.6 12
1954-02-21 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1218 1253 66.5% 20.2% 13.3% +12.6 14
1954-02-21 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-3 1253 1218 13.3% 20.2% 66.5% -12.6 15
1954-02-21 Vitoria Setubal W 9-4 1488 1227 78.6% 18.7% 2.8% +4.3 24
1954-02-21 @ Porto L 4-9 1227 1488 2.8% 18.7% 78.6% -4.3 12
1954-02-21 Braga W 2-0 1640 1360 79.0% 18.5% 2.5% +2.8 28
1954-02-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1360 1640 2.5% 18.5% 79.0% -2.8 19
1954-02-21 Oriental de Lisboa W 2-1 1226 1133 73.5% 19.7% 6.8% +3.9 21
1954-02-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1133 1226 6.8% 19.7% 73.5% -3.9 9
1954-02-28 Benfica L 1-2 1336 1409 63.6% 20.3% 16.2% -28.2 21
1954-02-28 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1409 1336 16.2% 20.3% 63.6% +28.2 24
1954-02-28 Porto W 5-2 1429 1492 64.3% 20.3% 15.4% +17.6 26
1954-02-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-5 1492 1429 15.4% 20.3% 64.3% -17.6 24
1954-02-28 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1097 1147 65.3% 20.2% 14.5% +8.3 14
1954-02-28 @ Boavista L 0-1 1147 1097 14.5% 20.2% 65.3% -8.3 14
1954-02-28 Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1357 1230 74.8% 19.5% 5.7% +3.2 21
1954-02-28 @ Braga L 1-2 1230 1357 5.7% 19.5% 74.8% -3.2 14
1954-02-28 Barreirense W 1-0 1129 1275 56.7% 20.4% 22.9% +12.4 11
1954-02-28 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-1 1275 1129 22.9% 20.4% 56.7% -12.4 17
1954-02-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1240 1230 69.4% 20.1% 10.6% +18.5 17
1954-02-28 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-5 1230 1240 10.6% 20.1% 69.4% -18.5 21
1954-02-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1223 1643 22.2% 19.9% 57.9% -27.7 12
1954-02-28 @ Vitoria Setubal W 4-1 1643 1223 57.9% 19.9% 22.2% +27.7 30
1954-03-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1139 1308 54.2% 20.4% 25.4% +13.5 16
1954-03-07 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1308 1139 25.4% 20.4% 54.2% -13.5 21
1954-03-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-3 1262 1211 71.6% 19.9% 8.5% +9.4 19
1954-03-07 @ Barreirense L 3-6 1211 1262 8.5% 19.9% 71.6% -9.4 21
1954-03-07 Oriental de Lisboa W 5-0 1437 1141 79.3% 18.4% 2.3% +6.1 26
1954-03-07 @ Benfica L 0-5 1141 1437 2.3% 18.4% 79.3% -6.1 11
1954-03-07 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1361 1259 73.8% 19.7% 6.5% -9.0 22
1954-03-07 @ Braga D 0-0 1259 1361 6.5% 19.7% 73.8% +9.0 18
1954-03-07 Vitoria Setubal W 4-1 1227 1195 70.6% 20.0% 9.4% +12.9 16
1954-03-07 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-4 1195 1227 9.4% 20.0% 70.6% -12.9 12
1954-03-07 Boavista W 9-1 1475 1105 80.7% 17.8% 1.5% +5.2 26
1954-03-07 @ Porto L 1-9 1105 1475 1.5% 17.8% 80.7% -5.2 14
1954-03-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-0 1671 1446 77.7% 18.9% 3.4% +7.3 32
1954-03-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1446 1671 3.4% 18.9% 77.7% -7.3 26
1954-03-21 Porto D 3-3 1294 1480 52.2% 20.4% 27.4% -1.6 22
1954-03-21 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1480 1294 27.4% 20.4% 52.2% +1.6 27
1954-03-21 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1439 1240 77.0% 19.1% 3.9% +8.4 28
1954-03-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1240 1439 3.9% 19.1% 77.0% -8.4 16
1954-03-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1100 1678 10.2% 19.1% 70.7% -9.6 14
1954-03-21 @ Boavista W 3-1 1678 1100 70.7% 19.1% 10.2% +9.6 34
1954-03-21 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1135 1153 67.7% 20.1% 12.2% +6.3 13
1954-03-21 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 2-3 1153 1135 12.2% 20.1% 67.7% -6.4 16
1954-03-21 Barreirense W 3-2 1268 1272 68.5% 20.1% 11.4% +6.0 20
1954-03-21 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1272 1268 11.4% 20.1% 68.5% -6.0 19
1954-03-21 Benfica W 2-1 1202 1443 45.0% 20.4% 34.6% +16.4 23
1954-03-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1443 1202 34.6% 20.4% 45.0% -16.5 26
1954-03-21 Braga W 1-0 1182 1352 54.1% 20.4% 25.5% +13.6 14
1954-03-21 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1352 1182 25.5% 20.4% 54.1% -13.6 22
1954-03-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1146 1218 63.6% 20.3% 16.1% +9.1 18
1954-03-28 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1218 1146 16.1% 20.3% 63.6% -9.1 23
1954-03-28 Barreirense W 2-1 1427 1266 75.9% 19.3% 4.7% +2.7 28
1954-03-28 @ Benfica L 1-2 1266 1427 4.7% 19.3% 75.9% -2.7 19
1954-03-28 Os Belenenses (1st) W 7-0 1338 1447 60.4% 20.3% 19.3% +64.8 24
1954-03-28 @ Braga L 0-7 1447 1338 19.3% 20.3% 60.4% -64.8 28
1954-03-28 Boavista D 1-1 1232 1090 75.3% 19.4% 5.3% -8.4 17
1954-03-28 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1090 1232 5.3% 19.4% 75.3% +8.4 15
1954-03-28 Oriental de Lisboa W 6-1 1482 1142 80.2% 18.1% 1.8% +3.9 29
1954-03-28 @ Porto L 1-6 1142 1482 1.8% 18.1% 80.2% -3.9 13
1954-03-28 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 7-0 1688 1293 81.1% 17.6% 1.3% +4.8 36
1954-03-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-7 1293 1688 1.3% 17.6% 81.1% -4.8 22
1954-03-28 Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1196 1274 63.2% 20.3% 16.5% -48.5 14
1954-03-28 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1274 1196 16.5% 20.3% 63.2% +48.5 22
1954-04-25 Lusitano de Evora W 3-2 1288 1223 72.2% 19.8% 7.9% +4.2 24
1954-04-25 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1223 1288 7.9% 19.8% 72.2% -4.2 17
1954-04-25 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1263 1155 74.1% 19.6% 6.3% +6.2 21
1954-04-25 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1155 1263 6.3% 19.6% 74.1% -6.2 18
1954-04-25 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1382 1147 78.0% 18.9% 3.2% +3.1 30
1954-04-25 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1147 1382 3.2% 18.9% 78.0% -3.2 14
1954-04-25 Braga W 2-1 1099 1403 36.2% 20.3% 43.5% +19.8 17
1954-04-25 @ Boavista L 1-2 1403 1099 43.5% 20.3% 36.2% -19.8 24
1954-04-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1138 1692 11.5% 19.2% 69.3% -9.7 13
1954-04-25 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 4-2 1692 1138 69.3% 19.2% 11.5% +9.7 38
1954-04-25 Benfica D 2-2 1322 1430 60.5% 20.3% 19.1% -3.4 23
1954-04-25 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1430 1322 19.1% 20.3% 60.5% +3.4 29
1954-04-25 Porto L 1-2 1209 1486 40.2% 20.3% 39.5% -18.5 23
1954-04-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1486 1209 39.5% 20.3% 40.2% +18.5 31
1954-05-02 Benfica L 1-2 1149 1433 39.1% 20.3% 40.6% -18.1 18
1954-05-02 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1433 1149 40.6% 20.3% 39.1% +18.1 31
1954-05-02 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1386 1319 72.3% 19.8% 7.8% -5.7 31
1954-05-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1319 1386 7.8% 19.8% 72.3% +5.7 24
1954-05-02 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1383 1292 73.4% 19.7% 6.9% +3.7 26
1954-05-02 @ Braga L 2-3 1292 1383 6.9% 19.7% 73.4% -3.7 24
1954-05-02 Oriental de Lisboa W 6-2 1219 1128 73.4% 19.7% 6.9% +10.5 19
1954-05-02 @ Lusitano de Evora L 2-6 1128 1219 6.9% 19.7% 73.4% -10.5 13
1954-05-02 Barreirense W 5-0 1504 1269 78.0% 18.9% 3.2% +8.5 33
1954-05-02 @ Porto L 0-5 1269 1504 3.2% 18.9% 78.0% -8.5 21
1954-05-02 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-0 1702 1191 82.8% 16.5% 0.7% +1.8 40
1954-05-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1191 1702 0.7% 16.5% 82.8% -1.8 23
1954-05-02 Boavista W 7-1 1144 1118 70.3% 20.0% 9.7% +24.9 16
1954-05-02 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-7 1118 1144 9.7% 20.0% 70.3% -24.9 17
1954-05-09 Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1131 1324 51.2% 20.4% 28.4% -39.5 18
1954-05-09 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1324 1131 28.4% 20.4% 51.2% +39.5 26
1954-05-09 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1288 1169 74.5% 19.6% 5.9% +3.6 26
1954-05-09 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1169 1288 5.9% 19.6% 74.5% -3.6 16
1954-05-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1261 1704 20.0% 19.8% 60.2% +4.5 22
1954-05-09 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1704 1261 60.2% 19.8% 20.0% -4.5 41
1954-05-09 Porto D 2-2 1451 1513 64.5% 20.2% 15.2% -4.2 32
1954-05-09 @ Benfica D 2-2 1513 1451 15.2% 20.2% 64.5% +4.2 34
1954-05-09 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1093 1380 38.7% 20.3% 41.0% +37.6 19
1954-05-09 @ Boavista L 0-2 1380 1093 41.0% 20.3% 38.7% -37.6 31
1954-05-09 Braga W 2-1 1117 1387 41.2% 20.3% 38.5% +17.9 15
1954-05-09 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-2 1387 1117 38.5% 20.3% 41.2% -17.9 26
1954-05-09 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1189 1229 66.1% 20.2% 13.7% +12.9 25
1954-05-09 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1229 1189 13.7% 20.2% 66.1% -12.9 19
1954-05-16 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1342 1292 71.5% 19.9% 8.6% -32.0 31
1954-05-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1292 1342 8.6% 19.9% 71.5% +32.0 28
1954-05-16 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1369 1202 76.1% 19.3% 4.6% +2.5 28
1954-05-16 @ Braga L 2-3 1202 1369 4.6% 19.3% 76.1% -2.5 25
1954-05-16 Barreirense W 6-4 1217 1265 65.5% 20.2% 14.3% +10.9 21
1954-05-16 @ Lusitano de Evora L 4-6 1265 1217 14.3% 20.2% 65.5% -10.9 22
1954-05-16 Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1517 1092 81.5% 17.3% 1.1% +1.5 36
1954-05-16 @ Porto L 1-4 1092 1517 1.1% 17.3% 81.5% -1.5 18
1954-05-16 Benfica W 3-2 1699 1447 78.4% 18.7% 2.9% +1.6 43
1954-05-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1447 1699 2.9% 18.7% 78.4% -1.6 32
1954-05-16 Boavista W 4-0 1364 1131 77.9% 18.9% 3.2% +7.0 28
1954-05-16 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-4 1131 1364 3.2% 18.9% 77.9% -7.0 19
1954-05-16 Oriental de Lisboa W 4-1 1166 1135 70.5% 20.0% 9.5% +13.0 18
1954-05-16 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-4 1135 1166 9.5% 20.0% 70.5% -13.0 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1954-01-03 2.21% Academica de Coimbra 1222 2 @ Benfica 1523 1
2 1954-01-10 8.41% Vitoria Guimaraes 1197 2 @ Lusitano de Evora 1251 1
3 1954-05-16 8.56% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1292 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1342 1
4 1953-11-08 9.99% Os Belenenses (1st) 1394 2 @ Porto 1415 0
5 1953-11-15 11.62% Braga 1213 4 @ Sporting Covilha 1205 2
6 1954-01-31 11.66% Barreirense 1263 1 @ Vitoria Setubal 1255 0
7 1954-01-03 15.65% Lusitano de Evora 1224 3 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1157 2
8 1954-02-28 16.16% Benfica 1409 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1336 1
9 1954-01-17 16.19% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1552 2 @ Benfica 1478 0
10 1954-03-28 16.54% Sporting Covilha 1274 3 @ Vitoria Setubal 1196 1
11 1953-10-25 17.36% Vitoria Setubal 1325 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1237 0
12 1954-02-07 20.57% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1293 2 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1170 1
13 1953-10-04 22.13% Porto 1372 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1234 0
14 1953-10-04 22.32% Benfica 1452 2 @ Lusitano de Evora 1312 0
15 1953-11-15 24.55% Porto 1352 6 @ Boavista 1191 0
16 1953-12-20 25.55% Os Belenenses (1st) 1495 1 @ Vitoria Setubal 1326 0
17 1954-05-09 28.36% Sporting Covilha 1324 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1131 1
18 1954-01-24 28.90% @ Oriental de Lisboa 1123 3 Os Belenenses (1st) 1483 0
19 1954-01-03 30.98% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1480 5 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1266 1
20 1953-11-01 32.27% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1484 3 @ Braga 1260 1
21 1954-01-17 33.46% Porto 1483 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1250 1
22 1954-02-21 34.06% Os Belenenses (1st) 1407 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1169 0
23 1953-12-06 34.58% Os Belenenses (1st) 1473 2 @ Lusitano de Evora 1232 1
24 1954-01-03 34.61% @ Sporting Covilha 1205 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1521 0
25 1954-04-25 36.24% @ Boavista 1099 2 Braga 1403 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1953-11-15 135.66 Porto 6 1352 24.55% @ Boavista 0 1191 55.06% 20.39%
2 1954-01-03 68.88 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5 1480 30.98% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1266 48.63% 20.39%
3 1954-01-24 65.84 @ Oriental de Lisboa 3 1123 28.90% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1483 50.98% 20.12%
4 1954-03-28 64.82 @ Braga 7 1338 60.36% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1447 19.29% 20.34%
5 1953-11-08 62.49 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1394 9.99% @ Porto 0 1415 70.00% 20.01%
6 1954-01-17 56.34 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1552 16.19% @ Benfica 0 1478 63.53% 20.28%
7 1953-10-25 55.24 Vitoria Setubal 2 1325 17.36% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1237 62.33% 20.31%
8 1953-10-04 50.93 Porto 2 1372 22.13% @ Sporting Covilha 0 1234 57.49% 20.38%
9 1954-01-31 50.83 @ Braga 5 1299 58.59% Benfica 0 1426 21.05% 20.36%
10 1953-10-04 50.77 Benfica 2 1452 22.32% @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1312 57.30% 20.38%
11 1954-03-28 48.51 Sporting Covilha 3 1274 16.54% @ Vitoria Setubal 1 1196 63.17% 20.29%
12 1953-11-15 47.10 Braga 4 1213 11.62% @ Sporting Covilha 2 1205 68.27% 20.11%
13 1953-12-13 41.67 @ Sporting Covilha 3 1167 50.34% Vitoria Setubal 0 1367 29.26% 20.39%
14 1954-01-03 40.78 @ Sporting Covilha 2 1205 34.61% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1521 45.15% 20.24%
15 1954-05-09 39.55 Sporting Covilha 3 1324 28.36% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1131 51.25% 20.40%
16 1954-05-09 37.64 @ Boavista 2 1093 38.73% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1380 40.97% 20.30%
17 1954-01-03 37.34 @ Barreirense 2 1227 39.13% Porto 0 1511 40.56% 20.31%
18 1953-11-01 36.85 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1484 32.27% @ Braga 1 1260 47.35% 20.38%
19 1954-01-03 35.55 Academica de Coimbra 2 1222 2.21% @ Benfica 1 1523 79.43% 18.36%
20 1953-11-01 34.04 Benfica 3 1492 36.48% @ Boavista 1 1237 43.16% 20.35%
21 1953-11-01 33.63 @ Sporting Covilha 4 1182 63.05% Lusitano de Evora 0 1261 16.66% 20.29%
22 1954-01-31 32.23 Barreirense 1 1263 11.66% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1255 68.23% 20.11%
23 1954-01-10 32.08 Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1197 8.41% @ Lusitano de Evora 1 1251 71.71% 19.88%
24 1954-05-16 32.00 Atletico Clube de Portugal 2 1292 8.56% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1342 71.54% 19.89%
25 1954-01-03 29.98 @ Boavista 3 1042 42.77% Vitoria Setubal 1 1300 36.88% 20.35%