1971 First Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

24 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Lyn Oslo

5.34 points above expected

23 points · 17.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Brann

5.03 points below expected

11 points · 16.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	18	9	6	3	24	25	11	+14	21.4	+2.55
2	Lyn Oslo	18	9	5	4	23	28	17	+11	17.7	+5.34
3	Viking	18	9	4	5	22	41	20	+21	21.4	+0.62
4	Fredrikstad	18	8	6	4	22	32	23	+9	18.3	+3.69
5	Stromsgodset	18	7	7	4	21	28	21	+7	19.7	+1.27
6	Hamarkameratene	18	7	7	4	21	19	15	+4	20.2	+0.79
7	Sarpsborg	18	6	4	8	16	32	27	+5	18.2	-2.25
8	Hodd	18	3	5	10	11	17	32	-15	14.8	-3.82
9	Brann	18	3	5	10	11	14	31	-17	16.0	-5.03
10	Frigg Oslo	18	4	1	13	9	16	55	-39	12.2	-3.16

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Rosenborg	1442	24	21.45	+2.55	82.4%	7	16	19	21	24	27	33
Viking	1419	22	21.38	+0.62	63.0%	10	16	19	21	24	27	32
Stromsgodset	1359	21	19.73	+1.27	69.9%	6	14	18	20	22	25	31
Fredrikstad	1355	22	18.31	+3.69	89.6%	6	13	16	18	21	24	30
Hamarkameratene	1348	21	20.21	+0.79	65.1%	9	15	18	20	22	26	34
Lyn Oslo	1347	23	17.66	+5.34	95.8%	4	12	15	18	20	23	30
Sarpsborg	1308	16	18.25	-2.25	29.3%	6	13	16	18	20	24	32
Hodd	1240	11	14.82	-3.82	15.5%	3	10	13	15	17	20	28
Brann	1224	11	16.03	-5.03	7.9%	4	11	14	16	18	21	29
Frigg Oslo	1079	9	12.16	-3.16	20.2%	2	7	10	12	14	17	25

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	FRE	FO	HAM	HOD	LO	ROS	SAR	STR	VIK
Brann	—	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.06	0-2-0 2.94	0-0-2 2.42	1-0-1 1.65	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.36	1-0-1 1.96
Fredrikstad	1-1-0 2.95	—	2-0-0 3.97	1-1-0 2.43	0-2-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.34
Frigg Oslo	1-0-1 2.18	0-0-2 1.53	—	1-0-1 1.48	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 2.05	0-1-1 1.40	0-0-2 1.98	0-0-2 1.63	1-0-1 1.28
Hamarkameratene	2-0-0 3.38	0-1-1 2.98	1-0-1 3.99	—	0-1-1 3.91	0-2-0 2.99	0-2-0 2.47	1-1-0 3.00	2-0-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.53
Hodd	0-2-0 2.48	0-2-0 2.35	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 1.55	—	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 1.66	0-0-2 2.40	0-0-2 1.96	0-0-2 1.74
Lyn Oslo	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 3.36	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 3.08	—	0-2-0 2.19	2-0-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.12
Rosenborg	1-0-1 3.80	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 4.09	0-2-0 2.94	2-0-0 3.77	0-2-0 3.23	—	2-0-0 3.06	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.69
Sarpsborg	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.47	0-1-1 2.42	2-0-0 3.01	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.35	—	0-1-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.37
Stromsgodset	1-1-0 3.06	0-1-1 2.92	2-0-0 3.84	0-0-2 2.82	2-0-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 2.85	—	0-2-0 2.40
Viking	1-0-1 3.46	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 4.22	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.73	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 3.05	0-2-0 3.01	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	10.56%	2.22%	2.78%	2.22%	1.67%	32.78%
1	10.56%	6.67%	5.56%	4.44%	3.33%	2.22%	32.78%
2	2.22%	5.56%	5.56%	0.56%	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	4.44%	0.56%	2.22%	0.56%	—	10.56%
4	2.22%	3.33%	—	0.56%	—	—	6.11%
5+	1.67%	2.22%	—	—	—	—	3.89%
Total	32.78%	32.78%	13.89%	10.56%	6.11%	3.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.40
Mean allowed	1.40
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	1.52
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.067
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	50.00%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	16.67%	27.78%	—	5.56%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.78
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.079
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	5.56%	38.89%
1	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
2	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	38.89%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.93
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.042
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	27.78%
1	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	61.11%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	22.22%	22.22%	100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.89
Mean allowed	3.06
StdDev scored	0.76
StdDev allowed	2.44
Mean total goals/game	3.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.092
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	27.78%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	38.89%	—	—	11.11%	—	100%

Hamarkameratene — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.06
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	1.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.031
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	50.00%
1	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	33.33%
2	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	100%

Hodd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.94
Mean allowed	1.78
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.102
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	16.67%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	50.00%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	0.94
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	0.94
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.244
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	27.78%
1	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	16.67%	—	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	50.00%	38.89%	11.11%	—	—	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	0.61
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.049
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	5.56%	22.22%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	22.22%	27.78%	33.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.279
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	27.78%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.25
Mean total goals/game	2.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.023
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	—	—	16.67%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	22.22%	50.00%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.28
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	3.39
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.323
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lyn Oslo	23	17.7	+5.34
2	Fredrikstad	22	18.3	+3.69
3	Rosenborg	24	21.4	+2.55
4	Stromsgodset	21	19.7	+1.27
5	Hamarkameratene	21	20.2	+0.79

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Brann	11	16.0	-5.03
2	Hodd	11	14.8	-3.82
3	Frigg Oslo	9	12.2	-3.16
4	Sarpsborg	16	18.2	-2.25
5	Viking	22	21.4	+0.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Viking	5	May 3 – May 31	1 in 69
2	Lyn Oslo	3	Sep 5 – Sep 19	1 in 20
3	Frigg Oslo	2	Jun 13 – Jun 20	1 in 19
4	Hodd	2	Oct 6 – Oct 10	1 in 15
5	Fredrikstad	3	May 31 – Jun 14	1 in 14

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hodd	4	May 23 – Jun 13	1 in 62
2	Sarpsborg	3	Sep 12 – Oct 6	1 in 31
3	Frigg Oslo	4	Sep 22 – Oct 17	1 in 21
4	Rosenborg	2	May 31 – Jun 6	1 in 20
5	Brann	3	Jun 14 – Aug 1	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lyn Oslo	12	May 23 – Oct 6	1 in 294
2	Rosenborg	11	Jun 13 – Oct 17	1 in 28
3	Hamarkameratene	7	Apr 25 – Jun 6	1 in 13
4	Fredrikstad	5	May 14 – Jun 14	1 in 7
5	Viking	6	May 3 – Jun 6	1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hamarkameratene	6	Jun 6 – Aug 19	1 in 40
2	Hodd	11	May 23 – Sep 19	1 in 18
3	Sarpsborg	6	Aug 19 – Oct 10	1 in 14
4	Brann	6	Apr 28 – Jun 1	1 in 13
5	Viking	4	Aug 11 – Sep 13	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rosenborg	27.12%	21.07%	16.07%	11.62%	9.16%	6.72%	4.22%	2.46%	1.21%	0.35%
Lyn Oslo	4.59%	7.02%	9.36%	11.74%	13.50%	13.50%	14.43%	12.43%	9.14%	4.29%
Viking	29.61%	20.32%	15.28%	11.70%	8.22%	6.46%	4.14%	2.66%	1.28%	0.33%
Fredrikstad	6.45%	9.07%	10.79%	13.38%	13.49%	13.96%	12.70%	10.16%	7.15%	2.85%
Stromsgodset	11.47%	14.57%	14.99%	14.35%	12.90%	11.32%	9.06%	6.61%	3.55%	1.18%
Hamarkameratene	13.46%	15.81%	16.14%	14.08%	12.81%	10.79%	8.05%	5.45%	2.49%	0.92%
Sarpsborg	5.54%	8.18%	10.76%	12.55%	13.49%	14.38%	13.68%	11.04%	7.13%	3.25%
Hodd	0.52%	1.15%	2.14%	3.61%	5.76%	9.01%	13.02%	20.11%	27.00%	17.68%
Brann	1.21%	2.62%	4.03%	6.13%	9.23%	11.08%	15.33%	19.33%	19.81%	11.23%
Frigg Oslo	0.03%	0.19%	0.44%	0.84%	1.44%	2.78%	5.37%	9.75%	21.24%	57.92%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Viking	99.7%	0.3%
Rosenborg	99.7%	0.4%
Hamarkameratene	99.1%	0.9%
Stromsgodset	98.8%	1.2%
Fredrikstad	97.2%	2.9%
Sarpsborg	96.8%	3.2%
Lyn Oslo	95.7%	4.3%
Brann	88.8%	11.2%
Hodd	82.3%	17.7%
Frigg Oslo	42.1%	57.9%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1971-04-25	Viking	W 3-1	1343	1335	50.1%	29.5%	20.4%	+10.9	3
1971-04-25	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-3	1335	1343	20.4%	29.5%	50.1%	-10.9	0
1971-04-25	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1286	1305	47.2%	29.9%	23.0%	-1.5	1
1971-04-25	@ Hodd	D 0-0	1305	1286	23.0%	29.9%	47.2%	+1.5	1
1971-04-25	Rosenborg	L 1-2	1303	1365	41.7%	30.1%	28.2%	-10.7	0
1971-04-25	@ Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1365	1303	28.2%	30.1%	41.7%	+10.7	3
1971-04-26	Frigg Oslo	W 7-1	1273	1223	54.6%	28.7%	16.7%	+24.3	3
1971-04-26	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-7	1223	1273	16.7%	28.7%	54.6%	-24.3	0
1971-04-28	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1332	1356	46.4%	29.9%	23.7%	-1.4	1
1971-04-28	@ Brann	D 0-0	1356	1332	23.7%	29.9%	46.4%	+1.4	1
1971-05-03	Lyn Oslo	W 3-2	1306	1297	50.3%	29.5%	20.2%	+5.9	4
1971-05-03	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-3	1297	1306	20.2%	29.5%	50.3%	-5.9	3
1971-05-03	Sarpsborg	L 0-4	1199	1292	37.6%	30.1%	32.2%	-37.5	0
1971-05-03	@ Frigg Oslo	W 4-0	1292	1199	32.2%	30.1%	37.6%	+37.5	3
1971-05-03	Brann	W 5-0	1325	1330	48.7%	29.7%	21.6%	+30.8	3
1971-05-03	@ Viking	L 0-5	1330	1325	21.6%	29.7%	48.7%	-30.8	1
1971-05-04	Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1376	1354	51.7%	29.3%	19.0%	-2.1	4
1971-05-04	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1354	1376	19.0%	29.3%	51.7%	+2.1	4
1971-05-04	Hodd	W 4-1	1358	1285	56.9%	28.2%	14.9%	+11.8	4
1971-05-04	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1285	1358	14.9%	28.2%	56.9%	-11.8	1
1971-05-08	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1329	1312	51.2%	29.4%	19.4%	+6.4	6
1971-05-08	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1312	1329	19.4%	29.4%	51.2%	-6.4	4
1971-05-08	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1355	1373	47.2%	29.8%	22.9%	+7.3	6
1971-05-08	@ Viking	L 0-1	1373	1355	22.9%	29.8%	47.2%	-7.3	4
1971-05-09	Brann	D 0-0	1273	1299	46.2%	29.9%	23.8%	-1.4	2
1971-05-09	@ Hodd	D 0-0	1299	1273	23.8%	29.9%	46.2%	+1.4	2
1971-05-10	Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1356	1162	67.3%	24.1%	8.6%	+2.9	7
1971-05-10	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1162	1356	8.6%	24.1%	67.3%	-2.9	0
1971-05-10	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1291	1369	39.6%	30.1%	30.2%	-10.9	3
1971-05-10	@ Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1369	1291	30.2%	30.1%	39.6%	+10.9	7
1971-05-13	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1159	1366	23.3%	28.5%	48.1%	+1.4	1
1971-05-13	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1366	1159	48.1%	28.5%	23.3%	-1.4	5
1971-05-14	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1301	1306	48.7%	29.7%	21.6%	-1.5	3
1971-05-14	@ Brann	D 1-1	1306	1301	21.6%	29.7%	48.7%	+1.5	5
1971-05-16	Lyn Oslo	W 1-0	1272	1280	48.3%	29.8%	21.9%	+7.1	5
1971-05-16	@ Hodd	L 0-1	1280	1272	21.9%	29.8%	48.3%	-7.1	3
1971-05-16	Viking	L 1-4	1336	1363	46.1%	29.9%	23.9%	-28.4	6
1971-05-16	@ Sarpsborg	W 4-1	1363	1336	23.9%	29.9%	46.1%	+28.5	9
1971-05-16	Hamarkameratene	L 1-2	1380	1359	51.7%	29.3%	19.0%	-12.8	7
1971-05-16	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1359	1380	19.0%	29.3%	51.7%	+12.8	10
1971-05-23	Stromsgodset	D 3-3	1307	1368	42.0%	30.1%	27.9%	-0.5	6
1971-05-23	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1368	1307	27.9%	30.1%	42.0%	+0.5	8
1971-05-23	Sarpsborg	D 0-0	1371	1307	56.0%	28.4%	15.6%	-2.7	11
1971-05-23	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1307	1371	15.6%	28.4%	56.0%	+2.7	7
1971-05-23	Brann	W 3-1	1273	1299	46.3%	29.9%	23.8%	+12.3	6
1971-05-23	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1299	1273	23.8%	29.9%	46.3%	-12.3	3
1971-05-23	Hodd	W 4-1	1365	1279	58.1%	27.8%	14.1%	+11.1	8
1971-05-23	@ Rosenborg	L 1-4	1279	1365	14.1%	27.8%	58.1%	-11.1	5
1971-05-23	Frigg Oslo	W 4-1	1391	1160	70.1%	22.5%	7.4%	+5.6	12
1971-05-23	@ Viking	L 1-4	1160	1391	7.4%	22.5%	70.1%	-5.6	1
1971-05-31	Rosenborg	W 2-1	1307	1376	40.8%	30.1%	29.0%	+8.2	9
1971-05-31	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1376	1307	29.0%	30.1%	40.8%	-8.2	8
1971-05-31	Viking	L 1-3	1268	1397	32.6%	29.9%	37.5%	-15.4	5
1971-05-31	@ Hodd	W 3-1	1397	1268	37.5%	29.9%	32.6%	+15.4	15
1971-05-31	Frigg Oslo	W 4-0	1368	1155	68.8%	23.3%	8.0%	+9.5	11
1971-05-31	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-4	1155	1368	8.0%	23.3%	68.8%	-9.5	1
1971-06-01	Hamarkameratene	L 0-3	1287	1369	39.1%	30.1%	30.8%	-29.5	3
1971-06-01	@ Brann	W 3-0	1369	1287	30.8%	30.1%	39.1%	+29.6	14
1971-06-01	Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1286	1310	46.5%	29.9%	23.6%	+7.1	9
1971-06-01	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1310	1286	23.6%	29.9%	46.5%	-7.1	7
1971-06-03	Fredrikstad	L 3-4	1145	1315	27.4%	29.3%	43.3%	-7.2	1
1971-06-03	@ Frigg Oslo	W 4-3	1315	1145	43.3%	29.3%	27.4%	+7.2	12
1971-06-04	Hodd	W 4-0	1303	1252	54.7%	28.7%	16.6%	+20.1	10
1971-06-04	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-4	1252	1303	16.6%	28.7%	54.7%	-20.0	5
1971-06-06	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1398	1293	59.9%	27.3%	12.8%	-2.8	15
1971-06-06	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1293	1398	12.8%	27.3%	59.9%	+2.8	10
1971-06-06	Brann	L 0-1	1368	1257	60.4%	27.1%	12.6%	-15.5	8
1971-06-06	@ Rosenborg	W 1-0	1257	1368	12.6%	27.1%	60.4%	+15.5	6
1971-06-06	Stromsgodset	D 2-2	1412	1377	53.1%	29.0%	17.9%	-1.5	16
1971-06-06	@ Viking	D 2-2	1377	1412	17.9%	29.0%	53.1%	+1.5	12
1971-06-13	Frigg Oslo	L 0-2	1232	1138	58.9%	27.6%	13.5%	-28.7	5
1971-06-13	@ Hodd	W 2-0	1138	1232	13.5%	27.6%	58.9%	+28.7	4
1971-06-13	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1379	1352	52.3%	29.2%	18.5%	-37.5	12
1971-06-13	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-0	1352	1379	18.5%	29.2%	52.3%	+37.5	11
1971-06-14	Sarpsborg	L 1-3	1273	1323	43.2%	30.1%	26.7%	-19.1	6
1971-06-14	@ Brann	W 3-1	1323	1273	26.7%	30.1%	43.2%	+19.1	13
1971-06-14	Hamarkameratene	W 4-0	1322	1395	40.3%	30.1%	29.6%	+31.6	15
1971-06-14	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1395	1322	29.6%	30.1%	40.3%	-31.6	15
1971-06-14	Viking	W 2-1	1296	1411	34.5%	30.0%	35.5%	+9.5	13
1971-06-14	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1411	1296	35.5%	30.0%	34.5%	-9.5	16
1971-06-17	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1390	1305	58.0%	27.9%	14.1%	-2.9	12
1971-06-17	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1305	1390	14.1%	27.9%	58.0%	+2.9	14
1971-06-17	Fredrikstad	W 6-0	1401	1354	54.4%	28.8%	16.8%	+29.8	19
1971-06-17	@ Viking	L 0-6	1354	1401	16.8%	28.8%	54.4%	-29.8	15
1971-06-18	Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1342	1341	49.4%	29.6%	21.0%	-1.6	14
1971-06-18	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1341	1342	21.0%	29.6%	49.4%	+1.6	13
1971-06-20	Brann	W 1-0	1167	1254	38.4%	30.1%	31.5%	+9.2	7
1971-06-20	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1254	1167	31.5%	30.1%	38.4%	-9.2	6
1971-06-20	Hodd	D 0-0	1364	1204	64.6%	25.4%	10.0%	-3.8	16
1971-06-20	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1204	1364	10.0%	25.4%	64.6%	+3.8	6
1971-08-01	Hodd	D 0-0	1324	1207	60.9%	26.9%	12.2%	-3.3	16
1971-08-01	@ Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1207	1324	12.2%	26.9%	60.9%	+3.3	7
1971-08-01	Brann	W 3-1	1343	1245	59.3%	27.5%	13.2%	+7.5	16
1971-08-01	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1245	1343	13.2%	27.5%	59.3%	-7.5	6
1971-08-02	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1176	1308	32.2%	29.8%	38.0%	-15.3	7
1971-08-02	@ Frigg Oslo	W 3-1	1308	1176	38.0%	29.8%	32.2%	+15.3	17
1971-08-02	Sarpsborg	W 3-0	1387	1340	54.3%	28.8%	16.9%	+15.6	15
1971-08-02	@ Rosenborg	L 0-3	1340	1387	16.9%	28.8%	54.3%	-15.6	14
1971-08-02	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1431	1360	56.7%	28.2%	15.1%	+5.2	22
1971-08-02	@ Viking	L 0-1	1360	1431	15.1%	28.2%	56.7%	-5.1	16
1971-08-11	Viking	W 1-0	1237	1436	24.2%	28.7%	47.1%	+12.4	9
1971-08-11	@ Brann	L 0-1	1436	1237	47.1%	28.7%	24.2%	-12.4	22
1971-08-11	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1355	1402	43.6%	30.1%	26.3%	-0.9	17
1971-08-11	@ Hamarkameratene	D 1-1	1402	1355	26.3%	30.1%	43.6%	+0.9	16
1971-08-11	Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1211	1351	31.2%	29.8%	39.1%	-9.1	7
1971-08-11	@ Hodd	W 1-0	1351	1211	39.1%	29.8%	31.2%	+9.1	19
1971-08-11	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1323	1321	49.6%	29.6%	20.8%	+6.8	20
1971-08-11	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1321	1323	20.8%	29.6%	49.6%	-6.8	16
1971-08-11	Frigg Oslo	W 7-1	1325	1160	64.9%	25.2%	9.8%	+14.6	17
1971-08-11	@ Sarpsborg	L 1-7	1160	1325	9.8%	25.2%	64.9%	-14.6	7
1971-08-19	Sarpsborg	W 2-0	1314	1339	46.3%	29.9%	23.7%	+14.2	19
1971-08-19	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1339	1314	23.7%	29.9%	46.3%	-14.2	17
1971-08-19	Hamarkameratene	W 1-0	1146	1354	23.3%	28.5%	48.2%	+12.6	10
1971-08-19	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1354	1146	48.2%	28.5%	23.3%	-12.6	17
1971-08-22	Hodd	D 2-2	1249	1201	54.4%	28.8%	16.8%	-1.6	10
1971-08-22	@ Brann	D 2-2	1201	1249	16.8%	28.8%	54.4%	+1.6	8
1971-08-22	Viking	W 1-0	1403	1424	46.9%	29.9%	23.2%	+7.4	19
1971-08-22	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1424	1403	23.2%	29.9%	46.9%	-7.4	22
1971-08-22	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1360	1330	52.5%	29.1%	18.3%	-2.2	20
1971-08-22	@ Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1330	1360	18.3%	29.1%	52.5%	+2.2	21
1971-09-02	Frigg Oslo	W 2-1	1411	1159	71.7%	21.6%	6.8%	+2.0	22
1971-09-02	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1159	1411	6.8%	21.6%	71.7%	-2.0	10
1971-09-04	Sarpsborg	D 2-2	1416	1325	58.6%	27.7%	13.7%	-2.0	23
1971-09-04	@ Viking	D 2-2	1325	1416	13.7%	27.7%	58.6%	+2.0	18
1971-09-05	Brann	W 2-0	1328	1248	57.6%	28.0%	14.4%	+9.3	22
1971-09-05	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1248	1328	14.4%	28.0%	57.6%	-9.3	10
1971-09-05	Stromsgodset	W 4-1	1341	1357	47.4%	29.8%	22.7%	+16.8	20
1971-09-05	@ Hamarkameratene	L 1-4	1357	1341	22.7%	29.8%	47.4%	-16.8	20
1971-09-05	Hodd	W 1-0	1332	1203	62.0%	26.5%	11.5%	+4.0	24
1971-09-05	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1203	1332	11.5%	26.5%	62.0%	-4.0	8
1971-09-12	Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1238	1336	36.9%	30.1%	33.0%	-10.3	10
1971-09-12	@ Brann	W 1-0	1336	1238	33.0%	30.1%	36.9%	+10.3	27
1971-09-12	Rosenborg	L 0-3	1199	1413	22.7%	28.4%	48.9%	-19.5	8
1971-09-12	@ Hodd	W 3-0	1413	1199	48.9%	28.4%	22.7%	+19.5	25
1971-09-12	Hamarkameratene	L 0-1	1327	1358	45.7%	30.0%	24.4%	-12.2	18
1971-09-12	@ Sarpsborg	W 1-0	1358	1327	24.4%	30.0%	45.7%	+12.2	23
1971-09-12	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1341	1338	49.6%	29.6%	20.8%	-12.4	20
1971-09-12	@ Stromsgodset	W 2-1	1338	1341	20.8%	29.6%	49.6%	+12.4	25
1971-09-13	Viking	W 1-0	1156	1414	18.7%	27.1%	54.2%	+13.9	13
1971-09-13	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1414	1156	54.2%	27.1%	18.7%	-13.9	23
1971-09-19	Brann	W 2-0	1370	1228	63.1%	26.0%	10.9%	+7.1	26
1971-09-19	@ Hamarkameratene	L 0-2	1228	1370	10.9%	26.0%	63.1%	-7.1	10
1971-09-19	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1432	1350	57.8%	27.9%	14.3%	+4.9	28
1971-09-19	@ Rosenborg	L 0-1	1350	1432	14.3%	27.9%	57.8%	-4.9	25
1971-09-19	Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1315	1347	45.6%	30.0%	24.4%	-11.5	18
1971-09-19	@ Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1347	1315	24.4%	30.0%	45.6%	+11.5	30
1971-09-19	Hodd	W 5-1	1400	1180	69.3%	23.0%	7.7%	+7.6	26
1971-09-19	@ Viking	L 1-5	1180	1400	7.7%	23.0%	69.3%	-7.6	8
1971-09-22	Stromsgodset	L 0-3	1170	1328	28.9%	29.5%	41.6%	-23.6	13
1971-09-22	@ Frigg Oslo	W 3-0	1328	1170	41.6%	29.5%	28.9%	+23.6	23
1971-10-03	Frigg Oslo	W 3-1	1221	1147	57.0%	28.1%	14.8%	+8.3	13
1971-10-03	@ Brann	L 1-3	1147	1221	14.8%	28.1%	57.0%	-8.3	13
1971-10-06	Viking	D 2-2	1345	1408	41.6%	30.1%	28.3%	-0.5	26
1971-10-06	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1408	1345	28.3%	30.1%	41.6%	+0.5	27
1971-10-06	Hamarkameratene	W 4-1	1172	1377	23.5%	28.6%	47.9%	+29.0	11
1971-10-06	@ Hodd	L 1-4	1377	1172	47.9%	28.6%	23.5%	-29.0	26
1971-10-06	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1358	1437	39.5%	30.1%	30.4%	-0.4	31
1971-10-06	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1437	1358	30.4%	30.1%	39.5%	+0.4	29
1971-10-06	Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1352	1304	54.5%	28.8%	16.8%	+5.3	26
1971-10-06	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-2	1304	1352	16.8%	28.8%	54.5%	-5.3	18
1971-10-10	Hodd	L 0-5	1138	1201	41.7%	30.1%	28.2%	-50.0	13
1971-10-10	@ Frigg Oslo	W 5-0	1201	1138	28.2%	30.1%	41.7%	+50.0	14
1971-10-10	Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1348	1344	49.7%	29.6%	20.7%	-1.8	27
1971-10-10	@ Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1344	1348	20.7%	29.6%	49.7%	+1.8	27
1971-10-10	Brann	D 3-3	1298	1229	56.5%	28.3%	15.2%	-1.5	19
1971-10-10	@ Sarpsborg	D 3-3	1229	1298	15.2%	28.3%	56.5%	+1.5	14
1971-10-10	Lyn Oslo	W 3-1	1409	1358	54.7%	28.7%	16.6%	+9.1	30
1971-10-10	@ Viking	L 1-3	1358	1409	16.6%	28.7%	54.7%	-9.1	31
1971-10-13	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1437	1357	57.6%	28.0%	14.4%	-2.9	30
1971-10-13	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1357	1437	14.4%	28.0%	57.6%	+2.9	27
1971-10-17	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1231	1435	23.7%	28.6%	47.7%	-7.4	14
1971-10-17	@ Brann	W 1-0	1435	1231	47.7%	28.6%	23.7%	+7.4	33
1971-10-17	Frigg Oslo	W 7-1	1346	1088	72.1%	21.3%	6.6%	+9.1	30
1971-10-17	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-7	1088	1346	6.6%	21.3%	72.1%	-9.1	13
1971-10-17	Sarpsborg	L 1-2	1251	1297	43.8%	30.1%	26.1%	-11.1	14
1971-10-17	@ Hodd	W 2-1	1297	1251	26.1%	30.1%	43.8%	+11.1	22
1971-10-17	Hamarkameratene	D 0-0	1349	1347	49.5%	29.6%	20.9%	-1.8	32
1971-10-17	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1347	1349	20.9%	29.6%	49.5%	+1.8	28
1971-10-17	Viking	D 1-1	1360	1418	42.3%	30.1%	27.6%	-0.8	28
1971-10-17	@ Stromsgodset	D 1-1	1418	1360	27.6%	30.1%	42.3%	+0.8	31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1971-06-06	12.55%	Brann	1257	1	@ Rosenborg	1368	0
2	1971-06-13	13.50%	Frigg Oslo	1138	2	@ Hodd	1232	0
3	1971-06-13	18.54%	Rosenborg	1352	3	@ Stromsgodset	1379	0
4	1971-09-13	18.70%	@ Frigg Oslo	1156	1	Viking	1414	0
5	1971-05-16	19.00%	Hamarkameratene	1359	2	@ Stromsgodset	1380	1
6	1971-09-12	20.76%	Fredrikstad	1338	2	@ Stromsgodset	1341	1
7	1971-08-19	23.27%	@ Frigg Oslo	1146	1	Hamarkameratene	1354	0
8	1971-10-06	23.55%	@ Hodd	1172	4	Hamarkameratene	1377	1
9	1971-05-16	23.93%	Viking	1363	4	@ Sarpsborg	1336	1
10	1971-08-11	24.19%	@ Brann	1237	1	Viking	1436	0
11	1971-09-12	24.37%	Hamarkameratene	1358	1	@ Sarpsborg	1327	0
12	1971-09-19	24.44%	Lyn Oslo	1347	2	@ Sarpsborg	1315	1
13	1971-10-17	26.10%	Sarpsborg	1297	2	@ Hodd	1251	1
14	1971-06-14	26.65%	Sarpsborg	1323	3	@ Brann	1273	1
15	1971-04-25	28.17%	Rosenborg	1365	2	@ Sarpsborg	1303	1
16	1971-10-10	28.20%	Hodd	1201	5	@ Frigg Oslo	1138	0
17	1971-05-10	30.24%	Stromsgodset	1369	1	@ Lyn Oslo	1291	0
18	1971-06-01	30.75%	Hamarkameratene	1369	3	@ Brann	1287	0
19	1971-05-03	32.25%	Sarpsborg	1292	4	@ Frigg Oslo	1199	0
20	1971-09-12	32.96%	Lyn Oslo	1336	1	@ Brann	1238	0
21	1971-06-14	34.51%	@ Lyn Oslo	1296	2	Viking	1411	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1971-10-10	49.98	Hodd	5	1201	28.20%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1138	41.66%
2	1971-06-13	37.53	Rosenborg	3	1352	18.54%	@ Stromsgodset	0	1379	52.26%
3	1971-05-03	37.50	Sarpsborg	4	1292	32.25%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1199	37.63%
4	1971-06-14	31.62	@ Fredrikstad	4	1322	40.28%	Hamarkameratene	0	1395	29.57%
5	1971-05-03	30.83	@ Viking	5	1325	48.66%	Brann	0	1330	21.63%
6	1971-06-17	29.77	@ Viking	6	1401	54.38%	Fredrikstad	0	1354	16.84%
7	1971-06-01	29.56	Hamarkameratene	3	1369	30.75%	@ Brann	0	1287	39.10%
8	1971-10-06	28.99	@ Hodd	4	1172	23.55%	Hamarkameratene	1	1377	47.87%
9	1971-06-13	28.72	Frigg Oslo	2	1138	13.50%	@ Hodd	0	1232	58.92%
10	1971-05-16	28.45	Viking	4	1363	23.93%	@ Sarpsborg	1	1336	46.13%
11	1971-04-26	24.34	@ Lyn Oslo	7	1273	54.59%	Frigg Oslo	1	1223	16.67%
12	1971-09-22	23.62	Stromsgodset	3	1328	41.60%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1170	28.89%
13	1971-06-04	20.06	@ Sarpsborg	4	1303	54.71%	Hodd	0	1252	16.57%
14	1971-09-12	19.46	Rosenborg	3	1413	48.91%	@ Hodd	0	1199	22.71%
15	1971-06-14	19.08	Sarpsborg	3	1323	26.65%	@ Brann	1	1273	43.25%
16	1971-09-05	16.80	@ Hamarkameratene	4	1341	47.42%	Stromsgodset	1	1357	22.74%
17	1971-08-02	15.63	@ Rosenborg	3	1387	54.27%	Sarpsborg	0	1340	16.92%
18	1971-06-06	15.54	Brann	1	1257	12.55%	@ Rosenborg	0	1368	60.35%
19	1971-05-31	15.42	Viking	3	1397	37.52%	@ Hodd	1	1268	32.60%
20	1971-08-02	15.27	Lyn Oslo	3	1308	37.98%	@ Frigg Oslo	1	1176	32.18%
21	1971-08-11	14.56	@ Sarpsborg	7	1325	64.93%	Frigg Oslo	1	1160	9.85%
22	1971-08-19	14.18	@ Fredrikstad	2	1314	46.33%	Sarpsborg	0	1339	23.74%
23	1971-09-13	13.89	@ Frigg Oslo	1	1156	18.70%	Viking	0	1414	54.16%
24	1971-05-16	12.81	Hamarkameratene	2	1359	19.00%	@ Stromsgodset	1	1380	51.71%
25	1971-08-19	12.63	@ Frigg Oslo	1	1146	23.27%	Hamarkameratene	0	1354	48.21%