2016 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

New England Patriots

5th Super Bowl

Last Title: 2014

Runner-Up

Atlanta Falcons

2nd SB App.

Last Appearance: 1998

Biggest Overachiever

Oakland Raiders

3.61 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.39 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Cleveland Browns

3.13 wins below expected

1 wins · 4.13 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	14	2	.875	-	441	250	+191	11.14	+2.86
2	Miami Dolphins Playoffs	10	6	.625	4	363	380	-17	7.46	+2.54
3	Buffalo Bills	7	9	.438	7	399	378	+21	8.82	-1.82
4	New York Jets	5	11	.312	9	275	409	-134	6.65	-1.65

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	5	0	.688	-	399	327	+72	9.67	+1.33
2	Baltimore Ravens	8	8	0	.500	3	343	321	+22	8.32	-0.32
3	Cincinnati Bengals	6	9	1	.406	4.5	325	315	+10	7.95	-1.45
4	Cleveland Browns	1	15	0	.062	10	264	452	-188	4.13	-3.13

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Texans Division	9	7	.562	-	279	328	-49	8.34	+0.66
2	Tennessee Titans	9	7	.562	-	381	378	+3	7.15	+1.85
3	Indianapolis Colts	8	8	.500	1	411	392	+19	7.84	+0.16
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	3	13	.188	6	318	400	-82	4.91	-1.91

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	12	4	.750	-	389	311	+78	10.25	+1.75
2	Oakland Raiders Playoffs	12	4	.750	-	416	385	+31	8.39	+3.61
3	Denver Broncos	9	7	.562	3	333	297	+36	9.44	-0.44
4	San Diego Chargers	5	11	.312	7	410	423	-13	7.37	-2.37

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	13	3	0	.812	-	421	306	+115	10.18	+2.82
2	New York Giants Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	2	310	284	+26	8.32	+2.68
3	Washington Redskins	8	7	1	.531	4.5	396	383	+13	7.97	+0.53
4	Philadelphia Eagles	7	9	0	.438	6	367	331	+36	7.85	-0.85

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	10	6	.625	-	432	388	+44	8.95	+1.05
2	Detroit Lions Playoffs	9	7	.562	1	346	358	-12	8.24	+0.76
3	Minnesota Vikings	8	8	.500	2	327	307	+20	9.21	-1.21
4	Chicago Bears	3	13	.188	7	279	399	-120	5.78	-2.78

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Atlanta Falcons Division	11	5	.688	-	540	406	+134	9.19	+1.81
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9	7	.562	2	354	369	-15	6.73	+2.27
3	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	4	469	454	+15	6.85	+0.15
4	Carolina Panthers	6	10	.375	5	369	402	-33	7.93	-1.93

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	10	5	1	.656	-	354	292	+62	10.67	-0.17
2	Arizona Cardinals	7	8	1	.469	3	418	362	+56	9.00	-1.50
3	Los Angeles Rams	4	12	0	.250	6.5	224	394	-170	6.42	-2.42
4	San Francisco 49ers	2	14	0	.125	8.5	309	480	-171	4.91	-2.91

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Houston Texans 27

Oakland Raiders 14

Jan 7

Pittsburgh Steelers 30

Miami Dolphins 12

Jan 8

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 34

Houston Texans 16

Jan 14

Pittsburgh Steelers 18

Kansas City Chiefs 16

Jan 15

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 36

Pittsburgh Steelers 17

Jan 22

NFC

Wild Card Round

Seattle Seahawks 26

Detroit Lions 6

Jan 7

Green Bay Packers 38

New York Giants 13

Jan 8

Divisional Round

Atlanta Falcons 36

Seattle Seahawks 20

Jan 14

Green Bay Packers 34

Dallas Cowboys 31

Jan 15

Conference Championship

Atlanta Falcons 44

Green Bay Packers 21

Jan 22

Super Bowl

New England Patriots 34

Atlanta Falcons 28

Feb 5

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1763	14	11.14	+2.86	98.14%	4	8	10	11	12	14	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1688	12	10.25	+1.75	89.89%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1685	13	10.18	+2.82	97.07%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1671	11	9.19	+1.81	89.94%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1641	11	9.67	+1.33	84.36%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1624	10	8.95	+1.05	80.35%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1591	10.5	10.67	-0.17	46.70%	3	8	9	11	12	13	16
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1580	12	8.39	+3.61	98.56%	1	5	7	8	10	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1568	9	9.44	-0.44	52.07%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1561	11	8.32	+2.68	95.85%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1535	7.5	9.00	-1.50	22.55%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1529	8	7.84	+0.16	64.91%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1524	10	7.46	+2.54	95.12%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1521	9	6.73	+2.27	93.25%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1518	6.5	7.95	-1.45	23.97%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1518	8.5	7.97	+0.53	62.14%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1507	9	8.24	+0.76	75.72%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1505	6	7.93	-1.93	24.19%	0	5	7	8	9	11	15
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1498	7	6.85	+0.15	64.90%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1489	8	8.32	-0.32	55.09%	0	5	7	8	10	11	15
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1486	7	7.85	-0.85	44.41%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1479	9	8.34	+0.66	73.93%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1472	8	9.21	-1.21	36.29%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1448	7	8.82	-1.82	25.13%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1443	9	7.15	+1.85	89.83%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1401	5	7.37	-2.37	16.89%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1390	5	6.65	-1.65	28.59%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1330	3	4.91	-1.91	22.92%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1290	3	5.78	-2.78	11.28%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Los Angeles Rams	NFC	NFC West	1287	4	6.42	-2.42	16.25%	0	3	5	6	8	9	15
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1232	2	4.91	-2.91	8.33%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1225	1	4.13	-3.13	5.48%	0	1	3	4	5	7	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.8 exp.)
New York Jets	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-2-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-
Cleveland Browns	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Titans	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.6 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.8 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-
Oakland Raiders	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-
San Diego Chargers	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
New York Giants	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	2-1-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (1.9 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	Rams	49ers	Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.7 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	0-1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)
Los Angeles Rams	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	4-0 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	0.39%	0.39%	0.78%	0.98%	0.78%	0.39%	0.20%	3.91%
7–13	0.39%	2.34%	2.73%	3.71%	2.15%	1.56%	—	12.89%
14–20	0.78%	2.73%	7.03%	8.01%	4.10%	1.37%	0.59%	24.61%
21–27	0.98%	3.71%	8.01%	8.20%	6.45%	1.37%	0.98%	29.69%
28–34	0.78%	2.15%	4.10%	6.45%	3.12%	1.56%	0.59%	18.75%
35–41	0.39%	1.56%	1.37%	1.37%	1.56%	0.78%	0.39%	7.42%
42+	0.20%	—	0.59%	0.98%	0.59%	0.39%	—	2.73%
Total	3.91%	12.89%	24.61%	29.69%	18.75%	7.42%	2.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.78	22.78	+0.00
SD	9.35	9.35	13.11
CV	0.41	0.41	—
Max	49	49	+38
Min	0	0	-38

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.12	22.62	+3.50
SD	10.49	12.65	16.31
CV	0.40	0.56	—
Max	44	48	+38
Min	6	3	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	56.25%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	33.75	25.38	+8.38
SD	9.23	7.34	11.53
CV	0.27	0.29	—
Max	48	33	+28
Min	15	13	-9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.44	20.06	+1.38
SD	7.40	8.62	11.96
CV	0.35	0.43	—
Max	38	31	+32
Min	10	6	-17

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.94	23.62	+1.31
SD	9.56	11.42	13.92
CV	0.38	0.48	—
Max	45	41	+29
Min	7	0	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.06	25.12	-2.06
SD	10.85	10.99	12.81
CV	0.47	0.44	—
Max	46	48	+19
Min	7	10	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.44	24.94	-7.50
SD	5.30	9.84	12.53
CV	0.30	0.39	—
Max	27	41	+20
Min	10	6	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	19.69	+0.62
SD	6.60	7.96	11.51
CV	0.32	0.40	—
Max	32	35	+18
Min	10	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	50.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	6.25%	31.25%	56.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.50	28.25	-11.75
SD	6.74	4.49	8.23
CV	0.41	0.16	—
Max	28	35	+3
Min	7	17	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	50.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.31	19.12	+7.19
SD	8.80	5.75	9.40
CV	0.33	0.30	—
Max	42	30	+25
Min	7	10	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	18.56	+2.25
SD	8.40	8.23	12.66
CV	0.40	0.44	—
Max	34	33	+20
Min	3	6	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	50.00%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.62	22.38	-0.75
SD	7.95	8.85	8.46
CV	0.37	0.40	—
Max	39	42	+15
Min	6	13	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.00	24.25	+2.75
SD	6.82	10.91	13.06
CV	0.25	0.45	—
Max	38	47	+28
Min	14	10	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	50.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.44	20.50	-3.06
SD	7.08	6.06	10.74
CV	0.41	0.30	—
Max	27	31	+9
Min	0	10	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.69	24.50	+1.19
SD	8.59	8.55	14.01
CV	0.33	0.35	—
Max	41	39	+31
Min	7	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	56.25%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.88	25.00	-5.12
SD	6.64	6.49	9.80
CV	0.33	0.26	—
Max	38	38	+21
Min	10	16	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	25.00%	—	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.31	19.44	+4.88
SD	7.45	9.51	12.33
CV	0.31	0.49	—
Max	37	43	+23
Min	12	3	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
7–13	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	—	18.75%	100%

Los Angeles Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.00	24.62	-10.62
SD	9.49	13.35	14.09
CV	0.68	0.54	—
Max	37	49	+6
Min	0	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	6.25%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.69	23.75	-1.06
SD	9.76	8.16	13.55
CV	0.43	0.34	—
Max	34	38	+21
Min	6	10	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.44	19.19	+1.25
SD	8.69	8.20	13.88
CV	0.43	0.43	—
Max	38	38	+28
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.56	15.62	+11.94
SD	9.95	8.52	12.81
CV	0.36	0.55	—
Max	41	31	+38
Min	0	0	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	—	—	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.31	28.38	+0.94
SD	12.01	9.01	10.77
CV	0.41	0.32	—
Max	49	45	+28
Min	11	16	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	17.75	+1.62
SD	5.76	7.09	7.64
CV	0.30	0.40	—
Max	28	29	+14
Min	10	6	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.19	25.56	-8.38
SD	10.65	9.40	15.94
CV	0.62	0.37	—
Max	37	41	+20
Min	3	9	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	43.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.00	24.06	+1.94
SD	9.88	6.89	9.81
CV	0.38	0.29	—
Max	38	35	+17
Min	6	10	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	56.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	20.69	+2.25
SD	5.65	8.68	13.33
CV	0.25	0.42	—
Max	34	32	+31
Min	13	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.94	20.44	+4.50
SD	9.65	8.47	15.55
CV	0.39	0.41	—
Max	43	35	+29
Min	3	7	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.62	26.44	-0.81
SD	8.15	8.21	9.14
CV	0.32	0.31	—
Max	43	37	+24
Min	16	13	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	—	37.50%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.31	30.00	-10.69
SD	5.45	11.41	13.61
CV	0.28	0.38	—
Max	28	46	+28
Min	6	0	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	18.25	+3.88
SD	11.59	10.04	13.91
CV	0.52	0.55	—
Max	40	38	+33
Min	3	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.12	23.06	-0.94
SD	9.00	11.16	14.21
CV	0.41	0.48	—
Max	36	43	+26
Min	7	5	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	43.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.81	23.62	+0.19
SD	9.81	8.78	10.80
CV	0.41	0.37	—
Max	47	43	+22
Min	10	10	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.75	23.94	+0.81
SD	8.83	6.44	10.91
CV	0.36	0.27	—
Max	42	38	+20
Min	10	10	-22

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.33	+0.3
Allowed	0.46	-0.4
Differential	0.74	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Oakland Raiders	12	8.39	+3.61
2	New England Patriots	14	11.14	+2.86
3	Dallas Cowboys	13	10.18	+2.82
4	New York Giants	11	8.32	+2.68
5	Miami Dolphins	10	7.46	+2.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Cleveland Browns	1	4.13	-3.13
2	San Francisco 49ers	2	4.91	-2.91
3	Chicago Bears	3	5.78	-2.78
4	Los Angeles Rams	4	6.42	-2.42
5	San Diego Chargers	5	7.37	-2.37

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Cowboys	11	Sep 18 – Dec 1	1 in 289
2	Miami Dolphins	6	Oct 16 – Nov 27	1 in 128
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	Nov 13 – Dec 11	1 in 111
4	Green Bay Packers	6	Nov 28 – Jan 1	1 in 67
5	Oakland Raiders	6	Oct 23 – Dec 4	1 in 48

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	San Francisco 49ers	13	Sep 18 – Dec 18	1 in 156
2	Cleveland Browns	14	Sep 11 – Dec 18	1 in 101
3	Minnesota Vikings	4	Oct 23 – Nov 13	1 in 62
4	Carolina Panthers	4	Sep 25 – Oct 16	1 in 39
5	Philadelphia Eagles	5	Nov 20 – Dec 18	1 in 36

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	74.08%	19.36%	5.42%	1.14%
Buffalo Bills	17.45%	44.03%	26.10%	12.42%
Miami Dolphins	5.99%	22.87%	38.70%	32.44%
New York Jets	2.47%	13.74%	29.78%	54.01%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	56.67%	27.99%	14.05%	1.29%
Baltimore Ravens	23.69%	36.99%	33.96%	5.37%
Cincinnati Bengals	19.30%	32.74%	41.06%	6.91%
Cleveland Browns	0.35%	2.28%	10.94%	86.43%

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Texans	44.30%	30.59%	19.05%	6.06%
Indianapolis Colts	32.60%	32.56%	25.54%	9.30%
Tennessee Titans	20.30%	28.83%	34.80%	16.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	2.80%	8.02%	20.60%	68.58%

Team	1	2	3	4
Kansas City Chiefs	49.43%	28.39%	15.85%	6.34%
Denver Broncos	29.22%	33.40%	24.34%	13.04%
Oakland Raiders	15.88%	24.78%	32.46%	26.87%
San Diego Chargers	5.46%	13.44%	27.35%	53.75%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	56.41%	24.36%	13.04%	6.19%
New York Giants	17.70%	28.28%	28.76%	25.26%
Washington Redskins	13.40%	24.13%	29.07%	33.40%
Philadelphia Eagles	12.50%	23.23%	29.12%	35.15%

Team	1	2	3	4
Minnesota Vikings	39.87%	31.86%	21.58%	6.69%
Green Bay Packers	36.27%	32.06%	23.75%	7.93%
Detroit Lions	21.46%	28.89%	35.44%	14.20%
Chicago Bears	2.40%	7.19%	19.23%	71.18%

Team	1	2	3	4
Atlanta Falcons	52.71%	26.56%	14.17%	6.56%
Carolina Panthers	25.71%	31.57%	25.12%	17.61%
New Orleans Saints	11.06%	21.27%	29.94%	37.74%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10.52%	20.61%	30.78%	38.10%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	70.18%	24.75%	4.47%	0.59%
Arizona Cardinals	25.80%	53.67%	16.73%	3.81%
Los Angeles Rams	3.43%	16.57%	52.37%	27.63%
San Francisco 49ers	0.59%	5.00%	26.43%	67.98%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	35.28%	20.99%	13.30%	8.91%	6.22%	4.54%	3.43%	2.37%	1.74%	1.25%	0.81%	0.56%	0.32%	0.18%	0.07%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	18.28%	17.28%	13.30%	10.66%	8.89%	7.28%	5.81%	4.88%	4.12%	3.07%	2.36%	1.71%	1.24%	0.74%	0.30%	0.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers	12.31%	13.50%	13.38%	11.27%	9.42%	8.10%	7.19%	6.11%	4.95%	4.26%	3.45%	2.64%	1.72%	0.97%	0.51%	0.20%
Denver Broncos	10.05%	10.74%	10.56%	10.12%	9.79%	8.93%	7.86%	6.69%	6.27%	5.34%	4.21%	3.43%	2.87%	1.93%	0.91%	0.30%
Buffalo Bills	5.52%	6.61%	7.67%	8.76%	9.48%	9.81%	9.07%	8.20%	7.49%	6.94%	6.00%	4.94%	4.15%	3.24%	1.59%	0.53%
Houston Texans	3.46%	5.66%	7.48%	8.65%	8.72%	8.44%	8.52%	8.61%	7.71%	7.11%	6.71%	6.20%	5.30%	3.79%	2.56%	1.09%
Baltimore Ravens	3.12%	5.11%	6.69%	7.39%	7.94%	8.39%	9.04%	8.59%	8.30%	7.89%	7.67%	7.00%	5.24%	3.86%	2.36%	1.40%
Oakland Raiders	4.09%	5.82%	6.50%	7.07%	7.69%	7.82%	7.80%	7.90%	8.02%	7.91%	7.21%	6.65%	6.18%	5.10%	3.01%	1.24%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.47%	4.00%	5.49%	6.07%	6.72%	7.54%	7.89%	8.25%	8.37%	8.51%	8.86%	8.44%	7.10%	5.18%	3.26%	1.87%
Indianapolis Colts	1.89%	3.64%	5.46%	6.67%	7.03%	7.37%	7.92%	8.45%	8.36%	8.13%	8.14%	7.93%	7.23%	5.62%	4.07%	2.10%
Miami Dolphins	1.29%	2.00%	2.94%	3.89%	5.08%	6.03%	6.88%	7.60%	8.31%	9.34%	9.52%	9.50%	9.10%	9.38%	6.13%	3.03%
Tennessee Titans	0.72%	1.73%	2.96%	4.28%	4.79%	5.53%	6.29%	7.62%	7.98%	8.51%	9.42%	10.02%	9.92%	8.62%	7.18%	4.41%
San Diego Chargers	1.04%	1.98%	2.67%	3.63%	4.46%	5.25%	6.03%	6.82%	8.14%	8.79%	9.19%	10.24%	11.46%	10.33%	6.70%	3.27%
New York Jets	0.45%	0.85%	1.34%	2.13%	2.98%	3.78%	4.54%	5.35%	6.59%	7.82%	9.06%	10.30%	11.96%	14.75%	11.29%	6.82%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.02%	0.10%	0.22%	0.43%	0.61%	0.92%	1.30%	1.84%	2.53%	3.42%	4.77%	6.64%	9.91%	14.36%	26.19%	26.74%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.01%	0.05%	0.08%	0.16%	0.26%	0.44%	0.73%	1.13%	1.72%	2.61%	3.80%	6.29%	11.94%	23.86%	46.89%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	29.04%	18.82%	13.28%	9.85%	7.70%	5.83%	4.62%	3.46%	2.41%	1.76%	1.20%	0.91%	0.56%	0.33%	0.14%	0.08%
Dallas Cowboys	19.71%	16.69%	13.30%	10.38%	8.43%	7.02%	5.58%	4.75%	3.97%	3.01%	2.46%	1.84%	1.31%	0.90%	0.48%	0.16%
Atlanta Falcons	8.86%	10.30%	11.31%	10.89%	9.60%	8.57%	7.89%	6.91%	5.86%	5.10%	4.37%	3.58%	2.81%	2.12%	1.33%	0.49%
Minnesota Vikings	8.87%	10.45%	10.53%	10.00%	9.36%	8.66%	7.95%	7.15%	6.39%	5.64%	4.66%	3.63%	2.78%	2.00%	1.36%	0.58%
Arizona Cardinals	7.58%	8.17%	8.77%	9.20%	9.77%	9.81%	9.34%	8.46%	6.76%	5.65%	4.77%	4.09%	3.15%	2.12%	1.48%	0.89%
Green Bay Packers	7.73%	8.94%	9.35%	9.43%	9.09%	8.72%	8.26%	7.43%	6.70%	6.17%	5.51%	4.39%	3.40%	2.32%	1.78%	0.78%
New York Giants	3.86%	5.24%	6.17%	6.96%	7.62%	7.96%	8.07%	8.12%	8.22%	7.82%	7.13%	6.60%	6.14%	4.90%	3.50%	1.70%
Detroit Lions	3.46%	5.04%	6.24%	6.95%	7.43%	7.78%	8.13%	8.05%	8.34%	8.45%	7.72%	6.75%	5.78%	4.42%	3.56%	1.89%
Carolina Panthers	2.74%	4.35%	5.49%	6.54%	6.75%	7.31%	7.95%	8.37%	7.91%	7.92%	7.68%	7.01%	6.45%	5.82%	4.73%	2.98%
Washington Redskins	3.11%	4.23%	4.92%	5.68%	6.58%	6.96%	7.28%	7.62%	8.47%	7.92%	7.82%	7.80%	7.55%	6.44%	4.92%	2.71%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.99%	3.77%	4.37%	5.30%	6.40%	6.71%	7.05%	7.60%	8.39%	8.03%	8.01%	8.09%	7.74%	7.07%	5.42%	3.07%
New Orleans Saints	0.76%	1.46%	2.26%	3.03%	3.69%	4.52%	5.43%	6.29%	6.90%	8.03%	8.59%	9.35%	10.12%	10.76%	10.57%	8.24%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.66%	1.25%	2.06%	2.74%	3.37%	4.19%	4.98%	6.09%	6.77%	8.03%	9.00%	9.68%	10.14%	10.87%	10.77%	9.39%
Los Angeles Rams	0.43%	0.80%	1.17%	1.83%	2.43%	3.33%	4.03%	5.01%	6.49%	7.83%	9.59%	10.97%	11.42%	11.51%	11.39%	11.77%
Chicago Bears	0.15%	0.40%	0.63%	0.94%	1.38%	1.90%	2.36%	3.07%	4.18%	5.33%	6.59%	8.47%	11.40%	15.04%	19.04%	19.11%
San Francisco 49ers	0.05%	0.08%	0.15%	0.26%	0.41%	0.73%	1.08%	1.59%	2.25%	3.33%	4.88%	6.85%	9.25%	13.38%	19.52%	36.16%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	22.26%	14.57%	11.24%	9.01%	7.09%	5.84%	4.79%	4.02%	3.39%	2.88%	2.38%	2.12%	1.77%	1.60%	1.27%	1.07%	0.90%	0.81%	0.68%	0.52%	0.43%	0.33%	0.29%	0.21%	0.17%	0.14%	0.09%	0.07%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	14.95%	13.23%	9.68%	9.15%	6.90%	6.61%	5.16%	4.83%	4.02%	3.88%	3.14%	2.88%	2.36%	2.16%	1.77%	1.82%	1.31%	1.17%	0.97%	0.82%	0.70%	0.56%	0.50%	0.43%	0.29%	0.27%	0.18%	0.12%	0.07%	0.06%	0.04%	0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	10.30%	9.50%	8.98%	7.83%	7.03%	6.24%	5.50%	5.11%	4.63%	4.12%	3.72%	3.29%	3.21%	2.69%	2.60%	2.20%	2.09%	1.90%	1.67%	1.31%	1.18%	1.09%	0.94%	0.73%	0.65%	0.51%	0.37%	0.26%	0.20%	0.12%	0.05%	0.03%
Dallas Cowboys	9.67%	9.81%	8.52%	7.92%	6.93%	6.39%	5.51%	5.09%	4.64%	3.99%	3.73%	3.39%	3.07%	2.80%	2.56%	2.18%	2.12%	1.83%	1.66%	1.42%	1.27%	1.08%	1.05%	0.80%	0.66%	0.56%	0.49%	0.35%	0.24%	0.14%	0.08%	0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	6.63%	6.50%	6.90%	6.44%	6.45%	6.21%	5.66%	5.45%	4.69%	4.74%	4.08%	4.01%	3.60%	3.52%	3.16%	3.07%	2.48%	2.48%	2.21%	2.14%	1.74%	1.69%	1.33%	1.29%	0.92%	0.82%	0.58%	0.46%	0.33%	0.24%	0.13%	0.07%
Denver Broncos	5.27%	5.26%	5.65%	5.48%	5.67%	5.13%	5.37%	4.92%	5.12%	4.42%	4.43%	4.22%	4.26%	3.77%	3.41%	3.09%	3.14%	2.89%	2.82%	2.47%	2.13%	1.94%	1.83%	1.60%	1.47%	1.16%	1.01%	0.83%	0.53%	0.40%	0.19%	0.12%
Atlanta Falcons	3.88%	4.55%	4.99%	5.31%	5.38%	5.69%	5.06%	5.42%	4.78%	5.04%	4.40%	4.39%	3.89%	3.93%	3.66%	3.49%	3.06%	2.98%	2.69%	2.63%	2.40%	2.18%	1.90%	1.77%	1.54%	1.32%	1.19%	0.89%	0.74%	0.48%	0.25%	0.10%
Minnesota Vikings	3.67%	4.74%	5.09%	5.36%	5.26%	5.36%	5.09%	5.01%	4.84%	4.52%	4.59%	4.23%	4.25%	3.74%	3.74%	3.49%	3.43%	3.08%	2.96%	2.56%	2.49%	2.22%	2.02%	1.75%	1.45%	1.32%	1.14%	0.89%	0.76%	0.52%	0.31%	0.14%
Arizona Cardinals	3.38%	3.75%	4.32%	4.29%	4.54%	4.42%	4.75%	4.67%	4.92%	4.64%	4.79%	4.76%	4.48%	4.45%	4.00%	4.35%	3.40%	3.45%	2.80%	2.97%	2.57%	2.42%	2.12%	1.96%	1.83%	1.54%	1.20%	1.03%	0.88%	0.62%	0.51%	0.18%
Green Bay Packers	3.11%	3.93%	4.29%	4.57%	4.67%	4.78%	4.88%	4.54%	4.69%	4.54%	4.69%	4.34%	4.20%	3.92%	3.85%	3.61%	3.62%	3.37%	3.22%	2.97%	2.81%	2.68%	2.25%	2.22%	1.85%	1.65%	1.33%	1.12%	0.97%	0.71%	0.43%	0.19%
Buffalo Bills	2.71%	3.04%	3.41%	3.67%	3.94%	3.98%	4.54%	4.47%	4.49%	4.70%	4.49%	4.99%	4.39%	4.49%	3.88%	4.18%	3.67%	3.86%	3.40%	3.51%	2.94%	2.94%	2.44%	2.46%	2.08%	2.03%	1.65%	1.45%	0.95%	0.69%	0.36%	0.20%
Houston Texans	1.52%	2.04%	2.65%	3.05%	3.55%	3.79%	3.88%	4.33%	3.96%	4.54%	4.09%	4.36%	3.87%	4.38%	4.15%	4.55%	3.70%	3.84%	3.55%	3.77%	3.45%	3.42%	3.05%	3.20%	2.67%	2.61%	2.12%	1.95%	1.49%	1.26%	0.78%	0.45%
Baltimore Ravens	1.40%	1.92%	2.47%	2.82%	3.17%	3.43%	3.63%	3.79%	3.99%	4.06%	4.00%	4.20%	4.40%	4.35%	4.33%	4.25%	4.11%	3.98%	3.93%	4.00%	3.77%	3.74%	3.29%	3.36%	2.78%	2.69%	2.15%	1.95%	1.42%	1.18%	0.88%	0.54%
Oakland Raiders	1.85%	2.34%	2.94%	2.97%	3.45%	3.31%	3.75%	3.55%	3.98%	3.59%	4.01%	3.88%	4.13%	3.84%	3.99%	3.73%	4.09%	3.86%	4.10%	3.67%	3.56%	3.51%	3.33%	3.24%	3.00%	2.94%	2.47%	2.43%	1.62%	1.48%	0.86%	0.53%
New York Giants	1.39%	2.14%	2.41%	2.86%	3.08%	3.30%	3.42%	3.64%	3.86%	3.78%	4.01%	4.09%	4.21%	4.15%	4.07%	3.93%	4.32%	4.07%	3.98%	3.75%	3.64%	3.59%	3.63%	3.23%	3.13%	2.82%	2.60%	2.23%	1.96%	1.35%	0.95%	0.46%
Detroit Lions	1.20%	1.98%	2.27%	2.78%	2.86%	3.36%	3.34%	3.68%	3.62%	3.91%	3.97%	3.92%	4.12%	4.14%	4.14%	3.95%	4.15%	4.20%	4.24%	3.99%	4.03%	3.84%	3.50%	3.29%	3.14%	2.72%	2.55%	2.18%	1.98%	1.41%	1.09%	0.45%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.10%	1.44%	1.98%	2.08%	2.63%	2.74%	3.14%	3.00%	3.39%	3.41%	3.68%	3.73%	3.86%	3.97%	4.03%	4.08%	4.11%	4.11%	4.07%	4.45%	4.18%	4.35%	3.87%	4.20%	3.45%	3.68%	2.74%	2.76%	1.98%	1.76%	1.22%	0.83%
Carolina Panthers	1.02%	1.50%	1.99%	2.23%	2.62%	2.86%	3.00%	3.18%	3.37%	3.51%	3.75%	3.59%	3.84%	3.93%	4.16%	4.36%	3.92%	4.01%	4.05%	4.04%	4.05%	3.84%	3.56%	3.62%	3.49%	3.41%	3.11%	2.87%	2.59%	2.07%	1.54%	0.91%
Washington Redskins	1.07%	1.68%	2.06%	2.19%	2.45%	2.62%	2.90%	2.97%	3.36%	3.25%	3.57%	3.46%	3.90%	3.70%	3.89%	3.72%	4.42%	4.10%	4.14%	3.85%	3.98%	4.01%	4.05%	3.86%	3.79%	3.58%	3.34%	3.06%	2.55%	2.17%	1.44%	0.87%
Indianapolis Colts	0.77%	1.19%	1.67%	2.03%	2.44%	2.80%	3.01%	3.32%	3.19%	3.77%	3.62%	3.69%	3.62%	4.04%	4.18%	4.47%	3.76%	4.18%	4.07%	4.31%	4.08%	4.04%	3.84%	3.96%	3.64%	3.61%	3.00%	2.98%	2.30%	2.10%	1.41%	0.91%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.96%	1.53%	1.77%	2.00%	2.27%	2.35%	2.81%	2.71%	3.22%	3.06%	3.49%	3.40%	3.76%	3.58%	4.00%	3.67%	4.28%	4.12%	4.16%	3.93%	4.05%	4.02%	4.23%	4.05%	3.91%	3.85%	3.45%	3.49%	2.88%	2.39%	1.65%	0.96%
Miami Dolphins	0.51%	0.77%	0.97%	1.13%	1.53%	1.54%	1.94%	2.16%	2.51%	2.62%	2.76%	3.22%	3.48%	3.57%	3.59%	3.82%	4.16%	4.37%	4.35%	4.60%	4.59%	4.77%	4.67%	4.66%	4.67%	4.44%	4.58%	4.22%	3.59%	2.89%	2.02%	1.30%
San Diego Chargers	0.38%	0.68%	0.97%	1.07%	1.32%	1.53%	1.79%	2.03%	2.23%	2.38%	2.53%	2.81%	3.13%	3.31%	3.41%	3.36%	4.09%	4.17%	4.49%	4.23%	4.50%	4.51%	5.33%	4.86%	5.47%	5.03%	4.98%	4.70%	3.72%	3.22%	2.21%	1.54%
Tennessee Titans	0.28%	0.50%	0.76%	1.02%	1.30%	1.53%	1.88%	2.13%	2.11%	2.65%	2.56%	2.93%	2.81%	3.35%	3.57%	3.95%	3.67%	4.11%	4.02%	4.58%	4.54%	4.76%	4.56%	5.06%	4.75%	5.03%	4.48%	4.52%	4.00%	3.73%	2.73%	2.17%
New Orleans Saints	0.23%	0.42%	0.61%	0.80%	0.99%	1.19%	1.37%	1.55%	1.79%	1.92%	2.25%	2.27%	2.56%	2.78%	3.17%	3.21%	3.44%	3.57%	3.98%	4.04%	4.41%	4.42%	4.73%	4.77%	5.23%	5.26%	5.67%	5.40%	5.70%	4.96%	4.40%	2.88%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.20%	0.36%	0.50%	0.66%	0.87%	1.07%	1.22%	1.41%	1.54%	1.84%	2.05%	2.18%	2.32%	2.60%	2.98%	3.16%	3.31%	3.50%	3.85%	4.18%	4.48%	4.64%	4.84%	4.99%	5.32%	5.39%	5.70%	5.62%	5.81%	5.21%	4.94%	3.25%
New York Jets	0.14%	0.28%	0.42%	0.49%	0.68%	0.73%	1.04%	1.13%	1.36%	1.60%	1.84%	2.04%	2.24%	2.37%	2.54%	2.77%	3.29%	3.47%	3.75%	4.02%	4.42%	4.62%	5.16%	5.30%	5.57%	5.87%	6.32%	6.81%	5.91%	5.76%	4.40%	3.65%
Los Angeles Rams	0.10%	0.24%	0.32%	0.43%	0.53%	0.69%	0.85%	0.99%	1.17%	1.28%	1.61%	1.68%	1.92%	2.08%	2.44%	2.64%	3.17%	3.26%	3.62%	3.98%	4.67%	4.85%	5.23%	5.49%	5.71%	5.96%	6.05%	6.12%	6.52%	5.96%	6.13%	4.30%
Chicago Bears	0.03%	0.08%	0.12%	0.23%	0.25%	0.32%	0.44%	0.52%	0.64%	0.73%	0.95%	0.96%	1.20%	1.21%	1.50%	1.62%	2.23%	2.25%	2.67%	2.71%	3.31%	3.53%	4.58%	4.35%	5.69%	6.03%	7.51%	7.72%	9.46%	9.25%	9.75%	8.13%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.08%	0.12%	0.15%	0.22%	0.26%	0.33%	0.40%	0.45%	0.49%	0.74%	0.90%	0.91%	1.05%	1.24%	1.63%	1.88%	2.25%	2.43%	3.00%	3.52%	4.45%	5.13%	6.37%	7.69%	9.75%	13.41%	14.25%	16.81%
San Francisco 49ers	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%	0.05%	0.08%	0.11%	0.14%	0.17%	0.23%	0.31%	0.37%	0.44%	0.58%	0.72%	0.91%	1.07%	1.19%	1.48%	1.84%	2.17%	2.67%	3.08%	3.72%	4.51%	5.22%	6.66%	7.54%	10.16%	11.40%	16.39%	16.70%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.04%	0.04%	0.06%	0.07%	0.11%	0.14%	0.20%	0.24%	0.31%	0.37%	0.46%	0.62%	0.78%	0.85%	1.22%	1.32%	1.81%	2.05%	2.74%	3.38%	4.93%	6.29%	8.90%	13.07%	18.61%	31.30%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	35.28%	21.29%	12.53%	4.98%	8.63%	5.70%	11.58%
Kansas City Chiefs	18.28%	16.87%	10.08%	4.20%	13.92%	9.98%	26.67%
Pittsburgh Steelers	12.31%	14.51%	17.88%	11.98%	5.80%	6.42%	31.11%
Denver Broncos	10.05%	9.94%	6.47%	2.76%	15.54%	12.14%	43.10%
Buffalo Bills	5.52%	5.57%	4.29%	2.07%	14.15%	13.12%	55.28%
Oakland Raiders	4.09%	5.54%	4.13%	2.12%	10.41%	9.55%	64.16%
Houston Texans	3.46%	6.21%	11.16%	23.47%	2.15%	3.64%	49.91%
Baltimore Ravens	3.12%	5.33%	8.59%	6.65%	6.30%	8.02%	61.99%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.47%	4.21%	7.11%	5.51%	5.38%	6.92%	68.41%
Indianapolis Colts	1.89%	4.05%	8.30%	18.35%	2.07%	3.61%	61.73%
Miami Dolphins	1.29%	1.81%	1.85%	1.05%	5.75%	7.14%	81.12%
San Diego Chargers	1.04%	1.89%	1.63%	0.91%	5.08%	5.92%	83.54%
Tennessee Titans	0.72%	1.92%	4.62%	13.04%	1.41%	2.90%	75.39%
New York Jets	0.45%	0.73%	0.81%	0.48%	3.18%	4.26%	90.08%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.02%	0.11%	0.45%	2.22%	0.18%	0.46%	96.56%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.02%	0.10%	0.21%	0.06%	0.21%	99.38%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Seahawks	29.04%	18.87%	12.90%	9.38%	8.70%	6.12%	15.00%
Dallas Cowboys	19.71%	16.80%	12.47%	7.42%	10.28%	7.99%	25.32%
Minnesota Vikings	8.87%	10.56%	11.08%	9.35%	9.18%	8.63%	42.33%
Atlanta Falcons	8.86%	11.00%	14.07%	18.79%	4.30%	5.54%	37.44%
Green Bay Packers	7.73%	9.16%	10.16%	9.21%	8.47%	8.57%	46.69%
Arizona Cardinals	7.58%	7.17%	5.95%	5.09%	14.49%	12.02%	47.70%
New York Giants	3.86%	5.05%	5.06%	3.72%	9.27%	9.31%	63.73%
Detroit Lions	3.46%	5.06%	6.55%	6.38%	6.92%	7.95%	63.67%
Washington Redskins	3.11%	3.97%	3.68%	2.64%	8.72%	7.88%	70.00%
Philadelphia Eagles	2.99%	3.58%	3.42%	2.51%	7.94%	7.69%	71.88%
Carolina Panthers	2.74%	4.57%	7.06%	11.34%	3.93%	5.58%	64.78%
New Orleans Saints	0.76%	1.57%	2.95%	5.78%	2.18%	3.61%	83.15%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.66%	1.37%	2.75%	5.74%	1.75%	3.19%	84.53%
Los Angeles Rams	0.43%	0.76%	1.00%	1.23%	2.48%	3.43%	90.66%
Chicago Bears	0.15%	0.43%	0.74%	1.08%	1.06%	1.79%	94.75%
San Francisco 49ers	0.05%	0.09%	0.15%	0.31%	0.33%	0.69%	98.38%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+15.48%

Fortress

57.54%0.40%42.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge

25 Elo

0.040 points per Elo point

054.2180

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.60 points

Lean Home

-8+2.16+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.3

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

29%

New England Patriots, 1st of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

35.6%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.5 · As Expected: 1.5 to 2.07 · Elevated: 2.07 to 2.82 · High Variance: 2.82 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.18 · Close: 5.18 to 7.01 · Off Target: 7.01 to 9.14 · Well Off Target: 9.14 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.24 · As Expected: 3.24 to 5.4 · More Than Expected: 5.4 to 8.64 · Far More Than Expected: 8.64 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.93 wins

As Expected

01.885

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.34

Pinpoint

06.1015

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

98.56%

Oakland Raiders

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

5.48%

Cleveland Browns

050

Season Outliers

Expected

5 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

4 of 12

As Expected

04.312

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.83

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

67%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

96%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

24%

Mostly Decisive

0%21%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.221

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.09

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.34

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

As Expected

0%36%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%29%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.66

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.059

Within Noise

00.0960.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	81.60%	81.60%	61.83%	43.38%	28.78%
Dallas Cowboys	62.83%	62.83%	41.75%	26.37%	13.10%
Kansas City Chiefs	61.13%	61.13%	38.48%	20.31%	11.91%
Atlanta Falcons	49.87%	49.87%	30.71%	18.07%	8.98%
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.35%	54.35%	29.02%	13.47%	7.32%
Seattle Seahawks	69.03%	69.03%	36.75%	17.87%	6.92%
Green Bay Packers	38.85%	38.85%	20.94%	10.89%	4.83%
Denver Broncos	38.06%	38.06%	16.90%	6.27%	2.87%
Arizona Cardinals	37.55%	31.16%	13.26%	5.38%	1.92%
Oakland Raiders	26.21%	22.70%	10.07%	3.82%	1.77%
New York Giants	27.37%	21.80%	10.13%	4.56%	1.70%
Minnesota Vikings	38.24%	34.16%	11.83%	3.93%	1.07%
Indianapolis Colts	32.33%	22.45%	7.78%	2.50%	1.06%
Detroit Lions	27.80%	20.37%	7.86%	2.93%	0.94%
Carolina Panthers	27.91%	19.89%	7.66%	2.90%	0.90%
Washington Redskins	22.92%	16.44%	6.63%	2.67%	0.88%
Houston Texans	40.42%	27.73%	8.15%	2.31%	0.83%
Cincinnati Bengals	24.92%	17.86%	6.32%	1.96%	0.80%
Baltimore Ravens	29.56%	20.59%	6.76%	1.99%	0.73%
Philadelphia Eagles	21.56%	14.45%	5.25%	1.90%	0.57%
Buffalo Bills	33.63%	21.55%	5.91%	1.65%	0.51%
Miami Dolphins	15.79%	9.45%	3.39%	1.18%	0.49%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	13.44%	8.37%	3.32%	1.30%	0.47%
New Orleans Saints	14.52%	8.53%	3.22%	1.13%	0.36%
Tennessee Titans	21.97%	11.37%	2.85%	0.68%	0.19%
San Diego Chargers	13.53%	6.65%	1.62%	0.32%	0.07%
New York Jets	8.74%	3.38%	0.75%	0.15%	0.04%
Los Angeles Rams	8.15%	2.51%	0.43%	0.07%	<0.01%
Chicago Bears	4.67%	1.43%	0.22%	0.04%	<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	3.31%	1.00%	0.14%	0.01%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.58%	0.13%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
San Francisco 49ers	1.48%	0.32%	0.04%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		61.1%2.90%	47.0%1.51%	80.0%0.03%	43.1%2.95%	47.9%2.81%	39.4%2.26%	71.0%0.21%	25.1%3.06%	47.6%1.38%	16.0%2.96%	68.2%0.74%	41.7%1.99%	30.7%4.14%	64.0%1.13%	50.8%1.50%
Buffalo Bills	38.9%2.90%		36.2%2.44%	78.7%0.06%	34.3%2.12%	38.9%4.88%	31.9%3.82%	59.0%0.39%	17.6%2.81%	37.1%0.51%	14.0%3.64%	51.0%0.24%	31.9%1.45%	20.8%5.17%	58.3%0.69%	42.6%2.51%
Cincinnati Bengals	53.0%1.51%	63.8%2.44%		88.9%0.02%	46.0%2.41%	50.1%2.37%	41.3%1.87%	71.5%0.22%	27.9%2.57%	55.5%1.20%	21.2%2.47%	71.2%0.61%	46.4%1.78%	32.6%3.22%	66.3%0.94%	57.5%1.27%
Cleveland Browns	20.0%0.03%	21.3%0.06%	11.1%0.02%		13.0%0.08%	25.0%0.04%	17.1%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	8.2%0.06%	21.4%0.03%	3.6%0.06%	38.5%0.01%	16.0%0.05%	3.6%0.06%	52.4%0.02%	28.1%0.03%
Denver Broncos	56.9%2.95%	65.7%2.12%	54.0%2.41%	87.0%0.08%		56.3%5.72%	51.1%4.47%	73.3%0.49%	31.9%3.95%	59.6%0.95%	21.9%2.89%	74.3%0.56%	47.1%1.73%	34.8%4.79%	72.2%0.76%	61.0%3.03%
Houston Texans	52.1%2.81%	61.1%4.88%	49.9%2.37%	75.0%0.04%	43.7%5.72%		43.8%2.30%	72.5%0.14%	28.0%5.24%	50.8%2.25%	20.0%3.24%	70.5%1.26%	42.5%3.87%	30.0%2.93%	66.1%1.99%	57.7%1.36%
Indianapolis Colts	60.6%2.26%	68.1%3.82%	58.7%1.87%	82.9%0.04%	48.9%4.47%	56.2%2.30%		76.5%0.12%	33.6%4.21%	57.3%1.70%	22.4%2.57%	73.9%0.94%	49.4%3.11%	37.6%2.45%	73.7%1.55%	63.0%0.92%
Jacksonville Jaguars	29.0%0.21%	41.0%0.39%	28.5%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.49%	27.5%0.14%	23.5%0.12%		12.0%0.43%	30.4%0.16%	8.9%0.25%	46.8%0.11%	24.1%0.28%	20.3%0.26%	42.0%0.17%	29.6%0.07%
Kansas City Chiefs	74.9%3.06%	82.4%2.81%	72.1%2.57%	91.8%0.06%	68.1%3.95%	72.0%5.24%	66.4%4.21%	88.0%0.43%		74.5%1.36%	36.0%2.77%	88.8%0.69%	65.5%2.53%	53.4%4.48%	85.7%1.16%	75.5%2.87%
Miami Dolphins	52.4%1.38%	62.9%0.51%	44.5%1.20%	78.6%0.03%	40.4%0.95%	49.2%2.25%	42.7%1.70%	69.6%0.16%	25.5%1.36%		19.1%1.62%	67.0%0.09%	40.8%0.73%	27.6%2.46%	63.6%0.29%	51.9%1.06%
New England Patriots	84.0%2.96%	86.0%3.64%	78.8%2.47%	96.4%0.06%	78.1%2.89%	80.0%3.24%	77.6%2.57%	91.1%0.25%	64.0%2.77%	80.9%1.62%		90.2%0.90%	78.6%2.17%	65.2%3.44%	88.6%1.17%	86.0%1.72%
New York Jets	31.8%0.74%	49.0%0.24%	28.8%0.61%	61.5%0.01%	25.7%0.56%	29.5%1.26%	26.1%0.94%	53.2%0.11%	11.2%0.69%	33.0%0.09%	9.8%0.90%		22.0%0.40%	16.2%1.36%	52.2%0.18%	37.7%0.64%
Oakland Raiders	58.3%1.99%	68.1%1.45%	53.6%1.78%	84.0%0.05%	52.9%1.73%	57.5%3.87%	50.6%3.11%	75.9%0.28%	34.5%2.53%	59.2%0.73%	21.4%2.17%	78.0%0.40%		35.5%3.57%	74.6%0.46%	62.5%2.08%
Pittsburgh Steelers	69.3%4.14%	79.2%5.17%	67.4%3.22%	96.4%0.06%	65.2%4.79%	70.0%2.93%	62.4%2.45%	79.7%0.26%	46.6%4.48%	72.4%2.46%	34.8%3.44%	83.8%1.36%	64.5%3.57%		84.5%1.93%	71.5%1.80%
San Diego Chargers	36.0%1.13%	41.7%0.69%	33.7%0.94%	47.6%0.02%	27.8%0.76%	33.9%1.99%	26.3%1.55%	58.0%0.17%	14.3%1.16%	36.4%0.29%	11.4%1.17%	47.8%0.18%	25.4%0.46%	15.5%1.93%		36.9%1.09%
Tennessee Titans	49.2%1.50%	57.4%2.51%	42.5%1.27%	71.9%0.03%	39.0%3.03%	42.3%1.36%	37.0%0.92%	70.4%0.07%	24.5%2.87%	48.1%1.06%	14.0%1.72%	62.3%0.64%	37.5%2.08%	28.5%1.80%	63.1%1.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		27.9%5.62%	51.1%3.42%	80.6%0.42%	26.4%3.79%	50.7%2.77%	35.9%3.64%	86.8%0.39%	55.7%4.00%	52.4%1.68%	45.5%2.21%	59.0%1.65%	81.9%0.07%	41.6%4.51%	47.8%1.63%	51.4%1.76%
Atlanta Falcons	72.1%5.62%		71.2%3.10%	90.7%0.52%	50.9%4.12%	75.3%3.13%	60.0%3.89%	90.6%1.21%	78.5%4.12%	74.6%1.54%	69.4%3.71%	78.3%2.93%	93.7%0.21%	63.4%4.16%	71.9%1.30%	75.6%3.16%
Carolina Panthers	48.9%3.42%	28.8%3.10%		78.2%0.36%	26.3%2.86%	52.5%2.06%	34.9%2.58%	77.1%0.67%	56.6%2.77%	56.3%0.70%	46.9%2.16%	57.0%1.83%	83.1%0.09%	38.9%2.86%	47.2%0.66%	53.9%1.80%
Chicago Bears	19.4%0.42%	9.3%0.52%	21.8%0.36%		8.3%0.55%	21.5%0.26%	12.7%0.36%	53.4%0.10%	26.6%0.39%	16.5%0.18%	20.9%0.35%	24.7%0.27%	47.4%0.02%	15.0%0.47%	21.5%0.14%	21.0%0.29%
Dallas Cowboys	73.6%3.79%	49.1%4.12%	73.7%2.86%	91.7%0.55%		74.6%3.23%	57.7%4.11%	92.1%0.82%	75.6%4.25%	75.0%1.45%	68.1%3.19%	77.1%2.24%	93.5%0.17%	62.7%3.40%	70.0%1.42%	72.9%2.57%
Detroit Lions	49.3%2.77%	24.7%3.13%	47.5%2.06%	78.5%0.26%	25.4%3.23%		33.9%2.58%	80.8%0.53%	54.0%2.78%	50.4%0.99%	45.8%2.12%	56.1%1.70%	83.0%0.10%	37.6%2.90%	45.2%0.94%	50.8%1.71%
Green Bay Packers	64.1%3.64%	40.0%3.89%	65.1%2.58%	87.3%0.36%	42.3%4.11%	66.1%2.58%		87.9%0.80%	71.3%4.21%	67.6%1.36%	60.7%3.05%	69.8%2.35%	96.5%0.14%	53.4%3.63%	64.1%1.18%	66.4%2.56%
Los Angeles Rams	13.2%0.39%	9.4%1.21%	22.9%0.67%	46.6%0.10%	7.9%0.82%	19.2%0.53%	12.1%0.80%		20.8%0.86%	21.0%0.35%	16.5%0.44%	24.0%0.39%	37.5%<0.01%	14.6%0.90%	17.7%0.31%	23.2%0.37%
Minnesota Vikings	44.3%4.00%	21.5%4.12%	43.4%2.77%	73.4%0.39%	24.4%4.25%	46.0%2.78%	28.7%4.21%	79.2%0.86%		46.3%1.45%	40.3%3.23%	53.9%2.42%	83.8%0.16%	32.7%3.60%	39.8%1.35%	47.3%2.66%
New Orleans Saints	47.6%1.68%	25.4%1.54%	43.7%0.70%	83.5%0.18%	25.0%1.45%	49.6%0.99%	32.4%1.36%	79.0%0.35%	53.7%1.45%		44.9%1.02%	54.9%0.99%	78.3%0.06%	35.6%1.54%	44.9%0.27%	51.1%0.94%
New York Giants	54.5%2.21%	30.6%3.71%	53.1%2.16%	79.1%0.35%	31.9%3.19%	54.2%2.12%	39.3%3.05%	83.5%0.44%	59.7%3.23%	55.1%1.02%		60.5%0.92%	82.0%0.11%	40.7%2.86%	50.5%1.03%	59.2%0.96%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.0%1.65%	21.7%2.93%	43.0%1.83%	75.3%0.27%	22.9%2.24%	43.9%1.70%	30.2%2.35%	76.0%0.39%	46.1%2.42%	45.1%0.99%	39.5%0.92%		84.5%0.06%	30.6%2.26%	40.5%0.82%	43.3%0.72%
San Francisco 49ers	18.1%0.07%	6.3%0.21%	16.9%0.09%	52.6%0.02%	6.5%0.17%	17.0%0.10%	3.5%0.14%	62.5%<0.01%	16.2%0.16%	21.7%0.06%	18.0%0.11%	15.5%0.06%		10.4%0.17%	13.3%0.04%	5.6%0.07%
Seattle Seahawks	58.4%4.51%	36.6%4.16%	61.1%2.86%	85.0%0.47%	37.3%3.40%	62.4%2.90%	46.6%3.63%	85.4%0.90%	67.3%3.60%	64.4%1.54%	59.3%2.86%	69.4%2.26%	89.6%0.17%		62.3%1.41%	64.9%2.42%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	52.2%1.63%	28.1%1.30%	52.8%0.66%	78.5%0.14%	30.0%1.42%	54.8%0.94%	35.9%1.18%	82.3%0.31%	60.2%1.35%	55.1%0.27%	49.5%1.03%	59.5%0.82%	86.7%0.04%	37.7%1.41%		55.0%0.93%
Washington Redskins	48.6%1.76%	24.4%3.16%	46.1%1.80%	79.0%0.29%	27.1%2.57%	49.2%1.71%	33.6%2.56%	76.8%0.37%	52.7%2.66%	48.9%0.94%	40.8%0.96%	56.7%0.72%	94.4%0.07%	35.1%2.42%	45.0%0.93%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		57.0%1.01%	44.4%0.46%	100.0%<0.01%	37.7%2.15%	51.6%1.45%	48.4%1.13%	70.8%0.05%	24.3%4.04%	46.2%0.42%	18.3%5.68%	65.8%0.15%	38.4%1.15%	28.1%2.00%	61.2%0.36%	55.4%0.54%
Buffalo Bills	43.0%1.01%		39.4%0.90%	75.0%<0.01%	33.6%1.98%	46.1%1.32%	37.3%1.13%	53.8%0.04%	21.2%3.31%	40.1%0.37%	14.7%6.43%	58.6%0.12%	31.0%1.02%	25.5%3.05%	53.8%0.35%	50.3%0.50%
Cincinnati Bengals	55.6%0.46%	60.6%0.90%		66.7%<0.01%	42.8%1.78%	56.9%1.15%	47.7%0.95%	87.5%0.04%	27.3%3.57%	44.4%0.36%	19.1%4.94%	67.7%0.13%	40.2%1.11%	30.4%1.69%	68.5%0.33%	57.8%0.46%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		8.3%0.01%	11.1%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	3.3%0.03%		2.4%0.04%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	62.3%2.15%	66.4%1.98%	57.2%1.78%	91.7%0.01%		63.0%2.80%	58.5%2.35%	81.4%0.09%	34.6%7.29%	57.6%0.94%	24.6%8.65%	77.2%0.33%	47.7%1.92%	41.5%6.19%	72.3%0.46%	66.5%1.13%
Houston Texans	48.4%1.45%	53.9%1.32%	43.1%1.15%	88.9%<0.01%	37.0%2.80%		42.7%0.41%	60.0%<0.01%	22.3%5.37%	45.3%0.59%	15.8%7.72%	63.0%0.22%	36.6%1.57%	28.0%4.48%	61.7%0.45%	48.9%0.18%
Indianapolis Colts	51.6%1.13%	62.7%1.13%	52.3%0.95%	80.0%<0.01%	41.5%2.35%	57.3%0.41%		71.4%<0.01%	27.9%4.41%	52.1%0.40%	19.7%6.43%	66.7%0.13%	40.6%1.25%	34.7%3.38%	67.5%0.35%	59.4%0.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	29.2%0.05%	46.2%0.04%	12.5%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	18.6%0.09%	40.0%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%		8.6%0.20%	15.8%0.02%	7.3%0.32%	42.9%<0.01%	14.5%0.06%	12.7%0.16%	16.7%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	75.7%4.04%	78.8%3.31%	72.7%3.57%	96.7%0.03%	65.4%7.29%	77.7%5.37%	72.1%4.41%	91.4%0.20%		74.0%1.55%	38.6%13.17%	83.2%0.50%	66.4%3.66%	56.9%10.80%	84.1%0.99%	81.8%2.24%
Miami Dolphins	53.8%0.42%	59.9%0.37%	55.6%0.36%		42.4%0.94%	54.7%0.59%	47.9%0.40%	84.2%0.02%	26.0%1.55%		19.6%2.59%	79.5%0.04%	42.7%0.47%	34.0%1.38%	63.8%0.13%	62.9%0.19%
New England Patriots	81.7%5.68%	85.3%6.43%	80.9%4.94%	97.6%0.04%	75.4%8.65%	84.2%7.72%	80.3%6.43%	92.7%0.32%	61.4%13.17%	80.4%2.59%		89.7%0.99%	75.6%5.64%	67.9%14.03%	87.1%1.67%	87.5%3.30%
New York Jets	34.2%0.15%	41.4%0.12%	32.3%0.13%		22.8%0.33%	37.0%0.22%	33.3%0.13%	57.1%<0.01%	16.8%0.50%	20.5%0.04%	10.3%0.99%		29.5%0.17%	22.3%0.45%	38.6%0.04%	48.9%0.09%
Oakland Raiders	61.6%1.15%	69.0%1.02%	59.8%1.11%	100.0%<0.01%	52.3%1.92%	63.4%1.57%	59.4%1.25%	85.5%0.06%	33.6%3.66%	57.3%0.47%	24.4%5.64%	70.5%0.17%		41.2%3.83%	79.4%0.22%	71.4%0.61%
Pittsburgh Steelers	71.9%2.00%	74.5%3.05%	69.6%1.69%	100.0%<0.01%	58.5%6.19%	72.0%4.48%	65.3%3.38%	87.3%0.16%	43.1%10.80%	66.0%1.38%	32.1%14.03%	77.7%0.45%	58.8%3.83%		81.2%1.08%	76.0%1.83%
San Diego Chargers	38.8%0.36%	46.2%0.35%	31.5%0.33%	100.0%<0.01%	27.7%0.46%	38.3%0.45%	32.5%0.35%	83.3%0.02%	15.9%0.99%	36.2%0.13%	12.9%1.67%	61.4%0.04%	20.6%0.22%	18.8%1.08%		48.1%0.18%
Tennessee Titans	44.6%0.54%	49.7%0.50%	42.2%0.46%	33.3%<0.01%	33.5%1.13%	51.1%0.18%	40.6%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	18.2%2.24%	37.1%0.19%	12.5%3.30%	51.1%0.09%	28.6%0.61%	24.0%1.83%	51.9%0.18%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		33.2%4.40%	53.5%1.57%	71.8%0.11%	29.3%5.47%	55.0%1.65%	39.8%3.32%	76.6%0.11%	58.2%2.71%	56.2%0.69%	45.4%1.68%	56.9%1.07%	88.9%<0.01%	40.6%6.50%	53.9%0.64%	52.4%1.23%
Atlanta Falcons	66.8%4.40%		70.5%1.39%	91.3%0.21%	46.1%10.04%	70.7%2.96%	57.2%5.50%	88.2%0.36%	72.6%5.24%	69.8%0.47%	66.3%3.11%	73.5%1.99%	92.5%0.04%	59.4%11.40%	72.3%0.45%	70.5%2.32%
Carolina Panthers	46.5%1.57%	29.5%1.39%		76.3%0.08%	26.2%3.98%	49.4%1.09%	34.3%2.32%	82.1%0.16%	52.9%1.86%	54.3%0.13%	41.8%1.16%	54.4%0.75%	82.4%0.02%	34.9%4.48%	46.1%0.13%	48.0%0.79%
Chicago Bears	28.2%0.11%	8.7%0.21%	23.7%0.08%		8.4%0.31%	20.0%0.03%	16.9%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	16.9%0.07%	27.8%0.04%	9.2%0.09%	17.8%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	16.1%0.30%	26.7%0.03%	25.0%0.05%
Dallas Cowboys	70.7%5.47%	53.9%10.04%	73.8%3.98%	91.6%0.31%		73.3%4.05%	59.6%7.84%	89.5%0.46%	76.3%6.74%	76.4%1.69%	66.8%3.57%	75.3%2.35%	86.7%0.06%	61.4%11.98%	74.2%1.60%	74.6%2.70%
Detroit Lions	45.0%1.65%	29.3%2.96%	50.6%1.09%	80.0%0.03%	26.7%4.05%		33.8%1.18%	75.4%0.13%	54.4%1.24%	52.0%0.40%	43.4%1.21%	57.0%0.76%	73.3%0.01%	36.8%4.33%	50.8%0.42%	48.5%0.91%
Green Bay Packers	60.2%3.32%	42.8%5.50%	65.7%2.32%	83.1%0.08%	40.4%7.84%	66.2%1.18%		86.6%0.25%	68.4%2.56%	65.2%1.00%	59.0%2.31%	68.6%1.58%	96.2%0.03%	52.0%8.20%	65.8%0.93%	61.3%1.76%
Los Angeles Rams	23.4%0.11%	11.8%0.36%	17.9%0.16%	50.0%<0.01%	10.5%0.46%	24.6%0.13%	13.4%0.25%		28.9%0.24%	20.6%0.07%	19.6%0.11%	27.4%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	15.2%0.39%	20.0%0.07%	18.7%0.09%
Minnesota Vikings	41.8%2.71%	27.4%5.24%	47.1%1.86%	83.1%0.07%	23.7%6.74%	45.6%1.24%	31.6%2.56%	71.1%0.24%		47.2%0.83%	38.7%2.09%	47.8%1.39%	68.8%0.03%	33.2%6.65%	45.5%0.90%	42.3%1.60%
New Orleans Saints	43.8%0.69%	30.2%0.47%	45.7%0.13%	72.2%0.04%	23.6%1.69%	48.0%0.40%	34.8%1.00%	79.4%0.07%	52.8%0.83%		37.2%0.41%	52.3%0.32%	100.0%<0.01%	36.5%2.11%	45.0%0.04%	45.2%0.33%
New York Giants	54.6%1.68%	33.7%3.11%	58.2%1.16%	90.8%0.09%	33.2%3.57%	56.6%1.21%	41.0%2.31%	80.4%0.11%	61.3%2.09%	62.8%0.41%		63.4%0.53%	90.6%0.03%	44.9%4.44%	56.6%0.46%	57.8%0.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	43.1%1.07%	26.5%1.99%	45.6%0.75%	82.2%0.04%	24.7%2.35%	43.0%0.76%	31.4%1.58%	72.6%0.08%	52.2%1.39%	47.7%0.32%	36.6%0.53%		80.0%0.01%	35.4%2.85%	43.9%0.30%	46.6%0.41%
San Francisco 49ers	11.1%<0.01%	7.5%0.04%	17.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.06%	26.7%0.01%	3.8%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	9.4%0.03%	20.0%0.01%		10.4%0.05%	14.3%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	59.4%6.50%	40.6%11.40%	65.1%4.48%	83.9%0.30%	38.6%11.98%	63.2%4.33%	48.0%8.20%	84.8%0.39%	66.8%6.65%	63.5%2.11%	55.1%4.44%	64.6%2.85%	89.6%0.05%		63.3%2.05%	62.1%3.29%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	46.1%0.64%	27.7%0.45%	53.9%0.13%	73.3%0.03%	25.8%1.60%	49.2%0.42%	34.2%0.93%	80.0%0.07%	54.5%0.90%	55.0%0.04%	43.4%0.46%	56.1%0.30%	85.7%<0.01%	36.7%2.05%		51.0%0.34%
Washington Redskins	47.6%1.23%	29.5%2.32%	52.0%0.79%	75.0%0.05%	25.4%2.70%	51.5%0.91%	38.7%1.76%	81.3%0.09%	57.7%1.60%	54.8%0.33%	42.2%0.60%	53.4%0.41%	100.0%0.01%	37.9%3.29%	49.0%0.34%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		53.8%0.19%	45.7%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	38.7%0.58%	48.6%0.25%	46.3%0.24%	50.0%<0.01%	25.5%1.51%	53.9%0.10%	19.3%2.82%	65.2%0.02%	42.4%0.31%	34.9%0.50%	75.0%0.04%	54.3%0.08%
Buffalo Bills	46.2%0.19%		36.1%0.19%		35.2%0.58%	43.8%0.24%	47.1%0.22%	100.0%<0.01%	22.6%1.52%	40.0%0.06%	17.2%1.50%	62.5%<0.01%	35.2%0.35%	28.5%0.93%	51.0%0.05%	54.2%0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	54.3%0.09%	63.9%0.19%			43.3%0.50%	50.9%0.23%	44.6%0.24%	75.0%<0.01%	28.6%1.36%	46.0%0.10%	19.3%2.64%	63.0%0.03%	44.4%0.31%	36.3%0.48%	60.0%0.03%	48.9%0.09%
Cleveland Browns	100.0%<0.01%										0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	61.3%0.58%	64.8%0.58%	56.7%0.50%			62.1%0.60%	57.2%0.59%	100.0%<0.01%	33.9%2.14%	61.8%0.36%	24.9%7.94%	72.8%0.09%	49.1%0.47%	40.8%2.76%	70.3%0.06%	64.0%0.22%
Houston Texans	51.4%0.25%	56.2%0.24%	49.1%0.23%		37.9%0.60%		39.4%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	26.2%1.62%	53.6%0.18%	17.3%3.31%	62.1%0.03%	36.7%0.34%	32.1%1.18%	59.6%0.06%	66.7%0.04%
Indianapolis Colts	53.7%0.24%	52.9%0.22%	55.4%0.24%		42.8%0.59%	60.6%0.09%		0.0%<0.01%	30.3%1.45%	51.8%0.11%	21.4%3.27%	70.0%0.03%	43.1%0.33%	35.4%1.11%	64.8%0.05%	57.1%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		8.3%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.06%		0.0%<0.01%	8.3%0.02%
Kansas City Chiefs	74.5%1.51%	77.4%1.52%	71.4%1.36%		66.1%2.14%	73.8%1.62%	69.7%1.45%	91.7%0.02%		69.0%0.79%	39.7%19.57%	85.9%0.21%	63.4%1.24%	55.9%6.30%	83.1%0.20%	78.2%0.54%
Miami Dolphins	46.1%0.10%	60.0%0.06%	54.0%0.10%		38.2%0.36%	46.4%0.18%	48.2%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	31.0%0.79%		22.4%0.84%	100.0%<0.01%	42.7%0.21%	33.2%0.53%	68.6%0.03%	67.9%0.06%
New England Patriots	80.7%2.82%	82.8%1.50%	80.7%2.64%	100.0%<0.01%	75.1%7.94%	82.7%3.31%	78.6%3.27%	92.9%0.06%	60.3%19.57%	77.6%0.84%		90.9%0.18%	74.3%4.76%	66.0%12.96%	88.0%0.78%	84.4%1.19%
New York Jets	34.8%0.02%	37.5%<0.01%	37.0%0.03%		27.2%0.09%	37.9%0.03%	30.0%0.03%		14.1%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.18%		13.5%0.04%	23.7%0.10%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%
Oakland Raiders	57.6%0.31%	64.8%0.35%	55.6%0.31%	100.0%<0.01%	50.9%0.47%	63.3%0.34%	56.9%0.33%	100.0%<0.01%	36.6%1.24%	57.3%0.21%	25.7%4.76%	86.5%0.04%		41.3%1.53%	79.5%0.04%	76.0%0.13%
Pittsburgh Steelers	65.1%0.50%	71.5%0.93%	63.7%0.48%	100.0%<0.01%	59.2%2.76%	67.9%1.18%	64.6%1.11%	91.7%0.02%	44.1%6.30%	66.8%0.53%	34.0%12.96%	76.3%0.10%	58.7%1.53%		81.7%0.23%	74.7%0.40%
San Diego Chargers	25.0%0.04%	49.0%0.05%	40.0%0.03%		29.7%0.06%	40.4%0.06%	35.2%0.05%		16.9%0.20%	31.4%0.03%	12.0%0.78%	75.0%<0.01%	20.5%0.04%	18.3%0.23%		61.9%0.02%
Tennessee Titans	45.7%0.08%	45.8%0.06%	51.1%0.09%		36.0%0.22%	33.3%0.04%	42.9%0.02%		21.8%0.54%	32.1%0.06%	15.6%1.19%	50.0%0.02%	24.0%0.13%	25.3%0.40%	38.1%0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		33.1%2.34%	52.7%0.51%	63.6%0.01%	32.0%3.75%	55.4%0.60%	38.8%1.63%	81.8%0.01%	57.2%0.81%	55.6%0.23%	45.3%0.80%	55.1%0.43%	100.0%<0.01%	42.3%1.43%	49.1%0.22%	50.7%0.50%
Atlanta Falcons	66.9%2.34%		71.9%0.60%	91.7%0.05%	47.5%8.79%	69.9%1.42%	56.7%3.76%	89.2%0.07%	71.7%2.12%	71.3%0.25%	63.7%1.95%	73.7%0.95%	100.0%<0.01%	58.2%6.87%	64.9%0.27%	66.7%1.25%
Carolina Panthers	47.3%0.51%	28.1%0.60%		80.0%<0.01%	27.3%2.12%	51.2%0.34%	35.7%0.93%	66.7%0.02%	54.0%0.44%	53.6%0.06%	44.8%0.44%	53.8%0.25%	0.0%<0.01%	39.0%1.60%	41.0%0.04%	50.0%0.30%
Chicago Bears	36.4%0.01%	8.3%0.05%	20.0%<0.01%		10.4%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	27.8%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		22.6%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	68.0%3.75%	52.5%8.79%	72.7%2.12%	89.6%0.05%		72.2%1.91%	58.3%5.51%	86.8%0.14%	75.7%3.05%	74.9%0.89%	67.4%1.54%	73.3%0.76%	100.0%0.01%	61.7%11.31%	70.4%0.88%	70.6%1.02%
Detroit Lions	44.6%0.60%	30.1%1.42%	48.8%0.34%	33.3%<0.01%	27.8%1.91%		35.1%0.45%	68.8%0.02%	56.1%0.24%	53.5%0.14%	45.3%0.41%	51.5%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%	38.2%1.72%	48.1%0.13%	53.3%0.27%
Green Bay Packers	61.2%1.63%	43.3%3.76%	64.3%0.93%	72.2%0.02%	41.7%5.51%	64.9%0.45%		89.8%0.06%	69.3%0.69%	69.8%0.39%	59.2%1.13%	66.3%0.60%	100.0%<0.01%	52.9%4.61%	66.6%0.38%	63.6%0.76%
Los Angeles Rams	18.2%0.01%	10.8%0.07%	33.3%0.02%		13.2%0.14%	31.2%0.02%	10.2%0.06%		23.8%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%	16.7%0.02%		11.4%0.03%	12.5%<0.01%	14.3%0.02%
Minnesota Vikings	42.8%0.81%	28.3%2.12%	46.0%0.44%	100.0%<0.01%	24.3%3.05%	43.9%0.24%	30.7%0.69%	76.2%0.02%		52.1%0.22%	39.5%0.65%	50.7%0.34%	80.0%<0.01%	33.8%2.64%	41.1%0.21%	44.0%0.38%
New Orleans Saints	44.4%0.23%	28.7%0.25%	46.4%0.06%	33.3%<0.01%	25.1%0.89%	46.5%0.14%	30.2%0.39%	100.0%<0.01%	47.9%0.22%		42.6%0.19%	50.0%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	36.0%0.61%	60.0%0.02%	44.0%0.12%
New York Giants	54.7%0.80%	36.3%1.95%	55.2%0.44%	85.7%0.01%	32.6%1.54%	54.7%0.41%	40.8%1.13%	66.7%0.01%	60.5%0.65%	57.4%0.19%		60.2%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	46.1%2.39%	60.6%0.22%	57.8%0.21%
Philadelphia Eagles	44.9%0.43%	26.3%0.95%	46.2%0.25%	100.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.76%	48.5%0.20%	33.7%0.60%	83.3%0.02%	49.3%0.34%	50.0%0.09%	39.8%0.17%			35.5%1.24%	51.8%0.11%	53.3%0.09%
San Francisco 49ers	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	57.7%1.43%	41.8%6.87%	61.0%1.60%	77.4%0.05%	38.3%11.31%	61.8%1.72%	47.1%4.61%	88.6%0.03%	66.2%2.64%	64.0%0.61%	53.9%2.39%	64.5%1.24%	100.0%<0.01%		59.6%0.69%	59.1%1.55%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	50.9%0.22%	35.1%0.27%	59.0%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	29.6%0.88%	51.9%0.13%	33.4%0.38%	87.5%<0.01%	58.9%0.21%	40.0%0.02%	39.4%0.22%	48.2%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	40.4%0.69%		44.9%0.14%
Washington Redskins	49.3%0.50%	33.3%1.25%	50.0%0.30%	100.0%<0.01%	29.4%1.02%	46.7%0.27%	36.4%0.76%	85.7%0.02%	56.0%0.38%	56.0%0.12%	42.2%0.21%	46.7%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	40.9%1.55%	55.1%0.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Los Angeles Rams	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	44.6%0.09%	26.3%0.36%	53.3%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	30.1%0.50%	43.6%0.06%	31.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	54.8%0.07%	51.9%0.03%	42.7%0.08%	71.7%0.05%		36.4%0.37%	62.5%0.02%	55.2%0.06%
Buffalo Bills	34.7%0.10%	24.8%0.31%	42.2%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	22.8%0.44%	42.2%0.04%	33.3%0.18%	100.0%<0.01%	42.4%0.06%	44.0%0.03%	28.8%0.07%	60.7%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	32.3%0.29%	36.8%0.02%	46.5%0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals	48.8%0.12%	29.4%0.36%	60.4%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	34.1%0.47%	56.5%0.06%	32.0%0.23%		59.8%0.08%	65.0%0.02%	50.6%0.09%	51.4%0.03%		45.9%0.36%	59.3%0.03%	60.4%0.05%
Cleveland Browns														0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	52.9%0.35%	36.5%1.14%	60.0%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%	38.4%1.72%	57.3%0.18%	44.5%0.66%	50.0%<0.01%	61.9%0.24%	60.0%0.07%	54.2%0.30%	50.4%0.14%		52.2%1.08%	47.8%0.09%	60.4%0.14%
Houston Texans	36.3%0.12%	28.9%0.44%	44.6%0.07%		29.1%0.64%	49.1%0.06%	35.5%0.24%		59.1%0.09%	64.7%0.03%	43.3%0.10%	50.0%0.03%		39.6%0.41%	46.7%0.03%	42.3%0.05%
Indianapolis Colts	49.7%0.14%	38.4%0.45%	57.5%0.07%		34.5%0.65%	63.1%0.07%	37.2%0.25%		59.1%0.09%	40.0%0.03%	48.1%0.13%	65.3%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	44.2%0.47%	54.5%0.03%	42.9%0.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			16.7%<0.01%				50.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	66.8%1.09%	51.1%3.58%	69.0%0.61%	100.0%0.01%	50.9%5.32%	66.5%0.65%	55.5%2.27%	75.0%0.02%	76.4%0.81%	69.1%0.22%	63.8%0.93%	74.1%0.38%	100.0%<0.01%	63.7%3.63%	70.4%0.25%	67.1%0.54%
Miami Dolphins	48.6%0.07%	35.8%0.22%	35.1%0.04%		33.4%0.30%	72.5%0.04%	42.5%0.13%		50.0%0.05%	40.0%0.02%	51.0%0.05%	52.9%0.02%		42.5%0.20%	77.8%<0.01%	59.5%0.04%
New England Patriots	73.2%2.25%	59.8%7.88%	76.8%1.28%	70.6%0.02%	60.1%11.43%	75.9%1.24%	65.7%4.70%	92.3%0.03%	79.9%1.73%	78.4%0.48%	70.8%1.99%	76.5%0.82%	100.0%<0.01%	69.8%7.77%	69.7%0.57%	74.3%1.21%
New York Jets	40.0%0.01%	18.5%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%		26.8%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%	26.7%0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	51.8%0.22%	40.2%0.68%	63.2%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	36.4%1.01%	57.5%0.12%	45.4%0.39%	100.0%<0.01%	60.6%0.15%	63.4%0.04%	52.7%0.18%	59.7%0.07%		52.3%0.69%	41.5%0.07%	55.9%0.09%
Pittsburgh Steelers	63.6%0.75%	47.4%2.46%	68.4%0.40%	75.0%<0.01%	47.0%3.57%	66.1%0.39%	52.2%1.47%	100.0%<0.01%	68.8%0.53%	61.8%0.16%	60.1%0.58%	67.1%0.26%		57.9%2.38%	62.0%0.17%	65.5%0.34%
San Diego Chargers	33.3%0.02%	15.4%0.05%	14.3%<0.01%		23.0%0.09%	27.3%0.01%	32.4%0.04%		12.5%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%	40.0%<0.01%		24.1%0.05%	20.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%
Tennessee Titans	41.0%0.04%	24.6%0.11%	30.0%0.01%		18.5%0.19%	53.8%0.01%	21.4%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	34.3%0.03%	68.8%0.02%		29.6%0.14%	50.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.02%
Arizona Cardinals																	55.4%0.09%	65.3%0.10%	51.2%0.12%		47.1%0.35%	63.7%0.12%	50.3%0.14%	100.0%<0.01%	33.2%1.09%	51.4%0.07%	26.8%2.25%	60.0%0.01%	48.2%0.22%	36.4%0.75%	66.7%0.02%	59.0%0.04%
Atlanta Falcons																	73.7%0.36%	75.2%0.31%	70.6%0.36%		63.5%1.14%	71.1%0.44%	61.6%0.45%	100.0%<0.01%	48.9%3.58%	64.2%0.22%	40.2%7.88%	81.5%0.03%	59.8%0.68%	52.6%2.46%	84.6%0.05%	75.4%0.11%
Carolina Panthers																	46.7%0.06%	57.8%0.04%	39.6%0.05%		40.0%0.16%	55.4%0.07%	42.5%0.07%		31.0%0.61%	64.9%0.04%	23.2%1.28%	100.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.11%	31.6%0.40%	85.7%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%
Chicago Bears																	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%				0.0%0.01%		29.4%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	69.9%0.50%	77.2%0.44%	65.9%0.47%		61.6%1.72%	70.9%0.64%	65.5%0.65%	83.3%<0.01%	49.1%5.32%	66.6%0.30%	39.9%11.43%	73.2%0.04%	63.6%1.01%	53.0%3.57%	77.0%0.09%	81.5%0.19%
Detroit Lions																	56.4%0.06%	57.8%0.04%	43.5%0.06%		42.7%0.18%	50.9%0.06%	36.9%0.07%		33.5%0.65%	27.5%0.04%	24.1%1.24%	75.0%<0.01%	42.5%0.12%	33.9%0.39%	72.7%0.01%	46.2%0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	68.5%0.24%	66.7%0.18%	68.0%0.23%		55.5%0.66%	64.5%0.24%	62.8%0.25%		44.5%2.27%	57.5%0.13%	34.3%4.70%	73.3%0.01%	54.6%0.39%	47.8%1.47%	67.6%0.04%	78.6%0.07%
Los Angeles Rams																	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%				25.0%0.02%		7.7%0.03%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	45.2%0.07%	57.6%0.06%	40.2%0.08%		38.1%0.24%	40.9%0.09%	40.9%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%	23.6%0.81%	50.0%0.05%	20.1%1.73%	66.7%<0.01%	39.4%0.15%	31.2%0.53%	87.5%<0.01%	55.6%0.02%
New Orleans Saints																	48.1%0.03%	56.0%0.03%	35.0%0.02%		40.0%0.07%	35.3%0.03%	60.0%0.03%		30.9%0.22%	60.0%0.02%	21.6%0.48%	100.0%<0.01%	36.6%0.04%	38.2%0.16%	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																	57.3%0.08%	71.2%0.07%	49.4%0.09%		45.8%0.30%	56.7%0.10%	51.9%0.13%		36.2%0.93%	49.0%0.05%	29.2%1.99%	50.0%<0.01%	47.3%0.18%	39.9%0.58%	85.7%0.01%	65.7%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles																	28.3%0.05%	39.3%0.03%	48.6%0.03%		49.6%0.14%	50.0%0.03%	34.7%0.05%		25.9%0.38%	47.1%0.02%	23.5%0.82%	25.0%<0.01%	40.3%0.07%	32.9%0.26%	60.0%<0.01%	31.2%0.02%
San Francisco 49ers																		0.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	63.6%0.37%	67.7%0.29%	54.1%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	47.8%1.08%	60.4%0.41%	55.8%0.47%	100.0%<0.01%	36.3%3.63%	57.5%0.20%	30.2%7.77%	75.0%0.02%	47.7%0.69%	42.1%2.38%	75.9%0.05%	70.4%0.14%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	37.5%0.02%	63.2%0.02%	40.7%0.03%		52.2%0.09%	53.3%0.03%	45.5%0.03%		29.6%0.25%	22.2%<0.01%	30.3%0.57%	75.0%<0.01%	58.5%0.07%	38.0%0.17%	80.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	44.8%0.06%	53.5%0.04%	39.6%0.05%		39.6%0.14%	57.7%0.05%	57.1%0.06%		32.9%0.54%	40.5%0.04%	25.7%1.21%	33.3%<0.01%	44.1%0.09%	34.5%0.34%	81.8%0.01%	57.1%0.02%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New England Patriots	100.00%	80.52%	54.42%	33.33%	Won Super Bowl
Dallas Cowboys	100.00%	68.12%	41.53%	18.77%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	100.00%	65.09%	26.57%	14.18%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Atlanta Falcons	100.00%	64.78%	30.91%	13.49%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Pittsburgh Steelers	72.77%	27.56%	10.58%	5.51%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Green Bay Packers	65.86%	24.80%	11.00%	4.73%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Seattle Seahawks	68.75%	23.52%	9.90%	3.92%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Oakland Raiders	56.71%	14.41%	4.92%	2.27%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Giants	34.13%	11.00%	4.27%	1.67%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Detroit Lions	31.25%	7.77%	2.39%	0.78%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Miami Dolphins	27.23%	5.29%	1.76%	0.73%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Houston Texans	43.29%	7.13%	1.75%	0.63%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Texans	Miami Dolphins	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans			43.3%100.00%
Miami Dolphins				27.2%100.00%
Oakland Raiders	56.7%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers		72.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks
Detroit Lions				31.3%100.00%
Green Bay Packers			65.9%100.00%
New York Giants		34.1%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks	68.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans		20.9%11.85%		14.8%31.44%
Kansas City Chiefs	79.1%11.85%				68.3%15.38%	62.1%72.77%
Miami Dolphins				19.4%27.23%
New England Patriots	85.2%31.44%		80.6%27.23%		76.9%41.33%
Oakland Raiders		31.7%15.38%		23.1%41.33%
Pittsburgh Steelers		37.9%72.77%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons				60.6%20.59%	66.4%10.66%	65.8%68.75%
Dallas Cowboys			75.1%31.25%	63.1%45.28%	68.4%23.47%
Detroit Lions		24.9%31.25%
Green Bay Packers	39.4%20.59%	36.9%45.28%
New York Giants	33.6%10.66%	31.6%23.47%
Seattle Seahawks	34.2%68.75%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans		24.4%2.87%	53.7%0.50%	16.4%1.98%		25.6%1.78%
Kansas City Chiefs	75.6%2.87%		69.3%3.90%	33.9%52.41%	66.3%5.91%
Miami Dolphins	46.3%0.50%	30.7%3.90%			37.3%0.90%
New England Patriots	83.6%1.98%	66.1%52.41%			74.1%3.97%	68.6%22.16%
Oakland Raiders		33.7%5.91%	62.7%0.90%	25.9%3.97%		36.9%3.62%
Pittsburgh Steelers	74.4%1.78%			31.4%22.16%	63.1%3.62%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons		40.6%44.06%	71.2%4.86%	58.5%10.95%	64.0%4.92%
Dallas Cowboys	59.4%44.06%			60.3%6.08%	65.1%2.71%	65.2%15.28%
Detroit Lions	28.8%4.86%			32.5%2.03%	37.7%0.88%
Green Bay Packers	41.5%10.95%	39.7%6.08%	67.5%2.03%			46.3%5.74%
New York Giants	36.0%4.92%	34.9%2.71%	62.3%0.88%			40.2%2.50%
Seattle Seahawks		34.8%15.28%		53.7%5.74%	59.8%2.50%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	New York Giants	Seattle Seahawks	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans	35.8%0.56%	35.2%0.70%	64.7%0.03%	35.2%0.21%	38.9%0.07%	36.6%0.17%
Kansas City Chiefs	53.2%8.33%	51.6%11.10%	63.2%0.64%	52.9%2.86%	59.1%1.09%	57.4%2.56%
Miami Dolphins	39.6%0.51%	38.5%0.73%	57.9%0.04%	48.6%0.22%	39.1%0.09%	45.1%0.17%
New England Patriots	60.9%16.71%	59.4%22.67%	70.8%1.29%	61.6%6.02%	66.0%2.34%	65.3%5.39%
Oakland Raiders	46.2%1.55%	44.2%2.04%	57.5%0.11%	48.0%0.50%	43.2%0.22%	51.2%0.49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.9%3.25%	50.3%4.28%	65.0%0.29%	52.2%1.18%	56.2%0.46%	54.1%1.11%
Atlanta Falcons							64.2%0.56%	46.8%8.33%	60.4%0.51%	39.1%16.71%	53.8%1.55%	48.1%3.25%
Dallas Cowboys							64.8%0.70%	48.4%11.10%	61.5%0.73%	40.6%22.67%	55.8%2.04%	49.7%4.28%
Detroit Lions							35.3%0.03%	36.8%0.64%	42.1%0.04%	29.2%1.29%	42.5%0.11%	35.0%0.29%
Green Bay Packers							64.8%0.21%	47.1%2.86%	51.4%0.22%	38.4%6.02%	52.0%0.50%	47.8%1.18%
New York Giants							61.1%0.07%	40.9%1.09%	60.9%0.09%	34.0%2.34%	56.8%0.22%	43.8%0.46%
Seattle Seahawks							63.4%0.17%	42.6%2.56%	54.9%0.17%	34.7%5.39%	48.8%0.49%	45.9%1.11%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New England Patriots 33.33% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

39.48%

Win Prob

76.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

63.63%

Win Prob

66.07%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

40.38%

Win Prob

59.36%

Dallas Cowboys 18.77% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

41.96%

Win Prob

63.13%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

62.97%

Win Prob

59.37%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

49.10%

Win Prob

40.64%

Kansas City Chiefs 14.18% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

69.45%

Win Prob

62.12%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

66.92%

Win Prob

33.93%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

40.36%

Win Prob

51.55%

Atlanta Falcons 13.49% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

69.82%

Win Prob

65.79%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

57.92%

Win Prob

40.63%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

48.36%

Win Prob

39.06%

Pittsburgh Steelers 5.51% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Miami Dolphins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

72.77%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.88%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

65.87%

Win Prob

31.44%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

39.12%

Win Prob

50.32%

Green Bay Packers 4.73% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Giants

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.86%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

67.29%

Win Prob

36.87%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

41.37%

Win Prob

41.54%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

48.86%

Win Prob

38.39%

Seattle Seahawks 3.92% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.75%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.21%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

53.77%

Win Prob

34.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

47.74%

Win Prob

34.70%

Oakland Raiders 2.27% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.71%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

66.21%

Win Prob

23.08%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.47%

Win Prob

33.67%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

39.79%

Win Prob

44.23%

New York Giants 1.67% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.13%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

67.39%

Win Prob

31.59%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

41.48%

Win Prob

36.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

47.75%

Win Prob

34.00%

Detroit Lions 0.78% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.25%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.87%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

58.56%

Win Prob

28.84%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

48.03%

Win Prob

29.20%

Miami Dolphins 0.73% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

27.23%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

19.43%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

67.93%

Win Prob

30.72%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

38.84%

Win Prob

38.52%

Houston Texans 0.63% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Oakland Raiders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.29%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

65.21%

Win Prob

14.79%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

40.05%

Win Prob

24.41%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

39.12%

Win Prob

35.23%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2016-09-11	New England Patriots	L 21-23	1562.74	1573.05	55.54%	43.55%	-14.86	0-1
2016-09-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 40-7	1547.88	1478.66	66.33%	32.83%	+35.80	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Buffalo Bills	L 18-33	1583.68	1462.31	59.36%	39.75%	-43.49	1-2
2016-10-02	Los Angeles Rams	L 13-17	1540.19	1487.40	64.20%	34.94%	-24.28	1-3
2016-10-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 33-21	1515.91	1420.20	55.76%	43.32%	+28.46	2-3
2016-10-17	New York Jets	W 28-3	1544.37	1449.06	69.58%	29.62%	+28.12	3-3
2016-10-23	Seattle Seahawks	T 6-6	1572.49	1631.11	48.62%	50.46%	+0.09	3-3
2016-10-30	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-30	1572.58	1477.58	55.66%	43.42%	-33.32	3-4
2016-11-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-20	1539.26	1301.91	83.73%	15.74%	+5.17	4-4
2016-11-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-30	1544.43	1517.12	45.96%	53.11%	-21.35	4-5
2016-11-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 19-38	1523.08	1567.13	36.09%	63.04%	-29.85	4-6
2016-12-04	Washington Redskins	W 31-23	1493.23	1540.69	50.22%	48.85%	+26.18	5-6
2016-12-11	@ Miami Dolphins	L 23-26	1519.41	1483.69	47.17%	51.91%	-15.48	5-7
2016-12-18	New Orleans Saints	L 41-48	1503.93	1452.19	64.06%	35.08%	-32.05	5-8
2016-12-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 34-31	1471.88	1611.27	24.65%	74.63%	+24.41	6-8
2017-01-01	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 44-6	1496.29	1325.77	65.93%	33.23%	+38.88	7-8
2016-09-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-31	1489.29	1447.25	62.78%	36.35%	-31.40	0-1
2016-09-18	@ Oakland Raiders	W 35-28	1457.89	1473.43	39.94%	59.16%	+29.61	1-1
2016-09-26	@ New Orleans Saints	W 45-32	1487.50	1447.50	47.78%	51.29%	+35.03	2-1
2016-10-02	Carolina Panthers	W 48-33	1522.53	1552.50	52.73%	46.34%	+34.02	3-1
2016-10-09	@ Denver Broncos	W 23-16	1556.55	1651.28	29.69%	69.51%	+34.75	4-1
2016-10-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-26	1591.30	1620.90	38.02%	61.10%	-10.20	4-2
2016-10-23	San Diego Chargers	L 30-33	1581.10	1479.88	70.29%	28.93%	-23.00	4-3
2016-10-30	Green Bay Packers	W 33-32	1558.10	1551.89	57.86%	41.23%	+7.82	5-3
2016-11-03	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 43-28	1565.92	1434.74	60.70%	38.41%	+28.22	6-3
2016-11-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 15-24	1594.14	1555.96	47.52%	51.56%	-27.01	6-4
2016-11-27	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-19	1567.13	1523.08	63.04%	36.09%	+29.85	7-4
2016-12-04	Kansas City Chiefs	L 28-29	1596.98	1639.46	50.94%	48.14%	-9.65	7-5
2016-12-11	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 42-14	1587.33	1381.54	70.31%	28.91%	+29.04	8-5
2016-12-18	San Francisco 49ers	W 41-13	1616.37	1230.15	92.33%	7.38%	+7.37	9-5
2016-12-24	@ Carolina Panthers	W 33-16	1623.74	1549.11	52.76%	46.32%	+36.20	10-5
2017-01-01	New Orleans Saints	W 38-32	1659.94	1509.15	75.85%	23.46%	+10.90	11-5
2016-09-11	Buffalo Bills	W 13-7	1482.94	1509.10	53.28%	45.80%	+21.26	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Cleveland Browns	W 25-20	1504.20	1404.71	56.30%	42.79%	+18.15	2-0
2016-09-25	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 19-17	1522.35	1387.20	61.25%	37.87%	+10.16	3-0
2016-10-02	Oakland Raiders	L 27-28	1532.51	1469.86	65.49%	33.67%	-12.37	3-1
2016-10-09	Washington Redskins	L 10-16	1520.14	1459.89	65.18%	33.98%	-30.19	3-2
2016-10-16	@ New York Giants	L 23-27	1489.95	1452.55	47.41%	51.67%	-17.97	3-3
2016-10-23	@ New York Jets	L 16-24	1471.98	1420.94	49.37%	49.71%	-26.45	3-4
2016-11-06	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-14	1445.53	1543.23	43.04%	56.04%	+28.06	4-4
2016-11-10	Cleveland Browns	W 28-7	1473.59	1275.45	80.45%	18.95%	+16.46	5-4
2016-11-20	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-27	1490.05	1653.67	22.17%	77.16%	-13.29	5-5
2016-11-27	Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-14	1476.76	1469.26	58.05%	41.05%	+17.41	6-5
2016-12-04	Miami Dolphins	W 38-6	1494.17	1535.05	51.17%	47.90%	+51.36	7-5
2016-12-12	@ New England Patriots	L 23-30	1545.53	1688.36	24.29%	75.00%	-12.19	7-6
2016-12-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-26	1533.34	1448.53	68.29%	30.89%	+5.86	8-6
2016-12-25	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-31	1539.20	1628.31	30.37%	68.82%	-11.53	8-7
2017-01-01	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-27	1527.67	1479.86	48.90%	50.17%	-38.20	8-8
2016-09-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-13	1509.10	1482.94	45.80%	53.28%	-21.27	0-1
2016-09-15	New York Jets	L 31-37	1487.83	1501.66	55.04%	44.04%	-25.52	0-2
2016-09-25	Arizona Cardinals	W 33-18	1462.31	1583.68	39.75%	59.36%	+43.49	1-2
2016-10-02	@ New England Patriots	W 16-0	1505.80	1634.87	25.76%	73.50%	+55.53	2-2
2016-10-09	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 30-19	1561.33	1511.67	49.17%	49.91%	+31.35	3-2
2016-10-16	San Francisco 49ers	W 45-16	1592.68	1391.73	80.70%	18.70%	+19.09	4-2
2016-10-23	@ Miami Dolphins	L 25-28	1611.77	1441.36	65.92%	33.24%	-21.58	4-3
2016-10-30	New England Patriots	L 25-41	1590.19	1656.39	47.53%	51.55%	-36.03	4-4
2016-11-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 25-31	1554.16	1601.58	35.64%	63.49%	-16.57	4-5
2016-11-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 16-12	1537.59	1488.18	49.13%	49.94%	+18.92	5-5
2016-11-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-21	1556.51	1315.13	84.04%	15.44%	+7.74	6-5
2016-12-04	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-38	1564.25	1588.01	38.81%	60.30%	-27.56	6-6
2016-12-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-27	1536.69	1587.41	49.75%	49.32%	-24.94	6-7
2016-12-18	Cleveland Browns	W 33-13	1511.75	1211.30	88.06%	11.52%	+9.75	7-7
2016-12-24	Miami Dolphins	L 31-34	1521.50	1533.73	55.26%	43.82%	-18.12	7-8
2017-01-01	@ New York Jets	L 10-30	1503.38	1334.58	65.71%	33.45%	-55.55	7-9
2016-09-08	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-21	1572.94	1567.00	42.93%	56.16%	-8.14	0-1
2016-09-18	San Francisco 49ers	W 46-27	1564.80	1495.26	66.37%	32.79%	+27.13	1-1
2016-09-25	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-22	1591.93	1569.10	60.17%	38.94%	-39.43	1-2
2016-10-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 33-48	1552.50	1522.53	46.34%	52.73%	-34.02	1-3
2016-10-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-17	1518.48	1395.59	72.81%	26.44%	-23.82	1-4
2016-10-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 38-41	1494.66	1424.72	52.08%	46.99%	-17.08	1-5
2016-10-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 30-20	1477.58	1572.58	43.42%	55.66%	+33.31	2-5
2016-11-06	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 13-10	1510.89	1441.80	51.96%	47.11%	+15.47	3-5
2016-11-13	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-20	1526.36	1629.28	42.31%	56.78%	-13.90	3-6
2016-11-17	New Orleans Saints	W 23-20	1512.46	1479.73	61.52%	37.60%	+12.35	4-6
2016-11-27	@ Oakland Raiders	L 32-35	1524.81	1576.47	35.09%	64.05%	-11.53	4-7
2016-12-04	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-40	1513.28	1632.61	26.84%	72.40%	-29.26	4-8
2016-12-11	San Diego Chargers	W 28-16	1484.02	1478.72	57.74%	41.36%	+27.17	5-8
2016-12-19	@ Washington Redskins	W 26-15	1511.19	1535.96	38.67%	60.44%	+37.92	6-8
2016-12-24	Atlanta Falcons	L 16-33	1549.11	1623.74	46.32%	52.76%	-36.21	6-9
2017-01-01	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-17	1512.90	1512.63	42.13%	56.95%	-7.99	6-10
2016-09-11	@ Houston Texans	L 14-23	1459.14	1499.99	36.51%	62.62%	-20.79	0-1
2016-09-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 14-29	1438.35	1515.92	45.90%	53.18%	-33.70	0-2
2016-09-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-31	1404.65	1482.62	31.74%	67.44%	-22.54	0-3
2016-10-02	Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1382.11	1483.76	42.49%	56.60%	+18.55	1-3
2016-10-09	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-29	1400.66	1439.61	36.76%	62.36%	-17.09	1-4
2016-10-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-17	1383.57	1397.09	55.08%	44.00%	-10.42	1-5
2016-10-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-26	1373.15	1534.93	22.35%	76.98%	-16.96	1-6
2016-10-31	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-10	1356.19	1616.35	22.96%	76.36%	+45.58	2-6
2016-11-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-36	1401.77	1406.52	41.43%	57.66%	-40.07	2-7
2016-11-20	@ New York Giants	L 16-22	1361.70	1525.34	22.16%	77.16%	-10.30	2-8
2016-11-27	Tennessee Titans	L 21-27	1351.40	1434.81	45.07%	54.01%	-20.93	2-9
2016-12-04	San Francisco 49ers	W 26-6	1330.47	1279.24	64.00%	35.14%	+29.83	3-9
2016-12-11	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-20	1360.30	1577.68	17.32%	82.11%	-5.68	3-10
2016-12-18	Green Bay Packers	L 27-30	1354.62	1572.24	27.54%	71.70%	-9.06	3-11
2016-12-24	Washington Redskins	L 21-41	1345.56	1498.05	35.56%	63.58%	-30.18	3-12
2017-01-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-38	1315.38	1446.81	25.51%	73.76%	-25.61	3-13
2016-09-11	@ New York Jets	W 23-22	1549.73	1511.42	47.54%	51.54%	+9.76	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-24	1559.49	1596.46	37.03%	62.09%	-19.88	1-1
2016-09-25	Denver Broncos	L 17-29	1539.61	1594.59	49.14%	49.93%	-32.25	1-2
2016-09-29	Miami Dolphins	W 22-7	1507.36	1457.44	63.82%	35.31%	+25.96	2-2
2016-10-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 14-28	1533.32	1529.38	42.65%	56.44%	-30.27	2-3
2016-10-16	@ New England Patriots	L 17-35	1503.05	1601.57	29.24%	69.97%	-23.55	2-4
2016-10-23	Cleveland Browns	W 31-17	1479.50	1319.27	76.82%	22.50%	+15.98	3-4
2016-10-30	Washington Redskins	T 27-27	1495.48	1503.35	48.40%	50.67%	+0.10	3-4
2016-11-14	@ New York Giants	L 20-21	1495.58	1517.94	39.00%	60.11%	-7.40	3-5
2016-11-20	Buffalo Bills	L 12-16	1488.18	1537.59	49.94%	49.13%	-18.92	3-6
2016-11-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-19	1469.26	1476.76	41.05%	58.05%	-17.41	3-7
2016-12-04	Philadelphia Eagles	W 32-14	1451.85	1510.54	48.61%	50.47%	+40.55	4-7
2016-12-11	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-10	1492.40	1226.61	76.93%	22.39%	+15.32	5-7
2016-12-18	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-24	1507.72	1612.35	42.07%	57.02%	-15.96	5-8
2016-12-24	@ Houston Texans	L 10-12	1491.76	1475.76	44.35%	54.73%	-11.90	5-9
2017-01-01	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-10	1479.86	1527.67	50.17%	48.90%	+38.21	6-9
2016-09-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-29	1433.54	1487.10	34.84%	64.30%	-28.83	0-1
2016-09-18	Baltimore Ravens	L 20-25	1404.71	1504.20	42.79%	56.30%	-18.14	0-2
2016-09-25	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-30	1386.57	1441.31	34.69%	64.46%	-16.13	0-3
2016-10-02	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-31	1370.44	1439.18	32.89%	66.27%	-20.71	0-4
2016-10-09	New England Patriots	L 13-33	1349.73	1579.34	26.19%	73.07%	-22.23	0-5
2016-10-16	@ Tennessee Titans	L 26-28	1327.50	1414.21	30.66%	68.53%	-8.23	0-6
2016-10-23	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-31	1319.27	1479.50	22.50%	76.82%	-15.97	0-7
2016-10-30	New York Jets	L 28-31	1303.30	1447.40	36.67%	62.46%	-12.05	0-8
2016-11-06	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-35	1291.25	1621.03	16.67%	82.77%	-15.80	0-9
2016-11-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-28	1275.45	1473.59	18.95%	80.45%	-16.46	0-10
2016-11-20	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-24	1258.99	1498.32	25.13%	74.14%	-18.47	0-11
2016-11-27	New York Giants	L 13-27	1240.52	1535.64	19.61%	79.77%	-13.91	0-12
2016-12-11	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-23	1226.61	1492.40	22.39%	76.93%	-15.31	0-13
2016-12-18	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-33	1211.30	1511.75	11.52%	88.06%	-9.75	0-14
2016-12-24	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1201.55	1439.48	25.28%	73.99%	+24.21	1-14
2017-01-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-27	1225.76	1639.84	6.36%	93.38%	-0.70	1-15
2016-09-11	New York Giants	L 19-20	1472.70	1481.59	55.74%	43.34%	-10.55	0-1
2016-09-18	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-23	1462.15	1441.44	45.02%	54.06%	+20.47	1-1
2016-09-25	Chicago Bears	W 31-17	1482.62	1404.65	67.44%	31.74%	+22.54	2-1
2016-10-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-17	1505.16	1444.42	50.76%	48.31%	+24.22	3-1
2016-10-09	Cincinnati Bengals	W 28-14	1529.38	1533.32	56.44%	42.65%	+30.27	4-1
2016-10-16	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-16	1559.65	1576.98	39.69%	59.41%	+42.05	5-1
2016-10-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 29-23	1601.70	1598.18	57.49%	41.60%	+19.33	6-1
2016-11-06	@ Cleveland Browns	W 35-10	1621.03	1291.25	82.77%	16.67%	+15.80	7-1
2016-11-13	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-30	1636.83	1515.17	59.40%	39.71%	+16.84	8-1
2016-11-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-17	1653.67	1490.05	77.16%	22.17%	+13.30	9-1
2016-11-24	Washington Redskins	W 31-26	1666.97	1552.31	71.87%	27.37%	+11.62	10-1
2016-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-15	1678.59	1524.01	63.85%	35.29%	+9.47	11-1
2016-12-11	@ New York Giants	L 7-10	1688.06	1525.44	64.91%	34.24%	-21.26	11-2
2016-12-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-20	1666.80	1550.15	72.10%	27.14%	+12.62	12-2
2016-12-26	Detroit Lions	W 42-21	1679.42	1553.62	73.14%	26.12%	+22.72	13-2
2017-01-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-27	1702.14	1468.49	73.52%	25.75%	-17.32	13-3
2016-09-08	Carolina Panthers	W 21-20	1567.00	1572.94	56.16%	42.93%	+8.14	1-0
2016-09-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-20	1575.14	1460.64	71.85%	27.39%	+19.45	2-0
2016-09-25	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 29-17	1594.59	1539.61	49.93%	49.14%	+32.25	3-0
2016-10-02	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-7	1626.84	1420.03	70.43%	28.79%	+24.44	4-0
2016-10-09	Atlanta Falcons	L 16-23	1651.28	1556.55	69.51%	29.69%	-34.75	4-1
2016-10-13	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-21	1616.53	1444.53	66.12%	33.04%	-35.35	4-2
2016-10-24	Houston Texans	W 27-9	1581.18	1513.67	66.11%	33.05%	+26.62	5-2
2016-10-30	San Diego Chargers	W 27-19	1607.80	1502.88	70.73%	28.49%	+15.29	6-2
2016-11-06	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-30	1623.09	1520.06	56.80%	42.29%	-33.98	6-3
2016-11-13	@ New Orleans Saints	W 25-23	1589.11	1491.27	56.06%	43.02%	+11.54	7-3
2016-11-27	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-30	1600.65	1621.75	54.00%	45.08%	-17.71	7-4
2016-12-04	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-10	1582.94	1307.39	77.90%	21.44%	+12.86	8-4
2016-12-11	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-13	1595.80	1455.74	61.91%	37.21%	-20.28	8-5
2016-12-18	New England Patriots	L 3-16	1575.52	1700.55	39.24%	59.86%	-26.85	8-6
2016-12-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-33	1548.67	1647.88	29.16%	70.05%	-26.55	8-7
2017-01-01	Oakland Raiders	W 24-6	1522.12	1625.17	42.29%	56.80%	+45.60	9-7
2016-09-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 39-35	1494.88	1481.50	43.98%	55.10%	+20.86	1-0
2016-09-18	Tennessee Titans	L 15-16	1515.74	1394.89	72.58%	26.67%	-13.71	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Green Bay Packers	L 27-34	1502.03	1543.79	36.39%	62.74%	-18.27	1-2
2016-10-02	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-17	1483.76	1382.11	56.60%	42.49%	-18.56	1-3
2016-10-09	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-23	1465.20	1604.05	37.37%	61.75%	+11.68	2-3
2016-10-16	Los Angeles Rams	W 31-28	1476.88	1480.32	56.51%	42.58%	+13.99	3-3
2016-10-23	Washington Redskins	W 20-17	1490.87	1518.46	53.07%	46.00%	+15.10	4-3
2016-10-30	@ Houston Texans	L 13-20	1505.97	1487.06	44.77%	54.31%	-22.45	4-4
2016-11-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 22-16	1483.52	1570.77	30.60%	68.60%	+31.75	5-4
2016-11-20	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-19	1515.27	1324.98	79.73%	19.65%	+9.85	6-4
2016-11-24	Minnesota Vikings	W 16-13	1525.12	1538.46	55.11%	43.97%	+14.45	7-4
2016-12-04	@ New Orleans Saints	W 28-13	1539.57	1504.19	47.12%	51.96%	+38.11	8-4
2016-12-11	Chicago Bears	W 20-17	1577.68	1360.30	82.11%	17.32%	+5.68	9-4
2016-12-18	@ New York Giants	L 6-17	1583.36	1546.70	47.30%	51.77%	-29.74	9-5
2016-12-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-42	1553.62	1679.42	26.12%	73.14%	-22.71	9-6
2017-01-01	Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1530.91	1599.93	47.12%	51.95%	-23.63	9-7
2016-09-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-23	1541.70	1438.51	56.82%	42.27%	+16.04	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-17	1557.74	1555.15	42.46%	56.63%	-13.95	1-1
2016-09-25	Detroit Lions	W 34-27	1543.79	1502.03	62.74%	36.39%	+18.27	2-1
2016-10-09	New York Giants	W 23-16	1562.06	1467.48	69.49%	29.71%	+14.92	3-1
2016-10-16	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-30	1576.98	1559.65	59.41%	39.69%	-42.05	3-2
2016-10-20	Chicago Bears	W 26-10	1534.93	1373.15	76.98%	22.35%	+16.96	4-2
2016-10-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 32-33	1551.89	1558.10	41.23%	57.86%	-7.82	4-3
2016-11-06	Indianapolis Colts	L 26-31	1544.07	1443.39	70.22%	28.99%	-29.67	4-4
2016-11-13	@ Tennessee Titans	L 25-47	1514.40	1403.25	57.94%	41.16%	-51.42	4-5
2016-11-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-42	1462.98	1525.15	33.73%	65.43%	-27.16	4-6
2016-11-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-13	1435.82	1562.27	26.05%	73.21%	+51.73	5-6
2016-12-04	Houston Texans	W 21-13	1487.55	1465.69	60.04%	39.07%	+20.97	6-6
2016-12-11	Seattle Seahawks	W 38-10	1508.52	1661.87	35.45%	63.69%	+63.72	7-6
2016-12-18	@ Chicago Bears	W 30-27	1572.24	1354.62	71.70%	27.54%	+9.06	8-6
2016-12-24	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-25	1581.30	1465.44	72.01%	27.23%	+18.63	9-6
2017-01-01	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-24	1599.93	1530.91	51.95%	47.12%	+23.63	10-6
2016-09-11	Chicago Bears	W 23-14	1499.99	1459.14	62.62%	36.51%	+20.79	1-0
2016-09-18	Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-12	1520.78	1584.51	47.88%	51.19%	+25.65	2-0
2016-09-22	@ New England Patriots	L 0-27	1546.43	1600.58	34.76%	64.38%	-34.29	2-1
2016-10-02	Tennessee Titans	W 27-20	1512.14	1382.55	73.56%	25.71%	+12.91	3-1
2016-10-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-31	1525.05	1627.35	28.80%	70.42%	-23.19	3-2
2016-10-16	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-23	1501.86	1456.70	63.19%	35.94%	+11.81	4-2
2016-10-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 9-27	1513.67	1581.18	33.05%	66.11%	-26.61	4-3
2016-10-30	Detroit Lions	W 20-13	1487.06	1505.97	54.31%	44.77%	+22.46	5-3
2016-11-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-21	1509.52	1335.77	66.34%	32.82%	+10.79	6-3
2016-11-21	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-27	1520.31	1554.05	44.70%	54.38%	-22.43	6-4
2016-11-27	San Diego Chargers	L 13-21	1497.88	1475.02	60.17%	38.93%	-32.19	6-5
2016-12-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-21	1465.69	1487.55	39.07%	60.04%	-20.97	6-6
2016-12-11	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 22-17	1444.72	1501.60	34.41%	64.74%	+27.37	7-6
2016-12-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 21-20	1472.09	1279.01	79.99%	19.40%	+3.67	8-6
2016-12-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 12-10	1475.76	1491.76	54.73%	44.35%	+11.90	9-6
2017-01-01	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-24	1487.66	1434.87	49.62%	49.45%	-8.29	9-7
2016-09-11	Detroit Lions	L 35-39	1481.50	1494.88	55.10%	43.98%	-20.86	0-1
2016-09-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-34	1460.64	1575.14	27.39%	71.85%	-19.45	0-2
2016-09-25	San Diego Chargers	W 26-22	1441.19	1487.94	50.32%	48.75%	+18.47	1-2
2016-10-02	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-30	1459.66	1377.04	61.21%	37.91%	-20.05	1-3
2016-10-09	Chicago Bears	W 29-23	1439.61	1400.66	62.36%	36.76%	+17.09	2-3
2016-10-16	@ Houston Texans	L 23-26	1456.70	1501.86	35.94%	63.19%	-11.81	2-4
2016-10-23	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-26	1444.89	1422.44	45.27%	53.81%	+28.81	3-4
2016-10-30	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-30	1473.70	1593.64	39.94%	59.16%	-30.31	3-5
2016-11-06	@ Green Bay Packers	W 31-26	1443.39	1544.07	28.99%	70.22%	+29.67	4-5
2016-11-20	Tennessee Titans	W 24-17	1473.06	1454.66	59.56%	39.55%	+19.85	5-5
2016-11-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-28	1492.91	1516.79	53.60%	45.47%	-46.51	5-6
2016-12-05	@ New York Jets	W 41-10	1446.40	1413.77	46.72%	52.35%	+55.20	6-6
2016-12-11	Houston Texans	L 17-22	1501.60	1444.72	64.74%	34.41%	-27.37	6-7
2016-12-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 34-6	1474.23	1530.07	34.54%	64.60%	+64.63	7-7
2016-12-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 25-33	1538.86	1607.51	32.90%	66.26%	-17.67	7-8
2017-01-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-20	1521.19	1337.83	79.08%	20.28%	+7.69	8-8
2016-09-11	Green Bay Packers	L 23-27	1438.51	1541.70	42.27%	56.82%	-16.04	0-1
2016-09-18	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-38	1422.47	1452.67	37.94%	61.18%	-35.27	0-2
2016-09-25	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-19	1387.20	1522.35	37.87%	61.25%	-10.16	0-3
2016-10-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 30-27	1377.04	1459.66	37.91%	61.21%	+20.05	1-3
2016-10-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-16	1397.09	1383.57	44.00%	55.08%	+10.43	2-3
2016-10-23	Oakland Raiders	L 16-33	1407.52	1457.10	49.91%	49.16%	-38.99	2-4
2016-10-27	@ Tennessee Titans	L 22-36	1368.53	1393.63	38.63%	60.48%	-27.43	2-5
2016-11-06	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-19	1341.10	1623.96	12.59%	86.96%	-5.33	2-6
2016-11-13	Houston Texans	L 21-24	1335.77	1509.52	32.82%	66.34%	-10.79	2-7
2016-11-20	@ Detroit Lions	L 19-26	1324.98	1515.27	19.65%	79.73%	-9.85	2-8
2016-11-27	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-28	1315.13	1556.51	15.44%	84.04%	-7.74	2-9
2016-12-04	Denver Broncos	L 10-20	1307.39	1582.94	21.44%	77.90%	-12.85	2-10
2016-12-11	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-25	1294.54	1514.54	27.27%	71.97%	-15.53	2-11
2016-12-18	@ Houston Texans	L 20-21	1279.01	1472.09	19.40%	79.99%	-3.68	2-12
2016-12-24	Tennessee Titans	W 38-17	1275.33	1497.37	27.04%	72.21%	+62.50	3-12
2017-01-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-24	1337.83	1521.19	20.28%	79.08%	-7.69	3-13
2016-09-11	San Diego Chargers	W 33-27	1571.29	1465.90	70.79%	28.44%	+13.22	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Houston Texans	L 12-19	1584.51	1520.78	51.19%	47.88%	-25.65	1-1
2016-09-25	New York Jets	W 24-3	1558.86	1527.17	61.38%	37.74%	+32.82	2-1
2016-10-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-43	1591.68	1561.90	46.31%	52.76%	-47.28	2-2
2016-10-16	@ Oakland Raiders	W 26-10	1544.40	1494.94	49.14%	49.93%	+37.84	3-2
2016-10-23	New Orleans Saints	W 27-21	1582.24	1441.80	74.75%	24.54%	+11.40	4-2
2016-10-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 30-14	1593.64	1473.70	59.16%	39.94%	+30.32	5-2
2016-11-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 19-14	1623.96	1341.10	86.96%	12.59%	+5.32	6-2
2016-11-13	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-17	1629.28	1526.36	56.78%	42.31%	+13.90	7-2
2016-11-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-19	1643.18	1446.60	80.31%	19.09%	-21.43	7-3
2016-11-27	@ Denver Broncos	W 30-27	1621.75	1600.65	45.08%	54.00%	+17.71	8-3
2016-12-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 29-28	1639.46	1596.98	48.14%	50.94%	+9.65	9-3
2016-12-08	Oakland Raiders	W 21-13	1649.11	1615.57	61.63%	37.49%	+20.12	10-3
2016-12-18	Tennessee Titans	L 17-19	1669.23	1476.02	80.00%	19.39%	-21.35	10-4
2016-12-25	Denver Broncos	W 33-10	1647.88	1548.67	70.05%	29.16%	+26.55	11-4
2017-01-01	@ San Diego Chargers	W 37-27	1674.43	1415.28	76.25%	23.06%	+13.83	12-4
2016-09-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 0-28	1481.08	1448.38	46.73%	52.34%	-46.87	0-1
2016-09-18	Seattle Seahawks	W 9-3	1434.21	1602.03	33.57%	65.58%	+30.37	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-32	1464.58	1442.86	45.16%	53.91%	+22.82	2-1
2016-10-02	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 17-13	1487.40	1540.19	34.94%	64.20%	+24.27	3-1
2016-10-09	Buffalo Bills	L 19-30	1511.67	1561.33	49.91%	49.17%	-31.35	3-2
2016-10-16	@ Detroit Lions	L 28-31	1480.32	1476.88	42.58%	56.51%	-13.99	3-3
2016-10-23	New York Giants	L 10-17	1466.33	1470.52	48.93%	50.14%	-24.53	3-4
2016-11-06	Carolina Panthers	L 10-13	1441.80	1510.89	47.11%	51.96%	-15.47	3-5
2016-11-13	@ New York Jets	W 9-6	1426.33	1443.67	39.69%	59.41%	+19.47	4-5
2016-11-20	Miami Dolphins	L 10-14	1445.80	1509.10	47.94%	51.13%	-18.17	4-6
2016-11-27	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-49	1427.63	1467.37	36.66%	62.47%	-36.82	4-7
2016-12-04	@ New England Patriots	L 10-26	1390.81	1679.09	12.25%	87.31%	-9.27	4-8
2016-12-11	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-42	1381.54	1587.33	28.91%	70.31%	-29.03	4-9
2016-12-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-24	1352.51	1598.15	15.12%	84.36%	-13.13	4-10
2016-12-24	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-22	1339.38	1222.78	72.09%	27.15%	-13.61	4-11
2017-01-01	Arizona Cardinals	L 6-44	1325.77	1496.29	33.23%	65.93%	-38.88	4-12
2016-09-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-12	1460.73	1595.27	25.17%	74.10%	-6.75	0-1
2016-09-18	@ New England Patriots	L 24-31	1453.98	1587.91	25.23%	74.04%	-12.67	0-2
2016-09-25	Cleveland Browns	W 30-24	1441.31	1386.57	64.46%	34.69%	+16.13	1-2
2016-09-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-22	1457.44	1507.36	35.31%	63.82%	-25.96	1-3
2016-10-09	Tennessee Titans	L 17-30	1431.48	1369.65	65.38%	33.77%	-44.56	1-4
2016-10-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-15	1386.92	1628.94	24.84%	74.44%	+54.44	2-4
2016-10-23	Buffalo Bills	W 28-25	1441.36	1611.77	33.24%	65.92%	+21.58	3-4
2016-11-06	New York Jets	W 27-23	1462.94	1459.45	57.48%	41.61%	+15.78	4-4
2016-11-13	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-24	1478.72	1505.39	38.42%	60.70%	+30.38	5-4
2016-11-20	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 14-10	1509.10	1445.80	51.13%	47.94%	+18.17	6-4
2016-11-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-24	1527.27	1287.01	83.95%	15.52%	+7.78	7-4
2016-12-04	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-38	1535.05	1494.17	47.90%	51.17%	-51.36	7-5
2016-12-11	Arizona Cardinals	W 26-23	1483.69	1519.41	51.91%	47.17%	+15.48	8-5
2016-12-17	@ New York Jets	W 34-13	1499.17	1377.83	59.35%	39.75%	+34.56	9-5
2016-12-24	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-31	1533.73	1521.50	43.82%	55.26%	+18.12	10-5
2017-01-01	New England Patriots	L 14-35	1551.85	1736.08	31.51%	67.67%	-27.41	10-6
2016-09-11	@ Tennessee Titans	W 25-16	1531.93	1418.10	58.31%	40.79%	+23.22	1-0
2016-09-18	Green Bay Packers	W 17-14	1555.15	1557.74	56.63%	42.46%	+13.95	2-0
2016-09-25	@ Carolina Panthers	W 22-10	1569.10	1591.93	38.94%	60.17%	+39.42	3-0
2016-10-03	New York Giants	W 24-10	1608.52	1486.31	72.73%	26.52%	+18.83	4-0
2016-10-09	Houston Texans	W 31-13	1627.35	1525.05	70.42%	28.80%	+23.19	5-0
2016-10-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-21	1650.54	1563.99	54.46%	44.62%	-34.19	5-1
2016-10-31	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-20	1616.35	1356.19	76.36%	22.96%	-45.58	5-2
2016-11-06	Detroit Lions	L 16-22	1570.77	1483.52	68.60%	30.60%	-31.75	5-3
2016-11-13	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-26	1539.02	1503.25	47.17%	51.90%	-21.90	5-4
2016-11-20	Arizona Cardinals	W 30-24	1517.12	1544.43	53.11%	45.96%	+21.34	6-4
2016-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	L 13-16	1538.46	1525.12	43.97%	55.11%	-14.45	6-5
2016-12-01	Dallas Cowboys	L 15-17	1524.01	1678.59	35.29%	63.85%	-9.47	6-6
2016-12-11	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 25-16	1514.54	1294.54	71.97%	27.27%	+15.53	7-6
2016-12-18	Indianapolis Colts	L 6-34	1530.07	1474.23	64.60%	34.54%	-64.63	7-7
2016-12-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 25-38	1465.44	1581.30	27.23%	72.01%	-18.63	7-8
2017-01-01	Chicago Bears	W 38-10	1446.81	1315.38	73.76%	25.51%	+25.61	8-8
2016-09-11	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-21	1573.05	1562.74	43.55%	55.54%	+14.86	1-0
2016-09-18	Miami Dolphins	W 31-24	1587.91	1453.98	74.04%	25.23%	+12.67	2-0
2016-09-22	Houston Texans	W 27-0	1600.58	1546.43	64.38%	34.76%	+34.29	3-0
2016-10-02	Buffalo Bills	L 0-16	1634.87	1505.80	73.50%	25.76%	-55.53	3-1
2016-10-09	@ Cleveland Browns	W 33-13	1579.34	1349.73	73.07%	26.19%	+22.23	4-1
2016-10-16	Cincinnati Bengals	W 35-17	1601.57	1503.05	69.97%	29.24%	+23.55	5-1
2016-10-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-16	1625.12	1574.50	49.31%	49.77%	+31.27	6-1
2016-10-30	@ Buffalo Bills	W 41-25	1656.39	1590.19	51.55%	47.53%	+36.03	7-1
2016-11-13	Seattle Seahawks	L 24-31	1692.42	1618.15	66.98%	32.20%	-33.49	7-2
2016-11-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 30-17	1658.93	1296.74	85.25%	14.26%	+9.73	8-2
2016-11-27	@ New York Jets	W 22-17	1668.66	1424.20	74.70%	24.58%	+10.43	9-2
2016-12-04	Los Angeles Rams	W 26-10	1679.09	1390.81	87.31%	12.25%	+9.27	10-2
2016-12-12	Baltimore Ravens	W 30-23	1688.36	1545.53	75.00%	24.29%	+12.19	11-2
2016-12-18	@ Denver Broncos	W 16-3	1700.55	1575.52	59.86%	39.24%	+26.85	12-2
2016-12-24	New York Jets	W 41-3	1727.40	1343.26	92.24%	7.46%	+8.68	13-2
2017-01-01	@ Miami Dolphins	W 35-14	1736.08	1551.85	67.67%	31.51%	+27.41	14-2
2016-09-11	Oakland Raiders	L 34-35	1470.89	1462.42	58.18%	40.92%	-11.01	0-1
2016-09-18	@ New York Giants	L 13-16	1459.88	1492.14	37.66%	61.46%	-12.38	0-2
2016-09-26	Atlanta Falcons	L 32-45	1447.50	1487.50	51.29%	47.78%	-35.03	0-3
2016-10-02	@ San Diego Chargers	W 35-34	1412.47	1469.47	34.39%	64.75%	+12.25	1-3
2016-10-16	Carolina Panthers	W 41-38	1424.72	1494.66	46.99%	52.08%	+17.08	2-3
2016-10-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-27	1441.80	1582.24	24.54%	74.75%	-11.40	2-4
2016-10-30	Seattle Seahawks	W 25-20	1430.40	1631.02	29.52%	69.69%	+29.44	3-4
2016-11-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 41-23	1459.84	1333.34	60.06%	39.04%	+31.43	4-4
2016-11-13	Denver Broncos	L 23-25	1491.27	1589.11	43.02%	56.06%	-11.54	4-5
2016-11-17	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-23	1479.73	1512.46	37.60%	61.52%	-12.36	4-6
2016-11-27	Los Angeles Rams	W 49-21	1467.37	1427.63	62.47%	36.66%	+36.82	5-6
2016-12-04	Detroit Lions	L 13-28	1504.19	1539.57	51.96%	47.12%	-38.11	5-7
2016-12-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 11-16	1466.08	1536.27	32.71%	66.46%	-13.89	5-8
2016-12-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 48-41	1452.19	1503.93	35.08%	64.06%	+32.05	6-8
2016-12-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-24	1484.24	1537.53	49.38%	49.69%	+24.91	7-8
2017-01-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 32-38	1509.15	1659.94	23.46%	75.85%	-10.90	7-9
2016-09-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-19	1481.59	1472.70	43.34%	55.74%	+10.55	1-0
2016-09-18	New Orleans Saints	W 16-13	1492.14	1459.88	61.46%	37.66%	+12.38	2-0
2016-09-25	Washington Redskins	L 27-29	1504.52	1420.97	68.14%	31.05%	-18.21	2-1
2016-10-03	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-24	1486.31	1608.52	26.52%	72.73%	-18.83	2-2
2016-10-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-23	1467.48	1562.06	29.71%	69.49%	-14.93	2-3
2016-10-16	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-23	1452.55	1489.95	51.67%	47.41%	+17.97	3-3
2016-10-23	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 17-10	1470.52	1466.33	50.14%	48.93%	+24.54	4-3
2016-11-06	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-23	1495.06	1578.85	45.01%	54.07%	+22.88	5-3
2016-11-14	Cincinnati Bengals	W 21-20	1517.94	1495.58	60.11%	39.00%	+7.40	6-3
2016-11-20	Chicago Bears	W 22-16	1525.34	1361.70	77.16%	22.16%	+10.30	7-3
2016-11-27	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-13	1535.64	1240.52	79.77%	19.61%	+13.91	8-3
2016-12-04	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-24	1549.55	1563.30	40.19%	58.92%	-24.11	8-4
2016-12-11	Dallas Cowboys	W 10-7	1525.44	1688.06	34.24%	64.91%	+21.26	9-4
2016-12-18	Detroit Lions	W 17-6	1546.70	1583.36	51.77%	47.30%	+29.73	10-4
2016-12-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 19-24	1576.43	1442.66	61.06%	38.06%	-25.82	10-5
2017-01-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-10	1550.61	1528.23	45.26%	53.82%	+10.19	11-5
2016-09-11	Cincinnati Bengals	L 22-23	1511.42	1549.73	51.54%	47.54%	-9.76	0-1
2016-09-15	@ Buffalo Bills	W 37-31	1501.66	1487.83	44.04%	55.04%	+25.51	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-24	1527.17	1558.86	37.74%	61.38%	-32.81	1-2
2016-10-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-27	1494.36	1595.37	42.58%	56.51%	-25.54	1-3
2016-10-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-31	1468.82	1609.18	24.55%	74.74%	-19.76	1-4
2016-10-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 3-28	1449.06	1544.37	29.62%	69.58%	-28.12	1-5
2016-10-23	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-16	1420.94	1471.98	49.71%	49.37%	+26.46	2-5
2016-10-30	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-28	1447.40	1303.30	62.46%	36.67%	+12.05	3-5
2016-11-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 23-27	1459.45	1462.94	41.61%	57.48%	-15.78	3-6
2016-11-13	Los Angeles Rams	L 6-9	1443.67	1426.33	59.41%	39.69%	-19.47	3-7
2016-11-27	New England Patriots	L 17-22	1424.20	1668.66	24.58%	74.70%	-10.43	3-8
2016-12-05	Indianapolis Colts	L 10-41	1413.77	1446.40	52.35%	46.72%	-55.20	3-9
2016-12-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 23-17	1358.57	1249.41	57.66%	41.44%	+19.26	4-9
2016-12-17	Miami Dolphins	L 13-34	1377.83	1499.17	39.75%	59.35%	-34.57	4-10
2016-12-24	@ New England Patriots	L 3-41	1343.26	1727.40	7.46%	92.24%	-8.68	4-11
2017-01-01	Buffalo Bills	W 30-10	1334.58	1503.38	33.45%	65.71%	+55.55	5-11
2016-09-11	@ New Orleans Saints	W 35-34	1462.42	1470.89	40.92%	58.18%	+11.01	1-0
2016-09-18	Atlanta Falcons	L 28-35	1473.43	1457.89	59.16%	39.94%	-29.61	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Tennessee Titans	W 17-10	1443.82	1408.60	47.09%	51.98%	+26.04	2-1
2016-10-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-27	1469.86	1532.51	33.67%	65.49%	+12.38	3-1
2016-10-09	San Diego Chargers	W 34-31	1482.24	1457.23	60.47%	38.64%	+12.70	4-1
2016-10-16	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-26	1494.94	1544.40	49.93%	49.14%	-37.84	4-2
2016-10-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-16	1457.10	1407.52	49.16%	49.91%	+38.99	5-2
2016-10-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 30-24	1496.09	1458.71	47.40%	51.67%	+23.97	6-2
2016-11-06	Denver Broncos	W 30-20	1520.06	1623.09	42.29%	56.80%	+33.99	7-2
2016-11-21	Houston Texans	W 27-20	1554.05	1520.31	54.38%	44.70%	+22.42	8-2
2016-11-27	Carolina Panthers	W 35-32	1576.47	1524.81	64.05%	35.09%	+11.54	9-2
2016-12-04	Buffalo Bills	W 38-24	1588.01	1564.25	60.30%	38.81%	+27.56	10-2
2016-12-08	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-21	1615.57	1649.11	37.49%	61.63%	-20.13	10-3
2016-12-18	@ San Diego Chargers	W 19-16	1595.44	1451.54	62.43%	36.70%	+12.07	11-3
2016-12-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 33-25	1607.51	1538.86	66.26%	32.90%	+17.66	12-3
2017-01-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-24	1625.17	1522.12	56.80%	42.29%	-45.60	12-4
2016-09-11	Cleveland Browns	W 29-10	1487.10	1433.54	64.30%	34.84%	+28.82	1-0
2016-09-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 29-14	1515.92	1438.35	53.18%	45.90%	+33.70	2-0
2016-09-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-3	1549.62	1616.33	47.45%	51.62%	+54.43	3-0
2016-10-09	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-24	1604.05	1465.20	61.75%	37.37%	-11.67	3-1
2016-10-16	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-27	1592.38	1490.07	56.69%	42.40%	-28.39	3-2
2016-10-23	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-10	1563.99	1650.54	44.62%	54.46%	+34.19	4-2
2016-10-30	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 23-29	1598.18	1601.70	41.60%	57.49%	-19.33	4-3
2016-11-06	@ New York Giants	L 23-28	1578.85	1495.06	54.07%	45.01%	-22.89	4-4
2016-11-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-15	1555.96	1594.14	51.56%	47.52%	+27.02	5-4
2016-11-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 15-26	1582.98	1651.64	32.90%	66.26%	-20.71	5-5
2016-11-28	Green Bay Packers	L 13-27	1562.27	1435.82	73.21%	26.05%	-51.73	5-6
2016-12-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-32	1510.54	1451.85	50.47%	48.61%	-40.56	5-7
2016-12-11	Washington Redskins	L 22-27	1469.98	1514.51	50.64%	48.43%	-21.45	5-8
2016-12-18	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 26-27	1448.53	1533.34	30.89%	68.29%	-5.87	5-9
2016-12-22	New York Giants	W 24-19	1442.66	1576.43	38.06%	61.06%	+25.83	6-9
2017-01-01	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-13	1468.49	1702.14	25.75%	73.52%	+17.31	7-9
2016-09-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-16	1554.94	1482.96	52.38%	46.70%	+41.52	1-0
2016-09-18	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-16	1596.46	1559.49	62.09%	37.03%	+19.87	2-0
2016-09-25	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-34	1616.33	1549.62	51.62%	47.45%	-54.43	2-1
2016-10-02	Kansas City Chiefs	W 43-14	1561.90	1591.68	52.76%	46.31%	+47.28	3-1
2016-10-09	New York Jets	W 31-13	1609.18	1468.82	74.74%	24.55%	+19.76	4-1
2016-10-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 15-30	1628.94	1386.92	74.44%	24.84%	-54.44	4-2
2016-10-23	New England Patriots	L 16-27	1574.50	1625.12	49.77%	49.31%	-31.27	4-3
2016-11-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-21	1543.23	1445.53	56.04%	43.04%	-28.06	4-4
2016-11-13	Dallas Cowboys	L 30-35	1515.17	1636.83	39.71%	59.40%	-16.85	4-5
2016-11-20	@ Cleveland Browns	W 24-9	1498.32	1258.99	74.14%	25.13%	+18.47	5-5
2016-11-24	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 28-7	1516.79	1492.91	45.47%	53.60%	+46.51	6-5
2016-12-04	New York Giants	W 24-14	1563.30	1549.55	58.92%	40.19%	+24.11	7-5
2016-12-11	@ Buffalo Bills	W 27-20	1587.41	1536.69	49.32%	49.75%	+24.94	8-5
2016-12-18	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-20	1612.35	1507.72	57.02%	42.07%	+15.96	9-5
2016-12-25	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-27	1628.31	1539.20	68.82%	30.37%	+11.53	10-5
2017-01-01	Cleveland Browns	W 27-24	1639.84	1225.76	93.38%	6.36%	+0.69	11-5
2016-09-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-33	1465.90	1571.29	28.44%	70.79%	-13.23	0-1
2016-09-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 38-14	1452.67	1422.47	61.18%	37.94%	+35.27	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 22-26	1487.94	1441.19	48.75%	50.32%	-18.47	1-2
2016-10-02	New Orleans Saints	L 34-35	1469.47	1412.47	64.75%	34.39%	-12.24	1-3
2016-10-09	@ Oakland Raiders	L 31-34	1457.23	1482.24	38.64%	60.47%	-12.70	1-4
2016-10-13	Denver Broncos	W 21-13	1444.53	1616.53	33.04%	66.12%	+35.35	2-4
2016-10-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 33-30	1479.88	1581.10	28.93%	70.29%	+23.00	3-4
2016-10-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-27	1502.88	1607.80	28.49%	70.73%	-15.30	3-5
2016-11-06	Tennessee Titans	W 43-35	1487.58	1421.06	65.99%	33.17%	+17.81	4-5
2016-11-13	Miami Dolphins	L 24-31	1505.39	1478.72	60.70%	38.42%	-30.37	4-6
2016-11-27	@ Houston Texans	W 21-13	1475.02	1497.88	38.93%	60.17%	+32.19	5-6
2016-12-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-28	1507.21	1507.77	56.92%	42.17%	-28.49	5-7
2016-12-11	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-28	1478.72	1484.02	41.36%	57.74%	-27.18	5-8
2016-12-18	Oakland Raiders	L 16-19	1451.54	1595.44	36.70%	62.43%	-12.06	5-9
2016-12-24	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-20	1439.48	1201.55	73.99%	25.28%	-24.20	5-10
2017-01-01	Kansas City Chiefs	L 27-37	1415.28	1674.43	23.06%	76.25%	-13.84	5-11
2016-09-12	Los Angeles Rams	W 28-0	1448.38	1481.08	52.34%	46.73%	+46.88	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Carolina Panthers	L 27-46	1495.26	1564.80	32.79%	66.37%	-27.14	1-1
2016-09-25	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 18-37	1468.12	1571.66	28.65%	70.57%	-23.70	1-2
2016-10-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-24	1444.42	1505.16	48.31%	50.76%	-24.22	1-3
2016-10-06	Arizona Cardinals	L 21-33	1420.20	1515.91	43.32%	55.76%	-28.47	1-4
2016-10-16	@ Buffalo Bills	L 16-45	1391.73	1592.68	18.70%	80.70%	-19.09	1-5
2016-10-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-34	1372.64	1419.41	50.32%	48.75%	-39.30	1-6
2016-11-06	New Orleans Saints	L 23-41	1333.34	1459.84	39.04%	60.06%	-31.43	1-7
2016-11-13	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-23	1301.91	1539.26	15.74%	83.73%	-5.17	1-8
2016-11-20	New England Patriots	L 17-30	1296.74	1658.93	14.26%	85.25%	-9.73	1-9
2016-11-27	@ Miami Dolphins	L 24-31	1287.01	1527.27	15.52%	83.95%	-7.77	1-10
2016-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-26	1279.24	1330.47	35.14%	64.00%	-29.83	1-11
2016-12-11	New York Jets	L 17-23	1249.41	1358.57	41.44%	57.66%	-19.26	1-12
2016-12-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-41	1230.15	1616.37	7.38%	92.33%	-7.37	1-13
2016-12-24	@ Los Angeles Rams	W 22-21	1222.78	1339.38	27.15%	72.09%	+13.62	2-13
2017-01-01	Seattle Seahawks	L 23-25	1236.40	1586.86	15.10%	84.39%	-4.04	2-14
2016-09-11	Miami Dolphins	W 12-10	1595.27	1460.73	74.10%	25.17%	+6.76	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Los Angeles Rams	L 3-9	1602.03	1434.21	65.58%	33.57%	-30.37	1-1
2016-09-25	San Francisco 49ers	W 37-18	1571.66	1468.12	70.57%	28.65%	+23.71	2-1
2016-10-02	@ New York Jets	W 27-17	1595.37	1494.36	56.51%	42.58%	+25.53	3-1
2016-10-16	Atlanta Falcons	W 26-24	1620.90	1591.30	61.10%	38.02%	+10.21	4-1
2016-10-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	T 6-6	1631.11	1572.49	50.46%	48.62%	-0.09	4-1
2016-10-30	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-25	1631.02	1430.40	69.69%	29.52%	-29.44	4-2
2016-11-07	Buffalo Bills	W 31-25	1601.58	1554.16	63.49%	35.64%	+16.57	5-2
2016-11-13	@ New England Patriots	W 31-24	1618.15	1692.42	32.20%	66.98%	+33.49	6-2
2016-11-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-15	1651.64	1582.98	66.26%	32.90%	+20.72	7-2
2016-11-27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 5-14	1672.36	1468.02	70.13%	29.08%	-39.75	7-3
2016-12-04	Carolina Panthers	W 40-7	1632.61	1513.28	72.40%	26.84%	+29.26	8-3
2016-12-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-38	1661.87	1508.52	63.69%	35.45%	-63.72	8-4
2016-12-15	Los Angeles Rams	W 24-3	1598.15	1352.51	84.36%	15.12%	+13.12	9-4
2016-12-24	Arizona Cardinals	L 31-34	1611.27	1471.88	74.63%	24.65%	-24.41	9-5
2017-01-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 25-23	1586.86	1236.40	84.39%	15.10%	+4.04	10-5
2016-09-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 31-24	1447.25	1489.29	36.35%	62.78%	+31.41	1-0
2016-09-18	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 7-40	1478.66	1547.88	32.83%	66.33%	-35.80	1-1
2016-09-25	Los Angeles Rams	L 32-37	1442.86	1464.58	53.91%	45.16%	-22.83	1-2
2016-10-02	Denver Broncos	L 7-27	1420.03	1626.84	28.79%	70.43%	-24.44	1-3
2016-10-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 17-14	1395.59	1518.48	26.44%	72.81%	+23.82	2-3
2016-10-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 34-17	1419.41	1372.64	48.75%	50.32%	+39.30	3-3
2016-10-30	Oakland Raiders	L 24-30	1458.71	1496.09	51.67%	47.40%	-23.97	3-4
2016-11-03	Atlanta Falcons	L 28-43	1434.74	1565.92	38.41%	60.70%	-28.22	3-5
2016-11-13	Chicago Bears	W 36-10	1406.52	1401.77	57.66%	41.43%	+40.08	4-5
2016-11-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-17	1446.60	1643.18	19.09%	80.31%	+21.42	5-5
2016-11-27	Seattle Seahawks	W 14-5	1468.02	1672.36	29.08%	70.13%	+39.75	6-5
2016-12-04	@ San Diego Chargers	W 28-21	1507.77	1507.21	42.17%	56.92%	+28.50	7-5
2016-12-11	New Orleans Saints	W 16-11	1536.27	1466.08	66.46%	32.71%	+13.88	8-5
2016-12-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-26	1550.15	1666.80	27.14%	72.10%	-12.62	8-6
2016-12-24	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1537.53	1484.24	49.69%	49.38%	-24.90	8-7
2017-01-01	Carolina Panthers	W 17-16	1512.63	1512.90	56.95%	42.13%	+7.99	9-7
2016-09-11	Minnesota Vikings	L 16-25	1418.10	1531.93	40.79%	58.31%	-23.21	0-1
2016-09-18	@ Detroit Lions	W 16-15	1394.89	1515.74	26.67%	72.58%	+13.71	1-1
2016-09-25	Oakland Raiders	L 10-17	1408.60	1443.82	51.98%	47.09%	-26.05	1-2
2016-10-02	@ Houston Texans	L 20-27	1382.55	1512.14	25.71%	73.56%	-12.90	1-3
2016-10-09	@ Miami Dolphins	W 30-17	1369.65	1431.48	33.77%	65.38%	+44.56	2-3
2016-10-16	Cleveland Browns	W 28-26	1414.21	1327.50	68.53%	30.66%	+8.23	3-3
2016-10-23	Indianapolis Colts	L 26-34	1422.44	1444.89	53.81%	45.27%	-28.81	3-4
2016-10-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 36-22	1393.63	1368.53	60.48%	38.63%	+27.43	4-4
2016-11-06	@ San Diego Chargers	L 35-43	1421.06	1487.58	33.17%	65.99%	-17.81	4-5
2016-11-13	Green Bay Packers	W 47-25	1403.25	1514.40	41.16%	57.94%	+51.41	5-5
2016-11-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-24	1454.66	1473.06	39.55%	59.56%	-19.85	5-6
2016-11-27	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-21	1434.81	1351.40	54.01%	45.07%	+20.93	6-6
2016-12-11	Denver Broncos	W 13-10	1455.74	1595.80	37.21%	61.91%	+20.28	7-6
2016-12-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-17	1476.02	1669.23	19.39%	80.00%	+21.35	8-6
2016-12-24	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-38	1497.37	1275.33	72.21%	27.04%	-62.50	8-7
2017-01-01	Houston Texans	W 24-17	1434.87	1487.66	49.45%	49.62%	+8.29	9-7
2016-09-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-38	1482.96	1554.94	46.70%	52.38%	-41.52	0-1
2016-09-18	Dallas Cowboys	L 23-27	1441.44	1462.15	54.06%	45.02%	-20.47	0-2
2016-09-25	@ New York Giants	W 29-27	1420.97	1504.52	31.05%	68.14%	+18.21	1-2
2016-10-02	Cleveland Browns	W 31-20	1439.18	1370.44	66.27%	32.89%	+20.71	2-2
2016-10-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 16-10	1459.89	1520.14	33.98%	65.18%	+30.18	3-2
2016-10-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-20	1490.07	1592.38	42.40%	56.69%	+28.39	4-2
2016-10-23	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-20	1518.46	1490.87	46.00%	53.07%	-15.11	4-3
2016-10-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	T 27-27	1503.35	1495.48	50.67%	48.40%	-0.10	4-3
2016-11-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 26-20	1503.25	1539.02	51.90%	47.17%	+21.90	5-3
2016-11-20	Green Bay Packers	W 42-24	1525.15	1462.98	65.43%	33.73%	+27.16	6-3
2016-11-24	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 26-31	1552.31	1666.97	27.37%	71.87%	-11.62	6-4
2016-12-04	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 23-31	1540.69	1493.23	48.85%	50.22%	-26.18	6-5
2016-12-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-22	1514.51	1469.98	48.43%	50.64%	+21.45	7-5
2016-12-19	Carolina Panthers	L 15-26	1535.96	1511.19	60.44%	38.67%	-37.91	7-6
2016-12-24	@ Chicago Bears	W 41-21	1498.05	1345.56	63.58%	35.56%	+30.18	8-6
2017-01-01	New York Giants	L 10-19	1528.23	1550.61	53.82%	45.26%	-10.19	8-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2017-01-14	Seattle Seahawks	W 36-20	1670.84	1617.25	64.77%	35.23%	+26.45	1-0
2017-01-22	Green Bay Packers	W 44-21	1697.29	1675.50	60.49%	39.51%	+35.57	2-0
2017-02-05	New England Patriots	L 28-34	1732.86	1799.98	40.46%	59.54%	-18.61	2-1
2017-01-15	Green Bay Packers	L 31-34	1684.82	1655.50	61.52%	38.48%	-20.00	0-1
2017-01-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-26	1507.28	1590.90	31.39%	68.61%	-26.35	0-1
2017-01-08	New York Giants	W 38-13	1623.56	1560.80	65.97%	34.03%	+31.94	1-0
2017-01-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-31	1655.50	1684.82	38.48%	61.52%	+20.00	2-0
2017-01-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-44	1675.50	1697.29	39.51%	60.49%	-35.56	2-1
2017-01-07	Oakland Raiders	W 27-14	1479.37	1579.57	43.14%	56.86%	+38.48	1-0
2017-01-14	@ New England Patriots	L 16-34	1517.85	1763.49	15.26%	84.74%	-12.15	1-1
2017-01-15	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-18	1688.26	1662.44	61.05%	38.95%	-16.20	0-1
2017-01-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-30	1524.44	1640.53	27.51%	72.49%	-21.91	0-1
2017-01-14	Houston Texans	W 34-16	1763.49	1517.85	84.74%	15.26%	+12.15	1-0
2017-01-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 36-17	1775.64	1678.64	70.24%	29.76%	+24.34	2-0
2017-02-05	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-28	1799.98	1732.86	59.54%	40.46%	+18.61	3-0
2017-01-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-38	1560.80	1623.56	34.03%	65.97%	-31.94	0-1
2017-01-07	@ Houston Texans	L 14-27	1579.57	1479.37	56.86%	43.14%	-38.48	0-1
2017-01-08	Miami Dolphins	W 30-12	1640.53	1524.44	72.49%	27.51%	+21.91	1-0
2017-01-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 18-16	1662.44	1688.26	38.95%	61.05%	+16.20	2-0
2017-01-22	@ New England Patriots	L 17-36	1678.64	1775.64	29.76%	70.24%	-24.34	2-1
2017-01-07	Detroit Lions	W 26-6	1590.90	1507.28	68.61%	31.39%	+26.35	1-0
2017-01-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-36	1617.25	1670.84	35.23%	64.77%	-26.45	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2016-11-20	19.09%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1446.60	19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1643.18	17
2	2016-12-18	19.39%	Tennessee Titans	1476.02	19	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1669.23	17
3	2016-10-31	22.96%	@ Chicago Bears	1356.19	20	Minnesota Vikings	1616.35	10
4	2016-12-24	24.65%	Arizona Cardinals	1471.88	34	@ Seattle Seahawks	1611.27	31
5	2016-10-16	24.84%	@ Miami Dolphins	1386.92	30	Pittsburgh Steelers	1628.94	15
6	2016-12-24	25.28%	@ Cleveland Browns	1201.55	20	San Diego Chargers	1439.48	17
7	2017-01-01	25.75%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1468.49	27	Dallas Cowboys	1702.14	13
8	2016-10-02	25.76%	Buffalo Bills	1505.80	16	@ New England Patriots	1634.87	0
9	2016-11-28	26.05%	Green Bay Packers	1435.82	27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1562.27	13
10	2016-10-10	26.44%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1395.59	17	@ Carolina Panthers	1518.48	14
11	2016-09-18	26.67%	Tennessee Titans	1394.89	16	@ Detroit Lions	1515.74	15
12	2016-12-24	27.04%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1275.33	38	Tennessee Titans	1497.37	17
13	2016-12-24	27.15%	San Francisco 49ers	1222.78	22	@ Los Angeles Rams	1339.38	21
14	2016-10-23	28.93%	San Diego Chargers	1479.88	33	@ Atlanta Falcons	1581.10	30
15	2016-11-06	28.99%	Indianapolis Colts	1443.39	31	@ Green Bay Packers	1544.07	26
16	2016-11-27	29.08%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1468.02	14	Seattle Seahawks	1672.36	5
17	2016-10-30	29.52%	@ New Orleans Saints	1430.40	25	Seattle Seahawks	1631.02	20
18	2016-10-09	29.69%	Atlanta Falcons	1556.55	23	@ Denver Broncos	1651.28	16
19	2016-11-06	30.60%	Detroit Lions	1483.52	22	@ Minnesota Vikings	1570.77	16
20	2016-09-25	31.05%	Washington Redskins	1420.97	29	@ New York Giants	1504.52	27
21	2016-11-13	32.20%	Seattle Seahawks	1618.15	31	@ New England Patriots	1692.42	24
22	2016-10-13	33.04%	@ San Diego Chargers	1444.53	21	Denver Broncos	1616.53	13
23	2016-10-23	33.24%	@ Miami Dolphins	1441.36	28	Buffalo Bills	1611.77	25
24	2017-01-01	33.45%	@ New York Jets	1334.58	30	Buffalo Bills	1503.38	10
25	2016-09-18	33.57%	@ Los Angeles Rams	1434.21	9	Seattle Seahawks	1602.03	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2016-12-18	64.63	Indianapolis Colts	34	1474.23	34.54%	@ Minnesota Vikings	6	1530.07	64.60%
2	2016-12-11	63.72	@ Green Bay Packers	38	1508.52	35.45%	Seattle Seahawks	10	1661.87	63.69%
3	2016-12-24	62.50	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	38	1275.33	27.04%	Tennessee Titans	17	1497.37	72.21%
4	2017-01-01	55.55	@ New York Jets	30	1334.58	33.45%	Buffalo Bills	10	1503.38	65.71%
5	2016-10-02	55.53	Buffalo Bills	16	1505.80	25.76%	@ New England Patriots	0	1634.87	73.50%
6	2016-12-05	55.20	Indianapolis Colts	41	1446.40	46.72%	@ New York Jets	10	1413.77	52.35%
7	2016-10-16	54.44	@ Miami Dolphins	30	1386.92	24.84%	Pittsburgh Steelers	15	1628.94	74.44%
8	2016-09-25	54.43	@ Philadelphia Eagles	34	1549.62	47.45%	Pittsburgh Steelers	3	1616.33	51.62%
9	2016-11-28	51.73	Green Bay Packers	27	1435.82	26.05%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	13	1562.27	73.21%
10	2016-11-13	51.42	@ Tennessee Titans	47	1403.25	41.16%	Green Bay Packers	25	1514.40	57.94%
11	2016-12-04	51.36	@ Baltimore Ravens	38	1494.17	51.17%	Miami Dolphins	6	1535.05	47.90%
12	2016-10-02	47.28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	43	1561.90	52.76%	Kansas City Chiefs	14	1591.68	46.31%
13	2016-09-12	46.88	@ San Francisco 49ers	28	1448.38	52.34%	Los Angeles Rams	0	1481.08	46.73%
14	2016-11-24	46.51	Pittsburgh Steelers	28	1516.79	45.47%	@ Indianapolis Colts	7	1492.91	53.60%
15	2017-01-01	45.60	@ Denver Broncos	24	1522.12	42.29%	Oakland Raiders	6	1625.17	56.80%
16	2016-10-31	45.58	@ Chicago Bears	20	1356.19	22.96%	Minnesota Vikings	10	1616.35	76.36%
17	2016-10-09	44.56	Tennessee Titans	30	1369.65	33.77%	@ Miami Dolphins	17	1431.48	65.38%
18	2016-09-25	43.49	@ Buffalo Bills	33	1462.31	39.75%	Arizona Cardinals	18	1583.68	59.36%
19	2016-10-16	42.05	Dallas Cowboys	30	1559.65	39.69%	@ Green Bay Packers	16	1576.98	59.41%
20	2016-09-12	41.52	Pittsburgh Steelers	38	1554.94	52.38%	@ Washington Redskins	16	1482.96	46.70%
21	2016-12-04	40.56	@ Cincinnati Bengals	32	1451.85	48.61%	Philadelphia Eagles	14	1510.54	50.47%
22	2016-11-13	40.08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36	1406.52	57.66%	Chicago Bears	10	1401.77	41.43%
23	2016-11-27	39.75	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14	1468.02	29.08%	Seattle Seahawks	5	1672.36	70.13%
24	2016-09-25	39.43	Minnesota Vikings	22	1569.10	38.94%	@ Carolina Panthers	10	1591.93	60.17%
25	2016-10-23	39.30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	34	1419.41	48.75%	@ San Francisco 49ers	17	1372.64	50.32%