2010 NFL Season

256 regular-season games · 12 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Green Bay Packers

4th Super Bowl

Last Title: 1996

Runner-Up

Pittsburgh Steelers

8th SB App.

Last Appearance: 2008

Biggest Overachiever

New England Patriots

4.04 wins above expected

14 wins · 9.96 expected wins

Biggest Disappointment

Carolina Panthers

4.00 wins below expected

2 wins · 6.00 expected wins

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	New England Patriots Division	14	2	.875	-	518	313	+205	9.96	+4.04
2	New York Jets Playoffs	11	5	.688	3	367	304	+63	9.89	+1.11
3	Miami Dolphins	7	9	.438	7	273	333	-60	7.26	-0.26
4	Buffalo Bills	4	12	.250	10	283	425	-142	5.36	-1.36

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Pittsburgh Steelers Division	12	4	.750	-	375	232	+143	10.19	+1.81
2	Baltimore Ravens Playoffs	12	4	.750	-	357	270	+87	9.90	+2.10
3	Cleveland Browns	5	11	.312	7	271	332	-61	6.39	-1.39
4	Cincinnati Bengals	4	12	.250	8	322	395	-73	6.09	-2.09

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Indianapolis Colts Division	10	6	.625	-	435	388	+47	9.67	+0.33
2	Jacksonville Jaguars	8	8	.500	2	353	419	-66	7.11	+0.89
3	Houston Texans	6	10	.375	4	390	427	-37	7.68	-1.68
4	Tennessee Titans	6	10	.375	4	356	339	+17	8.65	-2.65

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Kansas City Chiefs Division	10	6	.625	-	366	326	+40	8.42	+1.58
2	San Diego Chargers	9	7	.562	1	441	322	+119	10.02	-1.02
3	Oakland Raiders	8	8	.500	2	410	371	+39	6.71	+1.29
4	Denver Broncos	4	12	.250	6	344	471	-127	6.64	-2.64

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Eagles Division	10	6	.625	-	439	377	+62	9.54	+0.46
2	New York Giants	10	6	.625	-	394	347	+47	8.78	+1.22
3	Dallas Cowboys	6	10	.375	4	394	436	-42	7.72	-1.72
4	Washington Redskins	6	10	.375	4	302	377	-75	6.54	-0.54

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Chicago Bears Division	11	5	.688	-	334	286	+48	8.51	+2.49
2	Green Bay Packers Playoffs	10	6	.625	1	388	240	+148	9.57	+0.43
3	Detroit Lions	6	10	.375	5	362	369	-7	5.25	+0.75
4	Minnesota Vikings	6	10	.375	5	281	348	-67	7.75	-1.75

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Atlanta Falcons Division	13	3	.812	-	414	288	+126	9.89	+3.11
2	New Orleans Saints Playoffs	11	5	.688	2	384	307	+77	10.28	+0.72
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10	6	.625	3	341	318	+23	7.56	+2.44
4	Carolina Panthers	2	14	.125	11	196	408	-212	6.00	-4.00

#	Team	W	L	Pct	GB	PF	PA	PD	SimW	vsSim
1	Seattle Seahawks Division	7	9	.438	-	310	407	-97	6.86	+0.14
2	St. Louis Rams	7	9	.438	-	289	328	-39	6.64	+0.36
3	San Francisco 49ers	6	10	.375	1	305	346	-41	7.34	-1.34
4	Arizona Cardinals	5	11	.312	2	289	434	-145	7.82	-2.82

Playoff Bracket

AFC

Wild Card Round

New York Jets 17

Indianapolis Colts 16

Jan 8

Baltimore Ravens 30

Kansas City Chiefs 7

Jan 9

Divisional Round

Pittsburgh Steelers 31

Baltimore Ravens 24

Jan 15

New York Jets 28

New England Patriots 21

Jan 16

Conference Championship

Pittsburgh Steelers 24

New York Jets 19

Jan 23

NFC

Wild Card Round

Seattle Seahawks 41

New Orleans Saints 36

Jan 8

Green Bay Packers 21

Philadelphia Eagles 16

Jan 9

Divisional Round

Green Bay Packers 48

Atlanta Falcons 21

Jan 15

Chicago Bears 35

Seattle Seahawks 24

Jan 16

Conference Championship

Green Bay Packers 21

Chicago Bears 14

Jan 23

Super Bowl

Green Bay Packers 31

Pittsburgh Steelers 25

Feb 6

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Division	Elo	Actual	Avg. Wins	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
New England Patriots	AFC	AFC East	1721	14	9.96	+4.04	99.57%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Baltimore Ravens	AFC	AFC North	1647	12	9.90	+2.10	92.34%	1	7	9	10	11	13	16
Atlanta Falcons	NFC	NFC South	1643	13	9.89	+3.11	97.93%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Green Bay Packers	NFC	NFC North	1642	10	9.57	+0.43	68.89%	2	6	8	10	11	13	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC	AFC North	1639	12	10.19	+1.81	89.61%	3	7	9	10	11	13	16
New Orleans Saints	NFC	NFC South	1609	11	10.28	+0.72	74.13%	2	7	9	10	12	13	16
New York Jets	AFC	AFC East	1601	11	9.89	+1.11	80.59%	2	7	9	10	11	13	16
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC	NFC East	1589	10	9.54	+0.46	68.93%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
Indianapolis Colts	AFC	AFC South	1587	10	9.67	+0.33	66.62%	1	6	8	10	11	13	16
San Diego Chargers	AFC	AFC West	1581	9	10.02	-1.02	38.98%	1	7	9	10	11	13	16
Chicago Bears	NFC	NFC North	1575	11	8.51	+2.49	94.10%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
New York Giants	NFC	NFC East	1550	10	8.78	+1.22	81.53%	1	6	7	9	10	12	16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC	NFC South	1525	10	7.56	+2.44	93.92%	0	4	6	8	9	11	16
Oakland Raiders	AFC	AFC West	1502	8	6.71	+1.29	82.66%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Dallas Cowboys	NFC	NFC East	1496	6	7.72	-1.72	26.58%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC	AFC West	1490	10	8.42	+1.58	85.86%	0	5	7	8	10	12	16
Miami Dolphins	AFC	AFC East	1471	7	7.26	-0.26	55.76%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Minnesota Vikings	NFC	NFC North	1466	6	7.75	-1.75	26.38%	0	5	6	8	9	11	16
Houston Texans	AFC	AFC South	1461	6	7.68	-1.68	27.31%	1	5	6	8	9	11	15
Tennessee Titans	AFC	AFC South	1461	6	8.65	-2.65	13.63%	1	5	7	9	10	12	16
San Francisco 49ers	NFC	NFC West	1450	6	7.34	-1.34	33.75%	0	4	6	7	9	10	15
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC	AFC South	1445	8	7.11	+0.89	76.54%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
Detroit Lions	NFC	NFC North	1438	6	5.25	+0.75	75.79%	0	2	4	5	6	8	13
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC	AFC North	1417	4	6.09	-2.09	19.80%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13
Cleveland Browns	AFC	AFC North	1410	5	6.39	-1.39	32.61%	0	3	5	6	8	9	15
Washington Redskins	NFC	NFC East	1407	6	6.54	-0.54	50.11%	0	3	5	6	8	10	15
Seattle Seahawks	NFC	NFC West	1391	7	6.86	+0.14	63.71%	0	4	6	7	8	10	15
St. Louis Rams	NFC	NFC West	1391	7	6.64	+0.36	67.83%	0	4	5	7	8	10	15
Buffalo Bills	AFC	AFC East	1384	4	5.36	-1.36	33.42%	0	2	4	5	7	8	14
Arizona Cardinals	NFC	NFC West	1345	5	7.82	-2.82	12.01%	0	5	6	8	9	11	15
Denver Broncos	AFC	AFC West	1338	4	6.64	-2.64	13.22%	0	4	5	7	8	10	14
Carolina Panthers	NFC	NFC South	1326	2	6.00	-4.00	2.49%	0	3	5	6	7	9	13

Head-to-Head

Cells show each team's record against each opponent with the expected wins from the simulation below Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than a half-win while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than a half-win. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within AFC East

Team	Bills	Dolphins	Patriots	Jets
Buffalo Bills	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Miami Dolphins	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
New England Patriots	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
New York Jets	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

AFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Buffalo Bills	2-2 (1.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	-	1-3 (1.5 exp.)	-	-
Miami Dolphins	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-
New England Patriots	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	-	4-0 (2.7 exp.)	-	-
New York Jets	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	-	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	-

Within AFC North

Team	Ravens	Bengals	Browns	Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	—	1-1 (1.4 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
Cincinnati Bengals	1-1 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Cleveland Browns	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Steelers	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Baltimore Ravens	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	-
Cincinnati Bengals	0-4 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	-	-	1-3 (1.7 exp.)	-
Cleveland Browns	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	-	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-
Pittsburgh Steelers	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	-	-	3-1 (2.5 exp.)	-

Within AFC South

Team	Texans	Colts	Jaguars	Titans
Houston Texans	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)
Indianapolis Colts	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)
Tennessee Titans	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—

AFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Houston Texans	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.3 exp.)	1-3 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-
Indianapolis Colts	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)	3-1 (2.4 exp.)	2-2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	-
Jacksonville Jaguars	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-
Tennessee Titans	0-1 (0.6 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (2.3 exp.)	3-1 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-

Within AFC West

Team	Broncos	Chiefs	Raiders	Chargers
Denver Broncos	—	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (0.5 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	—	2-0 (0.5 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	2-0 (1.5 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (1.5 exp.)	—

AFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Denver Broncos	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (2.1 exp.)
Kansas City Chiefs	1-0 (0.7 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	4-0 (2.2 exp.)
Oakland Raiders	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.3 exp.)	0-4 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)
San Diego Chargers	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.6 exp.)

Within NFC East

Team	Cowboys	Giants	Eagles	Redskins
Dallas Cowboys	—	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.2 exp.)
New York Giants	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Washington Redskins	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC East vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC North	NFC South	NFC West
Dallas Cowboys	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)
New York Giants	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Philadelphia Eagles	-	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	1-3 (2.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)
Washington Redskins	-	-	2-2 (1.5 exp.)	-	2-2 (1.9 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC North

Team	Bears	Lions	Packers	Vikings
Chicago Bears	—	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.8 exp.)	2-0 (1.1 exp.)
Detroit Lions	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	—	1-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	1-1 (1.2 exp.)	1-1 (1.6 exp.)	—	2-0 (1.2 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.3 exp.)	0-2 (0.8 exp.)	—

NFC North vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC South	NFC West
Chicago Bears	3-1 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)
Detroit Lions	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1-3 (1.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)
Green Bay Packers	2-2 (2.1 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (2.3 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.8 exp.)
Minnesota Vikings	1-3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	3-1 (1.7 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)

Within NFC South

Team	Falcons	Panthers	Saints	Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons	—	2-0 (1.7 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.3 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	0-2 (0.3 exp.)	—	0-2 (0.6 exp.)	0-2 (1.0 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	2-0 (1.4 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.3 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0-2 (0.7 exp.)	2-0 (1.0 exp.)	1-1 (0.7 exp.)	—

NFC South vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC West
Atlanta Falcons	-	3-1 (2.2 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	4-0 (2.7 exp.)
Carolina Panthers	-	0-4 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	2-2 (1.9 exp.)
New Orleans Saints	-	2-2 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.6 exp.)	3-1 (2.8 exp.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-	2-2 (1.7 exp.)	-	-	1-0 (0.5 exp.)	0-1 (0.7 exp.)	4-0 (2.2 exp.)

Within NFC West

Team	Cardinals	49ers	Seahawks	Rams
Arizona Cardinals	—	0-2 (0.9 exp.)	0-2 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	2-0 (1.1 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.1 exp.)	1-1 (1.1 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	2-0 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	—	1-1 (1.0 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (0.9 exp.)	1-1 (1.0 exp.)	—

NFC West vs. Other Divisions

Team	AFC East	AFC North	AFC South	AFC West	NFC East	NFC North	NFC South
Arizona Cardinals	-	-	-	2-2 (2.0 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-3 (2.0 exp.)
San Francisco 49ers	-	-	-	2-2 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.2 exp.)	0-4 (1.6 exp.)
Seattle Seahawks	-	-	-	1-3 (1.8 exp.)	0-1 (0.4 exp.)	1-0 (0.3 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)
St. Louis Rams	-	-	-	2-2 (1.6 exp.)	1-0 (0.4 exp.)	0-1 (0.5 exp.)	1-3 (1.4 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's points in the row and its opponent's points in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	1.17%	1.37%	0.98%	1.76%	0.20%	0.39%	5.86%
7–13	1.17%	2.34%	4.49%	1.95%	2.54%	2.34%	0.39%	15.23%
14–20	1.37%	4.49%	7.81%	6.05%	5.08%	2.34%	0.59%	27.73%
21–27	0.98%	1.95%	6.05%	6.25%	4.10%	1.37%	0.39%	21.09%
28–34	1.76%	2.54%	5.08%	4.10%	2.73%	1.76%	0.59%	18.55%
35–41	0.20%	2.34%	2.34%	1.37%	1.76%	1.17%	—	9.18%
42+	0.39%	0.39%	0.59%	0.39%	0.59%	—	—	2.34%
Total	5.86%	15.23%	27.73%	21.09%	18.55%	9.18%	2.34%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.04	22.04	+0.00
SD	10.30	10.30	15.12
CV	0.47	0.47	—
Max	59	59	+45
Min	0	0	-45

Games Played: 256

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
42+	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	12.50%	18.75%	31.25%	6.25%	31.25%	—	100%

Arizona Cardinals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	27.12	-9.06
SD	11.35	9.46	16.83
CV	0.63	0.35	—
Max	43	41	+30
Min	6	13	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	18.75%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	25.00%	37.50%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Atlanta Falcons — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.88	18.00	+7.88
SD	9.18	7.28	11.77
CV	0.35	0.40	—
Max	41	32	+34
Min	9	7	-14

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	43.75%	25.00%	18.75%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Baltimore Ravens — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.31	16.88	+5.44
SD	9.41	7.88	7.95
CV	0.42	0.47	—
Max	37	34	+24
Min	10	7	-5

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	—	100%

Buffalo Bills — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.69	26.56	-8.88
SD	11.82	11.66	14.50
CV	0.67	0.44	—
Max	49	38	+18
Min	3	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	37.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	6.25%	31.25%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	—	100%

Carolina Panthers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	12.25	25.50	-13.25
SD	6.38	7.12	10.52
CV	0.52	0.28	—
Max	23	37	+7
Min	3	12	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	12.50%	50.00%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Chicago Bears — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.88	17.88	+3.00
SD	10.83	9.20	12.98
CV	0.52	0.51	—
Max	40	36	+26
Min	3	0	-29

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	12.50%	43.75%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Cincinnati Bengals — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	20.12	24.69	-4.56
SD	8.52	11.04	9.48
CV	0.42	0.45	—
Max	34	49	+14
Min	7	7	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	31.25%
14–20	—	—	18.75%	18.75%	—	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	50.00%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Cleveland Browns — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	16.94	20.75	-3.81
SD	7.86	7.27	11.75
CV	0.46	0.35	—
Max	34	41	+20
Min	6	10	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	6.25%	—	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Dallas Cowboys — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.62	27.25	-2.62
SD	9.61	9.77	12.90
CV	0.39	0.36	—
Max	38	45	+16
Min	7	13	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	—	6.25%	12.50%	31.25%	18.75%	18.75%	12.50%	100%

Denver Broncos — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.50	29.44	-7.94
SD	10.39	11.78	16.15
CV	0.48	0.40	—
Max	49	59	+20
Min	6	10	-45

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	100%

Detroit Lions — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.62	23.06	-0.44
SD	10.09	10.77	13.50
CV	0.45	0.47	—
Max	44	45	+38
Min	7	3	-21

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	18.75%	18.75%	37.50%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Green Bay Packers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.25	15.00	+9.25
SD	12.32	9.34	14.05
CV	0.51	0.62	—
Max	45	31	+38
Min	3	0	-4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%	56.25%	—	—	100%

Houston Texans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.38	26.69	-2.31
SD	7.58	8.45	11.96
CV	0.31	0.32	—
Max	35	34	+20
Min	10	0	-24

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	—	100%

Indianapolis Colts — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.19	24.25	+2.94
SD	6.07	8.64	10.65
CV	0.22	0.36	—
Max	38	38	+24
Min	14	9	-22

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	31.25%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	—	25.00%	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Jacksonville Jaguars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.06	26.19	-4.12
SD	10.59	9.01	14.88
CV	0.48	0.34	—
Max	38	42	+18
Min	3	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	6.25%	25.00%	31.25%	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Kansas City Chiefs — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.88	20.38	+2.50
SD	12.41	11.35	16.48
CV	0.54	0.56	—
Max	42	49	+22
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
7–13	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
14–20	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	37.50%	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Miami Dolphins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.06	20.81	-3.75
SD	8.90	10.46	13.26
CV	0.52	0.50	—
Max	33	41	+16
Min	0	6	-31

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	25.00%
14–20	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	25.00%
21–27	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	12.50%	31.25%	25.00%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Minnesota Vikings — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	17.56	21.75	-4.19
SD	9.27	8.33	13.89
CV	0.53	0.38	—
Max	38	40	+24
Min	3	10	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14–20	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	12.50%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
42+	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
Total	12.50%	12.50%	25.00%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

New England Patriots — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	32.38	19.56	+12.81
SD	9.74	9.98	16.81
CV	0.30	0.51	—
Max	45	34	+42
Min	14	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	12.50%	—	—	37.50%
21–27	—	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
28–34	12.50%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	37.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	18.75%	25.00%	25.00%	—	—	100%

New Orleans Saints — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.00	19.19	+4.81
SD	7.53	9.41	12.52
CV	0.31	0.49	—
Max	34	30	+31
Min	13	3	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	37.50%
21–27	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
28–34	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	18.75%	25.00%	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

New York Giants — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	24.62	21.69	+2.94
SD	9.49	13.68	18.30
CV	0.39	0.63	—
Max	41	45	+34
Min	10	3	-28

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	6.25%	18.75%
7–13	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
21–27	—	6.25%	25.00%	—	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	31.25%	43.75%	12.50%	—	6.25%	6.25%	100%

New York Jets — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.94	19.00	+3.94
SD	12.05	10.53	16.04
CV	0.53	0.55	—
Max	38	45	+31
Min	0	7	-42

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	6.25%	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	12.50%	25.00%	18.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	100%

Oakland Raiders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	25.62	23.19	+2.44
SD	13.24	10.69	19.87
CV	0.52	0.46	—
Max	59	38	+45
Min	3	3	-32

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	—	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	18.75%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	25.00%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	25.00%
35–41	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
Total	6.25%	—	25.00%	37.50%	25.00%	6.25%	—	100%

Philadelphia Eagles — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.44	23.56	+3.88
SD	11.51	8.37	12.51
CV	0.42	0.36	—
Max	59	37	+31
Min	12	3	-18

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	12.50%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	31.25%
28–34	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	—	18.75%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	43.75%	18.75%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	100%

Pittsburgh Steelers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	23.44	14.50	+8.94
SD	9.08	9.06	14.16
CV	0.39	0.62	—
Max	41	39	+32
Min	10	3	-13

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	18.75%	18.75%	31.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

San Diego Chargers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	27.56	20.12	+7.44
SD	8.98	9.77	16.42
CV	0.33	0.49	—
Max	41	35	+31
Min	13	0	-15

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	12.50%	—	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	—	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35–41	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	18.75%	37.50%	25.00%	—	—	100%

San Francisco 49ers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.06	21.62	-2.56
SD	10.77	9.02	17.22
CV	0.56	0.42	—
Max	40	34	+31
Min	0	6	-27

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%
14–20	6.25%	—	—	—	18.75%	6.25%	—	31.25%
21–27	—	6.25%	12.50%	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	31.25%
28–34	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	31.25%	—	25.00%	18.75%	6.25%	100%

Seattle Seahawks — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	19.38	25.44	-6.06
SD	9.66	12.62	18.76
CV	0.50	0.50	—
Max	36	42	+25
Min	3	6	-34

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	12.50%	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	6.25%	43.75%	12.50%	18.75%	—	6.25%	100%

St. Louis Rams — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.06	20.50	-2.44
SD	7.81	10.89	14.43
CV	0.43	0.53	—
Max	36	44	+17
Min	6	3	-38

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
14–20	—	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
21–27	6.25%	6.25%	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
28–34	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
35–41	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	12.50%	12.50%	—	100%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	21.31	19.88	+1.44
SD	8.76	10.07	13.71
CV	0.41	0.51	—
Max	38	38	+23
Min	6	0	-25

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
7–13	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
14–20	—	—	6.25%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	31.25%
21–27	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	—	6.25%
28–34	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
35–41	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	12.50%	37.50%	18.75%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Tennessee Titans — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	22.25	21.19	+1.06
SD	11.13	8.47	15.31
CV	0.50	0.40	—
Max	38	34	+27
Min	0	3	-20

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0–6	7–13	14–20	21–27	28–34	35–41	42+	Total
0–6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
7–13	—	6.25%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
14–20	—	12.50%	31.25%	—	6.25%	—	—	50.00%
21–27	—	—	—	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	18.75%
28–34	—	—	—	—	6.25%	—	6.25%	12.50%
35–41	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
42+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	18.75%	37.50%	6.25%	25.00%	6.25%	6.25%	100%

Washington Redskins — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	18.88	23.56	-4.69
SD	6.34	12.95	10.57
CV	0.34	0.55	—
Max	30	59	+6
Min	7	7	-31

Games Played: 16

Wins vs. Points Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Wins plotted against points scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in wins per 10 points).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.50	+0.3
Allowed	0.52	-0.4
Differential	0.82	+0.3

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	New England Patriots	14	9.96	+4.04
2	Atlanta Falcons	13	9.89	+3.11
3	Chicago Bears	11	8.51	+2.49
4	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10	7.56	+2.44
5	Baltimore Ravens	12	9.90	+2.10

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Carolina Panthers	2	6.00	-4.00
2	Arizona Cardinals	5	7.82	-2.82
3	Tennessee Titans	6	8.65	-2.65
4	Denver Broncos	4	6.64	-2.64
5	Cincinnati Bengals	4	6.09	-2.09

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Detroit Lions	4	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 112
2	New England Patriots	8	Nov 14 – Jan 2	1 in 40
3	Atlanta Falcons	8	Oct 24 – Dec 19	1 in 32
4	New York Giants	5	Oct 3 – Nov 7	1 in 26
5	Chicago Bears	5	Nov 7 – Dec 5	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cincinnati Bengals	10	Oct 3 – Dec 12	1 in 250
2	Tennessee Titans	6	Oct 31 – Dec 9	1 in 209
3	Arizona Cardinals	7	Oct 24 – Dec 5	1 in 145
4	Dallas Cowboys	5	Oct 10 – Nov 7	1 in 40
5	Buffalo Bills	8	Sep 12 – Nov 7	1 in 35

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4
New England Patriots	47.45%	37.13%	12.86%	2.56%
New York Jets	44.39%	38.29%	14.33%	2.99%
Miami Dolphins	6.97%	19.38%	50.25%	23.40%
Buffalo Bills	1.19%	5.21%	22.56%	71.05%

Team	1	2	3	4
Pittsburgh Steelers	51.62%	37.03%	9.12%	2.22%
Baltimore Ravens	43.24%	42.46%	11.25%	3.05%
Cleveland Browns	2.99%	11.25%	41.55%	44.22%
Cincinnati Bengals	2.15%	9.26%	38.08%	50.51%

Team	1	2	3	4
Indianapolis Colts	50.51%	26.89%	15.22%	7.38%
Tennessee Titans	26.51%	31.80%	24.79%	16.90%
Houston Texans	13.92%	23.44%	31.18%	31.47%
Jacksonville Jaguars	9.06%	17.88%	28.81%	44.25%

Team	1	2	3	4
San Diego Chargers	63.66%	24.31%	8.96%	3.06%
Kansas City Chiefs	23.75%	38.71%	24.13%	13.42%
Oakland Raiders	6.71%	19.22%	34.00%	40.06%
Denver Broncos	5.88%	17.76%	32.90%	43.46%

Team	1	2	3	4
Philadelphia Eagles	48.70%	28.45%	15.87%	6.99%
New York Giants	31.22%	33.45%	23.23%	12.10%
Dallas Cowboys	14.28%	24.93%	34.45%	26.34%
Washington Redskins	5.80%	13.17%	26.46%	54.57%

Team	1	2	3	4
Green Bay Packers	53.37%	28.82%	14.52%	3.29%
Chicago Bears	27.89%	35.68%	27.44%	8.98%
Minnesota Vikings	17.09%	28.92%	38.66%	15.33%
Detroit Lions	1.64%	6.59%	19.38%	72.39%

Team	1	2	3	4
New Orleans Saints	49.92%	34.42%	12.61%	3.05%
Atlanta Falcons	41.10%	39.62%	15.59%	3.69%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	7.40%	19.27%	45.99%	27.33%
Carolina Panthers	1.58%	6.69%	25.81%	65.92%

Team	1	2	3	4
Arizona Cardinals	35.85%	26.92%	21.43%	15.79%
San Francisco 49ers	28.14%	27.07%	24.20%	20.59%
Seattle Seahawks	19.53%	23.88%	27.10%	29.49%
St. Louis Rams	16.47%	22.13%	27.28%	34.13%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.94%	14.43%	12.33%	11.02%	9.79%	8.48%	7.32%	5.73%	3.91%	2.88%	2.12%	1.65%	1.05%	0.72%	0.42%	0.22%
San Diego Chargers	14.32%	14.52%	13.79%	12.34%	9.61%	7.82%	6.84%	5.89%	4.24%	3.35%	2.51%	1.80%	1.27%	0.87%	0.56%	0.26%
New England Patriots	15.51%	13.08%	11.70%	10.75%	10.00%	8.66%	7.86%	6.51%	4.61%	3.51%	2.77%	2.07%	1.29%	0.84%	0.54%	0.28%
Baltimore Ravens	13.44%	12.56%	11.82%	11.14%	10.35%	9.31%	8.25%	6.79%	4.64%	3.61%	2.72%	2.00%	1.48%	0.99%	0.59%	0.31%
New York Jets	13.56%	12.70%	11.77%	10.86%	10.08%	9.04%	8.02%	6.68%	4.98%	3.87%	3.06%	2.14%	1.44%	0.90%	0.61%	0.29%
Indianapolis Colts	11.72%	12.10%	11.78%	10.96%	9.67%	8.42%	7.41%	6.45%	5.63%	4.48%	3.48%	2.79%	2.14%	1.52%	0.96%	0.48%
Tennessee Titans	4.83%	6.17%	7.06%	7.76%	8.43%	8.94%	8.65%	8.40%	8.12%	7.23%	6.31%	5.49%	4.86%	3.68%	2.62%	1.46%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.45%	5.03%	6.23%	7.23%	7.74%	8.68%	9.29%	9.59%	8.36%	7.50%	6.77%	5.88%	5.02%	3.93%	3.25%	2.07%
Houston Texans	1.71%	2.97%	3.75%	4.47%	5.83%	6.65%	7.18%	7.51%	8.80%	8.85%	8.70%	8.30%	8.23%	7.20%	5.91%	3.93%
Miami Dolphins	1.06%	1.66%	2.31%	3.04%	4.20%	5.17%	5.94%	7.17%	8.79%	10.03%	10.42%	10.16%	8.89%	7.90%	6.94%	6.32%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.79%	1.60%	2.38%	3.17%	4.01%	4.89%	5.69%	6.60%	8.12%	8.41%	8.54%	9.18%	10.39%	9.90%	8.96%	7.37%
Oakland Raiders	0.52%	1.02%	1.54%	2.26%	3.06%	4.06%	4.94%	6.02%	7.40%	8.40%	9.06%	9.85%	10.36%	10.59%	11.27%	9.67%
Denver Broncos	0.51%	0.95%	1.51%	2.06%	2.77%	3.81%	4.56%	5.70%	6.93%	8.04%	8.95%	10.02%	10.74%	11.15%	11.99%	10.31%
Cleveland Browns	0.33%	0.65%	0.99%	1.44%	2.08%	2.83%	3.60%	4.75%	6.52%	7.86%	9.50%	10.55%	11.29%	12.12%	12.47%	13.03%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.23%	0.40%	0.69%	0.97%	1.58%	2.05%	2.83%	3.96%	5.52%	7.33%	9.06%	10.50%	11.33%	13.50%	14.71%	15.34%
Buffalo Bills	0.09%	0.17%	0.32%	0.53%	0.81%	1.17%	1.61%	2.25%	3.43%	4.64%	6.02%	7.64%	10.23%	14.21%	18.21%	28.67%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
New Orleans Saints	24.12%	16.59%	12.77%	10.32%	8.51%	7.04%	5.45%	4.09%	3.26%	2.51%	1.88%	1.38%	0.98%	0.58%	0.36%	0.14%
Atlanta Falcons	18.87%	14.22%	11.99%	10.75%	9.32%	8.37%	6.60%	5.21%	4.17%	3.35%	2.50%	1.78%	1.29%	0.84%	0.50%	0.25%
Green Bay Packers	14.46%	14.42%	12.71%	10.66%	9.03%	8.10%	6.98%	5.84%	4.64%	3.76%	3.21%	2.32%	1.61%	1.11%	0.73%	0.41%
Philadelphia Eagles	14.64%	14.03%	12.06%	10.06%	8.96%	7.87%	6.77%	5.66%	4.81%	4.06%	3.35%	2.70%	2.14%	1.41%	0.97%	0.52%
New York Giants	7.13%	8.97%	9.47%	8.94%	8.84%	8.56%	8.26%	7.43%	6.63%	6.09%	5.29%	4.51%	3.68%	2.91%	2.08%	1.21%
Chicago Bears	5.71%	7.48%	8.21%	8.31%	8.43%	8.48%	8.52%	7.93%	7.23%	6.73%	6.15%	5.19%	4.22%	3.11%	2.50%	1.79%
Arizona Cardinals	2.89%	4.66%	6.16%	7.47%	7.53%	7.49%	7.65%	7.90%	7.40%	7.16%	7.00%	6.79%	6.16%	5.34%	4.82%	3.58%
Minnesota Vikings	2.84%	4.20%	5.15%	5.71%	6.52%	7.12%	7.52%	7.92%	8.10%	8.27%	8.39%	8.01%	6.75%	5.41%	4.61%	3.48%
Dallas Cowboys	2.69%	3.96%	4.77%	5.55%	6.25%	6.97%	7.40%	7.66%	8.11%	8.16%	8.19%	7.80%	7.30%	6.42%	5.13%	3.62%
San Francisco 49ers	1.75%	3.15%	4.51%	5.71%	6.24%	6.30%	7.10%	7.87%	7.76%	7.61%	7.70%	8.15%	7.24%	6.88%	6.57%	5.47%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.15%	2.82%	3.64%	4.68%	5.63%	6.41%	6.82%	7.57%	8.96%	9.40%	8.99%	8.17%	7.77%	6.97%	5.71%	4.30%
Seattle Seahawks	0.97%	1.89%	2.93%	4.00%	4.72%	5.19%	6.08%	6.79%	7.07%	7.60%	8.42%	8.83%	8.89%	9.28%	9.10%	8.22%
St. Louis Rams	0.69%	1.46%	2.36%	3.45%	4.07%	4.52%	5.45%	6.40%	6.81%	7.30%	8.06%	9.03%	9.24%	9.80%	10.50%	10.86%
Washington Redskins	0.69%	1.38%	1.97%	2.42%	3.12%	3.80%	4.54%	5.24%	6.48%	7.17%	7.88%	9.25%	10.94%	12.25%	11.95%	10.91%
Carolina Panthers	0.29%	0.53%	0.83%	1.28%	1.79%	2.32%	2.95%	3.99%	5.36%	6.49%	7.55%	8.97%	11.86%	14.37%	15.56%	15.87%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.24%	0.44%	0.68%	1.02%	1.47%	1.92%	2.53%	3.20%	4.32%	5.45%	7.12%	9.92%	13.32%	18.92%	29.35%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32
New Orleans Saints	11.34%	10.88%	8.16%	8.25%	6.28%	6.66%	5.43%	5.35%	4.26%	4.48%	3.62%	3.73%	2.92%	2.80%	2.23%	2.20%	1.81%	1.66%	1.36%	1.23%	1.02%	0.93%	0.82%	0.62%	0.52%	0.41%	0.34%	0.26%	0.19%	0.15%	0.07%	0.04%
Pittsburgh Steelers	11.35%	8.52%	8.46%	6.69%	6.91%	5.67%	5.84%	5.10%	5.19%	4.24%	4.11%	3.76%	3.64%	3.11%	2.63%	2.46%	1.94%	1.77%	1.51%	1.24%	1.12%	0.93%	0.84%	0.73%	0.54%	0.46%	0.40%	0.29%	0.22%	0.15%	0.11%	0.05%
San Diego Chargers	8.62%	7.84%	7.86%	7.32%	7.04%	6.35%	6.07%	5.76%	4.87%	4.43%	4.12%	3.60%	3.50%	3.02%	2.83%	2.50%	2.19%	1.93%	1.78%	1.46%	1.29%	1.10%	0.97%	0.81%	0.66%	0.57%	0.45%	0.36%	0.29%	0.20%	0.13%	0.08%
New England Patriots	9.43%	7.51%	7.78%	6.27%	6.60%	5.39%	6.00%	4.85%	5.43%	4.15%	4.58%	3.76%	3.97%	3.29%	3.02%	2.82%	2.38%	2.02%	1.76%	1.57%	1.37%	1.26%	1.04%	0.95%	0.67%	0.57%	0.46%	0.37%	0.32%	0.19%	0.14%	0.08%
Atlanta Falcons	8.23%	8.73%	6.80%	7.15%	6.11%	6.20%	5.50%	5.43%	4.61%	4.83%	4.21%	4.51%	3.28%	3.41%	2.78%	2.92%	2.26%	2.15%	1.75%	1.71%	1.37%	1.29%	0.96%	0.90%	0.74%	0.62%	0.46%	0.38%	0.29%	0.24%	0.12%	0.08%
Baltimore Ravens	8.36%	6.86%	7.21%	6.24%	6.68%	5.58%	5.85%	5.33%	5.41%	4.58%	4.52%	4.12%	4.08%	3.51%	3.08%	2.92%	2.40%	2.21%	1.77%	1.66%	1.44%	1.19%	1.00%	0.91%	0.79%	0.62%	0.52%	0.42%	0.31%	0.23%	0.15%	0.08%
New York Jets	8.16%	7.04%	7.43%	6.24%	6.49%	5.61%	5.89%	5.05%	5.34%	4.41%	4.46%	4.10%	4.05%	3.53%	3.02%	2.83%	2.46%	2.33%	2.01%	1.70%	1.46%	1.33%	1.05%	0.95%	0.72%	0.67%	0.46%	0.39%	0.33%	0.23%	0.16%	0.09%
Green Bay Packers	5.89%	7.02%	6.17%	7.05%	5.90%	6.56%	5.23%	5.68%	4.49%	5.00%	4.17%	4.47%	3.46%	3.72%	3.24%	3.19%	2.45%	2.45%	2.12%	1.98%	1.72%	1.64%	1.19%	1.20%	0.89%	0.86%	0.65%	0.52%	0.40%	0.33%	0.24%	0.12%
Indianapolis Colts	6.93%	6.30%	6.95%	5.98%	6.25%	5.50%	5.81%	4.95%	5.36%	4.23%	4.38%	3.67%	4.05%	3.35%	3.24%	2.78%	2.86%	2.53%	2.35%	1.91%	1.72%	1.53%	1.44%	1.23%	1.04%	0.98%	0.74%	0.68%	0.45%	0.40%	0.27%	0.13%
Philadelphia Eagles	6.08%	7.09%	6.28%	6.71%	5.77%	6.13%	5.17%	5.12%	4.54%	4.83%	4.25%	4.06%	3.52%	3.47%	3.22%	3.05%	2.59%	2.43%	2.23%	2.08%	1.83%	1.74%	1.49%	1.30%	1.16%	0.99%	0.81%	0.66%	0.53%	0.41%	0.29%	0.18%
New York Giants	2.60%	3.56%	3.77%	4.55%	4.18%	4.88%	4.27%	4.65%	4.18%	4.81%	4.16%	4.54%	4.03%	4.33%	3.87%	4.03%	3.44%	3.52%	3.18%	3.14%	2.82%	2.73%	2.41%	2.32%	1.98%	1.83%	1.53%	1.45%	1.10%	0.96%	0.73%	0.42%
Tennessee Titans	2.55%	2.82%	3.50%	3.33%	3.96%	3.55%	4.23%	4.06%	4.62%	3.90%	4.61%	4.13%	4.62%	4.00%	4.16%	3.69%	4.23%	3.80%	3.76%	3.14%	3.20%	2.83%	2.93%	2.49%	2.38%	2.14%	1.90%	1.67%	1.39%	1.10%	0.82%	0.49%
Chicago Bears	2.20%	2.76%	3.06%	3.75%	3.77%	4.17%	3.94%	4.18%	3.86%	4.55%	4.07%	4.60%	3.93%	4.54%	4.03%	4.36%	3.51%	3.85%	3.26%	3.79%	3.14%	3.21%	2.57%	2.76%	2.25%	2.21%	1.76%	1.62%	1.35%	1.26%	1.00%	0.70%
Kansas City Chiefs	1.76%	2.18%	2.77%	2.85%	3.37%	3.45%	3.67%	3.92%	4.05%	3.91%	4.36%	4.27%	4.57%	4.43%	4.50%	4.34%	4.18%	3.93%	3.79%	3.49%	3.45%	3.08%	3.14%	2.68%	2.65%	2.24%	2.15%	1.80%	1.72%	1.43%	1.10%	0.78%
Arizona Cardinals	0.86%	1.57%	1.67%	2.38%	2.33%	3.22%	2.89%	3.75%	3.22%	4.24%	3.53%	4.02%	3.39%	4.26%	4.10%	4.31%	3.48%	3.76%	3.92%	4.08%	3.78%	3.57%	3.45%	3.52%	3.38%	3.14%	2.97%	2.71%	2.63%	2.31%	2.06%	1.52%
Minnesota Vikings	0.88%	1.36%	1.66%	2.04%	2.25%	2.56%	2.74%	2.87%	2.96%	3.40%	3.43%	3.83%	3.49%	3.90%	4.03%	4.25%	4.01%	4.20%	3.98%	4.56%	4.02%	4.35%	3.84%	4.08%	3.52%	3.63%	2.93%	2.93%	2.55%	2.29%	1.91%	1.55%
Dallas Cowboys	0.74%	1.35%	1.54%	2.00%	2.10%	2.50%	2.61%	2.77%	3.00%	3.31%	3.40%	3.58%	3.64%	3.65%	4.00%	4.07%	4.20%	4.11%	4.12%	4.15%	4.16%	4.23%	3.96%	3.92%	3.75%	3.75%	3.28%	3.28%	2.68%	2.63%	2.01%	1.51%
Houston Texans	0.76%	1.08%	1.63%	1.65%	2.10%	1.94%	2.55%	2.42%	3.32%	2.65%	3.67%	3.14%	4.01%	3.41%	3.99%	3.47%	4.63%	4.07%	4.49%	3.99%	4.41%	4.18%	4.17%	3.99%	3.92%	3.83%	3.54%	3.46%	2.86%	2.88%	2.23%	1.56%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	0.64%	1.08%	1.15%	1.50%	1.68%	1.99%	2.19%	2.36%	2.49%	3.04%	2.85%	3.59%	3.30%	3.61%	3.63%	4.21%	4.13%	4.69%	4.38%	4.89%	4.44%	4.65%	4.11%	4.22%	3.95%	3.88%	3.79%	3.42%	3.04%	2.81%	2.35%	1.93%
San Francisco 49ers	0.48%	0.93%	1.08%	1.51%	1.70%	2.27%	2.20%	2.80%	2.57%	3.49%	2.94%	3.22%	3.16%	3.98%	3.85%	4.27%	3.39%	4.13%	3.98%	4.39%	3.98%	4.00%	3.93%	4.23%	3.88%	3.99%	3.65%	3.57%	3.54%	3.36%	3.06%	2.49%
Miami Dolphins	0.45%	0.65%	0.89%	1.02%	1.24%	1.29%	1.75%	1.77%	2.35%	2.18%	2.75%	2.58%	3.24%	3.27%	3.55%	3.47%	4.36%	4.54%	4.48%	4.72%	4.73%	5.17%	4.75%	4.91%	4.29%	4.50%	4.08%	3.96%	3.71%	3.39%	3.27%	2.70%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.36%	0.50%	0.82%	0.97%	1.28%	1.32%	1.70%	1.82%	2.24%	1.95%	2.62%	2.49%	3.14%	2.95%	3.30%	3.20%	4.14%	3.90%	4.22%	4.01%	4.23%	4.30%	4.76%	4.51%	5.04%	4.78%	4.94%	4.71%	4.53%	4.17%	3.94%	3.17%
Seattle Seahawks	0.26%	0.50%	0.63%	0.90%	1.11%	1.47%	1.49%	1.96%	1.92%	2.60%	2.30%	2.58%	2.69%	3.30%	3.39%	3.54%	3.25%	3.66%	3.88%	4.29%	4.33%	4.23%	4.35%	4.56%	4.62%	4.72%	4.59%	4.92%	4.68%	4.87%	4.35%	4.05%
St. Louis Rams	0.17%	0.37%	0.46%	0.74%	0.84%	1.20%	1.17%	1.73%	1.62%	2.32%	1.98%	2.29%	2.28%	3.00%	3.05%	3.48%	2.95%	3.53%	3.71%	4.16%	4.09%	4.13%	4.36%	4.77%	4.77%	4.86%	4.96%	5.26%	5.30%	5.41%	5.55%	5.49%
Oakland Raiders	0.20%	0.32%	0.51%	0.56%	0.88%	0.89%	1.17%	1.30%	1.60%	1.61%	2.21%	2.11%	2.63%	2.50%	3.06%	2.89%	3.87%	3.62%	4.11%	3.95%	4.50%	4.39%	4.92%	4.84%	5.14%	5.04%	5.25%	5.17%	5.45%	5.59%	5.23%	4.51%
Denver Broncos	0.21%	0.30%	0.47%	0.57%	0.80%	0.85%	1.12%	1.15%	1.54%	1.46%	2.04%	1.93%	2.53%	2.30%	2.89%	2.83%	3.63%	3.42%	4.07%	3.67%	4.50%	4.35%	5.04%	4.94%	5.27%	5.09%	5.67%	5.43%	5.85%	5.80%	5.41%	4.86%
Washington Redskins	0.16%	0.33%	0.44%	0.67%	0.79%	1.04%	1.04%	1.22%	1.41%	1.62%	1.78%	1.92%	2.24%	2.34%	2.65%	2.84%	3.19%	3.26%	3.57%	3.77%	3.94%	4.15%	4.62%	4.78%	5.28%	5.53%	5.77%	6.27%	5.84%	6.18%	5.73%	5.60%
Cleveland Browns	0.12%	0.22%	0.31%	0.40%	0.56%	0.55%	0.82%	0.81%	1.14%	1.11%	1.52%	1.53%	2.05%	1.99%	2.38%	2.39%	3.35%	3.35%	3.68%	3.85%	4.49%	4.77%	5.01%	5.16%	5.50%	5.55%	6.02%	5.98%	6.56%	6.05%	6.58%	6.18%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.08%	0.13%	0.21%	0.24%	0.38%	0.37%	0.58%	0.54%	0.87%	0.81%	1.14%	1.17%	1.57%	1.59%	1.98%	2.02%	2.83%	2.91%	3.55%	3.52%	4.23%	4.50%	4.96%	5.35%	5.50%	5.80%	6.30%	6.74%	7.17%	7.46%	7.75%	7.74%
Carolina Panthers	0.05%	0.12%	0.17%	0.27%	0.35%	0.43%	0.53%	0.64%	0.71%	0.93%	1.01%	1.28%	1.33%	1.55%	1.93%	2.19%	2.59%	2.75%	2.97%	3.37%	3.75%	4.11%	4.55%	4.62%	5.65%	6.15%	6.63%	7.25%	7.36%	8.13%	8.00%	8.62%
Buffalo Bills	0.03%	0.04%	0.10%	0.10%	0.17%	0.17%	0.30%	0.32%	0.42%	0.42%	0.60%	0.67%	0.88%	0.89%	1.17%	1.17%	1.80%	1.86%	2.26%	2.23%	2.92%	3.12%	3.81%	3.98%	4.89%	5.37%	6.62%	7.13%	8.71%	9.43%	12.51%	15.91%
Detroit Lions	0.02%	0.05%	0.07%	0.10%	0.13%	0.23%	0.25%	0.34%	0.41%	0.52%	0.60%	0.73%	0.82%	1.00%	1.23%	1.30%	1.51%	1.66%	1.99%	2.30%	2.54%	3.02%	3.54%	3.79%	4.67%	5.21%	6.34%	6.95%	8.65%	9.96%	12.75%	17.30%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Pittsburgh Steelers	17.94%	13.98%	11.25%	8.46%	12.87%	9.28%	26.23%
New England Patriots	15.51%	12.65%	10.92%	8.38%	12.61%	9.41%	30.53%
San Diego Chargers	14.32%	15.41%	15.82%	18.11%	4.96%	5.70%	25.69%
New York Jets	13.56%	12.11%	10.61%	8.11%	13.11%	10.05%	32.44%
Baltimore Ravens	13.44%	11.74%	10.16%	7.90%	14.41%	10.52%	31.82%
Indianapolis Colts	11.72%	12.78%	13.11%	12.89%	7.01%	7.58%	34.89%
Tennessee Titans	4.83%	6.43%	7.30%	7.96%	7.63%	8.87%	56.99%
Kansas City Chiefs	3.45%	5.17%	6.55%	8.58%	6.60%	8.47%	61.18%
Houston Texans	1.71%	3.11%	4.05%	5.04%	4.74%	6.56%	74.78%
Miami Dolphins	1.06%	1.57%	2.10%	2.24%	4.36%	5.47%	83.19%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.79%	1.74%	2.69%	3.84%	2.94%	4.69%	83.32%
Oakland Raiders	0.52%	1.10%	1.80%	3.29%	2.25%	3.72%	87.32%
Denver Broncos	0.51%	1.02%	1.70%	2.65%	2.25%	3.55%	88.33%
Cleveland Browns	0.33%	0.63%	0.93%	1.09%	2.11%	2.88%	92.02%
Cincinnati Bengals	0.23%	0.38%	0.67%	0.87%	1.45%	2.10%	94.30%
Buffalo Bills	0.09%	0.18%	0.35%	0.57%	0.70%	1.15%	96.97%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	Missed Playoffs
New Orleans Saints	24.12%	14.53%	7.92%	3.35%	17.53%	10.04%	22.51%
Atlanta Falcons	18.87%	12.08%	6.98%	3.17%	18.77%	11.47%	28.66%
Philadelphia Eagles	14.64%	14.91%	12.69%	6.46%	8.83%	8.83%	33.64%
Green Bay Packers	14.46%	15.51%	14.92%	8.48%	7.39%	8.08%	31.16%
New York Giants	7.13%	9.43%	9.34%	5.33%	9.08%	9.94%	49.75%
Chicago Bears	5.71%	7.91%	8.78%	5.49%	7.95%	9.35%	54.81%
Arizona Cardinals	2.89%	5.12%	8.99%	18.86%	2.00%	3.59%	58.55%
Minnesota Vikings	2.84%	4.44%	5.86%	3.96%	5.73%	7.36%	69.82%
Dallas Cowboys	2.69%	4.15%	4.62%	2.82%	6.17%	7.81%	71.73%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	2.15%	2.34%	1.90%	1.01%	7.19%	7.76%	77.65%
San Francisco 49ers	1.75%	3.52%	6.68%	16.19%	1.63%	2.98%	67.24%
Seattle Seahawks	0.97%	2.12%	4.48%	11.95%	1.31%	2.70%	76.45%
St. Louis Rams	0.69%	1.62%	3.66%	10.49%	1.15%	2.32%	80.06%
Washington Redskins	0.69%	1.54%	2.08%	1.48%	2.61%	3.94%	87.65%
Carolina Panthers	0.29%	0.50%	0.51%	0.29%	1.94%	2.48%	94.00%
Detroit Lions	0.10%	0.28%	0.59%	0.67%	0.70%	1.35%	96.31%

Wins Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 point is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 point at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home points - average away points per game. The gold line represents the expected home points edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -3.2 · Lean Road: -3.2 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 3.2 · Home-Tilted: 3.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+11.81%

Fortress

55.91%44.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge

21 Elo

0.047 points per Elo point

041.2360

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.95 points

Lean Home

-8+1.94+8

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 5th · Middle of the Pack: 6th to 16th · Longshot: 17th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

11.1

Wide Open

124815

Champion Preseason Odds

10%

Green Bay Packers, 3rd of 32

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

7.5%

Favored

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual wins total and their simulated average wins total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 1.53 · As Expected: 1.53 to 2.1 · Elevated: 2.1 to 2.86 · High Variance: 2.86 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 5.31 · Close: 5.31 to 7.18 · Off Target: 7.18 to 9.37 · Well Off Target: 9.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 32 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.6 · As Expected: 1.6 to 3.84 · Several Outliers: 3.84 to 7.04 · Many Outliers: 7.04 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 3.02 · As Expected: 3.02 to 5.03 · More Than Expected: 5.03 to 8.04 · Far More Than Expected: 8.04 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

1.88 wins

As Expected

01.915

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.69

Pinpoint

06.2515

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.44%

99.57%

New England Patriots

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.56%

2.49%

Carolina Panthers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 32

As Expected

03.216

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 12

Fewer Than Expected

04.012

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly wins were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual wins totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 run/points or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 17 runs/points or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

0.77

Compressed

01.003

Interquartile Edge

73%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 93%

91%

No Contest

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

25%

Some Drama

0%16%100%

Blowouts

Expected

28%

Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.18 · Predictable: 0.18 to 0.22 · Hard to Predict: 0.22 to 0.25 · Coin-Flip: 0.25 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.23

Hard to Predict

00.231

Matchup Imbalance

0.25

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.98

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.37

Weak Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

38%

As Expected

0%37%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

32%

As Expected

0%31%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.53

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.01

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.077

Within Noise

00.0890.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl
New England Patriots	57.36%	57.36%	39.30%	25.92%	16.80%
Atlanta Falcons	57.76%	57.76%	35.62%	21.04%	10.50%
Green Bay Packers	56.10%	56.10%	34.98%	20.45%	10.42%
Pittsburgh Steelers	56.92%	56.92%	32.40%	17.30%	9.66%
Baltimore Ravens	51.24%	51.24%	29.42%	15.94%	9.12%
New Orleans Saints	62.48%	62.48%	35.42%	19.32%	9.00%
New York Jets	48.28%	48.28%	24.38%	11.82%	5.98%
Philadelphia Eagles	51.43%	51.43%	27.91%	13.70%	5.96%
San Diego Chargers	54.41%	54.41%	25.77%	11.19%	5.41%
Indianapolis Colts	46.80%	46.80%	22.26%	9.87%	4.86%
Chicago Bears	31.57%	31.47%	15.93%	7.52%	3.15%
New York Giants	34.23%	34.23%	16.28%	6.99%	2.82%
Kansas City Chiefs	30.20%	20.32%	7.02%	2.26%	0.88%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17.86%	13.16%	5.63%	2.33%	0.85%
Dallas Cowboys	21.43%	16.47%	6.52%	2.48%	0.84%
Tennessee Titans	31.76%	22.23%	6.85%	2.01%	0.72%
Minnesota Vikings	22.91%	16.47%	5.95%	1.99%	0.60%
San Francisco 49ers	27.49%	16.55%	5.25%	1.65%	0.51%
Houston Texans	20.40%	11.88%	3.60%	1.10%	0.40%
Oakland Raiders	11.06%	6.08%	2.20%	0.74%	0.29%
Miami Dolphins	14.18%	7.59%	2.54%	0.82%	0.28%
Jacksonville Jaguars	14.15%	7.17%	2.02%	0.51%	0.18%
Seattle Seahawks	20.45%	9.70%	2.42%	0.60%	0.17%
Arizona Cardinals	33.44%	17.01%	3.62%	0.76%	0.17%
St. Louis Rams	17.62%	8.00%	1.93%	0.49%	0.11%
Washington Redskins	10.12%	5.52%	1.61%	0.44%	0.11%
Cincinnati Bengals	5.09%	2.11%	0.58%	0.16%	0.06%
Cleveland Browns	7.01%	2.89%	0.74%	0.18%	0.06%
Detroit Lions	3.31%	1.61%	0.51%	0.15%	0.05%
Denver Broncos	10.14%	3.71%	0.70%	0.12%	0.02%
Carolina Panthers	5.22%	2.05%	0.41%	0.09%	0.02%
Buffalo Bills	2.76%	1.00%	0.24%	0.05%	0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		82.3%0.34%	80.1%0.46%	79.5%0.61%	85.2%1.12%	75.1%2.29%	57.5%4.88%	77.3%1.53%	70.8%3.49%	75.7%1.74%	39.6%5.12%	55.6%5.20%	71.2%1.23%	50.5%5.95%	56.0%5.52%	73.3%3.54%
Buffalo Bills	17.7%0.34%		57.9%0.04%	46.8%0.05%	59.5%0.08%	32.1%0.17%	24.1%0.34%	46.2%0.09%	34.1%0.18%	39.6%0.05%	10.9%0.25%	18.8%0.21%	39.5%0.08%	19.8%0.34%	18.9%0.35%	42.6%0.22%
Cincinnati Bengals	19.9%0.46%	42.1%0.04%		55.1%0.05%	63.2%0.15%	43.1%0.26%	25.1%0.55%	40.0%0.18%	36.0%0.39%	40.9%0.16%	13.6%0.59%	27.7%0.61%	40.5%0.13%	20.4%0.46%	25.6%0.66%	44.8%0.41%
Cleveland Browns	20.5%0.61%	53.2%0.05%	44.9%0.05%		57.7%0.16%	40.4%0.35%	22.2%0.84%	44.5%0.22%	35.0%0.47%	35.0%0.23%	14.7%0.85%	24.3%0.85%	38.5%0.16%	21.2%0.65%	24.3%0.96%	40.2%0.56%
Denver Broncos	14.8%1.12%	40.5%0.08%	36.8%0.15%	42.3%0.16%		34.1%0.55%	19.5%1.22%	35.1%0.37%	29.4%0.46%	36.3%0.33%	9.6%1.11%	18.5%1.12%	24.6%0.13%	13.6%1.19%	18.5%1.29%	34.4%0.87%
Houston Texans	24.9%2.29%	67.9%0.17%	56.9%0.26%	59.6%0.35%	65.9%0.55%		30.8%2.31%	52.2%0.51%	45.4%1.74%	49.4%0.70%	18.6%2.35%	30.9%2.31%	47.1%0.60%	26.9%2.30%	31.6%2.58%	49.5%1.38%
Indianapolis Colts	42.5%4.88%	75.9%0.34%	74.9%0.55%	77.8%0.84%	80.5%1.22%	69.2%2.31%		72.0%1.62%	64.3%3.59%	68.2%1.69%	33.6%4.50%	49.3%4.55%	62.9%1.36%	44.3%4.54%	49.0%4.45%	69.5%4.16%
Jacksonville Jaguars	22.7%1.53%	53.8%0.09%	60.0%0.18%	55.5%0.22%	64.9%0.37%	47.8%0.51%	28.0%1.62%		42.2%1.11%	46.7%0.51%	16.8%1.58%	31.2%1.68%	40.5%0.37%	26.3%1.60%	29.7%1.87%	49.6%0.93%
Kansas City Chiefs	29.2%3.49%	65.9%0.18%	64.0%0.39%	65.0%0.47%	70.6%0.46%	54.6%1.74%	35.7%3.59%	57.8%1.11%		54.2%1.04%	21.8%3.31%	34.4%3.57%	49.2%0.53%	29.0%3.34%	37.2%4.29%	54.8%2.69%
Miami Dolphins	24.3%1.74%	60.4%0.05%	59.1%0.16%	65.0%0.23%	63.7%0.33%	50.6%0.70%	31.8%1.69%	53.3%0.51%	45.8%1.04%		18.4%1.33%	32.4%1.25%	46.5%0.34%	28.2%1.77%	30.5%1.91%	46.9%1.14%
New England Patriots	60.4%5.12%	89.1%0.25%	86.4%0.59%	85.3%0.85%	90.4%1.11%	81.4%2.35%	66.4%4.50%	83.2%1.58%	78.2%3.31%	81.6%1.33%		66.2%5.71%	75.4%1.19%	60.6%4.84%	65.6%5.05%	80.3%3.54%
New York Jets	44.4%5.20%	81.2%0.21%	72.3%0.61%	75.7%0.85%	81.5%1.12%	69.1%2.31%	50.7%4.55%	68.8%1.68%	65.6%3.57%	67.6%1.25%	33.8%5.71%		62.4%1.28%	44.2%4.98%	50.5%5.03%	68.2%3.57%
Oakland Raiders	28.8%1.23%	60.5%0.08%	59.5%0.13%	61.5%0.16%	75.4%0.13%	52.9%0.60%	37.1%1.36%	59.5%0.37%	50.8%0.53%	53.5%0.34%	24.6%1.19%	37.6%1.28%		33.7%1.26%	37.2%1.42%	57.3%0.98%
Pittsburgh Steelers	49.5%5.95%	80.2%0.34%	79.6%0.46%	78.8%0.65%	86.4%1.19%	73.1%2.30%	55.7%4.54%	73.7%1.60%	71.0%3.34%	71.8%1.77%	39.4%4.84%	55.8%4.98%	66.3%1.26%		53.8%5.04%	72.8%3.61%
San Diego Chargers	44.0%5.52%	81.1%0.35%	74.4%0.66%	75.7%0.96%	81.5%1.29%	68.4%2.58%	51.0%4.45%	70.3%1.87%	62.8%4.29%	69.5%1.91%	34.4%5.05%	49.5%5.03%	62.8%1.42%	46.2%5.04%		69.2%4.16%
Tennessee Titans	26.7%3.54%	57.4%0.22%	55.2%0.41%	59.8%0.56%	65.6%0.87%	50.5%1.38%	30.5%4.16%	50.4%0.93%	45.2%2.69%	53.1%1.14%	19.7%3.54%	31.8%3.57%	42.7%0.98%	27.2%3.61%	30.8%4.16%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		17.5%5.17%	56.6%0.63%	23.8%2.86%	33.8%2.04%	40.2%0.33%	17.3%2.81%	37.1%1.94%	21.2%4.90%	26.4%3.10%	23.8%3.16%	35.2%1.41%	42.8%1.02%	41.4%0.84%	31.6%2.28%	44.6%0.95%
Atlanta Falcons	82.5%5.17%		85.7%0.31%	56.7%3.11%	67.6%1.81%	71.0%0.31%	47.3%4.22%	74.3%2.27%	55.7%4.11%	61.7%3.21%	53.0%3.68%	71.8%4.32%	79.0%3.27%	78.3%2.66%	67.1%1.07%	77.7%0.88%
Carolina Panthers	43.4%0.63%	14.3%0.31%		17.0%0.34%	29.5%0.26%	18.4%0.04%	11.8%0.64%	30.2%0.30%	14.5%0.39%	14.7%0.40%	16.5%0.51%	25.9%0.52%	38.6%0.33%	32.8%0.35%	22.6%0.08%	37.3%0.12%
Chicago Bears	76.2%2.86%	43.3%3.11%	83.0%0.34%		62.3%1.99%	73.4%0.19%	40.3%4.11%	65.4%1.48%	48.0%2.93%	53.9%3.25%	47.3%3.62%	64.6%2.22%	69.4%1.68%	72.3%1.44%	59.3%1.40%	73.1%0.95%
Dallas Cowboys	66.2%2.04%	32.4%1.81%	70.5%0.26%	37.7%1.99%		62.1%0.18%	28.7%2.67%	52.6%1.42%	35.3%1.85%	40.8%1.62%	35.9%2.21%	50.3%1.74%	62.8%1.35%	62.3%1.09%	47.8%0.81%	58.8%0.39%
Detroit Lions	59.8%0.33%	29.0%0.31%	81.6%0.04%	26.6%0.19%	37.9%0.18%		22.1%0.38%	40.8%0.14%	30.3%0.31%	31.6%0.30%	28.1%0.39%	42.7%0.25%	57.6%0.13%	51.1%0.14%	40.3%0.14%	50.6%0.08%
Green Bay Packers	82.7%2.81%	52.7%4.22%	88.2%0.64%	59.7%4.11%	71.3%2.67%	77.9%0.38%		73.9%2.82%	57.4%3.91%	65.6%4.12%	58.2%4.14%	72.2%2.36%	80.2%1.76%	80.3%1.52%	71.7%2.08%	82.4%1.34%
Minnesota Vikings	62.9%1.94%	25.7%2.27%	69.8%0.30%	34.6%1.48%	47.4%1.42%	59.2%0.14%	26.1%2.82%		31.0%2.17%	38.2%2.30%	32.3%2.65%	44.4%1.61%	53.8%1.15%	56.8%1.09%	44.8%0.90%	61.5%0.69%
New Orleans Saints	78.8%4.90%	44.3%4.11%	85.5%0.39%	52.0%2.93%	64.7%1.85%	69.7%0.31%	42.6%3.91%	69.0%2.17%		57.0%3.06%	49.6%3.44%	66.6%4.06%	73.6%2.99%	74.1%2.59%	62.1%1.20%	75.0%0.92%
New York Giants	73.6%3.10%	38.3%3.21%	85.3%0.40%	46.1%3.25%	59.2%1.62%	68.4%0.30%	34.4%4.12%	61.8%2.30%	43.0%3.06%		43.6%4.31%	60.4%2.47%	68.5%1.77%	66.9%1.60%	57.3%1.45%	71.4%0.73%
Philadelphia Eagles	76.2%3.16%	47.0%3.68%	83.5%0.51%	52.7%3.62%	64.1%2.21%	71.9%0.39%	41.8%4.14%	67.7%2.65%	50.4%3.44%	56.4%4.31%		65.0%2.48%	74.1%1.84%	74.3%1.63%	62.0%1.74%	74.7%1.01%
San Francisco 49ers	64.8%1.41%	28.2%4.32%	74.1%0.52%	35.4%2.22%	49.7%1.74%	57.3%0.25%	27.8%2.36%	55.6%1.61%	33.4%4.06%	39.6%2.47%	35.0%2.48%		61.9%0.81%	61.6%0.63%	47.3%1.88%	60.9%0.72%
Seattle Seahawks	57.2%1.02%	21.0%3.27%	61.4%0.33%	30.6%1.68%	37.2%1.35%	42.4%0.13%	19.8%1.76%	46.2%1.15%	26.4%2.99%	31.5%1.77%	25.9%1.84%	38.1%0.81%		51.8%0.45%	37.5%1.35%	55.4%0.55%
St. Louis Rams	58.6%0.84%	21.7%2.66%	67.2%0.35%	27.7%1.44%	37.7%1.09%	48.9%0.14%	19.7%1.52%	43.2%1.09%	25.9%2.59%	33.1%1.60%	25.7%1.63%	38.4%0.63%	48.2%0.45%		34.4%1.15%	57.7%0.45%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	68.4%2.28%	32.9%1.07%	77.4%0.08%	40.7%1.40%	52.2%0.81%	59.7%0.14%	28.3%2.08%	55.2%0.90%	37.9%1.20%	42.7%1.45%	38.0%1.74%	52.7%1.88%	62.5%1.35%	65.6%1.15%		63.9%0.34%
Washington Redskins	55.4%0.95%	22.3%0.88%	62.7%0.12%	26.9%0.95%	41.2%0.39%	49.4%0.08%	17.6%1.34%	38.5%0.69%	25.0%0.92%	28.6%0.73%	25.3%1.01%	39.1%0.72%	44.6%0.55%	42.3%0.45%	36.1%0.34%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		82.1%0.14%	78.0%0.18%	78.9%0.25%	86.1%0.48%	73.4%1.60%	58.2%6.88%	76.3%1.10%	71.0%2.88%	74.1%1.08%	39.4%8.27%	56.1%6.85%	67.8%0.87%	51.3%9.26%	59.4%8.14%	74.1%3.26%
Buffalo Bills	17.9%0.14%		40.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	55.6%0.03%	21.9%0.15%	38.5%0.01%	40.9%0.04%	33.3%<0.01%	9.0%0.13%	23.9%0.07%	16.7%0.01%	19.4%0.17%	26.7%0.17%	46.0%0.05%
Cincinnati Bengals	22.0%0.18%	60.0%<0.01%		25.0%<0.01%	60.7%0.03%	44.6%0.07%	29.8%0.26%	55.2%0.03%	35.8%0.11%	50.0%0.04%	14.9%0.34%	24.7%0.30%	37.5%0.03%	23.6%0.26%	24.3%0.34%	47.4%0.12%
Cleveland Browns	21.1%0.25%	100.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%		81.8%0.02%	40.5%0.08%	26.5%0.39%	50.9%0.05%	38.5%0.12%	25.5%0.05%	14.8%0.48%	23.7%0.37%	21.7%0.05%	18.1%0.34%	26.6%0.53%	42.9%0.15%
Denver Broncos	13.9%0.48%	50.0%0.01%	39.3%0.03%	18.2%0.02%		34.0%0.10%	19.0%0.49%	33.8%0.07%	30.2%0.10%	31.3%0.07%	9.3%0.66%	18.5%0.45%	23.1%0.03%	17.2%0.65%	21.5%0.33%	35.8%0.23%
Houston Texans	26.6%1.60%	44.4%0.03%	55.4%0.07%	59.5%0.08%	66.0%0.10%		35.6%0.97%	56.3%0.09%	46.6%0.62%	42.3%0.25%	18.9%1.98%	29.4%1.57%	43.2%0.16%	23.5%2.04%	33.4%1.97%	49.9%0.36%
Indianapolis Colts	41.8%6.88%	78.1%0.15%	70.2%0.26%	73.5%0.39%	81.0%0.49%	64.4%0.97%		68.1%0.50%	62.7%2.87%	64.6%1.00%	32.7%7.89%	47.3%6.52%	59.9%0.81%	42.7%7.71%	50.4%8.30%	66.3%2.06%
Jacksonville Jaguars	23.7%1.10%	61.5%0.01%	44.8%0.03%	49.1%0.05%	66.2%0.07%	43.7%0.09%	31.9%0.50%		40.0%0.36%	42.0%0.14%	18.3%1.22%	25.2%0.95%	48.5%0.10%	23.1%1.18%	31.6%1.17%	55.3%0.19%
Kansas City Chiefs	29.0%2.88%	59.1%0.04%	64.2%0.11%	61.5%0.12%	69.8%0.10%	53.4%0.62%	37.3%2.87%	60.0%0.36%		53.3%0.36%	22.1%3.43%	34.0%2.72%	50.0%0.13%	29.7%3.36%	36.9%2.04%	53.9%1.20%
Miami Dolphins	25.9%1.08%	66.7%<0.01%	50.0%0.04%	74.5%0.05%	68.7%0.07%	57.7%0.25%	35.4%1.00%	58.0%0.14%	46.7%0.36%		18.2%0.93%	32.7%0.75%	50.5%0.10%	26.9%1.24%	34.4%1.24%	51.9%0.34%
New England Patriots	60.6%8.27%	91.0%0.13%	85.1%0.34%	85.2%0.48%	90.7%0.66%	81.1%1.98%	67.3%7.89%	81.7%1.22%	77.9%3.43%	81.8%0.93%		66.5%8.59%	77.7%1.04%	60.3%9.38%	68.2%9.40%	81.5%3.64%
New York Jets	43.9%6.85%	76.1%0.07%	75.3%0.30%	76.3%0.37%	81.5%0.45%	70.6%1.57%	52.7%6.52%	74.8%0.95%	66.0%2.72%	67.3%0.75%	33.5%8.59%		61.5%0.85%	44.9%7.75%	52.6%7.55%	67.9%2.97%
Oakland Raiders	32.2%0.87%	83.3%0.01%	62.5%0.03%	78.3%0.05%	76.9%0.03%	56.8%0.16%	40.1%0.81%	51.5%0.10%	50.0%0.13%	49.5%0.10%	22.3%1.04%	38.5%0.85%		30.1%0.99%	35.1%0.57%	57.0%0.35%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.7%9.26%	80.6%0.17%	76.4%0.26%	81.9%0.34%	82.8%0.65%	76.5%2.04%	57.3%7.71%	76.9%1.18%	70.3%3.36%	73.1%1.24%	39.7%9.38%	55.1%7.75%	69.9%0.99%		58.5%8.98%	72.9%3.62%
San Diego Chargers	40.6%8.14%	73.3%0.17%	75.7%0.34%	73.4%0.53%	78.5%0.33%	66.6%1.97%	49.6%8.30%	68.4%1.17%	63.1%2.04%	65.6%1.24%	31.8%9.40%	47.4%7.55%	64.9%0.57%	41.5%8.98%		66.3%3.69%
Tennessee Titans	25.9%3.26%	54.0%0.05%	52.6%0.12%	57.1%0.15%	64.2%0.23%	50.1%0.36%	33.7%2.06%	44.7%0.19%	46.1%1.20%	48.1%0.34%	18.5%3.64%	32.1%2.97%	43.0%0.35%	27.1%3.62%	33.7%3.69%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		15.7%2.67%	58.1%0.07%	23.4%1.45%	31.2%0.72%	35.3%0.07%	15.3%2.95%	35.1%0.67%	18.0%2.96%	25.1%1.59%	20.6%2.67%	41.6%0.21%	40.5%0.12%	48.1%0.08%	24.4%0.53%	38.7%0.27%
Atlanta Falcons	84.3%2.67%		85.4%0.29%	60.3%4.95%	70.1%2.46%	72.2%0.25%	49.8%8.71%	74.4%2.59%	54.9%14.55%	62.1%5.06%	57.2%7.86%	74.8%2.65%	80.8%1.57%	82.8%1.32%	66.9%2.00%	80.2%0.81%
Carolina Panthers	41.9%0.07%	14.6%0.29%		17.4%0.15%	27.4%0.10%	46.2%0.01%	12.5%0.32%	20.2%0.09%	14.9%0.33%	25.9%0.15%	19.1%0.32%	33.0%0.09%	45.9%0.04%	33.3%0.03%	23.7%0.04%	19.0%0.02%
Chicago Bears	76.6%1.45%	39.7%4.95%	82.6%0.15%		61.4%1.46%	67.2%0.06%	40.1%4.47%	65.8%0.91%	44.3%5.36%	52.7%3.23%	47.0%5.16%	68.3%1.38%	72.3%0.69%	74.7%0.67%	57.2%1.01%	74.6%0.52%
Dallas Cowboys	68.8%0.72%	29.9%2.46%	72.6%0.10%	38.6%1.46%		58.1%0.07%	30.3%3.02%	53.5%0.72%	34.2%2.82%	40.2%1.04%	36.8%1.92%	57.6%0.71%	62.9%0.43%	66.9%0.36%	44.0%0.50%	62.6%0.12%
Detroit Lions	64.7%0.07%	27.8%0.25%	53.8%0.01%	32.8%0.06%	41.9%0.07%		22.7%0.19%	38.2%0.03%	22.0%0.31%	31.0%0.16%	28.7%0.27%	45.5%0.06%	61.5%0.04%	57.1%0.01%	30.0%0.03%	61.5%0.03%
Green Bay Packers	84.7%2.95%	50.2%8.71%	87.5%0.32%	59.9%4.47%	69.7%3.02%	77.3%0.19%		73.5%2.17%	54.4%9.54%	63.6%6.26%	56.2%9.58%	75.9%2.70%	81.1%1.69%	81.5%1.39%	66.7%2.07%	79.0%1.02%
Minnesota Vikings	64.9%0.67%	25.6%2.59%	79.8%0.09%	34.2%0.91%	46.5%0.72%	61.8%0.03%	26.5%2.17%		29.8%2.83%	38.4%1.59%	33.3%2.65%	52.8%0.73%	62.2%0.41%	59.5%0.31%	43.9%0.51%	60.9%0.26%
New Orleans Saints	82.0%2.96%	45.1%14.55%	85.1%0.33%	55.7%5.36%	65.8%2.82%	78.0%0.31%	45.6%9.54%	70.2%2.83%		58.6%5.74%	52.7%8.45%	72.6%2.95%	77.8%1.69%	78.6%1.52%	62.2%2.47%	76.2%0.98%
New York Giants	74.9%1.59%	37.9%5.06%	74.1%0.15%	47.3%3.23%	59.8%1.04%	69.0%0.16%	36.4%6.26%	61.6%1.59%	41.4%5.74%		44.9%4.75%	64.3%1.64%	73.0%0.92%	72.4%0.71%	54.5%1.08%	67.0%0.30%
Philadelphia Eagles	79.4%2.67%	42.8%7.86%	80.9%0.32%	53.0%5.16%	63.2%1.92%	71.3%0.27%	43.8%9.58%	66.7%2.65%	47.3%8.45%	55.1%4.75%		69.8%2.55%	76.3%1.59%	75.5%1.20%	59.7%1.88%	72.6%0.57%
San Francisco 49ers	58.4%0.21%	25.2%2.65%	67.0%0.09%	31.7%1.38%	42.4%0.71%	54.5%0.06%	24.1%2.70%	47.2%0.73%	27.4%2.95%	35.7%1.64%	30.2%2.55%		67.3%0.10%	57.4%0.07%	44.7%0.47%	62.5%0.24%
Seattle Seahawks	59.5%0.12%	19.2%1.57%	54.1%0.04%	27.7%0.69%	37.1%0.43%	38.5%0.04%	18.9%1.69%	37.8%0.41%	22.2%1.69%	27.0%0.92%	23.7%1.59%	32.7%0.10%		48.4%0.03%	31.7%0.24%	42.6%0.14%
St. Louis Rams	51.9%0.08%	17.2%1.32%	66.7%0.03%	25.3%0.67%	33.1%0.36%	42.9%0.01%	18.5%1.39%	40.5%0.31%	21.4%1.52%	27.6%0.71%	24.5%1.20%	42.6%0.07%	51.6%0.03%		31.7%0.20%	44.3%0.11%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	75.6%0.53%	33.1%2.00%	76.3%0.04%	42.8%1.01%	56.0%0.50%	70.0%0.03%	33.3%2.07%	56.1%0.51%	37.8%2.47%	45.5%1.08%	40.3%1.88%	55.3%0.47%	68.3%0.24%	68.3%0.20%		62.0%0.14%
Washington Redskins	61.3%0.27%	19.8%0.81%	81.0%0.02%	25.4%0.52%	37.4%0.12%	38.5%0.03%	21.0%1.02%	39.1%0.26%	23.8%0.98%	33.0%0.30%	27.4%0.57%	37.5%0.24%	57.4%0.14%	55.7%0.11%	38.0%0.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens		87.5%0.05%	76.7%0.04%	79.7%0.07%	84.3%0.12%	71.7%0.55%	57.6%3.93%	75.3%0.32%	70.7%1.22%	70.9%0.48%	40.4%8.07%	56.3%4.67%	67.4%0.38%	51.6%3.65%	58.1%4.71%	72.4%1.16%
Buffalo Bills	12.5%0.05%		33.3%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	20.0%0.03%		33.3%<0.01%		9.4%0.03%	33.3%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.05%	23.5%0.03%	80.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals	23.3%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.01%	17.2%0.06%	40.0%<0.01%	38.1%0.02%	80.0%<0.01%	18.8%0.15%	26.4%0.09%	60.0%0.01%	33.9%0.06%	29.2%0.10%	47.6%0.02%
Cleveland Browns	20.3%0.07%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	30.0%0.02%	27.3%0.09%	20.0%<0.01%	41.2%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%	13.8%0.20%	24.1%0.11%	27.3%0.01%	19.0%0.08%	28.9%0.10%	40.7%0.03%
Denver Broncos	15.7%0.12%		25.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		30.8%0.01%	26.9%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	41.7%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	9.9%0.20%	21.7%0.09%	100.0%<0.01%	12.6%0.12%	18.6%0.04%	37.5%0.02%
Houston Texans	28.3%0.55%	50.0%<0.01%	70.0%0.01%	70.0%0.02%	69.2%0.01%		30.8%0.19%	60.0%0.01%	42.0%0.10%	48.2%0.06%	21.1%0.94%	35.0%0.47%	54.3%0.05%	27.3%0.69%	38.7%0.43%	55.6%0.05%
Indianapolis Colts	42.4%3.93%	80.0%0.03%	82.8%0.06%	72.7%0.09%	73.1%0.07%	69.2%0.19%		67.6%0.11%	60.8%0.69%	64.4%0.32%	33.1%5.51%	48.6%3.27%	62.1%0.21%	42.9%4.56%	50.6%2.84%	65.2%0.37%
Jacksonville Jaguars	24.7%0.32%		60.0%<0.01%	80.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	32.4%0.11%		38.0%0.05%	50.0%0.03%	14.9%0.55%	28.8%0.29%	27.3%0.02%	20.9%0.36%	36.6%0.22%	47.6%0.04%
Kansas City Chiefs	29.3%1.22%	66.7%<0.01%	61.9%0.02%	58.8%0.02%	58.3%0.01%	58.0%0.10%	39.2%0.69%	62.0%0.05%		58.4%0.09%	22.0%1.72%	35.2%1.02%	37.0%0.03%	31.4%1.41%	35.9%0.46%	57.4%0.17%
Miami Dolphins	29.1%0.48%		20.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	51.8%0.06%	35.6%0.32%	50.0%0.03%	41.6%0.09%		21.6%0.36%	31.1%0.19%	70.8%0.02%	27.5%0.51%	36.7%0.38%	52.7%0.09%
New England Patriots	59.6%8.07%	90.6%0.03%	81.2%0.15%	86.2%0.20%	90.1%0.20%	78.9%0.94%	66.9%5.51%	85.1%0.55%	78.0%1.72%	78.4%0.36%		63.9%3.83%	76.4%0.56%	60.7%8.91%	67.8%6.46%	79.2%1.80%
New York Jets	43.7%4.67%	66.7%0.02%	73.6%0.09%	75.9%0.11%	78.3%0.09%	65.0%0.47%	51.4%3.27%	71.2%0.29%	64.8%1.02%	68.9%0.19%	36.1%3.83%		60.9%0.30%	44.5%5.23%	52.6%3.85%	68.5%0.94%
Oakland Raiders	32.6%0.38%	25.0%<0.01%	40.0%0.01%	72.7%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	45.7%0.05%	37.9%0.21%	72.7%0.02%	63.0%0.03%	29.2%0.02%	23.6%0.56%	39.1%0.30%		32.7%0.39%	39.5%0.15%	43.3%0.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	48.4%3.65%	75.0%0.05%	66.1%0.06%	81.0%0.08%	87.4%0.12%	72.7%0.69%	57.1%4.56%	79.1%0.36%	68.6%1.41%	72.5%0.51%	39.3%8.91%	55.5%5.23%	67.3%0.39%		58.8%5.15%	70.5%1.22%
San Diego Chargers	41.9%4.71%	76.5%0.03%	70.8%0.10%	71.1%0.10%	81.4%0.04%	61.3%0.43%	49.4%2.84%	63.4%0.22%	64.1%0.46%	63.3%0.38%	32.2%6.46%	47.4%3.85%	60.5%0.15%	41.2%5.15%		65.6%0.85%
Tennessee Titans	27.6%1.16%	20.0%<0.01%	52.4%0.02%	59.3%0.03%	62.5%0.02%	44.4%0.05%	34.8%0.37%	52.4%0.04%	42.6%0.17%	47.3%0.09%	20.8%1.80%	31.5%0.94%	56.7%0.07%	29.5%1.22%	34.4%0.85%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins
Arizona Cardinals		14.9%0.73%	50.0%<0.01%	27.6%0.30%	22.0%0.12%	37.5%<0.01%	18.2%0.69%	42.3%0.10%	17.3%0.68%	33.3%0.26%	20.7%0.53%	16.7%0.03%	45.5%0.02%	22.2%<0.01%	23.1%0.10%	54.5%0.02%
Atlanta Falcons	85.1%0.73%		79.1%0.04%	58.6%3.86%	68.6%1.55%	73.6%0.13%	49.8%8.85%	74.7%1.46%	54.9%5.17%	62.1%4.00%	56.7%6.78%	76.6%1.05%	79.2%0.47%	78.1%0.42%	67.4%0.69%	78.0%0.42%
Carolina Panthers	50.0%<0.01%	20.9%0.04%		10.5%0.04%	30.0%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	15.9%0.11%	23.5%0.02%	22.2%0.05%	27.6%0.03%	25.8%0.07%	30.0%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears	72.4%0.30%	41.4%3.86%	89.5%0.04%		61.2%0.53%	82.4%0.02%	38.9%1.98%	59.6%0.29%	44.3%3.89%	54.2%1.29%	47.3%2.32%	59.3%0.44%	72.2%0.19%	74.0%0.15%	52.6%0.52%	67.5%0.12%
Dallas Cowboys	78.0%0.12%	31.4%1.55%	70.0%0.02%	38.8%0.53%		50.0%0.01%	31.6%1.22%	55.9%0.20%	36.0%1.43%	45.3%0.32%	35.7%0.56%	58.8%0.18%	68.6%0.07%	60.9%0.07%	45.7%0.20%	75.0%0.03%
Detroit Lions	62.5%<0.01%	26.4%0.13%	0.0%<0.01%	17.6%0.02%	50.0%0.01%		20.7%0.06%	50.0%<0.01%	23.7%0.11%	41.9%0.03%	32.5%0.08%	26.7%0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	53.8%0.01%	37.5%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers	81.8%0.69%	50.2%8.85%	84.1%0.11%	61.1%1.98%	68.4%1.22%	79.3%0.06%		72.6%0.66%	54.5%9.09%	63.4%3.17%	58.6%5.73%	75.3%0.96%	79.8%0.52%	78.2%0.39%	62.7%1.27%	78.0%0.29%
Minnesota Vikings	57.7%0.10%	25.3%1.46%	76.5%0.02%	40.4%0.29%	44.1%0.20%	50.0%<0.01%	27.4%0.66%		30.0%1.31%	40.8%0.44%	34.0%0.90%	55.1%0.17%	57.6%0.07%	55.7%0.07%	42.6%0.20%	46.5%0.04%
New Orleans Saints	82.7%0.68%	45.1%5.17%	77.8%0.05%	55.7%3.89%	64.0%1.43%	76.3%0.11%	45.5%9.09%	70.0%1.31%		59.9%3.91%	54.3%6.93%	69.4%1.01%	77.2%0.43%	80.9%0.34%	67.4%0.73%	74.7%0.35%
New York Giants	66.7%0.26%	37.9%4.00%	72.4%0.03%	45.8%1.29%	54.7%0.32%	58.1%0.03%	36.6%3.17%	59.2%0.44%	40.1%3.91%		45.5%1.48%	62.5%0.44%	72.5%0.18%	66.7%0.14%	55.5%0.52%	73.6%0.07%
Philadelphia Eagles	79.3%0.53%	43.3%6.78%	74.2%0.07%	52.7%2.32%	64.3%0.56%	67.5%0.08%	41.4%5.73%	66.0%0.90%	45.7%6.93%	54.5%1.48%		69.2%0.71%	74.6%0.35%	74.2%0.28%	61.4%1.06%	77.3%0.13%
San Francisco 49ers	83.3%0.03%	23.4%1.05%	70.0%0.01%	40.7%0.44%	41.2%0.18%	73.3%0.01%	24.7%0.96%	44.9%0.17%	30.6%1.01%	37.5%0.44%	30.8%0.71%		47.1%0.02%	66.7%0.01%	39.7%0.15%	46.7%0.04%
Seattle Seahawks	54.5%0.02%	20.8%0.47%	33.3%<0.01%	27.8%0.19%	31.4%0.07%	42.9%<0.01%	20.2%0.52%	42.4%0.07%	22.8%0.43%	27.5%0.18%	25.4%0.35%	52.9%0.02%		100.0%<0.01%	44.8%0.06%	34.8%0.02%
St. Louis Rams	77.8%<0.01%	21.9%0.42%	100.0%<0.01%	26.0%0.15%	39.1%0.07%	60.0%<0.01%	21.8%0.39%	44.3%0.07%	19.1%0.34%	33.3%0.14%	25.8%0.28%	33.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		39.1%0.05%	10.0%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	76.9%0.10%	32.6%0.69%	100.0%<0.01%	47.4%0.52%	54.3%0.20%	46.2%0.01%	37.3%1.27%	57.4%0.20%	32.6%0.73%	44.5%0.52%	38.6%1.06%	60.3%0.15%	55.2%0.06%	60.9%0.05%		70.7%0.06%
Washington Redskins	45.5%0.02%	22.0%0.42%	75.0%<0.01%	32.5%0.12%	25.0%0.03%	62.5%<0.01%	22.0%0.29%	53.5%0.04%	25.3%0.35%	26.4%0.07%	22.7%0.13%	53.3%0.04%	65.2%0.02%	90.0%0.01%	29.3%0.06%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Arizona Cardinals	Atlanta Falcons	Carolina Panthers	Chicago Bears	Dallas Cowboys	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	Minnesota Vikings	New Orleans Saints	New York Giants	Philadelphia Eagles	San Francisco 49ers	Seattle Seahawks	St. Louis Rams	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Washington Redskins	Baltimore Ravens	Buffalo Bills	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	Denver Broncos	Houston Texans	Indianapolis Colts	Jacksonville Jaguars	Kansas City Chiefs	Miami Dolphins	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Oakland Raiders	Pittsburgh Steelers	San Diego Chargers	Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens	79.4%0.14%	53.3%3.35%	92.3%0.01%	58.1%1.20%	66.2%0.38%	64.5%0.03%	52.5%3.31%	72.6%0.31%	56.1%3.02%	62.4%1.12%	57.9%2.18%	72.6%0.26%	71.3%0.11%	79.2%0.07%	65.8%0.38%	80.2%0.08%
Buffalo Bills		22.2%<0.01%		75.0%<0.01%			23.1%0.01%		16.7%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%		100.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Cincinnati Bengals		17.2%0.03%		50.0%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		37.0%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.03%	50.0%0.01%	32.1%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	40.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%
Cleveland Browns	0.0%<0.01%	22.9%0.03%		66.7%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%		11.4%0.03%	42.9%<0.01%	27.3%0.03%	40.0%0.01%	48.0%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%
Denver Broncos	0.0%<0.01%	16.7%0.02%		12.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%		21.4%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	28.0%0.03%	14.3%<0.01%	8.3%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%		0.0%<0.01%
Houston Texans	57.1%<0.01%	31.8%0.26%	100.0%<0.01%	37.9%0.10%	64.0%0.03%	0.0%<0.01%	32.0%0.22%	46.7%0.01%	36.9%0.21%	45.0%0.08%	30.3%0.13%	63.6%0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	37.5%<0.01%	45.8%0.02%	75.0%<0.01%
Indianapolis Colts	79.7%0.08%	43.2%2.10%	53.8%0.01%	52.9%0.80%	63.3%0.23%	83.3%<0.01%	44.1%2.02%	65.6%0.19%	49.1%1.91%	53.4%0.66%	50.0%1.34%	68.8%0.16%	79.2%0.07%	62.5%0.04%	56.2%0.22%	65.6%0.03%
Jacksonville Jaguars	0.0%<0.01%	26.2%0.12%	100.0%<0.01%	43.8%0.03%	50.0%0.01%		33.7%0.09%	50.0%0.01%	37.8%0.10%	42.1%0.04%	36.1%0.07%	42.9%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	33.3%<0.01%	55.6%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%
Kansas City Chiefs	62.5%0.02%	34.2%0.46%	0.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.18%	48.5%0.07%	50.0%<0.01%	36.1%0.48%	55.1%0.05%	36.1%0.44%	42.7%0.14%	40.2%0.29%	55.0%0.04%	50.0%0.01%	14.3%<0.01%	52.5%0.06%	40.0%0.01%
Miami Dolphins	37.5%<0.01%	30.4%0.19%	100.0%<0.01%	37.9%0.06%	67.9%0.03%	50.0%<0.01%	27.1%0.17%	61.1%0.02%	29.5%0.14%	33.9%0.06%	34.0%0.11%	55.6%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	50.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%
New England Patriots	81.1%0.20%	60.6%5.41%	95.8%0.02%	69.1%1.95%	74.0%0.61%	72.7%0.03%	58.9%5.27%	79.3%0.50%	63.4%5.00%	69.4%1.89%	67.4%3.61%	76.2%0.41%	77.8%0.14%	86.8%0.14%	75.1%0.61%	82.5%0.11%
New York Jets	73.8%0.08%	46.4%2.48%	75.0%<0.01%	53.9%0.86%	69.9%0.30%	62.5%0.02%	45.5%2.47%	66.1%0.22%	48.4%2.31%	53.7%0.82%	52.5%1.61%	67.6%0.19%	57.3%0.07%	80.4%0.05%	55.4%0.27%	81.8%0.06%
Oakland Raiders	100.0%<0.01%	30.7%0.15%		41.5%0.05%	81.2%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	36.2%0.18%	66.7%<0.01%	40.1%0.14%	48.9%0.04%	30.8%0.10%	63.6%0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	57.1%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Steelers	81.4%0.14%	51.2%3.60%	81.2%0.02%	59.5%1.27%	65.2%0.47%	73.5%0.03%	49.3%3.50%	72.6%0.38%	54.1%3.36%	61.1%1.20%	58.4%2.37%	67.5%0.33%	81.3%0.11%	78.0%0.08%	64.4%0.37%	75.6%0.09%
San Diego Chargers	75.0%0.08%	43.8%2.39%	55.6%<0.01%	52.0%0.82%	56.4%0.28%	57.1%0.01%	41.3%2.22%	62.5%0.22%	47.1%2.19%	54.5%0.77%	50.6%1.55%	62.9%0.18%	70.0%0.06%	75.9%0.06%	60.5%0.30%	62.0%0.05%
Tennessee Titans	83.3%<0.01%	30.8%0.42%	75.0%<0.01%	40.5%0.15%	51.9%0.05%	100.0%<0.01%	30.5%0.43%	40.0%0.04%	38.3%0.39%	37.7%0.14%	33.6%0.27%	46.5%0.04%	43.8%0.02%	72.7%0.01%	38.9%0.04%	80.0%<0.01%
Arizona Cardinals																	20.6%0.14%			100.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	42.9%<0.01%	20.3%0.08%	100.0%<0.01%	37.5%0.02%	62.5%<0.01%	18.9%0.20%	26.2%0.08%	0.0%<0.01%	18.6%0.14%	25.0%0.08%	16.7%<0.01%
Atlanta Falcons																	46.7%3.35%	77.8%<0.01%	82.8%0.03%	77.1%0.03%	83.3%0.02%	68.2%0.26%	56.8%2.10%	73.8%0.12%	65.8%0.46%	69.6%0.19%	39.4%5.41%	53.6%2.48%	69.3%0.15%	48.8%3.60%	56.2%2.39%	69.2%0.42%
Carolina Panthers																	7.7%0.01%					0.0%<0.01%	46.2%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	4.2%0.02%	25.0%<0.01%		18.8%0.02%	44.4%<0.01%	25.0%<0.01%
Chicago Bears																	41.9%1.20%	25.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	33.3%0.01%	87.5%0.02%	62.1%0.10%	47.1%0.80%	56.2%0.03%	55.6%0.18%	62.1%0.06%	30.9%1.95%	46.1%0.86%	58.5%0.05%	40.5%1.27%	48.0%0.82%	59.5%0.15%
Dallas Cowboys																	33.8%0.38%		100.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.0%0.03%	36.7%0.23%	50.0%0.01%	51.5%0.07%	32.1%0.03%	26.0%0.61%	30.1%0.30%	18.8%0.02%	34.8%0.47%	43.6%0.28%	48.1%0.05%
Detroit Lions																	35.5%0.03%					100.0%<0.01%	16.7%<0.01%		50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	27.3%0.03%	37.5%0.02%	0.0%<0.01%	26.5%0.03%	42.9%0.01%	0.0%<0.01%
Green Bay Packers																	47.5%3.31%	76.9%0.01%	63.0%0.03%	88.6%0.03%	78.6%0.03%	68.0%0.22%	55.9%2.02%	66.3%0.09%	63.9%0.48%	72.9%0.17%	41.1%5.27%	54.5%2.47%	63.8%0.18%	50.7%3.50%	58.7%2.22%	69.5%0.43%
Minnesota Vikings																	27.4%0.31%		0.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	53.3%0.01%	34.4%0.19%	50.0%0.01%	44.9%0.05%	38.9%0.02%	20.7%0.50%	33.9%0.22%	33.3%<0.01%	27.4%0.38%	37.5%0.22%	60.0%0.04%
New Orleans Saints																	43.9%3.02%	83.3%0.01%	65.6%0.03%	72.7%0.03%	72.0%0.03%	63.1%0.21%	50.9%1.91%	62.2%0.10%	63.9%0.44%	70.5%0.14%	36.6%5.00%	51.6%2.31%	59.9%0.14%	45.9%3.36%	52.9%2.19%	61.7%0.39%
New York Giants																	37.6%1.12%	50.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	60.0%0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	55.0%0.08%	46.6%0.66%	57.9%0.04%	57.3%0.14%	66.1%0.06%	30.6%1.89%	46.3%0.82%	51.1%0.04%	38.9%1.20%	45.5%0.77%	62.3%0.14%
Philadelphia Eagles																	42.1%2.18%	75.0%<0.01%	67.9%0.03%	52.0%0.03%	91.7%0.01%	69.7%0.13%	50.0%1.34%	63.9%0.07%	59.8%0.29%	66.0%0.11%	32.6%3.61%	47.5%1.61%	69.2%0.10%	41.6%2.37%	49.4%1.55%	66.4%0.27%
San Francisco 49ers																	27.4%0.26%		50.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	36.4%0.01%	31.2%0.16%	57.1%<0.01%	45.0%0.04%	44.4%<0.01%	23.8%0.41%	32.4%0.19%	36.4%0.01%	32.5%0.33%	37.1%0.18%	53.5%0.04%
Seattle Seahawks																	28.7%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	20.8%0.07%	0.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	22.2%0.14%	42.7%0.07%	40.0%<0.01%	18.7%0.11%	30.0%0.06%	56.2%0.02%
St. Louis Rams																	20.8%0.07%		50.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%		62.5%<0.01%	37.5%0.04%	66.7%<0.01%	85.7%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	13.2%0.14%	19.6%0.05%	0.0%<0.01%	22.0%0.08%	24.1%0.06%	27.3%0.01%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers																	34.2%0.38%	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%<0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	100.0%<0.01%	54.2%0.02%	43.8%0.22%	44.4%0.02%	47.5%0.06%	50.0%0.02%	24.9%0.61%	44.6%0.27%	42.9%0.02%	35.6%0.37%	39.5%0.30%	61.1%0.04%
Washington Redskins																	19.8%0.08%		0.0%<0.01%			25.0%<0.01%	34.4%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	60.0%0.01%	50.0%<0.01%	17.5%0.11%	18.2%0.06%	0.0%<0.01%	24.4%0.09%	38.0%0.05%	20.0%<0.01%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Divisional Round	Advanced to Conference Championship	Advanced to Super Bowl	Won Super Bowl	Actual Outcome
New England Patriots	100.00%	69.20%	46.26%	28.82%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Atlanta Falcons	100.00%	58.80%	36.93%	16.59%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
Pittsburgh Steelers	100.00%	59.65%	24.16%	12.78%	Eliminated in Super Bowl
Chicago Bears	100.00%	53.29%	21.19%	7.89%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Baltimore Ravens	66.60%	27.54%	12.90%	7.35%	Eliminated in Divisional Round
New Orleans Saints	73.50%	34.01%	15.90%	6.86%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Green Bay Packers	51.80%	24.23%	13.63%	6.70%	Won Super Bowl
Philadelphia Eagles	48.20%	23.88%	11.07%	4.55%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Indianapolis Colts	53.83%	21.42%	7.97%	3.98%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
New York Jets	46.17%	14.40%	6.42%	3.33%	Eliminated in Conference Championship
Kansas City Chiefs	33.40%	7.81%	2.29%	0.88%	Eliminated in Wild Card Round
Seattle Seahawks	26.50%	5.79%	1.28%	0.28%	Eliminated in Divisional Round

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens			66.6%100.00%
Indianapolis Colts				53.8%100.00%
Kansas City Chiefs	33.4%100.00%
New York Jets		46.2%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Green Bay Packers			51.8%100.00%
New Orleans Saints				73.5%100.00%
Philadelphia Eagles	48.2%100.00%
Seattle Seahawks		26.5%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens				36.1%35.75%		47.5%30.85%
Indianapolis Colts						39.8%53.83%
Kansas City Chiefs				19.5%18.08%		28.0%15.31%
New England Patriots	63.9%35.75%		80.5%18.08%		68.8%46.17%
New York Jets				31.2%46.17%
Pittsburgh Steelers	52.5%30.85%	60.2%53.83%	72.0%15.31%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons			53.2%51.80%	58.8%35.46%		81.5%12.74%
Chicago Bears				49.0%38.04%	50.5%48.20%	75.0%13.76%
Green Bay Packers	46.8%51.80%
New Orleans Saints	41.2%35.46%	51.0%38.04%
Philadelphia Eagles		49.5%48.20%
Seattle Seahawks	18.5%12.74%	25.0%13.76%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens		52.6%5.15%		36.3%10.08%	59.6%4.57%	49.2%7.74%
Indianapolis Colts	47.4%5.15%		68.3%1.40%	30.7%14.87%
Kansas City Chiefs		31.7%1.40%		21.2%2.95%	42.1%1.34%	31.2%2.12%
New England Patriots	63.7%10.08%	69.3%14.87%	78.8%2.95%			65.9%41.30%
New York Jets	40.4%4.57%		57.9%1.34%			44.7%8.49%
Pittsburgh Steelers	50.8%7.74%		68.8%2.12%	34.1%41.30%	55.3%8.49%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons		64.9%31.00%		58.8%10.46%	59.0%15.51%	81.8%1.83%
Chicago Bears	35.1%31.00%		42.2%13.69%	49.5%7.36%		73.1%1.24%
Green Bay Packers		57.8%13.69%		49.9%8.94%		77.9%1.60%
New Orleans Saints	41.2%10.46%	50.5%7.36%	50.1%8.94%		46.8%7.25%
Philadelphia Eagles	41.0%15.51%			53.2%7.25%		76.5%1.12%
Seattle Seahawks	18.2%1.83%	26.9%1.24%	22.1%1.60%		23.5%1.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta Falcons	Chicago Bears	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	Philadelphia Eagles	Seattle Seahawks	Baltimore Ravens	Indianapolis Colts	Kansas City Chiefs	New England Patriots	New York Jets	Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens	55.2%4.83%	63.5%2.71%	50.3%1.72%	55.6%2.08%	58.2%1.40%	78.0%0.16%
Indianapolis Colts	48.4%2.95%	55.1%1.70%	42.2%1.06%	50.6%1.30%	50.5%0.88%	76.7%0.09%
Kansas City Chiefs	35.1%0.81%	45.1%0.50%	32.8%0.29%	36.1%0.39%	39.3%0.26%	63.6%0.04%
New England Patriots	60.4%17.07%	67.8%9.71%	56.3%6.36%	61.7%7.33%	64.2%5.16%	79.8%0.64%
New York Jets	49.3%2.40%	57.8%1.39%	45.2%0.89%	52.6%0.97%	53.4%0.70%	77.5%0.07%
Pittsburgh Steelers	50.4%8.87%	58.4%5.19%	46.5%3.31%	53.5%3.83%	55.0%2.67%	77.9%0.28%
Atlanta Falcons							44.8%4.83%	51.6%2.95%	64.9%0.81%	39.6%17.07%	50.7%2.40%	49.6%8.87%
Chicago Bears							36.5%2.71%	44.9%1.70%	54.9%0.50%	32.2%9.71%	42.2%1.39%	41.6%5.19%
Green Bay Packers							49.7%1.72%	57.8%1.06%	67.2%0.29%	43.7%6.36%	54.8%0.89%	53.5%3.31%
New Orleans Saints							44.4%2.08%	49.4%1.30%	63.9%0.39%	38.3%7.33%	47.4%0.97%	46.5%3.83%
Philadelphia Eagles							41.8%1.40%	49.5%0.88%	60.7%0.26%	35.8%5.16%	46.6%0.70%	45.0%2.67%
Seattle Seahawks							22.0%0.16%	23.3%0.09%	36.4%0.04%	20.2%0.64%	22.5%0.07%	22.1%0.28%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

New England Patriots 28.82% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

45.91%

Win Prob

68.81%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

58.84%

Win Prob

65.92%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.78%

Win Prob

60.40%

Atlanta Falcons 16.59% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

46.88%

Win Prob

53.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

54.51%

Win Prob

64.94%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

40.74%

Win Prob

39.60%

Pittsburgh Steelers 12.78% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

54.35%

Win Prob

60.22%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

58.26%

Win Prob

34.08%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

34.99%

Win Prob

50.40%

Chicago Bears 7.89% chance to win

Divisional Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

45.64%

Win Prob

50.46%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

51.29%

Win Prob

35.06%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

39.58%

Win Prob

32.18%

Baltimore Ravens 7.35% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

66.60%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

53.19%

Win Prob

47.48%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

29.52%

Win Prob

49.19%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

36.30%

Win Prob

55.19%

New Orleans Saints 6.86% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Seattle Seahawks

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

73.50%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

57.04%

Win Prob

51.00%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

28.19%

Win Prob

50.12%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

40.92%

Win Prob

38.31%

Green Bay Packers 6.70% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

51.80%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

58.10%

Win Prob

57.85%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

41.48%

Win Prob

43.67%

Philadelphia Eagles 4.55% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

48.20%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

49.54%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

57.41%

Win Prob

40.98%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

40.50%

Win Prob

35.77%

Indianapolis Colts 3.98% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New York Jets

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.83%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.78%

→

Conference Championship

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

57.39%

Win Prob

30.74%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.86%

Win Prob

48.39%

New York Jets 3.33% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Indianapolis Colts

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.17%

→

Divisional Round

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

31.19%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

59.16%

Win Prob

44.73%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

35.52%

Win Prob

49.27%

Kansas City Chiefs 0.88% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. Baltimore Ravens

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

33.40%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

54.95%

Win Prob

28.01%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Matchup

28.78%

Win Prob

31.18%

→

Super Bowl

vs. Atlanta Falcons

Matchup

32.57%

Win Prob

35.10%

Seattle Seahawks 0.28% chance to win

Wild Card Round

vs. New Orleans Saints

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

26.50%

→

Divisional Round

vs. Chicago Bears

Matchup

59.31%

Win Prob

24.96%

→

Conference Championship

vs. Green Bay Packers

Matchup

27.59%

Win Prob

22.06%

→

Super Bowl

vs. New England Patriots

Matchup

46.24%

Win Prob

20.19%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2010-09-12	@ St. Louis Rams	W 17-13	1518.37	1385.77	62.90%	36.88%	+9.24	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 7-41	1527.61	1511.50	46.45%	53.31%	-33.94	1-1
2010-09-26	Oakland Raiders	W 24-23	1493.67	1398.40	68.42%	31.37%	+3.93	2-1
2010-10-03	@ San Diego Chargers	L 10-41	1497.60	1539.45	38.33%	61.45%	-26.75	2-2
2010-10-10	New Orleans Saints	W 30-20	1470.85	1593.56	38.21%	61.56%	+24.39	3-2
2010-10-24	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 10-22	1495.24	1454.78	49.95%	49.81%	-21.68	3-3
2010-10-31	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 35-38	1473.56	1455.43	58.17%	41.60%	-12.62	3-4
2010-11-07	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 24-27	1460.94	1512.60	37.00%	62.77%	-8.04	3-5
2010-11-14	Seattle Seahawks	L 18-36	1452.90	1414.38	60.99%	38.78%	-32.41	3-6
2010-11-21	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-31	1420.49	1451.04	39.87%	59.89%	-21.20	3-7
2010-11-29	San Francisco 49ers	L 6-27	1399.29	1418.58	52.86%	46.90%	-30.35	3-8
2010-12-05	St. Louis Rams	L 6-19	1368.94	1401.37	50.97%	48.79%	-23.02	3-9
2010-12-12	Denver Broncos	W 43-13	1345.92	1386.66	49.77%	49.99%	+34.30	4-9
2010-12-19	@ Carolina Panthers	L 12-19	1380.22	1324.07	52.20%	47.56%	-17.30	4-10
2010-12-25	Dallas Cowboys	W 27-26	1362.92	1495.43	36.89%	62.89%	+7.87	5-10
2011-01-02	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 7-38	1370.79	1424.28	36.76%	63.02%	-25.65	5-11
2010-09-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-15	1523.92	1550.27	40.45%	59.31%	-12.42	0-1
2010-09-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 41-7	1511.50	1527.61	53.31%	46.45%	+33.94	1-1
2010-09-26	@ New Orleans Saints	W 27-24	1545.44	1602.61	36.27%	63.51%	+13.78	2-1
2010-10-03	San Francisco 49ers	W 16-14	1559.22	1430.58	72.41%	27.39%	+4.86	3-1
2010-10-10	@ Cleveland Browns	W 20-10	1564.08	1429.67	63.14%	36.63%	+14.52	4-1
2010-10-17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-31	1578.60	1553.35	47.76%	52.00%	-22.39	4-2
2010-10-24	Cincinnati Bengals	W 39-32	1556.21	1487.06	65.09%	34.69%	+11.50	5-2
2010-11-07	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 27-21	1567.71	1468.05	68.96%	30.83%	+9.47	6-2
2010-11-11	Baltimore Ravens	W 26-21	1577.18	1603.01	51.92%	47.84%	+13.41	7-2
2010-11-21	@ St. Louis Rams	W 34-17	1590.59	1404.27	69.77%	30.02%	+15.51	8-2
2010-11-28	Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1606.10	1629.87	52.21%	47.55%	+10.32	9-2
2010-12-05	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 28-24	1616.42	1495.04	61.38%	38.39%	+9.63	10-2
2010-12-12	@ Carolina Panthers	W 31-10	1626.05	1335.00	80.82%	19.03%	+10.92	11-2
2010-12-19	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 34-18	1636.97	1403.80	75.13%	24.68%	+12.38	12-2
2010-12-27	New Orleans Saints	L 14-17	1649.35	1625.26	59.00%	40.77%	-12.80	12-3
2011-01-02	Carolina Panthers	W 31-10	1636.55	1332.45	87.79%	12.10%	+6.94	13-3
2010-09-13	@ New York Jets	W 10-9	1564.32	1552.25	45.87%	53.89%	+6.75	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 10-15	1571.07	1471.97	58.30%	41.46%	-16.33	1-1
2010-09-26	Cleveland Browns	W 24-17	1554.74	1426.22	72.40%	27.41%	+9.09	2-1
2010-10-03	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 17-14	1563.83	1607.76	38.04%	61.73%	+13.39	3-1
2010-10-10	Denver Broncos	W 31-17	1577.22	1485.78	67.94%	31.85%	+14.94	4-1
2010-10-17	@ New England Patriots	L 20-23	1592.16	1586.93	44.89%	54.87%	-9.75	4-2
2010-10-24	Buffalo Bills	W 37-34	1582.41	1378.58	80.17%	19.67%	+4.27	5-2
2010-11-07	Miami Dolphins	W 26-10	1586.68	1500.90	67.23%	32.56%	+16.33	6-2
2010-11-11	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-26	1603.01	1577.18	47.84%	51.92%	-13.41	6-3
2010-11-21	@ Carolina Panthers	W 37-13	1589.60	1374.19	73.18%	26.63%	+16.35	7-3
2010-11-28	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 17-10	1605.95	1505.22	69.09%	30.70%	+10.19	8-3
2010-12-05	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-13	1616.14	1604.73	57.22%	42.54%	-12.42	8-4
2010-12-13	@ Houston Texans	W 34-28	1603.72	1475.19	62.35%	37.42%	+11.49	9-4
2010-12-19	New Orleans Saints	W 30-24	1615.21	1639.89	52.08%	47.68%	+14.64	10-4
2010-12-26	@ Cleveland Browns	W 20-10	1629.85	1443.64	69.76%	30.03%	+11.90	11-4
2011-01-02	Cincinnati Bengals	W 13-7	1641.75	1422.97	81.50%	18.35%	+5.63	12-4
2010-09-12	Miami Dolphins	L 10-15	1462.08	1490.53	51.54%	48.22%	-14.44	0-1
2010-09-19	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-34	1447.64	1562.47	29.00%	70.80%	-18.89	0-2
2010-09-26	@ New England Patriots	L 30-38	1428.75	1545.44	28.78%	71.02%	-10.21	0-3
2010-10-03	New York Jets	L 14-38	1418.54	1584.99	32.47%	67.31%	-19.94	0-4
2010-10-10	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 26-36	1398.60	1434.14	50.52%	49.24%	-20.02	0-5
2010-10-24	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 34-37	1378.58	1582.41	19.67%	80.17%	-4.27	0-6
2010-10-31	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-13	1374.31	1486.85	29.27%	70.52%	-6.36	0-7
2010-11-07	Chicago Bears	L 19-22	1367.95	1495.89	37.50%	62.27%	-8.14	0-8
2010-11-14	Detroit Lions	W 14-12	1359.81	1410.09	48.40%	51.36%	+9.10	1-8
2010-11-21	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 49-31	1368.91	1437.30	34.79%	64.99%	+34.53	2-8
2010-11-28	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 16-19	1403.44	1598.44	28.98%	70.82%	-6.29	2-9
2010-12-05	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 14-38	1397.15	1484.72	32.33%	67.46%	-19.86	2-10
2010-12-12	Cleveland Browns	W 13-6	1377.29	1472.50	42.01%	57.76%	+19.15	3-10
2010-12-19	@ Miami Dolphins	W 17-14	1396.44	1513.20	28.77%	71.03%	+15.40	4-10
2010-12-26	New England Patriots	L 3-34	1411.84	1704.20	18.91%	80.93%	-13.20	4-11
2011-01-02	@ New York Jets	L 7-38	1398.64	1586.42	21.17%	78.66%	-14.77	4-12
2010-09-12	@ New York Giants	L 18-31	1527.23	1502.76	47.65%	52.11%	-21.53	0-1
2010-09-19	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 7-20	1505.70	1463.30	61.52%	38.25%	-27.78	0-2
2010-09-26	Cincinnati Bengals	L 7-20	1477.92	1488.30	54.13%	45.63%	-24.45	0-3
2010-10-03	@ New Orleans Saints	L 14-16	1453.47	1588.84	26.63%	73.17%	-4.72	0-4
2010-10-10	Chicago Bears	L 6-23	1448.75	1498.66	48.45%	51.31%	-25.04	0-5
2010-10-24	San Francisco 49ers	W 23-20	1423.71	1432.45	54.37%	45.39%	+9.86	1-5
2010-10-31	@ St. Louis Rams	L 10-20	1433.57	1393.27	49.92%	49.84%	-19.78	1-6
2010-11-07	New Orleans Saints	L 3-34	1413.79	1580.49	32.44%	67.35%	-22.65	1-7
2010-11-14	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-31	1391.14	1458.58	34.91%	64.87%	-16.95	1-8
2010-11-21	Baltimore Ravens	L 13-37	1374.19	1589.60	26.63%	73.18%	-16.35	1-9
2010-11-28	@ Cleveland Browns	L 23-24	1357.84	1455.02	31.13%	68.66%	-3.90	1-10
2010-12-05	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 14-31	1353.94	1408.24	36.65%	63.13%	-18.94	1-11
2010-12-12	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-31	1335.00	1626.05	19.03%	80.82%	-10.93	1-12
2010-12-19	Arizona Cardinals	W 19-12	1324.07	1380.22	47.56%	52.20%	+17.30	2-12
2010-12-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-27	1341.37	1608.56	14.54%	85.33%	-8.92	2-13
2011-01-02	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 10-31	1332.45	1636.55	12.10%	87.79%	-6.95	2-14
2010-09-12	Detroit Lions	W 19-14	1481.73	1391.88	67.74%	32.05%	+8.98	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 27-20	1490.71	1535.38	37.94%	61.83%	+20.49	2-0
2010-09-27	Green Bay Packers	W 20-17	1511.20	1581.36	45.55%	54.21%	+11.76	3-0
2010-10-03	@ New York Giants	L 3-17	1522.96	1469.37	51.84%	47.93%	-24.30	3-1
2010-10-10	@ Carolina Panthers	W 23-6	1498.66	1448.75	51.31%	48.45%	+25.04	4-1
2010-10-17	Seattle Seahawks	L 20-23	1523.70	1440.26	66.93%	32.85%	-14.52	4-2
2010-10-24	Washington Redskins	L 14-17	1509.18	1468.56	61.28%	38.49%	-13.29	4-3
2010-11-07	@ Buffalo Bills	W 22-19	1495.89	1367.95	62.27%	37.50%	+8.14	5-3
2010-11-14	Minnesota Vikings	W 27-13	1504.03	1520.64	53.24%	46.52%	+21.81	6-3
2010-11-18	@ Miami Dolphins	W 16-0	1525.84	1509.40	46.50%	53.27%	+26.70	7-3
2010-11-28	Philadelphia Eagles	W 31-26	1552.54	1605.08	48.08%	51.68%	+14.47	8-3
2010-12-05	@ Detroit Lions	W 24-20	1567.01	1369.66	71.10%	28.70%	+7.20	9-3
2010-12-12	New England Patriots	L 7-36	1574.21	1667.44	42.28%	57.48%	-28.54	9-4
2010-12-20	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 40-14	1545.67	1482.50	53.21%	46.55%	+29.75	10-4
2010-12-26	New York Jets	W 38-34	1575.42	1598.30	52.34%	47.42%	+11.88	11-4
2011-01-02	@ Green Bay Packers	L 3-10	1587.30	1629.75	38.24%	61.53%	-12.68	11-5
2010-09-12	@ New England Patriots	L 24-38	1488.67	1550.92	35.59%	64.18%	-16.70	0-1
2010-09-19	Baltimore Ravens	W 15-10	1471.97	1571.07	41.46%	58.30%	+16.33	1-1
2010-09-26	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-7	1488.30	1477.92	45.63%	54.13%	+24.45	2-1
2010-10-03	@ Cleveland Browns	L 20-23	1512.75	1417.13	57.82%	41.95%	-12.54	2-2
2010-10-10	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 21-24	1500.21	1464.29	60.64%	39.14%	-13.15	2-3
2010-10-24	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 32-39	1487.06	1556.21	34.69%	65.09%	-11.51	2-4
2010-10-31	Miami Dolphins	L 14-22	1475.55	1481.49	54.77%	45.00%	-19.40	2-5
2010-11-08	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 21-27	1456.15	1590.53	36.64%	63.14%	-11.25	2-6
2010-11-14	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-23	1444.90	1597.57	24.73%	75.08%	-7.60	2-7
2010-11-21	Buffalo Bills	L 31-49	1437.30	1368.91	64.99%	34.79%	-34.53	2-8
2010-11-25	@ New York Jets	L 10-26	1402.77	1625.56	18.01%	81.84%	-9.03	2-9
2010-12-05	New Orleans Saints	L 30-34	1393.74	1623.20	25.08%	74.73%	-6.28	2-10
2010-12-12	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 7-23	1387.46	1617.15	17.43%	82.42%	-8.74	2-11
2010-12-19	Cleveland Browns	W 19-17	1378.72	1453.36	44.91%	54.85%	+9.72	3-11
2010-12-26	San Diego Chargers	W 34-20	1388.44	1608.59	26.10%	73.71%	+34.53	4-11
2011-01-02	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 7-13	1422.97	1641.75	18.35%	81.50%	-5.64	4-12
2010-09-12	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 14-17	1444.94	1453.99	42.87%	56.89%	-9.31	0-1
2010-09-19	Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-16	1435.63	1453.10	53.12%	46.64%	-9.41	0-2
2010-09-26	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-24	1426.22	1554.74	27.41%	72.40%	-9.09	0-3
2010-10-03	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-20	1417.13	1512.75	41.95%	57.82%	+12.54	1-3
2010-10-10	Atlanta Falcons	L 10-20	1429.67	1564.08	36.63%	63.14%	-14.52	1-4
2010-10-17	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 10-28	1415.15	1594.37	22.01%	77.82%	-11.70	1-5
2010-10-24	@ New Orleans Saints	W 30-17	1403.45	1595.81	20.74%	79.10%	+35.70	2-5
2010-11-07	New England Patriots	W 34-14	1439.15	1619.74	30.72%	69.08%	+38.68	3-5
2010-11-14	New York Jets	L 20-26	1477.83	1608.95	37.07%	62.70%	-11.38	3-6
2010-11-21	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 20-24	1466.45	1456.22	45.61%	54.15%	-11.43	3-7
2010-11-28	Carolina Panthers	W 24-23	1455.02	1357.84	68.66%	31.13%	+3.90	4-7
2010-12-05	@ Miami Dolphins	W 13-10	1458.92	1509.42	37.16%	62.62%	+13.58	5-7
2010-12-12	@ Buffalo Bills	L 6-13	1472.50	1377.29	57.76%	42.01%	-19.14	5-8
2010-12-19	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 17-19	1453.36	1378.72	54.85%	44.91%	-9.72	5-9
2010-12-26	Baltimore Ravens	L 10-20	1443.64	1629.85	30.03%	69.76%	-11.90	5-10
2011-01-02	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 9-41	1431.74	1617.49	30.09%	69.71%	-21.34	5-11
2010-09-12	@ Washington Redskins	L 7-13	1552.79	1464.82	56.74%	43.03%	-17.41	0-1
2010-09-19	Chicago Bears	L 20-27	1535.38	1490.71	61.83%	37.94%	-20.49	0-2
2010-09-26	@ Houston Texans	W 27-13	1514.89	1551.14	39.09%	60.68%	+28.44	1-2
2010-10-10	Tennessee Titans	L 27-34	1543.33	1524.72	58.23%	41.53%	-19.30	1-3
2010-10-17	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 21-24	1524.03	1527.02	43.73%	56.04%	-9.49	1-4
2010-10-25	New York Giants	L 35-41	1514.54	1541.01	51.83%	47.93%	-15.91	1-5
2010-10-31	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-35	1498.63	1403.44	68.41%	31.38%	-36.34	1-6
2010-11-07	@ Green Bay Packers	L 7-45	1462.29	1580.74	28.57%	71.23%	-22.08	1-7
2010-11-14	@ New York Giants	W 33-20	1440.21	1585.74	25.51%	74.31%	+33.54	2-7
2010-11-21	Detroit Lions	W 35-19	1473.75	1400.99	65.56%	34.22%	+17.16	3-7
2010-11-25	New Orleans Saints	L 27-30	1490.91	1614.95	38.03%	61.74%	-8.26	3-8
2010-12-05	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 38-35	1482.65	1560.68	33.54%	66.24%	+14.37	4-8
2010-12-12	Philadelphia Eagles	L 27-30	1497.02	1602.64	40.56%	59.21%	-8.81	4-9
2010-12-19	Washington Redskins	W 33-30	1488.21	1407.73	66.56%	33.23%	+7.22	5-9
2010-12-25	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 26-27	1495.43	1362.92	62.89%	36.89%	-7.88	5-10
2011-01-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 14-13	1487.55	1597.97	29.53%	70.27%	+8.80	6-10
2010-09-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 17-24	1478.68	1451.95	47.97%	51.79%	-15.91	0-1
2010-09-19	Seattle Seahawks	W 31-14	1462.77	1472.01	54.30%	45.47%	+23.49	1-1
2010-09-26	Indianapolis Colts	L 13-27	1486.26	1563.83	44.50%	55.26%	-20.86	1-2
2010-10-03	@ Tennessee Titans	W 26-20	1465.40	1545.11	33.33%	66.46%	+20.38	2-2
2010-10-10	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 17-31	1485.78	1577.22	31.85%	67.94%	-14.94	2-3
2010-10-17	New York Jets	L 20-24	1470.84	1618.20	34.92%	64.86%	-8.75	2-4
2010-10-24	Oakland Raiders	L 14-59	1462.09	1391.54	65.27%	34.51%	-54.83	2-5
2010-10-31	San Francisco 49ers	L 16-24	1407.26	1422.59	47.68%	52.09%	-16.90	2-6
2010-11-14	Kansas City Chiefs	W 49-29	1390.36	1483.21	42.34%	57.43%	+32.17	3-6
2010-11-22	@ San Diego Chargers	L 14-35	1422.53	1552.05	27.29%	72.51%	-15.68	3-7
2010-11-28	St. Louis Rams	L 33-36	1406.85	1388.76	58.16%	41.60%	-12.62	3-8
2010-12-05	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 6-10	1394.23	1498.97	30.21%	69.58%	-7.57	3-9
2010-12-12	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 13-43	1386.66	1345.92	49.99%	49.77%	-34.31	3-10
2010-12-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 23-39	1352.35	1462.49	29.56%	70.24%	-14.82	3-11
2010-12-26	Houston Texans	W 24-23	1337.53	1443.45	40.51%	59.25%	+7.42	4-11
2011-01-02	San Diego Chargers	L 28-33	1344.95	1574.06	25.12%	74.70%	-7.04	4-12
2010-09-12	@ Chicago Bears	L 14-19	1391.88	1481.73	32.05%	67.74%	-8.98	0-1
2010-09-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 32-35	1382.90	1530.81	34.85%	64.93%	-7.57	0-2
2010-09-26	@ Minnesota Vikings	L 10-24	1375.33	1528.72	24.66%	75.16%	-11.56	0-3
2010-10-03	@ Green Bay Packers	L 26-28	1363.77	1569.60	19.49%	80.35%	-3.46	0-4
2010-10-10	St. Louis Rams	W 44-6	1360.31	1424.75	46.37%	53.39%	+41.24	1-4
2010-10-17	@ New York Giants	L 20-28	1401.55	1531.34	27.26%	72.54%	-9.67	1-5
2010-10-31	Washington Redskins	W 37-25	1391.88	1481.85	42.74%	57.02%	+24.74	2-5
2010-11-07	New York Jets	L 20-23	1416.62	1602.42	30.08%	69.71%	-6.53	2-6
2010-11-14	@ Buffalo Bills	L 12-14	1410.09	1359.81	51.36%	48.40%	-9.10	2-7
2010-11-21	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 19-35	1400.99	1473.75	34.22%	65.56%	-17.16	2-8
2010-11-25	New England Patriots	L 24-45	1383.83	1617.01	24.68%	75.13%	-14.17	2-9
2010-12-05	Chicago Bears	L 20-24	1369.66	1567.01	28.70%	71.10%	-7.20	2-10
2010-12-12	Green Bay Packers	W 7-3	1362.46	1631.71	21.03%	78.80%	+19.73	3-10
2010-12-19	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 23-20	1382.19	1491.09	29.71%	70.09%	+15.20	4-10
2010-12-26	@ Miami Dolphins	W 34-27	1397.39	1497.79	30.74%	69.05%	+22.87	5-10
2011-01-02	Minnesota Vikings	W 20-13	1420.26	1483.43	46.55%	53.21%	+17.64	6-10
2010-09-12	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 27-20	1543.77	1549.51	43.34%	56.43%	+18.70	1-0
2010-09-19	Buffalo Bills	W 34-7	1562.47	1447.64	70.80%	29.00%	+18.89	2-0
2010-09-27	@ Chicago Bears	L 17-20	1581.36	1511.20	54.21%	45.55%	-11.76	2-1
2010-10-03	Detroit Lions	W 28-26	1569.60	1363.77	80.35%	19.49%	+3.45	3-1
2010-10-10	@ Washington Redskins	L 13-16	1573.05	1464.42	59.63%	40.14%	-12.93	3-2
2010-10-17	Miami Dolphins	L 20-23	1560.12	1471.68	67.57%	32.22%	-14.66	3-3
2010-10-24	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-24	1545.46	1536.51	56.88%	42.89%	+10.75	4-3
2010-10-31	@ New York Jets	W 9-0	1556.21	1626.95	34.48%	65.30%	+24.53	5-3
2010-11-07	Dallas Cowboys	W 45-7	1580.74	1462.29	71.23%	28.57%	+22.09	6-3
2010-11-21	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 31-3	1602.83	1498.82	58.99%	40.78%	+27.04	7-3
2010-11-28	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 17-20	1629.87	1606.10	47.55%	52.21%	-10.32	7-4
2010-12-05	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-16	1619.55	1448.93	76.96%	22.86%	+12.16	8-4
2010-12-12	@ Detroit Lions	L 3-7	1631.71	1362.46	78.80%	21.03%	-19.73	8-5
2010-12-19	@ New England Patriots	L 27-31	1611.98	1695.98	32.78%	67.00%	-8.22	8-6
2010-12-26	New York Giants	W 45-17	1603.76	1568.20	60.59%	39.18%	+25.99	9-6
2011-01-02	Chicago Bears	W 10-3	1629.75	1587.30	61.53%	38.24%	+12.69	10-6
2010-09-12	Indianapolis Colts	W 34-24	1521.36	1557.44	50.44%	49.32%	+19.54	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Washington Redskins	W 30-27	1540.90	1482.23	52.56%	47.20%	+10.24	2-0
2010-09-26	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-27	1551.14	1514.89	60.68%	39.09%	-28.44	2-1
2010-10-03	@ Oakland Raiders	W 31-24	1522.70	1394.47	62.31%	37.46%	+12.43	3-1
2010-10-10	New York Giants	L 10-34	1535.13	1493.67	61.39%	38.38%	-37.67	3-2
2010-10-17	Kansas City Chiefs	W 35-31	1497.46	1474.24	58.88%	40.89%	+10.25	4-2
2010-11-01	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 17-30	1507.71	1591.98	32.75%	67.04%	-14.80	4-3
2010-11-07	San Diego Chargers	L 23-29	1492.91	1536.92	49.30%	50.46%	-15.13	4-4
2010-11-14	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 24-31	1477.78	1439.78	49.59%	50.17%	-16.44	4-5
2010-11-21	@ New York Jets	L 27-30	1461.34	1620.34	24.06%	75.75%	-5.23	4-6
2010-11-28	Tennessee Titans	W 20-0	1456.11	1535.63	44.22%	55.54%	+31.12	5-6
2010-12-02	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-34	1487.23	1590.60	30.38%	69.42%	-12.04	5-7
2010-12-13	Baltimore Ravens	L 28-34	1475.19	1603.72	37.42%	62.35%	-11.49	5-8
2010-12-19	@ Tennessee Titans	L 17-31	1463.70	1470.64	43.17%	56.60%	-20.25	5-9
2010-12-26	@ Denver Broncos	L 23-24	1443.45	1337.53	59.25%	40.51%	-7.42	5-10
2011-01-02	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-17	1436.03	1469.96	50.75%	49.01%	+25.32	6-10
2010-09-12	@ Houston Texans	L 24-34	1557.44	1521.36	49.32%	50.44%	-19.55	0-1
2010-09-19	New York Giants	W 38-14	1537.89	1524.29	57.53%	42.23%	+25.94	1-1
2010-09-26	@ Denver Broncos	W 27-13	1563.83	1486.26	55.26%	44.50%	+20.86	2-1
2010-10-03	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 28-31	1584.69	1419.57	67.15%	32.64%	-14.56	2-2
2010-10-10	Kansas City Chiefs	W 19-9	1570.13	1487.29	66.86%	32.93%	+13.05	3-2
2010-10-17	@ Washington Redskins	W 27-24	1583.18	1477.36	59.24%	40.53%	+8.80	4-2
2010-11-01	Houston Texans	W 30-17	1591.98	1507.71	67.04%	32.75%	+14.80	5-2
2010-11-07	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-26	1606.78	1551.98	52.01%	47.75%	-9.21	5-3
2010-11-14	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-17	1597.57	1444.90	75.08%	24.73%	+7.59	6-3
2010-11-21	@ New England Patriots	L 28-31	1605.16	1607.49	43.82%	55.94%	-9.51	6-4
2010-11-28	San Diego Chargers	L 14-36	1595.65	1567.73	59.53%	40.24%	-34.97	6-5
2010-12-05	Dallas Cowboys	L 35-38	1560.68	1482.65	66.24%	33.54%	-14.37	6-6
2010-12-09	@ Tennessee Titans	W 30-28	1546.31	1478.78	53.83%	45.93%	+8.14	7-6
2010-12-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 34-24	1554.45	1498.96	63.29%	36.49%	+14.46	8-6
2010-12-26	@ Oakland Raiders	W 31-26	1568.91	1477.31	57.25%	42.51%	+11.92	9-6
2011-01-02	Tennessee Titans	W 23-20	1580.83	1467.10	70.67%	29.13%	+6.32	10-6
2010-09-12	Denver Broncos	W 24-17	1451.95	1478.68	51.79%	47.97%	+15.91	1-0
2010-09-19	@ San Diego Chargers	L 13-38	1467.86	1537.61	34.61%	65.17%	-21.70	1-1
2010-09-26	Philadelphia Eagles	L 3-28	1446.16	1538.38	42.43%	57.34%	-26.59	1-2
2010-10-03	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-28	1419.57	1584.69	32.64%	67.15%	+14.57	2-2
2010-10-10	@ Buffalo Bills	W 36-26	1434.14	1398.60	49.24%	50.52%	+20.01	3-2
2010-10-18	Tennessee Titans	L 3-30	1454.15	1544.02	42.76%	57.01%	-27.84	3-3
2010-10-24	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 20-42	1426.31	1463.99	38.89%	60.88%	-22.87	3-4
2010-10-31	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 35-17	1403.44	1498.63	31.38%	68.41%	+36.34	4-4
2010-11-14	Houston Texans	W 31-24	1439.78	1477.78	50.17%	49.59%	+16.44	5-4
2010-11-21	Cleveland Browns	W 24-20	1456.22	1466.45	54.15%	45.61%	+11.44	6-4
2010-11-28	@ New York Giants	L 20-24	1467.66	1536.77	34.69%	65.09%	-8.70	6-5
2010-12-05	@ Tennessee Titans	W 17-6	1458.96	1504.52	37.82%	61.95%	+25.73	7-5
2010-12-12	Oakland Raiders	W 38-31	1484.69	1476.76	56.73%	43.03%	+14.27	8-5
2010-12-19	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 24-34	1498.96	1554.45	36.49%	63.29%	-14.47	8-6
2010-12-26	Washington Redskins	L 17-20	1484.49	1400.51	67.00%	32.78%	-14.53	8-7
2011-01-02	@ Houston Texans	L 17-34	1469.96	1436.03	49.01%	50.75%	-25.32	8-8
2010-09-13	San Diego Chargers	W 21-14	1432.57	1558.14	37.82%	61.95%	+20.53	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Cleveland Browns	W 16-14	1453.10	1435.63	46.64%	53.12%	+9.41	2-0
2010-09-26	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-10	1462.51	1455.36	56.62%	43.14%	+24.78	3-0
2010-10-10	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 9-19	1487.29	1570.13	32.93%	66.86%	-13.05	3-1
2010-10-17	@ Houston Texans	L 31-35	1474.24	1497.46	40.89%	58.88%	-10.25	3-2
2010-10-24	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 42-20	1463.99	1426.31	60.88%	38.89%	+22.86	4-2
2010-10-31	Buffalo Bills	W 13-10	1486.85	1374.31	70.52%	29.27%	+6.36	5-2
2010-11-07	@ Oakland Raiders	L 20-23	1493.21	1479.63	46.09%	53.68%	-10.00	5-3
2010-11-14	@ Denver Broncos	L 29-49	1483.21	1390.36	57.43%	42.34%	-32.17	5-4
2010-11-21	Arizona Cardinals	W 31-13	1451.04	1420.49	59.89%	39.87%	+21.20	6-4
2010-11-28	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 42-24	1472.24	1434.97	49.49%	50.27%	+26.73	7-4
2010-12-05	Denver Broncos	W 10-6	1498.97	1394.23	69.58%	30.21%	+7.57	8-4
2010-12-12	@ San Diego Chargers	L 0-31	1506.54	1565.78	35.99%	63.79%	-25.12	8-5
2010-12-19	@ St. Louis Rams	W 27-13	1481.42	1414.00	53.82%	45.94%	+21.54	9-5
2010-12-26	Tennessee Titans	W 34-14	1502.96	1490.89	57.32%	42.45%	+23.80	10-5
2011-01-02	Oakland Raiders	L 10-31	1526.76	1465.40	64.07%	35.71%	-36.77	10-6
2010-09-12	@ Buffalo Bills	W 15-10	1490.53	1462.08	48.22%	51.54%	+14.44	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Minnesota Vikings	W 14-10	1504.97	1544.01	38.71%	61.06%	+15.30	2-0
2010-09-26	New York Jets	L 23-31	1520.27	1567.69	48.81%	50.95%	-17.30	2-1
2010-10-04	New England Patriots	L 14-41	1502.97	1555.64	48.06%	51.70%	-31.29	2-2
2010-10-17	@ Green Bay Packers	W 23-20	1471.68	1560.12	32.22%	67.57%	+14.65	3-2
2010-10-24	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 22-23	1486.33	1606.07	38.61%	61.16%	-4.84	3-3
2010-10-31	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 22-14	1481.49	1475.55	45.00%	54.77%	+19.41	4-3
2010-11-07	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-26	1500.90	1586.68	32.56%	67.23%	-16.33	4-4
2010-11-14	Tennessee Titans	W 29-17	1484.57	1576.02	42.54%	57.23%	+24.83	5-4
2010-11-18	Chicago Bears	L 0-16	1509.40	1525.84	53.27%	46.50%	-26.69	5-5
2010-11-28	@ Oakland Raiders	W 33-17	1482.71	1466.54	46.46%	53.30%	+26.71	6-5
2010-12-05	Cleveland Browns	L 10-13	1509.42	1458.92	62.62%	37.16%	-13.58	6-6
2010-12-12	@ New York Jets	W 10-6	1495.84	1598.33	30.48%	69.31%	+17.36	7-6
2010-12-19	Buffalo Bills	L 14-17	1513.20	1396.44	71.03%	28.77%	-15.41	7-7
2010-12-26	Detroit Lions	L 27-34	1497.79	1397.39	69.05%	30.74%	-22.87	7-8
2011-01-02	@ New England Patriots	L 7-38	1474.92	1717.39	16.40%	83.46%	-3.82	7-9
2010-09-09	@ New Orleans Saints	L 9-14	1555.29	1583.29	40.23%	59.54%	-11.28	0-1
2010-09-19	Miami Dolphins	L 10-14	1544.01	1504.97	61.06%	38.71%	-15.29	0-2
2010-09-26	Detroit Lions	W 24-10	1528.72	1375.33	75.16%	24.66%	+11.56	1-2
2010-10-11	@ New York Jets	L 20-29	1540.28	1604.93	35.28%	64.50%	-13.26	1-3
2010-10-17	Dallas Cowboys	W 24-21	1527.02	1524.03	56.04%	43.73%	+9.49	2-3
2010-10-24	@ Green Bay Packers	L 24-28	1536.51	1545.46	42.89%	56.88%	-10.75	2-4
2010-10-31	@ New England Patriots	L 18-28	1525.76	1606.59	33.18%	66.60%	-13.16	2-5
2010-11-07	Arizona Cardinals	W 27-24	1512.60	1460.94	62.77%	37.00%	+8.04	3-5
2010-11-14	@ Chicago Bears	L 13-27	1520.64	1504.03	46.52%	53.24%	-21.82	3-6
2010-11-21	Green Bay Packers	L 3-31	1498.82	1602.83	40.78%	58.99%	-27.04	3-7
2010-11-28	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-13	1471.78	1444.21	48.09%	51.67%	+12.94	4-7
2010-12-05	Buffalo Bills	W 38-14	1484.72	1397.15	67.46%	32.33%	+19.86	5-7
2010-12-13	@ New York Giants	L 3-21	1504.58	1563.32	41.51%	58.25%	-22.08	5-8
2010-12-20	Chicago Bears	L 14-40	1482.50	1545.67	46.55%	53.21%	-29.74	5-9
2010-12-28	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 24-14	1452.76	1628.64	22.34%	77.49%	+30.67	6-9
2011-01-02	@ Detroit Lions	L 13-20	1483.43	1420.26	53.21%	46.55%	-17.64	6-10
2010-09-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 38-24	1550.92	1488.67	64.18%	35.59%	+16.70	1-0
2010-09-19	@ New York Jets	L 14-28	1567.62	1545.50	47.31%	52.45%	-22.18	1-1
2010-09-26	Buffalo Bills	W 38-30	1545.44	1428.75	71.02%	28.78%	+10.20	2-1
2010-10-04	@ Miami Dolphins	W 41-14	1555.64	1502.97	51.70%	48.06%	+31.29	3-1
2010-10-17	Baltimore Ravens	W 23-20	1586.93	1592.16	54.87%	44.89%	+9.75	4-1
2010-10-24	@ San Diego Chargers	W 23-20	1596.68	1527.21	54.11%	45.65%	+9.91	5-1
2010-10-31	Minnesota Vikings	W 28-18	1606.59	1525.76	66.60%	33.18%	+13.15	6-1
2010-11-07	@ Cleveland Browns	L 14-34	1619.74	1439.15	69.08%	30.72%	-38.68	6-2
2010-11-14	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 39-26	1581.06	1601.78	41.24%	58.53%	+26.43	7-2
2010-11-21	Indianapolis Colts	W 31-28	1607.49	1605.16	55.94%	43.82%	+9.52	8-2
2010-11-25	@ Detroit Lions	W 45-24	1617.01	1383.83	75.13%	24.68%	+14.17	9-2
2010-12-06	New York Jets	W 45-3	1631.18	1634.59	55.13%	44.64%	+36.26	10-2
2010-12-12	@ Chicago Bears	W 36-7	1667.44	1574.21	57.48%	42.28%	+28.54	11-2
2010-12-19	Green Bay Packers	W 31-27	1695.98	1611.98	67.00%	32.78%	+8.22	12-2
2010-12-26	@ Buffalo Bills	W 34-3	1704.20	1411.84	80.93%	18.91%	+13.19	13-2
2011-01-02	Miami Dolphins	W 38-7	1717.39	1474.92	83.46%	16.40%	+3.82	14-2
2010-09-09	Minnesota Vikings	W 14-9	1583.29	1555.29	59.54%	40.23%	+11.27	1-0
2010-09-20	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 25-22	1594.56	1463.41	62.71%	37.07%	+8.05	2-0
2010-09-26	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-27	1602.61	1545.44	63.51%	36.27%	-13.77	2-1
2010-10-03	Carolina Panthers	W 16-14	1588.84	1453.47	73.17%	26.63%	+4.72	3-1
2010-10-10	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 20-30	1593.56	1470.85	61.56%	38.21%	-24.38	3-2
2010-10-17	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 31-6	1569.18	1477.44	57.27%	42.49%	+26.63	4-2
2010-10-24	Cleveland Browns	L 17-30	1595.81	1403.45	79.10%	20.74%	-35.70	4-3
2010-10-31	Pittsburgh Steelers	W 20-10	1560.11	1610.91	48.33%	51.43%	+20.38	5-3
2010-11-07	@ Carolina Panthers	W 34-3	1580.49	1413.79	67.35%	32.44%	+22.64	6-3
2010-11-21	Seattle Seahawks	W 34-19	1603.13	1446.79	75.47%	24.34%	+11.82	7-3
2010-11-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 30-27	1614.95	1490.91	61.74%	38.03%	+8.25	8-3
2010-12-05	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 34-30	1623.20	1393.74	74.73%	25.08%	+6.29	9-3
2010-12-12	St. Louis Rams	W 31-13	1629.49	1424.40	80.28%	19.56%	+10.40	10-3
2010-12-19	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 24-30	1639.89	1615.21	47.68%	52.08%	-14.63	10-4
2010-12-27	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 17-14	1625.26	1649.35	40.77%	59.00%	+12.80	11-4
2011-01-02	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 13-23	1638.06	1495.56	73.97%	25.84%	-29.29	11-5
2010-09-12	Carolina Panthers	W 31-18	1502.76	1527.23	52.11%	47.65%	+21.53	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 14-38	1524.29	1537.89	42.23%	57.53%	-25.93	1-1
2010-09-26	Tennessee Titans	L 10-29	1498.36	1516.12	53.08%	46.69%	-28.99	1-2
2010-10-03	Chicago Bears	W 17-3	1469.37	1522.96	47.93%	51.84%	+24.30	2-2
2010-10-10	@ Houston Texans	W 34-10	1493.67	1535.13	38.38%	61.39%	+37.67	3-2
2010-10-17	Detroit Lions	W 28-20	1531.34	1401.55	72.54%	27.26%	+9.67	4-2
2010-10-25	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 41-35	1541.01	1514.54	47.93%	51.83%	+15.90	5-2
2010-11-07	@ Seattle Seahawks	W 41-7	1556.91	1443.20	60.33%	39.44%	+28.83	6-2
2010-11-14	Dallas Cowboys	L 20-33	1585.74	1440.21	74.31%	25.51%	-33.54	6-3
2010-11-21	@ Philadelphia Eagles	L 17-27	1552.20	1589.65	38.93%	60.84%	-15.43	6-4
2010-11-28	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 24-20	1536.77	1467.66	65.09%	34.69%	+8.69	7-4
2010-12-05	Washington Redskins	W 31-7	1545.46	1431.26	70.72%	29.08%	+17.86	8-4
2010-12-13	Minnesota Vikings	W 21-3	1563.32	1504.58	58.25%	41.51%	+22.08	9-4
2010-12-19	Philadelphia Eagles	L 31-38	1585.40	1611.44	51.89%	47.87%	-17.20	9-5
2010-12-26	@ Green Bay Packers	L 17-45	1568.20	1603.76	39.18%	60.59%	-25.99	9-6
2011-01-02	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-14	1542.21	1415.05	62.17%	37.61%	+8.16	10-6
2010-09-13	Baltimore Ravens	L 9-10	1552.25	1564.32	53.89%	45.87%	-6.75	0-1
2010-09-19	New England Patriots	W 28-14	1545.50	1567.62	52.45%	47.31%	+22.19	1-1
2010-09-26	@ Miami Dolphins	W 31-23	1567.69	1520.27	50.95%	48.81%	+17.30	2-1
2010-10-03	@ Buffalo Bills	W 38-14	1584.99	1418.54	67.31%	32.47%	+19.94	3-1
2010-10-11	Minnesota Vikings	W 29-20	1604.93	1540.28	64.50%	35.28%	+13.27	4-1
2010-10-17	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-20	1618.20	1470.84	64.86%	34.92%	+8.75	5-1
2010-10-31	Green Bay Packers	L 0-9	1626.95	1556.21	65.30%	34.48%	-24.53	5-2
2010-11-07	@ Detroit Lions	W 23-20	1602.42	1416.62	69.71%	30.08%	+6.53	6-2
2010-11-14	@ Cleveland Browns	W 26-20	1608.95	1477.83	62.70%	37.07%	+11.39	7-2
2010-11-21	Houston Texans	W 30-27	1620.34	1461.34	75.75%	24.06%	+5.22	8-2
2010-11-25	Cincinnati Bengals	W 26-10	1625.56	1402.77	81.84%	18.01%	+9.03	9-2
2010-12-06	@ New England Patriots	L 3-45	1634.59	1631.18	44.64%	55.13%	-36.26	9-3
2010-12-12	Miami Dolphins	L 6-10	1598.33	1495.84	69.31%	30.48%	-17.35	9-4
2010-12-19	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 22-17	1580.98	1625.89	37.91%	61.86%	+17.32	10-4
2010-12-26	@ Chicago Bears	L 34-38	1598.30	1575.42	47.42%	52.34%	-11.88	10-5
2011-01-02	Buffalo Bills	W 38-7	1586.42	1398.64	78.66%	21.17%	+14.77	11-5
2010-09-12	@ Tennessee Titans	L 13-38	1409.79	1515.54	30.09%	69.71%	-18.85	0-1
2010-09-19	St. Louis Rams	W 16-14	1390.94	1376.53	57.65%	42.12%	+7.46	1-1
2010-09-26	@ Arizona Cardinals	L 23-24	1398.40	1493.67	31.37%	68.42%	-3.93	1-2
2010-10-03	Houston Texans	L 24-31	1394.47	1522.70	37.46%	62.31%	-12.43	1-3
2010-10-10	San Diego Chargers	W 35-27	1382.04	1566.20	30.28%	69.51%	+24.62	2-3
2010-10-17	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 9-17	1406.66	1417.33	42.64%	57.12%	-15.12	2-4
2010-10-24	@ Denver Broncos	W 59-14	1391.54	1462.09	34.51%	65.27%	+54.84	3-4
2010-10-31	Seattle Seahawks	W 33-3	1446.38	1476.46	51.31%	48.45%	+33.25	4-4
2010-11-07	Kansas City Chiefs	W 23-20	1479.63	1493.21	53.68%	46.09%	+10.01	5-4
2010-11-21	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 3-35	1489.64	1575.35	32.56%	67.22%	-23.10	5-5
2010-11-28	Miami Dolphins	L 17-33	1466.54	1482.71	53.30%	46.46%	-26.71	5-6
2010-12-05	@ San Diego Chargers	W 28-13	1439.83	1602.71	23.66%	76.16%	+36.93	6-6
2010-12-12	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	L 31-38	1476.76	1484.69	43.03%	56.73%	-14.27	6-7
2010-12-19	Denver Broncos	W 39-23	1462.49	1352.35	70.24%	29.56%	+14.82	7-7
2010-12-26	Indianapolis Colts	L 26-31	1477.31	1568.91	42.51%	57.25%	-11.91	7-8
2011-01-02	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-10	1465.40	1526.76	35.71%	64.07%	+36.76	8-8
2010-09-12	Green Bay Packers	L 20-27	1549.51	1543.77	56.43%	43.34%	-18.70	0-1
2010-09-19	@ Detroit Lions	W 35-32	1530.81	1382.90	64.93%	34.85%	+7.57	1-1
2010-09-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 28-3	1538.38	1446.16	57.34%	42.43%	+26.59	2-1
2010-10-03	Washington Redskins	L 12-17	1564.97	1444.41	71.47%	28.33%	-20.01	2-2
2010-10-10	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 27-24	1544.96	1425.73	61.09%	38.68%	+8.39	3-2
2010-10-17	Atlanta Falcons	W 31-17	1553.35	1578.60	52.00%	47.76%	+22.40	4-2
2010-10-24	@ Tennessee Titans	L 19-37	1575.75	1571.87	44.70%	55.06%	-23.77	4-3
2010-11-07	Indianapolis Colts	W 26-24	1551.98	1606.78	47.75%	52.01%	+9.21	5-3
2010-11-15	@ Washington Redskins	W 59-28	1561.19	1457.11	59.00%	40.77%	+28.46	6-3
2010-11-21	New York Giants	W 27-17	1589.65	1552.20	60.84%	38.93%	+15.43	7-3
2010-11-28	@ Chicago Bears	L 26-31	1605.08	1552.54	51.68%	48.08%	-14.48	7-4
2010-12-02	Houston Texans	W 34-24	1590.60	1487.23	69.42%	30.38%	+12.04	8-4
2010-12-12	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 30-27	1602.64	1497.02	59.21%	40.56%	+8.80	9-4
2010-12-19	@ New York Giants	W 38-31	1611.44	1585.40	47.87%	51.89%	+17.20	10-4
2010-12-28	Minnesota Vikings	L 14-24	1628.64	1452.76	77.49%	22.34%	-30.67	10-5
2011-01-02	Dallas Cowboys	L 13-14	1597.97	1487.55	70.27%	29.53%	-8.80	10-6
2010-09-12	Atlanta Falcons	W 15-9	1550.27	1523.92	59.31%	40.45%	+12.42	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Tennessee Titans	W 19-11	1562.69	1534.40	48.20%	51.56%	+18.28	2-0
2010-09-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	W 38-13	1580.97	1491.08	57.01%	42.75%	+26.79	3-0
2010-10-03	Baltimore Ravens	L 14-17	1607.76	1563.83	61.73%	38.04%	-13.39	3-1
2010-10-17	Cleveland Browns	W 28-10	1594.37	1415.15	77.82%	22.01%	+11.70	4-1
2010-10-24	@ Miami Dolphins	W 23-22	1606.07	1486.33	61.16%	38.61%	+4.84	5-1
2010-10-31	@ New Orleans Saints	L 10-20	1610.91	1560.11	51.43%	48.33%	-20.38	5-2
2010-11-08	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 27-21	1590.53	1456.15	63.14%	36.64%	+11.25	6-2
2010-11-14	New England Patriots	L 26-39	1601.78	1581.06	58.53%	41.24%	-26.43	6-3
2010-11-21	Oakland Raiders	W 35-3	1575.35	1489.64	67.22%	32.56%	+23.09	7-3
2010-11-28	@ Buffalo Bills	W 19-16	1598.44	1403.44	70.82%	28.98%	+6.29	8-3
2010-12-05	@ Baltimore Ravens	W 13-10	1604.73	1616.14	42.54%	57.22%	+12.42	9-3
2010-12-12	Cincinnati Bengals	W 23-7	1617.15	1387.46	82.42%	17.43%	+8.74	10-3
2010-12-19	New York Jets	L 17-22	1625.89	1580.98	61.86%	37.91%	-17.33	10-4
2010-12-23	Carolina Panthers	W 27-3	1608.56	1341.37	85.33%	14.54%	+8.93	11-4
2011-01-02	@ Cleveland Browns	W 41-9	1617.49	1431.74	69.71%	30.09%	+21.33	12-4
2010-09-13	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-21	1558.14	1432.57	61.95%	37.82%	-20.53	0-1
2010-09-19	Jacksonville Jaguars	W 38-13	1537.61	1467.86	65.17%	34.61%	+21.70	1-1
2010-09-26	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 20-27	1559.31	1448.52	59.93%	39.84%	-19.86	1-2
2010-10-03	Arizona Cardinals	W 41-10	1539.45	1497.60	61.45%	38.33%	+26.75	2-2
2010-10-10	@ Oakland Raiders	L 27-35	1566.20	1382.04	69.51%	30.28%	-24.62	2-3
2010-10-17	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-20	1541.58	1383.52	66.25%	33.54%	-14.37	2-4
2010-10-24	New England Patriots	L 20-23	1527.21	1596.68	45.65%	54.11%	-9.91	2-5
2010-10-31	Tennessee Titans	W 33-25	1517.30	1595.64	44.39%	55.37%	+19.62	3-5
2010-11-07	@ Houston Texans	W 29-23	1536.92	1492.91	50.46%	49.30%	+15.13	4-5
2010-11-22	Denver Broncos	W 35-14	1552.05	1422.53	72.51%	27.29%	+15.68	5-5
2010-11-28	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 36-14	1567.73	1595.65	40.24%	59.53%	+34.98	6-5
2010-12-05	Oakland Raiders	L 13-28	1602.71	1439.83	76.16%	23.66%	-36.93	6-6
2010-12-12	Kansas City Chiefs	W 31-0	1565.78	1506.54	63.79%	35.99%	+25.12	7-6
2010-12-16	San Francisco 49ers	W 34-7	1590.90	1460.15	72.65%	27.15%	+17.69	8-6
2010-12-26	@ Cincinnati Bengals	L 20-34	1608.59	1388.44	73.71%	26.10%	-34.53	8-7
2011-01-02	@ Denver Broncos	W 33-28	1574.06	1344.95	74.70%	25.12%	+7.04	9-7
2010-09-12	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-31	1496.18	1439.24	52.32%	47.44%	-32.77	0-1
2010-09-20	New Orleans Saints	L 22-25	1463.41	1594.56	37.07%	62.71%	-8.05	0-2
2010-09-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 10-31	1455.36	1462.51	43.14%	56.62%	-24.78	0-3
2010-10-03	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 14-16	1430.58	1559.22	27.39%	72.41%	-4.85	0-4
2010-10-10	Philadelphia Eagles	L 24-27	1425.73	1544.96	38.68%	61.09%	-8.40	0-5
2010-10-17	Oakland Raiders	W 17-9	1417.33	1406.66	57.12%	42.64%	+15.12	1-5
2010-10-24	@ Carolina Panthers	L 20-23	1432.45	1423.71	45.39%	54.37%	-9.86	1-6
2010-10-31	@ Denver Broncos	W 24-16	1422.59	1407.26	52.09%	47.68%	+16.90	2-6
2010-11-14	St. Louis Rams	W 23-20	1439.49	1413.05	59.33%	40.44%	+8.78	3-6
2010-11-21	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 0-21	1448.27	1475.53	51.71%	48.05%	-29.69	3-7
2010-11-29	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 27-6	1418.58	1399.29	46.90%	52.86%	+30.35	4-7
2010-12-05	@ Green Bay Packers	L 16-34	1448.93	1619.55	22.86%	76.96%	-12.16	4-8
2010-12-12	Seattle Seahawks	W 40-21	1436.77	1427.18	56.97%	42.80%	+23.38	5-8
2010-12-16	@ San Diego Chargers	L 7-34	1460.15	1590.90	27.15%	72.65%	-17.69	5-9
2010-12-26	@ St. Louis Rams	L 17-25	1442.46	1392.46	51.32%	48.44%	-18.18	5-10
2011-01-02	Arizona Cardinals	W 38-7	1424.28	1370.79	63.02%	36.76%	+25.65	6-10
2010-09-12	San Francisco 49ers	W 31-6	1439.24	1496.18	47.44%	52.32%	+32.77	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Denver Broncos	L 14-31	1472.01	1462.77	45.47%	54.30%	-23.49	1-1
2010-09-26	San Diego Chargers	W 27-20	1448.52	1559.31	39.84%	59.93%	+19.86	2-1
2010-10-03	@ St. Louis Rams	L 3-20	1468.38	1396.64	54.44%	45.33%	-28.12	2-2
2010-10-17	@ Chicago Bears	W 23-20	1440.26	1523.70	32.85%	66.93%	+14.52	3-2
2010-10-24	Arizona Cardinals	W 22-10	1454.78	1495.24	49.81%	49.95%	+21.68	4-2
2010-10-31	@ Oakland Raiders	L 3-33	1476.46	1446.38	48.45%	51.31%	-33.26	4-3
2010-11-07	New York Giants	L 7-41	1443.20	1556.91	39.44%	60.33%	-28.82	4-4
2010-11-14	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 36-18	1414.38	1452.90	38.78%	60.99%	+32.41	5-4
2010-11-21	@ New Orleans Saints	L 19-34	1446.79	1603.13	24.34%	75.47%	-11.82	5-5
2010-11-28	Kansas City Chiefs	L 24-42	1434.97	1472.24	50.27%	49.49%	-26.73	5-6
2010-12-05	Carolina Panthers	W 31-14	1408.24	1353.94	63.13%	36.65%	+18.94	6-6
2010-12-12	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 21-40	1427.18	1436.77	42.80%	56.97%	-23.38	6-7
2010-12-19	Atlanta Falcons	L 18-34	1403.80	1636.97	24.68%	75.13%	-12.37	6-8
2010-12-26	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 15-38	1391.43	1475.89	32.72%	67.06%	-19.68	6-9
2011-01-02	St. Louis Rams	W 16-6	1371.75	1410.64	50.04%	49.72%	+19.71	7-9
2010-09-12	Arizona Cardinals	L 13-17	1385.77	1518.37	36.88%	62.90%	-9.24	0-1
2010-09-19	@ Oakland Raiders	L 14-16	1376.53	1390.94	42.12%	57.65%	-7.47	0-2
2010-09-26	Washington Redskins	W 30-16	1369.06	1471.99	40.93%	58.84%	+27.58	1-2
2010-10-03	Seattle Seahawks	W 20-3	1396.64	1468.38	45.33%	54.44%	+28.11	2-2
2010-10-10	@ Detroit Lions	L 6-44	1424.75	1360.31	53.39%	46.37%	-41.23	2-3
2010-10-17	San Diego Chargers	W 20-17	1383.52	1541.58	33.54%	66.25%	+14.37	3-3
2010-10-24	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 17-18	1397.89	1450.81	36.83%	62.94%	-4.62	3-4
2010-10-31	Carolina Panthers	W 20-10	1393.27	1433.57	49.84%	49.92%	+19.78	4-4
2010-11-14	@ San Francisco 49ers	L 20-23	1413.05	1439.49	40.44%	59.33%	-8.78	4-5
2010-11-21	Atlanta Falcons	L 17-34	1404.27	1590.59	30.02%	69.77%	-15.51	4-6
2010-11-28	@ Denver Broncos	W 36-33	1388.76	1406.85	41.60%	58.16%	+12.61	5-6
2010-12-05	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 19-6	1401.37	1368.94	48.79%	50.97%	+23.03	6-6
2010-12-12	@ New Orleans Saints	L 13-31	1424.40	1629.49	19.56%	80.28%	-10.40	6-7
2010-12-19	Kansas City Chiefs	L 13-27	1414.00	1481.42	45.94%	53.82%	-21.54	6-8
2010-12-26	San Francisco 49ers	W 25-17	1392.46	1442.46	48.44%	51.32%	+18.18	7-8
2011-01-02	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 6-16	1410.64	1371.75	49.72%	50.04%	-19.70	7-9
2010-09-12	Cleveland Browns	W 17-14	1453.99	1444.94	56.89%	42.87%	+9.31	1-0
2010-09-19	@ Carolina Panthers	W 20-7	1463.30	1505.70	38.25%	61.52%	+27.78	2-0
2010-09-26	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 13-38	1491.08	1580.97	42.75%	57.01%	-26.79	2-1
2010-10-10	@ Cincinnati Bengals	W 24-21	1464.29	1500.21	39.14%	60.64%	+13.15	3-1
2010-10-17	New Orleans Saints	L 6-31	1477.44	1569.18	42.49%	57.27%	-26.63	3-2
2010-10-24	St. Louis Rams	W 18-17	1450.81	1397.89	62.94%	36.83%	+4.62	4-2
2010-10-31	@ Arizona Cardinals	W 38-35	1455.43	1473.56	41.60%	58.17%	+12.62	5-2
2010-11-07	@ Atlanta Falcons	L 21-27	1468.05	1567.71	30.83%	68.96%	-9.47	5-3
2010-11-14	Carolina Panthers	W 31-16	1458.58	1391.14	64.87%	34.91%	+16.95	6-3
2010-11-21	@ San Francisco 49ers	W 21-0	1475.53	1448.27	48.05%	51.71%	+29.69	7-3
2010-11-28	@ Baltimore Ravens	L 10-17	1505.22	1605.95	30.70%	69.09%	-10.18	7-4
2010-12-05	Atlanta Falcons	L 24-28	1495.04	1616.42	38.39%	61.38%	-9.62	7-5
2010-12-12	@ Washington Redskins	W 17-16	1485.42	1413.41	54.47%	45.29%	+5.67	8-5
2010-12-19	Detroit Lions	L 20-23	1491.09	1382.19	70.09%	29.71%	-15.20	8-6
2010-12-26	Seattle Seahawks	W 38-15	1475.89	1391.43	67.06%	32.72%	+19.67	9-6
2011-01-02	@ New Orleans Saints	W 23-13	1495.56	1638.06	25.84%	73.97%	+29.29	10-6
2010-09-12	Oakland Raiders	W 38-13	1515.54	1409.79	69.71%	30.09%	+18.86	1-0
2010-09-19	Pittsburgh Steelers	L 11-19	1534.40	1562.69	51.56%	48.20%	-18.28	1-1
2010-09-26	@ New York Giants	W 29-10	1516.12	1498.36	46.69%	53.08%	+28.99	2-1
2010-10-03	Denver Broncos	L 20-26	1545.11	1465.40	66.46%	33.33%	-20.39	2-2
2010-10-10	@ Dallas Cowboys	W 34-27	1524.72	1543.33	41.53%	58.23%	+19.30	3-2
2010-10-18	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 30-3	1544.02	1454.15	57.01%	42.76%	+27.85	4-2
2010-10-24	Philadelphia Eagles	W 37-19	1571.87	1575.75	55.06%	44.70%	+23.77	5-2
2010-10-31	@ San Diego Chargers	L 25-33	1595.64	1517.30	55.37%	44.39%	-19.62	5-3
2010-11-14	@ Miami Dolphins	L 17-29	1576.02	1484.57	57.23%	42.54%	-24.84	5-4
2010-11-21	Washington Redskins	L 16-19	1551.18	1428.66	71.70%	28.10%	-15.55	5-5
2010-11-28	@ Houston Texans	L 0-20	1535.63	1456.11	55.54%	44.22%	-31.11	5-6
2010-12-05	Jacksonville Jaguars	L 6-17	1504.52	1458.96	61.95%	37.82%	-25.74	5-7
2010-12-09	Indianapolis Colts	L 28-30	1478.78	1546.31	45.93%	53.83%	-8.14	5-8
2010-12-19	Houston Texans	W 31-17	1470.64	1463.70	56.60%	43.17%	+20.25	6-8
2010-12-26	@ Kansas City Chiefs	L 14-34	1490.89	1502.96	42.45%	57.32%	-23.79	6-9
2011-01-02	@ Indianapolis Colts	L 20-23	1467.10	1580.83	29.13%	70.67%	-6.33	6-10
2010-09-12	Dallas Cowboys	W 13-7	1464.82	1552.79	43.03%	56.74%	+17.41	1-0
2010-09-19	Houston Texans	L 27-30	1482.23	1540.90	47.20%	52.56%	-10.24	1-1
2010-09-26	@ St. Louis Rams	L 16-30	1471.99	1369.06	58.84%	40.93%	-27.58	1-2
2010-10-03	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 17-12	1444.41	1564.97	28.33%	71.47%	+20.01	2-2
2010-10-10	Green Bay Packers	W 16-13	1464.42	1573.05	40.14%	59.63%	+12.94	3-2
2010-10-17	Indianapolis Colts	L 24-27	1477.36	1583.18	40.53%	59.24%	-8.80	3-3
2010-10-24	@ Chicago Bears	W 17-14	1468.56	1509.18	38.49%	61.28%	+13.29	4-3
2010-10-31	@ Detroit Lions	L 25-37	1481.85	1391.88	57.02%	42.74%	-24.74	4-4
2010-11-15	Philadelphia Eagles	L 28-59	1457.11	1561.19	40.77%	59.00%	-28.45	4-5
2010-11-21	@ Tennessee Titans	W 19-16	1428.66	1551.18	28.10%	71.70%	+15.55	5-5
2010-11-28	Minnesota Vikings	L 13-17	1444.21	1471.78	51.67%	48.09%	-12.95	5-6
2010-12-05	@ New York Giants	L 7-31	1431.26	1545.46	29.08%	70.72%	-17.85	5-7
2010-12-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	L 16-17	1413.41	1485.42	45.29%	54.47%	-5.68	5-8
2010-12-19	@ Dallas Cowboys	L 30-33	1407.73	1488.21	33.23%	66.56%	-7.22	5-9
2010-12-26	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	W 20-17	1400.51	1484.49	32.78%	67.00%	+14.54	6-9
2011-01-02	New York Giants	L 14-17	1415.05	1542.21	37.61%	62.17%	-8.17	6-10

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2011-01-15	Green Bay Packers	L 21-48	1643.49	1655.88	53.97%	46.03%	-35.05	0-1
2011-01-09	@ Kansas City Chiefs	W 30-7	1647.38	1489.99	66.28%	33.72%	+20.22	1-0
2011-01-15	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 24-31	1667.60	1638.82	48.39%	51.61%	-16.00	1-1
2011-01-16	Seattle Seahawks	W 35-24	1574.62	1412.00	76.25%	23.75%	+9.85	1-0
2011-01-23	Green Bay Packers	L 14-21	1584.47	1690.93	40.55%	59.45%	-13.42	1-1
2011-01-09	@ Philadelphia Eagles	W 21-16	1642.44	1589.17	51.91%	48.09%	+13.44	1-0
2011-01-15	@ Atlanta Falcons	W 48-21	1655.88	1643.49	46.03%	53.97%	+35.05	2-0
2011-01-23	@ Chicago Bears	W 21-14	1690.93	1584.47	59.45%	40.55%	+13.41	3-0
2011-02-06	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	W 31-25	1704.34	1666.27	55.46%	44.54%	+13.64	4-0
2011-01-08	New York Jets	L 16-17	1587.15	1601.19	53.73%	46.27%	-6.71	0-1
2011-01-09	Baltimore Ravens	L 7-30	1489.99	1647.38	33.72%	66.28%	-20.22	0-1
2011-01-16	New York Jets	L 21-28	1721.21	1607.91	70.73%	29.27%	-23.40	0-1
2011-01-08	@ Seattle Seahawks	L 36-41	1608.77	1391.46	73.51%	26.49%	-20.55	0-1
2011-01-08	@ Indianapolis Colts	W 17-16	1601.19	1587.15	46.27%	53.73%	+6.72	1-0
2011-01-16	@ New England Patriots	W 28-21	1607.91	1721.21	29.27%	70.73%	+23.39	2-0
2011-01-23	@ Pittsburgh Steelers	L 19-24	1631.30	1654.83	40.96%	59.04%	-11.45	2-1
2011-01-09	Green Bay Packers	L 16-21	1589.17	1642.44	48.09%	51.91%	-13.44	0-1
2011-01-15	Baltimore Ravens	W 31-24	1638.82	1667.60	51.61%	48.39%	+16.01	1-0
2011-01-23	New York Jets	W 24-19	1654.83	1631.30	59.04%	40.96%	+11.44	2-0
2011-02-06	Green Bay Packers	L 25-31	1666.27	1704.34	44.54%	55.46%	-13.63	2-1
2011-01-08	New Orleans Saints	W 41-36	1391.46	1608.77	26.49%	73.51%	+20.54	1-0
2011-01-16	@ Chicago Bears	L 24-35	1412.00	1574.62	23.75%	76.25%	-9.84	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2010-10-24	20.74%	Cleveland Browns	1403.45	30	@ New Orleans Saints	1595.81	17
2	2010-12-12	21.03%	@ Detroit Lions	1362.46	7	Green Bay Packers	1631.71	3
3	2010-12-28	22.34%	Minnesota Vikings	1452.76	24	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1628.64	14
4	2010-12-05	23.66%	Oakland Raiders	1439.83	28	@ San Diego Chargers	1602.71	13
5	2010-11-14	25.51%	Dallas Cowboys	1440.21	33	@ New York Giants	1585.74	20
6	2011-01-02	25.84%	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1495.56	23	@ New Orleans Saints	1638.06	13
7	2010-12-26	26.10%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	1388.44	34	San Diego Chargers	1608.59	20
8	2011-01-08 *	26.49%	@ Seattle Seahawks	1391.46	41	New Orleans Saints	1608.77	36
9	2010-11-21	28.10%	Washington Redskins	1428.66	19	@ Tennessee Titans	1551.18	16
10	2010-10-03	28.33%	Washington Redskins	1444.41	17	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1564.97	12
11	2010-12-19	28.77%	Buffalo Bills	1396.44	17	@ Miami Dolphins	1513.20	14
12	2011-01-16 *	29.27%	New York Jets	1607.91	28	@ New England Patriots	1721.21	21
13	2011-01-02	29.53%	Dallas Cowboys	1487.55	14	@ Philadelphia Eagles	1597.97	13
14	2010-12-19	29.71%	Detroit Lions	1382.19	23	@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers	1491.09	20
15	2010-10-10	30.28%	@ Oakland Raiders	1382.04	35	San Diego Chargers	1566.20	27
16	2010-12-12	30.48%	Miami Dolphins	1495.84	10	@ New York Jets	1598.33	6
17	2010-11-07	30.72%	@ Cleveland Browns	1439.15	34	New England Patriots	1619.74	14
18	2010-12-26	30.74%	Detroit Lions	1397.39	34	@ Miami Dolphins	1497.79	27
19	2010-10-31	31.38%	Jacksonville Jaguars	1403.44	35	@ Dallas Cowboys	1498.63	17
20	2010-10-17	32.22%	Miami Dolphins	1471.68	23	@ Green Bay Packers	1560.12	20
21	2010-10-03	32.64%	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1419.57	31	Indianapolis Colts	1584.69	28
22	2010-12-26	32.78%	Washington Redskins	1400.51	20	@ Jacksonville Jaguars	1484.49	17
23	2010-10-17	32.85%	Seattle Seahawks	1440.26	23	@ Chicago Bears	1523.70	20
24	2010-10-03	33.33%	Denver Broncos	1465.40	26	@ Tennessee Titans	1545.11	20
25	2010-10-17	33.54%	@ St. Louis Rams	1383.52	20	San Diego Chargers	1541.58	17

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %
1	2010-10-24	54.84	Oakland Raiders	59	1391.54	34.51%	@ Denver Broncos	14	1462.09	65.27%
2	2010-10-10	41.24	@ Detroit Lions	44	1360.31	46.37%	St. Louis Rams	6	1424.75	53.39%
3	2010-11-07	38.68	@ Cleveland Browns	34	1439.15	30.72%	New England Patriots	14	1619.74	69.08%
4	2010-10-10	37.67	New York Giants	34	1493.67	38.38%	@ Houston Texans	10	1535.13	61.39%
5	2010-12-05	36.93	Oakland Raiders	28	1439.83	23.66%	@ San Diego Chargers	13	1602.71	76.16%
6	2011-01-02	36.77	Oakland Raiders	31	1465.40	35.71%	@ Kansas City Chiefs	10	1526.76	64.07%
7	2010-10-31	36.34	Jacksonville Jaguars	35	1403.44	31.38%	@ Dallas Cowboys	17	1498.63	68.41%
8	2010-12-06	36.26	@ New England Patriots	45	1631.18	55.13%	New York Jets	3	1634.59	44.64%
9	2010-10-24	35.70	Cleveland Browns	30	1403.45	20.74%	@ New Orleans Saints	17	1595.81	79.10%
10	2011-01-15 *	35.05	Green Bay Packers	48	1655.88	46.03%	@ Atlanta Falcons	21	1643.49	53.97%
11	2010-11-28	34.98	San Diego Chargers	36	1567.73	40.24%	@ Indianapolis Colts	14	1595.65	59.53%
12	2010-11-21	34.53	Buffalo Bills	49	1368.91	34.79%	@ Cincinnati Bengals	31	1437.30	64.99%
13	2010-12-26	34.53	@ Cincinnati Bengals	34	1388.44	26.10%	San Diego Chargers	20	1608.59	73.71%
14	2010-12-12	34.31	@ Arizona Cardinals	43	1345.92	49.77%	Denver Broncos	13	1386.66	49.99%
15	2010-09-19	33.94	@ Atlanta Falcons	41	1511.50	53.31%	Arizona Cardinals	7	1527.61	46.45%
16	2010-11-14	33.54	Dallas Cowboys	33	1440.21	25.51%	@ New York Giants	20	1585.74	74.31%
17	2010-10-31	33.26	@ Oakland Raiders	33	1446.38	51.31%	Seattle Seahawks	3	1476.46	48.45%
18	2010-09-12	32.77	@ Seattle Seahawks	31	1439.24	47.44%	San Francisco 49ers	6	1496.18	52.32%
19	2010-11-14	32.41	Seattle Seahawks	36	1414.38	38.78%	@ Arizona Cardinals	18	1452.90	60.99%
20	2010-11-14	32.17	@ Denver Broncos	49	1390.36	42.34%	Kansas City Chiefs	29	1483.21	57.43%
21	2010-10-04	31.29	New England Patriots	41	1555.64	51.70%	@ Miami Dolphins	14	1502.97	48.06%
22	2010-11-28	31.12	@ Houston Texans	20	1456.11	44.22%	Tennessee Titans	0	1535.63	55.54%
23	2010-12-28	30.67	Minnesota Vikings	24	1452.76	22.34%	@ Philadelphia Eagles	14	1628.64	77.49%
24	2010-11-29	30.35	San Francisco 49ers	27	1418.58	46.90%	@ Arizona Cardinals	6	1399.29	52.86%
25	2010-12-20	29.75	Chicago Bears	40	1545.67	53.21%	@ Minnesota Vikings	14	1482.50	46.55%