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1952-53 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

5.26 points above expected

43 points · 37.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lusitano de Evora

5.49 points below expected

25 points · 30.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 19 5 2 43 77 22 +55 37.74 +5.26
2 Benfica 26 17 5 4 39 75 27 +48 36.59 +2.41
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 15 6 5 36 60 29 +31 31.71 +4.29
4 Porto 26 16 4 6 36 58 35 +23 31.39 +4.61
5 Barreirense 26 10 8 8 28 44 40 +4 25.58 +2.42
6 Vitoria Setubal 26 11 5 10 27 40 33 +7 26.83 +0.17
7 Lusitano de Evora 26 10 5 11 25 31 44 -13 30.49 -5.49
8 Sporting Covilha 26 7 6 13 20 38 54 -16 20.88 -0.88
9 Boavista 26 7 6 13 20 35 54 -19 20.54 -0.54
10 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 7 6 13 20 28 54 -26 18.58 +1.42
11 Academica de Coimbra 26 7 5 14 19 39 57 -18 21.43 -2.43
12 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 6 7 13 19 33 52 -19 23.28 -4.28
13 Braga 26 8 2 16 18 37 58 -21 19.53 -1.53
14 Estoril 26 5 4 17 14 28 64 -36 19.42 -5.42

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1572 43 37.74 +5.26 95.0% 22 32 35 38 40 43 50
Benfica 1534 39 36.59 +2.41 78.4% 22 31 34 37 39 43 48
Os Belenenses (1st) 1434 36 31.71 +4.29 89.3% 18 25 29 32 34 38 45
Porto 1405 36 31.39 +4.61 90.7% 15 25 29 31 34 38 45
Vitoria Setubal 1304 27 26.83 +0.17 56.6% 12 20 24 27 30 33 42
Barreirense 1301 28 25.58 +2.42 77.0% 11 19 23 26 28 32 41
Lusitano de Evora 1297 25 30.49 -5.49 10.6% 14 24 28 31 33 37 44
Academica de Coimbra 1181 19 21.43 -2.43 31.3% 8 15 19 21 24 28 37
Vitoria Guimaraes 1174 20 18.58 +1.42 69.2% 5 12 16 19 21 25 36
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1169 19 23.28 -4.28 16.7% 8 17 21 23 26 30 40
Boavista 1168 20 20.54 -0.54 49.9% 8 14 18 21 23 27 37
Braga 1162 18 19.53 -1.53 39.3% 7 13 17 20 22 26 34
Sporting Covilha 1162 20 20.88 -0.88 46.2% 6 14 18 21 23 27 36
Estoril 1118 14 19.42 -5.42 10.2% 6 13 17 19 22 26 35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BAR BEN BOA BRA EST LDE OB( POR SCDP SC VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
2-0-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.22
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
3.13
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
1.64
0-0-2
0.99
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
1.89
Atletico Clube de Portugal
0-0-2
3.02
 —
0-2-0
2.55
0-0-2
1.21
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.24
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
1.77
0-0-2
1.14
0-1-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.33
Barreirense
0-1-1
3.36
0-2-0
3.03
 —
0-1-1
1.57
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.51
1-0-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
1.35
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.56
1-1-0
2.60
Benfica
2-0-0
4.29
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
4.03
 —
1-1-0
4.62
1-1-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
3.37
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.38
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
4.61
1-1-0
4.68
1-0-1
3.84
Boavista
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
1.00
 —
0-0-2
3.06
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
1.77
1-0-1
1.54
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
0.92
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
3.06
0-0-2
2.02
Braga
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
1.95
0-1-1
0.98
2-0-0
2.51
 —
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
1.62
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.14
Estoril
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
2.70
2-0-0
2.71
 —
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
1.40
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
1.04
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
1.90
Lusitano de Evora
0-1-1
3.64
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
3.83
1-1-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.03
 —
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
3.87
1-1-0
4.25
0-1-1
3.33
Os Belenenses (1st)
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
4.07
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
4.20
2-0-0
2.96
 —
0-2-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
4.05
1-1-0
4.26
1-0-1
3.50
Porto
1-1-0
3.95
1-0-1
3.81
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
2.20
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.95
1-0-1
3.03
0-2-0
2.74
 —
0-1-1
2.02
2-0-0
4.05
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.31
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
2.94
0-2-0
4.71
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
4.60
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.56
 —
1-1-0
4.68
2-0-0
4.66
2-0-0
3.93
Sporting Covilha
2-0-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.30
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
1.01
0-1-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
0.94
 —
1-0-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.25
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
0.96
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.34
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
0.98
1-0-1
2.35
 —
0-1-1
2.01
Vitoria Setubal
0-1-1
3.69
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
1.75
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.45
0-1-1
3.68
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.67
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.58
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.88 +5.2
Allowed 0.93 -6.5
Differential 0.97 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.49%5.77%3.57%4.12%3.02%2.75%24.73%
15.77%8.79%6.04%4.67%2.47%2.20%29.95%
23.57%6.04%5.49%2.20%1.10%1.37%19.78%
34.12%4.67%2.20%0.55%0.27%0.27%12.09%
43.02%2.47%1.10%0.27%——6.87%
5+2.75%2.20%1.37%0.27%——6.59%
Total24.73%29.95%19.78%12.09%6.87%6.59%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.71 +0.00
SD 1.62 1.62 2.57
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
17.69%11.54%15.38%7.69%—3.85%46.15%
2——7.69%——11.54%19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%30.77%7.69%—19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.19 -0.69
SD 1.14 1.92 2.36
CV 0.76 0.88 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%42.31%
1—7.69%—7.69%——15.38%
23.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%——23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total11.54%30.77%26.92%19.23%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.00 -0.73
SD 1.34 1.52 2.13
CV 1.06 0.76 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
2—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
3—7.69%————7.69%
415.38%3.85%————19.23%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total26.92%38.46%19.23%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.54 +0.15
SD 1.64 1.90 2.92
CV 0.97 1.24 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
1—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
23.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
311.54%11.54%————23.08%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+7.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
Total34.62%34.62%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.88 1.04 +1.85
SD 2.01 0.96 2.26
CV 0.70 0.92 —
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
111.54%11.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%50.00%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%23.08%26.92%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.08 -0.73
SD 1.13 1.49 1.97
CV 0.84 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
17.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%11.54%3.85%11.54%—3.85%34.62%
3—————3.85%3.85%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%23.08%19.23%—15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.23 -0.81
SD 1.14 1.97 2.33
CV 0.80 0.88 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%38.46%
1———7.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
23.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%38.46%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%23.08%11.54%19.23%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.46 -1.38
SD 0.98 1.82 2.12
CV 0.91 0.74 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—7.69%7.69%3.85%34.62%
111.54%11.54%—7.69%7.69%—38.46%
27.69%—————7.69%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%3.85%15.38%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.69 -0.50
SD 1.30 1.85 2.61
CV 1.09 1.09 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
17.69%19.23%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
2—15.38%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4———————
5+7.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 1.12 +1.19
SD 1.64 0.99 2.04
CV 0.71 0.89 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.69%3.85%—11.54%
13.85%15.38%3.85%——3.85%26.92%
27.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total26.92%42.31%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.35 +0.88
SD 1.58 1.32 2.53
CV 0.71 0.98 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
111.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
27.69%—————7.69%
37.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+11.54%7.69%—3.85%——23.08%
Total46.15%30.77%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.96 0.85 +2.12
SD 2.22 0.97 2.45
CV 0.75 1.14 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%—3.85%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
13.85%3.85%7.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%42.31%
2—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%15.38%23.08%19.23%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.08 -0.62
SD 1.63 1.65 2.70
CV 1.12 0.79 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%15.38%7.69%50.00%
13.85%7.69%——3.85%3.85%19.23%
27.69%—7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%26.92%15.38%3.85%19.23%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.08 -1.00
SD 1.47 1.85 2.74
CV 1.36 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%3.85%7.69%——34.62%
17.69%—11.54%3.85%——23.08%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
43.85%——3.85%——7.69%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total30.77%26.92%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.61 1.08 1.97
CV 1.04 0.85 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 43 37.74 +5.26
2 Porto 36 31.39 +4.61
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 36 31.71 +4.29
4 Barreirense 28 25.58 +2.42
5 Benfica 39 36.59 +2.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lusitano de Evora 25 30.49 -5.49
2 Estoril 14 19.42 -5.42
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 19 23.28 -4.28
4 Academica de Coimbra 19 21.43 -2.43
5 Braga 18 19.53 -1.53

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barreirense 3 Feb 8 – Feb 22 1 in 38
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 Jan 11 – Feb 15 1 in 33
3 Boavista 3 Feb 15 – Mar 1 1 in 27
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 Mar 1 – Mar 15 1 in 26
5 Benfica 5 Nov 9 – Dec 28 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 7 Feb 22 – Apr 12 1 in 176
2 Braga 6 Oct 12 – Nov 30 1 in 80
3 Academica de Coimbra 5 Feb 1 – Mar 8 1 in 35
4 Sporting Covilha 5 Nov 9 – Dec 28 1 in 22
5 Porto 2 Dec 21 – Dec 28 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 6 Feb 15 – Mar 22 1 in 32
2 Sporting Covilha 5 Jan 25 – Feb 22 1 in 21
3 Boavista 4 Feb 15 – Mar 8 1 in 13
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 9 Feb 15 – Apr 19 1 in 13
5 Porto 6 Oct 19 – Dec 7 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 15 Jan 11 – Apr 26 1 in 1,026
2 Braga 10 Oct 12 – Jan 11 1 in 40
3 Estoril 7 Oct 19 – Dec 21 1 in 14
4 Boavista 7 Mar 8 – Apr 26 1 in 14
5 Sporting Covilha 8 Mar 1 – Apr 26 1 in 11

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal53.37%29.06%10.83%4.26%1.87%0.46%0.10%0.04%——0.01%———
Benfica34.75%37.40%16.36%7.16%2.74%1.17%0.31%0.07%0.03%0.01%————
Os Belenenses (1st)4.51%12.96%25.82%22.65%16.50%8.89%4.67%2.15%1.10%0.42%0.17%0.13%0.03%—
Porto4.07%10.71%22.07%24.50%18.38%10.58%4.99%2.43%1.22%0.62%0.25%0.11%0.05%0.02%
Barreirense0.17%0.76%3.00%6.73%11.06%17.76%18.58%14.24%10.19%7.18%4.75%2.76%2.09%0.73%
Vitoria Setubal0.40%1.68%5.04%9.63%16.00%20.63%17.09%11.56%7.24%4.66%2.94%1.89%0.89%0.35%
Lusitano de Evora2.69%7.13%15.31%20.39%21.67%14.34%9.12%4.84%2.43%1.04%0.59%0.27%0.11%0.07%
Sporting Covilha—0.02%0.18%0.66%1.53%3.89%7.01%10.31%13.58%14.13%13.63%13.22%12.01%9.83%
Boavista0.01%—0.13%0.53%1.50%3.28%6.11%9.53%11.70%13.56%13.99%14.04%13.82%11.80%
Vitoria Guimaraes—0.02%0.05%0.16%0.49%1.45%2.78%4.65%6.82%9.61%12.22%15.32%19.68%26.75%
Academica de Coimbra—0.11%0.37%0.86%2.29%4.74%8.25%11.52%13.30%14.08%13.79%12.32%10.66%7.71%
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.03%0.13%0.73%2.04%4.49%9.05%13.38%16.05%14.58%12.30%10.07%7.88%5.64%3.63%
Braga——0.08%0.23%0.82%1.87%4.15%6.70%9.61%11.93%14.41%15.84%16.92%17.44%
Estoril—0.02%0.03%0.20%0.66%1.89%3.46%5.91%8.20%10.46%13.18%16.22%18.10%21.67%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.32%
Strong Edge
55.49%20.33%24.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
130 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0112.60400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.12 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.86+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
53%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.09 * Some Luck: 3.09 to 4.64 * Lucky: 4.64 to 6.18 * Wild Swing: 6.18 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.39 * Close: 1.39 to 2.08 * Off: 2.08 to 2.78 * Way Off: 2.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.47 points
Some Luck
03.8610
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Close
01.744
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
95.01%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
10.18%
Estoril
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.79
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Frequent
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
32%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.29
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.091
Well Within Noise
00.1100.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Os Belenenses (1st) 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Porto 99.98% 0.02%
Lusitano de Evora 99.93% 0.07%
Vitoria Setubal 99.65% 0.35%
Barreirense 99.27% 0.73%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 96.37% 3.63%
Academica de Coimbra 92.29% 7.71%
Sporting Covilha 90.17% 9.83%
Boavista 88.20% 11.80%
Braga 82.56% 17.44%
Estoril 78.33% 21.67%
Vitoria Guimaraes 73.25% 26.75%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1952-09-28 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1213 1266 54.3% 21.5% 24.2% +5.3 2
1952-09-28 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1266 1213 24.2% 21.5% 54.3% -5.3 0
1952-09-28 Braga L 1-2 1194 1182 61.0% 21.2% 17.8% -12.1 0
1952-09-28 @ Boavista W 2-1 1182 1194 17.8% 21.2% 61.0% +12.1 2
1952-09-28 Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1188 1420 30.8% 21.2% 48.0% -7.1 0
1952-09-28 @ Estoril W 1-0 1420 1188 48.0% 21.2% 30.8% +7.1 2
1952-09-28 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1478 1361 69.0% 20.3% 10.7% -3.0 1
1952-09-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1361 1478 10.7% 20.3% 69.0% +3.0 1
1952-09-28 Barreirense L 1-3 1178 1237 53.5% 21.5% 25.0% -18.5 0
1952-09-28 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1237 1178 25.0% 21.5% 53.5% +18.5 2
1952-09-28 Porto L 0-1 1166 1366 34.9% 21.4% 43.7% -7.9 0
1952-09-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1366 1166 43.7% 21.4% 34.9% +7.9 2
1952-09-28 Benfica W 2-1 1275 1457 37.3% 21.4% 41.2% +8.5 2
1952-09-28 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1457 1275 41.2% 21.4% 37.3% -8.5 0
1952-10-05 Estoril W 4-2 1260 1181 66.4% 20.7% 12.9% +4.9 2
1952-10-05 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1181 1260 12.9% 20.7% 66.4% -4.9 0
1952-10-05 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1256 1158 67.8% 20.5% 11.7% +11.0 4
1952-10-05 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1158 1256 11.7% 20.5% 67.8% -11.0 0
1952-10-05 Academica de Coimbra W 5-2 1364 1218 70.8% 20.0% 9.2% +4.9 3
1952-10-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-5 1218 1364 9.2% 20.0% 70.8% -4.9 2
1952-10-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1449 1475 57.1% 21.4% 21.5% -10.8 0
1952-10-05 @ Benfica W 3-2 1475 1449 21.5% 21.4% 57.1% +10.8 3
1952-10-05 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1194 1283 49.9% 21.6% 28.5% +6.3 4
1952-10-05 @ Braga L 1-2 1283 1194 28.5% 21.6% 49.9% -6.4 2
1952-10-05 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1427 1160 76.7% 18.4% 5.0% +2.1 4
1952-10-05 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-3 1160 1427 5.0% 18.4% 76.7% -2.1 0
1952-10-05 Boavista W 4-2 1374 1182 73.2% 19.5% 7.3% +2.8 4
1952-10-05 @ Porto L 2-4 1182 1374 7.3% 19.5% 73.2% -2.8 0
1952-10-12 Estoril L 1-2 1213 1176 63.1% 21.0% 15.9% -12.5 2
1952-10-12 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1176 1213 15.9% 21.0% 63.1% +12.6 2
1952-10-12 Benfica L 1-2 1369 1438 52.4% 21.5% 26.1% -10.5 3
1952-10-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1438 1369 26.1% 21.5% 52.4% +10.5 2
1952-10-12 Barreirense D 0-0 1179 1267 50.2% 21.6% 28.3% -1.2 1
1952-10-12 @ Boavista D 0-0 1267 1179 28.3% 21.6% 50.2% +1.2 5
1952-10-12 Braga W 6-1 1486 1200 77.4% 18.1% 4.5% +4.3 5
1952-10-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1200 1486 4.5% 18.1% 77.4% -4.3 4
1952-10-12 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 7-0 1157 1265 47.6% 21.6% 30.9% +43.5 2
1952-10-12 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-7 1265 1157 30.9% 21.6% 47.6% -43.5 2
1952-10-12 Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1147 1429 24.8% 20.9% 54.3% +1.4 1
1952-10-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1429 1147 54.3% 20.9% 24.8% -1.4 5
1952-10-12 Porto W 3-0 1277 1376 48.6% 21.6% 29.8% +19.1 4
1952-10-12 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1376 1277 29.8% 21.6% 48.6% -19.1 4
1952-10-19 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-1 1222 1148 66.0% 20.7% 13.2% +8.0 4
1952-10-19 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1148 1222 13.2% 20.7% 66.0% -8.0 1
1952-10-19 Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1268 1296 57.0% 21.4% 21.6% -1.3 6
1952-10-19 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1296 1268 21.6% 21.4% 57.0% +1.3 5
1952-10-19 Academica de Coimbra W 7-2 1448 1201 75.8% 18.7% 5.5% +4.4 4
1952-10-19 @ Benfica L 2-7 1201 1448 5.5% 18.7% 75.8% -4.4 2
1952-10-19 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1196 1358 40.2% 21.5% 38.3% -8.8 4
1952-10-19 @ Braga W 1-0 1358 1196 38.3% 21.5% 40.2% +8.8 5
1952-10-19 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1189 1201 58.6% 21.3% 20.1% -1.4 3
1952-10-19 @ Estoril D 2-2 1201 1189 20.1% 21.3% 58.6% +1.4 3
1952-10-19 Boavista W 5-1 1428 1178 75.9% 18.7% 5.4% +4.3 7
1952-10-19 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-5 1178 1428 5.4% 18.7% 75.9% -4.3 1
1952-10-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1357 1490 44.3% 21.6% 34.2% -0.5 5
1952-10-19 @ Porto D 1-1 1490 1357 34.2% 21.6% 44.3% +0.5 6
1952-10-25 Braga W 8-2 1453 1187 76.6% 18.4% 5.0% +4.7 6
1952-10-25 @ Benfica L 2-8 1187 1453 5.0% 18.4% 76.6% -4.7 4
1952-10-26 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1196 1202 59.2% 21.3% 19.5% -12.5 2
1952-10-26 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1202 1196 19.5% 21.3% 59.2% +12.5 5
1952-10-26 Porto D 1-1 1367 1357 60.7% 21.2% 18.1% -2.1 6
1952-10-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1357 1367 18.1% 21.2% 60.7% +2.1 6
1952-10-26 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1174 1230 53.9% 21.5% 24.6% -10.8 1
1952-10-26 @ Boavista W 2-1 1230 1174 24.6% 21.5% 53.9% +10.8 6
1952-10-26 Barreirense W 9-0 1491 1267 74.8% 19.0% 6.2% +12.6 8
1952-10-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-9 1267 1491 6.2% 19.0% 74.8% -12.6 6
1952-10-26 Estoril W 3-0 1140 1187 54.9% 21.5% 23.6% +15.8 3
1952-10-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1187 1140 23.6% 21.5% 54.9% -15.8 3
1952-10-26 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1297 1432 44.0% 21.6% 34.5% +28.1 7
1952-10-26 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1432 1297 34.5% 21.6% 44.0% -28.1 7
1952-11-02 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1241 1325 50.5% 21.6% 28.0% +10.8 8
1952-11-02 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1325 1241 28.0% 21.6% 50.5% -10.8 7
1952-11-02 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1254 1365 47.2% 21.6% 31.3% -9.5 6
1952-11-02 @ Barreirense W 2-1 1365 1254 31.3% 21.6% 47.2% +9.6 8
1952-11-02 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1182 1184 59.6% 21.3% 19.1% -12.6 4
1952-11-02 @ Braga W 1-0 1184 1182 19.1% 21.3% 59.6% +12.6 4
1952-11-02 Boavista L 0-1 1172 1163 60.6% 21.2% 18.2% -12.8 3
1952-11-02 @ Estoril W 1-0 1163 1172 18.2% 21.2% 60.6% +12.8 3
1952-11-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1404 1503 48.7% 21.6% 29.7% +13.1 9
1952-11-02 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1503 1404 29.7% 21.6% 48.7% -13.1 8
1952-11-02 Benfica W 2-1 1359 1458 48.8% 21.6% 29.7% +6.5 8
1952-11-02 @ Porto L 1-2 1458 1359 29.7% 21.6% 48.8% -6.6 6
1952-11-02 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1215 1156 64.9% 20.9% 14.3% +13.2 7
1952-11-02 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-4 1156 1215 14.3% 20.9% 64.9% -13.2 3
1952-11-09 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1196 1143 64.5% 20.9% 14.6% +3.8 6
1952-11-09 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1143 1196 14.6% 20.9% 64.5% -3.8 3
1952-11-09 Lusitano de Evora W 3-0 1375 1417 55.4% 21.4% 23.2% +15.5 10
1952-11-09 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1417 1375 23.2% 21.4% 55.4% -15.5 9
1952-11-09 Barreirense W 3-0 1451 1244 74.0% 19.3% 6.8% +4.9 8
1952-11-09 @ Benfica L 0-3 1244 1451 6.8% 19.3% 74.0% -4.9 6
1952-11-09 Sporting Covilha W 4-1 1176 1228 54.3% 21.5% 24.2% +13.6 5
1952-11-09 @ Boavista L 1-4 1228 1176 24.2% 21.5% 54.3% -13.6 7
1952-11-09 Porto L 0-2 1170 1366 35.5% 21.4% 43.1% -15.1 4
1952-11-09 @ Braga W 2-0 1366 1170 43.1% 21.4% 35.5% +15.1 10
1952-11-09 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1490 1251 75.4% 18.8% 5.7% +2.9 10
1952-11-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1251 1490 5.7% 18.8% 75.4% -2.9 8
1952-11-09 Estoril D 0-0 1314 1159 71.3% 19.9% 8.8% -3.7 8
1952-11-09 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1159 1314 8.8% 19.9% 71.3% +3.7 4
1952-11-30 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1248 1390 43.1% 21.5% 35.4% -0.3 9
1952-11-30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1390 1248 35.4% 21.5% 43.1% +0.3 11
1952-11-30 Braga W 3-1 1240 1155 66.8% 20.6% 12.5% +5.3 8
1952-11-30 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1155 1240 12.5% 20.6% 66.8% -5.3 4
1952-11-30 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1163 1493 20.0% 20.4% 59.5% -8.0 4
1952-11-30 @ Estoril W 3-1 1493 1163 59.5% 20.4% 20.0% +8.0 12
1952-11-30 Benfica L 0-3 1402 1456 54.1% 21.5% 24.4% -31.4 9
1952-11-30 @ Lusitano de Evora W 3-0 1456 1402 24.4% 21.5% 54.1% +31.4 10
1952-11-30 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1381 1200 72.7% 19.6% 7.7% +1.9 12
1952-11-30 @ Porto L 1-2 1200 1381 7.7% 19.6% 72.7% -1.9 6
1952-11-30 Vitoria Setubal L 1-5 1215 1311 49.1% 21.6% 29.4% -31.2 7
1952-11-30 @ Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1311 1215 29.4% 21.6% 49.1% +31.2 10
1952-11-30 Boavista W 2-0 1139 1190 54.5% 21.5% 24.0% +11.0 5
1952-11-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1190 1139 24.0% 21.5% 54.5% -11.0 5
1952-12-07 Boavista L 1-3 1198 1179 61.6% 21.1% 17.3% -21.2 6
1952-12-07 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1179 1198 17.3% 21.1% 61.6% +21.2 7
1952-12-07 Estoril W 6-1 1390 1155 75.3% 18.9% 5.8% +5.6 13
1952-12-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-6 1155 1390 5.8% 18.9% 75.3% -5.6 4
1952-12-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1487 1248 75.5% 18.8% 5.7% +5.4 12
1952-12-07 @ Benfica L 0-4 1248 1487 5.7% 18.8% 75.5% -5.4 9
1952-12-07 Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1149 1370 32.1% 21.3% 46.6% +0.7 5
1952-12-07 @ Braga D 1-1 1370 1149 46.6% 21.3% 32.1% -0.7 10
1952-12-07 Barreirense W 4-0 1383 1245 70.3% 20.1% 9.6% +9.1 14
1952-12-07 @ Porto L 0-4 1245 1383 9.6% 20.1% 70.3% -9.1 8
1952-12-07 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1501 1183 78.6% 17.6% 3.8% +2.7 14
1952-12-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1183 1501 3.8% 17.6% 78.6% -2.7 7
1952-12-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1342 1150 73.3% 19.4% 7.3% +1.9 12
1952-12-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1150 1342 7.3% 19.4% 73.3% -1.9 5
1952-12-21 Braga W 2-0 1243 1150 67.4% 20.6% 12.0% +5.9 11
1952-12-21 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1150 1243 12.0% 20.6% 67.4% -5.9 5
1952-12-21 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1236 1177 64.9% 20.9% 14.3% -1.9 9
1952-12-21 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1177 1236 14.3% 20.9% 64.9% +1.9 7
1952-12-21 Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1200 1344 42.7% 21.5% 35.7% -8.3 7
1952-12-21 @ Boavista W 3-2 1344 1200 35.7% 21.5% 42.7% +8.3 14
1952-12-21 Benfica L 0-2 1149 1493 18.8% 20.3% 60.9% -8.8 4
1952-12-21 @ Estoril W 2-0 1493 1149 60.9% 20.3% 18.8% +8.8 14
1952-12-21 Porto W 3-0 1370 1392 57.6% 21.4% 21.1% +14.3 12
1952-12-21 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1392 1370 21.1% 21.4% 57.6% -14.3 14
1952-12-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1181 1396 32.9% 21.3% 45.8% -7.1 7
1952-12-21 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1396 1181 45.8% 21.3% 32.9% +7.1 15
1952-12-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1148 1504 17.8% 20.2% 62.0% -8.3 5
1952-12-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1504 1148 62.0% 20.2% 17.8% +8.3 16
1952-12-28 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1179 1352 38.6% 21.5% 39.9% +24.1 9
1952-12-28 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1352 1179 39.9% 21.5% 38.6% -24.1 14
1952-12-28 Lusitano de Evora W 4-1 1234 1384 41.9% 21.5% 36.6% +19.0 11
1952-12-28 @ Barreirense L 1-4 1384 1234 36.6% 21.5% 41.9% -19.0 12
1952-12-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-0 1403 1140 76.5% 18.5% 5.1% +5.9 17
1952-12-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-5 1140 1403 5.1% 18.5% 76.5% -5.9 5
1952-12-28 Sporting Covilha W 5-0 1502 1173 78.9% 17.4% 3.6% +4.2 16
1952-12-28 @ Benfica L 0-5 1173 1502 3.6% 17.4% 78.9% -4.2 7
1952-12-28 Estoril L 0-3 1144 1140 60.1% 21.2% 18.6% -34.7 5
1952-12-28 @ Braga W 3-0 1140 1144 18.6% 21.2% 60.1% +34.7 6
1952-12-28 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1377 1249 69.7% 20.2% 10.1% -13.2 14
1952-12-28 @ Porto W 3-2 1249 1377 10.1% 20.2% 69.7% +13.2 13
1952-12-28 Boavista D 3-3 1512 1191 78.7% 17.6% 3.8% -2.5 17
1952-12-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1191 1512 3.8% 17.6% 78.7% +2.5 8
1953-01-11 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1203 1365 40.2% 21.5% 38.2% +30.5 11
1953-01-11 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-4 1365 1203 38.2% 21.5% 40.2% -30.5 12
1953-01-11 Barreirense D 1-1 1262 1253 60.6% 21.2% 18.2% -2.1 14
1953-01-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1253 1262 18.2% 21.2% 60.6% +2.1 12
1953-01-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1194 1409 32.9% 21.3% 45.8% +9.3 10
1953-01-11 @ Boavista L 1-2 1409 1194 45.8% 21.3% 32.9% -9.3 17
1953-01-11 Porto L 2-3 1175 1364 36.4% 21.4% 42.2% -7.3 6
1953-01-11 @ Estoril W 3-2 1364 1175 42.2% 21.4% 36.4% +7.3 16
1953-01-11 Braga W 3-2 1169 1109 65.0% 20.8% 14.2% +3.3 9
1953-01-11 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1109 1169 14.2% 20.8% 65.0% -3.3 5
1953-01-11 Benfica D 0-0 1134 1506 16.5% 20.0% 63.5% +2.6 6
1953-01-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1506 1134 63.5% 20.0% 16.5% -2.6 17
1953-01-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1328 1510 37.5% 21.4% 41.1% -8.4 14
1953-01-11 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1510 1328 41.1% 21.4% 37.5% +8.4 19
1953-01-18 Estoril W 4-0 1255 1168 67.0% 20.6% 12.4% +11.6 14
1953-01-18 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1168 1255 12.4% 20.6% 67.0% -11.6 6
1953-01-18 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1400 1320 66.5% 20.7% 12.8% +3.2 19
1953-01-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1320 1400 12.8% 20.7% 66.5% -3.1 14
1953-01-18 Boavista W 4-1 1503 1203 77.9% 17.9% 4.2% +2.5 19
1953-01-18 @ Benfica L 1-4 1203 1503 4.2% 17.9% 77.9% -2.5 10
1953-01-18 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1106 1137 56.7% 21.4% 21.9% +19.3 7
1953-01-18 @ Braga L 0-4 1137 1106 21.9% 21.4% 56.7% -19.3 6
1953-01-18 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1335 1260 66.1% 20.7% 13.2% +3.4 14
1953-01-18 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1260 1335 13.2% 20.7% 66.1% -3.4 14
1953-01-18 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1372 1173 73.6% 19.4% 7.0% +3.0 18
1953-01-18 @ Porto L 1-3 1173 1372 7.0% 19.4% 73.6% -3.0 9
1953-01-18 Academica de Coimbra W 5-0 1518 1234 77.3% 18.1% 4.5% +5.2 21
1953-01-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1234 1518 4.5% 18.1% 77.3% -5.3 11
1953-01-25 Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1256 1228 62.3% 21.1% 16.6% -21.5 14
1953-01-25 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1228 1256 16.6% 21.1% 62.3% +21.5 13
1953-01-25 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1267 1170 67.7% 20.5% 11.8% -3.2 15
1953-01-25 @ Barreirense D 0-0 1170 1267 11.8% 20.5% 67.7% +3.2 10
1953-01-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1403 1523 46.0% 21.6% 32.5% -14.5 19
1953-01-25 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1523 1403 32.5% 21.6% 46.0% +14.5 23
1953-01-25 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1506 1317 73.1% 19.5% 7.4% +1.9 21
1953-01-25 @ Benfica L 1-2 1317 1506 7.4% 19.5% 73.1% -1.9 14
1953-01-25 Boavista W 2-1 1125 1201 51.6% 21.5% 26.8% +6.0 9
1953-01-25 @ Braga L 1-2 1201 1125 26.8% 21.5% 51.6% -6.0 10
1953-01-25 Estoril W 1-0 1338 1156 72.8% 19.6% 7.7% +2.0 16
1953-01-25 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-1 1156 1338 7.7% 19.6% 72.8% -2.0 6
1953-01-25 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-0 1375 1117 76.2% 18.6% 5.2% +7.2 20
1953-01-25 @ Porto L 0-6 1117 1375 5.2% 18.6% 76.2% -7.2 6
1953-02-01 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-5 1250 1388 43.5% 21.6% 35.0% -18.9 13
1953-02-01 @ Academica de Coimbra W 5-2 1388 1250 35.0% 21.6% 43.5% +18.9 21
1953-02-01 Porto L 1-3 1195 1382 36.7% 21.4% 41.9% -13.4 10
1953-02-01 @ Boavista W 3-1 1382 1195 41.9% 21.4% 36.7% +13.5 22
1953-02-01 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1154 1235 51.0% 21.5% 27.5% -1.2 7
1953-02-01 @ Estoril D 0-0 1235 1154 27.5% 21.5% 51.0% +1.2 15
1953-02-01 Benfica W 3-1 1538 1507 62.5% 21.1% 16.4% +6.8 25
1953-02-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1507 1538 16.4% 21.1% 62.5% -6.8 21
1953-02-01 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1173 1340 39.5% 21.5% 39.0% +14.1 12
1953-02-01 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1340 1173 39.0% 21.5% 39.5% -14.1 16
1953-02-01 Barreirense W 1-0 1110 1263 41.5% 21.5% 37.0% +8.3 8
1953-02-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1263 1110 37.0% 21.5% 41.5% -8.3 15
1953-02-01 Braga W 2-1 1315 1131 72.8% 19.6% 7.6% +1.9 16
1953-02-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1131 1315 7.6% 19.6% 72.8% -1.9 9
1953-02-08 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1236 1187 64.1% 20.9% 14.9% -1.9 16
1953-02-08 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1187 1236 14.9% 20.9% 64.1% +1.9 13
1953-02-08 Boavista W 4-0 1255 1181 66.0% 20.7% 13.2% +12.3 17
1953-02-08 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1181 1255 13.2% 20.7% 66.0% -12.3 10
1953-02-08 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1501 1407 67.4% 20.6% 12.0% +5.1 23
1953-02-08 @ Benfica L 1-3 1407 1501 12.0% 20.6% 67.4% -5.1 21
1953-02-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-5 1129 1544 13.4% 19.5% 67.1% -4.7 9
1953-02-08 @ Braga W 5-3 1544 1129 67.1% 19.5% 13.4% +4.7 27
1953-02-08 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1153 1231 51.3% 21.5% 27.2% +6.1 9
1953-02-08 @ Estoril L 1-2 1231 1153 27.2% 21.5% 51.3% -6.1 13
1953-02-08 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1326 1118 74.0% 19.2% 6.7% +4.9 18
1953-02-08 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1118 1326 6.7% 19.2% 74.0% -4.9 8
1953-02-08 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1395 1317 66.4% 20.7% 12.9% +9.2 24
1953-02-08 @ Porto L 0-3 1317 1395 12.9% 20.7% 66.4% -9.2 16
1953-02-15 Benfica L 1-3 1225 1506 25.0% 20.9% 54.1% -9.8 13
1953-02-15 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1506 1225 54.1% 20.9% 25.0% +9.8 25
1953-02-15 Braga W 2-1 1402 1125 77.0% 18.2% 4.7% +1.2 23
1953-02-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1125 1402 4.7% 18.2% 77.0% -1.2 9
1953-02-15 Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1169 1331 40.2% 21.5% 38.2% +8.5 12
1953-02-15 @ Boavista L 0-1 1331 1169 38.2% 21.5% 40.2% -8.5 18
1953-02-15 Porto W 5-1 1549 1404 70.7% 20.0% 9.3% +7.3 29
1953-02-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1404 1549 9.3% 20.0% 70.7% -7.3 24
1953-02-15 Estoril W 4-1 1189 1159 62.5% 21.1% 16.4% +9.7 15
1953-02-15 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-4 1159 1189 16.4% 21.1% 62.5% -9.7 9
1953-02-15 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1113 1234 45.9% 21.6% 32.6% -0.5 9
1953-02-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1234 1113 32.6% 21.6% 45.9% +0.5 17
1953-02-15 Barreirense L 0-1 1307 1267 63.4% 21.0% 15.6% -13.4 16
1953-02-15 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1267 1307 15.6% 21.0% 63.4% +13.4 19
1953-02-22 Boavista L 0-1 1235 1177 64.8% 20.9% 14.4% -13.7 17
1953-02-22 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1177 1235 14.4% 20.9% 64.8% +13.7 14
1953-02-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1281 1556 25.6% 20.9% 53.5% +10.6 21
1953-02-22 @ Barreirense L 1-2 1556 1281 53.5% 20.9% 25.6% -10.6 29
1953-02-22 Benfica D 2-2 1124 1515 15.0% 19.8% 65.3% +1.9 10
1953-02-22 @ Braga D 2-2 1515 1124 65.3% 19.8% 15.0% -1.9 26
1953-02-22 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1149 1113 63.0% 21.0% 15.9% -1.8 10
1953-02-22 @ Estoril D 2-2 1113 1149 15.9% 21.0% 63.0% +1.8 10
1953-02-22 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1322 1294 62.3% 21.1% 16.6% -2.6 19
1953-02-22 @ Lusitano de Evora D 0-0 1294 1322 16.6% 21.1% 62.3% +2.6 17
1953-02-22 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1397 1403 59.2% 21.3% 19.6% -2.0 25
1953-02-22 @ Porto D 1-1 1403 1397 19.6% 21.3% 59.2% +2.0 24
1953-02-22 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1198 1215 58.1% 21.3% 20.5% +4.8 17
1953-02-22 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1215 1198 20.5% 21.3% 58.1% -4.8 13
1953-03-01 Barreirense D 1-1 1405 1291 68.8% 20.4% 10.8% -3.0 25
1953-03-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1291 1405 10.8% 20.4% 68.8% +3.0 22
1953-03-01 Porto W 2-1 1514 1395 69.1% 20.3% 10.6% +2.6 28
1953-03-01 @ Benfica L 1-2 1395 1514 10.6% 20.3% 69.1% -2.6 25
1953-03-01 Estoril W 4-2 1191 1147 63.7% 21.0% 15.4% +5.8 16
1953-03-01 @ Boavista L 2-4 1147 1191 15.4% 21.0% 63.7% -5.8 10
1953-03-01 Lusitano de Evora W 7-0 1546 1320 74.9% 19.0% 6.1% +9.8 31
1953-03-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-7 1320 1546 6.1% 19.0% 74.9% -9.8 19
1953-03-01 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1115 1203 50.0% 21.6% 28.4% +12.7 12
1953-03-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1203 1115 28.4% 21.6% 50.0% -12.7 17
1953-03-01 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-3 1297 1221 66.2% 20.7% 13.1% +3.0 19
1953-03-01 @ Vitoria Setubal L 3-4 1221 1297 13.1% 20.7% 66.2% -3.0 17
1953-03-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1218 1556 19.4% 20.4% 60.3% -13.1 17
1953-03-08 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1556 1218 60.3% 20.4% 19.4% +13.1 33
1953-03-08 Benfica D 1-1 1294 1516 32.0% 21.3% 46.7% +0.7 23
1953-03-08 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1516 1294 46.7% 21.3% 32.0% -0.7 29
1953-03-08 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1142 1300 40.8% 21.5% 37.7% +15.9 12
1953-03-08 @ Estoril L 0-2 1300 1142 37.7% 21.5% 40.8% -15.9 19
1953-03-08 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1310 1402 49.5% 21.6% 28.9% -10.6 19
1953-03-08 @ Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1402 1310 28.9% 21.6% 49.5% +10.6 27
1953-03-08 Braga W 5-0 1393 1125 76.6% 18.4% 5.0% +5.8 27
1953-03-08 @ Porto L 0-5 1125 1393 5.0% 18.4% 76.6% -5.8 10
1953-03-08 Boavista D 1-1 1191 1197 59.2% 21.3% 19.6% -2.0 18
1953-03-08 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1197 1191 19.6% 21.3% 59.2% +2.0 17
1953-03-08 Academica de Coimbra W 6-1 1127 1210 50.7% 21.5% 27.7% +24.0 14
1953-03-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-6 1210 1127 27.7% 21.5% 50.7% -24.0 13
1953-03-15 Porto D 1-1 1186 1398 33.3% 21.3% 45.4% +0.6 14
1953-03-15 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1398 1186 45.4% 21.3% 33.3% -0.5 28
1953-03-15 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1413 1205 74.0% 19.2% 6.7% +2.9 29
1953-03-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1205 1413 6.7% 19.2% 74.0% -2.9 17
1953-03-15 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1516 1299 74.4% 19.1% 6.4% +2.8 31
1953-03-15 @ Benfica L 1-3 1299 1516 6.4% 19.1% 74.4% -2.8 19
1953-03-15 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1199 1151 64.0% 20.9% 15.1% -22.0 17
1953-03-15 @ Boavista W 3-1 1151 1199 15.1% 20.9% 64.0% +22.0 16
1953-03-15 Barreirense W 1-0 1120 1295 38.3% 21.5% 40.2% +8.8 12
1953-03-15 @ Braga L 0-1 1295 1120 40.2% 21.5% 38.3% -8.8 23
1953-03-15 Estoril W 3-1 1569 1157 81.6% 16.1% 2.4% +1.0 35
1953-03-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1157 1569 2.4% 16.1% 81.6% -1.0 12
1953-03-15 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1284 1189 67.6% 20.5% 11.9% +9.3 21
1953-03-15 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-5 1189 1284 11.9% 20.5% 67.6% -9.3 18
1953-03-22 Benfica L 0-3 1202 1518 21.3% 20.6% 58.1% -14.3 17
1953-03-22 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1518 1202 58.1% 20.6% 21.3% +14.3 33
1953-03-22 Porto W 4-0 1286 1398 47.1% 21.6% 31.3% +26.0 25
1953-03-22 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1398 1286 31.3% 21.6% 47.1% -26.0 28
1953-03-22 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1177 1187 58.8% 21.3% 19.9% -1.9 18
1953-03-22 @ Boavista D 1-1 1187 1177 19.9% 21.3% 58.8% +1.9 15
1953-03-22 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1156 1416 27.4% 21.1% 51.5% -17.7 12
1953-03-22 @ Estoril W 3-0 1416 1156 51.5% 21.1% 27.4% +17.7 31
1953-03-22 Braga W 3-2 1296 1129 72.0% 19.8% 8.2% +2.0 21
1953-03-22 @ Lusitano de Evora L 2-3 1129 1296 8.2% 19.8% 72.0% -2.0 12
1953-03-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1179 1570 15.1% 19.8% 65.1% +2.8 19
1953-03-22 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1570 1179 65.1% 19.8% 15.1% -2.8 36
1953-03-22 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1173 1293 46.1% 21.6% 32.4% -0.7 17
1953-03-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1293 1173 32.4% 21.6% 46.1% +0.7 22
1953-03-29 Barreirense W 4-1 1189 1312 45.5% 21.6% 32.9% +17.5 17
1953-03-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1312 1189 32.9% 21.6% 45.5% -17.5 25
1953-03-29 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1434 1182 76.0% 18.6% 5.4% +3.9 33
1953-03-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1182 1434 5.4% 18.6% 76.0% -3.9 19
1953-03-29 Estoril W 6-0 1533 1139 81.1% 16.4% 2.6% +3.4 35
1953-03-29 @ Benfica L 0-6 1139 1533 2.6% 16.4% 81.1% -3.4 12
1953-03-29 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1127 1188 53.3% 21.5% 25.2% +6.1 14
1953-03-29 @ Braga L 0-1 1188 1127 25.2% 21.5% 53.3% -6.1 17
1953-03-29 Lusitano de Evora W 4-1 1372 1298 66.0% 20.7% 13.3% +8.0 30
1953-03-29 @ Porto L 1-4 1298 1372 13.3% 20.7% 66.0% -8.0 21
1953-03-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1567 1173 81.1% 16.4% 2.6% +2.3 38
1953-03-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1173 1567 2.6% 16.4% 81.1% -2.3 17
1953-03-29 Boavista W 2-0 1294 1175 69.1% 20.3% 10.5% +5.2 24
1953-03-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1175 1294 10.5% 20.3% 69.1% -5.2 18
1953-04-05 Braga L 0-2 1206 1133 66.0% 20.7% 13.2% -26.3 17
1953-04-05 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1133 1206 13.2% 20.7% 66.0% +26.3 16
1953-04-12 Porto L 0-2 1182 1380 35.2% 21.4% 43.4% -15.0 17
1953-04-12 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1380 1182 43.4% 21.4% 35.2% +15.0 32
1953-04-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1170 1569 14.4% 19.7% 65.9% +2.6 19
1953-04-12 @ Boavista D 1-1 1569 1170 65.9% 19.7% 14.4% -2.6 39
1953-04-12 Braga W 2-1 1135 1159 57.4% 21.4% 21.2% +5.0 14
1953-04-12 @ Estoril L 1-2 1159 1135 21.2% 21.4% 57.4% -5.0 16
1953-04-12 Barreirense W 2-0 1290 1295 59.4% 21.3% 19.4% +9.1 23
1953-04-12 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1295 1290 19.4% 21.3% 59.4% -9.2 25
1953-04-12 Benfica D 0-0 1178 1536 17.6% 20.2% 62.2% +2.5 20
1953-04-12 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1536 1178 62.2% 20.2% 17.6% -2.5 36
1953-04-12 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1170 1437 26.6% 21.0% 52.5% +1.2 18
1953-04-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1437 1170 52.5% 21.0% 26.6% -1.2 34
1953-04-12 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1299 1180 69.2% 20.3% 10.5% -2.3 25
1953-04-12 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1180 1299 10.5% 20.3% 69.2% +2.3 18
1953-04-19 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1286 1167 69.1% 20.3% 10.6% -3.0 26
1953-04-19 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1167 1286 10.6% 20.3% 69.1% +3.0 18
1953-04-19 Boavista W 5-0 1436 1172 76.5% 18.4% 5.0% +5.9 36
1953-04-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-5 1172 1436 5.0% 18.4% 76.5% -5.9 19
1953-04-19 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1534 1172 80.1% 16.9% 3.0% +2.3 38
1953-04-19 @ Benfica L 1-5 1172 1534 3.0% 16.9% 80.1% -2.3 18
1953-04-19 Sporting Covilha W 4-1 1154 1181 57.1% 21.4% 21.5% +12.3 18
1953-04-19 @ Braga L 1-4 1181 1154 21.5% 21.4% 57.1% -12.3 20
1953-04-19 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1300 1182 69.0% 20.3% 10.6% -3.0 24
1953-04-19 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1182 1300 10.6% 20.3% 69.0% +3.0 19
1953-04-19 Estoril W 4-1 1395 1140 76.1% 18.6% 5.3% +3.2 34
1953-04-19 @ Porto L 1-4 1140 1395 5.3% 18.6% 76.1% -3.2 14
1953-04-19 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1567 1297 76.8% 18.4% 4.9% +1.3 41
1953-04-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1297 1567 4.9% 18.4% 76.8% -1.3 25
1953-04-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1185 1568 15.7% 19.9% 64.5% -3.9 19
1953-04-26 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1568 1185 64.5% 19.9% 15.7% +3.9 43
1953-04-26 Lusitano de Evora D 0-0 1170 1297 45.1% 21.6% 33.4% -0.6 19
1953-04-26 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1297 1170 33.4% 21.6% 45.1% +0.6 25
1953-04-26 Benfica D 2-2 1166 1536 16.7% 20.0% 63.3% +1.7 20
1953-04-26 @ Boavista D 2-2 1536 1166 63.3% 20.0% 16.7% -1.8 39
1953-04-26 Barreirense L 2-5 1137 1283 42.5% 21.5% 35.9% -18.5 14
1953-04-26 @ Estoril W 5-2 1283 1137 35.9% 21.5% 42.5% +18.5 28
1953-04-26 Porto L 1-2 1168 1398 31.1% 21.2% 47.7% -6.8 20
1953-04-26 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1398 1168 47.7% 21.2% 31.1% +6.8 36
1953-04-26 Braga W 3-2 1169 1166 60.1% 21.2% 18.7% +4.2 20
1953-04-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1166 1169 18.7% 21.2% 60.1% -4.2 18
1953-04-26 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1295 1442 42.4% 21.5% 36.1% +8.1 27
1953-04-26 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1442 1295 36.1% 21.5% 42.4% -8.1 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-12-28 10.05% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1249 3 @ Porto 1377 2
2 1953-04-05 13.25% Braga 1133 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1206 0
3 1953-02-22 14.36% Boavista 1177 1 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1235 0
4 1953-03-15 15.09% Vitoria Guimaraes 1151 3 @ Boavista 1199 1
5 1953-02-15 15.63% Barreirense 1267 1 @ Vitoria Setubal 1307 0
6 1952-10-12 15.87% Estoril 1176 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1213 1
7 1953-01-25 16.58% Academica de Coimbra 1228 3 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1256 1
8 1952-12-07 17.26% Boavista 1179 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1198 1
9 1952-09-28 17.85% Braga 1182 2 @ Boavista 1194 1
10 1952-11-02 18.22% Boavista 1163 1 @ Estoril 1172 0
11 1952-12-28 18.64% Estoril 1140 3 @ Braga 1144 0
12 1952-11-02 19.13% Academica de Coimbra 1184 1 @ Braga 1182 0
13 1952-10-26 19.53% Sporting Covilha 1202 1 @ Academica de Coimbra 1196 0
14 1952-10-05 21.47% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1475 3 @ Benfica 1449 2
15 1952-11-30 24.42% Benfica 1456 3 @ Lusitano de Evora 1402 0
16 1952-10-26 24.59% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1230 2 @ Boavista 1174 1
17 1952-09-28 24.97% Barreirense 1237 3 @ Sporting Covilha 1178 1
18 1953-02-22 25.56% @ Barreirense 1281 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1556 1
19 1952-10-12 26.11% Benfica 1438 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1369 1
20 1953-03-08 28.90% Os Belenenses (1st) 1402 1 @ Lusitano de Evora 1310 0
21 1952-11-30 29.37% Vitoria Setubal 1311 5 @ Sporting Covilha 1215 1
22 1952-11-02 31.26% Os Belenenses (1st) 1365 2 @ Barreirense 1254 1
23 1953-01-25 32.48% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1523 4 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1403 2
24 1953-01-11 32.92% @ Boavista 1194 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1409 1
25 1953-02-01 34.97% Os Belenenses (1st) 1388 5 @ Academica de Coimbra 1250 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-10-12 43.52 @ Sporting Covilha 7 1157 47.59% Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1265 30.85% 21.56%
2 1952-12-28 34.74 Estoril 3 1140 18.64% @ Braga 0 1144 60.12% 21.24%
3 1952-11-30 31.38 Benfica 3 1456 24.42% @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1402 54.10% 21.48%
4 1952-11-30 31.25 Vitoria Setubal 5 1311 29.37% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1215 49.07% 21.56%
5 1953-01-11 30.46 @ Academica de Coimbra 4 1203 40.25% Lusitano de Evora 0 1365 38.24% 21.51%
6 1952-10-26 28.07 @ Vitoria Setubal 4 1297 43.99% Lusitano de Evora 0 1432 34.46% 21.55%
7 1953-04-05 26.26 Braga 2 1133 13.25% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1206 66.00% 20.74%
8 1953-03-22 26.00 @ Barreirense 4 1286 47.11% Porto 0 1398 31.33% 21.56%
9 1952-12-28 24.10 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1179 38.64% Vitoria Setubal 0 1352 39.89% 21.48%
10 1953-03-08 24.03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 6 1127 50.74% Academica de Coimbra 1 1210 27.72% 21.54%
11 1953-03-15 22.03 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1151 15.09% @ Boavista 1 1199 63.96% 20.95%
12 1953-01-25 21.47 Academica de Coimbra 3 1228 16.58% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1 1256 62.33% 21.09%
13 1952-12-07 21.22 Boavista 3 1179 17.26% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1198 61.60% 21.14%
14 1953-01-18 19.33 @ Braga 4 1106 56.67% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1137 21.92% 21.40%
15 1952-10-12 19.12 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1277 48.64% Porto 0 1376 29.80% 21.56%
16 1952-12-28 18.98 @ Barreirense 4 1234 41.91% Lusitano de Evora 1 1384 36.56% 21.53%
17 1953-02-01 18.89 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 1388 34.97% @ Academica de Coimbra 2 1250 43.49% 21.55%
18 1953-04-26 18.55 Barreirense 5 1283 35.92% @ Estoril 2 1137 42.54% 21.54%
19 1952-09-28 18.53 Barreirense 3 1237 24.97% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1178 53.53% 21.50%
20 1953-03-22 17.74 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1416 51.52% @ Estoril 0 1156 27.44% 21.05%
21 1953-03-29 17.47 @ Academica de Coimbra 4 1189 45.53% Barreirense 1 1312 32.91% 21.56%
22 1953-03-08 15.88 @ Estoril 2 1142 40.79% Vitoria Setubal 0 1300 37.69% 21.51%
23 1952-10-26 15.78 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1140 54.89% Estoril 0 1187 23.65% 21.46%
24 1952-11-09 15.51 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1375 55.39% Lusitano de Evora 0 1417 23.16% 21.45%
25 1952-11-09 15.12 Porto 2 1366 43.11% @ Braga 0 1170 35.49% 21.40%