2021 NFL Season

272 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Los Angeles Rams

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1999

Runner-Up

Cincinnati Bengals

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1988

Biggest Overachiever

Dallas Cowboys

3.59 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.41 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

New York Giants

2.77 wins below expected

4 wins · 6.77 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Buffalo Bills Division	11	6	.647	-	483	289	+194	11.30	-0.30
2	New England Patriots Playoffs	10	7	.588	1	462	303	+159	8.63	+1.37
3	Miami Dolphins	9	8	.529	2	341	373	-32	8.82	+0.18
4	New York Jets	4	13	.235	7	310	504	-194	5.30	-1.30

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	10	7	0	.588	-	460	376	+84	7.47	+2.53
2	Pittsburgh Steelers Playoffs	9	7	1	.559	0.5	343	398	-55	8.65	+0.85
3	Cleveland Browns	8	9	0	.471	2	349	371	-22	8.88	-0.88
4	Baltimore Ravens	8	9	0	.471	2	387	392	-5	10.44	-2.44

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tennessee Titans Division	12	5	.706	-	419	354	+65	9.48	+2.52
2	Indianapolis Colts	9	8	.529	3	451	365	+86	9.71	-0.71
3	Houston Texans	4	13	.235	8	280	452	-172	6.50	-2.50
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	3	14	.176	9	253	457	-204	5.18	-2.18

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	12	5	.706	-	480	364	+116	11.02	+0.98
2	Las Vegas Raiders Playoffs	10	7	.588	2	374	439	-65	7.65	+2.35
3	Los Angeles Chargers	9	8	.529	3	474	459	+15	8.22	+0.78
4	Denver Broncos	7	10	.412	5	335	322	+13	7.94	-0.94

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	12	5	.706	-	530	358	+172	8.41	+3.59
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	9	8	.529	3	444	385	+59	7.49	+1.51
3	Washington Football Team	7	10	.412	5	335	434	-99	7.51	-0.51
4	New York Giants	4	13	.235	8	258	416	-158	6.77	-2.77

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	4	0	.765	-	450	371	+79	11.05	+1.95
2	Minnesota Vikings	8	9	0	.471	5	425	426	-1	8.03	-0.03
3	Chicago Bears	6	11	0	.353	7	311	407	-96	7.67	-1.67
4	Detroit Lions	3	13	1	.206	9.5	325	467	-142	5.33	-1.83

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Division	13	4	.765	-	511	353	+158	12.12	+0.88
2	New Orleans Saints	9	8	.529	4	364	335	+29	10.47	-1.47
3	Atlanta Falcons	7	10	.412	6	313	459	-146	7.80	-0.80
4	Carolina Panthers	5	12	.294	8	304	404	-100	7.26	-2.26

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	12	5	.706	-	460	372	+88	10.06	+1.94
2	Arizona Cardinals Playoffs	11	6	.647	1	449	366	+83	9.15	+1.85
3	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	10	7	.588	2	427	365	+62	8.33	+1.67
4	Seattle Seahawks	7	10	.412	5	395	366	+29	9.38	-2.38

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Cincinnati Bengals 26

Las Vegas Raiders 19

Jan 15

Buffalo Bills 47

New England Patriots 17

Jan 15

Kansas City Chiefs 42

Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Jan 16

Divisional Round

Cincinnati Bengals 19

Tennessee Titans 16

Jan 22

Kansas City Chiefs 42

Buffalo Bills 36

Jan 23

Conference Championship

Cincinnati Bengals 27

Kansas City Chiefs 24

Jan 30

NFC

Wild Card Round

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31

Philadelphia Eagles 15

Jan 16

San Francisco 49ers 23

Dallas Cowboys 17

Jan 16

Los Angeles Rams 34

Arizona Cardinals 11

Jan 17

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 13

Green Bay Packers 10

Jan 22

Los Angeles Rams 30

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27

Jan 23

Conference Championship

Los Angeles Rams 20

San Francisco 49ers 17

Jan 30

Super Bowl

Los Angeles Rams 23

Cincinnati Bengals 20

Feb 13

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1666	13	12.12	+0.88	77.52%	4	9	11	12	13	15	17
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1635	11	11.30	-0.30	53.97%	2	8	10	11	13	14	17
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1631	13	11.05	+1.95	90.30%	2	8	10	11	12	14	17
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1629	12	11.02	+0.98	78.05%	2	8	10	11	12	14	17
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1586	9	10.47	-1.47	31.36%	2	7	9	10	12	14	17
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1580	12	10.06	+1.94	89.95%	2	7	9	10	11	13	17
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1562	8	10.44	-2.44	16.82%	2	7	9	10	12	14	17
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1559	12	9.48	+2.52	94.11%	1	6	8	9	11	13	17
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1559	9	9.71	-0.71	46.17%	1	6	8	10	11	13	17
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1538	7	9.38	-2.38	18.01%	1	6	8	9	11	13	17
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1532	10	8.63	+1.37	83.13%	0	5	7	9	10	12	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1529	9	8.82	+0.18	63.98%	0	6	7	9	10	12	17
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1526	12	8.41	+3.59	98.08%	0	5	7	8	10	12	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1520	11	9.15	+1.85	88.28%	1	6	8	9	10	12	17
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1516	9.5	8.65	+0.85	66.89%	0	5	7	9	10	12	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1513	10	8.33	+1.67	86.22%	1	5	7	8	10	12	17
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1506	8	8.88	-0.88	43.35%	1	6	7	9	10	12	17
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1488	8	8.03	-0.03	60.02%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1481	9	8.22	+0.78	74.42%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1477	10	7.47	+2.53	93.74%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1468	10	7.65	+2.35	92.49%	0	4	6	8	9	11	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1459	9	7.49	+1.51	84.67%	0	4	6	7	9	11	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1456	6	7.67	-1.67	28.74%	0	4	6	8	9	11	15
Washington Football Team	NFC	NFC East	1454	7	7.51	-0.51	51.01%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1446	7	7.80	-0.80	44.83%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1441	7	7.94	-0.94	42.21%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1425	5	7.26	-2.26	19.28%	0	4	6	7	9	10	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1395	4	6.50	-2.50	15.71%	0	3	5	6	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1392	4	6.77	-2.77	13.01%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1357	3.5	5.33	-1.83	17.20%	0	2	4	5	7	8	13
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1343	4	5.30	-1.30	35.13%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1330	3	5.18	-2.18	18.89%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-
New York Jets	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-2-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Las Vegas Raiders	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-
Las Vegas Raiders	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-
Los Angeles Chargers	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Team
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Football Team	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Washington Football Team	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	0-3-1 (1.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	0-4 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (3.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.37%	0.55%	1.47%	1.65%	0.74%	0.37%	5.15%
7–13	0.37%	1.47%	3.68%	2.94%	3.31%	1.47%	0.74%	13.97%
14–20	0.55%	3.68%	8.09%	4.96%	3.31%	1.84%	0.74%	23.16%
21–27	1.47%	2.94%	4.96%	7.35%	4.78%	1.29%	0.55%	23.35%
28–34	1.65%	3.31%	3.31%	4.78%	6.62%	2.21%	0.74%	22.61%
35–41	0.74%	1.47%	1.84%	1.29%	2.21%	0.74%	—	8.27%
42+	0.37%	0.74%	0.74%	0.55%	0.74%	—	0.37%	3.49%
Total	5.15%	13.97%	23.16%	23.35%	22.61%	8.27%	3.49%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.98	22.98	+0.00
SD	10.35	10.35	15.51
CV	0.45	0.45	—
Max	56	56	+42
Min	0	0	-42

Games Played: 272

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	35.29%
35–41	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	23.53%	23.53%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.41	21.53	+4.88
SD	8.89	9.17	14.56
CV	0.34	0.43	—
Max	38	38	+26
Min	10	5	-24

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	17.65%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	—	17.65%	—	—	29.41%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	29.41%	17.65%	41.18%	—	11.76%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.41	27.00	-8.59
SD	9.31	9.44	14.17
CV	0.51	0.35	—
Max	30	48	+8
Min	0	14	-40

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	11.76%	17.65%	—	—	5.88%	—	35.29%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	17.65%	23.53%	17.65%	17.65%	17.65%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.76	23.06	-0.29
SD	7.89	11.02	12.00
CV	0.35	0.48	—
Max	36	41	+28
Min	10	6	-24

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
21–27	—	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
28–34	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	29.41%
35–41	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	17.65%	17.65%	29.41%	17.65%	11.76%	5.88%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.41	17.00	+11.41
SD	11.14	11.37	17.26
CV	0.39	0.67	—
Max	45	41	+40
Min	6	0	-26

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
21–27	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	23.53%	11.76%	23.53%	29.41%	11.76%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.88	23.76	-5.88
SD	8.78	10.42	15.38
CV	0.49	0.44	—
Max	34	41	+24
Min	3	7	-26

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	35.29%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	29.41%	17.65%	29.41%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.29	23.94	-5.65
SD	7.83	11.19	14.22
CV	0.43	0.47	—
Max	30	45	+26
Min	3	3	-35

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	23.53%	—	5.88%	—	35.29%
28–34	—	11.76%	—	—	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	29.41%	11.76%	35.29%	11.76%	11.76%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.06	22.12	+4.94
SD	9.00	10.13	15.22
CV	0.33	0.46	—
Max	41	41	+31
Min	15	10	-25

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	5.88%	23.53%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	29.41%
21–27	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
Total	5.88%	11.76%	35.29%	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.53	21.82	-1.29
SD	10.46	12.25	14.62
CV	0.51	0.56	—
Max	42	47	+25
Min	7	6	-38

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
21–27	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	17.65%
42+	5.88%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
Total	11.76%	—	41.18%	17.65%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.18	21.06	+10.12
SD	12.87	8.74	15.89
CV	0.41	0.41	—
Max	56	36	+42
Min	9	3	-14

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	35.29%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
35–41	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	29.41%	23.53%	17.65%	23.53%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.71	18.94	+0.76
SD	8.64	9.37	15.00
CV	0.44	0.49	—
Max	38	34	+28
Min	7	0	-21

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	29.41%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	47.06%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	11.76%	29.41%	11.76%	17.65%	17.65%	11.76%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	27.47	-8.35
SD	9.07	11.59	13.78
CV	0.47	0.42	—
Max	37	51	+18
Min	6	12	-38

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
21–27	—	5.88%	11.76%	17.65%	—	—	—	35.29%
28–34	—	—	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	23.53%
35–41	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
Total	5.88%	17.65%	17.65%	17.65%	29.41%	11.76%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.47	21.82	+4.65
SD	10.40	10.58	13.71
CV	0.39	0.48	—
Max	45	38	+27
Min	3	0	-35

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	23.53%
7–13	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
14–20	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	11.76%	29.41%	41.18%	11.76%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.47	26.59	-10.12
SD	12.42	7.54	16.44
CV	0.75	0.28	—
Max	41	40	+16
Min	0	13	-40

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	23.53%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
28–34	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	29.41%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
Total	11.76%	—	35.29%	23.53%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.53	21.47	+5.06
SD	8.62	10.15	14.12
CV	0.33	0.47	—
Max	45	38	+31
Min	11	0	-15

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	35.29%
14–20	—	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	29.41%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	29.41%	23.53%	17.65%	5.88%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.88	26.88	-12.00
SD	6.95	10.46	13.25
CV	0.47	0.39	—
Max	26	50	+15
Min	0	6	-40

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	29.41%
35–41	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
42+	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
Total	—	35.29%	11.76%	11.76%	29.41%	11.76%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.24	21.41	+6.82
SD	11.37	10.83	15.67
CV	0.40	0.51	—
Max	48	38	+39
Min	3	7	-24

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	17.65%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	35.29%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	—	—	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
35–41	—	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	29.41%	23.53%	29.41%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Las Vegas Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.00	25.82	-3.82
SD	9.82	9.40	13.98
CV	0.45	0.36	—
Max	36	48	+11
Min	9	13	-39

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	—	35.29%
35–41	—	—	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%
Total	—	5.88%	17.65%	35.29%	17.65%	17.65%	5.88%	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.88	27.00	+0.88
SD	10.64	9.01	12.77
CV	0.38	0.33	—
Max	47	42	+21
Min	6	13	-28

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	23.53%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	17.65%
28–34	—	—	11.76%	17.65%	—	5.88%	—	35.29%
35–41	—	11.76%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	23.53%	35.29%	11.76%	11.76%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.06	21.88	+5.18
SD	8.01	8.55	14.24
CV	0.30	0.39	—
Max	38	37	+30
Min	10	7	-21

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	41.18%
21–27	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
28–34	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	23.53%	11.76%	29.41%	17.65%	5.88%	5.88%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.06	21.94	-1.88
SD	9.40	11.42	16.93
CV	0.47	0.52	—
Max	33	45	+23
Min	0	3	-35

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	—	17.65%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	11.76%	—	23.53%	—	—	35.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	35.29%	5.88%	47.06%	5.88%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.00	25.06	-0.06
SD	8.62	8.31	9.75
CV	0.34	0.33	—
Max	36	37	+14
Min	7	9	-27

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	23.53%
21–27	17.65%	—	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	41.18%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
35–41	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	17.65%	—	—	—	—	—	17.65%
Total	17.65%	29.41%	11.76%	17.65%	17.65%	5.88%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.18	17.82	+9.35
SD	12.29	10.85	18.88
CV	0.45	0.61	—
Max	54	35	+41
Min	13	0	-15

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
7–13	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	—	—	17.65%	—	—	—	17.65%
28–34	—	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	29.41%
35–41	5.88%	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.76%	23.53%	11.76%	41.18%	5.88%	5.88%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.41	19.71	+1.71
SD	10.97	10.68	15.49
CV	0.51	0.54	—
Max	38	40	+35
Min	3	0	-25

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	5.88%	—	41.18%
14–20	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	5.88%	17.65%
21–27	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.88%	5.88%	23.53%	23.53%	23.53%	11.76%	5.88%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.18	24.47	-9.29
SD	7.78	10.79	14.00
CV	0.51	0.44	—
Max	29	44	+22
Min	3	3	-27

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	11.76%	—	—	—	11.76%
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	17.65%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	5.88%	29.41%
21–27	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	11.76%	41.18%	29.41%	—	17.65%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.24	29.65	-11.41
SD	8.96	10.09	13.11
CV	0.49	0.34	—
Max	34	54	+7
Min	0	14	-41

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
21–27	—	—	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	5.88%	41.18%
28–34	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%	29.41%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
Total	11.76%	17.65%	29.41%	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	11.76%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.12	22.65	+3.47
SD	9.39	13.14	17.06
CV	0.36	0.58	—
Max	44	51	+38
Min	7	6	-25

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	17.65%
14–20	—	17.65%	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	—	41.18%
21–27	—	—	23.53%	—	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	11.76%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	17.65%	35.29%	23.53%	—	23.53%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.18	23.41	-3.24
SD	7.55	10.04	11.88
CV	0.37	0.43	—
Max	37	41	+12
Min	10	10	-31

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
14–20	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	11.76%	—	—	29.41%
28–34	—	17.65%	—	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	29.41%	11.76%	23.53%	35.29%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.12	21.47	+3.65
SD	7.91	8.62	11.17
CV	0.32	0.40	—
Max	41	33	+21
Min	10	7	-14

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	23.53%
21–27	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	5.88%
28–34	—	11.76%	5.88%	11.76%	5.88%	—	—	35.29%
35–41	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	5.88%	—	—	5.88%
Total	—	17.65%	23.53%	35.29%	23.53%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.24	21.53	+1.71
SD	12.33	7.07	12.47
CV	0.53	0.33	—
Max	51	33	+24
Min	0	7	-17

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	—	5.88%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	11.76%
21–27	—	—	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%
28–34	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	5.88%	—	—	41.18%
35–41	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
42+	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	—	11.76%
Total	11.76%	11.76%	23.53%	23.53%	23.53%	5.88%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.06	20.76	+9.29
SD	11.20	9.88	14.57
CV	0.37	0.48	—
Max	48	36	+35
Min	0	3	-10

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	23.53%
14–20	5.88%	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	11.76%
21–27	5.88%	—	5.88%	11.76%	—	—	—	23.53%
28–34	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	17.65%	—	—	35.29%
35–41	—	—	5.88%	—	—	—	—	5.88%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.65%	—	29.41%	23.53%	17.65%	11.76%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.65	20.82	+3.82
SD	8.30	11.21	14.93
CV	0.34	0.54	—
Max	37	38	+31
Min	13	0	-25

Games Played: 17

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	5.88%	5.88%	5.88%	—	—	17.65%
14–20	—	—	23.53%	11.76%	—	—	5.88%	41.18%
21–27	—	5.88%	—	5.88%	5.88%	—	5.88%	23.53%
28–34	—	—	5.88%	—	11.76%	—	—	17.65%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	5.88%	35.29%	23.53%	23.53%	—	11.76%	100%

Washington Football Team — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.71	25.53	-5.82
SD	6.97	11.51	13.53
CV	0.35	0.45	—
Max	34	56	+15
Min	10	7	-42

Games Played: 17

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.75	+0.3
Allowed	0.42	-0.4
Differential	0.77	+0.2

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Cowboys	12	8.41	+3.59
2	Cincinnati Bengals	10	7.47	+2.53
3	Tennessee Titans	12	9.48	+2.52
4	Las Vegas Raiders	10	7.65	+2.35
5	Green Bay Packers	13	11.05	+1.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New York Giants	4	6.77	-2.77
2	Houston Texans	4	6.50	-2.50
3	Baltimore Ravens	8	10.44	-2.44
4	Seattle Seahawks	7	9.38	-2.38
5	Carolina Panthers	5	7.26	-2.26

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	New England Patriots	7	Oct 24 – Dec 6	1 in 116
2	Tennessee Titans	6	Oct 10 – Nov 14	1 in 97
3	Arizona Cardinals	7	Sep 12 – Oct 24	1 in 88
4	Dallas Cowboys	6	Sep 19 – Oct 31	1 in 61
5	Miami Dolphins	7	Nov 7 – Dec 27	1 in 61

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Baltimore Ravens	6	Dec 5 – Jan 9	1 in 163
2	New Orleans Saints	5	Nov 7 – Dec 2	1 in 149
3	Miami Dolphins	7	Sep 19 – Oct 31	1 in 116
4	Houston Texans	8	Sep 19 – Nov 7	1 in 35
5	Detroit Lions	8	Sep 12 – Oct 31	1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Buffalo Bills	69.45%	21.92%	7.77%	0.87%
Miami Dolphins	15.95%	38.56%	36.52%	8.97%
New England Patriots	14.03%	35.36%	40.01%	10.61%
New York Jets	0.58%	4.16%	15.70%	79.55%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	53.54%	25.97%	14.19%	6.30%
Cleveland Browns	20.65%	29.84%	28.28%	21.23%
Pittsburgh Steelers	18.43%	28.02%	30.05%	23.51%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.38%	16.18%	27.47%	48.96%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	49.32%	37.10%	11.07%	2.51%
Tennessee Titans	44.08%	40.38%	12.58%	2.96%
Houston Texans	5.19%	16.26%	48.33%	30.22%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.41%	6.26%	28.02%	64.31%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	69.89%	19.60%	7.75%	2.75%
Los Angeles Chargers	12.32%	30.31%	30.15%	27.22%
Denver Broncos	9.53%	26.58%	31.17%	32.73%
Las Vegas Raiders	8.26%	23.52%	30.92%	37.30%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	40.10%	27.12%	19.64%	13.14%
Washington Football Team	23.29%	26.32%	26.37%	24.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	22.83%	26.19%	26.44%	24.53%
New York Giants	13.77%	20.37%	27.55%	38.31%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	76.42%	17.52%	5.24%	0.82%
Minnesota Vikings	12.71%	40.27%	33.70%	13.33%
Chicago Bears	9.74%	34.27%	38.85%	17.14%
Detroit Lions	1.13%	7.95%	22.22%	68.71%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.12%	25.23%	5.54%	1.11%
New Orleans Saints	26.62%	49.87%	17.74%	5.78%
Atlanta Falcons	3.21%	14.64%	42.35%	39.80%
Carolina Panthers	2.05%	10.26%	34.38%	53.32%

Team	1	2	3	4
Los Angeles Rams	39.15%	28.03%	20.09%	12.73%
Seattle Seahawks	25.64%	27.27%	25.88%	21.21%
Arizona Cardinals	22.49%	25.74%	27.04%	24.74%
San Francisco 49ers	12.72%	18.97%	26.99%	41.32%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Buffalo Bills	27.56%	19.25%	13.92%	10.25%	7.59%	5.92%	4.46%	3.53%	2.55%	1.89%	1.37%	0.80%	0.47%	0.27%	0.11%	0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	22.95%	18.50%	14.44%	10.97%	8.28%	6.22%	4.87%	3.86%	3.00%	2.31%	1.70%	1.17%	0.81%	0.55%	0.27%	0.10%
Baltimore Ravens	15.02%	14.82%	13.17%	10.98%	9.25%	7.76%	6.51%	5.44%	4.66%	3.69%	2.97%	2.26%	1.65%	1.06%	0.58%	0.19%
Indianapolis Colts	7.86%	9.78%	11.27%	11.36%	9.90%	9.12%	8.53%	7.84%	6.39%	4.92%	4.08%	3.44%	2.39%	1.59%	0.97%	0.54%
Tennessee Titans	6.76%	8.57%	9.85%	10.48%	9.74%	9.23%	9.05%	8.50%	6.84%	5.59%	4.75%	3.92%	2.81%	2.02%	1.20%	0.71%
Cleveland Browns	3.88%	5.55%	6.57%	7.61%	8.22%	8.27%	8.12%	8.05%	8.24%	7.57%	6.93%	6.39%	5.75%	4.47%	3.02%	1.36%
Miami Dolphins	3.78%	4.86%	5.92%	6.94%	8.24%	8.88%	8.90%	8.86%	8.52%	8.47%	7.59%	6.32%	4.93%	3.69%	2.62%	1.48%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.33%	4.74%	5.75%	6.69%	7.82%	7.74%	8.00%	8.03%	8.49%	8.22%	7.43%	7.06%	6.33%	5.16%	3.57%	1.65%
New England Patriots	3.08%	4.20%	5.24%	6.40%	7.69%	8.23%	8.74%	8.63%	8.60%	8.82%	8.44%	7.02%	5.73%	4.27%	3.05%	1.86%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.06%	3.17%	4.19%	5.10%	6.31%	7.32%	7.80%	8.03%	8.26%	8.62%	8.54%	8.04%	7.71%	6.88%	5.27%	2.70%
Denver Broncos	1.42%	2.33%	3.25%	4.29%	5.20%	6.37%	7.19%	7.85%	8.41%	8.84%	9.03%	8.75%	8.71%	8.11%	6.34%	3.90%
Las Vegas Raiders	1.13%	1.90%	2.75%	3.70%	4.76%	5.68%	6.31%	7.10%	7.93%	8.61%	9.09%	9.49%	9.65%	9.35%	7.92%	4.64%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.87%	1.63%	2.33%	3.07%	4.00%	4.90%	5.57%	6.30%	7.62%	8.35%	9.05%	10.05%	10.97%	10.78%	8.81%	5.69%
Houston Texans	0.26%	0.58%	0.97%	1.50%	1.95%	2.79%	3.55%	4.53%	5.59%	7.17%	9.20%	11.33%	12.43%	12.79%	12.70%	12.66%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.08%	0.18%	0.30%	0.57%	0.78%	1.27%	1.72%	2.44%	3.52%	4.80%	6.67%	9.88%	15.13%	22.89%	29.73%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.03%	0.08%	0.19%	0.34%	0.48%	0.78%	1.15%	1.73%	2.46%	3.41%	5.04%	7.29%	9.77%	13.87%	20.67%	32.71%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	40.41%	20.47%	12.78%	8.37%	5.95%	4.08%	2.70%	1.84%	1.23%	0.81%	0.56%	0.36%	0.23%	0.14%	0.06%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers	19.11%	20.64%	16.55%	11.66%	8.16%	6.28%	5.06%	3.61%	2.74%	2.00%	1.47%	1.10%	0.77%	0.43%	0.27%	0.15%
New Orleans Saints	13.44%	12.34%	12.57%	12.14%	11.26%	9.09%	7.13%	5.50%	4.53%	3.65%	2.82%	2.09%	1.50%	1.08%	0.60%	0.25%
Los Angeles Rams	9.01%	12.41%	12.19%	11.06%	9.70%	8.74%	7.55%	6.46%	5.54%	4.61%	3.76%	3.06%	2.51%	1.89%	1.08%	0.43%
Seattle Seahawks	5.01%	8.11%	9.08%	9.11%	9.13%	8.78%	8.19%	7.66%	7.05%	6.39%	5.46%	4.94%	4.32%	3.48%	2.17%	1.12%
Arizona Cardinals	4.05%	7.01%	8.00%	8.25%	8.69%	8.56%	8.22%	7.80%	7.41%	7.06%	6.23%	5.44%	4.87%	4.23%	2.78%	1.42%
Dallas Cowboys	1.86%	3.77%	5.94%	7.72%	8.02%	8.05%	8.29%	8.38%	7.72%	7.24%	6.98%	6.64%	5.87%	5.48%	4.85%	3.19%
San Francisco 49ers	1.83%	3.67%	4.73%	5.63%	6.35%	7.06%	7.15%	7.49%	7.91%	8.01%	7.97%	7.69%	8.06%	7.40%	5.55%	3.49%
Minnesota Vikings	1.22%	2.84%	3.92%	4.93%	5.96%	7.26%	8.22%	8.19%	8.27%	8.18%	8.44%	8.21%	7.60%	6.58%	5.43%	4.76%
Chicago Bears	0.91%	1.97%	2.87%	3.76%	4.77%	6.08%	7.07%	7.71%	8.09%	8.53%	8.90%	9.17%	8.94%	7.78%	7.04%	6.41%
Atlanta Falcons	0.93%	1.60%	2.42%	3.66%	4.76%	5.79%	6.49%	7.42%	8.33%	9.23%	9.14%	9.00%	8.88%	9.14%	7.73%	5.47%
Washington Football Team	0.75%	1.76%	2.89%	4.27%	5.13%	5.61%	6.57%	7.16%	7.64%	7.78%	8.28%	8.72%	8.68%	8.63%	8.99%	7.14%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.63%	1.58%	2.80%	4.25%	5.07%	5.66%	6.45%	7.28%	7.69%	7.65%	8.27%	8.85%	8.56%	8.57%	8.95%	7.74%
Carolina Panthers	0.56%	0.99%	1.54%	2.42%	3.28%	4.21%	4.96%	6.09%	7.15%	8.33%	8.90%	9.35%	10.51%	12.09%	11.10%	8.51%
New York Giants	0.25%	0.73%	1.49%	2.38%	3.19%	3.73%	4.43%	5.46%	6.08%	6.89%	8.01%	9.04%	10.11%	11.27%	13.79%	13.13%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.12%	0.21%	0.40%	0.59%	1.03%	1.51%	1.94%	2.61%	3.63%	4.82%	6.36%	8.60%	11.81%	19.60%	36.76%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25.57%	16.28%	11.42%	8.86%	6.86%	5.61%	4.53%	3.71%	2.96%	2.68%	2.11%	1.76%	1.40%	1.18%	1.07%	0.83%	0.64%	0.51%	0.44%	0.38%	0.31%	0.24%	0.18%	0.14%	0.11%	0.09%	0.07%	0.05%	0.02%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	13.86%	12.64%	10.19%	9.24%	7.47%	6.87%	5.45%	5.07%	4.12%	3.72%	3.21%	2.76%	2.30%	2.23%	1.81%	1.68%	1.33%	1.17%	0.99%	0.88%	0.67%	0.62%	0.46%	0.36%	0.26%	0.21%	0.16%	0.12%	0.07%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%
Green Bay Packers	11.23%	10.12%	10.43%	8.84%	8.16%	7.10%	5.91%	5.38%	4.39%	3.94%	3.35%	3.10%	2.77%	2.46%	1.91%	1.69%	1.47%	1.44%	1.15%	0.98%	0.83%	0.74%	0.57%	0.53%	0.37%	0.36%	0.23%	0.21%	0.16%	0.09%	0.07%	0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	10.79%	11.22%	9.41%	9.00%	7.43%	7.16%	5.77%	5.41%	4.58%	3.95%	3.41%	3.05%	2.70%	2.41%	2.06%	1.75%	1.65%	1.44%	1.21%	1.09%	0.91%	0.78%	0.63%	0.56%	0.43%	0.36%	0.29%	0.23%	0.14%	0.12%	0.06%	0.03%
Baltimore Ravens	6.65%	7.69%	7.39%	7.45%	6.71%	6.53%	5.91%	5.27%	5.10%	4.41%	4.16%	3.82%	3.51%	3.05%	2.99%	2.60%	2.47%	2.16%	1.91%	1.76%	1.53%	1.31%	1.19%	1.04%	0.84%	0.77%	0.53%	0.51%	0.28%	0.28%	0.14%	0.06%
New Orleans Saints	7.35%	6.75%	7.02%	6.39%	6.63%	6.03%	6.21%	5.50%	5.43%	5.10%	4.52%	4.10%	3.63%	3.41%	3.00%	2.62%	2.40%	2.11%	1.97%	1.75%	1.60%	1.29%	1.05%	0.94%	0.83%	0.68%	0.56%	0.43%	0.29%	0.21%	0.13%	0.06%
Los Angeles Rams	4.65%	5.18%	6.31%	6.04%	6.20%	5.78%	5.70%	5.14%	5.00%	4.81%	4.54%	4.17%	3.87%	3.59%	3.59%	3.21%	2.84%	2.59%	2.35%	2.27%	2.04%	1.72%	1.59%	1.46%	1.27%	1.11%	1.00%	0.73%	0.59%	0.35%	0.22%	0.09%
Indianapolis Colts	3.33%	4.18%	4.80%	5.15%	5.42%	5.66%	5.40%	5.66%	5.12%	4.99%	4.58%	4.49%	4.20%	4.27%	3.75%	3.82%	3.20%	3.44%	2.48%	2.50%	2.09%	2.13%	1.72%	1.77%	1.27%	1.27%	0.89%	0.84%	0.57%	0.48%	0.33%	0.19%
Tennessee Titans	2.60%	3.67%	4.11%	4.53%	4.98%	4.86%	5.16%	5.19%	5.03%	4.76%	4.66%	4.74%	4.40%	4.52%	3.81%	4.01%	3.44%	3.69%	2.82%	2.85%	2.39%	2.59%	2.03%	1.97%	1.52%	1.50%	1.10%	1.03%	0.76%	0.60%	0.43%	0.26%
Seattle Seahawks	2.38%	3.07%	3.86%	4.20%	4.54%	4.46%	4.68%	4.55%	4.72%	4.49%	4.65%	4.13%	4.20%	3.98%	4.20%	3.84%	3.55%	3.31%	3.33%	3.08%	2.96%	2.60%	2.58%	2.39%	2.23%	2.00%	1.67%	1.47%	1.14%	0.84%	0.60%	0.33%
Arizona Cardinals	1.80%	2.64%	3.30%	3.63%	4.00%	4.01%	4.20%	4.17%	4.37%	4.28%	4.38%	4.15%	4.12%	4.08%	4.20%	3.98%	3.83%	3.57%	3.59%	3.52%	3.35%	2.97%	2.81%	2.61%	2.62%	2.23%	2.14%	1.79%	1.38%	1.14%	0.76%	0.39%
Cleveland Browns	1.28%	2.18%	2.57%	3.06%	3.27%	3.62%	3.87%	3.92%	4.15%	4.15%	4.10%	4.21%	4.16%	4.08%	4.12%	4.04%	4.11%	3.85%	3.84%	3.70%	3.55%	3.28%	3.20%	3.09%	2.81%	2.76%	2.30%	2.08%	1.73%	1.40%	0.94%	0.58%
Miami Dolphins	1.35%	1.98%	2.32%	2.66%	3.09%	3.24%	3.42%	3.73%	4.04%	4.32%	4.30%	4.45%	4.34%	4.54%	4.24%	4.63%	4.08%	4.21%	3.92%	4.15%	3.52%	3.79%	3.09%	3.26%	2.50%	2.48%	2.11%	1.88%	1.54%	1.29%	0.98%	0.57%
Pittsburgh Steelers	1.07%	1.87%	2.17%	2.48%	2.89%	3.05%	3.51%	3.50%	4.00%	3.79%	3.99%	3.93%	4.15%	3.94%	4.19%	4.00%	4.11%	4.02%	4.04%	4.09%	3.73%	3.69%	3.44%	3.45%	3.12%	3.04%	2.65%	2.54%	1.97%	1.72%	1.14%	0.71%
New England Patriots	1.08%	1.61%	2.04%	2.30%	2.68%	2.83%	3.26%	3.47%	3.77%	3.92%	4.12%	4.17%	4.18%	4.39%	4.23%	4.33%	4.16%	4.21%	4.22%	4.33%	3.82%	4.08%	3.56%	3.56%	2.84%	2.96%	2.39%	2.22%	1.77%	1.54%	1.13%	0.83%
Dallas Cowboys	0.75%	1.25%	1.73%	2.14%	2.65%	3.05%	3.39%	3.80%	3.51%	4.14%	3.72%	4.20%	4.22%	4.13%	3.95%	4.10%	4.21%	4.03%	3.90%	3.52%	3.71%	3.53%	3.71%	3.28%	3.33%	2.98%	3.05%	2.67%	2.57%	2.07%	1.73%	0.99%
San Francisco 49ers	0.72%	1.20%	1.61%	2.04%	2.33%	2.51%	2.84%	2.84%	3.22%	3.21%	3.68%	3.51%	3.70%	3.51%	4.05%	3.90%	3.99%	3.78%	4.23%	4.11%	4.22%	3.85%	3.98%	3.87%	4.18%	3.71%	3.72%	3.17%	2.89%	2.34%	1.90%	1.17%
Los Angeles Chargers	0.65%	1.11%	1.41%	1.78%	1.95%	2.39%	2.51%	2.81%	3.14%	3.28%	3.66%	3.60%	3.84%	3.89%	4.10%	3.96%	4.20%	3.98%	4.37%	4.19%	4.27%	4.20%	4.02%	3.73%	3.97%	3.65%	3.43%	3.36%	2.80%	2.64%	1.86%	1.23%
Minnesota Vikings	0.45%	0.79%	1.28%	1.59%	1.85%	2.07%	2.44%	2.54%	2.90%	3.10%	3.48%	3.57%	3.94%	3.98%	3.98%	4.03%	4.12%	4.29%	4.17%	4.13%	4.18%	4.29%	4.16%	4.20%	3.84%	3.97%	3.50%	3.45%	3.05%	2.59%	2.42%	1.63%
Denver Broncos	0.40%	0.77%	1.00%	1.36%	1.45%	1.89%	1.99%	2.40%	2.50%	2.93%	3.14%	3.33%	3.39%	3.80%	3.77%	4.13%	4.03%	4.30%	4.17%	4.50%	4.38%	4.50%	4.28%	4.28%	4.28%	4.20%	3.98%	3.90%	3.42%	3.21%	2.39%	1.93%
Chicago Bears	0.34%	0.56%	0.85%	1.08%	1.36%	1.52%	1.86%	1.98%	2.39%	2.44%	2.83%	3.00%	3.47%	3.59%	3.72%	3.74%	3.87%	4.26%	4.25%	4.37%	4.46%	4.61%	4.62%	4.68%	4.52%	4.46%	4.23%	4.03%	3.83%	3.49%	3.26%	2.36%
Atlanta Falcons	0.34%	0.57%	0.78%	0.96%	1.22%	1.43%	1.84%	1.96%	2.25%	2.64%	2.83%	3.05%	3.12%	3.36%	3.77%	3.93%	3.96%	4.14%	4.47%	4.85%	4.67%	4.45%	4.67%	4.57%	4.81%	4.31%	4.61%	4.16%	4.05%	3.36%	2.87%	1.99%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.27%	0.61%	0.78%	1.06%	1.30%	1.56%	1.81%	1.96%	2.41%	2.48%	2.75%	2.90%	3.20%	3.24%	3.57%	3.52%	4.01%	3.81%	4.23%	4.28%	4.47%	4.45%	4.72%	4.54%	4.77%	4.69%	4.49%	4.63%	4.01%	4.07%	3.01%	2.39%
Washington Football Team	0.30%	0.47%	0.79%	0.92%	1.35%	1.44%	1.88%	2.12%	2.28%	2.50%	2.60%	2.97%	3.23%	3.28%	3.42%	3.46%	3.86%	4.12%	3.96%	3.89%	4.25%	4.41%	4.65%	4.45%	4.53%	4.57%	4.58%	4.47%	4.62%	4.21%	3.82%	2.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.21%	0.40%	0.73%	0.88%	1.18%	1.53%	1.71%	2.28%	2.13%	2.61%	2.54%	3.01%	3.10%	3.40%	3.14%	3.80%	3.87%	4.14%	3.89%	3.97%	4.08%	4.38%	4.69%	4.48%	4.54%	4.51%	4.60%	4.39%	4.69%	4.14%	4.00%	2.98%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.22%	0.52%	0.61%	0.93%	1.02%	1.31%	1.53%	1.65%	1.93%	2.15%	2.44%	2.65%	2.86%	2.93%	3.12%	3.38%	3.65%	3.80%	4.01%	4.28%	4.43%	4.60%	4.66%	5.10%	5.09%	5.23%	5.05%	5.35%	4.51%	4.53%	3.52%	2.93%
Carolina Panthers	0.21%	0.31%	0.48%	0.58%	0.74%	0.91%	1.18%	1.29%	1.58%	1.81%	2.10%	2.22%	2.42%	2.65%	3.15%	3.17%	3.57%	3.57%	4.18%	4.16%	4.61%	4.38%	5.01%	4.83%	5.44%	5.21%	6.04%	5.68%	5.58%	5.12%	4.54%	3.29%
New York Giants	0.08%	0.16%	0.30%	0.39%	0.64%	0.76%	0.97%	1.28%	1.35%	1.62%	1.68%	2.00%	2.16%	2.25%	2.52%	2.67%	3.13%	3.25%	3.55%	3.42%	4.08%	4.15%	4.68%	4.71%	5.26%	5.29%	5.94%	5.98%	6.75%	6.81%	6.70%	5.47%
Houston Texans	0.04%	0.14%	0.21%	0.33%	0.43%	0.52%	0.65%	0.83%	0.93%	0.97%	1.27%	1.52%	1.74%	1.80%	2.12%	2.37%	2.65%	2.93%	3.28%	3.60%	4.08%	4.75%	4.79%	5.54%	5.42%	6.52%	6.06%	6.80%	6.65%	7.15%	6.84%	7.08%
Detroit Lions	<0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.06%	0.09%	0.12%	0.15%	0.21%	0.26%	0.29%	0.45%	0.55%	0.65%	0.77%	0.91%	0.99%	1.33%	1.35%	1.78%	1.75%	2.42%	2.58%	3.22%	3.39%	4.31%	4.72%	6.19%	6.79%	9.42%	10.89%	15.75%	18.52%
New York Jets	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.03%	0.07%	0.09%	0.13%	0.17%	0.25%	0.29%	0.38%	0.45%	0.54%	0.67%	0.82%	0.90%	1.15%	1.27%	1.69%	1.86%	2.26%	2.50%	3.08%	3.51%	4.43%	5.06%	6.48%	7.71%	9.68%	11.91%	13.91%	18.67%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.07%	0.10%	0.13%	0.18%	0.20%	0.26%	0.36%	0.42%	0.49%	0.60%	0.74%	0.92%	1.11%	1.29%	1.60%	1.78%	2.14%	2.54%	2.99%	3.72%	4.26%	5.10%	5.98%	7.34%	9.09%	11.35%	14.52%	20.63%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Buffalo Bills	27.56%	19.23%	13.50%	9.16%	8.75%	6.24%	4.52%	11.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	22.95%	19.10%	15.91%	11.93%	6.60%	5.46%	4.47%	13.58%
Baltimore Ravens	15.02%	15.09%	13.66%	9.77%	9.33%	7.93%	6.58%	22.63%
Indianapolis Colts	7.86%	10.08%	13.02%	18.35%	6.28%	6.79%	7.05%	30.57%
Tennessee Titans	6.76%	8.82%	11.45%	17.05%	6.48%	7.11%	7.58%	34.76%
Cleveland Browns	3.88%	5.43%	6.11%	5.23%	9.43%	9.08%	8.57%	52.27%
Miami Dolphins	3.78%	4.29%	4.14%	3.74%	10.97%	10.30%	9.74%	53.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.33%	4.69%	5.40%	5.01%	8.46%	8.31%	8.41%	56.38%
New England Patriots	3.08%	3.80%	3.75%	3.40%	9.95%	9.54%	9.44%	57.04%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.06%	3.02%	3.67%	3.57%	7.15%	7.85%	8.22%	64.45%
Denver Broncos	1.42%	2.23%	2.84%	3.04%	5.79%	6.76%	7.52%	70.41%
Las Vegas Raiders	1.13%	1.83%	2.53%	2.78%	5.09%	5.92%	6.63%	74.10%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.87%	1.62%	2.33%	2.55%	3.72%	5.05%	5.80%	78.05%
Houston Texans	0.26%	0.60%	1.23%	3.10%	1.32%	2.24%	3.25%	88.01%
New York Jets	0.03%	0.08%	0.16%	0.31%	0.46%	0.81%	1.26%	96.90%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.03%	0.09%	0.27%	1.02%	0.24%	0.60%	0.98%	96.77%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	40.41%	17.95%	7.71%	2.05%	15.75%	6.81%	3.62%	5.70%
Green Bay Packers	19.11%	23.26%	22.85%	11.21%	3.35%	4.12%	4.20%	11.91%
New Orleans Saints	13.44%	7.97%	3.96%	1.24%	26.83%	14.14%	9.03%	23.38%
Los Angeles Rams	9.01%	13.66%	12.13%	4.35%	9.63%	11.21%	8.99%	31.02%
Seattle Seahawks	5.01%	8.84%	8.61%	3.19%	9.09%	10.92%	9.81%	44.54%
Arizona Cardinals	4.05%	7.73%	7.70%	3.02%	8.10%	10.47%	9.65%	49.30%
Dallas Cowboys	1.86%	4.28%	9.48%	24.48%	1.21%	2.72%	4.49%	51.47%
San Francisco 49ers	1.83%	4.16%	4.69%	2.04%	5.46%	7.98%	8.23%	65.61%
Minnesota Vikings	1.22%	3.22%	4.86%	3.41%	4.59%	7.36%	8.81%	66.53%
Atlanta Falcons	0.93%	1.14%	0.78%	0.35%	5.77%	6.76%	7.72%	76.53%
Chicago Bears	0.91%	2.26%	3.72%	2.85%	3.52%	5.94%	7.54%	73.27%
Washington Football Team	0.75%	2.01%	5.02%	15.51%	1.05%	2.22%	4.06%	69.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.63%	1.81%	4.77%	15.62%	0.91%	2.23%	3.97%	70.06%
Carolina Panthers	0.56%	0.70%	0.56%	0.24%	3.81%	4.70%	5.61%	83.84%
New York Giants	0.25%	0.87%	2.75%	9.90%	0.63%	1.60%	2.79%	81.19%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.14%	0.41%	0.55%	0.31%	0.83%	1.47%	96.27%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+2.23%

Slight Edge

50.93%0.37%48.70%

Elo Value

Home Edge

17 Elo

0.058 points per Elo point

07.7550

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.57 points

Lean Home

-8+0.45+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.7

Wide Open

124813

Champion Preseason Odds

Los Angeles Rams, 7th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

8.5%

Favored

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.58 · As Expected: 1.58 to 2.17 · Elevated: 2.17 to 2.96 · High Variance: 2.96 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.16 · Close: 5.16 to 6.98 · Off Target: 6.98 to 9.1 · Well Off Target: 9.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.26 · As Expected: 3.26 to 5.44 · More Than Expected: 5.44 to 8.7 · Far More Than Expected: 8.7 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.78 wins

As Expected

01.985

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.81

Pinpoint

06.0715

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

98.08%

Dallas Cowboys

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

13.01%

New York Giants

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 32

Minimal Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

6 of 14

More Than Expected

04.414

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.84

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

65%

Competitive

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Lopsided

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

23%

Mostly Decisive

0%18%100%

Blowouts

Expected

29%

Frequent

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Hard to Predict

00.231

Matchup Imbalance

0.23

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.80

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.62

Strong Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

38%

As Expected

0%38%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%31%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.17 · Well Above Noise: 0.17 and up.

Probability calibration

0.16

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.16

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.063

Within Noise

00.0860.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	78.00%	78.00%	52.00%	32.89%	19.91%
Buffalo Bills	67.89%	67.89%	42.28%	25.36%	13.76%
Kansas City Chiefs	64.24%	64.24%	39.15%	22.85%	12.17%
Green Bay Packers	68.99%	63.91%	38.99%	21.46%	12.01%
New Orleans Saints	63.18%	49.32%	24.94%	12.31%	6.22%
Baltimore Ravens	62.35%	49.22%	24.58%	11.65%	5.23%
Los Angeles Rams	59.97%	43.21%	21.75%	10.22%	5.07%
Indianapolis Colts	61.57%	40.76%	19.97%	9.41%	4.15%
Tennessee Titans	58.48%	37.63%	18.34%	8.69%	3.90%
Seattle Seahawks	50.45%	29.95%	13.23%	5.51%	2.50%
Miami Dolphins	43.18%	23.48%	10.26%	4.43%	1.75%
Arizona Cardinals	46.66%	25.83%	10.58%	4.12%	1.72%
New England Patriots	39.88%	21.50%	9.54%	4.15%	1.69%
Dallas Cowboys	46.67%	24.12%	9.89%	3.90%	1.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	40.29%	21.59%	8.89%	3.63%	1.41%
Cleveland Browns	43.86%	23.10%	9.41%	3.74%	1.39%
San Francisco 49ers	32.55%	16.58%	6.51%	2.45%	0.97%
Los Angeles Chargers	33.49%	15.21%	5.78%	2.13%	0.74%
Minnesota Vikings	32.25%	13.98%	5.18%	1.86%	0.70%
Las Vegas Raiders	24.77%	10.28%	3.66%	1.29%	0.43%
Washington Football Team	29.87%	11.80%	3.81%	1.21%	0.42%
Cincinnati Bengals	21.07%	9.12%	3.35%	1.23%	0.41%
Philadelphia Eagles	29.31%	11.80%	3.75%	1.21%	0.41%
Chicago Bears	25.83%	10.33%	3.34%	1.08%	0.39%
Denver Broncos	28.18%	10.83%	3.46%	1.09%	0.32%
Atlanta Falcons	22.53%	8.93%	2.78%	0.88%	0.31%
Carolina Panthers	15.60%	5.65%	1.61%	0.50%	0.15%
New York Giants	18.55%	5.71%	1.44%	0.34%	0.09%
Houston Texans	11.73%	3.67%	1.00%	0.28%	0.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.21%	0.76%	0.16%	0.03%	0.01%
New York Jets	3.07%	0.72%	0.16%	0.04%	<0.01%
Detroit Lions	3.71%	0.89%	0.18%	0.04%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		40.0%5.57%	63.7%2.85%	58.6%6.21%	66.9%3.61%	73.4%1.38%	51.6%6.44%	83.2%0.40%	39.6%6.26%	64.7%3.22%	62.3%4.34%	57.0%5.18%	55.5%4.88%	75.7%0.42%	55.7%5.50%	51.2%6.08%
Buffalo Bills	60.0%5.57%		70.3%2.74%	68.9%5.05%	75.4%3.59%	79.6%1.63%	61.0%6.31%	84.2%0.42%	51.6%5.00%	73.3%3.19%	71.7%4.24%	65.8%6.26%	65.2%5.77%	84.1%0.51%	67.5%4.81%	61.3%6.31%
Cincinnati Bengals	36.3%2.85%	29.7%2.74%		45.1%1.14%	54.0%0.82%	62.8%0.37%	39.1%2.41%	68.1%0.07%	28.1%3.02%	51.5%0.77%	50.5%1.04%	42.4%1.27%	43.3%1.21%	69.4%0.06%	43.9%1.06%	39.0%2.24%
Cleveland Browns	41.4%6.21%	31.1%5.05%	54.9%1.14%		59.6%2.07%	63.6%0.84%	42.4%5.13%	68.5%0.24%	32.8%5.80%	56.2%1.76%	54.0%2.37%	46.8%3.03%	48.7%2.70%	67.8%0.20%	48.7%2.53%	43.3%4.78%
Denver Broncos	33.1%3.61%	24.6%3.59%	46.0%0.82%	40.4%2.07%		55.3%0.49%	32.6%3.34%	45.7%0.10%	25.2%4.38%	44.2%0.68%	45.0%0.91%	37.2%1.69%	34.1%1.50%	59.1%0.09%	38.6%1.81%	32.6%3.09%
Houston Texans	26.6%1.38%	20.4%1.63%	37.2%0.37%	36.4%0.84%	44.7%0.49%		27.1%1.15%	80.8%0.03%	20.9%1.43%	39.3%0.42%	33.6%0.60%	32.1%0.79%	30.2%0.75%	54.8%0.04%	32.0%0.79%	29.3%1.02%
Indianapolis Colts	48.4%6.44%	39.0%6.31%	60.9%2.41%	57.6%5.13%	67.4%3.34%	72.9%1.15%		80.5%0.29%	39.6%5.76%	64.7%2.84%	62.0%3.93%	55.8%5.74%	54.9%5.13%	80.1%0.35%	56.5%4.69%	50.6%8.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	16.8%0.40%	15.8%0.42%	31.9%0.07%	31.5%0.24%	54.3%0.10%	19.2%0.03%	19.5%0.29%		16.1%0.40%	29.2%0.14%	30.1%0.16%	26.2%0.23%	25.7%0.23%	46.2%0.01%	24.2%0.21%	17.7%0.26%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.4%6.26%	48.4%5.00%	71.9%3.02%	67.2%5.80%	74.8%4.38%	79.1%1.43%	60.4%5.76%	83.9%0.40%		71.5%3.79%	70.3%5.23%	64.7%5.57%	65.2%5.33%	86.7%0.44%	65.8%5.25%	60.1%5.82%
Las Vegas Raiders	35.3%3.22%	26.7%3.19%	48.5%0.77%	43.8%1.76%	55.8%0.68%	60.7%0.42%	35.3%2.84%	70.8%0.14%	28.5%3.79%		45.0%0.74%	40.6%1.46%	41.6%1.42%	68.6%0.10%	41.4%1.62%	36.2%2.61%
Los Angeles Chargers	37.7%4.34%	28.3%4.24%	49.5%1.04%	46.0%2.37%	55.0%0.91%	66.4%0.60%	38.0%3.93%	69.9%0.16%	29.7%5.23%	55.0%0.74%		45.1%2.10%	42.8%1.88%	72.8%0.12%	46.9%2.23%	37.8%3.59%
Miami Dolphins	43.0%5.18%	34.2%6.26%	57.6%1.27%	53.2%3.03%	62.8%1.69%	67.9%0.79%	44.2%5.74%	73.8%0.23%	35.3%5.57%	59.4%1.46%	54.9%2.10%		50.6%1.80%	78.8%0.10%	51.2%2.77%	44.3%5.19%
New England Patriots	44.5%4.88%	34.8%5.77%	56.7%1.21%	51.3%2.70%	65.9%1.50%	69.8%0.75%	45.1%5.13%	74.3%0.23%	34.8%5.33%	58.4%1.42%	57.2%1.88%	49.4%1.80%		77.8%0.09%	52.3%2.47%	45.7%4.72%
New York Jets	24.3%0.42%	15.9%0.51%	30.6%0.06%	32.2%0.20%	40.9%0.09%	45.2%0.04%	19.9%0.35%	53.8%0.01%	13.3%0.44%	31.4%0.10%	27.2%0.12%	21.2%0.10%	22.2%0.09%		21.2%0.19%	24.4%0.34%
Pittsburgh Steelers	44.3%5.50%	32.5%4.81%	56.1%1.06%	51.3%2.53%	61.4%1.81%	68.0%0.79%	43.5%4.69%	75.8%0.21%	34.2%5.25%	58.6%1.62%	53.1%2.23%	48.8%2.77%	47.7%2.47%	78.8%0.19%		43.9%4.37%
Tennessee Titans	48.8%6.08%	38.7%6.31%	61.0%2.24%	56.7%4.78%	67.4%3.09%	70.7%1.02%	49.4%8.06%	82.3%0.26%	39.9%5.82%	63.8%2.61%	62.2%3.59%	55.7%5.19%	54.3%4.72%	75.6%0.34%	56.1%4.37%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals		61.8%1.64%	61.2%0.98%	59.8%2.18%	48.3%3.90%	75.3%0.31%	34.1%6.95%	41.3%6.45%	54.9%2.71%	41.1%4.00%	66.4%1.48%	57.3%2.53%	51.1%2.65%	47.1%4.59%	30.7%3.88%	59.5%2.42%
Atlanta Falcons	38.2%1.64%		54.3%0.16%	47.6%0.73%	37.5%2.44%	64.4%0.06%	25.2%4.09%	29.6%2.43%	44.6%0.88%	31.7%1.25%	57.9%0.82%	46.6%1.40%	39.4%0.83%	39.2%1.72%	22.1%2.57%	49.2%1.50%
Carolina Panthers	38.8%0.98%	45.7%0.16%		45.0%0.51%	37.5%1.62%	54.5%0.06%	23.9%2.84%	27.3%1.75%	44.4%0.58%	29.4%0.86%	54.5%0.56%	42.8%0.92%	33.7%0.68%	31.2%1.21%	19.2%1.89%	43.5%0.99%
Chicago Bears	40.2%2.18%	52.4%0.73%	55.0%0.51%		39.8%1.98%	67.2%0.06%	27.0%4.86%	34.2%3.03%	46.9%0.84%	31.2%2.41%	59.0%0.60%	49.1%1.11%	42.0%1.38%	39.3%2.33%	22.8%2.69%	50.0%1.12%
Dallas Cowboys	51.7%3.90%	62.5%2.44%	62.5%1.62%	60.2%1.98%		72.0%0.25%	36.3%3.11%	42.4%4.69%	57.3%2.39%	42.1%8.95%	68.1%0.92%	59.6%1.50%	53.2%2.83%	49.3%4.47%	31.6%5.97%	58.4%1.65%
Detroit Lions	24.7%0.31%	35.6%0.06%	45.5%0.06%	32.8%0.06%	28.0%0.25%		16.9%0.71%	22.6%0.47%	28.6%0.10%	19.4%0.36%	40.9%0.09%	35.5%0.11%	25.3%0.19%	23.9%0.34%	15.4%0.47%	36.2%0.14%
Green Bay Packers	65.9%6.95%	74.8%4.09%	76.1%2.84%	73.0%4.86%	63.7%3.11%	83.1%0.71%		57.2%7.82%	70.1%6.17%	57.4%8.83%	80.2%1.52%	72.6%2.25%	66.8%5.25%	64.0%7.34%	45.1%4.87%	74.3%2.38%
Los Angeles Rams	58.7%6.45%	70.4%2.43%	72.7%1.75%	65.8%3.03%	57.6%4.69%	77.4%0.47%	42.8%7.82%		64.5%3.86%	49.7%5.45%	74.5%1.96%	65.7%3.12%	59.6%4.30%	55.6%7.17%	38.0%4.35%	68.0%3.12%
Minnesota Vikings	45.1%2.71%	55.4%0.88%	55.6%0.58%	53.1%0.84%	42.7%2.39%	71.4%0.10%	29.9%6.17%	35.5%3.86%		36.4%2.89%	62.0%0.92%	50.7%1.42%	43.8%1.76%	42.1%3.02%	25.2%3.24%	53.1%1.47%
New Orleans Saints	58.9%4.00%	68.3%1.25%	70.6%0.86%	68.8%2.41%	57.9%8.95%	80.6%0.36%	42.6%8.83%	50.3%5.45%	63.6%2.89%		74.1%3.54%	67.0%5.50%	59.4%2.66%	56.9%4.29%	37.9%6.53%	66.9%5.65%
New York Giants	33.6%1.48%	42.1%0.82%	45.5%0.56%	41.0%0.60%	31.9%0.92%	59.1%0.09%	19.8%1.52%	25.5%1.96%	38.0%0.92%	25.9%3.54%		42.5%0.43%	33.8%0.97%	32.0%1.77%	17.7%2.54%	39.5%0.43%
Philadelphia Eagles	42.7%2.53%	53.4%1.40%	57.2%0.92%	50.9%1.11%	40.4%1.50%	64.5%0.11%	27.4%2.25%	34.3%3.12%	49.3%1.42%	33.0%5.50%	57.5%0.43%		45.1%1.59%	39.7%2.63%	23.6%3.98%	51.1%0.84%
San Francisco 49ers	48.9%2.65%	60.6%0.83%	66.3%0.68%	58.0%1.38%	46.8%2.83%	74.7%0.19%	33.2%5.25%	40.4%4.30%	56.2%1.76%	40.6%2.66%	66.2%0.97%	54.9%1.59%		46.7%2.94%	28.6%2.92%	59.9%1.61%
Seattle Seahawks	52.9%4.59%	60.8%1.72%	68.8%1.21%	60.7%2.33%	50.7%4.47%	76.1%0.34%	36.0%7.34%	44.4%7.17%	57.9%3.02%	43.1%4.29%	68.0%1.77%	60.3%2.63%	53.3%2.94%		33.1%4.04%	60.6%2.59%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	69.3%3.88%	77.9%2.57%	80.8%1.89%	77.2%2.69%	68.4%5.97%	84.6%0.47%	54.9%4.87%	62.0%4.35%	74.8%3.24%	62.1%6.53%	82.3%2.54%	76.4%3.98%	71.4%2.92%	66.9%4.04%		77.1%3.95%
Washington Football Team	40.5%2.42%	50.8%1.50%	56.5%0.99%	50.0%1.12%	41.6%1.65%	63.8%0.14%	25.7%2.38%	32.0%3.12%	46.9%1.47%	33.1%5.65%	60.5%0.43%	48.9%0.84%	40.1%1.61%	39.4%2.59%	22.9%3.95%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		39.7%9.61%	62.8%1.03%	59.7%2.93%	68.1%1.42%	74.4%0.60%	49.4%5.87%	78.2%0.12%	40.7%9.41%	64.1%1.41%	59.4%2.11%	54.5%3.18%	55.6%3.08%	75.7%0.11%	57.7%2.76%	51.2%5.58%
Buffalo Bills	60.3%9.61%		69.9%2.05%	68.0%4.94%	73.7%2.33%	78.0%0.81%	60.9%8.67%	84.7%0.16%	50.9%11.62%	72.2%2.31%	70.1%3.24%	65.2%5.07%	63.8%4.47%	85.1%0.15%	65.7%4.59%	60.7%7.87%
Cincinnati Bengals	37.2%1.03%	30.1%2.05%		47.3%0.35%	63.6%0.17%	60.3%0.08%	35.7%0.99%	75.0%0.02%	30.8%1.88%	54.1%0.19%	44.3%0.30%	40.9%0.51%	43.1%0.40%	54.5%0.01%	47.6%0.27%	37.6%0.87%
Cleveland Browns	40.3%2.93%	32.0%4.94%	52.7%0.35%		58.7%0.60%	70.1%0.19%	42.6%2.54%	69.2%0.04%	34.3%4.50%	54.8%0.53%	51.6%0.78%	47.4%1.32%	47.1%1.14%	78.6%0.03%	51.7%0.90%	42.5%2.33%
Denver Broncos	31.9%1.42%	26.3%2.33%	36.4%0.17%	41.3%0.60%		44.2%0.08%	34.8%1.26%	58.8%0.02%	25.1%1.97%	41.5%0.13%	39.5%0.22%	33.0%0.58%	37.8%0.53%	57.1%<0.01%	41.4%0.48%	36.0%1.05%
Houston Texans	25.6%0.60%	22.0%0.81%	39.7%0.08%	29.9%0.19%	55.8%0.08%		31.2%0.21%		20.4%0.81%	32.1%0.08%	40.4%0.09%	34.3%0.18%	29.5%0.16%	33.3%<0.01%	42.6%0.19%	27.1%0.20%
Indianapolis Colts	50.6%5.87%	39.1%8.67%	64.3%0.99%	57.4%2.54%	65.2%1.26%	68.8%0.21%		85.3%0.03%	40.4%8.22%	63.9%1.06%	60.7%1.60%	55.5%2.43%	55.3%2.23%	72.2%0.07%	55.8%2.39%	49.7%3.21%
Jacksonville Jaguars	21.8%0.12%	15.3%0.16%	25.0%0.02%	30.8%0.04%	41.2%0.02%		14.7%0.03%		18.0%0.17%	34.8%0.02%	25.8%0.03%	24.3%0.04%	19.4%0.04%		36.4%0.03%	20.0%0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	59.3%9.41%	49.1%11.62%	69.2%1.88%	65.7%4.50%	74.9%1.97%	79.6%0.81%	59.6%8.22%	82.0%0.17%		71.0%1.86%	69.4%2.77%	64.5%4.57%	62.3%4.22%	85.5%0.17%	67.1%4.27%	59.2%7.80%
Las Vegas Raiders	35.9%1.41%	27.8%2.31%	45.9%0.19%	45.2%0.53%	58.5%0.13%	67.9%0.08%	36.1%1.06%	65.2%0.02%	29.0%1.86%		48.1%0.22%	43.0%0.51%	41.0%0.50%	58.3%0.01%	44.2%0.47%	38.2%0.98%
Los Angeles Chargers	40.6%2.11%	29.9%3.24%	55.7%0.30%	48.4%0.78%	60.5%0.22%	59.6%0.09%	39.3%1.60%	74.2%0.03%	30.6%2.77%	51.9%0.22%		43.8%0.84%	41.6%0.70%	77.3%0.02%	48.7%0.74%	37.3%1.55%
Miami Dolphins	45.5%3.18%	34.8%5.07%	59.1%0.51%	52.6%1.32%	67.0%0.58%	65.7%0.18%	44.5%2.43%	75.7%0.04%	35.5%4.57%	57.0%0.51%	56.2%0.84%		48.8%0.90%	82.8%0.03%	51.8%1.22%	45.4%2.13%
New England Patriots	44.4%3.08%	36.2%4.47%	56.9%0.40%	52.9%1.14%	62.2%0.53%	70.5%0.16%	44.7%2.23%	80.6%0.04%	37.7%4.22%	59.0%0.50%	58.4%0.70%	51.2%0.90%		80.0%0.01%	52.0%1.20%	45.2%1.94%
New York Jets	24.3%0.11%	14.9%0.15%	45.5%0.01%	21.4%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	27.8%0.07%		14.5%0.17%	41.7%0.01%	22.7%0.02%	17.2%0.03%	20.0%0.01%		28.2%0.04%	40.0%0.06%
Pittsburgh Steelers	42.3%2.76%	34.3%4.59%	52.4%0.27%	48.3%0.90%	58.6%0.48%	57.4%0.19%	44.2%2.39%	63.6%0.03%	32.9%4.27%	55.8%0.47%	51.3%0.74%	48.2%1.22%	48.0%1.20%	71.8%0.04%		42.8%2.04%
Tennessee Titans	48.8%5.58%	39.3%7.87%	62.4%0.87%	57.5%2.33%	64.0%1.05%	72.9%0.20%	50.3%3.21%	80.0%0.03%	40.8%7.80%	61.8%0.98%	62.7%1.55%	54.6%2.13%	54.8%1.94%	60.0%0.06%	57.2%2.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals		59.8%0.48%	63.1%0.27%	65.5%0.59%	48.2%1.53%	77.3%0.04%	33.7%5.58%	40.5%2.49%	53.9%0.81%	41.7%3.46%	65.7%0.36%	59.3%0.74%	56.0%0.65%	48.9%1.52%	30.0%6.52%	57.7%0.77%
Atlanta Falcons	40.2%0.48%		63.5%0.05%	49.7%0.18%	38.0%0.37%	55.6%<0.01%	26.7%1.64%	34.1%0.95%	41.3%0.25%	30.9%1.05%	54.7%0.09%	42.4%0.17%	35.1%0.30%	36.3%0.61%	22.7%2.59%	52.1%0.19%
Carolina Panthers	36.9%0.27%	36.5%0.05%		45.0%0.11%	40.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	23.4%1.06%	31.7%0.60%	35.4%0.13%	30.1%0.62%	33.3%0.04%	45.5%0.10%	32.8%0.18%	35.1%0.39%	21.0%1.75%	48.6%0.11%
Chicago Bears	34.5%0.59%	50.3%0.18%	55.0%0.11%		40.5%0.57%	33.3%<0.01%	27.1%1.66%	33.8%1.17%	41.8%0.13%	30.3%1.44%	61.7%0.11%	47.7%0.28%	46.0%0.36%	38.5%0.74%	23.2%2.67%	45.8%0.31%
Dallas Cowboys	51.8%1.53%	62.0%0.37%	59.5%0.24%	59.5%0.57%		78.7%0.05%	34.7%5.53%	42.5%3.10%	52.2%0.77%	41.9%2.65%	73.7%0.10%	61.9%0.21%	52.1%0.99%	47.5%1.98%	31.0%5.80%	62.0%0.24%
Detroit Lions	22.7%0.04%	44.4%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	21.3%0.05%		11.5%0.11%	21.2%0.10%	27.3%0.01%	23.1%0.12%	28.6%<0.01%	18.8%0.02%	21.9%0.03%	24.6%0.07%	19.5%0.29%	26.1%0.02%
Green Bay Packers	66.3%5.58%	73.3%1.64%	76.6%1.06%	72.9%1.66%	65.3%5.53%	88.5%0.11%		57.1%9.57%	69.5%2.27%	57.0%8.57%	80.3%1.32%	73.5%2.78%	65.9%3.52%	62.7%6.44%	45.0%11.27%	73.5%2.61%
Los Angeles Rams	59.5%2.49%	65.9%0.95%	68.3%0.60%	66.2%1.17%	57.5%3.10%	78.8%0.10%	42.9%9.57%		63.6%1.58%	49.5%5.86%	74.7%0.66%	67.2%1.47%	59.1%1.43%	53.7%2.98%	37.6%9.77%	66.4%1.49%
Minnesota Vikings	46.1%0.81%	58.7%0.25%	64.6%0.13%	58.2%0.13%	47.8%0.77%	72.7%0.01%	30.5%2.27%	36.4%1.58%		36.2%1.84%	62.7%0.17%	56.2%0.34%	50.4%0.48%	42.6%0.96%	26.9%3.87%	54.0%0.37%
New Orleans Saints	58.3%3.46%	69.1%1.05%	69.9%0.62%	69.7%1.44%	58.1%2.65%	76.9%0.12%	43.0%8.57%	50.5%5.86%	63.8%1.84%		75.7%0.60%	68.9%1.27%	59.6%2.30%	55.8%3.95%	38.7%14.29%	67.7%1.29%
New York Giants	34.3%0.36%	45.3%0.09%	66.7%0.04%	38.3%0.11%	26.3%0.10%	71.4%<0.01%	19.7%1.32%	25.3%0.66%	37.3%0.17%	24.3%0.60%		29.6%0.03%	35.5%0.22%	34.1%0.46%	18.4%1.49%	42.9%0.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	40.7%0.74%	57.6%0.17%	54.5%0.10%	52.3%0.28%	38.1%0.21%	81.2%0.02%	26.5%2.78%	32.8%1.47%	43.8%0.34%	31.1%1.27%	70.4%0.03%		46.3%0.39%	38.2%0.92%	23.2%3.01%	59.8%0.09%
San Francisco 49ers	44.0%0.65%	64.9%0.30%	67.2%0.18%	54.0%0.36%	47.9%0.99%	78.1%0.03%	34.1%3.52%	40.9%1.43%	49.6%0.48%	40.4%2.30%	64.5%0.22%	53.7%0.39%		45.9%0.80%	28.9%4.49%	56.8%0.44%
Seattle Seahawks	51.1%1.52%	63.7%0.61%	64.9%0.39%	61.5%0.74%	52.5%1.98%	75.4%0.07%	37.3%6.44%	46.3%2.98%	57.4%0.96%	44.2%3.95%	65.9%0.46%	61.8%0.92%	54.1%0.80%		32.4%7.24%	60.7%0.88%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	70.0%6.52%	77.3%2.59%	79.0%1.75%	76.8%2.67%	69.0%5.80%	80.5%0.29%	55.0%11.27%	62.4%9.77%	73.1%3.87%	61.3%14.29%	81.6%1.49%	76.8%3.01%	71.1%4.49%	67.6%7.24%		76.9%2.94%
Washington Football Team	42.3%0.77%	47.9%0.19%	51.4%0.11%	54.2%0.31%	38.0%0.24%	73.9%0.02%	26.5%2.61%	33.6%1.49%	46.0%0.37%	32.3%1.29%	57.1%0.05%	40.2%0.09%	43.2%0.44%	39.3%0.88%	23.1%2.94%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		39.5%6.89%	56.2%0.32%	57.6%1.00%	67.2%0.42%	67.4%0.13%	50.5%2.65%	80.0%0.03%	40.9%5.94%	67.4%0.45%	61.8%0.71%	57.6%1.28%	54.3%1.32%	87.0%0.02%	57.6%0.92%	50.5%2.49%
Buffalo Bills	60.5%6.89%		70.2%0.80%	67.3%2.38%	75.1%0.85%	78.1%0.24%	60.4%5.23%	78.8%0.03%	51.1%12.21%	71.0%0.91%	69.1%1.43%	64.2%2.20%	63.4%2.03%	79.3%0.03%	65.7%2.25%	61.1%4.81%
Cincinnati Bengals	43.8%0.32%	29.8%0.80%		44.0%0.11%	53.8%0.07%	61.5%0.01%	38.5%0.37%	100.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.73%	56.7%0.06%	47.1%0.09%	37.7%0.19%	46.3%0.16%	75.0%<0.01%	43.3%0.10%	42.4%0.31%
Cleveland Browns	42.4%1.00%	32.7%2.38%	56.0%0.11%		61.3%0.16%	71.8%0.04%	42.0%0.99%	69.2%0.01%	33.0%2.06%	55.1%0.18%	54.3%0.28%	44.6%0.51%	44.1%0.47%	71.4%<0.01%	52.9%0.31%	42.4%0.90%
Denver Broncos	32.8%0.42%	24.9%0.85%	46.2%0.07%	38.7%0.16%		45.0%0.02%	34.5%0.36%		26.2%0.61%	51.2%0.04%	40.4%0.06%	39.6%0.19%	39.1%0.20%	66.7%<0.01%	35.3%0.15%	30.2%0.32%
Houston Texans	32.6%0.13%	21.9%0.24%	38.5%0.01%	28.2%0.04%	55.0%0.02%		21.3%0.07%		24.7%0.22%	31.0%0.03%	43.8%0.03%	46.3%0.04%	29.1%0.06%		34.8%0.05%	21.9%0.06%
Indianapolis Colts	49.5%2.65%	39.6%5.23%	61.5%0.37%	58.0%0.99%	65.5%0.36%	78.7%0.07%		63.6%0.01%	41.1%4.76%	60.4%0.34%	59.0%0.63%	53.1%1.07%	53.1%0.99%	72.7%0.02%	54.6%0.94%	49.8%1.52%
Jacksonville Jaguars	20.0%0.03%	21.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%			36.4%0.01%		13.8%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%		28.6%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	59.1%5.94%	48.9%12.21%	71.4%0.73%	67.0%2.06%	73.8%0.61%	75.3%0.22%	58.9%4.76%	86.2%0.03%		69.8%0.68%	72.7%1.05%	64.1%2.42%	64.4%2.14%	75.8%0.03%	66.6%2.00%	58.6%4.26%
Las Vegas Raiders	32.6%0.45%	29.0%0.91%	43.3%0.06%	44.9%0.18%	48.8%0.04%	69.0%0.03%	39.6%0.34%	33.3%<0.01%	30.2%0.68%		38.4%0.07%	39.8%0.18%	47.3%0.19%	100.0%<0.01%	41.1%0.17%	38.2%0.36%
Los Angeles Chargers	38.2%0.71%	30.9%1.43%	52.9%0.09%	45.7%0.28%	59.6%0.06%	56.2%0.03%	41.0%0.63%	83.3%<0.01%	27.3%1.05%	61.6%0.07%		41.3%0.32%	43.1%0.27%	57.1%<0.01%	45.2%0.22%	39.9%0.61%
Miami Dolphins	42.4%1.28%	35.8%2.20%	62.3%0.19%	55.4%0.51%	60.4%0.19%	53.7%0.04%	46.9%1.07%	83.3%0.01%	35.9%2.42%	60.2%0.18%	58.7%0.32%		54.5%0.38%	50.0%<0.01%	51.9%0.50%	42.9%0.96%
New England Patriots	45.7%1.32%	36.6%2.03%	53.7%0.16%	55.9%0.47%	60.9%0.20%	70.9%0.06%	46.9%0.99%	85.7%<0.01%	35.6%2.14%	52.7%0.19%	56.9%0.27%	45.5%0.38%		0.0%<0.01%	53.5%0.46%	45.4%0.88%
New York Jets	13.0%0.02%	20.7%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		27.3%0.02%		24.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	42.4%0.92%	34.3%2.25%	56.7%0.10%	47.1%0.31%	64.7%0.15%	65.2%0.05%	45.4%0.94%	71.4%<0.01%	33.4%2.00%	58.9%0.17%	54.8%0.22%	48.1%0.50%	46.5%0.46%	0.0%<0.01%		45.0%0.82%
Tennessee Titans	49.5%2.49%	38.9%4.81%	57.6%0.31%	57.6%0.90%	69.8%0.32%	78.1%0.06%	50.2%1.52%	83.3%0.01%	41.4%4.26%	61.8%0.36%	60.1%0.61%	57.1%0.96%	54.6%0.88%	75.0%0.02%	55.0%0.82%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals		70.4%0.17%	53.8%0.08%	55.8%0.16%	47.1%0.48%	54.5%0.01%	35.9%2.12%	42.5%0.89%	54.0%0.25%	41.1%1.46%	69.1%0.06%	55.2%0.18%	52.0%0.27%	48.8%0.60%	29.9%3.68%	54.5%0.18%
Atlanta Falcons	29.6%0.17%		85.7%0.01%	45.5%0.06%	35.0%0.10%	75.0%<0.01%	27.9%0.56%	35.2%0.31%	45.3%0.07%	31.8%0.33%	53.8%0.01%	54.2%0.05%	43.4%0.10%	43.2%0.19%	23.3%0.77%	35.1%0.06%
Carolina Panthers	46.2%0.08%	14.3%0.01%		41.2%0.03%	39.1%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.34%	33.1%0.18%	42.4%0.03%	24.3%0.18%	52.9%0.02%	40.0%0.03%	39.0%0.06%	41.7%0.14%	23.6%0.42%	58.6%0.03%
Chicago Bears	44.2%0.16%	54.5%0.06%	58.8%0.03%		34.7%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	27.2%0.56%	33.3%0.34%	47.0%0.07%	28.0%0.46%	61.9%0.02%	49.2%0.07%	39.0%0.10%	45.2%0.19%	26.3%1.09%	45.8%0.06%
Dallas Cowboys	52.9%0.48%	65.0%0.10%	60.9%0.07%	65.3%0.15%		100.0%<0.01%	33.7%2.17%	42.2%1.07%	57.0%0.22%	37.5%1.18%	70.3%0.04%	59.8%0.11%	51.7%0.35%	50.7%0.65%	32.2%3.20%	57.3%0.09%
Detroit Lions	45.5%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		12.5%0.03%	20.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	27.6%0.03%		66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%	12.1%0.06%	25.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	64.1%2.12%	72.1%0.56%	73.9%0.34%	72.8%0.56%	66.3%2.17%	87.5%0.03%		56.7%4.56%	69.2%0.90%	55.5%5.91%	79.3%0.30%	72.8%0.76%	67.2%1.23%	61.8%2.67%	44.9%16.07%	74.9%0.83%
Los Angeles Rams	57.5%0.89%	64.8%0.31%	66.9%0.18%	66.7%0.34%	57.8%1.07%	80.0%0.01%	43.3%4.56%		58.6%0.55%	48.2%3.21%	75.7%0.15%	65.2%0.42%	59.1%0.59%	55.4%1.29%	38.2%7.74%	66.5%0.41%
Minnesota Vikings	46.0%0.25%	54.7%0.07%	57.6%0.03%	53.0%0.07%	43.0%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.90%	41.4%0.55%		36.8%0.72%	60.0%0.03%	63.4%0.08%	47.0%0.15%	41.0%0.31%	27.8%1.69%	46.3%0.10%
New Orleans Saints	58.9%1.46%	68.2%0.33%	75.7%0.18%	72.0%0.46%	62.5%1.18%	72.4%0.03%	44.5%5.91%	51.8%3.21%	63.2%0.72%		73.7%0.19%	66.0%0.44%	61.8%0.90%	56.7%1.76%	38.5%7.71%	66.5%0.46%
New York Giants	30.9%0.06%	46.2%0.01%	47.1%0.02%	38.1%0.02%	29.7%0.04%		20.7%0.30%	24.3%0.15%	40.0%0.03%	26.3%0.19%		57.1%<0.01%	31.4%0.05%	39.3%0.09%	13.6%0.46%	46.7%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	44.8%0.18%	45.8%0.05%	60.0%0.03%	50.8%0.07%	40.2%0.11%	33.3%<0.01%	27.2%0.76%	34.8%0.42%	36.6%0.08%	34.0%0.44%	42.9%<0.01%		42.3%0.10%	36.8%0.25%	26.9%1.22%	50.0%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	48.0%0.27%	56.6%0.10%	61.0%0.06%	61.0%0.10%	48.3%0.35%	66.7%<0.01%	32.8%1.23%	40.9%0.59%	53.0%0.15%	38.2%0.90%	68.6%0.05%	57.7%0.10%		43.3%0.36%	28.6%2.12%	55.6%0.11%
Seattle Seahawks	51.2%0.60%	56.8%0.19%	58.3%0.14%	54.8%0.19%	49.3%0.65%	81.8%0.01%	38.2%2.67%	44.6%1.29%	59.0%0.31%	43.3%1.76%	60.7%0.09%	63.2%0.25%	56.7%0.36%		33.3%4.52%	57.8%0.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	70.1%3.68%	76.7%0.77%	76.4%0.42%	73.7%1.09%	67.8%3.20%	87.9%0.06%	55.1%16.07%	61.8%7.74%	72.2%1.69%	61.5%7.71%	86.4%0.46%	73.1%1.22%	71.4%2.12%	66.7%4.52%		75.7%1.24%
Washington Football Team	45.5%0.18%	64.9%0.06%	41.4%0.03%	54.2%0.06%	42.7%0.09%	75.0%<0.01%	25.1%0.83%	33.5%0.41%	53.7%0.10%	33.5%0.46%	53.3%0.01%	50.0%0.03%	44.4%0.11%	42.2%0.21%	24.3%1.24%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	56.7%0.48%	63.1%0.10%	71.2%0.06%	65.3%0.12%	53.5%0.45%	100.0%<0.01%	40.6%2.46%	46.9%1.23%	61.5%0.22%	47.7%1.44%	56.8%0.04%	73.2%0.13%	57.0%0.28%	54.3%0.66%	36.7%3.84%	62.9%0.13%
Buffalo Bills	65.7%1.03%	72.0%0.21%	76.7%0.12%	73.9%0.28%	66.7%1.04%	83.3%<0.01%	50.8%5.44%	56.3%2.60%	67.4%0.46%	56.8%3.06%	82.6%0.09%	68.6%0.32%	65.5%0.62%	60.6%1.41%	46.4%8.38%	72.2%0.31%
Cincinnati Bengals	43.9%0.06%	38.5%0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	42.9%0.01%	43.2%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	29.5%0.24%	42.3%0.14%	38.9%0.02%	29.3%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%	52.9%0.02%	51.7%0.03%	31.5%0.07%	28.9%0.40%	50.0%0.01%
Cleveland Browns	48.2%0.14%	63.8%0.05%	72.7%0.02%	37.5%0.02%	50.3%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	33.2%0.82%	40.5%0.37%	52.7%0.07%	40.3%0.48%	75.0%0.01%	42.9%0.05%	57.0%0.09%	43.7%0.23%	28.1%1.19%	63.3%0.05%
Denver Broncos	42.3%0.05%	22.2%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	58.3%0.01%	41.5%0.04%		25.3%0.23%	29.9%0.10%	46.9%0.03%	29.3%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	42.1%0.02%	51.8%0.06%	22.2%0.37%	36.4%0.01%
Houston Texans	61.5%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%		22.7%0.07%	11.1%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%	17.2%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	14.4%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	54.2%0.39%	64.6%0.08%	67.4%0.04%	62.0%0.10%	53.2%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	40.1%2.03%	48.4%0.93%	62.0%0.16%	43.8%1.26%	74.2%0.03%	61.7%0.11%	60.1%0.25%	51.9%0.52%	36.6%3.01%	58.5%0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars	50.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%			14.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%				50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.4%0.93%	69.2%0.21%	80.3%0.12%	66.3%0.26%	60.9%0.87%	84.6%0.01%	50.6%4.87%	58.3%2.29%	66.9%0.43%	56.9%2.81%	80.2%0.08%	73.8%0.26%	63.4%0.58%	60.9%1.25%	44.4%7.61%	67.8%0.27%
Las Vegas Raiders	51.0%0.05%	54.5%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%	37.5%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	25.2%0.31%	42.2%0.13%	52.5%0.04%	29.7%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	45.5%0.02%	29.5%0.06%	30.1%0.41%	37.5%0.02%
Los Angeles Chargers	50.6%0.08%	55.0%0.02%	53.3%0.01%	50.0%0.03%	38.6%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	33.0%0.45%	34.5%0.25%	42.1%0.04%	36.6%0.27%	57.1%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	45.2%0.04%	38.3%0.11%	28.9%0.69%	60.9%0.02%
Miami Dolphins	46.3%0.18%	48.7%0.04%	60.0%0.02%	54.1%0.04%	40.9%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	36.9%0.99%	41.7%0.49%	57.5%0.08%	41.5%0.53%	71.4%<0.01%	59.1%0.07%	57.3%0.10%	47.4%0.23%	32.6%1.46%	67.3%0.05%
New England Patriots	53.7%0.19%	58.5%0.04%	48.0%0.03%	48.8%0.04%	50.6%0.16%	100.0%<0.01%	35.5%0.91%	45.0%0.41%	65.4%0.08%	40.6%0.46%	50.0%0.01%	64.7%0.05%	58.5%0.14%	50.0%0.23%	32.2%1.35%	60.4%0.05%
New York Jets	33.3%<0.01%				50.0%<0.01%		50.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.3%0.15%	51.9%0.03%	50.0%0.02%	55.8%0.04%	47.1%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	36.3%0.78%	41.9%0.38%	39.1%0.06%	42.9%0.46%	66.7%0.01%	54.1%0.04%	48.7%0.08%	45.0%0.22%	30.9%1.16%	56.0%0.05%
Tennessee Titans	56.2%0.37%	69.2%0.07%	56.0%0.05%	57.7%0.10%	53.9%0.34%	50.0%<0.01%	42.8%1.85%	45.5%0.89%	64.3%0.17%	46.0%1.05%	63.6%0.03%	68.5%0.12%	59.6%0.20%	50.2%0.44%	36.7%2.90%	71.3%0.11%
Arizona Cardinals																	43.3%0.48%	34.3%1.03%	56.1%0.06%	51.8%0.14%	57.7%0.05%	38.5%0.01%	45.8%0.39%	50.0%<0.01%	37.6%0.93%	49.0%0.05%	49.4%0.08%	53.7%0.18%	46.3%0.19%	66.7%<0.01%	51.7%0.15%	43.8%0.37%
Atlanta Falcons																	36.9%0.10%	28.0%0.21%	61.5%0.01%	36.2%0.05%	77.8%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	35.4%0.08%		30.8%0.21%	45.5%0.01%	45.0%0.02%	51.3%0.04%	41.5%0.04%		48.1%0.03%	30.8%0.07%
Carolina Panthers																	28.8%0.06%	23.3%0.12%	55.6%<0.01%	27.3%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	32.6%0.04%		19.7%0.12%	75.0%<0.01%	46.7%0.01%	40.0%0.02%	52.0%0.03%		50.0%0.02%	44.0%0.05%
Chicago Bears																	34.7%0.12%	26.1%0.28%	57.1%0.01%	62.5%0.02%	41.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	38.0%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%	33.7%0.26%	36.4%0.01%	50.0%0.03%	45.9%0.04%	51.2%0.04%		44.2%0.04%	42.3%0.10%
Dallas Cowboys																	46.5%0.45%	33.3%1.04%	56.8%0.04%	49.7%0.14%	58.5%0.04%	70.0%0.01%	46.8%0.36%		39.1%0.87%	62.5%0.05%	61.4%0.09%	59.1%0.15%	49.4%0.16%	50.0%<0.01%	52.9%0.15%	46.1%0.34%
Detroit Lions																	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	59.4%2.46%	49.2%5.44%	70.5%0.24%	66.8%0.82%	74.7%0.23%	77.3%0.07%	59.9%2.03%	85.7%<0.01%	49.4%4.87%	74.8%0.31%	67.0%0.45%	63.1%0.99%	64.5%0.91%	50.0%0.01%	63.7%0.78%	57.2%1.85%
Los Angeles Rams																	53.1%1.23%	43.7%2.60%	57.7%0.14%	59.5%0.37%	70.1%0.10%	88.9%0.02%	51.6%0.93%	50.0%<0.01%	41.7%2.29%	57.8%0.13%	65.5%0.25%	58.3%0.49%	55.0%0.41%	100.0%<0.01%	58.1%0.38%	54.5%0.89%
Minnesota Vikings																	38.5%0.22%	32.6%0.46%	61.1%0.02%	47.3%0.07%	53.1%0.03%	40.0%<0.01%	38.0%0.16%		33.1%0.43%	47.5%0.04%	57.9%0.04%	42.5%0.08%	34.6%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	60.9%0.06%	35.7%0.17%
New Orleans Saints																	52.3%1.44%	43.2%3.06%	70.7%0.16%	59.7%0.48%	70.7%0.14%	82.8%0.03%	56.2%1.26%	66.7%<0.01%	43.1%2.81%	70.3%0.15%	63.4%0.27%	58.5%0.53%	59.4%0.46%	100.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.46%	54.0%1.05%
New York Giants																	43.2%0.04%	17.4%0.09%	33.3%<0.01%	25.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.8%0.03%		19.8%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%		33.3%0.01%	36.4%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles																	26.8%0.13%	31.4%0.32%	47.1%0.02%	57.1%0.05%	50.0%0.01%	83.3%<0.01%	38.3%0.11%		26.2%0.26%	50.0%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	40.9%0.07%	35.3%0.05%		45.9%0.04%	31.5%0.12%
San Francisco 49ers																	43.0%0.28%	34.5%0.62%	48.3%0.03%	43.0%0.09%	57.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	39.9%0.25%		36.6%0.58%	54.5%0.02%	54.8%0.04%	42.7%0.10%	41.5%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	51.3%0.08%	40.4%0.20%
Seattle Seahawks																	45.7%0.66%	39.4%1.41%	68.5%0.07%	56.3%0.23%	48.2%0.06%	88.9%<0.01%	48.1%0.52%	50.0%<0.01%	39.1%1.25%	70.5%0.06%	61.7%0.11%	52.6%0.23%	50.0%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	55.0%0.22%	49.8%0.44%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	63.3%3.84%	53.6%8.38%	71.1%0.40%	71.9%1.19%	77.8%0.37%	85.6%0.10%	63.4%3.01%	66.7%0.01%	55.6%7.61%	69.9%0.41%	71.1%0.69%	67.4%1.46%	67.8%1.35%	100.0%0.01%	69.1%1.16%	63.3%2.90%
Washington Football Team																	37.1%0.13%	27.8%0.31%	50.0%0.01%	36.7%0.05%	63.6%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	41.5%0.12%		32.2%0.27%	62.5%0.02%	39.1%0.02%	32.7%0.05%	39.6%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	44.0%0.05%	28.7%0.11%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	65.42%	35.07%	19.77%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	77.13%	52.03%	30.74%	18.95%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Buffalo Bills	65.08%	37.50%	24.00%	12.83%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	66.66%	38.38%	24.28%	12.70%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Tennessee Titans	100.00%	57.96%	25.48%	10.79%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Los Angeles Rams	59.47%	26.08%	12.31%	6.20%	Won Super Bowl
Dallas Cowboys	52.80%	18.30%	7.49%	3.30%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New England Patriots	34.92%	17.49%	7.96%	3.20%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
San Francisco 49ers	47.20%	16.86%	6.05%	2.58%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Arizona Cardinals	40.53%	14.88%	5.89%	2.51%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	33.34%	14.90%	6.56%	2.48%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Cincinnati Bengals	51.98%	17.83%	6.31%	2.09%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Las Vegas Raiders	48.02%	15.95%	5.41%	1.74%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	22.87%	6.44%	2.44%	0.86%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Buffalo Bills					65.1%100.00%
Cincinnati Bengals				52.0%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs						66.7%100.00%
Las Vegas Raiders		48.0%100.00%
New England Patriots	34.9%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers			33.3%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Dallas Cowboys	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals			40.5%100.00%
Dallas Cowboys					52.8%100.00%
Los Angeles Rams	59.5%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles						22.9%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers		47.2%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers				77.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills		72.1%11.20%	50.2%43.37%	72.9%10.51%
Cincinnati Bengals	27.9%11.20%		28.3%12.10%		42.8%6.04%		38.4%22.64%
Kansas City Chiefs	49.8%43.37%	71.7%12.10%		72.3%11.19%
Las Vegas Raiders	27.1%10.51%		27.7%11.19%		42.8%5.59%		36.7%20.73%
New England Patriots		57.2%6.04%		57.2%5.59%			46.5%23.30%
Pittsburgh Steelers							44.7%33.34%
Tennessee Titans		61.6%22.64%		63.3%20.73%	53.5%23.30%	55.3%33.34%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals		49.1%4.90%	34.8%16.46%			51.9%4.40%	30.2%14.77%
Dallas Cowboys	50.9%4.90%			44.3%7.20%			31.0%40.70%
Green Bay Packers	65.2%16.46%			58.0%24.24%	71.8%22.87%	66.4%36.43%
Los Angeles Rams		55.7%7.20%	42.0%24.24%			60.6%6.36%	37.0%21.67%
Philadelphia Eagles			28.2%22.87%
San Francisco 49ers	48.1%4.40%		33.6%36.43%	39.4%6.36%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	69.8%14.77%	69.0%40.70%		63.0%21.67%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills		71.8%4.39%		73.3%3.75%		65.4%6.98%	60.5%22.38%
Cincinnati Bengals	28.2%4.39%		30.2%4.30%		43.0%1.63%	44.2%2.60%	39.3%4.91%
Kansas City Chiefs		69.8%4.30%		73.4%3.86%	63.0%7.76%		60.4%22.45%
Las Vegas Raiders	26.7%3.75%		26.6%3.86%		39.9%1.45%	44.9%2.36%	38.6%4.53%
New England Patriots		57.0%1.63%	37.0%7.76%	60.1%1.45%		52.9%2.96%	46.6%3.69%
Pittsburgh Steelers	34.6%6.98%	55.8%2.60%		55.1%2.36%	47.1%2.96%
Tennessee Titans	39.5%22.38%	60.7%4.91%	39.6%22.45%	61.4%4.53%	53.4%3.69%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals		48.0%1.78%	35.0%6.28%		59.8%1.33%	52.0%1.55%	31.4%3.95%
Dallas Cowboys	52.0%1.78%		35.8%11.78%	44.5%3.16%	59.5%1.58%
Green Bay Packers	65.0%6.28%	64.2%11.78%		56.5%10.98%		66.1%3.32%	45.5%33.06%
Los Angeles Rams		55.5%3.16%	43.5%10.98%		66.6%2.23%	59.1%2.68%	38.5%7.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	40.2%1.33%	40.5%1.58%		33.4%2.23%		40.2%1.30%
San Francisco 49ers	48.0%1.55%		33.9%3.32%	40.9%2.68%	59.8%1.30%		28.8%8.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.6%3.95%		54.5%33.06%	61.5%7.02%		71.2%8.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Dallas Cowboys	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills	66.4%1.44%	63.9%1.82%	51.4%8.41%	57.3%2.94%	71.7%0.60%	63.9%1.45%	45.5%7.33%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.2%0.38%	42.4%0.46%	31.0%2.26%	34.6%0.75%	49.1%0.17%	43.1%0.36%	26.9%1.94%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.9%1.44%	64.7%1.76%	50.0%8.47%	56.6%3.01%	70.6%0.59%	65.0%1.50%	44.3%7.52%
Las Vegas Raiders	46.5%0.30%	45.3%0.42%	29.6%1.87%	35.4%0.64%	51.1%0.14%	39.2%0.31%	25.3%1.73%
New England Patriots	52.8%0.47%	47.1%0.64%	38.2%2.75%	43.4%1.03%	63.1%0.17%	53.0%0.50%	32.6%2.40%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.7%0.38%	45.9%0.54%	34.7%2.29%	42.2%0.82%	61.0%0.15%	50.9%0.41%	30.7%1.97%
Tennessee Titans	51.8%1.47%	51.4%1.85%	40.4%9.04%	46.3%3.12%	60.9%0.63%	53.8%1.52%	35.3%7.85%
Arizona Cardinals								33.6%1.44%	53.8%0.38%	37.1%1.44%	53.5%0.30%	47.2%0.47%	51.3%0.38%	48.2%1.47%
Dallas Cowboys								36.1%1.82%	57.6%0.46%	35.3%1.76%	54.7%0.42%	52.9%0.64%	54.1%0.54%	48.6%1.85%
Green Bay Packers								48.6%8.41%	69.0%2.26%	50.0%8.47%	70.4%1.87%	61.8%2.75%	65.3%2.29%	59.6%9.04%
Los Angeles Rams								42.7%2.94%	65.4%0.75%	43.4%3.01%	64.6%0.64%	56.6%1.03%	57.8%0.82%	53.7%3.12%
Philadelphia Eagles								28.3%0.60%	50.9%0.17%	29.4%0.59%	48.9%0.14%	36.9%0.17%	39.0%0.15%	39.1%0.63%
San Francisco 49ers								36.1%1.45%	56.9%0.36%	35.0%1.50%	60.8%0.31%	47.0%0.50%	49.1%0.41%	46.2%1.52%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers								54.5%7.33%	73.1%1.94%	55.7%7.52%	74.7%1.73%	67.4%2.40%	69.3%1.97%	64.7%7.85%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Green Bay Packers 19.77% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

36.99%

Win Prob

66.42%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

42.87%

Win Prob

45.48%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

27.23%

Win Prob

59.58%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 18.95% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

77.13%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

53.97%

Win Prob

69.00%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

58.64%

Win Prob

54.52%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

26.77%

Win Prob

64.65%

Buffalo Bills 12.83% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.08%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

58.03%

Win Prob

50.17%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

56.39%

Win Prob

60.45%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

33.70%

Win Prob

51.43%

Kansas City Chiefs 12.70% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.66%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

56.31%

Win Prob

49.83%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

55.83%

Win Prob

60.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

33.31%

Win Prob

49.96%

Tennessee Titans 10.79% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

31.81%

Win Prob

55.31%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

34.91%

Win Prob

39.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

33.86%

Win Prob

40.42%

Los Angeles Rams 6.20% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.47%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

39.05%

Win Prob

42.01%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

38.82%

Win Prob

43.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

27.04%

Win Prob

53.70%

Dallas Cowboys 3.30% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.80%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

68.95%

Win Prob

31.00%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

56.33%

Win Prob

35.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

27.26%

Win Prob

48.65%

New England Patriots 3.20% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.92%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

61.99%

Win Prob

46.53%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

36.14%

Win Prob

37.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.80%

Win Prob

38.17%

San Francisco 49ers 2.58% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.20%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

72.58%

Win Prob

33.58%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

38.14%

Win Prob

28.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

27.17%

Win Prob

46.25%

Arizona Cardinals 2.51% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.53%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

38.46%

Win Prob

34.77%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

37.27%

Win Prob

34.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

28.30%

Win Prob

48.20%

Pittsburgh Steelers 2.48% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.34%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.69%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

36.77%

Win Prob

34.56%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.11%

Win Prob

34.74%

Cincinnati Bengals 2.09% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.98%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

48.75%

Win Prob

38.39%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

30.57%

Win Prob

39.30%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

33.52%

Win Prob

31.03%

Las Vegas Raiders 1.74% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.02%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

47.70%

Win Prob

36.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

32.26%

Win Prob

38.55%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

31.71%

Win Prob

29.55%

Philadelphia Eagles 0.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

22.87%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

28.18%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

30.51%

Win Prob

33.38%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

28.65%

Win Prob

39.08%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2021-09-12	@ Tennessee Titans	W 38-13	1491.44	1533.75	42.78%	56.72%	+12.16	1-0
2021-09-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-33	1503.60	1475.54	54.70%	44.80%	+1.92	2-0
2021-09-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-19	1505.52	1362.61	68.43%	31.12%	+4.64	3-0
2021-10-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 37-20	1510.16	1577.10	39.35%	60.16%	+10.63	4-0
2021-10-10	San Francisco 49ers	W 17-10	1520.79	1485.73	55.69%	43.80%	+4.98	5-0
2021-10-17	@ Cleveland Browns	W 37-14	1525.77	1529.91	48.22%	51.27%	+10.55	6-0
2021-10-24	Houston Texans	W 31-5	1536.32	1414.10	67.46%	32.08%	+7.03	7-0
2021-10-28	Green Bay Packers	L 21-24	1543.35	1613.90	40.64%	58.86%	-3.02	7-1
2021-11-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 31-17	1540.33	1481.79	57.18%	42.32%	+6.80	8-1
2021-11-14	Carolina Panthers	L 10-34	1547.13	1449.33	64.32%	35.21%	-13.51	8-2
2021-11-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 23-13	1533.62	1534.40	48.70%	50.79%	+6.89	9-2
2021-12-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 33-22	1540.51	1467.97	59.14%	40.37%	+5.75	10-2
2021-12-13	Los Angeles Rams	L 23-30	1546.26	1566.32	47.79%	51.70%	-5.43	10-3
2021-12-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 12-30	1540.83	1348.82	74.17%	25.43%	-13.48	10-4
2021-12-25	Indianapolis Colts	L 16-22	1527.35	1572.90	44.15%	55.34%	-4.64	10-5
2022-01-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 25-22	1522.71	1520.86	49.08%	50.41%	+3.74	11-5
2022-01-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 30-38	1526.45	1532.16	49.86%	49.63%	-6.05	11-6
2021-09-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-32	1488.01	1427.42	59.28%	40.23%	-12.96	0-1
2021-09-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 25-48	1475.05	1649.79	25.90%	73.70%	-5.33	0-2
2021-09-26	@ New York Giants	W 17-14	1469.72	1431.98	54.23%	45.26%	+3.36	1-2
2021-10-03	Washington Football Team	L 30-34	1473.08	1470.68	51.02%	48.47%	-4.38	1-3
2021-10-10	New York Jets	W 27-20	1468.70	1369.62	63.63%	35.90%	+4.08	2-3
2021-10-24	@ Miami Dolphins	W 30-28	1472.78	1496.74	45.38%	54.11%	+3.29	3-3
2021-10-31	Carolina Panthers	L 13-19	1476.07	1451.82	54.16%	45.34%	-5.69	3-4
2021-11-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-25	1470.38	1612.88	29.60%	69.96%	+4.24	4-4
2021-11-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-43	1474.62	1484.29	47.42%	52.07%	-12.88	4-5
2021-11-18	New England Patriots	L 0-25	1461.74	1519.64	42.41%	57.09%	-9.11	4-6
2021-11-28	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-14	1452.63	1347.45	63.58%	35.95%	+4.09	5-6
2021-12-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-30	1456.72	1655.39	24.71%	74.90%	-3.83	5-7
2021-12-12	@ Carolina Panthers	W 29-21	1452.89	1448.88	49.39%	50.10%	+6.08	6-7
2021-12-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-31	1458.97	1497.78	43.27%	56.22%	-7.88	6-8
2021-12-26	Detroit Lions	W 20-16	1451.09	1362.30	63.12%	36.40%	+3.13	7-8
2022-01-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 15-29	1454.22	1628.16	25.99%	73.61%	-4.18	7-9
2022-01-09	New Orleans Saints	L 20-30	1450.04	1581.50	32.55%	66.99%	-4.42	7-10
2021-09-13	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 27-33	1589.69	1465.04	66.13%	33.41%	-6.94	0-1
2021-09-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 36-35	1582.75	1609.41	46.85%	52.65%	+2.26	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Detroit Lions	W 19-17	1585.01	1388.21	74.70%	24.91%	+1.51	2-1
2021-10-03	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-7	1586.52	1463.24	65.95%	33.59%	+5.78	3-1
2021-10-11	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-25	1592.30	1538.06	58.39%	41.11%	+4.32	4-1
2021-10-17	Los Angeles Chargers	W 34-6	1596.62	1490.28	65.43%	34.10%	+7.75	5-1
2021-10-24	Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-41	1604.37	1446.73	71.76%	27.82%	-15.06	5-2
2021-11-07	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-31	1589.31	1480.93	65.70%	33.84%	+2.52	6-2
2021-11-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-22	1591.83	1492.85	62.75%	36.77%	-9.32	6-3
2021-11-21	@ Chicago Bears	W 16-13	1582.51	1468.42	64.75%	34.78%	+2.59	7-3
2021-11-28	Cleveland Browns	W 16-10	1585.10	1514.78	60.62%	38.89%	+4.09	8-3
2021-12-05	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-20	1589.19	1509.29	60.16%	39.35%	-2.58	8-4
2021-12-12	@ Cleveland Browns	L 22-24	1586.61	1510.68	59.61%	39.90%	-3.62	8-5
2021-12-19	Green Bay Packers	L 30-31	1582.99	1623.08	44.93%	54.57%	-1.93	8-6
2021-12-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-41	1581.06	1463.89	65.16%	34.38%	-12.49	8-7
2022-01-02	Los Angeles Rams	L 19-20	1568.57	1582.04	48.74%	50.75%	-2.09	8-8
2022-01-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-16	1566.48	1511.24	58.54%	40.97%	-4.35	8-9
2021-09-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-23	1607.99	1528.38	61.89%	37.63%	-7.02	0-1
2021-09-19	@ Miami Dolphins	W 35-0	1600.97	1529.68	58.97%	40.54%	+10.30	1-1
2021-09-26	Washington Football Team	W 43-21	1611.27	1476.84	68.98%	30.58%	+6.17	2-1
2021-10-03	Houston Texans	W 40-0	1617.44	1431.49	74.92%	24.68%	+6.70	3-1
2021-10-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-20	1624.14	1603.97	51.71%	47.78%	+8.70	4-1
2021-10-18	@ Tennessee Titans	L 31-34	1632.84	1531.99	63.00%	36.52%	-4.68	4-2
2021-10-31	Miami Dolphins	W 26-11	1628.16	1493.46	69.02%	30.54%	+5.09	5-2
2021-11-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-9	1633.25	1350.03	82.89%	16.81%	-6.15	5-3
2021-11-14	@ New York Jets	W 45-17	1627.10	1357.18	81.78%	17.90%	+4.07	6-3
2021-11-21	Indianapolis Colts	L 15-41	1631.17	1550.52	62.03%	37.49%	-13.56	6-4
2021-11-25	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-6	1617.61	1595.10	52.05%	47.44%	+10.18	7-4
2021-12-06	New England Patriots	L 10-14	1627.79	1539.57	63.05%	36.48%	-5.41	7-5
2021-12-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-33	1622.38	1659.21	43.55%	55.95%	-4.58	7-6
2021-12-19	Carolina Panthers	W 31-14	1617.80	1442.80	73.73%	25.87%	+4.58	8-6
2021-12-26	@ New England Patriots	W 33-21	1622.38	1538.77	60.67%	38.85%	+5.78	9-6
2022-01-02	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-15	1628.16	1454.22	73.61%	25.99%	+4.18	10-6
2022-01-09	New York Jets	W 27-10	1632.34	1345.89	84.16%	15.55%	+2.75	11-6
2021-09-12	New York Jets	W 19-14	1453.95	1382.82	60.73%	38.78%	+3.72	1-0
2021-09-19	New Orleans Saints	W 26-7	1457.67	1612.42	29.69%	69.88%	+13.05	2-0
2021-09-23	@ Houston Texans	W 24-9	1470.72	1439.16	53.35%	46.14%	+7.68	3-0
2021-10-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 28-36	1478.40	1468.49	50.24%	49.25%	-6.10	3-1
2021-10-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-21	1472.30	1422.96	57.71%	41.79%	-4.29	3-2
2021-10-17	Minnesota Vikings	L 28-34	1468.01	1480.08	48.94%	50.55%	-5.14	3-3
2021-10-24	@ New York Giants	L 3-25	1462.87	1420.37	54.91%	44.59%	-11.05	3-4
2021-10-31	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 19-13	1451.82	1476.07	45.34%	54.16%	+5.69	4-4
2021-11-07	New England Patriots	L 6-24	1457.51	1497.77	44.90%	54.59%	-8.18	4-5
2021-11-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 34-10	1449.33	1547.13	35.21%	64.32%	+13.51	5-5
2021-11-21	Washington Football Team	L 21-27	1462.84	1463.87	50.53%	48.96%	-5.31	5-6
2021-11-28	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-33	1457.53	1505.62	41.97%	57.53%	-8.65	5-7
2021-12-12	Atlanta Falcons	L 21-29	1448.88	1452.89	50.10%	49.39%	-6.08	5-8
2021-12-19	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-31	1442.80	1617.80	25.87%	73.73%	-4.58	5-9
2021-12-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-32	1438.22	1655.77	22.75%	76.88%	-4.98	5-10
2022-01-02	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-18	1433.24	1577.94	29.34%	70.23%	-3.57	5-11
2022-01-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-41	1429.67	1662.00	20.08%	79.58%	-4.22	5-12
2021-09-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 14-34	1490.42	1557.76	39.30%	60.21%	-7.55	0-1
2021-09-19	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-17	1482.87	1430.04	58.20%	41.31%	+3.08	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Cleveland Browns	L 6-26	1485.95	1521.91	43.67%	55.82%	-8.39	1-2
2021-10-03	Detroit Lions	W 24-14	1477.56	1386.70	63.40%	36.13%	+4.91	2-2
2021-10-10	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 20-9	1482.47	1475.71	49.79%	49.71%	+7.07	3-2
2021-10-17	Green Bay Packers	L 14-24	1489.54	1604.48	34.67%	64.87%	-4.71	3-3
2021-10-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 3-38	1484.83	1657.72	26.10%	73.49%	-6.63	3-4
2021-10-31	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-33	1478.20	1474.50	51.21%	48.28%	-7.29	3-5
2021-11-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-29	1470.91	1526.00	40.99%	58.51%	-2.49	3-6
2021-11-21	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-16	1468.42	1582.51	34.78%	64.75%	-2.59	3-7
2021-11-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 16-14	1465.83	1354.97	64.33%	35.20%	+2.14	4-7
2021-12-05	Arizona Cardinals	L 22-33	1467.97	1540.51	40.37%	59.14%	-5.75	4-8
2021-12-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 30-45	1462.22	1618.42	27.99%	71.59%	-4.66	4-9
2021-12-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 9-17	1457.56	1485.81	46.62%	52.87%	-5.66	4-10
2021-12-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 25-24	1451.90	1529.42	37.91%	61.60%	+2.64	5-10
2022-01-02	New York Giants	W 29-3	1454.54	1408.57	57.24%	42.26%	+9.26	6-10
2022-01-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-31	1463.80	1480.42	46.43%	53.06%	-7.46	6-11
2021-09-12	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-24	1425.84	1479.74	42.97%	56.53%	+4.20	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1430.04	1482.87	41.31%	58.20%	-3.07	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-10	1426.97	1527.72	34.83%	64.70%	+10.38	2-1
2021-09-30	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1437.35	1357.98	61.85%	37.66%	+2.80	3-1
2021-10-10	Green Bay Packers	L 22-25	1440.15	1602.34	28.80%	70.77%	-2.14	3-2
2021-10-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-11	1438.01	1379.64	57.16%	42.34%	+8.72	4-2
2021-10-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 41-17	1446.73	1604.37	27.82%	71.76%	+15.06	5-2
2021-10-31	@ New York Jets	L 31-34	1461.79	1356.63	63.58%	35.95%	-4.72	5-3
2021-11-07	Cleveland Browns	L 16-41	1457.07	1517.34	42.08%	57.42%	-9.04	5-4
2021-11-21	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 32-13	1448.03	1467.22	46.06%	53.43%	+10.00	6-4
2021-11-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-10	1458.03	1523.17	41.40%	58.11%	+13.87	7-4
2021-12-05	Los Angeles Chargers	L 22-41	1471.90	1472.25	50.63%	48.86%	-9.47	7-5
2021-12-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 23-26	1462.43	1494.35	46.09%	53.40%	-3.43	7-6
2021-12-19	@ Denver Broncos	W 15-10	1459.00	1460.82	48.55%	50.94%	+4.89	8-6
2021-12-26	Baltimore Ravens	W 41-21	1463.89	1581.06	34.38%	65.16%	+12.49	9-6
2022-01-02	Kansas City Chiefs	W 34-31	1476.38	1631.57	29.64%	69.93%	+5.19	10-6
2022-01-09	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-21	1481.57	1501.31	45.98%	53.51%	-4.41	10-7
2021-09-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 29-33	1519.82	1606.26	36.72%	62.81%	-3.16	0-1
2021-09-19	Houston Texans	W 31-21	1516.66	1444.41	60.88%	38.63%	+5.25	1-1
2021-09-26	Chicago Bears	W 26-6	1521.91	1485.95	55.82%	43.67%	+8.39	2-1
2021-10-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 14-7	1530.30	1482.92	55.60%	43.89%	+4.98	3-1
2021-10-10	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 42-47	1535.28	1484.91	56.03%	43.47%	-5.37	3-2
2021-10-17	Arizona Cardinals	L 14-37	1529.91	1525.77	51.27%	48.22%	-10.55	3-3
2021-10-21	Denver Broncos	W 17-14	1519.36	1445.92	61.05%	38.47%	+2.86	4-3
2021-10-31	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-15	1522.22	1521.13	50.84%	48.66%	-4.88	4-4
2021-11-07	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 41-16	1517.34	1457.07	57.42%	42.08%	+9.04	5-4
2021-11-14	@ New England Patriots	L 7-45	1526.38	1505.95	51.75%	47.74%	-13.69	5-5
2021-11-21	Detroit Lions	W 13-10	1512.69	1357.06	71.52%	28.06%	+2.09	6-5
2021-11-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-16	1514.78	1585.10	38.89%	60.62%	-4.10	6-6
2021-12-12	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-22	1510.68	1586.61	39.90%	59.61%	+3.62	7-6
2021-12-20	Las Vegas Raiders	L 14-16	1514.30	1450.84	59.68%	39.83%	-3.62	7-7
2021-12-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 22-24	1510.68	1625.01	33.08%	66.46%	-2.01	7-8
2022-01-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-26	1508.67	1503.88	49.50%	49.99%	-7.36	7-9
2022-01-09	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-16	1501.31	1481.57	53.51%	45.98%	+4.41	8-9
2021-09-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 29-31	1457.29	1648.33	24.14%	75.47%	-1.47	0-1
2021-09-19	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 20-17	1455.82	1473.59	46.26%	53.23%	+3.96	1-1
2021-09-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 41-21	1459.78	1435.78	54.12%	45.37%	+8.71	2-1
2021-10-03	Carolina Panthers	W 36-28	1468.49	1478.40	49.25%	50.24%	+6.10	3-1
2021-10-10	New York Giants	W 44-20	1474.59	1436.37	56.14%	43.36%	+9.12	4-1
2021-10-17	@ New England Patriots	W 35-29	1483.71	1490.65	47.82%	51.68%	+5.43	5-1
2021-10-31	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 20-16	1489.14	1485.23	49.38%	50.11%	+4.30	6-1
2021-11-07	Denver Broncos	L 16-30	1493.44	1448.87	57.04%	42.46%	-9.15	6-2
2021-11-14	Atlanta Falcons	W 43-3	1484.29	1474.62	52.07%	47.42%	+12.88	7-2
2021-11-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-19	1497.17	1604.28	34.00%	65.53%	-4.62	7-3
2021-11-25	Las Vegas Raiders	L 33-36	1492.55	1457.23	55.73%	43.77%	-4.14	7-4
2021-12-02	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-17	1488.41	1584.92	35.38%	64.15%	+8.69	8-4
2021-12-12	@ Washington Football Team	W 27-20	1497.10	1475.63	51.90%	47.59%	+5.41	9-4
2021-12-19	@ New York Giants	W 21-6	1502.51	1424.29	59.92%	39.59%	+6.58	10-4
2021-12-26	Washington Football Team	W 56-14	1509.09	1463.17	57.23%	42.27%	+11.77	11-4
2022-01-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 22-25	1520.86	1522.71	50.41%	49.08%	-3.75	11-5
2022-01-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 51-26	1517.11	1468.60	55.76%	43.73%	+9.39	12-5
2021-09-12	@ New York Giants	W 27-13	1441.63	1441.97	48.76%	50.73%	+8.15	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-13	1449.78	1367.92	60.43%	39.09%	+5.31	2-0
2021-09-26	New York Jets	W 26-0	1455.09	1372.47	62.29%	37.23%	+8.15	3-0
2021-10-03	Baltimore Ravens	L 7-23	1463.24	1586.52	33.59%	65.95%	-5.77	3-1
2021-10-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-27	1457.47	1512.24	41.04%	58.47%	-4.98	3-2
2021-10-17	Las Vegas Raiders	L 24-34	1452.49	1468.64	48.35%	51.14%	-6.57	3-3
2021-10-21	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-17	1445.92	1519.36	38.47%	61.05%	-2.86	3-4
2021-10-31	Washington Football Team	W 17-10	1443.06	1459.47	48.32%	51.17%	+5.81	4-4
2021-11-07	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 30-16	1448.87	1493.44	42.46%	57.04%	+9.15	5-4
2021-11-14	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-30	1458.02	1427.26	55.08%	44.41%	-9.74	5-5
2021-11-28	Los Angeles Chargers	W 28-13	1448.28	1481.15	45.96%	53.54%	+8.90	6-5
2021-12-05	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-22	1457.18	1608.90	28.51%	71.06%	-4.42	6-6
2021-12-12	Detroit Lions	W 38-10	1452.76	1356.88	64.06%	35.46%	+8.06	7-6
2021-12-19	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-15	1460.82	1459.00	50.94%	48.55%	-4.89	7-7
2021-12-26	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 13-17	1455.93	1454.46	49.03%	50.47%	-4.20	7-8
2022-01-02	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 13-34	1451.73	1476.30	45.29%	54.20%	-8.92	7-9
2022-01-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-28	1442.81	1626.38	26.36%	73.24%	-2.26	7-10
2021-09-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 33-41	1397.15	1483.54	38.47%	61.05%	-4.68	0-1
2021-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-35	1392.47	1590.76	23.39%	76.23%	-4.26	0-2
2021-09-26	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-19	1388.21	1585.01	24.91%	74.70%	-1.51	0-3
2021-10-03	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-24	1386.70	1477.56	36.13%	63.40%	-4.91	0-4
2021-10-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-19	1381.79	1477.93	35.43%	64.10%	-2.15	0-5
2021-10-17	Cincinnati Bengals	L 11-34	1379.64	1438.01	42.34%	57.16%	-8.73	0-6
2021-10-24	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 19-28	1370.91	1579.55	22.34%	77.29%	-2.87	0-7
2021-10-31	Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-44	1368.04	1419.03	43.38%	56.12%	-11.49	0-8
2021-11-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	T 16-16	1356.55	1528.49	26.21%	73.39%	+0.51	0-8
2021-11-21	@ Cleveland Browns	L 10-13	1357.06	1512.69	28.06%	71.52%	-2.09	0-9
2021-11-25	Chicago Bears	L 14-16	1354.97	1465.83	35.20%	64.33%	-2.14	0-10
2021-12-05	Minnesota Vikings	W 29-27	1352.83	1483.37	32.67%	66.88%	+4.05	1-10
2021-12-12	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-38	1356.88	1452.76	35.46%	64.06%	-8.06	1-11
2021-12-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 30-12	1348.82	1540.83	25.43%	74.17%	+13.48	2-11
2021-12-26	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 16-20	1362.30	1451.09	36.40%	63.12%	-3.12	2-12
2022-01-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 29-51	1359.18	1526.78	26.69%	72.90%	-5.38	2-13
2022-01-09	Green Bay Packers	W 37-30	1353.80	1633.69	17.08%	82.61%	+3.12	3-13
2021-09-12	@ New Orleans Saints	L 3-38	1603.53	1599.65	50.30%	49.19%	-12.77	0-1
2021-09-20	Detroit Lions	W 35-17	1590.76	1392.47	76.23%	23.39%	+4.26	1-1
2021-09-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-28	1595.02	1492.83	63.18%	36.34%	+2.21	2-1
2021-10-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-17	1597.23	1517.34	61.92%	37.59%	+5.11	3-1
2021-10-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 25-22	1602.34	1440.15	70.77%	28.80%	+2.14	4-1
2021-10-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-14	1604.48	1489.54	64.87%	34.67%	+4.71	5-1
2021-10-24	Washington Football Team	W 24-10	1609.19	1464.18	70.26%	29.30%	+4.71	6-1
2021-10-28	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-21	1613.90	1543.35	58.86%	40.64%	+3.03	7-1
2021-11-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-13	1616.93	1591.23	52.51%	46.98%	-5.52	7-2
2021-11-14	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-0	1611.41	1541.29	60.59%	38.92%	+6.89	8-2
2021-11-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 31-34	1618.30	1484.22	67.32%	32.22%	-5.00	8-3
2021-11-28	Los Angeles Rams	W 36-28	1613.30	1566.39	57.37%	42.13%	+5.12	9-3
2021-12-12	Chicago Bears	W 45-30	1618.42	1462.22	71.59%	27.99%	+4.66	10-3
2021-12-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 31-30	1623.08	1582.99	54.57%	44.93%	+1.93	11-3
2021-12-25	Cleveland Browns	W 24-22	1625.01	1510.68	66.46%	33.08%	+2.01	12-3
2022-01-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-10	1627.02	1487.09	69.65%	29.91%	+6.67	13-3
2022-01-09	@ Detroit Lions	L 30-37	1633.69	1353.80	82.61%	17.08%	-3.12	13-4
2021-09-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 37-21	1437.55	1374.78	59.58%	39.93%	+6.86	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Cleveland Browns	L 21-31	1444.41	1516.66	38.63%	60.88%	-5.25	1-1
2021-09-23	Carolina Panthers	L 9-24	1439.16	1470.72	46.14%	53.35%	-7.67	1-2
2021-10-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-40	1431.49	1617.44	24.68%	74.92%	-6.70	1-3
2021-10-10	New England Patriots	L 22-25	1424.79	1487.54	41.73%	57.77%	-3.11	1-4
2021-10-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-31	1421.68	1533.73	33.37%	66.17%	-7.58	1-5
2021-10-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 5-31	1414.10	1536.32	32.08%	67.46%	-7.03	1-6
2021-10-31	Los Angeles Rams	L 22-38	1407.07	1582.43	27.28%	72.30%	-4.69	1-7
2021-11-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-17	1402.38	1488.38	36.77%	62.75%	-4.47	1-8
2021-11-21	@ Tennessee Titans	W 22-13	1397.91	1564.26	26.83%	72.76%	+9.35	2-8
2021-11-28	New York Jets	L 14-21	1407.26	1349.66	58.86%	40.64%	-6.68	2-9
2021-12-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 0-31	1400.58	1559.72	29.16%	70.40%	-6.97	2-10
2021-12-12	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-33	1393.61	1529.19	32.03%	67.51%	-6.16	2-11
2021-12-19	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-16	1387.45	1333.97	56.47%	43.03%	+6.92	3-11
2021-12-26	Los Angeles Chargers	W 41-29	1394.37	1485.46	37.83%	61.69%	+9.16	4-11
2022-01-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-23	1403.53	1502.42	35.07%	64.46%	-6.03	4-12
2022-01-09	Tennessee Titans	L 25-28	1397.50	1557.13	29.11%	70.46%	-2.16	4-13
2021-09-12	Seattle Seahawks	L 16-28	1549.03	1550.25	50.50%	48.99%	-7.51	0-1
2021-09-19	Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1541.52	1565.31	47.26%	52.23%	-3.51	0-2
2021-09-26	@ Tennessee Titans	L 16-25	1538.01	1525.74	50.58%	48.91%	-6.52	0-3
2021-10-03	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-17	1531.49	1515.32	51.14%	48.35%	+6.57	1-3
2021-10-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 25-31	1538.06	1592.30	41.11%	58.39%	-4.33	1-4
2021-10-17	Houston Texans	W 31-3	1533.73	1421.68	66.17%	33.37%	+7.59	2-4
2021-10-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-18	1541.32	1480.76	57.47%	42.04%	+6.25	3-4
2021-10-31	Tennessee Titans	L 31-34	1547.57	1548.87	50.49%	49.00%	-3.75	3-5
2021-11-04	New York Jets	W 45-30	1543.82	1361.35	74.55%	25.06%	+4.17	4-5
2021-11-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1547.99	1356.18	75.55%	24.06%	+2.53	5-5
2021-11-21	@ Buffalo Bills	W 41-15	1550.52	1631.17	37.49%	62.03%	+13.56	6-5
2021-11-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 31-38	1564.08	1651.02	38.39%	61.12%	-4.36	6-6
2021-12-05	@ Houston Texans	W 31-0	1559.72	1400.58	70.40%	29.16%	+6.97	7-6
2021-12-18	New England Patriots	W 27-17	1566.69	1544.97	53.79%	45.70%	+6.21	8-6
2021-12-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 22-16	1572.90	1527.35	55.34%	44.15%	+4.64	9-6
2022-01-02	Las Vegas Raiders	L 20-23	1577.54	1458.67	67.04%	32.50%	-4.97	9-7
2022-01-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 11-26	1572.57	1316.57	80.56%	19.11%	-13.37	9-8
2021-09-12	@ Houston Texans	L 21-37	1374.78	1437.55	39.93%	59.58%	-6.86	0-1
2021-09-19	Denver Broncos	L 13-23	1367.92	1449.78	39.09%	60.43%	-5.31	0-2
2021-09-26	Arizona Cardinals	L 19-31	1362.61	1505.52	31.12%	68.43%	-4.63	0-3
2021-09-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-24	1357.98	1437.35	37.66%	61.85%	-2.81	0-4
2021-10-10	Tennessee Titans	L 19-37	1355.17	1526.95	27.69%	71.89%	-5.04	0-5
2021-10-17	Miami Dolphins	W 23-20	1350.13	1501.96	29.26%	70.31%	+5.21	1-5
2021-10-31	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-31	1355.34	1535.98	25.25%	74.35%	-5.31	1-6
2021-11-07	Buffalo Bills	W 9-6	1350.03	1633.25	16.81%	82.89%	+6.15	2-6
2021-11-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-23	1356.18	1547.99	24.06%	75.55%	-2.54	2-7
2021-11-21	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-30	1353.64	1487.45	32.26%	67.29%	-6.19	2-8
2021-11-28	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-21	1347.45	1452.63	35.95%	63.58%	-4.09	2-9
2021-12-05	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-37	1343.36	1561.28	21.43%	78.21%	-5.04	2-10
2021-12-12	@ Tennessee Titans	L 0-20	1338.32	1544.09	22.63%	77.00%	-4.35	2-11
2021-12-19	Houston Texans	L 16-30	1333.97	1387.45	43.03%	56.47%	-6.91	2-12
2021-12-26	@ New York Jets	L 21-26	1327.06	1342.66	46.57%	52.92%	-4.47	2-13
2022-01-02	@ New England Patriots	L 10-50	1322.59	1532.99	22.17%	77.46%	-6.02	2-14
2022-01-09	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-11	1316.57	1572.57	19.11%	80.56%	+13.36	3-14
2021-09-12	Cleveland Browns	W 33-29	1606.26	1519.82	62.81%	36.72%	+3.15	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 35-36	1609.41	1582.75	52.65%	46.85%	-2.26	1-1
2021-09-26	Los Angeles Chargers	L 24-30	1607.15	1469.63	69.36%	30.20%	-7.28	1-2
2021-10-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 42-30	1599.87	1427.06	72.01%	27.57%	+4.10	2-2
2021-10-10	Buffalo Bills	L 20-38	1603.97	1624.14	47.78%	51.71%	-8.70	2-3
2021-10-17	@ Washington Football Team	W 31-13	1595.27	1470.26	66.17%	33.37%	+6.08	3-3
2021-10-24	@ Tennessee Titans	L 3-27	1601.35	1536.67	58.04%	41.46%	-12.19	3-4
2021-11-01	New York Giants	W 20-17	1589.16	1431.42	71.77%	27.81%	+2.07	4-4
2021-11-07	Green Bay Packers	W 13-7	1591.23	1616.93	46.98%	52.51%	+5.52	5-4
2021-11-14	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 41-14	1596.75	1474.75	65.78%	33.76%	+7.53	6-4
2021-11-21	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-9	1604.28	1497.17	65.53%	34.00%	+4.62	7-4
2021-12-05	Denver Broncos	W 22-9	1608.90	1457.18	71.06%	28.51%	+4.42	8-4
2021-12-12	Las Vegas Raiders	W 48-9	1613.32	1458.39	71.44%	28.14%	+7.55	9-4
2021-12-16	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 34-28	1620.87	1488.88	67.06%	32.48%	+3.42	10-4
2021-12-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 36-10	1624.29	1511.16	66.31%	33.23%	+7.28	11-4
2022-01-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-34	1631.57	1476.38	69.93%	29.64%	-5.19	11-5
2022-01-08	@ Denver Broncos	W 28-24	1626.38	1442.81	73.24%	26.36%	+2.26	12-5
2021-09-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 33-27	1465.04	1589.69	33.41%	66.13%	+6.94	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-17	1471.98	1535.40	39.84%	59.67%	+7.68	2-0
2021-09-26	Miami Dolphins	W 31-28	1479.66	1519.38	44.98%	54.51%	+4.05	3-0
2021-10-04	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 14-28	1483.71	1476.91	49.79%	49.70%	-8.00	3-1
2021-10-10	Chicago Bears	L 9-20	1475.71	1482.47	49.71%	49.79%	-7.07	3-2
2021-10-17	@ Denver Broncos	W 34-24	1468.64	1452.49	51.14%	48.35%	+6.56	4-2
2021-10-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-22	1475.20	1424.96	57.84%	41.67%	+5.94	5-2
2021-11-07	@ New York Giants	L 16-23	1481.14	1429.35	56.23%	43.27%	-6.39	5-3
2021-11-14	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-41	1474.75	1596.75	33.76%	65.78%	-7.53	5-4
2021-11-21	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-32	1467.22	1448.03	53.43%	46.06%	-9.99	5-5
2021-11-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 36-33	1457.23	1492.55	43.77%	55.73%	+4.14	6-5
2021-12-05	Washington Football Team	L 15-17	1461.37	1472.65	49.05%	50.44%	-2.98	6-6
2021-12-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-48	1458.39	1613.32	28.14%	71.44%	-7.55	6-7
2021-12-20	@ Cleveland Browns	W 16-14	1450.84	1514.30	39.83%	59.68%	+3.62	7-7
2021-12-26	Denver Broncos	W 17-13	1454.46	1455.93	50.47%	49.03%	+4.21	8-7
2022-01-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 23-20	1458.67	1577.54	32.50%	67.04%	+4.97	9-7
2022-01-09	Los Angeles Chargers	W 35-32	1463.64	1485.21	47.58%	51.91%	+3.86	10-7
2021-09-12	@ Washington Football Team	W 20-16	1469.11	1479.48	47.32%	52.17%	+4.48	1-0
2021-09-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-20	1473.59	1455.82	53.23%	46.26%	-3.96	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-24	1469.63	1607.15	30.20%	69.36%	+7.28	2-1
2021-10-04	Las Vegas Raiders	W 28-14	1476.91	1483.71	49.70%	49.79%	+8.00	3-1
2021-10-10	Cleveland Browns	W 47-42	1484.91	1535.28	43.47%	56.03%	+5.37	4-1
2021-10-17	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-34	1490.28	1596.62	34.10%	65.43%	-7.75	4-2
2021-10-31	New England Patriots	L 24-27	1482.53	1494.13	49.01%	50.48%	-3.64	4-3
2021-11-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1478.89	1430.51	55.74%	43.75%	+3.25	5-3
2021-11-14	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-27	1482.14	1478.41	51.21%	48.28%	-5.82	5-4
2021-11-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 41-37	1476.32	1527.99	43.29%	56.21%	+4.83	6-4
2021-11-28	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-28	1481.15	1448.28	53.54%	45.96%	-8.90	6-5
2021-12-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 41-22	1472.25	1471.90	48.86%	50.63%	+9.47	7-5
2021-12-12	New York Giants	W 37-21	1481.72	1431.45	57.84%	41.66%	+7.16	8-5
2021-12-16	Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-34	1488.88	1620.87	32.48%	67.06%	-3.42	8-6
2021-12-26	@ Houston Texans	L 29-41	1485.46	1394.37	61.69%	37.83%	-9.16	8-7
2022-01-02	Denver Broncos	W 34-13	1476.30	1451.73	54.20%	45.29%	+8.91	9-7
2022-01-09	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 32-35	1485.21	1463.64	51.91%	47.58%	-3.86	9-8
2021-09-12	Chicago Bears	W 34-14	1557.76	1490.42	60.21%	39.30%	+7.55	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1565.31	1541.52	52.23%	47.26%	+3.51	2-0
2021-09-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-24	1568.82	1655.13	38.48%	61.03%	+8.28	3-0
2021-10-03	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-37	1577.10	1510.16	60.16%	39.35%	-10.64	3-1
2021-10-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 26-17	1566.46	1549.19	51.30%	48.19%	+6.21	4-1
2021-10-17	@ New York Giants	W 38-11	1572.67	1427.25	68.74%	30.82%	+6.88	5-1
2021-10-24	Detroit Lions	W 28-19	1579.55	1370.91	77.29%	22.34%	+2.88	6-1
2021-10-31	@ Houston Texans	W 38-22	1582.43	1407.07	72.30%	27.28%	+4.68	7-1
2021-11-07	Tennessee Titans	L 16-28	1587.11	1552.62	55.61%	43.88%	-8.26	7-2
2021-11-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-31	1578.85	1474.99	63.40%	36.12%	-12.46	7-3
2021-11-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-36	1566.39	1613.30	42.13%	57.37%	-5.11	7-4
2021-12-05	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 37-7	1561.28	1343.36	78.21%	21.43%	+5.04	8-4
2021-12-13	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 30-23	1566.32	1546.26	51.70%	47.79%	+5.43	9-4
2021-12-21	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-10	1571.75	1535.34	55.89%	43.61%	+5.92	10-4
2021-12-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-23	1577.67	1491.47	61.02%	38.49%	+4.37	11-4
2022-01-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 20-19	1582.04	1568.57	50.75%	48.74%	+2.09	12-4
2022-01-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1584.13	1508.45	61.35%	38.16%	-4.55	12-5
2021-09-12	@ New England Patriots	W 17-16	1527.73	1490.66	54.14%	45.36%	+1.95	1-0
2021-09-19	Buffalo Bills	L 0-35	1529.68	1600.97	40.54%	58.97%	-10.30	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 28-31	1519.38	1479.66	54.51%	44.98%	-4.06	1-2
2021-10-03	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-27	1515.32	1531.49	48.35%	51.14%	-6.56	1-3
2021-10-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-45	1508.76	1648.64	29.92%	69.65%	-6.80	1-4
2021-10-17	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-23	1501.96	1350.13	70.31%	29.26%	-5.22	1-5
2021-10-24	Atlanta Falcons	L 28-30	1496.74	1472.78	54.11%	45.38%	-3.28	1-6
2021-10-31	@ Buffalo Bills	L 11-26	1493.46	1628.16	30.54%	69.02%	-5.08	1-7
2021-11-07	Houston Texans	W 17-9	1488.38	1402.38	62.75%	36.77%	+4.47	2-7
2021-11-11	Baltimore Ravens	W 22-10	1492.85	1591.83	36.77%	62.75%	+9.31	3-7
2021-11-21	@ New York Jets	W 24-17	1502.16	1353.11	69.19%	30.37%	+3.46	4-7
2021-11-28	Carolina Panthers	W 33-10	1505.62	1457.53	57.53%	41.97%	+8.64	5-7
2021-12-05	New York Giants	W 20-9	1514.26	1436.86	61.59%	37.93%	+5.41	6-7
2021-12-19	New York Jets	W 31-24	1519.67	1345.61	73.62%	25.97%	+2.95	7-7
2021-12-27	@ New Orleans Saints	W 20-3	1522.62	1588.55	39.49%	60.02%	+10.61	8-7
2022-01-02	@ Tennessee Titans	L 3-34	1533.23	1545.90	46.99%	52.50%	-11.23	8-8
2022-01-09	New England Patriots	W 33-24	1522.00	1539.01	48.23%	51.26%	+6.59	9-8
2021-09-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1479.74	1425.84	56.53%	42.97%	-4.20	0-1
2021-09-19	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 33-34	1475.54	1503.60	44.80%	54.70%	-1.93	0-2
2021-09-26	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-17	1473.61	1553.60	39.34%	60.17%	+9.31	1-2
2021-10-03	Cleveland Browns	L 7-14	1482.92	1530.30	43.89%	55.60%	-4.99	1-3
2021-10-10	Detroit Lions	W 19-17	1477.93	1381.79	64.10%	35.43%	+2.15	2-3
2021-10-17	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-28	1480.08	1468.01	50.55%	48.94%	+5.15	3-3
2021-10-31	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-20	1485.23	1489.14	50.11%	49.38%	-4.30	3-4
2021-11-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 31-34	1480.93	1589.31	33.84%	65.70%	-2.52	3-5
2021-11-14	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-20	1478.41	1482.14	48.28%	51.21%	+5.81	4-5
2021-11-21	Green Bay Packers	W 34-31	1484.22	1618.30	32.22%	67.32%	+5.00	5-5
2021-11-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 26-34	1489.22	1493.64	48.18%	51.31%	-5.85	5-6
2021-12-05	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-29	1483.37	1352.83	66.88%	32.67%	-4.05	5-7
2021-12-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 36-28	1479.32	1511.87	46.00%	53.49%	+6.49	6-7
2021-12-20	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-9	1485.81	1457.56	52.87%	46.62%	+5.66	7-7
2021-12-26	Los Angeles Rams	L 23-30	1491.47	1577.67	38.49%	61.02%	-4.38	7-8
2022-01-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-37	1487.09	1627.02	29.91%	69.65%	-6.67	7-9
2022-01-09	Chicago Bears	W 31-17	1480.42	1463.80	53.06%	46.43%	+7.46	8-9
2021-09-12	Miami Dolphins	L 16-17	1490.66	1527.73	45.36%	54.14%	-1.95	0-1
2021-09-19	@ New York Jets	W 25-6	1488.71	1379.09	64.17%	35.36%	+6.62	1-1
2021-09-26	New Orleans Saints	L 13-28	1495.33	1599.37	36.10%	63.43%	-6.00	1-2
2021-10-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-19	1489.33	1646.85	29.36%	70.21%	-1.79	1-3
2021-10-10	@ Houston Texans	W 25-22	1487.54	1424.79	57.77%	41.73%	+3.11	2-3
2021-10-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 29-35	1490.65	1483.71	51.68%	47.82%	-5.43	2-4
2021-10-24	New York Jets	W 54-13	1485.22	1365.54	67.14%	32.40%	+8.91	3-4
2021-10-31	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-24	1494.13	1482.53	50.48%	49.01%	+3.64	4-4
2021-11-07	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-6	1497.77	1457.51	54.59%	44.90%	+8.18	5-4
2021-11-14	Cleveland Browns	W 45-7	1505.95	1526.38	47.74%	51.75%	+13.69	6-4
2021-11-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 25-0	1519.64	1461.74	57.09%	42.41%	+9.11	7-4
2021-11-28	Tennessee Titans	W 36-13	1528.75	1554.91	46.92%	52.57%	+10.82	8-4
2021-12-06	@ Buffalo Bills	W 14-10	1539.57	1627.79	36.48%	63.05%	+5.40	9-4
2021-12-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-27	1544.97	1566.69	45.70%	53.79%	-6.20	9-5
2021-12-26	Buffalo Bills	L 21-33	1538.77	1622.38	38.85%	60.67%	-5.78	9-6
2022-01-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 50-10	1532.99	1322.59	77.46%	22.17%	+6.02	10-6
2022-01-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-33	1539.01	1522.00	51.26%	48.23%	-6.60	10-7
2021-09-12	Green Bay Packers	W 38-3	1599.65	1603.53	49.19%	50.30%	+12.77	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-26	1612.42	1457.67	69.88%	29.69%	-13.05	1-1
2021-09-26	@ New England Patriots	W 28-13	1599.37	1495.33	63.43%	36.10%	+6.00	2-1
2021-10-03	New York Giants	L 21-27	1605.37	1428.62	73.92%	25.68%	-7.75	2-2
2021-10-10	@ Washington Football Team	W 33-22	1597.62	1475.06	65.85%	33.68%	+4.79	3-2
2021-10-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 13-10	1602.41	1539.08	57.85%	41.65%	+3.10	4-2
2021-10-31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 36-27	1605.51	1664.35	42.28%	57.22%	+7.37	5-2
2021-11-07	Atlanta Falcons	L 25-27	1612.88	1470.38	69.96%	29.60%	-4.24	5-3
2021-11-14	@ Tennessee Titans	L 21-23	1608.64	1560.88	55.66%	43.84%	-3.38	5-4
2021-11-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 29-40	1605.26	1437.00	71.48%	28.10%	-10.16	5-5
2021-11-25	Buffalo Bills	L 6-31	1595.10	1617.61	47.44%	52.05%	-10.18	5-6
2021-12-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-27	1584.92	1488.41	64.15%	35.38%	-8.70	5-7
2021-12-12	@ New York Jets	W 30-9	1576.22	1349.92	77.76%	21.88%	+4.31	6-7
2021-12-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 9-0	1580.53	1663.79	37.14%	62.38%	+8.02	7-7
2021-12-27	Miami Dolphins	L 3-20	1588.55	1522.62	60.02%	39.49%	-10.61	7-8
2022-01-02	Carolina Panthers	W 18-10	1577.94	1433.24	70.23%	29.34%	+3.56	8-8
2022-01-09	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-20	1581.50	1450.04	66.99%	32.55%	+4.43	9-8
2021-09-12	Denver Broncos	L 13-27	1441.97	1441.63	50.73%	48.76%	-8.14	0-1
2021-09-16	@ Washington Football Team	L 29-30	1433.83	1475.00	42.94%	56.56%	-1.85	0-2
2021-09-26	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-17	1431.98	1469.72	45.26%	54.23%	-3.36	0-3
2021-10-03	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-21	1428.62	1605.37	25.68%	73.92%	+7.75	1-3
2021-10-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-44	1436.37	1474.59	43.36%	56.14%	-9.12	1-4
2021-10-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 11-38	1427.25	1572.67	30.82%	68.74%	-6.88	1-5
2021-10-24	Carolina Panthers	W 25-3	1420.37	1462.87	44.59%	54.91%	+11.05	2-5
2021-11-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1431.42	1589.16	27.81%	71.77%	-2.07	2-6
2021-11-07	Las Vegas Raiders	W 23-16	1429.35	1481.14	43.27%	56.23%	+6.38	3-6
2021-11-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-30	1435.73	1646.78	22.11%	77.53%	-4.24	3-7
2021-11-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 13-7	1431.49	1447.16	48.42%	51.07%	+5.37	4-7
2021-12-05	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-20	1436.86	1514.26	37.93%	61.59%	-5.41	4-8
2021-12-12	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 21-37	1431.45	1481.72	41.66%	57.84%	-7.16	4-9
2021-12-19	Dallas Cowboys	L 6-21	1424.29	1502.51	39.59%	59.92%	-6.58	4-10
2021-12-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-34	1417.71	1455.27	43.45%	56.05%	-9.14	4-11
2022-01-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-29	1408.57	1454.54	42.26%	57.24%	-9.26	4-12
2022-01-09	Washington Football Team	L 7-22	1399.31	1447.22	43.82%	55.68%	-7.28	4-13
2021-09-12	@ Carolina Panthers	L 14-19	1382.82	1453.95	38.78%	60.73%	-3.73	0-1
2021-09-19	New England Patriots	L 6-25	1379.09	1488.71	35.36%	64.17%	-6.62	0-2
2021-09-26	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-26	1372.47	1455.09	37.23%	62.29%	-8.15	0-3
2021-10-03	Tennessee Titans	W 27-24	1364.32	1532.25	28.13%	71.44%	+5.30	1-3
2021-10-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-27	1369.62	1468.70	35.90%	63.63%	-4.08	1-4
2021-10-24	@ New England Patriots	L 13-54	1365.54	1485.22	32.40%	67.14%	-8.91	1-5
2021-10-31	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-31	1356.63	1461.79	35.95%	63.58%	+4.72	2-5
2021-11-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 30-45	1361.35	1543.82	25.06%	74.55%	-4.17	2-6
2021-11-14	Buffalo Bills	L 17-45	1357.18	1627.10	17.90%	81.78%	-4.07	2-7
2021-11-21	Miami Dolphins	L 17-24	1353.11	1502.16	30.37%	69.19%	-3.45	2-8
2021-11-28	@ Houston Texans	W 21-14	1349.66	1407.26	40.64%	58.86%	+6.68	3-8
2021-12-05	Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-33	1356.34	1441.79	38.60%	60.92%	-6.42	3-9
2021-12-12	New Orleans Saints	L 9-30	1349.92	1576.22	21.88%	77.76%	-4.31	3-10
2021-12-19	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-31	1345.61	1519.67	25.97%	73.62%	-2.95	3-11
2021-12-26	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-21	1342.66	1327.06	52.92%	46.57%	+4.47	4-11
2022-01-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-28	1347.13	1660.75	14.51%	85.22%	-1.24	4-12
2022-01-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-27	1345.89	1632.34	15.55%	84.16%	-2.75	4-13
2021-09-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 32-6	1427.42	1488.01	40.23%	59.28%	+12.97	1-0
2021-09-19	San Francisco 49ers	L 11-17	1440.39	1488.22	43.83%	55.67%	-4.61	1-1
2021-09-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-41	1435.78	1459.78	45.37%	54.12%	-8.72	1-2
2021-10-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 30-42	1427.06	1599.87	27.57%	72.01%	-4.10	1-3
2021-10-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 21-18	1422.96	1472.30	41.79%	57.71%	+4.29	2-3
2021-10-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 22-28	1427.25	1655.44	21.69%	77.94%	-2.29	2-4
2021-10-24	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 22-33	1424.96	1475.20	41.67%	57.84%	-5.93	2-5
2021-10-31	@ Detroit Lions	W 44-6	1419.03	1368.04	56.12%	43.38%	+11.48	3-5
2021-11-07	Los Angeles Chargers	L 24-27	1430.51	1478.89	43.75%	55.74%	-3.25	3-6
2021-11-14	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-13	1427.26	1458.02	44.41%	55.08%	+9.74	4-6
2021-11-21	New Orleans Saints	W 40-29	1437.00	1605.26	28.10%	71.48%	+10.16	5-6
2021-11-28	@ New York Giants	L 7-13	1447.16	1431.49	51.07%	48.42%	-5.37	5-7
2021-12-05	@ New York Jets	W 33-18	1441.79	1356.34	60.92%	38.60%	+6.42	6-7
2021-12-21	Washington Football Team	W 27-17	1448.21	1470.22	47.51%	51.98%	+7.06	7-7
2021-12-26	New York Giants	W 34-10	1455.27	1417.71	56.05%	43.45%	+9.14	8-7
2022-01-02	@ Washington Football Team	W 20-16	1464.41	1451.41	50.68%	48.81%	+4.19	9-7
2022-01-08	Dallas Cowboys	L 26-51	1468.60	1517.11	43.73%	55.76%	-9.39	9-8
2021-09-12	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-16	1528.38	1607.99	37.63%	61.89%	+7.02	1-0
2021-09-19	Las Vegas Raiders	L 17-26	1535.40	1471.98	59.67%	39.84%	-7.68	1-1
2021-09-26	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-24	1527.72	1426.97	64.70%	34.83%	-10.38	1-2
2021-10-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-27	1517.34	1597.23	37.59%	61.92%	-5.10	1-3
2021-10-10	Denver Broncos	W 27-19	1512.24	1457.47	58.47%	41.04%	+4.98	2-3
2021-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-20	1517.22	1542.98	46.98%	52.52%	+3.91	3-3
2021-10-31	@ Cleveland Browns	W 15-10	1521.13	1522.22	48.66%	50.84%	+4.87	4-3
2021-11-08	Chicago Bears	W 29-27	1526.00	1470.91	58.51%	40.99%	+2.49	5-3
2021-11-14	Detroit Lions	T 16-16	1528.49	1356.55	73.39%	26.21%	-0.50	5-3
2021-11-21	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 37-41	1527.99	1476.32	56.21%	43.29%	-4.82	5-4
2021-11-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-41	1523.17	1458.03	58.11%	41.40%	-13.88	5-5
2021-12-05	Baltimore Ravens	W 20-19	1509.29	1589.19	39.35%	60.16%	+2.58	6-5
2021-12-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 28-36	1511.87	1479.32	53.49%	46.00%	-6.49	6-6
2021-12-19	Tennessee Titans	W 19-13	1505.38	1548.44	44.51%	54.99%	+5.78	7-6
2021-12-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-36	1511.16	1624.29	33.23%	66.31%	-7.28	7-7
2022-01-03	Cleveland Browns	W 26-14	1503.88	1508.67	49.99%	49.50%	+7.36	8-7
2022-01-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 16-13	1511.24	1566.48	40.97%	58.54%	+4.35	9-7
2021-09-12	@ Detroit Lions	W 41-33	1483.54	1397.15	61.05%	38.47%	+4.68	1-0
2021-09-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-11	1488.22	1440.39	55.67%	43.83%	+4.61	2-0
2021-09-26	Green Bay Packers	L 28-30	1492.83	1595.02	36.34%	63.18%	-2.21	2-1
2021-10-03	Seattle Seahawks	L 21-28	1490.62	1544.30	43.00%	56.50%	-4.89	2-2
2021-10-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-17	1485.73	1520.79	43.80%	55.69%	-4.97	2-3
2021-10-24	Indianapolis Colts	L 18-30	1480.76	1541.32	42.04%	57.47%	-6.26	2-4
2021-10-31	@ Chicago Bears	W 33-22	1474.50	1478.20	48.28%	51.21%	+7.29	3-4
2021-11-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-31	1481.79	1540.33	42.32%	57.18%	-6.80	3-5
2021-11-15	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-10	1474.99	1578.85	36.12%	63.40%	+12.46	4-5
2021-11-21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-10	1487.45	1353.64	67.29%	32.26%	+6.19	5-5
2021-11-28	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-26	1493.64	1489.22	51.31%	48.18%	+5.85	6-5
2021-12-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-30	1499.49	1524.04	45.30%	54.20%	-5.14	6-6
2021-12-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-23	1494.35	1462.43	53.40%	46.09%	+3.43	7-6
2021-12-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-13	1497.78	1458.97	56.22%	43.27%	+7.88	8-6
2021-12-23	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-20	1505.66	1542.66	43.53%	55.97%	-3.24	8-7
2022-01-02	Houston Texans	W 23-7	1502.42	1403.53	64.46%	35.07%	+6.03	9-7
2022-01-09	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-24	1508.45	1584.13	38.16%	61.35%	+4.56	10-7
2021-09-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 28-16	1550.25	1549.03	48.99%	50.50%	+7.50	1-0
2021-09-19	Tennessee Titans	L 30-33	1557.75	1521.59	55.85%	43.65%	-4.15	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-30	1553.60	1473.61	60.17%	39.34%	-9.30	1-2
2021-10-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-21	1544.30	1490.62	56.50%	43.00%	+4.89	2-2
2021-10-07	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-26	1549.19	1566.46	48.19%	51.30%	-6.21	2-3
2021-10-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1542.98	1517.22	52.52%	46.98%	-3.90	2-4
2021-10-25	New Orleans Saints	L 10-13	1539.08	1602.41	41.65%	57.85%	-3.10	2-5
2021-10-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-7	1535.98	1355.34	74.35%	25.25%	+5.31	3-5
2021-11-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-17	1541.29	1611.41	38.92%	60.59%	-6.89	3-6
2021-11-21	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-23	1534.40	1533.62	50.79%	48.70%	-6.89	3-7
2021-11-29	@ Washington Football Team	L 15-17	1527.51	1469.18	57.15%	42.35%	-3.47	3-8
2021-12-05	San Francisco 49ers	W 30-23	1524.04	1499.49	54.20%	45.30%	+5.15	4-8
2021-12-12	@ Houston Texans	W 33-13	1529.19	1393.61	67.51%	32.03%	+6.15	5-8
2021-12-21	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-20	1535.34	1571.75	43.61%	55.89%	-5.92	5-9
2021-12-26	Chicago Bears	L 24-25	1529.42	1451.90	61.60%	37.91%	-2.64	5-10
2022-01-02	Detroit Lions	W 51-29	1526.78	1359.18	72.90%	26.69%	+5.38	6-10
2022-01-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-30	1532.16	1526.45	49.63%	49.86%	+6.05	7-10
2021-09-09	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-29	1648.33	1457.29	75.47%	24.14%	+1.46	1-0
2021-09-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 48-25	1649.79	1475.05	73.70%	25.90%	+5.34	2-0
2021-09-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-34	1655.13	1568.82	61.03%	38.48%	-8.28	2-1
2021-10-03	@ New England Patriots	W 19-17	1646.85	1489.33	70.21%	29.36%	+1.79	3-1
2021-10-10	Miami Dolphins	W 45-17	1648.64	1508.76	69.65%	29.92%	+6.80	4-1
2021-10-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-22	1655.44	1427.25	77.94%	21.69%	+2.28	5-1
2021-10-24	Chicago Bears	W 38-3	1657.72	1484.83	73.49%	26.10%	+6.63	6-1
2021-10-31	@ New Orleans Saints	L 27-36	1664.35	1605.51	57.22%	42.28%	-7.36	6-2
2021-11-14	@ Washington Football Team	L 19-29	1656.99	1453.66	75.40%	24.21%	-10.21	6-3
2021-11-22	New York Giants	W 30-10	1646.78	1435.73	77.53%	22.11%	+4.24	7-3
2021-11-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 38-31	1651.02	1564.08	61.12%	38.39%	+4.37	8-3
2021-12-05	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-17	1655.39	1456.72	74.90%	24.71%	+3.82	9-3
2021-12-12	Buffalo Bills	W 33-27	1659.21	1622.38	55.95%	43.55%	+4.58	10-3
2021-12-19	New Orleans Saints	L 0-9	1663.79	1580.53	62.38%	37.14%	-8.02	10-4
2021-12-26	@ Carolina Panthers	W 32-6	1655.77	1438.22	76.88%	22.75%	+4.98	11-4
2022-01-02	@ New York Jets	W 28-24	1660.75	1347.13	85.22%	14.51%	+1.25	12-4
2022-01-09	Carolina Panthers	W 41-17	1662.00	1429.67	79.58%	20.08%	+4.22	13-4
2021-09-12	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-38	1533.75	1491.44	56.72%	42.78%	-12.16	0-1
2021-09-19	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 33-30	1521.59	1557.75	43.65%	55.85%	+4.15	1-1
2021-09-26	Indianapolis Colts	W 25-16	1525.74	1538.01	48.91%	50.58%	+6.51	2-1
2021-10-03	@ New York Jets	L 24-27	1532.25	1364.32	71.44%	28.13%	-5.30	2-2
2021-10-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 37-19	1526.95	1355.17	71.89%	27.69%	+5.04	3-2
2021-10-18	Buffalo Bills	W 34-31	1531.99	1632.84	36.52%	63.00%	+4.68	4-2
2021-10-24	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-3	1536.67	1601.35	41.46%	58.04%	+12.20	5-2
2021-10-31	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 34-31	1548.87	1547.57	49.00%	50.49%	+3.75	6-2
2021-11-07	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 28-16	1552.62	1587.11	43.88%	55.61%	+8.26	7-2
2021-11-14	New Orleans Saints	W 23-21	1560.88	1608.64	43.84%	55.66%	+3.38	8-2
2021-11-21	Houston Texans	L 13-22	1564.26	1397.91	72.76%	26.83%	-9.35	8-3
2021-11-28	@ New England Patriots	L 13-36	1554.91	1528.75	52.57%	46.92%	-10.82	8-4
2021-12-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-0	1544.09	1338.32	77.00%	22.63%	+4.35	9-4
2021-12-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-19	1548.44	1505.38	54.99%	44.51%	-5.78	9-5
2021-12-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1542.66	1505.66	55.97%	43.53%	+3.24	10-5
2022-01-02	Miami Dolphins	W 34-3	1545.90	1533.23	52.50%	46.99%	+11.23	11-5
2022-01-09	@ Houston Texans	W 28-25	1557.13	1397.50	70.46%	29.11%	+2.17	12-5
2021-09-12	Los Angeles Chargers	L 16-20	1479.48	1469.11	52.17%	47.32%	-4.48	0-1
2021-09-16	New York Giants	W 30-29	1475.00	1433.83	56.56%	42.94%	+1.84	1-1
2021-09-26	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-43	1476.84	1611.27	30.58%	68.98%	-6.16	1-2
2021-10-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-30	1470.68	1473.08	48.47%	51.02%	+4.38	2-2
2021-10-10	New Orleans Saints	L 22-33	1475.06	1597.62	33.68%	65.85%	-4.80	2-3
2021-10-17	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-31	1470.26	1595.27	33.37%	66.17%	-6.08	2-4
2021-10-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-24	1464.18	1609.19	29.30%	70.26%	-4.71	2-5
2021-10-31	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-17	1459.47	1443.06	51.17%	48.32%	-5.81	2-6
2021-11-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 29-19	1453.66	1656.99	24.21%	75.40%	+10.21	3-6
2021-11-21	@ Carolina Panthers	W 27-21	1463.87	1462.84	48.96%	50.53%	+5.31	4-6
2021-11-29	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-15	1469.18	1527.51	42.35%	57.15%	+3.47	5-6
2021-12-05	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 17-15	1472.65	1461.37	50.44%	49.05%	+2.98	6-6
2021-12-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-27	1475.63	1497.10	47.59%	51.90%	-5.41	6-7
2021-12-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-27	1470.22	1448.21	51.98%	47.51%	-7.05	6-8
2021-12-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-56	1463.17	1509.09	42.27%	57.23%	-11.76	6-9
2022-01-02	Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-20	1451.41	1464.41	48.81%	50.68%	-4.19	6-10
2022-01-09	@ New York Giants	W 22-7	1447.22	1399.31	55.68%	43.82%	+7.28	7-10

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2022-01-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 11-34	1520.40	1579.58	40.66%	59.34%	-8.33	0-1
2022-01-15	New England Patriots	W 47-17	1635.09	1532.41	65.21%	34.79%	+8.14	1-0
2022-01-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 36-42	1643.23	1635.18	50.23%	49.77%	-5.26	1-1
2022-01-15	Las Vegas Raiders	W 26-19	1477.16	1467.50	52.32%	47.68%	+5.39	1-0
2022-01-22	@ Tennessee Titans	W 19-16	1482.55	1559.30	38.25%	61.75%	+4.56	2-0
2022-01-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-24	1487.11	1640.44	28.50%	71.50%	+5.29	3-0
2022-02-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-23	1492.40	1595.43	35.59%	64.41%	-2.63	3-1
2022-01-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-23	1526.50	1513.01	52.87%	47.13%	-5.53	0-1
2022-01-22	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-13	1630.57	1518.54	66.42%	33.58%	-4.91	0-1
2022-01-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 42-21	1628.64	1515.59	66.55%	33.45%	+6.54	1-0
2022-01-23	Buffalo Bills	W 42-36	1635.18	1643.23	49.77%	50.23%	+5.26	2-0
2022-01-30	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1640.44	1487.11	71.50%	28.50%	-5.29	2-1
2022-01-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 19-26	1467.50	1477.16	47.68%	52.32%	-5.38	0-1
2022-01-17	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-11	1579.58	1520.40	59.34%	40.66%	+8.32	1-0
2022-01-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-27	1587.90	1670.09	37.51%	62.49%	+4.63	2-0
2022-01-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1592.53	1523.45	60.71%	39.29%	+2.90	3-0
2022-02-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1595.43	1492.40	64.41%	35.59%	+2.64	4-0
2022-01-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-47	1532.41	1635.09	34.79%	65.21%	-8.13	0-1
2022-01-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-31	1459.21	1666.22	22.64%	77.36%	-3.87	0-1
2022-01-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-42	1515.59	1628.64	33.45%	66.55%	-6.55	0-1
2022-01-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 23-17	1513.01	1526.50	47.13%	52.87%	+5.53	1-0
2022-01-22	@ Green Bay Packers	W 13-10	1518.54	1630.57	33.58%	66.42%	+4.91	2-0
2022-01-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-20	1523.45	1592.53	39.29%	60.71%	-2.91	2-1
2022-01-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-15	1666.22	1459.21	77.36%	22.64%	+3.87	1-0
2022-01-23	Los Angeles Rams	L 27-30	1670.09	1587.90	62.49%	37.51%	-4.63	1-1
2022-01-22	Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-19	1559.30	1482.55	61.75%	38.25%	-4.57	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-11-07	16.81%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1350.03	9	Buffalo Bills	1633.25	6
2	2022-01-09	17.08%	@ Detroit Lions	1353.80	37	Green Bay Packers	1633.69	30
3	2022-01-09	19.11%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1316.57	26	Indianapolis Colts	1572.57	11
4	2021-11-14	24.21%	@ Washington Football Team	1453.66	29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1656.99	19
5	2021-12-19	25.43%	@ Detroit Lions	1348.82	30	Arizona Cardinals	1540.83	12
6	2021-10-03	25.68%	New York Giants	1428.62	27	@ New Orleans Saints	1605.37	21
7	2021-11-21	26.83%	Houston Texans	1397.91	22	@ Tennessee Titans	1564.26	13
8	2021-10-24	27.82%	Cincinnati Bengals	1446.73	41	@ Baltimore Ravens	1604.37	17
9	2021-11-21	28.10%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1437.00	40	New Orleans Saints	1605.26	29
10	2021-10-03	28.13%	@ New York Jets	1364.32	27	Tennessee Titans	1532.25	24
11	2022-01-30 *	28.50%	Cincinnati Bengals	1487.11	27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1640.44	24
12	2021-10-17	29.26%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1350.13	23	Miami Dolphins	1501.96	20
13	2021-11-07	29.60%	Atlanta Falcons	1470.38	27	@ New Orleans Saints	1612.88	25
14	2022-01-02	29.64%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1476.38	34	Kansas City Chiefs	1631.57	31
15	2021-09-19	29.69%	@ Carolina Panthers	1457.67	26	New Orleans Saints	1612.42	7
16	2021-09-26	30.20%	Los Angeles Chargers	1469.63	30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1607.15	24
17	2021-11-21	32.22%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1484.22	34	Green Bay Packers	1618.30	31
18	2022-01-02	32.50%	Las Vegas Raiders	1458.67	23	@ Indianapolis Colts	1577.54	20
19	2021-12-05	32.67%	@ Detroit Lions	1352.83	29	Minnesota Vikings	1483.37	27
20	2021-09-13	33.41%	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1465.04	33	Baltimore Ravens	1589.69	27
21	2022-01-22 *	33.58%	San Francisco 49ers	1518.54	13	@ Green Bay Packers	1630.57	10
22	2021-12-26	34.38%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1463.89	41	Baltimore Ravens	1581.06	21
23	2021-09-26	34.83%	Cincinnati Bengals	1426.97	24	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1527.72	10
24	2021-11-14	35.21%	Carolina Panthers	1449.33	34	@ Arizona Cardinals	1547.13	10
25	2021-12-02	35.38%	Dallas Cowboys	1488.41	27	@ New Orleans Saints	1584.92	17

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2021-10-24	15.06	Cincinnati Bengals	41	1446.73	27.82%	@ Baltimore Ravens	17	1604.37	71.76%
2	2021-11-28	13.88	@ Cincinnati Bengals	41	1458.03	41.40%	Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1523.17	58.11%
3	2021-11-14	13.69	@ New England Patriots	45	1505.95	47.74%	Cleveland Browns	7	1526.38	51.75%
4	2021-11-21	13.56	Indianapolis Colts	41	1550.52	37.49%	@ Buffalo Bills	15	1631.17	62.03%
5	2021-11-14	13.51	Carolina Panthers	34	1449.33	35.21%	@ Arizona Cardinals	10	1547.13	64.32%
6	2021-12-19	13.48	@ Detroit Lions	30	1348.82	25.43%	Arizona Cardinals	12	1540.83	74.17%
7	2022-01-09	13.37	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	26	1316.57	19.11%	Indianapolis Colts	11	1572.57	80.56%
8	2021-09-19	13.05	@ Carolina Panthers	26	1457.67	29.69%	New Orleans Saints	7	1612.42	69.88%
9	2021-09-12	12.97	Philadelphia Eagles	32	1427.42	40.23%	@ Atlanta Falcons	6	1488.01	59.28%
10	2021-11-14	12.88	@ Dallas Cowboys	43	1484.29	52.07%	Atlanta Falcons	3	1474.62	47.42%
11	2021-09-12	12.77	@ New Orleans Saints	38	1599.65	49.19%	Green Bay Packers	3	1603.53	50.30%
12	2021-12-26	12.49	@ Cincinnati Bengals	41	1463.89	34.38%	Baltimore Ravens	21	1581.06	65.16%
13	2021-11-15	12.46	@ San Francisco 49ers	31	1474.99	36.12%	Los Angeles Rams	10	1578.85	63.40%
14	2021-10-24	12.20	@ Tennessee Titans	27	1536.67	41.46%	Kansas City Chiefs	3	1601.35	58.04%
15	2021-09-12	12.16	Arizona Cardinals	38	1491.44	42.78%	@ Tennessee Titans	13	1533.75	56.72%
16	2021-12-26	11.77	@ Dallas Cowboys	56	1509.09	57.23%	Washington Football Team	14	1463.17	42.27%
17	2021-10-31	11.49	Philadelphia Eagles	44	1419.03	56.12%	@ Detroit Lions	6	1368.04	43.38%
18	2022-01-02	11.23	@ Tennessee Titans	34	1545.90	52.50%	Miami Dolphins	3	1533.23	46.99%
19	2021-10-24	11.05	@ New York Giants	25	1420.37	44.59%	Carolina Panthers	3	1462.87	54.91%
20	2021-11-28	10.82	@ New England Patriots	36	1528.75	46.92%	Tennessee Titans	13	1554.91	52.57%
21	2021-10-03	10.64	Arizona Cardinals	37	1510.16	39.35%	@ Los Angeles Rams	20	1577.10	60.16%
22	2021-12-27	10.61	Miami Dolphins	20	1522.62	39.49%	@ New Orleans Saints	3	1588.55	60.02%
23	2021-10-17	10.55	Arizona Cardinals	37	1525.77	48.22%	@ Cleveland Browns	14	1529.91	51.27%
24	2021-09-26	10.38	Cincinnati Bengals	24	1426.97	34.83%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1527.72	64.70%
25	2021-09-19	10.30	Buffalo Bills	35	1600.97	58.97%	@ Miami Dolphins	0	1529.68	40.54%