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1949-50 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

8.48 points above expected

45 points · 36.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lusitano VRSA

4.84 points below expected

16 points · 20.84 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 26 21 3 2 45 86 33 +53 36.52 +8.48
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 19 1 6 39 91 35 +56 36.32 +2.68
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 11 8 7 30 53 42 +11 25.16 +4.84
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 10 7 9 27 36 41 -5 27.32 -0.32
5 Porto 26 12 2 12 26 61 52 +9 27.48 -1.48
6 Sporting Covilha 26 10 5 11 25 55 70 -15 24.46 +0.54
7 Academica de Coimbra 26 8 8 10 24 56 57 -1 21.87 +2.13
8 Braga 26 11 2 13 24 52 53 -1 24.89 -0.89
9 Olhanense 26 8 8 10 24 48 57 -9 23.87 +0.13
10 Vitoria Setubal 26 10 3 13 23 50 70 -20 23.89 -0.89
11 Estoril 26 7 7 12 21 50 59 -9 24.67 -3.67
12 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 7 7 12 21 45 59 -14 23.53 -2.53
13 O Elvas 26 8 3 15 19 48 65 -17 23.18 -4.18
14 Lusitano VRSA 26 7 2 17 16 42 80 -38 20.84 -4.84

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 1748 45 36.52 +8.48 99.6% 23 31 34 37 39 42 48
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1688 39 36.32 +2.68 81.1% 22 30 34 36 39 42 49
Porto 1468 26 27.48 -1.48 39.6% 13 21 25 27 30 34 43
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1462 30 25.16 +4.84 92.4% 11 19 23 25 28 31 40
Os Belenenses (1st) 1422 27 27.32 -0.32 52.1% 12 21 25 27 30 33 41
Braga 1385 24 24.89 -0.89 46.0% 11 19 22 25 27 31 41
Olhanense 1377 24 23.87 +0.13 57.0% 9 18 21 24 26 30 38
Sporting Covilha 1377 25 24.46 +0.54 61.4% 10 18 22 24 27 31 39
Estoril 1367 21 24.67 -3.67 19.5% 11 19 22 25 27 31 39
Vitoria Guimaraes 1330 21 23.53 -2.53 29.1% 10 18 21 24 26 30 38
Vitoria Setubal 1318 23 23.89 -0.89 45.7% 9 18 21 24 26 30 38
Academica de Coimbra 1316 24 21.87 +2.13 77.6% 10 16 20 22 24 28 37
O Elvas 1277 19 23.18 -4.18 15.1% 8 17 21 23 26 29 37
Lusitano VRSA 1239 16 20.84 -4.84 11.6% 6 15 18 21 23 27 33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BEN BRA EST LV OE OLH OB( POR SCDP SC VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
1.06
1-0-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.63
Atletico Clube de Portugal
1-1-0
3.16
 —
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
1.61
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.97
Benfica
1-1-0
4.59
1-1-0
4.07
 —
2-0-0
3.68
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
4.15
2-0-0
4.25
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.24
Braga
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.96
 —
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.81
Estoril
0-2-0
2.97
1-1-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.81
 —
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.94
Lusitano VRSA
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.34
 —
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
1.04
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.56
O Elvas
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.71
1-0-1
3.12
 —
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.52
0-0-2
1.20
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.72
Olhanense
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.96
 —
0-2-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.68
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-0-1
3.44
0-2-0
3.32
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.21
0-2-0
3.15
 —
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.01
Porto
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.61
2-0-0
3.11
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.89
 —
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.29
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.34
1-0-1
4.03
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.46
1-0-1
4.60
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.12
1-0-1
3.78
1-0-1
3.62
 —
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.40
1-0-1
4.31
Sporting Covilha
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.50
 —
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.82
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.80
0-0-2
1.29
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.24
0-1-1
2.69
 —
1-0-1
2.88
Vitoria Setubal
1-0-1
2.99
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.95
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
1.33
1-0-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.74
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +4.3
Allowed 0.72 -4.7
Differential 0.90 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.65%3.57%2.20%3.02%1.92%2.20%14.56%
13.57%9.34%6.04%5.22%1.65%4.67%30.49%
22.20%6.04%4.95%3.57%2.75%1.10%20.60%
33.02%5.22%3.57%1.65%1.37%1.10%15.93%
41.92%1.65%2.75%1.37%—0.55%8.24%
5+2.20%4.67%1.10%1.10%0.55%0.55%10.16%
Total14.56%30.49%20.60%15.93%8.24%10.16%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 2.12 +0.00
SD 1.74 1.74 2.71
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
1—15.38%3.85%7.69%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
33.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%—26.92%
4——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total15.38%26.92%19.23%23.08%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.15 2.19 -0.04
SD 1.78 1.79 2.73
CV 0.83 0.82 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%7.69%—19.23%
1—19.23%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
2—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
4—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total11.54%42.31%26.92%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.62 +0.42
SD 1.78 1.10 2.35
CV 0.87 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
13.85%11.54%————15.38%
2—11.54%—3.85%——15.38%
3—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
411.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
5+3.85%15.38%—3.85%——23.08%
Total19.23%50.00%15.38%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.31 1.27 +2.04
SD 1.78 0.96 1.99
CV 0.54 0.76 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.85%—3.85%
17.69%7.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%—34.62%
23.85%7.69%—15.38%7.69%3.85%38.46%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4———————
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total19.23%26.92%7.69%26.92%15.38%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.04 -0.04
SD 1.30 1.54 2.34
CV 0.65 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—19.23%
13.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%38.46%
2—7.69%11.54%——3.85%23.08%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
Total7.69%26.92%30.77%11.54%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.27 -0.35
SD 2.23 1.48 2.92
CV 1.16 0.65 —
Max 10 5 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
1—3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%7.69%30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%30.77%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+————3.85%—3.85%
Total7.69%23.08%15.38%15.38%23.08%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 3.08 -1.46
SD 1.27 2.40 2.97
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 5 10 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%—7.69%3.85%—15.38%
111.54%—15.38%11.54%—3.85%42.31%
2——7.69%———7.69%
3——3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%19.23%
4—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%11.54%30.77%26.92%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.50 -0.65
SD 1.54 1.61 2.17
CV 0.83 0.64 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%——3.85%—3.85%11.54%
13.85%19.23%11.54%3.85%—7.69%46.15%
23.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
3—7.69%—3.85%3.85%—15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
Total11.54%34.62%19.23%15.38%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.19 -0.35
SD 1.59 1.81 2.51
CV 0.86 0.83 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%15.38%3.85%——7.69%34.62%
27.69%15.38%————23.08%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
4—————3.85%3.85%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total23.08%46.15%7.69%11.54%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.58 -0.19
SD 1.30 1.65 1.79
CV 0.94 1.05 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
13.85%3.85%—3.85%7.69%3.85%23.08%
23.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—23.08%
311.54%7.69%———3.85%23.08%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
Total26.92%26.92%7.69%15.38%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 2.00 +0.35
SD 2.10 1.92 3.31
CV 0.89 0.96 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
1—3.85%7.69%7.69%——19.23%
2—7.69%————7.69%
3—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
47.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
5+7.69%23.08%3.85%3.85%——38.46%
Total15.38%46.15%26.92%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 1.35 +2.15
SD 2.18 0.89 2.65
CV 0.62 0.66 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
13.85%3.85%—11.54%—15.38%34.62%
2—11.54%15.38%3.85%——30.77%
37.69%—3.85%—7.69%—19.23%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
Total11.54%15.38%30.77%15.38%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 2.69 -0.58
SD 1.37 2.05 2.66
CV 0.65 0.76 —
Max 6 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%3.85%23.08%
1—11.54%7.69%——3.85%23.08%
2——7.69%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
33.85%15.38%—3.85%—3.85%26.92%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total7.69%34.62%19.23%19.23%3.85%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.27 -0.54
SD 1.31 1.64 2.32
CV 0.76 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%——11.54%19.23%
13.85%3.85%7.69%——7.69%23.08%
23.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%—26.92%
33.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
Total15.38%15.38%30.77%3.85%11.54%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.69 -0.77
SD 1.49 2.15 2.97
CV 0.78 0.80 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Benfica 45 36.52 +8.48
2 Atletico Clube de Portugal 30 25.16 +4.84
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 39 36.32 +2.68
4 Academica de Coimbra 24 21.87 +2.13
5 Sporting Covilha 25 24.46 +0.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lusitano VRSA 16 20.84 -4.84
2 O Elvas 19 23.18 -4.18
3 Estoril 21 24.67 -3.67
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 21 23.53 -2.53
5 Porto 26 27.48 -1.48

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Benfica 8 Nov 20 – Jan 22 1 in 163
2 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 Mar 12 – Apr 16 1 in 58
3 Vitoria Setubal 3 Jan 29 – Feb 12 1 in 37
4 Estoril 3 Feb 19 – Mar 5 1 in 31
5 Braga 2 Nov 6 – Nov 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 5 Jan 8 – Feb 16 1 in 162
2 Academica de Coimbra 5 Jan 15 – Feb 19 1 in 85
3 Lusitano VRSA 5 Nov 6 – Dec 4 1 in 27
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 Feb 12 – Feb 16 1 in 17
5 Vitoria Guimaraes 3 Feb 19 – Mar 5 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Academica de Coimbra 7 Oct 9 – Nov 20 1 in 168
2 Benfica 16 Nov 20 – Mar 19 1 in 59
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 7 Jan 8 – Feb 26 1 in 57
4 Olhanense 5 Feb 16 – Mar 12 1 in 47
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Jan 8 – Feb 12 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 6 Nov 6 – Dec 11 1 in 50
2 Academica de Coimbra 8 Jan 15 – Mar 12 1 in 34
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 Oct 9 – Oct 30 1 in 23
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 Jan 29 – Mar 12 1 in 19
5 Olhanense 5 Mar 19 – May 7 1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica49.11%42.29%5.96%1.75%0.47%0.20%0.07%0.08%0.05%0.01%0.01%———
Sporting Clube de Portugal48.55%41.97%6.30%1.98%0.69%0.24%0.10%0.09%0.06%0.01%—0.01%——
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.21%1.69%10.03%11.64%11.41%10.75%9.63%9.25%7.55%7.07%6.70%5.68%4.54%3.85%
Os Belenenses (1st)0.67%3.82%18.71%16.50%13.78%11.48%8.99%6.99%5.74%4.43%3.53%2.63%1.70%1.03%
Porto0.77%4.70%22.65%17.08%13.01%9.97%7.52%6.67%5.50%3.95%3.34%2.38%1.54%0.92%
Sporting Covilha0.17%0.96%5.30%7.35%8.59%9.25%9.09%9.58%9.33%9.45%8.52%8.83%7.72%5.86%
Academica de Coimbra0.04%0.10%1.53%2.96%3.94%4.89%6.38%7.39%8.46%9.67%11.81%13.22%14.52%15.09%
Braga0.10%1.21%7.76%10.21%10.10%10.17%10.13%9.19%9.64%7.84%7.64%6.47%5.59%3.95%
Olhanense0.06%0.54%4.70%5.94%7.42%8.79%9.06%9.68%10.13%9.81%9.48%8.62%8.56%7.21%
Vitoria Setubal0.08%0.78%3.79%5.66%6.73%7.70%8.82%9.36%9.64%10.53%9.63%10.05%9.57%7.66%
Estoril0.15%0.96%6.35%8.32%9.44%9.20%10.53%9.79%9.39%8.91%8.13%7.32%6.23%5.28%
Vitoria Guimaraes0.04%0.58%3.41%5.35%6.73%7.55%8.98%8.59%9.31%10.02%10.13%10.36%9.96%8.99%
O Elvas0.04%0.32%2.75%4.24%5.98%6.57%7.31%8.65%9.10%10.66%11.24%11.54%11.57%10.03%
Lusitano VRSA0.01%0.08%0.76%1.02%1.71%3.24%3.39%4.69%6.10%7.64%9.84%12.89%18.50%30.13%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+44.51%
Strong Edge
63.19%18.13%18.68%
Elo Value
Home Edge
140 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0166.25400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.35 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.19+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Benfica, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.91 * Some Luck: 2.91 to 4.36 * Lucky: 4.36 to 5.81 * Wild Swing: 5.81 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.05 * Close: 2.05 to 3.08 * Off: 3.08 to 4.11 * Way Off: 4.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.51 points
Some Luck
03.639
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Pinpoint
02.576
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.62%
Benfica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
11.64%
Lusitano VRSA
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.51
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Frequent
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.48
Highly Predictable
00.482
Matchup Imbalance
0.64
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.55
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.0900.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Porto 97.54% 2.46%
Os Belenenses (1st) 97.27% 2.73%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 91.61% 8.39%
Braga 90.46% 9.54%
Estoril 88.49% 11.51%
Sporting Covilha 86.42% 13.58%
Olhanense 84.23% 15.77%
Vitoria Setubal 82.77% 17.23%
Vitoria Guimaraes 81.05% 18.95%
O Elvas 78.40% 21.60%
Academica de Coimbra 70.39% 29.61%
Lusitano VRSA 51.37% 48.63%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1949-10-09 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1358 1522 52.5% 19.2% 28.3% -1.7 1
1949-10-09 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1522 1358 28.3% 19.2% 52.5% +1.6 1
1949-10-09 Benfica L 2-3 1363 1546 50.1% 19.2% 30.7% -13.5 0
1949-10-09 @ Braga W 3-2 1546 1363 30.7% 19.2% 50.1% +13.5 2
1949-10-09 Estoril D 2-2 1363 1472 58.7% 19.2% 22.1% -1.9 1
1949-10-09 @ Olhanense D 2-2 1472 1363 22.1% 19.2% 58.7% +1.9 1
1949-10-09 O Elvas W 1-0 1483 1371 74.4% 18.3% 7.3% +2.7 2
1949-10-09 @ Porto L 0-1 1371 1483 7.3% 18.3% 74.4% -2.7 0
1949-10-09 Lusitano VRSA W 3-1 1578 1307 79.8% 17.1% 3.1% +1.9 2
1949-10-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1307 1578 3.1% 17.1% 79.8% -1.9 0
1949-10-09 Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1395 1277 74.7% 18.3% 7.1% -3.8 1
1949-10-09 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1277 1395 7.1% 18.3% 74.7% +3.8 1
1949-10-09 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1354 1385 65.8% 19.0% 15.2% +5.1 2
1949-10-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1385 1354 15.2% 19.0% 65.8% -5.1 0
1949-10-16 Braga W 3-1 1281 1349 62.6% 19.1% 18.2% +10.5 3
1949-10-16 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1349 1281 18.2% 19.1% 62.6% -10.5 0
1949-10-16 Olhanense D 0-0 1524 1361 76.5% 18.0% 5.6% -6.1 2
1949-10-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1361 1524 5.6% 18.0% 76.5% +6.0 2
1949-10-16 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1560 1356 77.9% 17.7% 4.5% +6.0 4
1949-10-16 @ Benfica L 0-4 1356 1560 4.5% 17.7% 77.9% -6.0 1
1949-10-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1474 1580 59.0% 19.2% 21.8% -63.1 1
1949-10-16 @ Estoril W 4-0 1580 1474 21.8% 19.2% 59.0% +63.1 4
1949-10-16 Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1305 1359 63.9% 19.1% 17.0% -2.5 1
1949-10-16 @ Lusitano VRSA D 2-2 1359 1305 17.0% 19.1% 63.9% +2.5 3
1949-10-16 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1368 1391 66.5% 19.0% 14.6% -2.8 1
1949-10-16 @ O Elvas D 2-2 1391 1368 14.6% 19.0% 66.5% +2.8 2
1949-10-16 Porto D 2-2 1380 1486 59.0% 19.2% 21.8% -2.0 1
1949-10-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1486 1380 21.8% 19.2% 59.0% +2.0 3
1949-10-23 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1350 1291 71.8% 18.6% 9.6% -4.7 2
1949-10-23 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1291 1350 9.6% 18.6% 71.8% +4.7 4
1949-10-23 Benfica L 1-6 1518 1566 64.4% 19.1% 16.5% -70.4 2
1949-10-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 6-1 1566 1518 16.5% 19.1% 64.4% +70.4 6
1949-10-23 O Elvas W 5-1 1339 1366 66.1% 19.0% 14.9% +15.9 2
1949-10-23 @ Braga L 1-5 1366 1339 14.9% 19.0% 66.1% -15.9 1
1949-10-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1367 1643 37.4% 19.1% 43.5% -17.2 2
1949-10-23 @ Olhanense W 4-2 1643 1367 43.5% 19.1% 37.4% +17.2 6
1949-10-23 Lusitano VRSA W 8-2 1488 1302 77.3% 17.8% 4.9% +6.6 5
1949-10-23 @ Porto L 2-8 1302 1488 4.9% 17.8% 77.3% -6.6 1
1949-10-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-2 1394 1378 69.2% 18.8% 12.0% +8.8 4
1949-10-23 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-5 1378 1394 12.0% 18.8% 69.2% -8.8 1
1949-10-23 Estoril D 5-5 1361 1411 64.3% 19.1% 16.6% -1.7 4
1949-10-23 @ Vitoria Setubal D 5-5 1411 1361 16.6% 19.1% 64.3% +1.7 2
1949-10-30 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1296 1447 54.0% 19.2% 26.8% +24.5 6
1949-10-30 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1447 1296 26.8% 19.2% 54.0% -24.5 2
1949-10-30 Olhanense W 5-1 1636 1350 80.2% 17.0% 2.9% +3.2 8
1949-10-30 @ Benfica L 1-5 1350 1636 2.9% 17.0% 80.2% -3.2 2
1949-10-30 Porto W 1-0 1413 1494 61.4% 19.1% 19.4% +6.8 4
1949-10-30 @ Estoril L 0-1 1494 1413 19.4% 19.1% 61.4% -6.8 5
1949-10-30 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1296 1402 59.0% 19.2% 21.9% +12.3 3
1949-10-30 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-3 1402 1296 21.9% 19.2% 59.0% -12.3 4
1949-10-30 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1350 1345 68.4% 18.9% 12.7% +4.6 3
1949-10-30 @ O Elvas L 0-1 1345 1350 12.7% 18.9% 68.4% -4.6 2
1949-10-30 Vitoria Setubal W 5-1 1660 1360 80.5% 16.8% 2.7% +2.9 8
1949-10-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1360 1660 2.7% 16.8% 80.5% -3.0 4
1949-10-30 Braga W 3-1 1369 1355 69.1% 18.8% 12.1% +7.2 3
1949-10-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1355 1369 12.1% 18.8% 69.1% -7.2 2
1949-11-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-0 1341 1376 65.5% 19.0% 15.5% +29.1 4
1949-11-06 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1376 1341 15.5% 19.0% 65.5% -29.1 3
1949-11-06 O Elvas W 2-1 1423 1354 72.3% 18.6% 9.1% +3.2 4
1949-11-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1354 1423 9.1% 18.6% 72.3% -3.2 3
1949-11-06 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1639 1320 80.9% 16.6% 2.4% -6.0 9
1949-11-06 @ Benfica D 1-1 1320 1639 2.4% 16.6% 80.9% +6.0 7
1949-11-06 Lusitano VRSA W 2-0 1347 1308 70.6% 18.7% 10.6% +7.4 4
1949-11-06 @ Braga L 0-2 1308 1347 10.6% 18.7% 70.6% -7.4 3
1949-11-06 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1347 1357 67.4% 18.9% 13.7% +9.3 4
1949-11-06 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1357 1347 13.7% 18.9% 67.4% -9.3 4
1949-11-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1488 1663 51.0% 19.2% 29.7% +9.2 7
1949-11-06 @ Porto L 1-2 1663 1488 29.7% 19.2% 51.0% -9.2 8
1949-11-06 Estoril D 2-2 1390 1419 65.9% 19.0% 15.0% -2.8 5
1949-11-06 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1419 1390 15.0% 19.0% 65.9% +2.8 5
1949-11-13 Olhanense W 7-1 1327 1356 65.9% 19.0% 15.1% +23.3 9
1949-11-13 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-7 1356 1327 15.1% 19.0% 65.9% -23.3 4
1949-11-13 Braga L 1-2 1422 1355 72.2% 18.6% 9.2% -20.5 5
1949-11-13 @ Estoril W 2-1 1355 1422 9.2% 18.6% 72.2% +20.5 6
1949-11-13 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1301 1370 62.6% 19.1% 18.3% -17.6 3
1949-11-13 @ Lusitano VRSA W 2-1 1370 1301 18.3% 19.1% 62.6% +17.6 6
1949-11-13 Benfica W 1-0 1351 1633 36.5% 19.1% 44.4% +13.6 5
1949-11-13 @ O Elvas L 0-1 1633 1351 44.4% 19.1% 36.5% -13.6 9
1949-11-13 Sporting Covilha W 8-1 1654 1387 79.7% 17.1% 3.2% +5.9 10
1949-11-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-8 1387 1654 3.2% 17.1% 79.7% -5.9 5
1949-11-13 Os Belenenses (1st) D 3-3 1347 1426 61.7% 19.1% 19.2% -1.9 4
1949-11-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 3-3 1426 1347 19.2% 19.1% 61.7% +1.9 5
1949-11-13 Porto W 3-0 1347 1497 54.3% 19.2% 26.5% +24.3 6
1949-11-13 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1497 1347 26.5% 19.2% 54.3% -24.3 7
1949-11-20 O Elvas W 3-1 1350 1365 67.0% 18.9% 14.0% +8.2 11
1949-11-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1365 1350 14.0% 18.9% 67.0% -8.2 5
1949-11-20 Estoril D 2-2 1388 1402 67.1% 18.9% 14.0% -2.9 7
1949-11-20 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1402 1388 14.0% 18.9% 67.1% +2.9 6
1949-11-20 Lusitano VRSA W 3-1 1428 1283 75.8% 18.1% 6.1% +3.7 7
1949-11-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1283 1428 6.1% 18.1% 75.8% -3.7 3
1949-11-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1620 1345 79.9% 17.1% 3.1% +4.1 11
1949-11-20 @ Benfica L 0-4 1345 1620 3.1% 17.1% 79.9% -4.1 4
1949-11-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1375 1660 36.2% 19.1% 44.7% +0.6 7
1949-11-20 @ Braga D 1-1 1660 1375 44.7% 19.1% 36.2% -0.6 11
1949-11-20 Porto W 6-1 1333 1472 55.4% 19.2% 25.4% +31.3 6
1949-11-20 @ Olhanense L 1-6 1472 1333 25.4% 19.2% 55.4% -31.3 7
1949-11-20 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1381 1372 68.8% 18.9% 12.4% +4.5 7
1949-11-20 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1372 1381 12.4% 18.9% 68.8% -4.5 6
1949-11-27 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1405 1432 66.1% 19.0% 14.9% -18.7 6
1949-11-27 @ Estoril W 2-1 1432 1405 14.9% 19.0% 66.1% +18.7 9
1949-11-27 Benfica L 2-3 1279 1624 28.5% 18.9% 52.6% -8.4 3
1949-11-27 @ Lusitano VRSA W 3-2 1624 1279 52.6% 18.9% 28.5% +8.4 13
1949-11-27 Olhanense W 4-3 1356 1364 67.6% 18.9% 13.5% +4.3 7
1949-11-27 @ O Elvas L 3-4 1364 1356 13.5% 18.9% 67.6% -4.3 6
1949-11-27 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1441 1386 71.6% 18.6% 9.8% +10.8 9
1949-11-27 @ Porto L 1-5 1386 1441 9.8% 18.6% 71.6% -10.8 7
1949-11-27 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1660 1385 79.9% 17.1% 3.1% +4.1 13
1949-11-27 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1385 1660 3.1% 17.1% 79.9% -4.1 7
1949-11-27 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1341 1358 66.9% 19.0% 14.2% +14.0 6
1949-11-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1358 1341 14.2% 19.0% 66.9% -14.0 11
1949-11-27 Braga W 3-2 1367 1376 67.5% 18.9% 13.6% +4.4 8
1949-11-27 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1376 1367 13.6% 18.9% 67.5% -4.4 7
1949-12-04 Lusitano VRSA W 2-0 1344 1271 72.5% 18.6% 8.9% +6.2 13
1949-12-04 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1271 1344 8.9% 18.6% 72.5% -6.2 3
1949-12-04 Vitoria Setubal W 4-2 1381 1372 68.7% 18.9% 12.4% +6.6 9
1949-12-04 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1372 1381 12.4% 18.9% 68.7% -6.6 8
1949-12-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1450 1664 46.2% 19.2% 34.6% -41.9 9
1949-12-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-1 1664 1450 34.6% 19.2% 46.2% +41.9 15
1949-12-04 Estoril W 4-0 1632 1386 79.1% 17.3% 3.6% +4.8 15
1949-12-04 @ Benfica L 0-4 1386 1632 3.6% 17.3% 79.1% -4.8 6
1949-12-04 Porto W 6-0 1371 1452 61.5% 19.1% 19.3% +35.3 9
1949-12-04 @ Braga L 0-6 1452 1371 19.3% 19.1% 61.5% -35.4 9
1949-12-04 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1361 1355 68.5% 18.9% 12.7% +4.1 9
1949-12-04 @ O Elvas L 2-3 1355 1361 12.7% 18.9% 68.5% -4.1 6
1949-12-04 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1360 1375 67.0% 18.9% 14.1% +8.3 8
1949-12-04 @ Olhanense L 1-3 1375 1360 14.1% 18.9% 67.0% -8.3 7
1949-12-11 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1381 1350 70.1% 18.8% 11.1% -4.4 7
1949-12-11 @ Estoril D 1-1 1350 1381 11.1% 18.8% 70.1% +4.4 14
1949-12-11 O Elvas W 2-1 1265 1365 59.6% 19.2% 21.2% +6.9 5
1949-12-11 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1365 1265 21.2% 19.2% 59.6% -6.9 9
1949-12-11 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1417 1387 70.0% 18.8% 11.2% +6.7 11
1949-12-11 @ Porto L 1-3 1387 1417 11.2% 18.8% 70.0% -6.7 9
1949-12-11 Benfica L 1-2 1706 1637 72.3% 18.6% 9.1% -20.5 15
1949-12-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1637 1706 9.1% 18.6% 72.3% +20.5 17
1949-12-11 Braga W 3-2 1367 1407 65.1% 19.0% 15.9% +5.1 9
1949-12-11 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1407 1367 15.9% 19.0% 65.1% -5.1 9
1949-12-11 Olhanense W 3-1 1351 1368 66.9% 19.0% 14.1% +8.3 8
1949-12-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1368 1351 14.1% 19.0% 66.9% -8.3 8
1949-12-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1365 1408 64.8% 19.1% 16.2% +5.7 10
1949-12-11 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1408 1365 16.2% 19.1% 64.8% -5.8 9
1949-12-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1355 1685 30.2% 18.9% 50.8% -36.1 14
1949-12-18 @ Academica de Coimbra W 6-1 1685 1355 50.8% 18.9% 30.2% +36.1 17
1949-12-18 Sporting Covilha W 4-3 1380 1372 68.7% 18.9% 12.4% +4.0 11
1949-12-18 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 3-4 1372 1380 12.4% 18.9% 68.7% -4.0 9
1949-12-18 Porto W 5-3 1403 1423 66.6% 19.0% 14.4% +7.2 11
1949-12-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 3-5 1423 1403 14.4% 19.0% 66.6% -7.2 11
1949-12-18 Vitoria Setubal W 6-1 1657 1371 80.2% 17.0% 2.9% +3.9 19
1949-12-18 @ Benfica L 1-6 1371 1657 2.9% 17.0% 80.2% -3.9 10
1949-12-18 Estoril L 1-2 1358 1377 66.7% 19.0% 14.3% -18.8 9
1949-12-18 @ O Elvas W 2-1 1377 1358 14.3% 19.0% 66.7% +18.8 9
1949-12-18 Braga W 3-1 1360 1402 64.9% 19.0% 16.1% +9.3 10
1949-12-18 @ Olhanense L 1-3 1402 1360 16.1% 19.0% 64.9% -9.3 9
1949-12-18 Lusitano VRSA W 4-1 1359 1272 73.3% 18.5% 8.3% +7.1 10
1949-12-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1272 1359 8.3% 18.5% 73.3% -7.1 5
1949-12-25 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1396 1367 70.0% 18.8% 11.2% -4.4 10
1949-12-25 @ Estoril D 1-1 1367 1396 11.2% 18.8% 70.0% +4.4 11
1949-12-25 Benfica L 0-1 1416 1661 41.8% 19.2% 39.1% -12.9 11
1949-12-25 @ Porto W 1-0 1661 1416 39.1% 19.2% 41.8% +12.9 21
1949-12-25 O Elvas W 2-1 1721 1339 82.3% 16.0% 1.7% +0.6 19
1949-12-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1339 1721 1.7% 16.0% 82.3% -0.6 9
1949-12-25 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1367 1319 71.2% 18.7% 10.2% +3.3 12
1949-12-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1319 1367 10.2% 18.7% 71.2% -3.4 14
1950-01-01 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1392 1384 68.7% 18.9% 12.5% +12.4 11
1950-01-01 @ Braga L 0-3 1384 1392 12.5% 18.9% 68.7% -12.4 11
1950-01-01 Lusitano VRSA W 4-2 1369 1265 74.1% 18.4% 7.6% +4.1 12
1950-01-01 @ Olhanense L 2-4 1265 1369 7.6% 18.4% 74.1% -4.1 5
1950-01-01 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1368 1410 64.9% 19.0% 16.0% +5.4 11
1950-01-01 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1410 1368 16.0% 19.0% 64.9% -5.4 11
1950-01-08 Porto W 3-2 1315 1403 60.8% 19.2% 20.0% +6.2 16
1950-01-08 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1403 1315 20.0% 19.2% 60.8% -6.2 11
1950-01-08 Olhanense W 3-0 1372 1373 68.0% 18.9% 13.1% +13.0 13
1950-01-08 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1373 1372 13.1% 18.9% 68.0% -13.0 12
1950-01-08 Braga W 2-1 1404 1405 68.1% 18.9% 13.0% +4.5 13
1950-01-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1405 1404 13.0% 18.9% 68.1% -4.5 11
1950-01-08 Sporting Covilha W 7-1 1674 1373 80.5% 16.8% 2.7% +4.3 23
1950-01-08 @ Benfica L 1-7 1373 1674 2.7% 16.8% 80.5% -4.3 11
1950-01-08 Estoril W 4-1 1260 1391 56.4% 19.2% 24.4% +19.1 7
1950-01-08 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-4 1391 1260 24.4% 19.2% 56.4% -19.1 10
1950-01-08 Vitoria Setubal W 4-2 1338 1370 65.7% 19.0% 15.3% +8.0 11
1950-01-08 @ O Elvas L 2-4 1370 1338 15.3% 19.0% 65.7% -8.0 12
1950-01-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1371 1722 27.8% 18.9% 53.4% -8.7 11
1950-01-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1722 1371 53.4% 18.9% 27.8% +8.7 21
1950-01-15 Sporting Covilha L 4-6 1322 1369 64.5% 19.1% 16.5% -25.7 16
1950-01-15 @ Academica de Coimbra W 6-4 1369 1322 16.5% 19.1% 64.5% +25.7 13
1950-01-15 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1409 1385 69.7% 18.8% 11.5% -4.8 14
1950-01-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1385 1409 11.5% 18.8% 69.7% +4.8 14
1950-01-15 Porto L 0-3 1346 1397 64.2% 19.1% 16.7% -52.6 11
1950-01-15 @ O Elvas W 3-0 1397 1346 16.7% 19.1% 64.2% +52.6 13
1950-01-15 Vitoria Setubal W 4-2 1362 1362 68.1% 18.9% 13.0% +6.9 13
1950-01-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1362 1362 13.0% 18.9% 68.1% -6.9 12
1950-01-22 Braga W 4-2 1679 1400 80.0% 17.0% 3.0% +1.6 25
1950-01-22 @ Benfica L 2-4 1400 1679 3.0% 17.0% 80.0% -1.6 11
1950-01-29 Benfica D 1-1 1390 1680 35.4% 19.1% 45.5% +0.7 15
1950-01-29 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1680 1390 45.5% 19.1% 35.4% -0.7 26
1950-01-29 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1399 1296 74.0% 18.4% 7.6% +4.7 13
1950-01-29 @ Braga L 1-3 1296 1399 7.6% 18.4% 74.0% -4.6 16
1950-01-29 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1360 1404 64.8% 19.1% 16.2% -3.5 13
1950-01-29 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1404 1360 16.2% 19.1% 64.8% +3.5 15
1950-01-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1450 1369 72.9% 18.5% 8.6% +8.7 15
1950-01-29 @ Porto L 0-3 1369 1450 8.6% 18.5% 72.9% -8.7 13
1950-01-29 Estoril W 5-1 1730 1372 81.8% 16.2% 1.9% +2.1 23
1950-01-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1372 1730 1.9% 16.2% 81.8% -2.1 10
1950-01-29 O Elvas W 3-0 1395 1294 73.9% 18.4% 7.7% +7.9 15
1950-01-29 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1294 1395 7.7% 18.4% 73.9% -7.9 11
1950-01-29 Lusitano VRSA W 4-2 1355 1280 72.7% 18.5% 8.8% +4.8 14
1950-01-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-4 1280 1355 8.8% 18.5% 72.7% -4.8 7
1950-02-05 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1291 1390 59.7% 19.2% 21.1% -16.8 16
1950-02-05 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1390 1291 21.1% 19.2% 59.7% +16.8 17
1950-02-05 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1680 1408 79.8% 17.1% 3.1% -5.9 27
1950-02-05 @ Benfica D 1-1 1408 1680 3.1% 17.1% 79.8% +5.9 16
1950-02-05 Vitoria Setubal L 2-5 1370 1360 68.8% 18.9% 12.4% -41.3 10
1950-02-05 @ Estoril W 5-2 1360 1370 12.4% 18.9% 68.8% +41.3 16
1950-02-05 Porto W 3-1 1275 1458 50.1% 19.2% 30.7% +16.4 9
1950-02-05 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-3 1458 1275 30.7% 19.2% 50.1% -16.4 15
1950-02-05 Braga W 4-1 1286 1403 57.8% 19.2% 23.0% +18.1 13
1950-02-05 @ O Elvas L 1-4 1403 1286 23.0% 19.2% 57.8% -18.1 13
1950-02-05 Olhanense W 6-0 1732 1357 82.2% 16.1% 1.8% +3.4 25
1950-02-05 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1357 1732 1.8% 16.1% 82.2% -3.4 13
1950-02-05 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1360 1403 64.9% 19.0% 16.1% -2.6 14
1950-02-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1403 1360 16.1% 19.0% 64.9% +2.6 16
1950-02-12 O Elvas D 2-2 1407 1304 74.0% 18.4% 7.6% -3.7 18
1950-02-12 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1304 1407 7.6% 18.4% 74.0% +3.7 14
1950-02-12 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1413 1274 75.5% 18.1% 6.3% +4.5 18
1950-02-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1274 1413 6.3% 18.1% 75.5% -4.5 16
1950-02-12 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1385 1358 69.9% 18.8% 11.3% -4.4 14
1950-02-12 @ Braga D 1-1 1358 1385 11.3% 18.8% 69.9% +4.3 15
1950-02-12 Benfica L 1-2 1353 1674 31.5% 19.0% 49.5% -9.6 13
1950-02-12 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1674 1353 49.5% 19.0% 31.5% +9.6 29
1950-02-12 Estoril W 3-0 1442 1329 74.5% 18.3% 7.2% +7.4 17
1950-02-12 @ Porto L 0-3 1329 1442 7.2% 18.3% 74.5% -7.4 10
1950-02-12 Lusitano VRSA W 3-0 1405 1291 74.5% 18.3% 7.2% +7.4 18
1950-02-12 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1291 1405 7.2% 18.3% 74.5% -7.4 9
1950-02-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1401 1736 29.7% 18.9% 51.3% +25.2 18
1950-02-12 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1736 1401 51.3% 18.9% 29.7% -25.2 25
1950-02-16 Olhanense L 0-1 1321 1344 66.5% 19.0% 14.5% -19.9 10
1950-02-16 @ Estoril W 1-0 1344 1321 14.5% 19.0% 66.5% +19.9 15
1950-02-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1284 1711 19.8% 18.5% 61.8% +34.6 11
1950-02-16 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-2 1711 1284 61.8% 18.5% 19.8% -34.6 25
1950-02-19 Benfica L 3-4 1270 1683 21.1% 18.5% 60.4% -6.3 16
1950-02-19 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-3 1683 1270 60.4% 18.5% 21.1% +6.3 31
1950-02-19 Sporting Covilha W 6-1 1301 1413 58.5% 19.2% 22.3% +28.0 12
1950-02-19 @ Estoril L 1-6 1413 1301 22.3% 19.2% 58.5% -28.0 18
1950-02-19 Braga L 0-1 1318 1381 63.2% 19.1% 17.7% -18.9 11
1950-02-19 @ Lusitano VRSA W 1-0 1381 1318 17.7% 19.1% 63.2% +18.9 16
1950-02-19 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1308 1418 58.6% 19.2% 22.2% +7.6 16
1950-02-19 @ O Elvas L 0-1 1418 1308 22.2% 19.2% 58.6% -7.6 18
1950-02-19 Porto W 4-1 1676 1449 78.6% 17.5% 4.0% +3.4 27
1950-02-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1449 1676 4.0% 17.5% 78.6% -3.4 17
1950-02-19 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1362 1404 65.0% 19.0% 16.0% -17.4 15
1950-02-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1404 1362 16.0% 19.0% 65.0% +17.4 20
1950-02-19 Olhanense L 1-2 1427 1363 72.0% 18.6% 9.4% -20.4 18
1950-02-19 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1363 1427 9.4% 18.6% 72.0% +20.4 17
1950-02-26 Lusitano VRSA W 6-1 1421 1299 74.8% 18.3% 6.9% +9.5 22
1950-02-26 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1299 1421 6.9% 18.3% 74.8% -9.5 11
1950-02-26 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1410 1345 72.1% 18.6% 9.3% +3.4 20
1950-02-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1345 1410 9.3% 18.6% 72.1% -3.4 15
1950-02-26 O Elvas W 3-1 1690 1315 82.1% 16.1% 1.8% +1.1 33
1950-02-26 @ Benfica L 1-3 1315 1690 1.8% 16.1% 82.1% -1.1 16
1950-02-26 Estoril L 2-3 1400 1329 72.4% 18.6% 9.0% -19.5 16
1950-02-26 @ Braga W 3-2 1329 1400 9.0% 18.6% 72.4% +19.5 14
1950-02-26 Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1384 1264 74.8% 18.3% 7.0% -3.2 18
1950-02-26 @ Olhanense D 3-3 1264 1384 7.0% 18.3% 74.8% +3.2 17
1950-02-26 Vitoria Setubal W 8-0 1446 1406 70.7% 18.7% 10.6% +26.9 19
1950-02-26 @ Porto L 0-8 1406 1446 10.6% 18.7% 70.7% -26.9 18
1950-02-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1385 1680 34.8% 19.1% 46.1% -10.0 18
1950-02-26 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1680 1385 46.1% 19.1% 34.8% +10.0 29
1950-03-05 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1349 1430 61.4% 19.1% 19.4% +6.4 16
1950-03-05 @ Estoril L 1-2 1430 1349 19.4% 19.1% 61.4% -6.4 22
1950-03-05 Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-4 1290 1414 57.1% 19.2% 23.6% +6.9 13
1950-03-05 @ Lusitano VRSA L 4-5 1414 1290 23.6% 19.2% 57.1% -6.9 20
1950-03-05 Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1314 1267 71.1% 18.7% 10.2% -2.8 17
1950-03-05 @ O Elvas D 3-3 1267 1314 10.2% 18.7% 71.1% +2.8 18
1950-03-05 Olhanense D 1-1 1473 1381 73.5% 18.4% 8.1% -4.9 20
1950-03-05 @ Porto D 1-1 1381 1473 8.1% 18.4% 73.5% +4.9 19
1950-03-05 Braga W 5-2 1689 1380 80.7% 16.7% 2.5% +1.9 31
1950-03-05 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1380 1689 2.5% 16.7% 80.7% -1.9 16
1950-03-05 Benfica L 3-5 1341 1691 27.9% 18.9% 53.2% -12.7 15
1950-03-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-3 1691 1341 53.2% 18.9% 27.9% +12.7 35
1950-03-05 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1379 1375 68.4% 18.9% 12.7% +8.7 20
1950-03-05 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1375 1379 12.7% 18.9% 68.4% -8.7 18
1950-03-12 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1270 1329 63.5% 19.1% 17.4% -3.7 19
1950-03-12 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1329 1270 17.4% 19.1% 63.5% +3.7 16
1950-03-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1424 1691 38.6% 19.1% 42.3% +21.3 24
1950-03-12 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1691 1424 42.3% 19.1% 38.6% -21.3 31
1950-03-12 Estoril W 2-0 1407 1355 71.4% 18.7% 10.0% +6.9 22
1950-03-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1355 1407 10.0% 18.7% 71.4% -7.0 16
1950-03-12 Lusitano VRSA W 4-1 1703 1297 82.7% 15.8% 1.5% +1.3 37
1950-03-12 @ Benfica L 1-4 1297 1703 1.5% 15.8% 82.7% -1.3 13
1950-03-12 Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 1378 1388 67.4% 18.9% 13.6% +4.4 18
1950-03-12 @ Braga L 2-3 1388 1378 13.6% 18.9% 67.4% -4.4 20
1950-03-12 O Elvas W 6-3 1386 1312 72.6% 18.5% 8.9% +6.1 21
1950-03-12 @ Olhanense L 3-6 1312 1386 8.9% 18.5% 72.6% -6.1 17
1950-03-12 Porto W 4-2 1366 1468 59.5% 19.2% 21.4% +10.8 20
1950-03-12 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-4 1468 1366 21.4% 19.2% 59.5% -10.8 20
1950-03-19 Benfica L 1-2 1348 1705 27.1% 18.8% 54.1% -8.5 16
1950-03-19 @ Estoril W 2-1 1705 1348 54.1% 18.8% 27.1% +8.5 39
1950-03-19 Academica de Coimbra L 2-4 1296 1266 70.1% 18.8% 11.2% -30.8 13
1950-03-19 @ Lusitano VRSA W 4-2 1266 1296 11.2% 18.8% 70.1% +30.7 21
1950-03-19 Braga W 4-0 1457 1383 72.6% 18.5% 8.9% +11.8 22
1950-03-19 @ Porto L 0-4 1383 1457 8.9% 18.5% 72.6% -11.8 18
1950-03-19 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1670 1414 79.4% 17.2% 3.4% -23.9 31
1950-03-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1414 1670 3.4% 17.2% 79.4% +23.9 24
1950-03-19 Olhanense W 2-1 1377 1392 67.0% 18.9% 14.0% +4.8 22
1950-03-19 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1392 1377 14.0% 18.9% 67.0% -4.8 21
1950-03-19 O Elvas W 3-1 1332 1305 69.9% 18.8% 11.3% +6.8 18
1950-03-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1305 1332 11.3% 18.8% 69.9% -6.8 17
1950-03-19 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1384 1445 63.2% 19.1% 17.7% -3.3 21
1950-03-19 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1445 1384 17.7% 19.1% 63.2% +3.3 25
1950-04-16 Estoril D 1-1 1297 1340 64.8% 19.1% 16.1% -3.5 22
1950-04-16 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1340 1297 16.1% 19.1% 64.8% +3.5 17
1950-04-16 Porto W 4-1 1449 1469 66.6% 19.0% 14.4% +12.0 27
1950-04-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1469 1449 14.4% 19.0% 66.6% -12.0 22
1950-04-16 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1438 1380 71.7% 18.6% 9.7% +3.4 26
1950-04-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1380 1438 9.7% 18.6% 71.7% -3.4 21
1950-04-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1713 1646 72.2% 18.6% 9.2% -19.4 39
1950-04-16 @ Benfica W 3-2 1646 1713 9.2% 18.6% 72.2% +19.4 33
1950-04-16 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1371 1382 67.3% 18.9% 13.7% +8.1 20
1950-04-16 @ Braga L 1-3 1382 1371 13.7% 18.9% 67.3% -8.1 22
1950-04-16 Lusitano VRSA W 6-1 1299 1265 70.3% 18.8% 10.9% +14.7 19
1950-04-16 @ O Elvas L 1-6 1265 1299 10.9% 18.8% 70.3% -14.7 13
1950-04-16 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1387 1339 71.2% 18.7% 10.2% -4.6 22
1950-04-16 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1339 1387 10.2% 18.7% 71.2% +4.6 19
1950-04-23 Olhanense W 2-1 1379 1382 67.9% 18.9% 13.2% +4.5 22
1950-04-23 @ Braga L 1-2 1382 1379 13.2% 18.9% 67.9% -4.5 22
1950-04-23 O Elvas W 4-3 1343 1313 70.1% 18.8% 11.2% +3.6 19
1950-04-23 @ Estoril L 3-4 1313 1343 11.2% 18.8% 70.1% -3.6 19
1950-04-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1250 1344 60.3% 19.2% 20.5% +19.5 15
1950-04-23 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-3 1344 1250 20.5% 19.2% 60.3% -19.5 19
1950-04-23 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1457 1441 69.2% 18.8% 12.0% +8.2 24
1950-04-23 @ Porto L 0-2 1441 1457 12.0% 18.8% 69.2% -8.3 26
1950-04-23 Academica de Coimbra W 6-0 1666 1293 82.1% 16.1% 1.8% +3.5 35
1950-04-23 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1293 1666 1.8% 16.1% 82.1% -3.5 22
1950-04-23 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1374 1461 60.9% 19.1% 19.9% +6.5 24
1950-04-23 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1461 1374 19.9% 19.1% 60.9% -6.5 27
1950-04-23 Benfica L 0-5 1377 1694 32.0% 19.0% 49.0% -45.6 21
1950-04-23 @ Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1694 1377 49.0% 19.0% 32.0% +45.6 41
1950-04-30 Vitoria Setubal W 6-0 1290 1331 65.0% 19.0% 16.0% +29.9 24
1950-04-30 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-6 1331 1290 16.0% 19.0% 65.0% -29.9 21
1950-04-30 Braga W 4-2 1454 1384 72.4% 18.6% 9.1% +4.9 29
1950-04-30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1384 1454 9.1% 18.6% 72.4% -4.9 22
1950-04-30 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1433 1380 71.4% 18.7% 9.9% -4.6 27
1950-04-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1380 1433 9.9% 18.7% 71.4% +4.6 25
1950-04-30 Porto W 3-2 1739 1465 79.9% 17.1% 3.1% +1.0 43
1950-04-30 @ Benfica L 2-3 1465 1739 3.1% 17.1% 79.9% -1.0 24
1950-04-30 Olhanense D 1-1 1270 1378 58.8% 19.2% 22.0% -2.6 16
1950-04-30 @ Lusitano VRSA D 1-1 1378 1270 22.0% 19.2% 58.8% +2.6 23
1950-04-30 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-6 1310 1669 26.8% 18.8% 54.4% -16.5 19
1950-04-30 @ O Elvas W 6-3 1669 1310 54.4% 18.8% 26.8% +16.5 37
1950-04-30 Estoril W 3-1 1324 1347 66.4% 19.0% 14.6% +8.6 21
1950-04-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1347 1324 14.6% 19.0% 66.4% -8.6 19
1950-05-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1379 1428 64.3% 19.1% 16.6% +5.9 24
1950-05-07 @ Braga L 0-1 1428 1379 16.6% 19.1% 64.3% -5.9 27
1950-05-07 Lusitano VRSA W 10-0 1338 1267 72.4% 18.6% 9.0% +28.5 21
1950-05-07 @ Estoril L 0-10 1267 1338 9.0% 18.6% 72.4% -28.5 16
1950-05-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1380 1459 61.7% 19.1% 19.1% -3.0 24
1950-05-07 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1459 1380 19.1% 19.1% 61.7% +3.0 30
1950-05-07 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1464 1320 75.8% 18.1% 6.1% +3.8 26
1950-05-07 @ Porto L 1-3 1320 1464 6.1% 18.1% 75.8% -3.8 24
1950-05-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-1 1686 1333 81.7% 16.3% 2.0% +2.2 39
1950-05-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1333 1686 2.0% 16.3% 81.7% -2.2 21
1950-05-07 Benfica L 3-4 1385 1740 27.2% 18.8% 54.0% -7.9 25
1950-05-07 @ Sporting Covilha W 4-3 1740 1385 54.0% 18.8% 27.2% +7.9 45
1950-05-07 O Elvas W 4-0 1301 1293 68.7% 18.9% 12.5% +16.2 23
1950-05-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1293 1301 12.5% 18.9% 68.7% -16.2 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1950-03-19 3.38% Os Belenenses (1st) 1414 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1670 0
2 1950-02-26 9.05% Estoril 1329 3 @ Braga 1400 2
3 1949-12-11 9.14% Benfica 1637 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1706 1
4 1949-11-13 9.20% Braga 1355 2 @ Estoril 1422 1
5 1950-04-16 9.22% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1646 3 @ Benfica 1713 2
6 1950-02-19 9.40% Olhanense 1363 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1427 1
7 1950-03-19 11.17% Academica de Coimbra 1266 4 @ Lusitano VRSA 1296 2
8 1950-02-05 12.37% Vitoria Setubal 1360 5 @ Estoril 1370 2
9 1949-12-18 14.30% Estoril 1377 2 @ O Elvas 1358 1
10 1950-02-16 14.54% Olhanense 1344 1 @ Estoril 1321 0
11 1949-11-27 14.90% Os Belenenses (1st) 1432 2 @ Estoril 1405 1
12 1950-02-19 15.99% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1404 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1362 2
13 1950-01-15 16.48% Sporting Covilha 1369 6 @ Academica de Coimbra 1322 4
14 1949-10-23 16.52% Benfica 1566 6 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1518 1
15 1950-01-15 16.74% Porto 1397 3 @ O Elvas 1346 0
16 1950-02-19 17.74% Braga 1381 1 @ Lusitano VRSA 1318 0
17 1949-11-13 18.31% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1370 2 @ Lusitano VRSA 1301 1
18 1950-02-16 19.76% @ Lusitano VRSA 1284 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1711 0
19 1950-02-05 21.12% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1390 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1291 1
20 1949-10-16 21.80% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1580 4 @ Estoril 1474 0
21 1950-02-12 29.73% @ Vitoria Setubal 1401 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1736 1
22 1949-10-09 30.68% Benfica 1546 3 @ Braga 1363 2
23 1949-12-04 34.61% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1664 5 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1450 1
24 1949-11-13 36.55% @ O Elvas 1351 1 Benfica 1633 0
25 1950-03-12 38.61% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1424 3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1691 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-10-23 70.39 Benfica 6 1566 16.52% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1518 64.42% 19.06%
2 1949-10-16 63.12 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1580 21.80% @ Estoril 0 1474 59.01% 19.19%
3 1950-01-15 52.60 Porto 3 1397 16.74% @ O Elvas 0 1346 64.20% 19.07%
4 1950-04-23 45.63 Benfica 5 1694 49.05% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1377 31.97% 18.98%
5 1949-12-04 41.92 Sporting Clube de Portugal 5 1664 34.61% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1450 46.18% 19.21%
6 1950-02-05 41.28 Vitoria Setubal 5 1360 12.37% @ Estoril 2 1370 68.78% 18.86%
7 1949-12-18 36.07 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 1685 50.82% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1355 30.25% 18.93%
8 1949-12-04 35.35 @ Braga 6 1371 61.53% Porto 0 1452 19.33% 19.14%
9 1950-02-16 34.59 @ Lusitano VRSA 2 1284 19.76% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1711 61.77% 18.47%
10 1949-11-20 31.27 @ Olhanense 6 1333 55.35% Porto 1 1472 25.42% 19.22%
11 1950-03-19 30.75 Academica de Coimbra 4 1266 11.17% @ Lusitano VRSA 2 1296 70.06% 18.77%
12 1950-04-30 29.88 @ Academica de Coimbra 6 1290 64.95% Vitoria Setubal 0 1331 16.01% 19.04%
13 1949-11-06 29.07 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 6 1341 65.45% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1376 15.53% 19.02%
14 1950-05-07 28.51 @ Estoril 10 1338 72.43% Lusitano VRSA 0 1267 9.02% 18.56%
15 1950-02-19 27.99 @ Estoril 6 1301 58.46% Sporting Covilha 1 1413 22.34% 19.19%
16 1950-02-26 26.87 @ Porto 8 1446 70.67% Vitoria Setubal 0 1406 10.61% 18.72%
17 1950-01-15 25.72 Sporting Covilha 6 1369 16.48% @ Academica de Coimbra 4 1322 64.46% 19.06%
18 1950-02-12 25.17 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1401 29.73% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1736 51.35% 18.91%
19 1949-10-30 24.49 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1296 54.02% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1447 26.75% 19.23%
20 1949-11-13 24.30 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1347 54.26% Porto 0 1497 26.51% 19.23%
21 1950-03-19 23.89 Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1414 3.38% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1670 79.41% 17.22%
22 1949-11-13 23.34 @ Academica de Coimbra 7 1327 65.93% Olhanense 1 1356 15.07% 19.00%
23 1950-03-12 21.28 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 1424 38.61% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1691 42.27% 19.12%
24 1949-12-11 20.52 Benfica 2 1637 9.14% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1706 72.29% 18.57%
25 1949-11-13 20.50 Braga 2 1355 9.20% @ Estoril 1 1422 72.22% 18.58%