2011-12 Liga Portugal 2 Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Estoril

9.97 points above expected

57 points · 47.03 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Arouca

10.92 points below expected

34 points · 44.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Estoril	30	16	9	5	57	40	20	+20	47.0	+9.97
2	Moreirense	30	15	7	8	52	47	32	+15	46.2	+5.83
3	Aves	30	12	14	4	50	38	23	+15	44.4	+5.59
4	Naval 1 de Maio	30	12	10	8	46	40	33	+7	46.9	-0.90
5	Os Belenenses (1st)	30	10	11	9	41	34	32	+2	39.8	+1.24
6	Leixoes	30	11	7	12	40	32	34	-2	39.8	+0.18
7	Oliveirense	30	10	9	11	39	39	38	+1	40.3	-1.32
8	Trofense	30	11	6	13	39	36	45	-9	41.2	-2.24
9	Penafiel	30	10	8	12	38	33	36	-3	38.9	-0.94
10	Uniao da Madeira	30	9	10	11	37	35	40	-5	41.9	-4.86
11	Atletico Clube de Portugal	30	9	10	11	37	27	36	-9	41.5	-4.46
12	Arouca	30	7	13	10	34	32	36	-4	44.9	-10.92
13	Freamunde	30	7	13	10	34	35	40	-5	35.7	-1.68
14	Santa Clara	30	8	10	12	34	29	38	-9	38.8	-4.76
15	Portimonense	30	8	8	14	32	35	42	-7	41.9	-9.94
16	Sporting Covilha	30	7	11	12	32	22	29	-7	31.7	+0.34

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Estoril	1733	57	47.03	+9.97	97.0%	29	35	42	48	52	55	68
Moreirense	1727	52	46.17	+5.83	81.0%	26	33	41	46	51	60	62
Aves	1711	50	44.41	+5.59	80.0%	27	30	41	44	49	56	60
Naval 1 de Maio	1702	46	46.90	-0.90	40.0%	29	35	42	48	52	58	59
Os Belenenses (1st)	1664	41	39.76	+1.24	55.0%	23	28	35	41	44	51	55
Leixoes	1654	40	39.82	+0.18	35.0%	24	27	34	40	45	51	65
Uniao da Madeira	1649	37	41.86	-4.86	24.0%	27	31	38	41	47	51	61
Oliveirense	1648	39	40.32	-1.32	46.0%	22	28	36	40	46	51	54
Trofense	1647	39	41.24	-2.24	42.0%	23	29	36	41	47	53	59
Portimonense	1645	32	41.94	-9.94	7.0%	28	30	37	41	47	52	59
Arouca	1645	34	44.92	-10.92	11.0%	29	32	40	45	49	57	59
Penafiel	1615	38	38.94	-0.94	48.0%	23	27	33	39	44	50	63
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1608	37	41.46	-4.46	29.0%	17	28	36	41	47	53	56
Freamunde	1606	34	35.68	-1.68	47.0%	21	23	29	35	40	49	56
Santa Clara	1602	34	38.76	-4.76	24.0%	23	27	35	39	43	48	56
Sporting Covilha	1575	32	31.66	+0.34	56.0%	14	22	27	31	36	43	51

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ARO	ACDP	AVE	EST	FRE	LEI	MOR	N1DM	OLI	OB(	PEN	POR	SC	SC	TRO	UDM
Arouca	—	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 3.18	1-1-0 2.88	2-0-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.61	0-2-0 2.82	1-0-1 2.98	0-0-2 3.10	0-1-1 3.02	1-1-0 3.05	0-1-1 3.70	1-1-0 2.84	0-2-0 2.93
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 2.50	—	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.62	0-2-0 3.01	2-0-0 2.65	0-0-2 2.44	1-1-0 2.47	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.99	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 3.43	1-0-1 2.73	0-2-0 2.73
Aves	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 3.06	—	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 3.38	0-1-1 2.92	0-2-0 2.64	0-2-0 2.53	1-1-0 2.89	1-1-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.21	0-2-0 2.97	1-1-0 3.04	2-0-0 3.45	1-0-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.74
Estoril	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.93	—	1-1-0 3.34	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.12	1-1-0 3.22	0-1-1 3.22	2-0-0 2.98	1-1-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 3.00
Freamunde	1-1-0 2.34	0-2-0 2.52	0-1-1 2.18	0-1-1 2.23	—	1-1-0 2.36	0-2-0 2.13	0-2-0 2.12	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.66	0-1-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-0 2.31
Leixoes	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.87	1-1-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.52	0-1-1 3.17	—	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 3.02	2-0-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 3.14	1-1-0 3.49	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.08
Moreirense	0-0-2 2.98	2-0-0 3.11	0-2-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.80	0-2-0 3.41	0-0-2 2.95	—	1-1-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.38	1-0-1 3.07	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.45	1-1-0 3.77	1-0-1 2.99	2-0-0 3.05
Naval 1 de Maio	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 3.07	0-2-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.80	0-2-0 3.41	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.56	—	0-1-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.62	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.97
Oliveirense	0-2-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.53	1-1-0 2.33	—	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 2.54	1-0-1 2.66
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.69	—	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.79	0-2-0 3.25	0-0-2 2.72	0-2-0 2.60
Penafiel	2-0-0 2.42	1-1-0 2.63	0-0-2 2.34	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.70	—	0-0-2 2.77	0-2-0 2.74	0-0-2 3.22	1-1-0 2.45	2-0-0 2.44
Portimonense	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.63	0-2-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.53	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 2.53	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.75	—	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.30	0-1-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.81
Santa Clara	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.24	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.72	0-2-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.71	—	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.76
Sporting Covilha	1-1-0 1.87	1-1-0 2.12	0-0-2 2.12	0-1-1 2.06	1-1-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.06	0-1-1 1.82	0-0-2 1.94	0-0-2 2.23	0-2-0 2.28	2-0-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.24	—	0-2-0 2.24	0-1-1 2.10
Trofense	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.50	0-1-1 2.99	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-1 3.09	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.89	0-2-0 3.29	—	1-0-1 2.66
Uniao da Madeira	0-2-0 2.60	0-2-0 2.78	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.85	0-2-0 2.92	0-0-2 3.10	2-0-0 2.71	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 3.44	1-0-1 2.87	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	11.25%	7.08%	1.46%	0.21%	0.42%	30.42%
1	11.25%	12.08%	7.50%	2.71%	0.62%	0.21%	34.38%
2	7.08%	7.50%	10.00%	2.08%	0.21%	—	26.88%
3	1.46%	2.71%	2.08%	0.42%	—	—	6.67%
4	0.21%	0.62%	0.21%	—	—	—	1.04%
5+	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	—	—	0.62%
Total	30.42%	34.38%	26.88%	6.67%	1.04%	0.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.31
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.076
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	16.67%	—	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	20.00%	33.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Arouca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.081
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
1	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	23.33%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.84
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	2.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.012
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	23.33%
1	10.00%	23.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	43.33%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Aves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.250
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	30.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	60.00%	16.67%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
1	3.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	23.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	30.00%	40.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Freamunde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	20.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	30.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	1.13
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.178
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	3.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	50.00%	23.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Moreirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	20.00%	56.67%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Naval 1 de Maio — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.09
StdDev allowed	0.80
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
1	13.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
3	—	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	30.00%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	100%

Oliveirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.147
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	26.67%	20.00%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.07
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.20
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.297
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	43.33%	23.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

Penafiel — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.052
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	3.33%	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	40.00%	40.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Portimonense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	36.67%	36.67%	—	—	3.33%	100%

Santa Clara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	0.81
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.133
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	13.33%	—	—	—	46.67%
1	13.33%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	30.00%	33.33%	—	—	—	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.73
Mean allowed	0.97
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	0.85
Mean total goals/game	1.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.090
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	30.00%
1	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	23.33%	33.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Trofense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.221
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	30.00%
2	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	46.67%	23.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Uniao da Madeira — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.052
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Estoril	57	47.0	+9.97
2	Moreirense	52	46.2	+5.83
3	Aves	50	44.4	+5.59
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	41	39.8	+1.24
5	Sporting Covilha	32	31.7	+0.34

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Arouca	34	44.9	-10.92
2	Portimonense	32	41.9	-9.94
3	Uniao da Madeira	37	41.9	-4.86
4	Santa Clara	34	38.8	-4.76
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	37	41.5	-4.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Estoril	6	Jan 14 – Feb 26	1 in 116
2	Portimonense	4	Mar 11 – Apr 1	1 in 59
3	Aves	4	Dec 18 – Jan 15	1 in 41
4	Arouca	3	Jan 22 – Feb 12	1 in 27
5	Penafiel	3	Oct 2 – Oct 30	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portimonense	6	Dec 28 – Feb 12	1 in 324
2	Uniao da Madeira	4	Sep 4 – Oct 2	1 in 107
3	Trofense	4	Oct 22 – Nov 27	1 in 53
4	Santa Clara	4	Dec 11 – Jan 8	1 in 43
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	Mar 18 – Apr 7	1 in 36

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aves	19	Dec 11 – May 6	1 in 2,754
2	Estoril	15	Oct 22 – Mar 3	1 in 680
3	Naval 1 de Maio	12	Dec 18 – Mar 18	1 in 161
4	Os Belenenses (1st)	9	Mar 10 – May 13	1 in 117
5	Portimonense	8	Mar 11 – May 6	1 in 63

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portimonense	11	Dec 11 – Mar 4	1 in 170
2	Arouca	8	Feb 19 – Apr 7	1 in 126
3	Uniao da Madeira	8	Sep 4 – Nov 27	1 in 78
4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	8	Mar 18 – May 13	1 in 29
5	Freamunde	7	Nov 6 – Jan 15	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Estoril	19.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Moreirense	23.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%
Aves	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—
Naval 1 de Maio	12.00%	18.00%	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Leixoes	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	13.00%	4.00%
Oliveirense	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Trofense	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Penafiel	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Uniao da Madeira	1.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	11.00%	3.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%
Arouca	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	2.00%	14.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	—	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Freamunde	2.00%	—	1.00%	6.00%	5.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	5.00%	13.00%	15.00%	17.00%
Santa Clara	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	2.00%	7.00%
Portimonense	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Sporting Covilha	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	—	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	17.00%	37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level
Moreirense	34.0%	66.0%
Estoril	32.0%	68.0%
Naval 1 de Maio	30.0%	70.0%
Arouca	21.0%	79.0%
Aves	19.0%	81.0%
Portimonense	12.0%	88.0%
Trofense	9.0%	91.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	8.0%	92.0%
Uniao da Madeira	8.0%	92.0%
Leixoes	7.0%	93.0%
Oliveirense	5.0%	95.0%
Penafiel	5.0%	95.0%
Os Belenenses (1st)	4.0%	96.0%
Santa Clara	4.0%	96.0%
Freamunde	2.0%	98.0%
Sporting Covilha	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2011-08-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1640	1647	45.8%	24.2%	30.0%	-0.6	1
2011-08-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1647	1640	30.0%	24.2%	45.8%	+0.6	1
2011-08-20	Penafiel	D 2-2	1689	1625	55.3%	22.0%	22.7%	-0.9	1
2011-08-20	@ Trofense	D 2-2	1625	1689	22.7%	22.0%	55.3%	+0.9	1
2011-08-21	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1641	1580	55.0%	22.1%	23.0%	-1.3	1
2011-08-21	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1580	1641	23.0%	22.1%	55.0%	+1.3	1
2011-08-21	Portimonense	W 2-0	1676	1683	45.8%	24.2%	30.0%	+10.2	3
2011-08-21	@ Moreirense	L 0-2	1683	1676	30.0%	24.2%	45.8%	-10.2	0
2011-08-21	Leixoes	L 0-1	1688	1675	48.6%	23.7%	27.7%	-7.9	0
2011-08-21	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1675	1688	27.7%	23.7%	48.6%	+7.9	3
2011-08-21	Freamunde	W 2-0	1644	1608	51.7%	23.0%	25.3%	+8.8	3
2011-08-21	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1608	1644	25.3%	23.0%	51.7%	-8.8	0
2011-08-21	Arouca	D 0-0	1637	1682	40.5%	24.7%	34.8%	-0.2	1
2011-08-21	@ Santa Clara	D 0-0	1682	1637	34.8%	24.7%	40.5%	+0.2	1
2011-08-21	Aves	W 3-2	1679	1639	52.3%	22.8%	24.9%	+4.1	3
2011-08-21	@ Uniao da Madeira	L 2-3	1639	1679	24.9%	22.8%	52.3%	-4.1	0
2011-08-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1626	1639	45.0%	24.3%	30.7%	-0.4	2
2011-08-27	@ Penafiel	D 2-2	1639	1626	30.7%	24.3%	45.0%	+0.4	2
2011-08-27	Naval 1 de Maio	W 2-1	1673	1680	45.8%	24.2%	30.0%	+5.1	3
2011-08-27	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1680	1673	30.0%	24.2%	45.8%	-5.1	0
2011-08-28	Moreirense	W 3-1	1682	1686	46.2%	24.1%	29.7%	+8.8	4
2011-08-28	@ Arouca	L 1-3	1686	1682	29.7%	24.1%	46.2%	-8.7	3
2011-08-28	Estoril	W 1-0	1647	1639	47.9%	23.8%	28.3%	+5.1	4
2011-08-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1639	1647	28.3%	23.8%	47.9%	-5.1	1
2011-08-28	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1635	1652	44.3%	24.4%	31.3%	+5.6	3
2011-08-28	@ Aves	L 0-1	1652	1635	31.3%	24.4%	44.3%	-5.6	3
2011-08-28	Trofense	W 3-1	1599	1688	34.2%	24.6%	41.1%	+11.3	3
2011-08-28	@ Freamunde	L 1-3	1688	1599	41.1%	24.6%	34.2%	-11.3	1
2011-08-28	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1683	1637	53.0%	22.7%	24.4%	-8.0	3
2011-08-28	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1637	1683	24.4%	22.7%	53.0%	+8.0	4
2011-08-28	Uniao da Madeira	L 0-2	1581	1683	32.5%	24.5%	43.0%	-10.9	1
2011-08-28	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1683	1581	43.0%	24.5%	32.5%	+10.9	6
2011-09-03	Portimonense	W 1-0	1634	1678	40.6%	24.7%	34.7%	+6.1	4
2011-09-03	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1678	1634	34.7%	24.7%	40.6%	-6.1	3
2011-09-04	Leixoes	D 1-1	1691	1675	49.0%	23.6%	27.4%	-0.8	5
2011-09-04	@ Arouca	D 1-1	1675	1691	27.4%	23.6%	49.0%	+0.8	4
2011-09-04	Aves	D 0-0	1640	1640	46.7%	24.0%	29.2%	-0.7	3
2011-09-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1640	1640	29.2%	24.0%	46.7%	+0.7	4
2011-09-04	Freamunde	D 0-0	1678	1610	55.8%	21.8%	22.4%	-1.4	4
2011-09-04	@ Moreirense	D 0-0	1610	1678	22.4%	21.8%	55.8%	+1.4	4
2011-09-04	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1675	1570	60.5%	20.1%	19.4%	+3.3	3
2011-09-04	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1570	1675	19.4%	20.1%	60.5%	-3.3	1
2011-09-04	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1645	1653	45.7%	24.2%	30.1%	-7.1	4
2011-09-04	@ Santa Clara	W 2-1	1653	1645	30.1%	24.2%	45.7%	+7.1	7
2011-09-04	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1677	1647	50.9%	23.2%	25.9%	-1.0	2
2011-09-04	@ Trofense	D 0-0	1647	1677	25.9%	23.2%	50.9%	+1.0	4
2011-09-04	Penafiel	L 2-3	1694	1626	55.9%	21.8%	22.3%	-7.9	6
2011-09-04	@ Uniao da Madeira	W 3-2	1626	1694	22.3%	21.8%	55.9%	+7.9	5
2011-09-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1672	1639	51.3%	23.1%	25.6%	-7.4	3
2011-09-17	@ Portimonense	W 3-2	1639	1672	25.6%	23.1%	51.3%	+7.4	6
2011-09-18	Trofense	W 3-0	1660	1676	44.5%	24.3%	31.1%	+15.2	10
2011-09-18	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1676	1660	31.1%	24.3%	44.5%	-15.2	2
2011-09-18	Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1641	1678	41.5%	24.6%	33.8%	-0.3	5
2011-09-18	@ Aves	D 1-1	1678	1641	33.8%	24.6%	41.5%	+0.3	4
2011-09-18	Estoril	D 2-2	1611	1640	42.7%	24.5%	32.7%	-0.3	5
2011-09-18	@ Freamunde	D 2-2	1640	1611	32.7%	24.5%	42.7%	+0.3	5
2011-09-18	Moreirense	W 2-1	1675	1676	46.7%	24.0%	29.3%	+5.0	7
2011-09-18	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1676	1675	29.3%	24.0%	46.7%	-5.0	4
2011-09-18	Uniao da Madeira	W 1-0	1648	1686	41.4%	24.6%	34.0%	+6.0	7
2011-09-18	@ Oliveirense	L 0-1	1686	1648	34.0%	24.6%	41.4%	-6.0	6
2011-09-18	Santa Clara	D 1-1	1634	1638	46.2%	24.1%	29.7%	-0.6	6
2011-09-18	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1638	1634	29.7%	24.1%	46.2%	+0.6	5
2011-09-18	Arouca	W 1-0	1567	1690	29.9%	24.2%	45.9%	+7.5	4
2011-09-18	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1690	1567	45.9%	24.2%	29.9%	-7.5	5
2011-09-22	Trofense	L 0-1	1680	1660	49.5%	23.5%	27.0%	-8.0	6
2011-09-22	@ Uniao da Madeira	W 1-0	1660	1680	27.0%	23.5%	49.5%	+8.0	5
2011-09-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1682	1675	47.8%	23.8%	28.3%	+9.7	8
2011-09-25	@ Arouca	L 0-2	1675	1682	28.3%	23.8%	47.8%	-9.7	10
2011-09-25	Freamunde	W 1-0	1646	1611	51.6%	23.0%	25.4%	+4.7	9
2011-09-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1611	1646	25.4%	23.0%	51.6%	-4.7	5
2011-09-25	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1641	1654	45.0%	24.3%	30.7%	-0.6	6
2011-09-25	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1654	1641	30.7%	24.3%	45.0%	+0.5	8
2011-09-25	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1680	1574	60.7%	20.0%	19.3%	+3.5	10
2011-09-25	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1574	1680	19.3%	20.0%	60.7%	-3.5	4
2011-09-25	Aves	D 1-1	1671	1641	51.0%	23.2%	25.9%	-0.9	5
2011-09-25	@ Moreirense	D 1-1	1641	1671	25.9%	23.2%	51.0%	+0.9	6
2011-09-25	Penafiel	W 1-0	1678	1633	52.9%	22.7%	24.4%	+4.5	7
2011-09-25	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1633	1678	24.4%	22.7%	52.9%	-4.5	6
2011-09-25	Portimonense	W 2-1	1638	1665	43.1%	24.5%	32.4%	+5.4	8
2011-09-25	@ Santa Clara	L 1-2	1665	1638	32.4%	24.5%	43.1%	-5.4	3
2011-10-01	Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1665	1683	44.3%	24.4%	31.3%	+5.6	13
2011-10-01	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1683	1665	31.3%	24.4%	44.3%	-5.6	7
2011-10-02	Arouca	W 2-0	1641	1692	39.6%	24.7%	35.6%	+11.7	9
2011-10-02	@ Aves	L 0-2	1692	1641	35.6%	24.7%	39.6%	-11.7	8
2011-10-02	Uniao da Madeira	W 2-0	1606	1672	37.5%	24.8%	37.8%	+12.2	8
2011-10-02	@ Freamunde	L 0-2	1672	1606	37.8%	24.8%	37.5%	-12.2	6
2011-10-02	Moreirense	L 2-3	1654	1670	44.5%	24.3%	31.1%	-6.6	8
2011-10-02	@ Oliveirense	W 3-2	1670	1654	31.1%	24.3%	44.5%	+6.6	8
2011-10-02	Estoril	W 3-1	1629	1640	45.2%	24.3%	30.5%	+9.0	9
2011-10-02	@ Penafiel	L 1-3	1640	1629	30.5%	24.3%	45.2%	-9.0	6
2011-10-02	Leixoes	W 2-1	1659	1684	43.3%	24.5%	32.2%	+5.4	6
2011-10-02	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1684	1659	32.2%	24.5%	43.3%	-5.4	10
2011-10-02	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1571	1644	36.4%	24.8%	38.8%	+6.6	7
2011-10-02	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1644	1571	38.8%	24.8%	36.4%	-6.6	8
2011-10-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1668	1651	49.2%	23.6%	27.2%	+5.0	8
2011-10-02	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1651	1668	27.2%	23.6%	49.2%	-5.0	9
2011-10-20	Portimonense	W 2-0	1578	1665	34.5%	24.7%	40.8%	+13.0	10
2011-10-20	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1665	1578	40.8%	24.7%	34.5%	-13.0	6
2011-10-22	Aves	W 1-0	1631	1653	43.7%	24.4%	31.9%	+5.7	9
2011-10-22	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1653	1631	31.9%	24.4%	43.7%	-5.7	9
2011-10-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1678	1671	47.9%	23.8%	28.3%	-7.8	10
2011-10-22	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1671	1678	28.3%	23.8%	47.9%	+7.8	16
2011-10-22	Trofense	W 4-1	1677	1673	47.3%	23.9%	28.8%	+12.0	11
2011-10-22	@ Moreirense	L 1-4	1673	1677	28.8%	23.9%	47.3%	-12.0	8
2011-10-22	Freamunde	D 1-1	1677	1619	54.7%	22.2%	23.2%	-1.1	8
2011-10-22	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1619	1677	23.2%	22.2%	54.7%	+1.1	9
2011-10-22	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1637	1648	45.3%	24.2%	30.4%	+5.1	11
2011-10-22	@ Santa Clara	L 1-2	1648	1637	30.4%	24.2%	45.3%	-5.1	8
2011-10-23	Penafiel	L 0-2	1680	1638	52.6%	22.8%	24.6%	-15.9	8
2011-10-23	@ Arouca	W 2-0	1638	1680	24.6%	22.8%	52.6%	+15.8	12
2011-10-23	Uniao da Madeira	D 1-1	1646	1660	44.8%	24.3%	30.9%	-0.5	10
2011-10-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1660	1646	30.9%	24.3%	44.8%	+0.5	7
2011-10-29	Leixoes	W 2-1	1620	1671	39.6%	24.7%	35.7%	+5.9	12
2011-10-29	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1671	1620	35.7%	24.7%	39.6%	-5.9	10
2011-10-30	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1679	1591	58.4%	20.9%	20.7%	-1.5	17
2011-10-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1591	1679	20.7%	20.9%	58.4%	+1.5	11
2011-10-30	Santa Clara	D 2-2	1648	1642	47.5%	23.9%	28.6%	-0.5	10
2011-10-30	@ Aves	D 2-2	1642	1648	28.6%	23.9%	47.5%	+0.5	12
2011-10-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1642	1646	46.4%	24.1%	29.6%	+4.8	11
2011-10-30	@ Oliveirense	L 2-3	1646	1642	29.6%	24.1%	46.4%	-4.8	10
2011-10-30	Moreirense	W 1-0	1654	1689	41.8%	24.6%	33.6%	+5.9	15
2011-10-30	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1689	1654	33.6%	24.6%	41.8%	-5.9	11
2011-10-30	Arouca	D 0-0	1652	1665	45.0%	24.3%	30.7%	-0.6	7
2011-10-30	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1665	1652	30.7%	24.3%	45.0%	+0.5	9
2011-10-30	Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1661	1676	44.7%	24.3%	31.0%	-7.0	8
2011-10-30	@ Trofense	W 2-1	1676	1661	31.0%	24.3%	44.7%	+7.0	11
2011-10-30	Estoril	D 0-0	1661	1637	50.0%	23.4%	26.6%	-0.9	8
2011-10-30	@ Uniao da Madeira	D 0-0	1637	1661	26.6%	23.4%	50.0%	+0.9	10
2011-11-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1638	1641	46.4%	24.1%	29.5%	+5.3	13
2011-11-05	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1641	1638	29.5%	24.1%	46.4%	-5.3	10
2011-11-05	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1683	1647	51.7%	23.0%	25.3%	-0.9	12
2011-11-05	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1647	1683	25.3%	23.0%	51.7%	+0.9	12
2011-11-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1651	1677	43.2%	24.5%	32.4%	-7.2	7
2011-11-05	@ Portimonense	W 1-0	1677	1651	32.4%	24.5%	43.2%	+7.2	20
2011-11-05	Aves	L 0-2	1592	1647	39.0%	24.8%	36.2%	-12.5	11
2011-11-05	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1647	1592	36.2%	24.8%	39.0%	+12.5	13
2011-11-06	Freamunde	D 0-0	1665	1626	52.1%	22.9%	25.0%	-1.1	10
2011-11-06	@ Arouca	D 0-0	1626	1665	25.0%	22.9%	52.1%	+1.1	13
2011-11-06	Penafiel	W 2-1	1665	1659	47.5%	23.9%	28.6%	+4.9	13
2011-11-06	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1659	1665	28.6%	23.9%	47.5%	-4.9	15
2011-11-06	Uniao da Madeira	W 2-0	1683	1660	50.0%	23.4%	26.6%	+9.2	14
2011-11-06	@ Moreirense	L 0-2	1660	1683	26.6%	23.4%	50.0%	-9.2	8
2011-11-06	Trofense	W 1-0	1643	1654	45.2%	24.3%	30.6%	+5.5	15
2011-11-06	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1654	1643	30.6%	24.3%	45.2%	-5.5	8
2011-11-24	Moreirense	L 2-3	1684	1692	45.7%	24.2%	30.1%	-6.7	20
2011-11-24	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1692	1684	30.1%	24.2%	45.7%	+6.7	17
2011-11-27	Leixoes	L 1-3	1660	1670	45.4%	24.2%	30.4%	-12.2	13
2011-11-27	@ Aves	W 3-1	1670	1660	30.4%	24.2%	45.4%	+12.2	16
2011-11-27	Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-1	1635	1682	40.2%	24.7%	35.1%	-6.8	10
2011-11-27	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1682	1635	35.1%	24.7%	40.2%	+6.8	15
2011-11-27	Santa Clara	L 1-2	1627	1648	43.8%	24.4%	31.8%	-6.9	13
2011-11-27	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1648	1627	31.8%	24.4%	43.8%	+6.9	18
2011-11-27	Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1648	1580	56.0%	21.8%	22.3%	+7.7	15
2011-11-27	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1580	1648	22.3%	21.8%	56.0%	-7.7	11
2011-11-27	Portimonense	L 0-3	1655	1644	48.3%	23.8%	28.0%	-21.5	15
2011-11-27	@ Penafiel	W 3-0	1644	1655	28.0%	23.8%	48.3%	+21.5	10
2011-11-27	Estoril	L 0-1	1649	1643	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	-7.8	8
2011-11-27	@ Trofense	W 1-0	1643	1649	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	+7.8	16
2011-11-27	Arouca	D 2-2	1650	1664	44.9%	24.3%	30.8%	-0.4	9
2011-11-27	@ Uniao da Madeira	D 2-2	1664	1650	30.8%	24.3%	44.9%	+0.4	11
2011-12-04	Trofense	D 0-0	1572	1641	37.0%	24.8%	38.3%	+0.0	12
2011-12-04	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1641	1572	38.3%	24.8%	37.0%	-0.0	9
2011-12-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1699	1629	56.2%	21.7%	22.1%	+3.6	20
2011-12-10	@ Moreirense	L 2-3	1629	1699	22.1%	21.7%	56.2%	-3.7	10
2011-12-10	Estoril	L 0-3	1689	1651	52.0%	22.9%	25.1%	-22.8	15
2011-12-10	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 3-0	1651	1689	25.1%	22.9%	52.0%	+22.8	19
2011-12-11	Oliveirense	D 3-3	1664	1656	48.0%	23.8%	28.2%	-0.4	12
2011-12-11	@ Arouca	D 3-3	1656	1664	28.2%	23.8%	48.0%	+0.4	16
2011-12-11	Penafiel	D 1-1	1677	1633	52.8%	22.7%	24.5%	-1.0	21
2011-12-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1633	1677	24.5%	22.7%	52.8%	+1.0	16
2011-12-11	Trofense	L 2-3	1682	1641	52.3%	22.8%	24.8%	-7.5	16
2011-12-11	@ Leixoes	W 3-2	1641	1682	24.8%	22.8%	52.3%	+7.5	12
2011-12-11	Aves	D 1-1	1665	1647	49.3%	23.6%	27.2%	-0.8	11
2011-12-11	@ Portimonense	D 1-1	1647	1665	27.2%	23.6%	49.3%	+0.8	14
2011-12-11	Uniao da Madeira	L 0-1	1655	1650	47.5%	23.9%	28.6%	-7.8	18
2011-12-11	@ Santa Clara	W 1-0	1650	1655	28.6%	23.9%	47.5%	+7.8	12
2011-12-11	Freamunde	W 2-1	1572	1620	40.0%	24.7%	35.3%	+5.8	15
2011-12-11	@ Sporting Covilha	L 1-2	1620	1572	35.3%	24.7%	40.0%	-5.8	13
2011-12-17	Moreirense	W 1-0	1674	1703	42.7%	24.5%	32.7%	+5.8	22
2011-12-17	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1703	1674	32.7%	24.5%	42.7%	-5.8	20
2011-12-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1648	1676	42.8%	24.5%	32.7%	+9.5	17
2011-12-18	@ Aves	L 1-3	1676	1648	32.7%	24.5%	42.8%	-9.5	21
2011-12-18	Santa Clara	W 2-1	1625	1647	43.6%	24.4%	31.9%	+5.4	13
2011-12-18	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1647	1625	31.9%	24.4%	43.6%	-5.4	18
2011-12-18	Portimonense	D 2-2	1614	1665	39.7%	24.7%	35.6%	-0.1	14
2011-12-18	@ Freamunde	D 2-2	1665	1614	35.6%	24.7%	39.7%	+0.1	12
2011-12-18	Leixoes	L 2-4	1656	1674	44.3%	24.4%	31.4%	-10.7	16
2011-12-18	@ Oliveirense	W 4-2	1674	1656	31.4%	24.4%	44.3%	+10.7	19
2011-12-18	Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1634	1578	54.4%	22.2%	23.4%	-8.6	16
2011-12-18	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1578	1634	23.4%	22.2%	54.4%	+8.6	18
2011-12-18	Arouca	D 1-1	1649	1664	44.6%	24.3%	31.0%	-0.5	13
2011-12-18	@ Trofense	D 1-1	1664	1649	31.0%	24.3%	44.6%	+0.5	13
2011-12-18	Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-3	1658	1666	45.6%	24.2%	30.2%	-12.3	12
2011-12-18	@ Uniao da Madeira	W 3-1	1666	1658	30.2%	24.2%	45.6%	+12.2	18
2011-12-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1664	1630	51.4%	23.1%	25.5%	+8.8	16
2011-12-28	@ Arouca	L 0-2	1630	1664	25.5%	23.1%	51.4%	-8.8	13
2011-12-28	Freamunde	D 2-2	1667	1614	53.9%	22.4%	23.7%	-0.8	22
2011-12-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1614	1667	23.7%	22.4%	53.9%	+0.8	15
2011-12-28	Uniao da Madeira	W 1-0	1685	1646	52.2%	22.9%	25.0%	+4.6	22
2011-12-28	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1646	1685	25.0%	22.9%	52.2%	-4.6	12
2011-12-28	Aves	L 0-1	1625	1658	42.3%	24.6%	33.1%	-7.1	16
2011-12-28	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1658	1625	33.1%	24.6%	42.3%	+7.1	20
2011-12-28	Oliveirense	L 0-1	1665	1646	49.4%	23.5%	27.1%	-8.0	12
2011-12-28	@ Portimonense	W 1-0	1646	1665	27.1%	23.5%	49.4%	+8.0	19
2011-12-28	Estoril	L 1-2	1642	1679	41.5%	24.6%	33.8%	-6.6	18
2011-12-28	@ Santa Clara	W 2-1	1679	1642	33.8%	24.6%	41.5%	+6.6	25
2011-12-29	Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1697	1678	49.3%	23.5%	27.2%	-0.8	21
2011-12-29	@ Moreirense	D 1-1	1678	1697	27.2%	23.5%	49.3%	+0.8	19
2012-01-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1641	1666	43.3%	24.5%	32.3%	-0.4	13
2012-01-05	@ Uniao da Madeira	D 1-1	1666	1641	32.3%	24.5%	43.3%	+0.4	23
2012-01-08	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1622	1586	51.6%	23.0%	25.4%	-1.0	14
2012-01-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1586	1622	25.4%	23.0%	51.6%	+1.0	19
2012-01-08	Leixoes	D 1-1	1686	1690	46.3%	24.1%	29.6%	-0.6	26
2012-01-08	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1690	1686	29.6%	24.1%	46.3%	+0.6	23
2012-01-08	Aves	L 1-2	1615	1665	39.8%	24.7%	35.5%	-6.4	15
2012-01-08	@ Freamunde	W 2-1	1665	1615	35.5%	24.7%	39.8%	+6.4	23
2012-01-08	Santa Clara	W 2-0	1696	1636	54.9%	22.1%	23.0%	+8.0	24
2012-01-08	@ Moreirense	L 0-2	1636	1696	23.0%	22.1%	54.9%	-8.0	18
2012-01-08	Arouca	D 0-0	1679	1673	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	-0.8	20
2012-01-08	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1673	1679	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	+0.8	17
2012-01-08	Penafiel	D 2-2	1654	1618	51.6%	23.0%	25.4%	-0.7	20
2012-01-08	@ Oliveirense	D 2-2	1618	1654	25.4%	23.0%	51.6%	+0.7	17
2012-01-08	Portimonense	W 3-1	1648	1657	45.6%	24.2%	30.2%	+8.9	16
2012-01-08	@ Trofense	L 1-3	1657	1648	30.2%	24.2%	45.6%	-8.9	12
2012-01-14	Estoril	L 1-4	1674	1685	45.2%	24.3%	30.6%	-17.2	17
2012-01-14	@ Arouca	W 4-1	1685	1674	30.6%	24.3%	45.2%	+17.2	29
2012-01-14	Uniao da Madeira	L 1-2	1648	1641	47.8%	23.8%	28.4%	-7.3	12
2012-01-14	@ Portimonense	W 2-1	1641	1648	28.4%	23.8%	47.8%	+7.4	16
2012-01-14	Naval 1 de Maio	D 2-2	1628	1679	39.6%	24.7%	35.7%	-0.1	19
2012-01-14	@ Santa Clara	D 2-2	1679	1628	35.7%	24.7%	39.6%	+0.1	21
2012-01-15	Trofense	W 3-1	1671	1657	48.7%	23.7%	27.6%	+8.2	26
2012-01-15	@ Aves	L 1-3	1657	1671	27.6%	23.7%	48.7%	-8.2	16
2012-01-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1690	1621	56.1%	21.7%	22.2%	-1.4	24
2012-01-15	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1621	1690	22.2%	21.7%	56.1%	+1.4	15
2012-01-15	Freamunde	W 1-0	1619	1608	48.2%	23.8%	28.0%	+5.1	20
2012-01-15	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1608	1619	28.0%	23.8%	48.2%	-5.1	15
2012-01-15	Moreirense	L 1-2	1587	1704	30.7%	24.3%	45.0%	-5.2	19
2012-01-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1704	1587	45.0%	24.3%	30.7%	+5.2	27
2012-01-16	Oliveirense	W 2-0	1667	1653	48.7%	23.7%	27.7%	+9.5	26
2012-01-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1653	1667	27.7%	23.7%	48.7%	-9.5	20
2012-01-21	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1676	1622	54.1%	22.3%	23.6%	-16.2	26
2012-01-21	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1622	1676	23.6%	22.3%	54.1%	+16.2	18
2012-01-22	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1657	1627	50.8%	23.2%	26.0%	+4.8	20
2012-01-22	@ Arouca	L 0-1	1627	1657	26.0%	23.2%	50.8%	-4.8	19
2012-01-22	Uniao da Madeira	D 1-1	1679	1648	51.1%	23.2%	25.8%	-0.9	27
2012-01-22	@ Aves	D 1-1	1648	1679	25.8%	23.2%	51.1%	+0.9	17
2012-01-22	Oliveirense	W 3-0	1603	1643	41.2%	24.6%	34.2%	+16.5	18
2012-01-22	@ Freamunde	L 0-3	1643	1603	34.2%	24.6%	41.2%	-16.5	20
2012-01-22	Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-2	1689	1679	48.2%	23.8%	28.0%	-14.8	24
2012-01-22	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1679	1689	28.0%	23.8%	48.2%	+14.8	24
2012-01-22	Trofense	W 2-0	1624	1649	43.3%	24.5%	32.2%	+10.8	23
2012-01-22	@ Penafiel	L 0-2	1649	1624	32.2%	24.5%	43.3%	-10.8	16
2012-01-22	Estoril	L 0-1	1582	1703	30.2%	24.2%	45.6%	-5.4	19
2012-01-22	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1703	1582	45.6%	24.2%	30.2%	+5.4	32
2012-01-23	Moreirense	L 1-2	1640	1709	37.0%	24.8%	38.2%	-6.0	12
2012-01-23	@ Portimonense	W 2-1	1709	1640	38.2%	24.8%	37.0%	+6.0	30
2012-01-26	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1708	1660	53.3%	22.6%	24.1%	+19.6	35
2012-01-26	@ Estoril	L 0-5	1660	1708	24.1%	22.6%	53.3%	-19.6	26
2012-01-29	Penafiel	W 2-0	1638	1635	47.2%	23.9%	28.8%	+9.9	21
2012-01-29	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1635	1638	28.8%	23.9%	47.2%	-9.8	23
2012-01-29	Arouca	L 0-2	1715	1662	54.0%	22.4%	23.6%	-16.2	30
2012-01-29	@ Moreirense	W 2-0	1662	1715	23.6%	22.4%	54.0%	+16.2	23
2012-01-29	Portimonense	W 2-1	1693	1634	54.7%	22.1%	23.1%	+4.0	27
2012-01-29	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1634	1693	23.1%	22.1%	54.7%	-4.0	12
2012-01-29	Aves	D 1-1	1627	1678	39.5%	24.7%	35.7%	-0.1	21
2012-01-29	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1678	1627	35.7%	24.7%	39.5%	+0.1	28
2012-01-29	Leixoes	W 2-0	1623	1674	39.5%	24.7%	35.8%	+11.7	22
2012-01-29	@ Santa Clara	L 0-2	1674	1623	35.8%	24.7%	39.5%	-11.7	24
2012-01-29	Freamunde	W 4-0	1638	1620	49.3%	23.5%	27.2%	+17.7	19
2012-01-29	@ Trofense	L 0-4	1620	1638	27.2%	23.5%	49.3%	-17.7	18
2012-01-29	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1649	1577	56.4%	21.6%	22.0%	-1.2	18
2012-01-29	@ Uniao da Madeira	D 1-1	1577	1649	22.0%	21.6%	56.4%	+1.2	20
2012-02-09	Moreirense	D 1-1	1602	1699	33.2%	24.6%	42.2%	+0.3	19
2012-02-09	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1699	1602	42.2%	24.6%	33.2%	-0.3	31
2012-02-12	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1640	1634	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	-0.8	27
2012-02-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1634	1640	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	+0.8	23
2012-02-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1678	1648	50.9%	23.2%	25.9%	+7.7	31
2012-02-12	@ Aves	L 1-3	1648	1678	25.9%	23.2%	50.9%	-7.7	21
2012-02-12	Arouca	L 0-2	1662	1678	44.6%	24.3%	31.0%	-13.9	24
2012-02-12	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1678	1662	31.0%	24.3%	44.6%	+13.9	26
2012-02-12	Trofense	W 5-0	1627	1656	42.7%	24.5%	32.7%	+25.6	24
2012-02-12	@ Oliveirense	L 0-5	1656	1627	32.7%	24.5%	42.7%	-25.6	19
2012-02-12	Uniao da Madeira	W 3-1	1625	1648	43.6%	24.4%	31.9%	+9.3	26
2012-02-12	@ Penafiel	L 1-3	1648	1625	31.9%	24.4%	43.6%	-9.3	18
2012-02-12	Estoril	L 0-2	1630	1728	33.2%	24.6%	42.3%	-11.1	12
2012-02-12	@ Portimonense	W 2-0	1728	1630	42.3%	24.6%	33.2%	+11.0	38
2012-02-12	Naval 1 de Maio	L 0-2	1578	1697	30.4%	24.2%	45.4%	-10.3	20
2012-02-12	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1697	1578	45.4%	24.2%	30.4%	+10.3	30
2012-02-18	Freamunde	W 3-0	1739	1602	64.3%	18.4%	17.2%	+8.5	41
2012-02-18	@ Estoril	L 0-3	1602	1739	17.2%	18.4%	64.3%	-8.5	19
2012-02-18	Aves	D 1-1	1708	1686	49.7%	23.5%	26.8%	-0.8	31
2012-02-18	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1686	1708	26.8%	23.5%	49.7%	+0.8	32
2012-02-19	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1692	1568	62.9%	19.1%	18.0%	-1.7	27
2012-02-19	@ Arouca	D 1-1	1568	1692	18.0%	19.1%	62.9%	+1.7	21
2012-02-19	Portimonense	D 1-1	1640	1619	49.6%	23.5%	26.9%	-0.8	22
2012-02-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1619	1640	26.9%	23.5%	49.6%	+0.8	13
2012-02-19	Leixoes	L 0-1	1699	1649	53.6%	22.5%	23.9%	-8.5	31
2012-02-19	@ Moreirense	W 1-0	1649	1699	23.9%	22.5%	53.6%	+8.5	27
2012-02-19	Penafiel	D 1-1	1635	1634	46.9%	24.0%	29.1%	-0.6	24
2012-02-19	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1634	1635	29.1%	24.0%	46.9%	+0.6	27
2012-02-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1630	1640	45.5%	24.2%	30.3%	+5.4	22
2012-02-19	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1640	1630	30.3%	24.2%	45.5%	-5.4	27
2012-02-19	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1638	1652	44.8%	24.3%	30.9%	+5.2	21
2012-02-19	@ Uniao da Madeira	L 1-2	1652	1638	30.9%	24.3%	44.8%	-5.2	24
2012-02-25	Moreirense	D 0-0	1687	1690	46.4%	24.1%	29.6%	-0.7	33
2012-02-25	@ Aves	D 0-0	1690	1687	29.6%	24.1%	46.4%	+0.6	32
2012-02-26	Arouca	W 1-0	1634	1690	38.9%	24.8%	36.4%	+6.3	30
2012-02-26	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1690	1634	36.4%	24.8%	38.9%	-6.3	27
2012-02-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1594	1639	40.4%	24.7%	34.9%	+5.8	22
2012-02-26	@ Freamunde	L 1-2	1639	1594	34.9%	24.7%	40.4%	-5.8	22
2012-02-26	Estoril	L 0-1	1647	1747	32.8%	24.5%	42.7%	-5.8	24
2012-02-26	@ Oliveirense	W 1-0	1747	1647	42.7%	24.5%	32.8%	+5.8	44
2012-02-26	Naval 1 de Maio	D 0-0	1635	1707	36.6%	24.8%	38.6%	+0.1	28
2012-02-26	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1707	1635	38.6%	24.8%	36.6%	-0.1	32
2012-02-26	Santa Clara	D 2-2	1620	1635	44.8%	24.3%	30.9%	-0.4	14
2012-02-26	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1635	1620	30.9%	24.3%	44.8%	+0.4	25
2012-02-26	Leixoes	D 2-2	1569	1657	34.4%	24.7%	40.9%	+0.2	22
2012-02-26	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1657	1569	40.9%	24.7%	34.4%	-0.2	28
2012-02-26	Uniao da Madeira	L 1-2	1636	1644	45.7%	24.2%	30.1%	-7.1	22
2012-02-26	@ Trofense	W 2-1	1644	1636	30.1%	24.2%	45.7%	+7.1	24
2012-03-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1707	1640	55.7%	21.8%	22.5%	-0.9	33
2012-03-01	@ Naval 1 de Maio	D 2-2	1640	1707	22.5%	21.8%	55.7%	+0.9	31
2012-03-03	Penafiel	D 1-1	1753	1635	62.1%	19.4%	18.4%	-1.6	45
2012-03-03	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1635	1753	18.4%	19.4%	62.1%	+1.6	29
2012-03-04	Aves	D 2-2	1684	1686	46.4%	24.1%	29.5%	-0.4	28
2012-03-04	@ Arouca	D 2-2	1686	1684	29.5%	24.1%	46.4%	+0.4	34
2012-03-04	Trofense	L 1-3	1634	1629	47.5%	23.9%	28.6%	-12.7	22
2012-03-04	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1629	1634	28.6%	23.9%	47.5%	+12.7	25
2012-03-04	Portimonense	W 1-0	1657	1620	51.8%	23.0%	25.2%	+4.6	31
2012-03-04	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1620	1657	25.2%	23.0%	51.8%	-4.6	14
2012-03-04	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1691	1641	53.5%	22.5%	24.0%	+4.4	35
2012-03-04	@ Moreirense	L 0-1	1641	1691	24.0%	22.5%	53.5%	-4.4	24
2012-03-04	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1635	1569	55.5%	21.9%	22.6%	+4.1	28
2012-03-04	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1569	1635	22.6%	21.9%	55.5%	-4.2	22
2012-03-04	Freamunde	D 2-2	1651	1600	53.6%	22.5%	23.9%	-0.8	25
2012-03-04	@ Uniao da Madeira	D 2-2	1600	1651	23.9%	22.5%	53.6%	+0.8	23
2012-03-10	Estoril	W 2-0	1687	1751	37.6%	24.8%	37.6%	+12.2	37
2012-03-10	@ Aves	L 0-2	1751	1687	37.6%	24.8%	37.6%	-12.2	45
2012-03-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1650	1621	50.7%	23.2%	26.0%	-0.6	26
2012-03-10	@ Uniao da Madeira	D 2-2	1621	1650	26.0%	23.2%	50.7%	+0.7	23
2012-03-11	Leixoes	W 1-0	1641	1662	44.0%	24.4%	31.6%	+5.6	34
2012-03-11	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1662	1641	31.6%	24.4%	44.0%	-5.6	31
2012-03-11	Naval 1 de Maio	D 1-1	1601	1706	32.1%	24.5%	43.4%	+0.4	24
2012-03-11	@ Freamunde	D 1-1	1706	1601	43.4%	24.5%	32.1%	-0.4	34
2012-03-11	Santa Clara	W 1-0	1637	1639	46.5%	24.1%	29.4%	+5.3	27
2012-03-11	@ Oliveirense	L 0-1	1639	1637	29.4%	24.1%	46.5%	-5.3	28
2012-03-11	Arouca	W 2-1	1637	1683	40.2%	24.7%	35.1%	+5.8	32
2012-03-11	@ Penafiel	L 1-2	1683	1637	35.1%	24.7%	40.2%	-5.8	28
2012-03-11	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1615	1565	53.5%	22.5%	24.0%	+4.2	17
2012-03-11	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1565	1615	24.0%	22.5%	53.5%	-4.2	22
2012-03-11	Moreirense	W 2-1	1641	1695	39.1%	24.7%	36.1%	+5.9	28
2012-03-11	@ Trofense	L 1-2	1695	1641	36.1%	24.7%	39.1%	-5.9	35
2012-03-17	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1622	1642	43.9%	24.4%	31.7%	+5.3	26
2012-03-17	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1642	1622	31.7%	24.4%	43.9%	-5.3	27
2012-03-17	Uniao da Madeira	W 1-0	1739	1649	58.7%	20.8%	20.5%	+3.8	48
2012-03-17	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1649	1739	20.5%	20.8%	58.7%	-3.8	26
2012-03-18	Portimonense	L 1-2	1677	1619	54.6%	22.2%	23.2%	-8.2	28
2012-03-18	@ Arouca	W 2-1	1619	1677	23.2%	22.2%	54.6%	+8.2	20
2012-03-18	Freamunde	D 2-2	1656	1601	54.2%	22.3%	23.5%	-0.8	32
2012-03-18	@ Leixoes	D 2-2	1601	1656	23.5%	22.3%	54.2%	+0.8	25
2012-03-18	Penafiel	W 3-1	1689	1642	53.1%	22.6%	24.3%	+7.3	38
2012-03-18	@ Moreirense	L 1-3	1642	1689	24.3%	22.6%	53.1%	-7.3	32
2012-03-18	Trofense	W 2-1	1706	1647	54.6%	22.2%	23.2%	+4.0	37
2012-03-18	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1647	1706	23.2%	22.2%	54.6%	-4.0	28
2012-03-18	Aves	L 0-2	1634	1699	37.5%	24.8%	37.7%	-12.2	28
2012-03-18	@ Santa Clara	W 2-0	1699	1634	37.7%	24.8%	37.5%	+12.2	40
2012-03-18	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1561	1647	34.7%	24.7%	40.6%	+12.9	25
2012-03-18	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1647	1561	40.6%	24.7%	34.7%	-12.9	34
2012-03-24	Moreirense	L 0-3	1645	1697	39.6%	24.7%	35.7%	-18.4	26
2012-03-24	@ Uniao da Madeira	W 3-0	1697	1645	35.7%	24.7%	39.6%	+18.4	41
2012-03-25	Portimonense	L 0-1	1634	1628	47.7%	23.9%	28.4%	-7.8	34
2012-03-25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1628	1634	28.4%	23.9%	47.7%	+7.8	23
2012-03-25	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1711	1574	64.4%	18.4%	17.2%	+3.1	43
2012-03-25	@ Aves	L 0-1	1574	1711	17.2%	18.4%	64.4%	-3.1	25
2012-03-25	Estoril	D 2-2	1627	1743	30.8%	24.3%	44.9%	+0.4	27
2012-03-25	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1743	1627	44.9%	24.3%	30.8%	-0.4	49
2012-03-25	Arouca	W 2-0	1602	1669	37.2%	24.8%	38.0%	+12.3	28
2012-03-25	@ Freamunde	L 0-2	1669	1602	38.0%	24.8%	37.2%	-12.3	28
2012-03-25	Naval 1 de Maio	W 3-2	1637	1710	36.5%	24.8%	38.8%	+5.9	30
2012-03-25	@ Oliveirense	L 2-3	1710	1637	38.8%	24.8%	36.5%	-5.9	37
2012-03-25	Leixoes	L 0-1	1635	1655	44.0%	24.4%	31.6%	-7.3	32
2012-03-25	@ Penafiel	W 1-0	1655	1635	31.6%	24.4%	44.0%	+7.3	35
2012-03-25	Santa Clara	W 2-1	1643	1622	49.7%	23.5%	26.8%	+4.6	31
2012-03-25	@ Trofense	L 1-2	1622	1643	26.8%	23.5%	49.7%	-4.6	28
2012-03-31	Trofense	L 0-2	1743	1648	59.3%	20.6%	20.1%	-17.4	49
2012-03-31	@ Estoril	W 2-0	1648	1743	20.1%	20.6%	59.3%	+17.4	34
2012-03-31	Aves	D 0-0	1662	1714	39.5%	24.7%	35.8%	-0.1	36
2012-03-31	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1714	1662	35.8%	24.7%	39.5%	+0.1	44
2012-04-01	Uniao da Madeira	D 0-0	1657	1627	50.9%	23.2%	25.9%	-1.0	29
2012-04-01	@ Arouca	D 0-0	1627	1657	25.9%	23.2%	50.9%	+1.0	27
2012-04-01	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1715	1626	58.5%	20.8%	20.6%	+8.7	44
2012-04-01	@ Moreirense	L 1-4	1626	1715	20.6%	20.8%	58.5%	-8.7	34
2012-04-01	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1704	1627	57.0%	21.4%	21.6%	-9.0	37
2012-04-01	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 1-0	1627	1704	21.6%	21.4%	57.0%	+9.0	30
2012-04-01	Penafiel	W 3-2	1635	1628	47.8%	23.8%	28.3%	+4.6	26
2012-04-01	@ Portimonense	L 2-3	1628	1635	28.3%	23.8%	47.8%	-4.6	32
2012-04-01	Freamunde	W 1-0	1617	1614	47.2%	23.9%	28.9%	+5.2	31
2012-04-01	@ Santa Clara	L 0-1	1614	1617	28.9%	23.9%	47.2%	-5.2	28
2012-04-01	Oliveirense	L 0-1	1571	1643	36.6%	24.8%	38.6%	-6.3	25
2012-04-01	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1643	1571	38.6%	24.8%	36.6%	+6.3	33
2012-04-06	Portimonense	D 1-1	1714	1640	56.7%	21.5%	21.8%	-1.3	45
2012-04-06	@ Aves	D 1-1	1640	1714	21.8%	21.5%	56.7%	+1.3	27
2012-04-07	Moreirense	W 1-0	1636	1724	34.4%	24.7%	40.9%	+6.9	33
2012-04-07	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1724	1636	40.9%	24.7%	34.4%	-6.9	44
2012-04-07	Naval 1 de Maio	W 2-0	1725	1695	50.9%	23.2%	25.9%	+8.9	52
2012-04-07	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1695	1725	25.9%	23.2%	50.9%	-8.9	37
2012-04-07	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1609	1565	52.8%	22.7%	24.5%	-0.8	29
2012-04-07	@ Freamunde	D 2-2	1565	1609	24.5%	22.7%	52.8%	+0.8	26
2012-04-07	Arouca	D 2-2	1649	1656	45.8%	24.2%	30.0%	-0.4	34
2012-04-07	@ Oliveirense	D 2-2	1656	1649	30.0%	24.2%	45.8%	+0.4	30
2012-04-07	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1623	1618	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	+5.2	35
2012-04-07	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1618	1623	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	-5.2	34
2012-04-07	Leixoes	L 0-2	1665	1662	47.2%	23.9%	28.9%	-14.5	34
2012-04-07	@ Trofense	W 2-0	1662	1665	28.9%	23.9%	47.2%	+14.5	39
2012-04-09	Santa Clara	W 2-0	1628	1622	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	+9.8	30
2012-04-09	@ Uniao da Madeira	L 0-2	1622	1628	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	-9.8	31
2012-04-21	Aves	D 0-0	1612	1713	32.7%	24.5%	42.8%	+0.4	35
2012-04-21	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1713	1612	42.8%	24.5%	32.7%	-0.4	46
2012-04-22	Trofense	W 2-0	1656	1651	47.6%	23.9%	28.5%	+9.8	33
2012-04-22	@ Arouca	L 0-2	1651	1656	28.5%	23.9%	47.6%	-9.8	34
2012-04-22	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1677	1649	50.6%	23.3%	26.1%	-0.9	40
2012-04-22	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1649	1677	26.1%	23.3%	50.6%	+0.9	35
2012-04-22	Estoril	W 2-1	1717	1734	44.4%	24.4%	31.3%	+5.3	47
2012-04-22	@ Moreirense	L 1-2	1734	1717	31.3%	24.4%	44.4%	-5.3	52
2012-04-22	Uniao da Madeira	W 2-1	1686	1638	53.3%	22.6%	24.1%	+4.2	40
2012-04-22	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1638	1686	24.1%	22.6%	53.3%	-4.2	30
2012-04-22	Freamunde	W 2-0	1641	1608	51.3%	23.1%	25.6%	+8.8	30
2012-04-22	@ Portimonense	L 0-2	1608	1641	25.6%	23.1%	51.3%	-8.8	29
2012-04-22	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1612	1643	42.5%	24.6%	33.0%	-0.3	32
2012-04-22	@ Santa Clara	D 1-1	1643	1612	33.0%	24.6%	42.5%	+0.3	34
2012-04-22	Penafiel	W 1-0	1565	1628	37.9%	24.8%	37.4%	+6.4	29
2012-04-22	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1628	1565	37.4%	24.8%	37.9%	-6.4	35
2012-04-28	Arouca	W 3-0	1644	1666	43.6%	24.4%	31.9%	+15.6	37
2012-04-28	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1666	1644	31.9%	24.4%	43.6%	-15.6	33
2012-04-28	Santa Clara	D 0-0	1729	1612	62.0%	19.5%	18.5%	-1.8	53
2012-04-28	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1612	1729	18.5%	19.5%	62.0%	+1.8	33
2012-04-29	Penafiel	W 2-0	1713	1622	58.8%	20.8%	20.5%	+7.1	49
2012-04-29	@ Aves	L 0-2	1622	1713	20.5%	20.8%	58.8%	-7.1	35
2012-04-29	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1599	1613	44.9%	24.3%	30.8%	-0.4	30
2012-04-29	@ Freamunde	D 2-2	1613	1599	30.8%	24.3%	44.9%	+0.4	36
2012-04-29	Moreirense	L 1-2	1690	1722	42.3%	24.6%	33.2%	-6.7	40
2012-04-29	@ Naval 1 de Maio	W 2-1	1722	1690	33.2%	24.6%	42.3%	+6.7	50
2012-04-29	Portimonense	D 1-1	1650	1650	46.7%	24.0%	29.2%	-0.6	36
2012-04-29	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1650	1650	29.2%	24.0%	46.7%	+0.6	31
2012-04-29	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1641	1572	56.0%	21.7%	22.3%	-0.9	35
2012-04-29	@ Trofense	D 2-2	1572	1641	22.3%	21.7%	56.0%	+0.9	30
2012-04-29	Leixoes	W 3-1	1634	1676	40.8%	24.7%	34.5%	+9.9	33
2012-04-29	@ Uniao da Madeira	L 1-3	1676	1634	34.5%	24.7%	40.8%	-9.9	40
2012-05-06	Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-2	1651	1683	42.2%	24.6%	33.2%	-6.7	33
2012-05-06	@ Arouca	W 2-1	1683	1651	33.2%	24.6%	42.2%	+6.7	43
2012-05-06	Uniao da Madeira	D 1-1	1613	1643	42.5%	24.6%	32.9%	-0.3	37
2012-05-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1643	1613	32.9%	24.6%	42.5%	+0.3	34
2012-05-06	Freamunde	D 0-0	1720	1599	62.5%	19.3%	18.2%	-1.8	50
2012-05-06	@ Aves	D 0-0	1599	1720	18.2%	19.3%	62.5%	+1.8	31
2012-05-06	Estoril	L 0-1	1666	1727	38.1%	24.8%	37.1%	-6.5	40
2012-05-06	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1727	1666	37.1%	24.8%	38.1%	+6.5	56
2012-05-06	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1615	1649	42.0%	24.6%	33.4%	+5.9	38
2012-05-06	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1649	1615	33.4%	24.6%	42.0%	-5.9	36
2012-05-06	Trofense	D 2-2	1651	1640	48.3%	23.8%	28.0%	-0.5	32
2012-05-06	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1640	1651	28.0%	23.8%	48.3%	+0.5	36
2012-05-06	Moreirense	D 2-2	1614	1729	30.9%	24.3%	44.8%	+0.4	34
2012-05-06	@ Santa Clara	D 2-2	1729	1614	44.8%	24.3%	30.9%	-0.4	51
2012-05-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1573	1659	34.6%	24.7%	40.7%	+0.2	31
2012-05-06	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1659	1573	40.7%	24.7%	34.6%	-0.2	38
2012-05-13	Leixoes	W 1-0	1659	1659	46.7%	24.0%	29.3%	+5.3	41
2012-05-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1659	1659	29.3%	24.0%	46.7%	-5.3	40
2012-05-13	Arouca	D 2-2	1734	1644	58.6%	20.8%	20.5%	-1.0	57
2012-05-13	@ Estoril	D 2-2	1644	1734	20.5%	20.8%	58.6%	+1.0	34
2012-05-13	Penafiel	W 1-0	1601	1621	44.0%	24.4%	31.6%	+5.6	34
2012-05-13	@ Freamunde	L 0-1	1621	1601	31.6%	24.4%	44.0%	-5.6	38
2012-05-13	Sporting Covilha	D 1-1	1728	1573	66.6%	17.4%	16.0%	-1.9	52
2012-05-13	@ Moreirense	D 1-1	1573	1728	16.0%	17.4%	66.6%	+1.9	32
2012-05-13	Santa Clara	W 5-1	1690	1614	56.9%	21.4%	21.7%	+11.9	46
2012-05-13	@ Naval 1 de Maio	L 1-5	1614	1690	21.7%	21.4%	56.9%	-11.9	34
2012-05-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1643	1613	50.9%	23.2%	25.9%	+4.5	39
2012-05-13	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1613	1643	25.9%	23.2%	50.9%	-4.5	37
2012-05-13	Aves	W 1-0	1640	1718	35.8%	24.7%	39.5%	+6.7	39
2012-05-13	@ Trofense	L 0-1	1718	1640	39.5%	24.7%	35.8%	-6.7	50
2012-05-13	Portimonense	W 2-1	1644	1650	45.9%	24.2%	29.9%	+5.1	37
2012-05-13	@ Uniao da Madeira	L 1-2	1650	1644	29.9%	24.2%	45.9%	-5.1	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-03-31	20.14%	Trofense	1648	2	@ Estoril	1743	0
2	2012-04-01	21.63%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1627	1	@ Naval 1 de Maio	1704	0
3	2011-09-04	22.31%	Penafiel	1626	3	@ Uniao da Madeira	1694	2
4	2012-03-18	23.21%	Portimonense	1619	2	@ Arouca	1677	1
5	2011-12-18	23.37%	Sporting Covilha	1578	1	@ Penafiel	1634	0
6	2012-01-21	23.57%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1622	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1676	0
7	2012-01-29	23.62%	Arouca	1662	2	@ Moreirense	1715	0
8	2012-02-19	23.94%	Leixoes	1649	1	@ Moreirense	1699	0
9	2011-08-28	24.38%	Santa Clara	1637	2	@ Leixoes	1683	1
10	2011-10-23	24.65%	Penafiel	1638	2	@ Arouca	1680	0
11	2011-12-11	24.84%	Trofense	1641	3	@ Leixoes	1682	2
12	2011-12-10	25.10%	Estoril	1651	3	@ Naval 1 de Maio	1689	0
13	2011-09-17	25.62%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1639	3	@ Portimonense	1672	2
14	2011-09-22	26.99%	Trofense	1660	1	@ Uniao da Madeira	1680	0
15	2011-12-28	27.07%	Oliveirense	1646	1	@ Portimonense	1665	0
16	2011-08-21	27.71%	Leixoes	1675	1	@ Naval 1 de Maio	1688	0
17	2011-11-27	27.98%	Portimonense	1644	3	@ Penafiel	1655	0
18	2012-01-22	28.02%	Naval 1 de Maio	1679	2	@ Leixoes	1689	0
19	2011-10-22	28.31%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1671	1	@ Leixoes	1678	0
20	2012-01-14	28.37%	Uniao da Madeira	1641	2	@ Portimonense	1648	1
21	2012-03-25	28.45%	Portimonense	1628	1	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1634	0
22	2011-11-27	28.52%	Estoril	1643	1	@ Trofense	1649	0
23	2011-12-11	28.60%	Uniao da Madeira	1650	1	@ Santa Clara	1655	0
24	2012-03-04	28.61%	Trofense	1629	3	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1634	1
25	2012-04-07	28.86%	Leixoes	1662	2	@ Trofense	1665	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2012-02-12	25.59	@ Oliveirense	5	1627	42.74%	Trofense	0	1656	32.73%
2	2011-12-10	22.81	Estoril	3	1651	25.10%	@ Naval 1 de Maio	0	1689	51.98%
3	2011-11-27	21.49	Portimonense	3	1644	27.98%	@ Penafiel	0	1655	48.26%
4	2012-01-26	19.56	@ Estoril	5	1708	53.31%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1660	24.13%
5	2012-03-24	18.40	Moreirense	3	1697	35.71%	@ Uniao da Madeira	0	1645	39.55%
6	2012-01-29	17.72	@ Trofense	4	1638	49.28%	Freamunde	0	1620	27.17%
7	2012-03-31	17.44	Trofense	2	1648	20.14%	@ Estoril	0	1743	59.30%
8	2012-01-14	17.21	Estoril	4	1685	30.55%	@ Arouca	1	1674	45.19%
9	2012-01-22	16.46	@ Freamunde	3	1603	41.16%	Oliveirense	0	1643	34.19%
10	2012-01-21	16.21	Os Belenenses (1st)	2	1622	23.57%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1676	54.09%
11	2012-01-29	16.19	Arouca	2	1662	23.62%	@ Moreirense	0	1715	54.02%
12	2011-10-23	15.85	Penafiel	2	1638	24.65%	@ Arouca	0	1680	52.58%
13	2012-04-28	15.58	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	3	1644	43.62%	Arouca	0	1666	31.94%
14	2011-09-18	15.25	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	3	1660	44.54%	Trofense	0	1676	31.12%
15	2012-01-22	14.79	Naval 1 de Maio	2	1679	28.02%	@ Leixoes	0	1689	48.21%
16	2012-04-07	14.54	Leixoes	2	1662	28.86%	@ Trofense	0	1665	47.19%
17	2012-02-12	13.92	Arouca	2	1678	31.02%	@ Leixoes	0	1662	44.65%
18	2011-10-20	12.98	@ Sporting Covilha	2	1578	34.50%	Portimonense	0	1665	40.83%
19	2012-03-18	12.94	@ Sporting Covilha	2	1561	34.67%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1647	40.64%
20	2012-03-04	12.66	Trofense	3	1629	28.61%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1634	47.50%
21	2011-11-05	12.54	Aves	2	1647	36.24%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1592	39.02%
22	2012-03-25	12.30	@ Freamunde	2	1602	37.21%	Arouca	0	1669	38.03%
23	2011-12-18	12.26	Naval 1 de Maio	3	1666	30.18%	@ Uniao da Madeira	1	1658	45.62%
24	2011-10-02	12.24	@ Freamunde	2	1606	37.46%	Uniao da Madeira	0	1672	37.77%
25	2011-11-27	12.21	Leixoes	3	1670	30.40%	@ Aves	1	1660	45.37%