1950-51 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

8.51 points above expected

45 points · 36.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Olhanense

4.60 points below expected

17 points · 21.60 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 21 3 2 45 91 28 +63 36.49 +8.51
2 Porto 26 15 4 7 34 67 32 +35 30.37 +3.63
3 Benfica 26 12 6 8 30 81 43 +38 33.64 -3.64
4 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 12 6 8 30 62 49 +13 28.25 +1.75
5 Oriental de Lisboa 26 11 5 10 27 37 57 -20 24.95 +2.05
6 Sporting Covilha 26 13 0 13 26 62 53 +9 25.62 +0.38
7 Braga 26 10 5 11 25 42 57 -15 24.36 +0.64
8 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 10 4 12 24 45 48 -3 25.08 -1.08
9 Academica de Coimbra 26 10 4 12 24 40 53 -13 23.48 +0.52
10 Boavista 26 10 3 13 23 50 62 -12 21.43 +1.57
11 Estoril 26 10 1 15 21 53 58 -5 23.83 -2.83
12 Vitoria Setubal 26 8 4 14 20 31 58 -27 22.33 -2.33
13 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 6 6 14 18 40 57 -17 22.56 -4.56
14 Olhanense 26 7 3 16 17 31 77 -46 21.60 -4.60

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1603 45 36.49 +8.51 99.4% 21 30 34 37 39 42 50
Benfica 1531 30 33.64 -3.64 20.6% 17 27 31 34 36 40 47
Porto 1447 34 30.37 +3.63 86.5% 17 24 28 30 33 37 44
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1373 30 28.25 +1.75 72.0% 15 22 26 28 31 35 43
Sporting Covilha 1321 26 25.62 +0.38 59.1% 12 19 23 26 28 32 40
Os Belenenses (1st) 1320 24 25.08 -1.08 44.1% 12 19 22 25 28 31 42
Braga 1300 25 24.36 +0.64 61.4% 10 18 22 24 27 31 39
Oriental de Lisboa 1297 27 24.95 +2.05 75.1% 8 19 22 25 27 31 42
Boavista 1247 23 21.43 +1.57 70.5% 7 15 19 21 24 28 36
Academica de Coimbra 1230 24 23.48 +0.52 61.0% 8 17 21 23 26 30 38
Estoril 1224 21 23.83 -2.83 27.3% 10 18 21 24 26 30 41
Vitoria Guimaraes 1196 18 22.56 -4.56 14.2% 9 16 20 23 25 29 37
Vitoria Setubal 1188 20 22.33 -2.33 30.9% 9 16 20 22 25 29 37
Olhanense 1172 17 21.60 -4.60 14.1% 5 15 19 22 24 28 38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BEN BOA BRA EST OLH ODL OB( POR SCDP SC VG VS
Academica de Coimbra
0-0-2
2.40
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.68
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
1.96
0-0-2
1.49
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.92
0-1-1
3.16
Atletico Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.16
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.36
0-1-1
3.72
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.40
Benfica
2-0-0
4.06
0-2-0
3.53
1-1-0
4.10
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-1
4.32
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.74
0-0-2
3.18
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
4.15
1-1-0
3.93
Boavista
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
1.32
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.62
Braga
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
1.79
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.84
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
3.08
Estoril
0-0-2
3.01
1-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
3.28
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
1.79
0-0-2
1.58
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.06
Olhanense
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.38
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.45
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.76
Oriental de Lisboa
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
2.20
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.60
2-0-0
2.76
0-2-0
3.09
0-0-2
3.21
Os Belenenses (1st)
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.23
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.08
Porto
0-1-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.90
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.42
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
3.78
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.76
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.69
1-1-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
4.08
1-0-1
4.59
2-0-0
4.39
Sporting Covilha
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.38
0-0-2
2.93
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.62
2-0-0
2.99
2-0-0
3.36
Vitoria Guimaraes
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.55
0-0-2
2.90
0-1-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
2.88
0-2-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
1.12
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.80
Vitoria Setubal
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.31
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-1
2.89

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.72 +3.4
Allowed 0.78 -5.2
Differential 0.82 +2.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.20%2.75%5.49%4.40%1.92%4.95%21.70%
12.75%7.14%4.40%4.95%2.20%1.92%23.35%
25.49%4.40%3.85%5.22%1.37%1.65%21.98%
34.40%4.95%5.22%1.10%0.82%0.55%17.03%
41.92%2.20%1.37%0.82%0.55%6.87%
5+4.95%1.92%1.65%0.55%9.07%
Total21.70%23.35%21.98%17.03%6.87%9.07%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.01 2.01 +0.00
SD 1.80 1.80 2.96
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%7.69%7.69%26.92%
17.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%38.46%
27.69%3.85%11.54%
37.69%7.69%
47.69%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%
Total26.92%23.08%7.69%26.92%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.04 -0.50
SD 1.56 1.95 2.89
CV 1.01 0.96
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%
17.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%30.77%
211.54%7.69%3.85%23.08%
37.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
43.85%7.69%3.85%15.38%
5+3.85%3.85%7.69%
Total26.92%23.08%15.38%11.54%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 1.88 +0.50
SD 1.47 1.68 2.69
CV 0.62 0.89
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%
115.38%11.54%26.92%
27.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
33.85%7.69%11.54%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+15.38%3.85%7.69%26.92%
Total23.08%19.23%34.62%19.23%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.12 1.65 +1.46
SD 2.55 1.26 3.34
CV 0.82 0.76
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%23.08%
13.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%23.08%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%
43.85%3.85%
5+7.69%7.69%
Total23.08%26.92%11.54%11.54%3.85%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.38 -0.46
SD 1.96 2.32 3.46
CV 1.02 0.97
Max 9 7 +9
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%26.92%
17.69%3.85%7.69%19.23%
27.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
37.69%15.38%3.85%26.92%
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total19.23%26.92%19.23%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 2.19 -0.58
SD 1.27 2.14 2.79
CV 0.78 0.97
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%23.08%
13.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
27.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
4
5+7.69%3.85%11.54%
Total19.23%15.38%23.08%23.08%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 2.23 -0.19
SD 1.56 1.73 2.73
CV 0.77 0.77
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%15.38%15.38%38.46%
13.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
33.85%7.69%11.54%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+
Total11.54%11.54%26.92%11.54%23.08%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.96 -1.77
SD 1.30 2.16 3.09
CV 1.09 0.73
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%30.77%
17.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%23.08%
211.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%30.77%
37.69%7.69%
43.85%3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%
Total26.92%23.08%15.38%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.19 -0.77
SD 1.33 2.47 3.23
CV 0.94 1.12
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%26.92%
13.85%3.85%7.69%15.38%
27.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%30.77%
33.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
47.69%7.69%15.38%
5+
Total26.92%15.38%23.08%26.92%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.85 -0.12
SD 1.40 1.59 2.12
CV 0.81 0.86
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
17.69%11.54%3.85%23.08%
27.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
315.38%3.85%3.85%23.08%
43.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%
5+7.69%7.69%15.38%
Total34.62%23.08%30.77%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.58 1.23 +1.35
SD 1.86 1.14 2.50
CV 0.72 0.93
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%
17.69%7.69%
211.54%7.69%3.85%23.08%
33.85%11.54%11.54%26.92%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+19.23%3.85%3.85%26.92%
Total38.46%26.92%23.08%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 1.08 +2.42
SD 2.39 1.06 2.90
CV 0.68 0.98
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%19.23%
111.54%3.85%15.38%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%19.23%
33.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%23.08%
43.85%3.85%7.69%
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
Total11.54%23.08%38.46%11.54%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.38 2.04 +0.35
SD 1.83 1.37 2.50
CV 0.77 0.67
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%26.92%
115.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
23.85%7.69%11.54%23.08%
311.54%3.85%3.85%19.23%
4
5+3.85%3.85%
Total3.85%38.46%23.08%19.23%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.19 -0.65
SD 1.42 1.50 2.28
CV 0.92 0.68
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%3.85%11.54%30.77%
17.69%15.38%3.85%7.69%34.62%
211.54%11.54%23.08%
33.85%3.85%7.69%
43.85%3.85%
5+
Total11.54%30.77%15.38%26.92%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 2.23 -1.04
SD 1.10 1.68 2.42
CV 0.92 0.75
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 45 36.49 +8.51
2 Porto 34 30.37 +3.63
3 Oriental de Lisboa 27 24.95 +2.05
4 Atletico Clube de Portugal 30 28.25 +1.75
5 Boavista 23 21.43 +1.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Olhanense 17 21.60 -4.60
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 18 22.56 -4.56
3 Benfica 30 33.64 -3.64
4 Estoril 21 23.83 -2.83
5 Vitoria Setubal 20 22.33 -2.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 135
2 Porto 6 Dec 10 – Jan 21 1 in 86
3 Sporting Covilha 4 Nov 5 – Nov 26 1 in 38
4 Boavista 4 Jan 28 – Feb 18 1 in 33
5 Estoril 2 Nov 5 – Nov 12 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 3 Jan 7 – Jan 21 1 in 77
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 Jan 21 – Feb 11 1 in 65
3 Vitoria Setubal 6 Jan 28 – Mar 4 1 in 63
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 Nov 26 – Nov 26 1 in 31
5 Benfica 3 Jan 7 – Jan 21 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 8 Dec 10 – Feb 11 1 in 54
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 45
3 Porto 8 Nov 26 – Jan 21 1 in 36
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 10 Sep 17 – Nov 19 1 in 36
5 Oriental de Lisboa 6 Dec 17 – Jan 28 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Dec 3 – Jan 7 1 in 44
2 Porto 4 Oct 29 – Nov 19 1 in 41
3 Benfica 5 Dec 17 – Jan 21 1 in 36
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 5 Jan 14 – Feb 11 1 in 34
5 Academica de Coimbra 6 Dec 3 – Jan 14 1 in 18

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal65.82%22.21%7.39%2.59%1.20%0.44%0.21%0.06%0.02%0.03%0.02%0.01%
Porto6.40%19.66%27.46%16.75%11.08%6.36%4.54%2.68%2.21%1.35%0.76%0.46%0.20%0.09%
Benfica23.65%39.82%19.04%8.63%3.99%2.28%1.24%0.63%0.32%0.17%0.16%0.05%0.01%0.01%
Atletico Clube de Portugal2.10%8.35%16.82%19.22%14.44%11.32%7.94%6.37%4.29%3.24%2.49%1.79%1.13%0.50%
Oriental de Lisboa0.44%1.63%4.38%7.07%9.76%10.79%10.34%9.88%9.94%9.41%8.42%7.13%6.35%4.46%
Sporting Covilha0.60%2.70%7.09%10.81%12.63%11.94%10.97%9.46%8.62%7.06%6.18%5.52%3.84%2.58%
Braga0.20%1.41%3.66%6.68%8.22%9.17%10.35%9.88%9.90%9.78%9.28%8.40%7.26%5.81%
Os Belenenses (1st)0.36%1.61%4.87%8.84%10.94%11.44%10.99%11.10%9.78%8.57%7.21%6.08%4.99%3.22%
Academica de Coimbra0.10%0.81%2.27%4.50%6.38%7.76%8.98%9.87%10.04%10.43%11.04%10.41%9.07%8.34%
Boavista0.01%0.17%0.70%2.06%3.09%4.48%5.75%7.15%7.84%9.83%11.05%13.08%15.55%19.24%
Estoril0.19%0.75%3.20%5.63%7.59%8.74%9.54%10.61%10.27%10.13%9.81%8.94%8.27%6.33%
Vitoria Setubal0.04%0.30%1.15%2.30%4.04%5.12%6.70%7.60%9.12%10.21%11.50%12.95%14.20%14.77%
Vitoria Guimaraes0.06%0.36%1.27%3.04%4.09%6.25%7.25%8.34%10.04%10.77%11.20%11.65%13.40%12.28%
Olhanense0.03%0.22%0.70%1.88%2.55%3.91%5.20%6.37%7.61%9.02%10.88%13.53%15.73%22.37%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+42.31%
Strong Edge
63.74%14.84%21.43%
Elo Value
Home Edge
114 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
0156.84300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.43 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
66%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.42/gm
Comfortable
00.140.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.06 * Some Luck: 3.06 to 4.58 * Lucky: 4.58 to 6.11 * Wild Swing: 6.11 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.92 * Close: 1.92 to 2.88 * Off: 2.88 to 3.84 * Way Off: 3.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.44 points
Some Luck
03.8210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Pinpoint
02.405
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.42%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
14.07%
Olhanense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.42
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
92%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
41%
Frequent
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
35%
Very Frequent
0%40%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.050
Well Within Noise
00.0950.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100%
Benfica 99.98% 0.02%
Porto 99.71% 0.29%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 98.37% 1.63%
Sporting Covilha 93.58% 6.42%
Os Belenenses (1st) 91.79% 8.21%
Oriental de Lisboa 89.19% 10.81%
Braga 86.93% 13.07%
Estoril 85.40% 14.60%
Academica de Coimbra 82.59% 17.41%
Vitoria Guimaraes 74.32% 25.68%
Vitoria Setubal 71.03% 28.97%
Boavista 65.21% 34.79%
Olhanense 61.90% 38.10%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1950-09-17 Oriental de Lisboa W 5-0 1249 1322 62.5% 15.7% 21.8% +20.8 2
1950-09-17 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-5 1322 1249 21.8% 15.7% 62.5% -20.8 0
1950-09-17 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1315 1250 73.6% 15.3% 11.2% +4.8 2
1950-09-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1250 1315 11.2% 15.3% 73.6% -4.8 0
1950-09-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1512 1497 70.2% 15.4% 14.3% -22.1 0
1950-09-17 @ Benfica W 3-1 1497 1512 14.3% 15.4% 70.2% +22.1 2
1950-09-17 Braga L 1-2 1199 1295 60.1% 15.7% 24.2% -10.9 0
1950-09-17 @ Boavista W 2-1 1295 1199 24.2% 15.7% 60.1% +10.9 2
1950-09-17 Sporting Covilha W 5-0 1283 1287 68.8% 15.5% 15.7% +15.4 2
1950-09-17 @ Estoril L 0-5 1287 1283 15.7% 15.5% 68.8% -15.4 0
1950-09-17 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1288 1344 64.2% 15.6% 20.2% +10.1 2
1950-09-17 @ Olhanense L 1-4 1344 1288 20.2% 15.6% 64.2% -10.1 0
1950-09-17 Porto D 2-2 1258 1352 60.3% 15.7% 24.0% -1.2 1
1950-09-17 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1352 1258 24.0% 15.7% 60.3% +1.2 1
1950-09-24 Benfica D 2-2 1334 1490 52.9% 15.7% 31.4% -0.7 1
1950-09-24 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1490 1334 31.4% 15.7% 52.9% +0.7 1
1950-09-24 Olhanense W 3-1 1306 1299 69.6% 15.5% 14.9% +5.4 4
1950-09-24 @ Braga L 1-3 1299 1306 14.9% 15.5% 69.6% -5.4 2
1950-09-24 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1301 1320 67.5% 15.6% 17.0% +6.1 2
1950-09-24 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-3 1320 1301 17.0% 15.6% 67.5% -6.1 2
1950-09-24 Boavista W 3-0 1353 1188 78.6% 14.8% 6.6% +4.2 3
1950-09-24 @ Porto L 0-3 1188 1353 6.6% 14.8% 78.6% -4.2 0
1950-09-24 Academica de Coimbra W 7-0 1519 1270 81.5% 14.2% 4.2% +5.9 4
1950-09-24 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-7 1270 1519 4.2% 14.2% 81.5% -5.9 2
1950-09-24 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-3 1271 1257 70.1% 15.4% 14.4% +5.9 2
1950-09-24 @ Sporting Covilha L 3-6 1257 1271 14.4% 15.4% 70.1% -6.0 1
1950-09-24 Estoril W 3-2 1245 1298 64.4% 15.6% 20.0% +3.9 2
1950-09-24 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1298 1245 20.0% 15.6% 64.4% -3.9 2
1950-10-01 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1264 1314 64.7% 15.6% 19.6% +8.1 4
1950-10-01 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1314 1264 19.6% 15.6% 64.7% -8.1 2
1950-10-01 Braga W 8-2 1491 1311 79.2% 14.7% 6.1% +5.0 3
1950-10-01 @ Benfica L 2-8 1311 1491 6.1% 14.7% 79.2% -5.0 4
1950-10-01 Sporting Covilha W 4-3 1184 1277 60.3% 15.7% 24.0% +4.5 2
1950-10-01 @ Boavista L 3-4 1277 1184 24.0% 15.7% 60.3% -4.5 2
1950-10-01 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-1 1295 1307 68.0% 15.5% 16.4% +5.9 4
1950-10-01 @ Estoril L 1-3 1307 1295 16.4% 15.5% 68.0% -5.9 2
1950-10-01 Porto L 0-4 1293 1357 63.4% 15.7% 21.0% -43.5 2
1950-10-01 @ Olhanense W 4-0 1357 1293 21.0% 15.7% 63.4% +43.5 5
1950-10-01 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1525 1333 79.6% 14.6% 5.8% +3.0 6
1950-10-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1333 1525 5.8% 14.6% 79.6% -3.0 1
1950-10-01 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1251 1249 69.2% 15.5% 15.3% -2.6 2
1950-10-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1249 1251 15.3% 15.5% 69.2% +2.6 3
1950-10-08 Academica de Coimbra W 6-1 1330 1272 73.2% 15.3% 11.6% +9.5 3
1950-10-08 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1272 1330 11.6% 15.3% 73.2% -9.5 4
1950-10-08 Estoril W 4-3 1306 1301 69.4% 15.5% 15.1% +2.9 4
1950-10-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 3-4 1301 1306 15.1% 15.5% 69.4% -2.9 4
1950-10-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1306 1528 44.1% 15.7% 40.2% -7.8 4
1950-10-08 @ Braga W 3-2 1528 1306 40.2% 15.7% 44.1% +7.8 8
1950-10-08 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1301 1249 72.8% 15.3% 11.9% -2.9 3
1950-10-08 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 1-1 1249 1301 11.9% 15.3% 72.8% +2.9 3
1950-10-08 Benfica W 5-2 1401 1496 60.1% 15.7% 24.2% +10.3 7
1950-10-08 @ Porto L 2-5 1496 1401 24.2% 15.7% 60.1% -10.3 3
1950-10-08 Olhanense W 4-2 1273 1250 70.8% 15.4% 13.8% +4.5 4
1950-10-08 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-4 1250 1273 13.8% 15.4% 70.8% -4.5 2
1950-10-08 Boavista W 1-0 1252 1188 73.5% 15.3% 11.3% +2.5 5
1950-10-08 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1188 1252 11.3% 15.3% 73.5% -2.5 2
1950-10-15 Estoril W 4-1 1262 1298 66.1% 15.6% 18.3% +9.3 6
1950-10-15 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1298 1262 18.3% 15.6% 66.1% -9.3 4
1950-10-15 Braga W 3-0 1340 1298 72.0% 15.4% 12.6% +7.7 5
1950-10-15 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1298 1340 12.6% 15.4% 72.0% -7.7 4
1950-10-15 Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1486 1277 80.2% 14.5% 5.3% +1.1 5
1950-10-15 @ Benfica L 2-3 1277 1486 5.3% 14.5% 80.2% -1.1 4
1950-10-15 Oriental de Lisboa D 2-2 1186 1298 58.2% 15.7% 26.1% -1.1 3
1950-10-15 @ Boavista D 2-2 1298 1186 26.1% 15.7% 58.2% +1.1 4
1950-10-15 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1245 1254 68.3% 15.5% 16.2% -2.5 3
1950-10-15 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1254 1245 16.2% 15.5% 68.3% +2.5 6
1950-10-15 Porto W 2-1 1535 1411 76.8% 15.0% 8.2% +1.8 10
1950-10-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1411 1535 8.2% 15.0% 76.8% -1.8 7
1950-10-15 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1252 1308 64.1% 15.6% 20.3% +7.2 5
1950-10-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1308 1252 20.3% 15.6% 64.1% -7.2 4
1950-10-22 Boavista W 4-3 1301 1185 76.4% 15.0% 8.6% +1.7 6
1950-10-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 3-4 1185 1301 8.6% 15.0% 76.4% -1.7 3
1950-10-22 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1291 1272 70.5% 15.4% 14.1% +5.1 6
1950-10-22 @ Braga L 1-3 1272 1291 14.1% 15.4% 70.5% -5.1 6
1950-10-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1288 1259 71.2% 15.4% 13.4% +2.7 6
1950-10-22 @ Estoril L 2-3 1259 1288 13.4% 15.4% 71.2% -2.7 5
1950-10-22 Olhanense W 2-0 1299 1243 73.0% 15.3% 11.7% +4.9 6
1950-10-22 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-2 1243 1299 11.7% 15.3% 73.0% -5.0 3
1950-10-22 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1409 1347 73.4% 15.3% 11.3% +7.0 9
1950-10-22 @ Porto L 0-3 1347 1409 11.3% 15.3% 73.4% -7.0 5
1950-10-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1276 1537 38.5% 15.6% 45.8% -6.9 4
1950-10-22 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1537 1276 45.8% 15.6% 38.5% +6.9 12
1950-10-22 Benfica D 1-1 1257 1487 42.9% 15.7% 41.4% -0.1 7
1950-10-22 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1487 1257 41.4% 15.7% 42.9% +0.1 6
1950-10-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1266 1256 69.8% 15.5% 14.7% +2.9 8
1950-10-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1256 1266 14.7% 15.5% 69.8% -2.9 5
1950-10-29 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1340 1269 73.9% 15.2% 10.8% +4.6 7
1950-10-29 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1269 1340 10.8% 15.2% 73.9% -4.6 4
1950-10-29 Oriental de Lisboa W 9-0 1487 1304 79.3% 14.6% 6.0% +10.7 8
1950-10-29 @ Benfica L 0-9 1304 1487 6.0% 14.6% 79.3% -10.7 6
1950-10-29 Estoril W 2-0 1183 1291 58.7% 15.7% 25.6% +10.2 5
1950-10-29 @ Boavista L 0-2 1291 1183 25.6% 15.7% 58.7% -10.2 6
1950-10-29 Porto D 1-1 1296 1416 57.3% 15.7% 27.0% -1.4 7
1950-10-29 @ Braga D 1-1 1416 1296 27.0% 15.7% 57.3% +1.4 10
1950-10-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1238 1303 63.2% 15.7% 21.1% +4.1 5
1950-10-29 @ Olhanense L 2-3 1303 1238 21.1% 15.7% 63.2% -4.1 6
1950-10-29 Vitoria Setubal W 6-0 1544 1257 82.6% 13.9% 3.5% +4.1 14
1950-10-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1257 1544 3.5% 13.9% 82.6% -4.1 7
1950-11-05 Benfica L 2-5 1299 1497 47.3% 15.7% 37.0% -18.5 6
1950-11-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-2 1497 1299 37.0% 15.7% 47.3% +18.5 10
1950-11-05 Olhanense W 5-0 1281 1242 71.9% 15.4% 12.7% +12.6 8
1950-11-05 @ Estoril L 0-5 1242 1281 12.7% 15.4% 71.9% -12.6 5
1950-11-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1293 1548 39.4% 15.6% 45.0% +0.3 7
1950-11-05 @ Oriental de Lisboa D 0-0 1548 1293 45.0% 15.6% 39.4% -0.3 15
1950-11-05 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1418 1269 77.9% 14.8% 7.2% -3.5 11
1950-11-05 @ Porto D 1-1 1269 1418 7.2% 14.8% 77.9% +3.5 9
1950-11-05 Braga W 4-0 1265 1294 66.6% 15.6% 17.8% +14.0 6
1950-11-05 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-4 1294 1265 17.8% 15.6% 66.6% -14.0 7
1950-11-05 Boavista L 0-1 1253 1193 73.3% 15.3% 11.5% -14.1 5
1950-11-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1193 1253 11.5% 15.3% 73.3% +14.1 7
1950-11-05 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1253 1345 60.4% 15.7% 23.9% -21.9 7
1950-11-05 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1345 1253 23.9% 15.7% 60.4% +21.9 9
1950-11-12 Boavista W 3-2 1273 1207 73.6% 15.3% 11.1% +2.2 11
1950-11-12 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1207 1273 11.1% 15.3% 73.6% -2.2 7
1950-11-12 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-0 1367 1294 74.1% 15.2% 10.7% +6.6 11
1950-11-12 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1294 1367 10.7% 15.2% 74.1% -6.6 7
1950-11-12 Estoril L 2-3 1516 1293 80.7% 14.4% 4.9% -13.9 10
1950-11-12 @ Benfica W 3-2 1293 1516 4.9% 14.4% 80.7% +13.9 10
1950-11-12 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1280 1231 72.6% 15.3% 12.1% +4.4 9
1950-11-12 @ Braga L 1-3 1231 1280 12.1% 15.3% 72.6% -4.4 7
1950-11-12 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1229 1239 68.2% 15.5% 16.2% -2.5 6
1950-11-12 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1239 1229 16.2% 15.5% 68.2% +2.5 6
1950-11-12 Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1414 1279 77.3% 14.9% 7.8% -14.1 11
1950-11-12 @ Porto W 2-1 1279 1414 7.8% 14.9% 77.3% +14.1 8
1950-11-12 Os Belenenses (1st) W 6-2 1548 1280 82.1% 14.1% 3.8% +2.2 17
1950-11-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-6 1280 1548 3.8% 14.1% 82.1% -2.2 6
1950-11-19 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1278 1373 60.1% 15.7% 24.2% +4.9 8
1950-11-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1373 1278 24.2% 15.7% 60.1% -4.9 11
1950-11-19 Olhanense W 9-0 1205 1227 67.3% 15.6% 17.2% +29.1 9
1950-11-19 @ Boavista L 0-9 1227 1205 17.2% 15.6% 67.3% -29.1 6
1950-11-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1307 1550 41.1% 15.7% 43.3% -7.7 10
1950-11-19 @ Estoril W 2-1 1550 1307 43.3% 15.7% 41.1% +7.7 19
1950-11-19 Braga W 2-0 1287 1285 69.2% 15.5% 15.3% +6.4 9
1950-11-19 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-2 1285 1287 15.3% 15.5% 69.2% -6.4 9
1950-11-19 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1293 1275 70.4% 15.4% 14.2% +5.2 10
1950-11-19 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1275 1293 14.2% 15.4% 70.4% -5.2 11
1950-11-19 Benfica W 3-1 1242 1502 38.6% 15.6% 45.8% +14.6 8
1950-11-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1502 1242 45.8% 15.6% 38.6% -14.6 10
1950-11-19 Porto W 3-0 1226 1400 50.6% 15.7% 33.6% +18.9 9
1950-11-19 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1400 1226 33.6% 15.7% 50.6% -18.9 11
1950-11-26 Olhanense W 4-1 1270 1198 74.0% 15.2% 10.8% +5.6 13
1950-11-26 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1198 1270 10.8% 15.2% 74.0% -5.6 6
1950-11-26 Estoril D 3-3 1369 1300 73.8% 15.2% 10.9% -1.9 12
1950-11-26 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1300 1369 10.9% 15.2% 73.8% +1.9 11
1950-11-26 Boavista W 7-1 1487 1234 81.7% 14.2% 4.2% +4.1 12
1950-11-26 @ Benfica L 1-7 1234 1487 4.2% 14.2% 81.7% -4.1 9
1950-11-26 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1278 1283 68.7% 15.5% 15.8% -21.6 9
1950-11-26 @ Braga W 3-1 1283 1278 15.8% 15.5% 68.7% +21.6 10
1950-11-26 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-0 1381 1294 74.9% 15.2% 9.9% +6.2 13
1950-11-26 @ Porto L 0-3 1294 1381 9.9% 15.2% 74.9% -6.2 9
1950-11-26 Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1558 1256 83.0% 13.8% 3.2% -14.3 19
1950-11-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1256 1558 3.2% 13.8% 83.0% +14.3 10
1950-11-26 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1298 1245 72.8% 15.3% 11.9% +2.4 12
1950-11-26 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1245 1298 11.9% 15.3% 72.8% -2.4 9
1950-12-03 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1276 1243 71.5% 15.4% 13.1% -2.8 14
1950-12-03 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1243 1276 13.1% 15.4% 71.5% +2.8 10
1950-12-03 Porto D 3-3 1305 1387 61.5% 15.7% 22.9% -1.1 11
1950-12-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 3-3 1387 1305 22.9% 15.7% 61.5% +1.1 14
1950-12-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1230 1544 31.6% 15.5% 52.9% -6.5 9
1950-12-03 @ Boavista W 1-0 1544 1230 52.9% 15.5% 31.6% +6.5 21
1950-12-03 Braga W 2-0 1302 1257 72.3% 15.3% 12.4% +5.2 13
1950-12-03 @ Estoril L 0-2 1257 1302 12.4% 15.3% 72.3% -5.2 9
1950-12-03 Benfica W 2-0 1192 1491 33.4% 15.5% 51.1% +18.6 8
1950-12-03 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1491 1192 51.1% 15.5% 33.4% -18.6 12
1950-12-03 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1287 1300 68.0% 15.5% 16.5% +3.6 11
1950-12-03 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-1 1300 1287 16.5% 15.5% 68.0% -3.6 12
1950-12-03 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1270 1367 60.0% 15.7% 24.3% +8.5 12
1950-12-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1367 1270 24.3% 15.7% 60.0% -8.5 12
1950-12-10 Boavista W 5-0 1358 1224 77.3% 14.9% 7.8% +7.8 14
1950-12-10 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1224 1358 7.8% 14.9% 77.3% -7.8 9
1950-12-10 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1473 1273 79.9% 14.5% 5.5% +1.1 14
1950-12-10 @ Benfica L 2-3 1273 1473 5.5% 14.5% 79.9% -1.1 14
1950-12-10 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1252 1279 66.8% 15.6% 17.7% +7.3 11
1950-12-10 @ Braga L 0-2 1279 1252 17.7% 15.6% 66.8% -7.3 12
1950-12-10 Estoril W 4-2 1389 1307 74.6% 15.2% 10.2% +3.4 16
1950-12-10 @ Porto L 2-4 1307 1389 10.2% 15.2% 74.6% -3.4 13
1950-12-10 Olhanense W 3-0 1550 1211 83.9% 13.5% 2.6% +1.6 23
1950-12-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1211 1550 2.6% 13.5% 83.9% -1.6 8
1950-12-10 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1297 1304 68.5% 15.5% 16.0% +6.7 14
1950-12-10 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1304 1297 16.0% 15.5% 68.5% -6.7 11
1950-12-10 Oriental de Lisboa W 4-1 1246 1291 65.1% 15.6% 19.2% +9.7 12
1950-12-10 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-4 1291 1246 19.2% 15.6% 65.1% -9.7 11
1950-12-17 Olhanense W 3-1 1366 1209 78.3% 14.8% 6.9% +2.6 16
1950-12-17 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1209 1366 6.9% 14.8% 78.3% -2.6 8
1950-12-17 Boavista L 1-2 1259 1216 72.2% 15.3% 12.5% -13.1 11
1950-12-17 @ Braga W 2-1 1216 1259 12.5% 15.3% 72.2% +13.1 11
1950-12-17 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1281 1272 69.8% 15.5% 14.8% +5.4 13
1950-12-17 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-3 1272 1281 14.8% 15.5% 69.8% -5.4 14
1950-12-17 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-1 1392 1272 76.6% 15.0% 8.4% +4.4 18
1950-12-17 @ Porto L 1-4 1272 1392 8.4% 15.0% 76.6% -4.4 12
1950-12-17 Benfica D 2-2 1552 1474 74.3% 15.2% 10.5% -2.3 24
1950-12-17 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1474 1552 10.5% 15.2% 74.3% +2.3 15
1950-12-17 Estoril W 3-0 1303 1303 69.0% 15.5% 15.5% +9.4 16
1950-12-17 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1303 1303 15.5% 15.5% 69.0% -9.4 13
1950-12-17 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1255 1297 65.5% 15.6% 18.9% +3.9 14
1950-12-17 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1297 1255 18.9% 15.6% 65.5% -3.9 11
1950-12-31 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1266 1549 35.5% 15.6% 48.9% -11.8 14
1950-12-31 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1549 1266 48.9% 15.6% 35.5% +11.8 26
1950-12-31 Oriental de Lisboa D 0-0 1293 1287 69.5% 15.5% 15.0% -2.9 12
1950-12-31 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1287 1293 15.0% 15.5% 69.5% +2.9 14
1950-12-31 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1476 1369 76.0% 15.1% 9.0% -3.3 16
1950-12-31 @ Benfica D 1-1 1369 1476 9.0% 15.1% 76.0% +3.3 17
1950-12-31 Porto L 2-6 1229 1396 51.5% 15.7% 32.8% -25.2 11
1950-12-31 @ Boavista W 6-2 1396 1229 32.8% 15.7% 51.5% +25.2 20
1950-12-31 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1294 1259 71.6% 15.4% 13.0% +8.0 15
1950-12-31 @ Estoril L 0-3 1259 1294 13.0% 15.4% 71.6% -8.0 14
1950-12-31 Braga D 2-2 1206 1246 65.7% 15.6% 18.7% -1.6 9
1950-12-31 @ Olhanense D 2-2 1246 1206 18.7% 15.6% 65.7% +1.7 12
1950-12-31 Sporting Covilha L 1-5 1267 1313 65.1% 15.6% 19.2% -37.3 12
1950-12-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1313 1267 19.2% 15.6% 65.1% +37.3 18
1951-01-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1372 1561 48.6% 15.7% 35.7% -0.4 18
1951-01-07 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1561 1372 35.7% 15.7% 48.6% +0.4 27
1951-01-07 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1290 1255 71.7% 15.4% 13.0% -3.1 13
1951-01-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1255 1290 13.0% 15.4% 71.7% +3.2 15
1951-01-07 Benfica W 3-1 1247 1473 43.5% 15.7% 40.8% +13.3 14
1951-01-07 @ Braga L 1-3 1473 1247 40.8% 15.7% 43.5% -13.3 16
1951-01-07 Estoril W 2-0 1290 1302 68.0% 15.5% 16.4% +6.8 16
1951-01-07 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 0-2 1302 1290 16.4% 15.5% 68.0% -6.8 15
1951-01-07 Olhanense W 7-0 1422 1205 80.5% 14.4% 5.1% +7.0 22
1951-01-07 @ Porto L 0-7 1205 1422 5.1% 14.4% 80.5% -7.0 9
1951-01-07 Boavista W 6-2 1350 1204 77.8% 14.9% 7.3% +4.2 20
1951-01-07 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-6 1204 1350 7.3% 14.9% 77.8% -4.2 11
1951-01-07 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1251 1230 70.7% 15.4% 13.9% -12.8 14
1951-01-07 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1230 1251 13.9% 15.4% 70.7% +12.8 14
1951-01-14 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1258 1372 58.1% 15.7% 26.2% -25.8 15
1951-01-14 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1372 1258 26.2% 15.7% 58.1% +25.8 20
1951-01-14 Porto L 0-2 1460 1429 71.4% 15.4% 13.2% -25.9 16
1951-01-14 @ Benfica W 2-0 1429 1460 13.2% 15.4% 71.4% +25.9 24
1951-01-14 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1199 1238 65.8% 15.6% 18.6% +3.6 13
1951-01-14 @ Boavista L 2-3 1238 1199 18.6% 15.6% 65.8% -3.6 14
1951-01-14 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1295 1287 69.7% 15.5% 14.8% -25.3 15
1951-01-14 @ Estoril W 2-0 1287 1295 14.8% 15.5% 69.7% +25.3 15
1951-01-14 Sporting Covilha W 4-2 1198 1354 52.9% 15.7% 31.4% +9.5 11
1951-01-14 @ Olhanense L 2-4 1354 1198 31.4% 15.7% 52.9% -9.5 20
1951-01-14 Braga W 8-0 1562 1261 83.0% 13.8% 3.2% +5.0 29
1951-01-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-8 1261 1562 3.2% 13.8% 83.0% -5.0 14
1951-01-14 Oriental de Lisboa D 2-2 1243 1296 64.4% 15.6% 20.0% -1.5 15
1951-01-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1296 1243 20.0% 15.6% 64.4% +1.5 17
1951-01-21 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1312 1241 73.9% 15.2% 10.8% +6.7 17
1951-01-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1241 1312 10.8% 15.2% 73.9% -6.7 15
1951-01-21 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 4-4 1256 1397 54.7% 15.7% 29.5% -0.6 15
1951-01-21 @ Braga D 4-4 1397 1256 29.5% 15.7% 54.7% +0.6 21
1951-01-21 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1270 1232 71.8% 15.4% 12.8% -13.8 15
1951-01-21 @ Estoril W 1-0 1232 1270 12.8% 15.4% 71.8% +13.8 17
1951-01-21 Boavista W 5-1 1298 1203 75.3% 15.1% 9.6% +6.5 19
1951-01-21 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-5 1203 1298 9.6% 15.1% 75.3% -6.5 13
1951-01-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1454 1567 58.2% 15.7% 26.1% +15.1 26
1951-01-21 @ Porto L 0-3 1567 1454 26.1% 15.7% 58.2% -15.1 29
1951-01-21 Benfica W 3-2 1345 1434 60.8% 15.7% 23.5% +4.5 22
1951-01-21 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1434 1345 23.5% 15.7% 60.8% -4.5 16
1951-01-21 Olhanense W 2-1 1235 1207 71.1% 15.4% 13.5% +2.8 16
1951-01-21 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1207 1235 13.5% 15.4% 71.1% -2.8 11
1951-01-28 Braga D 0-0 1246 1255 68.3% 15.5% 16.2% -2.8 18
1951-01-28 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1255 1246 16.2% 15.5% 68.3% +2.8 16
1951-01-28 Porto W 4-1 1398 1470 62.6% 15.7% 21.7% +10.8 23
1951-01-28 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1470 1398 21.7% 15.7% 62.6% -10.8 26
1951-01-28 Vitoria Setubal W 6-0 1429 1238 79.6% 14.6% 5.8% +6.9 18
1951-01-28 @ Benfica L 0-6 1238 1429 5.8% 14.6% 79.6% -6.9 16
1951-01-28 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1197 1319 57.1% 15.7% 27.2% +10.8 15
1951-01-28 @ Boavista L 0-2 1319 1197 27.2% 15.7% 57.1% -10.8 17
1951-01-28 Oriental de Lisboa L 1-2 1204 1304 59.6% 15.7% 24.7% -10.8 11
1951-01-28 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1304 1204 24.7% 15.7% 59.6% +10.8 21
1951-01-28 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1552 1349 80.0% 14.5% 5.5% +1.2 31
1951-01-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1349 1552 5.5% 14.5% 80.0% -1.2 22
1951-01-28 Estoril L 1-2 1234 1256 67.3% 15.6% 17.2% -12.2 15
1951-01-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1256 1234 17.2% 15.6% 67.3% +12.2 17
1951-02-04 Olhanense W 4-0 1308 1194 76.3% 15.0% 8.7% +7.1 19
1951-02-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1194 1308 8.7% 15.0% 76.3% -7.0 11
1951-02-04 Boavista L 1-3 1268 1207 73.3% 15.3% 11.4% -23.1 17
1951-02-04 @ Estoril W 3-1 1207 1268 11.4% 15.3% 73.3% +23.1 17
1951-02-04 Benfica L 2-4 1315 1436 57.2% 15.7% 27.1% -16.1 21
1951-02-04 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 4-2 1436 1315 27.1% 15.7% 57.2% +16.1 20
1951-02-04 Braga W 3-1 1459 1258 80.0% 14.5% 5.5% +2.0 28
1951-02-04 @ Porto L 1-3 1258 1459 5.5% 14.5% 80.0% -2.0 16
1951-02-04 Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1222 1243 67.3% 15.6% 17.1% -24.4 15
1951-02-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1243 1222 17.1% 15.6% 67.3% +24.4 20
1951-02-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1231 1553 30.5% 15.5% 54.0% -10.3 16
1951-02-04 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1553 1231 54.0% 15.5% 30.5% +10.3 33
1951-02-11 Porto W 1-0 1267 1461 48.0% 15.7% 36.2% +7.3 22
1951-02-11 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1461 1267 36.2% 15.7% 48.0% -7.3 28
1951-02-11 Vitoria Setubal W 4-0 1409 1220 79.5% 14.6% 5.9% +4.8 25
1951-02-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1220 1409 5.9% 14.6% 79.5% -4.8 16
1951-02-11 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1452 1315 77.4% 14.9% 7.7% -3.4 21
1951-02-11 @ Benfica D 1-1 1315 1452 7.7% 14.9% 77.4% +3.4 20
1951-02-11 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1230 1198 71.5% 15.4% 13.2% +8.1 19
1951-02-11 @ Boavista L 0-3 1198 1230 13.2% 15.4% 71.5% -8.1 15
1951-02-11 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1256 1348 60.4% 15.7% 23.9% +9.6 18
1951-02-11 @ Braga L 0-2 1348 1256 23.9% 15.7% 60.4% -9.6 22
1951-02-11 Oriental de Lisboa W 9-0 1563 1299 82.0% 14.1% 3.9% +6.9 35
1951-02-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-9 1299 1563 3.9% 14.1% 82.0% -6.9 21
1951-02-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1319 1570 39.9% 15.7% 44.5% -7.1 20
1951-02-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1570 1319 44.5% 15.7% 39.9% +7.1 37
1951-02-18 Academica de Coimbra W 5-0 1239 1275 66.0% 15.6% 18.4% +17.8 21
1951-02-18 @ Boavista L 0-5 1275 1239 18.4% 15.6% 66.0% -17.8 22
1951-02-18 Benfica L 0-7 1245 1449 46.6% 15.7% 37.7% -55.2 17
1951-02-18 @ Estoril W 7-0 1449 1245 37.7% 15.7% 46.6% +55.2 23
1951-02-18 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1292 1414 57.2% 15.7% 27.1% +8.3 23
1951-02-18 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 2-4 1414 1292 27.1% 15.7% 57.2% -8.3 25
1951-02-18 Porto L 1-2 1339 1453 57.9% 15.7% 26.4% -10.5 22
1951-02-18 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1453 1339 26.4% 15.7% 57.9% +10.5 30
1951-02-18 Olhanense W 6-0 1190 1187 69.3% 15.5% 15.2% +17.7 17
1951-02-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-6 1187 1190 15.2% 15.5% 69.3% -17.7 11
1951-02-18 Braga L 0-3 1216 1265 64.7% 15.6% 19.6% -34.0 16
1951-02-18 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1265 1216 19.6% 15.6% 64.7% +34.0 20
1951-02-25 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1257 1328 62.7% 15.7% 21.7% +13.9 24
1951-02-25 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1328 1257 21.7% 15.7% 62.7% -13.9 22
1951-02-25 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1405 1311 75.2% 15.1% 9.6% +4.1 27
1951-02-25 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1311 1405 9.6% 15.1% 75.2% -4.1 20
1951-02-25 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-0 1504 1208 82.8% 13.9% 3.3% +3.3 25
1951-02-25 @ Benfica L 0-5 1208 1504 3.3% 13.9% 82.8% -3.3 17
1951-02-25 Oriental de Lisboa W 3-0 1299 1301 69.0% 15.5% 15.6% +9.4 22
1951-02-25 @ Braga L 0-3 1301 1299 15.6% 15.5% 69.0% -9.4 23
1951-02-25 Boavista W 1-0 1169 1256 61.0% 15.7% 23.3% +5.0 13
1951-02-25 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1256 1169 23.3% 15.7% 61.0% -5.0 21
1951-02-25 Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1464 1181 82.5% 14.0% 3.5% +3.6 32
1951-02-25 @ Porto L 0-5 1181 1464 3.5% 14.0% 82.5% -3.6 16
1951-02-25 Estoril W 5-3 1577 1190 84.8% 13.2% 2.0% +0.6 39
1951-02-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-5 1190 1577 2.0% 13.2% 84.8% -0.6 17
1951-03-04 Braga W 4-0 1307 1309 68.9% 15.5% 15.6% +12.4 22
1951-03-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1309 1307 15.6% 15.5% 68.9% -12.3 22
1951-03-04 Benfica D 1-1 1251 1507 39.2% 15.6% 45.1% +0.3 22
1951-03-04 @ Boavista D 1-1 1507 1251 45.1% 15.6% 39.2% -0.3 26
1951-03-04 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-1 1189 1409 44.3% 15.7% 40.0% +23.8 19
1951-03-04 @ Estoril L 1-5 1409 1189 40.0% 15.7% 44.3% -23.8 27
1951-03-04 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1174 1271 59.9% 15.7% 24.4% +14.2 15
1951-03-04 @ Olhanense L 0-3 1271 1174 24.4% 15.7% 59.9% -14.2 24
1951-03-04 Porto W 2-1 1291 1467 50.3% 15.7% 34.0% +6.5 25
1951-03-04 @ Oriental de Lisboa L 1-2 1467 1291 34.0% 15.7% 50.3% -6.5 32
1951-03-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1204 1578 24.6% 15.3% 60.2% -5.2 17
1951-03-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1578 1204 60.2% 15.3% 24.6% +5.2 41
1951-03-04 Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1178 1314 55.4% 15.7% 28.9% -9.5 16
1951-03-04 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1314 1178 28.9% 15.7% 55.4% +9.5 24
1951-03-07 Estoril W 3-2 1188 1213 67.0% 15.6% 17.4% +3.4 17
1951-03-07 @ Olhanense L 2-3 1213 1188 17.4% 15.6% 67.0% -3.4 19
1951-03-11 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1385 1199 79.4% 14.6% 5.9% +1.2 29
1951-03-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1199 1385 5.9% 14.6% 79.4% -1.2 17
1951-03-11 Olhanense W 4-0 1507 1192 83.3% 13.7% 3.0% +2.4 28
1951-03-11 @ Benfica L 0-4 1192 1507 3.0% 13.7% 83.3% -2.4 17
1951-03-11 Estoril W 3-2 1296 1210 74.8% 15.2% 10.0% +2.0 24
1951-03-11 @ Braga L 2-3 1210 1296 10.0% 15.2% 74.8% -2.0 19
1951-03-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1461 1320 77.6% 14.9% 7.5% +3.2 34
1951-03-11 @ Porto L 0-2 1320 1461 7.5% 14.9% 77.6% -3.2 22
1951-03-11 Boavista W 7-0 1583 1252 83.7% 13.6% 2.7% +3.7 43
1951-03-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-7 1252 1583 2.7% 13.6% 83.7% -3.7 22
1951-03-11 Oriental de Lisboa L 0-1 1324 1298 71.0% 15.4% 13.6% -13.7 24
1951-03-11 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1298 1324 13.6% 15.4% 71.0% +13.7 27
1951-03-11 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1168 1257 60.9% 15.7% 23.4% +5.0 18
1951-03-11 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1257 1168 23.4% 15.7% 60.9% -5.0 24
1951-03-18 Benfica L 0-3 1252 1510 39.0% 15.6% 45.4% -21.4 24
1951-03-18 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1510 1252 45.4% 15.6% 39.0% +21.4 30
1951-03-18 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1316 1310 69.5% 15.5% 15.0% +3.1 24
1951-03-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1310 1316 15.0% 15.5% 69.5% -3.1 24
1951-03-18 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1248 1387 55.1% 15.7% 29.2% -1.2 23
1951-03-18 @ Boavista D 1-1 1387 1248 29.2% 15.7% 55.1% +1.2 30
1951-03-18 Porto W 2-0 1208 1464 39.1% 15.6% 45.2% +16.7 21
1951-03-18 @ Estoril L 0-2 1464 1208 45.2% 15.6% 39.1% -16.7 34
1951-03-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1189 1587 22.1% 15.2% 62.7% -16.9 17
1951-03-18 @ Olhanense W 4-0 1587 1189 62.7% 15.2% 22.1% +16.9 45
1951-03-18 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1311 1173 77.4% 14.9% 7.7% -14.1 27
1951-03-18 @ Oriental de Lisboa W 2-1 1173 1311 7.7% 14.9% 77.4% +14.1 20
1951-03-18 Braga D 1-1 1198 1298 59.5% 15.7% 24.8% -1.6 18
1951-03-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1298 1198 24.8% 15.7% 59.5% +1.6 25
1951-03-22 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-1 1307 1388 61.6% 15.7% 22.7% +14.5 26
1951-03-22 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-5 1388 1307 22.7% 15.7% 61.6% -14.5 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-11-26 3.20% Vitoria Guimaraes 1256 3 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1558 2
2 1950-11-12 4.89% Estoril 1293 3 @ Benfica 1516 2
3 1951-03-18 7.66% Vitoria Setubal 1173 2 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1311 1
4 1950-11-12 7.76% Sporting Covilha 1279 2 @ Porto 1414 1
5 1951-02-04 11.41% Boavista 1207 3 @ Estoril 1268 1
6 1950-11-05 11.46% Boavista 1193 1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1253 0
7 1950-12-17 12.48% Boavista 1216 2 @ Braga 1259 1
8 1951-01-21 12.81% Academica de Coimbra 1232 1 @ Estoril 1270 0
9 1951-01-14 13.25% Porto 1429 2 @ Benfica 1460 0
10 1951-03-11 13.60% Oriental de Lisboa 1298 1 @ Sporting Covilha 1324 0
11 1951-01-07 13.92% Vitoria Guimaraes 1230 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1251 1
12 1950-09-17 14.32% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1497 3 @ Benfica 1512 1
13 1951-01-14 14.85% Os Belenenses (1st) 1287 2 @ Estoril 1295 0
14 1950-11-26 15.82% Os Belenenses (1st) 1283 3 @ Braga 1278 1
15 1951-02-04 17.10% Academica de Coimbra 1243 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1222 0
16 1951-01-28 17.17% Estoril 1256 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1234 1
17 1950-12-31 19.25% Sporting Covilha 1313 5 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1267 1
18 1951-02-18 19.64% Braga 1265 3 @ Vitoria Setubal 1216 0
19 1950-10-01 20.99% Porto 1357 4 @ Olhanense 1293 0
20 1950-11-05 23.86% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1345 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1253 0
21 1950-09-17 24.25% Braga 1295 2 @ Boavista 1199 1
22 1951-01-28 24.69% Oriental de Lisboa 1304 2 @ Olhanense 1204 1
23 1951-01-14 26.23% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1372 4 @ Academica de Coimbra 1258 1
24 1951-02-18 26.35% Porto 1453 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1339 1
25 1951-02-04 27.05% Benfica 1436 4 @ Oriental de Lisboa 1315 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-02-18 55.22 Benfica 7 1449 37.68% @ Estoril 0 1245 46.60% 15.72%
2 1950-10-01 43.52 Porto 4 1357 20.99% @ Olhanense 0 1293 63.36% 15.65%
3 1950-12-31 37.29 Sporting Covilha 5 1313 19.25% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1267 65.13% 15.62%
4 1951-02-18 34.04 Braga 3 1265 19.64% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1216 64.74% 15.63%
5 1950-11-19 29.13 @ Boavista 9 1205 67.26% Olhanense 0 1227 17.18% 15.56%
6 1951-01-14 25.91 Porto 2 1429 13.25% @ Benfica 0 1460 71.35% 15.39%
7 1951-01-14 25.77 Atletico Clube de Portugal 4 1372 26.23% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1258 58.05% 15.72%
8 1951-01-14 25.28 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1287 14.85% @ Estoril 0 1295 69.68% 15.47%
9 1950-12-31 25.21 Porto 6 1396 32.79% @ Boavista 2 1229 51.47% 15.74%
10 1951-02-04 24.41 Academica de Coimbra 2 1243 17.10% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1222 67.35% 15.56%
11 1951-03-04 23.81 @ Estoril 5 1189 44.33% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1 1409 39.98% 15.70%
12 1951-02-04 23.08 Boavista 3 1207 11.41% @ Estoril 1 1268 73.31% 15.28%
13 1950-09-17 22.07 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1497 14.32% @ Benfica 1 1512 70.23% 15.45%
14 1950-11-05 21.89 Atletico Clube de Portugal 2 1345 23.86% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1253 60.44% 15.70%
15 1950-11-26 21.57 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1283 15.82% @ Braga 1 1278 68.67% 15.51%
16 1951-03-18 21.39 Benfica 3 1510 45.39% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1252 38.97% 15.64%
17 1950-09-17 20.75 @ Academica de Coimbra 5 1249 62.50% Oriental de Lisboa 0 1322 21.83% 15.67%
18 1950-11-19 18.88 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1226 50.64% Porto 0 1400 33.63% 15.73%
19 1950-12-03 18.62 @ Olhanense 2 1192 33.36% Benfica 0 1491 51.10% 15.54%
20 1950-11-05 18.46 Benfica 5 1497 36.96% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1299 47.32% 15.72%
21 1951-02-18 17.77 @ Boavista 5 1239 65.99% Academica de Coimbra 0 1275 18.41% 15.59%
22 1951-02-18 17.69 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 6 1190 69.29% Olhanense 0 1187 15.22% 15.49%
23 1951-03-18 16.87 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1587 62.75% @ Olhanense 0 1189 22.07% 15.18%
24 1951-03-18 16.71 @ Estoril 2 1208 39.15% Porto 0 1464 45.21% 15.64%
25 1951-02-04 16.08 Benfica 4 1436 27.05% @ Oriental de Lisboa 2 1315 57.22% 15.72%