2018 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

New England Patriots

6th Super Bowl

Last Title: 2016

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Rams

4th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2001

Biggest Overachiever

Houston Texans

2.68 wins above expected

11 wins · 8.32 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Jacksonville Jaguars

2.75 wins below expected

5 wins · 7.75 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	11	5	.688	-	436	325	+111	10.86	+0.14
2	Miami Dolphins	7	9	.438	4	319	433	-114	7.03	-0.03
3	Buffalo Bills	6	10	.375	5	269	374	-105	6.81	-0.81
4	New York Jets	4	12	.250	7	333	441	-108	6.53	-2.53

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Baltimore Ravens Division	10	6	0	.625	-	389	287	+102	9.46	+0.54
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	9	6	1	.594	0.5	428	360	+68	9.53	-0.03
3	Cleveland Browns	7	8	1	.469	2.5	359	392	-33	5.27	+2.23
4	Cincinnati Bengals	6	10	0	.375	4	368	455	-87	6.92	-0.92

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Texans Division	11	5	.688	-	402	316	+86	8.32	+2.68
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	433	344	+89	7.53	+2.47
3	Tennessee Titans	9	7	.562	2	310	303	+7	8.06	+0.94
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	11	.312	6	245	316	-71	7.75	-2.75

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	12	4	.750	-	565	421	+144	10.73	+1.27
2	Los Angeles Chargers Playoffs	12	4	.750	-	428	329	+99	9.97	+2.03
3	Denver Broncos	6	10	.375	6	329	349	-20	6.96	-0.96
4	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	8	290	467	-177	4.85	-0.85

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	10	6	.625	-	339	324	+15	8.32	+1.68
2	Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	367	348	+19	9.77	-0.77
3	Washington Redskins	7	9	.438	3	281	359	-78	7.60	-0.60
4	New York Giants	5	11	.312	5	369	412	-43	5.29	-0.29

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	12	4	0	.750	-	421	283	+138	9.39	+2.61
2	Minnesota Vikings	8	7	1	.531	3.5	360	341	+19	8.67	-0.17
3	Green Bay Packers	6	9	1	.406	5.5	376	400	-24	7.45	-0.95
4	Detroit Lions	6	10	0	.375	6	324	360	-36	6.88	-0.88

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New Orleans Saints Division	13	3	.812	-	504	353	+151	10.82	+2.18
2	Atlanta Falcons	7	9	.438	6	414	423	-9	8.58	-1.58
3	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	6	376	382	-6	8.16	-1.16
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	11	.312	8	396	464	-68	6.56	-1.56

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	13	3	.812	-	527	384	+143	10.96	+2.04
2	Seattle Seahawks Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	428	347	+81	9.21	+0.79
3	San Francisco 49ers	4	12	.250	9	342	435	-93	6.19	-2.19
4	Arizona Cardinals	3	13	.188	10	225	425	-200	5.59	-2.59

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Indianapolis Colts 21

Houston Texans 7

Jan 5

Los Angeles Chargers 23

Baltimore Ravens 17

Jan 6

Divisional Round

Kansas City Chiefs 31

Indianapolis Colts 13

Jan 12

New England Patriots 41

Los Angeles Chargers 28

Jan 13

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 37

Kansas City Chiefs 31

Jan 20

NFC

Wild Card Round

Dallas Cowboys 24

Seattle Seahawks 22

Jan 5

Philadelphia Eagles 16

Chicago Bears 15

Jan 6

Divisional Round

Los Angeles Rams 30

Dallas Cowboys 22

Jan 12

New Orleans Saints 20

Philadelphia Eagles 14

Jan 13

Conference Championship

Los Angeles Rams 26

New Orleans Saints 23

Jan 20

Super Bowl

New England Patriots 13

Los Angeles Rams 3

Feb 3

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1740	13	10.82	+2.18	94.60%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1675	12	9.39	+2.61	95.51%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1666	12	10.73	+1.27	85.17%	3	8	10	11	12	13	16
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1657	13	10.96	+2.04	93.38%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1648	10	9.46	+0.54	72.41%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1646	12	9.97	+2.03	92.99%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1630	11	10.86	+0.14	64.26%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1624	9	9.77	-0.77	44.82%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1614	10	7.53	+2.47	94.96%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1614	10	9.21	+0.79	76.41%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1611	9.5	9.53	-0.03	50.12%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1581	11	8.32	+2.68	96.20%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1557	10	8.32	+1.68	88.11%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1548	8.5	8.67	-0.17	47.41%	1	6	7	9	10	12	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1524	9	8.06	+0.94	78.68%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1516	7	8.58	-1.58	29.03%	0	5	7	9	10	12	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1477	6	6.88	-0.88	44.04%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1462	7	8.16	-1.16	36.96%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1461	7.5	5.27	+2.23	89.73%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1415	6	6.96	-0.96	41.88%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1414	5	7.75	-2.75	12.26%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1403	6	6.81	-0.81	45.19%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1403	5	5.29	-0.29	56.97%	0	2	4	5	6	8	14
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1402	6.5	7.45	-0.95	31.78%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1393	5	6.56	-1.56	30.01%	0	4	5	6	8	10	13
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1371	7	7.60	-0.60	49.45%	0	4	6	8	9	11	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1367	6	6.92	-0.92	42.30%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1365	4	6.19	-2.19	18.33%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1330	7	7.03	-0.03	61.54%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1321	4	4.85	-0.85	44.42%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1290	4	6.53	-2.53	13.66%	0	4	5	6	8	9	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1270	3	5.59	-2.59	11.63%	0	3	4	6	7	8	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-4 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-
Tennessee Titans	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Chargers	Raiders
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-0-1 (1.3 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	0-4 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	-	-	-	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.39%	0.39%	1.17%	1.56%	0.59%	0.59%	0.20%	4.88%
7–13	0.39%	1.56%	2.73%	3.32%	1.76%	1.17%	0.98%	11.91%
14–20	1.17%	2.73%	6.25%	6.45%	4.49%	1.56%	0.98%	23.63%
21–27	1.56%	3.32%	6.45%	11.33%	4.10%	0.98%	0.39%	28.12%
28–34	0.59%	1.76%	4.49%	4.10%	4.69%	1.56%	0.78%	17.97%
35–41	0.59%	1.17%	1.56%	0.98%	1.56%	1.17%	1.17%	8.20%
42+	0.20%	0.98%	0.98%	0.39%	0.78%	1.17%	0.78%	5.27%
Total	4.88%	11.91%	23.63%	28.12%	17.97%	8.20%	5.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.34	23.34	+0.00
SD	10.33	10.33	14.52
CV	0.44	0.44	—
Max	54	54	+44
Min	0	0	-44

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.06	26.56	-12.50
SD	7.54	10.00	14.55
CV	0.54	0.38	—
Max	28	45	+10
Min	0	15	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.88	26.44	-0.56
SD	9.56	9.78	13.72
CV	0.37	0.37	—
Max	40	43	+26
Min	12	10	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	68.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.31	17.94	+6.38
SD	8.07	9.96	14.29
CV	0.33	0.56	—
Max	47	36	+44
Min	9	0	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.81	23.38	-6.56
SD	12.31	11.29	20.85
CV	0.73	0.48	—
Max	42	47	+31
Min	0	6	-44

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	23.88	-0.38
SD	9.40	10.07	12.41
CV	0.40	0.42	—
Max	42	52	+19
Min	9	8	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.31	17.69	+8.62
SD	8.95	9.26	12.01
CV	0.34	0.52	—
Max	48	38	+38
Min	14	6	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.00	28.44	-5.44
SD	9.19	9.91	14.94
CV	0.40	0.35	—
Max	37	51	+14
Min	10	16	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.44	24.50	-2.06
SD	7.93	9.67	10.87
CV	0.35	0.39	—
Max	42	45	+15
Min	12	9	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	20.25	+0.94
SD	10.57	6.75	12.31
CV	0.50	0.33	—
Max	40	35	+33
Min	0	7	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.56	21.81	-1.25
SD	8.16	6.57	12.73
CV	0.40	0.30	—
Max	45	34	+35
Min	9	10	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	22.50	-2.25
SD	7.60	11.80	15.55
CV	0.38	0.52	—
Max	32	48	+31
Min	9	0	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	43.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	25.00	-1.50
SD	9.95	9.03	13.14
CV	0.42	0.36	—
Max	44	38	+22
Min	0	0	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.12	19.75	+5.38
SD	7.46	8.39	8.65
CV	0.30	0.43	—
Max	42	34	+19
Min	17	3	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.06	21.50	+5.56
SD	10.07	12.84	13.92
CV	0.37	0.60	—
Max	42	42	+32
Min	0	0	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.31	19.75	-4.44
SD	8.87	10.02	13.32
CV	0.58	0.51	—
Max	31	40	+19
Min	3	0	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	35.31	26.31	+9.00
SD	7.30	12.96	11.68
CV	0.21	0.49	—
Max	51	54	+35
Min	26	3	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.75	20.56	+6.19
SD	7.98	9.43	12.78
CV	0.30	0.46	—
Max	45	38	+35
Min	10	6	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	—	12.50%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	32.94	24.00	+8.94
SD	10.66	13.43	12.98
CV	0.32	0.56	—
Max	54	51	+34
Min	6	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	27.06	-7.12
SD	7.89	10.98	13.30
CV	0.40	0.41	—
Max	34	42	+8
Min	7	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.50	21.31	+1.19
SD	10.17	7.66	13.96
CV	0.45	0.36	—
Max	41	38	+24
Min	6	9	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.25	20.31	+6.94
SD	10.74	11.46	15.95
CV	0.39	0.56	—
Max	43	40	+35
Min	10	3	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	12.50%	—	31.25%
Total	—	18.75%	43.75%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.50	22.06	+9.44
SD	12.92	11.26	15.31
CV	0.41	0.51	—
Max	51	48	+41
Min	10	7	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	31.25%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.06	25.75	-2.69
SD	10.79	6.69	10.40
CV	0.47	0.26	—
Max	40	36	+24
Min	0	16	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	27.56	-6.75
SD	13.45	9.30	16.74
CV	0.65	0.34	—
Max	48	44	+31
Min	3	13	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	—	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	29.19	-11.06
SD	11.87	8.53	12.76
CV	0.65	0.29	—
Max	45	42	+13
Min	3	14	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	21.75	+1.19
SD	6.45	10.50	14.61
CV	0.28	0.48	—
Max	34	48	+24
Min	7	0	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	43.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.75	22.50	+4.25
SD	10.34	8.12	11.25
CV	0.39	0.36	—
Max	52	42	+31
Min	14	10	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.38	27.19	-5.81
SD	8.39	11.61	14.08
CV	0.39	0.43	—
Max	34	48	+31
Min	9	3	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	—	25.00%	—	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.75	21.69	+5.06
SD	7.01	9.22	10.50
CV	0.26	0.43	—
Max	43	36	+27
Min	17	3	-8

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.75	29.00	-4.25
SD	11.02	10.79	12.56
CV	0.45	0.37	—
Max	48	48	+18
Min	3	9	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	18.94	+0.44
SD	8.81	10.52	15.15
CV	0.45	0.56	—
Max	34	38	+24
Min	0	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	50.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.56	22.44	-4.88
SD	6.99	11.56	14.68
CV	0.40	0.52	—
Max	31	43	+18
Min	0	3	-24

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.59	+0.3
Allowed	0.37	-0.3
Differential	0.88	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Houston Texans	11	8.32	+2.68
2	Chicago Bears	12	9.39	+2.61
3	Indianapolis Colts	10	7.53	+2.47
4	Cleveland Browns	7.5	5.27	+2.23
5	New Orleans Saints	13	10.82	+2.18

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	7.75	-2.75
2	Arizona Cardinals	3	5.59	-2.59
3	New York Jets	4	6.53	-2.53
4	San Francisco 49ers	4	6.19	-2.19
5	Atlanta Falcons	7	8.58	-1.58

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Houston Texans	9	Sep 30 – Dec 2	1 in 659
2	New Orleans Saints	10	Sep 16 – Nov 22	1 in 195
3	Dallas Cowboys	5	Nov 11 – Dec 9	1 in 94
4	Denver Broncos	3	Nov 18 – Dec 2	1 in 36
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	6	Oct 7 – Nov 18	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	7	Nov 8 – Dec 23	1 in 187
2	Jacksonville Jaguars	7	Oct 7 – Nov 25	1 in 74
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	Nov 25 – Dec 9	1 in 46
4	Atlanta Falcons	5	Nov 11 – Dec 9	1 in 42
5	New York Jets	6	Oct 21 – Dec 2	1 in 30

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	84.26%	11.98%	3.01%	0.75%
Miami Dolphins	6.97%	32.65%	31.28%	29.10%
Buffalo Bills	5.20%	29.89%	32.53%	32.38%
New York Jets	3.57%	25.48%	33.17%	37.77%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.94%	37.06%	13.01%	2.99%
Baltimore Ravens	44.80%	37.72%	14.16%	3.31%
Cincinnati Bengals	6.78%	19.08%	48.40%	25.74%
Cleveland Browns	1.47%	6.14%	24.42%	67.96%

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Texans	31.52%	26.90%	23.16%	18.42%
Tennessee Titans	27.50%	25.87%	24.21%	22.42%
Jacksonville Jaguars	21.59%	24.23%	26.41%	27.78%
Indianapolis Colts	19.39%	23.00%	26.23%	31.38%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	58.62%	34.44%	6.42%	0.53%
Los Angeles Chargers	37.60%	49.37%	11.65%	1.38%
Denver Broncos	3.51%	13.87%	61.55%	21.07%
Oakland Raiders	0.27%	2.33%	20.39%	77.02%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	59.39%	26.54%	11.55%	2.52%
Dallas Cowboys	24.39%	37.34%	28.54%	9.73%
Washington Redskins	14.35%	28.91%	39.70%	17.05%
New York Giants	1.88%	7.21%	20.22%	70.70%

Team	1	2	3	4
Chicago Bears	47.86%	28.21%	16.07%	7.86%
Minnesota Vikings	31.30%	32.83%	22.73%	13.15%
Green Bay Packers	12.28%	22.53%	32.89%	32.30%
Detroit Lions	8.56%	16.43%	28.31%	46.70%

Team	1	2	3	4
New Orleans Saints	70.70%	20.52%	7.04%	1.74%
Atlanta Falcons	15.72%	36.81%	30.85%	16.61%
Carolina Panthers	10.59%	31.10%	36.79%	21.52%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.99%	11.57%	25.32%	60.13%

Team	1	2	3	4
Los Angeles Rams	72.23%	23.88%	3.33%	0.56%
Seattle Seahawks	25.27%	58.17%	13.29%	3.27%
San Francisco 49ers	1.67%	11.24%	47.77%	39.31%
Arizona Cardinals	0.83%	6.71%	35.61%	56.85%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	28.38%	21.89%	15.84%	10.83%	7.18%	4.96%	3.59%	2.58%	1.67%	1.15%	0.78%	0.50%	0.34%	0.19%	0.09%	0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	26.46%	19.04%	14.10%	11.33%	8.87%	6.57%	4.61%	3.31%	2.11%	1.45%	0.95%	0.60%	0.30%	0.19%	0.08%	0.04%
Los Angeles Chargers	14.52%	14.12%	12.98%	12.37%	11.65%	9.47%	7.39%	5.63%	3.87%	2.85%	2.04%	1.37%	0.89%	0.48%	0.26%	0.14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	11.45%	12.31%	12.12%	11.33%	10.91%	9.62%	8.09%	6.67%	4.93%	3.86%	3.09%	2.28%	1.44%	1.02%	0.62%	0.26%
Baltimore Ravens	8.70%	11.57%	12.79%	11.55%	10.76%	9.77%	8.83%	7.07%	5.24%	4.20%	3.33%	2.49%	1.66%	1.10%	0.68%	0.27%
Houston Texans	2.47%	4.84%	7.32%	9.07%	8.94%	9.24%	8.99%	8.47%	8.14%	7.39%	6.37%	5.77%	5.19%	3.91%	2.63%	1.26%
Tennessee Titans	2.43%	4.48%	6.29%	7.44%	8.11%	8.61%	8.46%	8.19%	8.50%	7.66%	7.10%	6.58%	6.12%	4.88%	3.44%	1.70%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.83%	3.38%	4.77%	6.11%	6.82%	7.55%	8.03%	8.47%	8.75%	8.30%	7.96%	7.52%	7.20%	6.05%	4.64%	2.62%
Indianapolis Colts	1.00%	2.38%	4.08%	5.83%	6.36%	7.23%	7.84%	8.17%	8.67%	8.42%	8.10%	8.04%	8.01%	7.03%	5.47%	3.36%
Miami Dolphins	0.71%	1.44%	2.27%	3.24%	4.45%	5.86%	7.13%	8.32%	8.19%	8.76%	9.00%	9.12%	9.16%	8.74%	7.87%	5.73%
Denver Broncos	0.65%	1.24%	1.84%	2.78%	3.91%	4.69%	5.78%	7.20%	9.10%	10.27%	11.01%	10.79%	9.49%	8.25%	7.02%	6.00%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.48%	1.23%	2.07%	2.80%	3.87%	4.86%	6.16%	7.25%	8.67%	10.06%	10.32%	10.44%	9.36%	8.89%	7.67%	5.86%
Buffalo Bills	0.58%	1.22%	1.89%	2.65%	3.92%	5.34%	6.48%	7.49%	8.31%	8.55%	9.09%	9.48%	9.81%	9.36%	9.22%	6.60%
New York Jets	0.26%	0.63%	1.19%	1.86%	2.86%	4.21%	5.72%	7.02%	7.76%	8.56%	9.34%	9.86%	10.77%	10.90%	10.80%	8.27%
Cleveland Browns	0.06%	0.16%	0.35%	0.55%	0.94%	1.33%	1.87%	2.52%	3.59%	4.89%	6.44%	8.29%	10.46%	14.51%	18.83%	25.22%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.07%	0.12%	0.26%	0.46%	0.67%	1.03%	1.65%	2.49%	3.65%	5.06%	6.87%	9.81%	14.51%	20.69%	32.65%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Los Angeles Rams	30.26%	20.13%	13.80%	10.10%	7.72%	5.54%	4.05%	3.00%	1.87%	1.32%	0.91%	0.57%	0.37%	0.20%	0.10%	0.05%
New Orleans Saints	27.55%	20.24%	14.24%	10.31%	7.66%	5.80%	4.35%	3.16%	2.32%	1.64%	1.10%	0.75%	0.43%	0.27%	0.14%	0.04%
Philadelphia Eagles	10.37%	13.44%	14.36%	12.75%	10.17%	8.67%	7.27%	6.10%	4.79%	3.83%	2.93%	2.16%	1.40%	0.93%	0.57%	0.25%
Chicago Bears	8.67%	10.55%	11.68%	11.25%	9.80%	8.65%	7.97%	7.01%	5.65%	5.16%	4.08%	3.30%	2.45%	1.94%	1.18%	0.64%
Seattle Seahawks	7.00%	8.61%	9.13%	9.95%	11.02%	10.79%	10.01%	8.58%	6.73%	5.04%	4.24%	3.42%	2.38%	1.55%	1.02%	0.54%
Minnesota Vikings	4.26%	6.33%	7.92%	8.80%	8.89%	9.11%	8.93%	8.82%	7.79%	7.00%	6.16%	5.14%	4.25%	3.33%	2.18%	1.11%
Atlanta Falcons	3.54%	5.20%	6.48%	7.64%	8.66%	9.48%	9.31%	8.79%	8.44%	7.76%	6.85%	5.60%	4.74%	3.77%	2.46%	1.27%
Dallas Cowboys	2.88%	4.81%	6.42%	7.45%	7.93%	8.24%	9.17%	9.18%	8.58%	7.79%	7.48%	6.53%	4.95%	3.86%	2.83%	1.91%
Carolina Panthers	2.08%	3.51%	4.71%	6.10%	7.72%	8.49%	8.70%	8.81%	9.52%	8.90%	7.87%	6.99%	6.05%	5.02%	3.56%	1.98%
Washington Redskins	1.23%	2.45%	3.66%	4.79%	5.60%	6.71%	7.37%	8.22%	9.05%	9.08%	9.35%	8.80%	7.60%	6.43%	5.34%	4.31%
Green Bay Packers	0.88%	2.00%	3.12%	4.12%	5.17%	5.95%	6.89%	7.90%	8.50%	9.21%	9.14%	9.16%	9.12%	8.39%	6.44%	4.03%
Detroit Lions	0.67%	1.31%	2.09%	2.95%	3.51%	4.37%	5.16%	5.91%	6.95%	8.03%	8.75%	9.64%	10.54%	11.09%	10.53%	8.51%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.33%	0.77%	1.18%	1.83%	2.73%	3.28%	4.07%	5.11%	6.64%	7.55%	8.60%	9.86%	11.87%	12.99%	12.59%	10.61%
San Francisco 49ers	0.18%	0.33%	0.67%	0.98%	1.65%	2.38%	3.19%	4.33%	5.90%	8.00%	9.58%	11.26%	11.98%	12.53%	13.37%	13.67%
Arizona Cardinals	0.06%	0.14%	0.26%	0.46%	0.88%	1.31%	1.84%	2.66%	4.04%	5.58%	7.41%	9.32%	11.80%	14.34%	18.16%	21.73%
New York Giants	0.05%	0.19%	0.30%	0.53%	0.89%	1.24%	1.73%	2.42%	3.23%	4.11%	5.56%	7.50%	10.09%	13.33%	19.51%	29.33%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Los Angeles Rams	17.75%	13.26%	11.22%	8.80%	7.66%	6.16%	5.65%	4.66%	4.14%	3.33%	2.99%	2.48%	2.20%	1.80%	1.48%	1.29%	0.97%	0.87%	0.69%	0.56%	0.46%	0.41%	0.28%	0.25%	0.17%	0.16%	0.10%	0.08%	0.05%	0.04%	0.03%	<0.01%
New England Patriots	15.16%	13.42%	10.55%	10.11%	7.77%	7.53%	5.52%	5.28%	3.74%	3.76%	2.91%	2.54%	1.92%	1.80%	1.52%	1.39%	0.95%	0.83%	0.70%	0.57%	0.49%	0.38%	0.28%	0.23%	0.19%	0.17%	0.11%	0.09%	0.05%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	15.06%	12.93%	11.11%	8.92%	7.98%	6.42%	5.85%	4.69%	4.25%	3.48%	3.26%	2.56%	2.35%	1.93%	1.70%	1.35%	1.19%	1.00%	0.87%	0.68%	0.53%	0.51%	0.37%	0.28%	0.22%	0.16%	0.11%	0.10%	0.06%	0.04%	0.02%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	13.87%	12.17%	10.02%	9.04%	7.50%	6.85%	5.83%	5.42%	4.48%	4.25%	3.22%	3.30%	2.32%	2.33%	1.68%	1.73%	1.07%	1.14%	0.79%	0.76%	0.52%	0.48%	0.31%	0.30%	0.17%	0.16%	0.12%	0.08%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	6.67%	7.46%	7.17%	7.26%	6.52%	6.65%	5.98%	6.14%	5.50%	5.72%	4.44%	4.85%	3.47%	3.84%	2.79%	2.95%	2.00%	2.05%	1.51%	1.52%	1.08%	1.08%	0.73%	0.73%	0.54%	0.43%	0.28%	0.26%	0.16%	0.10%	0.08%	0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	5.05%	5.88%	7.01%	6.93%	7.08%	6.84%	6.61%	5.93%	5.46%	4.91%	4.81%	3.94%	3.93%	3.26%	3.36%	2.78%	2.63%	2.12%	2.01%	1.70%	1.57%	1.26%	1.09%	0.92%	0.75%	0.60%	0.50%	0.42%	0.29%	0.19%	0.10%	0.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.00%	5.79%	5.80%	6.22%	5.95%	6.10%	5.73%	5.53%	5.33%	5.34%	4.74%	4.90%	3.81%	4.07%	3.46%	3.56%	2.55%	2.61%	2.09%	2.13%	1.62%	1.65%	1.17%	1.19%	0.88%	0.82%	0.57%	0.56%	0.34%	0.26%	0.17%	0.08%
Baltimore Ravens	4.04%	4.86%	5.50%	5.81%	6.11%	5.96%	5.68%	5.79%	5.15%	5.45%	4.75%	5.04%	4.20%	4.32%	3.62%	3.69%	2.66%	2.70%	2.26%	2.29%	1.86%	1.72%	1.33%	1.29%	0.95%	0.86%	0.66%	0.52%	0.40%	0.29%	0.17%	0.08%
Chicago Bears	4.26%	4.81%	5.42%	5.47%	5.86%	5.80%	5.62%	5.54%	5.17%	4.89%	4.46%	4.28%	4.20%	3.90%	3.61%	3.28%	3.00%	2.79%	2.70%	2.29%	2.03%	1.77%	1.76%	1.45%	1.29%	1.04%	0.99%	0.78%	0.62%	0.45%	0.34%	0.15%
Seattle Seahawks	3.39%	3.87%	4.54%	4.56%	5.06%	4.76%	5.42%	5.00%	5.72%	5.11%	5.34%	5.12%	5.01%	4.55%	4.12%	4.02%	3.23%	3.26%	2.66%	2.48%	2.25%	2.00%	1.74%	1.53%	1.22%	1.08%	0.89%	0.71%	0.53%	0.40%	0.29%	0.15%
Minnesota Vikings	1.85%	2.40%	3.10%	3.48%	4.05%	4.06%	4.41%	4.57%	4.65%	4.56%	4.78%	4.45%	4.75%	4.30%	4.52%	4.09%	4.11%	3.91%	3.66%	3.14%	3.16%	2.90%	2.69%	2.26%	2.26%	1.82%	1.76%	1.40%	1.13%	0.86%	0.59%	0.32%
Atlanta Falcons	1.47%	2.06%	2.71%	2.94%	3.48%	3.52%	4.15%	4.08%	4.63%	4.33%	4.79%	4.51%	4.97%	4.54%	4.56%	4.08%	4.34%	4.20%	4.03%	3.44%	3.40%	3.20%	2.81%	2.57%	2.38%	2.07%	1.93%	1.52%	1.24%	0.99%	0.67%	0.40%
Houston Texans	0.92%	1.52%	2.08%	2.75%	3.10%	3.86%	3.82%	4.53%	4.07%	4.70%	4.31%	4.76%	4.29%	4.61%	4.43%	4.47%	4.01%	4.04%	3.80%	3.83%	3.37%	3.31%	3.06%	3.00%	2.72%	2.54%	2.10%	1.87%	1.49%	1.24%	0.83%	0.54%
Dallas Cowboys	1.13%	1.76%	2.38%	2.67%	3.17%	3.41%	3.88%	3.81%	4.30%	3.89%	4.30%	4.15%	4.75%	4.48%	4.78%	4.23%	4.48%	4.07%	4.06%	3.70%	3.80%	3.41%	3.26%	2.99%	2.60%	2.32%	2.10%	1.76%	1.48%	1.27%	1.03%	0.58%
Tennessee Titans	0.85%	1.40%	1.87%	2.37%	2.83%	3.16%	3.27%	3.71%	3.78%	4.15%	4.19%	4.27%	4.12%	4.30%	4.24%	4.22%	4.26%	3.99%	4.05%	4.08%	3.84%	3.59%	3.43%	3.39%	3.13%	3.01%	2.47%	2.55%	1.87%	1.75%	1.06%	0.79%
Carolina Panthers	0.76%	1.31%	1.73%	2.13%	2.54%	2.61%	3.26%	3.28%	4.08%	3.79%	4.40%	4.30%	4.74%	4.42%	4.59%	4.08%	4.91%	4.55%	4.43%	4.03%	3.97%	3.71%	3.63%	3.17%	3.06%	2.74%	2.55%	2.22%	1.80%	1.45%	1.05%	0.69%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.60%	0.96%	1.40%	1.80%	2.08%	2.48%	2.74%	3.11%	3.20%	3.44%	3.66%	3.73%	3.88%	4.04%	4.17%	4.39%	4.36%	4.23%	4.31%	4.30%	4.07%	4.16%	4.04%	3.73%	3.60%	3.59%	3.12%	3.07%	2.46%	2.42%	1.64%	1.22%
Washington Redskins	0.44%	0.76%	1.09%	1.40%	1.73%	2.08%	2.36%	2.60%	2.96%	2.95%	3.58%	3.28%	3.90%	3.72%	4.38%	4.11%	4.73%	4.37%	4.54%	4.24%	4.76%	4.46%	4.37%	4.09%	3.92%	3.65%	3.39%	3.15%	2.89%	2.47%	2.22%	1.41%
Indianapolis Colts	0.31%	0.60%	0.90%	1.39%	1.60%	2.22%	2.30%	2.92%	2.75%	3.50%	3.30%	3.60%	3.67%	4.15%	3.89%	4.36%	4.16%	4.34%	4.26%	4.47%	4.26%	4.26%	4.11%	4.12%	4.21%	3.94%	3.75%	3.54%	3.02%	2.60%	2.05%	1.45%
Green Bay Packers	0.30%	0.55%	0.83%	1.20%	1.44%	1.76%	2.05%	2.26%	2.63%	2.78%	3.10%	3.17%	3.75%	3.67%	4.08%	3.83%	4.58%	4.33%	4.82%	4.19%	4.69%	4.32%	4.73%	4.29%	4.58%	4.23%	4.37%	3.68%	3.36%	2.72%	2.22%	1.47%
Miami Dolphins	0.22%	0.39%	0.60%	0.83%	0.98%	1.24%	1.41%	1.79%	1.90%	2.37%	2.52%	3.04%	3.03%	3.62%	3.60%	4.29%	3.81%	4.12%	4.23%	4.79%	4.40%	4.57%	4.51%	4.72%	4.69%	4.80%	4.53%	4.58%	4.19%	4.00%	3.40%	2.82%
Denver Broncos	0.17%	0.36%	0.53%	0.65%	0.89%	0.98%	1.37%	1.38%	1.81%	2.01%	2.17%	2.51%	2.87%	3.01%	3.18%	3.76%	3.93%	4.70%	4.40%	5.37%	4.72%	5.75%	4.82%	5.75%	4.68%	5.06%	4.38%	4.57%	3.99%	3.75%	3.45%	3.00%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.12%	0.28%	0.46%	0.62%	0.92%	1.07%	1.24%	1.44%	1.77%	2.01%	2.33%	2.45%	2.76%	3.20%	3.46%	3.76%	4.00%	4.37%	4.40%	5.20%	4.90%	5.22%	4.89%	5.44%	4.82%	5.07%	4.67%	4.64%	4.29%	4.00%	3.42%	2.79%
Buffalo Bills	0.14%	0.31%	0.50%	0.67%	0.82%	1.05%	1.26%	1.38%	1.73%	2.00%	2.31%	2.65%	2.77%	3.19%	3.41%	3.84%	3.74%	3.99%	4.26%	4.61%	4.37%	4.63%	4.60%	5.09%	4.92%	5.05%	4.73%	5.03%	4.63%	5.03%	3.90%	3.39%
Detroit Lions	0.24%	0.37%	0.58%	0.72%	1.00%	1.14%	1.42%	1.53%	1.90%	1.84%	2.35%	2.38%	2.78%	2.67%	3.14%	2.90%	3.74%	3.72%	4.18%	3.88%	4.59%	4.39%	5.14%	4.62%	5.20%	5.05%	5.54%	5.06%	5.31%	4.78%	4.43%	3.41%
New York Jets	0.07%	0.14%	0.22%	0.34%	0.53%	0.66%	0.84%	1.06%	1.20%	1.48%	1.82%	2.13%	2.40%	2.85%	3.08%	3.52%	3.44%	3.81%	4.09%	4.59%	4.48%	4.69%	4.88%	5.31%	5.33%	5.49%	5.43%	5.92%	5.32%	5.84%	4.79%	4.25%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.10%	0.18%	0.35%	0.42%	0.60%	0.65%	0.99%	1.03%	1.43%	1.40%	1.79%	1.79%	2.38%	2.16%	2.64%	2.62%	3.67%	3.45%	3.94%	3.70%	4.43%	4.44%	5.31%	4.90%	5.73%	5.77%	6.13%	5.96%	6.42%	5.81%	5.47%	4.34%
San Francisco 49ers	0.05%	0.10%	0.16%	0.22%	0.31%	0.36%	0.50%	0.62%	0.82%	0.92%	1.16%	1.38%	1.70%	1.82%	2.14%	2.42%	2.96%	3.39%	3.78%	3.94%	4.65%	4.87%	5.44%	5.43%	5.96%	6.00%	6.41%	6.09%	6.99%	6.39%	6.99%	6.02%
Arizona Cardinals	<0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.12%	0.17%	0.23%	0.27%	0.39%	0.48%	0.69%	0.77%	0.94%	1.00%	1.32%	1.52%	2.08%	2.21%	2.76%	2.89%	3.83%	3.78%	4.66%	4.83%	5.82%	6.08%	7.20%	7.15%	9.26%	8.69%	10.84%	9.87%
Cleveland Browns	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.08%	0.13%	0.20%	0.22%	0.26%	0.40%	0.45%	0.57%	0.66%	0.82%	0.96%	1.09%	1.31%	1.61%	1.85%	2.07%	2.61%	2.83%	3.40%	3.74%	4.37%	4.80%	5.72%	6.28%	7.81%	8.36%	10.53%	11.74%	15.05%
New York Giants	<0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.09%	0.13%	0.18%	0.26%	0.27%	0.44%	0.48%	0.66%	0.64%	0.88%	0.94%	1.26%	1.29%	1.73%	1.73%	2.13%	2.15%	2.89%	3.01%	3.86%	3.96%	4.96%	5.23%	6.46%	7.14%	8.99%	10.36%	13.00%	14.77%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.06%	0.11%	0.14%	0.18%	0.23%	0.28%	0.36%	0.45%	0.55%	0.68%	0.85%	1.10%	1.28%	1.52%	1.88%	2.17%	2.67%	2.94%	3.80%	4.24%	5.32%	6.37%	7.69%	8.97%	11.23%	13.98%	20.84%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	28.38%	23.87%	18.38%	13.63%	2.77%	3.27%	9.70%
Kansas City Chiefs	26.46%	17.14%	10.15%	4.86%	18.53%	8.54%	14.32%
Los Angeles Chargers	14.52%	11.68%	7.51%	3.89%	23.99%	12.41%	25.99%
Pittsburgh Steelers	11.45%	12.81%	12.76%	9.92%	10.94%	9.93%	32.19%
Baltimore Ravens	8.70%	11.85%	13.69%	10.57%	9.91%	10.34%	34.95%
Houston Texans	2.47%	5.30%	9.24%	14.52%	4.11%	7.32%	57.04%
Tennessee Titans	2.43%	4.94%	7.95%	12.17%	4.04%	6.86%	61.61%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.83%	3.72%	6.13%	9.90%	3.59%	6.14%	68.68%
Indianapolis Colts	1.00%	2.67%	5.49%	10.23%	2.84%	5.67%	72.09%
Miami Dolphins	0.71%	1.53%	2.15%	2.56%	3.94%	6.45%	82.65%
Denver Broncos	0.65%	1.03%	1.04%	0.80%	4.75%	5.64%	86.09%
Buffalo Bills	0.58%	1.25%	1.64%	1.73%	3.92%	5.87%	85.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.48%	1.27%	2.27%	2.76%	3.16%	5.00%	85.06%
New York Jets	0.26%	0.68%	1.07%	1.56%	2.47%	4.54%	89.42%
Cleveland Browns	0.06%	0.17%	0.45%	0.80%	0.61%	1.27%	96.65%
Oakland Raiders	0.02%	0.06%	0.09%	0.10%	0.44%	0.73%	98.56%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Los Angeles Rams	30.26%	20.05%	13.18%	8.73%	9.67%	5.97%	12.13%
New Orleans Saints	27.55%	20.74%	13.79%	8.63%	8.79%	6.17%	14.33%
Philadelphia Eagles	10.37%	14.06%	16.87%	18.09%	5.94%	6.41%	28.26%
Chicago Bears	8.67%	11.04%	13.61%	14.54%	6.41%	7.16%	38.57%
Seattle Seahawks	7.00%	7.34%	6.05%	4.88%	17.01%	13.40%	44.32%
Minnesota Vikings	4.26%	6.56%	9.20%	11.28%	6.53%	7.96%	54.21%
Atlanta Falcons	3.54%	4.68%	4.21%	3.29%	12.38%	11.40%	60.49%
Dallas Cowboys	2.88%	4.93%	7.36%	9.23%	6.37%	7.70%	61.54%
Carolina Panthers	2.08%	3.12%	2.96%	2.44%	10.47%	9.99%	68.95%
Washington Redskins	1.23%	2.56%	4.29%	6.27%	4.48%	6.09%	75.08%
Green Bay Packers	0.88%	2.10%	3.78%	5.52%	3.69%	5.40%	78.62%
Detroit Lions	0.67%	1.38%	2.59%	3.91%	2.59%	3.87%	84.98%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.33%	0.77%	0.92%	0.98%	2.87%	3.59%	90.55%
San Francisco 49ers	0.18%	0.32%	0.51%	0.66%	1.53%	2.52%	94.27%
Arizona Cardinals	0.06%	0.14%	0.24%	0.39%	0.75%	1.34%	97.08%
New York Giants	0.05%	0.20%	0.45%	1.18%	0.51%	1.02%	96.59%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+20.95%

Fortress

60.08%0.79%39.13%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 73.88 Elo pts.

29 Elo

0.035 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.34 points

Lean Home

-8+2.55+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.2

Wide Open

124812

Champion Preseason Odds

10%

New England Patriots, 4th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

8.5%

Tough Road

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.47 · As Expected: 1.47 to 2.03 · Elevated: 2.03 to 2.76 · High Variance: 2.76 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.87 · Close: 4.87 to 6.58 · Off Target: 6.58 to 8.59 · Well Off Target: 8.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.75 · As Expected: 2.75 to 4.58 · More Than Expected: 4.58 to 7.32 · Far More Than Expected: 7.32 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.60 wins

As Expected

01.845

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.47

Pinpoint

05.7215

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

96.20%

Houston Texans

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

11.63%

Arizona Cardinals

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 32

As Expected

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

03.712

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.87

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

78%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

94%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

29%

Some Drama

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.76

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.38

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

37%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.15

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.050

Within Noise

00.0950.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New Orleans Saints	76.14%	76.14%	53.27%	34.62%	21.62%
Kansas City Chiefs	69.10%	69.10%	42.05%	24.58%	12.13%
Los Angeles Rams	74.19%	74.19%	43.38%	22.50%	11.90%
New England Patriots	77.70%	77.70%	43.76%	22.35%	9.95%
Los Angeles Chargers	52.30%	52.30%	28.72%	15.44%	7.40%
Chicago Bears	48.08%	48.08%	25.86%	13.13%	7.33%
Baltimore Ravens	48.22%	48.22%	26.13%	13.34%	6.47%
Philadelphia Eagles	54.25%	54.25%	25.86%	11.37%	5.59%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.58%	48.58%	24.55%	11.69%	5.08%
Seattle Seahawks	41.34%	34.83%	16.24%	7.07%	3.39%
Houston Texans	35.19%	27.12%	11.21%	4.60%	1.96%
Indianapolis Colts	24.23%	17.76%	7.71%	3.48%	1.54%
Minnesota Vikings	34.97%	27.63%	10.19%	3.62%	1.49%
Dallas Cowboys	30.65%	22.47%	8.40%	3.02%	1.29%
Tennessee Titans	31.02%	22.00%	7.72%	2.71%	0.92%
Atlanta Falcons	31.29%	19.35%	6.67%	2.24%	0.84%
Carolina Panthers	25.85%	12.51%	3.47%	0.98%	0.31%
Jacksonville Jaguars	25.77%	13.93%	3.20%	0.78%	0.19%
Detroit Lions	12.97%	6.88%	1.97%	0.52%	0.17%
Green Bay Packers	18.39%	8.20%	1.77%	0.39%	0.10%
Denver Broncos	12.23%	4.68%	1.18%	0.29%	0.08%
Washington Redskins	21.13%	9.19%	1.72%	0.33%	0.07%
Buffalo Bills	13.16%	4.99%	1.16%	0.29%	0.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	13.19%	4.83%	1.03%	0.20%	0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8.36%	2.94%	0.61%	0.12%	0.03%
Miami Dolphins	15.10%	4.87%	0.87%	0.14%	0.03%
Cleveland Browns	3.12%	1.24%	0.32%	0.08%	0.02%
New York Giants	3.16%	1.17%	0.22%	0.04%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	5.22%	1.59%	0.30%	0.04%	<0.01%
New York Jets	9.64%	2.36%	0.35%	0.04%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	1.36%	0.31%	0.04%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals	2.73%	0.57%	0.08%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		83.8%1.56%	84.0%1.47%	81.0%0.33%	82.7%1.68%	56.5%4.15%	53.1%2.79%	77.7%2.88%	51.2%5.32%	56.5%6.02%	87.7%1.88%	45.2%4.15%	90.5%1.28%	92.6%0.20%	56.6%7.19%	65.4%3.60%
Buffalo Bills	16.2%1.56%		58.4%0.39%	35.4%0.10%	49.8%0.26%	20.7%1.36%	16.6%0.88%	41.9%0.90%	16.0%1.29%	21.9%1.21%	60.2%0.19%	18.2%2.03%	67.0%0.09%	72.4%0.03%	20.1%1.66%	27.0%1.21%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.0%1.47%	41.6%0.39%		44.2%0.05%	45.8%0.37%	18.2%1.20%	16.9%0.76%	40.3%0.88%	15.0%1.55%	18.3%1.64%	61.2%0.40%	14.3%1.57%	65.4%0.28%	61.1%0.04%	19.3%1.44%	26.4%1.14%
Cleveland Browns	19.0%0.33%	64.6%0.10%	55.8%0.05%		61.0%0.10%	32.6%0.26%	28.8%0.19%	45.8%0.20%	24.3%0.41%	30.4%0.45%	75.8%0.10%	20.2%0.34%	58.0%0.05%	83.3%<0.01%	24.7%0.32%	33.6%0.23%
Denver Broncos	17.3%1.68%	50.2%0.26%	54.2%0.37%	39.0%0.10%		21.3%1.18%	17.8%0.89%	39.3%1.03%	17.1%1.09%	15.3%0.80%	62.2%0.33%	17.7%1.61%	64.0%0.16%	55.6%<0.01%	20.2%1.54%	26.2%1.19%
Houston Texans	43.5%4.15%	79.3%1.36%	81.8%1.20%	67.4%0.26%	78.7%1.18%		46.8%2.12%	72.2%2.28%	43.0%4.58%	49.4%5.57%	84.7%1.51%	37.0%2.88%	88.4%0.96%	85.3%0.14%	50.3%4.21%	56.9%2.78%
Indianapolis Colts	46.9%2.79%	83.4%0.88%	83.1%0.76%	71.2%0.19%	82.2%0.89%	53.2%2.12%		74.1%1.31%	48.7%3.25%	53.4%3.76%	84.7%0.97%	41.5%2.14%	88.9%0.61%	86.5%0.07%	53.4%2.79%	61.7%1.71%
Jacksonville Jaguars	22.3%2.88%	58.1%0.90%	59.7%0.88%	54.2%0.20%	60.7%1.03%	27.8%2.28%	25.9%1.31%		22.5%3.33%	27.3%3.74%	66.7%1.06%	19.1%2.43%	71.2%0.70%	65.0%0.10%	26.9%3.05%	35.2%1.88%
Kansas City Chiefs	48.8%5.32%	84.0%1.29%	85.0%1.55%	75.7%0.41%	82.9%1.09%	57.0%4.58%	51.3%3.25%	77.5%3.33%		54.1%5.54%	87.7%1.53%	45.0%4.33%	90.2%1.00%	89.4%0.13%	54.0%4.90%	64.7%3.83%
Los Angeles Chargers	43.5%6.02%	78.1%1.21%	81.7%1.64%	69.6%0.45%	84.7%0.80%	50.6%5.57%	46.6%3.76%	72.7%3.74%	45.9%5.54%		85.3%1.55%	42.0%5.95%	87.9%0.94%	86.6%0.08%	49.4%5.76%	58.6%4.78%
Miami Dolphins	12.3%1.88%	39.8%0.19%	38.8%0.40%	24.2%0.10%	37.8%0.33%	15.3%1.51%	15.3%0.97%	33.3%1.06%	12.3%1.53%	14.7%1.55%		12.1%2.29%	60.0%0.14%	50.0%0.04%	13.4%1.74%	18.1%1.37%
New England Patriots	54.8%4.15%	81.8%2.03%	85.7%1.57%	79.8%0.34%	82.3%1.61%	63.0%2.88%	58.5%2.14%	80.9%2.43%	55.0%4.33%	58.0%5.95%	87.9%2.29%		89.2%1.36%	90.3%0.19%	60.2%4.08%	68.9%2.72%
New York Jets	9.5%1.28%	33.0%0.09%	34.6%0.28%	42.0%0.05%	36.0%0.16%	11.6%0.96%	11.1%0.61%	28.8%0.70%	9.8%1.00%	12.1%0.94%	40.0%0.14%	10.8%1.36%		47.4%0.02%	11.7%1.15%	16.0%0.89%
Oakland Raiders	7.4%0.20%	27.6%0.03%	38.9%0.04%	16.7%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	14.7%0.14%	13.5%0.07%	35.0%0.10%	10.6%0.13%	13.4%0.08%	50.0%0.04%	9.7%0.19%	52.6%0.02%		12.9%0.17%	20.5%0.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.4%7.19%	79.9%1.66%	80.7%1.44%	75.3%0.32%	79.8%1.54%	49.7%4.21%	46.6%2.79%	73.1%3.05%	46.0%4.90%	50.6%5.76%	86.6%1.74%	39.8%4.08%	88.3%1.15%	87.1%0.17%		60.5%3.55%
Tennessee Titans	34.6%3.60%	73.0%1.21%	73.6%1.14%	66.4%0.23%	73.8%1.19%	43.1%2.78%	38.3%1.71%	64.8%1.88%	35.3%3.83%	41.4%4.78%	81.9%1.37%	31.1%2.72%	84.0%0.89%	79.5%0.13%	39.5%3.55%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		26.7%0.15%	27.6%0.12%	6.8%0.40%	14.2%0.22%	14.6%0.08%	31.8%0.13%	6.9%0.31%	17.0%0.29%	6.7%0.30%	15.0%0.02%	8.5%0.40%	25.0%0.01%	9.5%0.16%	34.2%0.04%	31.2%0.11%
Atlanta Falcons	73.3%0.15%		57.7%0.90%	24.2%4.11%	39.7%2.77%	49.9%1.10%	58.4%1.46%	25.4%3.19%	38.5%3.23%	20.8%3.94%	62.8%0.30%	27.9%5.16%	70.3%0.30%	35.8%2.62%	70.8%0.27%	65.2%1.80%
Carolina Panthers	72.4%0.12%	42.3%0.90%		17.7%3.39%	30.2%2.28%	43.5%0.80%	51.0%1.22%	20.1%2.90%	29.9%2.49%	14.4%3.06%	47.2%0.25%	21.5%4.49%	61.4%0.25%	29.0%1.91%	61.7%0.24%	56.5%1.54%
Chicago Bears	93.2%0.40%	75.8%4.11%	82.3%3.39%		69.0%3.23%	77.1%1.38%	84.5%2.12%	54.8%4.23%	67.6%4.49%	42.0%3.85%	84.2%0.30%	55.9%4.30%	89.0%0.68%	65.8%5.85%	87.2%1.06%	86.4%2.33%
Dallas Cowboys	85.8%0.22%	60.3%2.77%	69.8%2.28%	31.0%3.23%		61.1%0.98%	69.4%1.47%	35.8%3.06%	49.6%2.74%	25.3%3.40%	77.4%0.13%	40.3%4.62%	77.4%0.43%	45.8%3.36%	76.7%0.73%	72.4%1.23%
Detroit Lions	85.4%0.08%	50.1%1.10%	56.5%0.80%	22.9%1.38%	38.9%0.98%		59.9%0.40%	25.3%1.47%	39.4%0.95%	15.5%1.35%	57.7%0.10%	25.6%1.65%	71.2%0.18%	37.9%1.55%	66.8%0.31%	66.9%0.68%
Green Bay Packers	68.2%0.13%	41.6%1.46%	49.0%1.22%	15.5%2.12%	30.6%1.47%	40.1%0.40%		18.5%2.14%	29.1%1.45%	12.5%1.85%	53.8%0.14%	18.8%2.25%	55.3%0.23%	26.3%2.23%	56.6%0.41%	54.7%0.89%
Los Angeles Rams	93.1%0.31%	74.6%3.19%	79.9%2.90%	45.2%4.23%	64.2%3.06%	74.7%1.47%	81.5%2.14%		64.9%3.82%	38.7%3.00%	78.7%0.32%	52.0%4.21%	87.4%0.65%	56.9%5.21%	85.3%0.85%	83.3%2.18%
Minnesota Vikings	83.0%0.29%	61.5%3.23%	70.1%2.49%	32.4%4.49%	50.4%2.74%	60.6%0.95%	70.9%1.45%	35.1%3.82%		25.5%3.51%	71.6%0.27%	36.2%4.06%	78.9%0.54%	46.2%4.40%	74.7%0.78%	74.6%1.96%
New Orleans Saints	93.3%0.30%	79.2%3.94%	85.6%3.06%	58.0%3.85%	74.7%3.40%	84.5%1.35%	87.5%1.85%	61.3%3.00%	74.5%3.51%		87.1%0.40%	64.0%4.47%	90.0%0.57%	72.4%4.25%	89.6%0.97%	88.8%2.44%
New York Giants	85.0%0.02%	37.2%0.30%	52.8%0.25%	15.8%0.30%	22.6%0.13%	42.3%0.10%	46.2%0.14%	21.3%0.32%	28.4%0.27%	12.9%0.40%		19.4%0.37%	55.0%0.04%	29.0%0.34%	51.4%0.07%	51.5%0.10%
Philadelphia Eagles	91.5%0.40%	72.1%5.16%	78.5%4.49%	44.1%4.30%	59.7%4.62%	74.4%1.65%	81.2%2.25%	48.0%4.21%	63.8%4.06%	36.0%4.47%	80.6%0.37%		86.4%0.77%	60.3%6.29%	86.6%1.41%	80.6%2.87%
San Francisco 49ers	75.0%0.01%	29.7%0.30%	38.6%0.25%	11.0%0.68%	22.6%0.43%	28.8%0.18%	44.7%0.23%	12.6%0.65%	21.1%0.54%	10.0%0.57%	45.0%0.04%	13.6%0.77%		20.0%0.25%	38.8%0.07%	45.9%0.26%
Seattle Seahawks	90.5%0.16%	64.2%2.62%	71.0%1.91%	34.2%5.85%	54.2%3.36%	62.1%1.55%	73.7%2.23%	43.1%5.21%	53.8%4.40%	27.6%4.25%	71.0%0.34%	39.7%6.29%	80.0%0.25%		75.1%0.66%	73.6%2.26%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	65.8%0.04%	29.2%0.27%	38.3%0.24%	12.8%1.06%	23.3%0.73%	33.2%0.31%	43.4%0.41%	14.7%0.85%	25.3%0.78%	10.4%0.97%	48.6%0.07%	13.4%1.41%	61.2%0.07%	24.9%0.66%		43.7%0.48%
Washington Redskins	68.8%0.11%	34.8%1.80%	43.5%1.54%	13.6%2.33%	27.6%1.23%	33.1%0.68%	45.3%0.89%	16.7%2.18%	25.4%1.96%	11.2%2.44%	48.5%0.10%	19.4%2.87%	54.1%0.26%	26.4%2.26%	56.3%0.48%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		80.0%0.60%	80.4%0.30%	84.8%0.05%	77.7%0.55%	60.5%3.58%	58.0%2.31%	79.1%2.03%	44.5%9.76%	49.1%6.92%	85.5%0.73%	49.5%13.12%	86.5%0.34%	87.2%0.05%	54.1%5.07%	67.2%2.83%
Buffalo Bills	20.0%0.60%		57.9%0.06%	23.8%0.02%	47.8%0.05%	25.3%0.32%	24.7%0.17%	52.0%0.18%	17.2%1.09%	21.8%0.60%	38.9%0.02%	19.9%0.86%	78.6%0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	21.3%0.75%	34.4%0.28%
Cincinnati Bengals	19.6%0.30%	42.1%0.06%			45.8%0.06%	23.7%0.36%	21.6%0.18%	47.0%0.17%	17.1%1.01%	18.1%0.66%	54.2%0.06%	17.3%1.32%	50.0%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	19.9%0.36%	26.5%0.27%
Cleveland Browns	15.2%0.05%	76.2%0.02%			72.2%0.02%	32.8%0.06%	23.8%0.04%	59.5%0.04%	20.7%0.31%	19.4%0.15%	33.3%0.01%	22.1%0.40%	66.7%<0.01%		28.7%0.08%	33.3%0.06%
Denver Broncos	22.3%0.55%	52.2%0.05%	54.2%0.06%	27.8%0.02%		31.4%0.26%	28.2%0.17%	53.9%0.15%	17.9%0.89%	24.2%0.50%	65.1%0.04%	21.3%1.14%	54.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	23.7%0.61%	35.1%0.23%
Houston Texans	39.5%3.58%	74.7%0.32%	76.3%0.36%	67.2%0.06%	68.6%0.26%		44.3%0.28%	69.0%0.31%	35.1%5.83%	36.8%3.75%	77.6%0.29%	39.5%7.71%	82.0%0.14%	80.0%0.01%	43.8%3.79%	56.0%0.45%
Indianapolis Colts	42.0%2.31%	75.3%0.17%	78.4%0.18%	76.2%0.04%	71.8%0.17%	55.7%0.28%		75.6%0.13%	35.5%3.96%	41.3%2.47%	85.0%0.20%	42.1%5.01%	79.6%0.10%	100.0%0.01%	45.2%2.50%	59.0%0.24%
Jacksonville Jaguars	20.9%2.03%	48.0%0.18%	53.0%0.17%	40.5%0.04%	46.1%0.15%	31.0%0.31%	24.4%0.13%		17.8%2.82%	19.4%1.97%	58.0%0.18%	21.2%3.73%	61.7%0.08%	75.0%<0.01%	23.7%1.90%	41.5%0.25%
Kansas City Chiefs	55.5%9.76%	82.8%1.09%	82.9%1.01%	79.3%0.31%	82.1%0.89%	64.9%5.83%	64.5%3.96%	82.2%2.82%		54.6%13.34%	87.3%0.98%	54.1%13.84%	90.2%0.48%	91.2%0.06%	57.6%9.86%	71.4%4.88%
Los Angeles Chargers	50.9%6.92%	78.2%0.60%	81.9%0.66%	80.6%0.15%	75.8%0.50%	63.2%3.75%	58.7%2.47%	80.6%1.97%	45.4%13.34%		86.9%0.60%	50.3%10.99%	90.7%0.28%	90.9%0.02%	54.4%7.18%	69.5%2.86%
Miami Dolphins	14.5%0.73%	61.1%0.02%	45.8%0.06%	66.7%0.01%	34.9%0.04%	22.4%0.29%	15.0%0.20%	42.0%0.18%	12.7%0.98%	13.1%0.60%		13.4%0.78%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	20.7%0.70%	27.4%0.28%
New England Patriots	50.5%13.12%	80.1%0.86%	82.7%1.32%	77.9%0.40%	78.7%1.14%	60.5%7.71%	57.9%5.01%	78.8%3.73%	45.9%13.84%	49.7%10.99%	86.6%0.78%		86.4%0.36%	85.7%0.08%	54.5%12.24%	67.1%6.11%
New York Jets	13.5%0.34%	21.4%0.01%	50.0%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	45.5%0.02%	18.0%0.14%	20.4%0.10%	38.3%0.08%	9.8%0.48%	9.3%0.28%	0.0%<0.01%	13.6%0.36%		25.0%<0.01%	14.1%0.37%	20.5%0.13%
Oakland Raiders	12.8%0.05%	20.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	0.0%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	8.8%0.06%	9.1%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	14.3%0.08%	75.0%<0.01%		9.5%0.04%	17.6%0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.9%5.07%	78.7%0.75%	80.1%0.36%	71.2%0.08%	76.3%0.61%	56.2%3.79%	54.8%2.50%	76.3%1.90%	42.4%9.86%	45.6%7.18%	79.3%0.70%	45.5%12.24%	85.9%0.37%	90.5%0.04%		62.1%3.12%
Tennessee Titans	32.8%2.83%	65.6%0.28%	73.5%0.27%	66.7%0.06%	64.9%0.23%	44.0%0.45%	41.0%0.24%	58.5%0.25%	28.6%4.88%	30.5%2.86%	72.6%0.28%	32.9%6.11%	79.5%0.13%	82.4%0.02%	37.9%3.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		18.8%0.03%	21.4%0.01%	11.3%0.07%	9.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	13.4%0.08%	15.4%0.04%	8.7%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%	12.7%0.10%		30.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	81.2%0.03%		57.6%0.32%	30.1%2.44%	44.3%1.05%	55.3%0.33%	65.6%0.32%	29.6%4.17%	49.6%1.31%	22.2%4.37%	71.7%0.05%	34.9%2.85%	66.7%0.08%	38.2%1.51%	67.2%0.06%	67.6%0.45%
Carolina Panthers	78.6%0.01%	42.4%0.32%		24.0%1.53%	38.0%0.68%	50.8%0.19%	57.4%0.22%	23.6%2.79%	35.8%0.91%	16.9%2.73%	54.5%0.03%	27.9%1.84%	57.4%0.05%	32.6%0.91%	51.5%0.03%	60.0%0.27%
Chicago Bears	88.7%0.07%	69.9%2.44%	76.0%1.53%		67.4%2.93%	75.2%0.34%	81.0%0.43%	48.7%12.13%	65.4%1.93%	38.3%12.02%	82.6%0.11%	55.2%7.87%	86.5%0.21%	57.7%4.42%	82.3%0.37%	85.5%1.27%
Dallas Cowboys	90.3%0.03%	55.7%1.05%	62.0%0.68%	32.6%2.93%		64.1%0.32%	69.0%0.47%	33.1%5.47%	51.9%1.71%	24.4%5.91%	38.5%0.01%	40.5%1.69%	80.8%0.07%	41.4%1.79%	83.4%0.15%	68.0%0.18%
Detroit Lions	100.0%<0.01%	44.7%0.33%	49.2%0.19%	24.8%0.34%	35.9%0.32%		68.3%0.04%	25.2%1.85%	40.6%0.16%	16.8%1.78%	65.0%0.02%	30.6%1.02%	48.3%0.03%	30.9%0.57%	60.0%0.05%	67.4%0.17%
Green Bay Packers	66.7%0.01%	34.4%0.32%	42.6%0.22%	19.0%0.43%	31.0%0.47%	31.7%0.04%		18.6%2.02%	26.4%0.21%	12.2%2.15%	57.9%0.02%	22.8%1.29%	58.1%0.03%	21.9%0.71%	48.5%0.07%	55.7%0.21%
Los Angeles Rams	86.6%0.08%	70.4%4.17%	76.4%2.79%	51.3%12.13%	66.9%5.47%	74.8%1.85%	81.4%2.02%		68.6%6.50%	39.6%14.78%	90.4%0.34%	57.5%12.76%	84.1%0.26%	58.5%8.29%	83.9%0.69%	84.0%2.06%
Minnesota Vikings	84.6%0.04%	50.4%1.31%	64.2%0.91%	34.6%1.93%	48.1%1.71%	59.4%0.16%	73.6%0.21%	31.4%6.50%		24.2%6.93%	75.0%0.10%	37.6%4.28%	71.0%0.10%	40.8%2.54%	73.0%0.23%	73.0%0.68%
New Orleans Saints	91.3%0.15%	77.8%4.37%	83.1%2.73%	61.7%12.02%	75.6%5.91%	83.2%1.78%	87.8%2.15%	60.4%14.78%	75.8%6.93%		86.7%0.32%	68.0%14.04%	91.1%0.42%	68.7%7.63%	89.8%0.52%	89.1%2.39%
New York Giants	100.0%<0.01%	28.3%0.05%	45.5%0.03%	17.4%0.11%	61.5%0.01%	35.0%0.02%	42.1%0.02%	9.6%0.34%	25.0%0.10%	13.3%0.32%		20.9%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.10%	50.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	87.3%0.10%	65.1%2.85%	72.1%1.84%	44.8%7.87%	59.5%1.69%	69.4%1.02%	77.2%1.29%	42.5%12.76%	62.4%4.28%	32.0%14.04%	79.1%0.04%		84.2%0.24%	51.9%5.21%	78.8%0.43%	84.2%0.59%
San Francisco 49ers		33.3%0.08%	42.6%0.05%	13.5%0.21%	19.2%0.07%	51.7%0.03%	41.9%0.03%	15.9%0.26%	29.0%0.10%	8.9%0.42%	100.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.24%		19.6%0.06%	27.3%0.01%	48.6%0.04%
Seattle Seahawks	70.0%0.02%	61.8%1.51%	67.4%0.91%	42.3%4.42%	58.6%1.79%	69.1%0.57%	78.1%0.71%	41.5%8.29%	59.2%2.54%	31.3%7.63%	73.3%0.10%	48.1%5.21%	80.4%0.06%		77.3%0.26%	79.6%0.82%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	100.0%<0.01%	32.8%0.06%	48.5%0.03%	17.7%0.37%	16.6%0.15%	40.0%0.05%	51.5%0.07%	16.1%0.69%	27.0%0.23%	10.2%0.52%	50.0%0.01%	21.2%0.43%	72.7%0.01%	22.7%0.26%		65.1%0.06%
Washington Redskins	57.1%<0.01%	32.4%0.45%	40.0%0.27%	14.5%1.27%	32.0%0.18%	32.6%0.17%	44.3%0.21%	16.0%2.06%	27.0%0.68%	10.9%2.39%	50.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.59%	51.4%0.04%	20.4%0.82%	34.9%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		74.0%0.15%	84.9%0.07%	81.0%0.02%	79.8%0.18%	59.9%1.63%	56.6%1.11%	78.7%0.44%	44.0%7.58%	47.4%4.95%	88.8%0.12%	51.4%6.82%	80.7%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	54.3%1.93%	62.3%1.04%
Buffalo Bills	26.0%0.15%		50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	40.7%0.06%	18.2%0.04%	53.3%0.01%	20.8%0.33%	20.9%0.20%	66.7%<0.01%	23.8%0.13%		100.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.17%	33.3%0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals	15.1%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%	22.6%0.05%	28.9%0.04%	60.0%0.02%	17.0%0.27%	14.7%0.19%	80.0%<0.01%	15.2%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%		16.9%0.07%	41.5%0.04%
Cleveland Browns	19.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	17.0%0.09%	22.2%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	30.1%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%		42.9%0.01%	27.3%0.01%
Denver Broncos	20.2%0.18%	60.0%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		28.4%0.07%	14.9%0.05%	48.1%0.03%	21.1%0.15%	25.4%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	22.0%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	26.3%0.17%	33.3%0.04%
Houston Texans	40.1%1.63%	59.3%0.06%	77.4%0.05%	72.7%0.02%	71.6%0.07%		48.2%0.17%	60.0%0.06%	35.9%2.97%	41.3%1.86%	73.2%0.04%	40.9%2.57%	93.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	44.0%1.49%	50.2%0.20%
Indianapolis Colts	43.4%1.11%	81.8%0.04%	71.1%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	85.1%0.05%	51.8%0.17%		76.9%0.05%	39.4%2.04%	45.3%1.25%	76.9%0.03%	43.6%1.76%	93.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	49.4%1.03%	64.0%0.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars	21.3%0.44%	46.7%0.01%	40.0%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	51.9%0.03%	40.0%0.06%	23.1%0.05%		19.9%0.80%	22.6%0.57%	23.1%0.01%	24.7%0.70%	85.7%<0.01%		30.6%0.43%	33.3%0.05%
Kansas City Chiefs	56.0%7.58%	79.2%0.33%	83.0%0.27%	83.0%0.09%	78.9%0.15%	64.1%2.97%	60.6%2.04%	80.1%0.80%		53.7%4.43%	89.0%0.26%	54.7%13.86%	86.1%0.11%	75.0%<0.01%	58.4%7.05%	69.4%2.12%
Los Angeles Chargers	52.6%4.95%	79.1%0.20%	85.3%0.19%	77.8%0.05%	74.6%0.11%	58.7%1.86%	54.7%1.25%	77.4%0.57%	46.3%4.43%		86.1%0.16%	50.7%9.07%	96.4%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	54.4%4.57%	68.2%1.25%
Miami Dolphins	11.2%0.12%	33.3%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	26.8%0.04%	23.1%0.03%	76.9%0.01%	11.0%0.26%	13.9%0.16%		15.5%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%		14.0%0.12%	28.1%0.03%
New England Patriots	48.6%6.82%	76.2%0.13%	84.8%0.26%	69.9%0.08%	78.0%0.36%	59.1%2.57%	56.4%1.76%	75.3%0.70%	45.3%13.86%	49.3%9.07%	84.5%0.08%		90.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	53.2%6.36%	65.7%1.67%
New York Jets	19.3%0.06%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	6.2%0.02%	6.7%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	13.9%0.11%	3.6%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	10.0%0.03%			14.9%0.05%	21.4%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.7%1.93%	75.0%0.17%	83.1%0.07%	57.1%0.01%	73.7%0.17%	56.0%1.49%	50.6%1.03%	69.4%0.43%	41.6%7.05%	45.6%4.57%	86.0%0.12%	46.8%6.36%	85.1%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%		63.6%1.09%
Tennessee Titans	37.7%1.04%	66.7%0.04%	58.5%0.04%	72.7%0.01%	66.7%0.04%	49.8%0.20%	36.0%0.12%	66.7%0.05%	30.6%2.12%	31.8%1.25%	71.9%0.03%	34.3%1.67%	78.6%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.4%1.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	6.2%0.03%		0.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	100.0%<0.01%		57.1%0.04%	29.1%0.99%	43.1%0.29%	59.4%0.07%	59.7%0.06%	30.5%1.99%	49.9%0.37%	24.8%1.27%	50.0%<0.01%	35.5%0.88%	100.0%<0.01%	38.6%0.64%	100.0%<0.01%	74.5%0.05%
Carolina Panthers	50.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.04%		26.5%0.53%	41.3%0.13%	48.6%0.04%	60.0%0.03%	25.4%1.03%	37.3%0.20%	18.4%0.68%	50.0%<0.01%	30.7%0.43%	66.7%<0.01%	33.7%0.31%	100.0%<0.01%	65.6%0.03%
Chicago Bears	100.0%<0.01%	70.9%0.99%	73.5%0.53%		68.1%1.18%	76.6%0.11%	76.0%0.10%	49.4%6.59%	62.4%0.66%	39.8%9.34%	84.6%0.03%	56.1%3.78%	93.0%0.04%	58.0%2.21%	72.6%0.07%	79.5%0.22%
Dallas Cowboys	83.3%<0.01%	56.9%0.29%	58.7%0.13%	31.9%1.18%		57.8%0.08%	71.8%0.08%	35.2%2.21%	55.0%0.43%	26.8%2.71%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.50%	60.0%0.01%	41.7%0.73%	68.6%0.03%	75.0%0.02%
Detroit Lions	0.0%<0.01%	40.6%0.07%	51.4%0.04%	23.4%0.11%	42.2%0.08%		50.0%<0.01%	23.7%0.45%	46.3%0.04%	19.1%0.71%	50.0%<0.01%	28.2%0.26%	50.0%<0.01%	33.9%0.17%	42.9%<0.01%	61.1%0.02%
Green Bay Packers	100.0%<0.01%	40.3%0.06%	40.0%0.03%	24.0%0.10%	28.2%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%		21.0%0.45%	29.7%0.04%	15.6%0.62%	33.3%<0.01%	25.2%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.14%	75.0%<0.01%	63.2%0.02%
Los Angeles Rams	88.9%<0.01%	69.5%1.99%	74.6%1.03%	50.6%6.59%	64.8%2.21%	76.3%0.45%	79.0%0.45%		67.2%2.64%	40.2%18.25%	83.1%0.07%	57.0%6.89%	77.1%0.03%	57.5%2.11%	84.0%0.19%	83.5%0.47%
Minnesota Vikings	80.0%<0.01%	50.1%0.37%	62.7%0.20%	37.6%0.66%	45.0%0.43%	53.7%0.04%	70.3%0.04%	32.8%2.64%		27.2%3.42%	62.5%<0.01%	40.8%1.31%	71.4%<0.01%	41.1%0.92%	79.1%0.04%	66.3%0.09%
New Orleans Saints	93.8%0.03%	75.2%1.27%	81.6%0.68%	60.2%9.34%	73.2%2.71%	80.9%0.71%	84.4%0.62%	59.8%18.25%	72.8%3.42%		89.6%0.07%	66.1%9.01%	89.9%0.11%	66.9%6.41%	80.9%0.09%	88.6%0.54%
New York Giants		50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	16.9%0.07%	37.5%<0.01%	10.4%0.07%		50.0%0.01%		21.4%0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	100.0%0.01%	64.5%0.88%	69.3%0.43%	43.9%3.78%	60.0%0.50%	71.8%0.26%	74.8%0.21%	43.0%6.89%	59.2%1.31%	33.9%9.01%	50.0%0.01%		96.1%0.05%	51.7%2.35%	77.6%0.08%	75.3%0.08%
San Francisco 49ers		0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	7.0%0.04%	40.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	22.9%0.03%	28.6%<0.01%	10.1%0.11%		3.9%0.05%		20.0%0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks		61.4%0.64%	66.3%0.31%	42.0%2.21%	58.3%0.73%	66.1%0.17%	80.6%0.14%	42.5%2.11%	58.9%0.92%	33.1%6.41%	78.6%0.01%	48.3%2.35%	80.0%0.01%		82.7%0.07%	70.4%0.16%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	27.4%0.07%	31.4%0.03%	57.1%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	16.0%0.19%	20.9%0.04%	19.1%0.09%		22.4%0.08%		17.3%0.07%		25.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins		25.5%0.05%	34.4%0.03%	20.5%0.22%	25.0%0.02%	38.9%0.02%	36.8%0.02%	16.5%0.47%	33.7%0.09%	11.4%0.54%		24.7%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	29.6%0.16%	75.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		61.1%0.30%	63.1%0.13%	47.1%1.77%	57.3%0.42%	68.9%0.09%	64.4%0.06%	49.6%2.97%	59.1%0.52%	40.5%4.54%	70.0%0.01%	54.5%1.48%	100.0%<0.01%	55.4%0.99%	68.2%0.02%	82.5%0.04%
Buffalo Bills		22.2%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	21.2%0.07%	14.3%<0.01%	12.0%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	18.9%0.04%		21.1%0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	17.4%0.02%	37.5%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	21.3%0.05%	28.6%<0.01%	8.3%0.08%		21.1%0.02%		25.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns				33.3%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%			31.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	21.2%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	21.6%0.04%	40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	29.0%0.06%	50.0%0.01%	20.8%0.10%		32.4%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	32.0%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans	100.0%<0.01%	55.6%0.10%	66.1%0.06%	39.5%0.59%	52.5%0.14%	76.2%0.02%	62.5%0.02%	45.0%1.09%	58.1%0.15%	32.8%1.54%	75.0%<0.01%	50.3%0.51%	50.0%<0.01%	48.6%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts		67.6%0.07%	72.7%0.03%	44.0%0.47%	62.0%0.09%	70.0%0.02%	69.2%0.01%	44.9%0.80%	56.8%0.12%	35.4%1.18%	100.0%<0.01%	48.0%0.41%	100.0%<0.01%	51.2%0.24%	66.7%<0.01%	58.8%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars		42.1%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	24.8%0.11%	28.6%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.16%	32.4%0.04%	17.4%0.28%		27.0%0.09%		32.8%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	100.0%<0.01%	67.0%0.52%	71.8%0.20%	48.3%3.31%	58.6%0.74%	71.7%0.14%	68.8%0.09%	50.5%5.45%	61.9%0.87%	41.0%8.54%	84.6%0.01%	54.9%2.85%	90.9%0.01%	56.2%1.71%	63.6%0.03%	85.3%0.10%
Los Angeles Chargers	100.0%<0.01%	64.0%0.35%	73.8%0.17%	45.3%2.00%	62.5%0.48%	64.8%0.07%	86.2%0.06%	47.9%3.52%	61.8%0.58%	40.1%5.36%	100.0%<0.01%	53.1%1.78%	100.0%<0.01%	54.5%1.01%	78.6%0.01%	76.1%0.05%
Miami Dolphins		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	16.4%0.06%		0.0%0.01%		16.7%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	100.0%<0.01%	62.9%0.54%	72.6%0.21%	43.3%2.83%	58.4%0.64%	60.9%0.11%	78.2%0.09%	46.0%5.03%	58.2%0.78%	36.0%7.87%	100.0%<0.01%	48.5%2.53%	69.2%0.01%	49.9%1.60%	88.5%0.03%	80.6%0.07%
New York Jets		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			14.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%		14.3%<0.01%		22.2%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders		0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%								100.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers		59.2%0.24%	64.1%0.13%	39.7%1.59%	54.5%0.36%	69.2%0.05%	84.3%0.05%	45.6%2.64%	57.5%0.42%	35.3%3.98%	50.0%<0.01%	48.1%1.31%	57.1%<0.01%	48.8%0.86%	92.9%0.01%	64.1%0.04%
Tennessee Titans		54.5%0.07%	46.4%0.03%	36.0%0.34%	44.6%0.09%	33.3%0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	37.2%0.61%	45.3%0.12%	25.0%0.95%	0.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.30%	100.0%<0.01%	39.0%0.17%	25.0%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																						0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	38.9%0.30%	77.8%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.10%	32.4%0.07%	57.9%0.02%	33.0%0.52%	36.0%0.35%	0.0%<0.01%	37.1%0.54%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.8%0.24%	45.5%0.07%
Carolina Panthers																	36.9%0.13%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		75.0%<0.01%	33.9%0.06%	27.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	28.2%0.20%	26.2%0.17%	0.0%<0.01%	27.4%0.21%			35.9%0.13%	53.6%0.03%
Chicago Bears																	52.9%1.77%	80.0%0.04%	82.6%0.02%	66.7%0.01%	78.4%0.04%	60.5%0.59%	56.0%0.47%	75.2%0.11%	51.7%3.31%	54.7%2.00%	100.0%0.01%	56.7%2.83%	100.0%<0.01%		60.3%1.59%	64.0%0.34%
Dallas Cowboys																	42.7%0.42%	66.7%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	47.5%0.14%	38.0%0.09%	71.4%0.02%	41.4%0.74%	37.5%0.48%	100.0%<0.01%	41.6%0.64%	100.0%<0.01%		45.5%0.36%	55.4%0.09%
Detroit Lions																	31.1%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	23.8%0.02%	30.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	28.3%0.14%	35.2%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	39.1%0.11%		100.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.05%	66.7%0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	35.6%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	30.8%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.09%	13.8%0.06%		21.8%0.09%			15.7%0.05%	37.5%<0.01%
Los Angeles Rams																	50.4%2.97%	78.8%0.07%	78.7%0.05%	68.4%0.02%	71.0%0.06%	55.0%1.09%	55.1%0.80%	73.9%0.16%	49.5%5.45%	52.1%3.52%	75.0%0.03%	54.0%5.03%	85.7%<0.01%		54.4%2.64%	62.8%0.61%
Minnesota Vikings																	40.9%0.52%	85.7%<0.01%	71.4%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	41.9%0.15%	43.2%0.12%	67.6%0.04%	38.1%0.87%	38.2%0.58%	50.0%<0.01%	41.8%0.78%	100.0%<0.01%		42.5%0.42%	54.7%0.12%
New Orleans Saints																	59.5%4.54%	88.0%0.09%	91.7%0.08%	78.8%0.03%	79.2%0.10%	67.2%1.54%	64.6%1.18%	82.6%0.28%	59.0%8.54%	59.9%5.36%	83.6%0.06%	64.0%7.87%	84.6%0.01%		64.7%3.98%	75.0%0.95%
New York Giants																	30.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%				25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		15.4%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	45.5%1.48%	81.1%0.04%	78.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	67.6%0.03%	49.7%0.51%	52.0%0.41%	73.0%0.09%	45.1%2.85%	46.9%1.78%	100.0%0.01%	51.5%2.53%	85.7%<0.01%		51.9%1.31%	63.6%0.30%
San Francisco 49ers																	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		9.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		30.8%0.01%			42.9%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	44.6%0.99%	78.9%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	68.0%0.03%	51.4%0.36%	48.8%0.24%	67.2%0.06%	43.8%1.71%	45.5%1.01%	83.3%<0.01%	50.1%1.60%	77.8%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	51.2%0.86%	61.0%0.17%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	31.8%0.02%					0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.03%	21.4%0.01%		11.5%0.03%			7.1%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	17.5%0.04%				100.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.01%	41.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	14.7%0.10%	23.9%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.07%			35.9%0.04%	14.3%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New Orleans Saints	100.00%	74.61%	51.63%	30.64%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	61.41%	39.55%	17.52%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Los Angeles Rams	100.00%	59.35%	22.27%	11.29%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
New England Patriots	100.00%	60.25%	25.25%	10.35%	Won Super Bowl
Chicago Bears	67.56%	29.84%	12.84%	7.29%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Baltimore Ravens	61.01%	25.60%	12.44%	5.96%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Chargers	38.99%	16.92%	8.42%	4.14%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Houston Texans	56.12%	19.90%	8.07%	3.14%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	43.88%	15.92%	6.28%	2.87%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks	47.11%	14.31%	5.32%	2.85%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	32.44%	9.54%	4.17%	2.29%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Dallas Cowboys	52.89%	12.37%	3.77%	1.66%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Los Angeles Chargers
Baltimore Ravens				61.0%100.00%
Houston Texans			56.1%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts		43.9%100.00%
Los Angeles Chargers	39.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears			67.6%100.00%
Dallas Cowboys				52.9%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles	32.4%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks		47.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens				39.7%34.14%		44.8%26.86%
Houston Texans						35.5%56.12%
Indianapolis Colts				36.3%43.88%
Kansas City Chiefs	60.3%34.14%		63.7%43.88%		58.5%21.98%
Los Angeles Chargers				41.5%21.98%		45.9%17.02%
New England Patriots	55.2%26.86%	64.5%56.12%			54.1%17.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears			44.2%67.56%
Dallas Cowboys			29.6%17.08%	20.4%35.82%
Los Angeles Rams	55.8%67.56%	70.4%17.08%				62.5%15.36%
New Orleans Saints		79.6%35.82%			70.6%32.44%	73.1%31.74%
Philadelphia Eagles				29.4%32.44%
Seattle Seahawks			37.5%15.36%	26.9%31.74%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens		48.1%4.87%	63.7%4.40%	41.7%7.65%		47.4%8.68%
Houston Texans	51.9%4.87%			33.2%11.83%	50.2%3.20%
Indianapolis Colts	36.3%4.40%				34.9%2.82%	42.4%8.71%
Kansas City Chiefs	58.3%7.65%	66.8%11.83%			57.4%4.99%	65.8%36.94%
Los Angeles Chargers		49.8%3.20%	65.1%2.82%	42.6%4.99%		48.5%5.92%
New England Patriots	52.6%8.68%		57.6%8.71%	34.2%36.94%	51.5%5.92%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Chicago Bears		72.9%3.37%		34.6%22.71%		67.1%3.76%
Dallas Cowboys	27.1%3.37%		32.3%3.94%	23.5%3.58%	50.5%1.48%
Los Angeles Rams		67.7%3.94%		29.5%44.29%	57.0%6.33%	61.2%4.79%
New Orleans Saints	65.4%22.71%	76.5%3.58%	70.5%44.29%			70.0%4.02%
Philadelphia Eagles		49.5%1.48%	43.0%6.33%			41.3%1.74%
Seattle Seahawks	32.9%3.76%		38.8%4.79%	30.0%4.02%	58.7%1.74%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks	Baltimore Ravens	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens	45.6%1.62%	60.2%0.45%	53.8%2.78%	45.1%6.42%	47.5%0.51%	48.0%0.67%
Houston Texans	36.6%1.00%	47.8%0.30%	44.3%1.79%	36.1%4.20%	41.0%0.35%	40.0%0.43%
Indianapolis Colts	46.4%0.80%	63.6%0.21%	51.5%1.43%	41.6%3.22%	49.3%0.28%	45.6%0.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	43.2%5.16%	56.7%1.55%	49.5%8.80%	41.0%20.34%	45.0%1.61%	47.8%2.09%
Los Angeles Chargers	49.6%1.08%	60.6%0.32%	55.2%1.88%	44.8%4.29%	51.3%0.38%	53.6%0.47%
New England Patriots	41.0%3.19%	52.6%0.94%	45.9%5.59%	37.8%13.16%	42.3%1.04%	43.1%1.33%
Chicago Bears							54.4%1.62%	63.4%1.00%	53.6%0.80%	56.8%5.16%	50.4%1.08%	59.0%3.19%
Dallas Cowboys							39.8%0.45%	52.2%0.30%	36.4%0.21%	43.3%1.55%	39.4%0.32%	47.4%0.94%
Los Angeles Rams							46.2%2.78%	55.7%1.79%	48.5%1.43%	50.5%8.80%	44.8%1.88%	54.1%5.59%
New Orleans Saints							54.9%6.42%	63.9%4.20%	58.4%3.22%	59.0%20.34%	55.2%4.29%	62.2%13.16%
Philadelphia Eagles							52.5%0.51%	59.0%0.35%	50.7%0.28%	55.0%1.61%	48.7%0.38%	57.7%1.04%
Seattle Seahawks							52.0%0.67%	60.0%0.43%	54.4%0.33%	52.2%2.09%	46.4%0.47%	56.9%1.33%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New Orleans Saints 30.64% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

38.21%

Win Prob

79.60%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

60.47%

Win Prob

70.50%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

39.16%

Win Prob

59.00%

Kansas City Chiefs 17.52% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

45.53%

Win Prob

63.71%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

61.51%

Win Prob

65.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

47.59%

Win Prob

41.00%

Los Angeles Rams 11.29% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

63.56%

Win Prob

55.83%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

58.67%

Win Prob

29.50%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

39.39%

Win Prob

50.53%

New England Patriots 10.35% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

60.12%

Win Prob

64.55%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

49.96%

Win Prob

34.15%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

48.03%

Win Prob

37.77%

Chicago Bears 7.29% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

67.56%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

44.17%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

61.25%

Win Prob

34.61%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.16%

Win Prob

56.78%

Baltimore Ravens 5.96% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.01%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

52.94%

Win Prob

39.69%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

33.05%

Win Prob

47.36%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

48.56%

Win Prob

45.08%

Los Angeles Chargers 4.14% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.99%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

53.86%

Win Prob

41.48%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

34.05%

Win Prob

48.45%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

46.53%

Win Prob

44.84%

Houston Texans 3.14% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.12%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.45%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

48.74%

Win Prob

33.23%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

48.36%

Win Prob

36.13%

Indianapolis Colts 2.87% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.88%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.29%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

58.85%

Win Prob

42.41%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

46.68%

Win Prob

41.61%

Seattle Seahawks 2.85% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.11%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

59.77%

Win Prob

26.93%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

34.98%

Win Prob

38.84%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

38.25%

Win Prob

52.23%

Philadelphia Eagles 2.29% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.44%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.40%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

65.27%

Win Prob

43.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

38.65%

Win Prob

55.01%

Dallas Cowboys 1.66% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.89%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

59.08%

Win Prob

20.40%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

33.70%

Win Prob

32.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.65%

Win Prob

43.34%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2018-09-09	Washington Redskins	L 6-24	1474.10	1469.12	61.21%	37.98%	-46.94	0-1
2018-09-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 0-34	1427.16	1573.99	21.37%	78.03%	-22.58	0-2
2018-09-23	Chicago Bears	L 14-16	1404.58	1479.04	50.00%	49.16%	-12.80	0-3
2018-09-30	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-20	1391.78	1514.22	43.14%	56.02%	-13.54	0-4
2018-10-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-18	1378.24	1460.07	28.28%	71.02%	+40.55	1-4
2018-10-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-27	1418.79	1525.80	25.45%	73.89%	-14.59	1-5
2018-10-18	Denver Broncos	L 10-45	1404.20	1398.91	61.25%	37.94%	-65.50	1-6
2018-10-28	San Francisco 49ers	W 18-15	1338.70	1381.87	54.49%	44.68%	+14.02	2-6
2018-11-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-26	1352.72	1686.66	8.52%	91.18%	-5.33	2-7
2018-11-18	Oakland Raiders	L 21-23	1347.39	1281.10	69.15%	30.12%	-17.66	2-8
2018-11-25	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-45	1329.73	1618.74	10.75%	88.89%	-11.49	2-9
2018-12-02	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1318.24	1457.71	22.09%	77.30%	+24.16	3-9
2018-12-09	Detroit Lions	L 3-17	1342.40	1417.78	49.87%	49.29%	-33.78	3-10
2018-12-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-40	1308.62	1439.98	22.90%	76.48%	-21.16	3-11
2018-12-23	Los Angeles Rams	L 9-31	1287.46	1634.10	17.36%	82.12%	-14.74	3-12
2018-12-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-27	1272.72	1611.03	8.33%	91.38%	-2.60	3-13
2018-09-06	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 12-18	1569.45	1621.48	31.86%	67.39%	-14.15	0-1
2018-09-16	Carolina Panthers	W 31-24	1555.30	1546.06	61.79%	37.41%	+17.94	1-1
2018-09-23	New Orleans Saints	L 37-43	1573.24	1539.43	65.05%	34.17%	-28.79	1-2
2018-09-30	Cincinnati Bengals	L 36-37	1544.45	1510.47	65.08%	34.15%	-11.76	1-3
2018-10-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-41	1532.69	1518.66	40.58%	58.59%	-36.03	1-4
2018-10-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-29	1496.66	1467.53	64.44%	34.78%	+14.10	2-4
2018-10-22	New York Giants	W 23-20	1510.76	1354.39	78.95%	20.47%	+6.42	3-4
2018-11-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-14	1517.18	1525.71	37.50%	61.69%	+54.62	4-4
2018-11-11	@ Cleveland Browns	L 16-28	1571.80	1337.42	70.75%	28.54%	-44.25	4-5
2018-11-18	Dallas Cowboys	L 19-22	1527.55	1509.02	63.04%	36.17%	-19.73	4-6
2018-11-22	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-31	1507.82	1745.77	13.89%	85.67%	-9.40	4-7
2018-12-02	Baltimore Ravens	L 16-26	1498.42	1570.25	50.38%	48.78%	-28.84	4-8
2018-12-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-34	1469.58	1433.55	43.66%	55.50%	-29.60	4-9
2018-12-16	Arizona Cardinals	W 40-14	1439.98	1308.62	76.48%	22.90%	+21.16	5-9
2018-12-23	@ Carolina Panthers	W 24-10	1461.14	1481.37	35.94%	63.27%	+42.77	6-9
2018-12-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-32	1503.91	1405.19	52.64%	46.51%	+11.92	7-9
2018-09-09	Buffalo Bills	W 47-3	1540.42	1486.13	67.67%	31.58%	+37.99	1-0
2018-09-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-34	1578.41	1503.45	49.23%	49.93%	-29.56	1-1
2018-09-23	Denver Broncos	W 27-14	1548.85	1469.79	70.69%	28.60%	+18.70	2-1
2018-09-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-14	1567.55	1555.53	40.31%	58.87%	+36.87	3-1
2018-10-07	@ Cleveland Browns	L 9-12	1604.42	1385.53	68.89%	30.38%	-21.55	3-2
2018-10-14	@ Tennessee Titans	W 21-0	1582.87	1507.39	49.30%	49.85%	+41.36	4-2
2018-10-21	New Orleans Saints	L 23-24	1624.23	1618.59	61.30%	37.89%	-11.08	4-3
2018-10-28	@ Carolina Panthers	L 21-36	1613.15	1558.66	46.29%	52.87%	-32.47	4-4
2018-11-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-23	1580.68	1593.35	58.78%	40.40%	-28.12	4-5
2018-11-18	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-21	1552.56	1460.70	72.18%	27.13%	+8.52	5-5
2018-11-25	Oakland Raiders	W 34-17	1561.08	1298.76	87.29%	12.31%	+9.17	6-5
2018-12-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 26-16	1570.25	1498.42	48.78%	50.38%	+28.84	7-5
2018-12-09	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1599.09	1685.57	27.74%	71.56%	-8.72	7-6
2018-12-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-12	1590.37	1426.49	79.65%	19.78%	+10.14	8-6
2018-12-22	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 22-10	1600.51	1665.95	30.22%	69.05%	+43.19	9-6
2018-12-30	Cleveland Browns	W 26-24	1643.70	1465.31	80.96%	18.49%	+4.74	10-6
2018-09-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-47	1486.13	1540.42	31.58%	67.67%	-38.00	0-1
2018-09-16	Los Angeles Chargers	L 20-31	1448.13	1511.55	51.59%	47.57%	-30.96	0-2
2018-09-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 27-6	1417.17	1586.36	19.30%	80.14%	+66.24	1-2
2018-09-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 0-22	1483.41	1440.83	44.59%	54.57%	-37.89	1-3
2018-10-07	Tennessee Titans	W 13-12	1445.52	1516.19	50.54%	48.61%	+8.80	2-3
2018-10-14	@ Houston Texans	L 13-20	1454.32	1417.33	43.80%	55.36%	-21.00	2-4
2018-10-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 5-37	1433.32	1377.54	46.47%	52.68%	-47.61	2-5
2018-10-29	New England Patriots	L 6-25	1385.71	1628.03	27.62%	71.68%	-21.83	2-6
2018-11-04	Chicago Bears	L 9-41	1363.88	1520.34	38.43%	60.76%	-39.42	2-7
2018-11-11	@ New York Jets	W 41-10	1324.46	1400.32	28.98%	70.31%	+70.69	3-7
2018-11-25	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1395.15	1432.10	55.37%	43.79%	+13.74	4-7
2018-12-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-21	1408.89	1394.95	40.57%	58.61%	-14.70	4-8
2018-12-09	New York Jets	L 23-27	1394.19	1306.66	71.68%	27.62%	-25.89	4-9
2018-12-16	Detroit Lions	W 14-13	1368.30	1451.55	48.73%	50.42%	+9.13	5-9
2018-12-23	@ New England Patriots	L 12-24	1377.43	1611.75	14.14%	85.41%	-8.86	5-10
2018-12-30	Miami Dolphins	W 42-17	1368.57	1364.67	61.06%	38.13%	+34.56	6-10
2018-09-09	Dallas Cowboys	W 16-8	1526.89	1517.48	61.81%	37.39%	+19.17	1-0
2018-09-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-31	1546.06	1555.30	37.41%	61.79%	-17.94	1-1
2018-09-23	Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-21	1528.12	1533.01	59.86%	39.33%	+22.54	2-1
2018-10-07	New York Giants	W 33-31	1550.66	1386.67	79.66%	19.77%	+5.07	3-1
2018-10-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-23	1555.73	1471.19	50.60%	48.55%	-22.44	3-2
2018-10-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-17	1533.29	1608.60	29.04%	70.24%	+25.37	4-2
2018-10-28	Baltimore Ravens	W 36-21	1558.66	1613.15	52.87%	46.29%	+32.47	5-2
2018-11-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 42-28	1591.13	1451.21	77.35%	22.04%	+14.95	6-2
2018-11-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-52	1606.08	1621.46	36.59%	62.62%	-36.94	6-3
2018-11-18	@ Detroit Lions	L 19-20	1569.14	1445.97	56.13%	43.04%	-10.15	6-4
2018-11-25	Seattle Seahawks	L 27-30	1558.99	1552.36	61.44%	37.76%	-19.23	6-5
2018-12-02	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-24	1539.76	1414.61	56.41%	42.76%	-26.99	6-6
2018-12-09	@ Cleveland Browns	L 20-26	1512.77	1414.01	52.65%	46.51%	-23.34	6-7
2018-12-17	New Orleans Saints	L 9-12	1489.43	1749.11	25.68%	73.65%	-8.06	6-8
2018-12-23	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-24	1481.37	1461.14	63.27%	35.94%	-42.78	6-9
2018-12-30	@ New Orleans Saints	W 33-14	1438.59	1763.98	8.91%	90.78%	+23.75	7-9
2018-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 23-24	1463.99	1459.24	39.30%	59.88%	-7.13	0-1
2018-09-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-17	1456.86	1511.35	52.87%	46.29%	+22.18	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 16-14	1479.04	1404.58	49.16%	50.00%	+12.80	2-1
2018-09-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 48-10	1491.84	1514.15	57.44%	41.74%	+46.63	3-1
2018-10-14	@ Miami Dolphins	L 28-31	1538.47	1456.84	50.19%	48.97%	-15.73	3-2
2018-10-21	New England Patriots	L 31-38	1522.74	1604.58	48.94%	50.22%	-23.45	3-3
2018-10-28	New York Jets	W 24-10	1499.29	1440.40	68.24%	31.02%	+21.05	4-3
2018-11-04	@ Buffalo Bills	W 41-9	1520.34	1363.88	60.76%	38.43%	+39.41	5-3
2018-11-11	Detroit Lions	W 34-22	1559.75	1462.64	72.78%	26.54%	+16.67	6-3
2018-11-18	Minnesota Vikings	W 25-20	1576.42	1572.92	61.01%	38.18%	+15.48	7-3
2018-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-16	1591.90	1456.12	57.90%	41.27%	+19.79	8-3
2018-12-02	@ New York Giants	L 27-30	1611.69	1363.01	72.41%	26.90%	-22.64	8-4
2018-12-09	Los Angeles Rams	W 15-6	1589.05	1699.62	44.82%	54.34%	+29.49	9-4
2018-12-16	Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1618.54	1463.16	78.86%	20.56%	+9.85	10-4
2018-12-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 14-9	1628.39	1384.97	71.81%	27.49%	+11.15	11-4
2018-12-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-10	1639.54	1584.07	46.43%	52.73%	+35.70	12-4
2018-09-09	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 34-23	1471.76	1416.87	46.35%	52.81%	+31.69	1-0
2018-09-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 34-23	1503.45	1578.41	49.93%	49.23%	+29.56	2-0
2018-09-23	@ Carolina Panthers	L 21-31	1533.01	1528.12	39.33%	59.86%	-22.54	2-1
2018-09-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 37-36	1510.47	1544.45	34.15%	65.08%	+11.76	3-1
2018-10-07	Miami Dolphins	W 27-17	1522.23	1475.49	66.72%	32.53%	+18.65	4-1
2018-10-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-28	1540.88	1554.70	58.62%	40.55%	-28.04	4-2
2018-10-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-45	1512.84	1639.41	23.38%	75.98%	-25.08	4-3
2018-10-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-34	1487.76	1462.29	63.96%	35.25%	+11.07	5-3
2018-11-11	New Orleans Saints	L 14-51	1498.83	1684.33	34.57%	64.65%	-38.13	5-4
2018-11-18	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 21-24	1460.70	1552.56	27.13%	72.18%	-8.52	5-5
2018-11-25	Cleveland Browns	L 20-35	1452.18	1381.68	69.66%	29.61%	-48.72	5-6
2018-12-02	Denver Broncos	L 10-24	1403.46	1490.15	48.24%	50.92%	-32.69	5-7
2018-12-09	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 21-26	1370.77	1649.47	11.33%	88.29%	-4.57	5-8
2018-12-16	Oakland Raiders	W 30-16	1366.20	1308.16	68.14%	31.12%	+21.11	6-8
2018-12-23	@ Cleveland Browns	L 18-26	1387.31	1449.62	30.60%	68.66%	-15.69	6-9
2018-12-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-16	1371.62	1606.92	14.08%	85.48%	-4.41	6-10
2018-09-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	T 21-21	1384.15	1561.47	35.64%	63.57%	+1.25	0-0
2018-09-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 18-21	1385.40	1532.74	21.32%	78.08%	-6.69	0-1
2018-09-20	New York Jets	W 21-17	1378.71	1476.49	46.65%	52.51%	+19.00	1-1
2018-09-30	@ Oakland Raiders	L 42-45	1397.71	1396.72	38.79%	60.40%	-12.18	1-2
2018-10-07	Baltimore Ravens	W 12-9	1385.53	1604.42	30.38%	68.89%	+21.55	2-2
2018-10-14	Los Angeles Chargers	L 14-38	1407.08	1548.06	40.55%	58.63%	-36.01	2-3
2018-10-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-26	1371.07	1453.42	28.22%	71.08%	-8.86	2-4
2018-10-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 18-33	1362.21	1582.74	15.13%	84.40%	-10.60	2-5
2018-11-04	Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-37	1351.61	1672.48	19.58%	79.86%	-14.19	2-6
2018-11-11	Atlanta Falcons	W 28-16	1337.42	1571.80	28.54%	70.75%	+44.26	3-6
2018-11-25	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-20	1381.68	1452.18	29.61%	69.66%	+48.72	4-6
2018-12-02	@ Houston Texans	L 13-29	1430.40	1564.60	22.61%	76.77%	-16.39	4-7
2018-12-09	Carolina Panthers	W 26-20	1414.01	1512.77	46.51%	52.65%	+23.33	5-7
2018-12-15	@ Denver Broncos	W 17-16	1437.34	1494.00	31.29%	67.97%	+12.28	6-7
2018-12-23	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-18	1449.62	1387.31	68.66%	30.60%	+15.69	7-7
2018-12-30	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 24-26	1465.31	1643.70	18.49%	80.96%	-4.73	7-8
2018-09-09	@ Carolina Panthers	L 8-16	1517.48	1526.89	37.39%	61.81%	-19.17	0-1
2018-09-16	New York Giants	W 20-13	1498.31	1401.18	72.78%	26.54%	+12.73	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-24	1511.04	1489.17	41.67%	57.50%	-25.05	1-2
2018-09-30	Detroit Lions	W 26-24	1485.99	1476.32	61.85%	37.35%	+9.58	2-2
2018-10-07	@ Houston Texans	L 16-19	1495.57	1401.02	52.04%	47.11%	-16.32	2-3
2018-10-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 40-7	1479.25	1569.71	47.70%	51.46%	+53.50	3-3
2018-10-21	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1532.75	1493.63	44.10%	55.06%	-13.84	3-4
2018-11-05	Tennessee Titans	L 14-28	1518.91	1460.00	68.25%	31.01%	-46.12	3-5
2018-11-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-20	1472.79	1598.31	23.49%	75.87%	+36.23	4-5
2018-11-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 22-19	1509.02	1527.55	36.17%	63.04%	+19.73	5-5
2018-11-22	Washington Redskins	W 31-23	1528.75	1492.48	65.37%	33.86%	+17.36	6-5
2018-11-29	New Orleans Saints	W 13-10	1546.11	1755.18	31.58%	67.67%	+21.17	7-5
2018-12-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 29-23	1567.28	1565.68	60.75%	38.44%	+17.07	8-5
2018-12-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 0-23	1584.35	1526.58	46.76%	52.40%	-40.61	8-6
2018-12-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-20	1543.74	1416.36	76.07%	23.30%	+11.17	9-6
2018-12-30	@ New York Giants	W 36-35	1554.91	1405.75	59.76%	39.43%	+2.38	10-6
2018-09-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-24	1448.30	1526.96	49.39%	49.76%	+15.60	1-0
2018-09-16	Oakland Raiders	W 20-19	1463.90	1416.93	66.75%	32.50%	+5.89	2-0
2018-09-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-27	1469.79	1548.85	28.60%	70.69%	-18.70	2-1
2018-10-01	Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-27	1451.09	1616.24	37.26%	61.94%	-13.51	2-2
2018-10-07	@ New York Jets	L 16-34	1437.58	1438.28	38.56%	60.63%	-29.66	2-3
2018-10-14	Los Angeles Rams	L 20-23	1407.92	1641.02	28.69%	70.60%	-9.01	2-4
2018-10-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 45-10	1398.91	1404.20	37.94%	61.25%	+65.50	3-4
2018-10-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 23-30	1464.41	1664.48	16.70%	82.80%	-8.00	3-5
2018-11-04	Houston Texans	L 17-19	1456.41	1509.97	53.00%	46.16%	-13.56	3-6
2018-11-18	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 23-22	1442.85	1633.53	17.46%	82.02%	+14.79	4-6
2018-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-17	1457.64	1669.58	31.23%	68.03%	+32.51	5-6
2018-12-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-10	1490.15	1403.46	50.92%	48.24%	+32.68	6-6
2018-12-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 14-20	1522.83	1333.59	65.14%	34.09%	-28.83	6-7
2018-12-15	Cleveland Browns	L 16-17	1494.00	1437.34	67.97%	31.29%	-12.27	6-8
2018-12-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-27	1481.73	1287.04	65.84%	33.39%	-42.89	6-9
2018-12-30	Los Angeles Chargers	L 9-23	1438.84	1622.76	34.78%	64.44%	-23.59	6-10
2018-09-10	New York Jets	L 17-48	1514.19	1440.27	70.07%	29.21%	-70.46	0-1
2018-09-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 27-30	1443.73	1471.73	34.93%	64.29%	-10.97	0-2
2018-09-23	New England Patriots	W 26-10	1432.76	1585.41	38.95%	60.24%	+43.56	1-2
2018-09-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-26	1476.32	1485.99	37.35%	61.85%	-9.58	1-3
2018-10-07	Green Bay Packers	W 31-23	1466.74	1478.72	58.88%	40.30%	+20.66	2-3
2018-10-21	@ Miami Dolphins	W 32-21	1487.40	1472.58	40.69%	58.48%	+35.07	3-3
2018-10-28	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-28	1522.47	1544.82	57.43%	41.74%	-38.85	3-4
2018-11-04	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 9-24	1483.62	1551.94	29.87%	69.40%	-20.98	3-5
2018-11-11	@ Chicago Bears	L 22-34	1462.64	1559.75	26.54%	72.78%	-16.67	3-6
2018-11-18	Carolina Panthers	W 20-19	1445.97	1569.14	43.04%	56.13%	+10.15	4-6
2018-11-22	Chicago Bears	L 16-23	1456.12	1591.90	41.27%	57.90%	-19.79	4-7
2018-12-02	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-30	1436.33	1681.07	27.34%	71.96%	-18.55	4-8
2018-12-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-3	1417.78	1342.40	49.29%	49.87%	+33.77	5-8
2018-12-16	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-14	1451.55	1368.30	50.42%	48.73%	-9.12	5-9
2018-12-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 9-27	1442.43	1549.21	45.36%	53.80%	-34.87	5-10
2018-12-30	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-0	1407.56	1471.68	30.38%	68.89%	+69.27	6-10
2018-09-09	Chicago Bears	W 24-23	1459.24	1463.99	59.88%	39.30%	+7.13	1-0
2018-09-16	Minnesota Vikings	T 29-29	1466.37	1586.92	43.41%	55.76%	+0.55	1-0
2018-09-23	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-31	1466.92	1468.28	38.47%	60.72%	-26.09	1-1
2018-09-30	Buffalo Bills	W 22-0	1440.83	1483.41	54.57%	44.59%	+37.89	2-1
2018-10-07	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-31	1478.72	1466.74	40.30%	58.88%	-20.66	2-2
2018-10-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 33-30	1458.06	1419.52	65.67%	33.57%	+10.54	3-2
2018-10-28	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 27-29	1468.60	1677.14	16.03%	83.48%	-4.10	3-3
2018-11-04	@ New England Patriots	L 17-31	1464.50	1649.86	17.90%	81.57%	-12.13	3-4
2018-11-11	Miami Dolphins	W 31-12	1452.37	1430.83	63.44%	35.77%	+28.27	4-4
2018-11-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-27	1480.64	1542.74	30.62%	68.64%	-9.62	4-5
2018-11-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-24	1471.02	1557.45	27.75%	71.55%	-13.31	4-6
2018-12-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-20	1457.71	1318.24	77.30%	22.09%	-24.16	4-7
2018-12-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-20	1433.55	1469.58	55.50%	43.66%	+29.61	5-7
2018-12-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-24	1463.16	1618.54	20.56%	78.86%	-9.86	5-8
2018-12-23	@ New York Jets	W 44-38	1453.30	1318.40	57.78%	41.40%	+18.38	6-8
2018-12-30	Detroit Lions	L 0-31	1471.68	1407.56	68.89%	30.38%	-69.27	6-9
2018-09-09	@ New England Patriots	L 20-27	1424.53	1603.11	18.48%	80.98%	-8.85	0-1
2018-09-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-20	1415.68	1465.05	32.19%	67.05%	-10.11	0-2
2018-09-23	New York Giants	L 22-27	1405.57	1388.45	62.85%	36.36%	-25.40	0-3
2018-09-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 37-34	1380.17	1426.23	32.61%	66.63%	+20.85	1-3
2018-10-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-16	1401.02	1495.57	47.11%	52.04%	+16.31	2-3
2018-10-14	Buffalo Bills	W 20-13	1417.33	1454.32	55.36%	43.80%	+21.00	3-3
2018-10-21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-7	1438.33	1516.22	28.74%	70.55%	+45.93	4-3
2018-10-25	Miami Dolphins	W 42-23	1484.26	1437.51	66.72%	32.52%	+25.71	5-3
2018-11-04	@ Denver Broncos	W 19-17	1509.97	1456.41	46.16%	53.00%	+13.56	6-3
2018-11-18	@ Washington Redskins	W 23-21	1523.53	1507.39	40.88%	58.30%	+14.91	7-3
2018-11-26	Tennessee Titans	W 34-17	1538.44	1510.94	64.23%	34.99%	+26.16	8-3
2018-12-02	Cleveland Browns	W 29-13	1564.60	1430.40	76.77%	22.61%	+16.39	9-3
2018-12-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 21-24	1580.99	1504.57	70.37%	28.91%	-22.01	9-4
2018-12-15	@ New York Jets	W 29-22	1558.98	1332.54	69.80%	29.47%	+14.14	10-4
2018-12-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 30-32	1573.12	1584.63	37.10%	62.10%	-9.51	10-5
2018-12-30	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-3	1563.61	1430.64	76.64%	22.73%	+16.98	11-5
2018-09-09	Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-34	1416.87	1471.76	52.81%	46.35%	-31.69	0-1
2018-09-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-9	1385.18	1516.06	22.94%	76.43%	+47.77	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-20	1432.95	1610.48	18.57%	80.89%	-6.72	1-2
2018-09-30	Houston Texans	L 34-37	1426.23	1380.17	66.63%	32.61%	-20.85	1-3
2018-10-04	@ New England Patriots	L 24-38	1405.38	1576.65	19.12%	80.33%	-12.95	1-4
2018-10-14	@ New York Jets	L 34-42	1392.43	1467.94	29.02%	70.27%	-14.89	1-5
2018-10-21	Buffalo Bills	W 37-5	1377.54	1433.32	52.68%	46.47%	+47.62	2-5
2018-10-28	@ Oakland Raiders	W 42-28	1425.16	1362.73	47.43%	51.73%	+35.03	3-5
2018-11-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 29-26	1460.19	1455.21	61.21%	37.98%	+11.92	4-5
2018-11-18	Tennessee Titans	W 38-10	1472.11	1559.85	48.09%	51.07%	+48.91	5-5
2018-11-25	Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1521.02	1402.56	75.13%	24.22%	+7.60	6-5
2018-12-02	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-6	1528.62	1418.35	54.29%	44.87%	-24.05	6-6
2018-12-09	@ Houston Texans	W 24-21	1504.57	1580.99	28.91%	70.37%	+22.01	7-6
2018-12-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 23-0	1526.58	1584.35	52.40%	46.76%	+40.61	8-6
2018-12-23	New York Giants	W 28-27	1567.19	1409.44	79.08%	20.34%	+3.69	9-6
2018-12-30	@ Tennessee Titans	W 33-17	1570.88	1567.92	39.06%	60.13%	+43.47	10-6
2018-09-09	@ New York Giants	W 20-15	1555.64	1417.79	58.19%	40.99%	+16.61	1-0
2018-09-16	New England Patriots	W 31-20	1572.25	1611.96	54.98%	44.19%	+26.55	2-0
2018-09-23	Tennessee Titans	L 6-9	1598.80	1475.17	75.68%	23.69%	-23.65	2-1
2018-09-30	New York Jets	W 31-12	1575.15	1457.49	75.04%	24.31%	+19.20	3-1
2018-10-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-30	1594.35	1629.75	33.97%	65.26%	-24.64	3-2
2018-10-14	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-40	1569.71	1479.25	51.46%	47.70%	-53.49	3-3
2018-10-21	Houston Texans	L 7-20	1516.22	1438.33	70.55%	28.74%	-45.93	3-4
2018-10-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 18-24	1470.29	1583.23	33.95%	65.28%	-15.08	3-5
2018-11-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 26-29	1455.21	1460.19	37.98%	61.21%	-11.93	3-6
2018-11-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-20	1443.28	1658.40	30.84%	68.42%	-11.18	3-7
2018-11-25	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-24	1432.10	1395.15	43.79%	55.37%	-13.75	3-8
2018-12-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 6-0	1418.35	1528.62	44.87%	54.29%	+24.06	4-8
2018-12-06	@ Tennessee Titans	L 9-30	1442.41	1491.71	32.20%	67.04%	-26.76	4-9
2018-12-16	Washington Redskins	L 13-16	1415.65	1392.82	63.61%	35.60%	-19.91	4-10
2018-12-23	@ Miami Dolphins	W 17-7	1395.74	1399.56	38.14%	61.05%	+34.90	5-10
2018-12-30	@ Houston Texans	L 3-20	1430.64	1563.61	22.73%	76.64%	-16.99	5-11
2018-09-09	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 38-28	1543.41	1546.39	38.25%	60.94%	+34.83	1-0
2018-09-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 42-37	1578.24	1560.21	41.14%	58.04%	+23.47	2-0
2018-09-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 38-27	1601.71	1482.69	75.19%	24.17%	+14.53	3-0
2018-10-01	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-23	1616.24	1451.09	61.94%	37.26%	+13.51	4-0
2018-10-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-14	1629.75	1594.35	65.26%	33.97%	+24.64	5-0
2018-10-14	@ New England Patriots	L 40-43	1654.39	1589.60	47.76%	51.39%	-14.98	5-1
2018-10-21	Cincinnati Bengals	W 45-10	1639.41	1512.84	75.98%	23.38%	+25.07	6-1
2018-10-28	Denver Broncos	W 30-23	1664.48	1464.41	82.80%	16.70%	+8.00	7-1
2018-11-04	@ Cleveland Browns	W 37-21	1672.48	1351.61	79.86%	19.58%	+14.18	8-1
2018-11-11	Arizona Cardinals	W 26-14	1686.66	1352.72	91.18%	8.52%	+5.33	9-1
2018-11-19	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 51-54	1691.99	1667.89	41.99%	57.19%	-13.18	9-2
2018-12-02	@ Oakland Raiders	W 40-33	1678.81	1289.58	85.42%	14.14%	+6.76	10-2
2018-12-09	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-24	1685.57	1599.09	71.56%	27.74%	+8.72	11-2
2018-12-13	Los Angeles Chargers	L 28-29	1694.29	1654.05	65.89%	33.35%	-11.91	11-3
2018-12-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 31-38	1682.38	1585.99	52.31%	46.85%	-25.04	11-4
2018-12-30	Oakland Raiders	W 35-3	1657.34	1329.93	90.88%	8.82%	+9.00	12-4
2018-09-09	Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-38	1546.39	1543.41	60.94%	38.25%	-34.84	0-1
2018-09-16	@ Buffalo Bills	W 31-20	1511.55	1448.13	47.57%	51.59%	+30.97	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 23-35	1542.52	1596.57	31.61%	67.64%	-19.86	1-2
2018-09-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 29-27	1522.66	1468.17	67.69%	31.56%	+8.09	2-2
2018-10-07	Oakland Raiders	W 26-10	1530.75	1408.90	75.49%	23.87%	+17.31	3-2
2018-10-14	@ Cleveland Browns	W 38-14	1548.06	1407.08	58.63%	40.55%	+36.01	4-2
2018-10-21	Tennessee Titans	W 20-19	1584.07	1466.03	65.94%	33.30%	+6.04	5-2
2018-11-04	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 25-17	1590.11	1583.67	39.54%	59.65%	+30.50	6-2
2018-11-11	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-6	1620.61	1294.02	80.38%	19.07%	+12.92	7-2
2018-11-18	Denver Broncos	L 22-23	1633.53	1442.85	82.02%	17.46%	-14.79	7-3
2018-11-25	Arizona Cardinals	W 45-10	1618.74	1329.73	88.89%	10.75%	+11.49	8-3
2018-12-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 33-30	1630.23	1637.08	37.73%	61.47%	+19.24	9-3
2018-12-09	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-21	1649.47	1370.77	88.29%	11.33%	+4.58	10-3
2018-12-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 29-28	1654.05	1694.29	33.35%	65.89%	+11.90	11-3
2018-12-22	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-22	1665.95	1600.51	69.05%	30.22%	-43.19	11-4
2018-12-30	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-9	1622.76	1438.84	64.44%	34.78%	+23.59	12-4
2018-09-10	@ Oakland Raiders	W 33-13	1533.76	1457.16	49.46%	49.69%	+40.23	1-0
2018-09-16	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-0	1573.99	1427.16	78.03%	21.37%	+22.58	2-0
2018-09-23	Los Angeles Chargers	W 35-23	1596.57	1542.52	67.64%	31.61%	+19.86	3-0
2018-09-27	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-31	1616.43	1520.13	72.69%	26.63%	+12.77	4-0
2018-10-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 33-31	1629.20	1527.76	53.03%	46.12%	+11.82	5-0
2018-10-14	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-20	1641.02	1407.92	70.60%	28.69%	+9.01	6-0
2018-10-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 39-10	1650.03	1408.98	71.53%	27.77%	+27.11	7-0
2018-10-28	Green Bay Packers	W 29-27	1677.14	1468.60	83.48%	16.03%	+4.10	8-0
2018-11-04	@ New Orleans Saints	L 35-45	1681.24	1660.54	41.51%	57.66%	-23.79	8-1
2018-11-11	Seattle Seahawks	W 36-31	1657.45	1553.18	73.58%	25.75%	+10.44	9-1
2018-11-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 54-51	1667.89	1691.99	57.19%	41.99%	+13.18	10-1
2018-12-02	@ Detroit Lions	W 30-16	1681.07	1436.33	71.96%	27.34%	+18.55	11-1
2018-12-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-15	1699.62	1589.05	54.34%	44.82%	-29.49	11-2
2018-12-16	Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-30	1670.13	1548.61	75.45%	23.90%	-36.03	11-3
2018-12-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-9	1634.10	1287.46	82.12%	17.36%	+14.75	12-3
2018-12-30	San Francisco 49ers	W 48-32	1648.85	1373.82	88.07%	11.54%	+8.34	13-3
2018-09-09	Tennessee Titans	W 27-20	1440.09	1486.70	53.99%	45.16%	+21.65	1-0
2018-09-16	@ New York Jets	W 20-12	1461.74	1510.72	32.24%	67.00%	+34.23	2-0
2018-09-23	Oakland Raiders	W 28-20	1495.97	1411.04	71.38%	27.92%	+14.32	3-0
2018-09-30	@ New England Patriots	L 7-38	1510.29	1541.86	34.46%	64.76%	-34.80	3-1
2018-10-07	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-27	1475.49	1522.23	32.53%	66.72%	-18.65	3-2
2018-10-14	Chicago Bears	W 31-28	1456.84	1538.47	48.97%	50.19%	+15.74	4-2
2018-10-21	Detroit Lions	L 21-32	1472.58	1487.40	58.48%	40.69%	-35.07	4-3
2018-10-25	@ Houston Texans	L 23-42	1437.51	1484.26	32.52%	66.72%	-25.71	4-4
2018-11-04	New York Jets	W 13-6	1411.80	1419.35	59.49%	39.69%	+19.03	5-4
2018-11-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 12-31	1430.83	1452.37	35.77%	63.44%	-28.27	5-5
2018-11-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1402.56	1521.02	24.22%	75.13%	-7.61	5-6
2018-12-02	Buffalo Bills	W 21-17	1394.95	1408.89	58.61%	40.57%	+14.71	6-6
2018-12-09	New England Patriots	W 34-33	1409.66	1645.79	28.33%	70.96%	+12.81	7-6
2018-12-16	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-41	1422.47	1526.30	25.80%	73.53%	-22.91	7-7
2018-12-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-17	1399.56	1395.74	61.05%	38.14%	-34.89	7-8
2018-12-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-42	1364.67	1368.57	38.13%	61.06%	-34.57	7-9
2018-09-09	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-16	1572.71	1485.94	71.59%	27.71%	+14.21	1-0
2018-09-16	@ Green Bay Packers	T 29-29	1586.92	1466.37	55.76%	43.41%	-0.56	1-0
2018-09-23	Buffalo Bills	L 6-27	1586.36	1417.17	80.14%	19.30%	-66.23	1-1
2018-09-27	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 31-38	1520.13	1616.43	26.63%	72.69%	-12.78	1-2
2018-10-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-21	1507.35	1599.83	27.06%	72.25%	+18.45	2-2
2018-10-14	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-17	1525.80	1418.79	73.89%	25.45%	+14.59	3-2
2018-10-21	@ New York Jets	W 37-17	1540.39	1482.82	46.73%	52.43%	+42.42	4-2
2018-10-28	New Orleans Saints	L 20-30	1582.81	1629.67	53.96%	45.20%	-30.87	4-3
2018-11-04	Detroit Lions	W 24-9	1551.94	1483.62	69.40%	29.87%	+20.98	5-3
2018-11-18	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-25	1572.92	1576.42	38.18%	61.01%	-15.47	5-4
2018-11-25	Green Bay Packers	W 24-17	1557.45	1471.02	71.55%	27.75%	+13.31	6-4
2018-12-02	@ New England Patriots	L 10-24	1570.76	1624.30	31.68%	67.58%	-21.50	6-5
2018-12-10	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-21	1549.26	1585.58	33.85%	65.38%	-22.96	6-6
2018-12-16	Miami Dolphins	W 41-17	1526.30	1422.47	73.53%	25.80%	+22.91	7-6
2018-12-23	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-9	1549.21	1442.43	53.80%	45.36%	+34.86	8-6
2018-12-30	Chicago Bears	L 10-24	1584.07	1639.54	52.73%	46.43%	-35.70	8-7
2018-09-09	Houston Texans	W 27-20	1603.11	1424.53	80.98%	18.48%	+8.85	1-0
2018-09-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-31	1611.96	1572.25	44.19%	54.98%	-26.55	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-26	1585.41	1432.76	60.24%	38.95%	-43.55	1-2
2018-09-30	Miami Dolphins	W 38-7	1541.86	1510.29	64.76%	34.46%	+34.79	2-2
2018-10-04	Indianapolis Colts	W 38-24	1576.65	1405.38	80.33%	19.12%	+12.95	3-2
2018-10-14	Kansas City Chiefs	W 43-40	1589.60	1654.39	51.39%	47.76%	+14.98	4-2
2018-10-21	@ Chicago Bears	W 38-31	1604.58	1522.74	50.22%	48.94%	+23.45	5-2
2018-10-29	@ Buffalo Bills	W 25-6	1628.03	1385.71	71.68%	27.62%	+21.83	6-2
2018-11-04	Green Bay Packers	W 31-17	1649.86	1464.50	81.57%	17.90%	+12.12	7-2
2018-11-11	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-34	1661.98	1506.12	60.68%	38.51%	-53.73	7-3
2018-11-25	@ New York Jets	W 27-13	1608.25	1329.63	75.70%	23.66%	+16.05	8-3
2018-12-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-10	1624.30	1570.76	67.58%	31.68%	+21.49	9-3
2018-12-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 33-34	1645.79	1409.66	70.96%	28.33%	-12.81	9-4
2018-12-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-17	1632.98	1592.49	44.29%	54.87%	-21.23	9-5
2018-12-23	Buffalo Bills	W 24-12	1611.75	1377.43	85.41%	14.14%	+8.86	10-5
2018-12-30	New York Jets	W 38-3	1620.61	1300.02	90.55%	9.13%	+9.76	11-5
2018-09-09	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 40-48	1570.04	1470.49	73.05%	26.27%	-37.30	0-1
2018-09-16	Cleveland Browns	W 21-18	1532.74	1385.40	78.08%	21.32%	+6.69	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 43-37	1539.43	1573.24	34.17%	65.05%	+28.79	2-1
2018-09-30	@ New York Giants	W 33-18	1568.22	1413.85	60.48%	38.71%	+27.18	3-1
2018-10-08	Washington Redskins	W 43-19	1595.40	1494.38	73.22%	26.10%	+23.19	4-1
2018-10-21	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 24-23	1618.59	1624.23	37.89%	61.30%	+11.08	5-1
2018-10-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-20	1629.67	1582.81	45.20%	53.96%	+30.87	6-1
2018-11-04	Los Angeles Rams	W 45-35	1660.54	1681.24	57.66%	41.51%	+23.79	7-1
2018-11-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 51-14	1684.33	1498.83	64.65%	34.57%	+38.13	8-1
2018-11-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 48-7	1722.46	1562.08	79.33%	20.10%	+23.31	9-1
2018-11-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-17	1745.77	1507.82	85.67%	13.89%	+9.41	10-1
2018-11-29	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-13	1755.18	1546.11	67.67%	31.58%	-21.17	10-2
2018-12-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-14	1734.01	1441.59	77.12%	22.27%	+15.10	11-2
2018-12-17	@ Carolina Panthers	W 12-9	1749.11	1489.43	73.65%	25.68%	+8.06	12-2
2018-12-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-28	1757.17	1613.73	77.70%	21.70%	+6.81	13-2
2018-12-30	Carolina Panthers	L 14-33	1763.98	1438.59	90.78%	8.91%	-23.74	13-3
2018-09-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 15-20	1417.79	1555.64	40.99%	58.19%	-16.61	0-1
2018-09-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 13-20	1401.18	1498.31	26.54%	72.78%	-12.73	0-2
2018-09-23	@ Houston Texans	W 27-22	1388.45	1405.57	36.36%	62.85%	+25.40	1-2
2018-09-30	New Orleans Saints	L 18-33	1413.85	1568.22	38.71%	60.48%	-27.18	1-3
2018-10-07	@ Carolina Panthers	L 31-33	1386.67	1550.66	19.77%	79.66%	-5.07	1-4
2018-10-11	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-34	1381.60	1581.39	32.74%	66.50%	-27.21	1-5
2018-10-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1354.39	1510.76	20.47%	78.95%	-6.42	1-6
2018-10-28	Washington Redskins	L 13-20	1347.97	1507.47	38.02%	61.18%	-18.24	1-7
2018-11-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-23	1329.73	1401.53	29.46%	69.82%	+25.22	2-7
2018-11-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-35	1354.95	1399.96	54.22%	44.94%	+14.10	3-7
2018-11-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 22-25	1369.05	1538.77	19.25%	80.19%	-6.04	3-8
2018-12-02	Chicago Bears	W 30-27	1363.01	1611.69	26.90%	72.41%	+22.64	4-8
2018-12-09	@ Washington Redskins	W 40-16	1385.65	1454.25	29.84%	69.43%	+61.43	5-8
2018-12-16	Tennessee Titans	L 0-17	1447.08	1518.47	50.44%	48.71%	-37.64	5-9
2018-12-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-28	1409.44	1567.19	20.34%	79.08%	-3.69	5-10
2018-12-30	Dallas Cowboys	L 35-36	1405.75	1554.91	39.43%	59.76%	-2.38	5-11
2018-09-10	@ Detroit Lions	W 48-17	1440.27	1514.19	29.21%	70.07%	+70.45	1-0
2018-09-16	Miami Dolphins	L 12-20	1510.72	1461.74	67.00%	32.24%	-34.23	1-1
2018-09-20	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-21	1476.49	1378.71	52.51%	46.65%	-19.00	1-2
2018-09-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 12-31	1457.49	1575.15	24.31%	75.04%	-19.21	1-3
2018-10-07	Denver Broncos	W 34-16	1438.28	1437.58	60.63%	38.56%	+29.66	2-3
2018-10-14	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-34	1467.94	1392.43	70.27%	29.02%	+14.88	3-3
2018-10-21	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-37	1482.82	1540.39	52.43%	46.73%	-42.42	3-4
2018-10-28	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-24	1440.40	1499.29	31.02%	68.24%	-21.05	3-5
2018-11-04	@ Miami Dolphins	L 6-13	1419.35	1411.80	39.69%	59.49%	-19.03	3-6
2018-11-11	Buffalo Bills	L 10-41	1400.32	1324.46	70.31%	28.98%	-70.69	3-7
2018-11-25	New England Patriots	L 13-27	1329.63	1608.25	23.66%	75.70%	-16.05	3-8
2018-12-02	@ Tennessee Titans	L 22-26	1313.58	1484.78	19.12%	80.32%	-6.92	3-9
2018-12-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 27-23	1306.66	1394.19	27.62%	71.68%	+25.88	4-9
2018-12-15	Houston Texans	L 22-29	1332.54	1558.98	29.47%	69.80%	-14.14	4-10
2018-12-23	Green Bay Packers	L 38-44	1318.40	1453.30	41.40%	57.78%	-18.38	4-11
2018-12-30	@ New England Patriots	L 3-38	1300.02	1620.61	9.13%	90.55%	-9.76	4-12
2018-09-10	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-33	1457.16	1533.76	49.69%	49.46%	-40.23	0-1
2018-09-16	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-20	1416.93	1463.90	32.50%	66.75%	-5.89	0-2
2018-09-23	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-28	1411.04	1495.97	27.92%	71.38%	-14.32	0-3
2018-09-30	Cleveland Browns	W 45-42	1396.72	1397.71	60.40%	38.79%	+12.18	1-3
2018-10-07	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-26	1408.90	1530.75	23.87%	75.49%	-17.30	1-4
2018-10-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-27	1391.60	1515.95	32.50%	66.74%	-28.87	1-5
2018-10-28	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-42	1362.73	1425.16	51.73%	47.43%	-35.03	1-6
2018-11-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-34	1327.70	1367.85	33.36%	65.87%	-33.68	1-7
2018-11-11	Los Angeles Chargers	L 6-20	1294.02	1620.61	19.07%	80.38%	-12.92	1-8
2018-11-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-21	1281.10	1347.39	30.12%	69.15%	+17.66	2-8
2018-11-25	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-34	1298.76	1561.08	12.31%	87.29%	-9.18	2-9
2018-12-02	Kansas City Chiefs	L 33-40	1289.58	1678.81	14.14%	85.42%	-6.76	2-10
2018-12-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 24-21	1282.82	1617.83	18.33%	81.13%	+25.34	3-10
2018-12-16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-30	1308.16	1366.20	31.12%	68.14%	-21.12	3-11
2018-12-24	Denver Broncos	W 27-14	1287.04	1481.73	33.39%	65.84%	+42.89	4-11
2018-12-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-35	1329.93	1657.34	8.82%	90.88%	-9.00	4-12
2018-09-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 18-12	1621.48	1569.45	67.39%	31.86%	+14.15	1-0
2018-09-16	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-27	1635.63	1507.79	56.79%	42.38%	-25.15	1-1
2018-09-23	Indianapolis Colts	W 20-16	1610.48	1432.95	80.89%	18.57%	+6.72	2-1
2018-09-30	@ Tennessee Titans	L 23-26	1617.20	1498.82	55.45%	43.72%	-17.37	2-2
2018-10-07	Minnesota Vikings	L 21-23	1599.83	1507.35	72.25%	27.06%	-18.44	2-3
2018-10-11	@ New York Giants	W 34-13	1581.39	1381.60	66.50%	32.74%	+27.21	3-3
2018-10-21	Carolina Panthers	L 17-21	1608.60	1533.29	70.24%	29.04%	-25.37	3-4
2018-10-28	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-18	1583.23	1470.29	65.28%	33.95%	+15.08	4-4
2018-11-11	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-27	1598.31	1472.79	75.87%	23.49%	-36.23	4-5
2018-11-18	@ New Orleans Saints	L 7-48	1562.08	1722.46	20.10%	79.33%	-23.31	4-6
2018-11-25	New York Giants	W 25-22	1538.77	1369.05	80.19%	19.25%	+6.04	5-6
2018-12-03	Washington Redskins	W 28-13	1544.81	1475.11	69.57%	29.71%	+20.87	6-6
2018-12-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 23-29	1565.68	1567.28	38.44%	60.75%	-17.07	6-7
2018-12-16	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 30-23	1548.61	1670.13	23.90%	75.45%	+36.02	7-7
2018-12-23	Houston Texans	W 32-30	1584.63	1573.12	62.10%	37.10%	+9.52	8-7
2018-12-30	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-0	1594.15	1400.93	65.65%	33.58%	+29.83	9-7
2018-09-09	@ Cleveland Browns	T 21-21	1561.47	1384.15	63.57%	35.64%	-1.26	0-0
2018-09-16	Kansas City Chiefs	L 37-42	1560.21	1578.24	58.04%	41.14%	-23.47	0-1
2018-09-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-27	1536.74	1532.94	39.18%	60.01%	+18.79	1-1
2018-09-30	Baltimore Ravens	L 14-26	1555.53	1567.55	58.87%	40.31%	-36.87	1-2
2018-10-07	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-17	1518.66	1532.69	58.59%	40.58%	+36.04	2-2
2018-10-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-21	1554.70	1540.88	40.55%	58.62%	+28.04	3-2
2018-10-28	Cleveland Browns	W 33-18	1582.74	1362.21	84.40%	15.13%	+10.61	4-2
2018-11-04	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-16	1593.35	1580.68	40.40%	58.78%	+28.11	5-2
2018-11-08	Carolina Panthers	W 52-21	1621.46	1606.08	62.62%	36.59%	+36.94	6-2
2018-11-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-16	1658.40	1443.28	68.42%	30.84%	+11.18	7-2
2018-11-25	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-24	1669.58	1457.64	68.03%	31.23%	-32.50	7-3
2018-12-02	Los Angeles Chargers	L 30-33	1637.08	1630.23	61.47%	37.73%	-19.25	7-4
2018-12-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 21-24	1617.83	1282.82	81.13%	18.33%	-25.34	7-5
2018-12-16	New England Patriots	W 17-10	1592.49	1632.98	54.87%	44.29%	+21.24	8-5
2018-12-23	@ New Orleans Saints	L 28-31	1613.73	1757.17	21.70%	77.70%	-6.81	8-6
2018-12-30	Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-13	1606.92	1371.62	85.48%	14.08%	+4.41	9-6
2018-09-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-24	1485.94	1572.71	27.71%	71.59%	-14.21	0-1
2018-09-16	Detroit Lions	W 30-27	1471.73	1443.73	64.29%	34.93%	+10.96	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-38	1482.69	1601.71	24.17%	75.19%	-14.52	1-2
2018-09-30	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 27-29	1468.17	1522.66	31.56%	67.69%	-8.10	1-3
2018-10-07	Arizona Cardinals	L 18-28	1460.07	1378.24	71.02%	28.28%	-40.55	1-4
2018-10-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 30-33	1419.52	1458.06	33.57%	65.67%	-10.54	1-5
2018-10-21	Los Angeles Rams	L 10-39	1408.98	1650.03	27.77%	71.53%	-27.11	1-6
2018-10-28	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 15-18	1381.87	1338.70	44.68%	54.49%	-14.02	1-7
2018-11-01	Oakland Raiders	W 34-3	1367.85	1327.70	65.87%	33.36%	+33.68	2-7
2018-11-12	New York Giants	L 23-27	1401.53	1329.73	69.82%	29.46%	-25.21	2-8
2018-11-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 9-27	1376.32	1385.86	37.37%	61.83%	-28.75	2-9
2018-12-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-43	1347.57	1571.59	14.88%	84.66%	-13.98	2-10
2018-12-09	Denver Broncos	W 20-14	1333.59	1522.83	34.09%	65.14%	+28.82	3-10
2018-12-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 26-23	1362.41	1608.54	27.19%	72.12%	+22.56	4-10
2018-12-23	Chicago Bears	L 9-14	1384.97	1628.39	27.49%	71.81%	-11.15	4-11
2018-12-30	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 32-48	1373.82	1648.85	11.54%	88.07%	-8.35	4-12
2018-09-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-27	1526.96	1448.30	49.76%	49.39%	-15.61	0-1
2018-09-17	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-24	1511.35	1456.86	46.29%	52.87%	-22.18	0-2
2018-09-23	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-13	1489.17	1511.04	57.50%	41.67%	+25.05	1-2
2018-09-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1514.22	1391.78	56.02%	43.14%	+13.54	2-2
2018-10-07	Los Angeles Rams	L 31-33	1527.76	1629.20	46.12%	53.03%	-11.81	2-3
2018-10-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 27-3	1515.95	1391.60	66.74%	32.50%	+28.87	3-3
2018-10-28	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-14	1544.82	1522.47	41.74%	57.43%	+38.85	4-3
2018-11-04	Los Angeles Chargers	L 17-25	1583.67	1590.11	59.65%	39.54%	-30.49	4-4
2018-11-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 31-36	1553.18	1657.45	25.75%	73.58%	-10.44	4-5
2018-11-15	Green Bay Packers	W 27-24	1542.74	1480.64	68.64%	30.62%	+9.62	5-5
2018-11-25	@ Carolina Panthers	W 30-27	1552.36	1558.99	37.76%	61.44%	+19.23	6-5
2018-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	W 43-16	1571.59	1347.57	84.66%	14.88%	+13.99	7-5
2018-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-7	1585.58	1549.26	65.38%	33.85%	+22.96	8-5
2018-12-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 23-26	1608.54	1362.41	72.12%	27.19%	-22.55	8-6
2018-12-23	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-31	1585.99	1682.38	46.85%	52.31%	+25.04	9-6
2018-12-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-24	1611.03	1272.72	91.38%	8.33%	+2.61	10-6
2018-09-09	@ New Orleans Saints	W 48-40	1470.49	1570.04	26.27%	73.05%	+37.30	1-0
2018-09-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-21	1507.79	1635.63	42.38%	56.79%	+25.15	2-0
2018-09-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-30	1532.94	1536.74	60.01%	39.18%	-18.79	2-1
2018-09-30	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-48	1514.15	1491.84	41.74%	57.44%	-46.62	2-2
2018-10-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 29-34	1467.53	1496.66	34.78%	64.44%	-14.11	2-3
2018-10-21	Cleveland Browns	W 26-23	1453.42	1371.07	71.08%	28.22%	+8.87	3-3
2018-10-28	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 34-37	1462.29	1487.76	35.25%	63.96%	-11.08	3-4
2018-11-04	@ Carolina Panthers	L 28-42	1451.21	1591.13	22.04%	77.35%	-14.94	3-5
2018-11-11	Washington Redskins	L 3-16	1436.27	1471.08	55.67%	43.49%	-36.31	3-6
2018-11-18	@ New York Giants	L 35-38	1399.96	1354.95	44.94%	54.22%	-14.10	3-7
2018-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-9	1385.86	1376.32	61.83%	37.37%	+28.75	4-7
2018-12-02	Carolina Panthers	W 24-17	1414.61	1539.76	42.76%	56.41%	+26.98	5-7
2018-12-09	New Orleans Saints	L 14-28	1441.59	1734.01	22.27%	77.12%	-15.10	5-8
2018-12-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 12-20	1426.49	1590.37	19.78%	79.65%	-10.13	5-9
2018-12-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-27	1416.36	1543.74	23.30%	76.07%	-11.17	5-10
2018-12-30	Atlanta Falcons	L 32-34	1405.19	1503.91	46.51%	52.64%	-11.92	5-11
2018-09-09	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-27	1486.70	1440.09	45.16%	53.99%	-21.65	0-1
2018-09-16	Houston Texans	W 20-17	1465.05	1415.68	67.05%	32.19%	+10.12	1-1
2018-09-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 9-6	1475.17	1598.80	23.69%	75.68%	+23.65	2-1
2018-09-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-23	1498.82	1617.20	43.72%	55.45%	+17.37	3-1
2018-10-07	@ Buffalo Bills	L 12-13	1516.19	1445.52	48.61%	50.54%	-8.80	3-2
2018-10-14	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-21	1507.39	1582.87	49.85%	49.30%	-41.36	3-3
2018-10-21	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 19-20	1466.03	1584.07	33.30%	65.94%	-6.03	3-4
2018-11-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 28-14	1460.00	1518.91	31.01%	68.25%	+46.12	4-4
2018-11-11	New England Patriots	W 34-10	1506.12	1661.98	38.51%	60.68%	+53.73	5-4
2018-11-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-38	1559.85	1472.11	51.07%	48.09%	-48.91	5-5
2018-11-26	@ Houston Texans	L 17-34	1510.94	1538.44	34.99%	64.23%	-26.16	5-6
2018-12-02	New York Jets	W 26-22	1484.78	1313.58	80.32%	19.12%	+6.93	6-6
2018-12-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-9	1491.71	1442.41	67.04%	32.20%	+26.76	7-6
2018-12-16	@ New York Giants	W 17-0	1518.47	1447.08	48.71%	50.44%	+37.65	8-6
2018-12-22	Washington Redskins	W 25-16	1556.12	1412.73	77.69%	21.70%	+11.80	9-6
2018-12-30	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-33	1567.92	1570.88	60.13%	39.06%	-43.48	9-7
2018-09-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-6	1469.12	1474.10	37.98%	61.21%	+46.94	1-0
2018-09-16	Indianapolis Colts	L 9-21	1516.06	1385.18	76.43%	22.94%	-47.78	1-1
2018-09-23	Green Bay Packers	W 31-17	1468.28	1466.92	60.72%	38.47%	+26.10	2-1
2018-10-08	@ New Orleans Saints	L 19-43	1494.38	1595.40	26.10%	73.22%	-23.19	2-2
2018-10-14	Carolina Panthers	W 23-17	1471.19	1555.73	48.55%	50.60%	+22.44	3-2
2018-10-21	Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1493.63	1532.75	55.06%	44.10%	+13.84	4-2
2018-10-28	@ New York Giants	W 20-13	1507.47	1347.97	61.18%	38.02%	+18.24	5-2
2018-11-04	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-38	1525.71	1517.18	61.69%	37.50%	-54.63	5-3
2018-11-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 16-3	1471.08	1436.27	43.49%	55.67%	+36.31	6-3
2018-11-18	Houston Texans	L 21-23	1507.39	1523.53	58.30%	40.88%	-14.91	6-4
2018-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 23-31	1492.48	1528.75	33.86%	65.37%	-17.37	6-5
2018-12-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-28	1475.11	1544.81	29.71%	69.57%	-20.86	6-6
2018-12-09	New York Giants	L 16-40	1454.25	1385.65	69.43%	29.84%	-61.43	6-7
2018-12-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 16-13	1392.82	1415.65	35.60%	63.61%	+19.91	7-7
2018-12-22	@ Tennessee Titans	L 16-25	1412.73	1556.12	21.70%	77.69%	-11.80	7-8
2018-12-30	Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-24	1400.93	1594.15	33.58%	65.65%	-29.83	7-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2019-01-06	Los Angeles Chargers	L 17-23	1648.44	1646.35	61.24%	38.76%	-26.93	0-1
2019-01-06	Philadelphia Eagles	L 15-16	1675.24	1623.98	67.71%	32.29%	-12.16	0-1
2019-01-05	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-22	1557.29	1613.64	53.03%	46.97%	+11.93	1-0
2019-01-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 22-30	1569.22	1657.19	27.85%	72.15%	-14.14	1-1
2019-01-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-21	1580.59	1614.35	56.25%	43.75%	-37.77	0-1
2019-01-05	@ Houston Texans	W 21-7	1614.35	1580.59	43.75%	56.25%	+37.78	1-0
2019-01-12	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-31	1652.13	1666.34	37.11%	62.89%	-28.27	1-1
2019-01-12	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-13	1666.34	1652.13	62.89%	37.11%	+28.27	1-0
2019-01-20	New England Patriots	L 31-37	1694.61	1659.53	65.64%	34.36%	-28.87	1-1
2019-01-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-17	1646.35	1648.44	38.76%	61.24%	+26.93	1-0
2019-01-13	@ New England Patriots	L 28-41	1673.28	1630.37	45.05%	54.95%	-29.16	1-1
2019-01-12	Dallas Cowboys	W 30-22	1657.19	1569.22	72.15%	27.85%	+14.14	1-0
2019-01-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-23	1671.33	1751.68	28.74%	71.26%	+22.15	2-0
2019-02-03	New England Patriots	L 3-13	1693.48	1688.39	50.73%	49.27%	-28.79	2-1
2019-01-13	Los Angeles Chargers	W 41-28	1630.37	1673.28	54.95%	45.05%	+29.16	1-0
2019-01-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 37-31	1659.53	1694.61	34.36%	65.64%	+28.86	2-0
2019-02-03	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 13-3	1688.39	1693.48	49.27%	50.73%	+28.80	3-0
2019-01-13	Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-14	1740.24	1636.13	73.98%	26.02%	+11.44	1-0
2019-01-20	Los Angeles Rams	L 23-26	1751.68	1671.33	71.26%	28.74%	-22.16	1-1
2019-01-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 16-15	1623.98	1675.24	32.29%	67.71%	+12.15	1-0
2019-01-13	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-20	1636.13	1740.24	26.02%	73.98%	-11.44	1-1
2019-01-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 22-24	1613.64	1557.29	46.97%	53.03%	-11.93	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2018-12-30	8.91%	Carolina Panthers	1438.59	33	@ New Orleans Saints	1763.98	14
2	2018-11-18	17.46%	Denver Broncos	1442.85	23	@ Los Angeles Chargers	1633.53	22
3	2018-12-09	18.33%	@ Oakland Raiders	1282.82	24	Pittsburgh Steelers	1617.83	21
4	2018-09-23	19.30%	Buffalo Bills	1417.17	27	@ Minnesota Vikings	1586.36	6
5	2018-12-02	22.09%	Arizona Cardinals	1318.24	20	@ Green Bay Packers	1457.71	17
6	2018-09-16	22.94%	Indianapolis Colts	1385.18	21	@ Washington Redskins	1516.06	9
7	2018-11-11	23.49%	Dallas Cowboys	1472.79	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1598.31	20
8	2018-09-23	23.69%	Tennessee Titans	1475.17	9	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1598.80	6
9	2018-12-16	23.90%	Philadelphia Eagles	1548.61	30	@ Los Angeles Rams	1670.13	23
10	2018-09-09	26.27%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1470.49	48	@ New Orleans Saints	1570.04	40
11	2018-12-02	26.90%	@ New York Giants	1363.01	30	Chicago Bears	1611.69	27
12	2018-10-07	27.06%	Minnesota Vikings	1507.35	23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1599.83	21
13	2018-12-16	27.19%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1362.41	26	Seattle Seahawks	1608.54	23
14	2018-12-09	27.62%	New York Jets	1306.66	27	@ Buffalo Bills	1394.19	23
15	2018-10-07	28.28%	Arizona Cardinals	1378.24	28	@ San Francisco 49ers	1460.07	18
16	2018-12-09	28.33%	@ Miami Dolphins	1409.66	34	New England Patriots	1645.79	33
17	2018-11-11	28.54%	@ Cleveland Browns	1337.42	28	Atlanta Falcons	1571.80	16
18	2018-10-21	28.74%	Houston Texans	1438.33	20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1516.22	7
19	2019-01-20 *	28.74%	Los Angeles Rams	1671.33	26	@ New Orleans Saints	1751.68	23
20	2018-12-09	28.91%	Indianapolis Colts	1504.57	24	@ Houston Texans	1580.99	21
21	2018-11-11	28.98%	Buffalo Bills	1324.46	41	@ New York Jets	1400.32	10
22	2018-10-21	29.04%	Carolina Panthers	1533.29	21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1608.60	17
23	2018-09-10	29.21%	New York Jets	1440.27	48	@ Detroit Lions	1514.19	17
24	2018-11-12	29.46%	New York Giants	1329.73	27	@ San Francisco 49ers	1401.53	23
25	2018-11-25	29.61%	Cleveland Browns	1381.68	35	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1452.18	20

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2018-11-11	70.69	Buffalo Bills	41	1324.46	28.98%	@ New York Jets	10	1400.32	70.31%
2	2018-09-10	70.46	New York Jets	48	1440.27	29.21%	@ Detroit Lions	17	1514.19	70.07%
3	2018-12-30	69.27	Detroit Lions	31	1407.56	30.38%	@ Green Bay Packers	0	1471.68	68.89%
4	2018-09-23	66.24	Buffalo Bills	27	1417.17	19.30%	@ Minnesota Vikings	6	1586.36	80.14%
5	2018-10-18	65.50	Denver Broncos	45	1398.91	37.94%	@ Arizona Cardinals	10	1404.20	61.25%
6	2018-12-09	61.43	New York Giants	40	1385.65	29.84%	@ Washington Redskins	16	1454.25	69.43%
7	2018-11-04	54.63	Atlanta Falcons	38	1517.18	37.50%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1525.71	61.69%
8	2018-11-11	53.73	@ Tennessee Titans	34	1506.12	38.51%	New England Patriots	10	1661.98	60.68%
9	2018-10-14	53.50	@ Dallas Cowboys	40	1479.25	47.70%	Jacksonville Jaguars	7	1569.71	51.46%
10	2018-11-18	48.91	@ Indianapolis Colts	38	1472.11	48.09%	Tennessee Titans	10	1559.85	51.07%
11	2018-11-25	48.72	Cleveland Browns	35	1381.68	29.61%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	20	1452.18	69.66%
12	2018-09-16	47.78	Indianapolis Colts	21	1385.18	22.94%	@ Washington Redskins	9	1516.06	76.43%
13	2018-10-21	47.62	@ Indianapolis Colts	37	1377.54	52.68%	Buffalo Bills	5	1433.32	46.47%
14	2018-09-09	46.94	Washington Redskins	24	1469.12	37.98%	@ Arizona Cardinals	6	1474.10	61.21%
15	2018-09-30	46.63	@ Chicago Bears	48	1491.84	57.44%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10	1514.15	41.74%
16	2018-11-05	46.12	Tennessee Titans	28	1460.00	31.01%	@ Dallas Cowboys	14	1518.91	68.25%
17	2018-10-21	45.93	Houston Texans	20	1438.33	28.74%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	7	1516.22	70.55%
18	2018-11-11	44.26	@ Cleveland Browns	28	1337.42	28.54%	Atlanta Falcons	16	1571.80	70.75%
19	2018-09-23	43.56	@ Detroit Lions	26	1432.76	38.95%	New England Patriots	10	1585.41	60.24%
20	2018-12-30	43.48	Indianapolis Colts	33	1570.88	39.06%	@ Tennessee Titans	17	1567.92	60.13%
21	2018-12-22	43.19	Baltimore Ravens	22	1600.51	30.22%	@ Los Angeles Chargers	10	1665.95	69.05%
22	2018-12-24	42.89	@ Oakland Raiders	27	1287.04	33.39%	Denver Broncos	14	1481.73	65.84%
23	2018-12-23	42.78	Atlanta Falcons	24	1461.14	35.94%	@ Carolina Panthers	10	1481.37	63.27%
24	2018-10-21	42.42	Minnesota Vikings	37	1540.39	46.73%	@ New York Jets	17	1482.82	52.43%
25	2018-10-14	41.36	Baltimore Ravens	21	1582.87	49.30%	@ Tennessee Titans	0	1507.39	49.85%