1959-60 Main League Season

112 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

6.51 points above expected

23 points · 16.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

8.10 points below expected

5 points · 13.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	14	10	3	1	23	41	16	+25	16.5	+6.51
2	Lillestrom	14	8	3	3	19	28	21	+7	13.9	+5.14
3	Valerenga	14	8	2	4	18	27	21	+6	16.0	+1.97
4	Eik Tonsberg	14	8	1	5	17	30	21	+9	14.8	+2.18
5	Skeid	14	7	3	4	17	30	23	+7	15.1	+1.94
6	Viking	14	6	4	4	16	25	18	+7	15.0	+1.00
7	Larvik Turn	14	7	1	6	15	32	22	+10	15.4	-0.38
8	Rapid Moss	14	6	3	5	15	21	26	-5	13.2	+1.75
9	Greaker	14	5	4	5	14	25	20	+5	12.8	+1.24
10	Sandefjord	14	5	4	5	14	16	18	-2	13.3	+0.73
11	IF Odd	14	5	3	6	13	25	25	0	13.9	-0.89
12	Strommen	14	5	3	6	13	23	27	-4	13.9	-0.88
13	Brann	14	4	3	7	11	19	29	-10	12.6	-1.60
14	Raufoss	14	2	4	8	8	20	36	-16	11.7	-3.65
15	Brage	14	1	4	9	6	14	30	-16	12.9	-6.95
16	Start	14	1	3	10	5	15	38	-23	13.1	-8.10

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6

Lillestrom 2

Sim: 247.0%

Eik Tonsberg 4

Valerenga 2

Sim: 207.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Fredrikstad	1271	23	16.49	+6.51	99.1%	4	11	14	17	19	21	28
Larvik Turn	1172	15	15.38	-0.38	51.0%	4	10	13	15	17	20	26
Skeid	1170	17	15.06	+1.94	77.8%	4	10	13	15	17	20	25
Eik Tonsberg	1169	17	14.82	+2.18	79.9%	4	10	13	15	17	20	25
Lillestrom	1165	19	13.86	+5.14	96.5%	2	9	12	14	16	19	25
Valerenga	1162	18	16.03	+1.97	78.4%	4	11	14	16	18	21	26
Viking	1158	16	15.00	+1.00	68.2%	4	10	13	15	17	20	25
Greaker	1146	14	12.76	+1.24	70.9%	2	8	11	13	15	18	24
Rapid Moss	1134	15	13.25	+1.75	76.8%	2	8	11	13	15	18	24
IF Odd	1129	13	13.89	-0.89	44.9%	2	9	12	14	16	19	26
Strommen	1125	13	13.88	-0.88	45.4%	2	9	12	14	16	19	26
Sandefjord	1108	14	13.27	+0.73	65.6%	2	8	11	13	15	18	26
Brann	1078	11	12.60	-1.60	36.5%	1	8	10	13	15	18	24
Brage	1066	6	12.95	-6.95	1.8%	3	8	11	13	15	18	24
Raufoss	1065	8	11.65	-3.65	16.0%	1	7	10	12	14	17	22
Start	1042	5	13.10	-8.10	0.4%	3	8	11	13	15	18	24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	BRA	ET	FRE	GRE	IO	LT	LIL	RM	RAU	SAN	SKE	STA	STR	VAL	VIK
Brage	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.40	0-1-1 2.37	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.62	0-1-1 3.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.46	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Brann	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.04	0-0-2 2.54	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.34	0-2-0 1.97
Eik Tonsberg	2-0-0 3.06	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-2 2.38	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.88	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.18	1-0-1 3.42	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Fredrikstad	1-1-0 3.11	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.09	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.36	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.75	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.18	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Greaker	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.28	0-1-1 2.51	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.74	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.12	0-1-1 2.32
IF Odd	1-1-0 3.04	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.58	0-1-1 2.12	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.82	2-0-0 2.99	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.59	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Larvik Turn	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.44	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.19	0-0-0 0.00	—	2-0-0 2.92	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.22	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.83
Lillestrom	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.93	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.95	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.54	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.77	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.91	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.37	2-0-0 2.51
Rapid Moss	2-0-0 2.84	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.29	0-0-2 2.22	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	1-1-0 3.02	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.51	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Raufoss	1-1-0 2.47	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.05	0-1-1 1.76	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.44	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.05	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Sandefjord	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.72	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.70	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.81	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.41
Skeid	1-0-1 3.21	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.87	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.43	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 3.04	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Start	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.26	0-2-0 2.56	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.65	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 1.99	0-0-2 2.65
Strommen	1-1-0 3.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-2 2.75	0-0-2 2.29	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 2.42	0-0-0 0.00	—	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00
Valerenga	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 3.13	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 3.35	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.13	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.49	0-0-0 0.00	—	1-0-1 2.93
Viking	0-0-0 0.00	0-2-0 3.51	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	1-1-0 3.14	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.63	0-0-2 2.95	0-0-0 0.00	0-0-0 0.00	0-1-1 3.06	0-0-0 0.00	2-0-0 2.81	0-0-0 0.00	1-0-1 2.53	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.57%	5.80%	1.79%	3.57%	3.12%	1.34%	19.20%
1	5.80%	12.50%	8.04%	2.68%	4.46%	2.68%	36.16%
2	1.79%	8.04%	3.57%	2.68%	0.89%	1.34%	18.30%
3	3.57%	2.68%	2.68%	0.89%	0.45%	0.45%	10.71%
4	3.12%	4.46%	0.89%	0.45%	0.89%	—	9.82%
5+	1.34%	2.68%	1.34%	0.45%	—	—	5.80%
Total	19.20%	36.16%	18.30%	10.71%	9.82%	5.80%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.75
Mean allowed	1.75
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.49
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.195
Sample size (games)	112

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
1	7.14%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	50.00%
2	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	28.57%	28.57%	14.29%	21.43%	—	100%

Brage — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	2.14
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.29
Mean total goals/game	3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.204
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	14.29%	—	14.29%	—	7.14%	35.71%
1	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%
4	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	50.00%	14.29%	14.29%	—	14.29%	100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.36
Mean allowed	2.07
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.90
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.178
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	7.14%	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	21.43%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	7.14%	57.14%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Eik Tonsberg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.14
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	1.02
Mean total goals/game	3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.350
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	7.14%	21.43%	—	—	—	7.14%	35.71%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	21.43%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	35.71%
5+	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	35.71%	35.71%	21.43%	—	—	7.14%	100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.93
Mean allowed	1.14
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.174
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
1	—	21.43%	—	14.29%	—	—	35.71%
2	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
3	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	21.43%	42.86%	14.29%	14.29%	7.14%	—	100%

Greaker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.215
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
1	7.14%	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	42.86%
2	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	28.57%
3	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	21.43%	42.86%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.79
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.197
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.14%	—	—	—	7.14%
1	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	28.57%
2	7.14%	7.14%	—	14.29%	—	—	28.57%
3	14.29%	—	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	28.57%	21.43%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	—	100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.29
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.420
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	—	—	14.29%	—	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
2	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
5+	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
Total	28.57%	35.71%	7.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.51
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.031
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%
1	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	—	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	35.71%
3	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	14.29%	42.86%	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Rapid Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.86
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.628
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	21.43%
1	—	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	42.86%
2	—	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	35.71%	14.29%	21.43%	21.43%	7.14%	100%

Raufoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.43
Mean allowed	2.57
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	—	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	28.57%
1	14.29%	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	42.86%
2	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	—	21.43%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	35.71%	21.43%	28.57%	7.14%	7.14%	—	100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.14
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.087
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
2	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
3	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
4	—	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	14.29%
5+	—	14.29%	—	—	—	—	14.29%
Total	14.29%	50.00%	14.29%	—	21.43%	—	100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.14
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.008
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	28.57%
1	—	7.14%	14.29%	—	14.29%	14.29%	50.00%
2	—	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%
3	—	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.14%	21.43%	21.43%	14.29%	14.29%	21.43%	100%

Start — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.07
Mean allowed	2.71
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.013
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	7.14%	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
1	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	—	7.14%	—	35.71%
2	—	—	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	14.29%
3	—	—	14.29%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	14.29%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.43%	14.29%	35.71%	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.098
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	14.29%	—	14.29%
1	14.29%	7.14%	7.14%	—	—	7.14%	35.71%
2	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	—	—	21.43%
3	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	—	21.43%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	42.86%	21.43%	7.14%	7.14%	14.29%	7.14%	100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.77
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.473
Games played	14

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.14%	14.29%	—	—	7.14%	—	28.57%
1	—	21.43%	7.14%	—	—	—	28.57%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	—	14.29%	14.29%	—	—	—	28.57%
4	7.14%	—	—	—	—	—	7.14%
5+	—	7.14%	—	—	—	—	7.14%
Total	14.29%	57.14%	21.43%	—	7.14%	—	100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.79
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	3.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.192
Games played	14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fredrikstad	23	16.5	+6.51
2	Lillestrom	19	13.9	+5.14
3	Eik Tonsberg	17	14.8	+2.18
4	Valerenga	18	16.0	+1.97
5	Skeid	17	15.1	+1.94

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Start	5	13.1	-8.10
2	Brage	6	12.9	-6.95
3	Raufoss	8	11.7	-3.65
4	Brann	11	12.6	-1.60
5	IF Odd	13	13.9	-0.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fredrikstad	5	Jul 26 – Sep 6	1 in 76
2	Lillestrom	3	Sep 6 – Oct 11	1 in 34
3	Rapid Moss	3	Oct 4 – May 1	1 in 33
4	Valerenga	4	Aug 16 – Sep 27	1 in 33
5	Eik Tonsberg	4	Oct 4 – May 8	1 in 24

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Raufoss	6	Sep 6 – May 8	1 in 123
2	Eik Tonsberg	4	May 15 – Jun 12	1 in 104
3	Brann	4	Aug 23 – Oct 11	1 in 65
4	Start	4	May 15 – Jun 12	1 in 24
5	Rapid Moss	3	Aug 16 – Sep 6	1 in 18

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Raufoss	4	May 15 – Jun 12	1 in 19
2	Lillestrom	6	Sep 6 – May 8	1 in 16
3	IF Odd	5	Aug 23 – Oct 25	1 in 10
4	Greaker	4	Oct 11 – May 8	1 in 10
5	Fredrikstad	7	Oct 11 – Jun 12	1 in 9

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Brage	11	Aug 23 – Jun 12	1 in 79
2	Start	9	Sep 27 – Jun 12	1 in 26
3	Raufoss	9	Sep 6 – May 29	1 in 16
4	Rapid Moss	6	Jul 26 – Sep 27	1 in 15
5	Eik Tonsberg	4	May 15 – Jun 12	1 in 9

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
Fredrikstad	36.38%	20.41%	14.48%	10.31%	7.55%	5.68%	3.24%	1.95%
Lillestrom	10.45%	12.69%	14.17%	13.30%	13.47%	13.55%	12.31%	10.06%
Valerenga	27.73%	20.29%	14.62%	12.03%	9.41%	7.16%	5.56%	3.20%
Eik Tonsberg	16.06%	17.05%	16.21%	13.79%	12.21%	10.75%	8.25%	5.68%
Skeid	17.53%	18.05%	16.10%	13.72%	12.34%	9.72%	7.56%	4.98%
Viking	17.76%	17.35%	15.86%	13.62%	12.00%	9.97%	7.64%	5.80%
Larvik Turn	22.61%	18.61%	15.29%	13.40%	10.91%	8.34%	6.85%	3.99%
Rapid Moss	5.84%	8.85%	11.28%	13.53%	14.98%	14.80%	16.45%	14.27%
Greaker	5.85%	8.07%	10.56%	12.31%	13.65%	14.55%	16.66%	18.35%
Sandefjord	6.69%	8.55%	11.39%	12.79%	14.31%	14.99%	15.01%	16.27%
IF Odd	8.97%	12.36%	13.60%	14.48%	14.16%	13.61%	12.89%	9.93%
Strommen	8.93%	11.61%	12.80%	14.07%	13.91%	14.60%	13.30%	10.78%
Brann	4.04%	7.06%	8.42%	10.75%	12.68%	15.51%	18.17%	23.37%
Raufoss	2.15%	4.08%	6.15%	8.41%	10.67%	14.79%	20.33%	33.42%
Brage	4.14%	7.59%	9.38%	11.69%	14.18%	16.05%	17.98%	18.99%
Start	4.87%	7.38%	9.69%	11.80%	13.57%	15.93%	17.80%	18.96%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fredrikstad 6

Lillestrom 2

Sim: 247.0%

Eik Tonsberg 4

Valerenga 2

Sim: 207.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Fredrikstad	58.4%	5.2%
Valerenga	63.5%	8.8%
Larvik Turn	66.5%	10.8%
Skeid	69.9%	12.5%
Viking	68.8%	13.4%
Eik Tonsberg	70.0%	13.9%
Lillestrom	67.2%	22.4%
IF Odd	68.2%	22.8%
Strommen	67.0%	24.1%
Rapid Moss	63.4%	30.7%
Sandefjord	62.0%	31.3%
Greaker	59.1%	35.0%
Start	58.4%	36.8%
Brage	58.9%	37.0%
Brann	54.4%	41.5%
Raufoss	44.1%	53.8%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Brage	Brann	Eik Tonsberg	Fredrikstad	Greaker	IF Odd	Larvik Turn	Lillestrom	Rapid Moss	Raufoss	Sandefjord	Skeid	Start	Strommen	Valerenga	Viking
Brage		12.00%			9.00%		39.00%	12.00%			13.00%		13.00%		39.00%	22.00%
Brann	6.00%		23.00%	33.00%		16.00%			14.00%	10.00%		23.00%		15.00%
Eik Tonsberg		40.00%			60.00%		184.00%	78.00%			69.00%		52.00%		207.00%	138.00%
Fredrikstad		110.00%			132.00%		530.00%	247.00%			158.00%		138.00%		675.00%	391.00%
Greaker	15.00%		49.00%	76.00%		31.00%			15.00%	5.00%		47.00%		23.00%
IF Odd		24.00%			23.00%		89.00%	43.00%			36.00%		26.00%		123.00%	61.00%
Larvik Turn	68.00%		191.00%	304.00%		106.00%			73.00%	27.00%		205.00%		114.00%
Lillestrom	35.00%		83.00%	136.00%		56.00%			28.00%	11.00%		99.00%		60.00%
Rapid Moss		13.00%			12.00%		58.00%	28.00%			18.00%		22.00%		69.00%	49.00%
Raufoss		2.00%			6.00%		19.00%	6.00%			5.00%		6.00%		12.00%	21.00%
Sandefjord	13.00%		34.00%	65.00%		28.00%			23.00%	8.00%		61.00%		25.00%
Skeid		42.00%			58.00%		175.00%	85.00%			82.00%		62.00%		252.00%	149.00%
Start	9.00%		17.00%	40.00%		9.00%			8.00%	8.00%		25.00%		17.00%
Strommen		21.00%			24.00%		79.00%	38.00%			31.00%		35.00%		99.00%	72.00%
Valerenga	58.00%		225.00%	380.00%		135.00%			96.00%	40.00%		230.00%		133.00%
Viking	51.00%		156.00%	223.00%		91.00%			58.00%	29.00%		158.00%		107.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Finals
Fredrikstad	73.0%
Lillestrom	27.0%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Fredrikstad	Lillestrom
Fredrikstad		73.00%
Lillestrom	27.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1959-07-26	Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1146	1157	41.5%	27.0%	31.5%	-24.9	0
1959-07-26	@ Brage	W 4-0	1157	1146	31.5%	27.0%	41.5%	+24.9	3
1959-07-26	Larvik Turn	W 3-2	1108	1141	38.4%	27.0%	34.6%	+5.4	3
1959-07-26	@ Greaker	L 2-3	1141	1108	34.6%	27.0%	38.4%	-5.4	0
1959-07-26	Raufoss	W 3-0	1118	1127	41.9%	26.9%	31.2%	+15.4	3
1959-07-26	@ IF Odd	L 0-3	1127	1118	31.2%	26.9%	41.9%	-15.4	0
1959-07-26	Skeid	L 1-2	1149	1146	43.4%	26.9%	29.7%	-6.8	0
1959-07-26	@ Rapid Moss	W 2-1	1146	1149	29.7%	26.9%	43.4%	+6.8	3
1959-07-26	Brann	D 2-2	1112	1114	42.8%	26.9%	30.3%	-0.3	1
1959-07-26	@ Sandefjord	D 2-2	1114	1112	30.3%	26.9%	42.8%	+0.3	1
1959-07-26	Viking	L 2-3	1146	1136	44.4%	26.8%	28.8%	-6.6	0
1959-07-26	@ Start	W 3-2	1136	1146	28.8%	26.8%	44.4%	+6.6	3
1959-07-26	Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	1141	1127	44.9%	26.8%	28.3%	-7.0	0
1959-07-26	@ Strommen	W 2-1	1127	1141	28.3%	26.8%	44.9%	+7.0	3
1959-07-26	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1162	1129	47.3%	26.6%	26.1%	+13.4	3
1959-07-26	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1129	1162	26.1%	26.6%	47.3%	-13.4	0
1959-08-02	Start	W 2-1	1114	1140	39.5%	27.0%	33.5%	+5.6	4
1959-08-02	@ Brann	L 1-2	1140	1114	33.5%	27.0%	39.5%	-5.6	0
1959-08-02	Brage	W 2-1	1134	1121	44.7%	26.8%	28.5%	+5.0	6
1959-08-02	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	1121	1134	28.5%	26.8%	44.7%	-5.0	0
1959-08-02	Strommen	W 5-2	1182	1134	49.2%	26.3%	24.5%	+9.3	6
1959-08-02	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-5	1134	1182	24.5%	26.3%	49.2%	-9.3	0
1959-08-02	Valerenga	W 4-0	1135	1176	37.4%	27.0%	35.6%	+22.2	3
1959-08-02	@ Larvik Turn	L 0-4	1176	1135	35.6%	27.0%	37.4%	-22.2	3
1959-08-02	Greaker	W 4-2	1116	1113	43.4%	26.9%	29.8%	+7.9	3
1959-08-02	@ Lillestrom	L 2-4	1113	1116	29.8%	26.9%	43.4%	-7.9	3
1959-08-02	Rapid Moss	D 1-1	1111	1142	38.7%	27.0%	34.3%	-0.2	1
1959-08-02	@ Raufoss	D 1-1	1142	1111	34.3%	27.0%	38.7%	+0.2	1
1959-08-02	IF Odd	W 4-2	1153	1134	45.5%	26.7%	27.8%	+7.5	6
1959-08-02	@ Skeid	L 2-4	1134	1153	27.8%	26.7%	45.5%	-7.5	3
1959-08-02	Sandefjord	D 0-0	1142	1112	47.0%	26.6%	26.4%	-0.8	4
1959-08-02	@ Viking	D 0-0	1112	1142	26.4%	26.6%	47.0%	+0.8	2
1959-08-16	Skeid	W 1-0	1116	1160	36.9%	27.0%	36.1%	+6.3	3
1959-08-16	@ Brage	L 0-1	1160	1116	36.1%	27.0%	36.9%	-6.3	6
1959-08-16	Brann	L 0-1	1105	1119	41.0%	27.0%	32.0%	-6.9	3
1959-08-16	@ Greaker	W 1-0	1119	1105	32.0%	27.0%	41.0%	+6.9	7
1959-08-16	Eik Tonsberg	L 0-1	1126	1139	41.3%	27.0%	31.7%	-6.9	3
1959-08-16	@ IF Odd	W 1-0	1139	1126	31.7%	27.0%	41.3%	+6.9	9
1959-08-16	Fredrikstad	L 1-4	1142	1191	36.2%	27.0%	36.8%	-14.5	1
1959-08-16	@ Rapid Moss	W 4-1	1191	1142	36.8%	27.0%	36.2%	+14.5	9
1959-08-16	Larvik Turn	W 2-0	1113	1157	36.8%	27.0%	36.2%	+11.9	5
1959-08-16	@ Sandefjord	L 0-2	1157	1113	36.2%	27.0%	36.8%	-11.8	3
1959-08-16	Lillestrom	D 0-0	1134	1124	44.4%	26.8%	28.8%	-0.6	1
1959-08-16	@ Start	D 0-0	1124	1134	28.8%	26.8%	44.4%	+0.6	4
1959-08-16	Raufoss	W 4-0	1125	1111	44.8%	26.8%	28.4%	+18.7	3
1959-08-16	@ Strommen	L 0-4	1111	1125	28.4%	26.8%	44.8%	-18.7	1
1959-08-16	Viking	W 2-1	1153	1142	44.6%	26.8%	28.6%	+5.0	6
1959-08-16	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1142	1153	28.6%	26.8%	44.6%	-5.0	4
1959-08-23	Valerenga	L 0-1	1126	1158	38.6%	27.0%	34.4%	-6.6	7
1959-08-23	@ Brann	W 1-0	1158	1126	34.4%	27.0%	38.6%	+6.6	9
1959-08-23	Eik Tonsberg	W 4-1	1206	1146	50.7%	26.1%	23.2%	+10.2	12
1959-08-23	@ Fredrikstad	L 1-4	1146	1206	23.2%	26.1%	50.7%	-10.2	9
1959-08-23	Larvik Turn	L 2-5	1124	1146	40.1%	27.0%	32.9%	-13.6	4
1959-08-23	@ Lillestrom	W 5-2	1146	1124	32.9%	27.0%	40.1%	+13.6	6
1959-08-23	Rapid Moss	W 5-0	1119	1128	41.8%	26.9%	31.2%	+24.8	6
1959-08-23	@ IF Odd	L 0-5	1128	1119	31.2%	26.9%	41.8%	-24.8	1
1959-08-23	Brage	W 4-1	1093	1123	38.9%	27.0%	34.1%	+13.9	4
1959-08-23	@ Raufoss	L 1-4	1123	1093	34.1%	27.0%	38.9%	-13.9	3
1959-08-23	Start	W 4-1	1124	1133	41.8%	26.9%	31.3%	+13.0	8
1959-08-23	@ Sandefjord	L 1-4	1133	1124	31.3%	26.9%	41.8%	-13.0	1
1959-08-23	Strommen	D 1-1	1154	1144	44.4%	26.8%	28.8%	-0.5	7
1959-08-23	@ Skeid	D 1-1	1144	1154	28.8%	26.8%	44.4%	+0.5	4
1959-08-23	Greaker	D 1-1	1137	1098	48.0%	26.5%	25.5%	-0.8	5
1959-08-23	@ Viking	D 1-1	1098	1137	25.5%	26.5%	48.0%	+0.8	4
1959-09-06	IF Odd	D 1-1	1109	1144	38.1%	27.0%	34.9%	-0.1	4
1959-09-06	@ Brage	D 1-1	1144	1109	34.9%	27.0%	38.1%	+0.1	7
1959-09-06	Lillestrom	L 1-2	1120	1111	44.2%	26.8%	29.0%	-6.9	7
1959-09-06	@ Brann	W 2-1	1111	1120	29.0%	26.8%	44.2%	+6.9	7
1959-09-06	Skeid	W 4-1	1135	1153	40.5%	27.0%	32.5%	+13.4	12
1959-09-06	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 1-4	1153	1135	32.5%	27.0%	40.5%	-13.4	7
1959-09-06	Viking	L 1-3	1159	1136	46.1%	26.7%	27.3%	-12.4	6
1959-09-06	@ Larvik Turn	W 3-1	1136	1159	27.3%	26.7%	46.1%	+12.4	8
1959-09-06	Strommen	L 2-3	1103	1144	37.3%	27.0%	35.7%	-5.7	1
1959-09-06	@ Rapid Moss	W 3-2	1144	1103	35.7%	27.0%	37.3%	+5.7	7
1959-09-06	Fredrikstad	L 2-3	1106	1216	28.3%	26.4%	45.4%	-4.6	4
1959-09-06	@ Raufoss	W 3-2	1216	1106	45.4%	26.4%	28.3%	+4.6	15
1959-09-06	Greaker	W 3-1	1120	1099	45.8%	26.7%	27.5%	+8.3	4
1959-09-06	@ Start	L 1-3	1099	1120	27.5%	26.7%	45.8%	-8.3	4
1959-09-06	Sandefjord	W 3-0	1165	1137	46.6%	26.6%	26.8%	+13.7	12
1959-09-06	@ Valerenga	L 0-3	1137	1165	26.8%	26.6%	46.6%	-13.7	8
1959-09-27	Valerenga	L 0-2	1091	1179	30.9%	26.7%	42.4%	-10.5	4
1959-09-27	@ Greaker	W 2-0	1179	1091	42.4%	26.7%	30.9%	+10.5	15
1959-09-27	Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1144	1221	32.5%	26.8%	40.8%	+0.3	8
1959-09-27	@ IF Odd	D 1-1	1221	1144	40.8%	26.8%	32.5%	-0.3	16
1959-09-27	Eik Tonsberg	D 2-2	1097	1149	35.9%	27.0%	37.2%	+0.0	2
1959-09-27	@ Rapid Moss	D 2-2	1149	1097	37.2%	27.0%	35.9%	-0.0	13
1959-09-27	Lillestrom	L 0-2	1124	1118	43.8%	26.9%	29.3%	-13.7	8
1959-09-27	@ Sandefjord	W 2-0	1118	1124	29.3%	26.9%	43.8%	+13.7	10
1959-09-27	Raufoss	W 6-1	1140	1102	48.0%	26.5%	25.5%	+17.5	10
1959-09-27	@ Skeid	L 1-6	1102	1140	25.5%	26.5%	48.0%	-17.5	4
1959-09-27	Larvik Turn	L 0-2	1129	1147	40.5%	27.0%	32.5%	-12.9	4
1959-09-27	@ Start	W 2-0	1147	1129	32.5%	27.0%	40.5%	+12.9	9
1959-09-27	Brage	D 2-2	1150	1109	48.4%	26.4%	25.2%	-0.6	8
1959-09-27	@ Strommen	D 2-2	1109	1150	25.2%	26.4%	48.4%	+0.6	5
1959-10-04	Rapid Moss	L 0-1	1109	1097	44.5%	26.8%	28.6%	-7.4	5
1959-10-04	@ Brage	W 1-0	1097	1109	28.6%	26.8%	44.5%	+7.4	5
1959-10-04	Raufoss	W 4-1	1149	1084	51.2%	26.0%	22.8%	+10.1	16
1959-10-04	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 1-4	1084	1149	22.8%	26.0%	51.2%	-10.1	4
1959-10-04	Skeid	L 1-5	1220	1158	51.0%	26.1%	22.9%	-24.6	16
1959-10-04	@ Fredrikstad	W 5-1	1158	1220	22.9%	26.1%	51.0%	+24.6	13
1959-10-04	Brann	W 3-0	1160	1113	49.0%	26.4%	24.6%	+12.8	12
1959-10-04	@ Larvik Turn	L 0-3	1113	1160	24.6%	26.4%	49.0%	-12.8	7
1959-10-04	Start	D 3-3	1189	1116	52.3%	25.9%	21.9%	-0.7	16
1959-10-04	@ Valerenga	D 3-3	1116	1189	21.9%	25.9%	52.3%	+0.7	5
1959-10-11	Sandefjord	L 0-1	1100	1110	41.6%	26.9%	31.4%	-7.0	7
1959-10-11	@ Brann	W 1-0	1110	1100	31.4%	26.9%	41.6%	+7.0	11
1959-10-11	Strommen	W 4-1	1159	1149	44.3%	26.8%	28.9%	+12.2	19
1959-10-11	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 1-4	1149	1159	28.9%	26.8%	44.3%	-12.2	8
1959-10-11	Brage	D 1-1	1196	1102	54.6%	25.4%	20.0%	-1.2	17
1959-10-11	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1102	1196	20.0%	25.4%	54.6%	+1.2	6
1959-10-11	Greaker	D 1-1	1172	1080	54.4%	25.4%	20.1%	-1.2	13
1959-10-11	@ Larvik Turn	D 1-1	1080	1172	20.1%	25.4%	54.4%	+1.2	5
1959-10-11	Valerenga	W 2-1	1131	1189	35.0%	26.9%	38.0%	+6.1	13
1959-10-11	@ Lillestrom	L 1-2	1189	1131	38.0%	26.9%	35.0%	-6.1	16
1959-10-11	IF Odd	L 1-2	1074	1145	33.2%	26.8%	39.9%	-5.6	4
1959-10-11	@ Raufoss	W 2-1	1145	1074	39.9%	26.8%	33.2%	+5.5	11
1959-10-11	Rapid Moss	L 1-2	1182	1105	52.7%	25.8%	21.5%	-8.0	13
1959-10-11	@ Skeid	W 2-1	1105	1182	21.5%	25.8%	52.7%	+8.0	8
1959-10-11	Start	W 5-1	1148	1116	47.2%	26.6%	26.3%	+14.7	11
1959-10-11	@ Viking	L 1-5	1116	1148	26.3%	26.6%	47.2%	-14.7	5
1959-10-25	IF Odd	L 0-1	1137	1150	41.2%	27.0%	31.8%	-6.9	8
1959-10-25	@ Strommen	W 1-0	1150	1137	31.8%	27.0%	41.2%	+6.9	14
1960-04-24	Brann	D 1-1	1163	1093	51.8%	25.9%	22.2%	-1.1	12
1960-04-24	@ Viking	D 1-1	1093	1163	22.2%	25.9%	51.8%	+1.1	8
1960-04-26	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1081	1117	38.1%	27.0%	34.9%	+5.8	8
1960-04-26	@ Greaker	L 1-2	1117	1081	34.9%	27.0%	38.1%	-5.8	11
1960-04-30	Lillestrom	D 1-1	1087	1138	36.0%	27.0%	37.1%	+0.0	9
1960-04-30	@ Greaker	D 1-1	1138	1087	37.1%	27.0%	36.0%	-0.0	14
1960-04-30	Viking	W 1-0	1111	1162	36.0%	27.0%	37.1%	+6.4	14
1960-04-30	@ Sandefjord	L 0-1	1162	1111	37.1%	27.0%	36.0%	-6.4	12
1960-04-30	Larvik Turn	W 2-1	1182	1171	44.5%	26.8%	28.7%	+5.0	19
1960-04-30	@ Valerenga	L 1-2	1171	1182	28.7%	26.8%	44.5%	-5.0	13
1960-05-01	Eik Tonsberg	L 1-2	1103	1171	33.6%	26.9%	39.6%	-5.6	6
1960-05-01	@ Brage	W 2-1	1171	1103	39.6%	26.9%	33.6%	+5.6	22
1960-05-01	Skeid	L 1-2	1157	1174	40.7%	27.0%	32.4%	-6.5	14
1960-05-01	@ IF Odd	W 2-1	1174	1157	32.4%	27.0%	40.7%	+6.5	16
1960-05-01	Raufoss	W 3-1	1113	1069	48.7%	26.4%	24.9%	+7.7	11
1960-05-01	@ Rapid Moss	L 1-3	1069	1113	24.9%	26.4%	48.7%	-7.7	4
1960-05-01	Brann	L 1-4	1102	1094	44.0%	26.8%	29.2%	-16.8	5
1960-05-01	@ Start	W 4-1	1094	1102	29.2%	26.8%	44.0%	+16.8	11
1960-05-01	Fredrikstad	L 0-3	1130	1194	34.0%	26.9%	39.1%	-16.4	8
1960-05-01	@ Strommen	W 3-0	1194	1130	39.1%	26.9%	34.0%	+16.4	20
1960-05-04	Viking	W 1-0	1138	1155	40.5%	27.0%	32.5%	+5.8	17
1960-05-04	@ Lillestrom	L 0-1	1155	1138	32.5%	27.0%	40.5%	-5.8	12
1960-05-08	Greaker	L 0-3	1111	1087	46.1%	26.7%	27.2%	-20.8	11
1960-05-08	@ Brann	W 3-0	1087	1111	27.2%	26.7%	46.1%	+20.8	12
1960-05-08	IF Odd	W 5-1	1177	1151	46.4%	26.7%	26.9%	+15.0	25
1960-05-08	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 1-5	1151	1177	26.9%	26.7%	46.4%	-15.0	14
1960-05-08	Rapid Moss	W 4-0	1211	1120	54.2%	25.5%	20.3%	+14.1	23
1960-05-08	@ Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1120	1211	20.3%	25.5%	54.2%	-14.1	11
1960-05-08	Sandefjord	W 2-1	1166	1118	49.2%	26.3%	24.4%	+4.4	16
1960-05-08	@ Larvik Turn	L 1-2	1118	1166	24.4%	26.3%	49.2%	-4.4	14
1960-05-08	Start	D 1-1	1143	1085	50.5%	26.2%	23.4%	-1.0	18
1960-05-08	@ Lillestrom	D 1-1	1085	1143	23.4%	26.2%	50.5%	+1.0	6
1960-05-08	Strommen	L 0-1	1061	1114	35.7%	26.9%	37.4%	-6.2	4
1960-05-08	@ Raufoss	W 1-0	1114	1061	37.4%	26.9%	35.7%	+6.2	11
1960-05-08	Brage	W 1-0	1181	1097	53.4%	25.6%	21.0%	+4.1	19
1960-05-08	@ Skeid	L 0-1	1097	1181	21.0%	25.6%	53.4%	-4.1	6
1960-05-08	Valerenga	W 4-0	1150	1187	37.8%	27.0%	35.2%	+22.0	15
1960-05-08	@ Viking	L 0-4	1187	1150	35.2%	27.0%	37.8%	-22.0	19
1960-05-15	Raufoss	D 2-2	1093	1055	48.0%	26.5%	25.5%	-0.6	7
1960-05-15	@ Brage	D 2-2	1055	1093	25.5%	26.5%	48.0%	+0.6	5
1960-05-15	Fredrikstad	L 0-1	1192	1225	38.4%	27.0%	34.6%	-6.6	25
1960-05-15	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 1-0	1225	1192	34.6%	27.0%	38.4%	+6.6	26
1960-05-15	Viking	L 1-3	1108	1172	34.1%	26.9%	39.0%	-9.8	12
1960-05-15	@ Greaker	W 3-1	1172	1108	39.0%	26.9%	34.1%	+9.8	18
1960-05-15	Lillestrom	W 3-0	1171	1142	46.7%	26.6%	26.7%	+13.6	19
1960-05-15	@ Larvik Turn	L 0-3	1142	1171	26.7%	26.6%	46.7%	-13.6	18
1960-05-15	IF Odd	D 1-1	1106	1136	39.0%	27.0%	34.0%	-0.2	12
1960-05-15	@ Rapid Moss	D 1-1	1136	1106	34.0%	27.0%	39.0%	+0.2	15
1960-05-15	Sandefjord	L 1-2	1086	1113	39.2%	27.0%	33.8%	-6.3	6
1960-05-15	@ Start	W 2-1	1113	1086	33.8%	27.0%	39.2%	+6.3	17
1960-05-15	Skeid	D 0-0	1120	1185	34.0%	26.9%	39.1%	+0.2	12
1960-05-15	@ Strommen	D 0-0	1185	1120	39.1%	26.9%	34.0%	-0.2	20
1960-05-15	Brann	W 7-0	1165	1090	52.5%	25.8%	21.7%	+25.4	22
1960-05-15	@ Valerenga	L 0-7	1090	1165	21.7%	25.8%	52.5%	-25.4	11
1960-05-22	Raufoss	D 1-1	1232	1055	63.3%	22.8%	14.0%	-1.8	27
1960-05-22	@ Fredrikstad	D 1-1	1055	1232	14.0%	22.8%	63.3%	+1.9	6
1960-05-22	Start	W 5-0	1098	1080	45.4%	26.7%	27.8%	+22.7	15
1960-05-22	@ Greaker	L 0-5	1080	1098	27.8%	26.7%	45.4%	-22.7	6
1960-05-22	Brann	W 5-3	1129	1065	51.1%	26.1%	22.8%	+6.0	21
1960-05-22	@ Lillestrom	L 3-5	1065	1129	22.8%	26.1%	51.1%	-6.0	11
1960-05-22	Brage	W 3-1	1136	1093	48.6%	26.4%	25.0%	+7.7	18
1960-05-22	@ IF Odd	L 1-3	1093	1136	25.0%	26.4%	48.6%	-7.7	7
1960-05-22	Valerenga	D 1-1	1120	1191	33.1%	26.8%	40.0%	+0.2	18
1960-05-22	@ Sandefjord	D 1-1	1191	1120	40.0%	26.8%	33.1%	-0.2	23
1960-05-22	Eik Tonsberg	W 3-1	1184	1185	42.9%	26.9%	30.2%	+9.0	23
1960-05-22	@ Skeid	L 1-3	1185	1184	30.2%	26.9%	42.9%	-9.0	25
1960-05-22	Rapid Moss	L 1-2	1120	1106	44.8%	26.8%	28.4%	-7.0	12
1960-05-22	@ Strommen	W 2-1	1106	1120	28.4%	26.8%	44.8%	+7.0	15
1960-05-22	Larvik Turn	W 3-2	1182	1184	42.6%	26.9%	30.5%	+4.9	21
1960-05-22	@ Viking	L 2-3	1184	1182	30.5%	26.9%	42.6%	-4.9	19
1960-05-28	Viking	D 1-1	1059	1186	26.2%	26.0%	47.8%	+0.8	12
1960-05-28	@ Brann	D 1-1	1186	1059	47.8%	26.0%	26.2%	-0.8	22
1960-05-28	Start	W 5-1	1179	1057	57.8%	24.6%	17.6%	+10.3	22
1960-05-28	@ Larvik Turn	L 1-5	1057	1179	17.6%	24.6%	57.8%	-10.3	6
1960-05-28	Sandefjord	W 4-1	1135	1120	45.0%	26.8%	28.3%	+12.0	24
1960-05-28	@ Lillestrom	L 1-4	1120	1135	28.3%	26.8%	45.0%	-12.0	18
1960-05-28	Greaker	L 1-5	1191	1121	51.8%	25.9%	22.2%	-24.9	23
1960-05-28	@ Valerenga	W 5-1	1121	1191	22.2%	25.9%	51.8%	+24.9	18
1960-05-29	Strommen	L 3-4	1085	1113	39.1%	27.0%	33.9%	-5.8	7
1960-05-29	@ Brage	W 4-3	1113	1085	33.9%	27.0%	39.1%	+5.8	15
1960-05-29	Rapid Moss	L 1-2	1176	1113	51.0%	26.1%	22.9%	-7.8	25
1960-05-29	@ Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	1113	1176	22.9%	26.1%	51.0%	+7.8	18
1960-05-29	IF Odd	W 5-2	1230	1143	53.8%	25.6%	20.7%	+8.0	30
1960-05-29	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-5	1143	1230	20.7%	25.6%	53.8%	-8.0	18
1960-05-29	Skeid	D 4-4	1057	1193	25.3%	25.8%	48.9%	+0.4	7
1960-05-29	@ Raufoss	D 4-4	1193	1057	48.9%	25.8%	25.3%	-0.4	24
1960-06-12	Larvik Turn	W 4-1	1060	1190	26.0%	26.0%	48.1%	+18.0	15
1960-06-12	@ Brann	L 1-4	1190	1060	48.1%	26.0%	26.0%	-18.0	22
1960-06-12	Strommen	L 2-3	1135	1119	45.2%	26.8%	28.1%	-6.7	18
1960-06-12	@ IF Odd	W 3-2	1119	1135	28.1%	26.8%	45.2%	+6.7	18
1960-06-12	Brage	W 3-0	1121	1079	48.4%	26.4%	25.2%	+13.0	21
1960-06-12	@ Rapid Moss	L 0-3	1079	1121	25.2%	26.4%	48.4%	-13.0	7
1960-06-12	Eik Tonsberg	W 2-1	1058	1168	28.2%	26.3%	45.5%	+7.0	10
1960-06-12	@ Raufoss	L 1-2	1168	1058	45.5%	26.3%	28.2%	-7.0	25
1960-06-12	Greaker	D 0-0	1108	1146	37.8%	27.0%	35.3%	-0.1	19
1960-06-12	@ Sandefjord	D 0-0	1146	1108	35.3%	27.0%	37.8%	+0.1	19
1960-06-12	Fredrikstad	L 0-4	1193	1238	36.8%	27.0%	36.2%	-22.7	24
1960-06-12	@ Skeid	W 4-0	1238	1193	36.2%	27.0%	36.8%	+22.7	33
1960-06-12	Valerenga	L 0-1	1047	1166	27.2%	26.2%	46.6%	-5.0	6
1960-06-12	@ Start	W 1-0	1166	1047	46.6%	26.2%	27.2%	+5.0	26
1960-06-12	Lillestrom	L 0-4	1186	1147	48.1%	26.5%	25.5%	-28.1	22
1960-06-12	@ Viking	W 4-0	1147	1186	25.5%	26.5%	48.1%	+28.1	27

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1960-06-15	Lillestrom	W 6-2	1260	1175	53.7%	25.6%	20.7%	+10.2	1-0
1960-06-15	@ Fredrikstad	L 2-6	1175	1260	20.7%	25.6%	53.7%	-10.2	0-1
1960-06-16	Valerenga	W 4-2	1161	1171	41.7%	26.9%	31.3%	+8.2	1-0
1960-06-16	@ Eik Tonsberg	L 2-4	1171	1161	31.3%	26.9%	41.7%	-8.2	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1959-10-11	21.50%	Rapid Moss	1105	2	@ Skeid	1182	1
2	1960-05-28	22.24%	Greaker	1121	5	@ Valerenga	1191	1
3	1960-05-29	22.92%	Rapid Moss	1113	2	@ Eik Tonsberg	1176	1
4	1959-10-04	22.93%	Skeid	1158	5	@ Fredrikstad	1220	1
5	1960-06-12	25.46%	Lillestrom	1147	4	@ Viking	1186	0
6	1960-06-12	25.97%	@ Brann	1060	4	Larvik Turn	1190	1
7	1960-05-08	27.19%	Greaker	1087	3	@ Brann	1111	0
8	1959-09-06	27.27%	Viking	1136	3	@ Larvik Turn	1159	1
9	1960-06-12	28.05%	Strommen	1119	3	@ IF Odd	1135	2
10	1960-06-12	28.16%	@ Raufoss	1058	2	Eik Tonsberg	1168	1
11	1959-07-26	28.33%	Eik Tonsberg	1127	2	@ Strommen	1141	1
12	1960-05-22	28.39%	Rapid Moss	1106	2	@ Strommen	1120	1
13	1959-10-04	28.65%	Rapid Moss	1097	1	@ Brage	1109	0
14	1959-07-26	28.83%	Viking	1136	3	@ Start	1146	2
15	1959-09-06	28.99%	Lillestrom	1111	2	@ Brann	1120	1
16	1960-05-01	29.16%	Brann	1094	4	@ Start	1102	1
17	1959-09-27	29.35%	Lillestrom	1118	2	@ Sandefjord	1124	0
18	1959-07-26	29.71%	Skeid	1146	2	@ Rapid Moss	1149	1
19	1959-10-11	31.42%	Sandefjord	1110	1	@ Brann	1100	0
20	1959-07-26	31.53%	Fredrikstad	1157	4	@ Brage	1146	0
21	1959-08-16	31.74%	Eik Tonsberg	1139	1	@ IF Odd	1126	0
22	1959-10-25	31.84%	IF Odd	1150	1	@ Strommen	1137	0
23	1959-08-16	32.01%	Brann	1119	1	@ Greaker	1105	0
24	1960-05-01	32.37%	Skeid	1174	2	@ IF Odd	1157	1
25	1959-09-27	32.50%	Larvik Turn	1147	2	@ Start	1129	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1960-06-12	28.07	Lillestrom	4	1147	25.46%	@ Viking	0	1186	48.06%
2	1960-05-15	25.41	@ Valerenga	7	1165	52.46%	Brann	0	1090	21.72%
3	1959-07-26	24.94	Fredrikstad	4	1157	31.53%	@ Brage	0	1146	41.52%
4	1960-05-28	24.93	Greaker	5	1121	22.24%	@ Valerenga	1	1191	51.83%
5	1959-08-23	24.83	@ IF Odd	5	1119	41.82%	Rapid Moss	0	1128	31.24%
6	1959-10-04	24.59	Skeid	5	1158	22.93%	@ Fredrikstad	1	1220	51.00%
7	1960-06-12	22.74	Fredrikstad	4	1238	36.24%	@ Skeid	0	1193	36.78%
8	1960-05-22	22.71	@ Greaker	5	1098	45.44%	Start	0	1080	27.82%
9	1959-08-02	22.21	@ Larvik Turn	4	1135	37.38%	Valerenga	0	1176	35.63%
10	1960-05-08	22.03	@ Viking	4	1150	37.79%	Valerenga	0	1187	35.22%
11	1960-05-08	20.77	Greaker	3	1087	27.19%	@ Brann	0	1111	46.14%
12	1959-08-16	18.73	@ Strommen	4	1125	44.79%	Raufoss	0	1111	28.43%
13	1960-06-12	18.03	@ Brann	4	1060	25.97%	Larvik Turn	1	1190	48.06%
14	1959-09-27	17.55	@ Skeid	6	1140	47.97%	Raufoss	1	1102	25.54%
15	1960-05-01	16.85	Brann	4	1094	29.16%	@ Start	1	1102	44.01%
16	1960-05-01	16.42	Fredrikstad	3	1194	39.08%	@ Strommen	0	1130	34.04%
17	1959-07-26	15.41	@ IF Odd	3	1118	41.85%	Raufoss	0	1127	31.22%
18	1960-05-08	14.96	@ Eik Tonsberg	5	1177	46.43%	IF Odd	1	1151	26.93%
19	1959-10-11	14.66	@ Viking	5	1148	47.16%	Start	1	1116	26.26%
20	1959-08-16	14.51	Fredrikstad	4	1191	36.82%	@ Rapid Moss	1	1142	36.23%
21	1960-05-08	14.13	@ Fredrikstad	4	1211	54.24%	Rapid Moss	0	1120	20.30%
22	1959-08-23	13.90	@ Raufoss	4	1093	38.87%	Brage	1	1123	34.14%
23	1959-09-27	13.71	Lillestrom	2	1118	29.35%	@ Sandefjord	0	1124	43.80%
24	1959-09-06	13.67	@ Valerenga	3	1165	46.62%	Sandefjord	0	1137	26.75%
25	1960-05-15	13.64	@ Larvik Turn	3	1171	46.69%	Lillestrom	0	1142	26.68%