2022 NFL Season

271 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Kansas City Chiefs

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 2019

Runner-Up

Philadelphia Eagles

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2017

Biggest Overachiever

Cincinnati Bengals

3.18 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.82 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Chicago Bears

3.83 wins below expected

3 wins · 6.83 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Buffalo Bills Division	13	3	.812	-	455	286	+169	11.06	+1.94
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	9	8	.529	4.5	397	399	-2	8.89	+0.11
3	New England Patriots	8	9	.471	5.5	364	347	+17	8.20	-0.20
4	New York Jets	7	10	.412	6.5	296	316	-20	7.38	-0.38

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	12	4	.750	-	418	322	+96	8.82	+3.18
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	10	7	.588	2.5	350	315	+35	10.30	-0.30
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	8	.529	3.5	308	346	-38	7.27	+1.73
4	Cleveland Browns	7	10	.412	5.5	361	381	-20	8.03	-1.03

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Jacksonville Jaguars Division	9	8	0	.529	-	404	350	+54	7.53	+1.47
2	Tennessee Titans	7	10	0	.412	2	298	359	-61	8.96	-1.96
3	Indianapolis Colts	4	12	1	.265	4.5	289	427	-138	7.73	-3.23
4	Houston Texans	3	13	1	.206	5.5	289	420	-131	5.32	-1.82

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	14	3	.824	-	496	369	+127	11.77	+2.23
2	Los Angeles Chargers Playoffs	10	7	.588	4	391	384	+7	8.43	+1.57
3	Las Vegas Raiders	6	11	.353	8	395	418	-23	7.40	-1.40
4	Denver Broncos	5	12	.294	9	287	359	-72	6.94	-1.94

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	14	3	0	.824	-	477	344	+133	11.35	+2.65
2	Dallas Cowboys Playoffs	12	5	0	.706	2	467	342	+125	10.74	+1.26
3	New York Giants Playoffs	9	7	1	.559	4.5	365	371	-6	7.99	+1.51
4	Washington Commanders	8	8	1	.500	5.5	321	343	-22	7.58	+0.92

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	13	4	.765	-	424	427	-3	9.96	+3.04
2	Detroit Lions	9	8	.529	4	453	427	+26	7.41	+1.59
3	Green Bay Packers	8	9	.471	5	370	371	-1	8.27	-0.27
4	Chicago Bears	3	14	.176	10	326	463	-137	6.83	-3.83

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Division	8	9	.471	-	313	358	-45	9.43	-1.43
2	Carolina Panthers	7	10	.412	1	347	374	-27	7.11	-0.11
3	New Orleans Saints	7	10	.412	1	330	345	-15	8.01	-1.01
4	Atlanta Falcons	7	10	.412	1	365	386	-21	7.92	-0.92

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	13	4	.765	-	450	277	+173	10.57	+2.43
2	Seattle Seahawks Playoffs	9	8	.529	4	407	401	+6	9.21	-0.21
3	Los Angeles Rams	5	12	.294	8	307	384	-77	7.42	-2.42
4	Arizona Cardinals	4	13	.235	9	340	449	-109	7.19	-3.19

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Jacksonville Jaguars 31

Los Angeles Chargers 30

Jan 14

Buffalo Bills 34

Miami Dolphins 31

Jan 15

Cincinnati Bengals 24

Baltimore Ravens 17

Jan 15

Divisional Round

Kansas City Chiefs 27

Jacksonville Jaguars 20

Jan 21

Cincinnati Bengals 27

Buffalo Bills 10

Jan 22

Conference Championship

Kansas City Chiefs 23

Cincinnati Bengals 20

Jan 29

NFC

Wild Card Round

San Francisco 49ers 41

Seattle Seahawks 23

Jan 14

New York Giants 31

Minnesota Vikings 24

Jan 15

Dallas Cowboys 31

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14

Jan 16

Divisional Round

Philadelphia Eagles 38

New York Giants 7

Jan 21

San Francisco 49ers 19

Dallas Cowboys 12

Jan 22

Conference Championship

Philadelphia Eagles 31

San Francisco 49ers 7

Jan 29

Super Bowl

Kansas City Chiefs 38

Philadelphia Eagles 35

Feb 12

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1738	13	11.56	+1.44	86.38%	3	8	10	12	13	14	17
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1717	14	11.77	+2.23	94.57%	3	9	11	12	13	15	17
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1714	13	10.57	+2.43	94.50%	2	7	9	11	12	14	17
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1682	12	9.32	+2.68	95.02%	1	6	8	9	11	12	17
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1634	14	11.35	+2.65	96.28%	3	8	10	11	13	14	17
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1620	12	10.74	+1.26	83.38%	3	8	9	11	12	14	17
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1562	9	7.53	+1.47	85.27%	0	4	6	7	9	11	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1551	10	10.30	-0.30	54.83%	2	7	9	10	12	13	17
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1551	9	7.27	+1.73	87.78%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1541	13	9.96	+3.04	96.90%	1	7	9	10	11	13	17
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1539	9	7.41	+1.59	86.40%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1526	8	8.27	-0.27	56.22%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1518	10	8.43	+1.57	86.02%	0	5	7	8	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1513	9	9.21	-0.21	56.68%	2	6	8	9	10	12	17
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1508	8	8.20	-0.20	57.37%	1	5	7	8	9	11	17
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1501	7	8.01	-1.01	41.42%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Washington Commanders	NFC	NFC East	1499	8.5	7.58	+0.92	69.41%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1486	7	8.03	-1.03	40.90%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1485	8	9.43	-1.43	33.13%	1	6	8	9	11	13	17
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1483	7	7.11	-0.11	59.67%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1481	9.5	7.99	+1.51	79.21%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1479	9	8.89	+0.11	63.46%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1450	6	7.40	-1.40	34.22%	0	4	6	7	9	11	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1419	7	7.92	-0.92	43.33%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1413	7	8.96	-1.96	23.41%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1405	7	7.38	-0.38	54.40%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1375	5	7.42	-2.42	17.43%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1353	5	6.94	-1.94	24.06%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1339	4	7.19	-3.19	9.24%	0	4	6	7	8	10	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1323	4.5	7.73	-3.23	5.26%	0	4	6	8	9	11	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1302	3.5	5.32	-1.82	17.26%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1295	3	6.83	-3.83	3.88%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	3-0 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New York Jets	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	3-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	4-0 (1.7 exp.)	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Las Vegas Raiders	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)
Las Vegas Raiders	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Commanders
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.8 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Commanders	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (3.2 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.3 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Washington Commanders	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	0-4 (2.1 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (2.3 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.11%	0.55%	1.29%	0.37%	0.37%	—	3.69%
7–13	1.11%	2.21%	4.24%	4.61%	1.11%	1.85%	—	15.13%
14–20	0.55%	4.24%	11.07%	8.86%	2.21%	1.66%	0.37%	28.97%
21–27	1.29%	4.61%	8.86%	6.64%	4.80%	1.11%	0.74%	28.04%
28–34	0.37%	1.11%	2.21%	4.80%	3.69%	1.85%	0.37%	14.39%
35–41	0.37%	1.85%	1.66%	1.11%	1.85%	0.74%	0.18%	7.75%
42+	—	—	0.37%	0.74%	0.37%	0.18%	0.37%	2.03%
Total	3.69%	15.13%	28.97%	28.04%	14.39%	7.75%	2.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.88	21.88	+0.00
SD	9.31	9.31	12.49
CV	0.43	0.43	—
Max	54	54	+37
Min	0	0	-37

Games Played: 271

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	29.41%
14–20	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	—	5.88%	35.29%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
Total	—	—	41.18%	23.53%	17.65%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	26.41	-6.41
SD	8.43	8.53	11.63
CV	0.42	0.32	—
Max	42	44	+10
Min	9	16	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	17.65%	17.65%	—	5.88%	—	41.18%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	47.06%	35.29%	11.76%	5.88%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.47	22.71	-1.24
SD	7.36	6.00	7.85
CV	0.34	0.26	—
Max	37	35	+14
Min	9	14	-18

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	—	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	29.41%	23.53%	29.41%	5.88%	—	5.88%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.59	18.53	+2.06
SD	9.04	9.47	7.70
CV	0.44	0.51	—
Max	38	42	+15
Min	3	3	-11

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.44	17.88	+10.56
SD	6.96	8.17	11.98
CV	0.24	0.46	—
Max	41	33	+35
Min	17	3	-3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	41.18%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	17.65%	35.29%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.41	22.00	-1.59
SD	8.72	10.87	11.98
CV	0.43	0.49	—
Max	37	42	+18
Min	3	3	-22

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	—	41.18%
14–20	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.76%	17.65%	17.65%	29.41%	17.65%	5.88%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.18	27.24	-8.06
SD	8.46	10.10	12.35
CV	0.44	0.37	—
Max	33	49	+19
Min	7	10	-31

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.12	20.12	+6.00
SD	8.04	6.05	9.86
CV	0.31	0.30	—
Max	42	32	+21
Min	13	10	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	—	29.41%
21–27	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	11.76%	23.53%	23.53%	23.53%	11.76%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.24	22.41	-1.18
SD	7.08	9.80	12.50
CV	0.33	0.44	—
Max	32	39	+19
Min	10	3	-23

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	17.65%
35–41	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
Total	11.76%	17.65%	29.41%	17.65%	17.65%	5.88%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.47	20.12	+7.35
SD	13.27	10.12	15.65
CV	0.48	0.50	—
Max	54	40	+37
Min	3	3	-20

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	17.65%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	35.29%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	29.41%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	23.53%	35.29%	17.65%	17.65%	—	5.88%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.88	21.12	-4.24
SD	7.10	10.78	10.21
CV	0.42	0.51	—
Max	31	51	+9
Min	9	9	-37

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
Total	—	11.76%	23.53%	17.65%	29.41%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.65	25.12	+1.53
SD	12.13	10.43	14.68
CV	0.46	0.42	—
Max	45	48	+31
Min	0	9	-29

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	11.76%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	29.41%	41.18%	5.88%	5.88%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.76	21.82	-0.06
SD	9.21	7.50	11.24
CV	0.42	0.34	—
Max	41	40	+24
Min	7	10	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
7–13	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	17.65%	11.76%	5.88%	—	47.06%
21–27	—	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	17.65%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	—	23.53%	29.41%	35.29%	5.88%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.00	24.71	-7.71
SD	6.97	8.12	8.67
CV	0.41	0.33	—
Max	32	38	+7
Min	3	6	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	23.53%	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	41.18%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	41.18%	29.41%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.00	25.12	-8.12
SD	10.42	10.67	12.66
CV	0.61	0.42	—
Max	36	54	+7
Min	0	9	-35

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	5.88%	—	5.88%	17.65%	—	5.88%	—	35.29%
21–27	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	17.65%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	11.76%	11.76%	29.41%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.76	20.59	+3.18
SD	9.02	11.69	14.90
CV	0.38	0.57	—
Max	40	40	+28
Min	6	0	-26

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	11.76%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	—	17.65%	17.65%	47.06%	17.65%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.18	21.71	+7.47
SD	7.92	6.40	8.44
CV	0.27	0.29	—
Max	44	31	+23
Min	17	10	-4

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	23.53%	41.18%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Las Vegas Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.24	24.59	-1.35
SD	10.30	6.37	9.97
CV	0.44	0.26	—
Max	40	37	+18
Min	0	13	-24

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
14–20	5.88%	—	17.65%	11.76%	—	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	35.29%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	29.41%	29.41%	17.65%	11.76%	—	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.00	22.59	+0.41
SD	6.01	9.28	11.21
CV	0.26	0.41	—
Max	34	38	+21
Min	10	3	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	23.53%	11.76%	—	—	41.18%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	—	11.76%	23.53%	47.06%	17.65%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	22.59	-4.53
SD	10.45	6.85	14.62
CV	0.58	0.30	—
Max	51	31	+37
Min	9	10	-21

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	11.76%	—	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	—	47.06%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
Total	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	35.29%	17.65%	11.76%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.35	23.47	-0.12
SD	9.18	10.14	11.35
CV	0.39	0.43	—
Max	42	40	+22
Min	11	6	-23

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	29.41%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.76%	11.76%	47.06%	11.76%	17.65%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.94	25.12	-0.18
SD	9.25	9.16	14.09
CV	0.37	0.36	—
Max	39	41	+16
Min	3	7	-37

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	11.76%	—	52.94%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	5.88%	23.53%	23.53%	17.65%	11.76%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.41	20.41	+1.00
SD	7.91	11.50	14.29
CV	0.37	0.56	—
Max	38	37	+29
Min	7	0	-19

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
14–20	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	23.53%	29.41%	17.65%	17.65%	—	5.88%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.41	20.29	-0.88
SD	10.02	10.13	9.84
CV	0.52	0.50	—
Max	39	42	+24
Min	0	0	-14

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	11.76%	11.76%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	47.06%
21–27	—	—	23.53%	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	41.18%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	35.29%	29.41%	11.76%	—	5.88%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.47	21.82	-0.35
SD	5.50	9.00	11.88
CV	0.26	0.41	—
Max	38	48	+28
Min	13	10	-26

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	29.41%	35.29%	29.41%	5.88%	—	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.41	18.59	-1.18
SD	10.75	6.68	12.51
CV	0.62	0.36	—
Max	40	30	+23
Min	3	9	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	11.76%	17.65%	—	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
35–41	—	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
42+	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	—	23.53%	41.18%	11.76%	11.76%	11.76%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.06	20.24	+7.82
SD	9.42	9.56	11.08
CV	0.34	0.47	—
Max	48	40	+26
Min	10	7	-11

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
14–20	—	11.76%	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	47.06%
21–27	—	—	17.65%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	52.94%	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	20.35	-2.24
SD	6.75	9.03	12.07
CV	0.37	0.44	—
Max	30	38	+14
Min	3	10	-35

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
21–27	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%	29.41%
28–34	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	17.65%	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	41.18%	35.29%	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.47	16.29	+10.18
SD	10.25	10.69	14.52
CV	0.39	0.66	—
Max	38	44	+28
Min	10	0	-21

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	17.65%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
Total	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	47.06%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.94	23.59	+0.35
SD	10.45	10.61	10.42
CV	0.44	0.45	—
Max	48	45	+17
Min	7	6	-20

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
14–20	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	47.06%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	11.76%	35.29%	23.53%	11.76%	11.76%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.41	21.06	-2.65
SD	6.91	9.89	10.95
CV	0.38	0.47	—
Max	31	41	+16
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	17.65%
14–20	—	17.65%	29.41%	5.88%	—	—	—	52.94%
21–27	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	47.06%	17.65%	—	17.65%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.53	21.12	-3.59
SD	5.20	8.99	12.19
CV	0.30	0.43	—
Max	27	41	+10
Min	7	10	-34

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	—	29.41%
14–20	—	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	35.29%
21–27	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	23.53%	41.18%	—	11.76%	—	100%

Washington Commanders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	20.18	-1.29
SD	7.03	8.44	10.90
CV	0.37	0.42	—
Max	32	37	+20
Min	8	6	-17

Games Played: 17

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.68	+0.4
Allowed	0.32	-0.4
Differential	0.84	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cincinnati Bengals	12	8.82	+3.18
2	Minnesota Vikings	13	9.96	+3.04
3	Philadelphia Eagles	14	11.35	+2.65
4	San Francisco 49ers	13	10.57	+2.43
5	Kansas City Chiefs	14	11.77	+2.23

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Chicago Bears	3	6.83	-3.83
2	Indianapolis Colts	4.5	7.73	-3.23
3	Arizona Cardinals	4	7.19	-3.19
4	Los Angeles Rams	5	7.42	-2.42
5	Tennessee Titans	7	8.96	-1.96

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cincinnati Bengals	8	Nov 6 – Jan 8	1 in 77
2	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Dec 11 – Jan 7	1 in 70
3	Minnesota Vikings	7	Sep 25 – Nov 13	1 in 68
4	Philadelphia Eagles	8	Sep 11 – Nov 3	1 in 59
5	New York Jets	4	Oct 2 – Oct 23	1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tennessee Titans	7	Nov 27 – Jan 7	1 in 270
2	Chicago Bears	10	Oct 30 – Jan 8	1 in 109
3	Green Bay Packers	5	Oct 9 – Nov 6	1 in 53
4	Indianapolis Colts	7	Nov 20 – Jan 8	1 in 47
5	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	Oct 2 – Oct 30	1 in 40

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Buffalo Bills	73.27%	18.80%	6.08%	1.85%
Miami Dolphins	13.94%	37.00%	29.73%	19.34%
New England Patriots	8.46%	27.02%	34.10%	30.43%
New York Jets	4.33%	17.19%	30.10%	48.38%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	51.00%	28.45%	14.43%	6.12%
Cincinnati Bengals	30.88%	33.84%	22.47%	12.80%
Cleveland Browns	11.17%	21.97%	34.01%	32.86%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.95%	15.74%	29.09%	48.21%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tennessee Titans	49.70%	29.04%	16.00%	5.25%
Indianapolis Colts	25.47%	31.08%	28.98%	14.47%
Jacksonville Jaguars	21.39%	30.48%	32.78%	15.36%
Houston Texans	3.44%	9.40%	22.25%	64.92%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	82.60%	13.57%	3.19%	0.65%
Los Angeles Chargers	10.49%	42.83%	29.03%	17.65%
Las Vegas Raiders	4.53%	24.84%	34.72%	35.91%
Denver Broncos	2.39%	18.75%	33.06%	45.80%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	54.48%	31.64%	10.68%	3.19%
Dallas Cowboys	37.06%	41.53%	15.99%	5.42%
New York Giants	4.91%	14.79%	38.30%	42.00%
Washington Commanders	3.54%	12.04%	35.03%	49.39%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	58.00%	24.81%	11.99%	5.21%
Green Bay Packers	22.64%	33.33%	25.79%	18.25%
Detroit Lions	12.09%	23.91%	32.22%	31.78%
Chicago Bears	7.27%	17.96%	30.00%	44.77%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	49.45%	26.18%	15.92%	8.45%
New Orleans Saints	21.09%	27.92%	27.72%	23.27%
Atlanta Falcons	19.05%	26.72%	28.74%	25.49%
Carolina Panthers	10.41%	19.18%	27.63%	42.78%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	58.70%	26.59%	10.89%	3.82%
Seattle Seahawks	27.40%	37.97%	22.79%	11.84%
Los Angeles Rams	7.89%	18.80%	34.37%	38.95%
Arizona Cardinals	6.01%	16.64%	31.96%	45.39%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Kansas City Chiefs	34.75%	23.87%	15.01%	8.83%	5.62%	3.86%	2.71%	1.83%	1.26%	0.85%	0.58%	0.37%	0.25%	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%
Buffalo Bills	31.01%	22.45%	15.04%	9.43%	6.54%	4.70%	3.29%	2.27%	1.77%	1.25%	0.91%	0.58%	0.39%	0.22%	0.12%	0.04%
Baltimore Ravens	12.08%	14.80%	14.90%	11.84%	9.74%	8.05%	6.57%	5.19%	4.38%	3.60%	2.77%	2.19%	1.64%	1.24%	0.72%	0.30%
Cincinnati Bengals	6.08%	8.66%	9.78%	10.01%	9.54%	8.96%	8.12%	7.24%	6.47%	5.72%	5.18%	4.34%	3.60%	2.99%	2.25%	1.09%
Tennessee Titans	3.47%	6.18%	9.02%	10.85%	10.01%	9.09%	8.63%	8.21%	7.09%	6.28%	5.49%	4.90%	4.00%	3.05%	2.20%	1.52%
Miami Dolphins	3.56%	5.43%	6.95%	8.35%	9.27%	9.16%	8.58%	8.10%	7.74%	7.17%	6.11%	5.54%	5.04%	4.12%	3.24%	1.65%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.12%	3.69%	5.12%	6.61%	8.09%	8.82%	8.95%	8.53%	7.83%	7.72%	7.34%	6.61%	5.91%	5.13%	4.41%	3.12%
New England Patriots	1.79%	3.13%	4.36%	5.86%	6.91%	7.46%	7.73%	7.91%	8.10%	7.95%	7.90%	7.49%	7.23%	6.71%	5.88%	3.61%
Cleveland Browns	1.33%	2.84%	4.28%	5.15%	6.15%	6.78%	7.29%	7.64%	8.27%	8.21%	8.13%	8.00%	7.93%	7.35%	6.42%	4.25%
Indianapolis Colts	0.93%	2.13%	3.80%	5.66%	6.21%	6.68%	7.27%	7.72%	7.96%	7.95%	8.17%	8.12%	7.84%	7.13%	6.32%	6.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.64%	1.70%	3.07%	4.82%	5.24%	6.01%	6.91%	7.76%	7.86%	8.13%	8.54%	9.17%	8.58%	7.86%	7.18%	6.53%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.66%	1.43%	2.23%	3.37%	4.47%	5.40%	6.30%	6.92%	7.47%	8.11%	8.71%	8.75%	9.04%	9.57%	9.47%	8.12%
New York Jets	0.69%	1.42%	2.28%	3.36%	4.34%	5.02%	5.57%	6.53%	7.20%	7.95%	8.37%	9.06%	9.79%	10.30%	10.59%	7.51%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.58%	1.48%	2.54%	3.20%	4.02%	4.78%	5.43%	6.15%	7.15%	7.73%	8.22%	9.04%	10.11%	10.73%	10.75%	8.08%
Denver Broncos	0.28%	0.68%	1.36%	2.15%	2.98%	4.15%	5.00%	5.83%	6.59%	7.79%	8.66%	9.47%	10.10%	11.49%	12.35%	11.12%
Houston Texans	0.02%	0.10%	0.26%	0.53%	0.84%	1.10%	1.67%	2.18%	2.88%	3.61%	4.92%	6.38%	8.56%	11.98%	18.04%	36.93%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Philadelphia Eagles	30.30%	17.96%	12.88%	10.04%	7.89%	5.68%	4.27%	3.21%	2.38%	1.77%	1.32%	0.96%	0.62%	0.41%	0.22%	0.10%
Dallas Cowboys	18.93%	14.90%	12.97%	11.47%	9.67%	7.87%	6.17%	4.91%	3.77%	2.85%	2.23%	1.60%	1.16%	0.83%	0.47%	0.21%
San Francisco 49ers	16.21%	17.18%	13.79%	11.14%	9.07%	7.52%	6.13%	4.66%	3.82%	3.00%	2.38%	1.76%	1.40%	0.93%	0.62%	0.39%
Minnesota Vikings	11.27%	12.35%	12.26%	11.02%	9.53%	8.19%	7.12%	6.10%	5.18%	4.21%	3.56%	2.94%	2.33%	1.72%	1.34%	0.87%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.51%	9.24%	10.51%	10.55%	9.51%	8.58%	7.91%	7.16%	6.04%	5.28%	4.75%	4.14%	3.50%	2.70%	2.12%	1.50%
Seattle Seahawks	5.27%	7.69%	8.46%	8.66%	8.90%	9.28%	8.69%	7.83%	6.86%	6.30%	5.43%	4.74%	3.94%	3.39%	2.68%	1.89%
Green Bay Packers	2.14%	3.79%	5.05%	5.92%	6.74%	7.36%	8.04%	8.10%	8.03%	7.60%	7.31%	7.03%	6.68%	6.07%	5.39%	4.75%
New Orleans Saints	1.71%	3.20%	4.37%	5.15%	5.97%	6.76%	7.31%	7.68%	7.41%	7.89%	7.70%	7.74%	7.30%	7.03%	6.69%	6.09%
Atlanta Falcons	1.43%	2.80%	3.98%	4.90%	5.63%	6.36%	7.16%	7.51%	7.44%	7.76%	7.90%	7.85%	7.66%	7.43%	7.21%	6.99%
New York Giants	1.65%	2.27%	3.10%	4.16%	5.29%	5.74%	6.36%	7.37%	8.36%	8.55%	8.43%	8.47%	8.63%	8.37%	7.28%	5.98%
Washington Commanders	1.14%	1.58%	2.24%	3.17%	4.11%	4.75%	5.57%	6.61%	7.66%	8.23%	8.52%	8.95%	9.52%	9.72%	9.60%	8.64%
Detroit Lions	0.89%	1.78%	2.57%	3.34%	4.13%	4.87%	5.91%	6.33%	7.05%	7.57%	8.46%	8.78%	8.91%	9.29%	9.70%	10.44%
Los Angeles Rams	0.96%	1.72%	2.40%	3.14%	4.07%	4.92%	5.33%	6.27%	7.13%	7.94%	8.38%	8.65%	9.18%	9.80%	9.97%	10.15%
Arizona Cardinals	0.69%	1.41%	2.00%	2.57%	3.39%	4.30%	4.85%	5.61%	6.44%	7.35%	8.05%	8.90%	9.48%	10.72%	11.49%	12.75%
Carolina Panthers	0.57%	1.26%	2.03%	2.77%	3.36%	4.34%	5.08%	5.58%	6.43%	6.86%	7.75%	8.52%	9.55%	10.38%	11.89%	13.64%
Chicago Bears	0.34%	0.88%	1.39%	2.00%	2.76%	3.48%	4.11%	5.08%	6.00%	6.84%	7.82%	8.98%	10.17%	11.21%	13.32%	15.62%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Kansas City Chiefs	21.16%	15.22%	12.11%	10.17%	7.63%	6.56%	4.72%	4.27%	3.08%	2.77%	2.16%	1.92%	1.42%	1.31%	0.98%	0.84%	0.69%	0.66%	0.47%	0.43%	0.32%	0.27%	0.18%	0.20%	0.14%	0.10%	0.08%	0.07%	0.04%	0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	18.28%	14.13%	11.84%	9.53%	7.72%	6.49%	5.33%	4.35%	3.57%	3.03%	2.64%	2.13%	1.79%	1.51%	1.35%	1.06%	0.93%	0.81%	0.66%	0.60%	0.51%	0.37%	0.33%	0.25%	0.23%	0.16%	0.13%	0.10%	0.08%	0.04%	0.03%	<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	15.13%	14.01%	10.25%	8.97%	7.23%	6.50%	5.49%	4.70%	4.11%	3.64%	3.02%	2.56%	2.17%	1.93%	1.75%	1.43%	1.18%	1.03%	0.91%	0.77%	0.68%	0.54%	0.46%	0.40%	0.29%	0.25%	0.21%	0.14%	0.11%	0.08%	0.04%	0.02%
Dallas Cowboys	8.85%	9.37%	8.43%	7.76%	7.27%	6.56%	6.18%	5.35%	5.15%	4.58%	4.20%	3.49%	3.19%	2.66%	2.70%	2.16%	1.92%	1.53%	1.55%	1.24%	1.18%	0.90%	0.83%	0.65%	0.61%	0.48%	0.40%	0.27%	0.25%	0.16%	0.10%	0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	7.86%	8.50%	8.45%	8.26%	7.41%	6.73%	5.95%	5.50%	4.97%	4.35%	4.03%	3.50%	3.24%	2.78%	2.52%	2.21%	1.98%	1.77%	1.58%	1.34%	1.28%	1.06%	0.94%	0.80%	0.74%	0.57%	0.47%	0.37%	0.33%	0.23%	0.17%	0.09%
Baltimore Ravens	6.17%	6.79%	7.43%	7.32%	6.95%	6.85%	5.98%	5.63%	4.99%	4.67%	4.18%	3.91%	3.44%	3.27%	2.80%	2.57%	2.25%	2.19%	1.91%	1.73%	1.46%	1.31%	1.21%	1.03%	0.89%	0.80%	0.63%	0.59%	0.38%	0.35%	0.21%	0.12%
Minnesota Vikings	4.94%	5.87%	6.15%	6.45%	6.06%	6.23%	5.62%	5.59%	4.86%	4.76%	4.17%	4.20%	3.80%	3.47%	3.08%	2.92%	2.66%	2.53%	2.28%	2.05%	1.88%	1.69%	1.53%	1.33%	1.27%	1.06%	0.94%	0.76%	0.72%	0.50%	0.42%	0.22%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.95%	3.55%	4.51%	4.75%	5.36%	5.12%	5.29%	5.15%	5.07%	4.65%	4.45%	4.16%	4.23%	3.82%	3.69%	3.38%	3.26%	3.01%	2.83%	2.62%	2.46%	2.28%	2.12%	2.00%	1.83%	1.69%	1.38%	1.20%	1.04%	0.97%	0.75%	0.43%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.87%	3.36%	4.32%	4.24%	4.89%	4.69%	4.94%	4.62%	4.82%	4.65%	4.48%	4.34%	4.15%	3.98%	3.64%	3.63%	3.40%	3.30%	2.88%	2.83%	2.61%	2.58%	2.29%	2.19%	1.89%	1.87%	1.50%	1.54%	1.20%	1.05%	0.75%	0.51%
Seattle Seahawks	1.98%	2.99%	3.51%	4.32%	4.17%	4.50%	4.60%	4.66%	4.63%	4.65%	4.61%	4.54%	4.30%	4.19%	3.95%	3.84%	3.62%	3.16%	3.27%	3.04%	2.97%	2.53%	2.48%	2.26%	2.14%	1.75%	1.77%	1.52%	1.44%	1.06%	0.97%	0.57%
Tennessee Titans	1.54%	2.10%	2.91%	3.30%	4.11%	4.36%	4.69%	5.26%	4.49%	4.92%	4.30%	4.94%	4.27%	4.39%	3.71%	4.34%	3.64%	3.95%	3.11%	3.09%	2.82%	2.97%	2.65%	2.50%	2.07%	2.04%	1.76%	1.65%	1.39%	1.11%	0.93%	0.69%
Miami Dolphins	1.52%	2.11%	2.73%	3.01%	3.56%	3.59%	4.04%	4.01%	4.46%	4.52%	4.30%	4.41%	4.22%	4.35%	4.13%	3.94%	3.77%	3.87%	3.55%	3.58%	3.08%	3.21%	2.80%	2.76%	2.50%	2.57%	2.11%	2.05%	1.69%	1.65%	1.09%	0.80%
Los Angeles Chargers	0.83%	1.35%	1.76%	2.07%	2.56%	2.78%	3.16%	3.30%	3.77%	4.03%	3.95%	4.29%	4.17%	4.41%	4.11%	4.21%	4.04%	4.13%	3.68%	3.73%	3.62%	3.72%	3.37%	3.31%	3.07%	3.07%	2.85%	2.66%	2.34%	2.26%	1.87%	1.54%
Green Bay Packers	0.70%	1.23%	1.63%	2.09%	2.44%	2.73%	3.06%	3.13%	3.39%	3.47%	3.85%	3.69%	4.09%	3.96%	4.08%	3.91%	4.19%	3.92%	3.98%	3.77%	3.79%	3.63%	3.63%	3.44%	3.52%	3.21%	3.24%	2.85%	2.86%	2.53%	2.32%	1.67%
New England Patriots	0.65%	1.08%	1.53%	1.72%	2.12%	2.39%	2.77%	2.91%	3.31%	3.44%	3.58%	3.74%	3.82%	3.86%	4.00%	3.89%	4.02%	3.95%	3.92%	3.98%	3.91%	3.93%	3.79%	3.72%	3.71%	3.40%	3.39%	3.39%	3.02%	2.88%	2.32%	1.89%
New Orleans Saints	0.54%	0.98%	1.38%	1.75%	2.13%	2.24%	2.58%	2.79%	3.04%	3.11%	3.44%	3.45%	3.80%	3.69%	3.80%	3.73%	3.77%	3.87%	4.10%	3.82%	3.87%	3.84%	3.89%	3.91%	3.76%	3.65%	3.52%	3.52%	3.35%	3.26%	3.04%	2.38%
Cleveland Browns	0.48%	0.83%	1.27%	1.55%	2.01%	2.27%	2.45%	2.65%	2.94%	3.10%	3.34%	3.39%	3.57%	3.65%	3.99%	3.77%	3.97%	4.00%	4.07%	4.14%	3.98%	3.95%	4.05%	4.04%	3.79%	3.92%	3.64%	3.75%	3.31%	3.26%	2.54%	2.32%
Atlanta Falcons	0.44%	0.85%	1.23%	1.59%	1.83%	2.22%	2.34%	2.74%	2.81%	2.95%	3.29%	3.23%	3.66%	3.60%	3.73%	3.77%	3.89%	3.60%	4.02%	3.86%	4.08%	3.90%	4.08%	3.78%	4.01%	3.77%	3.95%	3.60%	3.75%	3.45%	3.44%	2.54%
New York Giants	0.48%	0.90%	1.11%	1.35%	1.74%	1.75%	2.30%	2.19%	2.82%	2.88%	3.10%	3.00%	3.23%	3.38%	4.17%	3.84%	4.06%	3.72%	4.49%	4.27%	4.38%	3.98%	4.21%	4.06%	4.42%	3.99%	4.29%	3.65%	3.85%	3.20%	3.05%	2.12%
Indianapolis Colts	0.35%	0.56%	0.93%	1.24%	1.61%	2.01%	2.22%	2.88%	2.56%	3.06%	3.02%	3.58%	3.28%	3.68%	3.32%	4.15%	3.85%	4.36%	3.61%	3.96%	3.96%	4.40%	4.01%	4.25%	3.68%	4.18%	3.77%	3.88%	3.49%	3.43%	3.41%	3.30%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.25%	0.42%	0.72%	0.95%	1.29%	1.60%	1.91%	2.40%	2.30%	2.65%	2.69%	3.26%	3.07%	3.47%	3.25%	3.92%	3.76%	4.37%	3.60%	4.16%	4.02%	4.67%	4.33%	4.63%	4.07%	4.57%	4.18%	4.25%	3.91%	4.03%	3.76%	3.54%
Washington Commanders	0.28%	0.59%	0.74%	0.94%	1.16%	1.40%	1.63%	1.74%	2.21%	2.20%	2.66%	2.51%	2.91%	3.06%	3.64%	3.37%	3.84%	3.47%	4.21%	4.30%	4.52%	4.06%	4.32%	4.37%	4.89%	4.70%	4.72%	4.63%	4.70%	4.45%	4.29%	3.50%
Detroit Lions	0.27%	0.51%	0.72%	0.96%	1.19%	1.38%	1.61%	1.85%	2.04%	2.17%	2.51%	2.60%	2.97%	3.10%	3.16%	3.27%	3.49%	3.66%	3.88%	3.87%	4.15%	4.21%	4.33%	4.46%	4.44%	4.67%	4.69%	4.77%	4.95%	4.83%	5.04%	4.23%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.22%	0.42%	0.63%	0.79%	1.07%	1.28%	1.57%	1.80%	1.96%	2.37%	2.46%	2.71%	2.84%	3.20%	3.23%	3.50%	3.48%	3.91%	3.92%	4.03%	4.19%	4.28%	4.33%	4.43%	4.45%	4.58%	4.75%	4.83%	4.73%	4.83%	4.65%	4.56%
Los Angeles Rams	0.32%	0.46%	0.71%	0.88%	1.18%	1.31%	1.69%	1.72%	2.11%	2.15%	2.51%	2.50%	2.82%	2.94%	3.23%	3.30%	3.47%	3.61%	3.93%	4.14%	4.16%	4.17%	4.22%	4.51%	4.57%	4.75%	4.86%	4.85%	4.81%	4.98%	5.00%	4.15%
New York Jets	0.24%	0.38%	0.64%	0.80%	1.07%	1.28%	1.59%	1.69%	2.11%	2.17%	2.42%	2.51%	2.80%	2.80%	3.19%	3.31%	3.54%	3.55%	3.73%	4.00%	4.09%	4.28%	4.37%	4.58%	4.87%	4.76%	4.84%	5.17%	5.14%	5.26%	4.63%	4.19%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.19%	0.37%	0.59%	0.81%	1.07%	1.32%	1.50%	1.67%	1.82%	2.03%	2.29%	2.45%	2.63%	2.75%	2.92%	3.08%	3.50%	3.63%	3.83%	3.93%	3.95%	4.20%	4.38%	4.66%	4.67%	5.01%	5.04%	5.48%	5.12%	5.64%	4.71%	4.79%
Arizona Cardinals	0.22%	0.35%	0.58%	0.75%	1.00%	1.07%	1.34%	1.46%	1.75%	1.83%	2.18%	2.24%	2.50%	2.60%	2.98%	3.02%	3.06%	3.27%	3.84%	3.87%	4.02%	4.01%	4.45%	4.42%	4.79%	4.94%	5.26%	5.33%	5.54%	5.72%	6.14%	5.44%
Carolina Panthers	0.15%	0.34%	0.49%	0.73%	0.88%	1.13%	1.30%	1.53%	1.72%	1.81%	2.14%	2.28%	2.53%	2.60%	2.88%	2.90%	3.35%	3.22%	3.65%	3.56%	3.87%	3.92%	4.51%	4.26%	4.98%	4.63%	5.43%	5.22%	5.85%	5.84%	6.68%	5.62%
Denver Broncos	0.08%	0.18%	0.29%	0.42%	0.62%	0.75%	1.02%	1.08%	1.45%	1.61%	1.81%	2.07%	2.29%	2.58%	2.72%	2.90%	3.12%	3.45%	3.53%	3.90%	4.06%	4.40%	4.64%	4.74%	4.96%	5.06%	5.39%	5.78%	6.06%	6.29%	6.16%	6.58%
Chicago Bears	0.08%	0.19%	0.33%	0.43%	0.60%	0.77%	0.99%	1.13%	1.39%	1.39%	1.71%	1.80%	2.16%	2.22%	2.45%	2.68%	3.05%	3.01%	3.46%	3.63%	3.88%	4.08%	4.41%	4.82%	5.01%	5.35%	5.50%	5.89%	6.59%	6.75%	7.29%	6.97%
Houston Texans	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.04%	0.06%	0.08%	0.14%	0.17%	0.26%	0.28%	0.40%	0.48%	0.60%	0.62%	0.76%	0.85%	1.18%	1.27%	1.51%	1.55%	1.75%	2.24%	2.65%	2.85%	3.25%	3.75%	4.44%	5.32%	6.23%	7.95%	9.91%	14.16%	25.20%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs	34.75%	24.95%	15.77%	7.13%	5.17%	4.03%	2.78%	5.43%
Buffalo Bills	31.01%	22.45%	14.57%	5.25%	9.45%	5.66%	3.76%	7.86%
Baltimore Ravens	12.08%	15.02%	16.18%	7.73%	10.41%	8.91%	7.10%	22.57%
Cincinnati Bengals	6.08%	8.68%	10.42%	5.71%	10.80%	9.70%	8.88%	39.73%
Miami Dolphins	3.56%	4.49%	4.00%	1.89%	14.51%	11.64%	9.89%	50.02%
Tennessee Titans	3.47%	6.64%	11.99%	27.59%	2.38%	3.97%	5.26%	38.68%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.12%	3.29%	3.13%	1.95%	10.43%	11.01%	10.34%	57.74%
New England Patriots	1.79%	2.67%	2.61%	1.39%	9.72%	8.89%	8.78%	64.16%
Cleveland Browns	1.33%	2.84%	4.36%	2.64%	6.28%	7.38%	7.79%	67.38%
Indianapolis Colts	0.93%	2.32%	5.44%	16.78%	1.81%	3.49%	5.00%	64.23%
New York Jets	0.69%	1.23%	1.53%	0.88%	5.36%	5.78%	6.15%	78.38%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.66%	1.30%	1.51%	1.06%	4.93%	6.28%	7.07%	77.19%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.64%	1.86%	4.34%	14.55%	1.66%	3.22%	4.91%	68.81%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.58%	1.53%	2.89%	1.96%	3.65%	4.94%	5.64%	78.82%
Denver Broncos	0.28%	0.63%	0.84%	0.64%	3.23%	4.56%	5.48%	84.34%
Houston Texans	0.02%	0.12%	0.43%	2.86%	0.21%	0.54%	1.16%	94.66%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles	30.30%	14.54%	7.01%	2.64%	19.89%	8.79%	5.31%	11.53%
Dallas Cowboys	18.93%	10.54%	5.42%	2.18%	24.75%	11.87%	7.50%	18.83%
San Francisco 49ers	16.21%	19.36%	14.00%	9.13%	7.32%	8.44%	6.42%	19.11%
Minnesota Vikings	11.27%	13.82%	17.04%	15.86%	3.95%	5.24%	5.79%	27.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.51%	10.62%	14.50%	17.82%	3.28%	5.36%	6.14%	35.76%
Seattle Seahawks	5.27%	8.64%	7.79%	5.70%	8.29%	11.09%	9.60%	43.62%
Green Bay Packers	2.14%	4.29%	7.18%	9.02%	3.72%	5.99%	7.36%	60.29%
New Orleans Saints	1.71%	3.77%	6.24%	9.37%	2.70%	5.10%	6.43%	64.68%
New York Giants	1.65%	1.57%	1.08%	0.61%	7.18%	7.37%	7.71%	72.82%
Atlanta Falcons	1.43%	3.39%	5.52%	8.71%	2.54%	5.00%	6.34%	67.07%
Washington Commanders	1.14%	1.08%	0.79%	0.53%	5.41%	5.83%	6.54%	78.68%
Los Angeles Rams	0.96%	2.06%	2.45%	2.42%	3.08%	5.19%	5.78%	78.06%
Detroit Lions	0.89%	2.06%	3.83%	5.31%	2.29%	3.98%	5.47%	76.17%
Arizona Cardinals	0.69%	1.66%	1.87%	1.80%	2.68%	4.63%	5.24%	81.44%
Carolina Panthers	0.57%	1.56%	2.99%	5.30%	1.49%	3.30%	4.59%	80.20%
Chicago Bears	0.34%	1.06%	2.28%	3.60%	1.42%	2.80%	3.78%	84.73%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+13.21%

Fortress

56.23%0.75%43.02%

Elo Value

Home Edge

30 Elo

0.034 points per Elo point

046.1680

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.12 points

Lean Home

-8+1.55+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.1

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

20%

Kansas City Chiefs, 2nd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

25.0%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.56 · As Expected: 1.56 to 2.15 · Elevated: 2.15 to 2.93 · High Variance: 2.93 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.54 · Close: 5.54 to 7.5 · Off Target: 7.5 to 9.78 · Well Off Target: 9.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.29 · As Expected: 3.29 to 5.48 · More Than Expected: 5.48 to 8.76 · Far More Than Expected: 8.76 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.86 wins

As Expected

01.955

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.56

Pinpoint

06.5215

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

96.90%

Minnesota Vikings

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

3.88%

Chicago Bears

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 14

Fewer Than Expected

04.414

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.75

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

68%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

27%

Some Drama

0%22%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.23

Hard to Predict

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.92

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.16

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

39%

As Expected

0%37%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

33%

Shaky Favorites

0%30%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.89

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.95

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.041

Well Within Noise

00.0880.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Buffalo Bills	79.30%	79.30%	56.96%	35.51%	22.35%
Kansas City Chiefs	81.28%	81.28%	56.44%	33.48%	20.37%
San Francisco 49ers	65.95%	65.95%	47.23%	31.40%	16.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	67.36%	67.36%	40.87%	22.41%	9.68%
Cincinnati Bengals	54.19%	43.00%	24.03%	12.13%	7.13%
Dallas Cowboys	62.25%	56.33%	31.74%	16.64%	7.06%
Baltimore Ravens	65.34%	46.95%	19.52%	6.67%	2.93%
Minnesota Vikings	61.71%	44.63%	20.09%	8.28%	2.76%
Seattle Seahawks	51.12%	28.18%	11.75%	4.54%	1.43%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	57.73%	33.04%	11.91%	4.12%	1.16%
Green Bay Packers	37.56%	19.98%	8.07%	3.10%	1.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	30.55%	17.17%	6.19%	2.18%	0.97%
Los Angeles Chargers	40.14%	18.56%	6.24%	1.97%	0.78%
Detroit Lions	22.94%	12.19%	5.08%	2.06%	0.72%
New Orleans Saints	33.61%	16.91%	6.19%	2.26%	0.71%
Miami Dolphins	46.41%	20.99%	6.35%	1.74%	0.62%
New England Patriots	34.05%	15.51%	5.15%	1.50%	0.58%
Pittsburgh Steelers	20.60%	10.36%	3.87%	1.33%	0.58%
Cleveland Browns	31.29%	13.57%	4.04%	1.13%	0.41%
New York Giants	25.53%	11.23%	3.90%	1.36%	0.41%
Washington Commanders	20.18%	9.08%	3.50%	1.27%	0.37%
Tennessee Titans	57.84%	24.82%	5.56%	1.18%	0.34%
Carolina Panthers	19.22%	8.51%	2.97%	0.98%	0.30%
Atlanta Falcons	31.50%	12.13%	3.43%	0.90%	0.20%
Las Vegas Raiders	22.16%	7.75%	1.94%	0.53%	0.18%
New York Jets	20.93%	6.36%	1.45%	0.30%	0.10%
Los Angeles Rams	20.98%	6.53%	1.70%	0.39%	0.09%
Indianapolis Colts	34.84%	9.58%	1.46%	0.23%	0.04%
Arizona Cardinals	17.88%	4.70%	0.97%	0.21%	0.03%
Denver Broncos	15.38%	3.58%	0.64%	0.09%	0.03%
Chicago Bears	14.94%	3.26%	0.61%	0.09%	0.01%
Houston Texans	5.32%	1.22%	0.17%	0.03%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		24.5%5.94%	32.9%8.65%	61.8%4.40%	81.4%2.03%	78.5%0.66%	77.7%3.97%	46.0%3.61%	25.9%5.46%	69.0%3.07%	59.6%5.16%	64.0%5.90%	61.2%4.54%	75.0%2.84%	52.5%2.92%	66.3%6.20%
Buffalo Bills	75.5%5.94%		61.1%5.92%	83.8%4.12%	91.4%2.18%	92.0%0.69%	91.6%3.76%	73.9%3.40%	51.6%3.41%	87.0%3.07%	81.9%5.03%	82.9%6.82%	80.0%5.09%	88.5%3.33%	77.1%2.88%	85.8%5.50%
Cincinnati Bengals	67.1%8.65%	38.9%5.92%		73.8%2.81%	89.3%1.42%	87.4%0.55%	88.1%3.46%	64.2%2.99%	40.1%5.73%	81.4%1.97%	75.3%3.67%	79.1%4.37%	75.4%3.19%	84.9%1.89%	70.4%1.71%	80.2%5.85%
Cleveland Browns	38.2%4.40%	16.2%4.12%	26.2%2.81%		70.2%0.60%	64.2%0.23%	69.1%2.04%	36.1%1.72%	17.6%4.08%	57.0%0.91%	44.5%1.61%	52.3%2.09%	46.5%1.44%	63.0%0.91%	38.3%0.73%	54.9%3.62%
Denver Broncos	18.6%2.03%	8.6%2.18%	10.7%1.42%	29.8%0.60%		55.6%0.13%	49.0%0.95%	18.3%0.82%	9.4%2.80%	40.5%0.17%	24.2%0.40%	29.6%0.78%	28.1%0.50%	44.2%0.24%	24.7%0.38%	36.5%1.97%
Houston Texans	21.5%0.66%	8.0%0.69%	12.6%0.55%	35.8%0.23%	44.4%0.13%		49.6%0.13%	14.6%0.10%	5.9%0.56%	25.7%0.19%	24.8%0.40%	31.3%0.55%	29.8%0.38%	44.5%0.23%	21.0%0.19%	29.6%0.32%
Indianapolis Colts	22.3%3.97%	8.4%3.76%	11.9%3.46%	30.9%2.04%	51.0%0.95%	50.4%0.13%		21.9%1.17%	9.2%3.34%	35.6%1.48%	29.3%2.90%	33.4%3.65%	29.6%2.44%	45.0%1.44%	23.9%1.15%	35.5%2.96%
Jacksonville Jaguars	54.0%3.61%	26.1%3.40%	35.8%2.99%	63.9%1.72%	81.7%0.82%	85.4%0.10%	78.1%1.17%		28.2%2.99%	71.1%1.17%	61.1%2.48%	66.3%3.20%	62.2%2.19%	76.1%1.10%	54.7%1.05%	69.1%2.57%
Kansas City Chiefs	74.1%5.46%	48.4%3.41%	59.9%5.73%	82.4%4.08%	90.6%2.80%	94.1%0.56%	90.8%3.34%	71.8%2.99%		84.5%3.91%	78.3%6.89%	83.4%5.74%	80.8%4.63%	87.3%3.03%	75.8%2.66%	85.0%4.59%
Las Vegas Raiders	31.0%3.07%	13.0%3.07%	18.6%1.97%	43.0%0.91%	59.5%0.17%	74.3%0.19%	64.4%1.48%	28.9%1.17%	15.5%3.91%		40.6%0.59%	43.3%1.15%	40.9%0.71%	55.8%0.49%	32.1%0.53%	50.1%2.75%
Los Angeles Chargers	40.4%5.16%	18.1%5.03%	24.7%3.67%	55.5%1.61%	75.8%0.40%	75.2%0.40%	70.7%2.90%	38.9%2.48%	21.7%6.89%	59.4%0.59%		54.3%2.07%	53.1%1.48%	68.0%0.87%	43.4%1.14%	58.3%5.45%
Miami Dolphins	36.0%5.90%	17.1%6.82%	20.9%4.37%	47.7%2.09%	70.4%0.78%	68.7%0.55%	66.6%3.65%	33.7%3.20%	16.6%5.74%	56.7%1.15%	45.7%2.07%		45.2%1.45%	61.0%0.76%	37.6%1.41%	55.4%6.49%
New England Patriots	38.8%4.54%	20.0%5.09%	24.6%3.19%	53.5%1.44%	71.9%0.50%	70.2%0.38%	70.4%2.44%	37.8%2.19%	19.2%4.63%	59.1%0.71%	46.9%1.48%	54.8%1.45%		67.4%0.52%	42.5%0.95%	58.7%4.54%
New York Jets	25.0%2.84%	11.5%3.33%	15.1%1.89%	37.0%0.91%	55.8%0.24%	55.5%0.23%	55.0%1.44%	23.9%1.10%	12.7%3.03%	44.2%0.49%	32.0%0.87%	39.0%0.76%	32.6%0.52%		27.9%0.58%	41.8%2.70%
Pittsburgh Steelers	47.5%2.92%	22.9%2.88%	29.6%1.71%	61.7%0.73%	75.3%0.38%	79.0%0.19%	76.1%1.15%	45.3%1.05%	24.2%2.66%	67.9%0.53%	56.6%1.14%	62.4%1.41%	57.5%0.95%	72.1%0.58%		64.6%2.32%
Tennessee Titans	33.7%6.20%	14.2%5.50%	19.8%5.85%	45.1%3.62%	63.5%1.97%	70.4%0.32%	64.5%2.96%	30.9%2.57%	15.0%4.59%	49.9%2.75%	41.7%5.45%	44.6%6.49%	41.3%4.54%	58.2%2.70%	35.4%2.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		38.7%0.97%	26.8%0.53%	54.2%0.37%	16.5%1.69%	22.6%0.69%	26.1%1.11%	42.8%0.39%	20.6%2.26%	23.1%1.01%	33.0%0.56%	14.1%1.76%	9.5%2.69%	25.4%1.33%	25.7%2.11%	33.4%0.40%
Atlanta Falcons	61.3%0.97%		42.7%0.78%	68.6%0.57%	27.0%4.06%	34.3%0.98%	35.6%1.74%	57.8%1.13%	31.4%3.00%	36.0%1.49%	44.6%1.49%	22.9%3.75%	15.4%3.86%	39.9%2.98%	39.3%3.61%	43.1%1.09%
Carolina Panthers	73.2%0.53%	57.3%0.78%		70.7%0.38%	33.8%2.44%	42.4%0.57%	40.9%1.00%	65.5%0.62%	40.5%1.90%	44.0%0.84%	53.2%0.81%	31.0%2.34%	19.6%2.53%	45.7%1.73%	47.8%2.11%	56.5%0.64%
Chicago Bears	45.8%0.37%	31.4%0.57%	29.3%0.38%		14.1%1.97%	16.6%0.38%	22.8%0.63%	42.0%0.47%	16.9%1.85%	25.7%0.72%	27.3%0.61%	12.7%1.92%	7.8%1.91%	22.1%1.25%	22.7%1.38%	26.4%0.52%
Dallas Cowboys	83.5%1.69%	73.0%4.06%	66.2%2.44%	85.9%1.97%		59.3%2.94%	60.2%5.04%	79.3%2.00%	56.2%8.37%	63.1%4.39%	70.9%1.86%	47.1%6.56%	33.4%6.56%	63.5%4.86%	63.9%8.04%	71.6%1.47%
Detroit Lions	77.4%0.69%	65.7%0.98%	57.6%0.57%	83.4%0.38%	40.7%2.94%		54.0%1.08%	74.7%0.73%	48.8%2.99%	55.0%1.04%	65.5%0.97%	38.7%2.96%	25.2%2.85%	53.5%2.01%	53.8%2.02%	62.9%0.73%
Green Bay Packers	73.9%1.11%	64.4%1.74%	59.1%1.00%	77.2%0.63%	39.8%5.04%	46.0%1.08%		72.2%1.24%	46.9%5.31%	52.9%1.76%	60.7%1.70%	36.1%4.55%	23.7%4.45%	52.4%3.46%	52.4%3.18%	60.4%1.31%
Los Angeles Rams	57.2%0.39%	42.2%1.13%	34.5%0.62%	58.0%0.47%	20.7%2.00%	25.3%0.73%	27.8%1.24%		24.3%2.57%	31.6%1.20%	37.8%0.75%	17.5%2.09%	12.0%3.18%	29.4%1.65%	30.0%2.43%	34.9%0.53%
Minnesota Vikings	79.4%2.26%	68.6%3.00%	59.5%1.90%	83.1%1.85%	43.8%8.37%	51.2%2.99%	53.1%5.31%	75.7%2.57%		57.8%3.17%	64.7%3.75%	41.5%6.97%	29.0%6.05%	57.8%6.03%	58.7%4.51%	61.9%2.97%
New Orleans Saints	76.9%1.01%	64.0%1.49%	56.0%0.84%	74.3%0.72%	36.9%4.39%	45.0%1.04%	47.1%1.76%	68.4%1.20%	42.2%3.17%		56.9%1.56%	35.0%4.05%	21.3%4.08%	49.6%3.10%	50.5%3.97%	54.9%1.24%
New York Giants	67.0%0.56%	55.4%1.49%	46.8%0.81%	72.7%0.61%	29.1%1.86%	34.5%0.97%	39.3%1.70%	62.2%0.75%	35.3%3.75%	43.1%1.56%		24.2%2.48%	18.1%3.49%	39.0%1.88%	43.3%3.32%	48.2%0.31%
Philadelphia Eagles	85.9%1.76%	77.1%3.75%	69.0%2.34%	87.3%1.92%	52.9%6.56%	61.3%2.96%	63.9%4.55%	82.5%2.09%	58.5%6.97%	65.0%4.05%	75.8%2.48%		35.7%5.49%	66.7%4.61%	65.8%6.71%	72.5%1.93%
San Francisco 49ers	90.5%2.69%	84.6%3.86%	80.4%2.53%	92.2%1.91%	66.6%6.56%	74.8%2.85%	76.3%4.45%	88.0%3.18%	71.0%6.05%	78.7%4.08%	81.9%3.49%	64.3%5.49%		76.6%8.81%	77.9%5.99%	81.6%2.74%
Seattle Seahawks	74.6%1.33%	60.1%2.98%	54.3%1.73%	77.9%1.25%	36.5%4.86%	46.5%2.01%	47.6%3.46%	70.6%1.65%	42.2%6.03%	50.4%3.10%	61.0%1.88%	33.3%4.61%	23.4%8.81%		50.7%5.73%	56.1%1.68%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	74.3%2.11%	60.7%3.61%	52.2%2.11%	77.3%1.38%	36.1%8.04%	46.2%2.02%	47.6%3.18%	70.0%2.43%	41.3%4.51%	49.5%3.97%	56.7%3.32%	34.2%6.71%	22.1%5.99%	49.3%5.73%		53.3%2.62%
Washington Commanders	66.6%0.40%	56.9%1.09%	43.5%0.64%	73.6%0.52%	28.4%1.47%	37.1%0.73%	39.6%1.31%	65.1%0.53%	38.1%2.97%	45.1%1.24%	51.8%0.31%	27.5%1.93%	18.4%2.74%	43.9%1.68%	46.7%2.62%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		25.8%12.01%	35.3%5.04%	59.4%1.33%	74.3%0.42%	78.8%0.15%	78.7%1.27%	50.4%2.17%	28.2%11.78%	67.7%1.00%	55.9%2.27%	62.4%2.50%	57.9%1.96%	72.1%0.76%	51.2%0.96%	69.4%3.33%
Buffalo Bills	74.2%12.01%		59.8%11.44%	82.1%3.72%	90.4%0.99%	90.7%0.35%	91.0%2.70%	76.2%4.84%	52.4%15.40%	84.2%2.07%	78.6%4.74%	81.3%5.71%	78.8%4.21%	86.0%1.64%	75.1%2.98%	86.9%6.49%
Cincinnati Bengals	64.7%5.04%	40.2%11.44%		75.6%0.92%	84.1%0.35%	88.9%0.13%	86.3%1.00%	67.3%1.77%	43.1%12.06%	78.6%0.77%	71.7%1.97%	75.2%2.17%	72.0%1.44%	82.3%0.60%	67.8%0.64%	81.2%2.70%
Cleveland Browns	40.6%1.33%	17.9%3.72%	24.4%0.92%		65.2%0.09%	77.3%0.02%	76.6%0.29%	40.0%0.41%	19.2%4.06%	53.4%0.17%	43.3%0.49%	47.1%0.61%	45.4%0.40%	63.9%0.16%	37.6%0.12%	59.3%0.75%
Denver Broncos	25.7%0.42%	9.6%0.99%	15.9%0.35%	34.8%0.09%		42.9%<0.01%	49.1%0.06%	17.9%0.08%	10.2%0.99%	50.0%0.02%	34.3%0.07%	30.6%0.16%	23.7%0.11%	48.3%0.03%	22.4%0.07%	44.5%0.15%
Houston Texans	21.2%0.15%	9.3%0.35%	11.1%0.13%	22.7%0.02%	57.1%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	8.7%0.39%	42.9%0.01%	27.6%0.03%	33.3%0.04%	36.0%0.03%	30.8%0.01%	26.3%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	21.3%1.27%	9.0%2.70%	13.7%1.00%	23.4%0.29%	50.9%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%		24.5%0.09%	9.1%2.74%	35.1%0.11%	29.6%0.30%	30.1%0.37%	28.4%0.23%	34.4%0.10%	20.1%0.15%	42.7%0.16%
Jacksonville Jaguars	49.6%2.17%	23.8%4.84%	32.7%1.77%	60.0%0.41%	82.1%0.08%	85.7%<0.01%	75.5%0.09%		27.5%5.14%	63.3%0.20%	58.5%0.53%	58.2%0.63%	55.5%0.47%	69.6%0.16%	50.5%0.31%	68.8%0.36%
Kansas City Chiefs	71.8%11.78%	47.6%15.40%	56.9%12.06%	80.8%4.06%	89.8%0.99%	91.3%0.39%	90.9%2.74%	72.5%5.14%		83.6%2.15%	76.5%5.17%	80.7%5.38%	77.2%4.10%	85.6%1.76%	73.9%3.15%	84.9%7.02%
Las Vegas Raiders	32.3%1.00%	15.8%2.07%	21.4%0.77%	46.6%0.17%	50.0%0.02%	57.1%0.01%	64.9%0.11%	36.7%0.20%	16.4%2.15%		39.9%0.15%	44.3%0.35%	33.3%0.19%	52.9%0.08%	33.3%0.13%	47.9%0.33%
Los Angeles Chargers	44.1%2.27%	21.4%4.74%	28.3%1.97%	56.7%0.49%	65.7%0.07%	72.4%0.03%	70.4%0.30%	41.5%0.53%	23.5%5.17%	60.1%0.15%		54.7%0.77%	52.6%0.60%	60.6%0.25%	42.1%0.39%	63.6%0.84%
Miami Dolphins	37.6%2.50%	18.7%5.71%	24.8%2.17%	52.9%0.61%	69.4%0.16%	66.7%0.04%	69.9%0.37%	41.8%0.63%	19.3%5.38%	55.7%0.35%	45.3%0.77%		48.1%0.55%	62.6%0.24%	43.6%0.45%	59.7%1.06%
New England Patriots	42.1%1.96%	21.2%4.21%	28.0%1.44%	54.6%0.40%	76.3%0.11%	64.0%0.03%	71.6%0.23%	44.5%0.47%	22.8%4.10%	66.7%0.19%	47.4%0.60%	51.9%0.55%		62.6%0.13%	42.8%0.31%	62.8%0.78%
New York Jets	27.9%0.76%	14.0%1.64%	17.7%0.60%	36.1%0.16%	51.7%0.03%	69.2%0.01%	65.6%0.10%	30.4%0.16%	14.4%1.76%	47.1%0.08%	39.4%0.25%	37.4%0.24%	37.4%0.13%		23.0%0.12%	47.4%0.31%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.8%0.96%	24.9%2.98%	32.2%0.64%	62.4%0.12%	77.6%0.07%	73.7%0.02%	79.9%0.15%	49.5%0.31%	26.1%3.15%	66.7%0.13%	57.9%0.39%	56.4%0.45%	57.2%0.31%	77.0%0.12%		67.7%0.56%
Tennessee Titans	30.6%3.33%	13.1%6.49%	18.8%2.70%	40.7%0.75%	55.5%0.15%	75.0%<0.01%	57.3%0.16%	31.2%0.36%	15.1%7.02%	52.1%0.33%	36.4%0.84%	40.3%1.06%	37.2%0.78%	52.6%0.31%	32.3%0.56%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		41.2%0.11%	31.4%0.09%	54.1%0.04%	16.2%0.79%	26.2%0.14%	23.5%0.20%	44.7%0.04%	23.2%0.55%	33.0%0.19%	23.8%0.12%	13.7%1.02%	11.8%0.71%	26.2%0.21%	29.2%0.39%	33.0%0.10%
Atlanta Falcons	58.8%0.11%		51.7%0.09%	69.3%0.10%	24.9%1.93%	32.3%0.33%	39.9%0.62%	52.3%0.15%	32.0%1.62%	35.1%0.19%	40.1%0.27%	22.6%2.47%	16.3%2.63%	39.6%0.89%	44.6%0.54%	33.0%0.19%
Carolina Panthers	68.6%0.09%	48.3%0.09%		75.0%0.07%	31.4%1.35%	41.3%0.22%	44.5%0.45%	60.7%0.14%	42.9%1.22%	42.9%0.11%	52.5%0.16%	28.4%1.84%	20.9%1.73%	46.7%0.58%	45.6%0.34%	42.8%0.14%
Chicago Bears	45.9%0.04%	30.7%0.10%	25.0%0.07%		16.9%0.52%	16.7%0.04%	20.0%0.06%	53.7%0.05%	18.9%0.24%	21.9%0.15%	29.5%0.06%	14.3%0.67%	8.1%0.69%	24.6%0.24%	29.4%0.29%	29.2%0.05%
Dallas Cowboys	83.8%0.79%	75.1%1.93%	68.6%1.35%	83.1%0.52%		63.6%1.85%	63.7%2.98%	77.6%1.02%	58.9%6.62%	67.7%2.62%	70.3%1.80%	47.6%13.76%	37.3%10.35%	64.1%4.44%	67.1%4.87%	66.1%1.43%
Detroit Lions	73.8%0.14%	67.7%0.33%	58.7%0.22%	83.3%0.04%	36.4%1.85%		56.2%0.22%	69.4%0.21%	48.6%0.88%	53.2%0.54%	56.6%0.25%	33.2%2.63%	27.1%2.76%	52.3%0.82%	58.1%1.11%	50.7%0.21%
Green Bay Packers	76.5%0.20%	60.1%0.62%	55.5%0.45%	80.0%0.06%	36.3%2.98%	43.8%0.22%		69.9%0.33%	46.6%1.58%	54.5%0.93%	60.0%0.44%	33.2%4.03%	24.1%4.53%	50.1%1.50%	54.4%1.75%	52.7%0.36%
Los Angeles Rams	55.3%0.04%	47.7%0.15%	39.3%0.14%	46.3%0.05%	22.4%1.02%	30.6%0.21%	30.1%0.33%		29.1%0.85%	34.8%0.28%	40.1%0.18%	19.8%1.36%	14.5%0.92%	31.8%0.30%	31.5%0.55%	33.6%0.15%
Minnesota Vikings	76.8%0.55%	68.0%1.62%	57.1%1.22%	81.1%0.24%	41.1%6.62%	51.4%0.88%	53.4%1.58%	70.9%0.85%		57.1%2.22%	60.0%1.21%	36.5%8.08%	27.3%10.14%	54.0%3.72%	58.6%4.67%	57.8%1.03%
New Orleans Saints	67.0%0.19%	64.9%0.19%	57.1%0.11%	78.1%0.15%	32.3%2.62%	46.8%0.54%	45.5%0.93%	65.2%0.28%	42.9%2.22%		50.0%0.37%	30.2%3.36%	22.3%3.71%	45.8%1.26%	50.3%0.71%	52.8%0.29%
New York Giants	76.2%0.12%	59.9%0.27%	47.5%0.16%	70.5%0.06%	29.7%1.80%	43.4%0.25%	40.0%0.44%	59.9%0.18%	40.0%1.21%	50.0%0.37%		27.3%2.59%	21.4%2.06%	43.3%0.68%	47.0%0.87%	50.0%0.16%
Philadelphia Eagles	86.3%1.02%	77.4%2.47%	71.6%1.84%	85.7%0.67%	52.4%13.76%	66.8%2.63%	66.8%4.03%	80.2%1.36%	63.5%8.08%	69.8%3.36%	72.7%2.59%		39.6%11.86%	66.2%5.54%	70.6%6.06%	69.0%2.09%
San Francisco 49ers	88.2%0.71%	83.7%2.63%	79.1%1.73%	91.9%0.69%	62.7%10.35%	72.9%2.76%	75.9%4.53%	85.5%0.92%	72.7%10.14%	77.7%3.71%	78.6%2.06%	60.4%11.86%		75.1%4.74%	77.8%7.58%	76.8%1.56%
Seattle Seahawks	73.8%0.21%	60.4%0.89%	53.3%0.58%	75.4%0.24%	35.9%4.44%	47.7%0.82%	49.9%1.50%	68.2%0.30%	46.0%3.72%	54.2%1.26%	56.7%0.68%	33.8%5.54%	24.9%4.74%		55.7%2.62%	51.8%0.63%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	70.8%0.39%	55.4%0.54%	54.4%0.34%	70.6%0.29%	32.9%4.87%	41.9%1.11%	45.6%1.75%	68.5%0.55%	41.4%4.67%	49.7%0.71%	53.0%0.87%	29.4%6.06%	22.2%7.58%	44.3%2.62%		47.4%0.68%
Washington Commanders	67.0%0.10%	67.0%0.19%	57.2%0.14%	70.8%0.05%	33.9%1.43%	49.3%0.21%	47.3%0.36%	66.4%0.15%	42.2%1.03%	47.2%0.29%	50.0%0.16%	31.0%2.09%	23.2%1.56%	48.2%0.63%	52.6%0.68%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		27.4%7.14%	33.5%1.83%	58.0%0.28%	74.6%0.06%	75.0%0.01%	72.4%0.12%	49.5%0.48%	28.8%7.08%	58.1%0.18%	58.7%0.56%	61.4%0.56%	57.8%0.44%	64.8%0.12%	54.0%0.25%	68.7%0.42%
Buffalo Bills	72.6%7.14%		58.9%8.78%	78.1%1.36%	89.8%0.21%	91.7%0.06%	91.2%0.51%	73.5%2.07%	52.1%27.03%	79.1%0.67%	77.8%2.26%	79.0%1.73%	78.1%1.42%	84.4%0.39%	74.0%1.31%	84.4%2.00%
Cincinnati Bengals	66.5%1.83%	41.1%8.78%		77.1%0.35%	88.2%0.08%	81.2%0.02%	84.0%0.19%	64.5%0.77%	43.3%8.35%	77.3%0.24%	66.2%0.84%	74.1%0.82%	74.4%0.65%	78.2%0.15%	65.2%0.32%	81.7%0.64%
Cleveland Browns	42.0%0.28%	21.9%1.36%	22.9%0.35%		77.8%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.02%	47.4%0.12%	20.9%1.39%	58.8%0.03%	49.6%0.11%	49.5%0.10%	46.2%0.11%	51.7%0.03%	43.5%0.05%	60.2%0.08%
Denver Broncos	25.4%0.06%	10.2%0.21%	11.8%0.08%	22.2%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.02%	9.4%0.18%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.02%	42.1%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%
Houston Texans	25.0%0.01%	8.3%0.06%	18.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	10.0%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	27.6%0.12%	8.8%0.51%	16.0%0.19%	25.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%			46.2%0.01%	13.9%0.47%	42.9%<0.01%	28.1%0.03%	29.6%0.03%	25.0%0.02%	71.4%<0.01%	33.3%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	50.5%0.48%	26.5%2.07%	35.5%0.77%	52.6%0.12%	81.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%		30.4%1.96%	60.3%0.06%	57.1%0.16%	54.4%0.16%	61.5%0.14%	60.5%0.04%	49.6%0.12%	69.4%0.07%
Kansas City Chiefs	71.2%7.08%	47.9%27.03%	56.7%8.35%	79.1%1.39%	90.6%0.18%	90.0%0.06%	86.1%0.47%	69.6%1.96%		79.9%0.53%	72.6%1.61%	77.8%2.33%	76.3%1.82%	86.6%0.53%	72.8%1.32%	82.8%1.79%
Las Vegas Raiders	41.9%0.18%	20.9%0.67%	22.7%0.24%	41.2%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	39.7%0.06%	20.1%0.53%		53.3%0.03%	49.0%0.05%	55.3%0.04%	80.0%0.01%	31.0%0.04%	52.6%0.04%
Los Angeles Chargers	41.3%0.56%	22.2%2.26%	33.8%0.84%	50.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	71.9%0.03%	42.9%0.16%	27.4%1.61%	46.7%0.03%		55.6%0.18%	53.8%0.16%	65.2%0.05%	43.9%0.11%	56.0%0.13%
Miami Dolphins	38.6%0.56%	21.0%1.73%	25.9%0.82%	50.5%0.10%	55.6%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	70.4%0.03%	45.6%0.16%	22.2%2.33%	51.0%0.05%	44.4%0.18%		37.6%0.10%	62.2%0.04%	38.8%0.10%	52.9%0.14%
New England Patriots	42.2%0.44%	21.9%1.42%	25.6%0.65%	53.8%0.11%	57.9%0.02%	80.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.02%	38.5%0.14%	23.7%1.82%	44.7%0.04%	46.2%0.16%	62.4%0.10%		37.5%0.02%	39.0%0.10%	59.1%0.11%
New York Jets	35.2%0.12%	15.6%0.39%	21.8%0.15%	48.3%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	39.5%0.04%	13.4%0.53%	20.0%0.01%	34.8%0.05%	37.8%0.04%	62.5%0.02%		25.0%0.02%	27.8%0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.0%0.25%	26.0%1.31%	34.8%0.32%	56.5%0.05%	80.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.03%	50.4%0.12%	27.2%1.32%	69.0%0.04%	56.1%0.11%	61.2%0.10%	61.0%0.10%	75.0%0.02%		73.5%0.08%
Tennessee Titans	31.3%0.42%	15.7%2.00%	18.3%0.64%	39.8%0.08%	81.8%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	30.6%0.07%	17.2%1.79%	47.4%0.04%	44.0%0.13%	47.1%0.14%	40.9%0.11%	72.2%0.04%	26.5%0.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders
Arizona Cardinals		41.2%0.02%	13.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.2%0.20%	21.4%0.03%	26.3%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	23.5%0.08%	30.8%0.03%	34.8%0.02%	15.8%0.23%	18.6%0.18%	27.1%0.05%	26.0%0.05%	15.4%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	58.8%0.02%		40.0%0.03%	54.5%0.01%	25.4%0.57%	35.7%0.08%	31.2%0.14%	61.5%0.03%	33.7%0.32%	30.4%0.06%	44.3%0.06%	22.4%0.83%	18.1%0.91%	37.7%0.21%	34.5%0.11%	39.3%0.06%
Carolina Panthers	86.7%0.01%	60.0%0.03%		70.0%0.01%	30.1%0.50%	38.0%0.08%	43.7%0.12%	68.0%0.03%	41.0%0.27%	50.0%0.05%	53.4%0.06%	30.7%0.70%	21.1%0.81%	42.1%0.14%	50.0%0.10%	52.3%0.04%
Chicago Bears	0.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.01%	30.0%0.01%		22.3%0.09%	37.5%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	22.9%0.03%	11.1%0.02%	20.0%0.01%	13.5%0.13%	7.7%0.18%	13.2%0.04%	27.0%0.04%	0.0%0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	79.8%0.20%	74.6%0.57%	69.9%0.50%	77.7%0.09%		59.7%0.94%	65.2%1.38%	82.0%0.33%	59.4%3.74%	68.5%1.10%	65.1%0.55%	48.3%6.54%	38.5%10.85%	64.2%2.31%	67.3%2.15%	63.8%0.49%
Detroit Lions	78.6%0.03%	64.3%0.08%	62.0%0.08%	62.5%<0.01%	40.3%0.94%		52.5%0.12%	54.1%0.04%	49.4%0.34%	54.5%0.17%	46.8%0.08%	36.3%1.20%	27.9%1.36%	57.8%0.26%	56.4%0.29%	45.9%0.11%
Green Bay Packers	73.7%0.04%	68.8%0.14%	56.3%0.12%	84.6%0.01%	34.8%1.38%	47.5%0.12%		67.2%0.06%	43.5%0.53%	50.4%0.24%	55.0%0.15%	35.5%1.97%	27.2%2.27%	54.5%0.48%	54.3%0.42%	56.9%0.14%
Los Angeles Rams	50.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.03%	32.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	18.0%0.33%	45.9%0.04%	32.8%0.06%		25.8%0.15%	29.2%0.05%	37.8%0.04%	18.5%0.46%	17.5%0.34%	33.8%0.07%	30.5%0.08%	27.3%0.02%
Minnesota Vikings	76.5%0.08%	66.3%0.32%	59.0%0.27%	77.1%0.03%	40.6%3.74%	50.6%0.34%	56.5%0.53%	74.2%0.15%		53.6%0.57%	64.4%0.40%	36.7%5.24%	30.0%5.79%	55.1%1.14%	57.1%1.15%	61.4%0.34%
New Orleans Saints	69.2%0.03%	69.6%0.06%	50.0%0.05%	88.9%0.02%	31.5%1.10%	45.5%0.17%	49.6%0.24%	70.8%0.05%	46.4%0.57%		46.8%0.11%	34.2%1.46%	26.6%1.67%	46.0%0.35%	48.6%0.21%	54.5%0.11%
New York Giants	65.2%0.02%	55.7%0.06%	46.6%0.06%	80.0%0.01%	34.9%0.55%	53.2%0.08%	45.0%0.15%	62.2%0.04%	35.6%0.40%	53.2%0.11%		30.7%0.76%	24.0%1.17%	47.0%0.23%	47.6%0.21%	48.1%0.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	84.2%0.23%	77.6%0.83%	69.3%0.70%	86.5%0.13%	51.7%6.54%	63.7%1.20%	64.5%1.97%	81.5%0.46%	63.3%5.24%	65.8%1.46%	69.3%0.76%		40.5%14.73%	64.9%3.03%	68.5%2.96%	66.7%0.61%
San Francisco 49ers	81.4%0.18%	81.9%0.91%	78.9%0.81%	92.3%0.18%	61.5%10.85%	72.1%1.36%	72.8%2.27%	82.5%0.34%	70.0%5.79%	73.4%1.67%	76.0%1.17%	59.5%14.73%		72.7%2.60%	75.1%3.31%	75.3%1.06%
Seattle Seahawks	72.9%0.05%	62.3%0.21%	57.9%0.14%	86.8%0.04%	35.8%2.31%	42.2%0.26%	45.5%0.48%	66.2%0.07%	44.9%1.14%	54.0%0.35%	53.0%0.23%	35.1%3.03%	27.3%2.60%		54.7%0.62%	52.9%0.22%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	74.0%0.05%	65.5%0.11%	50.0%0.10%	73.0%0.04%	32.7%2.15%	43.6%0.29%	45.7%0.42%	69.5%0.08%	42.9%1.15%	51.4%0.21%	52.4%0.21%	31.5%2.96%	24.9%3.31%	45.3%0.62%		52.0%0.20%
Washington Commanders	84.6%0.01%	60.7%0.06%	47.7%0.04%	100.0%0.01%	36.2%0.49%	54.1%0.11%	43.1%0.14%	72.7%0.02%	38.6%0.34%	45.5%0.11%	51.9%0.05%	33.3%0.61%	24.7%1.06%	47.1%0.22%	48.0%0.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Commanders	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	68.8%0.02%	68.8%0.05%	57.5%0.07%	33.3%<0.01%	42.4%1.10%	39.1%0.14%	57.1%0.22%	67.9%0.03%	51.6%0.56%	54.2%0.15%	52.1%0.07%	45.1%1.48%	33.2%2.07%	53.7%0.34%	61.8%0.28%	60.5%0.08%
Buffalo Bills	89.6%0.08%	85.1%0.32%	73.6%0.35%	90.6%0.03%	62.6%6.01%	69.9%0.71%	74.1%1.05%	80.4%0.14%	71.8%2.96%	74.2%0.82%	76.1%0.50%	62.7%7.93%	52.3%11.07%	74.6%1.61%	78.4%1.47%	75.9%0.46%
Cincinnati Bengals	84.6%0.03%	80.2%0.12%	73.6%0.13%	85.7%0.01%	59.7%1.94%	67.8%0.23%	69.6%0.38%	75.9%0.06%	68.1%1.04%	67.5%0.27%	70.2%0.17%	56.8%2.75%	48.3%3.80%	70.8%0.56%	75.6%0.51%	69.6%0.15%
Cleveland Browns	66.7%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%	61.5%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	30.9%0.18%	38.5%0.03%	63.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	41.1%0.09%	53.3%0.01%	52.4%0.02%	34.6%0.24%	29.9%0.40%	48.8%0.04%	53.3%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos		100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		29.4%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.02%	14.7%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans		100.0%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		13.9%0.04%	60.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		21.3%0.05%	12.2%0.08%	42.9%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	80.0%<0.01%	77.8%0.02%	62.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	44.0%0.36%	71.1%0.04%	63.5%0.07%	55.6%<0.01%	56.2%0.17%	67.9%0.05%	66.7%0.03%	41.0%0.51%	34.0%0.69%	46.3%0.10%	62.2%0.08%	50.0%0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	86.2%0.06%	80.3%0.30%	70.6%0.30%	87.5%0.03%	61.5%5.59%	68.4%0.70%	67.9%1.06%	85.5%0.11%	70.2%2.76%	72.4%0.74%	73.5%0.46%	60.5%7.57%	50.7%10.49%	71.2%1.51%	74.1%1.35%	72.2%0.45%
Las Vegas Raiders	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%		34.3%0.10%	38.5%0.01%	40.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.05%	54.5%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	32.4%0.10%	21.7%0.14%	33.3%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	60.0%0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	75.0%<0.01%	53.3%0.01%	60.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	44.5%0.33%	44.9%0.05%	44.1%0.07%	57.1%<0.01%	49.0%0.15%	50.0%0.04%	43.3%0.03%	34.5%0.44%	31.3%0.62%	47.9%0.07%	50.6%0.09%	70.4%0.03%
Miami Dolphins	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	42.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	34.7%0.29%	57.5%0.04%	50.0%0.05%	60.0%<0.01%	50.8%0.12%	48.8%0.04%	52.9%0.02%	37.8%0.39%	26.0%0.58%	40.3%0.08%	35.3%0.07%	50.0%0.01%
New England Patriots	50.0%<0.01%	64.7%0.02%	61.1%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.23%	64.5%0.03%	46.8%0.05%	57.1%<0.01%	46.6%0.13%	54.3%0.03%	43.5%0.02%	34.5%0.32%	28.5%0.48%	54.3%0.07%	48.4%0.06%	45.5%0.02%
New York Jets		66.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		31.0%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		25.0%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	30.6%0.07%	34.3%0.10%	36.8%0.02%	62.5%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.0%<0.01%	58.8%0.02%	42.9%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	44.3%0.21%	77.4%0.03%	42.9%0.04%	63.6%0.01%	54.3%0.12%	51.7%0.03%	47.1%0.02%	39.1%0.28%	34.5%0.45%	53.7%0.05%	55.1%0.05%	73.3%0.01%
Tennessee Titans	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.1%0.19%	32.0%0.03%	33.3%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	35.5%0.08%	33.3%0.04%	40.0%0.01%	25.3%0.25%	21.2%0.38%	59.3%0.05%	41.8%0.06%	50.0%0.02%
Arizona Cardinals																	31.2%0.02%	10.4%0.08%	15.4%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	13.8%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	31.2%0.05%	14.9%0.32%	19.8%0.12%	63.6%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	22.2%0.02%	19.7%0.30%	25.0%<0.01%	46.7%0.01%	80.0%0.01%	35.3%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	41.2%0.02%	50.0%0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	42.5%0.07%	26.4%0.35%	26.4%0.13%	38.5%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	29.4%0.30%	42.9%<0.01%	40.0%0.03%	57.1%0.02%	38.9%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.01%	62.5%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	66.7%<0.01%	9.4%0.03%	14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.03%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	57.6%1.10%	37.4%6.01%	40.3%1.94%	69.1%0.18%	70.6%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	86.1%0.04%	56.0%0.36%	38.5%5.59%	65.7%0.10%	55.5%0.33%	65.3%0.29%	61.1%0.23%	69.0%0.04%	55.7%0.21%	74.9%0.19%
Detroit Lions																	60.9%0.14%	30.1%0.71%	32.2%0.23%	61.5%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	28.9%0.04%	31.6%0.70%	61.5%0.01%	55.1%0.05%	42.5%0.04%	35.5%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.03%	68.0%0.03%
Green Bay Packers																	42.9%0.22%	25.9%1.05%	30.4%0.38%	36.7%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%		80.0%<0.01%	36.5%0.07%	32.1%1.06%	60.0%0.02%	55.9%0.07%	50.0%0.05%	53.2%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	57.1%0.04%	66.7%0.04%
Los Angeles Rams																	32.1%0.03%	19.6%0.14%	24.1%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	14.5%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%		36.4%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	48.4%0.56%	28.2%2.96%	31.9%1.04%	58.9%0.09%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	73.3%0.01%	43.8%0.17%	29.8%2.76%	61.1%0.05%	51.0%0.15%	49.2%0.12%	53.4%0.13%	75.0%0.02%	45.7%0.12%	64.5%0.08%
New Orleans Saints																	45.8%0.15%	25.8%0.82%	32.5%0.27%	46.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.1%0.05%	27.6%0.74%	45.5%0.01%	50.0%0.04%	51.2%0.04%	45.7%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	48.3%0.03%	66.7%0.04%
New York Giants																	47.9%0.07%	23.9%0.50%	29.8%0.17%	47.6%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		33.3%0.03%	26.5%0.46%	33.3%<0.01%	56.7%0.03%	47.1%0.02%	56.5%0.02%	83.3%<0.01%	52.9%0.02%	60.0%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	54.9%1.48%	37.3%7.93%	43.2%2.75%	65.4%0.24%	70.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	78.7%0.05%	59.0%0.51%	39.5%7.57%	67.6%0.10%	65.5%0.44%	62.2%0.39%	65.5%0.32%	69.4%0.07%	60.9%0.28%	74.7%0.25%
San Francisco 49ers																	66.8%2.07%	47.7%11.07%	51.7%3.80%	70.1%0.40%	85.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	87.8%0.08%	66.0%0.69%	49.3%10.49%	78.3%0.14%	68.7%0.62%	74.0%0.58%	71.5%0.48%	65.7%0.10%	65.5%0.45%	78.8%0.38%
Seattle Seahawks																	46.3%0.34%	25.4%1.61%	29.2%0.56%	51.2%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	53.7%0.10%	28.8%1.51%	66.7%0.02%	52.1%0.07%	59.7%0.08%	45.7%0.07%	63.2%0.02%	46.3%0.05%	40.7%0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	38.2%0.28%	21.6%1.47%	24.4%0.51%	46.7%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	80.0%0.01%	37.8%0.08%	25.9%1.35%	50.0%0.02%	49.4%0.09%	64.7%0.07%	51.6%0.06%	37.5%<0.01%	44.9%0.05%	58.2%0.06%
Washington Commanders																	39.5%0.08%	24.1%0.46%	30.4%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	27.8%0.45%	40.0%0.01%	29.6%0.03%	50.0%0.01%	54.5%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.01%	50.0%0.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	74.99%	41.69%	23.86%	Won Super Bowl
Buffalo Bills	85.02%	57.21%	31.54%	19.60%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Francisco 49ers	80.31%	60.65%	37.29%	18.93%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Philadelphia Eagles	100.00%	65.52%	33.37%	13.18%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Cincinnati Bengals	73.16%	30.79%	15.56%	8.93%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Dallas Cowboys	62.75%	27.76%	12.70%	5.44%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Minnesota Vikings	64.91%	18.53%	7.75%	2.50%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	62.26%	16.66%	5.09%	2.27%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Baltimore Ravens	26.84%	8.16%	2.67%	1.23%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Chargers	37.74%	9.08%	2.48%	1.05%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	37.25%	10.72%	3.40%	0.98%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Seattle Seahawks	19.69%	6.48%	2.69%	0.85%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Giants	35.09%	10.34%	2.80%	0.83%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Miami Dolphins	14.98%	3.10%	0.97%	0.36%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Jacksonville Jaguars	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens			26.8%100.00%
Buffalo Bills						85.0%100.00%
Cincinnati Bengals	73.2%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars					62.3%100.00%
Los Angeles Chargers				37.7%100.00%
Miami Dolphins		15.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys						62.8%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings			64.9%100.00%
New York Giants		35.1%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers					80.3%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks				19.7%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	37.2%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens				46.3%2.48%	27.5%22.80%	47.4%1.55%
Buffalo Bills			63.3%62.22%	76.8%14.22%		80.3%8.58%
Cincinnati Bengals		36.7%62.22%		71.5%6.79%		74.8%4.15%
Jacksonville Jaguars	53.7%2.48%	23.2%14.22%	28.5%6.79%		26.1%38.76%
Kansas City Chiefs	72.5%22.80%			73.9%38.76%		76.4%23.46%	79.3%14.98%
Los Angeles Chargers	52.6%1.55%	19.7%8.58%	25.2%4.15%		23.6%23.46%
Miami Dolphins					20.7%14.98%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys		54.9%8.07%	71.9%4.29%	44.3%32.77%	32.5%17.63%
Minnesota Vikings	45.1%8.07%				22.9%52.05%		62.3%4.79%
New York Giants	28.1%4.29%			28.4%28.26%			43.3%2.54%
Philadelphia Eagles	55.7%32.77%		71.6%28.26%			67.1%19.69%	71.8%19.29%
San Francisco 49ers	67.5%17.63%	77.1%52.05%					80.9%10.63%
Seattle Seahawks				32.9%19.69%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		37.7%4.79%	56.7%2.54%	28.2%19.29%	19.1%10.63%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens		27.2%4.92%		45.1%0.92%	29.2%1.48%	52.6%0.44%	63.8%0.41%
Buffalo Bills	72.8%4.92%			75.0%6.43%	48.3%42.38%	76.7%3.48%
Cincinnati Bengals				69.7%3.67%	43.8%23.41%	73.5%2.05%	74.2%1.66%
Jacksonville Jaguars	54.9%0.92%	25.0%6.43%	30.3%3.67%		29.0%4.98%		63.8%0.67%
Kansas City Chiefs	70.8%1.48%	51.7%42.38%	56.2%23.41%	71.0%4.98%		74.3%2.74%
Los Angeles Chargers	47.4%0.44%	23.3%3.48%	26.5%2.05%		25.7%2.74%		58.2%0.37%
Miami Dolphins	36.2%0.41%		25.8%1.66%	36.2%0.67%		41.8%0.37%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys		54.0%3.31%	72.9%1.64%	46.4%9.18%	34.3%11.21%	66.4%2.42%
Minnesota Vikings	46.0%3.31%			36.0%11.74%		55.6%2.20%	61.1%1.28%
New York Giants	27.1%1.64%			31.8%1.54%	21.0%5.80%	51.7%0.76%	41.9%0.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	53.6%9.18%	64.0%11.74%	68.2%1.54%		44.1%39.47%		68.8%3.58%
San Francisco 49ers	65.7%11.21%		79.0%5.80%	55.9%39.47%			79.0%4.17%
Seattle Seahawks	33.6%2.42%	44.4%2.20%	48.3%0.76%				48.3%1.09%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		38.9%1.28%	58.1%0.60%	31.2%3.58%	21.0%4.17%	51.7%1.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Dallas Cowboys	Minnesota Vikings	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins
Baltimore Ravens	47.1%0.31%	57.1%0.23%	53.6%0.06%	49.1%0.89%	39.8%1.01%	41.7%0.08%	51.6%0.10%
Buffalo Bills	61.5%4.00%	72.9%2.46%	72.7%0.88%	65.7%10.51%	54.2%11.85%	74.2%0.83%	75.9%1.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	58.2%2.00%	66.7%1.18%	73.2%0.42%	60.5%5.15%	49.0%5.82%	69.8%0.43%	73.0%0.55%
Jacksonville Jaguars	44.7%0.64%	57.3%0.43%	67.9%0.13%	47.6%1.70%	35.9%1.90%	46.9%0.13%	56.5%0.17%
Kansas City Chiefs	57.2%5.30%	68.3%3.18%	69.5%1.20%	60.3%14.01%	49.1%15.44%	69.1%1.12%	71.3%1.44%
Los Angeles Chargers	36.8%0.31%	46.8%0.20%	63.1%0.08%	46.0%0.80%	35.5%0.92%	53.6%0.07%	56.2%0.10%
Miami Dolphins	39.0%0.14%	52.6%0.08%	48.3%0.03%	36.4%0.33%	28.0%0.35%	60.0%0.01%	60.5%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys								52.9%0.31%	38.5%4.00%	41.8%2.00%	55.3%0.64%	42.8%5.30%	63.2%0.31%	61.0%0.14%
Minnesota Vikings								42.9%0.23%	27.1%2.46%	33.3%1.18%	42.7%0.43%	31.7%3.18%	53.2%0.20%	47.4%0.08%
New York Giants								46.4%0.06%	27.3%0.88%	26.8%0.42%	32.1%0.13%	30.5%1.20%	36.9%0.08%	51.7%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles								50.9%0.89%	34.3%10.51%	39.5%5.15%	52.4%1.70%	39.7%14.01%	54.0%0.80%	63.6%0.33%
San Francisco 49ers								60.2%1.01%	45.8%11.85%	51.0%5.82%	64.1%1.90%	50.9%15.44%	64.5%0.92%	72.0%0.35%
Seattle Seahawks								58.3%0.08%	25.8%0.83%	30.2%0.43%	53.1%0.13%	30.9%1.12%	46.4%0.07%	40.0%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers								48.4%0.10%	24.1%1.01%	27.0%0.55%	43.5%0.17%	28.7%1.44%	43.8%0.10%	39.5%0.04%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Kansas City Chiefs 23.86% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

38.22%

Win Prob

73.94%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

52.56%

Win Prob

51.70%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.39%

Win Prob

60.27%

Buffalo Bills 19.60% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

85.02%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

68.86%

Win Prob

63.31%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

64.88%

Win Prob

48.30%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.19%

Win Prob

65.66%

San Francisco 49ers 18.93% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

80.31%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

66.20%

Win Prob

77.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

59.15%

Win Prob

55.88%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

41.52%

Win Prob

50.91%

Philadelphia Eagles 13.18% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

30.86%

Win Prob

71.56%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

52.20%

Win Prob

44.12%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.22%

Win Prob

39.73%

Cincinnati Bengals 8.93% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.16%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

74.15%

Win Prob

36.69%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

65.96%

Win Prob

43.82%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

34.87%

Win Prob

60.50%

Dallas Cowboys 5.44% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.75%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

52.30%

Win Prob

44.31%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

33.56%

Win Prob

46.40%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

41.73%

Win Prob

42.82%

Minnesota Vikings 2.50% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.91%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

64.25%

Win Prob

22.87%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

54.56%

Win Prob

36.03%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.44%

Win Prob

31.75%

Jacksonville Jaguars 2.27% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.26%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

60.62%

Win Prob

26.06%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

31.53%

Win Prob

24.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.66%

Win Prob

47.64%

Baltimore Ravens 1.23% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.84%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

76.90%

Win Prob

27.53%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

50.04%

Win Prob

27.18%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.37%

Win Prob

49.10%

Los Angeles Chargers 1.05% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.74%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

60.88%

Win Prob

23.56%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

32.70%

Win Prob

23.31%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.05%

Win Prob

46.05%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.25%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

50.78%

Win Prob

28.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

32.84%

Win Prob

31.22%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

42.12%

Win Prob

28.67%

Seattle Seahawks 0.85% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

19.69%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

36.32%

Win Prob

44.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.87%

Win Prob

30.90%

New York Giants 0.83% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.09%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

77.72%

Win Prob

28.44%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

43.61%

Win Prob

21.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

43.82%

Win Prob

30.54%

Miami Dolphins 0.36% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

14.98%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.69%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

44.02%

Win Prob

25.79%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

33.43%

Win Prob

36.39%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2022-09-11	Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-44	1504.65	1550.65	49.41%	49.70%	-43.61	0-1
2022-09-18	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 29-23	1461.04	1464.19	42.69%	56.44%	+25.41	1-1
2022-09-25	Los Angeles Rams	L 12-20	1486.45	1505.95	53.22%	45.90%	-27.68	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Carolina Panthers	W 26-16	1458.77	1472.90	41.15%	57.98%	+33.70	2-2
2022-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-20	1492.47	1589.18	42.19%	56.94%	-13.46	2-3
2022-10-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-19	1479.01	1457.95	46.12%	53.00%	-26.86	2-4
2022-10-20	New Orleans Saints	W 42-34	1452.15	1475.80	52.63%	46.49%	+24.21	3-4
2022-10-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 26-34	1476.36	1566.49	31.14%	68.08%	-16.24	3-5
2022-11-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-31	1460.12	1556.58	42.22%	56.91%	-24.60	3-6
2022-11-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-17	1435.52	1439.03	42.64%	56.49%	+32.84	4-6
2022-11-21	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-38	1468.36	1559.26	36.82%	62.34%	-35.91	4-7
2022-11-27	Los Angeles Chargers	L 24-25	1432.45	1455.29	52.74%	46.37%	-9.70	4-8
2022-12-12	New England Patriots	L 13-27	1422.75	1519.52	42.18%	56.95%	-29.08	4-9
2022-12-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 15-24	1393.67	1359.19	48.04%	51.07%	-26.53	4-10
2022-12-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-19	1367.14	1464.38	42.11%	57.02%	-13.44	4-11
2023-01-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 19-20	1353.70	1399.32	36.86%	62.31%	-6.79	4-12
2023-01-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-38	1346.91	1706.05	8.84%	90.83%	-8.11	4-13
2022-09-11	New Orleans Saints	L 26-27	1475.04	1535.53	47.33%	51.78%	-8.71	0-1
2022-09-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-31	1466.33	1491.33	39.65%	59.50%	-14.62	0-2
2022-09-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-23	1451.71	1484.44	38.59%	60.56%	+22.26	1-2
2022-10-02	Cleveland Browns	W 23-20	1473.97	1530.20	47.94%	51.17%	+16.30	2-2
2022-10-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-21	1490.27	1572.80	32.08%	67.13%	-14.49	2-3
2022-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	W 28-14	1475.78	1582.04	40.86%	58.28%	+40.08	3-3
2022-10-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-35	1515.86	1542.61	39.41%	59.74%	-30.81	3-4
2022-10-30	Carolina Panthers	W 37-34	1485.05	1434.30	63.00%	36.17%	+11.55	4-4
2022-11-06	Los Angeles Chargers	L 17-20	1496.60	1460.60	61.00%	38.15%	-19.42	4-5
2022-11-10	@ Carolina Panthers	L 15-25	1477.18	1397.54	54.52%	44.59%	-31.70	4-6
2022-11-20	Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1445.48	1424.54	58.93%	40.21%	+12.83	5-6
2022-11-27	@ Washington Commanders	L 13-19	1458.31	1509.66	36.09%	63.07%	-16.30	5-7
2022-12-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-19	1442.01	1448.15	55.12%	44.00%	-17.55	5-8
2022-12-18	@ New Orleans Saints	L 18-21	1424.46	1430.49	42.28%	56.85%	-13.50	5-9
2022-12-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 9-17	1410.96	1580.12	22.34%	77.01%	-11.64	5-10
2023-01-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-19	1399.32	1353.70	62.31%	36.86%	+6.79	6-10
2023-01-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-17	1406.11	1497.55	42.93%	56.20%	+12.42	7-10
2022-09-11	@ New York Jets	W 24-9	1525.93	1438.36	55.65%	43.47%	+31.02	1-0
2022-09-18	Miami Dolphins	L 38-42	1556.95	1539.23	58.48%	40.65%	-21.50	1-1
2022-09-25	@ New England Patriots	W 37-26	1535.45	1502.11	47.88%	51.23%	+31.26	2-1
2022-10-02	Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1566.71	1625.02	47.64%	51.47%	-15.19	2-2
2022-10-09	Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-17	1551.52	1534.12	58.44%	40.70%	+10.60	3-2
2022-10-16	@ New York Giants	L 20-24	1562.12	1505.92	51.17%	47.94%	-18.82	3-3
2022-10-23	Cleveland Browns	W 23-20	1543.30	1448.67	68.64%	30.59%	+9.77	4-3
2022-10-27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-22	1553.07	1516.30	48.37%	50.74%	+20.87	5-3
2022-11-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-13	1573.94	1494.80	54.45%	44.67%	+30.78	6-3
2022-11-20	Carolina Panthers	W 13-3	1604.72	1429.25	77.64%	21.72%	+12.66	7-3
2022-11-27	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-28	1617.38	1427.30	69.30%	29.93%	-12.72	7-4
2022-12-04	Denver Broncos	W 10-9	1604.66	1370.67	82.90%	16.57%	+3.05	8-4
2022-12-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-14	1607.71	1465.71	63.16%	36.01%	+9.38	9-4
2022-12-17	@ Cleveland Browns	L 3-13	1617.09	1471.41	63.65%	35.52%	-36.97	9-5
2022-12-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 17-9	1580.12	1410.96	77.01%	22.34%	+11.65	10-5
2023-01-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-16	1591.77	1500.75	68.19%	31.03%	-21.69	10-6
2023-01-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-27	1570.08	1663.07	30.79%	68.43%	-18.83	10-7
2022-09-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-10	1563.08	1535.18	47.10%	52.01%	+43.85	1-0
2022-09-19	Tennessee Titans	W 41-7	1606.93	1507.19	69.26%	29.97%	+32.22	2-0
2022-09-25	@ Miami Dolphins	L 19-21	1639.15	1560.72	54.35%	44.77%	-14.13	2-1
2022-10-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1625.02	1566.71	51.47%	47.64%	+15.19	3-1
2022-10-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 38-3	1640.21	1448.75	79.19%	20.21%	+22.02	4-1
2022-10-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-20	1662.23	1623.43	48.66%	50.45%	+18.56	5-1
2022-10-30	Green Bay Packers	W 27-17	1680.79	1476.00	80.41%	19.01%	+11.07	6-1
2022-11-06	@ New York Jets	L 17-20	1691.86	1510.84	68.19%	31.03%	-21.68	6-2
2022-11-13	Minnesota Vikings	L 30-33	1670.18	1594.48	66.26%	32.94%	-21.08	6-3
2022-11-20	Cleveland Browns	W 31-23	1649.10	1454.03	75.03%	24.29%	+12.67	7-3
2022-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-25	1661.77	1444.57	72.50%	26.78%	+8.55	8-3
2022-12-01	@ New England Patriots	W 24-10	1670.32	1545.98	60.78%	38.37%	+26.46	9-3
2022-12-11	New York Jets	W 20-12	1696.78	1521.80	77.59%	21.77%	+11.35	10-3
2022-12-17	Miami Dolphins	W 32-29	1708.13	1506.59	80.12%	19.30%	+6.15	11-3
2022-12-24	@ Chicago Bears	W 35-13	1714.28	1351.88	85.79%	13.75%	+11.86	12-3
2023-01-08	New England Patriots	W 35-23	1726.14	1519.77	80.55%	18.87%	+12.03	13-3
2022-09-11	Cleveland Browns	L 24-26	1471.90	1502.30	51.65%	47.46%	-13.44	0-1
2022-09-18	@ New York Giants	L 16-19	1458.46	1469.58	41.57%	57.56%	-13.27	0-2
2022-09-25	New Orleans Saints	W 22-14	1445.19	1516.00	45.85%	53.26%	+27.71	1-2
2022-10-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 16-26	1472.90	1458.77	57.98%	41.15%	-33.70	1-3
2022-10-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 15-37	1439.20	1546.90	40.66%	58.48%	-35.14	1-4
2022-10-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-24	1404.06	1468.49	34.38%	64.80%	-23.72	1-5
2022-10-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-3	1380.34	1570.26	29.95%	69.28%	+53.96	2-5
2022-10-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 34-37	1434.30	1485.05	36.17%	63.00%	-11.55	2-6
2022-11-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-42	1422.75	1523.65	29.83%	69.40%	-25.21	2-7
2022-11-10	Atlanta Falcons	W 25-15	1397.54	1477.18	44.59%	54.52%	+31.71	3-7
2022-11-20	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-13	1429.25	1604.72	21.72%	77.64%	-12.66	3-8
2022-11-27	Denver Broncos	W 23-10	1416.59	1397.56	58.67%	40.47%	+26.89	4-8
2022-12-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-24	1443.48	1536.74	30.76%	68.47%	+30.79	5-8
2022-12-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-24	1474.27	1456.32	58.52%	40.62%	-30.42	5-9
2022-12-24	Detroit Lions	W 37-23	1443.85	1530.44	43.61%	55.51%	+38.19	6-9
2023-01-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-30	1482.04	1477.82	43.72%	55.40%	-19.73	6-10
2023-01-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 10-7	1462.31	1521.45	35.07%	64.11%	+20.39	7-10
2022-09-11	San Francisco 49ers	W 19-10	1482.42	1508.27	52.31%	46.81%	+25.85	1-0
2022-09-18	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-27	1508.27	1504.24	43.70%	55.42%	-33.19	1-1
2022-09-25	Houston Texans	W 23-20	1475.08	1439.16	60.99%	38.16%	+12.18	2-1
2022-10-02	@ New York Giants	L 12-20	1487.26	1455.87	47.60%	51.51%	-24.78	2-2
2022-10-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 22-29	1462.48	1524.53	34.69%	64.49%	-16.92	2-3
2022-10-13	Washington Commanders	L 7-12	1445.56	1395.65	62.88%	36.28%	-25.83	2-4
2022-10-24	@ New England Patriots	W 33-14	1419.73	1548.54	26.60%	72.68%	+58.13	3-4
2022-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 29-49	1477.86	1566.52	31.32%	67.90%	-25.83	3-5
2022-11-06	Miami Dolphins	L 32-35	1452.03	1494.63	49.90%	49.21%	-15.90	3-6
2022-11-13	Detroit Lions	L 30-31	1436.13	1384.79	63.07%	36.10%	-11.59	3-7
2022-11-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1424.54	1445.48	40.21%	58.93%	-12.83	3-8
2022-11-27	@ New York Jets	L 10-31	1411.71	1512.60	29.84%	69.40%	-25.21	3-9
2022-12-04	Green Bay Packers	L 19-28	1386.50	1425.27	50.45%	48.66%	-27.85	3-10
2022-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-25	1358.65	1684.09	16.45%	83.02%	-6.77	3-11
2022-12-24	Buffalo Bills	L 13-35	1351.88	1714.28	13.75%	85.79%	-11.86	3-12
2023-01-01	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-41	1340.02	1492.25	24.07%	75.25%	-24.69	3-13
2023-01-08	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-29	1315.33	1519.86	28.23%	71.03%	-20.82	3-14
2022-09-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1495.92	1503.04	54.99%	44.14%	-17.51	0-1
2022-09-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-20	1478.41	1472.71	43.93%	55.19%	-14.02	0-2
2022-09-25	@ New York Jets	W 27-12	1464.39	1420.25	49.43%	49.68%	+35.41	1-2
2022-09-29	Miami Dolphins	W 27-15	1499.80	1574.86	45.25%	53.87%	+34.32	2-2
2022-10-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-19	1534.12	1551.52	40.70%	58.44%	-10.61	2-3
2022-10-16	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-26	1523.51	1494.90	47.20%	51.91%	+19.10	3-3
2022-10-23	Atlanta Falcons	W 35-17	1542.61	1515.86	59.74%	39.41%	+30.82	4-3
2022-10-31	@ Cleveland Browns	L 13-32	1573.43	1438.90	62.16%	37.00%	-49.78	4-4
2022-11-06	Carolina Panthers	W 42-21	1523.65	1422.75	69.40%	29.83%	+25.21	5-4
2022-11-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 37-30	1548.86	1438.21	58.89%	40.25%	+19.62	6-4
2022-11-27	@ Tennessee Titans	W 20-16	1568.48	1593.50	39.65%	59.50%	+21.87	7-4
2022-12-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-24	1590.35	1683.92	42.63%	56.50%	+17.99	8-4
2022-12-11	Cleveland Browns	W 23-10	1608.34	1489.87	71.49%	27.77%	+18.46	9-4
2022-12-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-23	1626.80	1486.54	62.93%	36.24%	+22.15	10-4
2022-12-24	@ New England Patriots	W 22-18	1648.95	1523.95	60.87%	38.28%	+14.12	11-4
2023-01-08	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-16	1663.07	1570.08	68.43%	30.79%	+18.83	12-4
2022-09-11	@ Carolina Panthers	W 26-24	1502.30	1471.90	47.46%	51.65%	+13.44	1-0
2022-09-18	New York Jets	L 30-31	1515.74	1407.35	70.30%	28.94%	-12.90	1-1
2022-09-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 29-17	1502.84	1501.05	56.25%	42.88%	+27.36	2-1
2022-10-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1530.20	1473.97	51.17%	47.94%	-16.30	2-2
2022-10-09	Los Angeles Chargers	L 28-30	1513.90	1472.37	61.76%	37.40%	-16.05	2-3
2022-10-16	New England Patriots	L 15-38	1497.85	1499.36	55.78%	43.34%	-49.18	2-4
2022-10-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-23	1448.67	1543.30	30.59%	68.64%	-9.77	2-5
2022-10-31	Cincinnati Bengals	W 32-13	1438.90	1573.43	37.00%	62.16%	+49.77	3-5
2022-11-13	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-39	1488.67	1510.53	40.08%	59.06%	-34.64	3-6
2022-11-20	@ Buffalo Bills	L 23-31	1454.03	1649.10	24.29%	75.03%	-12.67	3-7
2022-11-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-17	1441.36	1531.90	43.05%	56.07%	+25.25	4-7
2022-12-04	@ Houston Texans	W 27-14	1466.61	1316.87	64.19%	34.99%	+23.26	5-7
2022-12-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-23	1489.87	1608.34	27.77%	71.49%	-18.46	5-8
2022-12-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 13-3	1471.41	1617.09	35.52%	63.65%	+36.97	6-8
2022-12-24	New Orleans Saints	L 10-17	1508.38	1443.98	64.80%	34.39%	-31.48	6-9
2023-01-01	@ Washington Commanders	W 24-10	1476.90	1475.26	43.36%	55.76%	+38.36	7-9
2023-01-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-28	1515.26	1522.43	42.12%	57.01%	-29.04	7-10
2022-09-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-19	1508.42	1560.81	48.49%	50.62%	-35.71	0-1
2022-09-18	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-17	1472.71	1478.41	55.19%	43.93%	+14.02	1-1
2022-09-26	@ New York Giants	W 23-16	1486.73	1482.84	43.68%	55.44%	+26.97	2-1
2022-10-02	Washington Commanders	W 25-10	1513.70	1434.10	66.76%	32.45%	+23.17	3-1
2022-10-09	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 22-10	1536.87	1500.90	48.26%	50.85%	+32.42	4-1
2022-10-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-26	1569.29	1602.65	38.51%	60.64%	-21.29	4-2
2022-10-23	Detroit Lions	W 24-6	1548.00	1392.14	75.64%	23.69%	+18.52	5-2
2022-10-30	Chicago Bears	W 49-29	1566.52	1477.86	67.90%	31.32%	+25.82	6-2
2022-11-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-31	1592.34	1438.68	64.70%	34.48%	-20.58	6-3
2022-11-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 40-3	1571.76	1615.55	37.10%	62.06%	+69.35	7-3
2022-11-24	New York Giants	W 28-20	1641.11	1478.43	76.35%	22.99%	+11.99	8-3
2022-12-04	Indianapolis Colts	W 54-19	1653.10	1423.63	82.54%	16.93%	+18.43	9-3
2022-12-11	Houston Texans	W 27-23	1671.53	1293.62	91.69%	8.01%	+2.94	10-3
2022-12-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 34-40	1674.47	1449.68	73.35%	25.94%	-32.97	10-4
2022-12-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 40-34	1641.50	1690.86	48.93%	50.18%	+22.62	11-4
2022-12-29	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-13	1664.12	1440.66	73.20%	26.09%	+17.99	12-4
2023-01-08	@ Washington Commanders	L 6-26	1682.11	1436.90	75.57%	23.76%	-61.99	12-5
2022-09-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-17	1479.08	1517.97	37.76%	61.40%	-6.96	0-1
2022-09-18	Houston Texans	W 16-9	1472.12	1459.32	57.80%	41.33%	+20.15	1-1
2022-09-25	San Francisco 49ers	W 11-10	1492.27	1522.91	51.62%	47.49%	+8.75	2-1
2022-10-02	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 23-32	1501.02	1428.84	53.46%	45.66%	-29.50	2-2
2022-10-06	Indianapolis Colts	L 9-12	1471.52	1465.28	56.88%	42.25%	-18.11	2-3
2022-10-17	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 16-19	1453.41	1488.41	38.28%	60.87%	-12.22	2-4
2022-10-23	New York Jets	L 9-16	1441.19	1514.28	45.53%	53.59%	-22.18	2-5
2022-10-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-17	1419.01	1433.87	47.42%	51.69%	+19.02	3-5
2022-11-13	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-17	1438.03	1556.51	27.77%	71.49%	-13.55	3-6
2022-11-20	Las Vegas Raiders	L 16-22	1424.48	1397.14	59.82%	39.33%	-26.92	3-7
2022-11-27	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-23	1397.56	1416.59	40.47%	58.67%	-26.89	3-8
2022-12-04	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 9-10	1370.67	1604.66	16.57%	82.90%	-3.05	3-9
2022-12-11	Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-34	1367.62	1665.93	18.70%	80.73%	-8.43	3-10
2022-12-18	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-15	1359.19	1393.67	51.07%	48.04%	+26.53	4-10
2022-12-25	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-51	1385.72	1354.62	47.56%	51.56%	-53.26	4-11
2023-01-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1332.46	1693.84	8.74%	90.94%	-2.78	4-12
2023-01-08	Los Angeles Chargers	W 31-28	1329.68	1540.79	27.47%	71.80%	+22.83	5-12
2022-09-11	Philadelphia Eagles	L 35-38	1449.74	1482.87	51.26%	47.85%	-16.34	0-1
2022-09-18	Washington Commanders	W 36-27	1433.40	1497.09	46.87%	52.24%	+28.83	1-1
2022-09-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-28	1462.23	1495.51	38.52%	60.63%	-14.20	1-2
2022-10-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 45-48	1448.03	1462.18	53.98%	45.13%	-17.19	1-3
2022-10-09	@ New England Patriots	L 0-29	1430.84	1460.66	38.99%	60.16%	-38.70	1-4
2022-10-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-24	1392.14	1548.00	23.69%	75.64%	-18.52	1-5
2022-10-30	Miami Dolphins	L 27-31	1373.62	1479.55	40.90%	58.24%	-15.08	1-6
2022-11-06	Green Bay Packers	W 15-9	1358.54	1464.93	40.84%	58.30%	+26.25	2-6
2022-11-13	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-30	1384.79	1436.13	36.10%	63.07%	+11.59	3-6
2022-11-20	@ New York Giants	W 31-18	1396.38	1526.62	26.44%	72.84%	+48.19	4-6
2022-11-24	Buffalo Bills	L 25-28	1444.57	1661.77	26.78%	72.50%	-8.55	4-7
2022-12-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 40-14	1436.02	1440.02	55.43%	43.69%	+41.04	5-7
2022-12-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-23	1477.06	1584.76	40.65%	58.48%	+35.65	6-7
2022-12-18	@ New York Jets	W 20-17	1512.71	1510.45	43.45%	55.68%	+17.73	7-7
2022-12-24	@ Carolina Panthers	L 23-37	1530.44	1443.85	55.51%	43.61%	-38.19	7-8
2023-01-01	Chicago Bears	W 41-10	1492.25	1340.02	75.25%	24.07%	+24.69	8-8
2023-01-08	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-16	1516.94	1548.30	38.78%	60.37%	+22.19	9-8
2022-09-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-23	1540.78	1495.23	49.63%	49.48%	-36.54	0-1
2022-09-18	Chicago Bears	W 27-10	1504.24	1508.27	55.42%	43.70%	+33.19	1-1
2022-09-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 14-12	1537.43	1624.75	31.49%	67.73%	+17.58	2-1
2022-10-02	New England Patriots	W 27-24	1555.01	1470.84	67.33%	31.88%	+10.18	3-1
2022-10-09	New York Giants	L 22-27	1565.19	1480.66	61.49%	37.67%	-25.26	3-2
2022-10-16	New York Jets	L 10-27	1539.93	1464.10	66.28%	32.92%	-50.17	3-3
2022-10-23	@ Washington Commanders	L 21-23	1489.76	1421.48	52.90%	46.21%	-13.76	3-4
2022-10-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-27	1476.00	1680.79	19.01%	80.41%	-11.07	3-5
2022-11-06	@ Detroit Lions	L 9-15	1464.93	1358.54	58.30%	40.84%	-26.25	3-6
2022-11-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-28	1438.68	1592.34	34.48%	64.70%	+20.59	4-6
2022-11-17	Tennessee Titans	L 17-27	1459.27	1570.06	40.23%	58.91%	-23.45	4-7
2022-11-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 33-40	1435.82	1611.97	21.66%	77.71%	-10.55	4-8
2022-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	W 28-19	1425.27	1386.50	48.66%	50.45%	+27.85	5-8
2022-12-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-12	1453.12	1375.51	66.50%	32.70%	+20.88	6-8
2022-12-25	@ Miami Dolphins	W 26-20	1474.00	1500.44	39.45%	59.69%	+26.87	7-8
2023-01-01	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-17	1500.87	1567.29	46.48%	52.63%	+47.43	8-8
2023-01-08	Detroit Lions	L 16-20	1548.30	1516.94	60.37%	38.78%	-22.19	8-9
2022-09-11	Indianapolis Colts	T 20-20	1459.02	1526.45	46.34%	52.78%	+0.30	0-0
2022-09-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 9-16	1459.32	1472.12	41.33%	57.80%	-20.16	0-1
2022-09-25	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-23	1439.16	1475.08	38.16%	60.99%	-12.18	0-2
2022-10-02	Los Angeles Chargers	L 24-34	1426.98	1440.96	54.01%	45.11%	-31.41	0-3
2022-10-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-6	1395.57	1509.51	28.30%	70.96%	+34.46	1-3
2022-10-23	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 20-38	1430.03	1454.06	39.78%	59.36%	-31.10	1-4
2022-10-30	Tennessee Titans	L 10-17	1398.93	1549.97	34.82%	64.36%	-16.99	1-5
2022-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-29	1381.94	1640.84	22.37%	76.98%	-14.28	1-6
2022-11-13	@ New York Giants	L 16-24	1367.66	1513.74	24.72%	74.59%	-12.88	1-7
2022-11-20	Washington Commanders	L 10-23	1354.78	1484.65	37.63%	61.53%	-25.01	1-8
2022-11-27	@ Miami Dolphins	L 15-30	1329.77	1545.18	18.09%	81.35%	-12.90	1-9
2022-12-04	Cleveland Browns	L 14-27	1316.87	1466.61	34.99%	64.19%	-23.25	1-10
2022-12-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 23-27	1293.62	1671.53	8.01%	91.69%	-2.94	1-11
2022-12-18	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-30	1290.68	1674.36	12.37%	87.21%	-5.57	1-12
2022-12-24	@ Tennessee Titans	W 19-14	1285.11	1472.99	20.54%	78.85%	+32.32	2-12
2023-01-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-31	1317.43	1524.86	27.89%	71.37%	-27.20	2-13
2023-01-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 32-31	1290.23	1334.75	37.00%	62.16%	+11.42	3-13
2022-09-11	@ Houston Texans	T 20-20	1526.45	1459.02	52.78%	46.34%	-0.30	0-0
2022-09-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-24	1526.15	1418.05	58.54%	40.60%	-52.70	0-1
2022-09-25	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-17	1473.45	1604.42	37.48%	61.68%	+19.63	1-1
2022-10-02	Tennessee Titans	L 17-24	1493.08	1484.90	57.15%	41.98%	-27.80	1-2
2022-10-06	@ Denver Broncos	W 12-9	1465.28	1471.52	42.25%	56.88%	+18.11	2-2
2022-10-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-27	1483.39	1475.05	57.17%	41.96%	+20.46	3-2
2022-10-23	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-19	1503.85	1527.98	39.77%	59.38%	-21.99	3-3
2022-10-30	Washington Commanders	L 16-17	1481.86	1435.24	62.44%	36.72%	-11.47	3-4
2022-11-06	@ New England Patriots	L 3-26	1470.39	1516.03	36.85%	62.31%	-32.58	3-5
2022-11-13	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 25-20	1437.81	1419.07	45.79%	53.33%	+21.93	4-5
2022-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-17	1459.74	1605.42	35.52%	63.65%	-6.55	4-6
2022-11-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1453.19	1418.59	60.81%	38.34%	-29.56	4-7
2022-12-04	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 19-54	1423.63	1653.10	16.93%	82.54%	-18.43	4-8
2022-12-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 36-39	1405.20	1549.12	24.95%	74.36%	-7.97	4-9
2022-12-26	Los Angeles Chargers	L 3-20	1397.23	1483.15	43.71%	55.42%	-33.19	4-10
2023-01-01	@ New York Giants	L 10-38	1364.04	1463.37	30.02%	69.21%	-29.29	4-11
2023-01-08	Houston Texans	L 31-32	1334.75	1290.23	62.16%	37.00%	-11.42	4-12
2022-09-11	@ Washington Commanders	L 22-28	1434.69	1480.45	36.84%	62.33%	-16.64	0-1
2022-09-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-0	1418.05	1526.15	40.60%	58.54%	+52.71	1-1
2022-09-25	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 38-10	1470.76	1499.28	39.17%	59.98%	+58.32	2-1
2022-10-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-29	1529.08	1569.61	37.54%	61.62%	-19.57	2-2
2022-10-09	Houston Texans	L 6-13	1509.51	1395.57	70.96%	28.30%	-34.46	2-3
2022-10-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-34	1475.05	1483.39	41.96%	57.17%	-20.45	2-4
2022-10-23	New York Giants	L 17-23	1454.60	1524.75	45.95%	53.17%	-20.73	2-5
2022-10-30	Denver Broncos	L 17-21	1433.87	1419.01	51.69%	47.42%	-19.02	2-6
2022-11-06	Las Vegas Raiders	W 27-20	1414.85	1441.95	52.13%	46.98%	+22.89	3-6
2022-11-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-27	1437.74	1654.95	17.94%	81.50%	-10.44	3-7
2022-11-27	Baltimore Ravens	W 28-27	1427.30	1617.38	29.93%	69.30%	+12.72	4-7
2022-12-04	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-40	1440.02	1436.02	43.69%	55.43%	-41.04	4-8
2022-12-11	@ Tennessee Titans	W 36-22	1398.98	1538.31	25.44%	73.86%	+50.70	5-8
2022-12-18	Dallas Cowboys	W 40-34	1449.68	1674.47	25.94%	73.35%	+32.97	6-8
2022-12-22	@ New York Jets	W 19-3	1482.65	1492.72	41.72%	57.42%	+42.21	7-8
2023-01-01	@ Houston Texans	W 31-3	1524.86	1317.43	71.37%	27.89%	+27.21	8-8
2023-01-07	Tennessee Titans	W 20-16	1552.07	1422.67	72.75%	26.54%	+9.78	9-8
2022-09-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 44-21	1550.65	1504.65	49.70%	49.41%	+43.62	1-0
2022-09-15	Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-24	1594.27	1509.43	67.42%	31.80%	+10.15	2-0
2022-09-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-20	1604.42	1473.45	61.68%	37.48%	-19.63	2-1
2022-10-02	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 41-31	1584.79	1607.17	40.01%	59.13%	+34.37	3-1
2022-10-10	Las Vegas Raiders	W 30-29	1619.16	1458.33	76.16%	23.18%	+4.27	4-1
2022-10-16	Buffalo Bills	L 20-24	1623.43	1662.23	50.45%	48.66%	-18.57	4-2
2022-10-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 44-23	1604.86	1541.96	52.13%	46.98%	+39.64	5-2
2022-11-06	Tennessee Titans	W 20-17	1644.50	1566.95	66.49%	32.71%	+10.45	6-2
2022-11-13	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-17	1654.95	1437.74	81.50%	17.94%	+10.44	7-2
2022-11-20	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 30-27	1665.39	1464.44	70.61%	28.64%	+9.15	8-2
2022-11-27	Los Angeles Rams	W 26-10	1674.54	1387.06	86.81%	12.76%	+9.38	9-2
2022-12-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1683.92	1590.35	56.50%	42.63%	-17.99	9-3
2022-12-11	@ Denver Broncos	W 34-28	1665.93	1367.62	80.73%	18.70%	+8.43	10-3
2022-12-18	@ Houston Texans	W 30-24	1674.36	1290.68	87.21%	12.37%	+5.57	11-3
2022-12-24	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-10	1679.93	1488.31	79.20%	20.19%	+13.91	12-3
2023-01-01	Denver Broncos	W 27-24	1693.84	1332.46	90.94%	8.74%	+2.78	13-3
2023-01-07	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 31-13	1696.62	1469.75	73.59%	25.71%	+20.10	14-3
2022-09-11	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 19-24	1481.33	1492.30	41.59%	57.54%	-17.14	0-1
2022-09-18	Arizona Cardinals	L 23-29	1464.19	1461.04	56.44%	42.69%	-25.42	0-2
2022-09-25	@ Tennessee Titans	L 22-24	1438.77	1474.97	38.12%	61.03%	-9.93	0-3
2022-10-02	Denver Broncos	W 32-23	1428.84	1501.02	45.66%	53.46%	+29.49	1-3
2022-10-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 29-30	1458.33	1619.16	23.18%	76.16%	-4.27	1-4
2022-10-23	Houston Texans	W 38-20	1454.06	1430.03	59.36%	39.78%	+31.11	2-4
2022-10-30	@ New Orleans Saints	L 0-24	1485.17	1451.59	47.91%	51.20%	-43.22	2-5
2022-11-06	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-27	1441.95	1414.85	46.98%	52.13%	-22.88	2-6
2022-11-13	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-25	1419.07	1437.81	53.33%	45.79%	-21.93	2-7
2022-11-20	@ Denver Broncos	W 22-16	1397.14	1424.48	39.33%	59.82%	+26.92	3-7
2022-11-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 40-34	1424.06	1556.51	26.20%	73.09%	+32.85	4-7
2022-12-04	Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-20	1456.91	1464.99	54.85%	44.27%	+21.58	5-7
2022-12-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 16-17	1478.49	1364.60	59.34%	39.80%	-10.91	5-8
2022-12-18	New England Patriots	W 30-24	1467.58	1548.59	44.40%	54.72%	+24.65	6-8
2022-12-24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-13	1492.23	1486.74	43.90%	55.22%	-14.01	6-9
2023-01-01	San Francisco 49ers	L 34-37	1478.22	1697.58	26.54%	72.74%	-8.47	6-10
2023-01-07	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-31	1469.75	1696.62	25.71%	73.59%	-20.11	6-11
2022-09-11	Las Vegas Raiders	W 24-19	1492.30	1481.33	57.54%	41.59%	+17.13	1-0
2022-09-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1509.43	1594.27	31.80%	67.42%	-10.15	1-1
2022-09-25	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-38	1499.28	1470.76	59.98%	39.17%	-58.32	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Houston Texans	W 34-24	1440.96	1426.98	45.11%	54.01%	+31.41	2-2
2022-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns	W 30-28	1472.37	1513.90	37.40%	61.76%	+16.04	3-2
2022-10-17	Denver Broncos	W 19-16	1488.41	1453.41	60.87%	38.28%	+12.22	4-2
2022-10-23	Seattle Seahawks	L 23-37	1500.63	1484.81	58.22%	40.92%	-40.03	4-3
2022-11-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1460.60	1496.60	38.15%	61.00%	+19.41	5-3
2022-11-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-22	1480.01	1543.69	34.48%	64.70%	-15.57	5-4
2022-11-20	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-30	1464.44	1665.39	28.64%	70.61%	-9.15	5-5
2022-11-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 25-24	1455.29	1432.45	46.37%	52.74%	+9.70	6-5
2022-12-04	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 20-27	1464.99	1456.91	44.27%	54.85%	-21.57	6-6
2022-12-11	Miami Dolphins	W 23-17	1443.42	1531.70	43.37%	55.75%	+25.11	7-6
2022-12-18	Tennessee Titans	W 17-14	1468.53	1487.61	53.28%	45.84%	+14.62	8-6
2022-12-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-3	1483.15	1397.23	55.42%	43.71%	+33.19	9-6
2023-01-01	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-10	1516.34	1407.88	70.31%	28.94%	+24.45	10-6
2023-01-08	@ Denver Broncos	L 28-31	1540.79	1329.68	71.80%	27.47%	-22.82	10-7
2022-09-08	Buffalo Bills	L 10-31	1535.18	1563.08	52.01%	47.10%	-43.85	0-1
2022-09-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-27	1491.33	1466.33	59.50%	39.65%	+14.62	1-1
2022-09-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-12	1505.95	1486.45	45.90%	53.22%	+27.68	2-1
2022-10-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 9-24	1533.63	1514.17	45.89%	53.22%	-32.73	2-2
2022-10-09	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-22	1500.90	1536.87	50.85%	48.26%	-32.41	2-3
2022-10-16	Carolina Panthers	W 24-10	1468.49	1404.06	64.80%	34.38%	+23.72	3-3
2022-10-30	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-31	1492.21	1502.32	54.56%	44.56%	-41.37	3-4
2022-11-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-16	1450.84	1495.42	36.99%	62.17%	-11.81	3-5
2022-11-13	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-27	1439.03	1435.52	56.49%	42.64%	-32.84	3-6
2022-11-20	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-27	1406.19	1434.30	39.22%	59.92%	-19.13	3-7
2022-11-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-26	1387.06	1674.54	12.76%	86.81%	-9.37	3-8
2022-12-04	Seattle Seahawks	L 23-27	1377.69	1523.66	35.48%	63.69%	-13.09	3-9
2022-12-08	Las Vegas Raiders	W 17-16	1364.60	1478.49	39.80%	59.34%	+10.91	4-9
2022-12-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 12-24	1375.51	1453.12	32.70%	66.50%	-20.89	4-10
2022-12-25	Denver Broncos	W 51-14	1354.62	1385.72	51.56%	47.56%	+53.26	5-10
2023-01-01	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-31	1407.88	1516.34	28.94%	70.31%	-24.45	5-11
2023-01-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-19	1383.43	1504.64	27.46%	71.81%	-8.77	5-12
2022-09-11	New England Patriots	W 20-7	1510.50	1511.33	55.88%	43.25%	+28.73	1-0
2022-09-18	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 42-38	1539.23	1556.95	40.65%	58.48%	+21.49	2-0
2022-09-25	Buffalo Bills	W 21-19	1560.72	1639.15	44.77%	54.35%	+14.14	3-0
2022-09-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 15-27	1574.86	1499.80	53.87%	45.25%	-34.32	3-1
2022-10-09	@ New York Jets	L 17-40	1540.54	1409.78	61.65%	37.51%	-54.32	3-2
2022-10-16	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-24	1486.22	1541.45	48.08%	51.03%	-25.04	3-3
2022-10-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-10	1461.18	1443.77	58.44%	40.69%	+18.37	4-3
2022-10-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-27	1479.55	1373.62	58.24%	40.90%	+15.08	5-3
2022-11-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 35-32	1494.63	1452.03	49.21%	49.90%	+15.90	6-3
2022-11-13	Cleveland Browns	W 39-17	1510.53	1488.67	59.06%	40.08%	+34.65	7-3
2022-11-27	Houston Texans	W 30-15	1545.18	1329.77	81.35%	18.09%	+12.89	8-3
2022-12-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-33	1558.07	1611.91	35.77%	63.41%	-26.37	8-4
2022-12-11	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 17-23	1531.70	1443.42	55.75%	43.37%	-25.11	8-5
2022-12-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 29-32	1506.59	1708.13	19.30%	80.12%	-6.15	8-6
2022-12-25	Green Bay Packers	L 20-26	1500.44	1474.00	59.69%	39.45%	-26.87	8-7
2023-01-01	@ New England Patriots	L 21-23	1473.57	1509.84	38.11%	61.04%	-9.94	8-8
2023-01-08	New York Jets	W 11-6	1463.63	1420.27	62.00%	37.16%	+15.32	9-8
2022-09-11	Green Bay Packers	W 23-7	1495.23	1540.78	49.48%	49.63%	+36.54	1-0
2022-09-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-24	1531.77	1499.20	47.77%	51.34%	-36.26	1-1
2022-09-25	Detroit Lions	W 28-24	1495.51	1462.23	60.63%	38.52%	+14.20	2-1
2022-10-02	@ New Orleans Saints	W 28-25	1509.71	1488.30	52.63%	46.48%	+14.82	3-1
2022-10-09	Chicago Bears	W 29-22	1524.53	1462.48	64.49%	34.69%	+16.92	4-1
2022-10-16	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-16	1541.45	1486.22	51.03%	48.08%	+25.04	5-1
2022-10-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-26	1566.49	1476.36	68.08%	31.14%	+16.24	6-1
2022-11-06	@ Washington Commanders	W 20-17	1582.73	1446.71	62.36%	36.80%	+11.75	7-1
2022-11-13	@ Buffalo Bills	W 33-30	1594.48	1670.18	32.94%	66.26%	+21.07	8-1
2022-11-20	Dallas Cowboys	L 3-40	1615.55	1571.76	62.06%	37.10%	-69.35	8-2
2022-11-24	New England Patriots	W 33-26	1546.20	1568.54	52.81%	46.30%	+22.56	9-2
2022-12-04	New York Jets	W 27-22	1568.76	1537.80	60.31%	38.83%	+16.00	10-2
2022-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-34	1584.76	1477.06	58.48%	40.65%	-35.64	10-3
2022-12-17	Indianapolis Colts	W 39-36	1549.12	1405.20	74.36%	24.95%	+7.96	11-3
2022-12-24	New York Giants	W 27-24	1557.08	1473.57	67.25%	31.96%	+10.21	12-3
2023-01-01	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-41	1567.29	1500.87	52.63%	46.48%	-47.43	12-4
2023-01-08	@ Chicago Bears	W 29-13	1519.86	1315.33	71.03%	28.23%	+20.81	13-4
2022-09-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-20	1511.33	1510.50	43.25%	55.88%	-28.72	0-1
2022-09-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-14	1482.61	1520.55	37.89%	61.27%	+19.50	1-1
2022-09-25	Baltimore Ravens	L 26-37	1502.11	1535.45	51.23%	47.88%	-31.27	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-27	1470.84	1555.01	31.88%	67.33%	-10.18	1-3
2022-10-09	Detroit Lions	W 29-0	1460.66	1430.84	60.16%	38.99%	+38.70	2-3
2022-10-16	@ Cleveland Browns	W 38-15	1499.36	1497.85	43.34%	55.78%	+49.18	3-3
2022-10-24	Chicago Bears	L 14-33	1548.54	1419.73	72.68%	26.60%	-58.13	3-4
2022-10-30	@ New York Jets	W 22-17	1490.41	1536.46	36.80%	62.37%	+25.62	4-4
2022-11-06	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-3	1516.03	1470.39	62.31%	36.85%	+32.58	5-4
2022-11-20	New York Jets	W 10-3	1548.61	1532.53	58.26%	40.88%	+19.93	6-4
2022-11-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 26-33	1568.54	1546.20	46.30%	52.81%	-22.56	6-5
2022-12-01	Buffalo Bills	L 10-24	1545.98	1670.32	38.37%	60.78%	-26.46	6-6
2022-12-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-13	1519.52	1422.75	56.95%	42.18%	+29.07	7-6
2022-12-18	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 24-30	1548.59	1467.58	54.72%	44.40%	-24.64	7-7
2022-12-24	Cincinnati Bengals	L 18-22	1523.95	1648.95	38.28%	60.87%	-14.11	7-8
2023-01-01	Miami Dolphins	W 23-21	1509.84	1473.57	61.04%	38.11%	+9.93	8-8
2023-01-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 23-35	1519.77	1726.14	18.87%	80.55%	-12.03	8-9
2022-09-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-26	1535.53	1475.04	51.78%	47.33%	+8.71	1-0
2022-09-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-20	1544.24	1596.52	48.51%	50.60%	-28.24	1-1
2022-09-25	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-22	1516.00	1445.19	53.26%	45.85%	-27.70	1-2
2022-10-02	Minnesota Vikings	L 25-28	1488.30	1509.71	46.48%	52.63%	-14.83	1-3
2022-10-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 39-32	1473.47	1479.38	55.16%	43.96%	+21.43	2-3
2022-10-16	Cincinnati Bengals	L 26-30	1494.90	1523.51	51.91%	47.20%	-19.10	2-4
2022-10-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 34-42	1475.80	1452.15	46.49%	52.63%	-24.21	2-5
2022-10-30	Las Vegas Raiders	W 24-0	1451.59	1485.17	51.20%	47.91%	+43.21	3-5
2022-11-07	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-27	1494.80	1573.94	44.67%	54.45%	-30.78	3-6
2022-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-20	1464.02	1408.50	51.07%	48.04%	-29.72	3-7
2022-11-20	Los Angeles Rams	W 27-20	1434.30	1406.19	59.92%	39.22%	+19.13	4-7
2022-11-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-13	1453.43	1595.17	25.18%	74.12%	-16.74	4-8
2022-12-05	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-17	1436.69	1506.65	33.67%	65.52%	-6.20	4-9
2022-12-18	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-18	1430.49	1424.46	56.85%	42.28%	+13.49	5-9
2022-12-24	@ Cleveland Browns	W 17-10	1443.98	1508.38	34.39%	64.80%	+31.48	6-9
2023-01-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1475.46	1668.24	20.09%	79.31%	+45.99	7-9
2023-01-08	Carolina Panthers	L 7-10	1521.45	1462.31	64.11%	35.07%	-20.40	7-10
2022-09-11	@ Tennessee Titans	W 21-20	1457.75	1519.02	34.79%	64.39%	+11.83	1-0
2022-09-18	Carolina Panthers	W 19-16	1469.58	1458.46	57.56%	41.57%	+13.26	2-0
2022-09-26	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-23	1482.84	1486.73	55.44%	43.68%	-26.97	2-1
2022-10-02	Chicago Bears	W 20-12	1455.87	1487.26	51.51%	47.60%	+24.79	3-1
2022-10-09	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-22	1480.66	1565.19	37.67%	61.49%	+25.26	4-1
2022-10-16	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-20	1505.92	1562.12	47.94%	51.17%	+18.83	5-1
2022-10-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1524.75	1454.60	53.17%	45.95%	+20.72	6-1
2022-10-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-27	1545.47	1524.85	46.06%	53.06%	-31.73	6-2
2022-11-13	Houston Texans	W 24-16	1513.74	1367.66	74.59%	24.72%	+12.88	7-2
2022-11-20	Detroit Lions	L 18-31	1526.62	1396.38	72.84%	26.44%	-48.19	7-3
2022-11-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-28	1478.43	1641.11	22.99%	76.35%	-11.98	7-4
2022-12-04	Washington Commanders	T 20-20	1466.45	1525.96	47.47%	51.64%	+0.19	7-4
2022-12-11	Philadelphia Eagles	L 22-48	1466.64	1655.85	30.04%	69.20%	-28.24	7-5
2022-12-18	@ Washington Commanders	W 20-12	1438.40	1525.77	31.48%	67.73%	+35.17	8-5
2022-12-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1473.57	1557.08	31.96%	67.25%	-10.20	8-6
2023-01-01	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-10	1463.37	1364.04	69.21%	30.02%	+29.29	9-6
2023-01-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-22	1492.66	1622.26	26.51%	72.77%	-11.97	9-7
2022-09-11	Baltimore Ravens	L 9-24	1438.36	1525.93	43.47%	55.65%	-31.01	0-1
2022-09-18	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-30	1407.35	1515.74	28.94%	70.30%	+12.90	1-1
2022-09-25	Cincinnati Bengals	L 12-27	1420.25	1464.39	49.68%	49.43%	-35.41	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-20	1384.84	1473.69	31.30%	67.92%	+24.94	2-2
2022-10-09	Miami Dolphins	W 40-17	1409.78	1540.54	37.51%	61.65%	+54.32	3-2
2022-10-16	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-10	1464.10	1539.93	32.92%	66.28%	+50.18	4-2
2022-10-23	@ Denver Broncos	W 16-9	1514.28	1441.19	53.59%	45.53%	+22.18	5-2
2022-10-30	New England Patriots	L 17-22	1536.46	1490.41	62.37%	36.80%	-25.62	5-3
2022-11-06	Buffalo Bills	W 20-17	1510.84	1691.86	31.03%	68.19%	+21.69	6-3
2022-11-20	@ New England Patriots	L 3-10	1532.53	1548.61	40.88%	58.26%	-19.93	6-4
2022-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 31-10	1512.60	1411.71	69.40%	29.84%	+25.20	7-4
2022-12-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 22-27	1537.80	1568.76	38.83%	60.31%	-16.00	7-5
2022-12-11	@ Buffalo Bills	L 12-20	1521.80	1696.78	21.77%	77.59%	-11.35	7-6
2022-12-18	Detroit Lions	L 17-20	1510.45	1512.71	55.68%	43.45%	-17.73	7-7
2022-12-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-19	1492.72	1482.65	57.42%	41.72%	-42.21	7-8
2023-01-01	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-23	1450.51	1474.39	39.80%	59.34%	-30.24	7-9
2023-01-08	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-11	1420.27	1463.63	37.16%	62.00%	-15.32	7-10
2022-09-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 38-35	1482.87	1449.74	47.85%	51.26%	+16.33	1-0
2022-09-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-7	1499.20	1531.77	51.34%	47.77%	+36.26	2-0
2022-09-25	@ Washington Commanders	W 24-8	1535.46	1468.26	52.75%	46.37%	+34.15	3-0
2022-10-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 29-21	1569.61	1529.08	61.62%	37.54%	+19.57	4-0
2022-10-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1589.18	1492.47	56.94%	42.19%	+13.47	5-0
2022-10-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-17	1602.65	1569.29	60.64%	38.51%	+21.29	6-0
2022-10-30	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-13	1623.94	1425.40	79.84%	19.56%	+16.90	7-0
2022-11-03	@ Houston Texans	W 29-17	1640.84	1381.94	76.98%	22.37%	+14.27	8-0
2022-11-14	Washington Commanders	L 21-32	1655.11	1434.96	81.76%	17.69%	-49.69	8-1
2022-11-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 17-16	1605.42	1459.74	63.65%	35.52%	+6.55	9-1
2022-11-27	Green Bay Packers	W 40-33	1611.97	1435.82	77.71%	21.66%	+10.55	10-1
2022-12-04	Tennessee Titans	W 35-10	1622.52	1571.63	63.01%	36.15%	+33.33	11-1
2022-12-11	@ New York Giants	W 48-22	1655.85	1466.64	69.20%	30.04%	+28.24	12-1
2022-12-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 25-20	1684.09	1358.65	83.02%	16.45%	+6.77	13-1
2022-12-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 34-40	1690.86	1641.50	50.18%	48.93%	-22.62	13-2
2023-01-01	New Orleans Saints	L 10-20	1668.24	1475.46	79.31%	20.09%	-45.98	13-3
2023-01-08	New York Giants	W 22-16	1622.26	1492.66	72.77%	26.51%	+11.97	14-3
2022-09-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1503.04	1495.92	44.14%	54.99%	+17.51	1-0
2022-09-18	New England Patriots	L 14-17	1520.55	1482.61	61.27%	37.89%	-19.50	1-1
2022-09-22	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-29	1501.05	1502.84	42.88%	56.25%	-27.36	1-2
2022-10-02	New York Jets	L 20-24	1473.69	1384.84	67.92%	31.30%	-24.94	1-3
2022-10-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-38	1448.75	1640.21	20.21%	79.19%	-22.02	1-4
2022-10-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-18	1426.73	1587.29	33.59%	65.60%	+17.04	2-4
2022-10-23	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-16	1443.77	1461.18	40.69%	58.44%	-18.37	2-5
2022-10-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-35	1425.40	1623.94	19.56%	79.84%	-16.90	2-6
2022-11-13	New Orleans Saints	W 20-10	1408.50	1464.02	48.04%	51.07%	+29.71	3-6
2022-11-20	Cincinnati Bengals	L 30-37	1438.21	1548.86	40.25%	58.89%	-19.62	3-7
2022-11-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-17	1418.59	1453.19	38.34%	60.81%	+29.56	4-7
2022-12-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 19-16	1448.15	1442.01	44.00%	55.12%	+17.56	5-7
2022-12-11	Baltimore Ravens	L 14-16	1465.71	1607.71	36.01%	63.16%	-9.39	5-8
2022-12-18	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-16	1456.32	1474.27	40.62%	58.52%	+30.42	6-8
2022-12-24	Las Vegas Raiders	W 13-10	1486.74	1492.23	55.22%	43.90%	+14.01	7-8
2023-01-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 16-13	1500.75	1591.77	31.03%	68.19%	+21.68	8-8
2023-01-08	Cleveland Browns	W 28-14	1522.43	1515.26	57.01%	42.12%	+29.04	9-8
2022-09-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-19	1508.27	1482.42	46.81%	52.31%	-25.85	0-1
2022-09-18	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-7	1482.42	1524.93	49.91%	49.20%	+40.49	1-1
2022-09-25	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-11	1522.91	1492.27	47.49%	51.62%	-8.74	1-2
2022-10-03	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-9	1514.17	1533.63	53.22%	45.89%	+32.73	2-2
2022-10-09	@ Carolina Panthers	W 37-15	1546.90	1439.20	58.48%	40.66%	+35.14	3-2
2022-10-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-28	1582.04	1475.78	58.28%	40.86%	-40.08	3-3
2022-10-23	Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-44	1541.96	1604.86	46.98%	52.13%	-39.64	3-4
2022-10-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 31-14	1502.32	1492.21	44.56%	54.56%	+41.37	4-4
2022-11-13	Los Angeles Chargers	W 22-16	1543.69	1480.01	64.70%	34.48%	+15.57	5-4
2022-11-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-10	1559.26	1468.36	62.34%	36.82%	+35.91	6-4
2022-11-27	New Orleans Saints	W 13-0	1595.17	1453.43	74.12%	25.18%	+16.74	7-4
2022-12-04	Miami Dolphins	W 33-17	1611.91	1558.07	63.41%	35.77%	+26.37	8-4
2022-12-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-7	1638.28	1512.86	72.29%	26.98%	+26.32	9-4
2022-12-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 21-13	1664.60	1505.96	65.35%	33.84%	+17.64	10-4
2022-12-24	Washington Commanders	W 37-20	1682.24	1490.59	79.20%	20.19%	+15.34	11-4
2023-01-01	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 37-34	1697.58	1478.22	72.74%	26.54%	+8.47	12-4
2023-01-08	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-13	1706.05	1346.91	90.83%	8.84%	+8.11	13-4
2022-09-12	Denver Broncos	W 17-16	1517.97	1479.08	61.40%	37.76%	+6.96	1-0
2022-09-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-27	1524.93	1482.42	49.20%	49.91%	-40.49	1-1
2022-09-25	Atlanta Falcons	L 23-27	1484.44	1451.71	60.56%	38.59%	-22.26	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Detroit Lions	W 48-45	1462.18	1448.03	45.13%	53.98%	+17.20	2-2
2022-10-09	@ New Orleans Saints	L 32-39	1479.38	1473.47	43.96%	55.16%	-21.43	2-3
2022-10-16	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-9	1457.95	1479.01	53.00%	46.12%	+26.86	3-3
2022-10-23	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 37-23	1484.81	1500.63	40.92%	58.22%	+40.04	4-3
2022-10-30	New York Giants	W 27-13	1524.85	1545.47	53.06%	46.06%	+31.73	5-3
2022-11-06	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-21	1556.58	1460.12	56.91%	42.22%	+24.60	6-3
2022-11-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-21	1581.18	1507.23	60.04%	39.11%	-24.67	6-4
2022-11-27	Las Vegas Raiders	L 34-40	1556.51	1424.06	73.09%	26.20%	-32.85	6-5
2022-12-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-23	1523.66	1377.69	63.69%	35.48%	+13.08	7-5
2022-12-11	Carolina Panthers	L 24-30	1536.74	1443.48	68.47%	30.76%	-30.78	7-6
2022-12-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-21	1505.96	1664.60	33.84%	65.35%	-17.65	7-7
2022-12-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1488.31	1679.93	20.19%	79.20%	-13.92	7-8
2023-01-01	New York Jets	W 23-6	1474.39	1450.51	59.34%	39.80%	+30.25	8-8
2023-01-08	Los Angeles Rams	W 19-16	1504.64	1383.43	71.81%	27.46%	+8.76	9-8
2022-09-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 19-3	1560.81	1508.42	50.62%	48.49%	+35.71	1-0
2022-09-18	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-10	1596.52	1544.24	50.60%	48.51%	+28.23	2-0
2022-09-25	Green Bay Packers	L 12-14	1624.75	1537.43	67.73%	31.49%	-17.58	2-1
2022-10-02	Kansas City Chiefs	L 31-41	1607.17	1584.79	59.13%	40.01%	-34.37	2-2
2022-10-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 21-15	1572.80	1490.27	67.13%	32.08%	+14.49	3-2
2022-10-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 18-20	1587.29	1426.73	65.60%	33.59%	-17.03	3-3
2022-10-23	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-21	1570.26	1380.34	69.28%	29.95%	-53.96	3-4
2022-10-27	Baltimore Ravens	L 22-27	1516.30	1553.07	50.74%	48.37%	-20.88	3-5
2022-11-06	Los Angeles Rams	W 16-13	1495.42	1450.84	62.17%	36.99%	+11.81	4-5
2022-11-13	Seattle Seahawks	W 21-16	1507.23	1581.18	39.11%	60.04%	+24.67	5-5
2022-11-27	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-23	1531.90	1441.36	56.07%	43.05%	-25.25	5-6
2022-12-05	New Orleans Saints	W 17-16	1506.65	1436.69	65.52%	33.67%	+6.21	6-6
2022-12-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-35	1512.86	1638.28	26.98%	72.29%	-26.32	6-7
2022-12-18	Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-34	1486.54	1626.80	36.24%	62.93%	-22.16	6-8
2022-12-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 19-16	1464.38	1367.14	57.02%	42.11%	+13.44	7-8
2023-01-01	Carolina Panthers	W 30-24	1477.82	1482.04	55.40%	43.72%	+19.73	8-8
2023-01-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-30	1497.55	1406.11	56.20%	42.93%	-12.42	8-9
2022-09-11	New York Giants	L 20-21	1519.02	1457.75	64.39%	34.79%	-11.83	0-1
2022-09-19	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-41	1507.19	1606.93	29.97%	69.26%	-32.22	0-2
2022-09-25	Las Vegas Raiders	W 24-22	1474.97	1438.77	61.03%	38.12%	+9.93	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-17	1484.90	1493.08	41.98%	57.15%	+27.80	2-2
2022-10-09	@ Washington Commanders	W 21-17	1512.70	1410.93	57.65%	41.48%	+15.28	3-2
2022-10-23	Indianapolis Colts	W 19-10	1527.98	1503.85	59.38%	39.77%	+21.99	4-2
2022-10-30	@ Houston Texans	W 17-10	1549.97	1398.93	64.36%	34.82%	+16.98	5-2
2022-11-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1566.95	1644.50	32.71%	66.49%	-10.44	5-3
2022-11-13	Denver Broncos	W 17-10	1556.51	1438.03	71.49%	27.77%	+13.55	6-3
2022-11-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-17	1570.06	1459.27	58.91%	40.23%	+23.44	7-3
2022-11-27	Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-20	1593.50	1568.48	59.50%	39.65%	-21.87	7-4
2022-12-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-35	1571.63	1622.52	36.15%	63.01%	-33.32	7-5
2022-12-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 22-36	1538.31	1398.98	73.86%	25.44%	-50.70	7-6
2022-12-18	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 14-17	1487.61	1468.53	45.84%	53.28%	-14.62	7-7
2022-12-24	Houston Texans	L 14-19	1472.99	1285.11	78.85%	20.54%	-32.33	7-8
2022-12-29	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-27	1440.66	1664.12	26.09%	73.20%	-17.99	7-9
2023-01-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-20	1422.67	1552.07	26.54%	72.75%	-9.78	7-10
2022-09-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-22	1480.45	1434.69	62.33%	36.84%	+16.64	1-0
2022-09-18	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-36	1497.09	1433.40	52.24%	46.87%	-28.83	1-1
2022-09-25	Philadelphia Eagles	L 8-24	1468.26	1535.46	46.37%	52.75%	-34.16	1-2
2022-10-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-25	1434.10	1513.70	32.45%	66.76%	-23.17	1-3
2022-10-09	Tennessee Titans	L 17-21	1410.93	1512.70	41.48%	57.65%	-15.28	1-4
2022-10-13	@ Chicago Bears	W 12-7	1395.65	1445.56	36.28%	62.88%	+25.83	2-4
2022-10-23	Green Bay Packers	W 23-21	1421.48	1489.76	46.21%	52.90%	+13.76	3-4
2022-10-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 17-16	1435.24	1481.86	36.72%	62.44%	+11.47	4-4
2022-11-06	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-20	1446.71	1582.73	36.80%	62.36%	-11.75	4-5
2022-11-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 32-21	1434.96	1655.11	17.69%	81.76%	+49.69	5-5
2022-11-20	@ Houston Texans	W 23-10	1484.65	1354.78	61.53%	37.63%	+25.01	6-5
2022-11-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 19-13	1509.66	1458.31	63.07%	36.09%	+16.30	7-5
2022-12-04	@ New York Giants	T 20-20	1525.96	1466.45	51.64%	47.47%	-0.19	7-5
2022-12-18	New York Giants	L 12-20	1525.77	1438.40	67.73%	31.48%	-35.18	7-6
2022-12-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-37	1490.59	1682.24	20.19%	79.20%	-15.33	7-7
2023-01-01	Cleveland Browns	L 10-24	1475.26	1476.90	55.76%	43.36%	-38.36	7-8
2023-01-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-6	1436.90	1682.11	23.76%	75.57%	+61.99	8-8

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2023-01-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-24	1551.25	1681.90	26.68%	73.32%	-12.87	0-1
2023-01-15	Miami Dolphins	W 34-31	1738.17	1478.95	85.21%	14.79%	+4.67	1-0
2023-01-22	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-27	1742.84	1694.77	63.08%	36.92%	-47.44	1-1
2023-01-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-17	1681.90	1551.25	73.32%	26.68%	+12.87	1-0
2023-01-22	@ Buffalo Bills	W 27-10	1694.77	1742.84	36.92%	63.08%	+47.44	2-0
2023-01-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-23	1742.21	1728.68	45.48%	54.52%	-14.37	2-1
2023-01-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-14	1620.12	1485.13	62.67%	37.33%	+28.07	1-0
2023-01-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 12-19	1648.19	1729.29	32.61%	67.39%	-15.73	1-1
2023-01-14	Los Angeles Chargers	W 31-30	1561.85	1517.97	62.52%	37.48%	+6.84	1-0
2023-01-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1568.69	1716.72	24.76%	75.24%	-11.95	1-1
2023-01-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-20	1716.72	1568.69	75.24%	24.76%	+11.96	1-0
2023-01-29	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1728.68	1742.21	54.52%	45.48%	+14.37	2-0
2023-02-12	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-35	1743.05	1711.79	54.49%	45.51%	+14.37	3-0
2023-01-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 30-31	1517.97	1561.85	37.48%	62.52%	-6.84	0-1
2023-01-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 31-34	1478.95	1738.17	14.79%	85.21%	-4.67	0-1
2023-01-15	New York Giants	L 24-31	1540.67	1480.69	64.67%	35.33%	-31.20	0-1
2023-01-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-24	1480.69	1540.67	35.33%	64.67%	+31.20	1-0
2023-01-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-38	1511.89	1634.23	27.62%	72.38%	-28.05	1-1
2023-01-21	New York Giants	W 38-7	1634.23	1511.89	72.38%	27.62%	+28.05	1-0
2023-01-29	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-7	1662.28	1745.03	44.59%	55.41%	+49.51	2-0
2023-02-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 35-38	1711.79	1743.05	45.51%	54.49%	-14.38	2-1
2023-01-14	Seattle Seahawks	W 41-23	1714.16	1513.40	80.45%	19.55%	+15.13	1-0
2023-01-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-12	1729.29	1648.19	67.39%	32.61%	+15.74	2-0
2023-01-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-31	1745.03	1662.28	55.41%	44.59%	-49.52	2-1
2023-01-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 23-41	1513.40	1714.16	19.55%	80.45%	-15.12	0-1
2023-01-16	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-31	1485.13	1620.12	37.33%	62.67%	-28.07	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-11-14	17.69%	Washington Commanders	1434.96	32	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1655.11	21
2	2023-01-01	20.09%	New Orleans Saints	1475.46	20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1668.24	10
3	2022-12-24	20.54%	Houston Texans	1285.11	19	@ Tennessee Titans	1472.99	14
4	2023-01-08	23.76%	@ Washington Commanders	1436.90	26	Dallas Cowboys	1682.11	6
5	2022-12-11	25.44%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1398.98	36	@ Tennessee Titans	1538.31	22
6	2022-12-18	25.94%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1449.68	40	Dallas Cowboys	1674.47	34
7	2022-11-27	26.20%	Las Vegas Raiders	1424.06	40	@ Seattle Seahawks	1556.51	34
8	2022-11-20	26.44%	Detroit Lions	1396.38	31	@ New York Giants	1526.62	18
9	2022-10-24	26.60%	Chicago Bears	1419.73	33	@ New England Patriots	1548.54	14
10	2023-01-08	27.47%	@ Denver Broncos	1329.68	31	Los Angeles Chargers	1540.79	28
11	2022-10-09	28.30%	Houston Texans	1395.57	13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1509.51	6
12	2022-09-18	28.94%	New York Jets	1407.35	31	@ Cleveland Browns	1515.74	30
13	2022-11-27	29.93%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1427.30	28	Baltimore Ravens	1617.38	27
14	2022-10-23	29.95%	@ Carolina Panthers	1380.34	21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1570.26	3
15	2022-12-11	30.76%	Carolina Panthers	1443.48	30	@ Seattle Seahawks	1536.74	24
16	2022-11-06	31.03%	@ New York Jets	1510.84	20	Buffalo Bills	1691.86	17
17	2023-01-01	31.03%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1500.75	16	@ Baltimore Ravens	1591.77	13
18	2022-10-02	31.30%	New York Jets	1384.84	24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1473.69	20
19	2022-12-18	31.48%	New York Giants	1438.40	20	@ Washington Commanders	1525.77	12
20	2022-09-25	31.49%	Green Bay Packers	1537.43	14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1624.75	12
21	2022-10-16	32.92%	New York Jets	1464.10	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1539.93	10
22	2022-11-13	32.94%	Minnesota Vikings	1594.48	33	@ Buffalo Bills	1670.18	30
23	2022-10-16	33.59%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1426.73	20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1587.29	18
24	2022-12-24	34.39%	New Orleans Saints	1443.98	17	@ Cleveland Browns	1508.38	10
25	2022-11-13	34.48%	@ Green Bay Packers	1438.68	31	Dallas Cowboys	1592.34	28

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2022-11-20	69.35	Dallas Cowboys	40	1571.76	37.10%	@ Minnesota Vikings	3	1615.55	62.06%
2	2023-01-08	61.99	@ Washington Commanders	26	1436.90	23.76%	Dallas Cowboys	6	1682.11	75.57%
3	2022-09-25	58.32	Jacksonville Jaguars	38	1470.76	39.17%	@ Los Angeles Chargers	10	1499.28	59.98%
4	2022-10-24	58.13	Chicago Bears	33	1419.73	26.60%	@ New England Patriots	14	1548.54	72.68%
5	2022-10-09	54.32	@ New York Jets	40	1409.78	37.51%	Miami Dolphins	17	1540.54	61.65%
6	2022-10-23	53.96	@ Carolina Panthers	21	1380.34	29.95%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1570.26	69.28%
7	2022-12-25	53.26	@ Los Angeles Rams	51	1354.62	51.56%	Denver Broncos	14	1385.72	47.56%
8	2022-09-18	52.71	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	24	1418.05	40.60%	Indianapolis Colts	0	1526.15	58.54%
9	2022-12-11	50.70	Jacksonville Jaguars	36	1398.98	25.44%	@ Tennessee Titans	22	1538.31	73.86%
10	2022-10-16	50.18	New York Jets	27	1464.10	32.92%	@ Green Bay Packers	10	1539.93	66.28%
11	2022-10-31	49.78	@ Cleveland Browns	32	1438.90	37.00%	Cincinnati Bengals	13	1573.43	62.16%
12	2022-11-14	49.69	Washington Commanders	32	1434.96	17.69%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	21	1655.11	81.76%
13	2023-01-29 *	49.52	@ Philadelphia Eagles	31	1662.28	44.59%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1745.03	55.41%
14	2022-10-16	49.18	New England Patriots	38	1499.36	43.34%	@ Cleveland Browns	15	1497.85	55.78%
15	2022-11-20	48.19	Detroit Lions	31	1396.38	26.44%	@ New York Giants	18	1526.62	72.84%
16	2023-01-22 *	47.44	Cincinnati Bengals	27	1694.77	36.92%	@ Buffalo Bills	10	1742.84	63.08%
17	2023-01-01	47.43	@ Green Bay Packers	41	1500.87	46.48%	Minnesota Vikings	17	1567.29	52.63%
18	2023-01-01	45.99	New Orleans Saints	20	1475.46	20.09%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	10	1668.24	79.31%
19	2022-09-08	43.85	Buffalo Bills	31	1563.08	47.10%	@ Los Angeles Rams	10	1535.18	52.01%
20	2022-09-11	43.62	Kansas City Chiefs	44	1550.65	49.70%	@ Arizona Cardinals	21	1504.65	49.41%
21	2022-10-30	43.22	@ New Orleans Saints	24	1451.59	51.20%	Las Vegas Raiders	0	1485.17	47.91%
22	2022-12-22	42.21	Jacksonville Jaguars	19	1482.65	41.72%	@ New York Jets	3	1492.72	57.42%
23	2022-10-30	41.37	San Francisco 49ers	31	1502.32	44.56%	@ Los Angeles Rams	14	1492.21	54.56%
24	2022-12-04	41.04	@ Detroit Lions	40	1436.02	55.43%	Jacksonville Jaguars	14	1440.02	43.69%
25	2022-09-18	40.49	@ San Francisco 49ers	27	1482.42	49.91%	Seattle Seahawks	7	1524.93	49.20%