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1948-49 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

5.20 points above expected

42 points · 36.80 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Boavista

5.41 points below expected

14 points · 19.41 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 20 2 4 42 100 35 +65 36.80 +5.20
2 Benfica 26 17 3 6 37 72 34 +38 34.47 +2.53
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 16 3 7 35 68 36 +32 33.12 +1.88
4 Porto 26 16 1 9 33 55 37 +18 31.13 +1.87
5 Estoril 26 12 5 9 29 76 54 +22 30.90 -1.90
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 11 4 11 26 47 50 -3 23.18 +2.82
7 Olhanense 26 10 4 12 24 51 55 -4 22.21 +1.79
8 Braga 26 11 2 13 24 39 54 -15 22.19 +1.81
9 O Elvas 26 7 7 12 21 46 61 -15 22.84 -1.84
10 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 8 5 13 21 44 68 -24 23.12 -2.12
11 Sporting Covilha 26 9 2 15 20 50 59 -9 23.92 -3.92
12 Vitoria Setubal 26 8 4 14 20 39 61 -22 21.14 -1.14
13 Lusitano VRSA 26 7 4 15 18 23 52 -29 19.58 -1.58
14 Boavista 26 4 6 16 14 35 89 -54 19.41 -5.41

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1681 42 36.80 +5.20 94.8% 22 31 34 37 39 43 50
Benfica 1622 37 34.47 +2.53 78.9% 17 28 32 34 37 41 48
Os Belenenses (1st) 1581 35 33.12 +1.88 73.6% 18 27 31 33 36 39 46
Porto 1520 33 31.13 +1.87 73.6% 17 25 29 31 34 37 45
Estoril 1497 29 30.90 -1.90 35.6% 18 25 28 31 34 37 45
Sporting Covilha 1372 20 23.92 -3.92 18.1% 10 18 21 24 27 30 39
Vitoria Guimaraes 1359 26 23.18 +2.82 81.3% 8 17 21 23 26 29 37
O Elvas 1335 21 22.84 -1.84 36.3% 10 17 20 23 25 29 36
Braga 1326 24 22.19 +1.81 73.8% 8 16 20 22 25 28 37
Olhanense 1322 24 22.21 +1.79 73.5% 9 16 20 22 25 28 38
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1316 21 23.12 -2.12 33.1% 10 17 21 23 26 29 37
Vitoria Setubal 1309 20 21.14 -1.14 43.8% 7 15 19 21 24 27 35
Lusitano VRSA 1240 18 19.58 -1.58 39.7% 6 13 17 19 22 26 35
Boavista 1230 14 19.41 -5.41 9.3% 7 13 17 19 22 26 34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ACDP BEN BOA BRA EST LV OE OLH OB( POR SCDP SC VG VS
Atletico Clube de Portugal —
0-0-2
1.59
0-2-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.95
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.72
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.99
Benfica
2-0-0
4.12
 —
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
4.22
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.09
1-0-1
4.24
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.96
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.28
Boavista
0-2-0
2.43
0-0-2
1.17
 —
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.78
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
0.93
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.64
Braga
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
3.20
 —
1-0-1
1.92
1-0-1
3.17
0-1-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
1.57
2-0-0
1.89
1-0-1
1.37
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.78
2-0-0
2.90
Estoril
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
3.79
 —
0-2-0
4.18
0-1-1
3.75
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.29
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.93
Lusitano VRSA
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.53
0-2-0
1.54
 —
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
1.49
0-0-2
1.03
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.75
O Elvas
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.63
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
1.96
0-1-1
3.25
 —
0-1-1
3.01
0-1-1
1.73
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
3.03
Olhanense
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
2.80
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.70
 —
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.97
0-0-2
1.24
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.98
Os Belenenses (1st)
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
4.32
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
4.20
1-1-0
3.98
2-0-0
4.01
 —
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.91
1-0-1
4.01
2-0-0
4.05
Porto
1-0-1
3.78
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-2
3.83
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
4.22
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
2.65
 —
2-0-0
2.20
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.98
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
4.80
1-0-1
4.36
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
4.70
2-0-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
3.51
 —
1-0-1
4.52
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.59
Sporting Covilha
0-0-2
3.04
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
2.93
0-1-1
3.06
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
1.20
 —
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.20
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.71
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
2.80
 —
1-0-1
3.09
Vitoria Setubal
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.44
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
1.78
2-0-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
1.73
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.62
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +3.6
Allowed 0.77 -4.7
Differential 0.95 +2.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.55%5.22%3.30%2.47%1.37%3.30%16.21%
15.22%8.24%8.24%4.95%1.92%5.49%34.07%
23.30%8.24%2.75%1.37%1.37%1.92%18.96%
32.47%4.95%1.37%2.75%1.10%0.82%13.46%
41.37%1.92%1.37%1.10%——5.77%
5+3.30%5.49%1.92%0.82%——11.54%
Total16.21%34.07%18.96%13.46%5.77%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.05 +0.00
SD 1.85 1.85 2.92
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 12 12 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
13.85%11.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%11.54%50.00%
2—3.85%————3.85%
33.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total7.69%26.92%15.38%26.92%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.62 -0.92
SD 1.46 1.88 2.81
CV 0.86 0.72 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
111.54%3.85%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
2—15.38%————15.38%
3—7.69%—7.69%3.85%—19.23%
43.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
5+15.38%3.85%————19.23%
Total30.77%38.46%11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.77 1.31 +1.46
SD 1.99 1.35 2.69
CV 0.72 1.03 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%11.54%26.92%
1—15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%11.54%46.15%
2—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
3———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
4———————
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total3.85%34.62%7.69%15.38%11.54%26.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 3.42 -2.08
SD 1.50 3.02 3.54
CV 1.11 0.88 —
Max 6 12 +5
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%—7.69%3.85%23.08%
17.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
27.69%15.38%—7.69%——30.77%
3—7.69%——7.69%—15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%15.38%7.69%19.23%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.08 -0.58
SD 1.14 1.70 2.21
CV 0.76 0.82 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
1—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
23.85%7.69%11.54%—7.69%3.85%34.62%
3—7.69%—3.85%—3.85%15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
Total7.69%34.62%30.77%7.69%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.92 2.08 +0.85
SD 2.06 1.49 2.91
CV 0.70 0.72 —
Max 8 6 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%3.85%11.54%—3.85%30.77%
111.54%11.54%11.54%7.69%—7.69%50.00%
23.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%34.62%19.23%19.23%—11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.00 -1.12
SD 0.71 1.79 2.08
CV 0.80 0.89 —
Max 2 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%—7.69%19.23%
1—15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%34.62%
23.85%3.85%7.69%——3.85%19.23%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total11.54%30.77%19.23%15.38%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.35 -0.58
SD 1.61 1.87 2.86
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
111.54%7.69%11.54%3.85%—7.69%42.31%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
3——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%26.92%11.54%—15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.12 -0.15
SD 2.01 2.05 2.74
CV 1.02 0.97 —
Max 10 7 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
1—11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
33.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+7.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
Total19.23%46.15%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.62 1.38 +1.23
SD 2.02 1.20 2.69
CV 0.77 0.87 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
13.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%23.08%
27.69%15.38%—3.85%——26.92%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total19.23%46.15%15.38%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.42 +0.69
SD 1.58 1.21 2.17
CV 0.75 0.85 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
13.85%—3.85%———7.69%
23.85%————3.85%7.69%
37.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
43.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
5+—23.08%3.85%7.69%——34.62%
Total23.08%46.15%11.54%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.85 1.35 +2.50
SD 2.71 1.23 2.83
CV 0.70 0.91 —
Max 12 5 +11
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
17.69%3.85%26.92%3.85%3.85%11.54%57.69%
23.85%—3.85%——3.85%11.54%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—11.54%———15.38%
Total23.08%7.69%42.31%3.85%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 2.27 -0.35
SD 1.76 1.99 2.98
CV 0.92 0.88 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
17.69%11.54%—7.69%——26.92%
2—11.54%—3.85%7.69%3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total19.23%34.62%7.69%23.08%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.92 -0.12
SD 1.44 1.65 2.52
CV 0.80 0.86 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%——11.54%23.08%
13.85%7.69%11.54%7.69%—7.69%38.46%
23.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total11.54%34.62%19.23%11.54%—23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.35 -0.85
SD 1.39 1.96 2.81
CV 0.93 0.83 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 42 36.80 +5.20
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 23.18 +2.82
3 Benfica 37 34.47 +2.53
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 35 33.12 +1.88
5 Porto 33 31.13 +1.87

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Boavista 14 19.41 -5.41
2 Sporting Covilha 20 23.92 -3.92
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 21 23.12 -2.12
4 Estoril 29 30.90 -1.90
5 O Elvas 21 22.84 -1.84

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 9 Oct 24 – Dec 20 1 in 1,061
2 Braga 3 Sep 19 – Oct 3 1 in 210
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 7 Dec 5 – Jan 23 1 in 108
4 Porto 3 Mar 27 – Apr 10 1 in 29
5 Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 Nov 14 – Nov 28 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Covilha 7 Oct 24 – Dec 5 1 in 405
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 Mar 27 – Apr 3 1 in 60
3 Vitoria Setubal 4 Sep 19 – Oct 10 1 in 27
4 Braga 3 Nov 28 – Dec 12 1 in 19
5 Estoril 3 Feb 20 – Mar 27 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 12 Oct 10 – Jan 2 1 in 130
2 Braga 4 Sep 19 – Oct 10 1 in 27
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 5 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 25
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 9 Nov 21 – Jan 23 1 in 23
5 O Elvas 5 Oct 17 – Nov 14 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Atletico Clube de Portugal 9 Dec 25 – Feb 20 1 in 83
2 Sporting Covilha 7 Oct 24 – Dec 5 1 in 38
3 Vitoria Setubal 9 Nov 14 – Jan 16 1 in 36
4 O Elvas 6 Nov 7 – Dec 12 1 in 30
5 Estoril 5 Feb 20 – Apr 10 1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal54.84%23.85%12.86%5.20%2.49%0.48%0.18%0.08%0.01%0.01%————
Benfica22.11%31.26%21.52%14.18%7.25%2.15%0.87%0.40%0.16%0.04%0.05%——0.01%
Os Belenenses (1st)12.80%22.03%26.48%19.90%11.49%4.29%1.72%0.76%0.28%0.19%—0.04%0.01%0.01%
Porto5.00%11.24%17.35%24.65%23.83%9.06%4.51%2.03%1.13%0.61%0.24%0.23%0.09%0.03%
Estoril5.10%10.37%17.84%24.29%22.62%10.09%4.44%2.45%1.48%0.62%0.41%0.20%0.09%—
Vitoria Guimaraes0.03%0.20%0.70%1.88%5.55%13.41%13.71%12.95%11.99%10.82%9.57%8.32%6.38%4.49%
Olhanense0.04%0.12%0.34%1.42%3.68%8.83%11.38%12.12%11.91%12.30%11.41%10.75%9.07%6.63%
Braga—0.08%0.31%1.14%3.28%7.65%9.85%12.24%12.02%12.93%12.32%11.25%9.85%7.08%
O Elvas—0.08%0.76%1.78%4.46%10.11%11.57%12.48%11.83%11.88%11.26%9.88%8.24%5.67%
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.02%0.26%0.46%1.82%4.73%9.94%12.62%12.39%12.22%11.83%10.61%9.64%7.69%5.77%
Sporting Covilha0.05%0.42%1.11%2.63%7.28%14.38%15.04%13.15%12.23%9.98%8.70%6.68%4.97%3.38%
Vitoria Setubal0.01%0.04%0.15%0.61%2.06%5.22%6.67%8.67%10.73%11.71%12.91%14.26%14.06%12.90%
Lusitano VRSA—0.03%0.04%0.34%0.74%2.52%3.87%5.45%7.40%8.91%11.08%14.72%19.60%25.30%
Boavista—0.02%0.08%0.16%0.54%1.87%3.57%4.83%6.61%8.17%11.44%14.03%19.95%28.73%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+43.96%
Strong Edge
64.84%14.29%20.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge
120 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0163.88400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.51 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.36+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3 * Some Luck: 3 to 4.5 * Lucky: 4.5 to 6.01 * Wild Swing: 6.01 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.59 * Close: 1.59 to 2.38 * Off: 2.38 to 3.17 * Way Off: 3.17 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
2.86 points
As Expected
03.759
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.984
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
94.79%
Sporting Clube de Portugal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
9.28%
Boavista
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.59
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
46%
Frequent
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Very Frequent
0%40%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.45
Highly Predictable
00.462
Matchup Imbalance
0.58
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.60
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.83
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.56
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.022
Well Within Noise
00.0970.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Estoril 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Benfica 99.99% 0.01%
Os Belenenses (1st) 99.99% 0.01%
Porto 99.97% 0.03%
Sporting Covilha 96.62% 3.38%
Vitoria Guimaraes 95.51% 4.49%
O Elvas 94.33% 5.67%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 94.23% 5.77%
Olhanense 93.37% 6.63%
Braga 92.92% 7.08%
Vitoria Setubal 87.10% 12.90%
Lusitano VRSA 74.70% 25.30%
Boavista 71.27% 28.73%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1948-09-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1379 1607 45.0% 15.1% 39.9% -18.6 0
1948-09-19 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1607 1379 39.9% 15.1% 45.0% +18.7 2
1948-09-19 Olhanense W 1-0 1597 1325 83.2% 13.2% 3.6% +0.6 2
1948-09-19 @ Benfica L 0-1 1325 1597 3.6% 13.2% 83.2% -0.6 0
1948-09-19 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1274 1550 38.3% 15.0% 46.7% +0.3 1
1948-09-19 @ Lusitano VRSA D 1-1 1550 1274 46.7% 15.0% 38.3% -0.3 1
1948-09-19 O Elvas W 3-1 1511 1338 79.9% 13.9% 6.1% +1.7 2
1948-09-19 @ Porto L 1-3 1338 1511 6.1% 13.9% 79.9% -1.8 0
1948-09-19 Boavista W 4-0 1388 1292 76.4% 14.4% 9.2% +5.7 2
1948-09-19 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-4 1292 1388 9.2% 14.4% 76.4% -5.7 0
1948-09-19 Estoril W 4-1 1336 1492 54.6% 15.2% 30.2% +11.2 2
1948-09-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1492 1336 30.2% 15.2% 54.6% -11.2 0
1948-09-19 Braga L 1-2 1311 1310 70.4% 14.8% 14.8% -9.8 0
1948-09-19 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1310 1311 14.8% 14.8% 70.4% +9.8 2
1948-09-26 Benfica L 0-1 1550 1598 66.2% 15.0% 18.8% -9.8 1
1948-09-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1598 1550 18.8% 15.0% 66.2% +9.8 4
1948-09-26 Porto L 1-5 1286 1513 45.2% 15.1% 39.7% -20.4 0
1948-09-26 @ Boavista W 5-1 1513 1286 39.7% 15.1% 45.2% +20.4 4
1948-09-26 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1320 1394 63.8% 15.1% 21.1% +3.3 4
1948-09-26 @ Braga L 1-2 1394 1320 21.1% 15.1% 63.8% -3.3 2
1948-09-26 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1481 1360 77.7% 14.3% 8.1% +2.3 2
1948-09-26 @ Estoril L 1-3 1360 1481 8.1% 14.3% 77.7% -2.3 0
1948-09-26 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1336 1347 69.4% 14.9% 15.7% +2.4 2
1948-09-26 @ O Elvas L 2-3 1347 1336 15.7% 14.9% 69.4% -2.4 2
1948-09-26 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1325 1302 72.0% 14.8% 13.3% +2.3 2
1948-09-26 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1302 1325 13.3% 14.8% 72.0% -2.3 0
1948-09-26 Lusitano VRSA W 7-1 1625 1275 85.1% 12.5% 2.4% +1.8 4
1948-09-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-7 1275 1625 2.4% 12.5% 85.1% -1.7 1
1948-10-03 O Elvas W 3-1 1358 1339 71.7% 14.8% 13.5% +3.8 2
1948-10-03 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1339 1358 13.5% 14.8% 71.7% -3.8 2
1948-10-03 Benfica L 1-2 1273 1607 30.5% 14.8% 54.6% -4.6 1
1948-10-03 @ Lusitano VRSA W 2-1 1607 1273 54.6% 14.8% 30.5% +4.6 6
1948-10-03 Braga L 0-1 1533 1323 81.3% 13.7% 5.1% -12.1 4
1948-10-03 @ Porto W 1-0 1323 1533 5.1% 13.7% 81.3% +12.1 6
1948-10-03 Estoril W 5-3 1627 1483 78.7% 14.1% 7.1% +1.7 6
1948-10-03 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-5 1483 1627 7.1% 14.1% 78.7% -1.7 2
1948-10-03 Olhanense D 1-1 1390 1327 74.6% 14.6% 10.8% -2.4 3
1948-10-03 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1327 1390 10.8% 14.6% 74.6% +2.4 3
1948-10-03 Boavista W 3-1 1345 1266 75.5% 14.5% 10.0% +2.8 4
1948-10-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1266 1345 10.0% 14.5% 75.5% -2.8 0
1948-10-03 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1299 1540 43.2% 15.1% 41.7% -6.2 0
1948-10-03 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1540 1299 41.7% 15.1% 43.2% +6.2 3
1948-10-10 Sporting Covilha W 6-1 1546 1388 79.3% 14.0% 6.6% +4.2 5
1948-10-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-6 1388 1546 6.6% 14.0% 79.3% -4.2 3
1948-10-10 Vitoria Setubal W 6-0 1612 1293 84.4% 12.8% 2.8% +2.5 8
1948-10-10 @ Benfica L 0-6 1293 1612 2.8% 12.8% 84.4% -2.5 0
1948-10-10 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1263 1362 61.2% 15.1% 23.7% -0.8 1
1948-10-10 @ Boavista D 3-3 1362 1263 23.7% 15.1% 61.2% +0.8 3
1948-10-10 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1336 1348 69.3% 14.9% 15.8% -2.0 7
1948-10-10 @ Braga D 1-1 1348 1336 15.8% 14.9% 69.3% +2.0 5
1948-10-10 Lusitano VRSA D 2-2 1481 1268 81.4% 13.7% 5.0% -2.2 3
1948-10-10 @ Estoril D 2-2 1268 1481 5.0% 13.7% 81.4% +2.2 2
1948-10-10 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-4 1335 1629 35.8% 15.0% 49.2% -4.9 2
1948-10-10 @ O Elvas W 4-3 1629 1335 49.2% 15.0% 35.8% +4.9 8
1948-10-10 Porto L 1-2 1329 1521 50.0% 15.1% 34.9% -7.0 3
1948-10-10 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1521 1329 34.9% 15.1% 50.0% +7.0 6
1948-10-17 Braga W 4-3 1363 1334 72.4% 14.7% 12.9% +1.9 5
1948-10-17 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 3-4 1334 1363 12.9% 14.7% 72.4% -1.9 7
1948-10-17 O Elvas D 2-2 1479 1330 79.0% 14.1% 7.0% -2.0 4
1948-10-17 @ Estoril D 2-2 1330 1479 7.0% 14.1% 79.0% +2.0 3
1948-10-17 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1270 1291 68.7% 14.9% 16.4% -10.2 2
1948-10-17 @ Lusitano VRSA W 1-0 1291 1270 16.4% 14.9% 68.7% +10.2 2
1948-10-17 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1528 1550 68.5% 14.9% 16.6% +5.3 8
1948-10-17 @ Porto L 0-2 1550 1528 16.6% 14.9% 68.5% -5.3 5
1948-10-17 Boavista W 12-1 1634 1262 85.6% 12.3% 2.1% +2.8 10
1948-10-17 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-12 1262 1634 2.1% 12.3% 85.6% -2.8 1
1948-10-17 Benfica W 1-0 1384 1615 44.6% 15.1% 40.3% +6.2 5
1948-10-17 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1615 1384 40.3% 15.1% 44.6% -6.2 8
1948-10-17 Olhanense W 1-0 1350 1322 72.3% 14.7% 13.0% +2.2 7
1948-10-17 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1322 1350 13.0% 14.7% 72.3% -2.2 3
1948-10-24 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1545 1352 80.7% 13.8% 5.5% +2.6 7
1948-10-24 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1352 1545 5.5% 13.8% 80.7% -2.6 7
1948-10-24 Porto D 1-1 1608 1533 75.3% 14.5% 10.2% -2.4 9
1948-10-24 @ Benfica D 1-1 1533 1608 10.2% 14.5% 75.3% +2.4 9
1948-10-24 Estoril L 1-2 1259 1477 46.4% 15.1% 38.5% -6.6 1
1948-10-24 @ Boavista W 2-1 1477 1259 38.5% 15.1% 46.4% +6.6 6
1948-10-24 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1332 1637 34.3% 14.9% 50.7% +7.6 9
1948-10-24 @ Braga L 0-1 1637 1332 50.7% 14.9% 34.3% -7.6 10
1948-10-24 Lusitano VRSA D 1-1 1332 1260 75.1% 14.5% 10.4% -2.4 4
1948-10-24 @ O Elvas D 1-1 1260 1332 10.4% 14.5% 75.1% +2.4 3
1948-10-24 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1320 1365 66.6% 15.0% 18.4% +7.1 5
1948-10-24 @ Olhanense L 1-4 1365 1320 18.4% 15.0% 66.6% -7.1 5
1948-10-24 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1301 1390 62.2% 15.1% 22.7% +3.5 4
1948-10-24 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1390 1301 22.7% 15.1% 62.2% -3.5 5
1948-10-31 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-7 1358 1548 50.2% 15.1% 34.6% -32.4 5
1948-10-31 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 7-1 1548 1358 34.6% 15.1% 50.2% +32.4 9
1948-10-31 Braga W 6-1 1484 1339 78.8% 14.1% 7.1% +4.5 8
1948-10-31 @ Estoril L 1-6 1339 1484 7.1% 14.1% 78.8% -4.5 9
1948-10-31 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1263 1386 58.4% 15.1% 26.4% +4.1 5
1948-10-31 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1386 1263 26.4% 15.1% 58.4% -4.0 5
1948-10-31 Boavista W 3-0 1330 1253 75.4% 14.5% 10.1% +4.8 6
1948-10-31 @ O Elvas L 0-3 1253 1330 10.1% 14.5% 75.4% -4.8 1
1948-10-31 Vitoria Setubal W 6-1 1536 1304 82.0% 13.5% 4.5% +2.8 11
1948-10-31 @ Porto L 1-6 1304 1536 4.5% 13.5% 82.0% -2.8 4
1948-10-31 Olhanense W 3-1 1629 1327 84.0% 12.9% 3.1% +0.9 12
1948-10-31 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1327 1629 3.1% 12.9% 84.0% -0.9 5
1948-10-31 Benfica D 3-3 1349 1606 40.9% 15.0% 44.0% +0.1 8
1948-10-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 3-3 1606 1349 44.0% 15.0% 40.9% -0.1 10
1948-11-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1580 1630 66.1% 15.0% 18.9% -22.6 9
1948-11-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-1 1630 1580 18.9% 15.0% 66.1% +22.6 14
1948-11-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1606 1325 83.4% 13.1% 3.5% +1.0 12
1948-11-07 @ Benfica L 1-3 1325 1606 3.5% 13.1% 83.4% -1.0 5
1948-11-07 Lusitano VRSA W 6-1 1248 1267 68.8% 14.9% 16.3% +10.1 3
1948-11-07 @ Boavista L 1-6 1267 1248 16.3% 14.9% 68.8% -10.1 5
1948-11-07 O Elvas D 1-1 1335 1335 70.3% 14.8% 14.9% -2.0 10
1948-11-07 @ Braga D 1-1 1335 1335 14.9% 14.8% 70.3% +2.0 7
1948-11-07 Estoril L 2-7 1326 1488 53.8% 15.2% 31.0% -24.5 5
1948-11-07 @ Olhanense W 7-2 1488 1326 31.0% 15.2% 53.8% +24.5 10
1948-11-07 Porto L 1-2 1382 1539 54.6% 15.2% 30.3% -7.6 5
1948-11-07 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1539 1382 30.3% 15.2% 54.6% +7.6 13
1948-11-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1301 1349 66.3% 15.0% 18.7% +5.1 6
1948-11-07 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1349 1301 18.7% 15.0% 66.3% -5.1 8
1948-11-14 Vitoria Setubal W 5-1 1324 1307 71.6% 14.8% 13.6% +7.0 7
1948-11-14 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1307 1324 13.6% 14.8% 71.6% -7.0 6
1948-11-14 Braga W 2-1 1258 1333 63.7% 15.1% 21.2% +3.3 5
1948-11-14 @ Boavista L 1-2 1333 1258 21.2% 15.1% 63.7% -3.3 10
1948-11-14 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1513 1557 66.6% 15.0% 18.4% +5.8 12
1948-11-14 @ Estoril L 0-2 1557 1513 18.4% 15.0% 66.6% -5.8 9
1948-11-14 Porto W 1-0 1257 1546 36.4% 15.0% 48.7% +7.3 7
1948-11-14 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-1 1546 1257 48.7% 15.0% 36.4% -7.3 13
1948-11-14 Olhanense D 2-2 1337 1302 72.8% 14.7% 12.5% -1.7 8
1948-11-14 @ O Elvas D 2-2 1302 1337 12.5% 14.7% 72.8% +1.7 6
1948-11-14 Benfica W 5-1 1652 1607 73.5% 14.7% 11.8% +6.1 16
1948-11-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1607 1652 11.8% 14.7% 73.5% -6.1 12
1948-11-14 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1344 1375 67.8% 14.9% 17.2% +2.9 10
1948-11-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1375 1344 17.2% 14.9% 67.8% -2.9 5
1948-11-21 O Elvas W 5-2 1552 1335 81.5% 13.6% 4.9% +1.7 11
1948-11-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-5 1335 1552 4.9% 13.6% 81.5% -1.7 8
1948-11-21 Estoril L 1-2 1601 1519 75.7% 14.5% 9.8% -10.6 12
1948-11-21 @ Benfica W 2-1 1519 1601 9.8% 14.5% 75.7% +10.6 14
1948-11-21 Lusitano VRSA W 3-1 1329 1264 74.7% 14.6% 10.7% +3.0 12
1948-11-21 @ Braga L 1-3 1264 1329 10.7% 14.6% 74.7% -3.0 7
1948-11-21 Boavista W 10-3 1303 1261 73.3% 14.7% 12.1% +7.6 8
1948-11-21 @ Olhanense L 3-10 1261 1303 12.1% 14.7% 73.3% -7.6 5
1948-11-21 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-2 1539 1347 80.7% 13.8% 5.5% +1.4 15
1948-11-21 @ Porto L 2-4 1347 1539 5.5% 13.8% 80.7% -1.4 10
1948-11-21 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1372 1331 73.2% 14.7% 12.1% -10.2 5
1948-11-21 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1331 1372 12.1% 14.7% 73.2% +10.2 9
1948-11-21 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1300 1658 27.6% 14.7% 57.6% -4.4 6
1948-11-21 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1658 1300 57.6% 14.7% 27.6% +4.4 18
1948-11-28 Porto W 3-2 1341 1540 49.0% 15.1% 35.9% +5.0 11
1948-11-28 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1540 1341 35.9% 15.1% 49.0% -5.0 15
1948-11-28 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1254 1553 35.0% 14.9% 50.0% +0.5 6
1948-11-28 @ Boavista D 1-1 1553 1254 50.0% 14.9% 35.0% -0.5 12
1948-11-28 Olhanense L 0-1 1332 1311 71.8% 14.8% 13.4% -10.7 12
1948-11-28 @ Braga W 1-0 1311 1332 13.4% 14.8% 71.8% +10.7 10
1948-11-28 Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1529 1295 82.1% 13.5% 4.4% +3.4 16
1948-11-28 @ Estoril L 0-5 1295 1529 4.4% 13.5% 82.1% -3.4 6
1948-11-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1261 1346 62.7% 15.1% 22.2% +3.7 9
1948-11-28 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-1 1346 1261 22.2% 15.1% 62.7% -3.7 10
1948-11-28 Benfica L 0-1 1333 1590 40.9% 15.0% 44.1% -6.3 8
1948-11-28 @ O Elvas W 1-0 1590 1333 44.1% 15.0% 40.9% +6.3 14
1948-11-28 Sporting Covilha W 7-2 1663 1362 84.0% 12.9% 3.1% +1.6 20
1948-11-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-7 1362 1663 3.1% 12.9% 84.0% -1.6 5
1948-12-05 Braga W 5-0 1553 1322 82.0% 13.5% 4.5% +3.4 14
1948-12-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-5 1322 1553 4.5% 13.5% 82.0% -3.4 12
1948-12-05 Boavista W 7-0 1596 1254 84.9% 12.6% 2.5% +2.6 16
1948-12-05 @ Benfica L 0-7 1254 1596 2.5% 12.6% 84.9% -2.6 6
1948-12-05 Olhanense W 2-1 1265 1322 65.4% 15.0% 19.6% +3.1 11
1948-12-05 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1322 1265 19.6% 15.0% 65.4% -3.1 10
1948-12-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1535 1665 57.8% 15.1% 27.0% +4.4 17
1948-12-05 @ Porto L 0-1 1665 1535 27.0% 15.1% 57.8% -4.4 20
1948-12-05 Estoril L 1-3 1360 1533 52.5% 15.2% 32.4% -12.8 5
1948-12-05 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1533 1360 32.4% 15.2% 52.5% +12.8 18
1948-12-05 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1342 1346 70.0% 14.9% 15.2% -2.0 11
1948-12-05 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1346 1342 15.2% 14.9% 70.0% +2.0 12
1948-12-05 O Elvas D 1-1 1292 1327 67.4% 15.0% 17.6% -1.8 7
1948-12-05 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1327 1292 17.6% 15.0% 67.4% +1.8 9
1948-12-12 Lusitano VRSA W 3-0 1348 1268 75.6% 14.5% 9.9% +4.7 14
1948-12-12 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1268 1348 9.9% 14.5% 75.6% -4.7 11
1948-12-12 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1252 1290 67.1% 15.0% 17.9% -1.8 7
1948-12-12 @ Boavista D 1-1 1290 1252 17.9% 15.0% 67.1% +1.8 8
1948-12-12 Benfica L 3-4 1318 1599 37.6% 15.0% 47.4% -5.1 12
1948-12-12 @ Braga W 4-3 1599 1318 47.4% 15.0% 37.6% +5.1 18
1948-12-12 Porto W 5-1 1545 1540 70.7% 14.8% 14.5% +7.3 20
1948-12-12 @ Estoril L 1-5 1540 1545 14.5% 14.8% 70.7% -7.3 17
1948-12-12 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1329 1347 68.8% 14.9% 16.3% -10.2 9
1948-12-12 @ O Elvas W 1-0 1347 1329 16.3% 14.9% 68.8% +10.2 7
1948-12-12 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1319 1556 43.6% 15.1% 41.3% -5.9 10
1948-12-12 @ Olhanense W 3-2 1556 1319 41.3% 15.1% 43.6% +5.9 16
1948-12-12 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1660 1340 84.4% 12.8% 2.8% +1.3 22
1948-12-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1340 1660 2.8% 12.8% 84.4% -1.3 11
1948-12-20 Lusitano VRSA W 3-1 1562 1263 83.9% 13.0% 3.1% +0.9 18
1948-12-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1263 1562 3.1% 13.0% 83.9% -0.9 11
1948-12-20 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1250 1357 60.3% 15.1% 24.6% +3.8 9
1948-12-20 @ Boavista L 1-2 1357 1250 24.6% 15.1% 60.3% -3.8 7
1948-12-20 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1313 1292 71.9% 14.8% 13.4% +4.3 14
1948-12-20 @ Braga L 0-2 1292 1313 13.4% 14.8% 71.9% -4.3 8
1948-12-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-2 1553 1339 81.4% 13.6% 4.9% +1.2 22
1948-12-20 @ Estoril L 2-4 1339 1553 4.9% 13.6% 81.4% -1.3 11
1948-12-20 Porto W 2-0 1319 1532 47.0% 15.1% 37.9% +11.1 11
1948-12-20 @ O Elvas L 0-2 1532 1319 37.9% 15.1% 47.0% -11.1 17
1948-12-25 Benfica W 2-1 1313 1604 36.1% 15.0% 48.9% +6.9 12
1948-12-25 @ Olhanense L 1-2 1604 1313 48.9% 15.0% 36.1% -6.9 18
1948-12-25 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-1 1662 1353 84.2% 12.9% 3.0% +1.5 24
1948-12-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1353 1662 3.0% 12.9% 84.2% -1.5 14
1949-01-02 Estoril D 3-3 1352 1554 48.5% 15.1% 36.4% -0.2 15
1949-01-02 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1554 1352 36.4% 15.1% 48.5% +0.3 23
1949-01-02 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1597 1563 72.7% 14.7% 12.6% -20.4 18
1949-01-02 @ Benfica W 2-0 1563 1597 12.6% 14.7% 72.7% +20.3 20
1949-01-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1262 1663 23.1% 14.5% 62.4% -7.1 11
1949-01-02 @ Lusitano VRSA W 2-0 1663 1262 62.4% 14.5% 23.1% +7.1 26
1949-01-02 Boavista W 3-1 1521 1254 83.1% 13.2% 3.7% +1.0 19
1949-01-02 @ Porto L 1-3 1254 1521 3.7% 13.2% 83.1% -1.0 9
1949-01-02 O Elvas W 3-0 1338 1330 70.9% 14.8% 14.3% +6.7 13
1949-01-02 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-3 1330 1338 14.3% 14.8% 70.9% -6.7 11
1949-01-02 Olhanense D 2-2 1287 1320 67.7% 15.0% 17.4% -1.4 9
1949-01-02 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1320 1287 17.4% 15.0% 67.7% +1.4 13
1949-01-09 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1583 1286 83.9% 13.0% 3.2% +0.9 22
1949-01-09 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1286 1583 3.2% 13.0% 83.9% -0.9 9
1949-01-09 Lusitano VRSA W 2-1 1577 1255 84.5% 12.8% 2.8% +0.5 20
1949-01-09 @ Benfica L 1-2 1255 1577 2.8% 12.8% 84.5% -0.4 11
1949-01-09 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1253 1344 62.0% 15.1% 22.9% -1.4 10
1949-01-09 @ Boavista D 1-1 1344 1253 22.9% 15.1% 62.0% +1.4 14
1949-01-09 Porto W 2-0 1317 1522 48.2% 15.1% 36.7% +10.8 16
1949-01-09 @ Braga L 0-2 1522 1317 36.7% 15.1% 48.2% -10.8 19
1949-01-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1554 1670 59.4% 15.1% 25.5% -12.8 23
1949-01-09 @ Estoril W 4-2 1670 1554 25.5% 15.1% 59.4% +12.8 28
1949-01-09 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 7-0 1323 1351 68.0% 14.9% 17.1% +17.4 13
1949-01-09 @ O Elvas L 0-7 1351 1323 17.1% 14.9% 68.0% -17.5 15
1949-01-09 Sporting Covilha W 4-0 1321 1354 67.6% 15.0% 17.4% +10.5 15
1949-01-09 @ Olhanense L 0-4 1354 1321 17.4% 15.0% 67.6% -10.5 7
1949-01-12 Braga W 2-0 1343 1328 71.4% 14.8% 13.8% +4.5 9
1949-01-12 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1328 1343 13.8% 14.8% 71.4% -4.5 16
1949-01-16 Boavista D 1-1 1334 1251 75.7% 14.5% 9.8% -2.5 16
1949-01-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1251 1334 9.8% 14.5% 75.7% +2.5 11
1949-01-16 Estoril D 1-1 1254 1541 36.7% 15.0% 48.3% +0.4 12
1949-01-16 @ Lusitano VRSA D 1-1 1541 1254 48.3% 15.0% 36.7% -0.4 24
1949-01-16 Olhanense W 2-0 1512 1331 80.2% 13.9% 5.9% +1.9 21
1949-01-16 @ Porto L 0-2 1331 1512 5.9% 13.9% 80.2% -1.9 15
1949-01-16 O Elvas W 7-1 1683 1340 85.0% 12.6% 2.5% +1.8 30
1949-01-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-7 1340 1683 2.5% 12.6% 85.0% -1.8 13
1949-01-16 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1348 1584 43.8% 15.1% 41.1% -6.3 9
1949-01-16 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1584 1348 41.1% 15.1% 43.8% +6.3 24
1949-01-16 Braga W 3-2 1346 1324 71.9% 14.8% 13.4% +2.0 16
1949-01-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1324 1346 13.4% 14.8% 71.9% -2.0 16
1949-01-16 Benfica L 1-2 1285 1577 36.0% 15.0% 49.0% -5.3 9
1949-01-16 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1577 1285 49.0% 15.0% 36.0% +5.3 22
1949-01-23 Porto W 3-1 1590 1514 75.4% 14.5% 10.1% +2.9 26
1949-01-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1514 1590 10.1% 14.5% 75.4% -2.8 21
1949-01-23 Sporting Covilha W 6-1 1583 1341 82.3% 13.4% 4.3% +2.7 24
1949-01-23 @ Benfica L 1-6 1341 1583 4.3% 13.4% 82.3% -2.7 9
1949-01-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1254 1685 20.1% 14.4% 65.5% +1.8 12
1949-01-23 @ Boavista D 0-0 1685 1254 65.5% 14.4% 20.1% -1.8 31
1949-01-23 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1322 1331 69.5% 14.9% 15.6% +2.5 18
1949-01-23 @ Braga L 1-2 1331 1322 15.6% 14.9% 69.5% -2.5 16
1949-01-23 Estoril W 4-2 1339 1541 48.5% 15.1% 36.3% +8.3 15
1949-01-23 @ O Elvas L 2-4 1541 1339 36.3% 15.1% 48.5% -8.3 24
1949-01-23 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1330 1348 68.8% 14.9% 16.2% +5.2 17
1949-01-23 @ Olhanense L 0-2 1348 1330 16.2% 14.9% 68.8% -5.2 16
1949-01-23 Lusitano VRSA W 2-1 1280 1255 72.1% 14.8% 13.1% +2.1 11
1949-01-23 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1255 1280 13.1% 14.8% 72.1% -2.1 12
1949-01-30 Olhanense D 1-1 1329 1335 69.8% 14.9% 15.3% -2.0 17
1949-01-30 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1335 1329 15.3% 14.9% 69.8% +2.0 18
1949-01-30 Boavista W 8-1 1533 1256 83.3% 13.1% 3.5% +3.0 26
1949-01-30 @ Estoril L 1-8 1256 1533 3.5% 13.1% 83.3% -3.0 12
1949-01-30 O Elvas W 2-1 1253 1347 61.7% 15.1% 23.2% +3.6 14
1949-01-30 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1347 1253 23.2% 15.1% 61.7% -3.6 15
1949-01-30 Benfica W 4-3 1511 1585 63.7% 15.1% 21.2% +3.1 23
1949-01-30 @ Porto L 3-4 1585 1511 21.2% 15.1% 63.7% -3.1 24
1949-01-30 Braga W 4-0 1683 1324 85.3% 12.4% 2.3% +1.4 33
1949-01-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1324 1683 2.3% 12.4% 85.3% -1.4 18
1949-01-30 Vitoria Setubal W 6-2 1339 1282 74.2% 14.6% 11.2% +4.9 11
1949-01-30 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-6 1282 1339 11.2% 14.6% 74.2% -4.9 11
1949-01-30 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1342 1593 41.7% 15.1% 43.2% +6.2 18
1949-01-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1593 1342 43.2% 15.1% 41.7% -6.2 26
1949-02-06 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-0 1587 1327 82.9% 13.3% 3.9% +2.4 28
1949-02-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1327 1587 3.9% 13.3% 82.9% -2.4 17
1949-02-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-0 1582 1349 82.1% 13.5% 4.4% +3.4 26
1949-02-06 @ Benfica L 0-5 1349 1582 4.4% 13.5% 82.1% -3.4 18
1949-02-06 O Elvas L 1-2 1253 1343 62.1% 15.1% 22.8% -8.7 12
1949-02-06 @ Boavista W 2-1 1343 1253 22.8% 15.1% 62.1% +8.7 17
1949-02-06 Estoril W 2-1 1323 1536 47.1% 15.1% 37.8% +5.5 20
1949-02-06 @ Braga L 1-2 1536 1323 37.8% 15.1% 47.1% -5.5 26
1949-02-06 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-7 1337 1684 29.0% 14.8% 56.3% -10.7 18
1949-02-06 @ Olhanense W 7-3 1684 1337 56.3% 14.8% 29.0% +10.7 35
1949-02-06 Lusitano VRSA W 3-0 1343 1256 75.9% 14.5% 9.6% +4.5 13
1949-02-06 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1256 1343 9.6% 14.5% 75.9% -4.5 14
1949-02-06 Porto W 3-1 1277 1514 43.8% 15.1% 41.1% +10.3 13
1949-02-06 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1514 1277 41.1% 15.1% 43.8% -10.3 23
1949-02-13 Benfica L 1-2 1324 1586 40.3% 15.0% 44.7% -5.8 17
1949-02-13 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1586 1324 44.7% 15.0% 40.3% +5.8 28
1949-02-13 Olhanense W 6-1 1530 1326 81.1% 13.7% 5.2% +3.3 28
1949-02-13 @ Estoril L 1-6 1326 1530 5.2% 13.7% 81.1% -3.3 18
1949-02-13 Boavista W 1-0 1252 1244 70.9% 14.8% 14.3% +2.4 16
1949-02-13 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-1 1244 1252 14.3% 14.8% 70.9% -2.4 12
1949-02-13 Braga W 4-1 1352 1328 72.0% 14.8% 13.2% +5.2 19
1949-02-13 @ O Elvas L 1-4 1328 1352 13.2% 14.8% 72.0% -5.2 20
1949-02-13 Sporting Covilha W 4-1 1503 1348 79.2% 14.1% 6.7% +2.7 25
1949-02-13 @ Porto L 1-4 1348 1503 6.7% 14.1% 79.2% -2.7 13
1949-02-13 Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-1 1695 1589 76.9% 14.4% 8.7% +4.5 37
1949-02-13 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1589 1695 8.7% 14.4% 76.9% -4.5 28
1949-02-13 Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1345 1287 74.2% 14.6% 11.1% +8.5 20
1949-02-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-5 1287 1345 11.1% 14.6% 74.2% -8.5 13
1949-02-20 Estoril W 6-2 1585 1534 73.9% 14.6% 11.5% +5.0 30
1949-02-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-6 1534 1585 11.5% 14.6% 73.9% -5.0 28
1949-02-20 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1591 1700 60.2% 15.1% 24.7% -0.8 29
1949-02-20 @ Benfica D 3-3 1700 1591 24.7% 15.1% 60.2% +0.8 38
1949-02-20 Boavista W 4-2 1323 1241 75.6% 14.5% 9.9% +2.5 22
1949-02-20 @ Braga L 2-4 1241 1323 9.9% 14.5% 75.6% -2.5 12
1949-02-20 O Elvas W 4-1 1323 1357 67.5% 15.0% 17.6% +6.8 20
1949-02-20 @ Olhanense L 1-4 1357 1323 17.6% 15.0% 67.5% -6.8 19
1949-02-20 Lusitano VRSA W 3-0 1506 1254 82.6% 13.4% 4.0% +1.9 27
1949-02-20 @ Porto L 0-3 1254 1506 4.0% 13.4% 82.6% -1.9 16
1949-02-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-2 1345 1354 69.6% 14.9% 15.5% +6.7 15
1949-02-20 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-6 1354 1345 15.5% 14.9% 69.6% -6.7 20
1949-02-20 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-1 1279 1319 67.0% 15.0% 18.0% +9.0 15
1949-02-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-5 1319 1279 18.0% 15.0% 67.0% -9.0 17
1949-03-06 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1310 1352 66.8% 15.0% 18.2% +9.1 19
1949-03-06 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1352 1310 18.2% 15.0% 66.8% -9.1 15
1949-03-06 Olhanense W 5-1 1239 1330 62.1% 15.1% 22.8% +11.2 14
1949-03-06 @ Boavista L 1-5 1330 1239 22.8% 15.1% 62.1% -11.2 20
1949-03-06 Benfica L 1-3 1529 1591 64.9% 15.0% 20.0% -15.7 28
1949-03-06 @ Estoril W 3-1 1591 1529 20.0% 15.0% 64.9% +15.7 31
1949-03-06 Braga W 2-0 1252 1326 63.8% 15.1% 21.1% +6.6 18
1949-03-06 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-2 1326 1252 21.1% 15.1% 63.8% -6.6 22
1949-03-06 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1350 1590 43.4% 15.1% 41.6% -0.1 20
1949-03-06 @ O Elvas D 1-1 1590 1350 41.6% 15.1% 43.4% +0.1 31
1949-03-06 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1700 1288 86.4% 11.9% 1.7% +0.5 40
1949-03-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1288 1700 1.7% 11.9% 86.4% -0.5 15
1949-03-06 Porto W 2-1 1347 1508 54.0% 15.2% 30.9% +4.6 22
1949-03-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1508 1347 30.9% 15.2% 54.0% -4.6 27
1949-03-13 Braga W 3-2 1318 1319 70.2% 14.8% 14.9% +2.3 22
1949-03-13 @ Olhanense L 2-3 1319 1318 14.9% 14.8% 70.2% -2.3 22
1949-03-13 Lusitano VRSA W 5-0 1352 1259 76.2% 14.4% 9.3% +7.1 24
1949-03-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-5 1259 1352 9.3% 14.4% 76.2% -7.1 18
1949-03-27 Boavista W 5-0 1590 1250 84.9% 12.6% 2.5% +1.9 33
1949-03-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-5 1250 1590 2.5% 12.6% 84.9% -1.9 14
1949-03-27 O Elvas W 6-0 1606 1350 82.7% 13.3% 3.9% +3.6 33
1949-03-27 @ Benfica L 0-6 1350 1606 3.9% 13.3% 82.7% -3.6 20
1949-03-27 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1503 1319 80.4% 13.9% 5.8% +2.7 29
1949-03-27 @ Porto L 0-3 1319 1503 5.8% 13.9% 80.4% -2.8 19
1949-03-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 5-2 1343 1701 27.8% 14.7% 57.5% +17.0 17
1949-03-27 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-5 1701 1343 57.5% 14.7% 27.8% -17.0 40
1949-03-27 Estoril W 2-0 1288 1513 45.4% 15.1% 39.5% +11.5 17
1949-03-27 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1513 1288 39.5% 15.1% 45.4% -11.5 28
1949-04-03 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1316 1359 66.7% 15.0% 18.3% -9.3 19
1949-04-03 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1359 1316 18.3% 15.0% 66.7% +9.3 26
1949-04-03 Benfica L 1-4 1248 1610 27.3% 14.7% 58.0% -10.1 14
1949-04-03 @ Boavista W 4-1 1610 1248 58.0% 14.7% 27.3% +10.1 35
1949-04-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1317 1592 38.3% 15.0% 46.7% +11.5 24
1949-04-03 @ Braga L 1-3 1592 1317 46.7% 15.0% 38.3% -11.5 33
1949-04-03 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1501 1360 78.6% 14.1% 7.2% -2.0 29
1949-04-03 @ Estoril D 2-2 1360 1501 7.2% 14.1% 78.6% +2.0 18
1949-04-03 Vitoria Setubal D 3-3 1347 1299 73.6% 14.6% 11.7% -1.4 21
1949-04-03 @ O Elvas D 3-3 1299 1347 11.7% 14.6% 73.6% +1.4 18
1949-04-03 Lusitano VRSA W 1-0 1321 1252 74.9% 14.5% 10.5% +1.8 24
1949-04-03 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1252 1321 10.5% 14.5% 74.9% -1.8 18
1949-04-03 Porto L 1-2 1684 1506 80.1% 13.9% 6.0% -11.2 40
1949-04-03 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1506 1684 6.0% 13.9% 80.1% +11.2 31
1949-04-10 Olhanense W 2-1 1580 1322 82.8% 13.3% 3.9% +0.6 35
1949-04-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1322 1580 3.9% 13.3% 82.8% -0.6 24
1949-04-10 Braga W 4-0 1620 1328 83.7% 13.0% 3.2% +2.0 37
1949-04-10 @ Benfica L 0-4 1328 1620 3.2% 13.0% 83.7% -2.0 24
1949-04-10 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1250 1307 65.5% 15.0% 19.5% -9.7 18
1949-04-10 @ Lusitano VRSA W 1-0 1307 1250 19.5% 15.0% 65.5% +9.7 21
1949-04-10 Estoril W 2-1 1517 1499 71.6% 14.8% 13.6% +2.2 33
1949-04-10 @ Porto L 1-2 1499 1517 13.6% 14.8% 71.6% -2.2 29
1949-04-10 O Elvas W 5-0 1362 1345 71.5% 14.8% 13.7% +10.3 20
1949-04-10 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-5 1345 1362 13.7% 14.8% 71.5% -10.3 21
1949-04-10 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1368 1673 34.4% 14.9% 50.7% -8.8 26
1949-04-10 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1673 1368 50.7% 14.9% 34.4% +8.8 42
1949-04-10 Boavista W 5-0 1300 1238 74.5% 14.6% 10.9% +8.3 20
1949-04-10 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-5 1238 1300 10.9% 14.6% 74.5% -8.3 14

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1948-10-03 5.05% Braga 1323 1 @ Porto 1533 0
2 1949-04-03 5.98% Porto 1506 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1684 1
3 1948-11-21 9.84% Estoril 1519 2 @ Benfica 1601 1
4 1948-11-21 12.14% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1331 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1372 1
5 1949-01-02 12.55% Os Belenenses (1st) 1563 2 @ Benfica 1597 0
6 1948-11-28 13.39% Olhanense 1311 1 @ Braga 1332 0
7 1948-09-19 14.79% Braga 1310 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1311 1
8 1948-12-12 16.27% Sporting Covilha 1347 1 @ O Elvas 1329 0
9 1948-10-17 16.41% Vitoria Setubal 1291 1 @ Lusitano VRSA 1270 0
10 1949-04-03 18.29% Vitoria Guimaraes 1359 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1316 1
11 1948-09-26 18.76% Benfica 1598 1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1550 0
12 1948-11-07 18.91% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1630 4 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1580 1
13 1949-04-10 19.52% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1307 1 @ Lusitano VRSA 1250 0
14 1949-03-06 20.03% Benfica 1591 3 @ Estoril 1529 1
15 1949-02-06 22.84% O Elvas 1343 2 @ Boavista 1253 1
16 1949-01-09 25.53% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1670 4 @ Estoril 1554 2
17 1949-03-27 27.75% @ Sporting Covilha 1343 5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1701 2
18 1948-11-07 30.29% Porto 1539 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1382 1
19 1948-11-07 31.03% Estoril 1488 7 @ Olhanense 1326 2
20 1948-12-05 32.38% Estoril 1533 3 @ Sporting Covilha 1360 1
21 1948-10-24 34.32% @ Braga 1332 1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1637 0
22 1948-10-31 34.65% Os Belenenses (1st) 1548 7 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1358 1
23 1948-10-10 34.89% Porto 1521 2 @ Olhanense 1329 1
24 1948-12-25 36.12% @ Olhanense 1313 2 Benfica 1604 1
25 1948-11-14 36.35% @ Lusitano VRSA 1257 1 Porto 1546 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-10-31 32.42 Os Belenenses (1st) 7 1548 34.65% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1 1358 50.20% 15.14%
2 1948-11-07 24.45 Estoril 7 1488 31.03% @ Olhanense 2 1326 53.82% 15.15%
3 1948-11-07 22.59 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1630 18.91% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1580 66.08% 15.01%
4 1949-01-02 20.36 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1563 12.55% @ Benfica 0 1597 72.74% 14.71%
5 1948-09-26 20.36 Porto 5 1513 39.71% @ Boavista 1 1286 45.18% 15.11%
6 1948-09-19 18.65 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1607 39.87% @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1379 45.03% 15.11%
7 1949-01-09 17.45 @ O Elvas 7 1323 68.00% Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1351 17.06% 14.94%
8 1949-03-27 16.99 @ Sporting Covilha 5 1343 27.75% Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1701 57.52% 14.73%
9 1949-03-06 15.69 Benfica 3 1591 20.03% @ Estoril 1 1529 64.94% 15.03%
10 1949-01-09 12.84 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1670 25.53% @ Estoril 2 1554 59.35% 15.13%
11 1948-12-05 12.77 Estoril 3 1533 32.38% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1360 52.47% 15.15%
12 1948-10-03 12.07 Braga 1 1323 5.05% @ Porto 0 1533 81.28% 13.67%
13 1949-03-27 11.49 @ Vitoria Setubal 2 1288 45.36% Estoril 0 1513 39.53% 15.11%
14 1949-04-03 11.46 @ Braga 3 1317 38.33% Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1592 46.66% 15.01%
15 1949-04-03 11.23 Porto 2 1506 5.98% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1684 80.12% 13.90%
16 1949-03-06 11.21 @ Boavista 5 1239 62.09% Olhanense 1 1330 22.82% 15.09%
17 1948-09-19 11.16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1336 54.60% Estoril 1 1492 30.25% 15.15%
18 1948-12-20 11.08 @ O Elvas 2 1319 46.97% Porto 0 1532 37.90% 15.12%
19 1949-01-09 10.78 @ Braga 2 1317 48.19% Porto 0 1522 36.68% 15.13%
20 1949-02-06 10.69 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 1684 56.26% @ Olhanense 3 1337 28.96% 14.77%
21 1948-11-28 10.66 Olhanense 1 1311 13.39% @ Braga 0 1332 71.84% 14.77%
22 1948-11-21 10.60 Estoril 2 1519 9.84% @ Benfica 1 1601 75.67% 14.49%
23 1949-01-09 10.50 @ Olhanense 4 1321 67.62% Sporting Covilha 0 1354 17.43% 14.96%
24 1949-04-10 10.32 @ Sporting Covilha 5 1362 71.50% O Elvas 0 1345 13.71% 14.79%
25 1949-02-06 10.29 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1277 43.77% Porto 1 1514 41.13% 15.09%