2010-11 Liga Portugal 2 Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gil Vicente

13.43 points above expected

55 points · 41.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Moreirense

9.74 points below expected

40 points · 49.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Gil Vicente 30 15 10 5 55 55 38 +17 41.6 +13.43
2 Feirense 30 17 4 9 55 41 31 +10 44.1 +10.92
3 Trofense 30 15 9 6 54 41 27 +14 43.7 +10.33
4 Oliveirense 30 12 9 9 45 36 35 +1 44.0 +1.03
5 Arouca 30 11 10 9 43 47 41 +6 49.2 -6.18
6 Leixoes 30 10 12 8 42 35 27 +8 45.5 -3.54
7 Aves 30 10 10 10 40 35 31 +4 39.1 +0.89
8 Moreirense 30 10 10 10 40 36 41 -5 49.7 -9.74
9 Estoril 30 9 11 10 38 36 31 +5 40.1 -2.08
10 Santa Clara 30 10 8 12 38 26 29 -3 44.6 -6.64
11 Freamunde 30 8 13 9 37 37 39 -2 34.3 +2.71
12 Penafiel 30 9 9 12 36 37 44 -7 37.0 -0.99
13 Os Belenenses (1st) 30 8 11 11 35 33 36 -3 42.1 -7.15
14 Sporting Covilha 30 9 5 16 32 32 48 -16 29.4 +2.57
15 Varzim 30 6 13 11 31 38 47 -9 30.4 +0.65
16 Fatima 30 5 8 17 23 29 49 -20 31.7 -8.70

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Gil Vicente 1718 55 41.57 +13.43 99.0% 28 32 37 42 46 51 56
Trofense 1715 54 43.67 +10.33 97.0% 28 32 39 43 47 54 61
Feirense 1707 55 44.08 +10.92 94.0% 25 31 39 44 49 56 64
Arouca 1704 43 49.18 -6.18 22.0% 34 37 45 50 54 58 66
Moreirense 1696 40 49.74 -9.74 8.0% 34 39 45 50 54 61 67
Leixoes 1694 42 45.54 -3.54 36.0% 28 33 40 46 51 56 59
Oliveirense 1650 45 43.97 +1.03 59.0% 30 32 40 45 47 54 61
Estoril 1646 38 40.08 -2.08 42.0% 25 28 37 40 44 52 56
Os Belenenses (1st) 1645 35 42.15 -7.15 13.0% 27 31 38 41 47 53 57
Aves 1643 40 39.11 +0.89 56.0% 22 27 34 39 44 53 55
Santa Clara 1641 38 44.64 -6.64 20.0% 27 33 39 44 49 59 66
Penafiel 1624 36 36.99 -0.99 50.0% 19 24 33 36 42 50 55
Freamunde 1599 37 34.29 +2.71 73.0% 20 25 31 34 38 45 50
Sporting Covilha 1560 32 29.43 +2.57 70.0% 16 19 25 30 33 38 44
Varzim 1551 31 30.35 +0.65 60.0% 17 21 26 30 35 41 46
Fatima 1541 23 31.70 -8.70 14.0% 19 21 27 31 36 43 48

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARO AVE EST FAT FEI FRE GV LEI MOR OLI OB( PEN SC SC TRO VAR
Arouca
0-0-2
3.36
0-1-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.73
0-1-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.56
0-2-0
3.22
2-0-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.50
0-2-0
3.13
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
2.86
0-1-1
3.93
Aves
2-0-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.00
0-0-2
2.74
0-2-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
3.48
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
3.37
Estoril
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.40
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
2.45
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.56
2-0-0
3.17
0-1-1
2.56
0-2-0
3.51
Fatima
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.99
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
2.15
2-0-0
2.70
Feirense
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.54
0-1-1
3.22
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.35
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.59
Freamunde
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.27
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.16
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.98
1-0-1
1.84
0-2-0
2.21
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.69
1-1-0
2.16
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.02
1-1-0
3.02
Gil Vicente
0-2-0
2.16
2-0-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.86
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
2.47
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
3.61
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
3.29
Leixoes
0-0-2
2.66
0-2-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
3.61
0-1-1
2.84
0-1-1
3.73
Moreirense
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.85
0-0-2
2.99
1-0-1
3.59
0-1-1
3.12
0-2-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
4.02
0-0-2
3.33
1-1-0
3.69
Oliveirense
0-2-0
2.23
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
2.56
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
3.49
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.83
0-1-1
3.27
0-0-2
2.56
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.44
1-1-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
3.53
1-0-1
2.35
2-0-0
3.28
Penafiel
0-0-2
1.96
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.19
0-1-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
2.22
0-2-0
3.10
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
3.00
Santa Clara
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
3.23
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.77
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.58
0-0-2
2.43
0-2-0
3.70
Sporting Covilha
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.19
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
1.83
2-0-0
1.85
1-1-0
1.53
0-0-2
1.89
2-0-0
1.89
0-2-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
2.63
Trofense
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.71
0-1-1
3.38
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.51
2-0-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.52
Varzim
1-1-0
1.59
0-2-0
2.06
0-2-0
1.91
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.08
1-1-0
1.74
0-1-1
1.78
1-1-0
1.94
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
2.35
0-2-0
1.77
2-0-0
2.72
0-1-1
1.92

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.42%10.42%5.62%2.08%0.21%28.75%
110.42%13.33%8.12%2.50%0.62%0.21%35.21%
25.62%8.12%6.67%2.08%1.04%0.62%24.17%
32.08%2.50%2.08%1.25%0.42%0.21%8.54%
40.21%0.62%1.04%0.42%2.29%
5+0.21%0.62%0.21%1.04%
Total28.75%35.21%24.17%8.54%2.29%1.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.24
Mean allowed1.24
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game2.48
Correlation (home vs away score)0.229
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%16.67%
116.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%36.67%
26.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total36.67%20.00%20.00%20.00%3.33%100%

Arouca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.37
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.362
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%10.00%40.00%
113.33%3.33%16.67%
210.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%30.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
4
5+
Total30.00%43.33%23.33%3.33%100%

Aves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.03
StdDev scored1.12
StdDev allowed0.93
Mean total goals/game2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.028
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%30.00%
16.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%33.33%
216.67%13.33%30.00%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total33.33%33.33%30.00%3.33%100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed1.03
StdDev scored1.13
StdDev allowed0.89
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.165
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%13.33%10.00%33.33%
110.00%10.00%23.33%6.67%50.00%
210.00%10.00%
3
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total20.00%13.33%50.00%16.67%100%

Fatima — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.97
Mean allowed1.63
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.146
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
120.00%10.00%30.00%
23.33%26.67%3.33%6.67%40.00%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total36.67%33.33%20.00%10.00%100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed1.03
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.177
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%23.33%
113.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%43.33%
23.33%6.67%13.33%3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total26.67%36.67%20.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Freamunde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.23
Mean allowed1.30
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.12
Mean total goals/game2.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.227
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%13.33%
16.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%30.00%
213.33%13.33%26.67%
33.33%13.33%3.33%20.00%
43.33%6.67%10.00%
5+
Total13.33%50.00%33.33%3.33%100%

Gil Vicente — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored1.21
StdDev allowed0.74
Mean total goals/game3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.090
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%3.33%36.67%
110.00%10.00%10.00%30.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total43.33%33.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed0.90
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.384
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%23.33%
110.00%20.00%10.00%40.00%
23.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%30.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total20.00%43.33%26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Moreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed1.37
StdDev scored0.89
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.295
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%26.67%
120.00%16.67%36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
4
5+
Total33.33%36.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%100%

Oliveirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored0.96
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.281
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%10.00%33.33%
16.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.10
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.03
Mean total goals/game2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.202
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%33.33%
16.67%13.33%10.00%6.67%36.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Penafiel — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.23
Mean allowed1.47
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.308
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%46.67%
110.00%10.00%6.67%26.67%
26.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total33.33%46.67%10.00%10.00%100%

Santa Clara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.87
Mean allowed0.97
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed0.93
Mean total goals/game1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.005
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%26.67%
110.00%13.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%46.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+
Total20.00%36.67%20.00%16.67%6.67%100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.60
StdDev scored0.87
StdDev allowed1.35
Mean total goals/game2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.065
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%23.33%
113.33%13.33%6.67%33.33%
210.00%13.33%6.67%30.00%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total33.33%43.33%23.33%100%

Trofense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.37
Mean allowed0.90
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed0.76
Mean total goals/game2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.430
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
16.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%36.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total26.67%23.33%26.67%13.33%10.00%100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.27
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.26
StdDev allowed1.30
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.451
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gil Vicente 55 41.6 +13.43
2 Feirense 55 44.1 +10.92
3 Trofense 54 43.7 +10.33
4 Freamunde 37 34.3 +2.71
5 Sporting Covilha 32 29.4 +2.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Moreirense 40 49.7 -9.74
2 Fatima 23 31.7 -8.70
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 35 42.1 -7.15
4 Santa Clara 38 44.6 -6.64
5 Arouca 43 49.2 -6.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feirense 5 Mar 20 – May 1 1 in 115
2 Aves 4 Jan 9 – Feb 6 1 in 66
3 Oliveirense 3 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 46
4 Santa Clara 4 Feb 13 – Mar 6 1 in 38
5 Estoril 3 Feb 6 – Feb 19 1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fatima 5 Apr 10 – May 15 1 in 73
2 Oliveirense 3 May 15 – May 29 1 in 67
3 Varzim 4 Feb 6 – Feb 27 1 in 44
4 Feirense 3 Jan 15 – Feb 3 1 in 35
5 Sporting Covilha 5 Feb 13 – Mar 13 1 in 32

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Varzim 11 Sep 26 – Jan 9 1 in 784
2 Freamunde 13 Nov 14 – Mar 5 1 in 615
3 Oliveirense 11 Nov 6 – Feb 13 1 in 79
4 Trofense 8 Sep 12 – Nov 28 1 in 24
5 Aves 6 Dec 12 – Feb 6 1 in 20

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fatima 12 Oct 24 – Feb 6 1 in 48
2 Estoril 9 Mar 13 – May 21 1 in 46
3 Moreirense 6 Oct 31 – Dec 19 1 in 41
4 Varzim 13 Dec 29 – Apr 10 1 in 40
5 Gil Vicente 7 Nov 7 – Jan 6 1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Gil Vicente1.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%
Feirense10.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%14.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Trofense3.00%12.00%5.00%11.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%
Oliveirense7.00%4.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%5.00%1.00%
Arouca22.00%18.00%17.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%
Leixoes15.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%4.00%11.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
Aves3.00%4.00%5.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%9.00%6.00%12.00%5.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%
Moreirense25.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%5.00%5.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%
Estoril3.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Santa Clara8.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%
Freamunde2.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%
Penafiel1.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%13.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)2.00%8.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%16.00%6.00%5.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Sporting Covilha2.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%24.00%28.00%
Varzim1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%23.00%24.00%
Fatima1.00%1.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%19.00%22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Arouca 40.0% 60.0%
Moreirense 38.0% 62.0%
Leixoes 25.0% 74.0% 1.0%
Santa Clara 19.0% 79.0% 2.0%
Feirense 19.0% 77.0% 4.0%
Trofense 15.0% 83.0% 2.0%
Oliveirense 11.0% 88.0% 1.0%
Os Belenenses (1st) 10.0% 89.0% 1.0%
Gil Vicente 7.0% 91.0% 2.0%
Estoril 6.0% 90.0% 4.0%
Aves 7.0% 85.0% 8.0%
Penafiel 3.0% 81.0% 16.0%
Freamunde 81.0% 19.0%
Fatima 59.0% 41.0%
Varzim 53.0% 47.0%
Sporting Covilha 48.0% 52.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2010-08-28 Leixoes W 2-1 1582 1680 26.2% 32.1% 41.7% +7.5 3
2010-08-28 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1680 1582 41.7% 32.1% 26.2% -7.5 0
2010-08-29 Aves D 1-1 1676 1613 48.7% 29.2% 22.1% -1.0 1
2010-08-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1613 1676 22.1% 29.2% 48.7% +1.0 1
2010-08-29 Freamunde D 0-0 1668 1593 50.4% 28.3% 21.3% -1.3 1
2010-08-29 @ Feirense D 0-0 1593 1668 21.3% 28.3% 50.4% +1.3 1
2010-08-29 Trofense W 2-1 1632 1644 37.5% 33.1% 29.4% +6.0 3
2010-08-29 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1644 1632 29.4% 33.1% 37.5% -5.9 0
2010-08-29 Estoril W 1-0 1762 1620 60.6% 22.0% 17.4% +3.6 3
2010-08-29 @ Moreirense L 0-1 1620 1762 17.4% 22.0% 60.6% -3.6 0
2010-08-29 Fatima W 1-0 1658 1611 46.2% 30.4% 23.4% +5.2 3
2010-08-29 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1611 1658 23.4% 30.4% 46.2% -5.2 0
2010-08-29 Arouca D 1-1 1683 1709 35.3% 33.4% 31.3% -0.1 1
2010-08-29 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1709 1683 31.3% 33.4% 35.3% +0.1 1
2010-08-29 Penafiel L 3-4 1573 1631 30.9% 33.3% 35.8% -5.7 0
2010-08-29 @ Varzim W 4-3 1631 1573 35.8% 33.3% 30.9% +5.7 3
2010-09-11 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1637 1675 33.6% 33.5% 32.9% -0.0 4
2010-09-11 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1675 1637 32.9% 33.5% 33.6% +0.0 2
2010-09-12 Feirense D 2-2 1709 1666 45.6% 30.7% 23.7% -0.6 2
2010-09-12 @ Arouca D 2-2 1666 1709 23.7% 30.7% 45.6% +0.6 2
2010-09-12 Oliveirense W 3-0 1614 1663 32.0% 33.4% 34.6% +19.3 4
2010-09-12 @ Aves L 0-3 1663 1614 34.6% 33.4% 32.0% -19.3 3
2010-09-12 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1616 1589 43.3% 31.6% 25.1% +9.1 3
2010-09-12 @ Estoril L 1-3 1589 1616 25.1% 31.6% 43.3% -9.1 3
2010-09-12 Varzim W 1-0 1606 1567 45.0% 30.9% 24.1% +5.3 3
2010-09-12 @ Fatima L 0-1 1567 1606 24.1% 30.9% 45.0% -5.3 0
2010-09-12 Gil Vicente L 0-1 1594 1638 32.9% 33.5% 33.7% -6.8 1
2010-09-12 @ Freamunde W 1-0 1638 1594 33.7% 33.5% 32.9% +6.8 6
2010-09-12 Santa Clara W 1-0 1672 1683 37.7% 33.1% 29.2% +6.3 3
2010-09-12 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1683 1672 29.2% 33.1% 37.7% -6.3 1
2010-09-12 Moreirense W 1-0 1638 1766 23.4% 30.4% 46.2% +8.6 3
2010-09-12 @ Trofense L 0-1 1766 1638 46.2% 30.4% 23.4% -8.6 3
2010-09-23 Leixoes D 0-0 1645 1679 34.2% 33.5% 32.3% -0.1 7
2010-09-23 @ Gil Vicente D 0-0 1679 1645 32.3% 33.5% 34.2% +0.1 4
2010-09-26 Arouca W 1-0 1675 1709 34.3% 33.5% 32.2% +6.7 5
2010-09-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1709 1675 32.2% 33.5% 34.3% -6.7 2
2010-09-26 Santa Clara W 1-0 1667 1676 37.9% 33.1% 29.1% +6.3 5
2010-09-26 @ Feirense L 0-1 1676 1667 29.1% 33.1% 37.9% -6.3 1
2010-09-26 Aves W 1-0 1757 1633 57.9% 23.8% 18.3% +3.8 6
2010-09-26 @ Moreirense L 0-1 1633 1757 18.3% 23.8% 57.9% -3.8 4
2010-09-26 Estoril D 1-1 1644 1625 42.0% 32.0% 26.0% -0.6 4
2010-09-26 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1625 1644 26.0% 32.0% 42.0% +0.6 4
2010-09-26 Fatima W 2-1 1637 1611 43.0% 31.7% 25.3% +5.3 7
2010-09-26 @ Penafiel L 1-2 1611 1637 25.3% 31.7% 43.0% -5.3 3
2010-09-26 Freamunde W 1-0 1580 1588 38.1% 33.0% 28.9% +6.2 6
2010-09-26 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1588 1580 28.9% 33.0% 38.1% -6.2 1
2010-09-26 Trofense D 0-0 1562 1646 27.7% 32.7% 39.6% +0.5 1
2010-09-26 @ Varzim D 0-0 1646 1562 39.6% 32.7% 27.7% -0.5 4
2010-10-02 Penafiel W 2-0 1626 1642 36.9% 33.2% 29.9% +12.1 7
2010-10-02 @ Estoril L 0-2 1642 1626 29.9% 33.2% 36.9% -12.1 7
2010-10-03 Moreirense W 3-0 1702 1761 30.7% 33.3% 35.9% +19.8 5
2010-10-03 @ Arouca L 0-3 1761 1702 35.9% 33.3% 30.7% -19.9 6
2010-10-03 Gil Vicente L 1-2 1629 1645 36.9% 33.2% 29.9% -7.0 4
2010-10-03 @ Aves W 2-1 1645 1629 29.9% 33.2% 36.9% +7.0 10
2010-10-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1606 1682 28.6% 33.0% 38.4% +11.1 6
2010-10-03 @ Fatima L 2-4 1682 1606 38.4% 33.0% 28.6% -11.1 5
2010-10-03 Varzim D 0-0 1581 1562 42.0% 32.0% 25.9% -0.7 2
2010-10-03 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1562 1581 25.9% 32.0% 42.0% +0.7 2
2010-10-03 Oliveirense D 1-1 1679 1644 44.5% 31.1% 24.4% -0.8 5
2010-10-03 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1644 1679 24.4% 31.1% 44.5% +0.8 5
2010-10-03 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1670 1586 51.8% 27.6% 20.7% +7.4 4
2010-10-03 @ Santa Clara L 1-3 1586 1670 20.7% 27.6% 51.8% -7.4 6
2010-10-03 Feirense D 0-0 1646 1673 35.2% 33.4% 31.4% -0.2 5
2010-10-03 @ Trofense D 0-0 1673 1646 31.4% 33.4% 35.2% +0.2 6
2010-10-23 Leixoes D 0-0 1671 1678 38.2% 33.0% 28.8% -0.4 6
2010-10-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1678 1671 28.8% 33.0% 38.2% +0.4 6
2010-10-23 Freamunde D 1-1 1644 1581 48.7% 29.2% 22.1% -1.0 6
2010-10-23 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1581 1644 22.1% 29.2% 48.7% +1.0 3
2010-10-23 Trofense D 1-1 1630 1646 36.9% 33.2% 29.9% -0.2 8
2010-10-23 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1646 1630 29.9% 33.2% 36.9% +0.2 6
2010-10-24 Estoril D 2-2 1617 1638 36.1% 33.3% 30.6% -0.2 7
2010-10-24 @ Fatima D 2-2 1638 1617 30.6% 33.3% 36.1% +0.1 8
2010-10-24 Arouca D 1-1 1652 1722 29.3% 33.1% 37.5% +0.3 11
2010-10-24 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1722 1652 37.5% 33.1% 29.3% -0.3 6
2010-10-24 Santa Clara W 1-0 1741 1677 48.8% 29.2% 22.0% +4.9 9
2010-10-24 @ Moreirense L 0-1 1677 1741 22.0% 29.2% 48.8% -4.9 4
2010-10-24 Feirense L 0-3 1579 1673 26.6% 32.3% 41.2% -16.0 6
2010-10-24 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1673 1579 41.2% 32.3% 26.6% +16.0 9
2010-10-24 Aves D 1-1 1563 1622 30.7% 33.3% 36.0% +0.2 3
2010-10-24 @ Varzim D 1-1 1622 1563 36.0% 33.3% 30.7% -0.2 5
2010-10-28 Penafiel W 2-1 1678 1630 46.5% 30.3% 23.2% +4.8 9
2010-10-28 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1630 1678 23.2% 30.3% 46.5% -4.9 8
2010-10-31 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1722 1563 63.0% 20.4% 16.7% +6.3 9
2010-10-31 @ Arouca L 0-2 1563 1722 16.7% 20.4% 63.0% -6.2 6
2010-10-31 Varzim D 0-0 1638 1563 50.5% 28.3% 21.2% -1.3 9
2010-10-31 @ Estoril D 0-0 1563 1638 21.2% 28.3% 50.5% +1.3 4
2010-10-31 Gil Vicente L 0-1 1689 1652 44.8% 31.0% 24.2% -8.4 9
2010-10-31 @ Feirense W 1-0 1652 1689 24.2% 31.0% 44.8% +8.4 14
2010-10-31 Moreirense W 1-0 1582 1746 20.7% 27.6% 51.7% +9.2 6
2010-10-31 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1746 1582 51.7% 27.6% 20.7% -9.2 9
2010-10-31 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1673 1671 39.5% 32.7% 27.8% +11.4 7
2010-10-31 @ Santa Clara L 0-2 1671 1673 27.8% 32.7% 39.5% -11.4 6
2010-10-31 Oliveirense W 3-2 1646 1643 39.6% 32.7% 27.7% +5.4 9
2010-10-31 @ Trofense L 2-3 1643 1646 27.7% 32.7% 39.6% -5.4 6
2010-11-01 Fatima W 2-0 1622 1617 40.0% 32.6% 27.4% +11.3 8
2010-11-01 @ Aves L 0-2 1617 1622 27.4% 32.6% 40.0% -11.3 7
2010-11-06 Aves W 2-0 1637 1633 39.8% 32.7% 27.6% +11.3 12
2010-11-06 @ Estoril L 0-2 1633 1637 27.6% 32.7% 39.8% -11.3 8
2010-11-06 Leixoes D 0-0 1737 1683 47.2% 29.9% 22.8% -1.1 10
2010-11-06 @ Moreirense D 0-0 1683 1737 22.8% 29.9% 47.2% +1.1 10
2010-11-06 Arouca D 2-2 1638 1728 27.1% 32.5% 40.5% +0.4 7
2010-11-06 @ Oliveirense D 2-2 1728 1638 40.5% 32.5% 27.1% -0.4 10
2010-11-06 Freamunde W 3-2 1625 1591 44.3% 31.2% 24.5% +4.9 11
2010-11-06 @ Penafiel L 2-3 1591 1625 24.5% 31.2% 44.3% -4.9 6
2010-11-07 Feirense L 1-2 1659 1681 36.0% 33.3% 30.7% -6.8 6
2010-11-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1681 1659 30.7% 33.3% 36.0% +6.8 12
2010-11-07 Trofense L 0-2 1606 1651 32.6% 33.5% 33.9% -12.8 7
2010-11-07 @ Fatima W 2-0 1651 1606 33.9% 33.5% 32.6% +12.8 12
2010-11-07 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1660 1557 54.8% 25.8% 19.4% -1.4 15
2010-11-07 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1557 1660 19.4% 25.8% 54.8% +1.4 7
2010-11-07 Santa Clara D 0-0 1564 1684 24.1% 31.0% 44.9% +0.9 5
2010-11-07 @ Varzim D 0-0 1684 1564 44.9% 31.0% 24.1% -0.9 8
2010-11-13 Estoril W 2-1 1664 1648 41.5% 32.2% 26.3% +5.5 15
2010-11-13 @ Trofense L 1-2 1648 1664 26.3% 32.2% 41.5% -5.4 12
2010-11-14 Fatima W 3-0 1727 1593 59.4% 22.8% 17.8% +10.1 13
2010-11-14 @ Arouca L 0-3 1593 1727 17.8% 22.8% 59.4% -10.1 7
2010-11-14 Penafiel L 0-1 1622 1630 38.1% 33.0% 28.9% -7.5 8
2010-11-14 @ Aves W 1-0 1630 1622 28.9% 33.0% 38.1% +7.5 14
2010-11-14 Oliveirense L 2-3 1688 1638 46.6% 30.2% 23.2% -7.7 12
2010-11-14 @ Feirense W 3-2 1638 1688 23.2% 30.2% 46.6% +7.7 10
2010-11-14 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1586 1652 29.8% 33.2% 37.0% +0.2 7
2010-11-14 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1652 1586 37.0% 33.2% 29.8% -0.2 7
2010-11-14 Varzim L 3-4 1684 1565 57.1% 24.3% 18.6% -8.6 10
2010-11-14 @ Leixoes W 4-3 1565 1684 18.6% 24.3% 57.1% +8.6 8
2010-11-14 Gil Vicente W 3-1 1683 1659 42.8% 31.8% 25.5% +9.2 11
2010-11-14 @ Santa Clara L 1-3 1659 1683 25.5% 31.8% 42.8% -9.2 15
2010-11-14 Moreirense W 2-1 1558 1736 19.9% 26.5% 53.7% +8.9 10
2010-11-14 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1736 1558 53.7% 26.5% 19.9% -8.9 10
2010-11-25 Feirense W 2-0 1574 1680 25.4% 31.7% 42.9% +15.4 11
2010-11-25 @ Varzim L 0-2 1680 1574 42.9% 31.7% 25.4% -15.4 12
2010-11-28 Trofense D 1-1 1615 1669 31.3% 33.4% 35.3% +0.1 9
2010-11-28 @ Aves D 1-1 1669 1615 35.3% 33.4% 31.3% -0.2 16
2010-11-28 Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1652 1567 52.0% 27.5% 20.6% -15.1 7
2010-11-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1567 1652 20.6% 27.5% 52.0% +15.1 13
2010-11-28 Leixoes L 0-1 1643 1676 34.4% 33.4% 32.2% -7.0 12
2010-11-28 @ Estoril W 1-0 1676 1643 32.2% 33.4% 34.4% +7.0 13
2010-11-28 Freamunde D 2-2 1583 1586 38.7% 32.9% 28.4% -0.3 8
2010-11-28 @ Fatima D 2-2 1586 1583 28.4% 32.9% 38.7% +0.3 8
2010-11-28 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1727 1650 50.8% 28.1% 21.1% -1.2 11
2010-11-28 @ Moreirense D 1-1 1650 1727 21.1% 28.1% 50.8% +1.2 16
2010-11-28 Santa Clara W 2-0 1646 1692 32.5% 33.5% 34.1% +13.2 13
2010-11-28 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1692 1646 34.1% 33.5% 32.5% -13.2 11
2010-11-28 Arouca L 0-1 1637 1738 26.0% 32.0% 42.0% -5.7 14
2010-11-28 @ Penafiel W 1-0 1738 1637 42.0% 32.0% 26.0% +5.7 16
2010-12-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1669 1637 44.0% 31.3% 24.7% -7.8 16
2010-12-04 @ Trofense W 2-1 1637 1669 24.7% 31.3% 44.0% +7.8 10
2010-12-05 Varzim D 3-3 1743 1589 62.3% 20.8% 16.9% -1.1 17
2010-12-05 @ Arouca D 3-3 1589 1743 16.9% 20.8% 62.3% +1.1 12
2010-12-05 Moreirense W 2-1 1665 1726 30.5% 33.3% 36.2% +6.9 15
2010-12-05 @ Feirense L 1-2 1726 1665 36.2% 33.3% 30.5% -6.9 11
2010-12-05 Aves W 1-0 1587 1615 35.1% 33.4% 31.5% +6.6 11
2010-12-05 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1615 1587 31.5% 33.4% 35.1% -6.6 9
2010-12-05 Fatima W 3-0 1683 1583 54.3% 26.1% 19.6% +11.6 16
2010-12-05 @ Leixoes L 0-3 1583 1683 19.6% 26.1% 54.3% -11.6 8
2010-12-05 Estoril W 1-0 1679 1636 45.7% 30.6% 23.7% +5.2 14
2010-12-05 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1636 1679 23.7% 30.6% 45.7% -5.3 12
2010-12-05 Penafiel D 0-0 1582 1632 32.1% 33.4% 34.5% +0.1 14
2010-12-05 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1632 1582 34.5% 33.4% 32.1% -0.1 15
2010-12-11 Fatima D 0-0 1684 1571 56.2% 24.9% 18.9% -1.7 15
2010-12-11 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1571 1684 18.9% 24.9% 56.2% +1.7 9
2010-12-12 Aves L 1-3 1742 1608 59.4% 22.8% 17.8% -16.5 17
2010-12-12 @ Arouca W 3-1 1608 1742 17.8% 22.8% 59.4% +16.5 12
2010-12-12 Oliveirense L 0-1 1651 1659 38.0% 33.0% 28.9% -7.5 16
2010-12-12 @ Gil Vicente W 1-0 1659 1651 28.9% 33.0% 38.0% +7.5 16
2010-12-18 Feirense L 1-2 1573 1672 26.1% 32.1% 41.8% -5.4 9
2010-12-18 @ Fatima W 2-1 1672 1573 41.8% 32.1% 26.1% +5.4 18
2010-12-19 Leixoes D 2-2 1625 1694 29.4% 33.1% 37.5% +0.2 13
2010-12-19 @ Aves D 2-2 1694 1625 37.5% 33.1% 29.4% -0.2 17
2010-12-19 Gil Vicente W 2-0 1645 1644 39.4% 32.7% 27.9% +11.4 13
2010-12-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1644 1645 27.9% 32.7% 39.4% -11.4 16
2010-12-19 Arouca W 5-2 1631 1726 26.5% 32.2% 41.2% +15.9 15
2010-12-19 @ Estoril L 2-5 1726 1631 41.2% 32.2% 26.5% -15.9 17
2010-12-19 Moreirense D 1-1 1667 1719 31.6% 33.4% 34.9% +0.1 17
2010-12-19 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1719 1667 34.9% 33.4% 31.6% -0.1 12
2010-12-19 Santa Clara D 1-1 1631 1683 31.8% 33.4% 34.8% +0.1 16
2010-12-19 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1683 1631 34.8% 33.4% 31.8% -0.1 16
2010-12-19 Freamunde D 1-1 1661 1593 49.4% 28.8% 21.7% -1.1 17
2010-12-19 @ Trofense D 1-1 1593 1661 21.7% 28.8% 49.4% +1.1 12
2010-12-19 Sporting Covilha W 5-2 1590 1582 40.4% 32.5% 27.1% +11.8 15
2010-12-19 @ Varzim L 2-5 1582 1590 27.1% 32.5% 40.4% -11.8 14
2010-12-28 Estoril D 2-2 1594 1646 31.6% 33.4% 34.9% +0.1 13
2010-12-28 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1646 1594 34.9% 33.4% 31.6% -0.1 16
2010-12-29 Penafiel W 2-1 1677 1632 46.0% 30.5% 23.5% +4.9 21
2010-12-29 @ Feirense L 1-2 1632 1677 23.5% 30.5% 46.0% -4.9 16
2010-12-29 Varzim D 2-2 1632 1602 43.6% 31.4% 24.9% -0.5 17
2010-12-29 @ Gil Vicente D 2-2 1602 1632 24.9% 31.4% 43.6% +0.5 16
2010-12-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1719 1656 48.6% 29.3% 22.1% +4.6 15
2010-12-29 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1656 1719 22.1% 29.3% 48.6% -4.6 13
2010-12-29 Oliveirense L 1-3 1570 1667 26.4% 32.2% 41.4% -9.5 14
2010-12-29 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1667 1570 41.4% 32.2% 26.4% +9.5 20
2010-12-30 Trofense L 1-2 1694 1660 44.3% 31.2% 24.5% -7.9 17
2010-12-30 @ Leixoes W 2-1 1660 1694 24.5% 31.2% 44.3% +7.9 20
2011-01-06 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1627 1632 38.5% 32.9% 28.6% -0.3 17
2011-01-06 @ Penafiel D 2-2 1632 1627 28.6% 32.9% 38.5% +0.3 18
2011-01-08 Oliveirense D 3-3 1652 1676 35.6% 33.4% 31.1% -0.1 14
2011-01-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 3-3 1676 1652 31.1% 33.4% 35.6% +0.1 21
2011-01-08 Feirense L 0-1 1646 1682 34.0% 33.5% 32.5% -7.0 16
2011-01-08 @ Estoril W 1-0 1682 1646 32.5% 33.5% 34.0% +7.0 24
2011-01-09 Santa Clara W 2-1 1625 1682 30.9% 33.4% 35.7% +6.8 16
2011-01-09 @ Aves L 1-2 1682 1625 35.7% 33.4% 30.9% -6.8 16
2011-01-09 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1567 1561 40.1% 32.6% 27.3% -0.5 10
2011-01-09 @ Fatima D 1-1 1561 1567 27.3% 32.6% 40.1% +0.5 15
2011-01-09 Leixoes D 3-3 1594 1686 26.8% 32.4% 40.8% +0.3 14
2011-01-09 @ Freamunde D 3-3 1686 1594 40.8% 32.4% 26.8% -0.3 18
2011-01-09 Arouca L 0-1 1668 1710 33.1% 33.5% 33.4% -6.9 20
2011-01-09 @ Trofense W 1-0 1710 1668 33.4% 33.5% 33.1% +6.9 20
2011-01-09 Moreirense D 1-1 1603 1723 24.1% 30.9% 45.1% +0.8 17
2011-01-09 @ Varzim D 1-1 1723 1603 45.1% 30.9% 24.1% -0.8 16
2011-01-15 Aves L 0-3 1689 1632 47.8% 29.7% 22.5% -24.0 24
2011-01-15 @ Feirense W 3-0 1632 1689 22.5% 29.7% 47.8% +24.0 19
2011-01-15 Estoril W 2-1 1632 1639 38.1% 33.0% 28.9% +5.9 21
2011-01-15 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1639 1632 28.9% 33.0% 38.1% -5.9 16
2011-01-15 Trofense L 0-2 1562 1661 26.0% 32.0% 42.0% -10.8 15
2011-01-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1661 1562 42.0% 32.0% 26.0% +10.8 23
2011-01-16 Leixoes W 1-0 1717 1686 43.8% 31.4% 24.8% +5.5 23
2011-01-16 @ Arouca L 0-1 1686 1717 24.8% 31.4% 43.8% -5.5 18
2011-01-16 Varzim W 4-2 1651 1604 46.4% 30.3% 23.3% +7.5 17
2011-01-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-4 1604 1651 23.3% 30.3% 46.4% -7.6 17
2011-01-16 Fatima W 2-1 1723 1567 62.6% 20.6% 16.8% +3.2 19
2011-01-16 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1567 1723 16.8% 20.6% 62.6% -3.2 10
2011-01-16 Penafiel W 2-0 1676 1626 46.7% 30.2% 23.1% +9.7 24
2011-01-16 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1626 1676 23.1% 30.2% 46.7% -9.7 17
2011-01-16 Freamunde D 1-1 1676 1595 51.4% 27.8% 20.8% -1.2 17
2011-01-16 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1595 1676 20.8% 27.8% 51.4% +1.2 15
2011-01-21 Feirense W 2-1 1680 1665 41.5% 32.2% 26.3% +5.5 21
2011-01-21 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1665 1680 26.3% 32.2% 41.5% -5.5 24
2011-01-22 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1634 1659 35.5% 33.4% 31.1% -0.2 17
2011-01-22 @ Estoril D 1-1 1659 1634 31.1% 33.4% 35.5% +0.2 18
2011-01-22 Gil Vicente L 1-3 1564 1638 28.9% 33.0% 38.1% -10.2 10
2011-01-22 @ Fatima W 3-1 1638 1564 38.1% 33.0% 28.9% +10.2 24
2011-01-22 Arouca D 2-2 1596 1722 23.6% 30.5% 45.9% +0.6 16
2011-01-22 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1722 1596 45.9% 30.5% 23.6% -0.6 24
2011-01-22 Santa Clara W 3-2 1672 1674 38.9% 32.9% 28.3% +5.5 26
2011-01-22 @ Trofense L 2-3 1674 1672 28.3% 32.9% 38.9% -5.5 17
2011-01-22 Oliveirense D 1-1 1596 1686 27.1% 32.5% 40.5% +0.5 18
2011-01-22 @ Varzim D 1-1 1686 1596 40.5% 32.5% 27.1% -0.5 25
2011-01-24 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1656 1551 55.0% 25.7% 19.4% +7.8 22
2011-01-24 @ Aves L 0-2 1551 1656 19.4% 25.7% 55.0% -7.8 15
2011-01-24 Moreirense D 1-1 1617 1726 25.1% 31.6% 43.3% +0.7 18
2011-01-24 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1726 1617 43.3% 31.6% 25.1% -0.7 20
2011-02-03 Feirense W 2-1 1597 1659 30.2% 33.3% 36.5% +6.9 19
2011-02-03 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1659 1597 36.5% 33.3% 30.2% -6.9 24
2011-02-06 Santa Clara W 1-0 1721 1669 47.1% 30.0% 22.9% +5.1 27
2011-02-06 @ Arouca L 0-1 1669 1721 22.9% 30.0% 47.1% -5.1 17
2011-02-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1663 1659 39.9% 32.6% 27.5% +11.3 25
2011-02-06 @ Aves L 0-2 1659 1663 27.5% 32.6% 39.9% -11.3 18
2011-02-06 Moreirense W 2-0 1633 1725 26.9% 32.4% 40.7% +14.9 20
2011-02-06 @ Estoril L 0-2 1725 1633 40.7% 32.4% 26.9% -14.9 20
2011-02-06 Oliveirense L 1-2 1553 1686 23.1% 30.1% 46.8% -4.8 10
2011-02-06 @ Fatima W 2-1 1686 1553 46.8% 30.1% 23.1% +4.8 28
2011-02-06 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1686 1543 60.7% 21.9% 17.4% -10.2 21
2011-02-06 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1543 1686 17.4% 21.9% 60.7% +10.2 18
2011-02-06 Varzim W 2-0 1617 1597 42.3% 31.9% 25.8% +10.7 21
2011-02-06 @ Penafiel L 0-2 1597 1617 25.8% 31.9% 42.3% -10.7 18
2011-02-06 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1678 1648 43.6% 31.4% 24.9% -0.5 27
2011-02-06 @ Trofense D 2-2 1648 1678 24.9% 31.4% 43.6% +0.5 25
2011-02-12 Trofense L 2-4 1710 1677 44.2% 31.3% 24.6% -12.2 20
2011-02-12 @ Moreirense W 4-2 1677 1710 24.6% 31.3% 44.2% +12.2 30
2011-02-13 Penafiel W 2-0 1648 1628 42.2% 32.0% 25.9% +10.7 21
2011-02-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1628 1648 25.9% 32.0% 42.2% -10.7 21
2011-02-13 Arouca W 2-1 1653 1727 28.9% 33.0% 38.1% +7.1 27
2011-02-13 @ Feirense L 1-2 1727 1653 38.1% 33.0% 28.9% -7.1 27
2011-02-13 Freamunde D 1-1 1648 1603 45.9% 30.5% 23.5% -0.9 26
2011-02-13 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1603 1648 23.5% 30.5% 45.9% +0.9 20
2011-02-13 Aves W 1-0 1690 1675 41.5% 32.2% 26.3% +5.8 31
2011-02-13 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1675 1690 26.3% 32.2% 41.5% -5.8 25
2011-02-13 Leixoes W 2-1 1664 1676 37.5% 33.1% 29.4% +6.0 20
2011-02-13 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1676 1664 29.4% 33.1% 37.5% -6.0 21
2011-02-13 Estoril L 0-1 1553 1648 26.5% 32.2% 41.3% -5.8 18
2011-02-13 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1648 1553 41.3% 32.2% 26.5% +5.8 23
2011-02-13 Fatima L 0-4 1586 1549 44.8% 31.0% 24.2% -30.1 18
2011-02-13 @ Varzim W 4-0 1549 1586 24.2% 31.0% 44.8% +30.1 13
2011-02-19 Oliveirense W 2-0 1654 1696 33.1% 33.5% 33.5% +13.0 26
2011-02-19 @ Estoril L 0-2 1696 1654 33.5% 33.5% 33.1% -13.0 31
2011-02-20 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1719 1659 48.3% 29.4% 22.3% -1.0 28
2011-02-20 @ Arouca D 1-1 1659 1719 22.3% 29.4% 48.3% +1.0 22
2011-02-20 Moreirense D 2-2 1669 1698 34.9% 33.4% 31.6% -0.1 26
2011-02-20 @ Aves D 2-2 1698 1669 31.6% 33.4% 34.9% +0.1 21
2011-02-20 Penafiel W 1-0 1579 1617 33.6% 33.5% 33.0% +6.8 16
2011-02-20 @ Fatima L 0-1 1617 1579 33.0% 33.5% 33.6% -6.8 21
2011-02-20 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1604 1547 47.7% 29.7% 22.6% +14.9 23
2011-02-20 @ Freamunde L 1-5 1547 1604 22.6% 29.7% 47.7% -14.9 18
2011-02-20 Gil Vicente W 2-0 1670 1648 42.5% 31.9% 25.6% +10.7 24
2011-02-20 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1648 1670 25.6% 31.9% 42.5% -10.6 26
2011-02-20 Feirense W 2-1 1670 1660 40.7% 32.4% 26.9% +5.5 23
2011-02-20 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1660 1670 26.9% 32.4% 40.7% -5.6 27
2011-02-20 Varzim W 2-1 1689 1556 59.2% 22.9% 17.8% +3.5 33
2011-02-20 @ Trofense L 1-2 1556 1689 17.8% 22.9% 59.2% -3.5 18
2011-02-26 Trofense W 1-0 1654 1693 33.6% 33.5% 33.0% +6.8 30
2011-02-26 @ Feirense L 0-1 1693 1654 33.0% 33.5% 33.6% -6.8 33
2011-02-27 Fatima D 1-1 1660 1586 50.3% 28.4% 21.3% -1.1 23
2011-02-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1586 1660 21.3% 28.4% 50.3% +1.1 17
2011-02-27 Aves W 4-2 1637 1669 34.5% 33.4% 32.0% +9.8 29
2011-02-27 @ Gil Vicente L 2-4 1669 1637 32.0% 33.4% 34.5% -9.8 26
2011-02-27 Arouca W 3-2 1698 1718 36.2% 33.3% 30.5% +5.8 24
2011-02-27 @ Moreirense L 2-3 1718 1698 30.5% 33.3% 36.2% -5.8 28
2011-02-27 Leixoes W 1-0 1683 1680 39.6% 32.7% 27.7% +6.0 34
2011-02-27 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1680 1683 27.7% 32.7% 39.6% -6.0 24
2011-02-27 Estoril D 0-0 1610 1667 31.1% 33.4% 35.6% +0.2 22
2011-02-27 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1667 1610 35.6% 33.4% 31.1% -0.2 27
2011-02-27 Santa Clara L 0-1 1532 1675 22.2% 29.4% 48.4% -4.9 18
2011-02-27 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1675 1532 48.4% 29.4% 22.2% +4.9 26
2011-02-27 Freamunde L 0-2 1552 1619 29.8% 33.2% 37.1% -12.0 18
2011-02-27 @ Varzim W 2-0 1619 1552 37.1% 33.2% 29.8% +12.0 26
2011-03-05 Fatima W 2-0 1667 1587 51.2% 27.9% 20.9% +8.6 30
2011-03-05 @ Estoril L 0-2 1587 1667 20.9% 27.9% 51.2% -8.6 17
2011-03-05 Oliveirense D 0-0 1631 1689 30.9% 33.3% 35.8% +0.2 27
2011-03-05 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1689 1631 35.8% 33.3% 30.9% -0.2 35
2011-03-06 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1713 1647 49.1% 29.0% 21.9% -0.8 29
2011-03-06 @ Arouca D 2-2 1647 1713 21.9% 29.0% 49.1% +0.8 30
2011-03-06 Varzim D 1-1 1659 1540 57.0% 24.3% 18.6% -1.5 27
2011-03-06 @ Aves D 1-1 1540 1659 18.6% 24.3% 57.0% +1.5 19
2011-03-06 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1661 1527 59.3% 22.9% 17.8% +3.5 33
2011-03-06 @ Feirense L 1-2 1527 1661 17.8% 22.9% 59.3% -3.5 18
2011-03-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1674 1658 41.6% 32.1% 26.3% +5.8 27
2011-03-06 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1658 1674 26.3% 32.1% 41.6% -5.8 23
2011-03-06 Moreirense W 1-0 1680 1704 35.8% 33.4% 30.9% +6.5 29
2011-03-06 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1704 1680 30.9% 33.4% 35.8% -6.5 24
2011-03-06 Penafiel W 1-0 1686 1611 50.5% 28.3% 21.2% +4.7 36
2011-03-06 @ Trofense L 0-1 1611 1686 21.2% 28.3% 50.5% -4.7 22
2011-03-12 Feirense W 3-2 1647 1664 36.7% 33.2% 30.0% +5.7 33
2011-03-12 @ Gil Vicente L 2-3 1664 1647 30.0% 33.2% 36.7% -5.7 33
2011-03-13 Santa Clara D 0-0 1653 1687 34.2% 33.5% 32.3% -0.1 24
2011-03-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1687 1653 32.3% 33.5% 34.2% +0.1 30
2011-03-13 Aves D 0-0 1578 1658 28.2% 32.8% 38.9% +0.4 18
2011-03-13 @ Fatima D 0-0 1658 1578 38.9% 32.8% 28.2% -0.4 28
2011-03-13 Freamunde W 2-1 1697 1631 49.1% 29.0% 21.9% +4.6 27
2011-03-13 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1631 1697 21.9% 29.0% 49.1% -4.6 27
2011-03-13 Trofense W 1-0 1689 1691 39.0% 32.8% 28.2% +6.1 38
2011-03-13 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1691 1689 28.2% 32.8% 39.0% -6.1 36
2011-03-13 Leixoes L 1-4 1606 1680 28.8% 33.0% 38.1% -14.4 22
2011-03-13 @ Penafiel W 4-1 1680 1606 38.1% 33.0% 28.8% +14.4 30
2011-03-13 Arouca L 2-3 1524 1712 19.3% 25.5% 55.2% -3.7 18
2011-03-13 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1712 1524 55.2% 25.5% 19.3% +3.7 32
2011-03-13 Estoril D 2-2 1542 1676 22.9% 30.0% 47.0% +0.7 20
2011-03-13 @ Varzim D 2-2 1676 1542 47.0% 30.0% 22.9% -0.7 31
2011-03-19 Estoril W 2-1 1657 1675 36.6% 33.2% 30.1% +6.1 31
2011-03-19 @ Aves L 1-2 1675 1657 30.1% 33.2% 36.6% -6.1 31
2011-03-20 Oliveirense D 0-0 1716 1695 42.3% 31.9% 25.8% -0.7 33
2011-03-20 @ Arouca D 0-0 1695 1716 25.8% 31.9% 42.3% +0.7 39
2011-03-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1659 1653 40.1% 32.6% 27.3% +6.0 36
2011-03-20 @ Feirense L 0-1 1653 1659 27.3% 32.6% 40.1% -6.0 24
2011-03-20 Penafiel L 1-4 1627 1592 44.5% 31.1% 24.4% -19.3 27
2011-03-20 @ Freamunde W 4-1 1592 1627 24.4% 31.1% 44.5% +19.3 25
2011-03-20 Moreirense D 0-0 1695 1702 38.1% 33.0% 28.9% -0.4 31
2011-03-20 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1702 1695 28.9% 33.0% 38.1% +0.4 28
2011-03-20 Varzim D 0-0 1687 1543 60.9% 21.8% 17.3% -1.9 31
2011-03-20 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1543 1687 17.3% 21.8% 60.9% +1.9 21
2011-03-20 Gil Vicente W 2-1 1520 1653 23.0% 30.1% 46.9% +8.2 21
2011-03-20 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1653 1520 46.9% 30.1% 23.0% -8.2 33
2011-03-20 Fatima D 1-1 1684 1578 55.1% 25.6% 19.3% -1.4 37
2011-03-20 @ Trofense D 1-1 1578 1684 19.3% 25.6% 55.1% +1.4 19
2011-03-31 Trofense D 2-2 1669 1683 37.1% 33.2% 29.7% -0.2 32
2011-03-31 @ Estoril D 2-2 1683 1669 29.7% 33.2% 37.1% +0.2 38
2011-04-03 Freamunde W 3-0 1647 1608 45.1% 30.9% 24.0% +14.6 27
2011-04-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1608 1647 24.0% 30.9% 45.1% -14.6 27
2011-04-03 Arouca W 1-0 1580 1715 22.8% 29.9% 47.2% +8.7 22
2011-04-03 @ Fatima L 0-1 1715 1580 47.2% 29.9% 22.8% -8.7 33
2011-04-03 Santa Clara W 3-0 1645 1685 33.4% 33.5% 33.2% +18.8 36
2011-04-03 @ Gil Vicente L 0-3 1685 1645 33.2% 33.5% 33.4% -18.8 31
2011-04-03 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1702 1528 65.2% 18.8% 16.0% -2.0 29
2011-04-03 @ Moreirense D 1-1 1528 1702 16.0% 18.8% 65.2% +2.0 22
2011-04-03 Feirense L 0-1 1696 1665 43.9% 31.4% 24.8% -8.3 39
2011-04-03 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1665 1696 24.8% 31.4% 43.9% +8.3 39
2011-04-03 Aves D 0-0 1611 1663 31.7% 33.4% 34.9% +0.1 26
2011-04-03 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1663 1611 34.9% 33.4% 31.7% -0.1 32
2011-04-03 Leixoes D 1-1 1544 1694 21.7% 28.8% 49.4% +1.1 22
2011-04-03 @ Varzim D 1-1 1694 1544 49.4% 28.8% 21.7% -1.1 32
2011-04-09 Estoril D 1-1 1693 1669 42.9% 31.7% 25.4% -0.7 33
2011-04-09 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1669 1693 25.4% 31.7% 42.9% +0.7 33
2011-04-10 Penafiel W 6-3 1706 1611 53.5% 26.6% 20.0% +8.0 36
2011-04-10 @ Arouca L 3-6 1611 1706 20.0% 26.6% 53.5% -8.0 26
2011-04-10 Varzim W 2-1 1673 1546 58.3% 23.5% 18.2% +3.6 42
2011-04-10 @ Feirense L 1-2 1546 1673 18.2% 23.5% 58.3% -3.6 22
2011-04-10 Fatima W 2-1 1593 1589 39.9% 32.6% 27.5% +5.6 30
2011-04-10 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1589 1593 27.5% 32.6% 39.9% -5.6 22
2011-04-10 Moreirense W 2-1 1664 1700 33.9% 33.5% 32.7% +6.4 39
2011-04-10 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1700 1664 32.7% 33.5% 33.9% -6.4 29
2011-04-10 Oliveirense L 1-2 1666 1687 36.1% 33.3% 30.6% -6.9 31
2011-04-10 @ Santa Clara W 2-1 1687 1666 30.6% 33.3% 36.1% +6.9 42
2011-04-10 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1530 1661 23.2% 30.2% 46.6% +16.3 25
2011-04-10 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1661 1530 46.6% 30.2% 23.2% -16.3 27
2011-04-10 Aves W 2-0 1683 1663 42.2% 31.9% 25.8% +10.7 41
2011-04-10 @ Trofense L 0-2 1663 1683 25.8% 31.9% 42.2% -10.7 32
2011-04-16 Trofense L 0-1 1645 1694 32.1% 33.4% 34.5% -6.7 27
2011-04-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1694 1645 34.5% 33.4% 32.1% +6.7 44
2011-04-17 Freamunde W 2-1 1652 1599 47.2% 29.9% 22.8% +4.8 35
2011-04-17 @ Aves L 1-2 1599 1652 22.8% 29.9% 47.2% -4.8 30
2011-04-17 Santa Clara L 0-2 1669 1659 40.7% 32.4% 26.9% -14.9 33
2011-04-17 @ Estoril W 2-0 1659 1669 26.9% 32.4% 40.7% +14.9 34
2011-04-17 Leixoes L 0-2 1583 1692 25.1% 31.5% 43.4% -10.4 22
2011-04-17 @ Fatima W 2-0 1692 1583 43.4% 31.5% 25.1% +10.4 36
2011-04-17 Feirense L 2-5 1694 1677 41.8% 32.1% 26.1% -16.0 29
2011-04-17 @ Moreirense W 5-2 1677 1694 26.1% 32.1% 41.8% +16.0 45
2011-04-17 Gil Vicente L 2-4 1694 1670 42.8% 31.8% 25.4% -11.9 42
2011-04-17 @ Oliveirense W 4-2 1670 1694 25.4% 31.8% 42.8% +11.9 42
2011-04-17 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1603 1547 47.6% 29.7% 22.6% -1.0 27
2011-04-17 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1547 1603 22.6% 29.7% 47.6% +1.0 26
2011-04-17 Arouca W 1-0 1542 1714 20.2% 27.0% 52.8% +9.4 25
2011-04-17 @ Varzim L 0-1 1714 1542 52.8% 27.0% 20.2% -9.4 36
2011-04-30 Oliveirense W 2-0 1678 1682 38.6% 32.9% 28.5% +11.6 32
2011-04-30 @ Moreirense L 0-2 1682 1678 28.5% 32.9% 38.6% -11.6 42
2011-05-01 Estoril D 0-0 1705 1654 46.7% 30.2% 23.1% -1.0 37
2011-05-01 @ Arouca D 0-0 1654 1705 23.1% 30.2% 46.7% +1.0 34
2011-05-01 Fatima W 2-1 1693 1572 57.2% 24.2% 18.5% +3.7 48
2011-05-01 @ Feirense L 1-2 1572 1693 18.5% 24.2% 57.2% -3.7 22
2011-05-01 Trofense W 1-0 1594 1701 25.3% 31.7% 43.0% +8.2 33
2011-05-01 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1701 1594 43.0% 31.7% 25.3% -8.2 44
2011-05-01 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1682 1638 45.8% 30.6% 23.6% -0.9 43
2011-05-01 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1638 1682 23.6% 30.6% 45.8% +0.9 28
2011-05-01 Aves D 0-0 1703 1657 46.1% 30.5% 23.5% -1.0 37
2011-05-01 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1657 1703 23.5% 30.5% 46.1% +1.0 36
2011-05-01 Penafiel L 0-3 1674 1602 50.0% 28.5% 21.4% -24.8 34
2011-05-01 @ Santa Clara W 3-0 1602 1674 21.4% 28.5% 50.0% +24.8 30
2011-05-01 Varzim L 1-2 1548 1551 38.7% 32.9% 28.4% -7.2 26
2011-05-01 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1551 1548 28.4% 32.9% 38.7% +7.2 28
2011-05-07 Gil Vicente L 1-3 1559 1681 23.8% 30.8% 45.4% -8.6 28
2011-05-07 @ Varzim W 3-1 1681 1559 45.4% 30.8% 23.8% +8.6 46
2011-05-08 Arouca W 3-2 1658 1704 32.6% 33.5% 34.0% +6.2 39
2011-05-08 @ Aves L 2-3 1704 1658 34.0% 33.5% 32.6% -6.2 37
2011-05-08 Moreirense D 1-1 1639 1690 31.9% 33.4% 34.7% +0.1 29
2011-05-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1690 1639 34.7% 33.4% 31.9% -0.1 33
2011-05-08 Freamunde D 1-1 1655 1602 47.2% 29.9% 22.8% -0.9 35
2011-05-08 @ Estoril D 1-1 1602 1655 22.8% 29.9% 47.2% +0.9 34
2011-05-08 Santa Clara L 1-2 1569 1649 28.1% 32.8% 39.1% -5.7 22
2011-05-08 @ Fatima W 2-1 1649 1569 39.1% 32.8% 28.1% +5.7 37
2011-05-08 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1671 1540 58.8% 23.2% 18.0% +3.8 45
2011-05-08 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1540 1671 18.0% 23.2% 58.8% -3.8 26
2011-05-08 Feirense W 1-0 1627 1696 29.4% 33.1% 37.4% +7.5 33
2011-05-08 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1696 1627 37.4% 33.1% 29.4% -7.5 48
2011-05-08 Leixoes D 0-0 1692 1702 37.8% 33.1% 29.1% -0.4 45
2011-05-08 @ Trofense D 0-0 1702 1692 29.1% 33.1% 37.8% +0.3 38
2011-05-12 Penafiel W 4-1 1690 1634 47.5% 29.8% 22.7% +11.6 49
2011-05-12 @ Gil Vicente L 1-4 1634 1690 22.7% 29.8% 47.5% -11.6 33
2011-05-15 Trofense L 1-3 1698 1692 40.0% 32.6% 27.4% -12.7 37
2011-05-15 @ Arouca W 3-1 1692 1698 27.4% 32.6% 40.0% +12.7 48
2011-05-15 Estoril W 1-0 1689 1654 44.3% 31.2% 24.5% +5.4 51
2011-05-15 @ Feirense L 0-1 1654 1689 24.5% 31.2% 44.3% -5.4 35
2011-05-15 Freamunde W 3-1 1702 1603 54.1% 26.2% 19.7% +6.9 41
2011-05-15 @ Leixoes L 1-3 1603 1702 19.7% 26.2% 54.1% -6.9 34
2011-05-15 Varzim W 3-2 1689 1550 60.2% 22.3% 17.5% +3.2 36
2011-05-15 @ Moreirense L 2-3 1550 1689 17.5% 22.3% 60.2% -3.2 28
2011-05-15 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1674 1639 44.5% 31.1% 24.4% -8.4 45
2011-05-15 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1639 1674 24.4% 31.1% 44.5% +8.4 32
2011-05-15 Aves D 0-0 1655 1664 37.9% 33.1% 29.1% -0.4 38
2011-05-15 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1664 1655 29.1% 33.1% 37.9% +0.4 40
2011-05-15 Fatima W 3-0 1537 1563 35.4% 33.4% 31.3% +18.1 29
2011-05-15 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1563 1537 31.3% 33.4% 35.4% -18.1 22
2011-05-21 Feirense L 0-2 1665 1694 34.9% 33.4% 31.7% -13.4 40
2011-05-21 @ Aves W 2-0 1694 1665 31.7% 33.4% 34.9% +13.4 54
2011-05-21 Gil Vicente L 1-3 1649 1702 31.6% 33.4% 35.0% -10.9 35
2011-05-21 @ Estoril W 3-1 1702 1649 35.0% 33.4% 31.6% +10.9 52
2011-05-21 Moreirense D 2-2 1545 1693 21.9% 29.0% 49.1% +0.8 23
2011-05-21 @ Fatima D 2-2 1693 1545 49.1% 29.0% 21.9% -0.8 37
2011-05-21 Santa Clara W 1-0 1596 1655 30.8% 33.3% 35.9% +7.2 37
2011-05-21 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1655 1596 35.9% 33.3% 30.8% -7.2 38
2011-05-21 Arouca L 0-2 1709 1685 42.9% 31.7% 25.4% -15.4 41
2011-05-21 @ Leixoes W 2-0 1685 1709 25.4% 31.7% 42.9% +15.4 40
2011-05-21 Oliveirense W 3-2 1623 1666 32.9% 33.5% 33.7% +6.2 36
2011-05-21 @ Penafiel L 2-3 1666 1623 33.7% 33.5% 32.9% -6.2 45
2011-05-21 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1705 1555 61.7% 21.2% 17.1% +3.2 51
2011-05-21 @ Trofense L 1-2 1555 1705 17.1% 21.2% 61.7% -3.2 29
2011-05-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1547 1648 25.9% 32.0% 42.1% -5.4 28
2011-05-21 @ Varzim W 2-1 1648 1547 42.1% 32.0% 25.9% +5.4 35
2011-05-29 Freamunde W 1-0 1700 1603 53.8% 26.4% 19.8% +4.3 43
2011-05-29 @ Arouca L 0-1 1603 1700 19.8% 26.4% 53.8% -4.3 37
2011-05-29 Estoril L 0-1 1653 1638 41.4% 32.2% 26.4% -8.0 35
2011-05-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1638 1653 26.4% 32.2% 41.4% +8.0 38
2011-05-29 Leixoes D 0-0 1708 1694 41.3% 32.2% 26.5% -0.6 55
2011-05-29 @ Feirense D 0-0 1694 1708 26.5% 32.2% 41.3% +0.6 42
2011-05-29 Fatima W 3-1 1712 1546 64.2% 19.5% 16.3% +5.2 55
2011-05-29 @ Gil Vicente L 1-3 1546 1712 16.3% 19.5% 64.2% -5.2 23
2011-05-29 Penafiel W 2-1 1692 1629 48.6% 29.2% 22.1% +4.6 40
2011-05-29 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1629 1692 22.1% 29.2% 48.6% -4.6 36
2011-05-29 Varzim L 0-1 1660 1541 57.0% 24.3% 18.6% -9.8 45
2011-05-29 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1541 1660 18.6% 24.3% 57.0% +9.8 31
2011-05-29 Trofense L 0-1 1648 1708 30.6% 33.3% 36.1% -6.5 38
2011-05-29 @ Santa Clara W 1-0 1708 1648 36.1% 33.3% 30.6% +6.5 54
2011-05-29 Aves W 1-0 1552 1651 26.0% 32.0% 41.9% +8.0 32
2011-05-29 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1651 1552 41.9% 32.0% 26.0% -8.0 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-02-06 17.38% Sporting Covilha 1543 1 @ Leixoes 1686 0
2 2010-12-12 17.82% Aves 1608 3 @ Arouca 1742 1
3 2010-11-14 18.60% Varzim 1565 4 @ Leixoes 1684 3
4 2011-05-29 18.62% Varzim 1541 1 @ Oliveirense 1660 0
5 2010-11-14 19.88% @ Sporting Covilha 1558 2 Moreirense 1736 1
6 2011-04-17 20.22% @ Varzim 1542 1 Arouca 1714 0
7 2010-11-28 20.58% Sporting Covilha 1567 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1652 1
8 2010-10-31 20.71% @ Freamunde 1582 1 Moreirense 1746 0
9 2011-05-01 21.45% Penafiel 1602 3 @ Santa Clara 1674 0
10 2011-01-15 22.53% Aves 1632 3 @ Feirense 1689 0
11 2011-04-03 22.84% @ Fatima 1580 1 Arouca 1715 0
12 2011-03-20 23.00% @ Sporting Covilha 1520 2 Gil Vicente 1653 1
13 2010-11-14 23.15% Oliveirense 1638 3 @ Feirense 1688 2
14 2011-04-10 23.17% @ Sporting Covilha 1530 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1661 0
15 2010-09-12 23.38% @ Trofense 1638 1 Moreirense 1766 0
16 2010-10-31 24.20% Gil Vicente 1652 1 @ Feirense 1689 0
17 2011-02-13 24.21% Fatima 1549 4 @ Varzim 1586 0
18 2011-05-15 24.39% Os Belenenses (1st) 1639 1 @ Oliveirense 1674 0
19 2011-03-20 24.40% Penafiel 1592 4 @ Freamunde 1627 1
20 2010-12-30 24.52% Trofense 1660 2 @ Leixoes 1694 1
21 2011-02-12 24.59% Trofense 1677 4 @ Moreirense 1710 2
22 2010-12-04 24.66% Os Belenenses (1st) 1637 2 @ Trofense 1669 1
23 2011-04-03 24.78% Feirense 1665 1 @ Oliveirense 1696 0
24 2011-05-01 25.31% @ Freamunde 1594 1 Trofense 1701 0
25 2010-11-25 25.38% @ Varzim 1574 2 Feirense 1680 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-02-13 30.06 Fatima 4 1549 24.21% @ Varzim 0 1586 44.78%
2 2011-05-01 24.76 Penafiel 3 1602 21.45% @ Santa Clara 0 1674 50.02%
3 2011-01-15 24.03 Aves 3 1632 22.53% @ Feirense 0 1689 47.80%
4 2010-10-03 19.85 @ Arouca 3 1702 30.74% Moreirense 0 1761 35.94%
5 2010-09-12 19.33 @ Aves 3 1614 32.01% Oliveirense 0 1663 34.56%
6 2011-03-20 19.32 Penafiel 4 1592 24.40% @ Freamunde 1 1627 44.46%
7 2011-04-03 18.81 @ Gil Vicente 3 1645 33.37% Santa Clara 0 1685 33.16%
8 2011-05-15 18.07 @ Sporting Covilha 3 1537 35.35% Fatima 0 1563 31.27%
9 2010-12-12 16.46 Aves 3 1608 17.82% @ Arouca 1 1742 59.35%
10 2011-04-10 16.27 @ Sporting Covilha 2 1530 23.17% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1661 46.60%
11 2011-04-17 16.05 Feirense 5 1677 26.11% @ Moreirense 2 1694 41.81%
12 2010-10-24 15.96 Feirense 3 1673 41.16% @ Sporting Covilha 0 1579 26.56%
13 2010-12-19 15.90 @ Estoril 5 1631 26.51% Arouca 2 1726 41.24%
14 2010-11-25 15.40 @ Varzim 2 1574 25.38% Feirense 0 1680 42.90%
15 2011-05-21 15.39 Arouca 2 1685 25.41% @ Leixoes 0 1709 42.85%
16 2010-11-28 15.14 Sporting Covilha 3 1567 20.58% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1652 51.96%
17 2011-02-20 14.90 @ Freamunde 5 1604 47.74% Sporting Covilha 1 1547 22.56%
18 2011-02-06 14.87 @ Estoril 2 1633 26.86% Moreirense 0 1725 40.74%
19 2011-04-17 14.86 Santa Clara 2 1659 26.90% @ Estoril 0 1669 40.69%
20 2011-04-03 14.59 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1647 45.06% Freamunde 0 1608 24.04%
21 2011-03-13 14.37 Leixoes 4 1680 38.15% @ Penafiel 1 1606 28.85%
22 2011-05-21 13.39 Feirense 2 1694 31.71% @ Aves 0 1665 34.88%
23 2010-11-28 13.19 @ Oliveirense 2 1646 32.48% Santa Clara 0 1692 34.06%
24 2011-02-19 13.03 @ Estoril 2 1654 33.08% Oliveirense 0 1696 33.45%
25 2010-11-07 12.80 Trofense 2 1651 33.94% @ Fatima 0 1606 32.60%