1967 First Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Rosenborg

25 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Rosenborg

4.58 points above expected

25 points · 20.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fredrikstad

3.74 points below expected

16 points · 19.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	18	9	7	2	25	40	24	+16	20.4	+4.58
2	Skeid	18	10	2	6	22	42	26	+16	18.7	+3.29
3	Lyn Oslo	18	9	3	6	21	39	30	+9	20.2	+0.75
4	Frigg Oslo	18	8	4	6	20	22	22	0	17.6	+2.37
5	Valerenga	18	7	4	7	18	27	33	-6	17.2	+0.83
6	Fredrikstad	18	7	2	9	16	27	25	+2	19.7	-3.74
7	Sarpsborg	18	5	6	7	16	18	24	-6	16.6	-0.63
8	Stromsgodset	18	7	1	10	15	30	34	-4	17.1	-2.12
9	Steinkjer	18	5	5	8	15	21	31	-10	16.9	-1.91
10	IF Odd	18	5	2	11	12	18	35	-17	15.4	-3.43

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Skeid	1400	22	18.71	+3.29	85.6%	6	13	16	19	21	24	31
Lyn Oslo	1374	21	20.25	+0.75	63.8%	8	14	18	20	23	26	33
Rosenborg	1372	25	20.42	+4.58	93.1%	8	15	18	20	23	26	33
Fredrikstad	1335	16	19.74	-3.74	17.3%	7	14	17	20	22	25	32
Frigg Oslo	1301	20	17.63	+2.37	79.3%	4	12	15	18	20	23	29
Stromsgodset	1279	15	17.12	-2.12	31.6%	5	11	15	17	19	23	30
Valerenga	1264	18	17.17	+0.83	65.2%	3	12	15	17	19	23	30
Sarpsborg	1243	16	16.63	-0.63	48.2%	3	11	14	17	19	22	30
Steinkjer	1232	15	16.91	-1.91	34.9%	3	11	15	17	19	23	31
IF Odd	1206	12	15.43	-3.43	20.4%	3	10	13	15	18	21	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FRE	FO	IO	LO	ROS	SAR	SKE	STE	STR	VAL
Fredrikstad	—	0-0-2 3.12	2-0-0 3.40	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.01	0-0-2 3.33	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.09
Frigg Oslo	2-0-0 2.48	—	1-1-0 3.09	0-0-2 2.51	0-2-0 2.30	2-0-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.62	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 2.92
IF Odd	0-0-2 2.21	0-1-1 2.51	—	1-0-1 2.18	0-1-1 1.89	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 2.36	2-0-0 2.42	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.61
Lyn Oslo	1-1-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.43	—	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.43	0-0-2 3.44
Rosenborg	1-1-0 2.77	0-2-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.72	1-0-1 2.85	—	0-1-1 3.29	2-0-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.46	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.24
Sarpsborg	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.69	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.31	1-1-0 2.32	—	0-1-1 2.50	1-1-0 2.68	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.72
Skeid	1-0-1 2.59	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.68	1-1-0 3.10	—	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.94
Steinkjer	2-0-0 2.27	1-1-0 2.64	0-0-2 3.18	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.92	0-0-2 2.42	—	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 2.74
Stromsgodset	0-0-2 2.43	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.18	0-0-2 2.41	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.77	—	1-0-1 2.71
Valerenga	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-2 2.68	2-0-0 2.99	2-0-0 2.16	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.88	0-1-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.89	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	1.67%	3.89%	0.56%	25.56%
1	8.33%	7.78%	7.22%	3.33%	2.22%	—	28.89%
2	5.56%	7.22%	4.44%	2.78%	2.22%	1.11%	23.33%
3	1.67%	3.33%	2.78%	2.22%	0.56%	0.56%	11.11%
4	3.89%	2.22%	2.22%	0.56%	—	—	8.89%
5+	0.56%	—	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	2.22%
Total	25.56%	28.89%	23.33%	11.11%	8.89%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.16
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.008
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	38.89%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.39
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.235
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	22.22%	—	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	55.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	1.22
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.055
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	38.89%
1	—	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	50.00%	11.11%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.47
Mean total goals/game	2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.370
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	—	22.22%
3	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	16.67%	33.33%	5.56%	16.67%	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	1.67
StdDev scored	2.01
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.166
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Rosenborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.22
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.039
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	16.67%	27.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.91
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%
4	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.33
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	3.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.015
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	5.56%	33.33%
3	—	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	100%

Steinkjer — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.72
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.212
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	38.89%
1	5.56%	—	—	11.11%	—	—	16.67%
2	—	—	—	11.11%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	11.11%	—	100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.67
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	16.67%	33.33%	11.11%	16.67%	—	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.83
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.119
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rosenborg	25	20.4	+4.58
2	Skeid	22	18.7	+3.29
3	Frigg Oslo	20	17.6	+2.37
4	Valerenga	18	17.2	+0.83
5	Lyn Oslo	21	20.2	+0.75

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	16	19.7	-3.74
2	IF Odd	12	15.4	-3.43
3	Stromsgodset	15	17.1	-2.12
4	Steinkjer	15	16.9	-1.91
5	Sarpsborg	16	16.6	-0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	3	Sep 7 – Oct 6	1 in 30
2	Frigg Oslo	3	Oct 8 – Oct 22	1 in 25
3	Steinkjer	3	May 28 – Jun 11	1 in 21
4	Skeid	4	Aug 10 – Sep 17	1 in 14
5	Sarpsborg	2	Apr 30 – May 7	1 in 11

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stromsgodset	5	May 4 – May 25	1 in 34
2	Sarpsborg	3	Jun 4 – Jun 18	1 in 14
3	Skeid	3	Apr 28 – May 10	1 in 13
4	IF Odd	4	Sep 10 – Oct 15	1 in 13
5	Fredrikstad	2	Apr 30 – May 7	1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rosenborg	9	Jun 4 – Sep 17	1 in 34
2	Skeid	7	Aug 10 – Oct 22	1 in 16
3	Valerenga	5	Apr 30 – May 22	1 in 12
4	Frigg Oslo	4	Sep 17 – Oct 22	1 in 7
5	Fredrikstad	4	Jun 11 – Aug 7	1 in 6

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sarpsborg	7	Jun 4 – Aug 16	1 in 26
2	Lyn Oslo	3	May 11 – May 22	1 in 11
3	Steinkjer	5	Apr 30 – May 19	1 in 11
4	Valerenga	4	May 28 – Jun 19	1 in 8
5	Rosenborg	3	Sep 10 – Oct 8	1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Rosenborg	25.44%	18.72%	14.40%	11.36%	8.75%	7.23%	5.39%	4.04%	3.04%	1.63%
Skeid	13.16%	13.01%	12.68%	12.23%	10.78%	9.99%	9.19%	7.89%	6.53%	4.54%
Lyn Oslo	22.10%	18.26%	14.65%	11.30%	9.90%	7.70%	6.12%	4.81%	3.16%	2.00%
Frigg Oslo	6.07%	8.21%	9.91%	10.78%	11.60%	12.32%	11.25%	11.12%	10.10%	8.64%
Valerenga	4.30%	6.09%	8.08%	9.63%	10.36%	11.48%	12.50%	13.05%	13.01%	11.50%
Fredrikstad	15.88%	15.91%	14.53%	12.88%	11.09%	8.98%	7.69%	5.94%	4.30%	2.80%
Sarpsborg	3.19%	5.24%	7.03%	8.30%	10.07%	10.76%	11.98%	13.26%	15.14%	15.03%
Stromsgodset	4.66%	6.43%	7.67%	9.52%	10.66%	11.85%	12.44%	12.90%	12.02%	11.85%
Steinkjer	3.80%	5.54%	7.05%	8.69%	9.74%	11.10%	12.23%	13.58%	14.05%	14.22%
IF Odd	1.40%	2.59%	4.00%	5.31%	7.05%	8.59%	11.21%	13.41%	18.65%	27.79%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Rosenborg	95.3%	4.7%
Lyn Oslo	94.8%	5.2%
Fredrikstad	92.9%	7.1%
Skeid	88.9%	11.1%
Frigg Oslo	81.3%	18.7%
Stromsgodset	76.1%	23.9%
Valerenga	75.5%	24.5%
Steinkjer	71.7%	28.3%
Sarpsborg	69.8%	30.2%
IF Odd	53.6%	46.4%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1967-04-27	Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1334	1293	62.1%	19.7%	18.2%	+4.2	3
1967-04-27	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1293	1334	18.2%	19.7%	62.1%	-4.2	0
1967-04-28	Skeid	W 3-1	1301	1320	55.8%	20.1%	24.0%	+8.9	3
1967-04-28	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-3	1320	1301	24.0%	20.1%	55.8%	-8.9	0
1967-04-30	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1309	1342	54.2%	20.2%	25.6%	+5.4	3
1967-04-30	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1342	1309	25.6%	20.2%	54.2%	-5.4	0
1967-04-30	Steinkjer	W 1-0	1266	1284	55.9%	20.1%	24.0%	+5.4	3
1967-04-30	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1284	1266	24.0%	20.1%	55.9%	-5.4	0
1967-04-30	IF Odd	W 3-0	1287	1270	59.6%	19.9%	20.5%	+12.9	3
1967-04-30	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1270	1287	20.5%	19.9%	59.6%	-12.9	0
1967-05-04	Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1288	1310	55.5%	20.2%	24.4%	+5.5	3
1967-05-04	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1310	1288	24.4%	20.2%	55.5%	-5.5	3
1967-05-06	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1257	1338	48.3%	20.3%	31.4%	-18.3	0
1967-05-06	@ IF Odd	W 2-0	1338	1257	31.4%	20.3%	48.3%	+18.3	6
1967-05-07	Sarpsborg	L 0-2	1337	1271	64.3%	19.5%	16.2%	-23.9	0
1967-05-07	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1271	1337	16.2%	19.5%	64.3%	+23.9	6
1967-05-07	Rosenborg	L 2-5	1311	1315	57.6%	20.1%	22.4%	-22.7	0
1967-05-07	@ Skeid	W 5-2	1315	1311	22.4%	20.1%	57.6%	+22.7	6
1967-05-07	Valerenga	D 1-1	1279	1300	55.5%	20.2%	24.3%	-1.4	1
1967-05-07	@ Steinkjer	D 1-1	1300	1279	24.3%	20.2%	55.5%	+1.4	4
1967-05-10	Skeid	W 2-1	1313	1289	60.4%	19.9%	19.7%	+4.3	3
1967-05-10	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1289	1313	19.7%	19.9%	60.4%	-4.3	0
1967-05-10	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1239	1305	50.2%	20.3%	29.4%	+10.5	3
1967-05-10	@ IF Odd	L 1-3	1305	1239	29.4%	20.3%	50.2%	-10.5	3
1967-05-10	Frigg Oslo	D 0-0	1337	1294	62.3%	19.7%	18.1%	-2.3	7
1967-05-10	@ Rosenborg	D 0-0	1294	1337	18.1%	19.7%	62.3%	+2.3	4
1967-05-10	Sarpsborg	W 1-0	1301	1295	58.6%	20.0%	21.5%	+4.9	7
1967-05-10	@ Valerenga	L 0-1	1295	1301	21.5%	20.0%	58.6%	-4.9	6
1967-05-11	Steinkjer	D 0-0	1356	1277	65.5%	19.3%	15.2%	-2.7	7
1967-05-11	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1277	1356	15.2%	19.3%	65.5%	+2.7	2
1967-05-15	IF Odd	L 1-2	1280	1250	61.0%	19.8%	19.2%	-11.3	2
1967-05-15	@ Steinkjer	W 2-1	1250	1280	19.2%	19.8%	61.0%	+11.3	6
1967-05-15	Rosenborg	L 0-1	1294	1335	53.3%	20.2%	26.5%	-10.6	3
1967-05-15	@ Stromsgodset	W 1-0	1335	1294	26.5%	20.2%	53.3%	+10.6	10
1967-05-16	Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1296	1317	55.6%	20.2%	24.3%	+5.2	7
1967-05-16	@ Frigg Oslo	L 1-2	1317	1296	24.3%	20.2%	55.6%	-5.2	3
1967-05-16	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1290	1354	50.5%	20.3%	29.2%	-1.1	7
1967-05-16	@ Sarpsborg	D 0-0	1354	1290	29.2%	20.3%	50.5%	+1.1	8
1967-05-18	Skeid	D 0-0	1306	1284	60.2%	19.9%	20.0%	-2.1	8
1967-05-18	@ Valerenga	D 0-0	1284	1306	20.0%	19.9%	60.2%	+2.1	1
1967-05-19	Steinkjer	W 2-1	1346	1268	65.3%	19.3%	15.4%	+3.4	13
1967-05-19	@ Rosenborg	L 1-2	1268	1346	15.4%	19.3%	65.3%	-3.4	2
1967-05-20	Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1312	1284	60.8%	19.8%	19.4%	+16.0	6
1967-05-20	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1284	1312	19.4%	19.8%	60.8%	-16.0	3
1967-05-21	Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1261	1289	54.8%	20.2%	25.0%	-10.8	6
1967-05-21	@ IF Odd	W 1-0	1289	1261	25.0%	20.2%	54.8%	+10.8	10
1967-05-22	Valerenga	L 1-2	1355	1304	62.9%	19.6%	17.4%	-11.7	8
1967-05-22	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1304	1355	17.4%	19.6%	62.9%	+11.7	11
1967-05-25	Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1343	1268	65.1%	19.4%	15.5%	+3.3	11
1967-05-25	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1268	1343	15.5%	19.4%	65.1%	-3.3	3
1967-05-28	Skeid	W 2-1	1250	1286	53.8%	20.2%	26.0%	+5.5	9
1967-05-28	@ IF Odd	L 1-2	1286	1250	26.0%	20.2%	53.8%	-5.5	1
1967-05-28	Rosenborg	W 1-0	1300	1349	52.3%	20.3%	27.4%	+6.1	13
1967-05-28	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1349	1300	27.4%	20.3%	52.3%	-6.1	13
1967-05-28	Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1265	1301	53.8%	20.2%	26.0%	+5.8	5
1967-05-28	@ Steinkjer	L 0-1	1301	1265	26.0%	20.2%	53.8%	-5.8	7
1967-05-28	Fredrikstad	L 0-2	1316	1328	56.5%	20.1%	23.4%	-21.1	11
1967-05-28	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1328	1316	23.4%	20.1%	56.5%	+21.1	9
1967-06-04	Steinkjer	L 0-1	1349	1271	65.4%	19.3%	15.3%	-12.9	9
1967-06-04	@ Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1271	1349	15.3%	19.3%	65.4%	+12.9	8
1967-06-04	IF Odd	D 1-1	1296	1256	61.9%	19.7%	18.4%	-2.0	8
1967-06-04	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1256	1296	18.4%	19.7%	61.9%	+2.1	10
1967-06-04	Lyn Oslo	W 2-0	1343	1346	57.5%	20.1%	22.4%	+9.6	16
1967-06-04	@ Rosenborg	L 0-2	1346	1343	22.4%	20.1%	57.5%	-9.6	11
1967-06-04	Sarpsborg	W 4-0	1281	1306	55.1%	20.2%	24.7%	+19.9	4
1967-06-04	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1306	1281	24.7%	20.2%	55.1%	-19.9	13
1967-06-04	Valerenga	W 4-1	1264	1295	54.5%	20.2%	25.3%	+13.1	6
1967-06-04	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1295	1264	25.3%	20.2%	54.5%	-13.1	11
1967-06-11	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1258	1336	48.6%	20.3%	31.1%	-9.7	10
1967-06-11	@ IF Odd	W 1-0	1336	1258	31.1%	20.3%	48.6%	+9.7	12
1967-06-11	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1284	1277	58.6%	20.0%	21.4%	+9.3	11
1967-06-11	@ Steinkjer	L 0-2	1277	1284	21.4%	20.0%	58.6%	-9.3	6
1967-06-11	Rosenborg	D 3-3	1282	1352	49.6%	20.3%	30.1%	-0.5	12
1967-06-11	@ Valerenga	D 3-3	1352	1282	30.1%	20.3%	49.6%	+0.5	17
1967-06-12	Frigg Oslo	L 1-2	1286	1294	57.1%	20.1%	22.8%	-10.6	13
1967-06-12	@ Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1294	1286	22.8%	20.1%	57.1%	+10.6	11
1967-06-13	Skeid	W 5-3	1337	1301	61.5%	19.8%	18.7%	+6.0	14
1967-06-13	@ Lyn Oslo	L 3-5	1301	1337	18.7%	19.8%	61.5%	-6.0	4
1967-06-18	IF Odd	W 6-0	1353	1248	67.6%	19.0%	13.5%	+16.7	20
1967-06-18	@ Rosenborg	L 0-6	1248	1353	13.5%	19.0%	67.6%	-16.7	10
1967-06-18	Steinkjer	W 1-0	1295	1293	58.1%	20.0%	21.9%	+5.0	7
1967-06-18	@ Skeid	L 0-1	1293	1295	21.9%	20.0%	58.1%	-5.0	11
1967-06-18	Sarpsborg	W 4-2	1268	1275	57.1%	20.1%	22.8%	+7.6	9
1967-06-18	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1275	1268	22.8%	20.1%	57.1%	-7.6	13
1967-06-19	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1346	1343	58.3%	20.0%	21.7%	-1.7	13
1967-06-19	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1343	1346	21.7%	20.0%	58.3%	+1.7	15
1967-06-19	Valerenga	W 3-1	1304	1281	60.3%	19.9%	19.9%	+7.5	14
1967-06-19	@ Frigg Oslo	L 1-3	1281	1304	19.9%	19.9%	60.3%	-7.5	12
1967-06-22	Frigg Oslo	W 4-0	1300	1312	56.6%	20.1%	23.3%	+18.9	10
1967-06-22	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1312	1300	23.3%	20.1%	56.6%	-18.9	14
1967-07-30	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1344	1370	55.1%	20.2%	24.7%	-1.0	14
1967-07-30	@ Fredrikstad	D 2-2	1370	1344	24.7%	20.2%	55.1%	+1.0	21
1967-07-30	Sarpsborg	D 2-2	1288	1268	60.0%	19.9%	20.1%	-1.4	12
1967-07-30	@ Steinkjer	D 2-2	1268	1288	20.1%	19.9%	60.0%	+1.4	14
1967-07-31	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1293	1344	52.0%	20.3%	27.7%	-16.9	14
1967-07-31	@ Frigg Oslo	W 3-1	1344	1293	27.7%	20.3%	52.0%	+16.9	18
1967-07-31	Valerenga	L 2-3	1231	1274	53.1%	20.2%	26.7%	-9.4	10
1967-07-31	@ IF Odd	W 3-2	1274	1231	26.7%	20.2%	53.1%	+9.4	15
1967-08-02	Stromsgodset	W 4-0	1319	1276	62.2%	19.7%	18.1%	+15.1	13
1967-08-02	@ Skeid	L 0-4	1276	1319	18.1%	19.7%	62.2%	-15.1	9
1967-08-06	IF Odd	L 1-2	1361	1222	70.1%	18.5%	11.4%	-13.0	18
1967-08-06	@ Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1222	1361	11.4%	18.5%	70.1%	+13.0	13
1967-08-06	Skeid	W 4-3	1371	1334	61.7%	19.7%	18.6%	+3.8	24
1967-08-06	@ Rosenborg	L 3-4	1334	1371	18.6%	19.7%	61.7%	-3.8	13
1967-08-06	Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1261	1276	56.2%	20.1%	23.6%	+5.3	12
1967-08-06	@ Stromsgodset	L 0-1	1276	1261	23.6%	20.1%	56.2%	-5.3	14
1967-08-06	Steinkjer	L 0-2	1283	1287	57.5%	20.1%	22.4%	-21.4	15
1967-08-06	@ Valerenga	W 2-0	1287	1283	22.4%	20.1%	57.5%	+21.4	15
1967-08-07	Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1269	1343	49.1%	20.3%	30.5%	-26.9	14
1967-08-07	@ Sarpsborg	W 3-0	1343	1269	30.5%	20.3%	49.1%	+26.9	17
1967-08-09	Rosenborg	D 2-2	1271	1375	45.2%	20.3%	34.4%	-0.3	15
1967-08-09	@ Frigg Oslo	D 2-2	1375	1271	34.4%	20.3%	45.2%	+0.4	25
1967-08-09	IF Odd	W 4-1	1266	1235	61.1%	19.8%	19.1%	+10.2	15
1967-08-09	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1235	1266	19.1%	19.8%	61.1%	-10.2	13
1967-08-10	Valerenga	D 1-1	1242	1262	55.8%	20.1%	24.1%	-1.4	15
1967-08-10	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1262	1242	24.1%	20.1%	55.8%	+1.5	16
1967-08-10	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1330	1370	53.3%	20.2%	26.4%	+5.9	16
1967-08-10	@ Skeid	L 0-1	1370	1330	26.4%	20.2%	53.3%	-5.9	17
1967-08-16	Sarpsborg	W 2-1	1348	1241	67.7%	19.0%	13.3%	+3.0	21
1967-08-16	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1241	1348	13.3%	19.0%	67.7%	-3.0	15
1967-08-16	Steinkjer	W 2-0	1224	1308	47.9%	20.3%	31.7%	+12.9	16
1967-08-16	@ IF Odd	L 0-2	1308	1224	31.7%	20.3%	47.9%	-12.9	15
1967-08-20	Lyn Oslo	L 2-8	1295	1351	51.4%	20.3%	28.3%	-36.6	15
1967-08-20	@ Steinkjer	W 8-2	1351	1295	28.3%	20.3%	51.4%	+36.6	24
1967-08-20	Stromsgodset	W 3-1	1375	1276	67.0%	19.1%	13.9%	+5.4	28
1967-08-20	@ Rosenborg	L 1-3	1276	1375	13.9%	19.1%	67.0%	-5.4	15
1967-08-21	Frigg Oslo	L 1-2	1364	1270	66.7%	19.1%	14.2%	-12.4	17
1967-08-21	@ Fredrikstad	W 2-1	1270	1364	14.2%	19.1%	66.7%	+12.4	18
1967-08-21	Valerenga	W 4-1	1336	1263	64.9%	19.4%	15.7%	+8.5	19
1967-08-21	@ Skeid	L 1-4	1263	1336	15.7%	19.4%	64.9%	-8.5	16
1967-09-07	Lyn Oslo	W 4-2	1254	1388	41.1%	20.3%	38.6%	+11.7	19
1967-09-07	@ Valerenga	L 2-4	1388	1254	38.6%	20.3%	41.1%	-11.7	24
1967-09-10	Skeid	L 0-1	1283	1344	50.7%	20.3%	29.0%	-10.1	18
1967-09-10	@ Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1344	1283	29.0%	20.3%	50.7%	+10.1	22
1967-09-10	IF Odd	W 3-0	1238	1237	57.9%	20.0%	22.0%	+13.8	18
1967-09-10	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-3	1237	1238	22.0%	20.0%	57.9%	-13.8	16
1967-09-10	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1258	1380	42.8%	20.3%	36.9%	-0.2	16
1967-09-10	@ Steinkjer	D 1-1	1380	1258	36.9%	20.3%	42.8%	+0.2	29
1967-09-10	Fredrikstad	L 2-3	1271	1352	48.2%	20.3%	31.4%	-8.6	15
1967-09-10	@ Stromsgodset	W 3-2	1352	1271	31.4%	20.3%	48.2%	+8.7	20
1967-09-17	Valerenga	L 2-3	1361	1266	66.7%	19.1%	14.1%	-11.7	20
1967-09-17	@ Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1266	1361	14.1%	19.1%	66.7%	+11.7	22
1967-09-17	Steinkjer	D 3-3	1272	1258	59.4%	19.9%	20.7%	-1.1	19
1967-09-17	@ Frigg Oslo	D 3-3	1258	1272	20.7%	19.9%	59.4%	+1.1	17
1967-09-17	Sarpsborg	D 2-2	1381	1252	69.3%	18.7%	12.0%	-2.1	30
1967-09-17	@ Rosenborg	D 2-2	1252	1381	12.0%	18.7%	69.3%	+2.1	19
1967-09-17	IF Odd	W 3-1	1355	1224	69.5%	18.6%	11.9%	+4.6	25
1967-09-17	@ Skeid	L 1-3	1224	1355	11.9%	18.6%	69.5%	-4.6	16
1967-09-17	Lyn Oslo	W 4-1	1262	1376	43.9%	20.3%	35.8%	+17.5	18
1967-09-17	@ Stromsgodset	L 1-4	1376	1262	35.8%	20.3%	43.9%	-17.5	24
1967-10-06	Stromsgodset	W 2-0	1278	1280	57.7%	20.0%	22.2%	+9.6	25
1967-10-06	@ Valerenga	L 0-2	1280	1278	22.2%	20.0%	57.7%	-9.6	18
1967-10-08	Rosenborg	W 4-0	1359	1378	55.7%	20.2%	24.1%	+19.5	27
1967-10-08	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-4	1378	1359	24.1%	20.2%	55.7%	-19.5	30
1967-10-08	Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1219	1271	51.9%	20.3%	27.8%	-10.3	16
1967-10-08	@ IF Odd	W 1-0	1271	1219	27.8%	20.3%	51.9%	+10.3	22
1967-10-08	Fredrikstad	W 2-0	1259	1349	47.1%	20.3%	32.5%	+13.2	20
1967-10-08	@ Steinkjer	L 0-2	1349	1259	32.5%	20.3%	47.1%	-13.2	20
1967-10-09	Skeid	D 1-1	1254	1359	45.0%	20.3%	34.6%	-0.5	20
1967-10-09	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1359	1254	34.6%	20.3%	45.0%	+0.4	26
1967-10-12	Lyn Oslo	W 4-2	1360	1378	55.9%	20.1%	24.0%	+7.9	29
1967-10-12	@ Skeid	L 2-4	1378	1360	24.0%	20.1%	55.9%	-7.9	27
1967-10-15	IF Odd	W 2-1	1336	1209	69.2%	18.7%	12.1%	+2.7	23
1967-10-15	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1209	1336	12.1%	18.7%	69.2%	-2.7	16
1967-10-15	Sarpsborg	W 2-0	1282	1253	60.8%	19.8%	19.4%	+8.5	25
1967-10-15	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-2	1253	1282	19.4%	19.8%	60.8%	-8.5	20
1967-10-15	Valerenga	W 4-0	1359	1287	64.8%	19.4%	15.8%	+13.3	33
1967-10-15	@ Rosenborg	L 0-4	1287	1359	15.8%	19.4%	64.8%	-13.3	25
1967-10-15	Steinkjer	W 4-2	1270	1272	57.6%	20.1%	22.3%	+7.4	21
1967-10-15	@ Stromsgodset	L 2-4	1272	1270	22.3%	20.1%	57.6%	-7.4	20
1967-10-22	Fredrikstad	W 3-2	1370	1339	61.1%	19.8%	19.1%	+4.0	30
1967-10-22	@ Lyn Oslo	L 2-3	1339	1370	19.1%	19.8%	61.1%	-4.0	23
1967-10-22	Rosenborg	D 1-1	1206	1372	36.5%	20.2%	43.3%	+0.3	17
1967-10-22	@ IF Odd	D 1-1	1372	1206	43.3%	20.2%	36.5%	-0.3	34
1967-10-22	Stromsgodset	D 0-0	1245	1278	54.2%	20.2%	25.6%	-1.5	21
1967-10-22	@ Sarpsborg	D 0-0	1278	1245	25.6%	20.2%	54.2%	+1.5	22
1967-10-22	Skeid	L 0-4	1265	1368	45.4%	20.3%	34.2%	-32.8	20
1967-10-22	@ Steinkjer	W 4-0	1368	1265	34.2%	20.3%	45.4%	+32.8	32
1967-10-22	Frigg Oslo	L 1-2	1274	1290	56.1%	20.1%	23.7%	-10.5	25
1967-10-22	@ Valerenga	W 2-1	1290	1274	23.7%	20.1%	56.1%	+10.5	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1967-08-06	11.39%	IF Odd	1222	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1361	1
2	1967-09-17	14.15%	Valerenga	1266	3	@ Fredrikstad	1361	2
3	1967-08-21	14.17%	Frigg Oslo	1270	2	@ Fredrikstad	1364	1
4	1967-06-04	15.29%	Steinkjer	1271	1	@ Fredrikstad	1349	0
5	1967-05-07	16.25%	Sarpsborg	1271	2	@ Fredrikstad	1337	0
6	1967-05-22	17.45%	Valerenga	1304	2	@ Lyn Oslo	1355	1
7	1967-05-15	19.21%	IF Odd	1250	2	@ Steinkjer	1280	1
8	1967-05-07	22.40%	Rosenborg	1315	5	@ Skeid	1311	2
9	1967-08-06	22.44%	Steinkjer	1287	2	@ Valerenga	1283	0
10	1967-06-12	22.83%	Frigg Oslo	1294	2	@ Sarpsborg	1286	1
11	1967-05-28	23.35%	Fredrikstad	1328	2	@ Valerenga	1316	0
12	1967-10-22	23.72%	Frigg Oslo	1290	2	@ Valerenga	1274	1
13	1967-05-21	25.04%	Sarpsborg	1289	1	@ IF Odd	1261	0
14	1967-05-15	26.47%	Rosenborg	1335	1	@ Stromsgodset	1294	0
15	1967-07-31	26.66%	Valerenga	1274	3	@ IF Odd	1231	2
16	1967-07-31	27.74%	Lyn Oslo	1344	3	@ Frigg Oslo	1293	1
17	1967-10-08	27.83%	Frigg Oslo	1271	1	@ IF Odd	1219	0
18	1967-08-20	28.29%	Lyn Oslo	1351	8	@ Steinkjer	1295	2
19	1967-09-10	28.99%	Skeid	1344	1	@ Frigg Oslo	1283	0
20	1967-08-07	30.52%	Fredrikstad	1343	3	@ Sarpsborg	1269	0
21	1967-06-11	31.11%	Fredrikstad	1336	1	@ IF Odd	1258	0
22	1967-05-06	31.36%	Lyn Oslo	1338	2	@ IF Odd	1257	0
23	1967-09-10	31.43%	Fredrikstad	1352	3	@ Stromsgodset	1271	2
24	1967-10-22	34.24%	Skeid	1368	4	@ Steinkjer	1265	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1967-08-20	36.64	Lyn Oslo	8	1351	28.29%	@ Steinkjer	2	1295	51.42%
2	1967-10-22	32.84	Skeid	4	1368	34.24%	@ Steinkjer	0	1265	45.42%
3	1967-08-07	26.93	Fredrikstad	3	1343	30.52%	@ Sarpsborg	0	1269	49.15%
4	1967-05-07	23.86	Sarpsborg	2	1271	16.25%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1337	64.29%
5	1967-05-07	22.74	Rosenborg	5	1315	22.40%	@ Skeid	2	1311	57.55%
6	1967-08-06	21.43	Steinkjer	2	1287	22.44%	@ Valerenga	0	1283	57.51%
7	1967-05-28	21.09	Fredrikstad	2	1328	23.35%	@ Valerenga	0	1316	56.54%
8	1967-06-04	19.88	@ Skeid	4	1281	55.12%	Sarpsborg	0	1306	24.71%
9	1967-10-08	19.48	@ Lyn Oslo	4	1359	55.72%	Rosenborg	0	1378	24.13%
10	1967-06-22	18.89	@ Skeid	4	1300	56.60%	Frigg Oslo	0	1312	23.29%
11	1967-05-06	18.26	Lyn Oslo	2	1338	31.36%	@ IF Odd	0	1257	48.31%
12	1967-09-17	17.47	@ Stromsgodset	4	1262	43.85%	Lyn Oslo	1	1376	35.82%
13	1967-07-31	16.89	Lyn Oslo	3	1344	27.74%	@ Frigg Oslo	1	1293	51.98%
14	1967-06-18	16.73	@ Rosenborg	6	1353	67.56%	IF Odd	0	1248	13.45%
15	1967-05-20	16.04	@ Fredrikstad	4	1312	60.82%	Stromsgodset	0	1284	19.36%
16	1967-08-02	15.09	@ Skeid	4	1319	62.21%	Stromsgodset	0	1276	18.10%
17	1967-09-10	13.77	@ Sarpsborg	3	1238	57.94%	IF Odd	0	1237	22.03%
18	1967-10-15	13.32	@ Rosenborg	4	1359	64.79%	Valerenga	0	1287	15.81%
19	1967-10-08	13.20	@ Steinkjer	2	1259	47.12%	Fredrikstad	0	1349	32.53%
20	1967-06-04	13.09	@ Stromsgodset	4	1264	54.51%	Valerenga	1	1295	25.29%
21	1967-08-06	12.97	IF Odd	2	1222	11.39%	@ Lyn Oslo	1	1361	70.10%
22	1967-08-16	12.93	@ IF Odd	2	1224	47.94%	Steinkjer	0	1308	31.72%
23	1967-04-30	12.90	@ Valerenga	3	1287	59.63%	IF Odd	0	1270	20.46%
24	1967-06-04	12.87	Steinkjer	1	1271	15.29%	@ Fredrikstad	0	1349	65.39%
25	1967-08-21	12.36	Frigg Oslo	2	1270	14.17%	@ Fredrikstad	1	1364	66.70%