2020 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 2002

Runner-Up

Kansas City Chiefs

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2019

Biggest Overachiever

Buffalo Bills

3.68 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.32 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Jacksonville Jaguars

3.70 wins below expected

1 wins · 4.70 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Buffalo Bills Division	13	3	.812	-	501	375	+126	9.32	+3.68
2	Miami Dolphins	10	6	.625	3	404	338	+66	8.03	+1.97
3	New England Patriots	7	9	.438	6	326	353	-27	8.38	-1.38
4	New York Jets	2	14	.125	11	243	457	-214	4.00	-2.00

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	12	4	0	.750	-	416	312	+104	10.48	+1.52
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	1	468	303	+165	11.03	-0.03
3	Cleveland Browns Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	1	408	419	-11	8.40	+2.60
4	Cincinnati Bengals	4	11	1	.281	7.5	311	424	-113	5.65	-1.15

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Tennessee Titans Division	11	5	.688	-	491	439	+52	10.17	+0.83
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	11	5	.688	-	451	362	+89	9.26	+1.74
3	Houston Texans	4	12	.250	7	384	464	-80	6.70	-2.70
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	15	.062	10	306	492	-186	4.70	-3.70

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	14	2	.875	-	473	362	+111	11.90	+2.10
2	Las Vegas Raiders	8	8	.500	6	434	478	-44	7.07	+0.93
3	Los Angeles Chargers	7	9	.438	7	384	426	-42	6.78	+0.22
4	Denver Broncos	5	11	.312	9	323	446	-123	6.18	-1.18

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Football Team Division	7	9	0	.438	-	335	329	+6	6.74	+0.26
2	New York Giants	6	10	0	.375	1	280	357	-77	5.55	+0.45
3	Dallas Cowboys	6	10	0	.375	1	395	473	-78	7.17	-1.17
4	Philadelphia Eagles	4	11	1	.281	2.5	334	418	-84	6.84	-2.34

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	.812	-	509	369	+140	10.67	+2.33
2	Chicago Bears Playoffs	8	8	.500	5	372	370	+2	8.17	-0.17
3	Minnesota Vikings	7	9	.438	6	430	475	-45	8.39	-1.39
4	Detroit Lions	5	11	.312	8	377	519	-142	5.81	-0.81

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New Orleans Saints Division	12	4	.750	-	482	337	+145	10.46	+1.54
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	492	355	+137	9.41	+1.59
3	Carolina Panthers	5	11	.312	7	350	402	-52	5.82	-0.82
4	Atlanta Falcons	4	12	.250	8	396	414	-18	6.74	-2.74

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	12	4	.750	-	459	371	+88	9.86	+2.14
2	Los Angeles Rams Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	372	296	+76	9.66	+0.34
3	Arizona Cardinals	8	8	.500	4	410	367	+43	8.23	-0.23
4	San Francisco 49ers	6	10	.375	6	376	390	-14	8.41	-2.41

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Buffalo Bills 27

Indianapolis Colts 24

Jan 9

Baltimore Ravens 20

Tennessee Titans 13

Jan 10

Cleveland Browns 48

Pittsburgh Steelers 37

Jan 10

Divisional Round

Buffalo Bills 17

Baltimore Ravens 3

Jan 16

Kansas City Chiefs 22

Cleveland Browns 17

Jan 17

Conference Championship

Kansas City Chiefs 38

Buffalo Bills 24

Jan 24

NFC

Wild Card Round

Los Angeles Rams 30

Seattle Seahawks 20

Jan 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31

Washington Football Team 23

Jan 9

New Orleans Saints 21

Chicago Bears 9

Jan 10

Divisional Round

Green Bay Packers 32

Los Angeles Rams 18

Jan 16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30

New Orleans Saints 20

Jan 17

Conference Championship

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31

Green Bay Packers 26

Jan 24

Super Bowl

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31

Kansas City Chiefs 9

Feb 7

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1755	14	11.90	+2.10	95.09%	4	9	11	12	13	14	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1725	13	9.32	+3.68	98.99%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1713	13	10.67	+2.33	94.86%	2	8	9	11	12	14	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1710	12	10.46	+1.54	87.51%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1665	11	11.03	-0.03	60.08%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1654	11	9.41	+1.59	87.22%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1637	12	9.86	+2.14	92.65%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1607	11	9.26	+1.74	88.54%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1600	10	9.66	+0.34	67.34%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1592	12	10.48	+1.52	87.29%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1591	11	10.17	+0.83	76.69%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1553	10	8.03	+1.97	91.57%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1522	11	8.40	+2.60	95.23%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1494	8	8.17	-0.17	57.64%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1481	7	8.38	-1.38	32.79%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1481	8	8.23	-0.23	56.29%	0	5	7	8	10	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1469	4	6.74	-2.74	12.10%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Washington Football Team	NFC	NFC East	1468	7	6.74	+0.26	66.68%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1463	6	8.41	-2.41	16.16%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1460	7	8.39	-1.39	32.80%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1440	7	6.78	+0.22	66.20%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1436	8	7.07	+0.93	78.30%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1417	6	7.17	-1.17	37.36%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1402	5	5.82	-0.82	45.10%	0	3	4	6	7	9	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1393	6	5.55	+0.45	70.86%	0	3	4	5	7	9	13
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1391	5	6.18	-1.18	37.35%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1364	4	6.70	-2.70	12.48%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1357	4.5	5.65	-1.15	27.65%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1351	4.5	6.84	-2.34	10.66%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1309	5	5.81	-0.81	44.83%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1274	2	4.00	-2.00	19.26%	0	1	3	4	5	7	12
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1226	1	4.70	-3.70	2.36%	0	2	3	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (1.4 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)
New York Jets	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (0.9 exp.)

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (3.2 exp.)	-	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	3-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Titans	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
Las Vegas Raiders	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	3-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	-
Las Vegas Raiders	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-
Los Angeles Chargers	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Team
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Football Team	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)
New York Giants	-	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	0-3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Football Team	-	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	-	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-3 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	0.78%	0.98%	0.39%	0.78%	0.39%	3.32%
7–13	—	0.39%	2.93%	1.95%	1.76%	1.95%	0.20%	9.18%
14–20	0.78%	2.93%	4.69%	7.42%	3.71%	1.76%	0.98%	22.27%
21–27	0.98%	1.95%	7.42%	8.20%	6.05%	1.37%	1.37%	27.34%
28–34	0.39%	1.76%	3.71%	6.05%	6.25%	3.52%	0.59%	22.27%
35–41	0.78%	1.95%	1.76%	1.37%	3.52%	1.56%	0.39%	11.33%
42+	0.39%	0.20%	0.98%	1.37%	0.59%	0.39%	0.39%	4.30%
Total	3.32%	9.18%	22.27%	27.34%	22.27%	11.33%	4.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.79	24.79	+0.00
SD	9.86	9.86	14.22
CV	0.40	0.40	—
Max	56	56	+45
Min	0	0	-45

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.62	22.94	+2.69
SD	8.60	9.43	12.09
CV	0.34	0.41	—
Max	38	38	+28
Min	7	7	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.75	25.88	-1.12
SD	10.09	9.58	13.55
CV	0.41	0.37	—
Max	43	44	+37
Min	9	6	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.25	18.94	+10.31
SD	8.89	11.23	14.84
CV	0.30	0.59	—
Max	47	42	+35
Min	14	3	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.31	23.44	+7.88
SD	11.12	8.97	14.17
CV	0.35	0.38	—
Max	56	42	+30
Min	16	9	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.88	25.12	-3.25
SD	6.52	10.65	11.80
CV	0.30	0.42	—
Max	31	46	+20
Min	7	0	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	23.12	+0.12
SD	9.14	8.62	13.01
CV	0.39	0.37	—
Max	41	41	+29
Min	10	7	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	37.50%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.44	26.50	-7.06
SD	12.03	7.62	13.80
CV	0.62	0.29	—
Max	37	38	+11
Min	3	16	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.50	26.19	-0.69
SD	13.86	11.68	13.80
CV	0.54	0.45	—
Max	49	47	+14
Min	6	6	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.69	29.56	-4.88
SD	12.33	10.61	14.67
CV	0.50	0.36	—
Max	41	49	+23
Min	3	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.19	27.88	-7.69
SD	9.19	10.06	13.35
CV	0.46	0.36	—
Max	37	48	+9
Min	3	12	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	50.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.56	32.44	-8.88
SD	9.26	9.50	13.99
CV	0.39	0.29	—
Max	35	47	+18
Min	0	16	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	—	50.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.81	23.06	+8.75
SD	8.70	7.66	12.92
CV	0.27	0.33	—
Max	43	38	+26
Min	10	14	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.00	29.00	-5.00
SD	9.83	9.02	11.56
CV	0.41	0.31	—
Max	41	42	+16
Min	7	10	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.19	22.62	+5.56
SD	8.52	9.60	13.38
CV	0.30	0.42	—
Max	44	45	+29
Min	10	7	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	6.25%	31.25%	43.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	30.75	-11.62
SD	7.66	5.80	9.87
CV	0.40	0.19	—
Max	30	41	+7
Min	3	20	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.56	22.62	+6.94
SD	6.72	9.31	11.09
CV	0.23	0.41	—
Max	43	40	+27
Min	17	9	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	100%

Las Vegas Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.12	29.88	-2.75
SD	8.64	10.42	15.13
CV	0.32	0.35	—
Max	40	45	+25
Min	6	6	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.00	26.62	-2.62
SD	9.91	8.16	13.31
CV	0.41	0.31	—
Max	39	45	+17
Min	0	13	-45

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	18.50	+4.75
SD	7.90	8.84	10.60
CV	0.34	0.48	—
Max	38	35	+21
Min	9	3	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.25	21.12	+4.12
SD	7.72	13.72	14.58
CV	0.31	0.65	—
Max	43	56	+26
Min	11	0	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	12.50%	50.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.88	29.69	-2.81
SD	7.15	9.53	9.77
CV	0.27	0.32	—
Max	37	52	+14
Min	11	13	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.38	22.06	-1.69
SD	11.51	9.52	18.39
CV	0.56	0.43	—
Max	45	38	+45
Min	3	0	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.12	21.06	+9.06
SD	7.61	11.23	12.98
CV	0.25	0.53	—
Max	52	37	+35
Min	21	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	50.00%	31.25%	—	12.50%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.50	22.31	-4.81
SD	7.76	6.89	9.87
CV	0.44	0.31	—
Max	34	37	+10
Min	6	12	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.19	28.56	-13.38
SD	9.83	7.23	12.02
CV	0.65	0.25	—
Max	28	40	+7
Min	0	16	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	—	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	26.12	-5.25
SD	4.69	7.80	8.72
CV	0.22	0.30	—
Max	29	38	+14
Min	14	9	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	56.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.00	19.50	+6.50
SD	7.09	7.52	11.96
CV	0.27	0.39	—
Max	38	29	+31
Min	15	3	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	24.38	-0.88
SD	6.88	11.33	15.16
CV	0.29	0.46	—
Max	36	43	+27
Min	13	6	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.69	23.19	+5.50
SD	8.58	10.05	10.70
CV	0.30	0.43	—
Max	40	44	+37
Min	12	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.75	22.19	+8.56
SD	11.84	8.92	17.80
CV	0.39	0.40	—
Max	47	38	+40
Min	3	7	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.69	27.44	+3.25
SD	10.68	9.45	14.20
CV	0.35	0.34	—
Max	46	41	+26
Min	14	10	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	50.00%	6.25%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Washington Football Team — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	20.56	+0.38
SD	7.20	8.66	13.10
CV	0.34	0.42	—
Max	41	34	+25
Min	10	3	-20

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.69	+0.4
Allowed	0.38	-0.4
Differential	0.84	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Buffalo Bills	13	9.32	+3.68
2	Cleveland Browns	11	8.40	+2.60
3	Green Bay Packers	13	10.67	+2.33
4	Seattle Seahawks	12	9.86	+2.14
5	Kansas City Chiefs	14	11.90	+2.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	1	4.70	-3.70
2	Atlanta Falcons	4	6.74	-2.74
3	Houston Texans	4	6.70	-2.70
4	San Francisco 49ers	6	8.41	-2.41
5	Philadelphia Eagles	4.5	6.84	-2.34

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Chargers	4	Dec 13 – Jan 3	1 in 173
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	11	Sep 14 – Dec 2	1 in 167
3	New York Jets	2	Dec 20 – Dec 27	1 in 76
4	Washington Football Team	4	Nov 22 – Dec 13	1 in 60
5	New Orleans Saints	9	Oct 4 – Dec 6	1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	15	Sep 20 – Jan 3	1 in 237
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Dec 7 – Dec 21	1 in 116
3	New York Jets	13	Sep 13 – Dec 13	1 in 69
4	Chicago Bears	6	Oct 26 – Dec 6	1 in 47
5	Los Angeles Rams	2	Dec 20 – Dec 27	1 in 24

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
Buffalo Bills	51.68%	29.09%	17.22%	2.01%
New England Patriots	27.27%	35.85%	32.13%	4.75%
Miami Dolphins	20.62%	32.89%	40.71%	5.78%
New York Jets	0.44%	2.17%	9.93%	87.47%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	51.15%	34.95%	12.46%	1.44%
Pittsburgh Steelers	39.48%	40.74%	17.52%	2.26%
Cleveland Browns	8.89%	21.42%	53.64%	16.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.48%	2.89%	16.38%	80.25%

Team	1	2	3	4
Tennessee Titans	59.15%	32.09%	7.78%	0.98%
Indianapolis Colts	35.38%	46.72%	15.30%	2.61%
Houston Texans	4.93%	17.45%	54.47%	23.15%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.54%	3.74%	22.45%	73.27%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	92.63%	6.19%	1.00%	0.18%
Las Vegas Raiders	3.38%	39.39%	32.58%	24.64%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.49%	31.38%	34.39%	31.74%
Denver Broncos	1.50%	23.04%	32.02%	43.44%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	34.49%	27.80%	22.45%	15.26%
Philadelphia Eagles	29.41%	27.99%	24.89%	17.70%
Washington Football Team	25.58%	26.67%	26.04%	21.70%
New York Giants	10.51%	17.53%	26.62%	45.34%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	67.84%	22.21%	8.20%	1.75%
Minnesota Vikings	16.84%	36.58%	32.93%	13.64%
Chicago Bears	13.65%	32.92%	36.77%	16.66%
Detroit Lions	1.66%	8.28%	22.11%	67.95%

Team	1	2	3	4
New Orleans Saints	60.05%	30.68%	7.71%	1.56%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	33.64%	45.55%	15.98%	4.83%
Atlanta Falcons	4.41%	15.31%	44.83%	35.46%
Carolina Panthers	1.90%	8.46%	31.49%	58.15%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	38.60%	28.97%	19.90%	12.53%
Los Angeles Rams	34.80%	29.40%	21.56%	14.23%
San Francisco 49ers	13.94%	21.53%	29.80%	34.72%
Arizona Cardinals	12.65%	20.09%	28.74%	38.52%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Kansas City Chiefs	38.12%	24.76%	15.33%	9.07%	4.96%	3.02%	1.85%	1.25%	0.72%	0.42%	0.24%	0.15%	0.07%	0.03%	<0.01%	-
Baltimore Ravens	21.98%	18.15%	14.85%	12.47%	10.46%	7.19%	5.12%	3.70%	2.46%	1.65%	0.98%	0.54%	0.29%	0.13%	0.04%	<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.89%	15.18%	13.95%	12.89%	11.92%	9.42%	6.96%	5.36%	3.94%	2.71%	1.75%	1.08%	0.55%	0.27%	0.10%	0.03%
Tennessee Titans	10.43%	14.22%	15.46%	13.43%	11.66%	9.79%	7.60%	5.82%	4.20%	2.80%	2.01%	1.32%	0.68%	0.36%	0.17%	0.05%
Buffalo Bills	4.92%	8.20%	11.31%	13.00%	11.54%	10.55%	9.56%	8.02%	6.68%	5.53%	4.29%	2.98%	1.70%	0.98%	0.54%	0.22%
Indianapolis Colts	4.81%	7.83%	10.06%	10.64%	11.44%	11.68%	10.62%	8.98%	7.30%	5.34%	4.34%	3.09%	1.87%	1.13%	0.58%	0.31%
New England Patriots	1.84%	3.52%	5.74%	8.04%	8.79%	10.17%	10.59%	10.36%	9.49%	8.90%	7.75%	6.24%	3.96%	2.39%	1.43%	0.80%
Cleveland Browns	2.04%	3.48%	4.64%	6.22%	8.24%	8.76%	9.70%	10.73%	11.20%	10.08%	8.17%	6.42%	4.85%	3.15%	1.70%	0.62%
Miami Dolphins	0.94%	2.25%	4.01%	6.26%	7.47%	9.28%	10.10%	10.41%	10.64%	10.89%	9.42%	7.49%	4.85%	3.16%	1.79%	1.06%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.34%	0.78%	1.47%	2.39%	4.12%	6.07%	8.05%	9.19%	9.83%	10.39%	10.34%	10.73%	9.51%	8.37%	5.51%	2.93%
Los Angeles Chargers	0.20%	0.52%	1.05%	1.77%	2.97%	4.64%	6.46%	8.18%	9.08%	10.17%	11.00%	11.28%	11.04%	9.93%	7.23%	4.48%
Houston Texans	0.31%	0.68%	1.23%	2.05%	3.07%	4.04%	5.40%	6.67%	8.44%	10.38%	12.30%	13.28%	11.09%	8.99%	7.34%	4.73%
Denver Broncos	0.13%	0.27%	0.55%	1.04%	1.96%	3.10%	4.46%	5.98%	7.51%	8.64%	10.23%	11.69%	12.68%	13.20%	10.83%	7.73%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.05%	0.13%	0.25%	0.53%	0.97%	1.42%	2.11%	3.19%	4.85%	6.25%	8.19%	11.13%	15.99%	17.08%	15.89%	11.97%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.02%	0.07%	0.14%	0.30%	0.59%	0.96%	1.42%	2.46%	3.88%	5.86%	8.05%	12.46%	16.83%	23.14%	23.81%
New York Jets	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.13%	0.27%	0.46%	0.75%	1.22%	1.98%	3.12%	4.56%	8.39%	14.00%	23.71%	41.28%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Green Bay Packers	26.08%	19.33%	14.81%	10.14%	7.78%	6.08%	4.52%	3.41%	2.54%	1.79%	1.32%	0.98%	0.57%	0.40%	0.19%	0.06%
New Orleans Saints	21.79%	17.87%	14.89%	11.16%	8.95%	6.99%	5.39%	3.90%	2.97%	2.08%	1.55%	1.08%	0.66%	0.40%	0.24%	0.09%
Seattle Seahawks	13.45%	14.02%	12.67%	10.82%	9.53%	8.09%	6.88%	6.03%	4.91%	4.04%	3.16%	2.33%	1.88%	1.23%	0.69%	0.27%
Los Angeles Rams	11.74%	12.61%	11.71%	10.80%	9.65%	8.51%	7.37%	6.34%	5.57%	4.47%	3.52%	2.83%	2.26%	1.47%	0.80%	0.33%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9.89%	10.60%	11.01%	11.01%	10.62%	9.65%	8.45%	6.89%	5.69%	4.50%	3.81%	2.94%	2.03%	1.49%	0.98%	0.43%
Minnesota Vikings	3.80%	5.12%	6.32%	7.70%	8.35%	9.13%	9.05%	8.70%	8.08%	7.70%	6.92%	6.02%	4.56%	4.01%	2.91%	1.62%
San Francisco 49ers	3.94%	5.17%	6.16%	7.27%	7.61%	8.09%	8.47%	8.48%	8.47%	7.91%	7.13%	6.46%	6.05%	4.49%	2.88%	1.42%
Chicago Bears	3.28%	4.24%	5.40%	6.74%	7.64%	8.30%	8.60%	8.76%	8.42%	8.17%	7.62%	6.69%	5.47%	4.82%	3.62%	2.23%
Arizona Cardinals	3.15%	4.58%	5.70%	6.53%	7.34%	7.77%	8.22%	8.14%	8.30%	8.00%	7.56%	6.86%	6.67%	5.31%	3.60%	2.26%
Dallas Cowboys	0.85%	1.93%	3.29%	4.87%	5.81%	6.43%	7.07%	8.00%	8.17%	8.32%	8.50%	8.45%	8.41%	7.33%	6.66%	5.92%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.51%	1.28%	2.41%	3.81%	4.57%	5.50%	6.21%	7.38%	8.15%	8.43%	8.94%	9.24%	9.69%	8.48%	7.93%	7.48%
Washington Football Team	0.44%	1.15%	2.10%	3.49%	4.24%	5.08%	6.08%	6.82%	7.62%	8.32%	8.71%	8.98%	9.58%	9.09%	9.01%	9.29%
Atlanta Falcons	0.65%	1.13%	1.70%	2.49%	3.29%	4.09%	5.15%	6.07%	7.18%	8.54%	9.61%	10.47%	10.15%	10.56%	10.19%	8.74%
Carolina Panthers	0.16%	0.40%	0.67%	1.08%	1.53%	2.10%	2.79%	3.75%	4.73%	6.13%	7.61%	9.32%	10.73%	13.65%	16.70%	18.64%
Detroit Lions	0.18%	0.33%	0.59%	0.96%	1.50%	2.09%	2.90%	3.60%	4.63%	5.94%	7.13%	8.74%	10.86%	15.13%	17.14%	18.30%
New York Giants	0.09%	0.26%	0.58%	1.13%	1.59%	2.09%	2.85%	3.72%	4.58%	5.65%	6.92%	8.60%	10.42%	12.13%	16.44%	22.93%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Kansas City Chiefs	27.57%	16.32%	13.27%	9.31%	7.55%	5.96%	4.26%	3.73%	2.62%	2.14%	1.55%	1.29%	0.93%	0.84%	0.61%	0.52%	0.37%	0.30%	0.23%	0.18%	0.11%	0.11%	0.07%	0.06%	0.04%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	-
Baltimore Ravens	14.67%	10.82%	10.59%	8.33%	8.18%	6.71%	6.24%	5.25%	5.24%	4.07%	3.43%	2.91%	2.59%	2.18%	1.79%	1.43%	1.18%	1.06%	0.76%	0.70%	0.48%	0.40%	0.28%	0.26%	0.16%	0.12%	0.08%	0.05%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	10.16%	12.17%	9.19%	10.03%	7.51%	7.72%	5.93%	5.59%	4.48%	4.14%	3.34%	3.37%	2.64%	2.25%	1.93%	1.76%	1.51%	1.23%	1.03%	0.80%	0.70%	0.60%	0.53%	0.39%	0.30%	0.25%	0.20%	0.10%	0.09%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	8.47%	10.11%	8.28%	9.33%	7.36%	7.91%	6.11%	6.07%	4.88%	4.82%	3.81%	3.87%	2.98%	2.66%	2.26%	2.04%	1.72%	1.41%	1.19%	0.96%	0.89%	0.70%	0.59%	0.43%	0.35%	0.26%	0.21%	0.13%	0.11%	0.06%	0.03%	0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	8.66%	8.05%	8.76%	7.34%	7.63%	6.61%	6.61%	5.76%	5.83%	5.15%	4.52%	3.89%	3.42%	3.20%	2.58%	2.23%	1.85%	1.75%	1.32%	1.17%	0.86%	0.75%	0.54%	0.51%	0.34%	0.24%	0.19%	0.11%	0.06%	0.05%	0.02%	<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	6.62%	6.45%	8.20%	6.92%	7.98%	6.68%	6.70%	5.94%	5.94%	5.18%	4.87%	4.24%	3.76%	3.42%	2.86%	2.70%	2.00%	1.97%	1.44%	1.42%	1.03%	0.98%	0.68%	0.64%	0.41%	0.32%	0.24%	0.18%	0.11%	0.08%	0.03%	0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	4.52%	6.69%	6.21%	7.42%	6.33%	6.67%	5.87%	5.75%	5.21%	4.91%	4.50%	4.20%	4.10%	3.44%	3.38%	2.72%	3.00%	2.40%	2.24%	1.70%	1.68%	1.47%	1.41%	0.94%	0.88%	0.71%	0.63%	0.41%	0.31%	0.20%	0.10%	0.04%
Los Angeles Rams	3.76%	5.94%	5.47%	6.58%	5.79%	6.24%	5.70%	5.78%	5.22%	5.04%	4.72%	4.35%	4.35%	3.70%	3.58%	3.01%	3.24%	2.59%	2.52%	2.03%	1.93%	1.63%	1.55%	1.19%	1.14%	0.91%	0.74%	0.48%	0.39%	0.21%	0.15%	0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.11%	4.70%	4.60%	5.64%	5.12%	5.86%	5.63%	5.99%	5.24%	5.59%	4.84%	5.43%	4.32%	4.32%	3.74%	3.73%	3.16%	2.92%	2.43%	2.28%	2.21%	1.76%	1.64%	1.29%	1.11%	0.96%	0.76%	0.56%	0.49%	0.27%	0.21%	0.08%
Buffalo Bills	2.95%	3.23%	4.84%	4.53%	5.92%	5.29%	6.14%	5.85%	5.84%	5.29%	5.34%	4.69%	4.84%	4.25%	4.07%	3.72%	3.28%	3.26%	2.81%	2.71%	2.03%	2.08%	1.47%	1.55%	0.99%	0.93%	0.63%	0.57%	0.37%	0.28%	0.15%	0.10%
Indianapolis Colts	2.83%	3.18%	4.46%	4.17%	5.29%	4.92%	5.51%	5.17%	5.64%	5.45%	5.48%	5.29%	4.84%	5.05%	4.00%	4.48%	3.34%	3.59%	2.65%	2.87%	2.12%	2.15%	1.58%	1.63%	1.07%	0.99%	0.68%	0.59%	0.40%	0.34%	0.17%	0.12%
New England Patriots	0.93%	1.30%	2.01%	2.12%	3.17%	3.06%	3.93%	3.97%	4.49%	4.32%	5.00%	4.75%	5.01%	5.12%	4.89%	4.95%	4.54%	4.37%	4.30%	4.35%	3.62%	3.75%	2.96%	3.24%	2.17%	2.20%	1.45%	1.35%	0.91%	0.82%	0.55%	0.39%
Minnesota Vikings	0.90%	1.91%	2.05%	2.64%	2.82%	3.35%	3.89%	4.07%	4.12%	4.38%	4.64%	4.83%	4.61%	4.56%	4.82%	4.50%	4.51%	4.09%	4.09%	3.78%	3.96%	3.46%	3.27%	2.68%	2.60%	2.15%	2.20%	1.56%	1.47%	0.97%	0.77%	0.34%
San Francisco 49ers	0.95%	1.92%	2.10%	2.74%	2.92%	3.31%	3.69%	3.72%	4.04%	4.06%	4.35%	4.14%	4.96%	4.32%	4.68%	4.11%	4.84%	4.11%	4.33%	3.78%	4.03%	3.46%	3.62%	2.89%	3.05%	2.51%	2.27%	1.74%	1.40%	1.00%	0.66%	0.31%
Cleveland Browns	1.00%	1.41%	1.97%	2.01%	2.71%	2.68%	3.30%	3.41%	4.21%	4.21%	4.34%	4.43%	4.81%	5.12%	4.68%	4.97%	5.07%	5.32%	4.51%	4.70%	3.62%	4.10%	3.15%	3.19%	2.48%	2.37%	1.76%	1.62%	1.10%	0.96%	0.50%	0.28%
Chicago Bears	0.74%	1.60%	1.74%	2.26%	2.48%	2.84%	3.28%	3.52%	3.74%	4.04%	4.20%	4.51%	4.39%	4.45%	4.67%	4.47%	4.64%	4.47%	4.22%	4.05%	4.12%	3.89%	3.63%	3.05%	3.00%	2.66%	2.64%	2.03%	1.89%	1.24%	1.06%	0.48%
Arizona Cardinals	0.75%	1.55%	1.79%	2.46%	2.61%	3.15%	3.27%	3.49%	3.67%	3.91%	4.15%	4.20%	4.53%	4.06%	4.39%	4.08%	4.71%	4.29%	4.45%	3.79%	4.17%	3.70%	3.95%	3.17%	3.39%	2.71%	2.82%	2.13%	1.82%	1.28%	1.01%	0.53%
Miami Dolphins	0.46%	0.69%	1.23%	1.52%	2.08%	2.39%	2.90%	3.29%	3.67%	4.03%	4.29%	4.59%	4.63%	5.11%	4.75%	5.29%	4.70%	5.34%	4.94%	5.21%	4.39%	4.59%	3.46%	4.02%	2.65%	2.69%	1.89%	1.79%	1.22%	0.99%	0.68%	0.50%
Dallas Cowboys	0.16%	0.40%	0.55%	0.99%	1.10%	1.73%	1.84%	2.50%	2.32%	3.14%	3.13%	3.43%	3.22%	3.86%	4.31%	4.29%	4.02%	4.34%	4.61%	4.57%	4.57%	4.32%	4.76%	4.27%	4.54%	4.25%	4.09%	3.62%	3.61%	3.03%	2.81%	1.62%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.15%	0.24%	0.45%	0.52%	0.82%	0.92%	1.29%	1.52%	2.00%	2.19%	2.88%	3.06%	3.57%	3.83%	4.00%	4.49%	4.48%	4.77%	4.82%	5.19%	4.64%	5.20%	4.88%	5.54%	4.61%	4.86%	4.18%	4.58%	3.30%	3.21%	2.10%	1.69%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.11%	0.23%	0.42%	0.58%	0.82%	1.16%	1.45%	1.79%	1.85%	2.53%	2.49%	2.85%	2.91%	3.44%	3.77%	4.04%	3.78%	4.27%	4.50%	4.78%	4.80%	4.63%	5.02%	4.80%	5.23%	4.81%	4.83%	4.28%	4.41%	3.61%	3.63%	2.15%
Washington Football Team	0.09%	0.23%	0.32%	0.55%	0.71%	1.12%	1.25%	1.68%	1.64%	2.32%	2.34%	2.77%	2.72%	3.33%	3.46%	3.86%	3.68%	3.96%	4.44%	4.56%	4.89%	4.44%	4.94%	4.72%	5.22%	4.84%	5.16%	4.50%	4.99%	4.10%	4.45%	2.73%
Los Angeles Chargers	0.10%	0.14%	0.27%	0.39%	0.62%	0.66%	0.95%	1.08%	1.50%	1.65%	2.11%	2.41%	2.93%	3.38%	3.33%	4.19%	3.97%	4.69%	4.59%	5.06%	4.91%	5.49%	5.06%	5.84%	5.27%	5.59%	5.00%	5.10%	4.09%	4.08%	3.06%	2.53%
Houston Texans	0.14%	0.18%	0.37%	0.36%	0.70%	0.70%	1.06%	1.11%	1.63%	1.51%	2.12%	2.07%	2.68%	2.71%	3.22%	3.33%	4.01%	4.12%	4.52%	5.19%	5.10%	5.95%	5.32%	6.73%	5.23%	5.77%	4.79%	5.04%	4.25%	4.16%	3.19%	2.74%
Atlanta Falcons	0.10%	0.26%	0.36%	0.56%	0.68%	0.91%	1.08%	1.34%	1.45%	1.78%	2.01%	2.29%	2.64%	2.71%	3.30%	3.20%	3.97%	3.87%	4.47%	4.30%	5.38%	4.82%	5.55%	4.98%	5.62%	5.21%	5.69%	5.01%	5.46%	4.20%	4.30%	2.48%
Denver Broncos	0.05%	0.08%	0.14%	0.17%	0.32%	0.32%	0.56%	0.66%	0.97%	1.04%	1.49%	1.51%	2.03%	2.27%	2.64%	3.09%	3.33%	3.62%	3.88%	4.37%	4.32%	5.19%	5.10%	6.02%	5.58%	6.40%	6.05%	6.99%	5.79%	6.23%	5.00%	4.77%
Carolina Panthers	0.02%	0.06%	0.11%	0.18%	0.22%	0.35%	0.42%	0.57%	0.64%	0.82%	1.04%	1.18%	1.32%	1.44%	1.93%	2.09%	2.52%	2.55%	3.26%	3.20%	4.33%	4.07%	5.12%	4.79%	5.97%	5.77%	7.32%	7.05%	8.57%	7.79%	8.71%	6.57%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.07%	0.09%	0.15%	0.22%	0.30%	0.41%	0.49%	0.63%	0.76%	0.95%	1.17%	1.39%	1.52%	1.92%	1.95%	2.53%	2.48%	3.17%	3.23%	4.01%	4.06%	4.85%	4.56%	6.09%	6.19%	7.79%	7.23%	8.81%	7.66%	8.66%	6.62%
New York Giants	0.01%	0.04%	0.08%	0.11%	0.17%	0.27%	0.37%	0.51%	0.59%	0.82%	0.94%	1.06%	1.22%	1.55%	1.90%	1.93%	2.13%	2.45%	3.02%	3.12%	3.77%	3.59%	4.75%	4.61%	5.63%	5.71%	6.78%	6.65%	8.73%	8.39%	10.50%	8.59%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.07%	0.14%	0.15%	0.27%	0.33%	0.51%	0.50%	0.73%	0.81%	1.09%	1.18%	1.54%	1.70%	2.35%	2.55%	2.81%	3.15%	3.82%	4.27%	5.06%	5.28%	6.84%	7.26%	7.24%	8.34%	7.89%	8.71%	7.56%	7.78%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.07%	0.07%	0.13%	0.17%	0.25%	0.28%	0.39%	0.46%	0.68%	0.77%	1.07%	1.21%	1.62%	1.87%	2.24%	2.90%	3.31%	4.26%	4.89%	6.19%	6.66%	8.81%	9.46%	12.63%	13.01%	16.50%
New York Jets	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.06%	0.06%	0.11%	0.12%	0.19%	0.24%	0.33%	0.35%	0.49%	0.64%	0.81%	0.96%	1.25%	1.49%	1.89%	2.49%	3.13%	4.13%	5.01%	7.39%	8.48%	13.39%	16.93%	29.96%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Kansas City Chiefs	38.12%	26.84%	17.26%	10.41%	1.54%	1.84%	1.39%	2.61%
Baltimore Ravens	21.98%	16.11%	9.37%	3.69%	23.01%	9.84%	5.92%	10.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	13.89%	13.35%	8.52%	3.71%	23.89%	12.51%	7.96%	16.17%
Tennessee Titans	10.43%	14.83%	18.76%	15.13%	7.95%	8.72%	7.11%	17.07%
Buffalo Bills	4.92%	8.96%	14.77%	23.02%	3.79%	6.81%	7.84%	29.88%
Indianapolis Colts	4.81%	8.05%	11.63%	10.88%	9.73%	11.65%	10.50%	32.74%
Cleveland Browns	2.04%	2.94%	2.52%	1.39%	11.17%	11.07%	11.09%	57.78%
New England Patriots	1.84%	3.87%	7.46%	14.09%	4.08%	8.20%	9.68%	50.77%
Miami Dolphins	0.94%	2.52%	5.53%	11.62%	3.27%	7.44%	9.41%	59.27%
Las Vegas Raiders	0.34%	0.78%	1.07%	1.20%	3.74%	7.16%	8.60%	77.12%
Houston Texans	0.31%	0.73%	1.52%	2.36%	2.40%	3.89%	5.40%	83.38%
Los Angeles Chargers	0.20%	0.58%	0.78%	0.93%	2.58%	5.27%	6.92%	82.74%
Denver Broncos	0.13%	0.27%	0.46%	0.64%	1.68%	3.44%	4.63%	88.75%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.05%	0.12%	0.17%	0.15%	1.00%	1.48%	2.26%	94.77%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.02%	0.13%	0.39%	0.14%	0.50%	0.90%	97.91%
New York Jets	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.06%	0.37%	0.03%	0.18%	0.39%	98.96%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Green Bay Packers	26.08%	20.19%	17.62%	3.96%	7.47%	6.72%	5.47%	12.49%
New Orleans Saints	21.79%	18.09%	16.47%	3.70%	10.64%	8.39%	6.69%	14.22%
Seattle Seahawks	13.45%	13.66%	9.37%	2.11%	14.09%	11.25%	8.76%	27.31%
Los Angeles Rams	11.74%	12.33%	8.68%	2.05%	13.81%	11.53%	9.35%	30.51%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9.89%	10.23%	10.89%	2.63%	12.96%	11.98%	10.43%	30.99%
San Francisco 49ers	3.94%	4.86%	4.12%	1.03%	9.44%	9.49%	9.94%	57.19%
Minnesota Vikings	3.80%	4.95%	6.37%	1.72%	8.75%	10.20%	10.72%	53.49%
Chicago Bears	3.28%	4.02%	4.99%	1.36%	8.27%	9.32%	9.83%	58.94%
Arizona Cardinals	3.15%	4.46%	3.96%	1.09%	8.17%	9.19%	9.50%	60.48%
Dallas Cowboys	0.85%	2.19%	5.28%	26.18%	0.54%	1.39%	2.58%	61.00%
Atlanta Falcons	0.65%	1.15%	1.90%	0.70%	2.77%	3.98%	5.22%	83.62%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.51%	1.45%	4.05%	23.39%	0.36%	1.09%	2.21%	66.93%
Washington Football Team	0.44%	1.31%	3.51%	20.33%	0.42%	1.17%	2.50%	70.33%
Detroit Lions	0.18%	0.36%	0.78%	0.35%	1.05%	1.84%	2.84%	92.60%
Carolina Panthers	0.16%	0.43%	0.91%	0.39%	1.09%	1.94%	2.72%	92.35%
New York Giants	0.09%	0.32%	1.10%	9.00%	0.17%	0.53%	1.25%	87.54%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+0.39%

No Edge

50.00%0.39%49.61%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 1.37 Elo pts.

24 Elo

0.041 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.10 points

Lean Home

-8+0.06+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.4

Wide Open

124811

Champion Preseason Odds

Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 6th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

5.6%

Tough Road

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.49 · As Expected: 1.49 to 2.05 · Elevated: 2.05 to 2.79 · High Variance: 2.79 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.52 · Close: 4.52 to 6.11 · Off Target: 6.11 to 7.98 · Well Off Target: 7.98 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.89 · As Expected: 2.89 to 4.82 · More Than Expected: 4.82 to 7.71 · Far More Than Expected: 7.71 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.80 wins

As Expected

01.865

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.41

Pinpoint

05.3215

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

98.99%

Buffalo Bills

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

2.36%

Jacksonville Jaguars

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

3 of 14

As Expected

03.914

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.24

Concentrated

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.99

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

76%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 97%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

23%

Mostly Decisive

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

25%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.40

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

34%

As Expected

0%35%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

26%

As Expected

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.04

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.047

Within Noise

00.0910.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Kansas City Chiefs	82.80%	82.80%	56.37%	36.32%	22.16%
Green Bay Packers	70.65%	70.65%	46.26%	27.91%	14.46%
New Orleans Saints	67.74%	67.74%	44.03%	26.39%	13.71%
Buffalo Bills	65.19%	50.69%	30.46%	17.60%	10.30%
Baltimore Ravens	67.95%	63.58%	34.54%	16.71%	8.56%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	59.12%	46.91%	25.88%	13.37%	6.22%
Seattle Seahawks	59.24%	50.74%	27.04%	12.92%	5.71%
Los Angeles Rams	57.74%	44.96%	21.71%	9.36%	3.70%
Pittsburgh Steelers	69.95%	48.29%	20.55%	8.01%	3.52%
Tennessee Titans	72.50%	47.78%	20.15%	7.82%	3.42%
Indianapolis Colts	62.46%	36.81%	16.15%	6.76%	3.09%
Miami Dolphins	39.79%	17.59%	6.74%	2.49%	0.99%
Cleveland Browns	40.17%	16.92%	5.76%	1.90%	0.71%
Chicago Bears	37.78%	18.11%	6.19%	1.98%	0.61%
Arizona Cardinals	36.37%	17.64%	5.69%	1.72%	0.51%
New England Patriots	47.39%	17.52%	5.16%	1.45%	0.47%
Minnesota Vikings	42.71%	18.84%	5.69%	1.68%	0.43%
San Francisco 49ers	38.87%	18.70%	5.75%	1.64%	0.42%
Washington Football Team	29.23%	11.12%	3.28%	0.95%	0.26%
Atlanta Falcons	15.74%	6.43%	2.12%	0.62%	0.17%
Dallas Cowboys	38.15%	12.65%	3.20%	0.76%	0.17%
Las Vegas Raiders	22.54%	6.05%	1.51%	0.39%	0.11%
Los Angeles Chargers	17.06%	4.59%	1.21%	0.32%	0.09%
Philadelphia Eagles	32.56%	8.27%	1.62%	0.32%	0.06%
New York Giants	12.37%	3.45%	0.76%	0.18%	0.04%
Carolina Panthers	7.48%	2.21%	0.54%	0.15%	0.03%
Denver Broncos	11.12%	2.42%	0.52%	0.10%	0.02%
Houston Texans	16.31%	3.59%	0.66%	0.11%	0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals	5.18%	1.01%	0.18%	0.03%	<0.01%
Detroit Lions	7.22%	1.56%	0.26%	0.04%	<0.01%
New York Jets	1.04%	0.14%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.08%	0.23%	0.03%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		41.2%9.37%	86.1%0.69%	69.7%4.53%	81.8%1.36%	84.6%2.20%	58.9%7.80%	93.7%0.33%	37.9%5.53%	78.1%2.62%	78.7%1.99%	66.6%5.92%	73.6%7.07%	91.5%0.16%	60.1%9.24%	60.8%9.12%
Buffalo Bills	58.8%9.37%		88.4%0.69%	76.7%5.80%	87.2%1.49%	88.3%1.84%	67.3%6.95%	96.1%0.23%	45.6%4.74%	84.9%2.97%	85.1%2.14%	73.4%5.09%	80.4%6.47%	96.5%0.09%	68.7%10.03%	68.0%7.31%
Cincinnati Bengals	13.9%0.69%	11.6%0.69%		25.4%0.12%	60.0%0.02%	40.3%0.07%	19.6%0.50%	76.9%0.01%	10.2%0.94%	44.6%0.06%	31.4%0.03%	26.2%0.25%	30.2%0.40%	50.0%<0.01%	18.5%0.55%	21.4%0.86%
Cleveland Browns	30.3%4.53%	23.3%5.80%	74.6%0.12%		72.9%0.39%	68.4%0.83%	38.4%4.41%	84.3%0.11%	20.5%6.04%	60.3%0.69%	58.2%0.62%	44.6%2.68%	56.2%3.33%	82.5%0.06%	40.4%4.12%	40.9%6.45%
Denver Broncos	18.2%1.36%	12.8%1.49%	40.0%0.02%	27.1%0.39%		53.4%0.19%	21.1%1.09%	90.9%0.01%	10.3%2.25%	37.8%0.08%	41.5%0.05%	27.9%0.57%	37.7%0.73%	58.3%0.01%	23.8%1.16%	23.3%1.70%
Houston Texans	15.4%2.20%	11.7%1.84%	59.7%0.07%	31.6%0.83%	46.6%0.19%		19.3%1.38%	76.2%0.02%	8.7%2.53%	39.3%0.38%	44.5%0.25%	25.7%0.85%	31.9%1.07%	50.0%0.02%	22.1%2.22%	20.6%2.45%
Indianapolis Colts	41.1%7.80%	32.7%6.95%	80.4%0.50%	61.6%4.41%	78.9%1.09%	80.7%1.38%		89.2%0.16%	29.6%6.51%	73.3%2.16%	71.6%1.68%	58.2%4.14%	67.6%5.10%	90.0%0.09%	52.1%8.33%	51.8%12.15%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.3%0.33%	3.9%0.23%	23.1%0.01%	15.7%0.11%	9.1%0.01%	23.8%0.02%	10.8%0.16%		7.6%0.37%	27.5%0.04%	19.2%0.03%	5.0%0.06%	14.0%0.12%	66.7%<0.01%	14.0%0.30%	14.0%0.29%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.1%5.53%	54.4%4.74%	89.8%0.94%	79.5%6.04%	89.7%2.25%	91.3%2.53%	70.4%6.51%	92.4%0.37%		86.5%4.59%	85.8%3.55%	77.1%4.83%	82.5%5.18%	91.8%0.16%	71.9%6.97%	70.7%5.08%
Las Vegas Raiders	21.9%2.62%	15.1%2.97%	55.4%0.06%	39.7%0.69%	62.2%0.08%	60.7%0.38%	26.7%2.16%	72.5%0.04%	13.5%4.59%		51.3%0.11%	30.2%1.11%	43.5%1.61%	64.5%0.03%	29.3%2.44%	28.8%3.64%
Los Angeles Chargers	21.3%1.99%	14.9%2.14%	68.6%0.03%	41.8%0.62%	58.5%0.05%	55.5%0.25%	28.4%1.68%	80.8%0.03%	14.2%3.55%	48.7%0.11%		34.2%0.90%	43.3%1.11%	80.0%0.02%	29.2%1.89%	29.0%2.67%
Miami Dolphins	33.4%5.92%	26.6%5.09%	73.8%0.25%	55.4%2.68%	72.1%0.57%	74.3%0.85%	41.8%4.14%	95.0%0.06%	22.9%4.83%	69.8%1.11%	65.8%0.90%		58.5%2.62%	76.5%0.03%	44.3%5.77%	44.9%4.97%
New England Patriots	26.4%7.07%	19.6%6.47%	69.8%0.40%	43.8%3.33%	62.3%0.73%	68.1%1.07%	32.4%5.10%	86.0%0.12%	17.5%5.18%	56.5%1.61%	56.7%1.11%	41.5%2.62%		78.0%0.04%	34.9%6.82%	33.7%5.71%
New York Jets	8.5%0.16%	3.5%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	17.5%0.06%	41.7%0.01%	50.0%0.02%	10.0%0.09%	33.3%<0.01%	8.2%0.16%	35.5%0.03%	20.0%0.02%	23.5%0.03%	22.0%0.04%		14.5%0.17%	12.7%0.16%
Pittsburgh Steelers	39.9%9.24%	31.3%10.03%	81.5%0.55%	59.6%4.12%	76.2%1.16%	77.9%2.22%	47.9%8.33%	86.0%0.30%	28.1%6.97%	70.7%2.44%	70.8%1.89%	55.7%5.77%	65.1%6.82%	85.5%0.17%		50.2%9.95%
Tennessee Titans	39.2%9.12%	32.0%7.31%	78.6%0.86%	59.1%6.45%	76.7%1.70%	79.4%2.45%	48.2%12.15%	86.0%0.29%	29.3%5.08%	71.2%3.64%	71.0%2.67%	55.1%4.97%	66.3%5.71%	87.3%0.16%	49.8%9.95%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals		52.9%0.80%	66.8%0.32%	49.2%1.82%	58.7%3.07%	71.6%0.29%	21.8%4.46%	34.8%3.80%	54.1%2.18%	21.1%4.42%	62.3%1.00%	65.9%2.55%	51.7%1.89%	28.7%4.12%	27.0%3.39%	51.3%2.26%
Atlanta Falcons	47.1%0.80%		50.0%0.07%	45.3%0.83%	55.7%1.01%	65.9%0.13%	20.3%2.28%	32.1%1.54%	54.3%0.96%	19.9%2.31%	59.8%0.34%	65.7%0.94%	52.9%0.81%	27.8%1.54%	23.8%1.35%	49.6%0.83%
Carolina Panthers	33.2%0.32%	50.0%0.07%		34.6%0.40%	43.7%0.47%	57.1%0.06%	14.8%1.12%	22.4%0.75%	44.2%0.45%	14.3%1.18%	50.0%0.13%	57.0%0.37%	42.1%0.41%	18.7%0.83%	16.9%0.62%	38.4%0.30%
Chicago Bears	50.8%1.82%	54.7%0.83%	65.4%0.40%		59.8%2.96%	71.5%0.27%	21.0%6.17%	35.4%3.36%	55.0%1.92%	21.7%4.97%	62.3%0.84%	67.7%2.52%	53.7%1.95%	29.3%3.63%	27.5%3.86%	53.1%2.27%
Dallas Cowboys	41.3%3.07%	44.3%1.01%	56.3%0.47%	40.2%2.96%		64.2%0.47%	16.5%3.10%	26.2%5.12%	44.5%3.11%	15.5%4.02%	59.1%0.21%	59.5%0.77%	43.7%3.44%	21.7%5.11%	21.2%4.54%	42.9%0.74%
Detroit Lions	28.4%0.29%	34.1%0.13%	42.9%0.06%	28.5%0.27%	35.8%0.47%		8.5%1.20%	15.1%0.72%	29.5%0.29%	8.8%1.02%	41.7%0.13%	42.2%0.41%	27.9%0.38%	13.6%0.78%	10.2%0.78%	28.9%0.29%
Green Bay Packers	78.2%4.46%	79.7%2.28%	85.2%1.12%	79.0%6.17%	83.5%3.10%	91.5%1.20%		64.5%5.86%	81.2%7.25%	51.1%6.02%	86.1%1.05%	88.8%2.69%	79.9%4.79%	61.9%6.04%	59.5%6.97%	82.4%2.41%
Los Angeles Rams	65.2%3.80%	67.9%1.54%	77.6%0.75%	64.6%3.36%	73.8%5.12%	84.9%0.72%	35.5%5.86%		68.2%4.08%	34.8%5.90%	76.6%1.67%	81.0%4.37%	68.6%3.95%	44.6%7.36%	41.5%5.32%	66.3%3.93%
Minnesota Vikings	45.9%2.18%	45.7%0.96%	55.8%0.45%	45.0%1.92%	55.5%3.11%	70.5%0.29%	18.8%7.25%	31.8%4.08%		18.3%5.60%	60.0%1.02%	66.6%2.69%	50.2%2.35%	26.2%4.17%	25.2%4.30%	47.7%2.34%
New Orleans Saints	78.9%4.42%	80.1%2.31%	85.7%1.18%	78.3%4.97%	84.5%4.02%	91.2%1.02%	48.9%6.02%	65.2%5.90%	81.7%5.60%		87.4%1.36%	87.9%3.41%	80.5%4.62%	61.2%5.86%	58.9%10.11%	80.3%3.18%
New York Giants	37.7%1.00%	40.2%0.34%	50.0%0.13%	37.7%0.84%	40.9%0.21%	58.3%0.13%	13.9%1.05%	23.4%1.67%	40.0%1.02%	12.6%1.36%		56.0%0.17%	39.2%1.09%	20.0%1.71%	18.0%1.50%	40.5%0.15%
Philadelphia Eagles	34.1%2.55%	34.3%0.94%	43.0%0.37%	32.3%2.52%	40.5%0.77%	57.8%0.41%	11.2%2.69%	19.0%4.37%	33.4%2.69%	12.1%3.41%	44.0%0.17%		34.9%2.98%	16.9%4.32%	15.3%3.89%	33.3%0.50%
San Francisco 49ers	48.3%1.89%	47.1%0.81%	57.9%0.41%	46.3%1.95%	56.3%3.44%	72.1%0.38%	20.1%4.79%	31.4%3.95%	49.8%2.35%	19.5%4.62%	60.8%1.09%	65.1%2.98%		26.3%4.23%	24.9%3.42%	49.9%2.56%
Seattle Seahawks	71.3%4.12%	72.2%1.54%	81.3%0.83%	70.7%3.63%	78.3%5.11%	86.4%0.78%	38.1%6.04%	55.4%7.36%	73.8%4.17%	38.8%5.86%	80.0%1.71%	83.1%4.32%	73.7%4.23%		47.4%5.56%	72.4%3.98%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	73.0%3.39%	76.2%1.35%	83.1%0.62%	72.5%3.86%	78.8%4.54%	89.8%0.78%	40.5%6.97%	58.5%5.32%	74.8%4.30%	41.1%10.11%	82.0%1.50%	84.7%3.89%	75.1%3.42%	52.6%5.56%		74.6%3.49%
Washington Football Team	48.7%2.26%	50.4%0.83%	61.6%0.30%	46.9%2.27%	57.1%0.74%	71.1%0.29%	17.6%2.41%	33.7%3.93%	52.3%2.34%	19.7%3.18%	59.5%0.15%	66.7%0.50%	50.1%2.56%	27.6%3.98%	25.4%3.49%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		41.4%10.00%	87.1%0.18%	66.6%3.23%	78.8%0.49%	86.0%0.65%	56.9%7.20%	85.7%0.05%	39.0%13.14%	77.9%1.17%	76.5%0.96%	61.9%3.47%	71.7%3.26%	92.5%0.04%	60.1%10.61%	58.5%9.13%
Buffalo Bills	58.6%10.00%		81.3%0.09%	74.3%1.89%	84.0%0.21%	86.7%0.41%	65.1%5.05%	90.5%0.02%	45.4%15.38%	81.5%0.57%	77.9%0.45%	70.5%1.11%	81.4%1.36%	71.4%<0.01%	67.9%6.88%	67.5%7.27%
Cincinnati Bengals	12.9%0.18%	18.7%0.09%		15.8%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.8%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	11.9%0.33%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%	23.7%0.04%		23.4%0.12%	24.1%0.11%
Cleveland Browns	33.4%3.23%	25.7%1.89%	84.2%0.02%		60.3%0.07%	74.0%0.10%	40.8%1.32%	100.0%<0.01%	23.1%4.74%	59.9%0.15%	56.8%0.12%	41.5%0.58%	54.5%0.63%	80.0%<0.01%	41.6%2.07%	41.0%1.99%
Denver Broncos	21.2%0.49%	16.0%0.21%	40.0%<0.01%	39.7%0.07%		46.7%0.01%	21.4%0.15%		14.3%0.81%	66.7%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	32.1%0.06%	43.5%0.07%		27.6%0.28%	27.0%0.24%
Houston Texans	14.0%0.65%	13.3%0.41%	0.0%<0.01%	26.0%0.10%	53.3%0.01%		20.7%0.18%		11.4%1.14%	32.4%0.03%	60.7%0.03%	30.4%0.11%	31.9%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%	26.5%0.46%	24.7%0.33%
Indianapolis Colts	43.1%7.20%	34.9%5.05%	79.2%0.08%	59.2%1.32%	78.6%0.15%	79.3%0.18%		81.8%0.01%	31.3%10.34%	69.9%0.39%	66.3%0.30%	53.5%1.47%	66.0%1.58%	93.3%0.01%	53.3%4.99%	52.5%3.74%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.3%0.05%	9.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			18.2%0.01%		3.8%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.01%		23.3%0.03%	10.0%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	61.0%13.14%	54.6%15.38%	88.1%0.33%	76.9%4.74%	85.7%0.81%	88.6%1.14%	68.7%10.34%	96.2%0.08%		83.6%1.89%	83.4%1.33%	74.4%5.56%	80.3%5.21%	94.7%0.04%	70.5%10.34%	70.7%12.49%
Las Vegas Raiders	22.1%1.17%	18.5%0.57%	100.0%<0.01%	40.1%0.15%	33.3%<0.01%	67.6%0.03%	30.1%0.39%	100.0%<0.01%	16.4%1.89%		58.3%0.01%	39.3%0.14%	49.4%0.16%	100.0%<0.01%	33.1%0.86%	30.0%0.65%
Los Angeles Chargers	23.5%0.96%	22.1%0.45%	57.1%<0.01%	43.2%0.12%	40.0%<0.01%	39.3%0.03%	33.7%0.30%	0.0%<0.01%	16.6%1.33%	41.7%0.01%		38.4%0.12%	49.1%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	32.6%0.58%	35.5%0.55%
Miami Dolphins	38.1%3.47%	29.5%1.11%	66.7%0.02%	58.5%0.58%	67.9%0.06%	69.6%0.11%	46.5%1.47%	80.0%<0.01%	25.6%5.56%	60.7%0.14%	61.6%0.12%		62.3%0.33%		46.1%2.24%	47.1%2.38%
New England Patriots	28.3%3.26%	18.6%1.36%	76.3%0.04%	45.5%0.63%	56.5%0.07%	68.1%0.14%	34.0%1.58%	61.5%0.01%	19.7%5.21%	50.6%0.16%	50.9%0.11%	37.7%0.33%			36.7%2.29%	36.7%2.34%
New York Jets	7.5%0.04%	28.6%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	6.7%0.01%		5.3%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				30.8%0.01%	13.6%0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	39.9%10.61%	32.1%6.88%	76.6%0.12%	58.4%2.07%	72.4%0.28%	73.5%0.46%	46.7%4.99%	76.7%0.03%	29.5%10.34%	66.9%0.86%	67.4%0.58%	53.9%2.24%	63.3%2.29%	69.2%0.01%		49.4%6.53%
Tennessee Titans	41.5%9.13%	32.5%7.27%	75.9%0.11%	59.0%1.99%	73.0%0.24%	75.3%0.33%	47.5%3.74%	90.0%0.01%	29.3%12.49%	70.0%0.65%	64.5%0.55%	52.9%2.38%	63.3%2.34%	86.4%0.02%	50.6%6.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals		52.1%0.29%	61.4%0.09%	48.3%0.74%	57.6%0.44%	80.0%0.04%	22.9%3.77%	33.5%1.97%	51.3%0.80%	23.1%3.61%	54.6%0.11%	68.2%0.30%	52.1%0.64%	31.0%2.29%	26.3%2.15%	49.7%0.39%
Atlanta Falcons	47.9%0.29%		55.6%<0.01%	46.4%0.24%	62.6%0.18%	68.2%0.02%	22.3%1.41%	34.8%0.83%	50.2%0.26%	22.7%1.19%	56.0%0.05%	65.4%0.11%	52.1%0.31%	29.7%0.85%	27.6%0.56%	52.6%0.14%
Carolina Panthers	38.6%0.09%	44.4%<0.01%		36.6%0.08%	45.1%0.05%	28.6%<0.01%	16.2%0.51%	27.3%0.30%	38.9%0.10%	13.5%0.38%	66.7%0.01%	57.1%0.03%	51.5%0.10%	20.1%0.33%	20.5%0.16%	32.1%0.06%
Chicago Bears	51.7%0.74%	53.6%0.24%	63.4%0.08%		59.1%0.49%	60.0%0.03%	23.2%4.04%	36.0%2.03%	55.5%0.59%	24.4%3.59%	58.6%0.13%	66.7%0.32%	55.5%0.83%	32.8%2.49%	31.3%2.10%	53.3%0.41%
Dallas Cowboys	42.4%0.44%	37.4%0.18%	54.9%0.05%	40.9%0.49%		61.5%0.04%	18.8%2.98%	27.2%1.47%	43.3%0.47%	17.8%2.58%	40.0%0.02%	65.9%0.04%	45.9%0.48%	24.9%1.83%	22.0%1.53%	43.6%0.06%
Detroit Lions	20.0%0.04%	31.8%0.02%	71.4%<0.01%	40.0%0.03%	38.5%0.04%		9.5%0.33%	19.0%0.21%	28.6%0.06%	8.2%0.30%	25.0%<0.01%	45.8%0.02%	20.3%0.07%	15.5%0.21%	15.9%0.18%	26.7%0.03%
Green Bay Packers	77.1%3.77%	77.7%1.41%	83.8%0.51%	76.8%4.04%	81.2%2.98%	90.5%0.33%		63.4%9.38%	79.7%4.17%	50.2%14.06%	84.3%0.85%	87.9%1.97%	78.6%3.88%	59.6%10.47%	57.5%10.15%	79.0%2.70%
Los Angeles Rams	66.5%1.97%	65.2%0.83%	72.7%0.30%	64.0%2.03%	72.8%1.47%	81.0%0.21%	36.6%9.38%		68.3%2.28%	35.4%9.08%	78.7%0.39%	77.3%0.97%	67.3%2.21%	45.2%6.89%	42.3%5.71%	66.0%1.25%
Minnesota Vikings	48.7%0.80%	49.8%0.26%	61.1%0.10%	44.5%0.59%	56.7%0.47%	71.4%0.06%	20.3%4.17%	31.7%2.28%		21.1%3.68%	63.3%0.13%	65.2%0.34%	50.2%0.84%	27.7%2.57%	26.1%2.17%	50.6%0.40%
New Orleans Saints	76.9%3.61%	77.3%1.19%	86.5%0.38%	75.6%3.59%	82.2%2.58%	91.8%0.30%	49.8%14.06%	64.6%9.08%	78.9%3.68%		86.9%0.74%	85.5%1.74%	78.8%3.70%	60.1%10.36%	57.5%10.31%	79.4%2.44%
New York Giants	45.4%0.11%	44.0%0.05%	33.3%0.01%	41.4%0.13%	60.0%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	15.7%0.85%	21.3%0.39%	36.7%0.13%	13.1%0.74%		54.5%0.01%	35.5%0.14%	20.8%0.47%	22.9%0.39%	75.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	31.8%0.30%	34.6%0.11%	42.9%0.03%	33.3%0.32%	34.1%0.04%	54.2%0.02%	12.1%1.97%	22.7%0.97%	34.8%0.34%	14.5%1.74%	45.5%0.01%		38.3%0.31%	18.1%1.12%	17.5%0.96%	41.4%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	47.9%0.64%	47.9%0.31%	48.5%0.10%	44.5%0.83%	54.1%0.48%	79.7%0.07%	21.4%3.88%	32.7%2.21%	49.8%0.84%	21.2%3.70%	64.5%0.14%	61.7%0.31%		28.2%2.46%	27.1%2.35%	48.6%0.40%
Seattle Seahawks	69.0%2.29%	70.3%0.85%	79.9%0.33%	67.2%2.49%	75.1%1.83%	84.5%0.21%	40.4%10.47%	54.8%6.89%	72.3%2.57%	39.9%10.36%	79.2%0.47%	81.9%1.12%	71.8%2.46%		47.5%6.88%	69.3%1.51%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	73.7%2.15%	72.4%0.56%	79.5%0.16%	68.7%2.10%	78.0%1.53%	84.1%0.18%	42.5%10.15%	57.7%5.71%	73.9%2.17%	42.5%10.31%	77.1%0.39%	82.5%0.96%	72.9%2.35%	52.5%6.88%		72.8%1.31%
Washington Football Team	50.3%0.39%	47.4%0.14%	67.9%0.06%	46.7%0.41%	56.4%0.06%	73.3%0.03%	21.0%2.70%	34.0%1.25%	49.4%0.40%	20.6%2.44%	25.0%<0.01%	58.6%0.03%	51.4%0.40%	30.7%1.51%	27.2%1.31%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		41.6%6.09%	89.3%0.03%	67.9%0.89%	82.4%0.10%	77.3%0.11%	57.7%2.87%	75.0%<0.01%	39.3%14.96%	75.2%0.26%	74.5%0.21%	64.0%1.16%	72.3%0.88%	80.0%<0.01%	58.2%3.36%	59.4%3.62%
Buffalo Bills	58.4%6.09%		78.1%0.03%	74.0%0.92%	81.9%0.08%	89.3%0.12%	62.8%2.73%	100.0%<0.01%	46.5%11.68%	78.2%0.26%	76.2%0.19%	71.7%0.95%	77.2%0.75%	100.0%<0.01%	66.2%3.30%	66.2%3.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.7%0.03%	21.9%0.03%		40.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%		15.5%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%	20.0%0.01%
Cleveland Browns	32.1%0.89%	26.0%0.92%	60.0%<0.01%		93.8%0.02%	46.2%0.01%	38.4%0.45%	100.0%<0.01%	24.9%2.02%	66.7%0.05%	62.8%0.04%	47.6%0.19%	59.2%0.15%		44.9%0.47%	40.4%0.56%
Denver Broncos	17.6%0.10%	18.1%0.08%		6.2%0.02%			20.4%0.05%		17.1%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	19.2%0.03%	36.4%0.01%		23.7%0.04%	23.5%0.05%
Houston Texans	22.7%0.11%	10.7%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%			21.6%0.04%		7.5%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.03%	37.5%0.02%		19.6%0.06%	32.6%0.04%
Indianapolis Colts	42.3%2.87%	37.2%2.73%	84.6%0.01%	61.6%0.45%	79.6%0.05%	78.4%0.04%		100.0%<0.01%	33.1%5.97%	73.7%0.12%	67.3%0.10%	56.1%0.56%	63.1%0.38%		51.5%1.58%	52.0%1.30%
Jacksonville Jaguars	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		8.3%0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.7%14.96%	53.5%11.68%	84.5%0.06%	75.1%2.02%	82.9%0.15%	92.5%0.23%	66.9%5.97%	91.7%0.01%		81.6%0.43%	83.0%0.36%	71.5%2.34%	79.0%1.85%	100.0%<0.01%	69.4%8.39%	69.1%7.93%
Las Vegas Raiders	24.8%0.26%	21.8%0.26%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	26.3%0.12%		18.4%0.43%		75.0%<0.01%	43.1%0.06%	47.4%0.04%		29.9%0.14%	33.6%0.14%
Los Angeles Chargers	25.5%0.21%	23.8%0.19%	100.0%<0.01%	37.2%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.7%0.10%		17.0%0.36%	25.0%<0.01%		32.5%0.04%	43.3%0.03%		39.3%0.11%	32.1%0.11%
Miami Dolphins	36.0%1.16%	28.3%0.95%	83.3%<0.01%	52.4%0.19%	80.8%0.03%	72.0%0.03%	43.9%0.56%	100.0%<0.01%	28.5%2.34%	56.9%0.06%	67.5%0.04%		56.7%0.13%		48.5%0.65%	48.7%0.62%
New England Patriots	27.7%0.88%	22.8%0.75%	100.0%<0.01%	40.8%0.15%	63.6%0.01%	62.5%0.02%	36.9%0.38%	100.0%<0.01%	21.0%1.85%	52.6%0.04%	56.7%0.03%	43.3%0.13%		0.0%<0.01%	34.2%0.47%	38.3%0.46%
New York Jets	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%							0.0%<0.01%				100.0%<0.01%			66.7%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.8%3.36%	33.8%3.30%	84.6%0.01%	55.1%0.47%	76.3%0.04%	80.4%0.06%	48.5%1.58%	100.0%<0.01%	30.6%8.39%	70.1%0.14%	60.7%0.11%	51.5%0.65%	65.8%0.47%			50.8%1.96%
Tennessee Titans	40.6%3.62%	33.8%3.35%	80.0%0.01%	59.6%0.56%	76.5%0.05%	67.4%0.04%	48.0%1.30%	100.0%<0.01%	30.9%7.93%	66.4%0.14%	67.9%0.11%	51.3%0.62%	61.7%0.46%	33.3%<0.01%	49.2%1.96%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Arizona Cardinals		57.1%0.06%	50.0%0.02%	43.2%0.18%	56.6%0.08%	85.7%<0.01%	23.9%1.56%	38.0%0.49%	53.8%0.14%	22.7%1.48%	75.0%0.01%	55.6%0.03%	52.6%0.11%	33.5%0.64%	30.2%0.80%	45.0%0.08%
Atlanta Falcons	42.9%0.06%		66.7%<0.01%	52.9%0.05%	44.8%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	21.7%0.59%	38.2%0.25%	54.3%0.05%	21.2%0.46%	42.9%0.01%	68.8%0.02%	45.9%0.06%	30.8%0.28%	27.6%0.22%	51.7%0.03%
Carolina Panthers	50.0%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%		22.7%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	17.8%0.14%	34.1%0.04%	52.9%0.02%	21.9%0.11%		62.5%<0.01%	44.4%0.02%	25.3%0.08%	36.5%0.05%	30.0%0.01%
Chicago Bears	56.8%0.18%	47.1%0.05%	77.3%0.02%		66.2%0.07%	85.7%<0.01%	24.7%1.40%	34.6%0.66%	57.0%0.14%	25.9%1.67%	65.0%0.02%	57.6%0.03%	57.1%0.17%	32.5%0.89%	30.7%0.81%	53.5%0.09%
Dallas Cowboys	43.4%0.08%	55.2%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	33.8%0.07%			18.1%0.85%	25.8%0.29%	40.6%0.06%	17.4%0.89%	66.7%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%	46.4%0.07%	25.7%0.39%	27.8%0.43%	70.6%0.02%
Detroit Lions	14.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%			7.4%0.05%	16.0%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	16.4%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	18.9%0.04%	16.1%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	76.1%1.56%	78.3%0.59%	82.2%0.14%	75.3%1.40%	81.9%0.85%	92.6%0.05%		63.3%6.40%	76.1%1.37%	50.7%14.77%	81.4%0.23%	85.7%0.45%	78.5%1.58%	60.1%8.23%	55.9%7.71%	76.1%0.92%
Los Angeles Rams	62.0%0.49%	61.8%0.25%	65.9%0.04%	65.4%0.66%	74.2%0.29%	84.0%0.03%	36.7%6.40%		67.4%0.63%	35.9%6.07%	70.1%0.07%	80.4%0.15%	65.8%0.48%	44.7%2.67%	43.8%3.19%	62.4%0.29%
Minnesota Vikings	46.2%0.14%	45.7%0.05%	47.1%0.02%	43.0%0.14%	59.4%0.06%	75.0%<0.01%	23.9%1.37%	32.6%0.63%		24.9%1.48%	52.2%0.02%	61.4%0.04%	46.3%0.15%	29.4%0.77%	28.1%0.73%	46.7%0.09%
New Orleans Saints	77.3%1.48%	78.8%0.46%	78.1%0.11%	74.1%1.67%	82.6%0.89%	83.6%0.07%	49.3%14.77%	64.1%6.07%	75.1%1.48%		82.4%0.17%	82.9%0.40%	77.0%1.52%	59.7%7.76%	56.2%6.33%	76.6%0.83%
New York Giants	25.0%0.01%	57.1%0.01%		35.0%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	18.6%0.23%	29.9%0.07%	47.8%0.02%	17.6%0.17%		50.0%<0.01%	63.2%0.02%	19.0%0.08%	22.0%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	44.4%0.03%	31.2%0.02%	37.5%<0.01%	42.4%0.03%	36.4%0.01%		14.3%0.45%	19.6%0.15%	38.6%0.04%	17.1%0.40%	50.0%<0.01%		40.0%0.03%	18.2%0.20%	20.4%0.22%	10.0%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	47.4%0.11%	54.1%0.06%	55.6%0.02%	42.9%0.17%	53.6%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	21.5%1.58%	34.2%0.48%	53.7%0.15%	23.0%1.52%	36.8%0.02%	60.0%0.03%		30.7%0.61%	28.7%0.83%	51.9%0.08%
Seattle Seahawks	66.5%0.64%	69.2%0.28%	74.7%0.08%	67.5%0.89%	74.3%0.39%	81.1%0.04%	39.9%8.23%	55.3%2.67%	70.6%0.77%	40.3%7.76%	81.0%0.08%	81.8%0.20%	69.3%0.61%		48.2%3.98%	74.6%0.42%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	69.8%0.80%	72.4%0.22%	63.5%0.05%	69.3%0.81%	72.2%0.43%	83.9%0.03%	44.1%7.71%	56.2%3.19%	71.9%0.73%	43.8%6.33%	78.0%0.11%	79.6%0.22%	71.3%0.83%	51.8%3.98%		72.9%0.41%
Washington Football Team	55.0%0.08%	48.3%0.03%	70.0%0.01%	46.5%0.09%	29.4%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	23.9%0.92%	37.6%0.29%	53.3%0.09%	23.4%0.83%	50.0%<0.01%	90.0%0.01%	48.1%0.08%	25.4%0.42%	27.1%0.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Las Vegas Raiders	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	69.9%0.30%	72.0%0.10%	75.0%0.02%	69.8%0.32%	74.8%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	45.2%4.74%	57.9%1.52%	69.8%0.30%	45.2%4.33%	89.3%0.03%	72.7%0.06%	75.9%0.28%	53.9%2.21%	52.9%2.22%	71.2%0.16%
Buffalo Bills	70.8%0.29%	71.9%0.11%	84.0%0.03%	73.8%0.31%	85.1%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	53.5%4.86%	66.5%1.69%	78.5%0.29%	53.2%4.74%	74.2%0.03%	95.8%0.05%	74.6%0.28%	60.7%2.26%	59.5%2.34%	70.0%0.18%
Cincinnati Bengals			100.0%<0.01%				12.5%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%				33.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	60.6%0.03%	61.5%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	60.6%0.03%	60.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	31.7%0.52%	46.9%0.18%	72.0%0.03%	32.3%0.51%	66.7%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%	56.7%0.03%	40.3%0.28%	34.5%0.23%	40.0%0.03%
Denver Broncos	33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		10.5%0.02%	30.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	21.4%0.01%
Houston Texans	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%			7.4%0.03%	30.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	8.3%0.02%			50.0%<0.01%	27.8%0.02%	16.7%0.02%
Indianapolis Colts	59.7%0.12%	61.2%0.05%	70.0%0.01%	62.7%0.15%	81.8%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	40.7%1.83%	53.5%0.64%	71.8%0.11%	39.3%1.82%	85.7%0.01%	80.8%0.03%	67.3%0.11%	47.9%0.87%	45.2%0.90%	69.1%0.07%
Jacksonville Jaguars				0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	79.1%0.62%	81.3%0.22%	89.7%0.06%	74.6%0.76%	80.3%0.31%	95.0%0.02%	55.8%10.22%	67.5%3.44%	78.6%0.62%	56.2%9.53%	77.6%0.07%	85.7%0.11%	79.0%0.59%	63.3%4.58%	61.2%4.83%	79.5%0.36%
Las Vegas Raiders	37.5%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%		24.1%0.11%	43.8%0.03%	37.5%<0.01%	24.2%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	24.4%0.04%	25.0%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		22.6%0.09%	33.3%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	21.3%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	83.3%<0.01%	18.6%0.04%	27.1%0.05%	75.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	67.4%0.04%	65.2%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	45.3%0.05%	85.7%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	35.8%0.69%	46.4%0.22%	68.9%0.04%	33.5%0.64%	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	56.8%0.04%	41.7%0.36%	38.0%0.33%	58.8%0.02%
New England Patriots	35.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%		27.9%0.40%	34.2%0.15%	68.2%0.02%	26.3%0.43%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	80.0%0.03%	35.5%0.18%	35.8%0.17%	57.1%<0.01%
New York Jets							0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%					100.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	57.3%0.12%	56.5%0.05%	71.4%0.01%	58.9%0.16%	73.2%0.08%	85.7%<0.01%	38.8%2.27%	52.1%0.70%	67.2%0.12%	37.8%2.08%	63.6%0.01%	73.9%0.02%	69.1%0.12%	47.1%1.05%	42.6%1.12%	70.3%0.07%
Tennessee Titans	67.8%0.15%	68.8%0.05%	64.3%0.01%	65.1%0.15%	61.8%0.06%	75.0%<0.01%	38.1%2.13%	49.0%0.73%	68.3%0.12%	38.2%2.08%	77.8%0.02%	70.4%0.03%	69.7%0.14%	47.7%1.00%	40.9%1.09%	68.9%0.06%
Arizona Cardinals																	30.1%0.30%	29.2%0.29%		39.4%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	40.3%0.12%		20.9%0.62%	62.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	32.6%0.04%	65.0%0.02%		42.7%0.12%	32.2%0.15%
Atlanta Falcons																	28.0%0.10%	28.1%0.11%		38.5%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	38.8%0.05%		18.7%0.22%	33.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	34.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%		43.5%0.05%	31.2%0.05%
Carolina Panthers																	25.0%0.02%	16.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%		10.3%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		28.6%0.01%	35.7%0.01%
Chicago Bears																	30.2%0.32%	26.2%0.31%		39.4%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	37.3%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	25.4%0.76%	25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	54.7%0.05%	60.0%0.03%		41.1%0.16%	34.9%0.15%
Dallas Cowboys																	25.2%0.12%	14.9%0.12%		40.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		18.2%0.03%		19.7%0.31%	40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		26.8%0.08%	38.2%0.06%
Detroit Lions																	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%		5.0%0.02%			0.0%<0.01%			14.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	54.8%4.74%	46.5%4.86%	87.5%<0.01%	68.3%0.52%	89.5%0.02%	92.6%0.03%	59.3%1.83%	100.0%<0.01%	44.2%10.22%	75.9%0.11%	77.4%0.09%	64.2%0.69%	72.1%0.40%	100.0%<0.01%	61.2%2.27%	61.9%2.13%
Los Angeles Rams																	42.1%1.52%	33.5%1.69%	57.1%<0.01%	53.1%0.18%	70.0%0.01%	70.0%0.01%	46.5%0.64%		32.5%3.44%	56.2%0.03%	66.7%0.03%	53.6%0.22%	65.8%0.15%		47.9%0.70%	51.0%0.73%
Minnesota Vikings																	30.2%0.30%	21.5%0.29%		28.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	28.2%0.11%		21.4%0.62%	62.5%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	31.1%0.04%	31.8%0.02%		32.8%0.12%	31.7%0.12%
New Orleans Saints																	54.8%4.33%	46.8%4.74%	100.0%<0.01%	67.7%0.51%	78.6%0.03%	91.7%0.02%	60.7%1.82%		43.8%9.53%	75.8%0.09%	78.7%0.07%	66.5%0.64%	73.7%0.43%	100.0%<0.01%	62.2%2.08%	61.8%2.08%
New York Giants																	10.7%0.03%	25.8%0.03%		33.3%<0.01%			14.3%0.01%		22.4%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		36.4%0.01%	22.2%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles																	27.3%0.06%	4.2%0.05%		36.4%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		19.2%0.03%		14.3%0.11%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		26.1%0.02%	29.6%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers																	24.1%0.28%	25.4%0.28%		43.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	32.7%0.11%		21.0%0.59%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	43.2%0.04%	20.0%0.03%		30.9%0.12%	30.3%0.14%
Seattle Seahawks																	46.1%2.21%	39.3%2.26%	66.7%<0.01%	59.7%0.28%	53.8%0.01%	72.2%0.02%	52.1%0.87%		36.7%4.58%	75.6%0.04%	81.4%0.04%	58.3%0.36%	64.5%0.18%		52.9%1.05%	52.3%1.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	47.1%2.22%	40.5%2.34%	75.0%<0.01%	65.5%0.23%	78.6%0.01%	83.3%0.02%	54.8%0.90%		38.8%4.83%	75.0%0.07%	72.9%0.05%	62.0%0.33%	64.2%0.17%	0.0%<0.01%	57.4%1.12%	59.1%1.09%
Washington Football Team																	28.8%0.16%	30.0%0.18%		60.0%0.03%			30.9%0.07%		20.5%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	41.2%0.02%	42.9%<0.01%		29.7%0.07%	31.1%0.06%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	67.62%	40.09%	23.01%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	64.39%	34.54%	17.22%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
New Orleans Saints	77.97%	47.30%	25.78%	13.16%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Buffalo Bills	66.69%	43.70%	22.86%	12.92%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	74.15%	33.38%	15.96%	7.26%	Won Super Bowl
Baltimore Ravens	60.01%	28.85%	13.61%	6.81%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks	55.98%	24.79%	11.98%	5.42%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	60.20%	21.61%	7.89%	3.37%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Rams	44.02%	18.04%	7.84%	3.14%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Tennessee Titans	39.99%	15.95%	6.23%	2.70%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	33.31%	11.44%	6.00%	2.67%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Cleveland Browns	39.80%	10.83%	3.32%	1.19%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Chicago Bears	22.03%	5.74%	2.08%	0.64%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Washington Football Team	25.85%	6.36%	1.82%	0.50%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens						60.0%100.00%
Buffalo Bills				66.7%100.00%
Cleveland Browns					39.8%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts		33.3%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers			60.2%100.00%
Tennessee Titans	40.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Chicago Bears			22.0%100.00%
Los Angeles Rams				44.0%100.00%
New Orleans Saints	78.0%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks		56.0%100.00%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers						74.2%100.00%
Washington Football Team					25.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		41.4%15.96%	68.2%7.98%		39.7%24.07%	60.3%12.00%
Buffalo Bills	58.6%15.96%					68.0%40.14%	66.7%10.59%
Cleveland Browns	31.8%7.98%				23.4%26.55%		39.7%5.27%
Indianapolis Colts					34.3%33.31%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.3%24.07%		76.6%26.55%	65.7%33.31%			67.8%16.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	39.7%12.00%	32.0%40.14%					49.5%8.06%
Tennessee Titans		33.3%10.59%	60.3%5.27%		32.2%16.07%	50.5%8.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Chicago Bears		26.0%22.03%
Green Bay Packers	74.0%22.03%		61.6%34.27%			56.5%32.34%	76.6%11.36%
Los Angeles Rams		38.4%34.27%				44.1%7.27%	67.5%2.48%
New Orleans Saints					58.6%43.70%	58.2%25.39%	77.9%8.88%
Seattle Seahawks				41.4%43.70%		49.2%9.14%	70.1%3.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		43.5%32.34%	55.9%7.27%	41.8%25.39%	50.8%9.14%
Washington Football Team		23.4%11.36%	32.5%2.48%	22.1%8.88%	29.9%3.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		45.0%6.59%	65.9%1.58%	54.0%4.33%	41.3%13.37%	58.6%2.98%
Buffalo Bills	55.0%6.59%		71.8%3.80%		47.8%29.82%		64.1%3.50%
Cleveland Browns	34.1%1.58%	28.2%3.80%		38.5%1.59%	25.4%3.04%		40.3%0.82%
Indianapolis Colts	46.0%4.33%		61.5%1.59%			55.5%3.06%	54.3%2.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	58.7%13.37%	52.2%29.82%	74.6%3.04%			67.8%13.89%	66.6%7.49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.4%2.98%			44.5%3.06%	32.2%13.89%		49.4%1.68%
Tennessee Titans		35.9%3.50%	59.7%0.82%	45.7%2.46%	33.4%7.49%	50.6%1.68%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team
Chicago Bears			39.4%1.31%		32.2%1.73%	34.1%2.25%	53.1%0.43%
Green Bay Packers			59.5%3.57%	49.1%29.19%	56.1%16.20%	55.4%12.92%	73.3%2.51%
Los Angeles Rams	60.6%1.31%	40.5%3.57%		38.9%8.25%		45.5%4.15%	66.3%0.76%
New Orleans Saints		50.9%29.19%	61.1%8.25%			56.5%8.33%	76.0%1.53%
Seattle Seahawks	67.8%1.73%	43.9%16.20%				50.5%5.73%	71.5%1.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	65.9%2.25%	44.6%12.92%	54.5%4.15%	43.5%8.33%	49.5%5.73%
Washington Football Team	46.9%0.43%	26.7%2.51%	33.7%0.76%	24.0%1.53%	28.5%1.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Football Team	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cleveland Browns	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	68.5%0.28%	46.6%4.71%	57.8%1.03%	46.3%3.58%	51.6%1.55%	53.8%2.24%	72.8%0.22%
Buffalo Bills	72.5%0.44%	53.7%7.98%	65.6%1.77%	53.8%5.91%	59.2%2.69%	56.9%3.67%	75.6%0.40%
Cleveland Browns	55.2%0.07%	33.7%1.15%	41.1%0.25%	34.1%0.88%	38.4%0.41%	35.1%0.51%	47.0%0.07%
Indianapolis Colts	59.5%0.11%	41.5%2.06%	49.2%0.49%	38.8%1.53%	47.6%0.73%	50.4%0.98%	69.8%0.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	73.9%0.90%	55.2%13.71%	64.0%3.20%	53.3%10.32%	59.0%4.87%	59.7%6.34%	76.8%0.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers	59.4%0.15%	41.7%2.77%	50.1%0.64%	38.7%1.98%	44.6%0.96%	41.7%1.23%	60.1%0.15%
Tennessee Titans	56.5%0.13%	40.6%2.15%	51.7%0.48%	39.5%1.58%	46.8%0.77%	44.0%0.99%	66.7%0.12%
Chicago Bears								31.5%0.28%	27.5%0.44%	44.8%0.07%	40.5%0.11%	26.1%0.90%	40.6%0.15%	43.5%0.13%
Green Bay Packers								53.4%4.71%	46.3%7.98%	66.3%1.15%	58.5%2.06%	44.8%13.71%	58.3%2.77%	59.4%2.15%
Los Angeles Rams								42.2%1.03%	34.4%1.77%	58.9%0.25%	50.8%0.49%	36.0%3.20%	49.9%0.64%	48.3%0.48%
New Orleans Saints								53.7%3.58%	46.2%5.91%	65.9%0.88%	61.2%1.53%	46.7%10.32%	61.3%1.98%	60.5%1.58%
Seattle Seahawks								48.4%1.55%	40.8%2.69%	61.6%0.41%	52.4%0.73%	41.0%4.87%	55.4%0.96%	53.2%0.77%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers								46.2%2.24%	43.1%3.67%	64.9%0.51%	49.6%0.98%	40.3%6.34%	58.3%1.23%	56.0%0.99%
Washington Football Team								27.2%0.22%	24.4%0.40%	53.0%0.07%	30.2%0.11%	23.2%0.75%	39.9%0.15%	33.3%0.12%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Kansas City Chiefs 23.01% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

32.35%

Win Prob

65.66%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

38.81%

Win Prob

52.17%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.87%

Win Prob

55.17%

Green Bay Packers 17.22% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

32.78%

Win Prob

61.60%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

41.46%

Win Prob

49.07%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

35.70%

Win Prob

44.83%

New Orleans Saints 13.16% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

77.97%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

54.14%

Win Prob

58.60%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

57.66%

Win Prob

50.93%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

36.61%

Win Prob

46.68%

Buffalo Bills 12.92% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.69%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

62.44%

Win Prob

67.98%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

62.40%

Win Prob

47.83%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

33.13%

Win Prob

53.66%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.26% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Football Team

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

74.15%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

42.11%

Win Prob

43.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

36.10%

Win Prob

44.61%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

35.17%

Win Prob

40.28%

Baltimore Ravens 6.81% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.01%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

33.15%

Win Prob

39.73%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.57%

Win Prob

41.30%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.30%

Win Prob

46.64%

Seattle Seahawks 5.42% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

55.98%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

72.97%

Win Prob

41.40%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

59.32%

Win Prob

43.86%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

36.86%

Win Prob

41.04%

Pittsburgh Steelers 3.37% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cleveland Browns

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.20%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

59.48%

Win Prob

32.02%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

56.60%

Win Prob

32.16%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

34.32%

Win Prob

41.72%

Los Angeles Rams 3.14% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.02%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

72.95%

Win Prob

38.40%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

40.93%

Win Prob

38.89%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

36.68%

Win Prob

35.98%

Tennessee Titans 2.70% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.99%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

32.47%

Win Prob

32.24%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.19%

Win Prob

33.41%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.31%

Win Prob

40.57%

Indianapolis Colts 2.67% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.31%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.34%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

33.23%

Win Prob

46.00%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.06%

Win Prob

41.50%

Cleveland Browns 1.19% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.80%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

57.24%

Win Prob

23.35%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

32.19%

Win Prob

28.17%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

32.66%

Win Prob

33.71%

Chicago Bears 0.64% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

22.03%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.04%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

37.04%

Win Prob

34.12%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

36.73%

Win Prob

26.09%

Washington Football Team 0.50% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.85%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

41.75%

Win Prob

23.39%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

36.89%

Win Prob

26.68%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

35.00%

Win Prob

23.21%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-09-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-20	1451.53	1585.74	31.04%	68.48%	+24.48	1-0
2020-09-20	Washington Football Team	W 30-15	1476.01	1434.83	56.01%	43.45%	+30.13	2-0
2020-09-27	Detroit Lions	L 23-26	1506.14	1399.08	65.02%	34.47%	-20.13	2-1
2020-10-04	@ Carolina Panthers	L 21-31	1486.01	1403.37	61.02%	38.45%	-34.50	2-2
2020-10-11	@ New York Jets	W 30-10	1451.51	1347.81	63.86%	35.63%	+28.55	3-2
2020-10-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 38-10	1480.06	1484.67	48.67%	50.79%	+48.09	4-2
2020-10-25	Seattle Seahawks	W 37-34	1528.15	1615.64	37.80%	61.68%	+19.10	5-2
2020-11-08	Miami Dolphins	L 31-34	1547.25	1543.76	50.62%	48.83%	-15.69	5-3
2020-11-15	Buffalo Bills	W 32-30	1531.56	1580.31	43.15%	56.31%	+14.24	6-3
2020-11-19	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 21-28	1545.80	1564.23	46.68%	52.77%	-22.11	6-4
2020-11-29	@ New England Patriots	L 17-20	1523.69	1487.04	54.59%	44.87%	-16.91	6-5
2020-12-06	Los Angeles Rams	L 28-38	1506.78	1578.86	39.90%	59.57%	-22.60	6-6
2020-12-13	@ New York Giants	W 26-7	1484.18	1441.53	55.44%	44.02%	+34.35	7-6
2020-12-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-26	1518.53	1426.28	63.07%	36.42%	+17.27	8-6
2020-12-26	San Francisco 49ers	L 12-20	1535.80	1440.30	63.50%	35.99%	-32.11	8-7
2021-01-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-18	1503.69	1577.35	38.93%	60.55%	-23.13	8-8
2020-09-13	Seattle Seahawks	L 25-38	1519.18	1521.47	49.79%	49.66%	-32.14	0-1
2020-09-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 39-40	1487.04	1519.00	44.75%	54.70%	-8.01	0-2
2020-09-27	Chicago Bears	L 26-30	1479.03	1535.30	42.10%	57.37%	-15.08	0-3
2020-10-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-30	1463.95	1615.20	28.99%	70.54%	-19.44	0-4
2020-10-11	Carolina Panthers	L 16-23	1444.51	1437.88	51.08%	48.38%	-24.18	0-5
2020-10-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 40-23	1420.33	1495.20	38.76%	60.71%	+44.76	1-5
2020-10-25	Detroit Lions	L 22-23	1465.09	1437.07	54.14%	45.31%	-9.69	1-6
2020-10-29	@ Carolina Panthers	W 25-17	1455.40	1432.76	52.59%	46.87%	+23.74	2-6
2020-11-08	Denver Broncos	W 34-27	1479.14	1469.09	51.57%	47.89%	+22.68	3-6
2020-11-22	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-24	1501.82	1665.85	27.51%	72.04%	-19.09	3-7
2020-11-29	Las Vegas Raiders	W 43-6	1482.73	1532.29	43.04%	56.42%	+61.39	4-7
2020-12-06	New Orleans Saints	L 16-21	1544.12	1703.96	28.63%	70.91%	-11.47	4-8
2020-12-13	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 17-20	1532.65	1361.50	72.23%	27.32%	-22.35	4-9
2020-12-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-31	1510.30	1598.95	37.64%	61.84%	-13.49	4-10
2020-12-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-17	1496.81	1771.93	16.71%	82.96%	-5.18	4-11
2021-01-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-44	1491.63	1631.74	30.32%	69.20%	-22.40	4-12
2020-09-13	Cleveland Browns	W 38-6	1602.90	1456.06	70.02%	29.51%	+29.92	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Houston Texans	W 33-16	1632.82	1490.87	68.75%	30.77%	+22.73	2-0
2020-09-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-34	1655.55	1657.25	49.88%	49.57%	-33.40	2-1
2020-10-04	@ Washington Football Team	W 31-17	1622.15	1375.51	80.03%	19.60%	+13.13	3-1
2020-10-11	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-3	1635.28	1420.80	77.48%	22.12%	+19.41	4-1
2020-10-18	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-28	1654.69	1456.57	75.22%	24.36%	+6.18	5-1
2020-11-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-28	1660.87	1642.82	52.72%	46.74%	-18.87	5-2
2020-11-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-10	1642.00	1573.52	59.07%	40.39%	+27.08	6-2
2020-11-15	@ New England Patriots	L 17-23	1669.08	1484.60	73.74%	25.83%	-32.27	6-3
2020-11-22	Tennessee Titans	L 24-30	1636.81	1561.87	60.72%	38.75%	-26.60	6-4
2020-12-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-19	1610.21	1693.84	37.58%	61.90%	-15.05	6-5
2020-12-08	Dallas Cowboys	W 34-17	1595.16	1331.23	82.04%	17.63%	+13.01	7-5
2020-12-14	@ Cleveland Browns	W 47-42	1608.17	1539.14	59.15%	40.32%	+16.15	8-5
2020-12-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 40-14	1624.32	1259.83	89.04%	10.73%	+9.78	9-5
2020-12-27	New York Giants	W 27-13	1634.10	1384.34	80.81%	18.84%	+12.62	10-5
2021-01-03	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-3	1646.72	1375.43	82.19%	17.47%	+18.50	11-5
2020-09-13	New York Jets	W 27-17	1516.25	1451.34	59.34%	40.13%	+22.73	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-28	1538.98	1395.48	68.94%	30.58%	+9.49	2-0
2020-09-27	Los Angeles Rams	W 35-32	1548.47	1576.82	46.05%	53.40%	+16.55	3-0
2020-10-04	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 30-23	1565.02	1460.58	63.95%	35.54%	+16.85	4-0
2020-10-13	@ Tennessee Titans	L 16-42	1581.87	1597.26	47.12%	52.33%	-43.02	4-1
2020-10-18	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-26	1538.85	1674.18	31.59%	67.93%	-16.97	4-2
2020-10-25	@ New York Jets	W 18-10	1521.88	1295.10	78.15%	21.46%	+10.87	5-2
2020-11-01	New England Patriots	W 24-21	1532.75	1490.53	56.16%	43.30%	+13.43	6-2
2020-11-08	Seattle Seahawks	W 44-34	1546.18	1623.97	39.11%	60.36%	+34.13	7-2
2020-11-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 30-32	1580.31	1531.56	56.31%	43.15%	-14.25	7-3
2020-11-29	Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-17	1566.06	1422.01	69.68%	29.85%	+16.92	8-3
2020-12-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-24	1582.98	1523.90	57.76%	41.70%	+23.62	9-3
2020-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-15	1606.60	1672.59	40.74%	58.73%	+34.83	10-3
2020-12-19	@ Denver Broncos	W 48-19	1641.43	1438.51	75.73%	23.86%	+23.01	11-3
2020-12-28	@ New England Patriots	W 38-9	1664.44	1488.96	72.72%	26.83%	+25.89	12-3
2021-01-03	Miami Dolphins	W 56-26	1690.33	1586.85	64.55%	34.94%	+34.29	13-3
2020-09-13	Las Vegas Raiders	L 30-34	1421.22	1432.16	48.55%	50.90%	-17.38	0-1
2020-09-20	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-31	1403.84	1472.55	39.61%	59.87%	-26.54	0-2
2020-09-27	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 21-16	1377.30	1486.06	34.25%	65.24%	+26.07	1-2
2020-10-04	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-21	1403.37	1486.01	38.45%	61.02%	+34.51	2-2
2020-10-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-16	1437.88	1444.51	48.38%	51.08%	+24.18	3-2
2020-10-18	Chicago Bears	L 16-23	1462.06	1533.63	39.97%	59.50%	-18.94	3-3
2020-10-25	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-27	1443.12	1558.74	33.37%	66.13%	-10.36	3-4
2020-10-29	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-25	1432.76	1455.40	46.87%	52.59%	-23.73	3-5
2020-11-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 31-33	1409.03	1719.77	14.06%	85.65%	-3.56	3-6
2020-11-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-46	1405.47	1574.97	27.51%	72.04%	-23.64	3-7
2020-11-22	Detroit Lions	W 20-0	1381.83	1404.96	46.80%	52.66%	+42.14	4-7
2020-11-29	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-28	1423.97	1506.14	37.77%	61.71%	-6.77	4-8
2020-12-13	Denver Broncos	L 27-32	1417.20	1418.53	49.93%	49.52%	-19.98	4-9
2020-12-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-24	1397.22	1640.00	19.46%	80.18%	-9.86	4-10
2020-12-27	@ Washington Football Team	W 20-13	1387.36	1481.54	36.16%	63.32%	+29.96	5-10
2021-01-03	New Orleans Saints	L 7-33	1417.32	1694.43	16.99%	82.67%	-15.51	5-11
2020-09-13	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-23	1509.15	1437.67	59.49%	39.98%	+14.32	1-0
2020-09-20	New York Giants	W 17-13	1523.47	1404.88	66.51%	33.00%	+11.83	2-0
2020-09-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-26	1535.30	1479.03	57.37%	42.10%	+15.08	3-0
2020-10-04	Indianapolis Colts	L 11-19	1550.38	1537.62	51.96%	47.50%	-26.30	3-1
2020-10-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-19	1524.08	1551.98	46.12%	53.34%	+9.55	4-1
2020-10-18	@ Carolina Panthers	W 23-16	1533.63	1462.06	59.50%	39.97%	+18.94	5-1
2020-10-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-24	1552.57	1560.78	48.15%	51.30%	-32.25	5-2
2020-11-01	New Orleans Saints	L 23-26	1520.32	1569.09	43.15%	56.31%	-13.39	5-3
2020-11-08	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-24	1506.93	1586.92	38.07%	61.41%	-18.04	5-4
2020-11-16	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-19	1488.89	1508.15	47.35%	52.10%	-20.76	5-5
2020-11-29	@ Green Bay Packers	L 25-41	1468.13	1592.92	32.21%	67.30%	-23.09	5-6
2020-12-06	Detroit Lions	L 30-34	1445.04	1335.63	65.33%	34.17%	-23.36	5-7
2020-12-13	Houston Texans	W 36-7	1421.68	1459.79	44.66%	54.80%	+52.79	6-7
2020-12-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 33-27	1474.47	1493.29	46.63%	52.83%	+23.15	7-7
2020-12-27	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 41-17	1497.62	1250.05	80.12%	19.52%	+17.12	8-7
2021-01-03	Green Bay Packers	L 16-35	1514.74	1691.74	26.66%	72.90%	-20.82	8-8
2020-09-13	Los Angeles Chargers	L 13-16	1425.65	1482.15	42.06%	57.40%	-13.05	0-1
2020-09-17	@ Cleveland Browns	L 30-35	1412.60	1426.14	47.38%	52.07%	-18.97	0-2
2020-09-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	T 23-23	1393.63	1448.62	41.51%	57.96%	+0.73	0-2
2020-10-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-25	1394.36	1414.51	47.23%	52.23%	+26.44	1-2
2020-10-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-27	1420.80	1635.28	22.12%	77.48%	-19.42	1-3
2020-10-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-31	1401.38	1533.08	31.36%	68.16%	-11.23	1-4
2020-10-25	Cleveland Browns	L 34-37	1390.15	1494.98	35.48%	64.01%	-11.01	1-5
2020-11-01	Tennessee Titans	W 31-20	1379.14	1634.80	18.80%	80.84%	+47.87	2-5
2020-11-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-36	1427.01	1667.64	19.65%	79.98%	-17.94	2-6
2020-11-22	@ Washington Football Team	L 9-20	1409.07	1356.56	56.84%	42.62%	-33.72	2-7
2020-11-29	New York Giants	L 17-19	1375.35	1399.92	46.59%	52.86%	-11.80	2-8
2020-12-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 7-19	1363.55	1553.37	24.66%	74.92%	-15.30	2-9
2020-12-13	Dallas Cowboys	L 7-30	1348.25	1318.22	54.43%	45.03%	-46.69	2-10
2020-12-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-17	1301.56	1637.76	12.73%	87.00%	+49.08	3-10
2020-12-27	@ Houston Texans	W 37-31	1350.64	1395.85	42.88%	56.58%	+24.79	4-10
2021-01-03	Baltimore Ravens	L 3-38	1375.43	1646.72	17.47%	82.19%	-18.50	4-11
2020-09-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-38	1456.06	1602.90	29.51%	70.02%	-29.92	0-1
2020-09-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-30	1426.14	1412.60	52.07%	47.38%	+18.97	1-1
2020-09-27	Washington Football Team	W 34-20	1445.11	1404.70	55.90%	43.55%	+29.18	2-1
2020-10-04	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 49-38	1474.29	1506.88	44.66%	54.79%	+32.51	3-1
2020-10-11	Indianapolis Colts	W 32-23	1506.80	1563.92	41.98%	57.49%	+30.85	4-1
2020-10-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-38	1537.65	1583.49	42.79%	56.67%	-42.67	4-2
2020-10-25	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 37-34	1494.98	1390.15	64.01%	35.48%	+11.01	5-2
2020-11-01	Las Vegas Raiders	L 6-16	1505.99	1455.01	57.40%	42.07%	-32.46	5-3
2020-11-15	Houston Texans	W 10-7	1473.53	1432.81	55.95%	43.51%	+13.50	6-3
2020-11-22	Philadelphia Eagles	W 22-17	1487.03	1445.65	56.04%	43.42%	+17.38	7-3
2020-11-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-25	1504.41	1282.39	77.68%	21.92%	+5.56	8-3
2020-12-06	@ Tennessee Titans	W 41-35	1509.97	1629.48	32.88%	66.63%	+29.17	9-3
2020-12-14	Baltimore Ravens	L 42-47	1539.14	1608.17	40.32%	59.15%	-16.15	9-4
2020-12-20	@ New York Giants	W 20-6	1522.99	1407.17	65.45%	34.05%	+22.83	10-4
2020-12-27	@ New York Jets	L 16-23	1545.82	1252.06	84.00%	15.69%	-39.67	10-5
2021-01-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-22	1506.15	1607.86	35.90%	63.59%	+16.08	11-5
2020-09-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 17-20	1534.47	1530.42	49.91%	49.54%	-15.47	0-1
2020-09-20	Atlanta Falcons	W 40-39	1519.00	1487.04	54.70%	44.75%	+8.01	1-1
2020-09-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 31-38	1527.01	1575.05	42.48%	56.98%	-20.13	1-2
2020-10-04	Cleveland Browns	L 38-49	1506.88	1474.29	54.79%	44.66%	-32.51	1-3
2020-10-11	New York Giants	W 37-34	1474.37	1357.36	66.31%	33.20%	+10.30	2-3
2020-10-19	Arizona Cardinals	L 10-38	1484.67	1480.06	50.79%	48.67%	-48.09	2-4
2020-10-25	@ Washington Football Team	L 3-25	1436.58	1335.14	63.56%	35.93%	-53.29	2-5
2020-11-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-23	1383.29	1456.87	38.94%	60.54%	-26.10	2-6
2020-11-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-24	1357.19	1661.68	14.89%	84.81%	-5.96	2-7
2020-11-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-28	1351.23	1528.92	25.97%	73.59%	+22.77	3-7
2020-11-26	Washington Football Team	L 16-41	1374.00	1390.27	47.78%	51.67%	-42.77	3-8
2020-12-08	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-34	1331.23	1595.16	17.63%	82.04%	-13.01	3-9
2020-12-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-7	1318.22	1348.25	45.03%	54.43%	+46.70	4-9
2020-12-20	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-33	1364.92	1472.87	35.08%	64.42%	+32.57	5-9
2020-12-27	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-17	1397.49	1409.02	48.46%	50.99%	+40.81	6-9
2021-01-03	@ New York Giants	L 19-23	1438.30	1371.72	58.81%	40.66%	-21.03	6-10
2020-09-14	Tennessee Titans	L 14-16	1492.68	1570.42	39.12%	60.35%	-9.91	0-1
2020-09-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-26	1482.77	1528.16	42.85%	56.61%	-17.16	0-2
2020-09-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-28	1465.61	1499.10	45.32%	54.14%	-34.43	0-3
2020-10-01	@ New York Jets	W 37-28	1431.18	1370.06	58.05%	41.42%	+22.26	1-3
2020-10-18	@ New England Patriots	W 18-12	1453.44	1564.62	33.94%	65.56%	+28.70	2-3
2020-10-25	Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-43	1482.14	1691.16	23.23%	76.37%	-21.62	2-4
2020-11-01	Los Angeles Chargers	W 31-30	1460.52	1450.34	51.59%	47.87%	+8.57	3-4
2020-11-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 27-34	1469.09	1479.14	47.89%	51.57%	-22.68	3-5
2020-11-15	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 12-37	1446.41	1504.92	41.02%	58.45%	-36.73	3-6
2020-11-22	Miami Dolphins	W 20-13	1409.68	1575.13	27.98%	71.57%	+33.83	4-6
2020-11-29	New Orleans Saints	L 3-31	1443.51	1684.94	20.08%	79.55%	-19.02	4-7
2020-12-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-22	1424.49	1741.93	13.60%	86.12%	-5.96	4-8
2020-12-13	@ Carolina Panthers	W 32-27	1418.53	1417.20	49.52%	49.93%	+19.98	5-8
2020-12-19	Buffalo Bills	L 19-48	1438.51	1641.43	23.86%	75.73%	-23.01	5-9
2020-12-27	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 16-19	1415.50	1402.34	51.22%	48.23%	-15.88	5-10
2021-01-03	Las Vegas Raiders	L 31-32	1399.62	1427.39	46.13%	53.32%	-8.26	5-11
2020-09-13	Chicago Bears	L 23-27	1437.67	1509.15	39.98%	59.49%	-14.33	0-1
2020-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-42	1423.34	1569.92	29.55%	69.98%	-24.26	0-2
2020-09-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 26-23	1399.08	1506.14	34.47%	65.02%	+20.13	1-2
2020-10-04	New Orleans Saints	L 29-35	1419.21	1532.95	34.32%	65.18%	-15.06	1-3
2020-10-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-16	1404.15	1356.69	56.12%	43.33%	+32.92	2-3
2020-10-25	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-22	1437.07	1465.09	45.31%	54.14%	+9.69	3-3
2020-11-01	Indianapolis Colts	L 21-41	1446.76	1544.31	36.45%	63.04%	-29.20	3-4
2020-11-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-34	1417.56	1481.13	40.31%	59.16%	-27.02	3-5
2020-11-15	Washington Football Team	W 30-27	1390.54	1370.98	52.93%	46.52%	+14.42	4-5
2020-11-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-20	1404.96	1381.83	52.66%	46.80%	-42.13	4-6
2020-11-26	Houston Texans	L 25-41	1362.83	1449.13	37.96%	61.52%	-27.20	4-7
2020-12-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 34-30	1335.63	1445.04	34.17%	65.33%	+23.35	5-7
2020-12-13	Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1358.98	1631.79	17.35%	82.32%	-8.21	5-8
2020-12-20	@ Tennessee Titans	L 25-46	1350.77	1611.09	17.93%	81.73%	-14.71	5-9
2020-12-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-47	1336.06	1612.44	17.05%	82.61%	-19.30	5-10
2021-01-03	Minnesota Vikings	L 35-37	1316.76	1452.23	31.57%	67.95%	-8.00	5-11
2020-09-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 43-34	1541.94	1555.81	47.34%	52.12%	+27.98	1-0
2020-09-20	Detroit Lions	W 42-21	1569.92	1423.34	69.98%	29.55%	+24.26	2-0
2020-09-27	@ New Orleans Saints	W 37-30	1594.18	1553.97	55.10%	44.36%	+21.02	3-0
2020-10-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-16	1615.20	1463.95	70.54%	28.99%	+19.43	4-0
2020-10-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-38	1634.63	1542.44	62.32%	37.16%	-58.96	4-1
2020-10-25	@ Houston Texans	W 35-20	1575.67	1446.79	67.12%	32.39%	+22.48	5-1
2020-11-01	Minnesota Vikings	L 22-28	1598.15	1450.44	70.12%	29.41%	-30.69	5-2
2020-11-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-17	1567.46	1563.06	49.96%	49.49%	+36.52	6-2
2020-11-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-20	1603.98	1295.74	85.48%	14.23%	+5.09	7-2
2020-11-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 31-34	1609.07	1589.54	52.14%	47.31%	-16.15	7-3
2020-11-29	Chicago Bears	W 41-25	1592.92	1468.13	67.30%	32.21%	+23.08	8-3
2020-12-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-16	1616.00	1415.60	76.04%	23.55%	+15.79	9-3
2020-12-13	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1631.79	1358.98	82.32%	17.35%	+8.21	10-3
2020-12-19	Carolina Panthers	W 24-16	1640.00	1397.22	80.18%	19.46%	+9.85	11-3
2020-12-27	Tennessee Titans	W 40-14	1649.85	1625.80	53.58%	45.88%	+41.89	12-3
2021-01-03	@ Chicago Bears	W 35-16	1691.74	1514.74	72.90%	26.66%	+20.82	13-3
2020-09-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-34	1513.57	1625.41	33.86%	65.64%	-22.70	0-1
2020-09-20	Baltimore Ravens	L 16-33	1490.87	1632.82	30.77%	68.75%	-22.73	0-2
2020-09-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-28	1468.14	1545.32	38.45%	61.03%	-18.22	0-3
2020-10-04	Minnesota Vikings	L 23-31	1449.92	1478.01	46.09%	53.37%	-23.34	0-4
2020-10-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-14	1426.58	1388.08	55.63%	43.82%	+31.39	1-4
2020-10-18	@ Tennessee Titans	L 36-42	1457.97	1640.28	25.47%	74.10%	-11.18	1-5
2020-10-25	Green Bay Packers	L 20-35	1446.79	1575.67	32.39%	67.12%	-22.47	1-6
2020-11-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-25	1424.32	1304.23	66.00%	33.51%	+8.49	2-6
2020-11-15	@ Cleveland Browns	L 7-10	1432.81	1473.53	43.51%	55.95%	-13.50	2-7
2020-11-22	New England Patriots	W 27-20	1419.31	1516.86	36.45%	63.04%	+29.82	3-7
2020-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	W 41-25	1449.13	1362.83	61.52%	37.96%	+27.20	4-7
2020-12-06	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-26	1476.33	1564.68	37.68%	61.80%	-16.54	4-8
2020-12-13	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-36	1459.79	1421.68	54.80%	44.66%	-52.79	4-9
2020-12-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-27	1407.00	1607.54	23.53%	76.06%	-11.15	4-10
2020-12-27	Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-37	1395.85	1350.64	56.58%	42.88%	-24.79	4-11
2021-01-03	Tennessee Titans	L 38-41	1371.06	1583.91	22.84%	76.76%	-7.08	4-12
2020-09-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-27	1485.96	1445.03	55.20%	44.26%	-26.12	0-1
2020-09-20	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-11	1459.84	1527.83	40.46%	59.01%	+43.51	1-1
2020-09-27	New York Jets	W 36-7	1503.35	1404.34	63.96%	35.53%	+34.27	2-1
2020-10-04	@ Chicago Bears	W 19-11	1537.62	1550.38	47.50%	51.96%	+26.30	3-1
2020-10-11	@ Cleveland Browns	L 23-32	1563.92	1506.80	57.49%	41.98%	-30.84	3-2
2020-10-18	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-27	1533.08	1401.38	68.16%	31.36%	+11.23	4-2
2020-11-01	@ Detroit Lions	W 41-21	1544.31	1446.76	63.04%	36.45%	+29.21	5-2
2020-11-08	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-24	1573.52	1642.00	40.39%	59.07%	-27.08	5-3
2020-11-12	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-17	1546.44	1604.97	41.01%	58.45%	+43.10	6-3
2020-11-22	Green Bay Packers	W 34-31	1589.54	1609.07	47.31%	52.14%	+16.16	7-3
2020-11-29	Tennessee Titans	L 26-45	1605.70	1588.46	52.60%	46.85%	-41.02	7-4
2020-12-06	@ Houston Texans	W 26-20	1564.68	1476.33	61.80%	37.68%	+16.53	8-4
2020-12-13	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 44-27	1581.21	1477.57	63.85%	35.64%	+26.33	9-4
2020-12-20	Houston Texans	W 27-20	1607.54	1407.00	76.06%	23.53%	+11.15	10-4
2020-12-27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-28	1618.69	1588.67	53.64%	45.81%	-19.19	10-5
2021-01-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-14	1599.50	1232.93	89.15%	10.62%	+7.10	11-5
2020-09-13	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-20	1445.03	1485.96	44.26%	55.20%	+26.12	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Tennessee Titans	L 30-33	1471.15	1580.33	34.20%	65.30%	-10.61	1-1
2020-09-24	Miami Dolphins	L 13-31	1460.54	1385.99	60.67%	38.81%	-46.03	1-2
2020-10-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 25-33	1414.51	1394.36	52.23%	47.23%	-26.43	1-3
2020-10-11	@ Houston Texans	L 14-30	1388.08	1426.58	43.82%	55.63%	-31.39	1-4
2020-10-18	Detroit Lions	L 16-34	1356.69	1404.15	43.33%	56.12%	-32.93	1-5
2020-10-25	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 29-39	1323.76	1430.81	34.48%	65.02%	-19.53	1-6
2020-11-08	Houston Texans	L 25-27	1304.23	1424.32	33.51%	66.00%	-8.49	1-7
2020-11-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-24	1295.74	1603.98	14.23%	85.48%	-5.10	1-8
2020-11-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-27	1290.64	1685.58	9.43%	90.36%	-8.25	1-9
2020-11-29	Cleveland Browns	L 25-27	1282.39	1504.41	21.92%	77.68%	-5.56	1-10
2020-12-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1276.83	1512.91	20.06%	79.56%	-6.22	1-11
2020-12-13	Tennessee Titans	L 10-31	1270.61	1600.31	13.15%	86.57%	-10.78	1-12
2020-12-20	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-40	1259.83	1624.32	10.73%	89.04%	-9.78	1-13
2020-12-27	Chicago Bears	L 17-41	1250.05	1497.62	19.52%	80.12%	-17.12	1-14
2021-01-03	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-28	1232.93	1599.50	10.62%	89.15%	-7.10	1-15
2020-09-10	Houston Texans	W 34-20	1625.41	1513.57	65.64%	33.86%	+22.70	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 23-20	1648.11	1495.20	70.08%	29.45%	+9.14	2-0
2020-09-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 34-20	1657.25	1655.55	49.57%	49.88%	+33.40	3-0
2020-10-05	New England Patriots	W 26-10	1690.65	1589.92	64.19%	35.30%	+25.30	4-0
2020-10-11	Las Vegas Raiders	L 32-40	1715.95	1443.74	82.72%	16.95%	-41.77	4-1
2020-10-18	@ Buffalo Bills	W 26-17	1674.18	1538.85	67.93%	31.59%	+16.98	5-1
2020-10-25	@ Denver Broncos	W 43-16	1691.16	1482.14	76.37%	23.23%	+21.62	6-1
2020-11-01	New York Jets	W 35-9	1712.78	1284.23	92.14%	7.68%	+6.99	7-1
2020-11-08	Carolina Panthers	W 33-31	1719.77	1409.03	85.65%	14.06%	+3.56	8-1
2020-11-22	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 35-31	1723.33	1541.66	73.42%	26.14%	+9.37	9-1
2020-11-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-24	1732.70	1582.34	69.78%	29.75%	+9.23	10-1
2020-12-06	Denver Broncos	W 22-16	1741.93	1424.49	86.12%	13.60%	+5.96	11-1
2020-12-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 33-27	1747.89	1568.67	73.15%	26.41%	+11.59	12-1
2020-12-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 32-29	1759.48	1688.97	59.35%	40.11%	+12.45	13-1
2020-12-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 17-14	1771.93	1496.81	82.96%	16.71%	+5.18	14-1
2021-01-03	Los Angeles Chargers	L 21-38	1777.11	1418.22	88.72%	11.04%	-21.75	14-2
2020-09-13	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-30	1432.16	1421.22	50.90%	48.55%	+17.38	1-0
2020-09-21	New Orleans Saints	W 34-24	1449.54	1592.92	30.60%	68.93%	+38.95	2-0
2020-09-27	@ New England Patriots	L 20-36	1488.49	1562.01	38.95%	60.53%	-27.91	2-1
2020-10-04	Buffalo Bills	L 23-30	1460.58	1565.02	35.54%	63.95%	-16.84	2-2
2020-10-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 40-32	1443.74	1715.95	16.95%	82.72%	+41.77	3-2
2020-10-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-45	1485.51	1601.40	34.04%	65.46%	-30.50	3-3
2020-11-01	@ Cleveland Browns	W 16-6	1455.01	1505.99	42.07%	57.40%	+32.46	4-3
2020-11-08	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 31-26	1487.47	1441.77	55.87%	43.58%	+17.45	5-3
2020-11-15	Denver Broncos	W 37-12	1504.92	1446.41	58.45%	41.02%	+36.74	6-3
2020-11-22	Kansas City Chiefs	L 31-35	1541.66	1723.33	26.14%	73.42%	-9.37	6-4
2020-11-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 6-43	1532.29	1482.73	56.42%	43.04%	-61.39	6-5
2020-12-06	@ New York Jets	W 31-28	1470.90	1244.28	78.14%	21.48%	+6.67	7-5
2020-12-13	Indianapolis Colts	L 27-44	1477.57	1581.21	35.64%	63.85%	-26.33	7-6
2020-12-17	Los Angeles Chargers	L 27-30	1451.24	1383.86	59.68%	39.79%	-18.49	7-7
2020-12-26	Miami Dolphins	L 25-26	1432.75	1581.48	29.95%	69.58%	-5.36	7-8
2021-01-03	@ Denver Broncos	W 32-31	1427.39	1399.62	53.32%	46.13%	+8.26	8-8
2020-09-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-13	1482.15	1425.65	57.40%	42.06%	+13.05	1-0
2020-09-20	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-23	1495.20	1648.11	29.45%	70.08%	-9.14	1-1
2020-09-27	Carolina Panthers	L 16-21	1486.06	1377.30	65.24%	34.25%	-26.07	1-2
2020-10-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 31-38	1459.99	1533.52	38.94%	60.53%	-18.46	1-3
2020-10-12	@ New Orleans Saints	L 27-30	1441.53	1548.01	34.55%	64.95%	-10.72	1-4
2020-10-25	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 39-29	1430.81	1323.76	65.02%	34.48%	+19.53	2-4
2020-11-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 30-31	1450.34	1460.52	47.87%	51.59%	-8.57	2-5
2020-11-08	Las Vegas Raiders	L 26-31	1441.77	1487.47	43.58%	55.87%	-17.45	2-6
2020-11-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-29	1424.32	1559.45	30.93%	68.59%	-15.68	2-7
2020-11-22	New York Jets	W 34-28	1408.64	1269.73	69.05%	30.47%	+13.37	3-7
2020-11-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-27	1422.01	1566.06	29.85%	69.68%	-16.91	3-8
2020-12-06	New England Patriots	L 0-45	1405.10	1503.96	36.27%	63.21%	-43.60	3-9
2020-12-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1361.50	1532.65	27.32%	72.23%	+22.36	4-9
2020-12-17	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 30-27	1383.86	1451.24	39.79%	59.68%	+18.48	5-9
2020-12-27	Denver Broncos	W 19-16	1402.34	1415.50	48.23%	51.22%	+15.88	6-9
2021-01-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-21	1418.22	1777.11	11.04%	88.72%	+21.75	7-9
2020-09-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1530.42	1534.47	49.54%	49.91%	+15.48	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-19	1545.90	1479.54	58.78%	40.69%	+30.92	2-0
2020-09-27	@ Buffalo Bills	L 32-35	1576.82	1548.47	53.40%	46.05%	-16.55	2-1
2020-10-04	New York Giants	W 17-9	1560.27	1369.82	74.99%	24.59%	+12.46	3-1
2020-10-11	@ Washington Football Team	W 30-10	1572.73	1362.38	76.50%	23.09%	+18.50	4-1
2020-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-24	1591.23	1514.66	60.19%	39.28%	-30.45	4-2
2020-10-26	Chicago Bears	W 24-10	1560.78	1552.57	51.30%	48.15%	+32.25	5-2
2020-11-01	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-28	1593.03	1507.32	61.44%	38.04%	-36.43	5-3
2020-11-15	Seattle Seahawks	W 23-16	1556.60	1589.84	45.35%	54.10%	+25.61	6-3
2020-11-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-24	1582.21	1598.61	46.97%	52.48%	+16.26	7-3
2020-11-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-23	1598.47	1504.29	63.32%	36.16%	-19.61	7-4
2020-12-06	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-28	1578.86	1506.78	59.57%	39.90%	+22.60	8-4
2020-12-10	New England Patriots	W 24-3	1601.46	1547.56	57.81%	41.66%	+34.20	9-4
2020-12-20	New York Jets	L 20-23	1635.66	1223.83	91.42%	8.39%	-28.24	9-5
2020-12-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-20	1607.42	1598.18	50.66%	48.79%	-30.07	9-6
2021-01-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 18-7	1577.35	1503.69	60.55%	38.93%	+23.13	10-6
2020-09-13	@ New England Patriots	L 11-21	1411.61	1567.33	28.47%	71.07%	-16.13	0-1
2020-09-20	Buffalo Bills	L 28-31	1395.48	1538.98	30.58%	68.94%	-9.49	0-2
2020-09-24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-13	1385.99	1460.54	38.81%	60.67%	+46.02	1-2
2020-10-04	Seattle Seahawks	L 23-31	1432.01	1595.18	28.24%	71.30%	-14.31	1-3
2020-10-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 43-17	1417.70	1580.13	27.69%	71.86%	+65.47	2-3
2020-10-18	New York Jets	W 24-0	1483.17	1319.25	72.03%	27.52%	+24.15	3-3
2020-11-01	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-17	1507.32	1593.03	38.04%	61.44%	+36.44	4-3
2020-11-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 34-31	1543.76	1547.25	48.83%	50.62%	+15.69	5-3
2020-11-15	Los Angeles Chargers	W 29-21	1559.45	1424.32	68.59%	30.93%	+15.68	6-3
2020-11-22	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-20	1575.13	1409.68	71.57%	27.98%	-33.84	6-4
2020-11-29	@ New York Jets	W 20-3	1541.29	1256.36	83.31%	16.37%	+12.08	7-4
2020-12-06	Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-7	1553.37	1363.55	74.92%	24.66%	+15.30	8-4
2020-12-13	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-33	1568.67	1747.89	26.41%	73.15%	-11.59	8-5
2020-12-20	New England Patriots	W 22-12	1557.08	1513.36	56.37%	43.09%	+24.40	9-5
2020-12-26	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 26-25	1581.48	1432.75	69.58%	29.95%	+5.37	10-5
2021-01-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 26-56	1586.85	1690.33	34.94%	64.55%	-34.29	10-6
2020-09-13	Green Bay Packers	L 34-43	1555.81	1541.94	52.12%	47.34%	-27.98	0-1
2020-09-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 11-28	1527.83	1459.84	59.01%	40.46%	-43.51	0-2
2020-09-27	Tennessee Titans	L 30-31	1484.32	1590.95	35.25%	64.24%	-6.31	0-3
2020-10-04	@ Houston Texans	W 31-23	1478.01	1449.92	53.37%	46.09%	+23.34	1-3
2020-10-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 26-27	1501.35	1609.49	34.33%	65.16%	-6.15	1-4
2020-10-18	Atlanta Falcons	L 23-40	1495.20	1420.33	60.71%	38.76%	-44.76	1-5
2020-11-01	@ Green Bay Packers	W 28-22	1450.44	1598.15	29.41%	70.12%	+30.69	2-5
2020-11-08	Detroit Lions	W 34-20	1481.13	1417.56	59.16%	40.31%	+27.02	3-5
2020-11-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 19-13	1508.15	1488.89	52.10%	47.35%	+20.77	4-5
2020-11-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-31	1528.92	1351.23	73.59%	25.97%	-22.78	4-6
2020-11-29	Carolina Panthers	W 28-27	1506.14	1423.97	61.71%	37.77%	+6.77	5-6
2020-12-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-24	1512.91	1276.83	79.56%	20.06%	+6.22	6-6
2020-12-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-26	1519.13	1573.11	41.65%	57.82%	-25.84	6-7
2020-12-20	Chicago Bears	L 27-33	1493.29	1474.47	52.83%	46.63%	-23.15	6-8
2020-12-25	@ New Orleans Saints	L 33-52	1470.14	1676.52	22.93%	76.66%	-17.91	6-9
2021-01-03	@ Detroit Lions	W 37-35	1452.23	1316.76	67.95%	31.57%	+8.00	7-9
2020-09-13	Miami Dolphins	W 21-11	1567.33	1411.61	71.07%	28.47%	+16.13	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 30-35	1583.46	1553.60	53.62%	45.84%	-21.45	1-1
2020-09-27	Las Vegas Raiders	W 36-20	1562.01	1488.49	60.53%	38.95%	+27.91	2-1
2020-10-05	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-26	1589.92	1690.65	35.30%	64.19%	-25.30	2-2
2020-10-18	Denver Broncos	L 12-18	1564.62	1453.44	65.56%	33.94%	-28.71	2-3
2020-10-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 6-33	1535.91	1545.11	48.80%	50.65%	-45.38	2-4
2020-11-01	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-24	1490.53	1532.75	43.30%	56.16%	-13.44	2-5
2020-11-09	@ New York Jets	W 30-27	1477.09	1277.23	75.41%	24.18%	+7.51	3-5
2020-11-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-17	1484.60	1669.08	25.83%	73.74%	+32.26	4-5
2020-11-22	@ Houston Texans	L 20-27	1516.86	1419.31	63.04%	36.45%	-29.82	4-6
2020-11-29	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1487.04	1523.69	44.87%	54.59%	+16.92	5-6
2020-12-06	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 45-0	1503.96	1405.10	63.21%	36.27%	+43.60	6-6
2020-12-10	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-24	1547.56	1601.46	41.66%	57.81%	-34.20	6-7
2020-12-20	@ Miami Dolphins	L 12-22	1513.36	1557.08	43.09%	56.37%	-24.40	6-8
2020-12-28	Buffalo Bills	L 9-38	1488.96	1664.44	26.83%	72.72%	-25.89	6-9
2021-01-03	New York Jets	W 28-14	1463.07	1291.73	72.88%	26.68%	+17.89	7-9
2020-09-13	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-23	1569.84	1495.64	60.62%	38.85%	+23.08	1-0
2020-09-21	@ Las Vegas Raiders	L 24-34	1592.92	1449.54	68.93%	30.60%	-38.95	1-1
2020-09-27	Green Bay Packers	L 30-37	1553.97	1594.18	44.36%	55.10%	-21.02	1-2
2020-10-04	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-29	1532.95	1419.21	65.18%	34.32%	+15.06	2-2
2020-10-12	Los Angeles Chargers	W 30-27	1548.01	1441.53	64.95%	34.55%	+10.73	3-2
2020-10-25	Carolina Panthers	W 27-24	1558.74	1443.12	66.13%	33.37%	+10.35	4-2
2020-11-01	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-23	1569.09	1520.32	56.31%	43.15%	+13.39	5-2
2020-11-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-3	1582.48	1636.09	41.70%	57.77%	+61.12	6-2
2020-11-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-13	1643.60	1526.54	66.31%	33.19%	+22.25	7-2
2020-11-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-9	1665.85	1501.82	72.04%	27.51%	+19.09	8-2
2020-11-29	@ Denver Broncos	W 31-3	1684.94	1443.51	79.55%	20.08%	+19.02	9-2
2020-12-06	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 21-16	1703.96	1544.12	70.91%	28.63%	+11.47	10-2
2020-12-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-24	1715.43	1399.82	85.61%	14.10%	-26.46	10-3
2020-12-20	Kansas City Chiefs	L 29-32	1688.97	1759.48	40.11%	59.35%	-12.45	10-4
2020-12-25	Minnesota Vikings	W 52-33	1676.52	1470.14	76.66%	22.93%	+17.91	11-4
2021-01-03	@ Carolina Panthers	W 33-7	1694.43	1417.32	82.67%	16.99%	+15.51	12-4
2020-09-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-26	1426.93	1506.11	38.92%	60.55%	-22.05	0-1
2020-09-20	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-17	1404.88	1523.47	33.00%	66.51%	-11.83	0-2
2020-09-27	San Francisco 49ers	L 9-36	1393.05	1585.53	24.96%	74.61%	-23.23	0-3
2020-10-04	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 9-17	1369.82	1560.27	24.59%	74.99%	-12.46	0-4
2020-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 34-37	1357.36	1474.37	33.20%	66.31%	-10.30	0-5
2020-10-18	Washington Football Team	W 20-19	1347.06	1343.88	50.58%	48.87%	+8.75	1-5
2020-10-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-22	1355.81	1450.40	36.11%	63.38%	-6.47	1-6
2020-11-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-25	1349.34	1631.90	16.56%	83.12%	-4.19	1-7
2020-11-08	@ Washington Football Team	W 23-20	1345.15	1388.43	43.15%	56.31%	+17.44	2-7
2020-11-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-17	1362.59	1482.97	33.47%	66.03%	+37.33	3-7
2020-11-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-17	1399.92	1375.35	52.86%	46.59%	+11.79	4-7
2020-12-06	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-12	1411.71	1599.00	24.93%	74.65%	+29.82	5-7
2020-12-13	Arizona Cardinals	L 7-26	1441.53	1484.18	44.02%	55.44%	-34.36	5-8
2020-12-20	Cleveland Browns	L 6-20	1407.17	1522.99	34.05%	65.45%	-22.83	5-9
2020-12-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 13-27	1384.34	1634.10	18.84%	80.81%	-12.62	5-10
2021-01-03	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-19	1371.72	1438.30	40.66%	58.81%	+21.04	6-10
2020-09-13	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-27	1451.34	1516.25	40.13%	59.34%	-22.74	0-1
2020-09-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-31	1428.60	1561.27	31.92%	67.60%	-24.26	0-2
2020-09-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 7-36	1404.34	1503.35	35.53%	63.96%	-34.28	0-3
2020-10-01	Denver Broncos	L 28-37	1370.06	1431.18	41.42%	58.05%	-22.25	0-4
2020-10-11	Arizona Cardinals	L 10-30	1347.81	1451.51	35.63%	63.86%	-28.56	0-5
2020-10-18	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-24	1319.25	1483.17	27.52%	72.03%	-24.15	0-6
2020-10-25	Buffalo Bills	L 10-18	1295.10	1521.88	21.46%	78.15%	-10.87	0-7
2020-11-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-35	1284.23	1712.78	7.68%	92.14%	-7.00	0-8
2020-11-09	New England Patriots	L 27-30	1277.23	1477.09	24.18%	75.41%	-7.50	0-9
2020-11-22	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 28-34	1269.73	1408.64	30.47%	69.05%	-13.37	0-10
2020-11-29	Miami Dolphins	L 3-20	1256.36	1541.29	16.37%	83.31%	-12.08	0-11
2020-12-06	Las Vegas Raiders	L 28-31	1244.28	1470.90	21.48%	78.14%	-6.66	0-12
2020-12-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-40	1237.62	1569.18	12.68%	87.06%	-13.79	0-13
2020-12-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 23-20	1223.83	1635.66	8.39%	91.42%	+28.23	1-13
2020-12-27	Cleveland Browns	W 23-16	1252.06	1545.82	15.69%	84.00%	+39.67	2-13
2021-01-03	@ New England Patriots	L 14-28	1291.73	1463.07	26.68%	72.88%	-17.89	2-14
2020-09-13	@ Washington Football Team	L 17-27	1516.78	1397.60	65.88%	33.62%	-37.24	0-1
2020-09-20	Los Angeles Rams	L 19-37	1479.54	1545.90	40.69%	58.78%	-30.92	0-2
2020-09-27	Cincinnati Bengals	T 23-23	1448.62	1393.63	57.96%	41.51%	-0.73	0-2
2020-10-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 25-20	1447.89	1608.77	27.87%	71.68%	+28.63	1-2
2020-10-11	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 29-38	1476.52	1563.54	37.12%	62.36%	-19.95	1-3
2020-10-18	Baltimore Ravens	L 28-30	1456.57	1654.69	24.36%	75.22%	-6.17	1-4
2020-10-22	New York Giants	W 22-21	1450.40	1355.81	63.38%	36.11%	+6.47	2-4
2020-11-01	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-9	1456.87	1383.29	60.54%	38.94%	+26.10	3-4
2020-11-15	@ New York Giants	L 17-27	1482.97	1362.59	66.03%	33.47%	-37.32	3-5
2020-11-22	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-22	1445.65	1487.03	43.42%	56.04%	-17.39	3-6
2020-11-30	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-23	1428.26	1586.35	28.83%	70.70%	-12.66	3-7
2020-12-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-30	1415.60	1616.00	23.55%	76.04%	-15.78	3-8
2020-12-13	New Orleans Saints	W 24-21	1399.82	1715.43	14.10%	85.61%	+26.46	4-8
2020-12-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 26-33	1426.28	1518.53	36.42%	63.07%	-17.26	4-9
2020-12-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-37	1409.02	1397.49	50.99%	48.46%	-40.81	4-10
2021-01-03	Washington Football Team	L 14-20	1368.21	1451.59	38.35%	61.12%	-16.83	4-11
2020-09-14	@ New York Giants	W 26-16	1506.11	1426.93	60.55%	38.92%	+22.05	1-0
2020-09-20	Denver Broncos	W 26-21	1528.16	1482.77	56.61%	42.85%	+17.16	2-0
2020-09-27	Houston Texans	W 28-21	1545.32	1468.14	61.03%	38.45%	+18.22	3-0
2020-10-11	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-29	1563.54	1476.52	62.36%	37.12%	+19.95	4-0
2020-10-18	Cleveland Browns	W 38-7	1583.49	1537.65	56.67%	42.79%	+42.67	5-0
2020-10-25	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-24	1626.16	1651.45	45.70%	53.75%	+16.66	6-0
2020-11-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-24	1642.82	1660.87	46.74%	52.72%	+18.86	7-0
2020-11-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 24-19	1661.68	1357.19	84.81%	14.89%	+5.96	8-0
2020-11-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 36-10	1667.64	1427.01	79.98%	19.65%	+17.94	9-0
2020-11-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-3	1685.58	1290.64	90.36%	9.43%	+8.26	10-0
2020-12-02	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-14	1693.84	1610.21	61.90%	37.58%	+15.05	11-0
2020-12-07	Washington Football Team	L 17-23	1708.89	1433.04	83.02%	16.66%	-36.30	11-1
2020-12-13	@ Buffalo Bills	L 15-26	1672.59	1606.60	58.73%	40.74%	-34.83	11-2
2020-12-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-27	1637.76	1301.56	87.00%	12.73%	-49.09	11-3
2020-12-27	Indianapolis Colts	W 28-24	1588.67	1618.69	45.81%	53.64%	+19.19	12-3
2021-01-03	@ Cleveland Browns	L 22-24	1607.86	1506.15	63.59%	35.90%	-16.07	12-4
2020-09-13	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-24	1585.74	1451.53	68.48%	31.04%	-24.47	0-1
2020-09-20	@ New York Jets	W 31-13	1561.27	1428.60	67.60%	31.92%	+24.26	1-1
2020-09-27	@ New York Giants	W 36-9	1585.53	1393.05	74.61%	24.96%	+23.24	2-1
2020-10-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-25	1608.77	1447.89	71.68%	27.87%	-28.64	2-2
2020-10-11	Miami Dolphins	L 17-43	1580.13	1417.70	71.86%	27.69%	-65.47	2-3
2020-10-18	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-16	1514.66	1591.23	39.28%	60.19%	+30.45	3-3
2020-10-25	@ New England Patriots	W 33-6	1545.11	1535.91	50.65%	48.80%	+45.38	4-3
2020-11-01	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 27-37	1590.49	1596.54	48.46%	50.99%	-27.43	4-4
2020-11-05	Green Bay Packers	L 17-34	1563.06	1567.46	49.49%	49.96%	-36.52	4-5
2020-11-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-27	1526.54	1643.60	33.19%	66.31%	-22.25	4-6
2020-11-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 23-20	1504.29	1598.47	36.16%	63.32%	+19.61	5-6
2020-12-07	Buffalo Bills	L 24-34	1523.90	1582.98	41.70%	57.76%	-23.62	5-7
2020-12-13	Washington Football Team	L 15-23	1500.28	1469.34	54.17%	45.29%	-27.41	5-8
2020-12-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 33-41	1472.87	1364.92	64.42%	35.08%	-32.57	5-9
2020-12-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-12	1440.30	1535.80	35.99%	63.50%	+32.11	6-9
2021-01-03	Seattle Seahawks	L 23-26	1472.41	1628.25	28.77%	70.76%	-8.93	6-10
2020-09-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 38-25	1521.47	1519.18	49.66%	49.79%	+32.13	1-0
2020-09-20	New England Patriots	W 35-30	1553.60	1583.46	45.84%	53.62%	+21.45	2-0
2020-09-27	Dallas Cowboys	W 38-31	1575.05	1527.01	56.98%	42.48%	+20.13	3-0
2020-10-04	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-23	1595.18	1432.01	71.30%	28.24%	+14.31	4-0
2020-10-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-26	1609.49	1501.35	65.16%	34.33%	+6.15	5-0
2020-10-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 34-37	1615.64	1528.15	61.68%	37.80%	-19.10	5-1
2020-11-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-27	1596.54	1590.49	50.99%	48.46%	+27.43	6-1
2020-11-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 34-44	1623.97	1546.18	60.36%	39.11%	-34.13	6-2
2020-11-15	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 16-23	1589.84	1556.60	54.10%	45.35%	-25.61	6-3
2020-11-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 28-21	1564.23	1545.80	52.77%	46.68%	+22.12	7-3
2020-11-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-17	1586.35	1428.26	70.70%	28.83%	+12.65	8-3
2020-12-06	New York Giants	L 12-17	1599.00	1411.71	74.65%	24.93%	-29.82	8-4
2020-12-13	New York Jets	W 40-3	1569.18	1237.62	87.06%	12.68%	+13.79	9-4
2020-12-20	@ Washington Football Team	W 20-15	1582.97	1496.75	61.51%	37.97%	+15.21	10-4
2020-12-27	Los Angeles Rams	W 20-9	1598.18	1607.42	48.79%	50.66%	+30.07	11-4
2021-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-23	1628.25	1472.41	70.76%	28.77%	+8.93	12-4
2020-09-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 23-34	1495.64	1569.84	38.85%	60.62%	-23.09	0-1
2020-09-20	Carolina Panthers	W 31-17	1472.55	1403.84	59.87%	39.61%	+26.55	1-1
2020-09-27	@ Denver Broncos	W 28-10	1499.10	1465.61	54.14%	45.32%	+34.42	2-1
2020-10-04	Los Angeles Chargers	W 38-31	1533.52	1459.99	60.53%	38.94%	+18.46	3-1
2020-10-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 19-20	1551.98	1524.08	53.34%	46.12%	-9.54	3-2
2020-10-18	Green Bay Packers	W 38-10	1542.44	1634.63	37.16%	62.32%	+58.96	4-2
2020-10-25	@ Las Vegas Raiders	W 45-20	1601.40	1485.51	65.46%	34.04%	+30.50	5-2
2020-11-02	@ New York Giants	W 25-23	1631.90	1349.34	83.12%	16.56%	+4.19	6-2
2020-11-08	New Orleans Saints	L 3-38	1636.09	1582.48	57.77%	41.70%	-61.12	6-3
2020-11-15	@ Carolina Panthers	W 46-23	1574.97	1405.47	72.04%	27.51%	+23.64	7-3
2020-11-23	Los Angeles Rams	L 24-27	1598.61	1582.21	52.48%	46.97%	-16.27	7-4
2020-11-29	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1582.34	1732.70	29.75%	69.78%	-9.23	7-5
2020-12-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-14	1573.11	1519.13	57.82%	41.65%	+25.84	8-5
2020-12-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-27	1598.95	1510.30	61.84%	37.64%	+13.49	9-5
2020-12-26	@ Detroit Lions	W 47-7	1612.44	1336.06	82.61%	17.05%	+19.30	10-5
2021-01-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 44-27	1631.74	1491.63	69.20%	30.32%	+22.41	11-5
2020-09-14	@ Denver Broncos	W 16-14	1570.42	1492.68	60.35%	39.12%	+9.91	1-0
2020-09-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-30	1580.33	1471.15	65.30%	34.20%	+10.62	2-0
2020-09-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-30	1590.95	1484.32	64.24%	35.25%	+6.31	3-0
2020-10-13	Buffalo Bills	W 42-16	1597.26	1581.87	52.33%	47.12%	+43.02	4-0
2020-10-18	Houston Texans	W 42-36	1640.28	1457.97	74.10%	25.47%	+11.17	5-0
2020-10-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-27	1651.45	1626.16	53.75%	45.70%	-16.65	5-1
2020-11-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-31	1634.80	1379.14	80.84%	18.80%	-47.88	5-2
2020-11-08	Chicago Bears	W 24-17	1586.92	1506.93	61.41%	38.07%	+18.05	6-2
2020-11-12	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-34	1604.97	1546.44	58.45%	41.01%	-43.10	6-3
2020-11-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 30-24	1561.87	1636.81	38.75%	60.72%	+26.59	7-3
2020-11-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 45-26	1588.46	1605.70	46.85%	52.60%	+41.02	8-3
2020-12-06	Cleveland Browns	L 35-41	1629.48	1509.97	66.63%	32.88%	-29.17	8-4
2020-12-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-10	1600.31	1270.61	86.57%	13.15%	+10.78	9-4
2020-12-20	Detroit Lions	W 46-25	1611.09	1350.77	81.73%	17.93%	+14.71	10-4
2020-12-27	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-40	1625.80	1649.85	45.88%	53.58%	-41.89	10-5
2021-01-03	@ Houston Texans	W 41-38	1583.91	1371.06	76.76%	22.84%	+7.09	11-5
2020-09-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-17	1397.60	1516.78	33.62%	65.88%	+37.23	1-0
2020-09-20	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 15-30	1434.83	1476.01	43.45%	56.01%	-30.13	1-1
2020-09-27	@ Cleveland Browns	L 20-34	1404.70	1445.11	43.55%	55.90%	-29.19	1-2
2020-10-04	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-31	1375.51	1622.15	19.60%	80.03%	-13.13	1-3
2020-10-11	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-30	1362.38	1572.73	23.09%	76.50%	-18.50	1-4
2020-10-18	@ New York Giants	L 19-20	1343.88	1347.06	48.87%	50.58%	-8.74	1-5
2020-10-25	Dallas Cowboys	W 25-3	1335.14	1436.58	35.93%	63.56%	+53.29	2-5
2020-11-08	New York Giants	L 20-23	1388.43	1345.15	56.31%	43.15%	-17.45	2-6
2020-11-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 27-30	1370.98	1390.54	46.52%	52.93%	-14.42	2-7
2020-11-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-9	1356.56	1409.07	42.62%	56.84%	+33.71	3-7
2020-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 41-16	1390.27	1374.00	51.67%	47.78%	+42.77	4-7
2020-12-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-17	1433.04	1708.89	16.66%	83.02%	+36.30	5-7
2020-12-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-15	1469.34	1500.28	45.29%	54.17%	+27.41	6-7
2020-12-20	Seattle Seahawks	L 15-20	1496.75	1582.97	37.97%	61.51%	-15.21	6-8
2020-12-27	Carolina Panthers	L 13-20	1481.54	1387.36	63.32%	36.16%	-29.95	6-9
2021-01-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-14	1451.59	1368.21	61.12%	38.35%	+16.83	7-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2021-01-10	@ Tennessee Titans	W 20-13	1665.22	1591.00	60.14%	39.86%	+18.77	1-0
2021-01-16	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-17	1683.99	1734.88	42.34%	57.66%	-28.20	1-1
2021-01-09	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-24	1724.62	1606.60	66.71%	33.29%	+10.26	1-0
2021-01-16	Baltimore Ravens	W 17-3	1734.88	1683.99	57.66%	42.34%	+28.20	2-0
2021-01-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-38	1763.08	1764.91	49.34%	50.66%	-32.86	2-1
2021-01-10	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-21	1493.92	1709.94	22.11%	77.89%	-13.63	0-1
2021-01-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 48-37	1522.23	1591.79	39.74%	60.26%	+35.57	1-0
2021-01-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-22	1557.80	1755.36	23.99%	76.01%	-9.55	1-1
2021-01-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 32-18	1712.56	1631.81	61.79%	38.21%	+25.45	1-0
2021-01-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 26-31	1738.01	1700.06	55.83%	44.17%	-22.22	1-1
2021-01-09	@ Buffalo Bills	L 24-27	1606.60	1724.62	33.29%	66.71%	-10.26	0-1
2021-01-17	Cleveland Browns	W 22-17	1755.36	1557.80	76.01%	23.99%	+9.55	1-0
2021-01-24	Buffalo Bills	W 38-24	1764.91	1763.08	50.66%	49.34%	+32.86	2-0
2021-02-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 9-31	1797.77	1722.28	60.70%	39.30%	-50.68	2-1
2021-01-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-20	1600.48	1637.18	44.35%	55.65%	+31.33	1-0
2021-01-16	@ Green Bay Packers	L 18-32	1631.81	1712.56	38.21%	61.79%	-25.45	1-1
2021-01-10	Chicago Bears	W 21-9	1709.94	1493.92	77.89%	22.11%	+13.63	1-0
2021-01-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-30	1723.57	1667.16	58.43%	41.57%	-32.89	1-1
2021-01-10	Cleveland Browns	L 37-48	1591.79	1522.23	60.26%	39.74%	-35.58	0-1
2021-01-09	Los Angeles Rams	L 20-30	1637.18	1600.48	55.65%	44.35%	-31.32	0-1
2021-01-09	@ Washington Football Team	W 31-23	1654.15	1468.42	74.14%	25.86%	+13.01	1-0
2021-01-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-20	1667.16	1723.57	41.57%	58.43%	+32.90	2-0
2021-01-24	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-26	1700.06	1738.01	44.17%	55.83%	+22.22	3-0
2021-02-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-9	1722.28	1797.77	39.30%	60.70%	+50.67	4-0
2021-01-10	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-20	1591.00	1665.22	39.86%	60.14%	-18.77	0-1
2021-01-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-31	1468.42	1654.15	25.86%	74.14%	-13.02	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-12-20	8.39%	New York Jets	1223.83	23	@ Los Angeles Rams	1635.66	20
2	2021-01-03	11.04%	Los Angeles Chargers	1418.22	38	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1777.11	21
3	2020-12-21	12.73%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1301.56	27	Pittsburgh Steelers	1637.76	17
4	2020-12-13	14.10%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1399.82	24	New Orleans Saints	1715.43	21
5	2020-12-27	15.69%	@ New York Jets	1252.06	23	Cleveland Browns	1545.82	16
6	2020-12-07	16.66%	Washington Football Team	1433.04	23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1708.89	17
7	2020-10-11	16.95%	Las Vegas Raiders	1443.74	40	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1715.95	32
8	2020-11-01	18.80%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1379.14	31	Tennessee Titans	1634.80	20
9	2020-12-06	24.93%	New York Giants	1411.71	17	@ Seattle Seahawks	1599.00	12
10	2020-11-15	25.83%	@ New England Patriots	1484.60	23	Baltimore Ravens	1669.08	17
11	2020-11-22	25.97%	Dallas Cowboys	1351.23	31	@ Minnesota Vikings	1528.92	28
12	2020-12-13	27.32%	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1361.50	20	Atlanta Falcons	1532.65	17
13	2020-10-11	27.69%	Miami Dolphins	1417.70	43	@ San Francisco 49ers	1580.13	17
14	2020-10-04	27.87%	Philadelphia Eagles	1447.89	25	@ San Francisco 49ers	1608.77	20
15	2020-11-22	27.98%	@ Denver Broncos	1409.68	20	Miami Dolphins	1575.13	13
16	2020-11-01	29.41%	Minnesota Vikings	1450.44	28	@ Green Bay Packers	1598.15	22
17	2020-09-21	30.60%	@ Las Vegas Raiders	1449.54	34	New Orleans Saints	1592.92	24
18	2020-09-13	31.04%	Arizona Cardinals	1451.53	24	@ San Francisco 49ers	1585.74	20
19	2020-12-06	32.88%	Cleveland Browns	1509.97	41	@ Tennessee Titans	1629.48	35
20	2020-11-15	33.47%	@ New York Giants	1362.59	27	Philadelphia Eagles	1482.97	17
21	2020-09-13	33.62%	@ Washington Football Team	1397.60	27	Philadelphia Eagles	1516.78	17
22	2020-10-18	33.94%	Denver Broncos	1453.44	18	@ New England Patriots	1564.62	12
23	2020-12-06	34.17%	Detroit Lions	1335.63	34	@ Chicago Bears	1445.04	30
24	2020-09-27	34.25%	Carolina Panthers	1377.30	21	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1486.06	16
25	2020-09-27	34.47%	Detroit Lions	1399.08	26	@ Arizona Cardinals	1506.14	23

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2020-10-11	65.47	Miami Dolphins	43	1417.70	27.69%	@ San Francisco 49ers	17	1580.13	71.86%
2	2020-11-29	61.39	@ Atlanta Falcons	43	1482.73	43.04%	Las Vegas Raiders	6	1532.29	56.42%
3	2020-11-08	61.12	New Orleans Saints	38	1582.48	41.70%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	1636.09	57.77%
4	2020-10-18	58.96	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38	1542.44	37.16%	Green Bay Packers	10	1634.63	62.32%
5	2020-10-25	53.29	@ Washington Football Team	25	1335.14	35.93%	Dallas Cowboys	3	1436.58	63.56%
6	2020-12-13	52.79	@ Chicago Bears	36	1421.68	44.66%	Houston Texans	7	1459.79	54.80%
7	2021-02-07 *	50.68	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	31	1722.28	39.30%	Kansas City Chiefs	9	1797.77	60.70%
8	2020-12-21	49.09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	27	1301.56	12.73%	Pittsburgh Steelers	17	1637.76	87.00%
9	2020-10-19	48.09	Arizona Cardinals	38	1480.06	48.67%	@ Dallas Cowboys	10	1484.67	50.79%
10	2020-11-01	47.88	@ Cincinnati Bengals	31	1379.14	18.80%	Tennessee Titans	20	1634.80	80.84%
11	2020-12-13	46.70	Dallas Cowboys	30	1318.22	45.03%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	7	1348.25	54.43%
12	2020-09-24	46.03	Miami Dolphins	31	1385.99	38.81%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	13	1460.54	60.67%
13	2020-10-25	45.38	San Francisco 49ers	33	1545.11	50.65%	@ New England Patriots	6	1535.91	48.80%
14	2020-10-18	44.76	Atlanta Falcons	40	1420.33	38.76%	@ Minnesota Vikings	23	1495.20	60.71%
15	2020-12-06	43.60	New England Patriots	45	1503.96	63.21%	@ Los Angeles Chargers	0	1405.10	36.27%
16	2020-09-20	43.51	@ Indianapolis Colts	28	1459.84	40.46%	Minnesota Vikings	11	1527.83	59.01%
17	2020-11-12	43.10	Indianapolis Colts	34	1546.44	41.01%	@ Tennessee Titans	17	1604.97	58.45%
18	2020-10-13	43.02	@ Tennessee Titans	42	1597.26	52.33%	Buffalo Bills	16	1581.87	47.12%
19	2020-11-26	42.77	Washington Football Team	41	1390.27	51.67%	@ Dallas Cowboys	16	1374.00	47.78%
20	2020-10-18	42.67	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	38	1583.49	56.67%	Cleveland Browns	7	1537.65	42.79%
21	2020-11-22	42.14	@ Carolina Panthers	20	1381.83	46.80%	Detroit Lions	0	1404.96	52.66%
22	2020-12-27	41.89	@ Green Bay Packers	40	1649.85	53.58%	Tennessee Titans	14	1625.80	45.88%
23	2020-10-11	41.77	Las Vegas Raiders	40	1443.74	16.95%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	32	1715.95	82.72%
24	2020-11-29	41.02	Tennessee Titans	45	1588.46	46.85%	@ Indianapolis Colts	26	1605.70	52.60%
25	2020-12-27	40.81	@ Dallas Cowboys	37	1397.49	48.46%	Philadelphia Eagles	17	1409.02	50.99%