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2004 Tippeligaen Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Valerenga

10.88 points above expected

48 points · 37.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sogndal

9.02 points below expected

22 points · 31.02 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rosenborg 26 14 6 6 48 52 34 +18 42.31 +5.69
2 Valerenga 26 13 9 4 48 40 22 +18 37.12 +10.88
3 Brann 26 12 4 10 40 46 40 +6 35.45 +4.55
4 Tromso 26 12 4 10 40 38 32 +6 36.04 +3.96
5 Hamarkameratene 26 10 8 8 38 34 33 +1 34.71 +3.29
6 Lyn Oslo 26 9 10 7 37 30 31 -1 34.79 +2.21
7 Lillestrom 26 8 11 7 35 45 33 +12 38.93 -3.93
8 Odd Grenland 26 9 8 9 35 47 44 +3 37.23 -2.23
9 Viking 26 7 12 7 33 31 33 -2 35.14 -2.14
10 Fredrikstad 26 9 5 12 32 42 54 -12 27.99 +4.01
11 Molde 26 7 10 9 31 34 37 -3 34.71 -3.71
12 Bodo Glimt 26 7 6 13 27 28 41 -13 32.76 -5.76
13 Stabaek 26 7 6 13 27 25 40 -15 34.09 -7.09
14 Sogndal 26 5 7 14 22 39 57 -18 31.02 -9.02

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rosenborg 1736 48 42.31 +5.69 83.9% 19 32 38 42 47 53 67
Valerenga 1730 48 37.12 +10.88 96.2% 15 26 33 37 41 48 61
Lillestrom 1696 35 38.93 -3.93 29.6% 16 28 35 39 43 50 68
Brann 1681 40 35.45 +4.55 78.2% 13 25 31 35 40 46 60
Odd Grenland 1672 35 37.23 -2.23 39.2% 16 27 33 37 42 48 62
Viking 1664 33 35.14 -2.14 40.2% 13 25 31 35 39 46 58
Hamarkameratene 1661 38 34.71 +3.29 72.3% 12 24 30 35 39 45 62
Tromso 1655 40 36.04 +3.96 75.9% 15 26 32 36 40 47 61
Molde 1655 31 34.71 -3.71 31.4% 12 24 30 35 39 45 60
Lyn Oslo 1652 37 34.79 +2.21 67.2% 12 24 30 35 39 46 61
Stabaek 1617 27 34.09 -7.09 14.8% 8 24 30 34 38 45 58
Bodo Glimt 1606 27 32.76 -5.76 20.1% 13 23 29 33 37 43 55
Fredrikstad 1605 32 27.99 +4.01 77.7% 6 18 24 28 32 38 53
Sogndal 1578 22 31.02 -9.02 8.5% 10 21 27 31 35 41 58

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BG BRA FRE HAM LIL LO MOL OG ROS SOG STA TRO VAL VIK
Bodo Glimt —
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
3.11
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.04
2-0-0
2.71
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.54
0-2-0
2.43
Brann
1-1-0
2.78
 —
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.71
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.55
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.89
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.84
Fredrikstad
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.10
 —
1-0-1
2.20
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.12
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-0
2.42
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.14
0-1-1
2.20
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
3.22
 —
1-1-0
2.52
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
2.74
0-2-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.68
Lillestrom
1-1-0
3.17
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.91
 —
0-2-0
2.94
0-2-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.86
0-1-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
2.99
Lyn Oslo
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.46
 —
0-0-2
2.68
0-2-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.27
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
2.73
2-0-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.67
Molde
1-1-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.81
0-0-2
3.30
0-1-1
2.60
0-2-0
2.36
2-0-0
2.72
 —
1-1-0
2.36
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
3.12
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.66
Odd Grenland
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.40
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.58
0-2-0
2.91
0-1-1
3.04
 —
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.70
1-1-0
2.80
Rosenborg
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.21
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.15
1-0-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.00
 —
1-1-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.38
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
3.09
0-2-0
3.31
Sogndal
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.10
0-1-1
1.91
 —
0-0-2
2.56
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.46
Stabaek
0-0-2
2.84
2-0-0
2.52
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
2.74
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.06
2-0-0
2.85
 —
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.64
Tromso
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
3.25
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.74
 —
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.63
Valerenga
2-0-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.29
2-0-0
2.89
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.82
 —
0-2-0
2.80
Viking
0-2-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-1
2.59
0-2-0
2.10
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.76
0-2-0
2.60
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.28 +5.0
Allowed 0.50 -5.7
Differential 0.85 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%6.59%6.59%3.30%1.10%0.27%24.45%
16.59%14.84%6.59%3.02%1.65%1.10%33.79%
26.59%6.59%6.04%1.65%2.20%0.82%23.90%
33.30%3.02%1.65%1.10%0.27%0.27%9.62%
41.10%1.65%2.20%0.27%0.55%—5.77%
5+0.27%1.10%0.82%0.27%——2.47%
Total24.45%33.79%23.90%9.62%5.77%2.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.46 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.78
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%11.54%11.54%3.85%—53.85%
1—7.69%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
Total15.38%38.46%23.08%19.23%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.58 -0.50
SD 1.52 1.10 1.84
CV 1.41 0.70 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%————7.69%
111.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total23.08%34.62%23.08%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.54 +0.23
SD 1.18 1.36 1.75
CV 0.67 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—11.54%3.85%——19.23%
111.54%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—23.08%
2—7.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%38.46%
37.69%—3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%11.54%26.92%19.23%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 2.08 -0.46
SD 1.10 1.57 1.84
CV 0.68 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%11.54%——3.85%26.92%
111.54%19.23%7.69%———38.46%
27.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
33.85%—7.69%———11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total30.77%30.77%30.77%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.27 +0.04
SD 1.23 1.25 1.82
CV 0.94 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
13.85%23.08%——3.85%—30.77%
23.85%—15.38%3.85%——23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total23.08%46.15%19.23%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.27 +0.46
SD 1.56 1.12 2.14
CV 0.90 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
111.54%19.23%7.69%—3.85%3.85%46.15%
211.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%30.77%26.92%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.19 -0.04
SD 0.92 1.27 1.51
CV 0.80 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
1—26.92%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%50.00%
27.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%42.31%15.38%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.42 -0.12
SD 0.88 1.30 1.73
CV 0.68 0.91 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
13.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
27.69%—11.54%—7.69%—26.92%
33.85%3.85%3.85%——3.85%15.38%
43.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total26.92%15.38%38.46%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.69 +0.12
SD 1.50 1.44 1.86
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
17.69%7.69%3.85%—7.69%—26.92%
211.54%—7.69%———19.23%
37.69%11.54%—3.85%——23.08%
4—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%11.54%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.31 +0.69
SD 1.41 1.29 2.11
CV 0.71 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%—19.23%
1—11.54%11.54%15.38%——38.46%
2—11.54%—3.85%7.69%—23.08%
3—3.85%—7.69%——11.54%
4——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
5+———————
Total3.85%30.77%23.08%26.92%15.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.19 -0.69
SD 1.17 1.17 1.44
CV 0.78 0.53 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%11.54%——38.46%
1—15.38%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
27.69%15.38%———3.85%26.92%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%46.15%15.38%19.23%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.54 -0.58
SD 0.92 1.21 1.60
CV 0.95 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—15.38%—7.69%——23.08%
13.85%11.54%11.54%3.85%——30.77%
211.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total19.23%50.00%19.23%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.23 +0.23
SD 1.17 0.91 1.73
CV 0.80 0.74 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—7.69%———15.38%
119.23%19.23%7.69%———46.15%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
37.69%—————7.69%
4—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
5+———————
Total42.31%30.77%26.92%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 0.85 +0.69
SD 1.21 0.83 1.44
CV 0.78 0.99 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—34.62%
17.69%23.08%3.85%——3.85%38.46%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
3———————
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total26.92%38.46%26.92%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.27 -0.08
SD 1.36 1.22 1.60
CV 1.14 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Valerenga 48 37.12 +10.88
2 Rosenborg 48 42.31 +5.69
3 Brann 40 35.45 +4.55
4 Fredrikstad 32 27.99 +4.01
5 Tromso 40 36.04 +3.96

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sogndal 22 31.02 -9.02
2 Stabaek 27 34.09 -7.09
3 Bodo Glimt 27 32.76 -5.76
4 Lillestrom 35 38.93 -3.93
5 Molde 31 34.71 -3.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bodo Glimt 4 Jul 25 – Aug 22 1 in 139
2 Fredrikstad 3 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 41
3 Brann 4 May 23 – Jun 13 1 in 38
4 Odd Grenland 3 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 37
5 Valerenga 3 Aug 29 – Sep 19 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sogndal 5 Aug 22 – Sep 25 1 in 66
2 Stabaek 3 May 2 – May 16 1 in 41
3 Brann 3 Jun 21 – Jul 5 1 in 22
4 Tromso 3 Oct 3 – Oct 24 1 in 22
5 Rosenborg 2 May 10 – May 16 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 11 Aug 2 – Oct 30 1 in 77
2 Rosenborg 13 May 19 – Aug 29 1 in 72
3 Fredrikstad 8 Aug 22 – Oct 24 1 in 65
4 Lillestrom 9 May 23 – Aug 1 1 in 22
5 Lyn Oslo 7 Jul 26 – Sep 19 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bodo Glimt 8 May 20 – Jul 4 1 in 34
2 Sogndal 9 Jul 4 – Sep 25 1 in 26
3 Molde 7 Jul 25 – Sep 19 1 in 19
4 Viking 7 Jun 27 – Aug 29 1 in 15
5 Rosenborg 5 Apr 25 – May 19 1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Rosenborg31.34%17.57%12.47%9.09%6.88%5.59%4.49%3.63%2.96%2.13%1.78%1.16%0.67%0.24%
Valerenga9.54%10.24%9.74%9.91%9.14%8.29%7.77%6.84%6.93%5.85%5.19%4.45%3.28%2.83%
Brann5.62%6.91%8.24%8.07%8.30%7.75%7.99%8.21%7.60%7.68%7.23%6.90%5.54%3.96%
Tromso6.46%7.95%8.16%8.65%8.67%8.27%8.06%8.04%7.94%6.96%6.55%5.94%4.84%3.51%
Hamarkameratene4.52%5.74%6.28%7.16%7.88%8.12%7.59%7.95%8.40%7.96%7.81%8.04%7.21%5.34%
Lyn Oslo4.41%5.99%6.56%6.98%7.45%8.20%8.31%8.32%7.97%8.04%7.53%8.01%6.91%5.32%
Lillestrom14.09%13.44%11.19%10.54%9.21%7.88%6.98%6.42%5.05%4.71%3.87%3.06%2.24%1.32%
Odd Grenland8.59%9.64%10.20%9.37%8.94%8.58%7.89%7.58%6.95%6.52%5.14%4.27%3.90%2.43%
Viking4.75%6.14%6.99%7.17%8.40%8.29%8.20%7.86%8.48%7.66%7.42%7.34%6.36%4.94%
Fredrikstad0.33%0.67%1.29%1.44%2.12%2.60%3.91%4.20%5.38%7.45%9.24%11.85%18.81%30.71%
Molde4.11%5.84%6.39%6.86%7.13%7.86%8.36%8.05%8.62%8.49%8.33%7.65%6.85%5.46%
Bodo Glimt2.01%3.16%4.19%5.23%5.44%6.34%7.02%8.01%8.27%8.94%10.21%10.28%10.80%10.10%
Stabaek3.18%4.65%5.67%6.20%6.28%7.33%7.91%8.16%7.94%8.68%9.32%8.97%8.56%7.15%
Sogndal1.05%2.06%2.63%3.33%4.16%4.90%5.52%6.73%7.51%8.93%10.38%12.08%14.03%16.69%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.13%
Clear Edge
44.51%29.12%26.37%
Elo Value
Home Edge
186 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
063.70500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.6
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
31%
Rosenborg, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.08 * Some Luck: 5.08 to 7.62 * Lucky: 7.62 to 10.16 * Wild Swing: 10.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.71 * Close: 2.71 to 4.07 * Off: 4.07 to 5.42 * Way Off: 5.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.49 points
Some Luck
06.3516
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.36
Pinpoint
03.398
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
96.18%
Valerenga
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
8.52%
Sogndal
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.98
Coin-Flip Parity
01.003
Interquartile Edge
58%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
71%
Clear Edge
50%72%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.75
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
-0.14
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Shaky Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.91
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.47
Overconfident
0.3161661.001.68383
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Rosenborg 97.93% 1.16% 0.91%
Lillestrom 93.38% 3.06% 3.56%
Valerenga 89.44% 4.45% 6.11%
Odd Grenland 89.40% 4.27% 6.33%
Tromso 85.71% 5.94% 8.35%
Brann 83.60% 6.90% 9.50%
Viking 81.36% 7.34% 11.30%
Lyn Oslo 79.76% 8.01% 12.23%
Molde 80.04% 7.65% 12.31%
Hamarkameratene 79.41% 8.04% 12.55%
Stabaek 75.32% 8.97% 15.71%
Bodo Glimt 68.82% 10.28% 20.90%
Sogndal 57.20% 12.08% 30.72%
Fredrikstad 38.63% 11.85% 49.52%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2004-04-12 Brann W 1-0 1702 1655 50.0% 28.3% 21.8% +4.0 3
2004-04-12 @ Rosenborg L 0-1 1655 1702 21.8% 28.3% 50.0% -4.1 0
2004-04-12 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1667 1604 52.0% 27.5% 20.4% +7.2 3
2004-04-12 @ Lillestrom L 0-2 1604 1667 20.4% 27.5% 52.0% -7.2 0
2004-04-12 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1648 1647 43.8% 29.9% 26.3% -0.6 1
2004-04-12 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1647 1648 26.3% 29.9% 43.8% +0.6 1
2004-04-12 Lyn Oslo W 2-0 1658 1647 45.1% 29.6% 25.2% +8.7 3
2004-04-12 @ Molde L 0-2 1647 1658 25.2% 29.6% 45.1% -8.7 0
2004-04-12 Stabaek W 2-0 1663 1681 41.0% 30.4% 28.5% +9.6 3
2004-04-12 @ Odd Grenland L 0-2 1681 1663 28.5% 30.4% 41.0% -9.6 0
2004-04-12 Viking W 4-0 1637 1675 38.4% 30.7% 30.9% +19.3 3
2004-04-12 @ Tromso L 0-4 1675 1637 30.9% 30.7% 38.4% -19.3 0
2004-04-13 Bodo Glimt W 1-0 1653 1671 41.1% 30.4% 28.5% +5.1 3
2004-04-13 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1671 1653 28.5% 30.4% 41.1% -5.1 0
2004-04-18 Molde W 3-0 1651 1667 41.3% 30.4% 28.3% +13.9 3
2004-04-18 @ Brann L 0-3 1667 1651 28.3% 30.4% 41.3% -13.9 3
2004-04-18 Odd Grenland L 0-2 1666 1673 42.6% 30.2% 27.2% -12.8 0
2004-04-18 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-0 1673 1666 27.2% 30.2% 42.6% +12.8 6
2004-04-18 Rosenborg L 0-2 1596 1706 28.5% 30.4% 41.1% -9.6 0
2004-04-18 @ Fredrikstad W 2-0 1706 1596 41.1% 30.4% 28.5% +9.6 6
2004-04-18 Sogndal W 3-1 1672 1648 46.9% 29.2% 23.9% +7.2 3
2004-04-18 @ Stabaek L 1-3 1648 1672 23.9% 29.2% 46.9% -7.2 1
2004-04-18 Tromso D 1-1 1647 1657 42.3% 30.2% 27.5% -0.5 2
2004-04-18 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1657 1647 27.5% 30.2% 42.3% +0.5 4
2004-04-19 Valerenga D 1-1 1638 1658 40.8% 30.4% 28.7% -0.4 1
2004-04-19 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1658 1638 28.7% 30.4% 40.8% +0.4 4
2004-04-25 Bodo Glimt L 1-2 1640 1653 41.8% 30.3% 27.9% -6.3 1
2004-04-25 @ Sogndal W 2-1 1653 1640 27.9% 30.3% 41.8% +6.3 3
2004-04-25 Brann W 1-0 1658 1664 42.8% 30.1% 27.1% +4.9 7
2004-04-25 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1664 1658 27.1% 30.1% 42.8% -4.9 3
2004-04-25 Fredrikstad L 0-1 1653 1587 52.4% 27.4% 20.2% -7.9 3
2004-04-25 @ Molde W 1-0 1587 1653 20.2% 27.4% 52.4% +7.9 3
2004-04-25 Lillestrom W 1-0 1657 1674 41.2% 30.4% 28.4% +5.1 7
2004-04-25 @ Tromso L 0-1 1674 1657 28.4% 30.4% 41.2% -5.1 3
2004-04-25 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1686 1638 50.0% 28.2% 21.8% -1.0 7
2004-04-25 @ Odd Grenland D 0-0 1638 1686 21.8% 28.2% 50.0% +1.0 2
2004-04-25 Stabaek D 0-0 1647 1679 39.1% 30.6% 30.2% -0.3 3
2004-04-25 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-0 1679 1647 30.2% 30.6% 39.1% +0.3 4
2004-04-25 Viking D 0-0 1716 1655 51.7% 27.7% 20.7% -1.2 7
2004-04-25 @ Rosenborg D 0-0 1655 1716 20.7% 27.7% 51.7% +1.2 1
2004-05-01 Molde D 1-1 1656 1645 45.1% 29.6% 25.2% -0.7 2
2004-05-01 @ Viking D 1-1 1645 1656 25.2% 29.6% 45.1% +0.6 4
2004-05-02 Hamarkameratene L 0-2 1659 1647 45.3% 29.6% 25.1% -13.4 3
2004-05-02 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-0 1647 1659 25.1% 29.6% 45.3% +13.4 6
2004-05-02 Odd Grenland D 1-1 1660 1684 40.1% 30.5% 29.4% -0.3 4
2004-05-02 @ Brann D 1-1 1684 1660 29.4% 30.5% 40.1% +0.3 8
2004-05-02 Rosenborg D 2-2 1669 1714 37.2% 30.8% 32.0% -0.1 4
2004-05-02 @ Lillestrom D 2-2 1714 1669 32.0% 30.8% 37.2% +0.1 8
2004-05-02 Sogndal W 2-0 1639 1634 44.3% 29.8% 25.9% +8.9 5
2004-05-02 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1634 1639 25.9% 29.8% 44.3% -8.9 1
2004-05-02 Tromso L 1-2 1679 1662 45.9% 29.5% 24.6% -6.8 4
2004-05-02 @ Stabaek W 2-1 1662 1679 24.6% 29.5% 45.9% +6.8 10
2004-05-03 Valerenga D 2-2 1595 1663 33.9% 30.9% 35.2% +0.0 4
2004-05-03 @ Fredrikstad D 2-2 1663 1595 35.2% 30.9% 33.9% -0.0 8
2004-05-09 Bodo Glimt L 2-5 1672 1646 47.2% 29.1% 23.7% -14.7 4
2004-05-09 @ Stabaek W 5-2 1646 1672 23.7% 29.1% 47.2% +14.7 6
2004-05-09 Brann W 3-1 1625 1659 38.8% 30.7% 30.5% +8.8 4
2004-05-09 @ Sogndal L 1-3 1659 1625 30.5% 30.7% 38.8% -8.8 4
2004-05-09 Fredrikstad W 5-2 1685 1595 55.5% 26.1% 18.4% +6.9 11
2004-05-09 @ Odd Grenland L 2-5 1595 1685 18.4% 26.1% 55.5% -6.9 4
2004-05-09 Lillestrom D 2-2 1646 1669 40.4% 30.5% 29.1% -0.3 5
2004-05-09 @ Molde D 2-2 1669 1646 29.1% 30.5% 40.4% +0.3 5
2004-05-09 Lyn Oslo W 1-0 1660 1648 45.3% 29.6% 25.1% +4.6 9
2004-05-09 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1648 1660 25.1% 29.6% 45.3% -4.6 5
2004-05-09 Viking D 0-0 1663 1656 44.6% 29.8% 25.6% -0.7 9
2004-05-09 @ Valerenga D 0-0 1656 1663 25.6% 29.8% 44.6% +0.7 3
2004-05-10 Rosenborg W 4-1 1669 1715 37.2% 30.8% 32.0% +12.8 13
2004-05-10 @ Tromso L 1-4 1715 1669 32.0% 30.8% 37.2% -12.8 8
2004-05-12 Lillestrom D 1-1 1656 1669 41.8% 30.3% 27.9% -0.4 4
2004-05-12 @ Viking D 1-1 1669 1656 27.9% 30.3% 41.8% +0.4 6
2004-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1650 1665 41.6% 30.3% 28.1% +9.5 7
2004-05-16 @ Brann L 0-2 1665 1650 28.1% 30.3% 41.6% -9.5 9
2004-05-16 Molde L 0-2 1702 1646 51.1% 27.9% 21.0% -14.7 8
2004-05-16 @ Rosenborg W 2-0 1646 1702 21.0% 27.9% 51.1% +14.7 8
2004-05-16 Odd Grenland D 2-2 1656 1692 38.6% 30.7% 30.7% -0.2 5
2004-05-16 @ Viking D 2-2 1692 1656 30.7% 30.7% 38.6% +0.2 12
2004-05-16 Sogndal D 3-3 1588 1634 37.1% 30.8% 32.1% -0.1 5
2004-05-16 @ Fredrikstad D 3-3 1634 1588 32.1% 30.8% 37.1% +0.1 5
2004-05-16 Stabaek W 2-0 1643 1658 41.6% 30.3% 28.1% +9.5 8
2004-05-16 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1658 1643 28.1% 30.3% 41.6% -9.5 4
2004-05-16 Tromso W 2-1 1660 1682 40.6% 30.5% 28.9% +4.8 9
2004-05-16 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-2 1682 1660 28.9% 30.5% 40.6% -4.9 13
2004-05-16 Valerenga L 0-1 1670 1663 44.5% 29.8% 25.7% -7.0 6
2004-05-16 @ Lillestrom W 1-0 1663 1670 25.7% 29.8% 44.5% +7.0 12
2004-05-19 Rosenborg D 2-2 1670 1687 41.2% 30.4% 28.4% -0.3 13
2004-05-19 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1687 1670 28.4% 30.4% 41.2% +0.3 9
2004-05-20 Brann W 2-1 1648 1660 41.9% 30.3% 27.8% +4.7 7
2004-05-20 @ Stabaek L 1-2 1660 1648 27.8% 30.3% 41.9% -4.7 7
2004-05-20 Fredrikstad W 3-2 1655 1588 52.6% 27.3% 20.1% +3.3 12
2004-05-20 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-3 1588 1655 20.1% 27.3% 52.6% -3.4 5
2004-05-20 Lillestrom W 3-2 1692 1663 47.6% 29.0% 23.4% +3.9 15
2004-05-20 @ Odd Grenland L 2-3 1663 1692 23.4% 29.0% 47.6% -3.9 6
2004-05-20 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1665 1653 45.3% 29.6% 25.1% -0.7 10
2004-05-20 @ Bodo Glimt D 0-0 1653 1665 25.1% 29.6% 45.3% +0.7 9
2004-05-20 Molde W 2-1 1677 1660 45.9% 29.5% 24.6% +4.3 16
2004-05-20 @ Tromso L 1-2 1660 1677 24.6% 29.5% 45.9% -4.3 8
2004-05-20 Viking L 0-2 1634 1656 40.5% 30.5% 29.0% -12.4 5
2004-05-20 @ Sogndal W 2-0 1656 1634 29.0% 30.5% 40.5% +12.4 8
2004-05-23 Bodo Glimt W 3-1 1655 1665 42.3% 30.2% 27.5% +8.1 10
2004-05-23 @ Brann L 1-3 1665 1655 27.5% 30.2% 42.3% -8.1 10
2004-05-23 Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1668 1659 44.9% 29.7% 25.4% -7.1 8
2004-05-23 @ Viking W 1-0 1659 1668 25.4% 29.7% 44.9% +7.1 15
2004-05-23 Odd Grenland W 2-0 1687 1696 42.4% 30.2% 27.4% +9.3 12
2004-05-23 @ Rosenborg L 0-2 1696 1687 27.4% 30.2% 42.4% -9.3 15
2004-05-23 Sogndal W 1-0 1659 1622 48.6% 28.7% 22.7% +4.2 9
2004-05-23 @ Lillestrom L 0-1 1622 1659 22.7% 28.7% 48.6% -4.2 5
2004-05-23 Stabaek L 0-2 1585 1653 33.9% 30.9% 35.2% -10.9 5
2004-05-23 @ Fredrikstad W 2-0 1653 1585 35.2% 30.9% 33.9% +10.9 10
2004-05-23 Tromso W 2-1 1654 1681 39.7% 30.6% 29.7% +5.0 12
2004-05-23 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-2 1681 1654 29.7% 30.6% 39.7% -5.0 16
2004-05-24 Valerenga D 1-1 1656 1669 41.7% 30.3% 28.0% -0.4 9
2004-05-24 @ Molde D 1-1 1669 1656 28.0% 30.3% 41.7% +0.4 14
2004-05-31 Brann L 1-2 1658 1663 42.9% 30.1% 27.0% -6.5 12
2004-05-31 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1663 1658 27.0% 30.1% 42.9% +6.5 13
2004-05-31 Fredrikstad L 0-3 1657 1574 54.6% 26.5% 18.9% -22.4 10
2004-05-31 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-0 1574 1657 18.9% 26.5% 54.6% +22.4 8
2004-05-31 Lillestrom D 1-1 1666 1663 44.0% 29.9% 26.1% -0.6 16
2004-05-31 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1663 1666 26.1% 29.9% 44.0% +0.6 10
2004-05-31 Rosenborg D 3-3 1617 1697 32.4% 30.8% 36.8% +0.1 6
2004-05-31 @ Sogndal D 3-3 1697 1617 36.8% 30.8% 32.4% -0.1 13
2004-05-31 Valerenga W 2-0 1676 1670 44.5% 29.8% 25.7% +8.8 19
2004-05-31 @ Tromso L 0-2 1670 1676 25.7% 29.8% 44.5% -8.8 14
2004-05-31 Viking L 0-1 1664 1661 44.0% 29.9% 26.1% -7.0 10
2004-05-31 @ Stabaek W 1-0 1661 1664 26.1% 29.9% 44.0% +7.0 11
2004-06-01 Molde D 1-1 1686 1656 47.8% 28.9% 23.3% -0.8 16
2004-06-01 @ Odd Grenland D 1-1 1656 1686 23.3% 28.9% 47.8% +0.8 10
2004-06-06 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1668 1634 48.2% 28.8% 23.0% -0.8 12
2004-06-06 @ Viking D 1-1 1634 1668 23.0% 28.8% 48.2% +0.8 11
2004-06-06 Hamarkameratene W 5-0 1697 1665 47.9% 28.9% 23.2% +18.9 16
2004-06-06 @ Rosenborg L 0-5 1665 1697 23.2% 28.9% 47.9% -18.9 16
2004-06-06 Lyn Oslo L 2-4 1596 1652 35.7% 30.9% 33.5% -8.7 8
2004-06-06 @ Fredrikstad W 4-2 1652 1596 33.5% 30.9% 35.7% +8.7 15
2004-06-06 Odd Grenland W 1-0 1661 1686 40.1% 30.5% 29.3% +5.2 17
2004-06-06 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1686 1661 29.3% 30.5% 40.1% -5.2 16
2004-06-06 Sogndal D 1-1 1656 1617 48.9% 28.6% 22.5% -0.9 11
2004-06-06 @ Molde D 1-1 1617 1656 22.5% 28.6% 48.9% +0.9 7
2004-06-06 Tromso W 1-0 1670 1685 41.4% 30.4% 28.2% +5.0 16
2004-06-06 @ Brann L 0-1 1685 1670 28.2% 30.4% 41.4% -5.0 19
2004-06-07 Stabaek W 3-0 1663 1657 44.5% 29.8% 25.7% +12.8 13
2004-06-07 @ Lillestrom L 0-3 1657 1663 25.7% 29.8% 44.5% -12.8 10
2004-06-09 Bodo Glimt W 3-0 1715 1635 54.3% 26.6% 19.1% +9.7 19
2004-06-09 @ Rosenborg L 0-3 1635 1715 19.1% 26.6% 54.3% -9.7 11
2004-06-13 Fredrikstad W 4-2 1675 1587 55.1% 26.2% 18.6% +5.0 19
2004-06-13 @ Brann L 2-4 1587 1675 18.6% 26.2% 55.1% -5.1 8
2004-06-13 Lillestrom L 0-4 1625 1676 36.4% 30.8% 32.8% -21.7 11
2004-06-13 @ Bodo Glimt W 4-0 1676 1625 32.8% 30.8% 36.4% +21.7 16
2004-06-13 Molde W 5-1 1646 1656 42.3% 30.2% 27.5% +14.7 19
2004-06-13 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-5 1656 1646 27.5% 30.2% 42.3% -14.8 11
2004-06-13 Odd Grenland W 2-0 1680 1680 43.5% 30.0% 26.5% +9.0 22
2004-06-13 @ Tromso L 0-2 1680 1680 26.5% 30.0% 43.5% -9.0 16
2004-06-13 Valerenga W 2-1 1618 1666 36.8% 30.8% 32.3% +5.3 10
2004-06-13 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1666 1618 32.3% 30.8% 36.8% -5.3 17
2004-06-13 Viking W 2-0 1661 1667 42.7% 30.1% 27.2% +9.2 18
2004-06-13 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1667 1661 27.2% 30.1% 42.7% -9.2 12
2004-06-14 Rosenborg D 1-1 1644 1725 32.1% 30.8% 37.1% +0.2 11
2004-06-14 @ Stabaek D 1-1 1725 1644 37.1% 30.8% 32.1% -0.2 20
2004-06-20 Fredrikstad W 3-2 1689 1582 57.6% 25.1% 17.3% +2.8 25
2004-06-20 @ Tromso L 2-3 1582 1689 17.3% 25.1% 57.6% -2.8 8
2004-06-20 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1661 1661 43.6% 30.0% 26.4% +9.0 20
2004-06-20 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1661 1661 26.4% 30.0% 43.6% -9.0 19
2004-06-20 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1698 1670 47.4% 29.1% 23.5% -0.8 17
2004-06-20 @ Lillestrom D 1-1 1670 1698 23.5% 29.1% 47.4% +0.8 19
2004-06-20 Sogndal D 4-4 1671 1624 50.0% 28.2% 21.7% -0.5 17
2004-06-20 @ Odd Grenland D 4-4 1624 1671 21.7% 28.2% 50.0% +0.5 11
2004-06-20 Stabaek W 3-0 1641 1644 43.1% 30.1% 26.8% +13.3 14
2004-06-20 @ Molde L 0-3 1644 1641 26.8% 30.1% 43.1% -13.3 11
2004-06-21 Brann W 4-2 1658 1680 40.5% 30.5% 29.0% +7.5 15
2004-06-21 @ Viking L 2-4 1680 1658 29.0% 30.5% 40.5% -7.5 19
2004-06-27 Lillestrom L 1-5 1672 1697 40.1% 30.5% 29.3% -19.4 19
2004-06-27 @ Brann W 5-1 1697 1672 29.3% 30.5% 40.1% +19.4 20
2004-06-27 Molde D 0-0 1604 1654 36.4% 30.8% 32.7% -0.1 12
2004-06-27 @ Bodo Glimt D 0-0 1654 1604 32.7% 30.8% 36.4% +0.1 15
2004-06-27 Odd Grenland L 2-4 1652 1671 40.9% 30.4% 28.6% -9.6 19
2004-06-27 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-2 1671 1652 28.6% 30.4% 40.9% +9.6 20
2004-06-27 Tromso W 2-1 1624 1692 34.0% 30.9% 35.2% +5.6 14
2004-06-27 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1692 1624 35.2% 30.9% 34.0% -5.6 25
2004-06-27 Valerenga W 2-0 1631 1670 38.1% 30.7% 31.2% +10.3 14
2004-06-27 @ Stabaek L 0-2 1670 1631 31.2% 30.7% 38.1% -10.2 20
2004-06-27 Viking D 0-0 1579 1666 31.5% 30.8% 37.8% +0.2 9
2004-06-27 @ Fredrikstad D 0-0 1666 1579 37.8% 30.8% 31.5% -0.2 16
2004-06-28 Rosenborg L 0-2 1671 1725 35.9% 30.9% 33.2% -11.3 19
2004-06-28 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-0 1725 1671 33.2% 30.9% 35.9% +11.3 23
2004-07-04 Lillestrom L 1-4 1580 1717 25.4% 29.7% 44.9% -10.7 9
2004-07-04 @ Fredrikstad W 4-1 1717 1580 44.9% 29.7% 25.4% +10.7 23
2004-07-04 Molde L 1-2 1659 1654 44.3% 29.8% 25.9% -6.6 19
2004-07-04 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1654 1659 25.9% 29.8% 44.3% +6.6 18
2004-07-04 Odd Grenland D 0-0 1641 1680 38.1% 30.7% 31.2% -0.2 15
2004-07-04 @ Stabaek D 0-0 1680 1641 31.2% 30.7% 38.1% +0.2 21
2004-07-04 Sogndal W 3-2 1642 1630 45.3% 29.6% 25.1% +4.1 22
2004-07-04 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-3 1630 1642 25.1% 29.6% 45.3% -4.1 14
2004-07-04 Tromso L 1-2 1665 1686 40.6% 30.5% 28.9% -6.2 16
2004-07-04 @ Viking W 2-1 1686 1665 28.9% 30.5% 40.6% +6.2 28
2004-07-04 Valerenga L 1-2 1603 1660 35.6% 30.9% 33.5% -5.6 12
2004-07-04 @ Bodo Glimt W 2-1 1660 1603 33.5% 30.9% 35.6% +5.6 23
2004-07-05 Rosenborg L 3-4 1653 1736 31.8% 30.8% 37.4% -4.8 19
2004-07-05 @ Brann W 4-3 1736 1653 37.4% 30.8% 31.8% +4.8 26
2004-07-25 Bodo Glimt L 3-5 1681 1598 54.6% 26.5% 18.9% -11.3 21
2004-07-25 @ Odd Grenland W 5-3 1598 1681 18.9% 26.5% 54.6% +11.3 15
2004-07-25 Brann L 2-3 1661 1648 45.3% 29.6% 25.1% -6.4 18
2004-07-25 @ Molde W 3-2 1648 1661 25.1% 29.6% 45.3% +6.4 22
2004-07-25 Fredrikstad W 3-1 1741 1569 65.3% 21.1% 13.6% +3.9 29
2004-07-25 @ Rosenborg L 1-3 1569 1741 13.6% 21.1% 65.3% -3.9 9
2004-07-25 Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1693 1646 49.9% 28.3% 21.9% -21.0 28
2004-07-25 @ Tromso W 3-0 1646 1693 21.9% 28.3% 49.9% +21.0 25
2004-07-25 Stabaek L 1-2 1626 1641 41.4% 30.4% 28.2% -6.3 14
2004-07-25 @ Sogndal W 2-1 1641 1626 28.2% 30.4% 41.4% +6.3 18
2004-07-25 Viking W 5-1 1727 1659 52.7% 27.3% 20.0% +11.1 26
2004-07-25 @ Lillestrom L 1-5 1659 1727 20.0% 27.3% 52.7% -11.1 16
2004-07-26 Lyn Oslo L 1-2 1665 1653 45.3% 29.6% 25.1% -6.7 23
2004-07-26 @ Valerenga W 2-1 1653 1665 25.1% 29.6% 45.3% +6.7 22
2004-08-01 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1647 1667 40.8% 30.4% 28.8% -0.4 19
2004-08-01 @ Stabaek D 1-1 1667 1647 28.8% 30.4% 40.8% +0.4 26
2004-08-01 Molde W 2-1 1565 1654 31.0% 30.7% 38.2% +5.9 12
2004-08-01 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1654 1565 38.2% 30.7% 31.0% -5.9 18
2004-08-01 Odd Grenland D 2-2 1660 1669 42.2% 30.2% 27.6% -0.3 23
2004-08-01 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1669 1660 27.6% 30.2% 42.2% +0.3 22
2004-08-01 Rosenborg D 1-1 1648 1745 30.0% 30.6% 39.3% +0.3 17
2004-08-01 @ Viking D 1-1 1745 1648 39.3% 30.6% 30.0% -0.3 30
2004-08-01 Sogndal W 3-1 1609 1619 42.2% 30.2% 27.6% +8.1 18
2004-08-01 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-3 1619 1609 27.6% 30.2% 42.2% -8.1 14
2004-08-01 Tromso D 2-2 1738 1672 52.5% 27.3% 20.2% -0.8 27
2004-08-01 @ Lillestrom D 2-2 1672 1738 20.2% 27.3% 52.5% +0.8 29
2004-08-02 Valerenga D 1-1 1654 1659 43.0% 30.1% 26.9% -0.5 23
2004-08-02 @ Brann D 1-1 1659 1654 26.9% 30.1% 43.0% +0.5 24
2004-08-08 Bodo Glimt L 0-2 1668 1617 50.4% 28.1% 21.5% -14.5 26
2004-08-08 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1617 1668 21.5% 28.1% 50.4% +14.5 21
2004-08-08 Brann L 0-2 1670 1654 45.8% 29.5% 24.8% -13.5 22
2004-08-08 @ Odd Grenland W 2-0 1654 1670 24.8% 29.5% 45.8% +13.5 26
2004-08-08 Fredrikstad W 3-0 1659 1571 55.2% 26.2% 18.6% +9.4 27
2004-08-08 @ Valerenga L 0-3 1571 1659 18.6% 26.2% 55.2% -9.5 12
2004-08-08 Lillestrom W 4-1 1745 1738 44.6% 29.8% 25.7% +10.8 33
2004-08-08 @ Rosenborg L 1-4 1738 1745 25.7% 29.8% 44.6% -10.8 27
2004-08-08 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1611 1659 36.8% 30.8% 32.4% -0.1 15
2004-08-08 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1659 1611 32.4% 30.8% 36.8% +0.1 24
2004-08-08 Stabaek W 2-1 1673 1647 47.1% 29.1% 23.8% +4.1 32
2004-08-08 @ Tromso L 1-2 1647 1673 23.8% 29.1% 47.1% -4.1 19
2004-08-09 Viking D 1-1 1648 1648 43.6% 30.0% 26.4% -0.5 19
2004-08-09 @ Molde D 1-1 1648 1648 26.4% 30.0% 43.6% +0.5 18
2004-08-21 Tromso W 3-0 1756 1677 54.1% 26.7% 19.2% +9.8 36
2004-08-21 @ Rosenborg L 0-3 1677 1756 19.2% 26.7% 54.1% -9.8 32
2004-08-22 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1659 1653 44.4% 29.8% 25.8% -0.6 25
2004-08-22 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1653 1659 25.8% 29.8% 44.4% +0.6 27
2004-08-22 Odd Grenland W 3-0 1562 1656 30.3% 30.7% 39.0% +17.5 15
2004-08-22 @ Fredrikstad L 0-3 1656 1562 39.0% 30.7% 30.3% -17.5 22
2004-08-22 Sogndal W 2-1 1668 1611 51.2% 27.8% 21.0% +3.7 29
2004-08-22 @ Brann L 1-2 1611 1668 21.0% 27.8% 51.2% -3.7 15
2004-08-22 Stabaek W 3-1 1632 1643 42.0% 30.3% 27.7% +8.1 24
2004-08-22 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-3 1643 1632 27.7% 30.3% 42.0% -8.1 19
2004-08-22 Valerenga D 1-1 1649 1669 40.8% 30.4% 28.7% -0.4 19
2004-08-22 @ Viking D 1-1 1669 1649 28.7% 30.4% 40.8% +0.4 28
2004-08-23 Molde D 1-1 1727 1648 54.1% 26.7% 19.2% -1.2 28
2004-08-23 @ Lillestrom D 1-1 1648 1727 19.2% 26.7% 54.1% +1.2 20
2004-08-29 Brann W 2-1 1654 1671 41.1% 30.4% 28.4% +4.8 30
2004-08-29 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1671 1654 28.4% 30.4% 41.1% -4.8 29
2004-08-29 Fredrikstad L 2-4 1607 1579 47.4% 29.0% 23.5% -10.8 15
2004-08-29 @ Sogndal W 4-2 1579 1607 23.5% 29.0% 47.4% +10.8 18
2004-08-29 Lillestrom W 2-0 1669 1726 35.6% 30.9% 33.6% +10.8 31
2004-08-29 @ Valerenga L 0-2 1726 1669 33.6% 30.9% 35.6% -10.8 28
2004-08-29 Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1635 1659 40.2% 30.5% 29.3% -6.5 19
2004-08-29 @ Stabaek W 1-0 1659 1635 29.3% 30.5% 40.2% +6.5 28
2004-08-29 Rosenborg L 1-3 1649 1765 27.7% 30.3% 42.0% -8.1 20
2004-08-29 @ Molde W 3-1 1765 1649 42.0% 30.3% 27.7% +8.1 39
2004-08-29 Viking W 1-0 1639 1648 42.2% 30.2% 27.5% +5.0 25
2004-08-29 @ Odd Grenland L 0-1 1648 1639 27.5% 30.2% 42.2% -5.0 19
2004-08-30 Bodo Glimt W 2-0 1667 1640 47.3% 29.1% 23.6% +8.2 35
2004-08-30 @ Tromso L 0-2 1640 1667 23.6% 29.1% 47.3% -8.2 24
2004-09-11 Valerenga L 1-4 1774 1680 56.0% 25.9% 18.1% -19.3 39
2004-09-11 @ Rosenborg W 4-1 1680 1774 18.1% 25.9% 56.0% +19.3 34
2004-09-12 Bodo Glimt W 1-0 1665 1632 48.2% 28.8% 23.0% +4.2 31
2004-09-12 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1632 1665 23.0% 28.8% 48.2% -4.3 24
2004-09-12 Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1590 1658 33.9% 30.9% 35.3% +5.6 21
2004-09-12 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1658 1590 35.3% 30.9% 33.9% -5.6 30
2004-09-12 Odd Grenland L 0-4 1715 1644 53.1% 27.1% 19.8% -28.7 28
2004-09-12 @ Lillestrom W 4-0 1644 1715 19.8% 27.1% 53.1% +28.7 28
2004-09-12 Sogndal W 4-2 1644 1597 49.9% 28.3% 21.8% +5.9 22
2004-09-12 @ Viking L 2-4 1597 1644 21.8% 28.3% 49.9% -5.9 15
2004-09-12 Tromso D 1-1 1641 1675 38.8% 30.7% 30.5% -0.3 21
2004-09-12 @ Molde D 1-1 1675 1641 30.5% 30.7% 38.8% +0.3 36
2004-09-13 Stabaek L 1-2 1666 1628 48.8% 28.6% 22.6% -7.1 29
2004-09-13 @ Brann W 2-1 1628 1666 22.6% 28.6% 48.8% +7.1 22
2004-09-18 Viking L 1-2 1653 1649 44.1% 29.9% 26.1% -6.6 30
2004-09-18 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1649 1653 26.1% 29.9% 44.1% +6.6 25
2004-09-19 Brann D 1-1 1627 1659 39.1% 30.6% 30.2% -0.3 25
2004-09-19 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1659 1627 30.2% 30.6% 39.1% +0.3 30
2004-09-19 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1635 1595 49.0% 28.6% 22.4% -0.9 23
2004-09-19 @ Stabaek D 1-1 1595 1635 22.4% 28.6% 49.0% +0.9 22
2004-09-19 Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1675 1670 44.4% 29.8% 25.8% -7.0 36
2004-09-19 @ Tromso W 1-0 1670 1675 25.8% 29.8% 44.4% +7.0 34
2004-09-19 Molde W 4-1 1699 1641 51.4% 27.8% 20.8% +9.0 37
2004-09-19 @ Valerenga L 1-4 1641 1699 20.8% 27.8% 51.4% -9.0 21
2004-09-19 Rosenborg W 3-0 1672 1754 32.0% 30.8% 37.2% +16.9 31
2004-09-19 @ Odd Grenland L 0-3 1754 1672 37.2% 30.8% 32.0% -16.9 39
2004-09-20 Lillestrom L 0-4 1591 1686 30.2% 30.6% 39.1% -19.0 15
2004-09-20 @ Sogndal W 4-0 1686 1591 39.1% 30.6% 30.2% +19.0 31
2004-09-25 Sogndal W 3-1 1737 1572 64.6% 21.5% 13.9% +4.0 42
2004-09-25 @ Rosenborg L 1-3 1572 1737 13.9% 21.5% 64.6% -4.0 15
2004-09-26 Bodo Glimt W 1-0 1596 1627 39.3% 30.6% 30.1% +5.3 25
2004-09-26 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1627 1596 30.1% 30.6% 39.3% -5.3 25
2004-09-26 Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1705 1646 51.5% 27.7% 20.8% -7.8 31
2004-09-26 @ Lillestrom W 1-0 1646 1705 20.8% 27.7% 51.5% +7.8 33
2004-09-26 Lyn Oslo W 5-1 1660 1677 41.2% 30.4% 28.4% +15.1 33
2004-09-26 @ Brann L 1-5 1677 1660 28.4% 30.4% 41.2% -15.1 34
2004-09-26 Odd Grenland W 2-1 1632 1689 35.4% 30.9% 33.7% +5.4 24
2004-09-26 @ Molde L 1-2 1689 1632 33.7% 30.9% 35.4% -5.4 31
2004-09-26 Stabaek W 1-0 1656 1634 46.6% 29.3% 24.1% +4.5 28
2004-09-26 @ Viking L 0-1 1634 1656 24.1% 29.3% 46.6% -4.4 23
2004-09-27 Tromso D 1-1 1708 1668 49.0% 28.6% 22.4% -0.9 38
2004-09-27 @ Valerenga D 1-1 1668 1708 22.4% 28.6% 49.0% +0.9 37
2004-10-03 Brann L 0-1 1669 1675 42.8% 30.1% 27.1% -6.8 37
2004-10-03 @ Tromso W 1-0 1675 1669 27.1% 30.1% 42.8% +6.8 36
2004-10-03 Fredrikstad D 2-2 1661 1602 51.6% 27.7% 20.7% -0.8 35
2004-10-03 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1602 1661 20.7% 27.7% 51.6% +0.8 26
2004-10-03 Molde W 2-1 1568 1637 33.7% 30.9% 35.4% +5.6 18
2004-10-03 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1637 1568 35.4% 30.9% 33.7% -5.6 24
2004-10-03 Rosenborg W 2-0 1654 1741 31.3% 30.8% 38.0% +11.8 36
2004-10-03 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-2 1741 1654 38.0% 30.8% 31.3% -11.8 42
2004-10-03 Valerenga L 2-4 1684 1707 40.3% 30.5% 29.1% -9.5 31
2004-10-03 @ Odd Grenland W 4-2 1707 1684 29.1% 30.5% 40.3% +9.5 41
2004-10-03 Viking D 2-2 1622 1660 38.1% 30.7% 31.1% -0.2 26
2004-10-03 @ Bodo Glimt D 2-2 1660 1622 31.1% 30.7% 38.1% +0.2 29
2004-10-04 Lillestrom D 1-1 1630 1697 34.0% 30.9% 35.1% +0.0 24
2004-10-04 @ Stabaek D 1-1 1697 1630 35.1% 30.9% 34.0% -0.0 32
2004-10-16 Stabaek L 1-2 1730 1630 56.7% 25.6% 17.8% -7.9 42
2004-10-16 @ Rosenborg W 2-1 1630 1730 17.8% 25.6% 56.7% +7.9 27
2004-10-17 Bodo Glimt D 0-0 1697 1622 53.7% 26.9% 19.5% -1.3 33
2004-10-17 @ Lillestrom D 0-0 1622 1697 19.5% 26.9% 53.7% +1.3 27
2004-10-17 Brann W 3-2 1602 1682 32.4% 30.8% 36.8% +5.5 29
2004-10-17 @ Fredrikstad L 2-3 1682 1602 36.8% 30.8% 32.4% -5.5 36
2004-10-17 Hamarkameratene D 0-0 1632 1666 38.8% 30.7% 30.6% -0.3 25
2004-10-17 @ Molde D 0-0 1666 1632 30.6% 30.7% 38.8% +0.3 37
2004-10-17 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1661 1661 43.6% 30.0% 26.4% -0.6 30
2004-10-17 @ Viking D 0-0 1661 1661 26.4% 30.0% 43.6% +0.6 36
2004-10-17 Sogndal D 0-0 1717 1573 62.0% 22.9% 15.1% -1.8 42
2004-10-17 @ Valerenga D 0-0 1573 1717 15.1% 22.9% 62.0% +1.8 19
2004-10-18 Tromso W 3-1 1674 1662 45.2% 29.6% 25.1% +7.5 34
2004-10-18 @ Odd Grenland L 1-3 1662 1674 25.1% 29.6% 45.2% -7.5 37
2004-10-24 Lillestrom D 1-1 1661 1696 38.7% 30.7% 30.6% -0.2 37
2004-10-24 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1696 1661 30.6% 30.7% 38.7% +0.2 34
2004-10-24 Molde L 1-3 1638 1631 44.5% 29.8% 25.7% -11.5 27
2004-10-24 @ Stabaek W 3-1 1631 1638 25.7% 29.8% 44.5% +11.5 28
2004-10-24 Odd Grenland W 4-2 1575 1682 28.8% 30.5% 40.7% +9.6 22
2004-10-24 @ Sogndal L 2-4 1682 1575 40.7% 30.5% 28.8% -9.6 34
2004-10-24 Rosenborg L 0-1 1623 1722 29.8% 30.6% 39.6% -5.3 27
2004-10-24 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-0 1722 1623 39.6% 30.6% 29.8% +5.3 45
2004-10-24 Tromso W 1-0 1608 1655 37.0% 30.8% 32.2% +5.6 32
2004-10-24 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1655 1608 32.2% 30.8% 37.0% -5.6 37
2004-10-24 Valerenga L 0-1 1666 1715 36.7% 30.8% 32.5% -6.1 37
2004-10-24 @ Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1715 1666 32.5% 30.8% 36.7% +6.1 45
2004-10-24 Viking W 1-0 1676 1660 45.8% 29.5% 24.7% +4.5 39
2004-10-24 @ Brann L 0-1 1660 1676 24.7% 29.5% 45.8% -4.5 30
2004-10-30 Bodo Glimt W 3-0 1643 1618 47.0% 29.2% 23.8% +12.0 31
2004-10-30 @ Molde L 0-3 1618 1643 23.8% 29.2% 47.0% -12.0 27
2004-10-30 Brann D 2-2 1696 1681 45.7% 29.5% 24.8% -0.5 35
2004-10-30 @ Lillestrom D 2-2 1681 1696 24.8% 29.5% 45.7% +0.5 40
2004-10-30 Fredrikstad W 5-2 1655 1613 49.3% 28.5% 22.2% +8.2 33
2004-10-30 @ Viking L 2-5 1613 1655 22.2% 28.5% 49.3% -8.2 32
2004-10-30 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1672 1660 45.2% 29.6% 25.1% -0.5 35
2004-10-30 @ Odd Grenland D 2-2 1660 1672 25.1% 29.6% 45.2% +0.5 38
2004-10-30 Lyn Oslo W 4-1 1727 1661 52.4% 27.4% 20.2% +8.7 48
2004-10-30 @ Rosenborg L 1-4 1661 1727 20.2% 27.4% 52.4% -8.7 37
2004-10-30 Sogndal W 3-1 1649 1585 52.2% 27.4% 20.3% +6.2 40
2004-10-30 @ Tromso L 1-3 1585 1649 20.3% 27.4% 52.2% -6.2 22
2004-10-30 Stabaek W 3-0 1721 1626 56.0% 25.9% 18.1% +9.2 48
2004-10-30 @ Valerenga L 0-3 1626 1721 18.1% 25.9% 56.0% -9.2 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-10-16 17.75% Stabaek 1630 2 @ Rosenborg 1730 1
2 2004-09-11 18.15% Valerenga 1680 4 @ Rosenborg 1774 1
3 2004-07-25 18.92% Bodo Glimt 1598 5 @ Odd Grenland 1681 3
4 2004-05-31 18.93% Fredrikstad 1574 3 @ Bodo Glimt 1657 0
5 2004-09-12 19.81% Odd Grenland 1644 4 @ Lillestrom 1715 0
6 2004-04-25 20.19% Fredrikstad 1587 1 @ Molde 1653 0
7 2004-09-26 20.79% Hamarkameratene 1646 1 @ Lillestrom 1705 0
8 2004-05-16 21.01% Molde 1646 2 @ Rosenborg 1702 0
9 2004-08-08 21.49% Bodo Glimt 1617 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1668 0
10 2004-07-25 21.85% Hamarkameratene 1646 3 @ Tromso 1693 0
11 2004-09-13 22.57% Stabaek 1628 2 @ Brann 1666 1
12 2004-08-29 23.50% Fredrikstad 1579 4 @ Sogndal 1607 2
13 2004-05-09 23.68% Bodo Glimt 1646 5 @ Stabaek 1672 2
14 2004-05-02 24.65% Tromso 1662 2 @ Stabaek 1679 1
15 2004-08-08 24.76% Brann 1654 2 @ Odd Grenland 1670 0
16 2004-07-25 25.08% Brann 1648 3 @ Molde 1661 2
17 2004-05-02 25.09% Hamarkameratene 1647 2 @ Bodo Glimt 1659 0
18 2004-07-26 25.10% Lyn Oslo 1653 2 @ Valerenga 1665 1
19 2004-05-23 25.39% Hamarkameratene 1659 1 @ Viking 1668 0
20 2004-05-16 25.68% Valerenga 1663 1 @ Lillestrom 1670 0
21 2004-10-24 25.73% Molde 1631 3 @ Stabaek 1638 1
22 2004-09-19 25.80% Lyn Oslo 1670 1 @ Tromso 1675 0
23 2004-07-04 25.86% Molde 1654 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1659 1
24 2004-09-18 26.06% Viking 1649 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1653 1
25 2004-05-31 26.14% Viking 1661 1 @ Stabaek 1664 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-09-12 28.69 Odd Grenland 4 1644 19.81% @ Lillestrom 0 1715 53.07% 27.12%
2 2004-05-31 22.42 Fredrikstad 3 1574 18.93% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1657 54.57% 26.50%
3 2004-06-13 21.71 Lillestrom 4 1676 32.78% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1625 36.38% 30.84%
4 2004-07-25 20.95 Hamarkameratene 3 1646 21.85% @ Tromso 0 1693 49.85% 28.30%
5 2004-06-27 19.40 Lillestrom 5 1697 29.35% @ Brann 1 1672 40.11% 30.54%
6 2004-04-12 19.35 @ Tromso 4 1637 38.36% Viking 0 1675 30.92% 30.72%
7 2004-09-11 19.26 Valerenga 4 1680 18.15% @ Rosenborg 1 1774 55.95% 25.89%
8 2004-09-20 19.04 Lillestrom 4 1686 39.10% @ Sogndal 0 1591 30.24% 30.65%
9 2004-06-06 18.91 @ Rosenborg 5 1697 47.88% Hamarkameratene 0 1665 23.20% 28.92%
10 2004-08-22 17.46 @ Fredrikstad 3 1562 30.34% Odd Grenland 0 1656 39.00% 30.66%
11 2004-09-19 16.87 @ Odd Grenland 3 1672 32.03% Rosenborg 0 1754 37.17% 30.80%
12 2004-09-26 15.12 @ Brann 5 1660 41.22% Lyn Oslo 1 1677 28.39% 30.39%
13 2004-06-13 14.75 @ Hamarkameratene 5 1646 42.28% Molde 1 1656 27.50% 30.22%
14 2004-05-16 14.70 Molde 2 1646 21.01% @ Rosenborg 0 1702 51.14% 27.85%
15 2004-05-09 14.69 Bodo Glimt 5 1646 23.68% @ Stabaek 2 1672 47.21% 29.11%
16 2004-08-08 14.54 Bodo Glimt 2 1617 21.49% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1668 50.39% 28.11%
17 2004-04-18 13.87 @ Brann 3 1651 41.30% Molde 0 1667 28.32% 30.38%
18 2004-08-08 13.52 Brann 2 1654 24.76% @ Odd Grenland 0 1670 45.75% 29.50%
19 2004-05-02 13.43 Hamarkameratene 2 1647 25.09% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1659 45.31% 29.60%
20 2004-06-20 13.28 @ Molde 3 1641 43.11% Stabaek 0 1644 26.82% 30.07%
21 2004-04-18 12.83 Odd Grenland 2 1673 27.22% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1666 42.62% 30.16%
22 2004-06-07 12.83 @ Lillestrom 3 1663 44.49% Stabaek 0 1657 25.72% 29.79%
23 2004-05-10 12.82 @ Tromso 4 1669 37.18% Rosenborg 1 1715 32.02% 30.80%
24 2004-05-20 12.36 Viking 2 1656 28.99% @ Sogndal 0 1634 40.53% 30.49%
25 2004-10-30 12.02 @ Molde 3 1643 47.02% Bodo Glimt 0 1618 23.82% 29.16%