2015 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Denver Broncos

3rd Super Bowl

Last Title: 1998

Runner-Up

Carolina Panthers

2nd SB App.

Last Appearance: 2003

Biggest Overachiever

Carolina Panthers

4.27 wins above expected

15 wins · 10.73 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Dallas Cowboys

3.74 wins below expected

4 wins · 7.74 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	12	4	.750	-	465	315	+150	11.84	+0.16
2	New York Jets	10	6	.625	2	387	314	+73	8.18	+1.82
3	Buffalo Bills	8	8	.500	4	379	359	+20	8.16	-0.16
4	Miami Dolphins	6	10	.375	6	310	389	-79	7.26	-1.26

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	12	4	.750	-	419	279	+140	9.81	+2.19
2	Pittsburgh Steelers Playoffs	10	6	.625	2	423	319	+104	8.95	+1.05
3	Baltimore Ravens	5	11	.312	7	328	401	-73	7.91	-2.91
4	Cleveland Browns	3	13	.188	9	278	432	-154	5.18	-2.18

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Texans Division	9	7	.562	-	339	313	+26	8.06	+0.94
2	Indianapolis Colts	8	8	.500	1	333	408	-75	8.47	-0.47
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	5	11	.312	4	376	448	-72	6.03	-1.03
4	Tennessee Titans	3	13	.188	6	299	423	-124	5.76	-2.76

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	12	4	.750	-	355	296	+59	9.98	+2.02
2	Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	405	287	+118	9.26	+1.74
3	Oakland Raiders	7	9	.438	5	359	399	-40	5.98	+1.02
4	San Diego Chargers	4	12	.250	8	320	398	-78	7.14	-3.14

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Redskins Division	9	7	.562	-	388	379	+9	6.22	+2.78
2	Philadelphia Eagles	7	9	.438	2	377	430	-53	8.23	-1.23
3	New York Giants	6	10	.375	3	420	442	-22	7.76	-1.76
4	Dallas Cowboys	4	12	.250	5	275	374	-99	7.74	-3.74

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Minnesota Vikings Division	11	5	.688	-	365	302	+63	7.99	+3.01
2	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	368	323	+45	9.86	+0.14
3	Detroit Lions	7	9	.438	4	358	400	-42	7.30	-0.30
4	Chicago Bears	6	10	.375	5	335	397	-62	6.21	-0.21

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	15	1	.938	-	500	308	+192	10.73	+4.27
2	Atlanta Falcons	8	8	.500	7	339	345	-6	8.32	-0.32
3	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	8	408	476	-68	7.27	-0.27
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	6	10	.375	9	342	417	-75	6.56	-0.56

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Arizona Cardinals Division	13	3	.812	-	489	313	+176	9.97	+3.03
2	Seattle Seahawks Playoffs	10	6	.625	3	423	277	+146	10.24	-0.24
3	St. Louis Rams	7	9	.438	6	280	330	-50	6.99	+0.01
4	San Francisco 49ers	5	11	.312	8	238	387	-149	6.60	-1.60

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Kansas City Chiefs 30

Houston Texans 0

Jan 9

Pittsburgh Steelers 18

Cincinnati Bengals 16

Jan 9

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 27

Kansas City Chiefs 20

Jan 16

Denver Broncos 23

Pittsburgh Steelers 16

Jan 17

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 20

New England Patriots 18

Jan 24

NFC

Wild Card Round

Seattle Seahawks 10

Minnesota Vikings 9

Jan 10

Green Bay Packers 35

Washington Redskins 18

Jan 10

Divisional Round

Arizona Cardinals 26

Green Bay Packers 20

Jan 16

Carolina Panthers 31

Seattle Seahawks 24

Jan 17

Conference Championship

Carolina Panthers 49

Arizona Cardinals 15

Jan 24

Super Bowl

Denver Broncos 24

Carolina Panthers 10

Feb 7

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1685	10	10.24	-0.24	55.09%	3	7	9	10	12	13	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1664	15	10.73	+4.27	99.87%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1656	13	9.97	+3.03	97.44%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1649	12	11.84	+0.16	63.92%	4	9	11	12	13	14	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1637	11	9.26	+1.74	88.62%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1620	12	9.98	+2.02	91.58%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1614	10	8.95	+1.05	78.96%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1613	12	9.81	+2.19	92.79%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1585	10	9.86	+0.14	63.04%	1	7	9	10	11	13	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1576	11	7.99	+3.01	96.60%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1524	10	8.18	+1.82	88.73%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1522	9	8.06	+0.94	77.46%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1519	8	8.16	-0.16	57.18%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1489	7	7.30	-0.30	54.63%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1483	9	6.22	+2.78	95.63%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1478	8	8.32	-0.32	54.07%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1474	7	8.23	-1.23	35.75%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1466	8	8.47	-0.47	51.04%	1	5	7	8	10	12	15
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1462	5	7.91	-2.91	10.49%	1	5	7	8	9	11	15
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1462	7	6.99	+0.01	61.26%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1457	6	7.76	-1.76	26.37%	1	5	6	8	9	11	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1441	7	7.27	-0.27	55.68%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1439	4	7.74	-3.74	4.65%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1421	7	5.98	+1.02	79.35%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1419	6	7.26	-1.26	35.14%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1419	4	7.14	-3.14	8.33%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1413	6	6.21	-0.21	57.08%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1402	5	6.60	-1.60	29.07%	0	3	5	7	8	10	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1389	6	6.56	-0.56	49.59%	0	3	5	7	8	10	14
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1360	5	6.03	-1.03	40.02%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1354	3	5.18	-2.18	17.81%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1309	3	5.76	-2.76	11.23%	0	3	4	6	7	9	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (3.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	-	-	-
New York Jets	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.2 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-
Indianapolis Colts	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-
Tennessee Titans	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	-
Oakland Raiders	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-	-
San Diego Chargers	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
New York Giants	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	-	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.7 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	4-0 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.5 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (0.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.78%	1.17%	1.17%	0.78%	0.78%	—	4.69%
7–13	0.78%	1.17%	5.08%	2.15%	2.54%	1.17%	0.59%	13.48%
14–20	1.17%	5.08%	4.69%	9.77%	3.71%	0.98%	1.95%	27.34%
21–27	1.17%	2.15%	9.77%	5.86%	4.88%	1.17%	0.59%	25.59%
28–34	0.78%	2.54%	3.71%	4.88%	2.73%	2.54%	—	17.19%
35–41	0.78%	1.17%	0.98%	1.17%	2.54%	1.17%	0.20%	8.01%
42+	—	0.59%	1.95%	0.59%	—	0.20%	0.39%	3.71%
Total	4.69%	13.48%	27.34%	25.59%	17.19%	8.01%	3.71%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	22.81	+0.00
SD	9.82	9.82	14.21
CV	0.43	0.43	—
Max	52	52	+40
Min	0	0	-40

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.56	19.56	+11.00
SD	11.98	9.10	17.27
CV	0.39	0.47	—
Max	48	36	+40
Min	6	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	21.56	-0.38
SD	11.06	7.11	13.38
CV	0.52	0.33	—
Max	48	38	+27
Min	0	7	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.50	25.06	-4.56
SD	7.77	7.22	9.01
CV	0.38	0.29	—
Max	33	37	+6
Min	6	13	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	22.44	+1.25
SD	8.35	9.63	11.61
CV	0.35	0.43	—
Max	41	40	+27
Min	10	6	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	37.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	31.25	19.25	+12.00
SD	8.38	9.92	11.62
CV	0.27	0.52	—
Max	44	38	+38
Min	13	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.94	24.81	-3.88
SD	8.09	9.59	12.33
CV	0.39	0.39	—
Max	37	48	+24
Min	0	13	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.19	17.44	+8.75
SD	8.34	8.77	12.10
CV	0.32	0.50	—
Max	37	34	+34
Min	6	3	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	56.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.38	27.00	-9.62
SD	9.00	7.40	13.12
CV	0.52	0.27	—
Max	33	37	+14
Min	3	10	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.19	23.38	-6.19
SD	7.89	9.37	9.88
CV	0.46	0.40	—
Max	28	39	+10
Min	6	10	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.19	18.50	+3.69
SD	6.05	8.13	8.34
CV	0.27	0.44	—
Max	31	34	+19
Min	12	3	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.38	25.00	-2.62
SD	10.38	9.83	15.20
CV	0.46	0.39	—
Max	45	45	+31
Min	10	13	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.00	20.19	+2.81
SD	8.85	9.68	13.71
CV	0.38	0.48	—
Max	38	38	+21
Min	8	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	31.25%
28–34	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	12.50%	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	19.56	+1.62
SD	7.24	13.74	16.09
CV	0.34	0.70	—
Max	34	48	+28
Min	6	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.81	25.50	-4.69
SD	8.08	11.17	13.87
CV	0.39	0.44	—
Max	35	51	+13
Min	7	12	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	28.00	-4.50
SD	11.33	10.60	14.65
CV	0.48	0.38	—
Max	51	51	+35
Min	6	13	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.31	17.94	+7.38
SD	9.24	10.09	13.74
CV	0.37	0.56	—
Max	45	38	+35
Min	10	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	68.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	25.00%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	24.31	-4.94
SD	9.42	10.25	15.58
CV	0.49	0.42	—
Max	44	41	+28
Min	7	10	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	56.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	18.88	+3.94
SD	11.23	7.22	15.71
CV	0.49	0.38	—
Max	49	38	+32
Min	3	10	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.06	19.69	+9.38
SD	9.16	9.43	13.34
CV	0.32	0.48	—
Max	51	35	+34
Min	10	6	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	—	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.50	29.75	-4.25
SD	10.86	10.21	12.37
CV	0.43	0.34	—
Max	52	49	+11
Min	6	17	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	50.00%	—	12.50%	12.50%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.25	27.62	-1.38
SD	9.66	11.03	11.89
CV	0.37	0.40	—
Max	49	52	+14
Min	7	10	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.19	19.62	+4.56
SD	6.66	7.34	11.32
CV	0.28	0.37	—
Max	38	34	+22
Min	17	7	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.44	24.94	-2.50
SD	9.11	7.51	9.36
CV	0.41	0.30	—
Max	37	38	+14
Min	10	12	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.56	26.88	-3.31
SD	8.38	10.68	15.45
CV	0.36	0.40	—
Max	39	45	+22
Min	10	7	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.44	19.94	+6.50
SD	10.67	9.19	13.11
CV	0.40	0.46	—
Max	45	39	+35
Min	10	6	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	37.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	50.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	24.88	-4.88
SD	10.04	6.86	10.36
CV	0.50	0.28	—
Max	33	37	+16
Min	3	10	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	43.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	12.50%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	14.88	24.19	-9.31
SD	7.70	10.69	14.01
CV	0.52	0.44	—
Max	27	47	+17
Min	3	3	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	31.25%	—	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.44	17.31	+9.12
SD	8.66	12.14	14.58
CV	0.33	0.70	—
Max	39	39	+31
Min	13	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	12.50%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.50	20.62	-3.12
SD	9.24	8.71	14.03
CV	0.53	0.42	—
Max	34	37	+21
Min	3	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	—	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.38	26.06	-4.69
SD	10.09	9.31	14.00
CV	0.47	0.36	—
Max	45	42	+28
Min	9	6	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	26.44	-7.75
SD	12.59	8.86	14.11
CV	0.67	0.34	—
Max	42	39	+28
Min	6	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.25	23.69	+0.56
SD	10.27	8.58	14.69
CV	0.42	0.36	—
Max	47	44	+33
Min	10	10	-28

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.60	+0.4
Allowed	0.62	-0.4
Differential	0.88	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	15	10.73	+4.27
2	Arizona Cardinals	13	9.97	+3.03
3	Minnesota Vikings	11	7.99	+3.01
4	Washington Redskins	9	6.22	+2.78
5	Cincinnati Bengals	12	9.81	+2.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Cowboys	4	7.74	-3.74
2	San Diego Chargers	4	7.14	-3.14
3	Baltimore Ravens	5	7.91	-2.91
4	Tennessee Titans	3	5.76	-2.76
5	Cleveland Browns	3	5.18	-2.18

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Carolina Panthers	14	Sep 13 – Dec 20	1 in 470
2	Kansas City Chiefs	10	Oct 25 – Jan 3	1 in 145
3	Cincinnati Bengals	8	Sep 13 – Nov 5	1 in 93
4	Arizona Cardinals	9	Oct 26 – Dec 27	1 in 64
5	New York Jets	5	Nov 29 – Dec 27	1 in 36

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Cowboys	7	Sep 27 – Nov 15	1 in 183
2	Atlanta Falcons	6	Nov 1 – Dec 13	1 in 102
3	San Diego Chargers	6	Oct 12 – Nov 22	1 in 52
4	Kansas City Chiefs	5	Sep 17 – Oct 18	1 in 32
5	Tennessee Titans	6	Sep 20 – Nov 1	1 in 24

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	81.54%	13.86%	3.72%	0.88%
New York Jets	7.48%	33.18%	33.06%	26.27%
Buffalo Bills	7.71%	32.80%	32.43%	27.06%
Miami Dolphins	3.27%	20.16%	30.78%	45.79%

Team	1	2	3	4
Cincinnati Bengals	52.27%	30.05%	14.94%	2.74%
Pittsburgh Steelers	31.93%	37.66%	24.55%	5.86%
Baltimore Ravens	14.66%	27.41%	43.38%	14.55%
Cleveland Browns	1.14%	4.89%	17.13%	76.84%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	47.16%	30.92%	15.25%	6.68%
Houston Texans	37.47%	34.55%	18.88%	9.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	8.57%	18.46%	34.22%	38.75%
Tennessee Titans	6.81%	16.07%	31.66%	45.46%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	55.34%	30.95%	10.78%	2.93%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.27%	41.38%	17.71%	5.63%
San Diego Chargers	6.87%	18.67%	43.26%	31.20%
Oakland Raiders	2.53%	9.00%	28.24%	60.24%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	36.22%	28.32%	21.68%	13.79%
New York Giants	27.33%	27.74%	26.11%	18.82%
Dallas Cowboys	27.29%	27.54%	25.88%	19.29%
Washington Redskins	9.16%	16.40%	26.34%	48.10%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	61.98%	24.09%	10.42%	3.51%
Minnesota Vikings	20.86%	34.44%	27.94%	16.76%
Detroit Lions	12.19%	26.79%	33.99%	27.03%
Chicago Bears	4.97%	14.68%	27.65%	52.70%

Team	1	2	3	4
Carolina Panthers	73.55%	18.82%	5.96%	1.67%
Atlanta Falcons	15.47%	41.12%	27.54%	15.87%
New Orleans Saints	7.17%	24.11%	35.62%	33.10%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.81%	15.96%	30.88%	49.36%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	48.99%	35.73%	11.79%	3.49%
Arizona Cardinals	42.85%	38.70%	13.83%	4.61%
St. Louis Rams	4.56%	14.12%	40.69%	40.63%
San Francisco 49ers	3.60%	11.45%	33.68%	51.27%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	48.85%	20.60%	11.21%	6.55%	4.33%	2.93%	1.91%	1.29%	0.90%	0.64%	0.36%	0.21%	0.12%	0.07%	0.03%	<0.01%
Denver Broncos	13.28%	16.88%	14.85%	11.73%	9.48%	8.01%	6.71%	5.18%	4.05%	3.04%	2.41%	1.84%	1.12%	0.79%	0.43%	0.22%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.90%	15.96%	14.33%	11.68%	9.53%	8.28%	7.04%	5.65%	4.59%	3.73%	2.98%	2.28%	1.38%	0.82%	0.55%	0.28%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.51%	10.74%	11.53%	10.95%	10.26%	9.86%	8.89%	7.41%	5.99%	5.22%	4.10%	3.20%	2.27%	1.63%	0.98%	0.46%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.83%	9.26%	9.66%	9.66%	9.96%	9.39%	8.58%	7.91%	6.80%	6.18%	5.15%	4.32%	2.92%	2.11%	1.47%	0.81%
Indianapolis Colts	3.48%	6.31%	8.56%	10.13%	9.35%	8.77%	8.75%	8.56%	7.52%	6.62%	5.84%	5.05%	4.20%	3.09%	2.32%	1.46%
Houston Texans	2.14%	4.32%	6.65%	8.40%	8.28%	8.28%	8.73%	9.16%	8.33%	7.35%	6.80%	6.45%	5.41%	4.09%	3.35%	2.27%
Buffalo Bills	2.75%	3.79%	5.17%	6.64%	8.05%	8.46%	8.28%	8.17%	8.57%	8.25%	7.55%	6.85%	6.56%	5.24%	3.65%	2.03%
New York Jets	2.49%	3.55%	5.17%	6.59%	8.08%	8.70%	8.61%	8.44%	8.70%	8.31%	7.51%	6.79%	6.24%	5.14%	3.56%	2.12%
Baltimore Ravens	1.76%	3.88%	4.93%	5.74%	6.78%	7.44%	8.08%	8.62%	9.02%	9.25%	8.93%	7.72%	6.36%	5.03%	3.92%	2.56%
Miami Dolphins	0.91%	1.52%	2.44%	3.64%	4.95%	6.05%	6.56%	7.08%	8.20%	8.58%	8.96%	9.21%	10.07%	9.23%	7.37%	5.21%
San Diego Chargers	0.67%	1.82%	2.53%	3.31%	4.31%	5.27%	6.19%	7.16%	8.31%	9.35%	9.79%	9.78%	9.42%	8.75%	7.58%	5.76%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.17%	0.46%	1.03%	1.83%	2.30%	2.81%	3.85%	5.04%	5.69%	6.79%	8.37%	9.98%	10.98%	11.83%	13.86%	15.02%
Oakland Raiders	0.16%	0.46%	0.89%	1.31%	1.85%	2.33%	3.07%	3.91%	5.24%	6.43%	8.01%	9.48%	11.35%	14.07%	15.60%	15.86%
Tennessee Titans	0.08%	0.33%	0.73%	1.36%	1.76%	2.28%	3.21%	4.28%	5.00%	6.08%	7.67%	9.60%	11.07%	12.61%	14.94%	18.99%
Cleveland Browns	0.04%	0.13%	0.32%	0.50%	0.74%	1.13%	1.55%	2.13%	3.09%	4.17%	5.57%	7.25%	10.53%	15.51%	20.39%	26.94%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Carolina Panthers	27.70%	21.07%	14.69%	10.10%	7.16%	5.33%	4.08%	2.97%	2.13%	1.63%	1.08%	0.84%	0.56%	0.36%	0.21%	0.08%
Seattle Seahawks	20.90%	15.88%	13.17%	11.19%	9.50%	7.36%	5.76%	4.45%	3.43%	2.57%	1.97%	1.44%	1.03%	0.73%	0.42%	0.20%
Arizona Cardinals	16.98%	14.98%	12.44%	10.99%	9.91%	8.09%	6.53%	5.12%	4.02%	3.13%	2.42%	1.94%	1.44%	1.00%	0.66%	0.35%
Green Bay Packers	15.10%	15.52%	14.35%	11.75%	9.20%	7.71%	6.22%	5.05%	3.98%	3.20%	2.50%	2.00%	1.36%	0.99%	0.70%	0.38%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.37%	5.68%	7.70%	8.59%	8.46%	8.25%	8.16%	7.85%	7.34%	6.75%	6.40%	5.57%	4.97%	4.46%	3.70%	2.74%
Atlanta Falcons	3.41%	5.00%	6.28%	7.37%	8.63%	9.38%	9.10%	8.51%	7.71%	7.19%	6.48%	5.79%	5.05%	4.25%	3.44%	2.41%
Minnesota Vikings	2.96%	4.54%	5.85%	6.66%	7.36%	7.80%	8.40%	8.39%	7.91%	7.28%	7.30%	6.70%	5.76%	5.08%	4.49%	3.53%
New York Giants	2.01%	3.80%	5.55%	6.99%	7.04%	7.29%	7.96%	7.82%	7.53%	7.45%	7.36%	7.03%	6.46%	5.87%	5.41%	4.40%
Dallas Cowboys	2.31%	3.92%	5.40%	6.67%	7.09%	7.21%	7.59%	7.97%	7.76%	7.50%	7.21%	7.00%	6.59%	5.93%	5.41%	4.42%
Detroit Lions	1.39%	2.38%	3.54%	4.33%	5.36%	6.12%	6.94%	7.37%	7.80%	8.11%	8.35%	8.29%	8.20%	7.67%	7.40%	6.73%
New Orleans Saints	1.28%	2.08%	2.85%	3.91%	5.07%	6.16%	6.51%	7.11%	7.86%	8.35%	8.67%	8.68%	8.54%	8.24%	7.85%	6.85%
St. Louis Rams	0.86%	1.47%	2.18%	2.95%	3.90%	4.73%	5.41%	6.54%	7.92%	8.75%	9.08%	9.21%	9.73%	9.73%	9.25%	8.30%
San Francisco 49ers	0.64%	1.21%	1.67%	2.29%	3.16%	3.75%	4.36%	5.29%	6.78%	7.48%	8.14%	9.23%	10.17%	11.19%	11.98%	12.67%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.45%	0.95%	1.52%	2.17%	3.01%	4.10%	4.73%	5.71%	6.64%	7.36%	8.20%	9.04%	10.02%	11.27%	11.95%	12.89%
Washington Redskins	0.28%	0.76%	1.47%	2.27%	2.74%	3.55%	4.32%	5.03%	5.64%	6.69%	7.27%	8.59%	9.79%	11.34%	13.35%	16.93%
Chicago Bears	0.35%	0.77%	1.33%	1.76%	2.43%	3.15%	3.93%	4.82%	5.53%	6.55%	7.59%	8.65%	10.34%	11.89%	13.77%	17.13%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	31.88%	18.50%	11.51%	8.77%	6.09%	4.76%	3.60%	2.91%	2.30%	1.79%	1.52%	1.23%	1.01%	0.81%	0.71%	0.50%	0.47%	0.35%	0.34%	0.23%	0.19%	0.14%	0.10%	0.08%	0.07%	0.05%	0.04%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Carolina Panthers	13.05%	13.51%	10.88%	10.23%	7.45%	7.34%	5.29%	5.04%	3.92%	3.60%	3.00%	2.58%	2.14%	1.96%	1.61%	1.52%	1.19%	1.04%	0.90%	0.73%	0.60%	0.53%	0.46%	0.34%	0.30%	0.24%	0.20%	0.14%	0.11%	0.06%	0.04%	0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	9.29%	10.23%	8.51%	8.07%	7.20%	6.61%	5.94%	5.36%	4.93%	4.34%	3.97%	3.63%	3.04%	2.79%	2.30%	2.10%	1.86%	1.71%	1.43%	1.17%	1.04%	0.91%	0.78%	0.65%	0.55%	0.44%	0.38%	0.28%	0.21%	0.16%	0.10%	0.03%
Denver Broncos	7.37%	7.42%	8.66%	7.56%	7.69%	6.79%	6.09%	5.59%	4.97%	4.45%	4.08%	3.86%	3.36%	3.12%	2.62%	2.51%	2.05%	1.98%	1.56%	1.45%	1.27%	1.19%	0.91%	0.86%	0.61%	0.54%	0.42%	0.37%	0.23%	0.21%	0.13%	0.09%
Arizona Cardinals	7.45%	8.54%	7.85%	7.62%	6.54%	6.30%	5.91%	5.30%	5.18%	4.44%	4.20%	4.02%	3.42%	3.16%	2.66%	2.48%	2.23%	2.02%	1.67%	1.45%	1.28%	1.18%	1.06%	0.88%	0.75%	0.62%	0.53%	0.43%	0.34%	0.24%	0.16%	0.10%
Green Bay Packers	6.50%	7.70%	7.70%	7.78%	7.28%	6.88%	6.05%	5.66%	4.82%	4.68%	4.14%	3.84%	3.29%	3.05%	2.81%	2.60%	2.20%	1.94%	1.73%	1.53%	1.42%	1.16%	1.07%	0.91%	0.74%	0.65%	0.54%	0.45%	0.32%	0.28%	0.17%	0.10%
Cincinnati Bengals	6.05%	6.56%	7.96%	7.32%	7.27%	6.44%	6.29%	5.45%	5.08%	4.53%	4.28%	3.86%	3.65%	3.31%	2.94%	2.67%	2.32%	2.14%	1.85%	1.81%	1.48%	1.43%	1.13%	1.07%	0.72%	0.69%	0.46%	0.42%	0.30%	0.24%	0.19%	0.08%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.23%	4.19%	5.29%	5.48%	5.70%	5.73%	5.64%	5.36%	5.30%	4.92%	4.78%	4.68%	4.41%	4.22%	3.69%	3.58%	2.96%	3.01%	2.52%	2.60%	2.05%	1.92%	1.67%	1.55%	1.20%	1.18%	0.84%	0.81%	0.58%	0.46%	0.28%	0.19%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.85%	3.50%	4.70%	4.45%	5.04%	4.72%	5.12%	4.67%	5.22%	4.55%	4.86%	4.45%	4.30%	4.05%	3.88%	3.88%	3.24%	3.54%	2.92%	3.11%	2.34%	2.68%	1.98%	2.20%	1.49%	1.62%	1.13%	1.14%	0.81%	0.73%	0.49%	0.35%
Indianapolis Colts	1.64%	2.17%	3.10%	3.33%	4.01%	4.34%	4.68%	4.79%	4.40%	4.85%	4.32%	4.42%	4.13%	4.51%	4.25%	4.27%	3.38%	3.75%	3.34%	3.65%	2.96%	2.85%	2.53%	2.55%	2.11%	2.25%	1.71%	1.67%	1.31%	1.19%	0.93%	0.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.12%	1.96%	2.45%	3.01%	3.36%	3.98%	3.91%	4.40%	4.05%	4.50%	4.14%	4.15%	4.02%	4.13%	4.19%	4.10%	3.77%	3.63%	3.60%	3.49%	3.47%	3.19%	3.01%	2.76%	2.70%	2.47%	2.39%	2.11%	1.97%	1.67%	1.44%	0.87%
Atlanta Falcons	1.06%	2.00%	2.18%	2.89%	3.03%	3.55%	3.61%	4.00%	4.04%	4.45%	4.48%	4.80%	4.46%	4.47%	4.16%	4.32%	4.02%	3.86%	3.80%	3.50%	3.48%	3.21%	3.19%	2.76%	2.78%	2.33%	2.33%	1.92%	1.84%	1.48%	1.21%	0.79%
Houston Texans	0.99%	1.32%	2.08%	2.40%	3.16%	3.32%	3.78%	4.11%	3.89%	4.37%	4.10%	4.20%	4.04%	4.42%	4.46%	4.52%	3.79%	4.05%	3.70%	4.08%	3.46%	3.32%	3.10%	3.27%	2.83%	2.76%	2.22%	2.19%	1.91%	1.72%	1.40%	1.05%
New York Jets	1.09%	1.47%	1.92%	2.23%	2.69%	2.88%	3.32%	3.69%	3.98%	4.01%	4.10%	4.47%	4.23%	4.40%	4.02%	4.09%	4.34%	4.31%	4.04%	3.90%	3.73%	3.48%	3.50%	3.19%	3.11%	2.84%	2.60%	2.40%	2.02%	1.73%	1.21%	1.00%
Buffalo Bills	1.20%	1.57%	1.99%	2.26%	2.82%	2.76%	3.62%	3.37%	4.08%	3.84%	4.34%	3.96%	4.46%	3.98%	4.04%	3.86%	4.36%	4.10%	4.18%	3.77%	3.68%	3.57%	3.49%	3.30%	3.16%	3.06%	2.59%	2.54%	1.96%	1.84%	1.27%	0.98%
Minnesota Vikings	0.97%	1.58%	2.00%	2.46%	2.85%	3.04%	3.28%	3.35%	3.65%	3.72%	3.92%	3.86%	4.04%	4.32%	4.20%	4.26%	3.98%	4.05%	3.79%	3.83%	3.76%	3.71%	3.44%	3.33%	3.04%	2.92%	2.71%	2.55%	2.33%	2.06%	1.78%	1.22%
Baltimore Ravens	0.74%	1.19%	1.82%	2.11%	2.53%	2.50%	2.95%	3.03%	3.42%	3.47%	3.75%	3.79%	4.14%	4.09%	4.06%	4.30%	4.33%	4.53%	4.11%	4.54%	4.01%	4.38%	3.58%	3.89%	3.22%	3.29%	2.71%	2.61%	2.09%	2.04%	1.54%	1.24%
New York Giants	0.68%	1.14%	1.60%	2.04%	2.46%	2.90%	3.03%	3.53%	3.30%	3.83%	3.62%	3.67%	3.91%	3.97%	4.03%	4.08%	3.84%	3.71%	3.98%	3.91%	3.92%	3.76%	3.63%	3.49%	3.58%	3.25%	3.19%	2.82%	2.89%	2.45%	2.29%	1.52%
Dallas Cowboys	0.79%	1.22%	1.74%	1.94%	2.49%	2.72%	3.01%	3.36%	3.38%	3.80%	3.62%	3.63%	3.71%	3.83%	4.18%	4.09%	3.80%	3.88%	3.93%	4.00%	3.74%	3.82%	3.60%	3.61%	3.40%	3.37%	3.10%	3.09%	2.79%	2.58%	2.26%	1.54%
Detroit Lions	0.36%	0.75%	1.05%	1.31%	1.62%	1.84%	2.06%	2.29%	2.65%	2.82%	3.05%	3.03%	3.33%	3.49%	3.67%	3.79%	3.91%	4.10%	4.13%	4.06%	4.29%	4.26%	4.16%	4.29%	4.27%	4.18%	3.92%	3.92%	3.88%	3.49%	3.34%	2.68%
New Orleans Saints	0.34%	0.73%	0.86%	1.18%	1.29%	1.65%	1.89%	2.16%	2.45%	2.60%	2.93%	3.17%	3.26%	3.37%	3.54%	3.60%	4.13%	3.91%	4.22%	4.15%	4.53%	4.45%	4.56%	4.24%	4.44%	4.15%	4.45%	3.85%	4.15%	3.55%	3.50%	2.67%
Miami Dolphins	0.34%	0.57%	0.75%	0.94%	1.31%	1.44%	1.77%	2.08%	2.50%	2.48%	2.94%	3.17%	3.46%	3.30%	3.60%	3.44%	4.19%	3.90%	4.36%	3.91%	4.50%	4.30%	4.68%	4.45%	4.71%	4.51%	4.42%	4.42%	3.84%	3.88%	3.08%	2.75%
San Diego Chargers	0.26%	0.44%	0.84%	0.96%	1.25%	1.48%	1.71%	1.75%	2.19%	2.27%	2.62%	2.82%	3.21%	3.15%	3.52%	3.57%	4.14%	4.17%	4.27%	4.45%	4.63%	4.71%	4.58%	4.85%	4.51%	4.79%	4.24%	4.42%	4.00%	3.81%	3.38%	3.02%
St. Louis Rams	0.21%	0.49%	0.60%	0.85%	1.07%	1.20%	1.45%	1.60%	1.85%	2.08%	2.38%	2.49%	2.89%	2.83%	3.24%	3.34%	4.04%	4.04%	4.17%	4.35%	4.50%	4.67%	4.91%	4.64%	5.02%	4.73%	5.03%	4.76%	4.83%	4.25%	4.12%	3.38%
San Francisco 49ers	0.12%	0.36%	0.50%	0.64%	0.81%	0.90%	1.20%	1.22%	1.56%	1.56%	1.89%	2.00%	2.33%	2.22%	2.67%	2.77%	3.58%	3.28%	3.76%	3.79%	4.07%	4.35%	4.70%	4.74%	5.11%	5.27%	5.66%	5.68%	5.85%	5.91%	6.13%	5.37%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.12%	0.23%	0.38%	0.56%	0.66%	0.82%	0.94%	1.27%	1.42%	1.67%	1.83%	2.22%	2.32%	2.48%	2.77%	2.98%	3.40%	3.47%	3.73%	3.69%	4.18%	4.24%	4.75%	4.57%	5.27%	5.00%	5.98%	5.47%	6.19%	5.61%	6.26%	5.49%
Washington Redskins	0.06%	0.17%	0.25%	0.41%	0.56%	0.78%	0.90%	1.15%	1.22%	1.48%	1.59%	1.83%	2.01%	2.26%	2.53%	2.57%	2.77%	2.93%	3.49%	3.39%	3.82%	3.86%	4.53%	4.34%	5.08%	5.08%	6.00%	5.77%	6.69%	6.86%	8.10%	7.50%
Chicago Bears	0.09%	0.18%	0.30%	0.41%	0.54%	0.71%	0.82%	0.92%	1.10%	1.36%	1.48%	1.66%	1.85%	2.08%	2.28%	2.50%	2.81%	2.91%	3.42%	3.37%	3.81%	3.96%	4.48%	4.52%	5.33%	5.39%	6.07%	6.13%	6.81%	6.86%	8.12%	7.73%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.06%	0.12%	0.18%	0.27%	0.45%	0.54%	0.73%	0.98%	1.06%	1.20%	1.37%	1.42%	1.80%	2.07%	2.41%	2.43%	2.54%	2.82%	3.27%	3.53%	4.02%	4.04%	4.34%	5.15%	5.00%	5.62%	5.49%	6.36%	6.46%	7.61%	7.72%	8.94%
Oakland Raiders	0.05%	0.11%	0.17%	0.27%	0.36%	0.55%	0.65%	0.70%	0.92%	0.95%	1.17%	1.24%	1.59%	1.66%	1.99%	1.96%	2.64%	2.67%	3.04%	3.14%	3.74%	4.03%	4.40%	4.79%	5.20%	5.70%	6.28%	7.03%	7.28%	8.09%	8.07%	9.57%
Tennessee Titans	0.02%	0.06%	0.13%	0.17%	0.30%	0.40%	0.53%	0.68%	0.82%	0.99%	1.00%	1.21%	1.41%	1.70%	1.94%	2.21%	2.19%	2.60%	2.82%	3.26%	3.40%	3.83%	4.17%	4.92%	5.06%	5.66%	5.91%	6.60%	7.10%	8.16%	9.14%	11.58%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.13%	0.15%	0.23%	0.23%	0.34%	0.39%	0.55%	0.65%	0.76%	0.79%	1.04%	1.10%	1.55%	1.59%	1.91%	2.16%	2.63%	2.88%	3.48%	3.82%	4.62%	5.36%	6.46%	7.65%	8.88%	10.81%	12.14%	17.55%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	48.85%	20.19%	9.24%	3.27%	8.04%	4.15%	6.28%
Denver Broncos	13.28%	17.69%	15.98%	8.39%	9.61%	8.53%	26.52%
Cincinnati Bengals	10.90%	16.58%	16.08%	8.70%	9.09%	8.55%	30.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	6.51%	11.01%	11.32%	6.44%	11.92%	11.13%	41.68%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.83%	9.64%	10.20%	6.26%	10.15%	10.27%	47.64%
Indianapolis Colts	3.48%	6.78%	11.77%	25.13%	2.46%	3.85%	46.53%
Buffalo Bills	2.75%	2.46%	1.72%	0.78%	13.14%	11.09%	68.06%
New York Jets	2.49%	2.45%	1.71%	0.83%	12.53%	11.51%	68.48%
Houston Texans	2.14%	4.64%	9.27%	21.41%	2.53%	4.13%	55.87%
Baltimore Ravens	1.76%	4.05%	5.21%	3.64%	6.35%	7.83%	71.16%
Miami Dolphins	0.91%	1.03%	0.88%	0.45%	6.72%	7.25%	82.76%
San Diego Chargers	0.67%	1.94%	2.40%	1.86%	4.08%	5.47%	83.58%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.17%	0.51%	1.63%	6.26%	0.73%	1.60%	89.10%
Oakland Raiders	0.16%	0.52%	0.95%	0.89%	1.59%	2.37%	93.52%
Tennessee Titans	0.08%	0.35%	1.19%	5.19%	0.51%	1.27%	91.41%
Cleveland Browns	0.04%	0.15%	0.43%	0.52%	0.55%	1.01%	97.30%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Carolina Panthers	27.70%	22.25%	14.70%	8.89%	6.58%	5.71%	14.16%
Seattle Seahawks	20.90%	14.39%	9.30%	4.41%	18.03%	9.75%	23.23%
Arizona Cardinals	16.98%	13.41%	8.46%	4.00%	18.52%	10.66%	27.98%
Green Bay Packers	15.10%	16.34%	17.74%	12.80%	5.93%	6.37%	25.72%
Atlanta Falcons	3.41%	4.68%	4.18%	3.19%	10.90%	11.83%	61.80%
Philadelphia Eagles	3.37%	6.19%	10.07%	16.58%	3.38%	5.54%	54.86%
Minnesota Vikings	2.96%	4.74%	6.90%	6.26%	6.39%	7.74%	65.01%
Dallas Cowboys	2.31%	4.29%	7.28%	13.42%	3.04%	4.97%	64.70%
New York Giants	2.01%	4.18%	7.37%	13.76%	2.91%	5.04%	64.72%
Detroit Lions	1.39%	2.46%	4.27%	4.07%	4.47%	6.02%	77.32%
New Orleans Saints	1.28%	2.02%	2.09%	1.78%	5.59%	7.11%	80.13%
St. Louis Rams	0.86%	1.33%	1.39%	0.98%	4.70%	5.38%	85.36%
San Francisco 49ers	0.64%	1.07%	1.09%	0.80%	3.77%	4.20%	88.43%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.45%	0.98%	1.21%	1.17%	2.92%	4.45%	88.82%
Chicago Bears	0.35%	0.82%	1.75%	2.05%	1.81%	2.85%	90.37%
Washington Redskins	0.28%	0.86%	2.19%	5.82%	1.07%	2.38%	87.39%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+7.51%

Clear Edge

53.75%46.25%

Elo Value

Home Edge

20 Elo

0.051 points per Elo point

026.1450

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.48 points

Lean Home

-8+1.32+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

9.4

Wide Open

124813

Champion Preseason Odds

Denver Broncos, 5th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

11.6%

Tough Road

012.50%25%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.53 · As Expected: 1.53 to 2.1 · Elevated: 2.1 to 2.86 · High Variance: 2.86 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.26 · Close: 5.26 to 7.12 · Off Target: 7.12 to 9.29 · Well Off Target: 9.29 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3 · As Expected: 3 to 5.01 · More Than Expected: 5.01 to 8.01 · Far More Than Expected: 8.01 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.92 wins

As Expected

01.915

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.19

Pinpoint

06.1915

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

99.87%

Carolina Panthers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

4.65%

Dallas Cowboys

050

Season Outliers

Expected

5 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

04.012

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.80

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

73%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

No Contest

50%93%100%

Close Games

Expected

23%

Mostly Decisive

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.23

Hard to Predict

00.231

Matchup Imbalance

0.25

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.02

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.40

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

35%

As Expected

0%38%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

31%

As Expected

0%31%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.40

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.03

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.061

Within Noise

00.0900.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	85.35%	85.35%	54.14%	31.77%	16.32%
Carolina Panthers	74.72%	74.72%	47.89%	27.37%	15.44%
Seattle Seahawks	64.00%	64.00%	41.22%	25.51%	15.06%
Arizona Cardinals	57.62%	57.62%	34.23%	19.22%	10.59%
Denver Broncos	57.05%	57.05%	31.89%	16.56%	8.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	53.20%	53.20%	28.53%	14.47%	6.88%
Kansas City Chiefs	43.07%	43.07%	24.11%	13.01%	6.69%
Green Bay Packers	56.17%	56.17%	27.84%	12.37%	5.79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.47%	37.47%	19.96%	10.05%	4.75%
Minnesota Vikings	27.29%	22.28%	10.24%	4.38%	2.01%
Houston Texans	37.35%	25.05%	9.50%	3.61%	1.33%
New York Jets	26.58%	16.60%	6.36%	2.50%	0.97%
Buffalo Bills	26.73%	16.97%	6.44%	2.53%	0.88%
Indianapolis Colts	43.21%	28.00%	8.74%	2.69%	0.84%
Philadelphia Eagles	35.57%	24.35%	7.88%	2.28%	0.75%
Atlanta Falcons	30.10%	19.88%	6.59%	2.10%	0.73%
New York Giants	29.09%	17.62%	5.27%	1.47%	0.47%
Detroit Lions	18.83%	11.61%	3.99%	1.29%	0.46%
Baltimore Ravens	23.04%	14.46%	4.73%	1.43%	0.45%
Dallas Cowboys	28.70%	17.25%	5.03%	1.31%	0.39%
New Orleans Saints	16.57%	8.95%	2.62%	0.71%	0.22%
St. Louis Rams	12.45%	6.86%	2.10%	0.68%	0.22%
Washington Redskins	11.47%	5.98%	1.88%	0.56%	0.19%
San Diego Chargers	13.81%	7.07%	2.02%	0.52%	0.13%
Miami Dolphins	15.29%	6.63%	1.67%	0.45%	0.11%
San Francisco 49ers	9.87%	4.65%	1.19%	0.28%	0.08%
Chicago Bears	8.45%	3.88%	1.04%	0.25%	0.07%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	9.75%	4.18%	0.99%	0.22%	0.06%
Oakland Raiders	5.79%	2.52%	0.67%	0.18%	0.04%
Jacksonville Jaguars	10.23%	3.49%	0.71%	0.15%	0.03%
Tennessee Titans	8.16%	2.26%	0.36%	0.05%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	2.51%	0.79%	0.16%	0.03%	<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		44.6%1.34%	28.0%2.94%	61.2%0.08%	27.0%3.08%	40.6%2.46%	45.1%2.84%	62.5%0.61%	25.7%2.74%	59.7%0.69%	27.6%1.45%	47.6%1.24%	57.7%0.38%	28.8%1.77%	57.8%0.89%	66.8%0.50%
Buffalo Bills	55.4%1.34%		33.7%3.19%	65.7%0.14%	32.4%3.19%	46.3%4.03%	54.2%4.76%	68.6%1.04%	32.2%2.43%	62.1%0.21%	29.0%1.99%	52.5%0.34%	60.1%0.27%	34.0%2.28%	60.5%0.69%	76.2%0.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	72.0%2.94%	66.3%3.19%		84.9%0.31%	49.7%5.08%	61.2%3.85%	68.1%4.23%	80.0%1.08%	46.5%5.20%	77.4%1.98%	46.8%2.33%	64.9%3.33%	76.8%0.82%	48.9%5.33%	75.6%1.93%	84.3%0.84%
Cleveland Browns	38.8%0.08%	34.3%0.14%	15.1%0.31%		19.1%0.32%	26.8%0.22%	26.7%0.30%	48.4%0.06%	14.4%0.31%	44.3%0.08%	15.6%0.16%	25.2%0.12%	23.1%0.04%	16.5%0.19%	36.2%0.10%	54.9%0.05%
Denver Broncos	73.0%3.08%	67.6%3.19%	50.3%5.08%	80.9%0.32%		61.0%3.65%	70.0%4.51%	79.1%1.07%	49.0%6.37%	78.4%1.86%	44.8%2.26%	65.2%3.22%	76.3%0.68%	51.8%4.75%	77.0%1.59%	83.9%0.88%
Houston Texans	59.4%2.46%	53.7%4.03%	38.8%3.85%	73.2%0.22%	39.0%3.65%		56.6%3.16%	72.4%0.53%	37.2%4.28%	68.3%2.18%	34.8%2.74%	54.8%4.03%	66.3%0.61%	38.8%3.74%	67.2%1.49%	76.3%0.38%
Indianapolis Colts	54.9%2.84%	45.8%4.76%	31.9%4.23%	73.3%0.30%	30.0%4.51%	43.4%3.16%		65.0%0.62%	28.6%4.90%	59.6%2.63%	28.7%3.12%	45.5%4.64%	60.4%0.75%	32.7%4.46%	59.8%1.83%	69.2%0.47%
Jacksonville Jaguars	37.5%0.61%	31.4%1.04%	20.0%1.08%	51.6%0.06%	20.9%1.07%	27.6%0.53%	35.0%0.62%		18.8%1.18%	47.3%0.57%	15.9%0.81%	32.1%1.03%	45.1%0.16%	19.2%1.01%	45.6%0.39%	50.0%0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	74.3%2.74%	67.8%2.43%	53.5%5.20%	85.6%0.31%	51.0%6.37%	62.8%4.28%	71.4%4.90%	81.2%1.18%		81.5%1.44%	46.0%2.48%	69.1%2.44%	80.1%0.43%	53.1%4.49%	76.5%1.16%	85.1%0.96%
Miami Dolphins	40.3%0.69%	37.9%0.21%	22.6%1.98%	55.7%0.08%	21.6%1.86%	31.7%2.18%	40.4%2.63%	52.7%0.57%	18.5%1.44%		20.9%1.15%	35.3%0.17%	48.1%0.16%	21.9%1.39%	46.5%0.33%	61.3%0.46%
New England Patriots	72.4%1.45%	71.0%1.99%	53.2%2.33%	84.4%0.16%	55.2%2.26%	65.2%2.74%	71.3%3.12%	84.1%0.81%	54.0%2.48%	79.1%1.15%		70.5%2.02%	81.9%0.37%	56.4%2.31%	82.4%0.88%	85.5%0.64%
New York Jets	52.4%1.24%	47.5%0.34%	35.1%3.33%	74.8%0.12%	34.8%3.22%	45.2%4.03%	54.5%4.64%	67.9%1.03%	30.9%2.44%	64.7%0.17%	29.5%2.02%		64.7%0.27%	35.1%2.24%	59.4%0.61%	73.7%0.86%
Oakland Raiders	42.3%0.38%	39.9%0.27%	23.2%0.82%	76.9%0.04%	23.7%0.68%	33.7%0.61%	39.6%0.75%	54.9%0.16%	19.9%0.43%	51.9%0.16%	18.1%0.37%	35.3%0.27%		23.2%0.62%	46.8%0.11%	61.6%0.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	71.2%1.77%	66.0%2.28%	51.1%5.33%	83.5%0.19%	48.2%4.75%	61.2%3.74%	67.3%4.46%	80.8%1.01%	46.9%4.49%	78.1%1.39%	43.6%2.31%	64.9%2.24%	76.8%0.62%		75.5%1.49%	86.1%0.80%
San Diego Chargers	42.2%0.89%	39.5%0.69%	24.4%1.93%	63.8%0.10%	23.0%1.59%	32.8%1.49%	40.2%1.83%	54.4%0.39%	23.5%1.16%	53.5%0.33%	17.6%0.88%	40.6%0.61%	53.2%0.11%	24.5%1.49%		64.5%0.32%
Tennessee Titans	33.2%0.50%	23.8%0.84%	15.7%0.84%	45.1%0.05%	16.1%0.88%	23.7%0.38%	30.8%0.47%	50.0%0.06%	14.9%0.96%	38.7%0.46%	14.5%0.64%	26.3%0.86%	38.4%0.11%	13.9%0.80%	35.5%0.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		74.4%2.57%	47.3%4.02%	82.3%0.98%	75.5%3.79%	71.7%2.26%	57.2%5.67%	61.3%3.17%	78.3%1.41%	73.6%3.93%	71.7%4.98%	82.3%0.71%	46.2%4.78%	78.7%0.91%	82.8%0.90%	71.7%1.56%
Atlanta Falcons	25.6%2.57%		24.2%3.90%	57.3%0.66%	53.2%2.90%	45.2%1.39%	33.1%4.13%	34.6%2.08%	57.0%0.57%	50.0%2.95%	47.6%3.68%	58.8%0.46%	23.5%2.65%	51.1%0.68%	69.0%0.32%	46.1%1.15%
Carolina Panthers	52.7%4.02%	75.8%3.90%		82.2%0.86%	76.4%2.67%	74.4%1.89%	61.5%3.35%	63.6%2.70%	79.8%2.02%	78.3%2.66%	74.2%3.23%	85.4%1.07%	49.2%3.86%	78.9%1.33%	82.1%1.25%	71.9%1.08%
Chicago Bears	17.7%0.98%	42.7%0.66%	17.8%0.86%		40.6%0.55%	33.6%0.23%	26.9%1.08%	28.8%0.39%	44.1%0.38%	44.6%0.57%	42.3%0.78%	53.9%0.23%	19.9%1.04%	45.2%0.30%	49.4%0.17%	39.5%0.22%
Dallas Cowboys	24.5%3.79%	46.8%2.90%	23.6%2.67%	59.4%0.55%		46.3%1.39%	30.1%2.69%	34.3%1.91%	52.3%1.51%	47.0%1.76%	45.1%2.20%	60.6%0.89%	20.8%3.87%	49.8%1.13%	58.5%0.92%	46.4%0.52%
Detroit Lions	28.3%2.26%	54.8%1.39%	25.6%1.89%	66.4%0.23%	53.7%1.39%		34.5%2.60%	38.1%0.97%	60.4%0.72%	51.8%1.35%	50.4%1.73%	64.1%0.45%	24.0%2.28%	53.3%0.60%	63.7%0.44%	49.9%0.54%
Green Bay Packers	42.8%5.67%	66.9%4.13%	38.5%3.35%	73.1%1.08%	69.9%2.69%	65.5%2.60%		51.8%4.00%	73.5%2.38%	69.2%2.59%	64.7%3.09%	76.4%1.54%	38.1%5.45%	68.8%1.87%	78.8%1.31%	63.8%1.08%
Minnesota Vikings	38.7%3.17%	65.4%2.08%	36.4%2.70%	71.2%0.39%	65.7%1.91%	61.9%0.97%	48.2%4.00%		67.6%1.16%	65.6%1.91%	61.3%2.48%	72.3%0.76%	35.7%3.27%	67.7%0.94%	74.4%0.75%	60.3%0.80%
New Orleans Saints	21.7%1.41%	43.0%0.57%	20.2%2.02%	55.9%0.38%	47.7%1.51%	39.6%0.72%	26.5%2.38%	32.4%1.16%		43.8%1.61%	42.2%1.92%	51.5%0.30%	20.2%1.49%	47.3%0.37%	59.3%0.15%	40.2%0.58%
New York Giants	26.4%3.93%	50.0%2.95%	21.7%2.66%	55.4%0.57%	53.0%1.76%	48.2%1.35%	30.8%2.59%	34.4%1.91%	56.2%1.61%		50.0%2.33%	63.2%0.89%	23.0%3.91%	53.1%1.14%	61.9%0.90%	49.7%0.58%
Philadelphia Eagles	28.3%4.98%	52.4%3.68%	25.8%3.23%	57.7%0.78%	54.9%2.20%	49.6%1.73%	35.3%3.09%	38.7%2.48%	57.8%1.92%	50.0%2.33%		63.5%1.16%	24.9%4.66%	55.2%1.46%	64.1%1.15%	47.1%0.74%
San Francisco 49ers	17.7%0.71%	41.2%0.46%	14.6%1.07%	46.1%0.23%	39.4%0.89%	35.9%0.45%	23.6%1.54%	27.7%0.76%	48.5%0.30%	36.8%0.89%	36.5%1.16%		15.8%0.77%	35.8%0.12%	48.3%0.15%	39.7%0.34%
Seattle Seahawks	53.8%4.78%	76.5%2.65%	50.8%3.86%	80.1%1.04%	79.2%3.87%	76.0%2.28%	61.9%5.45%	64.3%3.27%	79.8%1.49%	77.0%3.91%	75.1%4.66%	84.2%0.77%		78.1%1.03%	85.8%0.86%	74.4%1.57%
St. Louis Rams	21.3%0.91%	48.9%0.68%	21.1%1.33%	54.8%0.30%	50.2%1.13%	46.7%0.60%	31.2%1.87%	32.3%0.94%	52.7%0.37%	46.9%1.14%	44.8%1.46%	64.2%0.12%	21.9%1.03%		66.5%0.17%	41.2%0.39%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17.2%0.90%	31.0%0.32%	17.9%1.25%	50.6%0.17%	41.5%0.92%	36.3%0.44%	21.2%1.31%	25.6%0.75%	40.7%0.15%	38.1%0.90%	35.9%1.15%	51.7%0.15%	14.2%0.86%	33.5%0.17%		34.2%0.32%
Washington Redskins	28.3%1.56%	53.9%1.15%	28.1%1.08%	60.5%0.22%	53.6%0.52%	50.1%0.54%	36.2%1.08%	39.7%0.80%	59.8%0.58%	50.3%0.58%	52.9%0.74%	60.3%0.34%	25.6%1.57%	58.8%0.39%	65.8%0.32%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		41.2%0.48%	30.4%1.44%	83.3%<0.01%	27.9%2.74%	42.1%0.92%	50.3%1.13%	69.5%0.10%	29.8%1.81%	54.2%0.14%	25.7%3.98%	38.7%0.48%	64.0%0.09%	28.5%0.83%	51.8%0.26%	79.1%0.07%
Buffalo Bills	58.8%0.48%		35.8%2.09%	81.8%0.02%	36.0%2.54%	46.7%0.77%	57.8%0.84%	73.0%0.09%	34.6%1.46%	57.3%0.16%	32.1%6.38%	51.2%0.39%	63.2%0.08%	34.8%1.37%	61.1%0.25%	69.4%0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	69.6%1.44%	64.2%2.09%		83.9%0.06%	49.2%10.95%	62.2%3.87%	69.7%4.59%	81.6%0.51%	47.0%7.96%	74.0%0.84%	42.9%12.06%	61.5%2.23%	76.0%0.40%	49.9%4.62%	74.2%1.23%	82.5%0.35%
Cleveland Browns	16.7%<0.01%	18.2%0.02%	16.1%0.06%		20.3%0.15%	32.6%0.04%	29.3%0.06%	33.3%<0.01%	9.5%0.10%	40.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.26%	26.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.04%	45.8%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	72.1%2.74%	64.0%2.54%	50.8%10.95%	79.7%0.15%		65.3%4.38%	70.4%4.82%	80.1%0.59%	48.7%6.36%	76.1%0.94%	45.3%12.39%	64.0%2.38%	79.6%0.27%	51.3%7.36%	75.3%0.79%	85.9%0.40%
Houston Texans	57.9%0.92%	53.3%0.77%	37.8%3.87%	67.4%0.04%	34.7%4.38%		63.3%0.57%	60.6%0.03%	34.8%2.78%	63.9%0.25%	31.7%7.68%	49.4%0.69%	62.8%0.14%	36.1%2.50%	65.4%0.41%	75.0%0.02%
Indianapolis Colts	49.7%1.13%	42.2%0.84%	30.3%4.59%	70.7%0.06%	29.6%4.82%	36.7%0.57%		68.1%0.05%	28.9%3.40%	54.7%0.33%	24.9%7.95%	43.1%0.79%	53.2%0.19%	30.7%2.75%	53.9%0.51%	72.4%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	30.5%0.10%	27.0%0.09%	18.4%0.51%	66.7%<0.01%	19.9%0.59%	39.4%0.03%	31.9%0.05%		18.2%0.37%	50.0%0.04%	17.2%1.23%	22.4%0.08%	45.0%0.02%	21.9%0.31%	35.3%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	70.2%1.81%	65.4%1.46%	53.0%7.96%	90.5%0.10%	51.3%6.36%	65.2%2.78%	71.1%3.40%	81.8%0.37%		79.4%0.63%	46.2%11.10%	66.3%1.48%	78.8%0.14%	52.8%4.83%	77.0%0.41%	82.9%0.24%
Miami Dolphins	45.8%0.14%	42.7%0.16%	26.0%0.84%	60.0%<0.01%	23.9%0.94%	36.1%0.25%	45.3%0.33%	50.0%0.04%	20.6%0.63%		18.6%2.52%	40.0%0.14%	63.2%0.02%	21.1%0.52%	44.4%0.06%	80.0%0.02%
New England Patriots	74.3%3.98%	67.9%6.38%	57.1%12.06%	81.2%0.26%	54.7%12.39%	68.3%7.68%	75.1%7.95%	82.8%1.23%	53.8%11.10%	81.4%2.52%		68.0%6.27%	80.4%0.84%	55.5%9.86%	78.9%2.06%	89.1%0.79%
New York Jets	61.3%0.48%	48.8%0.39%	38.5%2.23%	73.3%0.01%	36.0%2.38%	50.6%0.69%	56.9%0.79%	77.6%0.08%	33.7%1.48%	60.0%0.14%	32.0%6.27%		61.3%0.06%	36.2%1.32%	64.6%0.21%	78.6%0.06%
Oakland Raiders	36.0%0.09%	36.8%0.08%	24.0%0.40%	50.0%<0.01%	20.4%0.27%	37.2%0.14%	46.8%0.19%	55.0%0.02%	21.2%0.14%	36.8%0.02%	19.6%0.84%	38.7%0.06%		24.9%0.25%	55.0%0.02%	81.8%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	71.5%0.83%	65.2%1.37%	50.1%4.62%	84.2%0.04%	48.7%7.36%	63.9%2.50%	69.3%2.75%	78.1%0.31%	47.2%4.83%	78.9%0.52%	44.5%9.86%	63.8%1.32%	75.1%0.25%		74.9%0.74%	83.0%0.17%
San Diego Chargers	48.2%0.26%	38.9%0.25%	25.8%1.23%	54.2%0.02%	24.7%0.79%	34.6%0.41%	46.1%0.51%	64.7%0.05%	23.0%0.41%	55.6%0.06%	21.1%2.06%	35.4%0.21%	45.0%0.02%	25.1%0.74%		60.0%0.04%
Tennessee Titans	20.9%0.07%	30.6%0.06%	17.5%0.35%	33.3%<0.01%	14.1%0.40%	25.0%0.02%	27.6%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	17.1%0.24%	20.0%0.02%	10.9%0.79%	21.4%0.06%	18.2%0.01%	17.0%0.17%	40.0%0.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		73.0%3.04%	47.6%11.32%	78.6%0.58%	76.9%2.75%	71.7%1.86%	59.8%9.38%	62.3%3.64%	77.7%1.27%	77.1%2.73%	74.0%3.65%	79.3%0.66%	46.1%14.24%	77.6%0.94%	83.0%0.67%	74.5%0.89%
Atlanta Falcons	27.0%3.04%		24.7%4.90%	54.3%0.19%	51.3%0.72%	45.1%0.52%	35.0%3.21%	40.6%0.94%	60.1%0.22%	52.2%0.78%	52.3%1.06%	61.0%0.20%	23.4%3.49%	56.8%0.28%	51.2%0.08%	46.0%0.25%
Carolina Panthers	52.4%11.32%	75.3%4.90%		82.6%1.03%	77.4%4.47%	75.2%3.00%	61.4%13.38%	62.6%5.74%	78.1%2.02%	75.7%4.57%	74.9%6.22%	83.4%1.07%	47.1%12.75%	78.0%1.64%	82.5%0.87%	74.8%1.74%
Chicago Bears	21.4%0.58%	45.7%0.19%	17.4%1.03%		43.0%0.17%	48.6%0.04%	31.7%0.38%	27.7%0.08%	54.5%0.09%	38.5%0.17%	46.8%0.27%	54.3%0.05%	15.6%0.72%	25.0%0.05%	44.8%0.03%	50.0%0.04%
Dallas Cowboys	23.1%2.75%	48.7%0.72%	22.6%4.47%	57.0%0.17%		45.0%0.44%	31.9%2.90%	31.7%1.00%	50.1%0.38%	51.2%0.25%	43.5%0.45%	56.6%0.18%	21.5%3.08%	46.0%0.25%	60.5%0.16%	32.3%0.06%
Detroit Lions	28.3%1.86%	54.9%0.52%	24.8%3.00%	51.4%0.04%	55.0%0.44%		35.6%1.42%	39.6%0.29%	56.1%0.21%	54.8%0.47%	50.8%0.65%	62.6%0.10%	24.6%2.17%	51.3%0.19%	63.9%0.11%	55.3%0.15%
Green Bay Packers	40.2%9.38%	65.0%3.21%	38.6%13.38%	68.3%0.38%	68.1%2.90%	64.4%1.42%		52.0%2.71%	69.0%1.46%	68.0%3.10%	65.5%4.39%	74.3%0.75%	36.8%10.24%	67.4%1.11%	77.0%0.71%	64.2%1.05%
Minnesota Vikings	37.7%3.64%	59.4%0.94%	37.4%5.74%	72.3%0.08%	68.3%1.00%	60.4%0.29%	48.0%2.71%		67.0%0.45%	65.8%0.92%	62.4%1.34%	70.7%0.25%	35.6%4.08%	68.6%0.33%	72.6%0.20%	66.0%0.30%
New Orleans Saints	22.3%1.27%	39.9%0.22%	21.9%2.02%	45.5%0.09%	49.9%0.38%	43.9%0.21%	31.0%1.46%	33.0%0.45%		43.4%0.33%	45.7%0.47%	51.7%0.09%	19.7%1.68%	53.0%0.13%	60.5%0.04%	47.9%0.12%
New York Giants	22.9%2.73%	47.8%0.78%	24.3%4.57%	61.5%0.17%	48.8%0.25%	45.2%0.47%	32.0%3.10%	34.2%0.92%	56.6%0.33%		43.7%0.41%	57.3%0.14%	22.0%3.28%	49.6%0.26%	57.8%0.15%	47.2%0.05%
Philadelphia Eagles	26.0%3.65%	47.7%1.06%	25.1%6.22%	53.2%0.27%	56.5%0.45%	49.2%0.65%	34.5%4.39%	37.6%1.34%	54.3%0.47%	56.3%0.41%		61.6%0.29%	24.1%4.45%	52.8%0.34%	63.3%0.23%	54.4%0.10%
San Francisco 49ers	20.7%0.66%	39.0%0.20%	16.6%1.07%	45.7%0.05%	43.4%0.18%	37.4%0.10%	25.7%0.75%	29.3%0.25%	48.3%0.09%	42.7%0.14%	38.4%0.29%		17.3%0.75%	46.3%0.04%	39.4%0.03%	39.0%0.06%
Seattle Seahawks	53.9%14.24%	76.6%3.49%	52.9%12.75%	84.4%0.72%	78.5%3.08%	75.4%2.17%	63.2%10.24%	64.4%4.08%	80.3%1.68%	78.0%3.28%	75.9%4.45%	82.7%0.75%		78.4%1.21%	84.1%0.80%	78.2%1.06%
St. Louis Rams	22.4%0.94%	43.2%0.28%	22.0%1.64%	75.0%0.05%	54.0%0.25%	48.7%0.19%	32.6%1.11%	31.4%0.33%	47.0%0.13%	50.4%0.26%	47.2%0.34%	53.7%0.04%	21.6%1.21%		56.8%0.04%	40.7%0.05%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17.0%0.67%	48.8%0.08%	17.5%0.87%	55.2%0.03%	39.5%0.16%	36.1%0.11%	23.0%0.71%	27.4%0.20%	39.5%0.04%	42.2%0.15%	36.7%0.23%	60.6%0.03%	15.9%0.80%	43.2%0.04%		36.4%0.06%
Washington Redskins	25.5%0.89%	54.0%0.25%	25.2%1.74%	50.0%0.04%	67.7%0.06%	44.7%0.15%	35.8%1.05%	34.0%0.30%	52.1%0.12%	52.8%0.05%	45.6%0.10%	61.0%0.06%	21.8%1.06%	59.3%0.05%	63.6%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		43.4%0.15%	24.8%0.50%		28.2%0.78%	40.4%0.22%	46.6%0.19%	72.7%0.01%	29.2%0.56%	48.9%0.04%	25.7%1.72%	44.8%0.18%	17.6%0.02%	29.8%0.30%	54.5%0.04%	72.7%0.01%
Buffalo Bills	56.6%0.15%		38.0%1.04%	75.0%<0.01%	37.7%1.35%	53.7%0.29%	52.3%0.28%	62.5%0.02%	32.5%0.87%	69.0%0.03%	34.7%1.37%	52.3%0.11%	73.3%0.03%	38.2%0.80%	65.1%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	75.2%0.50%	62.0%1.04%		77.8%<0.01%	48.9%4.86%	64.3%1.43%	69.4%1.33%	81.5%0.11%	48.7%3.60%	71.8%0.29%	43.6%11.81%	61.4%1.04%	73.8%0.08%	52.0%2.14%	73.1%0.25%	80.4%0.05%
Cleveland Browns		25.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%		17.2%0.03%	38.5%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		24.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	5.0%0.06%	25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	71.8%0.78%	62.3%1.35%	51.1%4.86%	82.8%0.03%		61.6%1.65%	70.0%1.42%	79.5%0.13%	47.7%3.11%	79.1%0.33%	45.2%13.16%	62.2%1.28%	75.4%0.07%	51.6%3.43%	74.7%0.23%	89.5%0.06%
Houston Texans	59.6%0.22%	46.3%0.29%	35.7%1.43%	61.5%0.01%	38.4%1.65%		56.3%0.16%	90.0%0.01%	33.8%1.17%	67.2%0.07%	33.0%3.12%	57.9%0.25%	63.0%0.03%	39.0%0.99%	67.0%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	53.4%0.19%	47.7%0.28%	30.6%1.33%	100.0%<0.01%	30.0%1.42%	43.7%0.16%		75.0%<0.01%	27.9%1.11%	62.0%0.08%	25.1%2.96%	41.2%0.27%	53.8%0.03%	32.2%0.82%	58.0%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	27.3%0.01%	37.5%0.02%	18.5%0.11%		20.5%0.13%	10.0%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		20.2%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	20.5%0.19%	30.8%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.08%	25.0%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	70.8%0.56%	67.5%0.87%	51.3%3.60%	76.0%0.03%	52.3%3.11%	66.2%1.17%	72.1%1.11%	79.8%0.10%		74.0%0.22%	47.1%9.47%	64.1%0.98%	82.0%0.05%	53.2%2.62%	79.7%0.18%	91.7%0.05%
Miami Dolphins	51.1%0.04%	31.0%0.03%	28.2%0.29%	100.0%<0.01%	20.9%0.33%	32.8%0.07%	38.0%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	26.0%0.22%		23.0%0.34%	32.1%0.03%	40.0%0.01%	23.4%0.20%	52.4%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	74.3%1.72%	65.3%1.37%	56.4%11.81%	95.0%0.06%	54.8%13.16%	67.0%3.12%	74.9%2.96%	79.5%0.19%	52.9%9.47%	77.0%0.34%		65.2%1.31%	81.2%0.26%	55.7%7.52%	79.4%0.74%	86.2%0.11%
New York Jets	55.2%0.18%	47.7%0.11%	38.6%1.04%	75.0%<0.01%	37.8%1.28%	42.1%0.25%	58.8%0.27%	69.2%0.03%	35.9%0.98%	67.9%0.03%	34.8%1.31%		42.9%0.02%	36.5%0.75%	61.9%0.08%	100.0%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	82.4%0.02%	26.7%0.03%	26.2%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	24.6%0.07%	37.0%0.03%	46.2%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	18.0%0.05%	60.0%0.01%	18.8%0.26%	57.1%0.02%		25.7%0.07%	60.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	70.2%0.30%	61.8%0.80%	48.0%2.14%	81.8%0.01%	48.4%3.43%	61.0%0.99%	67.8%0.82%	81.2%0.08%	46.8%2.62%	76.6%0.20%	44.3%7.52%	63.5%0.75%	74.3%0.07%		78.0%0.18%	93.2%0.04%
San Diego Chargers	45.5%0.04%	34.9%0.08%	26.9%0.25%		25.3%0.23%	33.0%0.10%	42.0%0.08%	75.0%0.01%	20.3%0.18%	47.6%0.02%	20.6%0.74%	38.1%0.08%	40.0%<0.01%	22.0%0.18%		25.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	27.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	19.6%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	10.5%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		8.3%0.05%	40.0%<0.01%	13.8%0.11%	0.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	6.8%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		69.5%1.45%	48.2%12.34%	77.9%0.22%	78.6%1.05%	72.7%0.76%	58.6%5.93%	61.5%2.07%	77.0%0.56%	74.8%1.07%	74.9%1.51%	83.8%0.13%	45.3%6.26%	75.5%0.27%	77.2%0.20%	74.0%0.40%
Atlanta Falcons	30.5%1.45%		27.4%1.11%	65.5%0.03%	55.5%0.14%	51.8%0.11%	34.0%0.95%	40.4%0.31%	53.8%0.05%	55.9%0.17%	46.8%0.20%	60.9%0.05%	22.0%1.83%	55.3%0.09%	72.0%0.03%	56.9%0.06%
Carolina Panthers	51.8%12.34%	72.6%1.11%		80.6%0.28%	77.5%1.24%	70.7%1.14%	61.2%8.39%	64.0%2.91%	77.9%0.46%	76.8%1.33%	74.7%2.07%	81.7%0.39%	46.8%14.99%	73.4%0.62%	80.8%0.17%	72.8%0.43%
Chicago Bears	22.1%0.22%	34.5%0.03%	19.4%0.28%		53.3%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	21.1%0.07%	28.0%0.03%	56.2%0.02%	40.5%0.04%	52.6%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	17.0%0.28%	28.6%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	21.4%1.05%	44.5%0.14%	22.5%1.24%	46.7%0.01%		39.4%0.11%	29.5%0.71%	31.8%0.26%	50.0%0.06%	55.8%0.05%	48.5%0.07%	63.6%0.02%	20.9%1.23%	47.5%0.06%	70.0%0.02%	37.5%0.02%
Detroit Lions	27.3%0.76%	48.2%0.11%	29.3%1.14%	66.7%<0.01%	60.6%0.11%		35.9%0.31%	38.9%0.10%	58.3%0.05%	54.7%0.11%	54.3%0.13%	45.5%0.03%	24.8%1.04%	50.0%0.04%	50.0%0.02%	43.2%0.04%
Green Bay Packers	41.4%5.93%	66.0%0.95%	38.8%8.39%	78.9%0.07%	70.5%0.71%	64.1%0.31%		51.2%0.83%	68.8%0.38%	69.5%0.69%	66.1%1.09%	77.4%0.17%	36.6%7.58%	63.4%0.34%	75.9%0.14%	61.7%0.26%
Minnesota Vikings	38.5%2.07%	59.6%0.31%	36.0%2.91%	72.0%0.03%	68.2%0.26%	61.1%0.10%	48.8%0.83%		72.8%0.14%	64.2%0.26%	65.0%0.38%	78.6%0.07%	36.3%2.65%	67.0%0.11%	70.7%0.04%	63.9%0.10%
New Orleans Saints	23.0%0.56%	46.2%0.05%	22.1%0.46%	43.8%0.02%	50.0%0.06%	41.7%0.05%	31.2%0.38%	27.2%0.14%		50.0%0.05%	44.0%0.07%	55.0%0.02%	21.7%0.72%	41.2%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	63.6%0.01%
New York Giants	25.2%1.07%	44.1%0.17%	23.2%1.33%	59.5%0.04%	44.2%0.05%	45.3%0.11%	30.5%0.69%	35.8%0.26%	50.0%0.05%		38.7%0.07%	70.0%0.03%	22.3%1.31%	50.9%0.06%	72.7%0.02%	60.0%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	25.1%1.51%	53.2%0.20%	25.3%2.07%	47.4%0.04%	51.5%0.07%	45.7%0.13%	33.9%1.09%	35.0%0.38%	56.0%0.07%	61.3%0.07%		53.3%0.04%	22.1%2.05%	48.9%0.09%	81.1%0.04%	64.3%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	16.2%0.13%	39.1%0.05%	18.3%0.39%	0.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.02%	54.5%0.03%	22.6%0.17%	21.4%0.07%	45.0%0.02%	30.0%0.03%	46.7%0.04%		16.6%0.20%	33.3%<0.01%	62.5%<0.01%	47.4%0.02%
Seattle Seahawks	54.7%6.26%	78.0%1.83%	53.2%14.99%	83.0%0.28%	79.1%1.23%	75.2%1.04%	63.4%7.58%	63.7%2.65%	78.3%0.72%	77.7%1.31%	77.9%2.05%	83.4%0.20%		78.8%0.34%	83.5%0.27%	78.7%0.47%
St. Louis Rams	24.5%0.27%	44.7%0.09%	26.6%0.62%	71.4%0.01%	52.5%0.06%	50.0%0.04%	36.6%0.34%	33.0%0.11%	58.8%0.03%	49.1%0.06%	51.1%0.09%	66.7%<0.01%	21.2%0.34%		57.1%0.01%	66.7%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	22.8%0.20%	28.0%0.03%	19.2%0.17%	33.3%<0.01%	30.0%0.02%	50.0%0.02%	24.1%0.14%	29.3%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.02%	18.9%0.04%	37.5%<0.01%	16.5%0.27%	42.9%0.01%		50.0%0.01%
Washington Redskins	26.0%0.40%	43.1%0.06%	27.2%0.43%	66.7%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%	56.8%0.04%	38.3%0.26%	36.1%0.10%	36.4%0.01%	40.0%0.02%	35.7%0.03%	52.6%0.02%	21.3%0.47%	33.3%0.01%	50.0%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	28.5%0.25%	45.8%0.02%	25.7%0.37%	33.3%<0.01%	66.7%0.02%	57.9%0.02%	34.9%0.19%	41.5%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.03%	56.0%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	27.2%0.40%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	33.7%0.48%	51.1%0.05%	30.5%0.68%	66.7%<0.01%	73.5%0.03%	44.8%0.03%	37.5%0.32%	37.3%0.10%	65.0%0.02%	65.1%0.04%	47.3%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	29.6%0.67%	40.0%0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.0%2.84%	65.7%0.30%	44.2%4.00%	65.7%0.03%	73.5%0.19%	66.8%0.19%	52.2%1.81%	54.3%0.64%	60.0%0.10%	62.6%0.21%	65.5%0.31%	84.4%0.03%	40.6%3.60%	64.4%0.10%	76.5%0.02%	73.8%0.08%
Cleveland Browns	20.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%				40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%					22.2%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	45.4%3.20%	64.9%0.35%	44.4%4.53%	73.9%0.05%	65.5%0.22%	65.8%0.19%	55.8%2.00%	53.8%0.75%	69.4%0.11%	70.9%0.26%	67.5%0.38%	80.9%0.05%	41.6%4.22%	69.2%0.13%	73.5%0.05%	70.3%0.09%
Houston Texans	34.0%0.64%	56.0%0.09%	32.2%1.00%	60.0%0.01%	62.8%0.04%	46.5%0.04%	42.0%0.46%	42.4%0.17%	60.0%0.03%	67.9%0.05%	54.7%0.09%	54.5%0.01%	31.6%0.94%	51.9%0.03%	83.3%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	29.0%0.55%	44.1%0.06%	28.1%0.70%	62.5%<0.01%	54.5%0.03%	29.0%0.03%	35.5%0.34%	36.0%0.11%	55.6%0.02%	53.1%0.03%	48.3%0.06%	57.1%<0.01%	26.9%0.70%	64.3%0.01%	44.4%<0.01%	38.9%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	24.1%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	32.5%0.04%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		12.8%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	48.3%2.48%	74.6%0.26%	47.5%3.58%	75.0%0.02%	71.1%0.18%	72.8%0.18%	57.2%1.65%	54.6%0.53%	76.8%0.10%	75.8%0.19%	73.2%0.31%	65.0%0.04%	44.5%3.30%	79.8%0.09%	88.5%0.03%	76.0%0.07%
Miami Dolphins	21.1%0.10%	33.3%<0.01%	18.4%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	28.6%0.06%	47.1%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		24.0%0.10%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	48.7%6.08%	69.3%0.69%	47.7%8.69%	79.7%0.08%	74.3%0.41%	67.8%0.40%	58.4%3.90%	59.3%1.38%	71.5%0.23%	67.3%0.44%	71.3%0.76%	72.8%0.09%	44.3%8.17%	69.9%0.20%	79.7%0.07%	64.7%0.18%
New York Jets	33.0%0.47%	62.5%0.05%	34.8%0.69%	50.0%<0.01%	56.4%0.04%	62.9%0.03%	41.7%0.32%	42.7%0.12%	73.7%0.02%	63.9%0.04%	65.4%0.05%	77.8%<0.01%	34.6%0.62%	35.0%0.02%	60.0%<0.01%	58.3%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	17.5%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%	18.0%0.05%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	29.4%0.02%	37.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	7.3%0.04%		50.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	45.7%1.95%	59.8%0.21%	42.1%2.75%	61.3%0.03%	74.8%0.13%	58.3%0.15%	51.4%1.19%	56.6%0.46%	71.4%0.08%	70.0%0.15%	66.8%0.22%	64.3%0.03%	42.0%2.56%	70.8%0.07%	71.4%0.02%	64.3%0.06%
San Diego Chargers	19.0%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%	24.5%0.15%	25.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	26.0%0.07%	40.0%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	18.5%0.12%	83.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	20.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	71.5%0.25%	66.3%0.48%	54.0%2.84%	80.0%<0.01%	54.6%3.20%	66.0%0.64%	71.0%0.55%	75.9%0.03%	51.7%2.48%	78.9%0.10%	51.3%6.08%	67.0%0.47%	82.5%0.04%	54.3%1.95%	81.0%0.10%	80.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	54.2%0.02%	48.9%0.05%	34.3%0.30%		35.1%0.35%	44.0%0.09%	55.9%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	25.4%0.26%	66.7%<0.01%	30.7%0.69%	37.5%0.05%	75.0%<0.01%	40.2%0.21%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	74.3%0.37%	69.5%0.68%	55.8%4.00%	50.0%<0.01%	55.6%4.53%	67.8%1.00%	71.9%0.70%	67.5%0.04%	52.5%3.58%	81.6%0.12%	52.3%8.69%	65.2%0.69%	82.0%0.05%	57.9%2.75%	75.5%0.15%	71.4%0.01%
Chicago Bears																	66.7%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	34.3%0.03%		26.1%0.05%	40.0%0.01%	37.5%<0.01%		25.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	20.3%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%		38.7%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	33.3%0.02%	26.5%0.03%	26.5%0.19%		34.5%0.22%	37.2%0.04%	45.5%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	28.9%0.18%	40.0%<0.01%	25.7%0.41%	43.6%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	25.2%0.13%	60.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																	42.1%0.02%	55.2%0.03%	33.2%0.19%		34.2%0.19%	53.5%0.04%	71.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	27.2%0.18%	85.7%<0.01%	32.2%0.40%	37.1%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	41.7%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	65.1%0.19%	62.5%0.32%	47.8%1.81%	60.0%<0.01%	44.2%2.00%	58.0%0.46%	64.5%0.34%	84.2%0.02%	42.8%1.65%	71.4%0.06%	41.6%3.90%	58.3%0.32%	70.6%0.02%	48.6%1.19%	74.0%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	58.5%0.07%	62.7%0.10%	45.7%0.64%	50.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.75%	57.6%0.17%	64.0%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	45.4%0.53%	52.9%0.02%	40.7%1.38%	57.3%0.12%	62.5%0.02%	43.4%0.46%	60.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints																	50.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.02%	40.0%0.10%		30.6%0.11%	40.0%0.03%	44.4%0.02%		23.2%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	28.5%0.23%	26.3%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.08%	57.1%<0.01%
New York Giants																	46.2%0.03%	34.9%0.04%	37.4%0.21%		29.1%0.26%	32.1%0.05%	46.9%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	24.2%0.19%	0.0%<0.01%	32.7%0.44%	36.1%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	30.0%0.15%	62.5%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	44.0%0.03%	52.7%0.06%	34.5%0.31%		32.5%0.38%	45.3%0.09%	51.7%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	26.8%0.31%	33.3%<0.01%	28.7%0.76%	34.6%0.05%		33.2%0.22%	69.2%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	15.6%0.03%		19.1%0.05%	45.5%0.01%	42.9%<0.01%		35.0%0.04%		27.2%0.09%	22.2%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	35.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	72.8%0.40%	70.4%0.67%	59.4%3.60%	77.8%<0.01%	58.4%4.22%	68.4%0.94%	73.1%0.70%	87.2%0.04%	55.5%3.30%	76.0%0.10%	55.7%8.17%	65.4%0.62%	92.7%0.04%	58.0%2.56%	81.5%0.12%	80.0%0.01%
St. Louis Rams																	50.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	35.6%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.13%	48.1%0.03%	35.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.2%0.09%	66.7%<0.01%	30.1%0.20%	65.0%0.02%		29.2%0.07%	16.7%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	50.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	23.5%0.02%		26.5%0.05%	16.7%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%		11.5%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	20.3%0.07%	40.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	28.6%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	25.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%	26.2%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	29.7%0.09%	60.0%0.01%	61.1%0.02%		24.0%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	35.3%0.18%	41.7%0.01%		35.7%0.06%	25.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Carolina Panthers	100.00%	56.28%	32.94%	17.71%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Arizona Cardinals	100.00%	64.86%	31.08%	16.20%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
New England Patriots	100.00%	57.98%	30.67%	15.19%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	100.00%	54.02%	27.72%	12.61%	Won Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	61.38%	31.26%	17.63%	10.48%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	62.21%	30.04%	15.30%	7.71%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cincinnati Bengals	53.97%	23.29%	11.80%	5.54%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.03%	21.99%	9.86%	4.67%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	60.65%	22.84%	9.07%	4.23%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Minnesota Vikings	38.62%	14.71%	6.52%	2.97%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Houston Texans	37.79%	12.69%	4.64%	1.69%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Washington Redskins	39.35%	10.05%	2.76%	1.00%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals				54.0%100.00%
Houston Texans			37.8%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs		62.2%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	46.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Green Bay Packers				60.6%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings			38.6%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks		61.4%100.00%
Washington Redskins	39.4%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals					43.1%53.97%
Denver Broncos			64.9%20.36%	49.9%33.61%		52.2%46.03%
Houston Texans		35.1%20.36%			31.8%17.42%
Kansas City Chiefs		50.1%33.61%			46.1%28.60%
New England Patriots	56.9%53.97%		68.2%17.42%	53.9%28.60%
Pittsburgh Steelers		47.8%46.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals			62.2%37.24%	61.9%38.62%		73.7%24.14%
Carolina Panthers			62.6%23.41%		49.1%61.38%	75.7%15.21%
Green Bay Packers	37.8%37.24%	37.4%23.41%
Minnesota Vikings	38.1%38.62%
Seattle Seahawks		50.9%61.38%
Washington Redskins	26.3%24.14%	24.3%15.21%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals		47.4%12.86%	65.1%3.09%	50.4%7.33%
Denver Broncos	52.6%12.86%		63.4%2.89%	49.1%6.82%	50.2%31.44%
Houston Texans	34.9%3.09%	36.6%2.89%			33.3%4.06%	43.7%2.65%
Kansas City Chiefs	49.6%7.33%	50.9%6.82%			47.7%9.51%	57.4%6.37%
New England Patriots		49.8%31.44%	66.7%4.06%	52.3%9.51%		56.4%12.97%
Pittsburgh Steelers			56.3%2.65%	42.6%6.37%	43.6%12.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		44.8%36.28%	61.0%5.46%		47.2%20.88%	73.0%2.25%
Carolina Panthers	55.2%36.28%		62.9%6.91%	62.3%9.97%		75.3%3.13%
Green Bay Packers	39.0%5.46%	37.1%6.91%		45.4%3.30%	40.2%7.17%
Minnesota Vikings		37.7%9.97%	54.6%3.30%			66.6%1.45%
Seattle Seahawks	52.8%20.88%		59.8%7.17%			72.1%3.21%
Washington Redskins	27.0%2.25%	24.7%3.13%		33.4%1.45%	27.9%3.21%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals	47.5%3.67%	44.9%3.89%	55.9%1.07%	54.2%0.79%	39.9%2.04%	62.8%0.34%
Denver Broncos	45.9%8.63%	44.4%9.13%	52.0%2.51%	51.1%1.73%	38.4%4.89%	62.7%0.85%
Houston Texans	35.2%1.44%	36.7%1.53%	46.6%0.41%	43.5%0.29%	29.4%0.84%	46.8%0.12%
Kansas City Chiefs	51.2%4.72%	48.8%5.08%	54.2%1.44%	58.3%1.01%	43.7%2.63%	69.3%0.42%
New England Patriots	50.1%9.60%	48.2%10.03%	55.0%2.77%	56.5%2.05%	43.3%5.44%	65.0%0.79%
Pittsburgh Steelers	47.7%3.01%	47.4%3.28%	50.2%0.87%	56.6%0.65%	39.6%1.80%	64.5%0.24%
Arizona Cardinals							52.5%3.67%	54.1%8.63%	64.8%1.44%	48.8%4.72%	49.9%9.60%	52.3%3.01%
Carolina Panthers							55.1%3.89%	55.6%9.13%	63.3%1.53%	51.2%5.08%	51.8%10.03%	52.6%3.28%
Green Bay Packers							44.1%1.07%	48.0%2.51%	53.4%0.41%	45.8%1.44%	45.0%2.77%	49.8%0.87%
Minnesota Vikings							45.8%0.79%	48.9%1.73%	56.5%0.29%	41.7%1.01%	43.5%2.05%	43.4%0.65%
Seattle Seahawks							60.1%2.04%	61.6%4.89%	70.6%0.84%	56.3%2.63%	56.7%5.44%	60.4%1.80%
Washington Redskins							37.2%0.34%	37.3%0.85%	53.2%0.12%	30.7%0.42%	35.0%0.79%	35.5%0.24%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Carolina Panthers 17.71% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

53.51%

Win Prob

49.07%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

60.79%

Win Prob

55.20%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.30%

Win Prob

51.76%

Arizona Cardinals 16.20% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

36.86%

Win Prob

61.90%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

52.31%

Win Prob

44.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.59%

Win Prob

49.94%

New England Patriots 15.19% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

52.93%

Win Prob

56.86%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

51.09%

Win Prob

49.84%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

31.84%

Win Prob

48.24%

Denver Broncos 12.61% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

44.49%

Win Prob

52.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

56.89%

Win Prob

50.16%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

32.14%

Win Prob

44.40%

Seattle Seahawks 10.48% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.38%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.93%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

62.53%

Win Prob

52.82%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.45%

Win Prob

56.71%

Kansas City Chiefs 7.71% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.21%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

56.08%

Win Prob

50.12%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.62%

Win Prob

47.66%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

32.22%

Win Prob

48.84%

Cincinnati Bengals 5.54% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.97%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.14%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

51.65%

Win Prob

47.40%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

31.49%

Win Prob

47.51%

Pittsburgh Steelers 4.67% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.03%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

47.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

57.32%

Win Prob

43.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

33.34%

Win Prob

47.37%

Green Bay Packers 4.23% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.65%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

61.67%

Win Prob

37.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

31.79%

Win Prob

40.17%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.45%

Win Prob

44.99%

Minnesota Vikings 2.97% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.62%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.10%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

57.57%

Win Prob

37.67%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

30.02%

Win Prob

43.55%

Houston Texans 1.69% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.79%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

56.32%

Win Prob

35.09%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

29.11%

Win Prob

33.33%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

33.12%

Win Prob

36.67%

Washington Redskins 1.00% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.35%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

63.14%

Win Prob

26.27%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

32.50%

Win Prob

27.95%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

31.70%

Win Prob

37.34%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2015-09-13	New Orleans Saints	W 31-19	1521.58	1489.59	58.37%	41.39%	+15.37	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Chicago Bears	W 48-23	1536.95	1425.11	61.76%	38.00%	+20.37	2-0
2015-09-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 47-7	1557.32	1512.05	60.21%	39.55%	+26.81	3-0
2015-10-04	St. Louis Rams	L 22-24	1584.13	1463.76	69.97%	29.81%	-10.59	3-1
2015-10-11	@ Detroit Lions	W 42-17	1573.54	1469.62	60.68%	39.08%	+20.95	4-1
2015-10-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-25	1594.49	1562.41	50.52%	49.23%	-18.76	4-2
2015-10-26	Baltimore Ravens	W 26-18	1575.73	1497.92	64.60%	35.17%	+10.67	5-2
2015-11-01	@ Cleveland Browns	W 34-20	1586.40	1405.39	70.62%	29.17%	+11.70	6-2
2015-11-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 39-32	1598.10	1612.60	43.84%	55.91%	+15.85	7-2
2015-11-22	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-31	1613.95	1607.21	54.80%	44.95%	+8.34	8-2
2015-11-29	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 19-13	1622.29	1432.87	71.61%	28.18%	+7.41	9-2
2015-12-06	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-3	1629.70	1438.29	71.84%	27.95%	+14.68	10-2
2015-12-10	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-20	1644.38	1524.30	69.94%	29.85%	+5.54	11-2
2015-12-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 40-17	1649.92	1500.57	66.71%	33.07%	+17.00	12-2
2015-12-27	Green Bay Packers	W 38-8	1666.92	1625.18	59.73%	40.03%	+23.51	13-2
2016-01-03	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-36	1690.43	1650.61	59.46%	40.30%	-34.89	13-3
2015-09-14	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-24	1468.40	1532.26	44.68%	55.07%	+8.35	1-0
2015-09-20	@ New York Giants	W 24-20	1476.75	1481.36	45.25%	54.50%	+11.67	2-0
2015-09-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 39-28	1488.42	1573.51	34.22%	65.55%	+23.29	3-0
2015-10-04	Houston Texans	W 48-21	1511.71	1484.56	57.69%	42.06%	+23.43	4-0
2015-10-11	Washington Redskins	W 25-19	1535.14	1417.31	69.67%	30.12%	+7.91	5-0
2015-10-15	@ New Orleans Saints	L 21-31	1543.05	1443.73	60.05%	39.71%	-20.34	5-1
2015-10-25	@ Tennessee Titans	W 10-7	1522.71	1375.66	66.41%	33.36%	+6.19	6-1
2015-11-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 20-23	1528.90	1393.32	71.78%	28.02%	-13.31	6-2
2015-11-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-17	1515.59	1437.94	57.02%	42.73%	-6.11	6-3
2015-11-22	Indianapolis Colts	L 21-24	1509.48	1504.07	54.62%	45.14%	-10.13	6-4
2015-11-29	Minnesota Vikings	L 10-20	1499.35	1533.85	48.89%	50.86%	-16.57	6-5
2015-12-06	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-23	1482.78	1429.95	53.50%	46.26%	-11.47	6-6
2015-12-13	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-38	1471.31	1654.66	22.83%	76.99%	-15.08	6-7
2015-12-20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1456.23	1401.69	53.74%	46.01%	+12.08	7-7
2015-12-27	Carolina Panthers	W 20-13	1468.31	1675.42	26.17%	73.63%	+20.86	8-7
2016-01-03	New Orleans Saints	L 17-20	1489.17	1429.54	62.17%	37.59%	-11.54	8-8
2015-09-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 13-19	1548.46	1560.00	44.27%	55.49%	-11.62	0-1
2015-09-20	@ Oakland Raiders	L 33-37	1536.84	1393.03	66.00%	33.78%	-14.14	0-2
2015-09-27	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-28	1522.70	1546.39	50.44%	49.31%	-10.81	0-3
2015-10-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-20	1511.89	1563.92	38.62%	61.14%	+11.35	1-3
2015-10-11	Cleveland Browns	L 30-33	1523.24	1416.38	68.32%	31.46%	-12.68	1-4
2015-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-25	1510.56	1462.77	52.77%	46.98%	-12.64	1-5
2015-10-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 18-26	1497.92	1575.73	35.17%	64.60%	-10.67	1-6
2015-11-01	San Diego Chargers	W 29-26	1487.25	1460.14	57.69%	42.07%	+7.81	2-6
2015-11-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-22	1495.06	1359.34	71.79%	28.00%	-10.87	2-7
2015-11-22	St. Louis Rams	W 16-13	1484.19	1460.24	57.24%	42.51%	+7.89	3-7
2015-11-30	@ Cleveland Browns	W 33-27	1492.08	1372.32	62.83%	36.93%	+9.70	4-7
2015-12-06	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-15	1501.78	1429.45	56.27%	43.48%	-8.52	4-8
2015-12-13	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-35	1493.26	1646.93	32.52%	67.26%	-18.78	4-9
2015-12-20	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-34	1474.48	1611.25	34.69%	65.08%	-16.63	4-10
2015-12-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-17	1457.85	1617.16	31.81%	67.97%	+12.61	5-10
2016-01-03	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-24	1470.46	1604.10	28.24%	71.55%	-8.57	5-11
2015-09-13	Indianapolis Colts	W 27-14	1509.78	1540.91	49.37%	50.38%	+19.47	1-0
2015-09-20	New England Patriots	L 32-40	1529.25	1629.65	39.56%	60.20%	-12.00	1-1
2015-09-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 41-14	1517.25	1490.06	49.81%	49.94%	+27.81	2-1
2015-10-04	New York Giants	L 10-24	1545.06	1483.51	62.43%	37.33%	-25.02	2-2
2015-10-11	@ Tennessee Titans	W 14-13	1520.04	1406.90	61.94%	37.83%	+4.05	3-2
2015-10-18	Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-34	1524.09	1583.71	45.29%	54.47%	-17.50	3-3
2015-10-25	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 31-34	1506.59	1353.52	70.58%	29.21%	-13.09	3-4
2015-11-08	Miami Dolphins	W 33-17	1493.50	1479.12	55.89%	43.86%	+18.81	4-4
2015-11-12	@ New York Jets	W 22-17	1512.31	1489.96	49.11%	50.64%	+12.13	5-4
2015-11-23	@ New England Patriots	L 13-20	1524.44	1709.49	22.65%	77.16%	-6.43	5-5
2015-11-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 22-30	1518.01	1581.21	37.11%	62.66%	-11.25	5-6
2015-12-06	Houston Texans	W 30-21	1506.76	1503.94	54.25%	45.51%	+14.63	6-6
2015-12-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-23	1521.39	1491.25	50.24%	49.51%	-9.32	6-7
2015-12-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 25-35	1512.07	1434.52	57.01%	42.74%	-19.32	6-8
2015-12-27	Dallas Cowboys	W 16-6	1492.75	1459.06	58.61%	41.15%	+13.95	7-8
2016-01-03	New York Jets	W 22-17	1506.70	1535.89	49.65%	50.10%	+12.01	8-8
2015-09-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-9	1517.76	1399.57	62.62%	37.14%	+13.21	1-0
2015-09-20	Houston Texans	W 24-17	1530.97	1482.97	60.59%	39.17%	+11.11	2-0
2015-09-27	New Orleans Saints	W 27-22	1542.08	1455.78	65.71%	34.07%	+8.17	3-0
2015-10-04	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-23	1550.25	1398.56	67.01%	32.77%	+13.14	4-0
2015-10-18	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 27-23	1563.39	1604.73	40.09%	59.67%	+12.79	5-0
2015-10-25	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-16	1576.18	1551.29	57.38%	42.38%	+15.07	6-0
2015-11-02	Indianapolis Colts	W 29-26	1591.25	1497.83	66.62%	33.15%	+6.15	7-0
2015-11-08	Green Bay Packers	W 37-29	1597.40	1613.75	51.50%	48.25%	+14.63	8-0
2015-11-15	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-10	1612.03	1373.89	76.94%	22.87%	+10.11	9-0
2015-11-22	Washington Redskins	W 44-16	1622.14	1429.96	77.88%	21.94%	+12.45	10-0
2015-11-26	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 33-14	1634.59	1489.56	66.15%	33.62%	+15.71	11-0
2015-12-06	@ New Orleans Saints	W 41-38	1650.30	1417.97	76.35%	23.47%	+4.36	12-0
2015-12-13	Atlanta Falcons	W 38-0	1654.66	1471.31	76.99%	22.83%	+15.08	13-0
2015-12-20	@ New York Giants	W 38-35	1669.74	1500.17	69.24%	30.55%	+5.68	14-0
2015-12-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-20	1675.42	1468.31	73.63%	26.17%	-20.86	14-1
2016-01-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-10	1654.56	1398.71	83.54%	16.32%	+9.25	15-1
2015-09-13	Green Bay Packers	L 23-31	1436.09	1561.23	36.22%	63.55%	-10.98	0-1
2015-09-20	Arizona Cardinals	L 23-48	1425.11	1536.95	38.00%	61.76%	-20.37	0-2
2015-09-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 0-26	1404.74	1597.11	21.93%	77.90%	-11.99	0-3
2015-10-04	Oakland Raiders	W 22-20	1392.75	1423.73	49.39%	50.36%	+7.63	1-3
2015-10-11	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 18-17	1400.38	1503.76	31.90%	67.88%	+7.27	2-3
2015-10-18	@ Detroit Lions	L 34-37	1407.65	1448.67	40.13%	59.63%	-7.45	2-4
2015-11-01	Minnesota Vikings	L 20-23	1400.20	1523.68	36.44%	63.33%	-6.77	2-5
2015-11-09	@ San Diego Chargers	W 22-19	1393.43	1452.33	37.69%	62.08%	+11.52	3-5
2015-11-15	@ St. Louis Rams	W 37-13	1404.95	1494.97	33.59%	66.19%	+34.73	4-5
2015-11-22	Denver Broncos	L 15-17	1439.68	1600.88	31.58%	68.20%	-4.79	4-6
2015-11-26	@ Green Bay Packers	W 17-13	1434.89	1609.23	23.75%	76.06%	+16.29	5-6
2015-12-06	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-26	1451.18	1425.47	57.49%	42.26%	-15.09	5-7
2015-12-13	Washington Redskins	L 21-24	1436.09	1424.21	55.54%	44.22%	-10.30	5-8
2015-12-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-38	1425.79	1518.76	33.21%	66.57%	-16.32	5-9
2015-12-27	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 26-21	1409.47	1411.68	45.59%	54.16%	+12.97	6-9
2016-01-03	Detroit Lions	L 20-24	1422.44	1479.62	45.64%	54.12%	-9.78	6-10
2015-09-13	@ Oakland Raiders	W 33-13	1517.18	1411.66	60.90%	38.86%	+18.64	1-0
2015-09-20	San Diego Chargers	W 24-19	1535.82	1523.11	55.65%	44.10%	+10.57	2-0
2015-09-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 28-24	1546.39	1522.70	49.31%	50.44%	+10.81	3-0
2015-10-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 36-21	1557.20	1520.68	59.00%	40.75%	+16.92	4-0
2015-10-11	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-24	1574.12	1614.32	48.07%	51.68%	+9.59	5-0
2015-10-18	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-21	1583.71	1524.09	54.47%	45.29%	+17.50	6-0
2015-11-01	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-10	1601.21	1560.94	51.69%	48.06%	+12.62	7-0
2015-11-05	Cleveland Browns	W 31-10	1613.83	1393.69	80.52%	19.32%	+9.49	8-0
2015-11-16	Houston Texans	L 6-10	1623.32	1456.97	75.22%	24.59%	-16.11	8-1
2015-11-22	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 31-34	1607.21	1613.95	44.95%	54.80%	-8.34	8-2
2015-11-29	St. Louis Rams	W 31-7	1598.87	1452.35	73.03%	26.77%	+14.06	9-2
2015-12-06	@ Cleveland Browns	W 37-3	1612.93	1362.62	78.16%	21.66%	+13.54	10-2
2015-12-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-33	1626.47	1580.24	60.35%	39.41%	-23.31	10-3
2015-12-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 24-14	1603.16	1416.92	71.24%	28.55%	+9.68	11-3
2015-12-28	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-20	1612.84	1604.54	47.10%	52.65%	-8.74	11-4
2016-01-03	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-16	1604.10	1470.46	71.55%	28.24%	+8.56	12-4
2015-09-13	@ New York Jets	L 10-31	1442.70	1449.96	44.87%	54.88%	-22.04	0-1
2015-09-20	Tennessee Titans	W 28-14	1420.66	1432.30	52.17%	47.58%	+19.08	1-1
2015-09-27	Oakland Raiders	L 20-27	1439.74	1407.17	58.45%	41.30%	-16.57	1-2
2015-10-04	@ San Diego Chargers	L 27-30	1423.17	1490.22	36.59%	63.17%	-6.79	1-3
2015-10-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 33-30	1416.38	1523.24	31.46%	68.32%	+12.67	2-3
2015-10-18	Denver Broncos	L 23-26	1429.05	1614.24	28.68%	71.11%	-5.33	2-4
2015-10-25	@ St. Louis Rams	L 6-24	1423.72	1463.48	40.31%	59.45%	-18.33	2-5
2015-11-01	Arizona Cardinals	L 20-34	1405.39	1586.40	29.17%	70.62%	-11.70	2-6
2015-11-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-31	1393.69	1613.83	19.32%	80.52%	-9.49	2-7
2015-11-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-30	1384.20	1554.39	24.19%	75.62%	-11.88	2-8
2015-11-30	Baltimore Ravens	L 27-33	1372.32	1492.08	36.93%	62.83%	-9.70	2-9
2015-12-06	Cincinnati Bengals	L 3-37	1362.62	1612.93	21.66%	78.16%	-13.54	2-10
2015-12-13	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-10	1349.08	1440.56	40.80%	58.96%	+23.63	3-10
2015-12-20	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-30	1372.71	1665.71	13.61%	86.26%	-6.01	3-11
2015-12-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-17	1366.70	1627.89	15.90%	83.95%	-3.41	3-12
2016-01-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-28	1363.29	1604.55	22.56%	77.26%	-9.67	3-13
2015-09-13	New York Giants	W 27-26	1552.96	1485.28	63.26%	36.51%	+3.91	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-10	1556.87	1523.91	50.64%	49.11%	+16.64	2-0
2015-09-27	Atlanta Falcons	L 28-39	1573.51	1488.42	65.55%	34.22%	-23.28	2-1
2015-10-04	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-26	1550.23	1447.62	60.50%	39.26%	-15.88	2-2
2015-10-11	New England Patriots	L 6-30	1534.35	1652.45	37.16%	62.61%	-19.51	2-3
2015-10-25	@ New York Giants	L 20-27	1514.84	1495.02	48.75%	51.00%	-13.83	2-4
2015-11-01	Seattle Seahawks	L 12-13	1501.01	1608.47	38.60%	61.16%	-4.13	2-5
2015-11-08	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-33	1496.88	1536.22	48.19%	51.56%	-12.66	2-6
2015-11-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-10	1484.22	1390.35	59.29%	40.46%	-12.70	2-7
2015-11-22	@ Miami Dolphins	W 24-14	1471.52	1467.38	46.50%	53.25%	+18.04	3-7
2015-11-26	Carolina Panthers	L 14-33	1489.56	1634.59	33.62%	66.15%	-15.71	3-8
2015-12-07	@ Washington Redskins	W 19-16	1473.85	1433.12	51.76%	47.99%	+8.91	4-8
2015-12-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-28	1482.76	1600.79	30.09%	69.69%	-14.79	4-9
2015-12-19	New York Jets	L 16-19	1467.97	1508.56	48.01%	51.74%	-8.91	4-10
2015-12-27	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-16	1459.06	1492.75	41.15%	58.61%	-13.95	4-11
2016-01-03	Washington Redskins	L 23-34	1445.11	1477.10	49.25%	50.50%	-5.83	4-12
2015-09-13	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-13	1560.00	1548.46	55.49%	44.27%	+11.62	1-0
2015-09-17	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-24	1571.62	1547.88	49.32%	50.43%	+14.30	2-0
2015-09-27	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-12	1585.92	1489.77	59.61%	40.15%	+14.91	3-0
2015-10-04	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-20	1600.83	1502.80	67.21%	32.57%	+6.05	4-0
2015-10-11	@ Oakland Raiders	W 16-10	1606.88	1416.10	71.77%	28.02%	+7.36	5-0
2015-10-18	@ Cleveland Browns	W 26-23	1614.24	1429.05	71.11%	28.68%	+5.32	6-0
2015-11-01	Green Bay Packers	W 29-10	1619.56	1636.32	51.44%	48.31%	+22.57	7-0
2015-11-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1642.13	1491.67	66.85%	32.92%	-12.40	7-1
2015-11-15	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-29	1629.73	1530.58	67.35%	32.43%	-28.85	7-2
2015-11-22	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-15	1600.88	1439.68	68.20%	31.58%	+4.79	8-2
2015-11-29	New England Patriots	W 30-24	1605.67	1715.92	38.22%	61.55%	+16.15	9-2
2015-12-06	@ San Diego Chargers	W 17-3	1621.82	1431.77	71.68%	28.11%	+11.27	10-2
2015-12-13	Oakland Raiders	L 12-15	1633.09	1412.36	80.57%	19.26%	-14.94	10-3
2015-12-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-34	1618.15	1603.55	48.00%	51.75%	-13.61	10-4
2015-12-28	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-17	1604.54	1612.84	52.65%	47.10%	+8.75	11-4
2016-01-03	San Diego Chargers	W 27-20	1613.29	1425.42	77.45%	22.37%	+6.34	12-4
2015-09-13	@ San Diego Chargers	L 28-33	1518.74	1511.87	46.89%	52.86%	-11.24	0-1
2015-09-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 16-26	1507.50	1462.75	52.34%	47.41%	-17.73	0-2
2015-09-27	Denver Broncos	L 12-24	1489.77	1585.92	40.15%	59.61%	-14.91	0-3
2015-10-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-13	1474.86	1609.09	28.17%	71.62%	-5.24	0-4
2015-10-11	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-42	1469.62	1573.54	39.08%	60.68%	-20.95	0-5
2015-10-18	Chicago Bears	W 37-34	1448.67	1407.65	59.63%	40.13%	+7.46	1-5
2015-10-25	Minnesota Vikings	L 19-28	1456.13	1508.80	46.28%	53.47%	-14.89	1-6
2015-11-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-45	1441.24	1504.67	40.86%	58.90%	-25.91	1-7
2015-11-15	@ Green Bay Packers	W 18-16	1415.33	1599.12	22.78%	77.04%	+11.67	2-7
2015-11-22	Oakland Raiders	W 18-13	1427.00	1427.44	53.78%	45.97%	+11.01	3-7
2015-11-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 45-14	1438.01	1500.93	44.82%	54.93%	+32.78	4-7
2015-12-03	Green Bay Packers	L 23-27	1470.79	1592.94	36.61%	63.15%	-7.86	4-8
2015-12-13	@ St. Louis Rams	L 14-21	1462.93	1423.61	51.56%	48.19%	-14.61	4-9
2015-12-21	@ New Orleans Saints	W 35-27	1448.32	1429.99	48.54%	51.21%	+15.52	5-9
2015-12-27	San Francisco 49ers	W 32-17	1463.84	1407.24	61.76%	38.00%	+15.78	6-9
2016-01-03	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-20	1479.62	1422.44	54.12%	45.64%	+9.78	7-9
2015-09-13	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-23	1561.23	1436.09	63.55%	36.22%	+10.98	1-0
2015-09-20	Seattle Seahawks	W 27-17	1572.21	1614.73	47.73%	52.02%	+17.63	2-0
2015-09-28	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-28	1589.84	1533.58	61.72%	38.04%	+12.90	3-0
2015-10-04	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 17-3	1602.74	1485.24	62.53%	37.24%	+14.94	4-0
2015-10-11	St. Louis Rams	W 24-10	1617.68	1474.36	72.67%	27.13%	+10.88	5-0
2015-10-18	San Diego Chargers	W 27-20	1628.56	1487.18	72.45%	27.35%	+7.76	6-0
2015-11-01	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-29	1636.32	1619.56	48.31%	51.44%	-22.57	6-1
2015-11-08	@ Carolina Panthers	L 29-37	1613.75	1597.40	48.25%	51.50%	-14.63	6-2
2015-11-15	Detroit Lions	L 16-18	1599.12	1415.33	77.04%	22.78%	-11.66	6-3
2015-11-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-13	1587.46	1555.62	50.48%	49.27%	+21.77	7-3
2015-11-26	Chicago Bears	L 13-17	1609.23	1434.89	76.06%	23.75%	-16.29	7-4
2015-12-03	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-23	1592.94	1470.79	63.15%	36.61%	+7.85	8-4
2015-12-13	Dallas Cowboys	W 28-7	1600.79	1482.76	69.69%	30.09%	+14.79	9-4
2015-12-20	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-20	1615.58	1427.30	71.48%	28.31%	+9.60	10-4
2015-12-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 8-38	1625.18	1666.92	40.03%	59.73%	-23.51	10-5
2016-01-03	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-20	1601.67	1559.45	59.79%	39.96%	-16.94	10-6
2015-09-13	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-27	1496.71	1534.14	48.47%	51.28%	-13.74	0-1
2015-09-20	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-24	1482.97	1530.97	39.17%	60.59%	-11.11	0-2
2015-09-27	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-9	1471.86	1411.26	62.31%	37.46%	+12.70	1-2
2015-10-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-48	1484.56	1511.71	42.06%	57.69%	-23.43	1-3
2015-10-08	Indianapolis Colts	L 20-27	1461.13	1509.91	46.84%	52.91%	-13.28	1-4
2015-10-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-20	1447.85	1368.63	57.24%	42.51%	+15.11	2-4
2015-10-25	@ Miami Dolphins	L 26-44	1462.96	1471.19	44.74%	55.02%	-20.34	2-5
2015-11-01	Tennessee Titans	W 20-6	1442.62	1369.46	63.98%	35.78%	+14.35	3-5
2015-11-16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 10-6	1456.97	1623.32	24.59%	75.22%	+16.11	4-5
2015-11-22	New York Jets	W 24-17	1473.08	1477.83	53.16%	46.59%	+13.21	5-5
2015-11-29	New Orleans Saints	W 24-6	1486.29	1435.62	60.96%	38.81%	+17.65	6-5
2015-12-06	@ Buffalo Bills	L 21-30	1503.94	1506.76	45.51%	54.25%	-14.63	6-6
2015-12-13	New England Patriots	L 6-27	1489.31	1676.68	28.42%	71.37%	-13.97	6-7
2015-12-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 16-10	1475.34	1459.73	48.15%	51.60%	+13.55	7-7
2015-12-27	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-6	1488.89	1334.70	67.32%	32.45%	+18.41	8-7
2016-01-03	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-6	1507.30	1374.54	71.45%	28.34%	+14.89	9-7
2015-09-13	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-27	1540.91	1509.78	50.38%	49.37%	-19.46	0-1
2015-09-21	New York Jets	L 7-20	1521.45	1472.00	60.79%	38.97%	-23.48	0-2
2015-09-27	@ Tennessee Titans	W 35-33	1497.97	1413.22	58.02%	41.73%	+6.33	1-2
2015-10-04	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 16-13	1504.30	1387.10	69.59%	30.20%	+5.61	2-2
2015-10-08	@ Houston Texans	W 27-20	1509.91	1461.13	52.91%	46.84%	+13.28	3-2
2015-10-18	New England Patriots	L 27-34	1523.19	1671.96	33.14%	66.64%	-9.40	3-3
2015-10-25	New Orleans Saints	L 21-27	1513.79	1464.07	60.83%	38.93%	-15.96	3-4
2015-11-02	@ Carolina Panthers	L 26-29	1497.83	1591.25	33.15%	66.62%	-6.16	3-5
2015-11-08	Denver Broncos	W 27-24	1491.67	1642.13	32.92%	66.85%	+12.40	4-5
2015-11-22	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 24-21	1504.07	1509.48	45.14%	54.62%	+10.14	5-5
2015-11-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 25-12	1514.21	1443.93	63.60%	36.16%	+13.98	6-5
2015-12-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-45	1528.19	1553.39	42.34%	57.42%	-26.85	6-6
2015-12-13	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 16-51	1501.34	1360.08	65.67%	34.10%	-41.61	6-7
2015-12-20	Houston Texans	L 10-16	1459.73	1475.34	51.60%	48.15%	-13.55	6-8
2015-12-27	@ Miami Dolphins	W 18-12	1446.18	1404.36	51.92%	47.83%	+12.56	7-8
2016-01-03	Tennessee Titans	W 30-24	1458.74	1316.29	72.57%	27.23%	+7.15	8-8
2015-09-13	Carolina Panthers	L 9-20	1399.57	1517.76	37.14%	62.62%	-13.21	0-1
2015-09-20	Miami Dolphins	W 23-20	1386.36	1501.61	37.54%	62.22%	+11.55	1-1
2015-09-27	@ New England Patriots	L 17-51	1397.91	1641.64	17.29%	82.56%	-10.81	1-2
2015-10-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-16	1387.10	1504.30	30.20%	69.59%	-5.60	1-3
2015-10-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 31-38	1381.50	1385.41	45.35%	54.40%	-12.87	1-4
2015-10-18	Houston Texans	L 20-31	1368.63	1447.85	42.51%	57.24%	-15.11	1-5
2015-10-25	Buffalo Bills	W 34-31	1353.52	1506.59	29.21%	70.58%	+13.09	2-5
2015-11-08	@ New York Jets	L 23-28	1366.61	1482.69	30.33%	69.45%	-7.27	2-6
2015-11-15	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 22-20	1359.34	1495.06	28.00%	71.79%	+10.87	3-6
2015-11-19	Tennessee Titans	W 19-13	1370.21	1363.78	54.76%	44.99%	+11.82	4-6
2015-11-29	San Diego Chargers	L 25-31	1382.03	1419.03	48.53%	51.22%	-12.74	4-7
2015-12-06	@ Tennessee Titans	L 39-42	1369.29	1343.69	49.58%	50.17%	-9.21	4-8
2015-12-13	Indianapolis Colts	W 51-16	1360.08	1501.34	34.10%	65.67%	+41.61	5-8
2015-12-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-23	1401.69	1456.23	46.01%	53.74%	-12.08	5-9
2015-12-27	@ New Orleans Saints	L 27-38	1389.61	1414.47	42.38%	57.37%	-15.07	5-10
2016-01-03	@ Houston Texans	L 6-30	1374.54	1507.30	28.34%	71.45%	-14.89	5-11
2015-09-13	@ Houston Texans	W 27-20	1534.14	1496.71	51.28%	48.47%	+13.74	1-0
2015-09-17	Denver Broncos	L 24-31	1547.88	1571.62	50.43%	49.32%	-14.30	1-1
2015-09-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 28-38	1533.58	1589.84	38.04%	61.72%	-12.90	1-2
2015-10-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 21-36	1520.68	1557.20	40.75%	59.00%	-16.92	1-3
2015-10-11	Chicago Bears	L 17-18	1503.76	1400.38	67.88%	31.90%	-7.27	1-4
2015-10-18	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-16	1496.49	1496.75	45.87%	53.88%	-12.04	1-5
2015-10-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-13	1484.45	1581.16	40.07%	59.69%	+20.22	2-5
2015-11-01	Detroit Lions	W 45-10	1504.67	1441.24	58.90%	40.86%	+25.91	3-5
2015-11-15	@ Denver Broncos	W 29-13	1530.58	1629.73	32.43%	67.35%	+28.85	4-5
2015-11-22	@ San Diego Chargers	W 33-3	1559.43	1440.81	62.68%	37.09%	+21.78	5-5
2015-11-29	Buffalo Bills	W 30-22	1581.21	1518.01	62.66%	37.11%	+11.25	6-5
2015-12-06	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-20	1592.46	1424.70	69.02%	30.77%	+12.35	7-5
2015-12-13	San Diego Chargers	W 10-3	1604.81	1420.50	77.09%	22.73%	+6.44	8-5
2015-12-20	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 34-14	1611.25	1474.48	65.08%	34.69%	+16.64	9-5
2015-12-27	Cleveland Browns	W 17-13	1627.89	1366.70	83.95%	15.90%	+3.40	10-5
2016-01-03	Oakland Raiders	W 23-17	1631.29	1426.66	79.08%	20.74%	+5.45	11-5
2015-09-13	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-10	1489.68	1407.16	57.71%	42.05%	+11.93	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-23	1501.61	1386.36	62.22%	37.54%	-11.55	1-1
2015-09-27	Buffalo Bills	L 14-41	1490.06	1517.25	49.94%	49.81%	-27.81	1-2
2015-10-04	New York Jets	L 14-27	1462.25	1480.69	47.22%	52.53%	-18.25	1-3
2015-10-18	@ Tennessee Titans	W 38-10	1444.00	1402.84	51.82%	47.93%	+27.19	2-3
2015-10-25	Houston Texans	W 44-26	1471.19	1462.96	55.02%	44.74%	+20.34	3-3
2015-10-29	@ New England Patriots	L 7-36	1491.53	1688.26	21.50%	78.32%	-12.41	3-4
2015-11-08	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-33	1479.12	1493.50	43.86%	55.89%	-18.81	3-5
2015-11-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 20-19	1460.31	1548.87	33.77%	66.00%	+7.07	4-5
2015-11-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-24	1467.38	1471.52	53.25%	46.50%	-18.04	4-6
2015-11-29	@ New York Jets	L 20-38	1449.34	1464.62	43.73%	56.02%	-19.89	4-7
2015-12-06	Baltimore Ravens	W 15-13	1429.45	1501.78	43.48%	56.27%	+8.52	5-7
2015-12-14	New York Giants	L 24-31	1437.97	1486.89	46.82%	52.93%	-13.27	5-8
2015-12-20	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-30	1424.70	1414.05	47.43%	52.32%	-20.34	5-9
2015-12-27	Indianapolis Colts	L 12-18	1404.36	1446.18	47.83%	51.92%	-12.56	5-10
2016-01-03	New England Patriots	W 20-10	1391.80	1676.69	18.48%	81.36%	+27.54	6-10
2015-09-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-20	1480.61	1519.56	40.42%	59.34%	-17.86	0-1
2015-09-20	Detroit Lions	W 26-16	1462.75	1507.50	47.41%	52.34%	+17.73	1-1
2015-09-27	San Diego Chargers	W 31-14	1480.48	1512.54	49.24%	50.51%	+22.32	2-1
2015-10-04	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-23	1502.80	1600.83	32.57%	67.21%	-6.05	2-2
2015-10-18	Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-10	1496.75	1496.49	53.88%	45.87%	+12.05	3-2
2015-10-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 28-19	1508.80	1456.13	53.47%	46.28%	+14.88	4-2
2015-11-01	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-20	1523.68	1400.20	63.33%	36.44%	+6.76	5-2
2015-11-08	St. Louis Rams	W 21-18	1530.44	1502.77	57.77%	41.99%	+7.80	6-2
2015-11-15	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-14	1538.24	1444.82	59.23%	40.53%	+17.38	7-2
2015-11-22	Green Bay Packers	L 13-30	1555.62	1587.46	49.27%	50.48%	-21.77	7-3
2015-11-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-10	1533.85	1499.35	50.86%	48.89%	+16.57	8-3
2015-12-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 7-38	1550.42	1620.82	43.75%	56.00%	-26.12	8-4
2015-12-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-23	1524.30	1644.38	29.85%	69.94%	-5.54	8-5
2015-12-20	Chicago Bears	W 38-17	1518.76	1425.79	66.57%	33.21%	+16.32	9-5
2015-12-27	New York Giants	W 49-17	1535.08	1494.49	59.57%	40.19%	+24.37	10-5
2016-01-03	@ Green Bay Packers	W 20-13	1559.45	1601.67	39.96%	59.79%	+16.95	11-5
2015-09-10	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 28-21	1619.85	1537.12	65.24%	34.53%	+9.80	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Buffalo Bills	W 40-32	1629.65	1529.25	60.20%	39.56%	+11.99	2-0
2015-09-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 51-17	1641.64	1397.91	82.56%	17.29%	+10.81	3-0
2015-10-11	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 30-6	1652.45	1534.35	62.61%	37.16%	+19.51	4-0
2015-10-18	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 34-27	1671.96	1523.19	66.64%	33.14%	+9.41	5-0
2015-10-25	New York Jets	W 30-23	1681.37	1512.44	75.49%	24.32%	+6.89	6-0
2015-10-29	Miami Dolphins	W 36-7	1688.26	1491.53	78.32%	21.50%	+12.42	7-0
2015-11-08	Washington Redskins	W 27-10	1700.68	1400.86	86.72%	13.15%	+5.81	8-0
2015-11-15	@ New York Giants	W 27-26	1706.49	1515.84	71.75%	28.04%	+3.00	9-0
2015-11-23	Buffalo Bills	W 20-13	1709.49	1524.44	77.16%	22.65%	+6.43	10-0
2015-11-29	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-30	1715.92	1605.67	61.55%	38.22%	-16.15	10-1
2015-12-06	Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-35	1699.77	1468.16	81.53%	18.31%	-23.09	10-2
2015-12-13	@ Houston Texans	W 27-6	1676.68	1489.31	71.37%	28.42%	+13.96	11-2
2015-12-20	Tennessee Titans	W 33-16	1690.64	1339.17	89.78%	10.12%	+4.47	12-2
2015-12-27	@ New York Jets	L 20-26	1695.11	1517.47	70.22%	29.57%	-18.42	12-3
2016-01-03	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-20	1676.69	1391.80	81.36%	18.48%	-27.54	12-4
2015-09-13	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 19-31	1489.59	1521.58	41.39%	58.37%	-15.37	0-1
2015-09-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-26	1474.22	1392.82	65.07%	34.70%	-18.44	0-2
2015-09-27	@ Carolina Panthers	L 22-27	1455.78	1542.08	34.07%	65.71%	-8.16	0-3
2015-10-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-20	1447.62	1550.23	39.26%	60.50%	+15.87	1-3
2015-10-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-39	1463.49	1510.48	39.31%	60.45%	-19.76	1-4
2015-10-15	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-21	1443.73	1543.05	39.71%	60.05%	+20.34	2-4
2015-10-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 27-21	1464.07	1513.79	38.93%	60.83%	+15.96	3-4
2015-11-01	New York Giants	W 52-49	1480.03	1508.84	49.70%	50.05%	+9.29	4-4
2015-11-08	Tennessee Titans	L 28-34	1489.32	1355.11	71.62%	28.18%	-18.79	4-5
2015-11-15	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-47	1470.53	1395.05	56.72%	43.04%	-34.91	4-6
2015-11-29	@ Houston Texans	L 6-24	1435.62	1486.29	38.81%	60.96%	-17.65	4-7
2015-12-06	Carolina Panthers	L 38-41	1417.97	1650.30	23.47%	76.35%	-4.36	4-8
2015-12-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-17	1413.61	1441.41	41.97%	57.78%	+16.38	5-8
2015-12-21	Detroit Lions	L 27-35	1429.99	1448.32	51.21%	48.54%	-15.52	5-9
2015-12-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 38-27	1414.47	1389.61	57.37%	42.38%	+15.07	6-9
2016-01-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 20-17	1429.54	1489.17	37.59%	62.17%	+11.54	7-9
2015-09-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 26-27	1485.28	1552.96	36.51%	63.26%	-3.92	0-1
2015-09-20	Atlanta Falcons	L 20-24	1481.36	1476.75	54.50%	45.25%	-11.68	0-2
2015-09-24	Washington Redskins	W 32-21	1469.68	1419.56	60.88%	38.88%	+13.83	1-2
2015-10-04	@ Buffalo Bills	W 24-10	1483.51	1545.06	37.33%	62.43%	+25.02	2-2
2015-10-11	San Francisco 49ers	W 30-27	1508.53	1470.30	59.24%	40.52%	+7.53	3-2
2015-10-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 7-27	1516.06	1530.25	43.89%	55.87%	-21.04	3-3
2015-10-25	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-20	1495.02	1514.84	51.00%	48.75%	+13.82	4-3
2015-11-01	@ New Orleans Saints	L 49-52	1508.84	1480.03	50.05%	49.70%	-9.29	4-4
2015-11-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 32-18	1499.55	1406.63	59.16%	40.60%	+16.29	5-4
2015-11-15	New England Patriots	L 26-27	1515.84	1706.49	28.04%	71.75%	-3.01	5-5
2015-11-29	@ Washington Redskins	L 14-20	1512.83	1417.51	59.49%	40.26%	-15.61	5-6
2015-12-06	New York Jets	L 20-23	1497.22	1484.51	55.65%	44.10%	-10.33	5-7
2015-12-14	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-24	1486.89	1437.97	52.93%	46.82%	+13.28	6-7
2015-12-20	Carolina Panthers	L 35-38	1500.17	1669.74	30.55%	69.24%	-5.68	6-8
2015-12-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 17-49	1494.49	1535.08	40.19%	59.57%	-24.37	6-9
2016-01-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 30-35	1470.12	1460.30	55.24%	44.51%	-13.24	6-10
2015-09-13	Cleveland Browns	W 31-10	1449.96	1442.70	54.88%	44.87%	+22.04	1-0
2015-09-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 20-7	1472.00	1521.45	38.97%	60.79%	+23.48	2-0
2015-09-27	Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-24	1495.48	1507.27	52.15%	47.60%	-14.79	2-1
2015-10-04	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-14	1480.69	1462.25	52.53%	47.22%	+18.25	3-1
2015-10-18	Washington Redskins	W 34-20	1498.94	1409.40	66.13%	33.65%	+13.50	4-1
2015-10-25	@ New England Patriots	L 23-30	1512.44	1681.37	24.32%	75.49%	-6.90	4-2
2015-11-01	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-34	1505.54	1428.03	57.00%	42.75%	-22.85	4-3
2015-11-08	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-23	1482.69	1366.61	69.45%	30.33%	+7.27	5-3
2015-11-12	Buffalo Bills	L 17-22	1489.96	1512.31	50.64%	49.11%	-12.13	5-4
2015-11-22	@ Houston Texans	L 17-24	1477.83	1473.08	46.59%	53.16%	-13.21	5-5
2015-11-29	Miami Dolphins	W 38-20	1464.62	1449.34	56.02%	43.73%	+19.89	6-5
2015-12-06	@ New York Giants	W 23-20	1484.51	1497.22	44.10%	55.65%	+10.33	7-5
2015-12-13	Tennessee Titans	W 30-8	1494.84	1352.89	72.51%	27.28%	+13.72	8-5
2015-12-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 19-16	1508.56	1467.97	51.74%	48.01%	+8.91	9-5
2015-12-27	New England Patriots	W 26-20	1517.47	1695.11	29.57%	70.22%	+18.42	10-5
2016-01-03	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-22	1535.89	1506.70	50.10%	49.65%	-12.01	10-6
2015-09-13	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-33	1411.66	1517.18	38.86%	60.90%	-18.63	0-1
2015-09-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 37-33	1393.03	1536.84	33.78%	66.00%	+14.14	1-1
2015-09-27	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-20	1407.17	1439.74	41.30%	58.45%	+16.56	2-1
2015-10-04	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-22	1423.73	1392.75	50.36%	49.39%	-7.63	2-2
2015-10-11	Denver Broncos	L 10-16	1416.10	1606.88	28.02%	71.77%	-7.36	2-3
2015-10-25	@ San Diego Chargers	W 37-29	1408.74	1479.43	36.11%	63.66%	+19.29	3-3
2015-11-01	New York Jets	W 34-20	1428.03	1505.54	42.75%	57.00%	+22.85	4-3
2015-11-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 35-38	1450.88	1548.32	32.64%	67.14%	-6.06	4-4
2015-11-15	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-30	1444.82	1538.24	40.53%	59.23%	-17.38	4-5
2015-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	L 13-18	1427.44	1427.00	45.97%	53.78%	-11.02	4-6
2015-11-29	@ Tennessee Titans	W 24-21	1416.42	1351.97	55.15%	44.60%	+8.28	5-6
2015-12-06	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-34	1424.70	1592.46	30.77%	69.02%	-12.34	5-7
2015-12-13	@ Denver Broncos	W 15-12	1412.36	1633.09	19.26%	80.57%	+14.94	6-7
2015-12-20	Green Bay Packers	L 20-30	1427.30	1615.58	28.31%	71.48%	-9.60	6-8
2015-12-24	San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1417.70	1434.39	51.45%	48.30%	+8.96	7-8
2016-01-03	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-23	1426.66	1631.29	20.74%	79.08%	-5.44	7-9
2015-09-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-26	1532.26	1468.40	55.07%	44.68%	-8.35	0-1
2015-09-20	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-20	1523.91	1556.87	49.11%	50.64%	-16.64	0-2
2015-09-27	@ New York Jets	W 24-17	1507.27	1495.48	47.60%	52.15%	+14.79	1-2
2015-10-04	@ Washington Redskins	L 20-23	1522.06	1405.74	62.37%	37.40%	-11.58	1-3
2015-10-11	New Orleans Saints	W 39-17	1510.48	1463.49	60.45%	39.31%	+19.77	2-3
2015-10-19	New York Giants	W 27-7	1530.25	1516.06	55.87%	43.89%	+21.04	3-3
2015-10-25	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-27	1551.29	1576.18	42.38%	57.38%	-15.07	3-4
2015-11-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 33-27	1536.22	1496.88	51.56%	48.19%	+12.65	4-4
2015-11-15	Miami Dolphins	L 19-20	1548.87	1460.31	66.00%	33.77%	-7.06	4-5
2015-11-22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-45	1541.81	1403.05	72.14%	27.65%	-40.88	4-6
2015-11-26	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-45	1500.93	1438.01	54.93%	44.82%	-32.77	4-7
2015-12-06	@ New England Patriots	W 35-28	1468.16	1699.77	18.31%	81.53%	+23.09	5-7
2015-12-13	Buffalo Bills	W 23-20	1491.25	1521.39	49.51%	50.24%	+9.32	6-7
2015-12-20	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-40	1500.57	1649.92	33.07%	66.71%	-17.00	6-8
2015-12-26	Washington Redskins	L 24-38	1483.57	1453.83	58.06%	41.70%	-23.27	6-9
2016-01-03	@ New York Giants	W 35-30	1460.30	1470.12	44.51%	55.24%	+13.23	7-9
2015-09-10	@ New England Patriots	L 21-28	1537.12	1619.85	34.53%	65.24%	-9.80	0-1
2015-09-20	San Francisco 49ers	W 43-18	1527.32	1537.43	52.39%	47.36%	+25.38	1-1
2015-09-27	@ St. Louis Rams	W 12-6	1552.70	1474.98	57.03%	42.72%	+11.22	2-1
2015-10-01	Baltimore Ravens	L 20-23	1563.92	1511.89	61.14%	38.62%	-11.35	2-2
2015-10-12	@ San Diego Chargers	W 24-20	1552.57	1497.02	53.89%	45.87%	+9.84	3-2
2015-10-18	Arizona Cardinals	W 25-13	1562.41	1594.49	49.23%	50.52%	+18.75	4-2
2015-10-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-23	1581.16	1484.45	59.69%	40.07%	-20.22	4-3
2015-11-01	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-16	1560.94	1601.21	48.06%	51.69%	-12.62	4-4
2015-11-08	Oakland Raiders	W 38-35	1548.32	1450.88	67.14%	32.64%	+6.07	5-4
2015-11-15	Cleveland Browns	W 30-9	1554.39	1384.20	75.62%	24.19%	+11.88	6-4
2015-11-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 30-39	1566.27	1607.94	40.04%	59.72%	-12.88	6-5
2015-12-06	Indianapolis Colts	W 45-10	1553.39	1528.19	57.42%	42.34%	+26.85	7-5
2015-12-13	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 33-20	1580.24	1626.47	39.41%	60.35%	+23.31	8-5
2015-12-20	Denver Broncos	W 34-27	1603.55	1618.15	51.75%	48.00%	+13.61	9-5
2015-12-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-20	1617.16	1457.85	67.97%	31.81%	-12.61	9-6
2016-01-03	@ Cleveland Browns	W 28-12	1604.55	1363.29	77.26%	22.56%	+9.67	10-6
2015-09-13	Detroit Lions	W 33-28	1511.87	1518.74	52.86%	46.89%	+11.24	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 19-24	1523.11	1535.82	44.10%	55.65%	-10.57	1-1
2015-09-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-31	1512.54	1480.48	50.51%	49.24%	-22.32	1-2
2015-10-04	Cleveland Browns	W 30-27	1490.22	1423.17	63.17%	36.59%	+6.80	2-2
2015-10-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-24	1497.02	1552.57	45.87%	53.89%	-9.84	2-3
2015-10-18	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-27	1487.18	1628.56	27.35%	72.45%	-7.75	2-4
2015-10-25	Oakland Raiders	L 29-37	1479.43	1408.74	63.66%	36.11%	-19.29	2-5
2015-11-01	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 26-29	1460.14	1487.25	42.07%	57.69%	-7.81	2-6
2015-11-09	Chicago Bears	L 19-22	1452.33	1393.43	62.08%	37.69%	-11.52	2-7
2015-11-22	Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-33	1440.81	1559.43	37.09%	62.68%	-21.78	2-8
2015-11-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-25	1419.03	1382.03	51.22%	48.53%	+12.74	3-8
2015-12-06	Denver Broncos	L 3-17	1431.77	1621.82	28.11%	71.68%	-11.27	3-9
2015-12-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 3-10	1420.50	1604.81	22.73%	77.09%	-6.45	3-10
2015-12-20	Miami Dolphins	W 30-14	1414.05	1424.70	52.32%	47.43%	+20.34	4-10
2015-12-24	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-23	1434.39	1417.70	48.30%	51.45%	-8.97	4-11
2016-01-03	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-27	1425.42	1613.29	22.37%	77.45%	-6.35	4-12
2015-09-14	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-3	1519.56	1480.61	59.34%	40.42%	+17.87	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 18-43	1537.43	1527.32	47.36%	52.39%	-25.38	1-1
2015-09-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 7-47	1512.05	1557.32	39.55%	60.21%	-26.81	1-2
2015-10-04	Green Bay Packers	L 3-17	1485.24	1602.74	37.24%	62.53%	-14.94	1-3
2015-10-11	@ New York Giants	L 27-30	1470.30	1508.53	40.52%	59.24%	-7.53	1-4
2015-10-18	Baltimore Ravens	W 25-20	1462.77	1510.56	46.98%	52.77%	+12.65	2-4
2015-10-22	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-20	1475.42	1591.95	37.37%	62.40%	-16.52	2-5
2015-11-01	@ St. Louis Rams	L 6-27	1458.90	1481.81	42.66%	57.10%	-20.96	2-6
2015-11-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 17-16	1437.94	1515.59	42.73%	57.02%	+6.11	3-6
2015-11-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-29	1444.05	1596.76	26.08%	73.73%	-11.18	3-7
2015-11-29	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-19	1432.87	1622.29	28.18%	71.61%	-7.40	3-8
2015-12-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-20	1425.47	1451.18	42.26%	57.49%	+15.09	4-8
2015-12-13	@ Cleveland Browns	L 10-24	1440.56	1349.08	58.96%	40.80%	-23.64	4-9
2015-12-20	Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-24	1416.92	1603.16	28.55%	71.24%	-9.68	4-10
2015-12-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-32	1407.24	1463.84	38.00%	61.76%	-15.78	4-11
2016-01-03	St. Louis Rams	W 19-16	1391.46	1472.69	42.23%	57.53%	+10.68	5-11
2015-09-13	@ St. Louis Rams	L 31-34	1626.88	1487.17	65.47%	34.30%	-12.15	0-1
2015-09-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-27	1614.73	1572.21	52.02%	47.73%	-17.62	0-2
2015-09-27	Chicago Bears	W 26-0	1597.11	1404.74	77.90%	21.93%	+11.98	1-2
2015-10-05	Detroit Lions	W 13-10	1609.09	1474.86	71.62%	28.17%	+5.23	2-2
2015-10-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1614.32	1574.12	51.68%	48.07%	-9.59	2-3
2015-10-18	Carolina Panthers	L 23-27	1604.73	1563.39	59.67%	40.09%	-12.78	2-4
2015-10-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 20-3	1591.95	1475.42	62.40%	37.37%	+16.52	3-4
2015-11-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 13-12	1608.47	1501.01	61.16%	38.60%	+4.13	4-4
2015-11-15	Arizona Cardinals	L 32-39	1612.60	1598.10	55.91%	43.84%	-15.84	4-5
2015-11-22	San Francisco 49ers	W 29-13	1596.76	1444.05	73.73%	26.08%	+11.18	5-5
2015-11-29	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 39-30	1607.94	1566.27	59.72%	40.04%	+12.88	6-5
2015-12-06	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 38-7	1620.82	1550.42	56.00%	43.75%	+26.11	7-5
2015-12-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 35-6	1646.93	1493.26	67.26%	32.52%	+18.78	8-5
2015-12-20	Cleveland Browns	W 30-13	1665.71	1372.71	86.26%	13.61%	+6.01	9-5
2015-12-27	St. Louis Rams	L 17-23	1671.72	1451.58	80.52%	19.32%	-21.11	9-6
2016-01-03	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 36-6	1650.61	1690.43	40.30%	59.46%	+34.88	10-6
2015-09-13	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-31	1487.17	1626.88	34.30%	65.47%	+12.14	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-24	1499.31	1395.23	60.70%	39.06%	-24.33	1-1
2015-09-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-12	1474.98	1552.70	42.72%	57.03%	-11.22	1-2
2015-10-04	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-22	1463.76	1584.13	29.81%	69.97%	+10.60	2-2
2015-10-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-24	1474.36	1617.68	27.13%	72.67%	-10.88	2-3
2015-10-25	Cleveland Browns	W 24-6	1463.48	1423.72	59.45%	40.31%	+18.33	3-3
2015-11-01	San Francisco 49ers	W 27-6	1481.81	1458.90	57.10%	42.66%	+20.96	4-3
2015-11-08	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 18-21	1502.77	1530.44	41.99%	57.77%	-7.80	4-4
2015-11-15	Chicago Bears	L 13-37	1494.97	1404.95	66.19%	33.59%	-34.73	4-5
2015-11-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 13-16	1460.24	1484.19	42.51%	57.24%	-7.89	4-6
2015-11-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-31	1452.35	1598.87	26.77%	73.03%	-14.06	4-7
2015-12-06	Arizona Cardinals	L 3-27	1438.29	1629.70	27.95%	71.84%	-14.68	4-8
2015-12-13	Detroit Lions	W 21-14	1423.61	1462.93	48.19%	51.56%	+14.62	5-8
2015-12-17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-23	1438.23	1425.03	55.72%	44.03%	+13.35	6-8
2015-12-27	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 23-17	1451.58	1671.72	19.32%	80.52%	+21.11	7-8
2016-01-03	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 16-19	1472.69	1391.46	57.53%	42.23%	-10.68	7-9
2015-09-13	Tennessee Titans	L 14-42	1425.41	1399.71	57.49%	42.27%	-32.59	0-1
2015-09-20	@ New Orleans Saints	W 26-19	1392.82	1474.22	34.70%	65.07%	+18.44	1-1
2015-09-27	@ Houston Texans	L 9-19	1411.26	1471.86	37.46%	62.31%	-12.70	1-2
2015-10-04	Carolina Panthers	L 23-37	1398.56	1550.25	32.77%	67.01%	-13.15	1-3
2015-10-11	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 38-31	1385.41	1381.50	54.40%	45.35%	+12.86	2-3
2015-10-25	@ Washington Redskins	L 30-31	1398.27	1395.90	46.25%	53.50%	-4.95	2-4
2015-11-01	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 23-20	1393.32	1528.90	28.02%	71.78%	+13.31	3-4
2015-11-08	New York Giants	L 18-32	1406.63	1499.55	40.60%	59.16%	-16.28	3-5
2015-11-15	Dallas Cowboys	W 10-6	1390.35	1484.22	40.46%	59.29%	+12.70	4-5
2015-11-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 45-17	1403.05	1541.81	27.65%	72.14%	+40.88	5-5
2015-11-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 12-25	1443.93	1514.21	36.16%	63.60%	-13.98	5-6
2015-12-06	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-19	1429.95	1482.78	46.26%	53.50%	+11.46	6-6
2015-12-13	New Orleans Saints	L 17-24	1441.41	1413.61	57.78%	41.97%	-16.38	6-7
2015-12-17	@ St. Louis Rams	L 23-31	1425.03	1438.23	44.03%	55.72%	-13.35	6-8
2015-12-27	Chicago Bears	L 21-26	1411.68	1409.47	54.16%	45.59%	-12.97	6-9
2016-01-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-38	1398.71	1654.56	16.32%	83.54%	-9.25	6-10
2015-09-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 42-14	1399.71	1425.41	42.27%	57.49%	+32.59	1-0
2015-09-20	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-28	1432.30	1420.66	47.58%	52.17%	-19.08	1-1
2015-09-27	Indianapolis Colts	L 33-35	1413.22	1497.97	41.73%	58.02%	-6.32	1-2
2015-10-11	Buffalo Bills	L 13-14	1406.90	1520.04	37.83%	61.94%	-4.06	1-3
2015-10-18	Miami Dolphins	L 10-38	1402.84	1444.00	47.93%	51.82%	-27.18	1-4
2015-10-25	Atlanta Falcons	L 7-10	1375.66	1522.71	33.36%	66.41%	-6.20	1-5
2015-11-01	@ Houston Texans	L 6-20	1369.46	1442.62	35.78%	63.98%	-14.35	1-6
2015-11-08	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-28	1355.11	1489.32	28.18%	71.62%	+18.78	2-6
2015-11-15	Carolina Panthers	L 10-27	1373.89	1612.03	22.87%	76.94%	-10.11	2-7
2015-11-19	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-19	1363.78	1370.21	44.99%	54.76%	-11.81	2-8
2015-11-29	Oakland Raiders	L 21-24	1351.97	1416.42	44.60%	55.15%	-8.28	2-9
2015-12-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-39	1343.69	1369.29	50.17%	49.58%	+9.20	3-9
2015-12-13	@ New York Jets	L 8-30	1352.89	1494.84	27.28%	72.51%	-13.72	3-10
2015-12-20	@ New England Patriots	L 16-33	1339.17	1690.64	10.12%	89.78%	-4.47	3-11
2015-12-27	Houston Texans	L 6-34	1334.70	1488.89	32.45%	67.32%	-18.41	3-12
2016-01-03	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-30	1316.29	1458.74	27.23%	72.57%	-7.15	3-13
2015-09-13	Miami Dolphins	L 10-17	1407.16	1489.68	42.05%	57.71%	-11.93	0-1
2015-09-20	St. Louis Rams	W 24-10	1395.23	1499.31	39.06%	60.70%	+24.33	1-1
2015-09-24	@ New York Giants	L 21-32	1419.56	1469.68	38.88%	60.88%	-13.82	1-2
2015-10-04	Philadelphia Eagles	W 23-20	1405.74	1522.06	37.40%	62.37%	+11.57	2-2
2015-10-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 19-25	1417.31	1535.14	30.12%	69.67%	-7.91	2-3
2015-10-18	@ New York Jets	L 20-34	1409.40	1498.94	33.65%	66.13%	-13.50	2-4
2015-10-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-30	1395.90	1398.27	53.50%	46.25%	+4.96	3-4
2015-11-08	@ New England Patriots	L 10-27	1400.86	1700.68	13.15%	86.72%	-5.81	3-5
2015-11-15	New Orleans Saints	W 47-14	1395.05	1470.53	43.04%	56.72%	+34.91	4-5
2015-11-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-44	1429.96	1622.14	21.94%	77.88%	-12.45	4-6
2015-11-29	New York Giants	W 20-14	1417.51	1512.83	40.26%	59.49%	+15.61	5-6
2015-12-07	Dallas Cowboys	L 16-19	1433.12	1473.85	47.99%	51.76%	-8.91	5-7
2015-12-13	@ Chicago Bears	W 24-21	1424.21	1436.09	44.22%	55.54%	+10.31	6-7
2015-12-20	Buffalo Bills	W 35-25	1434.52	1512.07	42.74%	57.01%	+19.31	7-7
2015-12-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-24	1453.83	1483.57	41.70%	58.06%	+23.27	8-7
2016-01-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-23	1477.10	1445.11	50.50%	49.25%	+5.84	9-7

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2016-01-16	Green Bay Packers	W 26-20	1655.54	1602.13	61.46%	38.54%	+10.09	1-0
2016-01-24	@ Carolina Panthers	L 15-49	1665.63	1677.88	44.29%	55.71%	-27.60	1-1
2016-01-17	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-24	1663.81	1689.61	50.26%	49.74%	+14.07	1-0
2016-01-24	Arizona Cardinals	W 49-15	1677.88	1665.63	55.71%	44.29%	+27.60	2-0
2016-02-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 10-24	1705.48	1640.37	59.26%	40.74%	-23.70	2-1
2016-01-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-18	1612.66	1614.22	53.74%	46.26%	-8.12	0-1
2016-01-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 23-16	1619.63	1622.35	53.58%	46.42%	+13.13	1-0
2016-01-24	New England Patriots	W 20-18	1632.76	1662.56	49.69%	50.31%	+7.61	2-0
2016-02-07	Carolina Panthers	W 24-10	1640.37	1705.48	40.74%	59.26%	+23.70	3-0
2016-01-10	@ Washington Redskins	W 35-18	1584.73	1482.94	60.51%	39.49%	+17.40	1-0
2016-01-16	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-26	1602.13	1655.54	38.54%	61.46%	-10.09	1-1
2016-01-09	Kansas City Chiefs	L 0-30	1522.19	1636.74	37.75%	62.25%	-22.10	0-1
2016-01-09	@ Houston Texans	W 30-0	1636.74	1522.19	62.25%	37.75%	+22.10	1-0
2016-01-16	@ New England Patriots	L 20-27	1658.84	1649.15	47.42%	52.58%	-13.41	1-1
2016-01-10	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-10	1576.40	1685.49	38.49%	61.51%	-4.12	0-1
2016-01-16	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-20	1649.15	1658.84	52.58%	47.42%	+13.41	1-0
2016-01-24	@ Denver Broncos	L 18-20	1662.56	1632.76	50.31%	49.69%	-7.60	1-1
2016-01-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 18-16	1614.22	1612.66	46.26%	53.74%	+8.13	1-0
2016-01-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-23	1622.35	1619.63	46.42%	53.58%	-13.13	1-1
2016-01-10	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 10-9	1685.49	1576.40	61.51%	38.49%	+4.12	1-0
2016-01-17	@ Carolina Panthers	L 24-31	1689.61	1663.81	49.74%	50.26%	-14.07	1-1
2016-01-10	Green Bay Packers	L 18-35	1482.94	1584.73	39.49%	60.51%	-17.41	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-12-06	18.31%	Philadelphia Eagles	1468.16	35	@ New England Patriots	1699.77	28
2	2016-01-03	18.48%	@ Miami Dolphins	1391.80	20	New England Patriots	1676.69	10
3	2015-12-13	19.26%	Oakland Raiders	1412.36	15	@ Denver Broncos	1633.09	12
4	2015-12-27	19.32%	St. Louis Rams	1451.58	23	@ Seattle Seahawks	1671.72	17
5	2015-11-15	22.78%	Detroit Lions	1415.33	18	@ Green Bay Packers	1599.12	16
6	2015-11-26	23.75%	Chicago Bears	1434.89	17	@ Green Bay Packers	1609.23	13
7	2015-11-16	24.59%	Houston Texans	1456.97	10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1623.32	6
8	2015-12-27	26.17%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1468.31	20	Carolina Panthers	1675.42	13
9	2015-11-22	27.65%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1403.05	45	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1541.81	17
10	2015-11-15	28.00%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1359.34	22	@ Baltimore Ravens	1495.06	20
11	2015-11-01	28.02%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1393.32	23	@ Atlanta Falcons	1528.90	20
12	2015-11-08	28.18%	Tennessee Titans	1355.11	34	@ New Orleans Saints	1489.32	28
13	2015-10-25	29.21%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1353.52	34	Buffalo Bills	1506.59	31
14	2015-12-27	29.57%	@ New York Jets	1517.47	26	New England Patriots	1695.11	20
15	2015-10-04	29.81%	St. Louis Rams	1463.76	24	@ Arizona Cardinals	1584.13	22
16	2015-10-11	31.46%	Cleveland Browns	1416.38	33	@ Baltimore Ravens	1523.24	30
17	2015-12-27	31.81%	@ Baltimore Ravens	1457.85	20	Pittsburgh Steelers	1617.16	17
18	2015-10-11	31.90%	Chicago Bears	1400.38	18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1503.76	17
19	2015-11-15	32.43%	Kansas City Chiefs	1530.58	29	@ Denver Broncos	1629.73	13
20	2015-11-08	32.92%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1491.67	27	Denver Broncos	1642.13	24
21	2015-11-15	33.59%	Chicago Bears	1404.95	37	@ St. Louis Rams	1494.97	13
22	2015-11-15	33.77%	Miami Dolphins	1460.31	20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1548.87	19
23	2015-09-20	33.78%	@ Oakland Raiders	1393.03	37	Baltimore Ravens	1536.84	33
24	2015-12-13	34.10%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1360.08	51	Indianapolis Colts	1501.34	16
25	2015-09-27	34.22%	Atlanta Falcons	1488.42	39	@ Dallas Cowboys	1573.51	28

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2015-12-13	41.61	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	51	1360.08	34.10%	Indianapolis Colts	16	1501.34	65.67%
2	2015-11-22	40.88	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	45	1403.05	27.65%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	17	1541.81	72.14%
3	2015-11-15	34.91	@ Washington Redskins	47	1395.05	43.04%	New Orleans Saints	14	1470.53	56.72%
4	2016-01-03	34.89	Seattle Seahawks	36	1650.61	40.30%	@ Arizona Cardinals	6	1690.43	59.46%
5	2015-11-15	34.73	Chicago Bears	37	1404.95	33.59%	@ St. Louis Rams	13	1494.97	66.19%
6	2015-11-26	32.78	@ Detroit Lions	45	1438.01	44.82%	Philadelphia Eagles	14	1500.93	54.93%
7	2015-09-13	32.59	Tennessee Titans	42	1399.71	42.27%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14	1425.41	57.49%
8	2015-11-15	28.85	Kansas City Chiefs	29	1530.58	32.43%	@ Denver Broncos	13	1629.73	67.35%
9	2015-09-27	27.81	Buffalo Bills	41	1517.25	49.81%	@ Miami Dolphins	14	1490.06	49.94%
10	2016-01-24 *	27.60	@ Carolina Panthers	49	1677.88	55.71%	Arizona Cardinals	15	1665.63	44.29%
11	2016-01-03	27.54	@ Miami Dolphins	20	1391.80	18.48%	New England Patriots	10	1676.69	81.36%
12	2015-10-18	27.19	Miami Dolphins	38	1444.00	51.82%	@ Tennessee Titans	10	1402.84	47.93%
13	2015-12-06	26.85	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	45	1553.39	57.42%	Indianapolis Colts	10	1528.19	42.34%
14	2015-09-27	26.81	@ Arizona Cardinals	47	1557.32	60.21%	San Francisco 49ers	7	1512.05	39.55%
15	2015-12-06	26.12	Seattle Seahawks	38	1620.82	56.00%	@ Minnesota Vikings	7	1550.42	43.75%
16	2015-11-01	25.91	@ Kansas City Chiefs	45	1504.67	58.90%	Detroit Lions	10	1441.24	40.86%
17	2015-09-20	25.38	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	43	1527.32	52.39%	San Francisco 49ers	18	1537.43	47.36%
18	2015-10-04	25.02	New York Giants	24	1483.51	37.33%	@ Buffalo Bills	10	1545.06	62.43%
19	2015-12-27	24.37	@ Minnesota Vikings	49	1535.08	59.57%	New York Giants	17	1494.49	40.19%
20	2015-09-20	24.33	@ Washington Redskins	24	1395.23	39.06%	St. Louis Rams	10	1499.31	60.70%
21	2016-02-07 *	23.70	@ Denver Broncos	24	1640.37	40.74%	Carolina Panthers	10	1705.48	59.26%
22	2015-12-13	23.64	@ Cleveland Browns	24	1349.08	40.80%	San Francisco 49ers	10	1440.56	58.96%
23	2015-12-27	23.51	@ Arizona Cardinals	38	1666.92	59.73%	Green Bay Packers	8	1625.18	40.03%
24	2015-09-21	23.48	New York Jets	20	1472.00	38.97%	@ Indianapolis Colts	7	1521.45	60.79%
25	2015-10-04	23.43	@ Atlanta Falcons	48	1511.71	57.69%	Houston Texans	21	1484.56	42.06%