2014 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

New England Patriots

4th Super Bowl

Last Title: 2004

Runner-Up

Seattle Seahawks

3rd SB App.

Last Appearance: 2013

Biggest Overachiever

Green Bay Packers

3.15 wins above expected

12 wins · 8.85 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Tennessee Titans

4.80 wins below expected

2 wins · 6.80 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	12	4	.750	-	468	313	+155	10.83	+1.17
2	Buffalo Bills	9	7	.562	3	343	289	+54	7.54	+1.46
3	Miami Dolphins	8	8	.500	4	388	373	+15	8.28	-0.28
4	New York Jets	4	12	.250	8	283	401	-118	5.27	-1.27

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	11	5	0	.688	-	436	368	+68	9.69	+1.31
2	Cincinnati Bengals Playoffs	10	5	1	.656	0.5	365	344	+21	9.14	+1.36
3	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	10	6	0	.625	1	409	302	+107	9.40	+0.60
4	Cleveland Browns	7	9	0	.438	4	299	337	-38	6.81	+0.19

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	11	5	.688	-	458	369	+89	9.97	+1.03
2	Houston Texans	9	7	.562	2	372	307	+65	7.08	+1.92
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	3	13	.188	8	249	412	-163	4.18	-1.18
4	Tennessee Titans	2	14	.125	9	254	438	-184	6.80	-4.80

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	12	4	.750	-	482	354	+128	10.53	+1.47
2	Kansas City Chiefs	9	7	.562	3	353	281	+72	8.51	+0.49
3	San Diego Chargers	9	7	.562	3	348	348	0	9.01	-0.01
4	Oakland Raiders	3	13	.188	9	253	452	-199	3.34	-0.34

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Dallas Cowboys Division	12	4	.750	-	467	352	+115	9.12	+2.88
2	Philadelphia Eagles	10	6	.625	2	474	400	+74	9.78	+0.22
3	New York Giants	6	10	.375	6	380	400	-20	7.23	-1.23
4	Washington Redskins	4	12	.250	8	301	438	-137	4.90	-0.90

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	12	4	.750	-	486	348	+138	8.85	+3.15
2	Detroit Lions Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	321	282	+39	8.77	+2.23
3	Minnesota Vikings	7	9	.438	5	325	343	-18	7.59	-0.59
4	Chicago Bears	5	11	.312	7	319	442	-123	6.88	-1.88

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	7	8	1	.469	-	339	374	-35	8.35	-0.85
2	New Orleans Saints	7	9	0	.438	0.5	401	424	-23	9.39	-2.39
3	Atlanta Falcons	6	10	0	.375	1.5	381	417	-36	6.34	-0.34
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	14	0	.125	5.5	277	410	-133	5.36	-3.36

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	12	4	.750	-	394	254	+140	11.21	+0.79
2	Arizona Cardinals Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	310	299	+11	9.56	+1.44
3	San Francisco 49ers	8	8	.500	4	306	340	-34	9.70	-1.70
4	St. Louis Rams	6	10	.375	6	324	354	-30	6.59	-0.59

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Baltimore Ravens 30

Pittsburgh Steelers 17

Jan 3

Indianapolis Colts 26

Cincinnati Bengals 10

Jan 4

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 35

Baltimore Ravens 31

Jan 10

Indianapolis Colts 24

Denver Broncos 13

Jan 11

Conference Championship

New England Patriots 45

Indianapolis Colts 7

Jan 18

NFC

Wild Card Round

Carolina Panthers 27

Arizona Cardinals 16

Jan 3

Dallas Cowboys 24

Detroit Lions 20

Jan 4

Divisional Round

Seattle Seahawks 31

Carolina Panthers 17

Jan 10

Green Bay Packers 26

Dallas Cowboys 21

Jan 11

Conference Championship

Seattle Seahawks 28

Green Bay Packers 22

Jan 18

Super Bowl

New England Patriots 28

Seattle Seahawks 24

Feb 1

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1780	12	11.21	+0.79	77.11%	2	8	10	11	12	14	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1725	12	10.83	+1.17	82.90%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1677	12	10.53	+1.47	86.60%	3	7	9	11	12	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1641	12	8.85	+3.15	97.81%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1635	12	9.12	+2.88	97.14%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1625	11	9.69	+1.31	83.56%	1	7	8	10	11	13	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1585	11	9.56	+1.44	85.37%	2	6	8	10	11	13	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1577	10	9.40	+0.60	72.53%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1575	10	9.78	+0.22	65.09%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1571	9	8.51	+0.49	70.92%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1570	10.5	9.14	+1.36	76.74%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1567	11	9.97	+1.03	79.75%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1558	11	8.77	+2.23	93.36%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1550	8	9.70	-1.70	25.91%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1530	9	9.01	-0.01	61.03%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1529	7.5	8.35	-0.85	33.40%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1521	9	7.54	+1.46	85.35%	0	4	6	8	9	11	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1492	9	7.08	+1.92	90.41%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1476	8	8.28	-0.28	55.19%	1	5	7	8	10	11	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1476	7	9.39	-2.39	16.77%	1	6	8	9	11	12	16
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1468	6	6.59	-0.59	49.34%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1462	6	7.23	-1.23	36.07%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1454	7	7.59	-0.59	49.12%	0	4	6	8	9	11	15
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1422	6	6.34	-0.34	54.43%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1383	4	5.27	-1.27	34.77%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1371	7	6.81	+0.19	65.35%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1359	5	6.88	-1.88	23.78%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1304	3	3.34	-0.34	56.82%	0	1	2	3	4	6	11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1302	2	5.36	-3.36	5.52%	0	2	4	5	7	8	13
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1287	4	4.90	-0.90	42.66%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1269	3	4.18	-1.18	36.35%	0	2	3	4	5	7	13
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1257	2	6.80	-4.80	0.76%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New England Patriots	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)
New York Jets	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	-	4-0 (1.8 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	4-0 (2.3 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	3-0-1 (2.4 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	4-0 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (0.6 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.7 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.6 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	0-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	1-2-1 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.6 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	-	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	-	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	3-1 (3.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	1-3 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.39%	1.37%	1.37%	0.78%	0.59%	0.20%	4.69%
7–13	0.39%	1.17%	4.10%	5.47%	2.34%	0.98%	0.39%	14.84%
14–20	1.37%	4.10%	7.03%	4.88%	4.49%	2.34%	2.15%	26.37%
21–27	1.37%	5.47%	4.88%	7.42%	3.32%	1.17%	1.95%	25.59%
28–34	0.78%	2.34%	4.49%	3.32%	2.73%	1.37%	0.20%	15.23%
35–41	0.59%	0.98%	2.34%	1.17%	1.37%	1.56%	0.20%	8.20%
42+	0.20%	0.39%	2.15%	1.95%	0.20%	0.20%	—	5.08%
Total	4.69%	14.84%	26.37%	25.59%	15.23%	8.20%	5.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.59	22.59	+0.00
SD	10.49	10.49	15.84
CV	0.46	0.46	—
Max	56	56	+52
Min	0	0	-52

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	62.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	18.69	+0.69
SD	7.98	9.39	13.21
CV	0.41	0.50	—
Max	31	41	+17
Min	3	6	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	—	31.25%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.81	26.06	-2.25
SD	13.07	8.96	17.07
CV	0.55	0.34	—
Max	56	43	+42
Min	3	14	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	37.50%	12.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.56	18.88	+6.69
SD	9.34	10.63	14.61
CV	0.37	0.56	—
Max	48	43	+31
Min	13	6	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	25.00%	37.50%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.44	18.06	+3.38
SD	9.24	8.27	13.78
CV	0.43	0.46	—
Max	43	37	+35
Min	9	3	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	12.50%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	6.25%	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	23.38	-2.19
SD	9.80	13.09	18.32
CV	0.46	0.56	—
Max	41	45	+31
Min	9	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%
21–27	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.94	27.62	-7.69
SD	5.92	13.45	15.07
CV	0.30	0.49	—
Max	28	55	+14
Min	9	13	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.81	21.50	+1.31
SD	10.83	12.52	17.78
CV	0.47	0.58	—
Max	37	43	+30
Min	0	0	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	43.75%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	21.06	-2.38
SD	9.51	7.43	13.64
CV	0.51	0.35	—
Max	31	30	+21
Min	0	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	—	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.19	22.00	+7.19
SD	10.39	7.51	14.76
CV	0.36	0.34	—
Max	44	33	+35
Min	10	7	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	6.25%	50.00%	25.00%	—	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.12	22.12	+8.00
SD	10.44	9.15	15.04
CV	0.35	0.41	—
Max	47	43	+33
Min	7	10	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	56.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.06	17.62	+2.44
SD	8.95	7.68	12.80
CV	0.45	0.44	—
Max	35	34	+21
Min	6	3	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%	31.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.38	21.75	+8.62
SD	13.71	10.17	18.35
CV	0.45	0.47	—
Max	55	44	+41
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	19.19	+4.06
SD	8.19	8.27	11.65
CV	0.35	0.43	—
Max	45	33	+24
Min	10	6	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	—	18.75%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.62	23.06	+5.56
SD	10.98	14.38	18.53
CV	0.38	0.62	—
Max	49	51	+27
Min	7	0	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.56	25.75	-10.19
SD	5.86	10.15	12.45
CV	0.38	0.39	—
Max	25	44	+18
Min	3	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	17.56	+4.50
SD	8.84	6.65	13.63
CV	0.40	0.38	—
Max	41	29	+27
Min	10	7	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.25	23.31	+0.94
SD	9.75	12.17	17.48
CV	0.40	0.52	—
Max	38	41	+37
Min	10	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.31	21.44	-1.12
SD	11.53	9.74	14.85
CV	0.57	0.45	—
Max	41	42	+28
Min	3	6	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
Total	—	25.00%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.25	19.56	+9.69
SD	12.65	8.99	16.76
CV	0.43	0.46	—
Max	51	41	+28
Min	9	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.06	26.50	-1.44
SD	9.68	9.47	14.56
CV	0.39	0.36	—
Max	44	41	+21
Min	10	9	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.75	25.00	-1.25
SD	11.18	9.71	17.25
CV	0.47	0.39	—
Max	45	40	+31
Min	0	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	25.06	-7.38
SD	8.79	9.10	13.13
CV	0.50	0.36	—
Max	37	43	+13
Min	0	11	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.81	28.25	-12.44
SD	7.68	11.62	15.45
CV	0.49	0.41	—
Max	28	52	+11
Min	0	13	-52

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	56.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	29.62	25.00	+4.62
SD	8.52	11.55	15.75
CV	0.29	0.46	—
Max	45	53	+27
Min	14	0	-33

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	43.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.25	23.00	+4.25
SD	12.34	7.13	12.69
CV	0.45	0.31	—
Max	51	35	+21
Min	6	9	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	21.75	+0.00
SD	10.95	10.64	15.42
CV	0.50	0.49	—
Max	38	37	+31
Min	0	0	-37

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.12	21.25	-2.12
SD	8.81	8.69	10.42
CV	0.46	0.41	—
Max	35	42	+14
Min	3	10	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	12.50%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.62	15.88	+8.75
SD	7.16	9.50	10.66
CV	0.29	0.60	—
Max	38	30	+29
Min	13	3	-9

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.25	22.12	-1.88
SD	12.14	12.83	19.75
CV	0.60	0.58	—
Max	52	37	+52
Min	6	0	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	—	12.50%	56.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.31	25.62	-8.31
SD	6.66	12.51	13.96
CV	0.38	0.49	—
Max	31	56	+20
Min	3	7	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	43.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.88	27.38	-11.50
SD	7.06	10.39	12.15
CV	0.44	0.38	—
Max	28	45	+16
Min	7	10	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.81	27.38	-8.56
SD	10.54	11.32	15.13
CV	0.56	0.41	—
Max	41	49	+31
Min	0	10	-31

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.63	+0.4
Allowed	0.53	-0.4
Differential	0.90	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Green Bay Packers	12	8.85	+3.15
2	Dallas Cowboys	12	9.12	+2.88
3	Detroit Lions	11	8.77	+2.23
4	Houston Texans	9	7.08	+1.92
5	Denver Broncos	12	10.53	+1.47

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Tennessee Titans	2	6.80	-4.80
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2	5.36	-3.36
3	New Orleans Saints	7	9.39	-2.39
4	Chicago Bears	5	6.88	-1.88
5	San Francisco 49ers	8	9.70	-1.70

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dallas Cowboys	6	Sep 14 – Oct 19	1 in 86
2	New England Patriots	7	Oct 5 – Nov 23	1 in 23
3	Kansas City Chiefs	5	Oct 19 – Nov 16	1 in 22
4	Carolina Panthers	4	Dec 7 – Dec 28	1 in 16
5	Seattle Seahawks	6	Nov 23 – Dec 28	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Tennessee Titans	10	Oct 19 – Dec 28	1 in 182
2	San Francisco 49ers	4	Nov 27 – Dec 20	1 in 38
3	Carolina Panthers	6	Oct 19 – Nov 30	1 in 38
4	New York Jets	8	Sep 14 – Nov 2	1 in 30
5	New York Giants	7	Oct 12 – Nov 30	1 in 29

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	76.07%	18.31%	4.96%	0.66%
Miami Dolphins	14.75%	44.33%	31.38%	9.54%
Buffalo Bills	8.42%	31.11%	42.80%	17.66%
New York Jets	0.76%	6.25%	20.85%	72.14%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	37.68%	30.09%	22.75%	9.47%
Baltimore Ravens	31.09%	30.55%	26.80%	11.57%
Cincinnati Bengals	27.40%	29.73%	28.80%	14.07%
Cleveland Browns	3.84%	9.63%	21.65%	64.88%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	77.14%	17.09%	5.08%	0.69%
Houston Texans	12.85%	41.54%	34.99%	10.61%
Tennessee Titans	9.34%	35.45%	40.73%	14.48%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.67%	5.92%	19.19%	74.21%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	60.57%	26.66%	12.54%	0.23%
San Diego Chargers	23.22%	39.41%	36.05%	1.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	16.19%	33.57%	48.08%	2.16%
Oakland Raiders	0.03%	0.36%	3.33%	96.28%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	52.64%	32.54%	12.75%	2.07%
Dallas Cowboys	37.00%	41.28%	18.63%	3.08%
New York Giants	9.62%	22.43%	49.95%	17.99%
Washington Redskins	0.73%	3.74%	18.66%	76.86%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	38.14%	29.72%	20.19%	11.95%
Detroit Lions	36.69%	30.29%	21.02%	12.00%
Minnesota Vikings	16.06%	23.27%	30.54%	30.13%
Chicago Bears	9.12%	16.72%	28.25%	45.91%

Team	1	2	3	4
New Orleans Saints	58.59%	27.62%	10.62%	3.17%
Carolina Panthers	30.38%	41.34%	20.48%	7.80%
Atlanta Falcons	7.88%	20.40%	40.24%	31.48%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.15%	10.63%	28.67%	57.55%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	57.66%	27.18%	13.02%	2.15%
San Francisco 49ers	20.74%	34.83%	34.67%	9.76%
Arizona Cardinals	20.46%	32.88%	35.53%	11.13%
St. Louis Rams	1.15%	5.12%	16.77%	76.96%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	25.84%	19.14%	14.99%	11.24%	8.01%	6.15%	4.82%	3.41%	2.35%	1.65%	1.18%	0.70%	0.33%	0.14%	0.05%	<0.01%
Denver Broncos	21.46%	16.97%	13.87%	11.20%	9.19%	7.42%	5.82%	4.49%	3.44%	2.62%	1.74%	1.05%	0.49%	0.17%	0.06%	0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	13.57%	14.18%	14.47%	13.57%	10.39%	8.26%	6.53%	5.61%	4.41%	3.10%	2.48%	1.75%	0.97%	0.46%	0.21%	0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	10.03%	11.78%	11.27%	10.83%	10.15%	9.12%	7.98%	6.96%	6.30%	5.21%	3.81%	2.96%	2.20%	0.97%	0.36%	0.07%
Baltimore Ravens	7.92%	9.40%	9.88%	10.07%	10.10%	9.61%	8.60%	7.84%	7.45%	6.22%	4.80%	3.60%	2.75%	1.27%	0.41%	0.09%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.02%	8.10%	8.67%	9.11%	9.60%	9.36%	8.98%	8.22%	7.97%	7.11%	5.49%	4.36%	3.53%	1.76%	0.61%	0.13%
San Diego Chargers	5.46%	6.79%	7.85%	8.88%	9.89%	10.23%	9.97%	9.32%	8.50%	7.78%	6.60%	4.56%	2.41%	1.16%	0.46%	0.14%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.40%	4.69%	5.79%	6.90%	8.30%	9.13%	9.54%	9.70%	9.90%	9.84%	8.82%	6.75%	4.15%	1.94%	0.85%	0.29%
Miami Dolphins	2.70%	3.84%	5.05%	6.34%	7.99%	9.23%	9.93%	9.96%	9.42%	9.02%	8.61%	7.13%	4.96%	3.45%	1.72%	0.65%
Buffalo Bills	1.14%	1.90%	2.88%	3.82%	5.27%	6.70%	7.95%	8.85%	9.48%	10.51%	11.13%	10.46%	8.44%	6.76%	3.37%	1.33%
Houston Texans	0.63%	1.36%	2.05%	3.25%	4.02%	5.46%	7.05%	8.62%	9.38%	10.22%	11.08%	11.92%	10.81%	7.17%	4.53%	2.44%
Tennessee Titans	0.38%	0.86%	1.53%	2.34%	3.30%	4.22%	6.06%	7.76%	8.85%	9.88%	11.46%	13.05%	12.34%	8.89%	6.29%	2.80%
Cleveland Browns	0.40%	0.90%	1.46%	2.01%	2.94%	3.73%	4.50%	5.79%	7.54%	8.99%	10.56%	13.15%	16.15%	12.20%	6.72%	2.97%
New York Jets	0.04%	0.08%	0.21%	0.34%	0.62%	1.00%	1.63%	2.32%	3.23%	4.78%	7.14%	10.04%	14.52%	24.07%	18.58%	11.41%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.18%	0.32%	0.55%	0.93%	1.44%	2.41%	3.82%	6.24%	10.44%	16.75%	29.53%	27.24%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.09%	0.20%	0.36%	0.68%	1.29%	2.30%	5.52%	12.84%	26.25%	50.39%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	36.54%	17.65%	11.75%	9.08%	7.12%	5.09%	3.83%	3.02%	2.29%	1.51%	0.94%	0.56%	0.33%	0.20%	0.07%	0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.97%	14.08%	12.28%	10.51%	9.70%	8.71%	7.73%	6.46%	5.32%	4.15%	3.37%	2.41%	1.57%	0.95%	0.56%	0.23%
San Francisco 49ers	11.50%	9.82%	9.88%	10.61%	10.30%	8.92%	8.23%	7.68%	7.00%	5.23%	3.87%	2.92%	1.98%	1.23%	0.62%	0.22%
New Orleans Saints	8.12%	11.60%	12.12%	11.05%	9.72%	8.85%	7.83%	7.16%	5.97%	4.77%	4.05%	3.26%	2.34%	1.57%	1.06%	0.52%
Arizona Cardinals	10.96%	9.41%	9.38%	10.00%	9.93%	8.84%	8.06%	7.61%	7.14%	5.71%	4.38%	3.28%	2.49%	1.63%	0.87%	0.31%
Dallas Cowboys	6.28%	9.42%	9.47%	9.35%	9.66%	9.69%	9.23%	8.29%	7.29%	6.19%	5.19%	4.05%	2.62%	1.64%	1.07%	0.55%
Green Bay Packers	4.59%	8.02%	9.05%	8.98%	8.84%	9.00%	8.79%	8.07%	7.32%	7.09%	5.84%	4.80%	4.01%	3.16%	1.70%	0.74%
Detroit Lions	3.94%	7.41%	8.76%	9.00%	8.68%	8.98%	8.88%	8.23%	7.61%	7.21%	6.08%	5.07%	4.05%	3.34%	1.94%	0.83%
Carolina Panthers	2.99%	5.16%	6.40%	7.19%	7.81%	8.77%	9.00%	9.39%	8.60%	7.86%	7.27%	6.41%	5.03%	3.80%	2.71%	1.63%
Minnesota Vikings	1.10%	2.59%	3.78%	4.60%	5.24%	6.19%	7.08%	7.41%	8.16%	9.30%	9.12%	8.67%	8.36%	7.95%	6.44%	4.00%
New York Giants	0.88%	2.04%	2.50%	3.15%	4.07%	5.10%	5.95%	7.00%	8.19%	9.53%	10.83%	11.03%	9.67%	8.05%	6.91%	5.11%
Chicago Bears	0.47%	1.31%	2.07%	2.45%	3.36%	4.29%	5.10%	5.78%	6.98%	8.58%	9.34%	9.95%	11.27%	12.05%	10.13%	6.87%
Atlanta Falcons	0.23%	0.71%	1.21%	1.75%	2.32%	3.11%	4.07%	5.25%	6.33%	7.69%	9.48%	10.77%	11.51%	11.83%	12.25%	11.49%
St. Louis Rams	0.38%	0.54%	0.91%	1.46%	2.02%	2.53%	3.40%	4.62%	6.21%	7.32%	9.03%	11.87%	14.61%	14.69%	11.96%	8.46%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.04%	0.18%	0.33%	0.61%	0.90%	1.38%	1.91%	2.71%	3.54%	4.74%	6.60%	8.42%	10.65%	13.70%	18.14%	26.14%
Washington Redskins	0.01%	0.06%	0.12%	0.22%	0.33%	0.55%	0.90%	1.31%	2.04%	3.13%	4.63%	6.54%	9.52%	14.21%	23.56%	32.88%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Seattle Seahawks	20.68%	14.87%	10.16%	8.21%	6.90%	5.53%	5.22%	4.02%	3.98%	3.15%	2.78%	2.20%	2.16%	1.83%	1.66%	1.25%	1.19%	0.97%	0.76%	0.63%	0.48%	0.34%	0.31%	0.24%	0.17%	0.11%	0.08%	0.04%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	-
New England Patriots	14.31%	12.24%	9.98%	9.07%	7.48%	7.00%	5.62%	5.35%	4.13%	3.79%	3.24%	2.96%	2.48%	2.32%	1.80%	1.63%	1.28%	1.13%	0.87%	0.83%	0.61%	0.58%	0.40%	0.33%	0.17%	0.16%	0.09%	0.08%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Denver Broncos	11.85%	10.20%	9.12%	7.82%	7.32%	6.34%	5.96%	5.16%	4.98%	4.17%	3.92%	3.37%	2.96%	2.76%	2.33%	2.13%	1.80%	1.62%	1.30%	1.26%	0.86%	0.85%	0.49%	0.53%	0.31%	0.27%	0.12%	0.11%	0.04%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	6.91%	7.19%	7.16%	7.04%	6.97%	6.88%	6.13%	6.55%	4.70%	5.21%	4.22%	4.36%	3.28%	3.32%	2.83%	3.12%	2.20%	2.23%	1.62%	1.71%	1.27%	1.32%	0.94%	0.89%	0.58%	0.54%	0.32%	0.24%	0.14%	0.11%	0.03%	0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	5.72%	6.17%	6.74%	6.74%	6.01%	6.14%	5.36%	5.49%	4.77%	4.99%	4.52%	4.59%	4.07%	3.72%	3.29%	3.19%	2.83%	2.61%	2.33%	1.96%	1.86%	1.55%	1.35%	1.01%	0.88%	0.66%	0.58%	0.35%	0.28%	0.14%	0.09%	0.02%
Pittsburgh Steelers	4.86%	5.73%	5.99%	5.88%	5.66%	5.83%	5.32%	5.41%	5.07%	4.95%	4.55%	4.35%	3.96%	4.11%	3.51%	3.39%	3.02%	2.98%	2.63%	2.41%	1.99%	1.93%	1.43%	1.42%	1.07%	0.93%	0.60%	0.47%	0.25%	0.20%	0.10%	0.02%
San Francisco 49ers	5.39%	5.63%	5.45%	5.02%	5.63%	4.93%	5.63%	4.91%	5.65%	5.07%	4.70%	4.16%	4.49%	4.04%	4.03%	3.31%	3.65%	3.14%	2.89%	2.30%	2.09%	1.70%	1.55%	1.24%	1.04%	0.74%	0.65%	0.41%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%	0.03%
Arizona Cardinals	5.17%	5.23%	5.19%	4.91%	5.32%	4.71%	5.38%	4.68%	5.30%	4.66%	4.69%	4.19%	4.49%	3.97%	4.15%	3.35%	3.65%	3.27%	3.14%	2.62%	2.19%	2.01%	1.84%	1.48%	1.26%	1.02%	0.82%	0.54%	0.40%	0.22%	0.13%	0.04%
New Orleans Saints	3.89%	4.54%	5.32%	5.70%	5.57%	5.76%	5.56%	5.46%	4.83%	4.86%	4.71%	4.56%	4.25%	3.65%	3.90%	3.56%	3.39%	2.85%	2.59%	2.33%	2.40%	1.95%	1.80%	1.50%	1.33%	1.08%	0.90%	0.66%	0.53%	0.31%	0.20%	0.05%
Baltimore Ravens	3.63%	4.54%	4.72%	4.95%	4.99%	5.23%	4.98%	5.06%	5.15%	4.85%	4.71%	4.58%	4.41%	4.34%	3.94%	3.74%	3.71%	3.50%	3.18%	2.85%	2.47%	2.23%	1.89%	1.63%	1.36%	1.22%	0.76%	0.68%	0.32%	0.25%	0.09%	0.05%
Dallas Cowboys	2.68%	3.44%	4.31%	4.58%	4.59%	4.76%	4.82%	4.86%	4.81%	4.97%	4.86%	5.06%	4.60%	4.53%	4.12%	4.25%	3.85%	3.81%	3.24%	3.08%	2.74%	2.54%	2.20%	1.85%	1.48%	1.17%	0.95%	0.65%	0.58%	0.33%	0.24%	0.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	3.19%	3.71%	4.02%	4.37%	4.41%	4.49%	4.67%	4.61%	4.86%	4.63%	4.64%	4.62%	4.45%	4.49%	4.27%	3.98%	3.84%	3.85%	3.49%	3.40%	2.74%	2.64%	2.17%	2.14%	1.76%	1.60%	1.00%	0.91%	0.46%	0.39%	0.13%	0.05%
San Diego Chargers	2.45%	3.07%	3.59%	3.54%	4.12%	4.08%	4.50%	4.51%	5.01%	4.79%	4.72%	4.99%	4.63%	5.23%	4.40%	4.63%	4.02%	4.29%	3.47%	4.09%	2.92%	3.34%	2.18%	2.35%	1.39%	1.34%	0.78%	0.72%	0.39%	0.26%	0.12%	0.06%
Green Bay Packers	2.04%	2.57%	3.53%	4.04%	4.17%	4.50%	4.37%	4.74%	4.38%	4.55%	4.75%	4.47%	4.58%	4.34%	4.25%	4.08%	4.06%	3.70%	3.87%	3.35%	3.28%	2.80%	2.79%	2.25%	2.16%	1.81%	1.67%	1.11%	0.88%	0.51%	0.31%	0.11%
Detroit Lions	1.61%	2.39%	3.07%	3.86%	3.83%	4.58%	4.25%	4.73%	4.25%	4.69%	4.61%	4.62%	4.64%	4.40%	4.37%	4.04%	4.27%	3.75%	3.95%	3.28%	3.45%	2.98%	2.89%	2.28%	2.35%	1.80%	1.79%	1.22%	1.02%	0.56%	0.35%	0.11%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.51%	1.88%	2.44%	2.44%	3.07%	3.00%	3.52%	3.56%	4.18%	4.15%	4.21%	4.56%	4.62%	4.85%	4.56%	4.89%	4.67%	4.97%	4.41%	4.97%	3.90%	4.35%	3.09%	3.52%	2.18%	2.37%	1.32%	1.20%	0.71%	0.53%	0.24%	0.13%
Carolina Panthers	1.20%	1.65%	2.32%	2.64%	3.07%	3.14%	3.58%	3.63%	3.91%	3.99%	4.61%	4.27%	4.59%	4.23%	4.77%	4.70%	4.53%	4.28%	4.25%	3.92%	4.12%	3.59%	3.57%	3.00%	2.89%	2.40%	2.20%	1.64%	1.43%	1.01%	0.68%	0.20%
Miami Dolphins	1.08%	1.54%	1.81%	2.22%	2.58%	2.72%	3.13%	3.39%	3.90%	3.98%	4.31%	4.63%	4.50%	4.89%	4.62%	4.87%	4.46%	4.67%	4.32%	4.66%	4.04%	4.32%	3.38%	3.62%	2.77%	2.67%	1.98%	2.00%	1.10%	1.00%	0.48%	0.34%
Buffalo Bills	0.36%	0.70%	0.90%	1.12%	1.36%	1.70%	1.79%	2.09%	2.55%	2.79%	3.03%	3.32%	3.67%	4.08%	4.22%	4.57%	4.44%	4.68%	4.78%	5.23%	5.12%	5.36%	4.81%	5.28%	4.21%	4.48%	3.54%	3.60%	2.24%	2.15%	1.12%	0.72%
Minnesota Vikings	0.42%	0.67%	1.03%	1.40%	1.56%	2.01%	2.15%	2.48%	2.45%	2.87%	2.95%	3.31%	3.52%	3.66%	3.92%	3.97%	4.26%	4.37%	4.83%	4.59%	5.08%	4.57%	4.94%	4.24%	4.64%	4.08%	4.49%	3.44%	3.34%	2.30%	1.82%	0.66%
New York Giants	0.27%	0.51%	0.76%	1.07%	1.18%	1.30%	1.57%	1.63%	1.96%	2.18%	2.52%	2.72%	3.02%	3.09%	3.61%	3.70%	4.23%	4.38%	4.79%	4.80%	5.58%	5.42%	5.65%	5.34%	5.25%	4.78%	4.69%	3.90%	3.95%	2.71%	2.38%	1.06%
Houston Texans	0.20%	0.39%	0.58%	0.74%	0.90%	1.14%	1.39%	1.72%	1.81%	2.21%	2.52%	2.87%	2.92%	3.58%	3.55%	4.61%	3.85%	4.84%	4.33%	5.66%	4.83%	5.72%	5.03%	6.21%	4.88%	5.71%	4.32%	4.31%	3.11%	2.82%	1.79%	1.45%
Tennessee Titans	0.12%	0.22%	0.37%	0.53%	0.64%	0.84%	1.03%	1.26%	1.37%	1.76%	1.94%	2.34%	2.64%	2.97%	3.38%	4.01%	3.81%	4.39%	4.45%	5.23%	5.09%	5.77%	5.40%	6.62%	5.58%	6.35%	4.98%	5.20%	3.90%	3.74%	2.37%	1.70%
Chicago Bears	0.15%	0.29%	0.50%	0.69%	0.81%	1.07%	1.13%	1.29%	1.58%	1.74%	2.20%	2.21%	2.69%	2.58%	3.10%	2.97%	3.91%	3.58%	4.74%	4.14%	5.24%	4.71%	5.80%	5.13%	6.22%	5.64%	6.37%	5.52%	5.26%	4.07%	3.16%	1.52%
Cleveland Browns	0.12%	0.26%	0.36%	0.53%	0.66%	0.81%	0.96%	1.15%	1.45%	1.58%	1.74%	1.98%	2.20%	2.47%	2.77%	3.10%	3.60%	4.05%	4.18%	4.61%	4.80%	5.41%	5.93%	6.41%	6.62%	7.38%	5.89%	6.36%	4.34%	4.05%	2.47%	1.76%
St. Louis Rams	0.11%	0.18%	0.25%	0.32%	0.45%	0.49%	0.72%	0.76%	1.04%	1.06%	1.32%	1.37%	1.93%	1.96%	2.48%	2.28%	3.33%	3.47%	4.08%	3.96%	4.63%	5.32%	6.60%	6.22%	7.60%	6.99%	7.79%	6.47%	6.49%	4.50%	4.00%	1.83%
Atlanta Falcons	0.07%	0.15%	0.22%	0.37%	0.48%	0.65%	0.74%	0.86%	1.05%	1.25%	1.55%	1.66%	1.98%	2.00%	2.73%	2.74%	3.23%	3.16%	4.01%	3.95%	5.07%	4.85%	5.75%	5.46%	6.32%	6.13%	6.77%	6.20%	6.84%	5.53%	5.48%	2.77%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.10%	0.13%	0.18%	0.24%	0.29%	0.39%	0.48%	0.64%	0.67%	0.90%	1.00%	1.29%	1.45%	1.74%	1.85%	2.51%	2.54%	3.56%	3.40%	4.49%	4.64%	6.08%	5.96%	7.87%	7.68%	10.63%	9.41%	12.10%	7.69%
New York Jets	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.09%	0.10%	0.14%	0.20%	0.29%	0.32%	0.44%	0.52%	0.73%	0.78%	1.05%	1.18%	1.52%	1.61%	2.21%	2.47%	3.11%	3.56%	4.28%	5.08%	6.09%	7.27%	8.34%	11.27%	9.76%	11.32%	8.36%	7.79%
Washington Redskins	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.03%	0.06%	0.08%	0.11%	0.13%	0.19%	0.25%	0.31%	0.41%	0.49%	0.63%	0.75%	1.01%	1.14%	1.65%	1.67%	2.52%	2.48%	3.71%	3.76%	5.69%	5.53%	8.54%	8.28%	13.21%	11.29%	15.74%	10.28%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.03%	0.04%	0.06%	0.10%	0.11%	0.14%	0.18%	0.29%	0.40%	0.46%	0.53%	0.69%	0.92%	1.16%	1.47%	1.77%	2.45%	3.12%	3.81%	5.13%	6.05%	8.51%	10.20%	15.67%	16.26%	20.37%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	-	-	-	-	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.04%	0.06%	0.09%	0.15%	0.17%	0.24%	0.35%	0.47%	0.65%	0.90%	1.19%	1.84%	2.68%	3.75%	6.22%	7.86%	14.41%	19.67%	39.13%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	25.84%	19.87%	17.43%	12.93%	5.17%	4.88%	13.89%
Denver Broncos	21.46%	17.01%	13.94%	8.16%	10.77%	8.15%	20.50%
Indianapolis Colts	13.57%	15.11%	18.31%	30.14%	1.83%	2.54%	18.49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	10.03%	11.52%	9.77%	6.35%	12.95%	10.88%	38.50%
Baltimore Ravens	7.92%	9.16%	8.44%	5.56%	12.73%	11.22%	44.96%
Cincinnati Bengals	7.02%	7.93%	7.29%	5.16%	11.87%	10.74%	50.00%
San Diego Chargers	5.46%	6.35%	6.55%	4.85%	12.49%	11.77%	52.52%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.40%	4.36%	4.81%	3.61%	10.03%	10.36%	63.41%
Miami Dolphins	2.70%	3.52%	4.41%	4.12%	9.31%	10.06%	65.88%
Buffalo Bills	1.14%	1.81%	2.70%	2.78%	5.45%	7.00%	79.13%
Houston Texans	0.63%	1.44%	2.69%	8.09%	2.22%	4.08%	80.85%
Cleveland Browns	0.40%	0.90%	1.36%	1.18%	2.75%	3.85%	89.56%
Tennessee Titans	0.38%	0.92%	1.99%	6.05%	1.83%	3.27%	85.56%
New York Jets	0.04%	0.08%	0.23%	0.41%	0.51%	0.94%	97.79%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.02%	0.08%	0.57%	0.06%	0.21%	99.05%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	99.92%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Seahawks	36.54%	13.76%	5.67%	1.69%	19.57%	8.25%	14.52%
Philadelphia Eagles	11.97%	16.05%	14.63%	9.99%	6.38%	8.49%	32.49%
San Francisco 49ers	11.50%	5.67%	2.64%	0.93%	22.82%	13.82%	42.63%
Arizona Cardinals	10.96%	5.69%	2.77%	1.04%	21.07%	13.37%	45.10%
New Orleans Saints	8.12%	13.78%	16.20%	20.49%	2.66%	4.98%	33.78%
Dallas Cowboys	6.28%	10.77%	11.28%	8.68%	6.93%	9.83%	46.24%
Green Bay Packers	4.59%	9.80%	11.89%	11.84%	3.63%	7.24%	50.99%
Detroit Lions	3.94%	9.02%	11.72%	12.01%	3.44%	7.27%	52.60%
Carolina Panthers	2.99%	6.29%	8.60%	12.50%	3.56%	6.82%	59.24%
Minnesota Vikings	1.10%	3.31%	5.28%	6.37%	2.17%	5.22%	76.56%
New York Giants	0.88%	2.39%	3.19%	3.17%	2.72%	4.92%	82.73%
Chicago Bears	0.47%	1.79%	2.88%	3.99%	1.38%	3.56%	85.93%
St. Louis Rams	0.38%	0.34%	0.29%	0.13%	2.55%	2.84%	93.47%
Atlanta Falcons	0.23%	0.99%	2.05%	4.61%	0.75%	2.11%	89.25%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.04%	0.27%	0.68%	2.16%	0.22%	0.84%	95.78%
Washington Redskins	0.01%	0.08%	0.22%	0.41%	0.15%	0.43%	98.68%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+15.02%

Fortress

57.31%0.40%42.29%

Elo Value

Home Edge

25 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

052.5880

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.67 points

Lean Home

-8+2.07+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.6

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

19%

New England Patriots, 2nd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

23.1%

Favored

012.50%40%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.47 · As Expected: 1.47 to 2.03 · Elevated: 2.03 to 2.76 · High Variance: 2.76 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.6 · Close: 4.6 to 6.23 · Off Target: 6.23 to 8.12 · Well Off Target: 8.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.01 · As Expected: 3.01 to 5.01 · More Than Expected: 5.01 to 8.02 · Far More Than Expected: 8.02 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.71 wins

As Expected

01.845

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.75

Pinpoint

05.4215

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

97.81%

Green Bay Packers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

0.76%

Tennessee Titans

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 32

As Expected

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

3 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

04.012

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.98

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

72%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

95%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

21%

Mostly Decisive

0%17%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Routine

0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.20

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.85

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.62

Strong Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

As Expected

0%34%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%28%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.20

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.11

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.072

Within Noise

00.0940.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	76.89%	76.89%	60.10%	45.77%	29.62%
New England Patriots	75.91%	75.91%	52.47%	34.38%	19.26%
Denver Broncos	65.50%	65.50%	40.13%	22.48%	11.38%
Pittsburgh Steelers	43.87%	43.87%	22.49%	10.59%	4.71%
Dallas Cowboys	39.24%	39.24%	21.48%	9.75%	4.66%
Green Bay Packers	36.19%	36.19%	19.72%	8.96%	4.37%
Philadelphia Eagles	48.93%	48.93%	23.78%	9.05%	3.83%
Indianapolis Colts	58.90%	58.90%	24.70%	9.79%	3.78%
Arizona Cardinals	38.25%	35.52%	15.69%	7.21%	3.06%
Baltimore Ravens	37.96%	35.52%	15.65%	6.46%	2.55%
San Francisco 49ers	40.20%	35.17%	14.06%	5.77%	2.20%
Cincinnati Bengals	35.06%	31.49%	13.71%	5.51%	2.12%
Detroit Lions	34.44%	30.59%	13.30%	4.67%	1.83%
Kansas City Chiefs	28.82%	20.98%	8.85%	3.56%	1.41%
San Diego Chargers	35.66%	26.24%	9.93%	3.52%	1.26%
Carolina Panthers	31.48%	24.04%	9.15%	2.99%	1.08%
New Orleans Saints	44.32%	40.31%	13.39%	3.53%	1.08%
Miami Dolphins	27.90%	15.40%	4.83%	1.48%	0.45%
Buffalo Bills	17.92%	9.84%	3.47%	1.26%	0.44%
Minnesota Vikings	19.02%	11.23%	3.46%	0.90%	0.27%
Houston Texans	17.09%	8.92%	2.62%	0.77%	0.25%
New York Giants	14.00%	8.29%	2.66%	0.71%	0.20%
St. Louis Rams	5.81%	2.61%	0.80%	0.25%	0.07%
Atlanta Falcons	9.53%	4.38%	1.09%	0.24%	0.05%
Chicago Bears	11.81%	5.20%	1.11%	0.18%	0.03%
Cleveland Browns	9.15%	3.33%	0.65%	0.12%	0.03%
New York Jets	2.08%	0.61%	0.12%	0.03%	<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	13.15%	3.29%	0.36%	0.04%	<0.01%
Washington Redskins	1.22%	0.32%	0.06%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.91%	1.09%	0.16%	0.02%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	0.08%	0.02%	-	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.93%	0.18%	0.02%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		60.3%1.66%	49.3%3.38%	78.2%0.72%	34.0%4.23%	60.4%2.00%	44.1%6.68%	80.2%0.13%	52.9%2.62%	64.8%2.50%	25.9%4.41%	75.3%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	43.8%4.45%	57.1%3.38%	83.5%1.56%
Buffalo Bills	39.7%1.66%		41.1%1.53%	69.2%0.32%	25.7%2.31%	52.3%0.70%	36.9%2.96%	85.4%0.05%	46.7%1.20%	54.6%0.59%	21.2%2.61%	80.8%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	33.2%1.86%	47.7%1.54%	83.6%0.54%
Cincinnati Bengals	50.7%3.38%	58.9%1.53%		75.5%0.64%	33.2%3.94%	56.5%1.83%	41.7%6.27%	84.5%0.10%	50.7%2.43%	64.7%2.31%	25.3%4.16%	75.7%0.18%	80.0%<0.01%	42.4%3.86%	55.4%3.06%	84.2%1.37%
Cleveland Browns	21.8%0.72%	30.8%0.32%	24.5%0.64%		14.3%1.07%	29.0%0.44%	20.4%1.71%	68.8%0.02%	22.0%0.60%	37.3%0.55%	10.2%1.12%	42.1%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	15.3%0.85%	25.8%0.76%	60.3%0.31%
Denver Broncos	66.0%4.23%	74.3%2.31%	66.8%3.94%	85.7%1.07%		71.4%1.85%	59.3%5.14%	84.8%0.10%	66.4%3.70%	77.5%3.49%	40.8%4.32%	83.5%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	59.6%4.23%	71.7%4.98%	91.3%1.43%
Houston Texans	39.6%2.00%	47.7%0.70%	43.5%1.83%	71.0%0.44%	28.6%1.85%		37.0%2.10%	100.0%<0.01%	42.5%1.37%	56.6%1.21%	18.3%1.57%	70.0%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	34.3%2.02%	48.3%1.65%	80.6%0.25%
Indianapolis Colts	55.9%6.68%	63.1%2.96%	58.3%6.27%	79.6%1.71%	40.7%5.14%	63.0%2.10%		92.3%0.08%	56.7%5.05%	68.3%4.96%	31.8%2.98%	82.3%0.33%	88.9%<0.01%	49.7%6.90%	62.8%6.02%	87.2%1.62%
Jacksonville Jaguars	19.8%0.13%	14.6%0.05%	15.5%0.10%	31.2%0.02%	15.2%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%	7.7%0.08%		20.8%0.07%	25.0%0.08%	5.9%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%		15.2%0.11%	24.4%0.09%	50.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	47.1%2.62%	53.3%1.20%	49.3%2.43%	78.0%0.60%	33.6%3.70%	57.5%1.37%	43.3%5.05%	79.2%0.07%		64.7%1.93%	26.2%4.18%	66.7%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%	41.7%2.81%	56.0%1.73%	82.8%0.96%
Miami Dolphins	35.2%2.50%	45.4%0.59%	35.3%2.31%	62.7%0.55%	22.5%3.49%	43.4%1.21%	31.7%4.96%	75.0%0.08%	35.3%1.93%		16.8%4.00%	67.3%0.06%	83.3%<0.01%	28.4%2.80%	42.1%2.46%	74.7%0.95%
New England Patriots	74.1%4.41%	78.8%2.61%	74.7%4.16%	89.8%1.12%	59.2%4.32%	81.7%1.57%	68.2%2.98%	94.1%0.08%	73.8%4.18%	83.2%4.00%		87.4%0.27%	100.0%0.01%	68.3%4.58%	79.3%4.90%	94.4%1.21%
New York Jets	24.7%0.23%	19.2%0.05%	24.3%0.18%	57.9%0.04%	16.5%0.24%	30.0%0.09%	17.7%0.33%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.16%	32.7%0.06%	12.6%0.27%			14.1%0.18%	31.1%0.20%	60.4%0.05%
Oakland Raiders	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	11.1%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%			20.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	56.2%4.45%	66.8%1.86%	57.6%3.86%	84.7%0.85%	40.4%4.23%	65.7%2.02%	50.3%6.90%	84.8%0.11%	58.3%2.81%	71.6%2.80%	31.7%4.58%	85.9%0.18%	80.0%0.01%		63.9%3.64%	88.1%1.63%
San Diego Chargers	42.9%3.38%	52.3%1.54%	44.6%3.06%	74.2%0.76%	28.3%4.98%	51.7%1.65%	37.2%6.02%	75.6%0.09%	44.0%1.73%	57.9%2.46%	20.7%4.90%	68.9%0.20%	33.3%<0.01%	36.1%3.64%		80.9%1.26%
Tennessee Titans	16.5%1.56%	16.4%0.54%	15.8%1.37%	39.7%0.31%	8.7%1.43%	19.4%0.25%	12.8%1.62%	50.0%<0.01%	17.2%0.96%	25.3%0.95%	5.6%1.21%	39.6%0.05%		11.9%1.63%	19.1%1.26%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		64.0%1.27%	51.7%4.00%	72.8%1.37%	36.9%4.00%	47.1%4.37%	36.2%4.38%	59.2%2.28%	57.3%6.73%	62.9%1.33%	45.2%4.63%	55.6%1.07%	24.5%1.96%	71.7%0.13%	78.6%0.58%	76.1%0.14%
Atlanta Falcons	36.0%1.27%		33.2%0.49%	65.7%0.20%	25.7%0.87%	33.7%0.68%	23.7%0.68%	47.5%0.38%	41.4%0.86%	49.5%0.29%	26.7%0.88%	38.3%1.50%	14.3%1.19%	52.1%0.17%	72.2%0.04%	75.0%0.02%
Carolina Panthers	48.3%4.00%	66.8%0.49%		69.7%0.85%	37.5%2.93%	45.4%2.50%	34.9%2.52%	61.9%1.37%	55.7%3.77%	63.8%1.11%	44.6%3.12%	52.6%4.29%	23.9%3.71%	68.8%0.60%	82.5%0.15%	88.5%0.09%
Chicago Bears	27.2%1.37%	34.3%0.20%	30.3%0.85%		19.3%1.05%	23.2%0.94%	16.6%1.04%	36.7%0.42%	29.2%1.16%	36.3%0.42%	21.6%1.29%	30.6%1.45%	10.2%1.26%	35.4%0.23%	54.3%0.09%	63.6%0.03%
Dallas Cowboys	63.1%4.00%	74.3%0.87%	62.5%2.93%	80.7%1.05%		57.0%3.39%	46.1%3.36%	74.5%1.90%	65.7%4.21%	73.7%1.16%	58.7%5.19%	67.5%4.08%	34.0%3.55%	78.9%0.62%	80.3%0.30%	88.7%0.10%
Detroit Lions	52.9%4.37%	66.3%0.68%	54.6%2.50%	76.8%0.94%	43.0%3.39%		38.8%3.76%	65.6%1.63%	59.4%3.06%	66.9%1.27%	48.7%3.55%	57.6%4.55%	27.4%3.69%	68.2%0.69%	83.7%0.28%	81.4%0.09%
Green Bay Packers	63.8%4.38%	76.3%0.68%	65.1%2.52%	83.4%1.04%	53.9%3.36%	61.2%3.76%		75.5%1.63%	70.1%3.07%	75.9%1.35%	60.5%3.41%	69.1%4.54%	36.6%3.87%	80.8%0.67%	87.6%0.23%	92.5%0.11%
Minnesota Vikings	40.8%2.28%	52.5%0.38%	38.1%1.37%	63.3%0.42%	25.5%1.90%	34.4%1.63%	24.5%1.63%		42.1%1.87%	49.7%0.72%	32.7%1.97%	43.4%2.33%	16.5%2.03%	56.8%0.30%	70.0%0.15%	66.7%0.06%
New Orleans Saints	42.7%6.73%	58.6%0.86%	44.3%3.77%	70.8%1.16%	34.3%4.21%	40.6%3.06%	29.9%3.07%	57.9%1.87%		58.1%1.66%	39.8%3.81%	47.3%7.12%	19.5%5.59%	60.6%0.96%	76.7%0.32%	72.7%0.13%
New York Giants	37.1%1.33%	50.5%0.29%	36.2%1.11%	63.7%0.42%	26.3%1.16%	33.1%1.27%	24.1%1.35%	50.3%0.72%	41.9%1.66%		35.6%1.55%	43.0%1.44%	14.9%1.33%	58.0%0.21%	63.4%0.14%	82.6%0.02%
Philadelphia Eagles	54.8%4.63%	73.3%0.88%	55.4%3.12%	78.4%1.29%	41.3%5.19%	51.3%3.55%	39.5%3.41%	67.3%1.97%	60.2%3.81%	64.4%1.55%		61.1%4.92%	28.5%3.98%	71.7%0.75%	82.5%0.36%	89.6%0.10%
San Francisco 49ers	44.4%1.07%	61.7%1.50%	47.4%4.29%	69.4%1.45%	32.5%4.08%	42.4%4.55%	30.9%4.54%	56.6%2.33%	52.7%7.12%	57.0%1.44%	38.9%4.92%		22.0%2.06%	59.5%0.11%	76.2%0.60%	78.8%0.15%
Seattle Seahawks	75.5%1.96%	85.7%1.19%	76.1%3.71%	89.8%1.26%	66.0%3.55%	72.6%3.69%	63.4%3.87%	83.5%2.03%	80.5%5.59%	85.1%1.33%	71.5%3.98%	78.0%2.06%		85.7%0.29%	92.8%0.56%	94.3%0.14%
St. Louis Rams	28.3%0.13%	47.9%0.17%	31.2%0.60%	64.6%0.23%	21.1%0.62%	31.8%0.69%	19.2%0.67%	43.2%0.30%	39.4%0.96%	42.0%0.21%	28.3%0.75%	40.5%0.11%	14.3%0.29%		67.1%0.07%	76.7%0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21.4%0.58%	27.8%0.04%	17.5%0.15%	45.7%0.09%	19.7%0.30%	16.3%0.28%	12.4%0.23%	30.0%0.15%	23.3%0.32%	36.6%0.14%	17.5%0.36%	23.8%0.60%	7.2%0.56%	32.9%0.07%		20.0%0.01%
Washington Redskins	23.9%0.14%	25.0%0.02%	11.5%0.09%	36.4%0.03%	11.3%0.10%	18.6%0.09%	7.5%0.11%	33.3%0.06%	27.3%0.13%	17.4%0.02%	10.4%0.10%	21.2%0.15%	5.7%0.14%	23.3%0.03%	80.0%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		59.5%0.92%	49.5%2.41%	68.9%0.16%	35.2%7.05%	64.3%0.83%	51.6%6.16%	89.5%0.02%	55.7%2.02%	63.6%1.29%	29.9%8.41%	74.1%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	43.0%3.62%	55.9%2.28%	84.5%0.30%
Buffalo Bills	40.5%0.92%		42.4%0.77%	74.3%0.07%	26.8%1.96%	54.4%0.15%	42.1%1.57%	0.0%<0.01%	43.3%0.43%	58.5%0.17%	22.8%2.03%	100.0%<0.01%		34.0%1.13%	46.8%0.57%	76.2%0.06%
Cincinnati Bengals	50.5%2.41%	57.6%0.77%		81.2%0.15%	34.3%6.08%	63.1%0.65%	51.0%5.54%	88.2%0.02%	49.4%1.73%	63.5%1.24%	29.1%7.36%	73.8%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	43.7%3.08%	55.3%2.14%	87.9%0.26%
Cleveland Browns	31.1%0.16%	25.7%0.07%	18.8%0.15%		13.4%0.66%	33.3%0.06%	22.8%0.55%	100.0%<0.01%	23.8%0.17%	32.8%0.12%	11.7%0.87%	40.0%<0.01%		18.6%0.23%	28.7%0.24%	66.7%0.04%
Denver Broncos	64.8%7.05%	73.2%1.96%	65.7%6.08%	86.6%0.66%		77.2%1.93%	65.5%11.92%	95.5%0.04%	64.8%3.72%	75.0%2.92%	43.4%14.97%	89.4%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	58.2%8.70%	70.1%4.76%	91.5%0.68%
Houston Texans	35.7%0.83%	45.6%0.15%	36.9%0.65%	66.7%0.06%	22.8%1.93%		36.4%0.51%	100.0%<0.01%	39.0%0.45%	50.2%0.30%	19.1%2.37%	81.8%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	27.7%1.10%	45.0%0.55%	81.8%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	48.4%6.16%	57.9%1.57%	49.0%5.54%	77.2%0.55%	34.5%11.92%	63.6%0.51%		83.3%<0.01%	50.7%3.43%	62.9%2.41%	28.5%14.26%	71.4%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	41.8%7.97%	55.0%4.30%	83.5%0.17%
Jacksonville Jaguars	10.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	11.8%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	4.5%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%		11.1%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	8.7%0.05%			5.3%0.02%	0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	44.3%2.02%	56.7%0.43%	50.6%1.73%	76.2%0.17%	35.2%3.72%	61.0%0.45%	49.3%3.43%	88.9%<0.01%		58.9%0.74%	28.6%4.89%	71.4%0.03%		41.3%2.27%	52.6%0.95%	90.9%0.15%
Miami Dolphins	36.4%1.29%	41.5%0.17%	36.5%1.24%	67.2%0.12%	25.0%2.92%	49.8%0.30%	37.1%2.41%	75.0%<0.01%	41.1%0.74%		19.6%3.25%	57.1%<0.01%		28.4%1.86%	42.0%0.98%	80.9%0.11%
New England Patriots	70.1%8.41%	77.2%2.03%	70.9%7.36%	88.3%0.87%	56.6%14.97%	80.9%2.37%	71.5%14.26%	91.3%0.05%	71.4%4.89%	80.4%3.25%		87.3%0.13%	100.0%<0.01%	64.9%10.35%	75.9%6.11%	93.9%0.87%
New York Jets	25.9%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	26.2%0.06%	60.0%<0.01%	10.6%0.11%	18.2%0.01%	28.6%0.09%		28.6%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	12.7%0.13%			17.6%0.07%	31.4%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	57.0%3.62%	66.0%1.13%	56.3%3.08%	81.4%0.23%	41.8%8.70%	72.3%1.10%	58.2%7.97%	94.7%0.02%	58.7%2.27%	71.6%1.86%	35.1%10.35%	82.4%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%		63.9%3.07%	89.1%0.40%
San Diego Chargers	44.1%2.28%	53.2%0.57%	44.7%2.14%	71.2%0.24%	29.9%4.76%	55.0%0.55%	45.0%4.30%	100.0%0.01%	47.4%0.95%	58.0%0.98%	24.1%6.11%	68.6%0.03%		36.1%3.07%		86.5%0.22%
Tennessee Titans	15.5%0.30%	23.8%0.06%	12.1%0.26%	33.3%0.04%	8.5%0.68%	18.2%0.01%	16.5%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.15%	19.1%0.11%	6.1%0.87%	33.3%<0.01%		10.9%0.40%	13.5%0.22%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		73.6%0.29%	59.5%1.89%	81.4%0.39%	43.6%3.02%	53.4%2.28%	42.7%2.85%	67.3%0.93%	63.4%3.19%	65.8%0.64%	49.6%4.09%	53.9%3.69%	25.0%11.95%	63.1%0.21%	83.2%0.10%	75.0%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	26.4%0.29%		42.1%0.06%	62.1%0.07%	21.3%0.59%	32.1%0.39%	22.1%0.45%	43.7%0.13%	36.6%0.10%	43.0%0.09%	31.1%0.84%	27.5%0.31%	10.8%1.07%	60.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	80.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers	40.5%1.89%	57.9%0.06%		69.6%0.39%	36.1%3.01%	45.4%2.23%	34.1%2.70%	59.9%0.76%	55.4%1.19%	58.4%0.59%	43.2%3.86%	45.3%1.89%	18.4%5.34%	63.2%0.12%	87.5%<0.01%	80.0%0.03%
Chicago Bears	18.6%0.39%	37.9%0.07%	30.4%0.39%		17.9%0.66%	26.7%0.12%	13.9%0.16%	28.0%0.03%	32.8%0.71%	34.3%0.13%	22.8%0.94%	23.8%0.39%	8.6%1.17%	42.9%0.03%	43.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	56.4%3.02%	78.7%0.59%	63.9%3.01%	82.1%0.66%		61.0%4.10%	49.8%5.00%	72.8%1.51%	70.3%5.16%	71.4%0.41%	57.4%4.22%	61.0%3.12%	27.9%8.12%	72.9%0.19%	82.3%0.13%	77.8%<0.01%
Detroit Lions	46.6%2.28%	67.9%0.39%	54.6%2.23%	73.3%0.12%	39.0%4.10%		39.4%1.39%	63.8%0.33%	61.6%4.03%	62.6%0.81%	45.6%5.42%	51.3%2.45%	20.6%6.75%	58.7%0.15%	79.4%0.10%	81.2%0.03%
Green Bay Packers	57.3%2.85%	77.9%0.45%	65.9%2.70%	86.1%0.16%	50.2%5.00%	60.6%1.39%		72.4%0.36%	69.4%5.04%	72.7%1.03%	58.0%6.27%	62.3%2.87%	29.1%7.72%	77.7%0.20%	84.8%0.12%	91.2%0.03%
Minnesota Vikings	32.7%0.93%	56.3%0.13%	40.1%0.76%	72.0%0.03%	27.2%1.51%	36.2%0.33%	27.6%0.36%		48.4%1.48%	48.9%0.28%	31.8%1.90%	36.0%0.89%	12.3%2.57%	40.5%0.04%	72.0%0.03%	81.2%0.02%
New Orleans Saints	36.6%3.19%	63.4%0.10%	44.6%1.19%	67.2%0.71%	29.7%5.16%	38.4%4.03%	30.6%5.04%	51.6%1.48%		56.1%1.11%	36.4%6.83%	40.6%3.00%	15.4%8.15%	52.3%0.26%	84.2%0.02%	67.3%0.05%
New York Giants	34.2%0.64%	57.0%0.09%	41.6%0.59%	65.7%0.13%	28.6%0.41%	37.4%0.81%	27.3%1.03%	51.1%0.28%	43.9%1.11%		33.9%0.64%	36.5%0.59%	13.6%1.89%	44.4%0.04%	60.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	50.4%4.09%	68.9%0.84%	56.8%3.86%	77.2%0.94%	42.6%4.22%	54.4%5.42%	42.0%6.27%	68.2%1.90%	63.6%6.83%	66.1%0.64%		54.2%4.01%	23.7%9.36%	63.7%0.36%	83.8%0.17%	86.7%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	46.1%3.69%	72.5%0.31%	54.7%1.89%	76.2%0.39%	39.0%3.12%	48.7%2.45%	37.7%2.87%	64.0%0.89%	59.4%3.00%	63.5%0.59%	45.8%4.01%		21.9%11.66%	59.7%0.21%	79.2%0.07%	76.9%0.03%
Seattle Seahawks	75.0%11.95%	89.2%1.07%	81.6%5.34%	91.4%1.17%	72.1%8.12%	79.4%6.75%	70.9%7.72%	87.7%2.57%	84.6%8.15%	86.4%1.89%	76.3%9.36%	78.1%11.66%		86.2%0.79%	96.9%0.29%	95.0%0.08%
St. Louis Rams	36.9%0.21%	40.0%0.01%	36.8%0.12%	57.1%0.03%	27.1%0.19%	41.3%0.15%	22.3%0.20%	59.5%0.04%	47.7%0.26%	55.6%0.04%	36.3%0.36%	40.3%0.21%	13.8%0.79%		85.7%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16.8%0.10%	0.0%<0.01%	12.5%<0.01%	56.2%0.02%	17.7%0.13%	20.6%0.10%	15.2%0.12%	28.0%0.03%	15.8%0.02%	40.0%0.03%	16.2%0.17%	20.8%0.07%	3.1%0.29%	14.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins	25.0%0.02%	20.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	18.8%0.03%	8.8%0.03%	18.8%0.02%	32.7%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%	23.1%0.03%	5.0%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		56.6%0.30%	50.2%0.63%	72.2%0.02%	37.9%3.94%	60.6%0.20%	52.4%1.85%	100.0%<0.01%	52.0%0.82%	65.9%0.44%	30.5%5.57%	61.5%0.01%	45.6%1.06%	57.7%0.78%	88.5%0.03%
Buffalo Bills	43.4%0.30%		44.1%0.30%	85.7%<0.01%	32.4%0.79%	40.5%0.04%	41.1%0.49%		45.0%0.17%	64.5%0.03%	24.2%0.65%		35.5%0.49%	43.5%0.19%	75.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	49.8%0.63%	55.9%0.30%		64.3%0.03%	36.3%3.32%	65.3%0.17%	50.5%1.68%		48.9%0.68%	63.5%0.39%	29.5%4.74%	100.0%0.01%	43.0%0.92%	53.8%0.82%	77.3%0.02%
Cleveland Browns	27.8%0.02%	14.3%<0.01%	35.7%0.03%		14.5%0.17%	44.4%<0.01%	23.2%0.07%		34.5%0.03%	30.4%0.02%	13.0%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	8.3%0.04%	36.8%0.04%
Denver Broncos	62.1%3.94%	67.6%0.79%	63.7%3.32%	85.5%0.17%		72.2%0.60%	65.0%5.84%	100.0%<0.01%	66.6%1.17%	75.7%1.20%	44.1%15.92%	80.0%0.03%	57.3%5.76%	70.0%1.32%	92.1%0.08%
Houston Texans	39.4%0.20%	59.5%0.04%	34.7%0.17%	55.6%<0.01%	27.8%0.60%		35.3%0.10%		39.2%0.12%	65.2%0.07%	19.2%0.89%	66.7%<0.01%	25.9%0.27%	45.7%0.14%
Indianapolis Colts	47.6%1.85%	58.9%0.49%	49.5%1.68%	76.8%0.07%	35.0%5.84%	64.7%0.10%			52.6%1.20%	60.7%0.67%	30.6%8.74%	76.9%0.01%	42.8%2.77%	56.0%1.26%	82.4%0.02%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%				100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	48.0%0.82%	55.0%0.17%	51.1%0.68%	65.5%0.03%	33.4%1.17%	60.8%0.12%	47.4%1.20%	0.0%<0.01%		60.7%0.22%	29.9%3.09%	66.7%<0.01%	42.5%1.10%	55.3%0.24%	87.5%0.02%
Miami Dolphins	34.1%0.44%	35.5%0.03%	36.5%0.39%	69.6%0.02%	24.3%1.20%	34.8%0.07%	39.3%0.67%		39.3%0.22%		19.8%0.91%	100.0%<0.01%	34.5%0.66%	39.2%0.23%	87.5%<0.01%
New England Patriots	69.5%5.57%	75.8%0.65%	70.5%4.74%	87.0%0.23%	55.9%15.92%	80.8%0.89%	69.4%8.74%	100.0%<0.01%	70.1%3.09%	80.2%0.91%		86.4%0.02%	63.3%8.04%	75.2%3.54%	92.9%0.13%
New York Jets	38.5%0.01%		0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%	23.1%0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	13.6%0.02%		33.3%0.01%	18.2%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	54.4%1.06%	64.5%0.49%	57.0%0.92%	91.7%0.04%	42.7%5.76%	74.1%0.27%	57.2%2.77%	66.7%<0.01%	57.5%1.10%	65.5%0.66%	36.7%8.04%	66.7%0.01%		62.8%1.33%	89.5%0.04%
San Diego Chargers	42.3%0.78%	56.5%0.19%	46.2%0.82%	63.2%0.04%	30.0%1.32%	54.3%0.14%	44.0%1.26%	100.0%<0.01%	44.7%0.24%	60.8%0.23%	24.8%3.54%	81.8%0.01%	37.2%1.33%		87.5%0.02%
Tennessee Titans	11.5%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	22.7%0.02%		7.9%0.08%		17.6%0.02%		12.5%0.02%	12.5%<0.01%	7.1%0.13%		10.5%0.04%	12.5%0.02%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		71.1%0.08%	61.7%0.83%	75.4%0.12%	44.1%2.02%	56.5%1.19%	46.2%1.96%	66.6%0.32%	65.0%1.27%	67.5%0.27%	50.6%2.38%	53.5%0.83%	26.9%4.36%	57.4%0.05%	61.5%0.01%	71.4%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	28.9%0.08%		38.5%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	27.5%0.11%	28.8%0.06%	24.2%0.10%	40.0%0.01%	62.5%0.02%	38.5%0.01%	22.6%0.11%	40.4%0.09%	11.5%0.48%	0.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers	38.3%0.83%	61.5%0.01%		59.5%0.04%	36.6%0.88%	48.3%0.48%	36.0%0.79%	59.3%0.11%	55.0%0.20%	56.5%0.09%	43.7%0.88%	45.4%0.78%	20.0%4.01%	63.0%0.05%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears	24.6%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%	40.5%0.04%		11.1%0.08%	11.5%0.03%	14.0%0.05%	30.0%0.01%	30.4%0.05%	37.5%0.02%	22.9%0.11%	22.1%0.10%	9.3%0.50%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	55.9%2.02%	72.5%0.11%	63.4%0.88%	88.9%0.08%		59.1%1.24%	50.9%2.01%	69.8%0.32%	71.4%1.12%	67.0%0.11%	58.6%1.30%	59.9%1.88%	29.9%10.29%	73.1%0.10%	92.9%0.01%	80.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions	43.5%1.19%	71.2%0.06%	51.7%0.48%	88.5%0.03%	40.9%1.24%		40.6%0.61%	60.5%0.09%	57.6%0.68%	63.6%0.12%	47.6%1.33%	49.6%1.13%	21.0%6.27%	71.2%0.06%	90.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	53.8%1.96%	75.8%0.10%	64.0%0.79%	86.0%0.05%	49.1%2.01%	59.4%0.61%		73.8%0.15%	67.4%1.03%	70.9%0.24%	58.2%1.98%	61.7%1.66%	29.9%9.03%	66.0%0.10%	92.9%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	33.4%0.32%	60.0%0.01%	40.7%0.11%	70.0%0.01%	30.2%0.32%	39.5%0.09%	26.2%0.15%		48.8%0.16%	52.6%0.04%	33.5%0.34%	41.2%0.29%	13.4%1.60%	47.6%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	35.0%1.27%	37.5%0.02%	45.0%0.20%	69.6%0.05%	28.6%1.12%	42.4%0.68%	32.6%1.03%	51.2%0.16%		50.7%0.14%	33.6%1.31%	39.6%1.03%	15.5%6.33%	52.7%0.06%		100.0%<0.01%
New York Giants	32.5%0.27%	61.5%0.01%	43.5%0.09%	62.5%0.02%	33.0%0.11%	36.4%0.12%	29.1%0.24%	47.4%0.04%	49.3%0.14%		37.2%0.11%	41.1%0.25%	13.8%1.24%	56.2%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	49.4%2.38%	77.4%0.11%	56.3%0.88%	77.1%0.11%	41.4%1.30%	52.4%1.33%	41.8%1.98%	66.5%0.34%	66.4%1.31%	62.8%0.11%		51.8%2.05%	24.2%11.76%	64.0%0.11%	87.5%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	46.5%0.83%	59.6%0.09%	54.6%0.78%	77.9%0.10%	40.1%1.88%	50.4%1.13%	38.3%1.66%	58.8%0.29%	60.4%1.03%	58.9%0.25%	48.2%2.05%		22.9%3.93%	67.7%0.03%	91.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks	73.1%4.36%	88.5%0.48%	80.0%4.01%	90.7%0.50%	70.1%10.29%	79.0%6.27%	70.1%9.03%	86.6%1.60%	84.5%6.33%	86.2%1.24%	75.8%11.76%	77.1%3.93%		84.0%0.20%	89.2%0.07%	89.3%0.03%
St. Louis Rams	42.6%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	37.0%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	26.9%0.10%	28.8%0.06%	34.0%0.10%	52.4%0.02%	47.3%0.06%	43.8%0.02%	36.0%0.11%	32.3%0.03%	16.0%0.20%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38.5%0.01%		25.0%<0.01%		7.1%0.01%	10.0%0.01%	7.1%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.02%	8.3%0.01%	10.8%0.07%
Washington Redskins	28.6%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	10.7%0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	44.6%0.49%	76.5%0.02%	56.1%0.18%	88.9%<0.01%	44.6%0.65%	59.9%0.29%	45.0%0.58%	62.7%0.05%	58.9%0.23%	65.5%0.06%	50.0%0.57%	52.4%0.36%	26.8%2.96%	58.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	42.4%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	60.5%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	38.5%0.12%	47.9%0.07%	36.5%0.10%	78.6%0.01%	43.4%0.05%	62.5%<0.01%	48.1%0.11%	53.5%0.07%	22.6%0.58%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	50.0%0.41%	77.8%0.02%	52.3%0.15%	75.0%<0.01%	43.9%0.51%	51.4%0.26%	42.3%0.52%	58.1%0.04%	66.7%0.18%	58.3%0.04%	45.9%0.49%	48.0%0.33%	26.8%2.54%	52.9%0.02%
Cleveland Browns	55.6%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%		16.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	9.5%0.06%
Denver Broncos	60.7%1.64%	80.0%0.06%	66.9%0.67%	75.0%0.04%	54.4%2.19%	65.3%1.02%	53.9%2.03%	77.9%0.21%	70.8%0.82%	73.9%0.17%	62.4%2.06%	64.5%1.29%	37.9%10.23%	70.3%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans	40.4%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%	66.7%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	36.9%0.07%	31.0%0.03%	36.7%0.06%	84.6%0.01%	45.5%0.02%	62.5%<0.01%	34.4%0.06%	38.6%0.04%	24.2%0.40%	0.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	47.4%0.70%	72.2%0.02%	58.1%0.31%	95.8%0.02%	42.1%0.93%	48.8%0.48%	40.7%0.94%	62.5%0.08%	62.7%0.36%	69.6%0.07%	45.5%0.85%	56.3%0.58%	26.5%4.43%	52.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars							0.0%<0.01%						0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	50.0%0.26%	66.7%<0.01%	59.3%0.11%	75.0%<0.01%	39.8%0.35%	51.7%0.17%	44.0%0.34%	58.5%0.04%	59.8%0.11%	61.5%0.03%	48.5%0.31%	53.5%0.19%	28.5%1.63%	83.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	44.3%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.03%	66.7%<0.01%	35.7%0.17%	41.2%0.07%	33.3%0.12%	54.5%0.01%	40.7%0.06%	54.5%0.01%	36.4%0.15%	38.7%0.09%	19.0%0.65%	50.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	67.1%2.43%	84.2%0.08%	70.4%1.07%	82.9%0.07%	61.1%3.34%	68.7%1.58%	60.9%3.01%	75.4%0.31%	79.2%1.19%	80.4%0.22%	65.9%3.17%	70.1%2.00%	43.4%15.82%	76.8%0.08%	88.9%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	55.2%0.77%	86.7%0.03%	60.4%0.28%	62.5%0.02%	50.0%1.04%	57.5%0.52%	45.7%0.94%	63.8%0.09%	67.9%0.37%	73.1%0.08%	55.6%0.94%	59.8%0.62%	31.9%4.86%	82.6%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
San Diego Chargers	42.8%0.26%	28.6%<0.01%	51.3%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	43.7%0.35%	49.1%0.16%	36.5%0.32%	48.1%0.03%	57.4%0.14%	48.0%0.03%	45.5%0.32%	51.5%0.20%	23.7%1.58%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	6.7%0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	55.4%0.49%	57.6%0.08%	50.0%0.41%	44.4%<0.01%	39.3%1.64%	59.6%0.05%	52.6%0.70%		50.0%0.26%	55.7%0.11%	32.9%2.43%	100.0%<0.01%	44.8%0.77%	57.2%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	23.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%0.02%		20.0%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	27.8%0.02%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.8%0.08%		13.3%0.03%	71.4%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	43.9%0.18%	39.5%0.04%	47.7%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	33.1%0.67%	33.3%0.02%	41.9%0.31%		40.7%0.11%	62.5%0.03%	29.6%1.07%	100.0%<0.01%	39.6%0.28%	48.7%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	11.1%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	4.2%0.02%		25.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	17.1%0.07%		37.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	55.4%0.65%	61.5%0.12%	56.1%0.51%	83.3%0.01%	45.6%2.19%	63.1%0.07%	57.9%0.93%		60.2%0.35%	64.3%0.17%	38.9%3.34%	80.0%<0.01%	50.0%1.04%	56.3%0.35%	75.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																	40.1%0.29%	52.1%0.07%	48.6%0.26%	50.0%<0.01%	34.7%1.02%	69.0%0.03%	51.2%0.48%		48.3%0.17%	58.8%0.07%	31.3%1.58%	100.0%<0.01%	42.5%0.52%	50.9%0.16%	66.7%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	55.0%0.58%	63.5%0.10%	57.7%0.52%	44.4%<0.01%	46.1%2.03%	63.3%0.06%	59.3%0.94%	100.0%<0.01%	56.0%0.34%	66.7%0.12%	39.1%3.01%	100.0%<0.01%	54.3%0.94%	63.5%0.32%	100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	37.3%0.05%	21.4%0.01%	41.9%0.04%		22.1%0.21%	15.4%0.01%	37.5%0.08%		41.5%0.04%	45.5%0.01%	24.6%0.31%		36.2%0.09%	51.9%0.03%
New Orleans Saints																	41.1%0.23%	56.6%0.05%	33.3%0.18%	66.7%<0.01%	29.2%0.82%	54.5%0.02%	37.3%0.36%		40.2%0.11%	59.3%0.06%	20.8%1.19%	0.0%<0.01%	32.1%0.37%	42.6%0.14%	0.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																	34.5%0.06%	37.5%<0.01%	41.7%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	26.1%0.17%	37.5%<0.01%	30.4%0.07%		38.5%0.03%	45.5%0.01%	19.6%0.22%	0.0%<0.01%	26.9%0.08%	52.0%0.03%
Philadelphia Eagles																	50.0%0.57%	51.9%0.11%	54.1%0.49%	90.9%0.01%	37.6%2.06%	65.6%0.06%	54.5%0.85%		51.5%0.31%	63.6%0.15%	34.1%3.17%	66.7%<0.01%	44.4%0.94%	54.5%0.32%	80.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																	47.6%0.36%	46.5%0.07%	52.0%0.33%	77.8%<0.01%	35.5%1.29%	61.4%0.04%	43.7%0.58%		46.5%0.19%	61.3%0.09%	29.9%2.00%	100.0%<0.01%	40.2%0.62%	48.5%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%
Seattle Seahawks																	73.2%2.96%	77.4%0.58%	73.2%2.54%	90.5%0.06%	62.1%10.23%	75.8%0.40%	73.5%4.43%	100.0%<0.01%	71.5%1.63%	81.0%0.65%	56.6%15.82%	81.8%0.01%	68.1%4.86%	76.3%1.58%	93.3%0.01%
St. Louis Rams																	41.2%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.02%		29.7%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.02%		16.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	23.2%0.08%		17.4%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		11.1%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	100.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Seattle Seahawks	100.00%	80.87%	60.11%	36.40%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
New England Patriots	100.00%	74.18%	48.70%	24.25%	Won Super Bowl
Denver Broncos	100.00%	64.83%	28.28%	12.67%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	100.00%	59.72%	19.51%	8.78%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Dallas Cowboys	68.17%	29.39%	10.14%	4.73%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	64.68%	24.15%	9.91%	4.19%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Arizona Cardinals	49.73%	13.23%	4.62%	1.98%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	57.83%	15.51%	5.28%	1.91%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Cincinnati Bengals	42.17%	11.90%	4.25%	1.55%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Baltimore Ravens	35.32%	9.43%	3.59%	1.40%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Carolina Panthers	50.27%	10.54%	3.06%	1.08%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Detroit Lions	31.83%	6.25%	2.57%	1.05%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Indianapolis Colts	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens				35.3%100.00%
Cincinnati Bengals			42.2%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts		57.8%100.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	64.7%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals		49.7%100.00%
Carolina Panthers	50.3%100.00%
Dallas Cowboys				68.2%100.00%
Detroit Lions			31.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens					26.7%35.32%
Cincinnati Bengals			32.2%14.94%		26.0%27.23%
Denver Broncos		67.8%14.94%		69.5%20.39%		62.7%64.68%
Indianapolis Colts			30.5%20.39%		24.8%37.45%
New England Patriots	73.3%35.32%	74.0%27.23%		75.2%37.45%
Pittsburgh Steelers			37.3%64.68%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals					37.9%15.85%	21.4%33.88%
Carolina Panthers					30.7%15.98%	16.5%34.29%
Dallas Cowboys					43.1%68.17%
Detroit Lions						19.6%31.83%
Green Bay Packers	62.1%15.85%	69.3%15.98%	56.9%68.17%
Seattle Seahawks	78.6%33.88%	83.5%34.29%		80.4%31.83%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens		45.7%1.29%	34.7%6.48%	45.1%1.66%
Cincinnati Bengals	54.3%1.29%		34.9%4.39%		29.6%3.52%	36.3%2.70%
Denver Broncos	65.3%6.48%	65.1%4.39%		67.5%5.88%	35.8%48.07%
Indianapolis Colts	54.9%1.66%		32.5%5.88%		27.3%4.55%	35.6%3.42%
New England Patriots		70.4%3.52%	64.2%48.07%	72.7%4.55%		66.8%18.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers		63.7%2.70%		64.4%3.42%	33.2%18.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Seattle Seahawks
Arizona Cardinals			37.5%3.16%	59.5%1.14%	40.2%4.07%	23.0%4.87%
Carolina Panthers			31.9%2.40%	50.3%0.97%	34.1%3.25%	17.9%3.93%
Dallas Cowboys	62.5%3.16%	68.1%2.40%				27.4%23.82%
Detroit Lions	40.5%1.14%	49.7%0.97%			39.3%4.15%
Green Bay Packers	59.8%4.07%	65.9%3.25%		60.7%4.15%		25.7%48.26%
Seattle Seahawks	77.0%4.87%	82.1%3.93%	72.6%23.82%		74.3%48.26%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Carolina Panthers	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Seattle Seahawks	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	New England Patriots	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	52.5%0.18%	54.5%0.12%	48.4%0.34%	44.2%0.10%	49.1%0.72%	31.7%2.12%
Cincinnati Bengals	49.0%0.20%	54.2%0.12%	45.3%0.39%	54.5%0.12%	46.7%0.80%	29.4%2.61%
Denver Broncos	55.1%1.31%	63.6%0.86%	53.2%2.94%	55.9%0.72%	53.8%5.47%	38.3%16.98%
Indianapolis Colts	43.3%0.23%	51.5%0.16%	45.1%0.55%	48.4%0.15%	44.2%1.07%	30.1%3.11%
New England Patriots	61.6%2.25%	68.1%1.51%	56.4%4.94%	63.9%1.23%	58.7%9.56%	43.3%29.22%
Pittsburgh Steelers	53.6%0.44%	65.3%0.30%	48.0%0.98%	58.2%0.25%	51.4%1.88%	36.0%6.06%
Arizona Cardinals							47.5%0.18%	51.0%0.20%	44.9%1.31%	56.7%0.23%	38.4%2.25%	46.4%0.44%
Carolina Panthers							45.5%0.12%	45.8%0.12%	36.4%0.86%	48.5%0.16%	31.9%1.51%	34.7%0.30%
Dallas Cowboys							51.6%0.34%	54.7%0.39%	46.8%2.94%	54.9%0.55%	43.6%4.94%	52.0%0.98%
Detroit Lions							55.8%0.10%	45.5%0.12%	44.1%0.72%	51.6%0.15%	36.1%1.23%	41.8%0.25%
Green Bay Packers							50.9%0.72%	53.3%0.80%	46.2%5.47%	55.8%1.07%	41.3%9.56%	48.6%1.88%
Seattle Seahawks							68.3%2.12%	70.6%2.61%	61.7%16.98%	69.9%3.11%	56.7%29.22%	64.0%6.06%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Seahawks 36.40% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

35.42%

Win Prob

83.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

59.63%

Win Prob

74.27%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

45.51%

Win Prob

56.69%

New England Patriots 24.25% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

37.94%

Win Prob

75.17%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

63.37%

Win Prob

64.20%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

52.19%

Win Prob

43.31%

Denver Broncos 12.67% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

62.52%

Win Prob

62.66%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

60.87%

Win Prob

35.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

51.29%

Win Prob

38.26%

Green Bay Packers 8.78% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

64.95%

Win Prob

56.90%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

63.65%

Win Prob

25.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

44.93%

Win Prob

41.26%

Dallas Cowboys 4.73% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Detroit Lions

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

68.17%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.10%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

64.38%

Win Prob

27.39%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

45.47%

Win Prob

43.56%

Pittsburgh Steelers 4.19% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.68%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.34%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

60.41%

Win Prob

33.18%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

51.98%

Win Prob

35.98%

Arizona Cardinals 1.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.73%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

54.66%

Win Prob

21.35%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

35.41%

Win Prob

40.17%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

43.61%

Win Prob

38.42%

Indianapolis Colts 1.91% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.83%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

59.96%

Win Prob

24.83%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

36.16%

Win Prob

32.45%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

48.93%

Win Prob

30.06%

Cincinnati Bengals 1.55% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.17%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

59.55%

Win Prob

26.03%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

36.00%

Win Prob

34.87%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

49.45%

Win Prob

29.36%

Baltimore Ravens 1.40% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.32%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.70%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

62.70%

Win Prob

34.69%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

48.07%

Win Prob

31.70%

Carolina Panthers 1.08% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Arizona Cardinals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

50.27%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

53.55%

Win Prob

16.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

36.14%

Win Prob

34.10%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

44.33%

Win Prob

31.94%

Detroit Lions 1.05% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Dallas Cowboys

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.83%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

19.63%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

63.40%

Win Prob

39.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

41.98%

Win Prob

36.08%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2014-09-08	San Diego Chargers	W 18-17	1567.73	1564.97	58.13%	41.43%	+5.78	1-0
2014-09-14	@ New York Giants	W 25-14	1573.51	1450.64	59.30%	40.26%	+18.63	2-0
2014-09-21	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-14	1592.14	1627.45	52.72%	46.82%	+19.59	3-0
2014-10-05	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-41	1611.73	1612.05	41.77%	57.78%	-26.71	3-1
2014-10-12	Washington Redskins	W 30-20	1585.02	1349.79	84.04%	15.70%	+6.92	4-1
2014-10-19	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-13	1591.94	1300.49	79.31%	20.38%	+9.43	5-1
2014-10-26	Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-20	1601.37	1595.62	58.54%	41.01%	+11.45	6-1
2014-11-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 28-17	1612.82	1578.17	46.73%	52.82%	+24.42	7-1
2014-11-09	St. Louis Rams	W 31-14	1637.24	1456.39	79.41%	20.28%	+11.66	8-1
2014-11-16	Detroit Lions	W 14-6	1648.90	1555.53	70.02%	29.59%	+11.69	9-1
2014-11-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-19	1660.59	1663.25	41.44%	58.11%	-23.13	9-2
2014-11-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 18-29	1637.46	1413.73	72.22%	27.41%	-33.35	9-3
2014-12-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-14	1604.11	1566.17	62.95%	36.62%	+8.85	10-3
2014-12-11	@ St. Louis Rams	W 12-6	1612.96	1517.91	55.39%	44.16%	+15.09	11-3
2014-12-21	Seattle Seahawks	L 6-35	1628.05	1743.14	41.34%	58.22%	-31.06	11-4
2014-12-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-20	1596.99	1538.15	50.20%	49.34%	-12.12	11-5
2014-09-07	New Orleans Saints	W 37-34	1441.34	1574.25	38.88%	60.68%	+14.65	1-0
2014-09-14	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-24	1455.99	1566.50	27.59%	72.04%	-14.41	1-1
2014-09-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 56-14	1441.58	1415.46	61.35%	38.21%	+34.56	2-1
2014-09-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 28-41	1476.14	1464.92	43.39%	56.16%	-21.83	2-2
2014-10-05	@ New York Giants	L 20-30	1454.31	1490.80	36.82%	62.75%	-16.25	2-3
2014-10-12	Chicago Bears	L 13-27	1438.06	1456.39	55.15%	44.40%	-28.76	2-4
2014-10-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-29	1409.30	1565.43	22.67%	76.99%	-14.83	2-5
2014-10-26	@ Detroit Lions	L 21-22	1394.47	1539.55	30.09%	69.52%	-4.20	2-6
2014-11-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-17	1390.27	1335.38	49.64%	49.91%	+22.00	3-6
2014-11-16	@ Carolina Panthers	W 19-17	1412.27	1456.38	35.81%	63.77%	+12.57	4-6
2014-11-23	Cleveland Browns	L 24-26	1424.84	1434.68	56.35%	43.20%	-11.11	4-7
2014-11-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 29-18	1413.73	1637.46	27.41%	72.22%	+33.35	5-7
2014-12-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 37-43	1447.08	1630.83	20.01%	79.68%	-6.84	5-8
2014-12-14	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-27	1440.24	1579.22	38.05%	61.51%	-14.05	5-9
2014-12-21	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-14	1426.19	1505.00	31.37%	68.23%	+38.01	6-9
2014-12-28	Carolina Panthers	L 3-34	1464.20	1486.79	54.54%	45.01%	-42.33	6-10
2014-09-07	Cincinnati Bengals	L 16-23	1494.49	1548.01	50.11%	49.44%	-18.48	0-1
2014-09-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-6	1476.01	1542.89	48.19%	51.36%	+32.02	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-21	1508.03	1400.61	57.14%	42.41%	+8.37	2-1
2014-09-28	Carolina Panthers	W 38-10	1516.40	1562.38	51.19%	48.35%	+35.68	3-1
2014-10-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1552.08	1549.77	42.14%	57.41%	-15.55	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 48-17	1536.53	1391.20	62.37%	37.20%	+28.90	4-2
2014-10-19	Atlanta Falcons	W 29-7	1565.43	1409.30	76.99%	22.67%	+14.84	5-2
2014-10-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1580.27	1537.56	47.88%	51.66%	-11.57	5-3
2014-11-02	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-43	1568.70	1545.68	45.07%	54.48%	-28.11	5-4
2014-11-09	Tennessee Titans	W 21-7	1540.59	1382.48	77.19%	22.47%	+11.73	6-4
2014-11-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 34-27	1552.32	1540.78	43.44%	56.11%	+20.69	7-4
2014-11-30	San Diego Chargers	L 33-34	1573.01	1563.38	59.08%	40.47%	-8.23	7-5
2014-12-07	@ Miami Dolphins	W 28-13	1564.78	1552.23	43.58%	55.97%	+30.21	8-5
2014-12-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-12	1594.99	1261.65	90.24%	9.59%	+3.77	9-5
2014-12-21	@ Houston Texans	L 13-25	1598.76	1456.02	62.02%	37.55%	-29.93	9-6
2014-12-28	Cleveland Browns	W 20-10	1568.83	1380.10	80.14%	19.56%	+8.63	10-6
2014-09-07	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-20	1466.89	1471.95	41.11%	58.45%	+14.10	1-0
2014-09-14	Miami Dolphins	W 29-10	1480.99	1499.82	55.08%	44.47%	+27.04	2-0
2014-09-21	San Diego Chargers	L 10-22	1508.03	1585.16	46.72%	52.83%	-22.57	2-1
2014-09-28	@ Houston Texans	L 17-23	1485.46	1399.98	54.03%	45.52%	-18.44	2-2
2014-10-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 17-14	1467.02	1523.11	34.24%	65.35%	+15.76	3-2
2014-10-12	New England Patriots	L 22-37	1482.78	1603.15	40.61%	58.95%	-21.94	3-3
2014-10-19	Minnesota Vikings	W 17-16	1460.84	1428.99	62.13%	37.44%	+5.22	4-3
2014-10-26	@ New York Jets	W 43-23	1466.06	1379.96	54.12%	45.43%	+28.34	5-3
2014-11-09	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-17	1494.40	1587.90	44.38%	55.17%	-12.38	5-4
2014-11-13	@ Miami Dolphins	L 9-22	1482.02	1534.94	34.65%	64.93%	-17.44	5-5
2014-11-24	New York Jets	W 38-3	1464.58	1370.02	70.16%	29.45%	+24.32	6-5
2014-11-30	Cleveland Browns	W 26-10	1488.90	1445.79	63.64%	35.94%	+20.06	7-5
2014-12-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-24	1508.96	1667.82	22.40%	77.27%	-8.27	7-6
2014-12-14	Green Bay Packers	W 21-13	1500.69	1637.67	38.33%	61.24%	+24.14	8-6
2014-12-21	@ Oakland Raiders	L 24-26	1524.83	1296.77	72.71%	26.92%	-14.32	8-7
2014-12-28	@ New England Patriots	W 17-9	1510.51	1735.85	16.47%	83.27%	+10.92	9-7
2014-09-07	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-14	1572.63	1438.68	60.83%	38.74%	+13.24	1-0
2014-09-14	Detroit Lions	W 24-7	1585.87	1504.06	68.61%	31.00%	+17.83	2-0
2014-09-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-37	1603.70	1510.87	69.95%	29.66%	-41.32	2-1
2014-09-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-38	1562.38	1516.40	48.35%	51.19%	-35.68	2-2
2014-10-05	Chicago Bears	W 31-24	1526.70	1468.95	65.56%	34.03%	+12.56	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Cincinnati Bengals	T 37-37	1539.26	1567.72	37.90%	61.67%	+0.83	3-2
2014-10-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-38	1540.09	1543.46	41.34%	58.21%	-26.44	3-3
2014-10-26	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-13	1513.65	1654.21	37.84%	61.73%	-10.56	3-4
2014-10-30	New Orleans Saints	L 10-28	1503.09	1564.14	49.02%	50.52%	-29.00	3-5
2014-11-10	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-45	1474.09	1599.63	25.90%	73.74%	-17.71	3-6
2014-11-16	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-19	1456.38	1412.27	63.77%	35.81%	-12.56	3-7
2014-11-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-31	1443.82	1421.89	44.91%	54.64%	-26.58	3-8
2014-12-07	@ New Orleans Saints	W 41-10	1417.24	1535.17	26.74%	72.89%	+56.50	4-8
2014-12-14	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-17	1473.74	1327.26	76.00%	23.66%	+4.67	5-8
2014-12-21	Cleveland Browns	W 17-13	1478.41	1388.47	69.60%	30.01%	+8.38	6-8
2014-12-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 34-3	1486.79	1464.20	45.01%	54.54%	+42.33	7-8
2014-09-07	Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1471.95	1466.89	58.45%	41.11%	-14.11	0-1
2014-09-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 28-20	1457.84	1659.44	18.43%	81.28%	+31.99	1-1
2014-09-22	@ New York Jets	W 27-19	1489.83	1447.91	47.77%	51.77%	+20.42	2-1
2014-09-28	Green Bay Packers	L 17-38	1510.25	1459.14	64.69%	34.89%	-41.30	2-2
2014-10-05	@ Carolina Panthers	L 24-31	1468.95	1526.70	34.03%	65.56%	-12.56	2-3
2014-10-12	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-13	1456.39	1438.06	44.40%	55.15%	+28.76	3-3
2014-10-19	Miami Dolphins	L 14-27	1485.15	1450.12	62.56%	37.01%	-31.42	3-4
2014-10-26	@ New England Patriots	L 23-51	1453.73	1628.08	20.89%	78.79%	-15.42	3-5
2014-11-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-55	1438.31	1539.93	28.62%	71.00%	-25.58	3-6
2014-11-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-13	1412.73	1448.44	52.67%	46.88%	+18.50	4-6
2014-11-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 21-13	1431.23	1353.79	68.06%	31.53%	+12.45	5-6
2014-11-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-34	1443.68	1528.49	30.63%	68.98%	-17.63	5-7
2014-12-04	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-41	1426.05	1535.13	42.18%	57.37%	-21.22	5-8
2014-12-15	New Orleans Saints	L 15-31	1404.83	1478.67	47.19%	52.36%	-26.32	5-9
2014-12-21	Detroit Lions	L 14-20	1378.51	1562.08	32.23%	67.37%	-11.02	5-10
2014-12-28	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 9-13	1367.49	1445.44	31.47%	68.13%	-8.78	5-11
2014-09-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-16	1548.01	1494.49	49.44%	50.11%	+18.49	1-0
2014-09-14	Atlanta Falcons	W 24-10	1566.50	1455.99	72.04%	27.59%	+14.40	2-0
2014-09-21	Tennessee Titans	W 33-7	1580.90	1469.95	72.09%	27.54%	+19.60	3-0
2014-10-05	@ New England Patriots	L 17-43	1600.50	1570.38	46.08%	53.47%	-32.78	3-1
2014-10-12	Carolina Panthers	T 37-37	1567.72	1539.26	61.67%	37.90%	-0.82	3-1
2014-10-19	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 0-27	1566.90	1576.61	40.46%	59.10%	-29.34	3-2
2014-10-26	Baltimore Ravens	W 27-24	1537.56	1580.27	51.66%	47.88%	+11.57	4-2
2014-11-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-23	1549.13	1293.80	85.53%	14.23%	+6.27	5-2
2014-11-06	Cleveland Browns	L 3-24	1555.40	1424.27	74.36%	25.29%	-47.44	5-3
2014-11-16	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-10	1507.96	1579.43	32.28%	67.32%	+38.66	6-3
2014-11-23	@ Houston Texans	W 22-13	1546.62	1443.96	56.47%	43.08%	+18.03	7-3
2014-11-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 14-13	1564.65	1341.34	72.17%	27.46%	+3.83	8-3
2014-12-07	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-42	1568.48	1539.83	61.70%	37.87%	-39.39	8-4
2014-12-14	@ Cleveland Browns	W 30-0	1529.09	1420.79	57.27%	42.29%	+32.32	9-4
2014-12-22	Denver Broncos	W 37-28	1561.41	1695.69	38.69%	60.87%	+25.44	10-4
2014-12-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-27	1586.85	1608.28	38.85%	60.71%	-17.14	10-5
2014-09-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-30	1393.42	1537.10	23.95%	75.71%	-5.79	0-1
2014-09-14	New Orleans Saints	W 26-24	1387.63	1559.61	33.70%	65.89%	+12.98	1-1
2014-09-21	Baltimore Ravens	L 21-23	1400.61	1508.03	42.41%	57.14%	-8.37	1-2
2014-10-05	@ Tennessee Titans	W 29-28	1392.24	1428.84	36.80%	62.77%	+8.75	2-2
2014-10-12	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-10	1400.99	1543.13	37.63%	61.94%	+39.54	3-2
2014-10-19	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-24	1440.53	1272.93	65.32%	34.26%	-38.60	3-3
2014-10-26	Oakland Raiders	W 23-13	1401.93	1291.06	72.08%	27.55%	+12.15	4-3
2014-11-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 22-17	1414.08	1345.57	66.94%	32.65%	+10.19	5-3
2014-11-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-3	1424.27	1555.40	25.29%	74.36%	+47.44	6-3
2014-11-16	Houston Texans	L 7-23	1471.71	1406.93	66.47%	33.12%	-37.03	6-4
2014-11-23	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 26-24	1434.68	1424.84	43.20%	56.35%	+11.11	7-4
2014-11-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-26	1445.79	1488.90	35.94%	63.64%	-20.06	7-5
2014-12-07	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-25	1425.73	1584.70	35.39%	64.19%	-4.94	7-6
2014-12-14	Cincinnati Bengals	L 0-30	1420.79	1529.09	42.29%	57.27%	-32.32	7-7
2014-12-21	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-17	1388.47	1478.41	30.01%	69.60%	-8.37	7-8
2014-12-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-20	1380.10	1568.83	19.56%	80.14%	-8.63	7-9
2014-09-07	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-28	1491.26	1642.59	36.40%	63.18%	-16.85	0-1
2014-09-14	@ Tennessee Titans	W 26-10	1474.41	1504.44	37.69%	61.88%	+34.49	1-1
2014-09-21	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-31	1508.90	1485.13	45.17%	54.38%	+13.12	2-1
2014-09-28	New Orleans Saints	W 38-17	1522.02	1561.86	52.07%	47.47%	+30.34	3-1
2014-10-05	Houston Texans	W 20-17	1552.36	1418.43	74.66%	24.98%	+6.04	4-1
2014-10-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 30-23	1558.40	1696.10	24.58%	75.07%	+27.65	5-1
2014-10-19	New York Giants	W 31-21	1586.05	1483.00	71.17%	28.45%	+12.55	6-1
2014-10-27	Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1598.60	1353.42	84.79%	14.96%	-20.43	6-2
2014-11-02	Arizona Cardinals	L 17-28	1578.17	1612.82	52.82%	46.73%	-24.42	6-3
2014-11-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-17	1553.75	1287.53	82.04%	17.68%	+9.23	7-3
2014-11-23	@ New York Giants	W 31-28	1562.98	1424.47	61.45%	38.12%	+9.21	8-3
2014-11-27	Philadelphia Eagles	L 10-33	1572.19	1588.43	55.45%	44.10%	-37.06	8-4
2014-12-04	@ Chicago Bears	W 41-28	1535.13	1426.05	57.37%	42.18%	+21.22	9-4
2014-12-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-27	1556.35	1605.59	35.13%	64.45%	+29.77	10-4
2014-12-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-7	1586.12	1599.26	55.89%	43.66%	+36.04	11-4
2014-12-28	@ Washington Redskins	W 44-17	1622.16	1299.28	82.11%	17.61%	+12.76	12-4
2014-09-07	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-24	1602.58	1529.85	67.48%	32.12%	+11.86	1-0
2014-09-14	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-17	1614.44	1486.11	74.05%	25.59%	+9.45	2-0
2014-09-21	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-26	1623.89	1676.80	34.65%	64.93%	-11.84	2-1
2014-10-05	Arizona Cardinals	W 41-20	1612.05	1611.73	57.78%	41.77%	+26.70	3-1
2014-10-12	@ New York Jets	W 31-17	1638.75	1396.17	74.33%	25.31%	+13.22	4-1
2014-10-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 42-17	1651.97	1647.51	58.36%	41.19%	+28.74	5-1
2014-10-23	San Diego Chargers	W 35-21	1680.71	1615.75	66.49%	33.10%	+17.28	6-1
2014-11-02	@ New England Patriots	L 21-43	1697.99	1643.51	49.58%	49.97%	-32.42	6-2
2014-11-09	@ Oakland Raiders	W 41-17	1665.57	1276.43	87.03%	12.75%	+8.70	7-2
2014-11-16	@ St. Louis Rams	L 7-22	1674.27	1444.73	72.88%	26.75%	-39.30	7-3
2014-11-23	Miami Dolphins	W 39-36	1634.97	1552.38	68.70%	30.90%	+7.47	8-3
2014-11-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 29-16	1642.44	1591.55	49.06%	50.48%	+25.38	9-3
2014-12-07	Buffalo Bills	W 24-17	1667.82	1508.96	77.27%	22.40%	+8.27	10-3
2014-12-14	@ San Diego Chargers	W 22-10	1676.09	1555.30	59.01%	40.55%	+19.60	11-3
2014-12-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 28-37	1695.69	1561.41	60.87%	38.69%	-25.45	11-4
2014-12-28	Oakland Raiders	W 47-14	1670.24	1311.09	91.46%	8.38%	+6.70	12-4
2014-09-08	New York Giants	W 35-14	1477.32	1477.38	57.73%	41.82%	+26.74	1-0
2014-09-14	@ Carolina Panthers	L 7-24	1504.06	1585.87	31.00%	68.61%	-17.84	1-1
2014-09-21	Green Bay Packers	W 19-7	1486.22	1478.86	58.77%	40.79%	+19.72	2-1
2014-09-28	@ New York Jets	W 24-17	1505.94	1427.49	53.02%	46.53%	+17.17	3-1
2014-10-05	Buffalo Bills	L 14-17	1523.11	1467.02	65.35%	34.24%	-15.77	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 17-3	1507.34	1455.24	49.24%	50.31%	+26.25	4-2
2014-10-19	New Orleans Saints	W 24-23	1533.59	1540.14	56.82%	42.74%	+5.96	5-2
2014-10-26	Atlanta Falcons	W 22-21	1539.55	1394.47	69.52%	30.09%	+4.20	6-2
2014-11-09	Miami Dolphins	W 20-16	1543.75	1546.73	57.32%	42.23%	+11.78	7-2
2014-11-16	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 6-14	1555.53	1648.90	29.59%	70.02%	-11.68	7-3
2014-11-23	@ New England Patriots	L 9-34	1543.85	1706.45	22.03%	77.64%	-15.36	7-4
2014-11-27	Chicago Bears	W 34-17	1528.49	1443.68	68.98%	30.63%	+17.62	8-4
2014-12-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 34-17	1546.11	1337.51	81.89%	17.83%	+10.25	9-4
2014-12-14	Minnesota Vikings	W 16-14	1556.36	1457.92	70.62%	28.99%	+5.72	10-4
2014-12-21	@ Chicago Bears	W 20-14	1562.08	1378.51	67.37%	32.23%	+11.02	11-4
2014-12-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-30	1573.10	1625.29	34.75%	64.84%	-15.33	11-5
2014-09-04	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 16-36	1474.06	1692.14	17.05%	82.68%	-10.63	0-1
2014-09-14	New York Jets	W 31-24	1463.43	1463.34	57.75%	41.80%	+15.43	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Detroit Lions	L 7-19	1478.86	1486.22	40.79%	58.77%	-19.72	1-2
2014-09-28	@ Chicago Bears	W 38-17	1459.14	1510.25	34.89%	64.69%	+41.30	2-2
2014-10-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 42-10	1500.44	1486.74	59.65%	39.91%	+31.50	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Miami Dolphins	W 27-24	1531.94	1461.64	51.85%	47.69%	+11.52	4-2
2014-10-19	Carolina Panthers	W 38-17	1543.46	1540.09	58.21%	41.34%	+26.44	5-2
2014-10-26	@ New Orleans Saints	L 23-44	1569.90	1534.18	46.88%	52.67%	-29.97	5-3
2014-11-09	Chicago Bears	W 55-14	1539.93	1438.31	71.00%	28.62%	+25.58	6-3
2014-11-16	Philadelphia Eagles	W 53-20	1565.51	1617.33	50.35%	49.19%	+39.40	7-3
2014-11-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 24-21	1604.91	1429.95	66.27%	33.32%	+8.06	8-3
2014-11-30	New England Patriots	W 26-21	1612.97	1721.81	42.21%	57.34%	+17.86	9-3
2014-12-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 43-37	1630.83	1447.08	79.68%	20.01%	+6.84	10-3
2014-12-14	@ Buffalo Bills	L 13-21	1637.67	1500.69	61.24%	38.33%	-24.13	10-4
2014-12-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 20-3	1613.54	1322.59	79.26%	20.43%	+11.75	11-4
2014-12-28	Detroit Lions	W 30-20	1625.29	1573.10	64.84%	34.75%	+15.33	12-4
2014-09-07	Washington Redskins	W 17-6	1369.30	1392.02	54.52%	45.02%	+20.83	1-0
2014-09-14	@ Oakland Raiders	W 30-14	1390.13	1363.21	45.62%	53.93%	+30.06	2-0
2014-09-21	@ New York Giants	L 17-30	1420.19	1432.01	40.17%	59.39%	-20.21	2-1
2014-09-28	Buffalo Bills	W 23-17	1399.98	1485.46	45.52%	54.03%	+18.45	3-1
2014-10-05	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-20	1418.43	1552.36	24.98%	74.66%	-6.04	3-2
2014-10-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-33	1412.39	1565.32	36.18%	63.39%	-11.29	3-3
2014-10-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 23-30	1401.10	1503.58	28.52%	71.10%	-10.53	3-4
2014-10-26	@ Tennessee Titans	W 30-16	1390.57	1414.29	38.54%	61.03%	+31.81	4-4
2014-11-02	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-31	1422.38	1584.17	35.02%	64.56%	-15.45	4-5
2014-11-16	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-7	1406.93	1471.71	33.12%	66.47%	+37.03	5-5
2014-11-23	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-22	1443.96	1546.62	43.08%	56.47%	-18.04	5-6
2014-11-30	Tennessee Titans	W 45-21	1425.92	1352.23	67.60%	32.00%	+21.88	6-6
2014-12-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-13	1447.80	1279.50	65.42%	34.17%	+17.85	7-6
2014-12-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-17	1465.65	1589.64	26.07%	73.57%	-9.63	7-7
2014-12-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 25-13	1456.02	1598.76	37.55%	62.02%	+29.93	8-7
2014-12-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-17	1485.95	1275.53	82.04%	17.68%	+6.04	9-7
2014-09-07	@ Denver Broncos	L 24-31	1529.85	1602.58	32.12%	67.48%	-11.87	0-1
2014-09-15	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-30	1517.98	1554.93	52.49%	47.06%	-12.67	0-2
2014-09-21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 44-17	1505.31	1316.91	67.98%	31.62%	+22.93	1-2
2014-09-28	Tennessee Titans	W 41-17	1528.24	1450.36	68.12%	31.48%	+21.53	2-2
2014-10-05	Baltimore Ravens	W 20-13	1549.77	1552.08	57.41%	42.14%	+15.55	3-2
2014-10-09	@ Houston Texans	W 33-28	1565.32	1412.39	63.39%	36.18%	+11.29	4-2
2014-10-19	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-0	1576.61	1566.90	59.10%	40.46%	+29.34	5-2
2014-10-26	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 34-51	1605.95	1514.11	54.93%	44.61%	-31.57	5-3
2014-11-03	@ New York Giants	W 40-24	1574.38	1470.44	56.65%	42.90%	+23.94	6-3
2014-11-16	New England Patriots	L 20-42	1598.32	1675.93	46.65%	52.90%	-30.51	6-4
2014-11-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-3	1567.81	1278.30	87.79%	12.00%	+7.48	7-4
2014-11-30	Washington Redskins	W 49-27	1575.29	1322.30	85.36%	14.40%	+9.41	8-4
2014-12-07	@ Cleveland Browns	W 25-24	1584.70	1425.73	64.19%	35.39%	+4.94	9-4
2014-12-14	Houston Texans	W 17-10	1589.64	1465.65	73.57%	26.07%	+9.62	10-4
2014-12-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-42	1599.26	1586.12	43.66%	55.89%	-36.03	10-5
2014-12-28	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-10	1563.23	1261.01	80.30%	19.40%	+3.71	11-5
2014-09-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-34	1358.20	1543.51	19.87%	79.82%	-11.42	0-1
2014-09-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 10-41	1346.78	1371.19	38.45%	61.12%	-29.87	0-2
2014-09-21	Indianapolis Colts	L 17-44	1316.91	1505.31	31.62%	67.98%	-22.94	0-3
2014-09-28	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-33	1293.97	1607.73	10.61%	89.20%	-6.44	0-4
2014-10-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-17	1287.53	1533.27	24.97%	74.68%	-9.85	0-5
2014-10-12	@ Tennessee Titans	L 14-16	1277.68	1420.09	24.08%	75.57%	-4.75	0-6
2014-10-19	Cleveland Browns	W 24-6	1272.93	1440.53	34.26%	65.32%	+38.60	1-6
2014-10-26	Miami Dolphins	L 13-27	1311.53	1481.55	33.95%	65.64%	-17.73	1-7
2014-11-02	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 23-33	1293.80	1549.13	14.23%	85.53%	-6.27	1-8
2014-11-09	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-31	1287.53	1553.75	17.68%	82.04%	-9.23	1-9
2014-11-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-23	1278.30	1567.81	12.00%	87.79%	-7.48	1-10
2014-11-30	New York Giants	W 25-24	1270.82	1415.26	37.32%	62.25%	+8.68	2-10
2014-12-07	Houston Texans	L 13-27	1279.50	1447.80	34.17%	65.42%	-17.85	2-11
2014-12-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 12-20	1261.65	1594.99	9.59%	90.24%	-3.77	2-12
2014-12-18	Tennessee Titans	W 21-13	1257.88	1278.66	54.80%	44.75%	+17.65	3-12
2014-12-28	@ Houston Texans	L 17-23	1275.53	1485.95	17.68%	82.04%	-6.04	3-13
2014-09-07	Tennessee Titans	L 10-26	1522.38	1468.17	65.10%	34.48%	-36.27	0-1
2014-09-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-24	1486.11	1614.44	25.59%	74.05%	-9.45	0-2
2014-09-21	@ Miami Dolphins	W 34-15	1476.66	1472.78	42.36%	57.19%	+34.75	1-2
2014-09-29	New England Patriots	W 41-14	1511.41	1610.95	43.52%	56.03%	+40.57	2-2
2014-10-05	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-22	1551.98	1619.41	32.79%	66.80%	-10.23	2-3
2014-10-19	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1541.75	1632.56	29.90%	69.71%	+16.81	3-3
2014-10-26	St. Louis Rams	W 34-7	1558.56	1458.09	70.87%	28.75%	+20.85	4-3
2014-11-02	New York Jets	W 24-10	1579.41	1351.62	83.46%	16.27%	+8.49	5-3
2014-11-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 17-13	1587.90	1494.40	55.17%	44.38%	+12.38	6-3
2014-11-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-20	1600.28	1678.01	46.63%	52.92%	+14.75	7-3
2014-11-20	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-24	1615.03	1263.16	84.42%	15.33%	-23.48	7-4
2014-11-30	Denver Broncos	L 16-29	1591.55	1642.44	50.48%	49.06%	-25.38	7-5
2014-12-07	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 14-17	1566.17	1604.11	36.62%	62.95%	-8.85	7-6
2014-12-14	Oakland Raiders	W 31-13	1557.32	1305.33	85.29%	14.47%	+8.55	8-6
2014-12-21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-20	1565.87	1593.27	38.04%	61.53%	-15.01	8-7
2014-12-28	San Diego Chargers	W 19-7	1550.86	1550.20	57.83%	41.72%	+20.16	9-7
2014-09-07	New England Patriots	W 33-20	1469.21	1603.89	38.64%	60.93%	+30.61	1-0
2014-09-14	@ Buffalo Bills	L 10-29	1499.82	1480.99	44.47%	55.08%	-27.04	1-1
2014-09-21	Kansas City Chiefs	L 15-34	1472.78	1476.66	57.19%	42.36%	-34.74	1-2
2014-09-28	Oakland Raiders	W 38-14	1438.04	1328.34	65.05%	34.53%	+23.60	2-2
2014-10-12	Green Bay Packers	L 24-27	1461.64	1531.94	47.69%	51.85%	-11.52	2-3
2014-10-19	@ Chicago Bears	W 27-14	1450.12	1485.15	37.01%	62.56%	+31.43	3-3
2014-10-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-13	1481.55	1311.53	65.64%	33.95%	+17.72	4-3
2014-11-02	San Diego Chargers	W 37-0	1499.27	1598.46	43.57%	55.98%	+47.46	5-3
2014-11-09	@ Detroit Lions	L 16-20	1546.73	1543.75	42.23%	57.32%	-11.79	5-4
2014-11-13	Buffalo Bills	W 22-9	1534.94	1482.02	64.93%	34.65%	+17.44	6-4
2014-11-23	@ Denver Broncos	L 36-39	1552.38	1634.97	30.90%	68.70%	-7.47	6-5
2014-12-01	@ New York Jets	W 16-13	1544.91	1345.71	69.31%	30.30%	+7.32	7-5
2014-12-07	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-28	1552.23	1564.78	55.97%	43.58%	-30.21	7-6
2014-12-14	@ New England Patriots	L 13-41	1522.02	1720.25	18.72%	80.99%	-13.81	7-7
2014-12-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 37-35	1508.21	1452.20	65.33%	34.25%	+6.76	8-7
2014-12-28	New York Jets	L 24-37	1514.97	1343.66	78.50%	21.18%	-39.39	8-8
2014-09-07	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-6	1464.57	1523.58	33.86%	65.72%	+48.44	1-0
2014-09-14	New England Patriots	L 7-30	1513.01	1573.28	49.13%	50.41%	-32.86	1-1
2014-09-21	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-20	1480.15	1546.63	32.91%	66.68%	-15.23	1-2
2014-09-28	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-28	1464.92	1476.14	56.16%	43.39%	+21.82	2-2
2014-10-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-42	1486.74	1500.44	39.91%	59.65%	-31.50	2-3
2014-10-12	Detroit Lions	L 3-17	1455.24	1507.34	50.31%	49.24%	-26.25	2-4
2014-10-19	@ Buffalo Bills	L 16-17	1428.99	1460.84	37.44%	62.13%	-5.22	2-5
2014-10-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-13	1423.77	1362.30	50.58%	48.96%	+16.72	3-5
2014-11-02	Washington Redskins	W 29-26	1440.49	1373.85	66.70%	32.89%	+7.95	4-5
2014-11-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-21	1448.44	1412.73	46.88%	52.67%	-18.49	4-6
2014-11-23	Green Bay Packers	L 21-24	1429.95	1604.91	33.32%	66.27%	-8.06	4-7
2014-11-30	Carolina Panthers	W 31-13	1421.89	1443.82	54.64%	44.91%	+26.58	5-7
2014-12-07	New York Jets	W 30-24	1448.47	1338.38	71.99%	27.63%	+9.45	6-7
2014-12-14	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-16	1457.92	1556.36	28.99%	70.62%	-5.72	6-8
2014-12-21	@ Miami Dolphins	L 35-37	1452.20	1508.21	34.25%	65.33%	-6.76	6-9
2014-12-28	Chicago Bears	W 13-9	1445.44	1367.49	68.13%	31.47%	+8.78	7-9
2014-09-07	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-33	1603.89	1469.21	60.93%	38.64%	-30.61	0-1
2014-09-14	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 30-7	1573.28	1513.01	50.41%	49.13%	+32.86	1-1
2014-09-21	Oakland Raiders	W 16-9	1606.14	1333.15	86.74%	13.04%	+4.81	2-1
2014-09-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-41	1610.95	1511.41	56.03%	43.52%	-40.57	2-2
2014-10-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 43-17	1570.38	1600.50	53.47%	46.08%	+32.77	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Buffalo Bills	W 37-22	1603.15	1482.78	58.95%	40.61%	+21.94	4-2
2014-10-16	New York Jets	W 27-25	1625.09	1382.95	84.57%	15.18%	+2.99	5-2
2014-10-26	Chicago Bears	W 51-23	1628.08	1453.73	78.79%	20.89%	+15.43	6-2
2014-11-02	Denver Broncos	W 43-21	1643.51	1697.99	49.97%	49.58%	+32.42	7-2
2014-11-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 42-20	1675.93	1598.32	52.90%	46.65%	+30.52	8-2
2014-11-23	Detroit Lions	W 34-9	1706.45	1543.85	77.64%	22.03%	+15.36	9-2
2014-11-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-26	1721.81	1612.97	57.34%	42.21%	-17.87	9-3
2014-12-07	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-14	1703.94	1571.61	60.61%	38.96%	+16.31	10-3
2014-12-14	Miami Dolphins	W 41-13	1720.25	1522.02	80.99%	18.72%	+13.82	11-3
2014-12-21	@ New York Jets	W 17-16	1734.07	1345.44	86.99%	12.78%	+1.78	12-3
2014-12-28	Buffalo Bills	L 9-17	1735.85	1510.51	83.27%	16.47%	-10.92	12-4
2014-09-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 34-37	1574.25	1441.34	60.68%	38.88%	-14.64	0-1
2014-09-14	@ Cleveland Browns	L 24-26	1559.61	1387.63	65.89%	33.70%	-12.98	0-2
2014-09-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-9	1546.63	1480.15	66.68%	32.91%	+15.23	1-2
2014-09-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 17-38	1561.86	1522.02	47.47%	52.07%	-30.34	1-3
2014-10-05	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 37-31	1531.52	1399.82	74.42%	25.22%	+8.62	2-3
2014-10-19	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-24	1540.14	1533.59	42.74%	56.82%	-5.96	2-4
2014-10-26	Green Bay Packers	W 44-23	1534.18	1569.90	52.67%	46.88%	+29.96	3-4
2014-10-30	@ Carolina Panthers	W 28-10	1564.14	1503.09	50.52%	49.02%	+29.01	4-4
2014-11-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-27	1593.15	1599.61	56.83%	42.72%	-13.72	4-5
2014-11-16	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-27	1579.43	1507.96	67.32%	32.28%	-38.65	4-6
2014-11-24	Baltimore Ravens	L 27-34	1540.78	1552.32	56.11%	43.44%	-20.69	4-7
2014-11-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 35-32	1520.09	1554.92	37.04%	62.53%	+15.08	5-7
2014-12-07	Carolina Panthers	L 10-41	1535.17	1417.24	72.89%	26.74%	-56.50	5-8
2014-12-15	@ Chicago Bears	W 31-15	1478.67	1404.83	52.36%	47.19%	+26.33	6-8
2014-12-21	Atlanta Falcons	L 14-30	1505.00	1426.19	68.23%	31.37%	-38.01	6-9
2014-12-28	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-20	1466.99	1310.84	63.82%	35.76%	+8.64	7-9
2014-09-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 14-35	1477.38	1477.32	41.82%	57.73%	-26.74	0-1
2014-09-14	Arizona Cardinals	L 14-25	1450.64	1573.51	40.26%	59.30%	-18.63	0-2
2014-09-21	Houston Texans	W 30-17	1432.01	1420.19	59.39%	40.17%	+20.21	1-2
2014-09-25	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-14	1452.22	1395.83	49.85%	49.69%	+38.58	2-2
2014-10-05	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-20	1490.80	1454.31	62.75%	36.82%	+16.24	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 0-27	1507.04	1571.57	33.16%	66.43%	-24.04	3-3
2014-10-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 21-31	1483.00	1586.05	28.45%	71.17%	-12.56	3-4
2014-11-03	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-40	1470.44	1574.38	42.90%	56.65%	-23.94	3-5
2014-11-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-38	1446.50	1667.25	16.83%	82.90%	-10.75	3-6
2014-11-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-16	1435.75	1613.33	32.98%	66.61%	-11.28	3-7
2014-11-23	Dallas Cowboys	L 28-31	1424.47	1562.98	38.12%	61.45%	-9.21	3-8
2014-11-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-25	1415.26	1270.82	62.25%	37.32%	-8.67	3-9
2014-12-07	@ Tennessee Titans	W 36-7	1406.59	1330.35	52.70%	46.84%	+35.18	4-9
2014-12-14	Washington Redskins	W 24-13	1441.77	1290.80	76.47%	23.20%	+10.73	5-9
2014-12-21	@ St. Louis Rams	W 37-27	1452.50	1502.82	34.99%	64.59%	+28.45	6-9
2014-12-28	Philadelphia Eagles	L 26-34	1480.95	1556.61	46.93%	52.62%	-18.51	6-10
2014-09-07	Oakland Raiders	W 19-14	1453.62	1372.93	68.47%	31.13%	+9.72	1-0
2014-09-14	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-31	1463.34	1463.43	41.80%	57.75%	-15.43	1-1
2014-09-22	Chicago Bears	L 19-27	1447.91	1489.83	51.77%	47.77%	-20.42	1-2
2014-09-28	Detroit Lions	L 17-24	1427.49	1505.94	46.53%	53.02%	-17.17	1-3
2014-10-05	@ San Diego Chargers	L 0-31	1410.32	1614.17	18.23%	81.48%	-14.15	1-4
2014-10-12	Denver Broncos	L 17-31	1396.17	1638.75	25.31%	74.33%	-13.22	1-5
2014-10-16	@ New England Patriots	L 25-27	1382.95	1625.09	15.18%	84.57%	-2.99	1-6
2014-10-26	Buffalo Bills	L 23-43	1379.96	1466.06	45.43%	54.12%	-28.34	1-7
2014-11-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-24	1351.62	1579.41	16.27%	83.46%	-8.49	1-8
2014-11-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-13	1343.13	1573.79	26.63%	73.01%	+26.89	2-8
2014-11-24	@ Buffalo Bills	L 3-38	1370.02	1464.58	29.45%	70.16%	-24.31	2-9
2014-12-01	Miami Dolphins	L 13-16	1345.71	1544.91	30.30%	69.31%	-7.33	2-10
2014-12-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-30	1338.38	1448.47	27.63%	71.99%	-9.44	2-11
2014-12-14	@ Tennessee Titans	W 16-11	1328.94	1295.17	46.60%	52.94%	+16.50	3-11
2014-12-21	New England Patriots	L 16-17	1345.44	1734.07	12.78%	86.99%	-1.78	3-12
2014-12-28	@ Miami Dolphins	W 37-24	1343.66	1514.97	21.18%	78.50%	+39.39	4-12
2014-09-07	@ New York Jets	L 14-19	1372.93	1453.62	31.13%	68.47%	-9.72	0-1
2014-09-14	Houston Texans	L 14-30	1363.21	1390.13	53.93%	45.62%	-30.06	0-2
2014-09-21	@ New England Patriots	L 9-16	1333.15	1606.14	13.04%	86.74%	-4.81	0-3
2014-09-28	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-38	1328.34	1438.04	34.53%	65.05%	-23.61	0-4
2014-10-12	San Diego Chargers	L 28-31	1304.73	1628.32	17.55%	82.17%	-4.24	0-5
2014-10-19	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-24	1300.49	1591.94	20.38%	79.31%	-9.43	0-6
2014-10-26	@ Cleveland Browns	L 13-23	1291.06	1401.93	27.55%	72.08%	-12.15	0-7
2014-11-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-30	1278.91	1664.77	7.27%	92.59%	-2.48	0-8
2014-11-09	Denver Broncos	L 17-41	1276.43	1665.57	12.75%	87.03%	-8.71	0-9
2014-11-16	@ San Diego Chargers	L 6-13	1267.72	1551.01	12.38%	87.40%	-4.56	0-10
2014-11-20	Kansas City Chiefs	W 24-20	1263.16	1615.03	15.33%	84.42%	+23.48	1-10
2014-11-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 0-52	1286.64	1476.23	19.48%	80.21%	-19.59	1-11
2014-12-07	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-13	1267.05	1600.25	16.77%	82.96%	+38.28	2-11
2014-12-14	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-31	1305.33	1557.32	14.47%	85.29%	-8.56	2-12
2014-12-21	Buffalo Bills	W 26-24	1296.77	1524.83	26.92%	72.71%	+14.32	3-12
2014-12-28	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-47	1311.09	1670.24	8.38%	91.46%	-6.70	3-13
2014-09-07	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-17	1543.51	1358.20	79.82%	19.87%	+11.42	1-0
2014-09-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 30-27	1554.93	1517.98	47.06%	52.49%	+12.68	2-0
2014-09-21	Washington Redskins	W 37-34	1567.61	1401.06	78.03%	21.64%	+5.23	3-0
2014-09-28	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-26	1572.84	1607.86	37.01%	62.56%	-11.55	3-1
2014-10-05	St. Louis Rams	W 34-28	1561.29	1472.00	69.52%	30.09%	+10.28	4-1
2014-10-12	New York Giants	W 27-0	1571.57	1507.04	66.43%	33.16%	+24.05	5-1
2014-10-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-24	1595.62	1601.37	41.01%	58.54%	-11.45	5-2
2014-11-02	@ Houston Texans	W 31-21	1584.17	1422.38	64.56%	35.02%	+15.46	6-2
2014-11-10	Carolina Panthers	W 45-21	1599.63	1474.09	73.74%	25.90%	+17.70	7-2
2014-11-16	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-53	1617.33	1565.51	49.19%	50.35%	-39.41	7-3
2014-11-23	Tennessee Titans	W 43-24	1577.92	1362.73	82.44%	17.28%	+10.51	8-3
2014-11-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 33-10	1588.43	1572.19	44.10%	55.45%	+37.06	9-3
2014-12-07	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-24	1625.49	1713.92	45.10%	54.45%	-19.90	9-4
2014-12-14	Dallas Cowboys	L 27-38	1605.59	1556.35	64.45%	35.13%	-29.77	9-5
2014-12-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-27	1575.82	1280.07	79.71%	19.99%	-19.21	9-6
2014-12-28	@ New York Giants	W 34-26	1556.61	1480.95	52.62%	46.93%	+18.51	10-6
2014-09-07	Cleveland Browns	W 30-27	1537.10	1393.42	75.71%	23.95%	+5.79	1-0
2014-09-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-26	1542.89	1476.01	51.36%	48.19%	-32.02	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Carolina Panthers	W 37-19	1510.87	1603.70	29.66%	69.95%	+41.32	2-1
2014-09-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-27	1552.19	1380.90	78.50%	21.18%	-18.92	2-2
2014-10-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-9	1533.27	1287.53	74.68%	24.97%	+9.86	3-2
2014-10-12	@ Cleveland Browns	L 10-31	1543.13	1400.99	61.94%	37.63%	-39.55	3-3
2014-10-20	Houston Texans	W 30-23	1503.58	1401.10	71.10%	28.52%	+10.53	4-3
2014-10-26	Indianapolis Colts	W 51-34	1514.11	1605.95	44.61%	54.93%	+31.57	5-3
2014-11-02	Baltimore Ravens	W 43-23	1545.68	1568.70	54.48%	45.07%	+28.11	6-3
2014-11-09	@ New York Jets	L 13-20	1573.79	1343.13	73.01%	26.63%	-26.89	6-4
2014-11-17	@ Tennessee Titans	W 27-24	1546.90	1370.75	66.43%	33.16%	+8.02	7-4
2014-11-30	New Orleans Saints	L 32-35	1554.92	1520.09	62.53%	37.04%	-15.09	7-5
2014-12-07	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 42-21	1539.83	1568.48	37.87%	61.70%	+39.39	8-5
2014-12-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 27-20	1579.22	1440.24	61.51%	38.05%	+14.05	9-5
2014-12-21	Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-12	1593.27	1565.87	61.53%	38.04%	+15.01	10-5
2014-12-28	Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-17	1608.28	1586.85	60.71%	38.85%	+17.15	11-5
2014-09-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 17-18	1564.97	1567.73	41.43%	58.13%	-5.78	0-1
2014-09-14	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-21	1559.19	1702.77	37.43%	62.14%	+25.97	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Buffalo Bills	W 22-10	1585.16	1508.03	52.83%	46.72%	+22.57	2-1
2014-09-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 33-14	1607.73	1293.97	89.20%	10.61%	+6.44	3-1
2014-10-05	New York Jets	W 31-0	1614.17	1410.32	81.48%	18.23%	+14.15	4-1
2014-10-12	@ Oakland Raiders	W 31-28	1628.32	1304.73	82.17%	17.55%	+4.24	5-1
2014-10-19	Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-23	1632.56	1541.75	69.71%	29.90%	-16.81	5-2
2014-10-23	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-35	1615.75	1680.71	33.10%	66.49%	-17.29	5-3
2014-11-02	@ Miami Dolphins	L 0-37	1598.46	1499.27	55.98%	43.57%	-47.45	5-4
2014-11-16	Oakland Raiders	W 13-6	1551.01	1267.72	87.40%	12.38%	+4.56	6-4
2014-11-23	St. Louis Rams	W 27-24	1555.57	1484.03	67.33%	32.27%	+7.81	7-4
2014-11-30	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 34-33	1563.38	1573.01	40.47%	59.08%	+8.23	8-4
2014-12-07	New England Patriots	L 14-23	1571.61	1703.94	38.96%	60.61%	-16.31	8-5
2014-12-14	Denver Broncos	L 10-22	1555.30	1676.09	40.55%	59.01%	-19.60	8-6
2014-12-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 38-35	1535.70	1552.65	39.47%	60.10%	+14.50	9-6
2014-12-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-19	1550.20	1550.86	41.72%	57.83%	-20.16	9-7
2014-09-07	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 28-17	1642.59	1491.26	63.18%	36.40%	+16.85	1-0
2014-09-14	Chicago Bears	L 20-28	1659.44	1457.84	81.28%	18.43%	-31.99	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 14-23	1627.45	1592.14	46.82%	52.72%	-19.59	1-2
2014-09-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-21	1607.86	1572.84	62.56%	37.01%	+11.55	2-2
2014-10-05	Kansas City Chiefs	W 22-17	1619.41	1551.98	66.80%	32.79%	+10.23	3-2
2014-10-13	@ St. Louis Rams	W 31-17	1629.64	1461.72	65.36%	34.22%	+17.87	4-2
2014-10-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-42	1647.51	1651.97	41.19%	58.36%	-28.74	4-3
2014-11-02	St. Louis Rams	L 10-13	1618.77	1437.24	79.47%	20.22%	-19.16	4-4
2014-11-09	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-24	1599.61	1593.15	42.72%	56.83%	+13.72	5-4
2014-11-16	@ New York Giants	W 16-10	1613.33	1435.75	66.61%	32.98%	+11.28	6-4
2014-11-23	Washington Redskins	W 17-13	1624.61	1325.49	88.37%	11.43%	+3.18	7-4
2014-11-27	Seattle Seahawks	L 3-19	1627.79	1686.38	49.38%	50.17%	-27.54	7-5
2014-12-07	@ Oakland Raiders	L 13-24	1600.25	1267.05	82.96%	16.77%	-38.28	7-6
2014-12-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-17	1561.97	1733.82	21.13%	78.55%	-9.32	7-7
2014-12-20	San Diego Chargers	L 35-38	1552.65	1535.70	60.10%	39.47%	-14.50	7-8
2014-12-28	Arizona Cardinals	W 20-17	1538.15	1596.99	49.34%	50.20%	+12.12	8-8
2014-09-04	Green Bay Packers	W 36-16	1692.14	1474.06	82.68%	17.05%	+10.63	1-0
2014-09-14	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-30	1702.77	1559.19	62.14%	37.43%	-25.97	1-1
2014-09-21	Denver Broncos	W 26-20	1676.80	1623.89	64.93%	34.65%	+11.84	2-1
2014-10-06	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-17	1688.64	1357.25	82.81%	16.91%	+7.46	3-1
2014-10-12	Dallas Cowboys	L 23-30	1696.10	1558.40	75.07%	24.58%	-27.65	3-2
2014-10-19	@ St. Louis Rams	L 26-28	1668.45	1443.85	72.32%	27.31%	-14.24	3-3
2014-10-26	@ Carolina Panthers	W 13-9	1654.21	1513.65	61.73%	37.84%	+10.56	4-3
2014-11-02	Oakland Raiders	W 30-24	1664.77	1278.91	92.59%	7.27%	+2.48	5-3
2014-11-09	New York Giants	W 38-17	1667.25	1446.50	82.90%	16.83%	+10.76	6-3
2014-11-16	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-24	1678.01	1600.28	52.92%	46.63%	-14.76	6-4
2014-11-23	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-3	1663.25	1660.59	58.11%	41.44%	+23.13	7-4
2014-11-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 19-3	1686.38	1627.79	50.17%	49.38%	+27.54	8-4
2014-12-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-14	1713.92	1625.49	54.45%	45.10%	+19.90	9-4
2014-12-14	San Francisco 49ers	W 17-7	1733.82	1561.97	78.55%	21.13%	+9.32	10-4
2014-12-21	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 35-6	1743.14	1628.05	58.22%	41.34%	+31.06	11-4
2014-12-28	St. Louis Rams	W 20-6	1774.20	1474.37	88.41%	11.39%	+5.94	12-4
2014-09-07	Minnesota Vikings	L 6-34	1523.58	1464.57	65.72%	33.86%	-48.44	0-1
2014-09-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 19-17	1475.14	1425.44	48.89%	50.66%	+9.99	1-1
2014-09-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 31-34	1485.13	1508.90	54.38%	45.17%	-13.13	1-2
2014-10-05	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-34	1472.00	1561.29	30.09%	69.52%	-10.28	1-3
2014-10-13	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-31	1461.72	1629.64	34.22%	65.36%	-17.87	1-4
2014-10-19	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-26	1443.85	1668.45	27.31%	72.32%	+14.24	2-4
2014-10-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-34	1458.09	1558.56	28.75%	70.87%	-20.85	2-5
2014-11-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 13-10	1437.24	1618.77	20.22%	79.47%	+19.15	3-5
2014-11-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 14-31	1456.39	1637.24	20.28%	79.41%	-11.66	3-6
2014-11-16	Denver Broncos	W 22-7	1444.73	1674.27	26.75%	72.88%	+39.30	4-6
2014-11-23	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-27	1484.03	1555.57	32.27%	67.33%	-7.80	4-7
2014-11-30	Oakland Raiders	W 52-0	1476.23	1286.64	80.21%	19.48%	+19.59	5-7
2014-12-07	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-0	1495.82	1312.89	67.29%	32.31%	+22.09	6-7
2014-12-11	Arizona Cardinals	L 6-12	1517.91	1612.96	44.16%	55.39%	-15.09	6-8
2014-12-21	New York Giants	L 27-37	1502.82	1452.50	64.59%	34.99%	-28.45	6-9
2014-12-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-20	1474.37	1774.20	11.39%	88.41%	-5.94	6-10
2014-09-07	Carolina Panthers	L 14-20	1438.68	1572.63	38.74%	60.83%	-13.24	0-1
2014-09-14	St. Louis Rams	L 17-19	1425.44	1475.14	50.66%	48.89%	-9.98	0-2
2014-09-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-56	1415.46	1441.58	38.21%	61.35%	-34.56	0-3
2014-09-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1380.90	1552.19	21.18%	78.50%	+18.92	1-3
2014-10-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 31-37	1399.82	1531.52	25.22%	74.42%	-8.62	1-4
2014-10-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-48	1391.20	1536.53	37.20%	62.37%	-28.90	1-5
2014-10-26	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-19	1362.30	1423.77	48.96%	50.58%	-16.73	1-6
2014-11-02	@ Cleveland Browns	L 17-22	1345.57	1414.08	32.65%	66.94%	-10.19	1-7
2014-11-09	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-27	1335.38	1390.27	49.91%	49.64%	-22.00	1-8
2014-11-16	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-7	1313.38	1365.90	34.70%	64.88%	+40.41	2-8
2014-11-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-21	1353.79	1431.23	31.53%	68.06%	-12.45	2-9
2014-11-30	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-14	1341.34	1564.65	27.46%	72.17%	-3.83	2-10
2014-12-07	@ Detroit Lions	L 17-34	1337.51	1546.11	17.83%	81.89%	-10.25	2-11
2014-12-14	@ Carolina Panthers	L 17-19	1327.26	1473.74	23.66%	76.00%	-4.67	2-12
2014-12-21	Green Bay Packers	L 3-20	1322.59	1613.54	20.43%	79.26%	-11.75	2-13
2014-12-28	New Orleans Saints	L 20-23	1310.84	1466.99	35.76%	63.82%	-8.64	2-14
2014-09-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-10	1468.17	1522.38	34.48%	65.10%	+36.27	1-0
2014-09-14	Dallas Cowboys	L 10-26	1504.44	1474.41	61.88%	37.69%	-34.49	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-33	1469.95	1580.90	27.54%	72.09%	-19.59	1-2
2014-09-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-41	1450.36	1528.24	31.48%	68.12%	-21.52	1-3
2014-10-05	Cleveland Browns	L 28-29	1428.84	1392.24	62.77%	36.80%	-8.75	1-4
2014-10-12	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 16-14	1420.09	1277.68	75.57%	24.08%	+4.75	2-4
2014-10-19	@ Washington Redskins	L 17-19	1424.84	1342.87	53.53%	46.02%	-10.55	2-5
2014-10-26	Houston Texans	L 16-30	1414.29	1390.57	61.03%	38.54%	-31.81	2-6
2014-11-09	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-21	1382.48	1540.59	22.47%	77.19%	-11.73	2-7
2014-11-17	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-27	1370.75	1546.90	33.16%	66.43%	-8.02	2-8
2014-11-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-43	1362.73	1577.92	17.28%	82.44%	-10.50	2-9
2014-11-30	@ Houston Texans	L 21-45	1352.23	1425.92	32.00%	67.60%	-21.88	2-10
2014-12-07	New York Giants	L 7-36	1330.35	1406.59	46.84%	52.70%	-35.18	2-11
2014-12-14	New York Jets	L 11-16	1295.17	1328.94	52.94%	46.60%	-16.51	2-12
2014-12-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 13-21	1278.66	1257.88	44.75%	54.80%	-17.65	2-13
2014-12-28	Indianapolis Colts	L 10-27	1261.01	1563.23	19.40%	80.30%	-3.72	2-14
2014-09-07	@ Houston Texans	L 6-17	1392.02	1369.30	45.02%	54.52%	-20.83	0-1
2014-09-14	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 41-10	1371.19	1346.78	61.12%	38.45%	+29.87	1-1
2014-09-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 34-37	1401.06	1567.61	21.64%	78.03%	-5.23	1-2
2014-09-25	New York Giants	L 14-45	1395.83	1452.22	49.69%	49.85%	-38.58	1-3
2014-10-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-27	1357.25	1688.64	16.91%	82.81%	-7.46	1-4
2014-10-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-30	1349.79	1585.02	15.70%	84.04%	-6.92	1-5
2014-10-19	Tennessee Titans	W 19-17	1342.87	1424.84	46.02%	53.53%	+10.55	2-5
2014-10-27	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 20-17	1353.42	1598.60	14.96%	84.79%	+20.43	3-5
2014-11-02	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 26-29	1373.85	1440.49	32.89%	66.70%	-7.95	3-6
2014-11-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-27	1365.90	1313.38	64.88%	34.70%	-40.41	3-7
2014-11-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-17	1325.49	1624.61	11.43%	88.37%	-3.19	3-8
2014-11-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-49	1322.30	1575.29	14.40%	85.36%	-9.41	3-9
2014-12-07	St. Louis Rams	L 0-24	1312.89	1495.82	32.31%	67.29%	-22.09	3-10
2014-12-14	@ New York Giants	L 13-24	1290.80	1441.77	23.20%	76.47%	-10.73	3-11
2014-12-20	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-24	1280.07	1575.82	19.99%	79.71%	+19.21	4-11
2014-12-28	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-44	1299.28	1622.16	17.61%	82.11%	-12.76	4-12

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2015-01-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 16-27	1584.87	1529.12	49.99%	50.01%	-23.02	0-1
2015-01-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 30-17	1577.46	1625.43	35.49%	64.51%	+32.28	1-0
2015-01-10	@ New England Patriots	L 31-35	1609.74	1724.93	27.20%	72.80%	-7.55	1-1
2015-01-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-16	1529.12	1584.87	50.01%	49.99%	+23.01	1-0
2015-01-10	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-31	1552.13	1780.14	16.33%	83.67%	-8.48	1-1
2015-01-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-26	1569.71	1566.94	42.42%	57.58%	-23.56	0-1
2015-01-04	Detroit Lions	W 24-20	1634.92	1557.77	68.26%	31.74%	+8.81	1-0
2015-01-11	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-26	1643.73	1640.62	42.47%	57.53%	-13.18	1-1
2015-01-11	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-24	1676.94	1590.50	69.40%	30.60%	-31.95	0-1
2015-01-04	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-24	1557.77	1634.92	31.74%	68.26%	-8.82	0-1
2015-01-11	Dallas Cowboys	W 26-21	1640.62	1643.73	57.53%	42.47%	+13.19	1-0
2015-01-18	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 22-28	1653.81	1788.62	25.02%	74.98%	-8.51	1-1
2015-01-04	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-10	1566.94	1569.71	57.58%	42.42%	+23.56	1-0
2015-01-11	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-13	1590.50	1676.94	30.60%	69.40%	+31.95	2-0
2015-01-18	@ New England Patriots	L 7-45	1622.45	1732.48	27.79%	72.21%	-23.78	2-1
2015-01-10	Baltimore Ravens	W 35-31	1724.93	1609.74	72.80%	27.20%	+7.55	1-0
2015-01-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 45-7	1732.48	1622.45	72.21%	27.79%	+23.78	2-0
2015-02-01	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-24	1756.26	1797.12	44.15%	55.85%	+15.50	3-0
2015-01-03	Baltimore Ravens	L 17-30	1625.43	1577.46	64.51%	35.49%	-32.29	0-1
2015-01-10	Carolina Panthers	W 31-17	1780.14	1552.13	83.67%	16.33%	+8.48	1-0
2015-01-18	Green Bay Packers	W 28-22	1788.62	1653.81	74.98%	25.02%	+8.50	2-0
2015-02-01	@ New England Patriots	L 24-28	1797.12	1756.26	55.85%	44.15%	-15.50	2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2014-10-27	14.96%	Washington Redskins	1353.42	20	@ Dallas Cowboys	1598.60	17
2	2014-11-20	15.33%	@ Oakland Raiders	1263.16	24	Kansas City Chiefs	1615.03	20
3	2014-12-28	16.47%	Buffalo Bills	1510.51	17	@ New England Patriots	1735.85	9
4	2014-12-07	16.77%	@ Oakland Raiders	1267.05	24	San Francisco 49ers	1600.25	13
5	2014-09-14	18.43%	Chicago Bears	1457.84	28	@ San Francisco 49ers	1659.44	20
6	2014-12-20	19.99%	@ Washington Redskins	1280.07	27	Philadelphia Eagles	1575.82	24
7	2014-11-02	20.22%	St. Louis Rams	1437.24	13	@ San Francisco 49ers	1618.77	10
8	2014-09-28	21.18%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1380.90	27	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1552.19	24
9	2014-12-28	21.18%	New York Jets	1343.66	37	@ Miami Dolphins	1514.97	24
10	2014-10-12	24.58%	Dallas Cowboys	1558.40	30	@ Seattle Seahawks	1696.10	23
11	2014-11-06	25.29%	Cleveland Browns	1424.27	24	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1555.40	3
12	2014-11-09	26.63%	@ New York Jets	1343.13	20	Pittsburgh Steelers	1573.79	13
13	2014-12-07	26.74%	Carolina Panthers	1417.24	41	@ New Orleans Saints	1535.17	10
14	2014-11-16	26.75%	@ St. Louis Rams	1444.73	22	Denver Broncos	1674.27	7
15	2014-12-21	26.92%	@ Oakland Raiders	1296.77	26	Buffalo Bills	1524.83	24
16	2014-10-19	27.31%	@ St. Louis Rams	1443.85	28	Seattle Seahawks	1668.45	26
17	2014-11-30	27.41%	@ Atlanta Falcons	1413.73	29	Arizona Cardinals	1637.46	18
18	2014-09-21	29.66%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1510.87	37	@ Carolina Panthers	1603.70	19
19	2014-10-19	29.90%	Kansas City Chiefs	1541.75	23	@ San Diego Chargers	1632.56	20
20	2015-01-11 *	30.60%	Indianapolis Colts	1590.50	24	@ Denver Broncos	1676.94	13
21	2014-12-21	31.37%	Atlanta Falcons	1426.19	30	@ New Orleans Saints	1505.00	14
22	2014-11-16	32.28%	Cincinnati Bengals	1507.96	27	@ New Orleans Saints	1579.43	10
23	2014-11-16	33.12%	Houston Texans	1406.93	23	@ Cleveland Browns	1471.71	7
24	2014-09-14	33.70%	@ Cleveland Browns	1387.63	26	New Orleans Saints	1559.61	24
25	2014-09-07	33.86%	Minnesota Vikings	1464.57	34	@ St. Louis Rams	1523.58	6

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2014-12-07	56.50	Carolina Panthers	41	1417.24	26.74%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1535.17	72.89%
2	2014-09-07	48.44	Minnesota Vikings	34	1464.57	33.86%	@ St. Louis Rams	6	1523.58	65.72%
3	2014-11-02	47.46	@ Miami Dolphins	37	1499.27	43.57%	San Diego Chargers	0	1598.46	55.98%
4	2014-11-06	47.44	Cleveland Browns	24	1424.27	25.29%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	3	1555.40	74.36%
5	2014-12-28	42.33	Carolina Panthers	34	1486.79	45.01%	@ Atlanta Falcons	3	1464.20	54.54%
6	2014-09-21	41.32	Pittsburgh Steelers	37	1510.87	29.66%	@ Carolina Panthers	19	1603.70	69.95%
7	2014-09-28	41.30	Green Bay Packers	38	1459.14	34.89%	@ Chicago Bears	17	1510.25	64.69%
8	2014-09-29	40.57	@ Kansas City Chiefs	41	1511.41	43.52%	New England Patriots	14	1610.95	56.03%
9	2014-11-16	40.41	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	27	1313.38	34.70%	@ Washington Redskins	7	1365.90	64.88%
10	2014-10-12	39.55	@ Cleveland Browns	31	1400.99	37.63%	Pittsburgh Steelers	10	1543.13	61.94%
11	2014-11-16	39.41	@ Green Bay Packers	53	1565.51	50.35%	Philadelphia Eagles	20	1617.33	49.19%
12	2014-12-07	39.39	Pittsburgh Steelers	42	1539.83	37.87%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	21	1568.48	61.70%
13	2014-12-28	39.39	New York Jets	37	1343.66	21.18%	@ Miami Dolphins	24	1514.97	78.50%
14	2014-11-16	39.30	@ St. Louis Rams	22	1444.73	26.75%	Denver Broncos	7	1674.27	72.88%
15	2014-11-16	38.66	Cincinnati Bengals	27	1507.96	32.28%	@ New Orleans Saints	10	1579.43	67.32%
16	2014-10-19	38.60	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	24	1272.93	34.26%	Cleveland Browns	6	1440.53	65.32%
17	2014-09-25	38.58	New York Giants	45	1452.22	49.85%	@ Washington Redskins	14	1395.83	49.69%
18	2014-12-07	38.28	@ Oakland Raiders	24	1267.05	16.77%	San Francisco 49ers	13	1600.25	82.96%
19	2014-12-21	38.01	Atlanta Falcons	30	1426.19	31.37%	@ New Orleans Saints	14	1505.00	68.23%
20	2014-11-27	37.06	Philadelphia Eagles	33	1588.43	44.10%	@ Dallas Cowboys	10	1572.19	55.45%
21	2014-11-16	37.03	Houston Texans	23	1406.93	33.12%	@ Cleveland Browns	7	1471.71	66.47%
22	2014-09-07	36.27	Tennessee Titans	26	1468.17	34.48%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	10	1522.38	65.10%
23	2014-12-21	36.04	@ Dallas Cowboys	42	1586.12	55.89%	Indianapolis Colts	7	1599.26	43.66%
24	2014-09-28	35.68	@ Baltimore Ravens	38	1516.40	51.19%	Carolina Panthers	10	1562.38	48.35%
25	2014-12-07	35.18	New York Giants	36	1406.59	52.70%	@ Tennessee Titans	7	1330.35	46.84%