2024 NWSL Season

182 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Kansas City Current

23.88% chance to win NWSL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

NY/NJ Gotham FC

12.19 points above expected

56 points · 43.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Houston Dash

7.80 points below expected

20 points · 27.80 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Orlando Pride Conference	18	2	6	60	.769	46	20	+26	50.89	+9.11
2	Washington Spirit Playoffs	18	6	2	56	.718	51	28	+23	48.12	+7.88
3	NY/NJ Gotham FC Playoffs	17	4	5	56	.718	41	20	+21	43.81	+12.19
4	Kansas City Current Playoffs	16	3	7	55	.705	57	31	+26	49.17	+5.83
5	North Carolina Courage Playoffs	12	11	3	39	.500	34	28	+6	40.42	-1.42
6	Bay FC Playoffs	11	14	1	34	.436	31	41	-10	26.39	+7.61
7	Portland Thorns Playoffs	10	12	4	34	.436	37	35	+2	40.03	-6.03
8	Chicago Red Stars Playoffs	10	14	2	32	.410	31	38	-7	34.87	-2.87
9	Racing Louisville	7	12	7	28	.359	33	39	-6	35.69	-7.69
10	Angel City FC	7	13	6	27	.346	29	42	-13	31.75	-4.75
11	San Diego Wave FC	6	13	7	25	.321	24	35	-11	31.86	-6.86
12	Utah Royals FC	7	15	4	25	.321	22	40	-18	22.89	+2.11
13	Seattle Reign	6	15	5	23	.295	27	44	-17	29.61	-6.61
14	Houston Dash	5	16	5	20	.256	20	42	-22	27.80	-7.80

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	NY/NJ Gotham FC	56	43.81	+12.19
2	Orlando Pride	60	50.89	+9.11
3	Washington Spirit	56	48.12	+7.88
4	Bay FC	34	26.39	+7.61
5	Kansas City Current	55	49.17	+5.83

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Houston Dash	20	27.80	-7.80
2	Racing Louisville	28	35.69	-7.69
3	San Diego Wave FC	25	31.86	-6.86
4	Seattle Reign	23	29.61	-6.61
5	Portland Thorns	34	40.03	-6.03

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orlando Pride	8	Apr 13 – May 25	1 in 228
2	Portland Thorns	6	Apr 21 – May 18	1 in 104
3	Seattle Reign	3	Aug 26 – Sep 7	1 in 33
4	North Carolina Courage	3	Jun 24 – Jul 7	1 in 25
5	Utah Royals FC	3	Sep 29 – Oct 13	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portland Thorns	4	Aug 24 – Sep 14	1 in 70
2	Seattle Reign	5	Mar 23 – Apr 28	1 in 65
3	Orlando Pride	2	Oct 12 – Oct 20	1 in 30
4	Kansas City Current	3	Jul 7 – Sep 1	1 in 26
5	Chicago Red Stars	3	May 19 – Jun 9	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orlando Pride	23	Mar 16 – Oct 6	1 in 987
2	Seattle Reign	7	Jun 16 – Sep 7	1 in 171
3	Kansas City Current	15	Mar 16 – Jun 29	1 in 64
4	NY/NJ Gotham FC	9	Apr 28 – Jun 20	1 in 34
5	Utah Royals FC	4	Jun 30 – Sep 1	1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Diego Wave FC	12	May 13 – Sep 9	1 in 136
2	Portland Thorns	7	Aug 24 – Oct 6	1 in 76
3	Houston Dash	9	Jun 8 – Sep 15	1 in 21
4	Racing Louisville	5	Jun 15 – Jul 7	1 in 19
5	Seattle Reign	9	May 9 – Jul 8	1 in 15

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Orlando Pride 4

Chicago Red Stars 1

Nov 9

Kansas City Current 1

North Carolina Courage 0

Nov 9

Second Round

Washington Spirit 2

Bay FC 1

Nov 10

NY/NJ Gotham FC 2

Portland Thorns 1

Nov 10

Semifinals

NY/NJ Gotham FC 0

Washington Spirit 0

1 games · Nov 16–Nov 16

Orlando Pride 1

Kansas City Current 0

1 games · Nov 17–Nov 17

WNBA Finals

Orlando Pride 1

Washington Spirit 0

1 games · Nov 24–Nov 24

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FC	FC	Stars	Dash	Current	FC	Courage	Pride	Thorns	Louisville	FC	Reign	FC	Spirit
Angel City FC	—	0 (3.7 exp.)	6 (2.3 exp.)	1 (3.2 exp.)	0 (2.0 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	4 (1.9 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	1 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	4 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)
Bay FC	6 (1.9 exp.)	—	3 (2.0 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	4 (1.8 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	6 (2.4 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	6 (2.4 exp.)	0 (3.6 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)
Chicago Red Stars	0 (3.3 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)	—	6 (3.2 exp.)	1 (1.1 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)	0 (2.4 exp.)	1 (1.9 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	0 (3.0 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	6 (3.1 exp.)	6 (3.9 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)
Houston Dash	4 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	0 (2.4 exp.)	—	1 (1.2 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	0 (0.7 exp.)	0 (2.1 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	4 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	1 (3.3 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)
Kansas City Current	6 (3.6 exp.)	6 (4.3 exp.)	4 (4.6 exp.)	4 (4.5 exp.)	—	2 (3.2 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	1 (2.3 exp.)	6 (2.9 exp.)	4 (4.3 exp.)	6 (3.9 exp.)	4 (4.3 exp.)	6 (4.8 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)
NY/NJ Gotham FC	6 (4.0 exp.)	6 (4.2 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	6 (4.0 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)	—	3 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	6 (2.9 exp.)	4 (2.7 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)	4 (4.0 exp.)	6 (4.8 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)
North Carolina Courage	1 (3.8 exp.)	1 (3.8 exp.)	6 (3.1 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)	—	1 (1.9 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)	6 (4.1 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	3 (4.3 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)
Orlando Pride	4 (3.9 exp.)	6 (4.8 exp.)	4 (3.7 exp.)	6 (5.1 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	4 (3.8 exp.)	—	3 (4.3 exp.)	4 (3.1 exp.)	4 (3.7 exp.)	6 (4.6 exp.)	6 (4.3 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)
Portland Thorns	4 (2.9 exp.)	3 (4.1 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	6 (3.5 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	1 (2.8 exp.)	3 (3.7 exp.)	4 (4.2 exp.)	1 (4.0 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)
Racing Louisville	3 (3.1 exp.)	0 (3.2 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	4 (3.2 exp.)	1 (1.4 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)	—	1 (3.1 exp.)	1 (3.3 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)
San Diego Wave FC	1 (2.9 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	0 (2.8 exp.)	1 (3.2 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)	1 (2.2 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	1 (2.0 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	4 (2.4 exp.)	—	3 (3.0 exp.)	6 (3.2 exp.)	2 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Reign	3 (3.0 exp.)	0 (3.2 exp.)	0 (2.5 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	1 (1.4 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	4 (2.3 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	—	1 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)
Utah Royals FC	1 (2.3 exp.)	6 (2.0 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	4 (2.3 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)	4 (1.7 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	0 (2.4 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	—	0 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Spirit	6 (4.2 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	6 (3.9 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)	6 (2.9 exp.)	3 (4.0 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	2 (4.6 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	6 (4.4 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.04%	11.81%	6.04%	2.20%	0.27%	0.27%	26.65%
1	11.81%	8.79%	9.34%	3.57%	2.20%	0.82%	36.54%
2	6.04%	9.34%	2.20%	3.02%	0.82%	0.55%	21.98%
3	2.20%	3.57%	3.02%	0.55%	—	—	9.34%
4	0.27%	2.20%	0.82%	—	—	0.27%	3.57%
5+	0.27%	0.82%	0.55%	—	0.27%	—	1.92%
Total	26.65%	36.54%	21.98%	9.34%	3.57%	1.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.33	+0.00
SD	1.19	1.19	1.66
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Angel City FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.62	-0.50
SD	0.86	1.17	1.24
CV	0.77	0.72	—
Max	3	4	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	23.08%	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	46.15%
2	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	11.54%	—	7.69%	100%

Bay FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.58	-0.38
SD	0.94	1.39	1.53
CV	0.79	0.88	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Chicago Red Stars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.46	-0.27
SD	0.90	1.14	1.59
CV	0.75	0.78	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	46.15%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	15.38%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Houston Dash — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.77	1.62	-0.85
SD	0.91	1.42	1.62
CV	1.18	0.88	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
Total	34.62%	30.77%	23.08%	3.85%	7.69%	—	100%

Kansas City Current — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	1.19	+1.00
SD	1.55	1.20	1.50
CV	0.71	1.01	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	15.38%	19.23%	—	—	—	—	34.62%
2	19.23%	19.23%	—	—	—	—	38.46%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	53.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	100%

NY/NJ Gotham FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	0.77	+0.81
SD	1.17	0.65	1.47
CV	0.74	0.85	—
Max	5	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	23.08%	—	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
1	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	57.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

North Carolina Courage — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.08	+0.23
SD	1.35	0.93	1.70
CV	1.03	0.87	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	26.92%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	50.00%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Orlando Pride — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	0.77	+1.00
SD	1.37	0.91	1.55
CV	0.77	1.18	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	30.77%
1	7.69%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	19.23%	34.62%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Portland Thorns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.35	+0.08
SD	1.33	1.32	1.81
CV	0.94	0.98	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Racing Louisville — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.50	-0.23
SD	1.22	1.14	1.53
CV	0.96	0.76	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	15.38%	23.08%	—	7.69%	—	50.00%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	38.46%	26.92%	3.85%	7.69%	—	100%

San Diego Wave FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.35	-0.42
SD	0.80	1.13	1.42
CV	0.86	0.84	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	38.46%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Seattle Reign — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	1.69	-0.65
SD	1.00	1.29	1.32
CV	0.96	0.76	—
Max	3	5	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	23.08%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	42.31%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	46.15%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Utah Royals FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.54	-0.69
SD	0.92	1.50	1.87
CV	1.09	0.98	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	11.54%	19.23%	—	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	46.15%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Washington Spirit — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.96	1.08	+0.88
SD	1.28	0.89	1.61
CV	0.65	0.83	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+11.8
Allowed	0.79	-15.7
Differential	0.96	+7.9

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
NY/NJ Gotham FC	1760	56	43.81	+12.19	97.56%	17	33	39	44	48	54	70
Kansas City Current	1729	55	49.17	+5.83	84.09%	22	39	45	49	53	59	73
Orlando Pride	1704	60	50.89	+9.11	94.11%	25	40	47	51	55	61	74
Washington Spirit	1697	56	48.12	+7.88	90.59%	22	38	44	48	52	59	73
North Carolina Courage	1519	39	40.42	-1.42	44.27%	14	30	36	40	45	51	69
Bay FC	1494	34	26.39	+7.61	89.90%	3	16	22	26	31	37	54
Portland Thorns	1452	34	40.03	-6.03	19.96%	15	29	36	40	44	51	67
Utah Royals FC	1423	25	22.89	+2.11	67.61%	2	13	19	23	27	33	50
Chicago Red Stars	1412	32	34.87	-2.87	36.07%	3	24	30	35	39	46	62
Angel City FC	1379	27	31.75	-4.75	26.01%	6	21	27	32	36	43	62
Racing Louisville	1378	28	35.69	-7.69	13.89%	10	25	31	36	40	47	63
San Diego Wave FC	1372	25	31.86	-6.86	16.04%	6	21	28	32	36	43	60
Seattle Reign	1356	23	29.61	-6.61	17.03%	5	19	25	29	34	40	60
Houston Dash	1325	20	27.80	-7.80	12.34%	3	18	23	28	32	38	58

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Orlando Pride	37.32%	24.88%	16.33%	9.88%	5.62%	2.99%	1.49%	0.84%	0.38%	0.17%	0.06%	0.03%	<0.01%	-
Kansas City Current	26.19%	24.30%	19.06%	12.67%	7.91%	4.71%	2.54%	1.32%	0.67%	0.36%	0.17%	0.07%	0.02%	<0.01%
Washington Spirit	21.44%	22.23%	19.85%	14.32%	9.40%	5.75%	3.36%	1.82%	0.97%	0.50%	0.22%	0.09%	0.04%	<0.01%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	7.85%	12.21%	15.65%	17.59%	14.78%	11.56%	7.92%	5.25%	3.26%	1.96%	1.11%	0.57%	0.24%	0.05%
North Carolina Courage	3.02%	6.09%	9.64%	13.62%	15.49%	14.51%	11.92%	9.21%	6.60%	4.34%	2.79%	1.64%	0.84%	0.29%
Portland Thorns	2.61%	5.66%	9.30%	12.73%	14.92%	14.58%	12.54%	9.62%	6.84%	4.92%	3.22%	1.79%	0.93%	0.34%
Racing Louisville	0.68%	1.87%	3.83%	6.25%	9.43%	11.70%	13.28%	12.91%	11.69%	9.76%	7.69%	5.51%	3.63%	1.77%
Chicago Red Stars	0.48%	1.37%	2.89%	5.25%	8.17%	10.90%	12.84%	13.27%	12.62%	10.73%	8.68%	6.54%	4.22%	2.04%
San Diego Wave FC	0.14%	0.50%	1.16%	2.42%	4.41%	6.88%	9.31%	11.78%	13.07%	13.40%	12.56%	11.01%	8.25%	5.11%
Angel City FC	0.18%	0.52%	1.22%	2.58%	4.41%	6.68%	9.18%	11.26%	12.68%	13.10%	12.90%	11.11%	8.86%	5.32%
Seattle Reign	0.06%	0.22%	0.60%	1.37%	2.54%	4.44%	6.47%	8.94%	11.22%	13.06%	14.42%	14.55%	12.85%	9.27%
Houston Dash	0.03%	0.10%	0.27%	0.75%	1.62%	2.76%	4.63%	6.68%	9.06%	11.81%	14.10%	16.40%	17.22%	14.59%
Bay FC	0.01%	0.06%	0.17%	0.45%	1.03%	1.93%	3.32%	4.97%	7.38%	10.17%	13.23%	16.80%	20.54%	19.94%
Utah Royals FC	-	<0.01%	0.04%	0.12%	0.27%	0.62%	1.19%	2.15%	3.55%	5.73%	8.85%	13.89%	22.34%	41.25%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Orlando Pride	37.32%	24.88%	16.33%	9.88%	5.62%	2.99%	1.49%	0.84%	0.65%
Kansas City Current	26.19%	24.30%	19.06%	12.67%	7.91%	4.71%	2.54%	1.32%	1.29%
Washington Spirit	21.44%	22.23%	19.85%	14.32%	9.40%	5.75%	3.36%	1.82%	1.82%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	7.85%	12.21%	15.65%	17.59%	14.78%	11.56%	7.92%	5.25%	7.21%
North Carolina Courage	3.02%	6.09%	9.64%	13.62%	15.49%	14.51%	11.92%	9.21%	16.50%
Portland Thorns	2.61%	5.66%	9.30%	12.73%	14.92%	14.58%	12.54%	9.62%	18.05%
Racing Louisville	0.68%	1.87%	3.83%	6.25%	9.43%	11.70%	13.28%	12.91%	40.06%
Chicago Red Stars	0.48%	1.37%	2.89%	5.25%	8.17%	10.90%	12.84%	13.27%	44.83%
Angel City FC	0.18%	0.52%	1.22%	2.58%	4.41%	6.68%	9.18%	11.26%	63.97%
San Diego Wave FC	0.14%	0.50%	1.16%	2.42%	4.41%	6.88%	9.31%	11.78%	63.40%
Seattle Reign	0.06%	0.22%	0.60%	1.37%	2.54%	4.44%	6.47%	8.94%	75.38%
Houston Dash	0.03%	0.10%	0.27%	0.75%	1.62%	2.76%	4.63%	6.68%	83.17%
Bay FC	0.01%	0.06%	0.17%	0.45%	1.03%	1.93%	3.32%	4.97%	88.06%
Utah Royals FC	-	<0.01%	0.04%	0.12%	0.27%	0.62%	1.19%	2.15%	95.61%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.19%

Fortress

47.80%17.58%34.62%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 46.08 Elo pts.

220 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.21+2

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 5.12 · As Expected: 5.12 to 7.04 · Elevated: 7.04 to 9.6 · High Variance: 9.6 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 · Close: 1.6 to 2.17 · Off Target: 2.17 to 2.82 · Well Off Target: 2.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.7 · As Expected: 0.7 to 1.68 · Several Outliers: 1.68 to 3.08 · Many Outliers: 3.08 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.98 · As Expected: 0.98 to 1.63 · More Than Expected: 1.63 to 2.61 · Far More Than Expected: 2.61 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.92 points

As Expected

06.4016

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.57

Pinpoint

01.884

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

97.56%

NY/NJ Gotham FC

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

12.34%

Houston Dash

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 14

As Expected

01.47

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

1 of 8

As Expected

01.38

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.84

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

83%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

92%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Nail-Biters

0%63%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Occasional

0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.57

Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.17

Volatile

01.002

Repeatability

-0.25

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Chalk Held

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.12 · Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.24 · Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.30

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.97

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.096

Within Noise

00.1200.3

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Quarterfinals	Advanced to Semifinals	Won Semifinals
Kansas City Current	49.36%	49.36%	39.17%	23.88%
Orlando Pride	49.68%	49.68%	39.16%	22.73%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	46.40%	46.40%	35.17%	21.68%
Washington Spirit	49.09%	49.09%	36.94%	20.24%
North Carolina Courage	41.75%	41.75%	15.82%	4.66%
Portland Thorns	40.98%	40.98%	12.08%	2.78%
Chicago Red Stars	27.59%	27.59%	5.71%	1.14%
Racing Louisville	29.97%	29.97%	5.51%	0.97%
Angel City FC	18.01%	18.01%	2.96%	0.54%
San Diego Wave FC	18.30%	18.30%	2.87%	0.48%
Bay FC	5.97%	5.97%	1.44%	0.41%
Seattle Reign	12.31%	12.31%	1.82%	0.29%
Houston Dash	8.41%	8.41%	1.00%	0.13%
Utah Royals FC	2.19%	2.19%	0.36%	0.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Angel City FC	Bay FC	Chicago Red Stars	Houston Dash	Kansas City Current	NY/NJ Gotham FC	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Utah Royals FC	Washington Spirit
Angel City FC			60.0%<0.01%		13.3%0.14%	12.7%0.12%	32.4%0.02%	13.0%0.12%	40.7%0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	16.4%0.11%
Bay FC			50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	18.4%0.11%	22.7%0.09%	38.5%0.01%	25.4%0.09%	70.0%<0.01%	77.8%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.08%
Chicago Red Stars	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	13.4%0.29%	13.4%0.28%	22.9%0.03%	18.3%0.27%	49.0%0.02%	58.3%0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.5%0.21%
Houston Dash		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		4.1%0.04%	10.6%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	8.5%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		2.0%0.03%
Kansas City Current	86.7%0.14%	81.6%0.11%	86.6%0.29%	95.9%0.04%		48.1%6.87%	75.5%1.23%	53.0%7.67%	81.1%0.75%	83.1%0.25%	87.8%0.12%	86.0%0.08%	75.0%0.02%	54.4%6.32%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	87.3%0.12%	77.3%0.09%	86.6%0.28%	89.4%0.03%	51.9%6.87%		77.7%1.13%	54.5%6.40%	81.6%0.68%	88.5%0.23%	82.1%0.13%	87.2%0.07%	82.9%0.02%	56.6%5.64%
North Carolina Courage	67.6%0.02%	61.5%0.01%	77.1%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	24.5%1.23%	22.3%1.13%		27.1%1.10%	56.0%0.10%	55.9%0.03%	58.8%0.02%	79.2%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	27.4%0.97%
Orlando Pride	87.0%0.12%	74.6%0.09%	81.7%0.27%	91.5%0.03%	47.0%7.67%	45.5%6.40%	72.9%1.10%		78.5%0.64%	81.4%0.22%	85.6%0.10%	86.7%0.07%	80.0%0.01%	51.9%5.99%
Portland Thorns	59.3%0.01%	30.0%<0.01%	51.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	18.9%0.75%	18.4%0.68%	44.0%0.10%	21.5%0.64%		71.4%0.02%	65.0%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	19.9%0.55%
Racing Louisville	55.6%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	16.9%0.25%	11.5%0.23%	44.1%0.03%	18.6%0.22%	28.6%0.02%		71.4%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.20%
San Diego Wave FC	66.7%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%		12.2%0.12%	17.9%0.13%	41.2%0.02%	14.4%0.10%	35.0%0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%		16.8%0.09%
Seattle Reign	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	14.0%0.08%	12.8%0.07%	20.8%0.01%	13.3%0.07%	57.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%			16.0%0.05%
Utah Royals FC	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.02%	17.1%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%				8.7%0.01%
Washington Spirit	83.6%0.11%	75.0%0.08%	79.5%0.21%	98.0%0.03%	45.6%6.32%	43.4%5.64%	72.6%0.97%	48.1%5.99%	80.1%0.55%	86.7%0.20%	83.2%0.09%	84.0%0.05%	91.3%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Angel City FC	Bay FC	Chicago Red Stars	Houston Dash	Kansas City Current	NY/NJ Gotham FC	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Utah Royals FC	Washington Spirit
Angel City FC		41.1%0.04%	44.0%0.46%	54.5%0.08%	9.2%3.80%	8.5%2.37%	27.8%1.42%	10.9%4.10%	36.8%1.31%	48.0%0.54%	50.7%0.19%	55.8%0.12%	50.0%0.01%	11.0%3.57%
Bay FC	58.9%0.04%		55.7%0.09%	66.7%0.02%	15.7%1.34%	14.1%0.71%	42.6%0.39%	20.3%1.59%	51.2%0.35%	68.0%0.13%	52.1%0.05%	52.4%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	19.7%1.23%
Chicago Red Stars	56.0%0.46%	44.3%0.09%		62.8%0.17%	11.6%5.33%	10.1%3.97%	34.0%2.48%	12.6%5.74%	42.1%2.34%	55.2%1.02%	60.0%0.44%	60.0%0.26%	50.0%0.03%	14.0%5.25%
Houston Dash	45.5%0.08%	33.3%0.02%	37.2%0.17%		6.9%1.88%	5.6%1.00%	22.4%0.59%	8.2%2.13%	28.0%0.51%	39.0%0.18%	46.2%0.07%	47.7%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	8.1%1.75%
Kansas City Current	90.8%3.80%	84.3%1.34%	88.4%5.33%	93.1%1.88%		48.9%5.58%	80.1%6.62%	52.3%2.19%	85.3%6.63%	90.0%5.66%	91.0%3.89%	90.9%2.62%	89.5%0.51%	55.2%3.30%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	91.5%2.37%	85.9%0.71%	89.9%3.97%	94.4%1.00%	51.1%5.58%		81.1%6.90%	54.1%4.82%	86.3%6.69%	90.7%4.33%	91.3%2.33%	91.9%1.53%	90.7%0.25%	56.8%5.90%
North Carolina Courage	72.2%1.42%	57.4%0.39%	66.0%2.48%	77.6%0.59%	19.9%6.62%	18.9%6.90%		22.2%6.24%	59.4%5.10%	70.9%2.92%	73.0%1.41%	73.8%0.90%	67.0%0.13%	24.1%6.67%
Orlando Pride	89.1%4.10%	79.7%1.59%	87.4%5.74%	91.8%2.13%	47.7%2.19%	45.9%4.82%	77.8%6.24%		84.1%6.29%	89.1%5.98%	89.4%4.32%	90.4%3.05%	86.9%0.61%	52.9%2.61%
Portland Thorns	63.2%1.31%	48.8%0.35%	57.9%2.34%	72.0%0.51%	14.7%6.63%	13.7%6.69%	40.6%5.10%	15.9%6.29%		62.4%2.76%	66.1%1.34%	68.2%0.85%	63.6%0.11%	16.9%6.71%
Racing Louisville	52.0%0.54%	32.0%0.13%	44.8%1.02%	61.0%0.18%	10.0%5.66%	9.3%4.33%	29.1%2.92%	10.9%5.98%	37.6%2.76%		52.8%0.53%	51.9%0.33%	51.1%0.04%	11.5%5.56%
San Diego Wave FC	49.3%0.19%	47.9%0.05%	40.0%0.44%	53.8%0.07%	9.0%3.89%	8.7%2.33%	27.0%1.41%	10.6%4.32%	33.9%1.34%	47.2%0.53%		47.6%0.11%	38.7%0.02%	10.8%3.61%
Seattle Reign	44.2%0.12%	47.6%0.02%	40.0%0.26%	52.3%0.04%	9.1%2.62%	8.1%1.53%	26.2%0.90%	9.6%3.05%	31.8%0.85%	48.1%0.33%	52.4%0.11%		33.3%<0.01%	10.3%2.47%
Utah Royals FC	50.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	10.5%0.51%	9.3%0.25%	33.0%0.13%	13.1%0.61%	36.4%0.11%	48.9%0.04%	61.3%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%		12.4%0.46%
Washington Spirit	89.0%3.57%	80.3%1.23%	86.0%5.25%	91.9%1.75%	44.8%3.30%	43.2%5.90%	75.9%6.67%	47.1%2.61%	83.1%6.71%	88.5%5.56%	89.2%3.61%	89.7%2.47%	87.6%0.46%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Angel City FC	Bay FC	Chicago Red Stars	Houston Dash	Kansas City Current	NY/NJ Gotham FC	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Utah Royals FC	Washington Spirit
Angel City FC		28.9%0.02%	43.8%0.07%	55.6%0.01%	10.8%0.64%	11.5%0.55%	35.0%0.22%	13.6%0.61%	40.9%0.15%	47.4%0.08%	56.2%0.04%	56.8%0.02%	58.3%<0.01%	13.3%0.55%
Bay FC	71.1%0.02%		60.9%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	20.8%0.28%	17.4%0.29%	45.7%0.11%	17.9%0.26%	58.2%0.08%	68.8%0.03%	75.0%0.02%	81.2%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	23.1%0.28%
Chicago Red Stars	56.2%0.07%	39.1%0.05%		74.4%0.02%	15.0%1.26%	13.3%1.01%	35.0%0.39%	13.7%1.26%	43.5%0.27%	48.3%0.15%	54.7%0.07%	51.2%0.04%	53.8%<0.01%	15.8%1.11%
Houston Dash	44.4%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	25.6%0.02%		6.6%0.21%	7.4%0.19%	23.2%0.08%	10.3%0.21%	33.0%0.04%	48.8%0.02%	42.9%0.01%	45.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	10.1%0.19%
Kansas City Current	89.2%0.64%	79.2%0.28%	85.0%1.26%	93.4%0.21%		48.7%9.04%	78.7%3.67%	51.8%9.20%	83.7%2.80%	88.9%1.21%	89.9%0.59%	91.8%0.39%	84.6%0.07%	55.0%9.81%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	88.5%0.55%	82.6%0.29%	86.7%1.01%	92.6%0.19%	51.3%9.04%		77.8%2.72%	55.3%9.34%	82.9%2.07%	87.8%1.00%	91.3%0.54%	89.9%0.33%	89.0%0.07%	56.6%8.02%
North Carolina Courage	65.0%0.22%	54.3%0.11%	65.0%0.39%	76.8%0.08%	21.3%3.67%	22.2%2.72%		23.9%3.86%	60.2%0.74%	71.2%0.38%	69.1%0.21%	73.3%0.13%	69.5%0.03%	26.1%3.28%
Orlando Pride	86.4%0.61%	82.1%0.26%	86.3%1.26%	89.7%0.21%	48.2%9.20%	44.7%9.34%	76.1%3.86%		80.9%2.89%	87.5%1.24%	88.0%0.60%	89.9%0.39%	84.1%0.07%	52.0%9.21%
Portland Thorns	59.1%0.15%	41.8%0.08%	56.5%0.27%	67.0%0.04%	16.3%2.80%	17.1%2.07%	39.8%0.74%	19.1%2.89%		60.9%0.25%	58.7%0.15%	59.7%0.09%	50.0%0.02%	20.5%2.50%
Racing Louisville	52.6%0.08%	31.2%0.03%	51.7%0.15%	51.2%0.02%	11.1%1.21%	12.2%1.00%	28.8%0.38%	12.5%1.24%	39.1%0.25%		52.0%0.07%	54.4%0.04%	35.0%0.01%	14.2%1.02%
San Diego Wave FC	43.8%0.04%	25.0%0.02%	45.3%0.07%	57.1%0.01%	10.1%0.59%	8.7%0.54%	30.9%0.21%	12.0%0.60%	41.3%0.15%	48.0%0.07%		39.0%0.02%	57.1%<0.01%	13.0%0.55%
Seattle Reign	43.2%0.02%	18.8%<0.01%	48.8%0.04%	54.5%<0.01%	8.2%0.39%	10.1%0.33%	26.7%0.13%	10.1%0.39%	40.3%0.09%	45.6%0.04%	61.0%0.02%		33.3%<0.01%	14.0%0.35%
Utah Royals FC	41.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	46.2%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.07%	11.0%0.07%	30.5%0.03%	15.9%0.07%	50.0%0.02%	65.0%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		12.9%0.07%
Washington Spirit	86.7%0.55%	76.9%0.28%	84.2%1.11%	89.9%0.19%	45.0%9.81%	43.4%8.02%	73.9%3.28%	48.0%9.21%	79.5%2.50%	85.8%1.02%	87.0%0.55%	86.0%0.35%	87.1%0.07%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Quarterfinals	Advanced to Semifinals	Won Semifinals	Actual Outcome
NY/NJ Gotham FC	50.00%	44.15%	25.33%	Won Semifinals
Orlando Pride	50.00%	43.82%	24.73%	Won Semifinals
Kansas City Current	50.00%	40.72%	21.32%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Washington Spirit	50.00%	40.42%	21.12%	Eliminated in Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bay FC	Chicago Red Stars	Kansas City Current	NY/NJ Gotham FC	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Washington Spirit
Bay FC		70.7%0.04%	20.9%0.88%		44.0%0.13%	25.0%1.02%
Chicago Red Stars	29.3%0.04%			13.4%0.53%			36.4%0.03%	18.2%0.44%
Kansas City Current	79.1%0.88%			40.7%10.79%			79.6%0.62%	47.5%9.02%
NY/NJ Gotham FC		86.6%0.53%	59.3%10.79%		79.0%1.49%	50.7%12.52%
North Carolina Courage	56.0%0.13%			21.0%1.49%			65.6%0.09%	27.6%1.21%
Orlando Pride	75.0%1.02%			49.3%12.52%			80.6%0.74%	56.4%10.45%
Portland Thorns		63.6%0.03%	20.4%0.62%		34.4%0.09%	19.4%0.74%
Washington Spirit		81.8%0.44%	52.5%9.02%		72.4%1.21%	43.6%10.45%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bay FC	Chicago Red Stars	Kansas City Current	NY/NJ Gotham FC	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Washington Spirit
Bay FC								19.2%50.00%
Chicago Red Stars						12.4%50.00%
Kansas City Current					81.4%50.00%
NY/NJ Gotham FC							88.3%50.00%
North Carolina Courage			18.6%50.00%
Orlando Pride		87.6%50.00%
Portland Thorns				11.7%50.00%
Washington Spirit	80.8%50.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bay FC	Chicago Red Stars	Kansas City Current	NY/NJ Gotham FC	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Washington Spirit
Bay FC				18.0%8.47%			49.7%1.11%
Chicago Red Stars			13.7%5.02%		30.7%1.16%
Kansas City Current		86.3%5.02%				47.6%35.69%
NY/NJ Gotham FC	82.0%8.47%							51.5%35.68%
North Carolina Courage		69.3%1.16%				26.0%8.13%
Orlando Pride			52.4%35.69%		74.0%8.13%
Portland Thorns	50.3%1.11%							19.6%4.74%
Washington Spirit				48.5%35.68%			80.4%4.74%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

NY/NJ Gotham FC 25.33% chance to win

Finals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

44.48%

Win Prob

59.26%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Portland Thorns

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

88.31%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

72.57%

Win Prob

51.51%

Orlando Pride 24.73% chance to win

Finals

vs. NY/NJ Gotham FC

Matchup

45.93%

Win Prob

49.26%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Chicago Red Stars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

87.64%

→

Semifinals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

75.67%

Win Prob

52.42%

Kansas City Current 21.32% chance to win

Finals

vs. NY/NJ Gotham FC

Matchup

44.54%

Win Prob

40.74%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. North Carolina Courage

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

81.43%

→

Semifinals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

79.66%

Win Prob

47.58%

Washington Spirit 21.12% chance to win

Finals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

45.02%

Win Prob

52.54%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Bay FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

80.85%

→

Semifinals

vs. NY/NJ Gotham FC

Matchup

81.95%

Win Prob

48.49%

North Carolina Courage 2.91% chance to win

Finals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

42.88%

Win Prob

27.62%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.57%

→

Semifinals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

72.50%

Win Prob

25.98%

Bay FC 2.07% chance to win

Finals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

48.57%

Win Prob

24.96%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

19.15%

→

Semifinals

vs. NY/NJ Gotham FC

Matchup

73.49%

Win Prob

17.98%

Portland Thorns 1.49% chance to win

Finals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

44.34%

Win Prob

19.36%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. NY/NJ Gotham FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

11.69%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

62.55%

Win Prob

19.61%

Chicago Red Stars 1.04% chance to win

Finals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

45.85%

Win Prob

18.18%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

12.36%

→

Semifinals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

65.87%

Win Prob

13.66%

Filter by Team:

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-03-18	Bay FC	L 0-1	53.1	1509.74	1400.00	60.63%	17.68%	21.69%	+0.71	-38.64	0
2024-03-23	@ Orlando Pride	T 1-1	64.9	1471.10	1506.91	28.96%	20.01%	51.03%	-0.37	+3.15	1
2024-03-30	@ Kansas City Current	L 2-4	51.7	1474.25	1573.93	22.56%	18.06%	59.38%	-0.66	-23.22	1
2024-04-14	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 1-0	57.4	1451.03	1569.62	20.95%	17.34%	61.71%	-0.75	+39.21	4
2024-04-22	North Carolina Courage	W 2-1	61.1	1490.24	1581.91	33.31%	20.69%	46.00%	-0.21	+30.75	7
2024-04-27	Kansas City Current	L 1-3	54.7	1520.99	1616.46	32.83%	20.64%	46.54%	-0.22	-33.04	7
2024-05-04	@ Utah Royals FC	W 2-1	46.8	1487.95	1342.73	53.35%	19.57%	27.08%	+0.45	+19.64	10
2024-05-13	Houston Dash	L 0-1	53.0	1507.59	1398.45	60.55%	17.70%	21.74%	+0.70	-38.60	10
2024-05-19	@ Washington Spirit	L 2-4	51.3	1468.99	1597.06	20.18%	16.96%	62.85%	-0.79	-20.65	10
2024-05-24	San Diego Wave FC	T 0-0	57.7	1448.34	1465.03	43.71%	20.88%	35.42%	+0.13	-1.15	11
2024-06-08	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-2	50.4	1447.19	1580.69	19.76%	16.74%	63.50%	-0.81	-14.27	11
2024-06-16	@ Houston Dash	T 0-0	56.5	1432.92	1438.45	32.55%	20.60%	46.85%	-0.23	+2.00	12
2024-06-20	Racing Louisville	W 3-2	61.2	1434.92	1516.50	34.61%	20.82%	44.57%	-0.16	+29.97	15
2024-06-23	@ Bay FC	L 0-1	47.7	1464.89	1348.64	49.43%	20.27%	30.30%	+0.32	-32.62	15
2024-07-01	Orlando Pride	L 0-3	39.9	1432.27	1681.58	17.99%	15.76%	66.25%	-0.92	-22.32	15
2024-07-07	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-2	51.0	1409.95	1593.35	23.32%	18.36%	58.32%	-0.62	-16.97	15
2024-08-24	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	51.7	1392.98	1392.19	33.34%	20.70%	45.96%	-0.21	+30.72	18
2024-09-01	Chicago Red Stars	W 2-1	50.5	1423.70	1438.98	43.91%	20.86%	35.23%	+0.14	+24.80	21
2024-09-07	Seattle Reign	L 2-3	59.6	1448.50	1469.47	43.10%	20.91%	35.99%	+0.11	-29.17	21
2024-09-15	@ Racing Louisville	L 1-2	49.4	1419.33	1403.85	35.26%	20.87%	43.88%	-0.14	-24.81	21
2024-09-24	Portland Thorns	T 2-2	65.7	1394.52	1442.49	39.22%	21.01%	39.77%	-0.01	+0.08	22
2024-09-28	Washington Spirit	L 1-2	50.0	1394.60	1657.95	17.01%	15.15%	67.83%	-0.99	-12.11	22
2024-10-05	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	47.1	1382.49	1404.56	30.54%	20.31%	49.15%	-0.31	+32.47	25
2024-10-13	@ North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	66.9	1414.96	1580.12	17.43%	15.41%	67.16%	-0.96	+7.38	26
2024-10-21	Utah Royals FC	T 1-1	60.7	1422.34	1439.61	43.62%	20.88%	35.49%	+0.13	-1.13	27
2024-11-02	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-3	36.8	1421.21	1409.24	34.79%	20.83%	44.38%	-0.15	-42.50	27
2024-03-18	@ Angel City FC	W 1-0	53.1	1400.00	1509.74	21.69%	17.68%	60.63%	-0.71	+38.64	3
2024-03-24	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-2	49.9	1438.64	1488.14	27.46%	19.67%	52.88%	-0.43	-19.90	3
2024-03-31	Houston Dash	L 2-3	57.3	1418.74	1472.95	38.34%	21.00%	40.66%	-0.04	-26.56	3
2024-04-15	Seattle Reign	W 3-2	60.1	1392.18	1498.59	31.48%	20.46%	48.06%	-0.27	+31.87	6
2024-04-21	@ Kansas City Current	L 2-5	43.7	1424.05	1595.51	17.00%	15.14%	67.86%	-0.99	-20.94	6
2024-04-28	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 1-2	47.2	1403.11	1497.40	23.05%	18.25%	58.70%	-0.64	-16.77	6
2024-05-02	Portland Thorns	L 2-3	54.3	1386.34	1543.17	25.88%	19.23%	54.89%	-0.50	-18.82	6
2024-05-06	Chicago Red Stars	L 1-2	48.8	1367.52	1468.33	32.16%	20.56%	47.28%	-0.25	-22.95	6
2024-05-12	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-1	38.3	1344.57	1639.75	10.16%	9.90%	79.93%	-1.55	-6.69	6
2024-05-18	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	55.4	1337.88	1501.07	25.24%	19.04%	55.72%	-0.53	+36.04	9
2024-05-25	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-2	38.2	1373.92	1556.61	23.39%	18.39%	58.23%	-0.62	-24.08	9
2024-06-09	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 2-1	55.6	1349.84	1456.04	21.99%	17.82%	60.19%	-0.69	+38.42	12
2024-06-17	Utah Royals FC	L 0-1	48.1	1388.26	1263.19	62.49%	17.08%	20.42%	+0.78	-39.62	12
2024-06-23	Angel City FC	W 1-0	47.7	1348.64	1464.89	30.30%	20.27%	49.43%	-0.32	+32.62	15
2024-06-29	@ Racing Louisville	W 1-0	51.6	1381.26	1484.88	22.22%	17.91%	59.87%	-0.68	+38.25	18
2024-07-07	Washington Spirit	L 0-3	39.1	1419.51	1630.38	20.94%	17.34%	61.72%	-0.75	-26.31	18
2024-08-24	@ Utah Royals FC	L 1-2	50.2	1393.20	1305.30	45.47%	20.74%	33.79%	+0.19	-30.45	18
2024-08-31	@ Portland Thorns	W 3-1	56.0	1362.75	1550.12	15.95%	14.45%	69.60%	-1.06	+61.01	21
2024-09-08	Racing Louisville	W 1-0	44.2	1423.76	1427.77	45.50%	20.74%	33.76%	+0.19	+23.93	24
2024-09-14	@ North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	67.4	1447.69	1572.70	20.43%	17.09%	62.49%	-0.78	+6.20	25
2024-09-21	Orlando Pride	L 0-1	47.7	1453.89	1768.03	13.85%	12.94%	73.20%	-1.22	-9.58	25
2024-09-30	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	48.3	1444.31	1434.60	34.49%	20.81%	44.70%	-0.17	+30.04	28
2024-10-06	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-5	43.3	1474.35	1663.40	15.84%	14.38%	69.78%	-1.07	-22.34	28
2024-10-13	Kansas City Current	L 0-1	48.2	1452.01	1692.36	18.64%	16.14%	65.22%	-0.88	-13.40	28
2024-10-20	North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	54.8	1438.61	1572.74	28.27%	19.86%	51.86%	-0.40	+33.95	31
2024-11-03	@ Houston Dash	W 3-2	52.3	1472.56	1346.37	50.79%	20.05%	29.16%	+0.36	+21.04	34
2024-03-17	@ Utah Royals FC	W 2-0	40.4	1515.83	1400.00	49.37%	20.28%	30.35%	+0.32	+30.85	3
2024-03-23	Seattle Reign	W 2-1	58.1	1546.68	1548.41	45.83%	20.71%	33.46%	+0.20	+23.75	6
2024-03-30	@ Orlando Pride	T 1-1	68.2	1570.43	1503.77	42.45%	20.94%	36.61%	+0.09	-0.81	7
2024-04-14	Angel City FC	L 0-1	57.4	1569.62	1451.03	61.71%	17.34%	20.95%	+0.75	-39.20	7
2024-04-22	@ Seattle Reign	W 2-1	55.7	1530.42	1466.72	42.03%	20.96%	37.01%	+0.08	+25.82	10
2024-04-28	Portland Thorns	L 0-2	52.3	1556.24	1492.99	54.70%	19.28%	26.02%	+0.50	-50.19	10
2024-05-02	Washington Spirit	L 2-4	58.0	1506.05	1558.85	38.54%	21.00%	40.46%	-0.03	-37.72	10
2024-05-06	@ Bay FC	W 2-1	48.8	1468.33	1367.52	47.28%	20.56%	32.16%	+0.25	+22.95	13
2024-05-12	Utah Royals FC	W 3-1	36.6	1491.28	1305.13	69.47%	14.50%	16.02%	+1.05	+16.00	16
2024-05-19	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-2	55.0	1507.28	1535.11	29.87%	20.19%	49.94%	-0.34	-21.50	16
2024-05-26	Racing Louisville	L 0-1	51.8	1485.78	1499.30	44.16%	20.85%	35.00%	+0.15	-29.74	16
2024-06-09	Bay FC	L 1-2	55.6	1456.04	1349.84	60.19%	17.82%	21.99%	+0.69	-38.41	16
2024-06-15	@ Kansas City Current	T 2-2	77.0	1417.63	1666.67	12.38%	11.78%	75.84%	-1.34	+9.39	17
2024-06-24	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-3	44.9	1427.02	1440.46	31.58%	20.47%	47.95%	-0.27	-31.94	17
2024-06-29	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 3-0	43.5	1395.08	1467.31	25.13%	19.00%	55.88%	-0.54	+62.56	20
2024-07-06	Houston Dash	W 1-0	43.6	1457.64	1425.12	50.58%	20.09%	29.33%	+0.36	+21.15	23
2024-08-25	@ Racing Louisville	L 1-3	49.0	1478.79	1420.53	41.25%	20.99%	37.77%	+0.06	-39.81	23
2024-09-01	@ Angel City FC	L 1-2	50.5	1438.98	1423.70	35.23%	20.86%	43.91%	-0.14	-24.80	23
2024-09-09	Orlando Pride	L 0-1	45.7	1414.18	1767.30	11.77%	11.28%	76.94%	-1.39	-7.93	23
2024-09-14	@ Portland Thorns	W 1-0	51.3	1406.25	1478.63	25.11%	18.99%	55.90%	-0.54	+36.13	26
2024-09-22	San Diego Wave FC	W 1-0	40.3	1442.38	1373.47	55.44%	19.10%	25.45%	+0.52	+18.51	29
2024-09-30	North Carolina Courage	L 1-3	50.7	1460.89	1532.28	35.97%	20.91%	43.12%	-0.11	-35.67	29
2024-10-05	@ Houston Dash	W 2-0	38.8	1425.22	1358.98	42.39%	20.95%	36.66%	+0.09	+36.24	32
2024-10-12	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-2	44.2	1461.46	1685.73	19.86%	16.80%	63.34%	-0.81	-20.30	32
2024-10-20	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-2	40.0	1441.16	1663.47	13.83%	12.93%	73.24%	-1.22	-13.53	32
2024-11-03	Kansas City Current	L 1-3	47.7	1427.63	1713.63	15.54%	14.17%	70.30%	-1.09	-15.45	32
2024-03-17	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-5	47.1	1519.65	1525.72	32.48%	20.60%	46.92%	-0.24	-46.30	0
2024-03-24	Racing Louisville	T 0-0	60.2	1473.35	1509.10	40.98%	20.99%	38.03%	+0.05	-0.40	1
2024-03-31	@ Bay FC	W 3-2	57.3	1472.95	1418.74	40.66%	21.00%	38.34%	+0.04	+26.56	4
2024-04-13	Washington Spirit	L 1-3	53.9	1499.51	1524.42	42.53%	20.94%	36.53%	+0.10	-40.81	4
2024-04-21	@ Portland Thorns	L 1-4	44.0	1458.70	1451.06	34.23%	20.78%	44.99%	-0.17	-41.92	4
2024-04-28	@ Utah Royals FC	T 0-0	53.7	1416.78	1341.59	43.67%	20.88%	35.45%	+0.13	-1.13	5
2024-05-05	Kansas City Current	T 1-1	69.2	1415.65	1649.50	19.13%	16.41%	64.47%	-0.85	+6.71	6
2024-05-09	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-1	46.7	1422.36	1510.69	33.73%	20.74%	45.53%	-0.19	-23.91	6
2024-05-13	@ Angel City FC	W 1-0	53.0	1398.45	1507.59	21.74%	17.70%	60.55%	-0.70	+38.60	9
2024-05-18	Portland Thorns	L 0-2	42.9	1437.05	1617.58	23.59%	18.46%	57.95%	-0.61	-24.28	9
2024-05-25	North Carolina Courage	W 3-0	42.3	1412.77	1497.76	34.16%	20.78%	45.06%	-0.18	+52.36	12
2024-06-08	@ Racing Louisville	L 0-2	41.6	1465.13	1529.04	25.96%	19.26%	54.79%	-0.50	-26.68	12
2024-06-16	Angel City FC	T 0-0	56.5	1438.45	1432.92	46.85%	20.60%	32.55%	+0.23	-2.00	13
2024-06-23	San Diego Wave FC	T 0-0	57.3	1436.45	1466.69	41.77%	20.97%	37.26%	+0.07	-0.62	14
2024-06-29	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-2	39.8	1435.83	1706.23	11.31%	10.89%	77.80%	-1.44	-10.71	14
2024-07-06	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 0-1	43.6	1425.12	1457.64	29.33%	20.09%	50.58%	-0.36	-21.15	14
2024-08-24	Orlando Pride	L 0-1	45.2	1403.97	1735.68	12.88%	12.18%	74.93%	-1.30	-8.81	14
2024-09-01	Utah Royals FC	L 1-3	48.3	1395.16	1335.76	54.20%	19.39%	26.42%	+0.48	-49.80	14
2024-09-08	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-2	43.6	1345.36	1617.69	11.22%	10.82%	77.97%	-1.44	-7.50	14
2024-09-15	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-3	31.7	1337.86	1702.51	7.43%	7.42%	85.15%	-1.86	-8.10	14
2024-09-22	Seattle Reign	W 1-0	48.2	1329.76	1468.92	27.73%	19.73%	52.54%	-0.42	+34.32	17
2024-09-29	@ Orlando Pride	L 1-3	42.3	1364.08	1777.61	5.89%	5.97%	88.14%	-2.09	-5.10	17
2024-10-05	Chicago Red Stars	L 0-2	38.8	1358.98	1425.22	36.66%	20.95%	42.39%	-0.09	-36.23	17
2024-10-14	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-0	42.4	1322.75	1385.81	26.04%	19.28%	54.68%	-0.50	+50.17	20
2024-10-19	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-2	48.2	1372.92	1335.22	38.30%	21.00%	40.70%	-0.04	-26.55	20
2024-11-03	Bay FC	L 2-3	52.3	1346.37	1472.56	29.16%	20.05%	50.79%	-0.36	-21.04	20
2024-03-16	Portland Thorns	W 5-4	65.6	1520.37	1532.39	44.37%	20.83%	34.80%	+0.15	+24.54	3
2024-03-24	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	60.0	1544.91	1522.05	36.25%	20.93%	42.83%	-0.11	+29.02	6
2024-03-30	Angel City FC	W 4-2	51.7	1573.93	1474.25	59.38%	18.06%	22.56%	+0.66	+23.21	9
2024-04-15	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	T 1-1	69.3	1597.14	1509.36	45.45%	20.74%	33.80%	+0.19	-1.63	10
2024-04-21	Bay FC	W 5-2	43.7	1595.51	1424.05	67.86%	15.14%	17.00%	+0.99	+20.95	13
2024-04-27	@ Angel City FC	W 3-1	54.7	1616.46	1520.99	46.54%	20.64%	32.83%	+0.22	+33.04	16
2024-05-05	@ Houston Dash	T 1-1	69.2	1649.50	1415.65	64.47%	16.41%	19.13%	+0.85	-6.71	17
2024-05-09	@ Seattle Reign	T 0-0	65.2	1642.79	1455.71	58.78%	18.23%	22.99%	+0.64	-5.24	18
2024-05-13	North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	48.5	1637.55	1501.13	63.85%	16.62%	19.53%	+0.83	+14.10	21
2024-05-19	Racing Louisville	T 3-3	81.5	1651.65	1492.07	66.53%	15.65%	17.82%	+0.93	-7.23	22
2024-05-26	@ Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	36.6	1644.42	1278.40	78.10%	10.75%	11.14%	+1.45	+7.45	25
2024-06-10	Seattle Reign	W 5-2	42.8	1651.87	1406.14	75.52%	11.92%	12.55%	+1.32	+14.80	28
2024-06-15	Chicago Red Stars	T 2-2	77.0	1666.67	1417.63	75.84%	11.78%	12.38%	+1.34	-9.39	29
2024-06-23	@ Portland Thorns	W 4-1	57.3	1657.28	1624.78	37.57%	20.98%	41.45%	-0.06	+48.95	32
2024-06-29	Houston Dash	W 2-0	39.8	1706.23	1435.83	77.80%	10.89%	11.31%	+1.44	+10.71	35
2024-07-07	Orlando Pride	L 1-2	68.1	1716.94	1703.90	47.90%	20.48%	31.62%	+0.27	-31.78	35
2024-08-25	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-4	56.7	1685.16	1656.68	37.02%	20.96%	42.02%	-0.08	-44.73	35
2024-09-01	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-2	64.9	1640.43	1508.01	51.63%	19.90%	28.46%	+0.39	-33.82	35
2024-09-08	Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	40.6	1606.61	1385.56	73.11%	12.98%	13.91%	+1.21	+9.62	38
2024-09-14	@ Orlando Pride	T 0-0	71.4	1616.23	1775.24	17.86%	15.68%	66.46%	-0.93	+7.21	39
2024-09-21	Washington Spirit	W 3-0	54.1	1623.44	1710.61	33.88%	20.75%	45.37%	-0.19	+52.65	42
2024-09-28	NY/NJ Gotham FC	T 1-1	74.1	1676.09	1661.03	48.18%	20.44%	31.38%	+0.28	-2.36	43
2024-10-06	@ Racing Louisville	W 2-0	42.2	1673.73	1429.49	65.67%	15.97%	18.36%	+0.90	+18.63	46
2024-10-13	@ Bay FC	W 1-0	48.2	1692.36	1452.01	65.22%	16.14%	18.64%	+0.88	+13.40	49
2024-10-19	San Diego Wave FC	W 4-1	36.7	1705.76	1335.64	85.51%	7.25%	7.24%	+1.89	+7.87	52
2024-11-03	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 3-1	47.7	1713.63	1427.63	70.30%	14.17%	15.54%	+1.09	+15.45	55
2024-03-25	@ Portland Thorns	W 1-0	53.5	1501.69	1507.85	32.47%	20.59%	46.93%	-0.24	+31.26	3
2024-03-31	@ North Carolina Courage	L 0-1	51.5	1532.95	1533.31	33.20%	20.68%	46.12%	-0.21	-23.59	3
2024-04-15	Kansas City Current	T 1-1	69.3	1509.36	1597.14	33.80%	20.74%	45.45%	-0.19	+1.63	4
2024-04-20	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-2	45.0	1510.99	1565.23	26.95%	19.54%	53.51%	-0.46	-27.66	4
2024-04-28	Racing Louisville	T 1-1	66.2	1483.33	1536.44	38.49%	21.00%	40.51%	-0.03	+0.28	5
2024-05-05	North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	51.4	1483.61	1528.22	39.71%	21.01%	39.28%	+0.01	+27.08	8
2024-05-09	@ Houston Dash	W 1-0	46.7	1510.69	1422.36	45.53%	20.74%	33.73%	+0.19	+23.91	11
2024-05-13	@ San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	66.8	1534.60	1501.58	37.65%	20.98%	41.37%	-0.06	+0.51	12
2024-05-19	Chicago Red Stars	W 2-1	55.0	1535.11	1507.28	49.94%	20.19%	29.87%	+0.34	+21.50	15
2024-05-25	@ Bay FC	W 2-0	38.2	1556.61	1373.92	58.23%	18.39%	23.39%	+0.62	+24.08	18
2024-06-08	Angel City FC	W 2-1	50.4	1580.69	1447.19	63.50%	16.74%	19.76%	+0.81	+14.27	21
2024-06-15	@ Racing Louisville	W 2-0	51.8	1594.96	1555.72	38.52%	21.00%	40.48%	-0.03	+39.22	24
2024-06-20	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	52.7	1634.18	1479.73	65.94%	15.87%	18.18%	+0.91	+13.04	27
2024-06-24	Washington Spirit	L 0-2	56.7	1647.22	1628.71	48.66%	20.38%	30.96%	+0.29	-45.54	27
2024-06-30	Seattle Reign	T 1-1	67.7	1601.68	1399.88	71.14%	13.82%	15.04%	+1.12	-8.33	28
2024-07-07	@ Angel City FC	W 2-1	51.0	1593.35	1409.95	58.32%	18.36%	23.32%	+0.62	+16.98	31
2024-08-24	Portland Thorns	W 2-0	49.3	1610.33	1580.29	50.24%	20.14%	29.61%	+0.35	+30.17	34
2024-09-02	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-2	49.2	1640.50	1744.49	22.19%	17.90%	59.92%	-0.68	-22.81	34
2024-09-08	Houston Dash	W 2-1	43.6	1617.69	1345.36	77.97%	10.82%	11.22%	+1.44	+7.50	37
2024-09-17	@ Seattle Reign	W 2-0	47.3	1625.19	1498.63	50.84%	20.04%	29.12%	+0.37	+29.71	40
2024-09-22	Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	38.4	1654.90	1342.43	81.34%	9.24%	9.42%	+1.63	+6.13	43
2024-09-28	@ Kansas City Current	T 1-1	74.1	1661.03	1676.09	31.38%	20.44%	48.18%	-0.28	+2.37	44
2024-10-06	Bay FC	W 5-1	43.3	1663.40	1474.35	69.78%	14.38%	15.84%	+1.07	+22.33	47
2024-10-12	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 2-0	44.2	1685.73	1461.46	63.34%	16.80%	19.86%	+0.81	+20.31	50
2024-10-20	Orlando Pride	W 3-1	60.6	1706.04	1735.07	41.94%	20.96%	37.09%	+0.08	+36.58	53
2024-11-02	@ Utah Royals FC	W 4-1	45.1	1742.62	1440.73	71.96%	13.47%	14.57%	+1.16	+17.58	56
2024-03-17	Houston Dash	W 5-1	47.1	1525.72	1519.65	46.92%	20.60%	32.48%	+0.24	+46.29	3
2024-03-23	@ Utah Royals FC	L 1-2	59.8	1572.01	1369.15	60.75%	17.65%	21.61%	+0.71	-38.70	3
2024-03-31	NY/NJ Gotham FC	W 1-0	51.5	1533.31	1532.95	46.12%	20.68%	33.20%	+0.21	+23.59	6
2024-04-14	Portland Thorns	W 2-0	42.4	1556.90	1476.07	56.99%	18.72%	24.29%	+0.58	+25.01	9
2024-04-22	@ Angel City FC	L 1-2	61.1	1581.91	1490.24	46.00%	20.69%	33.31%	+0.21	-30.75	9
2024-04-28	Seattle Reign	W 1-0	44.4	1551.16	1440.89	60.69%	17.66%	21.65%	+0.71	+15.72	12
2024-05-02	@ Orlando Pride	L 1-4	51.4	1566.88	1583.77	31.16%	20.41%	48.43%	-0.29	-38.66	12
2024-05-05	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-1	51.4	1528.22	1483.61	39.28%	21.01%	39.71%	-0.01	-27.09	12
2024-05-13	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-1	48.5	1501.13	1637.55	19.53%	16.62%	63.85%	-0.83	-14.09	12
2024-05-18	Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	34.8	1487.04	1289.13	70.73%	13.99%	15.28%	+1.11	+10.72	15
2024-05-25	@ Houston Dash	L 0-3	42.3	1497.76	1412.77	45.06%	20.78%	34.16%	+0.18	-52.37	15
2024-06-09	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-1	44.8	1445.39	1619.74	16.80%	15.02%	68.18%	-1.00	-11.94	15
2024-06-16	Orlando Pride	T 0-0	66.2	1433.45	1677.30	18.39%	15.99%	65.63%	-0.90	+7.01	16
2024-06-24	Chicago Red Stars	W 3-1	44.9	1440.46	1427.02	47.95%	20.47%	31.58%	+0.27	+31.94	19
2024-06-30	@ Washington Spirit	W 1-0	63.4	1472.40	1674.25	15.04%	13.82%	71.14%	-1.13	+43.87	22
2024-07-07	Racing Louisville	W 3-1	45.9	1516.27	1446.64	55.54%	19.08%	25.38%	+0.53	+26.11	25
2024-08-26	@ Seattle Reign	L 0-1	52.5	1542.38	1402.53	52.63%	19.71%	27.65%	+0.43	-34.37	25
2024-09-01	Kansas City Current	W 2-1	64.9	1508.01	1640.43	28.46%	19.90%	51.63%	-0.39	+33.82	28
2024-09-09	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 4-1	40.6	1541.83	1370.83	56.73%	18.78%	24.48%	+0.57	+30.87	31
2024-09-14	Bay FC	T 1-1	67.4	1572.70	1447.69	62.49%	17.09%	20.43%	+0.78	-6.20	32
2024-09-22	@ Racing Louisville	L 1-2	59.9	1566.50	1428.66	52.36%	19.77%	27.87%	+0.42	-34.22	32
2024-09-30	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 3-1	50.7	1532.28	1460.89	43.12%	20.91%	35.97%	+0.11	+35.67	35
2024-10-06	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	46.8	1567.95	1397.99	67.70%	15.21%	17.10%	+0.98	+12.17	38
2024-10-13	Angel City FC	T 1-1	66.9	1580.12	1414.96	67.16%	15.41%	17.43%	+0.96	-7.38	39
2024-10-20	@ Bay FC	L 0-1	54.8	1572.74	1438.61	51.86%	19.86%	28.27%	+0.40	-33.95	39
2024-11-03	Washington Spirit	L 0-1	53.8	1538.79	1676.99	27.83%	19.76%	52.41%	-0.42	-20.15	39
2024-03-16	@ Racing Louisville	T 2-2	71.9	1504.88	1511.13	32.46%	20.59%	46.95%	-0.24	+2.03	1
2024-03-23	Angel City FC	T 1-1	64.9	1506.91	1471.10	51.03%	20.01%	28.96%	+0.37	-3.14	2
2024-03-30	Chicago Red Stars	T 1-1	68.2	1503.77	1570.43	36.61%	20.94%	42.45%	-0.09	+0.80	3
2024-04-13	@ Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	44.5	1504.57	1391.48	48.99%	20.33%	30.68%	+0.30	+22.02	6
2024-04-20	San Diego Wave FC	W 1-0	50.5	1526.59	1520.55	46.92%	20.60%	32.49%	+0.24	+23.15	9
2024-04-27	@ Washington Spirit	W 3-2	69.8	1549.74	1592.89	28.14%	19.83%	52.02%	-0.40	+34.03	12
2024-05-02	North Carolina Courage	W 4-1	51.4	1583.77	1566.88	48.43%	20.41%	31.16%	+0.29	+38.67	15
2024-05-06	Racing Louisville	W 1-0	50.9	1622.44	1536.17	57.68%	18.53%	23.78%	+0.60	+17.31	18
2024-05-12	Bay FC	W 1-0	38.3	1639.75	1344.57	79.93%	9.90%	10.16%	+1.55	+6.69	21
2024-05-20	@ Seattle Reign	W 3-2	57.6	1646.44	1431.65	62.20%	17.18%	20.62%	+0.77	+14.94	24
2024-05-25	Portland Thorns	W 2-1	61.9	1661.38	1641.86	48.79%	20.36%	30.84%	+0.30	+22.13	27
2024-06-08	@ San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	71.7	1683.51	1466.18	62.51%	17.08%	20.41%	+0.78	-6.21	28
2024-06-16	@ North Carolina Courage	T 0-0	66.2	1677.30	1433.45	65.63%	15.99%	18.39%	+0.90	-7.00	29
2024-06-22	Utah Royals FC	W 6-0	31.2	1670.30	1302.80	85.34%	7.33%	7.33%	+1.88	+11.28	32
2024-07-01	@ Angel City FC	W 3-0	39.9	1681.58	1432.27	66.25%	15.76%	17.99%	+0.92	+22.32	35
2024-07-07	@ Kansas City Current	W 2-1	68.1	1703.90	1716.94	31.62%	20.48%	47.90%	-0.27	+31.78	38
2024-08-24	@ Houston Dash	W 1-0	45.2	1735.68	1403.97	74.93%	12.18%	12.88%	+1.30	+8.81	41
2024-09-02	NY/NJ Gotham FC	W 2-0	49.2	1744.49	1640.50	59.92%	17.90%	22.19%	+0.68	+22.81	44
2024-09-09	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 1-0	45.7	1767.30	1414.18	76.94%	11.28%	11.77%	+1.39	+7.94	47
2024-09-14	Kansas City Current	T 0-0	71.4	1775.24	1616.23	66.46%	15.68%	17.86%	+0.93	-7.21	48
2024-09-21	@ Bay FC	W 1-0	47.7	1768.03	1453.89	73.20%	12.94%	13.85%	+1.22	+9.58	51
2024-09-29	Houston Dash	W 3-1	42.3	1777.61	1364.08	88.14%	5.97%	5.89%	+2.09	+5.09	54
2024-10-06	Washington Spirit	W 2-0	49.3	1782.70	1670.06	60.98%	17.57%	21.44%	+0.72	+22.03	57
2024-10-12	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-2	61.5	1804.73	1366.35	83.88%	8.04%	8.09%	+1.78	-69.66	57
2024-10-20	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-3	60.6	1735.07	1706.04	37.09%	20.96%	41.94%	-0.08	-36.58	57
2024-11-02	Seattle Reign	W 3-2	50.7	1698.49	1361.76	83.19%	8.37%	8.44%	+1.74	+5.41	60
2024-03-16	@ Kansas City Current	L 4-5	65.6	1532.39	1520.37	34.80%	20.83%	44.37%	-0.15	-24.54	0
2024-03-25	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-1	53.5	1507.85	1501.69	46.93%	20.59%	32.47%	+0.24	-31.26	0
2024-03-31	Racing Louisville	T 2-2	70.6	1476.59	1509.50	41.39%	20.98%	37.63%	+0.06	-0.52	1
2024-04-14	@ North Carolina Courage	L 0-2	42.4	1476.07	1556.90	24.29%	18.72%	56.99%	-0.58	-25.01	1
2024-04-21	Houston Dash	W 4-1	44.0	1451.06	1458.70	44.99%	20.78%	34.23%	+0.17	+41.93	4
2024-04-28	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 2-0	52.3	1492.99	1556.24	26.02%	19.28%	54.70%	-0.50	+50.18	7
2024-05-02	@ Bay FC	W 3-2	54.3	1543.17	1386.34	54.89%	19.23%	25.88%	+0.50	+18.81	10
2024-05-05	Washington Spirit	W 2-1	61.4	1561.98	1596.57	41.15%	20.99%	37.86%	+0.05	+26.30	13
2024-05-12	Seattle Reign	W 4-0	38.7	1588.28	1460.95	62.77%	16.99%	20.24%	+0.79	+29.30	16
2024-05-18	@ Houston Dash	W 2-0	42.9	1617.58	1437.05	57.95%	18.46%	23.59%	+0.61	+24.28	19
2024-05-25	@ Orlando Pride	L 1-2	61.9	1641.86	1661.38	30.84%	20.36%	48.79%	-0.30	-22.12	19
2024-06-09	North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	44.8	1619.74	1445.39	68.18%	15.02%	16.80%	+1.00	+11.94	22
2024-06-16	@ Seattle Reign	T 0-0	63.1	1631.68	1391.33	65.22%	16.14%	18.64%	+0.88	-6.90	23
2024-06-23	Kansas City Current	L 1-4	57.3	1624.78	1657.28	41.45%	20.98%	37.57%	+0.06	-48.95	23
2024-06-30	@ Utah Royals FC	T 0-0	58.2	1575.83	1291.52	70.12%	14.24%	15.64%	+1.08	-8.10	24
2024-07-06	San Diego Wave FC	W 1-0	41.8	1567.73	1404.75	66.91%	15.51%	17.58%	+0.95	+12.56	27
2024-08-24	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-2	49.3	1580.29	1610.33	29.61%	20.14%	50.24%	-0.35	-30.17	27
2024-08-31	Bay FC	L 1-3	56.0	1550.12	1362.75	69.60%	14.45%	15.95%	+1.06	-61.02	27
2024-09-07	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-2	52.9	1489.10	1692.04	14.97%	13.77%	71.26%	-1.13	-10.47	27
2024-09-14	Chicago Red Stars	L 0-1	51.3	1478.63	1406.25	55.90%	18.99%	25.11%	+0.54	-36.14	27
2024-09-24	@ Angel City FC	T 2-2	65.7	1442.49	1394.52	39.77%	21.01%	39.22%	+0.01	-0.07	28
2024-09-29	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 0-2	41.7	1442.42	1354.96	45.41%	20.75%	33.84%	+0.19	-43.03	28
2024-10-06	Utah Royals FC	L 1-2	52.5	1399.39	1369.69	50.20%	20.15%	29.65%	+0.34	-33.04	28
2024-10-12	Orlando Pride	W 2-0	61.5	1366.35	1804.73	8.09%	8.04%	83.88%	-1.78	+69.66	31
2024-10-20	@ Racing Louisville	L 0-1	45.2	1436.01	1395.43	38.71%	21.00%	40.29%	-0.02	-26.77	31
2024-11-02	Angel City FC	W 3-0	36.8	1409.24	1421.21	44.38%	20.83%	34.79%	+0.15	+42.50	34
2024-03-16	Orlando Pride	T 2-2	71.9	1511.13	1504.88	46.95%	20.59%	32.46%	+0.24	-2.03	1
2024-03-24	@ Houston Dash	T 0-0	60.2	1509.10	1473.35	38.03%	20.99%	40.98%	-0.05	+0.40	2
2024-03-31	@ Portland Thorns	T 2-2	70.6	1509.50	1476.59	37.63%	20.98%	41.39%	-0.06	+0.52	3
2024-04-14	San Diego Wave FC	T 0-0	62.0	1510.02	1519.10	44.79%	20.80%	34.41%	+0.17	-1.44	4
2024-04-20	Utah Royals FC	W 5-1	36.0	1508.58	1369.46	64.16%	16.51%	19.32%	+0.84	+27.86	7
2024-04-28	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	T 1-1	66.2	1536.44	1483.33	40.51%	21.00%	38.49%	+0.03	-0.27	8
2024-05-06	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-1	50.9	1536.17	1622.44	23.78%	18.53%	57.68%	-0.60	-17.31	8
2024-05-11	Washington Spirit	L 1-2	59.6	1518.86	1570.27	38.73%	21.00%	40.26%	-0.02	-26.79	8
2024-05-19	@ Kansas City Current	T 3-3	81.5	1492.07	1651.65	17.82%	15.65%	66.53%	-0.93	+7.23	9
2024-05-26	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 1-0	51.8	1499.30	1485.78	35.00%	20.85%	44.16%	-0.15	+29.74	12
2024-06-08	Houston Dash	W 2-0	41.6	1529.04	1465.13	54.79%	19.26%	25.96%	+0.50	+26.68	15
2024-06-15	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-2	51.8	1555.72	1594.96	40.48%	21.00%	38.52%	+0.03	-39.22	15
2024-06-20	@ Angel City FC	L 2-3	61.2	1516.50	1434.92	44.57%	20.82%	34.61%	+0.16	-29.97	15
2024-06-24	@ Seattle Reign	T 1-1	61.5	1486.53	1398.23	45.53%	20.74%	33.74%	+0.19	-1.65	16
2024-06-29	Bay FC	L 0-1	51.6	1484.88	1381.26	59.87%	17.91%	22.22%	+0.68	-38.24	16
2024-07-07	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-3	45.9	1446.64	1516.27	25.38%	19.08%	55.54%	-0.53	-26.11	16
2024-08-25	Chicago Red Stars	W 3-1	49.0	1420.53	1478.79	37.77%	20.99%	41.25%	-0.06	+39.82	19
2024-09-01	Seattle Reign	L 2-3	60.6	1460.35	1436.90	49.34%	20.28%	30.38%	+0.32	-32.58	19
2024-09-08	@ Bay FC	L 0-1	44.2	1427.77	1423.76	33.76%	20.74%	45.50%	-0.19	-23.92	19
2024-09-15	Angel City FC	W 2-1	49.4	1403.85	1419.33	43.88%	20.87%	35.26%	+0.14	+24.81	22
2024-09-22	North Carolina Courage	W 2-1	59.9	1428.66	1566.50	27.87%	19.77%	52.36%	-0.42	+34.22	25
2024-09-29	@ Utah Royals FC	L 0-1	47.8	1462.88	1336.30	50.84%	20.04%	29.11%	+0.37	-33.39	25
2024-10-06	Kansas City Current	L 0-2	42.2	1429.49	1673.73	18.36%	15.97%	65.67%	-0.90	-18.63	25
2024-10-13	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-4	40.5	1410.86	1648.04	13.01%	12.29%	74.70%	-1.29	-15.43	25
2024-10-20	Portland Thorns	W 1-0	45.2	1395.43	1436.01	40.29%	21.00%	38.71%	+0.02	+26.77	28
2024-11-03	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 1-3	46.7	1422.20	1327.78	46.39%	20.65%	32.96%	+0.22	-43.79	28
2024-03-24	Kansas City Current	L 1-2	60.0	1522.05	1544.91	42.83%	20.93%	36.25%	+0.11	-29.02	0
2024-03-30	Seattle Reign	W 1-0	51.1	1493.03	1524.66	41.57%	20.98%	37.45%	+0.07	+26.07	3
2024-04-14	@ Racing Louisville	T 0-0	62.0	1519.10	1510.02	34.41%	20.80%	44.79%	-0.17	+1.45	4
2024-04-20	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-1	50.5	1520.55	1526.59	32.49%	20.60%	46.92%	-0.24	-23.15	4
2024-04-28	Bay FC	W 2-1	47.2	1497.40	1403.11	58.70%	18.25%	23.05%	+0.64	+16.77	7
2024-05-04	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-2	56.1	1514.17	1425.17	45.62%	20.73%	33.65%	+0.19	-30.54	7
2024-05-09	Utah Royals FC	W 2-0	32.0	1483.63	1323.08	66.64%	15.61%	17.75%	+0.94	+17.95	10
2024-05-13	NY/NJ Gotham FC	T 1-1	66.8	1501.58	1534.60	41.37%	20.98%	37.65%	+0.06	-0.51	11
2024-05-18	@ Bay FC	L 1-2	55.4	1501.07	1337.88	55.72%	19.04%	25.24%	+0.53	-36.04	11
2024-05-24	@ Angel City FC	T 0-0	57.7	1465.03	1448.34	35.42%	20.88%	43.71%	-0.13	+1.15	12
2024-06-08	Orlando Pride	T 1-1	71.7	1466.18	1683.51	20.41%	17.08%	62.51%	-0.78	+6.21	13
2024-06-16	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	71.0	1472.39	1636.05	17.53%	15.48%	66.99%	-0.95	+7.34	14
2024-06-20	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-2	52.7	1479.73	1634.18	18.18%	15.87%	65.94%	-0.91	-13.04	14
2024-06-23	@ Houston Dash	T 0-0	57.3	1466.69	1436.45	37.26%	20.97%	41.77%	-0.07	+0.62	15
2024-06-29	Chicago Red Stars	L 0-3	43.5	1467.31	1395.08	55.88%	19.00%	25.13%	+0.54	-62.56	15
2024-07-06	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-1	41.8	1404.75	1567.73	17.58%	15.51%	66.91%	-0.95	-12.56	15
2024-08-24	Angel City FC	L 1-2	51.7	1392.19	1392.98	45.96%	20.70%	33.34%	+0.21	-30.73	15
2024-09-02	Washington Spirit	T 1-1	70.5	1361.46	1701.41	12.45%	11.83%	75.72%	-1.33	+9.37	16
2024-09-09	North Carolina Courage	L 1-4	40.6	1370.83	1541.83	24.48%	18.78%	56.73%	-0.57	-30.87	16
2024-09-15	@ Utah Royals FC	W 2-1	51.9	1339.96	1375.93	28.94%	20.01%	51.05%	-0.37	+33.51	19
2024-09-22	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 0-1	40.3	1373.47	1442.38	25.45%	19.10%	55.44%	-0.52	-18.51	19
2024-09-29	Portland Thorns	W 2-0	41.7	1354.96	1442.42	33.84%	20.75%	45.41%	-0.19	+43.03	22
2024-10-06	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-2	46.8	1397.99	1567.95	17.10%	15.21%	67.70%	-0.98	-12.18	22
2024-10-14	Houston Dash	L 0-2	42.4	1385.81	1322.75	54.68%	19.28%	26.04%	+0.50	-50.17	22
2024-10-19	@ Kansas City Current	L 1-4	36.7	1335.64	1705.76	7.24%	7.25%	85.51%	-1.89	-7.86	22
2024-11-03	Racing Louisville	W 3-1	46.7	1327.78	1422.20	32.96%	20.65%	46.39%	-0.22	+43.78	25
2024-03-17	Washington Spirit	W 1-0	49.8	1525.97	1510.58	48.22%	20.44%	31.34%	+0.28	+22.44	3
2024-03-23	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 1-2	58.1	1548.41	1546.68	33.46%	20.71%	45.83%	-0.20	-23.75	3
2024-03-30	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 0-1	51.1	1524.66	1493.03	37.45%	20.98%	41.57%	-0.07	-26.07	3
2024-04-15	@ Bay FC	L 2-3	60.1	1498.59	1392.18	48.06%	20.46%	31.48%	+0.27	-31.87	3
2024-04-22	Chicago Red Stars	L 1-2	55.7	1466.72	1530.42	37.01%	20.96%	42.03%	-0.08	-25.83	3
2024-04-28	@ North Carolina Courage	L 0-1	44.4	1440.89	1551.16	21.65%	17.66%	60.69%	-0.71	-15.72	3
2024-05-04	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	56.1	1425.17	1514.17	33.65%	20.73%	45.62%	-0.19	+30.54	6
2024-05-09	Kansas City Current	T 0-0	65.2	1455.71	1642.79	22.99%	18.23%	58.78%	-0.64	+5.24	7
2024-05-12	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-4	38.7	1460.95	1588.28	20.24%	16.99%	62.77%	-0.79	-29.30	7
2024-05-20	Orlando Pride	L 2-3	57.6	1431.65	1646.44	20.62%	17.18%	62.20%	-0.77	-14.94	7
2024-05-25	@ Washington Spirit	L 2-3	53.4	1416.71	1617.71	15.09%	13.85%	71.05%	-1.12	-10.57	7
2024-06-10	@ Kansas City Current	L 2-5	42.8	1406.14	1651.87	12.55%	11.92%	75.52%	-1.32	-14.81	7
2024-06-16	Portland Thorns	T 0-0	63.1	1391.33	1631.68	18.64%	16.14%	65.22%	-0.88	+6.90	8
2024-06-24	Racing Louisville	T 1-1	61.5	1398.23	1486.53	33.74%	20.74%	45.53%	-0.19	+1.65	9
2024-06-30	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	T 1-1	67.7	1399.88	1601.68	15.04%	13.82%	71.14%	-1.12	+8.33	10
2024-07-08	Utah Royals FC	T 1-1	58.4	1408.21	1299.61	60.49%	17.73%	21.79%	+0.70	-5.68	11
2024-08-26	North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	52.5	1402.53	1542.38	27.65%	19.71%	52.63%	-0.43	+34.37	14
2024-09-01	@ Racing Louisville	W 3-2	60.6	1436.90	1460.35	30.38%	20.28%	49.34%	-0.32	+32.57	17
2024-09-07	@ Angel City FC	W 3-2	59.6	1469.47	1448.50	35.99%	20.91%	43.10%	-0.11	+29.16	20
2024-09-17	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-2	47.3	1498.63	1625.19	29.12%	20.04%	50.84%	-0.37	-29.71	20
2024-09-22	@ Houston Dash	L 0-1	48.2	1468.92	1329.76	52.54%	19.73%	27.73%	+0.42	-34.32	20
2024-09-30	Bay FC	L 0-1	48.3	1434.60	1444.31	44.70%	20.81%	34.49%	+0.17	-30.04	20
2024-10-05	Angel City FC	L 0-1	47.1	1404.56	1382.49	49.15%	20.31%	30.54%	+0.31	-32.46	20
2024-10-13	@ Utah Royals FC	L 0-3	33.8	1372.10	1402.73	29.55%	20.13%	50.32%	-0.35	-36.88	20
2024-10-19	Houston Dash	W 2-1	48.2	1335.22	1372.92	40.70%	21.00%	38.30%	+0.04	+26.54	23
2024-11-02	@ Orlando Pride	L 2-3	50.7	1361.76	1698.49	8.44%	8.37%	83.19%	-1.74	-5.40	23
2024-03-17	Chicago Red Stars	L 0-2	40.4	1400.00	1515.83	30.35%	20.28%	49.37%	-0.32	-30.85	0
2024-03-23	North Carolina Courage	W 2-1	59.8	1369.15	1572.01	21.61%	17.65%	60.75%	-0.71	+38.71	3
2024-03-31	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-2	47.5	1407.86	1508.04	22.52%	18.04%	59.44%	-0.66	-16.38	3
2024-04-13	Orlando Pride	L 0-1	44.5	1391.48	1504.57	30.68%	20.33%	48.99%	-0.30	-22.02	3
2024-04-20	@ Racing Louisville	L 1-5	36.0	1369.46	1508.58	19.32%	16.51%	64.16%	-0.84	-27.87	3
2024-04-28	Houston Dash	T 0-0	53.7	1341.59	1416.78	35.45%	20.88%	43.67%	-0.13	+1.14	4
2024-05-04	Angel City FC	L 1-2	46.8	1342.73	1487.95	27.08%	19.57%	53.35%	-0.45	-19.65	4
2024-05-09	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 0-2	32.0	1323.08	1483.63	17.75%	15.61%	66.64%	-0.94	-17.95	4
2024-05-12	@ Chicago Red Stars	L 1-3	36.6	1305.13	1491.28	16.02%	14.50%	69.47%	-1.05	-16.00	4
2024-05-18	@ North Carolina Courage	L 0-1	34.8	1289.13	1487.04	15.28%	13.99%	70.73%	-1.11	-10.73	4
2024-05-26	Kansas City Current	L 0-1	36.6	1278.40	1644.42	11.14%	10.75%	78.10%	-1.45	-7.44	4
2024-06-09	Washington Spirit	L 0-1	36.1	1270.96	1628.28	11.57%	11.11%	77.32%	-1.41	-7.77	4
2024-06-17	@ Bay FC	W 1-0	48.1	1263.19	1388.26	20.42%	17.08%	62.49%	-0.78	+39.61	7
2024-06-22	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-6	31.2	1302.80	1670.30	7.33%	7.33%	85.34%	-1.88	-11.28	7
2024-06-30	Portland Thorns	T 0-0	58.2	1291.52	1575.83	15.64%	14.24%	70.12%	-1.08	+8.09	8
2024-07-08	@ Seattle Reign	T 1-1	58.4	1299.61	1408.21	21.79%	17.73%	60.49%	-0.70	+5.69	9
2024-08-24	Bay FC	W 2-1	50.2	1305.30	1393.20	33.79%	20.74%	45.47%	-0.19	+30.46	12
2024-09-01	@ Houston Dash	W 3-1	48.3	1335.76	1395.16	26.42%	19.39%	54.20%	-0.48	+49.80	15
2024-09-08	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-1	40.6	1385.56	1606.61	13.91%	12.98%	73.11%	-1.21	-9.63	15
2024-09-15	San Diego Wave FC	L 1-2	51.9	1375.93	1339.96	51.05%	20.01%	28.94%	+0.37	-33.50	15
2024-09-22	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 0-1	38.4	1342.43	1654.90	9.42%	9.24%	81.34%	-1.63	-6.13	15
2024-09-29	Racing Louisville	W 1-0	47.8	1336.30	1462.88	29.11%	20.04%	50.84%	-0.37	+33.39	18
2024-10-06	@ Portland Thorns	W 2-1	52.5	1369.69	1399.39	29.65%	20.15%	50.20%	-0.34	+33.04	21
2024-10-13	Seattle Reign	W 3-0	33.8	1402.73	1372.10	50.32%	20.13%	29.55%	+0.35	+36.88	24
2024-10-21	@ Angel City FC	T 1-1	60.7	1439.61	1422.34	35.49%	20.88%	43.62%	-0.13	+1.12	25
2024-11-02	NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-4	45.1	1440.73	1742.62	14.57%	13.47%	71.96%	-1.16	-17.58	25
2024-03-17	@ Seattle Reign	L 0-1	49.8	1510.58	1525.97	31.34%	20.44%	48.22%	-0.28	-22.44	0
2024-03-24	Bay FC	W 2-1	49.9	1488.14	1438.64	52.88%	19.67%	27.46%	+0.43	+19.90	3
2024-03-31	Utah Royals FC	W 2-1	47.5	1508.04	1407.86	59.44%	18.04%	22.52%	+0.66	+16.38	6
2024-04-13	@ Houston Dash	W 3-1	53.9	1524.42	1499.51	36.53%	20.94%	42.53%	-0.10	+40.81	9
2024-04-20	NY/NJ Gotham FC	W 2-0	45.0	1565.23	1510.99	53.51%	19.54%	26.95%	+0.46	+27.66	12
2024-04-27	Orlando Pride	L 2-3	69.8	1592.89	1549.74	52.02%	19.83%	28.14%	+0.40	-34.04	12
2024-05-02	@ Chicago Red Stars	W 4-2	58.0	1558.85	1506.05	40.46%	21.00%	38.54%	+0.03	+37.72	15
2024-05-05	@ Portland Thorns	L 1-2	61.4	1596.57	1561.98	37.86%	20.99%	41.15%	-0.05	-26.30	15
2024-05-11	@ Racing Louisville	W 2-1	59.6	1570.27	1518.86	40.26%	21.00%	38.73%	+0.02	+26.79	18
2024-05-19	Angel City FC	W 4-2	51.3	1597.06	1468.99	62.85%	16.96%	20.18%	+0.79	+20.65	21
2024-05-25	Seattle Reign	W 3-2	53.4	1617.71	1416.71	71.05%	13.85%	15.09%	+1.12	+10.57	24
2024-06-09	@ Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	36.1	1628.28	1270.96	77.32%	11.11%	11.57%	+1.41	+7.77	27
2024-06-16	San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	71.0	1636.05	1472.39	66.99%	15.48%	17.53%	+0.95	-7.34	28
2024-06-24	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	W 2-0	56.7	1628.71	1647.22	30.96%	20.38%	48.66%	-0.29	+45.54	31
2024-06-30	North Carolina Courage	L 0-1	63.4	1674.25	1472.40	71.14%	13.82%	15.04%	+1.13	-43.87	31
2024-07-07	@ Bay FC	W 3-0	39.1	1630.38	1419.51	61.72%	17.34%	20.94%	+0.75	+26.30	34
2024-08-25	Kansas City Current	W 4-1	56.7	1656.68	1685.16	42.02%	20.96%	37.02%	+0.08	+44.73	37
2024-09-02	@ San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	70.5	1701.41	1361.46	75.72%	11.83%	12.45%	+1.33	-9.37	38
2024-09-07	Portland Thorns	W 2-1	52.9	1692.04	1489.10	71.26%	13.77%	14.97%	+1.13	+10.47	41
2024-09-15	Houston Dash	W 3-0	31.7	1702.51	1337.86	85.15%	7.42%	7.43%	+1.86	+8.10	44
2024-09-21	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-3	54.1	1710.61	1623.44	45.37%	20.75%	33.88%	+0.19	-52.66	44
2024-09-28	@ Angel City FC	W 2-1	50.0	1657.95	1394.60	67.83%	15.15%	17.01%	+0.99	+12.11	47
2024-10-06	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-2	49.3	1670.06	1782.70	21.44%	17.57%	60.98%	-0.72	-22.02	47
2024-10-13	Racing Louisville	W 4-1	40.5	1648.04	1410.86	74.70%	12.29%	13.01%	+1.29	+15.43	50
2024-10-20	Chicago Red Stars	W 2-0	40.0	1663.47	1441.16	73.24%	12.93%	13.83%	+1.22	+13.52	53
2024-11-03	@ North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	53.8	1676.99	1538.79	52.41%	19.76%	27.83%	+0.42	+20.16	56

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2024-11-10	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-2	50.3	1493.60	1697.15	19.20%	0.00%	80.80%	-1.13	-10.45	0-1
2024-11-09	@ Orlando Pride	L 1-4	38.6	1412.18	1703.90	12.51%	0.00%	87.49%	-1.53	-11.79	0-1
2024-11-09	North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	45.7	1729.08	1518.64	81.41%	0.00%	18.59%	+1.16	+10.11	1-0
2024-11-17	@ Orlando Pride	L 2-3	66.8	1739.19	1715.69	46.75%	0.00%	53.25%	-0.10	-25.43	1-1
2024-11-10	Portland Thorns	W 2-1	48.5	1760.20	1451.74	88.50%	0.00%	11.50%	+1.61	+6.25	1-0
2024-11-16	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	81.2	1766.45	1707.59	51.84%	0.00%	48.16%	+0.06	-0.50	1-0
2024-11-09	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-1	45.7	1518.64	1729.08	18.59%	0.00%	81.41%	-1.16	-10.12	0-1
2024-11-09	Chicago Red Stars	W 4-1	38.6	1703.90	1412.18	87.49%	0.00%	12.51%	+1.53	+11.79	1-0
2024-11-17	Kansas City Current	W 3-2	66.8	1715.69	1739.19	53.25%	0.00%	46.75%	+0.10	+25.44	2-0
2024-11-24	Washington Spirit	W 1-0	53.8	1741.13	1708.09	61.19%	0.00%	38.81%	+0.36	+21.11	3-0
2024-11-10	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	L 1-2	48.5	1451.74	1760.20	11.50%	0.00%	88.50%	-1.61	-6.26	0-1
2024-11-10	Bay FC	W 2-1	50.3	1697.15	1493.60	80.80%	0.00%	19.20%	+1.13	+10.44	1-0
2024-11-16	NY/NJ Gotham FC	T 1-1	81.2	1707.59	1766.45	48.16%	0.00%	51.84%	-0.06	+0.50	1-0
2024-11-24	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-1	53.8	1708.09	1741.13	38.81%	0.00%	61.19%	-0.36	-21.11	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-10-12	8.09%	@ Portland Thorns	1366.35	2	Orlando Pride	1804.73	0
2	2024-06-30	15.04%	North Carolina Courage	1472.40	1	@ Washington Spirit	1674.25	0
3	2024-08-31	15.95%	Bay FC	1362.75	3	@ Portland Thorns	1550.12	1
4	2024-06-17	20.42%	Utah Royals FC	1263.19	1	@ Bay FC	1388.26	0
5	2024-04-14	20.95%	Angel City FC	1451.03	1	@ Chicago Red Stars	1569.62	0
6	2024-03-23	21.61%	@ Utah Royals FC	1369.15	2	North Carolina Courage	1572.01	1
7	2024-03-18	21.69%	Bay FC	1400.00	1	@ Angel City FC	1509.74	0
8	2024-05-13	21.74%	Houston Dash	1398.45	1	@ Angel City FC	1507.59	0
9	2024-06-09	21.99%	Bay FC	1349.84	2	@ Chicago Red Stars	1456.04	1
10	2024-06-29	22.22%	Bay FC	1381.26	1	@ Racing Louisville	1484.88	0
11	2024-09-14	25.11%	Chicago Red Stars	1406.25	1	@ Portland Thorns	1478.63	0
12	2024-06-29	25.13%	Chicago Red Stars	1395.08	3	@ San Diego Wave FC	1467.31	0
13	2024-05-18	25.24%	@ Bay FC	1337.88	2	San Diego Wave FC	1501.07	1
14	2024-04-28	26.02%	Portland Thorns	1492.99	2	@ Chicago Red Stars	1556.24	0
15	2024-10-14	26.04%	Houston Dash	1322.75	2	@ San Diego Wave FC	1385.81	0
16	2024-09-01	26.42%	Utah Royals FC	1335.76	3	@ Houston Dash	1395.16	1
17	2024-08-26	27.65%	@ Seattle Reign	1402.53	1	North Carolina Courage	1542.38	0
18	2024-09-22	27.73%	@ Houston Dash	1329.76	1	Seattle Reign	1468.92	0
19	2024-09-22	27.87%	@ Racing Louisville	1428.66	2	North Carolina Courage	1566.50	1
20	2024-04-27	28.14%	Orlando Pride	1549.74	3	@ Washington Spirit	1592.89	2
21	2024-10-20	28.27%	@ Bay FC	1438.61	1	North Carolina Courage	1572.74	0
22	2024-09-01	28.46%	@ North Carolina Courage	1508.01	2	Kansas City Current	1640.43	1
23	2024-09-15	28.94%	San Diego Wave FC	1339.96	2	@ Utah Royals FC	1375.93	1
24	2024-09-29	29.11%	@ Utah Royals FC	1336.30	1	Racing Louisville	1462.88	0
25	2024-10-06	29.65%	Utah Royals FC	1369.69	2	@ Portland Thorns	1399.39	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-10-12	69.66	@ Portland Thorns	2	1366.35	8.09%	Orlando Pride	0	1804.73	83.88%	8.04%
2	2024-06-29	62.56	Chicago Red Stars	3	1395.08	25.13%	@ San Diego Wave FC	0	1467.31	55.88%	19.00%
3	2024-08-31	61.02	Bay FC	3	1362.75	15.95%	@ Portland Thorns	1	1550.12	69.60%	14.45%
4	2024-09-21	52.66	@ Kansas City Current	3	1623.44	33.88%	Washington Spirit	0	1710.61	45.37%	20.75%
5	2024-05-25	52.37	@ Houston Dash	3	1412.77	34.16%	North Carolina Courage	0	1497.76	45.06%	20.78%
6	2024-04-28	50.19	Portland Thorns	2	1492.99	26.02%	@ Chicago Red Stars	0	1556.24	54.70%	19.28%
7	2024-10-14	50.17	Houston Dash	2	1322.75	26.04%	@ San Diego Wave FC	0	1385.81	54.68%	19.28%
8	2024-09-01	49.80	Utah Royals FC	3	1335.76	26.42%	@ Houston Dash	1	1395.16	54.20%	19.39%
9	2024-06-23	48.95	Kansas City Current	4	1657.28	37.57%	@ Portland Thorns	1	1624.78	41.45%	20.98%
10	2024-03-17	46.30	@ North Carolina Courage	5	1525.72	46.92%	Houston Dash	1	1519.65	32.48%	20.60%
11	2024-06-24	45.54	Washington Spirit	2	1628.71	30.96%	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	0	1647.22	48.66%	20.38%
12	2024-08-25	44.73	@ Washington Spirit	4	1656.68	42.02%	Kansas City Current	1	1685.16	37.02%	20.96%
13	2024-06-30	43.87	North Carolina Courage	1	1472.40	15.04%	@ Washington Spirit	0	1674.25	71.14%	13.82%
14	2024-11-03	43.79	@ San Diego Wave FC	3	1327.78	32.96%	Racing Louisville	1	1422.20	46.39%	20.65%
15	2024-09-29	43.03	@ San Diego Wave FC	2	1354.96	33.84%	Portland Thorns	0	1442.42	45.41%	20.75%
16	2024-11-02	42.50	@ Portland Thorns	3	1409.24	44.38%	Angel City FC	0	1421.21	34.79%	20.83%
17	2024-04-21	41.93	@ Portland Thorns	4	1451.06	44.99%	Houston Dash	1	1458.70	34.23%	20.78%
18	2024-04-13	40.81	Washington Spirit	3	1524.42	36.53%	@ Houston Dash	1	1499.51	42.53%	20.94%
19	2024-08-25	39.82	@ Racing Louisville	3	1420.53	37.77%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1478.79	41.25%	20.99%
20	2024-06-17	39.62	Utah Royals FC	1	1263.19	20.42%	@ Bay FC	0	1388.26	62.49%	17.08%
21	2024-06-15	39.22	NY/NJ Gotham FC	2	1594.96	38.52%	@ Racing Louisville	0	1555.72	40.48%	21.00%
22	2024-04-14	39.21	Angel City FC	1	1451.03	20.95%	@ Chicago Red Stars	0	1569.62	61.71%	17.34%
23	2024-03-23	38.71	@ Utah Royals FC	2	1369.15	21.61%	North Carolina Courage	1	1572.01	60.75%	17.65%
24	2024-05-02	38.67	@ Orlando Pride	4	1583.77	48.43%	North Carolina Courage	1	1566.88	31.16%	20.41%
25	2024-03-18	38.64	Bay FC	1	1400.00	21.69%	@ Angel City FC	0	1509.74	60.63%	17.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season's games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-05-19	81.5	@ Kansas City Current	3	1651.65	66.53%	Racing Louisville	3	1492.07	17.82%	15.65%
2	2024-11-16 *	81.2	@ Washington Spirit	1	1707.59	48.16%	NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1766.45	51.84%	0.00%
3	2024-06-15	77.0	@ Kansas City Current	2	1666.67	75.84%	Chicago Red Stars	2	1417.63	12.38%	11.78%
4	2024-09-28	74.1	@ Kansas City Current	1	1676.09	48.18%	NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1661.03	31.38%	20.44%
5	2024-03-16	71.9	@ Racing Louisville	2	1511.13	46.95%	Orlando Pride	2	1504.88	32.46%	20.59%
6	2024-06-08	71.7	@ San Diego Wave FC	1	1466.18	20.41%	Orlando Pride	1	1683.51	62.51%	17.08%
7	2024-09-14	71.4	@ Orlando Pride	0	1775.24	66.46%	Kansas City Current	0	1616.23	17.86%	15.68%
8	2024-06-16	71.0	@ Washington Spirit	1	1636.05	66.99%	San Diego Wave FC	1	1472.39	17.53%	15.48%
9	2024-03-31	70.6	@ Portland Thorns	2	1476.59	41.39%	Racing Louisville	2	1509.50	37.63%	20.98%
10	2024-09-02	70.5	@ San Diego Wave FC	1	1361.46	12.45%	Washington Spirit	1	1701.41	75.72%	11.83%
11	2024-04-27	69.8	Orlando Pride	3	1549.74	28.14%	@ Washington Spirit	2	1592.89	52.02%	19.83%
12	2024-04-15	69.3	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1509.36	33.80%	Kansas City Current	1	1597.14	45.45%	20.74%
13	2024-05-05	69.2	@ Houston Dash	1	1415.65	19.13%	Kansas City Current	1	1649.50	64.47%	16.41%
14	2024-03-30	68.2	@ Orlando Pride	1	1503.77	36.61%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1570.43	42.45%	20.94%
15	2024-07-07	68.1	Orlando Pride	2	1703.90	31.62%	@ Kansas City Current	1	1716.94	47.90%	20.48%
16	2024-06-30	67.7	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1601.68	71.14%	Seattle Reign	1	1399.88	15.04%	13.82%
17	2024-09-14	67.4	@ North Carolina Courage	1	1572.70	62.49%	Bay FC	1	1447.69	20.43%	17.09%
18	2024-10-13	66.9	@ North Carolina Courage	1	1580.12	67.16%	Angel City FC	1	1414.96	17.43%	15.41%
19	2024-05-13	66.8	@ San Diego Wave FC	1	1501.58	41.37%	NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1534.60	37.65%	20.98%
20	2024-11-17 *	66.8	@ Orlando Pride	3	1715.69	53.25%	Kansas City Current	2	1739.19	46.75%	0.00%
21	2024-04-28	66.2	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1483.33	38.49%	Racing Louisville	1	1536.44	40.51%	21.00%
22	2024-06-16	66.2	@ North Carolina Courage	0	1433.45	18.39%	Orlando Pride	0	1677.30	65.63%	15.99%
23	2024-09-24	65.7	@ Angel City FC	2	1394.52	39.22%	Portland Thorns	2	1442.49	39.77%	21.01%
24	2024-03-16	65.6	@ Kansas City Current	5	1520.37	44.37%	Portland Thorns	4	1532.39	34.80%	20.83%
25	2024-05-09	65.2	@ Seattle Reign	0	1455.71	22.99%	Kansas City Current	0	1642.79	58.78%	18.23%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-06-22	31.2	@ Orlando Pride	6	1670.30	85.34%	Utah Royals FC	0	1302.80	7.33%	7.33%
2	2024-09-15	31.7	@ Washington Spirit	3	1702.51	85.15%	Houston Dash	0	1337.86	7.43%	7.42%
3	2024-05-09	32.0	@ San Diego Wave FC	2	1483.63	66.64%	Utah Royals FC	0	1323.08	17.75%	15.61%
4	2024-10-13	33.8	@ Utah Royals FC	3	1402.73	50.32%	Seattle Reign	0	1372.10	29.55%	20.13%
5	2024-05-18	34.8	@ North Carolina Courage	1	1487.04	70.73%	Utah Royals FC	0	1289.13	15.28%	13.99%
6	2024-04-20	36.0	@ Racing Louisville	5	1508.58	64.16%	Utah Royals FC	1	1369.46	19.32%	16.51%
7	2024-06-09	36.1	Washington Spirit	1	1628.28	77.32%	@ Utah Royals FC	0	1270.96	11.57%	11.11%
8	2024-05-12	36.6	@ Chicago Red Stars	3	1491.28	69.47%	Utah Royals FC	1	1305.13	16.02%	14.50%
9	2024-05-26	36.6	Kansas City Current	1	1644.42	78.10%	@ Utah Royals FC	0	1278.40	11.14%	10.75%
10	2024-10-19	36.7	@ Kansas City Current	4	1705.76	85.51%	San Diego Wave FC	1	1335.64	7.24%	7.25%
11	2024-11-02	36.8	@ Portland Thorns	3	1409.24	44.38%	Angel City FC	0	1421.21	34.79%	20.83%
12	2024-05-25	38.2	NY/NJ Gotham FC	2	1556.61	58.23%	@ Bay FC	0	1373.92	23.39%	18.39%
13	2024-05-12	38.3	@ Orlando Pride	1	1639.75	79.93%	Bay FC	0	1344.57	10.16%	9.90%
14	2024-09-22	38.4	@ NY/NJ Gotham FC	1	1654.90	81.34%	Utah Royals FC	0	1342.43	9.42%	9.24%
15	2024-11-09 *	38.6	@ Orlando Pride	4	1703.90	87.49%	Chicago Red Stars	1	1412.18	12.51%	0.00%
16	2024-05-12	38.7	@ Portland Thorns	4	1588.28	62.77%	Seattle Reign	0	1460.95	20.24%	16.99%
17	2024-10-05	38.8	Chicago Red Stars	2	1425.22	42.39%	@ Houston Dash	0	1358.98	36.66%	20.95%
18	2024-07-07	39.1	Washington Spirit	3	1630.38	61.72%	@ Bay FC	0	1419.51	20.94%	17.34%
19	2024-06-29	39.8	@ Kansas City Current	2	1706.23	77.80%	Houston Dash	0	1435.83	11.31%	10.89%
20	2024-07-01	39.9	Orlando Pride	3	1681.58	66.25%	@ Angel City FC	0	1432.27	17.99%	15.76%
21	2024-10-20	40.0	@ Washington Spirit	2	1663.47	73.24%	Chicago Red Stars	0	1441.16	13.83%	12.93%
22	2024-09-22	40.3	@ Chicago Red Stars	1	1442.38	55.44%	San Diego Wave FC	0	1373.47	25.45%	19.10%
23	2024-03-17	40.4	Chicago Red Stars	2	1515.83	49.37%	@ Utah Royals FC	0	1400.00	30.35%	20.28%
24	2024-10-13	40.5	@ Washington Spirit	4	1648.04	74.70%	Racing Louisville	1	1410.86	13.01%	12.29%
25	2024-09-08	40.6	@ Kansas City Current	1	1606.61	73.11%	Utah Royals FC	0	1385.56	13.91%	12.98%