2019 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Kansas City Chiefs

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1969

Runner-Up

San Francisco 49ers

7th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2012

Biggest Overachiever

Green Bay Packers

4.34 wins above expected

13 wins · 8.66 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Los Angeles Chargers

3.70 wins below expected

5 wins · 8.70 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	12	4	.750	-	420	225	+195	12.17	-0.17
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	314	259	+55	8.54	+1.46
3	New York Jets	7	9	.438	5	276	359	-83	5.64	+1.36
4	Miami Dolphins	5	11	.312	7	306	494	-188	4.81	+0.19

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Baltimore Ravens Division	14	2	.875	-	531	282	+249	10.81	+3.19
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	8	.500	6	289	303	-14	9.00	-1.00
3	Cleveland Browns	6	10	.375	8	335	393	-58	7.30	-1.30
4	Cincinnati Bengals	2	14	.125	12	279	420	-141	4.82	-2.82

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Texans Division	10	6	.625	-	378	385	-7	8.32	+1.68
2	Tennessee Titans Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	402	331	+71	8.35	+0.65
3	Indianapolis Colts	7	9	.438	3	361	373	-12	9.24	-2.24
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	6	10	.375	4	300	397	-97	6.61	-0.61

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	12	4	.750	-	451	308	+143	10.28	+1.72
2	Denver Broncos	7	9	.438	5	282	316	-34	6.38	+0.62
3	Oakland Raiders	7	9	.438	5	313	419	-106	5.98	+1.02
4	Los Angeles Chargers	5	11	.312	7	337	345	-8	8.70	-3.70

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	9	7	.562	-	385	354	+31	9.40	-0.40
2	Dallas Cowboys	8	8	.500	1	434	321	+113	9.46	-1.46
3	New York Giants	4	12	.250	5	341	451	-110	6.08	-2.08
4	Washington Redskins	3	13	.188	6	266	435	-169	4.87	-1.87

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	13	3	0	.812	-	376	313	+63	8.66	+4.34
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	10	6	0	.625	3	407	303	+104	9.81	+0.19
3	Chicago Bears	8	8	0	.500	5	280	298	-18	9.04	-1.04
4	Detroit Lions	3	12	1	.219	9.5	341	423	-82	6.81	-3.31

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New Orleans Saints Division	13	3	.812	-	458	341	+117	10.81	+2.19
2	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	6	381	399	-18	6.78	+0.22
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7	9	.438	6	458	449	+9	7.02	-0.02
4	Carolina Panthers	5	11	.312	8	340	470	-130	7.17	-2.17

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	13	3	0	.812	-	479	310	+169	9.68	+3.32
2	Seattle Seahawks Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	2	405	398	+7	9.55	+1.45
3	Los Angeles Rams	9	7	0	.562	4	394	364	+30	9.44	-0.44
4	Arizona Cardinals	5	10	1	.344	7.5	361	442	-81	4.50	+1.00

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Houston Texans 22

Buffalo Bills 19

Jan 4

Tennessee Titans 20

New England Patriots 13

Jan 4

Divisional Round

Tennessee Titans 28

Baltimore Ravens 12

Jan 11

Kansas City Chiefs 51

Houston Texans 31

Jan 12

Conference Championship

Kansas City Chiefs 35

Tennessee Titans 24

Jan 19

NFC

Wild Card Round

Minnesota Vikings 26

New Orleans Saints 20

Jan 5

Seattle Seahawks 17

Philadelphia Eagles 9

Jan 5

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 27

Minnesota Vikings 10

Jan 11

Green Bay Packers 28

Seattle Seahawks 23

Jan 12

Conference Championship

San Francisco 49ers 37

Green Bay Packers 20

Jan 19

Super Bowl

Kansas City Chiefs 31

San Francisco 49ers 20

Feb 2

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1778	14	10.81	+3.19	98.80%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1711	12	10.28	+1.72	88.98%	1	7	9	10	12	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1699	13	10.81	+2.19	93.95%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1664	13	9.68	+3.32	98.48%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1659	12	12.17	-0.17	56.84%	4	9	11	12	13	15	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1626	13	8.66	+4.34	99.65%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1617	10	9.81	+0.19	64.36%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1588	9	8.35	+0.65	72.74%	0	5	7	8	10	11	15
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1566	9	9.44	-0.44	51.49%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1561	9	9.40	-0.40	52.43%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1561	8	9.46	-1.46	30.80%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1548	10	8.54	+1.46	85.69%	2	5	7	9	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1546	11	9.55	+1.45	85.58%	2	6	8	10	11	13	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1540	10	8.32	+1.68	87.50%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1540	7	6.78	+0.22	66.02%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1520	8	9.04	-1.04	39.55%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1513	8	9.00	-1.00	39.88%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1489	7	7.02	-0.02	60.82%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1484	7	6.38	+0.62	73.27%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1468	7	9.24	-2.24	18.37%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1452	5	8.70	-3.70	4.78%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1405	7	5.64	+1.36	85.62%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1403	6	7.30	-1.30	34.27%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1392	5.5	4.50	+1.00	72.95%	0	2	3	4	6	7	13
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1387	6	6.61	-0.61	49.28%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1370	7	5.98	+1.02	80.33%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1340	3.5	6.81	-3.31	3.82%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1332	5	7.17	-2.17	19.27%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1328	4	6.08	-2.08	20.54%	0	3	5	6	7	9	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1326	5	4.81	+0.19	67.10%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1313	2	4.82	-2.82	9.13%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1272	3	4.87	-1.87	23.07%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-
Miami Dolphins	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-
New England Patriots	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	-	-	-
New York Jets	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	0-4 (1.8 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Chargers	Raiders
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-
Los Angeles Chargers	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New York Giants	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.8 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	-	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	2-2 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.78%	0.59%	1.37%	1.56%	0.20%	0.39%	4.88%
7–13	0.78%	1.56%	4.49%	2.54%	2.93%	1.17%	1.17%	14.65%
14–20	0.59%	4.49%	5.47%	6.84%	2.54%	2.54%	0.39%	22.85%
21–27	1.37%	2.54%	6.84%	8.20%	5.86%	2.15%	0.78%	27.73%
28–34	1.56%	2.93%	2.54%	5.86%	3.52%	0.98%	0.39%	17.77%
35–41	0.20%	1.17%	2.54%	2.15%	0.98%	1.17%	0.20%	8.40%
42+	0.39%	1.17%	0.39%	0.78%	0.39%	0.20%	0.39%	3.71%
Total	4.88%	14.65%	22.85%	27.73%	17.77%	8.40%	3.71%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	22.81	+0.00
SD	10.16	10.16	14.83
CV	0.45	0.45	—
Max	59	59	+49
Min	0	0	-49

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	—	43.75%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.56	27.62	-5.06
SD	8.69	6.39	11.81
CV	0.39	0.23	—
Max	38	38	+14
Min	7	13	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.81	24.94	-1.12
SD	8.42	11.85	15.28
CV	0.35	0.48	—
Max	40	53	+26
Min	10	3	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	33.19	17.62	+15.56
SD	11.14	8.87	17.12
CV	0.34	0.50	—
Max	59	40	+49
Min	20	6	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.62	16.19	+3.44
SD	7.99	7.08	10.53
CV	0.41	0.44	—
Max	37	31	+17
Min	6	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.25	29.38	-8.12
SD	10.87	10.07	17.05
CV	0.51	0.34	—
Max	38	51	+18
Min	3	10	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	31.25%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.50	18.62	-1.12
SD	8.43	7.12	9.73
CV	0.48	0.38	—
Max	31	36	+16
Min	3	6	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	—	31.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	12.50%	56.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.44	26.25	-8.81
SD	8.27	10.38	12.96
CV	0.47	0.40	—
Max	35	49	+16
Min	3	6	-36

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	24.56	-3.62
SD	9.96	10.51	15.37
CV	0.48	0.43	—
Max	41	43	+20
Min	3	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.12	20.06	+7.06
SD	12.06	7.88	14.76
CV	0.44	0.39	—
Max	47	34	+31
Min	9	6	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.62	19.75	-2.12
SD	9.15	7.30	11.67
CV	0.52	0.37	—
Max	38	30	+16
Min	3	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.31	26.44	-5.12
SD	7.12	8.05	6.78
CV	0.33	0.30	—
Max	31	42	+5
Min	7	10	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	19.56	+3.94
SD	8.92	8.68	12.09
CV	0.38	0.44	—
Max	42	37	+18
Min	8	3	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.62	24.06	-0.44
SD	10.54	9.95	14.19
CV	0.45	0.41	—
Max	53	41	+23
Min	7	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.56	23.31	-0.75
SD	8.52	9.80	13.88
CV	0.38	0.42	—
Max	38	38	+32
Min	7	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.75	24.81	-6.06
SD	9.64	11.41	15.46
CV	0.51	0.46	—
Max	38	45	+18
Min	3	7	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.19	19.25	+8.94
SD	6.87	10.61	11.83
CV	0.24	0.55	—
Max	40	35	+31
Min	13	3	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	37.50%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	25.00%	12.50%	50.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.06	21.56	-0.50
SD	8.74	7.98	14.38
CV	0.41	0.37	—
Max	45	39	+35
Min	10	10	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	18.75%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.62	22.75	+1.88
SD	10.11	15.16	18.01
CV	0.41	0.67	—
Max	40	55	+27
Min	6	7	-39

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	30.88	-11.75
SD	10.22	11.48	16.94
CV	0.53	0.37	—
Max	38	59	+8
Min	0	12	-49

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.44	18.94	+6.50
SD	10.18	8.36	12.30
CV	0.40	0.44	—
Max	42	37	+29
Min	6	7	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.25	14.06	+12.19
SD	8.59	10.34	16.34
CV	0.33	0.74	—
Max	43	37	+43
Min	13	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.62	21.31	+7.31
SD	11.66	11.19	13.47
CV	0.41	0.53	—
Max	46	48	+32
Min	9	6	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	43.75%	25.00%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.31	28.19	-6.88
SD	8.96	8.65	12.67
CV	0.42	0.31	—
Max	41	37	+21
Min	10	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.25	22.44	-5.19
SD	10.69	10.22	16.90
CV	0.62	0.46	—
Max	34	42	+31
Min	0	3	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	12.50%	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.56	26.19	-6.62
SD	7.97	9.83	14.16
CV	0.41	0.38	—
Max	31	42	+8
Min	3	10	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	—	18.75%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.06	22.12	+1.94
SD	9.25	9.93	13.52
CV	0.38	0.45	—
Max	37	38	+25
Min	9	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	18.94	-0.88
SD	7.86	7.87	12.82
CV	0.44	0.42	—
Max	27	33	+24
Min	3	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.94	19.38	+10.56
SD	11.12	11.70	13.00
CV	0.37	0.60	—
Max	51	46	+38
Min	9	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	43.75%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.31	24.88	+0.44
SD	8.09	7.15	9.16
CV	0.32	0.29	—
Max	40	34	+17
Min	12	9	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.62	28.06	+0.56
SD	9.91	8.78	11.33
CV	0.35	0.31	—
Max	55	40	+21
Min	17	11	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	—	12.50%	50.00%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.12	20.69	+4.44
SD	13.00	7.45	14.29
CV	0.52	0.36	—
Max	43	38	+30
Min	0	10	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.62	27.19	-10.56
SD	9.69	10.23	10.34
CV	0.58	0.38	—
Max	35	47	+8
Min	0	9	-31

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.50	+0.3
Allowed	0.51	-0.3
Differential	0.76	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Green Bay Packers	13	8.66	+4.34
2	San Francisco 49ers	13	9.68	+3.32
3	Baltimore Ravens	14	10.81	+3.19
4	New Orleans Saints	13	10.81	+2.19
5	Kansas City Chiefs	12	10.28	+1.72

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Los Angeles Chargers	5	8.70	-3.70
2	Detroit Lions	3.5	6.81	-3.31
3	Cincinnati Bengals	2	4.82	-2.82
4	Indianapolis Colts	7	9.24	-2.24
5	Carolina Panthers	5	7.17	-2.17

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Baltimore Ravens	12	Oct 6 – Dec 29	1 in 171
2	San Francisco 49ers	8	Sep 8 – Oct 31	1 in 84
3	Atlanta Falcons	4	Dec 8 – Dec 29	1 in 23
4	Seattle Seahawks	5	Oct 27 – Dec 2	1 in 20
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	Nov 24 – Dec 15	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Detroit Lions	9	Nov 3 – Dec 29	1 in 129
2	Carolina Panthers	8	Nov 10 – Dec 29	1 in 95
3	Cincinnati Bengals	11	Sep 8 – Nov 24	1 in 65
4	New York Giants	9	Oct 6 – Dec 9	1 in 50
5	Chicago Bears	4	Oct 6 – Nov 3	1 in 37

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	90.11%	9.37%	0.49%	0.03%
Buffalo Bills	9.21%	70.82%	15.88%	4.09%
New York Jets	0.51%	13.08%	50.19%	36.21%
Miami Dolphins	0.17%	6.72%	33.44%	59.67%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	71.73%	22.41%	5.34%	0.52%
Pittsburgh Steelers	22.09%	50.63%	23.08%	4.19%
Cleveland Browns	5.80%	23.48%	54.36%	16.36%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.38%	3.47%	17.22%	78.93%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	42.86%	28.81%	19.11%	9.22%
Tennessee Titans	25.40%	28.95%	27.59%	18.06%
Houston Texans	25.31%	28.82%	27.89%	17.97%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.43%	13.42%	25.40%	54.75%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	67.85%	23.79%	6.66%	1.70%
Los Angeles Chargers	24.74%	47.92%	19.60%	7.75%
Denver Broncos	4.58%	16.35%	40.56%	38.51%
Oakland Raiders	2.83%	11.94%	33.19%	52.05%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	48.37%	39.33%	10.20%	2.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	46.46%	40.98%	10.24%	2.33%
New York Giants	3.99%	13.74%	49.66%	32.61%
Washington Redskins	1.18%	5.95%	29.91%	62.96%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	45.86%	28.67%	18.01%	7.46%
Chicago Bears	28.25%	31.27%	26.39%	14.08%
Green Bay Packers	21.22%	28.72%	31.87%	18.19%
Detroit Lions	4.67%	11.34%	23.72%	60.26%

Team	1	2	3	4
New Orleans Saints	81.78%	13.29%	3.93%	1.00%
Carolina Panthers	6.76%	32.53%	32.25%	28.47%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6.52%	28.10%	31.57%	33.82%
Atlanta Falcons	4.95%	26.08%	32.25%	36.72%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	37.58%	32.85%	27.33%	2.25%
Seattle Seahawks	32.01%	33.14%	31.91%	2.93%
Los Angeles Rams	30.14%	32.66%	33.72%	3.48%
Arizona Cardinals	0.27%	1.35%	7.03%	91.34%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	49.90%	22.02%	12.04%	6.93%	3.75%	2.30%	1.41%	0.84%	0.40%	0.21%	0.11%	0.06%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Baltimore Ravens	18.28%	22.23%	17.69%	13.19%	8.98%	6.42%	4.68%	3.24%	2.11%	1.39%	0.87%	0.46%	0.23%	0.14%	0.04%	0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.39%	17.86%	16.62%	13.65%	10.14%	7.79%	6.11%	4.66%	3.36%	2.31%	1.69%	1.10%	0.66%	0.38%	0.20%	0.07%
Indianapolis Colts	4.26%	8.85%	11.94%	12.62%	11.09%	9.94%	8.87%	7.82%	6.90%	5.48%	4.13%	3.21%	2.32%	1.49%	0.79%	0.28%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.94%	6.79%	8.39%	10.19%	11.58%	11.64%	10.75%	9.74%	7.68%	6.20%	4.91%	3.37%	2.16%	1.41%	0.83%	0.40%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.50%	5.84%	7.90%	9.37%	11.08%	11.19%	10.61%	9.81%	8.18%	6.61%	5.41%	4.28%	3.06%	2.13%	1.43%	0.61%
Buffalo Bills	2.64%	3.84%	5.62%	7.88%	10.44%	11.71%	12.53%	11.98%	8.88%	6.92%	5.65%	4.45%	3.12%	2.17%	1.36%	0.81%
Tennessee Titans	1.85%	4.77%	6.98%	8.42%	9.16%	9.45%	9.37%	8.80%	9.12%	7.95%	6.77%	5.75%	4.95%	3.45%	2.18%	1.03%
Houston Texans	2.25%	4.62%	6.72%	8.11%	8.98%	9.34%	9.23%	9.15%	9.36%	8.23%	6.83%	5.88%	4.74%	3.51%	2.11%	0.93%
Cleveland Browns	0.49%	1.32%	2.23%	3.37%	5.03%	6.38%	7.48%	9.09%	10.35%	11.93%	11.64%	9.66%	7.64%	5.95%	4.51%	2.94%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.21%	0.77%	1.60%	2.35%	3.30%	4.14%	5.14%	6.19%	8.12%	8.79%	9.46%	10.91%	12.10%	11.36%	9.30%	6.26%
Denver Broncos	0.14%	0.60%	1.17%	1.86%	2.79%	3.79%	4.82%	6.11%	7.92%	9.45%	10.61%	10.94%	11.10%	11.02%	10.36%	7.31%
Oakland Raiders	0.06%	0.26%	0.68%	1.15%	1.80%	2.63%	3.65%	4.73%	6.50%	8.21%	9.62%	10.85%	12.77%	13.85%	13.10%	10.14%
New York Jets	0.05%	0.13%	0.24%	0.53%	1.06%	1.74%	2.90%	4.06%	5.54%	7.68%	10.22%	12.28%	13.05%	13.15%	13.42%	13.96%
Miami Dolphins	0.02%	0.03%	0.09%	0.16%	0.42%	0.78%	1.29%	2.01%	2.85%	4.53%	6.35%	9.27%	11.06%	14.47%	19.63%	27.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%	0.06%	0.10%	0.21%	0.42%	0.75%	1.17%	1.76%	2.73%	4.10%	5.73%	7.51%	11.00%	15.53%	20.72%	28.22%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New Orleans Saints	26.12%	18.71%	14.98%	11.43%	7.93%	5.80%	4.33%	3.47%	2.52%	1.76%	1.24%	0.85%	0.44%	0.27%	0.11%	0.03%
Minnesota Vikings	12.15%	12.41%	11.93%	10.66%	9.48%	8.64%	7.50%	6.55%	5.71%	4.83%	3.68%	2.67%	1.89%	1.19%	0.55%	0.16%
San Francisco 49ers	11.50%	11.13%	10.67%	10.32%	9.88%	9.18%	8.05%	7.06%	6.36%	5.49%	4.26%	2.82%	1.65%	0.91%	0.47%	0.23%
Dallas Cowboys	9.07%	10.55%	10.83%	10.64%	9.99%	9.54%	9.03%	7.84%	6.37%	5.03%	4.01%	3.01%	2.02%	1.12%	0.69%	0.27%
Seattle Seahawks	10.14%	9.95%	9.72%	9.83%	9.91%	9.19%	8.59%	7.72%	7.22%	6.19%	4.64%	3.10%	1.84%	1.10%	0.61%	0.25%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.31%	9.87%	10.66%	10.76%	10.01%	9.42%	9.18%	8.27%	6.66%	5.10%	4.06%	3.16%	2.14%	1.29%	0.79%	0.32%
Los Angeles Rams	9.45%	9.24%	9.25%	9.56%	9.87%	9.33%	8.41%	7.97%	7.58%	6.62%	4.92%	3.46%	2.06%	1.28%	0.70%	0.29%
Chicago Bears	6.69%	7.61%	8.15%	8.50%	9.21%	9.04%	8.62%	8.29%	7.84%	7.38%	5.88%	4.83%	3.78%	2.46%	1.24%	0.48%
Green Bay Packers	4.02%	5.73%	6.53%	7.30%	8.27%	8.80%	8.81%	8.75%	8.84%	8.84%	7.17%	5.96%	5.10%	3.48%	1.74%	0.65%
Carolina Panthers	0.70%	1.25%	1.88%	2.80%	3.91%	5.32%	6.86%	7.98%	8.82%	9.38%	10.55%	10.44%	9.81%	9.27%	6.97%	4.06%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.71%	1.17%	1.76%	2.57%	3.52%	4.74%	6.01%	7.32%	8.04%	9.01%	10.36%	10.65%	10.57%	10.41%	8.18%	4.99%
Atlanta Falcons	0.49%	0.87%	1.31%	2.02%	2.92%	4.03%	5.43%	6.68%	7.72%	8.80%	10.49%	11.22%	11.03%	11.66%	9.40%	5.92%
Detroit Lions	0.45%	1.01%	1.41%	2.07%	2.78%	3.75%	4.47%	5.46%	7.02%	8.67%	9.60%	11.48%	13.97%	12.74%	9.31%	5.80%
New York Giants	0.17%	0.39%	0.71%	1.15%	1.65%	2.18%	3.09%	4.19%	5.42%	7.18%	10.11%	12.75%	13.30%	12.93%	12.91%	11.87%
Washington Redskins	0.02%	0.07%	0.14%	0.27%	0.46%	0.64%	1.09%	1.56%	2.37%	3.48%	5.62%	8.23%	11.02%	14.49%	22.20%	28.33%
Arizona Cardinals	<0.01%	0.04%	0.06%	0.12%	0.21%	0.39%	0.54%	0.89%	1.52%	2.23%	3.40%	5.36%	9.37%	15.38%	24.13%	36.35%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	34.86%	17.86%	11.64%	8.69%	6.04%	5.10%	3.46%	3.03%	1.97%	1.86%	1.25%	1.09%	0.72%	0.68%	0.42%	0.42%	0.25%	0.21%	0.12%	0.10%	0.06%	0.05%	0.04%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	-	-
Baltimore Ravens	11.31%	10.22%	11.09%	9.40%	8.59%	7.50%	6.39%	6.00%	4.52%	4.51%	3.35%	3.17%	2.42%	2.32%	1.75%	1.74%	1.17%	1.07%	0.76%	0.76%	0.48%	0.47%	0.29%	0.25%	0.15%	0.11%	0.08%	0.06%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	11.22%	12.95%	9.90%	9.73%	7.80%	7.51%	6.13%	5.59%	4.32%	3.84%	3.38%	2.83%	2.55%	1.95%	1.98%	1.54%	1.36%	1.12%	0.95%	0.70%	0.66%	0.54%	0.46%	0.29%	0.21%	0.17%	0.13%	0.08%	0.05%	0.03%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	8.03%	7.60%	8.78%	7.91%	8.01%	7.14%	6.55%	6.09%	5.09%	4.84%	4.08%	3.92%	3.20%	2.97%	2.55%	2.54%	1.88%	1.69%	1.36%	1.31%	0.88%	0.91%	0.66%	0.62%	0.40%	0.37%	0.19%	0.19%	0.12%	0.09%	0.04%	0.02%
Minnesota Vikings	4.54%	6.43%	6.29%	6.61%	6.41%	6.07%	5.86%	5.41%	5.27%	4.70%	4.76%	4.11%	4.28%	3.58%	3.62%	2.93%	3.15%	2.60%	2.48%	1.98%	1.88%	1.50%	1.32%	1.07%	0.90%	0.71%	0.54%	0.41%	0.28%	0.17%	0.09%	0.04%
San Francisco 49ers	3.97%	6.10%	5.81%	5.93%	5.76%	5.81%	5.54%	5.25%	5.57%	5.07%	4.86%	4.43%	4.43%	4.06%	3.64%	3.17%	3.07%	3.16%	2.74%	2.37%	1.97%	1.84%	1.34%	1.17%	0.81%	0.69%	0.47%	0.39%	0.24%	0.17%	0.12%	0.05%
Dallas Cowboys	3.29%	4.76%	5.15%	5.48%	5.59%	5.81%	5.52%	5.60%	5.28%	5.20%	5.04%	4.81%	4.77%	4.23%	3.89%	3.75%	3.30%	3.03%	2.62%	2.40%	2.19%	1.77%	1.52%	1.27%	1.05%	0.87%	0.57%	0.44%	0.37%	0.22%	0.13%	0.07%
Seattle Seahawks	3.62%	5.23%	5.26%	5.37%	5.47%	5.22%	5.56%	4.99%	5.56%	4.74%	5.07%	4.36%	4.88%	4.05%	4.17%	3.40%	3.77%	3.33%	3.07%	2.45%	2.25%	1.97%	1.53%	1.28%	0.88%	0.77%	0.60%	0.43%	0.30%	0.24%	0.12%	0.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.04%	4.46%	4.71%	5.45%	5.25%	5.60%	5.45%	5.74%	5.26%	5.14%	4.97%	4.89%	4.72%	4.42%	4.12%	3.91%	3.43%	3.24%	2.69%	2.40%	2.16%	1.84%	1.63%	1.32%	1.13%	0.89%	0.70%	0.51%	0.40%	0.26%	0.19%	0.06%
Los Angeles Rams	3.28%	4.93%	4.77%	5.10%	5.07%	5.02%	5.39%	4.96%	5.51%	4.82%	5.10%	4.40%	4.87%	4.23%	4.14%	3.56%	3.93%	3.43%	3.39%	2.64%	2.44%	2.05%	1.69%	1.43%	1.04%	0.83%	0.66%	0.47%	0.38%	0.26%	0.14%	0.07%
Indianapolis Colts	2.22%	3.15%	4.17%	4.74%	5.29%	5.67%	5.42%	6.13%	5.03%	5.67%	4.80%	5.08%	4.28%	4.56%	3.98%	4.15%	3.55%	3.40%	2.87%	2.79%	2.30%	2.15%	1.85%	1.60%	1.38%	1.15%	0.80%	0.76%	0.49%	0.31%	0.18%	0.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.00%	2.41%	3.49%	3.58%	4.30%	4.26%	4.89%	4.82%	5.24%	5.53%	5.12%	5.67%	4.91%	5.41%	4.49%	5.13%	3.88%	3.93%	3.14%	3.43%	2.62%	2.63%	1.88%	1.93%	1.31%	1.17%	0.87%	0.74%	0.52%	0.33%	0.23%	0.14%
Chicago Bears	2.13%	3.55%	3.76%	4.10%	4.34%	4.37%	4.94%	4.39%	5.07%	4.55%	4.90%	4.37%	4.98%	4.16%	4.70%	3.74%	4.29%	3.70%	3.85%	3.09%	3.08%	2.62%	2.50%	1.94%	1.79%	1.51%	1.21%	0.91%	0.64%	0.45%	0.24%	0.14%
Los Angeles Chargers	1.18%	1.86%	2.78%	3.13%	3.56%	4.15%	4.27%	4.62%	4.77%	5.24%	5.05%	5.57%	4.69%	5.29%	4.76%	5.09%	4.08%	4.04%	3.61%	3.76%	3.06%	2.76%	2.46%	2.30%	1.83%	1.63%	1.28%	1.15%	0.80%	0.66%	0.36%	0.20%
Green Bay Packers	1.21%	2.20%	2.65%	3.24%	3.38%	3.63%	3.93%	3.93%	4.62%	4.32%	4.88%	4.29%	4.98%	4.43%	4.85%	4.01%	4.72%	4.29%	4.57%	3.68%	3.80%	3.23%	3.11%	2.53%	2.53%	1.96%	1.66%	1.34%	0.88%	0.60%	0.34%	0.22%
Buffalo Bills	1.28%	1.54%	2.02%	2.23%	2.86%	3.11%	3.66%	4.05%	4.59%	5.10%	4.77%	6.01%	4.96%	6.16%	4.94%	6.28%	4.15%	4.86%	3.72%	4.14%	3.06%	3.10%	2.45%	2.51%	1.94%	1.76%	1.30%	1.20%	0.88%	0.66%	0.47%	0.26%
Tennessee Titans	0.91%	1.35%	2.22%	2.52%	3.09%	3.43%	3.72%	4.09%	4.13%	4.52%	4.42%	4.72%	4.30%	4.70%	4.49%	4.68%	4.48%	4.27%	4.20%	4.11%	3.68%	3.47%	3.13%	3.05%	2.70%	2.54%	1.89%	1.79%	1.27%	1.08%	0.65%	0.39%
Houston Texans	1.05%	1.40%	2.23%	2.30%	3.07%	3.27%	3.69%	3.90%	4.00%	4.46%	4.44%	4.67%	4.34%	4.57%	4.60%	4.75%	4.59%	4.58%	4.02%	4.38%	3.68%	3.64%	3.27%	3.04%	2.56%	2.46%	1.93%	1.88%	1.22%	1.10%	0.62%	0.32%
Cleveland Browns	0.18%	0.33%	0.59%	0.74%	1.07%	1.21%	1.56%	1.80%	2.17%	2.44%	2.84%	3.28%	3.20%	3.90%	3.99%	4.79%	4.61%	5.39%	4.96%	6.24%	5.23%	6.10%	4.79%	5.39%	4.24%	4.28%	3.56%	3.17%	2.70%	2.29%	1.81%	1.16%
Carolina Panthers	0.15%	0.37%	0.53%	0.70%	0.91%	1.13%	1.43%	1.65%	2.04%	2.20%	2.71%	2.88%	3.60%	3.47%	4.11%	3.99%	4.63%	4.62%	5.06%	4.61%	5.47%	5.02%	5.40%	4.88%	5.05%	4.74%	4.59%	3.91%	3.59%	2.97%	2.15%	1.45%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.14%	0.38%	0.51%	0.66%	0.88%	0.99%	1.37%	1.52%	1.88%	1.87%	2.56%	2.48%	3.25%	3.14%	3.83%	3.70%	4.27%	4.29%	4.76%	4.38%	5.62%	4.95%	5.51%	4.91%	5.39%	4.90%	5.04%	4.51%	4.07%	3.63%	2.75%	1.87%
Atlanta Falcons	0.09%	0.24%	0.36%	0.52%	0.66%	0.73%	1.06%	1.14%	1.60%	1.53%	2.16%	2.13%	3.01%	2.74%	3.51%	3.22%	4.26%	4.01%	4.86%	4.38%	5.56%	5.08%	5.77%	5.18%	5.73%	5.42%	5.51%	5.31%	4.58%	4.16%	3.21%	2.27%
Detroit Lions	0.08%	0.24%	0.37%	0.58%	0.68%	0.80%	1.03%	1.20%	1.51%	1.57%	2.01%	2.00%	2.63%	2.56%	3.06%	2.90%	3.85%	3.91%	4.74%	4.32%	5.04%	5.22%	6.02%	5.55%	6.47%	6.11%	6.03%	5.32%	4.67%	4.10%	3.15%	2.29%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.08%	0.15%	0.33%	0.43%	0.61%	0.82%	0.90%	1.26%	1.34%	1.69%	1.81%	2.15%	2.17%	2.75%	2.92%	3.24%	3.62%	3.97%	4.22%	4.64%	4.72%	5.11%	5.23%	5.66%	5.91%	6.09%	5.75%	5.97%	5.04%	4.81%	3.75%	2.87%
Denver Broncos	0.04%	0.10%	0.25%	0.33%	0.46%	0.59%	0.78%	0.91%	1.17%	1.40%	1.71%	1.82%	2.03%	2.47%	2.93%	3.00%	3.48%	3.68%	4.32%	4.87%	4.89%	5.25%	5.46%	5.86%	5.61%	5.94%	5.71%	6.18%	5.37%	5.58%	4.33%	3.44%
New York Giants	0.03%	0.10%	0.14%	0.21%	0.32%	0.41%	0.52%	0.63%	0.79%	0.91%	1.22%	1.21%	1.66%	1.73%	2.11%	2.36%	2.95%	3.11%	3.73%	3.87%	5.04%	5.18%	5.99%	6.01%	6.50%	6.42%	6.56%	6.26%	6.69%	6.08%	6.07%	5.21%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.04%	0.10%	0.15%	0.28%	0.33%	0.45%	0.58%	0.74%	0.95%	1.07%	1.31%	1.44%	1.84%	2.12%	2.48%	2.82%	3.20%	3.59%	4.29%	4.35%	4.90%	5.31%	5.80%	6.25%	6.59%	6.81%	7.41%	6.98%	6.94%	5.88%	4.98%
New York Jets	0.01%	0.04%	0.05%	0.08%	0.11%	0.13%	0.21%	0.29%	0.37%	0.56%	0.64%	0.95%	0.98%	1.49%	1.60%	2.18%	2.17%	2.83%	3.17%	4.17%	4.06%	5.21%	5.27%	6.60%	6.10%	7.02%	6.98%	7.39%	7.31%	7.35%	7.50%	7.17%
Washington Redskins	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.07%	0.11%	0.14%	0.20%	0.25%	0.30%	0.38%	0.55%	0.56%	0.82%	0.86%	1.28%	1.33%	1.83%	1.92%	2.92%	3.02%	4.03%	4.36%	5.42%	5.71%	7.30%	7.54%	10.09%	10.99%	13.32%	14.58%
Miami Dolphins	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.07%	0.09%	0.15%	0.19%	0.25%	0.40%	0.47%	0.66%	0.77%	1.03%	1.05%	1.52%	1.71%	2.39%	2.52%	3.29%	3.78%	4.98%	4.93%	6.10%	6.97%	7.97%	9.63%	10.82%	13.16%	14.98%
Cincinnati Bengals	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.08%	0.10%	0.14%	0.21%	0.30%	0.36%	0.46%	0.60%	0.68%	0.97%	1.09%	1.35%	1.65%	2.13%	2.45%	3.00%	3.37%	4.20%	4.94%	6.05%	6.99%	8.56%	9.95%	11.21%	13.44%	15.56%
Arizona Cardinals	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.09%	0.13%	0.18%	0.24%	0.29%	0.33%	0.49%	0.50%	0.88%	0.85%	1.22%	1.29%	1.87%	2.13%	2.93%	2.99%	4.83%	5.01%	7.31%	7.75%	10.49%	12.40%	15.56%	20.04%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	49.90%	22.00%	12.04%	6.17%	4.67%	2.28%	2.94%
Baltimore Ravens	18.28%	22.48%	18.40%	12.57%	9.04%	6.28%	12.95%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.39%	18.49%	18.38%	17.60%	6.68%	6.21%	19.26%
Indianapolis Colts	4.26%	9.17%	13.20%	16.23%	7.62%	8.70%	40.82%
Pittsburgh Steelers	3.94%	6.40%	6.52%	5.23%	16.40%	13.36%	48.16%
Buffalo Bills	2.64%	2.60%	2.31%	1.65%	17.20%	14.59%	59.00%
Los Angeles Chargers	2.50%	5.89%	7.60%	8.75%	11.68%	11.60%	51.98%
Houston Texans	2.25%	4.85%	7.54%	10.67%	6.62%	8.38%	59.68%
Tennessee Titans	1.85%	4.95%	7.74%	10.85%	6.88%	8.58%	59.14%
Cleveland Browns	0.49%	1.27%	1.97%	2.07%	5.42%	6.92%	81.86%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.21%	0.81%	1.85%	3.55%	2.23%	3.71%	87.63%
Denver Broncos	0.14%	0.63%	1.31%	2.49%	2.26%	3.56%	89.60%
Oakland Raiders	0.06%	0.28%	0.80%	1.68%	1.36%	2.43%	93.39%
New York Jets	0.05%	0.10%	0.16%	0.20%	1.16%	1.87%	96.47%
Miami Dolphins	0.02%	0.02%	0.05%	0.08%	0.42%	0.81%	98.60%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.01%	0.06%	0.11%	0.20%	0.36%	0.74%	98.52%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New Orleans Saints	26.12%	19.84%	18.53%	17.29%	2.66%	2.94%	12.62%
Minnesota Vikings	12.15%	12.57%	11.82%	9.31%	9.72%	9.03%	35.40%
San Francisco 49ers	11.50%	10.61%	9.02%	6.46%	13.18%	10.62%	38.62%
Seattle Seahawks	10.14%	9.19%	7.54%	5.14%	14.20%	10.99%	42.80%
Los Angeles Rams	9.45%	8.58%	7.27%	4.83%	13.79%	11.12%	44.95%
Dallas Cowboys	9.07%	10.96%	12.34%	16.00%	7.02%	7.73%	36.88%
Philadelphia Eagles	8.31%	10.14%	11.98%	16.03%	7.23%	7.77%	38.54%
Chicago Bears	6.69%	7.60%	7.52%	6.44%	10.14%	9.86%	51.75%
Green Bay Packers	4.02%	5.63%	6.10%	5.46%	8.67%	9.50%	60.61%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.71%	1.18%	1.86%	2.78%	3.22%	4.66%	85.60%
Carolina Panthers	0.70%	1.22%	1.93%	2.91%	3.69%	5.34%	84.21%
Atlanta Falcons	0.49%	0.86%	1.44%	2.17%	2.70%	3.99%	88.37%
Detroit Lions	0.45%	1.06%	1.40%	1.77%	2.45%	3.77%	89.11%
New York Giants	0.17%	0.44%	0.95%	2.42%	0.94%	1.84%	93.23%
Washington Redskins	0.02%	0.08%	0.23%	0.85%	0.24%	0.48%	98.11%
Arizona Cardinals	<0.01%	0.05%	0.08%	0.14%	0.15%	0.36%	99.22%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+3.98%

Slight Edge

51.79%0.40%47.81%

Elo Value

Home Edge

22 Elo

0.045 points per Elo point

013.8560

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.05 points

Lean Road

-8+0.62+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.4

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

14%

Kansas City Chiefs, 3rd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

24.8%

Favored

012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.49 · As Expected: 1.49 to 2.04 · Elevated: 2.04 to 2.79 · High Variance: 2.79 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.51 · Close: 4.51 to 6.11 · Off Target: 6.11 to 7.96 · Well Off Target: 7.96 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.8 · As Expected: 2.8 to 4.67 · More Than Expected: 4.67 to 7.48 · Far More Than Expected: 7.48 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.91 wins

As Expected

01.865

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.66

05.3115

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

99.65%

Green Bay Packers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

3.82%

Detroit Lions

050

Season Outliers

Expected

5 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

4 of 12

As Expected

03.712

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.00

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

74%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

20%

Mostly Decisive

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.05

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.49

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.93

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.93

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.057

Within Noise

00.0930.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Baltimore Ravens	77.94%	77.94%	56.47%	38.35%	25.78%
New Orleans Saints	74.78%	74.78%	49.24%	31.31%	15.44%
Kansas City Chiefs	67.57%	67.57%	40.90%	22.62%	13.62%
New England Patriots	88.59%	88.59%	50.44%	23.19%	12.33%
San Francisco 49ers	46.71%	46.71%	27.76%	15.44%	7.10%
Minnesota Vikings	47.42%	47.42%	24.87%	12.15%	4.88%
Green Bay Packers	29.74%	26.62%	14.25%	7.16%	3.06%
Dallas Cowboys	43.09%	41.41%	18.01%	7.58%	2.68%
Los Angeles Rams	37.03%	35.70%	15.96%	6.87%	2.45%
Philadelphia Eagles	43.01%	39.57%	17.13%	7.15%	2.44%
Seattle Seahawks	37.88%	36.43%	15.15%	6.14%	2.04%
Tennessee Titans	34.05%	25.12%	10.05%	3.77%	1.79%
Chicago Bears	33.95%	28.41%	10.80%	4.02%	1.18%
Buffalo Bills	35.76%	20.78%	7.66%	2.57%	1.13%
Houston Texans	33.23%	22.63%	7.89%	2.52%	1.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.50%	26.58%	8.76%	2.65%	1.02%
Indianapolis Colts	45.75%	31.07%	8.18%	2.00%	0.65%
Los Angeles Chargers	39.64%	21.42%	5.48%	1.35%	0.44%
Atlanta Falcons	10.29%	5.79%	2.48%	1.02%	0.34%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.52%	6.54%	2.33%	0.82%	0.22%
Denver Broncos	9.62%	4.45%	1.29%	0.37%	0.13%
Cleveland Browns	16.38%	6.16%	1.40%	0.32%	0.10%
Jacksonville Jaguars	11.34%	4.14%	0.80%	0.14%	0.04%
Carolina Panthers	13.87%	4.64%	0.87%	0.16%	0.03%
Oakland Raiders	6.27%	1.89%	0.36%	0.07%	0.02%
Detroit Lions	9.39%	3.40%	0.65%	0.10%	0.02%
New York Jets	3.38%	1.04%	0.23%	0.06%	0.01%
New York Giants	6.15%	1.92%	0.37%	0.06%	0.01%
Arizona Cardinals	0.73%	0.25%	0.07%	0.02%	<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.41%	0.34%	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	1.35%	0.29%	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Washington Redskins	1.79%	0.41%	0.06%	<0.01%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		80.7%5.82%	93.2%0.25%	89.7%2.67%	85.4%1.35%	79.9%4.19%	85.5%5.13%	92.2%1.52%	59.9%5.01%	86.9%5.18%	91.9%0.22%	67.7%2.30%	89.5%0.59%	91.7%0.83%	83.2%6.99%	75.6%4.24%
Buffalo Bills	19.3%5.82%		82.7%0.07%	68.7%0.94%	55.7%0.69%	50.4%3.23%	59.4%5.16%	67.5%1.08%	27.5%5.82%	61.7%3.14%	76.9%0.01%	33.9%3.43%	80.0%0.06%	72.9%0.49%	55.8%2.64%	41.2%3.17%
Cincinnati Bengals	6.8%0.25%	17.3%0.07%		40.0%0.02%	17.2%0.03%	22.0%0.12%	29.0%0.19%	46.7%0.03%	10.1%0.21%	37.5%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	9.7%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	21.1%0.10%	22.1%0.11%
Cleveland Browns	10.3%2.67%	31.3%0.94%	60.0%0.02%		34.1%0.31%	30.4%1.45%	37.8%2.25%	50.9%0.43%	13.2%2.61%	45.4%1.55%	65.7%0.03%	17.3%1.44%	57.1%0.08%	52.9%0.23%	33.1%0.92%	28.2%1.45%
Denver Broncos	14.6%1.35%	44.3%0.69%	82.8%0.03%	65.9%0.31%		39.9%0.85%	51.3%1.29%	67.6%0.29%	20.3%1.40%	54.5%0.62%	62.5%0.02%	28.7%0.72%	54.1%0.06%	65.2%0.07%	48.2%1.00%	36.7%0.91%
Houston Texans	20.1%4.19%	49.6%3.23%	78.0%0.12%	69.6%1.45%	60.1%0.85%		59.4%4.54%	72.3%0.76%	26.7%4.55%	61.9%3.76%	76.9%0.11%	33.7%2.24%	75.0%0.28%	71.7%0.53%	55.0%3.88%	41.6%2.75%
Indianapolis Colts	14.5%5.13%	40.6%5.16%	71.0%0.19%	62.2%2.25%	48.7%1.29%	40.6%4.54%		63.4%1.31%	20.0%5.60%	53.8%5.58%	72.7%0.18%	25.1%2.57%	58.7%0.46%	66.6%0.86%	45.3%5.81%	33.0%4.82%
Jacksonville Jaguars	7.8%1.52%	32.5%1.08%	53.3%0.03%	49.1%0.43%	32.4%0.29%	27.7%0.76%	36.6%1.31%		14.0%1.58%	43.1%1.17%	53.1%0.03%	18.5%0.80%	44.6%0.09%	51.9%0.19%	33.7%1.24%	23.1%0.82%
Kansas City Chiefs	40.1%5.01%	72.5%5.82%	89.9%0.21%	86.8%2.61%	79.7%1.40%	73.3%4.55%	80.0%5.60%	86.0%1.58%		81.9%6.90%	90.4%0.24%	56.3%2.24%	84.3%0.55%	88.3%1.01%	77.6%6.48%	68.5%4.67%
Los Angeles Chargers	13.1%5.18%	38.3%3.14%	62.5%0.12%	54.6%1.55%	45.5%0.62%	38.1%3.76%	46.2%5.58%	56.9%1.17%	18.1%6.90%		81.1%0.11%	21.0%2.84%	56.9%0.28%	62.4%0.40%	42.2%4.06%	31.2%3.94%
Miami Dolphins	8.1%0.22%	23.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	34.3%0.03%	37.5%0.02%	23.1%0.11%	27.3%0.18%	46.9%0.03%	9.6%0.24%	18.9%0.11%		13.5%0.16%	0.0%<0.01%	61.5%0.01%	22.8%0.10%	18.2%0.11%
New England Patriots	32.3%2.30%	66.1%3.43%	90.3%0.14%	82.7%1.44%	71.2%0.72%	66.3%2.24%	74.9%2.57%	81.5%0.80%	43.7%2.24%	79.0%2.84%	86.5%0.16%		83.1%0.37%	84.5%0.43%	72.4%3.33%	62.4%2.15%
New York Jets	10.5%0.59%	20.0%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.08%	45.9%0.06%	25.0%0.28%	41.3%0.46%	55.4%0.09%	15.7%0.55%	43.1%0.28%	100.0%<0.01%	16.9%0.37%		62.9%0.03%	37.3%0.23%	21.8%0.29%
Oakland Raiders	8.3%0.83%	27.1%0.49%	40.0%0.01%	47.1%0.23%	34.8%0.07%	28.3%0.53%	33.4%0.86%	48.1%0.19%	11.7%1.01%	37.6%0.40%	38.5%0.01%	15.5%0.43%	37.1%0.03%		31.9%0.64%	23.8%0.53%
Pittsburgh Steelers	16.8%6.99%	44.2%2.64%	78.9%0.10%	66.9%0.92%	51.8%1.00%	45.0%3.88%	54.7%5.81%	66.3%1.24%	22.4%6.48%	57.8%4.06%	77.2%0.10%	27.6%3.33%	62.7%0.23%	68.1%0.64%		38.1%4.09%
Tennessee Titans	24.4%4.24%	58.8%3.17%	77.9%0.11%	71.8%1.45%	63.3%0.91%	58.4%2.75%	67.0%4.82%	76.9%0.82%	31.5%4.67%	68.8%3.94%	81.8%0.11%	37.6%2.15%	78.2%0.29%	76.2%0.53%	61.9%4.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		47.4%0.02%	60.0%0.03%	35.7%0.07%	29.2%0.07%	70.0%0.01%	18.2%0.04%	27.8%0.05%	15.7%0.08%	16.1%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	28.7%0.11%	17.1%0.07%	24.6%0.06%	35.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	52.6%0.02%		73.9%0.13%	51.9%0.86%	45.3%1.23%	74.7%0.22%	39.1%0.78%	45.9%1.00%	38.3%1.01%	27.7%1.42%	78.7%0.15%	46.1%1.14%	34.2%1.11%	47.7%1.04%	50.0%0.12%	92.1%0.04%
Carolina Panthers	40.0%0.03%	26.1%0.13%		25.0%1.22%	18.0%1.57%	46.2%0.28%	14.5%0.98%	23.1%1.34%	16.5%1.54%	10.1%1.85%	48.3%0.18%	21.8%1.61%	14.2%1.49%	23.3%1.44%	28.1%0.15%	53.3%0.06%
Chicago Bears	64.3%0.07%	48.1%0.86%	75.0%1.22%		42.1%4.40%	74.5%0.58%	35.8%2.28%	44.3%3.16%	37.2%4.17%	24.8%4.09%	71.4%0.64%	42.7%4.48%	30.5%3.50%	46.8%3.29%	53.1%1.03%	79.5%0.18%
Dallas Cowboys	70.8%0.07%	54.7%1.23%	82.0%1.57%	57.9%4.40%		79.8%1.23%	42.1%3.87%	49.9%4.76%	42.7%4.99%	30.8%3.59%	81.4%0.54%	50.3%5.56%	36.9%4.92%	53.4%4.80%	62.6%1.45%	71.2%0.12%
Detroit Lions	30.0%0.01%	25.3%0.22%	53.8%0.28%	25.5%0.58%	20.2%1.23%		14.5%0.55%	21.8%0.81%	16.2%0.99%	11.3%1.19%	40.5%0.15%	21.9%1.24%	12.8%0.95%	21.5%0.89%	24.7%0.26%	60.9%0.05%
Green Bay Packers	81.8%0.04%	60.9%0.78%	85.5%0.98%	64.2%2.28%	57.9%3.87%	85.5%0.55%		60.0%2.83%	51.0%3.51%	39.5%3.65%	84.8%0.52%	57.3%3.92%	46.2%2.98%	61.1%2.77%	69.3%0.89%	82.1%0.16%
Los Angeles Rams	72.2%0.05%	54.1%1.00%	76.9%1.34%	55.7%3.16%	50.1%4.76%	78.2%0.81%	40.0%2.83%		41.9%4.03%	31.3%5.21%	78.2%0.70%	50.1%4.66%	35.6%3.77%	52.4%3.21%	58.7%1.31%	88.6%0.19%
Minnesota Vikings	84.3%0.08%	61.7%1.01%	83.5%1.54%	62.8%4.17%	57.3%4.99%	83.8%0.99%	49.0%3.51%	58.1%4.03%		37.7%3.98%	82.8%0.76%	57.2%4.91%	43.0%4.24%	60.3%4.12%	68.7%1.32%	89.7%0.21%
New Orleans Saints	83.9%0.09%	72.3%1.42%	89.9%1.85%	75.2%4.09%	69.2%3.59%	88.7%1.19%	60.5%3.65%	68.7%5.21%	62.3%3.98%		89.2%0.53%	72.0%3.57%	55.9%5.16%	72.1%5.25%	78.5%1.67%	91.9%0.15%
New York Giants	0.0%<0.01%	21.3%0.15%	51.7%0.18%	28.6%0.64%	18.6%0.54%	59.5%0.15%	15.2%0.52%	21.8%0.70%	17.2%0.76%	10.8%0.53%		22.0%0.50%	12.0%0.66%	22.8%0.65%	27.6%0.16%	69.2%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	71.3%0.11%	53.9%1.14%	78.2%1.61%	57.3%4.48%	49.7%5.56%	78.1%1.24%	42.7%3.92%	49.9%4.66%	42.8%4.91%	28.0%3.57%	78.0%0.50%		36.8%4.92%	53.2%4.80%	62.1%1.46%	82.4%0.13%
San Francisco 49ers	82.9%0.07%	65.8%1.11%	85.8%1.49%	69.5%3.50%	63.1%4.92%	87.2%0.95%	53.8%2.98%	64.4%3.77%	57.0%4.24%	44.1%5.16%	88.0%0.66%	63.2%4.92%		66.4%4.03%	71.3%1.30%	89.9%0.19%
Seattle Seahawks	75.4%0.06%	52.3%1.04%	76.7%1.44%	53.2%3.29%	46.6%4.80%	78.5%0.89%	38.9%2.77%	47.6%3.21%	39.7%4.12%	27.9%5.25%	77.2%0.65%	46.8%4.80%	33.6%4.03%		55.7%1.32%	82.9%0.22%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	64.3%0.01%	50.0%0.12%	71.9%0.15%	46.9%1.03%	37.4%1.45%	75.3%0.26%	30.7%0.89%	41.3%1.31%	31.3%1.32%	21.5%1.67%	72.4%0.16%	37.9%1.46%	28.7%1.30%	44.3%1.32%		78.1%0.06%
Washington Redskins	33.3%<0.01%	7.9%0.04%	46.7%0.06%	20.5%0.18%	28.8%0.12%	39.1%0.05%	17.9%0.16%	11.4%0.19%	10.3%0.21%	8.1%0.15%	30.8%0.01%	17.6%0.13%	10.1%0.19%	17.1%0.22%	21.9%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		78.3%4.16%	88.1%0.07%	88.0%1.12%	82.4%1.19%	78.9%5.69%	85.0%8.43%	90.0%1.09%	59.3%19.38%	86.3%5.68%	85.1%0.05%	65.9%18.08%	88.1%0.23%	89.4%0.47%	81.3%5.82%	74.9%6.48%
Buffalo Bills	21.7%4.16%		85.7%<0.01%	67.7%0.19%	60.7%0.11%	52.3%0.81%	60.6%1.19%	68.3%0.10%	28.5%3.38%	66.4%0.83%	25.0%<0.01%	35.1%8.19%	50.0%0.01%	72.5%0.05%	56.7%1.01%	45.5%0.75%
Cincinnati Bengals	11.9%0.07%	14.3%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	20.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	15.7%0.07%	37.5%0.02%		11.5%0.12%			0.0%<0.01%	15.0%0.02%
Cleveland Browns	12.0%1.12%	32.3%0.19%			39.4%0.03%	31.2%0.26%	39.7%0.46%	44.2%0.04%	15.8%1.20%	45.8%0.27%		20.6%2.09%	88.9%<0.01%	63.6%0.02%	32.2%0.21%	30.4%0.25%
Denver Broncos	17.6%1.19%	39.3%0.11%	75.0%<0.01%	60.6%0.03%		43.9%0.20%	51.1%0.27%	76.5%0.02%	24.6%0.42%	56.2%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	26.3%1.66%	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	43.0%0.25%	39.9%0.20%
Houston Texans	21.1%5.69%	47.7%0.81%	77.8%<0.01%	68.8%0.26%	56.1%0.20%		61.8%0.83%	76.1%0.07%	28.6%4.56%	63.3%1.02%	81.8%0.01%	33.6%7.15%	74.2%0.03%	80.0%0.08%	54.8%1.40%	45.1%0.52%
Indianapolis Colts	15.0%8.43%	39.4%1.19%	80.0%0.02%	60.3%0.46%	48.9%0.27%	38.2%0.83%		59.0%0.12%	21.0%6.59%	49.9%1.55%	76.5%0.02%	25.9%8.67%	64.8%0.05%	64.0%0.12%	44.1%1.88%	31.8%0.85%
Jacksonville Jaguars	10.0%1.09%	31.7%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	55.8%0.04%	23.5%0.02%	23.9%0.07%	41.0%0.12%		11.9%0.77%	45.6%0.17%	50.0%<0.01%	19.4%1.46%	33.3%<0.01%	52.9%0.02%	39.1%0.23%	25.8%0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	40.7%19.38%	71.5%3.38%	84.3%0.07%	84.2%1.20%	75.4%0.42%	71.4%4.56%	79.0%6.59%	88.1%0.77%		80.5%2.96%	93.6%0.05%	57.1%17.65%	81.4%0.19%	89.7%0.17%	75.5%5.31%	66.6%4.87%
Los Angeles Chargers	13.7%5.68%	33.6%0.83%	62.5%0.02%	54.2%0.27%	43.8%0.08%	36.7%1.02%	50.1%1.55%	54.4%0.17%	19.5%2.96%		40.0%<0.01%	24.3%6.39%	51.9%0.03%	50.0%0.03%	39.7%1.21%	28.9%1.18%
Miami Dolphins	14.9%0.05%	75.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%	23.5%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	6.4%0.05%	60.0%<0.01%		13.3%0.14%		33.3%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	34.1%18.08%	64.9%8.19%	88.5%0.12%	79.4%2.09%	73.7%1.66%	66.4%7.15%	74.1%8.67%	80.6%1.46%	42.9%17.65%	75.7%6.39%	86.7%0.14%		77.6%0.41%	83.3%0.73%	68.2%7.59%	60.3%8.29%
New York Jets	11.9%0.23%	50.0%0.01%		11.1%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	25.8%0.03%	35.2%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	18.6%0.19%	48.1%0.03%		22.4%0.41%		33.3%<0.01%	35.7%0.04%	18.4%0.04%
Oakland Raiders	10.6%0.47%	27.5%0.05%		36.4%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.08%	36.0%0.12%	47.1%0.02%	10.3%0.17%	50.0%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	16.7%0.73%	66.7%<0.01%		34.0%0.10%	27.3%0.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers	18.7%5.82%	43.3%1.01%	100.0%<0.01%	67.8%0.21%	57.0%0.25%	45.2%1.40%	55.9%1.88%	60.9%0.23%	24.5%5.31%	60.3%1.21%	63.6%0.01%	31.8%7.59%	64.3%0.04%	66.0%0.10%		37.8%1.51%
Tennessee Titans	25.1%6.48%	54.5%0.75%	85.0%0.02%	69.6%0.25%	60.1%0.20%	54.9%0.52%	68.2%0.85%	74.2%0.06%	33.4%4.87%	71.1%1.18%	100.0%<0.01%	39.7%8.29%	81.6%0.04%	72.7%0.09%	62.2%1.51%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.02%	48.6%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	33.3%0.01%	12.5%0.04%	6.3%0.06%		46.2%0.03%	35.0%0.02%	14.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	100.0%<0.01%		75.0%0.03%	54.7%0.43%	48.2%0.68%	74.3%0.03%	40.4%0.36%	48.5%0.53%	41.9%0.64%	29.6%1.21%	85.2%0.03%	45.8%0.55%	35.7%0.69%	51.7%0.55%	73.1%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.03%		29.5%0.31%	22.8%0.51%	53.3%0.03%	16.5%0.28%	20.7%0.38%	16.8%0.62%	11.9%0.91%	50.0%0.03%	21.4%0.50%	13.1%0.57%	22.2%0.42%	32.1%0.03%	62.5%<0.01%
Chicago Bears	63.2%0.02%	45.3%0.43%	70.5%0.31%		43.8%3.29%	72.9%0.14%	34.2%1.43%	42.9%2.51%	36.8%3.37%	26.7%6.59%	72.3%0.15%	45.6%3.11%	30.8%3.71%	46.8%2.78%	51.2%0.51%	86.5%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	51.4%0.03%	51.8%0.68%	77.2%0.51%	56.2%3.29%		75.1%0.38%	40.5%3.22%	49.5%3.96%	41.2%5.86%	32.1%9.87%	72.9%0.08%	51.4%3.25%	35.8%5.40%	52.1%4.12%	60.6%0.74%	100.0%0.01%
Detroit Lions	100.0%<0.01%	25.7%0.03%	46.7%0.03%	27.1%0.14%	24.9%0.38%		15.7%0.12%	23.6%0.34%	19.7%0.28%	9.7%0.86%	29.4%0.02%	23.6%0.40%	15.8%0.42%	23.1%0.35%	41.7%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	75.0%0.02%	59.6%0.36%	83.5%0.28%	65.8%1.43%	59.5%3.22%	84.3%0.12%		60.7%2.57%	53.4%2.86%	40.2%6.51%	83.2%0.13%	59.2%2.88%	43.1%3.12%	61.8%2.67%	68.6%0.40%	93.8%0.03%
Los Angeles Rams	66.7%0.01%	51.5%0.53%	79.3%0.38%	57.1%2.51%	50.5%3.96%	76.4%0.34%	39.3%2.57%		41.9%4.79%	33.3%7.74%	79.1%0.18%	50.8%4.05%	36.7%4.51%	52.6%3.52%	60.9%0.56%	83.1%0.06%
Minnesota Vikings	87.5%0.04%	58.1%0.64%	83.2%0.62%	63.2%3.37%	58.8%5.86%	80.3%0.28%	46.6%2.86%	58.1%4.79%		38.8%10.95%	84.6%0.28%	57.9%5.73%	43.8%6.44%	60.2%4.64%	65.2%0.88%	78.2%0.06%
New Orleans Saints	93.7%0.06%	70.4%1.21%	88.1%0.91%	73.3%6.59%	67.9%9.87%	90.3%0.86%	59.8%6.51%	66.7%7.74%	61.2%10.95%		89.1%0.50%	67.9%9.30%	54.4%10.86%	71.2%8.03%	76.4%1.28%	95.1%0.10%
New York Giants		14.8%0.03%	50.0%0.03%	27.7%0.15%	27.1%0.08%	70.6%0.02%	16.8%0.13%	20.9%0.18%	15.4%0.28%	10.9%0.50%		31.7%0.08%	13.4%0.23%	27.4%0.20%	33.3%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	53.8%0.03%	54.2%0.55%	78.6%0.50%	54.4%3.11%	48.6%3.25%	76.4%0.40%	40.8%2.88%	49.2%4.05%	42.1%5.73%	32.1%9.30%	68.3%0.08%		35.7%5.23%	51.4%3.80%	60.5%0.65%	53.8%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	65.0%0.02%	64.3%0.69%	86.9%0.57%	69.2%3.71%	64.2%5.40%	84.2%0.42%	56.9%3.12%	63.3%4.51%	56.2%6.44%	45.6%10.86%	86.6%0.23%	64.3%5.23%		65.3%4.68%	71.1%0.79%	87.8%0.04%
Seattle Seahawks	85.7%<0.01%	48.3%0.55%	77.8%0.42%	53.2%2.78%	47.9%4.12%	76.9%0.35%	38.2%2.67%	47.4%3.52%	39.8%4.64%	28.8%8.03%	72.6%0.20%	48.6%3.80%	34.7%4.68%		53.6%0.63%	80.6%0.04%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	100.0%<0.01%	26.9%0.03%	67.9%0.03%	48.8%0.51%	39.4%0.74%	58.3%0.04%	31.4%0.40%	39.1%0.56%	34.8%0.88%	23.6%1.28%	66.7%0.02%	39.5%0.65%	28.9%0.79%	46.4%0.63%		80.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins		57.1%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	13.5%0.04%	0.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	6.2%0.03%	16.9%0.06%	21.8%0.06%	4.9%0.10%		46.2%0.01%	12.2%0.04%	19.4%0.04%	20.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		77.2%2.86%	90.0%0.01%	86.0%0.39%	78.3%0.50%	78.2%2.79%	83.5%2.86%	89.5%0.29%	59.0%15.67%	83.9%1.96%	93.3%0.01%	65.0%22.78%	83.9%0.09%	89.4%0.14%	80.6%2.51%	73.4%3.60%
Buffalo Bills	22.8%2.86%		100.0%<0.01%	76.4%0.06%	48.6%0.04%	52.8%0.27%	60.5%0.24%	82.9%0.04%	30.1%1.90%	61.2%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	36.6%1.35%	50.0%<0.01%	69.2%0.01%	52.1%0.35%	45.0%0.34%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			12.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		12.0%0.03%			0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	14.0%0.39%	23.6%0.06%			45.5%0.01%	33.3%0.05%	51.9%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	19.8%0.32%	58.6%0.03%		21.5%0.39%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	27.6%0.03%	44.8%0.06%
Denver Broncos	21.7%0.50%	51.4%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	54.5%0.01%		57.1%0.03%	64.9%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	25.5%0.20%	56.2%0.02%		26.9%0.35%	33.3%<0.01%		54.5%0.03%	26.6%0.06%
Houston Texans	21.8%2.79%	47.2%0.27%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.05%	42.9%0.03%		64.0%0.19%	80.0%0.01%	29.9%1.70%	55.8%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	33.7%2.11%	92.9%0.01%	81.8%0.01%	54.4%0.31%	42.9%0.21%
Indianapolis Colts	16.5%2.86%	39.5%0.24%		48.1%0.05%	35.1%0.04%	36.0%0.19%		58.8%0.02%	21.1%1.73%	54.8%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	27.9%2.36%	57.1%<0.01%	66.7%0.01%	42.7%0.29%	31.7%0.22%
Jacksonville Jaguars	10.5%0.29%	17.1%0.04%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	41.2%0.02%		13.7%0.18%	40.0%0.01%		22.5%0.19%			43.2%0.04%	33.3%0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	41.0%15.67%	69.9%1.90%	87.5%<0.01%	80.2%0.32%	74.5%0.20%	70.1%1.70%	78.9%1.73%	86.3%0.18%		80.3%0.90%	84.6%0.01%	57.2%13.96%	84.1%0.04%	77.6%0.05%	74.6%2.04%	65.2%2.18%
Los Angeles Chargers	16.1%1.96%	38.8%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	41.4%0.03%	43.8%0.02%	44.2%0.20%	45.2%0.15%	60.0%0.01%	19.7%0.90%		0.0%<0.01%	27.2%1.54%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	42.3%0.21%	34.2%0.23%
Miami Dolphins	6.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	35.0%22.78%	63.4%1.35%	88.0%0.03%	78.5%0.39%	73.1%0.35%	66.3%2.11%	72.1%2.36%	77.5%0.19%	42.8%13.96%	72.8%1.54%	100.0%<0.01%		64.3%0.04%	80.7%0.09%	67.9%2.53%	59.3%2.72%
New York Jets	16.1%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	7.1%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%		15.9%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%		35.7%0.04%			37.5%<0.01%	42.9%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	10.6%0.14%	30.8%0.01%		66.7%<0.01%		18.2%0.01%	33.3%0.01%		22.4%0.05%	50.0%0.01%		19.3%0.09%			37.5%0.02%	18.2%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.4%2.51%	47.9%0.35%	100.0%<0.01%	72.4%0.03%	45.5%0.03%	45.6%0.31%	57.3%0.29%	56.8%0.04%	25.4%2.04%	57.7%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	32.1%2.53%	62.5%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%		40.5%0.39%
Tennessee Titans	26.6%3.60%	55.0%0.34%	50.0%<0.01%	55.2%0.06%	73.4%0.06%	57.1%0.21%	68.3%0.22%	66.7%0.02%	34.8%2.18%	65.8%0.23%		40.7%2.72%	57.1%0.01%	81.8%0.01%	59.5%0.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals				33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	27.6%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons			80.0%<0.01%	56.2%0.16%	43.2%0.24%	72.7%0.01%	41.1%0.21%	46.6%0.22%	34.8%0.33%	31.8%0.45%	66.7%<0.01%	44.6%0.22%	34.9%0.40%	55.1%0.21%	56.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers		20.0%<0.01%		13.5%0.05%	23.5%0.08%		16.7%0.07%	20.2%0.09%	18.3%0.12%	13.1%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.08%	19.7%0.13%	22.2%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears	66.7%<0.01%	43.8%0.16%	86.5%0.05%		44.2%1.00%	82.8%0.03%	34.3%0.50%	43.3%0.91%	37.6%0.95%	29.5%3.40%	85.7%0.01%	44.8%0.92%	31.4%1.80%	47.9%0.96%	56.4%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	66.7%<0.01%	56.8%0.24%	76.5%0.08%	55.8%1.00%		80.4%0.05%	43.0%1.32%	50.7%1.48%	43.8%2.32%	32.9%5.88%	73.3%0.01%	51.4%0.91%	37.3%2.97%	51.8%1.47%	58.4%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions		27.3%0.01%		17.2%0.03%	19.6%0.05%		31.2%0.02%	23.1%0.05%	13.7%0.05%	10.0%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	13.0%0.05%	14.5%0.11%	32.7%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	50.0%<0.01%	58.9%0.21%	83.3%0.07%	65.7%0.50%	57.0%1.32%	68.8%0.02%		55.1%1.35%	51.9%1.28%	40.4%4.60%	73.1%0.03%	58.8%1.21%	45.0%2.26%	60.7%1.21%	67.4%0.18%	80.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Rams	100.0%<0.01%	53.4%0.22%	79.8%0.09%	56.7%0.91%	49.3%1.48%	76.9%0.05%	44.9%1.35%		44.8%2.38%	33.8%5.26%	85.2%0.03%	48.0%1.46%	38.5%1.65%	51.8%0.87%	61.8%0.21%	83.3%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	80.0%0.01%	65.2%0.33%	81.7%0.12%	62.4%0.95%	56.2%2.32%	86.3%0.05%	48.1%1.28%	55.2%2.38%		39.3%8.53%	84.8%0.05%	57.0%2.23%	45.1%4.21%	56.5%2.11%	66.4%0.30%	100.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	72.4%0.03%	68.2%0.45%	86.9%0.18%	70.5%3.40%	67.1%5.88%	90.0%0.23%	59.6%4.60%	66.2%5.26%	60.7%8.53%		86.9%0.13%	67.2%5.67%	55.1%9.35%	67.9%5.09%	77.8%0.43%	93.8%0.02%
New York Giants		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	26.7%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	26.9%0.03%	14.8%0.03%	15.2%0.05%	13.1%0.13%		27.8%0.02%	12.5%0.06%	29.2%0.02%	28.6%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	100.0%<0.01%	55.4%0.22%	77.4%0.08%	55.2%0.92%	48.6%0.91%	87.0%0.05%	41.2%1.21%	52.0%1.46%	43.0%2.23%	32.8%5.67%	72.2%0.02%		38.2%2.82%	51.3%1.29%	56.0%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	75.0%<0.01%	65.1%0.40%	80.3%0.13%	68.6%1.80%	62.7%2.97%	85.5%0.11%	55.0%2.26%	61.5%1.65%	54.9%4.21%	44.9%9.35%	87.5%0.06%	61.8%2.82%		65.1%1.60%	69.0%0.39%	90.9%0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	60.0%<0.01%	44.9%0.21%	77.8%0.06%	52.1%0.96%	48.2%1.47%	67.3%0.05%	39.3%1.21%	48.2%0.87%	43.5%2.11%	32.1%5.09%	70.8%0.02%	48.7%1.29%	34.9%1.60%		54.1%0.18%	88.9%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		43.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	43.6%0.12%	41.6%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%	32.6%0.18%	38.2%0.21%	33.6%0.30%	22.2%0.43%	71.4%<0.01%	44.0%0.23%	31.0%0.39%	45.9%0.18%		0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	6.2%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	87.5%<0.01%	73.8%0.40%	91.5%0.06%	77.7%1.60%	73.3%2.94%	84.2%0.04%	65.7%2.76%	73.1%2.58%	69.2%4.66%	60.1%12.00%	82.1%0.03%	74.7%2.74%	63.8%5.88%	75.7%2.32%	81.9%0.33%	100.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills		47.1%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	51.8%0.08%	50.3%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	47.6%0.19%	50.5%0.21%	49.4%0.32%	35.0%0.80%	0.0%<0.01%	56.4%0.18%	37.6%0.40%	51.7%0.15%	60.0%0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals				50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns		66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	27.6%0.03%		28.6%0.02%	33.3%0.02%	30.2%0.04%	22.1%0.10%		48.0%0.03%	21.3%0.05%	36.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos		33.3%<0.01%		63.6%0.01%	41.9%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.02%	41.4%0.03%	35.4%0.05%	31.8%0.11%		42.1%0.02%	31.9%0.07%	33.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans		60.7%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	58.0%0.11%	50.8%0.19%	100.0%<0.01%	42.8%0.18%	45.6%0.18%	40.3%0.32%	32.7%0.80%	100.0%<0.01%	49.4%0.17%	34.5%0.39%	49.6%0.13%	75.0%0.02%
Indianapolis Colts		38.1%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.08%	35.9%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%	28.9%0.15%	38.2%0.13%	37.5%0.28%	25.4%0.66%	100.0%<0.01%	39.5%0.12%	27.6%0.29%	47.2%0.11%	36.4%0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars		0.0%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%	46.2%0.01%	20.4%0.05%		63.6%0.01%	23.1%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	75.0%<0.01%	68.5%0.25%	81.8%0.04%	73.8%0.90%	66.2%1.69%	84.0%0.03%	59.2%1.58%	66.4%1.56%	62.8%2.62%	53.0%7.12%	77.8%<0.01%	67.4%1.68%	55.7%3.56%	68.5%1.39%	75.6%0.18%
Los Angeles Chargers		22.2%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	54.7%0.05%	39.3%0.11%		36.8%0.10%	43.2%0.08%	34.5%0.18%	25.4%0.41%		28.9%0.09%	28.8%0.22%	34.6%0.08%	40.0%0.01%
Miami Dolphins							0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%				100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	60.0%<0.01%	63.9%0.22%	83.9%0.03%	66.5%0.95%	60.8%1.72%	78.9%0.02%	52.6%1.72%	60.6%1.61%	53.7%2.85%	45.3%7.24%	88.2%0.02%	61.2%1.59%	48.8%3.57%	63.3%1.49%	63.9%0.17%	66.7%<0.01%
New York Jets		100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders		50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		20.0%0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%	26.7%0.01%		42.9%<0.01%	10.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.0%<0.01%	23.5%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	44.3%0.10%	45.1%0.19%	60.0%<0.01%	37.6%0.18%	44.7%0.19%	44.6%0.36%	29.0%0.80%	0.0%<0.01%	49.1%0.23%	33.3%0.39%	47.0%0.16%	73.7%0.02%
Tennessee Titans		60.0%0.03%	71.4%<0.01%	61.0%0.12%	56.8%0.30%	75.0%<0.01%	43.1%0.25%	53.3%0.26%	49.2%0.44%	40.3%1.20%	100.0%<0.01%	54.5%0.27%	44.6%0.58%	52.5%0.24%	58.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	12.5%<0.01%								25.0%<0.01%			40.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	26.2%0.40%	52.9%0.02%		33.3%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	39.3%0.03%	61.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	31.5%0.25%	77.8%0.02%		36.1%0.22%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	76.5%0.02%	40.0%0.03%
Carolina Panthers																	8.5%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		18.2%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%		16.1%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	22.3%1.60%	48.2%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	36.4%0.01%	42.0%0.11%	53.8%0.08%	80.0%<0.01%	26.2%0.90%	45.3%0.05%		33.5%0.95%	100.0%<0.01%		55.7%0.10%	39.0%0.12%
Dallas Cowboys																	26.7%2.94%	49.7%0.18%	50.0%<0.01%	72.4%0.03%	58.1%0.03%	49.2%0.19%	64.1%0.15%	60.0%0.01%	33.8%1.69%	60.7%0.11%		39.2%1.72%	50.0%<0.01%	80.0%0.01%	54.9%0.19%	43.2%0.30%
Detroit Lions																	15.8%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	16.0%0.03%			21.1%0.02%			40.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	34.3%2.76%	52.4%0.19%		71.4%0.02%	57.1%0.02%	57.2%0.18%	71.1%0.15%	66.7%<0.01%	40.8%1.58%	63.2%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	47.4%1.72%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	62.4%0.18%	56.9%0.25%
Los Angeles Rams																	26.9%2.58%	49.5%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.02%	58.6%0.03%	54.4%0.18%	61.8%0.13%	81.8%0.01%	33.6%1.56%	56.8%0.08%		39.4%1.61%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	55.3%0.19%	46.7%0.26%
Minnesota Vikings																	30.8%4.66%	50.6%0.32%		69.8%0.04%	64.6%0.05%	59.7%0.32%	62.5%0.28%	53.8%0.01%	37.2%2.62%	65.5%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	46.3%2.85%	100.0%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%	55.4%0.36%	50.8%0.44%
New Orleans Saints																	39.9%12.00%	65.0%0.80%	100.0%<0.01%	77.9%0.10%	68.2%0.11%	67.3%0.80%	74.6%0.66%	79.6%0.05%	47.0%7.12%	74.6%0.41%		54.7%7.24%	78.6%0.01%	73.3%0.01%	71.0%0.80%	59.7%1.20%
New York Giants																	17.9%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		22.2%<0.01%			11.8%0.02%			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	25.3%2.74%	43.6%0.18%		52.0%0.03%	57.9%0.02%	50.6%0.17%	60.5%0.12%	36.4%0.01%	32.6%1.68%	71.1%0.09%		38.8%1.59%	50.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	50.9%0.23%	45.5%0.27%
San Francisco 49ers																	36.2%5.88%	62.4%0.40%	0.0%<0.01%	78.7%0.05%	68.1%0.07%	65.5%0.39%	72.4%0.29%	76.9%0.03%	44.3%3.56%	71.2%0.22%	0.0%<0.01%	51.2%3.57%	100.0%0.01%	90.0%0.01%	66.7%0.39%	55.4%0.58%
Seattle Seahawks																	24.3%2.32%	48.3%0.15%		63.2%0.02%	66.7%0.03%	50.4%0.13%	52.8%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	31.5%1.39%	65.4%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	36.7%1.49%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	53.0%0.16%	47.5%0.24%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	18.1%0.33%	40.0%0.03%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	63.6%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	24.4%0.18%	60.0%0.01%		36.1%0.17%		100.0%<0.01%	26.3%0.02%	42.0%0.05%
Washington Redskins																	0.0%<0.01%											33.3%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Baltimore Ravens	100.00%	76.44%	48.42%	31.24%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	62.37%	28.18%	16.17%	Won Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	60.18%	31.26%	13.01%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
New Orleans Saints	63.34%	38.83%	23.75%	11.59%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	46.07%	21.78%	8.24%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
New England Patriots	62.24%	26.62%	11.33%	6.18%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings	36.66%	17.00%	9.26%	3.70%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Philadelphia Eagles	54.38%	21.08%	7.85%	2.64%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tennessee Titans	37.76%	10.08%	4.38%	2.05%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Seattle Seahawks	45.62%	16.84%	6.10%	2.04%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Buffalo Bills	49.00%	12.32%	3.96%	1.66%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Houston Texans	51.00%	12.16%	3.74%	1.48%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	New England Patriots	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills		49.0%100.00%
Houston Texans	51.0%100.00%
New England Patriots				62.2%100.00%
Tennessee Titans			37.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Minnesota Vikings		36.7%100.00%
New Orleans Saints	63.3%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles				54.4%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks			45.6%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		77.8%30.41%	78.9%31.83%			73.3%37.76%
Buffalo Bills	22.2%30.41%			30.0%18.59%
Houston Texans	21.1%31.83%			28.4%19.17%
Kansas City Chiefs		70.0%18.59%	71.6%19.17%		57.2%62.24%
New England Patriots				42.8%62.24%
Tennessee Titans	26.7%37.76%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers			38.7%63.34%	58.1%19.92%		59.6%16.73%
Minnesota Vikings					46.4%36.66%
New Orleans Saints	61.3%63.34%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.9%19.92%				37.0%34.45%
San Francisco 49ers		53.6%36.66%		63.0%34.45%		65.1%28.89%
Seattle Seahawks	40.4%16.73%				34.9%28.89%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		75.8%4.05%	76.5%4.08%	61.0%47.38%	63.6%20.93%
Buffalo Bills	24.2%4.05%			32.3%3.89%	35.2%2.87%	46.7%1.52%
Houston Texans	23.5%4.08%			31.5%3.91%	34.0%2.82%	43.2%1.36%
Kansas City Chiefs	39.0%47.38%	67.7%3.89%	68.5%3.91%			61.2%7.20%
New England Patriots	36.4%20.93%	64.8%2.87%	66.0%2.82%
Tennessee Titans		53.3%1.52%	56.8%1.36%	38.8%7.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers		47.3%9.91%		58.7%4.90%	43.5%27.43%	59.2%3.84%
Minnesota Vikings	52.7%9.91%			56.0%3.94%		58.3%3.15%
New Orleans Saints				69.2%7.84%	56.4%24.74%	70.1%6.24%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.3%4.90%	44.0%3.94%	30.8%7.84%		38.2%4.40%
San Francisco 49ers	56.5%27.43%		43.6%24.74%	61.8%4.40%		62.5%3.61%
Seattle Seahawks	40.8%3.84%	41.7%3.15%	29.9%6.24%		37.5%3.61%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	67.4%10.66%	66.2%4.38%	57.3%11.40%	71.1%3.88%	64.4%15.11%	71.7%2.98%
Buffalo Bills	45.8%0.87%	47.1%0.37%	31.7%0.97%	53.1%0.29%	40.9%1.21%	54.7%0.23%
Houston Texans	42.4%0.80%	41.1%0.30%	31.4%0.92%	49.5%0.28%	38.5%1.20%	57.1%0.23%
Kansas City Chiefs	61.3%6.06%	59.0%2.68%	49.6%6.69%	65.9%2.18%	56.6%8.86%	64.7%1.71%
New England Patriots	57.9%2.40%	53.9%1.12%	48.1%2.70%	61.9%0.87%	54.3%3.55%	61.4%0.69%
Tennessee Titans	52.2%0.99%	44.1%0.40%	38.9%1.06%	54.9%0.36%	46.9%1.31%	53.7%0.26%
Green Bay Packers							32.6%10.66%	54.2%0.87%	57.6%0.80%	38.7%6.06%	42.1%2.40%	47.8%0.99%
Minnesota Vikings							33.8%4.38%	52.9%0.37%	58.9%0.30%	41.0%2.68%	46.1%1.12%	55.9%0.40%
New Orleans Saints							42.7%11.40%	68.3%0.97%	68.6%0.92%	50.4%6.69%	51.9%2.70%	61.1%1.06%
Philadelphia Eagles							28.9%3.88%	46.9%0.29%	50.5%0.28%	34.1%2.18%	38.1%0.87%	45.1%0.36%
San Francisco 49ers							35.6%15.11%	59.1%1.21%	61.5%1.20%	43.4%8.86%	45.7%3.55%	53.1%1.31%
Seattle Seahawks							28.3%2.98%	45.3%0.23%	42.9%0.23%	35.3%1.71%	38.6%0.69%	46.3%0.26%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Baltimore Ravens 31.24% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

36.22%

Win Prob

73.31%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

59.71%

Win Prob

61.02%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

31.14%

Win Prob

64.37%

Kansas City Chiefs 16.17% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

57.11%

Win Prob

57.23%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

65.54%

Win Prob

38.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

31.03%

Win Prob

56.64%

San Francisco 49ers 13.01% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

36.08%

Win Prob

63.02%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

49.54%

Win Prob

56.45%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

41.39%

Win Prob

35.63%

New Orleans Saints 11.59% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

63.34%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.30%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

58.72%

Win Prob

56.37%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

42.04%

Win Prob

42.71%

Green Bay Packers 8.24% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

53.21%

Win Prob

38.70%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

54.84%

Win Prob

43.55%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

42.18%

Win Prob

32.58%

New England Patriots 6.18% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.24%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.77%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

67.18%

Win Prob

36.37%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

31.16%

Win Prob

54.27%

Minnesota Vikings 3.70% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.66%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.37%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

56.35%

Win Prob

52.68%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

40.08%

Win Prob

33.84%

Philadelphia Eagles 2.64% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.38%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

60.43%

Win Prob

36.98%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

30.78%

Win Prob

30.83%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

42.56%

Win Prob

28.94%

Tennessee Titans 2.05% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.76%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.69%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

63.85%

Win Prob

38.82%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

29.98%

Win Prob

46.88%

Seattle Seahawks 2.04% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.62%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

59.87%

Win Prob

34.90%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

30.61%

Win Prob

29.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

41.50%

Win Prob

28.32%

Buffalo Bills 1.66% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.00%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

54.81%

Win Prob

22.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

31.74%

Win Prob

32.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

29.90%

Win Prob

40.91%

Houston Texans 1.48% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.00%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

55.30%

Win Prob

21.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

32.90%

Win Prob

31.47%

→

Super Bowl

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

31.20%

Win Prob

38.46%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2019-09-08	Detroit Lions	T 27-27	1375.58	1489.32	35.99%	63.52%	+1.12	0-0
2019-09-15	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-23	1376.70	1602.16	19.88%	79.76%	-7.95	0-1
2019-09-22	Carolina Panthers	L 20-38	1368.75	1447.49	40.74%	58.75%	-28.20	0-2
2019-09-29	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-27	1340.55	1550.65	24.44%	75.16%	-16.45	0-3
2019-10-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-23	1324.10	1352.51	43.47%	56.01%	+15.81	1-3
2019-10-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-33	1339.91	1429.67	39.22%	60.27%	+9.82	2-3
2019-10-20	@ New York Giants	W 27-21	1349.73	1403.77	39.89%	59.60%	+23.79	3-3
2019-10-27	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-31	1373.52	1663.26	14.65%	85.07%	-11.20	3-4
2019-10-31	San Francisco 49ers	L 25-28	1362.32	1641.80	17.85%	81.82%	-5.05	3-5
2019-11-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 27-30	1357.27	1419.16	38.81%	60.68%	-10.97	3-6
2019-11-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 26-36	1346.30	1629.47	15.13%	84.58%	-7.80	3-7
2019-12-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-34	1338.50	1554.07	23.86%	75.74%	-20.23	3-8
2019-12-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-23	1318.27	1560.88	21.16%	78.47%	-8.46	3-9
2019-12-15	Cleveland Browns	W 38-24	1309.81	1491.99	27.52%	72.05%	+43.89	4-9
2019-12-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-13	1353.70	1610.77	17.15%	82.53%	+50.22	5-9
2019-12-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 24-31	1403.92	1553.99	27.66%	71.90%	-11.94	5-10
2019-09-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 12-28	1509.42	1526.18	45.12%	54.35%	-29.44	0-1
2019-09-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-20	1479.98	1574.85	38.52%	60.97%	+19.86	1-1
2019-09-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1499.84	1560.81	38.94%	60.55%	-11.00	1-2
2019-09-29	Tennessee Titans	L 10-24	1488.84	1505.64	49.54%	49.93%	-30.23	1-3
2019-10-06	@ Houston Texans	L 32-53	1458.61	1521.34	38.70%	60.80%	-28.94	1-4
2019-10-13	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 33-34	1429.67	1339.91	60.27%	39.22%	-9.82	1-5
2019-10-20	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-37	1419.85	1548.61	34.03%	65.49%	-28.86	1-6
2019-10-27	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-27	1390.99	1554.05	29.76%	69.79%	-12.85	1-7
2019-11-10	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-9	1378.14	1674.46	14.18%	85.54%	+57.34	2-7
2019-11-17	@ Carolina Panthers	W 29-3	1435.48	1507.09	37.50%	62.00%	+51.50	3-7
2019-11-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 22-35	1486.98	1411.98	62.46%	37.04%	-36.68	3-8
2019-11-28	New Orleans Saints	L 18-26	1450.30	1642.16	26.42%	73.15%	-12.20	3-9
2019-12-08	Carolina Panthers	W 40-20	1438.10	1415.40	55.20%	44.28%	+32.31	4-9
2019-12-15	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 29-22	1470.41	1671.99	22.15%	77.47%	+33.35	5-9
2019-12-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-12	1503.76	1353.28	71.95%	27.61%	+15.61	6-9
2019-12-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-22	1519.37	1509.46	48.94%	50.53%	+20.18	7-9
2019-09-08	@ Miami Dolphins	W 59-10	1568.93	1400.18	70.48%	29.08%	+33.23	1-0
2019-09-15	Arizona Cardinals	W 23-17	1602.16	1376.70	79.76%	19.88%	+7.94	2-0
2019-09-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-33	1610.10	1623.49	45.60%	53.87%	-16.63	2-1
2019-09-29	Cleveland Browns	L 25-40	1593.47	1457.20	70.28%	29.27%	-44.32	2-2
2019-10-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-23	1549.15	1522.97	51.28%	48.19%	+13.62	3-2
2019-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-17	1562.77	1336.70	79.82%	19.83%	+7.92	4-2
2019-10-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-16	1570.69	1587.17	45.16%	54.31%	+33.12	5-2
2019-11-03	New England Patriots	W 37-20	1603.81	1731.99	34.10%	65.42%	+43.93	6-2
2019-11-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 49-13	1647.74	1299.65	86.96%	12.78%	+12.49	7-2
2019-11-17	Houston Texans	W 41-7	1660.23	1594.07	61.27%	38.23%	+36.39	8-2
2019-11-25	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 45-6	1696.62	1591.99	62.30%	37.20%	+37.92	9-2
2019-12-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 20-17	1734.54	1671.12	60.89%	38.61%	+10.91	10-2
2019-12-08	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-17	1745.45	1562.03	72.19%	27.37%	+11.82	11-2
2019-12-12	New York Jets	W 42-21	1757.27	1372.80	90.74%	9.06%	+6.76	12-2
2019-12-22	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-15	1764.03	1448.10	84.72%	14.99%	+9.77	13-2
2019-12-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-10	1773.80	1517.14	82.50%	17.18%	+3.97	14-2
2019-09-08	@ New York Jets	W 17-16	1445.77	1397.79	54.41%	45.07%	+7.36	1-0
2019-09-15	@ New York Giants	W 28-14	1453.13	1429.76	50.88%	48.59%	+29.65	2-0
2019-09-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-17	1482.78	1388.71	64.99%	34.53%	+11.27	3-0
2019-09-29	New England Patriots	L 10-16	1494.05	1677.94	27.32%	72.25%	-10.93	3-1
2019-10-06	@ Tennessee Titans	W 14-7	1483.12	1535.86	40.07%	59.42%	+25.62	4-1
2019-10-20	Miami Dolphins	W 31-21	1508.74	1306.33	77.55%	22.07%	+11.39	5-1
2019-10-27	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-31	1520.13	1500.49	54.76%	44.71%	-37.87	5-2
2019-11-03	Washington Redskins	W 24-9	1482.26	1326.59	72.55%	27.02%	+17.08	6-2
2019-11-10	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-19	1499.34	1423.63	58.33%	41.16%	-16.46	6-3
2019-11-17	@ Miami Dolphins	W 37-20	1482.88	1335.42	67.87%	31.66%	+21.31	7-3
2019-11-24	Denver Broncos	W 20-3	1504.19	1443.14	60.57%	38.93%	+26.19	8-3
2019-11-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 26-15	1530.38	1576.96	40.92%	58.56%	+31.65	9-3
2019-12-08	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-24	1562.03	1745.45	27.37%	72.19%	-11.82	9-4
2019-12-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-10	1550.21	1569.34	44.79%	54.69%	+23.58	10-4
2019-12-21	@ New England Patriots	L 17-24	1573.79	1669.68	34.29%	65.23%	-14.81	10-5
2019-12-29	New York Jets	L 6-13	1558.98	1394.66	73.52%	26.05%	-10.55	10-6
2019-09-08	Los Angeles Rams	L 27-30	1482.16	1578.30	38.35%	61.15%	-10.85	0-1
2019-09-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-20	1471.31	1416.47	59.71%	39.78%	-23.82	0-2
2019-09-22	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-20	1447.49	1368.75	58.75%	40.74%	+28.20	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Houston Texans	W 16-10	1475.69	1546.01	37.67%	61.83%	+24.67	2-2
2019-10-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-27	1500.36	1476.76	55.33%	44.15%	+19.06	3-2
2019-10-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-26	1519.42	1467.33	57.18%	42.31%	+22.90	4-2
2019-10-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-51	1542.32	1602.51	39.04%	60.45%	-39.29	4-3
2019-11-03	Tennessee Titans	W 30-20	1503.03	1500.14	52.37%	47.10%	+24.30	5-3
2019-11-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-24	1527.33	1552.94	43.87%	55.61%	-20.24	5-4
2019-11-17	Atlanta Falcons	L 3-29	1507.09	1435.48	62.00%	37.50%	-51.50	5-5
2019-11-24	@ New Orleans Saints	L 31-34	1455.59	1635.26	24.39%	75.20%	-6.90	5-6
2019-12-01	Washington Redskins	L 21-29	1448.69	1295.04	72.32%	27.25%	-33.29	5-7
2019-12-08	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-40	1415.40	1438.10	44.28%	55.20%	-32.31	5-8
2019-12-15	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-30	1383.09	1601.35	23.59%	76.02%	-9.43	5-9
2019-12-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 6-38	1373.66	1487.94	31.95%	67.58%	-29.50	5-10
2019-12-29	New Orleans Saints	L 10-42	1344.16	1687.40	13.10%	86.64%	-12.07	5-11
2019-09-05	Green Bay Packers	L 3-10	1586.30	1452.40	69.99%	29.56%	-30.15	0-1
2019-09-15	@ Denver Broncos	W 16-14	1556.15	1434.52	64.56%	34.95%	+8.07	1-1
2019-09-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 31-15	1564.22	1399.18	70.03%	29.52%	+19.27	2-1
2019-09-29	Minnesota Vikings	W 16-6	1583.49	1556.86	55.76%	43.72%	+22.56	3-1
2019-10-06	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-24	1606.05	1419.68	74.26%	25.33%	-20.93	3-2
2019-10-20	New Orleans Saints	L 25-36	1585.12	1639.35	44.18%	55.30%	-23.91	3-3
2019-10-27	Los Angeles Chargers	L 16-17	1561.21	1493.52	61.47%	38.03%	-10.01	3-4
2019-11-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-22	1551.20	1538.36	49.37%	50.11%	-22.77	3-5
2019-11-10	Detroit Lions	W 20-13	1528.43	1468.10	60.47%	39.03%	+16.85	4-5
2019-11-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-17	1545.28	1569.23	44.10%	55.38%	-22.75	4-6
2019-11-24	New York Giants	W 19-14	1522.53	1325.78	76.98%	22.63%	+8.26	5-6
2019-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-20	1530.79	1415.44	63.73%	35.78%	+11.68	6-6
2019-12-05	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-24	1542.47	1545.31	51.55%	47.93%	+20.68	7-6
2019-12-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-21	1563.15	1562.60	47.60%	51.88%	-21.96	7-7
2019-12-22	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-26	1541.19	1675.10	33.37%	66.16%	-26.12	7-8
2019-12-29	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 21-19	1515.07	1622.44	32.82%	66.71%	+5.12	8-8
2019-09-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-21	1430.17	1554.83	30.67%	68.87%	-5.00	0-1
2019-09-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-41	1425.17	1469.24	45.63%	53.85%	-36.46	0-2
2019-09-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-21	1388.71	1482.78	34.53%	64.99%	-11.28	0-3
2019-09-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-27	1377.43	1498.05	31.17%	68.37%	-24.92	0-4
2019-10-06	Arizona Cardinals	L 23-26	1352.51	1324.10	56.01%	43.47%	-15.81	0-5
2019-10-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-23	1336.70	1562.77	19.83%	79.82%	-7.92	0-6
2019-10-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-27	1328.78	1445.16	35.64%	63.87%	-18.40	0-7
2019-10-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 10-24	1310.38	1577.47	17.60%	82.08%	-10.73	0-8
2019-11-10	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-49	1299.65	1647.74	12.78%	86.96%	-12.50	0-9
2019-11-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 10-17	1287.15	1449.19	26.31%	73.27%	-11.36	0-10
2019-11-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-16	1275.79	1535.31	19.59%	80.06%	-7.83	0-11
2019-12-01	New York Jets	W 22-6	1267.96	1409.68	32.38%	67.15%	+43.74	1-11
2019-12-08	@ Cleveland Browns	L 19-27	1311.70	1480.17	25.60%	73.98%	-11.82	1-12
2019-12-15	New England Patriots	L 13-34	1299.88	1660.73	11.99%	87.76%	-8.95	1-13
2019-12-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 35-38	1290.93	1286.96	48.09%	51.38%	-13.58	1-14
2019-12-29	Cleveland Browns	W 33-23	1277.35	1438.33	30.01%	69.54%	+35.80	2-14
2019-09-08	Tennessee Titans	L 13-43	1479.66	1512.97	47.17%	52.31%	-42.14	0-1
2019-09-16	@ New York Jets	W 23-3	1437.52	1390.44	54.28%	45.20%	+32.98	1-1
2019-09-22	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-20	1470.50	1625.03	30.79%	68.75%	-13.30	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 40-25	1457.20	1593.47	29.27%	70.28%	+44.31	2-2
2019-10-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-31	1501.51	1521.58	44.65%	54.83%	-38.54	2-3
2019-10-13	Seattle Seahawks	L 28-32	1462.97	1575.36	36.17%	63.34%	-11.81	2-4
2019-10-27	@ New England Patriots	L 13-27	1451.16	1722.20	16.04%	83.65%	-9.79	2-5
2019-11-03	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-24	1441.37	1433.51	48.65%	50.82%	-17.74	2-6
2019-11-10	Buffalo Bills	W 19-16	1423.63	1499.34	41.16%	58.33%	+16.46	3-6
2019-11-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-7	1440.09	1575.75	33.14%	66.38%	+40.45	4-6
2019-11-24	Miami Dolphins	W 41-24	1480.54	1314.11	73.76%	25.82%	+17.38	5-6
2019-12-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-20	1497.92	1543.13	41.11%	58.37%	-17.75	5-7
2019-12-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-19	1480.17	1311.70	73.98%	25.60%	+11.82	6-7
2019-12-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 24-38	1491.99	1309.81	72.05%	27.52%	-43.89	6-8
2019-12-22	Baltimore Ravens	L 15-31	1448.10	1764.03	14.99%	84.72%	-9.77	6-9
2019-12-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-33	1438.33	1277.35	69.54%	30.01%	-35.80	6-10
2019-09-08	New York Giants	W 35-17	1526.94	1455.76	61.95%	37.55%	+26.00	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Washington Redskins	W 31-21	1552.94	1416.22	66.52%	33.01%	+17.04	2-0
2019-09-22	Miami Dolphins	W 31-6	1569.98	1348.24	79.42%	20.22%	+16.50	3-0
2019-09-29	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-12	1586.48	1603.66	45.06%	54.41%	-10.40	3-1
2019-10-06	Green Bay Packers	L 24-34	1576.08	1502.06	62.33%	37.17%	-32.10	3-2
2019-10-13	@ New York Jets	L 22-24	1543.98	1331.58	75.40%	24.20%	-17.36	3-3
2019-10-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-10	1526.62	1542.71	49.64%	49.83%	+42.22	4-3
2019-11-04	@ New York Giants	W 37-18	1568.84	1367.73	74.18%	25.40%	+18.07	5-3
2019-11-10	Minnesota Vikings	L 24-28	1586.91	1610.95	48.50%	50.98%	-15.81	5-4
2019-11-17	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-27	1571.10	1451.24	64.33%	35.18%	+16.24	6-4
2019-11-24	@ New England Patriots	L 9-13	1587.34	1702.86	31.80%	67.74%	-10.38	6-5
2019-11-28	Buffalo Bills	L 15-26	1576.96	1530.38	58.56%	40.92%	-31.65	6-6
2019-12-05	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-31	1545.31	1542.47	47.93%	51.55%	-20.68	6-7
2019-12-15	Los Angeles Rams	W 44-21	1524.63	1611.25	39.65%	59.84%	+46.76	7-7
2019-12-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-17	1571.39	1518.24	55.14%	44.33%	-25.42	7-8
2019-12-29	Washington Redskins	W 47-16	1545.97	1287.31	82.66%	17.02%	+15.45	8-8
2019-09-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 16-24	1460.18	1403.41	55.66%	43.82%	-25.66	0-1
2019-09-15	Chicago Bears	L 14-16	1434.52	1556.15	34.95%	64.56%	-8.07	0-2
2019-09-22	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-27	1426.45	1503.67	36.75%	62.76%	-19.89	0-3
2019-09-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-26	1406.56	1466.76	43.34%	56.14%	-10.00	0-4
2019-10-06	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 20-13	1396.56	1564.06	25.71%	73.88%	+31.82	1-4
2019-10-13	Tennessee Titans	W 16-0	1428.38	1510.25	40.31%	59.18%	+38.57	2-4
2019-10-17	Kansas City Chiefs	L 6-30	1466.95	1597.94	33.74%	65.78%	-26.98	2-5
2019-10-27	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-15	1439.97	1587.26	27.98%	71.58%	-6.46	2-6
2019-11-03	Cleveland Browns	W 24-19	1433.51	1441.37	50.82%	48.65%	+17.74	3-6
2019-11-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 23-27	1451.25	1626.77	24.84%	74.75%	-8.11	3-7
2019-11-24	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-20	1443.14	1504.19	38.93%	60.57%	-26.19	3-8
2019-12-01	Los Angeles Chargers	W 23-20	1416.95	1509.60	38.82%	60.67%	+17.11	4-8
2019-12-08	@ Houston Texans	W 38-24	1434.06	1598.71	26.02%	73.56%	+44.80	5-8
2019-12-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-23	1478.86	1657.19	24.54%	75.06%	-17.90	5-9
2019-12-22	Detroit Lions	W 27-17	1460.96	1363.20	65.47%	34.05%	+17.57	6-9
2019-12-29	Oakland Raiders	W 16-15	1478.53	1375.56	66.14%	33.38%	+5.45	7-9
2019-09-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	T 27-27	1489.32	1375.58	63.52%	35.99%	-1.12	0-0
2019-09-15	Los Angeles Chargers	W 13-10	1488.20	1589.59	37.64%	61.86%	+17.46	1-0
2019-09-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1505.66	1554.98	40.54%	58.95%	+16.63	2-0
2019-09-29	Kansas City Chiefs	L 30-34	1522.29	1640.13	35.45%	64.06%	-11.57	2-1
2019-10-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 22-23	1510.72	1534.17	44.17%	55.31%	-7.21	2-2
2019-10-20	Minnesota Vikings	L 30-42	1503.51	1595.67	38.89%	60.60%	-21.99	2-3
2019-10-27	New York Giants	W 31-26	1481.52	1379.98	65.96%	33.56%	+12.25	3-3
2019-11-03	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-31	1493.77	1409.10	59.57%	39.92%	-25.67	3-4
2019-11-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-20	1468.10	1528.43	39.03%	60.47%	-16.86	3-5
2019-11-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 27-35	1451.24	1571.10	35.18%	64.33%	-16.24	3-6
2019-11-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-19	1435.00	1275.48	69.36%	30.18%	-19.56	3-7
2019-11-28	Chicago Bears	L 20-24	1415.44	1530.79	35.78%	63.73%	-11.68	3-8
2019-12-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-20	1403.76	1613.25	21.38%	78.25%	-12.58	3-9
2019-12-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-38	1391.18	1494.23	37.42%	62.09%	-27.98	3-10
2019-12-22	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-27	1363.20	1460.96	34.05%	65.47%	-17.58	3-11
2019-12-29	Green Bay Packers	L 20-23	1345.62	1621.21	18.18%	81.49%	-5.13	3-12
2019-09-05	@ Chicago Bears	W 10-3	1452.40	1586.30	29.56%	69.99%	+30.15	1-0
2019-09-15	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-16	1482.55	1555.62	41.53%	57.96%	+21.12	2-0
2019-09-22	Denver Broncos	W 27-16	1503.67	1426.45	62.76%	36.75%	+19.89	3-0
2019-09-26	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-34	1523.56	1538.35	49.83%	49.65%	-21.50	3-1
2019-10-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-24	1502.06	1576.08	37.17%	62.33%	+32.11	4-1
2019-10-14	Detroit Lions	W 23-22	1534.17	1510.72	55.31%	44.17%	+7.21	5-1
2019-10-20	Oakland Raiders	W 42-24	1541.38	1440.61	65.86%	33.66%	+23.31	6-1
2019-10-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-24	1564.69	1624.92	39.04%	60.45%	+26.05	7-1
2019-11-03	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 11-26	1590.74	1503.54	59.92%	39.57%	-37.80	7-2
2019-11-10	Carolina Panthers	W 24-16	1552.94	1527.33	55.61%	43.87%	+20.24	8-2
2019-11-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 8-37	1573.18	1637.27	38.51%	60.98%	-33.85	8-3
2019-12-01	@ New York Giants	W 31-13	1539.33	1317.53	76.39%	23.22%	+16.07	9-3
2019-12-08	Washington Redskins	W 20-15	1555.40	1328.33	79.91%	19.73%	+7.20	10-3
2019-12-15	Chicago Bears	W 21-13	1562.60	1563.15	51.88%	47.60%	+21.96	11-3
2019-12-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 23-10	1584.56	1659.08	37.10%	62.40%	+36.65	12-3
2019-12-29	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1621.21	1345.62	81.49%	18.18%	+5.13	13-3
2019-09-09	@ New Orleans Saints	L 28-30	1522.64	1611.41	35.22%	64.30%	-8.13	0-1
2019-09-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-12	1514.51	1435.44	63.01%	36.50%	+5.95	1-1
2019-09-22	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 27-20	1520.46	1572.14	40.22%	59.27%	+25.55	2-1
2019-09-29	Carolina Panthers	L 10-16	1546.01	1475.69	61.83%	37.67%	-24.67	2-2
2019-10-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 53-32	1521.34	1458.61	60.80%	38.70%	+28.95	3-2
2019-10-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-24	1550.29	1624.83	37.10%	62.40%	+26.89	4-2
2019-10-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-30	1577.18	1566.07	49.12%	50.36%	-21.19	4-3
2019-10-27	Oakland Raiders	W 27-24	1555.99	1417.30	70.57%	28.99%	+8.19	5-3
2019-11-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-3	1564.18	1482.21	61.32%	38.18%	+29.89	6-3
2019-11-17	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-41	1594.07	1660.23	38.23%	61.27%	-36.39	6-4
2019-11-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-17	1557.68	1578.37	48.98%	50.49%	+14.26	7-4
2019-12-01	New England Patriots	W 28-22	1571.94	1713.24	32.43%	67.10%	+26.77	8-4
2019-12-08	Denver Broncos	L 24-38	1598.71	1434.06	73.56%	26.02%	-44.80	8-5
2019-12-15	@ Tennessee Titans	W 24-21	1553.91	1580.22	43.77%	55.71%	+15.72	9-5
2019-12-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-20	1569.63	1522.22	54.33%	45.15%	+12.76	10-5
2019-12-29	Tennessee Titans	L 14-35	1582.39	1545.22	57.25%	42.24%	-42.75	10-6
2019-09-08	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 24-30	1567.41	1570.80	47.03%	52.44%	-18.79	0-1
2019-09-15	@ Tennessee Titans	W 19-17	1548.62	1555.10	46.59%	52.88%	+12.19	1-1
2019-09-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-24	1560.81	1499.84	60.55%	38.94%	+11.01	2-1
2019-09-29	Oakland Raiders	L 24-31	1571.82	1387.07	75.74%	23.86%	-32.62	2-2
2019-10-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-13	1539.20	1651.70	32.18%	67.36%	+26.87	3-2
2019-10-20	Houston Texans	W 30-23	1566.07	1577.18	50.36%	49.12%	+21.19	4-2
2019-10-27	Denver Broncos	W 15-13	1587.26	1439.97	71.58%	27.98%	+6.46	5-2
2019-11-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-26	1593.72	1544.19	54.63%	44.85%	-12.59	5-3
2019-11-10	Miami Dolphins	L 12-16	1581.13	1308.16	83.80%	15.89%	-27.26	5-4
2019-11-17	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-13	1553.87	1452.33	65.96%	33.56%	+24.50	6-4
2019-11-21	@ Houston Texans	L 17-20	1578.37	1557.68	50.49%	48.98%	-14.26	6-5
2019-12-01	Tennessee Titans	L 17-31	1564.11	1523.84	57.68%	41.80%	-35.17	6-6
2019-12-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 35-38	1528.94	1478.78	54.72%	44.76%	-15.44	6-7
2019-12-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 7-34	1513.50	1642.57	30.14%	69.41%	-25.56	6-8
2019-12-22	Carolina Panthers	W 38-6	1487.94	1373.66	67.58%	31.95%	+29.50	7-8
2019-12-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-38	1517.44	1337.67	71.77%	27.79%	-49.57	7-9
2019-09-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 26-40	1456.40	1582.88	34.32%	65.20%	-20.96	0-1
2019-09-15	@ Houston Texans	L 12-13	1435.44	1514.51	36.50%	63.01%	-5.96	0-2
2019-09-19	Tennessee Titans	W 20-7	1429.48	1542.91	36.03%	63.48%	+37.28	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Denver Broncos	W 26-24	1466.76	1406.56	56.14%	43.34%	+10.00	2-2
2019-10-06	@ Carolina Panthers	L 27-34	1476.76	1500.36	44.15%	55.33%	-19.06	2-3
2019-10-13	New Orleans Saints	L 6-13	1457.70	1626.81	29.04%	70.52%	-12.54	2-4
2019-10-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-17	1445.16	1328.78	63.87%	35.64%	+18.40	3-4
2019-10-27	New York Jets	W 29-15	1463.56	1337.79	69.01%	30.54%	+18.65	4-4
2019-11-03	Houston Texans	L 3-26	1482.21	1564.18	38.18%	61.32%	-29.88	4-5
2019-11-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-33	1452.33	1553.87	33.56%	65.96%	-24.50	4-6
2019-11-24	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-42	1427.83	1494.64	38.14%	61.35%	-29.20	4-7
2019-12-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 11-28	1398.63	1448.67	44.78%	54.70%	-30.12	4-8
2019-12-08	Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-45	1368.51	1492.48	34.65%	64.87%	-33.46	4-9
2019-12-15	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-16	1335.05	1362.93	43.55%	55.93%	+18.23	5-9
2019-12-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 12-24	1353.28	1503.76	27.61%	71.95%	-15.61	5-10
2019-12-29	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-20	1337.67	1517.44	27.79%	71.77%	+49.57	6-10
2019-09-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 40-26	1582.88	1456.40	65.20%	34.32%	+20.96	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Oakland Raiders	W 28-10	1603.84	1429.06	71.19%	28.37%	+19.65	2-0
2019-09-22	Baltimore Ravens	W 33-28	1623.49	1610.10	53.87%	45.60%	+16.64	3-0
2019-09-29	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-30	1640.13	1522.29	64.06%	35.45%	+11.57	4-0
2019-10-06	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-19	1651.70	1539.20	67.36%	32.18%	-26.87	4-1
2019-10-13	Houston Texans	L 24-31	1624.83	1550.29	62.40%	37.10%	-26.89	4-2
2019-10-17	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-6	1597.94	1466.95	65.78%	33.74%	+26.98	5-2
2019-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1624.92	1564.69	60.45%	39.04%	-26.06	5-3
2019-11-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-23	1598.86	1625.45	48.13%	51.34%	+14.50	6-3
2019-11-10	@ Tennessee Titans	L 32-35	1613.36	1475.85	66.62%	32.91%	-18.79	6-4
2019-11-18	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 24-17	1594.57	1526.93	59.35%	40.14%	+17.34	7-4
2019-12-01	Oakland Raiders	W 40-9	1611.91	1403.67	78.12%	21.50%	+19.53	8-4
2019-12-08	@ New England Patriots	W 23-16	1631.44	1686.48	39.75%	59.74%	+25.75	9-4
2019-12-15	Denver Broncos	W 23-3	1657.19	1478.86	75.06%	24.54%	+17.91	10-4
2019-12-22	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-3	1675.10	1541.19	66.16%	33.37%	+26.12	11-4
2019-12-29	Los Angeles Chargers	W 31-21	1701.22	1461.82	81.02%	18.64%	+9.61	12-4
2019-09-08	Indianapolis Colts	W 30-24	1570.80	1567.41	52.44%	47.03%	+18.79	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-13	1589.59	1488.20	61.86%	37.64%	-17.45	1-1
2019-09-22	Houston Texans	L 20-27	1572.14	1520.46	59.27%	40.22%	-25.55	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Miami Dolphins	W 30-10	1546.59	1331.75	75.66%	23.94%	+17.47	2-2
2019-10-06	Denver Broncos	L 13-20	1564.06	1396.56	73.88%	25.71%	-31.82	2-3
2019-10-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1532.24	1509.36	55.23%	44.25%	-23.81	2-4
2019-10-20	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-23	1508.43	1471.68	52.80%	46.67%	-14.91	2-5
2019-10-27	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-16	1493.52	1561.21	38.03%	61.47%	+10.02	3-5
2019-11-03	Green Bay Packers	W 26-11	1503.54	1590.74	39.57%	59.92%	+37.81	4-5
2019-11-07	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-26	1541.35	1434.78	62.56%	36.94%	-14.42	4-6
2019-11-18	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-24	1526.93	1594.57	40.14%	59.35%	-17.33	4-7
2019-12-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1509.60	1416.95	60.67%	38.82%	-17.12	4-8
2019-12-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 45-10	1492.48	1368.51	64.87%	34.65%	+33.46	5-8
2019-12-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-39	1525.94	1625.82	37.84%	61.66%	-33.26	5-9
2019-12-22	Oakland Raiders	L 17-24	1492.68	1344.70	71.66%	27.90%	-30.86	5-10
2019-12-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-31	1461.82	1701.22	18.64%	81.02%	-9.62	5-11
2019-09-08	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-27	1578.30	1482.16	61.15%	38.35%	+10.84	1-0
2019-09-15	New Orleans Saints	W 27-9	1589.14	1619.54	47.58%	51.89%	+35.89	2-0
2019-09-22	@ Cleveland Browns	W 20-13	1625.03	1470.50	68.75%	30.79%	+13.30	3-0
2019-09-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 40-55	1638.33	1430.91	78.05%	21.58%	-49.19	3-1
2019-10-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 29-30	1589.14	1567.10	50.69%	48.78%	-8.26	3-2
2019-10-13	San Francisco 49ers	L 7-20	1580.88	1560.13	54.92%	44.55%	-32.27	3-3
2019-10-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 37-10	1548.61	1419.85	65.49%	34.03%	+28.86	4-3
2019-10-27	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-10	1577.47	1310.38	82.08%	17.60%	+10.73	5-3
2019-11-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-17	1588.20	1556.78	52.04%	47.44%	-18.97	5-4
2019-11-17	Chicago Bears	W 17-7	1569.23	1545.28	55.38%	44.10%	+22.76	6-4
2019-11-25	Baltimore Ravens	L 6-45	1591.99	1696.62	37.20%	62.30%	-37.92	6-5
2019-12-01	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 34-7	1554.07	1338.50	75.74%	23.86%	+20.23	7-5
2019-12-08	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-12	1574.30	1638.29	42.80%	56.68%	+36.95	8-5
2019-12-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-44	1611.25	1524.63	59.84%	39.65%	-46.76	8-6
2019-12-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 31-34	1564.49	1638.64	37.16%	62.35%	-10.50	8-7
2019-12-29	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-24	1553.99	1403.92	71.90%	27.66%	+11.95	9-7
2019-09-08	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-59	1400.18	1568.93	29.08%	70.48%	-33.23	0-1
2019-09-15	New England Patriots	L 0-43	1366.95	1650.67	17.49%	82.18%	-18.71	0-2
2019-09-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 6-31	1348.24	1569.98	20.22%	79.42%	-16.49	0-3
2019-09-29	Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-30	1331.75	1546.59	23.94%	75.66%	-17.47	0-4
2019-10-13	Washington Redskins	L 16-17	1314.28	1336.54	48.75%	50.72%	-7.95	0-5
2019-10-20	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-31	1306.33	1508.74	22.07%	77.55%	-11.39	0-6
2019-10-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-27	1294.94	1533.17	18.74%	80.92%	-11.02	0-7
2019-11-03	New York Jets	W 26-18	1283.92	1319.14	46.89%	52.58%	+24.24	1-7
2019-11-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-12	1308.16	1581.13	15.89%	83.80%	+27.26	2-7
2019-11-17	Buffalo Bills	L 20-37	1335.42	1482.88	31.66%	67.87%	-21.31	2-8
2019-11-24	@ Cleveland Browns	L 24-41	1314.11	1480.54	25.82%	73.76%	-17.38	2-9
2019-12-01	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-31	1296.73	1525.64	22.50%	77.11%	+30.74	3-9
2019-12-08	@ New York Jets	L 21-22	1327.47	1365.94	42.05%	57.43%	-6.86	3-10
2019-12-15	@ New York Giants	L 20-36	1320.61	1292.27	51.59%	47.88%	-33.65	3-11
2019-12-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-35	1286.96	1290.93	51.38%	48.09%	+13.59	4-11
2019-12-29	@ New England Patriots	W 27-24	1300.55	1684.49	9.09%	90.72%	+25.53	5-11
2019-09-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-12	1526.18	1509.42	54.35%	45.12%	+29.44	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-21	1555.62	1482.55	57.96%	41.53%	-21.11	1-1
2019-09-22	Oakland Raiders	W 34-14	1534.51	1409.42	68.92%	30.62%	+22.35	2-1
2019-09-29	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-16	1556.86	1583.49	43.72%	55.76%	-22.56	2-2
2019-10-06	@ New York Giants	W 28-10	1534.30	1441.88	60.64%	38.86%	+26.91	3-2
2019-10-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-20	1561.21	1577.17	49.66%	49.81%	+34.46	4-2
2019-10-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 42-30	1595.67	1503.51	60.60%	38.89%	+21.99	5-2
2019-10-24	Washington Redskins	W 19-9	1617.66	1334.38	84.59%	15.12%	+7.79	6-2
2019-11-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-26	1625.45	1598.86	51.34%	48.13%	-14.50	6-3
2019-11-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 28-24	1610.95	1586.91	50.98%	48.50%	+15.82	7-3
2019-11-17	Denver Broncos	W 27-23	1626.77	1451.25	74.75%	24.84%	+8.11	8-3
2019-12-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 30-37	1634.88	1616.66	50.14%	49.33%	-21.63	8-4
2019-12-08	Detroit Lions	W 20-7	1613.25	1403.76	78.25%	21.38%	+12.57	9-4
2019-12-15	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 39-10	1625.82	1525.94	61.66%	37.84%	+33.26	10-4
2019-12-23	Green Bay Packers	L 10-23	1659.08	1584.56	62.40%	37.10%	-36.64	10-5
2019-12-29	Chicago Bears	L 19-21	1622.44	1515.07	66.71%	32.82%	-5.12	10-6
2019-09-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 33-3	1615.11	1560.32	59.70%	39.79%	+35.56	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Miami Dolphins	W 43-0	1650.67	1366.95	82.18%	17.49%	+18.71	2-0
2019-09-22	New York Jets	W 30-14	1669.38	1357.47	86.61%	13.13%	+8.56	3-0
2019-09-29	@ Buffalo Bills	W 16-10	1677.94	1494.05	72.25%	27.32%	+10.92	4-0
2019-10-06	@ Washington Redskins	W 33-7	1688.86	1347.53	86.51%	13.22%	+10.99	5-0
2019-10-10	New York Giants	W 35-14	1699.85	1414.97	84.71%	15.00%	+11.20	6-0
2019-10-21	@ New York Jets	W 33-0	1711.05	1348.94	87.84%	11.91%	+11.15	7-0
2019-10-27	Cleveland Browns	W 27-13	1722.20	1451.16	83.65%	16.04%	+9.79	8-0
2019-11-03	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-37	1731.99	1603.81	65.42%	34.10%	-43.93	8-1
2019-11-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-10	1688.06	1561.12	65.26%	34.26%	+14.80	9-1
2019-11-24	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-9	1702.86	1587.34	67.74%	31.80%	+10.38	10-1
2019-12-01	@ Houston Texans	L 22-28	1713.24	1571.94	67.10%	32.43%	-26.76	10-2
2019-12-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-23	1686.48	1631.44	59.74%	39.75%	-25.75	10-3
2019-12-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-13	1660.73	1299.88	87.76%	11.99%	+8.95	11-3
2019-12-21	Buffalo Bills	W 24-17	1669.68	1573.79	65.23%	34.29%	+14.81	12-3
2019-12-29	Miami Dolphins	L 24-27	1684.49	1300.55	90.72%	9.09%	-25.53	12-4
2019-09-09	Houston Texans	W 30-28	1611.41	1522.64	64.30%	35.22%	+8.13	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 9-27	1619.54	1589.14	51.89%	47.58%	-35.89	1-1
2019-09-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 33-27	1583.65	1570.66	49.39%	50.09%	+20.01	2-1
2019-09-29	Dallas Cowboys	W 12-10	1603.66	1586.48	54.41%	45.06%	+10.39	3-1
2019-10-06	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-24	1614.05	1480.09	70.00%	29.55%	+12.76	4-1
2019-10-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 13-6	1626.81	1457.70	70.52%	29.04%	+12.54	5-1
2019-10-20	@ Chicago Bears	W 36-25	1639.35	1585.12	55.30%	44.18%	+23.91	6-1
2019-10-27	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-9	1663.26	1373.52	85.07%	14.65%	+11.20	7-1
2019-11-10	Atlanta Falcons	L 9-26	1674.46	1378.14	85.54%	14.18%	-57.35	7-2
2019-11-17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-17	1617.11	1430.13	72.60%	26.97%	+18.15	8-2
2019-11-24	Carolina Panthers	W 34-31	1635.26	1455.59	75.20%	24.39%	+6.90	9-2
2019-11-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 26-18	1642.16	1450.30	73.15%	26.42%	+12.19	10-2
2019-12-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 46-48	1654.35	1660.21	51.11%	48.36%	-11.78	10-3
2019-12-16	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-7	1642.57	1513.50	69.41%	30.14%	+25.56	11-3
2019-12-22	@ Tennessee Titans	W 38-28	1668.13	1564.49	62.16%	37.34%	+19.27	12-3
2019-12-29	@ Carolina Panthers	W 42-10	1687.40	1344.16	86.64%	13.10%	+12.07	13-3
2019-09-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-35	1455.76	1526.94	37.55%	61.95%	-26.00	0-1
2019-09-15	Buffalo Bills	L 14-28	1429.76	1453.13	48.59%	50.88%	-29.65	0-2
2019-09-22	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 32-31	1400.11	1440.30	41.81%	57.67%	+9.39	1-2
2019-09-29	Washington Redskins	W 24-3	1409.50	1379.91	56.18%	43.30%	+32.38	2-2
2019-10-06	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-28	1441.88	1534.30	38.86%	60.64%	-26.91	2-3
2019-10-10	@ New England Patriots	L 14-35	1414.97	1699.85	15.00%	84.71%	-11.20	2-4
2019-10-20	Arizona Cardinals	L 21-27	1403.77	1349.73	59.60%	39.89%	-23.79	2-5
2019-10-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 26-31	1379.98	1481.52	33.56%	65.96%	-12.25	2-6
2019-11-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 18-37	1367.73	1568.84	25.40%	74.18%	-18.07	2-7
2019-11-10	@ New York Jets	L 27-34	1349.66	1294.89	55.37%	44.10%	-23.88	2-8
2019-11-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-19	1325.78	1522.53	22.63%	76.98%	-8.25	2-9
2019-12-01	Green Bay Packers	L 13-31	1317.53	1539.33	23.22%	76.39%	-16.08	2-10
2019-12-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-23	1301.45	1494.90	22.97%	76.64%	-9.18	2-11
2019-12-15	Miami Dolphins	W 36-20	1292.27	1320.61	47.88%	51.59%	+33.65	3-11
2019-12-22	@ Washington Redskins	W 41-35	1325.92	1306.98	50.24%	49.23%	+19.66	4-11
2019-12-29	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-34	1345.58	1543.66	25.73%	73.85%	-17.32	4-12
2019-09-08	Buffalo Bills	L 16-17	1397.79	1445.77	45.07%	54.41%	-7.35	0-1
2019-09-16	Cleveland Browns	L 3-23	1390.44	1437.52	45.20%	54.28%	-32.97	0-2
2019-09-22	@ New England Patriots	L 14-30	1357.47	1669.38	13.13%	86.61%	-8.56	0-3
2019-10-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 6-31	1348.91	1559.84	21.24%	78.39%	-17.33	0-4
2019-10-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-22	1331.58	1543.98	24.20%	75.40%	+17.36	1-4
2019-10-21	New England Patriots	L 0-33	1348.94	1711.05	11.91%	87.84%	-11.15	1-5
2019-10-27	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 15-29	1337.79	1463.56	30.54%	69.01%	-18.65	1-6
2019-11-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 18-26	1319.14	1283.92	52.58%	46.89%	-24.25	1-7
2019-11-10	New York Giants	W 34-27	1294.89	1349.66	44.10%	55.37%	+23.88	2-7
2019-11-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 34-17	1318.77	1309.51	48.85%	50.62%	+34.03	3-7
2019-11-24	Oakland Raiders	W 34-3	1352.80	1460.55	36.79%	62.72%	+56.88	4-7
2019-12-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 6-22	1409.68	1267.96	67.15%	32.38%	-43.74	4-8
2019-12-08	Miami Dolphins	W 22-21	1365.94	1327.47	57.43%	42.05%	+6.86	5-8
2019-12-12	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 21-42	1372.80	1757.27	9.06%	90.74%	-6.76	5-9
2019-12-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-10	1366.04	1545.76	27.80%	71.77%	+28.62	6-9
2019-12-29	@ Buffalo Bills	W 13-6	1394.66	1558.98	26.05%	73.52%	+10.55	7-9
2019-09-09	Denver Broncos	W 24-16	1403.41	1460.18	43.82%	55.66%	+25.65	1-0
2019-09-15	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-28	1429.06	1603.84	28.37%	71.19%	-19.64	1-1
2019-09-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-34	1409.42	1534.51	30.62%	68.92%	-22.35	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-24	1387.07	1571.82	23.86%	75.74%	+32.61	2-2
2019-10-06	Chicago Bears	W 24-21	1419.68	1606.05	25.33%	74.26%	+20.93	3-2
2019-10-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-42	1440.61	1541.38	33.66%	65.86%	-23.31	3-3
2019-10-27	@ Houston Texans	L 24-27	1417.30	1555.99	28.99%	70.57%	-8.20	3-4
2019-11-03	Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1409.10	1493.77	39.92%	59.57%	+25.68	4-4
2019-11-07	Los Angeles Chargers	W 26-24	1434.78	1541.35	36.94%	62.56%	+14.41	5-4
2019-11-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-10	1449.19	1287.15	73.27%	26.31%	+11.36	6-4
2019-11-24	@ New York Jets	L 3-34	1460.55	1352.80	62.72%	36.79%	-56.88	6-5
2019-12-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 9-40	1403.67	1611.91	21.50%	78.12%	-19.53	6-6
2019-12-08	Tennessee Titans	L 21-42	1384.14	1559.00	28.36%	71.20%	-21.21	6-7
2019-12-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-20	1362.93	1335.05	55.93%	43.55%	-18.23	6-8
2019-12-22	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 24-17	1344.70	1492.68	27.90%	71.66%	+30.86	7-8
2019-12-29	@ Denver Broncos	L 15-16	1375.56	1478.53	33.38%	66.14%	-5.45	7-9
2019-09-08	Washington Redskins	W 32-27	1564.21	1426.86	70.41%	29.14%	+10.64	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-24	1574.85	1479.98	60.97%	38.52%	-19.87	1-1
2019-09-22	Detroit Lions	L 24-27	1554.98	1505.66	58.95%	40.54%	-16.63	1-2
2019-09-26	@ Green Bay Packers	W 34-27	1538.35	1523.56	49.65%	49.83%	+21.49	2-2
2019-10-06	New York Jets	W 31-6	1559.84	1348.91	78.39%	21.24%	+17.33	3-2
2019-10-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-38	1577.17	1561.21	49.81%	49.66%	-34.46	3-3
2019-10-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-37	1542.71	1526.62	49.83%	49.64%	-42.22	3-4
2019-10-27	@ Buffalo Bills	W 31-13	1500.49	1520.13	44.71%	54.76%	+37.87	4-4
2019-11-03	Chicago Bears	W 22-14	1538.36	1551.20	50.11%	49.37%	+22.76	5-4
2019-11-17	New England Patriots	L 10-17	1561.12	1688.06	34.26%	65.26%	-14.79	5-5
2019-11-24	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-17	1546.33	1595.98	44.83%	54.65%	-20.69	5-6
2019-12-01	@ Miami Dolphins	L 31-37	1525.64	1296.73	77.11%	22.50%	-30.74	5-7
2019-12-09	New York Giants	W 23-17	1494.90	1301.45	76.64%	22.97%	+9.18	6-7
2019-12-15	@ Washington Redskins	W 37-27	1504.08	1321.13	72.14%	27.43%	+14.16	7-7
2019-12-22	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-9	1518.24	1571.39	44.33%	55.14%	+25.42	8-7
2019-12-29	@ New York Giants	W 34-17	1543.66	1345.58	73.85%	25.73%	+17.32	9-7
2019-09-08	@ New England Patriots	L 3-33	1560.32	1615.11	39.79%	59.70%	-35.57	0-1
2019-09-15	Seattle Seahawks	L 26-28	1524.75	1559.84	46.91%	52.56%	-10.82	0-2
2019-09-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-24	1513.93	1505.70	48.70%	50.77%	-15.88	0-3
2019-09-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-3	1498.05	1377.43	68.37%	31.17%	+24.92	1-3
2019-10-06	Baltimore Ravens	L 23-26	1522.97	1549.15	48.19%	51.28%	-13.61	1-4
2019-10-13	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 24-17	1509.36	1532.24	44.25%	55.23%	+23.81	2-4
2019-10-28	Miami Dolphins	W 27-14	1533.17	1294.94	80.92%	18.74%	+11.02	3-4
2019-11-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-24	1544.19	1593.72	44.85%	54.63%	+12.59	4-4
2019-11-10	Los Angeles Rams	W 17-12	1556.78	1588.20	47.44%	52.04%	+18.97	5-4
2019-11-14	@ Cleveland Browns	L 7-21	1575.75	1440.09	66.38%	33.14%	-40.44	5-5
2019-11-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-10	1535.31	1275.79	80.06%	19.59%	+7.82	6-5
2019-12-01	Cleveland Browns	W 20-13	1543.13	1497.92	58.37%	41.11%	+17.75	7-5
2019-12-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-17	1560.88	1318.27	78.47%	21.16%	+8.46	8-5
2019-12-15	Buffalo Bills	L 10-17	1569.34	1550.21	54.69%	44.79%	-23.58	8-6
2019-12-22	@ New York Jets	L 10-16	1545.76	1366.04	71.77%	27.80%	-28.62	8-7
2019-12-29	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-28	1517.14	1773.80	17.18%	82.50%	-3.96	8-8
2019-09-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-17	1436.43	1449.28	45.68%	53.80%	+32.81	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 41-17	1469.24	1425.17	53.85%	45.63%	+36.46	2-0
2019-09-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-20	1505.70	1513.93	50.77%	48.70%	+15.88	3-0
2019-10-07	Cleveland Browns	W 31-3	1521.58	1501.51	54.83%	44.65%	+38.55	4-0
2019-10-13	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 20-7	1560.13	1580.88	44.55%	54.92%	+32.27	5-0
2019-10-20	@ Washington Redskins	W 9-0	1592.40	1344.49	78.98%	20.66%	+10.11	6-0
2019-10-27	Carolina Panthers	W 51-13	1602.51	1542.32	60.45%	39.04%	+39.29	7-0
2019-10-31	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 28-25	1641.80	1362.32	81.82%	17.85%	+5.04	8-0
2019-11-11	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-27	1646.84	1578.61	61.55%	37.95%	-17.37	8-1
2019-11-17	Arizona Cardinals	W 36-26	1629.47	1346.30	84.58%	15.13%	+7.80	9-1
2019-11-24	Green Bay Packers	W 37-8	1637.27	1573.18	60.98%	38.51%	+33.85	10-1
2019-12-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-20	1671.12	1734.54	38.61%	60.89%	-10.91	10-2
2019-12-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 48-46	1660.21	1654.35	48.36%	51.11%	+11.78	11-2
2019-12-15	Atlanta Falcons	L 22-29	1671.99	1470.41	77.47%	22.15%	-33.35	11-3
2019-12-21	Los Angeles Rams	W 34-31	1638.64	1564.49	62.35%	37.16%	+10.50	12-3
2019-12-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 26-21	1649.14	1560.55	60.11%	39.38%	+14.37	13-3
2019-09-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-20	1554.83	1430.17	68.87%	30.67%	+5.01	1-0
2019-09-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-26	1559.84	1524.75	52.56%	46.91%	+10.82	2-0
2019-09-22	New Orleans Saints	L 27-33	1570.66	1583.65	50.09%	49.39%	-20.01	2-1
2019-09-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-10	1550.65	1340.55	75.16%	24.44%	+16.45	3-1
2019-10-03	Los Angeles Rams	W 30-29	1567.10	1589.14	48.78%	50.69%	+8.26	4-1
2019-10-13	@ Cleveland Browns	W 32-28	1575.36	1462.97	63.34%	36.17%	+11.81	5-1
2019-10-20	Baltimore Ravens	L 16-30	1587.17	1570.69	54.31%	45.16%	-33.12	5-2
2019-10-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-20	1554.05	1390.99	69.79%	29.76%	+12.85	6-2
2019-11-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 40-34	1566.90	1430.88	70.25%	29.30%	+11.71	7-2
2019-11-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-24	1578.61	1646.84	37.95%	61.55%	+17.37	8-2
2019-11-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-9	1595.98	1546.33	54.65%	44.83%	+20.68	9-2
2019-12-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-30	1616.66	1634.88	49.33%	50.14%	+21.63	10-2
2019-12-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 12-28	1638.29	1574.30	56.68%	42.80%	-36.94	10-3
2019-12-15	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-24	1601.35	1383.09	76.02%	23.59%	+9.42	11-3
2019-12-22	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-27	1610.77	1353.70	82.53%	17.15%	-50.22	11-4
2019-12-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-26	1560.55	1649.14	39.38%	60.11%	-14.37	11-5
2019-09-08	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-31	1449.28	1436.43	53.80%	45.68%	-32.81	0-1
2019-09-12	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-14	1416.47	1471.31	39.78%	59.71%	+23.83	1-1
2019-09-22	New York Giants	L 31-32	1440.30	1400.11	57.67%	41.81%	-9.39	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 55-40	1430.91	1638.33	21.58%	78.05%	+49.18	2-2
2019-10-06	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1480.09	1614.05	29.55%	70.00%	-12.76	2-3
2019-10-13	Carolina Panthers	L 26-37	1467.33	1519.42	42.31%	57.18%	-22.90	2-4
2019-10-27	@ Tennessee Titans	L 23-27	1444.43	1486.59	41.54%	57.95%	-13.55	2-5
2019-11-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 34-40	1430.88	1566.90	29.30%	70.25%	-11.72	2-6
2019-11-10	Arizona Cardinals	W 30-27	1419.16	1357.27	60.68%	38.81%	+10.97	3-6
2019-11-17	New Orleans Saints	L 17-34	1430.13	1617.11	26.97%	72.60%	-18.15	3-7
2019-11-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 35-22	1411.98	1486.98	37.04%	62.46%	+36.69	4-7
2019-12-01	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-11	1448.67	1398.63	54.70%	44.78%	+30.11	5-7
2019-12-08	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-35	1478.78	1528.94	44.76%	54.72%	+15.45	6-7
2019-12-15	@ Detroit Lions	W 38-17	1494.23	1391.18	62.09%	37.42%	+27.99	7-7
2019-12-21	Houston Texans	L 20-23	1522.22	1569.63	45.15%	54.33%	-12.76	7-8
2019-12-29	Atlanta Falcons	L 22-28	1509.46	1519.37	50.53%	48.94%	-20.18	7-9
2019-09-08	@ Cleveland Browns	W 43-13	1512.97	1479.66	52.31%	47.17%	+42.13	1-0
2019-09-15	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-19	1555.10	1548.62	52.88%	46.59%	-12.19	1-1
2019-09-19	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-20	1542.91	1429.48	63.48%	36.03%	-37.27	1-2
2019-09-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 24-10	1505.64	1488.84	49.93%	49.54%	+30.22	2-2
2019-10-06	Buffalo Bills	L 7-14	1535.86	1483.12	59.42%	40.07%	-25.61	2-3
2019-10-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-16	1510.25	1428.38	59.18%	40.31%	-38.57	2-4
2019-10-20	Los Angeles Chargers	W 23-20	1471.68	1508.43	46.67%	52.80%	+14.91	3-4
2019-10-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-23	1486.59	1444.43	57.95%	41.54%	+13.55	4-4
2019-11-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-30	1500.14	1503.03	47.10%	52.37%	-24.29	4-5
2019-11-10	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-32	1475.85	1613.36	32.91%	66.62%	+18.79	5-5
2019-11-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-20	1494.64	1427.83	61.35%	38.14%	+29.20	6-5
2019-12-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 31-17	1523.84	1564.11	41.80%	57.68%	+35.16	7-5
2019-12-08	@ Oakland Raiders	W 42-21	1559.00	1384.14	71.20%	28.36%	+21.22	8-5
2019-12-15	Houston Texans	L 21-24	1580.22	1553.91	55.71%	43.77%	-15.73	8-6
2019-12-22	New Orleans Saints	L 28-38	1564.49	1668.13	37.34%	62.16%	-19.27	8-7
2019-12-29	@ Houston Texans	W 35-14	1545.22	1582.39	42.24%	57.25%	+42.75	9-7
2019-09-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-32	1426.86	1564.21	29.14%	70.41%	-10.64	0-1
2019-09-15	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-31	1416.22	1552.94	33.01%	66.52%	-17.04	0-2
2019-09-23	Chicago Bears	L 15-31	1399.18	1564.22	29.52%	70.03%	-19.27	0-3
2019-09-29	@ New York Giants	L 3-24	1379.91	1409.50	43.30%	56.18%	-32.38	0-4
2019-10-06	New England Patriots	L 7-33	1347.53	1688.86	13.22%	86.51%	-10.99	0-5
2019-10-13	@ Miami Dolphins	W 17-16	1336.54	1314.28	50.72%	48.75%	+7.95	1-5
2019-10-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-9	1344.49	1592.40	20.66%	78.98%	-10.11	1-6
2019-10-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 9-19	1334.38	1617.66	15.12%	84.59%	-7.79	1-7
2019-11-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-24	1326.59	1482.26	27.02%	72.55%	-17.08	1-8
2019-11-17	New York Jets	L 17-34	1309.51	1318.77	50.62%	48.85%	-34.03	1-9
2019-11-24	Detroit Lions	W 19-16	1275.48	1435.00	30.18%	69.36%	+19.56	2-9
2019-12-01	@ Carolina Panthers	W 29-21	1295.04	1448.69	27.25%	72.32%	+33.29	3-9
2019-12-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 15-20	1328.33	1555.40	19.73%	79.91%	-7.20	3-10
2019-12-15	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-37	1321.13	1504.08	27.43%	72.14%	-14.15	3-11
2019-12-22	New York Giants	L 35-41	1306.98	1325.92	49.23%	50.24%	-19.67	3-12
2019-12-29	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 16-47	1287.31	1545.97	17.02%	82.66%	-15.45	3-13

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-01-11	Tennessee Titans	L 12-28	1777.77	1614.65	73.65%	26.35%	-47.78	0-1
2020-01-04	@ Houston Texans	L 19-22	1548.43	1539.64	49.05%	50.95%	-13.78	0-1
2020-01-12	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-23	1626.34	1571.11	60.03%	39.97%	+14.50	1-0
2020-01-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-37	1640.84	1693.47	40.33%	59.67%	-26.97	1-1
2020-01-04	Buffalo Bills	W 22-19	1539.64	1548.43	50.95%	49.05%	+13.78	1-0
2020-01-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 31-51	1553.42	1710.83	26.99%	73.01%	-19.58	1-1
2020-01-12	Houston Texans	W 51-31	1710.83	1553.42	73.01%	26.99%	+19.58	1-0
2020-01-19	Tennessee Titans	W 35-24	1730.41	1662.44	61.78%	38.22%	+20.57	2-0
2020-02-02	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-20	1750.98	1720.44	54.38%	45.62%	+24.54	3-0
2020-01-05	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-20	1617.32	1699.47	36.32%	63.68%	+25.30	1-0
2020-01-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-27	1642.62	1663.51	44.79%	55.21%	-29.96	1-1
2020-01-04	Tennessee Titans	L 13-20	1658.96	1587.97	62.18%	37.82%	-26.69	0-1
2020-01-05	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-26	1699.47	1617.32	63.68%	36.32%	-25.30	0-1
2020-01-05	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-17	1560.98	1546.18	54.34%	45.66%	-24.93	0-1
2020-01-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-10	1663.51	1642.62	55.21%	44.79%	+29.96	1-0
2020-01-19	Green Bay Packers	W 37-20	1693.47	1640.84	59.67%	40.33%	+26.97	2-0
2020-02-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-31	1720.44	1750.98	45.62%	54.38%	-24.54	2-1
2020-01-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-9	1546.18	1560.98	45.66%	54.34%	+24.93	1-0
2020-01-12	@ Green Bay Packers	L 23-28	1571.11	1626.34	39.97%	60.03%	-14.50	1-1
2020-01-04	@ New England Patriots	W 20-13	1587.97	1658.96	37.82%	62.18%	+26.68	1-0
2020-01-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-12	1614.65	1777.77	26.35%	73.65%	+47.79	2-0
2020-01-19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-35	1662.44	1730.41	38.22%	61.78%	-20.57	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-12-29	9.09%	Miami Dolphins	1300.55	27	@ New England Patriots	1684.49	24
2	2019-11-10	14.18%	Atlanta Falcons	1378.14	26	@ New Orleans Saints	1674.46	9
3	2019-11-10	15.89%	Miami Dolphins	1308.16	16	@ Indianapolis Colts	1581.13	12
4	2019-12-22	17.15%	Arizona Cardinals	1353.70	27	@ Seattle Seahawks	1610.77	13
5	2019-09-29	21.58%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1430.91	55	@ Los Angeles Rams	1638.33	40
6	2019-12-15	22.15%	Atlanta Falcons	1470.41	29	@ San Francisco 49ers	1671.99	22
7	2019-12-01	22.50%	@ Miami Dolphins	1296.73	37	Philadelphia Eagles	1525.64	31
8	2019-09-29	23.86%	Oakland Raiders	1387.07	31	@ Indianapolis Colts	1571.82	24
9	2019-10-13	24.20%	@ New York Jets	1331.58	24	Dallas Cowboys	1543.98	22
10	2019-10-06	25.33%	@ Oakland Raiders	1419.68	24	Chicago Bears	1606.05	21
11	2019-10-06	25.71%	Denver Broncos	1396.56	20	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1564.06	13
12	2019-12-08	26.02%	Denver Broncos	1434.06	38	@ Houston Texans	1598.71	24
13	2019-12-29	26.05%	New York Jets	1394.66	13	@ Buffalo Bills	1558.98	6
14	2020-01-11 *	26.35%	Tennessee Titans	1614.65	28	@ Baltimore Ravens	1777.77	12
15	2019-12-01	27.25%	Washington Redskins	1295.04	29	@ Carolina Panthers	1448.69	21
16	2019-12-15	27.52%	@ Arizona Cardinals	1309.81	38	Cleveland Browns	1491.99	24
17	2019-12-29	27.79%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1337.67	38	Indianapolis Colts	1517.44	20
18	2019-12-22	27.80%	@ New York Jets	1366.04	16	Pittsburgh Steelers	1545.76	10
19	2019-12-22	27.90%	Oakland Raiders	1344.70	24	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1492.68	17
20	2019-09-29	29.27%	Cleveland Browns	1457.20	40	@ Baltimore Ravens	1593.47	25
21	2019-09-05	29.56%	Green Bay Packers	1452.40	10	@ Chicago Bears	1586.30	3
22	2019-12-29	30.01%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1277.35	33	Cleveland Browns	1438.33	23
23	2019-11-24	30.18%	@ Washington Redskins	1275.48	19	Detroit Lions	1435.00	16
24	2019-10-06	32.18%	Indianapolis Colts	1539.20	19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1651.70	13
25	2019-12-01	32.38%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1267.96	22	New York Jets	1409.68	6

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2019-11-10	57.35	Atlanta Falcons	26	1378.14	14.18%	@ New Orleans Saints	9	1674.46	85.54%
2	2019-11-24	56.88	@ New York Jets	34	1352.80	36.79%	Oakland Raiders	3	1460.55	62.72%
3	2019-11-17	51.50	Atlanta Falcons	29	1435.48	37.50%	@ Carolina Panthers	3	1507.09	62.00%
4	2019-12-22	50.22	Arizona Cardinals	27	1353.70	17.15%	@ Seattle Seahawks	13	1610.77	82.53%
5	2019-12-29	49.57	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	38	1337.67	27.79%	Indianapolis Colts	20	1517.44	71.77%
6	2019-09-29	49.19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	55	1430.91	21.58%	@ Los Angeles Rams	40	1638.33	78.05%
7	2020-01-11 *	47.79	Tennessee Titans	28	1614.65	26.35%	@ Baltimore Ravens	12	1777.77	73.65%
8	2019-12-15	46.76	@ Dallas Cowboys	44	1524.63	39.65%	Los Angeles Rams	21	1611.25	59.84%
9	2019-12-08	44.80	Denver Broncos	38	1434.06	26.02%	@ Houston Texans	24	1598.71	73.56%
10	2019-09-29	44.32	Cleveland Browns	40	1457.20	29.27%	@ Baltimore Ravens	25	1593.47	70.28%
11	2019-11-03	43.93	@ Baltimore Ravens	37	1603.81	34.10%	New England Patriots	20	1731.99	65.42%
12	2019-12-15	43.89	@ Arizona Cardinals	38	1309.81	27.52%	Cleveland Browns	24	1491.99	72.05%
13	2019-12-01	43.74	@ Cincinnati Bengals	22	1267.96	32.38%	New York Jets	6	1409.68	67.15%
14	2019-12-29	42.75	Tennessee Titans	35	1545.22	42.24%	@ Houston Texans	14	1582.39	57.25%
15	2019-10-20	42.22	@ Dallas Cowboys	37	1526.62	49.64%	Philadelphia Eagles	10	1542.71	49.83%
16	2019-09-08	42.14	Tennessee Titans	43	1512.97	52.31%	@ Cleveland Browns	13	1479.66	47.17%
17	2019-11-14	40.45	@ Cleveland Browns	21	1440.09	33.14%	Pittsburgh Steelers	7	1575.75	66.38%
18	2019-10-27	39.29	@ San Francisco 49ers	51	1602.51	60.45%	Carolina Panthers	13	1542.32	39.04%
19	2019-10-13	38.57	@ Denver Broncos	16	1428.38	40.31%	Tennessee Titans	0	1510.25	59.18%
20	2019-10-07	38.55	@ San Francisco 49ers	31	1521.58	54.83%	Cleveland Browns	3	1501.51	44.65%
21	2019-11-25	37.92	Baltimore Ravens	45	1696.62	62.30%	@ Los Angeles Rams	6	1591.99	37.20%
22	2019-10-27	37.87	Philadelphia Eagles	31	1500.49	44.71%	@ Buffalo Bills	13	1520.13	54.76%
23	2019-11-03	37.81	@ Los Angeles Chargers	26	1503.54	39.57%	Green Bay Packers	11	1590.74	59.92%
24	2019-09-19	37.28	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	20	1429.48	36.03%	Tennessee Titans	7	1542.91	63.48%
25	2019-12-08	36.95	@ Los Angeles Rams	28	1574.30	42.80%	Seattle Seahawks	12	1638.29	56.68%