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1947-48 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sporting Clube de Portugal

41 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Estoril

4.87 points above expected

36 points · 31.13 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Olhanense

6.58 points below expected

17 points · 23.58 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 20 1 5 41 92 40 +52 38.35 +2.65
2 Benfica 26 19 3 4 41 84 35 +49 37.84 +3.16
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 16 5 5 37 76 30 +46 35.96 +1.04
4 Estoril 26 16 4 6 36 91 49 +42 31.13 +4.87
5 Porto 26 17 2 7 36 73 42 +31 32.81 +3.19
6 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 11 4 11 26 69 62 +7 23.85 +2.15
7 O Elvas 26 11 2 13 24 66 63 +3 21.82 +2.18
8 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 10 4 12 24 44 56 -12 21.31 +2.69
9 Boavista 26 9 2 15 20 40 65 -25 20.06 -0.06
10 Vitoria Setubal 26 8 3 15 19 38 64 -26 19.68 -0.68
11 Olhanense 26 5 7 14 17 48 66 -18 23.58 -6.58
12 Lusitano VRSA 26 7 3 16 17 29 78 -49 21.21 -4.21
13 Braga 26 6 4 16 16 47 69 -22 21.62 -5.62
14 Academica de Coimbra 26 4 2 20 10 35 113 -78 14.78 -4.78

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1802 41 38.35 +2.65 81.6% 25 33 36 38 41 44 50
Benfica 1784 41 37.84 +3.16 84.8% 22 32 35 38 40 44 50
Os Belenenses (1st) 1695 37 35.96 +1.04 65.3% 21 30 34 36 39 42 48
Porto 1654 36 32.81 +3.19 83.4% 17 26 30 33 35 39 47
Estoril 1624 36 31.13 +4.87 91.7% 17 25 29 31 34 37 45
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1459 26 23.85 +2.15 75.0% 9 17 21 24 27 30 40
O Elvas 1402 24 21.82 +2.18 75.2% 8 15 19 22 24 28 38
Vitoria Guimaraes 1399 24 21.31 +2.69 79.6% 8 15 19 21 24 28 36
Olhanense 1382 17 23.58 -6.58 5.7% 11 17 21 24 26 30 38
Vitoria Setubal 1364 19 19.68 -0.68 48.3% 7 13 17 20 22 26 34
Braga 1359 16 21.62 -5.62 8.9% 8 15 19 22 24 28 37
Boavista 1337 20 20.06 -0.06 55.2% 7 14 17 20 23 26 36
Lusitano VRSA 1317 17 21.21 -4.21 16.8% 9 15 19 21 24 28 37
Academica de Coimbra 1173 10 14.78 -4.78 12.0% 2 9 12 15 17 21 29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BEN BOA BRA EST LV OE OLH OB( POR SCDP VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
0.62
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
0.92
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
1.88
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.07
0-0-2
0.85
0-0-2
0.64
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.48
Atletico Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
4.10
 —
0-0-2
1.17
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.70
0-2-0
1.52
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.39
Benfica
2-0-0
5.13
2-0-0
4.58
 —
2-0-0
4.89
1-1-0
4.70
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-1
4.59
1-1-0
4.52
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.63
Boavista
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
0.86
 —
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
0.87
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.75
Braga
1-0-1
3.62
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
1.04
0-1-1
3.12
 —
1-0-1
1.77
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.69
0-0-2
1.20
0-0-2
1.90
0-0-2
1.04
1-0-1
2.86
1-1-0
3.13
Estoril
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.07
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.97
 —
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.92
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
2.16
1-1-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
4.19
1-1-0
4.14
Lusitano VRSA
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.27
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.18
 —
1-0-1
3.08
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.36
0-0-2
0.80
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.98
O Elvas
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
1.16
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.65
 —
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
1.23
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
1.06
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.11
Olhanense
1-1-0
3.86
0-0-2
3.03
0-1-1
1.22
1-0-1
3.30
1-1-0
3.04
0-0-2
2.01
0-2-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.98
 —
0-1-1
1.33
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.43
Os Belenenses (1st)
2-0-0
4.68
0-2-0
4.22
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
4.64
2-0-0
4.54
0-0-2
3.57
1-0-1
4.72
0-1-1
4.52
1-1-0
4.41
 —
2-0-0
3.07
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.62
Porto
2-0-0
4.89
1-1-0
3.80
0-0-2
2.36
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.85
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.89
0-0-2
2.67
 —
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
4.02
1-0-1
4.22
Sporting Clube de Portugal
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
4.88
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
4.95
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.44
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.42
 —
2-0-0
4.74
1-0-1
4.96
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
3.48
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
1.30
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
1.55
2-0-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.72
0-0-2
1.00
 —
1-1-0
2.98
Vitoria Setubal
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
2.99
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.13
1-0-1
1.52
1-0-1
0.79
0-1-1
2.76
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +4.3
Allowed 0.80 -4.4
Differential 0.93 +2.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.65%2.75%3.02%3.30%1.92%3.02%15.66%
12.75%4.95%6.32%4.67%3.85%4.12%26.65%
23.02%6.32%3.30%3.30%1.10%3.85%20.88%
33.30%4.67%3.30%2.20%0.55%1.37%15.38%
41.92%3.85%1.10%0.55%0.55%0.55%8.52%
5+3.02%4.12%3.85%1.37%0.55%—12.91%
Total15.66%26.65%20.88%15.38%8.52%12.91%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 2.29 +0.00
SD 1.98 1.98 3.14
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%——3.85%11.54%19.23%
13.85%—7.69%—7.69%23.08%42.31%
2—7.69%3.85%3.85%—11.54%26.92%
3———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total3.85%11.54%11.54%11.54%11.54%50.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 4.35 -3.00
SD 1.02 2.61 2.95
CV 0.76 0.60 —
Max 4 12 +1
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
1—7.69%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
2—11.54%3.85%3.85%7.69%7.69%34.62%
33.85%11.54%———7.69%23.08%
4———3.85%—3.85%7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
Total11.54%34.62%11.54%7.69%15.38%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.65 2.38 +0.27
SD 2.04 1.79 2.46
CV 0.77 0.75 —
Max 10 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
13.85%3.85%3.85%—7.69%—19.23%
215.38%—3.85%3.85%——23.08%
311.54%7.69%—3.85%——23.08%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
Total34.62%23.08%23.08%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.23 1.35 +1.88
SD 1.86 1.29 2.25
CV 0.58 0.96 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%15.38%34.62%
1——3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%19.23%
211.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
3—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total15.38%19.23%19.23%19.23%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.50 -0.96
SD 1.63 1.88 3.00
CV 1.06 0.75 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%——3.85%7.69%—15.38%
13.85%7.69%7.69%15.38%—7.69%42.31%
2—3.85%—7.69%—3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%—3.85%7.69%—15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total7.69%23.08%11.54%30.77%15.38%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.65 -0.85
SD 1.65 1.65 2.56
CV 0.91 0.62 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
1—3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
2——7.69%——3.85%11.54%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
43.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
5+3.85%11.54%11.54%—3.85%—30.77%
Total7.69%30.77%42.31%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.50 1.88 +1.62
SD 2.10 1.18 2.76
CV 0.60 0.62 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%—11.54%30.77%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%11.54%38.46%
23.85%15.38%—3.85%—3.85%26.92%
3———————
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%34.62%11.54%11.54%3.85%26.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 3.00 -1.88
SD 1.11 2.95 3.42
CV 0.99 0.98 —
Max 5 12 +4
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%—3.85%—11.54%
1—3.85%15.38%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
2—11.54%3.85%—3.85%7.69%26.92%
33.85%7.69%———3.85%15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+7.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
Total11.54%30.77%26.92%3.85%11.54%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.54 2.42 +0.12
SD 2.55 2.14 3.79
CV 1.00 0.88 —
Max 12 8 +11
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
13.85%7.69%7.69%15.38%7.69%—42.31%
2——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
3———7.69%—3.85%11.54%
4—————3.85%3.85%
5+7.69%—7.69%———15.38%
Total19.23%7.69%26.92%26.92%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 2.54 -0.69
SD 1.71 2.21 2.60
CV 0.93 0.87 —
Max 5 10 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%———7.69%
13.85%11.54%7.69%———23.08%
23.85%——3.85%—3.85%11.54%
311.54%—11.54%———23.08%
411.54%3.85%——3.85%—19.23%
5+7.69%7.69%————15.38%
Total42.31%23.08%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.92 1.15 +1.77
SD 2.02 1.35 2.63
CV 0.69 1.17 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.69%3.85%——11.54%
17.69%3.85%——7.69%—19.23%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
315.38%3.85%————19.23%
43.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
5+—7.69%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
Total26.92%26.92%19.23%15.38%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 1.62 +1.19
SD 1.98 1.44 2.61
CV 0.71 0.89 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
1——3.85%3.85%3.85%—11.54%
2—19.23%—3.85%——23.08%
3—7.69%11.54%———19.23%
43.85%11.54%——3.85%—19.23%
5+7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
Total11.54%50.00%19.23%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.54 1.54 +2.00
SD 2.50 1.10 3.05
CV 0.71 0.72 —
Max 12 4 +12
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—15.38%3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
2—7.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
3—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total3.85%34.62%26.92%23.08%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 2.15 -0.46
SD 1.64 1.38 2.47
CV 0.97 0.64 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%15.38%——23.08%
13.85%7.69%7.69%11.54%—7.69%38.46%
27.69%———3.85%3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%7.69%3.85%——15.38%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%19.23%30.77%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.46 -1.00
SD 1.24 1.94 2.53
CV 0.85 0.79 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Estoril 36 31.13 +4.87
2 Porto 36 32.81 +3.19
3 Benfica 41 37.84 +3.16
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 24 21.31 +2.69
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 41 38.35 +2.65

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Olhanense 17 23.58 -6.58
2 Braga 16 21.62 -5.62
3 Academica de Coimbra 10 14.78 -4.78
4 Lusitano VRSA 17 21.21 -4.21
5 Vitoria Setubal 19 19.68 -0.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 O Elvas 3 May 2 – May 16 1 in 222
2 Os Belenenses (1st) 6 Nov 16 – Dec 28 1 in 40
3 Benfica 7 Feb 29 – Apr 18 1 in 17
4 Porto 4 Nov 16 – Dec 14 1 in 12
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 Nov 16 – Jan 1 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 Apr 25 – May 2 1 in 34
2 Olhanense 4 Mar 28 – Apr 18 1 in 25
3 Braga 4 Dec 14 – Jan 1 1 in 24
4 Lusitano VRSA 5 Apr 25 – May 30 1 in 24
5 Estoril 3 Mar 7 – Mar 28 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 O Elvas 5 Dec 28 – Jan 18 1 in 38
2 Estoril 7 Jan 11 – Feb 29 1 in 34
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 4 Mar 14 – Apr 11 1 in 24
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 5 Mar 14 – Apr 18 1 in 23
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 8 Nov 16 – Jan 4 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Apr 4 – May 2 1 in 203
2 Olhanense 7 Dec 7 – Jan 11 1 in 50
3 Porto 3 May 9 – May 30 1 in 21
4 Braga 7 Jan 11 – Feb 29 1 in 18
5 Vitoria Setubal 5 Nov 16 – Dec 21 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sporting Clube de Portugal42.39%29.19%17.94%7.64%2.55%0.24%0.04%0.01%——————
Benfica34.86%30.79%20.68%9.88%3.23%0.43%0.10%0.02%0.01%—————
Os Belenenses (1st)17.04%25.08%29.12%18.79%8.12%1.37%0.32%0.09%0.03%0.03%0.01%———
Estoril1.89%5.64%12.64%26.35%34.78%10.64%4.33%1.84%1.03%0.44%0.25%0.14%0.03%—
Porto3.80%9.07%18.55%31.50%27.02%6.47%2.20%0.76%0.36%0.20%0.05%0.02%——
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.01%0.04%0.35%1.94%6.64%21.29%18.45%14.43%11.61%8.56%6.90%5.22%3.33%1.23%
O Elvas—0.01%0.09%0.67%3.18%11.02%13.26%14.20%13.02%12.59%11.34%9.35%7.77%3.50%
Vitoria Guimaraes—0.04%0.02%0.48%2.32%8.69%10.55%12.40%12.83%13.60%12.90%11.79%10.19%4.19%
Boavista—0.02%0.05%0.20%1.08%4.18%6.68%9.21%11.48%12.28%14.29%15.98%15.92%8.63%
Vitoria Setubal——0.01%0.17%0.88%3.77%6.03%8.09%9.88%12.17%14.16%16.59%18.42%9.83%
Olhanense0.01%0.08%0.43%1.57%5.62%16.74%16.94%14.72%12.71%11.17%8.39%6.36%4.00%1.26%
Lusitano VRSA—0.01%0.04%0.36%1.96%6.54%9.41%11.24%11.87%13.18%13.68%14.24%12.16%5.31%
Braga—0.03%0.08%0.45%2.57%8.42%11.15%12.12%13.68%12.87%13.39%11.84%9.32%4.08%
Academica de Coimbra————0.05%0.20%0.54%0.87%1.49%2.91%4.64%8.47%18.86%61.97%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+39.01%
Strong Edge
63.19%12.64%24.18%
Elo Value
Home Edge
128 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0143.12400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.35 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Sporting Clube de Portugal, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.04 * Some Luck: 3.04 to 4.56 * Lucky: 4.56 to 6.08 * Wild Swing: 6.08 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.35 * Close: 1.35 to 2.02 * Off: 2.02 to 2.69 * Way Off: 2.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.63 points
Some Luck
03.809
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Close
01.684
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
91.73%
Estoril
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
5.65%
Olhanense
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.02
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
84%
Wide Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
39%
Some Drama
0%36%100%
Blowouts
Expected
42%
Very Frequent
0%43%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.41
Highly Predictable
00.452
Matchup Imbalance
0.59
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.91
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.75
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.0970.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100% —
Estoril 100% —
Os Belenenses (1st) 100% —
Porto 100% —
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Atletico Clube de Portugal 98.77% 1.23%
Olhanense 98.74% 1.26%
O Elvas 96.50% 3.50%
Braga 95.92% 4.08%
Vitoria Guimaraes 95.81% 4.19%
Lusitano VRSA 94.69% 5.31%
Boavista 91.37% 8.63%
Vitoria Setubal 90.17% 9.83%
Academica de Coimbra 38.03% 61.97%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1947-11-16 Olhanense D 3-3 1301 1484 48.4% 13.4% 38.2% -0.3 1
1947-11-16 @ Academica de Coimbra D 3-3 1484 1301 38.2% 13.4% 48.4% +0.3 1
1947-11-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1434 1728 33.0% 13.3% 53.7% -19.0 0
1947-11-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1728 1434 53.7% 13.3% 33.0% +19.0 2
1947-11-16 Braga W 6-1 1694 1442 82.6% 12.7% 4.8% +4.8 2
1947-11-16 @ Benfica L 1-6 1442 1694 4.8% 12.7% 82.6% -4.7 0
1947-11-16 Estoril D 1-1 1442 1542 59.2% 13.4% 27.5% -1.8 1
1947-11-16 @ Lusitano VRSA D 1-1 1542 1442 27.5% 13.4% 59.2% +1.8 1
1947-11-16 O Elvas W 4-0 1559 1359 80.9% 12.8% 6.3% +6.1 2
1947-11-16 @ Porto L 0-4 1359 1559 6.3% 12.8% 80.9% -6.1 0
1947-11-16 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1402 1625 42.8% 13.4% 43.8% -10.3 0
1947-11-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1625 1402 43.8% 13.4% 42.8% +10.3 2
1947-11-16 Boavista L 0-2 1383 1359 71.2% 13.3% 15.5% -31.6 0
1947-11-16 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1359 1383 15.5% 13.3% 71.2% +31.6 2
1947-11-30 Benfica W 4-1 1635 1698 63.2% 13.4% 23.4% +13.9 4
1947-11-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1698 1635 23.4% 13.4% 63.2% -13.9 2
1947-11-30 Porto L 0-3 1390 1565 49.6% 13.4% 37.0% -32.2 2
1947-11-30 @ Boavista W 3-0 1565 1390 37.0% 13.4% 49.6% +32.2 4
1947-11-30 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1437 1300 78.2% 13.0% 8.8% +2.2 2
1947-11-30 @ Braga L 1-2 1300 1437 8.8% 13.0% 78.2% -2.2 1
1947-11-30 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-4 1543 1415 77.8% 13.0% 9.1% +2.1 3
1947-11-30 @ Estoril L 4-5 1415 1543 9.1% 13.0% 77.8% -2.1 0
1947-11-30 Lusitano VRSA W 7-0 1353 1440 60.6% 13.4% 26.0% +40.3 2
1947-11-30 @ O Elvas L 0-7 1440 1353 26.0% 13.4% 60.6% -40.3 1
1947-11-30 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1484 1352 78.0% 13.0% 9.0% +2.4 3
1947-11-30 @ Olhanense L 0-1 1352 1484 9.0% 13.0% 78.0% -2.4 0
1947-11-30 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1747 1392 85.0% 12.2% 2.7% +0.7 4
1947-11-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1392 1747 2.7% 12.2% 85.0% -0.7 0
1947-12-07 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1298 1649 26.2% 13.2% 60.6% -23.8 1
1947-12-07 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1649 1298 60.6% 13.2% 26.2% +23.8 6
1947-12-07 O Elvas W 5-2 1412 1393 70.8% 13.3% 15.9% +8.4 2
1947-12-07 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1393 1412 15.9% 13.3% 70.8% -8.4 2
1947-12-07 Boavista W 2-0 1400 1358 72.5% 13.2% 14.2% +7.2 3
1947-12-07 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-2 1358 1400 14.2% 13.2% 72.5% -7.2 2
1947-12-07 Olhanense W 7-3 1597 1487 76.9% 13.1% 10.0% +6.3 6
1947-12-07 @ Porto L 3-7 1487 1597 10.0% 13.1% 76.9% -6.3 3
1947-12-07 Estoril W 3-1 1748 1545 81.0% 12.8% 6.2% +2.8 6
1947-12-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1545 1748 6.2% 12.8% 81.0% -2.8 3
1947-12-07 Benfica D 2-2 1391 1684 33.2% 13.3% 53.5% +0.8 1
1947-12-07 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1684 1391 53.5% 13.3% 33.2% -0.8 3
1947-12-07 Braga D 1-1 1349 1439 60.2% 13.4% 26.4% -1.9 1
1947-12-07 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1439 1349 26.4% 13.4% 60.2% +1.9 3
1947-12-14 Vitoria Setubal W 7-1 1673 1347 84.5% 12.4% 3.2% +3.7 8
1947-12-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-7 1347 1673 3.2% 12.4% 84.5% -3.7 1
1947-12-14 Academica de Coimbra W 5-0 1684 1274 86.0% 12.0% 2.0% +2.4 5
1947-12-14 @ Benfica L 0-5 1274 1684 2.0% 12.0% 86.0% -2.4 1
1947-12-14 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-2 1351 1421 62.5% 13.4% 24.1% +12.4 4
1947-12-14 @ Boavista L 2-5 1421 1351 24.1% 13.4% 62.5% -12.4 2
1947-12-14 Porto L 0-3 1441 1604 51.3% 13.4% 35.3% -33.2 3
1947-12-14 @ Braga W 3-0 1604 1441 35.3% 13.4% 51.3% +33.2 8
1947-12-14 Vitoria Guimaraes W 6-2 1543 1392 78.8% 13.0% 8.2% +5.6 5
1947-12-14 @ Estoril L 2-6 1392 1543 8.2% 13.0% 78.8% -5.6 1
1947-12-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1385 1750 24.6% 13.2% 62.2% -5.9 2
1947-12-14 @ O Elvas W 2-1 1750 1385 62.2% 13.2% 24.6% +5.9 8
1947-12-14 Lusitano VRSA D 1-1 1480 1407 74.7% 13.2% 12.2% -3.7 4
1947-12-14 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1407 1480 12.2% 13.2% 74.7% +3.7 4
1947-12-21 Olhanense W 10-4 1408 1477 62.7% 13.4% 23.9% +18.4 4
1947-12-21 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 4-10 1477 1408 23.9% 13.4% 62.7% -18.4 4
1947-12-21 O Elvas W 8-2 1548 1379 79.7% 12.9% 7.4% +7.2 7
1947-12-21 @ Estoril L 2-8 1379 1548 7.4% 12.9% 79.7% -7.2 2
1947-12-21 Braga W 2-1 1411 1408 69.5% 13.3% 17.2% +4.3 6
1947-12-21 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1408 1411 17.2% 13.3% 69.5% -4.3 3
1947-12-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1637 1677 65.6% 13.4% 21.1% -29.0 8
1947-12-21 @ Porto W 2-0 1677 1637 21.1% 13.4% 65.6% +29.0 10
1947-12-21 Boavista W 5-0 1756 1363 85.7% 12.1% 2.2% +2.6 10
1947-12-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1363 1756 2.2% 12.1% 85.7% -2.6 4
1947-12-21 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1387 1272 77.1% 13.1% 9.8% +2.4 3
1947-12-21 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1272 1387 9.8% 13.1% 77.1% -2.4 1
1947-12-21 Benfica L 0-3 1344 1686 27.2% 13.2% 59.6% -18.9 1
1947-12-21 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1686 1344 59.6% 13.2% 27.2% +18.9 7
1947-12-28 Vitoria Setubal L 1-4 1270 1325 64.0% 13.4% 22.6% -34.7 1
1947-12-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1325 1270 22.6% 13.4% 64.0% +34.7 3
1947-12-28 Lusitano VRSA W 5-0 1706 1415 83.7% 12.5% 3.8% +4.6 12
1947-12-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-5 1415 1706 3.8% 12.5% 83.7% -4.6 6
1947-12-28 Porto W 4-1 1705 1608 76.1% 13.1% 10.8% +6.7 9
1947-12-28 @ Benfica L 1-4 1608 1705 10.8% 13.1% 76.1% -6.7 8
1947-12-28 Estoril L 1-4 1361 1556 46.8% 13.4% 39.8% -25.8 4
1947-12-28 @ Boavista W 4-1 1556 1361 39.8% 13.4% 46.8% +25.8 9
1947-12-28 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1404 1427 67.2% 13.3% 19.5% -25.8 3
1947-12-28 @ Braga W 3-1 1427 1404 19.5% 13.3% 67.2% +25.8 6
1947-12-28 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1372 1389 67.7% 13.3% 19.0% +13.6 4
1947-12-28 @ O Elvas L 0-3 1389 1372 19.0% 13.3% 67.7% -13.6 3
1947-12-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1458 1759 32.2% 13.3% 54.5% -7.6 4
1947-12-28 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1759 1458 54.5% 13.3% 32.2% +7.6 12
1948-01-01 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1453 1711 37.9% 13.3% 48.8% +0.6 7
1948-01-01 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1711 1453 48.8% 13.3% 37.9% -0.6 13
1948-01-01 Olhanense W 3-1 1581 1451 77.9% 13.0% 9.1% +4.0 11
1948-01-01 @ Estoril L 1-3 1451 1581 9.1% 13.0% 77.9% -4.0 4
1948-01-01 Benfica L 2-7 1410 1712 32.2% 13.3% 54.5% -24.5 6
1948-01-01 @ Lusitano VRSA W 7-2 1712 1410 54.5% 13.3% 32.2% +24.5 11
1948-01-01 Boavista W 5-0 1385 1335 73.1% 13.2% 13.6% +16.1 6
1948-01-01 @ O Elvas L 0-5 1335 1385 13.6% 13.2% 73.1% -16.1 4
1948-01-01 Academica de Coimbra W 7-1 1601 1235 85.3% 12.2% 2.5% +3.0 10
1948-01-01 @ Porto L 1-7 1235 1601 2.5% 12.2% 85.3% -3.0 1
1948-01-01 Braga W 3-2 1766 1378 85.7% 12.1% 2.2% +0.5 14
1948-01-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1378 1766 2.2% 12.1% 85.7% -0.5 3
1948-01-01 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1375 1359 70.5% 13.3% 16.2% +7.0 5
1948-01-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1359 1375 16.2% 13.3% 70.5% -7.0 3
1948-01-04 Lusitano VRSA W 2-1 1232 1386 52.4% 13.4% 34.2% +8.0 3
1948-01-04 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1386 1232 34.2% 13.4% 52.4% -8.0 6
1948-01-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1710 1767 63.8% 13.4% 22.8% +5.3 15
1948-01-04 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1767 1710 22.8% 13.4% 63.8% -5.3 14
1948-01-04 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-2 1736 1453 83.5% 12.6% 4.0% +2.2 13
1948-01-04 @ Benfica L 2-5 1453 1736 4.0% 12.6% 83.5% -2.2 7
1948-01-04 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1319 1382 63.2% 13.4% 23.5% -1.7 5
1948-01-04 @ Boavista D 2-2 1382 1319 23.5% 13.4% 63.2% +1.7 6
1948-01-04 Estoril W 5-2 1377 1585 45.0% 13.4% 41.6% +20.2 5
1948-01-04 @ Braga L 2-5 1585 1377 41.6% 13.4% 45.0% -20.2 11
1948-01-04 O Elvas D 2-2 1447 1401 72.8% 13.2% 14.0% -2.6 5
1948-01-04 @ Olhanense D 2-2 1401 1447 14.0% 13.2% 72.8% +2.6 7
1948-01-04 Porto W 3-2 1352 1604 38.8% 13.4% 47.9% +10.2 5
1948-01-04 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1604 1352 47.9% 13.4% 38.8% -10.2 10
1948-01-11 Academica de Coimbra W 6-0 1451 1240 81.3% 12.8% 5.9% +8.5 9
1948-01-11 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1240 1451 5.9% 12.8% 81.3% -8.5 3
1948-01-11 Olhanense W 2-0 1317 1444 55.8% 13.4% 30.8% +14.6 7
1948-01-11 @ Boavista L 0-2 1444 1317 30.8% 13.4% 55.8% -14.6 5
1948-01-11 Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-2 1565 1715 52.9% 13.4% 33.7% +16.8 13
1948-01-11 @ Estoril L 2-5 1715 1565 33.7% 13.4% 52.9% -16.8 15
1948-01-11 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1378 1363 70.5% 13.3% 16.2% +4.1 8
1948-01-11 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1363 1378 16.2% 13.3% 70.5% -4.0 5
1948-01-11 Braga W 3-1 1404 1398 69.8% 13.3% 17.0% +7.3 9
1948-01-11 @ O Elvas L 1-3 1398 1404 17.0% 13.3% 69.8% -7.3 5
1948-01-11 Benfica L 1-3 1762 1738 71.1% 13.3% 15.6% -27.3 14
1948-01-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1738 1762 15.6% 13.3% 71.1% +27.3 15
1948-01-11 Porto L 0-3 1384 1594 44.7% 13.4% 41.9% -29.4 6
1948-01-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1594 1384 41.9% 13.4% 44.7% +29.4 12
1948-01-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 3-6 1231 1734 12.8% 12.8% 74.4% -6.3 3
1948-01-18 @ Academica de Coimbra W 6-3 1734 1231 74.4% 12.8% 12.8% +6.3 16
1948-01-18 O Elvas D 1-1 1698 1411 83.5% 12.5% 3.9% -4.8 16
1948-01-18 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1411 1698 3.9% 12.5% 83.5% +4.8 10
1948-01-18 Estoril L 2-3 1766 1582 80.3% 12.9% 6.9% -17.0 15
1948-01-18 @ Benfica W 3-2 1582 1766 6.9% 12.9% 80.3% +17.0 15
1948-01-18 Boavista D 3-3 1390 1332 73.7% 13.2% 13.1% -2.2 6
1948-01-18 @ Braga D 3-3 1332 1390 13.1% 13.2% 73.7% +2.2 8
1948-01-18 Vitoria Guimaraes W 5-0 1430 1355 74.8% 13.2% 12.1% +14.3 7
1948-01-18 @ Olhanense L 0-5 1355 1430 12.1% 13.2% 74.8% -14.3 6
1948-01-18 Lusitano VRSA W 3-0 1623 1382 82.3% 12.7% 5.0% +3.8 14
1948-01-18 @ Porto L 0-3 1382 1623 5.0% 12.7% 82.3% -3.8 8
1948-01-18 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1359 1459 59.0% 13.4% 27.6% +6.3 7
1948-01-18 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1459 1359 27.6% 13.4% 59.0% -6.3 9
1948-02-01 Porto L 3-5 1453 1627 49.7% 13.4% 36.9% -16.3 9
1948-02-01 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-3 1627 1453 36.9% 13.4% 49.7% +16.3 16
1948-02-01 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1334 1694 25.2% 13.2% 61.6% -5.8 8
1948-02-01 @ Boavista W 3-2 1694 1334 61.6% 13.2% 25.2% +5.8 18
1948-02-01 Academica de Coimbra W 7-0 1599 1225 85.4% 12.2% 2.4% +4.0 17
1948-02-01 @ Estoril L 0-7 1225 1599 2.4% 12.2% 85.4% -4.0 3
1948-02-01 Benfica L 3-6 1416 1749 28.3% 13.2% 58.4% -13.2 10
1948-02-01 @ O Elvas W 6-3 1749 1416 58.4% 13.2% 28.3% +13.2 17
1948-02-01 Braga W 5-2 1444 1388 73.5% 13.2% 13.3% +7.1 9
1948-02-01 @ Olhanense L 2-5 1388 1444 13.3% 13.2% 73.5% -7.1 6
1948-02-01 Vitoria Setubal W 8-1 1741 1365 85.4% 12.2% 2.4% +3.3 18
1948-02-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-8 1365 1741 2.4% 12.2% 85.4% -3.3 7
1948-02-01 Lusitano VRSA W 3-2 1340 1378 65.8% 13.4% 20.9% +4.9 8
1948-02-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1378 1340 20.9% 13.4% 65.8% -4.9 8
1948-02-08 O Elvas W 2-1 1221 1403 48.6% 13.4% 38.0% +8.8 5
1948-02-08 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1403 1221 38.0% 13.4% 48.6% -8.8 10
1948-02-08 Olhanense W 4-0 1699 1451 82.5% 12.7% 4.8% +4.7 20
1948-02-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1451 1699 4.8% 12.7% 82.5% -4.7 9
1948-02-08 Boavista W 3-1 1762 1328 86.4% 11.9% 1.8% +0.8 19
1948-02-08 @ Benfica L 1-3 1328 1762 1.8% 11.9% 86.4% -0.8 8
1948-02-08 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1373 1437 63.2% 13.4% 23.5% +6.0 10
1948-02-08 @ Lusitano VRSA L 0-1 1437 1373 23.5% 13.4% 63.2% -6.0 9
1948-02-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1643 1744 59.0% 13.4% 27.6% +16.2 18
1948-02-08 @ Porto L 1-4 1744 1643 27.6% 13.4% 59.0% -16.2 18
1948-02-08 Braga W 3-1 1345 1381 66.0% 13.4% 20.7% +8.8 10
1948-02-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1381 1345 20.7% 13.4% 66.0% -8.8 6
1948-02-08 Estoril D 3-3 1362 1603 40.2% 13.4% 46.4% +0.2 8
1948-02-08 @ Vitoria Setubal D 3-3 1603 1362 46.4% 13.4% 40.2% -0.2 18
1948-02-15 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1431 1354 74.9% 13.2% 11.9% +3.0 11
1948-02-15 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1354 1431 11.9% 13.2% 74.9% -3.0 10
1948-02-15 Academica de Coimbra W 6-2 1327 1230 76.1% 13.1% 10.8% +7.3 10
1948-02-15 @ Boavista L 2-6 1230 1327 10.8% 13.1% 76.1% -7.3 5
1948-02-15 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1372 1704 28.4% 13.2% 58.4% -6.4 6
1948-02-15 @ Braga W 3-2 1704 1372 58.4% 13.2% 28.4% +6.4 22
1948-02-15 Porto W 4-1 1603 1660 63.9% 13.4% 22.8% +13.6 20
1948-02-15 @ Estoril L 1-4 1660 1603 22.8% 13.4% 63.9% -13.6 18
1948-02-15 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1394 1362 71.8% 13.2% 14.9% +3.8 12
1948-02-15 @ O Elvas L 1-2 1362 1394 14.9% 13.2% 71.8% -3.7 8
1948-02-15 Benfica D 3-3 1446 1763 30.2% 13.3% 56.5% +0.9 10
1948-02-15 @ Olhanense D 3-3 1763 1446 56.5% 13.3% 30.2% -0.9 20
1948-02-15 Lusitano VRSA W 12-0 1728 1379 84.9% 12.3% 2.8% +7.8 20
1948-02-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-12 1379 1728 2.8% 12.3% 84.9% -7.8 10
1948-02-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1710 1351 85.1% 12.2% 2.6% +2.0 24
1948-02-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1351 1710 2.6% 12.2% 85.1% -2.0 10
1948-02-22 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1335 1358 67.2% 13.3% 19.5% +8.3 12
1948-02-22 @ Boavista L 1-3 1358 1335 19.5% 13.3% 67.2% -8.3 8
1948-02-22 Benfica D 1-1 1366 1762 21.5% 13.1% 65.4% +2.5 7
1948-02-22 @ Braga D 1-1 1762 1366 65.4% 13.1% 21.5% -2.5 21
1948-02-22 Lusitano VRSA W 6-1 1616 1372 82.4% 12.7% 4.9% +4.9 22
1948-02-22 @ Estoril L 1-6 1372 1616 4.9% 12.7% 82.4% -4.9 10
1948-02-22 Porto L 2-4 1398 1646 39.2% 13.4% 47.4% -14.0 12
1948-02-22 @ O Elvas W 4-2 1646 1398 47.4% 13.4% 39.2% +14.0 20
1948-02-22 Academica de Coimbra W 5-2 1447 1222 81.8% 12.8% 5.5% +3.0 12
1948-02-22 @ Olhanense L 2-5 1222 1447 5.5% 12.8% 81.8% -3.0 5
1948-02-22 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1736 1434 83.9% 12.5% 3.6% +0.9 22
1948-02-22 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1434 1736 3.6% 12.5% 83.9% -0.9 11
1948-02-29 Braga W 4-3 1219 1368 53.0% 13.4% 33.6% +7.3 7
1948-02-29 @ Academica de Coimbra L 3-4 1368 1219 33.6% 13.4% 53.0% -7.3 7
1948-02-29 Estoril D 2-2 1433 1621 47.7% 13.4% 38.9% -0.4 12
1948-02-29 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1621 1433 38.9% 13.4% 47.7% +0.4 23
1948-02-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1759 1712 72.9% 13.2% 13.9% +7.0 23
1948-02-29 @ Benfica L 0-2 1712 1759 13.9% 13.2% 72.9% -7.0 24
1948-02-29 O Elvas W 2-1 1367 1384 67.7% 13.3% 19.0% +4.7 12
1948-02-29 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1384 1367 19.0% 13.3% 67.7% -4.7 12
1948-02-29 Boavista W 5-1 1660 1343 84.3% 12.4% 3.3% +2.7 22
1948-02-29 @ Porto L 1-5 1343 1660 3.3% 12.4% 84.3% -2.7 12
1948-02-29 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1349 1737 22.3% 13.1% 64.6% -20.6 10
1948-02-29 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1737 1349 64.6% 13.1% 22.3% +20.6 24
1948-02-29 Olhanense W 3-1 1350 1450 59.1% 13.4% 27.5% +11.4 10
1948-02-29 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1450 1350 27.5% 13.4% 59.1% -11.4 12
1948-03-07 Academica de Coimbra W 7-1 1705 1227 87.0% 11.7% 1.4% +1.6 26
1948-03-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-7 1227 1705 1.4% 11.7% 87.0% -1.6 7
1948-03-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1766 1328 86.4% 11.9% 1.7% +1.3 25
1948-03-07 @ Benfica L 0-3 1328 1766 1.7% 11.9% 86.4% -1.3 10
1948-03-07 Lusitano VRSA W 2-1 1340 1371 66.4% 13.3% 20.2% +5.0 14
1948-03-07 @ Boavista L 1-2 1371 1340 20.2% 13.3% 66.4% -5.0 12
1948-03-07 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1361 1361 69.2% 13.3% 17.5% +7.5 9
1948-03-07 @ Braga L 1-3 1361 1361 17.5% 13.3% 69.2% -7.5 10
1948-03-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1622 1757 54.8% 13.4% 31.8% -12.2 23
1948-03-07 @ Estoril W 2-1 1757 1622 31.8% 13.4% 54.8% +12.2 26
1948-03-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-3 1379 1433 64.2% 13.4% 22.4% +8.0 14
1948-03-07 @ O Elvas L 3-5 1433 1379 22.4% 13.4% 64.2% -8.0 12
1948-03-07 Porto L 1-4 1439 1663 42.7% 13.4% 44.0% -23.8 12
1948-03-07 @ Olhanense W 4-1 1663 1439 44.0% 13.4% 42.7% +23.8 24
1948-03-14 Benfica L 2-6 1225 1767 10.5% 12.7% 76.8% -7.1 7
1948-03-14 @ Academica de Coimbra W 6-2 1767 1225 76.8% 12.7% 10.5% +7.1 27
1948-03-14 Boavista W 3-1 1425 1345 75.0% 13.2% 11.8% +5.2 14
1948-03-14 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1345 1425 11.8% 13.2% 75.0% -5.2 14
1948-03-14 Olhanense D 0-0 1366 1415 64.7% 13.4% 21.9% -2.8 13
1948-03-14 @ Lusitano VRSA D 0-0 1415 1366 21.9% 13.4% 64.7% +2.7 13
1948-03-14 Braga W 2-1 1686 1369 84.3% 12.4% 3.3% +0.9 26
1948-03-14 @ Porto L 1-2 1369 1686 3.3% 12.4% 84.3% -0.9 9
1948-03-14 O Elvas W 2-1 1769 1387 85.5% 12.1% 2.3% +0.6 28
1948-03-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1387 1769 2.3% 12.1% 85.5% -0.6 14
1948-03-14 Estoril W 2-1 1327 1609 34.6% 13.3% 52.1% +11.6 12
1948-03-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1609 1327 52.1% 13.3% 34.6% -11.6 23
1948-03-14 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1354 1707 25.9% 13.2% 60.9% -18.1 10
1948-03-14 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1707 1354 60.9% 13.2% 25.9% +18.1 28
1948-03-28 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1218 1339 56.6% 13.4% 30.0% -1.1 8
1948-03-28 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1339 1218 30.0% 13.4% 56.6% +1.1 13
1948-03-28 Porto W 3-0 1725 1687 72.2% 13.2% 14.5% +10.6 30
1948-03-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1687 1725 14.5% 13.2% 72.2% -10.6 26
1948-03-28 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1775 1336 86.4% 11.9% 1.7% +1.3 29
1948-03-28 @ Benfica L 0-3 1336 1775 1.7% 11.9% 86.4% -1.3 10
1948-03-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1340 1770 18.4% 13.0% 68.6% +15.2 16
1948-03-28 @ Boavista L 1-2 1770 1340 68.6% 13.0% 18.4% -15.2 28
1948-03-28 Lusitano VRSA W 7-1 1368 1364 69.6% 13.3% 17.1% +19.5 11
1948-03-28 @ Braga L 1-7 1364 1368 17.1% 13.3% 69.6% -19.5 13
1948-03-28 Estoril W 4-1 1387 1598 44.5% 13.4% 42.1% +23.5 16
1948-03-28 @ O Elvas L 1-4 1598 1387 42.1% 13.4% 44.5% -23.5 23
1948-03-28 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1418 1430 68.2% 13.3% 18.5% -15.1 13
1948-03-28 @ Olhanense W 2-1 1430 1418 18.5% 13.3% 68.2% +15.1 16
1948-04-04 Braga W 4-3 1445 1387 73.6% 13.2% 13.2% +3.1 18
1948-04-04 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 3-4 1387 1445 13.2% 13.2% 73.6% -3.1 11
1948-04-04 Boavista W 4-0 1574 1355 81.6% 12.8% 5.7% +5.5 25
1948-04-04 @ Estoril L 0-4 1355 1574 5.7% 12.8% 81.6% -5.5 16
1948-04-04 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1344 1736 21.9% 13.1% 65.0% +14.4 15
1948-04-04 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-2 1736 1344 65.0% 13.1% 21.9% -14.4 30
1948-04-04 Benfica L 0-2 1677 1776 59.2% 13.4% 27.4% -26.2 26
1948-04-04 @ Porto W 2-0 1776 1677 27.4% 13.4% 59.2% +26.2 31
1948-04-04 Olhanense W 3-2 1755 1403 85.0% 12.3% 2.7% +0.7 30
1948-04-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1403 1755 2.7% 12.3% 85.0% -0.7 13
1948-04-04 O Elvas W 7-1 1340 1410 62.5% 13.4% 24.2% +26.8 15
1948-04-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-7 1410 1340 24.2% 13.4% 62.5% -26.8 16
1948-04-04 Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1334 1217 77.2% 13.1% 9.7% +6.1 12
1948-04-04 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-4 1217 1334 9.7% 13.1% 77.2% -6.1 8
1948-04-11 Porto L 0-1 1211 1650 17.5% 13.0% 69.5% -4.6 8
1948-04-11 @ Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1650 1211 69.5% 13.0% 17.5% +4.6 28
1948-04-11 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1721 1448 83.2% 12.6% 4.2% -5.4 31
1948-04-11 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1448 1721 4.2% 12.6% 83.2% +5.4 19
1948-04-11 Lusitano VRSA W 6-1 1802 1358 86.5% 11.8% 1.7% +1.6 33
1948-04-11 @ Benfica L 1-6 1358 1802 1.7% 11.8% 86.5% -1.6 15
1948-04-11 O Elvas W 2-0 1350 1383 66.2% 13.3% 20.5% +10.0 18
1948-04-11 @ Boavista L 0-2 1383 1350 20.5% 13.3% 66.2% -10.0 16
1948-04-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1384 1755 24.0% 13.2% 62.9% -10.0 11
1948-04-11 @ Braga W 3-1 1755 1384 62.9% 13.2% 24.0% +10.0 32
1948-04-11 Estoril L 1-4 1402 1580 49.1% 13.4% 37.5% -27.0 13
1948-04-11 @ Olhanense W 4-1 1580 1402 37.5% 13.4% 49.1% +27.0 27
1948-04-11 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1340 1367 66.9% 13.3% 19.8% -2.7 13
1948-04-11 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1367 1340 19.8% 13.3% 66.9% +2.7 16
1948-04-18 Benfica L 2-4 1453 1804 26.2% 13.2% 60.6% -9.8 19
1948-04-18 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1804 1453 60.6% 13.2% 26.2% +9.8 35
1948-04-18 Braga W 6-1 1607 1374 82.0% 12.7% 5.3% +5.2 29
1948-04-18 @ Estoril L 1-6 1374 1607 5.3% 12.7% 82.0% -5.2 11
1948-04-18 Academica de Coimbra W 5-1 1357 1206 78.8% 13.0% 8.2% +6.6 17
1948-04-18 @ Lusitano VRSA L 1-5 1206 1357 8.2% 13.0% 78.8% -6.6 8
1948-04-18 Olhanense W 3-1 1373 1375 69.1% 13.3% 17.6% +7.6 18
1948-04-18 @ O Elvas L 1-3 1375 1373 17.6% 13.3% 69.1% -7.6 13
1948-04-18 Vitoria Setubal W 5-2 1655 1338 84.3% 12.4% 3.3% +1.8 30
1948-04-18 @ Porto L 2-5 1338 1655 3.3% 12.4% 84.3% -1.8 13
1948-04-18 Os Belenenses (1st) D 4-4 1765 1716 73.1% 13.2% 13.7% -1.9 33
1948-04-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 4-4 1716 1765 13.7% 13.2% 73.1% +1.9 32
1948-04-18 Boavista W 2-1 1369 1360 70.0% 13.3% 16.7% +4.1 18
1948-04-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1360 1369 16.7% 13.3% 70.0% -4.2 18
1948-04-25 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1200 1444 39.8% 13.4% 46.8% -9.2 8
1948-04-25 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1444 1200 46.8% 13.4% 39.8% +9.2 21
1948-04-25 Estoril L 2-3 1718 1612 76.6% 13.1% 10.3% -16.2 32
1948-04-25 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1612 1718 10.3% 13.1% 76.6% +16.2 31
1948-04-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1813 1763 73.1% 13.2% 13.7% -39.8 35
1948-04-25 @ Benfica W 4-1 1763 1813 13.7% 13.2% 73.1% +39.8 35
1948-04-25 O Elvas W 4-1 1369 1381 68.2% 13.3% 18.5% +11.2 13
1948-04-25 @ Braga L 1-4 1381 1369 18.5% 13.3% 68.2% -11.2 18
1948-04-25 Boavista W 5-0 1367 1356 70.2% 13.3% 16.5% +19.2 15
1948-04-25 @ Olhanense L 0-5 1356 1367 16.5% 13.3% 70.2% -19.2 18
1948-04-25 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1657 1374 83.5% 12.5% 4.0% +1.8 32
1948-04-25 @ Porto L 1-3 1374 1657 4.0% 12.5% 83.5% -1.8 18
1948-04-25 Lusitano VRSA W 2-0 1336 1363 66.8% 13.3% 19.9% +9.8 15
1948-04-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1363 1336 19.9% 13.3% 66.8% -9.8 17
1948-05-02 Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1453 1346 76.7% 13.1% 10.2% +7.6 23
1948-05-02 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1346 1453 10.2% 13.1% 76.7% -7.6 15
1948-05-02 Braga W 4-0 1336 1380 65.2% 13.4% 21.4% +19.9 20
1948-05-02 @ Boavista L 0-4 1380 1336 21.4% 13.4% 65.2% -19.9 13
1948-05-02 Porto L 0-1 1354 1659 31.7% 13.3% 55.0% -7.9 17
1948-05-02 @ Lusitano VRSA W 1-0 1659 1354 55.0% 13.3% 31.7% +7.9 34
1948-05-02 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1370 1702 28.4% 13.2% 58.4% +12.9 20
1948-05-02 @ O Elvas L 1-2 1702 1370 58.4% 13.2% 28.4% -12.9 32
1948-05-02 Academica de Coimbra W 6-1 1803 1191 88.4% 10.9% 0.7% +0.6 37
1948-05-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1191 1803 0.7% 10.9% 88.4% -0.6 8
1948-05-02 Olhanense W 3-1 1372 1387 67.9% 13.3% 18.7% +8.0 20
1948-05-02 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1387 1372 18.7% 13.3% 67.9% -8.0 15
1948-05-06 Benfica L 0-2 1628 1774 53.5% 13.4% 33.1% -23.8 31
1948-05-06 @ Estoril W 2-0 1774 1628 33.1% 13.4% 53.5% +23.8 37
1948-05-09 Estoril L 1-5 1190 1604 19.7% 13.1% 67.2% -15.3 8
1948-05-09 @ Academica de Coimbra W 5-1 1604 1190 67.2% 13.1% 19.7% +15.3 33
1948-05-09 Boavista W 7-0 1689 1356 84.6% 12.3% 3.0% +5.1 34
1948-05-09 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-7 1356 1689 3.0% 12.3% 84.6% -5.1 20
1948-05-09 O Elvas L 1-2 1797 1382 86.1% 12.0% 1.9% -19.2 37
1948-05-09 @ Benfica W 2-1 1382 1797 1.9% 12.0% 86.1% +19.2 22
1948-05-09 Olhanense D 0-0 1360 1379 67.6% 13.3% 19.1% -3.1 14
1948-05-09 @ Braga D 0-0 1379 1360 19.1% 13.3% 67.6% +3.1 16
1948-05-09 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1346 1380 66.1% 13.3% 20.5% -15.5 17
1948-05-09 @ Lusitano VRSA W 1-0 1380 1346 20.5% 13.3% 66.1% +15.5 22
1948-05-09 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1667 1460 81.1% 12.8% 6.1% -4.5 35
1948-05-09 @ Porto D 1-1 1460 1667 6.1% 12.8% 81.1% +4.5 24
1948-05-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1338 1804 15.4% 12.9% 71.7% +16.8 17
1948-05-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1804 1338 71.7% 12.9% 15.4% -16.8 37
1948-05-16 Lusitano VRSA W 3-1 1465 1330 78.1% 13.0% 8.9% +3.9 26
1948-05-16 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1330 1465 8.9% 13.0% 78.1% -3.9 17
1948-05-16 Benfica L 0-1 1351 1778 18.6% 13.0% 68.4% -4.9 20
1948-05-16 @ Boavista W 1-0 1778 1351 68.4% 13.0% 18.6% +4.9 39
1948-05-16 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1357 1395 65.7% 13.4% 20.9% +5.4 16
1948-05-16 @ Braga L 0-1 1395 1357 20.9% 13.4% 65.7% -5.4 22
1948-05-16 Vitoria Setubal W 4-2 1620 1355 83.0% 12.6% 4.4% +1.8 35
1948-05-16 @ Estoril L 2-4 1355 1620 4.4% 12.6% 83.0% -1.8 17
1948-05-16 Academica de Coimbra W 12-1 1402 1175 81.8% 12.8% 5.4% +11.4 24
1948-05-16 @ O Elvas L 1-12 1175 1402 5.4% 12.8% 81.8% -11.4 8
1948-05-16 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1382 1694 30.8% 13.3% 56.0% +1.4 17
1948-05-16 @ Olhanense D 1-1 1694 1382 56.0% 13.3% 30.8% -1.4 35
1948-05-16 Porto W 5-2 1787 1662 77.6% 13.1% 9.3% +5.0 39
1948-05-16 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1662 1787 9.3% 13.1% 77.6% -5.0 35
1948-05-30 Boavista W 1-0 1163 1346 48.4% 13.4% 38.2% +9.3 10
1948-05-30 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1346 1163 38.2% 13.4% 48.4% -9.3 20
1948-05-30 Braga W 4-0 1692 1362 84.5% 12.4% 3.1% +3.0 37
1948-05-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1362 1692 3.1% 12.4% 84.5% -3.0 16
1948-05-30 Olhanense W 2-0 1783 1383 85.9% 12.0% 2.1% +1.1 41
1948-05-30 @ Benfica L 0-2 1383 1783 2.1% 12.0% 85.9% -1.1 17
1948-05-30 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1326 1792 15.4% 12.9% 71.7% -9.4 17
1948-05-30 @ Lusitano VRSA W 4-1 1792 1326 71.7% 12.9% 15.4% +9.4 41
1948-05-30 Estoril D 2-2 1657 1621 72.1% 13.2% 14.7% -2.5 36
1948-05-30 @ Porto D 2-2 1621 1657 14.7% 13.2% 72.1% +2.5 36
1948-05-30 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1390 1469 61.5% 13.4% 25.1% +9.4 24
1948-05-30 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1469 1390 25.1% 13.4% 61.5% -9.4 26
1948-05-30 O Elvas W 2-0 1353 1413 63.5% 13.4% 23.1% +11.2 19
1948-05-30 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1413 1353 23.1% 13.4% 63.5% -11.2 24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1948-05-09 1.94% O Elvas 1382 2 @ Benfica 1797 1
2 1948-01-18 6.85% Estoril 1582 3 @ Benfica 1766 2
3 1948-04-25 10.30% Estoril 1612 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1718 2
4 1948-04-25 13.68% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1763 4 @ Benfica 1813 1
5 1948-05-09 15.43% @ Vitoria Setubal 1338 1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1804 0
6 1947-11-16 15.51% Boavista 1359 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1383 0
7 1948-01-11 15.60% Benfica 1738 3 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1762 1
8 1948-03-28 18.35% @ Boavista 1340 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1770 1
9 1948-03-28 18.51% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1430 2 @ Olhanense 1418 1
10 1947-12-28 19.49% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1427 3 @ Braga 1404 1
11 1948-05-09 20.52% Vitoria Guimaraes 1380 1 @ Lusitano VRSA 1346 0
12 1947-12-21 21.08% Os Belenenses (1st) 1677 2 @ Porto 1637 0
13 1948-04-04 21.88% @ Lusitano VRSA 1344 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1736 1
14 1947-12-28 22.59% Vitoria Setubal 1325 4 @ Academica de Coimbra 1270 1
15 1948-04-04 27.39% Benfica 1776 2 @ Porto 1677 0
16 1948-05-02 28.36% @ O Elvas 1370 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1702 1
17 1948-03-07 31.83% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1757 2 @ Estoril 1622 1
18 1948-05-06 33.11% Benfica 1774 2 @ Estoril 1628 0
19 1948-03-14 34.62% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1327 2 Estoril 1609 1
20 1947-12-14 35.33% Porto 1604 3 @ Braga 1441 0
21 1948-02-01 36.90% Porto 1627 5 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1453 3
22 1947-11-30 37.04% Porto 1565 3 @ Boavista 1390 0
23 1948-04-11 37.46% Estoril 1580 4 @ Olhanense 1402 1
24 1948-01-04 38.75% @ Vitoria Setubal 1352 3 Porto 1604 2
25 1947-12-28 39.81% Estoril 1556 4 @ Boavista 1361 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-11-30 40.26 @ O Elvas 7 1353 60.60% Lusitano VRSA 0 1440 26.01% 13.39%
2 1948-04-25 39.76 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1763 13.68% @ Benfica 1 1813 73.10% 13.22%
3 1947-12-28 34.72 Vitoria Setubal 4 1325 22.59% @ Academica de Coimbra 1 1270 64.04% 13.36%
4 1947-12-14 33.23 Porto 3 1604 35.33% @ Braga 0 1441 51.26% 13.40%
5 1947-11-30 32.22 Porto 3 1565 37.04% @ Boavista 0 1390 49.56% 13.40%
6 1947-11-16 31.60 Boavista 2 1359 15.51% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1383 71.23% 13.26%
7 1948-01-11 29.36 Porto 3 1594 41.94% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1384 44.67% 13.39%
8 1947-12-21 29.02 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1677 21.08% @ Porto 0 1637 65.57% 13.35%
9 1948-01-11 27.33 Benfica 3 1738 15.60% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1762 71.14% 13.27%
10 1948-04-11 26.96 Estoril 4 1580 37.46% @ Olhanense 1 1402 49.14% 13.40%
11 1948-04-04 26.83 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1340 62.46% O Elvas 1 1410 24.16% 13.38%
12 1948-04-04 26.23 Benfica 2 1776 27.39% @ Porto 0 1677 59.21% 13.39%
13 1947-12-28 25.80 Estoril 4 1556 39.81% @ Boavista 1 1361 46.80% 13.39%
14 1947-12-28 25.76 Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 1427 19.49% @ Braga 1 1404 67.18% 13.33%
15 1948-01-01 24.51 Benfica 7 1712 54.55% @ Lusitano VRSA 2 1410 32.16% 13.29%
16 1947-12-07 23.82 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1649 60.63% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1298 26.17% 13.20%
17 1948-05-06 23.80 Benfica 2 1774 33.11% @ Estoril 0 1628 53.49% 13.41%
18 1948-03-07 23.78 Porto 4 1663 43.96% @ Olhanense 1 1439 42.66% 13.38%
19 1948-03-28 23.53 @ O Elvas 4 1387 44.48% Estoril 1 1598 42.13% 13.38%
20 1948-02-29 20.56 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 1737 64.57% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1349 22.30% 13.13%
21 1948-01-04 20.18 @ Braga 5 1377 44.97% Estoril 2 1585 41.65% 13.39%
22 1948-05-02 19.91 @ Boavista 4 1336 65.20% Braga 0 1380 21.45% 13.35%
23 1948-03-28 19.51 @ Braga 7 1368 69.58% Lusitano VRSA 1 1364 17.13% 13.30%
24 1948-04-25 19.24 @ Olhanense 5 1367 70.20% Boavista 0 1356 16.51% 13.28%
25 1948-05-09 19.18 O Elvas 2 1382 1.94% @ Benfica 1 1797 86.08% 11.98%