2025 NWSL Season

182 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Kansas City Current

28.44% chance to win NWSL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

Kansas City Current

13.96 points above expected

65 points · 51.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bay FC

11.77 points below expected

20 points · 31.77 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Kansas City Current Conference	21	3	2	65	.833	49	13	+36	51.04	+13.96
2	Washington Spirit Playoffs	12	6	8	44	.564	42	33	+9	45.33	-1.33
3	Orlando Pride Playoffs	11	8	7	40	.513	33	27	+6	47.77	-7.77
4	Portland Thorns Playoffs	11	8	7	40	.513	36	29	+7	34.79	+5.21
5	Seattle Reign Playoffs	10	7	9	39	.500	32	29	+3	29.69	+9.31
6	San Diego Wave FC Playoffs	10	9	7	37	.474	41	34	+7	31.18	+5.82
7	Racing Louisville Playoffs	10	9	7	37	.474	35	38	-3	28.91	+8.09
8	Gotham FC Playoffs	9	8	9	36	.462	35	25	+10	47.44	-11.44
9	North Carolina Courage	9	9	8	35	.449	37	39	-2	34.46	+0.54
10	Houston Dash	8	12	6	30	.385	27	39	-12	24.47	+5.53
11	Angel City FC	7	13	6	27	.346	31	41	-10	28.59	-1.59
12	Utah Royals FC	6	13	7	25	.321	28	42	-14	26.58	-1.58
13	Bay FC	4	14	8	20	.256	26	41	-15	31.77	-11.77
14	Chicago Stars FC	3	12	11	20	.256	32	54	-22	25.20	-5.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Kansas City Current	65	51.04	+13.96
2	Seattle Reign	39	29.69	+9.31
3	Racing Louisville	37	28.91	+8.09
4	San Diego Wave FC	37	31.18	+5.82
5	Houston Dash	30	24.47	+5.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Bay FC	20	31.77	-11.77
2	Gotham FC	36	47.44	-11.44
3	Orlando Pride	40	47.77	-7.77
4	Chicago Stars FC	20	25.20	-5.20
5	Angel City FC	27	28.59	-1.59

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kansas City Current	8	May 11 – Aug 9	1 in 192
2	Utah Royals FC	3	Sep 15 – Sep 28	1 in 47
3	Houston Dash	2	Aug 9 – Aug 17	1 in 44
4	San Diego Wave FC	3	Apr 19 – May 5	1 in 36
5	Racing Louisville	2	May 3 – May 10	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orlando Pride	3	Aug 22 – Sep 7	1 in 197
2	Gotham FC	3	May 10 – Jun 7	1 in 148
3	Kansas City Current	2	Apr 27 – May 3	1 in 44
4	Bay FC	4	Aug 17 – Sep 7	1 in 38
5	Racing Louisville	3	Sep 6 – Sep 20	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Chicago Stars FC	7	Aug 2 – Sep 14	1 in 160
2	Utah Royals FC	8	Aug 16 – Oct 5	1 in 98
3	Houston Dash	6	Aug 3 – Sep 8	1 in 56
4	Kansas City Current	17	May 11 – Oct 11	1 in 23
5	Washington Spirit	12	Jun 23 – Oct 12	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orlando Pride	9	Jun 21 – Sep 20	1 in 971
2	Bay FC	15	Jun 14 – Nov 2	1 in 114
3	Gotham FC	4	May 4 – Jun 7	1 in 24
4	Chicago Stars FC	14	Apr 19 – Aug 31	1 in 22
5	North Carolina Courage	6	Aug 3 – Sep 7	1 in 16

Playoff Bracket

WNBA Playoffs

First Round

Orlando Pride 2

Seattle Reign 0

Nov 8

Washington Spirit 3

Racing Louisville 1

Nov 8

Second Round

Gotham FC 2

Kansas City Current 1

Nov 9

Portland Thorns 1

San Diego Wave FC 0

Nov 9

Semifinals

Washington Spirit 1

Portland Thorns 0

1 games · Nov 15–Nov 15

Gotham FC 1

Orlando Pride 0

1 games · Nov 16–Nov 16

WNBA Finals

Gotham FC 1

Washington Spirit 0

1 games · Nov 23–Nov 23

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FC	FC	FC	FC	Dash	Current	Courage	Pride	Thorns	Louisville	FC	Reign	FC	Spirit
Angel City FC	—	3 (2.5 exp.)	1 (3.0 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	0 (2.3 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	1 (2.2 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	4 (2.9 exp.)	4 (1.5 exp.)
Bay FC	3 (2.8 exp.)	—	1 (3.3 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	2 (3.4 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)	3 (2.4 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	1 (2.9 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)
Chicago Stars FC	4 (2.3 exp.)	4 (2.0 exp.)	—	2 (1.2 exp.)	0 (2.8 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	1 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	0 (2.3 exp.)	2 (2.1 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	1 (1.4 exp.)
Gotham FC	6 (4.0 exp.)	4 (3.8 exp.)	2 (4.3 exp.)	—	1 (4.3 exp.)	0 (2.2 exp.)	3 (3.7 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	1 (4.0 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	2 (4.1 exp.)	4 (4.2 exp.)	4 (2.7 exp.)
Houston Dash	0 (2.5 exp.)	2 (1.9 exp.)	6 (2.4 exp.)	4 (1.2 exp.)	—	3 (1.0 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	4 (2.2 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)
Kansas City Current	6 (4.4 exp.)	6 (4.0 exp.)	6 (4.5 exp.)	6 (3.1 exp.)	3 (4.6 exp.)	—	3 (4.0 exp.)	4 (2.7 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	6 (4.2 exp.)	6 (4.2 exp.)	3 (4.2 exp.)	6 (4.3 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)
North Carolina Courage	6 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	4 (3.4 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)	—	4 (1.7 exp.)	2 (2.6 exp.)	1 (3.1 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)	0 (3.2 exp.)	4 (3.2 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)
Orlando Pride	3 (4.2 exp.)	4 (3.8 exp.)	3 (4.1 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	4 (4.1 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	1 (3.6 exp.)	—	3 (3.6 exp.)	1 (4.1 exp.)	6 (3.9 exp.)	4 (4.0 exp.)	4 (4.4 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)
Portland Thorns	4 (3.1 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	6 (3.4 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	4 (3.1 exp.)	2 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)
Racing Louisville	6 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	4 (2.9 exp.)	4 (1.4 exp.)	4 (2.9 exp.)	0 (1.3 exp.)	4 (2.2 exp.)	4 (1.4 exp.)	1 (2.2 exp.)	—	3 (2.5 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)
San Diego Wave FC	2 (2.9 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	0 (1.3 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	2 (2.3 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	—	1 (3.0 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)
Seattle Reign	3 (2.8 exp.)	2 (2.6 exp.)	2 (3.2 exp.)	2 (1.4 exp.)	1 (3.1 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	6 (2.1 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	4 (2.3 exp.)	—	6 (3.1 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)
Utah Royals FC	1 (2.3 exp.)	4 (2.3 exp.)	4 (2.8 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)	1 (1.2 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	0 (2.7 exp.)	0 (2.2 exp.)	—	4 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Spirit	1 (3.9 exp.)	6 (3.5 exp.)	4 (4.1 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	6 (4.1 exp.)	1 (2.3 exp.)	4 (3.6 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	3 (3.4 exp.)	4 (3.8 exp.)	4 (3.6 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	1 (4.0 exp.)	—

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.59%	8.79%	7.69%	1.65%	0.55%	0.27%	25.55%
1	8.79%	14.84%	7.97%	2.20%	1.92%	0.27%	35.99%
2	7.69%	7.97%	4.40%	3.30%	0.55%	0.55%	24.45%
3	1.65%	2.20%	3.30%	2.20%	0.27%	—	9.62%
4	0.55%	1.92%	0.55%	0.27%	—	—	3.30%
5+	0.27%	0.27%	0.55%	—	—	—	1.10%
Total	25.55%	35.99%	24.45%	9.62%	3.30%	1.10%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.33	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.58
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Angel City FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.58	-0.38
SD	1.06	1.06	1.44
CV	0.89	0.68	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	23.08%	23.08%	—	7.69%	—	61.54%
2	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	30.77%	42.31%	3.85%	7.69%	—	100%

Bay FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.58	-0.58
SD	0.63	1.06	1.27
CV	0.63	0.68	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	30.77%
1	—	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	42.31%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Chicago Stars FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	2.08	-0.85
SD	1.21	1.49	1.85
CV	0.98	0.72	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	34.62%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.31%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Gotham FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	0.96	+0.38
SD	1.26	1.08	1.77
CV	0.94	1.12	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	46.15%
2	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	26.92%	34.62%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Houston Dash — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	1.50	-0.46
SD	0.82	1.17	1.56
CV	0.79	0.78	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	15.38%	—	—	—	—	—	15.38%
2	34.62%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	46.15%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	61.54%	30.77%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Current — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.88	0.50	+1.38
SD	1.18	0.76	1.17
CV	0.62	1.52	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	46.15%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	38.46%	23.08%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

North Carolina Courage — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.50	-0.08
SD	1.03	1.21	1.44
CV	0.72	0.81	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
1	15.38%	23.08%	—	—	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	53.85%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	100%

Orlando Pride — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.04	+0.23
SD	1.37	1.04	1.70
CV	1.08	1.00	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
2	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	46.15%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Portland Thorns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.12	+0.27
SD	1.24	0.95	1.54
CV	0.89	0.85	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	30.77%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Racing Louisville — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	1.46	-0.12
SD	0.98	1.17	1.34
CV	0.73	0.80	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	15.38%	19.23%	—	—	—	38.46%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	42.31%	3.85%	—	—	100%

San Diego Wave FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.31	+0.27
SD	1.63	0.84	1.78
CV	1.03	0.64	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	46.15%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Seattle Reign — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.12	+0.12
SD	0.99	0.99	1.21
CV	0.81	0.89	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	26.92%	19.23%	26.92%	3.85%	—	100%

Utah Royals FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.62	-0.54
SD	0.98	1.24	1.42
CV	0.91	0.76	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
2	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Washington Spirit — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.27	+0.35
SD	1.20	1.15	1.50
CV	0.74	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.74	+15.6
Allowed	0.79	-10.3
Differential	0.93	+7.5

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Kansas City Current	1708	65	51.04	+13.96	99.38%	26	41	47	51	55	61	74
Gotham FC	1613	36	47.44	-11.44	3.69%	18	37	43	48	52	57	74
Washington Spirit	1599	44	45.33	-1.33	44.57%	19	35	41	45	50	55	71
Orlando Pride	1594	40	47.77	-7.77	11.84%	21	38	44	48	52	58	74
Portland Thorns	1520	40	34.79	+5.21	82.64%	12	25	31	35	39	45	61
North Carolina Courage	1503	35	34.46	+0.54	57.19%	11	25	30	34	39	45	60
Seattle Reign	1476	39	29.69	+9.31	94.93%	7	20	26	30	34	40	55
San Diego Wave FC	1472	37	31.18	+5.82	85.21%	9	22	27	31	35	41	59
Racing Louisville	1468	37	28.91	+8.09	92.58%	7	19	25	29	33	39	55
Utah Royals FC	1425	25	26.58	-1.58	43.60%	4	17	23	26	30	36	53
Bay FC	1410	20	31.77	-11.77	2.61%	8	22	28	32	36	42	56
Angel City FC	1409	27	28.59	-1.59	43.49%	8	19	25	28	32	38	55
Houston Dash	1406	30	24.47	+5.53	85.63%	2	15	21	24	28	34	53
Chicago Stars FC	1397	20	25.20	-5.20	20.89%	6	16	21	25	29	35	51

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Kansas City Current	43.41%	26.32%	16.54%	9.01%	2.98%	1.02%	0.41%	0.18%	0.08%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Orlando Pride	22.35%	25.54%	23.22%	16.98%	6.71%	2.83%	1.28%	0.57%	0.29%	0.13%	0.06%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%
Gotham FC	20.44%	24.80%	24.13%	17.75%	7.14%	3.11%	1.39%	0.63%	0.32%	0.16%	0.08%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Washington Spirit	12.66%	18.92%	23.46%	23.77%	10.72%	5.08%	2.59%	1.32%	0.77%	0.38%	0.20%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%
Portland Thorns	0.50%	1.52%	3.88%	8.86%	16.98%	16.12%	13.64%	10.87%	8.61%	6.62%	5.03%	3.62%	2.45%	1.30%
North Carolina Courage	0.34%	1.30%	3.56%	8.20%	16.27%	15.99%	13.69%	11.12%	8.88%	7.21%	5.51%	3.96%	2.57%	1.38%
Bay FC	0.12%	0.57%	1.60%	4.20%	9.71%	12.23%	12.61%	12.39%	11.33%	10.16%	8.79%	7.25%	5.52%	3.51%
San Diego Wave FC	0.08%	0.41%	1.32%	3.75%	8.73%	11.19%	12.08%	12.09%	11.32%	10.59%	9.31%	8.34%	6.46%	4.32%
Seattle Reign	0.03%	0.24%	0.74%	2.34%	5.96%	8.57%	10.25%	11.52%	11.92%	11.62%	11.16%	10.10%	8.83%	6.73%
Racing Louisville	0.03%	0.15%	0.57%	1.83%	4.95%	7.36%	9.24%	10.61%	11.45%	11.78%	11.91%	11.34%	10.24%	8.54%
Angel City FC	0.02%	0.12%	0.55%	1.65%	4.47%	6.98%	8.79%	10.04%	11.30%	11.72%	12.22%	11.94%	11.11%	9.09%
Utah Royals FC	0.01%	0.05%	0.21%	0.78%	2.61%	4.34%	6.08%	7.68%	9.41%	10.90%	12.44%	14.04%	15.32%	16.14%
Chicago Stars FC	<0.01%	0.03%	0.12%	0.50%	1.59%	2.89%	4.36%	5.97%	7.64%	9.69%	11.98%	14.76%	18.21%	22.27%
Houston Dash	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.37%	1.17%	2.29%	3.59%	5.03%	6.68%	9.03%	11.30%	14.50%	19.25%	26.68%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Kansas City Current	43.41%	26.32%	16.54%	9.01%	2.98%	1.02%	0.41%	0.18%	0.12%
Orlando Pride	22.35%	25.54%	23.22%	16.98%	6.71%	2.83%	1.28%	0.57%	0.52%
Gotham FC	20.44%	24.80%	24.13%	17.75%	7.14%	3.11%	1.39%	0.63%	0.60%
Washington Spirit	12.66%	18.92%	23.46%	23.77%	10.72%	5.08%	2.59%	1.32%	1.49%
Portland Thorns	0.50%	1.52%	3.88%	8.86%	16.98%	16.12%	13.64%	10.87%	27.63%
North Carolina Courage	0.34%	1.30%	3.56%	8.20%	16.27%	15.99%	13.69%	11.12%	29.52%
Bay FC	0.12%	0.57%	1.60%	4.20%	9.71%	12.23%	12.61%	12.39%	46.55%
San Diego Wave FC	0.08%	0.41%	1.32%	3.75%	8.73%	11.19%	12.08%	12.09%	50.34%
Racing Louisville	0.03%	0.15%	0.57%	1.83%	4.95%	7.36%	9.24%	10.61%	65.26%
Seattle Reign	0.03%	0.24%	0.74%	2.34%	5.96%	8.57%	10.25%	11.52%	60.35%
Angel City FC	0.02%	0.12%	0.55%	1.65%	4.47%	6.98%	8.79%	10.04%	67.38%
Utah Royals FC	0.01%	0.05%	0.21%	0.78%	2.61%	4.34%	6.08%	7.68%	78.24%
Houston Dash	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.37%	1.17%	2.29%	3.59%	5.03%	87.45%
Chicago Stars FC	<0.01%	0.03%	0.12%	0.50%	1.59%	2.89%	4.36%	5.97%	84.55%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.04%

Clear Edge

39.01%28.02%32.97%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 21.02 Elo pts.

265 Elo

0.004 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.13 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.08+2

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 4.75 · As Expected: 4.75 to 6.53 · Elevated: 6.53 to 8.91 · High Variance: 8.91 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.69 · Close: 1.69 to 2.28 · Off Target: 2.28 to 2.97 · Well Off Target: 2.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 14 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.7 · As Expected: 0.7 to 1.68 · Several Outliers: 1.68 to 3.08 · Many Outliers: 3.08 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 1.18 · As Expected: 1.18 to 1.96 · More Than Expected: 1.96 to 3.14 · Far More Than Expected: 3.14 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.55 points

Elevated

05.9415

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.36

Off Target

01.984

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

99.38%

Kansas City Current

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

2.61%

Bay FC

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 14

Several Outliers

01.47

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 8

More Than Expected

01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.49

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

72%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Lopsided

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

69%

Nail-Biters

0%66%100%

Blowouts

Expected

10%

Occasional

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.61

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.33

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Chalk Held

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.06 · Within Noise: 0.06 to 0.12 · Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.25 · Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.35

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.65

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.103

Within Noise

00.1240.3

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Quarterfinals	Advanced to Semifinals	Won Semifinals
Kansas City Current	49.94%	49.94%	40.40%	28.44%
Gotham FC	49.70%	49.70%	34.52%	18.45%
Orlando Pride	49.74%	49.74%	33.28%	16.81%
Washington Spirit	49.26%	49.26%	32.41%	16.23%
Portland Thorns	36.18%	36.18%	13.75%	5.38%
North Carolina Courage	35.24%	35.24%	12.28%	4.51%
San Diego Wave FC	24.83%	24.83%	7.44%	2.53%
Seattle Reign	19.82%	19.82%	5.85%	1.98%
Racing Louisville	17.37%	17.37%	4.97%	1.67%
Bay FC	26.72%	26.72%	6.22%	1.63%
Angel City FC	16.31%	16.31%	3.51%	0.93%
Utah Royals FC	10.88%	10.88%	2.49%	0.69%
Chicago Stars FC	7.73%	7.73%	1.57%	0.39%
Houston Dash	6.28%	6.28%	1.32%	0.36%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Angel City FC	Bay FC	Chicago Stars FC	Gotham FC	Houston Dash	Kansas City Current	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Utah Royals FC	Washington Spirit
Angel City FC		66.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	21.6%0.17%	20.0%<0.01%	15.5%0.31%	35.7%0.03%	28.7%0.14%	33.0%0.04%	50.0%0.01%	41.4%0.03%	32.1%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	23.0%0.15%
Bay FC	33.3%0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	23.4%0.31%	83.3%<0.01%	16.0%0.57%	31.5%0.07%	22.9%0.22%	38.4%0.09%	42.0%0.03%	32.0%0.04%	42.0%0.03%	43.8%<0.01%	24.4%0.24%
Chicago Stars FC	33.3%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		24.8%0.07%	33.3%<0.01%	12.5%0.14%	60.0%0.01%	21.8%0.06%	22.4%0.02%	41.7%<0.01%	36.4%<0.01%	15.4%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.06%
Gotham FC	78.4%0.17%	76.6%0.31%	75.2%0.07%		80.2%0.06%	36.6%7.85%	67.2%0.80%	52.5%3.48%	65.4%1.00%	67.8%0.29%	70.5%0.45%	65.4%0.33%	78.8%0.12%	52.8%3.53%
Houston Dash	80.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	19.8%0.06%		17.1%0.12%	37.5%0.01%	25.5%0.05%	28.6%0.02%	57.1%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	61.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	24.6%0.06%
Kansas City Current	84.5%0.31%	84.0%0.57%	87.5%0.14%	63.4%7.85%	82.9%0.12%		77.9%1.56%	65.4%7.14%	75.0%1.90%	80.7%0.57%	80.4%0.85%	79.3%0.69%	83.2%0.26%	65.6%6.49%
North Carolina Courage	64.3%0.03%	68.5%0.07%	40.0%0.01%	32.8%0.80%	62.5%0.01%	22.1%1.56%		35.7%0.73%	46.2%0.25%	50.0%0.09%	59.3%0.10%	56.6%0.09%	56.5%0.03%	35.0%0.71%
Orlando Pride	71.3%0.14%	77.1%0.22%	78.2%0.06%	47.5%3.48%	74.5%0.05%	34.6%7.14%	64.3%0.73%		59.9%0.85%	63.7%0.26%	68.3%0.39%	67.1%0.32%	74.5%0.11%	49.8%3.07%
Portland Thorns	67.0%0.04%	61.6%0.09%	77.6%0.02%	34.6%1.00%	71.4%0.02%	25.0%1.90%	53.8%0.25%	40.1%0.85%		62.3%0.08%	57.3%0.13%	58.0%0.11%	64.2%0.03%	38.0%0.86%
Racing Louisville	50.0%0.01%	58.0%0.03%	58.3%<0.01%	32.2%0.29%	42.9%<0.01%	19.3%0.57%	50.0%0.09%	36.3%0.26%	37.7%0.08%		46.7%0.04%	54.1%0.03%	61.9%0.01%	32.6%0.26%
San Diego Wave FC	58.6%0.03%	68.0%0.04%	63.6%<0.01%	29.5%0.45%	50.0%0.01%	19.6%0.85%	40.7%0.10%	31.7%0.39%	42.7%0.13%	53.3%0.04%		47.5%0.05%	53.8%0.01%	32.0%0.41%
Seattle Reign	67.9%0.01%	58.0%0.03%	84.6%<0.01%	34.6%0.33%	38.5%<0.01%	20.7%0.69%	43.4%0.09%	32.9%0.32%	42.0%0.11%	45.9%0.03%	52.5%0.05%		74.1%0.01%	36.4%0.29%
Utah Royals FC	57.1%<0.01%	56.2%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	21.2%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	16.8%0.26%	43.5%0.03%	25.5%0.11%	35.8%0.03%	38.1%0.01%	46.2%0.01%	25.9%0.01%		27.3%0.10%
Washington Spirit	77.0%0.15%	75.6%0.24%	75.0%0.06%	47.2%3.53%	75.4%0.06%	34.4%6.49%	65.0%0.71%	50.2%3.07%	62.0%0.86%	67.4%0.26%	68.0%0.41%	63.6%0.29%	72.7%0.10%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Angel City FC	Bay FC	Chicago Stars FC	Gotham FC	Houston Dash	Kansas City Current	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Utah Royals FC	Washington Spirit
Angel City FC		49.4%0.21%	58.5%0.03%	20.5%3.62%	58.5%0.02%	13.2%4.18%	37.9%0.44%	23.4%3.66%	34.2%0.51%	37.3%0.10%	39.8%0.21%	36.4%0.12%	43.9%0.04%	22.1%3.15%
Bay FC	50.6%0.21%		56.9%0.08%	21.6%5.73%	54.9%0.06%	13.7%6.08%	36.8%1.04%	24.4%5.83%	35.4%1.08%	41.1%0.26%	42.2%0.48%	42.1%0.32%	52.3%0.12%	23.3%5.41%
Chicago Stars FC	41.5%0.03%	43.1%0.08%		20.6%1.75%	42.1%<0.01%	12.5%2.20%	31.2%0.16%	23.0%1.75%	32.7%0.17%	37.9%0.03%	42.5%0.07%	46.8%0.04%	31.0%0.01%	21.5%1.42%
Gotham FC	79.5%3.62%	78.4%5.73%	79.4%1.75%		78.5%1.41%	36.1%1.10%	68.1%7.45%	52.8%2.00%	65.4%7.53%	71.9%3.80%	71.6%5.41%	71.1%4.27%	77.1%2.46%	52.4%3.17%
Houston Dash	41.5%0.02%	45.1%0.06%	57.9%<0.01%	21.5%1.41%		13.4%1.86%	36.1%0.13%	24.0%1.40%	31.4%0.14%	35.1%0.03%	44.2%0.05%	33.3%0.03%	56.5%0.01%	22.6%1.13%
Kansas City Current	86.8%4.18%	86.3%6.08%	87.5%2.20%	63.9%1.10%	86.6%1.86%		78.7%6.75%	67.5%1.05%	77.0%6.80%	80.8%4.48%	81.3%5.69%	81.6%4.91%	85.6%2.96%	65.7%1.87%
North Carolina Courage	62.1%0.44%	63.2%1.04%	68.8%0.16%	31.9%7.45%	63.9%0.13%	21.3%6.75%		34.5%7.29%	46.2%2.06%	55.7%0.51%	54.1%0.87%	54.3%0.58%	57.4%0.24%	34.5%7.71%
Orlando Pride	76.6%3.66%	75.6%5.83%	77.0%1.75%	47.2%2.00%	76.0%1.40%	32.5%1.05%	65.5%7.29%		62.2%7.59%	70.3%3.83%	68.9%5.36%	68.9%4.46%	75.3%2.48%	50.6%3.04%
Portland Thorns	65.8%0.51%	64.6%1.08%	67.3%0.17%	34.6%7.53%	68.6%0.14%	23.0%6.80%	53.8%2.06%	37.8%7.59%		60.3%0.55%	56.0%0.97%	55.1%0.67%	65.8%0.29%	37.5%7.83%
Racing Louisville	62.7%0.10%	58.9%0.26%	62.1%0.03%	28.1%3.80%	64.9%0.03%	19.2%4.48%	44.3%0.51%	29.7%3.83%	39.7%0.55%		49.1%0.20%	46.6%0.14%	57.5%0.05%	29.9%3.38%
San Diego Wave FC	60.2%0.21%	57.8%0.48%	57.5%0.07%	28.4%5.41%	55.8%0.05%	18.7%5.69%	45.9%0.87%	31.1%5.36%	44.0%0.97%	50.9%0.20%		48.5%0.26%	60.5%0.10%	30.8%5.16%
Seattle Reign	63.6%0.12%	57.9%0.32%	53.2%0.04%	28.9%4.27%	66.7%0.03%	18.4%4.91%	45.7%0.58%	31.1%4.46%	44.9%0.67%	53.4%0.14%	51.5%0.26%		59.2%0.08%	30.5%3.94%
Utah Royals FC	56.1%0.04%	47.7%0.12%	69.0%0.01%	22.9%2.46%	43.5%0.01%	14.4%2.96%	42.6%0.24%	24.7%2.48%	34.2%0.29%	42.5%0.05%	39.5%0.10%	40.8%0.08%		24.6%2.03%
Washington Spirit	77.9%3.15%	76.7%5.41%	78.5%1.42%	47.6%3.17%	77.4%1.13%	34.3%1.87%	65.5%7.71%	49.4%3.04%	62.5%7.83%	70.1%3.38%	69.2%5.16%	69.5%3.94%	75.4%2.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Angel City FC	Bay FC	Chicago Stars FC	Gotham FC	Houston Dash	Kansas City Current	North Carolina Courage	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Utah Royals FC	Washington Spirit
Angel City FC		45.1%0.10%	62.2%0.02%	25.0%0.62%	53.8%0.02%	14.5%0.75%	33.5%0.23%	23.6%0.57%	36.6%0.28%	36.2%0.09%	38.6%0.14%	40.5%0.10%	49.3%0.04%	24.4%0.55%
Bay FC	54.9%0.10%		59.0%0.05%	21.7%1.08%	48.8%0.04%	14.5%1.47%	36.1%0.44%	26.3%0.97%	35.1%0.46%	42.3%0.15%	42.2%0.24%	38.5%0.17%	53.8%0.08%	24.3%0.97%
Chicago Stars FC	37.8%0.02%	41.0%0.05%		23.0%0.26%	47.1%<0.01%	14.9%0.30%	31.7%0.11%	22.3%0.26%	31.5%0.12%	30.3%0.03%	36.5%0.06%	40.0%0.04%	47.1%0.02%	23.3%0.28%
Gotham FC	75.0%0.62%	78.3%1.08%	77.0%0.26%		74.0%0.23%	36.4%8.82%	66.9%2.18%	52.4%8.05%	63.5%2.47%	71.1%0.84%	70.5%1.31%	71.4%1.03%	73.5%0.41%	52.1%7.22%
Houston Dash	46.2%0.02%	51.2%0.04%	52.9%<0.01%	26.0%0.23%		17.7%0.25%	35.0%0.09%	24.2%0.21%	24.9%0.10%	37.0%0.03%	39.2%0.05%	44.3%0.03%	52.4%0.01%	25.8%0.25%
Kansas City Current	85.5%0.75%	85.5%1.47%	85.1%0.30%	63.6%8.82%	82.3%0.25%		77.9%3.18%	66.3%8.39%	76.1%3.57%	80.1%1.05%	79.4%1.73%	80.3%1.29%	85.3%0.55%	66.3%9.05%
North Carolina Courage	66.5%0.23%	63.9%0.44%	68.3%0.11%	33.1%2.18%	65.0%0.09%	22.1%3.18%		35.6%2.05%	46.6%0.85%	54.3%0.35%	55.4%0.51%	53.4%0.38%	60.5%0.17%	34.9%1.74%
Orlando Pride	76.4%0.57%	73.7%0.97%	77.7%0.26%	47.6%8.05%	75.8%0.21%	33.7%8.39%	64.4%2.05%		62.3%2.34%	68.0%0.80%	68.1%1.19%	66.7%0.95%	73.7%0.39%	50.4%7.11%
Portland Thorns	63.4%0.28%	64.9%0.46%	68.5%0.12%	36.5%2.47%	75.1%0.10%	23.9%3.57%	53.4%0.85%	37.7%2.34%		58.9%0.41%	56.9%0.56%	54.1%0.47%	65.1%0.20%	37.3%1.93%
Racing Louisville	63.8%0.09%	57.7%0.15%	69.7%0.03%	28.9%0.84%	63.0%0.03%	19.9%1.05%	45.7%0.35%	32.0%0.80%	41.1%0.41%		48.4%0.20%	52.0%0.13%	61.8%0.05%	29.4%0.82%
San Diego Wave FC	61.4%0.14%	57.8%0.24%	63.5%0.06%	29.5%1.31%	60.8%0.05%	20.6%1.73%	44.6%0.51%	31.9%1.19%	43.1%0.56%	51.6%0.20%		54.1%0.24%	62.2%0.09%	31.5%1.12%
Seattle Reign	59.5%0.10%	61.5%0.17%	60.0%0.04%	28.6%1.03%	55.7%0.03%	19.7%1.29%	46.6%0.38%	33.3%0.95%	45.9%0.47%	48.0%0.13%	45.9%0.24%		53.2%0.06%	32.2%0.95%
Utah Royals FC	50.7%0.04%	46.2%0.08%	52.9%0.02%	26.5%0.41%	47.6%0.01%	14.7%0.55%	39.5%0.17%	26.3%0.39%	34.9%0.20%	38.2%0.05%	37.8%0.09%	46.8%0.06%		25.7%0.42%
Washington Spirit	75.6%0.55%	75.7%0.97%	76.7%0.28%	47.9%7.22%	74.2%0.25%	33.7%9.05%	65.1%1.74%	49.6%7.11%	62.7%1.93%	70.6%0.82%	68.5%1.12%	67.8%0.95%	74.3%0.42%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Quarterfinals	Advanced to Semifinals	Won Semifinals	Actual Outcome
Washington Spirit	50.00%	35.30%	23.42%	Won Semifinals
Orlando Pride	50.00%	34.49%	12.81%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Portland Thorns	50.00%	29.89%	12.76%	Eliminated in Semifinals
Gotham FC	50.00%	17.07%	9.59%	Won Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Gotham FC	Kansas City Current	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Washington Spirit
Gotham FC				60.6%2.45%	67.3%1.17%	67.0%1.45%		50.5%4.52%
Kansas City Current				76.7%6.11%	81.0%3.05%	80.1%3.56%		68.7%11.09%
Orlando Pride				59.6%3.23%	69.7%1.64%	69.1%1.92%		46.7%6.03%
Portland Thorns	39.4%2.45%	23.3%6.11%	40.4%3.23%				56.1%0.98%
Racing Louisville	32.7%1.17%	19.0%3.05%	30.3%1.64%				45.5%0.48%
San Diego Wave FC	33.0%1.45%	19.9%3.56%	30.9%1.92%				45.1%0.55%
Seattle Reign				43.9%0.98%	54.5%0.48%	54.9%0.55%		32.7%1.78%
Washington Spirit	49.5%4.52%	31.3%11.09%	53.3%6.03%				67.3%1.78%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Gotham FC	Kansas City Current	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Washington Spirit
Gotham FC		34.1%50.00%
Kansas City Current	65.9%50.00%
Orlando Pride							69.0%50.00%
Portland Thorns						59.8%50.00%
Racing Louisville								29.4%50.00%
San Diego Wave FC				40.2%50.00%
Seattle Reign			31.0%50.00%
Washington Spirit					70.6%50.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Gotham FC	Kansas City Current	Orlando Pride	Portland Thorns	Racing Louisville	San Diego Wave FC	Seattle Reign	Washington Spirit
Gotham FC			51.4%11.74%				66.8%5.33%
Kansas City Current			68.8%22.75%				80.1%10.18%
Orlando Pride	48.6%11.74%	31.2%22.75%
Portland Thorns					59.3%8.77%			35.8%21.12%
Racing Louisville				40.7%8.77%		46.7%5.93%
San Diego Wave FC					53.3%5.93%			30.5%14.19%
Seattle Reign	33.2%5.33%	19.9%10.18%
Washington Spirit				64.2%21.12%		69.5%14.19%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Kansas City Current 23.81% chance to win

Finals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

43.22%

Win Prob

68.69%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Gotham FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.87%

→

Semifinals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

65.74%

Win Prob

68.79%

Washington Spirit 23.42% chance to win

Finals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

34.32%

Win Prob

31.31%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Racing Louisville

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.60%

→

Semifinals

vs. Portland Thorns

Matchup

57.89%

Win Prob

64.20%

Orlando Pride 12.81% chance to win

Finals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

39.06%

Win Prob

46.71%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Reign

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.98%

→

Semifinals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

55.44%

Win Prob

31.21%

Portland Thorns 12.76% chance to win

Finals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

33.58%

Win Prob

23.27%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. San Diego Wave FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.77%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

59.25%

Win Prob

35.80%

Gotham FC 9.59% chance to win

Finals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

41.33%

Win Prob

50.53%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.13%

→

Semifinals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

62.88%

Win Prob

51.37%

San Diego Wave FC 7.49% chance to win

Finals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

34.83%

Win Prob

19.87%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Portland Thorns

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.23%

→

Semifinals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

57.79%

Win Prob

30.49%

Racing Louisville 6.34% chance to win

Finals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

34.54%

Win Prob

19.04%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.39%

→

Semifinals

vs. Portland Thorns

Matchup

56.32%

Win Prob

40.70%

Seattle Reign 3.79% chance to win

Finals

vs. Washington Spirit

Matchup

36.87%

Win Prob

32.69%

→

Quarterfinals

vs. Orlando Pride

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.02%

→

Semifinals

vs. Kansas City Current

Matchup

53.37%

Win Prob

19.89%

Filter by Team:

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2025-03-16	San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	54.7	1428.51	1425.31	35.15%	36.48%	28.37%	+0.09	-0.31	1
2025-03-22	@ Portland Thorns	T 1-1	56.0	1428.20	1463.70	24.51%	35.79%	39.70%	-0.21	+0.72	2
2025-03-31	Seattle Reign	W 2-1	52.1	1428.92	1430.54	34.47%	36.53%	29.00%	+0.07	+8.39	5
2025-04-12	@ Houston Dash	W 3-1	47.9	1437.31	1403.57	33.51%	36.59%	29.90%	+0.05	+12.10	8
2025-04-19	Gotham FC	L 0-4	42.6	1449.41	1645.56	15.17%	29.51%	55.31%	-0.66	-9.50	8
2025-04-26	@ Orlando Pride	L 2-3	56.9	1439.91	1669.14	11.74%	23.92%	64.34%	-0.94	-3.40	8
2025-05-03	@ Washington Spirit	W 4-3	72.5	1436.51	1611.25	14.11%	28.03%	57.86%	-0.74	+13.42	11
2025-05-10	Utah Royals FC	W 2-0	41.0	1449.93	1416.85	39.36%	35.86%	24.77%	+0.20	+10.62	14
2025-05-18	@ Bay FC	L 0-2	44.1	1460.55	1471.72	27.36%	36.36%	36.29%	-0.12	-11.40	14
2025-05-25	Racing Louisville	L 2-3	60.2	1449.15	1422.77	38.43%	36.04%	25.53%	+0.18	-10.09	14
2025-06-08	Chicago Stars FC	T 2-2	60.1	1439.06	1386.03	42.12%	35.20%	22.68%	+0.28	-0.93	15
2025-06-15	North Carolina Courage	L 1-2	53.8	1438.13	1487.24	27.87%	36.42%	35.70%	-0.11	-8.17	15
2025-06-21	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-1	45.5	1429.96	1669.70	11.33%	23.12%	65.55%	-0.98	-3.24	15
2025-08-02	@ Seattle Reign	L 0-2	41.6	1426.72	1459.92	24.76%	35.86%	39.38%	-0.20	-10.62	15
2025-08-10	@ San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	57.1	1416.10	1492.67	20.50%	34.20%	45.31%	-0.37	+1.21	16
2025-08-16	@ Utah Royals FC	T 0-0	48.4	1417.31	1374.28	34.84%	36.50%	28.66%	+0.08	-0.28	17
2025-08-22	Orlando Pride	W 1-0	59.5	1417.03	1638.11	13.90%	27.71%	58.38%	-0.75	+13.51	20
2025-09-02	Bay FC	W 2-1	54.5	1430.54	1462.89	30.09%	36.60%	33.31%	-0.04	+9.17	23
2025-09-07	@ Gotham FC	L 1-3	47.9	1439.71	1617.19	13.98%	27.83%	58.19%	-0.75	-6.08	23
2025-09-13	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-2	51.8	1433.63	1481.32	23.21%	35.40%	41.39%	-0.26	-7.15	23
2025-09-19	Washington Spirit	T 2-2	68.9	1426.48	1613.42	15.69%	30.15%	54.16%	-0.63	+1.98	24
2025-09-28	@ Racing Louisville	L 0-1	46.2	1428.46	1436.47	27.75%	36.41%	35.84%	-0.11	-8.15	24
2025-10-07	Kansas City Current	L 0-1	46.2	1420.31	1707.57	11.13%	22.70%	66.17%	-1.00	-3.15	24
2025-10-12	Houston Dash	W 2-0	41.1	1417.16	1410.92	35.58%	36.44%	27.98%	+0.10	+11.58	27
2025-10-19	Portland Thorns	L 0-2	43.2	1428.74	1500.65	25.13%	35.95%	38.92%	-0.19	-10.74	27
2025-11-02	@ Chicago Stars FC	L 1-2	51.9	1418.00	1387.61	33.03%	36.61%	30.36%	+0.04	-9.13	27
2025-03-16	@ Utah Royals FC	T 1-1	57.6	1490.79	1453.80	33.98%	36.57%	29.46%	+0.06	-0.20	1
2025-03-23	Racing Louisville	W 2-0	41.8	1490.59	1432.13	42.86%	34.99%	22.14%	+0.30	+9.74	4
2025-03-29	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-2	46.5	1500.33	1600.71	18.59%	32.96%	48.46%	-0.46	-8.35	4
2025-04-14	Chicago Stars FC	L 1-2	57.8	1491.98	1413.33	45.58%	34.10%	20.32%	+0.38	-11.36	4
2025-04-20	@ North Carolina Courage	W 1-0	52.0	1480.62	1486.99	27.96%	36.43%	35.60%	-0.10	+9.58	7
2025-04-27	Seattle Reign	T 1-1	57.2	1490.20	1428.18	43.34%	34.85%	21.81%	+0.31	-1.04	8
2025-05-05	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 1-2	56.3	1489.16	1456.80	33.31%	36.60%	30.09%	+0.04	-9.18	8
2025-05-11	@ Kansas City Current	L 1-4	48.1	1479.98	1633.14	15.22%	29.58%	55.20%	-0.66	-8.26	8
2025-05-18	Angel City FC	W 2-0	44.1	1471.72	1460.55	36.29%	36.36%	27.36%	+0.12	+11.41	11
2025-05-25	@ Houston Dash	T 2-2	61.4	1483.13	1386.64	42.31%	35.15%	22.54%	+0.28	-0.95	12
2025-06-08	Portland Thorns	W 1-0	51.9	1482.18	1508.22	30.97%	36.63%	32.41%	-0.02	+9.01	15
2025-06-14	Orlando Pride	L 0-1	51.2	1491.19	1656.57	16.99%	31.58%	51.43%	-0.54	-5.39	15
2025-06-22	@ Gotham FC	L 1-2	55.2	1485.80	1618.08	16.43%	31.00%	52.57%	-0.58	-5.20	15
2025-08-03	Houston Dash	T 2-2	61.7	1480.60	1372.31	49.49%	32.50%	18.01%	+0.49	-1.58	16
2025-08-10	@ Chicago Stars FC	T 1-1	55.3	1479.02	1384.65	42.02%	35.23%	22.75%	+0.28	-0.93	17
2025-08-17	San Diego Wave FC	L 1-2	57.0	1478.09	1491.46	32.78%	36.62%	30.60%	+0.03	-9.08	17
2025-08-23	Washington Spirit	L 2-3	60.8	1469.01	1601.68	19.34%	33.49%	47.17%	-0.42	-6.12	17
2025-09-02	@ Angel City FC	L 1-2	54.5	1462.89	1430.54	33.31%	36.60%	30.09%	+0.04	-9.18	17
2025-09-07	Kansas City Current	L 0-2	44.3	1453.71	1694.53	13.00%	26.23%	60.76%	-0.83	-5.53	17
2025-09-13	@ Orlando Pride	T 1-1	62.8	1448.18	1587.16	16.03%	30.55%	53.42%	-0.60	+1.91	18
2025-09-22	Gotham FC	T 1-1	64.4	1450.09	1631.26	16.02%	30.55%	53.43%	-0.60	+1.92	19
2025-09-28	Utah Royals FC	L 0-2	45.5	1452.01	1413.73	40.09%	35.71%	24.20%	+0.22	-14.69	19
2025-10-05	@ Portland Thorns	L 1-2	51.9	1437.32	1500.46	21.70%	34.80%	43.50%	-0.32	-6.77	19
2025-10-11	@ Seattle Reign	T 1-1	56.2	1430.55	1467.34	24.36%	35.75%	39.88%	-0.22	+0.73	20
2025-10-18	North Carolina Courage	L 1-4	46.8	1431.28	1477.36	28.26%	36.47%	35.27%	-0.09	-14.28	20
2025-11-02	@ Racing Louisville	L 0-1	45.0	1417.00	1460.81	23.62%	35.53%	40.85%	-0.24	-7.25	20
2025-03-15	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-6	42.8	1442.43	1650.94	12.58%	25.50%	61.92%	-0.87	-9.17	0
2025-03-23	Houston Dash	L 1-2	54.4	1433.26	1390.60	40.69%	35.57%	23.74%	+0.24	-10.49	0
2025-03-30	Racing Louisville	L 0-1	47.7	1422.77	1422.39	34.75%	36.51%	28.74%	+0.08	-9.44	0
2025-04-14	@ Bay FC	W 2-1	57.8	1413.33	1491.98	20.32%	34.10%	45.58%	-0.38	+11.37	3
2025-04-19	@ Utah Royals FC	L 0-1	46.0	1424.70	1429.33	28.19%	36.46%	35.36%	-0.10	-8.23	3
2025-04-27	San Diego Wave FC	L 0-3	41.0	1416.47	1441.60	31.10%	36.63%	32.27%	-0.02	-15.21	3
2025-05-04	@ Gotham FC	T 0-0	61.0	1401.26	1648.71	11.05%	22.54%	66.42%	-1.01	+2.88	4
2025-05-10	Washington Spirit	L 2-3	55.9	1404.14	1597.83	15.31%	29.69%	55.01%	-0.65	-4.80	4
2025-05-17	@ North Carolina Courage	L 0-2	39.3	1399.34	1502.89	18.35%	32.78%	48.87%	-0.47	-8.24	4
2025-05-25	Kansas City Current	L 1-3	45.9	1391.10	1651.25	12.19%	24.77%	63.05%	-0.90	-5.07	4
2025-06-08	@ Angel City FC	T 2-2	60.1	1386.03	1439.06	22.68%	35.20%	42.12%	-0.28	+0.94	5
2025-06-14	Seattle Reign	T 2-2	60.1	1386.97	1446.66	26.56%	36.24%	37.20%	-0.15	+0.49	6
2025-06-22	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-1	42.5	1387.46	1515.08	16.72%	31.30%	51.97%	-0.56	-5.30	6
2025-08-02	Gotham FC	T 1-1	63.0	1382.16	1623.29	12.99%	26.21%	60.80%	-0.83	+2.49	7
2025-08-10	Bay FC	T 1-1	55.3	1384.65	1479.02	22.75%	35.23%	42.02%	-0.28	+0.92	8
2025-08-19	@ Seattle Reign	T 3-3	64.8	1385.57	1460.28	20.66%	34.29%	45.06%	-0.36	+1.20	9
2025-08-23	North Carolina Courage	T 3-3	65.5	1386.77	1489.22	21.96%	34.91%	43.13%	-0.31	+1.02	10
2025-08-31	@ Washington Spirit	T 1-1	63.1	1387.79	1607.80	12.11%	24.62%	63.27%	-0.91	+2.67	11
2025-09-07	Orlando Pride	W 5-2	59.0	1390.46	1610.51	13.95%	27.79%	58.26%	-0.75	+23.35	14
2025-09-14	Portland Thorns	T 1-1	57.4	1413.81	1511.80	22.39%	35.09%	42.52%	-0.29	+0.97	15
2025-09-20	@ Houston Dash	L 0-1	45.6	1414.78	1408.59	29.61%	36.58%	33.81%	-0.06	-8.51	15
2025-09-27	@ Kansas City Current	L 1-4	43.0	1406.27	1703.31	9.32%	18.88%	71.80%	-1.20	-4.25	15
2025-10-05	Utah Royals FC	T 2-2	59.9	1402.02	1428.42	30.92%	36.63%	32.46%	-0.02	+0.07	16
2025-10-11	@ Racing Louisville	T 1-1	55.3	1402.09	1459.58	22.24%	35.03%	42.73%	-0.30	+0.99	17
2025-10-19	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 1-6	41.9	1403.08	1460.23	22.27%	35.05%	42.68%	-0.29	-15.47	17
2025-11-02	Angel City FC	W 2-1	51.9	1387.61	1418.00	30.36%	36.61%	33.03%	-0.04	+9.12	20
2025-03-16	@ Seattle Reign	T 1-1	65.4	1656.64	1416.50	60.68%	26.29%	13.03%	+0.83	-2.48	1
2025-03-23	Orlando Pride	L 0-2	56.8	1654.16	1660.11	33.85%	36.57%	29.58%	+0.06	-13.11	1
2025-03-29	@ Houston Dash	T 0-0	59.6	1641.05	1401.09	60.66%	26.30%	13.04%	+0.83	-2.48	2
2025-04-13	North Carolina Courage	W 3-1	51.7	1638.57	1493.98	54.12%	30.17%	15.70%	+0.62	+6.99	5
2025-04-19	@ Angel City FC	W 4-0	42.6	1645.56	1449.41	55.31%	29.51%	15.17%	+0.66	+9.50	8
2025-04-23	@ Portland Thorns	L 1-4	60.2	1655.06	1462.19	54.91%	29.74%	15.35%	+0.65	-22.43	8
2025-04-26	@ Washington Spirit	W 3-0	54.2	1632.63	1627.34	29.49%	36.57%	33.94%	-0.06	+16.08	11
2025-05-04	Chicago Stars FC	T 0-0	61.0	1648.71	1401.26	66.42%	22.54%	11.05%	+1.01	-2.88	12
2025-05-10	@ Racing Louisville	L 0-1	59.9	1645.83	1418.58	59.13%	27.25%	13.61%	+0.78	-13.61	12
2025-05-17	San Diego Wave FC	L 0-1	60.8	1632.22	1466.10	56.80%	28.66%	14.54%	+0.71	-13.26	12
2025-06-07	Kansas City Current	L 1-2	64.8	1618.96	1656.31	29.41%	36.56%	34.03%	-0.06	-8.47	12
2025-06-14	@ Utah Royals FC	W 3-0	38.5	1610.49	1395.53	57.64%	28.16%	14.20%	+0.73	+7.59	15
2025-06-22	Bay FC	W 2-1	55.2	1618.08	1485.80	52.57%	31.00%	16.43%	+0.58	+5.21	18
2025-08-02	@ Chicago Stars FC	T 1-1	63.0	1623.29	1382.16	60.80%	26.21%	12.99%	+0.83	-2.49	19
2025-08-09	Washington Spirit	T 0-0	61.9	1620.80	1603.24	37.19%	36.24%	26.57%	+0.15	-0.50	20
2025-08-17	Houston Dash	L 1-2	64.0	1620.30	1385.40	64.99%	23.49%	11.52%	+0.97	-14.45	20
2025-08-24	Utah Royals FC	T 0-0	58.0	1605.85	1374.56	64.58%	23.76%	11.66%	+0.95	-2.76	21
2025-08-30	@ Orlando Pride	W 2-0	56.5	1603.09	1624.61	26.10%	36.15%	37.75%	-0.16	+14.10	24
2025-09-07	Angel City FC	W 3-1	47.9	1617.19	1439.71	58.19%	27.83%	13.98%	+0.75	+6.07	27
2025-09-13	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-0	45.8	1623.26	1469.71	49.90%	32.31%	17.79%	+0.50	+8.00	30
2025-09-22	@ Bay FC	T 1-1	64.4	1631.26	1450.09	53.43%	30.55%	16.02%	+0.60	-1.92	31
2025-09-27	Portland Thorns	W 3-0	45.1	1629.34	1509.95	50.92%	31.83%	17.25%	+0.53	+9.49	34
2025-10-05	Seattle Reign	T 0-0	61.2	1638.83	1465.08	57.74%	28.10%	14.16%	+0.73	-2.26	35
2025-10-11	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-2	52.6	1636.57	1710.72	20.71%	34.31%	44.98%	-0.36	-9.21	35
2025-10-19	Racing Louisville	T 2-2	71.0	1627.36	1458.60	57.13%	28.46%	14.41%	+0.72	-2.21	36
2025-11-02	@ North Carolina Courage	L 2-3	70.7	1625.15	1491.64	47.29%	33.45%	19.27%	+0.42	-11.66	36
2025-03-15	Washington Spirit	L 1-2	50.2	1395.00	1609.05	14.25%	28.23%	57.53%	-0.73	-4.40	0
2025-03-23	@ Chicago Stars FC	W 2-1	54.4	1390.60	1433.26	23.74%	35.57%	40.69%	-0.24	+10.49	3
2025-03-29	Gotham FC	T 0-0	59.6	1401.09	1641.05	13.04%	26.30%	60.66%	-0.83	+2.48	4
2025-04-12	Angel City FC	L 1-3	47.9	1403.57	1437.31	29.90%	36.59%	33.51%	-0.05	-12.10	4
2025-04-20	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-2	38.7	1391.47	1655.22	10.45%	21.31%	68.23%	-1.07	-4.09	4
2025-04-26	Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	47.5	1387.38	1437.56	27.74%	36.41%	35.85%	-0.11	+9.63	7
2025-05-03	Racing Louisville	L 1-2	51.9	1397.01	1409.48	32.91%	36.61%	30.47%	+0.03	-9.10	7
2025-05-12	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	49.2	1387.91	1442.65	22.51%	35.14%	42.35%	-0.29	+10.79	10
2025-05-17	Portland Thorns	L 1-4	44.2	1398.70	1496.17	22.44%	35.11%	42.45%	-0.29	-12.06	10
2025-05-25	Bay FC	T 2-2	61.4	1386.64	1483.13	22.54%	35.15%	42.31%	-0.28	+0.95	11
2025-06-08	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-1	42.6	1387.59	1653.72	10.37%	21.13%	68.50%	-1.08	-2.85	11
2025-06-14	San Diego Wave FC	L 2-3	55.0	1384.74	1484.31	22.23%	35.03%	42.73%	-0.30	-6.91	11
2025-06-22	@ North Carolina Courage	L 1-2	47.6	1377.83	1495.41	17.37%	31.94%	50.69%	-0.52	-5.52	11
2025-08-03	@ Bay FC	T 2-2	61.7	1372.31	1480.60	18.01%	32.50%	49.49%	-0.49	+1.58	12
2025-08-09	North Carolina Courage	W 2-1	56.9	1373.89	1500.55	19.82%	33.80%	46.38%	-0.40	+11.51	15
2025-08-17	@ Gotham FC	W 2-1	64.0	1385.40	1620.30	11.52%	23.49%	64.99%	-0.97	+14.45	18
2025-08-25	Seattle Reign	T 1-1	54.9	1399.85	1459.08	26.62%	36.25%	37.14%	-0.14	+0.49	19
2025-08-30	@ Racing Louisville	T 1-1	55.5	1400.34	1463.74	21.68%	34.79%	43.53%	-0.32	+1.06	20
2025-09-08	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 3-0	45.8	1401.40	1489.79	19.51%	33.61%	46.88%	-0.41	+20.08	23
2025-09-15	@ Utah Royals FC	L 0-2	42.3	1421.48	1391.43	32.98%	36.61%	30.41%	+0.03	-12.89	23
2025-09-20	Chicago Stars FC	W 1-0	45.6	1408.59	1414.78	33.81%	36.58%	29.61%	+0.06	+8.51	26
2025-09-28	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-4	38.8	1417.10	1611.45	13.20%	26.57%	60.24%	-0.81	-7.98	26
2025-10-04	Orlando Pride	T 1-1	60.8	1409.12	1580.10	16.64%	31.22%	52.14%	-0.57	+1.80	27
2025-10-12	@ Angel City FC	L 0-2	41.1	1410.92	1417.16	27.98%	36.44%	35.58%	-0.10	-11.58	27
2025-10-19	Kansas City Current	W 1-0	62.8	1399.34	1719.93	9.94%	20.22%	69.84%	-1.13	+15.08	30
2025-11-02	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-2	40.3	1414.42	1511.39	18.84%	33.15%	48.01%	-0.45	-8.45	30
2025-03-15	Portland Thorns	W 3-1	50.1	1622.76	1470.47	55.09%	29.64%	15.27%	+0.65	+6.77	3
2025-03-23	@ Washington Spirit	W 2-0	55.4	1629.53	1613.45	30.98%	36.63%	32.39%	-0.02	+12.74	6
2025-03-30	Utah Royals FC	W 3-0	40.5	1642.27	1444.93	60.59%	26.34%	13.06%	+0.82	+6.82	9
2025-04-13	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-0	43.0	1649.09	1431.44	57.97%	27.96%	14.07%	+0.74	+6.13	12
2025-04-20	Houston Dash	W 2-0	38.7	1655.22	1391.47	68.23%	21.31%	10.45%	+1.07	+4.08	15
2025-04-27	@ North Carolina Courage	L 2-3	72.3	1659.30	1477.41	53.53%	30.50%	15.98%	+0.61	-12.72	15
2025-05-03	@ Seattle Reign	L 0-1	60.1	1646.58	1429.22	57.93%	27.99%	14.08%	+0.74	-13.44	15
2025-05-11	Bay FC	W 4-1	48.1	1633.14	1479.98	55.20%	29.58%	15.22%	+0.66	+8.26	18
2025-05-17	@ Orlando Pride	W 1-0	61.7	1641.40	1658.00	26.69%	36.26%	37.05%	-0.14	+9.85	21
2025-05-25	@ Chicago Stars FC	W 3-1	45.9	1651.25	1391.10	63.05%	24.77%	12.19%	+0.90	+5.06	24
2025-06-07	@ Gotham FC	W 2-1	64.8	1656.31	1618.96	34.03%	36.56%	29.41%	+0.06	+8.47	27
2025-06-15	Racing Louisville	W 4-2	51.7	1664.78	1440.45	63.77%	24.29%	11.93%	+0.93	+4.92	30
2025-06-21	Angel City FC	W 1-0	45.5	1669.70	1429.96	65.55%	23.12%	11.33%	+0.98	+3.24	33
2025-08-02	@ Racing Louisville	W 2-0	44.5	1672.94	1454.77	58.03%	27.93%	14.04%	+0.74	+6.12	36
2025-08-09	@ Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	43.3	1679.06	1377.22	67.80%	21.61%	10.60%	+1.06	+2.94	39
2025-08-17	Orlando Pride	T 0-0	63.6	1682.00	1637.28	40.98%	35.50%	23.52%	+0.25	-0.83	40
2025-08-24	@ Portland Thorns	W 2-0	48.8	1681.17	1524.00	50.37%	32.09%	17.54%	+0.51	+7.88	43
2025-08-31	North Carolina Courage	W 2-0	45.0	1689.05	1488.20	61.01%	26.08%	12.91%	+0.84	+5.48	46
2025-09-07	@ Bay FC	W 2-0	44.3	1694.53	1453.71	60.76%	26.23%	13.00%	+0.83	+5.53	49
2025-09-14	Washington Spirit	T 0-0	64.1	1700.06	1612.07	46.82%	33.63%	19.55%	+0.41	-1.35	50
2025-09-21	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	43.2	1698.71	1460.20	65.41%	23.21%	11.38%	+0.98	+4.60	53
2025-09-27	Chicago Stars FC	W 4-1	43.0	1703.31	1406.27	71.80%	18.88%	9.32%	+1.20	+4.26	56
2025-10-07	@ Angel City FC	W 1-0	46.2	1707.57	1420.31	66.17%	22.70%	11.13%	+1.00	+3.15	59
2025-10-11	Gotham FC	W 2-0	52.6	1710.72	1636.57	44.98%	34.31%	20.71%	+0.36	+9.21	62
2025-10-19	@ Houston Dash	L 0-1	62.8	1719.93	1399.34	69.84%	20.22%	9.94%	+1.13	-15.08	62
2025-11-02	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	53.9	1704.85	1475.71	64.33%	23.93%	11.74%	+0.94	+3.40	65
2025-03-16	@ Racing Louisville	T 1-1	57.6	1506.35	1431.44	39.34%	35.87%	24.80%	+0.20	-0.68	1
2025-03-23	Seattle Reign	L 1-2	58.6	1505.67	1418.98	46.65%	33.70%	19.65%	+0.41	-11.56	1
2025-03-30	@ Portland Thorns	T 0-0	53.3	1494.11	1462.99	33.14%	36.61%	30.26%	+0.04	-0.13	2
2025-04-13	@ Gotham FC	L 1-3	51.7	1493.98	1638.57	15.70%	30.17%	54.12%	-0.62	-6.99	2
2025-04-20	Bay FC	L 0-1	52.0	1486.99	1480.62	35.60%	36.43%	27.96%	+0.10	-9.58	2
2025-04-27	Kansas City Current	W 3-2	72.3	1477.41	1659.30	15.98%	30.50%	53.53%	-0.61	+12.73	5
2025-05-04	@ Utah Royals FC	W 2-0	43.2	1490.14	1427.93	37.56%	36.18%	26.26%	+0.16	+11.08	8
2025-05-11	Orlando Pride	T 1-1	66.4	1501.22	1659.67	17.45%	32.01%	50.54%	-0.52	+1.67	9
2025-05-17	Chicago Stars FC	W 2-0	39.3	1502.89	1399.34	48.87%	32.78%	18.35%	+0.47	+8.24	12
2025-05-26	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 2-5	53.8	1511.13	1479.35	33.23%	36.60%	30.17%	+0.04	-15.86	12
2025-06-08	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-3	52.0	1495.27	1605.70	17.86%	32.37%	49.76%	-0.50	-8.03	12
2025-06-15	@ Angel City FC	W 2-1	53.8	1487.24	1438.13	35.70%	36.42%	27.87%	+0.11	+8.17	15
2025-06-22	Houston Dash	W 2-1	47.6	1495.41	1377.83	50.69%	31.94%	17.37%	+0.52	+5.52	18
2025-08-03	San Diego Wave FC	T 0-0	54.7	1500.93	1492.30	35.93%	36.40%	27.68%	+0.11	-0.38	19
2025-08-09	@ Houston Dash	L 1-2	56.9	1500.55	1373.89	46.38%	33.80%	19.82%	+0.40	-11.51	19
2025-08-17	Portland Thorns	T 1-1	60.1	1489.04	1524.18	29.71%	36.58%	33.71%	-0.05	+0.18	20
2025-08-23	@ Chicago Stars FC	T 3-3	65.5	1489.22	1386.77	43.13%	34.91%	21.96%	+0.31	-1.02	21
2025-08-31	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-2	45.0	1488.20	1689.05	12.91%	26.08%	61.01%	-0.84	-5.48	21
2025-09-07	Utah Royals FC	T 1-1	56.2	1482.72	1390.02	47.45%	33.38%	19.17%	+0.43	-1.40	22
2025-09-13	Angel City FC	W 2-1	51.8	1481.32	1433.63	41.39%	35.40%	23.21%	+0.26	+7.15	25
2025-09-20	@ Orlando Pride	W 1-0	58.6	1488.47	1585.25	18.86%	33.16%	47.98%	-0.44	+11.79	28
2025-09-29	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-2	57.1	1500.26	1455.59	35.07%	36.48%	28.44%	+0.09	-9.49	28
2025-10-05	Racing Louisville	L 1-3	53.9	1490.77	1444.62	41.17%	35.45%	23.37%	+0.25	-14.97	28
2025-10-12	Washington Spirit	T 1-1	64.4	1475.80	1623.99	18.17%	32.63%	49.21%	-0.48	+1.56	29
2025-10-18	@ Bay FC	W 4-1	46.8	1477.36	1431.28	35.27%	36.47%	28.26%	+0.09	+14.28	32
2025-11-02	Gotham FC	W 3-2	70.7	1491.64	1625.15	19.27%	33.45%	47.29%	-0.42	+11.67	35
2025-03-15	Chicago Stars FC	W 6-0	42.8	1650.94	1442.43	61.92%	25.50%	12.58%	+0.87	+9.17	3
2025-03-23	@ Gotham FC	W 2-0	56.8	1660.11	1654.16	29.58%	36.57%	33.85%	-0.06	+13.11	6
2025-03-29	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	51.5	1673.22	1434.70	65.41%	23.21%	11.38%	+0.98	+3.26	9
2025-04-13	@ Seattle Reign	W 1-0	46.4	1676.48	1422.15	62.37%	25.21%	12.42%	+0.88	+3.68	12
2025-04-19	Washington Spirit	L 0-1	63.1	1680.16	1616.32	43.59%	34.77%	21.64%	+0.32	-11.02	12
2025-04-26	Angel City FC	W 3-2	56.9	1669.14	1439.91	64.34%	23.92%	11.74%	+0.94	+3.41	15
2025-05-04	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-1	62.2	1672.55	1483.41	54.44%	30.00%	15.56%	+0.63	-12.88	15
2025-05-11	@ North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	66.4	1659.67	1501.22	50.54%	32.01%	17.45%	+0.52	-1.67	16
2025-05-17	Kansas City Current	L 0-1	61.7	1658.00	1641.40	37.05%	36.26%	26.69%	+0.14	-9.85	16
2025-05-24	@ Utah Royals FC	W 3-1	47.2	1648.15	1408.69	60.60%	26.34%	13.06%	+0.82	+5.57	19
2025-06-08	Houston Dash	W 1-0	42.6	1653.72	1387.59	68.50%	21.13%	10.37%	+1.08	+2.85	22
2025-06-14	@ Bay FC	W 1-0	51.2	1656.57	1491.19	51.43%	31.58%	16.99%	+0.54	+5.40	25
2025-06-21	@ Racing Louisville	L 0-2	56.8	1661.97	1435.53	59.03%	27.31%	13.65%	+0.78	-19.24	25
2025-08-04	Utah Royals FC	T 1-1	65.0	1642.73	1374.19	68.76%	20.96%	10.28%	+1.09	-3.03	26
2025-08-10	Racing Louisville	T 1-1	65.8	1639.70	1448.65	59.84%	26.82%	13.35%	+0.80	-2.42	27
2025-08-17	@ Kansas City Current	T 0-0	63.6	1637.28	1682.00	23.52%	35.50%	40.98%	-0.25	+0.83	28
2025-08-22	@ Angel City FC	L 0-1	59.5	1638.11	1417.03	58.38%	27.71%	13.90%	+0.75	-13.50	28
2025-08-30	Gotham FC	L 0-2	56.5	1624.61	1603.09	37.75%	36.15%	26.10%	+0.16	-14.10	28
2025-09-07	@ Chicago Stars FC	L 2-5	59.0	1610.51	1390.46	58.26%	27.79%	13.95%	+0.75	-23.35	28
2025-09-13	Bay FC	T 1-1	62.8	1587.16	1448.18	53.42%	30.55%	16.03%	+0.60	-1.91	29
2025-09-20	North Carolina Courage	L 0-1	58.6	1585.25	1488.47	47.98%	33.16%	18.86%	+0.44	-11.79	29
2025-09-27	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	55.3	1573.46	1462.60	44.26%	34.56%	21.18%	+0.34	+6.64	32
2025-10-04	@ Houston Dash	T 1-1	60.8	1580.10	1409.12	52.14%	31.22%	16.64%	+0.57	-1.81	33
2025-10-11	Portland Thorns	W 1-0	51.3	1578.29	1507.23	44.57%	34.46%	20.98%	+0.35	+6.59	36
2025-10-18	@ Washington Spirit	W 3-2	71.6	1584.88	1622.44	24.28%	35.73%	39.99%	-0.22	+10.37	39
2025-11-02	Seattle Reign	T 1-1	63.6	1595.25	1473.77	51.19%	31.70%	17.12%	+0.54	-1.73	40
2025-03-15	@ Kansas City Current	L 1-3	50.1	1470.47	1622.76	15.27%	29.64%	55.09%	-0.65	-6.77	0
2025-03-22	Angel City FC	T 1-1	56.0	1463.70	1428.20	39.70%	35.79%	24.51%	+0.21	-0.71	1
2025-03-30	North Carolina Courage	T 0-0	53.3	1462.99	1494.11	30.26%	36.61%	33.14%	-0.04	+0.13	2
2025-04-12	@ Utah Royals FC	W 1-0	48.4	1463.12	1438.11	32.26%	36.63%	31.11%	+0.02	+8.78	5
2025-04-19	@ Seattle Reign	L 0-1	49.5	1471.90	1418.47	36.32%	36.35%	27.33%	+0.12	-9.71	5
2025-04-23	Gotham FC	W 4-1	60.2	1462.19	1655.06	15.35%	29.74%	54.91%	-0.65	+22.43	8
2025-04-27	Racing Louisville	T 3-3	66.2	1484.62	1408.26	45.28%	34.21%	20.51%	+0.37	-1.21	9
2025-05-04	Orlando Pride	W 1-0	62.2	1483.41	1672.55	15.56%	30.00%	54.44%	-0.63	+12.88	12
2025-05-11	@ San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	58.2	1496.29	1465.98	33.02%	36.61%	30.37%	+0.04	-0.12	13
2025-05-17	@ Houston Dash	W 4-1	44.2	1496.17	1398.70	42.45%	35.11%	22.44%	+0.29	+12.05	16
2025-06-08	@ Bay FC	L 0-1	51.9	1508.22	1482.18	32.41%	36.63%	30.97%	+0.02	-9.01	16
2025-06-15	Washington Spirit	W 2-0	55.2	1499.21	1613.72	20.85%	34.39%	44.76%	-0.35	+15.87	19
2025-06-22	Chicago Stars FC	W 1-0	42.5	1515.08	1387.46	51.97%	31.30%	16.72%	+0.56	+5.30	22
2025-08-03	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-2	57.8	1520.38	1596.78	20.51%	34.21%	45.28%	-0.37	-6.46	22
2025-08-10	Seattle Reign	W 4-2	54.3	1513.92	1470.54	40.79%	35.55%	23.66%	+0.24	+10.26	25
2025-08-17	@ North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	60.1	1524.18	1489.04	33.71%	36.58%	29.71%	+0.05	-0.18	26
2025-08-24	Kansas City Current	L 0-2	48.8	1524.00	1681.17	17.54%	32.09%	50.37%	-0.51	-7.88	26
2025-08-30	Utah Royals FC	L 1-2	58.7	1516.12	1377.31	53.39%	30.57%	16.04%	+0.60	-12.70	26
2025-09-06	@ Racing Louisville	W 2-1	55.7	1503.42	1462.68	34.51%	36.53%	28.96%	+0.07	+8.38	29
2025-09-14	@ Chicago Stars FC	T 1-1	57.4	1511.80	1413.81	42.52%	35.09%	22.39%	+0.29	-0.97	30
2025-09-21	San Diego Wave FC	T 1-1	59.0	1510.83	1461.72	41.58%	35.35%	23.07%	+0.26	-0.88	31
2025-09-27	@ Gotham FC	L 0-3	45.1	1509.95	1629.34	17.25%	31.83%	50.92%	-0.53	-9.49	31
2025-10-05	Bay FC	W 2-1	51.9	1500.46	1437.32	43.50%	34.80%	21.70%	+0.32	+6.77	34
2025-10-11	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-1	51.3	1507.23	1578.29	20.98%	34.46%	44.57%	-0.35	-6.58	34
2025-10-19	@ Angel City FC	W 2-0	43.2	1500.65	1428.74	38.92%	35.95%	25.13%	+0.19	+10.74	37
2025-11-02	Houston Dash	W 2-0	40.3	1511.39	1414.42	48.01%	33.15%	18.84%	+0.45	+8.45	40
2025-03-16	North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	57.6	1431.44	1506.35	24.80%	35.87%	39.34%	-0.20	+0.69	1
2025-03-23	@ Bay FC	L 0-2	41.8	1432.13	1490.59	22.14%	34.99%	42.86%	-0.30	-9.74	1
2025-03-30	@ Chicago Stars FC	W 1-0	47.7	1422.39	1422.77	28.74%	36.51%	34.75%	-0.08	+9.43	4
2025-04-12	Washington Spirit	L 0-2	43.1	1431.82	1609.05	16.25%	30.81%	52.94%	-0.59	-7.27	4
2025-04-19	San Diego Wave FC	L 1-4	46.9	1424.55	1425.31	34.59%	36.52%	28.89%	+0.08	-16.29	4
2025-04-27	@ Portland Thorns	T 3-3	66.2	1408.26	1484.62	20.51%	34.21%	45.28%	-0.37	+1.22	5
2025-05-03	@ Houston Dash	W 2-1	51.9	1409.48	1397.01	30.47%	36.61%	32.91%	-0.03	+9.10	8
2025-05-10	Gotham FC	W 1-0	59.9	1418.58	1645.83	13.61%	27.25%	59.13%	-0.78	+13.62	11
2025-05-17	Seattle Reign	L 0-1	48.3	1432.20	1431.86	34.74%	36.51%	28.74%	+0.08	-9.43	11
2025-05-25	@ Angel City FC	W 3-2	60.2	1422.77	1449.15	25.53%	36.04%	38.43%	-0.18	+10.09	14
2025-06-07	Utah Royals FC	W 3-2	55.2	1432.86	1403.12	38.90%	35.95%	25.15%	+0.19	+7.59	17
2025-06-15	@ Kansas City Current	L 2-4	51.7	1440.45	1664.78	11.93%	24.29%	63.77%	-0.93	-4.92	17
2025-06-21	Orlando Pride	W 2-0	56.8	1435.53	1661.97	13.65%	27.31%	59.03%	-0.78	+19.24	20
2025-08-02	Kansas City Current	L 0-2	44.5	1454.77	1672.94	14.04%	27.93%	58.03%	-0.74	-6.12	20
2025-08-10	@ Orlando Pride	T 1-1	65.8	1448.65	1639.70	13.35%	26.82%	59.84%	-0.80	+2.42	21
2025-08-16	@ Washington Spirit	T 2-2	69.6	1451.07	1603.73	15.25%	29.61%	55.13%	-0.66	+2.05	22
2025-08-25	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 1-0	52.9	1453.12	1500.54	23.24%	35.41%	41.35%	-0.26	+10.62	25
2025-08-30	Houston Dash	T 1-1	55.5	1463.74	1400.34	43.53%	34.79%	21.68%	+0.32	-1.06	26
2025-09-06	Portland Thorns	L 1-2	55.7	1462.68	1503.42	28.96%	36.53%	34.51%	-0.07	-8.38	26
2025-09-17	@ Seattle Reign	L 0-1	47.9	1454.30	1451.79	29.12%	36.54%	34.34%	-0.07	-8.42	26
2025-09-20	@ Utah Royals FC	L 2-3	58.6	1445.88	1404.32	34.63%	36.52%	28.85%	+0.08	-9.41	26
2025-09-28	Angel City FC	W 1-0	46.2	1436.47	1428.46	35.84%	36.41%	27.75%	+0.11	+8.15	29
2025-10-05	@ North Carolina Courage	W 3-1	53.9	1444.62	1490.77	23.37%	35.45%	41.17%	-0.25	+14.96	32
2025-10-11	Chicago Stars FC	T 1-1	55.3	1459.58	1402.09	42.73%	35.03%	22.24%	+0.30	-0.98	33
2025-10-19	@ Gotham FC	T 2-2	71.0	1458.60	1627.36	14.41%	28.46%	57.13%	-0.72	+2.21	34
2025-11-02	Bay FC	W 1-0	45.0	1460.81	1417.00	40.85%	35.53%	23.62%	+0.24	+7.24	37
2025-03-16	@ Angel City FC	T 1-1	54.7	1425.31	1428.51	28.37%	36.48%	35.15%	-0.09	+0.31	1
2025-03-23	Utah Royals FC	W 3-2	58.9	1425.62	1454.00	30.64%	36.62%	32.74%	-0.03	+9.08	4
2025-03-29	@ Orlando Pride	L 1-2	51.5	1434.70	1673.22	11.38%	23.21%	65.41%	-0.98	-3.26	4
2025-04-13	Kansas City Current	L 0-2	43.0	1431.44	1649.09	14.07%	27.96%	57.97%	-0.74	-6.13	4
2025-04-19	@ Racing Louisville	W 4-1	46.9	1425.31	1424.55	28.89%	36.52%	34.59%	-0.08	+16.29	7
2025-04-27	@ Chicago Stars FC	W 3-0	41.0	1441.60	1416.47	32.27%	36.63%	31.10%	+0.02	+15.20	10
2025-05-05	Bay FC	W 2-1	56.3	1456.80	1489.16	30.09%	36.60%	33.31%	-0.04	+9.18	13
2025-05-11	Portland Thorns	T 1-1	58.2	1465.98	1496.29	30.37%	36.61%	33.02%	-0.04	+0.12	14
2025-05-17	@ Gotham FC	W 1-0	60.8	1466.10	1632.22	14.54%	28.66%	56.80%	-0.71	+13.25	17
2025-05-26	North Carolina Courage	W 5-2	53.8	1479.35	1511.13	30.17%	36.60%	33.23%	-0.04	+15.87	20
2025-06-07	Seattle Reign	L 1-2	58.1	1495.22	1435.76	43.00%	34.95%	22.05%	+0.30	-10.91	20
2025-06-14	@ Houston Dash	W 3-2	55.0	1484.31	1384.74	42.73%	35.03%	22.23%	+0.30	+6.91	23
2025-06-23	Washington Spirit	T 0-0	58.7	1491.22	1597.86	21.57%	34.74%	43.69%	-0.32	+1.08	24
2025-08-03	@ North Carolina Courage	T 0-0	54.7	1492.30	1500.93	27.68%	36.40%	35.93%	-0.11	+0.37	25
2025-08-10	Angel City FC	T 1-1	57.1	1492.67	1416.10	45.31%	34.20%	20.50%	+0.37	-1.21	26
2025-08-17	@ Bay FC	W 2-1	57.0	1491.46	1478.09	30.60%	36.62%	32.78%	-0.03	+9.08	29
2025-08-25	Racing Louisville	L 0-1	52.9	1500.54	1453.12	41.35%	35.41%	23.24%	+0.26	-10.61	29
2025-08-30	@ Seattle Reign	T 0-0	53.0	1489.93	1458.60	33.16%	36.61%	30.23%	+0.04	-0.14	30
2025-09-08	Houston Dash	L 0-3	45.8	1489.79	1401.40	46.88%	33.61%	19.51%	+0.41	-20.08	30
2025-09-13	Gotham FC	L 0-2	45.8	1469.71	1623.26	17.79%	32.31%	49.90%	-0.50	-7.99	30
2025-09-21	@ Portland Thorns	T 1-1	59.0	1461.72	1510.83	23.07%	35.35%	41.58%	-0.26	+0.88	31
2025-09-27	Orlando Pride	L 1-2	55.3	1462.60	1573.46	21.18%	34.56%	44.26%	-0.34	-6.63	31
2025-10-05	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-2	53.1	1455.97	1619.43	14.68%	28.85%	56.47%	-0.70	-4.57	31
2025-10-12	@ Utah Royals FC	W 3-2	58.6	1451.40	1428.35	31.98%	36.63%	31.39%	+0.01	+8.83	34
2025-10-19	Chicago Stars FC	W 6-1	41.9	1460.23	1403.08	42.68%	35.05%	22.27%	+0.29	+15.48	37
2025-11-02	@ Kansas City Current	L 1-2	53.9	1475.71	1704.85	11.74%	23.93%	64.33%	-0.94	-3.41	37
2025-03-16	Gotham FC	T 1-1	65.4	1416.50	1656.64	13.03%	26.29%	60.68%	-0.83	+2.48	1
2025-03-23	@ North Carolina Courage	W 2-1	58.6	1418.98	1505.67	19.65%	33.70%	46.65%	-0.41	+11.56	4
2025-03-31	@ Angel City FC	L 1-2	52.1	1430.54	1428.92	29.00%	36.53%	34.47%	-0.07	-8.39	4
2025-04-13	Orlando Pride	L 0-1	46.4	1422.15	1676.48	12.42%	25.21%	62.37%	-0.88	-3.68	4
2025-04-19	Portland Thorns	W 1-0	49.5	1418.47	1471.90	27.33%	36.35%	36.32%	-0.12	+9.71	7
2025-04-27	@ Bay FC	T 1-1	57.2	1428.18	1490.20	21.81%	34.85%	43.34%	-0.31	+1.04	8
2025-05-03	Kansas City Current	W 1-0	60.1	1429.22	1646.58	14.08%	27.99%	57.93%	-0.74	+13.43	11
2025-05-12	Houston Dash	L 0-1	49.2	1442.65	1387.91	42.35%	35.14%	22.51%	+0.29	-10.79	11
2025-05-17	@ Racing Louisville	W 1-0	48.3	1431.86	1432.20	28.74%	36.51%	34.74%	-0.08	+9.43	14
2025-05-24	Washington Spirit	L 1-2	53.6	1441.29	1600.16	17.42%	31.98%	50.59%	-0.52	-5.53	14
2025-06-07	@ San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	58.1	1435.76	1495.22	22.05%	34.95%	43.00%	-0.30	+10.90	17
2025-06-14	@ Chicago Stars FC	T 2-2	60.1	1446.66	1386.97	37.20%	36.24%	26.56%	+0.15	-0.49	18
2025-06-21	@ Utah Royals FC	W 4-1	44.0	1446.17	1387.94	37.00%	36.27%	26.74%	+0.14	+13.75	21
2025-08-02	Angel City FC	W 2-0	41.6	1459.92	1426.72	39.38%	35.86%	24.76%	+0.20	+10.62	24
2025-08-10	@ Portland Thorns	L 2-4	54.3	1470.54	1513.92	23.66%	35.55%	40.79%	-0.24	-10.26	24
2025-08-19	Chicago Stars FC	T 3-3	64.8	1460.28	1385.57	45.06%	34.29%	20.66%	+0.36	-1.20	25
2025-08-25	@ Houston Dash	T 1-1	54.9	1459.08	1399.85	37.14%	36.25%	26.62%	+0.14	-0.48	26
2025-08-30	San Diego Wave FC	T 0-0	53.0	1458.60	1489.93	30.23%	36.61%	33.16%	-0.04	+0.13	27
2025-09-07	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-2	43.5	1458.73	1605.13	15.60%	30.05%	54.35%	-0.63	-6.94	27
2025-09-17	Racing Louisville	W 1-0	47.9	1451.79	1454.30	34.34%	36.54%	29.12%	+0.07	+8.41	30
2025-09-21	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-2	43.2	1460.20	1698.71	11.38%	23.21%	65.41%	-0.98	-4.61	30
2025-09-29	North Carolina Courage	W 2-1	57.1	1455.59	1500.26	28.44%	36.48%	35.07%	-0.09	+9.49	33
2025-10-05	@ Gotham FC	T 0-0	61.2	1465.08	1638.83	14.16%	28.10%	57.74%	-0.73	+2.26	34
2025-10-11	Bay FC	T 1-1	56.2	1467.34	1430.55	39.88%	35.75%	24.36%	+0.22	-0.73	35
2025-10-18	Utah Royals FC	W 2-1	50.9	1466.61	1419.51	41.31%	35.42%	23.27%	+0.26	+7.16	38
2025-11-02	@ Orlando Pride	T 1-1	63.6	1473.77	1595.25	17.12%	31.70%	51.19%	-0.54	+1.73	39
2025-03-16	Bay FC	T 1-1	57.6	1453.80	1490.79	29.46%	36.57%	33.98%	-0.06	+0.20	1
2025-03-23	@ San Diego Wave FC	L 2-3	58.9	1454.00	1425.62	32.74%	36.62%	30.64%	+0.03	-9.07	1
2025-03-30	@ Kansas City Current	L 0-3	40.5	1444.93	1642.27	13.06%	26.34%	60.59%	-0.82	-6.82	1
2025-04-12	Portland Thorns	L 0-1	48.4	1438.11	1463.12	31.11%	36.63%	32.26%	-0.02	-8.78	1
2025-04-19	Chicago Stars FC	W 1-0	46.0	1429.33	1424.70	35.36%	36.46%	28.19%	+0.10	+8.23	4
2025-04-26	@ Houston Dash	L 0-1	47.5	1437.56	1387.38	35.85%	36.41%	27.74%	+0.11	-9.63	4
2025-05-04	North Carolina Courage	L 0-2	43.2	1427.93	1490.14	26.26%	36.18%	37.56%	-0.16	-11.08	4
2025-05-10	@ Angel City FC	L 0-2	41.0	1416.85	1449.93	24.77%	35.86%	39.36%	-0.20	-10.63	4
2025-05-18	@ Washington Spirit	T 3-3	72.7	1406.22	1602.63	13.11%	26.41%	60.48%	-0.82	+2.47	5
2025-05-24	Orlando Pride	L 1-3	47.2	1408.69	1648.15	13.06%	26.34%	60.60%	-0.82	-5.57	5
2025-06-07	@ Racing Louisville	L 2-3	55.2	1403.12	1432.86	25.15%	35.95%	38.90%	-0.19	-7.59	5
2025-06-14	Gotham FC	L 0-3	38.5	1395.53	1610.49	14.20%	28.16%	57.64%	-0.73	-7.59	5
2025-06-21	Seattle Reign	L 1-4	44.0	1387.94	1446.17	26.74%	36.27%	37.00%	-0.14	-13.75	5
2025-08-04	@ Orlando Pride	T 1-1	65.0	1374.19	1642.73	10.28%	20.96%	68.76%	-1.09	+3.03	6
2025-08-09	Kansas City Current	L 0-1	43.3	1377.22	1679.06	10.60%	21.61%	67.80%	-1.06	-2.94	6
2025-08-16	Angel City FC	T 0-0	48.4	1374.28	1417.31	28.66%	36.50%	34.84%	-0.08	+0.28	7
2025-08-24	@ Gotham FC	T 0-0	58.0	1374.56	1605.85	11.66%	23.76%	64.58%	-0.95	+2.75	8
2025-08-30	@ Portland Thorns	W 2-1	58.7	1377.31	1516.12	16.04%	30.57%	53.39%	-0.60	+12.71	11
2025-09-07	@ North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	56.2	1390.02	1482.72	19.17%	33.38%	47.45%	-0.43	+1.41	12
2025-09-15	Houston Dash	W 2-0	42.3	1391.43	1421.48	30.41%	36.61%	32.98%	-0.03	+12.89	15
2025-09-20	Racing Louisville	W 3-2	58.6	1404.32	1445.88	28.85%	36.52%	34.63%	-0.08	+9.41	18
2025-09-28	@ Bay FC	W 2-0	45.5	1413.73	1452.01	24.20%	35.71%	40.09%	-0.22	+14.69	21
2025-10-05	@ Chicago Stars FC	T 2-2	59.9	1428.42	1402.02	32.46%	36.63%	30.92%	+0.02	-0.07	22
2025-10-12	San Diego Wave FC	L 2-3	58.6	1428.35	1451.40	31.39%	36.63%	31.98%	-0.01	-8.84	22
2025-10-18	@ Seattle Reign	L 1-2	50.9	1419.51	1466.61	23.27%	35.42%	41.31%	-0.26	-7.16	22
2025-11-02	Washington Spirit	W 1-0	58.0	1412.35	1612.07	14.98%	29.26%	55.76%	-0.67	+13.09	25
2025-03-15	@ Houston Dash	W 2-1	50.2	1609.05	1395.00	57.53%	28.23%	14.25%	+0.73	+4.40	3
2025-03-23	Kansas City Current	L 0-2	55.4	1613.45	1629.53	32.39%	36.63%	30.98%	+0.02	-12.74	3
2025-03-29	Bay FC	W 2-0	46.5	1600.71	1500.33	48.46%	32.96%	18.59%	+0.46	+8.34	6
2025-04-12	@ Racing Louisville	W 2-0	43.1	1609.05	1431.82	52.94%	30.81%	16.25%	+0.59	+7.27	9
2025-04-19	@ Orlando Pride	W 1-0	63.1	1616.32	1680.16	21.64%	34.77%	43.59%	-0.32	+11.02	12
2025-04-26	Gotham FC	L 0-3	54.2	1627.34	1632.63	33.94%	36.57%	29.49%	+0.06	-16.09	12
2025-05-03	Angel City FC	L 3-4	72.5	1611.25	1436.51	57.86%	28.03%	14.11%	+0.74	-13.42	12
2025-05-10	@ Chicago Stars FC	W 3-2	55.9	1597.83	1404.14	55.01%	29.69%	15.31%	+0.65	+4.80	15
2025-05-18	Utah Royals FC	T 3-3	72.7	1602.63	1406.22	60.48%	26.41%	13.11%	+0.82	-2.47	16
2025-05-24	@ Seattle Reign	W 2-1	53.6	1600.16	1441.29	50.59%	31.98%	17.42%	+0.52	+5.54	19
2025-06-08	North Carolina Courage	W 3-1	52.0	1605.70	1495.27	49.76%	32.37%	17.86%	+0.50	+8.02	22
2025-06-15	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-2	55.2	1613.72	1499.21	44.76%	34.39%	20.85%	+0.35	-15.86	22
2025-06-23	@ San Diego Wave FC	T 0-0	58.7	1597.86	1491.22	43.69%	34.74%	21.57%	+0.32	-1.08	23
2025-08-03	Portland Thorns	W 2-1	57.8	1596.78	1520.38	45.28%	34.21%	20.51%	+0.37	+6.46	26
2025-08-09	@ Gotham FC	T 0-0	61.9	1603.24	1620.80	26.57%	36.24%	37.19%	-0.15	+0.49	27
2025-08-16	Racing Louisville	T 2-2	69.6	1603.73	1451.07	55.13%	29.61%	15.25%	+0.66	-2.05	28
2025-08-23	@ Bay FC	W 3-2	60.8	1601.68	1469.01	47.17%	33.49%	19.34%	+0.42	+6.12	31
2025-08-31	Chicago Stars FC	T 1-1	63.1	1607.80	1387.79	63.27%	24.62%	12.11%	+0.91	-2.67	32
2025-09-07	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	43.5	1605.13	1458.73	54.35%	30.05%	15.60%	+0.63	+6.94	35
2025-09-14	@ Kansas City Current	T 0-0	64.1	1612.07	1700.06	19.55%	33.63%	46.82%	-0.41	+1.35	36
2025-09-19	@ Angel City FC	T 2-2	68.9	1613.42	1426.48	54.16%	30.15%	15.69%	+0.63	-1.97	37
2025-09-28	Houston Dash	W 4-0	38.8	1611.45	1417.10	60.24%	26.57%	13.20%	+0.81	+7.98	40
2025-10-05	San Diego Wave FC	W 2-1	53.1	1619.43	1455.97	56.47%	28.85%	14.68%	+0.70	+4.56	43
2025-10-12	@ North Carolina Courage	T 1-1	64.4	1623.99	1475.80	49.21%	32.63%	18.17%	+0.48	-1.55	44
2025-10-18	Orlando Pride	L 2-3	71.6	1622.44	1584.88	39.99%	35.73%	24.28%	+0.22	-10.37	44
2025-11-02	@ Utah Royals FC	L 0-1	58.0	1612.07	1412.35	55.76%	29.26%	14.98%	+0.67	-13.09	44

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2025-11-09	@ Kansas City Current	W 2-1	65.5	1613.49	1708.25	33.93%	0.00%	66.07%	-0.44	+11.74	1-0
2025-11-16	@ Orlando Pride	W 1-0	53.4	1625.23	1601.31	50.42%	0.00%	49.58%	+0.01	+8.81	2-0
2025-11-23	@ Washington Spirit	W 1-0	54.0	1634.04	1615.40	49.66%	0.00%	50.34%	-0.01	+8.94	3-0
2025-11-09	Gotham FC	L 1-2	65.5	1708.25	1613.49	66.07%	0.00%	33.93%	+0.44	-11.74	0-1
2025-11-08	Seattle Reign	W 2-0	39.3	1593.52	1475.50	69.01%	0.00%	30.99%	+0.52	+7.79	1-0
2025-11-16	Gotham FC	L 0-1	53.4	1601.31	1625.23	49.58%	0.00%	50.42%	-0.01	-8.81	1-1
2025-11-09	San Diego Wave FC	W 1-0	43.4	1519.84	1472.30	59.74%	0.00%	40.26%	+0.26	+7.16	1-0
2025-11-15	@ Washington Spirit	L 0-2	42.8	1527.00	1606.37	35.94%	0.00%	64.06%	-0.38	-9.04	1-1
2025-11-08	@ Washington Spirit	L 1-3	44.6	1468.05	1598.98	29.43%	0.00%	70.57%	-0.57	-7.39	0-1
2025-11-09	@ Portland Thorns	L 0-1	43.4	1472.30	1519.84	40.26%	0.00%	59.74%	-0.26	-7.15	0-1
2025-11-08	@ Orlando Pride	L 0-2	39.3	1475.50	1593.52	30.99%	0.00%	69.01%	-0.52	-7.79	0-1
2025-11-08	Racing Louisville	W 3-1	44.6	1598.98	1468.05	70.57%	0.00%	29.43%	+0.57	+7.39	1-0
2025-11-15	Portland Thorns	W 2-0	42.8	1606.37	1527.00	64.06%	0.00%	35.94%	+0.38	+9.03	2-0
2025-11-23	Gotham FC	L 0-1	54.0	1615.40	1634.04	50.34%	0.00%	49.66%	+0.01	-8.94	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-10-19	9.94%	@ Houston Dash	1399.34	1	Kansas City Current	1719.93	0
2	2025-08-17	11.52%	Houston Dash	1385.40	2	@ Gotham FC	1620.30	1
3	2025-05-10	13.61%	@ Racing Louisville	1418.58	1	Gotham FC	1645.83	0
4	2025-06-21	13.65%	@ Racing Louisville	1435.53	2	Orlando Pride	1661.97	0
5	2025-08-22	13.90%	@ Angel City FC	1417.03	1	Orlando Pride	1638.11	0
6	2025-09-07	13.95%	@ Chicago Stars FC	1390.46	5	Orlando Pride	1610.51	2
7	2025-05-03	14.08%	@ Seattle Reign	1429.22	1	Kansas City Current	1646.58	0
8	2025-05-03	14.11%	Angel City FC	1436.51	4	@ Washington Spirit	1611.25	3
9	2025-05-17	14.54%	San Diego Wave FC	1466.10	1	@ Gotham FC	1632.22	0
10	2025-11-02	14.98%	@ Utah Royals FC	1412.35	1	Washington Spirit	1612.07	0
11	2025-04-23	15.35%	@ Portland Thorns	1462.19	4	Gotham FC	1655.06	1
12	2025-05-04	15.56%	@ Portland Thorns	1483.41	1	Orlando Pride	1672.55	0
13	2025-04-27	15.98%	@ North Carolina Courage	1477.41	3	Kansas City Current	1659.30	2
14	2025-08-30	16.04%	Utah Royals FC	1377.31	2	@ Portland Thorns	1516.12	1
15	2025-09-20	18.86%	North Carolina Courage	1488.47	1	@ Orlando Pride	1585.25	0
16	2025-11-02	19.27%	@ North Carolina Courage	1491.64	3	Gotham FC	1625.15	2
17	2025-09-08	19.51%	Houston Dash	1401.40	3	@ San Diego Wave FC	1489.79	0
18	2025-03-23	19.65%	Seattle Reign	1418.98	2	@ North Carolina Courage	1505.67	1
19	2025-08-09	19.82%	@ Houston Dash	1373.89	2	North Carolina Courage	1500.55	1
20	2025-04-14	20.32%	Chicago Stars FC	1413.33	2	@ Bay FC	1491.98	1
21	2025-06-15	20.85%	@ Portland Thorns	1499.21	2	Washington Spirit	1613.72	0
22	2025-04-19	21.64%	Washington Spirit	1616.32	1	@ Orlando Pride	1680.16	0
23	2025-06-07	22.05%	Seattle Reign	1435.76	2	@ San Diego Wave FC	1495.22	1
24	2025-05-12	22.51%	Houston Dash	1387.91	1	@ Seattle Reign	1442.65	0
25	2025-08-25	23.24%	Racing Louisville	1453.12	1	@ San Diego Wave FC	1500.54	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-09-07	23.35	@ Chicago Stars FC	5	1390.46	13.95%	Orlando Pride	2	1610.51	58.26%	27.79%
2	2025-04-23	22.43	@ Portland Thorns	4	1462.19	15.35%	Gotham FC	1	1655.06	54.91%	29.74%
3	2025-09-08	20.08	Houston Dash	3	1401.40	19.51%	@ San Diego Wave FC	0	1489.79	46.88%	33.61%
4	2025-06-21	19.24	@ Racing Louisville	2	1435.53	13.65%	Orlando Pride	0	1661.97	59.03%	27.31%
5	2025-04-19	16.29	San Diego Wave FC	4	1425.31	28.89%	@ Racing Louisville	1	1424.55	34.59%	36.52%
6	2025-04-26	16.09	Gotham FC	3	1632.63	29.49%	@ Washington Spirit	0	1627.34	33.94%	36.57%
7	2025-05-26	15.87	@ San Diego Wave FC	5	1479.35	30.17%	North Carolina Courage	2	1511.13	33.23%	36.60%
8	2025-06-15	15.87	@ Portland Thorns	2	1499.21	20.85%	Washington Spirit	0	1613.72	44.76%	34.39%
9	2025-10-19	15.48	@ San Diego Wave FC	6	1460.23	42.68%	Chicago Stars FC	1	1403.08	22.27%	35.05%
10	2025-04-27	15.21	San Diego Wave FC	3	1441.60	32.27%	@ Chicago Stars FC	0	1416.47	31.10%	36.63%
11	2025-10-19	15.08	@ Houston Dash	1	1399.34	9.94%	Kansas City Current	0	1719.93	69.84%	20.22%
12	2025-10-05	14.97	Racing Louisville	3	1444.62	23.37%	@ North Carolina Courage	1	1490.77	41.17%	35.45%
13	2025-09-28	14.69	Utah Royals FC	2	1413.73	24.20%	@ Bay FC	0	1452.01	40.09%	35.71%
14	2025-08-17	14.45	Houston Dash	2	1385.40	11.52%	@ Gotham FC	1	1620.30	64.99%	23.49%
15	2025-10-18	14.28	North Carolina Courage	4	1477.36	35.27%	@ Bay FC	1	1431.28	28.26%	36.47%
16	2025-08-30	14.10	Gotham FC	2	1603.09	26.10%	@ Orlando Pride	0	1624.61	37.75%	36.15%
17	2025-06-21	13.75	Seattle Reign	4	1446.17	37.00%	@ Utah Royals FC	1	1387.94	26.74%	36.27%
18	2025-05-10	13.62	@ Racing Louisville	1	1418.58	13.61%	Gotham FC	0	1645.83	59.13%	27.25%
19	2025-08-22	13.51	@ Angel City FC	1	1417.03	13.90%	Orlando Pride	0	1638.11	58.38%	27.71%
20	2025-05-03	13.44	@ Seattle Reign	1	1429.22	14.08%	Kansas City Current	0	1646.58	57.93%	27.99%
21	2025-05-03	13.42	Angel City FC	4	1436.51	14.11%	@ Washington Spirit	3	1611.25	57.86%	28.03%
22	2025-05-17	13.26	San Diego Wave FC	1	1466.10	14.54%	@ Gotham FC	0	1632.22	56.80%	28.66%
23	2025-03-23	13.11	Orlando Pride	2	1660.11	29.58%	@ Gotham FC	0	1654.16	33.85%	36.57%
24	2025-11-02	13.09	@ Utah Royals FC	1	1412.35	14.98%	Washington Spirit	0	1612.07	55.76%	29.26%
25	2025-09-15	12.89	@ Utah Royals FC	2	1391.43	30.41%	Houston Dash	0	1421.48	32.98%	36.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season's games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-05-18	72.7	@ Washington Spirit	3	1602.63	60.48%	Utah Royals FC	3	1406.22	13.11%	26.41%
2	2025-05-03	72.5	Angel City FC	4	1436.51	14.11%	@ Washington Spirit	3	1611.25	57.86%	28.03%
3	2025-04-27	72.3	@ North Carolina Courage	3	1477.41	15.98%	Kansas City Current	2	1659.30	53.53%	30.50%
4	2025-10-18	71.6	Orlando Pride	3	1584.88	24.28%	@ Washington Spirit	2	1622.44	39.99%	35.73%
5	2025-10-19	71.0	@ Gotham FC	2	1627.36	57.13%	Racing Louisville	2	1458.60	14.41%	28.46%
6	2025-11-02	70.7	@ North Carolina Courage	3	1491.64	19.27%	Gotham FC	2	1625.15	47.29%	33.45%
7	2025-08-16	69.6	@ Washington Spirit	2	1603.73	55.13%	Racing Louisville	2	1451.07	15.25%	29.61%
8	2025-09-19	68.9	@ Angel City FC	2	1426.48	15.69%	Washington Spirit	2	1613.42	54.16%	30.15%
9	2025-05-11	66.4	@ North Carolina Courage	1	1501.22	17.45%	Orlando Pride	1	1659.67	50.54%	32.01%
10	2025-04-27	66.2	@ Portland Thorns	3	1484.62	45.28%	Racing Louisville	3	1408.26	20.51%	34.21%
11	2025-08-10	65.8	@ Orlando Pride	1	1639.70	59.84%	Racing Louisville	1	1448.65	13.35%	26.82%
12	2025-08-23	65.5	@ Chicago Stars FC	3	1386.77	21.96%	North Carolina Courage	3	1489.22	43.13%	34.91%
13	2025-11-09 *	65.5	Gotham FC	2	1613.49	33.93%	@ Kansas City Current	1	1708.25	66.07%	0.00%
14	2025-03-16	65.4	@ Seattle Reign	1	1416.50	13.03%	Gotham FC	1	1656.64	60.68%	26.29%
15	2025-08-04	65.0	@ Orlando Pride	1	1642.73	68.76%	Utah Royals FC	1	1374.19	10.28%	20.96%
16	2025-06-07	64.8	Kansas City Current	2	1656.31	34.03%	@ Gotham FC	1	1618.96	29.41%	36.56%
17	2025-08-19	64.8	@ Seattle Reign	3	1460.28	45.06%	Chicago Stars FC	3	1385.57	20.66%	34.29%
18	2025-09-22	64.4	@ Bay FC	1	1450.09	16.02%	Gotham FC	1	1631.26	53.43%	30.55%
19	2025-10-12	64.4	@ North Carolina Courage	1	1475.80	18.17%	Washington Spirit	1	1623.99	49.21%	32.63%
20	2025-09-14	64.1	@ Kansas City Current	0	1700.06	46.82%	Washington Spirit	0	1612.07	19.55%	33.63%
21	2025-08-17	64.0	Houston Dash	2	1385.40	11.52%	@ Gotham FC	1	1620.30	64.99%	23.49%
22	2025-08-17	63.6	@ Kansas City Current	0	1682.00	40.98%	Orlando Pride	0	1637.28	23.52%	35.50%
23	2025-11-02	63.6	@ Orlando Pride	1	1595.25	51.19%	Seattle Reign	1	1473.77	17.12%	31.70%
24	2025-04-19	63.1	Washington Spirit	1	1616.32	21.64%	@ Orlando Pride	0	1680.16	43.59%	34.77%
25	2025-08-31	63.1	@ Washington Spirit	1	1607.80	63.27%	Chicago Stars FC	1	1387.79	12.11%	24.62%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-06-14	38.5	Gotham FC	3	1610.49	57.64%	@ Utah Royals FC	0	1395.53	14.20%	28.16%
2	2025-04-20	38.7	@ Kansas City Current	2	1655.22	68.23%	Houston Dash	0	1391.47	10.45%	21.31%
3	2025-09-28	38.8	@ Washington Spirit	4	1611.45	60.24%	Houston Dash	0	1417.10	13.20%	26.57%
4	2025-05-17	39.3	@ North Carolina Courage	2	1502.89	48.87%	Chicago Stars FC	0	1399.34	18.35%	32.78%
5	2025-11-08 *	39.3	@ Orlando Pride	2	1593.52	69.01%	Seattle Reign	0	1475.50	30.99%	0.00%
6	2025-11-02	40.3	@ Portland Thorns	2	1511.39	48.01%	Houston Dash	0	1414.42	18.84%	33.15%
7	2025-03-30	40.5	@ Kansas City Current	3	1642.27	60.59%	Utah Royals FC	0	1444.93	13.06%	26.34%
8	2025-04-27	41.0	San Diego Wave FC	3	1441.60	32.27%	@ Chicago Stars FC	0	1416.47	31.10%	36.63%
9	2025-05-10	41.0	@ Angel City FC	2	1449.93	39.36%	Utah Royals FC	0	1416.85	24.77%	35.86%
10	2025-10-12	41.1	@ Angel City FC	2	1417.16	35.58%	Houston Dash	0	1410.92	27.98%	36.44%
11	2025-08-02	41.6	@ Seattle Reign	2	1459.92	39.38%	Angel City FC	0	1426.72	24.76%	35.86%
12	2025-03-23	41.8	@ Bay FC	2	1490.59	42.86%	Racing Louisville	0	1432.13	22.14%	34.99%
13	2025-10-19	41.9	@ San Diego Wave FC	6	1460.23	42.68%	Chicago Stars FC	1	1403.08	22.27%	35.05%
14	2025-09-15	42.3	@ Utah Royals FC	2	1391.43	30.41%	Houston Dash	0	1421.48	32.98%	36.61%
15	2025-06-22	42.5	@ Portland Thorns	1	1515.08	51.97%	Chicago Stars FC	0	1387.46	16.72%	31.30%
16	2025-04-19	42.6	Gotham FC	4	1645.56	55.31%	@ Angel City FC	0	1449.41	15.17%	29.51%
17	2025-06-08	42.6	@ Orlando Pride	1	1653.72	68.50%	Houston Dash	0	1387.59	10.37%	21.13%
18	2025-03-15	42.8	@ Orlando Pride	6	1650.94	61.92%	Chicago Stars FC	0	1442.43	12.58%	25.50%
19	2025-11-15 *	42.8	@ Washington Spirit	2	1606.37	64.06%	Portland Thorns	0	1527.00	35.94%	0.00%
20	2025-04-13	43.0	Kansas City Current	2	1649.09	57.97%	@ San Diego Wave FC	0	1431.44	14.07%	27.96%
21	2025-09-27	43.0	@ Kansas City Current	4	1703.31	71.80%	Chicago Stars FC	1	1406.27	9.32%	18.88%
22	2025-04-12	43.1	Washington Spirit	2	1609.05	52.94%	@ Racing Louisville	0	1431.82	16.25%	30.81%
23	2025-05-04	43.2	North Carolina Courage	2	1490.14	37.56%	@ Utah Royals FC	0	1427.93	26.26%	36.18%
24	2025-09-21	43.2	@ Kansas City Current	2	1698.71	65.41%	Seattle Reign	0	1460.20	11.38%	23.21%
25	2025-10-19	43.2	Portland Thorns	2	1500.65	38.92%	@ Angel City FC	0	1428.74	25.13%	35.95%