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1951-52 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Os Belenenses (1st)

6.29 points above expected

36 points · 29.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Atletico Clube de Portugal

6.33 points below expected

20 points · 26.33 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 19 3 4 41 91 32 +59 35.27 +5.73
2 Benfica 26 18 4 4 40 76 26 +50 35.22 +4.78
3 Porto 26 15 6 5 36 68 33 +35 32.05 +3.95
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 14 8 4 36 60 28 +32 29.71 +6.29
5 Boavista 26 12 1 13 25 47 55 -8 25.35 -0.35
6 Sporting Covilha 26 10 5 11 25 35 52 -17 26.00 -1.00
7 Academica de Coimbra 26 8 6 12 22 39 47 -8 21.43 +0.57
8 Estoril 26 8 5 13 21 49 61 -12 22.70 -1.70
9 Braga 26 8 5 13 21 32 49 -17 22.36 -1.36
10 Barreirense 26 8 5 13 21 47 65 -18 27.26 -6.26
11 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 9 3 14 21 28 47 -19 21.66 -0.66
12 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 7 6 13 20 53 48 +5 26.33 -6.33
13 Oriental de Lisboa 26 8 2 16 18 48 72 -24 22.14 -4.14
14 Salgueiros 26 8 1 17 17 33 91 -58 16.51 +0.49

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1486 41 35.27 +5.73 95.8% 22 29 33 35 38 41 51
Benfica 1452 40 35.22 +4.78 93.0% 20 29 33 35 38 41 47
Porto 1318 36 32.05 +3.95 88.5% 19 26 30 32 35 38 45
Os Belenenses (1st) 1311 36 29.71 +6.29 96.9% 14 24 27 30 32 36 45
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1161 20 26.33 -6.33 5.6% 13 20 24 26 29 32 39
Barreirense 1131 21 27.26 -6.26 6.3% 13 21 25 27 30 33 41
Academica de Coimbra 1093 22 21.43 +0.57 60.8% 7 15 19 21 24 28 36
Boavista 1074 25 25.35 -0.35 51.4% 12 19 23 25 28 32 41
Oriental de Lisboa 1064 18 22.14 -4.14 16.8% 9 16 20 22 25 28 37
Sporting Covilha 1060 25 26.00 -1.00 45.0% 12 20 23 26 29 32 40
Estoril 1055 21 22.70 -1.70 37.1% 8 17 20 23 25 29 36
Braga 1054 21 22.36 -1.36 40.3% 9 16 20 22 25 28 36
Vitoria Guimaraes 1035 21 21.66 -0.66 48.1% 7 16 19 22 24 28 36
Salgueiros 944 17 16.51 +0.49 61.3% 4 11 14 16 19 23 29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BAR BEN BOA BRA EST ODL OB( POR SAL SCDP SC VG
Academica de Coimbra —
2-0-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
1.71
0-1-1
1.66
2-0-0
3.38
0-1-1
1.28
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.80
Atletico Clube de Portugal
0-0-2
3.32
 —
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.87
0-2-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.24
1-1-0
3.69
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.28
Barreirense
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.97
 —
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.31
0-2-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.75
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
3.94
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.63
Benfica
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.63
 —
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.14
0-2-0
4.37
2-0-0
4.32
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
4.93
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
4.43
Boavista
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.53
 —
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.97
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.19
Braga
1-1-0
2.96
0-2-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
2.71
 —
1-0-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
1.51
1-0-1
3.59
0-0-2
1.12
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.82
Estoril
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.45
0-2-0
2.35
0-2-0
1.31
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
3.46
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.99
Oriental de Lisboa
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.87
1-0-1
2.73
 —
0-1-1
1.63
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.90
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-0-1
3.96
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
3.28
1-1-0
4.03
 —
0-2-0
2.46
1-0-1
4.65
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
3.04
1-1-0
3.67
Porto
1-1-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
4.15
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
3.44
0-2-0
3.19
 —
2-0-0
3.97
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.99
Salgueiros
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
0.76
1-0-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.71
 —
0-0-2
0.81
1-0-1
1.41
1-0-1
2.49
Sporting Clube de Portugal
1-1-0
4.38
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
3.96
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
4.27
0-1-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
4.88
 —
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.92
Sporting Covilha
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
1.80
1-0-1
4.25
0-0-2
1.97
 —
1-1-0
3.26
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
2.85
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
1.25
1-0-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.40
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +4.0
Allowed 0.69 -3.9
Differential 0.88 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.95%4.95%3.57%3.57%3.02%2.20%22.25%
14.95%8.24%6.04%2.75%3.85%4.12%29.95%
23.57%6.04%1.65%2.20%1.92%1.92%17.31%
33.57%2.75%2.20%1.65%0.82%0.82%11.81%
43.02%3.85%1.92%0.82%——9.62%
5+2.20%4.12%1.92%0.82%——9.07%
Total22.25%29.95%17.31%11.81%9.62%9.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.94 +0.00
SD 1.83 1.83 2.86
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%11.54%7.69%—38.46%
17.69%7.69%—7.69%——23.08%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total23.08%26.92%11.54%26.92%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.81 -0.31
SD 1.90 1.47 2.59
CV 1.27 0.81 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%————19.23%
1—11.54%15.38%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
2——3.85%—3.85%3.85%11.54%
3—3.85%—3.85%3.85%—11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
Total11.54%42.31%19.23%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.85 +0.19
SD 1.82 1.43 2.37
CV 0.89 0.78 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——7.69%15.38%
13.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%42.31%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total11.54%26.92%23.08%11.54%15.38%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.50 -0.69
SD 1.77 2.08 3.13
CV 0.98 0.83 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
111.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
27.69%——3.85%——11.54%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
5+7.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
Total42.31%26.92%19.23%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.92 1.00 +1.92
SD 2.42 1.06 2.68
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%11.54%7.69%—23.08%
17.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%—11.54%38.46%
2—3.85%————3.85%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
47.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total23.08%19.23%15.38%23.08%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.12 -0.31
SD 1.70 1.75 2.94
CV 0.94 0.83 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
17.69%7.69%—7.69%3.85%7.69%34.62%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
3———————
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%34.62%11.54%11.54%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.88 -0.65
SD 1.37 1.84 2.42
CV 1.11 0.98 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%——7.69%—15.38%
1—15.38%11.54%—3.85%3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—15.38%
33.85%—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
Total11.54%30.77%19.23%11.54%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 2.35 -0.46
SD 1.45 1.92 2.50
CV 0.77 0.82 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%———11.54%
13.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%—26.92%
2—11.54%—7.69%7.69%15.38%42.31%
37.69%————3.85%11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%15.38%7.69%11.54%23.08%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.77 -0.92
SD 1.29 2.32 2.83
CV 0.70 0.84 —
Max 6 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
17.69%23.08%11.54%———42.31%
27.69%———3.85%—11.54%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4—11.54%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total34.62%34.62%23.08%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.31 1.08 +1.23
SD 1.89 1.06 2.03
CV 0.82 0.98 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%11.54%———19.23%
1—15.38%3.85%———19.23%
2—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
37.69%—7.69%———15.38%
43.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
5+—11.54%3.85%———15.38%
Total15.38%46.15%34.62%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 1.27 +1.35
SD 2.12 0.78 2.28
CV 0.81 0.61 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%3.85%—11.54%23.08%
17.69%—7.69%—11.54%19.23%46.15%
2—11.54%———3.85%15.38%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%15.38%7.69%11.54%34.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 3.50 -2.23
SD 1.08 2.63 3.24
CV 0.85 0.75 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.85%——3.85%
1—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
27.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+11.54%11.54%7.69%———30.77%
Total30.77%34.62%19.23%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 1.23 +2.27
SD 2.14 1.14 2.74
CV 0.61 0.93 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%—7.69%3.85%7.69%42.31%
13.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
23.85%7.69%———3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%11.54%11.54%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 2.00 -0.65
SD 1.50 2.06 2.73
CV 1.11 1.03 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%—7.69%11.54%—46.15%
17.69%—7.69%—3.85%3.85%23.08%
23.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%11.54%7.69%19.23%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.81 -0.73
SD 1.29 1.67 2.24
CV 1.20 0.93 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 36 29.71 +6.29
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 41 35.27 +5.73
3 Benfica 40 35.22 +4.78
4 Porto 36 32.05 +3.95
5 Academica de Coimbra 22 21.43 +0.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 20 26.33 -6.33
2 Barreirense 21 27.26 -6.26
3 Oriental de Lisboa 18 22.14 -4.14
4 Estoril 21 22.70 -1.70
5 Braga 21 22.36 -1.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Salgueiros 2 Mar 16 – Mar 23 1 in 156
2 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Nov 18 – Dec 16 1 in 69
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 Feb 10 – Apr 6 1 in 35
4 Benfica 7 Jan 6 – Feb 20 1 in 20
5 Porto 5 Nov 25 – Jan 6 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 5 Dec 9 – Jan 20 1 in 1,769
2 Oriental de Lisboa 5 Oct 7 – Nov 4 1 in 155
3 Academica de Coimbra 4 Nov 25 – Dec 16 1 in 21
4 Salgueiros 7 Nov 11 – Jan 6 1 in 13
5 Barreirense 2 Dec 9 – Dec 16 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 17 Nov 4 – Mar 16 1 in 7,383
2 Academica de Coimbra 6 Feb 24 – Apr 6 1 in 108
3 Braga 4 Oct 28 – Nov 18 1 in 45
4 Porto 8 Sep 23 – Nov 11 1 in 29
5 Benfica 10 Sep 23 – Nov 25 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 11 Dec 2 – Feb 24 1 in 875
2 Oriental de Lisboa 7 Sep 23 – Nov 4 1 in 44
3 Barreirense 5 Mar 2 – Apr 6 1 in 40
4 Braga 5 Sep 23 – Oct 21 1 in 18
5 Porto 4 Mar 16 – Apr 6 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal43.99%29.00%14.76%6.87%2.99%1.24%0.72%0.24%0.11%0.06%0.02%———
Benfica39.18%32.97%15.43%6.57%3.30%1.46%0.58%0.26%0.09%0.08%0.07%0.01%——
Porto11.37%19.84%28.54%17.44%10.26%5.46%3.20%1.83%1.02%0.53%0.30%0.19%0.02%—
Os Belenenses (1st)3.41%9.82%18.39%23.33%16.13%10.49%6.81%4.88%3.05%1.85%1.06%0.47%0.26%0.05%
Boavista0.27%1.14%3.45%7.18%10.49%12.93%13.75%12.46%11.10%9.09%7.73%5.73%3.46%1.22%
Sporting Covilha0.34%1.68%4.23%8.39%11.90%12.52%13.31%12.60%10.99%8.98%6.94%4.68%2.66%0.78%
Academica de Coimbra0.01%0.09%0.38%1.21%2.60%4.20%5.90%8.69%10.43%13.40%13.67%15.64%15.09%8.69%
Estoril0.04%0.26%0.78%2.16%4.28%6.35%9.05%10.78%11.72%12.82%13.26%12.69%10.55%5.26%
Braga0.02%0.21%0.58%1.71%3.18%5.30%7.01%9.54%11.70%13.35%15.29%14.20%12.10%5.81%
Barreirense0.89%2.89%7.12%11.90%15.28%14.71%13.35%9.89%8.49%6.07%4.48%3.02%1.51%0.40%
Vitoria Guimaraes—0.17%0.48%1.04%2.41%4.09%5.79%7.78%10.22%12.42%14.19%16.05%17.21%8.15%
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.45%1.74%5.27%10.73%14.23%15.97%13.47%12.04%9.03%6.36%4.61%3.49%2.02%0.59%
Oriental de Lisboa0.03%0.19%0.57%1.47%2.87%5.05%6.62%8.19%10.40%12.49%13.55%15.61%16.16%6.80%
Salgueiros——0.02%—0.08%0.23%0.44%0.82%1.65%2.50%4.83%8.22%18.96%62.25%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+45.05%
Strong Edge
64.29%16.48%19.23%
Elo Value
Home Edge
135 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0168.64400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.35 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.25+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.96 * Some Luck: 2.96 to 4.44 * Lucky: 4.44 to 5.92 * Wild Swing: 5.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.03 * Way Off: 3.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.91 points
Some Luck
03.709
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.86
Close
01.894
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.87%
Os Belenenses (1st)
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.58%
Atletico Clube de Portugal
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.65
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Frequent
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
38%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.61
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1010.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Porto 99.98% 0.02%
Os Belenenses (1st) 99.69% 0.31%
Barreirense 98.09% 1.91%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 97.39% 2.61%
Sporting Covilha 96.56% 3.44%
Boavista 95.32% 4.68%
Estoril 84.19% 15.81%
Braga 82.09% 17.91%
Oriental de Lisboa 77.04% 22.96%
Academica de Coimbra 76.22% 23.78%
Vitoria Guimaraes 74.64% 25.36%
Salgueiros 18.79% 81.21%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1951-09-23 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1088 1181 61.1% 17.4% 21.4% +7.7 2
1951-09-23 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1181 1088 21.4% 17.4% 61.1% -7.7 0
1951-09-23 Estoril D 3-3 1271 1087 78.3% 16.5% 5.2% -3.7 1
1951-09-23 @ Barreirense D 3-3 1087 1271 5.2% 16.5% 78.3% +3.7 1
1951-09-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 4-3 1150 1310 53.7% 17.5% 28.8% +8.7 2
1951-09-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 3-4 1310 1150 28.8% 17.5% 53.7% -8.7 0
1951-09-23 Sporting Covilha W 4-1 1301 1152 77.0% 16.7% 6.3% +5.6 2
1951-09-23 @ Benfica L 1-4 1152 1301 6.3% 16.7% 77.0% -5.6 0
1951-09-23 Boavista L 1-3 1132 1100 71.2% 17.2% 11.6% -36.9 0
1951-09-23 @ Braga W 3-1 1100 1132 11.6% 17.2% 71.2% +36.9 2
1951-09-23 Porto L 2-3 1125 1234 59.5% 17.4% 23.0% -16.8 0
1951-09-23 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 3-2 1234 1125 23.0% 17.4% 59.5% +16.8 2
1951-09-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1036 1067 66.8% 17.3% 15.9% +5.5 2
1951-09-23 @ Salgueiros L 1-2 1067 1036 15.9% 17.3% 66.8% -5.6 0
1951-09-30 Benfica L 3-4 1174 1306 57.0% 17.5% 25.6% -15.7 0
1951-09-30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-3 1306 1174 25.6% 17.5% 57.0% +15.7 4
1951-09-30 Salgueiros W 4-1 1137 1042 74.8% 16.9% 8.3% +7.4 4
1951-09-30 @ Boavista L 1-4 1042 1137 8.3% 16.9% 74.8% -7.4 2
1951-09-30 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1091 1159 63.6% 17.4% 19.0% -18.0 1
1951-09-30 @ Estoril W 3-2 1159 1091 19.0% 17.4% 63.6% +18.0 4
1951-09-30 Braga W 6-1 1251 1095 77.3% 16.6% 6.0% +8.5 4
1951-09-30 @ Porto L 1-6 1095 1251 6.0% 16.6% 77.3% -8.5 0
1951-09-30 Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1302 1096 79.0% 16.4% 4.6% +6.4 2
1951-09-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1096 1302 4.6% 16.4% 79.0% -6.4 2
1951-09-30 Oriental de Lisboa D 0-0 1147 1108 71.7% 17.1% 11.2% -5.3 1
1951-09-30 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1108 1147 11.2% 17.1% 71.7% +5.3 1
1951-09-30 Barreirense W 2-0 1062 1267 47.9% 17.5% 34.6% +22.0 2
1951-09-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1267 1062 34.6% 17.5% 47.9% -22.0 1
1951-10-07 Benfica L 0-3 1089 1322 44.1% 17.4% 38.4% -39.1 2
1951-10-07 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1322 1089 38.4% 17.4% 44.1% +39.1 6
1951-10-07 Boavista W 4-0 1245 1144 75.0% 16.9% 8.1% +11.2 3
1951-10-07 @ Barreirense L 0-4 1144 1245 8.1% 16.9% 75.0% -11.1 4
1951-10-07 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1177 1084 74.6% 16.9% 8.4% -5.9 5
1951-10-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1084 1177 8.4% 16.9% 74.6% +5.9 3
1951-10-07 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1086 1141 64.8% 17.4% 17.9% -4.0 1
1951-10-07 @ Braga D 0-0 1141 1086 17.9% 17.4% 64.8% +4.0 2
1951-10-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 3-5 1114 1158 65.7% 17.3% 17.0% -28.7 1
1951-10-07 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 5-3 1158 1114 17.0% 17.3% 65.7% +28.7 2
1951-10-07 Porto L 1-4 1034 1260 45.2% 17.5% 37.4% -33.7 2
1951-10-07 @ Salgueiros W 4-1 1260 1034 37.4% 17.5% 45.2% +33.7 6
1951-10-07 Estoril W 8-1 1308 1073 79.9% 16.2% 3.9% +7.6 4
1951-10-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-8 1073 1308 3.9% 16.2% 79.9% -7.7 1
1951-10-14 Braga D 2-2 1187 1082 75.2% 16.9% 7.9% -4.0 3
1951-10-14 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1082 1187 7.9% 16.9% 75.2% +4.0 2
1951-10-14 Oriental de Lisboa W 5-2 1361 1085 80.9% 15.9% 3.2% +2.5 8
1951-10-14 @ Benfica L 2-5 1085 1361 3.2% 15.9% 80.9% -2.5 1
1951-10-14 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1133 1171 66.2% 17.3% 16.4% +5.7 6
1951-10-14 @ Boavista L 1-2 1171 1133 16.4% 17.3% 66.2% -5.7 5
1951-10-14 Academica de Coimbra W 5-3 1065 1050 70.2% 17.2% 12.6% +6.6 3
1951-10-14 @ Estoril L 3-5 1050 1065 12.6% 17.2% 70.2% -6.6 2
1951-10-14 Barreirense W 3-2 1293 1256 71.6% 17.1% 11.3% +3.8 8
1951-10-14 @ Porto L 2-3 1256 1293 11.3% 17.1% 71.6% -3.8 3
1951-10-14 Salgueiros W 2-0 1145 1001 76.9% 16.7% 6.4% +4.7 4
1951-10-14 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1001 1145 6.4% 16.7% 76.9% -4.7 2
1951-10-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1090 1316 45.1% 17.4% 37.5% -13.7 3
1951-10-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1316 1090 37.5% 17.4% 45.1% +13.7 6
1951-10-21 Oriental de Lisboa W 2-0 1043 1083 66.1% 17.3% 16.6% +11.5 4
1951-10-21 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1083 1043 16.6% 17.3% 66.1% -11.5 1
1951-10-21 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1253 1150 75.1% 16.9% 8.0% +2.9 5
1951-10-21 @ Barreirense L 1-2 1150 1253 8.0% 16.9% 75.1% -2.9 4
1951-10-21 Porto D 1-1 1165 1297 57.0% 17.5% 25.5% -2.3 6
1951-10-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1297 1165 25.5% 17.5% 57.0% +2.3 9
1951-10-21 Benfica L 1-6 1086 1364 37.9% 17.4% 44.8% -45.9 2
1951-10-21 @ Braga W 6-1 1364 1086 44.8% 17.4% 37.9% +45.9 10
1951-10-21 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1072 1076 68.8% 17.3% 13.9% +18.6 5
1951-10-21 @ Estoril L 0-4 1076 1072 13.9% 17.3% 68.8% -18.6 3
1951-10-21 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-5 996 1183 50.4% 17.5% 32.1% -47.9 2
1951-10-21 @ Salgueiros W 5-1 1183 996 32.1% 17.5% 50.4% +47.9 5
1951-10-21 Boavista W 3-1 1330 1139 78.5% 16.4% 5.0% +3.2 8
1951-10-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1139 1330 5.0% 16.4% 78.5% -3.2 6
1951-10-28 Barreirense W 3-1 1231 1256 67.3% 17.3% 15.4% +9.3 7
1951-10-28 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1256 1231 15.4% 17.3% 67.3% -9.3 5
1951-10-28 Salgueiros W 9-0 1409 948 84.3% 14.5% 1.1% +3.3 12
1951-10-28 @ Benfica L 0-9 948 1409 1.1% 14.5% 84.3% -3.4 2
1951-10-28 Estoril W 6-3 1136 1090 72.1% 17.1% 10.8% +7.6 8
1951-10-28 @ Boavista L 3-6 1090 1136 10.8% 17.1% 72.1% -7.6 5
1951-10-28 Braga L 2-4 1071 1040 71.2% 17.2% 11.7% -33.0 1
1951-10-28 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 4-2 1040 1071 11.7% 17.2% 71.2% +33.0 4
1951-10-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1300 1333 66.6% 17.3% 16.1% -2.9 10
1951-10-28 @ Porto D 2-2 1333 1300 16.1% 17.3% 66.6% +2.9 9
1951-10-28 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1147 1163 68.0% 17.3% 14.7% +8.0 6
1951-10-28 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-4 1163 1147 14.7% 17.3% 68.0% -8.0 6
1951-10-28 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1057 1055 69.3% 17.2% 13.5% +8.2 5
1951-10-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1055 1057 13.5% 17.2% 69.3% -8.2 4
1951-11-04 Braga D 1-1 1047 1073 67.1% 17.3% 15.6% -4.0 5
1951-11-04 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1073 1047 15.6% 17.3% 67.1% +4.0 5
1951-11-04 Benfica D 1-1 1246 1413 52.9% 17.5% 29.6% -1.7 6
1951-11-04 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1413 1246 29.6% 17.5% 52.9% +1.7 13
1951-11-04 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1155 1240 62.0% 17.4% 20.6% +10.9 8
1951-11-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-4 1240 1155 20.6% 17.4% 62.0% -10.9 7
1951-11-04 Porto L 1-2 1083 1297 46.8% 17.5% 35.8% -14.2 5
1951-11-04 @ Estoril W 2-1 1297 1083 35.8% 17.5% 46.8% +14.1 12
1951-11-04 Oriental de Lisboa W 4-1 945 1038 61.2% 17.4% 21.4% +17.8 4
1951-11-04 @ Salgueiros L 1-4 1038 945 21.4% 17.4% 61.2% -17.8 1
1951-11-04 Sporting Covilha W 6-2 1336 1155 78.2% 16.5% 5.3% +5.2 11
1951-11-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-6 1155 1336 5.3% 16.5% 78.2% -5.2 6
1951-11-04 Boavista W 3-1 1066 1143 62.7% 17.4% 19.9% +11.8 7
1951-11-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1143 1066 19.9% 17.4% 62.7% -11.8 8
1951-11-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1229 1341 59.2% 17.5% 23.3% -37.4 7
1951-11-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-2 1341 1229 23.3% 17.5% 59.2% +37.4 13
1951-11-11 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1414 1166 80.2% 16.1% 3.7% -7.0 14
1951-11-11 @ Benfica D 0-0 1166 1414 3.7% 16.1% 80.2% +7.0 9
1951-11-11 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1132 1043 74.4% 16.9% 8.6% +9.1 10
1951-11-11 @ Boavista L 0-3 1043 1132 8.6% 16.9% 74.4% -9.1 5
1951-11-11 Salgueiros W 5-1 1077 963 75.6% 16.8% 7.5% +8.7 7
1951-11-11 @ Braga L 1-5 963 1077 7.5% 16.8% 75.6% -8.6 4
1951-11-11 Barreirense W 6-0 1020 1244 45.4% 17.5% 37.2% +64.9 3
1951-11-11 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-6 1244 1020 37.2% 17.5% 45.4% -64.9 6
1951-11-11 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-1 1311 1077 79.8% 16.2% 4.0% +3.6 14
1951-11-11 @ Porto L 1-4 1077 1311 4.0% 16.2% 79.8% -3.6 7
1951-11-11 Estoril W 4-2 1150 1069 74.1% 17.0% 9.0% +5.0 8
1951-11-11 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-4 1069 1150 9.0% 17.0% 74.1% -5.0 5
1951-11-18 Salgueiros W 8-1 1034 954 74.0% 17.0% 9.0% +17.3 7
1951-11-18 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-8 954 1034 9.0% 17.0% 74.0% -17.3 4
1951-11-18 Braga D 1-1 1180 1086 74.7% 16.9% 8.4% -5.3 7
1951-11-18 @ Barreirense D 1-1 1086 1180 8.4% 16.9% 74.7% +5.3 8
1951-11-18 Oriental de Lisboa W 7-2 1173 1085 74.4% 17.0% 8.7% +10.2 11
1951-11-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-7 1085 1173 8.7% 17.0% 74.4% -10.2 3
1951-11-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1407 1378 71.1% 17.2% 11.7% +4.0 16
1951-11-18 @ Benfica L 2-3 1378 1407 11.7% 17.2% 71.1% -4.0 13
1951-11-18 Porto W 1-0 1141 1314 52.0% 17.5% 30.5% +10.5 12
1951-11-18 @ Boavista L 0-1 1314 1141 30.5% 17.5% 52.0% -10.5 14
1951-11-18 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1064 1192 57.5% 17.5% 25.1% +8.3 7
1951-11-18 @ Estoril L 1-2 1192 1064 25.1% 17.5% 57.5% -8.3 7
1951-11-18 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1074 1155 62.4% 17.4% 20.2% -3.6 8
1951-11-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1155 1074 20.2% 17.4% 62.4% +3.6 9
1951-11-25 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1183 1070 75.6% 16.8% 7.6% +10.5 9
1951-11-25 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1070 1183 7.6% 16.8% 75.6% -10.5 8
1951-11-25 Estoril D 1-1 1411 1072 82.3% 15.5% 2.2% -6.5 17
1951-11-25 @ Benfica D 1-1 1072 1411 2.2% 15.5% 82.3% +6.5 8
1951-11-25 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1091 1183 61.3% 17.4% 21.2% -44.7 8
1951-11-25 @ Braga W 4-1 1183 1091 21.2% 17.4% 61.3% +44.7 13
1951-11-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1075 1374 34.9% 17.3% 47.8% +14.4 5
1951-11-25 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-2 1374 1075 47.8% 17.3% 34.9% -14.4 13
1951-11-25 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1304 1051 80.3% 16.1% 3.6% +3.8 16
1951-11-25 @ Porto L 0-3 1051 1304 3.6% 16.1% 80.3% -3.8 7
1951-11-25 Barreirense L 1-5 937 1174 43.5% 17.4% 39.1% -42.0 4
1951-11-25 @ Salgueiros W 5-1 1174 937 39.1% 17.4% 43.5% +42.0 9
1951-11-25 Boavista W 2-1 1158 1151 69.7% 17.2% 13.1% +4.7 11
1951-11-25 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1151 1158 13.1% 17.2% 69.7% -4.6 12
1951-12-02 Barreirense L 2-3 1047 1216 52.6% 17.5% 29.9% -14.9 7
1951-12-02 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1216 1047 29.9% 17.5% 52.6% +14.9 11
1951-12-02 Salgueiros W 7-0 1228 895 82.1% 15.5% 2.3% +5.4 15
1951-12-02 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-7 895 1228 2.3% 15.5% 82.1% -5.4 4
1951-12-02 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1146 1194 65.4% 17.4% 17.2% -3.7 13
1951-12-02 @ Boavista D 1-1 1194 1146 17.2% 17.4% 65.4% +3.7 10
1951-12-02 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-2 1079 1089 68.3% 17.3% 14.4% +4.8 10
1951-12-02 @ Estoril L 2-3 1089 1079 14.4% 17.3% 68.3% -4.8 5
1951-12-02 Sporting Covilha W 6-1 1308 1163 76.9% 16.7% 6.4% +9.1 18
1951-12-02 @ Porto L 1-6 1163 1308 6.4% 16.7% 76.9% -9.1 11
1951-12-02 Braga W 4-0 1360 1047 81.7% 15.7% 2.6% +3.6 15
1951-12-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1047 1360 2.6% 15.7% 81.7% -3.6 8
1951-12-02 Benfica W 2-1 1060 1405 29.0% 17.2% 53.8% +16.0 10
1951-12-02 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1405 1060 53.8% 17.2% 29.0% -16.0 17
1951-12-09 Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1032 1154 58.2% 17.5% 24.4% -30.0 7
1951-12-09 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1154 1032 24.4% 17.5% 58.2% +30.0 13
1951-12-09 Porto L 1-2 1197 1317 58.4% 17.5% 24.1% -17.4 10
1951-12-09 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1317 1197 24.1% 17.5% 58.4% +17.4 20
1951-12-09 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1231 1233 69.0% 17.2% 13.7% -50.5 11
1951-12-09 @ Barreirense W 4-1 1233 1231 13.7% 17.2% 69.0% +50.5 17
1951-12-09 Boavista W 2-0 1389 1143 80.2% 16.1% 3.7% +2.7 19
1951-12-09 @ Benfica L 0-2 1143 1389 3.7% 16.1% 80.2% -2.7 13
1951-12-09 Estoril W 1-0 1043 1083 66.0% 17.3% 16.6% +6.1 10
1951-12-09 @ Braga L 0-1 1083 1043 16.6% 17.3% 66.0% -6.1 10
1951-12-09 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1085 1076 69.8% 17.2% 13.0% +13.4 7
1951-12-09 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-3 1076 1085 13.0% 17.2% 69.8% -13.4 10
1951-12-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 889 1363 16.2% 16.7% 67.1% -16.2 4
1951-12-09 @ Salgueiros W 3-0 1363 889 67.1% 16.7% 16.2% +16.2 17
1951-12-16 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1283 1002 81.0% 15.9% 3.1% +2.2 19
1951-12-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1002 1283 3.1% 15.9% 81.0% -2.2 7
1951-12-16 Oriental de Lisboa W 4-1 1140 1098 71.9% 17.1% 11.0% +9.7 15
1951-12-16 @ Boavista L 1-4 1098 1140 11.0% 17.1% 71.9% -9.7 7
1951-12-16 Salgueiros W 2-0 1077 873 79.0% 16.4% 4.7% +3.4 12
1951-12-16 @ Estoril L 0-2 873 1077 4.7% 16.4% 79.0% -3.4 4
1951-12-16 Benfica W 3-0 1334 1392 64.6% 17.4% 18.1% +18.1 22
1951-12-16 @ Porto L 0-3 1392 1334 18.1% 17.4% 64.6% -18.1 19
1951-12-16 Barreirense W 8-0 1380 1181 78.8% 16.4% 4.8% +12.9 19
1951-12-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-8 1181 1380 4.8% 16.4% 78.8% -12.8 11
1951-12-16 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1184 1180 69.4% 17.2% 13.3% +4.7 15
1951-12-16 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1180 1184 13.3% 17.2% 69.4% -4.7 10
1951-12-16 Braga W 1-0 1062 1049 70.1% 17.2% 12.7% +4.8 12
1951-12-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1049 1062 12.7% 17.2% 70.1% -4.8 10
1952-01-06 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1175 1000 78.0% 16.5% 5.4% -24.9 10
1952-01-06 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1000 1175 5.4% 16.5% 78.0% +24.9 9
1952-01-06 Braga W 1-0 1150 1044 75.2% 16.9% 7.9% +3.0 17
1952-01-06 @ Boavista L 0-1 1044 1150 7.9% 16.9% 75.2% -3.1 10
1952-01-06 Barreirense D 1-1 1081 1168 61.8% 17.4% 20.8% -3.1 13
1952-01-06 @ Estoril D 1-1 1168 1081 20.8% 17.4% 61.8% +3.1 12
1952-01-06 Oriental de Lisboa W 6-2 1352 1088 80.6% 16.0% 3.4% +3.3 24
1952-01-06 @ Porto L 2-6 1088 1352 3.4% 16.0% 80.6% -3.3 7
1952-01-06 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1392 1286 75.3% 16.9% 7.8% -5.4 20
1952-01-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1286 1392 7.8% 16.9% 75.3% +5.4 20
1952-01-06 Benfica L 0-1 1189 1373 50.6% 17.5% 31.9% -16.1 15
1952-01-06 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1373 1189 31.9% 17.5% 50.6% +16.1 21
1952-01-06 Salgueiros W 4-1 1067 870 78.8% 16.4% 4.8% +4.3 14
1952-01-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 870 1067 4.8% 16.4% 78.8% -4.3 4
1952-01-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1025 1387 27.0% 17.2% 55.8% +1.3 10
1952-01-13 @ Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1387 1025 55.8% 17.2% 27.0% -1.3 21
1952-01-13 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1171 1072 75.0% 16.9% 8.2% +3.1 14
1952-01-13 @ Barreirense L 0-1 1072 1171 8.2% 16.9% 75.0% -3.1 14
1952-01-13 Estoril D 1-1 1291 1078 79.2% 16.3% 4.4% -6.1 21
1952-01-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1078 1291 4.4% 16.3% 79.2% +6.1 14
1952-01-13 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1390 1150 80.0% 16.2% 3.9% +1.5 23
1952-01-13 @ Benfica L 0-1 1150 1390 3.9% 16.2% 80.0% -1.5 10
1952-01-13 Porto W 2-0 1041 1356 32.9% 17.3% 49.8% +29.9 12
1952-01-13 @ Braga L 0-2 1356 1041 49.8% 17.3% 32.9% -29.9 24
1952-01-13 Sporting Covilha L 1-4 1085 1173 61.7% 17.4% 20.8% -45.0 7
1952-01-13 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 4-1 1173 1085 20.8% 17.4% 61.7% +45.0 17
1952-01-13 Boavista W 2-1 865 1153 36.5% 17.4% 46.2% +14.0 6
1952-01-13 @ Salgueiros L 1-2 1153 865 46.2% 17.4% 36.5% -14.0 17
1952-01-20 Oriental de Lisboa L 1-2 1149 1040 75.4% 16.9% 7.8% -22.6 10
1952-01-20 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1040 1149 7.8% 16.9% 75.4% +22.6 9
1952-01-20 Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1391 1026 82.8% 15.3% 1.9% +2.7 25
1952-01-20 @ Benfica L 0-4 1026 1391 1.9% 15.3% 82.8% -2.7 10
1952-01-20 Barreirense W 4-2 1139 1174 66.4% 17.3% 16.2% +8.8 19
1952-01-20 @ Boavista L 2-4 1174 1139 16.2% 17.3% 66.4% -8.8 14
1952-01-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1084 1386 34.5% 17.3% 48.2% -10.9 14
1952-01-20 @ Estoril W 2-1 1386 1084 48.2% 17.3% 34.5% +10.9 23
1952-01-20 Salgueiros W 7-1 1326 879 84.1% 14.7% 1.2% +2.0 26
1952-01-20 @ Porto L 1-7 879 1326 1.2% 14.7% 84.1% -2.0 6
1952-01-20 Braga W 1-0 1218 1071 77.0% 16.7% 6.4% +2.5 19
1952-01-20 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1071 1218 6.4% 16.7% 77.0% -2.5 12
1952-01-20 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1068 1285 46.4% 17.5% 36.1% -14.9 14
1952-01-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1285 1068 36.1% 17.5% 46.4% +14.9 23
1952-01-27 Estoril W 4-0 1023 1073 65.3% 17.4% 17.4% +22.8 12
1952-01-27 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-4 1073 1023 17.4% 17.4% 65.3% -22.8 14
1952-01-27 Porto W 2-0 1165 1328 53.4% 17.5% 29.1% +19.0 16
1952-01-27 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1328 1165 29.1% 17.5% 53.4% -19.0 26
1952-01-27 Boavista W 3-0 1300 1148 77.2% 16.7% 6.2% +6.5 25
1952-01-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1148 1300 6.2% 16.7% 77.2% -6.5 19
1952-01-27 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1069 1126 64.5% 17.4% 18.1% -4.0 13
1952-01-27 @ Braga D 0-0 1126 1069 18.1% 17.4% 64.5% +4.0 11
1952-01-27 Benfica L 1-3 1063 1394 30.7% 17.3% 52.0% -17.2 9
1952-01-27 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 3-1 1394 1063 52.0% 17.3% 30.7% +17.2 27
1952-01-27 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 877 1220 29.3% 17.2% 53.5% +27.6 8
1952-01-27 @ Salgueiros L 1-3 1220 877 53.5% 17.2% 29.3% -27.6 19
1952-01-27 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-1 1397 1054 82.3% 15.5% 2.2% +3.1 25
1952-01-27 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1054 1397 2.2% 15.5% 82.3% -3.1 14
1952-02-03 Salgueiros D 3-3 1130 905 79.6% 16.2% 4.2% -3.8 12
1952-02-03 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 905 1130 4.2% 16.2% 79.6% +3.8 9
1952-02-03 Braga W 5-0 1411 1065 82.4% 15.4% 2.2% +3.7 29
1952-02-03 @ Benfica L 0-5 1065 1411 2.2% 15.4% 82.4% -3.7 13
1952-02-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1141 1400 40.5% 17.4% 42.1% +37.6 21
1952-02-03 @ Boavista L 0-3 1400 1141 42.1% 17.4% 40.5% -37.6 25
1952-02-03 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1046 1046 69.1% 17.2% 13.7% +5.1 11
1952-02-03 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-1 1046 1046 13.7% 17.2% 69.1% -5.1 12
1952-02-03 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1309 1306 69.3% 17.2% 13.5% -4.4 27
1952-02-03 @ Porto D 1-1 1306 1309 13.5% 17.2% 69.3% +4.4 26
1952-02-03 Barreirense W 4-1 1192 1184 69.7% 17.2% 13.1% +11.3 21
1952-02-03 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-4 1184 1192 13.1% 17.2% 69.7% -11.4 16
1952-02-10 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1041 1050 68.5% 17.3% 14.3% -4.7 13
1952-02-10 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1050 1041 14.3% 17.3% 68.5% +4.7 15
1952-02-10 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1173 1126 72.2% 17.1% 10.7% +6.7 18
1952-02-10 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1126 1173 10.7% 17.1% 72.2% -6.7 12
1952-02-10 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1311 1204 75.3% 16.9% 7.8% +8.3 28
1952-02-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1204 1311 7.8% 16.9% 75.3% -8.3 21
1952-02-10 Oriental de Lisboa W 4-1 1061 1051 69.9% 17.2% 12.9% +11.2 15
1952-02-10 @ Braga L 1-4 1051 1061 12.9% 17.2% 69.9% -11.2 11
1952-02-10 Boavista W 5-1 1050 1179 57.4% 17.5% 25.1% +26.5 16
1952-02-10 @ Estoril L 1-5 1179 1050 25.1% 17.5% 57.4% -26.4 21
1952-02-10 Benfica L 2-7 909 1415 13.8% 16.6% 69.6% -15.6 9
1952-02-10 @ Salgueiros W 7-2 1415 909 69.6% 16.6% 13.8% +15.6 31
1952-02-10 Porto W 2-1 1362 1304 72.8% 17.1% 10.1% +3.6 27
1952-02-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1304 1362 10.1% 17.1% 72.8% -3.7 27
1952-02-16 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1120 1319 48.7% 17.5% 33.8% -1.1 13
1952-02-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1319 1120 33.8% 17.5% 48.7% +1.1 29
1952-02-16 Salgueiros W 2-1 1039 893 77.0% 16.7% 6.4% +2.3 13
1952-02-16 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-2 893 1039 6.4% 16.7% 77.0% -2.3 9
1952-02-17 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1152 1055 74.8% 16.9% 8.3% +11.4 23
1952-02-17 @ Boavista L 0-4 1055 1152 8.3% 16.9% 74.8% -11.4 15
1952-02-17 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1072 1036 71.5% 17.1% 11.3% +8.1 17
1952-02-17 @ Braga L 0-2 1036 1072 11.3% 17.1% 71.5% -8.1 13
1952-02-17 Estoril W 4-3 1301 1076 79.6% 16.2% 4.2% +1.4 29
1952-02-17 @ Porto L 3-4 1076 1301 4.2% 16.2% 79.6% -1.4 16
1952-02-20 Barreirense W 7-1 1430 1180 80.3% 16.1% 3.6% +6.1 33
1952-02-20 @ Benfica L 1-7 1180 1430 3.6% 16.1% 80.3% -6.1 18
1952-02-24 Boavista W 5-1 1028 1164 56.7% 17.5% 25.9% +27.1 15
1952-02-24 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1164 1028 25.9% 17.5% 56.7% -27.1 23
1952-02-24 Oriental de Lisboa W 8-2 1174 1042 76.4% 16.8% 6.9% +9.5 20
1952-02-24 @ Barreirense L 2-8 1042 1174 6.9% 16.8% 76.4% -9.5 13
1952-02-24 Benfica W 2-0 1320 1436 58.8% 17.5% 23.8% +15.9 31
1952-02-24 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1436 1320 23.8% 17.5% 58.8% -15.9 33
1952-02-24 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1075 1196 58.3% 17.5% 24.3% +23.5 18
1952-02-24 @ Estoril L 0-3 1196 1075 24.3% 17.5% 58.3% -23.5 21
1952-02-24 Braga W 3-1 891 1080 50.0% 17.5% 32.5% +18.1 11
1952-02-24 @ Salgueiros L 1-3 1080 891 32.5% 17.5% 50.0% -18.1 17
1952-02-24 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-1 1366 1119 80.2% 16.1% 3.7% +4.3 29
1952-02-24 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1119 1366 3.7% 16.1% 80.2% -4.3 13
1952-02-24 Porto L 2-4 1044 1302 40.5% 17.4% 42.1% -19.4 15
1952-02-24 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-2 1302 1044 42.1% 17.4% 40.5% +19.4 31
1952-03-02 Estoril W 4-1 1114 1098 70.2% 17.2% 12.6% +10.9 15
1952-03-02 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1098 1114 12.6% 17.2% 70.2% -10.9 18
1952-03-02 Barreirense W 2-1 1062 1183 58.3% 17.5% 24.3% +8.1 19
1952-03-02 @ Braga L 1-2 1183 1062 24.3% 17.5% 58.3% -8.1 20
1952-03-02 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1032 1336 34.2% 17.3% 48.4% +1.0 14
1952-03-02 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 1-1 1336 1032 48.4% 17.3% 34.2% -1.0 32
1952-03-02 Boavista W 4-0 1322 1136 78.4% 16.5% 5.2% +7.2 33
1952-03-02 @ Porto L 0-4 1136 1322 5.2% 16.5% 78.4% -7.2 23
1952-03-02 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 909 1055 55.3% 17.5% 27.2% -16.5 11
1952-03-02 @ Salgueiros W 2-1 1055 909 27.2% 17.5% 55.3% +16.5 17
1952-03-02 Benfica W 3-2 1370 1420 65.2% 17.4% 17.5% +5.7 31
1952-03-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1420 1370 17.5% 17.4% 65.2% -5.7 33
1952-03-02 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1172 1024 77.0% 16.7% 6.3% +6.7 23
1952-03-02 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1024 1172 6.3% 16.7% 77.0% -6.7 15
1952-03-09 Estoril W 2-1 1018 1087 63.4% 17.4% 19.2% +6.6 17
1952-03-09 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1087 1018 19.2% 17.4% 63.4% -6.6 18
1952-03-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1179 1376 49.0% 17.5% 33.5% -82.0 23
1952-03-09 @ Sporting Covilha W 6-0 1376 1179 33.5% 17.5% 49.0% +82.0 33
1952-03-16 Porto D 1-1 1072 1329 40.7% 17.4% 41.9% +0.1 18
1952-03-16 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1329 1072 41.9% 17.4% 40.7% -0.1 34
1952-03-16 Salgueiros L 0-1 1175 892 81.1% 15.9% 3.0% -25.8 20
1952-03-16 @ Barreirense W 1-0 892 1175 3.0% 15.9% 81.1% +25.8 13
1952-03-16 Braga W 1-0 1335 1071 80.6% 16.0% 3.4% +1.3 34
1952-03-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1071 1335 3.4% 16.0% 80.6% -1.3 19
1952-03-16 Sporting Covilha W 4-0 1129 1097 71.3% 17.2% 11.6% +15.6 25
1952-03-16 @ Boavista L 0-4 1097 1129 11.6% 17.2% 71.3% -15.7 23
1952-03-16 Benfica D 1-1 1081 1415 30.4% 17.3% 52.3% +1.6 19
1952-03-16 @ Estoril D 1-1 1415 1081 52.3% 17.3% 30.4% -1.6 34
1952-03-16 Oriental de Lisboa W 2-0 1458 1033 83.8% 14.8% 1.4% +1.0 35
1952-03-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1033 1458 1.4% 14.8% 83.8% -1.0 14
1952-03-16 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1024 1125 60.4% 17.4% 22.2% +8.0 19
1952-03-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1125 1024 22.2% 17.4% 60.4% -7.9 15
1952-03-23 Boavista W 6-1 1117 1145 67.1% 17.3% 15.6% +21.2 17
1952-03-23 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1145 1117 15.6% 17.3% 67.1% -21.1 25
1952-03-23 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1149 1072 73.9% 17.0% 9.2% -3.9 21
1952-03-23 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1072 1149 9.2% 17.0% 73.9% +3.8 19
1952-03-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1413 1032 83.0% 15.2% 1.8% +0.7 36
1952-03-23 @ Benfica L 0-1 1032 1413 1.8% 15.2% 83.0% -0.7 19
1952-03-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1069 1459 23.9% 17.1% 59.0% -15.9 19
1952-03-23 @ Braga W 2-0 1459 1069 59.0% 17.1% 23.9% +15.9 37
1952-03-23 Estoril W 4-0 1032 1082 65.2% 17.4% 17.4% +22.9 16
1952-03-23 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-4 1082 1032 17.4% 17.4% 65.2% -22.9 19
1952-03-23 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 918 1336 21.0% 17.0% 62.0% +18.4 15
1952-03-23 @ Salgueiros L 1-2 1336 918 62.0% 17.0% 21.0% -18.4 34
1952-03-23 Porto D 0-0 1081 1329 42.0% 17.4% 40.5% -0.1 24
1952-03-23 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1329 1081 40.5% 17.4% 42.0% +0.1 35
1952-03-30 Barreirense W 4-1 1318 1145 77.9% 16.5% 5.5% +5.0 36
1952-03-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1145 1318 5.5% 16.5% 77.9% -4.9 21
1952-03-30 Benfica L 0-3 1124 1414 36.1% 17.4% 46.5% -33.0 25
1952-03-30 @ Boavista W 3-0 1414 1124 46.5% 17.4% 36.1% +33.0 38
1952-03-30 Braga W 3-2 1060 1053 69.6% 17.2% 13.2% +4.4 21
1952-03-30 @ Estoril L 2-3 1053 1060 13.2% 17.2% 69.6% -4.4 19
1952-03-30 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1329 1139 78.5% 16.4% 5.0% -6.0 36
1952-03-30 @ Porto D 1-1 1139 1329 5.0% 16.4% 78.5% +6.0 18
1952-03-30 Salgueiros W 6-0 1475 937 85.4% 13.9% 0.8% +1.5 39
1952-03-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 937 1475 0.8% 13.9% 85.4% -1.5 15
1952-03-30 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1081 1076 69.5% 17.2% 13.3% -4.9 25
1952-03-30 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1076 1081 13.3% 17.2% 69.5% +4.9 20
1952-03-30 Oriental de Lisboa W 4-2 1032 1055 67.4% 17.3% 15.3% +8.3 21
1952-03-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1055 1032 15.3% 17.3% 67.4% -8.3 16
1952-04-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1081 1323 42.8% 17.4% 39.7% +12.3 22
1952-04-06 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1323 1081 39.7% 17.4% 42.8% -12.3 36
1952-04-06 Sporting Covilha W 5-0 1145 1076 73.4% 17.0% 9.6% +16.2 20
1952-04-06 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1076 1145 9.6% 17.0% 73.4% -16.2 25
1952-04-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1140 1476 30.1% 17.2% 52.6% -9.8 21
1952-04-06 @ Barreirense W 2-1 1476 1140 52.6% 17.2% 30.1% +9.8 41
1952-04-06 Porto W 2-0 1447 1323 76.0% 16.8% 7.2% +5.2 40
1952-04-06 @ Benfica L 0-2 1323 1447 7.2% 16.8% 76.0% -5.2 36
1952-04-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1049 1040 69.8% 17.2% 13.0% +4.9 21
1952-04-06 @ Braga L 0-1 1040 1049 13.0% 17.2% 69.8% -4.9 21
1952-04-06 Boavista W 3-0 1047 1091 65.7% 17.3% 16.9% +17.1 18
1952-04-06 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-3 1091 1047 16.9% 17.3% 65.7% -17.1 25
1952-04-06 Estoril W 1-0 935 1064 57.4% 17.5% 25.2% +8.9 17
1952-04-06 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1064 935 25.2% 17.5% 57.4% -8.9 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1952-03-16 3.05% Salgueiros 892 1 @ Barreirense 1175 0
2 1952-01-06 5.44% Academica de Coimbra 1000 1 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1175 0
3 1952-01-20 7.76% Oriental de Lisboa 1040 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1149 1
4 1951-09-23 11.59% Boavista 1100 3 @ Braga 1132 1
5 1951-10-28 11.65% Braga 1040 4 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1071 2
6 1951-12-09 13.73% Os Belenenses (1st) 1233 4 @ Barreirense 1231 1
7 1951-10-07 16.95% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1158 5 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1114 3
8 1951-09-30 19.00% Os Belenenses (1st) 1159 3 @ Estoril 1091 2
9 1952-01-13 20.84% Sporting Covilha 1173 4 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1085 1
10 1952-03-23 21.04% @ Salgueiros 918 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1336 1
11 1951-11-25 21.22% Os Belenenses (1st) 1183 4 @ Braga 1091 1
12 1951-09-23 23.03% Porto 1234 3 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1125 2
13 1951-11-11 23.31% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1341 5 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1229 2
14 1951-12-09 24.12% Porto 1317 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1197 1
15 1951-12-09 24.38% Sporting Covilha 1154 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1032 1
16 1951-09-30 25.56% Benfica 1306 4 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1174 3
17 1952-03-02 27.19% Academica de Coimbra 1055 2 @ Salgueiros 909 1
18 1951-12-02 29.01% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1060 2 Benfica 1405 1
19 1952-01-27 29.28% @ Salgueiros 877 3 Sporting Covilha 1220 1
20 1951-12-02 29.92% Barreirense 1216 3 @ Academica de Coimbra 1047 2
21 1952-01-06 31.89% Benfica 1373 1 @ Sporting Covilha 1189 0
22 1951-10-21 32.13% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1183 5 @ Salgueiros 996 1
23 1952-01-13 32.87% @ Braga 1041 2 Porto 1356 0
24 1952-03-09 33.51% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1376 6 @ Sporting Covilha 1179 0
25 1951-11-25 34.87% @ Oriental de Lisboa 1075 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1374 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1952-03-09 81.99 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 1376 33.51% @ Sporting Covilha 0 1179 49.01% 17.48%
2 1951-11-11 64.85 @ Oriental de Lisboa 6 1020 45.36% Barreirense 0 1244 37.18% 17.46%
3 1951-12-09 50.49 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1233 13.73% @ Barreirense 1 1231 69.02% 17.25%
4 1951-10-21 47.86 Atletico Clube de Portugal 5 1183 32.13% @ Salgueiros 1 996 50.39% 17.48%
5 1951-10-21 45.86 Benfica 6 1364 44.76% @ Braga 1 1086 37.86% 17.38%
6 1952-01-13 45.00 Sporting Covilha 4 1173 20.84% @ Oriental de Lisboa 1 1085 61.73% 17.43%
7 1951-11-25 44.71 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1183 21.22% @ Braga 1 1091 61.34% 17.43%
8 1951-11-25 42.03 Barreirense 5 1174 39.09% @ Salgueiros 1 937 43.47% 17.44%
9 1951-10-07 39.12 Benfica 3 1322 38.41% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1089 44.14% 17.45%
10 1952-02-03 37.60 @ Boavista 3 1141 40.46% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1400 42.13% 17.41%
11 1951-11-11 37.41 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5 1341 23.31% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 2 1229 59.24% 17.46%
12 1951-09-23 36.92 Boavista 3 1100 11.59% @ Braga 1 1132 71.25% 17.15%
13 1951-10-07 33.66 Porto 4 1260 37.37% @ Salgueiros 1 1034 45.18% 17.46%
14 1952-03-30 33.05 Benfica 3 1414 46.54% @ Boavista 0 1124 36.10% 17.36%
15 1951-10-28 33.00 Braga 4 1040 11.65% @ Oriental de Lisboa 2 1071 71.20% 17.15%
16 1951-12-09 29.99 Sporting Covilha 3 1154 24.38% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1032 58.16% 17.46%
17 1952-01-13 29.92 @ Braga 2 1041 32.87% Porto 0 1356 49.83% 17.31%
18 1951-10-07 28.66 Atletico Clube de Portugal 5 1158 16.95% @ Oriental de Lisboa 3 1114 65.70% 17.35%
19 1952-01-27 27.64 @ Salgueiros 3 877 29.28% Sporting Covilha 1 1220 53.49% 17.23%
20 1952-02-24 27.11 @ Academica de Coimbra 5 1028 56.67% Boavista 1 1164 25.86% 17.47%
21 1952-02-10 26.45 @ Estoril 5 1050 57.39% Boavista 1 1179 25.14% 17.47%
22 1952-03-16 25.83 Salgueiros 1 892 3.05% @ Barreirense 0 1175 81.07% 15.89%
23 1952-01-06 24.89 Academica de Coimbra 1 1000 5.44% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1175 78.03% 16.53%
24 1952-02-24 23.55 @ Estoril 3 1075 58.28% Sporting Covilha 0 1196 24.26% 17.46%
25 1952-03-23 22.93 @ Oriental de Lisboa 4 1032 65.19% Estoril 0 1082 17.45% 17.37%