1966 First Division Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Skeid

25 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skeid

5.98 points above expected

25 points · 19.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lisleby

4.64 points below expected

13 points · 17.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Skeid	18	9	7	2	25	31	20	+11	19.0	+5.98
2	Fredrikstad	18	10	4	4	24	37	20	+17	19.0	+5.04
3	Lyn Oslo	18	6	9	3	21	28	24	+4	20.1	+0.89
4	Frigg Oslo	18	8	4	6	20	21	15	+6	17.7	+2.33
5	Valerenga	18	9	1	8	19	32	35	-3	17.7	+1.34
6	Steinkjer	18	7	3	8	17	31	29	+2	18.2	-1.18
7	IF Odd	18	5	4	9	14	21	29	-8	16.1	-2.15
8	Sarpsborg	18	4	6	8	14	16	24	-8	17.3	-3.28
9	Lisleby	18	4	5	9	13	22	26	-4	17.6	-4.64
10	Hodd	18	5	3	10	13	29	46	-17	17.3	-4.33

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Fredrikstad	1379	24	18.96	+5.04	95.2%	8	13	17	19	21	24	32
Lyn Oslo	1367	21	20.11	+0.89	65.7%	6	15	18	20	22	26	33
Skeid	1343	25	19.02	+5.98	97.3%	6	13	17	19	21	25	32
Frigg Oslo	1291	20	17.67	+2.33	79.7%	4	12	15	18	20	23	30
Valerenga	1283	19	17.66	+1.34	70.4%	5	12	15	18	20	23	30
Steinkjer	1275	17	18.18	-1.18	42.0%	5	13	16	18	21	24	30
IF Odd	1252	14	16.15	-2.15	31.6%	3	11	14	16	18	22	29
Sarpsborg	1245	14	17.28	-3.28	20.7%	5	12	15	17	20	23	29
Lisleby	1244	13	17.64	-4.64	10.9%	5	12	15	18	20	23	30
Hodd	1220	13	17.33	-4.33	12.7%	5	12	15	17	20	23	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	FRE	FO	HOD	IO	LIS	LO	SAR	SKE	STE	VAL
Fredrikstad	—	0-1-1 3.01	2-0-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 2.87	0-2-0 2.46	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 2.56	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.98
Frigg Oslo	1-1-0 2.47	—	2-0-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.62	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.79
Hodd	0-0-2 2.25	0-0-2 2.70	—	1-1-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.77	1-1-0 2.36	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.70
IF Odd	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.55	—	2-0-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.06	0-0-2 2.60	0-2-0 2.25	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 2.72
Lisleby	0-1-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.94	—	0-2-0 2.38	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.81
Lyn Oslo	0-2-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.43	0-2-0 3.10	—	2-0-0 3.05	0-1-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.03	0-1-1 3.14
Sarpsborg	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.76	2-0-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.43	—	0-2-0 2.47	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.45
Skeid	0-0-2 2.91	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.92	0-2-0 3.23	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.59	0-2-0 3.00	—	1-1-0 2.93	2-0-0 2.77
Steinkjer	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-2 2.44	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.55	—	2-0-0 2.81
Valerenga	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.76	2-0-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 3.02	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.65	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.56%	2.22%	4.44%	0.56%	0.56%	25.00%
1	10.56%	12.22%	4.44%	5.56%	1.11%	2.22%	36.11%
2	2.22%	4.44%	5.56%	1.11%	3.33%	0.56%	17.22%
3	4.44%	5.56%	1.11%	1.11%	0.56%	—	12.78%
4	0.56%	1.11%	3.33%	0.56%	—	—	5.56%
5+	0.56%	2.22%	0.56%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	25.00%	36.11%	17.22%	12.78%	5.56%	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.49
Mean allowed	1.49
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.98
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.037
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	44.44%	—	22.22%	—	—	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.06
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	3.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.402
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	27.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
3	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	50.00%	22.22%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	11.11%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	16.67%	—	11.11%	50.00%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	16.67%	27.78%	22.22%	5.56%	16.67%	100%

Hodd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.61
Mean allowed	2.56
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	4.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.361
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	11.11%	11.11%	—	22.22%	—	5.56%	50.00%
2	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	33.33%	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.131
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	—	5.56%	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	33.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	16.67%	44.44%	27.78%	—	11.11%	—	100%

Lisleby — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.250
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	44.44%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.287
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	44.44%
1	11.11%	11.11%	—	11.11%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	5.56%	22.22%	5.56%	—	100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.89
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.014
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	27.78%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	1.11
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.360
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	38.89%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	5.56%	55.56%	22.22%	5.56%	11.11%	—	100%

Steinkjer — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.002
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	—	16.67%	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	22.22%
2	—	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	16.67%
3	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	33.33%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.78
Mean allowed	1.94
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.72
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.317
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Skeid	25	19.0	+5.98
2	Fredrikstad	24	19.0	+5.04
3	Frigg Oslo	20	17.7	+2.33
4	Valerenga	19	17.7	+1.34
5	Lyn Oslo	21	20.1	+0.89

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Lisleby	13	17.6	-4.64
2	Hodd	13	17.3	-4.33
3	Sarpsborg	14	17.3	-3.28
4	IF Odd	14	16.1	-2.15
5	Steinkjer	17	18.2	-1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valerenga	5	May 15 – Jun 16	1 in 298
2	Fredrikstad	3	Jun 5 – Jun 19	1 in 34
3	Skeid	4	Jun 20 – Aug 12	1 in 24
4	Frigg Oslo	3	Apr 26 – May 8	1 in 21
5	Steinkjer	2	May 8 – May 15	1 in 8

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hodd	3	Jun 5 – Jun 19	1 in 41
2	Valerenga	3	Apr 24 – May 8	1 in 40
3	Lisleby	3	Sep 11 – Oct 9	1 in 33
4	IF Odd	3	May 1 – May 15	1 in 21
5	Steinkjer	3	May 19 – May 30	1 in 20

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Skeid	8	Jun 15 – Sep 25	1 in 17
2	IF Odd	5	Sep 11 – Oct 23	1 in 15
3	Valerenga	5	May 15 – Jun 16	1 in 13
4	Lyn Oslo	7	Apr 24 – Jun 5	1 in 13
5	Fredrikstad	6	May 23 – Aug 3	1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sarpsborg	7	Aug 12 – Oct 23	1 in 18
2	Lisleby	5	Jun 15 – Aug 12	1 in 14
3	Skeid	3	Sep 25 – Oct 16	1 in 8
4	Hodd	5	Jun 5 – Aug 12	1 in 8
5	Lyn Oslo	3	May 15 – May 31	1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Skeid	16.49%	14.09%	13.04%	11.19%	10.45%	9.28%	8.44%	6.79%	6.13%	4.10%
Fredrikstad	16.68%	14.27%	12.59%	11.63%	10.14%	8.95%	8.20%	7.12%	5.90%	4.52%
Lyn Oslo	22.92%	17.01%	13.64%	11.07%	9.13%	8.55%	6.67%	4.96%	3.76%	2.29%
Frigg Oslo	8.07%	9.16%	10.03%	10.38%	10.53%	11.11%	10.81%	10.41%	10.08%	9.42%
Valerenga	6.84%	8.59%	9.70%	9.92%	10.38%	10.63%	11.04%	11.29%	10.85%	10.76%
Steinkjer	9.26%	11.07%	10.68%	10.55%	11.02%	10.62%	10.34%	9.60%	9.26%	7.60%
IF Odd	2.77%	4.19%	5.46%	6.97%	8.26%	9.60%	10.86%	13.66%	16.03%	22.20%
Sarpsborg	5.48%	6.77%	7.97%	9.22%	9.74%	10.53%	11.60%	11.86%	13.13%	13.70%
Lisleby	6.54%	8.03%	9.28%	10.41%	10.39%	10.27%	11.11%	11.78%	11.39%	10.80%
Hodd	4.95%	6.82%	7.61%	8.66%	9.96%	10.46%	10.93%	12.53%	13.47%	14.61%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Lyn Oslo	94.0%	6.0%
Skeid	89.8%	10.2%
Fredrikstad	89.6%	10.4%
Steinkjer	83.1%	16.9%
Frigg Oslo	80.5%	19.5%
Valerenga	78.4%	21.6%
Lisleby	77.8%	22.2%
Sarpsborg	73.2%	26.8%
Hodd	71.9%	28.1%
IF Odd	61.8%	38.2%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1966-04-24	Sarpsborg	W 3-1	1305	1292	53.8%	26.3%	19.9%	+9.0	3
1966-04-24	@ Hodd	L 1-3	1292	1305	19.9%	26.3%	53.8%	-9.0	0
1966-04-24	Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1284	1338	45.9%	27.0%	27.1%	-0.7	1
1966-04-24	@ Lisleby	D 2-2	1338	1284	27.1%	27.0%	45.9%	+0.7	1
1966-04-24	Skeid	L 0-1	1286	1275	53.5%	26.4%	20.2%	-12.1	0
1966-04-24	@ Valerenga	W 1-0	1275	1286	20.2%	26.4%	53.5%	+12.1	3
1966-04-26	Fredrikstad	W 1-0	1257	1290	48.5%	26.8%	24.7%	+6.6	3
1966-04-26	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1290	1257	24.7%	26.8%	48.5%	-6.6	0
1966-05-01	Valerenga	W 3-0	1283	1274	53.3%	26.4%	20.3%	+15.4	3
1966-05-01	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1274	1283	20.3%	26.4%	53.3%	-15.4	0
1966-05-01	Hodd	D 1-1	1338	1314	54.9%	26.2%	18.9%	-1.8	2
1966-05-01	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1314	1338	18.9%	26.2%	54.9%	+1.8	4
1966-05-01	IF Odd	W 1-0	1283	1283	52.2%	26.5%	21.3%	+5.8	3
1966-05-01	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1283	1283	21.3%	26.5%	52.2%	-5.8	0
1966-05-01	Lisleby	D 2-2	1288	1283	52.8%	26.5%	20.8%	-1.2	4
1966-05-01	@ Skeid	D 2-2	1283	1288	20.8%	26.5%	52.8%	+1.2	2
1966-05-01	Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1290	1263	55.1%	26.1%	18.7%	-12.4	0
1966-05-01	@ Steinkjer	W 1-0	1263	1290	18.7%	26.1%	55.1%	+12.4	6
1966-05-08	Lisleby	D 1-1	1299	1284	53.8%	26.3%	19.8%	-1.7	4
1966-05-08	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1284	1299	19.8%	26.3%	53.8%	+1.7	3
1966-05-08	IF Odd	W 1-0	1276	1278	52.1%	26.5%	21.4%	+5.8	9
1966-05-08	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1278	1276	21.4%	26.5%	52.1%	-5.8	0
1966-05-08	Skeid	L 2-3	1316	1286	55.5%	26.1%	18.4%	-11.2	4
1966-05-08	@ Hodd	W 3-2	1286	1316	18.4%	26.1%	55.5%	+11.2	7
1966-05-08	Lyn Oslo	L 1-3	1288	1336	46.7%	26.9%	26.4%	-17.5	3
1966-05-08	@ Sarpsborg	W 3-1	1336	1288	26.4%	26.9%	46.7%	+17.5	5
1966-05-08	Steinkjer	L 2-5	1259	1277	50.2%	26.7%	23.1%	-22.9	0
1966-05-08	@ Valerenga	W 5-2	1277	1259	23.1%	26.7%	50.2%	+22.9	3
1966-05-15	Hodd	W 6-1	1286	1305	50.2%	26.7%	23.1%	+22.8	6
1966-05-15	@ Lisleby	L 1-6	1305	1286	23.1%	26.7%	50.2%	-22.8	4
1966-05-15	Frigg Oslo	D 0-0	1354	1282	59.7%	25.2%	15.1%	-2.6	6
1966-05-15	@ Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1282	1354	15.1%	25.2%	59.7%	+2.6	10
1966-05-15	Valerenga	L 1-3	1272	1236	56.1%	26.0%	17.9%	-20.6	0
1966-05-15	@ IF Odd	W 3-1	1236	1272	17.9%	26.0%	56.1%	+20.6	3
1966-05-15	Fredrikstad	W 3-1	1300	1297	52.7%	26.5%	20.8%	+9.4	6
1966-05-15	@ Steinkjer	L 1-3	1297	1300	20.8%	26.5%	52.7%	-9.4	4
1966-05-19	Steinkjer	W 1-0	1251	1310	45.3%	27.0%	27.7%	+7.2	3
1966-05-19	@ IF Odd	L 0-1	1310	1251	27.7%	27.0%	45.3%	-7.2	6
1966-05-19	Sarpsborg	D 0-0	1298	1271	55.1%	26.1%	18.7%	-2.1	8
1966-05-19	@ Skeid	D 0-0	1271	1298	18.7%	26.1%	55.1%	+2.1	4
1966-05-23	IF Odd	W 3-1	1287	1258	55.4%	26.1%	18.5%	+8.5	7
1966-05-23	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1258	1287	18.5%	26.1%	55.4%	-8.5	3
1966-05-23	Steinkjer	W 3-0	1282	1302	50.0%	26.7%	23.3%	+17.2	7
1966-05-23	@ Hodd	L 0-3	1302	1282	23.3%	26.7%	50.0%	-17.2	6
1966-05-23	Skeid	D 1-1	1351	1295	58.1%	25.6%	16.3%	-2.2	7
1966-05-23	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1295	1351	16.3%	25.6%	58.1%	+2.2	9
1966-05-23	Lisleby	W 1-0	1273	1309	48.1%	26.9%	25.0%	+6.7	7
1966-05-23	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-1	1309	1273	25.0%	26.9%	48.1%	-6.6	6
1966-05-23	Frigg Oslo	W 2-1	1256	1284	49.1%	26.8%	24.1%	+6.1	6
1966-05-23	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1284	1256	24.1%	26.8%	49.1%	-6.1	10
1966-05-30	Hodd	L 0-1	1250	1299	46.5%	27.0%	26.6%	-10.7	3
1966-05-30	@ IF Odd	W 1-0	1299	1250	26.6%	27.0%	46.5%	+10.7	10
1966-05-30	Skeid	L 2-4	1285	1298	50.9%	26.7%	22.4%	-16.9	6
1966-05-30	@ Steinkjer	W 4-2	1298	1285	22.4%	26.7%	50.9%	+16.9	12
1966-05-31	Lyn Oslo	D 0-0	1296	1349	46.0%	27.0%	27.1%	-1.0	8
1966-05-31	@ Fredrikstad	D 0-0	1349	1296	27.1%	27.0%	46.0%	+1.0	8
1966-05-31	Sarpsborg	W 1-0	1278	1280	52.1%	26.5%	21.3%	+5.8	13
1966-05-31	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1280	1278	21.3%	26.5%	52.1%	-5.9	7
1966-05-31	Lisleby	W 4-2	1262	1302	47.7%	26.9%	25.4%	+9.8	9
1966-05-31	@ Valerenga	L 2-4	1302	1262	25.4%	26.9%	47.7%	-9.8	6
1966-06-05	Valerenga	L 1-3	1310	1272	56.3%	25.9%	17.8%	-20.7	10
1966-06-05	@ Hodd	W 3-1	1272	1310	17.8%	25.9%	56.3%	+20.7	12
1966-06-05	Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1292	1284	53.2%	26.4%	20.4%	+5.6	9
1966-06-05	@ Lisleby	L 0-1	1284	1292	20.4%	26.4%	53.2%	-5.6	13
1966-06-05	IF Odd	W 4-3	1350	1239	63.1%	24.3%	12.6%	+3.2	11
1966-06-05	@ Lyn Oslo	L 3-4	1239	1350	12.6%	24.3%	63.1%	-3.2	3
1966-06-05	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1274	1268	52.9%	26.4%	20.7%	-1.6	8
1966-06-05	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1268	1274	20.7%	26.4%	52.9%	+1.6	7
1966-06-05	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1315	1295	54.4%	26.2%	19.3%	-12.3	12
1966-06-05	@ Skeid	W 1-0	1295	1315	19.3%	26.2%	54.4%	+12.3	11
1966-06-15	Sarpsborg	W 4-0	1307	1272	56.0%	26.0%	18.0%	+18.1	14
1966-06-15	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1272	1307	18.0%	26.0%	56.0%	-18.1	8
1966-06-15	Hodd	W 5-1	1278	1289	51.1%	26.6%	22.3%	+18.1	16
1966-06-15	@ Frigg Oslo	L 1-5	1289	1278	22.3%	26.6%	51.1%	-18.1	10
1966-06-15	Skeid	D 1-1	1236	1302	44.3%	27.0%	28.6%	-0.8	4
1966-06-15	@ IF Odd	D 1-1	1302	1236	28.6%	27.0%	44.3%	+0.8	13
1966-06-15	Lisleby	W 4-2	1270	1298	49.1%	26.8%	24.1%	+9.4	10
1966-06-15	@ Steinkjer	L 2-4	1298	1270	24.1%	26.8%	49.1%	-9.4	9
1966-06-16	Lyn Oslo	W 3-0	1293	1353	45.1%	27.0%	27.9%	+19.8	15
1966-06-16	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1353	1293	27.9%	27.0%	45.1%	-19.8	11
1966-06-18	IF Odd	L 0-1	1289	1235	57.9%	25.7%	16.5%	-13.0	9
1966-06-18	@ Lisleby	W 1-0	1235	1289	16.5%	25.7%	57.9%	+13.0	7
1966-06-19	Fredrikstad	L 1-3	1271	1325	45.9%	27.0%	27.1%	-17.3	10
1966-06-19	@ Hodd	W 3-1	1325	1271	27.1%	27.0%	45.9%	+17.3	17
1966-06-19	Steinkjer	W 2-1	1334	1279	57.9%	25.6%	16.4%	+4.4	14
1966-06-19	@ Lyn Oslo	L 1-2	1279	1334	16.4%	25.6%	57.9%	-4.4	10
1966-06-19	Valerenga	W 3-0	1254	1313	45.3%	27.0%	27.7%	+19.7	11
1966-06-19	@ Sarpsborg	L 0-3	1313	1254	27.7%	27.0%	45.3%	-19.7	15
1966-06-20	Frigg Oslo	W 2-0	1303	1296	53.0%	26.4%	20.5%	+10.7	16
1966-06-20	@ Skeid	L 0-2	1296	1303	20.5%	26.4%	53.0%	-10.7	16
1966-07-31	Hodd	D 1-1	1274	1254	54.5%	26.2%	19.3%	-1.8	12
1966-07-31	@ Sarpsborg	D 1-1	1254	1274	19.3%	26.2%	54.5%	+1.8	11
1966-07-31	Valerenga	W 5-1	1314	1293	54.5%	26.2%	19.2%	+16.0	19
1966-07-31	@ Skeid	L 1-5	1293	1314	19.2%	26.2%	54.5%	-16.0	15
1966-07-31	IF Odd	W 5-1	1275	1248	55.2%	26.1%	18.7%	+15.6	13
1966-07-31	@ Steinkjer	L 1-5	1248	1275	18.7%	26.1%	55.2%	-15.6	7
1966-08-03	Frigg Oslo	D 3-3	1343	1286	58.2%	25.6%	16.2%	-1.3	18
1966-08-03	@ Fredrikstad	D 3-3	1286	1343	16.2%	25.6%	58.2%	+1.4	17
1966-08-03	Lisleby	D 2-2	1338	1276	58.7%	25.5%	15.8%	-1.7	15
1966-08-03	@ Lyn Oslo	D 2-2	1276	1338	15.8%	25.5%	58.7%	+1.7	10
1966-08-06	Skeid	L 0-1	1277	1330	46.1%	27.0%	26.9%	-10.6	10
1966-08-06	@ Lisleby	W 1-0	1330	1277	26.9%	27.0%	46.1%	+10.6	22
1966-08-07	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1287	1291	51.9%	26.6%	21.5%	-1.5	18
1966-08-07	@ Frigg Oslo	D 1-1	1291	1287	21.5%	26.6%	51.9%	+1.5	14
1966-08-07	Sarpsborg	L 1-3	1233	1272	47.7%	26.9%	25.4%	-17.9	7
1966-08-07	@ IF Odd	W 3-1	1272	1233	25.4%	26.9%	47.7%	+17.9	15
1966-08-08	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1277	1341	44.6%	27.0%	28.4%	+20.1	18
1966-08-08	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1341	1277	28.4%	27.0%	44.6%	-20.1	18
1966-08-12	Sarpsborg	D 0-0	1267	1290	49.6%	26.8%	23.6%	-1.4	11
1966-08-12	@ Lisleby	D 0-0	1290	1267	23.6%	26.8%	49.6%	+1.4	16
1966-08-12	Fredrikstad	W 3-0	1215	1321	39.0%	27.0%	34.0%	+23.0	10
1966-08-12	@ IF Odd	L 0-3	1321	1215	34.0%	27.0%	39.0%	-23.0	18
1966-08-12	Lyn Oslo	W 2-1	1340	1336	52.7%	26.5%	20.8%	+5.4	25
1966-08-12	@ Skeid	L 1-2	1336	1340	20.8%	26.5%	52.7%	-5.4	15
1966-08-12	Hodd	W 3-1	1292	1256	56.2%	26.0%	17.9%	+8.2	17
1966-08-12	@ Steinkjer	L 1-3	1256	1292	17.9%	26.0%	56.2%	-8.2	11
1966-08-16	Valerenga	W 3-0	1286	1297	51.0%	26.7%	22.4%	+16.7	21
1966-08-16	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-3	1297	1286	22.4%	26.7%	51.0%	-16.6	18
1966-08-24	Lyn Oslo	W 4-2	1248	1331	42.1%	27.0%	30.9%	+11.4	14
1966-08-24	@ Hodd	L 2-4	1331	1248	30.9%	27.0%	42.1%	-11.4	15
1966-08-28	Steinkjer	W 2-1	1298	1300	52.1%	26.5%	21.4%	+5.5	21
1966-08-28	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1300	1298	21.4%	26.5%	52.1%	-5.5	17
1966-08-28	Lyn Oslo	L 0-2	1302	1320	50.3%	26.7%	22.9%	-21.6	21
1966-08-28	@ Frigg Oslo	W 2-0	1320	1302	22.9%	26.7%	50.3%	+21.6	18
1966-08-28	Lisleby	L 1-2	1259	1265	51.6%	26.6%	21.8%	-11.1	14
1966-08-28	@ Hodd	W 2-1	1265	1259	21.8%	26.6%	51.6%	+11.0	14
1966-08-28	Skeid	D 2-2	1291	1346	45.9%	27.0%	27.2%	-0.7	17
1966-08-28	@ Sarpsborg	D 2-2	1346	1291	27.2%	27.0%	45.9%	+0.7	26
1966-08-28	IF Odd	W 3-1	1281	1238	56.8%	25.9%	17.3%	+8.0	21
1966-08-28	@ Valerenga	L 1-3	1238	1281	17.3%	25.9%	56.8%	-8.0	10
1966-09-11	Fredrikstad	L 1-2	1276	1304	49.1%	26.8%	24.1%	-10.6	14
1966-09-11	@ Lisleby	W 2-1	1304	1276	24.1%	26.8%	49.1%	+10.6	24
1966-09-11	Sarpsborg	W 1-0	1341	1291	57.6%	25.7%	16.7%	+4.7	21
1966-09-11	@ Lyn Oslo	L 0-1	1291	1341	16.7%	25.7%	57.6%	-4.7	17
1966-09-11	Frigg Oslo	W 2-1	1230	1281	46.3%	27.0%	26.8%	+6.6	13
1966-09-11	@ IF Odd	L 1-2	1281	1230	26.8%	27.0%	46.3%	-6.6	21
1966-09-11	Hodd	W 4-2	1346	1248	62.0%	24.6%	13.4%	+5.6	29
1966-09-11	@ Skeid	L 2-4	1248	1346	13.4%	24.6%	62.0%	-5.6	14
1966-09-11	Valerenga	W 2-1	1295	1289	53.0%	26.4%	20.6%	+5.4	20
1966-09-11	@ Steinkjer	L 1-2	1289	1295	20.6%	26.4%	53.0%	-5.3	21
1966-09-22	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1346	1314	55.7%	26.1%	18.3%	-1.9	22
1966-09-22	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1314	1346	18.3%	26.1%	55.7%	+1.9	25
1966-09-24	Valerenga	L 0-1	1266	1283	50.3%	26.7%	23.0%	-11.5	14
1966-09-24	@ Lisleby	W 1-0	1283	1266	23.0%	26.7%	50.3%	+11.5	24
1966-09-25	IF Odd	D 2-2	1242	1236	53.0%	26.4%	20.6%	-1.2	15
1966-09-25	@ Hodd	D 2-2	1236	1242	20.6%	26.4%	53.0%	+1.2	14
1966-09-25	Frigg Oslo	D 0-0	1286	1274	53.6%	26.4%	20.0%	-1.9	18
1966-09-25	@ Sarpsborg	D 0-0	1274	1286	20.0%	26.4%	53.6%	+1.9	22
1966-09-25	Steinkjer	D 1-1	1352	1300	57.7%	25.7%	16.6%	-2.1	30
1966-09-25	@ Skeid	D 1-1	1300	1352	16.6%	25.7%	57.7%	+2.1	21
1966-10-09	Skeid	W 4-1	1316	1350	48.4%	26.9%	24.7%	+15.2	28
1966-10-09	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-4	1350	1316	24.7%	26.9%	48.4%	-15.2	30
1966-10-09	Lisleby	W 1-0	1276	1254	54.6%	26.2%	19.1%	+5.3	25
1966-10-09	@ Frigg Oslo	L 0-1	1254	1276	19.1%	26.2%	54.6%	-5.3	14
1966-10-09	Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1238	1344	39.0%	27.0%	34.0%	-0.2	15
1966-10-09	@ IF Odd	D 1-1	1344	1238	34.0%	27.0%	39.0%	+0.2	23
1966-10-09	Sarpsborg	W 1-0	1302	1284	54.3%	26.3%	19.5%	+5.4	24
1966-10-09	@ Steinkjer	L 0-1	1284	1302	19.5%	26.3%	54.3%	-5.4	18
1966-10-09	Hodd	L 2-4	1295	1241	57.9%	25.7%	16.5%	-19.0	24
1966-10-09	@ Valerenga	W 4-2	1241	1295	16.5%	25.7%	57.9%	+19.0	18
1966-10-16	Frigg Oslo	L 0-2	1260	1281	49.9%	26.7%	23.4%	-21.5	18
1966-10-16	@ Hodd	W 2-0	1281	1260	23.4%	26.7%	49.9%	+21.4	28
1966-10-16	Steinkjer	W 1-0	1249	1308	45.3%	27.0%	27.7%	+7.2	17
1966-10-16	@ Lisleby	L 0-1	1308	1249	27.7%	27.0%	45.3%	-7.2	24
1966-10-16	Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1279	1331	46.1%	27.0%	27.0%	-29.1	18
1966-10-16	@ Sarpsborg	W 3-0	1331	1279	27.0%	27.0%	46.1%	+29.1	31
1966-10-16	IF Odd	D 0-0	1335	1237	61.9%	24.7%	13.4%	-2.9	31
1966-10-16	@ Skeid	D 0-0	1237	1335	13.4%	24.7%	61.9%	+2.9	16
1966-10-17	Valerenga	D 1-1	1344	1276	59.3%	25.3%	15.4%	-2.3	24
1966-10-17	@ Lyn Oslo	D 1-1	1276	1344	15.4%	25.3%	59.3%	+2.3	25
1966-10-23	Hodd	W 6-0	1360	1239	64.0%	24.0%	12.0%	+18.1	34
1966-10-23	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-6	1239	1360	12.0%	24.0%	64.0%	-18.1	18
1966-10-23	Skeid	L 0-1	1303	1332	49.0%	26.8%	24.2%	-11.2	28
1966-10-23	@ Frigg Oslo	W 1-0	1332	1303	24.2%	26.8%	49.0%	+11.2	34
1966-10-23	Lisleby	W 2-0	1240	1256	50.5%	26.7%	22.8%	+11.6	19
1966-10-23	@ IF Odd	L 0-2	1256	1240	22.8%	26.7%	50.5%	-11.6	17
1966-10-23	Lyn Oslo	L 1-4	1301	1342	47.5%	26.9%	25.6%	-25.2	24
1966-10-23	@ Steinkjer	W 4-1	1342	1301	25.6%	26.9%	47.5%	+25.2	27
1966-10-23	Sarpsborg	W 3-2	1278	1250	55.4%	26.1%	18.6%	+4.6	28
1966-10-23	@ Valerenga	L 2-3	1250	1278	18.6%	26.1%	55.4%	-4.6	18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1966-10-09	16.48%	Hodd	1241	4	@ Valerenga	1295	2
2	1966-06-18	16.50%	IF Odd	1235	1	@ Lisleby	1289	0
3	1966-06-05	17.77%	Valerenga	1272	3	@ Hodd	1310	1
4	1966-05-15	17.91%	Valerenga	1236	3	@ IF Odd	1272	1
5	1966-05-08	18.44%	Skeid	1286	3	@ Hodd	1316	2
6	1966-05-01	18.71%	Frigg Oslo	1263	1	@ Steinkjer	1290	0
7	1966-06-05	19.33%	Fredrikstad	1295	1	@ Skeid	1315	0
8	1966-04-24	20.16%	Skeid	1275	1	@ Valerenga	1286	0
9	1966-08-28	21.81%	Lisleby	1265	2	@ Hodd	1259	1
10	1966-05-30	22.43%	Skeid	1298	4	@ Steinkjer	1285	2
11	1966-08-28	22.95%	Lyn Oslo	1320	2	@ Frigg Oslo	1302	0
12	1966-09-24	22.99%	Valerenga	1283	1	@ Lisleby	1266	0
13	1966-05-08	23.12%	Steinkjer	1277	5	@ Valerenga	1259	2
14	1966-10-16	23.37%	Frigg Oslo	1281	2	@ Hodd	1260	0
15	1966-09-11	24.05%	Fredrikstad	1304	2	@ Lisleby	1276	1
16	1966-10-23	24.23%	Skeid	1332	1	@ Frigg Oslo	1303	0
17	1966-08-07	25.40%	Sarpsborg	1272	3	@ IF Odd	1233	1
18	1966-10-23	25.63%	Lyn Oslo	1342	4	@ Steinkjer	1301	1
19	1966-05-08	26.41%	Lyn Oslo	1336	3	@ Sarpsborg	1288	1
20	1966-05-30	26.58%	Hodd	1299	1	@ IF Odd	1250	0
21	1966-08-06	26.93%	Skeid	1330	1	@ Lisleby	1277	0
22	1966-10-16	26.98%	Fredrikstad	1331	3	@ Sarpsborg	1279	0
23	1966-06-19	27.13%	Fredrikstad	1325	3	@ Hodd	1271	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1966-10-16	29.09	Fredrikstad	3	1331	26.98%	@ Sarpsborg	0	1279	46.06%
2	1966-10-23	25.17	Lyn Oslo	4	1342	25.63%	@ Steinkjer	1	1301	47.47%
3	1966-08-12	22.98	@ IF Odd	3	1215	38.98%	Fredrikstad	0	1321	34.03%
4	1966-05-08	22.86	Steinkjer	5	1277	23.12%	@ Valerenga	2	1259	50.16%
5	1966-05-15	22.80	@ Lisleby	6	1286	50.17%	Hodd	1	1305	23.12%
6	1966-08-28	21.62	Lyn Oslo	2	1320	22.95%	@ Frigg Oslo	0	1302	50.34%
7	1966-10-16	21.45	Frigg Oslo	2	1281	23.37%	@ Hodd	0	1260	49.88%
8	1966-06-05	20.69	Valerenga	3	1272	17.77%	@ Hodd	1	1310	56.29%
9	1966-05-15	20.64	Valerenga	3	1236	17.91%	@ IF Odd	1	1272	56.11%
10	1966-08-08	20.08	@ Valerenga	3	1277	44.63%	Fredrikstad	0	1341	28.36%
11	1966-06-16	19.83	@ Valerenga	3	1293	45.10%	Lyn Oslo	0	1353	27.91%
12	1966-06-19	19.71	@ Sarpsborg	3	1254	45.31%	Valerenga	0	1313	27.70%
13	1966-10-09	18.98	Hodd	4	1241	16.48%	@ Valerenga	2	1295	57.87%
14	1966-06-15	18.09	@ Fredrikstad	4	1307	56.02%	Sarpsborg	0	1272	17.99%
15	1966-10-23	18.09	@ Fredrikstad	6	1360	63.99%	Hodd	0	1239	11.99%
16	1966-06-15	18.07	@ Frigg Oslo	5	1278	51.08%	Hodd	1	1289	22.29%
17	1966-08-07	17.87	Sarpsborg	3	1272	25.40%	@ IF Odd	1	1233	47.71%
18	1966-05-08	17.54	Lyn Oslo	3	1336	26.41%	@ Sarpsborg	1	1288	46.66%
19	1966-06-19	17.29	Fredrikstad	3	1325	27.13%	@ Hodd	1	1271	45.90%
20	1966-05-23	17.20	@ Hodd	3	1282	49.98%	Steinkjer	0	1302	23.29%
21	1966-05-30	16.92	Skeid	4	1298	22.43%	@ Steinkjer	2	1285	50.91%
22	1966-08-16	16.65	@ Frigg Oslo	3	1286	50.99%	Valerenga	0	1297	22.36%
23	1966-07-31	15.99	@ Skeid	5	1314	54.52%	Valerenga	1	1293	19.25%
24	1966-07-31	15.58	@ Steinkjer	5	1275	55.19%	IF Odd	1	1248	18.69%
25	1966-05-01	15.36	@ Fredrikstad	3	1283	53.31%	Valerenga	0	1274	20.30%