2003 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

61 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

11.41 points above expected

61 points · 49.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bryne

9.83 points below expected

22 points · 31.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	26	19	4	3	61	68	28	+40	49.6	+11.41
2	Bodo Glimt	26	14	5	7	47	45	30	+15	36.8	+10.18
3	Stabaek	26	11	9	6	42	51	35	+16	39.7	+2.33
4	Odd Grenland	26	11	5	10	38	46	43	+3	37.5	+0.54
5	Viking	26	9	10	7	37	46	34	+12	41.0	-3.98
6	Brann	26	10	7	9	37	45	47	-2	32.0	+4.96
7	Lillestrom	26	10	7	9	37	33	35	-2	36.8	+0.19
8	Sogndal	26	9	8	9	35	43	46	-3	34.1	+0.87
9	Molde	26	9	4	13	31	32	41	-9	37.6	-6.63
10	Lyn Oslo	26	8	6	12	30	34	45	-11	33.4	-3.38
11	Tromso	26	8	5	13	29	30	52	-22	30.2	-1.25
12	Valerenga	26	6	10	10	28	30	33	-3	34.8	-6.81
13	Aalesund	26	7	7	12	28	30	43	-13	25.1	+2.86
14	Bryne	26	7	1	18	22	35	56	-21	31.8	-9.83

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1764	61	49.59	+11.41	97.1%	22	39	45	50	54	60	72
Stabaek	1686	42	39.67	+2.33	66.2%	17	29	35	40	44	51	62
Viking	1664	37	40.98	-3.98	29.8%	14	30	37	41	45	52	64
Bodo Glimt	1652	47	36.82	+10.18	94.7%	13	26	32	37	41	48	60
Lillestrom	1635	37	36.81	+0.19	54.6%	13	26	32	37	41	48	61
Odd Grenland	1625	38	37.46	+0.54	56.6%	15	27	33	37	42	48	63
Molde	1605	31	37.63	-6.63	17.3%	13	27	33	38	42	49	62
Brann	1596	37	32.04	+4.96	80.3%	10	22	28	32	36	43	60
Valerenga	1588	28	34.81	-6.81	16.6%	9	24	30	35	39	46	57
Sogndal	1569	35	34.13	+0.87	59.0%	11	23	30	34	39	45	60
Lyn Oslo	1563	30	33.38	-3.38	33.1%	11	23	29	33	38	44	60
Tromso	1539	29	30.25	-1.25	46.2%	8	20	26	30	34	41	57
Aalesund	1520	28	25.14	+2.86	71.0%	5	15	21	25	29	36	46
Bryne	1513	22	31.83	-9.83	7.1%	9	21	27	32	36	43	57

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AAL	BG	BRA	BRY	LIL	LO	MOL	OG	ROS	SOG	STA	TRO	VAL	VIK
Aalesund	—	1-0-1 1.86	0-1-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 1.90	1-0-1 2.15	1-1-0 1.96	0-1-1 1.88	0-0-2 1.26	1-1-0 1.97	0-1-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 1.63
Bodo Glimt	1-0-1 3.70	—	2-0-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.10	0-0-2 2.66	2-0-0 2.82	2-0-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.75	0-0-2 1.90	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 3.29	0-2-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.47
Brann	1-1-0 3.28	0-0-2 2.41	—	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.50	1-1-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.38	2-0-0 2.22	0-1-1 1.85	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.12	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.10
Bryne	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.37	0-1-1 2.78	—	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 1.42	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.24	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.23
Lillestrom	0-1-1 3.63	2-0-0 2.84	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.08	—	2-0-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 1.85	0-1-1 2.93	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 3.32	0-2-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.35
Lyn Oslo	1-0-1 3.36	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.54	—	0-1-1 2.38	0-1-1 2.53	0-0-2 1.85	2-0-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.18	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.55	0-2-0 2.12
Molde	0-1-1 3.58	0-0-2 2.98	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.11	—	0-0-2 2.89	0-0-2 1.75	2-0-0 2.90	0-2-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.38
Odd Grenland	1-1-0 3.68	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 3.27	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.84	1-1-0 2.99	2-0-0 2.57	—	0-0-2 1.93	0-1-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.44
Rosenborg	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 3.66	1-1-0 3.73	2-0-0 4.23	1-1-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.81	2-0-0 3.61	—	1-1-0 3.83	0-1-1 3.61	0-0-2 4.37	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.21
Sogndal	0-1-1 3.55	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.87	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 2.36	0-1-1 1.73	—	2-0-0 2.32	1-1-0 3.01	0-2-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.17
Stabaek	1-1-0 3.97	0-1-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.30	0-2-0 2.81	1-1-0 2.80	1-1-0 1.94	0-0-2 3.16	—	1-1-0 3.39	1-1-0 3.14	0-0-2 2.85
Tromso	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.23	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.35	2-0-0 1.32	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.13	—	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.16
Valerenga	2-0-0 3.45	0-2-0 2.48	0-0-2 3.02	2-0-0 2.89	0-2-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.52	0-0-2 1.94	0-2-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 3.19	—	0-1-1 2.32
Viking	1-1-0 3.97	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.42	1-0-1 3.26	0-1-1 3.13	0-2-0 3.41	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 3.02	0-0-2 2.29	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 2.60	1-1-0 3.36	1-1-0 3.15	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	5.77%	7.97%	5.49%	1.65%	1.65%	26.37%
1	5.77%	10.99%	4.12%	4.40%	1.10%	1.37%	27.75%
2	7.97%	4.12%	5.49%	3.30%	0.55%	—	21.43%
3	5.49%	4.40%	3.30%	3.85%	0.27%	—	17.31%
4	1.65%	1.10%	0.55%	0.27%	—	0.27%	3.85%
5+	1.65%	1.37%	—	—	0.27%	—	3.30%
Total	26.37%	27.75%	21.43%	17.31%	3.85%	3.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	1.56
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.198
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	26.92%	26.92%	23.08%	3.85%	—	100%

Aalesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.328
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	26.92%	23.08%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.176
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	34.62%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	34.62%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	15.38%	26.92%	—	7.69%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.264
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	42.31%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	15.38%	26.92%	23.08%	19.23%	—	100%

Bryne — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.347
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
1	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.474
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	23.08%	30.77%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.251
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	42.31%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	30.77%	30.77%	15.38%	—	3.85%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.298
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	11.54%	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	34.62%	19.23%	7.69%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.392
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	42.31%	30.77%	19.23%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.62
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.021
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	30.77%	15.38%	30.77%	—	3.85%	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.291
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	23.08%	19.23%	—	—	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.086
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	38.46%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	26.92%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	42.31%
1	—	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	38.46%	15.38%	19.23%	—	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.116
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	38.46%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.232
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	61	49.6	+11.41
2	Bodo Glimt	47	36.8	+10.18
3	Brann	37	32.0	+4.96
4	Aalesund	28	25.1	+2.86
5	Stabaek	42	39.7	+2.33

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bryne	22	31.8	-9.83
2	Valerenga	28	34.8	-6.81
3	Molde	31	37.6	-6.63
4	Viking	37	41.0	-3.98
5	Lyn Oslo	30	33.4	-3.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	7	Apr 12 – May 25	1 in 179
2	Bodo Glimt	4	Jul 31 – Aug 24	1 in 70
3	Tromso	3	Aug 24 – Sep 14	1 in 50
4	Sogndal	3	Apr 13 – Apr 26	1 in 22
5	Lyn Oslo	3	Sep 21 – Oct 6	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bryne	10	Aug 16 – Nov 1	1 in 3,177
2	Lyn Oslo	7	Jul 20 – Aug 31	1 in 524
3	Viking	3	Sep 29 – Oct 19	1 in 41
4	Tromso	4	May 25 – Jun 15	1 in 28
5	Lillestrom	3	Apr 21 – May 4	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	7	Jul 21 – Aug 31	1 in 105
2	Lyn Oslo	6	Sep 14 – Oct 26	1 in 48
3	Rosenborg	12	Apr 12 – Jun 29	1 in 38
4	Lillestrom	7	May 12 – Jun 22	1 in 27
5	Stabaek	8	Aug 24 – Oct 26	1 in 26

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	10	Jun 22 – Sep 14	1 in 62
2	Tromso	10	Apr 21 – Jun 22	1 in 53
3	Sogndal	8	Aug 10 – Oct 5	1 in 41
4	Lillestrom	7	May 16 – Jun 29	1 in 34
5	Bryne	10	Aug 16 – Nov 1	1 in 32

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Rosenborg	62.03%	18.09%	8.11%	4.64%	2.83%	1.78%	1.00%	0.58%	0.30%	0.33%	0.19%	0.07%	0.05%	—
Bodo Glimt	3.21%	8.05%	9.79%	9.95%	9.68%	9.63%	9.40%	8.79%	7.56%	7.09%	6.17%	5.36%	3.49%	1.83%
Stabaek	7.41%	15.41%	13.39%	12.08%	10.05%	9.50%	7.21%	6.77%	5.31%	4.33%	3.54%	2.34%	1.79%	0.87%
Odd Grenland	3.87%	8.60%	10.15%	10.31%	10.58%	9.91%	8.97%	8.41%	7.74%	6.19%	5.78%	4.46%	3.32%	1.71%
Viking	10.50%	17.59%	15.42%	12.47%	9.93%	8.22%	6.54%	5.77%	4.30%	3.28%	2.63%	1.59%	1.19%	0.57%
Brann	0.65%	2.41%	3.11%	4.14%	5.53%	6.49%	7.65%	8.36%	8.97%	10.39%	10.53%	11.74%	11.76%	8.27%
Lillestrom	3.33%	7.29%	8.77%	9.48%	9.68%	9.84%	9.38%	8.46%	8.60%	6.99%	6.39%	5.76%	4.01%	2.02%
Sogndal	1.38%	3.68%	5.45%	6.36%	7.76%	8.18%	8.11%	9.77%	9.12%	9.66%	9.59%	8.20%	7.81%	4.93%
Molde	3.90%	8.42%	9.43%	10.88%	10.19%	9.47%	9.24%	8.05%	8.34%	7.03%	5.41%	4.73%	3.26%	1.65%
Lyn Oslo	1.04%	3.08%	4.59%	5.19%	6.56%	7.25%	8.58%	8.97%	9.38%	9.95%	10.24%	9.88%	8.87%	6.42%
Tromso	0.35%	1.12%	1.91%	2.61%	3.48%	4.44%	5.53%	6.43%	8.04%	9.80%	11.78%	13.53%	15.78%	15.20%
Valerenga	1.67%	4.47%	6.43%	7.03%	8.12%	8.17%	9.49%	9.54%	9.22%	9.09%	8.61%	7.95%	6.23%	3.98%
Aalesund	—	0.11%	0.29%	0.58%	0.96%	1.51%	1.99%	2.64%	3.84%	5.60%	8.15%	12.01%	20.26%	42.06%
Bryne	0.66%	1.68%	3.16%	4.28%	4.65%	5.61%	6.91%	7.46%	9.28%	10.27%	10.99%	12.38%	12.18%	10.49%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	99.9%	0.1%	0.1%
Viking	96.7%	1.6%	1.8%
Stabaek	95.0%	2.3%	2.7%
Molde	90.4%	4.7%	4.9%
Odd Grenland	90.5%	4.5%	5.0%
Bodo Glimt	89.3%	5.4%	5.3%
Lillestrom	88.2%	5.8%	6.0%
Valerenga	81.8%	8.0%	10.2%
Sogndal	79.1%	8.2%	12.7%
Lyn Oslo	74.8%	9.9%	15.3%
Brann	68.2%	11.7%	20.0%
Bryne	65.0%	12.4%	22.7%
Tromso	55.5%	13.5%	31.0%
Aalesund	25.7%	12.0%	62.3%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2003-04-12	Valerenga	W 1-0	1672	1607	54.0%	23.2%	22.8%	+3.3	3
2003-04-12	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1607	1672	22.8%	23.2%	54.0%	-3.3	0
2003-04-13	Tromso	L 2-3	1516	1590	33.8%	27.7%	38.5%	-4.2	0
2003-04-13	@ Aalesund	W 3-2	1590	1516	38.5%	27.7%	33.8%	+4.3	3
2003-04-13	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1642	1599	50.8%	24.6%	24.6%	+3.6	3
2003-04-13	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1599	1642	24.6%	24.6%	50.8%	-3.6	0
2003-04-13	Molde	W 1-0	1618	1651	39.7%	27.5%	32.7%	+4.6	3
2003-04-13	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1651	1618	32.7%	27.5%	39.7%	-4.6	0
2003-04-13	Stabaek	W 2-1	1573	1635	35.6%	27.7%	36.6%	+4.8	3
2003-04-13	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1635	1573	36.6%	27.7%	35.6%	-4.8	0
2003-04-13	Bryne	W 3-0	1639	1583	52.8%	23.8%	23.4%	+9.3	3
2003-04-13	@ Viking	L 0-3	1583	1639	23.4%	23.8%	52.8%	-9.3	0
2003-04-14	Brann	D 0-0	1607	1589	47.2%	25.9%	26.9%	-0.6	1
2003-04-14	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1589	1607	26.9%	25.9%	47.2%	+0.6	1
2003-04-21	Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1595	1607	42.9%	27.0%	30.1%	+3.9	3
2003-04-21	@ Bodo Glimt	L 2-3	1607	1595	30.1%	27.0%	42.9%	-3.9	1
2003-04-21	Sogndal	L 0-1	1573	1578	43.9%	26.8%	29.3%	-5.8	0
2003-04-21	@ Bryne	W 1-0	1578	1573	29.3%	26.8%	43.9%	+5.8	6
2003-04-21	Lillestrom	W 4-0	1646	1645	44.7%	26.6%	28.7%	+14.9	3
2003-04-21	@ Molde	L 0-4	1645	1646	28.7%	26.6%	44.7%	-14.9	3
2003-04-21	Odd Grenland	W 4-1	1630	1623	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%	+9.4	3
2003-04-21	@ Stabaek	L 1-4	1623	1630	28.0%	26.4%	45.6%	-9.4	3
2003-04-21	Viking	D 2-2	1594	1649	36.6%	27.7%	35.7%	-0.0	4
2003-04-21	@ Tromso	D 2-2	1649	1594	35.7%	27.7%	36.6%	+0.0	4
2003-04-21	Aalesund	W 3-1	1603	1511	57.9%	21.3%	20.8%	+4.9	3
2003-04-21	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1511	1603	20.8%	21.3%	57.9%	-4.8	0
2003-04-22	Rosenborg	L 1-6	1590	1675	32.4%	27.5%	40.1%	-16.8	1
2003-04-22	@ Brann	W 6-1	1675	1590	40.1%	27.5%	32.4%	+16.8	6
2003-04-26	Brann	D 3-3	1506	1573	34.9%	27.7%	37.4%	+0.0	1
2003-04-26	@ Aalesund	D 3-3	1573	1506	37.4%	27.7%	34.9%	-0.0	2
2003-04-26	Molde	W 2-0	1599	1661	35.5%	27.7%	36.8%	+9.5	6
2003-04-26	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1661	1599	36.8%	27.7%	35.5%	-9.5	3
2003-04-26	Stabaek	L 0-2	1630	1639	43.3%	27.0%	29.8%	-10.7	3
2003-04-26	@ Lillestrom	W 2-0	1639	1630	29.8%	27.0%	43.3%	+10.8	6
2003-04-26	Bryne	W 3-2	1613	1567	51.2%	24.4%	24.3%	+3.2	6
2003-04-26	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1567	1613	24.3%	24.4%	51.2%	-3.2	0
2003-04-26	Tromso	W 3-1	1584	1594	43.0%	27.0%	30.0%	+7.0	9
2003-04-26	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	1594	1584	30.0%	27.0%	43.0%	-7.0	4
2003-04-26	Valerenga	W 2-0	1649	1608	50.5%	24.7%	24.8%	+6.8	7
2003-04-26	@ Viking	L 0-2	1608	1649	24.8%	24.7%	50.5%	-6.8	3
2003-04-27	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1603	1692	31.9%	27.4%	40.6%	-12.5	1
2003-04-27	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	1692	1603	40.6%	27.4%	31.9%	+12.5	9
2003-05-04	Lillestrom	W 3-1	1564	1620	36.5%	27.7%	35.8%	+8.1	3
2003-05-04	@ Bryne	L 1-3	1620	1564	35.8%	27.7%	36.5%	-8.1	3
2003-05-04	Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1652	1590	53.5%	23.4%	23.0%	-0.6	4
2003-05-04	@ Molde	D 2-2	1590	1652	23.0%	23.4%	53.5%	+0.6	2
2003-05-04	Aalesund	W 1-0	1704	1507	72.4%	12.8%	14.8%	+1.9	12
2003-05-04	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1507	1704	14.8%	12.8%	72.4%	-1.9	1
2003-05-04	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1650	1609	50.6%	24.7%	24.7%	-0.8	7
2003-05-04	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1609	1650	24.7%	24.7%	50.6%	+0.8	7
2003-05-04	Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1587	1616	40.2%	27.5%	32.3%	-10.2	4
2003-05-04	@ Tromso	W 2-0	1616	1587	32.3%	27.5%	40.2%	+10.2	9
2003-05-04	Sogndal	D 3-3	1601	1591	46.1%	26.2%	27.7%	-0.3	4
2003-05-04	@ Valerenga	D 3-3	1591	1601	27.7%	26.2%	46.1%	+0.3	10
2003-05-05	Viking	L 0-3	1573	1656	32.7%	27.5%	39.8%	-12.7	2
2003-05-05	@ Brann	W 3-0	1656	1573	39.8%	27.5%	32.7%	+12.7	10
2003-05-10	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1668	1706	39.0%	27.6%	33.4%	-10.0	10
2003-05-10	@ Viking	W 2-0	1706	1668	33.4%	27.6%	39.0%	+10.0	15
2003-05-11	Bryne	W 3-1	1610	1572	50.0%	24.9%	25.1%	+6.0	10
2003-05-11	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1572	1610	25.1%	24.9%	50.0%	-6.0	3
2003-05-11	Aalesund	W 2-1	1591	1505	57.1%	21.7%	21.2%	+2.9	5
2003-05-11	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1505	1591	21.2%	21.7%	57.1%	-2.9	1
2003-05-11	Stabaek	D 0-0	1651	1649	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	-0.5	5
2003-05-11	@ Molde	D 0-0	1649	1651	28.6%	26.6%	44.8%	+0.5	8
2003-05-11	Valerenga	W 3-1	1627	1601	48.3%	25.6%	26.2%	+6.2	12
2003-05-11	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1601	1627	26.2%	25.6%	48.3%	-6.2	4
2003-05-11	Brann	W 2-0	1591	1560	49.1%	25.3%	25.7%	+7.1	13
2003-05-11	@ Sogndal	L 0-2	1560	1591	25.7%	25.3%	49.1%	-7.1	2
2003-05-12	Tromso	W 3-2	1612	1577	49.6%	25.1%	25.3%	+3.3	6
2003-05-12	@ Lillestrom	L 2-3	1577	1612	25.3%	25.1%	49.6%	-3.3	4
2003-05-16	Viking	D 1-1	1502	1658	24.8%	24.7%	50.5%	+0.7	2
2003-05-16	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1658	1502	50.5%	24.7%	24.8%	-0.7	11
2003-05-16	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1553	1633	33.1%	27.6%	39.3%	+14.6	5
2003-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-3	1633	1553	39.3%	27.6%	33.1%	-14.6	12
2003-05-16	Molde	W 3-0	1566	1651	32.5%	27.5%	40.0%	+14.7	6
2003-05-16	@ Bryne	L 0-3	1651	1566	40.0%	27.5%	32.5%	-14.7	5
2003-05-16	Sogndal	W 3-1	1716	1598	61.6%	19.2%	19.1%	+4.4	18
2003-05-16	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1598	1716	19.1%	19.2%	61.6%	-4.4	13
2003-05-16	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1650	1594	52.7%	23.8%	23.5%	-10.7	8
2003-05-16	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1594	1650	23.5%	23.8%	52.7%	+10.7	8
2003-05-16	Bodo Glimt	D 3-3	1574	1616	38.4%	27.7%	33.9%	-0.1	5
2003-05-16	@ Tromso	D 3-3	1616	1574	33.9%	27.7%	38.4%	+0.1	11
2003-05-16	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1595	1615	41.6%	27.3%	31.1%	-0.3	5
2003-05-16	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1615	1595	31.1%	27.3%	41.6%	+0.3	7
2003-05-25	Valerenga	D 0-0	1616	1595	47.6%	25.8%	26.6%	-0.6	12
2003-05-25	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1595	1616	26.6%	25.8%	47.6%	+0.7	6
2003-05-25	Brann	D 0-0	1615	1568	51.5%	24.3%	24.2%	-0.8	8
2003-05-25	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1568	1615	24.2%	24.3%	51.5%	+0.8	6
2003-05-25	Viking	D 3-3	1605	1658	36.8%	27.7%	35.4%	-0.0	9
2003-05-25	@ Lyn Oslo	D 3-3	1658	1605	35.4%	27.7%	36.8%	+0.0	12
2003-05-25	Tromso	W 2-1	1636	1574	53.7%	23.4%	23.0%	+3.1	8
2003-05-25	@ Molde	L 1-2	1574	1636	23.0%	23.4%	53.7%	-3.1	5
2003-05-25	Rosenborg	L 2-3	1618	1720	30.3%	27.1%	42.5%	-3.9	12
2003-05-25	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1720	1618	42.5%	27.1%	30.3%	+3.9	21
2003-05-25	Aalesund	D 1-1	1594	1502	57.8%	21.3%	20.9%	-1.0	14
2003-05-25	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1502	1594	20.9%	21.3%	57.8%	+1.0	3
2003-05-26	Bryne	W 2-1	1639	1581	53.0%	23.7%	23.3%	+3.2	11
2003-05-26	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1581	1639	23.3%	23.7%	53.0%	-3.2	6
2003-05-28	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1724	1614	60.5%	19.9%	19.6%	-1.2	22
2003-05-28	@ Rosenborg	D 1-1	1614	1724	19.6%	19.9%	60.5%	+1.2	9
2003-05-28	Sogndal	W 2-1	1658	1593	54.0%	23.2%	22.8%	+3.1	15
2003-05-28	@ Viking	L 1-2	1593	1658	22.8%	23.2%	54.0%	-3.1	14
2003-05-29	Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1504	1614	29.3%	26.8%	43.9%	+0.3	4
2003-05-29	@ Aalesund	D 2-2	1614	1504	43.9%	26.8%	29.3%	-0.3	13
2003-05-29	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1568	1615	37.7%	27.7%	34.6%	-9.7	6
2003-05-29	@ Brann	W 2-0	1615	1568	34.6%	27.7%	37.7%	+9.7	15
2003-05-29	Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	1578	1605	40.6%	27.4%	31.9%	+16.3	9
2003-05-29	@ Bryne	L 0-4	1605	1578	31.9%	27.4%	40.6%	-16.3	9
2003-05-29	Stabaek	L 1-3	1570	1642	34.2%	27.7%	38.1%	-7.8	5
2003-05-29	@ Tromso	W 3-1	1642	1570	38.1%	27.7%	34.2%	+7.8	14
2003-05-29	Molde	W 2-0	1595	1639	38.1%	27.7%	34.2%	+9.0	9
2003-05-29	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1639	1595	34.2%	27.7%	38.1%	-9.0	8
2003-06-01	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1625	1723	30.8%	27.2%	42.0%	-12.1	15
2003-06-01	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1723	1625	42.0%	27.2%	30.8%	+12.1	25
2003-06-01	Tromso	W 6-1	1594	1563	49.2%	25.2%	25.6%	+13.7	12
2003-06-01	@ Bryne	L 1-6	1563	1594	25.6%	25.2%	49.2%	-13.6	5
2003-06-01	Aalesund	D 1-1	1616	1504	60.7%	19.7%	19.5%	-1.2	10
2003-06-01	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1504	1616	19.5%	19.7%	60.7%	+1.2	5
2003-06-01	Sogndal	W 3-0	1588	1590	44.4%	26.7%	28.9%	+11.5	12
2003-06-01	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-3	1590	1588	28.9%	26.7%	44.4%	-11.5	14
2003-06-01	Viking	D 1-1	1614	1661	37.8%	27.7%	34.5%	-0.1	14
2003-06-01	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1661	1614	34.5%	27.7%	37.8%	+0.1	16
2003-06-01	Valerenga	W 1-0	1650	1604	51.2%	24.4%	24.3%	+3.5	17
2003-06-01	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1604	1650	24.3%	24.4%	51.2%	-3.5	9
2003-06-02	Brann	W 3-0	1630	1559	55.0%	22.8%	22.3%	+8.8	11
2003-06-02	@ Molde	L 0-3	1559	1630	22.3%	22.8%	55.0%	-8.8	6
2003-06-14	Molde	W 5-0	1735	1639	58.5%	20.9%	20.5%	+12.9	28
2003-06-14	@ Rosenborg	L 0-5	1639	1735	20.5%	20.9%	58.5%	-12.8	11
2003-06-15	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1505	1613	29.7%	26.9%	43.4%	-8.1	5
2003-06-15	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1613	1505	43.4%	26.9%	29.7%	+8.1	18
2003-06-15	Stabaek	D 3-3	1550	1654	30.1%	27.1%	42.8%	+0.2	7
2003-06-15	@ Brann	D 3-3	1654	1550	42.8%	27.1%	30.1%	-0.2	18
2003-06-15	Odd Grenland	W 5-0	1578	1614	39.3%	27.6%	33.1%	+20.6	17
2003-06-15	@ Sogndal	L 0-5	1614	1578	33.1%	27.6%	39.3%	-20.6	14
2003-06-15	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1549	1600	37.1%	27.7%	35.1%	-5.1	5
2003-06-15	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1600	1549	35.1%	27.7%	37.1%	+5.1	15
2003-06-15	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1661	1614	51.3%	24.4%	24.3%	-0.8	17
2003-06-15	@ Viking	D 1-1	1614	1661	24.3%	24.4%	51.3%	+0.8	11
2003-06-16	Bryne	W 3-0	1601	1608	43.5%	26.9%	29.6%	+11.7	12
2003-06-16	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1608	1601	29.6%	26.9%	43.5%	-11.7	12
2003-06-22	Viking	D 1-1	1621	1660	38.8%	27.6%	33.6%	-0.1	19
2003-06-22	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1660	1621	33.6%	27.6%	38.8%	+0.1	18
2003-06-22	Sogndal	D 1-1	1615	1599	46.9%	26.0%	27.1%	-0.5	12
2003-06-22	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1599	1615	27.1%	26.0%	46.9%	+0.5	18
2003-06-22	Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1605	1593	46.2%	26.2%	27.6%	-11.3	15
2003-06-22	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1593	1605	27.6%	26.2%	46.2%	+11.3	17
2003-06-22	Aalesund	L 2-3	1626	1497	63.2%	18.3%	18.5%	-6.7	11
2003-06-22	@ Molde	W 3-2	1497	1626	18.5%	18.3%	63.2%	+6.7	8
2003-06-22	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1653	1748	31.2%	27.3%	41.5%	+0.2	19
2003-06-22	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1748	1653	41.5%	27.3%	31.2%	-0.2	29
2003-06-22	Valerenga	D 1-1	1544	1612	34.6%	27.7%	37.7%	+0.1	6
2003-06-22	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1612	1544	37.7%	27.7%	34.6%	-0.1	13
2003-06-23	Brann	D 1-1	1596	1550	51.3%	24.4%	24.3%	-0.8	13
2003-06-23	@ Bryne	D 1-1	1550	1596	24.3%	24.4%	51.3%	+0.7	8
2003-06-29	Stabaek	D 1-1	1504	1654	25.3%	25.1%	49.6%	+0.7	9
2003-06-29	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1654	1504	49.6%	25.1%	25.3%	-0.7	20
2003-06-29	Tromso	L 0-1	1551	1544	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%	-5.9	8
2003-06-29	@ Brann	W 1-0	1544	1551	28.0%	26.4%	45.6%	+5.9	9
2003-06-29	Lillestrom	W 5-0	1605	1615	43.1%	27.0%	29.9%	+19.0	20
2003-06-29	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-5	1615	1605	29.9%	27.0%	43.1%	-19.0	12
2003-06-29	Bryne	W 4-1	1748	1595	66.4%	16.4%	17.2%	+5.3	32
2003-06-29	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1595	1748	17.2%	16.4%	66.4%	-5.3	13
2003-06-29	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1599	1621	41.4%	27.3%	31.2%	+4.2	21
2003-06-29	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1621	1599	31.2%	27.3%	41.4%	-4.2	19
2003-06-30	Valerenga	D 1-1	1594	1612	41.8%	27.2%	30.9%	-0.3	16
2003-06-30	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1612	1594	30.9%	27.2%	41.8%	+0.3	14
2003-07-19	Sogndal	W 3-1	1619	1604	46.9%	26.0%	27.1%	+6.5	14
2003-07-19	@ Molde	L 1-3	1604	1619	27.1%	26.0%	46.9%	-6.5	21
2003-07-20	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1616	1624	43.5%	26.9%	29.6%	+4.3	22
2003-07-20	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1624	1616	29.6%	26.9%	43.5%	-4.3	20
2003-07-20	Aalesund	W 2-0	1590	1504	57.0%	21.7%	21.2%	+5.7	16
2003-07-20	@ Bryne	L 0-2	1504	1590	21.2%	21.7%	57.0%	-5.7	9
2003-07-20	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1596	1593	44.9%	26.6%	28.5%	+7.8	15
2003-07-20	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1593	1596	28.5%	26.6%	44.9%	-7.8	16
2003-07-20	Viking	L 0-2	1653	1660	43.5%	26.9%	29.6%	-10.8	20
2003-07-20	@ Stabaek	W 2-0	1660	1653	29.6%	26.9%	43.5%	+10.8	21
2003-07-20	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1550	1753	21.1%	21.6%	57.3%	+6.6	12
2003-07-20	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1753	1550	57.3%	21.6%	21.1%	-6.6	32
2003-07-21	Brann	L 0-2	1613	1545	54.4%	23.0%	22.6%	-12.7	14
2003-07-21	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1545	1613	22.6%	23.0%	54.4%	+12.7	11
2003-07-27	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1621	1603	47.1%	25.9%	27.0%	-11.4	22
2003-07-27	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1603	1621	27.0%	25.9%	47.1%	+11.4	18
2003-07-27	Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1558	1586	40.5%	27.5%	32.1%	+10.6	14
2003-07-27	@ Brann	L 1-4	1586	1558	32.1%	27.5%	40.5%	-10.6	16
2003-07-27	Viking	W 1-0	1596	1671	33.7%	27.6%	38.6%	+5.2	19
2003-07-27	@ Bryne	L 0-1	1671	1596	38.6%	27.6%	33.7%	-5.2	21
2003-07-27	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1626	1619	45.5%	26.4%	28.1%	-5.9	14
2003-07-27	@ Molde	W 1-0	1619	1626	28.1%	26.4%	45.5%	+5.9	23
2003-07-27	Sogndal	L 2-3	1642	1597	51.1%	24.5%	24.4%	-5.8	20
2003-07-27	@ Stabaek	W 3-2	1597	1642	24.4%	24.5%	51.1%	+5.8	24
2003-07-27	Aalesund	L 0-1	1556	1499	53.0%	23.7%	23.3%	-6.6	12
2003-07-27	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1499	1556	23.3%	23.7%	53.0%	+6.6	12
2003-07-27	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1600	1747	25.7%	25.3%	49.1%	-3.8	14
2003-07-27	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1747	1600	49.1%	25.3%	25.7%	+3.8	35
2003-07-30	Molde	L 1-2	1666	1620	51.2%	24.4%	24.3%	-6.1	21
2003-07-30	@ Viking	W 2-1	1620	1666	24.3%	24.4%	51.2%	+6.1	17
2003-07-31	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1575	1609	39.6%	27.6%	32.9%	-5.0	16
2003-07-31	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1609	1575	32.9%	27.6%	39.6%	+5.0	25
2003-08-03	Valerenga	L 0-2	1505	1596	31.7%	27.4%	40.9%	-8.5	12
2003-08-03	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1596	1505	40.9%	27.4%	31.7%	+8.5	17
2003-08-03	Molde	W 3-0	1615	1626	42.9%	27.0%	30.0%	+11.9	21
2003-08-03	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1626	1615	30.0%	27.0%	42.9%	-11.9	17
2003-08-03	Brann	D 2-2	1750	1568	70.4%	14.0%	15.6%	-1.2	36
2003-08-03	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1568	1750	15.6%	14.0%	70.4%	+1.2	15
2003-08-03	Bryne	W 4-0	1603	1601	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	+14.8	27
2003-08-03	@ Sogndal	L 0-4	1601	1603	28.6%	26.6%	44.8%	-14.8	19
2003-08-03	Tromso	W 4-0	1660	1550	60.5%	19.9%	19.6%	+9.9	24
2003-08-03	@ Viking	L 0-4	1550	1660	19.6%	19.9%	60.5%	-9.9	12
2003-08-04	Stabaek	D 1-1	1625	1636	42.9%	27.0%	30.0%	-0.3	24
2003-08-04	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1636	1625	30.0%	27.0%	42.9%	+0.3	21
2003-08-10	Aalesund	W 3-0	1569	1497	55.1%	22.7%	22.2%	+8.8	18
2003-08-10	@ Brann	L 0-3	1497	1569	22.2%	22.7%	55.1%	-8.8	12
2003-08-10	Odd Grenland	W 3-2	1586	1625	38.9%	27.6%	33.5%	+4.2	22
2003-08-10	@ Bryne	L 2-3	1625	1586	33.5%	27.6%	38.9%	-4.2	24
2003-08-10	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1749	1570	70.0%	14.3%	15.7%	+3.8	39
2003-08-10	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1570	1749	15.7%	14.3%	70.0%	-3.8	16
2003-08-10	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1637	1627	46.0%	26.3%	27.7%	+4.0	24
2003-08-10	@ Stabaek	L 0-1	1627	1637	27.7%	26.3%	46.0%	-4.0	21
2003-08-10	Sogndal	D 1-1	1540	1618	33.4%	27.6%	39.0%	+0.1	13
2003-08-10	@ Tromso	D 1-1	1618	1540	39.0%	27.6%	33.4%	-0.2	28
2003-08-10	Viking	D 2-2	1605	1669	35.1%	27.7%	37.1%	+0.0	18
2003-08-10	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1669	1605	37.1%	27.7%	35.1%	-0.0	25
2003-08-11	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1614	1614	44.5%	26.7%	28.8%	-11.0	17
2003-08-11	@ Molde	W 2-0	1614	1614	28.8%	26.7%	44.5%	+11.0	28
2003-08-15	Stabaek	W 3-1	1625	1641	42.3%	27.2%	30.6%	+7.2	31
2003-08-15	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1641	1625	30.6%	27.2%	42.3%	-7.2	24
2003-08-16	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1488	1753	17.3%	16.7%	66.0%	-4.4	12
2003-08-16	@ Aalesund	W 2-0	1753	1488	66.0%	16.7%	17.3%	+4.4	42
2003-08-16	Bryne	W 4-0	1623	1590	49.2%	25.2%	25.5%	+13.3	24
2003-08-16	@ Lillestrom	L 0-4	1590	1623	25.5%	25.2%	49.2%	-13.3	22
2003-08-16	Tromso	W 5-0	1621	1540	56.3%	22.1%	21.6%	+13.7	27
2003-08-16	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-5	1540	1621	21.6%	22.1%	56.3%	-13.7	13
2003-08-16	Valerenga	D 0-0	1618	1605	46.4%	26.2%	27.4%	-0.6	29
2003-08-16	@ Sogndal	D 0-0	1605	1618	27.4%	26.2%	46.4%	+0.6	19
2003-08-16	Brann	D 3-3	1669	1578	57.8%	21.3%	20.8%	-0.7	26
2003-08-16	@ Viking	D 3-3	1578	1669	20.8%	21.3%	57.8%	+0.7	19
2003-08-17	Molde	L 0-2	1566	1603	39.1%	27.6%	33.3%	-10.0	16
2003-08-17	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1603	1566	33.3%	27.6%	39.1%	+10.0	20
2003-08-23	Viking	W 4-1	1757	1669	57.4%	21.5%	21.1%	+6.9	45
2003-08-23	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1669	1757	21.1%	21.5%	57.4%	-7.0	26
2003-08-24	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1483	1556	34.1%	27.7%	38.3%	+9.8	15
2003-08-24	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1556	1483	38.3%	27.7%	34.1%	-9.8	16
2003-08-24	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1577	1632	36.5%	27.7%	35.8%	-9.5	22
2003-08-24	@ Bryne	W 2-0	1632	1577	35.8%	27.7%	36.5%	+9.5	34
2003-08-24	Molde	D 1-1	1634	1613	47.5%	25.8%	26.7%	-0.6	25
2003-08-24	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1613	1634	26.7%	25.8%	47.5%	+0.6	21
2003-08-24	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1526	1636	29.4%	26.9%	43.7%	+10.8	16
2003-08-24	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1636	1526	43.7%	26.9%	29.4%	-10.8	24
2003-08-24	Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1605	1634	40.3%	27.5%	32.2%	-14.8	19
2003-08-24	@ Valerenga	W 3-0	1634	1605	32.2%	27.5%	40.3%	+14.8	30
2003-08-25	Sogndal	W 6-1	1579	1617	39.0%	27.6%	33.4%	+17.2	22
2003-08-25	@ Brann	L 1-6	1617	1579	33.4%	27.6%	39.0%	-17.2	29
2003-08-31	Tromso	L 1-2	1642	1537	59.7%	20.3%	20.0%	-6.8	34
2003-08-31	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1537	1642	20.0%	20.3%	59.7%	+6.8	19
2003-08-31	Stabaek	L 2-3	1546	1633	32.2%	27.5%	40.3%	-4.1	16
2003-08-31	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1633	1546	40.3%	27.5%	32.2%	+4.1	28
2003-08-31	Bryne	W 3-2	1614	1568	51.3%	24.4%	24.3%	+3.2	24
2003-08-31	@ Molde	L 2-3	1568	1614	24.3%	24.4%	51.3%	-3.2	22
2003-08-31	Brann	L 1-3	1649	1596	52.3%	24.0%	23.7%	-10.7	30
2003-08-31	@ Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1596	1649	23.7%	24.0%	52.3%	+10.7	25
2003-08-31	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1600	1764	24.1%	24.2%	51.7%	+0.8	30
2003-08-31	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1764	1600	51.7%	24.2%	24.1%	-0.8	46
2003-08-31	Aalesund	W 4-0	1662	1493	68.6%	15.1%	16.3%	+7.6	29
2003-08-31	@ Viking	L 0-4	1493	1662	16.3%	15.1%	68.6%	-7.6	15
2003-09-01	Valerenga	D 0-0	1625	1590	49.6%	25.1%	25.3%	-0.8	25
2003-09-01	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1590	1625	25.3%	25.1%	49.6%	+0.8	20
2003-09-13	Odd Grenland	W 3-1	1764	1639	62.6%	18.7%	18.7%	+4.2	49
2003-09-13	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1639	1764	18.7%	18.7%	62.6%	-4.2	30
2003-09-14	Sogndal	W 3-0	1486	1600	28.9%	26.7%	44.4%	+15.9	18
2003-09-14	@ Aalesund	L 0-3	1600	1486	44.4%	26.7%	28.9%	-15.9	30
2003-09-14	Stabaek	L 0-2	1564	1637	34.1%	27.7%	38.3%	-9.0	22
2003-09-14	@ Bryne	W 2-0	1637	1564	38.3%	27.7%	34.1%	+9.0	31
2003-09-14	Molde	W 1-0	1544	1617	34.0%	27.7%	38.3%	+5.2	22
2003-09-14	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1617	1544	38.3%	27.7%	34.0%	-5.2	24
2003-09-14	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1591	1635	38.1%	27.7%	34.2%	-0.1	21
2003-09-14	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1635	1591	34.2%	27.7%	38.1%	+0.1	35
2003-09-14	Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1669	1542	62.9%	18.5%	18.6%	-0.9	30
2003-09-14	@ Viking	D 2-2	1542	1669	18.6%	18.5%	62.9%	+0.9	17
2003-09-15	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1607	1624	41.9%	27.2%	30.8%	-9.1	25
2003-09-15	@ Brann	W 3-1	1624	1607	30.8%	27.2%	41.9%	+9.1	28
2003-09-21	Brann	W 3-0	1635	1597	50.1%	24.9%	25.0%	+10.0	38
2003-09-21	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1597	1635	25.0%	24.9%	50.1%	-10.0	25
2003-09-21	Rosenborg	L 0-6	1634	1768	26.8%	25.9%	47.3%	-20.5	28
2003-09-21	@ Lillestrom	W 6-0	1768	1634	47.3%	25.9%	26.8%	+20.5	52
2003-09-21	Bryne	W 2-0	1543	1555	42.7%	27.1%	30.2%	+8.2	20
2003-09-21	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1555	1543	30.2%	27.1%	42.7%	-8.2	22
2003-09-21	Valerenga	W 1-0	1612	1591	47.5%	25.8%	26.7%	+3.9	27
2003-09-21	@ Molde	L 0-1	1591	1612	26.7%	25.8%	47.5%	-3.9	21
2003-09-21	Aalesund	W 3-0	1634	1502	63.7%	18.0%	18.3%	+6.9	33
2003-09-21	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1502	1634	18.3%	18.0%	63.7%	-6.8	18
2003-09-21	Tromso	D 2-2	1646	1549	58.6%	20.9%	20.5%	-0.8	32
2003-09-21	@ Stabaek	D 2-2	1549	1646	20.5%	20.9%	58.6%	+0.8	23
2003-09-22	Viking	D 2-2	1585	1669	32.6%	27.5%	39.9%	+0.1	31
2003-09-22	@ Sogndal	D 2-2	1669	1585	39.9%	27.5%	32.6%	-0.1	31
2003-09-27	Stabaek	D 2-2	1587	1645	36.1%	27.7%	36.2%	+0.0	22
2003-09-27	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1645	1587	36.2%	27.7%	36.1%	+0.0	33
2003-09-28	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1495	1613	28.5%	26.6%	44.9%	+5.5	21
2003-09-28	@ Aalesund	L 1-2	1613	1495	44.9%	26.6%	28.5%	-5.5	28
2003-09-28	Molde	W 3-2	1587	1616	40.4%	27.5%	32.1%	+4.1	28
2003-09-28	@ Brann	L 2-3	1616	1587	32.1%	27.5%	40.4%	-4.1	27
2003-09-28	Bodo Glimt	W 5-4	1788	1645	65.1%	17.2%	17.7%	+2.1	55
2003-09-28	@ Rosenborg	L 4-5	1645	1788	17.7%	17.2%	65.1%	-2.1	38
2003-09-28	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1585	1551	49.4%	25.1%	25.4%	-5.9	31
2003-09-28	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1551	1585	25.4%	25.1%	49.4%	+5.9	23
2003-09-28	Bryne	W 2-0	1550	1547	44.9%	26.6%	28.5%	+7.8	26
2003-09-28	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1547	1550	28.5%	26.6%	44.9%	-7.8	22
2003-09-29	Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1668	1641	48.5%	25.5%	26.0%	-6.2	31
2003-09-29	@ Viking	W 1-0	1641	1668	26.0%	25.5%	48.5%	+6.2	36
2003-10-04	Brann	W 6-0	1645	1592	52.4%	23.9%	23.7%	+18.0	36
2003-10-04	@ Stabaek	L 0-6	1592	1645	23.7%	23.9%	52.4%	-18.0	28
2003-10-05	Aalesund	L 0-2	1643	1500	65.1%	17.2%	17.7%	-14.3	38
2003-10-05	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1500	1643	17.7%	17.2%	65.1%	+14.3	24
2003-10-05	Valerenga	L 3-4	1539	1587	37.6%	27.7%	34.7%	-4.5	22
2003-10-05	@ Bryne	W 4-3	1587	1539	34.7%	27.7%	37.6%	+4.5	25
2003-10-05	Viking	W 1-0	1607	1662	36.6%	27.7%	35.7%	+5.0	31
2003-10-05	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1662	1607	35.7%	27.7%	36.6%	-5.0	31
2003-10-05	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1611	1790	22.9%	23.3%	53.8%	-6.3	27
2003-10-05	@ Molde	W 2-0	1790	1611	53.8%	23.3%	22.9%	+6.3	58
2003-10-05	Sogndal	D 3-3	1647	1579	54.5%	23.0%	22.5%	-0.6	37
2003-10-05	@ Odd Grenland	D 3-3	1579	1647	22.5%	23.0%	54.5%	+0.6	32
2003-10-06	Tromso	W 5-1	1557	1558	44.5%	26.7%	28.8%	+12.5	26
2003-10-06	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-5	1558	1557	28.8%	26.7%	44.5%	-12.5	26
2003-10-18	Molde	D 1-1	1515	1605	31.7%	27.4%	40.9%	+0.2	25
2003-10-18	@ Aalesund	D 1-1	1605	1515	40.9%	27.4%	31.7%	-0.2	28
2003-10-19	Bryne	W 3-0	1574	1535	50.2%	24.9%	25.0%	+10.0	31
2003-10-19	@ Brann	L 0-3	1535	1574	25.0%	24.9%	50.2%	-10.0	22
2003-10-19	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1647	1570	55.8%	22.4%	21.9%	-0.9	38
2003-10-19	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1570	1647	21.9%	22.4%	55.8%	+1.0	27
2003-10-19	Stabaek	L 1-6	1797	1663	63.8%	18.0%	18.2%	-27.4	58
2003-10-19	@ Rosenborg	W 6-1	1663	1797	18.2%	18.0%	63.8%	+27.4	39
2003-10-19	Lillestrom	W 2-1	1579	1612	39.7%	27.5%	32.7%	+4.4	35
2003-10-19	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1612	1579	32.7%	27.5%	39.7%	-4.4	31
2003-10-19	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1657	1629	48.7%	25.4%	25.9%	-5.9	31
2003-10-19	@ Viking	W 2-1	1629	1657	25.9%	25.4%	48.7%	+5.9	41
2003-10-20	Tromso	W 3-0	1592	1545	51.3%	24.4%	24.3%	+9.7	28
2003-10-20	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1545	1592	24.3%	24.4%	51.3%	-9.7	26
2003-10-26	Sogndal	W 3-0	1635	1584	52.0%	24.1%	23.9%	+9.5	44
2003-10-26	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-3	1584	1635	23.9%	24.1%	52.0%	-9.5	35
2003-10-26	Rosenborg	L 2-4	1525	1769	18.5%	18.4%	63.1%	-3.7	22
2003-10-26	@ Bryne	W 4-2	1769	1525	63.1%	18.4%	18.5%	+3.7	61
2003-10-26	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1608	1646	39.0%	27.6%	33.4%	+12.9	34
2003-10-26	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1646	1608	33.4%	27.6%	39.0%	-12.9	38
2003-10-26	Aalesund	W 3-1	1691	1515	69.6%	14.5%	15.9%	+3.4	42
2003-10-26	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1515	1691	15.9%	14.5%	69.6%	-3.4	25
2003-10-26	Brann	L 0-1	1536	1583	37.6%	27.7%	34.7%	-5.1	26
2003-10-26	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1583	1536	34.7%	27.7%	37.6%	+5.1	34
2003-10-26	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1601	1571	49.0%	25.3%	25.7%	-6.2	28
2003-10-26	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1571	1601	25.7%	25.3%	49.0%	+6.2	30
2003-10-27	Viking	L 1-2	1605	1651	37.8%	27.7%	34.5%	-4.9	28
2003-10-27	@ Molde	W 2-1	1651	1605	34.5%	27.7%	37.8%	+4.9	34
2003-11-01	Bryne	W 2-0	1511	1521	43.1%	27.0%	29.9%	+8.1	28
2003-11-01	@ Aalesund	L 0-2	1521	1511	29.9%	27.0%	43.1%	-8.1	22
2003-11-01	Valerenga	W 3-1	1589	1595	43.6%	26.9%	29.5%	+7.0	37
2003-11-01	@ Brann	L 1-3	1595	1589	29.5%	26.9%	43.6%	-7.0	28
2003-11-01	Lillestrom	L 0-3	1577	1621	38.1%	27.7%	34.2%	-14.2	30
2003-11-01	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	1621	1577	34.2%	27.7%	38.1%	+14.2	37
2003-11-01	Bodo Glimt	L 2-4	1633	1644	42.9%	27.0%	30.1%	-8.3	38
2003-11-01	@ Odd Grenland	W 4-2	1644	1633	30.1%	27.0%	42.9%	+8.3	47
2003-11-01	Tromso	L 0-1	1773	1530	77.8%	9.5%	12.6%	-8.5	61
2003-11-01	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1530	1773	12.6%	9.5%	77.8%	+8.5	29
2003-11-01	Molde	L 2-3	1574	1600	40.8%	27.4%	31.8%	-4.9	35
2003-11-01	@ Sogndal	W 3-2	1600	1574	31.8%	27.4%	40.8%	+4.9	31
2003-11-01	Stabaek	W 3-1	1656	1694	39.0%	27.6%	33.4%	+7.7	37
2003-11-01	@ Viking	L 1-3	1694	1656	33.4%	27.6%	39.0%	-7.7	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2003-11-01	12.64%	Tromso	1530	1	@ Rosenborg	1773	0
2	2003-10-05	17.68%	Aalesund	1500	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1643	0
3	2003-10-19	18.23%	Stabaek	1663	6	@ Rosenborg	1797	1
4	2003-06-22	18.47%	Aalesund	1497	3	@ Molde	1626	2
5	2003-08-31	19.97%	Tromso	1537	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1642	1
6	2003-07-20	21.10%	@ Tromso	1550	2	Rosenborg	1753	1
7	2003-07-21	22.55%	Brann	1545	2	@ Valerenga	1613	0
8	2003-07-27	23.33%	Aalesund	1499	1	@ Tromso	1556	0
9	2003-05-16	23.49%	Lyn Oslo	1594	3	@ Stabaek	1650	1
10	2003-08-31	23.69%	Brann	1596	3	@ Odd Grenland	1649	1
11	2003-07-30	24.33%	Molde	1620	2	@ Viking	1666	1
12	2003-07-27	24.40%	Sogndal	1597	3	@ Stabaek	1642	2
13	2003-09-28	25.43%	Lyn Oslo	1551	2	@ Sogndal	1585	1
14	2003-10-26	25.67%	Lyn Oslo	1571	1	@ Valerenga	1601	0
15	2003-10-19	25.89%	Bodo Glimt	1629	2	@ Viking	1657	1
16	2003-09-29	26.01%	Odd Grenland	1641	1	@ Viking	1668	0
17	2003-07-27	26.98%	Lillestrom	1603	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1621	0
18	2003-06-22	27.56%	Odd Grenland	1593	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1605	0
19	2003-06-29	28.04%	Tromso	1544	1	@ Brann	1551	0
20	2003-07-27	28.10%	Odd Grenland	1619	1	@ Molde	1626	0
21	2003-09-28	28.49%	@ Aalesund	1495	2	Lillestrom	1613	1
22	2003-08-11	28.80%	Bodo Glimt	1614	2	@ Molde	1614	0
23	2003-09-14	28.87%	@ Aalesund	1486	3	Sogndal	1600	0
24	2003-04-21	29.31%	Sogndal	1578	1	@ Bryne	1573	0
25	2003-08-24	29.45%	@ Tromso	1526	2	Lillestrom	1636	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2003-10-19	27.38	Stabaek	6	1663	18.23%	@ Rosenborg	1	1797	63.77%
2	2003-06-15	20.65	@ Sogndal	5	1578	39.30%	Odd Grenland	0	1614	33.12%
3	2003-09-21	20.50	Rosenborg	6	1768	47.28%	@ Lillestrom	0	1634	26.84%
4	2003-06-29	19.02	@ Odd Grenland	5	1605	43.10%	Lillestrom	0	1615	29.90%
5	2003-10-04	18.05	@ Stabaek	6	1645	52.40%	Brann	0	1592	23.66%
6	2003-08-25	17.22	@ Brann	6	1579	38.95%	Sogndal	1	1617	33.43%
7	2003-04-22	16.80	Rosenborg	6	1675	40.11%	@ Brann	1	1590	32.39%
8	2003-05-29	16.28	@ Bryne	4	1578	40.65%	Lyn Oslo	0	1605	31.93%
9	2003-09-14	15.91	@ Aalesund	3	1486	28.87%	Sogndal	0	1600	44.44%
10	2003-04-21	14.88	@ Molde	4	1646	44.71%	Lillestrom	0	1645	28.67%
11	2003-08-03	14.85	@ Sogndal	4	1603	44.80%	Bryne	0	1601	28.60%
12	2003-08-24	14.82	Odd Grenland	3	1634	32.24%	@ Valerenga	0	1605	40.28%
13	2003-05-16	14.72	@ Bryne	3	1566	32.52%	Molde	0	1651	39.96%
14	2003-05-16	14.56	@ Brann	3	1553	33.08%	Odd Grenland	0	1633	39.34%
15	2003-10-05	14.33	Aalesund	2	1500	17.68%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1643	65.11%
16	2003-11-01	14.23	Lillestrom	3	1621	34.20%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1577	38.12%
17	2003-08-16	13.69	@ Odd Grenland	5	1621	56.31%	Tromso	0	1540	21.59%
18	2003-06-01	13.65	@ Bryne	6	1594	49.19%	Tromso	1	1563	25.58%
19	2003-08-16	13.35	@ Lillestrom	4	1623	49.25%	Bryne	0	1590	25.54%
20	2003-10-26	12.90	@ Lillestrom	3	1608	39.02%	Odd Grenland	0	1646	33.37%
21	2003-06-14	12.86	@ Rosenborg	5	1735	58.54%	Molde	0	1639	20.52%
22	2003-05-05	12.70	Viking	3	1656	39.75%	@ Brann	0	1573	32.71%
23	2003-07-21	12.69	Brann	2	1545	22.55%	@ Valerenga	0	1613	54.43%
24	2003-04-27	12.47	Rosenborg	3	1692	40.62%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1603	31.95%
25	2003-10-06	12.46	@ Lyn Oslo	5	1557	44.47%	Tromso	1	1558	28.84%