2013 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Seattle Seahawks

1st Super Bowl

Runner-Up

Denver Broncos

7th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1998

Biggest Overachiever

Arizona Cardinals

2.48 wins above expected

10 wins · 7.52 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Houston Texans

4.19 wins below expected

2 wins · 6.19 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	12	4	.750	-	444	338	+106	10.75	+1.25
2	New York Jets	8	8	.500	4	290	387	-97	6.02	+1.98
3	Miami Dolphins	8	8	.500	4	317	335	-18	8.14	-0.14
4	Buffalo Bills	6	10	.375	6	339	388	-49	6.13	-0.13

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Cincinnati Bengals Division	11	5	.688	-	430	305	+125	9.77	+1.23
2	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	8	.500	3	379	370	+9	7.52	+0.48
3	Baltimore Ravens	8	8	.500	3	320	352	-32	9.06	-1.06
4	Cleveland Browns	4	12	.250	7	308	406	-98	5.98	-1.98

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	11	5	.688	-	391	336	+55	9.10	+1.90
2	Tennessee Titans	7	9	.438	4	362	381	-19	7.73	-0.73
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	4	12	.250	7	247	449	-202	4.39	-0.39
4	Houston Texans	2	14	.125	9	276	428	-152	6.19	-4.19

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	13	3	.812	-	606	399	+207	11.99	+1.01
2	Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs	11	5	.688	2	430	305	+125	9.64	+1.36
3	San Diego Chargers Playoffs	9	7	.562	4	396	348	+48	7.72	+1.28
4	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	9	322	453	-131	5.64	-1.64

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	10	6	.625	-	442	382	+60	7.81	+2.19
2	Dallas Cowboys	8	8	.500	2	439	432	+7	8.87	-0.87
3	New York Giants	7	9	.438	3	294	383	-89	7.05	-0.05
4	Washington Redskins	3	13	.188	7	334	478	-144	6.35	-3.35

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	8	7	1	.531	-	417	428	-11	9.01	-0.51
2	Chicago Bears	8	8	0	.500	0.5	445	478	-33	8.95	-0.95
3	Detroit Lions	7	9	0	.438	1.5	395	376	+19	8.14	-1.14
4	Minnesota Vikings	5	10	1	.344	3	391	480	-89	6.08	-0.58

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Carolina Panthers Division	12	4	.750	-	366	241	+125	9.94	+2.06
2	New Orleans Saints Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	414	304	+110	9.81	+1.19
3	Atlanta Falcons	4	12	.250	8	353	443	-90	6.82	-2.82
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4	12	.250	8	288	389	-101	5.28	-1.28

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	13	3	.812	-	417	231	+186	11.70	+1.30
2	San Francisco 49ers Playoffs	12	4	.750	1	406	272	+134	10.18	+1.82
3	Arizona Cardinals	10	6	.625	3	379	324	+55	7.52	+2.48
4	St. Louis Rams	7	9	.438	6	348	364	-16	6.72	+0.28

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Indianapolis Colts 45

Kansas City Chiefs 44

Jan 4

San Diego Chargers 27

Cincinnati Bengals 10

Jan 5

Divisional Round

New England Patriots 43

Indianapolis Colts 22

Jan 11

Denver Broncos 24

San Diego Chargers 17

Jan 12

Conference Championship

Denver Broncos 26

New England Patriots 16

Jan 19

NFC

Wild Card Round

New Orleans Saints 26

Philadelphia Eagles 24

Jan 4

San Francisco 49ers 23

Green Bay Packers 20

Jan 5

Divisional Round

Seattle Seahawks 23

New Orleans Saints 15

Jan 11

San Francisco 49ers 23

Carolina Panthers 10

Jan 12

Conference Championship

Seattle Seahawks 23

San Francisco 49ers 17

Jan 19

Super Bowl

Seattle Seahawks 43

Denver Broncos 8

Feb 2

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1757	13	11.70	+1.30	86.38%	4	9	11	12	13	14	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1747	12	10.18	+1.82	90.52%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1720	13	11.99	+1.01	82.32%	4	9	11	12	13	15	16
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1717	12	10.75	+1.25	84.33%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1677	12	9.94	+2.06	92.42%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1654	11	9.77	+1.23	82.38%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1640	11	9.81	+1.19	82.29%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1632	10	7.52	+2.48	94.44%	0	4	6	7	9	11	15
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1603	10	7.81	+2.19	92.75%	0	5	7	8	9	11	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1580	11	9.10	+1.90	91.34%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1575	9	7.72	+1.28	83.57%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1571	8	7.52	+0.48	70.57%	0	4	6	7	9	11	16
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1550	11	9.64	+1.36	85.18%	2	7	8	10	11	13	16
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1545	7	6.72	+0.28	67.52%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1491	8	9.06	-1.06	38.72%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1484	8	8.87	-0.87	42.87%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1463	8.5	9.01	-0.51	39.52%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1462	7	7.05	-0.05	60.55%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1454	7	8.14	-1.14	37.74%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1450	8	8.95	-0.95	41.28%	1	6	8	9	10	12	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1444	8	8.14	-0.14	57.95%	1	5	7	8	9	11	16
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1439	7	7.73	-0.73	45.92%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1436	6	6.13	-0.13	59.01%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1433	5.5	6.08	-0.58	38.61%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1426	8	6.02	+1.98	91.75%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1378	4	6.82	-2.82	9.98%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1378	4	5.28	-1.28	34.15%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1285	4	5.98	-1.98	20.95%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1278	3	6.35	-3.35	6.16%	0	3	5	6	8	9	14
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1253	4	4.39	-0.39	54.48%	0	2	3	4	5	7	12
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1253	4	5.64	-1.64	26.61%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1226	2	6.19	-4.19	1.47%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	2-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	0-2 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-
Miami Dolphins	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-
New England Patriots	3-1 (2.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-
New York Jets	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (1.2 exp.)	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-
Cleveland Browns	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-	0-4 (1.7 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	-	0-4 (0.6 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.4 exp.)

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.2 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (3.3 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)	-	-	-
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-
San Diego Chargers	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
New York Giants	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Washington Redskins	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	3-1 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	-	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	-	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	1-0-1 (1.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.1 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.1 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.5 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.6 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	2-2 (2.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	3-1 (2.9 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.9 exp.)	4-0 (2.9 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.39%	1.37%	1.76%	0.59%	0.39%	—	4.49%
7–13	0.39%	1.56%	2.93%	3.32%	2.34%	1.76%	0.78%	13.09%
14–20	1.37%	2.93%	5.08%	8.01%	2.93%	1.56%	1.17%	23.05%
21–27	1.76%	3.32%	8.01%	9.77%	4.10%	1.37%	0.59%	28.91%
28–34	0.59%	2.34%	2.93%	4.10%	5.47%	1.56%	1.37%	18.36%
35–41	0.39%	1.76%	1.56%	1.37%	1.56%	0.78%	0.20%	7.62%
42+	—	0.78%	1.17%	0.59%	1.37%	0.20%	0.39%	4.49%
Total	4.49%	13.09%	23.05%	28.91%	18.36%	7.62%	4.49%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.41	23.41	+0.00
SD	10.22	10.22	14.49
CV	0.44	0.44	—
Max	56	56	+43
Min	0	0	-43

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	31.25%	6.25%	31.25%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	20.25	+3.44
SD	8.15	9.69	13.31
CV	0.34	0.48	—
Max	40	34	+29
Min	7	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	6.25%	50.00%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	27.69	-5.62
SD	7.70	6.11	9.34
CV	0.35	0.22	—
Max	34	41	+8
Min	10	17	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	12.50%	—	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	62.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.00	22.00	-2.00
SD	5.88	11.91	13.49
CV	0.29	0.54	—
Max	30	49	+21
Min	7	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	25.00%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	50.00%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.19	24.25	-3.06
SD	7.56	9.08	12.31
CV	0.36	0.37	—
Max	37	37	+23
Min	6	0	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.88	15.06	+7.81
SD	10.11	7.62	15.09
CV	0.44	0.51	—
Max	38	31	+38
Min	6	0	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	—	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	18.75%	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.81	29.88	-2.06
SD	9.50	10.38	14.46
CV	0.34	0.35	—
Max	45	54	+17
Min	11	20	-43

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.88	19.06	+7.81
SD	12.24	7.63	13.68
CV	0.46	0.40	—
Max	49	30	+40
Min	6	6	-11

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.25	25.38	-6.12
SD	9.34	8.65	10.28
CV	0.49	0.34	—
Max	37	41	+13
Min	6	6	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.44	27.00	+0.44
SD	8.40	13.68	12.92
CV	0.31	0.51	—
Max	48	51	+24
Min	16	3	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	37.88	24.94	+12.94
SD	9.55	9.25	11.73
CV	0.25	0.37	—
Max	52	48	+32
Min	20	13	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.69	23.50	+1.19
SD	8.90	7.31	10.97
CV	0.36	0.31	—
Max	40	37	+30
Min	9	10	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.06	26.75	-0.69
SD	9.73	8.91	12.78
CV	0.37	0.33	—
Max	44	40	+18
Min	10	9	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.25	26.75	-9.50
SD	9.56	7.19	11.21
CV	0.55	0.27	—
Max	31	38	+6
Min	3	13	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	21.00	+3.44
SD	9.23	13.08	17.76
CV	0.38	0.62	—
Max	39	42	+34
Min	8	3	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.44	28.06	-12.62
SD	8.88	9.55	13.46
CV	0.58	0.34	—
Max	32	45	+7
Min	2	6	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.88	19.06	+7.81
SD	11.71	10.82	14.51
CV	0.44	0.57	—
Max	56	41	+35
Min	7	2	-16

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	43.75%	31.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.81	20.94	-1.12
SD	7.80	7.69	10.84
CV	0.39	0.37	—
Max	34	38	+20
Min	0	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	30.00	-5.56
SD	10.26	8.11	12.53
CV	0.42	0.27	—
Max	48	44	+18
Min	7	13	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.75	21.12	+6.62
SD	11.26	8.89	11.27
CV	0.41	0.42	—
Max	55	31	+34
Min	6	3	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	18.75%	56.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.88	19.00	+6.88
SD	11.33	6.96	15.49
CV	0.44	0.37	—
Max	49	34	+32
Min	7	7	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	56.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	31.25%	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.38	23.94	-5.56
SD	9.02	11.85	16.31
CV	0.49	0.49	—
Max	31	41	+16
Min	0	6	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	24.19	-6.06
SD	10.39	10.72	15.47
CV	0.57	0.44	—
Max	37	49	+13
Min	3	7	-40

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	25.00%	6.25%	—	6.25%	43.75%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.12	28.31	-8.19
SD	6.33	12.01	11.66
CV	0.31	0.42	—
Max	31	56	+10
Min	7	9	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.62	23.88	+3.75
SD	13.11	11.57	18.32
CV	0.47	0.48	—
Max	54	52	+43
Min	3	11	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	23.12	+0.56
SD	8.26	13.20	11.91
CV	0.35	0.57	—
Max	38	55	+16
Min	9	6	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.75	21.75	+3.00
SD	8.18	8.71	9.72
CV	0.33	0.40	—
Max	41	38	+23
Min	10	6	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.38	17.00	+8.38
SD	11.30	7.93	16.16
CV	0.45	0.47	—
Max	42	29	+32
Min	3	3	-26

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.06	14.44	+11.62
SD	10.03	8.79	12.11
CV	0.38	0.61	—
Max	45	34	+28
Min	10	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	—	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.75	22.75	-1.00
SD	11.74	8.08	17.70
CV	0.54	0.36	—
Max	42	35	+30
Min	7	8	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	31.25%	—	6.25%	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	24.31	-6.31
SD	9.11	8.81	12.78
CV	0.51	0.36	—
Max	41	42	+21
Min	3	6	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.62	23.81	-1.19
SD	7.28	10.82	10.81
CV	0.32	0.45	—
Max	38	51	+25
Min	13	9	-23

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	—	—	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	29.88	-9.00
SD	9.68	8.90	11.81
CV	0.46	0.30	—
Max	45	45	+10
Min	6	14	-35

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.50	+0.3
Allowed	0.58	-0.4
Differential	0.89	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Arizona Cardinals	10	7.52	+2.48
2	Philadelphia Eagles	10	7.81	+2.19
3	Carolina Panthers	12	9.94	+2.06
4	New York Jets	8	6.02	+1.98
5	Indianapolis Colts	11	9.10	+1.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Houston Texans	2	6.19	-4.19
2	Washington Redskins	3	6.35	-3.35
3	Atlanta Falcons	4	6.82	-2.82
4	Cleveland Browns	4	5.98	-1.98
5	Oakland Raiders	4	5.64	-1.64

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Kansas City Chiefs	9	Sep 8 – Nov 3	1 in 116
2	Carolina Panthers	8	Oct 13 – Dec 1	1 in 52
3	Philadelphia Eagles	5	Nov 3 – Dec 8	1 in 47
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	3	Nov 24 – Dec 5	1 in 27
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3	Nov 11 – Nov 24	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Houston Texans	14	Sep 22 – Dec 29	1 in 1,387
2	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8	Sep 8 – Nov 3	1 in 47
3	Green Bay Packers	3	Nov 4 – Nov 17	1 in 41
4	Washington Redskins	8	Nov 7 – Dec 29	1 in 40
5	Cleveland Browns	7	Nov 17 – Dec 29	1 in 35

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	78.30%	17.11%	3.76%	0.83%
Miami Dolphins	16.33%	50.73%	22.89%	10.06%
Buffalo Bills	2.87%	16.54%	36.45%	44.15%
New York Jets	2.51%	15.62%	36.90%	44.97%

Team	1	2	3	4
Cincinnati Bengals	52.83%	29.47%	13.41%	4.29%
Baltimore Ravens	33.11%	37.81%	20.97%	8.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	11.42%	23.99%	41.09%	23.49%
Cleveland Browns	2.63%	8.73%	24.53%	64.11%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	64.43%	26.04%	8.16%	1.38%
Tennessee Titans	27.31%	44.47%	22.18%	6.04%
Houston Texans	7.24%	23.27%	47.21%	22.27%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.02%	6.22%	22.45%	70.30%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	78.43%	18.20%	3.12%	0.24%
Kansas City Chiefs	17.69%	56.14%	22.09%	4.07%
San Diego Chargers	3.61%	22.09%	55.58%	18.71%
Oakland Raiders	0.26%	3.56%	19.20%	76.97%

Team	1	2	3	4
Dallas Cowboys	48.30%	26.77%	16.37%	8.56%
Philadelphia Eagles	26.46%	30.68%	25.22%	17.63%
New York Giants	16.58%	25.24%	30.40%	27.78%
Washington Redskins	8.65%	17.31%	28.01%	46.02%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	38.19%	31.91%	21.51%	8.40%
Chicago Bears	36.15%	31.05%	22.89%	9.91%
Detroit Lions	21.62%	26.89%	32.14%	19.35%
Minnesota Vikings	4.05%	10.15%	23.46%	62.35%

Team	1	2	3	4
Carolina Panthers	50.82%	37.74%	9.73%	1.70%
New Orleans Saints	43.74%	41.69%	11.93%	2.64%
Atlanta Falcons	4.52%	15.68%	52.90%	26.90%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.91%	4.88%	25.44%	68.76%

Team	1	2	3	4
Seattle Seahawks	68.45%	25.53%	5.07%	0.95%
San Francisco 49ers	26.72%	50.73%	17.23%	5.33%
Arizona Cardinals	3.36%	14.74%	44.43%	37.47%
St. Louis Rams	1.48%	9.00%	33.27%	56.25%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Denver Broncos	48.35%	21.51%	11.65%	7.32%	4.71%	2.74%	1.63%	0.95%	0.55%	0.33%	0.13%	0.07%	0.03%	0.01%	<0.01%	-
New England Patriots	20.09%	23.47%	17.63%	12.29%	8.22%	5.91%	4.39%	2.90%	1.91%	1.31%	0.84%	0.46%	0.30%	0.18%	0.07%	0.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	8.72%	15.26%	15.31%	12.37%	10.76%	9.30%	7.46%	5.72%	4.67%	3.44%	2.62%	1.76%	1.22%	0.80%	0.43%	0.15%
Kansas City Chiefs	7.97%	9.71%	11.73%	13.16%	13.38%	11.53%	8.96%	6.95%	5.57%	4.03%	2.73%	1.85%	1.15%	0.69%	0.42%	0.17%
Indianapolis Colts	4.44%	8.46%	12.17%	14.46%	12.59%	10.64%	9.38%	8.17%	6.13%	4.46%	3.33%	2.48%	1.56%	0.94%	0.53%	0.26%
Baltimore Ravens	5.34%	8.90%	10.31%	10.46%	10.82%	10.85%	9.68%	8.27%	6.64%	5.62%	4.27%	3.29%	2.47%	1.64%	1.04%	0.41%
Miami Dolphins	1.84%	4.31%	5.74%	7.26%	8.82%	10.42%	11.09%	10.25%	8.68%	7.68%	6.95%	5.66%	4.23%	3.31%	2.50%	1.28%
Tennessee Titans	0.84%	2.49%	4.74%	6.72%	7.86%	8.90%	10.19%	11.05%	10.33%	8.69%	7.77%	6.88%	5.27%	3.74%	2.71%	1.82%
San Diego Chargers	1.23%	1.94%	3.35%	5.11%	6.76%	7.70%	8.82%	9.95%	11.13%	10.85%	9.32%	7.73%	6.07%	4.82%	3.42%	1.80%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.75%	2.33%	3.77%	4.86%	6.28%	7.51%	8.35%	8.83%	9.83%	10.11%	9.37%	8.10%	6.88%	5.89%	4.54%	2.58%
Houston Texans	0.10%	0.33%	0.93%	1.60%	2.41%	3.33%	4.77%	6.39%	7.75%	9.05%	10.96%	12.62%	11.70%	10.38%	9.25%	8.43%
Buffalo Bills	0.14%	0.52%	0.94%	1.37%	2.28%	3.36%	4.51%	5.58%	6.71%	8.27%	9.93%	10.74%	10.99%	11.38%	12.08%	11.21%
New York Jets	0.08%	0.34%	0.72%	1.16%	1.92%	3.05%	4.19%	5.42%	6.87%	8.70%	10.08%	10.69%	11.87%	12.37%	12.56%	9.99%
Cleveland Browns	0.06%	0.32%	0.68%	1.15%	1.82%	2.68%	3.42%	4.64%	6.08%	7.74%	9.06%	10.66%	13.27%	14.47%	13.77%	10.17%
Oakland Raiders	0.04%	0.09%	0.28%	0.58%	1.08%	1.62%	2.33%	3.53%	4.98%	6.60%	7.95%	10.33%	13.74%	16.33%	16.64%	13.89%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.02%	0.05%	0.12%	0.28%	0.45%	0.82%	1.41%	2.18%	3.13%	4.69%	6.68%	9.26%	13.06%	20.04%	37.82%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Seattle Seahawks	43.73%	19.62%	11.82%	8.17%	5.71%	3.90%	2.67%	1.74%	1.04%	0.69%	0.40%	0.26%	0.13%	0.07%	0.03%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	14.93%	12.88%	12.54%	12.30%	11.12%	9.02%	7.22%	5.70%	4.34%	3.30%	2.38%	1.72%	1.23%	0.79%	0.38%	0.15%
Carolina Panthers	12.14%	15.20%	13.05%	11.46%	10.11%	9.01%	8.06%	6.29%	4.49%	3.28%	2.53%	1.77%	1.21%	0.70%	0.45%	0.26%
New Orleans Saints	10.79%	13.83%	12.15%	11.17%	10.62%	9.49%	8.16%	6.64%	4.95%	3.70%	2.94%	2.16%	1.48%	0.95%	0.64%	0.34%
Green Bay Packers	4.36%	8.54%	10.21%	9.90%	9.71%	9.67%	9.14%	8.03%	7.08%	6.17%	5.13%	4.16%	3.15%	2.33%	1.53%	0.90%
Chicago Bears	4.42%	8.57%	9.58%	9.31%	9.45%	9.24%	8.75%	7.96%	7.14%	6.49%	5.42%	4.42%	3.53%	2.68%	1.93%	1.11%
Dallas Cowboys	3.89%	7.68%	9.93%	10.52%	9.92%	9.01%	8.56%	8.00%	7.06%	6.19%	5.29%	4.44%	3.61%	2.84%	1.94%	1.11%
Detroit Lions	1.82%	4.42%	6.08%	6.44%	7.13%	7.85%	8.14%	8.50%	8.49%	8.16%	7.68%	6.95%	6.15%	5.16%	4.14%	2.89%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.11%	3.10%	4.69%	6.09%	6.82%	7.73%	8.32%	9.16%	8.55%	8.23%	7.84%	7.45%	6.59%	5.81%	4.74%	3.77%
Arizona Cardinals	1.23%	1.78%	2.57%	3.67%	4.62%	5.53%	6.65%	7.69%	9.30%	9.52%	9.41%	9.25%	8.82%	8.09%	6.85%	5.02%
New York Giants	0.49%	1.52%	2.55%	3.64%	4.39%	5.25%	6.33%	7.42%	7.83%	8.32%	9.05%	9.49%	9.10%	8.87%	8.52%	7.25%
Atlanta Falcons	0.32%	0.94%	1.42%	2.05%	2.89%	3.92%	5.08%	6.12%	7.75%	9.53%	11.00%	11.46%	10.64%	9.61%	9.03%	8.25%
St. Louis Rams	0.47%	0.70%	1.15%	1.86%	2.67%	3.52%	4.09%	5.46%	7.43%	8.38%	9.32%	10.26%	11.90%	12.48%	11.28%	9.02%
Washington Redskins	0.19%	0.69%	1.25%	1.85%	2.51%	3.36%	4.22%	5.24%	6.21%	7.17%	8.18%	9.44%	10.72%	12.15%	13.32%	13.50%
Minnesota Vikings	0.08%	0.42%	0.80%	1.19%	1.69%	2.53%	3.14%	4.00%	5.15%	6.50%	7.66%	9.05%	11.39%	13.97%	16.07%	16.33%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.04%	0.11%	0.19%	0.37%	0.65%	0.97%	1.45%	2.06%	3.18%	4.36%	5.76%	7.74%	10.36%	13.51%	19.16%	30.10%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
Denver Broncos	29.00%	19.72%	12.24%	9.44%	6.39%	5.29%	3.93%	3.20%	2.48%	2.00%	1.43%	1.21%	0.86%	0.75%	0.49%	0.44%	0.29%	0.27%	0.17%	0.14%	0.08%	0.07%	0.04%	0.03%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-	<0.01%	-	-
Seattle Seahawks	23.11%	19.31%	11.66%	9.60%	6.95%	5.80%	4.40%	3.65%	3.15%	2.61%	1.97%	1.60%	1.39%	1.13%	0.87%	0.63%	0.54%	0.39%	0.35%	0.25%	0.17%	0.13%	0.12%	0.07%	0.05%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
New England Patriots	10.70%	10.70%	11.30%	10.51%	8.45%	8.28%	6.01%	6.14%	4.23%	4.27%	3.13%	3.09%	2.13%	2.27%	1.62%	1.59%	1.07%	0.97%	0.77%	0.71%	0.50%	0.40%	0.27%	0.26%	0.17%	0.16%	0.10%	0.08%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	6.57%	7.70%	7.36%	7.02%	7.12%	6.31%	6.94%	5.81%	6.09%	4.99%	4.59%	4.08%	4.01%	3.31%	2.94%	2.39%	2.30%	1.92%	1.70%	1.22%	1.17%	0.99%	0.91%	0.62%	0.56%	0.43%	0.38%	0.22%	0.17%	0.08%	0.06%	0.02%
Carolina Panthers	5.43%	6.49%	7.78%	7.21%	7.12%	6.61%	6.38%	5.58%	5.53%	5.06%	4.66%	4.49%	4.08%	3.68%	3.18%	2.82%	2.46%	2.05%	1.70%	1.45%	1.36%	1.11%	0.89%	0.67%	0.63%	0.48%	0.34%	0.27%	0.22%	0.14%	0.11%	0.04%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.16%	5.39%	6.96%	7.47%	7.06%	7.18%	6.03%	6.15%	5.49%	5.36%	4.58%	4.62%	3.62%	3.85%	3.10%	3.02%	2.31%	2.36%	1.86%	1.86%	1.46%	1.29%	0.97%	0.93%	0.75%	0.64%	0.46%	0.41%	0.28%	0.21%	0.11%	0.05%
New Orleans Saints	4.62%	6.08%	6.84%	6.88%	6.68%	6.13%	6.41%	5.54%	5.72%	5.04%	5.13%	4.45%	4.28%	3.58%	3.52%	2.96%	2.73%	2.17%	1.96%	1.62%	1.52%	1.29%	1.15%	0.81%	0.77%	0.56%	0.53%	0.36%	0.27%	0.22%	0.12%	0.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.49%	4.51%	5.26%	5.39%	5.93%	6.12%	6.02%	6.60%	5.94%	6.40%	5.24%	5.77%	4.32%	4.49%	3.35%	3.72%	2.81%	2.66%	2.10%	2.10%	1.57%	1.43%	1.05%	0.97%	0.71%	0.63%	0.43%	0.36%	0.24%	0.23%	0.11%	0.07%
Indianapolis Colts	2.10%	2.53%	4.01%	4.35%	5.40%	5.98%	5.82%	7.07%	5.48%	6.62%	4.96%	5.55%	4.34%	5.24%	4.01%	4.42%	2.84%	3.37%	2.67%	2.71%	1.89%	1.75%	1.40%	1.45%	0.98%	0.91%	0.61%	0.58%	0.36%	0.29%	0.20%	0.10%
Baltimore Ravens	2.36%	3.02%	4.13%	4.52%	4.93%	5.16%	5.09%	5.37%	5.21%	5.24%	5.02%	5.34%	4.61%	4.87%	4.15%	4.25%	3.32%	3.44%	2.85%	2.99%	2.23%	2.17%	1.86%	1.76%	1.43%	1.23%	0.98%	0.82%	0.66%	0.54%	0.28%	0.19%
Green Bay Packers	1.65%	2.83%	3.74%	4.70%	4.96%	5.19%	5.27%	5.22%	5.10%	5.03%	5.18%	4.75%	4.99%	4.34%	4.34%	3.68%	4.05%	3.32%	3.27%	2.58%	2.72%	2.31%	2.22%	1.71%	1.67%	1.29%	1.19%	0.83%	0.75%	0.50%	0.41%	0.18%
Chicago Bears	1.71%	2.77%	4.03%	4.50%	4.92%	4.73%	5.09%	4.72%	5.21%	4.60%	5.27%	4.36%	4.97%	4.02%	4.38%	3.56%	4.08%	3.33%	3.45%	2.70%	2.96%	2.44%	2.36%	1.83%	1.78%	1.48%	1.36%	1.05%	0.92%	0.69%	0.50%	0.22%
Dallas Cowboys	1.71%	2.29%	3.51%	4.11%	4.78%	5.06%	5.34%	5.19%	5.16%	5.02%	5.06%	4.66%	4.50%	4.08%	4.41%	3.94%	3.81%	3.34%	3.39%	2.84%	2.94%	2.38%	2.47%	1.81%	1.86%	1.47%	1.53%	1.01%	0.98%	0.63%	0.52%	0.21%
Miami Dolphins	0.69%	1.15%	1.90%	2.22%	2.64%	3.04%	3.36%	3.72%	4.14%	4.40%	4.62%	5.04%	4.60%	5.56%	4.63%	5.32%	3.96%	4.52%	3.94%	4.37%	3.32%	3.57%	2.97%	3.27%	2.52%	2.32%	1.90%	1.91%	1.45%	1.36%	0.96%	0.65%
Detroit Lions	0.63%	1.24%	1.92%	2.35%	3.04%	3.13%	3.52%	3.46%	3.88%	3.65%	4.46%	3.86%	4.64%	3.94%	4.59%	4.01%	4.85%	4.11%	4.33%	3.63%	4.16%	3.62%	3.68%	3.02%	3.11%	2.67%	2.73%	2.08%	2.00%	1.57%	1.33%	0.78%
Tennessee Titans	0.29%	0.59%	1.07%	1.36%	1.90%	2.38%	2.73%	3.37%	3.23%	4.12%	3.84%	4.58%	4.11%	5.41%	4.71%	5.69%	3.94%	5.59%	4.45%	5.22%	3.61%	4.18%	3.48%	4.08%	2.86%	3.02%	2.35%	2.31%	1.81%	1.56%	1.23%	0.92%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.34%	0.76%	1.19%	1.80%	2.21%	2.54%	2.96%	3.17%	3.46%	3.56%	4.29%	3.94%	4.57%	3.96%	4.95%	4.52%	4.82%	4.06%	4.44%	3.94%	4.39%	3.77%	3.88%	3.43%	3.47%	3.00%	3.03%	2.44%	2.39%	2.00%	1.75%	0.98%
San Diego Chargers	0.40%	0.68%	1.01%	1.11%	1.66%	1.79%	2.41%	2.66%	3.23%	3.29%	3.62%	3.94%	4.18%	4.55%	4.39%	4.99%	4.90%	5.49%	4.57%	5.64%	4.42%	4.69%	3.79%	4.24%	3.32%	3.34%	2.69%	2.73%	2.11%	1.88%	1.26%	1.00%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.25%	0.48%	0.94%	1.23%	1.62%	2.00%	2.27%	2.47%	2.96%	3.16%	3.44%	3.68%	3.86%	4.24%	4.25%	4.50%	4.38%	4.71%	4.63%	5.20%	4.42%	4.76%	4.06%	4.40%	3.68%	3.72%	3.14%	3.33%	2.51%	2.60%	1.68%	1.44%
Arizona Cardinals	0.33%	0.64%	0.88%	1.05%	1.45%	1.51%	2.05%	1.98%	2.79%	2.46%	3.00%	3.05%	4.19%	3.38%	4.12%	3.72%	5.34%	4.61%	5.15%	4.17%	5.07%	4.52%	4.93%	4.04%	4.57%	3.78%	4.16%	3.27%	3.44%	2.58%	2.41%	1.36%
New York Giants	0.14%	0.30%	0.62%	0.79%	1.22%	1.32%	1.77%	1.84%	2.18%	2.35%	2.80%	2.86%	3.26%	3.24%	4.00%	3.84%	4.18%	3.96%	4.42%	4.20%	4.99%	4.61%	5.00%	4.44%	4.74%	4.50%	4.64%	4.18%	4.20%	3.61%	3.52%	2.28%
Atlanta Falcons	0.06%	0.18%	0.35%	0.51%	0.70%	0.82%	1.14%	1.15%	1.56%	1.57%	2.10%	2.23%	2.88%	2.74%	3.31%	3.30%	4.27%	4.34%	4.82%	4.52%	5.74%	5.33%	5.75%	5.23%	5.49%	5.11%	5.04%	4.52%	4.79%	3.88%	3.91%	2.67%
St. Louis Rams	0.09%	0.23%	0.33%	0.43%	0.59%	0.66%	1.00%	1.05%	1.49%	1.45%	1.96%	1.94%	2.55%	2.30%	3.04%	2.79%	4.37%	3.91%	4.49%	4.09%	4.94%	4.91%	5.59%	5.13%	5.85%	5.62%	6.08%	5.40%	5.53%	4.72%	4.41%	3.09%
Washington Redskins	0.05%	0.11%	0.27%	0.34%	0.54%	0.65%	0.85%	0.99%	1.27%	1.40%	1.79%	1.73%	2.31%	2.07%	2.89%	2.80%	3.45%	3.16%	4.01%	3.53%	4.61%	4.26%	5.15%	4.77%	5.68%	5.41%	6.08%	5.87%	6.33%	6.23%	6.32%	5.06%
Houston Texans	0.03%	0.05%	0.13%	0.17%	0.33%	0.44%	0.59%	0.75%	0.98%	1.24%	1.41%	1.62%	1.84%	2.56%	2.55%	3.22%	3.00%	3.98%	3.93%	4.87%	4.38%	5.50%	5.13%	6.71%	5.44%	6.47%	5.61%	6.10%	5.34%	5.57%	5.13%	4.93%
Buffalo Bills	0.04%	0.08%	0.18%	0.25%	0.40%	0.46%	0.63%	0.73%	0.93%	1.13%	1.41%	1.71%	1.86%	2.32%	2.50%	2.85%	2.76%	3.49%	3.47%	4.50%	4.03%	5.06%	4.68%	5.73%	5.13%	5.92%	5.47%	6.41%	5.97%	6.67%	6.12%	7.09%
New York Jets	0.01%	0.06%	0.10%	0.17%	0.25%	0.38%	0.50%	0.60%	0.68%	1.03%	1.21%	1.59%	1.61%	2.18%	2.26%	2.84%	2.73%	3.40%	3.67%	4.49%	4.25%	5.06%	4.86%	5.75%	5.45%	6.21%	5.95%	6.82%	6.35%	6.91%	6.30%	6.34%
Minnesota Vikings	0.02%	0.05%	0.14%	0.22%	0.33%	0.41%	0.56%	0.65%	0.90%	0.97%	1.38%	1.31%	1.75%	1.70%	2.22%	2.11%	3.05%	2.73%	3.71%	3.15%	4.49%	4.09%	5.15%	4.57%	6.29%	5.77%	7.15%	6.55%	7.75%	7.21%	7.75%	5.89%
Cleveland Browns	<0.01%	0.04%	0.09%	0.18%	0.27%	0.34%	0.46%	0.60%	0.71%	0.95%	1.14%	1.34%	1.54%	1.79%	2.11%	2.39%	2.60%	3.03%	3.32%	4.09%	4.04%	4.81%	4.59%	5.59%	5.66%	6.74%	6.32%	7.81%	6.83%	7.89%	6.22%	6.51%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.11%	0.15%	0.26%	0.31%	0.41%	0.55%	0.67%	0.86%	1.08%	1.23%	1.54%	1.77%	2.23%	2.50%	2.83%	3.38%	3.69%	4.04%	4.65%	5.09%	6.14%	6.78%	7.03%	8.13%	8.30%	9.07%	8.19%	8.89%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	<0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.06%	0.07%	0.13%	0.16%	0.20%	0.32%	0.36%	0.52%	0.54%	0.80%	0.80%	1.16%	1.24%	1.89%	1.72%	2.33%	2.27%	3.28%	3.24%	4.31%	4.11%	5.54%	5.54%	7.16%	6.90%	9.60%	9.61%	13.61%	12.46%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	<0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.05%	0.09%	0.12%	0.14%	0.21%	0.26%	0.43%	0.45%	0.64%	0.69%	1.10%	1.24%	1.59%	1.58%	2.21%	2.62%	3.46%	3.69%	4.75%	5.54%	7.20%	8.39%	11.49%	15.46%	26.52%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Denver Broncos	48.35%	19.68%	7.89%	2.51%	12.83%	4.44%	4.30%
New England Patriots	20.09%	25.64%	20.87%	11.70%	4.58%	5.06%	12.07%
Cincinnati Bengals	8.72%	16.65%	17.89%	9.57%	8.07%	9.91%	29.19%
Kansas City Chiefs	7.97%	5.77%	2.92%	1.03%	30.52%	16.65%	35.14%
Baltimore Ravens	5.34%	9.73%	10.80%	7.23%	9.80%	12.22%	44.87%
Indianapolis Colts	4.44%	9.22%	17.10%	33.67%	1.91%	3.63%	30.02%
Miami Dolphins	1.84%	4.79%	5.64%	4.06%	8.55%	11.92%	63.21%
San Diego Chargers	1.23%	1.16%	0.84%	0.39%	9.99%	9.65%	76.75%
Tennessee Titans	0.84%	2.79%	6.90%	16.79%	2.87%	5.42%	64.41%
Pittsburgh Steelers	0.75%	2.67%	4.51%	3.50%	4.70%	7.92%	75.96%
Buffalo Bills	0.14%	0.60%	1.02%	1.10%	1.80%	3.40%	91.93%
Houston Texans	0.10%	0.40%	1.53%	5.21%	0.86%	2.20%	89.69%
New York Jets	0.08%	0.41%	0.95%	1.07%	1.30%	2.99%	93.20%
Cleveland Browns	0.06%	0.40%	0.95%	1.22%	1.11%	2.60%	93.66%
Oakland Raiders	0.04%	0.07%	0.09%	0.06%	1.04%	1.73%	96.97%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.02%	0.10%	0.90%	0.08%	0.26%	98.63%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Seahawks	43.73%	16.27%	6.61%	1.85%	17.01%	6.40%	8.13%
San Francisco 49ers	14.93%	7.39%	3.39%	1.01%	29.69%	13.83%	29.76%
Carolina Panthers	12.14%	16.68%	13.95%	8.05%	9.06%	10.25%	29.87%
New Orleans Saints	10.79%	15.00%	11.70%	6.25%	11.46%	11.66%	33.14%
Chicago Bears	4.42%	10.02%	11.93%	9.79%	5.03%	8.87%	49.94%
Green Bay Packers	4.36%	9.99%	12.96%	10.88%	4.95%	8.92%	47.94%
Dallas Cowboys	3.89%	9.15%	14.00%	21.26%	2.18%	4.88%	44.63%
Detroit Lions	1.82%	5.36%	7.71%	6.73%	3.80%	7.49%	67.10%
Arizona Cardinals	1.23%	1.12%	0.74%	0.27%	6.73%	6.76%	83.16%
Philadelphia Eagles	1.11%	3.85%	7.16%	14.35%	1.79%	4.78%	66.97%
New York Giants	0.49%	1.94%	4.11%	10.05%	1.14%	3.06%	79.23%
St. Louis Rams	0.47%	0.47%	0.38%	0.17%	3.40%	3.99%	91.13%
Atlanta Falcons	0.32%	1.15%	1.61%	1.44%	2.00%	4.12%	89.37%
Washington Redskins	0.19%	0.88%	2.13%	5.45%	0.74%	2.10%	88.50%
Minnesota Vikings	0.08%	0.59%	1.34%	2.04%	0.64%	1.98%	93.33%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.04%	0.14%	0.30%	0.44%	0.38%	0.90%	97.81%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+20.08%

Fortress

59.84%0.39%39.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 70.72 Elo pts.

26 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

080

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+3.23 points

Home-Tilted

-8+2.75+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.1

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

23%

Seattle Seahawks, 1st of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

22.2%

Favored

012.50%30%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.46 · As Expected: 1.46 to 2.01 · Elevated: 2.01 to 2.74 · High Variance: 2.74 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.61 · Close: 4.61 to 6.23 · Off Target: 6.23 to 8.13 · Well Off Target: 8.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.62 · As Expected: 2.62 to 4.36 · More Than Expected: 4.36 to 6.98 · Far More Than Expected: 6.98 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.65 wins

As Expected

01.835

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.38

Pinpoint

05.4215

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

94.44%

Arizona Cardinals

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

1.47%

Houston Texans

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 32

Minimal Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

03.512

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.95

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

74%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

96%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

25%

Some Drama

0%19%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.21

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.83

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.30

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

36%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.29

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.91

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.056

Within Noise

00.0960.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	83.16%	83.16%	57.74%	39.52%	22.86%
Denver Broncos	87.33%	87.33%	61.42%	38.19%	19.27%
New England Patriots	78.25%	78.25%	51.50%	29.13%	14.83%
San Francisco 49ers	55.80%	55.80%	34.00%	21.12%	12.50%
Carolina Panthers	55.64%	55.64%	33.19%	15.33%	7.76%
Cincinnati Bengals	55.39%	55.39%	28.56%	13.31%	5.99%
New Orleans Saints	50.07%	50.07%	26.88%	10.95%	5.09%
Indianapolis Colts	56.32%	48.21%	18.18%	6.60%	2.57%
Kansas City Chiefs	51.12%	34.48%	12.32%	4.53%	1.60%
Philadelphia Eagles	28.08%	20.48%	8.69%	3.17%	1.48%
Arizona Cardinals	14.49%	10.41%	4.60%	2.14%	1.06%
Baltimore Ravens	40.06%	30.51%	9.50%	2.69%	0.81%
Dallas Cowboys	42.33%	29.98%	9.31%	2.25%	0.75%
Pittsburgh Steelers	20.62%	13.39%	4.94%	1.79%	0.68%
San Diego Chargers	20.87%	11.28%	4.12%	1.60%	0.60%
Green Bay Packers	37.71%	28.17%	7.96%	1.76%	0.51%
Chicago Bears	35.62%	26.75%	7.29%	1.46%	0.40%
Detroit Lions	25.72%	16.18%	4.37%	0.93%	0.26%
Miami Dolphins	30.15%	15.86%	4.29%	1.05%	0.24%
Tennessee Titans	31.97%	15.86%	3.48%	0.79%	0.22%
St. Louis Rams	7.94%	4.40%	1.50%	0.51%	0.21%
New York Giants	18.35%	9.16%	2.49%	0.55%	0.17%
Buffalo Bills	7.32%	2.85%	0.68%	0.15%	0.04%
Minnesota Vikings	5.99%	2.55%	0.56%	0.12%	0.03%
New York Jets	6.31%	2.27%	0.55%	0.12%	0.03%
Atlanta Falcons	9.16%	3.69%	0.89%	0.15%	0.03%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.02%	0.69%	0.16%	0.02%	<0.01%
Washington Redskins	10.42%	2.87%	0.35%	0.03%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	2.92%	0.46%	0.05%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Houston Texans	9.81%	2.09%	0.21%	0.02%	<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	5.89%	1.49%	0.19%	0.02%	<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.35%	0.27%	0.03%	<0.01%	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		62.1%0.81%	27.8%7.23%	77.6%0.52%	22.7%2.67%	79.0%0.92%	29.8%6.12%	77.3%0.14%	49.3%4.63%	58.7%3.45%	16.9%5.45%	64.5%0.70%	77.5%0.25%	42.2%1.88%	45.9%1.98%	50.8%3.31%
Buffalo Bills	37.9%0.81%		17.6%1.10%	64.5%0.09%	13.0%0.49%	71.3%0.17%	22.8%1.25%	81.0%0.02%	37.7%0.61%	50.2%0.27%	15.0%1.20%	43.1%0.05%	88.0%0.03%	31.5%0.38%	39.5%0.25%	41.7%0.60%
Cincinnati Bengals	72.2%7.23%	82.4%1.10%		89.6%0.85%	43.6%2.88%	90.4%1.05%	53.2%5.46%	85.7%0.15%	71.4%6.45%	80.0%4.49%	37.5%4.87%	82.6%0.99%	93.4%0.45%	63.4%3.17%	70.3%2.88%	76.0%3.40%
Cleveland Browns	22.4%0.52%	35.5%0.09%	10.4%0.85%		7.6%0.43%	55.4%0.16%	11.4%0.87%	70.0%0.02%	22.6%0.58%	30.3%0.43%	4.3%0.84%	38.8%0.08%	80.0%0.03%	15.8%0.23%	22.2%0.26%	22.4%0.50%
Denver Broncos	77.3%2.67%	87.0%0.49%	56.4%2.88%	92.4%0.43%		93.2%0.95%	60.6%5.65%	90.1%0.16%	74.9%3.31%	83.5%1.93%	44.3%2.61%	85.4%0.38%	93.8%0.27%	69.5%1.46%	74.9%1.36%	79.2%3.11%
Houston Texans	21.0%0.92%	28.7%0.17%	9.6%1.05%	44.6%0.16%	6.8%0.95%		11.4%0.97%	40.0%0.01%	18.8%2.01%	25.1%0.78%	4.5%0.93%	24.6%0.14%	60.8%0.08%	16.5%0.51%	17.1%0.71%	23.7%0.41%
Indianapolis Colts	70.2%6.12%	77.2%1.25%	46.8%5.46%	88.6%0.87%	39.4%5.65%	88.6%0.97%		89.0%0.09%	63.8%13.43%	75.7%5.15%	34.1%3.28%	79.4%1.05%	89.8%0.65%	59.3%3.22%	60.0%5.16%	70.7%3.96%
Jacksonville Jaguars	22.7%0.14%	19.0%0.02%	14.3%0.15%	30.0%0.02%	9.9%0.16%	60.0%0.01%	11.0%0.09%		25.5%0.29%	32.7%0.10%	2.4%0.13%	15.0%0.02%	45.5%0.01%	15.7%0.07%	19.8%0.11%	27.6%0.03%
Kansas City Chiefs	50.7%4.63%	62.3%0.61%	28.6%6.45%	77.4%0.58%	25.1%3.31%	81.2%2.01%	36.2%13.43%	74.5%0.29%		59.2%2.60%	20.4%7.32%	59.2%0.61%	89.8%0.06%	37.4%2.10%	48.4%0.49%	55.9%6.62%
Miami Dolphins	41.3%3.45%	49.8%0.27%	20.0%4.49%	69.7%0.43%	16.5%1.93%	74.9%0.78%	24.3%5.15%	67.3%0.10%	40.8%2.60%		16.6%5.20%	53.8%0.24%	80.1%0.15%	29.4%1.61%	37.7%0.99%	44.5%2.76%
New England Patriots	83.1%5.45%	85.0%1.20%	62.5%4.87%	95.7%0.84%	55.7%2.61%	95.5%0.93%	65.9%3.28%	97.6%0.13%	79.6%7.32%	83.4%5.20%		87.2%1.02%	94.7%0.51%	75.4%3.08%	77.1%3.14%	84.4%2.65%
New York Jets	35.5%0.70%	56.9%0.05%	17.4%0.99%	61.3%0.08%	14.6%0.38%	75.4%0.14%	20.6%1.05%	85.0%0.02%	40.8%0.61%	46.2%0.24%	12.8%1.02%		76.0%0.03%	24.3%0.34%	38.1%0.22%	45.3%0.44%
Oakland Raiders	22.5%0.25%	12.0%0.03%	6.6%0.45%	20.0%0.03%	6.2%0.27%	39.2%0.08%	10.2%0.65%	54.5%0.01%	10.2%0.06%	19.9%0.15%	5.3%0.51%	24.0%0.03%		13.6%0.11%	18.8%0.02%	18.7%0.29%
Pittsburgh Steelers	57.8%1.88%	68.5%0.38%	36.6%3.17%	84.2%0.23%	30.5%1.46%	83.5%0.51%	40.7%3.22%	84.3%0.07%	62.6%2.10%	70.6%1.61%	24.6%3.08%	75.7%0.34%	86.4%0.11%		56.2%0.94%	61.4%1.54%
San Diego Chargers	54.1%1.98%	60.5%0.25%	29.7%2.88%	77.8%0.26%	25.1%1.36%	82.9%0.71%	40.0%5.16%	80.2%0.11%	51.6%0.49%	62.3%0.99%	22.9%3.14%	61.9%0.22%	81.2%0.02%	43.8%0.94%		58.6%2.35%
Tennessee Titans	49.2%3.31%	58.3%0.60%	24.0%3.40%	77.6%0.50%	20.8%3.11%	76.3%0.41%	29.3%3.96%	72.4%0.03%	44.1%6.62%	55.5%2.76%	15.6%2.65%	54.7%0.44%	81.3%0.29%	38.6%1.54%	41.4%2.35%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		79.4%0.22%	37.6%1.77%	66.9%1.63%	61.8%2.38%	67.5%0.98%	64.1%1.66%	72.9%0.25%	40.3%1.47%	67.8%0.99%	45.4%1.34%	34.9%0.40%	30.1%0.77%	54.9%0.05%	67.7%0.06%	83.2%0.54%
Atlanta Falcons	20.6%0.22%		13.6%1.03%	32.9%0.96%	27.5%1.16%	32.2%0.66%	33.3%0.98%	38.7%0.16%	17.7%0.86%	32.3%0.46%	19.5%0.66%	13.3%0.93%	8.3%0.72%	33.8%0.15%	58.3%0.02%	60.2%0.20%
Carolina Panthers	62.4%1.77%	86.4%1.03%		76.7%4.06%	70.6%4.43%	77.0%3.05%	75.5%4.40%	79.0%0.67%	56.4%6.32%	72.9%1.85%	57.1%3.02%	48.1%5.14%	42.3%3.33%	74.3%0.90%	88.2%0.21%	88.8%1.13%
Chicago Bears	33.1%1.63%	67.1%0.96%	23.3%4.06%		39.8%3.34%	49.9%2.65%	48.3%4.64%	54.4%0.49%	27.9%4.26%	45.6%1.36%	26.5%2.13%	20.3%5.04%	17.6%3.29%	44.9%0.77%	68.1%0.21%	70.2%0.79%
Dallas Cowboys	38.2%2.38%	72.5%1.16%	29.4%4.43%	60.2%3.34%		59.3%2.51%	56.9%3.33%	57.0%0.55%	35.4%5.13%	52.8%1.62%	34.8%2.71%	25.5%8.28%	22.9%4.63%	50.2%1.21%	73.4%0.24%	76.8%0.79%
Detroit Lions	32.5%0.98%	67.8%0.66%	23.0%3.05%	50.1%2.65%	40.7%2.51%		47.5%2.89%	54.3%0.29%	27.4%3.09%	44.7%1.01%	28.2%1.65%	21.6%3.46%	19.1%2.22%	42.8%0.58%	63.1%0.11%	70.9%0.57%
Green Bay Packers	35.9%1.66%	66.7%0.98%	24.5%4.40%	51.7%4.64%	43.1%3.33%	52.5%2.89%		56.8%0.56%	30.3%4.61%	45.6%1.46%	29.8%2.31%	21.9%5.48%	19.1%3.38%	47.7%0.93%	68.1%0.23%	74.2%0.85%
Minnesota Vikings	27.1%0.25%	61.3%0.16%	21.0%0.67%	45.6%0.49%	43.0%0.55%	45.7%0.29%	43.2%0.56%		25.3%0.70%	40.8%0.20%	20.8%0.35%	18.5%0.92%	15.8%0.57%	34.9%0.13%	52.6%0.04%	63.1%0.11%
New Orleans Saints	59.7%1.47%	82.3%0.86%	43.6%6.32%	72.1%4.26%	64.6%5.13%	72.6%3.09%	69.7%4.61%	74.7%0.70%		68.5%2.04%	48.7%3.30%	42.9%4.19%	34.8%2.91%	70.2%0.78%	84.7%0.17%	85.6%1.24%
New York Giants	32.2%0.99%	67.7%0.46%	27.1%1.85%	54.4%1.36%	47.2%1.62%	55.3%1.01%	54.4%1.46%	59.2%0.20%	31.5%2.04%		32.2%0.77%	22.2%3.53%	20.6%2.20%	45.5%0.52%	66.7%0.10%	80.1%0.26%
Philadelphia Eagles	54.6%1.34%	80.5%0.66%	42.9%3.02%	73.5%2.13%	65.2%2.71%	71.8%1.65%	70.2%2.31%	79.2%0.35%	51.3%3.30%	67.8%0.77%		39.2%5.25%	37.6%3.18%	70.3%0.84%	76.0%0.12%	88.8%0.47%
San Francisco 49ers	65.1%0.40%	86.7%0.93%	51.9%5.14%	79.7%5.04%	74.5%8.28%	78.4%3.46%	78.1%5.48%	81.5%0.92%	57.1%4.19%	77.8%3.53%	60.8%5.25%		46.5%2.88%	77.0%0.24%	84.4%0.22%	90.3%1.98%
Seattle Seahawks	69.9%0.77%	91.7%0.72%	57.7%3.33%	82.4%3.29%	77.1%4.63%	80.9%2.22%	80.9%3.38%	84.2%0.57%	65.2%2.91%	79.4%2.20%	62.4%3.18%	53.5%2.88%		78.9%0.49%	84.3%0.17%	92.4%1.14%
St. Louis Rams	45.1%0.05%	66.2%0.15%	25.7%0.90%	55.1%0.77%	49.8%1.21%	57.2%0.58%	52.3%0.93%	65.1%0.13%	29.8%0.78%	54.5%0.52%	29.7%0.84%	23.0%0.24%	21.1%0.49%		69.6%0.05%	77.0%0.30%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	32.3%0.06%	41.7%0.02%	11.8%0.21%	31.9%0.21%	26.6%0.24%	36.9%0.11%	31.9%0.23%	47.4%0.04%	15.3%0.17%	33.3%0.10%	24.0%0.12%	15.6%0.22%	15.7%0.17%	30.4%0.05%		51.7%0.06%
Washington Redskins	16.8%0.54%	39.8%0.20%	11.2%1.13%	29.8%0.79%	23.2%0.79%	29.1%0.57%	25.8%0.85%	36.9%0.11%	14.4%1.24%	19.9%0.26%	11.2%0.47%	9.7%1.98%	7.6%1.14%	23.0%0.30%	48.3%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		62.2%0.26%	29.8%2.95%	75.0%0.03%	20.8%7.48%	83.7%0.15%	39.5%4.08%	88.2%0.02%	42.6%2.30%	56.5%1.39%	22.0%9.20%	56.1%0.21%	84.2%0.04%	41.3%0.42%	36.0%0.74%	60.2%1.24%
Buffalo Bills	37.8%0.26%		23.1%0.46%	78.6%0.01%	15.2%0.97%	77.8%<0.01%	28.3%0.32%		31.5%0.17%	33.3%0.03%	14.8%0.42%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.9%0.08%	33.3%0.03%	58.3%0.08%
Cincinnati Bengals	70.2%2.95%	76.9%0.46%		86.7%0.07%	37.4%13.90%	89.1%0.31%	61.7%7.71%	92.3%0.03%	64.2%4.26%	76.2%2.86%	41.0%17.87%	79.5%0.39%	94.7%0.06%	63.0%0.92%	60.7%1.19%	79.4%2.42%
Cleveland Browns	25.0%0.03%	21.4%0.01%	13.3%0.07%		9.2%0.46%	80.0%<0.01%	13.1%0.19%		23.8%0.08%	21.2%0.07%	8.6%0.46%	12.5%<0.01%		28.6%<0.01%	19.0%0.02%	28.1%0.06%
Denver Broncos	79.2%7.48%	84.8%0.97%	62.6%13.90%	90.8%0.46%		93.2%0.71%	72.8%14.72%	91.7%0.11%	73.9%13.84%	84.2%4.17%	53.5%16.01%	85.8%0.80%	92.8%0.15%	73.8%4.26%	73.3%4.54%	85.5%5.20%
Houston Texans	16.3%0.15%	22.2%<0.01%	10.9%0.31%	20.0%<0.01%	6.8%0.71%		5.0%0.04%		16.5%0.12%	22.7%0.10%	7.2%0.54%	13.3%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	22.9%0.05%	3.3%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	60.5%4.08%	71.7%0.32%	38.3%7.71%	86.9%0.19%	27.2%14.72%	95.0%0.04%		100.0%<0.01%	51.2%3.28%	66.2%1.77%	29.1%13.11%	72.4%0.24%	80.8%0.03%	51.0%1.52%	50.5%0.86%	71.8%0.36%
Jacksonville Jaguars	11.8%0.02%		7.7%0.03%		8.3%0.11%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%	21.4%0.01%	10.2%0.09%			33.3%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	57.4%2.30%	68.5%0.17%	35.8%4.26%	76.2%0.08%	26.1%13.84%	83.5%0.12%	48.8%3.28%	100.0%0.01%		61.8%1.14%	27.1%6.61%	66.2%0.15%	88.0%0.03%	49.4%0.91%	48.5%0.67%	63.5%0.92%
Miami Dolphins	43.5%1.39%	66.7%0.03%	23.8%2.86%	78.8%0.07%	15.8%4.17%	77.3%0.10%	33.8%1.77%	78.6%0.01%	38.2%1.14%		17.7%2.77%	18.2%0.02%	66.7%0.01%	34.7%0.59%	33.3%0.27%	53.5%0.66%
New England Patriots	78.0%9.20%	85.2%0.42%	59.0%17.87%	91.4%0.46%	46.5%16.01%	92.8%0.54%	70.9%13.11%	89.8%0.09%	72.9%6.61%	82.3%2.77%		83.8%0.29%	93.0%0.13%	70.9%3.99%	72.8%2.48%	83.9%4.29%
New York Jets	43.9%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	20.5%0.39%	87.5%<0.01%	14.2%0.80%	86.7%0.01%	27.6%0.24%		33.8%0.15%	81.8%0.02%	16.2%0.29%			35.5%0.06%	25.0%0.04%	54.5%0.06%
Oakland Raiders	15.8%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	5.3%0.06%		7.2%0.15%	25.0%<0.01%	19.2%0.03%		12.0%0.03%	33.3%0.01%	7.0%0.13%			33.3%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	58.7%0.42%	63.1%0.08%	37.0%0.92%	71.4%<0.01%	26.2%4.26%	77.1%0.05%	49.0%1.52%	66.7%<0.01%	50.6%0.91%	65.3%0.59%	29.1%3.99%	64.5%0.06%	66.7%<0.01%		52.9%0.21%	66.3%0.36%
San Diego Chargers	64.0%0.74%	66.7%0.03%	39.3%1.19%	81.0%0.02%	26.7%4.54%	96.7%0.03%	49.5%0.86%		51.5%0.67%	66.7%0.27%	27.2%2.48%	75.0%0.04%	75.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.21%		70.8%0.20%
Tennessee Titans	39.8%1.24%	41.7%0.08%	20.6%2.42%	71.9%0.06%	14.5%5.20%	66.7%<0.01%	28.2%0.36%	100.0%<0.01%	36.5%0.92%	46.5%0.66%	16.1%4.29%	45.5%0.06%	75.0%<0.01%	33.7%0.36%	29.2%0.20%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		77.6%0.08%	39.3%1.43%	70.3%0.58%	67.8%0.68%	69.5%0.27%	69.0%0.62%	73.5%0.03%	45.0%1.27%	68.9%0.14%	52.1%0.31%	35.6%1.25%	30.5%3.65%	67.3%0.06%	66.7%<0.01%	80.4%0.05%
Atlanta Falcons	22.4%0.08%		20.3%0.38%	42.0%0.35%	35.9%0.31%	38.5%0.20%	39.4%0.31%	51.7%0.03%	17.7%0.31%	44.6%0.09%	17.8%0.22%	13.8%0.49%	10.3%0.86%	48.3%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	74.1%0.03%
Carolina Panthers	60.7%1.43%	79.7%0.38%		77.3%5.46%	75.3%5.80%	77.8%3.20%	76.5%5.62%	77.4%0.47%	55.6%7.63%	77.5%1.63%	62.2%3.80%	41.8%7.43%	37.5%11.58%	70.9%0.59%	75.5%0.05%	91.5%0.55%
Chicago Bears	29.7%0.58%	58.0%0.35%	22.7%5.46%		46.4%2.59%	51.7%0.45%	48.9%0.88%	55.6%0.04%	26.1%4.53%	49.7%0.79%	32.2%1.65%	16.6%3.23%	14.8%5.67%	42.7%0.23%	61.4%0.06%	73.4%0.24%
Dallas Cowboys	32.2%0.68%	64.1%0.31%	24.7%5.80%	53.6%2.59%		53.5%1.45%	51.7%2.70%	57.1%0.20%	29.1%4.75%	51.7%0.17%	35.2%0.46%	19.6%3.71%	17.8%6.77%	44.9%0.27%	65.6%0.06%	83.6%0.07%
Detroit Lions	30.5%0.27%	61.5%0.20%	22.2%3.20%	48.3%0.45%	46.5%1.45%		47.6%0.47%	66.7%0.02%	26.8%2.73%	53.6%0.45%	30.7%0.92%	17.3%1.88%	15.2%3.86%	41.0%0.13%	55.3%0.04%	75.9%0.12%
Green Bay Packers	31.0%0.62%	60.6%0.31%	23.5%5.62%	51.1%0.88%	48.3%2.70%	52.4%0.47%		62.5%0.04%	27.2%4.85%	53.2%0.75%	35.0%1.76%	17.2%3.41%	16.1%6.21%	40.8%0.27%	54.8%0.06%	76.4%0.24%
Minnesota Vikings	26.5%0.03%	48.3%0.03%	22.6%0.47%	44.4%0.04%	42.9%0.20%	33.3%0.02%	37.5%0.04%		20.5%0.49%	40.0%0.05%	29.0%0.11%	15.4%0.32%	12.2%0.69%	28.6%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.02%
New Orleans Saints	55.0%1.27%	82.3%0.31%	44.4%7.63%	73.9%4.53%	70.9%4.75%	73.2%2.73%	72.8%4.85%	79.5%0.49%		72.8%1.46%	57.3%3.22%	37.7%7.04%	32.9%10.70%	62.4%0.53%	71.7%0.05%	90.7%0.52%
New York Giants	31.1%0.14%	55.4%0.09%	22.5%1.63%	50.3%0.79%	48.3%0.17%	46.4%0.45%	46.8%0.75%	60.0%0.05%	27.2%1.46%		29.7%0.07%	16.4%1.06%	13.0%2.40%	39.7%0.07%	78.3%0.02%	71.4%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	47.9%0.31%	82.2%0.22%	37.8%3.80%	67.8%1.65%	64.8%0.46%	69.3%0.92%	65.0%1.76%	71.0%0.11%	42.7%3.22%	70.3%0.07%		29.3%2.30%	26.2%5.46%	50.0%0.14%	83.9%0.03%	81.2%0.03%
San Francisco 49ers	64.4%1.25%	86.2%0.49%	58.2%7.43%	83.4%3.23%	80.4%3.71%	82.7%1.88%	82.8%3.41%	84.6%0.32%	62.3%7.04%	83.6%1.06%	70.7%2.30%		46.0%22.82%	77.3%0.48%	86.2%0.09%	93.4%0.29%
Seattle Seahawks	69.5%3.65%	89.7%0.86%	62.5%11.58%	85.2%5.67%	82.2%6.77%	84.8%3.86%	83.9%6.21%	87.8%0.69%	67.1%10.70%	87.0%2.40%	73.8%5.46%	54.0%22.82%		79.0%1.57%	91.0%0.21%	94.2%0.69%
St. Louis Rams	32.7%0.06%	51.7%0.03%	29.1%0.59%	57.3%0.23%	55.1%0.27%	59.0%0.13%	59.2%0.27%	71.4%0.01%	37.6%0.53%	60.3%0.07%	50.0%0.14%	22.7%0.48%	21.0%1.57%		100.0%<0.01%	79.2%0.02%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	24.5%0.05%	38.6%0.06%	34.4%0.06%	44.7%0.04%	45.2%0.06%	75.0%<0.01%	28.3%0.05%	21.7%0.02%	16.1%0.03%	13.8%0.09%	9.0%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins	19.6%0.05%	25.9%0.03%	8.5%0.55%	26.6%0.24%	16.4%0.07%	24.1%0.12%	23.6%0.24%	42.9%0.02%	9.3%0.52%	28.6%<0.01%	18.8%0.03%	6.6%0.29%	5.8%0.69%	20.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		45.5%0.02%	31.2%0.74%	100.0%<0.01%	22.2%4.20%	100.0%0.01%	42.9%0.76%		40.4%0.64%	51.5%0.13%	24.2%2.45%	70.0%0.02%	40.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.10%	40.8%0.24%	57.6%0.16%
Buffalo Bills	54.5%0.02%		21.3%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	15.9%0.28%	75.0%<0.01%	23.2%0.07%		25.5%0.05%	66.7%0.01%	21.3%0.12%			42.9%0.01%	15.0%0.02%	70.0%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	68.8%0.74%	78.7%0.07%		66.7%0.01%	38.6%13.23%	82.1%0.03%	62.3%2.59%	60.0%<0.01%	63.6%2.09%	72.0%0.48%	41.7%7.66%	77.3%0.07%	88.9%<0.01%	62.9%0.43%	62.8%0.65%	76.3%0.49%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.01%		2.3%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.01%		20.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	10.4%0.05%			0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	77.8%4.20%	84.1%0.28%	61.4%13.23%	97.7%0.09%		93.9%0.08%	70.0%7.06%	100.0%<0.01%	69.7%2.92%	81.9%2.09%	53.1%26.84%	84.9%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	70.7%2.00%	69.1%1.02%	82.6%1.35%
Houston Texans	0.0%0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	17.9%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	6.1%0.08%		0.0%<0.01%		23.1%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	11.5%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%		16.7%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	57.1%0.76%	76.8%0.07%	37.7%2.59%	83.3%0.01%	30.0%7.06%	100.0%<0.01%			54.5%1.07%	66.7%0.32%	31.9%5.35%	72.5%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	51.5%0.45%	50.0%0.37%	64.0%0.09%
Jacksonville Jaguars			40.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	59.6%0.64%	74.5%0.05%	36.4%2.09%	80.0%0.01%	30.3%2.92%	76.9%0.01%	45.5%1.07%	100.0%<0.01%		63.9%0.30%	30.5%4.50%	63.4%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	50.6%0.33%	46.7%0.17%	62.2%0.19%
Miami Dolphins	48.5%0.13%	33.3%0.01%	28.0%0.48%	100.0%<0.01%	18.1%2.09%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.32%	100.0%<0.01%	36.1%0.30%		21.2%0.71%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	38.9%0.09%	34.7%0.10%	54.7%0.05%
New England Patriots	75.8%2.45%	78.7%0.12%	58.3%7.66%	89.6%0.05%	46.9%26.84%	88.5%0.05%	68.1%5.35%	100.0%<0.01%	69.5%4.50%	78.8%0.71%		85.1%0.09%	85.7%0.01%	68.0%1.30%	68.6%1.36%	81.2%0.98%
New York Jets	30.0%0.02%		22.7%0.07%		15.1%0.24%	100.0%<0.01%	27.5%0.04%		36.6%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	14.9%0.09%			38.5%0.01%	36.4%0.01%	50.0%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	60.0%<0.01%		11.1%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.01%					0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	56.2%0.10%	57.1%0.01%	37.1%0.43%	100.0%<0.01%	29.3%2.00%	83.3%<0.01%	48.5%0.45%	0.0%<0.01%	49.4%0.33%	61.1%0.09%	32.0%1.30%	61.5%0.01%			45.4%0.12%	67.1%0.08%
San Diego Chargers	59.2%0.24%	85.0%0.02%	37.2%0.65%	100.0%<0.01%	30.9%1.02%	80.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.37%	100.0%<0.01%	53.3%0.17%	65.3%0.10%	31.4%1.36%	63.6%0.01%		54.6%0.12%		68.8%0.06%
Tennessee Titans	42.4%0.16%	30.0%0.01%	23.7%0.49%	100.0%<0.01%	17.4%1.35%		36.0%0.09%		37.8%0.19%	45.3%0.05%	18.8%0.98%	50.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	32.9%0.08%	31.2%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		81.8%0.02%	44.3%0.92%	64.7%0.19%	68.6%0.26%	71.1%0.09%	59.4%0.19%	85.7%0.01%	50.9%0.70%	74.3%0.07%	49.7%0.19%	37.5%0.62%	35.6%1.30%	55.6%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	100.0%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	18.2%0.02%		24.0%0.05%	50.0%0.02%	25.8%0.03%	50.0%0.01%	26.3%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%	19.6%0.05%	14.3%<0.01%	39.5%0.04%	13.1%0.21%	12.1%0.42%	0.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers	55.7%0.92%	76.0%0.05%		79.6%0.92%	72.7%1.28%	75.1%0.61%	75.3%1.06%	78.1%0.06%	56.1%2.55%	75.2%0.29%	60.4%1.31%	40.7%8.05%	37.2%15.73%	66.9%0.31%	100.0%0.01%	89.8%0.05%
Chicago Bears	35.3%0.19%	50.0%0.02%	20.4%0.92%		44.7%0.19%	48.9%0.04%	47.9%0.07%	57.1%<0.01%	30.3%0.68%	54.5%0.06%	29.1%0.20%	17.1%1.62%	14.0%3.24%	43.9%0.07%		57.1%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys	31.4%0.26%	74.2%0.03%	27.3%1.28%	55.3%0.19%		46.8%0.11%	52.7%0.20%	44.4%0.02%	30.5%0.94%	48.1%0.03%	35.4%0.10%	21.5%2.09%	17.5%4.00%	51.8%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	71.4%<0.01%
Detroit Lions	28.9%0.09%	50.0%0.01%	24.9%0.61%	51.1%0.04%	53.2%0.11%		55.8%0.05%	66.7%<0.01%	24.2%0.44%	64.7%0.03%	41.4%0.12%	16.9%1.01%	15.0%1.82%	43.8%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	40.6%0.19%	73.7%0.02%	24.7%1.06%	52.1%0.07%	47.3%0.20%	44.2%0.05%		44.4%<0.01%	29.8%0.83%	47.7%0.04%	31.2%0.22%	19.6%1.67%	15.8%3.51%	35.5%0.06%		75.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings	14.3%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	21.9%0.06%	42.9%<0.01%	55.6%0.02%	33.3%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%		28.8%0.05%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%	16.8%0.13%	15.6%0.23%	20.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints	49.1%0.70%	80.4%0.05%	43.9%2.55%	69.7%0.68%	69.5%0.94%	75.8%0.44%	70.2%0.83%	71.2%0.05%		72.1%0.27%	55.5%1.02%	36.4%6.42%	32.3%12.66%	62.7%0.23%	66.7%<0.01%	97.0%0.03%
New York Giants	25.7%0.07%	85.7%<0.01%	24.8%0.29%	45.5%0.06%	51.9%0.03%	35.3%0.03%	52.3%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%	27.9%0.27%		33.3%0.02%	16.9%0.53%	16.8%1.10%	50.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	50.3%0.19%	60.5%0.04%	39.6%1.31%	70.9%0.20%	64.6%0.10%	58.6%0.12%	68.8%0.22%	66.7%0.02%	44.5%1.02%	66.7%0.02%		30.8%1.82%	28.7%3.57%	54.1%0.06%	70.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	62.5%0.62%	86.9%0.21%	59.3%8.05%	82.9%1.62%	78.5%2.09%	83.1%1.01%	80.4%1.67%	83.2%0.13%	63.6%6.42%	83.1%0.53%	69.2%1.82%		46.7%9.50%	78.0%0.21%	91.7%0.04%	90.6%0.08%
Seattle Seahawks	64.4%1.30%	87.9%0.42%	62.8%15.73%	86.0%3.24%	82.5%4.00%	85.0%1.82%	84.2%3.51%	84.4%0.23%	67.7%12.66%	83.2%1.10%	71.3%3.57%	53.3%9.50%		77.3%0.43%	86.4%0.08%	95.2%0.15%
St. Louis Rams	44.4%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	33.1%0.31%	56.1%0.07%	48.2%0.06%	56.2%0.03%	64.5%0.06%	80.0%<0.01%	37.3%0.23%	50.0%0.02%	45.9%0.06%	22.0%0.21%	22.7%0.43%			100.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	25.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%	8.3%0.04%	13.6%0.08%
Washington Redskins	0.0%0.01%		10.2%0.05%	42.9%<0.01%	28.6%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		3.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	9.4%0.08%	4.8%0.15%	0.0%<0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	22.6%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	28.5%0.39%	55.9%0.03%	51.4%0.07%	50.0%0.02%	64.4%0.06%		34.7%0.31%	36.8%0.02%	28.4%0.10%	23.7%0.55%	28.3%1.06%	42.9%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Buffalo Bills	0.0%<0.01%		19.2%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		23.8%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	14.7%0.03%	22.6%0.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	51.4%0.28%	76.2%0.02%	46.8%2.07%	69.1%0.21%	66.6%0.29%	73.6%0.13%	74.4%0.25%	92.3%0.01%	50.1%1.40%	63.2%0.07%	52.8%0.45%	39.8%2.81%	39.7%5.26%	67.2%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%					100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	53.4%0.81%	89.1%0.06%	52.6%5.85%	77.4%0.53%	69.8%0.85%	76.3%0.36%	73.9%0.66%	72.3%0.05%	57.6%4.24%	75.1%0.20%	57.2%1.22%	44.8%8.09%	45.5%15.08%	62.6%0.19%	55.6%<0.01%	93.3%0.01%
Houston Texans			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	9.1%0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	42.4%0.14%	60.0%0.01%	42.2%0.99%	65.7%0.11%	62.3%0.16%	63.2%0.06%	64.8%0.12%	70.0%0.01%	45.1%0.76%	69.2%0.04%	44.3%0.19%	33.7%1.35%	32.8%2.63%	48.6%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars												0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.0%0.10%	57.1%<0.01%	39.7%0.70%	63.9%0.08%	60.2%0.11%	56.2%0.03%	48.7%0.08%	75.0%<0.01%	41.3%0.52%	45.5%0.02%	34.0%0.16%	28.1%0.91%	31.2%1.77%	45.0%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	26.9%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	19.3%0.16%	57.1%0.01%	62.5%0.02%	45.5%0.01%	33.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.8%0.10%	87.5%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%	22.6%0.23%	17.7%0.42%	33.3%<0.01%
New England Patriots	56.2%0.64%	84.6%0.04%	54.2%4.52%	77.0%0.42%	67.4%0.65%	74.8%0.29%	73.8%0.50%	74.4%0.04%	58.0%3.12%	69.7%0.17%	58.2%0.90%	43.7%6.18%	46.6%11.51%	63.5%0.16%	83.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
New York Jets	0.0%<0.01%		37.5%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.03%	22.2%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders				0.0%<0.01%					0.0%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	26.8%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	39.2%0.26%	76.7%0.03%	57.1%0.03%	57.9%0.02%	64.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	44.1%0.20%	60.0%0.01%	41.8%0.06%	30.5%0.40%	35.1%0.69%	46.2%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
San Diego Chargers	56.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	43.1%0.24%	36.4%0.02%	65.6%0.03%	50.0%0.01%	58.3%0.04%		48.1%0.18%	63.6%0.01%	58.2%0.06%	30.3%0.34%	31.6%0.64%	25.0%<0.01%
Tennessee Titans	38.5%0.01%		25.8%0.12%	57.1%<0.01%	46.7%0.01%	71.4%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%		37.6%0.08%	66.7%<0.01%	30.0%0.02%	22.5%0.17%	24.6%0.33%	60.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	77.4%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	48.6%0.28%	100.0%<0.01%	46.6%0.81%		57.6%0.14%		65.0%0.10%	73.1%0.03%	43.8%0.64%	100.0%<0.01%		73.2%0.04%	44.0%0.03%	61.5%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	0.0%<0.01%		23.8%0.02%		10.9%0.06%		40.0%0.01%		42.9%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.04%			0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Carolina Panthers																	71.5%0.39%	80.8%0.03%	53.2%2.07%	100.0%<0.01%	47.4%5.85%	100.0%<0.01%	57.8%0.99%		60.3%0.70%	80.7%0.16%	45.8%4.52%	62.5%0.02%		60.8%0.26%	56.9%0.24%	74.2%0.12%
Chicago Bears																	44.1%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	30.9%0.21%	100.0%<0.01%	22.6%0.53%		34.3%0.11%		36.1%0.08%	42.9%0.01%	23.0%0.42%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	23.3%0.03%	63.6%0.02%	42.9%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	48.6%0.07%	57.1%<0.01%	33.4%0.29%		30.2%0.85%	100.0%<0.01%	37.7%0.16%		39.8%0.11%	37.5%0.02%	32.6%0.65%	50.0%<0.01%		42.9%0.03%	34.4%0.03%	53.3%0.01%
Detroit Lions																	50.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	26.4%0.13%		23.7%0.36%		36.8%0.06%		43.8%0.03%	54.5%0.01%	25.2%0.29%	100.0%<0.01%		42.1%0.02%	50.0%0.01%	28.6%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	35.6%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	25.6%0.25%		26.1%0.66%		35.2%0.12%		51.3%0.08%	66.7%0.01%	26.2%0.50%	100.0%<0.01%		36.0%0.03%	41.7%0.04%	40.0%0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																			7.7%0.01%		27.7%0.05%		30.0%0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.6%0.04%			0.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints																	65.3%0.31%	76.2%0.02%	49.9%1.40%	0.0%<0.01%	42.4%4.24%	100.0%<0.01%	54.9%0.76%		58.7%0.52%	74.2%0.10%	42.0%3.12%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	55.9%0.20%	51.9%0.18%	62.4%0.08%
New York Giants																	63.2%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	36.8%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	24.9%0.20%		30.8%0.04%		54.5%0.02%	12.5%<0.01%	30.3%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%		40.0%0.01%	36.4%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	71.6%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	47.2%0.45%		42.8%1.22%		55.7%0.19%		66.0%0.16%	80.0%0.03%	41.8%0.90%	0.0%<0.01%		58.2%0.06%	41.8%0.06%	70.0%0.02%
San Francisco 49ers																	76.3%0.55%	85.3%0.03%	60.2%2.81%	100.0%<0.01%	55.2%8.09%	100.0%<0.01%	66.3%1.35%	100.0%<0.01%	71.9%0.91%	77.4%0.23%	56.3%6.18%	78.6%0.03%	75.0%<0.01%	69.5%0.40%	69.7%0.34%	77.5%0.17%
Seattle Seahawks																	71.7%1.06%	77.4%0.05%	60.3%5.26%	100.0%<0.01%	54.5%15.08%	90.9%0.01%	67.2%2.63%	100.0%<0.01%	68.8%1.77%	82.3%0.42%	53.4%11.51%	77.8%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	64.9%0.69%	68.4%0.64%	75.4%0.33%
St. Louis Rams																	57.1%0.01%		32.8%0.06%		37.4%0.19%		51.4%0.03%		55.0%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	36.5%0.16%	50.0%<0.01%		53.8%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		44.4%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%				16.7%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		6.7%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
Seattle Seahawks	100.00%	66.87%	45.60%	25.48%	Won Super Bowl
Denver Broncos	100.00%	73.58%	45.08%	21.22%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
New England Patriots	100.00%	67.83%	32.50%	15.62%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Francisco 49ers	77.60%	35.94%	19.13%	11.44%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Carolina Panthers	100.00%	60.44%	22.29%	10.51%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Cincinnati Bengals	70.15%	24.46%	11.25%	5.14%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Philadelphia Eagles	54.86%	19.06%	6.48%	2.97%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New Orleans Saints	45.14%	13.81%	5.51%	2.81%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Indianapolis Colts	63.84%	16.76%	5.40%	2.10%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
San Diego Chargers	29.85%	8.48%	3.04%	1.31%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Kansas City Chiefs	36.16%	8.89%	2.73%	1.09%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Green Bay Packers	22.40%	3.89%	1.00%	0.32%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	San Diego Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals				70.2%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts			63.8%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs		36.2%100.00%
San Diego Chargers	29.8%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay Packers				22.4%100.00%
New Orleans Saints			45.1%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles		54.9%100.00%
San Francisco 49ers	77.6%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	San Diego Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals					34.9%70.15%
Denver Broncos			73.8%44.69%	75.5%25.46%		71.6%29.85%
Indianapolis Colts		26.2%44.69%			26.5%19.15%
Kansas City Chiefs		24.5%25.46%			24.7%10.69%
New England Patriots	65.1%70.15%		73.5%19.15%	75.3%10.69%
San Diego Chargers		28.4%29.85%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers		79.1%10.01%		65.3%54.86%	47.6%35.13%
Green Bay Packers	20.9%10.01%					14.5%12.39%
New Orleans Saints						30.6%45.14%
Philadelphia Eagles	34.7%54.86%
San Francisco 49ers	52.4%35.13%					41.3%42.47%
Seattle Seahawks		85.5%12.39%	69.4%45.14%		58.7%42.47%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	San Diego Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals		38.3%18.23%	68.2%4.10%	69.3%2.12%
Denver Broncos	61.7%18.23%		71.2%3.60%	73.4%1.93%	59.9%49.82%
Indianapolis Colts	31.8%4.10%	28.8%3.60%			29.3%7.59%	57.3%1.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	30.7%2.12%	26.6%1.93%			28.8%4.13%	53.6%0.72%
New England Patriots		40.1%49.82%	70.7%7.59%	71.2%4.13%		67.0%6.30%
San Diego Chargers			42.7%1.46%	46.4%0.72%	33.0%6.30%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers		74.4%1.18%	55.2%7.54%		45.0%11.41%	30.0%40.31%
Green Bay Packers	25.6%1.18%		39.4%0.65%	28.2%0.62%		18.3%1.45%
New Orleans Saints	44.8%7.54%	60.6%0.65%			31.0%5.62%
Philadelphia Eagles		71.8%0.62%			42.1%6.12%	28.1%12.32%
San Francisco 49ers	55.0%11.41%		69.0%5.62%	57.9%6.12%		42.4%12.79%
Seattle Seahawks	70.0%40.31%	81.7%1.45%		71.9%12.32%	57.6%12.79%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Carolina Panthers	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	San Diego Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals	53.6%2.50%	59.2%0.12%	47.0%0.59%	55.2%0.72%	38.5%2.17%	43.0%5.14%
Denver Broncos	53.5%10.14%	70.1%0.43%	49.8%2.52%	55.1%2.90%	40.8%8.59%	44.6%20.50%
Indianapolis Colts	45.9%1.19%	68.5%0.05%	41.1%0.30%	46.3%0.38%	31.0%1.00%	36.6%2.47%
Kansas City Chiefs	46.0%0.61%	58.8%0.03%	45.8%0.13%	42.4%0.18%	33.6%0.55%	38.3%1.23%
New England Patriots	53.9%7.18%	68.8%0.32%	51.0%1.82%	55.3%2.10%	42.0%6.21%	46.0%14.86%
San Diego Chargers	47.6%0.66%	62.5%0.03%	38.7%0.14%	51.7%0.20%	40.7%0.60%	40.5%1.40%
Carolina Panthers							46.4%2.50%	46.5%10.14%	54.1%1.19%	54.0%0.61%	46.1%7.18%	52.4%0.66%
Green Bay Packers							40.8%0.12%	29.9%0.43%	31.5%0.05%	41.2%0.03%	31.2%0.32%	37.5%0.03%
New Orleans Saints							53.0%0.59%	50.2%2.52%	58.9%0.30%	54.2%0.13%	49.0%1.82%	61.3%0.14%
Philadelphia Eagles							44.8%0.72%	44.9%2.90%	53.7%0.38%	57.6%0.18%	44.7%2.10%	48.3%0.20%
San Francisco 49ers							61.5%2.17%	59.2%8.59%	69.0%1.00%	66.4%0.55%	58.0%6.21%	59.3%0.60%
Seattle Seahawks							57.0%5.14%	55.4%20.50%	63.4%2.47%	61.7%1.23%	54.0%14.86%	59.5%1.40%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Seattle Seahawks 25.48% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

46.86%

Win Prob

69.41%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

61.83%

Win Prob

69.95%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.60%

Win Prob

55.45%

Denver Broncos 21.22% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

44.85%

Win Prob

73.84%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

66.21%

Win Prob

59.91%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.04%

Win Prob

44.55%

New England Patriots 15.62% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

67.37%

Win Prob

65.14%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

61.46%

Win Prob

40.09%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.73%

Win Prob

45.96%

San Francisco 49ers 11.44% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

77.60%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

51.22%

Win Prob

52.40%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

32.82%

Win Prob

55.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.43%

Win Prob

59.18%

Carolina Panthers 10.51% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

59.24%

Win Prob

65.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

54.35%

Win Prob

30.05%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

44.88%

Win Prob

46.52%

Cincinnati Bengals 5.14% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Diego Chargers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

70.15%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.86%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

62.04%

Win Prob

38.28%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.06%

Win Prob

43.04%

Philadelphia Eagles 2.97% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

54.86%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.74%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

53.40%

Win Prob

28.08%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

43.90%

Win Prob

44.90%

New Orleans Saints 2.81% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

45.14%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.59%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

61.32%

Win Prob

44.80%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

45.09%

Win Prob

50.24%

Indianapolis Colts 2.10% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

63.84%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

69.76%

Win Prob

26.16%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

41.13%

Win Prob

29.29%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.05%

Win Prob

36.60%

San Diego Chargers 1.31% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

29.85%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

28.42%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

68.49%

Win Prob

33.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.52%

Win Prob

40.51%

Kansas City Chiefs 1.09% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

36.16%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

70.26%

Win Prob

24.53%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

43.40%

Win Prob

28.77%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

43.28%

Win Prob

38.30%

Green Bay Packers 0.32% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

22.40%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

53.84%

Win Prob

20.92%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Carolina Panthers

Matchup

30.22%

Win Prob

25.60%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

40.06%

Win Prob

29.86%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2013-09-08	@ St. Louis Rams	L 24-27	1440.87	1481.45	34.48%	65.12%	-13.42	0-1
2013-09-15	Detroit Lions	W 25-21	1427.45	1487.68	51.13%	48.44%	+21.76	1-1
2013-09-22	@ New Orleans Saints	L 7-31	1449.21	1561.31	25.87%	73.79%	-28.48	1-2
2013-09-29	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 13-10	1420.73	1420.38	39.97%	59.62%	+23.17	2-2
2013-10-06	Carolina Panthers	W 22-6	1443.90	1535.80	46.58%	52.99%	+47.59	3-2
2013-10-13	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-32	1491.49	1594.94	26.83%	72.82%	-20.89	3-3
2013-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	L 22-34	1470.60	1673.54	31.53%	68.09%	-24.55	3-4
2013-10-27	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-13	1446.05	1506.14	51.15%	48.42%	+40.68	4-4
2013-11-10	Houston Texans	W 27-24	1486.73	1380.31	73.15%	26.50%	+10.32	5-4
2013-11-17	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-14	1497.05	1232.41	75.24%	24.43%	+19.79	6-4
2013-11-24	Indianapolis Colts	W 40-11	1516.84	1534.81	57.16%	42.42%	+51.33	7-4
2013-12-01	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-24	1568.17	1542.44	43.51%	56.06%	-16.93	7-5
2013-12-08	St. Louis Rams	W 30-10	1551.24	1534.90	61.90%	37.69%	+37.88	8-5
2013-12-15	@ Tennessee Titans	W 37-34	1589.12	1424.58	63.12%	36.48%	+14.20	9-5
2013-12-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 17-10	1603.32	1785.80	18.90%	80.82%	+47.92	10-5
2013-12-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-23	1651.24	1728.22	48.72%	50.85%	-18.95	10-6
2013-09-08	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-23	1565.00	1521.15	46.09%	53.48%	-25.36	0-1
2013-09-15	St. Louis Rams	W 31-24	1539.64	1494.87	65.67%	33.94%	+20.18	1-1
2013-09-22	@ Miami Dolphins	L 23-27	1559.82	1553.06	40.85%	58.73%	-18.36	1-2
2013-09-29	New England Patriots	L 23-30	1541.46	1635.74	46.24%	53.33%	-27.48	1-3
2013-10-07	New York Jets	L 28-30	1513.98	1420.79	71.64%	28.01%	-22.72	1-4
2013-10-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-23	1491.26	1356.09	76.26%	23.41%	+14.88	2-4
2013-10-27	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 13-27	1506.14	1446.05	48.42%	51.15%	-40.69	2-5
2013-11-03	@ Carolina Panthers	L 10-34	1465.45	1605.65	22.90%	76.78%	-25.21	2-6
2013-11-10	Seattle Seahawks	L 10-33	1440.24	1713.83	23.49%	76.19%	-25.31	2-7
2013-11-17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 28-41	1414.93	1337.92	50.85%	48.72%	-41.18	2-8
2013-11-21	New Orleans Saints	L 13-17	1373.75	1673.39	20.91%	78.79%	-9.39	2-9
2013-12-01	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-31	1364.36	1415.71	33.09%	66.52%	+25.84	3-9
2013-12-08	@ Green Bay Packers	L 21-22	1390.20	1435.34	33.89%	65.72%	-7.61	3-10
2013-12-15	Washington Redskins	W 27-26	1382.59	1311.60	68.98%	30.65%	+6.88	4-10
2013-12-23	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 24-34	1389.47	1721.86	8.97%	90.87%	-6.36	4-11
2013-12-29	Carolina Panthers	L 20-21	1383.11	1671.96	21.95%	77.74%	-4.93	4-12
2013-09-05	@ Denver Broncos	L 27-49	1588.82	1578.67	41.33%	58.25%	-43.55	0-1
2013-09-15	Cleveland Browns	W 14-6	1545.27	1406.33	76.65%	23.03%	+14.63	1-1
2013-09-22	Houston Texans	W 30-9	1559.90	1577.33	57.23%	42.34%	+43.60	2-1
2013-09-29	@ Buffalo Bills	L 20-23	1603.50	1429.77	64.34%	35.26%	-25.00	2-2
2013-10-06	@ Miami Dolphins	W 26-23	1578.50	1532.89	46.34%	53.23%	+20.70	3-2
2013-10-13	Green Bay Packers	L 17-19	1599.20	1580.34	62.24%	37.35%	-19.75	3-3
2013-10-20	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-19	1579.45	1431.16	60.92%	38.67%	-23.68	3-4
2013-11-03	@ Cleveland Browns	L 18-24	1555.77	1417.29	59.57%	40.01%	-32.74	3-5
2013-11-10	Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-17	1523.03	1598.49	48.94%	50.63%	+19.69	4-5
2013-11-17	@ Chicago Bears	L 20-23	1542.72	1534.61	41.04%	58.54%	-15.98	4-6
2013-11-24	New York Jets	W 19-3	1526.74	1377.02	77.74%	21.95%	+19.73	5-6
2013-11-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 22-20	1546.47	1531.85	61.67%	37.92%	+12.05	6-6
2013-12-08	Minnesota Vikings	W 29-26	1558.52	1389.74	79.57%	20.13%	+7.84	7-6
2013-12-16	@ Detroit Lions	W 18-16	1566.36	1507.05	48.31%	51.26%	+16.28	8-6
2013-12-22	New England Patriots	L 7-41	1582.64	1637.81	51.86%	47.71%	-67.89	8-7
2013-12-29	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-34	1514.75	1630.66	25.45%	74.21%	-23.59	8-8
2013-09-08	New England Patriots	L 21-23	1457.48	1595.53	40.07%	59.51%	-12.73	0-1
2013-09-15	Carolina Panthers	W 24-23	1444.75	1493.29	52.81%	46.76%	+10.50	1-1
2013-09-22	@ New York Jets	L 20-27	1455.25	1434.12	42.86%	56.71%	-25.48	1-2
2013-09-29	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1429.77	1603.50	35.26%	64.34%	+25.00	2-2
2013-10-03	@ Cleveland Browns	L 24-37	1454.77	1467.78	38.14%	61.45%	-30.90	2-3
2013-10-13	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1423.87	1551.05	41.58%	58.00%	-16.19	2-4
2013-10-20	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-21	1407.68	1512.19	26.72%	72.94%	+23.13	3-4
2013-10-27	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-35	1430.81	1642.30	16.48%	83.27%	-15.70	3-5
2013-11-03	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-23	1415.11	1609.87	32.56%	67.06%	-23.14	3-6
2013-11-10	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-23	1391.97	1416.52	36.59%	63.01%	-29.64	3-7
2013-11-17	New York Jets	W 37-14	1362.33	1430.41	50.00%	49.57%	+53.38	4-7
2013-12-01	Atlanta Falcons	L 31-34	1415.71	1364.36	66.52%	33.09%	-25.84	4-8
2013-12-08	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 6-27	1389.87	1396.24	39.04%	60.54%	-40.21	4-9
2013-12-15	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-20	1349.66	1314.13	44.90%	54.67%	+32.47	5-9
2013-12-22	Miami Dolphins	W 19-0	1382.13	1571.64	33.22%	66.39%	+64.92	6-9
2013-12-29	@ New England Patriots	L 20-34	1447.05	1705.70	13.08%	86.70%	-10.99	6-10
2013-09-08	Seattle Seahawks	L 7-12	1517.37	1599.68	47.95%	51.61%	-24.08	0-1
2013-09-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 23-24	1493.29	1444.75	46.76%	52.81%	-10.51	0-2
2013-09-22	New York Giants	W 38-0	1482.78	1470.72	61.32%	38.27%	+53.02	1-2
2013-10-06	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 6-22	1535.80	1443.90	52.99%	46.58%	-47.59	1-3
2013-10-13	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 35-10	1488.21	1477.29	41.43%	58.15%	+65.25	2-3
2013-10-20	St. Louis Rams	W 30-15	1553.46	1477.41	69.60%	30.03%	+26.14	3-3
2013-10-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-13	1579.60	1341.21	72.33%	27.31%	+26.05	4-3
2013-11-03	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-10	1605.65	1465.45	76.78%	22.90%	+25.21	5-3
2013-11-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 10-9	1630.86	1659.94	35.98%	63.61%	+14.27	6-3
2013-11-18	New England Patriots	W 24-20	1645.13	1652.21	58.68%	40.90%	+18.38	7-3
2013-11-24	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-16	1663.51	1484.51	65.03%	34.57%	+15.54	8-3
2013-12-01	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-6	1679.05	1408.94	87.44%	12.35%	+12.70	9-3
2013-12-08	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-31	1691.75	1645.99	46.36%	53.21%	-44.18	9-4
2013-12-15	New York Jets	W 30-20	1647.57	1342.77	89.47%	10.35%	+7.34	10-4
2013-12-22	New Orleans Saints	W 17-13	1654.91	1640.44	61.65%	37.94%	+17.05	11-4
2013-12-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 21-20	1671.96	1383.11	77.74%	21.95%	+4.94	12-4
2013-09-08	Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-21	1523.18	1531.24	58.54%	41.03%	+15.97	1-0
2013-09-15	Minnesota Vikings	W 31-30	1539.15	1491.67	66.02%	33.59%	+7.55	2-0
2013-09-22	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 40-23	1546.70	1442.46	54.75%	44.82%	+41.51	3-0
2013-09-29	@ Detroit Lions	L 32-40	1588.21	1500.27	52.42%	47.15%	-33.29	3-1
2013-10-06	New Orleans Saints	L 18-26	1554.92	1628.33	49.23%	50.33%	-31.27	3-2
2013-10-10	New York Giants	W 27-21	1523.65	1332.85	81.55%	18.18%	+10.00	4-2
2013-10-20	@ Washington Redskins	L 41-45	1533.65	1429.59	54.73%	44.84%	-24.57	4-3
2013-11-04	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-20	1509.08	1641.43	23.71%	75.97%	+45.06	5-3
2013-11-10	Detroit Lions	L 19-21	1554.14	1540.37	61.55%	38.04%	-19.53	5-4
2013-11-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1534.61	1542.72	58.54%	41.04%	+15.97	6-4
2013-11-24	@ St. Louis Rams	L 21-42	1550.58	1506.08	46.18%	53.39%	-47.54	6-5
2013-12-01	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 20-23	1503.04	1366.70	59.27%	40.31%	-23.04	6-6
2013-12-09	Dallas Cowboys	W 45-28	1480.00	1553.53	49.22%	50.35%	+46.62	7-6
2013-12-15	@ Cleveland Browns	W 38-31	1526.62	1343.60	65.55%	34.05%	+20.25	8-6
2013-12-22	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 11-54	1546.87	1525.06	42.96%	56.61%	-63.29	8-7
2013-12-29	Green Bay Packers	L 28-33	1483.58	1428.94	66.93%	32.68%	-33.58	8-8
2013-09-08	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-24	1531.24	1523.18	41.03%	58.54%	-15.97	0-1
2013-09-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-10	1515.27	1466.19	66.23%	33.38%	+23.73	1-1
2013-09-22	Green Bay Packers	W 34-30	1539.00	1569.65	55.36%	44.21%	+19.86	2-1
2013-09-29	@ Cleveland Browns	L 6-17	1558.86	1423.79	59.10%	40.48%	-43.98	2-2
2013-10-06	New England Patriots	W 13-6	1514.88	1663.22	38.66%	60.93%	+36.17	3-2
2013-10-13	@ Buffalo Bills	W 27-24	1551.05	1423.87	58.00%	41.58%	+16.18	4-2
2013-10-20	@ Detroit Lions	W 27-24	1567.23	1552.61	41.95%	57.63%	+22.40	5-2
2013-10-27	New York Jets	W 49-9	1589.63	1416.91	79.94%	19.77%	+28.10	6-2
2013-10-31	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-22	1617.73	1471.77	60.60%	38.99%	-19.24	6-3
2013-11-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-20	1598.49	1523.03	50.63%	48.94%	-19.69	6-4
2013-11-17	Cleveland Browns	W 41-20	1578.80	1450.04	75.59%	24.08%	+24.80	7-4
2013-12-01	@ San Diego Chargers	W 17-10	1603.60	1490.14	56.06%	43.51%	+25.86	8-4
2013-12-08	Indianapolis Colts	W 42-28	1629.46	1506.76	74.95%	24.72%	+20.79	9-4
2013-12-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-30	1650.25	1486.48	63.01%	36.58%	-44.71	9-5
2013-12-22	Minnesota Vikings	W 42-14	1605.54	1447.36	78.57%	21.13%	+25.12	10-5
2013-12-29	Baltimore Ravens	W 34-17	1630.66	1514.75	74.21%	25.45%	+23.58	11-5
2013-09-08	Miami Dolphins	L 10-23	1451.01	1482.76	55.21%	44.37%	-44.68	0-1
2013-09-15	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 6-14	1406.33	1545.27	23.03%	76.65%	-14.63	0-2
2013-09-22	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-27	1391.70	1484.12	28.09%	71.55%	+32.09	1-2
2013-09-29	Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-6	1423.79	1558.86	40.48%	59.10%	+43.99	2-2
2013-10-03	Buffalo Bills	W 37-24	1467.78	1454.77	61.45%	38.14%	+30.90	3-2
2013-10-13	Detroit Lions	L 17-31	1498.68	1503.01	59.06%	40.52%	-49.60	3-3
2013-10-20	@ Green Bay Packers	L 13-31	1449.08	1600.09	21.82%	77.87%	-20.80	3-4
2013-10-27	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-23	1428.28	1598.89	19.97%	79.74%	-10.99	3-5
2013-11-03	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-18	1417.29	1555.77	40.01%	59.57%	+32.75	4-5
2013-11-17	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-41	1450.04	1578.80	24.08%	75.59%	-24.80	4-6
2013-11-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 11-27	1425.24	1485.99	51.05%	48.51%	-45.85	4-7
2013-12-01	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 28-32	1379.39	1257.18	74.89%	24.77%	-33.59	4-8
2013-12-08	@ New England Patriots	L 26-27	1345.80	1661.00	9.81%	90.02%	-2.20	4-9
2013-12-15	Chicago Bears	L 31-38	1343.60	1526.62	34.05%	65.55%	-20.25	4-10
2013-12-22	@ New York Jets	L 13-24	1323.35	1335.43	38.27%	61.32%	-28.52	4-11
2013-12-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-20	1294.83	1560.48	12.63%	87.16%	-10.22	4-12
2013-09-08	New York Giants	W 36-31	1487.80	1536.20	52.83%	46.74%	+23.47	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-17	1511.27	1453.93	48.02%	51.54%	-10.78	1-1
2013-09-22	St. Louis Rams	W 31-7	1500.49	1474.69	63.17%	36.42%	+40.10	2-1
2013-09-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-30	1540.59	1469.63	49.98%	49.59%	-33.67	2-2
2013-10-06	Denver Broncos	L 48-51	1506.92	1691.65	33.83%	65.77%	-13.17	2-3
2013-10-13	Washington Redskins	W 31-16	1493.75	1460.42	64.17%	35.43%	+30.83	3-3
2013-10-20	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-3	1524.58	1469.94	47.64%	51.93%	+43.63	4-3
2013-10-27	@ Detroit Lions	L 30-31	1568.21	1530.21	45.26%	54.31%	-10.16	4-4
2013-11-03	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-23	1558.05	1344.27	83.45%	16.30%	+7.32	5-4
2013-11-10	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-49	1565.37	1616.41	33.13%	66.48%	-42.13	5-5
2013-11-24	@ New York Giants	W 24-21	1523.24	1472.38	47.09%	52.48%	+20.40	6-5
2013-11-28	Oakland Raiders	W 31-24	1543.64	1334.18	83.10%	16.64%	+9.89	7-5
2013-12-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 28-45	1553.53	1480.00	50.35%	49.22%	-46.62	7-6
2013-12-15	Green Bay Packers	L 36-37	1506.91	1442.96	68.11%	31.51%	-15.28	7-7
2013-12-22	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-23	1491.63	1304.71	66.06%	33.55%	+7.54	8-7
2013-12-29	Philadelphia Eagles	L 22-24	1499.17	1588.35	46.97%	52.60%	-14.92	8-8
2013-09-05	Baltimore Ravens	W 49-27	1578.67	1588.82	58.25%	41.33%	+43.56	1-0
2013-09-15	@ New York Giants	W 41-23	1622.23	1512.73	55.50%	44.07%	+42.00	2-0
2013-09-23	Oakland Raiders	W 37-21	1664.23	1426.63	85.25%	14.52%	+13.04	3-0
2013-09-29	Philadelphia Eagles	W 52-20	1677.27	1390.14	88.48%	11.33%	+14.38	4-0
2013-10-06	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 51-48	1691.65	1506.92	65.77%	33.83%	+13.17	5-0
2013-10-13	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 35-19	1704.82	1240.82	95.49%	4.42%	+3.97	6-0
2013-10-20	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 33-39	1708.79	1572.81	59.22%	40.36%	-32.56	6-1
2013-10-27	Washington Redskins	W 45-21	1676.23	1454.16	84.10%	15.66%	+17.22	7-1
2013-11-10	@ San Diego Chargers	W 28-20	1693.45	1499.35	66.97%	32.64%	+20.75	8-1
2013-11-17	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-17	1714.20	1633.02	70.22%	29.42%	+20.91	9-1
2013-11-24	@ New England Patriots	L 31-34	1735.11	1633.83	54.33%	45.24%	-21.12	9-2
2013-12-01	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-28	1713.99	1581.82	58.69%	40.89%	+24.30	10-2
2013-12-08	Tennessee Titans	W 51-28	1738.29	1435.85	89.34%	10.48%	+11.28	11-2
2013-12-12	San Diego Chargers	L 20-27	1749.57	1509.89	85.40%	14.37%	-50.63	11-3
2013-12-22	@ Houston Texans	W 37-13	1698.94	1246.50	89.92%	9.91%	+10.89	12-3
2013-12-29	@ Oakland Raiders	W 34-14	1709.83	1262.77	89.64%	10.19%	+10.22	13-3
2013-09-08	Minnesota Vikings	W 34-24	1451.67	1527.68	48.86%	50.71%	+36.01	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-25	1487.68	1427.45	48.44%	51.13%	-21.76	1-1
2013-09-22	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-20	1465.92	1452.93	41.72%	57.86%	+34.35	2-1
2013-09-29	Chicago Bears	W 40-32	1500.27	1588.21	47.15%	52.42%	+33.29	3-1
2013-10-06	@ Green Bay Packers	L 9-22	1533.56	1549.78	37.70%	61.89%	-30.55	3-2
2013-10-13	@ Cleveland Browns	W 31-17	1503.01	1498.68	40.52%	59.06%	+49.60	4-2
2013-10-20	Cincinnati Bengals	L 24-27	1552.61	1567.23	57.63%	41.95%	-22.40	4-3
2013-10-27	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-30	1530.21	1568.21	54.31%	45.26%	+10.16	5-3
2013-11-10	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-19	1540.37	1554.14	38.04%	61.55%	+19.54	6-3
2013-11-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 27-37	1559.91	1446.17	56.10%	43.47%	-39.83	6-4
2013-11-24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-24	1520.08	1379.09	76.86%	22.82%	-29.84	6-5
2013-11-28	Green Bay Packers	W 40-10	1490.24	1483.30	60.62%	38.97%	+47.96	7-5
2013-12-08	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-34	1538.20	1559.37	37.04%	62.55%	-31.15	7-6
2013-12-16	Baltimore Ravens	L 16-18	1507.05	1566.36	51.26%	48.31%	-16.28	7-7
2013-12-22	New York Giants	L 20-23	1490.77	1416.43	69.39%	30.24%	-26.95	7-8
2013-12-29	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-14	1463.82	1422.24	45.76%	53.81%	-10.28	7-9
2013-09-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 28-34	1558.21	1587.93	35.90%	63.70%	-19.76	0-1
2013-09-15	Washington Redskins	W 38-20	1538.45	1484.13	66.90%	32.72%	+31.20	1-1
2013-09-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 30-34	1569.65	1539.00	44.21%	55.36%	-19.87	1-2
2013-10-06	Detroit Lions	W 22-9	1549.78	1533.56	61.89%	37.70%	+30.56	2-2
2013-10-13	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 19-17	1580.34	1599.20	37.35%	62.24%	+19.75	3-2
2013-10-20	Cleveland Browns	W 31-13	1600.09	1449.08	77.87%	21.82%	+20.80	4-2
2013-10-27	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 44-31	1620.89	1364.80	74.32%	25.34%	+20.54	5-2
2013-11-04	Chicago Bears	L 20-27	1641.43	1509.08	75.97%	23.71%	-45.07	5-3
2013-11-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 13-27	1596.36	1460.61	76.32%	23.35%	-64.03	5-4
2013-11-17	@ New York Giants	L 13-27	1532.33	1426.16	55.03%	44.54%	-46.22	5-5
2013-11-24	Minnesota Vikings	T 26-26	1486.11	1363.89	74.89%	24.77%	-2.81	5-5
2013-11-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 10-40	1483.30	1490.24	38.97%	60.62%	-47.96	5-6
2013-12-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 22-21	1435.34	1390.20	65.72%	33.89%	+7.62	6-6
2013-12-15	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 37-36	1442.96	1506.91	31.51%	68.11%	+15.27	7-6
2013-12-22	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 31-38	1458.23	1531.19	49.30%	50.27%	-29.29	7-7
2013-12-29	@ Chicago Bears	W 33-28	1428.94	1483.58	32.68%	66.93%	+33.58	8-7
2013-09-09	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-28	1539.47	1482.71	47.94%	51.63%	+20.08	1-0
2013-09-15	Tennessee Titans	W 30-24	1559.55	1501.93	67.31%	32.30%	+17.78	2-0
2013-09-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 9-30	1577.33	1559.90	42.34%	57.23%	-43.60	2-1
2013-09-29	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1533.73	1676.06	39.48%	60.10%	-15.37	2-2
2013-10-06	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-34	1518.36	1550.40	35.60%	64.00%	-44.54	2-3
2013-10-13	St. Louis Rams	L 13-38	1473.82	1399.61	69.37%	30.26%	-77.80	2-4
2013-10-20	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-17	1396.02	1594.96	17.49%	82.24%	-3.93	2-5
2013-11-03	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1392.09	1605.37	30.27%	69.36%	-11.78	2-6
2013-11-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 24-27	1380.31	1486.73	26.50%	73.15%	-10.32	2-7
2013-11-17	Oakland Raiders	L 23-28	1369.99	1322.64	66.00%	33.60%	-33.10	2-8
2013-11-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-13	1336.89	1212.62	75.11%	24.55%	-44.56	2-9
2013-12-01	New England Patriots	L 31-34	1292.33	1654.95	15.55%	84.20%	-6.05	2-10
2013-12-05	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-27	1286.28	1290.77	39.30%	60.28%	-23.37	2-11
2013-12-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 3-25	1262.91	1485.97	15.58%	84.17%	-16.41	2-12
2013-12-22	Denver Broncos	L 13-37	1246.50	1698.94	9.91%	89.92%	-10.89	2-13
2013-12-29	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-16	1235.61	1428.97	17.96%	81.77%	-9.88	2-14
2013-09-08	Oakland Raiders	W 21-17	1495.37	1419.17	69.61%	30.01%	+13.49	1-0
2013-09-15	Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1508.86	1527.44	57.07%	42.51%	-25.62	1-1
2013-09-22	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-7	1483.24	1564.46	29.41%	70.22%	+70.43	2-1
2013-09-29	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 37-3	1553.67	1295.07	74.59%	25.07%	+32.86	3-1
2013-10-06	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-28	1586.53	1691.43	44.72%	54.85%	+30.16	4-1
2013-10-14	@ San Diego Chargers	L 9-19	1616.69	1461.71	61.83%	37.76%	-43.88	4-2
2013-10-20	Denver Broncos	W 39-33	1572.81	1708.79	40.36%	59.22%	+32.56	5-2
2013-11-03	@ Houston Texans	W 27-24	1605.37	1392.09	69.36%	30.27%	+11.78	6-2
2013-11-10	St. Louis Rams	L 8-38	1617.15	1403.68	83.42%	16.32%	-102.39	6-3
2013-11-14	@ Tennessee Titans	W 30-27	1514.76	1457.61	48.00%	51.57%	+20.05	7-3
2013-11-24	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 11-40	1534.81	1516.84	42.42%	57.16%	-51.33	7-4
2013-12-01	Tennessee Titans	W 22-14	1483.48	1459.13	62.98%	36.61%	+23.28	8-4
2013-12-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 28-42	1506.76	1629.46	24.72%	74.95%	-20.79	8-5
2013-12-15	Houston Texans	W 25-3	1485.97	1262.91	84.17%	15.58%	+16.41	9-5
2013-12-22	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-7	1502.38	1622.23	25.03%	74.64%	+66.95	10-5
2013-12-29	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-10	1569.33	1263.07	89.55%	10.28%	+10.30	11-5
2013-09-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 2-28	1395.13	1383.90	61.21%	38.38%	-70.03	0-1
2013-09-15	@ Oakland Raiders	L 9-19	1325.10	1405.67	29.49%	70.14%	-20.96	0-2
2013-09-22	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-45	1304.14	1666.99	7.64%	92.22%	-9.07	0-3
2013-09-29	Indianapolis Colts	L 3-37	1295.07	1553.67	25.07%	74.59%	-32.85	0-4
2013-10-06	@ St. Louis Rams	L 20-34	1262.22	1378.22	25.44%	74.22%	-21.40	0-5
2013-10-13	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-35	1240.82	1704.82	4.42%	95.49%	-3.96	0-6
2013-10-20	San Diego Chargers	L 6-24	1236.86	1505.58	24.00%	75.68%	-22.88	0-7
2013-10-27	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 10-42	1213.98	1650.46	7.48%	92.38%	-9.48	0-8
2013-11-10	@ Tennessee Titans	W 29-27	1204.50	1485.52	11.69%	88.11%	+27.91	1-8
2013-11-17	Arizona Cardinals	L 14-27	1232.41	1497.05	24.43%	75.24%	-19.79	1-9
2013-11-24	@ Houston Texans	W 13-6	1212.62	1336.89	24.55%	75.11%	+44.56	2-9
2013-12-01	@ Cleveland Browns	W 32-28	1257.18	1379.39	24.77%	74.89%	+33.59	3-9
2013-12-05	Houston Texans	W 27-20	1290.77	1286.28	60.28%	39.30%	+23.36	4-9
2013-12-15	Buffalo Bills	L 20-27	1314.13	1349.66	54.67%	44.90%	-32.47	4-10
2013-12-22	Tennessee Titans	L 16-20	1281.66	1410.38	41.37%	58.21%	-18.59	4-11
2013-12-29	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 10-30	1263.07	1569.33	10.28%	89.55%	-10.30	4-12
2013-09-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-2	1383.90	1395.13	38.38%	61.21%	+70.03	1-0
2013-09-15	Dallas Cowboys	W 17-16	1453.93	1511.27	51.54%	48.02%	+10.79	2-0
2013-09-19	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-16	1464.72	1428.93	44.94%	54.63%	+38.78	3-0
2013-09-29	New York Giants	W 31-7	1503.50	1417.70	70.77%	28.87%	+31.79	4-0
2013-10-06	@ Tennessee Titans	W 26-17	1535.29	1538.56	39.47%	60.12%	+40.47	5-0
2013-10-13	Oakland Raiders	W 24-7	1575.76	1413.34	78.97%	20.73%	+19.20	6-0
2013-10-20	Houston Texans	W 17-16	1594.96	1396.02	82.24%	17.49%	+3.93	7-0
2013-10-27	Cleveland Browns	W 23-17	1598.89	1428.28	79.74%	19.97%	+10.98	8-0
2013-11-03	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-13	1609.87	1415.11	67.06%	32.56%	+23.15	9-0
2013-11-17	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-27	1633.02	1714.20	29.42%	70.22%	-20.91	9-1
2013-11-24	San Diego Chargers	L 38-41	1612.11	1459.86	77.99%	21.70%	-30.29	9-2
2013-12-01	Denver Broncos	L 28-35	1581.82	1713.99	40.89%	58.69%	-24.30	9-3
2013-12-08	@ Washington Redskins	W 45-10	1557.52	1353.33	68.24%	31.38%	+41.72	10-3
2013-12-15	@ Oakland Raiders	W 56-31	1599.24	1294.85	79.24%	20.46%	+22.99	11-3
2013-12-22	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-23	1622.23	1502.38	74.64%	25.03%	-66.95	11-4
2013-12-29	@ San Diego Chargers	L 24-27	1555.28	1569.61	37.96%	61.63%	-4.92	11-5
2013-09-08	@ Cleveland Browns	W 23-10	1482.76	1451.01	44.37%	55.21%	+44.68	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 24-20	1527.44	1508.86	42.51%	57.07%	+25.62	2-0
2013-09-22	Atlanta Falcons	W 27-23	1553.06	1559.82	58.73%	40.85%	+18.36	3-0
2013-09-30	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-38	1571.42	1589.80	37.41%	62.18%	-38.53	3-1
2013-10-06	Baltimore Ravens	L 23-26	1532.89	1578.50	53.23%	46.34%	-20.70	3-2
2013-10-20	Buffalo Bills	L 21-23	1512.19	1407.68	72.94%	26.72%	-23.13	3-3
2013-10-27	@ New England Patriots	L 17-27	1489.06	1615.48	24.33%	75.34%	-17.29	3-4
2013-10-31	Cincinnati Bengals	W 22-20	1471.77	1617.73	38.99%	60.60%	+19.23	4-4
2013-11-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 19-22	1491.00	1312.69	64.94%	34.66%	-25.23	4-5
2013-11-17	San Diego Chargers	W 20-16	1465.77	1478.60	57.88%	41.70%	+18.74	5-5
2013-11-24	Carolina Panthers	L 16-20	1484.51	1663.51	34.57%	65.03%	-15.54	5-6
2013-12-01	@ New York Jets	W 23-3	1468.97	1357.30	55.81%	43.76%	+43.97	6-6
2013-12-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-28	1512.94	1519.80	38.98%	60.61%	+33.31	7-6
2013-12-15	New England Patriots	W 24-20	1546.25	1663.20	43.02%	56.56%	+25.39	8-6
2013-12-22	@ Buffalo Bills	L 0-19	1571.64	1382.13	66.39%	33.22%	-64.91	8-7
2013-12-29	New York Jets	L 7-20	1506.73	1363.95	77.04%	22.64%	-62.28	8-8
2013-09-08	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-34	1527.68	1451.67	50.71%	48.86%	-36.01	0-1
2013-09-15	@ Chicago Bears	L 30-31	1491.67	1539.15	33.59%	66.02%	-7.55	0-2
2013-09-22	Cleveland Browns	L 27-31	1484.12	1391.70	71.55%	28.09%	-32.09	0-3
2013-09-29	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-27	1452.03	1400.95	57.08%	42.49%	+25.26	1-3
2013-10-13	Carolina Panthers	L 10-35	1477.29	1488.21	58.15%	41.43%	-65.25	1-4
2013-10-21	@ New York Giants	L 7-23	1412.04	1322.85	52.60%	46.97%	-47.24	1-5
2013-10-27	Green Bay Packers	L 31-44	1364.80	1620.89	25.34%	74.32%	-20.53	1-6
2013-11-03	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 23-27	1344.27	1558.05	16.30%	83.45%	-7.32	1-7
2013-11-07	Washington Redskins	W 34-27	1336.95	1466.05	41.31%	58.27%	+34.59	2-7
2013-11-17	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-41	1371.54	1739.14	7.45%	92.41%	-7.65	2-8
2013-11-24	@ Green Bay Packers	T 26-26	1363.89	1486.11	24.77%	74.89%	+2.81	2-8
2013-12-01	Chicago Bears	W 23-20	1366.70	1503.04	40.31%	59.27%	+23.04	3-8
2013-12-08	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 26-29	1389.74	1558.52	20.13%	79.57%	-7.84	3-9
2013-12-15	Philadelphia Eagles	W 48-30	1381.90	1590.52	30.83%	68.79%	+65.46	4-9
2013-12-22	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 14-42	1447.36	1605.54	21.13%	78.57%	-25.12	4-10
2013-12-29	Detroit Lions	W 14-13	1422.24	1463.82	53.81%	45.76%	+10.29	5-10
2013-09-08	@ Buffalo Bills	W 23-21	1595.53	1457.48	59.51%	40.07%	+12.74	1-0
2013-09-12	New York Jets	W 13-10	1608.27	1442.05	79.33%	20.37%	+7.93	2-0
2013-09-22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-3	1616.20	1439.92	80.26%	19.45%	+19.54	3-0
2013-09-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-23	1635.74	1541.46	53.33%	46.24%	+27.48	4-0
2013-10-06	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 6-13	1663.22	1514.88	60.93%	38.66%	-36.18	4-1
2013-10-13	New Orleans Saints	W 30-27	1627.04	1659.60	55.09%	44.48%	+17.31	5-1
2013-10-20	@ New York Jets	L 27-30	1644.35	1388.04	74.34%	25.32%	-28.87	5-2
2013-10-27	Miami Dolphins	W 27-17	1615.48	1489.06	75.34%	24.33%	+17.29	6-2
2013-11-03	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 55-31	1632.77	1435.96	82.06%	17.67%	+19.44	7-2
2013-11-18	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-24	1652.21	1645.13	40.90%	58.68%	-18.38	7-3
2013-11-24	Denver Broncos	W 34-31	1633.83	1735.11	45.24%	54.33%	+21.12	8-3
2013-12-01	@ Houston Texans	W 34-31	1654.95	1292.33	84.20%	15.55%	+6.05	9-3
2013-12-08	Cleveland Browns	W 27-26	1661.00	1345.80	90.02%	9.81%	+2.20	10-3
2013-12-15	@ Miami Dolphins	L 20-24	1663.20	1546.25	56.56%	43.02%	-25.39	10-4
2013-12-22	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 41-7	1637.81	1582.64	47.71%	51.86%	+67.89	11-4
2013-12-29	Buffalo Bills	W 34-20	1705.70	1447.05	86.70%	13.08%	+10.99	12-4
2013-09-08	Atlanta Falcons	W 23-17	1521.15	1565.00	53.48%	46.09%	+25.36	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 16-14	1546.51	1454.72	52.98%	46.59%	+14.80	2-0
2013-09-22	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-7	1561.31	1449.21	73.79%	25.87%	+28.49	3-0
2013-09-30	Miami Dolphins	W 38-17	1589.80	1571.42	62.18%	37.41%	+38.53	4-0
2013-10-06	@ Chicago Bears	W 26-18	1628.33	1554.92	50.33%	49.23%	+31.27	5-0
2013-10-13	@ New England Patriots	L 27-30	1659.60	1627.04	44.48%	55.09%	-17.30	5-1
2013-10-27	Buffalo Bills	W 35-17	1642.30	1430.81	83.27%	16.48%	+15.69	6-1
2013-11-03	@ New York Jets	L 20-26	1657.99	1388.82	75.72%	23.95%	-41.58	6-2
2013-11-10	Dallas Cowboys	W 49-17	1616.41	1565.37	66.48%	33.13%	+42.12	7-2
2013-11-17	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-20	1658.53	1645.67	61.43%	38.16%	+14.86	8-2
2013-11-21	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 17-13	1673.39	1373.75	78.79%	20.91%	+9.39	9-2
2013-12-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-34	1682.78	1746.80	31.50%	68.11%	-36.79	9-3
2013-12-08	Carolina Panthers	W 31-13	1645.99	1691.75	53.21%	46.36%	+44.19	10-3
2013-12-15	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-27	1690.18	1497.02	66.85%	32.76%	-49.74	10-4
2013-12-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 13-17	1640.44	1654.91	37.94%	61.65%	-17.06	10-5
2013-12-29	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 42-17	1623.38	1395.47	84.54%	15.22%	+17.09	11-5
2013-09-08	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 31-36	1536.20	1487.80	46.74%	52.83%	-23.47	0-1
2013-09-15	Denver Broncos	L 23-41	1512.73	1622.23	44.07%	55.50%	-42.01	0-2
2013-09-22	@ Carolina Panthers	L 0-38	1470.72	1482.78	38.27%	61.32%	-53.02	0-3
2013-09-29	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-31	1417.70	1503.50	28.87%	70.77%	-31.78	0-4
2013-10-06	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-36	1385.92	1375.76	61.06%	38.53%	-53.07	0-5
2013-10-10	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-27	1332.85	1523.65	18.18%	81.55%	-10.00	0-6
2013-10-21	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-7	1322.85	1412.04	46.97%	52.60%	+47.24	1-6
2013-10-27	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 15-7	1370.09	1426.31	32.48%	67.14%	+42.60	2-6
2013-11-10	Oakland Raiders	W 24-20	1412.69	1336.12	69.66%	29.97%	+13.47	3-6
2013-11-17	Green Bay Packers	W 27-13	1426.16	1532.33	44.54%	55.03%	+46.22	4-6
2013-11-24	Dallas Cowboys	L 21-24	1472.38	1523.24	52.48%	47.09%	-20.41	4-7
2013-12-01	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-17	1451.97	1382.95	49.70%	49.86%	+29.63	5-7
2013-12-08	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-37	1481.60	1464.28	42.33%	57.25%	-45.61	5-8
2013-12-15	Seattle Seahawks	L 0-23	1435.99	1766.25	18.15%	81.57%	-19.56	5-9
2013-12-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1416.43	1490.77	30.24%	69.39%	+26.96	6-9
2013-12-29	Washington Redskins	W 20-6	1443.39	1297.17	77.39%	22.30%	+18.75	7-9
2013-09-08	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 18-17	1432.05	1464.72	55.08%	44.50%	+10.00	1-0
2013-09-12	@ New England Patriots	L 10-13	1442.05	1608.27	20.37%	79.33%	-7.93	1-1
2013-09-22	Buffalo Bills	W 27-20	1434.12	1455.25	56.71%	42.86%	+25.48	2-1
2013-09-29	@ Tennessee Titans	L 13-38	1459.60	1499.74	34.53%	65.07%	-38.81	2-2
2013-10-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 30-28	1420.79	1513.98	28.01%	71.64%	+22.72	3-2
2013-10-13	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 6-19	1443.51	1375.69	68.59%	31.03%	-55.47	3-3
2013-10-20	New England Patriots	W 30-27	1388.04	1644.35	25.32%	74.34%	+28.87	4-3
2013-10-27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 9-49	1416.91	1589.63	19.77%	79.94%	-28.09	4-4
2013-11-03	New Orleans Saints	W 26-20	1388.82	1657.99	23.95%	75.72%	+41.59	5-4
2013-11-17	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-37	1430.41	1362.33	49.57%	50.00%	-53.39	5-5
2013-11-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 3-19	1377.02	1526.74	21.95%	77.74%	-19.72	5-6
2013-12-01	Miami Dolphins	L 3-23	1357.30	1468.97	43.76%	55.81%	-43.97	5-7
2013-12-08	Oakland Raiders	W 37-27	1313.33	1324.29	58.14%	41.44%	+29.44	6-7
2013-12-15	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-30	1342.77	1647.57	10.35%	89.47%	-7.34	6-8
2013-12-22	Cleveland Browns	W 24-13	1335.43	1323.35	61.32%	38.27%	+28.52	7-8
2013-12-29	@ Miami Dolphins	W 20-7	1363.95	1506.73	22.64%	77.04%	+62.28	8-8
2013-09-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-21	1419.17	1495.37	30.01%	69.61%	-13.50	0-1
2013-09-15	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 19-9	1405.67	1325.10	70.14%	29.49%	+20.96	1-1
2013-09-23	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-37	1426.63	1664.23	14.52%	85.25%	-13.03	1-2
2013-09-29	Washington Redskins	L 14-24	1413.60	1418.57	58.97%	40.61%	-41.86	1-3
2013-10-06	San Diego Chargers	W 27-17	1371.74	1503.31	40.97%	58.61%	+41.60	2-3
2013-10-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 7-24	1413.34	1575.76	20.73%	78.97%	-19.20	2-4
2013-10-27	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 21-18	1394.14	1454.83	51.06%	48.51%	+18.87	3-4
2013-11-03	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-49	1413.01	1383.72	63.64%	35.96%	-76.89	3-5
2013-11-10	@ New York Giants	L 20-24	1336.12	1412.69	29.97%	69.66%	-13.48	3-6
2013-11-17	@ Houston Texans	W 28-23	1322.64	1369.99	33.60%	66.00%	+33.11	4-6
2013-11-24	Tennessee Titans	L 19-23	1355.75	1437.55	48.03%	51.54%	-21.57	4-7
2013-11-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-31	1334.18	1543.64	16.64%	83.10%	-9.89	4-8
2013-12-08	@ New York Jets	L 27-37	1324.29	1313.33	41.44%	58.14%	-29.44	4-9
2013-12-15	Kansas City Chiefs	L 31-56	1294.85	1599.24	20.46%	79.24%	-22.99	4-10
2013-12-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-26	1271.86	1560.51	11.24%	88.56%	-9.09	4-11
2013-12-29	Denver Broncos	L 14-34	1262.77	1709.83	10.19%	89.64%	-10.22	4-12
2013-09-09	@ Washington Redskins	W 33-27	1410.88	1524.76	25.68%	73.98%	+40.64	1-0
2013-09-15	San Diego Chargers	L 30-33	1451.52	1462.64	58.12%	41.46%	-22.59	1-1
2013-09-19	Kansas City Chiefs	L 16-26	1428.93	1464.72	54.63%	44.94%	-38.79	1-2
2013-09-29	@ Denver Broncos	L 20-52	1390.14	1677.27	11.33%	88.48%	-14.38	1-3
2013-10-06	@ New York Giants	W 36-21	1375.76	1385.92	38.53%	61.06%	+53.07	2-3
2013-10-13	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-20	1428.83	1397.21	44.35%	55.22%	+41.11	3-3
2013-10-20	Dallas Cowboys	L 3-17	1469.94	1524.58	51.93%	47.64%	-43.63	3-4
2013-10-27	New York Giants	L 7-15	1426.31	1370.09	67.14%	32.48%	-42.59	3-5
2013-11-03	@ Oakland Raiders	W 49-20	1383.72	1413.01	35.96%	63.64%	+76.89	4-5
2013-11-10	@ Green Bay Packers	W 27-13	1460.61	1596.36	23.35%	76.32%	+64.03	5-5
2013-11-17	Washington Redskins	W 24-16	1524.64	1431.45	71.64%	28.01%	+17.80	6-5
2013-12-01	Arizona Cardinals	W 24-21	1542.44	1568.17	56.06%	43.51%	+16.93	7-5
2013-12-08	Detroit Lions	W 34-20	1559.37	1538.20	62.55%	37.04%	+31.15	8-5
2013-12-15	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 30-48	1590.52	1381.90	68.79%	30.83%	-65.46	8-6
2013-12-22	Chicago Bears	W 54-11	1525.06	1546.87	56.61%	42.96%	+63.29	9-6
2013-12-29	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 24-22	1588.35	1499.17	52.60%	46.97%	+14.92	10-6
2013-09-08	Tennessee Titans	L 9-16	1504.94	1463.19	65.28%	34.33%	-38.75	0-1
2013-09-16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-20	1466.19	1515.27	33.38%	66.23%	-23.73	0-2
2013-09-22	Chicago Bears	L 23-40	1442.46	1546.70	44.82%	54.75%	-41.51	0-3
2013-09-29	Minnesota Vikings	L 27-34	1400.95	1452.03	42.49%	57.08%	-25.26	0-4
2013-10-13	@ New York Jets	W 19-6	1375.69	1443.51	31.03%	68.59%	+55.47	1-4
2013-10-20	Baltimore Ravens	W 19-16	1431.16	1579.45	38.67%	60.92%	+23.67	2-4
2013-10-27	@ Oakland Raiders	L 18-21	1454.83	1394.14	48.51%	51.06%	-18.87	2-5
2013-11-03	@ New England Patriots	L 31-55	1435.96	1632.77	17.67%	82.06%	-19.44	2-6
2013-11-10	Buffalo Bills	W 23-10	1416.52	1391.97	63.01%	36.59%	+29.65	3-6
2013-11-17	Detroit Lions	W 37-27	1446.17	1559.91	43.47%	56.10%	+39.82	4-6
2013-11-24	@ Cleveland Browns	W 27-11	1485.99	1425.24	48.51%	51.05%	+45.86	5-6
2013-11-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-22	1531.85	1546.47	37.92%	61.67%	-12.05	5-7
2013-12-08	Miami Dolphins	L 28-34	1519.80	1512.94	60.61%	38.98%	-33.32	5-8
2013-12-15	Cincinnati Bengals	W 30-20	1486.48	1650.25	36.58%	63.01%	+44.71	6-8
2013-12-22	@ Green Bay Packers	W 38-31	1531.19	1458.23	50.27%	49.30%	+29.29	7-8
2013-12-29	Cleveland Browns	W 20-7	1560.48	1294.83	87.16%	12.63%	+10.23	8-8
2013-09-09	Houston Texans	L 28-31	1482.71	1539.47	51.63%	47.94%	-20.07	0-1
2013-09-15	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 33-30	1462.64	1451.52	41.46%	58.12%	+22.59	1-1
2013-09-22	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-20	1485.23	1484.15	40.07%	59.52%	-15.60	1-2
2013-09-29	Dallas Cowboys	W 30-21	1469.63	1540.59	49.59%	49.98%	+33.68	2-2
2013-10-06	@ Oakland Raiders	L 17-27	1503.31	1371.74	58.61%	40.97%	-41.60	2-3
2013-10-14	Indianapolis Colts	W 19-9	1461.71	1616.69	37.76%	61.83%	+43.87	3-3
2013-10-20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-6	1505.58	1236.86	75.68%	24.00%	+22.88	4-3
2013-11-03	@ Washington Redskins	L 24-30	1528.46	1436.93	52.94%	46.63%	-29.11	4-4
2013-11-10	Denver Broncos	L 20-28	1499.35	1693.45	32.64%	66.97%	-20.75	4-5
2013-11-17	@ Miami Dolphins	L 16-20	1478.60	1465.77	41.70%	57.88%	-18.74	4-6
2013-11-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 41-38	1459.86	1612.11	21.70%	77.99%	+30.28	5-6
2013-12-01	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-17	1490.14	1603.60	43.51%	56.06%	-25.86	5-7
2013-12-08	New York Giants	W 37-14	1464.28	1481.60	57.25%	42.33%	+45.61	6-7
2013-12-12	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-20	1509.89	1749.57	14.37%	85.40%	+50.62	7-7
2013-12-22	Oakland Raiders	W 26-13	1560.51	1271.86	88.56%	11.24%	+9.10	8-7
2013-12-29	Kansas City Chiefs	W 27-24	1569.61	1555.28	61.63%	37.96%	+4.93	9-7
2013-09-08	Green Bay Packers	W 34-28	1587.93	1558.21	63.70%	35.90%	+19.76	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 3-29	1607.69	1623.76	37.72%	61.87%	-43.23	1-1
2013-09-22	Indianapolis Colts	L 7-27	1564.46	1483.24	70.22%	29.41%	-70.43	1-2
2013-09-26	@ St. Louis Rams	W 35-11	1494.03	1434.59	48.33%	51.24%	+56.37	2-2
2013-10-06	Houston Texans	W 34-3	1550.40	1518.36	64.00%	35.60%	+44.54	3-2
2013-10-13	Arizona Cardinals	W 32-20	1594.94	1491.49	72.82%	26.83%	+20.89	4-2
2013-10-20	@ Tennessee Titans	W 31-17	1615.83	1485.81	58.40%	41.18%	+34.63	5-2
2013-10-27	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-10	1650.46	1213.98	92.38%	7.48%	+9.48	6-2
2013-11-10	Carolina Panthers	L 9-10	1659.94	1630.86	63.61%	35.98%	-14.27	6-3
2013-11-17	@ New Orleans Saints	L 20-23	1645.67	1658.53	38.16%	61.43%	-14.85	6-4
2013-11-25	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-6	1630.82	1413.64	69.83%	29.80%	+30.69	7-4
2013-12-01	St. Louis Rams	W 23-13	1661.51	1553.62	73.32%	26.34%	+18.72	8-4
2013-12-08	Seattle Seahawks	W 19-17	1680.23	1783.59	44.94%	54.63%	+17.34	9-4
2013-12-15	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 33-14	1697.57	1436.45	74.87%	24.80%	+24.29	10-4
2013-12-23	Atlanta Falcons	W 34-24	1721.86	1389.47	90.87%	8.97%	+6.36	11-4
2013-12-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 23-20	1728.22	1651.24	50.85%	48.72%	+18.96	12-4
2013-09-08	@ Carolina Panthers	W 12-7	1599.68	1517.37	51.61%	47.95%	+24.08	1-0
2013-09-15	San Francisco 49ers	W 29-3	1623.76	1607.69	61.87%	37.72%	+43.23	2-0
2013-09-22	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 45-17	1666.99	1304.14	92.22%	7.64%	+9.07	3-0
2013-09-29	@ Houston Texans	W 23-20	1676.06	1533.73	60.10%	39.48%	+15.37	4-0
2013-10-06	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 28-34	1691.43	1586.53	54.85%	44.72%	-30.16	4-1
2013-10-13	Tennessee Titans	W 20-13	1661.27	1498.08	79.05%	20.65%	+12.27	5-1
2013-10-17	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 34-22	1673.54	1470.60	68.09%	31.53%	+24.56	6-1
2013-10-28	@ St. Louis Rams	W 14-9	1698.10	1451.27	73.29%	26.36%	+13.24	7-1
2013-11-03	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-24	1711.34	1315.17	93.49%	6.40%	+2.49	8-1
2013-11-10	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 33-10	1713.83	1440.24	76.19%	23.49%	+25.31	9-1
2013-11-17	Minnesota Vikings	W 41-20	1739.14	1371.54	92.41%	7.45%	+7.66	10-1
2013-12-02	New Orleans Saints	W 34-7	1746.80	1682.78	68.11%	31.50%	+36.79	11-1
2013-12-08	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 17-19	1783.59	1680.23	54.63%	44.94%	-17.34	11-2
2013-12-15	@ New York Giants	W 23-0	1766.25	1435.99	81.57%	18.15%	+19.55	12-2
2013-12-22	Arizona Cardinals	L 10-17	1785.80	1603.32	80.82%	18.90%	-47.93	12-3
2013-12-29	St. Louis Rams	W 27-9	1737.87	1563.44	80.10%	19.62%	+18.70	13-3
2013-09-08	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-24	1481.45	1440.87	65.12%	34.48%	+13.42	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 24-31	1494.87	1539.64	33.94%	65.67%	-20.18	1-1
2013-09-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 7-31	1474.69	1500.49	36.42%	63.17%	-40.10	1-2
2013-09-26	San Francisco 49ers	L 11-35	1434.59	1494.03	51.24%	48.33%	-56.37	1-3
2013-10-06	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-20	1378.22	1262.22	74.22%	25.44%	+21.39	2-3
2013-10-13	@ Houston Texans	W 38-13	1399.61	1473.82	30.26%	69.37%	+77.80	3-3
2013-10-20	@ Carolina Panthers	L 15-30	1477.41	1553.46	30.03%	69.60%	-26.14	3-4
2013-10-28	Seattle Seahawks	L 9-14	1451.27	1698.10	26.36%	73.29%	-13.25	3-5
2013-11-03	Tennessee Titans	L 21-28	1438.02	1451.18	57.83%	41.75%	-34.34	3-6
2013-11-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 38-8	1403.68	1617.15	16.32%	83.42%	+102.40	4-6
2013-11-24	Chicago Bears	W 42-21	1506.08	1550.58	53.39%	46.18%	+47.54	5-6
2013-12-01	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-23	1553.62	1661.51	26.34%	73.32%	-18.72	5-7
2013-12-08	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-30	1534.90	1551.24	37.69%	61.90%	-37.88	5-8
2013-12-15	New Orleans Saints	W 27-16	1497.02	1690.18	32.76%	66.85%	+49.74	6-8
2013-12-22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-13	1546.76	1412.15	76.20%	23.47%	+16.68	7-8
2013-12-29	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 9-27	1563.44	1737.87	19.62%	80.10%	-18.70	7-9
2013-09-08	@ New York Jets	L 17-18	1464.72	1432.05	44.50%	55.08%	-10.00	0-1
2013-09-15	New Orleans Saints	L 14-16	1454.72	1546.51	46.59%	52.98%	-14.80	0-2
2013-09-22	@ New England Patriots	L 3-23	1439.92	1616.20	19.45%	80.26%	-19.54	0-3
2013-09-29	Arizona Cardinals	L 10-13	1420.38	1420.73	59.62%	39.97%	-23.17	0-4
2013-10-13	Philadelphia Eagles	L 20-31	1397.21	1428.83	55.22%	44.35%	-41.12	0-5
2013-10-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 23-31	1356.09	1491.26	23.41%	76.26%	-14.88	0-6
2013-10-24	Carolina Panthers	L 13-31	1341.21	1579.60	27.31%	72.33%	-26.04	0-7
2013-11-03	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 24-27	1315.17	1711.34	6.40%	93.49%	-2.48	0-8
2013-11-11	Miami Dolphins	W 22-19	1312.69	1491.00	34.66%	64.94%	+25.23	1-8
2013-11-17	Atlanta Falcons	W 41-28	1337.92	1414.93	48.72%	50.85%	+41.17	2-8
2013-11-24	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-21	1379.09	1520.08	22.82%	76.86%	+29.85	3-8
2013-12-01	@ Carolina Panthers	L 6-27	1408.94	1679.05	12.35%	87.44%	-12.70	3-9
2013-12-08	Buffalo Bills	W 27-6	1396.24	1389.87	60.54%	39.04%	+40.21	4-9
2013-12-15	San Francisco 49ers	L 14-33	1436.45	1697.57	24.80%	74.87%	-24.30	4-10
2013-12-22	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-23	1412.15	1546.76	23.47%	76.20%	-16.68	4-11
2013-12-29	@ New Orleans Saints	L 17-42	1395.47	1623.38	15.22%	84.54%	-17.08	4-12
2013-09-08	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 16-9	1463.19	1504.94	34.33%	65.28%	+38.74	1-0
2013-09-15	@ Houston Texans	L 24-30	1501.93	1559.55	32.30%	67.31%	-17.78	1-1
2013-09-22	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1484.15	1485.23	59.52%	40.07%	+15.59	2-1
2013-09-29	New York Jets	W 38-13	1499.74	1459.60	65.07%	34.53%	+38.82	3-1
2013-10-06	Kansas City Chiefs	L 17-26	1538.56	1535.29	60.12%	39.47%	-40.48	3-2
2013-10-13	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-20	1498.08	1661.27	20.65%	79.05%	-12.27	3-3
2013-10-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 17-31	1485.81	1615.83	41.18%	58.40%	-34.63	3-4
2013-11-03	@ St. Louis Rams	W 28-21	1451.18	1438.02	41.75%	57.83%	+34.34	4-4
2013-11-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 27-29	1485.52	1204.50	88.11%	11.69%	-27.91	4-5
2013-11-14	Indianapolis Colts	L 27-30	1457.61	1514.76	51.57%	48.00%	-20.06	4-6
2013-11-24	@ Oakland Raiders	W 23-19	1437.55	1355.75	51.54%	48.03%	+21.58	5-6
2013-12-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-22	1459.13	1483.48	36.61%	62.98%	-23.28	5-7
2013-12-08	@ Denver Broncos	L 28-51	1435.85	1738.29	10.48%	89.34%	-11.27	5-8
2013-12-15	Arizona Cardinals	L 34-37	1424.58	1589.12	36.48%	63.12%	-14.20	5-9
2013-12-22	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-16	1410.38	1281.66	58.21%	41.37%	+18.59	6-9
2013-12-29	Houston Texans	W 16-10	1428.97	1235.61	81.77%	17.96%	+9.88	7-9
2013-09-09	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-33	1524.76	1410.88	73.98%	25.68%	-40.63	0-1
2013-09-15	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-38	1484.13	1538.45	32.72%	66.90%	-31.20	0-2
2013-09-22	Detroit Lions	L 20-27	1452.93	1465.92	57.86%	41.72%	-34.36	0-3
2013-09-29	@ Oakland Raiders	W 24-14	1418.57	1413.60	40.61%	58.97%	+41.85	1-3
2013-10-13	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 16-31	1460.42	1493.75	35.43%	64.17%	-30.83	1-4
2013-10-20	Chicago Bears	W 45-41	1429.59	1533.65	44.84%	54.73%	+24.57	2-4
2013-10-27	@ Denver Broncos	L 21-45	1454.16	1676.23	15.66%	84.10%	-17.23	2-5
2013-11-03	San Diego Chargers	W 30-24	1436.93	1528.46	46.63%	52.94%	+29.12	3-5
2013-11-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 27-34	1466.05	1336.95	58.27%	41.31%	-34.60	3-6
2013-11-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-24	1431.45	1524.64	28.01%	71.64%	-17.81	3-7
2013-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 6-27	1413.64	1630.82	29.80%	69.83%	-30.69	3-8
2013-12-01	New York Giants	L 17-24	1382.95	1451.97	49.86%	49.70%	-29.62	3-9
2013-12-08	Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-45	1353.33	1557.52	31.38%	68.24%	-41.73	3-10
2013-12-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 26-27	1311.60	1382.59	30.65%	68.98%	-6.89	3-11
2013-12-22	Dallas Cowboys	L 23-24	1304.71	1491.63	33.55%	66.06%	-7.54	3-12
2013-12-29	@ New York Giants	L 6-20	1297.17	1443.39	22.30%	77.39%	-18.74	3-13

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2014-01-12	San Francisco 49ers	L 10-23	1676.90	1755.88	48.65%	51.35%	-39.22	0-1
2014-01-05	San Diego Chargers	L 10-27	1654.24	1574.54	70.25%	29.75%	-64.76	0-1
2014-01-12	San Diego Chargers	W 24-17	1720.05	1639.30	70.38%	29.62%	+17.53	1-0
2014-01-19	New England Patriots	W 26-16	1737.58	1741.46	59.34%	40.66%	+28.74	2-0
2014-02-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 8-43	1766.32	1797.55	45.52%	54.48%	-60.21	2-1
2014-01-05	San Francisco 49ers	L 20-23	1462.52	1747.18	22.48%	77.52%	-8.71	0-1
2014-01-04	Kansas City Chiefs	W 45-44	1579.63	1550.36	63.85%	36.15%	+8.09	1-0
2014-01-11	@ New England Patriots	L 22-43	1587.72	1716.69	24.18%	75.82%	-24.78	1-1
2014-01-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 44-45	1550.36	1579.63	36.15%	63.85%	-8.08	0-1
2014-01-11	Indianapolis Colts	W 43-22	1716.69	1587.72	75.82%	24.18%	+24.77	1-0
2014-01-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 16-26	1741.46	1737.58	40.66%	59.34%	-28.74	1-1
2014-01-04	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-24	1640.47	1603.27	45.35%	54.65%	+17.28	1-0
2014-01-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 15-23	1657.75	1756.57	27.50%	72.50%	-17.39	1-1
2014-01-04	New Orleans Saints	L 24-26	1603.27	1640.47	54.65%	45.35%	-17.28	0-1
2014-01-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-10	1574.54	1654.24	29.75%	70.25%	+64.76	1-0
2014-01-12	@ Denver Broncos	L 17-24	1639.30	1720.05	29.62%	70.38%	-17.52	1-1
2014-01-05	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1747.18	1462.52	77.52%	22.48%	+8.70	1-0
2014-01-12	@ Carolina Panthers	W 23-10	1755.88	1676.90	51.35%	48.65%	+39.22	2-0
2014-01-19	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 17-23	1795.10	1773.96	43.07%	56.93%	-23.59	2-1
2014-01-11	New Orleans Saints	W 23-15	1756.57	1657.75	72.50%	27.50%	+17.39	1-0
2014-01-19	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-17	1773.96	1795.10	56.93%	43.07%	+23.59	2-0
2014-02-02	@ Denver Broncos	W 43-8	1797.55	1766.32	54.48%	45.52%	+60.22	3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2013-11-10	11.69%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1204.50	29	@ Tennessee Titans	1485.52	27
2	2013-12-12	14.37%	San Diego Chargers	1509.89	27	@ Denver Broncos	1749.57	20
3	2013-11-10	16.32%	St. Louis Rams	1403.68	38	@ Indianapolis Colts	1617.15	8
4	2013-12-22	18.90%	Arizona Cardinals	1603.32	17	@ Seattle Seahawks	1785.80	10
5	2013-11-24	21.70%	San Diego Chargers	1459.86	41	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1612.11	38
6	2013-12-29	22.64%	New York Jets	1363.95	20	@ Miami Dolphins	1506.73	7
7	2013-11-24	22.82%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1379.09	24	@ Detroit Lions	1520.08	21
8	2013-11-10	23.35%	Philadelphia Eagles	1460.61	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1596.36	13
9	2013-11-04	23.71%	Chicago Bears	1509.08	27	@ Green Bay Packers	1641.43	20
10	2013-11-03	23.95%	@ New York Jets	1388.82	26	New Orleans Saints	1657.99	20
11	2013-11-24	24.55%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1212.62	13	@ Houston Texans	1336.89	6
12	2013-12-01	24.77%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1257.18	32	@ Cleveland Browns	1379.39	28
13	2013-12-22	25.03%	Indianapolis Colts	1502.38	23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	1622.23	7
14	2013-10-20	25.32%	@ New York Jets	1388.04	30	New England Patriots	1644.35	27
15	2013-09-09	25.68%	Philadelphia Eagles	1410.88	33	@ Washington Redskins	1524.76	27
16	2013-10-20	26.72%	Buffalo Bills	1407.68	23	@ Miami Dolphins	1512.19	21
17	2013-10-07	28.01%	New York Jets	1420.79	30	@ Atlanta Falcons	1513.98	28
18	2013-09-22	28.09%	Cleveland Browns	1391.70	31	@ Minnesota Vikings	1484.12	27
19	2013-09-22	29.41%	Indianapolis Colts	1483.24	27	@ San Francisco 49ers	1564.46	7
20	2014-01-05 *	29.75%	San Diego Chargers	1574.54	27	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1654.24	10
21	2013-12-22	30.24%	New York Giants	1416.43	23	@ Detroit Lions	1490.77	20
22	2013-10-13	30.26%	St. Louis Rams	1399.61	38	@ Houston Texans	1473.82	13
23	2013-12-15	30.83%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1381.90	48	Philadelphia Eagles	1590.52	30
24	2013-10-13	31.03%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1375.69	19	@ New York Jets	1443.51	6
25	2013-12-15	31.51%	Green Bay Packers	1442.96	37	@ Dallas Cowboys	1506.91	36

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2013-11-10	102.40	St. Louis Rams	38	1403.68	16.32%	@ Indianapolis Colts	8	1617.15	83.42%
2	2013-10-13	77.80	St. Louis Rams	38	1399.61	30.26%	@ Houston Texans	13	1473.82	69.37%
3	2013-11-03	76.89	Philadelphia Eagles	49	1383.72	35.96%	@ Oakland Raiders	20	1413.01	63.64%
4	2013-09-22	70.43	Indianapolis Colts	27	1483.24	29.41%	@ San Francisco 49ers	7	1564.46	70.22%
5	2013-09-08	70.03	Kansas City Chiefs	28	1383.90	38.38%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	2	1395.13	61.21%
6	2013-12-22	67.89	New England Patriots	41	1637.81	47.71%	@ Baltimore Ravens	7	1582.64	51.86%
7	2013-12-22	66.95	Indianapolis Colts	23	1502.38	25.03%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	7	1622.23	74.64%
8	2013-12-15	65.46	@ Minnesota Vikings	48	1381.90	30.83%	Philadelphia Eagles	30	1590.52	68.79%
9	2013-10-13	65.25	Carolina Panthers	35	1488.21	41.43%	@ Minnesota Vikings	10	1477.29	58.15%
10	2013-12-22	64.92	@ Buffalo Bills	19	1382.13	33.22%	Miami Dolphins	0	1571.64	66.39%
11	2014-01-05 *	64.76	San Diego Chargers	27	1574.54	29.75%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	10	1654.24	70.25%
12	2013-11-10	64.03	Philadelphia Eagles	27	1460.61	23.35%	@ Green Bay Packers	13	1596.36	76.32%
13	2013-12-22	63.29	@ Philadelphia Eagles	54	1525.06	56.61%	Chicago Bears	11	1546.87	42.96%
14	2013-12-29	62.28	New York Jets	20	1363.95	22.64%	@ Miami Dolphins	7	1506.73	77.04%
15	2014-02-02 *	60.22	Seattle Seahawks	43	1797.55	54.48%	@ Denver Broncos	8	1766.32	45.52%
16	2013-09-26	56.37	San Francisco 49ers	35	1494.03	48.33%	@ St. Louis Rams	11	1434.59	51.24%
17	2013-10-13	55.47	Pittsburgh Steelers	19	1375.69	31.03%	@ New York Jets	6	1443.51	68.59%
18	2013-11-17	53.39	@ Buffalo Bills	37	1362.33	50.00%	New York Jets	14	1430.41	49.57%
19	2013-10-06	53.07	Philadelphia Eagles	36	1375.76	38.53%	@ New York Giants	21	1385.92	61.06%
20	2013-09-22	53.02	@ Carolina Panthers	38	1482.78	61.32%	New York Giants	0	1470.72	38.27%
21	2013-11-24	51.33	@ Arizona Cardinals	40	1516.84	57.16%	Indianapolis Colts	11	1534.81	42.42%
22	2013-12-12	50.63	San Diego Chargers	27	1509.89	14.37%	@ Denver Broncos	20	1749.57	85.40%
23	2013-12-15	49.74	@ St. Louis Rams	27	1497.02	32.76%	New Orleans Saints	16	1690.18	66.85%
24	2013-10-13	49.60	Detroit Lions	31	1503.01	40.52%	@ Cleveland Browns	17	1498.68	59.06%
25	2013-11-28	47.96	@ Detroit Lions	40	1490.24	60.62%	Green Bay Packers	10	1483.30	38.97%