1953-54 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

7.97 points above expected

43 points · 35.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Vitoria Setubal

6.70 points below expected

18 points · 24.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	26	20	3	3	43	80	25	+55	35.0	+7.97
2	Porto	26	16	4	6	36	83	35	+48	31.7	+4.28
3	Benfica	26	13	6	7	32	62	40	+22	32.0	-0.02
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	13	5	8	31	43	39	+4	30.6	+0.41
5	Braga	26	12	4	10	28	54	36	+18	26.0	+2.02
6	Atletico Clube de Portugal	26	10	8	8	28	49	43	+6	24.5	+3.50
7	Sporting Covilha	26	10	8	8	28	43	39	+4	23.4	+4.58
8	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	10	5	11	25	44	64	-20	23.9	+1.09
9	Barreirense	26	8	6	12	22	34	47	-13	25.1	-3.10
10	Lusitano de Evora	26	9	3	14	21	47	66	-19	24.6	-3.63
11	Boavista	26	7	5	14	19	29	66	-37	20.4	-1.40
12	Vitoria Setubal	26	7	4	15	18	51	66	-15	24.7	-6.70
13	Academica de Coimbra	26	8	2	16	18	29	50	-21	22.2	-4.21
14	Oriental de Lisboa	26	4	7	15	15	35	67	-32	19.8	-4.79

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1630	43	35.03	+7.97	99.0%	27	28	32	35	37	41	44
Porto	1482	36	31.72	+4.28	93.0%	23	26	29	32	34	37	39
Benfica	1446	32	32.02	-0.02	58.0%	24	25	30	32	35	38	40
Os Belenenses (1st)	1352	31	30.59	+0.41	57.0%	18	23	28	31	33	36	42
Braga	1337	28	25.98	+2.02	73.0%	17	20	24	26	29	32	36
Sporting Covilha	1318	28	23.42	+4.58	91.0%	12	18	21	23	25	29	33
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1296	28	24.50	+3.50	88.0%	15	19	22	25	26	30	33
Barreirense	1273	22	25.10	-3.10	25.0%	16	18	22	25	27	31	33
Lusitano de Evora	1245	21	24.63	-3.63	19.0%	15	19	22	24	27	30	33
Vitoria Setubal	1218	18	24.70	-6.70	4.0%	17	19	22	25	27	30	31
Vitoria Guimaraes	1215	25	23.91	+1.09	69.0%	15	18	21	24	26	29	32
Boavista	1144	19	20.40	-1.40	40.0%	10	15	18	20	23	24	30
Academica de Coimbra	1141	18	22.21	-4.21	16.0%	13	16	20	22	25	28	32
Oriental de Lisboa	1139	15	19.79	-4.79	15.0%	10	13	17	20	23	25	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BAR	BEN	BOA	BRA	LDE	ODL	OB(	POR	SCDP	SC	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 1.74	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 1.97	0-0-2 1.92	0-0-2 1.51	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.59
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0-1-1 3.19	—	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.25	1-1-0 3.05	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.18	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 1.78	1-1-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.89
Barreirense	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 2.98	—	0-1-1 1.98	1-0-1 3.46	0-1-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.99	0-1-1 3.41	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.03	0-1-1 1.37	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.83
Benfica	1-0-1 3.97	2-0-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.72	—	2-0-0 3.89	1-0-1 3.57	2-0-0 3.48	1-1-0 4.28	1-1-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.51	1-1-0 3.58	0-1-1 3.82	1-0-1 3.52
Boavista	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.24	0-0-2 1.82	—	1-0-1 2.01	0-2-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 1.69	0-0-2 2.12	0-0-2 0.91	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.20
Braga	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.64	1-0-1 2.14	1-0-1 3.69	—	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.63	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 1.88	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.81
Lusitano de Evora	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.23	0-2-0 3.31	1-0-1 2.78	—	2-0-0 3.20	0-0-2 2.11	1-0-1 2.24	0-1-1 1.48	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-1 2.72
Oriental de Lisboa	1-0-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.50	1-1-0 2.29	0-1-1 1.43	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 2.51	—	1-0-1 1.58	0-1-1 1.62	0-0-2 0.94	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.36
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-1-0 3.74	0-1-1 3.52	1-0-1 3.30	0-1-1 2.73	1-0-1 4.03	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 4.13	—	2-0-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 3.83	1-1-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.42
Porto	2-0-0 3.81	1-1-0 3.60	1-0-1 3.68	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 3.47	1-1-0 4.10	0-0-2 2.94	—	1-0-1 2.54	2-0-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.20
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.20	1-0-1 3.94	1-1-0 4.35	2-0-0 3.20	2-0-0 4.82	2-0-0 3.83	1-1-0 4.23	2-0-0 4.79	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 3.17	—	1-1-0 4.04	2-0-0 3.89	2-0-0 4.12
Sporting Covilha	2-0-0 3.10	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.13	1-1-0 3.34	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.69	1-1-0 3.04	1-1-0 1.88	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 1.68	—	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.48
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 1.89	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.59	2-0-0 2.69	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.21	0-0-2 1.89	0-0-2 1.83	1-0-1 2.89	—	1-1-0 2.58
Vitoria Setubal	2-0-0 3.12	0-1-1 2.81	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 2.18	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.98	1-1-0 3.34	0-0-2 2.29	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-2 1.59	0-0-2 3.22	0-1-1 3.12	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.40%	4.12%	5.77%	2.75%	1.10%	3.57%	21.70%
1	4.12%	6.59%	7.42%	5.77%	1.10%	2.47%	27.47%
2	5.77%	7.42%	6.04%	2.75%	0.55%	1.37%	23.90%
3	2.75%	5.77%	2.75%	2.20%	0.27%	0.82%	14.56%
4	1.10%	1.10%	0.55%	0.27%	—	0.55%	3.57%
5+	3.57%	2.47%	1.37%	0.82%	0.55%	—	8.79%
Total	21.70%	27.47%	23.90%	14.56%	3.57%	8.79%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	3.75
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.051
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	34.62%	23.08%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.021
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	34.62%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.137
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	38.46%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	26.92%	19.23%	—	7.69%	100%

Barreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.221
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	26.92%	3.85%	—	11.54%	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.210
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	11.54%	46.15%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	30.77%	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	19.23%	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	2.54
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	2.32
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.212
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	19.23%	42.31%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.283
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
Total	7.69%	23.08%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Lusitano de Evora — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	2.54
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.96
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.292
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	15.38%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	19.23%	100%

Oriental de Lisboa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.58
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.90
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.137
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	23.08%	30.77%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.279
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	11.54%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
Total	34.62%	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.19
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	2.94
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	4.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.076
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
2	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	34.62%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	34.62%	42.31%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.08
Mean allowed	0.96
StdDev scored	2.13
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.408
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	30.77%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	38.46%	19.23%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.234
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	15.38%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	23.08%
2	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
3	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	30.77%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	23.08%	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	2.37
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.406
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	26.92%	11.54%	34.62%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	2.54
StdDev scored	1.97
StdDev allowed	2.25
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.076
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	43	35.0	+7.97
2	Sporting Covilha	28	23.4	+4.58
3	Porto	36	31.7	+4.28
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	28	24.5	+3.50
5	Braga	28	26.0	+2.02

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Vitoria Setubal	18	24.7	-6.70
2	Oriental de Lisboa	15	19.8	-4.79
3	Academica de Coimbra	18	22.2	-4.21
4	Lusitano de Evora	21	24.6	-3.63
5	Barreirense	22	25.1	-3.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	5	Nov 8 – Dec 20	1 in 228
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	Dec 20 – Feb 7	1 in 83
3	Academica de Coimbra	2	Dec 20 – Jan 3	1 in 47
4	Barreirense	2	Jan 31 – Feb 7	1 in 13
5	Braga	2	Nov 15 – Dec 6	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	3	Jan 3 – Jan 17	1 in 290
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	May 9 – May 16	1 in 29
3	Boavista	5	Oct 25 – Dec 6	1 in 23
4	Vitoria Setubal	4	Dec 6 – Jan 3	1 in 21
5	Lusitano de Evora	3	Jan 10 – Jan 24	1 in 17

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sporting Covilha	8	Feb 28 – May 16	1 in 366
2	Atletico Clube de Portugal	8	Jan 3 – Feb 21	1 in 259
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	17	Dec 20 – May 16	1 in 81
4	Braga	6	Dec 20 – Jan 31	1 in 70
5	Vitoria Guimaraes	6	Oct 25 – Dec 13	1 in 30

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oriental de Lisboa	13	Oct 4 – Jan 17	1 in 945
2	Vitoria Setubal	9	Dec 6 – Feb 7	1 in 161
3	Barreirense	6	Nov 1 – Dec 20	1 in 74
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	May 2 – May 16	1 in 35
5	Boavista	7	Oct 25 – Dec 20	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sporting Clube de Portugal	56.00%	24.00%	7.00%	11.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Porto	17.00%	28.00%	21.00%	12.00%	14.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Benfica	15.00%	27.00%	21.00%	17.00%	11.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	10.00%	11.00%	28.00%	20.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Braga	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	12.00%	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	9.00%	13.00%	9.00%	18.00%	6.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	18.00%	11.00%	7.00%	15.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	1.00%	1.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%
Barreirense	—	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	16.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%	5.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Lusitano de Evora	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%
Boavista	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	12.00%	13.00%	16.00%	22.00%	25.00%
Vitoria Setubal	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	15.00%	14.00%	4.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	18.00%	13.00%	11.00%
Oriental de Lisboa	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	19.00%	33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Braga	98.0%	2.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	97.0%	3.0%
Vitoria Setubal	97.0%	3.0%
Barreirense	95.0%	5.0%
Sporting Covilha	95.0%	5.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	94.0%	6.0%
Lusitano de Evora	93.0%	7.0%
Academica de Coimbra	89.0%	11.0%
Boavista	75.0%	25.0%
Oriental de Lisboa	67.0%	33.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1953-10-04	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-2	1390	1184	82.0%	13.7%	4.3%	+2.7	3
1953-10-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1184	1390	4.3%	13.7%	82.0%	-2.7	0
1953-10-04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1239	1235	72.7%	14.9%	12.4%	-4.0	1
1953-10-04	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1235	1239	12.4%	14.9%	72.7%	+4.0	1
1953-10-04	Barreirense	W 2-0	1237	1319	66.0%	15.2%	18.8%	+10.5	3
1953-10-04	@ Braga	L 0-2	1319	1237	18.8%	15.2%	66.0%	-10.5	0
1953-10-04	Benfica	L 0-2	1308	1449	60.1%	15.3%	24.7%	-29.7	0
1953-10-04	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1449	1308	24.7%	15.3%	60.1%	+29.7	3
1953-10-04	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1468	1244	82.5%	13.6%	3.9%	+2.0	3
1953-10-04	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1244	1468	3.9%	13.6%	82.5%	-2.0	0
1953-10-04	Porto	L 0-2	1237	1372	60.8%	15.3%	24.0%	-30.0	0
1953-10-04	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1372	1237	24.0%	15.3%	60.8%	+30.0	3
1953-10-04	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1316	1238	77.0%	14.6%	8.4%	-3.4	1
1953-10-04	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1238	1316	8.4%	14.6%	77.0%	+3.4	1
1953-10-11	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1242	1278	69.9%	15.0%	15.1%	+4.3	3
1953-10-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1278	1242	15.1%	15.0%	69.9%	-4.3	0
1953-10-11	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1239	1207	74.5%	14.8%	10.7%	+5.4	4
1953-10-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1207	1239	10.7%	14.8%	74.5%	-5.4	0
1953-10-11	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1309	1313	72.2%	14.9%	12.8%	+3.5	3
1953-10-11	@ Barreirense	L 2-3	1313	1309	12.8%	14.9%	72.2%	-3.5	1
1953-10-11	Braga	W 2-1	1479	1248	82.7%	13.5%	3.8%	+1.1	6
1953-10-11	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1248	1479	3.8%	13.5%	82.7%	-1.1	3
1953-10-11	Boavista	D 0-0	1182	1235	68.5%	15.1%	16.4%	-3.8	1
1953-10-11	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1235	1182	16.4%	15.1%	68.5%	+3.8	2
1953-10-11	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1403	1470	67.4%	15.1%	17.5%	+5.2	6
1953-10-11	@ Porto	L 0-1	1470	1403	17.5%	15.1%	67.4%	-5.2	3
1953-10-11	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1242	1392	59.1%	15.3%	25.7%	-2.1	2
1953-10-11	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1392	1242	25.7%	15.3%	59.1%	+2.1	4
1953-10-18	Oriental de Lisboa	W 6-2	1245	1178	76.4%	14.6%	8.9%	+7.0	7
1953-10-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-6	1178	1245	8.9%	14.6%	76.4%	-7.0	1
1953-10-18	Barreirense	W 2-0	1394	1312	77.2%	14.5%	8.3%	+4.8	7
1953-10-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1312	1394	8.3%	14.5%	77.2%	-4.8	3
1953-10-18	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-3	1239	1240	72.4%	14.9%	12.6%	+3.4	5
1953-10-18	@ Boavista	L 3-4	1240	1239	12.6%	14.9%	72.4%	-3.4	2
1953-10-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1247	1246	72.5%	14.9%	12.5%	+7.2	6
1953-10-18	@ Braga	L 0-2	1246	1247	12.5%	14.9%	72.5%	-7.2	3
1953-10-18	Porto	W 2-0	1274	1408	60.9%	15.3%	23.9%	+13.1	3
1953-10-18	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-2	1408	1274	23.9%	15.3%	60.9%	-13.1	6
1953-10-18	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1202	1464	44.7%	15.2%	40.1%	-0.2	1
1953-10-18	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1464	1202	40.1%	15.2%	44.7%	+0.2	4
1953-10-18	Benfica	W 5-3	1309	1480	56.7%	15.3%	28.0%	+11.0	4
1953-10-18	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 3-5	1480	1309	28.0%	15.3%	56.7%	-11.0	6
1953-10-25	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1239	1321	66.1%	15.2%	18.8%	-32.6	3
1953-10-25	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1321	1239	18.8%	15.2%	66.1%	+32.6	7
1953-10-25	Boavista	W 1-0	1307	1242	76.4%	14.6%	9.0%	+2.8	6
1953-10-25	@ Barreirense	L 0-1	1242	1307	9.0%	14.6%	76.4%	-2.8	5
1953-10-25	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1469	1399	76.6%	14.6%	8.8%	+5.1	9
1953-10-25	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1399	1469	8.8%	14.6%	76.6%	-5.1	7
1953-10-25	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1171	1202	70.3%	15.0%	14.7%	-3.6	2
1953-10-25	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1202	1171	14.7%	15.0%	70.3%	+3.6	2
1953-10-25	Braga	W 1-0	1395	1254	79.8%	14.2%	6.1%	+1.9	9
1953-10-25	@ Porto	L 0-1	1254	1395	6.1%	14.2%	79.8%	-1.9	6
1953-10-25	Lusitano de Evora	W 9-0	1465	1287	81.1%	13.9%	5.0%	+11.9	7
1953-10-25	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-9	1287	1465	5.0%	13.9%	81.1%	-11.9	3
1953-10-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1236	1252	71.4%	15.0%	13.6%	+3.9	5
1953-10-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1252	1236	13.6%	15.0%	71.4%	-3.9	7
1953-11-01	Barreirense	W 3-0	1248	1310	67.8%	15.1%	17.1%	+14.0	10
1953-11-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1310	1248	17.1%	15.1%	67.8%	-14.0	6
1953-11-01	Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1394	1206	81.4%	13.9%	4.7%	-3.2	8
1953-11-01	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 3-3	1206	1394	4.7%	13.9%	81.4%	+3.2	4
1953-11-01	Benfica	L 1-3	1239	1474	48.5%	15.3%	36.2%	-21.0	5
1953-11-01	@ Boavista	W 3-1	1474	1239	36.2%	15.3%	48.5%	+21.0	12
1953-11-01	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1252	1476	49.9%	15.3%	34.8%	-21.6	6
1953-11-01	@ Braga	W 3-1	1476	1252	34.8%	15.3%	49.9%	+21.6	10
1953-11-01	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1167	1240	66.9%	15.2%	18.0%	-2.3	3
1953-11-01	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 2-2	1240	1167	18.0%	15.2%	66.9%	+2.3	6
1953-11-01	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1205	1275	67.2%	15.1%	17.7%	+18.9	5
1953-11-01	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-4	1275	1205	17.7%	15.1%	67.2%	-18.9	3
1953-11-01	Porto	D 1-1	1353	1397	69.3%	15.1%	15.6%	-3.5	8
1953-11-01	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1397	1353	15.6%	15.1%	69.3%	+3.5	10
1953-11-08	Boavista	W 3-1	1209	1218	71.9%	14.9%	13.2%	+6.5	7
1953-11-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1218	1209	13.2%	14.9%	71.9%	-6.5	5
1953-11-08	Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1296	1165	79.4%	14.2%	6.4%	-4.9	7
1953-11-08	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1165	1296	6.4%	14.2%	79.4%	+4.9	4
1953-11-08	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1495	1262	82.8%	13.5%	3.7%	+2.1	15
1953-11-08	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1262	1495	3.7%	13.5%	82.8%	-2.1	10
1953-11-08	Braga	W 3-1	1256	1230	74.1%	14.8%	11.1%	+5.5	6
1953-11-08	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1230	1256	11.1%	14.8%	74.1%	-5.5	6
1953-11-08	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1400	1391	73.1%	14.9%	12.0%	-36.2	10
1953-11-08	@ Porto	W 2-0	1391	1400	12.0%	14.9%	73.1%	+36.2	11
1953-11-08	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1498	1350	80.0%	14.1%	5.8%	+1.7	13
1953-11-08	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1350	1498	5.8%	14.1%	80.0%	-1.7	8
1953-11-08	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1242	1224	73.7%	14.8%	11.5%	+6.6	9
1953-11-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1224	1242	11.5%	14.8%	73.7%	-6.6	5
1953-11-15	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1260	1216	75.2%	14.7%	10.1%	-4.3	11
1953-11-15	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1216	1260	10.1%	14.7%	75.2%	+4.3	8
1953-11-15	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1427	1500	66.9%	15.2%	18.0%	+10.1	14
1953-11-15	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1500	1427	18.0%	15.2%	66.9%	-10.1	13
1953-11-15	Porto	L 0-6	1212	1364	58.9%	15.3%	25.8%	-80.8	5
1953-11-15	@ Boavista	W 6-0	1364	1212	25.8%	15.3%	58.9%	+80.8	13
1953-11-15	Benfica	D 0-0	1170	1497	35.6%	15.1%	49.3%	+0.9	5
1953-11-15	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 0-0	1497	1170	49.3%	15.1%	35.6%	-0.9	16
1953-11-15	Braga	L 2-4	1218	1225	72.0%	14.9%	13.0%	-27.6	5
1953-11-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1225	1218	13.0%	14.9%	72.0%	+27.6	9
1953-11-15	Barreirense	W 3-0	1249	1291	69.4%	15.1%	15.5%	+12.8	12
1953-11-15	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1291	1249	15.5%	15.1%	69.4%	-12.8	7
1953-11-15	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-0	1348	1262	77.4%	14.5%	8.1%	+4.7	11
1953-11-15	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1262	1348	8.1%	14.5%	77.4%	-4.7	6
1953-12-06	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1220	1171	75.5%	14.7%	9.8%	+2.8	11
1953-12-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1171	1220	9.8%	14.7%	75.5%	-2.8	5
1953-12-06	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1279	1190	77.5%	14.5%	8.0%	-5.2	8
1953-12-06	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1190	1279	8.0%	14.5%	77.5%	+5.2	6
1953-12-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1496	1262	82.8%	13.5%	3.7%	-4.0	17
1953-12-06	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1262	1496	3.7%	13.5%	82.8%	+4.0	13
1953-12-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1252	1353	64.3%	15.2%	20.4%	+5.4	12
1953-12-06	@ Braga	L 2-3	1353	1252	20.4%	15.2%	64.3%	-5.4	11
1953-12-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1257	1437	55.6%	15.3%	29.1%	-13.8	6
1953-12-06	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1437	1257	29.1%	15.3%	55.6%	+13.8	17
1953-12-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1445	1255	81.5%	13.9%	4.7%	+4.0	16
1953-12-06	@ Porto	L 0-3	1255	1445	4.7%	13.9%	81.5%	-4.0	11
1953-12-06	Boavista	W 2-1	1490	1131	85.7%	12.4%	1.9%	+0.5	16
1953-12-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1131	1490	1.9%	12.4%	85.7%	-0.5	5
1953-12-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1251	1490	48.0%	15.3%	36.8%	+16.5	14
1953-12-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1490	1251	36.8%	15.3%	48.0%	-16.5	16
1953-12-13	Benfica	D 1-1	1273	1492	50.6%	15.3%	34.1%	-1.0	9
1953-12-13	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1492	1273	34.1%	15.3%	50.6%	+1.0	18
1953-12-13	Braga	W 2-1	1451	1258	81.6%	13.8%	4.6%	+1.3	20
1953-12-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1258	1451	4.6%	13.8%	81.6%	-1.3	12
1953-12-13	Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1130	1243	63.1%	15.2%	21.7%	-2.6	6
1953-12-13	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1243	1130	21.7%	15.2%	63.1%	+2.6	7
1953-12-13	Porto	D 1-1	1168	1449	42.1%	15.2%	42.7%	+0.0	6
1953-12-13	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 1-1	1449	1168	42.7%	15.2%	42.1%	-0.0	17
1953-12-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1195	1347	58.9%	15.3%	25.8%	+20.4	9
1953-12-13	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1347	1195	25.8%	15.3%	58.9%	-20.4	11
1953-12-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1266	1223	75.1%	14.7%	10.1%	+3.1	16
1953-12-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1223	1266	10.1%	14.7%	75.1%	-3.1	11
1953-12-20	Barreirense	W 2-0	1220	1272	68.6%	15.1%	16.3%	+9.2	14
1953-12-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1272	1220	16.3%	15.1%	68.6%	-9.2	9
1953-12-20	Sporting Covilha	W 5-1	1493	1216	83.9%	13.2%	2.9%	+2.7	21
1953-12-20	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1216	1493	2.9%	13.2%	83.9%	-2.7	9
1953-12-20	Boavista	W 5-0	1257	1128	79.3%	14.3%	6.5%	+8.8	15
1953-12-20	@ Braga	L 0-5	1128	1257	6.5%	14.3%	79.3%	-8.8	6
1953-12-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1246	1268	71.0%	15.0%	14.1%	+4.0	10
1953-12-20	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-2	1268	1246	14.1%	15.0%	71.0%	-4.0	14
1953-12-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 10-0	1449	1269	81.1%	13.9%	4.9%	+13.0	20
1953-12-20	@ Porto	L 0-10	1269	1449	4.9%	13.9%	81.1%	-13.0	16
1953-12-20	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1474	1168	84.6%	12.9%	2.5%	+0.7	19
1953-12-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1168	1474	2.5%	12.9%	84.6%	-0.7	6
1953-12-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1327	1452	61.8%	15.2%	22.9%	-16.2	11
1953-12-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1452	1327	22.9%	15.2%	61.8%	+16.2	23
1954-01-03	Braga	D 2-2	1264	1265	72.4%	14.9%	12.7%	-2.9	15
1954-01-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1265	1264	12.7%	14.9%	72.4%	+2.9	16
1954-01-03	Porto	W 2-0	1263	1462	53.3%	15.3%	31.4%	+16.7	12
1954-01-03	@ Barreirense	L 0-2	1462	1263	31.4%	15.3%	53.3%	-16.7	20
1954-01-03	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1496	1229	83.7%	13.2%	3.1%	-20.7	21
1954-01-03	@ Benfica	W 2-1	1229	1496	3.1%	13.2%	83.7%	+20.7	17
1954-01-03	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1119	1311	54.1%	15.3%	30.6%	+14.1	9
1954-01-03	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1311	1119	30.6%	15.3%	54.1%	-14.1	11
1954-01-03	Lusitano de Evora	L 2-3	1167	1250	66.0%	15.2%	18.8%	-15.5	6
1954-01-03	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-2	1250	1167	18.8%	15.2%	66.0%	+15.5	13
1954-01-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1213	1468	45.7%	15.2%	39.1%	+20.1	12
1954-01-03	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1468	1213	39.1%	15.2%	45.7%	-20.1	23
1954-01-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1256	1474	50.7%	15.3%	34.0%	-40.0	16
1954-01-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1474	1256	34.0%	15.3%	50.7%	+40.0	22
1954-01-10	Boavista	W 2-1	1448	1133	84.8%	12.8%	2.4%	+0.7	26
1954-01-10	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1133	1448	2.4%	12.8%	84.8%	-0.7	9
1954-01-10	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1268	1152	78.8%	14.3%	6.9%	+3.5	19
1954-01-10	@ Braga	L 1-3	1152	1268	6.9%	14.3%	78.8%	-3.5	6
1954-01-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1265	1216	75.5%	14.7%	9.8%	-18.7	13
1954-01-10	@ Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1216	1265	9.8%	14.7%	75.5%	+18.7	19
1954-01-10	Benfica	W 5-3	1445	1475	70.3%	15.0%	14.6%	+6.1	23
1954-01-10	@ Porto	L 3-5	1475	1445	14.6%	15.0%	70.3%	-6.1	21
1954-01-10	Barreirense	W 2-0	1514	1280	82.8%	13.5%	3.7%	+2.1	25
1954-01-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1280	1514	3.7%	13.5%	82.8%	-2.1	12
1954-01-10	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1233	1250	71.4%	15.0%	13.7%	+4.1	15
1954-01-10	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1250	1233	13.7%	15.0%	71.4%	-4.1	17
1954-01-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1297	1261	74.7%	14.8%	10.5%	-3.2	12
1954-01-10	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1261	1297	10.5%	14.8%	74.7%	+3.2	16
1954-01-17	Porto	L 1-2	1246	1451	52.4%	15.3%	32.3%	-13.0	17
1954-01-17	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1451	1246	32.3%	15.3%	52.4%	+13.0	26
1954-01-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1264	1449	55.0%	15.3%	29.7%	-1.8	17
1954-01-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1449	1264	29.7%	15.3%	55.0%	+1.7	27
1954-01-17	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1278	1246	74.5%	14.8%	10.7%	+5.4	15
1954-01-17	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1246	1278	10.7%	14.8%	74.5%	-5.4	13
1954-01-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1469	1516	69.0%	15.1%	15.9%	-34.1	21
1954-01-17	@ Benfica	W 2-0	1516	1469	15.9%	15.1%	69.0%	+34.1	28
1954-01-17	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1132	1237	63.9%	15.2%	20.9%	-3.0	10
1954-01-17	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1237	1132	20.9%	15.2%	63.9%	+3.0	16
1954-01-17	Vitoria Setubal	D 3-3	1148	1293	59.7%	15.3%	25.1%	-1.3	7
1954-01-17	@ Oriental de Lisboa	D 3-3	1293	1148	25.1%	15.3%	59.7%	+1.3	13
1954-01-17	Braga	D 2-2	1235	1272	69.8%	15.0%	15.1%	-2.7	20
1954-01-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1272	1235	15.1%	15.0%	69.8%	+2.6	20
1954-01-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1233	1551	36.9%	15.1%	48.0%	-19.1	17
1954-01-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1551	1233	48.0%	15.1%	36.9%	+19.1	31
1954-01-24	Boavista	W 5-1	1262	1129	79.4%	14.2%	6.3%	+5.8	20
1954-01-24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1129	1262	6.3%	14.2%	79.4%	-5.8	10
1954-01-24	Braga	D 0-0	1283	1274	73.1%	14.9%	12.0%	-4.5	16
1954-01-24	@ Barreirense	D 0-0	1274	1283	12.0%	14.9%	73.1%	+4.5	21
1954-01-24	Lusitano de Evora	W 5-2	1435	1241	81.6%	13.8%	4.6%	+2.8	24
1954-01-24	@ Benfica	L 2-5	1241	1435	4.6%	13.8%	81.6%	-2.8	13
1954-01-24	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-0	1147	1451	38.9%	15.1%	46.0%	+33.6	10
1954-01-24	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-3	1451	1147	46.0%	15.1%	38.9%	-33.6	27
1954-01-24	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1464	1240	82.5%	13.6%	3.9%	+1.2	29
1954-01-24	@ Porto	L 0-1	1240	1464	3.9%	13.6%	82.5%	-1.2	16
1954-01-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1232	1295	67.8%	15.1%	17.1%	+8.4	23
1954-01-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1295	1232	17.1%	15.1%	67.8%	-8.4	13
1954-01-31	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-0	1417	1240	81.0%	13.9%	5.0%	+4.2	30
1954-01-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1240	1417	5.0%	13.9%	81.0%	-4.2	23
1954-01-31	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-1	1123	1180	68.2%	15.1%	16.7%	+8.2	13
1954-01-31	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1180	1123	16.7%	15.1%	68.2%	-8.2	10
1954-01-31	Benfica	W 5-0	1279	1438	58.1%	15.3%	26.6%	+33.7	24
1954-01-31	@ Braga	L 0-5	1438	1279	26.6%	15.3%	58.1%	-33.7	24
1954-01-31	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-0	1238	1213	74.1%	14.8%	11.1%	+9.3	16
1954-01-31	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 0-3	1213	1238	11.1%	14.8%	74.1%	-9.3	17
1954-01-31	Porto	W 2-1	1570	1465	78.2%	14.4%	7.3%	+2.1	34
1954-01-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1465	1570	7.3%	14.4%	78.2%	-2.1	29
1954-01-31	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1239	1268	70.4%	15.0%	14.5%	-4.1	17
1954-01-31	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1268	1239	14.5%	15.0%	70.4%	+4.1	21
1954-01-31	Barreirense	L 0-1	1286	1279	73.0%	14.9%	12.1%	-19.2	13
1954-01-31	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1279	1286	12.1%	14.9%	73.0%	+19.2	19
1954-02-07	Braga	W 3-2	1204	1313	63.5%	15.2%	21.2%	+5.6	20
1954-02-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1313	1204	21.2%	15.2%	63.5%	-5.6	24
1954-02-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1298	1421	62.0%	15.2%	22.8%	+6.3	22
1954-02-07	@ Barreirense	L 1-2	1421	1298	22.8%	15.2%	62.0%	-6.3	30
1954-02-07	Vitoria Setubal	W 9-0	1404	1267	79.6%	14.2%	6.2%	+14.8	27
1954-02-07	@ Benfica	L 0-9	1267	1404	6.2%	14.2%	79.6%	-14.8	13
1954-02-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1172	1272	64.4%	15.2%	20.4%	-15.9	10
1954-02-07	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1272	1172	20.4%	15.2%	64.4%	+15.9	24
1954-02-07	Lusitano de Evora	W 6-0	1463	1248	82.3%	13.7%	4.1%	+6.6	32
1954-02-07	@ Porto	L 0-6	1248	1463	4.1%	13.7%	82.3%	-6.6	16
1954-02-07	Sporting Covilha	W 7-0	1572	1235	85.2%	12.6%	2.1%	+3.9	37
1954-02-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1235	1572	2.1%	12.6%	85.2%	-3.9	17
1954-02-07	Boavista	W 3-0	1236	1132	78.2%	14.4%	7.3%	+6.2	26
1954-02-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1132	1236	7.3%	14.4%	78.2%	-6.2	13
1954-02-14	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1288	1242	75.3%	14.7%	10.0%	+9.1	27
1954-02-14	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1242	1288	10.0%	14.7%	75.3%	-9.1	26
1954-02-14	Benfica	D 1-1	1415	1419	72.2%	14.9%	12.8%	-3.9	31
1954-02-14	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1419	1415	12.8%	14.9%	72.2%	+3.9	28
1954-02-14	Barreirense	W 3-1	1125	1304	55.8%	15.3%	28.9%	+13.5	16
1954-02-14	@ Boavista	L 1-3	1304	1125	28.9%	15.3%	55.8%	-13.5	22
1954-02-14	Porto	W 3-1	1307	1470	57.7%	15.3%	27.1%	+12.7	27
1954-02-14	@ Braga	L 1-3	1470	1307	27.1%	15.3%	57.7%	-12.7	32
1954-02-14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1241	1576	34.7%	15.0%	50.3%	+0.6	17
1954-02-14	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 3-3	1576	1241	50.3%	15.0%	34.7%	-0.6	38
1954-02-14	Oriental de Lisboa	W 3-0	1231	1156	76.8%	14.6%	8.6%	+7.2	20
1954-02-14	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-3	1156	1231	8.6%	14.6%	76.8%	-7.2	10
1954-02-14	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-1	1252	1210	75.1%	14.7%	10.1%	+13.4	16
1954-02-14	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-7	1210	1252	10.1%	14.7%	75.1%	-13.4	20
1954-02-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1196	1411	51.2%	15.3%	33.5%	-13.5	20
1954-02-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1411	1196	33.5%	15.3%	51.2%	+13.5	34
1954-02-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1291	1297	72.0%	14.9%	13.0%	-2.9	23
1954-02-21	@ Barreirense	D 2-2	1297	1291	13.0%	14.9%	72.0%	+2.9	28
1954-02-21	Boavista	W 3-0	1423	1139	84.1%	13.1%	2.8%	+2.4	31
1954-02-21	@ Benfica	L 0-3	1139	1423	2.8%	13.1%	84.1%	-2.4	16
1954-02-21	Sporting Covilha	W 3-1	1242	1238	72.7%	14.9%	12.4%	+6.2	20
1954-02-21	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-3	1238	1242	12.4%	14.9%	72.7%	-6.2	20
1954-02-21	Vitoria Setubal	W 9-4	1457	1266	81.5%	13.8%	4.6%	+3.7	35
1954-02-21	@ Porto	L 4-9	1266	1457	4.6%	13.8%	81.5%	-3.7	16
1954-02-21	Braga	W 2-0	1575	1320	83.4%	13.3%	3.3%	+1.9	41
1954-02-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1320	1575	3.3%	13.3%	83.4%	-1.9	27
1954-02-21	Oriental de Lisboa	W 2-1	1233	1149	77.3%	14.5%	8.2%	+2.4	29
1954-02-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1149	1233	8.2%	14.5%	77.3%	-2.4	10
1954-02-28	Benfica	L 1-2	1300	1425	61.8%	15.2%	22.9%	-15.3	28
1954-02-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1425	1300	22.9%	15.2%	61.8%	+15.3	34
1954-02-28	Porto	W 5-2	1425	1461	69.9%	15.0%	15.0%	+9.1	37
1954-02-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1461	1425	15.0%	15.0%	69.9%	-9.1	35
1954-02-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1136	1183	69.1%	15.1%	15.8%	+4.8	19
1954-02-28	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1183	1136	15.8%	15.1%	69.1%	-4.8	20
1954-02-28	Lusitano de Evora	W 2-1	1318	1248	76.6%	14.6%	8.8%	+2.6	30
1954-02-28	@ Braga	L 1-2	1248	1318	8.8%	14.6%	76.6%	-2.5	20
1954-02-28	Barreirense	W 1-0	1147	1288	60.1%	15.3%	24.6%	+7.1	13
1954-02-28	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 0-1	1288	1147	24.6%	15.3%	60.1%	-7.1	23
1954-02-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1232	1236	72.3%	14.9%	12.8%	+11.6	23
1954-02-28	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-5	1236	1232	12.8%	14.9%	72.3%	-11.6	29
1954-02-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1262	1577	37.3%	15.1%	47.6%	-23.7	16
1954-02-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1577	1262	47.6%	15.1%	37.3%	+23.7	44
1954-03-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1178	1285	63.7%	15.2%	21.1%	+6.2	23
1954-03-07	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1285	1178	21.1%	15.2%	63.7%	-6.2	28
1954-03-07	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 6-3	1281	1224	75.9%	14.7%	9.4%	+5.4	26
1954-03-07	@ Barreirense	L 3-6	1224	1281	9.4%	14.7%	75.9%	-5.4	29
1954-03-07	Oriental de Lisboa	W 5-0	1441	1154	84.1%	13.1%	2.8%	+3.8	37
1954-03-07	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1154	1441	2.8%	13.1%	84.1%	-3.8	13
1954-03-07	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1320	1244	76.9%	14.6%	8.5%	-5.1	31
1954-03-07	@ Braga	D 0-0	1244	1320	8.5%	14.6%	76.9%	+5.1	24
1954-03-07	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1245	1239	72.9%	14.9%	12.2%	+8.6	23
1954-03-07	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 1-4	1239	1245	12.2%	14.9%	72.9%	-8.6	16
1954-03-07	Boavista	W 9-1	1452	1141	84.7%	12.9%	2.5%	+4.2	38
1954-03-07	@ Porto	L 1-9	1141	1452	2.5%	12.9%	84.7%	-4.2	19
1954-03-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	1601	1434	80.7%	14.0%	5.3%	+5.8	47
1954-03-07	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1434	1601	5.3%	14.0%	80.7%	-5.8	37
1954-03-21	Porto	D 3-3	1279	1456	56.0%	15.3%	28.8%	-1.0	29
1954-03-21	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 3-3	1456	1279	28.8%	15.3%	56.0%	+1.0	39
1954-03-21	Lusitano de Evora	W 4-0	1428	1254	81.0%	14.0%	5.1%	+5.6	40
1954-03-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-4	1254	1428	5.1%	14.0%	81.0%	-5.6	23
1954-03-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1137	1607	19.6%	14.4%	66.0%	-9.3	19
1954-03-21	@ Boavista	W 3-1	1607	1137	66.0%	14.4%	19.6%	+9.3	50
1954-03-21	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1150	1184	70.1%	15.0%	14.9%	+4.0	16
1954-03-21	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 2-3	1184	1150	14.9%	15.0%	70.1%	-4.0	23
1954-03-21	Barreirense	W 3-2	1249	1286	69.8%	15.0%	15.1%	+4.1	27
1954-03-21	@ Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1286	1249	15.1%	15.0%	69.8%	-4.1	26
1954-03-21	Benfica	W 2-1	1219	1444	49.8%	15.3%	35.0%	+9.1	32
1954-03-21	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1444	1219	35.0%	15.3%	49.8%	-9.1	37
1954-03-21	Braga	W 1-0	1230	1315	65.7%	15.2%	19.1%	+5.6	19
1954-03-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1315	1230	19.1%	15.2%	65.7%	-5.7	31
1954-03-28	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1180	1228	69.0%	15.1%	15.9%	+4.8	26
1954-03-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1228	1180	15.9%	15.1%	69.0%	-4.8	32
1954-03-28	Barreirense	W 2-1	1435	1282	80.2%	14.1%	5.7%	+1.7	40
1954-03-28	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1282	1435	5.7%	14.1%	80.2%	-1.6	26
1954-03-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 7-0	1310	1434	62.0%	15.2%	22.8%	+40.4	34
1954-03-28	@ Braga	L 0-7	1434	1310	22.8%	15.2%	62.0%	-40.3	40
1954-03-28	Boavista	D 1-1	1248	1128	78.9%	14.3%	6.8%	-4.8	24
1954-03-28	@ Lusitano de Evora	D 1-1	1128	1248	6.8%	14.3%	78.9%	+4.8	20
1954-03-28	Oriental de Lisboa	W 6-1	1457	1154	84.5%	12.9%	2.5%	+2.8	42
1954-03-28	@ Porto	L 1-6	1154	1457	2.5%	12.9%	84.5%	-2.8	16
1954-03-28	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 7-0	1616	1278	85.3%	12.6%	2.1%	+3.9	53
1954-03-28	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1278	1616	2.1%	12.6%	85.3%	-3.9	29
1954-03-28	Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1236	1253	71.3%	15.0%	13.7%	-30.6	19
1954-03-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1253	1236	13.7%	15.0%	71.3%	+30.6	30
1954-04-25	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-2	1274	1243	74.4%	14.8%	10.8%	+3.0	32
1954-04-25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1243	1274	10.8%	14.8%	74.4%	-3.0	24
1954-04-25	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1280	1185	77.8%	14.5%	7.7%	+3.9	29
1954-04-25	@ Barreirense	L 1-3	1185	1280	7.7%	14.5%	77.8%	-3.9	26
1954-04-25	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1393	1205	81.4%	13.9%	4.7%	+2.4	43
1954-04-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1205	1393	4.7%	13.9%	81.4%	-2.4	19
1954-04-25	Braga	W 2-1	1132	1350	50.8%	15.3%	33.9%	+8.9	23
1954-04-25	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1350	1132	33.9%	15.3%	50.8%	-8.9	34
1954-04-25	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1151	1620	19.7%	14.5%	65.9%	-8.4	16
1954-04-25	@ Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-2	1620	1151	65.9%	14.5%	19.7%	+8.4	56
1954-04-25	Benfica	D 2-2	1284	1437	58.8%	15.3%	26.0%	-1.5	31
1954-04-25	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1437	1284	26.0%	15.3%	58.8%	+1.5	41
1954-04-25	Porto	L 1-2	1223	1460	48.3%	15.3%	36.5%	-12.1	32
1954-04-25	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1460	1223	36.5%	15.3%	48.3%	+12.1	45
1954-05-02	Benfica	L 1-2	1181	1438	45.4%	15.2%	39.3%	-11.5	26
1954-05-02	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1438	1181	39.3%	15.2%	45.4%	+11.5	44
1954-05-02	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1396	1282	78.6%	14.4%	7.0%	-3.6	44
1954-05-02	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1282	1396	7.0%	14.4%	78.6%	+3.6	32
1954-05-02	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1341	1277	76.3%	14.6%	9.1%	+2.5	37
1954-05-02	@ Braga	L 2-3	1277	1341	9.1%	14.6%	76.3%	-2.5	32
1954-05-02	Oriental de Lisboa	W 6-2	1240	1143	77.9%	14.4%	7.6%	+6.0	27
1954-05-02	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 2-6	1143	1240	7.6%	14.4%	77.9%	-6.0	16
1954-05-02	Barreirense	W 5-0	1472	1284	81.4%	13.9%	4.7%	+6.4	48
1954-05-02	@ Porto	L 0-5	1284	1472	4.7%	13.9%	81.4%	-6.4	29
1954-05-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-0	1628	1211	86.8%	11.9%	1.4%	+1.8	59
1954-05-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1211	1628	1.4%	11.9%	86.8%	-1.8	32
1954-05-02	Boavista	W 7-1	1203	1141	76.1%	14.6%	9.2%	+12.2	22
1954-05-02	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-7	1141	1203	9.2%	14.6%	76.1%	-12.2	23
1954-05-09	Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1170	1286	62.8%	15.2%	22.0%	-26.8	26
1954-05-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1286	1170	22.0%	15.2%	62.8%	+26.8	35
1954-05-09	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1274	1215	76.0%	14.7%	9.3%	+2.9	35
1954-05-09	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1215	1274	9.3%	14.7%	76.0%	-2.9	22
1954-05-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1278	1630	32.4%	15.0%	52.6%	+1.2	30
1954-05-09	@ Barreirense	D 1-1	1630	1278	52.6%	15.0%	32.4%	-1.2	60
1954-05-09	Porto	D 2-2	1450	1478	70.5%	15.0%	14.5%	-2.7	45
1954-05-09	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1478	1450	14.5%	15.0%	70.5%	+2.7	49
1954-05-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1129	1392	44.6%	15.2%	40.1%	+20.6	26
1954-05-09	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1392	1129	40.1%	15.2%	44.6%	-20.6	44
1954-05-09	Braga	W 2-1	1137	1344	52.3%	15.3%	32.4%	+8.6	19
1954-05-09	@ Oriental de Lisboa	L 1-2	1344	1137	32.4%	15.3%	52.3%	-8.6	37
1954-05-09	Lusitano de Evora	W 3-1	1209	1246	69.8%	15.0%	15.1%	+7.4	35
1954-05-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1246	1209	15.1%	15.0%	69.8%	-7.5	27
1954-05-16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1371	1277	77.8%	14.5%	7.8%	-19.3	44
1954-05-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1277	1371	7.8%	14.5%	77.8%	+19.3	38
1954-05-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1335	1217	78.8%	14.3%	6.8%	+1.9	40
1954-05-16	@ Braga	L 2-3	1217	1335	6.8%	14.3%	78.8%	-1.9	35
1954-05-16	Barreirense	W 6-4	1239	1279	69.6%	15.1%	15.3%	+6.2	30
1954-05-16	@ Lusitano de Evora	L 4-6	1279	1239	15.3%	15.1%	69.6%	-6.2	30
1954-05-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1481	1143	85.3%	12.6%	2.1%	+1.5	52
1954-05-16	@ Porto	L 1-4	1143	1481	2.1%	12.6%	85.3%	-1.5	26
1954-05-16	Benfica	W 3-2	1629	1447	81.2%	13.9%	4.9%	+1.4	63
1954-05-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1447	1629	4.9%	13.9%	81.2%	-1.3	45
1954-05-16	Boavista	W 4-0	1312	1150	80.6%	14.0%	5.4%	+6.0	38
1954-05-16	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-4	1150	1312	5.4%	14.0%	80.6%	-6.0	26
1954-05-16	Oriental de Lisboa	W 4-1	1212	1146	76.4%	14.6%	9.0%	+6.4	25
1954-05-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-4	1146	1212	9.0%	14.6%	76.4%	-6.4	19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1954-01-03	3.09%	Academica de Coimbra	1229	2	@ Benfica	1496	1
2	1954-05-16	7.75%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1277	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1371	1
3	1954-01-10	9.79%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1216	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1265	1
4	1953-11-08	12.01%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1391	2	@ Porto	1400	0
5	1954-01-31	12.09%	Barreirense	1279	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1286	0
6	1953-11-15	13.04%	Braga	1225	4	@ Sporting Covilha	1218	2
7	1954-03-28	13.72%	Sporting Covilha	1253	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1236	1
8	1954-01-17	15.89%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1516	2	@ Benfica	1469	0
9	1953-10-25	18.76%	Vitoria Setubal	1321	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1239	0
10	1954-01-03	18.83%	Lusitano de Evora	1250	3	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1167	2
11	1954-02-07	20.43%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1272	2	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1172	1
12	1954-05-09	21.99%	Sporting Covilha	1286	3	@ Academica de Coimbra	1170	1
13	1954-02-28	22.92%	Benfica	1425	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1300	1
14	1953-12-20	22.95%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1452	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1327	0
15	1953-10-04	23.97%	Porto	1372	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1237	0
16	1953-10-04	24.68%	Benfica	1449	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1308	0
17	1953-11-15	25.84%	Porto	1364	6	@ Boavista	1212	0
18	1953-12-06	29.14%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1437	2	@ Lusitano de Evora	1257	1
19	1954-01-17	32.29%	Porto	1451	2	@ Academica de Coimbra	1246	1
20	1954-02-21	33.53%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1411	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1196	0
21	1954-01-03	34.00%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1474	5	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1256	1
22	1953-11-01	34.82%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1476	3	@ Braga	1252	1
23	1953-11-01	36.23%	Benfica	1474	3	@ Boavista	1239	1
24	1954-04-25	36.47%	Porto	1460	2	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1223	1
25	1954-01-24	38.87%	@ Oriental de Lisboa	1147	3	Os Belenenses (1st)	1451	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-11-15	80.82	Porto	6	1364	25.84%	@ Boavista	0	1212	58.89%
2	1954-03-28	40.35	@ Braga	7	1310	61.95%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1434	22.81%
3	1954-01-03	39.96	Sporting Clube de Portugal	5	1474	34.00%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1256	50.73%
4	1953-11-08	36.23	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1391	12.01%	@ Porto	0	1400	73.11%
5	1954-01-17	34.14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1516	15.89%	@ Benfica	0	1469	69.03%
6	1954-01-31	33.74	@ Braga	5	1279	58.08%	Benfica	0	1438	26.64%
7	1954-01-24	33.59	@ Oriental de Lisboa	3	1147	38.87%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1451	46.00%
8	1953-10-25	32.63	Vitoria Setubal	2	1321	18.76%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1239	66.07%
9	1954-03-28	30.56	Sporting Covilha	3	1253	13.72%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1236	71.29%
10	1953-10-04	30.01	Porto	2	1372	23.97%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1237	60.77%
11	1953-10-04	29.66	Benfica	2	1449	24.68%	@ Lusitano de Evora	0	1308	60.05%
12	1953-11-15	27.63	Braga	4	1225	13.04%	@ Sporting Covilha	2	1218	72.02%
13	1954-05-09	26.84	Sporting Covilha	3	1286	21.99%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1	1170	62.77%
14	1954-02-28	23.68	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1577	47.56%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1262	37.34%
15	1953-11-01	21.57	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1476	34.82%	@ Braga	1	1252	49.92%
16	1953-11-01	21.02	Benfica	3	1474	36.23%	@ Boavista	1	1239	48.51%
17	1954-01-03	20.67	Academica de Coimbra	2	1229	3.09%	@ Benfica	1	1496	83.66%
18	1954-05-09	20.59	@ Boavista	2	1129	44.65%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1392	40.13%
19	1953-12-13	20.38	@ Sporting Covilha	3	1195	58.90%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1347	25.83%
20	1954-01-03	20.12	@ Sporting Covilha	2	1213	45.70%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1468	39.07%
21	1954-05-16	19.31	Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1277	7.75%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1371	77.78%
22	1954-01-31	19.19	Barreirense	1	1279	12.09%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1286	73.02%
23	1954-01-24	19.14	Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1551	47.98%	@ Academica de Coimbra	0	1233	36.92%
24	1953-11-01	18.88	@ Sporting Covilha	4	1205	67.16%	Lusitano de Evora	0	1275	17.69%
25	1954-01-10	18.73	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1216	9.79%	@ Lusitano de Evora	1	1265	75.50%