2012 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Baltimore Ravens

2nd Super Bowl

Last Title: 2000

Runner-Up

San Francisco 49ers

6th SB App.

Last Appearance: 1994

Biggest Overachiever

Indianapolis Colts

3.77 wins above expected

11 wins · 7.23 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Detroit Lions

2.99 wins below expected

4 wins · 6.99 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	12	4	.750	-	557	331	+226	11.83	+0.17
2	Miami Dolphins	7	9	.438	5	288	317	-29	7.52	-0.52
3	Buffalo Bills	6	10	.375	6	344	435	-91	6.68	-0.68
4	New York Jets	6	10	.375	6	281	375	-94	7.33	-1.33

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Baltimore Ravens Division	10	6	.625	-	398	344	+54	9.94	+0.06
2	Cincinnati Bengals Playoffs	10	6	.625	-	391	320	+71	9.02	+0.98
3	Pittsburgh Steelers	8	8	.500	2	336	314	+22	9.32	-1.32
4	Cleveland Browns	5	11	.312	5	302	368	-66	5.79	-0.79

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Houston Texans Division	12	4	.750	-	416	331	+85	11.05	+0.95
2	Indianapolis Colts Playoffs	11	5	.688	1	357	387	-30	7.23	+3.77
3	Tennessee Titans	6	10	.375	6	330	471	-141	6.09	-0.09
4	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	14	.125	10	255	444	-189	4.56	-2.56

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Denver Broncos Division	13	3	.812	-	481	289	+192	9.98	+3.02
2	San Diego Chargers	7	9	.438	6	350	350	0	8.38	-1.38
3	Oakland Raiders	4	12	.250	9	290	443	-153	5.74	-1.74
4	Kansas City Chiefs	2	14	.125	11	211	425	-214	4.58	-2.58

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Washington Redskins Division	10	6	.625	-	436	388	+48	7.37	+2.63
2	New York Giants	9	7	.562	1	429	344	+85	10.35	-1.35
3	Dallas Cowboys	8	8	.500	2	376	400	-24	7.35	+0.65
4	Philadelphia Eagles	4	12	.250	6	280	444	-164	6.53	-2.53

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Green Bay Packers Division	11	5	.688	-	433	336	+97	10.36	+0.64
2	Minnesota Vikings Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	379	348	+31	7.24	+2.76
3	Chicago Bears	10	6	.625	1	375	277	+98	9.96	+0.04
4	Detroit Lions	4	12	.250	7	372	437	-65	6.99	-2.99

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Atlanta Falcons Division	13	3	.812	-	419	299	+120	11.46	+1.54
2	New Orleans Saints	7	9	.438	6	461	454	+7	8.29	-1.29
3	Carolina Panthers	7	9	.438	6	357	363	-6	6.58	+0.42
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7	9	.438	6	389	394	-5	7.03	-0.03

#	Team	W	L	T	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	San Francisco 49ers Division	11	4	1	.719	-	397	273	+124	10.59	+0.91
2	Seattle Seahawks Playoffs	11	5	0	.688	0.5	412	245	+167	8.96	+2.04
3	St. Louis Rams	7	8	1	.469	4	299	348	-49	5.27	+2.23
4	Arizona Cardinals	5	11	0	.312	6.5	250	357	-107	6.64	-1.64

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

Houston Texans 19

Cincinnati Bengals 13

Jan 5

Baltimore Ravens 24

Indianapolis Colts 9

Jan 6

Divisional Round

Baltimore Ravens 38

Denver Broncos 35

Jan 12

New England Patriots 41

Houston Texans 28

Jan 13

Conference Championship

Baltimore Ravens 28

New England Patriots 13

Jan 20

NFC

Wild Card Round

Green Bay Packers 24

Minnesota Vikings 10

Jan 5

Seattle Seahawks 24

Washington Redskins 14

Jan 6

Divisional Round

San Francisco 49ers 45

Green Bay Packers 31

Jan 12

Atlanta Falcons 30

Seattle Seahawks 28

Jan 13

Conference Championship

San Francisco 49ers 28

Atlanta Falcons 24

Jan 20

Super Bowl

Baltimore Ravens 34

San Francisco 49ers 31

Feb 3

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1781	12	11.83	+0.17	64.55%	4	9	11	12	13	14	16
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1740	13	9.98	+3.02	98.37%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1716	11	8.96	+2.04	91.53%	0	6	8	9	10	12	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1708	13	11.46	+1.54	89.11%	3	9	10	11	13	14	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1688	11.5	10.59	+0.91	69.59%	3	8	9	11	12	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1665	11	10.36	+0.64	73.65%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1618	12	11.05	+0.95	79.74%	3	8	10	11	12	14	16
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1608	10	7.24	+2.76	96.01%	1	4	6	7	8	10	15
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1605	10	9.94	+0.06	61.86%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1604	10	9.02	+0.98	78.59%	2	6	8	9	10	12	16
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1598	10	7.37	+2.63	95.43%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1587	9	10.35	-1.35	31.81%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1557	10	9.96	+0.04	61.39%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1551	7	8.29	-1.29	34.35%	0	5	7	8	10	11	16
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1543	7	6.58	+0.42	70.26%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1518	11	7.23	+3.77	99.06%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1513	8	9.32	-1.32	33.26%	2	6	8	9	11	12	16
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1471	8	7.35	+0.65	73.87%	0	4	6	7	9	10	14
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1457	7.5	5.27	+2.23	89.32%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1456	7	7.52	-0.52	50.19%	0	5	6	7	9	10	15
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1452	7	8.38	-1.38	32.42%	1	5	7	8	10	11	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1415	6	6.09	-0.09	60.56%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1403	7	7.03	-0.03	61.08%	0	4	6	7	8	10	14
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1393	6	6.68	-0.68	47.51%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1362	5	5.79	-0.79	45.11%	0	3	5	6	7	9	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1352	5	6.64	-1.64	26.92%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1346	4	6.99	-2.99	8.91%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1336	6	7.33	-1.33	34.13%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1290	4	5.74	-1.74	25.55%	0	3	4	6	7	9	13
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1274	4	6.53	-2.53	14.09%	0	3	5	6	8	10	14
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1201	2	4.56	-2.56	11.68%	0	2	3	4	6	7	12
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1192	2	4.58	-2.58	11.32%	0	2	3	4	6	7	12

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
New York Jets	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.4 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (2.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)
New England Patriots	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (3.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.9 exp.)
New York Jets	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-
Cleveland Browns	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	1-3 (2.9 exp.)	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.6 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.5 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	0-2 (0.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	3-1 (2.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.7 exp.)	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	-	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	0-4 (0.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	0-4 (1.2 exp.)	-	-
Tennessee Titans	3-1 (1.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.1 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	2-0 (1.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	0-2 (0.1 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.6 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	-
Kansas City Chiefs	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (0.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	-
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (1.1 exp.)	-
San Diego Chargers	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	0-4 (2.2 exp.)	-

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.7 exp.)
Washington Redskins	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	3-1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
New York Giants	-	1-3 (2.8 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-0 (1.2 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	-	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)
Detroit Lions	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	-	-	3-1 (2.7 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	2-2 (2.5 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	-	-	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (1.7 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	1-1 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	1-1 (0.3 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.2 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	-	-	4-0 (2.4 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	-	-	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	-	-	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	2-2 (2.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	-	-	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	0-4 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (1.3 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	0-1-1 (1.7 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.5 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	2-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0-1 (0.3 exp.)	1-1 (0.5 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	4-0 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	-	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	3-1 (1.9 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	-	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-4 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	0.98%	0.59%	1.37%	0.98%	0.98%	0.39%	5.27%
7–13	0.98%	1.17%	4.10%	3.71%	3.52%	1.37%	1.17%	16.02%
14–20	0.59%	4.10%	5.08%	6.45%	3.32%	1.37%	0.98%	21.88%
21–27	1.37%	3.71%	6.45%	8.98%	3.91%	1.76%	0.59%	26.76%
28–34	0.98%	3.52%	3.32%	3.91%	3.12%	2.15%	0.59%	17.58%
35–41	0.98%	1.37%	1.37%	1.76%	2.15%	—	0.59%	8.20%
42+	0.39%	1.17%	0.98%	0.59%	0.59%	0.59%	—	4.30%
Total	5.27%	16.02%	21.88%	26.76%	17.58%	8.20%	4.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.76	22.76	+0.00
SD	10.54	10.54	15.85
CV	0.46	0.46	—
Max	59	59	+58
Min	0	0	-58

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	43.75%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.62	22.31	-6.69
SD	9.75	12.21	19.02
CV	0.62	0.55	—
Max	38	58	+28
Min	0	6	-58

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.19	18.69	+7.50
SD	5.89	8.55	11.01
CV	0.22	0.46	—
Max	40	31	+34
Min	17	0	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	—	6.25%	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.88	21.50	+3.38
SD	12.09	9.99	15.89
CV	0.49	0.46	—
Max	55	43	+35
Min	9	6	-30

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	37.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	43.75%	12.50%	—	12.50%	25.00%	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	27.19	-5.69
SD	10.15	14.80	17.93
CV	0.47	0.54	—
Max	35	52	+19
Min	3	9	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	31.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.31	22.69	-0.38
SD	10.07	9.76	12.91
CV	0.45	0.43	—
Max	44	38	+24
Min	7	6	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
35–41	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	25.00%	12.50%	43.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	17.31	+6.12
SD	13.27	7.85	16.99
CV	0.57	0.45	—
Max	51	32	+38
Min	6	3	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.44	20.00	+4.44
SD	8.25	10.77	14.56
CV	0.34	0.54	—
Max	38	44	+24
Min	13	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	—	43.75%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	23.00	-4.12
SD	7.53	10.11	11.23
CV	0.40	0.44	—
Max	34	41	+23
Min	7	6	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.50	25.00	-1.50
SD	8.59	8.05	9.03
CV	0.37	0.32	—
Max	38	38	+15
Min	7	10	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	43.75%
35–41	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	30.06	18.06	+12.00
SD	6.31	8.47	12.61
CV	0.21	0.47	—
Max	38	31	+35
Min	17	3	-10

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.25	27.31	-4.06
SD	8.90	8.37	9.52
CV	0.38	0.31	—
Max	41	44	+17
Min	7	13	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	12.50%	25.00%	—	12.50%	—	—	50.00%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	—	18.75%	43.75%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.06	21.00	+6.06
SD	10.67	9.26	15.64
CV	0.39	0.44	—
Max	55	38	+48
Min	10	7	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
21–27	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.00	20.69	+5.31
SD	10.62	12.27	16.36
CV	0.41	0.59	—
Max	43	42	+30
Min	6	6	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	—	25.00%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.31	24.19	-1.88
SD	6.25	12.99	14.24
CV	0.28	0.54	—
Max	35	59	+17
Min	9	10	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	18.75%	50.00%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	15.94	27.75	-11.81
SD	8.91	7.87	10.90
CV	0.56	0.28	—
Max	37	43	+5
Min	3	17	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	25.00%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	—	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	13.19	26.56	-13.38
SD	8.22	9.60	11.12
CV	0.62	0.36	—
Max	27	40	+6
Min	0	9	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	12.50%	37.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.00	19.81	-1.81
SD	9.01	8.91	16.69
CV	0.50	0.45	—
Max	35	37	+22
Min	0	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	37.50%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	12.50%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.69	21.75	+1.94
SD	7.60	9.91	12.54
CV	0.32	0.46	—
Max	37	38	+23
Min	10	6	-19

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	34.81	20.69	+14.12
SD	11.73	9.98	14.74
CV	0.34	0.48	—
Max	59	41	+38
Min	18	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	28.81	28.38	+0.44
SD	8.03	12.25	16.05
CV	0.28	0.43	—
Max	41	52	+41
Min	13	0	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	37.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	26.81	21.50	+5.31
SD	13.93	10.13	19.58
CV	0.52	0.47	—
Max	52	34	+35
Min	0	3	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	—	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.56	23.44	-5.88
SD	12.15	11.05	17.37
CV	0.69	0.47	—
Max	48	49	+26
Min	0	6	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.12	27.69	-9.56
SD	8.27	12.69	14.25
CV	0.46	0.46	—
Max	34	55	+15
Min	6	0	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	—	18.75%	31.25%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.50	27.75	-10.25
SD	7.44	7.90	11.05
CV	0.43	0.28	—
Max	33	42	+2
Min	6	16	-35

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	56.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	37.50%	31.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.00	19.62	+1.38
SD	6.16	8.37	8.53
CV	0.29	0.43	—
Max	31	34	+17
Min	10	10	-12

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	43.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.88	21.88	+0.00
SD	10.81	8.76	14.61
CV	0.49	0.40	—
Max	38	35	+28
Min	3	7	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	25.00%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	31.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.81	17.06	+7.75
SD	11.31	11.76	18.70
CV	0.46	0.69	—
Max	45	42	+42
Min	3	0	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
Total	6.25%	43.75%	31.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.75	15.31	+10.44
SD	13.83	7.16	17.75
CV	0.54	0.47	—
Max	58	28	+58
Min	6	0	-7

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
14–20	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	25.00%	18.75%	25.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.69	21.75	-3.06
SD	7.56	10.45	13.73
CV	0.40	0.48	—
Max	31	45	+15
Min	6	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.31	24.62	-0.31
SD	11.15	9.61	15.39
CV	0.46	0.39	—
Max	42	41	+28
Min	0	10	-41

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.62	29.44	-8.81
SD	12.00	13.72	20.23
CV	0.58	0.47	—
Max	44	55	+34
Min	7	3	-48

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	18.75%	43.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.25	24.25	+3.00
SD	9.04	7.56	10.33
CV	0.33	0.31	—
Max	40	38	+25
Min	12	6	-15

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.64	+0.3
Allowed	0.53	-0.4
Differential	0.84	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Indianapolis Colts	11	7.23	+3.77
2	Denver Broncos	13	9.98	+3.02
3	Minnesota Vikings	10	7.24	+2.76
4	Washington Redskins	10	7.37	+2.63
5	St. Louis Rams	7.5	5.27	+2.23

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Detroit Lions	4	6.99	-2.99
2	Kansas City Chiefs	2	4.58	-2.58
3	Jacksonville Jaguars	2	4.56	-2.56
4	Philadelphia Eagles	4	6.53	-2.53
5	Oakland Raiders	4	5.74	-1.74

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Washington Redskins	7	Nov 18 – Dec 30	1 in 139
2	Minnesota Vikings	4	Dec 9 – Dec 30	1 in 73
3	Carolina Panthers	4	Dec 9 – Dec 30	1 in 72
4	Denver Broncos	11	Oct 15 – Dec 30	1 in 55
5	St. Louis Rams	3	Nov 25 – Dec 9	1 in 40

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Arizona Cardinals	9	Oct 4 – Dec 9	1 in 257
2	Philadelphia Eagles	8	Oct 7 – Dec 2	1 in 166
3	New Orleans Saints	4	Sep 9 – Sep 30	1 in 63
4	Detroit Lions	8	Nov 11 – Dec 30	1 in 55
5	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	5	Nov 25 – Dec 23	1 in 55

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	89.76%	8.24%	1.68%	0.33%
Miami Dolphins	3.98%	37.39%	33.16%	25.47%
New York Jets	4.02%	32.32%	33.47%	30.19%
Buffalo Bills	2.24%	22.05%	31.69%	44.02%

Team	1	2	3	4
Baltimore Ravens	44.90%	30.96%	19.97%	4.18%
Pittsburgh Steelers	28.96%	33.19%	30.01%	7.84%
Cincinnati Bengals	24.71%	30.83%	34.20%	10.26%
Cleveland Browns	1.43%	5.03%	15.82%	77.72%

Team	1	2	3	4
Houston Texans	89.12%	9.26%	1.48%	0.15%
Indianapolis Colts	7.67%	52.09%	28.83%	11.41%
Tennessee Titans	2.79%	29.61%	45.25%	22.35%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.43%	9.04%	24.44%	66.09%

Team	1	2	3	4
Denver Broncos	70.47%	25.21%	3.91%	0.41%
San Diego Chargers	25.81%	53.82%	16.32%	4.06%
Oakland Raiders	3.11%	15.27%	50.68%	30.94%
Kansas City Chiefs	0.61%	5.70%	29.09%	64.60%

Team	1	2	3	4
New York Giants	74.57%	17.32%	6.23%	1.88%
Washington Redskins	10.44%	32.45%	31.99%	25.12%
Dallas Cowboys	10.22%	31.38%	32.15%	26.25%
Philadelphia Eagles	4.76%	18.85%	29.63%	46.75%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	51.34%	33.25%	11.66%	3.76%
Chicago Bears	39.35%	39.51%	15.51%	5.62%
Minnesota Vikings	5.22%	14.55%	37.11%	43.12%
Detroit Lions	4.08%	12.69%	35.72%	47.50%

Team	1	2	3	4
Atlanta Falcons	83.36%	13.29%	2.82%	0.54%
New Orleans Saints	10.94%	46.32%	27.54%	15.21%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3.51%	23.30%	36.96%	36.23%
Carolina Panthers	2.19%	17.10%	32.68%	48.02%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Francisco 49ers	69.56%	24.70%	5.03%	0.70%
Seattle Seahawks	25.84%	51.61%	17.99%	4.56%
Arizona Cardinals	3.74%	17.66%	51.55%	27.05%
St. Louis Rams	0.85%	6.04%	25.42%	67.69%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New England Patriots	42.51%	23.38%	14.35%	8.43%	4.50%	2.79%	1.64%	1.04%	0.60%	0.38%	0.21%	0.11%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%	<0.01%
Houston Texans	23.62%	22.72%	19.17%	13.49%	7.77%	4.74%	3.28%	2.19%	1.26%	0.80%	0.49%	0.26%	0.13%	0.05%	0.03%	0.01%
Denver Broncos	9.16%	14.37%	16.57%	16.81%	12.47%	9.76%	7.17%	5.17%	3.45%	2.15%	1.36%	0.83%	0.39%	0.21%	0.10%	0.04%
Baltimore Ravens	11.39%	13.61%	13.56%	13.13%	12.33%	9.28%	7.44%	5.99%	4.75%	3.30%	2.14%	1.41%	0.86%	0.52%	0.24%	0.06%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.21%	9.25%	10.84%	11.50%	12.88%	10.70%	9.08%	8.20%	7.14%	5.38%	3.68%	2.56%	1.76%	1.13%	0.51%	0.18%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.03%	7.44%	9.33%	10.75%	11.89%	10.48%	9.49%	9.13%	8.17%	6.36%	4.70%	3.15%	2.34%	1.54%	0.84%	0.36%
San Diego Chargers	1.76%	4.18%	6.57%	9.12%	10.22%	11.63%	12.10%	10.65%	9.07%	7.00%	5.81%	4.55%	3.11%	2.03%	1.43%	0.77%
Miami Dolphins	0.63%	1.29%	2.27%	4.03%	6.95%	9.53%	10.13%	9.92%	10.27%	10.66%	9.07%	7.73%	7.08%	5.61%	3.26%	1.57%
Indianapolis Colts	0.49%	1.15%	2.28%	3.54%	5.19%	7.79%	10.01%	11.33%	10.66%	9.96%	9.58%	8.42%	7.01%	5.43%	4.38%	2.78%
New York Jets	0.74%	1.26%	2.25%	3.80%	6.25%	8.12%	8.78%	9.04%	9.86%	10.45%	9.40%	8.35%	7.84%	6.72%	4.63%	2.52%
Buffalo Bills	0.25%	0.56%	1.07%	1.96%	3.44%	5.52%	6.73%	7.72%	8.97%	10.35%	10.24%	10.27%	10.52%	10.09%	7.49%	4.84%
Tennessee Titans	0.11%	0.31%	0.61%	1.19%	2.08%	3.50%	5.13%	6.86%	8.00%	9.59%	11.34%	12.39%	11.63%	10.30%	9.38%	7.59%
Oakland Raiders	0.04%	0.21%	0.50%	0.99%	1.67%	2.49%	3.64%	4.72%	6.39%	8.18%	11.04%	12.73%	12.11%	12.03%	11.97%	11.30%
Cleveland Browns	0.05%	0.22%	0.50%	0.97%	1.64%	2.22%	2.92%	4.24%	5.73%	7.21%	8.99%	11.05%	14.50%	16.46%	13.34%	9.95%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.03%	0.07%	0.13%	0.36%	0.73%	1.29%	2.05%	2.97%	4.14%	5.91%	7.85%	10.19%	13.76%	21.20%	29.33%
Kansas City Chiefs	<0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.16%	0.37%	0.71%	1.16%	1.75%	2.72%	4.11%	6.06%	8.33%	10.49%	14.12%	21.21%	28.70%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Atlanta Falcons	32.31%	22.38%	16.19%	10.70%	6.36%	4.31%	2.82%	1.89%	1.21%	0.72%	0.46%	0.33%	0.17%	0.08%	0.05%	0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	17.62%	17.86%	16.20%	13.24%	9.86%	7.61%	5.83%	4.08%	2.66%	1.90%	1.29%	0.86%	0.47%	0.28%	0.16%	0.08%
New York Giants	14.57%	15.67%	15.98%	15.28%	10.60%	7.68%	5.76%	4.48%	3.19%	2.22%	1.64%	1.18%	0.81%	0.50%	0.31%	0.13%
Green Bay Packers	15.26%	15.29%	14.12%	12.47%	11.09%	8.73%	6.53%	4.96%	3.73%	2.58%	1.90%	1.37%	0.91%	0.60%	0.32%	0.14%
Chicago Bears	10.46%	12.00%	12.48%	12.36%	12.19%	9.95%	7.88%	6.13%	4.80%	3.61%	2.76%	2.05%	1.45%	1.00%	0.60%	0.29%
Seattle Seahawks	4.23%	6.26%	7.86%	9.32%	10.76%	11.18%	11.05%	9.51%	7.36%	5.87%	4.85%	4.12%	3.08%	2.05%	1.52%	0.98%
New Orleans Saints	2.22%	3.25%	4.50%	6.21%	8.58%	10.15%	10.59%	9.87%	8.72%	7.97%	7.07%	6.01%	5.13%	4.21%	3.44%	2.07%
Washington Redskins	0.66%	1.36%	2.38%	3.68%	4.88%	6.49%	8.00%	8.93%	9.03%	8.95%	8.99%	8.57%	8.18%	7.51%	6.79%	5.59%
Dallas Cowboys	0.56%	1.34%	2.40%	3.79%	5.20%	6.61%	7.68%	8.49%	8.96%	9.05%	8.92%	8.73%	8.15%	7.72%	7.16%	5.24%
Minnesota Vikings	0.61%	1.23%	1.98%	2.89%	4.44%	5.22%	6.02%	7.38%	8.99%	9.18%	9.23%	9.28%	9.69%	9.36%	7.99%	6.50%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.40%	0.83%	1.38%	2.28%	3.82%	5.36%	6.35%	7.36%	8.31%	9.31%	9.47%	9.36%	9.60%	9.72%	9.03%	7.41%
Detroit Lions	0.45%	0.85%	1.54%	2.39%	3.60%	4.37%	5.35%	6.64%	8.36%	9.20%	9.41%	9.93%	10.37%	10.72%	9.43%	7.40%
Arizona Cardinals	0.19%	0.51%	0.97%	1.70%	2.67%	3.73%	4.81%	6.11%	7.50%	9.14%	10.70%	11.48%	10.79%	10.03%	9.70%	9.97%
Carolina Panthers	0.23%	0.51%	0.84%	1.54%	2.65%	3.84%	4.80%	5.79%	7.09%	8.14%	8.92%	9.63%	10.78%	11.63%	12.62%	10.98%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.21%	0.53%	1.00%	1.74%	2.62%	3.61%	4.88%	6.13%	6.74%	7.67%	8.70%	9.41%	10.71%	11.63%	12.59%	11.85%
St. Louis Rams	0.02%	0.10%	0.19%	0.39%	0.70%	1.16%	1.64%	2.25%	3.35%	4.48%	5.70%	7.70%	9.72%	12.97%	18.30%	31.34%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New England Patriots	25.28%	17.22%	12.54%	10.15%	7.60%	6.43%	4.47%	4.03%	2.60%	2.33%	1.62%	1.45%	0.92%	0.82%	0.61%	0.49%	0.35%	0.29%	0.22%	0.16%	0.12%	0.10%	0.07%	0.04%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Atlanta Falcons	17.04%	15.50%	11.91%	10.90%	8.25%	7.73%	5.73%	4.86%	3.57%	3.04%	2.45%	1.85%	1.53%	1.23%	1.03%	0.74%	0.68%	0.45%	0.40%	0.24%	0.25%	0.17%	0.15%	0.11%	0.06%	0.04%	0.04%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	-
Houston Texans	13.02%	11.56%	11.40%	10.15%	9.13%	8.64%	6.70%	6.36%	4.14%	4.13%	2.79%	2.53%	1.78%	1.71%	1.30%	1.19%	0.73%	0.66%	0.45%	0.46%	0.32%	0.24%	0.19%	0.13%	0.10%	0.07%	0.03%	0.03%	0.02%	0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	8.30%	9.30%	9.19%	9.07%	8.49%	7.88%	7.04%	6.27%	5.40%	4.59%	4.18%	3.48%	3.26%	2.46%	2.24%	1.72%	1.49%	1.21%	1.02%	0.71%	0.71%	0.52%	0.42%	0.29%	0.23%	0.17%	0.14%	0.10%	0.07%	0.04%	0.02%	<0.01%
New York Giants	6.73%	7.90%	8.35%	7.93%	8.58%	7.44%	7.98%	6.59%	5.91%	4.83%	4.58%	3.48%	3.40%	2.55%	2.55%	1.92%	1.88%	1.35%	1.25%	0.90%	0.88%	0.65%	0.63%	0.45%	0.39%	0.27%	0.24%	0.15%	0.12%	0.08%	0.05%	<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	6.83%	8.17%	7.94%	8.09%	7.45%	7.22%	6.79%	6.17%	6.08%	4.97%	4.75%	3.85%	3.63%	2.99%	2.66%	2.12%	2.01%	1.55%	1.40%	1.02%	0.99%	0.75%	0.69%	0.49%	0.42%	0.29%	0.27%	0.15%	0.14%	0.09%	0.04%	0.01%
Denver Broncos	4.23%	5.13%	6.64%	7.15%	7.63%	7.95%	7.55%	7.98%	6.08%	6.56%	4.96%	5.15%	3.55%	3.89%	2.77%	2.90%	1.66%	1.93%	1.32%	1.37%	0.84%	0.72%	0.51%	0.52%	0.31%	0.23%	0.16%	0.14%	0.07%	0.06%	0.03%	0.01%
Baltimore Ravens	5.36%	5.80%	6.63%	6.61%	6.93%	6.54%	6.71%	6.33%	6.18%	5.65%	4.83%	4.66%	3.97%	3.73%	3.10%	3.05%	2.29%	2.32%	1.62%	1.83%	1.14%	1.22%	0.74%	0.81%	0.50%	0.51%	0.31%	0.27%	0.18%	0.14%	0.05%	0.02%
Chicago Bears	4.81%	5.73%	6.34%	6.30%	6.88%	6.38%	6.56%	6.06%	6.55%	5.66%	5.23%	4.50%	4.35%	3.55%	3.26%	2.64%	2.71%	2.08%	1.94%	1.46%	1.44%	1.21%	1.06%	0.77%	0.68%	0.51%	0.47%	0.33%	0.23%	0.17%	0.11%	0.03%
Pittsburgh Steelers	2.14%	3.16%	4.15%	4.83%	5.18%	5.57%	5.45%	6.01%	5.95%	6.14%	5.46%	5.37%	4.63%	4.64%	4.09%	4.04%	3.35%	3.53%	2.55%	2.85%	1.95%	1.95%	1.47%	1.39%	1.03%	0.95%	0.62%	0.59%	0.41%	0.29%	0.15%	0.08%
Cincinnati Bengals	1.60%	2.45%	3.24%	4.05%	4.36%	4.84%	5.00%	5.56%	5.56%	5.74%	5.07%	5.39%	4.73%	4.96%	4.49%	4.46%	3.81%	3.96%	3.13%	3.34%	2.50%	2.40%	1.73%	1.78%	1.35%	1.23%	0.95%	0.82%	0.60%	0.44%	0.27%	0.17%
Seattle Seahawks	1.68%	2.50%	3.07%	3.48%	4.13%	4.25%	5.00%	5.04%	5.71%	5.33%	5.90%	5.29%	5.86%	4.98%	4.81%	4.34%	4.05%	3.33%	3.26%	2.66%	2.84%	2.10%	2.14%	1.66%	1.64%	1.22%	1.10%	0.83%	0.70%	0.51%	0.40%	0.18%
San Diego Chargers	0.67%	1.11%	1.92%	2.18%	2.90%	3.40%	3.98%	4.62%	4.53%	5.21%	5.12%	5.88%	5.08%	6.15%	4.85%	5.54%	3.97%	4.83%	3.67%	4.18%	2.79%	3.07%	2.56%	2.69%	1.86%	1.83%	1.39%	1.26%	0.97%	0.80%	0.61%	0.39%
New Orleans Saints	0.77%	1.20%	1.57%	1.93%	2.41%	2.66%	3.38%	3.43%	4.65%	4.52%	5.24%	4.93%	5.59%	4.94%	5.17%	4.77%	4.93%	4.10%	4.37%	3.61%	3.82%	3.34%	3.19%	2.66%	2.62%	2.32%	2.14%	1.63%	1.59%	1.19%	0.93%	0.39%
Miami Dolphins	0.18%	0.36%	0.54%	0.74%	1.00%	1.40%	1.75%	2.21%	2.78%	3.67%	3.67%	4.94%	4.15%	5.24%	4.58%	5.35%	4.61%	5.27%	4.71%	5.60%	4.33%	4.66%	3.91%	4.44%	3.59%	3.76%	3.02%	3.15%	2.13%	2.07%	1.21%	0.95%
New York Jets	0.25%	0.36%	0.55%	0.77%	1.03%	1.32%	1.76%	2.07%	2.58%	3.04%	3.30%	4.09%	3.77%	4.47%	4.29%	4.70%	4.32%	4.92%	4.74%	5.41%	4.37%	4.91%	4.16%	4.56%	3.78%	4.25%	3.30%	3.84%	2.82%	2.81%	1.91%	1.53%
Indianapolis Colts	0.14%	0.27%	0.48%	0.70%	0.92%	1.25%	1.59%	1.90%	2.13%	2.90%	3.01%	4.09%	3.86%	5.02%	4.50%	5.84%	4.17%	5.67%	4.73%	5.44%	4.16%	4.96%	4.35%	4.84%	3.68%	3.88%	3.28%	3.36%	2.68%	2.64%	1.97%	1.61%
Washington Redskins	0.21%	0.41%	0.60%	0.79%	1.13%	1.39%	1.87%	2.04%	2.57%	2.73%	3.42%	3.38%	4.38%	3.91%	4.81%	4.26%	5.06%	4.49%	4.95%	4.25%	5.08%	4.34%	4.68%	3.96%	4.46%	3.82%	3.94%	3.27%	3.41%	2.57%	2.46%	1.36%
Dallas Cowboys	0.14%	0.37%	0.58%	0.77%	1.21%	1.32%	1.95%	2.04%	2.69%	2.77%	3.69%	3.29%	4.22%	3.63%	4.65%	4.27%	5.03%	4.38%	5.12%	4.20%	5.16%	4.39%	4.71%	4.01%	4.54%	3.75%	4.01%	3.34%	3.48%	2.67%	2.32%	1.30%
Minnesota Vikings	0.16%	0.35%	0.52%	0.72%	0.97%	1.20%	1.55%	1.68%	2.34%	2.37%	2.93%	2.80%	3.61%	3.43%	3.95%	3.83%	5.22%	4.44%	4.98%	4.24%	5.23%	4.58%	5.17%	4.25%	5.15%	4.29%	4.72%	3.70%	3.96%	3.00%	2.96%	1.72%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.10%	0.25%	0.34%	0.51%	0.70%	0.87%	1.16%	1.45%	1.98%	2.17%	2.76%	2.81%	3.56%	3.31%	3.97%	3.81%	4.89%	4.13%	5.00%	4.42%	5.34%	4.71%	5.03%	4.44%	5.26%	4.65%	5.09%	4.02%	4.52%	3.39%	3.33%	2.04%
Detroit Lions	0.11%	0.25%	0.37%	0.51%	0.70%	0.87%	1.27%	1.34%	1.90%	1.96%	2.49%	2.48%	3.08%	3.03%	3.73%	3.51%	4.83%	4.36%	5.00%	4.30%	5.31%	4.84%	5.47%	4.71%	5.39%	4.85%	5.44%	4.26%	4.68%	3.60%	3.37%	1.99%
Buffalo Bills	0.07%	0.13%	0.22%	0.31%	0.44%	0.67%	0.80%	1.10%	1.36%	1.93%	2.02%	2.92%	2.68%	3.67%	3.20%	4.07%	3.63%	4.70%	4.29%	5.46%	4.48%	5.37%	4.76%	5.58%	4.99%	5.49%	4.83%	5.51%	4.28%	4.60%	3.32%	3.13%
Arizona Cardinals	0.04%	0.11%	0.21%	0.29%	0.43%	0.57%	0.87%	0.98%	1.35%	1.44%	2.09%	1.97%	2.69%	2.61%	3.51%	3.23%	4.37%	3.97%	4.91%	4.48%	6.04%	5.20%	5.93%	5.15%	5.86%	5.03%	5.49%	4.64%	5.21%	4.13%	4.46%	2.72%
Carolina Panthers	0.06%	0.13%	0.20%	0.31%	0.38%	0.57%	0.81%	0.92%	1.38%	1.42%	2.05%	2.04%	2.64%	2.50%	3.25%	3.15%	4.12%	3.71%	4.56%	3.95%	5.18%	4.62%	5.46%	4.71%	6.02%	5.23%	6.16%	5.20%	6.20%	4.92%	5.10%	3.06%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.04%	0.13%	0.23%	0.29%	0.44%	0.66%	0.89%	1.00%	1.36%	1.36%	2.01%	1.93%	2.76%	2.53%	3.30%	3.09%	3.89%	3.57%	4.38%	3.80%	5.03%	4.52%	5.35%	4.61%	5.93%	5.27%	6.17%	5.33%	6.16%	5.15%	5.38%	3.43%
Tennessee Titans	0.02%	0.06%	0.10%	0.16%	0.24%	0.32%	0.44%	0.58%	0.85%	1.09%	1.34%	1.73%	1.88%	2.56%	2.64%	3.32%	3.06%	4.09%	4.03%	5.02%	4.16%	5.70%	5.21%	6.53%	5.17%	6.45%	5.48%	6.39%	5.37%	6.07%	4.92%	4.99%
Oakland Raiders	<0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.10%	0.17%	0.23%	0.36%	0.48%	0.61%	0.92%	1.01%	1.19%	1.38%	1.84%	2.02%	2.36%	2.43%	3.23%	3.30%	4.32%	3.88%	5.43%	4.89%	6.65%	5.26%	6.68%	5.81%	7.16%	6.39%	7.35%	6.87%	7.60%
Cleveland Browns	0.01%	0.02%	0.06%	0.12%	0.18%	0.27%	0.36%	0.53%	0.63%	0.81%	0.96%	1.16%	1.30%	1.52%	1.93%	2.23%	2.45%	2.86%	3.04%	3.82%	3.97%	4.54%	4.63%	5.60%	5.92%	7.00%	6.67%	8.50%	7.19%	8.16%	6.56%	6.96%
St. Louis Rams	<0.01%	0.01%	0.03%	0.06%	0.07%	0.11%	0.17%	0.22%	0.35%	0.39%	0.60%	0.66%	0.90%	0.90%	1.36%	1.29%	1.98%	1.82%	2.46%	2.41%	3.44%	3.21%	4.38%	4.06%	5.57%	5.32%	7.30%	6.87%	9.62%	9.26%	13.48%	11.68%
Jacksonville Jaguars	-	<0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%	0.07%	0.11%	0.16%	0.24%	0.36%	0.42%	0.64%	0.72%	0.96%	1.00%	1.44%	1.63%	2.06%	2.13%	2.82%	3.13%	3.95%	4.03%	5.17%	5.66%	7.54%	8.28%	11.92%	13.87%	21.56%
Kansas City Chiefs	<0.01%	<0.01%	<0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	0.05%	0.08%	0.12%	0.19%	0.25%	0.34%	0.42%	0.58%	0.67%	0.80%	1.00%	1.35%	1.55%	2.03%	2.12%	2.78%	3.24%	4.13%	4.19%	5.45%	5.77%	7.58%	8.50%	11.85%	13.84%	21.05%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New England Patriots	42.51%	23.81%	15.13%	8.31%	3.63%	2.63%	3.98%
Houston Texans	23.62%	23.33%	22.53%	19.64%	2.05%	2.23%	6.60%
Baltimore Ravens	11.39%	13.38%	12.08%	8.05%	16.89%	10.60%	27.62%
Denver Broncos	9.16%	14.68%	19.16%	27.47%	5.50%	5.93%	18.10%
Pittsburgh Steelers	5.21%	8.96%	8.89%	5.91%	17.59%	12.55%	40.90%
Cincinnati Bengals	4.03%	7.21%	7.74%	5.74%	15.79%	12.13%	47.37%
San Diego Chargers	1.76%	4.19%	7.05%	12.80%	8.21%	10.45%	55.53%
New York Jets	0.74%	1.03%	1.19%	1.06%	8.03%	9.49%	78.47%
Miami Dolphins	0.63%	1.02%	1.24%	1.08%	8.66%	11.06%	76.30%
Indianapolis Colts	0.49%	1.13%	2.31%	3.75%	4.84%	7.89%	79.61%
Buffalo Bills	0.25%	0.48%	0.73%	0.78%	3.83%	6.04%	87.88%
Tennessee Titans	0.11%	0.31%	0.71%	1.66%	1.75%	3.36%	92.10%
Cleveland Browns	0.05%	0.22%	0.47%	0.68%	1.67%	2.21%	94.70%
Oakland Raiders	0.04%	0.21%	0.61%	2.25%	1.09%	2.11%	93.69%
Kansas City Chiefs	<0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.50%	0.24%	0.61%	98.54%
Jacksonville Jaguars	<0.01%	0.03%	0.08%	0.32%	0.25%	0.70%	98.62%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Atlanta Falcons	32.31%	22.98%	16.88%	11.19%	5.03%	4.05%	7.56%
San Francisco 49ers	17.62%	18.23%	18.08%	15.62%	7.42%	6.36%	16.66%
Green Bay Packers	15.26%	14.89%	12.70%	8.49%	15.34%	9.80%	23.52%
New York Giants	14.57%	16.32%	18.86%	24.82%	3.44%	4.19%	17.80%
Chicago Bears	10.46%	11.38%	10.20%	7.33%	17.83%	11.51%	31.31%
Seattle Seahawks	4.23%	6.06%	7.53%	8.03%	12.08%	11.63%	50.44%
New Orleans Saints	2.22%	2.90%	3.02%	2.79%	11.13%	11.93%	66.00%
Washington Redskins	0.66%	1.41%	2.69%	5.68%	3.60%	5.96%	80.00%
Minnesota Vikings	0.61%	1.20%	1.68%	1.73%	4.73%	5.64%	84.41%
Dallas Cowboys	0.56%	1.35%	2.81%	5.50%	4.16%	5.98%	79.64%
Detroit Lions	0.45%	0.83%	1.34%	1.46%	3.81%	4.64%	87.47%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.40%	0.81%	1.05%	1.25%	3.89%	6.04%	86.56%
Carolina Panthers	0.23%	0.48%	0.66%	0.82%	2.78%	4.22%	90.80%
Philadelphia Eagles	0.21%	0.56%	1.24%	2.76%	1.85%	3.32%	90.06%
Arizona Cardinals	0.19%	0.52%	1.05%	1.99%	2.32%	3.63%	90.31%
St. Louis Rams	0.02%	0.09%	0.21%	0.53%	0.60%	1.08%	97.46%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeTieAway

+14.90%

Fortress

57.25%0.39%42.35%

Elo Value

Home Edge

26 Elo

0.039 points per Elo point

052.1680

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+2.59 points

Lean Home

-8+2.04+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.1

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

Baltimore Ravens, 9th of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

2.5%

Long Shot

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.46 · As Expected: 1.46 to 2.01 · Elevated: 2.01 to 2.74 · High Variance: 2.74 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.42 · Close: 4.42 to 5.98 · Off Target: 5.98 to 7.81 · Well Off Target: 7.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.19 · As Expected: 2.19 to 3.65 · More Than Expected: 3.65 to 5.84 · Far More Than Expected: 5.84 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.75 wins

As Expected

01.835

Average Finish Error

Expected

3.91

Pinpoint

05.2015

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

99.06%

Indianapolis Colts

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

8.92%

Detroit Lions

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 32

Several Outliers

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

3 of 12

As Expected

02.912

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.01

Coin-Flip Spread

01.003

Interquartile Edge

78%

Lopsided

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

97%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

22%

Mostly Decisive

0%18%100%

Blowouts

Expected

29%

Frequent

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.22

Predictable

00.211

Matchup Imbalance

0.34

Lopsided

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.92

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.29

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

34%

As Expected

0%33%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

30%

As Expected

0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.19 · Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.78

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.054

Within Noise

00.0930.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	90.66%	90.66%	66.10%	45.23%	27.57%
Atlanta Falcons	81.37%	81.37%	50.69%	30.05%	14.73%
Denver Broncos	69.57%	69.57%	42.55%	23.26%	13.61%
San Francisco 49ers	67.27%	67.27%	38.82%	21.14%	9.98%
Green Bay Packers	57.32%	57.32%	30.79%	15.42%	6.96%
Houston Texans	78.47%	78.47%	36.24%	13.76%	6.04%
Seattle Seahawks	39.27%	35.24%	20.63%	11.63%	6.03%
New York Giants	59.34%	59.34%	24.15%	9.43%	3.54%
Baltimore Ravens	50.23%	50.23%	21.45%	7.88%	3.37%
Cincinnati Bengals	41.40%	31.95%	12.98%	4.67%	2.08%
Chicago Bears	46.86%	41.20%	15.65%	5.62%	1.92%
Pittsburgh Steelers	44.94%	31.29%	9.66%	2.66%	0.96%
New Orleans Saints	28.87%	15.79%	5.92%	2.11%	0.74%
Washington Redskins	17.94%	10.59%	4.28%	1.73%	0.71%
Minnesota Vikings	13.78%	8.15%	3.50%	1.47%	0.60%
San Diego Chargers	38.52%	18.65%	4.61%	1.00%	0.27%
Indianapolis Colts	18.78%	8.53%	2.51%	0.72%	0.27%
Carolina Panthers	8.49%	3.72%	1.38%	0.47%	0.16%
Dallas Cowboys	18.45%	7.80%	2.05%	0.54%	0.15%
Miami Dolphins	22.05%	7.30%	1.72%	0.42%	0.12%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	12.23%	3.70%	0.75%	0.15%	0.03%
Buffalo Bills	11.39%	3.06%	0.59%	0.12%	0.03%
New York Jets	19.76%	4.83%	0.73%	0.12%	0.03%
Tennessee Titans	7.49%	2.44%	0.47%	0.10%	0.02%
Detroit Lions	11.26%	3.26%	0.53%	0.10%	0.02%
St. Louis Rams	2.43%	0.83%	0.22%	0.06%	0.02%
Arizona Cardinals	8.98%	2.37%	0.41%	0.06%	0.01%
Cleveland Browns	5.03%	1.32%	0.20%	0.04%	<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	6.05%	1.34%	0.16%	0.02%	<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles	9.17%	2.04%	0.24%	0.03%	<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.42%	0.19%	0.01%	<0.01%	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1.35%	0.17%	<0.01%	-	-

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		81.3%1.31%	51.4%5.59%	81.4%0.62%	27.0%9.03%	41.7%6.08%	64.5%2.39%	93.3%0.18%	90.0%0.24%	74.1%2.54%	24.1%3.56%	85.2%2.31%	85.3%0.94%	63.5%6.32%	70.2%5.61%	73.7%0.92%
Buffalo Bills	18.7%1.31%		23.0%0.96%	50.6%0.08%	10.1%2.30%	16.8%2.28%	31.5%0.34%	84.0%0.03%	61.9%0.02%	44.4%0.11%	9.1%1.58%	63.2%0.11%	62.2%0.12%	30.0%1.05%	36.1%0.97%	50.0%0.14%
Cincinnati Bengals	48.6%5.59%	77.0%0.96%		82.8%0.38%	27.4%8.42%	40.6%6.22%	63.0%1.82%	90.0%0.12%	88.0%0.17%	74.0%1.80%	22.4%3.66%	84.0%1.61%	83.3%0.75%	62.7%4.27%	68.5%4.84%	74.1%0.78%
Cleveland Browns	18.6%0.62%	49.4%0.08%	17.2%0.38%		7.2%1.04%	16.1%0.85%	26.3%0.14%	100.0%0.01%	77.8%<0.01%	43.2%0.18%	6.9%0.49%	58.1%0.16%	52.3%0.07%	31.3%0.43%	32.0%0.50%	39.4%0.07%
Denver Broncos	73.0%9.03%	89.9%2.30%	72.6%8.42%	92.8%1.04%		62.7%3.41%	82.6%3.20%	96.1%0.21%	96.0%0.22%	87.7%4.49%	41.8%2.79%	93.3%4.13%	94.6%1.05%	82.1%9.22%	84.6%7.37%	89.1%1.20%
Houston Texans	58.3%6.08%	83.2%2.28%	59.4%6.22%	83.9%0.85%	37.3%3.41%		66.6%3.42%	95.9%0.27%	94.5%0.18%	77.8%4.62%	30.6%1.70%	87.8%4.06%	90.6%0.71%	70.6%6.77%	77.5%4.52%	79.9%1.36%
Indianapolis Colts	35.5%2.39%	68.5%0.34%	37.0%1.82%	73.7%0.14%	17.4%3.20%	33.4%3.42%		88.2%0.02%	85.2%0.05%	58.6%0.66%	14.7%2.13%	75.3%0.65%	75.8%0.22%	48.7%2.02%	55.3%1.63%	58.8%0.11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	6.7%0.18%	16.0%0.03%	10.0%0.12%	0.0%0.01%	3.9%0.21%	4.1%0.27%	11.8%0.02%		50.0%<0.01%	24.5%0.05%	2.2%0.14%	39.4%0.03%	25.0%0.02%	12.8%0.16%	24.8%0.12%	50.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	10.0%0.24%	38.1%0.02%	12.0%0.17%	22.2%<0.01%	4.0%0.22%	5.5%0.18%	14.8%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%		24.6%0.07%	0.8%0.13%	30.2%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	13.9%0.18%	12.5%0.06%	16.7%0.02%
Miami Dolphins	25.9%2.54%	55.6%0.11%	26.0%1.80%	56.8%0.18%	12.3%4.49%	22.2%4.62%	41.4%0.66%	75.5%0.05%	75.4%0.07%		10.5%2.77%	68.9%0.21%	67.2%0.24%	38.0%2.05%	44.9%1.99%	55.0%0.28%
New England Patriots	75.9%3.56%	90.9%1.58%	77.6%3.66%	93.1%0.49%	58.2%2.79%	69.4%1.70%	85.3%2.13%	97.8%0.14%	99.2%0.13%	89.5%2.77%		93.3%2.48%	94.4%0.46%	85.6%3.93%	88.2%3.06%	89.3%0.83%
New York Jets	14.8%2.31%	36.8%0.11%	16.0%1.61%	41.9%0.16%	6.7%4.13%	12.2%4.06%	24.7%0.65%	60.6%0.03%	69.8%0.06%	31.1%0.21%	6.7%2.48%		46.0%0.26%	23.5%1.70%	29.9%1.74%	36.1%0.27%
Oakland Raiders	14.7%0.94%	37.8%0.12%	16.7%0.75%	47.7%0.07%	5.4%1.05%	9.4%0.71%	24.2%0.22%	75.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	32.8%0.24%	5.6%0.46%	54.0%0.26%		22.7%0.82%	30.0%0.29%	31.1%0.11%
Pittsburgh Steelers	36.5%6.32%	70.0%1.05%	37.3%4.27%	68.7%0.43%	17.9%9.22%	29.4%6.77%	51.3%2.02%	87.2%0.16%	86.1%0.18%	62.0%2.05%	14.4%3.93%	76.5%1.70%	77.3%0.82%		56.2%5.23%	63.9%0.79%
San Diego Chargers	29.8%5.61%	63.9%0.97%	31.5%4.84%	68.0%0.50%	15.4%7.37%	22.5%4.52%	44.7%1.63%	75.2%0.12%	87.5%0.06%	55.1%1.99%	11.8%3.06%	70.1%1.74%	70.0%0.29%	43.8%5.23%		58.5%0.60%
Tennessee Titans	26.3%0.92%	50.0%0.14%	25.9%0.78%	60.6%0.07%	10.9%1.20%	20.1%1.36%	41.2%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	83.3%0.02%	45.0%0.28%	10.7%0.83%	63.9%0.27%	68.9%0.11%	36.1%0.79%	41.5%0.60%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		8.2%1.04%	26.3%0.13%	21.7%1.18%	32.0%0.33%	51.2%0.21%	14.7%1.31%	17.6%0.25%	27.2%0.53%	16.7%1.42%	57.0%0.15%	10.8%1.40%	11.5%0.50%	50.0%0.02%	42.8%0.19%	20.1%0.32%
Atlanta Falcons	91.8%1.04%		75.3%1.31%	74.3%4.81%	82.0%2.14%	91.4%1.33%	61.2%4.30%	69.7%1.69%	75.5%4.27%	63.7%3.16%	92.6%1.12%	54.4%3.39%	54.6%4.26%	82.3%0.29%	87.6%1.87%	67.8%2.18%
Carolina Panthers	73.7%0.13%	24.7%1.31%		42.4%0.92%	60.3%0.36%	73.5%0.15%	26.9%0.99%	38.3%0.20%	51.0%0.21%	38.7%1.63%	81.6%0.17%	22.1%1.34%	22.3%0.63%	61.8%0.03%	66.7%0.06%	44.4%0.35%
Chicago Bears	78.3%1.18%	25.7%4.81%	57.6%0.92%		60.5%2.31%	76.8%1.10%	34.6%7.33%	42.5%1.34%	53.9%2.99%	39.9%7.57%	80.7%1.19%	29.2%6.95%	28.6%5.18%	63.4%0.31%	75.2%1.29%	44.2%2.39%
Dallas Cowboys	68.0%0.33%	18.0%2.14%	39.7%0.36%	39.5%2.31%		67.9%0.51%	24.4%2.42%	34.0%0.63%	43.1%1.27%	31.4%3.05%	78.7%0.22%	20.1%2.40%	21.1%1.76%	58.9%0.10%	64.3%0.50%	33.8%0.46%
Detroit Lions	48.8%0.21%	8.6%1.33%	26.5%0.15%	23.2%1.10%	32.1%0.51%		12.3%1.23%	15.3%0.18%	29.4%0.58%	16.7%1.96%	55.0%0.22%	10.3%1.88%	10.3%1.10%	35.8%0.05%	42.7%0.25%	15.6%0.49%
Green Bay Packers	85.3%1.31%	38.8%4.30%	73.1%0.99%	65.4%7.33%	75.6%2.42%	87.7%1.23%		60.0%1.66%	69.6%3.26%	54.9%6.82%	91.0%1.21%	41.8%6.34%	43.8%5.42%	78.2%0.36%	83.1%1.45%	59.9%2.24%
Minnesota Vikings	82.4%0.25%	30.3%1.69%	61.7%0.20%	57.5%1.34%	66.0%0.63%	84.7%0.18%	40.0%1.66%		58.0%0.73%	45.2%2.40%	88.4%0.29%	35.3%2.22%	33.5%1.36%	58.4%0.08%	75.9%0.23%	52.9%0.53%
New Orleans Saints	72.8%0.53%	24.5%4.27%	49.0%0.21%	46.1%2.99%	56.9%1.27%	70.6%0.58%	30.4%3.26%	42.0%0.73%		39.5%5.71%	82.7%0.61%	24.9%4.47%	24.9%2.54%	60.0%0.14%	72.6%0.26%	41.6%1.30%
New York Giants	83.3%1.42%	36.3%3.16%	61.3%1.63%	60.1%7.57%	68.6%3.05%	83.3%1.96%	45.1%6.82%	54.8%2.40%	60.5%5.71%		87.8%1.46%	39.4%4.50%	38.7%6.00%	70.5%0.41%	80.2%2.34%	50.4%2.89%
Philadelphia Eagles	43.0%0.15%	7.4%1.12%	18.4%0.17%	19.3%1.19%	21.3%0.22%	45.0%0.22%	9.0%1.21%	11.6%0.29%	17.3%0.61%	12.2%1.46%		9.7%1.18%	7.2%0.87%	25.6%0.04%	35.0%0.23%	10.7%0.21%
San Francisco 49ers	89.2%1.40%	45.6%3.39%	77.9%1.34%	70.8%6.95%	79.9%2.40%	89.7%1.88%	58.2%6.34%	64.7%2.22%	75.1%4.47%	60.6%4.50%	90.3%1.18%		47.6%6.82%	80.5%0.35%	88.0%1.98%	66.7%2.27%
Seattle Seahawks	88.5%0.50%	45.4%4.26%	77.7%0.63%	71.4%5.18%	78.9%1.76%	89.7%1.10%	56.2%5.42%	66.5%1.36%	75.1%2.54%	61.3%6.00%	92.8%0.87%	52.4%6.82%		82.9%0.12%	87.8%1.01%	65.7%1.70%
St. Louis Rams	50.0%0.02%	17.7%0.29%	38.2%0.03%	36.6%0.31%	41.1%0.10%	64.2%0.05%	21.8%0.36%	41.6%0.08%	40.0%0.14%	29.5%0.41%	74.4%0.04%	19.5%0.35%	17.1%0.12%		50.0%0.05%	30.3%0.08%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	57.2%0.19%	12.4%1.87%	33.3%0.06%	24.8%1.29%	35.7%0.50%	57.3%0.25%	16.9%1.45%	24.1%0.23%	27.4%0.26%	19.8%2.34%	65.0%0.23%	12.0%1.98%	12.2%1.01%	50.0%0.05%		22.8%0.52%
Washington Redskins	79.9%0.32%	32.2%2.18%	55.6%0.35%	55.8%2.39%	66.2%0.46%	84.4%0.49%	40.1%2.24%	47.1%0.53%	58.4%1.30%	49.6%2.89%	89.3%0.21%	33.3%2.27%	34.3%1.70%	69.7%0.08%	77.2%0.52%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		78.9%0.40%	50.5%2.98%	87.3%0.07%	32.9%10.87%	48.1%12.96%	62.7%1.18%	90.9%0.02%	73.3%0.01%	71.2%0.85%	26.5%14.21%	81.0%0.57%	84.8%0.16%	63.5%3.02%	71.2%2.59%	74.3%0.35%
Buffalo Bills	21.1%0.40%		22.7%0.18%	50.0%<0.01%	13.4%0.47%	24.6%0.69%	38.9%0.04%		100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	9.2%0.95%	63.6%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	34.0%0.20%	45.4%0.10%	45.5%0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	49.5%2.98%	77.3%0.18%		77.1%0.03%	32.0%6.09%	46.9%8.51%	63.9%0.51%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%0.01%	64.9%0.35%	25.5%9.98%	80.2%0.30%	81.5%0.09%	63.7%1.40%	69.9%1.36%	82.4%0.15%
Cleveland Browns	12.7%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	22.9%0.03%		10.2%0.20%	19.1%0.37%	18.8%0.02%			22.2%0.02%	8.2%0.50%	42.9%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	32.4%0.03%	40.0%0.05%	50.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	67.1%10.87%	86.6%0.47%	68.0%6.09%	89.8%0.20%		65.8%18.58%	78.2%1.37%	97.1%0.03%	92.9%0.01%	84.9%1.05%	41.3%21.67%	90.6%0.83%	90.5%0.07%	76.5%6.22%	83.4%1.65%	85.7%0.45%
Houston Texans	51.9%12.96%	75.4%0.69%	53.1%8.51%	80.9%0.37%	34.2%18.58%		65.8%1.30%	95.0%0.02%	87.5%0.06%	70.8%1.59%	28.2%19.66%	83.0%1.09%	89.2%0.36%	64.0%8.24%	73.6%4.73%	75.8%0.32%
Indianapolis Colts	37.3%1.18%	61.1%0.04%	36.1%0.51%	81.2%0.02%	21.8%1.37%	34.2%1.30%			100.0%<0.01%	58.2%0.07%	17.3%3.02%	80.7%0.06%	94.1%0.02%	49.1%0.63%	53.6%0.30%	77.8%<0.01%
Jacksonville Jaguars	9.1%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%		2.9%0.03%	5.0%0.02%				0.0%<0.01%	3.2%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%		10.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	26.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%0.01%		7.1%0.01%	12.5%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	1.5%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins	28.8%0.85%	75.0%<0.01%	35.1%0.35%	77.8%0.02%	15.1%1.05%	29.2%1.59%	41.8%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		12.9%2.63%	60.0%0.03%	88.9%<0.01%	43.0%0.44%	49.8%0.24%	48.1%0.03%
New England Patriots	73.5%14.21%	90.8%0.95%	74.5%9.98%	91.8%0.50%	58.7%21.67%	71.8%19.66%	82.7%3.02%	96.8%0.06%	98.5%0.07%	87.1%2.63%		90.3%1.52%	93.7%0.49%	81.7%9.09%	86.2%5.93%	89.2%0.88%
New York Jets	19.0%0.57%	36.4%0.01%	19.8%0.30%	57.1%0.01%	9.4%0.83%	17.0%1.09%	19.3%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.03%	9.7%1.52%		81.8%0.01%	24.3%0.26%	34.8%0.11%	40.0%0.01%
Oakland Raiders	15.2%0.16%	33.3%<0.01%	18.5%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	9.5%0.07%	10.8%0.36%	5.9%0.02%			11.1%<0.01%	6.3%0.49%	18.2%0.01%		24.2%0.10%	35.7%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	36.5%3.02%	66.0%0.20%	36.3%1.40%	67.6%0.03%	23.5%6.22%	36.0%8.24%	50.9%0.63%	90.0%0.01%	100.0%0.01%	57.0%0.44%	18.3%9.09%	75.7%0.26%	75.8%0.10%		57.1%1.49%	65.8%0.15%
San Diego Chargers	28.8%2.59%	54.6%0.10%	30.1%1.36%	60.0%0.05%	16.6%1.65%	26.4%4.73%	46.4%0.30%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	50.2%0.24%	13.8%5.93%	65.2%0.11%	64.3%0.01%	42.9%1.49%		51.4%0.07%
Tennessee Titans	25.7%0.35%	54.5%0.01%	17.6%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	14.3%0.45%	24.2%0.32%	22.2%<0.01%			51.9%0.03%	10.8%0.88%	60.0%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	34.2%0.15%	48.6%0.07%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		12.2%0.69%	28.6%0.01%	25.6%0.25%	27.5%0.04%	26.3%0.02%	15.5%0.39%	15.9%0.04%	20.7%0.08%	20.4%0.42%	71.4%<0.01%	12.0%0.27%	11.4%0.07%		56.2%0.02%	22.6%0.05%
Atlanta Falcons	87.8%0.69%		72.3%0.89%	69.7%9.65%	79.5%2.35%	85.6%0.87%	56.3%13.63%	65.8%2.43%	71.0%4.06%	66.9%15.70%	91.8%0.60%	53.9%16.61%	51.3%9.61%	82.7%0.28%	85.3%0.87%	65.3%3.14%
Carolina Panthers	71.4%0.01%	27.7%0.89%		48.4%0.41%	62.8%0.04%	79.2%0.02%	33.8%0.60%	52.6%0.06%	41.0%0.06%	45.8%0.58%	81.8%0.01%	33.7%0.76%	25.6%0.19%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	46.2%0.07%
Chicago Bears	74.4%0.25%	30.3%9.65%	51.6%0.41%		62.8%0.79%	78.9%0.22%	34.7%6.25%	40.8%0.58%	51.3%1.72%	47.2%6.84%	85.9%0.23%	33.2%8.61%	29.6%4.00%	62.5%0.10%	74.2%0.38%	48.0%1.16%
Dallas Cowboys	72.5%0.04%	20.5%2.35%	37.2%0.04%	37.2%0.79%		77.8%0.06%	24.5%1.37%	33.1%0.14%	37.0%0.23%	35.0%0.59%	66.7%<0.01%	21.7%1.57%	24.4%0.51%	41.7%0.01%	63.0%0.05%	25.7%0.03%
Detroit Lions	73.7%0.02%	14.4%0.87%	20.8%0.02%	21.1%0.22%	22.2%0.06%		14.4%0.33%	5.3%0.02%	27.5%0.11%	19.3%0.56%	61.5%0.01%	11.6%0.68%	9.8%0.26%	40.0%<0.01%	33.3%0.02%	22.6%0.08%
Green Bay Packers	84.5%0.39%	43.7%13.63%	66.2%0.60%	65.3%6.25%	75.5%1.37%	85.6%0.33%		59.2%0.84%	66.0%2.29%	60.2%10.38%	87.0%0.34%	46.9%12.50%	44.2%5.91%	72.7%0.12%	79.2%0.57%	63.3%1.80%
Minnesota Vikings	84.1%0.04%	34.2%2.43%	47.4%0.06%	59.2%0.58%	66.9%0.14%	94.7%0.02%	40.8%0.84%		51.4%0.25%	52.9%1.39%	78.8%0.03%	36.6%1.69%	38.0%0.52%	54.5%0.01%	82.1%0.04%	60.2%0.10%
New Orleans Saints	79.3%0.08%	29.0%4.06%	59.0%0.06%	48.7%1.72%	63.0%0.23%	72.5%0.11%	34.0%2.29%	48.6%0.25%		45.8%2.45%	87.0%0.05%	33.2%2.95%	29.6%1.15%	56.5%0.02%	74.0%0.05%	45.5%0.31%
New York Giants	79.6%0.42%	33.1%15.70%	54.2%0.58%	52.8%6.84%	65.0%0.59%	80.7%0.56%	39.8%10.38%	47.1%1.39%	54.2%2.45%		78.9%0.16%	36.4%12.43%	33.8%6.14%	67.4%0.13%	74.3%0.61%	49.3%0.95%
Philadelphia Eagles	28.6%<0.01%	8.2%0.60%	18.2%0.01%	14.1%0.23%	33.3%<0.01%	38.5%0.01%	13.0%0.34%	21.2%0.03%	13.0%0.05%	21.1%0.16%		8.5%0.40%	8.2%0.16%	20.0%<0.01%	27.8%0.02%	0.0%0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	88.0%0.27%	46.1%16.61%	66.3%0.76%	66.8%8.61%	78.3%1.57%	88.4%0.68%	53.1%12.50%	63.4%1.69%	66.8%2.95%	63.6%12.43%	91.5%0.40%		48.1%5.78%	81.2%0.11%	85.2%0.76%	63.6%2.16%
Seattle Seahawks	88.6%0.07%	48.7%9.61%	74.4%0.19%	70.4%4.00%	75.6%0.51%	90.2%0.26%	55.8%5.91%	62.0%0.52%	70.4%1.15%	66.2%6.14%	91.8%0.16%	51.9%5.78%		85.0%0.02%	85.4%0.26%	65.3%0.67%
St. Louis Rams		17.3%0.28%	50.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.10%	58.3%0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.12%	45.5%0.01%	43.5%0.02%	32.6%0.13%	80.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.11%	15.0%0.02%		60.0%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	43.8%0.02%	14.7%0.87%	50.0%0.01%	25.8%0.38%	37.0%0.05%	66.7%0.02%	20.8%0.57%	17.9%0.04%	26.0%0.05%	25.7%0.61%	72.2%0.02%	14.8%0.76%	14.6%0.26%	40.0%<0.01%		30.6%0.05%
Washington Redskins	77.4%0.05%	34.7%3.14%	53.8%0.07%	52.0%1.16%	74.3%0.03%	77.4%0.08%	36.7%1.80%	39.8%0.10%	54.5%0.31%	50.7%0.95%	100.0%0.01%	36.4%2.16%	34.7%0.67%	44.4%<0.01%	69.4%0.05%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		65.8%0.07%	53.5%0.88%	90.9%0.01%	34.2%4.92%	48.0%3.63%	63.4%0.24%			68.6%0.19%	28.1%10.33%	79.0%0.10%	86.7%0.01%	58.5%0.63%	64.7%0.39%	74.5%0.05%
Buffalo Bills	34.2%0.07%		31.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	14.4%0.15%	22.0%0.11%	16.7%<0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	11.9%0.18%			33.3%0.03%	33.3%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.5%0.88%	68.6%0.03%		75.0%<0.01%	34.1%2.93%	47.4%2.14%	51.8%0.14%			67.6%0.11%	26.9%6.01%	73.3%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%	58.4%0.38%	66.7%0.27%	61.8%0.03%
Cleveland Browns	9.1%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		21.3%0.05%	16.2%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%	14.5%0.08%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	65.8%4.92%	85.6%0.15%	65.9%2.93%	78.7%0.05%		64.0%8.53%	73.6%0.63%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	79.2%0.46%	42.6%21.84%	89.8%0.17%	93.3%0.01%	75.1%2.15%	80.0%0.61%	80.0%0.11%
Houston Texans	52.0%3.63%	78.0%0.11%	52.6%2.14%	83.8%0.04%	36.0%8.53%		61.2%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	71.7%0.27%	29.3%18.79%	76.6%0.13%	78.6%0.03%	64.7%1.48%	74.8%0.80%	68.9%0.04%
Indianapolis Colts	36.6%0.24%	83.3%<0.01%	48.2%0.14%	50.0%<0.01%	26.4%0.63%	38.8%0.26%				41.7%0.02%	18.0%1.04%	55.6%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	51.0%0.10%	53.2%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs					0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%					8.3%0.01%
Miami Dolphins	31.4%0.19%	0.0%<0.01%	32.4%0.11%	50.0%<0.01%	20.8%0.46%	28.3%0.27%	58.3%0.02%				16.2%0.54%	50.0%<0.01%		37.5%0.08%	52.8%0.04%	20.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	71.9%10.33%	88.1%0.18%	73.1%6.01%	85.5%0.08%	57.4%21.84%	70.7%18.79%	82.0%1.04%	100.0%<0.01%	91.7%0.01%	83.8%0.54%		92.3%0.22%	89.3%0.07%	80.2%4.57%	86.5%2.22%	88.9%0.20%
New York Jets	21.0%0.10%		26.7%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	10.2%0.17%	23.4%0.13%	44.4%<0.01%			50.0%<0.01%	7.7%0.22%			30.2%0.04%	14.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders	13.3%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	6.7%0.01%	21.4%0.03%	33.3%<0.01%				10.7%0.07%			42.9%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	41.5%0.63%	66.7%0.03%	41.6%0.38%	0.0%<0.01%	24.9%2.15%	35.3%1.48%	49.0%0.10%			62.5%0.08%	19.8%4.57%	69.8%0.04%	57.1%<0.01%		64.9%0.17%	70.6%0.02%
San Diego Chargers	35.3%0.39%	66.7%0.01%	33.3%0.27%	83.3%<0.01%	20.0%0.61%	25.2%0.80%	46.8%0.06%			47.2%0.04%	13.5%2.22%	85.7%0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	35.1%0.17%		81.8%0.01%
Tennessee Titans	25.5%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	38.2%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.11%	31.1%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%			80.0%<0.01%	11.1%0.20%	100.0%<0.01%		29.4%0.02%	18.2%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		13.1%0.13%	33.3%<0.01%	20.5%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%		14.8%0.09%	0.0%<0.01%	18.2%0.01%	13.5%0.04%	0.0%<0.01%	8.7%0.05%	10.0%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%
Atlanta Falcons	86.9%0.13%		69.3%0.28%	70.0%5.45%	80.1%0.61%	88.8%0.14%	56.5%11.03%	62.7%1.08%	70.2%1.24%	66.9%7.71%	94.1%0.07%	53.6%14.58%	51.3%6.96%	77.3%0.07%	82.1%0.13%	63.7%1.20%
Carolina Panthers	66.7%<0.01%	30.7%0.28%		44.1%0.12%	50.0%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	31.5%0.24%	40.0%0.03%	50.0%0.02%	46.2%0.14%		29.1%0.36%	29.2%0.14%	33.3%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	39.1%0.02%
Chicago Bears	79.5%0.04%	30.0%5.45%	55.9%0.12%		65.3%0.15%	50.0%0.02%	37.8%1.57%	36.8%0.15%	52.1%0.51%	46.6%1.94%	76.2%0.02%	33.6%3.49%	32.2%1.79%	52.6%0.02%	81.1%0.05%	43.0%0.34%
Dallas Cowboys	50.0%<0.01%	19.9%0.61%	50.0%0.01%	34.7%0.15%		100.0%<0.01%	27.2%0.32%	27.3%0.03%	35.7%0.06%	34.9%0.13%		21.0%0.49%	33.3%0.23%	0.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	45.0%0.02%
Detroit Lions		11.2%0.14%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		12.0%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	30.8%0.01%	32.4%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	15.2%0.14%	13.3%0.06%			33.3%0.01%
Green Bay Packers	85.2%0.09%	43.5%11.03%	68.5%0.24%	62.2%1.57%	72.8%0.32%	88.0%0.05%		58.8%0.34%	67.0%1.04%	59.9%4.09%	87.5%0.04%	47.4%7.49%	45.3%3.59%	82.1%0.03%	80.9%0.14%	60.0%0.73%
Minnesota Vikings	100.0%<0.01%	37.3%1.08%	60.0%0.03%	63.2%0.15%	72.7%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	41.2%0.34%		60.3%0.15%	54.4%0.43%	60.0%<0.01%	33.5%0.78%	33.9%0.41%	75.0%<0.01%	91.7%0.01%	54.0%0.06%
New Orleans Saints	81.8%0.01%	29.8%1.24%	50.0%0.02%	47.9%0.51%	64.3%0.06%	69.2%0.01%	33.0%1.04%	39.7%0.15%		44.5%0.70%	100.0%<0.01%	32.8%1.34%	30.1%0.71%	83.3%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%	45.5%0.11%
New York Giants	86.5%0.04%	33.1%7.71%	53.8%0.14%	53.4%1.94%	65.1%0.13%	67.6%0.07%	40.1%4.09%	45.6%0.43%	55.5%0.70%		92.9%0.01%	37.8%5.63%	35.6%2.86%	58.1%0.03%	75.9%0.08%	46.6%0.28%
Philadelphia Eagles	100.0%<0.01%	5.9%0.07%		23.8%0.02%		0.0%<0.01%	12.5%0.04%	40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	7.1%0.01%		10.0%0.05%	6.2%0.03%			100.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers	91.3%0.05%	46.4%14.58%	70.9%0.36%	66.4%3.49%	79.0%0.49%	84.8%0.14%	52.6%7.49%	66.5%0.78%	67.2%1.34%	62.2%5.63%	90.0%0.05%		47.4%3.22%	69.7%0.03%	80.8%0.20%	65.8%0.97%
Seattle Seahawks	90.0%0.02%	48.7%6.96%	70.8%0.14%	67.8%1.79%	66.7%0.23%	86.7%0.06%	54.7%3.59%	66.1%0.41%	69.9%0.71%	64.4%2.86%	93.8%0.03%	52.6%3.22%		100.0%0.01%	80.0%0.10%	63.6%0.50%
St. Louis Rams		22.7%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%	47.4%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%		17.9%0.03%	25.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%	41.9%0.03%		30.3%0.03%	0.0%0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.0%<0.01%	17.9%0.13%	66.7%<0.01%	18.9%0.05%	40.0%<0.01%		19.1%0.14%	8.3%0.01%	46.2%0.01%	24.1%0.08%		19.2%0.20%	20.0%0.10%	50.0%<0.01%		20.0%0.01%
Washington Redskins	86.7%0.01%	36.3%1.20%	60.9%0.02%	57.0%0.34%	55.0%0.02%	66.7%0.01%	40.0%0.73%	46.0%0.06%	54.5%0.11%	53.4%0.28%	0.0%<0.01%	34.2%0.97%	36.4%0.50%	40.0%<0.01%	80.0%0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	33.3%<0.01%	39.2%2.41%	70.6%0.03%	53.7%0.43%	50.0%0.04%	71.4%<0.01%	43.7%1.23%	50.9%0.11%	52.2%0.16%	51.1%0.76%	100.0%<0.01%	41.0%1.66%	37.1%0.89%	100.0%<0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	45.2%0.15%
Buffalo Bills		20.7%0.03%		42.9%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		29.2%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	21.4%0.01%		14.3%0.02%	16.7%0.01%			50.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	100.0%<0.01%	42.2%1.41%	36.8%0.02%	58.3%0.28%	61.9%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	46.6%0.71%	52.9%0.07%	63.0%0.10%	51.1%0.42%		40.1%1.01%	37.5%0.54%	0.0%<0.01%	75.0%0.01%	48.0%0.07%
Cleveland Browns		20.0%0.01%		100.0%<0.01%			40.0%<0.01%			33.3%<0.01%		11.8%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	80.0%0.01%	56.2%6.93%	68.4%0.12%	69.7%1.29%	79.2%0.14%	69.2%0.03%	56.8%3.55%	60.5%0.37%	70.3%0.47%	66.6%2.14%	100.0%<0.01%	57.2%4.99%	52.5%2.76%	73.7%0.02%	76.2%0.04%	62.9%0.40%
Houston Texans	100.0%<0.01%	39.4%4.16%	59.6%0.06%	56.4%0.82%	56.8%0.07%	81.8%0.01%	45.4%2.08%	46.8%0.19%	50.0%0.33%	54.2%1.31%	100.0%<0.01%	42.5%2.88%	36.2%1.60%	63.6%0.01%	90.0%0.02%	52.7%0.23%
Indianapolis Colts		35.4%0.19%	0.0%<0.01%	40.5%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%		38.4%0.11%	40.0%0.01%	54.5%0.01%	48.5%0.07%		36.8%0.17%	32.9%0.08%		100.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs												0.0%<0.01%
Miami Dolphins		26.5%0.13%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	31.4%0.07%	60.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.01%	30.8%0.04%		29.3%0.07%	13.7%0.05%			37.5%<0.01%
New England Patriots	85.7%0.03%	57.2%13.66%	72.0%0.21%	72.3%2.53%	78.7%0.23%	89.1%0.05%	62.0%7.04%	65.6%0.66%	72.7%0.95%	68.9%4.30%	83.3%0.01%	59.5%9.47%	54.7%5.22%	76.9%0.03%	86.0%0.06%	65.1%0.79%
New York Jets		26.5%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		25.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	13.3%0.01%		22.2%0.02%	20.0%0.01%			50.0%<0.01%
Oakland Raiders		0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		33.3%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%			0.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	50.0%<0.01%	31.8%0.78%	37.5%0.02%	47.7%0.15%	77.8%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	34.7%0.41%	23.7%0.04%	36.4%0.06%	45.1%0.25%	0.0%<0.01%	35.0%0.59%	36.2%0.30%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	42.9%0.05%
San Diego Chargers		24.9%0.28%	50.0%<0.01%	41.5%0.05%	42.9%<0.01%		25.8%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	27.9%0.10%	100.0%<0.01%	25.9%0.22%	25.2%0.13%		100.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.02%
Tennessee Titans		16.7%0.02%		25.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	55.6%<0.01%		16.7%0.02%	5.9%0.02%			50.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	66.7%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		20.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				14.3%0.03%			50.0%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	60.8%2.41%	79.3%0.03%	57.8%1.41%	80.0%0.01%	43.8%6.93%	60.6%4.16%	64.6%0.19%		73.5%0.13%	42.8%13.66%	73.5%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	68.2%0.78%	75.1%0.28%	83.3%0.02%
Carolina Panthers																	29.4%0.03%		63.2%0.02%		31.6%0.12%	40.4%0.06%	100.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.21%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	46.3%0.43%	57.1%<0.01%	41.7%0.28%	0.0%<0.01%	30.3%1.29%	43.6%0.82%	59.5%0.04%		50.0%0.02%	27.7%2.53%	80.0%<0.01%		52.3%0.15%	58.5%0.05%	75.0%<0.01%
Dallas Cowboys																	50.0%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%		20.8%0.14%	43.2%0.07%	66.7%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	21.3%0.23%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%
Detroit Lions																	28.6%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%		30.8%0.03%	18.2%0.01%			0.0%<0.01%	10.9%0.05%			0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	56.3%1.23%	70.8%0.02%	53.4%0.71%	60.0%<0.01%	43.2%3.55%	54.6%2.08%	61.6%0.11%		68.6%0.07%	38.0%7.04%	75.0%0.02%	66.7%<0.01%	65.3%0.41%	74.2%0.15%	100.0%<0.01%
Minnesota Vikings																	49.1%0.11%	100.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.07%		39.5%0.37%	53.2%0.19%	60.0%0.01%		40.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.66%	0.0%<0.01%		76.3%0.04%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%
New Orleans Saints																	47.8%0.16%	33.3%<0.01%	37.0%0.10%		29.7%0.47%	50.0%0.33%	45.5%0.01%		72.7%0.01%	27.3%0.95%	66.7%<0.01%		63.6%0.06%	62.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
New York Giants																	48.9%0.76%	78.6%0.01%	48.9%0.42%	66.7%<0.01%	33.4%2.14%	45.8%1.31%	51.5%0.07%		69.2%0.04%	31.1%4.30%	86.7%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	54.9%0.25%	72.1%0.10%	44.4%<0.01%
Philadelphia Eagles																	0.0%<0.01%				0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%				16.7%0.01%			100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
San Francisco 49ers																	59.0%1.66%	85.7%0.02%	59.9%1.01%	88.2%0.02%	42.8%4.99%	57.5%2.88%	63.2%0.17%	100.0%<0.01%	70.7%0.07%	40.5%9.47%	77.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	65.0%0.59%	74.1%0.22%	83.3%0.02%
Seattle Seahawks																	62.9%0.89%	83.3%0.01%	62.5%0.54%	75.0%<0.01%	47.5%2.76%	63.8%1.60%	67.1%0.08%		86.3%0.05%	45.3%5.22%	80.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	63.8%0.30%	74.8%0.13%	94.1%0.02%
St. Louis Rams																	0.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		26.3%0.02%	36.4%0.01%				23.1%0.03%			100.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	85.7%<0.01%		25.0%0.01%		23.8%0.04%	10.0%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%			14.0%0.06%			50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Washington Redskins																	54.8%0.15%	50.0%<0.01%	52.0%0.07%		37.1%0.40%	47.3%0.23%	70.0%0.01%		62.5%<0.01%	34.9%0.79%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.05%	72.7%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New England Patriots	100.00%	75.88%	41.63%	24.20%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Denver Broncos	100.00%	72.20%	39.87%	21.11%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Atlanta Falcons	100.00%	60.02%	35.29%	16.19%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
San Francisco 49ers	100.00%	56.29%	25.88%	11.42%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Seattle Seahawks	59.67%	29.29%	15.47%	8.36%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Green Bay Packers	65.00%	27.97%	13.00%	6.08%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Houston Texans	59.36%	15.37%	6.48%	2.96%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Baltimore Ravens	69.00%	18.06%	6.08%	2.69%	Won Super Bowl
Washington Redskins	40.33%	13.90%	5.52%	2.33%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings	35.00%	12.53%	4.85%	2.07%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Cincinnati Bengals	40.64%	12.30%	4.25%	1.98%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	31.00%	6.19%	1.69%	0.63%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens				69.0%100.00%
Cincinnati Bengals			40.6%100.00%
Houston Texans		59.4%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts	31.0%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Green Bay Packers		65.0%100.00%
Minnesota Vikings	35.0%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks				59.7%100.00%
Washington Redskins			40.3%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens			28.2%40.99%			23.3%28.01%
Cincinnati Bengals			30.3%40.64%
Denver Broncos	71.8%40.99%	69.7%40.64%			78.5%18.37%
Houston Texans						25.9%59.36%
Indianapolis Colts			21.5%18.37%			17.7%12.64%
New England Patriots	76.7%28.01%			74.1%59.36%	82.3%12.64%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons			64.2%35.00%		51.9%38.76%	66.4%26.24%
Green Bay Packers				43.0%65.00%
Minnesota Vikings	35.8%35.00%
San Francisco 49ers		57.0%65.00%			49.0%20.91%	64.0%14.09%
Seattle Seahawks	48.1%38.76%			51.0%20.91%
Washington Redskins	33.6%26.24%			36.0%14.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens		54.0%1.98%	32.5%4.53%	39.6%2.91%		27.6%8.63%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.0%1.98%				55.0%0.66%	30.9%9.66%
Denver Broncos	67.5%4.53%			64.8%11.48%	72.6%1.57%	51.7%54.62%
Houston Texans	60.4%2.91%		35.2%11.48%		69.1%0.98%
Indianapolis Colts		45.0%0.66%	27.4%1.57%	30.9%0.98%		22.1%2.98%
New England Patriots	72.4%8.63%	69.1%9.66%	48.3%54.62%		77.9%2.98%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons		59.0%16.11%		60.0%33.80%	50.5%6.84%	62.5%3.27%
Green Bay Packers	41.0%16.11%				49.4%8.06%	63.2%3.80%
Minnesota Vikings				40.2%6.90%	33.1%3.82%	45.3%1.80%
San Francisco 49ers	40.0%33.80%		59.8%6.90%		48.4%10.56%	62.1%5.03%
Seattle Seahawks	49.5%6.84%	50.6%8.06%	66.9%3.82%	51.6%10.56%
Washington Redskins	37.5%3.27%	36.8%3.80%	54.7%1.80%	37.9%5.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Cincinnati Bengals	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens	46.0%2.14%	44.1%0.79%	47.7%0.30%	45.7%1.58%	36.2%0.94%	45.4%0.33%
Cincinnati Bengals	46.5%1.53%	46.2%0.52%	52.8%0.21%	47.6%1.12%	41.7%0.64%	48.7%0.24%
Denver Broncos	53.1%13.98%	52.3%5.17%	57.5%1.92%	56.2%10.38%	44.6%6.20%	57.0%2.22%
Houston Texans	45.9%2.31%	44.2%0.87%	47.4%0.31%	48.0%1.65%	38.4%0.97%	54.2%0.36%
Indianapolis Colts	36.3%0.61%	36.0%0.21%	39.5%0.08%	40.6%0.44%	32.2%0.27%	40.5%0.08%
New England Patriots	59.1%14.73%	58.3%5.43%	61.5%2.02%	59.7%10.70%	50.7%6.45%	62.3%2.29%
Atlanta Falcons							54.0%2.14%	53.5%1.53%	46.9%13.98%	54.1%2.31%	63.7%0.61%	40.9%14.73%
Green Bay Packers							55.9%0.79%	53.8%0.52%	47.7%5.17%	55.8%0.87%	64.0%0.21%	41.7%5.43%
Minnesota Vikings							52.3%0.30%	47.2%0.21%	42.5%1.92%	52.6%0.31%	60.5%0.08%	38.5%2.02%
San Francisco 49ers							54.3%1.58%	52.4%1.12%	43.8%10.38%	52.0%1.65%	59.4%0.44%	40.3%10.70%
Seattle Seahawks							63.8%0.94%	58.3%0.64%	55.4%6.20%	61.6%0.97%	67.8%0.27%	49.3%6.45%
Washington Redskins							54.6%0.33%	51.3%0.24%	43.0%2.22%	45.8%0.36%	59.5%0.08%	37.7%2.29%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New England Patriots 24.20% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

57.97%

Win Prob

74.11%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

63.39%

Win Prob

48.31%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.95%

Win Prob

59.06%

Denver Broncos 21.11% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

40.79%

Win Prob

71.85%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

70.81%

Win Prob

51.69%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.17%

Win Prob

53.12%

Atlanta Falcons 16.19% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

37.44%

Win Prob

64.21%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

57.49%

Win Prob

60.03%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

40.46%

Win Prob

46.88%

San Francisco 49ers 11.42% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

65.78%

Win Prob

56.97%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

52.20%

Win Prob

39.97%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

39.78%

Win Prob

43.75%

Seattle Seahawks 8.36% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Washington Redskins

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.67%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

63.60%

Win Prob

48.06%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

35.21%

Win Prob

51.57%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

41.03%

Win Prob

55.35%

Green Bay Packers 6.08% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Minnesota Vikings

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.00%

→

Divisional Round

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.03%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

50.83%

Win Prob

41.01%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

40.61%

Win Prob

47.70%

Houston Texans 2.96% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.36%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.89%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

62.38%

Win Prob

35.21%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.86%

Win Prob

45.91%

Baltimore Ravens 2.69% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.00%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

63.91%

Win Prob

28.15%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

39.22%

Win Prob

27.62%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

36.66%

Win Prob

45.99%

Washington Redskins 2.33% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.33%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

63.51%

Win Prob

33.65%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

34.52%

Win Prob

37.86%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

41.00%

Win Prob

42.96%

Minnesota Vikings 2.07% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.00%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.79%

→

Conference Championship

vs. San Francisco 49ers

Matchup

57.14%

Win Prob

40.18%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

39.53%

Win Prob

42.51%

Cincinnati Bengals 1.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Houston Texans

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.64%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.26%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

70.01%

Win Prob

30.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.91%

Win Prob

46.53%

Indianapolis Colts 0.63% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.00%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Denver Broncos

Matchup

63.93%

Win Prob

21.55%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

38.96%

Win Prob

22.11%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.14%

Win Prob

36.30%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2012-09-09	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-16	1480.75	1503.79	53.84%	45.70%	+20.00	1-0
2012-09-16	@ New England Patriots	W 20-18	1500.75	1648.96	23.94%	75.71%	+23.38	2-0
2012-09-23	Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-6	1524.13	1578.11	49.39%	50.14%	+50.25	3-0
2012-09-30	Miami Dolphins	W 24-21	1574.38	1485.23	68.96%	30.64%	+11.62	4-0
2012-10-04	@ St. Louis Rams	L 3-17	1586.00	1405.25	67.57%	32.02%	-55.23	4-1
2012-10-14	Buffalo Bills	L 16-19	1530.77	1421.90	71.33%	28.29%	-26.98	4-2
2012-10-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-21	1503.79	1508.49	41.78%	57.77%	-24.19	4-3
2012-10-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 3-24	1479.60	1623.00	36.85%	62.71%	-36.97	4-4
2012-11-04	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-31	1442.63	1641.32	19.07%	80.63%	-15.61	4-5
2012-11-18	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 19-23	1427.02	1677.44	14.90%	84.85%	-6.52	4-6
2012-11-25	St. Louis Rams	L 17-31	1420.50	1352.93	66.25%	33.33%	-54.15	4-7
2012-12-02	@ New York Jets	L 6-7	1366.35	1414.93	35.80%	63.77%	-7.83	4-8
2012-12-09	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 0-58	1358.52	1569.26	18.02%	81.68%	-30.03	4-9
2012-12-16	Detroit Lions	W 38-10	1328.49	1434.39	42.00%	57.55%	+66.56	5-9
2012-12-23	Chicago Bears	L 13-28	1395.05	1513.19	40.29%	59.26%	-34.15	5-10
2012-12-30	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-27	1360.90	1679.85	10.57%	89.24%	-8.64	5-11
2012-09-09	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 40-24	1519.56	1465.40	50.17%	49.37%	+43.19	1-0
2012-09-17	Denver Broncos	W 27-21	1562.75	1506.79	64.74%	34.83%	+18.68	2-0
2012-09-23	@ San Diego Chargers	W 27-3	1581.43	1592.43	40.90%	58.65%	+62.80	3-0
2012-09-30	Carolina Panthers	W 30-28	1644.23	1433.06	81.72%	17.99%	+5.56	4-0
2012-10-07	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-17	1649.79	1448.25	70.13%	29.48%	+17.07	5-0
2012-10-14	Oakland Raiders	W 23-20	1666.86	1379.30	87.38%	12.40%	+4.70	6-0
2012-10-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-17	1671.56	1505.93	65.64%	33.94%	+26.78	7-0
2012-11-04	Dallas Cowboys	W 19-13	1698.34	1454.26	84.37%	15.37%	+8.23	8-0
2012-11-11	@ New Orleans Saints	L 27-31	1706.57	1532.89	66.68%	32.91%	-29.13	8-1
2012-11-18	Arizona Cardinals	W 23-19	1677.44	1427.02	84.85%	14.90%	+6.52	9-1
2012-11-25	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-23	1683.96	1546.05	61.97%	37.59%	+8.23	10-1
2012-11-29	New Orleans Saints	W 23-13	1692.19	1562.86	73.66%	25.97%	+17.97	11-1
2012-12-09	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-30	1710.16	1365.39	84.21%	15.52%	-58.11	11-2
2012-12-16	New York Giants	W 34-0	1652.05	1675.93	53.72%	45.82%	+58.46	12-2
2012-12-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 31-18	1710.51	1367.82	84.06%	15.68%	+12.36	13-2
2012-12-30	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-22	1722.87	1388.21	90.07%	9.75%	-14.64	13-3
2012-09-10	Cincinnati Bengals	W 44-13	1572.36	1496.17	67.34%	32.24%	+39.30	1-0
2012-09-16	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 23-24	1611.66	1567.45	48.74%	50.80%	-10.66	1-1
2012-09-23	New England Patriots	W 31-30	1601.00	1625.58	53.62%	45.92%	+10.04	2-1
2012-09-27	Cleveland Browns	W 23-16	1611.04	1370.00	84.14%	15.60%	+9.03	3-1
2012-10-07	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 9-6	1620.07	1374.20	75.17%	24.48%	+9.28	4-1
2012-10-14	Dallas Cowboys	W 31-29	1629.35	1448.73	78.96%	20.72%	+6.41	5-1
2012-10-21	@ Houston Texans	L 13-43	1635.76	1605.92	46.67%	52.86%	-55.93	5-2
2012-11-04	@ Cleveland Browns	W 25-15	1579.83	1386.09	69.18%	30.42%	+21.06	6-2
2012-11-11	Oakland Raiders	W 55-20	1600.89	1385.62	82.07%	17.64%	+22.83	7-2
2012-11-18	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-10	1623.72	1611.93	44.10%	55.44%	+20.99	8-2
2012-11-25	@ San Diego Chargers	W 16-13	1644.71	1452.97	68.94%	30.66%	+11.63	9-2
2012-12-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-23	1656.34	1551.32	70.87%	28.74%	-26.81	9-3
2012-12-09	@ Washington Redskins	L 28-31	1629.53	1498.88	60.98%	38.58%	-23.08	9-4
2012-12-16	Denver Broncos	L 17-34	1606.45	1683.97	46.02%	53.52%	-41.51	9-5
2012-12-23	New York Giants	W 33-14	1564.94	1617.47	49.60%	49.93%	+47.60	10-5
2012-12-30	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-23	1612.54	1595.70	44.82%	54.72%	-8.01	10-6
2012-09-09	@ New York Jets	L 28-48	1453.76	1492.74	37.08%	62.49%	-36.29	0-1
2012-09-16	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-17	1417.47	1422.21	56.44%	43.10%	+40.01	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Cleveland Browns	W 24-14	1457.48	1404.23	50.04%	49.50%	+34.24	2-1
2012-09-30	New England Patriots	L 28-52	1491.72	1615.54	39.51%	60.04%	-42.37	2-2
2012-10-07	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 3-45	1449.35	1644.70	19.37%	80.33%	-27.45	2-3
2012-10-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 19-16	1421.90	1530.77	28.29%	71.33%	+26.98	3-3
2012-10-21	Tennessee Titans	L 34-35	1448.88	1411.99	62.20%	37.36%	-13.59	3-4
2012-11-04	@ Houston Texans	L 9-21	1435.29	1661.85	16.72%	83.00%	-12.67	3-5
2012-11-11	@ New England Patriots	L 31-37	1422.62	1694.94	13.38%	86.39%	-7.17	3-6
2012-11-15	Miami Dolphins	W 19-14	1415.45	1442.80	53.22%	46.32%	+22.66	4-6
2012-11-25	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1438.11	1451.32	40.59%	58.96%	-23.50	4-7
2012-12-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-18	1414.61	1288.53	73.30%	26.33%	+23.05	5-7
2012-12-09	St. Louis Rams	L 12-15	1437.66	1438.18	57.04%	42.51%	-21.59	5-8
2012-12-16	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-50	1416.07	1599.28	31.71%	67.88%	-39.88	5-9
2012-12-23	@ Miami Dolphins	L 10-24	1376.19	1442.43	33.50%	66.08%	-27.45	5-10
2012-12-30	New York Jets	W 28-9	1348.74	1380.23	52.63%	46.91%	+44.74	6-10
2012-09-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-16	1484.80	1382.38	57.06%	42.48%	-30.55	0-1
2012-09-16	New Orleans Saints	W 35-27	1454.25	1555.71	42.62%	56.93%	+35.19	1-1
2012-09-20	New York Giants	L 7-36	1489.44	1554.07	47.86%	51.67%	-56.38	1-2
2012-09-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 28-30	1433.06	1644.23	17.99%	81.72%	-5.57	1-3
2012-10-07	Seattle Seahawks	L 12-16	1427.49	1510.30	45.26%	54.28%	-19.80	1-4
2012-10-21	Dallas Cowboys	L 14-19	1407.69	1442.32	52.18%	47.36%	-25.52	1-5
2012-10-28	@ Chicago Bears	L 22-23	1382.17	1626.55	15.35%	84.39%	-3.35	1-6
2012-11-04	@ Washington Redskins	W 21-13	1378.82	1441.44	33.97%	65.61%	+40.54	2-6
2012-11-11	Denver Broncos	L 14-36	1419.36	1605.46	31.35%	68.24%	-32.19	2-7
2012-11-18	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-27	1387.17	1525.95	37.47%	62.09%	-20.10	2-8
2012-11-26	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 30-22	1367.07	1351.38	44.66%	54.88%	+33.94	3-8
2012-12-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 21-27	1401.01	1228.21	66.56%	33.02%	-35.62	3-9
2012-12-09	Atlanta Falcons	W 30-20	1365.39	1710.16	15.52%	84.21%	+58.11	4-9
2012-12-16	@ San Diego Chargers	W 31-7	1423.50	1469.71	36.11%	63.45%	+67.92	5-9
2012-12-23	Oakland Raiders	W 17-6	1491.42	1314.57	78.60%	21.08%	+15.30	6-9
2012-12-30	@ New Orleans Saints	W 44-38	1506.72	1587.30	31.69%	67.90%	+36.33	7-9
2012-09-09	Indianapolis Colts	W 41-21	1498.62	1418.24	67.87%	31.72%	+31.06	1-0
2012-09-13	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-23	1529.68	1543.57	40.50%	59.05%	-31.96	1-1
2012-09-23	St. Louis Rams	W 23-6	1497.72	1395.60	70.53%	29.08%	+26.25	2-1
2012-10-01	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-18	1523.97	1495.08	46.54%	53.00%	+46.35	3-1
2012-10-07	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 41-3	1570.32	1381.60	68.57%	31.03%	+41.88	4-1
2012-10-22	Detroit Lions	W 13-7	1612.20	1490.02	72.86%	26.76%	+14.35	5-1
2012-10-28	Carolina Panthers	W 23-22	1626.55	1382.17	84.39%	15.35%	+3.36	6-1
2012-11-04	@ Tennessee Titans	W 51-20	1629.91	1391.84	74.32%	25.31%	+30.85	7-1
2012-11-11	Houston Texans	L 6-13	1660.76	1674.52	55.16%	44.38%	-31.91	7-2
2012-11-19	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-32	1628.85	1656.06	38.67%	60.89%	-42.32	7-3
2012-11-25	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-10	1586.53	1473.99	71.75%	27.86%	+25.88	8-3
2012-12-02	Seattle Seahawks	L 17-23	1612.41	1533.01	67.75%	31.84%	-36.25	8-4
2012-12-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-21	1576.16	1433.32	62.63%	36.93%	-36.21	8-5
2012-12-16	Green Bay Packers	L 13-21	1539.95	1637.02	43.24%	56.31%	-26.76	8-6
2012-12-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 28-13	1513.19	1395.05	59.26%	40.29%	+34.15	9-6
2012-12-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 26-24	1547.34	1355.46	68.95%	30.64%	+9.49	10-6
2012-09-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 13-44	1496.17	1572.36	32.24%	67.34%	-39.30	0-1
2012-09-16	Cleveland Browns	W 34-27	1456.87	1426.37	61.34%	38.22%	+22.14	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Washington Redskins	W 38-31	1479.01	1464.76	44.45%	55.09%	+31.86	2-1
2012-09-30	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-10	1510.87	1421.60	55.20%	44.34%	+40.01	3-1
2012-10-07	Miami Dolphins	L 13-17	1550.88	1473.61	67.48%	32.11%	-29.49	3-2
2012-10-14	@ Cleveland Browns	L 24-34	1521.39	1347.69	66.68%	32.90%	-46.06	3-3
2012-10-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 17-24	1475.33	1520.56	50.65%	48.88%	-29.31	3-4
2012-11-04	Denver Broncos	L 23-31	1446.02	1582.02	37.85%	61.71%	-23.43	3-5
2012-11-11	New York Giants	W 31-13	1422.59	1666.16	24.72%	74.92%	+69.40	4-5
2012-11-18	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 28-6	1491.99	1261.85	73.45%	26.18%	+26.89	5-5
2012-11-25	Oakland Raiders	W 34-10	1518.88	1332.94	79.46%	20.22%	+21.67	6-5
2012-12-02	@ San Diego Chargers	W 20-13	1540.55	1441.34	56.61%	42.94%	+24.86	7-5
2012-12-09	Dallas Cowboys	L 19-20	1565.41	1478.30	68.71%	30.89%	-15.01	7-6
2012-12-13	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 34-13	1550.40	1331.10	72.22%	27.40%	+27.49	8-6
2012-12-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 13-10	1577.89	1507.12	52.56%	46.98%	+17.81	9-6
2012-12-30	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-17	1595.70	1612.54	54.72%	44.82%	+8.00	10-6
2012-09-09	Philadelphia Eagles	L 16-17	1435.02	1558.80	39.51%	60.04%	-8.65	0-1
2012-09-16	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 27-34	1426.37	1456.87	38.22%	61.34%	-22.14	0-2
2012-09-23	Buffalo Bills	L 14-24	1404.23	1457.48	49.50%	50.04%	-34.23	0-3
2012-09-27	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 16-23	1370.00	1611.04	15.60%	84.14%	-9.03	0-4
2012-10-07	@ New York Giants	L 27-41	1360.97	1593.68	16.24%	83.49%	-13.28	0-5
2012-10-14	Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-24	1347.69	1521.39	32.90%	66.68%	+46.06	1-5
2012-10-21	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 13-17	1393.75	1361.91	46.96%	52.58%	-20.55	1-6
2012-10-28	San Diego Chargers	W 7-6	1373.20	1489.29	40.58%	58.97%	+12.89	2-6
2012-11-04	Baltimore Ravens	L 15-25	1386.09	1579.83	30.42%	69.18%	-21.05	2-7
2012-11-18	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 20-23	1365.04	1494.32	25.97%	73.66%	-9.85	2-8
2012-11-25	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-14	1355.19	1590.94	25.57%	74.07%	+39.62	3-8
2012-12-02	@ Oakland Raiders	W 20-17	1394.81	1311.26	54.38%	45.16%	+17.11	4-8
2012-12-09	Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-7	1411.92	1263.83	75.70%	23.95%	+25.14	5-8
2012-12-16	Washington Redskins	L 21-38	1437.06	1521.96	44.96%	54.58%	-40.56	5-9
2012-12-23	@ Denver Broncos	L 12-34	1396.50	1725.48	10.04%	89.78%	-10.28	5-10
2012-12-30	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-24	1386.22	1489.32	28.96%	70.64%	-23.73	5-11
2012-09-05	@ New York Giants	W 24-17	1485.20	1578.99	30.08%	69.52%	+40.18	1-0
2012-09-16	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-27	1525.38	1483.80	48.36%	51.18%	-47.31	1-1
2012-09-23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 16-10	1478.07	1397.67	67.87%	31.72%	+17.01	2-1
2012-10-01	Chicago Bears	L 18-34	1495.08	1523.97	53.00%	46.54%	-46.35	2-2
2012-10-14	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 29-31	1448.73	1629.35	20.72%	78.96%	-6.41	2-3
2012-10-21	@ Carolina Panthers	W 19-14	1442.32	1407.69	47.36%	52.18%	+25.51	3-3
2012-10-28	New York Giants	L 24-29	1467.83	1684.37	27.72%	71.90%	-13.57	3-4
2012-11-04	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-19	1454.26	1698.34	15.37%	84.37%	-8.23	3-5
2012-11-11	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-23	1446.03	1445.54	42.51%	57.04%	+48.29	4-5
2012-11-18	Cleveland Browns	W 23-20	1494.32	1365.04	73.66%	25.97%	+9.84	5-5
2012-11-22	Washington Redskins	L 31-38	1504.16	1446.78	64.93%	34.65%	-37.53	5-6
2012-12-02	Philadelphia Eagles	W 38-33	1466.63	1317.44	75.81%	23.84%	+11.67	6-6
2012-12-09	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 20-19	1478.30	1565.41	30.89%	68.71%	+15.01	7-6
2012-12-16	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 27-24	1493.31	1524.91	52.61%	46.93%	+17.78	8-6
2012-12-23	New Orleans Saints	L 31-34	1511.09	1568.79	48.86%	50.68%	-18.51	8-7
2012-12-30	@ Washington Redskins	L 18-28	1492.58	1575.91	31.35%	68.24%	-21.71	8-8
2012-09-09	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-19	1464.55	1557.91	43.76%	55.78%	+42.24	1-0
2012-09-17	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-27	1506.79	1562.75	34.83%	64.74%	-18.68	1-1
2012-09-23	Houston Texans	L 25-31	1488.11	1618.10	38.67%	60.89%	-20.73	1-2
2012-09-30	Oakland Raiders	W 37-6	1467.38	1423.73	63.11%	36.45%	+44.43	2-2
2012-10-07	@ New England Patriots	L 21-31	1511.81	1657.90	24.16%	75.48%	-16.72	2-3
2012-10-15	@ San Diego Chargers	W 35-24	1495.09	1534.63	37.00%	62.56%	+45.34	3-3
2012-10-28	New Orleans Saints	W 34-14	1540.43	1540.88	57.04%	42.50%	+41.59	4-3
2012-11-04	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 31-23	1582.02	1446.02	61.71%	37.85%	+23.44	5-3
2012-11-11	@ Carolina Panthers	W 36-14	1605.46	1419.36	68.24%	31.35%	+32.19	6-3
2012-11-18	San Diego Chargers	W 30-23	1637.65	1465.43	78.15%	21.52%	+12.46	7-3
2012-11-25	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 17-9	1650.11	1234.96	88.87%	10.93%	+6.75	8-3
2012-12-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-23	1656.86	1537.82	72.50%	27.12%	+16.80	9-3
2012-12-06	@ Oakland Raiders	W 26-13	1673.66	1294.15	86.69%	13.08%	+10.31	10-3
2012-12-16	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 34-17	1683.97	1606.45	53.52%	46.02%	+41.51	11-3
2012-12-23	Cleveland Browns	W 34-12	1725.48	1396.50	89.78%	10.04%	+10.28	12-3
2012-12-30	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-3	1735.76	1195.90	96.72%	3.21%	+4.14	13-3
2012-09-09	St. Louis Rams	W 27-23	1529.94	1384.00	75.47%	24.18%	+10.58	1-0
2012-09-16	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 19-27	1540.52	1615.54	32.39%	67.20%	-20.05	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Tennessee Titans	L 41-44	1520.47	1416.08	57.34%	42.21%	-21.71	1-2
2012-09-30	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-20	1498.76	1490.07	58.33%	41.22%	-33.73	1-3
2012-10-14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 26-23	1465.03	1530.91	33.55%	66.03%	+24.99	2-3
2012-10-22	@ Chicago Bears	L 7-13	1490.02	1612.20	26.76%	72.86%	-14.36	2-4
2012-10-28	Seattle Seahawks	W 28-24	1475.66	1523.91	50.22%	49.32%	+21.58	3-4
2012-11-04	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 31-14	1497.24	1318.15	67.36%	32.23%	+29.09	4-4
2012-11-11	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-34	1526.33	1435.69	55.39%	44.15%	-38.30	4-5
2012-11-18	Green Bay Packers	L 20-24	1488.03	1656.92	33.52%	66.06%	-14.67	4-6
2012-11-22	Houston Texans	L 31-34	1473.36	1709.25	25.55%	74.08%	-9.69	4-7
2012-12-02	Indianapolis Colts	L 33-35	1463.67	1474.82	55.53%	44.01%	-17.17	4-8
2012-12-09	@ Green Bay Packers	L 20-27	1446.50	1624.91	20.93%	78.75%	-12.11	4-9
2012-12-16	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 10-38	1434.39	1328.49	57.55%	42.00%	-66.57	4-10
2012-12-22	Atlanta Falcons	L 18-31	1367.82	1710.51	15.68%	84.06%	-12.36	4-11
2012-12-30	Chicago Bears	L 24-26	1355.46	1547.34	30.64%	68.95%	-9.49	4-12
2012-09-09	San Francisco 49ers	L 22-30	1578.74	1580.37	56.88%	42.67%	-35.17	0-1
2012-09-13	Chicago Bears	W 23-10	1543.57	1529.68	59.05%	40.50%	+31.96	1-1
2012-09-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 12-14	1575.53	1531.10	48.77%	50.77%	-15.08	1-2
2012-09-30	New Orleans Saints	W 28-27	1560.45	1492.28	66.32%	33.26%	+7.28	2-2
2012-10-07	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 27-30	1567.73	1378.29	68.65%	30.94%	-25.98	2-3
2012-10-14	@ Houston Texans	W 42-24	1541.75	1674.52	25.59%	74.04%	+68.60	3-3
2012-10-21	@ St. Louis Rams	W 30-20	1610.35	1446.60	65.40%	34.18%	+23.66	4-3
2012-10-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-15	1634.01	1325.46	88.65%	11.15%	+7.31	5-3
2012-11-04	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-17	1641.32	1442.63	80.63%	19.07%	+15.60	6-3
2012-11-18	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-20	1656.92	1488.03	66.06%	33.52%	+14.68	7-3
2012-11-25	@ New York Giants	L 10-38	1671.60	1596.75	53.14%	46.40%	-61.48	7-4
2012-12-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-14	1610.12	1448.11	77.13%	22.53%	+14.79	8-4
2012-12-09	Detroit Lions	W 27-20	1624.91	1446.50	78.75%	20.93%	+12.11	9-4
2012-12-16	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-13	1637.02	1539.95	56.31%	43.24%	+26.77	10-4
2012-12-23	Tennessee Titans	W 55-7	1663.79	1418.39	84.47%	15.27%	+23.13	11-4
2012-12-30	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 34-37	1686.92	1586.99	56.71%	42.84%	-21.47	11-5
2012-09-09	Miami Dolphins	W 30-10	1548.09	1504.15	63.15%	36.41%	+35.65	1-0
2012-09-16	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-7	1583.74	1427.07	64.47%	35.10%	+34.36	2-0
2012-09-23	@ Denver Broncos	W 31-25	1618.10	1488.11	60.89%	38.67%	+20.73	3-0
2012-09-30	Tennessee Titans	W 38-14	1638.83	1437.78	80.84%	18.86%	+20.22	4-0
2012-10-08	@ New York Jets	W 23-17	1659.05	1452.25	70.76%	28.85%	+15.47	5-0
2012-10-14	Green Bay Packers	L 24-42	1674.52	1541.75	74.04%	25.59%	-68.60	5-1
2012-10-21	Baltimore Ravens	W 43-13	1605.92	1635.76	52.86%	46.67%	+55.93	6-1
2012-11-04	Buffalo Bills	W 21-9	1661.85	1435.29	83.00%	16.72%	+12.67	7-1
2012-11-11	@ Chicago Bears	W 13-6	1674.52	1660.76	44.38%	55.16%	+31.90	8-1
2012-11-18	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 43-37	1706.42	1256.74	94.61%	5.28%	+2.83	9-1
2012-11-22	@ Detroit Lions	W 34-31	1709.25	1473.36	74.08%	25.55%	+9.68	10-1
2012-12-02	@ Tennessee Titans	W 24-10	1718.93	1427.11	79.75%	19.94%	+16.32	11-1
2012-12-10	@ New England Patriots	L 14-42	1735.25	1759.10	39.13%	60.43%	-45.32	11-2
2012-12-16	Indianapolis Colts	W 29-17	1689.93	1505.84	79.29%	20.39%	+15.46	12-2
2012-12-23	Minnesota Vikings	L 6-23	1705.39	1515.11	79.87%	19.82%	-71.87	12-3
2012-12-30	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 16-28	1633.52	1502.43	61.04%	38.52%	-15.41	12-4
2012-09-09	@ Chicago Bears	L 21-41	1418.24	1498.62	31.72%	67.87%	-31.05	0-1
2012-09-16	Minnesota Vikings	W 23-20	1387.19	1459.77	46.72%	52.82%	+20.00	1-1
2012-09-23	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-22	1407.19	1392.71	59.13%	40.42%	-28.90	1-2
2012-10-07	Green Bay Packers	W 30-27	1378.29	1567.73	30.94%	68.65%	+25.97	2-2
2012-10-14	@ New York Jets	L 9-35	1404.26	1436.78	37.95%	61.61%	-42.35	2-3
2012-10-21	Cleveland Browns	W 17-13	1361.91	1393.75	52.58%	46.96%	+20.55	3-3
2012-10-28	@ Tennessee Titans	W 19-13	1382.46	1425.58	36.52%	63.04%	+33.74	4-3
2012-11-04	Miami Dolphins	W 23-20	1416.20	1567.67	35.78%	63.79%	+24.14	5-3
2012-11-08	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 27-10	1440.34	1289.06	63.76%	35.81%	+32.32	6-3
2012-11-18	@ New England Patriots	L 24-59	1472.66	1702.10	16.49%	83.23%	-21.34	6-4
2012-11-25	Buffalo Bills	W 20-13	1451.32	1438.11	58.96%	40.59%	+23.50	7-4
2012-12-02	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-33	1474.82	1463.67	44.01%	55.53%	+17.17	8-4
2012-12-09	Tennessee Titans	W 27-23	1491.99	1410.79	67.97%	31.62%	+13.85	9-4
2012-12-16	@ Houston Texans	L 17-29	1505.84	1689.93	20.39%	79.29%	-15.46	9-5
2012-12-23	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 20-13	1490.38	1207.95	78.87%	20.81%	+12.05	10-5
2012-12-30	Houston Texans	W 28-16	1502.43	1633.52	38.52%	61.04%	+15.40	11-5
2012-09-09	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 23-26	1443.12	1443.72	42.35%	57.19%	-16.05	0-1
2012-09-16	Houston Texans	L 7-27	1427.07	1583.74	35.10%	64.47%	-34.36	0-2
2012-09-23	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 22-17	1392.71	1407.19	40.42%	59.13%	+28.89	1-2
2012-09-30	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-27	1421.60	1510.87	44.34%	55.20%	-40.00	1-3
2012-10-07	Chicago Bears	L 3-41	1381.60	1570.32	31.03%	68.57%	-41.88	1-4
2012-10-21	@ Oakland Raiders	L 23-26	1339.72	1374.61	37.63%	61.93%	-14.26	1-5
2012-10-28	@ Green Bay Packers	L 15-24	1325.46	1634.01	11.15%	88.65%	-7.31	1-6
2012-11-04	Detroit Lions	L 14-31	1318.15	1497.24	32.23%	67.36%	-29.09	1-7
2012-11-08	Indianapolis Colts	L 10-27	1289.06	1440.34	35.81%	63.76%	-32.32	1-8
2012-11-18	@ Houston Texans	L 37-43	1256.74	1706.42	5.28%	94.61%	-2.82	1-9
2012-11-25	Tennessee Titans	W 24-19	1253.92	1461.72	28.74%	70.87%	+34.61	2-9
2012-12-02	@ Buffalo Bills	L 18-34	1288.53	1414.61	26.33%	73.30%	-23.05	2-10
2012-12-09	New York Jets	L 10-17	1265.48	1422.77	35.02%	64.55%	-20.28	2-11
2012-12-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 3-24	1245.20	1421.21	21.16%	78.52%	-21.22	2-12
2012-12-23	New England Patriots	L 16-23	1223.98	1764.04	5.65%	94.23%	-3.26	2-13
2012-12-30	@ Tennessee Titans	L 20-38	1220.72	1395.25	21.30%	78.37%	-19.77	2-14
2012-09-09	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-40	1465.40	1519.56	49.37%	50.17%	-43.19	0-1
2012-09-16	@ Buffalo Bills	L 17-35	1422.21	1417.47	43.10%	56.44%	-40.02	0-2
2012-09-23	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-24	1382.19	1520.52	24.99%	74.65%	+28.24	1-2
2012-09-30	San Diego Chargers	L 20-37	1410.43	1529.64	40.14%	59.41%	-36.23	1-3
2012-10-07	Baltimore Ravens	L 6-9	1374.20	1620.07	24.48%	75.17%	-9.28	1-4
2012-10-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 10-38	1364.92	1365.31	42.38%	57.16%	-49.08	1-5
2012-10-28	Oakland Raiders	L 16-26	1315.84	1388.88	46.66%	52.88%	-32.28	1-6
2012-11-01	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-31	1283.56	1476.40	19.59%	80.10%	-18.18	1-7
2012-11-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-16	1265.38	1608.40	9.33%	90.49%	-3.53	1-8
2012-11-18	Cincinnati Bengals	L 6-28	1261.85	1491.99	26.18%	73.45%	-26.89	1-9
2012-11-25	Denver Broncos	L 9-17	1234.96	1650.11	10.93%	88.87%	-6.75	1-10
2012-12-02	Carolina Panthers	W 27-21	1228.21	1401.01	33.02%	66.56%	+35.62	2-10
2012-12-09	@ Cleveland Browns	L 7-30	1263.83	1411.92	23.95%	75.70%	-25.14	2-11
2012-12-16	@ Oakland Raiders	L 0-15	1238.69	1283.84	36.25%	63.31%	-30.74	2-12
2012-12-23	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-20	1207.95	1490.38	20.81%	78.87%	-12.05	2-13
2012-12-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 3-38	1195.90	1735.76	3.21%	96.72%	-4.14	2-14
2012-09-09	@ Houston Texans	L 10-30	1504.15	1548.09	36.41%	63.15%	-35.65	0-1
2012-09-16	Oakland Raiders	W 35-13	1468.50	1438.69	61.24%	38.31%	+39.34	1-1
2012-09-23	New York Jets	L 20-23	1507.84	1489.05	59.73%	39.82%	-22.61	1-2
2012-09-30	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 21-24	1485.23	1574.38	30.64%	68.96%	-11.62	1-3
2012-10-07	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 17-13	1473.61	1550.88	32.11%	67.48%	+29.48	2-3
2012-10-14	St. Louis Rams	W 17-14	1503.09	1460.48	62.97%	36.59%	+13.88	3-3
2012-10-28	@ New York Jets	W 30-9	1516.97	1471.32	48.94%	50.59%	+50.70	4-3
2012-11-04	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-23	1567.67	1416.20	63.79%	35.78%	-24.14	4-4
2012-11-11	Tennessee Titans	L 3-37	1543.53	1360.99	79.14%	20.54%	-100.73	4-5
2012-11-15	@ Buffalo Bills	L 14-19	1442.80	1415.45	46.32%	53.22%	-22.66	4-6
2012-11-25	Seattle Seahawks	W 24-21	1420.14	1556.37	37.82%	61.74%	+23.37	5-6
2012-12-02	New England Patriots	L 16-23	1443.51	1748.23	18.78%	80.92%	-10.87	5-7
2012-12-09	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 13-27	1432.64	1696.29	13.96%	85.79%	-11.43	5-8
2012-12-16	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-3	1421.21	1245.20	78.52%	21.16%	+21.22	6-8
2012-12-23	Buffalo Bills	W 24-10	1442.43	1376.19	66.08%	33.50%	+27.44	7-8
2012-12-30	@ New England Patriots	L 0-28	1469.87	1767.30	11.79%	87.99%	-13.63	7-9
2012-09-09	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-23	1443.72	1443.12	57.19%	42.35%	+16.05	1-0
2012-09-16	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-23	1459.77	1387.19	52.82%	46.72%	-20.00	1-1
2012-09-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 24-13	1439.77	1635.60	30.16%	69.44%	+50.30	2-1
2012-09-30	@ Detroit Lions	W 20-13	1490.07	1498.76	41.22%	58.33%	+33.73	3-1
2012-10-07	Tennessee Titans	W 30-7	1523.80	1417.57	71.01%	28.60%	+30.02	4-1
2012-10-14	@ Washington Redskins	L 26-38	1553.82	1431.18	59.88%	39.67%	-45.33	4-2
2012-10-21	Arizona Cardinals	W 21-14	1508.49	1503.79	57.77%	41.78%	+24.19	5-2
2012-10-25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-36	1532.68	1389.74	75.15%	24.50%	-71.52	5-3
2012-11-04	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-30	1461.16	1502.34	36.78%	62.78%	-25.47	5-4
2012-11-11	Detroit Lions	W 34-24	1435.69	1526.33	44.15%	55.39%	+38.30	6-4
2012-11-25	@ Chicago Bears	L 10-28	1473.99	1586.53	27.86%	71.75%	-25.88	6-5
2012-12-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 14-23	1448.11	1610.12	22.53%	77.13%	-14.79	6-6
2012-12-09	Chicago Bears	W 21-14	1433.32	1576.16	36.93%	62.63%	+36.21	7-6
2012-12-16	@ St. Louis Rams	W 36-22	1469.53	1459.77	43.81%	55.73%	+45.58	8-6
2012-12-23	@ Houston Texans	W 23-6	1515.11	1705.39	19.82%	79.87%	+71.88	9-6
2012-12-30	Green Bay Packers	W 37-34	1586.99	1686.92	42.84%	56.71%	+21.47	10-6
2012-09-09	@ Tennessee Titans	W 34-13	1608.84	1488.61	59.55%	40.00%	+40.12	1-0
2012-09-16	Arizona Cardinals	L 18-20	1648.96	1500.75	75.71%	23.94%	-23.38	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 30-31	1625.58	1601.00	45.92%	53.62%	-10.04	1-2
2012-09-30	@ Buffalo Bills	W 52-28	1615.54	1491.72	60.04%	39.51%	+42.36	2-2
2012-10-07	Denver Broncos	W 31-21	1657.90	1511.81	75.48%	24.16%	+16.73	3-2
2012-10-14	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 23-24	1674.63	1530.10	62.86%	36.71%	-13.74	3-3
2012-10-21	New York Jets	W 29-26	1660.89	1479.13	79.07%	20.61%	+7.81	4-3
2012-10-28	St. Louis Rams	W 45-7	1668.70	1422.94	80.24%	19.45%	+26.24	5-3
2012-11-11	Buffalo Bills	W 37-31	1694.94	1422.62	86.39%	13.38%	+7.16	6-3
2012-11-18	Indianapolis Colts	W 59-24	1702.10	1472.66	83.23%	16.49%	+21.34	7-3
2012-11-22	@ New York Jets	W 49-19	1723.44	1439.73	78.99%	20.69%	+24.79	8-3
2012-12-02	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-16	1748.23	1443.51	80.92%	18.78%	+10.87	9-3
2012-12-10	Houston Texans	W 42-14	1759.10	1735.25	60.43%	39.13%	+45.32	10-3
2012-12-16	San Francisco 49ers	L 34-41	1804.42	1707.71	69.88%	29.73%	-40.38	10-4
2012-12-23	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 23-16	1764.04	1223.98	94.23%	5.65%	+3.26	11-4
2012-12-30	Miami Dolphins	W 28-0	1767.30	1469.87	87.99%	11.79%	+13.64	12-4
2012-09-09	Washington Redskins	L 32-40	1603.48	1439.18	77.36%	22.30%	-47.77	0-1
2012-09-16	@ Carolina Panthers	L 27-35	1555.71	1454.25	56.93%	42.62%	-35.19	0-2
2012-09-23	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-27	1520.52	1382.19	74.65%	24.99%	-28.24	0-3
2012-09-30	@ Green Bay Packers	L 27-28	1492.28	1560.45	33.26%	66.32%	-7.28	0-4
2012-10-07	San Diego Chargers	W 31-24	1485.00	1565.86	45.54%	54.00%	+31.24	1-4
2012-10-21	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 35-28	1516.24	1414.38	56.98%	42.56%	+24.64	2-4
2012-10-28	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-34	1540.88	1540.43	42.50%	57.04%	-41.59	2-5
2012-11-05	Philadelphia Eagles	W 28-13	1499.29	1479.14	59.92%	39.64%	+33.60	3-5
2012-11-11	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-27	1532.89	1706.57	32.91%	66.68%	+29.13	4-5
2012-11-18	@ Oakland Raiders	W 38-17	1562.02	1362.79	69.85%	29.75%	+29.85	5-5
2012-11-25	San Francisco 49ers	L 21-31	1591.87	1698.38	41.91%	57.64%	-29.01	5-6
2012-11-29	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 13-23	1562.86	1692.19	25.97%	73.66%	-17.97	5-7
2012-12-09	@ New York Giants	L 27-52	1544.89	1643.66	29.48%	70.13%	-32.27	5-8
2012-12-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 41-0	1512.62	1495.70	59.47%	40.08%	+56.17	6-8
2012-12-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-31	1568.79	1511.09	50.68%	48.86%	+18.51	7-8
2012-12-30	Carolina Panthers	L 38-44	1587.30	1506.72	67.90%	31.69%	-36.33	7-9
2012-09-05	Dallas Cowboys	L 17-24	1578.99	1485.20	69.52%	30.08%	-40.18	0-1
2012-09-16	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 41-34	1538.81	1412.93	73.28%	26.35%	+15.26	1-1
2012-09-20	@ Carolina Panthers	W 36-7	1554.07	1489.44	51.67%	47.86%	+56.39	2-1
2012-09-30	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-19	1610.46	1527.85	54.25%	45.29%	-16.78	2-2
2012-10-07	Cleveland Browns	W 41-27	1593.68	1360.97	83.49%	16.24%	+13.29	3-2
2012-10-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 26-3	1606.97	1672.16	33.64%	65.94%	+69.09	4-2
2012-10-21	Washington Redskins	W 27-23	1676.06	1476.51	80.71%	18.99%	+8.31	5-2
2012-10-28	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 29-24	1684.37	1467.83	71.90%	27.72%	+13.57	6-2
2012-11-04	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 20-24	1697.94	1576.62	72.76%	26.86%	-31.78	6-3
2012-11-11	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-31	1666.16	1422.59	74.92%	24.72%	-69.41	6-4
2012-11-25	Green Bay Packers	W 38-10	1596.75	1671.60	46.40%	53.14%	+61.48	7-4
2012-12-03	@ Washington Redskins	L 16-17	1658.23	1484.31	66.71%	32.88%	-14.57	7-5
2012-12-09	New Orleans Saints	W 52-27	1643.66	1544.89	70.13%	29.48%	+32.27	8-5
2012-12-16	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 0-34	1675.93	1652.05	45.82%	53.72%	-58.46	8-6
2012-12-23	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 14-33	1617.47	1564.94	49.93%	49.60%	-47.60	8-7
2012-12-30	Philadelphia Eagles	W 42-7	1569.87	1290.22	86.88%	12.90%	+16.67	9-7
2012-09-09	Buffalo Bills	W 48-28	1492.74	1453.76	62.49%	37.08%	+36.30	1-0
2012-09-16	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-27	1529.04	1515.67	44.33%	55.22%	-39.99	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-20	1489.05	1507.84	39.82%	59.73%	+22.61	2-1
2012-09-30	San Francisco 49ers	L 0-34	1511.66	1585.29	46.57%	52.97%	-59.41	2-2
2012-10-08	Houston Texans	L 17-23	1452.25	1659.05	28.85%	70.76%	-15.47	2-3
2012-10-14	Indianapolis Colts	W 35-9	1436.78	1404.26	61.61%	37.95%	+42.35	3-3
2012-10-21	@ New England Patriots	L 26-29	1479.13	1660.89	20.61%	79.07%	-7.81	3-4
2012-10-28	Miami Dolphins	L 9-30	1471.32	1516.97	50.59%	48.94%	-50.70	3-5
2012-11-11	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 7-28	1420.62	1527.80	28.48%	71.13%	-28.58	3-6
2012-11-18	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-13	1392.04	1400.62	41.24%	58.31%	+47.69	4-6
2012-11-22	New England Patriots	L 19-49	1439.73	1723.44	20.69%	78.99%	-24.80	4-7
2012-12-02	Arizona Cardinals	W 7-6	1414.93	1366.35	63.77%	35.80%	+7.84	5-7
2012-12-09	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 17-10	1422.77	1265.48	64.55%	35.02%	+20.28	6-7
2012-12-17	@ Tennessee Titans	L 10-14	1443.05	1396.95	49.01%	50.53%	-21.44	6-8
2012-12-23	San Diego Chargers	L 17-27	1421.61	1401.79	59.87%	39.68%	-41.38	6-9
2012-12-30	@ Buffalo Bills	L 9-28	1380.23	1348.74	46.91%	52.63%	-44.73	6-10
2012-09-10	San Diego Chargers	L 14-22	1468.57	1530.14	48.30%	51.23%	-29.88	0-1
2012-09-16	@ Miami Dolphins	L 13-35	1438.69	1468.50	38.31%	61.24%	-39.34	0-2
2012-09-23	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-31	1399.35	1555.66	35.15%	64.42%	+24.38	1-2
2012-09-30	@ Denver Broncos	L 6-37	1423.73	1467.38	36.45%	63.11%	-44.43	1-3
2012-10-14	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 20-23	1379.30	1666.86	12.40%	87.38%	-4.69	1-4
2012-10-21	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 26-23	1374.61	1339.72	61.93%	37.63%	+14.27	2-4
2012-10-28	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 26-16	1388.88	1315.84	52.88%	46.66%	+32.27	3-4
2012-11-04	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 32-42	1421.15	1461.26	51.39%	48.15%	-35.53	3-5
2012-11-11	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 20-55	1385.62	1600.89	17.64%	82.07%	-22.83	3-6
2012-11-18	New Orleans Saints	L 17-38	1362.79	1562.02	29.75%	69.85%	-29.85	3-7
2012-11-25	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-34	1332.94	1518.88	20.22%	79.46%	-21.68	3-8
2012-12-02	Cleveland Browns	L 17-20	1311.26	1394.81	45.16%	54.38%	-17.11	3-9
2012-12-06	Denver Broncos	L 13-26	1294.15	1673.66	13.08%	86.69%	-10.31	3-10
2012-12-16	Kansas City Chiefs	W 15-0	1283.84	1238.69	63.31%	36.25%	+30.73	4-10
2012-12-23	@ Carolina Panthers	L 6-17	1314.57	1491.42	21.08%	78.60%	-15.29	4-11
2012-12-30	@ San Diego Chargers	L 21-24	1299.28	1443.17	24.39%	75.25%	-9.25	4-12
2012-09-09	@ Cleveland Browns	W 17-16	1558.80	1435.02	60.04%	39.51%	+8.65	1-0
2012-09-16	Baltimore Ravens	W 24-23	1567.45	1611.66	50.80%	48.74%	+10.66	2-0
2012-09-23	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 6-27	1578.11	1524.13	50.14%	49.39%	-50.26	2-1
2012-09-30	New York Giants	W 19-17	1527.85	1610.46	45.29%	54.25%	+16.78	3-1
2012-10-07	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 14-16	1544.63	1531.28	44.32%	55.22%	-13.72	3-2
2012-10-14	Detroit Lions	L 23-26	1530.91	1465.03	66.03%	33.55%	-24.98	3-3
2012-10-28	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-30	1505.93	1671.56	33.94%	65.64%	-26.79	3-4
2012-11-05	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-28	1479.14	1499.29	39.64%	59.92%	-33.60	3-5
2012-11-11	Dallas Cowboys	L 23-38	1445.54	1446.03	57.04%	42.51%	-48.29	3-6
2012-11-18	@ Washington Redskins	L 6-31	1397.25	1400.90	41.93%	57.62%	-45.87	3-7
2012-11-26	Carolina Panthers	L 22-30	1351.38	1367.07	54.88%	44.66%	-33.94	3-8
2012-12-02	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 33-38	1317.44	1466.63	23.84%	75.81%	-11.67	3-9
2012-12-09	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-21	1305.77	1521.03	17.64%	82.07%	+25.33	4-9
2012-12-13	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-34	1331.10	1550.40	27.40%	72.22%	-27.49	4-10
2012-12-23	Washington Redskins	L 20-27	1303.61	1562.53	23.12%	76.54%	-13.39	4-11
2012-12-30	@ New York Giants	L 7-42	1290.22	1569.87	12.90%	86.88%	-16.67	4-12
2012-09-09	@ Denver Broncos	L 19-31	1557.91	1464.55	55.78%	43.76%	-42.24	0-1
2012-09-16	New York Jets	W 27-10	1515.67	1529.04	55.22%	44.33%	+39.99	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Oakland Raiders	L 31-34	1555.66	1399.35	64.42%	35.15%	-24.38	1-2
2012-10-07	Philadelphia Eagles	W 16-14	1531.28	1544.63	55.22%	44.32%	+13.71	2-2
2012-10-11	@ Tennessee Titans	L 23-26	1544.99	1387.55	64.57%	35.00%	-24.43	2-3
2012-10-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-17	1520.56	1475.33	48.88%	50.65%	+29.31	3-3
2012-10-28	Washington Redskins	W 27-12	1549.87	1468.20	68.03%	31.56%	+26.75	4-3
2012-11-04	@ New York Giants	W 24-20	1576.62	1697.94	26.86%	72.76%	+31.78	5-3
2012-11-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 16-13	1608.40	1265.38	90.49%	9.33%	+3.53	6-3
2012-11-18	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-13	1611.93	1623.72	55.44%	44.10%	-20.99	6-4
2012-11-25	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-20	1590.94	1355.19	74.07%	25.57%	-39.62	6-5
2012-12-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1551.32	1656.34	28.74%	70.87%	+26.81	7-5
2012-12-09	San Diego Chargers	L 24-34	1578.13	1416.48	77.10%	22.56%	-53.22	7-6
2012-12-16	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 24-27	1524.91	1493.31	46.93%	52.61%	-17.79	7-7
2012-12-23	Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-13	1507.12	1577.89	46.98%	52.56%	-17.80	7-8
2012-12-30	Cleveland Browns	W 24-10	1489.32	1386.22	70.64%	28.96%	+23.73	8-8
2012-09-10	@ Oakland Raiders	W 22-14	1530.14	1468.57	51.23%	48.30%	+29.89	1-0
2012-09-16	Tennessee Titans	W 38-10	1560.03	1448.49	71.64%	27.98%	+32.40	2-0
2012-09-23	Atlanta Falcons	L 3-27	1592.43	1581.43	58.65%	40.90%	-62.79	2-1
2012-09-30	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 37-20	1529.64	1410.43	59.41%	40.14%	+36.22	3-1
2012-10-07	@ New Orleans Saints	L 24-31	1565.86	1485.00	54.00%	45.54%	-31.23	3-2
2012-10-15	Denver Broncos	L 24-35	1534.63	1495.09	62.56%	37.00%	-45.34	3-3
2012-10-28	@ Cleveland Browns	L 6-7	1489.29	1373.20	58.97%	40.58%	-12.89	3-4
2012-11-01	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-13	1476.40	1283.56	80.10%	19.59%	+18.18	4-4
2012-11-11	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 24-34	1494.58	1496.80	42.13%	57.42%	-29.15	4-5
2012-11-18	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-30	1465.43	1637.65	21.52%	78.15%	-12.46	4-6
2012-11-25	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-16	1452.97	1644.71	30.66%	68.94%	-11.63	4-7
2012-12-02	Cincinnati Bengals	L 13-20	1441.34	1540.55	42.94%	56.61%	-24.86	4-8
2012-12-09	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 34-24	1416.48	1578.13	22.56%	77.10%	+53.23	5-8
2012-12-16	Carolina Panthers	L 7-31	1469.71	1423.50	63.45%	36.11%	-67.92	5-9
2012-12-23	@ New York Jets	W 27-17	1401.79	1421.61	39.68%	59.87%	+41.38	6-9
2012-12-30	Oakland Raiders	W 24-21	1443.17	1299.28	75.25%	24.39%	+9.25	7-9
2012-09-09	@ Green Bay Packers	W 30-22	1580.37	1578.74	42.67%	56.88%	+35.17	1-0
2012-09-16	Detroit Lions	W 27-19	1615.54	1540.52	67.20%	32.39%	+20.06	2-0
2012-09-23	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 13-24	1635.60	1439.77	69.44%	30.16%	-50.31	2-1
2012-09-30	@ New York Jets	W 34-0	1585.29	1511.66	52.97%	46.57%	+59.41	3-1
2012-10-07	Buffalo Bills	W 45-3	1644.70	1449.35	80.33%	19.37%	+27.46	4-1
2012-10-14	New York Giants	L 3-26	1672.16	1606.97	65.94%	33.64%	-69.09	4-2
2012-10-18	Seattle Seahawks	W 13-6	1603.07	1543.84	65.17%	34.41%	+19.93	5-2
2012-10-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 24-3	1623.00	1479.60	62.71%	36.85%	+36.97	6-2
2012-11-11	St. Louis Rams	T 24-24	1659.97	1396.71	85.77%	13.99%	-3.91	6-2
2012-11-19	Chicago Bears	W 32-7	1656.06	1628.85	60.89%	38.67%	+42.32	7-2
2012-11-25	@ New Orleans Saints	W 31-21	1698.38	1591.87	57.64%	41.91%	+29.00	8-2
2012-12-02	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-16	1727.38	1407.08	82.26%	17.45%	-31.09	8-3
2012-12-09	Miami Dolphins	W 27-13	1696.29	1432.64	85.79%	13.96%	+11.42	9-3
2012-12-16	@ New England Patriots	W 41-34	1707.71	1804.42	29.73%	69.88%	+40.38	10-3
2012-12-23	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-42	1748.09	1639.16	57.97%	41.57%	-68.24	10-4
2012-12-30	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-13	1679.85	1360.90	89.24%	10.57%	+8.64	11-4
2012-09-09	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 16-20	1503.79	1480.75	45.70%	53.84%	-19.99	0-1
2012-09-16	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-7	1483.80	1525.38	51.18%	48.36%	+47.30	1-1
2012-09-24	Green Bay Packers	W 14-12	1531.10	1575.53	50.77%	48.77%	+15.09	2-1
2012-09-30	@ St. Louis Rams	L 13-19	1546.19	1369.35	67.08%	32.51%	-35.89	2-2
2012-10-07	@ Carolina Panthers	W 16-12	1510.30	1427.49	54.28%	45.26%	+19.80	3-2
2012-10-14	New England Patriots	W 24-23	1530.10	1674.63	36.71%	62.86%	+13.74	4-2
2012-10-18	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 6-13	1543.84	1603.07	34.41%	65.17%	-19.93	4-3
2012-10-28	@ Detroit Lions	L 24-28	1523.91	1475.66	49.32%	50.22%	-21.57	4-4
2012-11-04	Minnesota Vikings	W 30-20	1502.34	1461.16	62.78%	36.78%	+25.46	5-4
2012-11-11	New York Jets	W 28-7	1527.80	1420.62	71.13%	28.48%	+28.57	6-4
2012-11-25	@ Miami Dolphins	L 21-24	1556.37	1420.14	61.74%	37.82%	-23.36	6-5
2012-12-02	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-17	1533.01	1612.41	31.84%	67.75%	+36.25	7-5
2012-12-09	Arizona Cardinals	W 58-0	1569.26	1358.52	81.68%	18.02%	+30.02	8-5
2012-12-16	@ Buffalo Bills	W 50-17	1599.28	1416.07	67.88%	31.71%	+39.88	9-5
2012-12-23	San Francisco 49ers	W 42-13	1639.16	1748.09	41.57%	57.97%	+68.24	10-5
2012-12-30	St. Louis Rams	W 20-13	1707.40	1465.51	84.21%	15.53%	+8.99	11-5
2012-09-09	@ Detroit Lions	L 23-27	1384.00	1529.94	24.18%	75.47%	-10.59	0-1
2012-09-16	Washington Redskins	W 31-28	1373.41	1486.95	40.93%	58.62%	+22.19	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Chicago Bears	L 6-23	1395.60	1497.72	29.08%	70.53%	-26.25	1-2
2012-09-30	Seattle Seahawks	W 19-13	1369.35	1546.19	32.51%	67.08%	+35.90	2-2
2012-10-04	Arizona Cardinals	W 17-3	1405.25	1586.00	32.02%	67.57%	+55.23	3-2
2012-10-14	@ Miami Dolphins	L 14-17	1460.48	1503.09	36.59%	62.97%	-13.88	3-3
2012-10-21	Green Bay Packers	L 20-30	1446.60	1610.35	34.18%	65.40%	-23.66	3-4
2012-10-28	@ New England Patriots	L 7-45	1422.94	1668.70	19.45%	80.24%	-26.23	3-5
2012-11-11	@ San Francisco 49ers	T 24-24	1396.71	1659.97	13.99%	85.77%	+3.91	3-5
2012-11-18	New York Jets	L 13-27	1400.62	1392.04	58.31%	41.24%	-47.69	3-6
2012-11-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 31-17	1352.93	1420.50	33.33%	66.25%	+54.15	4-6
2012-12-02	San Francisco 49ers	W 16-13	1407.08	1727.38	17.45%	82.26%	+31.10	5-6
2012-12-09	@ Buffalo Bills	W 15-12	1438.18	1437.66	42.51%	57.04%	+21.59	6-6
2012-12-16	Minnesota Vikings	L 22-36	1459.77	1469.53	55.73%	43.81%	-45.58	6-7
2012-12-23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-13	1414.19	1439.53	38.92%	60.63%	+51.32	7-7
2012-12-30	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 13-20	1465.51	1707.40	15.53%	84.21%	-8.99	7-8
2012-09-09	Carolina Panthers	W 16-10	1382.38	1484.80	42.48%	57.06%	+30.55	1-0
2012-09-16	@ New York Giants	L 34-41	1412.93	1538.81	26.35%	73.28%	-15.26	1-1
2012-09-23	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 10-16	1397.67	1478.07	31.72%	67.87%	-17.01	1-2
2012-09-30	Washington Redskins	L 22-24	1380.66	1432.89	49.65%	49.89%	-15.35	1-3
2012-10-14	Kansas City Chiefs	W 38-10	1365.31	1364.92	57.16%	42.38%	+49.07	2-3
2012-10-21	New Orleans Saints	L 28-35	1414.38	1516.24	42.56%	56.98%	-24.64	2-4
2012-10-25	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 36-17	1389.74	1532.68	24.50%	75.15%	+71.52	3-4
2012-11-04	@ Oakland Raiders	W 42-32	1461.26	1421.15	48.15%	51.39%	+35.54	4-4
2012-11-11	San Diego Chargers	W 34-24	1496.80	1494.58	57.42%	42.13%	+29.15	5-4
2012-11-18	@ Carolina Panthers	W 27-21	1525.95	1387.17	62.09%	37.47%	+20.10	6-4
2012-11-25	Atlanta Falcons	L 23-24	1546.05	1683.96	37.59%	61.97%	-8.23	6-5
2012-12-02	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-31	1537.82	1656.86	27.12%	72.50%	-16.79	6-6
2012-12-09	Philadelphia Eagles	L 21-23	1521.03	1305.77	82.07%	17.64%	-25.33	6-7
2012-12-16	@ New Orleans Saints	L 0-41	1495.70	1512.62	40.08%	59.47%	-56.17	6-8
2012-12-23	St. Louis Rams	L 13-28	1439.53	1414.19	60.63%	38.92%	-51.32	6-9
2012-12-30	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 22-17	1388.21	1722.87	9.75%	90.07%	+14.64	7-9
2012-09-09	New England Patriots	L 13-34	1488.61	1608.84	40.00%	59.55%	-40.12	0-1
2012-09-16	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-38	1448.49	1560.03	27.98%	71.64%	-32.41	0-2
2012-09-23	Detroit Lions	W 44-41	1416.08	1520.47	42.21%	57.34%	+21.70	1-2
2012-09-30	@ Houston Texans	L 14-38	1437.78	1638.83	18.86%	80.84%	-20.21	1-3
2012-10-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 7-30	1417.57	1523.80	28.60%	71.01%	-30.02	1-4
2012-10-11	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 26-23	1387.55	1544.99	35.00%	64.57%	+24.44	2-4
2012-10-21	@ Buffalo Bills	W 35-34	1411.99	1448.88	37.36%	62.20%	+13.59	3-4
2012-10-28	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-19	1425.58	1382.46	63.04%	36.52%	-33.74	3-5
2012-11-04	Chicago Bears	L 20-51	1391.84	1629.91	25.31%	74.32%	-30.85	3-6
2012-11-11	@ Miami Dolphins	W 37-3	1360.99	1543.53	20.54%	79.14%	+100.73	4-6
2012-11-25	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 19-24	1461.72	1253.92	70.87%	28.74%	-34.61	4-7
2012-12-02	Houston Texans	L 10-24	1427.11	1718.93	19.94%	79.75%	-16.32	4-8
2012-12-09	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 23-27	1410.79	1491.99	31.62%	67.97%	-13.84	4-9
2012-12-17	New York Jets	W 14-10	1396.95	1443.05	50.53%	49.01%	+21.44	5-9
2012-12-23	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-55	1418.39	1663.79	15.27%	84.47%	-23.14	5-10
2012-12-30	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 38-20	1395.25	1220.72	78.37%	21.30%	+19.78	6-10
2012-09-09	@ New Orleans Saints	W 40-32	1439.18	1603.48	22.30%	77.36%	+47.77	1-0
2012-09-16	@ St. Louis Rams	L 28-31	1486.95	1373.41	58.62%	40.93%	-22.19	1-1
2012-09-23	Cincinnati Bengals	L 31-38	1464.76	1479.01	55.09%	44.45%	-31.87	1-2
2012-09-30	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 24-22	1432.89	1380.66	49.89%	49.65%	+15.36	2-2
2012-10-07	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-24	1448.25	1649.79	29.48%	70.13%	-17.07	2-3
2012-10-14	Minnesota Vikings	W 38-26	1431.18	1553.82	39.67%	59.88%	+45.33	3-3
2012-10-21	@ New York Giants	L 23-27	1476.51	1676.06	18.99%	80.71%	-8.31	3-4
2012-10-28	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 12-27	1468.20	1549.87	31.56%	68.03%	-26.76	3-5
2012-11-04	Carolina Panthers	L 13-21	1441.44	1378.82	65.61%	33.97%	-40.54	3-6
2012-11-18	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-6	1400.90	1397.25	57.62%	41.93%	+45.88	4-6
2012-11-22	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 38-31	1446.78	1504.16	34.65%	64.93%	+37.53	5-6
2012-12-03	New York Giants	W 17-16	1484.31	1658.23	32.88%	66.71%	+14.57	6-6
2012-12-09	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-28	1498.88	1629.53	38.58%	60.98%	+23.08	7-6
2012-12-16	@ Cleveland Browns	W 38-21	1521.96	1437.06	54.58%	44.96%	+40.57	8-6
2012-12-23	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-20	1562.53	1303.61	76.54%	23.12%	+13.38	9-6
2012-12-30	Dallas Cowboys	W 28-18	1575.91	1492.58	68.24%	31.35%	+21.71	10-6

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2013-01-13	Seattle Seahawks	W 30-28	1708.23	1744.21	52.21%	47.79%	+14.71	1-0
2013-01-20	San Francisco 49ers	L 24-28	1722.94	1723.86	57.21%	42.79%	-24.91	1-1
2013-01-06	Indianapolis Colts	W 24-9	1604.53	1517.83	68.89%	31.11%	+26.24	1-0
2013-01-12	@ Denver Broncos	W 38-35	1630.77	1739.90	28.41%	71.59%	+26.99	2-0
2013-01-20	@ New England Patriots	W 28-13	1657.76	1800.42	24.66%	75.34%	+63.52	3-0
2013-02-03	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-31	1721.28	1748.77	46.05%	53.95%	+20.35	4-0
2013-01-05	@ Houston Texans	L 13-19	1603.70	1618.11	40.64%	59.36%	-21.67	0-1
2013-01-12	Baltimore Ravens	L 35-38	1739.90	1630.77	71.59%	28.41%	-26.99	0-1
2013-01-05	Minnesota Vikings	W 24-10	1665.45	1608.46	65.11%	34.89%	+28.42	1-0
2013-01-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 31-45	1693.87	1688.49	43.42%	56.58%	-35.37	1-1
2013-01-05	Cincinnati Bengals	W 19-13	1618.11	1603.70	59.36%	40.64%	+21.68	1-0
2013-01-13	@ New England Patriots	L 28-41	1639.79	1780.94	24.82%	75.18%	-19.49	1-1
2013-01-06	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 9-24	1517.83	1604.53	31.11%	68.89%	-26.23	0-1
2013-01-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 10-24	1608.46	1665.45	34.89%	65.11%	-28.42	0-1
2013-01-13	Houston Texans	W 41-28	1780.94	1639.79	75.18%	24.82%	+19.48	1-0
2013-01-20	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-28	1800.42	1657.76	75.34%	24.66%	-63.53	1-1
2013-01-12	Green Bay Packers	W 45-31	1688.49	1693.87	56.58%	43.42%	+35.37	1-0
2013-01-20	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 28-24	1723.86	1722.94	42.79%	57.21%	+24.91	2-0
2013-02-03	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 31-34	1748.77	1721.28	53.95%	46.05%	-20.34	2-1
2013-01-06	@ Washington Redskins	W 24-14	1716.39	1597.62	59.58%	40.42%	+27.82	1-0
2013-01-13	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 28-30	1744.21	1708.23	47.79%	52.21%	-14.71	1-1
2013-01-06	Seattle Seahawks	L 14-24	1597.62	1716.39	40.42%	59.58%	-27.83	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2012-12-30	9.75%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1388.21	22	@ Atlanta Falcons	1722.87	17
2	2012-12-09	15.52%	@ Carolina Panthers	1365.39	30	Atlanta Falcons	1710.16	20
3	2012-12-02	17.45%	@ St. Louis Rams	1407.08	16	San Francisco 49ers	1727.38	13
4	2012-12-09	17.64%	Philadelphia Eagles	1305.77	23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1521.03	21
5	2012-12-23	19.82%	Minnesota Vikings	1515.11	23	@ Houston Texans	1705.39	6
6	2012-11-11	20.54%	Tennessee Titans	1360.99	37	@ Miami Dolphins	1543.53	3
7	2012-09-09	22.30%	Washington Redskins	1439.18	40	@ New Orleans Saints	1603.48	32
8	2012-12-09	22.56%	San Diego Chargers	1416.48	34	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	1578.13	24
9	2012-09-16	23.94%	Arizona Cardinals	1500.75	20	@ New England Patriots	1648.96	18
10	2012-10-25	24.50%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1389.74	36	@ Minnesota Vikings	1532.68	17
11	2013-01-20 *	24.66%	Baltimore Ravens	1657.76	28	@ New England Patriots	1800.42	13
12	2012-11-11	24.72%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1422.59	31	New York Giants	1666.16	13
13	2012-09-23	24.99%	Kansas City Chiefs	1382.19	27	@ New Orleans Saints	1520.52	24
14	2012-11-25	25.57%	@ Cleveland Browns	1355.19	20	Pittsburgh Steelers	1590.94	14
15	2012-10-14	25.59%	Green Bay Packers	1541.75	42	@ Houston Texans	1674.52	24
16	2012-11-04	26.86%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1576.62	24	@ New York Giants	1697.94	20
17	2012-10-14	28.29%	Buffalo Bills	1421.90	19	@ Arizona Cardinals	1530.77	16
18	2013-01-12 *	28.41%	Baltimore Ravens	1630.77	38	@ Denver Broncos	1739.90	35
19	2012-11-25	28.74%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1253.92	24	Tennessee Titans	1461.72	19
20	2012-12-02	28.74%	Pittsburgh Steelers	1551.32	23	@ Baltimore Ravens	1656.34	20
21	2012-12-16	29.73%	San Francisco 49ers	1707.71	41	@ New England Patriots	1804.42	34
22	2012-09-05	30.08%	Dallas Cowboys	1485.20	24	@ New York Giants	1578.99	17
23	2012-09-23	30.16%	@ Minnesota Vikings	1439.77	24	San Francisco 49ers	1635.60	13
24	2012-12-09	30.89%	Dallas Cowboys	1478.30	20	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1565.41	19
25	2012-10-07	30.94%	@ Indianapolis Colts	1378.29	30	Green Bay Packers	1567.73	27

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2012-11-11	100.73	Tennessee Titans	37	1360.99	20.54%	@ Miami Dolphins	3	1543.53	79.14%
2	2012-12-23	71.88	Minnesota Vikings	23	1515.11	19.82%	@ Houston Texans	6	1705.39	79.87%
3	2012-10-25	71.52	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	36	1389.74	24.50%	@ Minnesota Vikings	17	1532.68	75.15%
4	2012-11-11	69.41	@ Cincinnati Bengals	31	1422.59	24.72%	New York Giants	13	1666.16	74.92%
5	2012-10-14	69.09	New York Giants	26	1606.97	33.64%	@ San Francisco 49ers	3	1672.16	65.94%
6	2012-10-14	68.60	Green Bay Packers	42	1541.75	25.59%	@ Houston Texans	24	1674.52	74.04%
7	2012-12-23	68.24	@ Seattle Seahawks	42	1639.16	41.57%	San Francisco 49ers	13	1748.09	57.97%
8	2012-12-16	67.92	Carolina Panthers	31	1423.50	36.11%	@ San Diego Chargers	7	1469.71	63.45%
9	2012-12-16	66.57	@ Arizona Cardinals	38	1328.49	42.00%	Detroit Lions	10	1434.39	57.55%
10	2013-01-20 *	63.53	Baltimore Ravens	28	1657.76	24.66%	@ New England Patriots	13	1800.42	75.34%
11	2012-09-23	62.80	Atlanta Falcons	27	1581.43	40.90%	@ San Diego Chargers	3	1592.43	58.65%
12	2012-11-25	61.48	@ New York Giants	38	1596.75	46.40%	Green Bay Packers	10	1671.60	53.14%
13	2012-09-30	59.41	San Francisco 49ers	34	1585.29	52.97%	@ New York Jets	0	1511.66	46.57%
14	2012-12-16	58.46	@ Atlanta Falcons	34	1652.05	53.72%	New York Giants	0	1675.93	45.82%
15	2012-12-09	58.11	@ Carolina Panthers	30	1365.39	15.52%	Atlanta Falcons	20	1710.16	84.21%
16	2012-09-20	56.39	New York Giants	36	1554.07	51.67%	@ Carolina Panthers	7	1489.44	47.86%
17	2012-12-16	56.17	@ New Orleans Saints	41	1512.62	59.47%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0	1495.70	40.08%
18	2012-10-21	55.93	@ Houston Texans	43	1605.92	52.86%	Baltimore Ravens	13	1635.76	46.67%
19	2012-10-04	55.23	@ St. Louis Rams	17	1405.25	32.02%	Arizona Cardinals	3	1586.00	67.57%
20	2012-11-25	54.15	St. Louis Rams	31	1352.93	33.33%	@ Arizona Cardinals	17	1420.50	66.25%
21	2012-12-09	53.23	San Diego Chargers	34	1416.48	22.56%	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	24	1578.13	77.10%
22	2012-12-23	51.32	St. Louis Rams	28	1414.19	38.92%	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	13	1439.53	60.63%
23	2012-10-28	50.70	Miami Dolphins	30	1516.97	48.94%	@ New York Jets	9	1471.32	50.59%
24	2012-09-23	50.31	@ Minnesota Vikings	24	1439.77	30.16%	San Francisco 49ers	13	1635.60	69.44%
25	2012-09-23	50.26	@ Arizona Cardinals	27	1524.13	49.39%	Philadelphia Eagles	6	1578.11	50.14%