2010-11 Liga de Honra Season

240 games

Final

Promoted

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gil Vicente

12.80 points above expected

55 points · 42.20 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Moreirense

10.11 points below expected

40 points · 50.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Gil Vicente 30 15 10 5 55 55 38 +17 42.20 +12.80
2 Feirense 30 17 4 9 55 41 31 +10 45.45 +9.55
3 Trofense 30 15 9 6 54 41 27 +14 44.12 +9.88
4 Oliveirense 30 12 9 9 45 36 35 +1 44.13 +0.87
5 Arouca 30 11 10 9 43 47 41 +6 49.21 -6.21
6 Leixoes 30 10 12 8 42 35 27 +8 44.44 -2.44
7 Aves 30 10 10 10 40 35 31 +4 40.00 +0.00
8 Moreirense 30 10 10 10 40 36 41 -5 50.11 -10.11
9 Estoril 30 9 11 10 38 36 31 +5 40.44 -2.44
10 Santa Clara 30 10 8 12 38 26 29 -3 45.48 -7.48
11 Freamunde 30 8 13 9 37 37 39 -2 35.15 +1.85
12 Penafiel 30 9 9 12 36 37 44 -7 38.07 -2.07
13 Os Belenenses (1st) 30 8 11 11 35 33 36 -3 40.94 -5.94
14 Sporting Covilha 30 9 5 16 32 32 48 -16 29.80 +2.20
15 Varzim 30 6 13 11 31 38 47 -9 30.36 +0.64
16 Fatima 30 5 8 17 23 29 49 -20 33.04 -10.04

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Gil Vicente 1718 55 42.20 +12.80 96.9% 19 31 37 42 47 54 71
Trofense 1714 54 44.12 +9.88 93.0% 20 33 39 44 49 56 73
Feirense 1712 55 45.45 +9.55 92.5% 20 34 41 45 50 57 70
Arouca 1705 43 49.21 -6.21 20.9% 22 38 44 49 54 61 77
Moreirense 1699 40 50.11 -10.11 8.3% 26 39 45 50 55 62 76
Leixoes 1687 42 44.44 -2.44 39.5% 22 33 40 44 49 56 72
Oliveirense 1653 45 44.13 +0.87 58.0% 18 33 39 44 49 56 70
Santa Clara 1648 38 45.48 -7.48 15.5% 20 34 41 45 50 57 72
Estoril 1647 38 40.44 -2.44 38.8% 15 29 36 40 45 52 68
Aves 1643 40 40.00 +0.00 53.6% 19 29 35 40 45 52 73
Os Belenenses (1st) 1639 35 40.94 -5.94 22.1% 15 30 36 41 46 52 72
Penafiel 1628 36 38.07 -2.07 41.4% 17 27 33 38 43 50 67
Freamunde 1598 37 35.15 +1.85 64.3% 9 24 31 35 40 47 67
Sporting Covilha 1556 32 29.80 +2.20 67.1% 10 20 25 30 34 41 56
Varzim 1547 31 30.36 +0.64 57.6% 8 20 26 30 35 41 58
Fatima 1541 23 33.04 -10.04 7.5% 10 22 28 33 38 44 58

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARO AVE EST FAT FEI FRE GV LEI MOR OLI OB( PEN SC SC TRO VAR
Arouca
0-0-2
3.38
0-1-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.73
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.59
0-2-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.53
0-2-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
3.95
Aves
2-0-0
2.09
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.77
0-2-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.53
0-1-1
2.41
0-2-0
3.42
Estoril
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.39
0-2-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
1.87
1-1-0
2.45
1-1-0
2.61
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.60
0-2-0
3.58
Fatima
1-0-1
1.75
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.87
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.00
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.18
2-0-0
2.78
Feirense
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.59
0-1-1
3.33
0-0-2
2.98
0-1-1
2.83
2-0-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.82
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.69
Freamunde
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
2.29
1-1-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.12
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
1.83
0-2-0
2.21
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
2.12
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.04
1-1-0
3.10
Gil Vicente
0-2-0
2.19
2-0-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
2.45
1-1-0
3.08
0-1-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
3.66
1-1-0
2.57
1-1-0
3.38
Leixoes
0-0-2
2.62
0-2-0
3.10
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.45
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
2.83
0-2-0
2.39
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
3.58
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
3.70
Moreirense
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.85
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
3.64
0-1-1
3.16
0-2-0
3.05
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
4.03
0-0-2
3.39
1-1-0
3.74
Oliveirense
0-2-0
2.28
1-0-1
3.01
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
3.03
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.56
2-0-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.56
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-1-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.86
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.46
1-1-0
3.08
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
3.53
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.30
Penafiel
0-0-2
2.01
1-1-0
2.56
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.51
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.22
0-2-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
3.14
Santa Clara
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.86
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
3.22
2-0-0
3.70
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
3.79
Sporting Covilha
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
1.80
2-0-0
1.89
1-1-0
1.49
0-0-2
1.85
2-0-0
1.92
0-2-0
2.23
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
2.67
Trofense
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.02
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
2.05
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.57
Varzim
1-1-0
1.56
0-2-0
2.04
0-2-0
1.88
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
1.79
0-1-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
1.77
0-1-1
1.74
1-1-0
1.90
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.29
0-2-0
1.70
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
1.90

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.47 +8.9
Allowed 0.39 -7.4
Differential 0.83 +7.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.42%10.42%5.62%2.08%0.21%28.75%
110.42%13.33%8.12%2.50%0.62%0.21%35.21%
25.62%8.12%6.67%2.08%1.04%0.62%24.17%
32.08%2.50%2.08%1.25%0.42%0.21%8.54%
40.21%0.62%1.04%0.42%2.29%
5+0.21%0.62%0.21%1.04%
Total28.75%35.21%24.17%8.54%2.29%1.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.39
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%16.67%
116.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%36.67%
26.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total36.67%20.00%20.00%20.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.37 +0.20
SD 1.25 1.35 1.47
CV 0.80 0.99
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%10.00%40.00%
113.33%3.33%16.67%
210.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%30.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
4
5+
Total30.00%43.33%23.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.03 +0.13
SD 1.12 0.93 1.43
CV 0.96 0.90
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%30.00%
16.67%13.33%10.00%3.33%33.33%
216.67%13.33%30.00%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total33.33%33.33%30.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.03 +0.17
SD 1.13 0.89 1.32
CV 0.94 0.86
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%13.33%10.00%33.33%
110.00%10.00%23.33%6.67%50.00%
210.00%10.00%
3
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total20.00%13.33%50.00%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.63 -0.67
SD 1.03 1.00 1.54
CV 1.07 0.61
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
120.00%10.00%30.00%
23.33%26.67%3.33%6.67%40.00%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total36.67%33.33%20.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.03 +0.33
SD 1.10 1.00 1.35
CV 0.80 0.97
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%23.33%
113.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%43.33%
23.33%6.67%13.33%3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total26.67%36.67%20.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.30 -0.07
SD 1.07 1.12 1.36
CV 0.87 0.86
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%13.33%
16.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%30.00%
213.33%13.33%26.67%
33.33%13.33%3.33%20.00%
43.33%6.67%10.00%
5+
Total13.33%50.00%33.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.27 +0.57
SD 1.21 0.74 1.36
CV 0.66 0.58
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%3.33%36.67%
110.00%10.00%10.00%30.00%
26.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total43.33%33.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 0.90 +0.27
SD 1.18 1.03 1.23
CV 1.01 1.14
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%23.33%
110.00%20.00%10.00%40.00%
23.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%30.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total20.00%43.33%26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.37 -0.17
SD 0.89 1.16 1.23
CV 0.74 0.85
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%26.67%
120.00%16.67%36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
4
5+
Total33.33%36.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.17 +0.03
SD 0.96 1.15 1.27
CV 0.80 0.98
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%10.00%33.33%
16.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%36.67%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total26.67%40.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.20 -0.10
SD 1.06 1.03 1.32
CV 0.97 0.86
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%33.33%
16.67%13.33%10.00%6.67%36.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total26.67%30.00%30.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.47 -0.23
SD 1.25 1.41 1.57
CV 1.01 0.96
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%46.67%
110.00%10.00%6.67%26.67%
26.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total33.33%46.67%10.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.97 -0.10
SD 0.97 0.93 1.35
CV 1.12 0.96
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%26.67%
110.00%13.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%46.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+
Total20.00%36.67%20.00%16.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.60 -0.53
SD 0.87 1.35 1.66
CV 0.81 0.85
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%23.33%
113.33%13.33%6.67%33.33%
210.00%13.33%6.67%30.00%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total33.33%43.33%23.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.90 +0.47
SD 1.07 0.76 1.01
CV 0.78 0.84
Max 4 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
16.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%36.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total26.67%23.33%26.67%13.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.57 -0.30
SD 1.26 1.30 1.34
CV 0.99 0.83
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gil Vicente 55 42.20 +12.80
2 Trofense 54 44.12 +9.88
3 Feirense 55 45.45 +9.55
4 Sporting Covilha 32 29.80 +2.20
5 Freamunde 37 35.15 +1.85

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Moreirense 40 50.11 -10.11
2 Fatima 23 33.04 -10.04
3 Santa Clara 38 45.48 -7.48
4 Arouca 43 49.21 -6.21
5 Os Belenenses (1st) 35 40.94 -5.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feirense 5 Mar 20 – May 1 1 in 89
2 Aves 4 Jan 9 – Feb 6 1 in 58
3 Oliveirense 3 Nov 14 – Dec 12 1 in 40
4 Santa Clara 4 Feb 13 – Mar 6 1 in 28
5 Sporting Covilha 2 Nov 14 – Nov 28 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Oliveirense 3 May 15 – May 29 1 in 64
2 Fatima 5 Apr 10 – May 15 1 in 62
3 Varzim 4 Feb 6 – Feb 27 1 in 36
4 Feirense 3 Jan 15 – Feb 3 1 in 34
5 Sporting Covilha 5 Feb 13 – Mar 13 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Varzim 11 Sep 26 – Jan 9 1 in 1,161
2 Freamunde 13 Nov 14 – Mar 5 1 in 893
3 Oliveirense 11 Nov 6 – Feb 13 1 in 100
4 Trofense 8 Sep 12 – Nov 28 1 in 32
5 Aves 6 Dec 12 – Feb 6 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fatima 12 Oct 24 – Feb 6 1 in 60
2 Estoril 9 Mar 13 – May 21 1 in 59
3 Moreirense 6 Oct 31 – Dec 19 1 in 50
4 Varzim 13 Dec 29 – Apr 10 1 in 42
5 Santa Clara 6 Dec 11 – Feb 6 1 in 25

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Gil Vicente4.73%6.37%6.70%7.67%7.70%8.54%8.31%8.61%8.42%8.13%6.73%5.84%4.98%3.62%2.62%1.03%
Feirense10.20%10.59%10.10%9.88%9.52%8.55%8.70%7.40%6.27%5.30%4.55%3.81%2.37%1.47%0.95%0.34%
Trofense7.49%8.93%9.28%9.41%9.05%8.50%8.41%7.38%7.01%6.63%5.77%4.33%3.57%2.20%1.44%0.60%
Oliveirense6.61%8.06%8.39%9.15%9.31%9.19%8.22%7.78%7.47%6.59%6.07%4.75%3.83%2.42%1.54%0.62%
Arouca21.68%16.29%13.45%10.11%8.93%7.21%5.45%4.84%3.79%2.86%2.19%1.42%0.86%0.49%0.32%0.11%
Leixoes7.68%8.52%9.43%9.81%8.93%9.08%8.10%7.81%7.27%6.69%5.30%4.12%3.22%2.16%1.33%0.55%
Aves2.39%3.36%4.36%5.15%6.12%6.74%7.50%8.40%8.76%9.15%8.82%8.79%8.11%5.87%4.28%2.20%
Moreirense24.07%17.13%13.13%9.82%8.35%6.46%6.02%4.31%3.62%2.33%1.87%1.45%0.77%0.49%0.15%0.03%
Estoril2.20%3.85%4.71%6.42%6.57%7.28%7.65%8.11%8.33%9.23%9.22%7.85%7.00%5.50%3.89%2.19%
Santa Clara8.73%9.64%10.15%9.78%9.55%9.06%8.31%7.33%6.94%5.97%4.60%3.53%2.87%2.28%0.86%0.40%
Freamunde0.39%0.77%1.40%1.75%2.26%3.20%3.74%5.34%6.54%7.24%9.38%11.69%12.04%12.98%12.43%8.85%
Penafiel1.09%1.98%2.85%3.28%4.49%5.09%6.04%6.96%7.77%8.65%10.26%10.39%10.13%9.16%7.17%4.69%
Os Belenenses (1st)2.52%3.94%5.06%6.16%6.68%7.32%8.33%8.64%8.71%8.53%8.42%7.80%6.85%5.37%3.74%1.93%
Sporting Covilha0.03%0.11%0.21%0.35%0.57%0.67%1.09%1.64%2.18%3.41%4.28%6.98%10.07%14.78%21.45%32.18%
Varzim0.07%0.09%0.21%0.28%0.67%1.03%1.53%1.96%2.61%3.84%4.99%7.73%10.87%15.84%21.42%26.86%
Fatima0.12%0.37%0.57%0.98%1.30%2.08%2.60%3.49%4.31%5.45%7.55%9.52%12.46%15.37%16.41%17.42%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.33%
Clear Edge
45.83%31.67%22.50%
Elo Value
Home Edge
313 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
082.59800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.0
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
5%
Gil Vicente, 8th of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.49 * Some Luck: 5.49 to 8.24 * Lucky: 8.24 to 10.99 * Wild Swing: 10.99 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.39 * Close: 2.39 to 3.59 * Off: 3.59 to 4.79 * Way Off: 4.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.64 points
Some Luck
06.8717
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.00
Close
02.996
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
96.91%
Gil Vicente
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
7.53%
Fatima
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.08
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
74%
Clear Edge
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
74%
Very Frequent
0%72%100%
Blowouts
Expected 7%
8%
Rare
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.93
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.52
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.52
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.69
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.106
Well Within Noise
00.1100.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Moreirense 41.20% 58.62% 0.18%
Arouca 37.97% 61.60% 0.43%
Feirense 20.79% 77.92% 1.29%
Santa Clara 18.37% 80.37% 1.26%
Trofense 16.42% 81.54% 2.04%
Leixoes 16.20% 81.92% 1.88%
Oliveirense 14.67% 83.17% 2.16%
Gil Vicente 11.10% 85.25% 3.65%
Os Belenenses (1st) 6.46% 87.87% 5.67%
Estoril 6.05% 87.87% 6.08%
Aves 5.75% 87.77% 6.48%
Penafiel 3.07% 85.07% 11.86%
Freamunde 1.16% 77.56% 21.28%
Fatima 0.49% 65.68% 33.83%
Varzim 0.16% 51.56% 48.28%
Sporting Covilha 0.14% 46.23% 53.63%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2010-08-28 Leixoes W 2-1 1574 1667 28.5% 28.7% 42.8% +7.4 3
2010-08-28 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1667 1574 42.8% 28.7% 28.5% -7.4 0
2010-08-29 Arouca D 1-1 1695 1710 39.0% 29.0% 31.9% -0.3 1
2010-08-29 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1710 1695 31.9% 29.0% 39.0% +0.3 1
2010-08-29 Aves D 1-1 1665 1612 48.3% 27.7% 24.0% -0.9 1
2010-08-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1612 1665 24.0% 27.7% 48.3% +0.9 1
2010-08-29 Estoril W 1-0 1766 1621 59.5% 24.0% 16.5% +3.5 3
2010-08-29 @ Moreirense L 0-1 1621 1766 16.5% 24.0% 59.5% -3.5 0
2010-08-29 Fatima W 1-0 1662 1613 47.9% 27.8% 24.3% +5.1 3
2010-08-29 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1613 1662 24.3% 27.8% 47.9% -5.1 0
2010-08-29 Freamunde D 0-0 1679 1592 52.6% 26.5% 20.8% -1.4 1
2010-08-29 @ Feirense D 0-0 1592 1679 20.8% 26.5% 52.6% +1.4 1
2010-08-29 Penafiel L 3-4 1565 1638 31.1% 29.0% 39.9% -5.4 0
2010-08-29 @ Varzim W 4-3 1638 1565 39.9% 29.0% 31.1% +5.4 3
2010-08-29 Trofense W 2-1 1634 1643 40.0% 29.0% 31.1% +5.8 3
2010-08-29 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1643 1634 31.1% 29.0% 40.0% -5.9 0
2010-09-11 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1643 1664 38.3% 29.1% 32.6% -0.2 4
2010-09-11 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1664 1643 32.6% 29.1% 38.3% +0.2 2
2010-09-12 Feirense D 2-2 1710 1677 45.7% 28.2% 26.0% -0.5 2
2010-09-12 @ Arouca D 2-2 1677 1710 26.0% 28.2% 45.7% +0.5 2
2010-09-12 Gil Vicente L 0-1 1593 1640 34.6% 29.2% 36.2% -6.7 1
2010-09-12 @ Freamunde W 1-0 1640 1593 36.2% 29.2% 34.6% +6.7 6
2010-09-12 Moreirense W 1-0 1637 1769 24.2% 27.8% 48.1% +8.6 3
2010-09-12 @ Trofense L 0-1 1769 1637 48.1% 27.8% 24.2% -8.6 3
2010-09-12 Oliveirense W 3-0 1613 1667 33.6% 29.1% 37.3% +19.4 4
2010-09-12 @ Aves L 0-3 1667 1613 37.3% 29.1% 33.6% -19.4 3
2010-09-12 Santa Clara W 1-0 1659 1694 36.2% 29.2% 34.6% +6.7 3
2010-09-12 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1694 1659 34.6% 29.2% 36.2% -6.7 1
2010-09-12 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1618 1581 46.2% 28.1% 25.6% +8.7 3
2010-09-12 @ Estoril L 1-3 1581 1618 25.6% 28.1% 46.2% -8.7 3
2010-09-12 Varzim W 1-0 1608 1560 47.7% 27.9% 24.5% +5.1 3
2010-09-12 @ Fatima L 0-1 1560 1608 24.5% 27.9% 47.7% -5.1 0
2010-09-23 Leixoes D 0-0 1646 1666 38.5% 29.1% 32.5% -0.2 7
2010-09-23 @ Gil Vicente D 0-0 1666 1646 32.5% 29.1% 38.5% +0.2 4
2010-09-26 Arouca W 1-0 1664 1710 34.7% 29.2% 36.1% +6.9 5
2010-09-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1710 1664 36.1% 29.2% 34.7% -6.9 2
2010-09-26 Aves W 1-0 1760 1633 57.6% 24.8% 17.6% +3.8 6
2010-09-26 @ Moreirense L 0-1 1633 1760 17.6% 24.8% 57.6% -3.8 4
2010-09-26 Estoril D 1-1 1648 1627 44.1% 28.5% 27.4% -0.6 4
2010-09-26 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1627 1648 27.4% 28.5% 44.1% +0.6 4
2010-09-26 Fatima W 2-1 1643 1613 45.3% 28.3% 26.4% +5.1 7
2010-09-26 @ Penafiel L 1-2 1613 1643 26.4% 28.3% 45.3% -5.1 3
2010-09-26 Freamunde W 1-0 1572 1587 39.2% 29.0% 31.8% +6.3 6
2010-09-26 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1587 1572 31.8% 29.0% 39.2% -6.3 1
2010-09-26 Santa Clara W 1-0 1678 1688 39.8% 29.0% 31.2% +6.2 5
2010-09-26 @ Feirense L 0-1 1688 1678 31.2% 29.0% 39.8% -6.2 1
2010-09-26 Trofense D 0-0 1555 1645 28.8% 28.7% 42.5% +0.6 1
2010-09-26 @ Varzim D 0-0 1645 1555 42.5% 28.7% 28.8% -0.6 4
2010-10-02 Penafiel W 2-0 1627 1648 38.2% 29.1% 32.6% +12.1 7
2010-10-02 @ Estoril L 0-2 1648 1627 32.6% 29.1% 38.2% -12.1 7
2010-10-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1608 1671 32.3% 29.1% 38.6% +10.6 6
2010-10-03 @ Fatima L 2-4 1671 1608 38.6% 29.1% 32.3% -10.6 5
2010-10-03 Feirense D 0-0 1645 1684 35.6% 29.2% 35.2% -0.0 5
2010-10-03 @ Trofense D 0-0 1684 1645 35.2% 29.2% 35.6% +0.0 6
2010-10-03 Gil Vicente L 1-2 1629 1646 38.8% 29.1% 32.2% -6.9 4
2010-10-03 @ Aves W 2-1 1646 1629 32.2% 29.1% 38.8% +6.9 10
2010-10-03 Moreirense W 3-0 1703 1764 32.5% 29.1% 38.4% +19.8 5
2010-10-03 @ Arouca L 0-3 1764 1703 38.4% 29.1% 32.5% -19.8 6
2010-10-03 Oliveirense D 1-1 1666 1647 43.8% 28.6% 27.6% -0.6 5
2010-10-03 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1647 1666 27.6% 28.6% 43.8% +0.6 5
2010-10-03 Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1681 1579 54.6% 25.9% 19.5% +6.8 4
2010-10-03 @ Santa Clara L 1-3 1579 1681 19.5% 25.9% 54.6% -6.8 6
2010-10-03 Varzim D 0-0 1580 1555 44.6% 28.4% 26.9% -0.7 2
2010-10-03 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1555 1580 26.9% 28.4% 44.6% +0.7 2
2010-10-23 Freamunde D 1-1 1648 1580 50.3% 27.2% 22.5% -1.1 6
2010-10-23 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1580 1648 22.5% 27.2% 50.3% +1.1 3
2010-10-23 Leixoes D 0-0 1660 1666 40.5% 28.9% 30.6% -0.4 6
2010-10-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1666 1660 30.6% 28.9% 40.5% +0.4 6
2010-10-23 Trofense D 1-1 1636 1645 39.9% 29.0% 31.1% -0.3 8
2010-10-23 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1645 1636 31.1% 29.0% 39.9% +0.3 6
2010-10-24 Arouca D 1-1 1653 1723 31.4% 29.0% 39.5% +0.3 11
2010-10-24 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1723 1653 39.5% 29.0% 31.4% -0.3 6
2010-10-24 Aves D 1-1 1556 1622 31.9% 29.0% 39.0% +0.3 3
2010-10-24 @ Varzim D 1-1 1622 1556 39.0% 29.0% 31.9% -0.2 5
2010-10-24 Estoril D 2-2 1618 1639 38.2% 29.1% 32.6% -0.1 7
2010-10-24 @ Fatima D 2-2 1639 1618 32.6% 29.1% 38.2% +0.2 8
2010-10-24 Feirense L 0-3 1572 1684 26.3% 28.3% 45.4% -14.9 6
2010-10-24 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-0 1684 1572 45.4% 28.3% 26.3% +14.9 9
2010-10-24 Santa Clara W 1-0 1744 1688 48.8% 27.6% 23.6% +5.0 9
2010-10-24 @ Moreirense L 0-1 1688 1744 23.6% 27.6% 48.8% -5.0 4
2010-10-28 Penafiel W 2-1 1666 1636 45.4% 28.3% 26.3% +5.1 9
2010-10-28 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1636 1666 26.3% 28.3% 45.4% -5.1 8
2010-10-31 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1683 1660 44.4% 28.5% 27.1% +10.5 7
2010-10-31 @ Santa Clara L 0-2 1660 1683 27.1% 28.5% 44.4% -10.5 6
2010-10-31 Gil Vicente L 0-1 1699 1653 47.4% 27.9% 24.7% -8.5 9
2010-10-31 @ Feirense W 1-0 1653 1699 24.7% 27.9% 47.4% +8.5 14
2010-10-31 Moreirense W 1-0 1581 1749 20.8% 26.5% 52.7% +9.2 6
2010-10-31 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1749 1581 52.7% 26.5% 20.8% -9.2 9
2010-10-31 Oliveirense W 3-2 1645 1647 41.0% 28.9% 30.1% +5.4 9
2010-10-31 @ Trofense L 2-3 1647 1645 30.1% 28.9% 41.0% -5.4 6
2010-10-31 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1722 1557 61.9% 22.9% 15.2% +6.0 9
2010-10-31 @ Arouca L 0-2 1557 1722 15.2% 22.9% 61.9% -6.0 6
2010-10-31 Varzim D 0-0 1639 1556 52.2% 26.7% 21.1% -1.4 9
2010-10-31 @ Estoril D 0-0 1556 1639 21.1% 26.7% 52.2% +1.3 4
2010-11-01 Fatima W 2-0 1622 1618 41.7% 28.8% 29.5% +11.2 8
2010-11-01 @ Aves L 0-2 1618 1622 29.5% 28.8% 41.7% -11.2 7
2010-11-06 Arouca D 2-2 1641 1728 29.2% 28.8% 42.0% +0.3 7
2010-11-06 @ Oliveirense D 2-2 1728 1641 42.0% 28.8% 29.2% -0.4 10
2010-11-06 Aves W 2-0 1638 1633 41.9% 28.8% 29.3% +11.2 12
2010-11-06 @ Estoril L 0-2 1633 1638 29.3% 28.8% 41.9% -11.2 8
2010-11-06 Freamunde W 3-2 1630 1590 46.7% 28.1% 25.2% +4.7 11
2010-11-06 @ Penafiel L 2-3 1590 1630 25.2% 28.1% 46.7% -4.7 6
2010-11-06 Leixoes D 0-0 1740 1671 50.4% 27.2% 22.4% -1.2 10
2010-11-06 @ Moreirense D 0-0 1671 1740 22.4% 27.2% 50.4% +1.2 10
2010-11-07 Feirense L 1-2 1650 1691 35.4% 29.2% 35.5% -6.4 6
2010-11-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1691 1650 35.5% 29.2% 35.4% +6.4 12
2010-11-07 Santa Clara D 0-0 1558 1694 23.8% 27.7% 48.6% +1.1 5
2010-11-07 @ Varzim D 0-0 1694 1558 48.6% 27.7% 23.8% -1.1 8
2010-11-07 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1662 1551 55.6% 25.5% 18.9% -1.4 15
2010-11-07 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1551 1662 18.9% 25.5% 55.6% +1.5 7
2010-11-07 Trofense L 0-2 1607 1651 35.0% 29.2% 35.8% -12.8 7
2010-11-07 @ Fatima W 2-0 1651 1607 35.8% 29.2% 35.0% +12.8 12
2010-11-13 Estoril W 2-1 1663 1649 43.1% 28.6% 28.2% +5.4 15
2010-11-13 @ Trofense L 1-2 1649 1663 28.2% 28.6% 43.1% -5.4 12
2010-11-14 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1585 1643 33.0% 29.1% 37.9% +0.1 7
2010-11-14 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1643 1585 37.9% 29.1% 33.0% -0.1 7
2010-11-14 Fatima W 3-0 1728 1594 58.3% 24.5% 17.2% +10.0 13
2010-11-14 @ Arouca L 0-3 1594 1728 17.2% 24.5% 58.3% -10.0 7
2010-11-14 Gil Vicente W 3-1 1693 1660 45.6% 28.3% 26.1% +8.8 11
2010-11-14 @ Santa Clara L 1-3 1660 1693 26.1% 28.3% 45.6% -8.9 15
2010-11-14 Moreirense W 2-1 1552 1739 19.3% 25.8% 54.9% +9.0 10
2010-11-14 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1739 1552 54.9% 25.8% 19.3% -9.0 10
2010-11-14 Oliveirense L 2-3 1697 1642 48.6% 27.6% 23.7% -7.8 12
2010-11-14 @ Feirense W 3-2 1642 1697 23.7% 27.6% 48.6% +7.8 10
2010-11-14 Penafiel L 0-1 1622 1635 39.3% 29.0% 31.6% -7.4 8
2010-11-14 @ Aves W 1-0 1635 1622 31.6% 29.0% 39.3% +7.4 14
2010-11-14 Varzim L 3-4 1672 1559 56.0% 25.4% 18.6% -8.4 10
2010-11-14 @ Leixoes W 4-3 1559 1672 18.6% 25.4% 56.0% +8.5 8
2010-11-25 Feirense W 2-0 1567 1689 25.2% 28.1% 46.7% +15.8 11
2010-11-25 @ Varzim L 0-2 1689 1567 46.7% 28.1% 25.2% -15.8 12
2010-11-28 Arouca L 0-1 1643 1738 28.2% 28.6% 43.1% -5.8 14
2010-11-28 @ Penafiel W 1-0 1738 1643 43.1% 28.6% 28.2% +5.8 16
2010-11-28 Freamunde D 2-2 1584 1585 41.0% 28.9% 30.1% -0.3 8
2010-11-28 @ Fatima D 2-2 1585 1584 30.1% 28.9% 41.0% +0.3 8
2010-11-28 Gil Vicente D 1-1 1730 1652 51.6% 26.9% 21.5% -1.2 11
2010-11-28 @ Moreirense D 1-1 1652 1730 21.5% 26.9% 51.6% +1.2 16
2010-11-28 Leixoes L 0-1 1644 1664 38.4% 29.1% 32.5% -7.2 12
2010-11-28 @ Estoril W 1-0 1664 1644 32.5% 29.1% 38.4% +7.2 13
2010-11-28 Santa Clara W 2-0 1649 1702 33.8% 29.1% 37.0% +13.3 13
2010-11-28 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1702 1649 37.0% 29.1% 33.8% -13.3 11
2010-11-28 Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1643 1561 52.0% 26.7% 21.3% -14.9 7
2010-11-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1561 1643 21.3% 26.7% 52.0% +14.9 13
2010-11-28 Trofense D 1-1 1615 1669 33.5% 29.1% 37.4% +0.1 9
2010-11-28 @ Aves D 1-1 1669 1615 37.4% 29.1% 33.5% -0.1 16
2010-12-04 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1669 1628 46.7% 28.1% 25.2% -7.9 16
2010-12-04 @ Trofense W 2-1 1628 1669 25.2% 28.1% 46.7% +7.9 10
2010-12-05 Aves W 1-0 1586 1615 37.1% 29.1% 33.8% +6.6 11
2010-12-05 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1615 1586 33.8% 29.1% 37.1% -6.6 9
2010-12-05 Estoril W 1-0 1688 1637 48.2% 27.7% 24.1% +5.0 14
2010-12-05 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1637 1688 24.1% 27.7% 48.2% -5.0 12
2010-12-05 Fatima W 3-0 1671 1584 52.7% 26.5% 20.8% +12.1 16
2010-12-05 @ Leixoes L 0-3 1584 1671 20.8% 26.5% 52.7% -12.1 8
2010-12-05 Moreirense W 2-1 1673 1729 33.4% 29.1% 37.5% +6.7 15
2010-12-05 @ Feirense L 1-2 1729 1673 37.5% 29.1% 33.4% -6.7 11
2010-12-05 Penafiel D 0-0 1576 1637 32.7% 29.1% 38.2% +0.2 14
2010-12-05 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1637 1576 38.2% 29.1% 32.7% -0.2 15
2010-12-05 Varzim D 3-3 1744 1583 61.4% 23.1% 15.5% -1.1 17
2010-12-05 @ Arouca D 3-3 1583 1744 15.5% 23.1% 61.4% +1.1 12
2010-12-11 Fatima D 0-0 1693 1572 56.9% 25.1% 18.1% -1.7 15
2010-12-11 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1572 1693 18.1% 25.1% 56.9% +1.7 9
2010-12-12 Aves L 1-3 1743 1608 58.4% 24.4% 17.2% -16.3 17
2010-12-12 @ Arouca W 3-1 1608 1743 17.2% 24.4% 58.4% +16.3 12
2010-12-12 Oliveirense L 0-1 1653 1663 39.8% 29.0% 31.2% -7.4 16
2010-12-12 @ Gil Vicente W 1-0 1663 1653 31.2% 29.0% 39.8% +7.4 16
2010-12-18 Feirense L 1-2 1574 1680 26.9% 28.4% 44.6% -5.2 9
2010-12-18 @ Fatima W 2-1 1680 1574 44.6% 28.4% 26.9% +5.2 18
2010-12-19 Arouca W 5-2 1632 1726 28.3% 28.7% 43.0% +15.8 15
2010-12-19 @ Estoril L 2-5 1726 1632 43.0% 28.7% 28.3% -15.8 17
2010-12-19 Freamunde D 1-1 1661 1592 50.3% 27.2% 22.4% -1.1 17
2010-12-19 @ Trofense D 1-1 1592 1661 22.4% 27.2% 50.3% +1.1 12
2010-12-19 Gil Vicente W 2-0 1636 1645 39.9% 29.0% 31.1% +11.7 13
2010-12-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1645 1636 31.1% 29.0% 39.9% -11.7 16
2010-12-19 Leixoes D 2-2 1624 1683 32.9% 29.1% 38.0% +0.1 13
2010-12-19 @ Aves D 2-2 1683 1624 38.0% 29.1% 32.9% -0.1 17
2010-12-19 Moreirense D 1-1 1670 1722 33.8% 29.1% 37.0% +0.1 17
2010-12-19 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1722 1670 37.0% 29.1% 33.8% -0.1 12
2010-12-19 Santa Clara D 1-1 1637 1692 33.4% 29.1% 37.5% +0.2 16
2010-12-19 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1692 1637 37.5% 29.1% 33.4% -0.1 16
2010-12-19 Sporting Covilha W 5-2 1584 1577 42.3% 28.8% 29.0% +11.8 15
2010-12-19 @ Varzim L 2-5 1577 1584 29.0% 28.8% 42.3% -11.8 14
2010-12-28 Estoril D 2-2 1593 1647 33.6% 29.1% 37.3% +0.1 13
2010-12-28 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1647 1593 37.3% 29.1% 33.6% -0.1 16
2010-12-29 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1722 1648 51.1% 27.0% 21.9% +4.4 15
2010-12-29 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1648 1722 21.9% 27.0% 51.1% -4.4 13
2010-12-29 Oliveirense L 1-3 1565 1670 27.0% 28.4% 44.5% -9.1 14
2010-12-29 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-1 1670 1565 44.5% 28.4% 27.0% +9.1 20
2010-12-29 Penafiel W 2-1 1685 1637 47.8% 27.8% 24.4% +4.8 21
2010-12-29 @ Feirense L 1-2 1637 1685 24.4% 27.8% 47.8% -4.8 16
2010-12-29 Varzim D 2-2 1634 1596 46.3% 28.1% 25.5% -0.6 17
2010-12-29 @ Gil Vicente D 2-2 1596 1634 25.5% 28.1% 46.3% +0.6 16
2010-12-30 Trofense L 1-2 1683 1660 44.4% 28.5% 27.1% -7.6 17
2010-12-30 @ Leixoes W 2-1 1660 1683 27.1% 28.5% 44.4% +7.6 20
2011-01-06 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1632 1633 41.0% 28.9% 30.1% -0.3 17
2011-01-06 @ Penafiel D 2-2 1633 1632 30.1% 28.9% 41.0% +0.3 18
2011-01-08 Feirense L 0-1 1647 1690 35.1% 29.2% 35.7% -6.8 16
2011-01-08 @ Estoril W 1-0 1690 1647 35.7% 29.2% 35.1% +6.8 24
2011-01-08 Oliveirense D 3-3 1643 1679 36.1% 29.2% 34.8% -0.0 14
2011-01-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 3-3 1679 1643 34.8% 29.2% 36.1% +0.0 21
2011-01-09 Arouca L 0-1 1667 1711 35.0% 29.2% 35.8% -6.8 20
2011-01-09 @ Trofense W 1-0 1711 1667 35.8% 29.2% 35.0% +6.8 20
2011-01-09 Leixoes D 3-3 1593 1676 29.8% 28.9% 41.3% +0.3 14
2011-01-09 @ Freamunde D 3-3 1676 1593 41.3% 28.9% 29.8% -0.3 18
2011-01-09 Moreirense D 1-1 1597 1726 24.4% 27.8% 47.8% +0.9 17
2011-01-09 @ Varzim D 1-1 1726 1597 47.8% 27.8% 24.4% -0.9 16
2011-01-09 Santa Clara W 2-1 1625 1691 31.8% 29.0% 39.1% +6.9 16
2011-01-09 @ Aves L 1-2 1691 1625 39.1% 29.0% 31.8% -6.9 16
2011-01-09 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1568 1556 42.9% 28.7% 28.4% -0.5 10
2011-01-09 @ Fatima D 1-1 1556 1568 28.4% 28.7% 42.9% +0.5 15
2011-01-15 Aves L 0-3 1697 1632 50.0% 27.3% 22.7% -24.2 24
2011-01-15 @ Feirense W 3-0 1632 1697 22.7% 27.3% 50.0% +24.2 19
2011-01-15 Estoril W 2-1 1633 1640 40.2% 29.0% 30.8% +5.8 21
2011-01-15 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1640 1633 30.8% 29.0% 40.2% -5.8 16
2011-01-15 Trofense L 0-2 1556 1661 27.2% 28.5% 44.4% -10.5 15
2011-01-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1661 1556 44.4% 28.5% 27.2% +10.5 23
2011-01-16 Fatima W 2-1 1725 1568 61.1% 23.3% 15.6% +3.1 19
2011-01-16 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1568 1725 15.6% 23.3% 61.1% -3.1 10
2011-01-16 Freamunde D 1-1 1685 1594 53.2% 26.4% 20.5% -1.3 17
2011-01-16 @ Santa Clara D 1-1 1594 1685 20.5% 26.4% 53.2% +1.3 15
2011-01-16 Leixoes W 1-0 1717 1675 46.9% 28.0% 25.1% +5.2 23
2011-01-16 @ Arouca L 0-1 1675 1717 25.1% 28.0% 46.9% -5.2 18
2011-01-16 Penafiel W 2-0 1679 1632 47.7% 27.9% 24.5% +9.7 24
2011-01-16 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1632 1679 24.5% 27.9% 47.7% -9.7 17
2011-01-16 Varzim W 4-2 1643 1597 47.4% 27.9% 24.7% +7.5 17
2011-01-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-4 1597 1643 24.7% 27.9% 47.4% -7.5 17
2011-01-21 Feirense W 2-1 1670 1673 40.8% 28.9% 30.2% +5.7 21
2011-01-21 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1673 1670 30.2% 28.9% 40.8% -5.7 24
2011-01-22 Arouca D 2-2 1595 1723 24.6% 27.9% 47.5% +0.6 16
2011-01-22 @ Freamunde D 2-2 1723 1595 47.5% 27.9% 24.6% -0.6 24
2011-01-22 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1635 1651 38.9% 29.1% 32.0% -0.2 17
2011-01-22 @ Estoril D 1-1 1651 1635 32.0% 29.1% 38.9% +0.2 18
2011-01-22 Gil Vicente L 1-3 1565 1639 30.8% 29.0% 40.2% -10.1 10
2011-01-22 @ Fatima W 3-1 1639 1565 40.2% 29.0% 30.8% +10.1 24
2011-01-22 Oliveirense D 1-1 1590 1689 27.8% 28.6% 43.6% +0.6 18
2011-01-22 @ Varzim D 1-1 1689 1590 43.6% 28.6% 27.8% -0.6 25
2011-01-22 Santa Clara W 3-2 1671 1683 39.5% 29.0% 31.5% +5.6 26
2011-01-22 @ Trofense L 2-3 1683 1671 31.5% 29.0% 39.5% -5.6 17
2011-01-24 Moreirense D 1-1 1622 1729 26.9% 28.4% 44.7% +0.7 18
2011-01-24 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1729 1622 44.7% 28.4% 26.9% -0.7 20
2011-01-24 Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1656 1546 55.5% 25.6% 18.9% +7.6 22
2011-01-24 @ Aves L 0-2 1546 1656 18.9% 25.6% 55.5% -7.6 15
2011-02-03 Feirense W 2-1 1596 1667 31.2% 29.0% 39.8% +7.0 19
2011-02-03 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1667 1596 39.8% 29.0% 31.2% -7.0 24
2011-02-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1663 1651 42.9% 28.7% 28.4% +10.9 25
2011-02-06 @ Aves L 0-2 1651 1663 28.4% 28.7% 42.9% -10.9 18
2011-02-06 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1677 1649 45.0% 28.4% 26.7% -0.5 27
2011-02-06 @ Trofense D 2-2 1649 1677 26.7% 28.4% 45.0% +0.5 25
2011-02-06 Moreirense W 2-0 1634 1728 28.4% 28.7% 42.9% +14.8 20
2011-02-06 @ Estoril L 0-2 1728 1634 42.9% 28.7% 28.4% -14.8 20
2011-02-06 Oliveirense L 1-2 1555 1688 24.0% 27.7% 48.3% -4.8 10
2011-02-06 @ Fatima W 2-1 1688 1555 48.3% 27.7% 24.0% +4.8 28
2011-02-06 Santa Clara W 1-0 1722 1678 47.2% 28.0% 24.8% +5.2 27
2011-02-06 @ Arouca L 0-1 1678 1722 24.8% 28.0% 47.2% -5.2 17
2011-02-06 Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1676 1538 58.8% 24.3% 16.9% -10.1 21
2011-02-06 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1538 1676 16.9% 24.3% 58.8% +10.0 18
2011-02-06 Varzim W 2-0 1623 1590 45.6% 28.3% 26.1% +10.2 21
2011-02-06 @ Penafiel L 0-2 1590 1623 26.1% 28.3% 45.6% -10.2 18
2011-02-12 Trofense L 2-4 1713 1676 46.2% 28.1% 25.6% -12.2 20
2011-02-12 @ Moreirense W 4-2 1676 1713 25.6% 28.1% 46.2% +12.2 30
2011-02-13 Arouca W 2-1 1660 1727 31.8% 29.0% 39.2% +6.9 27
2011-02-13 @ Feirense L 1-2 1727 1660 39.2% 29.0% 31.8% -6.9 27
2011-02-13 Aves W 1-0 1693 1674 43.8% 28.6% 27.6% +5.7 31
2011-02-13 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1674 1693 27.6% 28.6% 43.8% -5.7 25
2011-02-13 Estoril L 0-1 1548 1649 27.6% 28.5% 43.9% -5.6 18
2011-02-13 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1649 1548 43.9% 28.5% 27.6% +5.6 23
2011-02-13 Fatima L 0-4 1580 1550 45.4% 28.3% 26.3% -29.4 18
2011-02-13 @ Varzim W 4-0 1550 1580 26.3% 28.3% 45.4% +29.4 13
2011-02-13 Freamunde D 1-1 1650 1603 47.6% 27.9% 24.6% -0.9 26
2011-02-13 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1603 1650 24.6% 27.9% 47.6% +0.9 20
2011-02-13 Leixoes W 2-1 1672 1666 42.1% 28.8% 29.1% +5.6 20
2011-02-13 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1666 1672 29.1% 28.8% 42.1% -5.6 21
2011-02-13 Penafiel W 2-0 1640 1633 42.2% 28.8% 29.0% +11.1 21
2011-02-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1633 1640 29.0% 28.8% 42.2% -11.1 21
2011-02-19 Oliveirense W 2-0 1655 1699 34.9% 29.2% 35.9% +13.0 26
2011-02-19 @ Estoril L 0-2 1699 1655 35.9% 29.2% 34.9% -13.0 31
2011-02-20 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1720 1651 50.4% 27.2% 22.4% -1.1 28
2011-02-20 @ Arouca D 1-1 1651 1720 22.4% 27.2% 50.4% +1.1 22
2011-02-20 Feirense W 2-1 1678 1667 42.7% 28.7% 28.5% +5.5 23
2011-02-20 @ Santa Clara L 1-2 1667 1678 28.5% 28.7% 42.7% -5.5 27
2011-02-20 Gil Vicente W 2-0 1660 1649 42.8% 28.7% 28.5% +11.0 24
2011-02-20 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1649 1660 28.5% 28.7% 42.8% -11.0 26
2011-02-20 Moreirense D 2-2 1669 1701 36.6% 29.1% 34.2% -0.1 26
2011-02-20 @ Aves D 2-2 1701 1669 34.2% 29.1% 36.6% +0.1 21
2011-02-20 Penafiel W 1-0 1579 1622 35.2% 29.2% 35.7% +6.9 16
2011-02-20 @ Fatima L 0-1 1622 1579 35.7% 29.2% 35.2% -6.9 21
2011-02-20 Sporting Covilha W 5-1 1604 1542 49.4% 27.5% 23.2% +14.6 23
2011-02-20 @ Freamunde L 1-5 1542 1604 23.2% 27.5% 49.4% -14.6 18
2011-02-20 Varzim W 2-1 1688 1551 58.8% 24.3% 17.0% +3.4 33
2011-02-20 @ Trofense L 1-2 1551 1688 17.0% 24.3% 58.8% -3.4 18
2011-02-26 Trofense W 1-0 1661 1692 36.9% 29.1% 34.0% +6.6 30
2011-02-26 @ Feirense L 0-1 1692 1661 34.0% 29.1% 36.9% -6.6 33
2011-02-27 Arouca W 3-2 1701 1719 38.6% 29.1% 32.3% +5.7 24
2011-02-27 @ Moreirense L 2-3 1719 1701 32.3% 29.1% 38.6% -5.7 28
2011-02-27 Aves W 4-2 1638 1669 36.9% 29.1% 34.0% +9.7 29
2011-02-27 @ Gil Vicente L 2-4 1669 1638 34.0% 29.1% 36.9% -9.7 26
2011-02-27 Estoril D 0-0 1615 1668 33.7% 29.1% 37.2% +0.1 22
2011-02-27 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1668 1615 37.2% 29.1% 33.7% -0.1 27
2011-02-27 Fatima D 1-1 1652 1586 50.1% 27.3% 22.7% -1.0 23
2011-02-27 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1586 1652 22.7% 27.3% 50.1% +1.1 17
2011-02-27 Freamunde L 0-2 1547 1618 31.3% 29.0% 39.7% -11.8 18
2011-02-27 @ Varzim W 2-0 1618 1547 39.7% 29.0% 31.3% +11.8 26
2011-02-27 Leixoes W 1-0 1686 1671 43.2% 28.6% 28.1% +5.7 34
2011-02-27 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1671 1686 28.1% 28.6% 43.2% -5.8 24
2011-02-27 Santa Clara L 0-1 1528 1684 21.9% 27.0% 51.1% -4.7 18
2011-02-27 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1684 1528 51.1% 27.0% 21.9% +4.7 26
2011-03-05 Fatima W 2-0 1668 1587 51.9% 26.8% 21.3% +8.5 30
2011-03-05 @ Estoril L 0-2 1587 1668 21.3% 26.8% 51.9% -8.6 17
2011-03-05 Oliveirense D 0-0 1630 1692 32.5% 29.1% 38.4% +0.2 27
2011-03-05 @ Freamunde D 0-0 1692 1630 38.4% 29.1% 32.5% -0.2 35
2011-03-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1665 1651 43.1% 28.6% 28.2% +5.8 27
2011-03-06 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1651 1665 28.2% 28.6% 43.1% -5.8 23
2011-03-06 Gil Vicente D 2-2 1713 1648 50.0% 27.3% 22.7% -0.8 29
2011-03-06 @ Arouca D 2-2 1648 1713 22.7% 27.3% 50.0% +0.8 30
2011-03-06 Moreirense W 1-0 1688 1707 38.6% 29.1% 32.3% +6.4 29
2011-03-06 @ Santa Clara L 0-1 1707 1688 32.3% 29.1% 38.6% -6.4 24
2011-03-06 Penafiel W 1-0 1685 1615 50.6% 27.1% 22.3% +4.7 36
2011-03-06 @ Trofense L 0-1 1615 1685 22.3% 27.1% 50.6% -4.7 22
2011-03-06 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1668 1523 59.6% 23.9% 16.5% +3.3 33
2011-03-06 @ Feirense L 1-2 1523 1668 16.5% 23.9% 59.6% -3.3 18
2011-03-06 Varzim D 1-1 1659 1536 57.1% 25.0% 17.9% -1.6 27
2011-03-06 @ Aves D 1-1 1536 1659 17.9% 25.0% 57.1% +1.5 19
2011-03-12 Feirense W 3-2 1648 1671 38.0% 29.1% 32.9% +5.8 33
2011-03-12 @ Gil Vicente L 2-3 1671 1648 32.9% 29.1% 38.0% -5.8 33
2011-03-13 Arouca L 2-3 1520 1713 18.8% 25.5% 55.7% -3.6 18
2011-03-13 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1713 1520 55.7% 25.5% 18.8% +3.6 32
2011-03-13 Aves D 0-0 1579 1657 30.3% 28.9% 40.8% +0.4 18
2011-03-13 @ Fatima D 0-0 1657 1579 40.8% 28.9% 30.3% -0.4 28
2011-03-13 Estoril D 2-2 1537 1676 23.5% 27.6% 48.9% +0.7 20
2011-03-13 @ Varzim D 2-2 1676 1537 48.9% 27.6% 23.5% -0.7 31
2011-03-13 Freamunde W 2-1 1700 1630 50.6% 27.1% 22.3% +4.4 27
2011-03-13 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1630 1700 22.3% 27.1% 50.6% -4.4 27
2011-03-13 Leixoes L 1-4 1610 1671 32.6% 29.1% 38.3% -14.9 22
2011-03-13 @ Penafiel W 4-1 1671 1610 38.3% 29.1% 32.6% +14.9 30
2011-03-13 Santa Clara D 0-0 1646 1695 34.2% 29.1% 36.6% +0.1 24
2011-03-13 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1695 1646 36.6% 29.1% 34.2% -0.1 30
2011-03-13 Trofense W 1-0 1691 1690 41.4% 28.9% 29.7% +6.0 38
2011-03-13 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1690 1691 29.7% 28.9% 41.4% -6.0 36
2011-03-19 Estoril W 2-1 1657 1676 38.6% 29.1% 32.3% +6.0 31
2011-03-19 @ Aves L 1-2 1676 1657 32.3% 29.1% 38.6% -6.0 31
2011-03-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1666 1646 43.9% 28.5% 27.5% +5.7 36
2011-03-20 @ Feirense L 0-1 1646 1666 27.5% 28.5% 43.9% -5.6 24
2011-03-20 Fatima D 1-1 1684 1579 54.9% 25.8% 19.3% -1.4 37
2011-03-20 @ Trofense D 1-1 1579 1684 19.3% 25.8% 54.9% +1.4 19
2011-03-20 Gil Vicente W 2-1 1516 1654 23.6% 27.6% 48.8% +8.2 21
2011-03-20 @ Sporting Covilha L 1-2 1654 1516 48.8% 27.6% 23.6% -8.2 33
2011-03-20 Moreirense D 0-0 1686 1705 38.6% 29.1% 32.4% -0.2 31
2011-03-20 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1705 1686 32.4% 29.1% 38.6% +0.2 28
2011-03-20 Oliveirense D 0-0 1716 1697 43.8% 28.6% 27.7% -0.7 33
2011-03-20 @ Arouca D 0-0 1697 1716 27.7% 28.6% 43.8% +0.7 39
2011-03-20 Penafiel L 1-4 1626 1595 45.4% 28.3% 26.3% -19.0 27
2011-03-20 @ Freamunde W 4-1 1595 1626 26.3% 28.3% 45.4% +18.9 25
2011-03-20 Varzim D 0-0 1694 1538 60.9% 23.4% 15.7% -2.0 31
2011-03-20 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1538 1694 15.7% 23.4% 60.9% +2.0 21
2011-03-31 Trofense D 2-2 1670 1682 39.4% 29.0% 31.6% -0.2 32
2011-03-31 @ Estoril D 2-2 1682 1670 31.6% 29.0% 39.4% +0.2 38
2011-04-03 Arouca W 1-0 1580 1716 23.9% 27.7% 48.5% +8.6 22
2011-04-03 @ Fatima L 0-1 1716 1580 48.5% 27.7% 23.9% -8.6 33
2011-04-03 Aves D 0-0 1614 1663 34.3% 29.1% 36.5% +0.1 26
2011-04-03 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1663 1614 36.5% 29.1% 34.3% -0.1 32
2011-04-03 Feirense L 0-1 1698 1671 44.9% 28.4% 26.7% -8.1 39
2011-04-03 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1671 1698 26.7% 28.4% 44.9% +8.1 39
2011-04-03 Freamunde W 3-0 1640 1607 45.8% 28.2% 26.0% +14.8 27
2011-04-03 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1607 1640 26.0% 28.2% 45.8% -14.8 27
2011-04-03 Leixoes D 1-1 1540 1686 22.8% 27.3% 49.8% +1.0 22
2011-04-03 @ Varzim D 1-1 1686 1540 49.8% 27.3% 22.8% -1.0 32
2011-04-03 Santa Clara W 3-0 1646 1692 34.6% 29.2% 36.2% +19.0 36
2011-04-03 @ Gil Vicente L 0-3 1692 1646 36.2% 29.2% 34.6% -19.0 31
2011-04-03 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1705 1525 63.6% 22.1% 14.3% -2.0 29
2011-04-03 @ Moreirense D 1-1 1525 1705 14.3% 22.1% 63.6% +2.0 22
2011-04-09 Estoril D 1-1 1685 1669 43.3% 28.6% 28.0% -0.6 33
2011-04-09 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1669 1685 28.0% 28.6% 43.3% +0.6 33
2011-04-10 Aves W 2-0 1683 1663 43.9% 28.5% 27.5% +10.6 41
2011-04-10 @ Trofense L 0-2 1663 1683 27.5% 28.5% 43.9% -10.6 32
2011-04-10 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1527 1655 24.6% 27.9% 47.5% +16.0 25
2011-04-10 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1655 1527 47.5% 27.9% 24.6% -16.0 27
2011-04-10 Fatima W 2-1 1592 1589 41.6% 28.8% 29.6% +5.6 30
2011-04-10 @ Freamunde L 1-2 1589 1592 29.6% 28.8% 41.6% -5.6 22
2011-04-10 Moreirense W 2-1 1665 1703 35.8% 29.2% 35.0% +6.4 39
2011-04-10 @ Gil Vicente L 1-2 1703 1665 35.0% 29.2% 35.8% -6.4 29
2011-04-10 Oliveirense L 1-2 1673 1690 38.9% 29.1% 32.1% -6.9 31
2011-04-10 @ Santa Clara W 2-1 1690 1673 32.1% 29.1% 38.9% +6.9 42
2011-04-10 Penafiel W 6-3 1707 1614 53.4% 26.3% 20.3% +8.0 36
2011-04-10 @ Arouca L 3-6 1614 1707 20.3% 26.3% 53.4% -8.0 26
2011-04-10 Varzim W 2-1 1679 1541 58.8% 24.3% 16.9% +3.4 42
2011-04-10 @ Feirense L 1-2 1541 1679 16.9% 24.3% 58.8% -3.4 22
2011-04-16 Trofense L 0-1 1639 1693 33.5% 29.1% 37.4% -6.5 27
2011-04-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1693 1639 37.4% 29.1% 33.5% +6.6 44
2011-04-17 Arouca W 1-0 1538 1715 20.1% 26.2% 53.8% +9.4 25
2011-04-17 @ Varzim L 0-1 1715 1538 53.8% 26.2% 20.1% -9.4 36
2011-04-17 Feirense L 2-5 1697 1683 43.1% 28.6% 28.2% -15.8 29
2011-04-17 @ Moreirense W 5-2 1683 1697 28.2% 28.6% 43.1% +15.8 45
2011-04-17 Freamunde W 2-1 1652 1598 48.6% 27.7% 23.8% +4.7 35
2011-04-17 @ Aves L 1-2 1598 1652 23.8% 27.7% 48.6% -4.7 30
2011-04-17 Gil Vicente L 2-4 1697 1671 44.7% 28.4% 26.9% -11.8 42
2011-04-17 @ Oliveirense W 4-2 1671 1697 26.9% 28.4% 44.7% +11.9 42
2011-04-17 Leixoes L 0-2 1583 1684 27.6% 28.5% 43.9% -10.7 22
2011-04-17 @ Fatima W 2-0 1684 1583 43.9% 28.5% 27.6% +10.7 36
2011-04-17 Santa Clara L 0-2 1670 1667 41.7% 28.8% 29.5% -14.5 33
2011-04-17 @ Estoril W 2-0 1667 1670 29.5% 28.8% 41.7% +14.5 34
2011-04-17 Sporting Covilha D 1-1 1606 1543 49.8% 27.4% 22.9% -1.0 27
2011-04-17 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1543 1606 22.9% 27.4% 49.8% +1.0 26
2011-04-30 Oliveirense W 2-0 1681 1685 40.6% 28.9% 30.4% +11.5 32
2011-04-30 @ Moreirense L 0-2 1685 1681 30.4% 28.9% 40.6% -11.5 42
2011-05-01 Aves D 0-0 1695 1657 46.4% 28.1% 25.5% -0.9 37
2011-05-01 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1657 1695 25.5% 28.1% 46.4% +0.9 36
2011-05-01 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1683 1632 48.1% 27.8% 24.1% -0.9 43
2011-05-01 @ Gil Vicente D 1-1 1632 1683 24.1% 27.8% 48.1% +0.9 28
2011-05-01 Estoril D 0-0 1706 1655 48.0% 27.8% 24.2% -1.0 37
2011-05-01 @ Arouca D 0-0 1655 1706 24.2% 27.8% 48.0% +1.0 34
2011-05-01 Fatima W 2-1 1698 1573 57.4% 24.9% 17.8% +3.6 48
2011-05-01 @ Feirense L 1-2 1573 1698 17.8% 24.9% 57.4% -3.6 22
2011-05-01 Penafiel L 0-3 1681 1605 51.3% 27.0% 21.8% -24.7 34
2011-05-01 @ Santa Clara W 3-0 1605 1681 21.8% 27.0% 51.3% +24.7 30
2011-05-01 Trofense W 1-0 1593 1700 26.9% 28.4% 44.7% +8.1 33
2011-05-01 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1700 1593 44.7% 28.4% 26.9% -8.1 44
2011-05-01 Varzim L 1-2 1544 1547 40.7% 28.9% 30.4% -7.1 26
2011-05-01 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1547 1544 30.4% 28.9% 40.7% +7.1 28
2011-05-07 Gil Vicente L 1-3 1554 1682 24.6% 27.9% 47.5% -8.4 28
2011-05-07 @ Varzim W 3-1 1682 1554 47.5% 27.9% 24.6% +8.4 46
2011-05-08 Arouca W 3-2 1658 1705 34.6% 29.2% 36.3% +6.2 39
2011-05-08 @ Aves L 2-3 1705 1658 36.3% 29.2% 34.6% -6.2 37
2011-05-08 Feirense W 1-0 1630 1702 31.1% 29.0% 39.9% +7.4 33
2011-05-08 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1702 1630 39.9% 29.0% 31.1% -7.4 48
2011-05-08 Freamunde D 1-1 1656 1601 48.7% 27.6% 23.7% -0.9 35
2011-05-08 @ Estoril D 1-1 1601 1656 23.7% 27.6% 48.7% +1.0 34
2011-05-08 Leixoes D 0-0 1692 1694 40.9% 28.9% 30.2% -0.4 45
2011-05-08 @ Trofense D 0-0 1694 1692 30.2% 28.9% 40.9% +0.4 38
2011-05-08 Moreirense D 1-1 1633 1692 32.8% 29.1% 38.1% +0.2 29
2011-05-08 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1692 1633 38.1% 29.1% 32.8% -0.2 33
2011-05-08 Santa Clara L 1-2 1569 1656 29.2% 28.8% 42.0% -5.6 22
2011-05-08 @ Fatima W 2-1 1656 1569 42.0% 28.8% 29.2% +5.6 37
2011-05-08 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1673 1536 58.7% 24.3% 17.0% +3.6 45
2011-05-08 @ Oliveirense L 0-1 1536 1673 17.0% 24.3% 58.7% -3.6 26
2011-05-12 Penafiel W 4-1 1691 1638 48.4% 27.7% 23.9% +11.6 49
2011-05-12 @ Gil Vicente L 1-4 1638 1691 23.9% 27.7% 48.4% -11.6 33
2011-05-15 Aves D 0-0 1662 1664 40.9% 28.9% 30.2% -0.4 38
2011-05-15 @ Santa Clara D 0-0 1664 1662 30.2% 28.9% 40.9% +0.4 40
2011-05-15 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1677 1633 47.2% 28.0% 24.9% -8.5 45
2011-05-15 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1633 1677 24.9% 28.0% 47.2% +8.5 32
2011-05-15 Estoril W 1-0 1695 1655 46.5% 28.1% 25.4% +5.3 51
2011-05-15 @ Feirense L 0-1 1655 1695 25.4% 28.1% 46.5% -5.3 35
2011-05-15 Fatima W 3-0 1533 1564 36.9% 29.1% 34.0% +18.2 29
2011-05-15 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-3 1564 1533 34.0% 29.1% 36.9% -18.2 22
2011-05-15 Freamunde W 3-1 1694 1602 53.4% 26.3% 20.3% +7.1 41
2011-05-15 @ Leixoes L 1-3 1602 1694 20.3% 26.3% 53.4% -7.1 34
2011-05-15 Trofense L 1-3 1698 1691 42.2% 28.8% 29.0% -12.7 37
2011-05-15 @ Arouca W 3-1 1691 1698 29.0% 28.8% 42.2% +12.7 48
2011-05-15 Varzim W 3-2 1692 1546 59.8% 23.9% 16.4% +3.1 36
2011-05-15 @ Moreirense L 2-3 1546 1692 16.4% 23.9% 59.8% -3.1 28
2011-05-21 Arouca L 0-2 1701 1686 43.4% 28.6% 28.0% -15.0 41
2011-05-21 @ Leixoes W 2-0 1686 1701 28.0% 28.6% 43.4% +14.9 40
2011-05-21 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1543 1642 27.8% 28.6% 43.6% -5.4 28
2011-05-21 @ Varzim W 2-1 1642 1543 43.6% 28.6% 27.8% +5.4 35
2011-05-21 Feirense L 0-2 1664 1700 36.2% 29.2% 34.7% -13.1 40
2011-05-21 @ Aves W 2-0 1700 1664 34.7% 29.2% 36.2% +13.1 54
2011-05-21 Gil Vicente L 1-3 1650 1702 33.8% 29.1% 37.1% -10.8 35
2011-05-21 @ Estoril W 3-1 1702 1650 37.1% 29.1% 33.8% +10.8 52
2011-05-21 Moreirense D 2-2 1545 1695 22.4% 27.2% 50.4% +0.8 23
2011-05-21 @ Fatima D 2-2 1695 1545 50.4% 27.2% 22.4% -0.8 37
2011-05-21 Oliveirense W 3-2 1626 1669 35.1% 29.2% 35.7% +6.1 36
2011-05-21 @ Penafiel L 2-3 1669 1626 35.7% 29.2% 35.1% -6.1 45
2011-05-21 Santa Clara W 1-0 1595 1661 31.8% 29.0% 39.1% +7.3 37
2011-05-21 @ Freamunde L 0-1 1661 1595 39.1% 29.0% 31.8% -7.3 38
2011-05-21 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1704 1551 60.5% 23.5% 15.9% +3.2 51
2011-05-21 @ Trofense L 1-2 1551 1704 15.9% 23.5% 60.5% -3.2 29
2011-05-29 Aves W 1-0 1548 1651 27.3% 28.5% 44.2% +8.1 32
2011-05-29 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1651 1548 44.2% 28.5% 27.3% -8.0 40
2011-05-29 Estoril L 0-1 1647 1639 42.3% 28.8% 29.0% -7.8 35
2011-05-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1639 1647 29.0% 28.8% 42.3% +7.8 38
2011-05-29 Fatima W 3-1 1713 1546 62.1% 22.8% 15.1% +5.2 55
2011-05-29 @ Gil Vicente L 1-3 1546 1713 15.1% 22.8% 62.1% -5.2 23
2011-05-29 Freamunde W 1-0 1701 1602 54.1% 26.1% 19.8% +4.2 43
2011-05-29 @ Arouca L 0-1 1602 1701 19.8% 26.1% 54.1% -4.2 37
2011-05-29 Leixoes D 0-0 1713 1686 44.8% 28.4% 26.8% -0.8 55
2011-05-29 @ Feirense D 0-0 1686 1713 26.8% 28.4% 44.8% +0.8 42
2011-05-29 Penafiel W 2-1 1694 1632 49.6% 27.4% 23.0% +4.6 40
2011-05-29 @ Moreirense L 1-2 1632 1694 23.0% 27.4% 49.6% -4.6 36
2011-05-29 Trofense L 0-1 1654 1707 33.7% 29.1% 37.2% -6.6 38
2011-05-29 @ Santa Clara W 1-0 1707 1654 37.2% 29.1% 33.7% +6.6 54
2011-05-29 Varzim L 0-1 1662 1537 57.3% 24.9% 17.8% -9.9 45
2011-05-29 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1537 1662 17.8% 24.9% 57.3% +9.9 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-02-06 16.93% Sporting Covilha 1538 1 @ Leixoes 1676 0
2 2010-12-12 17.15% Aves 1608 3 @ Arouca 1743 1
3 2011-05-29 17.80% Varzim 1537 1 @ Oliveirense 1662 0
4 2010-11-14 18.65% Varzim 1559 4 @ Leixoes 1672 3
5 2010-11-14 19.30% @ Sporting Covilha 1552 2 Moreirense 1739 1
6 2011-04-17 20.05% @ Varzim 1538 1 Arouca 1715 0
7 2010-10-31 20.77% @ Freamunde 1581 1 Moreirense 1749 0
8 2010-11-28 21.26% Sporting Covilha 1561 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1643 1
9 2011-05-01 21.78% Penafiel 1605 3 @ Santa Clara 1681 0
10 2011-01-15 22.73% Aves 1632 3 @ Feirense 1697 0
11 2011-03-20 23.61% @ Sporting Covilha 1516 2 Gil Vicente 1654 1
12 2010-11-14 23.72% Oliveirense 1642 3 @ Feirense 1697 2
13 2011-04-03 23.87% @ Fatima 1580 1 Arouca 1716 0
14 2010-09-12 24.17% @ Trofense 1637 1 Moreirense 1769 0
15 2011-04-10 24.58% @ Sporting Covilha 1527 2 Os Belenenses (1st) 1655 0
16 2010-10-31 24.70% Gil Vicente 1653 1 @ Feirense 1699 0
17 2011-05-15 24.88% Os Belenenses (1st) 1633 1 @ Oliveirense 1677 0
18 2010-12-04 25.22% Os Belenenses (1st) 1628 2 @ Trofense 1669 1
19 2010-11-25 25.23% @ Varzim 1567 2 Feirense 1689 0
20 2011-02-12 25.62% Trofense 1676 4 @ Moreirense 1713 2
21 2011-02-13 26.32% Fatima 1550 4 @ Varzim 1580 0
22 2011-03-20 26.34% Penafiel 1595 4 @ Freamunde 1626 1
23 2011-04-03 26.72% Feirense 1671 1 @ Oliveirense 1698 0
24 2011-05-01 26.87% @ Freamunde 1593 1 Trofense 1700 0
25 2011-04-17 26.88% Gil Vicente 1671 4 @ Oliveirense 1697 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-02-13 29.36 Fatima 4 1550 26.32% @ Varzim 0 1580 45.37% 28.31%
2 2011-05-01 24.74 Penafiel 3 1605 21.78% @ Santa Clara 0 1681 51.27% 26.95%
3 2011-01-15 24.24 Aves 3 1632 22.73% @ Feirense 0 1697 49.96% 27.30%
4 2010-10-03 19.81 @ Arouca 3 1703 32.54% Moreirense 0 1764 38.37% 29.09%
5 2010-09-12 19.41 @ Aves 3 1613 33.56% Oliveirense 0 1667 37.31% 29.13%
6 2011-04-03 19.01 @ Gil Vicente 3 1646 34.60% Santa Clara 0 1692 36.24% 29.16%
7 2011-03-20 18.95 Penafiel 4 1595 26.34% @ Freamunde 1 1626 45.35% 28.31%
8 2011-05-15 18.16 @ Sporting Covilha 3 1533 36.86% Fatima 0 1564 33.99% 29.14%
9 2010-12-12 16.34 Aves 3 1608 17.15% @ Arouca 1 1743 58.41% 24.44%
10 2011-04-10 16.05 @ Sporting Covilha 2 1527 24.58% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1655 47.54% 27.88%
11 2010-11-25 15.83 @ Varzim 2 1567 25.23% Feirense 0 1689 46.72% 28.05%
12 2011-04-17 15.79 Feirense 5 1683 28.22% @ Moreirense 2 1697 43.13% 28.65%
13 2010-12-19 15.76 @ Estoril 5 1632 28.29% Arouca 2 1726 43.04% 28.66%
14 2011-05-21 14.95 Arouca 2 1686 28.00% @ Leixoes 0 1701 43.38% 28.62%
15 2010-11-28 14.92 Sporting Covilha 3 1561 21.26% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1 1643 52.02% 26.73%
16 2010-10-24 14.90 Feirense 3 1684 45.41% @ Sporting Covilha 0 1572 26.29% 28.30%
17 2011-03-13 14.86 Leixoes 4 1671 38.31% @ Penafiel 1 1610 32.60% 29.09%
18 2011-02-06 14.82 @ Estoril 2 1634 28.44% Moreirense 0 1728 42.87% 28.69%
19 2011-04-03 14.78 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 3 1640 45.75% Freamunde 0 1607 26.02% 28.24%
20 2011-02-20 14.56 @ Freamunde 5 1604 49.41% Sporting Covilha 1 1542 23.15% 27.45%
21 2011-04-17 14.50 Santa Clara 2 1667 29.51% @ Estoril 0 1670 41.66% 28.83%
22 2010-11-28 13.29 @ Oliveirense 2 1649 33.81% Santa Clara 0 1702 37.05% 29.14%
23 2011-05-21 13.07 Feirense 2 1700 34.67% @ Aves 0 1664 36.18% 29.16%
24 2011-02-19 13.00 @ Estoril 2 1655 34.94% Oliveirense 0 1699 35.90% 29.16%
25 2010-11-07 12.77 Trofense 2 1651 35.84% @ Fatima 0 1607 35.00% 29.16%