1978 First Division Season

132 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Start

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Start

7.24 points above expected

33 points · 25.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lyn Oslo

9.12 points below expected

11 points · 20.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Start	22	13	7	2	33	30	13	+17	25.8	+7.24
2	Lillestrom	22	11	9	2	31	45	22	+23	28.9	+2.15
3	Viking	22	12	7	3	31	42	22	+20	24.9	+6.13
4	Skeid	22	12	2	8	26	38	33	+5	23.2	+2.80
5	Brann	22	11	3	8	25	52	42	+10	22.2	+2.79
6	Valerenga	22	9	6	7	24	44	34	+10	24.1	-0.05
7	Bryne	22	7	8	7	22	27	30	-3	21.1	+0.86
8	Moss	22	8	4	10	20	39	38	+1	20.7	-0.72
9	Bodo Glimt	22	6	6	10	18	37	37	0	18.7	-0.74
10	Molde	22	5	2	15	12	36	58	-22	15.8	-3.84
11	Lyn Oslo	22	3	5	14	11	23	53	-30	20.1	-9.12
12	Steinkjer	22	1	9	12	11	20	51	-31	18.5	-7.50

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Lillestrom	1452	31	28.85	+2.15	76.4%	11	23	26	29	31	35	40
Start	1423	33	25.76	+7.24	98.5%	12	20	23	26	28	32	39
Viking	1417	31	24.87	+6.13	96.5%	10	19	22	25	27	31	37
Valerenga	1363	24	24.05	-0.05	54.6%	11	18	22	24	27	30	38
Skeid	1334	26	23.20	+2.80	80.9%	9	17	21	23	26	29	38
Bodo Glimt	1331	18	18.74	-0.74	47.7%	4	13	16	19	21	25	33
Brann	1312	25	22.21	+2.79	81.5%	9	16	20	22	25	28	36
Moss	1281	20	20.72	-0.72	47.9%	6	15	18	21	23	27	35
Bryne	1252	22	21.14	+0.86	64.4%	7	15	19	21	24	27	36
Molde	1192	12	15.84	-3.84	17.6%	3	10	13	16	18	22	33
Steinkjer	1123	11	18.50	-7.50	2.8%	6	12	16	19	21	24	33
Lyn Oslo	1114	11	20.12	-9.12	0.8%	6	14	18	20	23	26	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BG	BRA	BRY	LIL	LO	MOL	MOS	SKE	STA	STE	VAL	VIK
Bodo Glimt	—	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-1 1.57	1-1-0 2.12	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.10	0-1-1 1.69	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 1.97	0-0-2 2.05
Brann	1-0-1 3.19	—	2-0-0 2.43	0-0-2 2.10	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.68	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 1.86	1-1-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.22	0-1-1 2.44
Bryne	1-1-0 2.73	0-0-2 2.90	—	0-1-1 1.79	2-0-0 2.60	1-0-1 3.59	0-2-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.36	0-1-1 2.16	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.11	0-1-1 1.91
Lillestrom	1-1-0 3.81	2-0-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.58	—	1-1-0 3.82	2-0-0 4.37	0-2-0 3.93	2-0-0 3.26	0-1-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.97	0-1-1 3.42	0-2-0 3.20
Lyn Oslo	0-1-1 3.22	0-0-2 2.07	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 1.58	—	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 1.89	0-2-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.61	0-0-2 1.74
Molde	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 1.70	1-0-1 1.77	0-0-2 1.11	1-0-1 2.19	—	1-0-1 1.66	0-0-2 1.96	0-0-2 1.65	0-1-1 2.52	0-1-1 1.56	0-0-2 1.97
Moss	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.41	0-2-0 2.39	0-2-0 1.47	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.71	—	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.02	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.11
Skeid	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.08	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 3.39	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-0-1 2.20	2-0-0 3.75	1-0-1 2.50	1-1-0 2.36
Start	1-1-0 3.69	0-1-1 3.49	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.14	2-0-0 3.51	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 3.14	—	0-2-0 3.25	2-0-0 2.87	1-1-0 2.80
Steinkjer	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.35	0-0-2 1.48	0-2-0 2.49	1-1-0 2.81	0-0-2 2.31	0-0-2 1.63	0-2-0 2.12	—	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.83
Valerenga	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.11	0-1-1 3.23	1-1-0 1.93	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.83	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.46	1-1-0 3.26	—	0-0-2 2.71
Viking	2-0-0 3.29	1-1-0 2.89	1-1-0 3.45	0-2-0 2.13	2-0-0 3.64	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 2.97	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 3.56	2-0-0 2.62	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.58%	5.68%	6.44%	1.14%	1.89%	1.89%	24.62%
1	5.68%	10.61%	5.30%	4.55%	1.14%	1.52%	28.79%
2	6.44%	5.30%	6.06%	4.17%	1.52%	—	23.48%
3	1.14%	4.55%	4.17%	1.52%	1.52%	—	12.88%
4	1.89%	1.14%	1.52%	1.52%	—	—	6.06%
5+	1.89%	1.52%	—	—	—	0.76%	4.17%
Total	24.62%	28.79%	23.48%	12.88%	6.06%	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.020
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	—	4.55%	100%

Bodo Glimt — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	2.08
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.243
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.36
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	2.32
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.244
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Bryne — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.36
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.59
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.112
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	22.73%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	45.45%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.05
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.000
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	9.09%	50.00%
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	18.18%	31.82%	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.05
Mean allowed	2.41
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.82
Mean total goals/game	3.45
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.090
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
Total	9.09%	9.09%	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	2.64
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.124
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.009
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	13.64%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.167
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
2	27.27%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	63.64%	27.27%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	0.59
StdDev scored	0.90
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	1.95
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.364
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	36.36%
1	—	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	31.82%	31.82%	13.64%	—	13.64%	100%

Steinkjer — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.91
Mean allowed	2.32
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	2.17
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.008
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	27.27%	22.73%	—	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.55
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	3.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.096
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	22.73%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	40.91%
3	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	31.82%	27.27%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.91
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.91
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.276
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Start	33	25.8	+7.24
2	Viking	31	24.9	+6.13
3	Skeid	26	23.2	+2.80
4	Brann	25	22.2	+2.79
5	Lillestrom	31	28.9	+2.15

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lyn Oslo	11	20.1	-9.12
2	Steinkjer	11	18.5	-7.50
3	Molde	12	15.8	-3.84
4	Bodo Glimt	18	18.7	-0.74
5	Moss	20	20.7	-0.72

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brann	4	Jun 11 – Jul 30	1 in 42
2	Bryne	3	May 7 – May 24	1 in 35
3	Molde	2	Sep 4 – Sep 10	1 in 28
4	Start	3	May 4 – May 15	1 in 27
5	Skeid	4	Sep 23 – Oct 15	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	8	Aug 20 – Oct 15	1 in 560
2	Bodo Glimt	6	May 15 – Jun 18	1 in 164
3	Valerenga	3	Aug 14 – Sep 3	1 in 59
4	Molde	4	May 7 – May 28	1 in 33
5	Skeid	3	Sep 4 – Sep 17	1 in 28

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bodo Glimt	9	Jun 21 – Sep 24	1 in 160
2	Lillestrom	18	May 8 – Oct 8	1 in 43
3	Start	13	May 27 – Sep 24	1 in 32
4	Bryne	7	Jun 15 – Sep 3	1 in 24
5	Moss	4	Jun 4 – Jun 24	1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	14	Jun 12 – Oct 15	1 in 89
2	Steinkjer	15	Jun 4 – Oct 15	1 in 31
3	Bodo Glimt	11	Apr 23 – Jun 21	1 in 31
4	Valerenga	5	Aug 7 – Sep 10	1 in 18
5	Bryne	7	May 28 – Aug 6	1 in 18

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Start	16.19%	22.33%	17.41%	13.39%	9.62%	7.72%	5.20%	3.17%	2.52%	1.44%	0.78%	0.23%
Lillestrom	52.20%	20.88%	11.48%	6.62%	3.85%	2.20%	1.36%	0.71%	0.37%	0.20%	0.11%	0.02%
Viking	12.52%	17.78%	16.23%	14.26%	11.27%	9.09%	6.41%	4.95%	3.53%	2.36%	1.06%	0.54%
Skeid	4.75%	9.64%	11.75%	12.90%	12.57%	12.49%	10.56%	8.75%	6.64%	5.00%	3.40%	1.55%
Brann	2.97%	6.55%	9.83%	11.29%	12.10%	12.28%	11.75%	10.28%	8.46%	7.01%	4.97%	2.51%
Valerenga	7.19%	12.53%	15.04%	14.69%	12.92%	11.04%	8.35%	6.63%	5.31%	3.30%	2.31%	0.69%
Bryne	1.47%	3.36%	5.37%	7.62%	10.37%	11.55%	12.75%	13.28%	11.53%	10.27%	7.74%	4.69%
Moss	1.37%	2.87%	5.20%	7.45%	9.20%	10.38%	12.55%	12.51%	12.33%	12.09%	8.97%	5.08%
Bodo Glimt	0.40%	1.17%	2.29%	3.41%	5.37%	6.79%	8.94%	11.76%	13.55%	16.14%	16.66%	13.52%
Molde	0.06%	0.09%	0.36%	0.70%	1.16%	2.07%	3.53%	5.34%	8.11%	13.10%	22.18%	43.30%
Lyn Oslo	0.70%	1.96%	3.51%	5.19%	7.21%	8.63%	10.67%	12.37%	14.01%	13.40%	12.71%	9.64%
Steinkjer	0.18%	0.84%	1.53%	2.48%	4.36%	5.76%	7.93%	10.25%	13.64%	15.69%	19.11%	18.23%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Lillestrom	99.7%	0.3%
Start	97.5%	2.5%
Viking	96.0%	4.0%
Valerenga	93.7%	6.3%
Skeid	90.0%	10.0%
Brann	85.5%	14.5%
Bryne	77.3%	22.7%
Moss	73.9%	26.1%
Lyn Oslo	64.2%	35.8%
Bodo Glimt	53.7%	46.3%
Steinkjer	47.0%	53.0%
Molde	21.4%	78.6%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1978-04-23	Start	L 0-1	1257	1284	33.8%	33.6%	32.5%	-11.9	0
1978-04-23	@ Bryne	W 1-0	1284	1257	32.5%	33.6%	33.8%	+12.0	3
1978-04-23	Skeid	W 3-1	1367	1312	44.8%	33.0%	22.2%	+14.5	3
1978-04-23	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1312	1367	22.2%	33.0%	44.8%	-14.5	0
1978-04-23	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1362	1298	45.8%	32.9%	21.4%	-1.8	1
1978-04-23	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1298	1362	21.4%	32.9%	45.8%	+1.8	1
1978-04-23	Viking	L 0-2	1267	1295	33.7%	33.6%	32.6%	-22.5	0
1978-04-23	@ Molde	W 2-0	1295	1267	32.6%	33.6%	33.7%	+22.5	3
1978-04-23	Valerenga	W 1-0	1247	1274	33.8%	33.6%	32.5%	+11.6	3
1978-04-23	@ Moss	L 0-1	1274	1247	32.5%	33.6%	33.8%	-11.6	0
1978-04-23	Brann	D 1-1	1350	1280	46.5%	32.7%	20.7%	-1.7	1
1978-04-23	@ Steinkjer	D 1-1	1280	1350	20.7%	32.7%	46.5%	+1.7	1
1978-04-27	Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	1263	1360	24.7%	33.0%	42.3%	+50.1	3
1978-04-27	@ Valerenga	L 0-4	1360	1263	42.3%	33.0%	24.7%	-50.1	1
1978-04-30	Bryne	L 1-2	1300	1245	44.7%	33.0%	22.3%	-13.8	1
1978-04-30	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1245	1300	22.3%	33.0%	44.7%	+13.8	3
1978-04-30	Moss	L 1-2	1297	1259	42.6%	33.3%	24.1%	-13.3	0
1978-04-30	@ Skeid	W 2-1	1259	1297	24.1%	33.3%	42.6%	+13.3	6
1978-04-30	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1296	1349	30.3%	33.5%	36.1%	+0.4	4
1978-04-30	@ Start	D 1-1	1349	1296	36.1%	33.5%	30.3%	-0.4	2
1978-05-01	Molde	W 2-1	1282	1245	42.5%	33.3%	24.2%	+9.0	4
1978-05-01	@ Brann	L 1-2	1245	1282	24.2%	33.3%	42.5%	-8.9	0
1978-05-01	Lillestrom	D 2-2	1318	1382	28.7%	33.4%	37.8%	+0.4	4
1978-05-01	@ Viking	D 2-2	1382	1318	37.8%	33.4%	28.7%	-0.4	4
1978-05-04	Valerenga	D 1-1	1259	1313	30.1%	33.5%	36.3%	+0.4	4
1978-05-04	@ Bryne	D 1-1	1313	1259	36.3%	33.5%	30.1%	-0.4	4
1978-05-04	Start	L 1-2	1382	1297	48.2%	32.4%	19.3%	-14.7	4
1978-05-04	@ Lillestrom	W 2-1	1297	1382	19.3%	32.4%	48.2%	+14.7	7
1978-05-04	Bodo Glimt	W 6-5	1236	1286	30.6%	33.5%	35.9%	+10.6	3
1978-05-04	@ Molde	L 5-6	1286	1236	35.9%	33.5%	30.6%	-10.6	1
1978-05-04	Brann	L 1-3	1272	1291	35.0%	33.6%	31.4%	-20.0	6
1978-05-04	@ Moss	W 3-1	1291	1272	31.4%	33.6%	35.0%	+20.0	7
1978-05-04	Viking	D 0-0	1284	1318	32.8%	33.6%	33.6%	+0.1	1
1978-05-04	@ Skeid	D 0-0	1318	1284	33.6%	33.6%	32.8%	-0.0	5
1978-05-04	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1348	1310	42.7%	33.2%	24.1%	-1.4	3
1978-05-04	@ Steinkjer	D 0-0	1310	1348	24.1%	33.2%	42.7%	+1.4	2
1978-05-07	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1276	1347	27.8%	33.4%	38.8%	+0.7	2
1978-05-07	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1347	1276	38.8%	33.4%	27.8%	-0.7	4
1978-05-07	Bryne	L 0-4	1311	1260	44.3%	33.1%	22.6%	-52.2	2
1978-05-07	@ Lyn Oslo	W 4-0	1260	1311	22.6%	33.1%	44.3%	+52.2	7
1978-05-07	Molde	W 3-1	1312	1247	45.9%	32.8%	21.2%	+14.0	10
1978-05-07	@ Start	L 1-3	1247	1312	21.2%	32.8%	45.9%	-14.0	3
1978-05-08	Lillestrom	L 0-1	1311	1367	29.9%	33.5%	36.6%	-11.0	7
1978-05-08	@ Brann	W 1-0	1367	1311	36.6%	33.5%	29.9%	+11.0	7
1978-05-08	Skeid	W 3-2	1313	1284	41.4%	33.4%	25.2%	+8.7	7
1978-05-08	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1284	1313	25.2%	33.4%	41.4%	-8.7	1
1978-05-08	Moss	W 2-0	1318	1252	46.0%	32.8%	21.2%	+16.2	8
1978-05-08	@ Viking	L 0-2	1252	1318	21.2%	32.8%	46.0%	-16.2	6
1978-05-11	Brann	W 2-0	1275	1300	34.1%	33.6%	32.2%	+21.8	4
1978-05-11	@ Skeid	L 0-2	1300	1275	32.2%	33.6%	34.1%	-21.8	7
1978-05-15	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1378	1276	50.1%	32.0%	17.9%	+14.1	10
1978-05-15	@ Lillestrom	L 0-2	1276	1378	17.9%	32.0%	50.1%	-14.1	2
1978-05-15	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1232	1259	33.9%	33.6%	32.5%	-19.5	3
1978-05-15	@ Molde	W 3-1	1259	1232	32.5%	33.6%	33.9%	+19.5	5
1978-05-15	Start	L 0-2	1236	1326	25.7%	33.1%	41.2%	-18.6	6
1978-05-15	@ Moss	W 2-0	1326	1236	41.2%	33.1%	25.7%	+18.6	13
1978-05-15	Bryne	L 1-2	1346	1312	42.2%	33.3%	24.5%	-13.2	4
1978-05-15	@ Steinkjer	W 2-1	1312	1346	24.5%	33.3%	42.2%	+13.2	10
1978-05-16	Valerenga	W 2-1	1334	1321	39.4%	33.5%	27.1%	+9.7	11
1978-05-16	@ Viking	L 1-2	1321	1334	27.1%	33.5%	39.4%	-9.7	7
1978-05-23	Viking	D 2-2	1278	1344	28.6%	33.4%	38.0%	+0.4	8
1978-05-23	@ Brann	D 2-2	1344	1278	38.0%	33.4%	28.6%	-0.4	12
1978-05-24	Moss	L 2-3	1262	1218	43.4%	33.2%	23.4%	-12.8	2
1978-05-24	@ Bodo Glimt	W 3-2	1218	1262	23.4%	33.2%	43.4%	+12.8	9
1978-05-24	Molde	W 1-0	1325	1213	51.3%	31.7%	17.0%	+7.2	13
1978-05-24	@ Bryne	L 0-1	1213	1325	17.0%	31.7%	51.3%	-7.2	3
1978-05-24	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1279	1392	23.0%	32.7%	44.3%	+1.6	6
1978-05-24	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1392	1279	44.3%	32.7%	23.0%	-1.6	11
1978-05-24	Skeid	L 0-1	1344	1297	43.8%	33.1%	23.1%	-14.4	13
1978-05-24	@ Start	W 1-0	1297	1344	23.1%	33.1%	43.8%	+14.4	7
1978-05-25	Steinkjer	W 5-0	1312	1333	34.6%	33.6%	31.8%	+50.5	10
1978-05-25	@ Valerenga	L 0-5	1333	1312	31.8%	33.6%	34.6%	-50.5	4
1978-05-27	Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1230	1280	30.6%	33.6%	35.8%	-10.0	9
1978-05-27	@ Moss	W 3-2	1280	1230	35.8%	33.6%	30.6%	+10.0	9
1978-05-27	Start	L 0-2	1343	1330	39.5%	33.5%	27.0%	-25.1	12
1978-05-27	@ Viking	W 2-0	1330	1343	27.0%	33.5%	39.5%	+25.1	16
1978-05-28	Bryne	W 3-1	1390	1332	45.1%	33.0%	21.9%	+14.4	14
1978-05-28	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1332	1390	21.9%	33.0%	45.1%	-14.4	13
1978-05-28	Steinkjer	L 2-4	1206	1283	27.2%	33.3%	39.5%	-15.0	3
1978-05-28	@ Molde	W 4-2	1283	1206	39.5%	33.3%	27.2%	+15.0	7
1978-05-29	Valerenga	L 1-2	1279	1362	26.4%	33.2%	40.4%	-9.5	8
1978-05-29	@ Brann	W 2-1	1362	1279	40.4%	33.2%	26.4%	+9.5	13
1978-05-29	Bodo Glimt	W 2-1	1311	1249	45.6%	32.9%	21.6%	+8.2	10
1978-05-29	@ Skeid	L 1-2	1249	1311	21.6%	32.9%	45.6%	-8.2	2
1978-06-03	Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1318	1241	47.4%	32.6%	20.1%	+15.5	15
1978-06-03	@ Viking	L 0-2	1241	1318	20.1%	32.6%	47.4%	-15.5	2
1978-06-04	Moss	D 1-1	1318	1220	49.7%	32.1%	18.2%	-2.2	14
1978-06-04	@ Bryne	D 1-1	1220	1318	18.2%	32.1%	49.7%	+2.2	10
1978-06-04	Brann	D 0-0	1355	1269	48.3%	32.4%	19.3%	-2.2	17
1978-06-04	@ Start	D 0-0	1269	1355	19.3%	32.4%	48.3%	+2.2	9
1978-06-04	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1298	1405	23.6%	32.8%	43.5%	-17.5	7
1978-06-04	@ Steinkjer	W 2-0	1405	1298	43.5%	32.8%	23.6%	+17.5	17
1978-06-04	Molde	D 0-0	1372	1191	58.2%	29.4%	12.4%	-3.7	14
1978-06-04	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1191	1372	12.4%	29.4%	58.2%	+3.7	4
1978-06-05	Skeid	W 4-1	1290	1320	33.5%	33.6%	32.8%	+27.1	12
1978-06-05	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-4	1320	1290	32.8%	33.6%	33.5%	-27.1	10
1978-06-11	Valerenga	L 0-2	1226	1368	20.1%	32.1%	47.8%	-15.4	2
1978-06-11	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1368	1226	47.8%	32.1%	20.1%	+15.4	17
1978-06-11	Brann	L 1-5	1316	1272	43.4%	33.2%	23.4%	-42.7	14
1978-06-11	@ Bryne	W 5-1	1272	1316	23.4%	33.2%	43.4%	+42.7	12
1978-06-11	Skeid	L 0-4	1194	1292	24.7%	33.0%	42.4%	-34.2	4
1978-06-11	@ Molde	W 4-0	1292	1194	42.4%	33.0%	24.7%	+34.2	13
1978-06-11	Viking	D 1-1	1280	1334	30.1%	33.5%	36.4%	+0.4	8
1978-06-11	@ Steinkjer	D 1-1	1334	1280	36.4%	33.5%	30.1%	-0.4	16
1978-06-12	Moss	D 2-2	1422	1223	59.9%	28.7%	11.4%	-2.6	18
1978-06-12	@ Lillestrom	D 2-2	1223	1422	11.4%	28.7%	59.9%	+2.6	11
1978-06-12	Start	L 0-2	1317	1353	32.7%	33.6%	33.7%	-22.0	12
1978-06-12	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1353	1317	33.7%	33.6%	32.7%	+22.0	20
1978-06-15	Bryne	D 2-2	1327	1273	44.6%	33.0%	22.4%	-1.1	14
1978-06-15	@ Skeid	D 2-2	1273	1327	22.4%	33.0%	44.6%	+1.1	15
1978-06-17	Steinkjer	W 7-0	1225	1281	29.9%	33.5%	36.6%	+76.4	14
1978-06-17	@ Moss	L 0-7	1281	1225	36.6%	33.5%	29.9%	-76.4	8
1978-06-18	Bodo Glimt	W 3-0	1314	1210	50.4%	32.0%	17.6%	+20.3	15
1978-06-18	@ Brann	L 0-3	1210	1314	17.6%	32.0%	50.4%	-20.3	2
1978-06-18	Valerenga	W 2-0	1375	1383	36.4%	33.6%	30.0%	+20.8	23
1978-06-18	@ Start	L 0-2	1383	1375	30.0%	33.6%	36.4%	-20.8	17
1978-06-19	Molde	W 4-1	1420	1160	65.1%	26.0%	8.9%	+8.6	21
1978-06-19	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1160	1420	8.9%	26.0%	65.1%	-8.6	4
1978-06-19	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1333	1295	42.6%	33.2%	24.1%	+15.5	19
1978-06-19	@ Viking	L 1-3	1295	1333	24.1%	33.2%	42.6%	-15.5	12
1978-06-21	Start	D 1-1	1190	1395	15.0%	30.1%	54.9%	+2.8	3
1978-06-21	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1395	1190	54.9%	30.1%	15.0%	-2.8	24
1978-06-22	Viking	D 2-2	1274	1349	27.4%	33.3%	39.3%	+0.6	16
1978-06-22	@ Bryne	D 2-2	1349	1274	39.3%	33.3%	27.4%	-0.6	20
1978-06-22	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1362	1428	28.6%	33.4%	38.0%	+0.6	18
1978-06-22	@ Valerenga	D 1-1	1428	1362	38.0%	33.4%	28.6%	-0.6	22
1978-06-24	Moss	L 3-4	1152	1302	19.4%	31.9%	48.8%	-6.9	4
1978-06-24	@ Molde	W 4-3	1302	1152	48.8%	31.9%	19.4%	+6.9	17
1978-06-24	Skeid	L 2-3	1204	1326	22.1%	32.5%	45.3%	-7.9	8
1978-06-24	@ Steinkjer	W 3-2	1326	1204	45.3%	32.5%	22.1%	+7.9	17
1978-06-26	Brann	L 3-4	1280	1335	30.0%	33.5%	36.5%	-9.6	12
1978-06-26	@ Lyn Oslo	W 4-3	1335	1280	36.5%	33.5%	30.0%	+9.6	18
1978-07-30	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1193	1270	27.1%	33.3%	39.6%	+12.6	6
1978-07-30	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-2	1270	1193	39.6%	33.3%	27.1%	-12.6	12
1978-07-30	Steinkjer	W 9-1	1344	1196	55.0%	30.6%	14.4%	+35.0	21
1978-07-30	@ Brann	L 1-9	1196	1344	14.4%	30.6%	55.0%	-35.0	8
1978-07-31	Moss	W 3-2	1363	1309	44.7%	33.0%	22.3%	+8.0	21
1978-07-31	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1309	1363	22.3%	33.0%	44.7%	-8.0	17
1978-07-31	Molde	W 5-0	1348	1145	60.3%	28.5%	11.2%	+21.4	23
1978-07-31	@ Viking	L 0-5	1145	1348	11.2%	28.5%	60.3%	-21.4	4
1978-08-02	Lillestrom	L 1-3	1334	1428	25.1%	33.1%	41.9%	-15.8	17
1978-08-02	@ Skeid	W 3-1	1428	1334	41.9%	33.1%	25.1%	+15.8	25
1978-08-02	Bryne	D 0-0	1393	1275	51.9%	31.6%	16.5%	-2.8	25
1978-08-02	@ Start	D 0-0	1275	1393	16.5%	31.6%	51.9%	+2.8	17
1978-08-05	Skeid	L 1-2	1301	1318	35.2%	33.6%	31.1%	-11.6	17
1978-08-05	@ Moss	W 2-1	1318	1301	31.1%	33.6%	35.2%	+11.6	20
1978-08-05	Start	D 0-0	1161	1390	13.6%	29.2%	57.2%	+3.5	9
1978-08-05	@ Steinkjer	D 0-0	1390	1161	57.2%	29.2%	13.6%	-3.5	26
1978-08-06	Bodo Glimt	D 0-0	1277	1205	46.8%	32.7%	20.5%	-2.0	18
1978-08-06	@ Bryne	D 0-0	1205	1277	20.5%	32.7%	46.8%	+2.0	7
1978-08-06	Viking	D 1-1	1443	1370	47.0%	32.7%	20.4%	-1.8	26
1978-08-06	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1370	1443	20.4%	32.7%	47.0%	+1.8	24
1978-08-06	Brann	W 4-1	1123	1379	12.1%	28.1%	59.9%	+42.8	7
1978-08-06	@ Molde	L 1-4	1379	1123	59.9%	28.1%	12.1%	-42.8	21
1978-08-07	Valerenga	D 2-2	1258	1371	23.0%	32.7%	44.3%	+1.0	13
1978-08-07	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1371	1258	44.3%	32.7%	23.0%	-1.0	22
1978-08-13	Molde	W 3-1	1207	1166	43.0%	33.2%	23.8%	+15.3	10
1978-08-13	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-3	1166	1207	23.8%	33.2%	43.0%	-15.3	7
1978-08-13	Steinkjer	D 2-2	1259	1165	49.3%	32.2%	18.5%	-1.6	14
1978-08-13	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1165	1259	18.5%	32.2%	49.3%	+1.6	10
1978-08-13	Lillestrom	D 3-3	1386	1442	29.9%	33.5%	36.6%	+0.3	27
1978-08-13	@ Start	D 3-3	1442	1386	36.6%	33.5%	29.9%	-0.3	27
1978-08-14	Moss	W 1-0	1336	1289	43.8%	33.1%	23.1%	+9.2	24
1978-08-14	@ Brann	L 0-1	1289	1336	23.1%	33.1%	43.8%	-9.2	17
1978-08-14	Bryne	L 2-3	1370	1275	49.4%	32.2%	18.4%	-14.2	22
1978-08-14	@ Valerenga	W 3-2	1275	1370	18.4%	32.2%	49.4%	+14.2	21
1978-08-14	Skeid	L 0-1	1371	1329	43.1%	33.2%	23.7%	-14.3	24
1978-08-14	@ Viking	W 1-0	1329	1371	23.7%	33.2%	43.1%	+14.3	23
1978-08-19	Bodo Glimt	L 0-1	1166	1223	29.8%	33.5%	36.7%	-11.0	10
1978-08-19	@ Steinkjer	W 1-0	1223	1166	36.7%	33.5%	29.8%	+11.0	13
1978-08-20	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1290	1257	41.9%	33.3%	24.8%	+9.7	24
1978-08-20	@ Bryne	L 0-1	1257	1290	24.8%	33.3%	41.9%	-9.7	14
1978-08-20	Brann	W 3-1	1441	1346	49.5%	32.2%	18.3%	+12.5	30
1978-08-20	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1346	1441	18.3%	32.2%	49.5%	-12.5	24
1978-08-20	Start	L 0-2	1151	1387	13.2%	28.9%	57.9%	-10.5	7
1978-08-20	@ Molde	W 2-0	1387	1151	57.9%	28.9%	13.2%	+10.5	30
1978-08-20	Viking	W 3-0	1280	1357	27.1%	33.3%	39.6%	+36.6	20
1978-08-20	@ Moss	L 0-3	1357	1280	39.6%	33.3%	27.1%	-36.5	24
1978-08-22	Valerenga	W 3-2	1344	1356	35.9%	33.6%	30.5%	+10.0	26
1978-08-22	@ Skeid	L 2-3	1356	1344	30.5%	33.6%	35.9%	-10.0	22
1978-09-03	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1234	1454	14.1%	29.5%	56.4%	+3.0	14
1978-09-03	@ Bodo Glimt	D 1-1	1454	1234	56.4%	29.5%	14.1%	-3.0	31
1978-09-03	Steinkjer	W 1-0	1299	1155	54.6%	30.8%	14.6%	+6.3	27
1978-09-03	@ Bryne	L 0-1	1155	1299	14.6%	30.8%	54.6%	-6.3	10
1978-09-03	Moss	W 2-0	1397	1316	47.8%	32.5%	19.7%	+15.3	33
1978-09-03	@ Start	L 0-2	1316	1397	19.7%	32.5%	47.8%	-15.3	20
1978-09-03	Viking	L 2-3	1346	1321	41.0%	33.4%	25.6%	-12.3	22
1978-09-03	@ Valerenga	W 3-2	1321	1346	25.6%	33.4%	41.0%	+12.3	27
1978-09-04	Skeid	W 2-1	1333	1353	34.8%	33.6%	31.6%	+10.8	27
1978-09-04	@ Brann	L 1-2	1353	1333	31.6%	33.6%	34.8%	-10.8	26
1978-09-04	Molde	L 0-2	1248	1140	50.7%	31.9%	17.4%	-30.7	14
1978-09-04	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1140	1248	17.4%	31.9%	50.7%	+30.7	10
1978-09-10	Lyn Oslo	W 5-0	1451	1217	63.0%	27.2%	9.8%	+18.5	34
1978-09-10	@ Lillestrom	L 0-5	1217	1451	9.8%	27.2%	63.0%	-18.5	14
1978-09-10	Bryne	W 4-2	1171	1306	20.8%	32.2%	46.9%	+22.2	13
1978-09-10	@ Molde	L 2-4	1306	1171	46.9%	32.2%	20.8%	-22.2	27
1978-09-10	Bodo Glimt	L 3-4	1301	1237	45.9%	32.8%	21.3%	-13.1	20
1978-09-10	@ Moss	W 4-3	1237	1301	21.3%	32.8%	45.9%	+13.1	17
1978-09-10	Start	L 0-1	1343	1412	28.1%	33.4%	38.6%	-10.5	26
1978-09-10	@ Skeid	W 1-0	1412	1343	38.6%	33.4%	28.1%	+10.5	36
1978-09-10	Valerenga	D 1-1	1149	1334	16.5%	30.8%	52.6%	+2.5	11
1978-09-10	@ Steinkjer	D 1-1	1334	1149	52.6%	30.8%	16.5%	-2.5	23
1978-09-11	Brann	W 4-0	1333	1344	36.1%	33.6%	30.3%	+39.7	30
1978-09-11	@ Viking	L 0-4	1344	1333	30.3%	33.6%	36.1%	-39.7	27
1978-09-14	Moss	L 1-2	1198	1288	25.6%	33.1%	41.3%	-9.3	14
1978-09-14	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1288	1198	41.3%	33.1%	25.6%	+9.3	23
1978-09-17	Skeid	W 4-0	1250	1332	26.5%	33.2%	40.3%	+48.4	20
1978-09-17	@ Bodo Glimt	L 0-4	1332	1250	40.3%	33.2%	26.5%	-48.4	26
1978-09-17	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1283	1469	16.4%	30.8%	52.8%	+2.5	28
1978-09-17	@ Bryne	D 1-1	1469	1283	52.8%	30.8%	16.4%	-2.5	35
1978-09-17	Viking	D 1-1	1423	1373	44.1%	33.1%	22.8%	-1.4	37
1978-09-17	@ Start	D 1-1	1373	1423	22.8%	33.1%	44.1%	+1.4	31
1978-09-17	Molde	D 2-2	1152	1193	31.8%	33.6%	34.6%	+0.1	12
1978-09-17	@ Steinkjer	D 2-2	1193	1152	34.6%	33.6%	31.8%	-0.1	14
1978-09-17	Brann	W 4-3	1331	1304	41.2%	33.4%	25.4%	+8.6	26
1978-09-17	@ Valerenga	L 3-4	1304	1331	25.4%	33.4%	41.2%	-8.6	27
1978-09-23	Molde	W 3-2	1284	1193	48.9%	32.3%	18.8%	+7.0	29
1978-09-23	@ Skeid	L 2-3	1193	1284	18.8%	32.3%	48.9%	-7.0	14
1978-09-23	Steinkjer	W 3-1	1374	1152	62.0%	27.7%	10.3%	+7.2	34
1978-09-23	@ Viking	L 1-3	1152	1374	10.3%	27.7%	62.0%	-7.2	12
1978-09-24	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1297	1467	17.7%	31.3%	51.0%	+2.6	24
1978-09-24	@ Moss	D 0-0	1467	1297	51.0%	31.3%	17.7%	-2.6	36
1978-09-24	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1422	1189	62.8%	27.2%	9.9%	+4.2	40
1978-09-24	@ Start	L 0-1	1189	1422	9.9%	27.2%	62.8%	-4.2	14
1978-09-24	Bodo Glimt	D 3-3	1340	1298	43.1%	33.2%	23.7%	-0.8	27
1978-09-24	@ Valerenga	D 3-3	1298	1340	23.7%	33.2%	43.1%	+0.8	21
1978-10-01	Viking	L 0-2	1299	1381	26.5%	33.2%	40.3%	-19.0	21
1978-10-01	@ Bodo Glimt	W 2-0	1381	1299	40.3%	33.2%	26.5%	+19.0	37
1978-10-01	Start	W 4-2	1296	1426	21.2%	32.4%	46.4%	+22.0	30
1978-10-01	@ Brann	L 2-4	1426	1296	46.4%	32.4%	21.2%	-22.0	40
1978-10-01	Steinkjer	W 3-1	1464	1144	70.1%	23.0%	6.9%	+4.5	39
1978-10-01	@ Lillestrom	L 1-3	1144	1464	6.9%	23.0%	70.1%	-4.5	12
1978-10-01	Valerenga	L 2-3	1186	1339	19.1%	31.8%	49.1%	-7.0	14
1978-10-01	@ Molde	W 3-2	1339	1186	49.1%	31.8%	19.1%	+7.0	30
1978-10-01	Bryne	D 1-1	1300	1286	39.5%	33.5%	27.0%	-0.8	25
1978-10-01	@ Moss	D 1-1	1286	1300	27.0%	33.5%	39.5%	+0.8	29
1978-10-01	Lyn Oslo	W 5-1	1291	1185	50.6%	31.9%	17.5%	+21.9	32
1978-10-01	@ Skeid	L 1-5	1185	1291	17.5%	31.9%	50.6%	-21.9	14
1978-10-08	Brann	W 8-1	1280	1318	32.3%	33.6%	34.1%	+59.9	24
1978-10-08	@ Bodo Glimt	L 1-8	1318	1280	34.1%	33.6%	32.3%	-59.9	30
1978-10-08	Skeid	L 0-1	1287	1313	34.0%	33.6%	32.4%	-12.0	29
1978-10-08	@ Bryne	W 1-0	1313	1287	32.4%	33.6%	34.0%	+12.0	35
1978-10-08	Viking	L 2-3	1163	1400	13.1%	28.8%	58.1%	-4.9	14
1978-10-08	@ Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1400	1163	58.1%	28.8%	13.1%	+4.9	40
1978-10-08	Lillestrom	L 0-3	1179	1469	10.5%	26.6%	63.0%	-11.9	14
1978-10-08	@ Molde	W 3-0	1469	1179	63.0%	26.6%	10.5%	+11.9	42
1978-10-08	Moss	L 1-2	1140	1299	18.6%	31.6%	49.8%	-7.2	12
1978-10-08	@ Steinkjer	W 2-1	1299	1140	49.8%	31.6%	18.6%	+7.2	28
1978-10-08	Start	L 0-1	1346	1404	29.6%	33.5%	36.9%	-10.9	30
1978-10-08	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1404	1346	36.9%	33.5%	29.6%	+10.9	43
1978-10-11	Bryne	W 2-1	1258	1275	35.2%	33.6%	31.1%	+10.7	33
1978-10-11	@ Brann	L 1-2	1275	1258	31.1%	33.6%	35.2%	-10.7	29
1978-10-15	Lyn Oslo	W 7-0	1268	1158	51.1%	31.8%	17.1%	+43.8	36
1978-10-15	@ Brann	L 0-7	1158	1268	17.1%	31.8%	51.1%	-43.8	14
1978-10-15	Valerenga	L 1-3	1481	1335	54.8%	30.7%	14.5%	-28.3	42
1978-10-15	@ Lillestrom	W 3-1	1335	1481	14.5%	30.7%	54.8%	+28.3	33
1978-10-15	Molde	L 2-4	1306	1167	54.1%	30.9%	15.0%	-25.1	28
1978-10-15	@ Moss	W 4-2	1167	1306	15.0%	30.9%	54.1%	+25.1	17
1978-10-15	Steinkjer	W 2-0	1325	1133	59.2%	29.0%	11.8%	+9.6	38
1978-10-15	@ Skeid	L 0-2	1133	1325	11.8%	29.0%	59.2%	-9.6	12
1978-10-15	Bodo Glimt	W 1-0	1415	1340	47.1%	32.6%	20.3%	+8.3	46
1978-10-15	@ Start	L 0-1	1340	1415	20.3%	32.6%	47.1%	-8.3	24
1978-10-15	Bryne	W 2-0	1405	1264	54.3%	30.9%	14.8%	+12.0	43
1978-10-15	@ Viking	L 0-2	1264	1405	14.8%	30.9%	54.3%	-12.0	29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1978-08-06	12.07%	@ Molde	1123	4	Brann	1379	1
2	1978-10-15	14.52%	Valerenga	1335	3	@ Lillestrom	1481	1
3	1978-10-15	14.98%	Molde	1167	4	@ Moss	1306	2
4	1978-09-04	17.38%	Molde	1140	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1248	0
5	1978-08-14	18.44%	Bryne	1275	3	@ Valerenga	1370	2
6	1978-05-04	19.33%	Start	1297	2	@ Lillestrom	1382	1
7	1978-09-10	20.82%	@ Molde	1171	4	Bryne	1306	2
8	1978-10-01	21.25%	@ Brann	1296	4	Start	1426	2
9	1978-09-10	21.29%	Bodo Glimt	1237	4	@ Moss	1301	3
10	1978-04-30	22.30%	Bryne	1245	2	@ Bodo Glimt	1300	1
11	1978-05-07	22.61%	Bryne	1260	4	@ Lyn Oslo	1311	0
12	1978-05-24	23.10%	Skeid	1297	1	@ Start	1344	0
13	1978-05-24	23.39%	Moss	1218	3	@ Bodo Glimt	1262	2
14	1978-06-11	23.45%	Brann	1272	5	@ Bryne	1316	1
15	1978-08-14	23.66%	Skeid	1329	1	@ Viking	1371	0
16	1978-04-30	24.14%	Moss	1259	2	@ Skeid	1297	1
17	1978-05-15	24.53%	Bryne	1312	2	@ Steinkjer	1346	1
18	1978-04-27	24.73%	@ Valerenga	1263	4	Lyn Oslo	1360	0
19	1978-09-03	25.64%	Viking	1321	3	@ Valerenga	1346	2
20	1978-09-17	26.47%	@ Bodo Glimt	1250	4	Skeid	1332	0
21	1978-05-27	27.04%	Start	1330	2	@ Viking	1343	0
22	1978-07-30	27.08%	@ Bodo Glimt	1193	2	Lyn Oslo	1270	1
23	1978-08-20	27.10%	@ Moss	1280	3	Viking	1357	0
24	1978-06-17	29.93%	@ Moss	1225	7	Steinkjer	1281	0
25	1978-05-04	30.58%	@ Molde	1236	6	Bodo Glimt	1286	5

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1978-06-17	76.39	@ Moss	7	1225	29.93%	Steinkjer	0	1281	36.56%
2	1978-10-08	59.91	@ Bodo Glimt	8	1280	32.32%	Brann	1	1318	34.07%
3	1978-05-07	52.16	Bryne	4	1260	22.61%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1311	44.33%
4	1978-05-25	50.53	@ Valerenga	5	1312	34.61%	Steinkjer	0	1333	31.75%
5	1978-04-27	50.11	@ Valerenga	4	1263	24.73%	Lyn Oslo	0	1360	42.27%
6	1978-09-17	48.36	@ Bodo Glimt	4	1250	26.47%	Skeid	0	1332	40.30%
7	1978-10-15	43.82	@ Brann	7	1268	51.10%	Lyn Oslo	0	1158	17.12%
8	1978-08-06	42.75	@ Molde	4	1123	12.07%	Brann	1	1379	59.85%
9	1978-06-11	42.73	Brann	5	1272	23.45%	@ Bryne	1	1316	43.38%
10	1978-09-11	39.71	@ Viking	4	1333	36.10%	Brann	0	1344	30.28%
11	1978-08-20	36.55	@ Moss	3	1280	27.10%	Viking	0	1357	39.61%
12	1978-07-30	35.03	@ Brann	9	1344	54.99%	Steinkjer	1	1196	14.38%
13	1978-06-11	34.25	Skeid	4	1292	42.35%	@ Molde	0	1194	24.66%
14	1978-09-04	30.70	Molde	2	1140	17.38%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1248	50.75%
15	1978-10-15	28.34	Valerenga	3	1335	14.52%	@ Lillestrom	1	1481	54.77%
16	1978-06-05	27.06	@ Lyn Oslo	4	1290	33.54%	Skeid	1	1320	32.83%
17	1978-05-27	25.14	Start	2	1330	27.04%	@ Viking	0	1343	39.46%
18	1978-10-15	25.09	Molde	4	1167	14.98%	@ Moss	2	1306	54.10%
19	1978-04-23	22.50	Viking	2	1295	32.63%	@ Molde	0	1267	33.74%
20	1978-09-10	22.20	@ Molde	4	1171	20.82%	Bryne	2	1306	46.93%
21	1978-06-12	22.02	Start	2	1353	33.71%	@ Lyn Oslo	0	1317	32.67%
22	1978-10-01	22.00	@ Brann	4	1296	21.25%	Start	2	1426	46.40%
23	1978-10-01	21.93	@ Skeid	5	1291	50.62%	Lyn Oslo	1	1185	17.48%
24	1978-05-11	21.84	@ Skeid	2	1275	34.11%	Brann	0	1300	32.25%
25	1978-07-31	21.36	@ Viking	5	1348	60.27%	Molde	0	1145	11.22%