Home / Leagues / Norway / Main League / 1950-51

1950-51 Main League Season

112 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Fredrikstad

23 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Fredrikstad

7.84 points above expected

23 points · 15.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kristiansund FK

9.44 points below expected

4 points · 13.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 14 10 3 1 23 44 14 +30 15.2 +7.84
2 IF Odd 14 7 6 1 20 31 13 +18 14.3 +5.71
3 Lyn Oslo 14 6 7 1 19 41 18 +23 14.5 +4.54
4 Valerenga 14 7 5 2 19 35 21 +14 14.1 +4.92
5 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 4 4 16 19 16 +3 14.2 +1.79
6 Skeid 14 6 4 4 16 29 28 +1 14.1 +1.93
7 Sandefjord 14 5 4 5 14 24 23 +1 14.0 -0.02
8 Viking 14 5 4 5 14 19 18 +1 14.2 -0.19
9 Sarpsborg 14 4 5 5 13 20 21 -1 14.1 -1.14
10 Orn-Horten 14 5 3 6 13 23 25 -2 13.9 -0.86
11 Brann 14 5 3 6 13 24 30 -6 14.0 -0.98
12 Strommen 14 5 3 6 13 22 29 -7 13.4 -0.42
13 Selbak 14 3 5 6 11 22 25 -3 13.5 -2.52
14 Lisleby 14 3 3 8 9 21 35 -14 13.7 -4.66
15 Fram Larvik 14 2 3 9 7 14 33 -19 13.5 -6.47
16 Kristiansund FK 14 1 2 11 4 16 55 -39 13.4 -9.44

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fredrikstad 7
IF Odd 3

Leg 1: IF Odd 1-3 Fredrikstad

Leg 2: Fredrikstad 4-2 IF Odd

Sim: 224.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Fredrikstad 1399 23 15.16 +7.84 99.9% 4 10 13 15 17 20 25
Lyn Oslo 1369 19 14.46 +4.54 95.3% 4 10 12 14 16 19 25
IF Odd 1360 20 14.29 +5.71 98.1% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Valerenga 1360 19 14.08 +4.92 97.0% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Sarpsborg 08 1353 16 14.21 +1.79 77.5% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Skeid 1350 16 14.07 +1.93 78.6% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Viking 1348 14 14.19 -0.19 54.3% 4 9 12 14 16 19 26
Sarpsborg 1347 13 14.14 -1.14 42.0% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Brann 1340 13 13.98 -0.98 43.2% 2 9 12 14 16 19 25
Orn-Horten 1340 13 13.86 -0.86 45.7% 4 9 12 14 16 19 25
Sandefjord 1340 14 14.02 -0.02 56.5% 3 9 12 14 16 19 24
Selbak 1334 11 13.52 -2.52 25.4% 4 9 11 13 16 18 25
Strommen 1332 13 13.42 -0.42 51.0% 4 8 11 13 15 18 24
Lisleby 1326 9 13.66 -4.66 8.7% 2 9 12 14 16 19 23
Fram Larvik 1316 7 13.47 -6.47 2.0% 1 9 11 13 16 18 25
Kristiansund FK 1298 4 13.44 -9.44 0.1% 4 9 11 13 15 18 24

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BRA FL FRE IO KF LIS LO ORN SAN SAR S0 SEL SKE STR VAL VIK
Brann
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.68
1-1-0
2.61
Fram Larvik
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.68
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.55
Fredrikstad
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.91
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
2.83
IF Odd
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Kristiansund FK
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.54
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.48
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lisleby
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.55
Lyn Oslo
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.68
2-0-0
2.78
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Orn-Horten
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.61
2-0-0
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sandefjord
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.66
Sarpsborg
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-2
2.67
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sarpsborg 08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.59
2-0-0
2.86
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.77
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Selbak
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.55
1-1-0
2.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Skeid
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.59
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Strommen
1-0-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.53
Valerenga
2-0-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-1-0
2.82
0-2-0
2.61
Viking
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-1
2.79
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
2-0-0
2.82
0-2-0
2.73

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.93%3.12%4.46%2.68%2.23%2.23%23.66%
13.12%11.61%4.91%5.36%2.68%1.34%29.02%
24.46%4.91%4.46%2.68%0.45%0.89%17.86%
32.68%5.36%2.68%3.57%0.89%1.79%16.96%
42.23%2.68%0.45%0.89%6.25%
5+2.23%1.34%0.89%1.79%6.25%
Total23.66%29.02%17.86%16.96%6.25%6.25%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.80
Mean allowed1.80
StdDev scored1.78
StdDev allowed1.78
Mean total goals/game3.61
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.042
Sample size (games)112
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
221.43%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total7.14%42.86%7.14%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Brann — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed2.14
StdDev scored1.27
StdDev allowed1.51
Mean total goals/game3.86
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.184
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
114.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total7.14%21.43%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Fram Larvik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed2.36
StdDev scored1.11
StdDev allowed1.39
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.199
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
114.29%14.29%
27.14%14.29%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
5+21.43%21.43%
Total42.86%35.71%7.14%7.14%7.14%100%

Fredrikstad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.14
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.41
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game4.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.220
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%21.43%
114.29%14.29%
214.29%7.14%21.43%
314.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
4
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total50.00%21.43%14.29%14.29%100%

IF Odd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.21
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored1.81
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.381
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
4
5+
Total21.43%14.29%35.71%7.14%21.43%100%

Kristiansund FK — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.14
Mean allowed3.93
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed3.56
Mean total goals/game5.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.248
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
27.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+
Total7.14%28.57%28.57%14.29%7.14%14.29%100%

Lisleby — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed2.50
StdDev scored1.02
StdDev allowed2.07
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.055
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%
121.43%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
314.29%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total21.43%42.86%21.43%14.29%100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.93
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored3.58
StdDev allowed0.99
Mean total goals/game4.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.459
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
121.43%14.29%35.71%
2
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total7.14%42.86%21.43%21.43%7.14%100%

Orn-Horten — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored1.65
StdDev allowed1.12
Mean total goals/game3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.586
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%28.57%
17.14%14.29%14.29%35.71%
27.14%7.14%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total14.29%35.71%35.71%7.14%7.14%100%

Sandefjord — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.71
Mean allowed1.64
StdDev scored1.82
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.019
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
121.43%7.14%7.14%7.14%42.86%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%35.71%14.29%14.29%7.14%100%

Sarpsborg — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.43
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.22
StdDev allowed1.65
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.343
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
114.29%7.14%14.29%35.71%
214.29%14.29%
37.14%7.14%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total42.86%21.43%14.29%21.43%100%

Sarpsborg 08 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.14
StdDev scored1.86
StdDev allowed1.23
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.158
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%28.57%
17.14%7.14%14.29%14.29%42.86%
27.14%7.14%
314.29%14.29%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total28.57%21.43%7.14%28.57%14.29%100%

Selbak — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.79
StdDev scored2.10
StdDev allowed1.53
Mean total goals/game3.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.328
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
114.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
321.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total21.43%42.86%14.29%21.43%100%

Skeid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.07
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed2.04
Mean total goals/game4.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.000
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
17.14%7.14%7.14%14.29%35.71%
214.29%14.29%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total21.43%14.29%35.71%21.43%7.14%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed2.07
StdDev scored1.28
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.533
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
114.29%7.14%21.43%
27.14%14.29%21.43%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Valerenga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.50
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored2.14
StdDev allowed1.45
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.111
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
3
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total50.00%7.14%14.29%21.43%7.14%100%

Viking — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.36
Mean allowed1.29
StdDev scored1.39
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game2.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.127
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fredrikstad 23 15.2 +7.84
2 IF Odd 20 14.3 +5.71
3 Valerenga 19 14.1 +4.92
4 Lyn Oslo 19 14.5 +4.54
5 Skeid 16 14.1 +1.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kristiansund FK 4 13.4 -9.44
2 Fram Larvik 7 13.5 -6.47
3 Lisleby 9 13.7 -4.66
4 Selbak 11 13.5 -2.52
5 Sarpsborg 13 14.1 -1.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fredrikstad 5 Aug 6 – Sep 17 1 in 146
2 Strommen 4 Sep 17 – May 13 1 in 108
3 Lyn Oslo 3 Aug 6 – Aug 20 1 in 37
4 IF Odd 3 Aug 13 – Sep 3 1 in 22
5 Brann 3 Aug 20 – Sep 10 1 in 22

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kristiansund FK 6 Oct 22 – Jun 17 1 in 419
2 Fram Larvik 4 Sep 3 – Oct 15 1 in 134
3 Strommen 4 Aug 6 – Sep 3 1 in 43
4 Viking 3 Sep 10 – Oct 1 1 in 23
5 Sandefjord 2 Aug 20 – Sep 3 1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valerenga 10 Sep 10 – Jun 17 1 in 57
2 IF Odd 10 Aug 6 – May 6 1 in 53
3 Lyn Oslo 9 Sep 17 – Jun 17 1 in 27
4 Strommen 7 Sep 10 – May 27 1 in 20
5 Fredrikstad 7 May 3 – Jun 17 1 in 12

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kristiansund FK 13 Aug 13 – Jun 17 1 in 120
2 Viking 7 Sep 10 – May 27 1 in 15
3 Sandefjord 6 May 3 – Jun 17 1 in 11
4 Lisleby 5 Sep 17 – Oct 22 1 in 9
5 Fram Larvik 5 Sep 3 – Oct 22 1 in 8

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Fredrikstad25.42%18.17%14.29%12.33%9.76%8.21%6.88%4.94%
IF Odd16.52%14.01%14.09%12.89%12.71%11.34%9.89%8.55%
Lyn Oslo18.19%15.91%13.91%12.81%11.45%10.42%9.55%7.76%
Valerenga13.65%14.13%14.40%12.80%12.27%12.11%11.03%9.61%
Sarpsborg 0813.06%14.07%13.60%12.91%12.46%12.03%11.78%10.09%
Skeid12.51%12.91%12.82%12.85%12.13%12.65%12.39%11.74%
Sandefjord12.99%12.21%12.89%13.34%12.97%12.36%12.05%11.19%
Viking12.95%13.79%13.20%13.80%12.75%12.12%11.40%9.99%
Sarpsborg12.11%13.01%13.03%13.11%12.12%13.10%12.05%11.47%
Orn-Horten11.00%11.42%11.79%12.84%13.11%12.80%13.26%13.78%
Brann10.43%12.53%12.62%13.02%12.93%13.18%12.91%12.38%
Strommen8.07%9.76%11.29%11.54%13.32%14.13%14.65%17.24%
Selbak8.91%10.26%10.85%11.80%12.72%14.31%14.55%16.60%
Lisleby9.06%10.13%10.93%11.73%13.21%13.26%15.22%16.46%
Fram Larvik7.43%9.28%10.38%11.44%12.79%14.63%15.86%18.19%
Kristiansund FK7.70%8.41%9.91%10.79%13.30%13.35%16.53%20.01%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Promotion Playoff Bracket

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. Two-leg ties show their aggregate score with each leg listed below the matchup card.

Finals

Fredrikstad 7
IF Odd 3

Leg 1: IF Odd 1-3 Fredrikstad

Leg 2: Fredrikstad 4-2 IF Odd

Sim: 224.0%

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fredrikstad 62.8% 11.8%
Lyn Oslo 64.5% 17.3%
IF Odd 65.0% 18.4%
Valerenga 65.7% 20.6%
Viking 65.7% 21.4%
Sarpsborg 08 65.1% 21.9%
Sandefjord 63.8% 23.2%
Sarpsborg 64.4% 23.5%
Skeid 63.4% 24.1%
Brann 64.3% 25.3%
Orn-Horten 62.0% 27.0%
Selbak 59.9% 31.1%
Lisleby 59.3% 31.7%
Strommen 60.0% 31.9%
Fram Larvik 58.5% 34.1%
Kristiansund FK 55.8% 36.5%
Loser →
↓ Winner
BrannFram LarvikFredrikstadIF OddKristiansund FKLislebyLyn OsloOrn-HortenSandefjordSarpsborgSarpsborg 08SelbakSkeidStrommenValerengaViking
Brann73.00%51.00%100.00%69.00%64.00%70.00%42.00%45.00%
Fram Larvik62.00%36.00%48.00%30.00%39.00%49.00%29.00%39.00%
Fredrikstad224.00%111.00%249.00%161.00%155.00%205.00%137.00%159.00%
IF Odd83.00%75.00%202.00%92.00%105.00%69.00%135.00%118.00%
Kristiansund FK39.00%28.00%56.00%29.00%48.00%30.00%46.00%46.00%
Lisleby56.00%43.00%81.00%42.00%48.00%47.00%52.00%51.00%
Lyn Oslo111.00%81.00%234.00%97.00%113.00%83.00%112.00%138.00%
Orn-Horten42.00%33.00%123.00%54.00%77.00%66.00%71.00%57.00%
Sandefjord96.00%80.00%86.00%58.00%96.00%77.00%58.00%93.00%
Sarpsborg69.00%50.00%145.00%60.00%82.00%65.00%73.00%64.00%
Sarpsborg 0864.00%51.00%142.00%58.00%86.00%66.00%83.00%92.00%
Selbak55.00%36.00%101.00%39.00%52.00%32.00%54.00%58.00%
Skeid66.00%57.00%138.00%57.00%92.00%53.00%99.00%84.00%
Strommen49.00%21.00%58.00%53.00%43.00%43.00%40.00%36.00%
Valerenga111.00%44.00%121.00%88.00%88.00%99.00%44.00%97.00%
Viking102.00%62.00%107.00%76.00%70.00%74.00%62.00%85.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Fredrikstad 65.0%
IF Odd 35.0%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadIF Odd
Fredrikstad65.00%
IF Odd35.00%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1950-08-06 Lisleby D 3-3 1346 1342 42.2% 33.0% 24.7% -0.1 1
1950-08-06 @ Brann D 3-3 1342 1346 24.7% 33.0% 42.2% +0.1 1
1950-08-06 Strommen W 5-0 1354 1338 44.0% 32.1% 23.8% +5.7 3
1950-08-06 @ Fredrikstad L 0-5 1338 1354 23.8% 32.1% 44.0% -5.7 0
1950-08-06 Selbak W 3-1 1342 1338 42.1% 33.1% 24.8% +2.2 3
1950-08-06 @ Kristiansund FK L 1-3 1338 1342 24.8% 33.1% 42.1% -2.2 0
1950-08-06 Lyn Oslo L 1-3 1346 1344 41.8% 33.2% 24.9% -3.2 0
1950-08-06 @ Orn-Horten W 3-1 1344 1346 24.9% 33.2% 41.8% +3.2 3
1950-08-06 Valerenga W 5-3 1342 1344 41.2% 33.5% 25.3% +1.9 3
1950-08-06 @ Sandefjord L 3-5 1344 1342 25.3% 33.5% 41.2% -1.9 0
1950-08-06 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1347 1350 41.1% 33.5% 25.4% -0.2 1
1950-08-06 @ Sarpsborg D 0-0 1350 1347 25.4% 33.5% 41.1% +0.2 1
1950-08-06 IF Odd D 1-1 1345 1342 42.0% 33.1% 24.9% -0.2 1
1950-08-06 @ Skeid D 1-1 1342 1345 24.9% 33.1% 42.0% +0.2 1
1950-08-06 Fram Larvik W 4-1 1347 1343 42.2% 33.1% 24.8% +3.1 3
1950-08-06 @ Viking L 1-4 1343 1347 24.8% 33.1% 42.2% -3.1 0
1950-08-13 Fredrikstad L 0-5 1340 1359 38.5% 34.4% 27.1% -8.2 0
1950-08-13 @ Fram Larvik W 5-0 1359 1340 27.1% 34.4% 38.5% +8.2 6
1950-08-13 Viking L 0-2 1342 1350 40.3% 33.8% 25.9% -3.6 1
1950-08-13 @ Lisleby W 2-0 1350 1342 25.9% 33.8% 40.3% +3.6 6
1950-08-13 Kristiansund FK W 3-1 1347 1344 42.1% 33.1% 24.8% +2.2 6
1950-08-13 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-3 1344 1347 24.8% 33.1% 42.1% -2.2 3
1950-08-13 Sarpsborg W 6-1 1342 1347 40.8% 33.7% 25.6% +5.1 4
1950-08-13 @ IF Odd L 1-6 1347 1342 25.6% 33.7% 40.8% -5.1 1
1950-08-13 Orn-Horten D 1-1 1350 1343 42.8% 32.8% 24.4% -0.2 2
1950-08-13 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1343 1350 24.4% 32.8% 42.8% +0.2 1
1950-08-13 Skeid W 3-1 1336 1345 40.2% 33.9% 25.9% +2.3 3
1950-08-13 @ Selbak L 1-3 1345 1336 25.9% 33.9% 40.2% -2.3 1
1950-08-13 Sandefjord L 1-4 1332 1343 39.9% 34.0% 26.2% -4.4 0
1950-08-13 @ Strommen W 4-1 1343 1332 26.2% 34.0% 39.9% +4.4 6
1950-08-13 Brann W 1-0 1342 1346 40.8% 33.6% 25.5% +1.4 3
1950-08-13 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1346 1342 25.5% 33.6% 40.8% -1.4 1
1950-08-20 Strommen W 2-1 1345 1328 44.3% 32.0% 23.7% +1.2 4
1950-08-20 @ Brann L 1-2 1328 1345 23.7% 32.0% 44.3% -1.2 0
1950-08-20 Lisleby W 4-2 1368 1339 46.3% 30.8% 22.9% +1.8 9
1950-08-20 @ Fredrikstad L 2-4 1339 1368 22.9% 30.8% 46.3% -1.8 1
1950-08-20 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1342 1350 40.3% 33.8% 25.9% -1.9 3
1950-08-20 @ Kristiansund FK W 1-0 1350 1342 25.9% 33.8% 40.3% +1.9 5
1950-08-20 IF Odd L 0-2 1343 1347 40.9% 33.6% 25.5% -3.6 1
1950-08-20 @ Orn-Horten W 2-0 1347 1343 25.5% 33.6% 40.9% +3.6 7
1950-08-20 Fram Larvik L 0-2 1348 1332 44.2% 32.0% 23.8% -3.8 6
1950-08-20 @ Sandefjord W 2-0 1332 1348 23.8% 32.0% 44.2% +3.8 3
1950-08-20 Selbak W 3-1 1342 1339 42.1% 33.1% 24.8% +2.2 4
1950-08-20 @ Sarpsborg L 1-3 1339 1342 24.8% 33.1% 42.1% -2.2 3
1950-08-20 Lyn Oslo L 3-6 1342 1350 40.4% 33.8% 25.8% -3.5 1
1950-08-20 @ Skeid W 6-3 1350 1342 25.8% 33.8% 40.4% +3.6 9
1950-08-20 Valerenga D 0-0 1354 1343 43.3% 32.5% 24.2% -0.2 7
1950-08-20 @ Viking D 0-0 1343 1354 24.2% 32.5% 43.3% +0.2 4
1950-09-03 Brann L 1-2 1335 1346 39.9% 34.0% 26.2% -1.8 3
1950-09-03 @ Fram Larvik W 2-1 1346 1335 26.2% 34.0% 39.9% +1.8 7
1950-09-03 Sandefjord W 2-1 1337 1344 40.4% 33.8% 25.8% +1.3 4
1950-09-03 @ Lisleby L 1-2 1344 1337 25.8% 33.8% 40.4% -1.3 6
1950-09-03 Sarpsborg D 2-2 1353 1344 43.0% 32.7% 24.4% -0.1 10
1950-09-03 @ Lyn Oslo D 2-2 1344 1353 24.4% 32.7% 43.0% +0.1 5
1950-09-03 Kristiansund FK W 3-0 1351 1340 43.3% 32.5% 24.2% +3.6 10
1950-09-03 @ IF Odd L 0-3 1340 1351 24.2% 32.5% 43.3% -3.6 3
1950-09-03 Selbak W 4-1 1339 1336 42.0% 33.1% 24.9% +3.1 4
1950-09-03 @ Orn-Horten L 1-4 1336 1339 24.9% 33.1% 42.0% -3.1 3
1950-09-03 Skeid L 1-3 1352 1339 43.7% 32.3% 24.0% -3.3 5
1950-09-03 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1339 1352 24.0% 32.3% 43.7% +3.3 4
1950-09-03 Fredrikstad L 0-2 1343 1369 37.6% 34.6% 27.9% -3.5 4
1950-09-03 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1369 1343 27.9% 34.6% 37.6% +3.4 12
1950-09-03 Strommen W 4-0 1353 1327 45.9% 31.0% 23.1% +4.5 10
1950-09-03 @ Viking L 0-4 1327 1353 23.1% 31.0% 45.9% -4.5 0
1950-09-10 Viking W 3-1 1348 1358 40.0% 33.9% 26.1% +2.3 10
1950-09-10 @ Brann L 1-3 1358 1348 26.1% 33.9% 40.0% -2.3 10
1950-09-10 Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1349 1353 40.9% 33.6% 25.5% +1.3 8
1950-09-10 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1353 1349 25.5% 33.6% 40.9% -1.3 10
1950-09-10 IF Odd D 0-0 1333 1355 38.3% 34.4% 27.3% -0.1 4
1950-09-10 @ Selbak D 0-0 1355 1333 27.3% 34.4% 38.3% +0.1 11
1950-09-10 Kristiansund FK D 1-1 1342 1337 42.5% 32.9% 24.6% -0.2 5
1950-09-10 @ Skeid D 1-1 1337 1342 24.6% 32.9% 42.5% +0.2 4
1950-09-10 Valerenga D 2-2 1322 1340 38.9% 34.3% 26.8% -0.1 1
1950-09-10 @ Strommen D 2-2 1340 1322 26.8% 34.3% 38.9% +0.1 5
1950-09-17 Viking W 3-0 1373 1356 44.4% 31.9% 23.7% +3.5 15
1950-09-17 @ Fredrikstad L 0-3 1356 1373 23.7% 31.9% 44.4% -3.5 10
1950-09-17 Orn-Horten L 2-3 1337 1342 40.7% 33.7% 25.6% -1.7 4
1950-09-17 @ Kristiansund FK W 3-2 1342 1337 25.6% 33.7% 40.7% +1.7 7
1950-09-17 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1355 1352 42.0% 33.1% 24.9% -0.2 12
1950-09-17 @ IF Odd D 1-1 1352 1355 24.9% 33.1% 42.0% +0.2 11
1950-09-17 Brann W 5-1 1343 1350 40.4% 33.8% 25.8% +4.2 9
1950-09-17 @ Sandefjord L 1-5 1350 1343 25.8% 33.8% 40.4% -4.2 10
1950-09-17 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1333 1350 38.9% 34.3% 26.8% -1.8 4
1950-09-17 @ Selbak W 2-1 1350 1333 26.8% 34.3% 38.9% +1.8 11
1950-09-17 Sarpsborg W 3-1 1342 1345 41.2% 33.5% 25.3% +2.3 8
1950-09-17 @ Skeid L 1-3 1345 1342 25.3% 33.5% 41.2% -2.3 5
1950-09-17 Lisleby W 1-0 1322 1338 39.1% 34.2% 26.7% +1.5 4
1950-09-17 @ Strommen L 0-1 1338 1322 26.7% 34.2% 39.1% -1.4 4
1950-09-17 Fram Larvik W 3-1 1340 1334 42.6% 32.9% 24.6% +2.2 8
1950-09-17 @ Valerenga L 1-3 1334 1340 24.6% 32.9% 42.6% -2.2 3
1950-10-01 Valerenga L 3-5 1337 1342 40.7% 33.7% 25.6% -2.7 4
1950-10-01 @ Lisleby W 5-3 1342 1337 25.6% 33.7% 40.7% +2.7 11
1950-10-01 Sandefjord L 2-3 1352 1347 42.4% 33.0% 24.6% -1.8 10
1950-10-01 @ Viking W 3-2 1347 1352 24.6% 33.0% 42.4% +1.8 12
1950-10-08 Strommen L 0-3 1331 1324 42.8% 32.8% 24.4% -5.4 3
1950-10-08 @ Fram Larvik W 3-0 1324 1331 24.4% 32.8% 42.8% +5.4 7
1950-10-08 Orn-Horten W 2-0 1354 1344 43.2% 32.6% 24.2% +2.5 15
1950-10-08 @ IF Odd L 0-2 1344 1354 24.2% 32.6% 43.2% -2.5 7
1950-10-08 Kristiansund FK W 8-3 1331 1335 41.0% 33.6% 25.4% +3.8 7
1950-10-08 @ Selbak L 3-8 1335 1331 25.4% 33.6% 41.0% -3.8 4
1950-10-08 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1344 1352 40.4% 33.8% 25.8% +2.3 11
1950-10-08 @ Skeid L 1-3 1352 1344 25.8% 33.8% 40.4% -2.3 11
1950-10-08 Lisleby D 1-1 1349 1334 43.9% 32.2% 23.9% -0.2 13
1950-10-08 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1334 1349 23.9% 32.2% 43.9% +0.2 5
1950-10-08 Viking D 2-2 1345 1350 40.7% 33.7% 25.6% -0.1 12
1950-10-08 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1350 1345 25.6% 33.7% 40.7% +0.1 11
1950-10-15 IF Odd D 3-3 1331 1357 37.6% 34.6% 27.8% -0.0 5
1950-10-15 @ Kristiansund FK D 3-3 1357 1331 27.8% 34.6% 37.6% +0.0 16
1950-10-15 Skeid D 3-3 1352 1347 42.4% 33.0% 24.6% -0.1 12
1950-10-15 @ Lyn Oslo D 3-3 1347 1352 24.6% 33.0% 42.4% +0.1 12
1950-10-15 Sarpsborg L 0-3 1342 1342 41.4% 33.4% 25.2% -5.3 7
1950-10-15 @ Orn-Horten W 3-0 1342 1342 25.2% 33.4% 41.4% +5.3 8
1950-10-15 Selbak D 0-0 1350 1335 43.9% 32.2% 23.9% -0.2 12
1950-10-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1335 1350 23.9% 32.2% 43.9% +0.2 8
1950-10-15 Sandefjord L 0-1 1326 1348 38.1% 34.5% 27.4% -1.8 3
1950-10-15 @ Fram Larvik W 1-0 1348 1326 27.4% 34.5% 38.1% +1.8 16
1950-10-15 Valerenga D 3-3 1376 1345 46.8% 30.5% 22.7% -0.1 16
1950-10-15 @ Fredrikstad D 3-3 1345 1376 22.7% 30.5% 46.8% +0.1 13
1950-10-15 Strommen L 2-3 1334 1329 42.3% 33.0% 24.7% -1.8 5
1950-10-15 @ Lisleby W 3-2 1329 1334 24.7% 33.0% 42.3% +1.8 10
1950-10-15 Brann D 0-0 1350 1346 42.2% 33.0% 24.7% -0.2 12
1950-10-15 @ Viking D 0-0 1346 1350 24.7% 33.0% 42.2% +0.2 11
1950-10-22 Fram Larvik D 2-2 1332 1324 42.9% 32.7% 24.4% -0.1 6
1950-10-22 @ Lisleby D 2-2 1324 1332 24.4% 32.7% 42.9% +0.1 4
1950-10-22 Selbak W 4-1 1352 1335 44.2% 32.0% 23.8% +3.0 15
1950-10-22 @ Lyn Oslo L 1-4 1335 1352 23.8% 32.0% 44.2% -3.0 8
1950-10-22 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1357 1349 42.8% 32.8% 24.4% -0.2 17
1950-10-22 @ IF Odd D 0-0 1349 1357 24.4% 32.8% 42.8% +0.2 13
1950-10-22 Skeid W 5-1 1336 1347 39.9% 34.0% 26.1% +4.2 10
1950-10-22 @ Orn-Horten L 1-5 1347 1336 26.1% 34.0% 39.9% -4.2 12
1950-10-22 Kristiansund FK W 4-0 1348 1331 44.2% 32.0% 23.8% +4.6 11
1950-10-22 @ Sarpsborg L 0-4 1331 1348 23.8% 32.0% 44.2% -4.6 5
1950-10-29 Fram Larvik L 3-4 1346 1324 45.1% 31.5% 23.4% -1.8 11
1950-10-29 @ Brann W 4-3 1324 1346 23.4% 31.5% 45.1% +1.8 7
1951-04-29 Fredrikstad W 4-3 1344 1376 36.8% 34.7% 28.5% +1.3 14
1951-04-29 @ Brann L 3-4 1376 1344 28.5% 34.7% 36.8% -1.3 16
1951-05-03 Sandefjord W 2-1 1375 1350 45.6% 31.2% 23.2% +1.2 19
1951-05-03 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1350 1375 23.2% 31.2% 45.6% -1.2 16
1951-05-03 Orn-Horten D 1-1 1352 1340 43.5% 32.4% 24.1% -0.2 12
1951-05-03 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1340 1352 24.1% 32.4% 43.5% +0.2 11
1951-05-06 Lyn Oslo L 2-14 1326 1355 37.3% 34.6% 28.1% -12.2 5
1951-05-06 @ Kristiansund FK W 14-2 1355 1326 28.1% 34.6% 37.3% +12.2 18
1951-05-06 IF Odd L 0-3 1352 1357 40.8% 33.6% 25.6% -5.3 12
1951-05-06 @ Sarpsborg W 3-0 1357 1352 25.6% 33.6% 40.8% +5.3 20
1951-05-13 Fram Larvik D 1-1 1376 1326 50.0% 28.3% 21.7% -0.3 20
1951-05-13 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1326 1376 21.7% 28.3% 50.0% +0.3 8
1951-05-13 Brann W 3-2 1331 1346 39.3% 34.2% 26.6% +1.3 13
1951-05-13 @ Strommen L 2-3 1346 1331 26.6% 34.2% 39.3% -1.3 14
1951-05-20 Valerenga L 1-2 1344 1345 41.5% 33.4% 25.1% -1.8 14
1951-05-20 @ Brann W 2-1 1345 1344 25.1% 33.4% 41.5% +1.8 16
1951-05-20 Lisleby L 1-2 1326 1332 40.6% 33.7% 25.7% -1.8 8
1951-05-20 @ Fram Larvik W 2-1 1332 1326 25.7% 33.7% 40.6% +1.8 9
1951-05-20 Sarpsborg L 0-2 1314 1347 36.7% 34.7% 28.6% -3.4 5
1951-05-20 @ Kristiansund FK W 2-0 1347 1314 28.6% 34.7% 36.7% +3.4 15
1951-05-20 Strommen D 2-2 1349 1332 44.3% 32.0% 23.7% -0.1 17
1951-05-20 @ Sandefjord D 2-2 1332 1349 23.7% 32.0% 44.3% +0.1 14
1951-05-20 IF Odd W 3-2 1350 1362 39.6% 34.1% 26.3% +1.3 16
1951-05-20 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1362 1350 26.3% 34.1% 39.6% -1.3 20
1951-05-20 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1332 1367 36.4% 34.7% 28.9% -0.1 9
1951-05-20 @ Selbak D 0-0 1367 1332 28.9% 34.7% 36.4% +0.1 19
1951-05-20 Orn-Horten W 4-0 1342 1341 41.9% 33.2% 24.9% +4.9 15
1951-05-20 @ Skeid L 0-4 1341 1342 24.9% 33.2% 41.9% -4.9 11
1951-05-20 Fredrikstad L 1-4 1350 1376 37.7% 34.5% 27.8% -4.2 12
1951-05-20 @ Viking W 4-1 1376 1350 27.8% 34.5% 37.7% +4.2 23
1951-05-26 Selbak D 0-0 1347 1332 44.0% 32.1% 23.9% -0.2 16
1951-05-26 @ Skeid D 0-0 1332 1347 23.9% 32.1% 44.0% +0.2 10
1951-05-27 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1332 1380 34.6% 34.7% 30.7% -0.0 15
1951-05-27 @ Strommen D 1-1 1380 1332 30.7% 34.7% 34.6% +0.0 24
1951-05-27 Viking D 0-0 1349 1346 42.0% 33.1% 24.8% -0.2 18
1951-05-27 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1346 1349 24.8% 33.1% 42.0% +0.2 13
1951-05-27 Lisleby W 8-0 1347 1334 43.6% 32.4% 24.1% +9.0 19
1951-05-27 @ Valerenga L 0-8 1334 1347 24.1% 32.4% 43.6% -9.0 9
1951-05-27 Orn-Horten D 1-1 1367 1336 46.7% 30.5% 22.8% -0.2 20
1951-05-27 @ Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1336 1367 22.8% 30.5% 46.7% +0.2 12
1951-05-27 Sarpsborg W 1-0 1351 1350 41.7% 33.3% 25.0% +1.4 19
1951-05-27 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1350 1351 25.0% 33.3% 41.7% -1.4 15
1951-06-03 Valerenga D 1-1 1324 1356 36.9% 34.7% 28.5% -0.1 9
1951-06-03 @ Fram Larvik D 1-1 1356 1324 28.5% 34.7% 36.9% +0.1 20
1951-06-03 Brann L 1-2 1325 1343 38.9% 34.3% 26.9% -1.8 9
1951-06-03 @ Lisleby W 2-1 1343 1325 26.9% 34.3% 38.9% +1.8 17
1951-06-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-0 1367 1352 43.9% 32.2% 23.9% +2.5 23
1951-06-03 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-2 1352 1367 23.9% 32.2% 43.9% -2.5 19
1951-06-03 Skeid W 5-2 1361 1347 43.8% 32.3% 24.0% +2.6 23
1951-06-03 @ IF Odd L 2-5 1347 1361 24.0% 32.3% 43.8% -2.6 16
1951-06-03 Kristiansund FK W 3-1 1336 1311 45.7% 31.2% 23.2% +2.0 15
1951-06-03 @ Orn-Horten L 1-3 1311 1336 23.2% 31.2% 45.7% -2.1 5
1951-06-03 Fredrikstad L 0-5 1349 1380 36.9% 34.7% 28.5% -8.0 18
1951-06-03 @ Sandefjord W 5-0 1380 1349 28.5% 34.7% 36.9% +8.0 27
1951-06-03 Sarpsborg D 1-1 1333 1349 39.0% 34.2% 26.7% -0.1 11
1951-06-03 @ Selbak D 1-1 1349 1333 26.7% 34.2% 39.0% +0.1 16
1951-06-03 Viking L 0-1 1332 1346 39.4% 34.1% 26.5% -1.9 15
1951-06-03 @ Strommen W 1-0 1346 1332 26.5% 34.1% 39.4% +1.9 16
1951-06-10 Brann W 4-0 1388 1344 48.9% 29.1% 22.0% +4.2 30
1951-06-10 @ Fredrikstad L 0-4 1344 1388 22.0% 29.1% 48.9% -4.2 17
1951-06-10 IF Odd D 0-0 1369 1363 42.5% 32.9% 24.6% -0.2 24
1951-06-10 @ Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1363 1369 24.6% 32.9% 42.5% +0.2 24
1951-06-10 Skeid L 1-2 1349 1345 42.3% 33.0% 24.7% -1.9 16
1951-06-10 @ Sarpsborg W 2-1 1345 1349 24.7% 33.0% 42.3% +1.9 19
1951-06-10 Kristiansund FK W 7-0 1350 1309 48.4% 29.4% 22.2% +7.2 22
1951-06-10 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-7 1309 1350 22.2% 29.4% 48.4% -7.2 5
1951-06-10 Orn-Horten W 3-1 1332 1338 40.7% 33.7% 25.6% +2.3 14
1951-06-10 @ Selbak L 1-3 1338 1332 25.6% 33.7% 40.7% -2.3 15
1951-06-10 Fram Larvik W 4-0 1330 1324 42.5% 32.9% 24.6% +4.8 18
1951-06-10 @ Strommen L 0-4 1324 1330 24.6% 32.9% 42.5% -4.8 9
1951-06-10 Sandefjord W 1-0 1356 1341 44.0% 32.2% 23.9% +1.3 23
1951-06-10 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1341 1356 23.9% 32.2% 44.0% -1.3 18
1951-06-10 Lisleby L 0-2 1348 1323 45.6% 31.2% 23.2% -3.9 16
1951-06-10 @ Viking W 2-0 1323 1348 23.2% 31.2% 45.6% +3.9 12
1951-06-17 Lyn Oslo D 1-1 1347 1369 38.2% 34.4% 27.4% -0.1 17
1951-06-17 @ Sarpsborg D 1-1 1369 1347 27.4% 34.4% 38.2% +0.1 25
1951-06-17 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1336 1357 38.3% 34.4% 27.3% +4.0 18
1951-06-17 @ Orn-Horten L 0-3 1357 1336 27.3% 34.4% 38.3% -4.0 22
1951-06-17 Sandefjord D 1-1 1340 1340 41.7% 33.3% 25.1% -0.2 18
1951-06-17 @ Brann D 1-1 1340 1340 25.1% 33.3% 41.7% +0.2 19
1951-06-17 Viking L 0-2 1320 1344 37.8% 34.5% 27.7% -3.5 9
1951-06-17 @ Fram Larvik W 2-0 1344 1320 27.7% 34.5% 37.8% +3.5 19
1951-06-17 Skeid L 0-2 1302 1346 35.0% 34.7% 30.3% -3.3 5
1951-06-17 @ Kristiansund FK W 2-0 1346 1302 30.3% 34.7% 35.0% +3.3 22
1951-06-17 Fredrikstad L 1-2 1327 1392 32.3% 34.2% 33.4% -1.6 12
1951-06-17 @ Lisleby W 2-1 1392 1327 33.4% 34.2% 32.3% +1.5 33
1951-06-17 Selbak W 3-2 1364 1335 46.3% 30.8% 22.9% +1.1 27
1951-06-17 @ IF Odd L 2-3 1335 1364 22.9% 30.8% 46.3% -1.1 14
1951-06-17 Strommen W 4-1 1357 1335 45.1% 31.5% 23.4% +2.9 26
1951-06-17 @ Valerenga L 1-4 1335 1357 23.4% 31.5% 45.1% -2.9 18

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
1951-06-21 Fredrikstad L 1-3 1365 1394 37.2% 34.6% 28.2% -3.0 0-1
1951-06-21 @ IF Odd W 3-1 1394 1365 28.2% 34.6% 37.2% +3.0 1-0
1951-06-26 IF Odd W 4-2 1397 1362 47.3% 30.1% 22.5% +1.8 2-0
1951-06-26 @ Fredrikstad L 2-4 1362 1397 22.5% 30.1% 47.3% -1.8 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1951-06-10 23.17% Lisleby 1323 2 @ Viking 1348 0
2 1950-10-29 23.36% Fram Larvik 1324 4 @ Brann 1346 3
3 1950-08-20 23.77% Fram Larvik 1332 2 @ Sandefjord 1348 0
4 1950-09-03 24.00% Skeid 1339 3 @ Sarpsborg 08 1352 1
5 1950-10-08 24.45% Strommen 1324 3 @ Fram Larvik 1331 0
6 1950-10-01 24.65% Sandefjord 1347 3 @ Viking 1352 2
7 1950-10-15 24.68% Strommen 1329 3 @ Lisleby 1334 2
8 1951-06-10 24.72% Skeid 1345 2 @ Sarpsborg 1349 1
9 1950-08-06 24.95% Lyn Oslo 1344 3 @ Orn-Horten 1346 1
10 1951-05-20 25.13% Valerenga 1345 2 @ Brann 1344 1
11 1950-10-15 25.17% Sarpsborg 1342 3 @ Orn-Horten 1342 0
12 1950-08-20 25.51% IF Odd 1347 2 @ Orn-Horten 1343 0
13 1951-05-06 25.55% IF Odd 1357 3 @ Sarpsborg 1352 0
14 1950-10-01 25.62% Valerenga 1342 5 @ Lisleby 1337 3
15 1950-09-17 25.64% Orn-Horten 1342 3 @ Kristiansund FK 1337 2
16 1951-05-20 25.67% Lisleby 1332 2 @ Fram Larvik 1326 1
17 1950-08-20 25.78% Lyn Oslo 1350 6 @ Skeid 1342 3
18 1950-08-13 25.85% Viking 1350 2 @ Lisleby 1342 0
19 1950-08-20 25.89% Sarpsborg 08 1350 1 @ Kristiansund FK 1342 0
20 1950-09-03 26.15% Brann 1346 2 @ Fram Larvik 1335 1
21 1950-08-13 26.16% Sandefjord 1343 4 @ Strommen 1332 1
22 1951-06-03 26.46% Viking 1346 1 @ Strommen 1332 0
23 1950-09-17 26.81% Sarpsborg 08 1350 2 @ Selbak 1333 1
24 1951-06-03 26.87% Brann 1343 2 @ Lisleby 1325 1
25 1950-08-13 27.10% Fredrikstad 1359 5 @ Fram Larvik 1340 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1951-05-06 12.16 Lyn Oslo 14 1355 28.11% @ Kristiansund FK 2 1326 37.27%
2 1951-05-27 9.03 @ Valerenga 8 1347 43.58% Lisleby 0 1334 24.05%
3 1950-08-13 8.19 Fredrikstad 5 1359 27.10% @ Fram Larvik 0 1340 38.54%
4 1951-06-03 7.95 Fredrikstad 5 1380 28.48% @ Sandefjord 0 1349 36.85%
5 1951-06-10 7.18 @ Sarpsborg 08 7 1350 48.41% Kristiansund FK 0 1309 22.19%
6 1950-08-06 5.73 @ Fredrikstad 5 1354 44.05% Strommen 0 1338 23.83%
7 1950-10-08 5.43 Strommen 3 1324 24.45% @ Fram Larvik 0 1331 42.77%
8 1950-10-15 5.33 Sarpsborg 3 1342 25.17% @ Orn-Horten 0 1342 41.44%
9 1951-05-06 5.28 IF Odd 3 1357 25.55% @ Sarpsborg 0 1352 40.81%
10 1950-08-13 5.09 @ IF Odd 6 1342 40.75% Sarpsborg 1 1347 25.59%
11 1951-05-20 4.87 @ Skeid 4 1342 41.85% Orn-Horten 0 1341 24.94%
12 1951-06-10 4.80 @ Strommen 4 1330 42.54% Fram Larvik 0 1324 24.57%
13 1950-10-22 4.63 @ Sarpsborg 4 1348 44.24% Kristiansund FK 0 1331 23.75%
14 1950-09-03 4.47 @ Viking 4 1353 45.91% Strommen 0 1327 23.05%
15 1950-08-13 4.38 Sandefjord 4 1343 26.16% @ Strommen 1 1332 39.85%
16 1950-10-22 4.23 @ Orn-Horten 5 1336 39.93% Skeid 1 1347 26.11%
17 1951-05-20 4.22 Fredrikstad 4 1376 27.78% @ Viking 1 1350 37.67%
18 1951-06-10 4.20 @ Fredrikstad 4 1388 48.87% Brann 0 1344 22.04%
19 1950-09-17 4.19 @ Sandefjord 5 1343 40.38% Brann 1 1350 25.82%
20 1951-06-17 4.02 @ Orn-Horten 3 1336 38.31% Sarpsborg 08 0 1357 27.28%
21 1951-06-10 3.89 Lisleby 2 1323 23.17% @ Viking 0 1348 45.62%
22 1950-10-08 3.83 @ Selbak 8 1331 40.99% Kristiansund FK 3 1335 25.44%
23 1950-08-20 3.82 Fram Larvik 2 1332 23.77% @ Sandefjord 0 1348 44.20%
24 1950-08-20 3.64 IF Odd 2 1347 25.51% @ Orn-Horten 0 1343 40.87%
25 1950-08-13 3.61 Viking 2 1350 25.85% @ Lisleby 0 1342 40.32%