2017 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Philadelphia Eagles

1st Super Bowl

Last Title: 1960

Runner-Up

New England Patriots

10th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2016

Biggest Overachiever

Minnesota Vikings

3.46 wins above expected

13 wins · 9.54 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Cleveland Browns

3.84 wins below expected

0 wins · 3.84 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	13	3	.812	-	458	296	+162	11.45	+1.55
2	Buffalo Bills Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	302	359	-57	7.54	+1.46
3	Miami Dolphins	6	10	.375	7	281	393	-112	6.71	-0.71
4	New York Jets	5	11	.312	8	298	382	-84	6.24	-1.24

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	13	3	.812	-	406	308	+98	10.54	+2.46
2	Baltimore Ravens	9	7	.562	4	395	303	+92	9.22	-0.22
3	Cincinnati Bengals	7	9	.438	6	290	349	-59	7.19	-0.19
4	Cleveland Browns	0	16	.000	13	234	410	-176	3.84	-3.84

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Jacksonville Jaguars Division	10	6	.625	-	417	268	+149	9.88	+0.12
2	Tennessee Titans Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	334	356	-22	8.24	+0.76
3	Indianapolis Colts	4	12	.250	6	263	404	-141	6.40	-2.40
4	Houston Texans	4	12	.250	6	338	436	-98	7.27	-3.27

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	10	6	.625	-	415	339	+76	10.50	-0.50
2	Los Angeles Chargers	9	7	.562	1	355	272	+83	7.86	+1.14
3	Oakland Raiders	6	10	.375	4	301	373	-72	7.23	-1.23
4	Denver Broncos	5	11	.312	5	289	382	-93	7.34	-2.34

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	13	3	.812	-	457	295	+162	10.34	+2.66
2	Dallas Cowboys	9	7	.562	4	354	332	+22	8.72	+0.28
3	Washington Redskins	7	9	.438	6	342	388	-46	7.59	-0.59
4	New York Giants	3	13	.188	10	246	388	-142	5.76	-2.76

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	13	3	.812	-	382	252	+130	9.54	+3.46
2	Detroit Lions	9	7	.562	4	410	376	+34	8.68	+0.32
3	Green Bay Packers	7	9	.438	6	320	384	-64	8.29	-1.29
4	Chicago Bears	5	11	.312	8	264	320	-56	5.83	-0.83

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New Orleans Saints Division	11	5	.688	-	448	326	+122	9.63	+1.37
2	Carolina Panthers Playoffs	11	5	.688	-	363	327	+36	8.53	+2.47
3	Atlanta Falcons Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	353	315	+38	9.18	+0.82
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	11	.312	6	335	382	-47	6.60	-1.60

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Rams Division	11	5	.688	-	478	329	+149	8.47	+2.53
2	Seattle Seahawks	9	7	.562	2	366	332	+34	9.32	-0.32
3	Arizona Cardinals	8	8	.500	3	295	361	-66	7.36	+0.64
4	San Francisco 49ers	6	10	.375	5	331	383	-52	4.70	+1.30

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Tennessee Titans 22

Kansas City Chiefs 21

Jan 6

Jacksonville Jaguars 10

Buffalo Bills 3

Jan 7

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 35

Tennessee Titans 14

Jan 13

Jacksonville Jaguars 45

Pittsburgh Steelers 42

Jan 14

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 24

Jacksonville Jaguars 20

Jan 21

NFC

Wild Card Round

Atlanta Falcons 26

Los Angeles Rams 13

Jan 6

New Orleans Saints 31

Carolina Panthers 26

Jan 7

Divisional Round

Philadelphia Eagles 15

Atlanta Falcons 10

Jan 13

Minnesota Vikings 29

New Orleans Saints 24

Jan 14

Conference Championship

Philadelphia Eagles 38

Minnesota Vikings 7

Jan 21

Super Bowl

Philadelphia Eagles 41

New England Patriots 33

Feb 4

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1729	13	11.45	+1.55	88.68%	3	8	10	12	13	14	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1688	13	9.54	+3.46	98.64%	2	6	8	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1684	13	10.34	+2.66	96.82%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1669	13	10.54	+2.46	95.88%	3	8	9	11	12	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1646	11	9.63	+1.37	84.80%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1636	10	9.18	+0.82	75.65%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1603	10	10.50	-0.50	49.08%	2	7	9	11	12	13	16
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1600	11	8.47	+2.53	94.58%	0	5	7	8	10	12	15
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1587	9	7.86	+1.14	81.15%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1577	11	8.53	+2.47	94.38%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1576	9	9.22	-0.22	55.95%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1576	10	9.88	+0.12	62.97%	1	7	9	10	11	13	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1556	9	9.32	-0.32	53.41%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1538	9	8.72	+0.28	65.72%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1530	9	8.68	+0.32	66.50%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1491	9	7.54	+1.46	85.29%	1	4	6	8	9	11	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1476	9	8.24	+0.76	74.32%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1471	6	4.70	+1.30	84.89%	0	2	3	5	6	8	13
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1454	8	7.36	+0.64	72.85%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1446	7	7.19	-0.19	57.37%	0	4	6	7	8	10	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1438	7	7.59	-0.59	48.66%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1433	5	6.60	-1.60	28.26%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1421	7	8.29	-1.29	34.02%	0	5	7	8	10	11	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1421	5	5.83	-0.83	44.11%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1413	6	7.23	-1.23	35.36%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1393	5	7.34	-2.34	16.87%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1387	6	6.71	-0.71	46.22%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1374	5	6.24	-1.24	35.65%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1330	4	6.40	-2.40	15.41%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1330	4	7.27	-3.27	6.36%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1323	3	5.76	-2.76	11.11%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1206	0	3.84	-3.84	1.04%	0	1	3	4	5	7	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-
New York Jets	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	-	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.0 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.7 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Chargers	Raiders
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Los Angeles Chargers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	-
Los Angeles Chargers	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Oakland Raiders	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.7 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	4-0 (2.1 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	4-0 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	1-3 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	-	-	4-0 (2.1 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	3-1 (1.2 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.39%	0.20%	1.56%	1.56%	0.78%	0.20%	—	4.69%
7–13	0.20%	2.34%	3.91%	5.08%	3.71%	0.78%	0.98%	16.99%
14–20	1.56%	3.91%	7.81%	6.25%	3.71%	1.56%	1.17%	25.98%
21–27	1.56%	5.08%	6.25%	8.59%	3.32%	0.78%	0.78%	26.37%
28–34	0.78%	3.71%	3.71%	3.32%	3.12%	1.17%	0.39%	16.21%
35–41	0.20%	0.78%	1.56%	0.78%	1.17%	1.17%	0.39%	6.05%
42+	—	0.98%	1.17%	0.78%	0.39%	0.39%	—	3.71%
Total	4.69%	16.99%	25.98%	26.37%	16.21%	6.05%	3.71%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.72	21.72	+0.00
SD	10.23	10.23	14.81
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	57	57	+43
Min	0	0	-43

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.44	22.56	-4.12
SD	8.59	10.84	13.99
CV	0.47	0.48	—
Max	38	35	+23
Min	0	0	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	43.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	19.69	+2.38
SD	8.52	5.86	9.34
CV	0.39	0.30	—
Max	34	31	+20
Min	7	7	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.69	18.94	+5.75
SD	10.04	13.14	18.41
CV	0.41	0.69	—
Max	44	44	+40
Min	7	0	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	22.44	-3.56
SD	8.69	13.86	16.18
CV	0.46	0.62	—
Max	34	54	+20
Min	3	7	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	—	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.69	20.44	+2.25
SD	10.91	9.89	12.20
CV	0.48	0.48	—
Max	45	34	+24
Min	3	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	12.50%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.50	20.00	-3.50
SD	7.68	9.31	14.51
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	33	35	+26
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	37.50%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	21.81	-3.69
SD	9.72	7.31	14.17
CV	0.54	0.34	—
Max	31	34	+24
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.62	25.62	-11.00
SD	7.14	7.08	6.65
CV	0.49	0.28	—
Max	28	38	-3
Min	3	12	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	12.50%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	20.75	+1.38
SD	11.62	12.33	18.26
CV	0.53	0.59	—
Max	40	42	+30
Min	6	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	43.75%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	23.88	-5.81
SD	9.29	12.03	16.37
CV	0.51	0.50	—
Max	42	51	+25
Min	0	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	—	12.50%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.62	23.50	+2.12
SD	7.76	12.08	12.46
CV	0.30	0.51	—
Max	38	52	+24
Min	14	7	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	24.00	-4.00
SD	10.61	7.69	12.53
CV	0.53	0.32	—
Max	35	35	+21
Min	0	9	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.12	27.25	-6.12
SD	14.71	10.47	19.11
CV	0.70	0.38	—
Max	57	45	+43
Min	6	9	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.44	25.25	-8.81
SD	7.76	10.29	13.25
CV	0.47	0.41	—
Max	31	46	+9
Min	0	13	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	43.75%	12.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.06	16.75	+9.31
SD	9.53	12.43	17.57
CV	0.37	0.74	—
Max	45	44	+38
Min	10	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.94	21.19	+4.75
SD	9.65	8.38	9.24
CV	0.37	0.40	—
Max	42	38	+17
Min	9	10	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	17.00	+5.19
SD	10.56	8.47	13.70
CV	0.48	0.50	—
Max	54	30	+30
Min	10	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
42+	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.88	20.56	+9.31
SD	12.61	12.01	19.05
CV	0.42	0.58	—
Max	51	43	+37
Min	7	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.56	24.56	-7.00
SD	9.73	9.90	15.41
CV	0.55	0.40	—
Max	35	45	+26
Min	0	9	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.88	15.75	+8.12
SD	9.07	8.65	11.05
CV	0.38	0.55	—
Max	38	31	+27
Min	7	0	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.62	18.50	+10.12
SD	6.91	10.91	11.90
CV	0.24	0.59	—
Max	41	42	+25
Min	19	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.00	20.38	+7.62
SD	10.11	10.68	13.72
CV	0.36	0.52	—
Max	52	38	+37
Min	17	0	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.38	24.25	-8.88
SD	8.25	10.30	11.89
CV	0.54	0.42	—
Max	29	51	+13
Min	0	9	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.62	23.88	-5.25
SD	10.20	9.50	11.52
CV	0.55	0.40	—
Max	38	45	+14
Min	0	6	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	—	50.00%	18.75%	31.25%	—	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.81	23.31	-4.50
SD	9.88	6.72	13.27
CV	0.53	0.29	—
Max	45	34	+25
Min	8	14	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.56	18.44	+10.12
SD	12.20	9.60	13.49
CV	0.43	0.52	—
Max	51	35	+28
Min	0	3	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.38	19.25	+6.12
SD	8.12	8.65	11.88
CV	0.32	0.45	—
Max	40	38	+28
Min	9	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.69	23.94	-3.25
SD	11.95	8.97	13.37
CV	0.58	0.37	—
Max	44	41	+21
Min	3	12	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.88	20.75	+2.12
SD	10.47	11.38	13.84
CV	0.46	0.55	—
Max	46	42	+28
Min	7	7	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	23.88	-2.94
SD	8.14	8.37	10.73
CV	0.39	0.35	—
Max	33	38	+22
Min	3	7	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	22.25	-1.38
SD	8.87	12.20	15.05
CV	0.42	0.55	—
Max	37	57	+21
Min	7	9	-43

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.38	24.25	-2.88
SD	6.29	10.21	11.97
CV	0.29	0.42	—
Max	31	38	+17
Min	10	10	-24

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.70	+0.4
Allowed	0.63	-0.6
Differential	0.83	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Minnesota Vikings	13	9.54	+3.46
2	Philadelphia Eagles	13	10.34	+2.66
3	Los Angeles Rams	11	8.47	+2.53
4	Carolina Panthers	11	8.53	+2.47
5	Pittsburgh Steelers	13	10.54	+2.46

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cleveland Browns	0	3.84	-3.84
2	Houston Texans	4	7.27	-3.27
3	New York Giants	3	5.76	-2.76
4	Indianapolis Colts	4	6.40	-2.40
5	Denver Broncos	5	7.34	-2.34

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Francisco 49ers	5	Dec 3 – Dec 31	1 in 1,150
2	Minnesota Vikings	8	Oct 9 – Dec 3	1 in 99
3	New Orleans Saints	8	Sep 24 – Nov 19	1 in 97
4	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	Oct 15 – Dec 10	1 in 58
5	Philadelphia Eagles	9	Sep 24 – Nov 26	1 in 43

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Denver Broncos	8	Oct 15 – Dec 3	1 in 139
2	Cleveland Browns	16	Sep 10 – Dec 31	1 in 99
3	Kansas City Chiefs	4	Nov 5 – Dec 3	1 in 97
4	San Francisco 49ers	9	Sep 10 – Nov 5	1 in 31
5	Houston Texans	6	Nov 27 – Dec 31	1 in 28

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	88.62%	9.19%	1.86%	0.33%
Buffalo Bills	6.57%	43.67%	30.30%	19.45%
Miami Dolphins	2.81%	27.37%	36.01%	33.81%
New York Jets	1.99%	19.78%	31.83%	46.41%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	64.23%	27.71%	7.71%	0.35%
Baltimore Ravens	29.19%	49.38%	19.79%	1.64%
Cincinnati Bengals	6.46%	21.62%	61.53%	10.38%
Cleveland Browns	0.12%	1.29%	10.97%	87.62%

Team	1	2	3	4
Jacksonville Jaguars	61.11%	24.70%	10.58%	3.61%
Tennessee Titans	22.90%	34.98%	25.96%	16.15%
Houston Texans	10.89%	25.51%	35.41%	28.19%
Indianapolis Colts	5.10%	14.80%	28.06%	52.04%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	69.85%	19.29%	7.90%	2.96%
Los Angeles Chargers	13.12%	31.43%	30.12%	25.33%
Denver Broncos	8.98%	26.00%	30.38%	34.64%
Oakland Raiders	8.04%	23.27%	31.61%	37.08%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	62.84%	25.50%	9.62%	2.04%
Dallas Cowboys	23.52%	39.13%	27.03%	10.32%
Washington Redskins	11.74%	27.20%	41.02%	20.04%
New York Giants	1.90%	8.17%	22.33%	67.60%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	47.52%	29.36%	18.00%	5.12%
Detroit Lions	28.29%	32.42%	27.93%	11.37%
Green Bay Packers	21.59%	30.16%	33.73%	14.52%
Chicago Bears	2.60%	8.05%	20.35%	68.99%

Team	1	2	3	4
New Orleans Saints	42.59%	30.67%	19.72%	7.02%
Atlanta Falcons	32.50%	31.35%	25.17%	10.99%
Carolina Panthers	21.35%	28.37%	32.48%	17.81%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.56%	9.61%	22.64%	64.19%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	53.00%	29.83%	14.37%	2.80%
Los Angeles Rams	31.79%	37.67%	24.62%	5.91%
Arizona Cardinals	14.04%	27.50%	43.30%	15.16%
San Francisco 49ers	1.16%	5.00%	17.71%	76.13%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	37.08%	22.74%	15.24%	9.72%	5.34%	3.37%	2.34%	1.57%	1.04%	0.60%	0.42%	0.24%	0.14%	0.09%	0.04%	0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.65%	18.65%	15.49%	12.76%	9.80%	7.03%	5.15%	3.84%	2.62%	1.93%	1.35%	0.89%	0.46%	0.25%	0.09%	0.05%
Kansas City Chiefs	19.13%	18.76%	16.31%	12.82%	8.70%	6.47%	4.83%	3.75%	2.83%	2.11%	1.53%	1.12%	0.81%	0.52%	0.24%	0.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	9.68%	13.62%	15.81%	15.19%	10.69%	8.40%	6.79%	5.45%	4.05%	3.17%	2.52%	1.90%	1.24%	0.90%	0.46%	0.14%
Baltimore Ravens	5.91%	8.79%	9.92%	10.96%	12.21%	11.22%	9.81%	8.38%	6.25%	5.11%	4.07%	3.22%	1.98%	1.17%	0.66%	0.33%
Tennessee Titans	2.30%	4.52%	6.46%	7.77%	8.75%	9.27%	9.22%	8.77%	8.06%	7.44%	6.77%	6.16%	5.09%	4.39%	3.44%	1.57%
Los Angeles Chargers	1.50%	2.84%	4.26%	5.68%	7.41%	8.21%	8.79%	8.87%	8.85%	8.53%	8.11%	7.64%	7.16%	5.99%	4.56%	1.59%
Buffalo Bills	1.00%	1.81%	2.83%	4.34%	6.45%	8.41%	9.38%	9.55%	9.01%	8.80%	8.53%	7.79%	7.34%	6.57%	5.66%	2.54%
Denver Broncos	0.86%	1.75%	2.85%	4.13%	5.64%	6.87%	7.50%	7.86%	8.55%	8.80%	8.34%	8.56%	9.26%	8.37%	7.36%	3.29%
Houston Texans	0.73%	1.68%	2.71%	4.08%	5.32%	6.28%	7.19%	8.13%	8.59%	9.03%	9.67%	9.61%	8.48%	8.60%	6.72%	3.18%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.64%	1.47%	2.33%	3.28%	5.05%	5.77%	6.55%	7.88%	9.40%	10.34%	10.97%	10.97%	9.19%	7.24%	5.24%	3.69%
Oakland Raiders	0.74%	1.57%	2.54%	3.61%	5.29%	6.21%	6.89%	7.64%	8.83%	8.93%	8.94%	9.06%	9.68%	9.07%	7.69%	3.30%
Miami Dolphins	0.34%	0.71%	1.24%	2.28%	3.95%	5.29%	6.04%	6.85%	8.14%	8.85%	9.29%	9.74%	10.58%	10.31%	10.56%	5.84%
Indianapolis Colts	0.21%	0.60%	1.19%	1.91%	2.74%	3.50%	4.62%	5.41%	6.44%	7.45%	8.69%	10.07%	11.58%	13.69%	13.41%	8.49%
New York Jets	0.21%	0.47%	0.79%	1.42%	2.53%	3.49%	4.58%	5.54%	6.44%	7.54%	8.58%	9.69%	11.35%	12.72%	14.74%	9.88%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.11%	0.21%	0.32%	0.50%	0.92%	1.37%	2.22%	3.36%	5.65%	10.12%	19.11%	56.02%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Philadelphia Eagles	22.13%	16.65%	13.55%	10.79%	8.30%	6.90%	5.67%	4.68%	3.44%	2.64%	2.00%	1.46%	0.89%	0.56%	0.26%	0.09%
New Orleans Saints	13.18%	12.27%	11.25%	10.13%	9.21%	8.40%	7.30%	6.42%	5.67%	4.85%	3.89%	2.85%	2.18%	1.35%	0.77%	0.29%
Minnesota Vikings	12.43%	12.23%	11.37%	10.25%	8.93%	8.16%	7.43%	6.42%	5.79%	4.81%	3.99%	3.27%	2.18%	1.48%	0.89%	0.37%
Seattle Seahawks	10.57%	10.89%	11.30%	10.81%	9.07%	8.53%	7.52%	7.07%	5.90%	4.92%	4.16%	3.73%	2.45%	1.55%	0.95%	0.58%
Atlanta Falcons	9.84%	9.56%	8.98%	9.04%	9.00%	8.34%	7.80%	7.12%	7.00%	6.11%	5.16%	4.25%	3.35%	2.35%	1.49%	0.60%
Dallas Cowboys	6.50%	6.94%	7.02%	7.72%	8.51%	8.75%	8.54%	8.10%	7.56%	7.25%	6.44%	5.53%	4.41%	3.30%	2.26%	1.19%
Detroit Lions	6.05%	7.11%	7.64%	7.94%	8.12%	8.31%	8.25%	7.94%	7.67%	7.15%	6.65%	5.41%	4.48%	3.43%	2.62%	1.23%
Los Angeles Rams	5.17%	6.11%	7.11%	7.77%	7.85%	8.29%	8.63%	8.83%	7.88%	7.17%	6.99%	6.46%	4.73%	3.27%	2.29%	1.47%
Carolina Panthers	5.55%	6.06%	6.57%	7.02%	7.77%	7.95%	7.92%	8.00%	8.17%	7.93%	7.29%	6.14%	5.40%	3.95%	2.83%	1.43%
Green Bay Packers	4.20%	5.24%	5.97%	6.47%	7.46%	7.76%	7.97%	8.22%	8.26%	8.19%	8.08%	7.01%	5.68%	4.58%	3.31%	1.61%
Washington Redskins	2.04%	2.89%	3.42%	4.27%	5.33%	6.08%	7.06%	7.70%	8.34%	9.54%	9.86%	9.60%	8.14%	7.16%	5.42%	3.16%
Arizona Cardinals	1.45%	2.32%	3.25%	3.96%	4.91%	5.49%	6.47%	7.42%	8.03%	9.02%	9.75%	10.55%	9.08%	7.45%	6.00%	4.84%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.54%	0.92%	1.28%	1.82%	2.53%	2.96%	3.78%	4.70%	6.18%	7.10%	8.28%	10.64%	14.54%	13.87%	12.33%	8.52%
Chicago Bears	0.16%	0.36%	0.62%	0.92%	1.30%	1.76%	2.42%	3.07%	4.17%	5.27%	6.71%	8.67%	12.37%	16.48%	19.53%	16.18%
New York Giants	0.17%	0.39%	0.55%	0.85%	1.27%	1.71%	2.34%	2.90%	4.07%	5.34%	6.77%	8.56%	11.66%	16.13%	18.75%	18.54%
San Francisco 49ers	0.03%	0.06%	0.15%	0.25%	0.44%	0.61%	0.92%	1.40%	1.86%	2.70%	3.98%	5.86%	8.47%	13.07%	20.30%	39.89%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	25.79%	15.01%	12.08%	9.16%	7.46%	6.06%	4.65%	4.23%	2.63%	2.59%	1.89%	1.63%	1.21%	1.13%	0.94%	0.80%	0.62%	0.50%	0.33%	0.30%	0.26%	0.19%	0.14%	0.12%	0.07%	0.09%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	12.57%	9.78%	10.30%	7.89%	8.09%	6.47%	6.27%	5.56%	4.95%	4.24%	3.56%	3.27%	2.58%	2.55%	1.96%	2.00%	1.33%	1.27%	0.99%	1.09%	0.72%	0.69%	0.47%	0.46%	0.28%	0.27%	0.14%	0.12%	0.07%	0.05%	0.02%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	12.63%	9.59%	10.12%	8.08%	7.97%	6.74%	6.09%	5.52%	4.38%	4.10%	3.38%	3.17%	2.47%	2.42%	2.02%	1.87%	1.53%	1.37%	1.13%	1.09%	0.85%	0.76%	0.63%	0.51%	0.43%	0.37%	0.30%	0.20%	0.14%	0.10%	0.04%	0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	9.03%	10.96%	8.25%	8.98%	7.03%	7.25%	5.76%	5.60%	4.47%	4.44%	3.76%	3.36%	3.28%	2.67%	2.45%	2.02%	1.87%	1.63%	1.44%	1.07%	1.03%	0.80%	0.74%	0.59%	0.48%	0.32%	0.28%	0.18%	0.12%	0.07%	0.05%	<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	5.86%	6.05%	7.22%	6.93%	7.33%	7.24%	6.64%	6.76%	5.12%	5.23%	4.21%	4.09%	3.30%	3.38%	2.77%	2.77%	2.19%	2.05%	1.76%	1.67%	1.38%	1.26%	1.07%	0.92%	0.69%	0.65%	0.48%	0.42%	0.25%	0.17%	0.09%	0.04%
New Orleans Saints	5.10%	6.54%	5.96%	6.54%	6.00%	5.96%	5.56%	5.20%	5.03%	4.67%	4.60%	4.20%	4.06%	3.54%	3.51%	2.82%	3.06%	2.61%	2.61%	2.03%	1.90%	1.67%	1.53%	1.29%	1.02%	0.86%	0.72%	0.52%	0.41%	0.27%	0.16%	0.05%
Minnesota Vikings	4.73%	6.35%	5.82%	6.40%	5.89%	5.89%	5.72%	5.12%	4.92%	4.57%	4.65%	3.97%	4.16%	3.48%	3.64%	2.96%	3.18%	2.62%	2.57%	2.06%	2.08%	1.71%	1.74%	1.38%	1.11%	0.93%	0.73%	0.61%	0.49%	0.29%	0.17%	0.08%
Seattle Seahawks	3.79%	5.41%	5.12%	5.87%	5.47%	5.97%	5.51%	5.54%	4.72%	4.98%	4.58%	4.23%	4.06%	3.77%	3.66%	3.45%	3.02%	2.86%	2.59%	2.34%	2.22%	1.94%	1.87%	1.59%	1.30%	1.14%	0.90%	0.69%	0.54%	0.42%	0.31%	0.12%
Baltimore Ravens	3.17%	3.64%	4.60%	4.63%	5.15%	4.93%	5.26%	5.42%	5.63%	5.45%	4.90%	5.56%	4.25%	4.98%	4.00%	4.45%	3.08%	3.28%	2.51%	2.76%	2.19%	2.17%	1.58%	1.68%	1.20%	1.11%	0.71%	0.60%	0.47%	0.30%	0.22%	0.10%
Atlanta Falcons	3.62%	4.82%	4.69%	5.03%	4.80%	4.80%	5.02%	4.78%	4.87%	4.51%	4.73%	3.97%	4.47%	3.70%	3.84%	3.31%	3.81%	3.22%	3.29%	2.60%	2.65%	2.15%	2.31%	1.88%	1.65%	1.41%	1.22%	0.99%	0.81%	0.56%	0.32%	0.14%
Dallas Cowboys	2.17%	3.36%	3.36%	3.71%	3.71%	3.85%	4.21%	4.17%	4.53%	4.21%	4.73%	4.37%	4.56%	4.09%	4.16%	3.89%	4.03%	3.78%	3.68%	3.27%	3.33%	2.94%	2.80%	2.54%	2.20%	2.00%	1.76%	1.50%	1.20%	0.94%	0.65%	0.29%
Detroit Lions	2.06%	3.07%	3.25%	3.79%	3.81%	4.24%	4.22%	4.20%	4.51%	4.15%	4.47%	4.06%	4.47%	4.15%	4.21%	3.82%	3.99%	3.87%	3.65%	3.37%	3.32%	3.08%	2.81%	2.45%	2.19%	2.11%	1.81%	1.52%	1.41%	0.97%	0.69%	0.30%
Los Angeles Rams	1.58%	2.71%	2.72%	3.33%	3.35%	3.87%	4.04%	4.04%	4.20%	4.19%	4.52%	4.19%	4.52%	4.19%	4.56%	4.21%	4.03%	3.96%	3.64%	3.61%	3.60%	3.34%	3.07%	2.86%	2.45%	2.30%	1.79%	1.64%	1.28%	1.04%	0.84%	0.36%
Carolina Panthers	1.77%	2.75%	2.84%	3.23%	3.43%	3.67%	3.75%	3.77%	4.33%	3.90%	4.36%	4.02%	4.48%	4.09%	4.28%	3.68%	4.31%	4.00%	4.10%	3.57%	3.58%	3.34%	3.28%	2.88%	2.68%	2.33%	2.11%	1.71%	1.48%	1.08%	0.85%	0.34%
Green Bay Packers	1.26%	2.12%	2.33%	2.82%	2.98%	3.22%	3.56%	3.42%	4.07%	3.73%	4.29%	3.88%	4.55%	3.92%	4.47%	3.78%	4.59%	4.08%	4.25%	3.72%	4.07%	3.66%	3.55%	3.26%	2.84%	2.68%	2.35%	2.07%	1.75%	1.36%	0.92%	0.45%
Tennessee Titans	1.15%	1.57%	2.33%	2.51%	3.07%	3.23%	3.50%	3.84%	3.99%	4.39%	4.10%	4.67%	4.06%	4.70%	4.06%	4.66%	3.88%	4.00%	3.74%	3.98%	3.56%	3.58%	3.09%	3.16%	2.80%	2.69%	2.39%	2.17%	1.81%	1.62%	1.04%	0.65%
Los Angeles Chargers	0.75%	0.99%	1.45%	1.55%	2.11%	2.22%	2.69%	2.92%	3.37%	3.64%	3.63%	4.15%	3.93%	4.43%	4.18%	4.59%	4.08%	4.57%	4.12%	4.47%	4.09%	4.37%	3.86%	3.99%	3.72%	3.54%	3.07%	3.08%	2.36%	2.21%	1.20%	0.66%
Washington Redskins	0.49%	0.99%	1.20%	1.57%	1.72%	1.92%	2.23%	2.36%	2.76%	2.84%	3.24%	3.21%	3.87%	3.49%	4.00%	3.91%	4.29%	4.49%	4.80%	4.42%	4.91%	4.78%	4.61%	4.52%	3.99%	4.04%	3.70%	3.51%	2.88%	2.44%	1.86%	0.96%
Buffalo Bills	0.42%	0.67%	0.93%	1.13%	1.49%	1.60%	1.98%	2.37%	2.78%	3.29%	3.51%	4.07%	3.90%	4.63%	4.29%	4.95%	4.12%	4.35%	4.45%	4.79%	4.36%	4.22%	4.11%	4.12%	4.11%	3.79%	3.64%	3.26%	3.03%	2.74%	1.72%	1.16%
Arizona Cardinals	0.33%	0.78%	0.91%	1.31%	1.50%	1.85%	1.91%	2.16%	2.45%	2.70%	2.83%	3.08%	3.37%	3.31%	3.80%	3.78%	4.21%	4.17%	4.43%	4.49%	4.86%	4.69%	4.88%	4.88%	4.51%	4.52%	3.94%	3.76%	3.44%	2.84%	2.72%	1.59%
Denver Broncos	0.39%	0.55%	0.87%	1.00%	1.33%	1.59%	1.89%	2.20%	2.49%	2.83%	2.95%	3.45%	3.27%	3.84%	3.74%	3.99%	3.92%	4.28%	4.35%	4.62%	4.30%	4.37%	4.46%	4.37%	4.78%	4.53%	4.40%	4.15%	3.80%	3.55%	2.24%	1.50%
Houston Texans	0.29%	0.46%	0.77%	0.89%	1.29%	1.42%	1.78%	2.07%	2.47%	2.66%	2.80%	3.19%	3.09%	3.73%	3.56%	4.39%	3.81%	4.48%	4.26%	4.93%	4.45%	5.24%	4.54%	5.07%	4.39%	4.67%	4.34%	4.37%	3.68%	3.32%	2.21%	1.39%
Oakland Raiders	0.30%	0.48%	0.73%	0.88%	1.18%	1.39%	1.69%	1.86%	2.35%	2.65%	2.72%	3.13%	3.13%	3.50%	3.71%	3.94%	4.16%	4.26%	4.37%	4.60%	4.49%	4.64%	4.68%	4.67%	4.96%	4.80%	4.63%	4.51%	4.04%	3.74%	2.35%	1.48%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.25%	0.43%	0.69%	0.80%	1.12%	1.24%	1.56%	1.81%	2.20%	2.45%	2.47%	3.03%	2.98%	3.52%	3.47%	4.15%	4.32%	4.70%	4.48%	5.25%	4.93%	5.66%	4.79%	5.87%	4.58%	5.14%	3.92%	4.06%	3.36%	2.86%	2.32%	1.59%
Miami Dolphins	0.14%	0.24%	0.32%	0.44%	0.60%	0.79%	1.07%	1.25%	1.72%	1.89%	2.23%	2.54%	2.66%	2.98%	3.14%	3.45%	3.65%	3.77%	4.20%	4.64%	4.60%	4.74%	4.89%	5.16%	5.18%	5.53%	5.29%	5.49%	5.14%	5.64%	3.80%	2.85%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.14%	0.24%	0.38%	0.48%	0.61%	0.74%	0.94%	1.05%	1.27%	1.39%	1.64%	1.62%	2.21%	2.14%	2.55%	2.35%	3.37%	3.37%	3.91%	3.64%	4.33%	4.39%	5.78%	5.18%	6.83%	6.19%	6.68%	6.40%	6.18%	5.84%	4.96%	3.20%
Indianapolis Colts	0.09%	0.14%	0.27%	0.34%	0.51%	0.65%	0.83%	0.97%	1.21%	1.38%	1.64%	1.78%	1.95%	2.33%	2.48%	2.83%	3.04%	3.16%	3.56%	3.89%	4.18%	4.59%	4.83%	5.35%	5.74%	6.03%	6.62%	6.71%	6.68%	6.64%	5.27%	4.30%
New York Jets	0.08%	0.13%	0.21%	0.29%	0.39%	0.47%	0.70%	0.77%	1.08%	1.28%	1.44%	1.76%	1.94%	2.30%	2.42%	2.90%	2.80%	3.19%	3.45%	4.09%	3.99%	4.48%	4.46%	5.20%	5.58%	5.99%	6.06%	6.88%	6.96%	7.62%	5.97%	5.13%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	0.07%	0.12%	0.17%	0.26%	0.33%	0.45%	0.46%	0.66%	0.70%	0.91%	0.94%	1.34%	1.21%	1.67%	1.69%	2.17%	2.28%	2.77%	2.78%	3.45%	3.68%	4.54%	4.81%	5.97%	6.27%	7.80%	8.21%	9.66%	8.97%	9.22%	6.40%
New York Giants	0.03%	0.08%	0.13%	0.18%	0.27%	0.30%	0.42%	0.47%	0.61%	0.69%	0.90%	0.98%	1.26%	1.20%	1.56%	1.62%	2.23%	2.28%	2.76%	2.63%	3.45%	3.67%	4.55%	4.38%	5.73%	6.08%	7.62%	7.94%	8.99%	9.40%	9.72%	7.87%
San Francisco 49ers	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.05%	0.08%	0.09%	0.12%	0.19%	0.24%	0.29%	0.35%	0.48%	0.45%	0.70%	0.73%	0.96%	1.09%	1.32%	1.43%	2.03%	2.15%	2.92%	3.05%	4.18%	4.60%	6.28%	7.07%	9.66%	11.54%	18.31%	19.57%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.04%	0.06%	0.07%	0.09%	0.10%	0.18%	0.21%	0.25%	0.32%	0.47%	0.51%	0.78%	0.85%	1.05%	1.44%	1.81%	2.39%	3.03%	4.26%	5.64%	7.90%	11.36%	19.72%	37.39%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	37.08%	23.35%	16.57%	11.62%	3.14%	2.46%	5.77%
Pittsburgh Steelers	19.65%	18.52%	14.64%	11.42%	12.03%	7.26%	16.48%
Kansas City Chiefs	19.13%	19.08%	17.52%	14.12%	6.89%	5.81%	17.45%
Jacksonville Jaguars	9.68%	13.85%	17.38%	20.21%	6.65%	6.68%	25.55%
Baltimore Ravens	5.91%	8.26%	8.00%	7.02%	16.89%	12.54%	41.38%
Tennessee Titans	2.30%	4.58%	6.72%	9.30%	7.80%	8.75%	60.55%
Los Angeles Chargers	1.50%	2.77%	4.07%	4.78%	7.75%	8.72%	70.41%
Buffalo Bills	1.00%	1.53%	1.95%	2.09%	8.19%	9.53%	75.71%
Denver Broncos	0.86%	1.73%	2.84%	3.55%	5.70%	7.13%	78.19%
Oakland Raiders	0.74%	1.57%	2.52%	3.22%	5.30%	6.36%	80.30%
Houston Texans	0.73%	1.72%	3.02%	5.41%	4.43%	5.71%	78.97%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.64%	1.40%	1.98%	2.43%	5.40%	6.19%	81.96%
Miami Dolphins	0.34%	0.59%	0.83%	1.05%	4.86%	5.72%	86.61%
Indianapolis Colts	0.21%	0.62%	1.34%	2.92%	2.03%	3.18%	89.69%
New York Jets	0.21%	0.41%	0.58%	0.79%	2.86%	3.76%	91.40%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.09%	0.21%	99.59%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Philadelphia Eagles	22.13%	16.90%	13.40%	10.41%	8.23%	7.15%	21.78%
New Orleans Saints	13.18%	11.97%	10.22%	7.22%	11.61%	9.41%	36.39%
Minnesota Vikings	12.43%	12.42%	12.22%	10.45%	8.33%	7.76%	36.39%
Seattle Seahawks	10.57%	11.38%	13.41%	17.64%	4.95%	5.92%	36.13%
Atlanta Falcons	9.84%	9.15%	7.74%	5.77%	11.62%	9.59%	46.29%
Dallas Cowboys	6.50%	6.50%	5.65%	4.87%	10.93%	10.07%	55.48%
Detroit Lions	6.05%	7.10%	7.82%	7.32%	8.28%	8.40%	55.03%
Carolina Panthers	5.55%	5.78%	5.58%	4.44%	9.60%	8.83%	60.23%
Los Angeles Rams	5.17%	6.34%	8.21%	12.08%	5.53%	6.84%	55.83%
Green Bay Packers	4.20%	5.32%	6.13%	5.94%	7.37%	7.80%	63.24%
Washington Redskins	2.04%	2.93%	3.24%	3.54%	5.16%	6.48%	76.62%
Arizona Cardinals	1.45%	2.46%	3.76%	6.37%	3.44%	4.79%	77.72%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.54%	0.89%	1.06%	1.07%	2.66%	3.21%	90.57%
New York Giants	0.17%	0.41%	0.56%	0.76%	1.11%	1.72%	95.28%
Chicago Bears	0.16%	0.38%	0.79%	1.28%	1.00%	1.58%	94.81%
San Francisco 49ers	0.03%	0.08%	0.22%	0.84%	0.19%	0.44%	98.20%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+13.94%

Fortress

56.97%43.03%

Elo Value

Home Edge

27 Elo

0.037 points per Elo point

048.7680

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.50 points

Lean Home

-8+1.79+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.2

Wide Open

124811

Champion Preseason Odds

13%

Philadelphia Eagles, 2nd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

15.5%

Favored

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.49 · As Expected: 1.49 to 2.05 · Elevated: 2.05 to 2.79 · High Variance: 2.79 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.94 · Close: 4.94 to 6.68 · Off Target: 6.68 to 8.71 · Well Off Target: 8.71 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.96 · As Expected: 2.96 to 4.93 · More Than Expected: 4.93 to 7.88 · Far More Than Expected: 7.88 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.79 wins

As Expected

01.865

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.25

Pinpoint

05.8115

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

98.64%

Minnesota Vikings

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

1.04%

Cleveland Browns

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

4 of 12

As Expected

03.912

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.88

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

73%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

21%

Mostly Decisive

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.96

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.12

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

35%

As Expected

0%35%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.05

Borderline

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.98

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.075

Within Noise

00.0940.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	87.30%	87.30%	62.32%	41.76%	25.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	65.41%	65.41%	41.69%	25.05%	13.26%
Pittsburgh Steelers	69.49%	69.49%	41.71%	22.04%	11.80%
Minnesota Vikings	51.02%	51.02%	31.83%	18.82%	10.12%
New Orleans Saints	48.21%	48.21%	27.30%	14.53%	7.14%
Kansas City Chiefs	66.38%	66.38%	32.53%	13.91%	6.43%
Atlanta Falcons	38.83%	38.83%	21.28%	10.83%	5.12%
Jacksonville Jaguars	54.02%	54.02%	22.88%	8.79%	3.90%
Seattle Seahawks	43.43%	43.43%	18.39%	7.40%	2.87%
Los Angeles Rams	32.66%	29.44%	13.99%	6.44%	2.86%
Baltimore Ravens	44.45%	36.85%	15.92%	6.27%	2.78%
Carolina Panthers	28.44%	25.05%	11.55%	5.12%	2.08%
Dallas Cowboys	31.51%	26.24%	10.55%	4.23%	1.51%
Detroit Lions	31.82%	26.75%	10.66%	4.04%	1.43%
Los Angeles Chargers	25.33%	17.38%	7.32%	2.94%	1.39%
Tennessee Titans	32.57%	19.56%	5.76%	1.55%	0.50%
Buffalo Bills	21.76%	10.24%	3.15%	0.98%	0.35%
Green Bay Packers	27.24%	17.23%	4.55%	1.23%	0.32%
Arizona Cardinals	18.36%	10.24%	3.08%	0.90%	0.27%
Washington Redskins	18.42%	10.45%	3.05%	0.88%	0.24%
Cincinnati Bengals	16.00%	7.40%	2.04%	0.48%	0.14%
Oakland Raiders	17.40%	7.44%	1.70%	0.39%	0.11%
Denver Broncos	19.22%	7.87%	1.75%	0.34%	0.08%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.99%	3.74%	1.10%	0.30%	0.08%
Miami Dolphins	12.46%	3.93%	0.79%	0.17%	0.04%
Chicago Bears	4.65%	1.89%	0.50%	0.14%	0.04%
Houston Texans	18.58%	6.64%	1.15%	0.19%	0.04%
New York Jets	7.98%	2.44%	0.49%	0.11%	0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	1.70%	0.75%	0.24%	0.07%	0.03%
Indianapolis Colts	9.47%	2.97%	0.47%	0.07%	0.01%
New York Giants	4.15%	1.32%	0.24%	0.03%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.39%	0.08%	0.01%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		64.0%2.05%	69.6%1.23%	94.4%0.02%	73.9%2.02%	79.6%2.33%	81.2%1.24%	45.4%7.64%	41.0%5.81%	48.4%2.77%	75.8%1.02%	24.5%4.59%	78.5%0.73%	72.2%1.79%	36.6%6.98%	62.1%4.25%
Buffalo Bills	36.0%2.05%		52.8%0.59%	84.6%0.01%	62.2%0.85%	66.7%0.90%	64.5%0.41%	31.8%3.58%	29.9%3.56%	33.1%1.16%	66.7%0.17%	17.6%2.97%	77.9%0.10%	56.7%0.76%	23.0%2.86%	48.5%1.76%
Cincinnati Bengals	30.4%1.23%	47.2%0.59%		75.0%<0.01%	52.1%0.61%	64.5%0.77%	63.8%0.41%	28.6%2.77%	24.6%2.22%	31.1%0.94%	61.9%0.36%	13.3%1.72%	67.8%0.21%	56.2%0.61%	20.1%2.11%	43.9%1.45%
Cleveland Browns	5.6%0.02%	15.4%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		29.4%0.02%	13.0%0.02%	50.0%0.01%	12.3%0.07%	9.4%0.05%	16.7%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	6.8%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	21.1%0.02%	11.9%0.07%	12.1%0.03%
Denver Broncos	26.1%2.02%	37.8%0.85%	47.9%0.61%	70.6%0.02%		58.6%0.86%	57.4%0.36%	23.5%2.98%	22.1%3.03%	24.6%0.72%	51.0%0.47%	10.0%2.37%	55.2%0.31%	48.2%0.43%	15.9%2.61%	37.9%1.58%
Houston Texans	20.4%2.33%	33.3%0.90%	35.5%0.77%	87.0%0.02%	41.4%0.86%		49.6%0.23%	18.4%2.86%	16.2%2.36%	19.7%1.16%	45.9%0.50%	8.3%1.71%	47.5%0.38%	41.8%0.80%	12.1%2.61%	28.9%1.09%
Indianapolis Colts	18.8%1.24%	35.5%0.41%	36.2%0.41%	50.0%0.01%	42.6%0.36%	50.4%0.23%		17.9%1.42%	14.8%1.21%	19.5%0.59%	48.1%0.27%	7.9%0.87%	51.9%0.19%	38.7%0.40%	12.7%1.36%	32.7%0.50%
Jacksonville Jaguars	54.6%7.64%	68.2%3.58%	71.4%2.77%	87.7%0.07%	76.5%2.98%	81.6%2.86%	82.1%1.42%		45.7%4.76%	54.5%3.87%	79.6%2.20%	28.7%2.97%	80.4%1.31%	76.3%2.71%	39.1%6.27%	65.4%5.53%
Kansas City Chiefs	59.0%5.81%	70.1%3.56%	75.4%2.22%	90.6%0.05%	77.9%3.03%	83.8%2.36%	85.2%1.21%	54.3%4.76%		53.0%4.02%	81.6%2.11%	31.6%2.62%	82.6%1.29%	76.6%2.63%	43.6%4.65%	69.4%4.01%
Los Angeles Chargers	51.6%2.77%	66.9%1.16%	68.9%0.94%	83.3%0.01%	75.4%0.72%	80.3%1.16%	80.5%0.59%	45.5%3.87%	47.0%4.02%		79.0%0.62%	24.9%2.96%	79.6%0.41%	72.0%0.70%	36.2%3.27%	65.8%2.13%
Miami Dolphins	24.2%1.02%	33.3%0.17%	38.1%0.36%	75.0%<0.01%	49.0%0.47%	54.1%0.50%	51.9%0.27%	20.4%2.20%	18.4%2.11%	21.0%0.62%		10.5%1.61%	64.7%0.05%	39.3%0.47%	14.1%1.67%	34.2%0.92%
New England Patriots	75.5%4.59%	82.4%2.97%	86.7%1.72%	93.2%0.04%	90.0%2.37%	91.7%1.71%	92.1%0.87%	71.3%2.97%	68.4%2.62%	75.1%2.96%	89.5%1.61%		89.1%1.11%	88.6%2.13%	63.3%3.21%	84.0%2.91%
New York Jets	21.5%0.73%	22.1%0.10%	32.2%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	44.8%0.31%	52.5%0.38%	48.1%0.19%	19.6%1.31%	17.4%1.29%	20.4%0.41%	35.3%0.05%	10.9%1.11%		40.8%0.27%	11.5%0.99%	34.3%0.64%
Oakland Raiders	27.8%1.79%	43.3%0.76%	43.8%0.61%	78.9%0.02%	51.8%0.43%	58.2%0.80%	61.3%0.40%	23.7%2.71%	23.4%2.63%	28.0%0.70%	60.7%0.47%	11.4%2.13%	59.2%0.27%		18.2%2.30%	38.6%1.39%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.4%6.98%	77.0%2.86%	79.9%2.11%	88.1%0.07%	84.1%2.61%	87.9%2.61%	87.3%1.36%	60.9%6.27%	56.4%4.65%	63.8%3.27%	85.9%1.67%	36.7%3.21%	88.5%0.99%	81.8%2.30%		76.6%4.39%
Tennessee Titans	37.9%4.25%	51.5%1.76%	56.1%1.45%	87.9%0.03%	62.1%1.58%	71.1%1.09%	67.3%0.50%	34.6%5.53%	30.6%4.01%	34.2%2.13%	65.8%0.92%	16.0%2.91%	65.7%0.64%	61.4%1.39%	23.4%4.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		28.6%1.79%	37.4%1.40%	52.6%0.20%	41.1%1.72%	40.4%1.50%	54.8%1.34%	27.7%1.15%	20.7%1.81%	27.2%2.02%	68.1%0.19%	20.3%2.10%	65.4%0.03%	34.5%1.82%	55.1%0.39%	52.8%0.91%
Atlanta Falcons	71.4%1.79%		59.0%2.06%	77.5%0.50%	64.3%2.72%	63.4%3.19%	76.3%2.74%	51.3%3.10%	40.8%4.06%	49.2%3.91%	84.9%0.37%	41.5%3.77%	65.6%0.16%	56.2%4.28%	77.0%0.50%	74.0%1.57%
Carolina Panthers	62.6%1.40%	41.0%2.06%		70.2%0.38%	54.6%2.15%	54.3%2.64%	72.4%2.18%	44.6%2.56%	31.3%3.33%	39.6%2.85%	83.4%0.29%	31.9%3.19%	51.2%0.12%	48.6%3.66%	69.4%0.37%	69.2%1.26%
Chicago Bears	47.4%0.20%	22.5%0.50%	29.8%0.38%		38.7%0.36%	37.6%0.26%	46.0%0.23%	26.9%0.40%	17.5%0.43%	22.8%0.53%	67.4%0.05%	16.2%0.51%	52.6%0.02%	26.1%0.50%	42.7%0.09%	50.7%0.20%
Dallas Cowboys	58.9%1.72%	35.7%2.72%	45.4%2.15%	61.3%0.36%		48.9%2.52%	63.4%2.12%	39.7%3.14%	26.7%3.41%	33.0%3.23%	79.5%0.18%	29.9%3.90%	60.4%0.18%	42.8%4.47%	65.3%0.52%	64.6%0.91%
Detroit Lions	59.6%1.50%	36.6%3.19%	45.7%2.64%	62.4%0.26%	51.1%2.52%		65.7%1.86%	37.5%2.79%	28.5%3.83%	34.0%3.57%	78.9%0.32%	27.8%3.31%	53.1%0.16%	43.0%3.59%	69.9%0.70%	64.4%1.56%
Green Bay Packers	45.2%1.34%	23.7%2.74%	27.6%2.18%	54.0%0.23%	36.6%2.12%	34.3%1.86%		25.9%2.39%	15.4%2.95%	21.2%3.06%	61.0%0.26%	18.0%2.96%	38.6%0.13%	29.4%3.13%	51.2%0.57%	48.5%1.32%
Los Angeles Rams	72.3%1.15%	48.7%3.10%	55.4%2.56%	73.1%0.40%	60.3%3.14%	62.5%2.79%	74.1%2.39%		36.4%3.17%	45.8%3.59%	83.1%0.37%	38.3%3.69%	73.0%0.07%	55.0%3.73%	75.4%0.76%	72.9%1.75%
Minnesota Vikings	79.3%1.81%	59.2%4.06%	68.7%3.33%	82.5%0.43%	73.3%3.41%	71.5%3.83%	84.6%2.95%	63.6%3.17%		56.3%4.38%	90.8%0.43%	49.0%3.84%	74.5%0.16%	65.6%3.96%	82.8%1.05%	82.9%1.94%
New Orleans Saints	72.8%2.02%	50.8%3.91%	60.4%2.85%	77.2%0.53%	67.0%3.23%	66.0%3.57%	78.8%3.06%	54.2%3.59%	43.7%4.38%		88.5%0.43%	43.1%3.93%	77.2%0.18%	59.1%4.29%	78.5%0.69%	77.4%1.82%
New York Giants	31.9%0.19%	15.1%0.37%	16.6%0.29%	32.6%0.05%	20.5%0.18%	21.1%0.32%	39.0%0.26%	16.9%0.37%	9.2%0.43%	11.5%0.43%		9.4%0.49%	17.6%0.02%	17.8%0.59%	31.0%0.06%	36.4%0.11%
Philadelphia Eagles	79.7%2.10%	58.5%3.77%	68.1%3.19%	83.8%0.51%	70.1%3.90%	72.2%3.31%	82.0%2.96%	61.7%3.69%	51.0%3.84%	56.9%3.93%	90.6%0.49%		78.4%0.19%	65.7%4.25%	83.4%0.89%	80.4%2.19%
San Francisco 49ers	34.6%0.03%	34.4%0.16%	48.8%0.12%	47.4%0.02%	39.6%0.18%	46.9%0.16%	61.4%0.13%	27.0%0.07%	25.5%0.16%	22.8%0.18%	82.4%0.02%	21.6%0.19%		31.6%0.13%	57.8%0.04%	58.1%0.09%
Seattle Seahawks	65.5%1.82%	43.8%4.28%	51.4%3.66%	73.9%0.50%	57.2%4.47%	57.0%3.59%	70.6%3.13%	45.0%3.73%	34.4%3.96%	40.9%4.29%	82.2%0.59%	34.3%4.25%	68.4%0.13%		71.5%1.04%	71.9%2.48%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	44.9%0.39%	23.0%0.50%	30.6%0.37%	57.3%0.09%	34.7%0.52%	30.1%0.70%	48.8%0.57%	24.6%0.76%	17.2%1.05%	21.5%0.69%	69.0%0.06%	16.6%0.89%	42.2%0.04%	28.5%1.04%		50.0%0.32%
Washington Redskins	47.2%0.91%	26.0%1.57%	30.8%1.26%	49.3%0.20%	35.4%0.91%	35.6%1.56%	51.5%1.32%	27.1%1.75%	17.1%1.94%	22.6%1.82%	63.6%0.11%	19.6%2.19%	41.9%0.09%	28.1%2.48%	50.0%0.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		64.5%0.81%	67.3%0.34%	100.0%<0.01%	73.9%0.64%	76.3%0.54%	76.1%0.26%	51.0%5.37%	44.5%7.68%	51.1%1.48%	74.3%0.27%	28.5%10.18%	74.4%0.20%	71.9%0.56%	35.9%6.79%	62.2%1.72%
Buffalo Bills	35.5%0.81%		55.6%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	56.1%0.13%	71.2%0.15%	59.0%0.04%	36.2%1.30%	35.0%1.85%	36.2%0.29%	62.5%0.03%	19.2%2.98%	82.4%0.02%	54.4%0.15%	25.5%2.06%	49.3%0.35%
Cincinnati Bengals	32.7%0.34%	44.4%0.09%		100.0%<0.01%	55.0%0.10%	69.5%0.10%	66.7%0.04%	32.7%1.00%	28.4%1.58%	34.2%0.26%	54.9%0.05%	16.1%2.31%	55.6%0.03%	52.9%0.10%	22.6%1.11%	49.7%0.30%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%	20.0%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.03%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	26.1%0.64%	43.9%0.13%	45.0%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%		58.2%0.14%	62.2%0.04%	26.6%1.10%	23.3%0.99%	26.4%0.13%	56.2%0.05%	12.7%2.44%	53.1%0.03%	39.6%0.05%	18.5%1.69%	39.8%0.34%
Houston Texans	23.7%0.54%	28.8%0.15%	30.5%0.10%		41.8%0.14%		40.0%0.01%	18.1%0.43%	16.9%1.33%	18.4%0.24%	55.2%0.06%	10.1%2.01%	52.5%0.04%	41.3%0.12%	13.8%1.37%	42.7%0.10%
Indianapolis Colts	23.9%0.26%	41.0%0.04%	33.3%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	37.8%0.04%	60.0%0.01%		20.3%0.14%	18.2%0.65%	15.4%0.10%	47.8%0.02%	8.4%0.97%	33.3%0.01%	37.1%0.03%	11.6%0.60%	21.2%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	49.0%5.37%	63.8%1.30%	67.3%1.00%	100.0%0.01%	73.4%1.10%	81.9%0.43%	79.7%0.14%		46.1%11.47%	49.0%2.27%	75.0%0.49%	28.5%15.54%	71.8%0.27%	75.0%1.07%	36.2%12.25%	64.2%1.32%
Kansas City Chiefs	55.5%7.68%	65.0%1.85%	71.6%1.58%	80.0%0.01%	76.7%0.99%	83.1%1.33%	81.8%0.65%	53.9%11.47%		54.1%2.33%	80.3%0.72%	31.8%17.37%	80.2%0.45%	73.5%0.92%	41.4%14.90%	67.3%4.13%
Los Angeles Chargers	48.9%1.48%	63.8%0.29%	65.8%0.26%	60.0%<0.01%	73.6%0.13%	81.6%0.24%	84.6%0.10%	51.0%2.27%	45.9%2.33%		74.3%0.10%	28.8%5.59%	81.4%0.07%	75.8%0.12%	36.6%3.68%	63.1%0.71%
Miami Dolphins	25.7%0.27%	37.5%0.03%	45.1%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.05%	44.8%0.06%	52.2%0.02%	25.0%0.49%	19.7%0.72%	25.7%0.10%		11.8%1.17%	33.3%<0.01%	42.6%0.05%	16.0%0.78%	40.3%0.13%
New England Patriots	71.5%10.18%	80.8%2.98%	83.9%2.31%	92.9%0.03%	87.3%2.44%	89.9%2.01%	91.6%0.97%	71.5%15.54%	68.2%17.37%	71.2%5.59%	88.2%1.17%		90.6%0.67%	86.3%2.32%	58.7%17.89%	81.6%5.83%
New York Jets	25.6%0.20%	17.6%0.02%	44.4%0.03%		46.9%0.03%	47.5%0.04%	66.7%0.01%	28.2%0.27%	19.8%0.45%	18.6%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%	9.4%0.67%		41.0%0.04%	16.2%0.50%	41.8%0.11%
Oakland Raiders	28.1%0.56%	45.6%0.15%	47.1%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	60.4%0.05%	58.7%0.12%	62.9%0.03%	25.0%1.07%	26.5%0.92%	24.2%0.12%	57.4%0.05%	13.7%2.32%	59.0%0.04%		17.4%1.64%	43.9%0.26%
Pittsburgh Steelers	64.1%6.79%	74.5%2.06%	77.4%1.11%	100.0%<0.01%	81.5%1.69%	86.2%1.37%	88.4%0.60%	63.8%12.25%	58.6%14.90%	63.4%3.68%	84.0%0.78%	41.3%17.89%	83.8%0.50%	82.6%1.64%		75.3%4.22%
Tennessee Titans	37.8%1.72%	50.7%0.35%	50.3%0.30%	100.0%<0.01%	60.2%0.34%	57.3%0.10%	78.8%0.03%	35.8%1.32%	32.7%4.13%	36.9%0.71%	59.7%0.13%	18.4%5.83%	58.2%0.11%	56.1%0.26%	24.7%4.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		26.7%1.14%	31.7%0.64%	61.9%0.04%	39.4%0.70%	39.7%0.72%	57.4%0.48%	31.7%0.33%	22.3%1.56%	25.5%1.42%	73.3%0.03%	21.1%2.23%	100.0%<0.01%	38.7%0.59%	57.3%0.08%	47.8%0.27%
Atlanta Falcons	73.3%1.14%		58.3%2.11%	80.1%0.19%	62.0%2.66%	64.6%3.02%	78.7%1.89%	56.8%3.29%	42.3%5.86%	46.6%5.01%	89.5%0.15%	43.8%7.35%	70.4%0.10%	61.1%4.78%	70.2%0.24%	75.0%1.04%
Carolina Panthers	68.3%0.64%	41.7%2.11%		63.6%0.13%	56.0%1.75%	56.4%1.75%	71.7%1.19%	47.9%2.03%	35.4%3.79%	40.9%2.92%	72.4%0.09%	33.5%4.67%	63.4%0.04%	51.4%3.15%	66.9%0.13%	68.9%0.68%
Chicago Bears	38.1%0.04%	19.9%0.19%	36.4%0.13%		37.7%0.15%	38.6%0.06%	38.5%0.04%	29.5%0.13%	13.2%0.14%	24.7%0.29%	25.0%<0.01%	16.2%0.41%	50.0%<0.01%	30.4%0.23%	57.1%0.01%	43.9%0.07%
Dallas Cowboys	60.6%0.70%	38.0%2.66%	44.0%1.75%	62.3%0.15%		51.1%1.83%	62.8%1.12%	42.5%2.19%	30.0%3.79%	35.0%3.45%	75.0%0.05%	29.9%4.79%	56.5%0.05%	47.1%3.03%	63.9%0.23%	59.4%0.45%
Detroit Lions	60.3%0.72%	35.4%3.02%	43.6%1.75%	61.4%0.06%	48.9%1.83%		66.1%0.76%	41.7%2.27%	30.1%2.88%	33.9%3.78%	74.2%0.09%	29.9%5.12%	58.5%0.07%	46.8%3.37%	64.3%0.30%	62.6%0.74%
Green Bay Packers	42.6%0.48%	21.3%1.89%	28.3%1.19%	61.5%0.04%	37.2%1.12%	33.9%0.76%		26.9%1.51%	19.5%1.80%	22.6%2.43%	67.3%0.05%	18.4%3.32%	36.7%0.03%	33.4%2.01%	49.3%0.14%	45.0%0.47%
Los Angeles Rams	68.3%0.33%	43.2%3.29%	52.1%2.03%	70.5%0.13%	57.5%2.19%	58.3%2.27%	73.1%1.51%		36.3%4.39%	42.8%3.82%	79.7%0.12%	36.2%6.05%	75.0%0.01%	55.4%2.11%	66.8%0.29%	70.3%0.90%
Minnesota Vikings	77.7%1.56%	57.7%5.86%	64.6%3.79%	86.8%0.14%	70.0%3.79%	69.9%2.88%	80.5%1.80%	63.7%4.39%		56.6%7.49%	90.6%0.19%	49.6%10.31%	80.0%0.10%	67.7%6.75%	78.7%0.53%	81.0%1.43%
New Orleans Saints	74.5%1.42%	53.4%5.01%	59.1%2.92%	75.3%0.29%	65.0%3.45%	66.1%3.78%	77.4%2.43%	57.2%3.82%	43.4%7.49%		86.5%0.17%	43.9%9.33%	69.8%0.11%	63.0%6.24%	73.5%0.40%	75.4%1.34%
New York Giants	26.7%0.03%	10.5%0.15%	27.6%0.09%	75.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.05%	25.8%0.09%	32.7%0.05%	20.3%0.12%	9.4%0.19%	13.5%0.17%		12.4%0.17%	33.3%<0.01%	22.4%0.17%	61.5%0.01%	18.8%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	78.9%2.23%	56.2%7.35%	66.5%4.67%	83.8%0.41%	70.1%4.79%	70.1%5.12%	81.6%3.32%	63.8%6.05%	50.4%10.31%	56.1%9.33%	87.6%0.17%		75.3%0.18%	67.9%9.14%	82.2%0.75%	80.9%1.59%
San Francisco 49ers	0.0%<0.01%	29.6%0.10%	36.6%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	43.5%0.05%	41.5%0.07%	63.3%0.03%	25.0%0.01%	20.0%0.10%	30.2%0.11%	66.7%<0.01%	24.7%0.18%		34.5%0.03%	83.3%<0.01%	47.4%0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	61.3%0.59%	38.9%4.78%	48.6%3.15%	69.6%0.23%	52.9%3.03%	53.2%3.37%	66.6%2.01%	44.6%2.11%	32.3%6.75%	37.0%6.24%	77.6%0.17%	32.1%9.14%	65.5%0.03%		68.2%0.49%	66.3%1.33%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	42.7%0.08%	29.8%0.24%	33.1%0.13%	42.9%0.01%	36.1%0.23%	35.7%0.30%	50.7%0.14%	33.2%0.29%	21.3%0.53%	26.5%0.40%	38.5%0.01%	17.8%0.75%	16.7%<0.01%	31.8%0.49%		58.9%0.11%
Washington Redskins	52.2%0.27%	25.0%1.04%	31.1%0.68%	56.1%0.07%	40.6%0.45%	37.4%0.74%	55.0%0.47%	29.7%0.90%	19.0%1.43%	24.6%1.34%	81.2%0.02%	19.1%1.59%	52.6%0.02%	33.7%1.33%	41.1%0.11%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		59.5%0.28%	74.5%0.09%		78.0%0.12%	80.7%0.09%	86.4%0.02%	50.1%1.71%	45.2%2.66%	47.8%0.60%	84.8%0.07%	29.5%7.32%	64.9%0.04%	70.6%0.13%	38.1%2.44%	66.6%0.36%
Buffalo Bills	40.5%0.28%		59.1%0.02%		64.0%0.03%	63.2%0.02%	80.0%0.01%	37.4%0.36%	30.5%0.52%	33.9%0.11%	80.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.84%	50.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.03%	28.3%0.83%	53.9%0.09%
Cincinnati Bengals	25.5%0.09%	40.9%0.02%			70.0%0.01%	60.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.9%0.21%	28.8%0.35%	27.9%0.06%	37.5%<0.01%	16.3%0.95%	42.9%<0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	20.5%0.26%	55.3%0.04%
Cleveland Browns								0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	22.0%0.12%	36.0%0.03%	30.0%0.01%			60.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	27.7%0.17%	25.0%0.15%	33.3%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	11.7%0.74%	50.0%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%	19.0%0.43%	37.0%0.05%
Houston Texans	19.3%0.09%	36.8%0.02%	40.0%0.01%		40.0%0.01%			26.5%0.05%	21.8%0.17%	28.6%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	9.2%0.49%	25.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.01%	14.5%0.26%	50.0%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	13.6%0.02%	20.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		66.7%<0.01%			31.6%0.02%	20.8%0.08%	23.5%0.02%		7.8%0.20%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	16.0%0.11%	33.3%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	49.9%1.71%	62.6%0.36%	67.1%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	72.3%0.17%	73.5%0.05%	68.4%0.02%		44.2%3.72%	49.9%0.72%	73.0%0.09%	30.0%10.07%	79.7%0.06%	73.4%0.19%	37.0%5.17%	63.3%0.34%
Kansas City Chiefs	54.8%2.66%	69.5%0.52%	71.2%0.35%	33.3%<0.01%	75.0%0.15%	78.2%0.17%	79.2%0.08%	55.8%3.72%		50.8%0.72%	73.8%0.13%	32.8%14.89%	77.3%0.07%	66.2%0.14%	42.0%8.10%	67.6%0.85%
Los Angeles Chargers	52.2%0.60%	66.1%0.11%	72.1%0.06%		66.7%0.04%	71.4%0.03%	76.5%0.02%	50.1%0.72%	49.2%0.72%		75.7%0.04%	29.3%2.98%	57.9%0.02%	55.9%0.03%	37.2%1.75%	73.1%0.21%
Miami Dolphins	15.2%0.07%	20.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		27.0%0.09%	26.2%0.13%	24.3%0.04%		13.8%0.21%		57.1%<0.01%	22.4%0.21%	45.5%0.02%
New England Patriots	70.5%7.32%	77.4%0.84%	83.7%0.95%	100.0%<0.01%	88.3%0.74%	90.8%0.49%	92.2%0.20%	70.0%10.07%	67.2%14.89%	70.7%2.98%	86.2%0.21%		86.2%0.13%	84.8%0.69%	58.3%20.35%	79.8%2.46%
New York Jets	35.1%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	20.3%0.06%	22.7%0.07%	42.1%0.02%		13.8%0.13%		60.0%<0.01%	17.8%0.14%	40.0%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	29.4%0.13%	71.4%0.03%	55.6%<0.01%		44.4%<0.01%	61.5%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	26.6%0.19%	33.8%0.14%	44.1%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	15.2%0.69%	40.0%<0.01%		19.2%0.40%	39.6%0.05%
Pittsburgh Steelers	61.9%2.44%	71.7%0.83%	79.5%0.26%	66.7%<0.01%	81.0%0.43%	85.5%0.26%	84.0%0.11%	63.0%5.17%	58.0%8.10%	62.8%1.75%	77.6%0.21%	41.7%20.35%	82.2%0.14%	80.8%0.40%		73.8%1.28%
Tennessee Titans	33.4%0.36%	46.1%0.09%	44.7%0.04%		63.0%0.05%	50.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	36.7%0.34%	32.4%0.85%	26.9%0.21%	54.5%0.02%	20.2%2.46%	60.0%0.01%	60.4%0.05%	26.2%1.28%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		26.9%0.39%	34.7%0.22%	62.5%<0.01%	43.2%0.15%	41.6%0.15%	54.8%0.07%	32.4%0.07%	24.1%0.56%	24.1%0.51%	33.3%<0.01%	24.9%0.76%	0.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.14%	40.0%0.01%	50.0%0.04%
Atlanta Falcons	73.1%0.39%		58.2%0.72%	69.0%0.06%	60.6%1.30%	63.7%1.29%	75.1%0.57%	54.9%1.82%	41.8%4.13%	46.2%2.02%	86.7%0.04%	42.6%6.20%	59.1%0.02%	60.0%2.21%	74.2%0.07%	73.8%0.43%
Carolina Panthers	65.3%0.22%	41.8%0.72%		67.7%0.03%	56.5%0.77%	53.0%0.69%	66.9%0.27%	45.8%0.99%	36.3%2.19%	41.5%1.08%	76.9%0.01%	36.8%3.08%	55.6%<0.01%	53.6%1.23%	61.8%0.03%	67.9%0.21%
Chicago Bears	37.5%<0.01%	31.0%0.06%	32.3%0.03%		35.7%0.03%	37.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	32.6%0.04%	19.1%0.05%	23.9%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	22.4%0.13%		37.5%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	56.8%0.15%	39.4%1.30%	43.5%0.77%	64.3%0.03%		51.2%0.63%	67.8%0.24%	41.9%0.75%	31.5%2.08%	36.7%1.87%	87.5%<0.01%	33.5%1.52%	76.9%0.01%	49.5%1.04%	66.2%0.08%	60.9%0.06%
Detroit Lions	58.4%0.15%	36.3%1.29%	47.0%0.69%	62.5%<0.01%	48.8%0.63%		61.1%0.13%	41.5%0.81%	29.8%1.03%	37.1%1.70%	69.2%0.01%	28.9%2.90%	58.8%0.02%	45.9%1.06%	64.5%0.06%	63.9%0.18%
Green Bay Packers	45.2%0.07%	24.9%0.57%	33.1%0.27%	50.0%<0.01%	32.2%0.24%	38.9%0.13%		29.0%0.33%	25.7%0.43%	25.0%0.71%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%1.23%	60.0%<0.01%	32.1%0.42%	64.1%0.04%	44.7%0.08%
Los Angeles Rams	67.6%0.07%	45.1%1.82%	54.2%0.99%	67.4%0.04%	58.1%0.75%	58.5%0.81%	71.0%0.33%		39.4%2.57%	43.9%2.18%	72.7%0.01%	38.4%3.55%	87.5%<0.01%	55.0%0.55%	67.9%0.08%	66.5%0.23%
Minnesota Vikings	75.9%0.56%	58.2%4.13%	63.7%2.19%	80.9%0.05%	68.5%2.08%	70.2%1.03%	74.3%0.43%	60.6%2.57%		55.5%5.39%	97.3%0.04%	50.3%9.00%	73.5%0.05%	66.1%3.54%	78.6%0.20%	77.6%0.58%
New Orleans Saints	75.9%0.51%	53.8%2.02%	58.5%1.08%	76.1%0.07%	63.3%1.87%	62.9%1.70%	75.0%0.71%	56.1%2.18%	44.5%5.39%		85.7%0.05%	44.2%7.94%	68.2%0.04%	61.2%3.11%	80.8%0.08%	75.2%0.54%
New York Giants	66.7%<0.01%	13.3%0.04%	23.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	12.5%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.01%	2.7%0.04%	14.3%0.05%		5.9%0.03%		21.1%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	75.1%0.76%	57.4%6.20%	63.2%3.08%	77.6%0.13%	66.5%1.52%	71.1%2.90%	80.0%1.23%	61.6%3.55%	49.7%9.00%	55.8%7.94%	94.1%0.03%		81.5%0.05%	67.1%4.59%	80.4%0.32%	79.4%0.38%
San Francisco 49ers	100.0%<0.01%	40.9%0.02%	44.4%<0.01%		23.1%0.01%	41.2%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	12.5%<0.01%	26.5%0.05%	31.8%0.04%		18.5%0.05%		41.7%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	63.6%0.14%	40.0%2.21%	46.4%1.23%	62.5%0.06%	50.5%1.04%	54.1%1.06%	67.9%0.42%	45.0%0.55%	33.9%3.54%	38.8%3.11%	78.9%0.02%	32.9%4.59%	58.3%0.01%		57.7%0.11%	62.9%0.29%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	60.0%0.01%	25.8%0.07%	38.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	33.8%0.08%	35.5%0.06%	35.9%0.04%	32.1%0.08%	21.4%0.20%	19.2%0.08%	75.0%<0.01%	19.6%0.32%	0.0%<0.01%	42.3%0.11%		63.6%0.01%
Washington Redskins	50.0%0.04%	26.2%0.43%	32.1%0.21%	70.0%0.01%	39.1%0.06%	36.1%0.18%	55.3%0.08%	33.5%0.23%	22.4%0.58%	24.8%0.54%	0.0%<0.01%	20.6%0.38%	33.3%<0.01%	37.1%0.29%	36.4%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	66.7%0.07%	43.8%0.61%	53.8%0.33%	25.0%<0.01%	55.9%0.24%	59.0%0.27%	69.2%0.09%	48.0%0.41%	37.4%1.15%	41.7%0.91%	100.0%<0.01%	38.9%1.62%	75.0%<0.01%	51.5%0.48%	52.6%0.02%	60.8%0.05%
Buffalo Bills	55.6%<0.01%	34.7%0.10%	46.4%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	56.4%0.04%	46.8%0.05%	60.0%0.01%	40.6%0.06%	27.2%0.19%	33.6%0.15%		27.0%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	50.7%0.07%		63.6%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	25.0%<0.01%	31.0%0.06%	20.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	43.5%0.02%	44.4%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	38.2%0.03%	29.6%0.08%	28.8%0.07%		26.7%0.14%		21.7%0.02%		33.3%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns									0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	0.0%<0.01%	24.0%0.03%	34.8%0.02%		33.3%0.01%	53.8%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%	16.0%0.05%	27.7%0.07%		21.8%0.10%		21.7%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	42.9%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	19.4%0.03%	15.6%0.03%		16.7%0.05%		20.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts		0.0%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%		40.0%0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	62.2%0.07%	46.2%0.98%	49.6%0.47%	53.8%0.01%	55.6%0.37%	57.8%0.35%	69.7%0.10%	45.8%0.54%	39.3%1.64%	42.1%1.24%	80.0%<0.01%	37.3%2.25%	80.0%<0.01%	53.4%0.66%	64.0%0.03%	72.4%0.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	58.9%0.12%	48.3%1.48%	49.8%0.76%	70.8%0.02%	59.4%0.57%	56.6%0.55%	65.4%0.16%	50.3%0.89%	40.9%2.64%	43.4%2.02%	80.0%<0.01%	40.9%3.50%	37.5%<0.01%	53.5%1.07%	74.3%0.03%	68.5%0.09%
Los Angeles Chargers	59.1%0.02%	46.1%0.34%	47.7%0.15%	75.0%<0.01%	60.6%0.11%	55.8%0.11%	73.3%0.04%	47.5%0.20%	42.6%0.55%	45.0%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%	41.8%0.68%	75.0%<0.01%	57.7%0.23%	68.8%0.02%	72.0%0.03%
Miami Dolphins	0.0%<0.01%	8.3%0.02%	36.4%0.01%		44.4%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%	9.1%0.03%	40.9%0.02%		32.5%0.04%		27.3%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	77.0%0.37%	59.8%4.49%	67.8%2.10%	77.4%0.06%	71.2%1.80%	71.3%1.71%	77.2%0.50%	62.7%2.70%	53.2%7.98%	58.7%5.99%	83.3%0.01%	54.6%10.42%	73.0%0.04%	68.3%3.08%	82.4%0.13%	76.6%0.38%
New York Jets		22.2%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		28.6%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%		27.3%0.01%	31.0%0.03%	14.3%0.02%		15.0%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	75.0%<0.01%	27.5%0.04%	30.4%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%	33.3%0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.02%	20.3%0.08%	27.1%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	25.5%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	57.7%0.03%		28.6%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	73.6%0.20%	52.9%2.46%	62.2%1.08%	72.0%0.03%	63.3%0.97%	66.6%0.87%	79.6%0.29%	57.5%1.42%	45.9%4.08%	51.7%3.25%	88.9%<0.01%	47.9%5.52%	50.0%0.01%	64.0%1.57%	66.1%0.06%	73.4%0.21%
Tennessee Titans	53.8%0.01%	28.2%0.18%	43.9%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	35.2%0.05%	40.7%0.05%	42.9%0.01%	28.2%0.11%	30.6%0.28%	34.4%0.25%	100.0%<0.01%	25.1%0.37%		38.5%0.14%	60.0%0.01%	66.7%0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	33.3%0.07%	44.4%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		37.8%0.07%	41.1%0.12%	40.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	23.0%0.37%		25.0%<0.01%	26.4%0.20%	46.2%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	56.2%0.61%	65.3%0.10%	69.0%0.06%		76.0%0.03%	80.0%0.03%	100.0%0.01%	53.8%0.98%	51.7%1.48%	53.9%0.34%	91.7%0.02%	40.2%4.49%	77.8%<0.01%	72.5%0.04%	47.1%2.46%	71.8%0.18%
Carolina Panthers																	46.2%0.33%	53.6%0.06%	80.0%0.03%		65.2%0.02%	57.1%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	50.4%0.47%	50.2%0.76%	52.3%0.15%	63.6%0.01%	32.2%2.10%	66.7%<0.01%	69.6%0.02%	37.8%1.08%	56.1%0.07%
Chicago Bears																	75.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%					46.2%0.01%	29.2%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%		22.6%0.06%		0.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	44.1%0.24%	43.6%0.04%	56.5%0.02%		66.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.37%	40.6%0.57%	39.4%0.11%	55.6%<0.01%	28.8%1.80%	71.4%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%	36.7%0.97%	64.8%0.05%
Detroit Lions																	41.0%0.27%	53.2%0.05%	55.6%0.02%		46.2%0.01%	88.9%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	42.2%0.35%	43.4%0.55%	44.2%0.11%	57.1%<0.01%	28.7%1.71%	42.9%<0.01%	66.7%0.01%	33.4%0.87%	59.3%0.05%
Green Bay Packers																	30.8%0.09%	40.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		57.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	30.3%0.10%	34.6%0.16%	26.7%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	22.8%0.50%		80.0%<0.01%	20.4%0.29%	57.1%0.01%
Los Angeles Rams																	52.0%0.41%	59.4%0.06%	61.8%0.03%		80.0%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	54.2%0.54%	49.7%0.89%	52.5%0.20%	78.6%0.01%	37.3%2.70%	72.7%0.01%	68.8%0.02%	42.5%1.42%	71.8%0.11%
Minnesota Vikings																	62.6%1.15%	72.8%0.19%	70.4%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	84.0%0.05%	80.6%0.03%	88.9%<0.01%	60.7%1.64%	59.1%2.64%	57.4%0.55%	90.9%0.03%	46.8%7.98%	69.0%0.03%	79.7%0.08%	54.1%4.08%	69.4%0.28%
New Orleans Saints																	58.3%0.91%	66.4%0.15%	71.2%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	72.3%0.07%	84.4%0.03%	80.0%0.01%	57.9%1.24%	56.6%2.02%	55.0%0.44%	59.1%0.02%	41.3%5.99%	85.7%0.02%	72.9%0.06%	48.3%3.25%	65.6%0.25%
New York Giants																	0.0%<0.01%							20.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		16.7%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	61.1%1.62%	73.0%0.23%	73.3%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	78.2%0.10%	83.3%0.05%	60.0%0.01%	62.7%2.25%	59.1%3.50%	58.2%0.68%	67.5%0.04%	45.4%10.42%	85.0%0.02%	74.5%0.11%	52.1%5.52%	74.9%0.37%
San Francisco 49ers																	25.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%						20.0%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		27.0%0.04%		100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	48.5%0.48%	49.3%0.07%	78.3%0.02%		78.3%0.02%	80.0%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	46.6%0.66%	46.5%1.07%	42.3%0.23%	72.7%0.01%	31.7%3.08%	100.0%<0.01%	42.3%0.03%	36.0%1.57%	61.5%0.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	47.4%0.02%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	36.0%0.03%	25.7%0.03%	31.2%0.02%		17.6%0.13%			33.9%0.06%	40.0%0.01%
Washington Redskins																	39.2%0.05%	36.4%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%			27.6%0.09%	31.5%0.09%	28.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	23.4%0.38%		71.4%<0.01%	26.6%0.21%	33.3%0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New England Patriots	100.00%	76.69%	51.20%	28.02%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	100.00%	60.83%	35.61%	17.69%	Won Super Bowl
Minnesota Vikings	100.00%	64.22%	31.63%	16.08%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	67.61%	28.77%	14.04%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New Orleans Saints	66.45%	26.30%	12.20%	6.07%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Atlanta Falcons	47.81%	19.28%	8.18%	4.13%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	73.94%	22.55%	9.06%	4.05%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Los Angeles Rams	52.19%	18.17%	7.96%	3.58%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Jacksonville Jaguars	68.31%	22.12%	7.74%	3.19%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Carolina Panthers	33.55%	11.21%	4.42%	2.00%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Buffalo Bills	31.69%	5.95%	1.80%	0.66%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Tennessee Titans	26.06%	5.08%	1.43%	0.49%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills		31.7%100.00%
Jacksonville Jaguars	68.3%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs				73.9%100.00%
Tennessee Titans			26.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Los Angeles Rams	New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons			47.8%100.00%
Carolina Panthers				33.5%100.00%
Los Angeles Rams	52.2%100.00%
New Orleans Saints		66.5%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills				18.8%31.69%
Jacksonville Jaguars					32.4%68.31%
Kansas City Chiefs				28.2%50.35%	35.4%23.59%
New England Patriots	81.2%31.69%		71.8%50.35%			82.3%17.97%
Pittsburgh Steelers		67.6%68.31%	64.6%23.59%			76.4%8.09%
Tennessee Titans				17.7%17.97%	23.6%8.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons						40.3%47.81%
Carolina Panthers				33.1%16.03%		33.7%17.52%
Los Angeles Rams				34.8%52.19%
Minnesota Vikings		66.9%16.03%	65.2%52.19%		61.2%31.79%
New Orleans Saints				38.8%31.79%		40.3%34.66%
Philadelphia Eagles	59.7%47.81%	66.3%17.52%			59.7%34.66%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Buffalo Bills	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills			32.3%1.54%		28.2%4.07%	44.0%0.34%
Jacksonville Jaguars			53.8%4.52%	28.0%16.61%		66.7%0.99%
Kansas City Chiefs	67.7%1.54%	46.2%4.52%		31.7%6.82%	39.0%9.67%
New England Patriots		72.0%16.61%	68.3%6.82%		64.5%51.69%	79.3%1.57%
Pittsburgh Steelers	71.8%4.07%		61.0%9.67%	35.5%51.69%		73.3%2.19%
Tennessee Titans	56.0%0.34%	33.3%0.99%		20.7%1.57%	26.7%2.19%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons		48.7%2.15%		41.3%12.21%	42.5%4.91%
Carolina Panthers	51.3%2.15%		41.4%2.03%	35.3%3.88%		35.2%3.14%
Los Angeles Rams		58.6%2.03%			51.9%4.83%	37.7%11.31%
Minnesota Vikings	58.7%12.21%	64.7%3.88%			57.0%9.15%	42.9%38.97%
New Orleans Saints	57.5%4.91%		48.1%4.83%	43.0%9.15%		42.0%7.41%
Philadelphia Eagles		64.8%3.14%	62.3%11.31%	57.1%38.97%	58.0%7.41%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Buffalo Bills	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers	Tennessee Titans
Buffalo Bills	33.1%0.14%	46.2%0.09%	39.9%0.16%	37.8%0.53%	35.3%0.22%	34.6%0.65%
Jacksonville Jaguars	42.4%0.63%	47.4%0.38%	45.6%0.62%	40.5%2.38%	39.5%0.97%	40.3%2.76%
Kansas City Chiefs	42.3%0.76%	46.9%0.43%	49.9%0.73%	44.6%2.82%	43.9%1.11%	44.2%3.22%
New England Patriots	53.4%4.19%	59.1%2.22%	58.7%4.08%	53.4%16.31%	55.3%6.22%	54.6%18.19%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.4%2.36%	53.9%1.23%	54.3%2.25%	46.6%9.18%	48.2%3.47%	49.3%10.27%
Tennessee Titans	35.5%0.09%	31.2%0.06%	42.6%0.12%	34.9%0.42%	32.4%0.21%	33.6%0.52%
Atlanta Falcons							66.9%0.14%	57.6%0.63%	57.7%0.76%	46.6%4.19%	51.6%2.36%	64.5%0.09%
Carolina Panthers							53.8%0.09%	52.6%0.38%	53.1%0.43%	40.9%2.22%	46.1%1.23%	68.8%0.06%
Los Angeles Rams							60.1%0.16%	54.4%0.62%	50.1%0.73%	41.3%4.08%	45.7%2.25%	57.4%0.12%
Minnesota Vikings							62.2%0.53%	59.5%2.38%	55.4%2.82%	46.6%16.31%	53.4%9.18%	65.1%0.42%
New Orleans Saints							64.7%0.22%	60.5%0.97%	56.1%1.11%	44.7%6.22%	51.8%3.47%	67.6%0.21%
Philadelphia Eagles							65.4%0.65%	59.7%2.76%	55.8%3.22%	45.4%18.19%	50.7%10.27%	66.4%0.52%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New England Patriots 28.02% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

47.15%

Win Prob

71.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

65.12%

Win Prob

64.51%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.44%

Win Prob

54.57%

Philadelphia Eagles 17.69% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

46.90%

Win Prob

59.67%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

62.44%

Win Prob

57.06%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

46.73%

Win Prob

45.43%

Minnesota Vikings 16.08% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

52.98%

Win Prob

65.19%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

52.91%

Win Prob

42.94%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

47.26%

Win Prob

46.60%

Pittsburgh Steelers 14.04% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

68.32%

Win Prob

67.61%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

63.78%

Win Prob

35.49%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

36.02%

Win Prob

49.27%

New Orleans Saints 6.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.45%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

53.15%

Win Prob

40.32%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

32.30%

Win Prob

43.04%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

45.77%

Win Prob

44.70%

Atlanta Falcons 4.13% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Los Angeles Rams

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.81%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.33%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

61.63%

Win Prob

41.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

47.28%

Win Prob

46.59%

Kansas City Chiefs 4.05% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Tennessee Titans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.94%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

62.93%

Win Prob

28.19%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

41.59%

Win Prob

39.00%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.10%

Win Prob

44.20%

Los Angeles Rams 3.58% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

52.19%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

53.57%

Win Prob

37.70%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

47.03%

Win Prob

41.34%

Jacksonville Jaguars 3.19% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Buffalo Bills

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.31%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

32.39%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

60.04%

Win Prob

27.99%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

34.88%

Win Prob

40.33%

Carolina Panthers 2.00% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.55%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

52.73%

Win Prob

33.73%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

30.94%

Win Prob

35.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

45.45%

Win Prob

40.95%

Buffalo Bills 0.66% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.69%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

18.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

63.96%

Win Prob

28.22%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

34.40%

Win Prob

34.61%

Tennessee Titans 0.49% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.06%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

62.46%

Win Prob

17.66%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

40.83%

Win Prob

26.68%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

35.43%

Win Prob

33.59%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2017-09-10	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-35	1515.61	1491.48	46.06%	53.71%	-27.43	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-13	1488.18	1450.99	47.93%	51.84%	+15.43	1-1
2017-09-25	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-28	1503.61	1539.14	52.08%	47.69%	-29.69	1-2
2017-10-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 18-15	1473.92	1354.48	72.60%	27.21%	+8.11	2-2
2017-10-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-34	1482.03	1536.97	35.14%	64.65%	-31.40	2-3
2017-10-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-33	1450.63	1487.49	51.89%	47.88%	+18.41	3-3
2017-10-22	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 0-33	1469.04	1497.02	45.87%	53.90%	-45.31	3-4
2017-11-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-10	1423.73	1293.05	61.18%	38.60%	+20.99	4-4
2017-11-09	Seattle Seahawks	L 16-22	1444.72	1573.70	38.83%	60.95%	-16.35	4-5
2017-11-19	@ Houston Texans	L 21-31	1428.37	1448.11	39.88%	59.90%	-21.69	4-6
2017-11-26	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-24	1406.68	1594.96	31.10%	68.70%	+20.44	5-6
2017-12-03	Los Angeles Rams	L 16-32	1427.12	1600.10	33.01%	66.78%	-22.71	5-7
2017-12-10	Tennessee Titans	W 12-7	1404.41	1517.35	41.04%	58.73%	+22.57	6-7
2017-12-17	@ Washington Redskins	L 15-20	1426.98	1427.47	42.56%	57.21%	-16.36	6-8
2017-12-24	New York Giants	W 23-0	1410.62	1315.23	69.76%	30.04%	+24.77	7-8
2017-12-31	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 26-24	1435.39	1574.65	25.02%	74.80%	+18.17	8-8
2017-09-10	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-17	1584.45	1424.77	65.06%	34.73%	+14.62	1-0
2017-09-17	Green Bay Packers	W 34-23	1599.07	1569.94	61.19%	38.59%	+22.02	2-0
2017-09-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 30-26	1621.09	1552.47	52.45%	47.32%	+16.27	3-0
2017-10-01	Buffalo Bills	L 17-23	1637.36	1516.65	72.74%	27.07%	-30.61	3-1
2017-10-15	Miami Dolphins	L 17-20	1606.75	1459.48	75.66%	24.16%	-22.51	3-2
2017-10-22	@ New England Patriots	L 7-23	1584.24	1625.65	36.93%	62.85%	-25.40	3-3
2017-10-29	@ New York Jets	W 25-20	1558.84	1443.37	59.08%	40.69%	+15.64	4-3
2017-11-05	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-20	1574.48	1512.94	51.43%	48.34%	-15.31	4-4
2017-11-12	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-7	1559.17	1613.45	49.38%	50.39%	+38.74	5-4
2017-11-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 34-31	1597.91	1590.06	43.74%	56.03%	+16.67	6-4
2017-11-26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-20	1614.58	1456.44	76.79%	23.04%	+14.83	7-4
2017-12-03	Minnesota Vikings	L 9-14	1629.41	1648.22	54.47%	45.30%	-20.94	7-5
2017-12-07	New Orleans Saints	W 20-17	1608.47	1666.82	48.80%	50.97%	+15.18	8-5
2017-12-18	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-21	1623.65	1410.95	71.63%	28.17%	+8.39	9-5
2017-12-24	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-23	1632.04	1660.78	38.65%	61.13%	-21.02	9-6
2017-12-31	Carolina Panthers	W 22-10	1611.02	1601.81	58.43%	41.34%	+24.63	10-6
2017-09-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-0	1495.88	1507.59	40.99%	58.78%	+45.18	1-0
2017-09-17	Cleveland Browns	W 24-10	1541.06	1395.83	75.44%	24.38%	+15.68	2-0
2017-09-24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-44	1556.74	1447.92	65.05%	34.73%	-67.98	2-1
2017-10-01	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-26	1488.76	1562.09	46.64%	53.12%	-33.06	2-2
2017-10-08	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-17	1455.70	1510.54	35.15%	64.63%	+40.03	3-2
2017-10-15	Chicago Bears	L 24-27	1495.73	1383.52	71.76%	28.05%	-21.35	3-3
2017-10-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-24	1474.38	1544.43	33.19%	66.60%	-16.14	3-4
2017-10-26	Miami Dolphins	W 40-0	1458.24	1493.57	52.11%	47.66%	+51.82	4-4
2017-11-05	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-23	1510.06	1477.59	47.25%	52.52%	-14.07	4-5
2017-11-19	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-0	1495.99	1514.74	40.02%	59.76%	+49.25	5-5
2017-11-27	Houston Texans	W 23-16	1545.24	1469.80	67.29%	32.50%	+14.79	6-5
2017-12-03	Detroit Lions	W 44-20	1560.03	1534.62	60.68%	39.10%	+32.94	7-5
2017-12-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 38-39	1592.97	1657.44	33.90%	65.89%	-5.83	7-6
2017-12-17	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-10	1587.14	1231.67	85.15%	14.72%	+10.43	8-6
2017-12-23	Indianapolis Colts	W 23-16	1597.57	1310.48	87.40%	12.49%	+5.68	9-6
2017-12-31	Cincinnati Bengals	L 27-31	1603.25	1418.41	79.41%	20.43%	-27.28	9-7
2017-09-10	New York Jets	W 21-12	1482.48	1452.41	61.31%	38.46%	+19.84	1-0
2017-09-17	@ Carolina Panthers	L 3-9	1502.32	1535.13	38.09%	61.69%	-16.04	1-1
2017-09-24	Denver Broncos	W 26-16	1486.28	1578.95	43.89%	55.88%	+30.37	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-17	1516.65	1637.36	27.07%	72.74%	+30.60	3-1
2017-10-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-20	1547.25	1473.99	53.11%	46.66%	-18.26	3-2
2017-10-22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-27	1528.99	1469.08	65.30%	34.49%	+10.28	4-2
2017-10-29	Oakland Raiders	W 34-14	1539.27	1471.56	66.31%	33.48%	+25.75	5-2
2017-11-02	@ New York Jets	L 21-34	1565.02	1427.73	62.08%	37.70%	-38.46	5-3
2017-11-12	New Orleans Saints	L 10-47	1526.56	1621.58	43.56%	56.21%	-45.55	5-4
2017-11-19	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 24-54	1481.01	1470.09	44.17%	55.60%	-41.60	5-5
2017-11-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-10	1439.41	1590.33	23.78%	76.04%	+31.99	6-5
2017-12-03	New England Patriots	L 3-23	1471.40	1711.44	25.10%	74.71%	-19.31	6-6
2017-12-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 13-7	1452.09	1352.37	70.28%	29.52%	+12.44	7-6
2017-12-17	Miami Dolphins	W 24-16	1464.53	1441.96	60.29%	39.49%	+19.20	8-6
2017-12-24	@ New England Patriots	L 16-37	1483.73	1708.82	16.93%	82.93%	-13.33	8-7
2017-12-31	@ Miami Dolphins	W 22-16	1470.40	1407.13	51.68%	48.09%	+20.25	9-7
2017-09-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-3	1501.63	1406.64	56.21%	43.56%	+33.50	1-0
2017-09-17	Buffalo Bills	W 9-3	1535.13	1502.32	61.69%	38.09%	+16.05	2-0
2017-09-24	New Orleans Saints	L 13-34	1551.18	1445.73	70.97%	28.84%	-55.87	2-1
2017-10-01	@ New England Patriots	W 33-30	1495.31	1612.76	27.44%	72.37%	+21.53	3-1
2017-10-08	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1516.84	1561.34	36.52%	63.26%	+18.83	4-1
2017-10-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-28	1535.67	1568.38	52.48%	47.28%	-20.17	4-2
2017-10-22	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-17	1515.50	1404.87	58.41%	41.36%	-37.56	4-3
2017-10-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-3	1477.94	1458.81	45.34%	54.43%	+35.00	5-3
2017-11-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1512.94	1574.48	48.34%	51.43%	+15.31	6-3
2017-11-13	Miami Dolphins	W 45-21	1528.25	1424.91	70.72%	29.09%	+24.51	7-3
2017-11-26	@ New York Jets	W 35-27	1552.76	1446.60	57.79%	41.99%	+20.42	8-3
2017-12-03	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-31	1573.18	1649.18	32.43%	67.36%	-17.64	8-4
2017-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-24	1555.54	1669.15	40.95%	58.83%	+26.75	9-4
2017-12-17	Green Bay Packers	W 31-24	1582.29	1486.96	69.75%	30.05%	+13.67	10-4
2017-12-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 22-19	1595.96	1402.56	80.20%	19.64%	+5.85	11-4
2017-12-31	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-22	1601.81	1611.02	41.34%	58.43%	-24.63	11-5
2017-09-10	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-23	1424.77	1584.45	34.73%	65.06%	-14.63	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-29	1410.14	1506.50	29.92%	69.88%	-24.14	0-2
2017-09-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-17	1386.00	1591.90	28.97%	70.83%	+29.81	1-2
2017-09-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-35	1415.81	1556.51	24.86%	74.96%	-19.59	1-3
2017-10-09	Minnesota Vikings	L 17-20	1396.22	1497.93	42.61%	57.16%	-12.70	1-4
2017-10-15	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 27-24	1383.52	1495.73	28.05%	71.76%	+21.35	2-4
2017-10-22	Carolina Panthers	W 17-3	1404.87	1515.50	41.36%	58.41%	+37.56	3-4
2017-10-29	@ New Orleans Saints	L 12-20	1442.43	1594.13	23.70%	76.12%	-11.53	3-5
2017-11-12	Green Bay Packers	L 16-23	1430.90	1492.78	48.29%	51.48%	-21.96	3-6
2017-11-19	Detroit Lions	L 24-27	1408.94	1544.71	37.91%	61.87%	-11.29	3-7
2017-11-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-31	1397.65	1681.59	12.69%	87.20%	-11.54	3-8
2017-12-03	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-15	1386.11	1291.42	69.68%	30.12%	-11.96	3-9
2017-12-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 33-7	1374.15	1459.68	31.24%	68.55%	+60.05	4-9
2017-12-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-20	1434.20	1515.41	31.78%	68.02%	-17.29	4-10
2017-12-24	Cleveland Browns	W 20-3	1416.91	1221.23	80.41%	19.44%	+13.78	5-10
2017-12-31	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-23	1430.69	1678.13	15.20%	84.68%	-9.42	5-11
2017-09-10	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-20	1507.59	1495.88	58.78%	40.99%	-45.17	0-1
2017-09-14	Houston Texans	L 9-13	1462.42	1449.15	59.00%	40.78%	-20.28	0-2
2017-09-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-27	1442.14	1547.93	28.80%	71.01%	-8.57	0-3
2017-10-01	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-7	1433.57	1369.69	51.77%	48.00%	+40.42	1-3
2017-10-08	Buffalo Bills	W 20-16	1473.99	1547.25	46.66%	53.11%	+18.26	2-3
2017-10-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-29	1492.25	1571.41	32.03%	67.76%	-21.34	2-4
2017-10-29	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-23	1470.91	1362.37	71.33%	28.47%	+4.90	3-4
2017-11-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-23	1475.81	1553.07	32.27%	67.52%	-22.20	3-5
2017-11-12	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-24	1453.61	1491.66	37.38%	62.40%	-12.86	3-6
2017-11-19	@ Denver Broncos	W 20-17	1440.75	1418.68	45.76%	54.01%	+16.08	4-6
2017-11-26	Cleveland Browns	W 30-16	1456.83	1260.70	80.45%	19.40%	+12.48	5-6
2017-12-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1469.31	1647.82	32.31%	67.48%	-9.63	5-7
2017-12-10	Chicago Bears	L 7-33	1459.68	1374.15	68.55%	31.24%	-60.05	5-8
2017-12-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-34	1399.63	1642.41	15.54%	84.32%	-13.88	5-9
2017-12-24	Detroit Lions	W 26-17	1385.75	1532.69	36.40%	63.38%	+32.66	6-9
2017-12-31	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 31-27	1418.41	1603.25	20.43%	79.41%	+27.28	7-9
2017-09-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 18-21	1406.57	1556.07	36.06%	63.72%	-10.74	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-24	1395.83	1541.06	24.38%	75.44%	-15.69	0-2
2017-09-24	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 28-31	1380.14	1435.56	35.08%	64.71%	-10.45	0-3
2017-10-01	Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-31	1369.69	1433.57	48.00%	51.77%	-40.43	0-4
2017-10-08	New York Jets	L 14-17	1329.26	1460.70	38.49%	61.29%	-11.46	0-5
2017-10-15	@ Houston Texans	L 17-33	1317.80	1500.41	20.64%	79.20%	-14.20	0-6
2017-10-22	Tennessee Titans	L 9-12	1303.60	1467.41	34.19%	65.60%	-10.18	0-7
2017-10-29	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-33	1293.42	1560.57	17.64%	82.21%	-12.51	0-8
2017-11-12	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-38	1280.91	1535.26	14.69%	85.18%	-9.44	0-9
2017-11-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-19	1271.47	1584.19	18.08%	81.77%	-10.77	0-10
2017-11-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-30	1260.70	1456.83	19.40%	80.45%	-12.48	0-11
2017-12-03	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-19	1248.22	1559.91	11.02%	88.88%	-5.68	0-12
2017-12-10	Green Bay Packers	L 21-27	1242.54	1476.08	25.81%	74.00%	-10.87	0-13
2017-12-17	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-27	1231.67	1587.14	14.72%	85.15%	-10.44	0-14
2017-12-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 3-20	1221.23	1416.91	19.44%	80.41%	-13.78	0-15
2017-12-31	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-28	1207.45	1667.32	5.02%	94.93%	-1.72	0-16
2017-09-10	New York Giants	W 19-3	1556.36	1508.95	63.65%	36.13%	+24.86	1-0
2017-09-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-42	1581.22	1536.87	48.96%	50.81%	-42.08	1-1
2017-09-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 28-17	1539.14	1503.61	47.69%	52.08%	+29.69	2-1
2017-10-01	Los Angeles Rams	L 30-35	1568.83	1452.11	72.28%	27.53%	-27.77	2-2
2017-10-08	Green Bay Packers	L 31-35	1541.06	1576.10	52.15%	47.62%	-17.92	2-3
2017-10-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 40-10	1523.14	1331.36	69.13%	30.67%	+28.89	3-3
2017-10-29	@ Washington Redskins	W 33-19	1552.03	1504.81	49.37%	50.40%	+32.41	4-3
2017-11-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-17	1584.44	1642.18	48.88%	50.88%	+29.01	5-3
2017-11-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 7-27	1613.45	1559.17	50.39%	49.38%	-38.73	5-4
2017-11-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 9-37	1574.72	1637.82	48.11%	51.65%	-43.77	5-5
2017-11-23	Los Angeles Chargers	L 6-28	1530.95	1511.69	59.83%	39.95%	-48.22	5-6
2017-11-30	Washington Redskins	W 38-14	1482.73	1482.74	57.14%	42.63%	+35.91	6-6
2017-12-10	@ New York Giants	W 30-10	1518.64	1346.19	66.71%	33.08%	+25.44	7-6
2017-12-17	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-17	1544.08	1454.24	55.48%	44.29%	+13.19	8-6
2017-12-24	Seattle Seahawks	L 12-21	1557.27	1544.25	58.96%	40.81%	-30.39	8-7
2017-12-31	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 6-0	1526.88	1694.78	22.06%	77.77%	+10.90	9-7
2017-09-11	Los Angeles Chargers	W 24-21	1526.46	1470.00	64.85%	34.94%	+10.41	1-0
2017-09-17	Dallas Cowboys	W 42-17	1536.87	1581.22	50.81%	48.96%	+42.08	2-0
2017-09-24	@ Buffalo Bills	L 16-26	1578.95	1486.28	55.88%	43.89%	-30.37	2-1
2017-10-01	Oakland Raiders	W 16-10	1548.58	1527.25	60.12%	39.66%	+16.70	3-1
2017-10-15	New York Giants	L 10-23	1565.28	1409.12	76.59%	23.24%	-47.42	3-2
2017-10-22	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 0-21	1517.86	1448.70	52.53%	47.24%	-41.38	3-3
2017-10-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 19-29	1476.48	1629.36	23.58%	76.25%	-12.82	3-4
2017-11-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-51	1463.66	1616.34	23.60%	76.23%	-21.47	3-5
2017-11-12	New England Patriots	L 16-41	1442.19	1662.12	27.34%	72.47%	-23.51	3-6
2017-11-19	Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-20	1418.68	1440.75	54.01%	45.76%	-16.08	3-7
2017-11-26	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-21	1402.60	1444.04	36.93%	62.85%	-16.80	3-8
2017-12-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-35	1385.80	1364.23	45.69%	54.08%	-40.05	3-9
2017-12-10	New York Jets	W 23-0	1345.75	1454.08	41.68%	58.09%	+47.87	4-9
2017-12-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 25-13	1393.62	1339.94	50.30%	49.47%	+29.46	5-9
2017-12-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 11-27	1423.08	1443.84	39.74%	60.04%	-27.34	5-10
2017-12-31	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1395.74	1599.71	29.20%	70.60%	-2.90	5-11
2017-09-10	Arizona Cardinals	W 35-23	1491.48	1515.61	53.71%	46.06%	+27.43	1-0
2017-09-18	@ New York Giants	W 24-10	1518.91	1484.09	47.59%	52.18%	+33.56	2-0
2017-09-24	Atlanta Falcons	L 26-30	1552.47	1621.09	47.32%	52.45%	-16.27	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 14-7	1536.20	1523.06	44.49%	55.28%	+25.14	3-1
2017-10-08	Carolina Panthers	L 24-27	1561.34	1516.84	63.26%	36.52%	-18.83	3-2
2017-10-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 38-52	1542.51	1537.10	43.39%	56.38%	-27.92	3-3
2017-10-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 15-20	1514.59	1592.75	45.95%	53.81%	-17.66	3-4
2017-11-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-17	1496.93	1531.11	37.91%	61.87%	+38.33	4-4
2017-11-12	Cleveland Browns	W 38-24	1535.26	1280.91	85.18%	14.69%	+9.45	5-4
2017-11-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-24	1544.71	1408.94	61.87%	37.91%	+11.29	6-4
2017-11-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 23-30	1556.00	1626.84	47.00%	52.77%	-21.38	6-5
2017-12-03	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-44	1534.62	1560.03	39.10%	60.68%	-32.94	6-6
2017-12-10	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-21	1501.68	1424.69	53.65%	46.12%	+13.73	7-6
2017-12-16	Chicago Bears	W 20-10	1515.41	1434.20	68.02%	31.78%	+17.28	8-6
2017-12-24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-26	1532.69	1385.75	63.38%	36.40%	-32.66	8-7
2017-12-31	Green Bay Packers	W 35-11	1500.03	1451.44	63.81%	35.98%	+30.31	9-7
2017-09-10	Seattle Seahawks	W 17-9	1550.32	1534.05	59.42%	40.36%	+19.62	1-0
2017-09-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 23-34	1569.94	1599.07	38.59%	61.19%	-22.01	1-1
2017-09-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-24	1547.93	1442.14	71.01%	28.80%	+8.58	2-1
2017-09-28	Chicago Bears	W 35-14	1556.51	1415.81	74.96%	24.86%	+19.59	3-1
2017-10-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-31	1576.10	1541.06	47.62%	52.15%	+17.93	4-1
2017-10-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-23	1594.03	1510.62	54.56%	45.20%	-33.81	4-2
2017-10-22	New Orleans Saints	L 17-26	1560.22	1565.02	56.46%	43.31%	-29.11	4-3
2017-11-06	Detroit Lions	L 17-30	1531.11	1496.93	61.87%	37.91%	-38.33	4-4
2017-11-12	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-16	1492.78	1430.90	51.48%	48.29%	+21.96	5-4
2017-11-19	Baltimore Ravens	L 0-23	1514.74	1495.99	59.76%	40.02%	-49.25	5-5
2017-11-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 28-31	1465.49	1641.48	21.27%	78.57%	-6.33	5-6
2017-12-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-20	1459.16	1441.61	59.59%	40.18%	+16.92	6-6
2017-12-10	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-21	1476.08	1242.54	74.00%	25.81%	+10.88	7-6
2017-12-17	@ Carolina Panthers	L 24-31	1486.96	1582.29	30.05%	69.75%	-13.67	7-7
2017-12-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 0-16	1473.29	1656.29	31.75%	68.04%	-21.85	7-8
2017-12-31	@ Detroit Lions	L 11-35	1451.44	1500.03	35.98%	63.81%	-30.31	7-9
2017-09-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-29	1501.25	1446.24	64.66%	35.13%	-52.10	0-1
2017-09-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 13-9	1449.15	1462.42	40.78%	59.00%	+20.28	1-1
2017-09-24	@ New England Patriots	L 33-36	1469.43	1605.19	25.40%	74.42%	-7.57	1-2
2017-10-01	Tennessee Titans	W 57-14	1461.86	1517.77	49.15%	50.62%	+57.06	2-2
2017-10-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 34-42	1518.92	1653.63	38.05%	61.73%	-18.51	2-3
2017-10-15	Cleveland Browns	W 33-17	1500.41	1317.80	79.20%	20.64%	+14.20	3-3
2017-10-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 38-41	1514.61	1585.57	33.07%	66.72%	-9.85	3-4
2017-11-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 14-20	1504.76	1357.47	75.66%	24.16%	-31.83	3-5
2017-11-12	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 7-33	1472.93	1583.00	28.29%	71.51%	-24.82	3-6
2017-11-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-21	1448.11	1428.37	59.90%	39.88%	+21.69	4-6
2017-11-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 16-23	1469.80	1545.24	32.50%	67.29%	-14.79	4-7
2017-12-03	@ Tennessee Titans	L 13-24	1455.01	1496.28	36.95%	62.83%	-21.07	4-8
2017-12-10	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-26	1433.94	1303.39	73.85%	25.97%	-40.12	4-9
2017-12-17	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 7-45	1393.82	1608.65	17.77%	82.08%	-18.83	4-10
2017-12-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-34	1374.99	1647.52	21.76%	78.08%	-19.80	4-11
2017-12-31	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-22	1355.19	1304.80	49.83%	49.94%	-25.69	4-12
2017-09-10	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 9-46	1511.20	1406.37	57.60%	42.17%	-60.21	0-1
2017-09-17	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-16	1450.99	1488.18	51.84%	47.93%	-15.43	0-2
2017-09-24	Cleveland Browns	W 31-28	1435.56	1380.14	64.71%	35.08%	+10.45	1-2
2017-10-01	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-46	1446.01	1502.45	34.94%	64.84%	-31.80	1-3
2017-10-08	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-23	1414.21	1346.37	66.32%	33.47%	+9.97	2-3
2017-10-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 22-36	1424.18	1441.54	40.21%	59.57%	-25.87	2-4
2017-10-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 0-27	1398.31	1517.13	40.22%	59.55%	-35.94	2-5
2017-10-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-24	1362.37	1470.91	28.47%	71.33%	-4.90	2-6
2017-11-05	@ Houston Texans	W 20-14	1357.47	1504.76	24.16%	75.66%	+31.83	3-6
2017-11-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-20	1389.30	1610.42	27.20%	72.61%	-8.10	3-7
2017-11-26	Tennessee Titans	L 16-20	1381.20	1481.56	42.80%	56.97%	-14.72	3-8
2017-12-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 10-30	1366.48	1574.52	18.35%	81.50%	-14.11	3-9
2017-12-10	@ Buffalo Bills	L 7-13	1352.37	1452.09	29.52%	70.28%	-12.43	3-10
2017-12-14	Denver Broncos	L 13-25	1339.94	1393.62	49.47%	50.30%	-29.46	3-11
2017-12-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 16-23	1310.48	1597.57	12.49%	87.40%	-5.68	3-12
2017-12-31	Houston Texans	W 22-13	1304.80	1355.19	49.94%	49.83%	+25.70	4-12
2017-09-10	@ Houston Texans	W 29-7	1446.24	1501.25	35.13%	64.66%	+52.10	1-0
2017-09-17	Tennessee Titans	L 16-37	1498.34	1447.99	64.04%	35.74%	-50.42	1-1
2017-09-24	Baltimore Ravens	W 44-7	1447.92	1556.74	34.73%	65.05%	+67.98	2-1
2017-10-01	@ New York Jets	L 20-23	1515.90	1444.99	52.78%	46.99%	-15.71	2-2
2017-10-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-9	1500.19	1595.16	30.09%	69.71%	+54.88	3-2
2017-10-15	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-27	1555.07	1459.08	69.83%	29.97%	-37.94	3-3
2017-10-22	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-0	1517.13	1398.31	59.55%	40.22%	+35.94	4-3
2017-11-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-7	1553.07	1475.81	67.52%	32.27%	+22.20	5-3
2017-11-12	Los Angeles Chargers	W 20-17	1575.27	1479.00	69.87%	29.93%	+8.92	6-3
2017-11-19	@ Cleveland Browns	W 19-7	1584.19	1271.47	81.77%	18.08%	+10.77	7-3
2017-11-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 24-27	1594.96	1406.68	68.70%	31.10%	-20.44	7-4
2017-12-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 30-10	1574.52	1366.48	81.50%	18.35%	+14.11	8-4
2017-12-10	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-24	1588.63	1623.21	52.21%	47.55%	+20.02	9-4
2017-12-17	Houston Texans	W 45-7	1608.65	1393.82	82.08%	17.77%	+18.83	10-4
2017-12-24	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 33-44	1627.48	1359.04	77.67%	22.16%	-44.24	10-5
2017-12-31	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-15	1583.24	1468.07	59.04%	40.73%	-7.56	10-6
2017-09-07	@ New England Patriots	W 42-27	1558.73	1619.28	34.41%	65.38%	+43.51	1-0
2017-09-17	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-20	1602.24	1531.61	66.68%	33.11%	+15.06	2-0
2017-09-24	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 24-10	1617.30	1447.11	66.42%	33.37%	+21.48	3-0
2017-10-02	Washington Redskins	W 29-20	1638.78	1533.01	71.00%	28.80%	+14.85	4-0
2017-10-08	@ Houston Texans	W 42-34	1653.63	1518.92	61.73%	38.05%	+18.51	5-0
2017-10-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-19	1672.14	1540.28	73.99%	25.82%	-31.13	5-1
2017-10-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 30-31	1641.01	1459.91	67.80%	31.99%	-11.65	5-2
2017-10-30	Denver Broncos	W 29-19	1629.36	1476.48	76.25%	23.58%	+12.82	6-2
2017-11-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-28	1642.18	1584.44	50.88%	48.88%	-29.00	6-3
2017-11-19	@ New York Giants	L 9-12	1613.18	1353.39	76.80%	23.03%	-22.85	6-4
2017-11-26	Buffalo Bills	L 10-16	1590.33	1439.41	76.04%	23.78%	-31.99	6-5
2017-12-03	@ New York Jets	L 31-38	1558.34	1426.18	61.38%	38.39%	-27.91	6-6
2017-12-10	Oakland Raiders	W 26-15	1530.43	1474.19	64.82%	34.97%	+19.95	7-6
2017-12-16	Los Angeles Chargers	W 30-13	1550.38	1584.94	52.22%	47.55%	+33.70	8-6
2017-12-24	Miami Dolphins	W 29-13	1584.08	1422.75	77.12%	22.71%	+15.63	9-6
2017-12-31	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-24	1599.71	1395.74	70.60%	29.20%	+2.90	10-6
2017-09-11	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-24	1470.00	1526.46	34.94%	64.85%	-10.41	0-1
2017-09-17	Miami Dolphins	L 17-19	1459.59	1500.38	51.32%	48.45%	-12.48	0-2
2017-09-24	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1447.11	1617.30	33.37%	66.42%	-21.47	0-3
2017-10-01	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-26	1425.64	1526.59	42.72%	57.05%	-10.39	0-4
2017-10-08	@ New York Giants	W 27-22	1415.25	1431.97	40.30%	59.48%	+22.86	1-4
2017-10-15	@ Oakland Raiders	W 17-16	1438.11	1470.50	38.15%	61.63%	+10.59	2-4
2017-10-22	Denver Broncos	W 21-0	1448.70	1517.86	47.24%	52.53%	+41.37	3-4
2017-10-29	@ New England Patriots	L 13-21	1490.07	1651.06	22.75%	77.08%	-11.07	3-5
2017-11-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-20	1479.00	1575.27	29.93%	69.87%	-8.91	3-6
2017-11-19	Buffalo Bills	W 54-24	1470.09	1481.01	55.60%	44.17%	+41.60	4-6
2017-11-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 28-6	1511.69	1530.95	39.95%	59.83%	+48.22	5-6
2017-12-03	Cleveland Browns	W 19-10	1559.91	1248.22	88.88%	11.02%	+5.68	6-6
2017-12-10	Washington Redskins	W 30-13	1565.59	1446.82	72.52%	27.29%	+19.35	7-6
2017-12-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-30	1584.94	1550.38	47.55%	52.22%	-33.70	7-7
2017-12-24	@ New York Jets	W 14-7	1551.24	1397.07	64.34%	35.45%	+16.13	8-7
2017-12-31	Oakland Raiders	W 30-10	1567.37	1433.16	74.25%	25.57%	+19.66	9-7
2017-09-10	Indianapolis Colts	W 46-9	1406.37	1511.20	42.17%	57.60%	+60.21	1-0
2017-09-17	Washington Redskins	L 20-27	1466.58	1470.09	56.65%	43.13%	-25.75	1-1
2017-09-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 41-39	1440.83	1365.76	53.37%	46.40%	+11.28	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-30	1452.11	1568.83	27.53%	72.28%	+27.76	3-1
2017-10-08	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-16	1479.87	1534.25	49.37%	50.40%	-20.79	3-2
2017-10-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-17	1459.08	1555.07	29.97%	69.83%	+37.94	4-2
2017-10-22	Arizona Cardinals	W 33-0	1497.02	1469.04	53.90%	45.87%	+45.30	5-2
2017-11-05	@ New York Giants	W 51-17	1542.32	1426.01	59.20%	40.57%	+40.68	6-2
2017-11-12	Houston Texans	W 33-7	1583.00	1472.93	71.51%	28.29%	+24.81	7-2
2017-11-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-24	1607.81	1595.37	44.39%	55.38%	-31.47	7-3
2017-11-26	New Orleans Saints	W 26-20	1576.34	1672.94	43.33%	56.44%	+23.76	8-3
2017-12-03	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 32-16	1600.10	1427.12	66.78%	33.01%	+22.71	9-3
2017-12-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 35-43	1622.81	1655.88	52.43%	47.34%	-25.49	9-4
2017-12-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 42-7	1597.32	1603.18	41.81%	57.96%	+58.93	10-4
2017-12-24	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-23	1656.25	1479.25	67.29%	32.50%	+11.18	11-4
2017-12-31	San Francisco 49ers	L 13-34	1667.43	1403.28	85.88%	14.00%	-67.56	11-5
2017-09-17	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 19-17	1500.38	1459.59	48.45%	51.32%	+12.48	1-0
2017-09-24	@ New York Jets	L 6-20	1512.86	1407.95	57.61%	42.16%	-37.04	1-1
2017-10-01	New Orleans Saints	L 0-20	1475.82	1501.59	46.18%	53.59%	-35.51	1-2
2017-10-08	Tennessee Titans	W 16-10	1440.31	1460.71	54.25%	45.52%	+19.17	2-2
2017-10-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1459.48	1606.75	24.16%	75.66%	+22.51	3-2
2017-10-22	New York Jets	W 31-28	1481.99	1454.95	60.90%	38.88%	+11.58	4-2
2017-10-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 0-40	1493.57	1458.24	47.66%	52.11%	-51.82	4-3
2017-11-05	Oakland Raiders	L 24-27	1441.75	1445.81	56.57%	43.20%	-16.84	4-4
2017-11-13	@ Carolina Panthers	L 21-45	1424.91	1528.25	29.09%	70.72%	-24.51	4-5
2017-11-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-30	1400.40	1427.47	53.29%	46.48%	-28.96	4-6
2017-11-26	@ New England Patriots	L 17-35	1371.44	1704.23	9.89%	90.02%	-7.21	4-7
2017-12-03	Denver Broncos	W 35-9	1364.23	1385.80	54.08%	45.69%	+40.06	5-7
2017-12-11	New England Patriots	W 27-20	1404.29	1730.74	16.94%	82.92%	+37.67	6-7
2017-12-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 16-24	1441.96	1464.53	39.49%	60.29%	-19.21	6-8
2017-12-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-29	1422.75	1584.08	22.71%	77.12%	-15.62	6-9
2017-12-31	Buffalo Bills	L 16-22	1407.13	1470.40	48.09%	51.68%	-20.25	6-10
2017-09-11	New Orleans Saints	W 29-19	1489.80	1499.03	55.84%	43.94%	+23.88	1-0
2017-09-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-26	1513.68	1566.81	35.38%	64.41%	-25.08	1-1
2017-09-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-17	1488.60	1530.64	51.14%	48.62%	+34.46	2-1
2017-10-01	Detroit Lions	L 7-14	1523.06	1536.20	55.28%	44.49%	-25.13	2-2
2017-10-09	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1497.93	1396.22	57.16%	42.61%	+12.69	3-2
2017-10-15	Green Bay Packers	W 23-10	1510.62	1594.03	45.20%	54.56%	+33.81	4-2
2017-10-22	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-16	1544.43	1474.38	66.60%	33.19%	+16.14	5-2
2017-10-29	@ Cleveland Browns	W 33-16	1560.57	1293.42	82.21%	17.64%	+12.51	6-2
2017-11-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-30	1573.08	1494.12	53.93%	45.84%	+22.29	7-2
2017-11-19	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-7	1595.37	1607.81	55.38%	44.39%	+31.47	8-2
2017-11-23	@ Detroit Lions	W 30-23	1626.84	1556.00	52.77%	47.00%	+21.38	9-2
2017-12-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 14-9	1648.22	1629.41	45.30%	54.47%	+20.93	10-2
2017-12-10	@ Carolina Panthers	L 24-31	1669.15	1555.54	58.83%	40.95%	-26.74	10-3
2017-12-17	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-7	1642.41	1399.63	84.32%	15.54%	+13.88	11-3
2017-12-23	@ Green Bay Packers	W 16-0	1656.29	1473.29	68.04%	31.75%	+21.84	12-3
2017-12-31	Chicago Bears	W 23-10	1678.13	1430.69	84.68%	15.20%	+9.42	13-3
2017-09-07	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-42	1619.28	1558.73	65.38%	34.41%	-43.50	0-1
2017-09-17	@ New Orleans Saints	W 36-20	1575.78	1475.14	57.01%	42.76%	+29.41	1-1
2017-09-24	Houston Texans	W 36-33	1605.19	1469.43	74.42%	25.40%	+7.57	2-1
2017-10-01	Carolina Panthers	L 30-33	1612.76	1495.31	72.37%	27.44%	-21.53	2-2
2017-10-05	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-14	1591.23	1504.70	55.01%	44.76%	+17.20	3-2
2017-10-15	@ New York Jets	W 24-17	1608.43	1472.17	61.94%	37.84%	+17.22	4-2
2017-10-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-7	1625.65	1584.24	62.85%	36.93%	+25.41	5-2
2017-10-29	Los Angeles Chargers	W 21-13	1651.06	1490.07	77.08%	22.75%	+11.06	6-2
2017-11-12	@ Denver Broncos	W 41-16	1662.12	1442.19	72.47%	27.34%	+23.51	7-2
2017-11-19	@ Oakland Raiders	W 33-8	1685.63	1462.64	78.20%	21.64%	+18.60	8-2
2017-11-26	Miami Dolphins	W 35-17	1704.23	1371.44	90.02%	9.89%	+7.21	9-2
2017-12-03	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-3	1711.44	1471.40	74.71%	25.10%	+19.30	10-2
2017-12-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-27	1730.74	1404.29	82.92%	16.94%	-37.66	10-3
2017-12-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1693.08	1663.27	46.87%	52.90%	+15.74	11-3
2017-12-24	Buffalo Bills	W 37-16	1708.82	1483.73	82.93%	16.93%	+13.34	12-3
2017-12-31	New York Jets	W 26-6	1722.16	1380.94	90.45%	9.46%	+7.27	13-3
2017-09-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 19-29	1499.03	1489.80	43.94%	55.84%	-23.89	0-1
2017-09-17	New England Patriots	L 20-36	1475.14	1575.78	42.76%	57.01%	-29.41	0-2
2017-09-24	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-13	1445.73	1551.18	28.84%	70.97%	+55.86	1-2
2017-10-01	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-0	1501.59	1475.82	53.59%	46.18%	+35.51	2-2
2017-10-15	Detroit Lions	W 52-38	1537.10	1542.51	56.38%	43.39%	+27.92	3-2
2017-10-22	@ Green Bay Packers	W 26-17	1565.02	1560.22	43.31%	56.46%	+29.11	4-2
2017-10-29	Chicago Bears	W 20-12	1594.13	1442.43	76.12%	23.70%	+11.53	5-2
2017-11-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-10	1605.66	1423.81	79.13%	20.71%	+15.92	6-2
2017-11-12	@ Buffalo Bills	W 47-10	1621.58	1526.56	56.21%	43.56%	+45.56	7-2
2017-11-19	Washington Redskins	W 34-31	1667.14	1471.83	80.38%	19.47%	+5.80	8-2
2017-11-26	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 20-26	1672.94	1576.34	56.44%	43.33%	-23.76	8-3
2017-12-03	Carolina Panthers	W 31-21	1649.18	1573.18	67.36%	32.43%	+17.64	9-3
2017-12-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1666.82	1608.47	50.97%	48.80%	-15.18	9-4
2017-12-17	New York Jets	W 31-19	1651.64	1406.21	84.53%	15.35%	+9.14	10-4
2017-12-24	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-13	1660.78	1632.04	61.13%	38.65%	+21.01	11-4
2017-12-31	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-31	1681.79	1396.71	79.28%	20.56%	-36.02	11-5
2017-09-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 3-19	1508.95	1556.36	36.13%	63.65%	-24.86	0-1
2017-09-18	Detroit Lions	L 10-24	1484.09	1518.91	52.18%	47.59%	-33.55	0-2
2017-09-24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-27	1450.54	1516.55	33.70%	66.09%	-10.04	0-3
2017-10-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 23-25	1440.50	1496.17	35.04%	64.74%	-8.53	0-4
2017-10-08	Los Angeles Chargers	L 22-27	1431.97	1415.25	59.48%	40.30%	-22.85	0-5
2017-10-15	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-10	1409.12	1565.28	23.24%	76.59%	+47.43	1-5
2017-10-22	Seattle Seahawks	L 7-24	1456.55	1555.04	43.07%	56.71%	-30.54	1-6
2017-11-05	Los Angeles Rams	L 17-51	1426.01	1542.32	40.57%	59.20%	-40.68	1-7
2017-11-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-31	1385.33	1272.06	58.78%	40.99%	-31.94	1-8
2017-11-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 12-9	1353.39	1613.18	23.03%	76.80%	+22.85	2-8
2017-11-23	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-20	1376.24	1466.03	30.72%	69.08%	-16.71	2-9
2017-12-03	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-24	1359.53	1460.84	29.33%	70.48%	-13.34	2-10
2017-12-10	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-30	1346.19	1518.64	33.08%	66.71%	-25.45	2-11
2017-12-17	Philadelphia Eagles	L 29-34	1320.74	1681.37	14.36%	85.52%	-5.51	2-12
2017-12-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 0-23	1315.23	1410.62	30.04%	69.76%	-24.78	2-13
2017-12-31	Washington Redskins	W 18-10	1290.45	1471.17	32.04%	67.76%	+32.92	3-13
2017-09-10	@ Buffalo Bills	L 12-21	1452.41	1482.48	38.46%	61.31%	-19.84	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-45	1432.57	1539.79	28.63%	71.18%	-24.62	0-2
2017-09-24	Miami Dolphins	W 20-6	1407.95	1512.86	42.16%	57.61%	+37.04	1-2
2017-10-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-20	1444.99	1515.90	46.99%	52.78%	+15.71	2-2
2017-10-08	@ Cleveland Browns	W 17-14	1460.70	1329.26	61.29%	38.49%	+11.47	3-2
2017-10-15	New England Patriots	L 17-24	1472.17	1608.43	37.84%	61.94%	-17.22	3-3
2017-10-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 28-31	1454.95	1481.99	38.88%	60.90%	-11.58	3-4
2017-10-29	Atlanta Falcons	L 20-25	1443.37	1558.84	40.69%	59.08%	-15.64	3-5
2017-11-02	Buffalo Bills	W 34-21	1427.73	1565.02	37.70%	62.08%	+38.46	4-5
2017-11-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-15	1466.19	1407.88	50.97%	48.80%	-19.59	4-6
2017-11-26	Carolina Panthers	L 27-35	1446.60	1552.76	41.99%	57.79%	-20.42	4-7
2017-12-03	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-31	1426.18	1558.34	38.39%	61.38%	+27.90	5-7
2017-12-10	@ Denver Broncos	L 0-23	1454.08	1345.75	58.09%	41.68%	-47.87	5-8
2017-12-17	@ New Orleans Saints	L 19-31	1406.21	1651.64	15.35%	84.53%	-9.14	5-9
2017-12-24	Los Angeles Chargers	L 7-14	1397.07	1551.24	35.45%	64.34%	-16.13	5-10
2017-12-31	@ New England Patriots	L 6-26	1380.94	1722.16	9.46%	90.45%	-7.27	5-11
2017-09-10	@ Tennessee Titans	W 26-16	1511.45	1476.33	47.63%	52.14%	+28.34	1-0
2017-09-17	New York Jets	W 45-20	1539.79	1432.57	71.18%	28.63%	+24.62	2-0
2017-09-24	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-27	1564.41	1495.85	52.44%	47.33%	-37.16	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-16	1527.25	1548.58	39.66%	60.12%	-16.71	2-2
2017-10-08	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-30	1510.54	1455.70	64.63%	35.15%	-40.04	2-3
2017-10-15	Los Angeles Chargers	L 16-17	1470.50	1438.11	61.63%	38.15%	-10.59	2-4
2017-10-19	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-30	1459.91	1641.01	31.99%	67.80%	+11.65	3-4
2017-10-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-34	1471.56	1539.27	33.48%	66.31%	-25.75	3-5
2017-11-05	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1445.81	1441.75	43.20%	56.57%	+16.83	4-5
2017-11-19	New England Patriots	L 8-33	1462.64	1685.63	21.64%	78.20%	-18.60	4-6
2017-11-26	Denver Broncos	W 21-14	1444.04	1402.60	62.85%	36.93%	+16.80	5-6
2017-12-03	New York Giants	W 24-17	1460.84	1359.53	70.48%	29.33%	+13.35	6-6
2017-12-10	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 15-26	1474.19	1530.43	34.97%	64.82%	-19.95	6-7
2017-12-17	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-20	1454.24	1544.08	44.29%	55.48%	-13.19	6-8
2017-12-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-19	1441.05	1686.88	15.32%	84.56%	-7.89	6-9
2017-12-31	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 10-30	1433.16	1567.37	25.57%	74.25%	-19.67	6-10
2017-09-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 30-17	1495.23	1506.47	41.06%	58.72%	+36.38	1-0
2017-09-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1531.61	1602.24	33.11%	66.68%	-15.06	1-1
2017-09-24	New York Giants	W 27-24	1516.55	1450.54	66.09%	33.70%	+10.04	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Los Angeles Chargers	W 26-24	1526.59	1425.64	57.05%	42.72%	+10.38	3-1
2017-10-08	Arizona Cardinals	W 34-7	1536.97	1482.03	64.65%	35.14%	+31.41	4-1
2017-10-12	@ Carolina Panthers	W 28-23	1568.38	1535.67	47.28%	52.48%	+20.17	5-1
2017-10-23	Washington Redskins	W 34-24	1588.55	1523.19	66.00%	33.79%	+18.37	6-1
2017-10-29	San Francisco 49ers	W 33-10	1606.92	1302.47	88.46%	11.44%	+9.42	7-1
2017-11-05	Denver Broncos	W 51-23	1616.34	1463.66	76.23%	23.60%	+21.48	8-1
2017-11-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 37-9	1637.82	1574.72	51.65%	48.11%	+43.77	9-1
2017-11-26	Chicago Bears	W 31-3	1681.59	1397.65	87.20%	12.69%	+11.53	10-1
2017-12-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-24	1693.12	1585.96	57.92%	41.85%	-37.24	10-2
2017-12-10	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 43-35	1655.88	1622.81	47.34%	52.43%	+25.49	11-2
2017-12-17	@ New York Giants	W 34-29	1681.37	1320.74	85.52%	14.36%	+5.51	12-2
2017-12-25	Oakland Raiders	W 19-10	1686.88	1441.05	84.56%	15.32%	+7.90	13-2
2017-12-31	Dallas Cowboys	L 0-6	1694.78	1526.88	77.77%	22.06%	-10.91	13-3
2017-09-10	@ Cleveland Browns	W 21-18	1556.07	1406.57	63.72%	36.06%	+10.74	1-0
2017-09-17	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-9	1566.81	1513.68	64.41%	35.38%	+25.09	2-0
2017-09-24	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-23	1591.90	1386.00	70.83%	28.97%	-29.81	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 26-9	1562.09	1488.76	53.12%	46.64%	+33.07	3-1
2017-10-08	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 9-30	1595.16	1500.19	69.71%	30.09%	-54.88	3-2
2017-10-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-13	1540.28	1672.14	25.82%	73.99%	+31.13	4-2
2017-10-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-14	1571.41	1492.25	67.76%	32.03%	+21.34	5-2
2017-10-29	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-15	1592.75	1514.59	53.81%	45.95%	+17.67	6-2
2017-11-12	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-17	1610.42	1389.30	72.61%	27.20%	+8.10	7-2
2017-11-16	Tennessee Titans	W 40-17	1618.52	1504.52	71.97%	27.84%	+22.96	8-2
2017-11-26	Green Bay Packers	W 31-28	1641.48	1465.49	78.57%	21.27%	+6.34	9-2
2017-12-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1647.82	1469.31	67.48%	32.31%	+9.62	10-2
2017-12-10	Baltimore Ravens	W 39-38	1657.44	1592.97	65.89%	33.90%	+5.83	11-2
2017-12-17	New England Patriots	L 24-27	1663.27	1693.08	52.90%	46.87%	-15.75	11-3
2017-12-25	@ Houston Texans	W 34-6	1647.52	1374.99	78.08%	21.76%	+19.80	12-3
2017-12-31	Cleveland Browns	W 28-24	1667.32	1207.45	94.93%	5.02%	+1.72	13-3
2017-09-10	Carolina Panthers	L 3-23	1406.64	1501.63	43.56%	56.21%	-33.49	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-12	1373.15	1514.42	24.80%	75.02%	-7.39	0-2
2017-09-21	Los Angeles Rams	L 39-41	1365.76	1440.83	46.40%	53.37%	-11.28	0-3
2017-10-01	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 15-18	1354.48	1473.92	27.21%	72.60%	-8.11	0-4
2017-10-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-26	1346.37	1414.21	33.47%	66.32%	-9.97	0-5
2017-10-15	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-26	1336.40	1518.15	20.72%	79.12%	-5.04	0-6
2017-10-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-40	1331.36	1523.14	30.67%	69.13%	-28.89	0-7
2017-10-29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-33	1302.47	1606.92	11.44%	88.46%	-9.42	0-8
2017-11-05	Arizona Cardinals	L 10-20	1293.05	1423.73	38.60%	61.18%	-20.99	0-9
2017-11-12	New York Giants	W 31-21	1272.06	1385.33	40.99%	58.78%	+31.94	1-9
2017-11-26	Seattle Seahawks	L 13-24	1304.00	1573.38	22.07%	77.76%	-12.58	1-10
2017-12-03	@ Chicago Bears	W 15-14	1291.42	1386.11	30.12%	69.68%	+11.97	2-10
2017-12-10	@ Houston Texans	W 26-16	1303.39	1433.94	25.97%	73.85%	+40.11	3-10
2017-12-17	Tennessee Titans	W 25-23	1343.50	1494.79	35.83%	63.96%	+15.54	4-10
2017-12-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 44-33	1359.04	1627.48	22.16%	77.67%	+44.24	5-10
2017-12-31	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 34-13	1403.28	1667.43	14.00%	85.88%	+67.57	6-10
2017-09-10	@ Green Bay Packers	L 9-17	1534.05	1550.32	40.36%	59.42%	-19.63	0-1
2017-09-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 12-9	1514.42	1373.15	75.02%	24.80%	+7.38	1-1
2017-09-24	@ Tennessee Titans	L 27-33	1521.80	1498.41	45.95%	53.82%	-19.35	1-2
2017-10-01	Indianapolis Colts	W 46-18	1502.45	1446.01	64.84%	34.94%	+31.80	2-2
2017-10-08	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 16-10	1534.25	1479.87	50.40%	49.37%	+20.79	3-2
2017-10-22	@ New York Giants	W 24-7	1555.04	1456.55	56.71%	43.07%	+30.53	4-2
2017-10-29	Houston Texans	W 41-38	1585.57	1514.61	66.72%	33.07%	+9.85	5-2
2017-11-05	Washington Redskins	L 14-17	1595.42	1472.40	73.00%	26.81%	-21.72	5-3
2017-11-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 22-16	1573.70	1444.72	60.95%	38.83%	+16.36	6-3
2017-11-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 31-34	1590.06	1597.91	56.03%	43.74%	-16.68	6-4
2017-11-26	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-13	1573.38	1304.00	77.76%	22.07%	+12.58	7-4
2017-12-03	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-10	1585.96	1693.12	41.85%	57.92%	+37.25	8-4
2017-12-10	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-30	1623.21	1588.63	47.55%	52.21%	-20.03	8-5
2017-12-17	Los Angeles Rams	L 7-42	1603.18	1597.32	57.96%	41.81%	-58.93	8-6
2017-12-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 21-12	1544.25	1557.27	40.81%	58.96%	+30.40	9-6
2017-12-31	Arizona Cardinals	L 24-26	1574.65	1435.39	74.80%	25.02%	-18.17	9-7
2017-09-17	Chicago Bears	W 29-7	1506.50	1410.14	69.88%	29.92%	+24.14	1-0
2017-09-24	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-34	1530.64	1488.60	48.62%	51.14%	-34.47	1-1
2017-10-01	New York Giants	W 25-23	1496.17	1440.50	64.74%	35.04%	+8.53	2-1
2017-10-05	New England Patriots	L 14-19	1504.70	1591.23	44.76%	55.01%	-17.21	2-2
2017-10-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 33-38	1487.49	1450.63	47.88%	51.89%	-18.41	2-3
2017-10-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 27-30	1469.08	1528.99	34.49%	65.30%	-10.27	2-4
2017-10-29	Carolina Panthers	L 3-17	1458.81	1477.94	54.43%	45.34%	-35.00	2-5
2017-11-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-30	1423.81	1605.66	20.71%	79.13%	-15.93	2-6
2017-11-12	New York Jets	W 15-10	1407.88	1466.19	48.80%	50.97%	+19.59	3-6
2017-11-19	@ Miami Dolphins	W 30-20	1427.47	1400.40	46.48%	53.29%	+28.97	4-6
2017-11-26	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-34	1456.44	1614.58	23.04%	76.79%	-14.83	4-7
2017-12-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-26	1441.61	1459.16	40.18%	59.59%	-16.92	4-8
2017-12-10	Detroit Lions	L 21-24	1424.69	1501.68	46.12%	53.65%	-13.74	4-9
2017-12-18	Atlanta Falcons	L 21-24	1410.95	1623.65	28.17%	71.63%	-8.39	4-10
2017-12-24	@ Carolina Panthers	L 19-22	1402.56	1595.96	19.64%	80.20%	-5.85	4-11
2017-12-31	New Orleans Saints	W 31-24	1396.71	1681.79	20.56%	79.28%	+36.03	5-11
2017-09-10	Oakland Raiders	L 16-26	1476.33	1511.45	52.14%	47.63%	-28.34	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 37-16	1447.99	1498.34	35.74%	64.04%	+50.42	1-1
2017-09-24	Seattle Seahawks	W 33-27	1498.41	1521.80	53.82%	45.95%	+19.36	2-1
2017-10-01	@ Houston Texans	L 14-57	1517.77	1461.86	50.62%	49.15%	-57.06	2-2
2017-10-08	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-16	1460.71	1440.31	45.52%	54.25%	-19.17	2-3
2017-10-16	Indianapolis Colts	W 36-22	1441.54	1424.18	59.57%	40.21%	+25.87	3-3
2017-10-22	@ Cleveland Browns	W 12-9	1467.41	1303.60	65.60%	34.19%	+10.18	4-3
2017-11-05	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1477.59	1510.06	52.52%	47.25%	+14.07	5-3
2017-11-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-20	1491.66	1453.61	62.40%	37.38%	+12.86	6-3
2017-11-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-40	1504.52	1618.52	27.84%	71.97%	-22.96	6-4
2017-11-26	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-16	1481.56	1381.20	56.97%	42.80%	+14.72	7-4
2017-12-03	Houston Texans	W 24-13	1496.28	1455.01	62.83%	36.95%	+21.07	8-4
2017-12-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 7-12	1517.35	1404.41	58.73%	41.04%	-22.56	8-5
2017-12-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 23-25	1494.79	1343.50	63.96%	35.83%	-15.54	8-6
2017-12-24	Los Angeles Rams	L 23-27	1479.25	1656.25	32.50%	67.29%	-11.18	8-7
2017-12-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 15-10	1468.07	1583.24	40.73%	59.04%	+7.56	9-7
2017-09-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-30	1506.47	1495.23	58.72%	41.06%	-36.38	0-1
2017-09-17	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 27-20	1470.09	1466.58	43.13%	56.65%	+25.76	1-1
2017-09-24	Oakland Raiders	W 27-10	1495.85	1564.41	47.33%	52.44%	+37.16	2-1
2017-10-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-29	1533.01	1638.78	28.80%	71.00%	-14.86	2-2
2017-10-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-24	1518.15	1336.40	79.12%	20.72%	+5.04	3-2
2017-10-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-34	1523.19	1588.55	33.79%	66.00%	-18.38	3-3
2017-10-29	Dallas Cowboys	L 19-33	1504.81	1552.03	50.40%	49.37%	-32.41	3-4
2017-11-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-14	1472.40	1595.42	26.81%	73.00%	+21.72	4-4
2017-11-12	Minnesota Vikings	L 30-38	1494.12	1573.08	45.84%	53.93%	-22.29	4-5
2017-11-19	@ New Orleans Saints	L 31-34	1471.83	1667.14	19.47%	80.38%	-5.80	4-6
2017-11-23	New York Giants	W 20-10	1466.03	1376.24	69.08%	30.72%	+16.71	5-6
2017-11-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-38	1482.74	1482.73	42.63%	57.14%	-35.92	5-7
2017-12-10	@ Los Angeles Chargers	L 13-30	1446.82	1565.59	27.29%	72.52%	-19.35	5-8
2017-12-17	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-15	1427.47	1426.98	57.21%	42.56%	+16.37	6-8
2017-12-24	Denver Broncos	W 27-11	1443.84	1423.08	60.04%	39.74%	+27.33	7-8
2017-12-31	@ New York Giants	L 10-18	1471.17	1290.45	67.76%	32.04%	-32.92	7-9

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2018-01-06	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 26-13	1635.65	1599.87	47.84%	52.16%	+32.25	1-0
2018-01-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-15	1667.90	1683.87	40.51%	59.49%	-15.53	1-1
2018-01-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 3-10	1490.65	1575.68	31.39%	68.61%	-14.24	0-1
2018-01-07	@ New Orleans Saints	L 26-31	1577.18	1645.77	33.47%	66.53%	-12.83	0-1
2018-01-07	Buffalo Bills	W 10-3	1575.68	1490.65	68.61%	31.39%	+14.24	1-0
2018-01-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 45-42	1589.92	1669.04	32.13%	67.87%	+20.16	2-0
2018-01-21	@ New England Patriots	L 20-24	1610.08	1741.77	25.92%	74.08%	-8.88	2-1
2018-01-06	Tennessee Titans	L 21-22	1602.61	1475.63	73.56%	26.44%	-12.62	0-1
2018-01-06	Atlanta Falcons	L 13-26	1599.87	1635.65	52.16%	47.84%	-32.26	0-1
2018-01-14	New Orleans Saints	W 29-24	1687.55	1658.60	61.28%	38.72%	+14.85	1-0
2018-01-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-38	1702.40	1699.41	43.16%	56.84%	-41.22	1-1
2018-01-13	Tennessee Titans	W 35-14	1729.43	1488.24	84.30%	15.70%	+12.34	1-0
2018-01-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-20	1741.77	1610.08	74.08%	25.92%	+8.88	2-0
2018-02-04	Philadelphia Eagles	L 33-41	1750.65	1740.62	51.44%	48.56%	-24.95	2-1
2018-01-07	Carolina Panthers	W 31-26	1645.77	1577.18	66.53%	33.47%	+12.83	1-0
2018-01-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-29	1658.60	1687.55	38.72%	61.28%	-14.85	1-1
2018-01-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 15-10	1683.87	1667.90	59.49%	40.51%	+15.54	1-0
2018-01-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-7	1699.41	1702.40	56.84%	43.16%	+41.21	2-0
2018-02-04	@ New England Patriots	W 41-33	1740.62	1750.65	48.56%	51.44%	+24.96	3-0
2018-01-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 42-45	1669.04	1589.92	67.87%	32.13%	-20.16	0-1
2018-01-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 22-21	1475.63	1602.61	26.44%	73.56%	+12.61	1-0
2018-01-13	@ New England Patriots	L 14-35	1488.24	1729.43	15.70%	84.30%	-12.33	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2017-12-31	14.00%	San Francisco 49ers	1403.28	34	@ Los Angeles Rams	1667.43	13
2	2017-12-11	16.94%	@ Miami Dolphins	1404.29	27	New England Patriots	1730.74	20
3	2017-12-31	20.43%	Cincinnati Bengals	1418.41	31	@ Baltimore Ravens	1603.25	27
4	2017-12-31	20.56%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1396.71	31	New Orleans Saints	1681.79	24
5	2017-12-31	22.06%	Dallas Cowboys	1526.88	6	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1694.78	0
6	2017-12-24	22.16%	@ San Francisco 49ers	1359.04	44	Jacksonville Jaguars	1627.48	33
7	2017-11-19	23.03%	@ New York Giants	1353.39	12	Kansas City Chiefs	1613.18	9
8	2017-10-15	23.24%	New York Giants	1409.12	23	@ Denver Broncos	1565.28	10
9	2017-11-26	23.78%	Buffalo Bills	1439.41	16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1590.33	10
10	2017-10-15	24.16%	Miami Dolphins	1459.48	20	@ Atlanta Falcons	1606.75	17
11	2017-11-05	24.16%	Indianapolis Colts	1357.47	20	@ Houston Texans	1504.76	14
12	2017-12-31	25.02%	Arizona Cardinals	1435.39	26	@ Seattle Seahawks	1574.65	24
13	2017-10-15	25.82%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1540.28	19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1672.14	13
14	2017-12-10	25.97%	San Francisco 49ers	1303.39	26	@ Houston Texans	1433.94	16
15	2018-01-06 *	26.44%	Tennessee Titans	1475.63	22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1602.61	21
16	2017-11-05	26.81%	Washington Redskins	1472.40	17	@ Seattle Seahawks	1595.42	14
17	2017-10-01	27.07%	Buffalo Bills	1516.65	23	@ Atlanta Falcons	1637.36	17
18	2017-10-01	27.44%	Carolina Panthers	1495.31	33	@ New England Patriots	1612.76	30
19	2017-10-01	27.53%	Los Angeles Rams	1452.11	35	@ Dallas Cowboys	1568.83	30
20	2017-10-15	28.05%	Chicago Bears	1383.52	27	@ Baltimore Ravens	1495.73	24
21	2017-09-24	28.84%	New Orleans Saints	1445.73	34	@ Carolina Panthers	1551.18	13
22	2017-09-24	28.97%	@ Chicago Bears	1386.00	23	Pittsburgh Steelers	1591.90	17
23	2017-10-15	29.97%	Los Angeles Rams	1459.08	27	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1555.07	17
24	2017-10-08	30.09%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1500.19	30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1595.16	9
25	2017-12-03	30.12%	San Francisco 49ers	1291.42	15	@ Chicago Bears	1386.11	14

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2017-09-24	67.98	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	44	1447.92	34.73%	Baltimore Ravens	7	1556.74	65.05%
2	2017-12-31	67.57	San Francisco 49ers	34	1403.28	14.00%	@ Los Angeles Rams	13	1667.43	85.88%
3	2017-09-10	60.21	@ Los Angeles Rams	46	1406.37	42.17%	Indianapolis Colts	9	1511.20	57.60%
4	2017-12-10	60.05	Chicago Bears	33	1374.15	31.24%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	7	1459.68	68.55%
5	2017-12-17	58.93	Los Angeles Rams	42	1597.32	41.81%	@ Seattle Seahawks	7	1603.18	57.96%
6	2017-10-01	57.06	@ Houston Texans	57	1461.86	49.15%	Tennessee Titans	14	1517.77	50.62%
7	2017-09-24	55.87	New Orleans Saints	34	1445.73	28.84%	@ Carolina Panthers	13	1551.18	70.97%
8	2017-10-08	54.88	Jacksonville Jaguars	30	1500.19	30.09%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	9	1595.16	69.71%
9	2017-09-10	52.10	Jacksonville Jaguars	29	1446.24	35.13%	@ Houston Texans	7	1501.25	64.66%
10	2017-10-26	51.82	@ Baltimore Ravens	40	1458.24	52.11%	Miami Dolphins	0	1493.57	47.66%
11	2017-09-17	50.42	Tennessee Titans	37	1447.99	35.74%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	16	1498.34	64.04%
12	2017-11-19	49.25	Baltimore Ravens	23	1495.99	40.02%	@ Green Bay Packers	0	1514.74	59.76%
13	2017-11-23	48.22	Los Angeles Chargers	28	1511.69	39.95%	@ Dallas Cowboys	6	1530.95	59.83%
14	2017-12-10	47.87	@ Denver Broncos	23	1345.75	41.68%	New York Jets	0	1454.08	58.09%
15	2017-10-15	47.43	New York Giants	23	1409.12	23.24%	@ Denver Broncos	10	1565.28	76.59%
16	2017-11-12	45.56	New Orleans Saints	47	1621.58	56.21%	@ Buffalo Bills	10	1526.56	43.56%
17	2017-10-22	45.31	@ Los Angeles Rams	33	1497.02	53.90%	Arizona Cardinals	0	1469.04	45.87%
18	2017-09-10	45.18	Baltimore Ravens	20	1495.88	40.99%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	0	1507.59	58.78%
19	2017-12-24	44.24	@ San Francisco 49ers	44	1359.04	22.16%	Jacksonville Jaguars	33	1627.48	77.67%
20	2017-11-19	43.77	Philadelphia Eagles	37	1637.82	51.65%	@ Dallas Cowboys	9	1574.72	48.11%
21	2017-09-07	43.51	Kansas City Chiefs	42	1558.73	34.41%	@ New England Patriots	27	1619.28	65.38%
22	2017-09-17	42.08	@ Denver Broncos	42	1536.87	50.81%	Dallas Cowboys	17	1581.22	48.96%
23	2017-11-19	41.60	@ Los Angeles Chargers	54	1470.09	55.60%	Buffalo Bills	24	1481.01	44.17%
24	2017-10-22	41.38	@ Los Angeles Chargers	21	1448.70	47.24%	Denver Broncos	0	1517.86	52.53%
25	2018-01-21 *	41.22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	38	1699.41	56.84%	Minnesota Vikings	7	1702.40	43.16%