2004 Tippeligaen Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

48 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Valerenga

11.25 points above expected

48 points · 36.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sogndal

9.64 points below expected

22 points · 31.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	26	14	6	6	48	52	34	+18	41.8	+6.20
2	Valerenga	26	13	9	4	48	40	22	+18	36.8	+11.25
3	Brann	26	12	4	10	40	46	40	+6	35.5	+4.54
4	Tromso	26	12	4	10	40	38	32	+6	35.8	+4.19
5	Hamarkameratene	26	10	8	8	38	34	33	+1	34.7	+3.27
6	Lyn Oslo	26	9	10	7	37	30	31	-1	34.7	+2.33
7	Lillestrom	26	8	11	7	35	45	33	+12	38.4	-3.44
8	Odd Grenland	26	9	8	9	35	47	44	+3	36.9	-1.92
9	Viking	26	7	12	7	33	31	33	-2	35.3	-2.29
10	Fredrikstad	26	9	5	12	32	42	54	-12	28.1	+3.95
11	Molde	26	7	10	9	31	34	37	-3	34.7	-3.72
12	Bodo Glimt	26	7	6	13	27	28	41	-13	33.4	-6.43
13	Stabaek	26	7	6	13	27	25	40	-15	34.4	-7.38
14	Sogndal	26	5	7	14	22	39	57	-18	31.6	-9.64

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1729	48	41.80	+6.20	85.0%	19	31	37	42	46	52	72
Valerenga	1717	48	36.75	+11.25	96.4%	13	26	32	37	41	47	61
Lillestrom	1693	35	38.44	-3.44	32.5%	12	28	34	38	43	49	63
Brann	1677	40	35.46	+4.54	78.7%	13	25	31	35	40	46	61
Odd Grenland	1671	35	36.92	-1.92	41.4%	14	27	33	37	41	47	62
Viking	1664	33	35.29	-2.29	39.2%	14	25	31	35	40	46	58
Hamarkameratene	1659	38	34.73	+3.27	72.9%	10	25	30	35	39	45	58
Tromso	1657	40	35.81	+4.19	77.2%	11	26	32	36	40	46	59
Molde	1655	31	34.72	-3.72	30.8%	13	24	30	35	39	45	60
Lyn Oslo	1652	37	34.67	+2.33	67.7%	12	24	30	34	39	45	58
Stabaek	1626	27	34.38	-7.38	13.7%	12	24	30	34	39	45	58
Bodo Glimt	1616	27	33.43	-6.43	17.3%	12	23	29	33	38	44	57
Fredrikstad	1603	32	28.05	+3.95	76.4%	8	18	24	28	32	39	51
Sogndal	1591	22	31.64	-9.64	7.0%	8	22	27	31	36	42	54

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	BRA	FRE	HAM	LIL	LO	MOL	OG	ROS	SOG	STA	TRO	VAL	VIK
Bodo Glimt	—	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.12	2-0-0 2.71	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.57	0-2-0 2.47
Brann	1-1-0 2.75	—	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.55	2-0-0 2.67	2-0-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.56	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.98	0-0-2 2.84	2-0-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.80
Fredrikstad	2-0-0 2.30	1-0-1 2.13	—	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.00	0-1-1 2.28	2-0-0 2.14	1-0-1 2.06	0-0-2 1.83	1-1-0 2.39	0-1-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 2.20
Hamarkameratene	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 3.21	—	1-1-0 2.53	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.26	1-1-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.54	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.66
Lillestrom	1-1-0 3.10	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.44	0-1-1 2.90	—	0-2-0 2.92	0-2-0 3.02	0-0-2 2.85	0-1-1 2.49	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.97	0-0-2 2.90	1-1-0 2.94
Lyn Oslo	1-1-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.71	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.68	0-2-0 2.48	—	0-0-2 2.67	0-2-0 2.52	0-0-2 2.29	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.69	2-0-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.58	1-1-0 2.65
Molde	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 3.29	0-1-1 2.62	0-2-0 2.42	2-0-0 2.73	—	1-1-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.13	0-1-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.65	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.50	0-2-0 2.66
Odd Grenland	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 2.81	2-0-0 2.61	0-2-0 2.90	0-1-1 2.98	—	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 3.21	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.77
Rosenborg	2-0-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.71	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 2.89	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.96	—	1-1-0 3.52	0-1-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 3.09	0-2-0 3.23
Sogndal	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.35	1-1-0 2.19	0-1-1 2.00	—	0-0-2 2.56	1-0-1 2.29	1-1-0 2.19	0-0-2 2.48
Stabaek	0-0-2 2.82	2-0-0 2.57	1-1-0 3.15	0-2-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.15	2-0-0 2.84	—	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.65
Tromso	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-2 2.72	1-0-1 3.27	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.47	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.72	—	1-1-0 2.61	2-0-0 2.62
Valerenga	2-0-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.69	1-1-0 3.28	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.81	1-1-0 2.92	2-0-0 2.67	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 2.81	—	0-2-0 2.76
Viking	0-2-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.74	0-2-0 2.74	0-1-1 2.60	0-2-0 2.19	2-0-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.75	0-2-0 2.62	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.59%	6.59%	6.59%	3.30%	1.10%	0.27%	24.45%
1	6.59%	14.84%	6.59%	3.02%	1.65%	1.10%	33.79%
2	6.59%	6.59%	6.04%	1.65%	2.20%	0.82%	23.90%
3	3.30%	3.02%	1.65%	1.10%	0.27%	0.27%	9.62%
4	1.10%	1.65%	2.20%	0.27%	0.55%	—	5.77%
5+	0.27%	1.10%	0.82%	0.27%	—	—	2.47%
Total	24.45%	33.79%	23.90%	9.62%	5.77%	2.47%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.024
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	53.85%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.044
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
1	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	11.54%	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.087
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	30.77%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Hamarkameratene — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.082
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	23.08%	—	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	46.15%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.255
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	19.23%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	46.15%
2	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	30.77%	26.92%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.076
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	—	26.92%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	50.00%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	42.31%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.222
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	15.38%	38.46%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Odd Grenland — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.195
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	26.92%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.219
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	38.46%
2	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	30.77%	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	—	100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.248
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	38.46%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	46.15%	15.38%	19.23%	—	3.85%	100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.125
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	50.00%	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Tromso — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.367
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	19.23%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	46.15%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.31%	30.77%	26.92%	—	—	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	0.85
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.046
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	26.92%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.234
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valerenga	48	36.8	+11.25
2	Rosenborg	48	41.8	+6.20
3	Brann	40	35.5	+4.54
4	Tromso	40	35.8	+4.19
5	Fredrikstad	32	28.1	+3.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sogndal	22	31.6	-9.64
2	Stabaek	27	34.4	-7.38
3	Bodo Glimt	27	33.4	-6.43
4	Molde	31	34.7	-3.72
5	Lillestrom	35	38.4	-3.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bodo Glimt	4	Jul 25 – Aug 22	1 in 114
2	Fredrikstad	3	Aug 22 – Sep 12	1 in 43
3	Brann	4	May 23 – Jun 13	1 in 38
4	Odd Grenland	3	Aug 29 – Sep 19	1 in 33
5	Lyn Oslo	3	Aug 29 – Sep 19	1 in 30

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sogndal	5	Aug 22 – Sep 25	1 in 69
2	Stabaek	3	May 2 – May 16	1 in 40
3	Brann	3	Jun 21 – Jul 5	1 in 25
4	Tromso	3	Oct 3 – Oct 24	1 in 24
5	Lyn Oslo	2	Jun 28 – Jul 4	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	11	Aug 2 – Oct 30	1 in 89
2	Rosenborg	13	May 19 – Aug 29	1 in 81
3	Fredrikstad	8	Aug 22 – Oct 24	1 in 67
4	Lillestrom	9	May 23 – Aug 1	1 in 25
5	Lyn Oslo	7	Jul 26 – Sep 19	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bodo Glimt	8	May 20 – Jul 4	1 in 38
2	Sogndal	9	Jul 4 – Sep 25	1 in 29
3	Molde	7	Jul 25 – Sep 19	1 in 19
4	Viking	7	Jun 27 – Aug 29	1 in 16
5	Rosenborg	5	Apr 25 – May 19	1 in 12

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Rosenborg	29.78%	16.70%	11.96%	9.43%	7.79%	5.50%	4.61%	3.72%	3.13%	2.52%	1.81%	1.47%	1.12%	0.46%
Valerenga	9.50%	9.81%	9.04%	9.36%	8.56%	8.24%	7.89%	7.61%	6.39%	6.15%	5.67%	4.99%	4.25%	2.54%
Brann	5.43%	7.34%	8.09%	7.67%	8.34%	8.40%	8.00%	7.88%	7.95%	7.46%	6.88%	6.47%	5.73%	4.36%
Tromso	6.18%	7.73%	8.21%	8.13%	8.48%	8.16%	8.29%	8.06%	7.85%	6.84%	7.08%	5.85%	5.21%	3.93%
Hamarkameratene	4.52%	6.03%	6.72%	7.12%	7.42%	7.95%	7.79%	7.89%	8.18%	8.24%	8.15%	7.73%	6.93%	5.33%
Lyn Oslo	4.42%	5.89%	6.69%	6.47%	7.57%	7.14%	8.18%	7.83%	8.32%	8.44%	8.40%	7.94%	6.84%	5.87%
Lillestrom	13.50%	12.16%	10.66%	10.34%	9.06%	7.97%	7.19%	6.43%	5.83%	4.83%	4.19%	3.48%	2.67%	1.69%
Odd Grenland	8.45%	9.78%	9.37%	9.24%	8.22%	8.24%	8.00%	7.64%	6.95%	6.52%	5.79%	4.92%	4.23%	2.65%
Viking	5.39%	6.34%	7.20%	7.58%	7.72%	8.33%	8.12%	7.83%	7.99%	7.59%	7.34%	7.25%	6.38%	4.94%
Fredrikstad	0.45%	0.87%	1.35%	1.53%	2.21%	2.92%	3.44%	4.40%	5.48%	7.06%	8.61%	11.85%	17.49%	32.34%
Molde	4.26%	6.21%	6.65%	6.88%	7.23%	7.65%	7.73%	8.26%	8.22%	8.35%	7.92%	7.51%	7.21%	5.92%
Bodo Glimt	2.76%	3.94%	5.01%	5.42%	5.98%	6.78%	7.53%	7.62%	7.85%	8.79%	9.72%	9.92%	10.08%	8.60%
Stabaek	3.77%	4.97%	5.62%	7.21%	6.55%	7.16%	7.56%	7.83%	8.42%	8.65%	8.68%	8.64%	7.95%	6.99%
Sogndal	1.59%	2.23%	3.43%	3.62%	4.87%	5.56%	5.67%	7.00%	7.44%	8.56%	9.76%	11.98%	13.91%	14.38%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	97.0%	1.5%	1.6%
Lillestrom	92.2%	3.5%	4.4%
Valerenga	88.2%	5.0%	6.8%
Odd Grenland	88.2%	4.9%	6.9%
Tromso	85.0%	5.9%	9.1%
Brann	83.4%	6.5%	10.1%
Viking	81.4%	7.2%	11.3%
Hamarkameratene	80.0%	7.7%	12.3%
Lyn Oslo	79.3%	7.9%	12.7%
Molde	79.4%	7.5%	13.1%
Stabaek	76.4%	8.6%	14.9%
Bodo Glimt	71.4%	9.9%	18.7%
Sogndal	59.7%	12.0%	28.3%
Fredrikstad	38.3%	11.8%	49.8%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2004-04-12	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1666	1603	53.6%	24.7%	21.7%	+5.7	3
2004-04-12	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1603	1666	21.7%	24.7%	53.6%	-5.7	0
2004-04-12	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1658	1648	45.0%	29.7%	25.3%	+6.9	3
2004-04-12	@ Molde	L 0-2	1648	1658	25.3%	29.7%	45.0%	-6.9	0
2004-04-12	Stabaek	W 2-0	1663	1679	40.9%	31.4%	27.7%	+7.6	3
2004-04-12	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1679	1663	27.7%	31.4%	40.9%	-7.6	0
2004-04-12	Brann	W 1-0	1698	1656	50.2%	26.9%	23.0%	+3.3	3
2004-04-12	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1656	1698	23.0%	26.9%	50.2%	-3.3	0
2004-04-12	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1649	1648	43.6%	30.4%	26.1%	-0.5	1
2004-04-12	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1648	1649	26.1%	30.4%	43.6%	+0.5	1
2004-04-12	Viking	W 4-0	1642	1673	38.4%	32.1%	29.4%	+15.1	3
2004-04-12	@ Tromso	L 0-4	1673	1642	29.4%	32.1%	38.4%	-15.1	0
2004-04-13	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1654	1670	40.8%	31.5%	27.8%	+4.0	3
2004-04-13	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1670	1654	27.8%	31.5%	40.8%	-4.0	0
2004-04-18	Odd Grenland	L 0-2	1666	1671	42.6%	30.8%	26.6%	-10.3	0
2004-04-18	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1671	1666	26.6%	30.8%	42.6%	+10.3	6
2004-04-18	Molde	W 3-0	1653	1665	41.3%	31.3%	27.4%	+10.9	3
2004-04-18	@ Brann	L 0-3	1665	1653	27.4%	31.3%	41.3%	-10.9	3
2004-04-18	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1597	1701	28.5%	31.8%	39.6%	-7.8	0
2004-04-18	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1701	1597	39.6%	31.8%	28.5%	+7.8	6
2004-04-18	Tromso	D 1-1	1648	1657	41.9%	31.1%	27.0%	-0.4	2
2004-04-18	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1657	1648	27.0%	31.1%	41.9%	+0.4	4
2004-04-18	Sogndal	W 3-1	1671	1649	46.9%	28.7%	24.4%	+5.8	3
2004-04-18	@ Stabaek	L 1-3	1649	1671	24.4%	28.7%	46.9%	-5.8	1
2004-04-19	Valerenga	D 1-1	1641	1658	40.6%	31.5%	27.9%	-0.3	1
2004-04-19	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1658	1641	27.9%	31.5%	40.6%	+0.3	4
2004-04-25	Stabaek	D 0-0	1648	1677	38.8%	32.1%	29.1%	-0.3	3
2004-04-25	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1677	1648	29.1%	32.1%	38.8%	+0.3	4
2004-04-25	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1654	1590	53.9%	24.5%	21.6%	-6.3	3
2004-04-25	@ Molde	W 1-0	1590	1654	21.6%	24.5%	53.9%	+6.3	3
2004-04-25	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1681	1640	49.9%	27.0%	23.1%	-0.8	7
2004-04-25	@ Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1640	1681	23.1%	27.0%	49.9%	+0.8	2
2004-04-25	Viking	D 0-0	1709	1658	51.7%	25.9%	22.4%	-0.8	7
2004-04-25	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1658	1709	22.4%	25.9%	51.7%	+0.9	1
2004-04-25	Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1643	1656	41.3%	31.3%	27.4%	-5.0	1
2004-04-25	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1656	1643	27.4%	31.3%	41.3%	+5.0	3
2004-04-25	Lillestrom	W 1-0	1657	1672	41.1%	31.4%	27.6%	+4.0	7
2004-04-25	@ Tromso	L 0-1	1672	1657	27.6%	31.4%	41.1%	-4.0	3
2004-04-25	Brann	W 1-0	1658	1664	42.5%	30.8%	26.7%	+3.9	7
2004-04-25	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1664	1658	26.7%	30.8%	42.5%	-3.9	3
2004-05-01	Molde	D 1-1	1659	1648	45.1%	29.7%	25.2%	-0.5	2
2004-05-01	@ Viking	D 1-1	1648	1659	25.2%	29.7%	45.1%	+0.5	4
2004-05-02	Hamarkameratene	L 0-2	1661	1648	45.5%	29.5%	25.1%	-10.7	3
2004-05-02	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1648	1661	25.1%	29.5%	45.5%	+10.7	6
2004-05-02	Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1660	1680	40.1%	31.7%	28.2%	-0.3	4
2004-05-02	@ Brann	D 1-1	1680	1660	28.2%	31.7%	40.1%	+0.3	8
2004-05-02	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1668	1708	37.0%	32.5%	30.6%	-0.1	4
2004-05-02	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1708	1668	30.6%	32.5%	37.0%	+0.1	8
2004-05-02	Sogndal	W 2-0	1641	1638	43.8%	30.3%	25.9%	+7.1	5
2004-05-02	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1638	1641	25.9%	30.3%	43.8%	-7.1	1
2004-05-02	Tromso	L 1-2	1677	1661	45.9%	29.3%	24.9%	-5.4	4
2004-05-02	@ Stabaek	W 2-1	1661	1677	24.9%	29.3%	45.9%	+5.4	10
2004-05-03	Valerenga	D 2-2	1596	1662	33.2%	32.8%	34.0%	+0.0	4
2004-05-03	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1662	1596	34.0%	32.8%	33.2%	-0.0	8
2004-05-09	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1658	1648	44.9%	29.8%	25.3%	+3.7	9
2004-05-09	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1648	1658	25.3%	29.8%	44.9%	-3.7	5
2004-05-09	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1649	1667	40.3%	31.6%	28.1%	-0.2	5
2004-05-09	@ Molde	D 2-2	1667	1649	28.1%	31.6%	40.3%	+0.2	5
2004-05-09	Fredrikstad	W 5-2	1681	1596	57.2%	22.2%	20.6%	+5.6	11
2004-05-09	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-5	1596	1681	20.6%	22.2%	57.2%	-5.6	4
2004-05-09	Brann	W 3-1	1631	1659	38.9%	32.0%	29.1%	+6.8	4
2004-05-09	@ Sogndal	L 1-3	1659	1631	29.1%	32.0%	38.9%	-6.8	4
2004-05-09	Bodo Glimt	L 2-5	1672	1650	46.8%	28.8%	24.4%	-11.6	4
2004-05-09	@ Stabaek	W 5-2	1650	1672	24.4%	28.8%	46.8%	+11.6	6
2004-05-09	Viking	D 0-0	1662	1658	44.0%	30.2%	25.8%	-0.5	9
2004-05-09	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1658	1662	25.8%	30.2%	44.0%	+0.5	3
2004-05-10	Rosenborg	W 4-1	1667	1708	36.9%	32.5%	30.7%	+10.1	13
2004-05-10	@ Tromso	L 1-4	1708	1667	30.7%	32.5%	36.9%	-10.1	8
2004-05-12	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1659	1668	41.9%	31.1%	27.0%	-0.4	4
2004-05-12	@ Viking	D 1-1	1668	1659	27.0%	31.1%	41.9%	+0.4	6
2004-05-16	Tromso	W 2-1	1662	1677	41.0%	31.4%	27.6%	+3.8	9
2004-05-16	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1677	1662	27.6%	31.4%	41.0%	-3.8	13
2004-05-16	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1653	1662	41.8%	31.1%	27.1%	+7.4	7
2004-05-16	@ Brann	L 0-2	1662	1653	27.1%	31.1%	41.8%	-7.4	9
2004-05-16	Sogndal	D 3-3	1590	1638	36.0%	32.6%	31.4%	-0.1	5
2004-05-16	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1638	1590	31.4%	32.6%	36.0%	+0.1	5
2004-05-16	Valerenga	L 0-1	1668	1662	44.3%	30.0%	25.6%	-5.6	6
2004-05-16	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1662	1668	25.6%	30.0%	44.3%	+5.6	12
2004-05-16	Stabaek	W 2-0	1645	1660	40.9%	31.4%	27.7%	+7.6	8
2004-05-16	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1660	1645	27.7%	31.4%	40.9%	-7.6	4
2004-05-16	Molde	L 0-2	1698	1648	51.5%	26.0%	22.5%	-11.6	8
2004-05-16	@ Rosenborg	W 2-0	1648	1698	22.5%	26.0%	51.5%	+11.6	8
2004-05-16	Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1659	1686	39.0%	32.0%	29.0%	-0.2	5
2004-05-16	@ Viking	D 2-2	1686	1659	29.0%	32.0%	39.0%	+0.2	12
2004-05-19	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1667	1687	40.3%	31.6%	28.1%	-0.2	13
2004-05-19	@ Valerenga	D 2-2	1687	1667	28.1%	31.6%	40.3%	+0.2	9
2004-05-20	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1666	1652	45.5%	29.5%	25.1%	-0.6	10
2004-05-20	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1652	1666	25.1%	29.5%	45.5%	+0.6	9
2004-05-20	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1655	1590	53.8%	24.5%	21.6%	+2.7	12
2004-05-20	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-3	1590	1655	21.6%	24.5%	53.8%	-2.7	5
2004-05-20	Lillestrom	W 3-2	1686	1662	47.2%	28.6%	24.2%	+3.1	15
2004-05-20	@ Odd Grenland	L 2-3	1662	1686	24.2%	28.6%	47.2%	-3.1	6
2004-05-20	Viking	L 0-2	1638	1658	40.1%	31.7%	28.2%	-9.9	5
2004-05-20	@ Sogndal	W 2-0	1658	1638	28.2%	31.7%	40.1%	+9.9	8
2004-05-20	Brann	W 2-1	1653	1660	42.1%	31.0%	26.9%	+3.7	7
2004-05-20	@ Stabaek	L 1-2	1660	1653	26.9%	31.0%	42.1%	-3.7	7
2004-05-20	Molde	W 2-1	1673	1660	45.4%	29.5%	25.1%	+3.4	16
2004-05-20	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1660	1673	25.1%	29.5%	45.4%	-3.4	8
2004-05-23	Bodo Glimt	W 3-1	1656	1665	41.9%	31.0%	27.0%	+6.4	10
2004-05-23	@ Brann	L 1-3	1665	1656	27.0%	31.0%	41.9%	-6.4	10
2004-05-23	Stabaek	L 0-2	1588	1656	32.9%	32.7%	34.3%	-8.7	5
2004-05-23	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1656	1588	34.3%	32.7%	32.9%	+8.7	10
2004-05-23	Sogndal	W 1-0	1659	1628	48.4%	27.9%	23.7%	+3.4	9
2004-05-23	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1628	1659	23.7%	27.9%	48.4%	-3.4	5
2004-05-23	Tromso	W 2-1	1653	1676	39.6%	31.8%	28.5%	+3.9	12
2004-05-23	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1676	1653	28.5%	31.8%	39.6%	-3.9	16
2004-05-23	Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1687	1690	42.9%	30.6%	26.4%	+7.2	12
2004-05-23	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1690	1687	26.4%	30.6%	42.9%	-7.3	15
2004-05-23	Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1668	1657	45.1%	29.7%	25.2%	-5.6	8
2004-05-23	@ Viking	W 1-0	1657	1668	25.2%	29.7%	45.1%	+5.7	15
2004-05-24	Valerenga	D 1-1	1656	1667	41.6%	31.2%	27.2%	-0.4	9
2004-05-24	@ Molde	D 1-1	1667	1656	27.2%	31.2%	41.6%	+0.4	14
2004-05-31	Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1659	1579	56.4%	22.8%	20.8%	-17.7	10
2004-05-31	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1579	1659	20.8%	22.8%	56.4%	+17.7	8
2004-05-31	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1663	1663	43.3%	30.5%	26.2%	-0.4	16
2004-05-31	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1663	1663	26.2%	30.5%	43.3%	+0.4	10
2004-05-31	Brann	L 1-2	1657	1663	42.4%	30.9%	26.8%	-5.1	12
2004-05-31	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1663	1657	26.8%	30.9%	42.4%	+5.1	13
2004-05-31	Rosenborg	D 3-3	1625	1694	32.8%	32.7%	34.5%	+0.0	6
2004-05-31	@ Sogndal	D 3-3	1694	1625	34.5%	32.7%	32.8%	-0.0	13
2004-05-31	Viking	L 0-1	1665	1663	43.7%	30.3%	26.0%	-5.5	10
2004-05-31	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1663	1665	26.0%	30.3%	43.7%	+5.5	11
2004-05-31	Valerenga	W 2-0	1673	1668	44.1%	30.1%	25.8%	+7.1	19
2004-05-31	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1668	1673	25.8%	30.1%	44.1%	-7.1	14
2004-06-01	Molde	D 1-1	1682	1656	47.5%	28.4%	24.1%	-0.6	16
2004-06-01	@ Odd Grenland	D 1-1	1656	1682	24.1%	28.4%	47.5%	+0.6	10
2004-06-06	Tromso	W 1-0	1668	1680	41.5%	31.2%	27.3%	+4.0	16
2004-06-06	@ Brann	L 0-1	1680	1668	27.3%	31.2%	41.5%	-4.0	19
2004-06-06	Lyn Oslo	L 2-4	1597	1652	34.9%	32.7%	32.4%	-7.0	8
2004-06-06	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-2	1652	1597	32.4%	32.7%	34.9%	+7.0	15
2004-06-06	Sogndal	D 1-1	1657	1625	48.5%	27.9%	23.6%	-0.7	11
2004-06-06	@ Molde	D 1-1	1625	1657	23.6%	27.9%	48.5%	+0.6	7
2004-06-06	Hamarkameratene	W 5-0	1694	1662	48.5%	27.9%	23.7%	+15.0	16
2004-06-06	@ Rosenborg	L 0-5	1662	1694	23.7%	27.9%	48.5%	-15.0	16
2004-06-06	Odd Grenland	W 1-0	1660	1682	40.0%	31.7%	28.3%	+4.1	17
2004-06-06	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1682	1660	28.3%	31.7%	40.0%	-4.1	16
2004-06-06	Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1668	1641	47.7%	28.3%	24.0%	-0.6	12
2004-06-06	@ Viking	D 1-1	1641	1668	24.0%	28.3%	47.7%	+0.6	11
2004-06-07	Stabaek	W 3-0	1663	1659	43.9%	30.2%	25.9%	+10.3	13
2004-06-07	@ Lillestrom	L 0-3	1659	1663	25.9%	30.2%	43.9%	-10.3	10
2004-06-09	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1709	1641	54.4%	24.1%	21.4%	+8.2	19
2004-06-09	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1641	1709	21.4%	24.1%	54.4%	-8.1	11
2004-06-13	Lillestrom	L 0-4	1633	1674	37.1%	32.4%	30.5%	-17.8	11
2004-06-13	@ Bodo Glimt	W 4-0	1674	1633	30.5%	32.4%	37.1%	+17.8	16
2004-06-13	Fredrikstad	W 4-2	1672	1590	56.8%	22.5%	20.7%	+4.1	19
2004-06-13	@ Brann	L 2-4	1590	1672	20.7%	22.5%	56.8%	-4.1	8
2004-06-13	Molde	W 5-1	1647	1656	41.9%	31.0%	27.0%	+11.7	19
2004-06-13	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-5	1656	1647	27.0%	31.0%	41.9%	-11.7	11
2004-06-13	Viking	W 2-0	1659	1668	41.9%	31.1%	27.0%	+7.4	18
2004-06-13	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1668	1659	27.0%	31.1%	41.9%	-7.4	12
2004-06-13	Valerenga	W 2-1	1625	1665	37.2%	32.4%	30.4%	+4.1	10
2004-06-13	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1665	1625	30.4%	32.4%	37.2%	-4.1	17
2004-06-13	Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1676	1678	43.0%	30.6%	26.4%	+7.2	22
2004-06-13	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1678	1676	26.4%	30.6%	43.0%	-7.2	16
2004-06-14	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1649	1717	33.0%	32.7%	34.3%	+0.0	11
2004-06-14	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1717	1649	34.3%	32.7%	33.0%	-0.0	20
2004-06-20	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1691	1666	47.4%	28.5%	24.1%	-0.6	17
2004-06-20	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1666	1691	24.1%	28.5%	47.4%	+0.6	19
2004-06-20	Stabaek	W 3-0	1644	1649	42.6%	30.8%	26.6%	+10.6	14
2004-06-20	@ Molde	L 0-3	1649	1644	26.6%	30.8%	42.6%	-10.6	11
2004-06-20	Sogndal	D 4-4	1670	1629	50.0%	27.0%	23.1%	-0.4	17
2004-06-20	@ Odd Grenland	D 4-4	1629	1670	23.1%	27.0%	50.0%	+0.4	11
2004-06-20	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1683	1586	59.3%	20.7%	20.0%	+2.4	25
2004-06-20	@ Tromso	L 2-3	1586	1683	20.0%	20.7%	59.3%	-2.4	8
2004-06-20	Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1660	1659	43.5%	30.4%	26.1%	+7.2	20
2004-06-20	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1659	1660	26.1%	30.4%	43.5%	-7.2	19
2004-06-21	Brann	W 4-2	1660	1676	40.8%	31.4%	27.7%	+5.9	15
2004-06-21	@ Viking	L 2-4	1676	1660	27.7%	31.4%	40.8%	-5.9	19
2004-06-27	Molde	D 0-0	1616	1655	37.2%	32.4%	30.4%	-0.2	12
2004-06-27	@ Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1655	1616	30.4%	32.4%	37.2%	+0.2	15
2004-06-27	Lillestrom	L 1-5	1670	1691	40.1%	31.7%	28.2%	-15.6	19
2004-06-27	@ Brann	W 5-1	1691	1670	28.2%	31.7%	40.1%	+15.6	20
2004-06-27	Viking	D 0-0	1583	1666	31.1%	32.6%	36.4%	+0.2	9
2004-06-27	@ Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1666	1583	36.4%	32.6%	31.1%	-0.2	16
2004-06-27	Odd Grenland	L 2-4	1652	1670	40.5%	31.6%	27.9%	-7.7	19
2004-06-27	@ Hamarkameratene	W 4-2	1670	1652	27.9%	31.6%	40.5%	+7.7	20
2004-06-27	Tromso	W 2-1	1630	1685	34.8%	32.7%	32.5%	+4.3	14
2004-06-27	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1685	1630	32.5%	32.7%	34.8%	-4.3	25
2004-06-27	Valerenga	W 2-0	1639	1668	38.8%	32.1%	29.2%	+7.9	14
2004-06-27	@ Stabaek	L 0-2	1668	1639	29.2%	32.1%	38.8%	-7.9	20
2004-06-28	Rosenborg	L 0-2	1667	1717	35.5%	32.7%	31.8%	-9.1	19
2004-06-28	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1717	1667	31.8%	32.7%	35.5%	+9.1	23
2004-07-04	Valerenga	L 1-2	1615	1660	36.4%	32.5%	31.0%	-4.6	12
2004-07-04	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1660	1615	31.0%	32.5%	36.4%	+4.6	23
2004-07-04	Lillestrom	L 1-4	1583	1706	26.6%	30.8%	42.6%	-9.0	9
2004-07-04	@ Fredrikstad	W 4-1	1706	1583	42.6%	30.8%	26.6%	+9.0	23
2004-07-04	Sogndal	W 3-2	1644	1634	45.0%	29.7%	25.3%	+3.3	22
2004-07-04	@ Hamarkameratene	L 2-3	1634	1644	25.3%	29.7%	45.0%	-3.3	14
2004-07-04	Molde	L 1-2	1658	1655	43.7%	30.3%	26.0%	-5.2	19
2004-07-04	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1655	1658	26.0%	30.3%	43.7%	+5.2	18
2004-07-04	Odd Grenland	D 0-0	1646	1678	38.5%	32.1%	29.4%	-0.2	15
2004-07-04	@ Stabaek	D 0-0	1678	1646	29.4%	32.1%	38.5%	+0.2	21
2004-07-04	Tromso	L 1-2	1666	1681	40.9%	31.4%	27.7%	-5.0	16
2004-07-04	@ Viking	W 2-1	1681	1666	27.7%	31.4%	40.9%	+5.0	28
2004-07-05	Rosenborg	L 3-4	1654	1727	32.4%	32.7%	34.8%	-4.0	19
2004-07-05	@ Brann	W 4-3	1727	1654	34.8%	32.7%	32.4%	+4.0	26
2004-07-25	Viking	W 5-1	1715	1661	52.2%	25.6%	22.2%	+9.3	26
2004-07-25	@ Lillestrom	L 1-5	1661	1715	22.2%	25.6%	52.2%	-9.3	16
2004-07-25	Brann	L 2-3	1660	1650	44.9%	29.8%	25.3%	-5.0	18
2004-07-25	@ Molde	W 3-2	1650	1660	25.3%	29.8%	44.9%	+5.0	22
2004-07-25	Bodo Glimt	L 3-5	1678	1611	54.3%	24.2%	21.5%	-8.8	21
2004-07-25	@ Odd Grenland	W 5-3	1611	1678	21.5%	24.2%	54.3%	+8.8	15
2004-07-25	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1731	1574	68.8%	13.9%	17.2%	+3.4	29
2004-07-25	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1574	1731	17.2%	13.9%	68.8%	-3.3	9
2004-07-25	Stabaek	L 1-2	1631	1646	40.9%	31.4%	27.7%	-5.0	14
2004-07-25	@ Sogndal	W 2-1	1646	1631	27.7%	31.4%	40.9%	+5.0	18
2004-07-25	Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	1686	1648	49.6%	27.2%	23.2%	-16.4	28
2004-07-25	@ Tromso	W 3-0	1648	1686	23.2%	27.2%	49.6%	+16.4	25
2004-07-26	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1664	1652	45.3%	29.6%	25.1%	-5.3	23
2004-07-26	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1652	1664	25.1%	29.6%	45.3%	+5.3	22
2004-08-01	Sogndal	W 3-1	1619	1626	42.3%	30.9%	26.8%	+6.4	18
2004-08-01	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1626	1619	26.8%	30.9%	42.3%	-6.4	14
2004-08-01	Molde	W 2-1	1571	1655	30.9%	32.5%	36.6%	+4.6	12
2004-08-01	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1655	1571	36.6%	32.5%	30.9%	-4.6	18
2004-08-01	Tromso	D 2-2	1725	1670	52.3%	25.5%	22.2%	-0.6	27
2004-08-01	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1670	1725	22.2%	25.5%	52.3%	+0.6	29
2004-08-01	Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1658	1669	41.5%	31.2%	27.3%	-0.3	23
2004-08-01	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1669	1658	27.3%	31.2%	41.5%	+0.3	22
2004-08-01	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1651	1664	41.3%	31.3%	27.4%	-0.4	19
2004-08-01	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1664	1651	27.4%	31.3%	41.3%	+0.3	26
2004-08-01	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1651	1734	31.1%	32.6%	36.4%	+0.1	17
2004-08-01	@ Viking	D 1-1	1734	1651	36.4%	32.6%	31.1%	-0.1	30
2004-08-02	Valerenga	D 1-1	1656	1659	42.8%	30.7%	26.5%	-0.4	23
2004-08-02	@ Brann	D 1-1	1659	1656	26.5%	30.7%	42.8%	+0.4	24
2004-08-08	Bodo Glimt	L 0-2	1664	1626	49.6%	27.2%	23.2%	-11.3	26
2004-08-08	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-0	1626	1664	23.2%	27.2%	49.6%	+11.3	21
2004-08-08	Brann	L 0-2	1669	1655	45.6%	29.4%	25.0%	-10.7	22
2004-08-08	@ Odd Grenland	W 2-0	1655	1669	25.0%	29.4%	45.6%	+10.7	26
2004-08-08	Lillestrom	W 4-1	1734	1724	44.9%	29.8%	25.4%	+8.5	33
2004-08-08	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1724	1734	25.4%	29.8%	44.9%	-8.5	27
2004-08-08	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1619	1657	37.4%	32.4%	30.2%	-0.2	15
2004-08-08	@ Sogndal	D 1-1	1657	1619	30.2%	32.4%	37.4%	+0.2	24
2004-08-08	Stabaek	W 2-1	1670	1651	46.4%	29.0%	24.6%	+3.4	32
2004-08-08	@ Tromso	L 1-2	1651	1670	24.6%	29.0%	46.4%	-3.4	19
2004-08-08	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1659	1576	57.1%	22.3%	20.6%	+7.7	27
2004-08-08	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1576	1659	20.6%	22.3%	57.1%	-7.6	12
2004-08-09	Viking	D 1-1	1651	1652	43.2%	30.5%	26.3%	-0.4	19
2004-08-09	@ Molde	D 1-1	1652	1651	26.3%	30.5%	43.2%	+0.4	18
2004-08-21	Tromso	W 3-0	1742	1674	54.6%	24.0%	21.4%	+8.1	36
2004-08-21	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1674	1742	21.4%	24.0%	54.6%	-8.1	32
2004-08-22	Stabaek	W 3-1	1637	1647	41.7%	31.1%	27.2%	+6.5	24
2004-08-22	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1647	1637	27.2%	31.1%	41.7%	-6.5	19
2004-08-22	Sogndal	W 2-1	1666	1619	50.9%	26.4%	22.7%	+3.0	29
2004-08-22	@ Brann	L 1-2	1619	1666	22.7%	26.4%	50.9%	-3.0	15
2004-08-22	Odd Grenland	W 3-0	1568	1659	30.1%	32.3%	37.6%	+13.8	15
2004-08-22	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1659	1568	37.6%	32.3%	30.1%	-13.7	22
2004-08-22	Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1658	1653	44.0%	30.2%	25.8%	-0.5	25
2004-08-22	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1653	1658	25.8%	30.2%	44.0%	+0.5	27
2004-08-22	Valerenga	D 1-1	1652	1667	40.9%	31.4%	27.7%	-0.3	19
2004-08-22	@ Viking	D 1-1	1667	1652	27.7%	31.4%	40.9%	+0.3	28
2004-08-23	Molde	D 1-1	1716	1650	54.0%	24.4%	21.6%	-0.8	28
2004-08-23	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1650	1716	21.6%	24.4%	54.0%	+0.8	20
2004-08-29	Brann	W 2-1	1653	1669	40.9%	31.4%	27.7%	+3.8	30
2004-08-29	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1669	1653	27.7%	31.4%	40.9%	-3.8	29
2004-08-29	Rosenborg	L 1-3	1651	1750	29.0%	32.0%	38.9%	-6.8	20
2004-08-29	@ Molde	W 3-1	1750	1651	38.9%	32.0%	29.0%	+6.8	39
2004-08-29	Viking	W 1-0	1645	1652	42.2%	30.9%	26.8%	+3.9	25
2004-08-29	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-1	1652	1645	26.8%	30.9%	42.2%	-3.9	19
2004-08-29	Fredrikstad	L 2-4	1616	1582	48.9%	27.6%	23.5%	-8.7	15
2004-08-29	@ Sogndal	W 4-2	1582	1616	23.5%	27.6%	48.9%	+8.7	18
2004-08-29	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1641	1657	40.8%	31.5%	27.8%	-5.3	19
2004-08-29	@ Stabaek	W 1-0	1657	1641	27.8%	31.5%	40.8%	+5.3	28
2004-08-29	Lillestrom	W 2-0	1667	1715	36.0%	32.6%	31.4%	+8.4	31
2004-08-29	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1715	1667	31.4%	32.6%	36.0%	-8.4	28
2004-08-30	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1665	1644	46.9%	28.8%	24.4%	+6.7	35
2004-08-30	@ Tromso	L 0-2	1644	1665	24.4%	28.8%	46.9%	-6.7	24
2004-09-11	Valerenga	L 1-4	1757	1676	56.7%	22.6%	20.7%	-15.0	39
2004-09-11	@ Rosenborg	W 4-1	1676	1757	20.7%	22.6%	56.7%	+15.0	34
2004-09-12	Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1591	1657	33.2%	32.8%	34.1%	+4.4	21
2004-09-12	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1657	1591	34.1%	32.8%	33.2%	-4.4	30
2004-09-12	Odd Grenland	L 0-4	1706	1649	52.7%	25.2%	22.0%	-22.3	28
2004-09-12	@ Lillestrom	W 4-0	1649	1706	22.0%	25.2%	52.7%	+22.3	28
2004-09-12	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1662	1637	47.4%	28.4%	24.1%	+3.5	31
2004-09-12	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1637	1662	24.1%	28.4%	47.4%	-3.5	24
2004-09-12	Tromso	D 1-1	1644	1672	39.0%	32.0%	29.0%	-0.2	21
2004-09-12	@ Molde	D 1-1	1672	1644	29.0%	32.0%	39.0%	+0.2	36
2004-09-12	Sogndal	W 4-2	1648	1608	49.9%	27.1%	23.1%	+4.8	22
2004-09-12	@ Viking	L 2-4	1608	1648	23.1%	27.1%	49.9%	-4.8	15
2004-09-13	Stabaek	L 1-2	1665	1636	48.1%	28.1%	23.8%	-5.5	29
2004-09-13	@ Brann	W 2-1	1636	1665	23.8%	28.1%	48.1%	+5.5	22
2004-09-18	Viking	L 1-2	1653	1653	43.4%	30.5%	26.2%	-5.2	30
2004-09-18	@ Hamarkameratene	W 2-1	1653	1653	26.2%	30.5%	43.4%	+5.2	25
2004-09-19	Brann	D 1-1	1633	1660	39.2%	31.9%	28.8%	-0.3	25
2004-09-19	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1660	1633	28.8%	31.9%	39.2%	+0.2	30
2004-09-19	Rosenborg	W 3-0	1671	1742	32.6%	32.7%	34.7%	+13.0	31
2004-09-19	@ Odd Grenland	L 0-3	1742	1671	34.7%	32.7%	32.6%	-13.0	39
2004-09-19	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1641	1595	50.9%	26.4%	22.7%	-0.7	23
2004-09-19	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1595	1641	22.7%	26.4%	50.9%	+0.7	22
2004-09-19	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1672	1666	44.4%	30.0%	25.6%	-5.6	36
2004-09-19	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1666	1672	25.6%	30.0%	44.4%	+5.6	34
2004-09-19	Molde	W 4-1	1691	1644	50.9%	26.4%	22.7%	+7.5	37
2004-09-19	@ Valerenga	L 1-4	1644	1691	22.7%	26.4%	50.9%	-7.5	21
2004-09-20	Lillestrom	L 0-4	1603	1684	31.2%	32.6%	36.2%	-15.8	15
2004-09-20	@ Sogndal	W 4-0	1684	1603	36.2%	32.6%	31.2%	+15.8	31
2004-09-25	Sogndal	W 3-1	1729	1587	66.7%	15.4%	17.9%	+3.6	42
2004-09-25	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1587	1729	17.9%	15.4%	66.7%	-3.6	15
2004-09-26	Lyn Oslo	W 5-1	1660	1671	41.5%	31.2%	27.3%	+11.8	33
2004-09-26	@ Brann	L 1-5	1671	1660	27.3%	31.2%	41.5%	-11.8	34
2004-09-26	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1596	1633	37.5%	32.4%	30.1%	+4.3	25
2004-09-26	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1633	1596	30.1%	32.4%	37.5%	-4.3	25
2004-09-26	Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1700	1648	51.8%	25.8%	22.3%	-6.2	31
2004-09-26	@ Lillestrom	W 1-0	1648	1700	22.3%	25.8%	51.8%	+6.2	33
2004-09-26	Odd Grenland	W 2-1	1637	1684	36.0%	32.6%	31.4%	+4.2	24
2004-09-26	@ Molde	L 1-2	1684	1637	31.4%	32.6%	36.0%	-4.2	31
2004-09-26	Stabaek	W 1-0	1658	1641	46.1%	29.2%	24.7%	+3.6	28
2004-09-26	@ Viking	L 0-1	1641	1658	24.7%	29.2%	46.1%	-3.6	23
2004-09-27	Tromso	D 1-1	1698	1667	48.4%	27.9%	23.7%	-0.6	38
2004-09-27	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1667	1698	23.7%	27.9%	48.4%	+0.6	37
2004-10-03	Viking	D 2-2	1629	1661	38.2%	32.2%	29.6%	-0.2	26
2004-10-03	@ Bodo Glimt	D 2-2	1661	1629	29.6%	32.2%	38.2%	+0.2	29
2004-10-03	Rosenborg	W 2-0	1654	1733	31.5%	32.6%	35.9%	+9.2	36
2004-10-03	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-2	1733	1654	35.9%	32.6%	31.5%	-9.2	42
2004-10-03	Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1660	1600	53.1%	25.0%	21.9%	-0.6	35
2004-10-03	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1600	1660	21.9%	25.0%	53.1%	+0.6	26
2004-10-03	Valerenga	L 2-4	1680	1698	40.5%	31.6%	27.9%	-7.7	31
2004-10-03	@ Odd Grenland	W 4-2	1698	1680	27.9%	31.6%	40.5%	+7.7	41
2004-10-03	Molde	W 2-1	1583	1641	34.5%	32.7%	32.7%	+4.3	18
2004-10-03	@ Sogndal	L 1-2	1641	1583	32.7%	32.7%	34.5%	-4.3	24
2004-10-03	Brann	L 0-1	1667	1672	42.6%	30.8%	26.6%	-5.4	37
2004-10-03	@ Tromso	W 1-0	1672	1667	26.6%	30.8%	42.6%	+5.5	36
2004-10-04	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1637	1694	34.6%	32.7%	32.6%	-0.0	24
2004-10-04	@ Stabaek	D 1-1	1694	1637	32.6%	32.7%	34.6%	+0.0	32
2004-10-16	Stabaek	L 1-2	1724	1637	57.6%	21.9%	20.5%	-6.2	42
2004-10-16	@ Rosenborg	W 2-1	1637	1724	20.5%	21.9%	57.6%	+6.2	27
2004-10-17	Brann	W 3-2	1601	1677	31.9%	32.7%	35.5%	+4.3	29
2004-10-17	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-3	1677	1601	35.5%	32.7%	31.9%	-4.3	36
2004-10-17	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1694	1629	54.0%	24.4%	21.6%	-1.0	33
2004-10-17	@ Lillestrom	D 0-0	1629	1694	21.6%	24.4%	54.0%	+0.9	27
2004-10-17	Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1636	1663	39.2%	32.0%	28.9%	-0.3	25
2004-10-17	@ Molde	D 0-0	1663	1636	28.9%	32.0%	39.2%	+0.3	37
2004-10-17	Sogndal	D 0-0	1705	1588	62.7%	18.3%	19.0%	-1.3	42
2004-10-17	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1588	1705	19.0%	18.3%	62.7%	+1.3	19
2004-10-17	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1662	1659	43.7%	30.3%	26.0%	-0.5	30
2004-10-17	@ Viking	D 0-0	1659	1662	26.0%	30.3%	43.7%	+0.5	36
2004-10-18	Tromso	W 3-1	1672	1662	45.0%	29.7%	25.3%	+6.0	34
2004-10-18	@ Odd Grenland	L 1-3	1662	1672	25.3%	29.7%	45.0%	-6.0	37
2004-10-24	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1630	1717	30.4%	32.4%	37.2%	-4.3	27
2004-10-24	@ Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1717	1630	37.2%	32.4%	30.4%	+4.3	45
2004-10-24	Viking	W 1-0	1673	1661	45.2%	29.6%	25.2%	+3.7	39
2004-10-24	@ Brann	L 0-1	1661	1673	25.2%	29.6%	45.2%	-3.7	30
2004-10-24	Tromso	W 1-0	1605	1656	35.5%	32.7%	31.9%	+4.5	32
2004-10-24	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1656	1605	31.9%	32.7%	35.5%	-4.5	37
2004-10-24	Valerenga	L 0-1	1663	1704	37.0%	32.5%	30.6%	-5.0	37
2004-10-24	@ Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1704	1663	30.6%	32.5%	37.0%	+5.0	45
2004-10-24	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1660	1693	38.1%	32.2%	29.6%	-0.2	37
2004-10-24	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1693	1660	29.6%	32.2%	38.1%	+0.2	34
2004-10-24	Odd Grenland	W 4-2	1589	1678	30.2%	32.4%	37.4%	+7.3	22
2004-10-24	@ Sogndal	L 2-4	1678	1589	37.4%	32.4%	30.2%	-7.3	34
2004-10-24	Molde	L 1-3	1643	1636	44.4%	30.0%	25.6%	-9.1	27
2004-10-24	@ Stabaek	W 3-1	1636	1643	25.6%	30.0%	44.4%	+9.1	28
2004-10-30	Brann	D 2-2	1693	1676	46.0%	29.2%	24.8%	-0.4	35
2004-10-30	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1676	1693	24.8%	29.2%	46.0%	+0.4	40
2004-10-30	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1645	1625	46.6%	28.9%	24.5%	+9.8	31
2004-10-30	@ Molde	L 0-3	1625	1645	24.5%	28.9%	46.6%	-9.7	27
2004-10-30	Hamarkameratene	D 2-2	1671	1658	45.4%	29.5%	25.1%	-0.4	35
2004-10-30	@ Odd Grenland	D 2-2	1658	1671	25.1%	29.5%	45.4%	+0.4	38
2004-10-30	Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1722	1659	53.5%	24.7%	21.8%	+7.0	48
2004-10-30	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1659	1722	21.8%	24.7%	53.5%	-7.0	37
2004-10-30	Sogndal	W 3-1	1651	1596	52.3%	25.5%	22.2%	+5.1	40
2004-10-30	@ Tromso	L 1-3	1596	1651	22.2%	25.5%	52.3%	-5.1	22
2004-10-30	Stabaek	W 3-0	1709	1634	55.6%	23.3%	21.1%	+7.9	48
2004-10-30	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1634	1709	21.1%	23.3%	55.6%	-7.9	27
2004-10-30	Fredrikstad	W 5-2	1657	1609	51.1%	26.3%	22.6%	+6.4	33
2004-10-30	@ Viking	L 2-5	1609	1657	22.6%	26.3%	51.1%	-6.4	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2004-10-16	20.47%	Stabaek	1637	2	@ Rosenborg	1724	1
2	2004-09-11	20.73%	Valerenga	1676	4	@ Rosenborg	1757	1
3	2004-05-31	20.83%	Fredrikstad	1579	3	@ Bodo Glimt	1659	0
4	2004-07-25	21.48%	Bodo Glimt	1611	5	@ Odd Grenland	1678	3
5	2004-04-25	21.62%	Fredrikstad	1590	1	@ Molde	1654	0
6	2004-09-12	22.03%	Odd Grenland	1649	4	@ Lillestrom	1706	0
7	2004-09-26	22.34%	Hamarkameratene	1648	1	@ Lillestrom	1700	0
8	2004-05-16	22.47%	Molde	1648	2	@ Rosenborg	1698	0
9	2004-08-08	23.20%	Bodo Glimt	1626	2	@ Hamarkameratene	1664	0
10	2004-07-25	23.21%	Hamarkameratene	1648	3	@ Tromso	1686	0
11	2004-08-29	23.49%	Fredrikstad	1582	4	@ Sogndal	1616	2
12	2004-09-13	23.83%	Stabaek	1636	2	@ Brann	1665	1
13	2004-05-09	24.41%	Bodo Glimt	1650	5	@ Stabaek	1672	2
14	2004-05-02	24.85%	Tromso	1661	2	@ Stabaek	1677	1
15	2004-08-08	24.97%	Brann	1655	2	@ Odd Grenland	1669	0
16	2004-05-02	25.05%	Hamarkameratene	1648	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1661	0
17	2004-07-26	25.15%	Lyn Oslo	1652	2	@ Valerenga	1664	1
18	2004-05-23	25.24%	Hamarkameratene	1657	1	@ Viking	1668	0
19	2004-07-25	25.33%	Brann	1650	3	@ Molde	1660	2
20	2004-10-24	25.59%	Molde	1636	3	@ Stabaek	1643	1
21	2004-09-19	25.63%	Lyn Oslo	1666	1	@ Tromso	1672	0
22	2004-05-16	25.64%	Valerenga	1662	1	@ Lillestrom	1668	0
23	2004-05-31	25.98%	Viking	1663	1	@ Stabaek	1665	0
24	2004-07-04	25.98%	Molde	1655	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1658	1
25	2004-09-18	26.17%	Viking	1653	2	@ Hamarkameratene	1653	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2004-09-12	22.27	Odd Grenland	4	1649	22.03%	@ Lillestrom	0	1706	52.72%
2	2004-06-13	17.80	Lillestrom	4	1674	30.48%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1633	37.08%
3	2004-05-31	17.74	Fredrikstad	3	1579	20.83%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1659	56.40%
4	2004-07-25	16.41	Hamarkameratene	3	1648	23.21%	@ Tromso	0	1686	49.56%
5	2004-09-20	15.83	Lillestrom	4	1684	36.20%	@ Sogndal	0	1603	31.22%
6	2004-06-27	15.60	Lillestrom	5	1691	28.23%	@ Brann	1	1670	40.07%
7	2004-04-12	15.13	@ Tromso	4	1642	38.43%	Viking	0	1673	29.42%
8	2004-06-06	15.03	@ Rosenborg	5	1694	48.48%	Hamarkameratene	0	1662	23.66%
9	2004-09-11	15.02	Valerenga	4	1676	20.73%	@ Rosenborg	1	1757	56.71%
10	2004-08-22	13.75	@ Fredrikstad	3	1568	30.08%	Odd Grenland	0	1659	37.59%
11	2004-09-19	13.04	@ Odd Grenland	3	1671	32.58%	Rosenborg	0	1742	34.70%
12	2004-09-26	11.83	@ Brann	5	1660	41.48%	Lyn Oslo	1	1671	27.30%
13	2004-06-13	11.71	@ Hamarkameratene	5	1647	41.95%	Molde	1	1656	27.00%
14	2004-05-16	11.57	Molde	2	1648	22.47%	@ Rosenborg	0	1698	51.49%
15	2004-05-09	11.56	Bodo Glimt	5	1650	24.41%	@ Stabaek	2	1672	46.79%
16	2004-08-08	11.30	Bodo Glimt	2	1626	23.20%	@ Hamarkameratene	0	1664	49.58%
17	2004-04-18	10.90	@ Brann	3	1653	41.34%	Molde	0	1665	27.39%
18	2004-08-08	10.73	Brann	2	1655	24.97%	@ Odd Grenland	0	1669	45.62%
19	2004-05-02	10.71	Hamarkameratene	2	1648	25.05%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1661	45.47%
20	2004-06-20	10.62	@ Molde	3	1644	42.56%	Stabaek	0	1649	26.64%
21	2004-06-07	10.32	@ Lillestrom	3	1663	43.93%	Stabaek	0	1659	25.86%
22	2004-04-18	10.27	Odd Grenland	2	1671	26.62%	@ Bodo Glimt	0	1666	42.58%
23	2004-05-10	10.08	@ Tromso	4	1667	36.85%	Rosenborg	1	1708	30.68%
24	2004-05-20	9.88	Viking	2	1658	28.20%	@ Sogndal	0	1638	40.11%
25	2004-10-30	9.75	@ Molde	3	1645	46.55%	Bodo Glimt	0	1625	24.52%