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1954-55 Primeira Divisão Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

39 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Os Belenenses (1st)

11.02 points above expected

39 points · 27.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

GD Fabril

3.51 points below expected

25 points · 28.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 26 18 3 5 39 61 20 +41 32.44 +6.56
2 Os Belenenses (1st) 26 17 5 4 39 63 28 +35 27.98 +11.02
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 26 15 7 4 37 73 27 +46 37.09 -0.09
4 Porto 26 12 6 8 30 51 34 +17 33.38 -3.38
5 Braga 26 12 5 9 29 52 42 +10 28.72 +0.28
6 Academica de Coimbra 26 10 5 11 25 53 52 +1 22.03 +2.97
7 GD Fabril 26 10 5 11 25 45 52 -7 28.51 -3.51
8 Atletico Clube de Portugal 26 9 4 13 22 42 52 -10 25.39 -3.39
9 Vitoria Setubal 26 8 6 12 22 37 52 -15 23.15 -1.15
10 Lusitano de Evora 26 9 3 14 21 40 70 -30 20.71 +0.29
11 Barreirense 26 7 6 13 20 25 38 -13 23.16 -3.16
12 Sporting Covilha 26 8 4 14 20 32 53 -21 23.48 -3.48
13 Boavista 26 7 4 15 18 33 71 -38 17.93 +0.07
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 26 5 7 14 17 33 49 -16 20.02 -3.02

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1678 37 37.09 -0.09 53.6% 24 31 35 37 40 43 50
Benfica 1592 39 32.44 +6.56 96.8% 17 26 30 32 35 39 46
Os Belenenses (1st) 1559 39 27.98 +11.02 99.8% 13 21 25 28 31 35 46
Porto 1517 30 33.38 -3.38 22.3% 19 27 31 33 36 40 48
Braga 1439 29 28.72 +0.28 57.7% 14 22 26 29 31 35 42
GD Fabril 1392 25 28.51 -3.51 21.9% 12 22 26 28 31 35 43
Atletico Clube de Portugal 1355 22 25.39 -3.39 23.1% 11 19 23 25 28 32 40
Sporting Covilha 1337 20 23.48 -3.48 22.3% 10 17 21 23 26 30 39
Academica de Coimbra 1324 25 22.03 +2.97 81.4% 9 16 19 22 25 28 38
Vitoria Setubal 1324 22 23.15 -1.15 43.5% 8 17 20 23 26 30 39
Lusitano de Evora 1318 21 20.71 +0.29 58.5% 6 14 18 21 23 27 35
Barreirense 1317 20 23.16 -3.16 24.5% 10 17 21 23 26 29 38
Vitoria Guimaraes 1274 17 20.02 -3.02 26.4% 6 14 17 20 23 26 35
Boavista 1266 18 17.93 +0.07 56.2% 1 12 15 18 20 24 32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ACDP BAR BEN BOA BRA GF LDE OB( POR SCDP SC VG VS
Academica de Coimbra —
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
1.94
1-1-0
1.96
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
1.27
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
2.73
Atletico Clube de Portugal
1-0-1
3.16
 —
1-0-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.51
0-1-1
3.04
Barreirense
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.37
 —
1-0-1
1.70
1-0-1
3.47
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.47
0-0-2
1.63
0-1-1
1.28
0-2-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
2.70
Benfica
2-0-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.91
 —
2-0-0
4.38
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.38
2-0-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.87
Boavista
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.13
0-0-2
1.24
 —
1-0-1
1.48
0-1-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
1.20
0-0-2
0.94
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.40
Braga
1-0-1
3.66
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
4.13
 —
0-2-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
1.79
2-0-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.30
GD Fabril
0-1-1
3.65
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.79
 —
2-0-0
3.65
0-0-2
2.90
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.39
Lusitano de Evora
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.93
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.96
 —
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
1.36
1-0-1
1.08
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.46
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.99
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.23
1-1-0
3.77
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.70
2-0-0
3.72
 —
2-0-0
2.07
1-1-0
2.05
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.39
Porto
2-0-0
3.93
0-1-1
3.84
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
4.43
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
4.25
0-0-2
3.53
 —
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.87
0-2-0
4.25
1-0-1
3.79
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0-1-1
4.36
2-0-0
4.03
1-1-0
4.34
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
4.71
1-1-0
3.82
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
4.55
0-1-1
3.56
1-1-0
3.17
 —
1-1-0
4.51
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.34
Sporting Covilha
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.66
0-2-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
3.46
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.75
0-1-1
1.12
 —
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.88
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.76
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.16
0-2-0
1.37
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
2.48
 —
1-1-0
2.40
Vitoria Setubal
0-1-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.90
1-0-1
1.73
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.19
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +5.1
Allowed 0.68 -4.2
Differential 0.91 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.20%6.87%4.12%3.57%1.92%2.20%20.88%
16.87%9.89%8.52%3.57%1.92%1.65%32.42%
24.12%8.52%6.59%1.92%0.55%1.92%23.63%
33.57%3.57%1.92%0.55%0.55%0.82%10.99%
41.92%1.92%0.55%0.55%—0.27%5.22%
5+2.20%1.65%1.92%0.82%0.27%—6.87%
Total20.88%32.42%23.63%10.99%5.22%6.87%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.67 1.67 2.53
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
111.54%15.38%15.38%11.54%3.85%—57.69%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+—7.69%——3.85%—11.54%
Total15.38%34.62%19.23%15.38%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 2.00 +0.04
SD 1.61 1.77 2.24
CV 0.79 0.88 —
Max 7 7 +4
Min 1 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
17.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—23.08%
23.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%7.69%30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—15.38%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total15.38%30.77%19.23%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 2.00 -0.38
SD 1.68 1.52 1.94
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 8 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%—34.62%
111.54%11.54%11.54%7.69%——42.31%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%26.92%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.46 -0.50
SD 0.92 1.14 1.68
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%—7.69%——19.23%
119.23%7.69%3.85%———30.77%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+7.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
Total50.00%34.62%3.85%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.77 +1.58
SD 2.62 0.99 2.89
CV 1.12 1.29 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%42.31%
1—7.69%7.69%——3.85%19.23%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%3.85%———3.85%11.54%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total3.85%38.46%26.92%3.85%3.85%23.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.73 -1.46
SD 1.43 2.57 3.25
CV 1.13 0.94 —
Max 5 11 +3
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
111.54%11.54%11.54%—11.54%—46.15%
2—3.85%7.69%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
47.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total23.08%30.77%26.92%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.62 +0.38
SD 1.33 1.42 2.19
CV 0.66 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
1—11.54%—7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
2—15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—30.77%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%46.15%11.54%19.23%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.00 -0.27
SD 1.34 1.52 2.36
CV 0.78 0.76 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%26.92%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%23.08%
23.85%15.38%3.85%7.69%——30.77%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—3.85%—3.85%—3.85%11.54%
5+———————
Total15.38%26.92%15.38%19.23%7.69%15.38%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.69 -1.15
SD 1.30 2.62 3.11
CV 0.85 0.97 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%————7.69%
111.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
23.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
37.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
5+3.85%—7.69%———11.54%
Total34.62%26.92%34.62%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.42 1.08 +1.35
SD 1.63 0.93 1.79
CV 0.67 0.87 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
1—15.38%3.85%——3.85%23.08%
215.38%7.69%3.85%——3.85%30.77%
33.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4———————
5+7.69%—————7.69%
Total26.92%42.31%19.23%3.85%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.31 +0.65
SD 1.89 1.35 2.59
CV 0.96 1.03 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
17.69%11.54%7.69%———26.92%
23.85%7.69%11.54%———23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+7.69%7.69%15.38%———30.77%
Total30.77%34.62%34.62%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 1.04 +1.77
SD 2.38 0.82 2.44
CV 0.85 0.79 —
Max 9 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%7.69%11.54%—30.77%
13.85%3.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
27.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
3—3.85%11.54%———15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.54%19.23%42.31%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.04 -0.81
SD 1.07 1.28 1.96
CV 0.87 0.63 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%—23.08%
13.85%15.38%19.23%7.69%——46.15%
23.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
3————3.85%—3.85%
4———————
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total11.54%26.92%30.77%23.08%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.88 -0.62
SD 1.25 1.14 1.55
CV 0.99 0.61 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%11.54%——7.69%26.92%
17.69%15.38%3.85%7.69%——34.62%
23.85%3.85%3.85%——7.69%19.23%
3—3.85%———3.85%7.69%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%19.23%7.69%—19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.00 -0.58
SD 1.30 2.02 2.52
CV 0.91 1.01 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 39 27.98 +11.02
2 Benfica 39 32.44 +6.56
3 Academica de Coimbra 25 22.03 +2.97
4 Lusitano de Evora 21 20.71 +0.29
5 Braga 29 28.72 +0.28

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 GD Fabril 25 28.51 -3.51
2 Sporting Covilha 20 23.48 -3.48
3 Atletico Clube de Portugal 22 25.39 -3.39
4 Porto 30 33.38 -3.38
5 Barreirense 20 23.16 -3.16

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Covilha 4 Jan 16 – Feb 13 1 in 92
2 Benfica 5 Sep 26 – Oct 24 1 in 80
3 Academica de Coimbra 2 Oct 3 – Oct 10 1 in 77
4 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 Mar 6 – Apr 17 1 in 36
5 Vitoria Setubal 3 Oct 3 – Oct 17 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Porto 2 Feb 27 – Mar 6 1 in 56
2 Atletico Clube de Portugal 4 Mar 6 – Apr 3 1 in 43
3 Vitoria Guimaraes 5 Oct 3 – Oct 31 1 in 40
4 Barreirense 6 Jan 16 – Feb 27 1 in 37
5 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 Oct 10 – Oct 10 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 14 Jan 2 – Apr 24 1 in 1,735
2 Braga 7 Oct 24 – Jan 2 1 in 37
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 Jan 23 – Apr 24 1 in 36
4 Sporting Covilha 5 Jan 9 – Feb 13 1 in 32
5 Atletico Clube de Portugal 6 Oct 24 – Dec 12 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Barreirense 9 Dec 12 – Feb 27 1 in 57
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 11 Sep 26 – Jan 2 1 in 46
3 Vitoria Setubal 7 Oct 24 – Jan 2 1 in 31
4 Braga 4 Feb 27 – Mar 20 1 in 24
5 Boavista 10 Sep 19 – Dec 5 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Benfica13.19%26.50%24.33%15.05%9.14%5.33%2.95%1.81%0.85%0.54%0.16%0.12%0.03%—
Os Belenenses (1st)1.88%6.31%11.08%16.31%15.61%14.82%11.19%7.93%5.63%3.94%2.78%1.47%0.90%0.15%
Sporting Clube de Portugal64.15%21.74%8.54%3.54%1.23%0.44%0.22%0.10%0.04%—————
Porto16.41%29.86%23.39%13.93%7.93%4.06%2.29%1.17%0.50%0.31%0.06%0.06%0.02%0.01%
Braga1.98%6.97%12.92%17.97%17.66%14.03%10.05%6.96%4.91%2.92%1.94%1.07%0.51%0.11%
Academica de Coimbra0.06%0.16%0.84%1.65%3.62%5.59%8.75%10.21%11.83%13.14%13.30%13.25%10.36%7.24%
GD Fabril1.91%5.66%11.28%15.58%16.95%15.08%11.71%8.48%5.74%3.34%2.13%1.32%0.57%0.25%
Atletico Clube de Portugal0.24%1.40%3.49%6.28%10.32%12.98%13.96%13.71%11.30%9.13%7.17%5.32%3.46%1.24%
Vitoria Setubal0.09%0.39%1.12%2.44%4.68%7.50%9.86%12.02%12.45%12.60%12.59%10.73%8.52%5.01%
Lusitano de Evora—0.06%0.25%0.74%1.56%2.65%4.41%6.30%8.40%11.76%13.62%16.11%18.15%15.99%
Barreirense0.02%0.37%1.03%2.70%4.84%6.98%9.88%12.37%13.43%13.09%12.46%10.52%7.55%4.76%
Sporting Covilha0.07%0.49%1.49%3.16%4.88%7.69%9.66%11.49%13.31%12.80%11.72%10.43%8.28%4.53%
Boavista—0.01%0.01%0.10%0.36%0.67%1.38%1.90%3.64%5.89%8.85%12.86%21.46%42.87%
Vitoria Guimaraes—0.08%0.23%0.55%1.22%2.18%3.69%5.55%7.97%10.54%13.22%16.74%20.19%17.84%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.62%
Strong Edge
57.69%19.23%23.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge
139 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0125.45400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.14 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.90+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
13%
Benfica, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.09 * Some Luck: 3.09 to 4.63 * Lucky: 4.63 to 6.17 * Wild Swing: 6.17 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.03 * Way Off: 3.03 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.15 points
Some Luck
03.8610
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.14
Close
01.894
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
99.83%
Os Belenenses (1st)
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
21.91%
GD Fabril
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.50
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Very Frequent
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
29%
Very Frequent
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.81
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100% —
Benfica 99.97% 0.03%
Porto 99.97% 0.03%
Braga 99.38% 0.62%
GD Fabril 99.18% 0.82%
Os Belenenses (1st) 98.95% 1.05%
Atletico Clube de Portugal 95.30% 4.70%
Barreirense 87.69% 12.31%
Sporting Covilha 87.19% 12.81%
Vitoria Setubal 86.47% 13.53%
Academica de Coimbra 82.40% 17.60%
Lusitano de Evora 65.86% 34.14%
Vitoria Guimaraes 61.97% 38.03%
Boavista 35.67% 64.33%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1954-09-12 Porto W 1-0 1394 1530 47.0% 20.4% 32.6% +9.2 2
1954-09-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1530 1394 32.6% 20.4% 47.0% -9.2 0
1954-09-12 Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1483 1324 73.0% 19.1% 7.9% +11.4 2
1954-09-12 @ Benfica L 0-5 1324 1483 7.9% 19.1% 73.0% -11.4 0
1954-09-12 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1271 1406 47.0% 20.4% 32.6% +25.1 2
1954-09-12 @ Boavista L 0-3 1406 1271 32.6% 20.4% 47.0% -25.1 0
1954-09-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1438 1637 38.3% 20.3% 41.4% +0.1 1
1954-09-12 @ Braga D 2-2 1637 1438 41.4% 20.3% 38.3% -0.1 1
1954-09-12 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1485 1261 75.9% 18.5% 5.6% -4.6 1
1954-09-12 @ GD Fabril D 1-1 1261 1485 5.6% 18.5% 75.9% +4.6 1
1954-09-12 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1346 1320 64.5% 20.0% 15.5% +4.6 2
1954-09-12 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1320 1346 15.5% 20.0% 64.5% -4.6 0
1954-09-12 Barreirense D 1-1 1436 1362 68.0% 19.8% 12.2% -3.6 1
1954-09-12 @ Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1362 1436 12.2% 19.8% 68.0% +3.6 1
1954-09-19 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1266 1432 42.9% 20.4% 36.8% +30.2 3
1954-09-19 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1432 1266 36.8% 20.4% 42.9% -30.2 1
1954-09-19 GD Fabril W 1-0 1381 1481 51.7% 20.4% 27.9% +8.1 2
1954-09-19 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1481 1381 27.9% 20.4% 51.7% -8.1 1
1954-09-19 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1365 1404 58.5% 20.3% 21.2% +6.4 3
1954-09-19 @ Barreirense L 0-1 1404 1365 21.2% 20.3% 58.5% -6.4 2
1954-09-19 Braga D 1-1 1521 1438 68.6% 19.7% 11.7% -3.6 1
1954-09-19 @ Porto D 1-1 1438 1521 11.7% 19.7% 68.6% +3.6 2
1954-09-19 Lusitano de Evora W 9-1 1636 1351 78.1% 17.8% 4.1% +7.5 3
1954-09-19 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-9 1351 1636 4.1% 17.8% 78.1% -7.5 2
1954-09-19 Benfica W 2-1 1315 1495 41.1% 20.3% 38.6% +9.9 2
1954-09-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1495 1315 38.6% 20.3% 41.1% -9.9 2
1954-09-19 Boavista W 4-0 1313 1296 63.7% 20.1% 16.2% +18.1 2
1954-09-19 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1296 1313 16.2% 20.1% 63.7% -18.1 2
1954-09-26 Academica de Coimbra W 6-2 1397 1296 69.8% 19.6% 10.7% +8.7 4
1954-09-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-6 1296 1397 10.7% 19.6% 69.8% -8.7 3
1954-09-26 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1278 1325 57.6% 20.3% 22.1% -1.6 3
1954-09-26 @ Boavista D 2-2 1325 1278 22.1% 20.3% 57.6% +1.6 3
1954-09-26 Barreirense W 4-0 1441 1372 67.7% 19.8% 12.5% +14.3 4
1954-09-26 @ Braga L 0-4 1372 1441 12.5% 19.8% 67.7% -14.3 3
1954-09-26 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1472 1331 72.1% 19.3% 8.7% +2.7 3
1954-09-26 @ GD Fabril L 1-2 1331 1472 8.7% 19.3% 72.1% -2.7 2
1954-09-26 Benfica L 0-2 1343 1485 46.3% 20.4% 33.3% -23.1 2
1954-09-26 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1485 1343 33.3% 20.4% 46.3% +23.1 4
1954-09-26 Porto W 5-1 1644 1518 71.2% 19.4% 9.4% +9.0 5
1954-09-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1518 1644 9.4% 19.4% 71.2% -9.0 1
1954-09-26 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1402 1389 63.3% 20.1% 16.6% -26.8 1
1954-09-26 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1389 1402 16.6% 20.1% 63.3% +26.8 4
1954-10-03 Braga W 4-1 1287 1456 42.6% 20.4% 37.0% +23.5 5
1954-10-03 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-4 1456 1287 37.0% 20.4% 42.6% -23.5 4
1954-10-03 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1416 1406 63.1% 20.1% 16.8% -2.1 5
1954-10-03 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1406 1416 16.8% 20.1% 63.1% +2.1 5
1954-10-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1357 1653 26.0% 19.9% 54.1% +1.9 4
1954-10-03 @ Barreirense D 0-0 1653 1357 54.1% 19.9% 26.0% -1.9 6
1954-10-03 Boavista W 11-0 1508 1276 76.2% 18.4% 5.4% +16.5 6
1954-10-03 @ Benfica L 0-11 1276 1508 5.4% 18.4% 76.2% -16.5 3
1954-10-03 Lusitano de Evora W 9-0 1509 1320 74.4% 18.9% 6.8% +17.1 3
1954-10-03 @ Porto L 0-9 1320 1509 6.8% 18.9% 74.4% -17.1 2
1954-10-03 GD Fabril L 1-2 1327 1475 45.4% 20.4% 34.2% -11.3 3
1954-10-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1475 1327 34.2% 20.4% 45.4% +11.3 5
1954-10-03 Sporting Covilha W 4-0 1329 1375 57.6% 20.3% 22.1% +23.7 4
1954-10-03 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-4 1375 1329 22.1% 20.3% 57.6% -23.7 1
1954-10-10 Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1408 1352 66.7% 19.9% 13.4% -16.3 5
1954-10-10 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1352 1408 13.4% 19.9% 66.7% +16.3 6
1954-10-10 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-2 1432 1414 63.8% 20.1% 16.2% +7.4 6
1954-10-10 @ Braga L 2-4 1414 1432 16.2% 20.1% 63.8% -7.4 5
1954-10-10 Benfica L 0-1 1486 1524 58.6% 20.3% 21.2% -15.2 5
1954-10-10 @ GD Fabril W 1-0 1524 1486 21.2% 20.3% 58.6% +15.2 8
1954-10-10 Boavista W 2-1 1303 1259 65.8% 19.9% 14.3% +4.2 4
1954-10-10 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1259 1303 14.3% 19.9% 65.8% -4.2 3
1954-10-10 Barreirense W 2-0 1526 1359 73.3% 19.1% 7.6% +4.7 5
1954-10-10 @ Porto L 0-2 1359 1526 7.6% 19.1% 73.3% -4.7 4
1954-10-10 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1651 1311 79.8% 17.2% 3.1% -20.6 6
1954-10-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1311 1651 3.1% 17.2% 79.8% +20.6 7
1954-10-10 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1352 1315 65.2% 20.0% 14.8% +4.4 3
1954-10-10 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1315 1352 14.8% 20.0% 65.2% -4.4 3
1954-10-17 Porto L 1-3 1331 1530 38.3% 20.3% 41.4% -17.1 7
1954-10-17 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1530 1331 41.4% 20.3% 38.3% +17.1 7
1954-10-17 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1407 1630 34.9% 20.2% 44.9% -9.7 5
1954-10-17 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1630 1407 44.9% 20.2% 34.9% +9.7 8
1954-10-17 Lusitano de Evora D 2-2 1355 1307 66.1% 19.9% 14.0% -2.5 5
1954-10-17 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1307 1355 14.0% 19.9% 66.1% +2.4 5
1954-10-17 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1539 1356 74.1% 18.9% 7.0% +2.1 10
1954-10-17 @ Benfica L 1-2 1356 1539 7.0% 18.9% 74.1% -2.1 3
1954-10-17 GD Fabril D 2-2 1255 1471 35.9% 20.3% 43.8% +0.3 4
1954-10-17 @ Boavista D 2-2 1471 1255 43.8% 20.3% 35.9% -0.3 6
1954-10-17 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1311 1392 53.9% 20.4% 25.8% -22.9 3
1954-10-17 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1392 1311 25.8% 20.4% 53.9% +22.9 7
1954-10-17 Braga W 4-1 1369 1439 55.0% 20.3% 24.6% +16.8 8
1954-10-17 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-4 1439 1369 24.6% 20.3% 55.0% -16.8 6
1954-10-24 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1352 1314 65.4% 20.0% 14.7% +4.3 7
1954-10-24 @ Barreirense L 1-2 1314 1352 14.7% 20.0% 65.4% -4.4 7
1954-10-24 Benfica L 1-2 1415 1542 48.2% 20.4% 31.4% -12.0 7
1954-10-24 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1542 1415 31.4% 20.4% 48.2% +12.0 12
1954-10-24 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1423 1288 71.7% 19.3% 9.0% +4.8 8
1954-10-24 @ Braga L 1-3 1288 1423 9.0% 19.3% 71.7% -4.8 3
1954-10-24 GD Fabril L 0-3 1310 1471 43.6% 20.4% 36.0% -31.8 5
1954-10-24 @ Lusitano de Evora W 3-0 1471 1310 36.0% 20.4% 43.6% +31.8 8
1954-10-24 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 3-3 1547 1397 72.5% 19.2% 8.3% -2.6 8
1954-10-24 @ Porto D 3-3 1397 1547 8.3% 19.2% 72.5% +2.6 6
1954-10-24 Vitoria Setubal W 7-2 1640 1385 77.0% 18.2% 4.8% +4.8 10
1954-10-24 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-7 1385 1640 4.8% 18.2% 77.0% -4.8 8
1954-10-24 Boavista W 2-0 1354 1256 69.6% 19.6% 10.8% +6.6 5
1954-10-24 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1256 1354 10.8% 19.6% 69.6% -6.5 4
1954-10-31 Lusitano de Evora W 7-4 1310 1278 64.9% 20.0% 15.1% +8.4 9
1954-10-31 @ Academica de Coimbra L 4-7 1278 1310 15.1% 20.0% 64.9% -8.4 5
1954-10-31 Barreirense W 1-0 1400 1357 65.8% 19.9% 14.3% +4.5 8
1954-10-31 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1357 1400 14.3% 19.9% 65.8% -4.5 7
1954-10-31 Braga L 0-1 1554 1427 71.2% 19.4% 9.4% -18.5 12
1954-10-31 @ Benfica W 1-0 1427 1554 9.4% 19.4% 71.2% +18.5 10
1954-10-31 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1249 1403 44.7% 20.4% 34.9% -0.6 5
1954-10-31 @ Boavista D 1-1 1403 1249 34.9% 20.4% 44.7% +0.6 8
1954-10-31 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1503 1360 72.1% 19.2% 8.6% +7.7 10
1954-10-31 @ GD Fabril L 0-3 1360 1503 8.6% 19.2% 72.1% -7.7 5
1954-10-31 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1283 1645 19.2% 19.5% 61.3% -5.5 3
1954-10-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1645 1283 61.3% 19.5% 19.2% +5.5 12
1954-10-31 Porto L 0-2 1381 1545 43.2% 20.4% 36.4% -21.8 8
1954-10-31 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1545 1381 36.4% 20.4% 43.2% +21.8 10
1954-11-07 Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1318 1404 53.3% 20.4% 26.3% -13.1 9
1954-11-07 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1404 1318 26.3% 20.4% 53.3% +13.1 10
1954-11-07 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1352 1359 61.6% 20.2% 18.3% +9.2 9
1954-11-07 @ Barreirense L 1-3 1359 1352 18.3% 20.2% 61.6% -9.2 8
1954-11-07 GD Fabril W 4-1 1403 1510 50.7% 20.4% 28.9% +19.2 10
1954-11-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1510 1403 28.9% 20.4% 50.7% -19.2 10
1954-11-07 Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1270 1353 53.6% 20.4% 26.0% +20.9 7
1954-11-07 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1353 1270 26.0% 20.4% 53.6% -20.9 5
1954-11-07 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1567 1278 78.2% 17.8% 4.0% -4.9 11
1954-11-07 @ Porto D 1-1 1278 1567 4.0% 17.8% 78.2% +4.9 4
1954-11-07 Benfica L 0-1 1650 1535 70.6% 19.5% 9.9% -18.4 12
1954-11-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1535 1650 9.9% 19.5% 70.6% +18.4 14
1954-11-14 Lusitano de Evora W 3-2 1417 1290 71.3% 19.4% 9.4% +2.7 12
1954-11-14 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1290 1417 9.4% 19.4% 71.3% -2.7 7
1954-11-14 Porto W 1-0 1553 1562 61.4% 20.2% 18.4% +5.7 16
1954-11-14 @ Benfica L 0-1 1562 1553 18.4% 20.2% 61.4% -5.7 11
1954-11-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1248 1632 17.4% 19.3% 63.3% -5.0 5
1954-11-14 @ Boavista W 2-1 1632 1248 63.3% 19.3% 17.4% +5.0 14
1954-11-14 Braga D 1-1 1491 1446 65.9% 19.9% 14.1% -3.3 11
1954-11-14 @ GD Fabril D 1-1 1446 1491 14.1% 19.9% 65.9% +3.3 11
1954-11-14 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1332 1422 52.8% 20.4% 26.9% -13.0 5
1954-11-14 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1422 1332 26.9% 20.4% 52.8% +13.0 12
1954-11-14 Barreirense D 1-1 1283 1361 54.1% 20.4% 25.5% -1.7 5
1954-11-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1361 1283 25.5% 20.4% 54.1% +1.7 10
1954-11-14 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1350 1305 65.9% 19.9% 14.2% -3.3 9
1954-11-14 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1305 1350 14.2% 19.9% 65.9% +3.3 10
1954-11-21 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1308 1281 64.5% 20.0% 15.5% +13.2 12
1954-11-21 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1281 1308 15.5% 20.0% 64.5% -13.2 5
1954-11-21 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1420 1346 68.0% 19.8% 12.3% -3.5 13
1954-11-21 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1346 1420 12.3% 19.8% 68.0% +3.5 10
1954-11-21 Benfica W 3-0 1363 1559 38.7% 20.3% 41.0% +30.2 12
1954-11-21 @ Barreirense L 0-3 1559 1363 41.0% 20.3% 38.7% -30.2 16
1954-11-21 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1449 1319 71.5% 19.4% 9.2% +2.8 13
1954-11-21 @ Braga L 1-2 1319 1449 9.2% 19.4% 71.5% -2.8 5
1954-11-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1288 1435 45.5% 20.4% 34.1% -11.3 7
1954-11-21 @ Lusitano de Evora W 2-1 1435 1288 34.1% 20.4% 45.5% +11.4 14
1954-11-21 Boavista W 5-0 1556 1243 78.9% 17.5% 3.5% +5.0 13
1954-11-21 @ Porto L 0-5 1243 1556 3.5% 17.5% 78.9% -5.0 5
1954-11-21 GD Fabril W 6-0 1637 1488 72.5% 19.2% 8.3% +14.2 16
1954-11-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1488 1637 8.3% 19.2% 72.5% -14.2 11
1954-12-05 Boavista W 1-0 1452 1238 75.4% 18.6% 6.0% +1.9 15
1954-12-05 @ Braga L 0-1 1238 1452 6.0% 18.6% 75.4% -1.9 5
1954-12-12 Braga L 2-3 1447 1454 61.5% 20.2% 18.3% -14.3 14
1954-12-12 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1454 1447 18.3% 20.2% 61.5% +14.3 17
1954-12-12 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1529 1322 75.2% 18.7% 6.2% +3.3 18
1954-12-12 @ Benfica L 1-3 1322 1529 6.2% 18.7% 75.2% -3.3 12
1954-12-12 Barreirense W 2-1 1236 1393 44.2% 20.4% 35.4% +9.2 7
1954-12-12 @ Boavista L 1-2 1393 1236 35.4% 20.4% 44.2% -9.3 12
1954-12-12 Porto L 0-2 1474 1561 53.1% 20.4% 26.5% -26.1 11
1954-12-12 @ GD Fabril W 2-0 1561 1474 26.5% 20.4% 53.1% +26.1 15
1954-12-12 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1276 1350 54.7% 20.3% 24.9% +13.9 9
1954-12-12 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-2 1350 1276 24.9% 20.3% 54.7% -13.9 10
1954-12-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1316 1651 21.8% 19.7% 58.6% +1.7 6
1954-12-12 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1651 1316 58.6% 19.7% 21.8% -1.7 17
1954-12-12 Atletico Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1268 1416 45.4% 20.4% 34.3% -0.7 6
1954-12-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1416 1268 34.3% 20.4% 45.4% +0.7 14
1955-01-02 Boavista W 1-0 1318 1246 67.9% 19.8% 12.3% +3.9 14
1955-01-02 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1246 1318 12.3% 19.8% 67.9% -3.9 7
1955-01-02 Benfica L 1-2 1417 1532 49.7% 20.4% 29.9% -12.3 14
1955-01-02 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1532 1417 29.9% 20.4% 49.7% +12.3 20
1955-01-02 GD Fabril L 1-2 1384 1448 55.8% 20.3% 23.9% -13.7 12
1955-01-02 @ Barreirense W 2-1 1448 1384 23.9% 20.3% 55.8% +13.7 13
1955-01-02 Lusitano de Evora W 4-0 1468 1290 73.9% 18.9% 7.2% +8.4 19
1955-01-02 @ Braga L 0-4 1290 1468 7.2% 18.9% 73.9% -8.4 9
1955-01-02 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1587 1318 77.5% 18.0% 4.5% +2.7 17
1955-01-02 @ Porto L 0-2 1318 1587 4.5% 18.0% 77.5% -2.7 6
1955-01-02 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1650 1432 75.6% 18.6% 5.9% -18.5 17
1955-01-02 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1432 1650 5.9% 18.6% 75.6% +18.5 16
1955-01-02 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1336 1267 67.7% 19.8% 12.6% -2.6 11
1955-01-02 @ Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1267 1336 12.6% 19.8% 67.7% +2.6 7
1955-01-09 GD Fabril W 5-1 1322 1461 46.6% 20.4% 33.0% +27.7 16
1955-01-09 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-5 1461 1322 33.0% 20.4% 46.6% -27.6 13
1955-01-09 Boavista W 8-3 1405 1242 73.2% 19.1% 7.8% +7.0 16
1955-01-09 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 3-8 1242 1405 7.8% 19.1% 73.2% -7.0 7
1955-01-09 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1370 1315 66.7% 19.9% 13.5% -2.5 13
1955-01-09 @ Barreirense D 2-2 1315 1370 13.5% 19.9% 66.7% +2.5 7
1955-01-09 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1590 1451 71.9% 19.3% 8.8% -18.7 17
1955-01-09 @ Porto W 1-0 1451 1590 8.8% 19.3% 71.9% +18.7 18
1955-01-09 Braga W 5-2 1631 1477 72.7% 19.1% 8.1% +5.3 19
1955-01-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1477 1631 8.1% 19.1% 72.7% -5.3 19
1955-01-09 Lusitano de Evora W 1-0 1270 1282 61.1% 20.2% 18.8% +5.8 9
1955-01-09 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1282 1270 18.8% 20.2% 61.1% -5.8 9
1955-01-09 Benfica W 1-0 1334 1544 36.6% 20.3% 43.1% +11.5 13
1955-01-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1544 1334 43.1% 20.3% 36.6% -11.5 20
1955-01-16 Barreirense W 3-0 1470 1368 69.8% 19.6% 10.6% +9.4 20
1955-01-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1368 1470 10.6% 19.6% 69.8% -9.4 13
1955-01-16 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-0 1533 1275 77.1% 18.1% 4.7% +5.5 22
1955-01-16 @ Benfica L 0-4 1275 1533 4.7% 18.1% 77.1% -5.5 9
1955-01-16 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1235 1345 50.3% 20.4% 29.3% -1.2 8
1955-01-16 @ Boavista D 1-1 1345 1235 29.3% 20.4% 50.3% +1.2 14
1955-01-16 Porto L 1-2 1471 1571 51.6% 20.4% 28.0% -12.7 19
1955-01-16 @ Braga W 2-1 1571 1471 28.0% 20.4% 51.6% +12.7 19
1955-01-16 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-1 1434 1412 64.1% 20.0% 15.9% +11.5 15
1955-01-16 @ GD Fabril L 1-4 1412 1434 15.9% 20.0% 64.1% -11.4 16
1955-01-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1276 1636 19.4% 19.5% 61.1% +14.8 11
1955-01-16 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1636 1276 61.1% 19.5% 19.4% -14.8 19
1955-01-16 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1318 1350 59.1% 20.2% 20.6% +5.6 9
1955-01-16 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1350 1318 20.6% 20.2% 59.1% -5.6 16
1955-01-23 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1344 1479 47.2% 20.4% 32.4% -0.6 17
1955-01-23 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1479 1344 32.4% 20.4% 47.2% +0.6 21
1955-01-23 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1400 1323 68.2% 19.7% 12.1% -17.7 16
1955-01-23 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1323 1400 12.1% 19.7% 68.2% +17.7 11
1955-01-23 Braga L 1-3 1358 1459 51.6% 20.4% 28.0% -22.0 13
1955-01-23 @ Barreirense W 3-1 1459 1358 28.0% 20.4% 51.6% +22.0 21
1955-01-23 Lusitano de Evora W 7-1 1538 1291 76.8% 18.2% 5.0% +7.0 24
1955-01-23 @ Benfica L 1-7 1291 1538 5.0% 18.2% 76.8% -7.0 11
1955-01-23 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1584 1621 58.6% 20.3% 21.1% -2.3 20
1955-01-23 @ Porto D 1-1 1621 1584 21.1% 20.3% 58.6% +2.3 20
1955-01-23 Boavista W 2-0 1270 1234 65.2% 20.0% 14.8% +8.8 11
1955-01-23 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1234 1270 14.8% 20.0% 65.2% -8.8 8
1955-01-23 GD Fabril W 3-1 1346 1445 51.7% 20.4% 27.9% +13.2 16
1955-01-23 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1445 1346 27.9% 20.4% 51.7% -13.2 15
1955-02-06 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-2 1480 1382 69.5% 19.6% 10.9% +7.0 23
1955-02-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-5 1382 1480 10.9% 19.6% 69.5% -7.0 16
1955-02-06 Benfica L 0-3 1225 1545 23.2% 19.8% 57.0% -18.8 8
1955-02-06 @ Boavista W 3-0 1545 1225 57.0% 19.8% 23.2% +18.8 26
1955-02-06 Academica de Coimbra W 4-1 1481 1344 71.8% 19.3% 8.9% +6.7 23
1955-02-06 @ Braga L 1-4 1344 1481 8.9% 19.3% 71.8% -6.7 17
1955-02-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-3 1432 1279 72.7% 19.2% 8.2% +2.3 17
1955-02-06 @ GD Fabril L 3-4 1279 1432 8.2% 19.2% 72.7% -2.3 11
1955-02-06 Porto W 2-1 1284 1582 25.7% 19.9% 54.4% +13.3 13
1955-02-06 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-2 1582 1284 54.4% 19.9% 25.7% -13.3 20
1955-02-06 Barreirense W 1-0 1624 1336 78.1% 17.8% 4.0% +1.3 22
1955-02-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1336 1624 4.0% 17.8% 78.1% -1.3 13
1955-02-06 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1341 1359 60.5% 20.2% 19.3% +11.1 13
1955-02-06 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1359 1341 19.3% 20.2% 60.5% -11.1 16
1955-02-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1337 1625 26.8% 20.0% 53.2% +1.6 18
1955-02-13 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1625 1337 53.2% 20.0% 26.8% -1.5 23
1955-02-13 Braga W 2-1 1375 1487 50.1% 20.4% 29.5% +8.0 18
1955-02-13 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1487 1375 29.5% 20.4% 50.1% -8.0 23
1955-02-13 Porto L 1-3 1335 1568 33.6% 20.2% 46.2% -15.3 13
1955-02-13 @ Barreirense W 3-1 1568 1335 46.2% 20.2% 33.6% +15.3 22
1955-02-13 GD Fabril D 1-1 1564 1434 71.5% 19.4% 9.2% -4.0 27
1955-02-13 @ Benfica D 1-1 1434 1564 9.2% 19.4% 71.5% +4.0 18
1955-02-13 Lusitano de Evora W 4-1 1206 1297 52.6% 20.4% 27.0% +18.2 10
1955-02-13 @ Boavista L 1-4 1297 1206 27.0% 20.4% 52.6% -18.2 13
1955-02-13 Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1276 1352 54.5% 20.3% 25.2% -12.7 11
1955-02-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1352 1276 25.2% 20.3% 54.5% +12.7 15
1955-02-13 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1348 1487 46.7% 20.4% 32.9% -12.3 16
1955-02-13 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1487 1348 32.9% 20.4% 46.7% +12.3 25
1955-02-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1499 1264 76.3% 18.4% 5.3% +4.7 27
1955-02-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1264 1499 5.3% 18.4% 76.3% -4.7 11
1955-02-20 Vitoria Setubal W 5-0 1479 1336 72.2% 19.2% 8.6% +12.3 25
1955-02-20 @ Braga L 0-5 1336 1479 8.6% 19.2% 72.2% -12.3 16
1955-02-20 Boavista W 5-1 1438 1224 75.5% 18.6% 5.9% +5.8 20
1955-02-20 @ GD Fabril L 1-5 1224 1438 5.9% 18.6% 75.5% -5.8 10
1955-02-20 Barreirense W 3-0 1279 1320 58.3% 20.3% 21.4% +17.7 15
1955-02-20 @ Lusitano de Evora L 0-3 1320 1279 21.4% 20.3% 58.3% -17.7 13
1955-02-20 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1584 1339 76.7% 18.3% 5.1% +1.6 24
1955-02-20 @ Porto L 1-2 1339 1584 5.1% 18.3% 76.7% -1.5 18
1955-02-20 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 5-2 1623 1383 76.5% 18.3% 5.2% +3.4 25
1955-02-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1383 1623 5.2% 18.3% 76.5% -3.4 18
1955-02-20 Benfica L 0-1 1365 1560 38.8% 20.3% 40.9% -10.6 15
1955-02-20 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1560 1365 40.9% 20.3% 38.8% +10.6 29
1955-02-27 Barreirense W 1-0 1337 1302 65.1% 20.0% 14.9% +4.7 20
1955-02-27 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1302 1337 14.9% 20.0% 65.1% -4.7 13
1955-02-27 Porto W 2-0 1380 1585 37.5% 20.3% 42.3% +21.3 20
1955-02-27 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1585 1380 42.3% 20.3% 37.5% -21.3 24
1955-02-27 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1571 1504 67.5% 19.8% 12.7% -3.9 30
1955-02-27 @ Benfica D 0-0 1504 1571 12.7% 19.8% 67.5% +3.9 28
1955-02-27 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1218 1354 47.1% 20.4% 32.6% +8.7 12
1955-02-27 @ Boavista L 1-2 1354 1218 32.6% 20.4% 47.1% -8.7 15
1955-02-27 Lusitano de Evora W 3-1 1444 1297 72.4% 19.2% 8.4% +4.5 22
1955-02-27 @ GD Fabril L 1-3 1297 1444 8.4% 19.2% 72.4% -4.5 15
1955-02-27 Braga D 1-1 1259 1492 33.7% 20.2% 46.1% +0.7 12
1955-02-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1492 1259 46.1% 20.2% 33.7% -0.7 26
1955-02-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1324 1627 25.1% 19.9% 55.0% -14.7 16
1955-02-27 @ Vitoria Setubal W 5-2 1627 1324 55.0% 19.9% 25.1% +14.7 27
1955-03-06 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1297 1401 51.1% 20.4% 28.5% +15.5 15
1955-03-06 @ Barreirense L 0-2 1401 1297 28.5% 20.4% 51.1% -15.5 20
1955-03-06 Boavista W 6-0 1508 1227 77.9% 17.9% 4.2% +7.1 30
1955-03-06 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-6 1227 1508 4.2% 17.9% 77.9% -7.1 12
1955-03-06 Benfica L 0-1 1491 1567 54.4% 20.4% 25.2% -14.2 26
1955-03-06 @ Braga W 1-0 1567 1491 25.2% 20.4% 54.4% +14.2 32
1955-03-06 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1292 1342 57.4% 20.3% 22.3% -2.1 16
1955-03-06 @ Lusitano de Evora D 1-1 1342 1292 22.3% 20.3% 57.4% +2.1 21
1955-03-06 Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1564 1309 77.0% 18.2% 4.8% -37.8 24
1955-03-06 @ Porto W 2-0 1309 1564 4.8% 18.2% 77.0% +37.7 18
1955-03-06 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1642 1260 80.9% 16.7% 2.5% +1.5 29
1955-03-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1260 1642 2.5% 16.7% 80.9% -1.5 12
1955-03-06 GD Fabril W 3-1 1346 1449 51.2% 20.4% 28.4% +13.4 17
1955-03-06 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1449 1346 28.4% 20.4% 51.2% -13.4 22
1955-03-13 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1386 1344 65.7% 19.9% 14.4% -16.1 20
1955-03-13 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1344 1386 14.4% 19.9% 65.7% +16.1 23
1955-03-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1581 1643 56.0% 20.3% 23.7% -1.9 33
1955-03-13 @ Benfica D 1-1 1643 1581 23.7% 20.3% 56.0% +1.9 30
1955-03-13 Braga W 2-1 1220 1477 30.6% 20.1% 49.3% +12.2 14
1955-03-13 @ Boavista L 1-2 1477 1220 49.3% 20.1% 30.6% -12.2 26
1955-03-13 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-4 1435 1515 54.0% 20.4% 25.6% -20.5 22
1955-03-13 @ GD Fabril W 4-2 1515 1435 25.6% 20.4% 54.0% +20.5 32
1955-03-13 Porto D 1-1 1258 1526 29.2% 20.1% 50.7% +1.3 13
1955-03-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1526 1258 50.7% 20.1% 29.2% -1.2 25
1955-03-13 Barreirense D 1-1 1347 1313 65.0% 20.0% 15.0% -3.1 19
1955-03-13 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1313 1347 15.0% 20.0% 65.0% +3.2 16
1955-03-14 Lusitano de Evora W 3-2 1359 1290 67.6% 19.8% 12.6% +3.6 19
1955-03-14 @ Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1290 1359 12.6% 19.8% 67.6% -3.6 16
1955-03-20 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1360 1344 63.6% 20.1% 16.3% +8.3 25
1955-03-20 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1344 1360 16.3% 20.1% 63.6% -8.3 19
1955-03-20 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1316 1259 66.8% 19.9% 13.4% +4.2 18
1955-03-20 @ Barreirense L 0-1 1259 1316 13.4% 19.9% 66.8% -4.2 13
1955-03-20 Sporting Covilha W 4-0 1535 1362 73.6% 19.0% 7.4% +8.6 34
1955-03-20 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-4 1362 1535 7.4% 19.0% 73.6% -8.6 19
1955-03-20 GD Fabril D 2-2 1465 1415 66.3% 19.9% 13.8% -2.5 27
1955-03-20 @ Braga D 2-2 1415 1465 13.8% 19.9% 66.3% +2.5 23
1955-03-20 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 4-3 1287 1370 53.6% 20.4% 26.0% +6.7 18
1955-03-20 @ Lusitano de Evora L 3-4 1370 1287 26.0% 20.4% 53.6% -6.7 20
1955-03-20 Benfica W 3-0 1525 1579 56.9% 20.3% 22.8% +18.7 27
1955-03-20 @ Porto L 0-3 1579 1525 22.8% 20.3% 56.9% -18.7 33
1955-03-20 Boavista W 5-0 1645 1232 81.7% 16.2% 2.1% +2.9 32
1955-03-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-5 1232 1645 2.1% 16.2% 81.7% -2.9 14
1955-04-03 Lusitano de Evora W 2-0 1544 1293 76.9% 18.2% 4.9% +3.0 36
1955-04-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1293 1544 4.9% 18.2% 76.9% -3.0 18
1955-04-03 Barreirense W 2-0 1560 1320 76.5% 18.3% 5.2% +3.2 35
1955-04-03 @ Benfica L 0-2 1320 1560 5.2% 18.3% 76.5% -3.2 18
1955-04-03 Porto W 5-2 1229 1544 23.9% 19.8% 56.3% +29.1 16
1955-04-03 @ Boavista L 2-5 1544 1229 56.3% 19.8% 23.9% -29.1 27
1955-04-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1417 1648 33.9% 20.2% 45.8% -25.9 23
1955-04-03 @ GD Fabril W 3-0 1648 1417 45.8% 20.2% 33.9% +26.0 34
1955-04-03 Braga L 0-1 1354 1462 50.6% 20.4% 29.0% -13.2 19
1955-04-03 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1462 1354 29.0% 20.4% 50.6% +13.2 29
1955-04-03 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1255 1368 50.0% 20.4% 29.6% +8.0 15
1955-04-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1368 1255 29.6% 20.4% 50.0% -8.0 25
1955-04-03 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1335 1363 59.6% 20.2% 20.2% +6.1 21
1955-04-03 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1363 1335 20.2% 20.2% 59.6% -6.1 20
1955-04-17 Benfica L 3-7 1360 1564 37.7% 20.3% 42.0% -23.8 25
1955-04-17 @ Academica de Coimbra W 7-3 1564 1360 42.0% 20.3% 37.7% +23.8 37
1955-04-17 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1357 1263 69.3% 19.6% 11.1% +3.4 22
1955-04-17 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1263 1357 11.1% 19.6% 69.3% -3.4 15
1955-04-17 Boavista W 1-0 1317 1258 66.9% 19.8% 13.2% +4.2 20
1955-04-17 @ Barreirense L 0-1 1258 1317 13.2% 19.8% 66.9% -4.2 16
1955-04-17 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1475 1547 54.9% 20.3% 24.7% -12.8 29
1955-04-17 @ Braga W 3-2 1547 1475 24.7% 20.3% 54.9% +12.8 38
1955-04-17 Sporting Covilha W 4-0 1674 1341 79.5% 17.3% 3.2% +3.7 36
1955-04-17 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1341 1674 3.2% 17.3% 79.5% -3.7 19
1955-04-17 Lusitano de Evora D 0-0 1341 1290 66.4% 19.9% 13.7% -3.7 22
1955-04-17 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1290 1341 13.7% 19.9% 66.4% +3.7 19
1955-04-20 GD Fabril W 3-2 1514 1391 71.1% 19.4% 9.5% +2.8 29
1955-04-20 @ Porto L 2-3 1391 1514 9.5% 19.4% 71.1% -2.8 23
1955-04-24 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1560 1677 49.4% 20.4% 30.2% -0.8 39
1955-04-24 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1677 1560 30.2% 20.4% 49.4% +0.8 37
1955-04-24 Atletico Clube de Portugal W 3-0 1587 1360 76.0% 18.5% 5.5% +5.0 39
1955-04-24 @ Benfica L 0-3 1360 1587 5.5% 18.5% 76.0% -5.0 22
1955-04-24 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1254 1336 53.7% 20.4% 25.9% +12.4 18
1955-04-24 @ Boavista L 1-3 1336 1254 25.9% 20.4% 53.7% -12.4 25
1955-04-24 Barreirense W 2-1 1388 1321 67.5% 19.8% 12.7% +3.8 25
1955-04-24 @ GD Fabril L 1-2 1321 1388 12.7% 19.8% 67.5% -3.8 20
1955-04-24 Braga W 4-1 1294 1463 42.6% 20.4% 37.0% +23.5 21
1955-04-24 @ Lusitano de Evora L 1-4 1463 1294 37.0% 20.4% 42.6% -23.5 29
1955-04-24 Porto D 2-2 1337 1517 41.0% 20.3% 38.7% -0.1 20
1955-04-24 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1517 1337 38.7% 20.3% 41.0% +0.1 30
1955-04-24 Vitoria Setubal W 6-3 1260 1338 54.2% 20.4% 25.4% +13.9 17
1955-04-24 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 3-6 1338 1260 25.4% 20.4% 54.2% -13.8 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1954-10-10 3.06% Academica de Coimbra 1311 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1651 0
2 1955-03-06 4.80% Vitoria Setubal 1309 2 @ Porto 1564 0
3 1955-01-02 5.85% Os Belenenses (1st) 1432 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1650 1
4 1955-01-09 8.79% Os Belenenses (1st) 1451 1 @ Porto 1590 0
5 1954-10-31 9.39% Braga 1427 1 @ Benfica 1554 0
6 1954-11-07 9.91% Benfica 1535 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1650 0
7 1955-01-23 12.06% Sporting Covilha 1323 1 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1400 0
8 1954-10-10 13.43% Vitoria Setubal 1352 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1408 1
9 1955-03-13 14.38% Academica de Coimbra 1344 2 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 1386 1
10 1954-09-26 16.60% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1389 3 @ Sporting Covilha 1402 1
11 1954-12-12 18.31% Braga 1454 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1447 2
12 1955-01-16 19.39% @ Lusitano de Evora 1276 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1636 1
13 1954-10-10 21.17% Benfica 1524 1 @ GD Fabril 1486 0
14 1955-01-02 23.86% GD Fabril 1448 2 @ Barreirense 1384 1
15 1955-04-03 23.89% @ Boavista 1229 5 Porto 1544 2
16 1955-04-17 24.72% Os Belenenses (1st) 1547 3 @ Braga 1475 2
17 1955-02-13 25.18% Sporting Covilha 1352 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1276 2
18 1955-03-06 25.20% Benfica 1567 1 @ Braga 1491 0
19 1955-03-13 25.62% Os Belenenses (1st) 1515 4 @ GD Fabril 1435 2
20 1955-02-06 25.73% @ Lusitano de Evora 1284 2 Porto 1582 1
21 1954-10-17 25.75% Os Belenenses (1st) 1392 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1311 1
22 1954-11-07 26.33% Atletico Clube de Portugal 1404 2 @ Academica de Coimbra 1318 1
23 1954-12-12 26.50% Porto 1561 2 @ GD Fabril 1474 0
24 1954-11-14 26.87% Os Belenenses (1st) 1422 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1332 1
25 1955-01-16 27.99% Porto 1571 2 @ Braga 1471 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1955-03-06 37.75 Vitoria Setubal 2 1309 4.80% @ Porto 0 1564 77.03% 18.17%
2 1954-10-24 31.85 GD Fabril 3 1471 35.98% @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1310 43.65% 20.37%
3 1954-11-21 30.22 @ Barreirense 3 1363 38.71% Benfica 0 1559 40.97% 20.31%
4 1954-09-19 30.18 @ Academica de Coimbra 5 1266 42.86% Sporting Covilha 1 1432 36.78% 20.37%
5 1955-04-03 29.09 @ Boavista 5 1229 23.89% Porto 2 1544 56.29% 19.81%
6 1955-01-09 27.65 @ Academica de Coimbra 5 1322 46.63% GD Fabril 1 1461 32.98% 20.39%
7 1954-09-26 26.82 Atletico Clube de Portugal 3 1389 16.60% @ Sporting Covilha 1 1402 63.31% 20.08%
8 1954-12-12 26.10 Porto 2 1561 26.50% @ GD Fabril 0 1474 53.13% 20.37%
9 1955-04-03 25.95 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1648 45.84% @ GD Fabril 0 1417 33.94% 20.21%
10 1954-09-12 25.13 @ Boavista 3 1271 47.05% Atletico Clube de Portugal 0 1406 32.55% 20.39%
11 1955-04-17 23.84 Benfica 7 1564 42.01% @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1360 37.69% 20.30%
12 1954-10-03 23.71 @ Vitoria Setubal 4 1329 57.63% Sporting Covilha 0 1375 22.07% 20.29%
13 1954-10-03 23.51 @ Academica de Coimbra 4 1287 42.62% Braga 1 1456 37.01% 20.37%
14 1955-04-24 23.51 @ Lusitano de Evora 4 1294 42.61% Braga 1 1463 37.02% 20.37%
15 1954-09-26 23.08 Benfica 2 1485 33.29% @ Lusitano de Evora 0 1343 46.32% 20.39%
16 1954-10-17 22.90 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1392 25.75% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1 1311 53.89% 20.36%
17 1955-01-23 21.99 Braga 3 1459 28.04% @ Barreirense 1 1358 51.57% 20.39%
18 1954-10-31 21.76 Porto 2 1545 36.41% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1381 43.22% 20.37%
19 1955-02-27 21.34 @ Atletico Clube de Portugal 2 1380 37.45% Porto 0 1585 42.26% 20.29%
20 1954-11-07 20.88 @ Lusitano de Evora 3 1270 53.61% Sporting Covilha 0 1353 26.03% 20.37%
21 1954-10-10 20.60 Academica de Coimbra 1 1311 3.06% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1651 79.76% 17.18%
22 1955-03-13 20.53 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1515 25.62% @ GD Fabril 2 1435 54.02% 20.36%
23 1954-11-07 19.21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 4 1403 50.71% GD Fabril 1 1510 28.90% 20.39%
24 1955-02-06 18.81 Benfica 3 1545 56.99% @ Boavista 0 1225 23.24% 19.78%
25 1955-01-09 18.73 Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1451 8.79% @ Porto 0 1590 71.93% 19.28%