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1957-58 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Skeid

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skeid

6.13 points above expected

23 points · 16.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sarpsborg 08

9.68 points below expected

1 points · 10.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skeid 14 11 1 2 23 41 13 +28 16.9 +6.13
2 Fredrikstad 14 9 3 2 21 45 18 +27 16.8 +4.16
3 Viking 14 9 3 2 21 32 14 +18 15.1 +5.88
4 Larvik Turn 14 9 3 2 21 36 22 +14 15.9 +5.12
5 Strommen 14 8 2 4 18 29 16 +13 15.7 +2.29
6 Asker 14 6 5 3 17 36 26 +10 14.9 +2.11
7 Brann 14 8 1 5 17 26 28 -2 15.7 +1.30
8 Sandefjord 14 5 5 4 15 16 16 0 14.5 +0.49
9 Raufoss 14 7 0 7 14 35 30 +5 13.3 +0.67
10 IF Odd 14 7 0 7 14 30 26 +4 13.4 +0.60
11 Lillestrom 14 6 1 7 13 34 32 +2 14.0 -1.04
12 Eik Tonsberg 14 5 3 6 13 22 27 -5 12.6 +0.40
13 Molde 14 1 5 8 7 18 38 -20 11.9 -4.95
14 Frigg Oslo 14 3 0 11 6 20 38 -18 12.2 -6.19
15 Steinkjer 14 1 1 12 3 17 59 -42 10.3 -7.29
16 Sarpsborg 08 14 0 1 13 1 10 44 -34 10.7 -9.68

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Viking 2
Skeid 0

Sim: 258.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1365 21 16.84 +4.16 93.2% 5 12 15 17 19 22 27
Skeid 1348 23 16.87 +6.13 98.5% 5 12 15 17 19 22 27
Larvik Turn 1319 21 15.88 +5.12 95.8% 4 10 14 16 18 21 27
Strommen 1315 18 15.71 +2.29 80.9% 4 10 14 16 18 21 26
Viking 1308 21 15.12 +5.88 98.0% 3 10 13 15 17 20 26
Asker 1272 17 14.89 +2.11 79.4% 4 10 13 15 17 20 26
Brann 1264 17 15.70 +1.30 71.3% 4 10 14 16 18 21 27
IF Odd 1263 14 13.40 +0.60 63.1% 2 8 11 13 16 19 25
Sandefjord 1254 15 14.51 +0.49 61.6% 2 9 12 15 17 20 26
Raufoss 1228 14 13.33 +0.67 64.5% 2 8 11 13 15 19 25
Lillestrom 1228 13 14.04 -1.04 43.2% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Eik Tonsberg 1210 13 12.60 +0.40 60.9% 1 7 10 13 15 18 24
Frigg Oslo 1148 6 12.19 -6.19 3.7% 0 7 10 12 14 17 24
Molde 1134 7 11.95 -4.95 7.2% 1 7 10 12 14 17 24
Sarpsborg 08 1107 1 10.68 -9.68 0.0% 0 6 8 11 13 16 22
Steinkjer 1068 3 10.29 -7.29 1.2% 0 5 8 10 12 16 23

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ASK BRA ET FRE FO IO LT LIL MOL RAU SAN S0 SKE STE STR VIK
Asker —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.91
0-2-0
3.51
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Brann
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.18
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
3.01
Eik Tonsberg
1-1-0
2.29
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
3.12
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Fredrikstad
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.42
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.86
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.35
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Frigg Oslo
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
2.40
IF Odd
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.92
 —
2-0-0
2.30
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
2.50
Larvik Turn
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
3.37
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.30
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.89
Lillestrom
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
2-0-0
3.01
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
3.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Molde
0-2-0
2.16
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.66
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.45
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.04
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Raufoss
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.55
Sandefjord
0-1-1
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.21
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
3.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg 08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
2.07
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.81
0-1-1
1.79
Skeid
1-1-0
3.16
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.28
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
3.51
0-0-0
0.00
 —
2-0-0
4.06
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Steinkjer
0-0-2
2.18
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
1.63
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Strommen
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.42
2-0-0
3.24
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
3.41
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-1-0
2.97
Viking
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.12
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
3.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.69
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.46%3.57%4.46%1.79%2.68%3.12%20.09%
13.57%5.36%7.14%6.25%1.79%2.23%26.34%
24.46%7.14%1.79%2.68%1.79%4.46%22.32%
31.79%6.25%2.68%3.57%0.45%—14.73%
42.68%1.79%1.79%0.45%——6.70%
5+3.12%2.23%4.46%———9.82%
Total20.09%26.34%22.32%14.73%6.70%9.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.76
StdDev allowed1.76
Mean total goals/game3.99
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.214
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%———7.14%—14.29%
1—14.29%—14.29%——28.57%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
3—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
4———————
5+—7.14%21.43%———28.57%
Total7.14%35.71%28.57%21.43%7.14%—100%

Asker — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.57
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored2.14
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.093
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%———14.29%21.43%
114.29%——7.14%——21.43%
2—14.29%—7.14%——21.43%
3—7.14%14.29%7.14%——28.57%
4———————
5+7.14%—————7.14%
Total21.43%28.57%14.29%21.43%—14.29%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.86
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.84
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.430
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%—7.14%—7.14%—28.57%
1—7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%—28.57%
27.14%————7.14%14.29%
3—14.29%————14.29%
47.14%—7.14%———14.29%
5+———————
Total28.57%21.43%21.43%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Eik Tonsberg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.45
StdDev allowed2.02
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.116
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
2—14.29%7.14%——7.14%28.57%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
5+14.29%7.14%————21.43%
Total28.57%42.86%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.21
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored2.72
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.242
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%21.43%7.14%——35.71%
1————14.29%7.14%21.43%
27.14%——14.29%—7.14%28.57%
3———————
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total7.14%21.43%21.43%21.43%14.29%14.29%100%

Frigg Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed2.71
StdDev scored1.55
StdDev allowed1.86
Mean total goals/game4.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.167
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%——7.14%14.29%
17.14%—14.29%7.14%—7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%—7.14%——21.43%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
4———————
5+7.14%—7.14%———14.29%
Total28.57%14.29%28.57%14.29%—14.29%100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.14
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored2.07
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.408
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
1—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
2—14.29%————14.29%
37.14%7.14%21.43%14.29%——50.00%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total14.29%35.71%28.57%21.43%——100%

Larvik Turn — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.57
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game4.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.025
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%———7.14%
1——7.14%14.29%——21.43%
2——7.14%——14.29%21.43%
37.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
47.14%—7.14%———14.29%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%21.43%28.57%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Lillestrom — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.43
Mean allowed2.29
StdDev scored1.40
StdDev allowed1.77
Mean total goals/game4.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.394
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%7.14%14.29%—28.57%
1—21.43%7.14%14.29%—7.14%50.00%
2———————
3———14.29%——14.29%
4———————
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total—21.43%21.43%35.71%14.29%7.14%100%

Molde — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.29
Mean allowed2.71
StdDev scored1.44
StdDev allowed1.38
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.149
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
1——14.29%7.14%——21.43%
27.14%7.14%——7.14%7.14%28.57%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+——14.29%———14.29%
Total7.14%21.43%42.86%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Raufoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.50
Mean allowed2.14
StdDev scored2.10
StdDev allowed1.29
Mean total goals/game4.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.113
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%7.14%——7.14%—42.86%
17.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
2—14.29%————14.29%
3—7.14%————7.14%
4———————
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total35.71%35.71%14.29%7.14%7.14%—100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.46
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.202
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%14.29%—7.14%14.29%50.00%
1—7.14%14.29%—7.14%—28.57%
2———7.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—21.43%28.57%7.14%21.43%21.43%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.71
Mean allowed3.14
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed1.92
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.271
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——14.29%———14.29%
27.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
37.14%21.43%————28.57%
421.43%—————21.43%
5+——7.14%———7.14%
Total35.71%35.71%28.57%———100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.93
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed0.83
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.185
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%—14.29%28.57%
1———14.29%—14.29%28.57%
27.14%———14.29%14.29%35.71%
3———7.14%——7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.14%7.14%—28.57%14.29%42.86%100%

Steinkjer — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.21
Mean allowed4.21
StdDev scored0.97
StdDev allowed2.42
Mean total goals/game5.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.314
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—————7.14%
114.29%7.14%14.29%———35.71%
214.29%7.14%—7.14%—7.14%35.71%
3———————
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+14.29%—————14.29%
Total50.00%21.43%14.29%7.14%—7.14%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.54
StdDev allowed1.70
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.121
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—7.14%———14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
214.29%14.29%————28.57%
3—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%————14.29%
Total35.71%35.71%21.43%7.14%——100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.29
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.77
StdDev allowed0.96
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.000
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skeid 23 16.9 +6.13
2 Viking 21 15.1 +5.88
3 Larvik Turn 21 15.9 +5.12
4 Fredrikstad 21 16.8 +4.16
5 Strommen 18 15.7 +2.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sarpsborg 08 1 10.7 -9.68
2 Steinkjer 3 10.3 -7.29
3 Frigg Oslo 6 12.2 -6.19
4 Molde 7 11.9 -4.95
5 Lillestrom 13 14.0 -1.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skeid 9 Aug 25 – May 18 1 in 258
2 Viking 5 Jul 28 – Sep 15 1 in 111
3 Fredrikstad 7 May 4 – Jun 8 1 in 88
4 Strommen 5 Aug 25 – Oct 27 1 in 39
5 Larvik Turn 5 Sep 15 – May 4 1 in 28

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarpsborg 08 11 Jul 28 – May 15 1 in 1,811
2 Frigg Oslo 6 Aug 25 – May 4 1 in 78
3 Raufoss 3 Oct 6 – May 4 1 in 16
4 Steinkjer 4 Jul 28 – Aug 25 1 in 12
5 Strommen 2 May 4 – May 11 1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skeid 12 Jul 28 – May 18 1 in 120
2 Viking 6 May 4 – Jun 8 1 in 15
3 Larvik Turn 6 Aug 25 – May 4 1 in 15
4 Fredrikstad 7 May 4 – Jun 8 1 in 12
5 Asker 5 Jul 31 – Sep 15 1 in 11

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sarpsborg 08 14 Jul 28 – Jun 8 1 in 182
2 Molde 11 Aug 25 – Jun 8 1 in 88
3 Steinkjer 9 Sep 15 – Jun 8 1 in 19
4 Asker 5 May 7 – Jun 1 1 in 17
5 Frigg Oslo 6 Aug 25 – May 4 1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Skeid32.49%23.63%16.38%11.52%7.52%4.73%2.67%1.06%
Fredrikstad31.33%24.30%16.52%11.51%7.55%4.93%2.65%1.21%
Viking18.47%17.56%16.45%14.17%12.44%9.87%7.36%3.68%
Larvik Turn23.80%20.48%15.71%13.27%10.59%7.94%5.35%2.86%
Strommen22.18%19.42%16.46%13.56%11.09%8.78%5.68%2.83%
Asker12.34%15.66%18.21%16.75%14.37%11.21%7.58%3.88%
Brann18.57%17.46%16.49%15.37%12.11%9.57%7.05%3.38%
Sandefjord9.78%13.40%15.44%16.13%15.88%13.81%10.11%5.45%
Raufoss6.12%9.39%11.25%14.13%15.56%16.93%15.93%10.69%
IF Odd6.63%8.95%12.45%13.75%15.82%15.70%15.34%11.36%
Lillestrom7.70%11.51%14.51%16.23%17.01%14.52%11.64%6.88%
Eik Tonsberg3.72%5.87%9.14%12.53%15.60%18.53%19.33%15.28%
Molde1.96%4.08%6.76%10.27%13.78%18.33%24.20%20.62%
Frigg Oslo3.00%4.83%7.31%9.87%13.38%17.83%21.94%21.84%
Steinkjer0.68%1.55%3.04%5.06%8.29%13.94%21.82%45.62%
Sarpsborg 081.23%1.91%3.88%5.88%9.01%13.38%21.35%43.36%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Viking 2
Skeid 0

Sim: 258.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Skeid 63.8% 3.7%
Fredrikstad 64.8% 3.9%
Larvik Turn 68.0% 8.2%
Strommen 69.3% 8.5%
Brann 71.0% 10.4%
Viking 70.5% 11.0%
Asker 76.2% 11.5%
Sandefjord 74.7% 15.6%
Lillestrom 73.8% 18.5%
Raufoss 67.3% 26.6%
IF Odd 66.7% 26.7%
Eik Tonsberg 61.7% 34.6%
Frigg Oslo 53.2% 43.8%
Molde 53.2% 44.8%
Sarpsborg 08 34.1% 64.7%
Steinkjer 31.9% 67.4%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AskerBrannEik TonsbergFredrikstadFrigg OsloIF OddLarvik TurnLillestromMoldeRaufossSandefjordSarpsborg 08SkeidSteinkjerStrommenViking
Asker106.00%22.00%46.00%123.00%37.00%4.00%126.00%109.00%
Brann119.00%37.00%216.00%84.00%21.00%93.00%224.00%9.00%
Eik Tonsberg21.00%5.00%13.00%42.00%12.00%29.00%24.00%
Fredrikstad366.00%87.00%116.00%400.00%143.00%37.00%402.00%358.00%
Frigg Oslo9.00%4.00%22.00%6.00%2.00%11.00%24.00%1.00%
IF Odd42.00%16.00%86.00%34.00%11.00%30.00%93.00%2.00%
Larvik Turn180.00%57.00%335.00%113.00%29.00%157.00%359.00%14.00%
Lillestrom76.00%19.00%16.00%70.00%19.00%10.00%67.00%46.00%
Molde9.00%3.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%13.00%12.00%
Raufoss37.00%14.00%60.00%26.00%9.00%33.00%70.00%4.00%
Sandefjord83.00%22.00%20.00%88.00%26.00%7.00%88.00%88.00%
Sarpsborg 082.00%1.00%7.00%6.00%1.00%8.00%9.00%
Skeid391.00%62.00%131.00%407.00%117.00%31.00%418.00%329.00%
Steinkjer2.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%6.00%
Strommen137.00%51.00%268.00%101.00%45.00%130.00%326.00%12.00%
Viking135.00%46.00%230.00%77.00%28.00%94.00%258.00%7.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Skeid 58.0%
Viking 42.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
SkeidViking
Skeid58.00%
Viking42.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1957-07-28 Strommen W 3-2 1289 1269 57.2% 16.7% 26.0% +3.6 3
1957-07-28 @ Brann L 2-3 1269 1289 26.0% 16.7% 57.2% -3.6 0
1957-07-28 Steinkjer W 4-2 1212 1190 57.4% 16.7% 25.8% +5.8 3
1957-07-28 @ Eik Tonsberg L 2-4 1190 1212 25.8% 16.7% 57.4% -5.8 0
1957-07-28 IF Odd W 5-1 1210 1234 51.8% 16.9% 31.3% +14.1 3
1957-07-28 @ Frigg Oslo L 1-5 1234 1210 31.3% 16.9% 51.8% -14.1 0
1957-07-28 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-0 1278 1217 61.7% 16.5% 21.8% +12.2 3
1957-07-28 @ Larvik Turn L 0-4 1217 1278 21.8% 16.5% 61.7% -12.2 0
1957-07-28 Skeid L 1-3 1220 1261 49.6% 16.9% 33.5% -11.4 0
1957-07-28 @ Lillestrom W 3-1 1261 1220 33.5% 16.9% 49.6% +11.4 3
1957-07-28 Sandefjord D 1-1 1212 1259 48.8% 16.9% 34.3% -0.5 1
1957-07-28 @ Molde D 1-1 1259 1212 34.3% 16.9% 48.8% +0.5 1
1957-07-28 Viking L 1-2 1212 1234 52.1% 16.9% 31.0% -6.9 0
1957-07-28 @ Raufoss W 2-1 1234 1212 31.0% 16.9% 52.1% +6.9 3
1957-07-31 Fredrikstad W 5-2 1242 1294 48.1% 16.9% 34.9% +10.3 3
1957-07-31 @ Asker L 2-5 1294 1242 34.9% 16.9% 48.1% -10.3 0
1957-08-11 Eik Tonsberg W 4-1 1283 1218 62.2% 16.5% 21.3% +7.7 3
1957-08-11 @ Fredrikstad L 1-4 1218 1283 21.3% 16.5% 62.2% -7.7 3
1957-08-11 Raufoss L 2-3 1220 1205 56.6% 16.8% 26.6% -7.0 0
1957-08-11 @ IF Odd W 3-2 1205 1220 26.6% 16.8% 56.6% +7.0 3
1957-08-11 Lillestrom W 5-2 1259 1209 60.6% 16.6% 22.8% +7.1 4
1957-08-11 @ Sandefjord L 2-5 1209 1259 22.8% 16.6% 60.6% -7.1 0
1957-08-11 Brann L 1-2 1205 1293 43.0% 16.9% 40.0% -5.8 0
1957-08-11 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1293 1205 40.0% 16.9% 43.0% +5.8 6
1957-08-11 Molde W 2-0 1272 1211 61.7% 16.5% 21.8% +6.4 6
1957-08-11 @ Skeid L 0-2 1211 1272 21.8% 16.5% 61.7% -6.4 1
1957-08-11 Asker L 2-5 1184 1253 45.8% 17.0% 37.2% -13.0 0
1957-08-11 @ Steinkjer W 5-2 1253 1184 37.2% 17.0% 45.8% +13.0 6
1957-08-11 Larvik Turn D 1-1 1266 1290 51.7% 16.9% 31.4% -0.6 1
1957-08-11 @ Strommen D 1-1 1290 1266 31.4% 16.9% 51.7% +0.6 4
1957-08-11 Frigg Oslo W 5-1 1241 1224 56.8% 16.8% 26.5% +12.1 6
1957-08-11 @ Viking L 1-5 1224 1241 26.5% 16.8% 56.8% -12.1 3
1957-08-14 Skeid D 2-2 1266 1279 53.1% 16.9% 30.0% -0.5 7
1957-08-14 @ Asker D 2-2 1279 1266 30.0% 16.9% 53.1% +0.6 7
1957-08-14 Viking L 1-3 1299 1253 60.2% 16.6% 23.2% -13.6 6
1957-08-14 @ Brann W 3-1 1253 1299 23.2% 16.6% 60.2% +13.6 9
1957-08-14 Sandefjord D 0-0 1210 1266 47.5% 16.9% 35.6% -0.4 4
1957-08-14 @ Eik Tonsberg D 0-0 1266 1210 35.6% 16.9% 47.5% +0.4 5
1957-08-14 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-1 1212 1199 56.4% 16.8% 26.9% +9.5 6
1957-08-14 @ Frigg Oslo L 1-4 1199 1212 26.9% 16.8% 56.4% -9.5 0
1957-08-14 IF Odd L 0-1 1291 1213 63.4% 16.4% 20.2% -8.8 4
1957-08-14 @ Larvik Turn W 1-0 1213 1291 20.2% 16.4% 63.4% +8.8 3
1957-08-14 Fredrikstad D 2-2 1202 1291 42.9% 16.9% 40.2% -0.1 1
1957-08-14 @ Lillestrom D 2-2 1291 1202 40.2% 16.9% 42.9% +0.1 4
1957-08-14 Strommen W 2-1 1212 1265 48.0% 16.9% 35.1% +4.9 6
1957-08-14 @ Raufoss L 1-2 1265 1212 35.1% 16.9% 48.0% -4.9 1
1957-08-18 Steinkjer W 5-2 1205 1171 58.8% 16.7% 24.5% +7.6 4
1957-08-18 @ Molde L 2-5 1171 1205 24.5% 16.7% 58.8% -7.6 0
1957-08-25 Larvik Turn D 3-3 1285 1282 55.2% 16.8% 28.0% -0.5 7
1957-08-25 @ Brann D 3-3 1282 1285 28.0% 16.8% 55.2% +0.5 5
1957-08-25 Steinkjer W 9-0 1291 1163 68.1% 15.9% 16.0% +19.7 7
1957-08-25 @ Fredrikstad L 0-9 1163 1291 16.0% 15.9% 68.1% -19.7 0
1957-08-25 Lillestrom L 0-3 1213 1202 56.1% 16.8% 27.1% -21.4 4
1957-08-25 @ Molde W 3-0 1202 1213 27.1% 16.8% 56.1% +21.4 4
1957-08-25 Viking L 1-2 1222 1266 49.1% 16.9% 34.0% -6.5 3
1957-08-25 @ IF Odd W 2-1 1266 1222 34.0% 16.9% 49.1% +6.5 12
1957-08-25 Asker L 1-2 1267 1265 55.0% 16.8% 28.2% -7.2 5
1957-08-25 @ Sandefjord W 2-1 1265 1267 28.2% 16.8% 55.0% +7.2 10
1957-08-25 Raufoss L 2-4 1189 1217 51.3% 16.9% 31.8% -10.5 0
1957-08-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 4-2 1217 1189 31.8% 16.9% 51.3% +10.5 9
1957-08-25 Eik Tonsberg W 7-2 1279 1210 62.6% 16.4% 20.9% +10.0 10
1957-08-25 @ Skeid L 2-7 1210 1279 20.9% 16.4% 62.6% -10.0 4
1957-08-25 Frigg Oslo W 2-0 1260 1221 59.3% 16.7% 24.1% +7.0 4
1957-08-25 @ Strommen L 0-2 1221 1260 24.1% 16.7% 59.3% -7.0 6
1957-09-08 Frigg Oslo W 7-2 1215 1214 54.9% 16.8% 28.3% +13.2 6
1957-09-08 @ IF Odd L 2-7 1214 1215 28.3% 16.8% 54.9% -13.2 6
1957-09-08 Eik Tonsberg W 2-0 1144 1200 47.6% 16.9% 35.5% +9.9 3
1957-09-08 @ Steinkjer L 0-2 1200 1144 35.5% 16.9% 47.6% -9.9 4
1957-09-15 Molde D 3-3 1272 1191 63.8% 16.4% 19.9% -0.9 11
1957-09-15 @ Asker D 3-3 1191 1272 19.9% 16.4% 63.8% +0.9 5
1957-09-15 Brann L 2-3 1201 1285 43.7% 16.9% 39.3% -5.6 6
1957-09-15 @ Frigg Oslo W 3-2 1285 1201 39.3% 16.9% 43.7% +5.6 10
1957-09-15 Raufoss W 5-2 1282 1228 61.1% 16.6% 22.4% +7.0 8
1957-09-15 @ Larvik Turn L 2-5 1228 1282 22.4% 16.6% 61.1% -7.0 9
1957-09-15 Eik Tonsberg W 3-1 1223 1190 58.7% 16.7% 24.6% +6.2 7
1957-09-15 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1190 1223 24.6% 16.7% 58.7% -6.2 4
1957-09-15 Fredrikstad D 0-0 1260 1311 48.2% 16.9% 34.9% -0.5 6
1957-09-15 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1311 1260 34.9% 16.9% 48.2% +0.5 8
1957-09-15 Skeid L 0-3 1154 1290 36.4% 16.8% 46.8% -14.6 3
1957-09-15 @ Steinkjer W 3-0 1290 1154 46.8% 16.8% 36.4% +14.7 13
1957-09-15 IF Odd W 5-0 1267 1228 59.3% 16.7% 24.0% +16.5 7
1957-09-15 @ Strommen L 0-5 1228 1267 24.0% 16.7% 59.3% -16.5 6
1957-09-15 Sarpsborg 08 W 6-0 1273 1179 65.0% 16.2% 18.7% +15.5 15
1957-09-15 @ Viking L 0-6 1179 1273 18.7% 16.2% 65.0% -15.5 0
1957-09-29 IF Odd W 3-1 1290 1212 63.5% 16.4% 20.1% +5.2 13
1957-09-29 @ Brann L 1-3 1212 1290 20.1% 16.4% 63.5% -5.2 6
1957-09-29 Asker W 4-0 1183 1271 43.1% 16.9% 40.0% +20.7 7
1957-09-29 @ Eik Tonsberg L 0-4 1271 1183 40.0% 16.9% 43.1% -20.7 11
1957-09-29 Viking W 2-1 1289 1288 54.9% 16.8% 28.3% +4.1 11
1957-09-29 @ Larvik Turn L 1-2 1288 1289 28.3% 16.8% 54.9% -4.1 15
1957-09-29 Steinkjer W 4-2 1229 1139 64.7% 16.3% 19.0% +4.4 10
1957-09-29 @ Lillestrom L 2-4 1139 1229 19.0% 16.3% 64.7% -4.4 3
1957-09-29 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1192 1311 38.7% 16.9% 44.5% +0.2 6
1957-09-29 @ Molde D 1-1 1311 1192 44.5% 16.9% 38.7% -0.2 9
1957-09-29 Frigg Oslo W 4-1 1221 1196 57.8% 16.7% 25.5% +9.1 12
1957-09-29 @ Raufoss L 1-4 1196 1221 25.5% 16.7% 57.8% -9.1 6
1957-09-29 Strommen L 0-1 1163 1284 38.5% 16.9% 44.6% -5.6 0
1957-09-29 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1284 1163 44.6% 16.9% 38.5% +5.6 10
1957-09-29 Sandefjord W 4-0 1304 1259 60.0% 16.6% 23.4% +13.0 16
1957-09-29 @ Skeid L 0-4 1259 1304 23.4% 16.6% 60.0% -13.0 6
1957-10-06 Lillestrom W 3-1 1251 1234 56.8% 16.8% 26.4% +6.6 14
1957-10-06 @ Asker L 1-3 1234 1251 26.4% 16.8% 56.8% -6.6 10
1957-10-06 Molde W 3-1 1204 1192 56.2% 16.8% 27.0% +6.8 10
1957-10-06 @ Eik Tonsberg L 1-3 1192 1204 27.0% 16.8% 56.2% -6.8 6
1957-10-06 Larvik Turn L 2-3 1187 1293 40.4% 16.9% 42.7% -5.2 6
1957-10-06 @ Frigg Oslo W 3-2 1293 1187 42.7% 16.9% 40.4% +5.2 14
1957-10-06 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1207 1158 60.5% 16.6% 22.9% +6.8 9
1957-10-06 @ IF Odd L 0-2 1158 1207 22.9% 16.6% 60.5% -6.8 0
1957-10-06 Brann L 1-2 1230 1295 46.2% 17.0% 36.9% -6.2 12
1957-10-06 @ Raufoss W 2-1 1295 1230 36.9% 17.0% 46.2% +6.2 16
1957-10-20 Larvik Turn L 2-3 1151 1299 34.8% 16.8% 48.4% -4.6 0
1957-10-20 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-2 1299 1151 48.4% 16.8% 34.8% +4.6 17
1957-10-20 Lillestrom W 2-1 1317 1227 64.7% 16.3% 19.1% +2.8 19
1957-10-20 @ Skeid L 1-2 1227 1317 19.1% 16.3% 64.7% -2.8 10
1957-10-20 Brann W 5-0 1289 1302 53.2% 16.9% 29.9% +19.9 13
1957-10-20 @ Strommen L 0-5 1302 1289 29.9% 16.9% 53.2% -20.0 16
1957-10-20 Raufoss W 4-2 1284 1223 61.7% 16.5% 21.8% +5.0 18
1957-10-20 @ Viking L 2-4 1223 1284 21.8% 16.5% 61.7% -5.0 12
1957-10-27 Skeid L 1-2 1311 1320 53.7% 16.9% 29.4% -7.1 9
1957-10-27 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1320 1311 29.4% 16.9% 53.7% +7.1 22
1957-10-27 Strommen L 0-2 1289 1309 52.3% 16.9% 30.8% -13.8 18
1957-10-27 @ Viking W 2-0 1309 1289 30.8% 16.9% 52.3% +13.8 16
1957-10-27 Molde W 2-1 1246 1186 61.7% 16.5% 21.8% +3.2 9
1957-10-27 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1186 1246 21.8% 16.5% 61.7% -3.2 6
1958-04-26 Steinkjer W 3-1 1249 1135 66.9% 16.1% 17.0% +4.4 12
1958-04-26 @ Sandefjord L 1-3 1135 1249 17.0% 16.1% 66.9% -4.4 3
1958-05-04 Steinkjer W 6-1 1257 1130 68.0% 15.9% 16.0% +9.3 17
1958-05-04 @ Asker L 1-6 1130 1257 16.0% 15.9% 68.0% -9.3 3
1958-05-04 Sarpsborg 08 W 5-0 1282 1146 68.7% 15.9% 15.4% +10.9 19
1958-05-04 @ Brann L 0-5 1146 1282 15.4% 15.9% 68.7% -10.9 0
1958-05-04 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1211 1304 42.4% 16.9% 40.7% -5.7 10
1958-05-04 @ Eik Tonsberg W 2-1 1304 1211 40.7% 16.9% 42.4% +5.7 12
1958-05-04 Viking L 0-2 1181 1275 42.2% 16.9% 40.8% -11.4 6
1958-05-04 @ Frigg Oslo W 2-0 1275 1181 40.8% 16.9% 42.2% +11.4 21
1958-05-04 Strommen W 2-1 1303 1323 52.3% 16.9% 30.8% +4.4 20
1958-05-04 @ Larvik Turn L 1-2 1323 1303 30.8% 16.9% 52.3% -4.4 16
1958-05-04 Sandefjord W 3-1 1224 1254 51.1% 16.9% 32.0% +7.8 13
1958-05-04 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1254 1224 32.0% 16.9% 51.1% -7.8 12
1958-05-04 Skeid L 0-4 1182 1327 35.2% 16.8% 48.0% -18.6 6
1958-05-04 @ Molde W 4-0 1327 1182 48.0% 16.8% 35.2% +18.6 25
1958-05-04 IF Odd L 0-3 1218 1214 55.4% 16.8% 27.8% -21.1 12
1958-05-04 @ Raufoss W 3-0 1214 1218 27.8% 16.8% 55.4% +21.1 12
1958-05-07 Asker W 3-1 1310 1267 59.8% 16.6% 23.6% +6.0 15
1958-05-07 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1267 1310 23.6% 16.6% 59.8% -6.0 17
1958-05-11 Lillestrom W 4-3 1316 1232 64.0% 16.3% 19.6% +2.7 18
1958-05-11 @ Fredrikstad L 3-4 1232 1316 19.6% 16.3% 64.0% -2.7 13
1958-05-11 Larvik Turn W 3-1 1235 1308 45.2% 17.0% 37.8% +9.0 15
1958-05-11 @ IF Odd L 1-3 1308 1235 37.8% 17.0% 45.2% -9.0 20
1958-05-11 Eik Tonsberg D 0-0 1246 1205 59.5% 16.6% 23.8% -1.3 13
1958-05-11 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1205 1246 23.8% 16.6% 59.5% +1.3 11
1958-05-11 Frigg Oslo L 0-2 1135 1170 50.4% 16.9% 32.6% -13.4 0
1958-05-11 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1170 1135 32.6% 16.9% 50.4% +13.3 9
1958-05-11 Asker W 3-1 1346 1261 64.2% 16.3% 19.5% +5.0 28
1958-05-11 @ Skeid L 1-3 1261 1346 19.5% 16.3% 64.2% -5.0 17
1958-05-11 Molde D 3-3 1121 1164 49.3% 16.9% 33.8% -0.3 4
1958-05-11 @ Steinkjer D 3-3 1164 1121 33.8% 16.9% 49.3% +0.3 7
1958-05-11 Raufoss L 2-6 1319 1197 67.5% 16.0% 16.5% -23.6 16
1958-05-11 @ Strommen W 6-2 1197 1319 16.5% 16.0% 67.5% +23.6 15
1958-05-11 Brann W 1-0 1287 1293 54.1% 16.9% 29.0% +4.4 24
1958-05-11 @ Viking L 0-1 1293 1287 29.0% 16.9% 54.1% -4.4 19
1958-05-15 Sandefjord D 0-0 1256 1245 56.1% 16.8% 27.1% -1.1 18
1958-05-15 @ Asker D 0-0 1245 1256 27.1% 16.8% 56.1% +1.0 14
1958-05-15 Skeid L 0-4 1207 1351 35.3% 16.8% 47.9% -18.6 11
1958-05-15 @ Eik Tonsberg W 4-0 1351 1207 47.9% 16.8% 35.3% +18.6 31
1958-05-15 Strommen L 1-4 1183 1295 39.7% 16.9% 43.4% -13.3 9
1958-05-15 @ Frigg Oslo W 4-1 1295 1183 43.4% 16.9% 39.7% +13.3 19
1958-05-15 Brann W 3-2 1299 1288 56.1% 16.8% 27.2% +3.7 23
1958-05-15 @ Larvik Turn L 2-3 1288 1299 27.2% 16.8% 56.1% -3.7 19
1958-05-15 Molde W 4-0 1229 1164 62.2% 16.5% 21.3% +12.0 16
1958-05-15 @ Lillestrom L 0-4 1164 1229 21.3% 16.5% 62.2% -12.0 7
1958-05-15 Sarpsborg 08 W 7-2 1221 1122 65.5% 16.2% 18.3% +8.9 18
1958-05-15 @ Raufoss L 2-7 1122 1221 18.3% 16.2% 65.5% -8.9 0
1958-05-15 Fredrikstad L 0-8 1120 1318 28.5% 16.5% 55.0% -29.8 4
1958-05-15 @ Steinkjer W 8-0 1318 1120 55.0% 16.5% 28.5% +29.8 21
1958-05-15 IF Odd W 2-0 1291 1244 60.3% 16.6% 23.1% +6.8 27
1958-05-15 @ Viking L 0-2 1244 1291 23.1% 16.6% 60.3% -6.8 15
1958-05-18 Frigg Oslo W 1-0 1284 1170 66.9% 16.1% 17.0% +2.7 22
1958-05-18 @ Brann L 0-1 1170 1284 17.0% 16.1% 66.9% -2.7 9
1958-05-18 Lillestrom W 2-0 1188 1241 47.9% 16.9% 35.2% +9.8 14
1958-05-18 @ Eik Tonsberg L 0-2 1241 1188 35.2% 16.9% 47.9% -9.8 16
1958-05-18 Sandefjord W 1-0 1348 1246 65.8% 16.2% 18.0% +2.8 24
1958-05-18 @ Fredrikstad L 0-1 1246 1348 18.0% 16.2% 65.8% -2.8 14
1958-05-18 Asker D 1-1 1152 1255 41.0% 16.9% 42.1% +0.0 8
1958-05-18 @ Molde D 1-1 1255 1152 42.1% 16.9% 41.0% -0.0 19
1958-05-18 Strommen L 1-2 1237 1308 45.4% 17.0% 37.6% -6.1 15
1958-05-18 @ IF Odd W 2-1 1308 1237 37.6% 17.0% 45.4% +6.1 22
1958-05-18 Larvik Turn L 1-3 1230 1302 45.3% 17.0% 37.8% -10.5 18
1958-05-18 @ Raufoss W 3-1 1302 1230 37.8% 17.0% 45.3% +10.5 26
1958-05-18 Viking D 1-1 1113 1298 30.1% 16.6% 53.4% +0.8 1
1958-05-18 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1298 1113 53.4% 16.6% 30.1% -0.8 28
1958-05-18 Steinkjer W 3-1 1369 1091 78.4% 14.0% 7.7% +2.0 34
1958-05-18 @ Skeid L 1-3 1091 1369 7.7% 14.0% 78.4% -2.0 4
1958-06-01 Eik Tonsberg D 1-1 1254 1198 61.3% 16.5% 22.2% -1.3 20
1958-06-01 @ Asker D 1-1 1198 1254 22.2% 16.5% 61.3% +1.3 15
1958-06-01 Molde W 6-1 1351 1152 73.6% 15.1% 11.3% +6.7 27
1958-06-01 @ Fredrikstad L 1-6 1152 1351 11.3% 15.1% 73.6% -6.7 8
1958-06-01 Raufoss L 0-2 1167 1219 48.1% 16.9% 35.0% -12.8 9
1958-06-01 @ Frigg Oslo W 2-0 1219 1167 35.0% 16.9% 48.1% +12.8 21
1958-06-01 Brann W 6-0 1231 1287 47.5% 16.9% 35.5% +27.5 18
1958-06-01 @ IF Odd L 0-6 1287 1231 35.5% 16.9% 47.5% -27.5 22
1958-06-01 Skeid W 2-1 1243 1371 37.4% 16.8% 45.8% +6.1 17
1958-06-01 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1371 1243 45.8% 16.8% 37.4% -6.1 34
1958-06-01 Lillestrom L 1-5 1089 1232 35.5% 16.8% 47.8% -15.6 4
1958-06-01 @ Steinkjer W 5-1 1232 1089 47.8% 16.8% 35.5% +15.6 19
1958-06-01 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1314 1114 73.6% 15.1% 11.3% +1.8 25
1958-06-01 @ Strommen L 0-1 1114 1314 11.3% 15.1% 73.6% -1.8 1
1958-06-01 Larvik Turn D 3-3 1297 1313 52.9% 16.9% 30.2% -0.4 29
1958-06-01 @ Viking D 3-3 1313 1297 30.2% 16.9% 52.9% +0.5 27
1958-06-08 Raufoss W 1-0 1260 1232 58.1% 16.7% 25.2% +3.9 25
1958-06-08 @ Brann L 0-1 1232 1260 25.2% 16.7% 58.1% -3.9 21
1958-06-08 Frigg Oslo W 3-0 1313 1154 70.6% 15.6% 13.8% +6.1 30
1958-06-08 @ Larvik Turn L 0-3 1154 1313 13.8% 15.6% 70.6% -6.1 9
1958-06-08 Asker L 2-6 1247 1253 54.0% 16.9% 29.1% -19.1 19
1958-06-08 @ Lillestrom W 6-2 1253 1247 29.1% 16.9% 54.0% +19.1 23
1958-06-08 Eik Tonsberg L 1-3 1145 1199 47.9% 16.9% 35.2% -11.0 8
1958-06-08 @ Molde W 3-1 1199 1145 35.2% 16.9% 47.9% +11.0 18
1958-06-08 IF Odd L 1-2 1112 1258 35.0% 16.8% 48.2% -4.9 1
1958-06-08 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1258 1112 48.2% 16.8% 35.0% +4.9 21
1958-06-08 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1365 1358 55.7% 16.8% 27.5% -7.3 34
1958-06-08 @ Skeid W 2-1 1358 1365 27.5% 16.8% 55.7% +7.3 30
1958-06-08 Sandefjord L 0-1 1073 1249 31.2% 16.6% 52.2% -4.7 4
1958-06-08 @ Steinkjer W 1-0 1249 1073 52.2% 16.6% 31.2% +4.7 20
1958-06-08 Viking D 0-0 1316 1297 57.1% 16.8% 26.2% -1.1 26
1958-06-08 @ Strommen D 0-0 1297 1316 26.2% 16.8% 57.1% +1.1 30

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1958-06-22 Skeid W 2-0 1298 1358 47.0% 17.0% 36.0% +10.0 1-0
1958-06-22 @ Viking L 0-2 1358 1298 36.0% 17.0% 47.0% -10.0 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1958-05-11 16.49% Raufoss 1197 6 @ Strommen 1319 2
2 1957-08-14 20.19% IF Odd 1213 1 @ Larvik Turn 1291 0
3 1957-08-14 23.25% Viking 1253 3 @ Brann 1299 1
4 1957-08-11 26.63% Raufoss 1205 3 @ IF Odd 1220 2
5 1957-08-25 27.09% Lillestrom 1202 3 @ Molde 1213 0
6 1958-06-08 27.50% Fredrikstad 1358 2 @ Skeid 1365 1
7 1958-05-04 27.80% IF Odd 1214 3 @ Raufoss 1218 0
8 1957-08-25 28.16% Asker 1265 2 @ Sandefjord 1267 1
9 1958-06-08 29.10% Asker 1253 6 @ Lillestrom 1247 2
10 1957-10-27 29.44% Skeid 1320 2 @ Fredrikstad 1311 1
11 1957-10-27 30.80% Strommen 1309 2 @ Viking 1289 0
12 1957-07-28 31.03% Viking 1234 2 @ Raufoss 1212 1
13 1957-08-25 31.78% Raufoss 1217 4 @ Sarpsborg 08 1189 2
14 1958-05-11 32.65% Frigg Oslo 1170 2 @ Sarpsborg 08 1135 0
15 1957-07-28 33.50% Skeid 1261 3 @ Lillestrom 1220 1
16 1957-08-25 33.97% Viking 1266 2 @ IF Odd 1222 1
17 1958-06-01 34.98% Raufoss 1219 2 @ Frigg Oslo 1167 0
18 1958-06-08 35.18% Eik Tonsberg 1199 3 @ Molde 1145 1
19 1957-10-06 36.86% Brann 1295 2 @ Raufoss 1230 1
20 1957-08-11 37.24% Asker 1253 5 @ Steinkjer 1184 2
21 1958-06-01 37.38% @ Sandefjord 1243 2 Skeid 1371 1
22 1958-05-18 37.62% Strommen 1308 2 @ IF Odd 1237 1
23 1958-05-18 37.78% Larvik Turn 1302 3 @ Raufoss 1230 1
24 1957-09-15 39.33% Brann 1285 3 @ Frigg Oslo 1201 2
25 1957-08-11 40.03% Brann 1293 2 @ Sarpsborg 08 1205 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1958-05-15 29.75 Fredrikstad 8 1318 55.02% @ Steinkjer 0 1120 28.51%
2 1958-06-01 27.52 @ IF Odd 6 1231 47.50% Brann 0 1287 35.55%
3 1958-05-11 23.62 Raufoss 6 1197 16.49% @ Strommen 2 1319 67.51%
4 1957-08-25 21.40 Lillestrom 3 1202 27.09% @ Molde 0 1213 56.13%
5 1958-05-04 21.14 IF Odd 3 1214 27.80% @ Raufoss 0 1218 55.40%
6 1957-09-29 20.73 @ Eik Tonsberg 4 1183 43.11% Asker 0 1271 39.96%
7 1957-10-20 19.95 @ Strommen 5 1289 53.25% Brann 0 1302 29.89%
8 1957-08-25 19.68 @ Fredrikstad 9 1291 68.08% Steinkjer 0 1163 15.99%
9 1958-06-08 19.09 Asker 6 1253 29.10% @ Lillestrom 2 1247 54.05%
10 1958-05-15 18.63 Skeid 4 1351 47.95% @ Eik Tonsberg 0 1207 35.27%
11 1958-05-04 18.60 Skeid 4 1327 48.03% @ Molde 0 1182 35.20%
12 1957-09-15 16.46 @ Strommen 5 1267 59.32% IF Odd 0 1228 24.04%
13 1958-06-01 15.59 Lillestrom 5 1232 47.76% @ Steinkjer 1 1089 35.46%
14 1957-09-15 15.54 @ Viking 6 1273 65.02% Sarpsborg 08 0 1179 18.73%
15 1957-09-15 14.65 Skeid 3 1290 46.81% @ Steinkjer 0 1154 36.38%
16 1957-07-28 14.06 @ Frigg Oslo 5 1210 51.77% IF Odd 1 1234 31.33%
17 1957-10-27 13.81 Strommen 2 1309 30.80% @ Viking 0 1289 52.32%
18 1957-08-14 13.63 Viking 3 1253 23.25% @ Brann 1 1299 60.15%
19 1958-05-11 13.36 Frigg Oslo 2 1170 32.65% @ Sarpsborg 08 0 1135 50.43%
20 1958-05-15 13.31 Strommen 4 1295 43.38% @ Frigg Oslo 1 1183 39.73%
21 1957-09-08 13.18 @ IF Odd 7 1215 54.90% Frigg Oslo 2 1214 28.28%
22 1957-08-11 13.01 Asker 5 1253 37.24% @ Steinkjer 2 1184 45.81%
23 1957-09-29 13.01 @ Skeid 4 1304 60.02% Sandefjord 0 1259 23.37%
24 1958-06-01 12.79 Raufoss 2 1219 34.98% @ Frigg Oslo 0 1167 48.07%
25 1957-07-28 12.21 @ Larvik Turn 4 1278 61.71% Sarpsborg 08 0 1217 21.78%